DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.4 - - 44.4 - - 48.7 - - 49.4 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 37 - - 42 - - 1 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4053 - - 4053 - - 4053 - - 4053 - - 4053 Hcrit BL Top 4070 - - 4070 - - 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2124 - - 4858 - - 6691 - - 6430 - - 3494 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 36 - - 37 - - 20 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 298 - - 312 - - 312 - - 297 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -2 - - -3 - - -7 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3403 - - -4830 - - -4713 - - -4393 - - -2920 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7473 - - 8900 - - 8785 - - 8464 - - 6991 sfcLCL ODpotential -7297 - - -9017 - - -7536 - - -6504 - - -5646 ODpotential blCL 11367 - - 13087 - - 11607 - - 10575 - - 9717 blCL maxRH 67 - - 49 - - 43 - - 50 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.4 - - 44.4 - - 48.7 - - 49.4 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.1 - - 19.7 - - 24.4 - - 26.5 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 44.3 - - 49.2 - - 49.6 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 14.8 - - 18.8 - - 23.7 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 37 - - 42 - - 1 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97600 14 264 15 247 14 239 21 257 21 278 97600 90292 8 248 7 236 9 248 3 281 7 263 90292 84607 4 268 4 244 6 243 3 296 2 314 84607 79853 6 288 6 308 3 152 7 230 7 340 79853 75745 5 267 7 274 6 258 9 241 7 313 75745 72100 6 282 7 286 10 309 6 210 6 283 72100 68785 12 282 13 273 19 298 8 325 9 277 68785 65728 13 289 16 263 22 278 15 310 11 286 65728 62880 15 301 17 277 24 282 23 305 16 291 62880 60117 21 299 23 288 31 285 29 304 19 308 60117 57235 31 295 30 287 34 282 33 300 26 311 57235 54246 42 295 37 291 37 286 37 295 36 304 54246 51404 49 295 44 295 43 290 44 297 46 299 51404 48862 51 294 48 293 47 290 46 296 49 294 48862 46601 50 292 49 293 45 292 46 297 46 296 46601 44560 46 293 48 296 45 301 45 304 46 304 44560 42699 44 297 48 301 48 305 49 310 52 305 42699 40989 44 301 50 304 50 308 54 309 55 305 40989 39413 44 305 48 304 51 311 54 308 55 307 39413 37960 44 309 45 305 50 313 54 312 57 309 37960 36613 44 308 44 308 47 315 57 318 60 311 36613 35330 44 308 44 308 44 317 59 320 61 311 35330 34043 43 310 44 309 42 315 58 320 58 311 34043 32725 42 310 45 313 40 314 54 320 53 309 32725 31378 43 311 48 316 39 316 52 319 48 307 31378 29989 43 310 50 316 39 317 50 317 45 307 29989 28544 42 310 50 315 40 316 47 314 42 307 28544 27047 42 310 49 314 41 316 43 312 41 306 27047 25496 42 311 47 315 42 316 39 311 41 307 25496 23895 42 309 46 316 42 316 36 309 39 312 23895 22245 41 306 45 314 41 316 35 308 35 317 22245 20544 41 302 43 311 40 315 34 309 29 312 20544 18785 40 300 42 308 39 312 34 309 26 305 18785 17005 39 301 40 307 37 310 33 309 24 303 17005 15296 36 305 36 309 35 308 31 309 23 303 15296 13742 31 307 31 309 32 307 28 309 21 305 13742 12360 26 304 26 306 27 303 23 310 18 304 12360 11126 23 298 23 301 23 295 20 311 14 307 11126 10021 21 294 20 297 20 287 19 310 12 317 10021 9030 20 295 18 292 18 286 19 306 13 322 9030 8142 18 298 16 290 18 290 20 299 14 321 8142 7350 17 301 15 290 17 293 21 296 17 313 7350 6643 16 304 14 291 16 296 22 296 20 305 6643 6003 16 305 12 295 15 299 22 295 22 298 6003 5431 15 304 11 299 15 303 21 296 24 291 5431 4949 14 301 10 302 14 306 21 296 23 288 4949 4576 13 298 9 307 13 308 21 296 21 287 4576 4318 10 296 8 309 12 311 19 297 19 287 4318 4160 8*297 7*311 11*312 18*297 16*287 4160 4070 7*298 7*312 10*312 15*297 12*287 4070 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography