DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 78.1 - - 80.2 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 339 - - 92 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10747 - - 11209 - - 13096 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13085 - - 13321 - - 13664 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15575 - - 16037 - - 17924 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2735 - - 2534 - - 1171 - - 14092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 696 - - 652 - - 447 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 20 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 320 - - 331 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 16 - - 13 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -24 - - -7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2271 - - 1761 - - 1349 - - -10622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13305 - - 14277 - - 16576 - - 14998 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 919 - - 859 - - 468 - - -13052 ODpotential blCL - - - 14656 - - 15178 - - 17456 - - 17427 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 99 - - 93 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 78.1 - - 80.2 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 30.0 - - 21.8 - - 22.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 76.9 - - 80.4 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 29.6 - - 21.4 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 339 - - 92 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10747 - - 11209 - - 13096 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 97 - - 72 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98249 28 102 22 113 20 097 22 095 98249 90811 24 088 29 099 23 100 21 098 90811 85127 24 094 26 091 22 086 20 095 85127 80422 20 092 17 107 15 090 17 097 80422 76349 14 119 11 123 8 100 14 094 76349 72732 8 100 7 155 5 087 9 068 72732 69454 5 117 7 140 2 091 5 048 69454 66449 1 174 2 234 4 244 4 311 66449 63674 11 275 9 270 11 244 11 249 63674 60990 22 262 23 270 16 271 12 276 60990 58187 23 259 26 265 22 275 17 275 58187 55270 22 267 19 270 21 267 18 287 55270 52473 19 275 20 275 22 286 28 288 52473 49945 20 279 18 281 23 296 20 319 49945 47676 22 288 22 294 18 301 25 319 47676 45634 17 274 16 281 14 342 20 342 45634 43786 11 359 19 343 19 017 14 009 43786 42092 13 359 23 028 25 020 30 029 42092 40526 21 044 41 037 44 026 42 032 40526 39070 42 042 56 028 56 027 52 036 39070 37710 48 039 59 028 55 029 58 037 37710 36409 50 043 55 032 50 035 58 036 36409 35099 44 043 50 039 46 038 56 035 35099 33755 38 045 50 046 49 037 51 030 33755 32381 34 040 53 046 54 037 45 027 32381 30963 26 034 48 037 49 037 40 027 30963 29492 23 041 37 032 44 047 35 034 29492 27966 21 047 29 037 36 042 32 047 27966 26383 19 052 27 039 32 035 30 046 26383 24748 18 055 27 039 28 034 29 030 24748 23068 20 054 28 040 26 033 28 031 23068 21341 19 051 25 040 24 028 23 032 21341 19565 15 045 18 029 19*020 17 022 19565 17771 12 027 14*005 14*002 11 009 17771 16045 12*017 14*359 13 353 8 355 16045 14465 10*004 13 349 12 347 10 344 14465 13050 9 347 10 337 11 343 10 336 13050 11778 7 332 9 325 10 334 10 331 11778 10633 7 329 7 309 10 327 10 328 10633 9600 6 323 6 296 10 320 10 325 9600 8672 5 319 5 281 10 314 10 322 8672 7842 5 314 5 266 9 309 10 319 7842 7097 4 308 4 253 9 306 10 317 7097 6422 4 303 4 241 9 302 10 314 6422 5818 3 295 4 230 9 299 10 312 5818 5307 3 288 3 219 9 297 9 308 5307 4911 3 283 3 213 8 295 9 305 4911 4637 3 276 3 209 8 294 7 301 4637 4470 3 277 3 206 8 293 6*299 4470 4374 2 274 3 207 7 292 5*300 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography