DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 55.4 - - 57.0 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 18 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1014 - - 2130 - - 1628 - - 1136 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 28 - - 13 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 346 - - 301 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 0 - - -5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5566 - - -6084 - - -5389 - - -5837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9660 - - 10178 - - 9484 - - 9932 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13818 - - -12884 - - -10520 - - -12178 ODpotential blCL - - - 17912 - - 16978 - - 14614 - - 16272 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 61 - - 59 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 55.4 - - 57.0 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 25.6 - - 30.1 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 57.4 - - 58.4 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 24.6 - - 28.9 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 18 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96133 16 318 13 325 21 006 5 222 96133 89199 13 044 13 019 5 358 18 058 89199 83789 19 077 7 008 4 001 16 061 83789 79237 13 028 11 057 8 073 11 061 79237 75296 6 022 13 055 12 097 12 056 75296 71828 8 092 6 012 11 102 10 067 71828 68705 13 088 1 314 6 099 5 131 68705 65824 10 022 7 113 1 044 4 160 65824 63132 4 259 11 087 7 127 4 100 63132 60523 8 144 3 049 12 098 6 116 60523 57805 18 111 4 181 14 116 13 174 57805 54968 24 102 16 117 24 125 27 148 54968 52229 29 108 24 111 28 125 31 131 52229 49734 28 121 30 123 27 137 29 133 49734 47476 26 135 32 139 28 151 29 147 47476 45421 27 145 39 142 33 156 29 153 45421 43552 35 149 46 144 35 160 31 155 43552 41856 48 149 49 147 46 160 41 163 41856 40305 49 151 51 147 53 151 58 161 40305 38868 52 162 50 150 59 149 63 153 38868 37527 51 162 50 155 62 153 60 148 37527 36240 49 161 50 156 60 156 63 153 36240 34941 46 161 47 157 53 157 62 159 34941 33602 42 159 44 158 49 159 59 160 33602 32225 41 156 42 156 47 159 55 161 32225 30799 39 155 42 154 46 159 49 161 30799 29316 37 156 44 156 46 161 45 164 29316 27778 36 155 42 157 41 162 40 165 27778 26186 34 156 38 158 33 157 34 162 26186 24541 31 160 34 161 29 155 28 153 24541 22845 29 165 31 161 27 155 25 148 22845 21093 29 165 29 159 28 155 27 147 21093 19282 29 161 28 155 29 156 28 150 19282 17446 29 160 30 155 28 161 25 156 17446 15685 27 161 30 160 26 166 21 162 15685 14083 26 162 28 165 22 170 15 170 14083 12653 25 164 25 173 16 178 9 185 12653 11374 25 165 21 184 11 191 7 189 11374 10227 25 168 18 192 6 198 6 187 10227 9200 24 170 15 198 3 194 5 187 9200 8282 23 172 12 201 2 164 4 199 8282 7465 22 172 8 199 2 144 3 217 7465 6736 21 169 6 186 1 119 3 216 6736 6077 20 164 5 171 1 053 2 202 6077 5489 19 155 4 166 2 001 2 181 5489 4994 17 145 3 156 3 340 1 159 4994 4612 13 135 2 151 4 326 0 071 4612 4347 10 131 0 136 5 319 2 336 4347 4185 8*129 0*018 5*311 2*323 4185 4093 3*140 1*346 5*301 2*317 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography