DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 73.7 - - 71.7 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 550 - - 233 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8513 - - 10781 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15369 - - 17275 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17313 - - 19581 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3427 - - 3150 - - 11784 - - 3506 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 711 - - 787 - - 221 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 274 - - 278 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -23 - - -11 - - -7 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4475 - - -2713 - - -13836 - - -11686 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21789 - - 22295 - - 23201 - - 21051 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9144 - - -6529 - - -16736 - - -16669 ODpotential blCL - - - 26457 - - 26110 - - 26100 - - 26033 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 54 - - 36 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 73.7 - - 71.7 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.7 - - 7.5 - - 1.7 - - 2.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 69.6 - - 69.1 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.0 - - 6.8 - - 0.9 - - 1.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 550 - - 233 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8513 - - 10781 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99027 33 114 32 096 35 092 36 087 99027 91563 27 102 34 098 29 087 31 087 91563 85826 30 101 28 098 26 093 23 080 85826 81076 31 088 22 106 21 085 20 084 81076 76984 19 084 17 100 18 073 21 078 76984 73370 16 083 14 104 18 069 18 068 73370 70121 13 080 15 079 11 077 16 065 70121 67146 11 085 16 087 11 079 12 050 67146 64395 10 077 16 070 13 093 10 064 64395 61731 6 038 16 045 16 078 14 086 61731 58951 5 119 7 005 13 359 16 021 58951 56084 9 044 6 017 9 354 12 340 56084 53364 19 342 18 348 20 350 22 350 53364 50920 28 317 25 327 29 326 31 327 50920 48721 29 300 27 311 28 318 30 327 48721 46705 26 302 27 310 30 326 33 335 46705 44845 32 304 34 312 32 322 32 330 44845 43117 40 299 39 309 36 314 30 324 43117 41505 42 291 40 304 37 312 27 322 41505 40003 39 289 36 299 36 306 28 322 40003 38607 36 286 35 289 39 295 29 322 38607 37286 38 281 38 278 42 290 33 309 37286 35978 38 272 36 275 39 288 33 307 35978 34658 36 261 38 263 34 278 33 303 34658 33332 37 256 39 250 31 266 32 292 33332 31993 40 258 39 251 34 264 28 277 31993 30631 41 258 37 256 33 264 27 273 30631 29246 39 261 34 262 29 270 25 273 29246 27840 34 266 29 268 24 274 20 273 27840 26419 29 269 24 268 19 276 15 271 26419 24989 26 267 19 267 15 274 12 268 24989 23548 24 264 18 266 13 272 9 262 23548 22089 23 257 16 268 9 273 7 246 22089 20635 22 252 12*274 5 276 7 208 20635 19251 19 254 10*280 4 284 7 189 19251 17995 15*264 10 281 6 289 6 178 17995 16868 13*274 10 280 7 290 5 174 16868 15846 11 284 10 279 8 289 4 181 15846 14913 11 286 11 278 10 289 3 221 14913 14057 11 288 11 276 11 288 4 278 14057 13272 12 288 12 274 12 287 7 299 13272 12554 12 287 12 272 13 285 9 307 12554 11897 12 286 12 271 13 284 10 309 11897 11288 12 284 13 269 13 283 11 308 11288 10733 12 282 13 268 13 282 12 305 10733 10256 12 280 13 267 13 281 12 303 10256 9881 12 279 12 265 13 281 11 301 9881 9618 11 277 12 264 12 280 10 302 9618 9457 10 277 11 264 12*279 8*303 9457 9364 8 274 9 262 9*278 5*311 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography