DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.7 - - 42.4 - - 44.9 - - 41.9 - - 38.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 105 - - 89 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 741 - - 2515 - - 3610 - - 2390 - - 1180 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 173 - - 165 - - 27 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 115 - - 144 - - 101 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 6 - - 21 - - -4 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -3689 - - -448 - - -1109 - - -1216 - - -1376 ODpotential blCL 13051 - - 9810 - - 10472 - - 10578 - - 10738 blCL maxRH 81 - - 99 - - 90 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 270 - - 370 - - 260 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 37.7 - - 42.4 - - 44.9 - - 41.9 - - 38.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 39.5 - - 39.7 - - 39.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.7 - - 40.7 - - 43.4 - - 41.9 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 38.7 - - 38.6 - - 38.9 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 105 - - 89 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 94 - - 58 - - 45 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96641 62 277 64 275 61 278 54 272 80 271 96641 89540 39 283 53 273 53 278 49 284 47 291 89540 84095 28 278 41 265 47 278 48 289 37 302 84095 79543 21 283 26 267 35 270 38 279 31 295 79543 75589 22 272 24 272 24 263 30 276 30 276 75589 72085 26 265 23 275 18 262 26 265 25 261 72085 68903 26 267 23 256 17 256 16 258 16 262 68903 65956 25 268 22 258 25 264 17 271 27 258 65956 63211 27 257 31 244 36 249 30 256 30 243 63211 60537 31 243 30 230 36 233 33 240 24 249 60537 57733 26 236 26 243 33 239 28 255 39 255 57733 54839 46 267 36 257 37 255 42 254 45 247 54839 52098 67 247 49 246 44 245 49 241 41 240 52098 49632 60 238 48 240 44 237 48 235 41 242 49632 47419 50 245 47 244 45 243 44 235 46 247 47419 45417 51 243 53 246 51 244 42 237 49 249 45417 43598 53 243 56 243 52 240 43 241 47 244 43598 41932 56 238 53 235 49 235 44 242 40 238 41932 40387 48 233 49 229 51 232 50 237 42 240 40387 38947 29 249 48 230 55 230 60 227 58 235 38947 37615 35 276 49 229 58 230 66 226 66 225 37615 36360 40 262 48 227 54 228 65 227 57 223 36360 35113 42 253 46 225 49 227 59 228 51 226 35113 33844 44 251 42 226 44 228 50 228 48 231 33844 32561 45 252 39 236 40 230 43 225 45 230 32561 31253 46 256 40 248 39 233 40 224 41 229 31253 29916 44 259 39 251 40 234 38 225 38 228 29916 28556 39 258 34 249 40 235 36 227 37 229 28556 27175 35 252 36 245 33 233 35 230 33 225 27175 25780 31 245 36 244 31 228 31 234 29 220 25780 24378 29 232 31 243 26 219 27 235 30 219 24378 22969 25 214 23 231 22 210 23 231 31 220 22969 21548 24 201 19 204 22 188 20 208 26 208 21548 20140 21 194 19 187 23 180 20 182 25 187 20140 18807 18 190 20 176 23 181 21 174 26 180 18807 17603 16 186 20 169 22 185 22 176 26 179 17603 16527 16 183 19 163 23 185 22 180 26 180 16527 15554 16 181 18 160 23 177 23 177 26 180 15554 14665 16 178 17 160 22 167 22 171 26 179 14665 13850 15 173 17 161 21 161 21 166 25 175 13850 13101 15 168 17 160 19 158 20 163 25 168 13101 12416 13 162 16 154 16 155 18 160 24 161 12416 11788 13 153 15 146 14 151 16 154 23 153 11788 11206 12 145 14 137 14 148 14 147 22 146 11206 10673 13 133 13 127 13 146 13 140 20 141 10673 10217 14 121 12 120 12 144 11 131 17 134 10217 9858 14 114 11 117 11 144 9 121 15 127 9858 9606 11 104 10 115 11 143 7 111 12 119 9606 9451 9*095 9*115 10*143 6*106 9*107 9451 9362 4*059 7*115 8*144 4*101 4*080 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography