DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 49.4 - - 54.5 - - 56.2 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - -10 - - 7 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1476 - - 1446 - - 3766 - - 4597 - - 2591 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 7 - - 21 - - 20 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 061 - - 307 - - 307 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 3 - - -6 - - -4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -369 - - -72 - - -681 - - -922 - - -700 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4463 - - 4166 - - 4775 - - 5016 - - 4794 sfcLCL ODpotential -3507 - - -2670 - - -2536 - - -2370 - - -3267 ODpotential blCL 7601 - - 6764 - - 6630 - - 6464 - - 7361 blCL maxRH 97 - - 99 - - 97 - - 92 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 49.4 - - 54.5 - - 56.2 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 45.2 - - 47.6 - - 48.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 50.2 - - 55.5 - - 56.6 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 45.2 - - 46.7 - - 47.6 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - -10 - - 7 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 97 - - 89 - - 67 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96677 17 081 17 121 9 102 16 092 7 065 96677 89504 12 065 13 098 6 146 15 063 7 048 89504 83935 5 057 10 075 5 080 9 051 10 049 83935 79311 8 330 7 021 6 020 11 332 14 018 79311 75334 1 006 12 022 6 355 12 321 15 009 75334 71821 18 350 16 334 19 329 22 312 13 338 71821 68647 24 302 13 309 22 292 27 282 23 307 68647 65742 12 322 16 326 19 294 21 287 14 292 65742 63035 34 320 39 309 34 308 30 305 18 321 63035 60388 55 291 54 300 51 303 51 304 42 307 60388 57638 57 275 64 291 65 294 67 297 63 304 57638 54801 55 281 67 280 67 284 72 290 73 296 54801 52086 62 281 68 283 65 286 72 286 75 287 52086 49636 70 283 80 285 82 288 83 283 84 288 49636 47449 90 283 95 281 97 279 97 278 99 284 47449 45483 98 272 95 273 97 274 104 276 104 278 45483 43696 90 268 88 265 96 270 105 273 103 276 43696 42050 83 274 76 274 91 269 98 273 101 278 42050 40518 83 280 87 294 80 276 95 281 103 281 40518 39078 93 286 107 294 95 284 101 284 100 283 39078 37722 101 287 104 287 103 285 105 282 97 284 37722 36417 103 285 94 280 106 283 107 282 98 283 36417 35098 103 282 86 276 106 281 107 284 99 280 35098 33735 100 281 91 274 101 279 104 285 99 281 33735 32334 98 281 95 274 96 276 91 280 99 284 32334 30883 99 282 96 275 95 275 87 274 95 285 30883 29374 96 281 90 276 87 276 89 270 90 283 29374 27809 89 279 77 273 82 279 81 271 87 278 27809 26194 83 277 71 271 80 280 76 280 80 273 26194 24535 79 276 70 273 74 280 72 286 70 276 24535 22832 77 276 70 275 69 279 67 288 66 285 22832 21077 72 278 67 277 63 278 60 289 65 290 21077 19262 65 281 59 280 56 278 50 286 57 294 19262 17424 56 283 51 284 48 279 42 285 41 295 17424 15659 49 284 46 286 41 282 37 288 30 291 15659 14053 45 281 43 285 38 287 33 290 28 290 14053 12623 44 278 41 281 36 288 30 288 28 290 12623 11345 43 275 39 275 35 285 27 285 26 289 11345 10202 42 274 37 271 34 279 26 282 25 287 10202 9179 40 275 36 271 33 275 25 281 23 285 9179 8265 36 278 34 271 31 274 23 281 21 282 8265 7452 33 279 31 271 28 275 23 282 20 280 7452 6726 30 278 27 271 25 276 21 285 18 279 6726 6070 25 277 21 273 20 279 20 287 17 281 6070 5484 18 280 15 279 16 282 18 290 15 287 5484 4991 10 291 9 291 13 285 17 293 13 294 4991 4610 5 324 5 320 10 289 15 295 10 303 4610 4346 5 029 4 000 8 293 14 298 8 311 4346 4185 8*057 5*044 6*298 12*300 5*343 4185 4093 8*075 6*061 4*307 7*307 5*032 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography