DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 58.5 - - 61.7 - - 59.6 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 280 - - 348 - - 51 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 5545 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 8970 - - 12812 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 14345 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1421 - - 6332 - - 2715 - - 7433 - - 151 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 238 - - 545 - - 136 - - 26 W* B/S 14 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 17 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 281 - - 298 - - 300 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - -41 - - -15 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5427 - - -7638 - - -3738 - - -7779 - - -5979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14791 - - 17001 - - 18084 - - 17143 - - 15343 sfcLCL ODpotential -10347 - - -11346 - - -7282 - - -11057 - - -11500 ODpotential blCL 19710 - - 20709 - - 21627 - - 20420 - - 20863 blCL maxRH 37 - - 23 - - 27 - - 32 - - 20 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 58.5 - - 61.7 - - 59.6 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 16.8 - - 15.0 - - 17.2 - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 55.7 - - 58.6 - - 58.3 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.6 - - 15.6 - - 14.0 - - 16.4 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 280 - - 348 - - 51 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 5545 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98065 13 076 9 089 14 103 6 165 7 098 98065 90740 9 085 8 090 8 106 4 188 6 072 90740 85100 12 091 11 093 7 141 4 053 4 074 85100 80409 17 082 8 102 8 153 9 048 13 060 80409 76380 15 061 10 107 11 139 3 024 13 064 76380 72829 7 048 9 090 9 093 5 152 6 080 72829 69603 7 083 5 072 4 048 7 049 11 066 69603 66625 11 051 7 058 4 093 11 042 11 045 66625 63882 12 037 16 061 5 093 10 054 12 046 63882 61247 9 008 11 038 15 067 10 076 8 062 61247 58503 9 004 5 012 14 018 9 000 9 030 58503 55661 5 322 8 348 8 343 15 306 11 309 55661 52947 15 305 18 322 15 315 23 304 26 323 52947 50502 24 308 29 309 32 316 30 314 41 320 50502 48310 39 313 44 310 48 310 45 321 47 310 48310 46320 55 305 51 304 53 304 52 314 50 308 46320 44495 56 306 54 309 56 307 60 311 55 311 44495 42804 58 305 60 309 62 306 65 308 59 310 42804 41220 62 302 63 305 65 303 64 304 61 307 41220 39734 65 300 63 302 64 301 62 302 63 303 39734 38344 65 301 61 300 63 299 61 302 65 301 38344 37025 66 302 61 298 64 297 63 302 65 300 37025 35717 65 301 63 295 67 295 65 302 65 300 35717 34395 64 299 64 294 67 294 68 302 66 300 34395 33065 61 300 63 293 66 294 68 302 67 299 33065 31716 56 302 60 295 62 295 65 302 66 299 31716 30340 49 303 58 298 58 296 60 302 62 300 30340 28945 44 304 53 302 55 302 57 303 58 302 28945 27536 41 304 44 300 50 302 54 304 53 302 27536 26119 37 303 38 298 43 299 47 303 46 302 26119 24702 30 300 32 300 36 301 39 303 38 302 24702 23280 24 298 26 299 29 304 30 303 32 303 23280 21844 23 297 23 291 24 303 24 301 28 302 21844 20413 23 294 22 288 22 299 22 300 26 300 20413 19053 24 291 22 290 22 297 23 304 25 301 19053 17818 25 287 22 294 21 299 22 310 25 303 17818 16712 25 281 22 294 19 301 19 315 25 305 16712 15711 25 278 23 292 17 302 19 316 25 307 15711 14796 25 280 22 291 17*302 19 316 24 307 14796 13958 24 283 20 292 17*301 19 314 23 304 13958 13190 22 285 18 292 17 301 19 313 22 303 13190 12487 19 286 17 292 17 300 19 310 20 304 12487 11844 16 285 16 291 18 299 19 308 18 310 11844 11248 13 281 16 290 17 298 19 306 17 321 11248 10703 9 277 15 289 17 296 18 305 18 330 10703 10236 6 275 15 288 17 295 18 304 19 335 10236 9869 4 268 14 285 16 293 17 303 18 336 9869 9612 2 272 13 284 15 292 15 302 16 336 9612 9454 1*270 12*283 14 292 13*301 13*337 9454 9363 1*342 9*281 10 291 9*300 7*337 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography