DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.2 - - 33.5 - - 36.3 - - 32.8 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 74 - - 99 - - -29 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1498 - - 1915 - - 3328 - - 1663 - - 515 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 157 - - 174 - - 50 - - 58 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 326 - - 335 - - 339 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -41 - - -41 - - -34 - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -390 - - -860 - - -1237 - - -3144 - - -6094 ODpotential blCL 9751 - - 10222 - - 10599 - - 12505 - - 15456 blCL maxRH 96 - - 88 - - 83 - - 78 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.2 - - 33.5 - - 36.3 - - 32.8 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.8 - - 29.4 - - 30.1 - - 29.0 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.1 - - 32.1 - - 34.8 - - 33.0 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.5 - - 28.5 - - 28.9 - - 28.4 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 74 - - 99 - - -29 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 86 - - 50 - - 31 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96750 40 272 47 279 56 285 38 281 43 282 96750 89740 25 297 25 279 34 288 26 294 33 283 89740 84300 20 303 26 290 21 296 14 306 18 292 84300 79766 23 297 24 293 19 292 19 298 14 317 79766 75841 18 316 9 280 13 285 23 287 20 294 75841 72369 16 347 3 156 6 262 15 272 21 277 72369 69217 18 333 6 284 7 250 7 254 6 236 69217 66291 6 280 15 288 18 258 9 280 4 306 66291 63560 6 165 9 289 21 260 22 281 10 258 63560 60909 7 020 4 291 10 259 20 266 14 274 60909 58157 17 291 13 300 6 240 17 244 22 282 58157 55339 20 286 22 267 14 235 17 250 17 255 55339 52646 29 287 28 254 19 255 20 268 18 256 52646 50186 31 266 32 254 25 261 24 263 29 270 50186 47956 29 251 31 254 25 251 22 269 34 286 47956 45926 28 250 29 264 23 238 21 279 40 297 45926 44070 27 252 31 271 21 256 31 303 44 300 44070 42358 26 256 32 270 28 277 41 302 46 314 42358 40761 29 260 33 273 34 288 43 297 59 323 40761 39266 35 257 38 284 39 297 42 304 79 321 39266 37878 36 256 38 291 46 306 48 318 94 320 37878 36567 36 260 37 297 51 311 61 320 97 320 36567 35272 37 276 34 298 54 315 72 317 92 318 35272 33963 32 278 33 304 54 316 75 319 87 318 33963 32646 26 291 37 317 57 314 77 326 84 320 32646 31309 32 300 45 326 63 317 84 330 85 323 31309 29944 37 298 51 323 72 323 92 330 85 326 29944 28558 41 293 52 319 78 326 92 330 84 327 28558 27158 44 294 46 314 74 327 85 330 84 329 27158 25748 26 309 30 312 63 329 74 331 82 334 25748 24335 25 356 11 334 43 330 59 332 75 337 24335 22918 33 350 5 350 27 331 43 334 61 338 22918 21496 35 339 2 333 21 330 32 335 45 339 21496 20092 34 333 8 312 17 327 26 332 32 340 20092 18765 34 330 21 315 15 323 24 328 25 339 18765 17566 34 329 28 319 16 324 23 327 22 333 17566 16492 35 328 30 325 20 328 23 329 21 327 16492 15520 35 327 31 328 25 330 25 334 21 323 15520 14632 35 327 32 332 30 333 28 341 22 321 14632 13817 35 326 32 335 34 336 32 347 23 323 13817 13069 34 325 33 339 36 341 35 351 24 328 13069 12385 32 321 34 339 37 344 39 353 25 335 12385 11760 30 316 34 338 36 344 41 352 27 343 11760 11182 28 309 33 336 35 343 41 352 29 350 11182 10654 25 301 32 335 32 342 39 350 31 357 10654 10203 22 296 29 333 29 340 34 347 31 002 10203 9849 19 293 26 330 26 338 29 345 29 003 9849 9601 16 291 23 329 23 337 23 342 23 003 9601 9450 13*290 20*328 20*336 19 341 18*004 9450 9362 8*288 12*326 12*335 10*339 10*005 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography