AVERAGE BASED ON 29 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: SEP 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 58.8 65.7 71.8 77.6 80.4 82.1 85.3 85.6 84.9 83.6 79.9 74.5 69.9 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 65.2 70.5 75.5 78.0 79.5 82.6 83.1 82.9 82.2 79.2 74.5 70.0 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -1 50 171 304 384 445 468 419 335 222 105 4 -4 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 24 214 802 1934 3102 4062 5579 5800 5560 4633 2685 464 101 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2143 2271 3269 4205 4996 6227 6356 6062 5086 3212 2143 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2167 2357 2945 4077 5245 6205 7722 7943 7703 6776 4828 2607 2244 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 231 826 1796 3009 3610 3729 3456 3424 3463 3825 3803 3364 1537 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 82 204 336 424 490 555 541 494 398 245 49 13 W* B/S 0 5 7 21 19 29 21 21 18 14 10 1 0 B/S BLWind 2.7 0.9 3.1 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.7 7.0 10.8 9.8 7.1 BLWind Direction 210 327 350 346 333 317 294 298 303 308 310 301 292 Direction Max.Converg -4 -1 0 7 11 19 35 33 30 30 16 3 -1 Max.Converg maxRH 42 44 39 34 36 38 39 36 37 35 34 31 36 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13085 -12497 -12118 -11922 -10285 -9218 -8438 -8438 -8770 -9695 -11141 -12944 -12881 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 15253 14856 15065 16001 15532 15425 16162 16383 16474 16472 15971 15552 15127 sfcLCL ODpotential -13086 -12478 -12462 -12374 -11297 -10112 -9324 -9378 -9400 -10207 -11426 -12985 -12888 ODpotential blCL 15255 14837 15409 16453 16544 16319 17048 17323 17104 16985 16256 15593 15134 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 22745 14 283 13 284 13 286 13 276 12 285 11 272 11 265 10 276 10 264 11 257 11 254 12 259 11 262 22745 19924 13 277 12 275 11 272 12 271 10 276 11 263 11 259 9 270 10 263 11 259 10 253 12 256 11 262 19924 18076 12 273 12 265 11 260 12 261 9 263 10 254 10 251 8 262 9 260 10 260 9 256 10 258 10 259 18076 16503 10 265 10 257 10 252 11 255 8 251 10 244 10 242 8 250 8 255 9 261 8 253 9 257 9 257 16503 15116 10 254 9 245 9 242 11 246 8 244 11 238 10 236 8 243 8 244 8 249 8 251 8 254 8 256 15116 14108 9 247 9 240 9 239 10 239 9 238 11 233 11 234 8 237 8 238 8 239 8 244 7 250 7 250 14108 13313 8 244 9 235 9 234 9 237 9 233 11 227 11 227 9 229 9 234 9 236 8 241 7 245 6 245 13313 12606 8 239 8 231 9 231 9 234 9 228 11 224 11 224 9 226 9 232 9 234 8 238 7 244 6 246 12606 11891 8 237 8 229 8 229 8 234 8 224 11 223 10 222 8 226 8 230 8 228 8 235 7 242 5 247 11891 11163 8 236 7 229 7 227 7 234 8 219 10 220 10 219 8 227 8 226 8 223 7 229 6 238 4 243 11163 10577 8 236 7 228 7 225 7 235 7 218 9 217 9 218 7 223 8 222 7 219 7 223 6 232 4 235 10577 10068 7 235 6 226 7 223 7 235 6 216 8 215 8 218 7 222 7 217 7 212 6 215 5 224 4 227 10068 9567 7 232 6 223 6 221 6 234 6 214 7 214 7 218 6 219 7 215 7 209 6 211 5 219 4 221 9567 9075 6 232 5 220 6 220 6 233 6 211 7 214 7 219 5 216 6 209 6 203 5 208 5 215 4 216 9075 8589 6 229 5 218 5 220 6 230 5 210 6 215 6 217 5 213 5 205 6 199 5 204 4 212 3 213 8589 8110 5 228 4 218 4 221 5 227 5 209 6 215 6 213 4 215 4 205 5 198 4 203 4 213 3 206 8110 7638 5 229 3 219 4 220 4 224 5 209 6 216 5 213 3 225 3 213 3 207 3 203 3 213 2 201 7638 7172 4 228 2 221 3 218 3 220 4 212 6 217 4 217 2 245 2 245 2 230 1 220 2 217 1 201 7172 6712 3 225 2 231 2 225 3 220 3 215 5 220 3 233 2 270 2 287 2 271 1 293 1 235 0 349 6712 6258 3 221 1 245 2 234 2 223 3 220 4 227 3 254 3 291 3 297 2 303 2 334 1 294 1 16 6258 5810 2 216 1 275 1 258 2 224 2 231 3 240 3 278 3 307 3 309 3 318 3 339 2 332 3 15 5810 5369 1 209 1 330 1 302 1 235 1 251 3 263 3 296 4 313 4 316 4 323 5 339 3 340 4 12 5369 4932 1 198 1 10 1 350 1 244 1 301 3 292 3 311 4 319 5 320 5 324 6 336 5 341 5 6 4932 4502 0 49 2 19 2 6 1 282 1 331 3 320 4 320 5 321 6 320 7 323 7 331 6 337 6 360 4502 4075 1 24 3 20 3 7 1 341 2 346 4 330 5 325 6 324 7 321 8 321 9 325 7 332 8 353 4075 3654 2 13 4 19 5 7 2 352 3 350 4 338 6 330 6 326 8 321 9 319 10 319 9 324 9 342 3654 3236 3 4 5 15 5 2 2 348 3 347 5 344 6 333 7 327 8 321 10 316 12 312 11 314 11 327 3236 2824 4 350 5 8 4 357 2 347 4 350 5 347 6 336 7 328 8 321 10 316 13 308 12 306 12 311 2824 2556 4 333 5 358 3 350 3 348 4 351 5 349 6 336 7 328 8 322 10 316 12 307 12 304 12 301 2556 2358 3 312 2 354 3 346 2 351 4 352 5 349 6 337 7 329 8 322 10 315 11 307 11 303 10 297 2358 2225 2 245 1 324 2 345 2 350 3 351 5 350 6 337 6 329 8 322 9 315 10 307 9 302 8 294 2225 2159 3 208 1 294 2 345 2 353 3 353 4 351 5 339 6 330 7 322 8 316 8 307 7 301 6 291 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 22745 21 21 20 20 17 17 19 18 17 19 17 17 16 22745 19924 22 22 22 21 17 18 21 18 18 21 19 21 18 19924 18076 20 23 23 22 18 20 22 18 20 21 21 22 20 18076 16503 23 26 26 25 21 23 24 21 22 24 24 24 22 16503 15116 26 27 27 26 23 24 25 21 23 23 24 24 23 15116 14108 27 28 27 26 22 24 24 21 22 22 22 22 22 14108 13313 27 28 28 26 19 22 23 20 21 21 22 21 22 13313 12606 28 28 27 26 18 21 22 21 21 22 21 20 22 12606 11891 27 27 26 25 19 21 21 19 20 22 21 20 22 11891 11163 27 27 26 25 19 21 22 19 20 21 20 19 21 11163 10577 26 27 26 25 19 21 22 19 20 21 20 19 21 10577 10068 26 27 26 25 20 22 23 20 21 21 20 19 21 10068 9567 25 27 26 25 21 22 23 21 21 22 21 20 21 9567 9075 24 27 25 25 21 23 23 21 22 23 22 20 21 9075 8589 24 27 25 25 21 23 24 22 23 23 22 21 22 8589 8110 24 26 25 24 21 23 24 23 25 24 23 22 22 8110 7638 24 26 25 24 21 24 25 24 26 25 24 23 23 7638 7172 24 26 26 24 21 25 26 25 27 27 25 24 23 7172 6712 24 27 26 24 22 25 27 27 28 29 26 26 24 6712 6258 24 27 26 24 22 26 29 29 30 29 26 27 25 6258 5810 25 27 26 25 22 27 30 30 31 29 27 27 26 5810 5369 25 27 26 26 24 29 30 31 31 29 27 28 27 5369 4932 26 27 26 26 26 31 31 30 30 28 28 28 28 4932 4502 26 27 27 27 27 33 31 29 29 27 28 28 28 4502 4075 27 28 28 29 30 33 30 28 28 27 27 28 28 4075 3654 28 30 29 30 32 32 28 27 27 26 27 28 28 3654 3236 29 32 32 32 32 31 27 25 25 25 27 29 28 3236 2824 31 35 36 31 30 29 25 24 24 24 27 31 32 2824 2556 34 38 37 30 29 28 24 23 23 23 26 31 35 2556 2358 38 41 37 29 28 27 23 22 22 22 25 30 35 2358 2225 42 42 36 29 28 27 23 22 22 21 25 29 35 2225 2159 50 43 35 27 26 25 21 20 20 20 24 29 35 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography