DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 74.3 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 235 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8997 - - 9347 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9364 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 12732 - - 12867 - - - - - 11106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 222 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 304 - - - - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - -8 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7421 - - -7602 - - - - - -7234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16786 - - 16966 - - - - - 16599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8593 - - -8900 - - - - - -10742 ODpotential blCL - - - 17957 - - 18264 - - - - - 20106 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 290 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 74.3 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 32.2 - - - - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 71.6 - - - - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 32.0 - - - - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 235 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 100 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99437 43 101 27 094 29 103 99437 91865 34 111 33 105 27 090 91865 86026 34 103 30 102 31 085 86026 81211 30 097 25 107 28 082 81211 77109 25 098 27 106 22 090 77109 73510 23 094 24 095 17 090 73510 70252 19 079 21 099 14 105 70252 67266 12 087 18 097 20 095 67266 64512 11 093 15 091 14 083 64512 61866 5 098 9 060 11 086 61866 59136 8 099 4 234 12 059 59136 56336 5 046 5 222 6 309 56336 53683 13 323 7 307 16 297 53683 51284 25 309 24 324 19 311 51284 49117 29 306 29 319 23 313 49117 47126 32 312 30 318 26 309 47126 45279 38 312 34 315 30 307 45279 43553 41 308 36 307 34 306 43553 41933 40 305 34 304 37 303 41933 40409 40 306 31 303 39 304 40409 38980 37 308 31 298 37 307 38980 37620 29 304 28 294 35 301 37620 36277 20 290 21 284 29 296 36277 34933 17 287 16 275 20 294 34933 33592 17 293 18 286 18 295 33592 32235 16 294 18 291 20 291 32235 30852 14 296 16 285 16 275 30852 29443 12 306 11 282 13 259 29443 28013 7 267 7 271 13 251 28013 26570 6 204 11 232 14 254 26570 25122 3 225 10 217 12 252 25122 23669 7 273 5 207 8 234 23669 22201 5 286 5 253 7 238 22201 20738 5 283 7 264 6 256 20738 19346 8 273 9 274 7 280 19346 18081 9 274 9 276 7 291 18081 16945 9 275 9 280 7 292 16945 15916 9 276 9 285 8 292 15916 14974 8 274 9 289 9 290 14974 14110 8 272 9 292 9 288 14110 13317 7 267 9 295 10 287 13317 12591 7 262 9 297 10 286 12591 11927 7 257 8 300 10 285 11927 11311 7 251 8 301 10 285 11311 10749 7 247 8 303 10 285 10749 10267 7 243 7 304 9 284 10267 9887 7 239 7 304 8 284 9887 9622 7 239 7 304 6 285 9622 9459 6*236 6*305 4*284 9459 9364 5*233 5*304 3*293 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography