DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 47.4 - - 53.3 - - 55.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 5 - - 15 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 822 - - 1249 - - 1725 - - 2437 - - 1209 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 18 - - 27 - - 10 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 081 - - 265 - - 215 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -5 - - -7 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4626 - - -4633 - - -5579 - - -6318 - - -6637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8719 - - 8726 - - 9673 - - 10413 - - 10731 sfcLCL ODpotential -13143 - - -13356 - - -12940 - - -13061 - - -15011 ODpotential blCL 17236 - - 17449 - - 17034 - - 17155 - - 19105 blCL maxRH 50 - - 57 - - 55 - - 43 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 47.4 - - 53.3 - - 55.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.6 - - 24.3 - - 26.0 - - 24.8 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 48.3 - - 54.2 - - 57.4 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.4 - - 23.2 - - 25.0 - - 23.7 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 5 - - 15 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96046 24 323 17 310 28 297 30 316 10 347 96046 89072 17 002 8 359 16 326 26 337 13 014 89072 83679 15 331 7 343 13 354 14 331 11 340 83679 79194 15 312 12 347 13 353 9 339 10 343 79194 75301 13 345 14 341 15 335 16 326 17 007 75301 71833 16 333 11 331 16 341 17 330 24 348 71833 68697 14 327 13 316 15 337 13 333 18 339 68697 65811 18 328 14 327 20 345 16 349 17 351 65811 63119 30 325 26 331 24 340 18 348 22 346 63119 60517 36 310 25 334 23 352 26 354 30 351 60517 57811 33 319 30 340 30 352 33 352 32 356 57811 54995 36 319 36 338 36 352 38 357 33 358 54995 52291 33 333 43 347 41 356 40 356 34 354 52291 49844 45 346 46 354 45 358 43 001 33 001 49844 47642 43 349 43 357 45 360 50 358 40 009 47642 45657 44 360 40 005 46 355 49 349 42 005 45657 43868 52 001 48 020 35 002 41 345 39 008 43868 42239 62 019 54 037 31 039 28 013 40 015 42239 40727 79 025 68 042 50 051 34 039 44 027 40727 39307 81 019 72 034 57 044 39 041 44 038 39307 37969 80 019 71 031 56 034 42 034 35 036 37969 36678 83 025 68 031 57 029 47 031 26 032 36678 35372 72 033 66 044 52 029 49 034 25 038 35372 34023 60 040 57 054 49 031 44 039 24 037 34023 32633 51 050 46 057 43 043 37 038 28 032 32633 31191 36 052 29 054 34 055 33 047 26 025 31191 29690 16 037 20 034 27 044 25 043 19 010 29690 28130 9 062 20 007 20 032 17 025 12 019 28130 26511 8 351 9 348 12 033 13 033 8 035 26511 24836 16 310 7 314 6 003 5 042 8 073 24836 23109 20 313 13 311 8 295 7 294 2 139 23109 21330 24 320 19 312 18 302 18 303 11 307 21330 19497 21 317 26 312 27 307 25 315 24 334 19497 17636 18 319 26 312 29 310 33 316 31 326 17636 15843 15 327 22 317 24 314 33 313 32 318 15843 14205 10 323 15 323 13 316 24 317 30 324 14205 12742 9 300 9 320 7 316 12 317 23 335 12742 11437 9 284 7 305 6 322 5 298 12 340 11437 10269 10 282 7 294 6 331 4 281 7 329 10269 9224 9 281 6 281 5 344 3 298 5 311 9224 8293 7 264 5 250 2 010 0 213 3 296 8293 7467 5 237 5 207 2 111 4 134 1 246 7467 6733 4 205 6 180 5 125 7 129 2 151 6733 6072 3 172 7 163 6 125 9 130 3 146 6072 5484 3 145 9 158 5 122 8 128 5 146 5484 4990 3 135 8 151 4 119 7 127 5 137 4990 4609 3 116 6 138 2 118 6 131 5 122 4609 4346 3 080 3 108 0 196 4 142 3 096 4346 4185 3*058 3*094 2*259 3*175 2*056 4185 4093 2*003 1*081 3*265 3*215 2*030 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography