DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.5 - - 47.8 - - 52.1 - - 55.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 15 - - 36 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1720 - - 4810 - - 7607 - - 9255 - - 7474 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 27 - - 35 - - 25 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 32 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 331 - - 328 - - 321 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1493 - - -2311 - - -4360 - - -5558 - - -3151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5586 - - 6406 - - 8455 - - 9652 - - 7245 sfcLCL ODpotential -4150 - - -4010 - - -5674 - - -6804 - - -4795 ODpotential blCL 8243 - - 8104 - - 9768 - - 10898 - - 8889 blCL maxRH 63 - - 62 - - 69 - - 82 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 44.5 - - 47.8 - - 52.1 - - 55.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 34.0 - - 29.4 - - 27.3 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 47.6 - - 51.6 - - 54.9 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 32.9 - - 28.3 - - 26.3 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 15 - - 36 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96235 13 308 13 328 10 307 11 295 10 316 96235 89111 9 302 15 308 16 309 18 326 17 330 89111 83656 10 271 7 295 13 296 16 317 15 349 83656 79153 17 315 18 340 17 326 21 331 16 348 79153 75276 24 299 26 318 22 307 22 318 20 339 75276 71839 27 296 23 296 29 306 32 306 30 319 71839 68718 32 299 30 306 36 299 34 293 37 304 68718 65834 38 294 37 301 36 290 36 286 36 295 65834 63135 44 288 42 291 41 286 42 288 41 292 63135 60500 47 282 42 283 51 283 52 283 46 282 60500 57736 46 282 49 282 57 279 50 280 47 277 57736 54848 48 285 54 282 55 277 48 283 47 276 54848 52072 53 285 58 283 57 280 55 288 47 283 52072 49559 59 283 55 282 62 277 63 285 51 282 49559 47288 62 279 53 288 61 275 63 280 52 286 47288 45213 61 277 58 291 58 283 58 283 58 291 45213 43308 62 276 61 291 63 289 59 291 63 294 43308 41559 63 272 59 290 67 288 64 290 66 293 41559 39951 59 274 56 290 64 288 62 284 56 293 39951 38463 55 277 54 294 57 290 50 292 46 300 38463 37077 47 277 53 295 52 297 42 305 44 313 37077 35755 40 288 48 301 51 304 43 320 45 317 35755 34432 48 292 47 301 45 305 47 323 43 325 34432 33086 48 282 42 303 39 318 46 322 45 331 33086 31720 50 274 38 301 41 336 39 330 44 330 31720 30314 44 273 32 330 44 341 37 333 40 333 30314 28853 35 279 35 340 42 341 38 337 38 341 28853 27336 26 289 24 343 39 344 36 337 37 343 27336 25766 27 297 17 008 34 347 31 339 36 342 25766 24148 27 294 16 020 30 344 28 345 35 343 24148 22482 23 288 13 011 26 337 27 347 31 341 22482 20764 19 284 14 350 23 336 25 345 29 339 20764 18991 17 281 15 347 22 333 25 337 28 337 18991 17192 15 280 14 354 19 333 24 333 26 339 17192 15462 13 270 10 329 14 336 18 334 23 347 15462 13890 12 262 10 295 9 329 11 334 18 356 13890 12492 13 277 10 285 8 321 10 340 11 347 12492 11247 13 290 9 283 8 315 10 341 8 332 11247 10132 10 301 6 275 8 316 10 341 8 337 10132 9129 7 322 4 268 7 319 9 340 8 343 9129 8229 7 338 3 285 7 321 9 341 9 353 8229 7426 8 341 3 314 7 325 9 342 10 359 7426 6708 8 343 3 329 6 328 8 343 10 004 6708 6058 8 345 3 326 6 333 7 344 11 006 6058 5476 9 343 4 325 5 339 6 345 11 008 5476 4986 9 333 4 324 4 347 4 346 11 008 4986 4608 10 318 4 327 2 351 3 344 10 008 4608 4345 9 310 4 330 1 354 1 335 8 006 4345 4185 8*306 3*331 0*359 1*330 6*002 4185 4093 6*304 3*331 0*328 1*321 4*360 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography