DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 59.2 - - 67.2 - - 69.0 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 25 - - 31 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 591 - - 2136 - - 6609 - - 8721 - - 3626 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 31 - - 35 - - 20 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 088 - - 319 - - 321 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 1 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4986 - - -4599 - - -4636 - - -4840 - - -5258 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9081 - - 8694 - - 8732 - - 8935 - - 9354 sfcLCL ODpotential -11157 - - -9866 - - -6992 - - -6752 - - -8606 ODpotential blCL 15251 - - 13961 - - 11087 - - 10847 - - 12701 blCL maxRH 83 - - 62 - - 70 - - 71 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 250 - - 540 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 59.2 - - 67.2 - - 69.0 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 35.6 - - 43.1 - - 44.0 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 60.2 - - 67.3 - - 69.4 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 34.5 - - 41.9 - - 42.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 25 - - 31 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96379 25 294 16 279 24 287 21 289 30 281 96379 89147 28 295 22 297 29 283 24 305 29 306 89147 83651 27 296 27 296 32 289 30 305 27 314 83651 79128 25 298 25 305 27 295 29 301 24 315 79128 75235 25 296 22 297 24 302 26 301 27 312 75235 71782 17 283 18 293 24 296 22 308 23 306 71782 68642 14 289 17 291 21 287 23 297 24 306 68642 65737 15 285 12 289 20 272 22 275 23 297 65737 63031 16 279 17 296 21 271 22 271 23 291 63031 60390 27 272 26 274 25 272 23 279 24 284 60390 57613 34 262 33 260 34 268 35 278 33 279 57613 54718 46 254 43 260 43 264 46 268 42 273 54718 51957 51 247 47 257 46 256 50 259 47 262 51957 49474 48 247 47 253 44 254 47 255 44 254 49474 47250 49 254 49 249 45 259 43 259 43 258 47250 45246 52 257 48 251 48 262 46 268 44 265 45246 43434 47 254 48 260 49 262 49 270 44 270 43434 41782 37 259 47 265 47 262 49 267 44 272 41782 40259 27 279 40 266 43 272 47 266 48 270 40259 38841 24 307 36 284 45 283 47 269 52 269 38841 37510 27 325 36 292 45 282 48 269 51 269 37510 36227 32 333 34 294 40 276 47 265 51 269 36227 34930 32 334 31 294 37 274 46 263 51 269 34930 33593 28 335 27 296 37 275 46 265 50 269 33593 32219 26 340 18 298 35 272 44 270 43 270 32219 30797 21 327 20 295 34 271 40 273 40 274 30797 29317 21 309 25 290 33 271 36 273 39 274 29317 27783 23 290 28 287 32 270 36 271 36 273 27783 26194 22 284 25 282 30 270 37 270 32 274 26194 24556 20 280 22 275 27 270 36 270 30 274 24556 22871 19 275 23 270 26 270 33 269 31 271 22871 21136 20 271 25 263 27 267 32 267 30 265 21136 19340 23 269 27 264 29 265 31 265 29 261 19340 17518 23 265 26 266 31 264 29 264 28 260 17518 15763 22 260 25 263 30 261 27 263 25 261 15763 14164 21 260 24 261 27 258 23 264 20 261 14164 12735 21 268 23 265 24 257 19 267 16 261 12735 11455 19 277 20 270 19 265 15 275 12 267 11455 10307 16 284 17 273 14 284 14 277 11 281 10307 9275 15 285 14 276 13 292 14 283 12 296 9275 8350 14 282 13 278 13 297 14 289 14 303 8350 7524 14 281 13 279 13 303 14 295 15 307 7524 6785 13 281 12 276 13 308 13 301 17 309 6785 6116 12 282 10 275 13 312 13 306 17 310 6116 5518 11 284 7 279 12 315 13 309 18 312 5518 5013 9 286 4 287 12 319 13 313 17 313 5013 4623 6 289 2 302 11 321 12 316 16 314 4623 4353 2 332 1 035 10 322 12 318 13 315 4353 4188 3*062 1*077 9*322 11*320 11*317 4188 4094 4*068 1*088 7*319 9*321 6*323 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography