DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 71.4 - - 71.8 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 360 - - 162 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10278 - - 11110 - - 11839 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13669 - - 14345 - - 14347 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16146 - - 16978 - - 17707 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3359 - - 4163 - - 4269 - - 5817 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 657 - - 673 - - 527 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 323 - - 001 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - -22 - - 25 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 851 - - 1045 - - -89 - - -9341 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15295 - - 15934 - - 17797 - - 15385 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -22 - - 24 - - -1101 - - -11948 ODpotential blCL - - - 16168 - - 16954 - - 18808 - - 17992 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 97 - - 101 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 140 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 71.4 - - 71.8 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 21.9 - - 13.9 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 68.8 - - 70.4 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.8 - - 21.5 - - 13.5 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 360 - - 162 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10278 - - 11110 - - 11839 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 90 - - 103 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98396 21 113 20 075 26 091 25 087 98396 90967 17 118 16 109 19 100 17 072 90967 85240 14 114 12 147 8 092 14 100 85240 80469 11 159 13 124 7 110 13 081 80469 76344 13 139 7 176 7 091 9 113 76344 72711 13 112 11 171 4 221 6 071 72711 69432 3 135 9 134 4 212 2 307 69432 66427 9 248 5 247 3 309 4 255 66427 63641 14 241 17 258 12 276 9 254 63641 60933 18 259 22 258 22 265 15 269 60933 58101 23 261 25 259 26 261 24 276 58101 55149 25 260 28 258 26 258 26 272 55149 52323 27 268 27 261 25 273 28 276 52323 49776 29 264 27 266 24 269 25 268 49776 47487 27 268 23 269 21 273 22 271 47487 45411 24 272 24 274 24 275 23 275 45411 43526 22 276 24 271 23 273 23 281 43526 41801 21 283 25 272 24 276 20 283 41801 40209 24 282 27 272 25 280 16 284 40209 38729 25 274 28 269 27 275 18 292 38729 37352 22 265 27 263 28 259 24 272 37352 36055 19 267 29 253 30 250 28 261 36055 34771 23 273 29 250 31 251 31 258 34771 33465 27 273 29 255 32 256 34 246 33465 32140 28 271 28 258 34 254 34 241 32140 30782 28 271 27 261 34 255 32 246 30782 29381 25 272 25 263 32 259 29 247 29381 27938 21 270 23 262 30 261 25 241 27938 26455 17 268 21 259 29 262 20 239 26455 24935 15 273 20 260 27 260 14 251 24935 23382 12 283 18 269 23 254 13 267 23382 21792 13 294 16 278 17 249 15 261 21792 20159 16 293 13 282 12 245 14 256 20159 18509 16 289 11*284 8*248 11 252 18509 16925 14*288 10*290 3*277 4 226 16925 15482 12*290 10 298 3 288 3 152 15482 14188 11 291 9 302 4 338 3 113 14188 13022 10 295 9 310 6 358 3 080 13022 11965 10 303 9 320 8 004 4 036 11965 11008 10 311 10 330 9 007 7 010 11008 10143 10 316 11 335 10 008 10 359 10143 9363 10 320 11 337 11 009 13 354 9363 8660 10 323 12 339 11 009 15 353 8660 8018 10 325 12 340 12 009 17 354 8018 7439 10 327 12 341 12 009 20 357 7439 6948 10 328 12 341 12 009 22 359 6948 6565 10 328 12 342 12 010 22 001 6565 6300 10 329 11 342 11 010 20 001 6300 6137 9 328 11 342 11 010 18*000 6137 6044 8 329 10 342 10 010 13*360 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography