DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.5 - - 33.0 - - 29.4 - - 27.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 126 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1840 - - 2194 - - 1141 - - 779 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 182 - - 13 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 116 - - 303 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 10 - - -1 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3468 - - -2967 - - -1532 - - -2317 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12829 - - 12329 - - 10893 - - 11680 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9628 - - -8271 - - -7581 - - -9109 ODpotential blCL - - - 18989 - - 17632 - - 16942 - - 18471 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 57 - - 67 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.5 - - 33.0 - - 29.4 - - 27.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.9 - - 12.5 - - 15.1 - - 9.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 31.1 - - 30.3 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.7 - - 11.4 - - 14.1 - - 9.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 126 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95848 47 292 30 302 32 275 42 288 95848 88905 29 298 20 322 23 339 35 338 88905 83512 19 315 15 315 16 324 19 356 83512 79030 16 328 17 312 16 317 17 356 79030 75143 6 315 18 306 23 325 24 344 75143 71694 5 353 11 301 14 313 19 330 71694 68545 16 341 15 326 12 335 13 280 68545 65625 19 316 26 319 22 339 18 340 65625 62918 14 270 27 301 29 319 25 325 62918 60291 9 296 20 273 29 287 22 310 60291 57527 17 325 18 277 24 278 30 305 57527 54644 32 315 32 299 33 288 36 289 54644 51886 34 300 35 292 37 287 37 284 51886 49407 28 283 31 281 35 288 34 285 49407 47192 25 277 30 274 33 286 29 287 47192 45186 23 298 27 289 28 288 24 303 45186 43357 24 313 28 313 26 304 29 322 43357 41689 17 318 30 315 28 310 28 318 41689 40163 16 330 24 309 24 298 26 312 40163 38759 20 336 25 329 22 302 25 307 38759 37454 16 337 25 330 24 306 22 298 37454 36208 10 334 20 313 25 306 22 293 36208 34966 12 335 16 303 25 303 25 312 34966 33706 13 333 18 308 24 300 26 316 33706 32433 11 320 19 305 21 294 21 317 32433 31137 9 296 17 297 17 292 18 317 31137 29812 12 290 17 300 14 285 15 314 29812 28463 14 295 15 303 14 266 13 307 28463 27095 15 302 12 294 14 269 12 307 27095 25716 12 301 10 299 11 281 13 304 25716 24329 9 301 9 297 9 290 11 299 24329 22934 8 300 8 292 8 299 8 305 22934 21524 7 309 6 296 7 314 7 328 21524 20121 5 324 4 304 5 324 6 355 20121 18787 3 349 3 328 4 345 6 023 18787 17578 3 021 2 355 3 009 7 040 17578 16495 3 056 2 031 3 036 8 049 16495 15516 3 073 2 048 4 050 8 057 15516 14622 3 100 2 043 5 053 9 062 14622 13804 3 133 1 018 5 053 9 064 13804 13055 4 160 1 328 6 048 9 063 13055 12373 5 171 0 300 6 042 9 059 12373 11749 7 167 1 083 6 032 8 054 11749 11173 7 158 2 090 6 021 7 051 11173 10648 7 143 4 102 5 010 6 047 10648 10199 6 117 5 106 3 359 5 046 10199 9847 6 107 5 108 2 350 5 043 9847 9600 6 104 5 112 1 338 5 036 9600 9449 5*103 5*114 1*330 4*027 9449 9362 4*103 4*116 1*303 3*017 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography