DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.4 - - 45.6 - - - - - 39.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 143 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - - - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9346 - - - - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - - - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2473 - - 4366 - - - - - 1091 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 193 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 107 - - - - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -401 - - 0 - - - - - -42 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9763 - - 9362 - - - - - 9404 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3415 - - -1824 - - - - - -5707 ODpotential blCL - - - 12777 - - 11186 - - - - - 15069 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 81 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 120 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.4 - - 45.6 - - - - - 39.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.3 - - 37.0 - - - - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 43.6 - - - - - 42.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 35.9 - - - - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 143 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - - - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 22 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97615 14 255 20 249 20 299 97615 90335 11 252 14 250 16 307 90335 84772 7 255 13 283 6 318 84772 80150 4 302 6 268 3 078 80150 76143 3 315 8 160 7 002 76143 72617 5 077 3 109 4 010 72617 69444 9 073 4 113 7 056 69444 66529 5 012 9 112 4 021 66529 63825 9 239 10 303 4 357 63825 61207 10 222 15 264 16 312 61207 58480 10 236 13 234 18 273 58480 55647 19 288 14 261 16 256 55647 52937 31 252 31 257 23 270 52937 50489 33 229 39 237 37 255 50489 48280 27 237 36 229 43 236 48280 46257 38 261 37 245 44 237 46257 44390 54 258 52 253 47 236 44390 42663 62 248 62 246 44 237 42663 41060 67 238 66 238 46 244 41060 39563 67 230 70 231 51 247 39563 38166 62 225 68 227 47 251 38166 36842 50 233 52 233 37 260 36842 35537 42 240 36 244 24 267 35537 34226 28 255 28 253 8 274 34226 32913 24 266 17 271 6 045 32913 31586 23 270 16 292 13 064 31586 30232 21 265 15 293 17 064 30232 28859 13 234 11 285 22 061 28859 27472 8 226 9 231 24 056 27472 26073 10 223 10 220 17 042 26073 24666 9 241 5 248 12 021 24666 23246 6 260 2 292 11 014 23246 21805 2 275 2 124 10 018 21805 20367 6 029 4 072 10 023 20367 19000 11 024 6 057 11 027 19000 17760 12 025 11 055 11 029 17760 16650 13 043 14 058 11 032 16650 15646 15 061 15 066 12 035 15646 14733 17 073 16 066 11 046 14733 13898 19 078 16 063 10 067 13898 13135 20 079 15 062 12 087 13135 12439 18 077 14 060 14 099 12439 11803 14 075 12 060 17 101 11803 11215 10 072 9 063 19 095 11215 10679 6 074 7 072 22 086 10679 10220 6 088 6 089 18 077 10220 9859 5 098 5 096 13 070 9859 9607 5 106 5 100 10 067 9607 9452 5*111 5 104 7*063 9452 9362 5*115 4*107 4*029 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography