DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 63.7 - - 63.7 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 194 - - 143 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6494 - - 6722 - - 5397 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11471 - - 11301 - - 10113 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13179 - - 13407 - - 12082 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3608 - - 4892 - - 3888 - - 2842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 582 - - 467 - - 394 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 54 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 301 - - 330 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - 32 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1012 - - 1497 - - 329 - - -2002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12167 - - 11910 - - 11754 - - 8801 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -494 - - 136 - - -1532 - - -5616 ODpotential blCL - - - 13673 - - 13271 - - 13614 - - 12415 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 96 - - 76 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 480 - - 350 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 63.7 - - 63.7 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 34.8 - - 35.5 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 62.4 - - 62.6 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 34.6 - - 35.1 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 194 - - 143 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6494 - - 6722 - - 5397 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 86 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98337 23 096 23 098 18 101 16 102 98337 90905 29 091 24 109 22 084 23 094 90905 85218 20 098 21 110 20 097 23 093 85218 80489 22 113 13 109 14 099 21 101 80489 76381 14 099 11 138 9 130 9 102 76381 72743 8 090 10 125 8 151 6 119 72743 69460 3 197 6 204 3 295 4 109 69460 66452 1 256 10 206 8 255 6 226 66452 63667 12 280 12 253 11 254 11 261 63667 60970 25 266 21 275 15 268 18 256 60970 58148 29 259 27 265 21 276 18 271 58148 55206 25 264 25 260 28 270 24 275 55206 52386 27 267 27 267 28 276 27 285 52386 49840 25 272 29 263 32 281 25 280 49840 47564 20 275 25 261 27 267 23 301 47564 45521 16 279 18 276 16 294 19 310 45521 43671 12 285 19 309 14 306 14 331 43671 41971 10 332 18 323 13 009 20 010 41971 40396 22 013 30 012 33 013 32 025 40396 38936 23 018 33 010 40 004 45 022 38936 37582 24 020 28 010 35 359 48 019 37582 36297 24 006 24 019 33 026 44 023 36297 35019 16 344 24 027 45 034 25 019 35019 33721 7 319 23 027 50 030 17 054 33721 32402 4 318 16 009 49 029 21 055 32402 31048 4 347 9 331 44 033 27 035 31048 29651 5 003 6 335 34 043 30 027 29651 28216 9 352 5 356 23 047 29 033 28216 26744 13 340 2 018 16 024 21 042 26744 25239 12 000 2 347 16 018 16 052 25239 23706 11 029 4 333 14 021 13 039 23706 22142 7 358 2 000 12 019 15 031 22142 20541 9 341 4 012 11 006 20 031 20541 18930 7 338 8 019 16 357 20 019 18930 17393 7 023 10 028 19 000 22 352 17393 15996 9 028 10 034 18 007 23 343 15996 14743 6 024 9 034 15 012 23 333 14743 13613 2*044 5*017 12 006 22 320 13613 12589 1*142 4*326 10*349 19 306 12589 11659 2 153 5 309 9*341 16 294 11659 10817 2 154 6 302 9 336 10 283 10817 10057 2 157 7 299 8 332 4 254 10057 9370 2 160 9 299 8 329 4 162 9370 8741 2 159 9 298 8 327 8 139 8741 8173 2 157 10 298 8 325 11 135 8173 7691 2 159 10 298 8 325 13 136 7691 7315 2 159 10 297 7 324 13 135 7315 7052 2 160 10 297 7 324 12 132 7052 6892 2 162 10 298 7 323 10*130 6892 6799 2 159 9 297 6 324 6*127 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography