DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.3 - - 22.6 - - 16.5 - - 11.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 152 - - -3 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1186 - - 561 - - 560 - - 560 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9167 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9343 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9986 - - 9361 - - 9360 - - 9360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2164 - - 5348 - - 1290 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 194 - - 42 - - 36 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 026 - - 023 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -52 - - -26 - - -41 - - -54 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1563 - - -2740 - - -2239 - - -2360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11550 - - 12102 - - 11600 - - 11721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4868 - - -4769 - - -6541 - - -9100 ODpotential blCL - - - 14854 - - 14130 - - 15901 - - 18460 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 51 - - 41 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.3 - - 22.6 - - 16.5 - - 11.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.0 - - 2.9 - - -0.6 - - -5.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.5 - - 20.7 - - 16.0 - - 13.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.0 - - 1.9 - - -1.5 - - -5.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 152 - - -3 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1186 - - 561 - - 560 - - 560 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96371 47 267 52 257 63 263 65 267 96371 89225 35 257 35 266 37 277 38 281 89225 83774 28 260 26 279 28 282 29 283 83774 79217 22 259 17 281 19 276 23 283 79217 75261 20 244 20 283 12 269 13 288 75261 71735 20 232 26 259 20 266 13 272 71735 68513 21 233 32 250 27 256 19 251 68513 65530 21 242 34 238 27 258 24 242 65530 62740 23 251 26 236 24 248 23 237 62740 60013 24 263 22 242 24 253 23 245 60013 57162 27 266 27 259 29 255 25 268 57162 54201 29 262 32 249 30 251 27 275 54201 51379 26 252 26 247 25 262 28 277 51379 48853 27 262 23 265 20 269 24 251 48853 46580 36 263 23 283 16 285 21 290 46580 44517 32 277 31 287 25 300 29 303 44517 42648 29 284 34 276 36 297 22 294 42648 40924 25 293 26 288 28 290 15 290 40924 39313 21 303 26 307 29 322 31 331 39313 37821 20 303 22 315 21 331 40 343 37821 36460 21 300 23 335 24 341 39 354 36460 35196 17 317 24 352 27 341 42 008 35196 33961 19 346 31 358 31 353 48 013 33961 32727 26 001 36 005 42 005 52 014 32727 31491 34 008 41 013 52 012 53 015 31491 30240 33 359 46 019 56 017 54 017 30240 28965 26 334 47 021 58 020 53 019 28965 27670 23 331 43 021 59 022 52 021 27670 26359 14 327 35 015 57 022 51 023 26359 25036 7 263 29 001 53 021 50 024 25036 23707 8 257 25 333 50 020 48 026 23707 22369 9 272 19 298 46 021 45 027 22369 21016 7 275 18 287 41 022 42 029 21016 19670 5 317 21 290 35 021 40 031 19670 18392 8 347 18 305 29 019 37 035 18392 17236 11 342 15 315 24 018 36 038 17236 16200 11 327 12 316 20 019 35 041 16200 15263 9 312 9 306 17 022 35 044 15263 14408 6 297 5 295 16 028 35 045 14408 13626 3 285 3 308 17 032 35 046 13626 12908 1 347 3 003 19 034 35 046 12908 12253 4 038 7 027 22 034 36 045 12253 11654 8 039 10 027 24 033 36 044 11654 11101 12 036 13 027 26 030 35 041 11101 10596 15 033 14 026 27 028 34 037 10596 10165 16*030 14 025 26 026 31 034 10165 9827 16*029 14 025 25 024 27 031 9827 9589 15 028 13 025 22 023 22 030 9589 9444 14 028 12*026 18 023 18*030 9444 9360 9 028 9*026 11*023 10*030 9360 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography