DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 55.9 - - 56.1 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 181 - - 61 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4435 - - 5885 - - 5090 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11861 - - 13031 - - 11766 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13445 - - 14895 - - 14100 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1403 - - 1406 - - 2082 - - 5655 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 403 - - 461 - - 316 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 313 - - 340 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 9 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -17 - - -25 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3508 - - 4205 - - 4038 - - -350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9937 - - 10690 - - 10062 - - 7513 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1665 - - 284 - - -768 - - -5987 ODpotential blCL - - - 15110 - - 14611 - - 14868 - - 13150 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 67 - - 67 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 40 - - 190 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 55.9 - - 56.1 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 33.8 - - 36.7 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 58.4 - - 59.2 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 32.6 - - 35.5 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 181 - - 61 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4435 - - 5885 - - 5090 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98697 15 140 20 118 16 117 20 102 98697 91189 16 154 13 155 9 119 15 114 91189 85349 13 154 12 187 3 210 12 109 85349 80504 8 124 6 184 3 218 2 071 80504 76362 6 120 4 219 7 247 4 309 76362 72707 3 124 3 274 3 238 4 280 72707 69393 4 255 4 227 5 237 8 275 69393 66351 6 285 5 295 6 309 7 281 66351 63528 9 266 9 267 12 304 9 290 63528 60790 10 310 9 287 14 310 11 286 60790 57928 14 303 14 282 16 304 15 304 57928 54964 14 319 16 312 21 303 28 307 54964 52149 23 328 21 329 21 312 22 312 52149 49620 26 324 28 333 22 340 21 337 49620 47362 25 330 30 335 33 343 29 342 47362 45333 26 339 30 335 33 341 37 353 45333 43496 33 347 27 343 46 357 53 354 43496 41828 41 357 48 005 65 000 66 358 41828 40300 54 006 69 005 75 003 76 002 40300 38874 66 008 83 011 83 005 79 003 38874 37535 67 008 87 011 79 002 75 000 37535 36257 61 009 79 009 71 002 66 356 36257 34981 59 011 70 008 65 003 60 353 34981 33679 61 010 56 006 59 002 58 354 33679 32357 62 009 51 003 54 000 56 356 32357 31003 54 009 49 002 50 358 53 357 31003 29611 46 012 43 360 46 355 49 355 29611 28183 42 009 35 357 42 352 47 353 28183 26724 39 006 31 356 39 351 46 352 26724 25239 37 004 30 355 34 348 41 352 25239 23731 36 002 29 352 30 345 35 351 23731 22195 34 001 29 350 27 346 29 348 22195 20628 32 002 28 351 25 349 26 345 20628 19055 29 006 25 352 24 353 23 345 19055 17551 25 009 21 355 22 356 20 349 17551 16185 20 012 15 358 18 001 16 353 16185 14961 16 014 9*356 12*010 11 358 14961 13859 11*009 6*337 10*016 9 007 13859 12859 8*346 6 315 9 014 9 017 12859 11951 6 316 6 309 8 006 9 016 11951 11125 6 304 6 308 8 349 10 007 11125 10379 6 301 7 309 9 330 13 356 10379 9703 6 299 7 310 10 325 16 346 9703 9083 5 296 7 310 10 320 18 338 9083 8522 5 295 7 311 10 319 19 332 8522 8045 5 294 7 312 10 318 18 327 8045 7673 5 292 7 312 10 318 15 324 7673 7413 4 292 7 314 9 318 12 323 7413 7254 4 291 6 313 8 317 9*322 7254 7162 4 290 5 314 7 317 4*325 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography