DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 62.0 - - 65.1 - - 64.2 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 186 - - 547 - - 518 - - 194 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6469 - - 7364 - - 7709 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 13723 - - 14436 - - 14235 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 15269 - - 16164 - - 16509 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6448 - - 1711 - - 1480 - - 2493 - - 3080 Hgt.Variab. W* 206 - - 665 - - 683 - - 502 - - 30 W* B/S 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 28 - - 30 - - 31 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 289 - - 282 - - 272 - - 270 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 20 - - 18 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -49 - - -43 - - -37 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6980 - - -1878 - - -2345 - - -2195 - - -7083 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16344 - - 17148 - - 18510 - - 18705 - - 16447 sfcLCL ODpotential -12038 - - -6685 - - -6829 - - -5909 - - -12149 ODpotential blCL 21401 - - 21954 - - 22993 - - 22418 - - 21512 blCL maxRH 69 - - 53 - - 58 - - 56 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 62.0 - - 65.1 - - 64.2 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.7 - - 19.1 - - 16.1 - - 14.3 - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 58.4 - - 61.5 - - 62.1 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.1 - - 18.4 - - 15.0 - - 13.6 - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 186 - - 547 - - 518 - - 194 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6469 - - 7364 - - 7709 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97874 2 266 3 244 6 152 1 063 3 266 97874 90394 6 076 7 173 5 227 7 102 4 054 90394 84635 2 041 6 145 7 181 5 096 8 098 84635 79887 2 327 1 342 3 112 2 166 9 097 79887 75819 8 067 2 263 5 330 7 011 9 065 75819 72235 10 028 2 067 6 269 10 312 8 356 72235 68989 11 339 8 338 8 317 3 322 7 356 68989 65984 15 298 11 322 10 304 7 297 12 332 65984 63187 27 289 24 295 17 285 20 274 15 312 63187 60473 31 282 29 291 19 299 20 264 23 290 60473 57649 36 285 35 282 37 289 28 286 27 281 57649 54748 38 280 37 274 38 278 39 282 40 285 54748 52019 35 289 38 289 35 289 38 285 44 282 52019 49607 39 297 45 298 40 297 40 292 39 286 49607 47477 34 290 41 297 40 295 43 293 43 295 47477 45559 26 288 38 305 40 306 52 300 54 295 45559 43812 34 322 41 315 47 315 50 295 59 286 43812 42197 40 335 41 320 40 311 39 274 57 279 42197 40681 39 338 37 318 39 300 38 276 53 276 40681 39249 36 335 29 310 41 292 38 288 40 276 39249 37904 34 332 27 307 40 291 41 297 46 282 37904 36623 31 328 27 306 40 294 48 298 50 286 36623 35348 30 326 26 303 42 297 51 299 50 288 35348 34054 28 326 26 300 43 297 50 301 50 290 34054 32748 28 330 25 299 43 296 50 301 50 292 32748 31419 30 334 25 297 44 294 49 301 50 294 31419 30062 31 335 26 294 45 291 50 301 49 296 30062 28685 29 334 28 293 46 288 50 299 48 296 28685 27291 26 331 30 294 46 285 50 296 46 294 27291 25888 23 324 32 293 42 280 50 293 46 290 25888 24482 19 317 29 287 35 271 49 290 46 285 24482 23071 16 302 22 273 40 269 47 288 46 281 23071 21652 20 283 26 268 43 275 44 285 45 277 21652 20245 27 284 34 275 44 282 41 279 44 271 20245 18914 32 291 37 281 45 286 38 272 46 264 18914 17709 35 296 38 284 40 285 35 269 47 260 17709 16630 36 297 37 285 35*279 35*269 47 260 16630 15651 34 295 35*285 33*275 34*269 47 263 15651 14756 33 293 34*285 33 273 34 270 46 267 14756 13931 31 291 33 284 32 273 33 270 46 272 13931 13173 28 291 31 283 31 272 33 270 45 277 13173 12478 25 292 29 283 31 272 32 270 45 281 12478 11840 22 295 28 282 30 271 31 270 44 283 11840 11247 19 297 27 281 30 271 30 270 43 285 11247 10705 17 297 26 281 29 271 30 270 41 285 10705 10239 15 296 25 280 28 270 29 269 37 286 10239 9871 14 294 24 280 26 270 27 269 31 287 9871 9613 13 293 22 279 25 270 25 269 24 288 9613 9455 11*292 20 278 22 269 22 268 18*288 9455 9363 9*289 14 277 15 267 14 267 10*289 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography