DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 79.2 - - 77.0 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 504 - - 200 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11847 - - 11290 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 18061 - - 17656 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 20647 - - 20090 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1562 - - 2286 - - 11941 - - 968 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 762 - - 777 - - 211 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 281 - - 277 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - -25 - - -6 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 322 - - 67 - - -10813 - - -9284 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20326 - - 20024 - - 20178 - - 18649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1512 - - -2477 - - -13571 - - -14481 ODpotential blCL - - - 22159 - - 22567 - - 22935 - - 23845 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 48 - - 44 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 79.2 - - 77.0 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 23.3 - - 20.6 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 75.4 - - 74.6 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 22.8 - - 20.2 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 504 - - 200 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11847 - - 11290 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99318 36 099 35 102 31 107 31 091 99318 91777 39 102 40 101 32 100 34 090 91777 86003 42 103 37 103 34 099 33 098 86003 81246 33 096 30 105 28 094 29 095 81246 77147 23 093 24 101 23 088 27 093 77147 73515 13 120 13 099 17 083 22 090 73515 70226 20 136 8 123 12 094 13 076 70226 67212 15 108 9 165 6 117 6 085 67212 64431 11 041 13 173 5 139 1 092 64431 61751 4 319 1 284 5 093 2 128 61751 58971 9 209 10 256 6 318 6 326 58971 56128 8 259 11 253 10 277 11 304 56128 53456 15 271 19 272 17 274 20 310 53456 51061 21 301 15 280 20 265 26 281 51061 48904 33 307 24 298 22 283 25 273 48904 46930 36 299 31 300 31 301 27 293 46930 45106 34 293 34 298 37 304 33 303 45106 43407 34 291 35 295 40 308 37 311 43407 41814 33 294 35 296 43 311 40 315 41814 40319 36 297 38 297 44 310 43 316 40319 38922 41 296 41 298 45 307 44 315 38922 37598 39 296 40 298 42 303 39 314 37598 36286 31 297 31 292 35 295 33 308 36286 34960 27 295 26 283 29 285 28 302 34960 33624 26 288 27 277 28 285 27 300 33624 32264 25 283 28 274 28 288 26 301 32264 30874 25 280 26 276 28 290 27 300 30874 29461 22 274 24 278 27 293 26 301 29461 28028 19 269 22 277 26 296 24 306 28028 26584 17 267 21 277 24 297 20 310 26584 25133 15 272 19 279 22 297 19 307 25133 23673 14 275 16 284 20 299 16 292 23673 22199 15 284 12 292 15 310 12 279 22199 20733 14*290 10*292 12 309 9 290 20733 19340 13*293 11*289 13 300 10 310 19340 18075 12 294 12 287 13 297 11 319 18075 16940 11 295 13 286 14 295 12 316 16940 15911 11 298 14 284 15 293 12 308 15911 14971 11 299 14 283 15 290 13 298 14971 14108 11 298 15 281 16 288 15 291 14108 13315 11 297 16 280 16 286 16 287 13315 12591 11 295 16 279 16 285 17 285 12591 11927 11 292 16 278 16 283 18 283 11927 11312 11 290 17 277 16 282 18 282 11312 10750 11 287 16 276 16 282 18 282 10750 10267 11 285 16 275 16 280 17 281 10267 9888 11 283 16 274 15 280 14 282 9888 9622 11 281 15 274 15 280 12 284 9622 9458 10 280 14 274 13*279 9*287 9458 9364 8 278 11 271 10*277 5*304 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography