AVERAGE BASED ON 21 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: JUL 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 56.0 61.7 68.2 73.0 76.5 79.0 79.8 79.1 77.1 74.5 68.8 63.9 60.7 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 60.3 66.1 70.5 73.6 75.9 76.8 76.3 74.6 72.5 67.2 63.0 60.3 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 66 186 339 456 548 625 650 607 539 421 297 160 46 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 374 687 1007 1267 1430 1549 1448 1344 1211 1114 907 758 635 BLDepth Hcrit 978 1028 1454 1703 1857 1969 1899 1809 1691 1575 1341 978 978 Hcrit BLTop 1352 1665 1985 2245 2408 2527 2426 2322 2189 2092 1885 1736 1613 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 491 521 585 716 897 1094 1126 963 427 509 421 425 422 Hgt.Variab. W* 113 201 281 336 371 398 395 377 350 313 260 199 123 W* B/S 6 10 11 9 8 7 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 B/S BLWind 3.9 4.0 4.9 7.0 9.6 11.6 13.4 14.1 15.0 15.0 14.1 12.2 10.3 BLWind Direction 205 230 243 253 257 259 262 261 261 262 258 255 251 Direction Max.Converg 1 2 4 6 9 10 11 11 11 12 10 8 6 Max.Converg maxRH 77 68 56 49 49 46 40 42 43 45 51 57 64 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13447 -13105 -13227 -13129 -12291 -12223 -13094 -13031 -13485 -13422 -13973 -14093 -13838 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 14800 14772 15214 15376 14701 14752 15522 15355 15677 15516 15859 15831 15453 sfcLCL ODpotential -13470 -13176 -13400 -13377 -12412 -12457 -13294 -13199 -13597 -13617 -14032 -14138 -13877 ODpotential blCL 14823 14843 15387 15624 14822 14986 15722 15523 15789 15711 15919 15876 15491 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 19891 14 217 13 218 14 220 14 218 13 213 14 214 14 215 11 209 9 207 13 205 12 198 14 195 13 201 19891 17291 13 210 12 216 13 220 12 218 11 209 12 210 11 209 8 209 7 211 11 205 10 192 11 193 10 194 17291 15555 12 204 11 214 12 216 10 215 10 205 11 207 10 210 7 213 5 212 10 206 9 193 10 196 9 192 15555 14400 10 201 10 211 11 218 9 210 9 201 10 205 9 208 7 219 6 218 9 203 9 191 10 195 9 190 14400 13524 9 198 9 206 10 215 8 206 8 200 9 207 8 206 6 215 6 216 8 202 8 193 10 198 8 192 13524 12875 8 196 9 202 10 211 8 202 8 197 9 205 8 205 6 213 6 210 8 200 8 195 10 200 8 194 12875 12276 8 194 9 201 9 207 8 199 9 196 9 205 8 203 6 208 6 204 8 200 8 197 10 201 8 196 12276 11687 8 197 9 202 9 207 8 198 9 196 9 204 8 204 6 206 6 203 8 202 7 197 9 202 8 198 11687 11108 7 199 8 205 9 209 8 198 9 196 9 203 8 203 6 205 6 205 8 205 7 201 8 205 8 200 11108 10539 7 201 8 206 8 210 8 201 8 197 8 202 7 202 5 203 5 208 7 209 6 206 7 208 7 203 10539 9979 7 204 7 209 7 212 7 204 7 198 8 203 7 203 5 197 5 210 7 209 6 210 7 209 6 205 9979 9428 7 203 6 208 7 210 7 206 5 199 7 201 6 203 4 186 4 210 6 209 5 211 7 210 6 207 9428 8885 6 201 5 205 6 207 6 208 5 195 6 198 6 202 4 178 3 204 6 209 5 209 6 208 5 206 8885 8352 6 201 4 202 5 200 6 208 5 188 5 195 5 200 3 166 3 201 5 208 5 207 6 205 5 204 8352 7826 5 201 4 205 4 201 5 208 4 183 5 190 5 198 3 165 3 204 5 209 5 205 6 207 5 203 7826 7309 5 206 3 214 4 207 4 211 4 178 4 189 5 195 2 167 3 208 5 209 4 208 5 207 4 200 7309 6799 4 210 3 223 4 214 4 215 4 179 4 191 5 195 2 168 2 212 4 212 4 208 4 210 4 200 6799 6297 4 215 3 230 4 222 4 224 3 186 4 193 4 195 1 164 2 224 3 212 3 214 4 210 4 203 6297 5802 3 216 3 236 4 228 3 232 2 197 4 198 4 199 1 179 1 246 3 217 3 216 4 210 3 209 5802 5315 3 219 2 240 3 232 3 241 3 219 4 208 4 203 1 314 2 286 2 235 2 233 3 218 3 223 5315 4834 3 226 2 251 3 240 3 248 3 234 3 223 4 212 2 318 2 310 3 258 3 254 3 233 4 242 4834 4361 3 242 2 271 3 248 3 255 3 248 3 241 3 222 3 316 3 307 4 274 4 270 4 249 5 258 4361 3893 3 255 2 282 3 256 3 259 4 256 4 253 3 239 4 311 5 304 5 282 5 277 5 264 7 270 3893 3432 4 260 3 281 3 259 4 258 4 260 4 263 4 254 6 303 6 294 8 285 8 278 8 272 9 277 3432 2976 5 263 4 277 3 256 4 253 4 264 4 267 5 266 7 292 8 287 10 285 11 279 11 276 12 281 2976 2529 7 263 4 272 4 255 5 252 5 265 6 262 8 267 9 279 11 279 13 281 14 277 13 276 14 281 2529 2095 7 263 5 267 4 255 6 251 9 258 11 260 13 264 13 264 14 267 15 271 15 272 15 274 14 280 2095 1679 6 256 4 256 5 242 8 254 10 258 12 260 14 262 15 260 16 261 16 262 15 260 13 259 12 262 1679 1406 4 236 4 229 5 244 8 255 10 258 13 259 14 262 15 260 16 260 16 260 14 257 13 254 11 251 1406 1200 4 208 4 227 5 245 7 255 10 258 12 259 14 261 14 259 15 259 15 259 14 256 12 252 10 247 1200 1063 4 203 4 229 5 247 7 256 10 259 12 259 13 261 14 259 14 258 14 259 13 255 11 252 9 246 1063 994 3 204 3 230 4 248 7 256 9 259 11 259 12 261 13 259 13 259 13 258 12 255 9 252 8 245 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 19891 26 23 23 22 18 19 20 22 20 21 21 21 20 19891 17291 27 28 26 23 21 24 23 26 25 26 26 26 25 17291 15555 28 30 28 23 22 25 22 26 23 25 25 26 25 15555 14400 29 29 27 22 22 23 20 23 20 24 23 24 23 14400 13524 26 27 25 21 20 20 18 20 18 21 21 21 21 13524 12875 24 25 23 20 18 18 17 18 17 19 19 20 19 12875 12276 23 23 22 19 16 16 16 17 16 18 18 18 18 12276 11687 22 22 21 18 15 15 15 16 15 17 16 17 17 11687 11108 21 21 20 17 14 15 14 16 14 15 15 16 16 11108 10539 20 20 19 17 14 14 13 15 14 14 15 15 15 10539 9979 20 20 19 16 14 14 13 15 13 14 14 15 14 9979 9428 20 20 19 16 14 14 13 16 13 13 14 15 14 9428 8885 19 20 20 16 14 15 13 17 14 13 14 15 14 8885 8352 19 21 20 16 15 16 14 18 15 14 14 15 14 8352 7826 20 21 20 16 16 18 14 19 17 14 15 16 15 7826 7309 20 21 21 16 17 19 15 20 18 15 15 16 15 7309 6799 20 20 21 17 19 20 16 21 19 16 16 17 16 6799 6297 20 20 21 17 19 21 17 22 21 17 17 17 17 6297 5802 20 21 21 17 20 22 18 23 22 18 18 18 18 5802 5315 20 21 21 18 21 23 19 24 23 19 19 19 19 5315 4834 20 21 22 19 22 23 20 24 23 20 20 20 20 4834 4361 20 22 22 20 24 24 21 25 24 20 20 20 20 4361 3893 21 23 23 21 25 26 22 26 24 21 20 21 20 3893 3432 23 25 25 23 28 29 24 27 25 22 21 22 22 3432 2976 27 30 29 27 32 32 26 29 27 24 24 25 26 2976 2529 34 36 34 33 38 39 31 33 30 28 30 32 33 2529 2095 46 48 46 46 48 45 40 42 42 41 43 44 45 2095 1679 64 63 55 48 46 43 39 40 42 44 51 57 63 1679 1406 74 67 54 46 44 42 37 39 40 43 49 56 63 1406 1200 75 65 52 44 43 40 36 37 39 41 47 54 61 1200 1063 74 63 51 43 42 39 35 37 38 40 46 53 60 1063 994 73 61 48 40 39 36 32 34 35 38 44 51 58 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography