DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 46.2 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 1 - - 9 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1206 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 5506 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3728 - - 3583 - - 3390 - - 3317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 80 - - 24 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 21 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 213 - - 237 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1460 - - 121 - - -820 - - -660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5554 - - 5385 - - 4913 - - 4753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2935 - - -1586 - - -2263 - - -1910 ODpotential blCL - - - 7029 - - 7092 - - 6356 - - 6003 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 94 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 10 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 46.2 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.3 - - 40.3 - - 38.6 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 49.7 - - 45.8 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 39.3 - - 38.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 1 - - 9 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1206 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 76 - - 80 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96094 24 329 27 311 19 334 19 299 96094 89081 17 330 20 306 17 328 7 294 89081 83603 18 299 16 321 26 294 11 310 83603 79025 22 285 17 289 22 274 18 313 79025 75075 18 289 16 312 23 293 27 286 75075 71589 31 264 25 266 26 250 25 234 71589 68415 27 239 30 245 19 212 11 228 68415 65440 15 259 31 223 20 267 25 294 65440 62648 37 236 41 218 54 239 53 244 62648 59955 50 220 62 224 68 218 58 225 59955 57152 51 218 74 216 64 219 57 228 57152 54222 56 220 64 211 72 223 75 226 54222 51406 64 213 51 209 77 219 80 218 51406 48860 61 212 48 223 68 220 72 214 48860 46572 66 233 63 233 70 230 71 223 46572 44506 97 237 91 233 92 232 90 229 44506 42637 127 231 131 228 115 226 111 225 42637 40927 144 223 150 220 126 219 119 220 40927 39342 153 218 149 216 129 215 119 216 39342 37864 153 216 143 215 129 214 116 215 37864 36491 147 213 142 214 127 214 110 215 36491 35192 143 209 142 212 123 214 103 214 35192 33898 140 207 139 211 123 213 95 212 33898 32575 136 206 136 209 126 211 91 213 32575 31223 132 205 132 208 132 209 94 215 31223 29830 126 204 122 207 136 209 100 216 29830 28381 117 207 114 207 134 208 103 214 28381 26879 113 210 112 206 119 206 101 212 26879 25320 110 210 103 204 106 204 98 213 25320 23713 100 206 93 202 104 202 92 212 23713 22070 79 201 86 200 99 202 84 209 22070 20393 75 199 82 199 92 205 80 206 20393 18670 70 202 76 206 78 209 71 208 18670 16927 70 209 65 217 63 216 57 212 16927 15250 69 216 48 221 58 226 47 212 15250 13719 64 219 42 219 52 230 44 212 13719 12351 61 217 41 219 43 228 42 212 12351 11125 62 215 41 218 36 223 39 211 11125 10025 62 213 39 215 31 217 37 210 10025 9038 59 210 37 213 26 209 33 208 9038 8153 55 207 35 212 22 203 28 203 8153 7365 50 204 33 211 19 201 23 199 7365 6660 45 202 30 211 16 200 18 194 6660 6021 39 199 27*211 13 204 13 192 6021 5451 34 197 25*212 11 213 9 186 5451 4971 29 195 23 213 8 224 5 178 4971 4598 25 192 21 213 7 234 2 159 4598 4340 23 191 19 213 6 236 2 141 4340 4183 21*189 18 213 5*238 1*126 4183 4092 18*187 14 210 5*237 1*119 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography