DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 42.0 - - 40.8 - - 39.5 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -8 - - 37 - - 9 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1393 - - 933 - - 2345 - - 1795 - - 1450 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 124 - - 77 - - 91 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 211 - - 193 - - 235 - - 206 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 23 - - 20 - - 32 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -425 - - -487 - - -114 - - 0 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 9787 - - 9849 - - 9476 - - 9362 - - 9362 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 42.0 - - 40.8 - - 39.5 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 42.1 - - 40.1 - - 39.4 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 41.7 - - 39.6 - - 38.6 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.7 - - 42.6 - - 39.7 - - 39.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -8 - - 37 - - 9 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 104 - - 104 - - 106 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96665 46 286 43 279 54 274 56 292 41 286 96665 89618 34 289 34 285 31 285 35 286 36 302 89618 84168 30 298 29 295 26 300 18 281 32 295 84168 79672 24 289 28 292 27 300 16 304 21 308 79672 75797 20 306 22 298 17 297 18 292 20 317 75797 72340 20 299 17 296 12 289 13 280 21 302 72340 69182 16 281 17 289 14 279 11 281 19 292 69182 66251 18 267 19 275 21 281 18 308 18 289 66251 63506 18 258 18 248 26 262 19 280 23 293 63506 60851 16 280 17 258 25 259 24 277 25 285 60851 58095 29 261 20 288 21 266 27 280 18 273 58095 55229 37 251 32 286 33 279 30 273 21 285 55229 52505 46 256 44 268 42 268 45 277 37 289 52505 50092 63 247 60 249 50 262 62 278 45 285 50092 47945 77 243 81 239 60 257 68 276 54 286 47945 45978 100 242 100 232 68 247 69 275 63 274 45978 44153 105 244 106 231 72 239 69 270 62 267 44153 42448 106 244 107 231 78 236 67 268 64 259 42448 40847 103 239 103 230 88 228 66 265 67 252 40847 39341 98 234 101 230 92 221 66 259 68 249 39341 37930 85 231 99 232 89 218 63 251 68 248 37930 36586 80 232 95 235 88 217 60 239 69 248 36586 35251 79 235 87 234 87 218 66 224 70 248 35251 33897 70 236 80 229 87 219 78 216 71 249 33897 32539 64 231 80 230 87 219 82 215 68 249 32539 31173 64 227 83 232 87 220 82 218 57 244 31173 29799 63 226 89 234 87 221 82 220 54 235 29799 28419 59 227 91 233 85 221 84 219 55 222 28419 27034 54 227 84 232 83 220 85 218 57 210 27034 25647 51 228 74 230 80 219 82 216 50 217 25647 24260 48 228 68 228 76 218 72 214 38 227 24260 22864 46 228 66 228 73 217 58 220 40 224 22864 21454 47 229 64 228 71 217 56 226 43 227 21454 20055 47 228 60 228 71 217 65 228 44 231 20055 18730 48 226 61 229 70 217 73 229 44 233 18730 17533 48 223 62 231 67 218 75 230 43 234 17533 16463 46 218 58 231 64 220 69 231 43 236 16463 15495 43 211 52 229 60 223 59 230 42 239 15495 14613 38 206 48 226 56 227 52 227 41 241 14613 13804 34 202 44 223 52 231 50 222 39 240 13804 13064 30 203 40 219 47 235 48 220 37 238 13064 12386 27 208 37 215 43 236 44 218 36 237 12386 11765 25 212 35 211 40 237 40 216 35 236 11765 11189 23 213 32 206 38 237 35 214 33 236 11189 10662 20 210 30 202 35 236 32 213 31 235 10662 10209 16 205 27 197 31 235 28 211 28 235 10209 9854 13 199 24 195 28 235 25 209 25 235 9854 9604 9 197 19 194 25 235 22 208 21 236 9604 9451 6*201 15*193 21*235 19*208 18*236 9451 9362 3*211 8*193 13*235 12*206 11*237 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography