DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/26 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.2 - - 53.1 - - 54.6 - - 55.8 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 42 - - 37 - - 25 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1347 - - 2051 - - 1726 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 5647 - - 6351 - - 6026 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3791 - - 1416 - - 1676 - - 2740 - - 3373 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 176 - - 196 - - 167 - - 39 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 25 - - 26 - - 24 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 252 - - 255 - - 270 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 16 - - 13 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 17 - - -13 - - -12 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2397 - - -664 - - 63 - - -298 - - -1690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6492 - - 6311 - - 6288 - - 6324 - - 5784 sfcLCL ODpotential -5791 - - -5718 - - -3238 - - -2099 - - -5481 ODpotential blCL 9885 - - 11365 - - 9589 - - 8125 - - 9575 blCL maxRH 94 - - 95 - - 100 - - 88 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.2 - - 53.1 - - 54.6 - - 55.8 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 39.5 - - 41.1 - - 42.0 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.0 - - 52.3 - - 54.0 - - 55.3 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 38.4 - - 39.9 - - 40.9 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 42 - - 37 - - 25 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1347 - - 2051 - - 1726 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 81 - - 99 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96914 27 283 30 291 16 284 32 271 33 283 96914 89735 23 282 23 282 14 279 22 272 16 285 89735 84184 22 292 17 272 17 278 23 286 23 296 84184 79579 21 287 12 283 17 279 22 272 19 271 79579 75588 12 295 3 307 10 203 12 248 11 268 75588 72049 23 308 22 321 18 311 25 315 22 307 72049 68896 26 271 29 280 36 300 25 307 15 302 68896 65998 24 288 29 232 25 280 12 305 15 324 65998 63265 11 342 16 300 23 233 24 327 28 312 63265 60595 45 323 31 314 25 282 49 301 44 303 60595 57820 57 308 47 296 52 284 59 289 56 290 57820 54968 67 296 65 289 63 284 60 286 60 284 54968 52260 79 288 78 284 69 284 64 285 64 280 52260 49823 86 282 82 278 73 279 66 278 65 272 49823 47626 80 282 75 277 70 276 63 278 58 276 47626 45615 73 293 69 286 67 285 65 293 68 301 45615 43768 86 308 80 304 83 300 89 303 92 308 43768 42069 110 307 107 305 110 300 113 300 110 302 42069 40501 126 295 125 295 124 292 123 293 113 289 40501 39045 131 285 130 287 123 286 120 287 108 282 39045 37681 126 281 123 290 115 287 113 283 104 282 37681 36366 128 291 122 301 114 297 108 283 106 290 36366 35038 142 303 129 304 117 300 105 285 109 297 35038 33670 144 304 121 300 116 297 104 288 109 298 33670 32267 135 300 113 294 113 293 103 290 102 291 32267 30816 132 296 119 292 113 292 103 288 88 282 30816 29306 128 295 122 292 116 292 103 288 99 279 29306 27744 119 292 118 291 117 294 103 287 100 283 27744 26135 110 289 113 291 117 294 102 286 99 285 26135 24478 100 289 106 292 115 294 100 284 97 285 24478 22772 84 289 96 293 108 298 101 283 93 288 22772 21008 75 286 83 290 91 301 101 286 87 293 21008 19186 70 284 69 285 73 294 96 294 80 297 19186 17344 61 284 58 280 71 286 81 300 70 298 17344 15581 54 285 57 276 67 277 58 296 58 296 15581 13983 52 283 60 272 65 266 50 287 50 294 13983 12562 53 274 61 269 63 264 51 278 47 291 12562 11292 53 267 60 267 63 265 54 267 47 289 11292 10157 50 262 58 266 61 264 57 259 49 283 10157 9140 45 260 54 266 57 261 57 257 50 276 9140 8233 40 259 50 263 51 257 52 258 52 268 8233 7426 34 258 45 259 44 255 47 260 51 265 7426 6707 28 261 40 255 37*254 40 262 49 266 6707 6057 22 266 35*253 32*254 34*265 44 270 6057 5476 17 275 30*252 29 255 29*267 38 274 5476 4986 12 285 27 252 26 255 26 269 32 280 4986 4607 10 296 24 252 24 256 23 271 26 285 4607 4345 9 300 22 251 23 256 21 272 23 289 4345 4185 8*302 20 251 21 256 19 272 21*290 4185 4093 7*306 15 250 17 256 16 273 18*292 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography