DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.6 - - 41.3 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 42 - - 29 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2158 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 6458 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4138 - - 2274 - - 3539 - - 4574 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 41 - - 199 - - 35 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 235 - - 237 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 21 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1777 - - -154 - - -2825 - - -2652 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5871 - - 6613 - - 6918 - - 6745 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2983 - - -2406 - - -5610 - - -4189 ODpotential blCL - - - 7076 - - 8864 - - 9703 - - 8282 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 82 - - 68 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.6 - - 41.3 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 27.8 - - 25.2 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 42.0 - - 40.8 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 26.6 - - 23.9 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 42 - - 29 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2158 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95947 25 344 28 347 26 003 19 017 95947 89000 22 339 22 350 21 019 19 007 89000 83602 17 326 26 337 14 026 14 013 83602 79070 12 313 16 306 15 338 16 343 79070 75135 10 311 8 334 11 271 16 291 75135 71621 15 316 13 300 7 298 8 305 71621 68383 26 256 16 285 10 272 10 317 68383 65373 32 222 26 249 17 261 15 275 65373 62583 21 256 27 242 22 252 27 237 62583 59878 18 287 28 250 23 256 24 243 59878 57038 38 273 32 260 32 262 26 256 57038 54076 54 253 44 259 44 259 31 259 54076 51238 55 247 52 259 49 257 36 265 51238 48681 55 242 55 258 48 259 42 265 48681 46399 55 237 57 252 49 256 47 260 46399 44337 59 239 62 245 52 252 49 255 44337 42451 69 240 67 239 54 247 48 254 42451 40712 74 238 69 233 55 242 46 254 40712 39101 76 238 69 231 56 239 45 252 39101 37604 84 239 70 233 57 240 45 250 37604 36213 92 240 75 238 62 241 49 248 36213 34887 102 241 85 241 68 240 53 244 34887 33564 113 240 95 239 72 238 53 241 33564 32217 121 238 102 237 71 237 46 239 32217 30852 122 237 104 236 69 237 36 243 30852 29458 118 237 100 237 63 237 29 250 29458 28027 106 239 89 239 51 238 21 257 28027 26563 86 239 76 240 36 243 14 261 26563 25060 72 238 63 241 26 256 9 258 25060 23513 64 237 51 244 26 260 8 247 23513 21918 58 238 42 248 26 258 10 235 21918 20268 55 240 37 252 26 261 10 237 20268 18559 52 241 37 252 27 271 9 255 18559 16824 53 239 40 244 28 278 11 268 16824 15154 58 233 44 233 28 281 12 274 15154 13632 60 226 41 228 28 279 14 273 13632 12271 58 224 38 229 29 275 16 269 12271 11054 53 226 37 230 30 269 21 263 11054 9962 46 229 36 232 31 262 26 258 9962 8984 39 232 35 234 31 255 30 253 8984 8109 35 236 32 235 30 248 30 250 8109 7329 32 238 28 236 28 243 27 246 7329 6633 28 240 23*236 25 242 22 242 6633 6002 24 240 20*236 21 242 18 239 6002 5437 19 241 17 235 18 242 14 236 5437 4962 16 241 16 235 15 242 11 235 4962 4593 13 240 14 235 13 241 9 233 4593 4337 12 240 13 234 12 240 8 233 4337 4182 11*240 12 233 10*239 7*233 4182 4092 10*238 11 232 9*237 7*232 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography