DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 34.7 - - 37.3 - - 38.9 - - 37.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 32 - - 53 - - 20 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4066 - - 5461 - - 6431 - - 6266 - - 4901 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 34 - - 40 - - 30 - - 28 W* B/S 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 314 - - 337 - - 333 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1451 - - -1678 - - -2650 - - -3921 - - -3728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5545 - - 5771 - - 6743 - - 8014 - - 7821 sfcLCL ODpotential -2735 - - -2380 - - -3628 - - -5048 - - -6176 ODpotential blCL 6828 - - 6473 - - 7721 - - 9141 - - 10269 blCL maxRH 94 - - 94 - - 64 - - 59 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 34.7 - - 37.3 - - 38.9 - - 37.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.8 - - 24.1 - - 22.4 - - 18.3 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 34.2 - - 36.6 - - 38.5 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 23.4 - - 21.3 - - 17.4 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 32 - - 53 - - 20 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 78 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97264 14 069 25 027 34 044 43 054 39 065 97264 90243 27 068 32 060 35 061 42 058 35 073 90243 84663 26 051 29 071 29 074 35 064 33 079 84663 79960 13 047 29 072 25 072 25 065 27 080 79960 75879 12 067 20 058 20 059 24 062 20 074 75879 72278 14 041 15 090 10 044 13 040 17 065 72278 69022 9 345 7 018 7 360 10 016 9 014 69022 66020 13 300 3 302 9 264 12 325 12 330 66020 63232 23 273 17 291 15 281 18 301 24 309 63232 60534 30 280 26 276 25 275 29 281 30 288 60534 57711 41 279 33 277 32 273 34 273 32 278 57711 54767 48 273 46 277 44 273 40 278 39 278 54767 51947 57 268 56 274 56 273 50 282 50 282 51947 49408 64 266 66 270 65 272 60 279 60 283 49408 47134 72 267 73 267 72 269 68 274 68 279 47134 45066 83 267 76 268 75 267 72 270 71 274 45066 43164 91 265 77 270 76 267 72 270 70 272 43164 41407 93 265 77 271 73 269 70 272 70 271 41407 39781 92 267 79 273 72 272 67 274 67 271 39781 38273 91 267 81 274 72 275 64 278 64 273 38273 36880 90 268 84 273 74 278 62 282 61 274 36880 35564 88 269 83 272 72 277 60 286 53 283 35564 34255 89 271 80 273 68 279 59 288 51 293 34255 32918 87 273 76 278 67 283 58 290 51 297 32918 31552 87 274 78 282 68 285 57 290 51 303 31552 30142 92 272 81 281 67 289 56 288 52 310 30142 28680 94 268 85 279 66 296 55 288 53 314 28680 27163 93 268 87 278 63 302 53 290 52 315 27163 25591 90 270 86 279 62 307 50 295 51 314 25591 23969 88 271 81 282 61 308 48 301 49 311 23969 22298 82 274 72 285 61 309 46 309 48 308 22298 20576 72 277 65 287 58 309 46 325 48 308 20576 18797 61 278 57 287 53 308 45 335 47 310 18797 16991 50 279 47 285 47 305 42 335 43 314 16991 15255 40 280 37 283 38 301 37 332 38 319 15255 13682 33 279 29 282 30 298 28 331 30 326 13682 12292 29 278 24 280 22 295 18 325 21 337 12292 11059 25 277 19 278 17 292 12 316 12 344 11059 9961 19 277 14 277 13 287 8 312 7 329 9961 8978 14 279 9 274 12 286 7 326 5 308 8978 8101 9 286 6 273 10 293 7 333 3 328 8101 7320 7 296 5 282 9 302 8 332 5 349 7320 6623 5 306 4 293 9 313 8 332 7 004 6623 5992 4 320 4 301 9 324 8 332 9 015 5992 5429 4 333 4 303 9 329 8 332 11 018 5429 4955 3 351 4 308 9 332 8 332 11 018 4955 4589 2 006 3 311 9 334 8 333 11 017 4589 4335 2 014 3 313 9 335 8 332 10 015 4335 4181 2*015 3*313 8*336 7*333 9*012 4181 4092 2*013 3*314 8*337 7*333 9*011 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography