DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1334z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 71.7 - - 72.3 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 149 - - 416 - - 307 - - 145 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 682 - - 6657 - - 10111 - - 683 - - 682 BL Depth Hcrit 9465 - - 13776 - - 16432 - - 9466 - - 9465 Hcrit BL Top 9482 - - 15457 - - 18911 - - 9483 - - 9482 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4355 - - 5064 - - 3494 - - 13143 - - 123 Hgt.Variab. W* 205 - - 615 - - 641 - - 205 - - 32 W* B/S 17 - - 23 - - 15 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 246 - - 291 - - 288 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 41 - - 23 - - -11 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5981 - - -162 - - 1396 - - -9430 - - -6607 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15463 - - 15620 - - 17516 - - 18914 - - 16090 sfcLCL ODpotential -9021 - - -2544 - - -1140 - - -11523 - - -10634 ODpotential blCL 18503 - - 18001 - - 20051 - - 21006 - - 20116 blCL maxRH 46 - - 53 - - 68 - - 60 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 400 - - 210 - - 50 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 71.7 - - 72.3 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 33.3 - - 27.7 - - 22.2 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 65.5 - - 68.7 - - 70.2 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 32.2 - - 26.2 - - 20.5 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 149 - - 416 - - 307 - - 145 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 682 - - 6657 - - 10111 - - 683 - - 682 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99732 30 099 24 106 21 099 13 110 23 084 99732 93869 21 099 23 116 20 093 15 121 22 090 93869 89047 15 100 19 096 15 102 18 110 21 096 89047 84882 15 094 15 086 14 115 17 093 17 097 84882 81197 15 081 13 097 15 114 15 085 16 092 81197 77885 13 078 11 096 14 102 14 093 18 091 77885 74848 12 074 12 083 13 082 15 087 18 079 74848 72029 12 068 12 082 12 070 17 076 16 058 72029 69409 11 069 12 072 10 061 16 067 15 042 69409 66875 9 067 11 052 9 037 15 048 14 038 66875 64236 6 053 8 038 9 007 15 024 14 027 64236 61506 7 016 6 017 7 327 14 355 17 005 61506 58921 13 348 11 349 9 309 14 323 16 346 58921 56614 19 337 20 340 14 325 15 321 15 329 56614 54553 25 326 28 332 22 329 20 325 16 316 54553 52682 30 317 32 324 29 326 26 325 18 309 52682 50963 33 313 35 320 34 323 31 323 21 306 50963 49370 36 311 38 318 38 321 34 320 24 304 49370 47883 38 312 40 318 40 321 36 317 27 303 47883 46485 40 313 41 318 41 320 37 314 30 303 46485 45165 42 313 42 317 42 318 39 311 33 303 45165 43885 43 313 43 318 43 317 40 310 35 304 43885 42582 45 313 43 318 43 316 41 311 37 306 42582 41227 46 313 44 319 43 315 42 314 40 308 41227 39824 47 314 45 321 42 314 43 316 41 312 39824 38359 47 315 45 322 41 314 42 319 43 317 38359 36822 44 317 44 324 39 315 39 321 41 320 36822 35214 40 320 41 326 36 317 35 321 37 322 35214 33536 33 324 36 328 33 320 30 320 33 324 33536 31788 25 327 29 330 29 323 27 318 28 323 31788 29971 19 331 22 331 25 323 24 314 25 318 29971 28076 15 331 16 335 19 320 21 310 24 311 28076 26098 13 332 12 340 14 319 16 306 24 305 26098 24072 11 329 10 341 10 329 11 299 21 301 24072 22113 10 319 8 333 7 345 8 301 16 297 22113 20323 9 320 8 330 6*337 7 312 12 288 20323 18727 9 334 9 338 6*321 8 316 9 277 18727 17305 9 349 9 349 6 307 9 314 8 271 17305 16036 9 359 9*350 7 299 9 309 8 271 16036 14907 10 004 6*340 8 294 10 305 8 274 14907 13906 10 005 4 296 8 290 10 302 8 280 13906 13023 9 005 5 252 9 287 11 299 8 283 13023 12241 8 005 5 240 9 285 11 296 9 285 12241 11543 6 006 6 233 9 283 11 294 9 286 11543 10925 5 017 7 227 9 281 11 293 9 286 10925 10409 3 041 7 223 9 279 11 292 9 285 10409 10014 3 064 7 220 9 279 11 290 9 285 10014 9742 2 081 7 218 9 278 11 290 9 285 9742 9577 2*091 7 217 8 277 10*290 8*288 9577 9482 2*096 6 216 7 275 8*288 5*310 9482 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography