DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.3 - - 46.3 - - 49.6 - - 49.1 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - -1 - - 4 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4053 - - 4053 - - 4054 - - 4054 - - 4053 Hcrit BL Top 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1364 - - 1382 - - 3454 - - 2940 - - 981 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 5 - - 19 - - 17 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 219 - - 248 - - 305 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -9 - - -4 - - -6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -385 - - -598 - - -1034 - - -680 - - -321 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4456 - - 4669 - - 5105 - - 4751 - - 4393 sfcLCL ODpotential -4091 - - -4130 - - -4065 - - -3755 - - -5139 ODpotential blCL 8162 - - 8201 - - 8136 - - 7826 - - 9210 blCL maxRH 84 - - 80 - - 74 - - 87 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.3 - - 46.3 - - 49.6 - - 49.1 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 40.3 - - 41.6 - - 42.6 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 46.8 - - 52.4 - - 51.7 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 38.7 - - 39.1 - - 40.8 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - -1 - - 4 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 20 - - 0 - - 48 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95242 45 322 28 332 20 289 27 283 36 313 95242 88196 17 350 11 340 14 313 14 312 12 332 88196 82855 15 003 13 357 10 316 8 341 5 001 82855 78457 13 360 10 357 6 313 3 344 8 341 78457 74675 12 008 5 355 11 285 7 311 7 339 74675 71320 12 003 3 231 13 258 19 286 11 320 71320 68261 22 338 9 012 13 230 18 254 11 308 68261 65421 26 312 22 314 13 295 11 276 22 283 65421 62763 21 283 26 283 21 277 22 268 33 264 62763 60167 14 282 24 259 32 247 35 260 34 259 60167 57421 26 299 22 270 34 255 39 259 36 260 57421 54540 47 295 35 284 44 271 42 268 46 267 54540 51777 61 290 56 286 54 277 55 275 58 269 51777 49297 71 283 71 283 63 280 69 277 70 270 49297 47098 79 279 84 281 79 280 82 275 82 268 47098 45136 86 281 89 281 87 279 82 275 87 269 45136 43369 94 287 99 289 84 286 88 282 97 279 43369 41750 112 292 124 293 103 292 106 286 124 283 41750 40238 120 293 135 293 114 290 112 286 119 280 40238 38809 114 295 125 292 111 288 110 283 109 277 38809 37457 109 297 106 287 102 288 102 278 103 274 37457 36155 100 294 93 279 94 287 95 275 96 270 36155 34844 90 289 89 279 89 283 93 274 90 269 34844 33496 83 283 84 279 85 281 90 273 85 268 33496 32114 81 280 82 277 79 280 85 271 81 268 32114 30685 80 278 79 274 76 278 80 270 79 266 30685 29198 76 277 76 272 74 276 75 267 75 264 29198 27658 71 276 72 272 72 274 72 265 70 261 27658 26064 65 276 69 272 69 270 69 265 65 260 26064 24421 61 277 65 271 66 268 68 264 62 260 24421 22730 56 278 61 270 63 265 65 262 58 259 22730 20985 50 279 55 269 59 264 60 261 55 258 20985 19181 42 280 48 269 52 263 53 260 50 258 19181 17352 35 281 41 270 45 265 45 260 44 259 17352 15594 31 281 36 270 39 266 39 259 39 260 15594 13994 28 279 31 268 35 267 34 257 35 259 13994 12567 26 277 26 264 30 265 30 254 32 258 12567 11293 24 276 21 260 25 261 27 249 27 255 11293 10152 22 276 18 256 21 253 23 245 23 252 10152 9131 22 274 16 255 18 245 21 242 19 249 9131 8219 23 270 15 255 16 239 18 243 17 249 8219 7407 23 266 15 257 14 239 17 248 16 251 7407 6683 23 262 17 257 13 242 15 254 15 254 6683 6030 21 258 18 255 12 245 13 261 15 258 6030 5448 16 254 18 251 10 246 10 271 15 263 5448 4958 11 248 15 245 8 248 8 283 13 267 4958 4581 7 238 12 238 6 248 7 290 10 272 4581 4320 4 216 8 232 5 249 7 297 6 276 4320 4161 3*192 6*225 4*249 6*303 4*280 4161 4070 3*184 4*219 4*248 5*305 2*302 4070 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography