DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 44.2 - - 44.5 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 53 - - 44 - - 27 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1414 - - 2436 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 5714 - - 6736 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3340 - - 2214 - - 1625 - - 3691 - - 3025 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 184 - - 207 - - 34 - - 33 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 025 - - 036 - - 051 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 13 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2913 - - -807 - - -265 - - -3484 - - -3324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7007 - - 6522 - - 7002 - - 7577 - - 7417 sfcLCL ODpotential -6105 - - -7407 - - -8726 - - -11477 - - -12911 ODpotential blCL 10198 - - 13121 - - 15462 - - 15570 - - 17004 blCL maxRH 83 - - 69 - - 70 - - 64 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 44.2 - - 44.5 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 28.3 - - 27.9 - - 25.8 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 41.6 - - 43.5 - - 43.9 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 27.2 - - 26.8 - - 24.7 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 53 - - 44 - - 27 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1414 - - 2436 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97104 53 091 59 091 57 089 47 105 36 091 97104 89955 60 097 63 093 67 097 57 098 53 095 89955 84388 66 097 62 096 64 099 65 096 64 094 84388 79704 52 096 55 096 58 100 65 093 64 090 79704 75610 40 096 41 094 49 095 53 096 54 088 75610 71969 29 089 29 093 33 088 36 088 40 084 71969 68672 24 063 22 081 23 079 25 067 30 075 68672 65649 17 051 17 083 17 074 19 046 26 051 65649 62861 17 024 18 062 8 064 14 035 17 046 62861 60158 16 011 7 354 6 349 12 005 18 027 60158 57342 11 030 10 008 10 341 20 008 22 021 57342 54437 19 345 24 009 17 007 24 001 24 008 54437 51685 27 336 30 001 25 004 29 006 29 005 51685 49234 35 337 35 351 35 000 39 010 32 006 49234 47054 36 335 42 356 44 003 50 019 42 024 47054 45093 36 345 44 000 56 012 70 020 62 022 45093 43313 44 356 53 007 70 013 81 016 70 026 43313 41669 60 354 64 003 76 008 85 015 90 028 41669 40146 66 348 67 356 76 005 86 021 101 027 40146 38722 63 342 66 357 74 011 90 025 103 027 38722 37380 58 345 69 006 85 024 94 028 98 029 37380 36086 61 352 76 012 99 027 97 030 96 031 36086 34780 69 355 76 015 97 025 96 031 93 031 34780 33431 71 353 74 016 90 025 92 029 90 030 33431 32046 70 354 72 012 83 023 88 025 86 028 32046 30614 74 358 68 006 81 018 80 019 82 027 30614 29126 75 358 65 001 83 012 73 013 79 029 29126 27585 75 355 63 356 84 010 70 011 74 027 27585 25987 75 350 62 349 78 010 69 015 73 021 25987 24335 71 341 63 345 67 009 66 016 71 018 24335 22632 67 332 65 342 61 008 61 011 59 017 22632 20878 67 326 66 342 60 005 55 004 44 008 20878 19067 69 327 65 345 61 004 52 004 37 006 19067 17227 67 329 58 348 58 006 47 013 36 012 17227 15458 58 326 48 348 47 009 39 022 33 014 15458 13854 52 320 39 344 33 008 28 024 28 014 13854 12431 46 319 33 339 24 002 20 018 22 015 12431 11168 40 321 28 335 21 351 16 013 17 021 11168 10043 35 324 24 330 17 345 14 016 13 031 10043 9041 32 328 18 328 13 343 11 022 10 045 9041 8148 29 334 13 332 8 349 8 026 8 054 8148 7357 27 340 10 350 6*017 6 035 6 064 7357 6651 25 345 10 015 7*035 6 046 7 077 6651 6013 24 348 12*029 7 036 7 051 9 081 6013 5444 23 347 11*028 7 036 8 052 10 081 5444 4965 22 343 11 026 7 037 8 052 10 078 4965 4595 20 340 11 025 7 037 8 051 9 072 4595 4338 17 338 10 023 7 037 8 051 7 068 4338 4182 16*337 10 023 7 038 7*050 6*067 4182 4092 14*337 9 022 6 036 7*051 5*066 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography