DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Ames_IA 955ft pt37194@41.911,-93.594,951ft SPONSORED BY: Silent Knights Glider Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 61.4 - - 63.2 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - -17 - - -24 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 50 - - 50 - - 50 - - 50 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 988 - - 988 - - 989 - - 989 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1005 - - 1005 - - 1005 - - 1005 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1575 - - 1881 - - 1590 - - 1481 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 21 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 13 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 161 - - 168 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -50 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1005 - - 1055 - - 1005 - - 1005 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -489 - - -666 - - -826 - - -743 ODpotential blCL - - - 1494 - - 1671 - - 1831 - - 1748 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 190 - - 50 - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 61.4 - - 63.2 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 59.7 - - 61.8 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 61.8 - - 64.0 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 59.6 - - 61.8 - - 63.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - -17 - - -24 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 50 - - 50 - - 50 - - 50 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96162 49 282 52 275 52 281 47 273 96162 89332 32 288 32 297 27 281 33 284 89332 83983 22 294 20 300 20 304 22 294 83983 79486 18 310 14 302 18 317 17 312 79486 75584 14 322 11 314 15 319 12 323 75584 72117 14 333 11 320 17 316 14 330 72117 68968 16 334 10 329 15 307 16 313 68968 66063 20 323 11 340 14 309 18 305 66063 63350 20 305 16 327 16 304 19 305 63350 60708 17 304 17 319 15 311 21 299 60708 57955 24 308 21 309 19 304 16 294 57955 55107 30 299 24 297 18 300 21 292 55107 52412 30 289 34 293 30 289 23 281 52412 50016 31 303 36 288 33 284 30 286 50016 47871 40 306 37 284 41 278 35 267 47871 45908 45 287 36 275 42 266 37 253 45908 44094 38 280 41 263 43 253 41 243 44094 42405 34 261 46 255 44 238 47 225 42405 40822 42 241 51 247 44 235 50 221 40822 39330 43 240 52 239 46 231 54 217 39330 37923 40 237 45 224 47 225 54 211 37923 36565 29 224 42 208 51 212 53 205 36565 35192 27 205 41 207 59 206 55 200 35192 33775 27 201 40 213 57 199 57 204 33775 32313 31 208 38 218 55 199 60 207 32313 30788 36 215 38 220 54 201 60 206 30788 29185 42 216 39 223 52 208 59 206 29185 27503 43 211 39 225 56 218 59 207 27503 25742 35 197 39 227 61 217 56 207 25742 23907 35 202 40 227 61 214 52 213 23907 22001 38 210 39 226 59 215 49 225 22001 20020 44 214 42 224 54 222 44 231 20020 17959 50 215 59 217 49 226 45 230 17959 15864 53 217 65 208 49 222 43 229 15864 13849 50 220 59 211 48 221 42 230 13849 12019 47 220 55 213 49 217 43 230 12019 10390 46 212 51 216 49 213 43 226 10390 8939 45 208 47 215 47 214 44 220 8939 7645 44 207 45 211 46 216 49 216 7645 6495 41 204 48 208 47 213 53 209 6495 5477 41 202 51 203 49 209 54 199 5477 4581 46 196 51 192 49 203 53 193 4581 3791 47 187 47 182 47 196 51 188 3791 3084 44 178 43 175 43 188 48 184 3084 2460 40 169 39 170 37 181 43 182 2460 1940 35 163 35 166 31 176 37 177 1940 1541 30 158 31 164 27 173 32 174 1541 1267 26 156 27 163 22 170 27 171 1267 1100 23*156 23*162 19 169 23 170 1100 1005 16*155 17*161 13*168 16*170 1005 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography