DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 47.2 - - 47.6 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2766 - - 4392 - - 4536 - - 2739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 26 - - 14 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 277 - - 303 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1685 - - -2408 - - -1585 - - -1650 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5779 - - 6501 - - 5679 - - 5743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3866 - - -4004 - - -2731 - - -4288 ODpotential blCL - - - 7959 - - 8097 - - 6825 - - 8381 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 81 - - 82 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 47.2 - - 47.6 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 33.0 - - 37.0 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 46.8 - - 47.5 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.6 - - 32.3 - - 36.0 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 23 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 21 285 30 291 35 307 36 286 96358 89238 17 294 19 306 23 311 19 288 89238 83741 14 278 18 303 20 315 16 295 83741 79161 11 259 21 292 23 306 25 297 79161 75204 12 271 20 283 21 289 28 281 75204 71692 16 270 20 274 20 274 24 268 71692 68484 22 269 23 265 22 271 22 268 68484 65515 23 266 25 263 23 284 22 272 65515 62753 23 264 27 265 28 288 23 266 62753 60064 22 266 24 263 28 287 24 270 60064 57253 24 264 24 265 30 276 29 278 57253 54346 22 275 24 281 26 263 26 271 54346 51573 23 275 27 291 21 290 18 290 51573 49074 17 276 22 284 24 297 28 302 49074 46843 17 307 15 291 23 284 30 287 46843 44831 17 318 12 297 18 292 22 299 44831 43014 18 339 16 334 25 318 23 304 43014 41357 23 347 19 331 22 322 23 336 41357 39819 16 006 12 345 14 316 38 342 39819 38387 22 038 34 020 27 001 38 344 38387 37053 46 031 51 015 36 003 24 349 37053 35779 62 024 57 014 32 006 19 344 35779 34495 63 023 48 016 23 007 23 342 34495 33171 54 023 38 020 20 359 28 342 33171 31813 45 027 33 020 21 356 29 344 31813 30405 42 029 33 014 23 356 31 348 30405 28938 35 037 32 007 23 357 35 351 28938 27414 29 043 28 005 24 355 39 352 27414 25833 25 044 19 360 24 349 42 351 25833 24200 20 044 19 352 23 343 40 352 24200 22516 14 037 19 346 22 334 34 351 22516 20776 6 023 11 340 21 324 27 350 20776 18976 5 292 7 292 18 320 18 351 18976 17158 11 275 10 267 13 304 18 313 17158 15420 21 262 17 268 16 269 25 281 15420 13846 23 259 22 269 21 264 28 278 13846 12446 22 253 22 261 21 261 26 275 12446 11197 21 243 21 248 19 257 23 267 11197 10079 19 235 21 242 19 258 21 261 10079 9077 18 234 20 243 18 261 20 259 9077 8180 16 234 17 247 16 264 19 262 8180 7382 14 235 14 252 14 269 18 265 7382 6671 12 236 10 255 12 275 17 268 6671 6028 10 236 8 257 11 280 16 270 6028 5455 7 233 6 261 11 284 13 270 5455 4972 5 229 5 266 10 287 10 269 4972 4599 2 224 3 273 10 291 7 268 4599 4341 1 200 3 276 9 294 4 266 4341 4183 1*192 3*278 8*297 3*263 4183 4092 0*189 2*277 6*303 2*256 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography