DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 45.3 - - 44.9 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 14 - - 10 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 3166 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 7466 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4279 - - 6296 - - 3139 - - 6125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 28 - - 155 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 23 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 295 - - 283 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - 30 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1241 - - -1814 - - 842 - - -1757 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5334 - - 5909 - - 6624 - - 5850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2435 - - -2769 - - -996 - - -2958 ODpotential blCL - - - 6528 - - 6863 - - 8462 - - 7051 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 89 - - 75 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 30 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 45.3 - - 44.9 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 33.6 - - 30.1 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 45.0 - - 44.6 - - 41.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 32.5 - - 29.0 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 14 - - 10 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 3166 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 55 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96086 29 282 19 283 35 287 16 277 96086 89030 22 272 27 297 23 291 15 293 89030 83577 16 253 25 294 22 310 16 287 83577 79008 13 250 19 281 20 294 19 282 79008 75028 19 252 20 294 22 290 17 294 75028 71458 15 248 28 285 26 286 24 282 71458 68205 14 269 28 267 24 272 25 267 68205 65217 22 283 20 260 21 268 17 271 65217 62426 25 283 14 271 27 272 19 285 62426 59697 27 279 29 280 32 269 37 279 59697 56854 33 276 34 276 32 275 36 277 56854 53911 36 273 32 267 33 276 34 275 53911 51090 35 263 33 264 33 274 32 273 51090 48533 35 260 40 266 39 273 31 277 48533 46224 42 268 48 272 40 275 40 286 46224 44132 54 275 55 272 46 283 49 288 44132 42229 60 273 55 270 53 282 57 291 42229 40483 64 263 57 268 59 273 62 286 40483 38868 61 259 59 268 61 267 62 277 38868 37372 56 264 62 265 51 264 56 272 37372 35988 59 270 53 262 42 280 47 276 35988 34681 70 275 44 268 51 299 49 293 34681 33384 74 269 45 280 70 296 54 295 33384 32070 71 261 54 283 78 280 57 285 32070 30739 69 259 61 278 71 263 51 275 30739 29372 66 259 62 268 60 256 46 280 29372 27957 64 261 52 261 46 267 60 295 27957 26501 60 262 37 272 48 292 73 298 26501 25005 57 263 39 300 62 294 72 300 25005 23464 53 265 50 302 61 291 67 303 23464 21874 47 272 51 300 58 290 61 303 21874 20231 42 281 50 297 55 291 55 296 20231 18529 38 292 49 298 52 292 51 290 18529 16797 34 305 45 300 48 292 50 288 16797 15130 31 309 37 301 45 291 48 290 15130 13611 25 300 30 300 42 291 47 291 13611 12258 17 299 26 295 38 292 43 290 12258 11048 14 309 23 286 34 293 38 290 11048 9963 15 309 20 281 31 291 35 288 9963 8988 17 305 20 282 30 288 34 285 8988 8114 18 299 20 283 28*284 34 282 8114 7335 19 294 20 284 27*283 33 281 7335 6637 19 289 20 285 26 283 30 280 6637 6005 16 285 19 287 25 283 27 280 6005 5439 12 280 18 288 23 283 24 281 5439 4963 9 275 17 290 21 283 21 281 4963 4594 8 272 16 291 20 283 18 282 4594 4338 7 271 15 292 18 284 16 283 4338 4182 7*271 13*293 16 284 14*283 4182 4092 6*271 11*295 13 285 13*283 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography