DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.0 - - 25.9 - - 28.2 - - 22.7 - - 20.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -34 - - 51 - - 44 - - -35 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 1475 - - 1876 - - 708 - - 208 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 136 - - 131 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 323 - - 336 - - 344 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -30 - - -16 - - -26 - - -29 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -7901 - - -4236 - - -2769 - - -5676 - - -7375 ODpotential blCL 17262 - - 13597 - - 12130 - - 15037 - - 16736 blCL maxRH 89 - - 74 - - 78 - - 68 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.0 - - 25.9 - - 28.2 - - 22.7 - - 20.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.6 - - 17.9 - - 21.8 - - 17.5 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.9 - - 24.5 - - 26.9 - - 24.8 - - 23.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.8 - - 17.0 - - 20.7 - - 17.5 - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -34 - - 51 - - 44 - - -35 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96352 12 058 2 039 6 027 1 016 5 215 96352 89189 12 058 4 062 3 360 7 004 6 037 89189 83664 12 036 8 069 2 087 4 016 7 008 83664 79068 8 036 7 013 8 041 3 032 5 346 79068 75110 12 020 2 047 3 345 8 338 13 352 75110 71636 14 002 5 328 6 337 14 325 9 317 71636 68481 8 346 14 317 13 326 10 317 11 313 68481 65568 11 327 13 298 15 317 28 318 27 317 65568 62908 19 291 13 318 22 312 30 318 27 310 62908 60356 23 316 25 332 22 327 16 321 23 282 60356 57664 23 335 25 332 28 326 13 309 21 292 57664 54829 29 331 30 319 29 304 32 306 38 304 54829 52104 31 314 33 301 33 297 44 309 52 308 52104 49649 29 316 36 303 43 309 54 312 50 303 49649 47433 37 339 44 312 52 315 52 312 45 308 47433 45399 56 338 48 313 54 316 52 317 52 316 45399 43524 60 326 49 319 52 326 58 321 64 315 43524 41794 51 318 52 326 57 335 60 320 63 307 41794 40192 43 325 54 331 60 336 57 319 50 302 40192 38697 47 333 56 333 57 334 50 322 39 306 38697 37293 50 335 57 332 52 335 39 330 37 316 37293 35960 48 331 55 332 49 341 33 353 49 346 35960 34651 45 324 51 333 46 345 58 009 86 357 34651 33350 40 320 47 336 48 349 107 008 109 356 33350 32054 33 310 43 340 56 356 137 005 116 356 32054 30745 33 302 37 338 71 002 136 003 119 356 30745 29415 35 294 29 328 85 005 116 004 109 355 29415 28073 36 287 29 327 89 006 96 003 94 350 28073 26720 31 296 34 324 74 002 85 001 87 350 26720 25361 28 308 42 318 48 352 81 359 72 352 25361 23999 29 317 43 314 33 334 73 355 54 346 23999 22631 31 324 35 314 32 320 60 352 46 334 22631 21252 33 328 30 318 33 319 49 350 40 324 21252 19883 34 329 30 323 33 325 41 345 36 319 19883 18583 34 327 33 328 34 329 37 337 34 317 18583 17407 32 323 36 331 34 331 35 330 32 317 17407 16352 30 320 37 334 34 331 35 327 32 317 16352 15398 28 320 37 334 33 331 35 325 33 317 15398 14527 27 322 36 333 33 333 36 326 34 318 14527 13728 26 325 34 332 33 336 36 327 35 320 13728 12996 26 327 32 331 33 339 36 329 36 322 12996 12326 26 329 30 330 33 342 35 333 36 325 12326 11714 26 330 28 331 32 344 34 336 35 329 11714 11146 26 331 26 332 30 345 32 339 34 334 11146 10629 24 331 23 332 26 344 30 342 32 339 10629 10186 22 333 19 332 22 342 28 344 30 344 10186 9839 19 335 14 329 19 340 24 344 25 349 9839 9596 16 337 12 327 16 339 19 344 20 352 9596 9447 12*337 10*325 14*338 14*345 15*354 9447 9361 6*336 6*323 8*336 8*344 7*357 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography