DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.5 - - 82.3 - - 88.4 - - 87.7 - - 83.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 39 - - 45 - - 9 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3240 - - 6876 - - 14423 - - 17061 - - 9923 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 38 - - 41 - - 30 - - 25 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 217 - - 284 - - 282 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7389 - - -10764 - - -12312 - - -6713 - - -6311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11485 - - 14861 - - 16409 - - 10811 - - 10408 sfcLCL ODpotential -11667 - - -14007 - - -13827 - - -8498 - - -8696 ODpotential blCL 15763 - - 18103 - - 17923 - - 12595 - - 12792 blCL maxRH 26 - - 20 - - 34 - - 56 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1780 - - 1190 CAPE Temp@2m 76.5 - - 82.3 - - 88.4 - - 87.7 - - 83.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.5 - - 31.3 - - 30.1 - - 54.2 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.2 - - 82.0 - - 88.1 - - 88.2 - - 84.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.3 - - 30.2 - - 28.8 - - 52.9 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 39 - - 45 - - 9 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99227 34 107 25 120 25 092 34 090 30 103 99227 91822 29 098 25 112 20 102 27 095 26 095 91822 86084 27 099 25 109 21 103 23 103 23 098 86084 81306 24 098 20 088 23 122 18 101 20 095 81306 77190 17 104 15 089 22 105 14 108 16 083 77190 73558 15 105 12 126 8 083 13 096 12 085 73558 70271 8 100 15 113 4 142 6 039 9 094 70271 67243 8 091 6 102 10 126 1 172 3 046 67243 64449 7 080 4 129 6 151 2 080 4 358 64449 61764 1 061 4 032 4 135 4 160 4 252 61764 58979 6 291 6 292 7 270 5 270 4 244 58979 56090 9 280 7 283 6 175 11 275 10 298 56090 53343 23 267 29 264 30 253 32 254 31 262 53343 50891 29 275 35 269 39 259 33 255 32 254 50891 48687 39 277 41 269 43 262 38 259 36 259 48687 46669 46 275 46 268 45 260 43 256 43 255 46669 44798 48 272 47 266 47 257 44 256 45 254 44798 43049 49 267 46 263 48 257 47 259 47 258 43049 41402 49 263 47 258 48 254 51 258 52 258 41402 39853 48 261 49 254 51 252 54 255 51 257 39853 38404 49 261 53 255 52 253 55 254 49 254 38404 37025 53 260 53 256 51 254 52 253 47 251 37025 35650 54 258 49 257 47 251 50 251 49 250 35650 34248 50 257 43 256 43 251 50 247 52 248 34248 32818 45 257 40 254 44 250 51 241 53 245 32818 31346 41 257 41 252 45 248 51 238 53 239 31346 29820 38 257 40 250 46 246 53 238 53 233 29820 28243 39 256 40 248 44 246 54 238 53 231 28243 26619 40 254 41 247 42 245 50 237 47 229 26619 24957 38 256 38 248 41 243 43 232 41 216 24957 23256 33 258 31 250 37 239 38 219 41 196 23256 21504 29 254 28 247 32 234 33 205 38 183 21504 19688 29 250 28 239 30 230 26 196 27 173 19688 17840 29 252 27 240 25 232 19 199 25 172 17840 16056 26 253 25 250 19 243 16 207 20 173 16056 14426 22 251 24 258 18 246 14 215 16 182 14426 12966 19 250 23 263 16 250 13 230 13 195 12966 11657 16 252 21 267 15 256 13 242 13 213 11657 10480 13 255 19 266 14 258 13 249 13 231 10480 9421 11 260 15 263 13 261 14 255 14 248 9421 8472 10 265 13 261 12 263 14 260 15 257 8472 7624 10 266 11 259 10 266 14 264 17 266 7624 6865 9 264 9 257 9 267 14 266 18 269 6865 6177 8 258 7 252 8 270 14 269 19 271 6177 5562 6 242 5 247 7 272 13 271 19 272 5562 5043 5 225 4 238 5 277 13 273 19 274 5043 4641 4 208 3 228 5 280 13 276 17 275 4641 4363 4 161 2 220 4 281 12 277 15 277 4363 4193 4*155 2*219 4*283 11*279 13*279 4193 4095 3*153 2*217 4*284 9*282 7*286 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography