AVERAGE BASED ON 29 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: SEP 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 60.2 67.6 73.4 78.0 80.7 82.6 85.4 85.5 85.1 84.0 81.3 76.3 72.0 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 67.0 72.0 75.9 78.2 79.7 82.4 82.9 82.9 82.5 80.6 76.4 72.2 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -4 69 198 316 406 466 485 434 342 225 87 -7 -14 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 25 341 1048 2319 3695 4996 6399 6852 6801 6385 5020 455 73 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2573 2944 3971 5111 6194 7335 7652 7497 6952 5239 2573 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2598 2914 3621 4892 6268 7568 8972 9425 9374 8958 7593 3028 2646 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 196 1171 2430 3795 4115 3791 3473 3072 3019 3127 3436 5767 3422 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 110 236 362 459 536 590 582 535 454 297 29 5 W* B/S 0 4 8 22 27 32 25 27 31 22 10 0 0 B/S BLWind 3.2 4.9 4.7 2.6 2.0 1.4 2.3 2.4 3.2 4.3 6.5 5.7 5.2 BLWind Direction 310 359 7 12 10 319 298 302 304 311 325 319 317 Direction Max.Converg -8 -4 0 9 20 40 60 67 71 62 48 2 -3 Max.Converg maxRH 38 38 35 35 38 41 43 41 42 42 39 28 30 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13208 -12381 -12150 -11449 -9751 -7862 -7158 -7063 -7108 -7875 -9194 -13285 -13108 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 15808 15297 15773 16342 16021 15432 16131 16490 16483 16835 16789 16315 15756 sfcLCL ODpotential -13200 -12537 -12601 -11862 -10307 -8788 -8199 -8017 -7871 -8332 -9444 -13302 -13113 ODpotential blCL 15799 15453 16224 16756 16577 16358 17173 17444 17247 17292 17039 16332 15760 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 22688 14 281 13 281 12 284 12 276 12 281 11 273 11 267 10 278 11 267 12 262 11 259 12 260 12 260 22688 19893 13 277 12 272 11 271 12 268 10 272 11 262 11 259 9 271 9 267 10 260 10 257 11 258 11 259 19893 18013 12 275 11 266 11 262 12 262 9 263 10 255 10 250 8 262 9 260 10 260 8 254 10 258 10 260 18013 16399 10 267 9 259 9 253 11 258 8 252 11 247 11 247 8 252 8 253 9 257 8 249 9 254 9 260 16399 15081 10 258 8 249 8 244 10 246 8 244 11 240 10 240 8 244 8 243 8 243 8 242 7 248 7 257 15081 14146 8 253 8 242 9 239 9 239 8 237 11 233 10 234 8 237 9 237 8 237 8 235 7 242 6 251 14146 13395 8 247 8 235 8 235 9 237 8 231 10 227 11 227 9 229 9 234 8 236 8 233 7 236 6 247 13395 12706 8 244 8 229 8 230 9 233 9 228 10 227 10 226 9 227 9 235 8 234 8 231 7 232 6 244 12706 12001 8 242 8 227 8 227 8 231 8 226 10 224 10 225 8 226 8 232 7 230 7 228 7 229 6 244 12001 11345 8 243 7 226 8 226 8 230 7 222 9 222 9 226 8 227 8 231 6 226 7 226 6 226 5 239 11345 10825 8 242 7 226 7 223 8 231 7 219 9 218 9 225 7 227 7 231 6 223 6 222 6 220 4 231 10825 10328 7 241 6 227 7 222 8 232 7 216 8 216 8 227 6 229 6 232 5 222 5 219 6 217 4 223 10328 9839 7 239 6 228 6 222 7 232 6 213 7 215 7 229 5 233 5 236 5 227 5 222 5 215 4 220 9839 9358 6 237 6 229 6 222 7 231 6 210 7 216 6 233 4 246 5 245 4 235 4 229 5 217 4 218 9358 8884 6 235 5 230 5 224 6 230 5 209 6 218 5 239 4 257 4 255 4 243 3 241 4 220 4 214 8884 8417 5 234 4 233 4 228 5 230 5 209 6 222 4 245 4 266 4 268 4 257 3 259 3 230 3 210 8417 7955 4 235 3 235 4 231 4 230 4 213 5 227 4 251 4 276 3 280 4 269 3 282 3 244 3 210 7955 7501 4 234 3 239 3 234 3 232 4 218 5 235 4 262 4 286 3 291 4 278 3 299 2 272 1 211 7501 7051 3 230 2 248 3 245 2 243 3 227 5 243 4 270 4 297 4 300 4 289 4 312 2 301 0 278 7051 6608 3 224 2 259 2 258 2 258 2 244 4 254 4 281 4 305 4 304 5 300 5 320 3 321 1 354 6608 6170 2 216 1 279 1 286 2 269 2 270 4 265 4 290 4 311 4 308 5 306 6 324 4 331 3 360 6170 5738 2 199 1 317 1 338 1 286 2 299 3 278 3 302 4 320 4 316 5 313 7 328 6 335 4 1 5738 5311 1 165 1 8 2 14 1 305 2 331 2 295 3 318 4 328 4 322 6 318 7 330 7 337 6 0 5311 4889 1 115 2 22 3 22 1 357 2 357 2 323 3 330 4 335 4 328 6 322 8 329 8 335 7 357 4889 4471 2 80 3 28 4 21 2 20 2 11 2 354 3 339 4 341 4 333 5 323 8 329 8 333 9 353 4471 4059 2 51 4 27 5 19 2 17 3 16 3 8 3 350 4 346 4 336 5 324 8 328 9 331 10 348 4059 3651 4 32 5 23 6 12 3 21 3 21 3 15 3 357 4 351 4 338 5 325 8 326 9 327 11 341 3651 3249 5 18 7 17 6 9 3 22 4 25 4 22 3 3 3 356 4 342 5 325 8 327 9 326 11 333 3249 2984 6 7 6 11 5 7 3 25 3 28 4 24 3 5 3 357 3 343 5 327 7 326 8 326 10 330 2984 2786 6 357 5 6 4 8 3 30 3 30 3 27 3 10 3 359 3 344 5 327 7 326 8 324 9 327 2786 2655 5 336 4 359 4 7 3 33 3 32 3 29 3 11 3 0 3 345 4 328 6 326 6 323 7 323 2655 2589 3 309 4 357 3 9 2 36 3 37 3 32 2 16 3 5 3 348 4 329 5 326 5 322 5 318 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 22688 21 21 20 20 18 18 19 18 18 20 18 19 19 22688 19893 20 22 22 22 17 19 21 18 19 21 21 22 21 19893 18013 20 23 23 22 18 20 23 18 19 22 22 23 22 18013 16399 23 26 26 25 22 24 25 21 23 24 24 25 24 16399 15081 25 28 27 26 24 26 26 22 24 25 24 25 24 15081 14146 27 30 29 26 23 26 25 22 23 24 24 24 23 14146 13395 28 31 29 28 20 23 25 22 23 23 23 22 23 13395 12706 29 30 28 29 20 23 25 22 24 25 24 22 23 12706 12001 28 29 27 29 20 23 24 22 24 24 23 21 22 12001 11345 28 29 27 28 20 22 23 21 23 24 23 21 22 11345 10825 27 28 27 27 20 22 23 22 24 24 23 21 22 10825 10328 26 28 26 27 21 22 24 23 25 25 24 22 22 10328 9839 26 27 26 26 21 23 24 25 27 26 25 22 22 9839 9358 25 27 25 26 21 24 25 26 28 27 26 23 23 9358 8884 25 26 25 25 21 25 27 26 27 27 27 24 23 8884 8417 25 26 25 25 21 26 28 26 28 28 28 25 24 8417 7955 25 26 25 25 22 26 29 28 31 29 28 26 25 7955 7501 25 27 25 25 23 28 31 29 31 31 29 29 25 7501 7051 25 27 26 25 25 29 32 31 31 31 30 29 26 7051 6608 25 27 26 26 26 30 33 32 32 31 29 30 28 6608 6170 26 28 27 26 26 32 32 31 32 30 29 30 29 6170 5738 26 28 27 27 27 33 33 32 31 30 29 30 30 5738 5311 26 28 27 28 29 33 32 31 30 29 28 30 30 5311 4889 27 29 28 29 30 33 31 29 28 27 28 30 30 4889 4471 27 30 29 31 32 33 29 28 27 26 27 29 30 4471 4059 28 31 30 32 32 32 28 26 26 25 26 29 29 4059 3651 29 32 32 31 31 30 26 25 24 24 25 29 30 3651 3249 30 34 33 30 29 29 25 24 23 22 24 28 31 3249 2984 32 36 33 29 28 28 24 23 22 22 23 27 31 2984 2786 33 37 32 28 27 27 23 22 21 21 22 26 30 2786 2655 38 37 31 27 27 26 22 21 21 20 22 26 30 2655 2589 46 38 30 26 25 24 21 20 20 19 21 26 31 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography