DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 57.0 - - 54.4 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 3 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2016 - - 3257 - - 3439 - - 2357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 18 - - 7 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 095 - - 264 - - 266 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4692 - - -4050 - - -3293 - - -2478 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8787 - - 8144 - - 7388 - - 6572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13466 - - -10827 - - -10438 - - -10283 ODpotential blCL - - - 17560 - - 14921 - - 14532 - - 14377 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 88 - - 80 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 57.0 - - 54.4 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 35.7 - - 36.4 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 57.8 - - 56.4 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 34.6 - - 35.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 3 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 51 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96246 13 090 10 039 13 063 9 082 96246 89236 19 040 10 053 10 080 8 081 89236 83774 13 021 9 285 19 009 17 085 83774 79189 11 042 5 042 11 342 10 011 79189 75234 17 329 16 333 14 353 13 344 75234 71747 13 320 19 310 16 328 15 344 71747 68589 17 334 15 326 17 327 23 322 68589 65676 22 315 20 303 24 307 25 300 65676 62965 21 317 10 296 19 286 21 290 62965 60323 25 308 9 304 14 299 23 296 60323 57557 41 310 40 310 35 315 43 311 57557 54705 62 307 63 311 65 307 62 307 54705 52006 69 303 78 305 81 298 75 297 52006 49584 71 304 82 299 86 294 79 294 49584 47420 76 302 85 293 84 292 79 291 47420 45470 76 296 81 287 75 287 78 287 45470 43698 70 294 66 285 64 283 75 283 43698 42066 62 297 55 290 59 286 73 281 42066 40543 58 301 58 298 63 291 74 277 40543 39110 61 304 63 300 67 290 74 275 39110 37758 68 307 66 298 65 286 73 276 37758 36453 72 307 65 296 64 285 71 277 36453 35135 72 305 64 295 66 286 70 279 35135 33774 69 303 64 295 67 287 69 280 33774 32377 66 300 63 296 68 288 69 281 32377 30931 66 298 63 295 66 288 69 281 30931 29428 69 297 64 293 66 287 70 282 29428 27869 72 296 66 293 67 287 71 283 27869 26255 73 297 67 293 72 288 72 284 26255 24590 70 298 65 292 75 288 73 284 24590 22878 68 298 63 291 74 288 73 284 22878 21115 66 297 61 290 71 288 72 284 21115 19295 64 296 60 289 67 287 70 285 19295 17450 61 295 59 289 65 286 69 286 17450 15677 58 294 57 289 63 286 67 287 15677 14063 56 294 54 288 60 287 64 286 14063 12625 53 293 52 287 56 287 60 286 12625 11340 50 292 49 286 52 285 56 284 11340 10192 48 290 47 284 48 282 52 282 10192 9164 45 287 45 281 44 278 50 277 9164 8248 43 284 42 278 40 273 49 270 8248 7434 40 281 38 274 37 268 47 263 7434 6710 36 276 34 271 34 265 44 257 6710 6057 30 272 30 269 30 264 39 253 6057 5476 22 270 26 267 25 264 31 251 5476 4986 15 269 24 267 21 264 22 248 4986 4607 9 268 21 266 17 264 13 244 4607 4345 5 265 18 266 13 265 4 219 4345 4185 1*246 15*266 9*267 5*106 4185 4093 2*095 7*264 2*266 10*092 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography