DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 51.5 - - 47.5 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 149 - - 20 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3330 - - 3457 - - 2178 - - 1681 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 195 - - 103 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 144 - - 083 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 18 - - -2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -955 - - -951 - - -564 - - -954 ODpotential blCL - - - 10318 - - 10314 - - 9927 - - 10317 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 98 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 290 - - 40 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 51.5 - - 47.5 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.3 - - 45.9 - - 45.1 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 49.3 - - 46.3 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 44.8 - - 44.6 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 149 - - 20 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 93 - - 102 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98347 11 087 9 105 11 135 1 124 98347 91015 10 119 12 127 9 073 13 104 91015 85347 13 130 8 134 8 083 12 090 85347 80624 9 114 7 100 5 111 7 070 80624 76575 7 123 4 033 3 039 9 064 76575 73017 3 241 1 324 8 344 9 034 73017 69795 1 351 3 138 3 335 8 349 69795 66827 4 143 5 199 3 199 6 313 66827 64074 7 145 8 206 6 212 6 251 64074 61412 5 242 5 257 4 248 2 183 61412 58639 16 223 16 231 16 249 14 253 58639 55774 18 203 22 199 22 215 20 207 55774 53048 18 236 18 214 18 220 17 226 53048 50588 38 233 36 229 35 235 31 235 50588 48379 51 210 47 220 41 229 36 224 48379 46370 46 196 43 209 40 224 36 219 46370 44524 39 194 42 203 40 215 39 216 44524 42815 34 196 42 198 40 205 43 209 42815 41230 33 198 39 193 38 198 43 203 41230 39755 35 196 33 193 34 194 36 199 39755 38383 32 193 27 192 29 187 30 193 38383 37082 29 193 24 181 23 175 27 185 37082 35792 29 187 27 168 22 174 24 179 35792 34485 31 182 29 163 22 184 20 174 34485 33166 27 186 28 166 21 188 15 161 33166 31823 24 190 22 182 19 178 13 142 31823 30450 25 188 20 196 19 160 14 139 30450 29054 28 185 23 195 18 164 14 149 29054 27638 27 195 27 200 16 178 14 157 27638 26211 20 211 13 210 16 200 14 172 26211 24779 14 202 7 204 10 194 13 187 24779 23336 8 207 7 199 8 153 12 188 23336 21877 4 222 8 173 9 161 12 184 21877 20426 3 164 9 152 10 170 14 180 20426 19050 7 169 8 149 11 167 16 186 19050 17806 7 170 7 155 11 165 15 184 17806 16694 3 165 5 181 12 168 16 181 16694 15689 2 138 4 203 12 167 16 178 15689 14773 3 106 3 205 11 163 15 172 14773 13935 4 101 2 195 10 158 14 161 13935 13167 5 105 3 162 9 155 13 151 13167 12467 6 111 3 147 7 149 11 146 12467 11826 7 121 4 141 5 133 9 141 11826 11233 7 127 4 139 4 108 7 138 11233 10693 7 132 5 141 5 098 7 124 10693 10229 7 136 6 143 5 085 7 103 10229 9865 7 138 6 143 5 079 7 085 9865 9610 7 140 6 143 5 081 7 076 9610 9453 7*141 6*144 5*083 6*072 9453 9363 6*142 5*144 4*083 4*074 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography