DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.8 - - 69.9 - - 73.1 - - 76.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 42 - - 51 - - 9 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4054 - - 4055 - - 4055 - - 4056 - - 4055 Hcrit BL Top 4072 - - 4072 - - 4073 - - 4073 - - 4073 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1216 - - 3150 - - 3092 - - 222 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 36 - - 39 - - 24 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 10 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 308 - - 030 - - 309 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 2 - - 5 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3506 - - -3686 - - -4866 - - -5291 - - -4481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7578 - - 7758 - - 8940 - - 9365 - - 8554 sfcLCL ODpotential -11722 - - -12216 - - -14847 - - -14234 - - -11400 ODpotential blCL 15794 - - 16288 - - 18920 - - 18307 - - 15473 blCL maxRH 55 - - 54 - - 66 - - 52 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.8 - - 69.9 - - 73.1 - - 76.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.7 - - 50.0 - - 48.2 - - 49.6 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.3 - - 74.8 - - 79.8 - - 84.0 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.1 - - 39.7 - - 34.9 - - 40.4 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 42 - - 51 - - 9 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99111 38 097 34 103 36 106 31 116 28 105 99111 91716 28 091 28 105 29 099 30 103 29 094 91716 85984 23 097 24 098 24 107 22 102 22 099 85984 81218 22 099 19 094 25 113 16 106 20 106 81218 77101 18 107 16 097 19 114 15 102 19 102 77101 73457 18 104 14 102 13 112 13 094 13 092 73457 70162 12 082 17 101 11 127 7 113 10 082 70162 67143 9 108 11 082 10 101 7 120 7 084 67143 64364 7 108 1 112 5 065 4 095 3 097 64364 61684 4 059 3 327 5 013 3 013 1 067 61684 58893 2 016 6 272 6 311 8 312 7 329 58893 56023 11 347 6 310 8 293 11 293 10 316 56023 53317 19 327 13 338 12 328 13 339 11 320 53317 50913 28 330 28 340 27 334 28 345 15 332 50913 48777 35 324 35 325 26 318 28 333 16 337 48777 46838 29 332 28 331 17 345 24 331 19 348 46838 45049 30 359 29 355 33 005 38 352 29 348 45049 43387 44 005 45 006 52 000 43 350 35 341 43387 41832 57 003 54 005 52 359 40 347 33 338 41832 40364 60 001 52 003 42 358 38 347 29 334 40364 38976 56 359 48 001 36 355 35 345 26 327 38976 37635 50 356 44 359 31 348 32 342 25 323 37635 36280 44 358 40 356 29 344 31 340 26 321 36280 34881 41 001 36 353 28 344 30 336 27 319 34881 33443 40 001 33 350 27 342 29 330 27 314 33443 31953 31 001 31 348 28 340 28 325 27 310 31953 30400 23 350 30 349 28 336 27 321 27 308 30400 28789 26 333 25 347 29 333 26 318 25 307 28789 27118 31 332 20 335 28 331 25 316 23 305 27118 25389 32 335 25 330 28 326 24 315 20 302 25389 23607 23 330 28 335 27 323 21 316 17 299 23607 21769 20 319 20 338 25 323 18 315 13 293 21769 19871 19 309 13 311 17 317 14 300 12 276 19871 17952 17 296 14 299 12 291 13 276 14 269 17952 16114 14 282 13 284 11 277 14 269 14 266 16114 14450 14 274 12 263 10 260 15 259 15 255 14450 12970 15 253 13 258 11 257 16 257 14 251 12970 11648 16 233 16 248 12 260 17 264 12 263 11648 10463 11 220 15 235 13 264 17 274 11 287 10463 9399 5 202 10 224 12 271 16 281 14 301 9399 8446 1 088 6 215 10 281 15 287 16 306 8446 7597 5 026 3 223 8 291 15 292 20 302 7597 6837 7 020 2 291 7 302 14 296 23 296 6837 6150 8 022 3 328 6 317 14 300 25 292 6150 5535 9 018 4 324 4 331 13 303 25 291 5535 5017 9 002 4 321 4 349 13 305 25 290 5017 4616 9 330 4 317 3 006 12 308 24 290 4616 4338 9 313 3 316 3 022 12 309 22 289 4338 4169 9*310 3*314 2*030 11*310 20*289 4169 4072 8*307 3*308 2*030 10*309 14*288 4072 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography