DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.6 - - 68.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 21 - - 41 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3380 - - 4693 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 3191 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4580 - - 5893 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2102 - - 2434 - - 4434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 202 - - 265 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 109 - - 115 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 536 - - 1214 - - -993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4044 - - 4679 - - 2227 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1249 - - -112 - - -2357 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5829 - - 6005 - - 3591 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 100 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.6 - - 68.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.1 - - 52.5 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.7 - - 68.7 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.8 - - 51.2 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 21 - - 41 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3380 - - 4693 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 65 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98583 24 069 8 044 21 042 98583 91216 20 071 26 068 18 060 91216 85532 13 080 27 075 17 085 85532 80792 12 116 16 076 13 102 80792 76679 11 107 8 078 11 108 76679 73020 7 137 3 163 7 091 73020 69695 6 152 6 234 2 305 69695 66640 5 184 11 232 6 246 66640 63813 8 227 14 245 4 229 63813 61061 12 229 16 247 11 260 61061 58182 15 227 19 239 23 257 58182 55195 17 223 20 229 24 244 55195 52345 19 237 21 237 21 218 52345 49782 23 242 24 245 19 212 49782 47489 25 234 28 239 21 239 47489 45416 25 233 29 228 34 254 45416 43518 24 234 28 225 41 244 43518 41766 22 230 23 224 33 229 41766 40156 20 241 18 245 23 215 40156 38674 18 251 21 263 16 237 38674 37301 17 270 21 267 9 268 37301 35991 20 269 17 254 12 308 35991 34668 21 268 14 248 14 317 34668 33295 18 279 13 265 14 330 33295 31875 16 288 14 278 14 330 31875 30393 11 285 14 281 17 314 30393 28838 6 293 13 280 20 301 28838 27205 3 304 11 272 17 295 27205 25496 4 304 10 268 14 287 25496 23709 10 305 9 274 12 280 23709 21847 11 313 6 281 9 274 21847 19904 11 328 3 287 4 268 19904 17876 9 003 4 282 4 260 17876 15811 2 087 6 277 4 264 15811 13826 5 103 5 305 4 322 13826 12026 11 083 4 018 5 063 12026 10430 10 081 9 033 10 075 10430 9014 5 064 10 049 11 088 9014 7755 6 114 9 087 9 099 7755 6635 13 128 9*102 9 114 6635 5642 15 120 8*105 9 112 5642 4766 14*115 7 110 8 102 4766 3991 11*112 7 114 7 097 3991 3296 9 109 7 117 6 097 3296 2679 7 109 7 119 6 100 2679 2164 6 108 6 121 5 102 2164 1768 5 108 6 122 5 102 1768 1494 5 107 5 122 4 101 1494 1329 4 106 5 122 3*096 1329 1234 3 105 4 123 1*091 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography