DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 45.3 - - 46.2 - - 40.0 - - 39.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 37 - - 57 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1296 - - 2313 - - 2470 - - 1409 - - 1459 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 133 - - 148 - - 13 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 24 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 168 - - 228 - - 234 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - 5 - - 10 - - 3 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7696 - - -3767 - - -1640 - - 0 - - -1961 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17059 - - 13130 - - 11003 - - 9362 - - 11324 sfcLCL ODpotential -14262 - - -8961 - - -5909 - - -5942 - - -8641 ODpotential blCL 23624 - - 18323 - - 15271 - - 15304 - - 18003 blCL maxRH 25 - - 35 - - 57 - - 62 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 45.3 - - 46.2 - - 40.0 - - 39.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.4 - - 20.9 - - 30.7 - - 31.9 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 44.1 - - 44.6 - - 42.1 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.3 - - 19.9 - - 29.6 - - 30.7 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 37 - - 57 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 35 282 54 277 47 277 45 284 46 279 96422 89278 23 301 32 279 31 281 33 292 39 301 89278 83801 19 307 15 275 19 281 27 294 28 316 83801 79290 17 326 15 314 14 305 22 308 21 329 79290 75395 18 310 17 323 12 314 17 315 14 325 75395 71925 16 316 14 326 14 331 18 331 21 349 71925 68783 19 325 12 325 21 302 22 317 23 336 68783 65903 21 320 13 329 22 311 24 301 23 320 65903 63239 25 317 21 328 26 315 29 317 29 315 63239 60673 29 314 28 311 31 313 31 314 35 303 60673 58010 38 313 36 304 33 314 26 312 28 307 58010 55249 29 326 38 319 38 336 40 336 39 325 55249 52605 45 342 48 325 48 327 49 330 51 318 52605 50205 52 339 50 324 49 317 48 323 55 311 50205 48028 50 337 52 330 48 318 42 321 49 305 48028 46035 49 335 53 338 47 321 40 337 36 312 46035 44196 49 336 54 347 46 329 47 345 39 338 44196 42490 47 334 59 354 50 341 55 345 50 344 42490 40898 42 332 63 001 52 349 54 343 54 344 40898 39411 34 331 60 005 49 356 49 340 52 340 39411 38027 29 327 42 001 47 000 42 343 46 332 38027 36713 26 309 27 358 46 003 38 356 37 351 36713 35409 18 306 21 353 35 360 40 009 42 015 35409 34098 15 316 13 027 23 353 35 005 40 021 34098 32787 14 324 15 063 13 349 26 351 28 016 32787 31467 14 323 14 071 11 018 17 341 19 352 31467 30128 13 321 14 074 11 032 11 350 17 352 30128 28770 7 332 14 072 10 040 10 004 17 360 28770 27395 8 057 12 069 8 039 13 012 16 001 27395 26006 12 061 8 089 9 031 13 013 15 007 26006 24608 13 053 10 104 8 036 9 013 15 009 24608 23198 13 061 13 083 8 045 6 023 12 003 23198 21768 14 081 17 058 11 054 5 027 10 357 21768 20341 16 092 18 052 14 053 7 034 9 357 20341 18983 15 088 13 065 10 058 4 078 9 358 18983 17751 13 079 11 105 5 093 3 100 9 007 17751 16646 11 073 7 118 4 099 5 081 10 023 16646 15646 9 069 3 099 4 071 7 067 11 038 15646 14735 7 064 3 050 6 042 10 061 13 047 14735 13900 6 057 3 031 8 031 11 057 12 052 13900 13137 4 049 4 025 8 026 10 056 10 052 13137 12441 4 041 3 024 6 018 8 049 7 050 12441 11804 3 036 2 039 5 002 6 036 4 044 11804 11216 2 038 1 055 4 336 4 013 2 031 11216 10680 2 042 1 069 3 283 4 333 0 349 10680 10221 3 046 0 035 3 252 3 297 1 282 10221 9860 3 035 0 160 3 240 3 267 1 289 9860 9607 3 020 1 172 4 234 3 248 1 332 9607 9452 3*341 1*175 3*231 2*239 2*338 9452 9362 3*321 1*168 3*228 2*234 2*339 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography