DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 69.3 - - 65.1 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 233 - - 151 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1042 - - 1399 - - 1000 - - 331 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1100 - - 1395 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1755 - - 2113 - - 1713 - - 1043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 386 - - 446 - - 389 - - 513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 288 - - 222 - - 72 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 268 - - 278 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -465 - - -608 - - -426 - - 29 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2220 - - 2721 - - 2139 - - 1014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8958 - - -7140 - - -8577 - - -10264 ODpotential blCL - - - 10713 - - 9253 - - 10290 - - 11307 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 81 - - 87 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 69.3 - - 65.1 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 59.7 - - 58.1 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 67.7 - - 64.1 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 58.4 - - 57.2 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 233 - - 151 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1042 - - 1399 - - 1000 - - 331 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 26 - - 46 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98423 22 097 19 096 23 088 26 101 98423 91021 18 114 12 114 17 092 22 101 91021 85285 15 140 13 129 9 126 15 097 85285 80479 7 136 9 132 9 142 8 123 80479 76334 7 097 8 131 8 169 1 062 76334 72702 4 038 4 073 7 118 4 230 72702 69428 4 265 5 326 9 030 3 106 69428 66420 2 288 8 306 11 340 9 036 66420 63647 4 297 10 315 14 317 13 000 63647 60980 4 336 12 311 17 307 15 331 60980 58208 9 325 10 316 14 309 14 302 58208 55323 16 331 12 319 12 331 10 289 55323 52564 16 316 15 301 15 321 12 314 52564 50085 9 359 10 315 12 305 13 319 50085 47871 18 018 10 355 7 323 8 332 47871 45870 24 018 17 016 13 027 9 042 45870 44053 25 019 22 032 17 038 10 062 44053 42388 23 025 27 044 16 046 8 081 42388 40841 21 032 32 048 17 050 9 076 40841 39387 20 034 32 051 18 045 11 061 39387 38016 20 034 29 053 17 047 9 045 38016 36685 19 037 25 052 15 048 6 048 36685 35330 21 044 21 051 12 044 5 053 35330 33922 25 045 20 046 8 031 4 349 33922 32465 26 043 22 043 8 030 5 340 32465 30939 24 042 23 040 8 028 7 343 30939 29333 19 046 21 038 9 018 9 338 29333 27647 16 058 14 032 8 002 9 330 27647 25878 15 044 11 025 8 003 7 329 25878 24028 16 033 9 035 7 016 4 317 24028 22098 15 023 8 017 6 016 4 317 22098 20085 15 016 8 001 9 005 6 345 20085 17987 12 005 7 334 10 345 6 353 17987 15849 7 354 6 288 11 317 7 329 15849 13787 4 323 5 286 9 297 8 302 13787 11911 5 302 3 271 5 272 6 270 11911 10241 4 311 4 219 4 227 6 242 10241 8758 3 298 6 225 4 225 5 231 8758 7439 4 296 6 256 5 255 5 258 7439 6267 5 302 8 287 8 279 7 279 6267 5229 6 301 10 292 10 283 11 276 5229 4314 7 295 10 288 12 281 12 267 4314 3508 7 279 9 256 13 257 14 250 3508 2791 10 248 12 236 15 240 16 235 2791 2164 12*240 11*247 14*246 17 242 2164 1647 10*246 10*265 12*272 17 260 1647 1254 10 250 10 268 12 278 14*275 1254 985 9 250 10 269 12 279 12*279 985 822 8 251 9 270 11 280 11 280 822 729 7 252 8 270 9 280 8 280 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography