DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.8 - - 33.9 - - 37.6 - - 34.6 - - 29.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 284 - - 318 - - 44 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 2424 - - 3425 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 10320 - - 11113 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 11224 - - 12225 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1581 - - 1422 - - 1664 - - 3598 - - 1308 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 385 - - 448 - - 127 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 21 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 272 - - 269 - - 279 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -38 - - -41 - - -12 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 669 - - 321 - - -1927 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 10555 - - 11904 - - 11290 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -2023 - - -2589 - - -3937 - - -4985 - - -3013 ODpotential blCL 11384 - - 13813 - - 16162 - - 14347 - - 12375 blCL maxRH 89 - - 76 - - 67 - - 65 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.8 - - 33.9 - - 37.6 - - 34.6 - - 29.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 20.6 - - 18.2 - - 18.1 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.1 - - 31.3 - - 34.9 - - 33.3 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.8 - - 20.3 - - 17.9 - - 17.9 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 284 - - 318 - - 44 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 2424 - - 3425 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96936 14 301 23 309 25 342 17 359 18 309 96936 89926 8 354 8 342 13 001 21 031 18 031 89926 84402 10 029 8 040 8 053 15 033 19 046 84402 79749 7 020 6 016 9 058 13 072 15 060 79749 75715 4 348 5 017 6 020 14 045 13 054 75715 72136 6 333 7 332 3 028 8 012 11 022 72136 68905 8 289 7 287 4 319 9 342 9 344 68905 65968 7 253 12 292 9 284 14 315 18 316 65968 63286 11 287 20 285 19 282 19 288 22 270 63286 60686 17 301 24 295 20 277 23 277 32 261 60686 57945 33 291 40 284 33 274 40 277 43 276 57945 55090 37 271 53 272 55 271 59 277 62 276 55090 52356 50 266 66 270 66 268 68 270 71 272 52356 49875 64 260 71 264 72 268 72 268 75 268 49875 47637 74 257 77 260 80 263 78 266 82 266 47637 45600 79 256 82 258 87 258 87 261 92 263 45600 43728 79 257 84 257 91 256 91 258 95 260 43728 41994 84 262 87 258 95 259 94 260 96 259 41994 40377 93 264 96 260 103 262 100 263 103 263 40377 38870 106 263 107 259 111 263 109 264 114 267 38870 37475 117 261 117 258 119 262 119 263 122 266 37475 36163 126 260 123 257 127 258 126 260 126 263 36163 34870 130 258 126 257 130 257 130 258 128 262 34870 33565 130 257 127 257 129 258 129 260 127 264 33565 32256 127 259 124 258 123 260 127 265 124 268 32256 30936 120 264 117 261 115 263 121 267 116 271 30936 29596 109 266 107 262 107 262 112 264 108 268 29596 28240 100 265 100 261 105 260 106 259 102 262 28240 26870 97 264 99 259 104 260 105 259 98 260 26870 25492 95 264 96 260 99 262 102 261 94 261 25492 24112 91 265 91 261 92 262 97 262 90 263 24112 22726 87 266 86 263 87 262 91 262 86 265 22726 21329 83 270 83 267 83 263 87 263 84 267 21329 19939 79 272 79 269 81 264 84 266 81 269 19939 18622 73 273 72 269 76 265 78 268 76 270 18622 17432 67 272 65 267 69 265 70 269 68 269 17432 16371 63 272 58 265 61 265 60 269 59 269 16371 15415 58 271 52 264 52 264 52 267 52 268 15415 14544 53 271 45 265 44 264 44 264 47 267 14544 13747 48 271 39 267 35 264 39 263 43 264 13747 13014 43 273 31 268 29 265 35 263 40 263 13014 12345 40 275 26 269 25*266 30 265 37 263 12345 11732 38 279 22*270 24*268 26 269 34 265 11732 11163 35 283 19*271 23 269 22 273 23 265 11163 10643 33 288 18 273 22 270 20 277 23 272 10643 10196 29 293 17 273 21 270 19 279 22 280 10196 9846 24 298 16 273 20 270 18 279 19 287 9846 9600 19 303 14 273 19 270 16 280 15 294 9600 9449 14*305 13 272 17 269 14*280 11*301 9449 9362 7*307 10 271 12 269 9*279 6*307 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography