DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.9 - - 48.0 - - 51.6 - - 52.6 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2070 - - 2505 - - 3415 - - 3667 - - 2481 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 27 - - 28 - - 20 - - 22 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 125 - - 128 - - 095 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2654 - - -2678 - - -3018 - - -3809 - - -2873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6748 - - 6771 - - 7112 - - 7904 - - 6967 sfcLCL ODpotential -8040 - - -8234 - - -7705 - - -8825 - - -8113 ODpotential blCL 12133 - - 12327 - - 11799 - - 12919 - - 12207 blCL maxRH 57 - - 69 - - 58 - - 79 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.9 - - 48.0 - - 51.6 - - 52.6 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 32.8 - - 34.8 - - 32.4 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 47.6 - - 51.2 - - 52.6 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.9 - - 31.9 - - 33.6 - - 31.2 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96536 15 109 10 145 2 120 9 346 14 088 96536 89447 18 097 16 098 7 108 12 073 18 090 89447 83959 14 077 18 099 12 119 12 096 15 088 83959 79375 9 101 13 090 12 123 6 122 9 072 79375 75408 8 124 6 077 4 102 3 114 1 138 75408 71884 8 103 3 176 3 228 2 326 2 168 71884 68674 1 338 8 182 3 240 4 227 3 253 68674 65718 10 254 9 189 6 240 7 219 7 227 65718 62974 10 218 10 211 10 211 11 246 9 242 62974 60314 5 274 8 225 8 215 14 229 12 259 60314 57551 9 278 9 269 5 278 6 234 10 242 57551 54687 9 285 9 306 3 296 11 295 8 242 54687 51952 8 317 11 329 6 353 9 311 7 287 51952 49500 8 031 7 003 8 341 9 346 17 354 49500 47313 12 058 9 082 8 360 10 354 22 343 47313 45323 24 055 23 076 13 051 5 058 12 341 45323 43492 35 029 29 044 24 039 14 048 8 040 43492 41797 33 010 29 029 25 028 23 025 17 032 41797 40231 22 039 24 023 23 033 25 023 26 019 40231 38780 22 059 18 031 19 036 23 030 29 012 38780 37427 21 059 18 043 17 040 20 033 22 018 37427 36133 21 050 19 043 17 049 19 041 23 052 36133 34828 22 037 18 035 17 049 19 048 23 052 34828 33485 20 037 13 033 14 044 18 045 25 039 33485 32111 18 044 10 060 14 070 18 067 21 032 32111 30693 17 056 11 072 12 070 18 075 19 046 30693 29214 15 057 9 058 12 064 17 062 19 055 29214 27676 14 054 11 053 13 076 16 060 19 052 27676 26082 15 053 13 060 15 084 16 058 18 050 26082 24434 18 048 15 067 15 075 17 049 18 047 24434 22736 21 050 16 067 15 062 18 045 20 050 22736 20985 23 046 17 069 16 061 18 044 21 051 20985 19176 24 049 17 072 15 058 18 045 21 050 19176 17342 23 059 17 071 14 056 17 051 18 053 17342 15581 22 070 16 070 13 055 14 060 14 060 15581 13980 18 074 15 082 9 072 8 075 9 067 13980 12555 13 081 14 100 7 108 5 113 6 085 12555 11285 10 095 14 117 8 135 7 148 6 134 11285 10148 10 112 13 128 10 145 10 158 10 158 10148 9132 12 124 13 137 12 147 12 160 12 164 9132 8224 13 130 13 143 12 146 10 158 11 163 8224 7417 13 132 12 143 12 144 8 152 9 156 7417 6698 13 133 11 142 11 136 7 138 7 146 6698 6048 12 134 10 139 9 127 7 118 7 139 6048 5469 11 136 8 136 8 125 6 109 8 128 5469 4981 9 136 5 130 7 126 6 107 8 117 4981 4604 7 134 3 123 6 127 5 104 6 108 4604 4343 4 135 2 123 6 127 4 100 4 098 4343 4184 3*140 2*124 5*129 4*096 3*089 4184 4093 2*144 1*125 5*128 3*095 2*085 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography