DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 41.7 - - 40.9 - - 40.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 41 - - 16 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4045 - - 3036 - - 2330 - - 2743 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 37 - - 28 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 318 - - 031 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2355 - - -1196 - - -237 - - -73 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6448 - - 5290 - - 4330 - - 4166 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4253 - - -2897 - - -1395 - - -1549 ODpotential blCL - - - 8346 - - 6990 - - 5488 - - 5642 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 93 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 41.7 - - 40.9 - - 40.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.2 - - 32.4 - - 35.6 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 40.9 - - 40.4 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 31.6 - - 35.2 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 41 - - 16 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 72 - - 93 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96733 29 097 24 103 31 100 32 115 96733 89600 24 102 22 108 25 115 24 098 89600 84032 17 108 18 121 14 126 18 079 84032 79362 10 109 14 118 7 129 8 071 79362 75324 9 148 6 117 3 307 3 073 75324 71728 8 212 1 094 6 200 4 279 71728 68468 13 209 11 245 12 201 10 213 68468 65458 7 222 8 240 10 195 13 221 65458 62622 27 257 28 242 27 235 23 239 62622 59856 38 234 38 223 32 244 31 244 59856 56962 34 220 32 225 34 243 33 241 56962 53943 24 233 30 239 34 237 38 247 53943 51044 35 243 39 249 37 241 43 251 51044 48434 46 245 49 242 46 243 48 250 48434 46097 58 240 55 239 51 241 53 248 46097 43984 62 237 58 236 52 240 55 243 43984 42060 70 229 59 234 56 242 54 241 42060 40296 71 221 64 232 62 240 53 242 40296 38664 69 217 68 226 67 235 52 242 38664 37147 65 220 68 227 70 228 53 238 37147 35736 63 230 74 232 71 224 54 235 35736 34396 76 239 90 231 74 221 54 233 34396 33067 102 237 101 225 76 215 52 231 33067 31728 119 234 91 221 73 207 50 224 31728 30390 111 233 82 219 69 201 48 211 30390 29040 90 233 77 220 66 200 49 191 29040 27655 74 230 70 221 63 203 38 191 27655 26222 65 225 66 219 65 206 25 198 26222 24739 57 223 64 216 65 208 25 207 24739 23209 47 221 61 214 59 208 24 221 23209 21636 45 219 54 215 54 206 25 225 21636 20014 40 220 47 216 51 205 27 223 20014 18336 39 222 44 218 49 205 28 224 18336 16634 39 222 45 220 48 206 30 227 16634 14998 40 220 46 221 48 208 34 229 14998 13509 42 218 46 221 49 206 38 229 13509 12179 41 216 43 220 47 204 41 230 12179 10989 37 212 38 218 42 204 43 230 10989 9920 28 201 30 213 35 208 42 229 9920 8958 20 181 22 207 27 214 38 228 8958 8094 16 164 15 201 20 220 33 228 8094 7321 12 156 11 195 14 225 28 228 7321 6627 8 153 7 198 10 231 23 230 6627 5998 5 147 4 232 6 239 18 235 5998 5435 1 162 5 294 2 271 13 242 5435 4960 2 297 7 310 2 013 9 257 4960 4593 4 301 7 314 4 029 6 283 4593 4337 4 301 7 316 4 030 5 298 4337 4181 4*302 7*316 4*030 5*303 4181 4092 4*302 7*318 4*031 5*308 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography