DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 56.5 - - 54.9 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 148 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5114 - - 6184 - - 5116 - - 2849 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 201 - - 198 - - 77 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 238 - - 239 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -347 - - -1151 - - -1046 - - -525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9710 - - 10515 - - 10410 - - 9889 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2262 - - -3070 - - -3588 - - -5410 ODpotential blCL - - - 11625 - - 12433 - - 12951 - - 14773 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 76 - - 80 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 410 - - 240 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 56.5 - - 54.9 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 42.6 - - 41.5 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 54.5 - - 54.5 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 41.5 - - 40.4 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 148 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 4 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98492 13 195 12 195 7 298 6 124 98492 91079 9 118 12 152 9 188 3 024 91079 85375 14 084 9 108 9 137 1 067 85375 80653 6 129 7 055 9 080 3 092 80653 76586 4 174 4 035 5 058 9 054 76586 72998 4 195 2 130 2 177 6 347 72998 69766 6 172 1 148 1 266 3 295 69766 66802 4 134 4 220 5 335 4 323 66802 64064 1 146 3 251 11 320 5 317 64064 61409 10 264 10 245 14 286 16 315 61409 58630 16 270 17 253 25 256 26 276 58630 55762 26 270 24 259 33 260 34 273 55762 53036 36 259 33 259 38 269 41 274 53036 50588 38 261 37 263 41 272 47 270 50588 48401 40 270 41 271 47 277 51 272 48401 46420 42 277 47 276 58 279 60 277 46420 44601 46 276 52 277 67 277 75 279 44601 42914 45 272 52 275 71 277 87 276 42914 41342 41 270 52 274 71 278 82 278 41342 39874 44 272 56 273 70 280 77 281 39874 38503 47 270 60 271 67 280 82 281 38503 37199 47 270 59 269 51 276 85 279 37199 35898 46 271 55 269 49 276 81 282 35898 34577 46 272 49 272 52 277 72 288 34577 33245 44 273 43 273 48 275 56 281 33245 31893 41 274 38 273 41 273 51 271 31893 30512 38 272 35 272 38 271 48 272 30512 29111 36 269 35 271 35 270 39 273 29111 27695 32 268 35 274 32 274 30 270 27695 26268 27 271 33 278 29 281 24 275 26268 24835 22 273 27 277 26 285 19 288 24835 23391 20 276 22 272 22 286 17 294 23391 21931 19 282 20 277 18 280 14 290 21931 20479 15 284 15 285 15 278 12 283 20479 19100 11 280 10 287 13 276 10 276 19100 17852 8 274 5 299 8 269 8 276 17852 16737 7 278 3 333 2 229 4 248 16737 15730 5 288 3 331 1 160 4 185 15730 14812 4 306 4 314 1 215 5 164 14812 13970 5 321 4 300 2 256 5 163 13970 13199 6 321 5 279 3 267 4 189 13199 12495 6 318 6 266 4 263 4 231 12495 11850 6 311 6 260 5 256 5 248 11850 11253 5 299 7 254 5 251 5 245 11253 10707 5 280 7 250 5 249 5 242 10707 10239 4 269 7 248 5 246 5 237 10239 9871 4 260 7 245 5 244 4 239 9871 9613 4 252 6 243 5 242 3 252 9613 9455 4*252 6*240 4*241 2*280 9455 9363 4*246 5*238 3*239 2*323 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography