DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.3 - - 73.5 - - 72.3 - - - - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 154 - - 483 - - 127 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 6050 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 13333 - - 9347 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 14850 - - 9364 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1879 - - 3793 - - 9604 - - - - - 8506 Hgt.Variab. W* 193 - - 621 - - 186 - - - - - 36 W* B/S 6 - - 83 - - 9 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 321 - - 251 - - - - - 054 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 57 - - 6 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2786 - - 179 - - -4573 - - - - - -4833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12151 - - 14672 - - 13938 - - - - - 14197 sfcLCL ODpotential -6595 - - -1451 - - -6481 - - - - - -7253 ODpotential blCL 15959 - - 16301 - - 15845 - - - - - 16617 blCL maxRH 80 - - 78 - - 99 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 350 - - 510 - - - - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 63.3 - - 73.5 - - 72.3 - - - - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.4 - - 41.3 - - 43.4 - - - - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 69.5 - - 70.2 - - - - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 41.0 - - 42.2 - - - - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 154 - - 483 - - 127 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 6050 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 12 - - 98 - - - - - 104 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99322 50 108 48 101 47 110 36 082 99322 91731 45 101 40 100 36 100 40 100 91731 85957 38 099 37 101 32 097 40 103 85957 81246 33 108 38 101 34 104 36 099 81246 77191 29 109 33 102 31 103 25 099 77191 73576 24 090 23 100 23 103 23 097 73576 70292 19 083 16 096 20 094 29 090 70292 67301 21 110 17 127 16 093 28 086 67301 64577 25 120 25 137 18 126 18 094 64577 61973 19 110 29 127 26 137 14 125 61973 59265 12 111 23 118 23 138 13 118 59265 56456 17 163 14 140 16 139 12 114 56456 53783 23 158 18 169 17 140 14 135 53783 51379 23 149 22 165 19 140 18 150 51379 49217 22 153 22 159 19 145 23 148 49217 47238 23 159 23 160 19 158 24 148 47238 45404 24 157 26 161 22 171 23 143 45404 43691 18 161 27 160 23 174 18 135 43691 42084 14 171 21 154 21 175 10 141 42084 40574 9 154 14 137 16 159 8 141 40574 39160 7 149 11 120 15 137 9 148 39160 37814 8 159 5 113 12 116 6 154 37814 36476 11 146 3 159 10 105 1 095 36476 35119 11 132 5 177 7 102 3 356 35119 33750 9 118 7 165 1 194 8 347 33750 32361 11 075 5 138 4 276 12 351 32361 30947 11 044 6 051 6 344 14 352 30947 29514 10 022 12 018 14 352 12 009 29514 28067 8 001 15 020 13 008 12 028 28067 26616 9 354 13 026 13 019 14 062 26616 25164 9 355 14 037 15 028 12 050 25164 23702 9 060 16 043 18 038 13 023 23702 22221 15 084 16 054 19 038 9 014 22221 20744 18 081 18 062 18 037 6 013 20744 19342 19 068 19 058 18 034 3 034 19342 18071 20 056 20 046 16 031 2 062 18071 16934 20 045 18 027 12 024 2 066 16934 15906 19 037 15 011 8 008 2 064 15906 14966 17 028 11*004 6 351 3 055 14966 14103 15 020 9*359 4 316 3 049 14103 13312 12 011 6 354 4 293 4 047 13312 12587 10 006 4 342 5 276 4 046 12587 11924 6 011 1 309 5 267 5 045 11924 11310 3 018 1 234 5 264 6 045 11310 10748 6 085 2 208 5 260 7 045 10748 10266 8 092 3 198 5 258 7 046 10266 9887 8 094 4 194 5 255 7 047 9887 9622 8 095 4 192 5 255 6 051 9622 9458 7*097 4 191 5*252 6*055 9458 9364 6*098 4 188 4*251 4*054 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography