DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 64.6 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 174 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4724 - - 564 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12254 - - 9347 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13524 - - 9364 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3644 - - 6152 - - - - - 748 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 565 - - 210 - - - - - 43 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 8 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 127 - - 338 - - - - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - -26 - - - - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 426 - - -1397 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13098 - - 10762 - - - - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1676 - - -3726 - - - - - -3310 ODpotential blCL - - - 15200 - - 13090 - - - - - 12673 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 97 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 670 - - - - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 64.6 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 49.2 - - - - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 62.4 - - - - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 47.8 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 174 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4724 - - 564 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 87 - - - - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99487 42 098 38 104 33 088 99487 91910 37 109 39 096 37 096 91910 86108 34 101 34 103 33 090 86108 81329 25 081 30 099 28 087 81329 77217 21 089 20 081 25 089 77217 73582 21 107 10 082 21 084 73582 70318 23 103 13 124 15 082 70318 67347 24 099 19 125 9 072 67347 64587 17 095 21 112 7 085 64587 61901 9 065 19 084 10 120 61901 59130 9 081 12 080 16 112 59130 56315 19 092 12 100 16 076 56315 53657 19 081 14 095 18 054 53657 51253 19 074 14 077 16 069 51253 49079 15 068 11 065 21 083 49079 47097 13 076 13 087 22 076 47097 45268 16 087 20 093 21 075 45268 43561 18 076 21 089 21 074 43561 41958 17 049 20 070 22 057 41958 40452 22 051 21 067 22 048 40452 39046 25 042 25 062 18 046 39046 37712 28 034 30 053 18 047 37712 36387 26 034 32 046 20 052 36387 35043 24 042 32 043 21 049 35043 33687 23 052 29 047 18 048 33687 32307 22 052 24 052 11 052 32307 30898 22 049 21 047 5 039 30898 29466 20 044 17 037 4 033 29466 28017 14 034 10 027 6 049 28017 26558 12 012 10 038 8 033 26558 25093 9 007 7 034 10 036 25093 23620 6 017 4 070 11 048 23620 22132 5 025 5 100 12 057 22132 20654 5 025 5 097 12 059 20654 19254 6 026 5 106 11 054 19254 17988 6 038 4 120 12 046 17988 16857 6 047 3 153 12 037 16857 15834 6 047 3 194 12 028 15834 14901 4 050 3 216 12 022 14901 14046 3*062 4 230 11 017 14046 13262 3*074 4 246 11 012 13262 12545 3 089 4 264 10 011 12545 11888 3 111 4 284 8 012 11888 11280 4 127 4 305 6 016 11280 10726 5 135 5 317 5 029 10726 10251 6 141 6 329 4 043 10251 9878 6 143 6 335 5 048 9878 9617 7 145 6 337 4 043 9617 9456 6 146 6*337 4*037 9456 9363 6 146 5*338 3*028 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography