DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 45.6 - - 47.2 - - 40.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 44 - - 44 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 131 - - 1182 - - 1871 - - 813 - - 740 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 137 - - 138 - - 16 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 56 - - 14 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 360 - - 242 - - 271 - - 325 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -36 - - 1 - - 1 - - -8 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5094 - - -2348 - - -1373 - - 0 - - -1726 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14457 - - 11710 - - 10735 - - 9362 - - 11090 sfcLCL ODpotential -13317 - - -8475 - - -6482 - - -5200 - - -9314 ODpotential blCL 22679 - - 17837 - - 15844 - - 14562 - - 18677 blCL maxRH 24 - - 45 - - 54 - - 69 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 45.6 - - 47.2 - - 40.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.9 - - 27.1 - - 32.8 - - 35.8 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 44.8 - - 46.3 - - 43.1 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.8 - - 26.0 - - 31.6 - - 34.7 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 44 - - 44 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96357 55 278 63 277 52 275 52 280 53 280 96357 89297 27 284 36 274 38 274 40 286 31 294 89297 83854 22 288 19 283 25 285 24 290 23 296 83854 79307 25 276 22 300 21 297 17 293 22 294 79307 75374 18 288 25 294 24 289 28 297 32 305 75374 71891 19 308 21 276 22 281 29 284 32 296 71891 68736 27 310 20 283 20 298 22 280 24 291 68736 65832 34 296 27 287 26 294 25 285 24 287 65832 63136 31 278 29 279 27 277 28 281 29 279 63136 60526 24 275 29 270 27 263 28 271 31 273 60526 57807 30 275 31 266 30 264 29 264 32 271 57807 54993 35 263 36 264 34 267 31 265 34 271 54993 52308 35 258 35 263 36 270 31 269 33 272 52308 49890 29 267 32 264 35 272 31 277 30 275 49890 47722 27 280 25 271 32 271 30 284 28 279 47722 45761 23 272 21 274 24 268 29 287 26 285 45761 43970 13 303 10 275 13 266 23 279 26 287 43970 42318 16 333 12 342 4 343 8 257 22 274 42318 40780 13 333 12 339 7 329 3 352 9 255 40780 39346 8 345 13 327 9 334 5 352 2 342 39346 38008 8 023 11 322 10 332 8 347 6 346 38008 36736 8 043 10 321 10 330 10 342 8 328 36736 35471 9 044 10 324 8 338 8 340 11 323 35471 34187 11 028 9 328 8 336 7 340 11 320 34187 32889 12 023 10 331 10 323 9 327 10 317 32889 31570 10 019 13 329 15 326 11 326 9 319 31570 30224 10 004 16 330 17 333 10 338 8 322 30224 28855 14 002 16 338 17 346 8 357 6 321 28855 27469 17 006 14 348 14 357 5 009 4 308 27469 26069 16 006 11 356 9 000 2 005 4 286 26069 24660 14 359 10 003 5 353 1 038 4 281 24660 23239 10 358 8 014 4 355 0 281 4 280 23239 21800 6 008 6 017 3 325 3 285 6 288 21800 20366 5 010 3 031 3 277 4 290 6 291 20366 19001 5 001 3 079 2 253 4 288 4 285 19001 17764 6 003 4 090 1 203 2 276 1 239 17764 16658 7 007 5 087 2 122 1 214 2 156 16658 15658 7 007 7 083 4 108 2 152 4 141 15658 14747 8 008 7 080 5 104 3 133 6 134 14747 13913 8 009 7 083 5 100 3 127 7 132 13913 13149 8 010 6 090 5 100 4 121 7 132 13149 12452 8 012 6 096 4 098 3 114 7 131 12452 11814 8 015 5 101 3 093 2 103 6 129 11814 11224 8 017 3 101 2 045 1 088 5 122 11224 10686 8 016 2 086 2 329 2 011 4 117 10686 10224 8 015 1 042 3 300 4 344 3 107 10224 9862 8 011 1 355 2 287 4 331 3 093 9862 9608 7 007 0 259 2 277 3 324 3 066 9608 9452 7*007 0*225 2*273 2*310 2*057 9452 9363 5*360 0*242 2*271 2*325 3*020 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography