DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.5 - - 32.3 - - 31.2 - - 24.9 - - 22.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -82 - - 169 - - 232 - - -6 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 2117 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 10038 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 10917 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 501 - - 1942 - - 1217 - - 1267 - - 581 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 201 - - 346 - - 36 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 12 - - 28 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 004 - - 010 - - 356 - - 355 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -62 - - -44 - - -130 - - -55 - - -59 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3501 - - -6321 - - -3796 - - -4397 - - -4116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12862 - - 15683 - - 14714 - - 13759 - - 13478 sfcLCL ODpotential -11858 - - -11651 - - -10564 - - -11696 - - -11905 ODpotential blCL 21219 - - 21012 - - 21481 - - 21057 - - 21266 blCL maxRH 33 - - 41 - - 39 - - 59 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.5 - - 32.3 - - 31.2 - - 24.9 - - 22.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -0.1 - - -2.9 - - -0.0 - - -1.7 - - -3.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.8 - - 30.3 - - 29.0 - - 24.3 - - 23.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -1.0 - - -3.9 - - -1.0 - - -2.3 - - -3.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -82 - - 169 - - 232 - - -6 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 2117 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96487 31 055 29 057 37 059 32 055 36 067 96487 89460 33 068 28 080 28 071 34 066 44 072 89460 83992 31 079 23 076 21 081 27 064 45 067 83992 79424 23 064 25 074 17 075 22 078 34 064 79424 75444 17 052 22 072 14 065 14 053 25 053 75444 71888 12 036 16 065 13 059 12 088 14 036 71888 68645 11 045 13 065 10 066 8 044 11 026 68645 65644 20 350 14 031 10 347 7 086 11 038 65644 62837 20 292 16 311 11 305 15 013 13 017 62837 60111 19 288 13 308 10 346 3 076 12 344 60111 57254 36 330 45 331 40 332 23 012 9 138 57254 54262 56 327 56 325 53 325 51 332 43 333 54262 51434 67 320 60 317 62 324 67 327 62 330 51434 48936 74 312 63 309 68 317 75 322 68 336 48936 46713 73 305 63 308 68 309 73 316 73 331 46713 44703 68 303 61 310 64 306 67 317 72 324 44703 42874 64 308 59 319 58 317 58 325 70 319 42874 41197 63 318 66 328 58 329 60 328 64 315 41197 39642 68 322 72 329 64 332 59 323 53 320 39642 38195 74 320 74 326 68 328 52 329 47 328 38195 36853 74 319 73 324 66 325 54 340 45 335 36853 35585 71 317 72 323 64 325 60 342 47 340 35585 34334 64 312 72 322 65 325 62 337 51 342 34334 33075 53 310 70 319 67 324 62 326 55 343 33075 31816 46 313 67 314 69 321 60 321 59 345 31816 30547 44 319 67 312 69 318 61 321 62 349 30547 29260 47 321 66 314 67 317 60 321 66 353 29260 27955 50 318 63 318 64 317 59 319 69 353 27955 26633 53 314 59 321 60 320 58 323 69 350 26633 25296 54 314 55 324 56 322 57 328 68 347 25296 23950 54 317 52 326 52 324 55 333 64 344 23950 22591 53 320 50 326 49 325 53 336 62 345 22591 21216 51 322 49 326 46 325 51 336 59 347 21216 19847 50 323 48 326 45 326 48 334 56 348 19847 18546 49 323 48 326 46 327 48 331 54 347 18546 17368 48 324 48 327 47 330 48 330 52 344 17368 16314 48 326 47 330 49 332 49 331 52 340 16314 15360 48 329 46 333 50 335 51 333 51 337 15360 14492 48 333 44 338 49 338 51 337 50 335 14492 13696 48 339 43 343 48 343 52 340 50 335 13696 12968 49 346 42 349 46 348 51 345 49 335 12968 12303 51 351 41 355 45 352 51 349 48 337 12303 11696 52 357 40 360 43 354 50 353 47 340 11696 11133 53 001 38 004 40*356 49 356 46 343 11133 10621 52 004 36 006 35*357 46 358 44 347 10621 10181 48 005 32 008 31 356 41 358 41 349 10181 9836 41 005 27 009 27 356 35 358 36 350 9836 9595 32 004 23 009 25 356 29 357 29 350 9595 9446 24*004 20*010 21 356 24*356 22*349 9446 9361 13*004 12*010 13 355 14*355 13*348 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography