DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 48.8 - - 51.9 - - 52.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1670 - - 1875 - - 2280 - - 1754 - - 710 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 23 - - 25 - - 9 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 291 - - 310 - - 332 - - 125 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1243 - - -1410 - - -1515 - - -1813 - - -1339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5337 - - 5504 - - 5609 - - 5907 - - 5433 sfcLCL ODpotential -6196 - - -6361 - - -5140 - - -5687 - - -5676 ODpotential blCL 10290 - - 10455 - - 9234 - - 9781 - - 9770 blCL maxRH 76 - - 85 - - 98 - - 93 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 48.8 - - 51.9 - - 52.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 39.1 - - 41.6 - - 41.1 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 48.4 - - 51.6 - - 53.3 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 38.4 - - 40.8 - - 40.0 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 39 - - 92 - - 74 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96574 35 103 24 096 23 083 28 072 19 110 96574 89401 27 079 20 095 17 078 19 068 20 079 89401 83865 19 076 17 083 14 077 8 036 22 049 83865 79283 12 063 18 047 17 043 11 056 16 033 79283 75334 8 070 10 071 16 019 16 022 13 013 75334 71840 12 027 7 056 11 357 15 019 12 010 71840 68663 9 005 6 007 14 340 20 344 13 344 68663 65751 9 333 18 316 13 323 21 329 16 312 65751 63074 13 311 20 345 11 329 17 317 20 309 63074 60491 14 336 32 343 29 337 33 324 33 317 60491 57799 29 339 36 325 37 319 37 318 47 315 57799 54996 32 341 35 316 39 313 48 314 53 305 54996 52305 36 336 38 325 44 315 49 311 51 303 52305 49867 41 335 45 331 50 320 53 316 52 313 49867 47669 47 339 52 331 55 324 58 320 60 321 47669 45664 52 340 56 328 56 325 64 324 65 323 45664 43818 55 340 58 325 54 325 69 329 70 328 43818 42116 55 344 62 330 51 329 76 336 81 332 42116 40546 60 349 63 336 73 342 84 337 87 329 40546 39091 73 355 80 342 91 346 82 336 83 324 39091 37728 90 356 84 345 100 348 83 342 80 327 37728 36418 103 355 96 356 106 349 82 348 78 333 36418 35096 111 356 117 001 105 351 78 352 79 337 35096 33736 115 358 123 001 101 352 83 348 82 338 33736 32344 115 359 113 359 97 351 88 346 87 338 32344 30907 108 359 93 351 93 349 89 345 87 338 30907 29412 96 357 79 343 87 348 84 344 85 337 29412 27861 87 356 70 342 79 348 78 343 80 335 27861 26253 81 355 63 341 71 350 75 342 75 331 26253 24592 75 354 62 345 60 347 72 341 70 328 24592 22884 71 353 59 353 56 343 65 340 65 327 22884 21123 68 353 51 349 55 342 57 338 60 328 21123 19306 64 354 48 346 55 340 53 337 53 329 19306 17465 57 357 46 347 52 329 51 337 47 329 17465 15694 48 359 42 351 38 312 49 338 42 331 15694 14084 39 003 37 353 24 313 46 340 40 332 14084 12648 32 007 30 352 22 327 43 341 38 333 12648 11366 27 009 23 348 23 329 41 339 36 333 11366 10219 22 009 17 346 22 325 36 334 33 333 10219 9191 16 007 12 347 19 320 31 325 30 332 9191 8274 12 357 8 348 16 315 25 316 27 327 8274 7458 11 345 6 345 14 310 21 315 23 318 7458 6729 11 343 6 342 13 307 18 317 21 306 6729 6071 11 341 6 338 12 304 16 317 18 294 6071 5483 11 330 7 325 12 302 15 312 16 283 5483 4990 11 317 8 312 9 307 14 305 12 273 4990 4609 9 307 7 306 8 316 11 296 8 258 4609 4345 6 298 5 306 7 321 8 290 4 220 4345 4185 5*291 5*308 6*327 5*286 4*128 4185 4093 4*291 4*310 5*332 1*125 5*111 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography