DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.2 - - 72.7 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 56 - - 25 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 121 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4421 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5793 - - 8364 - - 10203 - - 11030 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 83 - - 33 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 082 - - 112 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5485 - - -6569 - - -7970 - - -5860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9580 - - 10991 - - 12065 - - 9955 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7726 - - -8772 - - -9619 - - -7996 ODpotential blCL - - - 11821 - - 13193 - - 13714 - - 12091 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 54 - - 54 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.2 - - 72.7 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 35.2 - - 33.9 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 68.7 - - 72.3 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 34.1 - - 32.8 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 56 - - 25 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 121 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98166 2 068 9 061 6 113 8 066 98166 90745 8 139 4 089 4 052 7 045 90745 85025 9 108 7 124 4 107 5 034 85025 80275 10 074 9 130 1 139 4 060 80275 76186 4 071 4 079 1 075 6 052 76186 72573 5 140 3 005 2 088 7 080 72573 69285 7 160 3 233 5 346 6 063 69285 66248 2 098 3 192 7 316 7 357 66248 63435 3 018 2 341 5 291 6 333 63435 60709 5 337 7 336 6 320 5 325 60709 57867 7 344 7 326 11 316 16 336 57867 54934 16 346 13 338 15 324 19 330 54934 52143 24 351 20 345 21 337 18 337 52143 49636 27 346 25 345 24 359 27 354 49636 47403 26 347 30 349 46 354 35 360 47403 45403 29 351 39 346 46 344 36 001 45403 43595 31 354 36 358 33 349 34 011 43595 41935 33 360 44 019 48 038 59 037 41935 40397 34 010 52 017 72 027 85 035 40397 38965 34 005 39 014 68 016 80 030 38965 37625 32 352 32 010 58 022 67 025 37625 36338 25 348 32 004 58 030 59 026 36338 35039 22 352 30 360 60 032 55 029 35039 33700 22 353 25 358 56 032 51 031 33700 32326 20 354 22 357 51 030 49 033 32326 30901 20 356 24 002 47 028 49 032 30901 29419 21 355 27 008 42 028 48 032 29419 27881 22 354 28 011 41 030 44 033 27881 26289 22 357 27 008 38 029 39 035 26289 24645 21 358 25 009 34 022 33 039 24645 22950 18 350 23 010 29 015 25 033 22950 21199 17 337 20 004 25 009 25 021 21199 19388 16 328 17 352 18 002 19 011 19388 17557 13 324 14 340 12 349 12 358 17557 15803 12 322 12 321 10 319 13 353 15803 14209 10 323 11 296 11 298 13 348 14209 12783 9 325 10 282 11 298 11 341 12783 11502 6 324 10 282 11 301 10 329 11502 10351 4 303 10 284 11 306 9 317 10351 9314 4 277 9 288 10 311 10 309 9314 8384 4 265 7 294 9 319 10 305 8384 7553 3 263 6 303 8 326 11 303 7553 6808 3 264 4 319 7 335 11 303 6808 6134 2 267 3 343 6 344 11 303 6134 5531 1 303 3 017 5 358 11 303 5531 5023 1 052 3 044 4 015 10 302 5023 4629 2 069 4*061 2 040 9 301 4629 4356 2 078 4*075 2 081 7 299 4356 4190 2*085 3 083 2*103 5*294 4190 4094 2*085 3 089 2*112 2*270 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography