DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 59.4 - - 64.9 - - 68.5 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 32 - - 46 - - 16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1197 - - 3742 - - 7519 - - 12041 - - 4848 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 34 - - 39 - - 29 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 32 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 033 - - 055 - - 006 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2328 - - -3545 - - -4839 - - -5270 - - -2618 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6422 - - 7639 - - 8934 - - 9365 - - 6713 sfcLCL ODpotential -6170 - - -6170 - - -6588 - - -6661 - - -4876 ODpotential blCL 10264 - - 10264 - - 10683 - - 10756 - - 8971 blCL maxRH 68 - - 75 - - 72 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 640 - - 880 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 59.4 - - 64.9 - - 68.5 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 40.2 - - 40.0 - - 41.5 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 59.6 - - 64.4 - - 68.3 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.5 - - 39.0 - - 38.9 - - 40.4 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 32 - - 46 - - 16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96445 25 308 20 293 34 273 28 283 16 294 96445 89231 27 300 19 302 22 269 27 284 29 287 89231 83808 30 306 21 310 23 281 23 284 23 288 83808 79318 28 306 19 313 30 291 26 288 22 295 79318 75404 28 299 20 318 27 294 28 289 26 297 75404 71914 28 301 23 306 24 295 27 292 30 295 71914 68733 30 306 26 294 25 295 28 298 30 290 68733 65790 29 306 25 293 25 301 28 303 27 286 65790 63040 30 305 26 293 27 293 28 303 25 291 63040 60358 28 298 23 289 28 288 29 298 26 299 60358 57552 25 304 20 298 27 282 27 288 25 292 57552 54643 30 291 26 296 28 274 27 283 24 283 54643 51867 33 281 29 280 29 270 28 280 25 283 51867 49360 34 282 31 277 28 273 28 277 27 281 49360 47097 37 279 36 274 30 275 29 275 27 273 47097 45044 37 269 39 269 33 276 31 273 29 266 45044 43183 37 271 39 268 35 271 36 267 33 263 43183 41492 42 269 39 263 35 266 37 261 34 259 41492 39942 47 259 40 258 35 264 35 256 34 265 39942 38507 50 249 39 256 35 261 35 253 40 265 38507 37171 52 242 37 255 35 257 37 252 42 262 37171 35896 49 242 36 253 35 254 38 252 42 261 35896 34611 45 246 35 253 36 250 39 252 42 260 34611 33288 40 247 35 253 36 248 40 253 42 260 33288 31930 37 246 35 254 36 248 40 255 41 261 31930 30525 36 247 33 255 36 250 40 258 40 262 30525 29062 34 251 32 255 35 253 40 256 38 262 29062 27545 32 257 32 255 32 254 40 252 35 257 27545 25975 30 261 32 255 31 253 38 249 34 250 25975 24359 28 262 30 256 31 250 34 247 34 245 24359 22696 26 261 28 255 32 247 33 245 32 241 22696 20982 22 256 26 254 30 245 33 242 31 240 20982 19208 20 250 24 252 28 245 31 240 28 237 19208 17407 19 246 21 249 24 244 25 234 26 226 17407 15673 19 244 19 244 22 240 17 238 22 214 15673 14092 18 244 17 242 18 236 15 247 11 213 14092 12677 14 244 14 241 15 234 13 260 5 214 12677 11409 10 240 11 238 14 235 12 270 1 241 11409 10268 7 230 9 229 12 237 10 280 3 318 10268 9243 4 220 7 218 10 241 9 292 6 316 9243 8323 1 169 4 210 8 242 8 306 10 310 8323 7502 2 062 2 201 6 244 7 321 14 305 7502 6769 4 049 0 031 3 246 7 335 17 300 6769 6104 4 031 1 003 1 257 6 346 19 297 6104 5510 5 354 2 354 2 051 6 355 20 294 5510 5008 8 325 2 360 4 054 6 001 20 293 5008 4621 10 312 2 008 5 055 6 006 19 292 4621 4352 9 305 1 011 5 055 5 009 16 292 4352 4188 7*302 1*014 5*055 5*009 13*294 4188 4094 5*306 0*033 5*055 4*006 7*300 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography