DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.2 - - 75.1 - - 76.1 - - 78.0 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 162 - - 514 - - 247 - - 202 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9641 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 16298 - - 9348 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 18441 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2533 - - 1892 - - 14674 - - 14546 - - 11152 Hgt.Variab. W* 196 - - 741 - - 225 - - 211 - - 18 W* B/S 6 - - 21 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 028 - - 233 - - 242 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 48 - - 18 - - 13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6114 - - 19 - - -9694 - - -10749 - - -8335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15478 - - 18423 - - 19059 - - 20113 - - 17700 sfcLCL ODpotential -9184 - - -3087 - - -11099 - - -12057 - - -11388 ODpotential blCL 18548 - - 21528 - - 20463 - - 21421 - - 20752 blCL maxRH 34 - - 46 - - 99 - - 94 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 100 - - 50 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 66.2 - - 75.1 - - 76.1 - - 78.0 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 26.5 - - 24.9 - - 22.0 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.9 - - 71.0 - - 73.5 - - 75.7 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 26.2 - - 24.6 - - 21.7 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 162 - - 514 - - 247 - - 202 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9641 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 96 - - 76 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99297 40 094 36 111 32 109 29 090 29 077 99297 91796 25 096 28 096 33 094 27 100 25 090 91796 86027 22 089 19 100 20 096 26 102 23 088 86027 81252 22 091 14 107 17 108 24 089 20 096 81252 77149 19 089 17 115 16 112 18 086 22 094 77149 73530 18 110 21 105 18 122 15 117 17 082 73530 70260 21 122 17 116 16 115 16 132 9 079 70260 67254 21 105 17 126 11 121 17 121 10 103 67254 64484 12 066 15 134 14 145 11 107 14 122 64484 61832 3 286 14 106 12 151 7 129 13 098 61832 59110 5 192 3 065 10 160 11 177 3 130 59110 56332 5 102 4 284 1 103 4 166 6 156 56332 53696 5 302 7 250 3 306 4 008 7 113 53696 51317 11 250 10 228 7 259 4 343 6 051 51317 49166 10 255 5 243 6 248 1 258 2 044 49166 47194 14 299 5 303 4 287 1 244 2 163 47194 45367 19 293 8 286 4 289 3 252 5 206 45367 43660 19 274 11 275 7 300 2 275 5 210 43660 42054 16 277 15 279 10 309 3 334 3 207 42054 40540 16 290 14 284 10 298 3 333 3 124 40540 39121 19 289 11 299 9 284 3 271 4 087 39121 37769 25 273 11 301 8 278 5 261 3 056 37769 36426 22 254 15 265 10 266 8 250 1 285 36426 35068 20 249 22 254 15 267 11 314 2 285 35068 33706 19 265 18 269 17 288 14 320 5 347 33706 32328 19 293 17 297 16 306 11 321 10 000 32328 30924 25 316 15 326 11 323 5 329 9 357 30924 29502 23 329 15 353 6 352 2 308 6 331 29502 28070 23 349 15 007 11 045 6 088 4 103 28070 26630 23 348 17 018 16 050 14 060 11 095 26630 25184 18 339 17 019 17 042 14 041 12 084 25184 23726 16 345 16 016 16 026 13 028 11 066 23726 22251 12 012 12 019 16 024 12 020 10 047 22251 20781 14 025 11 022 14 023 10 011 8 029 20781 19383 17 016 12*021 11 022 9 000 5 012 19383 18114 19 007 13*018 8 018 7 341 3 351 18114 16975 20 006 13 018 5 006 6 314 1 305 16975 15941 18 006 12 018 3 332 6 290 1 225 15941 14996 16 002 9 019 4 284 7 275 2 197 14996 14129 13 360 8 021 5 263 8 267 3 185 14129 13332 11 004 6 026 6 253 9 260 3 173 13332 12604 8 021 4 034 7 247 9 256 3 157 12604 11937 8 047 3 052 8 243 10 253 4 134 11937 11318 8 066 3 078 9 241 10 250 5 113 11318 10754 8 080 3 100 9 239 10 249 6 096 10754 10270 9 091 3 120 9 238 10 247 8 086 10270 9889 8 093 3 129 9 237 10 246 9 078 9889 9623 8 094 3 132 9 236 10 245 8 072 9623 9459 7*095 3 135 9*236 9*244 6*070 9459 9364 6*097 3 139 7*233 7*242 4*067 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography