DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.3 - - 36.1 - - 27.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -49 - - 171 - - 256 - - 6 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 3481 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 11084 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 12281 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 3346 - - 1875 - - 3038 - - 159 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 201 - - 420 - - 69 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 18 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 343 - - 350 - - 357 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -41 - - -15 - - -56 - - -21 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -675 - - -2017 - - -452 - - -2829 - - -2419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10036 - - 11379 - - 12734 - - 12191 - - 11781 sfcLCL ODpotential -8701 - - -5366 - - -4398 - - -8114 - - -10915 ODpotential blCL 18062 - - 14728 - - 16679 - - 17476 - - 20276 blCL maxRH 72 - - 65 - - 57 - - 49 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.3 - - 36.1 - - 27.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.8 - - 20.7 - - 18.5 - - 15.9 - - 9.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.8 - - 35.3 - - 38.7 - - 35.3 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.8 - - 19.8 - - 17.9 - - 15.6 - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -49 - - 171 - - 256 - - 6 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 3481 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95315 86 274 76 268 83 279 70 282 71 266 95315 88396 60 282 49 276 59 281 49 289 48 297 88396 83116 32 303 24 289 37 276 46 280 32 299 83116 78684 24 320 28 308 23 309 45 283 22 299 78684 74795 28 317 44 301 36 308 43 300 24 311 74795 71325 35 316 40 301 41 293 40 312 34 323 71325 68205 38 323 26 321 30 291 35 311 36 321 68205 65360 40 325 26 340 22 309 34 309 35 308 65360 62717 40 323 32 324 34 320 38 306 36 305 62717 60133 46 319 43 317 43 314 39 304 36 312 60133 57398 53 316 55 318 53 319 44 325 46 337 57398 54535 63 318 65 319 64 329 65 333 70 325 54535 51808 77 310 74 313 78 322 73 328 73 317 51808 49371 76 301 71 305 75 309 72 325 69 320 49371 47190 64 305 62 304 66 311 70 322 71 326 47190 45211 58 316 54 314 65 316 66 319 71 321 45211 43424 63 326 59 331 60 316 60 314 62 316 43424 41811 68 328 63 329 50 318 53 312 54 314 41811 40323 64 322 58 322 45 317 52 315 51 322 40323 38925 54 317 51 318 44 317 54 320 50 331 38925 37612 53 327 46 323 44 318 54 321 51 336 37612 36359 52 335 44 328 45 319 51 323 53 339 36359 35107 50 339 45 335 46 318 48 331 55 341 35107 33834 49 339 46 338 45 317 49 341 56 342 33834 32547 48 335 47 338 47 319 55 346 56 345 32547 31238 48 335 47 332 50 326 57 348 57 350 31238 29902 48 336 46 327 53 334 57 349 61 352 29902 28544 47 336 47 326 55 340 58 348 66 352 28544 27169 45 334 49 328 57 341 57 344 67 351 27169 25779 44 333 53 332 60 340 57 341 64 350 25779 24381 46 334 56 335 62 340 56 341 60 351 24381 22972 48 338 58 338 61 343 58 343 57 352 22972 21549 51 341 58 342 59 344 59 346 53 350 21549 20135 49 342 53 343 54 343 57 347 48 345 20135 18792 45 342 47 342 49 339 53 345 43 342 18792 17577 40 340 44 339 45 336 49 344 41 342 17577 16490 37 338 42 339 41 337 45 345 39 344 16490 15509 34 337 40 340 38 339 42 348 36 347 15509 14616 32 338 38 343 34 343 37 351 33 351 14616 13800 31 340 35 346 30 347 33 354 31 356 13800 13053 30 343 31 349 26 349 29 357 29 001 13053 12371 29 347 26 351 24*350 26 359 27 007 12371 11749 28 351 21 352 21*350 22 359 25 012 11749 11173 27 355 18 351 20 350 19 360 23 017 11173 10649 26 360 14 348 19 350 15 359 21 021 10649 10200 25 003 11 346 18 350 13 357 19 021 10200 9847 22 003 10 345 17 350 12 357 17 018 9847 9600 17 001 9 344 15 350 10 357 14 013 9600 9449 13*359 8*344 14 350 9*357 11*010 9449 9361 7*356 6*343 10 350 6*357 6*006 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography