DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 47.0 - - 48.5 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 22 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3691 - - 6086 - - 6706 - - 4940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 30 - - 18 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 298 - - 027 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1417 - - -2486 - - -3075 - - -1193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5510 - - 6580 - - 7169 - - 5286 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2850 - - -3656 - - -4099 - - -2611 ODpotential blCL - - - 6943 - - 7750 - - 8192 - - 6704 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 89 - - 84 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 40 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 47.0 - - 48.5 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 32.7 - - 31.6 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 46.6 - - 48.2 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 31.9 - - 30.5 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 22 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 55 - - 35 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 31 075 31 068 37 096 28 080 96612 89559 31 081 24 072 27 078 31 085 89559 84067 23 079 20 086 18 080 23 076 84067 79467 15 077 13 086 13 093 17 069 79467 75475 11 090 12 084 13 113 11 080 75475 71919 9 065 10 080 8 111 8 103 71919 68694 6 034 4 058 5 172 5 013 68694 65733 4 019 2 300 6 206 4 279 65733 62974 6 286 7 249 10 252 6 291 62974 60291 11 268 8 272 11 271 8 288 60291 57474 10 238 14 267 13 283 8 283 57474 54526 9 257 16 270 16 283 16 294 54526 51709 12 268 13 280 16 288 19 301 51709 49181 12 259 11 294 14 295 17 312 49181 46915 12 268 13 302 15 320 17 323 46915 44854 9 255 12 303 18 325 20 334 44854 42964 1 315 10 314 20 319 21 329 42964 41224 11 019 12 346 16 311 20 339 41224 39615 15 012 15 356 10 325 25 349 39615 38120 18 007 21 004 18 004 26 350 38120 36734 18 012 28 018 32 022 29 001 36734 35426 23 026 38 028 48 026 38 015 35426 34129 32 041 44 031 55 028 46 022 34129 32808 38 043 49 037 56 030 50 030 32808 31460 35 039 55 040 53 033 49 028 31460 30067 31 043 58 041 51 039 48 023 30067 28618 32 048 58 042 51 042 45 027 28618 27112 27 047 50 046 49 041 43 030 27112 25553 22 047 34 045 46 042 42 033 25553 23944 23 046 19 048 38 044 38 037 23944 22292 24 037 19 044 28 037 33 044 22292 20594 20 034 16 037 21 035 29 046 20594 18842 17 027 14 047 18 035 23 044 18842 17064 11 015 12 049 15 031 19 036 17064 15354 11 015 10 043 12 039 17 035 15354 13798 12 026 9 034 11 046 12 046 13798 12412 11 030 8 028 8 035 11 064 12412 11174 9 019 7 029 8 018 11 061 11174 10063 8 006 6 026 9 017 8 044 10063 9067 8 004 5 023 9 020 7 029 9067 8177 8 010 5 019 8 024 6 022 8177 7382 9 018 4 017 7 026 6 020 7382 6673 8 025 4 014 7 026 5 019 6673 6030 7 028 3 007 6 025 5 024 6030 5456 5 022 3 355 5 026 5 033 5456 4973 4 343 2 342 5 027 4 051 4973 4599 3 319 2 320 4 027 4 066 4599 4341 3 316 1 310 4 027 4 064 4341 4183 3*315 1*299 4*027 3*053 4183 4092 3*316 1*298 4*027 2*050 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography