DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 54.1 - - - - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - - - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - - - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3571 - - 3989 - - - - - 2091 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 23 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 135 - - - - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - - - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1426 - - -2229 - - - - - -1427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5520 - - 6323 - - - - - 5521 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3687 - - -4939 - - - - - -5922 ODpotential blCL - - - 7781 - - 9033 - - - - - 10016 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 89 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 54.1 - - - - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 40.4 - - - - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 54.9 - - - - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 39.2 - - - - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 56 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96184 14 355 12 334 16 329 96184 89105 12 012 8 321 17 315 89105 83612 23 347 14 334 7 326 83612 79030 20 320 15 319 17 315 79030 75097 11 275 9 300 13 317 75097 71630 19 302 20 266 12 328 71630 68456 26 300 16 296 21 296 68456 65535 16 307 23 260 25 244 65535 62845 13 226 23 212 14 206 62845 60215 23 192 20 188 6 254 60215 57437 31 258 31 249 53 250 57437 54558 72 263 67 253 76 248 54558 51811 85 264 84 256 83 249 51811 49329 89 260 92 256 89 251 49329 47102 87 257 97 252 91 252 47102 45086 83 257 99 251 90 252 45086 43243 85 260 98 253 89 253 43243 41546 92 261 98 254 93 254 41546 39979 94 257 97 252 100 255 39979 38531 89 251 93 248 108 253 38531 37188 83 247 89 248 111 250 37188 35908 82 247 87 250 107 248 35908 34619 82 251 86 252 102 248 34619 33292 80 254 85 252 98 249 33292 31927 76 254 83 252 95 249 31927 30514 71 253 81 252 91 249 30514 29043 66 251 78 251 87 248 29043 27518 64 251 76 248 80 247 27518 25939 66 251 74 246 72 246 25939 24310 67 253 72 246 67 247 24310 22633 65 256 67 250 68 251 22633 20902 63 259 61 255 67 253 20902 19112 63 260 57 260 65 254 19112 17297 66 258 55 265 62 253 17297 15552 70 256 54 267 57 253 15552 13964 71 254 53 264 50 258 13964 12548 68 252 53 258 46 263 12548 11282 66 249 55 250 45 265 11282 10148 64 246 58 244 45 262 10148 9132 63 244 60 240 47 255 9132 8225 60 244 59 238 52 246 8225 7418 54 244 55 238 56 239 7418 6699 47 245 49 239 56 237 6699 6049 39 244 43 239 52 238 6049 5470 29 243 36 239 43 241 5470 4982 22 241 29 239 33 243 4982 4605 15 236 22 238 24 245 4605 4343 11 229 15 237 16 246 4343 4184 8*220 8*234 12*245 4184 4093 5*201 1*135 8*239 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography