DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/22 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 43.6 - - 46.6 - - 47.7 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 9 - - 16 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4052 - - 4053 - - 4053 - - 4054 - - 4053 Hcrit BL Top 4070 - - 4070 - - 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 511 - - 1308 - - 2081 - - 2758 - - 510 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 22 - - 27 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 150 - - 015 - - 037 - - 353 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -3 - - 2 - - -3 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2590 - - -2069 - - -2843 - - -3125 - - -1968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6660 - - 6140 - - 6914 - - 7197 - - 6040 sfcLCL ODpotential -11631 - - -10326 - - -10169 - - -9337 - - -7043 ODpotential blCL 15701 - - 14396 - - 14240 - - 13408 - - 11114 blCL maxRH 84 - - 72 - - 71 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 43.6 - - 46.6 - - 47.7 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.7 - - 31.1 - - 30.6 - - 30.5 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 45.2 - - 50.1 - - 52.0 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 23.0 - - 21.9 - - 21.7 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 9 - - 16 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96528 35 304 26 308 24 304 39 309 33 301 96528 89357 24 311 21 303 23 302 30 308 28 319 89357 83790 21 312 17 302 20 299 24 306 28 326 83790 79164 22 298 19 298 19 304 20 301 26 325 79164 75179 23 293 21 286 21 299 20 307 22 320 75179 71646 23 294 20 285 23 294 24 309 20 310 71646 68433 27 298 25 291 25 289 28 296 24 296 68433 65467 31 291 27 285 24 279 28 285 27 285 65467 62705 31 283 30 289 29 282 33 288 29 280 62705 60014 38 283 38 288 38 281 35 287 31 283 60014 57196 43 274 42 277 42 275 39 286 36 287 57196 54269 41 266 40 269 43 271 43 279 41 285 54269 51478 41 273 40 273 45 272 44 277 45 278 51478 48976 50 279 44 278 46 273 46 276 44 268 48976 46741 55 275 49 273 46 272 45 272 40 266 46741 44712 54 268 51 266 46 272 43 272 38 271 44712 42850 50 267 51 262 48 270 44 276 40 271 42850 41129 44 267 50 260 52 265 51 274 45 265 41129 39530 40 267 50 259 54 260 57 264 49 258 39530 38044 37 275 46 259 52 260 54 254 51 252 38044 36665 41 275 40 261 48 265 46 252 54 250 36665 35364 37 266 35 268 45 266 51 258 60 246 35364 34077 21 249 35 276 42 266 55 254 66 240 34077 32768 11 244 31 264 40 269 48 249 68 234 32768 31433 12 239 24 252 37 270 43 246 61 230 31433 30052 13 233 21 252 33 269 41 243 53 229 30052 28616 14 238 20 253 31 265 38 240 46 232 28616 27125 15 248 20 258 28 266 36 239 41 235 27125 25578 16 256 20 262 25 265 35 241 40 235 25578 23980 17 260 20 261 24 257 34 242 38 233 23980 22333 16 263 19 261 24 252 34 242 35 230 22333 20635 17 271 18 266 25 252 33 244 31 229 20635 18880 18 278 18 272 23 259 29 249 29 229 18880 17099 18 280 17 273 22 265 23 254 27 234 17099 15387 17 283 16 271 20 265 21 259 26 242 15387 13831 15 286 14 269 20 263 20 265 24 249 13831 12442 14 285 14 267 20 264 20 270 21 258 12442 11198 13 281 15 265 20 265 20 273 19 268 11198 10080 13 268 16 260 19 264 20 273 17 276 10080 9078 13 251 17 255 19 261 20 270 15 284 9078 8181 14 235 17 252 19 260 20 269 14 290 8181 7381 13 221 15 249 17 258 18 273 14 294 7381 6667 11 206 12 246 14 257 15 281 14 295 6667 6020 10 191 9 241 8 257 13 293 13 295 6020 5442 9 181 6 237 3 275 11 306 13 294 5442 4956 9 176 4 241 1 002 9 319 12 292 4956 4579 8 168 2 269 2 031 7 332 11 291 4579 4319 7 155 1 333 3 037 7 341 8 286 4319 4160 5*143 2*359 3*039 6*348 7*284 4160 4070 3*150 2*015 3*037 5*353 6*285 4070 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography