DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 42.6 - - 45.5 - - 45.0 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - -2 - - 10 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2113 - - 3690 - - 4435 - - 4409 - - 3651 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 13 - - 24 - - 17 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 141 - - 204 - - 319 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 3 - - -1 - - -4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -224 - - -754 - - -1993 - - -770 - - -906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4317 - - 4848 - - 6086 - - 4863 - - 4999 sfcLCL ODpotential -1642 - - -2178 - - -3242 - - -1940 - - -2436 ODpotential blCL 5735 - - 6271 - - 7335 - - 6033 - - 6529 blCL maxRH 94 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 42.6 - - 45.5 - - 45.0 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 35.5 - - 32.9 - - 37.7 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.3 - - 42.4 - - 45.3 - - 44.9 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 34.7 - - 32.3 - - 36.9 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - -2 - - 10 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96508 17 302 2 330 11 256 11 298 12 301 96508 89264 4 019 3 028 2 003 12 359 10 007 89264 83681 9 032 8 053 1 008 8 345 14 004 83681 79041 11 003 12 030 6 014 6 335 11 336 79041 75038 7 336 8 344 7 358 2 281 9 323 75038 71493 0 152 10 282 10 307 8 322 10 324 71493 68271 4 280 14 261 15 289 14 307 10 325 68271 65288 10 300 15 268 19 277 20 299 14 308 65288 62515 20 303 19 284 21 277 29 295 27 294 62515 59832 24 291 22 294 27 286 31 290 30 307 59832 57017 32 293 34 298 35 288 36 293 40 306 57017 54072 44 291 40 293 44 294 45 294 50 295 54072 51254 43 291 41 295 48 297 52 289 51 288 51254 48731 41 297 44 298 51 297 50 288 46 290 48731 46480 45 298 51 297 55 296 51 296 51 298 46480 44442 55 296 57 292 62 298 63 300 58 295 44442 42583 61 293 60 293 71 296 74 296 65 292 42583 40870 63 288 65 292 79 293 78 291 75 290 40870 39276 62 282 68 287 79 290 77 289 82 285 39276 37790 56 280 67 282 74 286 76 289 83 280 37790 36403 52 277 63 278 68 283 75 289 79 280 36403 35085 49 274 56 275 61 281 74 289 76 287 35085 33774 46 269 51 272 54 280 72 290 78 293 33774 32438 43 264 47 268 53 279 67 290 83 294 32438 31080 37 262 44 266 56 277 59 285 86 294 31080 29682 31 248 39 264 56 275 54 279 82 294 29682 28234 32 226 31 257 51 275 54 278 72 292 28234 26741 32 227 29 242 39 274 47 281 62 288 26741 25206 26 237 33 238 28 258 32 278 51 284 25206 23630 18 244 37 237 28 241 26 254 39 279 23630 22014 18 254 38 239 30 242 31 248 34 269 22014 20349 22 254 33 245 30 245 35 259 35 268 20349 18633 25 254 25 248 30 240 34 266 34 270 18633 16895 26 254 19 248 33 239 29 266 30 269 16895 15224 26 251 15 248 32 245 24 259 28 264 15224 13701 27 242 20 249 27 249 24 252 30 258 13701 12339 29 226 29 244 26 247 25 254 31 257 12339 11119 33 208 32 231 29 243 25 258 32 260 11119 10023 38 198 29 218 27 240 25 260 32 262 10023 9037 38 191 25 203 21 237 25 260 31 264 9037 8153 33 185 22 187 15 227 22 262 30 264 8153 7365 28 177 21 172 11 214 18 265 28 265 7365 6660 27 169 22 163 9 206 14 269 25 266 6660 6022 25 162 21 159 6 199 11 276 20 269 6022 5452 22 156 17 151 5 197 8 286 15 272 5452 4971 19 151 15 146 4 198 6 299 10 274 4971 4598 16 144 13 143 3 199 5 307 7 276 4598 4340 14 140 11 142 3 199 4 313 4 278 4340 4183 13*139 10*141 3*201 4*317 2*289 4183 4092 11*138 8*141 3*204 4*319 2*079 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography