DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.7 - - 79.8 - - 74.2 - - 76.8 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 41 - - 27 - - -55 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3883 - - 3883 - - 3883 - - 3883 - - 3883 Hcrit BL Top 3900 - - 3901 - - 3901 - - 3901 - - 3900 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 997 - - 3375 - - 110 - - 146 - - 292 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 36 - - 32 - - 22 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 11 - - 16 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 284 - - 253 - - 271 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -1 - - -14 - - -22 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4386 - - -6420 - - -6620 - - -8279 - - -6954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8286 - - 10321 - - 10522 - - 12181 - - 10854 sfcLCL ODpotential -9371 - - -10860 - - -13032 - - -13674 - - -13560 ODpotential blCL 13271 - - 14761 - - 16933 - - 17575 - - 17460 blCL maxRH 61 - - 31 - - 21 - - 16 - - 15 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.7 - - 79.8 - - 74.2 - - 76.8 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.9 - - 48.1 - - 42.2 - - 37.3 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.4 - - 79.6 - - 83.7 - - 79.8 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 41.0 - - 27.9 - - 31.6 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 41 - - 27 - - -55 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99281 19 101 17 115 20 109 18 120 16 081 99281 92425 18 104 15 105 17 107 17 107 13 098 92425 87019 20 105 13 105 15 101 17 096 15 109 87019 82472 19 103 13 113 12 093 16 093 16 106 82472 78526 19 097 16 115 9 097 14 090 18 101 78526 75031 18 091 17 116 9 117 11 090 17 098 75031 71862 15 089 16 113 10 128 8 098 14 094 71862 68942 11 094 14 110 11 130 6 131 10 100 68942 66239 7 108 11 114 9 133 6 162 6 123 66239 63628 5 153 8 125 8 146 7 176 5 173 63628 60909 7 195 5 170 7 181 9 191 5 195 60909 58085 11 211 8 210 10 211 11 209 10 226 58085 55395 15 221 15 226 17 231 16 230 22 248 55395 52989 19 235 23 237 27 241 28 248 30 250 52989 50836 28 247 32 244 36 245 35 248 31 254 50836 48871 35 250 37 249 37 253 34 253 36 263 48871 47059 41 249 43 250 42 256 39 261 45 269 47059 45379 45 248 48 248 49 255 48 264 56 270 45379 43813 47 248 49 247 54 254 56 263 65 269 43813 42347 47 251 50 249 56 254 61 262 70 267 42347 40967 48 254 51 253 56 255 63 262 72 266 40967 39633 50 256 54 257 57 258 64 262 73 267 39633 38279 51 257 58 259 59 261 65 264 73 268 38279 36874 51 257 60 259 61 263 67 265 74 269 36874 35421 49 257 59 258 61 261 69 265 74 270 35421 33904 46 256 56 255 58 257 69 262 74 269 33904 32310 42 251 52 253 54 252 67 259 72 267 32310 30638 40 244 48 251 50 246 63 255 68 263 30638 28888 40 236 46 250 46 243 56 250 63 260 28888 27060 40 230 43 247 42 242 48 245 54 257 27060 25159 39 225 40 240 36 239 41 239 45 251 25159 23177 36 221 37 231 33 230 35 232 37 242 23177 21106 34 214 34 222 32 221 31 225 32 235 21106 18989 32 205 31 215 31 215 28 219 28 233 18989 16943 28 195 29 209 28 213 23 219 23 237 16943 15078 23 184 27 205 22 216 19 225 20 243 15078 13418 18 176 25 204 17 230 16 235 18 254 13418 11942 15 177 22 210 15 247 16 247 19 266 11942 10629 11 192 20 220 16 251 18 258 21 273 10629 9464 9 214 17 235 15 252 20 264 23 278 9464 8433 8 239 14 244 15 252 21 267 24 281 8433 7525 7 259 12 247 15 252 22 268 24 283 7525 6724 7 277 10 249 14 252 22 268 25 284 6724 6008 8 292 7 251 14 252 22 269 25 285 6008 5376 9 301 5 257 13 252 22 269 25 285 5376 4848 9 303 3 265 13 251 22 269 24 285 4848 4443 8 297 2 274 12 251 21 270 23 285 4443 4164 7 288 1 286 12 251 20 270 21 286 4164 3996 7*285 1*289 11*252 19*271 18*286 3996 3899 6*284 1*284 11*253 16*271 13*286 3899 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography