DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2220z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 64.2 - - 62.2 - - 60.9 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 102 - - 364 - - 54 - - -11 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 682 - - 682 - - 682 - - 682 - - 682 BL Depth Hcrit 9465 - - 9110 - - 9465 - - 9465 - - 9465 Hcrit BL Top 9482 - - 9482 - - 9482 - - 9482 - - 9482 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3712 - - 6726 - - 6005 - - 5244 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* 181 - - 275 - - 146 - - 41 - - 29 W* B/S 17 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 263 - - 317 - - 028 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 8 - - -17 - - -20 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2481 - - -2923 - - -2717 - - -2625 - - -308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11963 - - 12405 - - 12200 - - 12108 - - 9791 sfcLCL ODpotential -5463 - - -4718 - - -5365 - - -5566 - - -4398 ODpotential blCL 14945 - - 14200 - - 14847 - - 15048 - - 13880 blCL maxRH 95 - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 470 - - 390 - - 320 - - 490 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 64.2 - - 62.2 - - 60.9 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.7 - - 42.3 - - 41.4 - - 40.6 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 61.3 - - 61.3 - - 60.6 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 41.8 - - 40.9 - - 40.3 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 102 - - 364 - - 54 - - -11 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 682 - - 682 - - 682 - - 682 - - 682 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 87 - - 100 - - 94 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99823 36 095 32 097 27 102 24 095 25 089 99823 94010 29 098 33 099 26 106 25 094 25 096 94010 89210 26 093 28 090 25 101 24 083 24 092 89210 85060 23 084 20 085 23 097 18 078 20 087 85060 81394 20 082 17 091 19 095 17 090 19 085 81394 78105 16 093 18 100 15 092 18 099 18 088 78105 75092 13 105 17 099 13 089 14 093 16 088 75092 72288 12 115 14 096 11 089 9 091 12 083 72288 69664 11 124 8 096 8 102 6 106 7 069 69664 67115 8 128 5 117 6 115 5 127 2 081 67115 64462 2 150 2 160 3 115 3 129 4 146 64462 61713 5 263 5 263 4 317 1 003 3 151 61713 59094 8 254 11 262 10 300 5 322 4 282 59094 56752 11 240 14 246 15 279 9 296 7 281 56752 54667 15 238 17 234 19 259 16 271 12 277 54667 52782 18 240 19 231 23 244 23 254 17 274 52782 51055 22 244 21 233 26 236 27 245 22 265 51055 49458 27 247 24 238 28 235 29 245 25 256 49458 47970 32 246 27 242 30 237 30 248 27 250 47970 46574 35 243 30 243 32 241 32 251 29 249 46574 45257 38 239 33 241 34 244 34 252 31 252 45257 43981 40 236 34 237 35 245 36 250 33 253 43981 42681 40 237 35 234 35 243 36 244 36 252 42681 41329 40 240 36 235 36 242 36 239 38 248 41329 39926 38 244 37 239 37 242 37 238 39 244 39926 38455 34 248 36 243 37 243 38 240 40 243 38455 36906 29 249 31 243 35 243 40 243 40 247 36906 35281 23 249 24 240 32 240 38 246 33 249 35281 33591 19 242 18 237 26 232 33 249 24 250 33591 31837 16 220 15 235 19 221 26 248 14 248 31837 30012 14 200 17 226 15 219 18 243 9 231 30012 28102 8 188 14 218 11 231 9 242 4 149 28102 26102 4 110 5 182 3 208 1 105 8 096 26102 24053 6 066 6 082 10 089 6 086 12 055 24053 22077 9 066 11 068 14 087 7 083 16 041 22077 20277 10 067 13 067 15 086 10 064 17 026 20277 18677 12 058 15 062 15 078 12 049 18 016 18677 17255 13 050 17 053 16 068 14 043 17 012 17255 15990 13 048 17 043 15 059 15 041 16 012 15990 14866 13 048 14 031 14 049 15 040 14 017 14866 13869 12 047 11 017 12 038 15 037 13 026 13869 12990 12 041 8 352 12 032 15 035 13 037 12990 12214 11 033 7 315 10 024 15 034 13 049 12214 11520 10 023 7 297 8 011 15 033 14 058 11520 10908 9 011 7 285 7 351 15 032 13 064 10908 10398 7 002 7 276 7 333 14 032 12 063 10398 10007 4 349 7 271 8 323 12 032 10 056 10007 9738 3 334 7 268 7 318 11 031 8 042 9738 9575 2*328 7*265 7*317 9*030 7*029 9575 9482 2*321 6*263 5*317 6*028 5*024 9482 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography