DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.7 - - 32.4 - - 33.3 - - 25.4 - - 24.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -81 - - -4 - - -8 - - -73 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 51 - - 669 - - 879 - - 82 - - 55 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 70 - - 66 - - 49 - - 41 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 329 - - 329 - - 351 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -38 - - -14 - - -14 - - -38 - - -41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4822 - - -2703 - - -1552 - - -2561 - - -4181 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14184 - - 12065 - - 10915 - - 11923 - - 13543 sfcLCL ODpotential -14590 - - -9110 - - -7437 - - -11505 - - -13560 ODpotential blCL 23951 - - 18471 - - 16799 - - 20866 - - 22921 blCL maxRH 27 - - 33 - - 44 - - 39 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.7 - - 32.4 - - 33.3 - - 25.4 - - 24.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -6.9 - - 12.9 - - 18.6 - - 6.9 - - -0.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 32.1 - - 33.1 - - 29.2 - - 29.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -7.7 - - 11.9 - - 17.5 - - 5.7 - - -1.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -81 - - -4 - - -8 - - -73 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96750 32 270 50 267 50 273 49 272 58 273 96750 89577 22 279 30 287 25 282 22 293 23 288 89577 84019 13 303 21 306 16 287 19 317 18 322 84019 79407 17 355 12 328 12 331 15 327 14 330 79407 75425 18 336 20 338 21 341 13 008 8 037 75425 71867 9 319 21 328 23 313 19 315 23 345 71867 68638 24 342 12 344 20 328 17 314 28 321 68638 65700 41 321 29 331 29 323 26 342 26 326 65700 62980 45 322 36 318 36 315 38 321 30 325 62980 60337 55 314 47 314 46 315 45 308 43 314 60337 57584 58 304 54 309 54 310 50 310 49 308 57584 54727 62 303 59 306 59 308 57 311 56 307 54727 51989 71 298 69 300 65 304 65 305 65 304 51989 49513 77 295 76 298 70 300 67 297 73 299 49513 47290 80 292 80 297 73 298 69 290 80 294 47290 45278 80 289 81 293 75 298 67 295 77 292 45278 43444 77 290 79 287 77 296 70 304 66 297 43444 41769 74 290 73 285 79 294 76 304 57 310 41769 40222 71 289 62 288 73 288 72 299 53 315 40222 38779 66 291 60 293 57 289 65 294 57 311 38779 37436 66 292 60 293 51 304 58 293 60 304 37436 36166 66 291 58 292 57 303 58 301 63 300 36166 34916 62 292 53 290 57 295 54 302 51 304 34916 33658 54 292 44 292 50 291 47 300 38 326 33658 32393 41 304 39 304 44 297 47 311 40 338 32393 31106 43 317 39 312 41 308 47 318 40 338 31106 29789 46 320 39 312 41 312 46 316 40 337 29789 28448 48 318 38 311 40 309 45 313 40 332 28448 27087 49 315 39 311 37 305 43 312 40 323 27087 25714 49 311 41 310 35 307 40 310 41 318 25714 24332 48 309 41 309 34 311 38 306 42 316 24332 22939 45 309 40 311 35 313 38 303 41 315 22939 21528 43 309 38 311 36 314 40 305 41 315 21528 20122 40 307 37 311 36 314 40 308 41 316 20122 18786 37 305 36 310 34 313 39 309 40 316 18786 17576 35 304 35 311 32 312 37 310 38 316 17576 16493 34 305 33 313 31 313 35 310 36 315 16493 15515 32 307 32 314 29 314 32 310 34 313 15515 14623 31 310 30 316 27 316 31 311 32 313 14623 13807 30 316 28 319 26 318 29 312 29 313 13807 13059 28 321 26 322 24 320 28 315 28 314 13059 12377 27 327 25 327 23 322 26 318 26 316 12377 11754 26 332 23 330 21 323 25 322 24 317 11754 11177 25 335 22 333 20 326 24 326 23 320 11177 10651 23 338 20 335 17 328 23 331 21 324 10651 10201 21 340 18 336 15 332 21 337 18 329 10201 9848 18 340 14 335 12 334 18 343 16 334 9848 9600 15 340 10 334 9 335 15 348 13 340 9600 9449 11*340 8*332 7*333 12*351 10*341 9449 9361 7*338 4*329 4*329 7*351 7*339 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography