DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.3 - - 41.1 - - 45.0 - - 41.6 - - 33.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 389 - - 439 - - 115 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 1916 - - 3506 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 10019 - - 11272 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 10716 - - 12306 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 848 - - 664 - - 1263 - - 3417 - - 949 Hgt.Variab. W* 139 - - 395 - - 502 - - 175 - - 33 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 34 - - 23 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 349 - - 343 - - 343 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 25 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -83 - - -143 - - -76 - - -33 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4123 - - -4730 - - -4007 - - -6484 - - -4311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13485 - - 15447 - - 16314 - - 15847 - - 13673 sfcLCL ODpotential -13130 - - -11911 - - -9302 - - -12191 - - -11919 ODpotential blCL 22492 - - 22627 - - 21608 - - 21553 - - 21281 blCL maxRH 33 - - 39 - - 31 - - 43 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.3 - - 41.1 - - 45.0 - - 41.6 - - 33.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.8 - - 6.7 - - 6.5 - - 5.4 - - 6.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.2 - - 38.3 - - 41.7 - - 39.7 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.3 - - 6.0 - - 5.9 - - 5.1 - - 6.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 389 - - 439 - - 115 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 1916 - - 3506 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96444 3 254 17 280 8 238 17 256 22 289 96444 89292 5 030 9 284 18 275 15 261 16 290 89292 83783 12 313 5 165 12 278 16 287 17 294 83783 79210 15 291 17 289 16 276 21 279 21 291 79210 75281 8 318 16 279 11 264 13 261 12 248 75281 71770 21 290 25 285 31 285 24 291 23 327 71770 68565 33 273 36 262 40 283 38 286 33 313 68565 65634 35 270 30 261 37 269 34 280 32 291 65634 62930 31 269 28 266 29 270 29 283 26 264 62930 60286 35 272 36 272 37 275 34 293 30 290 60286 57518 47 286 45 288 46 281 44 294 50 302 57518 54670 57 288 55 292 50 285 53 296 52 294 54670 51950 61 279 59 290 56 293 57 299 49 294 51950 49491 58 279 61 291 63 295 59 298 52 299 49491 47288 53 281 58 287 62 293 60 294 57 301 47288 45311 40 281 50 285 58 293 60 292 62 300 45311 43531 39 292 50 294 58 296 60 294 65 299 43531 41905 48 307 57 299 61 295 64 296 66 300 41905 40392 62 313 64 300 63 295 69 296 67 302 40392 38973 66 313 68 297 67 296 71 296 69 303 38973 37645 67 314 70 295 70 296 71 295 70 303 37645 36383 67 315 70 295 73 296 70 296 69 303 36383 35129 68 315 70 297 75 297 70 298 66 303 35129 33858 69 314 71 300 76 298 69 300 63 308 33858 32575 68 315 73 303 76 300 66 302 60 313 32575 31269 65 315 72 305 72 302 62 303 58 317 31269 29935 60 313 67 307 67 304 57 306 56 317 29935 28577 56 311 59 308 63 306 54 309 54 316 28577 27200 53 309 52 310 60 309 52 312 52 317 27200 25811 51 310 47 311 58 311 51 316 50 320 25811 24414 50 310 45 312 56 313 51 320 46 322 24414 23008 48 311 44 314 53 316 50 324 41 324 23008 21586 46 311 43 316 50 317 48 326 36 323 21586 20170 45 311 41 317 48 318 45 325 33 320 20170 18825 46 311 40 316 46 318 41 322 32 318 18825 17607 47 310 39 314 44 318 39 321 32 318 17607 16518 48 309 39 313 43 319 36 322 32 319 16518 15535 50 308 39 312 41 322 34 325 32 322 15535 14637 50 309 39 314 38 327 32 331 32 325 14637 13817 50 311 39 318 35 334 31 338 31 328 13817 13066 51 316 40 324 32 339 28 343 31 332 13066 12380 51 322 40 333 30*341 24 344 30 336 12380 11755 53 330 41 341 28*343 23 344 29 341 11755 11177 54 338 41*346 26 343 23 344 27 347 11177 10651 55 345 40*348 25 343 22 344 26 354 10651 10201 52 348 38 349 24 343 21 344 25 356 10201 9848 47 350 34 350 22 343 20 344 23 357 9848 9601 40 351 30 350 20 343 18 344 18 358 9601 9449 33*351 26 350 17 343 16*344 14*359 9449 9362 19*350 15 349 12 342 10*343 8*359 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography