DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/09 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 58.6 - - 63.3 - - 63.5 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 6 - - 13 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1073 - - 1764 - - 2678 - - 2387 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 23 - - 25 - - 10 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 124 - - 122 - - 112 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4687 - - -4864 - - -4337 - - -5506 - - -5262 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8782 - - 8958 - - 8433 - - 9601 - - 9357 sfcLCL ODpotential -13793 - - -13360 - - -10356 - - -12321 - - -12974 ODpotential blCL 17887 - - 17454 - - 14451 - - 16416 - - 17069 blCL maxRH 68 - - 77 - - 92 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 58.6 - - 63.3 - - 63.5 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 34.1 - - 41.0 - - 36.2 - - 35.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 58.4 - - 64.2 - - 66.0 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.8 - - 33.0 - - 39.8 - - 35.0 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 6 - - 13 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 66 - - 42 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96761 6 090 8 353 14 358 11 030 7 316 96761 89737 20 070 18 064 15 067 17 059 14 068 89737 84232 27 071 19 070 18 071 18 055 23 065 84232 79584 25 062 18 080 14 056 16 048 20 046 79584 75575 21 054 13 053 12 040 15 026 21 017 75575 72070 18 040 10 027 12 002 13 358 19 358 72070 68912 20 004 18 014 15 006 13 351 17 345 68912 66009 19 327 21 352 20 356 20 351 15 349 66009 63317 14 309 17 325 19 325 22 327 18 332 63317 60712 14 342 15 327 17 306 21 319 18 310 60712 57996 32 312 25 318 24 311 25 311 19 303 57996 55179 33 294 31 307 28 304 30 302 30 296 55179 52497 33 294 36 299 33 291 39 295 40 292 52497 50093 37 288 34 291 33 283 44 286 43 288 50093 47951 31 286 31 292 32 283 40 276 41 281 47951 46027 26 290 30 291 30 284 35 273 39 278 46027 44279 26 289 30 284 28 283 29 270 37 273 44279 42662 33 283 32 272 31 267 23 273 31 270 42662 41141 30 280 33 263 33 254 25 269 28 276 41141 39703 20 275 25 265 33 249 31 261 29 269 39703 38348 15 271 16 256 29 238 31 255 35 255 38348 37041 16 277 11 243 23 234 28 249 32 250 37041 35721 16 281 8 238 20 229 25 245 30 248 35721 34357 14 288 6 243 16 224 25 239 29 249 34357 32956 11 292 7 225 14 208 24 231 27 252 32956 31503 7 301 9 198 17 207 20 223 25 255 31503 29988 7 330 10 187 20 211 19 215 23 257 29988 28414 7 348 10 191 19 218 20 221 20 258 28414 26784 6 349 8 201 14 223 17 224 15 242 26784 25099 7 331 6 199 8 217 11 205 12 207 25099 23362 7 330 5 161 5 174 9 178 10 195 23362 21567 7 349 5 143 5 143 10 162 12 175 21567 19707 7 010 2 133 4 117 10 155 14 163 19707 17818 8 018 3 029 5 092 10 151 13 156 17818 16001 6 006 5 024 5 084 8 150 12 150 16001 14346 5 352 6 025 5 080 7 154 11 144 14346 12869 4 350 5 031 4 087 6 163 11 141 12869 11550 1 009 4 058 3 125 6 172 11 144 11550 10369 2 157 4 125 4 158 7 174 12 148 10369 9312 6 170 7 157 6 172 7 173 13 153 9312 8368 10 169 10 164 8 174 7 166 13 154 8368 7530 11 166 11 166 9 169 6 157 12 153 7530 6784 12 164 12 165 9 159 6 150 11 149 6784 6111 14 159 13 161 9 147 9 138 12 146 6111 5511 14 154 12 154 8 142 10 125 13 142 5511 5008 12 149 10 144 8 137 9 123 12 137 5008 4619 10 143 6 132 7 132 9 121 10 132 4619 4351 7 131 5 127 6 129 7 119 7 126 4351 4188 4*113 5*126 5*126 6*118 2*096 4188 4094 3*097 4*124 4*122 4*112 2*324 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography