DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 40.1 - - 40.9 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 57 - - 34 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1520 - - 2477 - - 2424 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5820 - - 6777 - - 6724 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2130 - - 1812 - - 1715 - - 3443 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 225 - - 192 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 338 - - 340 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - 5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 601 - - 484 - - 243 - - -1363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5220 - - 6293 - - 6481 - - 5456 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -910 - - -1328 - - -3014 - - -2695 ODpotential blCL - - - 6730 - - 8105 - - 9738 - - 6788 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 77 - - 78 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 40.1 - - 40.9 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 27.0 - - 27.0 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 39.4 - - 40.3 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 25.9 - - 25.9 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 57 - - 34 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1520 - - 2477 - - 2424 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96361 21 027 24 034 27 044 22 060 96361 89289 20 033 18 035 17 060 22 037 89289 83784 10 028 6 022 11 060 11 037 83784 79203 6 020 1 253 11 003 12 084 79203 75209 6 274 6 278 11 331 10 033 75209 71655 14 249 18 270 14 303 13 299 71655 68419 16 260 17 279 10 315 14 288 68419 65421 19 272 23 290 23 302 22 297 65421 62630 21 263 26 272 24 278 22 294 62630 59925 20 248 22 263 20 277 23 294 59925 57110 21 278 26 280 27 285 22 289 57110 54184 29 279 29 278 26 283 27 309 54184 51396 28 277 23 287 26 289 31 303 51396 48895 29 291 28 303 19 286 26 291 48895 46647 33 290 27 298 19 327 22 307 46647 44616 33 282 21 292 36 333 23 335 44616 42780 27 282 22 317 37 326 31 357 42780 41107 21 298 30 330 29 339 50 013 41107 39572 26 318 28 343 33 008 73 009 39572 38146 28 320 35 003 59 018 70 008 38146 36814 24 328 48 001 76 013 65 019 36814 35543 22 351 45 007 72 012 69 028 35543 34263 26 009 55 030 71 023 75 031 34263 32943 35 012 75 037 83 032 78 032 32943 31587 39 014 84 037 84 033 75 033 31587 30182 40 017 76 036 78 031 72 034 30182 28718 39 016 55 032 70 030 70 034 28718 27199 38 012 47 022 65 032 67 033 27199 25628 36 010 44 017 60 032 60 032 25628 24009 36 011 42 009 57 028 50 030 24009 22344 35 013 39 002 49 024 42 035 22344 20627 32 013 33 000 38 013 34 038 20627 18852 28 010 27 001 34 356 27 020 18852 17056 27 001 22 354 29 350 27 359 17056 15331 25 354 21 348 24 347 27 349 15331 13762 20 354 21 346 22 349 24 345 13762 12364 15 348 19 343 19 350 22 346 12364 11117 13 333 16 338 16 350 18 349 11117 10004 11 327 13 336 13 348 15 351 10004 9010 12 329 11 339 9 349 13 355 9010 8124 13 334 9 347 7 354 12 359 8124 7337 14 339 9*347 8*355 12 006 7337 6636 14 344 9*343 9*351 13 009 6636 6002 14*344 9 339 9 345 13 006 6002 5436 14*341 10 338 10 338 13 000 5436 4960 14 338 10 336 10 336 13 349 4960 4592 13 336 9 336 10 335 13 336 4592 4337 13 336 9 336 10 335 13 331 4337 4181 12 336 9 337 9 334 12*330 4181 4092 12 336 9 336 9 335 11*329 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography