DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 55.2 - - 52.9 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 75 - - 46 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8974 - - 9347 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6473 - - 2711 - - 2958 - - 773 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 159 - - 136 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 274 - - 073 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - -4 - - -5 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2751 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12114 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4629 - - -1939 - - -1169 - - -2968 ODpotential blCL - - - 13992 - - 11302 - - 10532 - - 12331 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 95 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 340 - - 540 - - 260 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 55.2 - - 52.9 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.1 - - 49.1 - - 48.4 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 53.7 - - 51.6 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 48.0 - - 47.5 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 75 - - 46 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 100 - - 79 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99042 19 103 18 142 13 044 23 082 99042 91593 20 105 19 091 13 107 19 071 91593 85834 18 107 18 107 15 096 16 071 85834 81080 16 110 15 097 12 101 15 068 81080 76996 10 104 11 107 9 114 11 083 76996 73391 8 136 9 120 7 099 5 050 73391 70131 5 132 11 138 6 144 3 283 70131 67133 10 222 1 187 6 120 10 161 67133 64345 16 208 9 226 3 257 5 087 64345 61638 12 207 18 204 16 234 11 251 61638 58841 16 222 21 222 20 231 20 222 58841 55978 26 234 29 226 21 253 27 252 55978 53271 35 227 39 226 40 241 44 242 53271 50840 36 237 46 229 47 228 42 223 50840 48641 52 238 51 226 49 226 40 229 48641 46633 63 236 57 227 56 226 42 225 46633 44793 68 236 65 229 61 225 46 221 44793 43099 69 233 70 229 64 224 51 221 43099 41529 63 229 66 228 61 221 58 220 41529 40062 54 226 59 227 56 216 59 205 40062 38686 49 224 53 223 54 212 57 200 38686 37374 47 220 50 218 49 209 55 210 37374 36070 47 220 48 222 46 213 53 214 36070 34746 48 221 48 222 45 219 47 210 34746 33408 46 223 46 222 44 223 44 207 33408 32046 42 222 41 220 41 227 43 208 32046 30654 37 221 35 218 41 229 42 212 30654 29239 34 224 34 217 41 228 38 221 29239 27805 30 230 34 216 40 225 32 236 27805 26360 26 229 33 214 38 219 26 244 26360 24909 25 232 32 208 37 212 22 240 24909 23451 26 238 29 205 35 212 19 221 23451 21979 27 220 32 204 27 216 22 209 21979 20517 27 213 34 190 21 222 23 207 20517 19130 25 222 33 184 17 225 23 207 19130 17876 22 219 33 185 15 226 23 206 17876 16755 17 199 35 186 13 226 24 205 16755 15742 15 181 34 180 11 224 24 204 15742 14819 11 172 28 173 9 222 24 203 14819 13975 7 164 21 170 7 220 23 203 13975 13201 5 160 15 174 6 217 21 205 13201 12494 5 160 11 186 5 210 19 208 12494 11848 5 162 8 199 4 198 17 213 11848 11249 5 164 5 224 2 165 14 222 11249 10703 6 167 5 267 3 092 12 235 10703 10236 6 170 6 277 5 070 9 252 10236 9868 6 172 6 276 6 069 7 277 9868 9612 6 172 6 275 5 071 6 312 9612 9454 6*172 6*274 5*072 6*331 9454 9363 5*173 5*274 4*073 5*337 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography