DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 35.5 - - 29.6 - - 26.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 180 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1925 - - 2984 - - 1185 - - 573 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 203 - - 0 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 10 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 252 - - 355 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 11 - - -4 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7621 - - -5873 - - -3649 - - -4832 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16984 - - 15235 - - 13011 - - 14194 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13575 - - -11120 - - -10411 - - -13109 ODpotential blCL - - - 22937 - - 20481 - - 19772 - - 22470 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 31 - - 32 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 35.5 - - 29.6 - - 26.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -7.5 - - 2.1 - - 6.3 - - -1.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.1 - - 33.2 - - 30.8 - - 30.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -8.4 - - 1.6 - - 5.7 - - -2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 180 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96194 20 035 24 031 34 015 27 351 96194 89106 19 003 17 016 17 355 22 352 89106 83600 12 317 16 337 23 343 28 356 83600 79008 14 327 22 327 24 336 33 347 79008 75057 11 311 21 319 19 323 31 330 75057 71561 18 336 21 311 19 317 29 319 71561 68380 25 334 23 315 23 325 29 318 68380 65449 26 313 24 308 28 320 31 319 65449 62741 25 297 25 300 29 307 31 316 62741 60120 25 293 28 298 29 302 30 307 60120 57380 29 291 31 299 30 302 31 296 57380 54526 33 289 34 293 33 301 33 292 54526 51801 36 285 35 287 39 298 34 297 51801 49355 38 285 38 292 41 295 36 304 49355 47180 43 287 39 292 40 289 41 301 47180 45223 47 287 40 292 39 289 43 293 45223 43441 49 283 47 294 44 300 41 290 43441 41800 47 280 50 289 52 298 42 292 41800 40275 45 280 45 284 55 291 48 296 40275 38849 44 282 43 288 51 286 51 295 38849 37519 46 286 44 289 46 286 46 293 37519 36253 49 288 45 292 34 304 33 301 36253 34994 47 291 46 297 36 331 26 317 34994 33721 42 294 46 301 38 330 22 313 33721 32439 32 294 43 306 30 324 12 351 32439 31140 19 308 34 311 19 339 30 050 31140 29815 18 347 27 325 22 358 40 056 29815 28470 24 359 26 340 25 006 42 060 28470 27107 26 359 26 348 25 013 44 062 27107 25733 22 348 26 354 23 016 45 063 25733 24351 20 323 28 360 22 014 43 063 24351 22958 21 313 30 004 25 013 43 061 22958 21546 22 316 28 005 29 014 43 059 21546 20136 19 322 23 356 30 015 37 060 20136 18793 16 328 20 340 29 015 28 059 18793 17576 13 332 20 335 26 015 22 050 17576 16488 12 332 20 338 23 012 20 036 16488 15506 11 332 18 343 21 008 19 027 15506 14611 10 332 17 348 19 007 16 022 14611 13795 10 334 15 352 19 009 13 021 13795 13047 9 337 13 354 18 013 11 021 13047 12366 8 342 12 350 17 016 9 022 12366 11744 7 348 9 338 14 017 8 025 11744 11169 5 352 7 319 12 014 7 029 11169 10645 4 352 5 297 9 007 6 032 10645 10197 2 343 5 281 7 001 6 031 10197 9845 0 268 5 268 5 357 5 028 9845 9599 1 198 4 261 3 351 5 026 9599 9449 1*191 4*256 2*351 4*025 9449 9361 1*186 4*252 2*355 4*021 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography