DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 61.5 - - 63.6 - - 61.3 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 132 - - 491 - - 499 - - 181 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 8070 - - 8990 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 14993 - - 15758 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 16870 - - 17790 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6747 - - 2660 - - 2294 - - 9592 - - 3551 Hgt.Variab. W* 184 - - 692 - - 722 - - 205 - - 19 W* B/S 19 - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 15 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 290 - - 296 - - 285 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 9 - - -40 - - -12 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7886 - - -319 - - -259 - - -8426 - - -6333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17250 - - 17190 - - 18050 - - 17790 - - 15697 sfcLCL ODpotential -10933 - - -2862 - - -3261 - - -10920 - - -10388 ODpotential blCL 20296 - - 19732 - - 21051 - - 20283 - - 19751 blCL maxRH 47 - - 62 - - 48 - - 42 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 61.5 - - 63.6 - - 61.3 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.5 - - 18.4 - - 16.7 - - 15.7 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 57.7 - - 59.9 - - 59.1 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.6 - - 17.4 - - 15.6 - - 14.8 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 132 - - 491 - - 499 - - 181 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 8070 - - 8990 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98239 2 341 10 174 13 258 9 322 10 321 98239 90820 3 300 6 242 9 239 10 268 10 305 90820 85066 5 176 10 261 4 256 6 269 5 245 85066 80274 2 212 8 218 6 242 6 251 6 254 80274 76169 4 204 8 180 9 223 7 243 7 275 76169 72556 6 166 7 179 9 226 6 247 3 284 72556 69284 1 307 7 209 12 222 12 245 4 292 69284 66281 12 297 5 262 9 221 14 241 11 262 66281 63514 21 271 17 275 11 253 13 260 17 254 63514 60850 23 254 28 274 26 276 22 274 22 265 60850 58070 26 261 30 274 31 271 32 269 28 268 58070 55175 30 275 26 264 29 260 34 260 35 268 55175 52422 26 273 21 258 25 262 34 260 36 272 52422 49966 19 279 19 270 26 269 33 267 39 268 49966 47763 14 284 22 280 27 275 35 264 39 268 47763 45748 10 267 21 278 24 280 35 274 47 277 45748 43904 14 274 18 289 30 293 41 283 50 276 43904 42217 17 288 24 303 29 293 41 281 46 276 42217 40668 13 277 22 297 23 289 35 281 42 281 40668 39228 4 323 14 282 20 296 32 285 41 284 39228 37884 11 352 11 305 22 307 32 287 41 284 37884 36606 19 340 14 318 24 309 32 289 41 281 36606 35336 22 334 17 318 23 306 32 289 40 279 35336 34049 22 336 16 315 22 303 31 288 39 280 34049 32751 17 337 16 308 22 302 30 287 38 280 32751 31433 9 328 16 301 22 302 29 288 36 279 31433 30088 6 303 15 297 23 298 29 290 32 278 30088 28722 7 282 17 299 23 292 28 291 30 278 28722 27339 7 263 19 296 23 288 25 288 29 276 27339 25946 8 275 19 297 23 287 24 285 28 274 25946 24549 10 288 18 297 22 287 21 285 25 272 24549 23143 11 292 15 293 19 285 18 284 20 270 23143 21725 9 290 12 292 15 284 16 281 15 266 21725 20315 8 285 10 299 9 300 13 276 13 265 20315 18976 8 279 10 301 8*312 10 278 12 266 18976 17762 9 275 11*300 10*310 9 285 11 268 17762 16672 9 277 11*300 11 308 11 291 10 272 16672 15685 10 280 10 300 13 303 13 292 10 278 15685 14781 11 284 10 299 14 300 14 293 10 282 14781 13951 11 289 10 298 15 297 15 293 11 285 13951 13187 11 291 10 296 16 295 15 292 13 287 13187 12488 11 293 10 292 17 294 16 291 14 288 12488 11847 10 294 10 288 17 292 16 291 15 288 11847 11251 8 297 10 284 17 291 16 290 15 287 11251 10707 6 302 11 279 17 289 16 289 15 286 10707 10239 4 301 10 275 17 288 15 289 15 286 10239 9871 2 283 10 272 17 287 15 288 13 286 9871 9613 2 269 10 270 16 286 14 287 11 290 9613 9454 2*259 9 269 14 286 13*287 9*292 9454 9363 2*251 8 266 11 284 9*285 5*305 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography