DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.8 - - 88.0 - - 85.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 44 - - 23 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6718 - - 9194 - - 10788 - - 10658 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 40 - - 32 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 310 - - 281 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -5 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5751 - - -7846 - - -7184 - - -8185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9848 - - 11943 - - 11280 - - 12282 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8540 - - -11018 - - -9293 - - -11103 ODpotential blCL - - - 12636 - - 15114 - - 13389 - - 15199 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 28 - - 34 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 180 - - 1000 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.8 - - 88.0 - - 85.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 47.5 - - 52.6 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 85.5 - - 88.0 - - 88.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 46.3 - - 51.4 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 44 - - 23 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99079 39 101 37 108 32 111 33 105 99079 91577 32 109 30 099 31 114 24 100 91577 85843 26 105 25 098 30 094 27 107 85843 81099 23 095 25 110 23 088 25 101 81099 77007 24 100 18 106 16 102 20 085 77007 73379 19 085 16 095 13 109 18 079 73379 70094 16 080 13 099 11 094 10 080 70094 67088 11 051 11 079 11 083 7 082 67088 64313 5 066 8 059 10 064 8 079 64313 61643 6 010 8 043 10 059 8 053 61643 58887 4 295 6 312 7 001 9 005 58887 56040 10 317 9 305 10 314 10 326 56040 53326 23 300 22 296 20 306 20 314 53326 50886 32 290 32 295 30 307 28 309 50886 48705 38 291 40 293 38 300 37 301 48705 46727 43 292 46 293 45 295 44 297 46727 44910 50 292 52 293 51 293 51 296 44910 43220 55 292 55 292 53 292 53 296 43220 41636 58 293 56 292 53 293 54 295 41636 40146 59 293 54 292 53 292 54 294 40146 38744 58 293 53 292 53 291 53 293 38744 37398 55 292 51 292 51 290 51 292 37398 36042 49 293 46 292 48 290 48 290 36042 34648 42 295 39 294 43 290 46 289 34648 33218 38 296 33 296 37 289 41 291 33218 31741 30 301 26 299 30 291 33 290 31741 30206 21 305 17 299 22 294 23 287 30206 28618 15 308 11 304 14 300 12 289 28618 26976 12 313 9 300 10 306 4 311 26976 25284 12 309 10 292 11 298 5 325 25284 23543 14 304 12 294 13 288 9 307 23543 21747 15 298 12 297 13 285 11 296 21747 19891 15 296 11 301 9 288 9 287 19891 18011 15 285 11 296 7 285 7 277 18011 16203 10 264 10 276 7 262 6 262 16203 14555 5 267 7 243 4 253 4 261 14555 13079 2 270 3 192 2 266 1 296 13079 11755 1 165 2 154 2 294 2 045 11755 10563 4 118 2 139 2 328 4 045 10563 9491 6 115 3 123 2 358 6 039 9491 8528 7 115 2 115 3 008 6 033 8528 7668 7 115 2 102 3 011 7 028 7668 6899 7 115 1 090 3 013 7 021 6899 6202 6 114 1 032 3 010 7 015 6202 5579 5 112 1 327 3 006 7 009 5579 5054 4 109 3 315 3 353 6 003 5054 4647 3 106 3 313 2 343 6 357 4647 4366 2 107 4 313 2 326 5 351 4366 4194 2*106 4*311 2*306 3*340 4194 4095 1*117 4*310 1*281 1*303 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography