DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/24 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1020z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1900z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 46.9 - - 48.3 - - 48.3 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - -1 - - 7 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4053 - - 4053 - - 4053 - - 4053 - - 4053 Hcrit BL Top 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 - - 4071 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1345 - - 3879 - - 4462 - - 3685 - - 1771 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 14 - - 22 - - 11 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 279 - - 307 - - 305 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -10 - - -6 - - -6 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -310 - - -1088 - - -1484 - - -1650 - - -1351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4381 - - 5160 - - 5555 - - 5721 - - 5422 sfcLCL ODpotential -2535 - - -2502 - - -3127 - - -4842 - - -4850 ODpotential blCL 6606 - - 6573 - - 7198 - - 8913 - - 8921 blCL maxRH 81 - - 90 - - 84 - - 88 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 46.9 - - 48.3 - - 48.3 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 38.5 - - 38.2 - - 37.4 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 46.7 - - 48.8 - - 49.1 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 37.4 - - 35.9 - - 34.1 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - -1 - - 7 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 59 - - 38 - - 51 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96952 14 077 23 093 20 096 23 102 11 052 96952 89840 21 103 22 102 27 103 23 099 22 095 89840 84307 23 112 23 112 29 104 23 098 23 101 84307 79693 21 114 20 115 24 110 21 094 23 103 79693 75699 18 104 16 121 20 114 18 097 19 104 75699 72159 13 097 16 105 12 111 16 087 13 106 72159 68944 11 096 13 093 8 123 10 076 9 088 68944 65975 12 058 5 108 6 116 5 065 3 058 65975 63213 8 333 5 059 1 248 7 353 5 042 63213 60533 11 321 7 008 3 254 9 304 13 338 60533 57733 19 326 14 320 6 324 12 335 14 332 57733 54831 24 297 23 302 21 313 22 329 24 335 54831 52060 22 287 25 302 28 306 29 322 29 325 52060 49560 23 295 20 311 33 313 38 324 37 329 49560 47315 28 305 31 317 38 315 44 324 43 325 47315 45274 33 302 38 306 43 313 43 327 41 328 45274 43395 39 298 40 302 40 313 44 337 45 335 43395 41654 43 294 37 306 41 326 58 329 57 322 41654 40055 43 300 40 322 58 322 61 306 61 308 40055 38587 48 309 58 324 60 309 55 302 56 300 38587 37227 54 309 61 316 52 307 48 305 50 303 37227 35928 55 309 61 323 53 322 50 316 51 310 35928 34625 58 316 84 335 65 325 61 321 58 310 34625 33290 70 327 105 332 72 322 68 318 65 308 33290 31923 82 331 105 331 69 321 67 314 67 306 31923 30506 82 330 102 334 63 318 65 312 60 305 30506 29029 74 326 76 335 62 319 60 312 52 302 29029 27497 69 322 54 317 63 325 54 310 48 300 27497 25910 70 318 57 304 59 326 51 310 44 299 25910 24270 69 316 61 305 53 314 48 323 40 300 24270 22580 59 316 61 307 57 302 43 327 37 301 22580 20833 43 305 58 312 58 298 41 310 35 304 20833 19026 40 290 51 319 46 300 42 301 34 308 19026 17199 42 280 40 316 35 310 38 304 32 310 17199 15451 42 276 33 303 30 314 31 303 28 308 15451 13867 38 276 30 297 30 309 28 303 26 307 13867 12459 33 274 26 297 30 305 27 304 24 308 12459 11202 29 272 21 298 27 302 24 306 22 308 11202 10078 27 268 18 299 22 297 21 304 18 305 10078 9072 27 264 19 298 17 290 17 298 13 297 9072 8173 26 261 20 295 15 289 14 295 10 288 8173 7373 26 263 21 289 15 290 12 297 8 289 7373 6660 26 268 22 283 15 292 12 298 8 297 6660 6014 25 272 22 280 14 294 12 298 9 303 6014 5438 22 274 22 278 14 297 12 298 11 303 5438 4953 17 273 20 277 13 299 11 299 11 302 4953 4578 13 269 18 277 12 301 11 300 10 300 4578 4318 9 261 15 278 11 303 10 301 9 298 4318 4160 7*257 13*278 9*306 8*303 7*295 4160 4070 4*252 10*279 8*307 6*305 6*293 4070 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography