DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 48.1 - - 52.9 - - 55.0 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 0 - - 2 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 495 - - 854 - - 1449 - - 1835 - - 712 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 12 - - 16 - - 8 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 357 - - 274 - - 228 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -10 - - -8 - - -9 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4764 - - -4260 - - -5920 - - -6569 - - -6188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8858 - - 8354 - - 10014 - - 10663 - - 10283 sfcLCL ODpotential -15228 - - -14513 - - -14832 - - -15320 - - -16133 ODpotential blCL 19322 - - 18607 - - 18926 - - 19414 - - 20227 blCL maxRH 51 - - 57 - - 47 - - 46 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 48.1 - - 52.9 - - 55.0 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 26.6 - - 24.3 - - 23.5 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 48.9 - - 54.7 - - 58.4 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 25.4 - - 23.1 - - 22.3 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 0 - - 2 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96435 23 094 13 071 18 060 34 076 31 103 96435 89542 30 083 21 092 16 100 24 083 33 087 89542 84137 32 077 24 090 21 095 13 111 20 071 84137 79584 27 075 24 081 22 087 15 097 15 076 79584 75623 20 059 18 088 18 084 21 071 23 066 75623 72117 20 057 16 090 14 091 13 061 25 062 72117 68944 17 053 15 084 14 066 7 069 16 067 68944 66021 10 067 13 067 13 067 9 050 8 033 66021 63313 16 050 17 052 15 077 15 061 5 048 63313 60711 17 043 24 027 20 063 25 066 11 116 60711 58028 14 048 20 013 20 034 26 038 13 075 58028 55266 17 061 8 069 20 004 18 002 11 357 55266 52634 24 051 19 086 8 037 18 325 12 322 52634 50247 28 047 20 077 15 100 15 307 15 325 50247 48082 29 042 20 082 18 120 6 272 18 322 48082 46089 27 036 23 070 20 113 14 161 17 289 46089 44249 23 028 22 062 17 093 22 145 18 211 44249 42547 15 064 14 066 6 071 16 135 30 177 42547 40967 21 118 8 099 2 012 3 069 19 173 40967 39501 28 139 12 146 6 196 16 346 5 045 39501 38142 31 147 17 166 15 195 23 290 19 278 38142 36843 28 142 18 174 21 195 26 262 26 259 36843 35533 25 133 14 163 20 193 26 238 27 245 35533 34181 18 124 9 137 16 187 25 235 25 259 34181 32791 13 134 5 124 10 177 22 237 24 256 32791 31351 12 141 3 107 4 173 18 240 24 257 31351 29851 7 141 3 106 2 161 13 246 23 259 29851 28291 4 146 4 122 3 136 9 252 13 266 28291 26672 3 115 6 133 6 143 7 260 6 258 26672 24997 5 092 7 139 9 156 6 240 6 220 24997 23270 7 097 8 144 9 157 6 214 5 245 23270 21486 7 098 8 150 8 161 3 220 6 331 21486 19635 5 093 7 152 5 156 3 321 9 009 19635 17753 4 059 4 145 2 098 6 349 9 028 17753 15937 5 040 3 096 2 056 4 010 7 044 15937 14281 6 053 4 113 1 178 1 041 3 078 14281 12801 7 079 9 141 4 186 2 154 3 159 12801 11479 8 112 14 150 7 188 4 157 7 166 11479 10298 12 131 17 155 9 185 7 152 10 159 10298 9243 14 138 17 157 10 178 10 148 13 153 9243 8305 14 141 16 153 10 167 13 145 15 148 8305 7474 13 139 14 148 9 151 14 143 16 144 7474 6736 12 138 13 142 10 136 15 140 16 142 6736 6073 12 137 12 137 10 125 15 137 15 141 6073 5483 11 135 9 131 9 114 14 140 13 141 5483 4989 10 128 6 116 7 104 13 142 10 140 4989 4608 8 113 4 075 5 092 11 144 7 131 4608 4345 6 089 5 032 2 087 8 148 3 102 4345 4185 3*044 4*021 0*190 6*152 3*063 4185 4093 3*345 3*357 2*274 2*228 2*356 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography