DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 44.4 - - 51.2 - - 50.6 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 13 - - 9 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 903 - - 1108 - - 1853 - - 1713 - - 965 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 27 - - 24 - - 14 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 110 - - 353 - - 322 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5739 - - -5875 - - -6208 - - -5748 - - -5210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9832 - - 9968 - - 10303 - - 9843 - - 9305 sfcLCL ODpotential -15814 - - -15793 - - -14567 - - -14168 - - -14157 ODpotential blCL 19907 - - 19886 - - 18661 - - 18262 - - 18251 blCL maxRH 40 - - 47 - - 36 - - 27 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 44.4 - - 51.2 - - 50.6 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.6 - - 15.9 - - 20.9 - - 22.3 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.1 - - 44.1 - - 51.4 - - 51.4 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.5 - - 14.8 - - 20.0 - - 21.3 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 13 - - 9 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96677 24 294 23 300 38 295 28 295 28 284 96677 89658 13 349 10 313 21 320 14 340 11 287 89658 84155 12 001 7 315 15 345 11 342 10 320 84155 79538 9 013 7 351 5 334 12 310 14 333 79538 75542 12 010 9 002 10 358 11 277 17 307 75542 72004 10 356 9 331 16 346 9 297 16 308 72004 68800 21 341 15 326 19 319 19 337 16 329 68800 65860 25 322 24 321 24 310 29 332 20 323 65860 63136 28 321 29 323 24 312 29 323 23 313 63136 60492 36 314 33 321 26 305 32 302 29 308 60492 57729 38 306 37 310 34 301 37 294 37 302 57729 54861 37 308 41 298 43 296 43 296 46 299 54861 52121 45 315 43 290 54 292 48 299 51 294 52121 49650 53 312 41 295 51 293 52 297 52 293 49650 47429 54 306 42 300 47 297 54 288 52 293 47429 45410 50 295 39 295 36 290 44 280 52 291 45410 43563 38 292 39 302 34 309 31 292 43 277 43563 41876 30 288 35 296 37 310 28 310 26 285 41876 40324 24 283 30 274 34 295 16 350 4 243 40324 38879 25 341 21 326 25 299 17 337 11 043 38879 37524 29 353 28 012 8 050 14 311 12 005 37524 36225 19 340 27 011 22 077 7 240 9 276 36225 34926 13 326 25 358 19 075 11 155 9 226 34926 33596 14 334 20 353 15 052 16 117 12 174 33596 32234 15 337 16 347 19 028 15 105 18 145 32234 30822 14 335 14 349 22 015 10 100 15 133 30822 29349 14 340 10 339 12 360 9 088 13 125 29349 27815 15 346 9 323 9 351 9 073 12 122 27815 26223 15 344 7 331 8 351 4 076 9 135 26223 24576 14 325 5 325 5 352 2 216 7 168 24576 22877 13 319 5 317 3 306 6 251 5 212 22877 21121 13 319 6 318 4 272 6 269 5 238 21121 19302 14 315 10 321 6 306 5 288 3 238 19302 17455 16 321 13 323 8 318 5 287 3 236 17455 15677 14 330 10 324 6 301 5 279 3 252 15677 14061 11 328 8 317 6 283 5 291 2 272 14061 12622 10 320 6 304 7 281 6 307 3 285 12622 11338 10 314 6 298 7 284 7 311 4 296 11338 10187 10 310 6 292 8 284 9 306 6 305 10187 9158 9 296 5 278 9 280 10 300 7 310 9158 8240 9 273 6 257 9 275 10 292 8 312 8240 7425 8 246 6 233 9 268 9 282 7 309 7425 6700 7 226 7 210 7 257 5 265 4 309 6700 6047 5 209 8 196 4 248 2 235 2 334 6047 5466 4 190 7 186 1 272 1 134 2 023 5466 4978 3 162 6 170 1 009 2 042 2 027 4978 4602 4 139 5 148 2 011 3 001 2 032 4602 4342 4 117 5 121 3 004 4 339 2 047 4342 4183 4*104 4*115 3*355 5*327 1*063 4183 4093 4*098 4*110 3*353 5*322 1*059 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography