DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 44.5 - - 37.1 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 135 - - -47 - - -77 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1616 - - 2296 - - 618 - - 306 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 187 - - 33 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 281 - - 299 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -13 - - -28 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3100 - - -4649 - - -3874 - - -3210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12462 - - 14012 - - 13237 - - 12573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8808 - - -10100 - - -11827 - - -11659 ODpotential blCL - - - 18170 - - 19462 - - 21189 - - 21021 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 42 - - 60 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 44.5 - - 37.1 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.3 - - 16.1 - - 12.4 - - 12.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 42.7 - - 38.6 - - 37.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.2 - - 15.2 - - 11.9 - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 135 - - -47 - - -77 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96153 19 247 16 277 11 266 23 268 96153 89109 8 302 16 264 15 281 8 317 89109 83626 9 314 14 279 17 303 11 335 83626 79043 4 305 12 263 13 305 11 335 79043 75077 4 320 6 320 12 278 17 291 75077 71575 16 310 16 319 10 309 13 304 71575 68396 19 305 19 310 11 299 17 297 68396 65477 16 308 18 306 21 291 24 291 65477 62811 22 287 19 299 21 309 23 303 62811 60263 12 294 10 345 15 329 21 327 60263 57593 13 341 24 341 24 334 37 310 57593 54792 36 308 41 316 39 313 56 302 54792 52109 48 291 54 298 50 299 55 290 52109 49688 41 291 51 289 46 293 49 280 49688 47502 40 301 51 291 46 294 46 287 47502 45504 44 303 55 295 51 295 53 297 45504 43678 52 295 59 293 59 290 66 297 43678 42017 57 287 61 288 65 286 74 290 42017 40497 58 284 60 285 66 285 70 287 40497 39079 56 283 55 284 64 286 61 291 39079 37751 54 284 50 283 60 286 56 298 37751 36486 53 284 47 283 57 287 56 300 36486 35224 51 285 46 284 55 287 52 300 35224 33940 49 285 46 285 56 288 42 300 33940 32642 47 286 47 286 57 288 44 298 32642 31319 46 286 47 287 58 289 45 298 31319 29967 46 285 48 286 58 289 48 297 29967 28593 47 283 50 283 59 289 51 296 28593 27204 49 282 53 281 59 287 53 294 27204 25805 51 283 56 279 59 285 54 292 25805 24403 52 285 59 280 59 283 55 290 24403 22993 54 288 60 280 59 282 54 286 22993 21571 55 289 59 281 58 282 54 284 21571 20159 54 289 57 282 58 283 53 283 20159 18821 53 289 54 283 58 284 52 284 18821 17612 50 288 52 283 57 285 51 286 17612 16530 47 288 50 282 55 285 51 288 16530 15552 46 288 49 281 53 285 51 290 15552 14659 45 289 48 281 51 284 51 291 14659 13840 45 290 47 280 49 283 50 292 13840 13088 45 290 46 281 49 282 51 291 13088 12402 44 289 43 281 48 281 52 290 12402 11774 41 288 38 281 46 281 52 289 11774 11192 37 288 32 282 41 280 49 288 11192 10663 31 289 26 283 36 282 43 288 10663 10209 25 291 23 284 30 285 37 290 10209 9853 21 292 21 283 25 291 31 294 9853 9603 19 292 19 283 20 296 24 300 9603 9450 16*291 17*283 16*299 17*303 9450 9362 11*289 11*281 8*299 9*306 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography