DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 49.0 - - 55.6 - - 59.3 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 19 - - 34 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1714 - - 2905 - - 4392 - - 5646 - - 2019 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 28 - - 34 - - 22 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 149 - - 100 - - 119 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1744 - - -2243 - - -3177 - - -3937 - - -4467 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5837 - - 6337 - - 7272 - - 8032 - - 8562 sfcLCL ODpotential -6135 - - -6589 - - -6200 - - -6689 - - -10134 ODpotential blCL 10228 - - 10683 - - 10294 - - 10783 - - 14228 blCL maxRH 62 - - 55 - - 43 - - 56 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 49.0 - - 55.6 - - 59.3 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 35.7 - - 38.1 - - 38.4 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 49.0 - - 55.4 - - 59.7 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 34.5 - - 36.9 - - 37.2 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 19 - - 34 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96164 8 334 6 263 20 278 17 297 15 314 96164 89097 14 331 9 317 14 300 14 318 11 355 89097 83648 18 322 17 331 14 333 10 335 11 344 83648 79118 9 315 18 320 17 307 19 314 19 335 79118 75244 15 337 21 307 24 296 26 306 23 326 75244 71832 24 303 24 297 25 294 25 305 26 326 71832 68713 31 292 24 293 29 287 32 300 27 309 68713 65802 37 284 30 290 34 274 35 279 32 288 65802 63077 37 278 36 276 36 272 34 273 40 279 63077 60429 38 277 39 274 46 275 44 276 49 272 60429 57652 41 275 45 269 52 270 50 273 52 266 57652 54746 47 275 47 272 55 270 53 273 59 269 54746 51956 53 279 54 273 58 268 60 273 62 265 51956 49436 61 276 58 269 60 267 59 270 57 266 49436 47172 60 278 60 272 59 269 55 269 55 272 47172 45125 61 282 61 277 53 274 53 273 55 273 45125 43268 60 284 56 283 48 282 51 278 49 275 43268 41575 56 293 50 283 47 284 47 280 43 283 41575 40022 47 299 45 284 48 278 47 279 42 277 40022 38592 36 311 37 292 39 279 45 277 33 280 38592 37265 33 321 37 296 30 290 35 286 35 292 37265 35997 34 323 34 298 32 295 34 293 35 288 35997 34717 37 326 27 305 29 289 33 287 33 286 34717 33397 37 332 24 313 25 291 31 280 33 285 33397 32040 36 338 23 316 22 293 29 279 32 283 32040 30635 37 339 22 319 21 296 26 282 31 280 30635 29170 37 334 23 326 20 301 25 287 29 277 29170 27648 34 330 22 332 19 308 24 291 27 276 27648 26072 30 329 21 332 16 326 21 293 22 273 26072 24442 29 328 20 332 12 335 12 288 18 267 24442 22760 34 336 21 331 11 324 10 278 16 263 22760 21022 37 341 22 332 15 317 12 287 16 271 21022 19224 25 350 20 336 15 324 13 304 15 283 19224 17398 15 005 9 347 12 324 12 312 12 288 17398 15641 12 019 2 018 7 301 9 304 9 279 15641 14041 10 027 1 057 5 273 8 288 8 268 14041 12615 7 031 1 112 5 248 9 272 8 259 12615 11344 5 029 2 143 5 222 10 251 10 250 11344 10207 4 027 3 141 7 200 11 231 11 246 10207 9189 3 020 5 143 9 188 12 221 10 249 9189 8278 1 022 6 148 10 180 10 213 9 253 8278 7465 1 148 8 149 10 175 9 204 8 253 7465 6738 2 169 8 151 9 170 8 190 8 251 6738 6079 3 171 8 149 8 163 7 176 7 244 6079 5491 4 159 8 150 7 155 7 162 6 219 5491 4996 3 156 7 148 6 147 7 151 5 189 4996 4612 2 146 6 149 5 137 6 142 5 163 4612 4347 1 081 4 146 4 125 6 134 5 142 4347 4186 2*036 4*148 3*115 5*128 5*121 4186 4093 2*038 3*149 3*100 4*119 4*099 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography