DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 45.9 - - 47.9 - - 45.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 15 - - 44 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1165 - - 2316 - - 1628 - - 1956 - - 1471 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 95 - - 134 - - 35 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 122 - - 092 - - 073 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - 5 - - -9 - - -11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential -5010 - - -1937 - - -1822 - - -919 - - -200 ODpotential blCL 14372 - - 11299 - - 11185 - - 10282 - - 9563 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 91 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 45.9 - - 47.9 - - 45.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.1 - - 40.1 - - 43.5 - - 43.3 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 45.1 - - 46.6 - - 44.5 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 39.4 - - 42.4 - - 42.7 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 15 - - 44 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 103 - - 66 - - 95 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97417 10 326 7 273 6 321 9 266 13 287 97417 90177 5 299 7 303 6 349 4 050 3 172 90177 84636 12 322 5 014 4 293 8 001 4 082 84636 80040 8 344 7 315 4 310 8 351 6 017 80040 76077 4 052 5 253 6 281 7 321 8 352 76077 72578 4 027 7 135 5 252 5 302 8 332 72578 69405 3 298 2 153 5 204 6 256 9 296 69405 66481 7 227 5 275 1 100 2 316 7 239 66481 63774 11 211 11 223 12 235 12 269 7 187 63774 61145 12 203 14 230 16 225 16 241 6 246 61145 58417 16 223 20 231 22 231 24 223 23 217 58417 55618 21 222 27 221 30 214 32 213 26 209 55618 52944 33 230 33 226 29 217 31 219 23 225 52944 50513 42 232 43 236 40 238 41 241 36 241 50513 48318 46 229 55 235 51 233 50 239 50 243 48318 46320 48 228 57 232 52 228 58 239 60 242 46320 44489 51 232 58 232 59 233 61 239 62 241 44489 42801 55 233 59 230 68 234 60 239 59 239 42801 41240 60 235 61 229 68 233 58 240 58 227 41240 39795 63 238 66 233 67 238 65 232 57 221 39795 38444 67 242 72 239 75 239 62 227 54 217 38444 37154 73 246 75 240 73 236 56 227 54 215 37154 35867 76 247 76 239 68 237 53 227 53 216 35867 34557 68 247 76 240 64 240 52 225 51 216 34557 33231 58 247 72 245 55 243 51 226 50 217 33231 31882 51 248 64 247 45 246 49 229 49 218 31882 30503 49 247 52 250 38 244 48 231 48 219 30503 29100 49 244 43 255 36 241 46 233 46 220 29100 27679 50 241 41 255 35 242 41 237 43 222 27679 26246 49 238 40 254 36 242 38 237 42 226 26246 24805 43 236 40 250 40 242 37 235 42 231 24805 23354 37 235 36 247 48 241 35 235 42 236 23354 21888 36 229 37 240 50 241 34 237 39 240 21888 20430 36 225 37 225 46 237 34 238 37 243 20430 19049 30 220 38 218 41 232 34 236 32 244 19049 17799 24 212 38 217 39 228 33 233 27 245 17799 16682 20 206 35 210 38 225 32 230 27 248 16682 15675 18 206 33 198 36 221 31 229 28 247 15675 14757 17 206 32 189 33 216 29 230 27 241 14757 13919 16 205 30 182 30 208 26 231 27 238 13919 13152 15 199 28 175 27 200 22 233 25 237 13152 12453 13 189 26 168 24 191 17 235 22 237 12453 11815 13 174 24 161 21 182 12 235 18 235 11815 11224 12 156 21 151 18 167 9 228 14 227 11224 10686 12 141 19 139 15 149 6 212 9 212 10686 10225 12 125 16 130 12 129 4 167 6 191 10225 9862 10 112 14 124 10 110 4 114 4 163 9862 9609 9 097 12 122 8 100 4 096 4 132 9609 9453 6 083 10*121 7*096 4*085 3*114 9453 9363 4*043 6*122 6*092 2*073 2*099 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography