DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 41.9 - - - - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 127 - - - - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - - - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - - - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - - - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1919 - - 1794 - - - - - 472 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 182 - - - - - 26 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 298 - - - - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -22 - - - - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3470 - - -2814 - - - - - -358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12833 - - 12177 - - - - - 9721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9526 - - -8231 - - - - - -4806 ODpotential blCL - - - 18888 - - 17593 - - - - - 14168 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 63 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 41.9 - - - - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.5 - - 21.4 - - - - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 40.2 - - - - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.5 - - 20.8 - - - - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 127 - - - - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - - - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96192 6 290 10 360 12 255 96192 89159 13 344 10 016 4 297 89159 83680 6 283 12 306 10 331 83680 79127 8 354 11 247 17 320 79127 75208 24 315 9 281 22 318 75208 71710 25 297 21 283 25 321 71710 68507 19 280 15 280 23 314 68507 65571 16 304 14 297 22 292 65571 62890 31 295 36 287 15 315 62890 60316 44 283 45 285 17 301 60316 57631 48 281 49 288 43 287 57631 54824 46 286 46 290 53 287 54824 52106 48 293 46 294 64 289 52106 49634 62 296 69 294 72 289 49634 47403 79 290 86 287 73 290 47403 45372 84 284 84 282 70 298 45372 43512 78 284 76 285 77 310 43512 41802 81 298 80 298 96 314 41802 40222 88 301 92 307 112 309 40222 38761 88 302 99 308 113 304 38761 37407 83 305 99 307 101 305 37407 36125 80 308 96 309 88 314 36125 34855 78 310 95 310 98 334 34855 33571 71 311 86 308 120 343 33571 32281 62 312 70 303 125 341 32281 30976 53 310 76 303 108 332 30976 29650 46 302 90 310 97 324 29650 28303 43 296 97 315 100 321 28303 26941 43 295 93 315 104 320 26941 25570 48 297 81 311 101 319 25570 24194 49 300 68 307 95 318 24194 22808 45 300 58 304 86 315 22808 21407 41 296 52 300 83 311 21407 20010 38 291 51 297 83 310 20010 18686 37 289 50 296 81 310 18686 17490 35 288 48 295 75 310 17490 16424 34 289 45 295 69 308 16424 15462 33 290 43 295 61 307 15462 14587 31 290 41 296 53 307 14587 13784 30 291 39 297 48 308 13784 13048 29 290 37 299 44 309 13048 12373 27 290 35 300 43 310 12373 11754 25 289 33 300 42 311 11754 11179 22 288 30 300 39 309 11179 10654 17 289 26 302 36 308 10654 10204 14 287 23 301 31 306 10204 9850 12 286 20 301 26 305 9850 9602 10 285 18 300 21 306 9602 9449 9*284 16*300 16*307 9449 9362 6*282 10*298 9*308 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography