DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.5 - - 43.8 - - 45.6 - - 37.2 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -97 - - 76 - - 110 - - -19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 55 - - 1322 - - 2175 - - 417 - - 959 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 155 - - 173 - - 17 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 342 - - 011 - - 021 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -50 - - -28 - - -28 - - -26 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8252 - - -6319 - - -4108 - - -2718 - - -3947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17615 - - 15682 - - 13470 - - 12081 - - 13310 sfcLCL ODpotential -17358 - - -11955 - - -8811 - - -9198 - - -10850 ODpotential blCL 26720 - - 21317 - - 18173 - - 18560 - - 20212 blCL maxRH 97 - - 56 - - 58 - - 46 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.5 - - 43.8 - - 45.6 - - 37.2 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -11.2 - - 8.4 - - 19.5 - - 17.5 - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.2 - - 42.5 - - 43.9 - - 39.5 - - 42.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -12.1 - - 7.3 - - 18.9 - - 17.0 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -97 - - 76 - - 110 - - -19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96169 27 340 22 338 21 332 15 339 17 344 96169 89208 20 312 16 328 21 349 13 347 21 327 89208 83835 13 340 14 336 15 311 19 338 18 343 83835 79334 15 350 12 350 9 305 20 305 23 329 79334 75399 12 344 8 331 10 320 22 294 25 316 75399 71890 14 320 13 287 14 301 21 292 25 305 71890 68710 15 302 17 281 18 294 25 308 29 305 68710 65825 14 288 18 268 24 281 25 308 34 310 65825 63193 19 312 19 305 27 294 25 317 30 299 63193 60646 31 308 34 316 28 293 28 293 23 276 60646 57949 37 303 35 311 25 293 28 302 25 294 57949 55130 35 305 30 310 52 321 47 318 43 304 55130 52439 32 305 52 311 68 309 63 308 60 306 52439 50008 39 317 55 310 63 298 69 299 71 304 50008 47808 54 319 51 316 51 306 67 303 74 302 47808 45787 57 315 62 330 61 322 70 306 67 306 45787 43925 51 311 79 329 84 327 78 322 81 330 43925 42208 45 316 78 324 92 325 88 329 100 327 42208 40619 46 335 57 320 72 324 77 322 81 324 40619 39145 60 350 36 311 46 335 57 316 60 324 39145 37778 76 355 62 351 62 352 51 323 58 338 37778 36485 99 358 95 351 76 347 55 335 72 346 36485 35214 115 356 102 349 80 344 63 340 74 343 35214 33934 110 360 101 348 79 345 69 340 65 340 33934 32643 68 359 91 349 76 347 65 339 56 330 32643 31326 37 326 69 349 69 347 57 333 55 318 31326 29979 28 307 53 343 63 343 57 324 56 317 29979 28613 28 302 47 334 59 336 57 322 53 322 28613 27232 28 310 45 333 57 329 56 326 46 323 27232 25841 27 316 40 335 60 326 56 334 40 321 25841 24444 25 325 35 334 60 328 50 334 43 327 24444 23036 24 332 34 336 52 332 39 325 50 334 23036 21613 25 336 35 342 39 331 29 319 53 336 21613 20198 27 339 36 346 30 326 26 319 47 332 20198 18855 28 341 34 348 27 327 26 319 39 326 18855 17640 28 340 30 350 26 332 26 320 36 319 17640 16553 28 340 27 353 27 339 25 322 31 319 16553 15572 27 339 26 355 26 348 23 326 26 326 15572 14678 26 337 26 356 25 356 22 333 22 336 14678 13858 26 338 25 356 24 003 19 341 17 344 13858 13105 25 339 25 356 23 008 18 354 12 347 13105 12418 25 341 24 356 22 011 17 008 11 351 12418 11789 25 344 24 357 21 013 18 020 9 355 11789 11205 24 347 23 358 20 014 19 029 7 360 11205 10673 24 350 22 357 18 013 18 035 5 004 10673 10216 23 353 19 355 16 012 15 036 4 012 10216 9857 21 354 16 349 13 011 13 033 4 020 9857 9606 18 352 13 345 10 010 10 030 4 012 9606 9451 14*352 11*343 9*010 8*026 4*009 9451 9362 8*349 7*342 7*011 4*021 3*360 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography