DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1855z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.7 - - 64.3 - - 67.9 - - 69.6 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 31 - - 41 - - 10 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 47 - - 1749 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4054 - - 4054 - - 4055 - - 4055 - - 4055 Hcrit BL Top 4347 - - 6049 - - 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 881 - - 2155 - - 5428 - - 5784 - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 166 - - 37 - - 24 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 055 - - 016 - - 032 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5916 - - -4768 - - -4763 - - -5181 - - -5890 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10264 - - 10818 - - 8835 - - 9253 - - 9962 sfcLCL ODpotential -15860 - - -15847 - - -13195 - - -13170 - - -13625 ODpotential blCL 20207 - - 21896 - - 17267 - - 17242 - - 17697 blCL maxRH 42 - - 31 - - 23 - - 20 - - 20 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.7 - - 64.3 - - 67.9 - - 69.6 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 31.2 - - 43.4 - - 43.2 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.7 - - 64.1 - - 70.1 - - 72.8 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 22.0 - - 20.6 - - 18.8 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 31 - - 41 - - 10 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 47 - - 1749 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98227 12 296 8 300 3 300 6 255 12 288 98227 90853 5 307 7 297 4 235 9 258 8 299 90853 85158 6 331 4 281 9 274 7 258 7 304 85158 80415 6 311 5 258 18 273 13 301 10 297 80415 76329 13 314 7 304 17 268 17 302 14 300 76329 72732 18 311 13 309 16 278 18 302 15 304 72732 69489 20 303 18 307 16 281 20 300 15 307 69489 66518 21 300 21 304 16 283 20 293 18 306 66518 63769 23 301 23 297 20 285 23 288 21 306 63769 61113 26 303 25 294 24 288 26 286 24 300 61113 58345 29 302 26 294 26 290 28 282 26 301 58345 55476 32 296 27 295 26 293 27 284 27 301 55476 52744 34 292 28 295 26 294 26 288 24 298 52744 50286 35 290 26 297 22 301 21 297 21 305 50286 48083 32 294 27 304 25 313 23 311 21 317 48083 46085 33 283 28 291 24 299 23 317 25 321 46085 44259 25 309 22 310 19 316 24 321 23 316 44259 42571 29 324 29 326 25 328 24 328 21 322 42571 40999 29 313 30 318 26 325 24 329 20 330 40999 39530 28 302 29 307 25 319 24 322 20 339 39530 38150 27 295 28 297 26 314 25 315 22 346 38150 36826 27 298 27 292 28 308 27 312 24 350 36826 35491 28 308 27 295 29 302 26 315 25 349 35491 34120 31 313 27 297 30 299 23 323 26 346 34120 32715 32 312 27 296 28 296 21 333 24 343 32715 31266 33 308 27 295 25 296 18 342 16 329 31266 29762 31 305 26 298 21 299 17 351 12 331 29762 28202 28 302 23 304 17 309 16 356 13 346 28202 26587 26 303 21 316 16 319 15 357 15 357 26587 24916 25 311 20 329 16 329 15 356 17 005 24916 23194 24 325 19 336 16 336 15 358 18 010 23194 21413 23 338 18 338 16 343 16 003 19 015 21413 19570 21 348 19 340 16 344 16 006 18 020 19570 17698 18 348 18 341 15 341 15 006 17 027 17698 15897 16 334 16 337 13 334 14 001 15 034 15897 14259 15 317 15 331 11 329 12 354 12 035 14259 12800 14 303 12 330 9 326 9 341 8 022 12800 11498 12 299 8 330 6 321 6 333 8 011 11498 10332 9 297 4 341 3 328 3 005 8 015 10332 9288 5 296 3 035 3 060 4 042 9 022 9288 8352 0 063 4 074 6 072 7 053 10 027 8352 7519 2 102 6 079 7 069 8 052 11 033 7519 6775 4 091 6 079 7 064 9 049 12 040 6775 6101 7 083 7*074 7 057 9 045 14 048 6101 5500 11 077 6*066 6 047 9 041 15 053 5500 4993 13 072 6 058 6 037 9 038 16 054 4993 4602 12*067 5 053 5 027 8 036 16 053 4602 4330 10*058 5 049 5 020 8 034 14 053 4330 4166 8 054 4 048 4*017 7*033 10*050 4166 4071 6 049 4 045 4*016 7*032 7*047 4071 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography