DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.6 - - 42.0 - - 45.1 - - 37.1 - - 36.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 38 - - 74 - - -24 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 454 - - 1071 - - 2338 - - 344 - - 228 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 125 - - 153 - - 13 - - 26 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 292 - - 310 - - 358 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - -5 - - -3 - - -25 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8178 - - -7427 - - -6037 - - -5885 - - -7442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17541 - - 16790 - - 15400 - - 15247 - - 16805 sfcLCL ODpotential -16072 - - -13805 - - -11601 - - -13188 - - -15191 ODpotential blCL 25434 - - 23167 - - 20963 - - 22550 - - 24553 blCL maxRH 79 - - 68 - - 80 - - 78 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.6 - - 42.0 - - 45.1 - - 37.1 - - 36.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -7.9 - - 2.1 - - 10.9 - - 4.1 - - -3.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.8 - - 41.3 - - 43.8 - - 40.6 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -8.8 - - 1.1 - - 9.8 - - 2.9 - - -4.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 38 - - 74 - - -24 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 0 - - 19 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96248 43 053 24 034 28 028 16 044 18 327 96248 89421 35 058 27 065 22 052 14 066 11 354 89421 84044 26 075 30 075 23 070 11 060 17 041 84044 79531 25 071 25 076 19 068 16 051 20 034 79531 75620 20 059 24 076 13 092 13 052 15 052 75620 72120 13 071 16 071 8 090 10 045 12 053 72120 68921 15 028 9 052 8 035 12 359 13 353 68921 66001 15 023 15 343 15 020 10 329 12 333 66001 63327 21 352 22 333 22 348 15 343 12 341 63327 60752 24 343 22 333 20 339 20 339 17 334 60752 58064 22 346 21 340 22 346 21 349 22 342 58064 55260 23 340 23 328 28 330 26 348 27 346 55260 52558 20 335 21 313 31 320 30 337 29 341 52558 50098 18 337 19 310 32 316 32 322 29 341 50098 47864 20 333 22 313 31 310 33 318 33 337 47864 45821 24 319 25 312 27 303 31 310 34 328 45821 43947 22 320 25 311 20 308 26 307 30 315 43947 42221 22 319 20 314 17 316 21 314 28 307 42221 40616 23 307 18 318 13 307 22 323 22 300 40616 39124 25 291 19 315 10 320 16 320 16 329 39124 37744 24 279 19 286 9 320 12 327 18 343 37744 36444 24 255 20 275 11 293 8 339 20 340 36444 35162 23 238 26 238 13 288 8 019 18 350 35162 33877 28 230 29 224 19 228 7 300 15 341 33877 32595 25 234 24 232 17 234 9 198 1 287 32595 31295 20 240 15 241 11 243 6 214 3 296 31295 29965 19 251 13 252 7 247 1 006 6 329 29965 28611 15 265 13 254 7 266 2 050 6 020 28611 27237 12 246 9 227 8 251 3 033 8 056 27237 25850 14 218 10 203 9 226 2 094 8 070 25850 24456 12 209 13 207 9 221 5 140 9 077 24456 23051 9 199 14 212 9 238 4 136 6 048 23051 21630 8 198 11 215 7 261 1 146 5 016 21630 20215 7 196 8 212 4 267 0 088 4 001 20215 18872 4 183 5 205 2 243 1 024 4 350 18872 17656 2 165 3 204 0 246 2 021 4 341 17656 16568 1 163 3 220 1 331 3 009 4 343 16568 15584 0 288 3 237 2 327 5 357 5 348 15584 14687 1 332 2 259 2 326 6 350 6 352 14687 13863 3 333 3 290 3 328 7 347 7 352 13863 13109 4 339 3 313 3 332 7 346 8 351 13109 12420 4 341 3 328 4 337 6 349 8 349 12420 11789 4 343 4 336 5 341 6 359 8 350 11789 11205 4 342 4 338 6 336 7 008 8 353 11205 10672 4 341 5 335 6 328 7 007 9 357 10672 10216 4 336 5 329 5 321 8 001 9 002 10216 9857 4 327 5 322 4 319 9 357 9 006 9857 9605 4 332 4 310 4 316 8 354 9 009 9605 9451 4*317 3*297 3 314 7*356 8*010 9451 9362 4*326 2*292 3*310 5*358 6*007 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography