DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.8 - - 46.5 - - 50.9 - - - - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 34 - - 18 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - - - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - - - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1762 - - 2753 - - 4718 - - - - - 3540 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 36 - - 31 - - - - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 040 - - 117 - - 123 - - - - - 053 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -958 - - -1493 - - -2635 - - - - - -2399 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5051 - - 5586 - - 6730 - - - - - 6494 sfcLCL ODpotential -3369 - - -3431 - - -4268 - - - - - -4648 ODpotential blCL 7462 - - 7524 - - 8362 - - - - - 8742 blCL maxRH 86 - - 72 - - 69 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.8 - - 46.5 - - 50.9 - - - - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 36.4 - - 35.8 - - - - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 - - 45.8 - - 50.5 - - - - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 35.3 - - 34.5 - - - - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 34 - - 18 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96518 23 073 21 104 14 076 4 113 96518 89498 28 109 25 066 25 107 18 083 89498 84020 22 093 22 095 12 102 15 074 84020 79442 11 048 23 114 8 119 6 038 79442 75476 14 109 10 119 11 121 4 339 75476 71943 20 119 2 264 7 139 6 077 71943 68731 16 101 5 193 5 239 8 112 68731 65777 4 023 12 152 7 242 5 161 65777 63030 6 269 15 143 7 198 7 199 63030 60358 7 246 9 135 7 160 12 201 60358 57564 14 197 1 030 5 144 7 113 57564 54694 18 153 2 356 3 103 14 044 54694 51978 18 123 4 033 7 071 17 006 51978 49522 23 101 13 072 13 083 11 020 49522 47311 31 083 22 075 22 069 15 056 47311 45307 37 072 33 075 31 057 21 056 45307 43474 44 063 41 071 38 054 31 047 43474 41798 47 057 46 063 44 048 49 033 41798 40262 53 055 54 053 53 044 56 041 40262 38826 61 051 69 047 70 053 63 051 38826 37473 70 048 79 050 94 056 70 053 37473 36171 75 046 90 051 96 049 70 052 36171 34861 79 047 98 049 100 045 68 053 34861 33517 82 050 102 048 99 048 64 053 33517 32139 84 052 102 046 94 054 60 060 32139 30710 88 053 104 048 89 055 60 063 30710 29221 87 057 102 057 84 058 59 054 29221 27674 62 057 96 059 80 060 60 043 27674 26071 39 049 87 063 77 056 60 042 26071 24413 15 040 68 068 73 056 58 044 24413 22703 13 028 34 063 60 060 56 047 22703 20937 18 048 15 054 40 059 54 049 20937 19112 27 056 12 054 27 057 51 051 19112 17270 30 062 16 058 18 066 40 059 17270 15514 26 072 17 064 18 073 25 076 15514 13925 23 084 16 084 19 075 19 092 13925 12513 21 095 17 101 18 087 16 107 12513 11253 19 099 18 108 18 108 15 126 11253 10127 16 096 19 112 20 121 14 135 10127 9118 14 091 18 114 20 126 13 132 9118 8216 13 083 18 117 18 127 11 124 8216 7413 14 076 17 119 15 124 10 114 7413 6696 16 068 17 117 12 120 9 103 6696 6047 20 063 17 113 10 119 9 091 6047 5469 22 059 16 110 10 120 8 082 5469 4981 22 055 13 110 9 120 7 072 4981 4604 19 049 10 113 8 120 6 065 4604 4343 15 044 9 114 8 121 5 057 4343 4184 13*042 8*115 8*122 4*053 4184 4093 12*040 7*117 7*123 4*053 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography