DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 49.2 - - 49.5 - - 50.1 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 33 - - 28 - - 17 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1213 - - 1347 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 5513 - - 5647 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4014 - - 2400 - - 2915 - - 4660 - - 3173 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 153 - - 151 - - 29 - - 34 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 220 - - 234 - - 249 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - 13 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -586 - - 672 - - 608 - - -1503 - - -1407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4680 - - 4841 - - 5039 - - 5597 - - 5500 sfcLCL ODpotential -1640 - - -803 - - -705 - - -2607 - - -3499 ODpotential blCL 5734 - - 6316 - - 6352 - - 6701 - - 7592 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 49.2 - - 49.5 - - 50.1 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 41.9 - - 41.3 - - 39.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 48.5 - - 48.9 - - 49.6 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 40.8 - - 40.3 - - 38.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 33 - - 28 - - 17 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1213 - - 1347 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 99 - - 102 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96624 25 076 28 051 18 065 17 053 16 043 96624 89569 28 085 25 077 22 073 17 058 21 055 89569 84071 27 088 26 090 21 081 19 066 25 054 84071 79462 18 074 23 083 20 084 15 078 17 041 79462 75464 8 049 12 086 15 062 12 088 6 037 75464 71923 5 054 8 105 5 343 10 052 7 056 71923 68711 5 081 0 080 7 274 8 351 13 029 68711 65743 3 125 4 225 11 251 6 314 8 359 65743 62976 9 270 6 223 12 239 8 267 6 307 62976 60286 20 249 13 230 16 241 9 246 6 252 60286 57467 27 223 20 231 21 233 10 240 9 213 57467 54524 27 211 21 222 21 220 21 235 16 243 54524 51706 23 203 21 219 18 222 21 234 21 246 51706 49171 18 208 19 215 15 235 17 235 21 255 49171 46910 19 221 14 215 15 250 15 237 20 262 46910 44869 26 216 16 221 14 249 16 256 23 272 44869 43003 26 184 18 198 15 252 21 273 26 274 43003 41287 23 178 15 191 13 235 25 279 29 274 41287 39696 21 176 12 186 9 246 26 279 34 264 39696 38225 23 163 12 153 10 251 27 281 33 247 38225 36869 18 142 9 116 11 271 28 287 27 228 36869 35581 14 124 8 077 13 285 31 285 26 228 35581 34290 13 107 8 034 13 309 30 285 29 234 34290 32965 12 082 15 358 20 334 28 287 35 245 32965 31609 12 060 19 359 21 336 24 286 34 248 31609 30206 11 045 26 004 23 333 23 280 31 246 30206 28746 10 029 28 003 25 332 24 284 31 246 28746 27232 14 021 27 359 25 334 27 291 31 249 27232 25666 21 019 27 354 25 332 29 290 33 255 25666 24050 19 013 25 350 27 323 29 294 34 259 24050 22390 13 001 23 348 28 313 26 298 33 264 22390 20679 10 359 20 342 27 315 24 296 29 268 20679 18908 7 003 14 313 25 314 22 296 24 269 18908 17110 1 223 10 270 20 302 19 300 21 268 17110 15384 7 195 9 212 12 274 16 292 20 261 15384 13819 6 178 8 176 6 270 12 286 21 248 13819 12427 1 173 6 154 10 285 14 294 17 242 12427 11185 5 269 2 290 17 271 21 280 13 249 11185 10072 16 259 8 267 25 258 28 264 11 260 10072 9074 25 249 17 252 29 253 33 257 13 262 9074 8182 26 247 23 248 26 252 31 255 16 257 8182 7386 22 246 22 244 21 250 25 255 21 253 7386 6676 17 240 19 240 17 247 20 256 23 251 6676 6033 13 232 16*233 14*243 16 255 21 250 6033 5460 10 221 13*226 12*239 12 254 17 251 5460 4977 8 209 12 221 10 235 9 253 14 250 4977 4602 7 196 11 218 10 233 7 251 11 248 4602 4342 7 190 10 216 9 232 6 251 10 247 4342 4184 6*187 10 215 9 230 6*250 9*247 4184 4092 6*186 9 213 8 229 5*249 8*247 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography