DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.6 - - 58.1 - - 61.7 - - 59.7 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 361 - - 355 - - 28 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9021 - - 9019 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1482 - - 4817 - - 6418 - - 6740 - - 2418 Hgt.Variab. W* 35 - - 256 - - 255 - - 110 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 166 - - 200 - - 195 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 25 - - 27 - - 21 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6117 - - -7096 - - -8876 - - -7509 - - -5242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15481 - - 16460 - - 18240 - - 16873 - - 14606 sfcLCL ODpotential -13525 - - -12507 - - -13408 - - -12076 - - -10608 ODpotential blCL 22888 - - 21870 - - 22771 - - 21439 - - 19971 blCL maxRH 46 - - 53 - - 43 - - 41 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.6 - - 58.1 - - 61.7 - - 59.7 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.0 - - 18.6 - - 14.3 - - 18.5 - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 54.7 - - 58.5 - - 58.7 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.5 - - 18.2 - - 13.7 - - 18.2 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 361 - - 355 - - 28 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97998 13 243 18 244 23 244 20 251 16 249 97998 90670 14 256 15 246 16 243 20 266 14 262 90670 85030 11 241 11 262 11 245 14 251 11 262 85030 80341 3 263 7 261 9 261 10 246 8 266 80341 76296 4 025 4 166 8 223 7 265 7 257 76296 72723 7 285 3 309 5 270 4 238 3 234 72723 69478 8 238 10 246 11 271 4 230 4 230 69478 66482 6 243 9 248 13 247 8 270 7 203 66482 63706 12 229 13 254 16 233 12 269 7 203 63706 61023 15 239 17 244 20 250 17 272 12 261 61023 58233 14 254 17 237 23 241 26 243 25 252 58233 55356 18 272 19 248 22 243 28 236 29 239 55356 52621 24 267 25 250 28 247 30 245 30 238 52621 50165 27 265 28 251 32 242 32 244 33 241 50165 47969 35 267 31 261 32 244 30 240 32 240 47969 45986 38 257 37 265 31 256 25 242 27 232 45986 44181 21 262 37 261 32 258 25 246 25 231 44181 42523 26 291 18 284 29 252 27 231 24 230 42523 40984 22 274 20 288 14 262 24 211 24 217 40984 39544 6 248 18 267 14 260 19 199 26 201 39544 38193 6 294 13 256 17 231 14 201 24 188 38193 36904 6 303 12 236 18 216 16 206 21 192 36904 35621 7 297 14 226 21 212 20 214 20 214 35621 34320 8 282 14 220 22 215 22 220 23 227 34320 33010 9 264 16 223 20 220 23 222 22 230 33010 31681 13 260 16 232 21 217 24 222 21 226 31681 30327 13 270 14 229 23 218 24 219 21 216 30327 28949 11 269 16 222 22 226 23 218 21 205 28949 27552 10 260 18 234 23 238 23 221 22 201 27552 26141 14 261 21 242 24 240 22 226 23 203 26141 24724 19 263 23 246 24 244 22 233 24 206 24724 23299 22 263 23 249 23 245 22 235 25 214 23299 21859 24 262 23 251 22 243 23 233 28 221 21859 20427 24 260 22 250 22 238 24 236 31 222 20427 19067 23 256 22 248 22 234 27 237 35 218 19067 17836 21 252 21 246 21 232 28 234 36 215 17836 16733 19 248 20 242 19 231 27 229 33 213 16733 15735 17 246 17 238 15 225 25 225 30 213 15735 14822 17 248 15 234 12 215 21 220 27 212 14822 13984 16 249 13 232 11 211 17 215 24 212 13984 13213 14 251 11 228 11 209 15 211 21 211 13213 12508 11 252 8 217 11 208 13 207 19 208 12508 11861 8 256 7 202 11 206 12 205 16 203 11861 11262 5 262 7 180 11 206 11 203 14 194 11262 10714 2 276 7 173 11 204 11 201 12 183 10714 10243 1 352 8 169 11 203 11 200 9 169 10243 9873 1 030 8 168 11 203 10 199 7 155 9873 9614 2 027 8 166 10 202 10 197 4 144 9614 9455 2*039 8*166 10*201 9 197 3*136 9455 9363 2*028 7*166 8*200 7*195 1*035 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography