DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.4 - - 57.3 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 14 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1122 - - 2546 - - 2485 - - 583 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 11 - - 26 - - 12 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 075 - - 161 - - 146 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -8 - - -5 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6473 - - -7418 - - -7943 - - -6915 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10568 - - 11512 - - 12038 - - 11010 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16894 - - -16448 - - -16294 - - -16484 ODpotential blCL - - - 20988 - - 20542 - - 20388 - - 20578 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 36 - - 29 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.4 - - 57.3 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.1 - - 20.0 - - 19.6 - - 19.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 57.5 - - 59.9 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.0 - - 18.9 - - 18.5 - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 14 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96051 30 303 20 345 19 355 21 358 96051 89118 16 347 18 010 13 040 18 024 89118 83721 10 046 13 005 19 049 10 055 83721 79214 13 057 6 346 18 042 4 089 79214 75295 15 051 5 045 12 039 3 072 75295 71814 12 050 13 047 11 037 11 075 71814 68672 15 058 16 032 12 028 17 067 68672 65805 18 042 15 010 15 022 14 062 65805 63157 21 027 12 360 17 011 14 047 63157 60590 17 035 13 037 15 360 11 025 60590 57907 20 050 22 062 15 043 8 044 57907 55114 31 033 33 052 26 066 20 084 55114 52424 34 029 35 043 30 055 24 075 52424 49970 36 032 32 041 27 052 22 066 49970 47755 36 028 25 038 23 052 22 072 47755 45748 28 033 16 044 16 056 22 082 45748 43926 18 058 10 068 13 104 20 099 43926 42268 21 091 17 096 20 123 26 116 42268 40742 26 100 27 102 26 129 29 128 40742 39318 25 100 25 093 29 130 30 136 39318 37978 23 098 19 093 27 121 29 137 37978 36685 21 097 16 100 15 118 28 136 36685 35376 18 102 15 109 17 132 26 141 35376 34025 16 108 16 116 16 138 24 145 34025 32637 16 112 16 111 14 130 22 148 32637 31197 16 122 16 101 17 114 19 152 31197 29696 18 131 16 100 17 112 18 149 29696 28137 20 130 16 104 15 116 17 143 28137 26521 18 128 16 113 14 121 17 138 26521 24849 11 124 16 128 15 123 18 131 24849 23123 6 160 13 134 16 127 17 127 23123 21339 4 166 8 144 13 129 17 126 21339 19493 5 087 8 135 14 130 17 132 19493 17618 12 055 10 125 16 137 18 142 17618 15816 17 047 11 122 16 139 17 147 15816 14178 18 044 10 121 13 132 17 148 14178 12721 15 048 11 128 14 127 19 148 12721 11423 11 070 13 137 15 131 21 150 11423 10263 11 108 15 142 17 137 22 150 10263 9226 13 134 17 144 18 139 21 148 9226 8300 16 144 18 145 17 140 19 142 8300 7476 17 146 16 142 15 136 17 135 7476 6742 16 147 13 132 11 129 16 130 6742 6080 15 146 15 135 14 131 15 125 6080 5490 13 143 14 133 14 127 15 122 5490 4994 11 135 14 133 13 128 13 118 4994 4611 8 120 13 133 12 129 10 118 4611 4346 5 101 11 133 11 131 6 119 4346 4185 3*086 9*137 10*132 1*144 4185 4093 1*075 5*161 5*146 5*284 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography