DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/31 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.8 - - 46.6 - - 49.2 - - 42.3 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 132 - - 186 - - -22 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 211 - - 3891 - - 8139 - - 3001 - - 164 Hgt.Variab. W* 54 - - 187 - - 208 - - 34 - - 33 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 329 - - 324 - - 336 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -16 - - -31 - - -23 - - -48 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3133 - - -6193 - - -6419 - - -5326 - - -3741 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12496 - - 15557 - - 15783 - - 14688 - - 13104 sfcLCL ODpotential -9041 - - -9675 - - -8851 - - -10295 - - -11657 ODpotential blCL 18403 - - 19038 - - 18214 - - 19657 - - 21019 blCL maxRH 83 - - 89 - - 62 - - 31 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.8 - - 46.6 - - 49.2 - - 42.3 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.4 - - 11.4 - - 12.7 - - 11.1 - - 11.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.9 - - 44.7 - - 47.4 - - 43.1 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.4 - - 10.4 - - 11.6 - - 10.4 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 132 - - 186 - - -22 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96838 26 279 22 271 29 256 39 262 40 277 96838 89658 17 276 20 267 23 270 26 278 26 282 89658 84122 9 274 16 261 16 279 17 293 13 289 84122 79513 16 294 10 268 12 293 13 301 13 328 79513 75537 13 333 10 305 11 319 14 320 16 342 75537 72019 19 339 9 307 9 322 7 328 9 328 72019 68808 25 321 21 323 13 336 14 345 20 340 68808 65858 20 329 26 320 23 317 29 322 31 328 65858 63138 23 341 22 334 19 320 24 310 23 310 63138 60487 32 323 23 334 16 340 13 340 7 307 60487 57686 38 311 32 321 28 332 34 342 40 346 57686 54793 42 310 41 319 40 327 45 331 62 340 54793 52078 45 306 46 317 51 325 59 337 67 336 52078 49657 45 309 49 312 52 323 64 333 63 338 49657 47490 50 310 49 310 59 326 59 336 64 346 47490 45521 55 307 49 316 59 323 60 342 69 351 45521 43717 57 303 50 315 55 325 60 345 74 353 43717 42049 59 302 47 315 55 331 61 350 72 356 42049 40501 68 300 47 311 55 335 62 355 70 007 40501 39061 81 292 49 300 54 340 69 005 79 013 39061 37723 84 287 55 291 54 344 85 012 87 010 37723 36456 82 287 64 286 55 351 96 014 87 004 36456 35196 77 289 68 285 57 358 99 014 87 002 35196 33913 72 288 63 285 60 003 99 014 85 002 33913 32615 68 288 58 285 58 004 94 015 84 005 32615 31294 64 291 55 290 51 000 86 015 81 011 31294 29946 59 293 53 298 46 351 72 012 73 015 29946 28579 54 296 49 302 44 338 62 002 62 011 28579 27197 49 298 45 303 44 326 60 352 53 359 27197 25806 46 300 45 303 42 317 60 349 54 343 25806 24408 46 301 47 301 41 318 59 347 59 338 24408 23000 46 301 47 298 40 322 55 346 60 340 23000 21579 44 300 44 296 36 326 51 345 58 346 21579 20167 40 300 40 295 34 331 47 339 53 349 20167 18828 35 304 34 297 34 335 43 333 46 347 18828 17617 33 310 29 301 32 338 41 330 42 341 17617 16534 34 314 26 306 30 340 39 330 40 336 16534 15555 35 314 25 313 28 338 36 331 39 332 15555 14662 34 315 25 319 27 334 34 333 38 330 14662 13843 33 317 25 324 27 333 31 336 37 331 13843 13093 31 318 23 329 27 331 29 340 37 333 13093 12406 29 319 22 334 26 330 27 343 36 337 12406 11779 28 319 19 336 26 329 26 344 36 341 11779 11197 26 319 18 336 25 328 24 344 36 345 11197 10666 25 320 17 335 24 327 23 344 34 349 10666 10212 23 323 16 334 23 326 21 342 31 352 10212 9854 20 327 14 333 22 326 19 341 27 353 9854 9604 17 330 12 332 20 325 16 340 22 353 9604 9450 13*332 10*331 17*325 12*339 17*352 9450 9362 7*334 7*329 12*324 6*336 9*350 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography