DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.9 - - 75.2 - - 74.5 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 114 - - 356 - - 98 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 9021 - - 9348 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2306 - - 9661 - - 10247 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 175 - - 256 - - 170 - - - - - - W* B/S 7 - - 20 - - 7 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 065 - - 188 - - 276 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 19 - - -2 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3717 - - -4807 - - -4418 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13082 - - 14172 - - 13783 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -7337 - - -6365 - - -6584 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 16701 - - 15729 - - 15948 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 61 - - 84 - - 101 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 10 - - 460 - - 640 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 67.9 - - 75.2 - - 74.5 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 45.2 - - 46.2 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.9 - - 71.9 - - 72.7 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.6 - - 44.5 - - 45.4 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 114 - - 356 - - 98 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 36 - - 103 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99203 48 104 39 110 34 097 99203 91713 39 096 39 104 35 105 91713 85971 29 086 41 096 36 100 85971 81221 26 088 32 086 31 101 81221 77136 29 097 19 091 30 100 77136 73517 28 098 22 112 25 103 73517 70249 24 095 20 097 23 106 70249 67263 18 103 19 096 17 099 67263 64521 18 106 16 094 12 108 64521 61901 13 085 11 135 4 140 61901 59188 6 104 16 132 11 201 59188 56402 9 150 8 127 6 151 56402 53785 3 069 7 079 7 082 53785 51445 7 013 5 027 6 061 51445 49326 10 020 5 301 1 251 49326 47373 7 333 12 302 5 311 47373 45561 9 299 12 298 3 264 45561 43866 9 298 4 233 11 173 43866 42273 4 253 10 184 18 178 42273 40771 11 208 18 191 20 191 40771 39360 14 210 20 203 17 212 39360 38018 13 228 16 205 14 226 38018 36684 10 252 10 213 11 227 36684 35330 8 260 6 213 8 219 35330 33962 9 265 7 213 8 208 33962 32570 9 259 9 225 8 210 32570 31151 8 249 9 224 7 218 31151 29708 7 237 4 220 7 204 29708 28246 5 210 2 240 6 188 28246 26772 4 161 2 207 7 175 26772 25295 6 141 2 203 3 090 25295 23810 4 145 4 229 2 104 23810 22314 2 168 3 256 2 354 22314 20830 2 164 2 282 4 024 20830 19423 2 116 2 358 5 020 19423 18146 3 078 4 005 4 013 18146 17001 4 047 5 355 4 353 17001 15963 5 021 6 348 4 336 15963 15015 6 000 6 343 4 316 15015 14144 8 350 5 338 4 306 14144 13346 8 343 4 331 5 297 13346 12616 8 339 3 322 5 292 12616 11947 7 337 2 303 5 287 11947 11327 5 358 1 274 6 286 11327 10760 5 025 1 233 6 283 10760 10275 6 055 2 207 6 282 10275 9892 6 059 2 199 5 280 9892 9625 6 061 2 193 5 278 9625 9460 5*063 2*191 5 277 9460 9364 4*065 2*188 4*276 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography