AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: NOV 2002 AVENAL 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 45.4 46.6 51.5 56.3 60.6 62.7 64.9 66.3 65.7 63.8 60.8 58.2 55.5 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 46.8 51.3 55.7 59.4 61.5 63.7 65.3 65.1 63.7 61.1 58.6 56.0 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -24 -11 23 80 153 174 151 129 71 9 -8 -7 -13 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 16 19 158 525 997 1300 1358 1584 1324 678 16 16 16 BLDepth Hcrit 794 794 794 818 1129 1313 1325 1360 1190 794 794 794 794 Hcrit BLTop 810 813 952 1319 1791 2094 2152 2377 2118 1472 810 810 810 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 321 559 1050 1265 1443 1361 1742 2002 2103 2370 2301 1807 1255 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 4 51 122 201 228 221 219 162 59 0 0 0 W* B/S 0 0 2 9 13 17 13 11 8 2 0 0 0 B/S BLWind 6.3 5.3 3.9 2.3 0.8 0.8 0.5 2.1 2.2 1.8 0.3 2.1 4.0 BLWind Direction 253 257 271 270 305 345 264 352 3 5 336 251 249 Direction Max.Converg -6 -5 -3 0 2 3 2 6 5 2 0 -2 -4 Max.Converg maxRH 54 58 59 57 55 54 47 49 47 46 45 48 52 maxRH CLOUDpotent -12146 -11911 -11486 -10800 -10122 -9761 -10319 -9353 -9724 -10227 -10680 -10598 -10294 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 12958 12725 12440 12121 11914 11856 12473 11732 11844 11701 11492 11410 11106 sfcLCL ODpotential -12146 -11911 -11504 -10888 -10269 -9973 -10591 -9612 -9915 -10452 -10680 -10598 -10294 ODpotential blCL 12958 12726 12458 12209 12061 12068 12745 11992 12034 11927 11492 11410 11106 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30333 25 297 23 297 23 298 25 292 22 297 21 299 21 299 19 296 19 297 20 298 21 300 22 302 21 304 30333 27477 21 300 20 297 21 300 22 294 20 297 17 304 17 300 17 299 18 302 18 299 19 299 19 301 19 302 27477 25050 19 300 18 301 19 303 20 297 18 301 16 302 16 300 16 303 16 303 17 301 17 300 18 300 17 301 25050 22843 19 301 16 301 17 304 17 295 16 297 15 299 15 299 15 303 15 303 15 302 15 300 15 298 15 299 22843 20756 17 302 15 301 16 305 16 294 15 296 15 299 15 298 15 305 15 309 14 303 15 300 14 296 14 295 20756 18790 14 300 14 299 15 303 15 295 14 296 14 301 14 299 14 307 14 308 12 302 14 299 13 293 13 291 18790 16897 14 299 13 296 14 299 13 295 12 295 12 300 13 299 12 302 12 300 12 299 12 296 12 297 12 296 16897 14975 13 299 12 293 13 298 11 300 10 300 10 298 11 299 11 298 11 295 10 295 12 291 12 293 11 292 14975 13300 13 299 12 292 12 296 10 302 9 301 10 297 10 296 10 298 10 296 10 294 11 293 11 292 11 291 13300 11901 12 300 11 294 11 297 10 300 10 297 10 295 10 295 10 297 10 295 9 294 10 295 10 292 9 291 11901 10671 11 301 10 297 10 300 10 298 9 295 9 295 9 295 10 298 9 297 8 296 9 296 9 294 8 294 10671 9661 10 304 9 304 9 304 8 300 8 297 8 300 8 297 9 302 8 299 7 299 8 297 7 298 7 296 9661 8932 9 306 8 307 8 306 7 303 7 302 7 303 7 302 7 302 7 301 6 298 6 297 6 303 5 299 8932 8214 7 307 7 307 7 308 6 303 7 304 6 303 5 302 6 301 6 300 5 299 5 294 4 302 4 296 8214 7632 6 305 6 307 6 307 5 301 6 303 5 301 4 298 5 301 5 298 4 299 5 292 3 301 3 293 7632 7074 5 303 5 305 4 307 4 296 5 299 4 299 4 292 5 297 4 298 4 295 4 291 2 297 2 277 7074 6548 4 299 4 305 3 309 3 289 4 293 4 293 3 283 4 291 3 295 3 294 3 291 2 292 1 246 6548 6055 3 293 3 304 2 309 2 275 3 284 3 286 3 271 3 283 3 288 3 293 3 295 1 285 1 229 6055 5569 2 273 2 291 1 291 2 245 2 266 2 268 2 247 2 273 2 279 2 289 3 301 1 291 1 218 5569 5091 1 236 1 257 1 219 2 209 2 233 2 235 3 222 2 255 1 261 2 281 3 307 1 306 1 223 5091 4619 1 192 1 190 1 169 2 178 2 200 2 205 3 202 2 246 2 250 2 278 3 309 1 323 1 271 4619 4154 2 165 1 149 2 154 3 155 3 181 3 189 4 193 2 244 2 251 2 279 3 309 2 328 1 334 4154 3696 3 155 2 140 3 144 3 143 4 172 3 185 4 188 2 247 3 258 3 283 3 312 3 335 2 349 3696 3245 3 150 3 136 3 140 4 136 4 166 3 185 4 188 3 255 3 260 3 286 4 313 3 340 3 353 3245 2801 3 143 3 130 3 135 4 131 3 167 3 187 5 189 3 261 2 259 3 285 4 314 4 338 4 350 2801 2363 3 135 3 118 3 130 3 133 3 174 3 188 5 191 2 271 2 273 3 292 4 314 4 340 4 349 2363 1931 2 119 2 103 2 124 3 147 3 183 3 197 3 204 2 305 2 305 3 301 4 320 4 342 4 351 1931 1506 0 106 1 44 0 150 2 194 2 202 1 250 2 222 2 349 2 342 2 318 3 324 3 347 3 352 1506 1226 1 280 1 308 1 258 3 226 1 223 0 23 1 201 2 21 2 12 2 339 2 337 2 358 2 353 1226 1017 3 277 3 275 3 262 3 249 1 240 1 52 0 116 2 32 2 30 1 359 2 2 2 21 1 290 1017 879 7 266 7 270 5 267 3 258 0 274 1 59 1 88 2 37 2 33 1 23 1 25 0 29 3 246 879 810 6 253 5 256 3 267 2 261 0 40 1 59 1 78 2 43 2 38 1 29 0 336 2 251 4 249 810 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30333 30 32 35 40 39 41 39 38 34 35 33 33 33 30333 27477 31 35 39 38 39 39 39 39 39 38 36 35 35 27477 25050 36 37 41 34 37 39 39 43 42 41 38 37 36 25050 22843 37 37 39 33 36 38 39 43 42 42 42 40 39 22843 20756 36 37 38 32 35 36 36 39 40 42 41 39 37 20756 18790 34 33 35 30 31 31 32 35 36 38 39 37 36 18790 16897 32 31 33 27 27 29 28 31 32 34 36 35 34 16897 14975 32 33 33 26 27 28 26 31 30 30 32 33 31 14975 13300 33 35 35 28 29 31 28 31 32 31 31 32 31 13300 11901 33 34 35 31 31 32 30 33 33 32 33 33 32 11901 10671 32 32 33 29 30 31 30 32 33 32 34 33 31 10671 9661 32 32 33 30 30 30 30 31 31 30 33 32 30 9661 8932 32 32 33 30 30 30 30 30 30 29 30 31 30 8932 8214 30 31 32 30 30 30 30 29 29 29 30 29 29 8214 7632 30 30 31 30 30 30 30 29 29 29 30 29 29 7632 7074 30 30 30 29 29 29 29 29 29 30 31 30 30 7074 6548 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 29 30 31 30 31 6548 6055 29 30 31 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 31 31 32 6055 5569 29 31 31 31 31 30 30 31 30 31 32 31 32 5569 5091 30 31 32 31 31 31 30 31 31 32 32 32 33 5091 4619 31 32 33 33 33 32 30 33 32 32 33 33 34 4619 4154 32 33 34 34 34 34 31 33 32 33 33 34 35 4154 3696 34 35 37 36 36 36 32 35 34 33 34 35 36 3696 3245 36 38 39 39 39 39 35 37 36 35 36 36 38 3245 2801 40 41 42 42 42 42 37 40 38 38 38 38 40 2801 2363 43 45 45 45 46 46 40 43 41 41 41 41 43 2363 1931 46 48 49 49 50 49 43 45 43 43 43 44 46 1931 1506 49 52 53 53 52 50 43 45 44 44 44 46 47 1506 1226 50 54 55 54 52 49 43 43 43 44 44 46 49 1226 1017 51 55 56 53 51 48 42 42 42 43 44 47 50 1017 879 54 58 57 54 50 47 41 41 41 42 45 48 52 879 810 72 70 60 53 48 45 40 40 40 42 47 52 58 810 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography