DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 1336z - - 1605z - - 1905z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.7 - - 69.4 - - 70.2 - - 63.8 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 422 - - 172 - - 23 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 5107 - - 516 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth Hcrit 9298 - - 12532 - - 9299 - - 9299 - - 9299 Hcrit BL Top 9315 - - 13907 - - 9316 - - 9316 - - 9316 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 600 - - 3586 - - 9670 - - 2555 - - 2352 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 564 - - 195 - - 106 - - 41 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 011 - - 275 - - 246 - - 352 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - 11 - - 6 - - -29 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1649 - - 1712 - - -3660 - - -783 - - -511 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10965 - - 12196 - - 12976 - - 10099 - - 9827 sfcLCL ODpotential -5008 - - -252 - - -5342 - - -4027 - - -4319 ODpotential blCL 14323 - - 14159 - - 14658 - - 13343 - - 13635 blCL maxRH 100 - - 93 - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 870 - - 630 - - 980 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m 59.7 - - 69.4 - - 70.2 - - 63.8 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.7 - - 47.6 - - 45.2 - - 51.1 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.3 - - 66.1 - - 68.2 - - 62.8 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.6 - - 47.1 - - 44.6 - - 49.8 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 422 - - 172 - - 23 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 5107 - - 516 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 70 - - 102 - - 98 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98962 39 102 33 109 33 095 33 099 29 098 98962 91497 33 098 33 097 31 112 28 100 31 098 91497 85742 27 088 27 090 28 105 26 109 28 087 85742 80973 24 091 21 089 21 100 25 101 23 081 80973 76880 23 101 20 093 17 105 21 083 21 085 76880 73269 24 090 21 099 18 102 18 091 19 089 73269 70001 19 085 22 100 17 087 19 106 20 095 70001 67005 14 094 17 094 16 090 15 095 17 091 67005 64250 10 084 14 110 13 090 10 087 15 088 64250 61606 5 077 13 101 10 102 10 091 12 076 61606 58867 8 137 10 092 10 105 11 102 7 070 58867 56049 13 134 12 124 5 128 5 114 5 107 56049 53384 9 110 12 127 6 164 4 229 5 116 53384 51002 3 186 3 193 3 186 5 285 3 354 51002 48881 6 167 4 228 6 238 9 270 12 300 48881 46953 4 087 5 005 8 210 12 233 14 290 46953 45168 12 002 15 338 3 298 7 279 14 295 45168 43498 18 335 17 325 9 325 13 305 17 295 43498 41927 18 322 15 315 12 320 16 309 16 291 41927 40446 18 317 13 309 11 311 13 308 14 285 40446 39053 5 296 13 300 11 291 11 289 13 279 39053 37725 3 252 13 291 14 285 15 285 13 284 37725 36402 5 237 13 285 15 284 14 280 15 290 36402 35060 5 231 11 271 13 281 13 278 14 292 35060 33705 6 197 10 258 12 280 12 282 12 295 33705 32326 8 197 8 253 11 278 10 282 12 300 32326 30918 7 220 6 270 10 276 7 285 10 301 30918 29486 7 271 7 299 8 281 4 294 10 307 29486 28037 9 283 7 317 7 295 3 329 8 322 28037 26576 8 277 6 315 5 327 2 360 6 332 26576 25110 7 259 5 294 6 332 2 272 5 319 25110 23636 5 238 4 287 6 319 6 017 7 314 23636 22150 3 187 3 266 3 300 3 007 7 322 22150 20673 5 213 4 204 1 223 4 215 7 315 20673 19273 4 258 5 189 1 172 6 213 7 300 19273 18006 2 291 4 170 1 186 7 219 7 292 18006 16871 2 114 4 147 2 225 7 228 5 281 16871 15843 4 070 3 129 3 250 8 235 4 258 15843 14904 4 051 2 096 5 251 8 240 4 235 14904 14043 4 048 2*069 6 253 7 247 5 221 14043 13253 5 053 1*352 7 253 6 254 4 210 13253 12530 6 044 4 287 7 252 5 268 4 191 12530 11869 8 034 7 280 8 252 4 287 3 160 11869 11255 11 026 8 277 8 250 4 309 4 122 11255 10695 13 021 8 275 8 250 4 330 5 100 10695 10215 15 017 9 272 8 249 5 343 6 086 10215 9837 16 016 9 269 7 248 6 351 6 073 9837 9572 15 013 8 267 7 248 7 354 6 058 9572 9410 13*012 8 265 7*247 7*354 6*045 9410 9316 8*011 7 263 6*246 5*352 5*038 9316 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography