DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 46.2 - - 44.5 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 54 - - 21 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2485 - - 3124 - - 2508 - - 969 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 143 - - 103 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 21 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 348 - - 063 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -7 - - 1 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -454 - - -913 - - -361 - - -2076 ODpotential blCL - - - 9816 - - 10275 - - 9723 - - 11438 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 100 - - 100 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 46.2 - - 44.5 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 42.1 - - 42.9 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 44.8 - - 43.3 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 41.0 - - 42.4 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 54 - - 21 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 100 - - 93 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98006 10 315 8 245 16 256 19 277 98006 90713 8 295 13 306 9 310 8 325 90713 85090 6 258 10 270 11 329 5 004 85090 80424 3 285 8 212 7 300 7 333 80424 76392 6 221 2 229 2 261 8 311 76392 72835 11 178 5 265 1 326 3 316 72835 69628 7 143 8 197 5 258 1 313 69628 66695 5 189 8 171 9 248 5 297 66695 63992 7 248 2 136 8 243 3 256 63992 61375 11 262 6 279 8 254 6 267 61375 58639 10 240 12 233 12 239 11 252 58639 55784 16 207 19 220 20 245 15 245 55784 53037 14 204 21 202 22 234 16 252 53037 50550 16 227 17 211 20 236 17 264 50550 48306 25 223 23 223 16 244 15 277 48306 46255 30 211 22 222 10 261 10 297 46255 44365 30 208 16 232 8 290 16 322 44365 42608 22 210 10 230 9 276 16 305 42608 40975 14 196 5 200 8 300 18 339 40975 39469 14 177 5 302 19 003 27 350 39469 38083 13 164 11 357 23 015 36 008 38083 36778 12 112 19 032 35 041 44 017 36778 35484 25 069 27 049 51 039 48 016 35484 34172 39 060 41 058 52 030 49 013 34172 32846 40 053 37 053 48 024 47 013 32846 31498 35 051 30 044 42 018 44 013 31498 30125 32 053 28 036 36 019 41 012 30125 28730 29 057 28 030 30 020 38 010 28730 27321 25 060 26 026 26 014 35 009 27321 25903 22 060 21 025 22 009 32 010 25903 24484 20 062 16 029 18 005 28 014 24484 23060 19 063 12 033 15 002 25 017 23060 21628 16 058 10 035 13 004 21 020 21628 20210 11 058 10 035 11 009 18 027 20210 18868 7 061 9 032 10 009 19 037 18868 17654 6 060 9 027 9 015 22 043 17654 16570 6 078 8 027 9 032 28 045 16570 15590 6 095 8 041 11 048 33 046 15590 14695 7 102 8 055 11 054 37 047 14695 13874 9 104 8 055 11 051 38 049 13874 13121 12 103 7 043 11 045 37 050 13121 12433 15 100 7 024 11 041 34 051 12433 11802 17 098 8 009 10 041 31 052 11802 11217 17 098 7 006 9 042 27 053 11217 10682 16 098 7 003 7 041 24 051 10682 10222 14 097 5 354 5 041 20 047 10222 9861 12 097 5 352 3 044 17 041 9861 9608 10 096 4 350 2 051 13 038 9608 9452 9*096 3 349 1*055 10 036 9452 9362 7*097 3*348 1*063 6*034 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography