DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 49.5 - - 51.6 - - 51.8 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 19 - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 2528 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 6828 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3427 - - 5447 - - 6285 - - 2392 - - 5157 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 32 - - 27 - - 158 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 14 - - 33 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 243 - - 226 - - 248 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -7 - - -5 - - 22 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1272 - - -1767 - - -2140 - - 666 - - -2031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5365 - - 5860 - - 6235 - - 6163 - - 6126 sfcLCL ODpotential -2897 - - -2858 - - -3212 - - -1627 - - -3207 ODpotential blCL 6990 - - 6951 - - 7306 - - 8455 - - 7301 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 101 - - 81 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 100 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 49.5 - - 51.6 - - 51.8 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 37.8 - - 38.3 - - 38.7 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 49.0 - - 51.3 - - 51.4 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.6 - - 36.6 - - 37.1 - - 37.4 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 19 - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 2528 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 101 - - 102 - - 25 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96339 25 271 31 266 27 279 19 268 24 275 96339 89165 21 293 22 277 25 277 32 291 25 302 89165 83716 22 319 18 294 22 273 33 294 21 312 83716 79186 23 317 14 301 22 285 26 296 23 301 79186 75261 22 309 19 310 23 285 22 283 21 290 75261 71771 28 282 19 295 22 281 17 271 19 296 71771 68570 27 276 18 280 16 286 16 290 26 288 68570 65600 24 292 22 278 24 278 29 274 31 272 65600 62834 30 296 28 283 34 269 32 270 30 268 62834 60142 42 282 34 286 28 278 25 275 27 284 60142 57315 42 277 38 289 29 294 26 298 30 299 57315 54370 42 283 41 290 38 293 45 300 51 296 54370 51564 48 284 47 291 50 289 60 288 63 285 51564 49047 47 284 54 286 57 283 55 279 55 283 49047 46795 45 288 54 286 56 285 46 296 51 296 46795 44762 47 291 60 294 64 296 60 302 63 285 44762 42933 52 295 71 296 80 291 77 284 64 266 42933 41277 62 298 76 293 81 285 76 280 59 270 41277 39735 64 295 70 291 77 292 75 299 66 294 39735 38285 59 293 66 297 86 303 89 309 82 300 38285 36925 61 299 77 306 99 306 104 303 101 296 36925 35624 63 302 88 307 106 304 110 297 109 293 35624 34317 61 302 91 303 106 299 109 294 110 293 34317 32972 57 299 86 299 106 295 104 293 108 294 32972 31593 52 293 80 296 104 291 100 293 106 292 31593 30167 48 287 79 295 102 289 98 292 102 290 30167 28688 46 284 76 294 98 288 99 291 98 289 28688 27159 45 283 70 293 94 290 99 290 95 288 27159 25581 43 284 62 292 89 292 96 288 93 288 25581 23957 41 283 51 287 80 290 94 287 91 287 23957 22288 38 282 44 281 67 283 91 287 89 286 22288 20572 33 280 42 278 54 273 80 285 86 285 20572 18803 29 276 40 278 49 267 63 280 78 284 18803 17019 25 275 36 279 49 266 53 273 68 282 17019 15314 26 278 32 280 46 266 48 268 60 277 15314 13768 28 273 32 279 43 263 45 265 56 270 13768 12392 29 264 36 270 40 256 44 257 55 264 12392 11161 31 255 39 261 39 250 47 248 55 258 11161 10057 33 251 39 258 38 247 48 244 53 253 10057 9067 36 249 37 256 36 246 46 243 51 249 9067 8180 37 250 35 254 34 244 44 244 49 248 8180 7388 36 250 32 253 31 242 42*246 45 248 7388 6680 32 249 27 252 27 240 40*246 39 248 6680 6038 25 245 24 250 25 238 37 247 34 248 6038 5463 19 237 21 248 23 236 34 248 29 247 5463 4979 14 226 18 247 21 234 32 248 25 246 4979 4603 11 215 16 246 19 232 30 248 21 244 4603 4343 10 208 15 245 18 230 27 248 19 243 4343 4184 9*206 14*244 16*228 25 247 17*242 4184 4093 8*204 12*243 14*226 19 245 15*240 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography