DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.6 - - 43.0 - - 45.4 - - 45.7 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 11 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 961 - - 1418 - - 1852 - - 1742 - - 1189 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 15 - - 24 - - 7 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 028 - - 340 - - 285 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -7 - - -3 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3351 - - -4467 - - -3864 - - -4458 - - -2345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7444 - - 8560 - - 7958 - - 8552 - - 6439 sfcLCL ODpotential -13184 - - -14288 - - -12602 - - -12782 - - -10735 ODpotential blCL 17277 - - 18381 - - 16696 - - 16876 - - 14828 blCL maxRH 74 - - 70 - - 65 - - 68 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.6 - - 43.0 - - 45.4 - - 45.7 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 20.4 - - 25.2 - - 23.0 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 43.1 - - 45.5 - - 47.1 - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 19.2 - - 24.1 - - 21.8 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 11 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96399 13 028 10 065 6 077 11 018 14 019 96399 89322 14 022 12 048 16 037 11 048 6 079 89322 83806 11 013 14 044 11 021 8 034 14 043 83806 79192 10 015 13 026 10 015 8 006 14 003 79192 75209 7 043 7 356 12 356 11 351 13 341 75209 71680 10 041 6 358 9 334 12 340 14 340 71680 68478 11 359 10 006 5 350 10 328 12 325 68478 65527 9 336 11 344 11 355 10 325 13 322 65527 62782 8 329 12 304 17 327 15 326 17 331 62782 60113 12 336 12 297 20 301 19 315 19 327 60113 57326 19 328 14 318 19 296 20 296 19 322 57326 54433 22 314 16 318 17 306 19 284 19 314 54433 51676 21 306 15 318 15 307 15 291 20 304 51676 49209 17 305 13 321 12 294 12 304 18 291 49209 47016 15 297 12 326 9 284 9 300 10 299 47016 45040 12 300 13 303 4 301 4 314 10 295 45040 43235 8 300 10 294 3 030 4 139 5 223 43235 41587 5 220 8 245 1 234 6 082 9 156 41587 40075 7 217 9 209 12 185 9 175 7 167 40075 38664 4 217 9 189 15 183 17 164 16 181 38664 37340 1 193 10 176 14 176 13 155 24 183 37340 36067 1 042 8 175 13 169 14 169 24 181 36067 34781 1 349 12 194 11 185 15 186 20 182 34781 33455 2 162 17 198 14 208 14 195 15 182 33455 32092 5 116 17 202 13 220 13 204 9 185 32092 30678 10 148 14 196 11 229 12 212 10 199 30678 29203 12 152 12 178 11 234 10 222 14 208 29203 27668 12 143 13 164 10 229 10 219 13 219 27668 26075 12 138 12 164 10 211 9 207 12 215 26075 24428 11 147 12 156 12 178 9 196 13 189 24428 22733 12 156 13 145 15 152 8 158 15 165 22733 20987 9 163 14 145 19 140 12 149 18 160 20987 19183 8 178 15 151 20 144 13 166 20 165 19183 17353 7 172 14 160 19 157 13 180 20 172 17353 15592 7 148 13 159 17 173 13 186 19 176 15592 13987 8 129 12 153 14 183 14 185 17 178 13987 12554 7 127 12 155 14 185 15 181 16 175 12554 11275 7 139 11 157 14 185 17 179 15 172 11275 10131 7 155 10 158 13 189 17 183 13 182 10131 9110 9 160 10 155 12 190 15 194 9 201 9110 8200 10 160 10 147 10 185 13 205 7 203 8200 7394 10 157 10 138 8 173 11 206 6 185 7394 6677 9 152 9 131 8 159 8 196 5 158 6677 6031 8 146 9 128 7 144 6 175 4 137 6031 5456 7 139 8 129 5 121 4 154 3 100 5456 4972 6 128 7 123 3 099 3 135 3 047 4972 4598 5 107 4 108 2 070 1 124 5 017 4598 4340 3 061 2 059 2 038 0 261 6 000 4340 4182 3*029 1*019 1*002 2*283 5*342 4182 4092 3*023 1*028 1*340 2*285 4*331 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography