DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 43.5 - - 44.8 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 66 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4532 - - 2964 - - 4950 - - 3811 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 189 - - 149 - - 27 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 146 - - 266 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 21 - - -1 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1584 - - -832 - - -2349 - - -4253 ODpotential blCL - - - 10946 - - 10194 - - 11711 - - 13616 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 92 - - 84 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 210 - - 210 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 43.5 - - 44.8 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.0 - - 39.4 - - 37.0 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 42.0 - - 44.7 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 38.6 - - 35.8 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 66 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 70 - - 35 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97619 18 282 23 307 15 313 15 304 97619 90342 21 302 22 292 19 307 18 339 90342 84731 18 295 17 281 19 298 21 330 84731 80090 14 293 9 286 15 296 18 310 80090 76108 16 300 6 316 10 295 12 305 76108 72597 14 289 8 296 6 299 8 299 72597 69423 6 269 10 268 6 269 8 282 69423 66510 4 238 7 259 7 257 9 249 66510 63809 8 241 9 231 8 255 8 230 63809 61191 11 258 12 222 13 257 8 266 61191 58467 15 252 18 229 22 243 21 253 58467 55659 20 260 19 243 22 234 24 235 55659 52987 29 263 23 257 24 247 25 239 52987 50573 33 260 31 252 31 246 29 242 50573 48395 38 258 36 249 37 247 34 241 48395 46400 40 258 40 251 41 247 39 240 46400 44551 42 255 41 251 41 247 40 242 44551 42826 43 254 41 251 39 250 39 246 42826 41210 41 256 40 252 38 252 37 248 41210 39693 39 256 40 251 36 253 34 250 39693 38275 39 255 40 249 36 252 32 249 38275 36930 39 252 39 248 34 247 31 245 36930 35597 39 248 37 247 31 245 31 241 35597 34255 37 246 35 245 28 243 29 239 34255 32910 34 244 32 244 26 241 25 234 32910 31554 30 241 30 240 26 240 22 233 31554 30176 28 240 29 237 29 241 22 241 30176 28776 26 242 27 236 29 242 24 244 28776 27358 23 245 22 242 24 243 24 240 27358 25929 13 248 13 251 17 245 22 233 25929 24498 12 177 11 250 15 237 20 228 24498 23065 15 151 12 188 11 226 21 219 23065 21629 11 151 17 159 8 240 19 210 21629 20213 9 186 19 172 10 247 22 219 20213 18875 12 218 18 192 13 233 27 225 18875 17664 16 227 16 212 16 217 27 230 17664 16582 18 225 16 225 18 209 23 233 16582 15601 17 220 15 231 18 206 19 232 15601 14706 16 211 13 232 16 205 16 226 14706 13884 14 204 11 231 14 207 13 208 13884 13129 11 200 8 225 11 210 12 184 13129 12439 10 197 6 210 8 213 12 163 12439 11806 8 188 6 189 6 218 12 150 11806 11219 7 172 7 166 5 222 11 140 11219 10683 7 163 8 152 3 225 9 130 10683 10223 7 159 10 148 2 237 7 120 10223 9862 7 158 10 148 2 249 5 109 9862 9608 7 157 10 147 2 259 4 086 9608 9452 7 157 9*146 1*258 4*049 9452 9363 6*157 7*146 1*266 4*026 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography