DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 62.2 - - 62.2 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 365 - - 130 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 4843 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8963 - - 12267 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 13643 - - 9363 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5950 - - 4726 - - 8771 - - 6125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 526 - - 182 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 246 - - 249 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 12 - - 7 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1517 - - 1385 - - -4302 - - -2356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10881 - - 12259 - - 13666 - - 11721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3123 - - -753 - - -6131 - - -5966 ODpotential blCL - - - 12486 - - 14396 - - 15494 - - 15330 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 78 - - 68 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 250 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 62.2 - - 62.2 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 40.7 - - 34.8 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 59.1 - - 60.4 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 40.5 - - 34.7 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 365 - - 130 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 4843 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98943 15 102 14 126 10 094 13 077 98943 91508 16 099 13 094 17 092 18 081 91508 85778 12 080 15 095 17 085 19 086 85778 81045 11 095 13 082 13 083 19 071 81045 76969 11 104 12 096 6 081 16 071 76969 73369 8 135 10 102 7 067 10 065 73369 70106 6 143 5 165 3 086 8 044 70106 67099 6 227 3 172 5 165 3 049 67099 64315 7 184 8 230 5 262 5 259 64315 61639 6 240 18 205 13 228 9 188 61639 58872 19 240 13 233 15 220 19 215 58872 56032 29 231 28 244 29 246 28 230 56032 53359 30 242 39 236 39 246 37 250 53359 50963 42 252 49 245 46 250 47 258 50963 48802 56 251 57 247 54 249 52 258 48802 46821 61 252 58 248 57 249 58 259 46821 44992 62 264 61 258 61 252 64 258 44992 43290 69 274 69 266 67 254 68 256 43290 41694 74 276 74 268 70 257 69 256 41694 40193 75 276 73 268 71 262 69 259 40193 38787 73 276 69 269 71 266 69 264 38787 37451 63 274 64 269 66 266 66 265 37451 36129 52 269 60 267 60 262 61 262 36129 34793 45 265 56 264 57 257 57 255 34793 33449 40 261 51 262 55 255 55 251 33449 32086 36 255 46 257 52 255 53 251 32086 30694 35 256 42 251 47 254 50 252 30694 29280 33 259 40 250 42 251 45 253 29280 27847 30 255 37 248 39 250 40 250 27847 26401 25 244 35 245 35 251 36 249 26401 24948 21 232 31 239 33 253 33 250 24948 23485 22 225 29 235 30 252 30 251 23485 22006 23 229 30 234 28 249 27 252 22006 20538 23 231 23 235 25 243 26 251 20538 19150 21 232 16 235 18 238 22 249 19150 17898 18 239 13 233 13 236 18 244 17898 16782 17 247 12 234 12 237 16 240 16782 15773 16 254 11 237 12 239 14 238 15773 14852 15 258 11 240 12 240 13 240 14852 14007 13 261 11*242 12 243 12 242 14007 13232 10 262 11*244 12 245 11 243 13232 12523 8 258 11 246 12 247 9 247 12523 11872 7 252 11 247 12 248 8 253 11872 11270 7 244 11 247 12 249 8 261 11270 10720 7 240 11 247 12 250 7 270 10720 10248 7 234 11 247 11 250 7 277 10248 9876 7 229 11 246 11 251 6 285 9876 9616 7 227 10 246 11 250 5 295 9616 9456 6*225 10 245 10*250 4*306 9456 9364 5*223 8 243 8*249 3*331 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography