DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 37.8 - - 38.2 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 14 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1235 - - 1890 - - 1673 - - 2060 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 93 - - 30 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 161 - - 167 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 15 - - 8 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1039 - - -1813 - - -2575 - - -1037 ODpotential blCL - - - 10401 - - 11175 - - 11937 - - 10399 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 37.8 - - 38.2 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 32.5 - - 32.8 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 36.8 - - 37.9 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 31.9 - - 32.4 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 14 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96022 37 292 30 287 43 300 33 308 96022 89040 32 301 25 308 32 300 32 311 89040 83593 25 296 28 308 22 304 30 312 83593 79045 23 300 31 314 20 306 23 319 79045 75129 24 286 27 291 25 310 26 314 75129 71683 16 310 18 299 19 287 22 290 71683 68571 22 289 22 303 8 345 11 317 68571 65713 35 263 27 260 21 269 20 275 65713 63078 39 269 24 272 15 291 5 287 63078 60518 56 261 49 266 37 274 31 266 60518 57855 68 246 72 249 66 251 60 254 57855 55109 73 237 80 238 78 239 71 240 55109 52472 75 238 81 241 77 240 69 237 52472 50079 81 240 85 244 82 247 73 243 50079 47914 89 241 89 245 86 247 79 244 47914 45939 91 244 92 244 87 242 83 243 45939 44127 89 244 90 242 82 236 84 239 44127 42455 83 246 81 241 73 234 80 234 42455 40902 78 249 75 245 66 238 75 231 40902 39450 70 241 71 243 65 240 71 232 39450 38096 59 231 65 236 64 239 68 233 38096 36813 58 237 61 234 60 236 68 233 36813 35536 59 248 59 241 56 235 65 232 35536 34238 60 256 58 246 54 239 61 233 34238 32927 57 257 55 247 53 242 58 234 32927 31591 51 253 51 246 52 243 56 233 31591 30227 47 245 47 240 52 241 55 229 30227 28837 45 238 42 232 51 236 55 226 28837 27427 42 234 40 225 47 229 57 224 27427 26004 40 234 42 222 47 222 57 225 26004 24578 42 234 46 227 49 222 52 227 24578 23145 45 234 48 232 50 226 47 225 23145 21698 44 236 48 230 48 229 43 223 21698 20261 39 235 47 229 44 231 39 222 20261 18898 33 231 43 229 39 231 35 221 18898 17667 30 229 37 227 36 229 32 219 17667 16566 28 230 33 223 35 228 30 221 16566 15574 26 230 31 220 34 231 28 225 15574 14671 25 230 28 218 33 235 26 228 14671 13846 24 228 26 214 30 236 24 227 13846 13092 22 226 23 209 26 232 21 220 13092 12405 20 224 20 203 21 224 19 212 12405 11777 18 222 17 193 17 211 18 205 11777 11195 15 219 15 179 14 195 17 202 11195 10666 13 215 13 169 13 183 16 201 10666 10211 10 208 11 164 11 174 15 201 10211 9855 8 205 10 162 9 170 12 199 9855 9605 6 202 9 162 8 169 10 199 9605 9451 4*203 8*162 6*169 7*201 9451 9362 3*201 6*161 4*167 3*207 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography