DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.5 - - 49.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 15 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 718 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5018 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1599 - - 5163 - - 6078 - - 3580 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 96 - - 27 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 135 - - 171 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 5 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -749 - - -2785 - - -2391 - - -877 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5767 - - 6879 - - 6485 - - 4972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4500 - - -4457 - - -3360 - - -2352 ODpotential blCL - - - 9518 - - 8551 - - 7454 - - 6446 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 94 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.5 - - 49.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.6 - - 33.5 - - 35.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 49.6 - - 50.3 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 32.4 - - 34.5 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 15 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 718 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 78 - - 84 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96922 37 101 26 084 37 093 31 090 96922 89779 35 103 23 095 38 098 35 094 89779 84206 26 106 24 100 26 103 29 091 84206 79533 22 103 21 116 16 116 19 085 79533 75483 18 094 15 121 10 109 12 069 75483 71904 10 093 13 141 4 123 7 074 71904 68669 5 070 10 141 4 160 8 144 68669 65678 3 325 6 144 4 211 2 105 65678 62892 12 257 5 270 7 222 6 293 62892 60183 13 250 17 262 13 242 11 273 60183 57337 18 249 23 247 21 236 23 237 57337 54366 20 258 20 242 21 235 24 228 54366 51515 27 277 24 257 26 250 24 241 51515 48945 43 259 41 249 35 254 26 255 48945 46642 51 237 43 239 44 245 32 258 46642 44553 45 232 41 243 46 242 41 257 44553 42647 42 247 49 245 56 242 53 244 42647 40903 51 247 51 245 57 239 54 231 40903 39297 52 238 57 242 58 234 52 226 39297 37810 48 236 65 239 62 231 52 226 37810 36431 50 238 76 236 68 229 56 227 36431 35126 54 240 78 230 72 225 65 227 35126 33829 60 244 71 226 73 223 75 225 33829 32512 67 243 68 225 66 220 78 226 32512 31176 64 237 67 222 60 219 62 224 31176 29805 60 236 64 220 60 220 37 213 29805 28383 60 238 61 224 60 217 37 208 28383 26909 61 238 62 227 57 212 31 213 26909 25383 59 236 62 227 56 210 32 218 25383 23807 58 235 59 228 55 213 35 223 23807 22184 53 235 55 230 52 217 37 221 22184 20510 45 235 50 233 45 220 38 217 20510 18780 39 234 41 231 35 219 36 215 18780 17025 36 231 29 221 29 209 36 214 17025 15333 32 223 23 209 27 200 38 211 15333 13787 31 221 21 209 24 199 39 207 13787 12404 31 221 20 215 21 185 37 203 12404 11167 29 217 21 218 19 169 29 198 11167 10057 20 209 19 218 18 160 21 192 10057 9063 11 191 13 208 15 154 17 182 9063 8173 12 169 12 179 16 156 14 171 8173 7381 15 162 14 160 16 157 14 162 7381 6673 14 159 15 151 15 158 14 154 6673 6032 12 155 15 147 14 160 14 148 6032 5458 16*143 15 144 13 163 14 141 5458 4975 15*137 14 142 12 166 13 133 4975 4600 14 136 13 141 12 168 10 123 4600 4341 14 136 12 139 11 170 7 111 4341 4183 13 137 11*137 10*170 5*099 4183 4093 11 138 8*135 8*171 3*054 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography