DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 50.9 - - 50.8 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 15 - - 13 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3060 - - 4003 - - 4670 - - 3128 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 28 - - 27 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 019 - - 336 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1828 - - -1827 - - -1366 - - -1037 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5922 - - 5921 - - 5460 - - 5130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4160 - - -3254 - - -2537 - - -2743 ODpotential blCL - - - 8254 - - 7348 - - 6631 - - 6836 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 80 - - 89 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 50.9 - - 50.8 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 39.0 - - 41.0 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 50.5 - - 50.5 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 38.3 - - 40.1 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 15 - - 13 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 19 - - 56 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96852 9 079 10 069 16 088 11 090 96852 89731 15 112 6 100 11 092 15 079 89731 84196 18 103 3 163 4 072 13 069 84196 79577 14 089 2 134 5 070 5 088 79577 75594 8 076 8 096 5 048 4 136 75594 72061 5 118 7 053 6 098 5 122 72061 68840 5 162 2 005 7 113 5 097 68840 65864 3 327 3 197 1 277 3 004 65864 63103 7 316 6 245 11 277 4 319 63103 60437 5 344 6 223 12 272 13 275 60437 57666 11 326 7 269 10 262 13 250 57666 54795 12 338 8 231 17 262 20 256 54795 52061 26 340 22 317 20 302 19 280 52061 49616 31 311 32 292 25 296 30 278 49616 47425 17 317 33 263 22 256 22 262 47425 45418 12 282 14 246 22 231 11 261 45418 43550 2 299 5 301 16 324 16 298 43550 41802 49 354 40 335 35 316 31 286 41802 40175 66 346 52 332 39 311 36 282 40175 38671 65 347 47 331 37 316 31 288 38671 37289 62 356 37 351 31 322 24 301 37289 35982 57 010 37 353 30 337 22 309 35982 34672 58 021 42 352 35 337 24 314 34672 33326 61 020 46 354 41 333 25 318 33326 31947 70 009 47 359 40 330 22 326 31947 30521 77 008 48 007 30 348 17 333 30521 29039 72 014 47 010 32 015 16 326 29039 27499 65 013 43 013 35 017 17 317 27499 25905 61 012 44 017 32 020 17 320 25905 24258 59 024 46 022 30 007 14 343 24258 22561 60 039 44 027 29 357 13 018 22561 20804 45 027 42 013 25 359 14 020 20804 18989 43 016 43 009 25 009 15 338 18989 17157 22 019 30 018 23 003 18 327 17157 15410 7 321 4 360 11 341 19 319 15410 13832 7 291 4 252 9 281 13 305 13832 12433 5 278 6 219 10 244 10 268 12433 11186 5 242 9 203 13 227 13 241 11186 10071 7 212 11 202 14 217 15 230 10071 9072 9 201 13 204 12 214 15 222 9072 8179 9 197 13 205 9 222 13 218 8179 7384 8 193 10 207 8 243 10 225 7384 6673 5 192 6 211 7 257 10 243 6673 6030 2 213 4 215 6 281 10 260 6030 5457 2 308 1 230 6 307 9 272 5457 4974 3 325 0 348 6 324 9 284 4974 4600 3 329 1 013 6 329 8 292 4600 4341 3 333 1 017 6 331 7 302 4341 4183 3*337 1*019 6*334 6*305 4183 4092 3*336 1*019 6*336 6*306 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography