DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 47.1 - - 52.0 - - 53.9 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 6 - - 19 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 759 - - 1652 - - 2537 - - 3472 - - 1652 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 20 - - 29 - - 11 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 320 - - 255 - - 221 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -5 - - -5 - - -5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3360 - - -4353 - - -4445 - - -5294 - - -5273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7453 - - 8448 - - 8540 - - 9388 - - 9368 sfcLCL ODpotential -10274 - - -11815 - - -10420 - - -11021 - - -12322 ODpotential blCL 14367 - - 15909 - - 14514 - - 15115 - - 16416 blCL maxRH 42 - - 51 - - 39 - - 33 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 47.1 - - 52.0 - - 53.9 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.7 - - 25.0 - - 29.3 - - 27.5 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 47.8 - - 52.4 - - 55.5 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 23.9 - - 28.1 - - 26.3 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 6 - - 19 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95751 43 296 29 296 36 299 40 313 22 311 95751 88840 29 310 20 318 25 300 30 316 22 329 88840 83500 16 312 19 315 18 321 19 306 21 309 83500 79040 13 336 17 310 19 314 15 306 22 310 79040 75150 18 327 17 311 19 311 15 297 21 320 75150 71674 19 302 17 309 21 315 19 305 25 326 71674 68519 21 282 14 296 20 299 23 304 27 312 68519 65624 21 276 10 305 19 302 22 299 23 294 65624 62925 30 289 24 313 26 301 22 306 23 298 62925 60282 42 273 30 290 30 293 30 293 29 299 60282 57508 36 263 28 280 31 286 35 293 34 301 57508 54616 49 294 34 291 38 287 40 285 42 294 54616 51846 59 282 47 284 46 279 43 280 42 292 51846 49348 61 268 59 267 50 274 42 283 37 294 49348 47115 52 257 49 264 46 273 39 287 34 295 47115 45103 43 279 38 280 39 278 33 294 29 311 45103 43274 53 297 42 292 38 288 29 312 31 331 43274 41603 50 293 41 285 34 293 27 317 30 332 41603 40072 35 278 36 281 25 300 18 338 20 353 40072 38657 24 285 32 315 29 352 25 002 21 020 38657 37338 40 333 29 325 31 341 26 356 25 014 37338 36077 47 333 26 324 14 354 18 002 30 355 36077 34805 30 331 23 331 14 022 16 348 30 344 34805 33495 15 016 28 338 16 004 16 341 25 343 33495 32149 21 019 34 342 24 350 18 344 20 342 32149 30755 23 003 35 348 28 354 19 353 17 337 30755 29299 28 356 34 351 27 354 17 002 19 332 29299 27782 32 355 32 352 28 346 15 004 20 342 27782 26206 32 354 31 349 31 344 22 346 18 347 26206 24574 30 348 31 345 30 347 22 345 23 341 24574 22889 25 338 29 343 26 346 20 349 26 344 22889 21147 24 337 28 342 23 340 18 351 24 354 21147 19341 24 351 27 346 21 339 16 343 17 351 19341 17503 22 359 21 359 14 346 14 340 14 326 17503 15731 17 002 14 016 6 342 9 332 15 318 15731 14113 12 344 7 014 6 321 8 310 14 318 14113 12668 14 321 8 337 8 328 9 317 13 331 12668 11377 13 318 9 336 9 346 7 339 11 356 11377 10221 9 313 5 347 5 016 5 034 8 033 10221 9188 7 304 1 055 3 075 6 084 7 081 9188 8268 5 291 3 126 5 127 7 116 7 111 8268 7451 3 283 5 137 7 134 8 123 7 123 7451 6723 2 305 6 140 8 133 8 126 8 128 6723 6066 2 350 6 140 7 129 8 123 8 122 6066 5481 3 005 5 142 6 126 7 119 9 123 5481 4989 4 001 4 141 5 125 6 118 9 121 4989 4608 5 357 2 129 3 123 5 117 8 122 4608 4345 4 354 1 082 1 146 3 120 6 123 4345 4185 4*003 1*342 1*243 1*155 2*128 4185 4093 3*002 1*320 2*255 1*221 2*276 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography