DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 62.0 - - 65.1 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 41 - - 13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3655 - - 5558 - - 6622 - - 5310 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 37 - - 26 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 115 - - 114 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5886 - - -6737 - - -6110 - - -8030 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9980 - - 10832 - - 10205 - - 12125 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11718 - - -11268 - - -9361 - - -13599 ODpotential blCL - - - 15812 - - 15363 - - 13456 - - 17694 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 47 - - 41 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 62.0 - - 65.1 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 29.0 - - 34.7 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 61.6 - - 65.3 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.8 - - 27.8 - - 33.5 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 41 - - 13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96874 25 263 32 259 31 275 38 286 96874 89652 24 280 27 258 26 268 32 274 89652 84114 20 272 21 270 18 263 23 274 84114 79531 20 253 22 272 21 286 14 292 79531 75589 16 255 23 264 23 292 14 307 75589 72108 11 270 18 266 21 289 14 317 72108 68948 13 303 18 284 20 288 17 315 68948 66027 18 301 19 283 19 286 19 291 66027 63303 22 292 23 282 20 289 23 285 63303 60653 25 278 27 285 27 299 27 286 60653 57874 29 271 32 275 33 290 29 286 57874 54964 30 267 32 267 34 277 32 277 54964 52165 31 263 32 261 35 268 35 269 52165 49639 32 269 32 260 35 268 33 268 49639 47378 33 273 32 266 34 268 32 269 47378 45332 31 276 34 272 35 267 33 267 45332 43471 28 281 34 270 33 267 32 270 43471 41776 28 281 31 267 34 270 31 273 41776 40232 24 284 24 275 27 264 27 261 40232 38813 19 283 20 288 19 278 20 253 38813 37491 17 281 18 287 16 292 17 257 37491 36219 15 274 18 283 16 302 12 262 36219 34931 13 269 19 281 15 310 10 268 34931 33602 11 276 21 278 15 306 8 273 33602 32234 11 287 18 280 18 286 10 283 32234 30819 12 304 12 294 15 274 12 284 30819 29348 16 320 12 303 11 268 10 269 29348 27822 18 323 15 307 10 289 7 266 27822 26240 19 322 16 311 11 311 5 308 26240 24604 20 327 16 320 12 320 6 346 24604 22913 18 336 13 328 9 326 4 015 22913 21164 14 344 11 338 7 330 5 049 21164 19351 11 359 9 351 6 353 7 069 19351 17510 9 018 8 005 5 030 7 103 17510 15741 6 038 5 023 4 087 8 139 15741 14133 6 068 3 103 5 143 9 160 14133 12702 7 100 6 142 7 154 11 161 12702 11422 9 121 9 146 9 144 11 154 11422 10275 11 130 10 138 8 126 10 137 10275 9246 12 134 10 131 10 123 10 115 9246 8324 13 135 11 129 10 121 9 103 8324 7502 13 135 11 127 10 120 9 100 7502 6768 13 136 10 126 9 119 8 102 6768 6102 12 135 9 125 9 120 7 105 6102 5508 10 134 9 125 8 121 6 108 5508 5007 9 134 7 124 7 121 5 111 5007 4619 7 133 6 122 6 120 4 113 4619 4351 6 133 5 120 5 118 3 106 4351 4188 6*133 4*116 5*116 1*050 4188 4094 5*134 4*115 4*114 1*337 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography