DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2218z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.1 - - 83.9 - - 86.5 - - 87.6 - - 85.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 31 - - 44 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3883 - - 3883 - - 3883 - - 3883 - - 3883 Hcrit BL Top 3900 - - 3901 - - 3901 - - 3901 - - 3901 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 812 - - 5199 - - 5688 - - 1909 - - 176 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 33 - - 37 - - 27 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 063 - - 285 - - 290 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4712 - - -6632 - - -7144 - - -7146 - - -6750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8613 - - 10533 - - 11045 - - 11047 - - 10651 sfcLCL ODpotential -10949 - - -11366 - - -11193 - - -10855 - - -10848 ODpotential blCL 14849 - - 15267 - - 15094 - - 14756 - - 14749 blCL maxRH 61 - - 45 - - 37 - - 53 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.1 - - 83.9 - - 86.5 - - 87.6 - - 85.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.0 - - 51.1 - - 51.5 - - 52.6 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.1 - - 83.4 - - 86.1 - - 87.1 - - 85.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 31.0 - - 32.2 - - 35.4 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 31 - - 44 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99367 28 096 26 108 22 110 16 107 17 094 99367 92588 21 098 18 105 17 110 13 112 16 105 92588 87215 18 102 17 113 15 110 12 116 13 105 87215 82686 14 104 15 116 11 106 12 110 11 106 82686 78753 11 104 13 109 8 105 10 102 11 107 78753 75258 9 110 10 107 7 120 7 099 10 108 75258 72079 7 114 7 111 8 129 4 086 7 106 72079 69145 5 114 4 127 7 135 1 057 4 112 69145 66419 3 101 3 160 6 139 1 216 2 123 66419 63776 2 077 3 184 4 153 2 199 1 179 63776 61021 0 314 4 202 4 195 4 204 2 215 61021 58168 2 246 6 213 6 221 5 220 5 221 58168 55453 4 245 7 215 9 221 8 227 7 228 55453 53015 5 245 7 212 10 215 11 223 9 232 53015 50831 4 238 6 205 10 208 12 213 10 224 50831 48850 3 226 4 193 8 200 10 198 10 208 48850 47039 1 105 3 166 7 187 8 175 9 183 47039 45369 5 079 4 134 7 157 8 145 9 141 45369 43821 8 079 7 117 8 134 9 123 11 110 43821 42375 13 075 11 106 12 120 13 106 15 096 42375 41017 16 070 15 102 15 117 15 103 17 099 41017 39705 17 067 18 099 18 114 17 104 18 105 39705 38371 18 067 21 095 20 113 19 105 20 112 38371 36985 19 068 23 092 22 113 20 109 19 119 36985 35550 20 070 24 090 23 114 21 112 17 125 35550 34048 20 072 24 090 23 116 20 117 15 130 34048 32466 20 075 23 091 22 116 19 121 13 130 32466 30804 18 077 21 094 21 114 18 120 12 124 30804 29059 15 080 18 099 18 111 16 116 11 116 29059 27234 12 090 15 113 14 111 14 112 12 114 27234 25334 10 105 14 131 10 123 12 117 13 122 25334 23351 7 115 13 141 10 138 12 137 14 136 23351 21281 4 128 10 147 10 143 13 152 15 144 21281 19164 3 153 7 151 8 143 13 153 13 144 19164 17117 3 172 5 156 6 143 11 135 10 130 17117 15247 5 156 6 153 7 138 11 108 9 099 15247 13577 7 130 8 135 8 125 11 099 9 093 13577 12088 8 108 10 114 9 117 11 096 8 095 12088 10760 7 104 10 104 9 115 9 094 6 100 10760 9577 7 104 10 099 8 114 7 092 5 108 9577 8528 8 099 12 095 7 114 5 088 4 122 8528 7603 11 092 12 091 5 116 3 082 3 135 7603 6785 13 086 11 088 4 119 1 057 3 152 6785 6054 16 082 10 085 2 135 1 324 2 173 6054 5407 18 077 8 080 1 252 3 298 2 195 5407 4868 17 073 6 073 2 280 4 292 2 226 4868 4455 13 065 5 067 3 285 5 290 2 254 4455 4170 7 046 4 063 3 287 5 290 2 274 4170 3998 4*015 4*062 3*288 5*291 3*280 3998 3900 4*303 3*063 3*285 5*290 3*282 3900 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography