DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 86.1 - - 89.0 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 373 - - 177 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1685 - - 3009 - - 3331 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1047 - - 2088 - - 2046 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1791 - - 3116 - - 3438 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 522 - - 1095 - - 1658 - - 1641 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 423 - - 344 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 176 - - 170 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3240 - - -4477 - - -5202 - - -4925 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5031 - - 7593 - - 8640 - - 5048 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9275 - - -8107 - - -8889 - - -9605 ODpotential blCL - - - 11066 - - 11223 - - 12327 - - 9728 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 46 - - 41 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 86.1 - - 89.0 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 53.3 - - 51.5 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 83.7 - - 87.7 - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.7 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 373 - - 177 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1685 - - 3009 - - 3331 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98497 22 106 18 112 23 090 28 108 98497 91061 20 126 11 126 15 089 22 108 91061 85287 11 141 13 145 10 149 12 089 85287 80488 8 152 10 115 13 157 7 117 80488 76348 4 121 5 088 7 109 4 146 76348 72695 2 070 5 134 4 043 5 353 72695 69410 3 334 6 304 8 354 2 009 69410 66405 4 300 15 314 15 336 10 026 66405 63632 6 338 14 302 19 315 14 350 63632 60960 8 322 10 322 14 312 15 318 60960 58179 10 330 13 339 12 325 13 302 58179 55291 15 322 15 323 14 324 14 302 55291 52538 15 309 17 309 18 316 14 311 52538 50067 16 345 15 312 19 314 17 313 50067 47856 22 001 16 344 16 342 13 334 47856 45858 26 009 19 358 17 357 13 353 45858 44042 26 018 21 016 14 004 12 360 44042 42376 25 026 25 028 13 012 9 005 42376 40827 26 031 28 032 15 017 8 014 40827 39373 27 030 29 034 16 016 8 006 39373 37998 26 027 28 034 16 012 8 339 37998 36664 25 025 26 034 15 010 9 321 36664 35304 25 022 23 036 12 007 11 305 35304 33890 25 018 20 033 10 348 16 295 33890 32421 23 015 18 026 11 323 17 293 32421 30881 21 008 18 017 12 314 18 302 30881 29257 19 002 16 011 13 319 17 305 29257 27550 17 356 16 003 13 328 18 306 27550 25757 14 359 15 356 14 327 19 306 25757 23878 13 007 12 347 13 321 19 304 23878 21918 12 010 10 334 12 315 18 306 21918 19873 13 009 11 328 13 316 16 305 19873 17738 12 004 9 332 12 315 15 299 17738 15560 8 340 7 319 10 305 13 293 15560 13461 6 297 6 292 9 291 11 282 13461 11551 6 288 5 272 8 281 9 270 11551 9854 7 291 5 250 7 269 7 266 9854 8344 7 290 5 246 6 259 6 272 8344 6999 7 290 6 263 6 258 6 277 6999 5804 7 299 7 278 7 265 5 269 5804 4746 7 320 6 280 7 253 4 247 4746 3817 7 333 6*230 8*199 6 235 3817 2997 4 308 8*187 9*187 7 227 2997 2267 3*227 8 182 11 173 9 226 2267 1622 4*170 8 176 12 169 11 223 1622 1085 5 156 8 173 12 168 12 210 1085 674 5 153 8 170 12 166 13 194 674 392 5 152 8 169 12 165 13 181 392 221 4 151 8 168 11 165 11 172 221 123 4 151 7 168 10 164 8*167 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography