DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1005z - - 1339z - - 1605z - - 1930z - - 2210z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 45.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 7 - - 25 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1268 - - 1873 - - 4150 - - 5951 - - 6390 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 22 - - 32 - - 21 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 124 - - 129 - - 044 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3741 - - -3853 - - -4106 - - -4138 - - -6918 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7834 - - 7946 - - 8201 - - 8232 - - 11013 sfcLCL ODpotential -8746 - - -7886 - - -6791 - - -6302 - - -9819 ODpotential blCL 12839 - - 11979 - - 10885 - - 10396 - - 13913 blCL maxRH 78 - - 81 - - 91 - - 84 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 45.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 25.2 - - 28.9 - - 30.0 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.1 - - 45.7 - - 50.6 - - 52.4 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.4 - - 24.1 - - 27.8 - - 28.9 - - 15.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 7 - - 25 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 24 - - 64 - - 37 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96652 35 280 41 275 39 290 31 294 30 289 96652 89361 22 284 23 276 24 289 20 292 21 273 89361 83768 23 279 16 278 18 277 15 283 20 278 83768 79118 22 275 16 275 18 267 15 273 17 286 79118 75094 21 262 16 267 18 263 18 272 16 282 75094 71520 20 252 16 255 19 255 21 269 18 275 71520 68270 17 259 17 253 19 251 24 260 22 267 68270 65276 20 273 18 262 20 255 26 250 22 260 65276 62487 27 267 21 265 22 257 26 250 23 260 62487 59773 31 253 25 267 24 255 29 253 26 261 59773 56933 31 250 29 262 27 251 31 254 29 262 56933 53981 30 246 31 249 30 251 30 260 29 266 53981 51162 27 254 33 240 33 253 29 268 29 270 51162 48623 30 252 30 236 36 246 27 270 28 273 48623 46352 34 238 29 240 34 238 27 262 28 276 46352 44300 34 224 33 228 30 230 25 248 28 271 44300 42429 31 229 30 219 27 226 22 243 25 269 42429 40710 30 233 32 218 29 215 20 245 21 265 40710 39119 36 226 34 214 24 201 19 213 17 276 39119 37644 42 216 37 210 28 206 10 209 8 249 37644 36278 47 211 44 205 38 198 13 215 4 041 36278 34988 47 210 48 202 43 189 22 181 7 344 34988 33705 38 207 44 198 45 185 22 170 2 319 33705 32402 23 191 33 190 44 182 20 166 5 042 32402 31081 21 182 21 172 37 174 17 147 9 044 31081 29724 22 188 21 157 28 161 14 127 13 041 29724 28315 24 192 26 163 26 155 13 114 16 051 28315 26851 22 194 27 170 23 156 13 123 15 064 26851 25333 18 194 22 168 20 155 16 138 13 085 25333 23765 14 187 18 157 20 144 20 141 14 114 23765 22151 14 171 20 146 22 135 22 139 17 131 22151 20485 20 158 23 145 22 139 24 140 20 137 20485 18765 21 156 25 149 21 154 22 150 21 144 18765 17020 18 157 25 154 19 170 17 165 21 150 17020 15340 16 157 21 158 16 181 11 179 18 155 15340 13807 15 160 18 162 14 187 7 192 12 168 13807 12435 14 164 15 164 12 192 4 212 6 196 12435 11204 13 166 14 165 11 192 4 235 3 258 11204 10098 13 166 13 165 11 189 5 243 5 294 10098 9104 12 163 12 164 10 181 5 241 8 289 9104 8212 12 159 12 161 10 170 4 234 10 285 8212 7414 11 154 11 158 10 161 3 218 12 283 7414 6700 11 152 11 155 10 157 2 194 12 282 6700 6052 10 152 11 151 9 153 2 152 13 280 6052 5473 9 151 10 147 9 149 2 124 13 277 5473 4984 8 143 8 139 8 145 2 104 11 273 4984 4606 6 124 6 131 7 141 2 082 9 268 4606 4344 4 090 5 125 6 137 2 064 6 258 4344 4184 3*042 4*124 5*134 3*052 4*246 4184 4093 3*023 3*124 4*129 2*044 2*226 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography