DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1603z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 60.8 - - 62.0 - - 59.8 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 100 - - 451 - - 426 - - 84 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 7625 - - 8264 - - 515 - - 514 BL Depth Hcrit 9298 - - 14587 - - 15083 - - 9298 - - 9298 Hcrit BL Top 9315 - - 16425 - - 17064 - - 9315 - - 9314 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5846 - - 2001 - - 2262 - - 9538 - - 694 Hgt.Variab. W* 162 - - 657 - - 662 - - 153 - - 25 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 23 - - 27 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 276 - - 280 - - 285 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 19 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -27 - - -48 - - -52 - - -17 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3295 - - 2403 - - 2831 - - -4793 - - -2908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12610 - - 14023 - - 14234 - - 14109 - - 12223 sfcLCL ODpotential -5673 - - 1178 - - 988 - - -6646 - - -6310 ODpotential blCL 14988 - - 15247 - - 16076 - - 15961 - - 15624 blCL maxRH 75 - - 87 - - 84 - - 72 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 100 - - 130 - - 70 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 60.8 - - 62.0 - - 59.8 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 31.5 - - 31.7 - - 30.3 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 57.5 - - 58.9 - - 58.3 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.8 - - 31.3 - - 31.5 - - 30.2 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 100 - - 451 - - 426 - - 84 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 7625 - - 8264 - - 515 - - 514 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 47 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98278 5 244 1 106 10 171 7 237 5 219 98278 90840 6 243 6 246 5 186 9 216 7 260 90840 85097 6 270 6 203 11 237 7 242 5 276 85097 80350 6 307 2 099 8 218 9 232 5 309 80350 76277 2 323 4 248 4 180 10 226 4 290 76277 72692 6 326 7 269 5 285 4 228 6 288 72692 69461 8 292 7 280 11 263 3 319 3 283 69461 66501 12 301 14 289 16 271 12 302 10 296 66501 63771 12 250 18 249 18 251 16 281 12 277 63771 61138 14 272 16 249 20 261 24 284 23 294 61138 58397 24 284 25 270 29 261 31 268 30 277 58397 55552 33 282 33 268 34 260 35 259 34 266 55552 52831 41 277 39 266 41 264 41 261 40 268 52831 50379 48 272 46 267 50 269 48 265 47 267 50379 48177 56 271 54 270 59 271 56 266 53 263 48177 46173 65 272 63 271 69 271 63 267 59 265 46173 44331 75 273 71 271 76 268 71 267 67 265 44331 42629 82 272 75 270 79 267 75 266 71 263 42629 41045 85 270 76 270 78 266 73 264 68 261 41045 39570 84 268 75 270 73 268 67 264 62 262 39570 38197 81 266 74 271 69 269 63 265 57 264 38197 36898 77 267 72 272 66 269 60 266 53 266 36898 35614 72 268 70 272 64 269 60 265 51 266 35614 34315 68 268 68 271 62 270 59 263 50 266 34315 33003 64 266 66 270 60 271 57 264 49 268 33003 31668 62 266 63 270 58 272 55 266 49 271 31668 30303 61 266 61 269 55 273 54 270 48 273 30303 28916 58 266 59 269 52 275 53 273 48 274 28916 27509 56 266 57 270 50 277 49 277 48 275 27509 26090 52 266 54 271 48 278 44 280 45 275 26090 24665 48 268 50 271 47 278 40 283 42 275 24665 23231 45 271 44 269 46 279 37 286 38 274 23231 21787 39 270 38 267 41 279 37 285 35 272 21787 20354 32 268 33 268 36 278 35 282 35 274 20354 18997 30 266 33 269 33 278 32 280 36 279 18997 17769 29 260 34 269 33*278 31 280 36 282 17769 16669 29 254 34*270 32*278 31 281 36 284 16669 15672 27 254 32*271 32 279 30 282 35 285 15672 14761 25 260 29 273 29 280 28 284 33 286 14761 13924 23 270 26 276 28 281 27 285 32 288 13924 13155 23 279 23 278 27 281 26 286 30 289 13155 12452 23 287 22 278 26 281 26 286 28 290 12452 11807 23 292 21 278 26 282 25 286 27 291 11807 11208 23 297 21 279 25 282 25 286 26 290 11208 10662 22 300 20 278 24 281 24 286 25 288 10662 10193 20 303 20 278 24 281 23 286 22 286 10193 9824 17 305 19 277 23 281 22 286 19 284 9824 9566 14 305 18 277 21 280 20 286 15 285 9566 9407 12*305 17 276 19 280 18*285 12*285 9407 9314 10*304 13 275 15 279 14*285 6*292 9314 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography