DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 43.4 - - 45.7 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 19 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 439 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4739 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1329 - - 3442 - - 3327 - - 1274 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 29 - - 22 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 183 - - 262 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -2 - - -5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2634 - - -4718 - - -4723 - - -2823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7373 - - 8812 - - 8816 - - 6917 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9461 - - -10194 - - -9721 - - -7539 ODpotential blCL - - - 14200 - - 14287 - - 13814 - - 11632 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 73 - - 68 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 43.4 - - 45.7 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.4 - - 19.3 - - 21.6 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.6 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.2 - - 18.2 - - 20.5 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 19 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 439 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96864 28 117 22 115 16 097 20 119 96864 89683 21 110 17 119 15 108 19 103 89683 84104 11 114 14 120 13 118 14 098 84104 79447 9 163 9 141 9 130 13 093 79447 75423 14 149 9 184 5 194 9 081 75423 71853 10 144 13 193 6 226 1 074 71853 68613 8 183 8 200 12 219 7 215 68613 65628 2 227 7 240 10 218 13 239 65628 62846 13 258 13 265 16 235 16 238 62846 60153 16 261 17 280 17 254 22 248 60153 57355 24 263 25 275 22 257 24 245 57355 54442 33 257 40 264 33 258 30 256 54442 51653 41 261 45 256 47 260 50 262 51653 49151 47 264 46 261 58 261 58 263 49151 46925 52 270 56 268 66 266 64 267 46925 44927 59 273 71 272 77 267 81 265 44927 43120 66 281 84 273 86 265 88 258 43120 41463 94 286 94 279 90 270 85 258 41463 39926 106 286 98 279 93 271 85 261 39926 38489 107 283 97 271 93 265 90 259 38489 37136 106 279 100 266 96 261 95 255 37136 35834 104 278 101 267 97 263 95 255 35834 34523 99 278 99 268 96 265 92 257 34523 33177 93 279 96 270 94 266 90 260 33177 31800 87 279 91 271 91 266 88 261 31800 30376 79 278 82 271 86 266 87 260 30376 28896 69 279 72 271 81 264 84 260 28896 27362 61 277 63 270 74 264 81 259 27362 25777 59 269 55 268 67 264 75 259 25777 24147 60 260 52 264 59 261 65 258 24147 22476 53 256 52 261 51 255 55 254 22476 20756 45 251 49 256 46 250 50 250 20756 18977 39 246 44 246 44 253 47 247 18977 17170 33 241 42 235 41 254 43 246 17170 15432 28 231 39 228 36 246 40 244 15432 13851 27 220 35 224 34 236 39 236 13851 12447 27 211 32 222 34 229 39 227 12447 11196 26 208 30 222 35 223 40 218 11196 10078 23 207 27 222 33 219 39 211 10078 9076 20 206 23 220 28 216 35 205 9076 8180 17 201 19 216 22 213 30 202 8180 7382 13 194 14 204 15 208 24 200 7382 6670 10 181 11 189 10 203 17 199 6670 6027 9 165 9 180 7 201 11 196 6027 5453 9 152 7 178 5 205 6 187 5453 4970 8*143 5 179 3 226 2 183 4970 4597 7*139 4 183 3 251 1 341 4597 4339 6 138 3 187 3 261 2 005 4339 4182 6 138 3*185 3*262 3*030 4182 4092 5 137 3*183 3*262 3*027 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography