DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 82.5 - - 84.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 272 - - 72 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4682 - - 9163 - - 9090 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6106 - - 9712 - - 8641 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7675 - - 12156 - - 12083 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3376 - - 1819 - - 3017 - - 3514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 571 - - 379 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 276 - - 290 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - -12 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3731 - - -597 - - -1651 - - -8689 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11406 - - 12754 - - 13735 - - 11643 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7121 - - -3711 - - -4898 - - -11888 ODpotential blCL - - - 14796 - - 15867 - - 16981 - - 14841 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 61 - - 50 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 82.5 - - 84.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 36.2 - - 33.5 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 80.4 - - 83.3 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 35.0 - - 32.2 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 272 - - 72 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4682 - - 9163 - - 9090 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98622 23 112 27 115 18 110 23 103 98622 91161 19 113 17 116 16 108 20 088 91161 85369 15 120 10 165 6 082 13 097 85369 80547 6 134 12 160 8 205 6 147 80547 76400 8 170 2 109 5 156 9 141 76400 72738 2 191 2 250 1 202 5 106 72738 69416 7 268 6 294 2 042 3 158 69416 66357 8 249 10 278 10 342 7 320 66357 63525 11 287 13 291 6 318 9 285 63525 60788 14 291 11 266 15 325 6 327 60788 57942 19 308 10 287 27 294 25 301 57942 55025 33 317 33 317 33 309 32 303 55025 52259 38 316 37 320 33 315 26 308 52259 49771 43 328 38 324 35 322 32 312 49771 47552 46 330 41 320 41 319 38 318 47552 45560 46 334 47 323 46 324 49 324 45560 43755 52 333 54 324 56 326 50 320 43755 42097 53 327 59 322 54 323 46 318 42097 40551 53 327 59 321 53 324 46 314 40551 39098 53 329 56 323 53 324 47 312 39098 37727 53 331 53 326 51 321 48 311 37727 36406 50 330 51 325 49 317 49 311 36406 35071 47 328 47 323 46 313 50 310 35071 33695 46 327 43 321 42 308 51 308 33695 32281 43 324 40 321 40 307 51 306 32281 30814 41 321 35 325 39 308 49 305 30814 29285 39 322 33 329 38 309 46 304 29285 27694 37 321 33 325 35 308 41 302 27694 26043 30 313 32 320 32 309 37 300 26043 24335 25 301 29 314 31 310 34 301 24335 22574 24 297 27 308 31 309 33 301 22574 20755 25 299 27 303 31 307 34 295 20755 18868 24 302 28 298 29 302 33 286 18868 16952 22 303 29 295 28 291 32 273 16952 15111 21 295 28 288 28 281 30 268 15111 13437 21 289 26*279 24*279 24 275 13437 11940 23 290 20*273 21*282 21 282 11940 10598 23 287 20 273 21 284 19 288 10598 9393 20 279 18 274 20 286 16 299 9393 8313 16*271 16 274 19 288 15 315 8313 7347 14*267 15 275 18 291 16 331 7347 6487 12 266 14 276 17 292 18 343 6487 5721 10 268 12 277 16 294 20 349 5721 5029 8 272 11 279 15 296 22 353 5029 4412 7 277 10 280 15 297 23 354 4412 3894 6 282 9 281 14 299 23 353 3894 3494 5 287 9 283 13 300 21 350 3494 3217 5 291 8 284 13 300 17 345 3217 3049 4 292 8 283 12 301 13*339 3049 2952 4 295 7 284 10 302 7*328 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography