DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1324z - - 1553z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.3 - - 76.8 - - 82.4 - - 84.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 33 - - 39 - - 12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1433 - - 2758 - - 6086 - - 10576 - - 9029 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 37 - - 39 - - 28 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 347 - - 012 - - 044 - - 039 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7144 - - -9053 - - -7621 - - -6295 - - -6496 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11239 - - 13150 - - 11717 - - 10391 - - 10592 sfcLCL ODpotential -12927 - - -14891 - - -11152 - - -8691 - - -9308 ODpotential blCL 17022 - - 18987 - - 15248 - - 12787 - - 13404 blCL maxRH 31 - - 21 - - 21 - - 26 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 140 - - 1190 - - 640 CAPE Temp@2m 72.3 - - 76.8 - - 82.4 - - 84.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 33.7 - - 45.3 - - 53.0 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.0 - - 76.4 - - 82.0 - - 85.1 - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 32.6 - - 44.1 - - 51.8 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 33 - - 39 - - 12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99206 29 111 23 111 22 102 26 086 29 099 99206 91769 24 107 27 113 19 114 18 100 24 104 91769 86011 20 096 24 112 21 120 20 111 19 104 86011 81192 16 117 17 099 20 115 19 099 13 106 81192 77043 19 105 10 091 19 110 17 103 12 089 77043 73399 16 091 14 102 13 099 14 109 12 088 73399 70106 14 083 12 109 8 096 8 085 14 093 70106 67078 10 075 12 107 4 102 8 068 11 090 67078 64286 5 089 12 076 9 106 7 074 6 063 64286 61608 7 099 3 028 10 066 9 091 3 090 61608 58831 7 082 5 149 1 239 3 021 4 079 58831 55953 4 187 6 156 4 239 2 206 6 098 55953 53217 9 188 13 206 16 240 14 254 9 280 53217 50773 9 247 16 203 19 212 24 228 19 243 50773 48583 25 259 21 239 18 238 22 221 21 225 48583 46580 39 248 34 246 31 251 27 249 27 243 46580 44736 47 237 46 239 42 246 37 250 37 251 44736 43032 49 231 50 234 47 243 41 253 42 254 43032 41445 52 234 52 237 49 243 43 256 44 254 41445 39961 56 237 54 241 47 245 41 259 44 254 39961 38568 56 236 52 240 39 245 32 258 43 254 38568 37234 53 236 46 239 31 248 25 253 40 254 37234 35894 53 235 39 247 25 253 18 246 31 249 35894 34519 48 242 34 254 22 258 13 254 20 241 34519 33110 37 252 28 259 19 261 15 262 18 241 33110 31650 32 262 25 261 20 257 18 261 18 243 31650 30131 30 269 23 260 22 250 22 264 18 248 30131 28554 28 271 22 259 21 243 23 263 16 249 28554 26920 25 268 21 255 20 243 21 258 16 249 26920 25232 22 267 21 250 18 246 20 256 17 248 25232 23489 16 270 17 246 15 245 17 252 16 249 23489 21687 16 255 13 234 12 236 12 242 15 258 21687 19820 21 241 18 235 14 234 18 240 15 256 19820 17930 23 228 24 236 21 238 29 231 27 232 17930 16120 26 211 24 230 26 237 25 224 28 218 16120 14476 25 208 25 219 23 231 18 228 13 217 14476 13008 21 210 23 216 18 227 17 235 6 256 13008 11692 19 207 20 214 17 229 13 249 5 281 11692 10509 16 204 17 211 15 233 11 258 5 316 10509 9445 14 204 15 209 12 237 8 270 5 334 9445 8490 12 210 13 207 10 238 6 288 7 342 8490 7637 8 225 9 207 6 243 5 317 8 344 7637 6875 5 251 5 216 4 250 4 348 9 345 6875 6184 3 292 2 251 1 294 5 011 10 344 6184 5566 5 315 2 317 3 030 6 022 11 343 5566 5045 6 323 2 341 5 037 7 029 11 342 5045 4642 6 325 2 010 6 042 7 035 11 342 4642 4363 5 337 2 014 6 043 6 037 10 342 4363 4193 5*343 2*016 6*045 6*040 8*341 4193 4095 4*347 2*012 5*044 5*039 6*339 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography