DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.3 - - 65.8 - - 74.1 - - 74.8 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 41 - - 48 - - 5 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1648 - - 3973 - - 8523 - - 9253 - - 2518 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 37 - - 40 - - 26 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 135 - - 359 - - 315 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3662 - - -3411 - - -7214 - - -6148 - - -5179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7757 - - 7507 - - 11310 - - 10244 - - 9275 sfcLCL ODpotential -9365 - - -6585 - - -10292 - - -8158 - - -8365 ODpotential blCL 13459 - - 10680 - - 14387 - - 12253 - - 12460 blCL maxRH 44 - - 64 - - 51 - - 54 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 430 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 60.3 - - 65.8 - - 74.1 - - 74.8 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 47.1 - - 38.7 - - 44.0 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 65.5 - - 73.7 - - 75.4 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 45.9 - - 37.4 - - 42.8 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 41 - - 48 - - 5 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97734 2 230 14 237 17 283 12 300 9 309 97734 90296 6 262 11 278 11 267 12 249 11 283 90296 84583 7 276 10 251 12 265 8 258 11 306 84583 79869 4 321 4 231 12 267 12 295 7 332 79869 75817 9 324 4 327 4 266 8 301 5 339 75817 72239 8 351 11 332 7 006 5 347 5 344 72239 69006 17 339 15 333 14 339 10 348 8 352 69006 66040 19 339 14 325 14 338 15 347 12 348 66040 63296 22 335 14 334 16 339 18 357 10 353 63296 60635 21 320 20 324 20 321 23 341 15 351 60635 57864 19 331 16 327 19 316 26 325 23 332 57864 55009 21 331 21 336 20 320 23 312 23 326 55009 52309 27 334 25 340 17 325 21 322 23 319 52309 49888 32 340 32 347 27 331 29 312 24 306 49888 47710 36 345 37 332 31 318 31 309 28 300 47710 45729 40 341 41 323 40 318 40 302 45 301 45729 43922 45 333 50 319 52 307 53 296 60 294 43922 42260 44 328 55 312 55 304 54 294 61 293 42260 40710 40 323 50 308 56 306 59 298 65 296 40710 39254 31 323 42 302 57 305 64 301 70 298 39254 37885 27 326 38 297 56 304 67 302 74 300 37885 36569 25 324 35 293 52 301 68 302 76 300 36569 35244 19 318 29 285 47 294 65 302 74 300 35244 33884 15 299 27 282 44 283 56 298 68 301 33884 32493 15 287 26 284 42 281 52 293 60 301 32493 31055 14 293 26 286 40 282 52 291 55 297 31055 29559 16 288 28 287 37 279 48 290 54 295 29559 28009 18 281 29 289 35 280 41 283 50 294 28009 26406 20 279 29 292 34 282 37 279 43 290 26406 24753 22 281 27 294 33 285 36 280 39 284 24753 23051 24 281 27 290 30 287 35 283 36 285 23051 21296 25 279 26 285 27 288 31 284 28 287 21296 19481 26 276 24 281 25 287 27 285 23 284 19481 17640 23 275 23 276 23 283 23 288 19 284 17640 15869 16 274 21 270 21 279 18 289 12 286 15869 14258 12 268 18 264 19 274 15 285 5 316 14258 12819 12 265 18 257 16 266 12 283 9 005 12819 11530 12 263 18 251 16 267 12 286 11 000 11530 10371 12 260 16 246 15 269 12 288 12 350 10371 9329 11 261 11 237 14 272 13 292 13 339 9329 8394 8 271 9 229 12 275 13 296 13 327 8394 7559 7 291 7 228 10 280 14 300 15 316 7559 6813 6 318 5 228 8 287 14 303 17 306 6813 6137 9 321 4 234 7 297 14 306 19 301 6137 5532 11 321 2 238 5 310 14 309 20 299 5532 5024 11 316 1 217 4 327 14 311 20 298 5024 4629 9 310 1 119 4 343 14 312 18 297 4629 4356 5 308 1 113 3 354 13 314 16 299 4356 4190 4*313 1*126 3*357 12*314 13*299 4190 4094 3*320 1*135 3*359 10*315 7*305 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography