DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 47.3 - - 49.8 - - 44.1 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 144 - - 117 - - -8 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1045 - - 2521 - - 3083 - - 1572 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 191 - - 178 - - 0 - - 32 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 179 - - 220 - - 268 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 13 - - 16 - - -2 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3805 - - -4562 - - -5047 - - -4359 - - -4171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13168 - - 13924 - - 14410 - - 13723 - - 13534 sfcLCL ODpotential -13147 - - -11567 - - -11538 - - -12236 - - -13827 ODpotential blCL 22509 - - 20929 - - 20901 - - 21599 - - 23189 blCL maxRH 69 - - 66 - - 82 - - 76 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 47.3 - - 49.8 - - 44.1 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.3 - - 19.3 - - 19.6 - - 17.2 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 45.1 - - 47.8 - - 45.8 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.3 - - 18.2 - - 18.6 - - 16.3 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 144 - - 117 - - -8 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96125 34 277 37 270 36 280 35 276 41 275 96125 89174 21 283 24 270 24 291 26 298 17 291 89174 83792 12 298 15 276 17 291 20 302 16 330 83792 79296 9 340 9 327 6 274 13 296 17 351 79296 75406 11 354 6 307 5 301 11 267 20 353 75406 71946 11 347 3 028 4 318 6 294 16 327 71946 68820 9 335 7 342 8 284 14 329 10 324 68820 65944 11 300 9 354 5 342 10 302 13 330 65944 63273 15 248 12 272 11 273 13 269 18 280 63273 60711 9 294 13 282 9 343 9 315 13 281 60711 58049 33 270 31 261 32 275 24 279 24 274 58049 55278 40 262 40 259 37 258 34 272 32 270 55278 52615 45 259 38 265 35 262 38 260 39 259 52615 50206 43 262 40 265 42 255 44 253 41 255 50206 48048 46 264 49 259 47 258 49 254 39 260 48048 46091 53 260 60 257 58 259 54 254 46 266 46091 44302 56 256 63 250 66 253 57 250 55 262 44302 42650 56 255 62 241 62 248 55 246 59 258 42650 41107 55 253 58 239 61 249 52 245 55 254 41107 39655 54 253 56 242 62 250 53 249 51 251 39655 38295 52 253 55 246 61 250 55 251 49 250 38295 37001 50 254 55 250 60 247 58 249 48 252 37001 35712 49 254 53 250 60 245 60 246 46 253 35712 34404 47 255 51 246 60 240 61 245 45 252 34404 33082 42 255 49 243 56 237 59 246 48 252 33082 31739 40 250 48 242 52 238 56 247 51 251 31739 30367 40 243 45 241 50 241 55 248 52 250 30367 28973 42 244 43 241 49 243 54 248 52 250 28973 27564 46 245 43 246 49 244 52 247 50 249 27564 26143 49 246 45 249 47 244 49 244 47 248 26143 24714 50 249 47 247 46 245 44 243 43 247 24714 23275 46 251 45 242 44 245 40 244 40 245 23275 21820 39 248 41 237 41 241 37 247 36 245 21820 20373 32 246 35 235 35 237 34 249 33 248 20373 19001 28 249 30 237 31 236 31 251 30 254 19001 17760 25 254 27 242 28 238 28 251 27 261 17760 16651 22 261 24 246 25 242 25 252 25 268 16651 15649 20 267 21 250 22 245 22 255 23 271 15649 14738 18 270 17 253 20 250 20 258 21 274 14738 13902 16 271 14 259 16 256 17 262 19 276 13902 13139 13 272 11 265 11 263 13 264 18 277 13139 12442 10 273 9 268 8 271 9 265 17 277 12442 11806 8 273 7 265 6 274 8 268 17 277 11806 11217 6 268 5 258 6 265 6 272 17 278 11217 10681 5 255 3 241 5 244 8 275 16 280 10681 10221 3 242 2 209 6 237 8 274 15 286 10221 9860 2 239 3 190 6 230 8 273 13 295 9860 9607 2 259 3 184 6 224 7 269 10 307 9607 9452 1*268 3*180 5*223 5*268 8*319 9452 9362 2*325 3*179 5*220 4*268 5*328 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography