DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 72.8 - - 73.6 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 255 - - 140 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5256 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12656 - - 8920 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14056 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5114 - - 13202 - - 13111 - - 4304 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 572 - - 228 - - 187 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 249 - - 280 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 11 - - -5 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -957 - - -7038 - - -7807 - - -6080 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15014 - - 16403 - - 17172 - - 15445 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2987 - - -8588 - - -9575 - - -10128 ODpotential blCL - - - 17043 - - 17952 - - 18939 - - 19492 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 100 - - 75 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 420 - - 300 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 72.8 - - 73.6 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.3 - - 33.3 - - 30.8 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 70.1 - - 71.6 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 33.1 - - 30.6 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 255 - - 140 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5256 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99146 22 100 21 098 26 096 24 092 99146 91705 29 109 21 110 20 096 22 086 91705 85950 27 105 20 123 16 085 23 083 85950 81162 17 100 19 107 15 088 20 074 81162 77050 13 091 19 104 10 083 17 066 77050 73427 12 087 12 082 11 106 15 071 73427 70145 13 084 7 085 8 086 11 071 70145 67136 8 106 6 094 10 041 11 052 67136 64365 9 058 5 113 5 012 8 038 64365 61695 4 342 4 359 5 355 7 352 61695 58934 5 272 5 262 7 290 13 312 58934 56104 13 296 11 279 14 277 19 289 56104 53427 26 301 23 297 22 285 19 280 53427 51019 34 292 33 286 35 285 29 296 51019 48851 33 295 35 285 37 282 36 283 48851 46874 40 302 40 295 38 291 35 282 46874 45049 47 300 47 299 44 297 38 291 45049 43351 48 291 50 295 51 295 45 294 43351 41760 47 283 47 291 53 292 49 292 41760 40265 42 279 43 288 49 290 47 290 40265 38867 37 273 36 284 39 287 42 290 38867 37546 36 273 34 279 32 285 36 286 37546 36240 28 277 32 280 28 285 30 286 36240 34921 24 276 27 276 22 284 25 295 34921 33589 22 276 24 280 19 287 21 299 33589 32233 18 283 22 281 19 283 18 297 32233 30846 14 287 17 274 18 281 17 296 30846 29436 11 275 15 266 16 281 18 295 29436 28010 13 276 16 275 16 286 17 297 28010 26574 16 282 17 289 16 286 16 294 26574 25132 17 287 16 303 15 285 14 284 25132 23680 18 294 13 315 13 284 13 273 23680 22209 18 298 10 328 7 299 11 265 22209 20743 18 296 9 330 4 325 9 261 20743 19348 17 293 9 324 5 316 7 253 19348 18080 15 292 8 302 5 307 6 248 18080 16943 12 293 8 297 6 305 5 249 16943 15912 9 292 9 279 6 302 5 255 15912 14970 6 294 9 275 8 296 4 268 14970 14105 4*289 9 272 9 293 4 284 14105 13312 3*266 10 266 9 291 5 298 13312 12587 3 223 10 262 10 288 6 307 12587 11923 4 198 10 259 10 287 7 311 11923 11308 5 190 11 257 10 286 9 310 11308 10747 6 185 11 255 10 284 10 308 10747 10265 6 183 10 254 10 283 10 307 10265 9886 7 181 10 253 10 283 10 306 9886 9621 7 181 10 252 9 282 9 309 9621 9458 7 180 9*251 9*281 7*312 9458 9364 6 180 8*249 7*280 5*321 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography