DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 55.2 - - 57.9 - - 60.2 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 34 - - 42 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4054 - - 4054 - - 4054 - - 4054 - - 4055 Hcrit BL Top 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 665 - - 3408 - - 2337 - - 506 - - 245 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 34 - - 36 - - 24 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 293 - - 317 - - 133 - - 092 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1057 - - -1924 - - -3003 - - -4293 - - -4589 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5130 - - 5996 - - 7076 - - 8365 - - 8662 sfcLCL ODpotential -6394 - - -6962 - - -9549 - - -12340 - - -13861 ODpotential blCL 10466 - - 11034 - - 13621 - - 16412 - - 17933 blCL maxRH 68 - - 58 - - 45 - - 38 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 55.2 - - 57.9 - - 60.2 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 43.2 - - 41.3 - - 38.1 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 60.6 - - 64.7 - - 68.6 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.9 - - 41.1 - - 37.7 - - 31.4 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 34 - - 42 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98347 2 257 11 212 13 213 13 250 13 260 98347 90920 6 257 9 247 8 225 9 259 10 258 90920 85194 8 237 5 286 5 248 4 244 6 274 85194 80454 4 272 3 281 5 345 2 101 1 011 80454 76382 6 019 5 172 5 278 8 014 5 037 76382 72801 7 005 3 065 4 247 6 024 6 024 72801 69576 4 015 1 082 6 294 7 353 8 004 69576 66621 9 357 6 098 9 218 7 271 7 331 66621 63887 10 301 6 337 2 301 5 270 5 311 63887 61236 10 261 9 273 10 288 12 277 9 297 61236 58466 13 287 13 266 15 274 17 267 16 279 58466 55597 22 289 20 273 22 272 21 263 20 271 55597 52860 28 288 25 280 26 278 22 270 23 270 52860 50391 35 285 30 284 31 282 28 279 27 270 50391 48175 39 284 35 279 37 275 35 279 30 273 48175 46165 43 283 36 277 38 272 38 279 34 278 46165 44325 46 284 39 283 37 278 42 282 39 285 44325 42630 50 289 45 288 43 286 48 285 45 289 42630 41059 54 293 52 291 50 286 54 285 50 289 41059 39595 58 297 58 292 57 286 60 285 54 289 39595 38226 62 300 65 294 62 288 65 285 56 288 38226 36910 68 300 68 295 65 290 67 286 56 287 36910 35581 72 300 67 296 66 291 67 288 55 286 35581 34208 71 303 65 295 66 292 65 288 54 285 34208 32796 72 306 64 293 66 294 62 291 53 286 32796 31335 73 312 63 293 65 296 59 294 51 287 31335 29815 74 316 63 295 62 297 56 297 46 289 29815 28237 74 315 63 295 58 298 54 298 43 292 28237 26603 72 314 63 303 55 299 50 299 40 295 26603 24917 66 313 59 310 52 300 46 300 37 295 24917 23181 58 313 52 311 48 303 43 301 35 294 23181 21392 52 314 46 310 44 304 40 304 33 294 21392 19544 46 314 40 311 37 304 35 305 29 295 19544 17671 36 309 33 311 30 305 29 305 24 299 17671 15875 27 300 26 310 25 307 23 305 19 301 15875 14244 22 293 20 306 20 305 18 302 15 297 14244 12793 19 282 16 302 16 302 15 296 13 295 12793 11498 17 273 12 299 13 300 13 297 12 304 11498 10337 11 268 9 294 10 301 12 301 12 315 10337 9294 5 281 6 290 8 305 12 304 12 323 9294 8360 4 336 4 306 8 310 10 316 11 331 8360 7526 5 358 3 337 6 316 8 323 9 339 7526 6781 6 003 3 348 5 323 7 330 8 346 6781 6106 6 003 3 347 4 330 6 335 6 355 6106 5503 6 357 3 342 3 339 4 347 4 004 5503 4996 6 339 3 338 2 352 3 003 3 025 4996 4603 7 317 2 335 1 027 2 029 1 064 4603 4331 8 301 2 330 1 077 2 056 1 131 4331 4166 6*296 1*332 1*112 1*075 2*167 4166 4071 5*293 1*317 1*133 1*092 2*170 4071 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography