DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 46.0 - - 48.8 - - 46.2 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 124 - - 141 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1374 - - 4628 - - 5079 - - 3695 - - 1212 Hgt.Variab. W* 43 - - 184 - - 193 - - 35 - - 26 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 151 - - 158 - - 113 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 17 - - 17 - - 2 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - -408 - - 0 - - -490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9363 - - 9772 - - 9362 - - 9853 sfcLCL ODpotential -1712 - - -1432 - - -2238 - - -2491 - - -5366 ODpotential blCL 11074 - - 10795 - - 11601 - - 11853 - - 14729 blCL maxRH 90 - - 87 - - 78 - - 70 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 90 - - 80 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 46.0 - - 48.8 - - 46.2 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 39.0 - - 38.4 - - 39.2 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 44.1 - - 46.8 - - 46.3 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.1 - - 37.9 - - 37.3 - - 38.1 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 124 - - 141 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 48 - - 12 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97494 12 307 14 283 15 296 13 311 15 324 97494 90245 11 315 11 304 11 298 12 346 12 309 90245 84680 10 316 8 328 7 309 12 340 8 349 84680 80068 10 330 7 336 6 327 12 313 14 355 80068 76091 7 351 6 016 1 353 8 324 11 356 76091 72577 6 340 6 021 5 135 6 306 4 324 72577 69406 6 253 3 306 7 180 8 265 3 286 69406 66490 7 199 4 232 5 209 5 226 8 258 66490 63786 10 221 8 202 6 223 8 216 9 236 63786 61178 13 213 12 228 11 242 10 229 13 240 61178 58468 18 231 20 227 18 233 18 222 19 225 58468 55669 24 238 23 234 23 224 27 219 24 225 55669 53003 37 242 33 243 29 234 30 224 30 235 53003 50600 38 234 37 239 33 230 32 231 37 240 50600 48432 31 239 32 239 31 232 34 236 40 239 48432 46447 32 254 30 248 33 239 35 239 40 241 46447 44614 35 258 34 251 38 247 36 240 40 244 44614 42911 37 259 38 252 40 250 35 241 40 245 42911 41319 38 261 39 252 39 251 35 244 40 245 41319 39825 37 263 39 252 39 253 35 247 40 245 39825 38428 35 267 38 254 38 255 36 251 40 243 38428 37101 34 268 36 257 36 257 36 255 39 242 37101 35785 34 268 36 260 35 263 38 261 36 248 35785 34457 35 270 38 264 39 268 44 265 46 258 34457 33126 34 267 39 267 47 269 49 265 57 258 33126 31780 32 261 42 273 52 269 49 263 54 258 31780 30408 32 258 45 277 50 269 46 262 45 261 30408 29013 34 260 44 276 46 266 41 261 39 260 29013 27599 34 266 42 274 43 263 36 258 34 261 27599 26170 34 268 38 273 38 264 31 255 27 263 26170 24731 33 272 36 275 32 263 29 253 24 259 24731 23282 28 276 33 275 28 258 29 252 26 253 23282 21822 22 284 26 271 24 257 27 251 29 256 21822 20374 18 291 20 265 21 258 24 251 30 261 20374 19004 15 294 18 262 19 258 18 250 30 265 19004 17765 10 289 16 261 19 257 14 248 29 262 17765 16660 7 269 13 255 15 255 13 243 28 255 16660 15662 8 245 9 250 10 243 14 239 27 247 15662 14752 9 230 5 236 7 219 13 236 25 240 14752 13920 11 228 4 220 6 192 12 229 23 237 13920 13157 12 231 5 212 7 183 9 217 20 235 13157 12460 11 233 6 206 6 172 8 198 16 233 12460 11821 10 233 6 198 7 164 7 182 12 227 11821 11230 7 226 5 179 7 161 6 166 8 213 11230 10690 4 208 6 159 7 159 6 144 5 186 10690 10227 3 154 6 153 7 159 5 126 4 127 10227 9864 3 097 6 151 7 158 5 117 5 085 9864 9609 4 073 6 150 7 159 5 113 6 062 9609 9453 4*060 6*151 7*157 4*113 6*044 9453 9363 3*051 5*151 6*158 3*113 5*011 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography