DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 69.9 - - 74.9 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 50 - - 23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3559 - - 6096 - - 10732 - - 3921 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 41 - - 31 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 037 - - 288 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - -4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6898 - - -7165 - - -6225 - - -4603 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10992 - - 11261 - - 10320 - - 8699 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11591 - - -10151 - - -7932 - - -8006 ODpotential blCL - - - 15685 - - 14246 - - 12027 - - 12101 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 49 - - 50 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 590 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 69.9 - - 74.9 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 34.8 - - 43.8 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 69.5 - - 75.3 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.9 - - 33.7 - - 42.6 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 50 - - 23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98395 16 098 8 126 7 087 9 075 98395 90904 10 132 7 089 6 110 7 111 90904 85146 14 155 6 133 10 129 8 088 85146 80385 12 144 9 148 9 134 13 067 80385 76283 10 153 7 109 9 106 11 089 76283 72659 8 133 5 141 5 100 8 081 72659 69379 2 355 4 178 2 259 1 033 69379 66360 5 271 4 235 4 297 1 271 66360 63563 11 269 10 266 8 287 6 237 63563 60860 12 256 15 254 14 271 12 240 60860 58054 12 289 15 262 22 267 21 266 58054 55153 28 290 26 276 29 271 32 278 55153 52383 38 284 35 277 40 271 41 273 52383 49890 45 285 38 277 46 277 47 269 49890 47659 55 289 52 287 54 282 52 272 47659 45641 64 289 64 285 64 281 60 275 45641 43801 70 288 68 281 70 278 70 277 43801 42115 74 289 68 281 74 277 81 277 42115 40555 70 290 69 282 77 277 91 276 40555 39098 60 291 69 283 77 278 94 275 39098 37731 56 291 70 285 75 278 89 274 37731 36419 48 290 66 285 72 278 84 274 36419 35099 44 284 55 281 70 277 77 275 35099 33743 42 277 45 274 70 278 73 277 33743 32356 41 275 41 270 63 277 67 277 32356 30925 41 273 40 268 54 276 57 277 30925 29444 42 273 39 270 47 276 51 276 29444 27909 42 276 39 274 45 281 46 275 27909 26319 41 282 36 277 42 283 44 273 26319 24677 35 289 33 279 36 282 41 271 24677 22986 32 289 32 282 31 281 36 268 22986 21240 29 290 31 284 29 279 32 266 21240 19432 24 286 28 289 28 278 29 264 19432 17595 20 276 25 289 23 279 26 263 17595 15828 18 269 22 278 18 270 21 260 15828 14217 16 264 21 258 16 258 15 252 14217 12781 13 261 17 238 15 264 10 245 12781 11494 10 249 16 231 15 265 8 253 11494 10338 9 226 14 229 15 265 9 274 10338 9300 9 211 12 226 14 266 12 285 9300 8370 6 191 10 222 13 266 16 287 8370 7541 5 164 8 216 12 266 18 286 7541 6798 4 148 5 203 10 266 20 285 6798 6126 3 137 3 176 9 267 21 283 6126 5525 2 129 2 113 7 270 21 282 5525 5019 2 124 4 076 6 272 21 281 5019 4626 1 123 5 058 5 276 20 280 4626 4355 0 136 5 046 4 282 17 279 4355 4189 0*172 6*040 3*284 15*279 4189 4094 0*216 5*037 3*288 8*277 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography