DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.7 - - 43.8 - - 45.1 - - 41.6 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 113 - - 114 - - -11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1670 - - 2947 - - 3851 - - 2210 - - 1215 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 181 - - 181 - - 32 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 147 - - 152 - - 095 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 13 - - 19 - - -5 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -572 - - -1242 - - -610 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9934 - - 10604 - - 9972 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -5400 - - -4603 - - -2909 - - -2718 - - -4431 ODpotential blCL 14762 - - 13965 - - 12271 - - 12080 - - 13793 blCL maxRH 69 - - 74 - - 86 - - 76 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.7 - - 43.8 - - 45.1 - - 41.6 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.1 - - 30.0 - - 34.0 - - 36.2 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.7 - - 42.0 - - 43.3 - - 42.5 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 28.9 - - 32.8 - - 35.2 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 113 - - 114 - - -11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 4 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96684 44 276 52 261 59 272 55 274 66 280 96684 89546 31 269 33 270 38 269 37 275 41 281 89546 84075 25 265 30 281 27 270 25 282 22 283 84075 79524 23 262 24 260 26 273 27 287 19 297 79524 75587 18 269 19 249 23 266 28 278 20 285 75587 72088 20 263 20 259 22 267 26 276 25 266 72088 68900 23 254 23 270 19 256 26 253 29 251 68900 65943 21 254 23 261 21 248 25 243 28 240 65943 63175 22 254 25 251 23 252 27 246 25 251 63175 60483 27 253 31 245 34 245 35 252 33 258 60483 57678 36 248 39 233 45 235 40 242 42 250 57678 54776 45 249 42 235 43 231 43 231 47 245 54776 52023 56 248 47 241 45 234 45 230 47 237 52023 49566 60 244 54 241 50 234 50 233 47 235 49566 47378 60 240 55 238 53 233 54 235 48 234 47378 45402 57 236 52 238 55 232 55 233 51 234 45402 43602 49 237 52 239 54 232 53 230 54 232 43602 41950 46 239 54 236 54 232 52 229 55 229 41950 40423 45 239 53 234 56 229 55 225 55 223 40423 39003 43 239 48 232 54 225 55 219 55 218 39003 37679 41 242 46 234 51 222 49 220 56 216 37679 36418 38 244 44 234 49 223 45 225 55 219 36418 35161 37 242 42 234 44 229 44 225 55 220 35161 33882 36 237 40 231 44 235 44 224 52 220 33882 32591 36 231 39 230 42 234 45 223 46 223 32591 31279 35 229 39 230 38 230 46 223 42 227 31279 29941 33 232 38 230 36 230 43 223 39 228 29941 28582 32 237 36 230 36 231 40 224 39 226 28582 27207 32 239 36 229 37 231 38 225 40 224 27207 25820 33 241 36 231 37 231 36 228 41 228 25820 24427 32 243 36 234 37 232 37 232 38 230 24427 23026 28 243 35 234 36 234 36 236 34 228 23026 21610 26 241 33 234 33 236 34 240 30 232 21610 20201 25 242 30 235 29 237 31 244 26 238 20201 18864 24 242 27 237 27 240 29 247 25 243 18864 17654 24 241 25 240 25 243 27 249 25 245 17654 16570 23 237 24 241 24 244 25 246 25 243 16570 15590 22 230 22 241 22 242 23 240 26 238 15590 14694 21 223 21 239 19 236 20 232 26 231 14694 13873 20 217 19 236 17 229 17 223 23 223 13873 13119 19 214 16 229 14 218 14 213 20 211 13119 12429 17 211 14 217 11 201 12 199 17 195 12429 11798 15 204 13 205 10 177 10 176 16 177 11798 11212 13 192 11 188 10 160 10 152 15 159 11212 10678 11 175 9 168 9 155 11 134 14 142 10678 10220 10 156 8 152 9 153 11 124 13 125 10220 9859 8 140 7 148 9 152 10 116 11 108 9859 9607 6 127 7 147 9 152 8 110 10 094 9607 9452 4*121 7*147 8*152 6*104 7*083 9452 9362 1*049 6*147 7*152 4*095 4*041 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography