DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.9 - - 72.5 - - 77.2 - - 79.2 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 27 - - 35 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 723 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 5023 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1452 - - 2697 - - 5383 - - 6966 - - 4217 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 121 - - 37 - - 24 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 128 - - 008 - - 038 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - 7 - - 5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7756 - - -7898 - - -7929 - - -5667 - - -7084 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11852 - - 12922 - - 12025 - - 9764 - - 11181 sfcLCL ODpotential -15822 - - -15446 - - -13189 - - -8424 - - -12057 ODpotential blCL 19917 - - 20469 - - 17285 - - 12520 - - 16153 blCL maxRH 30 - - 34 - - 31 - - 35 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 400 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.9 - - 72.5 - - 77.2 - - 79.2 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.9 - - 30.4 - - 38.9 - - 50.6 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.1 - - 72.1 - - 76.8 - - 79.9 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 29.3 - - 37.7 - - 49.3 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 27 - - 35 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 723 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98351 11 091 4 107 6 115 4 111 4 180 98351 90987 7 070 12 104 9 164 3 022 6 074 90987 85285 7 097 10 096 9 132 0 163 6 076 85285 80558 10 101 4 070 6 121 4 080 4 098 80558 76508 10 085 4 086 6 131 3 056 6 075 76508 72938 6 088 8 095 7 137 3 122 3 091 72938 69703 7 114 6 072 8 108 8 107 6 083 69703 66733 7 095 3 077 8 085 11 097 10 088 66733 63994 5 115 3 135 4 052 8 084 10 091 63994 61355 9 055 10 157 1 186 2 016 8 049 61355 58611 6 336 6 073 1 099 2 027 3 039 58611 55765 5 038 1 294 9 276 11 308 12 336 55765 53059 15 323 7 023 6 275 13 274 17 293 53059 50639 22 320 17 356 7 350 10 279 17 285 50639 48474 34 313 25 333 15 337 13 312 16 300 48474 46505 39 311 36 319 27 325 21 316 21 308 46505 44689 42 312 40 315 33 321 27 314 28 303 44689 43000 41 314 38 316 35 317 29 312 28 300 43000 41415 39 315 34 318 31 314 28 308 27 300 41415 39923 36 318 31 317 28 311 25 298 25 297 39923 38523 33 323 31 317 27 314 22 298 22 294 38523 37190 29 322 29 316 29 313 23 306 21 304 37190 35854 27 325 25 310 26 310 23 305 24 311 35854 34479 28 337 22 315 23 310 22 304 25 310 34479 33066 30 348 22 327 22 309 20 308 22 314 33066 31603 32 349 24 334 20 318 17 320 18 313 31603 30081 33 344 27 343 20 335 16 336 13 320 30081 28501 32 345 27 350 20 347 16 345 12 341 28501 26862 26 345 21 352 16 348 14 343 12 346 26862 25170 22 343 18 344 14 340 12 333 11 334 25170 23427 19 338 16 336 14 334 11 332 10 327 23427 21628 16 329 15 326 13 331 9 335 8 327 21628 19767 12 331 10 324 9 327 5 316 6 317 19767 17879 8 347 5 310 5 292 6 282 7 307 17879 16067 5 309 6 276 7 275 6 286 6 305 16067 14420 6 282 8 258 8 255 6 270 4 300 14420 12952 7 280 8 248 9 245 9 255 9 277 12952 11640 8 266 10 239 9 240 9 248 10 269 11640 10462 6 250 9 222 8 229 7 246 5 273 10462 9403 2 201 7 201 6 211 5 237 1 301 9403 8455 3 147 6 174 5 193 2 194 3 081 8455 7608 5 137 6 145 4 179 2 120 5 078 7608 6851 6 139 7 136 3 164 3 096 6 072 6851 6165 7 138 7 132 3 146 4 082 6 064 6165 5552 8 126 5*130 2 122 5 075 7 055 5552 5036 9 117 4*129 2 084 5 066 7 047 5036 4636 7 107 3 127 2 043 5 057 7 037 4636 4360 3 091 3 129 2 018 4 048 6 020 4360 4191 2*064 2 129 3*012 4*041 4*351 4191 4095 1*051 2 130 3*008 3*038 3*328 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography