DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.2 - - 61.4 - - 67.9 - - 68.9 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 29 - - 38 - - 4 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1443 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 5743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1931 - - 3405 - - 7784 - - 8521 - - 3491 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 34 - - 37 - - 28 - - 146 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 12 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 010 - - 344 - - 270 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 4 - - 0 - - -7 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4324 - - -5525 - - -6425 - - -6270 - - -2157 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8418 - - 9621 - - 10520 - - 10365 - - 7900 sfcLCL ODpotential -11586 - - -11655 - - -9160 - - -8098 - - -5323 ODpotential blCL 15680 - - 15750 - - 13255 - - 12193 - - 11066 blCL maxRH 66 - - 56 - - 75 - - 83 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m 58.2 - - 61.4 - - 67.9 - - 68.9 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.6 - - 33.5 - - 35.8 - - 37.3 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.4 - - 61.0 - - 67.5 - - 68.7 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.4 - - 32.3 - - 34.7 - - 36.3 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 29 - - 38 - - 4 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1443 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97871 10 327 7 347 4 271 12 234 17 290 97871 90604 6 341 3 313 4 280 5 287 3 352 90604 84991 7 001 6 347 4 348 4 347 8 029 84991 80315 8 028 6 033 2 083 4 304 13 019 80315 76269 7 006 5 333 2 029 5 307 9 357 76269 72677 7 333 9 334 2 088 4 254 4 333 72677 69411 5 290 10 306 5 286 3 275 6 260 69411 66398 9 282 10 259 8 257 5 266 5 271 66398 63592 16 279 16 266 15 259 13 263 13 250 63592 60868 21 273 21 265 24 262 11 277 7 214 60868 57999 19 271 23 260 24 263 23 278 9 259 57999 55014 21 274 23 257 27 256 30 263 28 258 55014 52195 27 278 25 258 28 250 31 255 29 251 52195 49674 35 276 31 262 33 255 32 252 26 244 49674 47409 45 271 39 265 40 254 34 250 26 244 47409 45346 53 266 49 261 49 252 41 249 28 251 45346 43452 60 259 62 254 58 248 50 245 35 252 43452 41704 67 252 73 248 67 244 57 241 44 243 41704 40085 71 249 79 240 75 239 65 237 52 234 40085 38586 71 247 79 237 80 235 76 234 61 232 38586 37201 70 244 77 236 80 233 82 231 80 224 37201 35892 69 243 74 236 77 231 81 231 92 216 35892 34584 67 243 71 236 73 231 77 231 91 212 34584 33244 64 245 68 236 67 233 75 228 86 212 33244 31873 61 248 64 237 64 234 73 228 81 214 31873 30456 57 250 60 238 60 234 71 229 75 216 30456 28984 53 250 58 239 58 234 67 228 67 218 28984 27458 48 251 54 241 55 235 64 227 61 222 27458 25881 45 253 49 243 52 236 60 230 54 224 25881 24257 43 254 46 244 48 237 55 234 47 223 24257 22592 40 253 43 246 44 238 50 237 41 223 22592 20882 36 251 40 247 40 238 43 239 36 221 20882 19118 31 250 35 247 37 238 35 237 31 212 19118 17326 25 253 31 246 36 238 28 231 28 201 17326 15599 22 255 28 242 34 238 23 225 23 201 15599 14023 21 249 26 236 32 239 20 222 17 205 14023 12616 20 245 23 232 26 244 16 225 13 212 12616 11356 18 249 19 232 20 251 13 238 11 226 11356 10223 15 252 16 237 18 253 12 252 10 247 10223 9206 13 248 13 244 17 255 13 260 11 262 9206 8294 12 240 12 253 15 259 14 266 12 272 8294 7480 10 235 10 260 12 265 15 268 13 277 7480 6751 7 235 9 261 10 271 16 269 15 278 6751 6092 5 245 7 263 7 281 16 269 17*277 6092 5501 4 272 5 268 5 296 16 270 17*277 5501 5004 3 304 2 283 4 313 16 270 17 278 5004 4618 4 320 1 312 3 331 15 270 16 278 4618 4350 3 326 1 353 3 341 15 270 15 278 4350 4187 3*335 1*010 3*343 14*270 13 278 4187 4094 3*338 1*010 3*344 12*270 11 279 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography