DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1600z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.3 - - 60.0 - - 63.5 - - 68.3 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 42 - - 49 - - -55 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4054 - - 4054 - - 4055 - - 4055 - - 4055 Hcrit BL Top 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 - - 4073 - - 4073 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 243 - - 92 - - 86 - - 47 - - 68 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 36 - - 39 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 1 - - 3 - - 15 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 314 - - 017 - - 273 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 2 - - 0 - - -12 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3758 - - -5018 - - -6231 - - -6999 - - -5210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7831 - - 9090 - - 10304 - - 11073 - - 9284 sfcLCL ODpotential -12706 - - -14020 - - -15135 - - -13993 - - -12772 ODpotential blCL 16778 - - 18092 - - 19207 - - 18066 - - 16845 blCL maxRH 27 - - 24 - - 32 - - 27 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.3 - - 60.0 - - 63.5 - - 68.3 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 35.0 - - 33.5 - - 34.8 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 71.2 - - 77.0 - - 75.9 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 30.2 - - 27.1 - - 32.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 42 - - 49 - - -55 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99095 36 104 40 108 39 116 34 113 38 105 99095 91565 33 101 37 110 32 112 31 115 33 107 91565 85769 26 113 32 109 28 117 22 115 29 103 85769 80967 25 129 20 113 25 113 24 115 25 110 80967 76838 25 110 20 139 16 113 18 092 21 116 76838 73200 19 103 21 135 11 154 10 088 16 111 73200 69906 11 090 18 133 15 158 6 150 10 100 69906 66885 10 118 9 123 10 157 7 149 6 107 66885 64099 4 136 4 147 10 190 7 222 4 170 64099 61414 11 178 11 191 10 203 18 212 7 209 61414 58626 7 236 11 205 13 219 13 224 16 239 58626 55751 21 248 25 246 26 249 29 253 23 242 55751 53017 29 248 32 248 34 249 36 249 31 246 53017 50554 42 265 43 262 44 257 45 255 43 255 50554 48352 64 267 62 264 64 263 62 260 64 262 48352 46366 76 264 76 264 76 262 77 260 83 261 46366 44553 87 266 85 266 86 263 85 261 90 260 44553 42876 94 265 92 265 92 261 91 259 93 260 42876 41308 98 265 97 264 93 260 93 257 94 257 41308 39833 100 265 97 262 93 260 93 257 93 256 39833 38443 99 266 96 262 89 261 91 258 92 256 38443 37107 94 268 93 264 86 260 89 258 90 255 37107 35760 88 269 89 264 86 258 88 257 88 254 35760 34376 83 269 84 264 85 259 86 256 86 254 34376 32957 78 270 79 264 83 260 84 257 83 255 32957 31492 72 272 73 265 79 262 80 259 79 256 31492 29969 62 274 67 267 75 263 75 261 72 257 29969 28392 56 276 60 268 69 263 68 261 64 256 28392 26759 53 277 55 268 61 263 63 260 59 256 26759 25073 48 278 51 269 55 263 60 262 56 259 25073 23336 38 276 45 270 48 264 54 264 51 261 23336 21546 28 272 38 268 41 265 44 263 43 260 21546 19701 24 269 30 265 34 263 34 260 35 260 19701 17830 22 264 25 266 31 258 27 256 28 260 17830 16030 21 256 22 267 28 258 22 248 23 256 16030 14388 20 251 20 263 23 256 18 243 20 251 14388 12922 20 249 18 259 21 253 15 247 17 249 12922 11608 17 247 16 260 20 253 13 254 15 253 11608 10430 13 245 15 261 18 256 14 262 15 263 10430 9371 9 243 13 260 15 259 15 269 16 274 9371 8424 5 248 12 260 13 263 17 271 18 283 8424 7579 5 279 9 264 10 269 18 272 21 287 7579 6823 6 306 7 272 7 279 18 273 22 288 6823 6139 9 318 6 282 5 295 19 273 23 288 6139 5527 10 320 4 291 4 318 19 273 23 288 5527 5011 12 309 3 304 3 340 19 274 23 288 5011 4612 12 299 2 319 3 003 19 274 22 289 4612 4335 10 297 2 329 3 015 18 274 20 289 4335 4167 9*297 1*331 3*018 17*273 18*289 4167 4072 8*296 1*314 3*017 15*273 14*288 4072 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography