DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1603z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.6 - - 70.7 - - 74.9 - - 76.0 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 29 - - 38 - - 10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2350 - - 4256 - - 6833 - - 7269 - - 5378 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 35 - - 38 - - 25 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 031 - - 254 - - 044 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4828 - - -6605 - - -7452 - - -6828 - - -7603 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8923 - - 10701 - - 11548 - - 10924 - - 11698 sfcLCL ODpotential -9797 - - -10798 - - -10936 - - -9350 - - -11165 ODpotential blCL 13892 - - 14893 - - 15031 - - 13445 - - 15260 blCL maxRH 37 - - 32 - - 34 - - 37 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 130 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.6 - - 70.7 - - 74.9 - - 76.0 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.8 - - 38.0 - - 38.3 - - 42.2 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.7 - - 70.2 - - 74.4 - - 76.2 - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 36.8 - - 37.2 - - 41.1 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 29 - - 38 - - 10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98579 19 262 18 262 15 263 14 272 15 262 98579 91182 10 292 14 246 20 264 18 265 15 271 91182 85457 7 284 13 264 14 271 14 256 10 266 85457 80678 9 318 12 282 15 285 14 298 7 293 80678 76541 4 314 5 252 10 258 12 320 12 337 76541 72898 6 005 3 332 2 251 10 333 14 335 72898 69619 5 220 8 267 10 298 13 310 9 311 69619 66621 4 328 4 266 10 300 11 296 9 296 66621 63852 16 304 13 291 14 297 14 295 14 300 63852 61173 16 288 14 277 20 281 20 278 20 294 61173 58374 20 291 15 278 21 269 23 270 24 285 58374 55469 36 288 30 280 30 273 29 268 30 277 55469 52707 49 281 44 273 42 268 38 270 36 267 52707 50236 57 275 54 272 49 269 48 271 41 260 50236 48030 67 271 66 268 60 268 58 269 46 261 48030 46029 72 264 73 259 72 263 66 264 54 259 46029 44191 72 261 72 255 73 257 73 258 62 255 44191 42486 70 258 71 253 72 254 73 255 62 253 42486 40896 71 254 70 252 72 254 71 255 56 256 40896 39408 71 252 67 253 69 254 66 257 50 262 39408 38015 69 251 64 252 65 254 62 257 43 266 38015 36684 66 250 61 249 62 255 57 257 34 274 36684 35348 62 251 57 249 58 255 53 259 29 280 35348 33980 56 254 51 251 53 254 51 259 27 279 33980 32583 50 259 47 255 48 254 49 258 26 279 32583 31143 46 262 43 256 46 254 47 256 29 277 31143 29650 42 265 39 259 43 252 46 254 32 269 29650 28102 38 268 35 260 40 251 43 253 33 262 28102 26499 35 271 33 261 37 253 40 254 32 260 26499 24842 33 274 32 263 35 257 36 257 28 261 24842 23136 32 275 30 265 29 260 28 257 24 260 23136 21375 29 275 25 266 23 262 21 253 20 255 21375 19552 26 271 22 263 20 258 16 255 16 256 19552 17701 27 256 21 255 19 256 15 262 15 257 17701 15920 30 242 23 250 18 257 16 258 19 248 15920 14301 27 239 24 244 17 253 16 246 16 241 14301 12857 24 243 21 239 18 244 14 242 13 250 12857 11562 17 248 17 239 13 237 11 240 10 252 11562 10398 9 251 12 241 7 235 8 243 6 248 10398 9351 4 270 7 238 4 244 4 254 2 239 9351 8413 4 331 3 227 1 256 1 323 2 088 8413 7575 5 358 1 070 0 023 3 026 5 081 7575 6825 5 029 4 050 1 025 4 033 7 076 6825 6147 6 052 4 041 1 015 5 037 8 069 6147 5540 7 050 4 038 1 358 5 038 9 063 5540 5028 6 027 4 035 1 329 5 037 9 059 5028 4632 6 350 3 032 1 298 4 037 8 054 4632 4358 6 336 3 032 1 266 3 037 6 047 4358 4190 6*334 3*032 2*256 2*040 3*022 4190 4094 5*332 3*031 2*254 2*044 2*337 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography