DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 79.1 - - 78.2 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 389 - - 201 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1586 - - 3705 - - 3123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3948 - - 5617 - - 4940 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4648 - - 6767 - - 6185 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 818 - - 1879 - - 2340 - - 1364 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 472 - - 360 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 310 - - 291 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 14 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3269 - - -3716 - - -3591 - - -3214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7917 - - 10484 - - 9776 - - 6293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8042 - - -7348 - - -7606 - - -8324 ODpotential blCL - - - 12690 - - 14115 - - 13791 - - 11402 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 40 - - 45 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 79.1 - - 78.2 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 43.6 - - 45.8 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.0 - - 76.5 - - 76.6 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 42.4 - - 44.8 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 389 - - 201 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1586 - - 3705 - - 3123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98361 21 079 22 091 22 100 25 095 98361 90966 18 113 17 105 19 096 23 099 90966 85241 18 125 11 120 12 091 17 102 85241 80463 8 129 13 119 6 094 11 103 80463 76343 9 113 9 139 7 134 6 169 76343 72706 7 099 5 145 7 160 3 169 72706 69437 3 016 3 041 2 134 2 113 69437 66439 8 276 9 347 7 014 1 092 66439 63654 6 237 10 314 14 348 10 017 63654 60979 7 275 12 280 15 311 15 348 60979 58214 8 338 7 316 15 279 14 312 58214 55335 16 351 14 353 8 319 11 284 55335 52573 15 338 12 336 11 335 11 342 52573 50091 11 346 6 329 8 301 11 323 50091 47875 22 021 8 011 7 004 4 295 47875 45869 28 030 16 017 17 029 6 070 45869 44045 30 035 21 017 19 030 12 071 44045 42374 28 044 21 027 15 028 13 074 42374 40826 27 056 18 034 11 033 12 066 40826 39376 27 062 15 037 10 043 7 050 39376 38011 27 061 15 034 11 031 6 046 38011 36696 26 056 16 031 11 019 6 053 36696 35367 26 053 17 034 8 022 6 041 35367 33994 27 055 17 042 8 033 6 042 33994 32582 29 057 20 048 12 042 8 052 32582 31117 30 058 20 048 12 043 9 045 31117 29588 26 059 18 045 10 036 9 027 29588 27994 20 059 15 041 10 025 9 028 27994 26336 16 053 12 033 9 020 8 044 26336 24615 13 025 9 026 8 004 4 025 24615 22833 13 004 9 009 9 002 5 345 22833 20987 15 002 9 349 9 357 6 339 20987 19074 13 003 9 330 11 347 8 349 19074 17132 11 006 9 315 12 323 10 356 17132 15266 10 003 10 314 11 308 11 345 15266 13567 10 349 8 318 8 303 9 328 13567 12052 9 345 6 317 5 308 6 305 12052 10700 7 350 4 312 4 309 4 284 10700 9490 7 347 4 309 4 309 4 280 9490 8407 8 338 4 321 4 326 5 294 8407 7441 10 336 4*343 5 324 7 305 7441 6583 10 339 4*343 6*309 8 306 6583 5821 9 340 5 331 6*302 9 298 5821 5133 6*344 5 318 8 295 9 288 5133 4522 5*331 6 306 9 292 10 288 4522 4008 5 314 7 300 9 289 10 293 4008 3613 5 305 7 296 10 288 9 295 3613 3340 5 298 7 292 10 287 9 292 3340 3174 5 294 7 292 9 286 7 290 3174 3078 4 292 6 290 8 286 4*287 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography