DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.9 - - 67.4 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 61 - - 2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2166 - - 1000 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2761 - - 1595 - - 849 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1968 - - 2393 - - 3711 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 223 - - 79 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 221 - - 173 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1153 - - 476 - - -92 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1608 - - 1120 - - 941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 532 - - -151 - - -828 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2229 - - 1746 - - 1677 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 800 - - 420 - - 1010 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.9 - - 67.4 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.4 - - 64.0 - - 65.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 67.7 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.4 - - 63.5 - - 65.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 61 - - 2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2166 - - 1000 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98357 22 093 20 089 18 099 98357 90979 17 101 20 102 15 067 90979 85303 21 086 16 119 16 075 85303 80587 16 092 17 109 14 100 80587 76529 13 113 13 106 11 111 76529 72922 9 153 11 130 6 116 72922 69641 14 157 13 179 3 173 69641 66626 9 173 10 175 4 186 66626 63826 12 240 12 233 14 206 63826 61123 20 248 17 252 17 231 61123 58305 29 243 17 247 16 255 58305 55354 34 261 32 256 31 257 55354 52515 41 255 39 252 42 255 52515 49956 44 252 47 251 51 260 49956 47664 46 257 48 247 61 254 47664 45594 49 249 50 246 61 243 45594 43715 42 238 53 248 49 238 43715 41996 39 253 52 253 49 252 41996 40420 51 258 56 257 72 255 40420 38969 51 249 61 252 84 253 38969 37612 52 246 59 238 101 250 37612 36295 55 245 51 237 94 252 36295 34948 53 246 49 239 93 254 34948 33545 49 247 49 237 69 254 33545 32091 50 243 49 244 59 243 32091 30571 51 243 51 253 59 230 30571 28970 48 245 51 258 58 226 28970 27286 47 248 43 255 55 229 27286 25522 48 248 35 250 45 237 25522 23679 49 249 29 251 40 245 23679 21760 46 248 32 248 33 247 21760 19760 41 249 35 250 29 256 19760 17679 36 246 33 252 29 263 17679 15559 36 243 27 257 29 268 15559 13516 33 250 27 257 30 265 13516 11657 35 255 25 263 30 262 11657 10005 36 253 24 266 30 264 10005 8540 34 252 23 261 24 268 8540 7241 28 249 23 255 19 265 7241 6086 23 248 22 249 17 261 6086 5065 17 242 20 243 16 258 5065 4168 15 228 16 232 15 253 4168 3376 15*222 13 219 15 251 3376 2666 14*221 11 206 15 250 2666 2040 14 221 9*196 14 247 2040 1516 13 221 8*179 13 242 1516 1114 12 221 7 174 12*238 1114 838 11 221 7 170 10*235 838 670 10 221 6 169 8 233 670 574 8 221 5 168 5 231 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography