DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 75.9 - - 73.6 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 502 - - 186 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8660 - - 10179 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15409 - - 16730 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17460 - - 18979 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2723 - - 1357 - - 10464 - - 1527 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 674 - - 748 - - 205 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 276 - - 286 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - -9 - - -12 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1399 - - 1313 - - -8078 - - -6239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16062 - - 17667 - - 17443 - - 15604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -508 - - -201 - - -10209 - - -10482 ODpotential blCL - - - 17968 - - 19180 - - 19573 - - 19846 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 73 - - 62 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 75.9 - - 73.6 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 30.6 - - 29.6 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.0 - - 72.0 - - 71.3 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 30.3 - - 29.4 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 502 - - 186 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8660 - - 10179 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99207 30 102 27 106 28 090 28 112 99207 91728 32 104 27 100 23 101 31 082 91728 85979 29 106 27 100 19 095 25 072 85979 81200 28 099 21 093 22 097 21 083 81200 77074 21 089 17 090 22 083 16 086 77074 73433 16 093 12 101 13 070 14 061 73433 70149 14 068 11 089 7 074 16 039 70149 67152 10 041 10 061 10 079 10 042 67152 64391 13 047 7 044 11 052 11 059 64391 61732 13 023 7 015 15 022 12 028 61732 58976 6 359 9 317 13 326 13 015 58976 56130 9 344 13 294 16 286 17 306 56130 53418 17 305 18 296 21 296 20 286 53418 50973 32 298 30 301 31 302 26 312 50973 48801 38 297 34 294 33 306 27 315 48801 46854 34 298 29 294 28 308 21 326 46854 45073 35 292 27 291 24 307 19 338 45073 43416 32 282 25 283 23 310 18 341 43416 41858 24 283 18 277 22 313 17 336 41858 40388 25 282 16 288 24 324 19 326 40388 39008 25 277 16 296 18 322 20 319 39008 37691 19 268 17 296 16 310 18 317 37691 36379 17 269 17 283 18 298 19 304 36379 35046 17 271 14 268 20 295 21 299 35046 33704 17 266 14 278 19 298 22 302 33704 32338 19 257 15 281 18 305 23 308 32338 30942 20 252 16 282 17 313 24 306 30942 29521 19 257 16 288 15 317 21 307 29521 28081 17 268 18 294 13 312 15 303 28081 26628 14 284 18 292 14 299 14 299 26628 25169 13 291 16 290 13 292 12 300 25169 23700 11 303 14 297 11 290 10 297 23700 22218 8 312 11 312 8 291 9 299 22218 20745 6 296 7 319 3 318 9 299 20745 19346 8 294 6*306 3 354 8 297 19346 18078 8*294 6*299 4 339 8 295 18078 16940 8*289 7 290 6 319 8 298 16940 15910 8 285 9 283 8 308 9 301 15910 14968 8 278 10 280 11 301 9 306 14968 14103 7 269 11 277 12 298 10 309 14103 13310 7 261 11 275 13 296 11 311 13310 12585 7 251 12 273 14 294 12 311 12585 11921 8 245 12 271 14 292 13 309 11921 11306 8 238 12 270 14 291 14 307 11306 10746 8 233 12 268 14 290 14 304 10746 10264 8 228 12 267 14 289 14 302 10264 9886 8 225 12 266 14 288 13 302 9886 9621 8 223 12 266 13 287 11 305 9621 9458 8 223 11 264 12*287 9*307 9458 9364 7 220 9 263 9*286 5*316 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography