DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 53.0 - - 53.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 0 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1090 - - 1719 - - 2608 - - 633 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 15 - - 11 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 290 - - 312 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -10 - - -7 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4743 - - -5527 - - -5747 - - -5694 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8837 - - 9621 - - 9841 - - 9788 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14683 - - -14170 - - -13788 - - -14930 ODpotential blCL - - - 18777 - - 18264 - - 17882 - - 19024 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 40 - - 30 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 53.0 - - 53.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 25.8 - - 25.8 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 54.2 - - 56.7 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 24.8 - - 24.6 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 0 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96567 40 078 28 083 42 079 34 099 96567 89624 31 106 31 073 30 084 38 080 89624 84166 28 098 21 092 23 075 31 071 84166 79577 24 076 21 101 18 084 24 069 79577 75597 17 074 18 086 13 094 19 068 75597 72064 12 087 17 067 7 123 9 079 72064 68849 9 092 12 043 11 037 16 068 68849 65892 8 065 5 014 16 015 16 030 65892 63176 17 034 5 022 17 004 14 006 63176 60563 17 019 9 008 18 348 14 347 60563 57838 17 345 15 005 17 351 16 344 57838 55015 23 325 27 342 24 335 22 344 55015 52326 23 310 29 316 33 320 31 336 52326 49905 21 309 29 305 38 316 37 326 49905 47727 18 320 27 301 36 308 41 316 47727 45737 21 340 24 307 33 309 41 312 45737 43899 24 345 26 313 33 313 42 318 43899 42192 26 337 28 330 31 316 42 323 42192 40610 32 313 38 342 33 330 39 326 40610 39151 38 278 37 309 41 330 42 328 39151 37797 35 268 36 290 41 308 48 322 37797 36499 33 287 34 299 41 314 46 321 36499 35189 34 293 35 303 40 317 43 324 35189 33842 32 296 34 304 37 317 42 329 33842 32462 32 302 33 307 36 316 42 332 32462 31034 33 304 34 308 35 315 40 332 31034 29547 33 306 35 310 35 313 36 333 29547 28001 28 314 33 312 35 316 29 341 28001 26400 24 318 29 322 31 326 28 356 26400 24747 23 332 26 331 31 339 27 010 24747 23042 19 341 24 336 30 348 27 013 23042 21278 16 346 20 341 25 358 26 011 21278 19446 15 352 19 352 22 021 28 015 19446 17581 14 001 18 015 22 031 26 023 17581 15786 13 012 17 042 21 037 21 030 15786 14151 14 029 17 064 21 048 18 044 14151 12694 14 047 18 072 20 062 18 063 12694 11394 14 063 18 073 20 075 20 077 11394 10232 14 083 16 078 19 082 20 086 10232 9196 14 098 14 089 18 089 19 092 9196 8272 13 105 14 096 17 094 17 098 8272 7452 13 107 13 097 15 095 15 101 7452 6723 12 107 13 096 12 094 13 102 6723 6065 10 109 11 092 10 091 11 100 6065 5479 8 111 8 086 9 087 10 096 5479 4987 6 107 5 075 7 078 9 087 4987 4606 3 087 3 052 5 064 7 071 4606 4344 2 336 2 328 3 029 5 033 4344 4184 3*321 2*297 3*349 4*343 4184 4093 4*304 4*290 4*312 5*311 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography