DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 58.9 - - 67.0 - - 71.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 15 - - 29 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 484 - - 921 - - 525 - - 1654 - - 1974 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 26 - - 33 - - 21 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 127 - - 059 - - 045 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4671 - - -5166 - - -5798 - - -6518 - - -6353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8765 - - 9261 - - 9894 - - 10614 - - 10449 sfcLCL ODpotential -14804 - - -14849 - - -12723 - - -12393 - - -13197 ODpotential blCL 18898 - - 18943 - - 16818 - - 16488 - - 17292 blCL maxRH 55 - - 67 - - 48 - - 50 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 58.9 - - 67.0 - - 71.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 33.2 - - 38.4 - - 39.7 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 61.6 - - 69.1 - - 74.3 - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 32.1 - - 37.3 - - 38.5 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 15 - - 29 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96578 11 239 17 270 15 246 15 276 11 244 96578 89492 4 119 6 223 9 236 9 320 5 169 89492 84033 9 101 11 136 10 221 10 284 5 012 84033 79486 7 100 9 115 4 176 7 240 6 336 79486 75568 4 150 4 115 6 112 6 197 4 296 75568 72093 3 155 1 151 1 083 1 211 7 315 72093 68941 4 355 6 325 6 283 5 343 7 346 68941 66053 11 341 14 341 8 341 6 346 7 314 66053 63392 18 328 18 318 18 338 12 358 7 335 63392 60829 16 326 16 309 25 317 19 327 11 007 60829 58155 21 322 19 314 25 306 24 308 22 318 58155 55374 28 309 27 313 23 301 24 300 27 303 55374 52710 29 302 32 300 27 310 29 303 27 298 52710 50301 31 302 33 294 34 299 34 300 29 293 50301 48140 43 291 41 299 36 288 39 287 36 290 48140 46191 47 285 50 290 43 293 42 288 41 286 46191 44416 55 289 52 286 48 298 44 297 42 290 44416 42775 64 290 54 288 49 294 49 289 41 291 42775 41240 63 294 56 295 49 291 55 286 42 282 41240 39799 62 296 59 298 51 292 57 288 47 283 39799 38441 59 296 62 300 54 294 58 289 52 285 38441 37130 55 295 59 302 57 296 57 290 55 284 37130 35801 52 294 57 302 59 297 57 291 60 284 35801 34428 51 295 54 300 58 297 60 291 59 285 34428 33016 49 295 51 297 55 300 59 293 57 286 33016 31552 46 293 48 293 50 300 51 296 55 289 31552 30027 45 289 46 288 47 291 48 293 54 290 30027 28444 47 286 45 282 47 282 49 285 50 283 28444 26804 49 283 46 280 50 283 53 282 54 278 26804 25112 50 283 49 282 51 286 54 286 57 279 25112 23373 49 288 50 286 49 289 49 290 51 286 23373 21580 46 294 48 291 45 291 45 291 44 289 21580 19725 41 302 44 299 39 294 40 293 39 291 19725 17842 35 312 36 307 30 298 32 297 33 288 17842 16030 26 321 27 308 21 291 23 294 27 281 16030 14382 17 319 17 302 16 275 18 279 21 269 14382 12912 11 304 10 289 16 262 19 262 19 258 12912 11598 7 290 8 267 16 261 18 259 17 256 11598 10421 6 266 8 255 15 268 15 264 13 259 10421 9366 6 246 9 246 14 271 13 270 10 266 9366 8422 7 233 9 236 11 270 11 277 7 274 8422 7580 7 216 10 219 10 271 9 288 7 284 7580 6828 7 199 10 203 7 275 7 302 8 293 6828 6148 6 187 9 190 5 288 6 321 10 297 6148 5539 4 178 8 181 3 319 5 351 12 298 5539 5027 3 173 6 173 2 015 5 011 13 299 5027 4631 2 149 4 160 3 042 5 025 12 300 4631 4357 2 097 3 148 4 054 5 035 9 300 4357 4190 3*069 3*138 4*056 4*040 6*296 4190 4094 2*059 2*127 3*059 3*045 3*291 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography