DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 48.4 - - 46.9 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 59 - - 6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1105 - - 2479 - - 1734 - - 1713 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 144 - - 70 - - 62 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 189 - - 244 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 33 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - -175 - - -283 - - -356 ODpotential blCL - - - 9363 - - 9538 - - 9646 - - 9719 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 500 - - 400 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 48.4 - - 46.9 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 47.3 - - 46.0 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 47.1 - - 45.9 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 46.8 - - 45.7 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 59 - - 6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 102 - - 95 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97796 27 282 25 301 21 298 26 302 97796 90566 8 284 14 287 18 293 13 300 90566 84960 2 327 12 266 16 308 6 292 84960 80282 4 297 9 255 14 279 10 325 80282 76262 3 317 6 174 12 237 12 307 76262 72736 7 324 0 169 3 239 7 276 72736 69561 7 305 2 328 2 346 1 178 69561 66642 12 281 6 292 4 295 4 178 66642 63939 11 269 9 253 5 247 1 109 63939 61337 11 256 14 227 11 218 5 269 61337 58649 14 259 10 227 11 241 12 235 58649 55882 23 257 21 245 16 259 23 220 55882 53245 30 261 20 237 19 267 19 216 53245 50864 33 269 33 262 29 268 17 248 50864 48700 41 269 43 263 40 271 21 247 48700 46698 51 268 48 260 42 273 27 249 46698 44832 58 269 53 257 43 265 42 248 44832 43088 63 264 57 255 48 254 51 243 43088 41451 68 256 62 251 54 246 57 238 41451 39913 72 250 65 246 59 241 64 236 39913 38473 76 245 66 240 64 237 69 237 38473 37104 79 241 67 237 67 236 71 239 37104 35743 79 236 70 237 67 236 71 240 35743 34364 76 234 73 237 69 236 71 238 34364 32979 72 231 73 237 69 235 71 234 32979 31584 71 230 71 236 68 235 71 231 31584 30176 71 229 62 230 65 232 68 229 30176 28762 68 227 54 223 61 224 68 228 28762 27347 64 223 52 219 57 220 70 227 27347 25932 58 221 55 222 59 221 71 224 25932 24518 55 219 57 225 64 224 70 221 24518 23100 55 216 59 226 66 226 67 219 23100 21673 56 213 60 226 64 223 60 218 21673 20253 56 212 56 221 58 218 58 218 20253 18907 55 211 54 217 55 216 57 219 18907 17689 53 210 52 214 55 216 56 219 17689 16599 51 210 51 210 54 217 53 219 16599 15614 50 211 50 206 51 215 49 219 15614 14715 47 210 49 202 47 212 46 218 14715 13889 44 209 46 201 43 210 44 219 13889 13132 42 209 44 199 40 212 42 221 13132 12440 38 206 41 198 38 217 39 224 12440 11806 34 203 37 197 35 224 36 228 11806 11219 30 199 35 196 33 229 33 230 11219 10683 28 198 32 196 32 231 31 232 10683 10223 25 196 28 194 29 234 27 234 10223 9862 22 195 24 193 25 238 23 237 9862 9608 18 194 20 191 21 241 19 238 9608 9453 15*193 17*191 18*243 17*240 9453 9363 10*193 11*189 11*244 10*240 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography