DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1005z - - 1338z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.7 - - 78.2 - - 86.1 - - 91.1 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 35 - - 46 - - 13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 687 - - 1545 - - 5778 - - 16066 - - 636 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 35 - - 39 - - 31 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 342 - - 040 - - 289 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 5 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7195 - - -7527 - - -6494 - - -6994 - - -6436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11290 - - 11623 - - 10591 - - 11091 - - 10532 sfcLCL ODpotential -13177 - - -12040 - - -9403 - - -8917 - - -10042 ODpotential blCL 17272 - - 16136 - - 13500 - - 13014 - - 14138 blCL maxRH 65 - - 60 - - 61 - - 82 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 1630 - - 2570 - - 1270 CAPE Temp@2m 71.7 - - 78.2 - - 86.1 - - 91.1 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 41.8 - - 53.8 - - 56.3 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.7 - - 80.8 - - 87.3 - - 92.0 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 40.6 - - 52.4 - - 55.2 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 35 - - 46 - - 13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99010 20 103 25 113 27 118 20 111 15 118 99010 91494 18 114 20 113 18 129 22 129 23 130 91494 85715 21 114 16 109 13 132 19 123 21 120 85715 80928 22 114 18 114 20 120 20 119 17 109 80928 76804 21 113 22 112 22 110 22 112 19 103 76804 73159 21 108 22 103 23 107 19 104 22 091 73159 69882 14 102 17 105 18 099 18 111 18 084 69882 66896 11 111 12 101 13 099 17 110 14 088 66896 64151 10 091 9 103 4 066 10 087 9 089 64151 61506 9 062 9 129 4 180 4 357 8 084 61506 58757 3 311 4 186 5 270 4 299 8 354 58757 55922 8 293 9 257 11 258 18 274 17 291 55922 53225 25 292 23 287 22 269 24 270 24 272 53225 50787 36 282 34 286 28 279 25 275 27 270 50787 48584 42 278 40 279 34 275 32 274 35 270 48584 46573 49 275 45 273 41 272 41 272 43 272 46573 44723 55 270 48 268 47 271 48 271 51 272 44723 43005 53 265 46 267 48 269 49 272 53 273 43005 41403 45 261 41 264 43 270 45 274 51 268 41403 39907 36 255 37 259 39 268 40 275 45 267 39907 38505 30 253 34 255 34 265 35 271 36 268 38505 37166 27 248 33 252 33 263 31 262 28 269 37166 35819 25 238 32 249 32 261 31 259 28 266 35819 34434 23 237 30 243 29 258 30 260 30 263 34434 33014 20 238 28 236 28 252 27 260 27 259 33014 31550 17 241 26 239 24 244 22 264 21 252 31550 30036 12 241 20 240 18 252 18 268 14 257 30036 28474 10 240 15 234 15 256 13 281 8 285 28474 26858 12 237 14 228 17 247 9 292 7 292 26858 25186 15 238 14 224 16 234 9 278 9 276 25186 23465 18 237 14 222 14 227 12 265 12 260 23465 21688 18 236 13 222 11 233 15 239 12 210 21688 19852 17 240 12 236 11 242 18 219 10 192 19852 17989 18 250 16 241 21 247 15 233 8 194 17989 16192 21 251 20 244 22 247 12 257 8 201 16192 14547 21 248 20 247 21 248 12 265 7 225 14547 13074 20 246 18 250 20 249 12 272 8 254 13074 11752 20 246 17 256 19 253 13 276 10 268 11752 10562 19 247 16 261 17 257 13 279 11 275 10562 9491 17 249 14 269 14 260 13 280 13 279 9491 8530 15 249 13 277 12 264 13 282 15 281 8530 7671 12 249 11 281 9 271 12 284 16 282 7671 6902 8 249 10 285 7 283 11 286 17 282 6902 6205 5 255 8 294 4 308 10 286 17 281 6205 5581 4 279 7 308 4 343 10 288 17 281 5581 5056 5 297 6 323 4 006 9 289 17 282 5056 4648 5 302 5 335 5 019 8 290 16 281 4648 4366 3 309 4 344 4 027 8 290 13 281 4366 4194 2*032 3*346 4*034 7*289 11*280 4194 4095 2*053 3*342 3*040 6*289 7*279 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography