DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 50.0 - - 48.4 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 568 - - 544 - - 136 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7048 - - 8171 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14210 - - 15117 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15848 - - 16971 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1622 - - 1805 - - 9506 - - 6606 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 693 - - 718 - - 186 - - 87 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 250 - - 246 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - -15 - - 10 - - 26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 599 - - 1109 - - -5856 - - -3224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15250 - - 15863 - - 15220 - - 12586 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1390 - - -465 - - -7525 - - -5081 ODpotential blCL - - - 17238 - - 17436 - - 16888 - - 14443 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 80 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 50.0 - - 48.4 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.6 - - 12.8 - - 14.3 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 46.3 - - 46.6 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.1 - - 12.2 - - 13.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 568 - - 544 - - 136 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7048 - - 8171 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 79 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97338 29 273 28 282 22 292 30 277 97338 89958 21 268 27 267 30 277 26 295 89958 84319 20 281 20 290 21 291 18 298 84319 79657 16 269 17 307 15 300 13 301 79657 75641 10 257 11 272 16 298 15 302 75641 72097 7 250 10 268 15 291 13 302 72097 68881 6 269 13 262 15 277 19 296 68881 65915 8 269 18 269 19 272 18 269 65915 63152 10 253 16 267 18 281 19 266 63152 60459 15 268 21 272 20 282 23 275 60459 57641 25 273 32 266 34 273 34 272 57641 54712 42 268 39 266 42 267 42 271 54712 51911 48 268 46 267 48 264 49 264 51911 49392 51 274 53 268 55 264 54 261 49392 47146 60 276 59 273 60 267 57 263 47146 45119 69 276 71 276 67 272 63 271 45119 43270 74 276 86 274 79 271 81 269 43270 41574 79 275 92 270 88 269 87 262 41574 40010 86 272 93 269 91 267 86 262 40010 38559 91 270 93 267 91 266 89 265 38559 37212 90 268 90 266 90 266 91 264 37212 35940 82 267 82 267 86 265 84 262 35940 34684 75 265 75 266 78 263 76 260 34684 33415 70 262 74 263 71 261 65 258 33415 32139 65 262 72 263 71 259 55 253 32139 30846 61 266 66 264 72 259 48 250 30846 29527 60 270 61 263 71 259 50 251 29527 28186 61 271 59 258 70 260 51 253 28186 26830 60 271 58 257 67 262 52 255 26830 25462 59 271 55 262 60 263 53 255 25462 24088 56 272 50 264 54 265 54 252 24088 22709 52 273 44 265 50 265 50 244 22709 21319 49 271 40 267 44 261 40 236 21319 19942 43 269 38 264 34 252 27 231 19942 18641 37 265 29 257 27 244 19 234 18641 17465 29 263 22*251 24 241 17 244 17465 16413 24*262 21*249 23 242 19 248 16413 15462 22*263 20 249 22 243 21 248 15462 14592 22 264 20 249 22 244 23 246 14592 13794 21 264 20 250 21 245 24 244 13794 13060 21 265 19 250 20 246 25 241 13060 12386 21 265 19 250 19 247 26 239 12386 11768 21 265 19 250 19 248 26 237 11768 11193 21 265 19 250 18 248 26 235 11193 10666 20 265 19 250 17 249 26 234 10666 10213 20 264 18 250 17 248 25 232 10213 9856 19 263 17 249 16 248 23 231 9856 9606 18 263 17 249 15 248 21 229 9606 9451 16 263 15 249 14*248 17*229 9451 9362 12 260 12 246 10*246 11*227 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography