DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.9 - - 39.9 - - 43.3 - - 37.7 - - 27.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -64 - - 106 - - 167 - - 1 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 73 - - 2390 - - 4107 - - 2457 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 171 - - 199 - - 39 - - 24 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 322 - - 342 - - 351 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -36 - - -13 - - -31 - - -31 - - -48 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5044 - - -5954 - - -6017 - - -4614 - - -4061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14406 - - 15317 - - 15380 - - 13976 - - 13423 sfcLCL ODpotential -12122 - - -10056 - - -8965 - - -8385 - - -10529 ODpotential blCL 21484 - - 19418 - - 18327 - - 17747 - - 19890 blCL maxRH 85 - - 84 - - 87 - - 81 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.9 - - 39.9 - - 43.3 - - 37.7 - - 27.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.1 - - 6.1 - - 8.9 - - 9.7 - - 2.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.4 - - 38.4 - - 41.1 - - 37.2 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.2 - - 5.1 - - 8.3 - - 9.4 - - 2.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -64 - - 106 - - 167 - - 1 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 36 - - 48 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95980 51 262 60 272 59 275 39 286 41 277 95980 88895 28 270 41 269 41 276 32 295 29 295 88895 83468 25 280 25 280 30 283 27 281 24 308 83468 78961 26 278 19 295 24 283 21 278 25 300 78961 75065 24 294 17 286 22 284 22 289 27 307 75065 71598 25 302 13 278 20 280 26 280 28 302 71598 68438 25 299 12 294 14 281 22 286 24 286 68438 65530 30 286 22 290 18 284 27 301 23 295 65530 62840 32 281 27 278 29 279 30 295 32 294 62840 60234 35 287 36 285 35 284 35 281 38 282 60234 57505 45 287 45 291 43 285 41 274 45 274 57505 54660 52 283 53 287 51 283 51 278 51 278 54660 51928 60 282 59 281 57 282 56 279 56 276 51928 49451 66 278 61 278 60 283 58 278 58 273 49451 47212 65 272 61 276 63 280 63 277 62 271 47212 45169 60 269 62 276 64 277 66 277 65 272 45169 43294 56 271 63 275 65 275 67 279 62 277 43294 41566 54 272 60 275 66 272 69 282 62 284 41566 39970 55 267 56 269 63 269 72 284 69 289 39970 38499 52 260 49 258 56 270 76 280 74 290 38499 37146 46 256 46 254 47 279 74 276 69 288 37146 35873 46 254 44 259 44 286 64 273 59 292 35873 34620 50 253 46 266 46 280 53 275 57 293 34620 33362 51 252 43 266 51 275 47 280 49 287 33362 32099 47 249 37 264 51 273 46 285 34 283 32099 30819 45 240 39 252 41 276 46 286 32 299 30819 29517 41 238 29 248 30 287 43 285 33 316 29517 28196 36 238 27 254 30 286 37 287 31 331 28196 26858 33 234 28 257 27 282 31 288 32 343 26858 25508 30 237 28 265 28 279 27 286 34 348 25508 24148 26 245 28 270 30 274 28 286 33 349 24148 22777 21 255 26 269 31 270 29 289 32 353 22777 21387 17 266 24 267 29 269 29 291 32 351 21387 20003 16 285 22 271 24 273 27 293 32 344 20003 18690 16 298 20 276 22 281 26 297 31 337 18690 17499 15 304 18 282 22 288 27 304 31 333 17499 16433 15 306 16 287 22 293 27 312 29 334 16433 15468 14 307 15 291 22 298 27 318 28 336 15468 14588 14 307 15 294 22 305 26 323 28 341 14588 13780 14 307 15 298 21 313 25 330 28 347 13780 13039 14 306 15 302 19 322 24 338 28 352 13039 12363 14 307 15 307 18 330 23 345 29 358 12363 11743 15 307 15 312 18 335 22 349 29 002 11743 11170 15 309 14 319 18 339 21 352 30 006 11170 10647 16 312 13 323 17 341 20 354 30 010 10647 10198 16 317 11 324 16 342 19 355 28 012 10198 9846 15 323 10 324 16 342 17 354 26 011 9846 9600 13 330 9 324 14 343 14 353 21 008 9600 9449 10*333 7*324 12*343 11*352 16*005 9449 9361 7*338 5*322 8*342 7*351 9*003 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography