DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 56.2 - - 55.4 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 126 - - 25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3930 - - 4747 - - 4501 - - 1311 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 191 - - 116 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 207 - - 165 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 17 - - 13 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -69 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9433 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1259 - - -2015 - - -2388 - - -1946 ODpotential blCL - - - 10622 - - 11378 - - 11751 - - 11309 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 80 - - 77 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 580 - - 600 - - 640 - - 790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 56.2 - - 55.4 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 46.8 - - 46.5 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 54.3 - - 54.3 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 45.6 - - 45.5 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 126 - - 25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 20 - - 10 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98672 15 113 18 096 19 056 21 062 98672 91312 20 101 16 091 17 057 24 062 91312 85640 21 082 16 075 16 075 23 063 85640 80937 17 070 17 080 16 074 20 054 80937 76891 12 080 11 073 16 053 18 045 76891 73307 14 089 8 077 10 035 12 033 73307 70058 14 076 8 050 10 040 11 025 70058 67068 6 045 6 037 8 058 8 032 67068 64285 5 017 7 321 8 350 10 353 64285 61593 5 290 4 239 10 270 10 281 61593 58807 12 277 9 310 7 312 8 304 58807 55949 22 249 19 274 16 307 14 304 55949 53238 27 237 25 254 20 259 21 273 53238 50800 29 224 28 235 20 247 23 255 50800 48610 29 226 30 225 26 245 24 253 48610 46614 34 234 33 231 31 239 30 241 46614 44778 39 235 37 231 35 231 36 232 44778 43075 43 229 41 228 37 229 40 229 43075 41481 48 224 46 224 41 231 41 227 41481 39984 53 222 48 223 45 231 42 227 39984 38585 57 218 50 220 47 229 45 226 38585 37258 56 213 52 218 49 227 47 224 37258 35942 55 212 55 215 51 223 49 222 35942 34611 53 211 55 214 52 220 50 220 34611 33271 52 210 52 215 52 218 49 218 33271 31911 51 210 49 216 48 218 48 218 31911 30528 49 212 45 219 44 221 44 220 30528 29128 44 215 36 221 38 225 36 220 29128 27711 39 216 28 230 31 229 28 225 27711 26284 37 214 23 237 26 234 25 235 26284 24852 35 217 19 237 24 241 23 242 24852 23413 29 224 19 240 23 249 22 248 23413 21958 21 226 24 242 23 258 22 251 21958 20510 16 219 26 241 23 262 22 251 20510 19132 15 215 25 240 23 259 23 249 19132 17883 15 220 23 241 22 252 23 247 17883 16766 16 227 22 243 21 243 21 246 16766 15756 16 230 21 244 20 237 20 247 15756 14835 15 234 20 244 18 233 19 247 14835 13991 14 231 17 244 17 229 18 244 13991 13216 12 225 15 242 14 222 16 238 13216 12507 10 215 11 238 12 211 14 228 12507 11859 9 203 9 233 11 198 12 212 11859 11258 7 190 8 224 9 182 10 194 11258 10711 7 175 8 217 8 170 9 169 10711 10241 7 168 8 214 7 166 8 141 10241 9872 7 165 8 211 7 166 7 119 9872 9614 7 164 8 210 7 165 6 107 9614 9455 7*163 7*208 6*165 4*089 9455 9363 6*164 6*207 5*165 3*051 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography