DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 67.2 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 430 - - 244 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 349 - - 666 - - 312 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3836 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3886 - - 4203 - - 3849 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 424 - - 479 - - 506 - - 806 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 273 - - 176 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 222 - - 234 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 31 - - 28 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 54 - - -1092 - - -1102 - - -906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3833 - - 5295 - - 4951 - - 3529 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7125 - - -6409 - - -6564 - - -7974 ODpotential blCL - - - 11011 - - 10612 - - 10413 - - 10597 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 75 - - 76 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 130 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 67.2 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 54.9 - - 54.3 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 67.5 - - 66.1 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 54.2 - - 53.7 - - 52.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 430 - - 244 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 349 - - 666 - - 312 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 1 - - 4 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98278 22 087 20 097 22 093 22 091 98278 90884 16 090 27 101 18 094 28 092 90884 85177 19 100 19 103 18 095 19 090 85177 80425 17 114 13 117 13 100 13 112 80425 76323 17 111 15 128 9 107 14 108 76323 72704 12 096 14 129 9 130 8 132 72704 69440 7 076 10 112 5 104 7 141 69440 66442 7 303 3 331 2 343 3 054 66442 63672 9 280 10 293 6 292 7 320 63672 60995 12 280 17 291 12 313 10 310 60995 58199 16 314 17 299 17 309 17 337 58199 55311 15 292 14 286 20 279 21 317 55311 52556 11 341 11 320 7 299 23 289 52556 50065 24 343 20 345 18 339 12 336 50065 47843 23 333 19 343 17 339 15 338 47843 45850 13 336 14 030 11 357 8 319 45850 44034 21 039 29 049 20 049 6 056 44034 42360 36 043 35 049 26 046 16 043 42360 40808 41 045 34 046 25 042 16 033 40808 39358 37 048 29 041 22 040 13 022 39358 37994 33 051 26 041 20 039 13 014 37994 36678 32 053 24 044 18 038 13 018 36678 35344 31 053 22 050 18 037 14 021 35344 33963 33 049 19 056 18 038 14 019 33963 32539 34 045 18 058 18 041 13 016 32539 31059 33 044 21 054 19 046 12 025 31059 29513 33 046 22 049 19 050 12 041 29513 27901 33 050 18 038 16 046 12 044 27901 26224 31 047 16 025 14 027 10 032 26224 24483 25 030 18 017 16 019 9 014 24483 22681 18 018 19 014 17 015 11 003 22681 20810 14 012 16 010 14 008 12 358 20810 18865 13 003 13 357 10 353 11 350 18865 16886 12 347 11 335 9 331 9 328 16886 14983 10 338 12 329 11 328 13 326 14983 13253 9 333 12 325 14 324 18 325 13253 11712 7 338 9 314 12 317 17 314 11712 10334 6 348 7 317 10 313 15 306 10334 9100 5 008 6 319 9 311 14 302 9100 7996 8 026 5 330 10 311 14 311 7996 7010 11 033 7 349 12 317 17 322 7010 6137 13 033 8 357 12 323 19 330 6137 5362 12 029 7 359 11 326 17 333 5362 4667 8 028 3*355 8 323 13 332 4667 4053 3*023 1*254 4*304 8 335 4053 3541 2*234 5 222 4*246 3 345 3541 3149 4 223 6 221 5 235 1 110 3149 2880 5 222 6 220 6 231 2 151 2880 2716 5 221 7 219 6 230 2*158 2716 2622 5 221 6 219 5 228 2*162 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography