DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1859z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.3 - - 73.1 - - 77.7 - - 75.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 25 - - -13 - - -40 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4055 - - 4055 - - 4055 - - 4055 - - 4055 Hcrit BL Top 4072 - - 4073 - - 4073 - - 4073 - - 4072 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 764 - - 5207 - - 7024 - - 5273 - - 2902 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 32 - - 28 - - 28 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 16 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 223 - - 248 - - 246 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -7 - - -9 - - -10 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5555 - - -5028 - - -8084 - - -7676 - - -5489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9627 - - 9102 - - 12158 - - 11750 - - 9562 sfcLCL ODpotential -12606 - - -11421 - - -12260 - - -12343 - - -11069 ODpotential blCL 16678 - - 15494 - - 16333 - - 16416 - - 15141 blCL maxRH 71 - - 55 - - 69 - - 82 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.3 - - 73.1 - - 77.7 - - 75.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 47.3 - - 38.5 - - 38.4 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.4 - - 76.8 - - 78.6 - - 76.6 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 25.6 - - 31.8 - - 32.3 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 25 - - -13 - - -40 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98212 3 058 3 150 10 141 6 182 5 143 98212 90928 5 158 1 309 6 149 4 183 3 190 90928 85281 7 146 3 169 4 143 9 135 4 144 85281 80581 3 099 7 146 5 127 2 114 6 113 80581 76514 2 092 7 135 4 198 3 162 6 095 76514 72905 1 101 6 159 6 220 5 262 2 021 72905 69630 3 324 5 161 10 219 7 247 6 300 69630 66619 9 275 5 245 6 194 10 235 11 246 66619 63835 9 260 12 263 11 255 10 176 11 224 63835 61136 14 243 21 250 12 256 13 261 14 229 61136 58317 18 232 18 245 23 244 21 257 15 235 58317 55389 16 240 20 235 26 233 28 242 26 250 55389 52610 20 250 24 228 25 230 33 240 34 245 52610 50130 25 251 23 235 30 237 32 243 30 237 50130 47911 28 250 27 243 33 238 29 238 27 234 47911 45886 30 247 33 242 31 238 29 232 30 235 45886 44025 30 247 32 240 31 239 32 233 37 234 44025 42310 30 249 30 241 35 236 40 240 44 235 42310 40729 31 252 30 245 41 232 48 238 51 234 40729 39262 33 253 34 248 46 232 54 233 55 230 39262 37896 35 252 39 250 51 228 55 233 57 229 37896 36592 37 252 41 250 51 224 54 234 61 227 36592 35278 38 252 41 249 48 225 55 231 60 225 35278 33924 39 251 41 247 45 228 55 227 59 225 33924 32533 39 249 41 247 43 233 52 223 58 225 32533 31094 37 247 40 245 42 235 49 224 55 225 31094 29598 34 247 39 244 41 236 49 228 53 225 29598 28045 30 249 39 243 40 235 50 231 52 227 28045 26438 28 247 39 242 39 236 48 234 50 228 26438 24779 28 244 38 240 37 238 43 238 47 229 24779 23070 28 238 37 238 35 239 37 240 42 230 23070 21305 27 228 37 237 35 237 32 238 37 228 21305 19481 27 223 36 232 34 232 27 235 32 224 19481 17632 28 224 32 225 33 225 25 232 28 220 17632 15853 28 223 28 221 30 223 23 232 27 221 15853 14234 25 219 26 224 29 226 24 234 26 225 14234 12788 22 218 27 230 29 230 26 237 27 229 12788 11493 20 223 29 236 29 233 29 239 28 233 11493 10331 21 230 32 239 29 235 31 239 30 236 10331 9289 23 236 33 240 29 237 32 239 32 237 9289 8355 27 240 30 240 28 239 33 240 34 238 8355 7522 29 241 26 239 27 241 32 241 35 239 7522 6778 30 242 21 237 27 242 31 242 34 242 6778 6105 28 241 17 235 26 243 30 243 31 245 6105 5504 22 239 14 232 25 245 29 243 27 249 5504 4997 16 234 12 230 24 246 28 244 24 251 4997 4604 11 225 10 227 22 246 26 245 21 254 4604 4332 7 208 9 225 21 247 24 245 16 258 4332 4167 5*189 7*224 19*247 21*246 13*261 4167 4071 4*168 6*223 16*248 16*246 8*268 4071 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography