DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Ames_IA 955ft pt37194@41.911,-93.594,951ft SPONSORED BY: Silent Knights Glider Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0701z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1902z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.4 - - 79.7 - - 84.0 - - 86.7 - - 86.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 91 - - 154 - - 115 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 48 - - 3848 - - 4916 - - 6153 - - 5934 BL Depth Hcrit 987 - - 2934 - - 4060 - - 4825 - - 988 Hcrit BL Top 1003 - - 4803 - - 5871 - - 7108 - - 6889 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 258 - - 1623 - - 2020 - - 1247 - - 1642 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 301 - - 390 - - 387 - - 126 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 17 - - 17 - - 5 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 324 - - 319 - - 336 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - -7 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1791 - - 1854 - - 1947 - - 2440 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1003 - - 3012 - - 4017 - - 5162 - - 4449 sfcLCL ODpotential -2266 - - 817 - - 474 - - 810 - - 1000 ODpotential blCL 3269 - - 3986 - - 5397 - - 6298 - - 5889 blCL maxRH 96 - - 96 - - 87 - - 82 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 930 - - 530 - - 1070 - - 730 - - 1400 CAPE Temp@2m 70.4 - - 79.7 - - 84.0 - - 86.7 - - 86.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.3 - - 69.5 - - 69.4 - - 67.3 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.5 - - 78.9 - - 83.1 - - 85.9 - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.3 - - 68.6 - - 68.4 - - 66.0 - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 91 - - 154 - - 115 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 48 - - 3848 - - 4916 - - 6153 - - 5934 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 85 - - 47 - - 28 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99216 33 086 38 097 28 094 32 091 27 096 99216 91696 27 090 29 086 22 092 26 087 27 088 91696 85933 26 093 22 078 21 100 21 087 26 083 85933 81161 24 089 19 075 25 104 18 094 21 081 81161 77046 22 083 19 090 25 098 16 100 16 085 77046 73403 20 081 19 089 22 090 18 103 12 083 73403 70112 17 079 15 093 17 080 17 090 12 081 70112 67098 14 056 14 086 10 079 12 077 11 077 67098 64308 9 070 12 087 7 097 8 063 9 064 64308 61617 10 045 11 063 6 134 1 056 6 353 61617 58826 6 313 8 311 3 327 1 311 4 258 58826 55955 7 289 10 249 13 286 14 302 10 303 55955 53254 11 297 8 296 16 272 18 281 16 294 53254 50854 25 300 22 298 21 290 20 281 23 295 50854 48710 24 294 23 292 27 286 26 281 31 292 48710 46759 23 293 25 295 26 275 31 274 38 278 46759 44956 22 292 28 298 25 277 31 268 40 266 44956 43278 20 288 27 300 24 282 28 266 38 263 43278 41706 10 320 23 301 24 281 27 270 35 266 41706 40227 17 355 20 304 23 279 27 273 32 266 40227 38829 23 331 18 299 19 279 24 267 30 262 38829 37471 21 329 15 288 17 279 19 261 31 259 37471 36084 15 332 12 285 16 275 18 261 29 253 36084 34637 16 322 13 300 16 269 21 264 28 253 34637 33137 22 312 14 318 16 266 22 263 27 253 33137 31568 24 313 16 323 16 266 21 259 27 248 31568 29919 17 316 17 300 15 258 21 255 27 245 29919 28189 8 315 11 277 15 245 22 257 25 251 28189 26379 5 297 10 259 15 253 19 268 21 262 26379 24494 6 301 8 267 13 266 16 273 16 279 24494 22536 6 306 7 273 11 282 12 275 15 294 22536 20503 5 285 8 269 11 296 11 285 15 285 20503 18394 6 231 10 270 11 309 13 290 14 278 18394 16250 5 257 9 297 11 316 12 293 13 282 16250 14186 8 318 10 334 10 313 12 300 11 288 14186 12306 12 334 12 349 7 299 12 295 11 305 12306 10634 12 336 11 355 6 296 12 300 18 346 10634 9153 6 324 7 349 5 291 11 315 14 340 9153 7839 3 352 1 311 6 307 8*312 8*322 7839 6670 4 311 3 307 6*324 7*312 8*321 6670 5631 5 301 4*317 6*325 6 317 7 319 5631 4711 7 308 7*324 5 321 4 328 6 315 4711 3897 9 312 7 324 5 319 4 339 5 315 3897 3167 9 319 7 324 4 318 4 350 4 314 3167 2519 7 330 7 324 4 316 4 357 3 314 2519 1979 7 345 6 324 4 316 3 003 3 318 1979 1563 7 352 6 324 3 315 3 006 2 316 1563 1277 6 354 6 323 3 315 3 009 2 316 1277 1104 6 341 5 324 3 314 3 011 2 319 1104 1004 2*318 5 322 3 314 3 010 2 320 1004 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography