DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 47.9 - - 48.6 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 9 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1507 - - 2174 - - 2309 - - 1521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 23 - - 10 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 098 - - 080 - - 317 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - -2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4522 - - -4708 - - -3892 - - -4049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8615 - - 8802 - - 7986 - - 8143 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12868 - - -11506 - - -9870 - - -11575 ODpotential blCL - - - 16961 - - 15600 - - 13964 - - 15668 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 64 - - 48 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 47.9 - - 48.6 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.4 - - 24.3 - - 28.5 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 47.8 - - 49.6 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 23.2 - - 27.3 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 9 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96241 27 013 40 007 28 024 27 040 96241 89340 19 043 21 023 30 034 28 038 89340 83894 16 050 21 033 27 035 26 044 83894 79338 16 051 18 040 24 048 28 046 79338 75394 18 047 13 041 17 053 21 033 75394 71897 17 027 10 038 17 050 13 024 71897 68727 18 015 13 003 16 013 20 033 68727 65802 12 346 13 324 18 343 22 018 65802 63086 18 355 14 334 19 333 21 352 63086 60453 24 344 18 343 21 328 24 344 60453 57701 31 341 27 342 27 335 31 338 57701 54840 36 325 34 337 35 340 35 336 54840 52098 38 318 39 330 38 335 35 334 52098 49614 36 311 37 322 39 332 33 345 49614 47380 32 313 34 319 41 331 40 348 47380 45363 30 316 33 317 42 333 46 349 45363 43529 33 314 32 317 44 336 50 350 43529 41847 37 312 32 319 44 331 47 349 41847 40300 42 309 33 318 31 319 37 343 40300 38869 45 304 34 312 18 321 31 330 38869 37529 54 295 33 306 17 007 26 326 37529 36238 56 296 35 301 22 014 11 324 36238 34937 52 299 35 303 22 006 14 063 34937 33604 46 299 30 310 22 356 24 059 33604 32238 36 296 26 313 23 347 22 033 32238 30830 29 298 19 310 19 340 14 359 30830 29364 24 304 14 312 13 336 8 349 29364 27836 21 314 11 324 10 341 5 019 27836 26247 17 320 10 336 9 348 6 043 26247 24601 14 323 9 346 9 005 6 038 24601 22901 12 317 8 351 9 023 7 042 22901 21145 11 312 8 351 9 033 7 048 21145 19325 11 318 9 356 9 038 7 042 19325 17476 12 328 10 355 8 028 8 025 17476 15696 12 334 11 353 8 010 10 016 15696 14075 11 343 11 355 9 013 11 021 14075 12629 9 000 8 005 10 022 12 032 12629 11337 7 023 6 021 10 026 13 043 11337 10181 6 047 5 041 9 030 13 050 10181 9148 5 076 3 061 7 034 12 059 9148 8229 5 127 3 099 6 046 11 076 8229 7414 7 152 4 132 5 066 11 096 7414 6692 8 159 5 143 6 077 11 106 6692 6041 9 156 6 138 6 076 11 109 6041 5462 9 154 5 124 5 066 11 111 5462 4976 8 147 4 111 4 049 9 113 4976 4601 6 133 2 096 3 022 7 117 4601 4341 4 115 2 087 3 355 2 144 4341 4183 3*101 1*086 3*331 3*240 4183 4092 3*098 1*080 3*317 3*252 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography