DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.4 - - 33.6 - - 34.2 - - 30.4 - - 26.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 159 - - 154 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1769 - - 3004 - - 3896 - - 3105 - - 2347 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 197 - - 193 - - 49 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 277 - - 266 - - 249 - - 234 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 8 - - 10 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -360 - - -554 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9722 - - 9916 - - 9362 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -365 - - -2099 - - -2103 - - -1316 - - -866 ODpotential blCL 9726 - - 11461 - - 11464 - - 10678 - - 10227 blCL maxRH 98 - - 81 - - 86 - - 93 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.4 - - 33.6 - - 34.2 - - 30.4 - - 26.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.0 - - 23.8 - - 23.5 - - 25.4 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.3 - - 31.6 - - 32.3 - - 29.7 - - 28.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 23.0 - - 23.3 - - 25.4 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 159 - - 154 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 23 - - 45 - - 71 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95998 58 285 58 286 59 288 55 288 55 277 95998 88852 42 292 38 291 42 298 34 303 36 298 88852 83306 39 293 34 290 37 292 33 301 31 313 83306 78699 34 301 32 296 29 286 33 286 33 309 78699 74743 30 308 23 297 22 280 28 286 27 297 74743 71245 25 297 23 293 24 284 29 288 24 291 71245 68072 24 292 25 289 27 287 30 278 33 287 68072 65147 37 290 34 291 27 294 22 285 33 278 65147 62445 42 277 43 283 37 276 29 297 33 274 62445 59841 43 263 51 265 60 267 53 284 44 275 59841 57125 46 262 55 257 64 262 59 269 54 270 57125 54299 57 268 56 259 62 257 62 260 62 264 54299 51593 68 268 65 264 65 258 68 253 71 259 51593 49148 80 266 76 263 74 261 73 253 76 255 49148 46951 85 264 81 261 83 263 80 259 80 255 46951 44954 88 266 84 261 89 262 91 263 87 257 44954 43123 94 268 93 262 95 262 100 263 96 259 43123 41431 103 267 104 262 103 262 106 261 103 259 41431 39863 110 264 111 260 109 263 112 260 111 258 39863 38407 112 261 111 259 115 262 117 259 117 258 38407 37061 108 261 108 260 113 259 119 257 119 259 37061 35789 104 264 105 261 110 258 117 256 120 258 35789 34529 103 267 103 263 107 259 115 256 119 257 34529 33253 103 268 101 264 104 260 111 257 116 258 33253 31967 99 269 97 264 101 259 107 259 111 258 31967 30663 91 267 91 261 96 258 102 258 107 257 30663 29336 84 265 87 258 92 256 95 257 103 257 29336 27990 78 263 86 257 88 255 89 256 96 258 27990 26634 74 261 82 257 84 256 82 258 86 259 26634 25275 71 262 77 256 78 256 75 259 77 260 25275 23914 65 264 70 257 72 256 68 259 70 261 23914 22550 59 266 61 257 67 256 62 259 66 262 22550 21173 54 267 55 256 64 256 59 261 63 261 21173 19807 50 268 49 257 59 258 54 263 57 261 19807 18514 46 268 45 259 52 259 48 264 48 261 18514 17346 42 267 42 262 45 259 41 265 39 261 17346 16302 38 265 39 263 39 260 36 265 33 260 16302 15360 36 265 36 262 35 263 31 267 28 258 15360 14499 34 264 32 262 28 265 26 269 26 254 14499 13710 31 264 28 262 21 264 21 266 25 251 13710 12985 27 263 23 262 18 262 16 259 24 249 12985 12322 22 263 18 263 17 260 14 255 21 247 12322 11715 19 263 15 264 16 257 13 251 18 247 11715 11151 17 264 14 266 16 256 12 247 15 247 11151 10635 15 266 13 267 15 255 12 243 13 247 10635 10192 13 269 12 268 15 254 11 240 10 245 10192 9844 11 271 11 268 14 253 11 237 8 244 9844 9599 8 272 10 267 14 252 10 236 6 245 9599 9448 7*273 9*267 12*251 8*236 4*245 9448 9361 4*277 7*266 9*249 6*234 2*274 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography