DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 68.1 - - - - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 197 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4869 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12370 - - 9347 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13669 - - 9364 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2858 - - 7702 - - - - - 791 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 214 - - - - - 53 W* B/S - - - 107 - - 19 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 020 - - - - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 37 - - -2 - - - - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 65 - - -3163 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13605 - - 12528 - - - - - 9364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2062 - - -5000 - - - - - -3896 ODpotential blCL - - - 15731 - - 14364 - - - - - 13260 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 100 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 480 - - - - - 800 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 68.1 - - - - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 45.2 - - - - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 65.6 - - - - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 44.1 - - - - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 197 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4869 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 99 - - - - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99264 45 102 36 096 44 102 99264 91815 43 105 40 108 34 081 91815 86051 41 108 43 106 27 075 86051 81234 34 097 36 100 32 098 81234 77113 26 092 27 093 34 100 77113 73513 24 103 21 099 29 095 73513 70271 26 110 20 113 28 083 70271 67290 25 103 22 120 26 067 67290 64521 23 096 22 121 19 069 64521 61856 16 085 16 119 13 088 61856 59121 9 076 11 115 11 103 59121 56324 11 118 8 127 12 110 56324 53671 15 147 10 144 10 106 53671 51277 15 157 16 148 8 135 51277 49114 15 149 17 139 9 151 49114 47129 14 138 15 135 9 141 47129 45288 15 128 14 129 6 130 45288 43566 14 113 11 112 4 108 43566 41949 11 097 9 083 9 086 41949 40432 9 071 10 065 13 071 40432 39016 7 036 9 057 14 054 39016 37673 7 015 8 056 15 041 37673 36340 9 016 6 044 17 018 36340 34994 14 029 8 017 16 007 34994 33639 14 031 13 002 15 015 33639 32262 13 023 14 355 14 018 32262 30857 17 018 14 358 11 022 30857 29430 18 011 14 001 9 025 29430 27988 17 006 13 358 7 017 27988 26536 16 006 16 357 7 004 26536 25081 15 359 18 359 8 008 25081 23619 12 355 18 007 13 027 23619 22145 11 011 17 013 19 026 22145 20678 13 029 16 016 24 022 20678 19284 16 040 17 019 26 018 19284 18021 17 038 17 019 26 014 18021 16889 17 025 17 017 24 006 16889 15864 16 004 17 015 21 356 15864 14928 13 352 15 013 18 345 14928 14069 10*347 13 011 16 334 14069 13281 8*340 11 010 13 326 13281 12561 5 333 8 009 10 321 12561 11901 2 307 6 009 7 320 11901 11291 1 244 5 010 5 326 11291 10734 2 197 4 012 3 350 10734 10256 3 184 4 011 3 037 10256 9881 3 180 3 013 4 045 9881 9618 4 178 3 016 4 044 9618 9457 4 176 2*016 4*040 9457 9364 4 175 2*020 3*034 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography