DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 67.7 - - 66.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 336 - - 137 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4338 - - 6434 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11848 - - 13497 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13138 - - 15234 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3168 - - 3508 - - 9989 - - 6830 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 497 - - 562 - - 185 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 258 - - 273 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -11 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 857 - - 1618 - - -4463 - - -2379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12282 - - 13616 - - 13828 - - 11743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -923 - - -557 - - -6273 - - -5826 ODpotential blCL - - - 14061 - - 15791 - - 15637 - - 15190 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 80 - - 82 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 500 - - 300 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 67.7 - - 66.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 40.2 - - 38.2 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 64.7 - - 64.5 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 40.1 - - 38.1 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 336 - - 137 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4338 - - 6434 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 20 - - 28 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99068 23 108 22 114 13 087 19 101 99068 91617 20 105 16 103 18 097 19 079 91617 85859 20 101 18 109 17 099 17 071 85859 81092 18 110 20 115 14 097 12 096 81092 76988 14 105 18 109 14 113 14 107 76988 73357 12 114 15 104 13 118 14 099 73357 70064 9 138 10 114 9 111 9 108 70064 67040 9 141 9 177 3 052 9 086 67040 64254 7 181 8 193 8 212 3 146 64254 61578 8 203 8 220 6 213 10 240 61578 58799 9 255 15 236 17 222 21 214 58799 55951 28 245 26 239 18 225 29 246 55951 53264 28 226 30 234 33 240 44 240 53264 50846 32 255 38 247 46 247 49 244 50846 48671 52 262 50 257 58 255 56 256 48671 46691 68 264 66 261 69 258 67 260 46691 44867 75 258 73 258 72 256 72 258 44867 43173 71 249 68 251 68 252 69 253 43173 41597 68 241 64 241 62 246 63 247 41597 40125 65 234 59 234 60 241 61 243 40125 38748 60 226 53 229 59 241 59 243 38748 37438 56 221 53 225 56 243 54 245 37438 36136 56 220 53 228 52 247 50 248 36136 34814 55 224 52 235 47 249 45 250 34814 33479 50 229 50 240 44 249 41 249 33479 32121 47 236 48 241 41 245 37 243 32121 30732 43 240 44 240 40 242 35 234 30732 29319 38 239 41 241 39 242 35 234 29319 27889 34 238 38 243 37 242 35 241 27889 26448 30 237 34 245 36 244 35 246 26448 25002 26 238 29 245 35 243 35 247 25002 23547 22 242 26 243 33 244 32 247 23547 22075 19 247 23 242 30 246 28 249 22075 20611 20 256 20 249 25 249 25 245 20611 19223 23 262 17 255 21 253 24 240 19223 17966 24 262 17 256 20 255 22 242 17966 16843 23 255 17 257 20 257 17 252 16843 15827 21 247 16*258 18 260 14 264 15827 14899 19 244 16*258 16 264 12 271 14899 14047 16 244 15 258 16 267 11 270 14047 13265 13*245 15 258 15 269 10 264 13265 12550 12*247 15 258 15 270 9 255 12550 11894 12 249 15 258 15 272 9 249 11894 11287 11 250 14 258 14 273 9 244 11287 10732 11 250 14 258 14 273 9 241 10732 10256 11 250 14 258 13 274 8 240 10256 9881 10 249 13 257 13 274 6 239 9881 9618 10 249 12 257 12 273 4 246 9618 9457 9 249 11 256 11*274 4*246 9457 9364 8 247 9 254 8*273 2*264 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography