DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 68.8 - - 66.6 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 485 - - 144 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6171 - - 6479 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13407 - - 13681 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14971 - - 15279 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1856 - - 1776 - - 6769 - - 1572 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 612 - - 636 - - 188 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 241 - - 259 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 17 - - 4 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1115 - - 594 - - -5632 - - -4347 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13857 - - 14686 - - 14997 - - 13711 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1135 - - -2681 - - -9320 - - -10529 ODpotential blCL - - - 16106 - - 17960 - - 18684 - - 19892 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 66 - - 59 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 68.8 - - 66.6 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 36.7 - - 33.3 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 64.9 - - 64.5 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 36.4 - - 33.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 485 - - 144 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6171 - - 6479 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98863 19 116 15 123 11 086 12 107 98863 91451 14 103 13 110 15 092 11 110 91451 85732 16 111 11 088 7 126 14 095 85732 80959 13 111 11 109 6 096 12 060 80959 76864 13 071 10 144 8 081 12 046 76864 73266 8 087 15 127 4 078 13 077 73266 70001 10 085 13 094 10 136 4 078 70001 67009 6 121 4 131 16 132 11 191 67009 64249 7 177 10 159 5 168 11 169 64249 61593 11 186 3 167 7 184 11 160 61593 58856 21 218 28 236 20 250 19 236 58856 56049 22 216 32 223 32 235 31 243 56049 53397 21 255 32 238 35 242 36 261 53397 51022 45 252 44 238 45 247 41 262 51022 48881 54 247 42 242 44 246 41 261 48881 46913 60 256 48 259 45 250 44 260 46913 45087 68 258 57 259 52 255 49 258 45087 43384 73 254 63 254 59 255 54 255 43384 41788 75 252 65 250 62 252 59 252 41788 40287 69 250 65 247 63 250 62 250 40287 38880 59 243 65 243 64 249 61 252 38880 37544 56 231 65 239 64 248 58 254 37544 36220 56 225 59 240 63 247 55 253 36220 34885 48 224 46 235 58 247 53 250 34885 33543 43 222 43 227 51 246 48 245 33543 32178 41 221 42 226 44 243 42 243 32178 30781 38 223 39 226 40 240 37 237 30781 29364 34 228 35 228 35 240 31 235 29364 27933 31 232 31 229 31 239 25 239 27933 26488 28 232 27 226 27 233 22 241 26488 25035 27 227 24 222 25 231 21 240 25035 23571 24 220 22 222 23 234 19 241 23571 22092 20 212 20 224 19 241 15 246 22092 20622 18 208 17 222 14 244 9 247 20622 19228 17 208 15 218 10 246 5 230 19228 17966 16 213 12 213 5 224 3 196 17966 16838 13 221 8 219 2 147 4 140 16838 15818 10*229 7*231 2 113 6 122 15818 14888 8*239 7*235 1 249 5 124 14888 14034 8 243 8 239 4 263 3 152 14034 13252 8 245 8 242 6 265 3 198 13252 12537 8 246 9 243 7 266 5 246 12537 11883 8 246 10 243 8 265 6 255 11883 11277 8 246 10 242 9 264 6 261 11277 10724 9 244 10 242 9 263 12 284 10724 10250 9 243 11 241 9 263 14 292 10250 9877 8 241 10 241 9 262 13 297 9877 9616 8 240 10 240 9 261 11 303 9616 9456 8 239 10 239 9*260 9*307 9456 9363 7 238 8 237 7*259 5*313 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography