DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Ames_IA 955ft pt37194@41.911,-93.594,951ft SPONSORED BY: Silent Knights Glider Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1008z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.9 - - 47.6 - - 63.0 - - 66.9 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 58 - - 133 - - 77 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 166 - - 2409 - - 2637 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 991 - - 991 - - 2111 - - 1847 - - 992 Hcrit BL Top 1007 - - 1121 - - 3364 - - 3592 - - 1009 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 291 - - 1137 - - 1410 - - 190 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 87 - - 285 - - 244 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 15 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 270 - - 240 - - 227 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -370 - - -1759 - - -2726 - - -3526 - - -4626 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1377 - - 2880 - - 6091 - - 7118 - - 5635 sfcLCL ODpotential -11192 - - -8887 - - -10357 - - -10109 - - -12248 ODpotential blCL 12199 - - 10008 - - 13721 - - 13701 - - 13257 blCL maxRH 74 - - 73 - - 49 - - 48 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.9 - - 47.6 - - 63.0 - - 66.9 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 39.0 - - 40.1 - - 39.5 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.1 - - 47.2 - - 61.9 - - 66.3 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.1 - - 38.7 - - 38.6 - - 38.6 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 58 - - 133 - - 77 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 166 - - 2409 - - 2637 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97611 33 267 37 261 30 259 37 260 40 257 97611 90471 22 276 25 256 21 264 25 268 23 256 90471 84918 12 285 19 263 19 263 20 274 18 273 84918 80258 10 279 17 267 18 259 19 266 19 276 80258 76215 12 268 17 268 18 262 17 267 20 280 76215 72620 13 264 18 263 18 258 19 262 20 272 72620 69350 19 263 19 265 16 266 18 262 18 266 69350 66341 18 243 19 255 17 262 20 269 19 274 66341 63558 14 266 17 265 16 262 20 266 19 277 63558 60863 28 283 25 272 21 277 21 274 20 277 60863 58052 32 279 29 282 27 286 24 286 21 284 58052 55134 33 287 33 285 34 286 33 293 27 295 55134 52354 38 290 34 285 36 284 36 293 36 298 52354 49873 40 289 34 286 34 281 37 293 43 298 49873 47670 42 295 34 294 32 287 39 291 44 299 47670 45680 48 301 37 302 33 301 42 293 43 299 45680 43861 53 301 40 306 38 310 44 297 40 301 43861 42182 54 301 42 310 42 314 44 302 38 304 42182 40625 58 307 45 315 43 318 42 305 40 305 40625 39178 62 309 45 316 43 321 39 307 43 305 39178 37824 59 313 44 317 43 325 38 308 46 303 37824 36519 61 316 42 325 42 326 37 309 46 300 36519 35192 51 326 45 337 39 324 35 310 43 299 35192 33811 59 352 49 344 36 325 34 309 39 298 33811 32378 77 358 51 345 35 326 33 306 36 297 32378 30877 81 358 53 345 36 325 34 301 35 293 30877 29295 74 356 51 344 37 323 36 295 35 287 29295 27635 69 357 50 341 37 322 36 292 36 280 27635 25896 64 355 52 339 36 321 36 291 37 276 25896 24078 58 351 53 335 34 319 36 291 38 277 24078 22180 50 346 50 333 34 315 37 293 36 279 22180 20194 50 337 46 331 34 313 36 293 34 282 20194 18114 49 335 40 323 34 309 35 291 33 285 18114 15985 40 334 37 315 35 304 35 293 33 294 15985 13929 34 329 37 311 35 303 35 299 33 303 13929 12060 32 322 36 312 32 303 34 304 32 308 12060 10403 32 320 35 315 28 302 32 300 32 307 10403 8934 29 321 35 318 26 300 31 287 32 299 8934 7632 26 320 34 319 25 296 25 277 29 287 7632 6477 21 314 27 319 23 293 22 273 26 275 6477 5456 17 301 17 315 19 289 22 266 26 259 5456 4561 14 293 9 286 17 272 21 252 27 244 4561 3774 12 285 8 249 19*251 20*233 29 228 3774 3072 11 278 9 243 18*246 19*229 28 222 3072 2452 11 276 10 243 16 241 18 228 28 214 2452 1935 12 277 9 243 15 239 18 227 26 207 1935 1540 14 282 7 263 14 238 17 226 24 203 1540 1268 14 286 6*271 13 238 16 226 20 197 1268 1103 11 285 4*271 12 237 15 225 17*195 1103 1009 4*268 4 269 10 237 12 224 8*191 1009 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography