DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.4 - - 40.9 - - 43.5 - - 39.6 - - 29.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -53 - - 180 - - 248 - - 11 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 8901 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 95 - - 5342 - - 7643 - - 5408 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 204 - - 226 - - 81 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 321 - - 313 - - 343 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -42 - - -12 - - -18 - - -23 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1054 - - -4527 - - -5578 - - -4858 - - -2428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10417 - - 13890 - - 14941 - - 14221 - - 11790 sfcLCL ODpotential -6372 - - -7126 - - -7563 - - -7961 - - -7466 ODpotential blCL 15734 - - 16488 - - 16925 - - 17323 - - 16827 blCL maxRH 68 - - 78 - - 69 - - 37 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.4 - - 40.9 - - 43.5 - - 39.6 - - 29.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.2 - - 13.1 - - 11.0 - - 10.4 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 38.6 - - 41.0 - - 38.9 - - 33.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 12.4 - - 10.6 - - 10.0 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -53 - - 180 - - 248 - - 11 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96472 8 180 2 205 10 288 7 269 3 247 96472 89382 8 066 9 140 5 225 8 356 5 072 89382 83913 6 039 10 141 10 187 8 340 4 116 83913 79357 4 342 8 115 10 156 2 290 7 308 79357 75416 6 327 2 156 3 164 4 255 5 305 75416 71912 2 346 5 311 2 326 2 328 2 053 71912 68733 2 215 8 276 8 324 2 019 2 185 68733 65822 3 255 14 257 14 299 7 299 6 286 65822 63130 8 311 17 260 21 277 17 269 14 309 63130 60526 20 295 17 255 22 271 21 271 19 281 60526 57820 22 257 17 256 22 261 27 271 23 270 57820 55004 20 264 23 263 24 264 30 255 30 279 55004 52278 29 264 28 268 28 266 26 244 35 269 52278 49788 30 239 30 270 27 262 20 258 30 251 49788 47530 23 229 33 246 33 259 24 272 26 246 47530 45464 26 246 30 239 38 248 31 261 21 250 45464 43571 42 244 41 239 40 247 29 252 18 261 43571 41827 41 233 43 233 40 245 27 258 20 270 41827 40210 37 232 37 232 39 234 31 253 21 285 40210 38707 40 236 36 235 37 230 30 249 22 277 38707 37319 46 229 38 243 44 243 33 255 23 268 37319 36025 51 233 46 246 59 246 46 249 27 265 36025 34756 63 240 61 248 74 241 57 239 28 268 34756 33480 71 242 77 244 81 238 61 233 27 273 33480 32200 74 243 78 241 79 239 59 232 26 273 32200 30908 74 239 68 238 72 233 55 235 23 273 30908 29596 70 236 60 235 71 230 53 238 19 275 29596 28270 63 235 59 234 65 240 46 246 20 289 28270 26929 56 234 61 235 55 252 35 258 23 299 26929 25574 52 231 53 240 42 264 29 272 23 299 25574 24210 47 233 39 244 31 264 26 279 21 297 24210 22832 41 236 31 245 23 262 20 278 19 295 22832 21436 36 240 25 251 18 269 13 275 18 294 21436 20045 30 248 23 262 16 280 10 279 15 293 20045 18725 25 258 20 271 15 287 10 292 12 293 18725 17531 21 270 16 278 12 295 11 302 10 292 17531 16461 19 282 13 286 9 308 11 314 10 292 16461 15493 17 293 12 294 8 322 10 329 10 296 15493 14610 16 302 12 300 8 325 11 337 10 304 14610 13799 16 309 11 307 9 325 11 340 10 314 13799 13056 16 313 11 314 10 324 12 341 12 322 13056 12377 17 316 10 319 10 322 13 341 13 328 12377 11755 17 318 10 323 11 321 13 342 15 331 11755 11179 18 320 10 324 11 320 13 343 16 334 11179 10655 18 324 10 325 11 318 13 343 17 338 10655 10204 17 329 9 325 11 317 13 344 16 341 10204 9850 17 334 8 325 10 315 12 344 15 341 9850 9602 15 338 7 323 10 314 11 344 13 342 9602 9449 12*339 6*323 9*313 10*344 10 341 9449 9361 8*338 5*321 7*313 6*343 6*341 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography