DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.6 - - 48.3 - - 55.3 - - 56.1 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 53 - - 27 - - 2 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 471 - - 1175 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4053 - - 4053 - - 4054 - - 4054 - - 4053 Hcrit BL Top 4070 - - 4771 - - 5475 - - 4071 - - 4071 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 820 - - 931 - - 1257 - - 2191 - - 737 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 128 - - 146 - - 23 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 140 - - 152 - - 139 - - 130 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3596 - - -4771 - - -5554 - - -6393 - - -5929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7666 - - 9543 - - 11029 - - 10465 - - 10001 sfcLCL ODpotential -11448 - - -12096 - - -13130 - - -11574 - - -12079 ODpotential blCL 15518 - - 16867 - - 18605 - - 15645 - - 16150 blCL maxRH 72 - - 49 - - 54 - - 74 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.6 - - 48.3 - - 55.3 - - 56.1 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 21.2 - - 21.5 - - 24.7 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.7 - - 47.9 - - 54.8 - - 55.9 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 19.9 - - 15.9 - - 18.8 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 53 - - 27 - - 2 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 471 - - 1175 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96085 45 302 42 304 42 304 46 307 47 300 96085 89130 21 334 22 341 21 322 26 325 27 322 89130 83700 16 359 17 006 10 340 16 334 19 332 83700 79140 14 008 13 008 7 347 11 336 14 342 79140 75175 12 360 9 352 6 318 9 322 10 343 75175 71653 11 350 7 333 7 303 9 297 9 330 71653 68452 11 337 6 310 9 289 11 290 9 313 68452 65501 13 317 9 308 9 275 12 290 12 304 65501 62758 15 304 14 304 12 272 15 283 17 292 62758 60102 17 302 15 304 15 276 18 279 20 288 60102 57332 21 300 18 301 18 284 22 286 25 287 57332 54460 24 298 22 297 20 292 23 289 31 284 54460 51723 25 299 25 296 24 297 25 297 31 285 51723 49260 24 302 26 296 28 300 30 295 34 288 49260 47054 23 302 24 297 30 301 31 302 39 285 47054 45066 20 306 23 306 30 307 35 302 37 279 45066 43261 19 314 25 311 30 308 34 296 31 278 43261 41608 19 321 23 315 29 312 28 298 31 283 41608 40079 19 323 24 319 31 316 28 310 33 286 40079 38655 18 314 23 317 32 321 35 311 33 291 38655 37317 16 291 19 315 33 323 40 309 33 295 37317 36030 11 251 16 307 31 326 37 307 34 295 36030 34729 9 245 13 269 18 316 32 309 34 292 34729 33389 9 257 10 258 13 289 25 324 32 287 33389 32013 13 263 9 252 16 251 16 312 27 285 32013 30590 17 263 12 262 13 239 16 286 22 283 30590 29110 18 245 16 264 12 252 18 271 15 277 29110 27579 17 222 16 251 13 254 16 263 16 254 27579 25995 14 201 15 235 14 236 13 242 18 233 25995 24358 14 194 15 218 16 225 15 226 19 227 24358 22669 17 189 19 202 18 220 16 218 19 221 22669 20929 23 183 23 194 21 215 17 213 19 213 20929 19133 24 182 23 191 23 211 19 214 20 206 19133 17316 19 187 19 189 22 208 20 215 21 203 17316 15572 14 195 15 192 18 206 20 215 22 203 15572 13984 11 206 13 200 16 208 17 216 21 203 13984 12566 10 215 11 209 14 215 16 217 19 203 12566 11297 9 222 11 213 13 220 14 217 17 202 11297 10159 9 226 11 215 12 220 13 218 14 199 10159 9138 9 221 11 213 11 218 12 220 12 197 9138 8225 9 208 11 206 11 211 11 220 10 197 8225 7412 10 191 11 198 10 199 9 213 9 195 7412 6687 10 176 11 187 9 185 8 197 8 192 6687 6032 11 166 11 177 9*173 7 178 9 186 6032 5449 12 161 11 169 9*153 9 158 9 181 5449 4959 13 156 11*160 10 139 10 142 9 173 4959 4581 12 149 10*153 10 137 11 133 9 165 4581 4320 11 142 9 152 9 136 11 131 9 156 4320 4161 9*140 9 151 9 135 10*130 7*153 4161 4070 8*140 8 151 9 135 9*130 6*153 4070 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography