DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1331z - - 1555z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.5 - - 21.1 - - 25.7 - - 26.6 - - 22.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 98 - - 108 - - 20 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9343 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9360 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1767 - - 3187 - - 3730 - - 3278 - - 2877 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 169 - - 176 - - 103 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 162 - - 149 - - 120 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 21 - - 19 - - 5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - -47 - - -60 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9360 - - 9361 - - 9409 - - 9421 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -308 - - -427 - - -1680 - - -2408 - - -3067 ODpotential blCL 9668 - - 9788 - - 11041 - - 11769 - - 12428 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 80 - - 80 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.5 - - 21.1 - - 25.7 - - 26.6 - - 22.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.7 - - 18.4 - - 17.6 - - 18.3 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.5 - - 19.4 - - 23.9 - - 25.6 - - 25.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 17.3 - - 16.5 - - 17.3 - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 98 - - 108 - - 20 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 96 - - 22 - - 21 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96599 14 256 14 243 19 232 16 259 23 290 96599 89276 14 208 16 220 16 228 8 251 11 239 89276 83634 5 214 9 205 10 212 10 224 5 235 83634 78963 8 233 7 230 9 242 9 223 5 230 78963 74959 5 273 2 201 7 255 7 243 3 193 74959 71434 7 295 5 273 10 281 9 269 7 326 71434 68254 8 316 10 291 10 290 10 296 10 312 68254 65324 12 299 16 291 18 299 17 304 11 294 65324 62588 16 281 23 278 23 298 25 296 18 297 62588 59914 19 273 24 275 28 290 24 296 22 291 59914 57104 19 270 27 279 24 284 30 294 35 288 57104 54175 22 290 28 284 32 285 38 283 41 287 54175 51370 34 286 32 286 41 285 38 288 43 293 51370 48844 36 282 37 287 43 286 41 299 45 296 48844 46591 38 289 38 296 43 292 47 297 44 296 46591 44560 41 296 42 306 49 295 48 295 46 298 44560 42711 39 298 50 304 51 295 48 301 52 298 42711 41016 45 304 54 297 49 303 56 307 56 300 41016 39456 53 299 50 297 63 310 66 307 63 301 39456 38010 54 303 51 306 68 298 74 301 70 296 38010 36668 54 310 59 309 60 297 71 296 71 290 36668 35402 53 312 61 307 62 300 66 290 61 290 35402 34157 51 314 58 304 70 291 62 284 51 284 34157 32906 45 313 54 305 64 294 58 280 47 275 32906 31654 44 314 50 307 58 298 55 279 40 263 31654 30385 52 308 44 301 55 305 52 282 36 263 30385 29090 55 304 42 295 49 309 49 278 38 266 29090 27774 53 308 43 296 39 304 45 274 40 270 27774 26441 51 317 42 297 33 294 37 275 40 276 26441 25097 47 319 38 298 33 288 28 281 38 284 25097 23748 45 317 28 306 35 279 23 283 36 291 23748 22394 42 318 23 318 29 273 21 276 38 291 22394 21031 36 316 21 312 21 271 23 259 38 276 21031 19682 29 312 22 295 19 268 23 247 38 256 19682 18408 25 303 22 284 20 270 23 243 39 239 18408 17257 22 295 21 279 21 274 23 241 38 229 17257 16227 19 289 19 271 21 273 25 239 34 223 16227 15296 16 281 17 263 19 260 26 234 31 218 15296 14446 13 273 13 249 15 237 24 224 27 214 14446 13665 8 260 10 221 13 213 21 211 24 209 13665 12949 4 191 10 194 13 194 19 199 21 203 12949 12293 7 153 11 181 13 182 18 190 18 194 12293 11691 10 150 12 173 12 174 16 183 16 186 11691 11133 11 148 11 168 11 166 14 175 14 175 11133 10622 11 145 11 165 10 157 11 162 12 163 10622 10183 10 140 10 163 9 153 8 145 10 152 10183 9838 9 135 10 163 9 151 7 129 8 141 9838 9596 7 131 9 162 8 149 6 124 6 129 9596 9447 6*130 9*162 8*150 6*123 4*113 9447 9361 5*128 7*162 7*149 5*120 2*070 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography