DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.6 - - 55.1 - - 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 8 - - 21 - - -11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 824 - - 3836 - - 5436 - - 4455 - - 724 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 24 - - 30 - - 15 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 323 - - 318 - - 319 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - -3 - - -2 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3998 - - -3554 - - -2680 - - -2975 - - -3500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8092 - - 7649 - - 6774 - - 7070 - - 7594 sfcLCL ODpotential -9411 - - -7178 - - -4599 - - -5353 - - -8188 ODpotential blCL 13505 - - 11272 - - 8693 - - 9448 - - 12282 blCL maxRH 76 - - 69 - - 74 - - 61 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.6 - - 55.1 - - 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.8 - - 35.9 - - 43.0 - - 42.4 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 55.6 - - 58.9 - - 60.2 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 34.9 - - 41.9 - - 41.2 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 8 - - 21 - - -11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 10 035 9 048 6 095 10 247 4 321 96287 89181 12 055 15 087 5 118 4 021 11 051 89181 83687 10 040 14 073 5 096 9 035 13 054 83687 79119 10 028 7 054 3 042 6 037 11 041 79119 75184 13 019 12 029 13 359 13 027 12 024 75184 71697 16 000 13 003 12 355 15 004 14 351 71697 68551 17 349 13 345 15 335 23 342 24 355 68551 65662 19 319 21 335 28 306 30 321 28 337 65662 62980 21 302 20 315 31 315 30 327 30 330 62980 60369 18 292 26 318 36 319 38 324 35 332 60369 57619 31 300 32 313 41 313 44 318 43 322 57619 54748 50 305 41 309 47 313 50 314 48 322 54748 51998 63 299 56 309 59 311 59 313 56 322 51998 49516 68 297 70 301 67 306 62 309 57 320 49516 47286 73 296 71 296 67 301 61 315 66 329 47286 45285 73 294 69 300 63 308 76 325 96 326 45285 43496 65 295 72 310 75 318 92 322 99 316 43496 41869 63 304 81 316 85 316 83 325 84 322 41869 40352 73 310 81 314 78 315 86 347 82 347 40352 38927 75 310 71 318 74 335 119 001 100 003 38927 37582 67 310 64 331 92 349 124 358 112 006 37582 36286 62 310 73 344 105 352 115 354 110 006 36286 34979 61 310 80 345 102 351 111 349 104 359 34979 33636 62 310 75 341 97 350 108 346 95 346 33636 32262 62 310 69 335 90 348 101 343 89 336 32262 30840 60 310 67 329 81 343 91 339 84 331 30840 29358 56 308 67 326 76 335 81 333 81 328 29358 27817 54 299 66 324 75 328 77 327 77 326 27817 26218 55 290 63 322 72 324 78 325 75 326 26218 24566 55 290 60 322 68 322 78 326 75 327 24566 22862 53 294 60 323 66 323 72 324 72 329 22862 21103 49 298 56 323 60 322 63 322 68 332 21103 19283 44 301 51 319 55 320 56 323 63 335 19283 17439 41 303 47 312 51 318 51 323 56 335 17439 15669 40 303 43 307 47 319 47 323 47 333 15669 14063 41 300 38 305 43 320 41 324 40 331 14063 12635 41 299 34 303 39 319 34 325 35 333 12635 11362 40 299 32 303 32 316 26 323 30 335 11362 10224 37 299 30 304 26 312 21 319 26 333 10224 9203 35 300 29 306 22 313 21 320 23 327 9203 8290 34 300 25 307 22 314 21 320 22 321 8290 7475 33 298 23 307 22 314 21 319 23 321 7475 6746 32 294 23 308 21 314 21 319 24 324 6746 6087 30 289 22 310 21 314 21 319 25 327 6087 5497 26 285 21 312 20 315 20 319 25 330 5497 4999 19 281 20 314 19 315 20 319 23 331 4999 4614 11 279 19 316 18 316 19 319 21 332 4614 4349 4 284 17 318 16 318 18 319 16 331 4349 4186 2*062 15*318 15*317 16*318 12*329 4186 4093 7*085 10*323 11*318 11*319 7*327 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography