DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 56.7 - - 55.1 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 144 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5705 - - 6603 - - 5671 - - 4817 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 196 - - 61 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 173 - - 149 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 20 - - 10 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -984 - - -1773 - - -1028 - - -1765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10347 - - 11137 - - 10392 - - 11129 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2915 - - -3782 - - -3708 - - -5594 ODpotential blCL - - - 12278 - - 13145 - - 13071 - - 14957 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 95 - - 84 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 140 - - 240 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 56.7 - - 55.1 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 40.1 - - 41.7 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 54.8 - - 54.7 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 39.0 - - 40.7 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 144 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 79 - - 37 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98353 4 176 5 261 10 232 12 311 98353 90998 5 290 1 084 5 335 4 247 90998 85301 3 307 6 121 7 014 1 200 85301 80551 2 137 6 046 3 356 7 359 80551 76463 4 045 9 021 3 082 8 001 76463 72872 5 087 4 316 5 018 10 044 72872 69648 7 056 1 260 5 353 11 021 69648 66709 8 320 4 352 7 334 10 342 66709 64000 10 273 8 296 9 286 11 309 64000 61382 16 283 19 287 15 279 14 309 61382 58651 20 275 20 271 21 266 27 274 58651 55816 25 284 24 269 27 272 35 264 55816 53132 46 279 41 279 39 278 41 273 53132 50738 57 275 56 274 50 276 52 271 50738 48577 62 270 69 270 55 276 50 275 48577 46595 66 274 72 277 79 282 73 284 46595 44768 75 276 93 278 104 280 104 280 44768 43070 81 276 99 273 110 274 105 273 43070 41474 85 275 96 272 112 271 105 268 41474 39972 84 275 95 271 107 269 104 264 39972 38566 74 274 89 271 99 267 98 263 38566 37233 69 271 81 269 89 265 90 262 37233 35915 73 269 73 267 74 266 79 261 35915 34589 66 268 64 261 60 261 59 257 34589 33256 59 273 57 259 53 254 49 257 33256 31902 51 270 56 267 48 247 47 255 31902 30519 45 269 50 268 45 247 44 250 30519 29112 39 268 40 260 45 258 42 244 29112 27688 31 263 32 251 36 270 39 247 27688 26250 30 260 26 245 28 266 36 256 26250 24808 27 252 23 242 25 249 29 256 24808 23357 23 251 27 245 24 246 25 257 23357 21891 22 255 26 240 22 243 27 256 21891 20438 18 257 21 244 20 242 26 246 20438 19069 14 256 18 247 19 240 22 234 19069 17835 11 250 11 243 16 234 21 224 17835 16732 8 239 6 235 12 223 21 216 16732 15732 6 226 3 226 10 211 21 208 15732 14819 5 212 3 225 9 204 20 203 14819 13979 5 205 3 211 9 201 19 199 13979 13209 5 202 4 194 8 198 18 196 13209 12503 5 199 5 185 8 192 15 192 12503 11857 5 194 6 181 7 187 13 185 11857 11258 5 185 6 177 7 178 10 172 11258 10711 5 179 6 177 6 163 8 155 10711 10241 5 177 7 175 6 153 7 132 10241 9873 5 174 7 174 6 151 7 111 9873 9614 5 172 6 174 5 148 5 092 9614 9455 5*172 6*173 5*147 4*073 9455 9363 4*171 5*173 4*149 3*056 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography