DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.6 - - 31.6 - - 27.9 - - 26.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 33 - - -10 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1908 - - 2568 - - 1339 - - 1436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 121 - - 20 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 278 - - 308 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - -12 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -399 - - -139 - - 0 - - -477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9760 - - 9500 - - 9361 - - 9838 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4917 - - -2989 - - -4633 - - -6988 ODpotential blCL - - - 14278 - - 12350 - - 13994 - - 16349 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 78 - - 80 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.6 - - 31.6 - - 27.9 - - 26.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.0 - - 22.9 - - 21.3 - - 16.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 30.5 - - 29.2 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 21.8 - - 20.2 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 33 - - -10 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 11 - - 21 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96217 33 270 23 257 27 251 31 264 96217 89045 17 242 22 275 19 289 19 276 89045 83596 10 264 18 279 21 301 11 331 83596 79071 17 266 18 305 18 300 17 318 79071 75149 12 265 17 282 17 307 19 298 75149 71689 11 272 11 266 14 300 19 286 71689 68554 13 252 16 271 16 283 20 282 68554 65654 16 267 22 277 26 276 30 273 65654 62949 36 277 32 275 34 264 36 264 62949 60318 41 267 39 272 41 269 43 263 60318 57552 50 258 51 262 48 269 49 262 57552 54649 61 256 62 256 57 268 56 261 54649 51853 70 259 69 258 64 267 62 261 51853 49332 74 259 72 260 75 262 68 259 49332 47092 72 259 72 260 77 255 71 256 47092 45087 70 261 73 264 73 257 69 260 45087 43270 79 265 83 267 82 263 81 265 43270 41602 103 261 103 260 103 260 97 257 41602 40061 119 255 115 257 110 256 105 256 40061 38630 123 254 114 255 106 257 105 254 38630 37302 120 256 107 254 95 259 92 257 37302 36042 110 255 101 263 86 262 89 257 36042 34791 111 265 102 269 87 266 86 256 34791 33521 110 268 96 266 85 266 76 259 33521 32238 104 264 93 261 82 265 74 262 32238 30931 101 261 93 258 87 268 74 262 30931 29597 94 264 92 257 89 268 78 261 29597 28244 78 265 90 260 86 264 77 259 28244 26877 64 266 81 265 83 261 69 260 26877 25503 57 266 67 268 75 265 62 261 25503 24126 52 264 56 266 63 270 55 265 24126 22742 49 263 50 262 53 269 48 270 22742 21344 47 265 46 261 47 266 43 270 21344 19955 44 269 42 264 43 265 40 267 19955 18639 40 273 38 269 39 267 36 266 18639 17448 36 276 33 271 35 269 33 268 17448 16384 31 279 29 270 31 269 29 270 16384 15422 27 280 25 270 27 267 26 269 15422 14545 21 278 22 271 24 266 23 268 14545 13743 17 275 19 273 20 267 20 267 13743 13008 13 272 15 275 16 269 16 267 13008 12337 11 272 12 274 13 271 13 267 12337 11724 9 274 10 275 10 273 11 266 11724 11156 8 275 9 279 8 274 8 262 11156 10637 6 277 9 283 7 279 7 257 10637 10193 5 279 8 283 7 286 6 253 10193 9843 4 278 8 282 6 294 4 255 9843 9599 3 271 7 281 5 302 3 262 9599 9448 3*266 6*279 4*308 2 275 9448 9361 2*261 5*278 3*308 1*302 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography