DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 49.7 - - 50.1 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 12 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1195 - - 1925 - - 2141 - - 1444 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 25 - - 8 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 339 - - 324 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5162 - - -5109 - - -5352 - - -6513 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9255 - - 9204 - - 9446 - - 10608 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14476 - - -12606 - - -12839 - - -14729 ODpotential blCL - - - 18569 - - 16700 - - 16933 - - 18823 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 90 - - 88 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 49.7 - - 50.1 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 24.2 - - 23.6 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 50.1 - - 51.9 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.2 - - 23.1 - - 22.4 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 12 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 61 - - 53 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96114 21 035 19 033 24 072 11 094 96114 89056 25 054 23 073 18 055 31 044 89056 83638 24 054 25 070 20 039 30 041 83638 79128 22 053 22 056 24 042 21 048 79128 75218 21 047 21 049 26 045 14 055 75218 71756 23 029 20 025 26 034 19 059 71756 68620 25 021 20 006 26 026 25 047 68620 65732 24 016 19 349 25 010 25 023 65732 63050 25 007 21 343 24 001 29 010 63050 60452 27 357 25 346 28 356 31 359 60452 57736 32 348 32 353 34 349 31 347 57736 54900 38 346 37 342 37 338 34 334 54900 52170 40 341 36 336 41 328 38 330 52170 49693 40 331 40 338 40 324 40 325 49693 47460 41 322 44 327 44 325 41 322 47460 45430 42 319 49 315 54 318 51 323 45430 43565 45 322 54 312 57 315 57 318 43565 41838 51 322 53 315 53 313 52 313 41838 40238 52 320 48 319 49 313 50 307 40238 38763 55 311 48 315 50 305 52 299 38763 37407 56 310 50 311 48 300 50 293 37407 36127 57 312 50 303 49 302 48 294 36127 34840 56 309 51 300 52 302 52 294 34840 33509 55 304 49 304 53 301 51 294 33509 32140 52 312 44 306 48 303 47 296 32140 30722 46 323 39 305 41 307 44 300 30722 29245 35 307 35 304 38 305 41 304 29245 27712 29 299 34 299 36 303 35 308 27712 26124 20 310 28 300 30 305 32 312 26124 24486 15 313 16 290 21 304 24 313 24486 22801 13 307 15 291 16 302 18 308 22801 21061 11 305 13 292 16 307 13 312 21061 19260 10 308 12 291 15 307 15 316 19260 17427 9 314 11 290 13 306 16 314 17427 15660 7 318 10 290 11 306 13 314 15660 14048 6 316 10 294 9 310 11 312 14048 12610 5 305 10 295 8 313 8 312 12610 11325 5 292 10 298 8 313 7 312 11325 10176 6 275 10 299 7 309 7 306 10176 9148 7 260 10 295 7 304 7 298 9148 8231 8 246 11 286 8 295 8 290 8231 7418 8 230 10 275 7 285 7 281 7418 6695 8 207 7 259 4 269 5 268 6695 6043 8 192 3 238 2 234 3 236 6043 5464 8 181 1 230 1 183 3 188 5464 4977 6 169 0 127 1 123 3 170 4977 4602 4 146 0 003 1 013 3 153 4602 4342 3 106 1 348 2 342 2 125 4342 4183 3*092 2*339 2*330 1*099 4183 4093 3*088 2*339 2*324 1*071 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography