DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 47.8 - - 49.9 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 153 - - 86 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8949 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6478 - - 4933 - - 4868 - - 1241 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 201 - - 167 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 278 - - 278 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -5 - - -6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2185 - - -72 - - -924 - - -797 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11547 - - 9436 - - 10287 - - 10159 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3663 - - -2039 - - -3412 - - -4672 ODpotential blCL - - - 13025 - - 11402 - - 12775 - - 14034 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 94 - - 69 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 810 - - 660 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 47.8 - - 49.9 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 38.5 - - 37.0 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 45.7 - - 48.3 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 37.3 - - 35.8 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 153 - - 86 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 76 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98366 20 094 23 097 18 099 15 096 98366 90929 27 090 24 107 20 084 22 090 90929 85230 22 103 21 105 20 096 25 097 85230 80488 18 109 14 115 16 103 20 100 80488 76379 17 111 10 125 9 137 10 115 76379 72746 7 101 7 131 6 123 7 122 72746 69460 4 201 6 191 3 317 3 130 69460 66443 4 301 9 215 8 251 5 235 66443 63653 15 282 11 254 10 253 10 243 63653 60954 24 256 21 274 15 276 13 260 60954 58128 23 258 22 264 21 277 20 271 58128 55187 27 271 24 270 24 272 24 281 55187 52368 26 270 29 265 31 282 25 287 52368 49826 21 265 26 261 30 272 24 295 49826 47561 17 267 21 257 19 282 24 299 47561 45525 19 292 22 294 16 293 18 308 45525 43676 21 305 16 314 12 338 16 350 43676 41975 17 344 20 006 25 008 25 015 41975 40405 25 018 37 005 41 006 41 018 40405 38954 24 025 39 003 42 001 52 018 38954 37609 27 033 31 011 32 010 49 018 37609 36337 33 031 31 025 38 026 43 023 36337 35077 32 025 35 037 46 019 31 027 35077 33806 20 358 39 039 46 022 17 044 33806 32525 8 333 40 033 45 029 19 050 32525 31222 4 299 33 024 42 035 24 036 31222 29892 3 293 21 015 35 047 27 027 29892 28540 4 322 13 020 27 058 29 022 28540 27170 8 350 11 030 15 050 25 027 27170 25787 11 011 12 038 16 034 18 035 25787 24396 13 033 12 039 23 021 16 029 24396 22995 8 048 12 044 29 015 20 015 22995 21580 9 034 14 045 27 016 23 017 21580 20177 10 014 15 031 19 018 19 010 20177 18851 13 003 17 020 16 019 13 345 18851 17654 12 001 18 014 16 016 13 337 17654 16579 10 009 19 011 17 007 15 334 16579 15603 9 018 18 006 17 001 15 331 15603 14711 8 024 17 001 18 352 15 327 14711 13890 6 040 16 355 18 344 15 322 13890 13136 5 056 15 348 17 336 13 317 13136 12444 5 072 13 340 14 326 11 311 12444 11811 5 090 12 333 13 310 8 303 11811 11223 5 101 10 328 12 297 4 287 11223 10686 6 106 8 318 11 288 2 224 10686 10225 6 112 7 305 11 284 3 165 10225 9863 6 115 6 295 11 282 5 147 9863 9609 6 118 5 286 10 280 5 137 9609 9453 6 119 5*282 9*280 5*132 9453 9362 5*119 4*278 7*278 3*120 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography