DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 53.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 610 - - 591 - - 247 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5184 - - 6751 - - 5677 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12711 - - 13981 - - 12766 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13984 - - 15551 - - 14477 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1570 - - 1761 - - 2438 - - 4479 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 640 - - 692 - - 489 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 291 - - 294 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -38 - - -39 - - -39 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 41 - - 590 - - -743 - - -4793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13943 - - 14962 - - 15221 - - 14156 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3250 - - -2286 - - -4270 - - -9800 ODpotential blCL - - - 17234 - - 17837 - - 18747 - - 19163 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 56 - - 85 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 53.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 20.7 - - 19.0 - - 17.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 49.9 - - 50.6 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 20.0 - - 18.4 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 610 - - 591 - - 247 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5184 - - 6751 - - 5677 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98291 14 121 10 102 6 053 11 083 98291 90857 9 101 11 096 12 084 17 119 90857 85160 12 126 13 102 16 085 18 102 85160 80456 16 121 17 119 10 106 15 066 80456 76407 19 105 17 100 12 090 15 077 76407 72830 18 108 9 099 7 085 16 078 72830 69602 16 103 12 111 8 122 11 076 69602 66643 8 114 15 153 11 115 11 098 66643 63901 10 131 8 158 12 104 18 133 63901 61244 11 212 13 188 6 161 13 128 61244 58451 17 240 15 206 13 212 11 218 58451 55526 27 236 27 228 30 224 27 224 55526 52727 24 227 25 229 28 226 26 236 52727 50209 18 242 24 246 18 238 26 248 50209 47949 29 248 30 256 23 262 29 256 47949 45888 32 248 34 258 37 259 34 261 45888 43999 35 247 42 257 42 259 45 264 43999 42262 39 250 45 258 47 267 53 265 42262 40659 45 260 49 269 59 269 58 270 40659 39173 52 269 57 276 61 271 64 273 39173 37799 57 273 63 279 66 276 69 274 37799 36505 58 276 70 281 70 277 73 275 36505 35226 58 277 74 281 69 277 77 276 35226 33934 60 280 72 280 65 278 71 276 33934 32634 64 282 68 280 65 277 59 275 32634 31320 63 283 65 281 61 273 50 275 31320 29980 57 279 66 284 57 269 48 276 29980 28619 47 275 65 287 51 277 48 275 28619 27241 38 274 59 287 47 281 49 272 27241 25853 33 278 50 286 47 279 46 273 25853 24460 34 279 41 285 46 278 41 275 24460 23056 33 280 34 279 43 279 38 274 23056 21636 32 282 28 272 38 282 37 273 21636 20221 30 284 23 265 34 281 34 274 20221 18880 28 285 22 261 27 282 28 275 18880 17667 27 289 18 266 18 285 21 274 17667 16582 25 295 14 281 14 295 15 274 16582 15600 21 299 15*290 14 299 11 279 15600 14705 18*299 16*292 14*299 9 291 14705 13883 17*297 16 293 15*299 10 301 13883 13129 17 296 17 293 15 297 12 304 13129 12439 17 294 17 293 15 296 12 301 12439 11808 17 293 18 292 16 295 13 296 11808 11221 16 291 18 291 15 293 13 290 11221 10686 16 290 18 290 15 292 13 286 10686 10225 16 288 17 289 15 291 13 283 10225 9863 15 286 17 287 15 289 11 282 9863 9609 14 285 16 286 14 288 9 282 9609 9453 13 284 14 286 12 288 7*281 9453 9363 10 282 11 284 9 286 4*288 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography