DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 68.8 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 97 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3602 - - 5097 - - 3600 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 128 - - 128 - - 36 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 296 - - 294 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -675 - - -1963 - - -470 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3492 - - 4781 - - 3287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1218 - - -2692 - - -1626 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4034 - - 5509 - - 4443 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 350 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 68.8 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.6 - - 57.1 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.3 - - 67.4 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.6 - - 55.9 - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 97 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 44 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98346 13 087 5 009 5 085 98346 90928 17 082 19 107 14 085 90928 85259 14 090 25 102 21 070 85259 80574 11 109 24 098 20 069 80574 76531 18 122 13 089 15 072 76531 72941 16 108 11 113 6 105 72941 69686 7 135 1 136 2 099 69686 66692 7 160 1 342 4 206 66692 63930 4 231 2 302 2 173 63930 61258 10 255 8 279 7 297 61258 58460 19 265 17 271 17 265 58460 55522 27 277 20 266 17 273 55522 52676 34 277 30 282 37 275 52676 50102 43 270 47 270 39 270 50102 47802 42 259 45 260 36 272 47802 45737 34 262 34 252 42 281 45737 43882 22 299 32 264 45 278 43882 42209 39 299 32 293 38 267 42209 40671 43 285 30 303 38 270 40671 39232 35 284 29 284 36 297 39232 37876 25 295 44 271 33 312 37876 36565 23 289 46 277 37 314 36565 35236 27 294 42 293 42 301 35236 33862 33 292 41 305 43 294 33862 32444 35 284 33 312 42 288 32444 30971 35 281 24 332 34 288 30971 29431 31 285 18 336 30 274 29431 27824 26 284 20 314 24 271 27824 26148 17 282 24 298 20 273 26148 24402 14 284 16 280 23 278 24402 22599 14 286 17 269 21 280 22599 20740 18 290 19 279 19 269 20740 18815 22 291 22 293 21 267 18815 16857 22 289 25 302 23 286 16857 14974 22 296 25 308 26 296 14974 13263 20 303 25 315 24 306 13263 11742 17 308 21 314 19 312 11742 10389 15 312 15 309 15 313 10389 9183 13 319 12 298 14 309 9183 8105 11 337 11 292 14 308 8105 7144 10 351 10 295 14 307 7144 6293 10 346 10 296 14 309 6293 5537 9 337 10 296 15 311 5537 4857 10 322 10 296 15 311 4857 4251 10 310 10 296 15 311 4251 3742 9 303 10 295 14 310 3742 3349 9 301 9 295 12 309 3349 3077 9 299 9 295 10 308 3077 2911 8 297 8*294 8*307 2911 2817 6*296 6*294 5*306 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography