DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 52.0 - - 52.8 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 11 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2058 - - 2608 - - 2534 - - 1719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 25 - - 17 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 10 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 113 - - 036 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4484 - - -5504 - - -5065 - - -4960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8578 - - 9598 - - 9160 - - 9054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11197 - - -11249 - - -10331 - - -10561 ODpotential blCL - - - 15290 - - 15343 - - 14425 - - 14655 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 84 - - 77 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 52.0 - - 52.8 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.2 - - 24.5 - - 27.1 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 51.7 - - 52.8 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 23.4 - - 26.1 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 11 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 36 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96841 42 084 39 102 52 096 68 106 96841 89664 33 095 36 086 49 098 60 103 89664 84071 28 104 25 082 38 087 43 097 84071 79413 27 098 22 098 21 081 29 083 79413 75385 21 080 20 096 20 070 21 076 75385 71805 16 057 14 067 20 059 15 077 71805 68548 13 031 10 030 19 024 20 053 68548 65542 13 004 9 015 13 332 19 012 65542 62752 15 358 9 001 12 310 19 351 62752 60054 19 341 14 335 16 328 20 345 60054 57243 23 316 21 313 24 319 21 340 57243 54319 30 311 27 305 26 314 25 335 54319 51532 36 304 34 303 29 310 29 318 51532 49038 38 301 37 305 32 310 30 323 49038 46818 39 291 38 303 32 319 32 318 46818 44826 36 289 36 301 33 317 30 336 44826 43026 35 295 32 311 38 336 33 353 43026 41384 33 294 33 323 48 348 58 012 41384 39866 29 296 34 326 53 001 74 005 39866 38447 27 299 36 328 61 007 68 001 38447 37118 26 299 35 328 56 005 68 005 37118 35843 24 299 30 327 50 003 82 011 35843 34557 23 299 25 334 43 360 85 010 34557 33231 23 299 24 341 38 355 74 008 33231 31872 22 304 24 342 35 349 56 002 31872 30468 23 315 24 345 34 344 40 351 30468 29007 24 328 27 347 35 343 34 336 29007 27488 27 331 29 347 33 340 37 323 27488 25913 29 329 28 344 30 341 41 319 25913 24286 29 324 28 332 32 343 42 320 24286 22610 28 320 32 324 35 340 41 324 22610 20880 26 318 31 316 30 331 37 324 20880 19092 24 313 29 312 30 313 33 318 19092 17280 24 306 28 310 31 307 33 312 17280 15539 24 303 28 309 30 304 34 310 15539 13955 23 302 28 308 29 304 34 310 13955 12540 22 301 27 306 27 304 32 309 12540 11276 20 297 24 304 25 304 30 307 11276 10144 17 290 22 298 24 302 27 303 10144 9131 13 274 19 287 23 294 24 298 9131 8226 9 242 17 272 22 282 23 294 8226 7420 8 210 15 256 19 273 23 289 7420 6701 8 183 11 238 13 270 23 285 6701 6050 9 166 7 220 7 276 21 282 6050 5470 11 157 3 199 3 316 17 281 5470 4982 9 149 2 172 3 015 11 282 4982 4605 7 139 2 136 5 033 7 281 4605 4343 6 137 2 117 5 036 3 281 4343 4184 5*136 2*116 5*036 1*273 4184 4093 5*134 2*113 5*036 0*122 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography