DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.6 - - 39.0 - - 40.2 - - 36.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 98 - - 86 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1356 - - 2218 - - 2285 - - 1034 - - 760 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 174 - - 167 - - 21 - - 19 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 188 - - 234 - - 162 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2313 - - -345 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11676 - - 9707 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -12118 - - -5277 - - -4290 - - -5249 - - -7190 ODpotential blCL 21480 - - 14639 - - 13652 - - 14611 - - 16552 blCL maxRH 62 - - 67 - - 77 - - 78 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.6 - - 39.0 - - 40.2 - - 36.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.7 - - 29.2 - - 32.5 - - 33.3 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.4 - - 37.2 - - 38.5 - - 36.7 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.6 - - 28.1 - - 31.3 - - 32.2 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 98 - - 86 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96495 46 271 51 276 57 283 48 277 42 281 96495 89488 30 282 37 282 33 285 29 291 30 286 89488 84075 21 301 31 288 16 289 18 281 27 290 84075 79561 16 305 18 300 16 281 19 294 21 298 79561 75650 12 318 9 318 23 256 28 286 25 315 75650 72170 11 324 6 333 18 244 24 274 31 297 72170 68995 16 319 9 338 7 265 13 276 19 283 68995 66054 23 284 13 300 11 291 7 286 13 277 66054 63316 17 255 11 267 14 255 12 259 13 262 63316 60653 13 261 18 272 13 282 8 255 14 287 60653 57867 22 252 32 255 32 285 24 281 27 280 57867 54991 23 251 36 261 40 267 33 273 32 273 54991 52262 33 268 40 270 35 277 38 283 38 274 52262 49823 43 282 35 295 48 293 48 288 40 284 49823 47647 45 291 59 301 65 288 65 291 60 293 47647 45683 58 299 81 289 79 289 86 290 76 285 45683 43888 78 300 93 286 100 291 100 290 86 284 43888 42223 98 299 108 289 116 290 110 287 97 281 42223 40664 115 298 125 291 122 290 112 285 99 278 40664 39203 120 297 129 291 122 290 108 285 97 277 39203 37837 117 296 123 291 117 290 102 286 96 278 37837 36542 110 297 114 291 106 292 96 288 94 281 36542 35259 100 301 103 293 91 296 89 289 84 283 35259 33964 89 303 87 294 78 300 79 291 70 285 33964 32662 79 302 72 294 72 302 69 293 63 287 32662 31341 67 303 64 294 68 301 61 294 60 286 31341 29996 64 304 62 297 66 299 56 292 58 284 29996 28630 64 306 62 299 65 297 56 290 56 282 28630 27246 57 309 63 299 62 298 57 289 52 282 27246 25848 49 309 62 298 57 301 56 292 48 286 25848 24444 48 305 57 298 53 304 53 296 48 288 24444 23034 47 304 51 308 51 307 48 297 48 289 23034 21613 43 307 45 314 48 310 44 299 45 287 21613 20200 42 315 40 307 44 317 41 302 39 283 20200 18859 42 326 37 308 42 321 39 305 34 281 18859 17643 38 335 35 319 40 318 37 308 30 284 17643 16553 30 345 33 328 36 317 35 312 27 290 16553 15566 21 355 26 335 31 319 33 315 23 294 15566 14665 15 001 18 341 25 319 29 317 19 298 14665 13839 9 360 12 344 19 317 24 318 15 303 13839 13083 5 353 7 344 13 313 18 318 11 305 13083 12394 3 347 4 331 9 309 12 317 7 300 12394 11765 2 351 3 302 6 306 7 315 3 273 11765 11184 1 031 2 269 5 294 4 323 3 183 11184 10657 2 075 2 233 4 277 3 336 5 153 10657 10205 3 074 3 204 4 255 1 330 6 143 10205 9850 3 066 3 197 4 247 1 193 6 136 9850 9602 3 054 4 192 4 241 1 181 5 129 9602 9450 2*049 4*190 4*237 1*180 4*119 9450 9362 2*034 3*188 4*234 1*162 3*068 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography