DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 41.4 - - 41.4 - - 40.8 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 22 - - 32 - - 19 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4788 - - 5407 - - 6017 - - 6363 - - 5648 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 32 - - 35 - - 30 - - 28 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 196 - - 266 - - 278 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -6 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2743 - - -3008 - - -2778 - - -2700 - - -1720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6836 - - 7101 - - 6871 - - 6793 - - 5813 sfcLCL ODpotential -4446 - - -4223 - - -3874 - - -3584 - - -2757 ODpotential blCL 8539 - - 8316 - - 7967 - - 7677 - - 6850 blCL maxRH 80 - - 98 - - 71 - - 85 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 41.4 - - 41.4 - - 40.8 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.5 - - 24.6 - - 25.6 - - 25.3 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 40.9 - - 40.9 - - 40.3 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 23.6 - - 24.5 - - 24.3 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 22 - - 32 - - 19 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 91 - - 0 - - 39 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96081 31 307 35 306 40 305 38 295 33 293 96081 88966 21 326 22 323 20 346 12 335 21 315 88966 83439 21 325 17 345 16 353 14 343 22 343 83439 78831 20 328 15 343 12 327 10 325 19 340 78831 74840 14 338 12 005 11 305 18 318 16 323 74840 71307 16 325 19 334 19 305 22 315 17 313 71307 68101 16 308 19 286 13 298 14 311 18 299 68101 65136 16 305 15 286 16 323 16 314 23 308 65136 62383 20 291 21 298 32 275 26 287 25 299 62383 59714 27 280 32 292 26 270 25 288 18 297 59714 56904 29 279 28 280 16 266 24 295 25 308 56904 53972 33 287 23 279 27 276 38 287 37 298 53972 51166 43 281 40 280 43 277 46 272 39 291 51166 48632 51 268 53 275 50 279 45 271 41 284 48632 46356 55 266 57 272 56 277 48 275 44 279 46356 44292 58 268 59 272 62 267 53 277 47 276 44292 42403 62 267 64 268 65 260 58 275 51 273 42403 40660 67 264 69 262 63 258 61 270 52 270 40660 39043 72 261 70 257 61 261 61 265 51 268 39043 37538 78 258 69 256 62 263 59 263 50 267 37538 36137 82 255 69 256 64 260 59 262 50 266 36137 34803 84 252 70 254 66 257 61 260 51 263 34803 33473 84 249 69 251 66 257 62 258 52 261 33473 32119 82 249 68 248 67 258 62 259 54 260 32119 30746 81 250 71 250 71 259 64 260 53 261 30746 29344 83 250 76 250 76 258 66 261 51 263 29344 27906 85 248 78 251 76 258 65 260 51 266 27906 26437 87 246 75 252 71 259 59 259 49 266 26437 24934 84 247 66 253 62 260 52 258 47 266 24934 23393 76 247 54 258 56 262 48 259 46 266 23393 21807 63 245 46 258 53 263 46 259 42 267 21807 20169 50 244 39 249 47 263 42 259 33 263 20169 18475 38 248 32 240 39 263 35 257 27 252 18475 16756 30 251 33 239 33 261 28 255 25 251 16756 15101 26 245 33 238 30 257 24 254 22 253 15101 13591 24 236 30 239 28 256 22 255 18 256 13591 12243 22 230 28 242 27 257 22 256 14 258 12243 11035 22 229 26 245 27 257 21 258 14 263 11035 9950 23 230 25 246 27 256 20 262 15 267 9950 8976 23 230 22 244 26 256 19 265 17 270 8976 8103 22 229 20 240 24 257 17 268 17 272 8103 7325 19 227 17 232 21 259 15 271 15 275 7325 6629 15 222 15 222 19 261 14 273 12 279 6629 5998 11 216 14 213 16 263 12 275 9 285 5998 5435 7 204 12 204 14 264 11 277 7 294 5435 4960 5 185 11 199 13 266 10 277 7 297 4960 4592 5 159 10 197 12 266 10 277 6 299 4592 4337 5 146 9 197 11 266 9 278 6 299 4337 4181 5*141 9*196 10*267 8*278 6*300 4181 4092 4*139 8*196 9*266 8*278 5*302 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography