DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 66.3 - - 63.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 297 - - 174 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1037 - - 1221 - - 820 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 915 - - 1156 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1581 - - 1766 - - 1364 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 455 - - 468 - - 512 - - 859 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 294 - - 215 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 269 - - 267 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -24 - - -357 - - -156 - - -164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1605 - - 2123 - - 1520 - - 725 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9211 - - -7943 - - -8644 - - -514 ODpotential blCL - - - 10792 - - 9709 - - 10008 - - 1075 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 90 - - 94 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 66.3 - - 63.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 58.8 - - 58.5 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 64.5 - - 62.1 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 57.7 - - 57.9 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 297 - - 174 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1037 - - 1221 - - 820 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 60 - - 77 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98385 21 087 21 092 21 092 26 097 98385 90989 19 117 13 109 20 097 23 098 90989 85261 15 129 14 123 8 094 18 098 85261 80471 8 129 11 118 8 132 8 102 80471 76338 9 113 8 148 8 144 5 179 76338 72705 7 082 4 150 5 176 1 196 72705 69438 2 314 6 349 3 075 3 193 69438 66435 7 251 7 327 11 004 5 067 66435 63654 4 263 7 306 14 333 11 015 63654 60984 4 303 9 290 16 299 14 340 60984 58212 9 342 8 322 14 295 14 308 58212 55331 12 340 11 341 9 319 11 300 55331 52577 16 328 12 315 10 323 10 320 52577 50099 12 359 7 310 10 311 10 312 50099 47879 19 024 8 012 8 360 6 319 47879 45872 24 026 16 020 14 040 7 064 45872 44048 25 030 20 029 17 043 13 068 44048 42379 22 037 25 038 19 056 13 074 42379 40833 20 043 28 049 23 058 16 078 40833 39382 21 045 28 052 22 057 16 072 39382 38010 21 045 24 051 18 053 13 077 38010 36679 21 047 21 051 15 045 11 080 36679 35324 22 052 20 052 11 033 8 066 35324 33915 25 054 20 053 10 041 5 045 33915 32455 28 054 22 050 12 048 5 060 32455 30926 29 053 22 047 12 046 4 057 30926 29314 26 060 17 043 9 032 6 026 29314 27620 20 060 13 036 8 024 8 016 27620 25842 16 042 11 031 8 034 6 033 25842 23980 15 032 8 025 7 029 2 017 23980 22038 14 010 8 003 7 010 4 346 22038 20012 14 001 9 343 9 000 6 003 20012 17900 11 002 8 314 11 338 8 010 17900 15748 7 360 6 294 11 314 9 348 15748 13674 6 337 7 290 8 304 8 316 13674 11784 6 334 4 273 5 294 7 277 11784 10103 6 345 5 254 3 280 5 251 10103 8610 6 336 6 270 4 286 4 263 8610 7283 7 323 8 286 7 298 6 294 7283 6106 8 321 9 295 10 296 10 294 6106 5065 9 319 10 303 10 294 9 296 5065 4148 9 308 8 302 10 285 10 288 4148 3340 8 278 7 281 10 274 10 275 3340 2625 10 248 9 262 11 271 10 268 2625 1997 11*249 11*266 13 268 10 263 1997 1480 9*260 11*268 12*267 10 262 1480 1087 9 263 11 269 12*267 10 262 1087 818 9 266 11 270 11 268 9 262 818 654 8 267 10 270 10 268 8*262 654 561 7 268 8 270 8 268 5*262 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography