DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.0 - - 71.9 - - 72.8 - - 72.5 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 110 - - 366 - - 180 - - 118 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 7395 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 14309 - - 9347 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 16195 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6149 - - 3504 - - 12162 - - 12021 - - 2080 Hgt.Variab. W* 174 - - 607 - - 204 - - 177 - - 21 W* B/S 5 - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 354 - - 349 - - 308 - - 329 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -26 - - -8 - - -3 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4346 - - 1021 - - -6380 - - -5748 - - -2636 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13711 - - 15174 - - 15745 - - 15112 - - 12001 sfcLCL ODpotential -7036 - - -925 - - -8032 - - -7508 - - -6448 ODpotential blCL 16400 - - 17120 - - 17396 - - 16872 - - 15812 blCL maxRH 83 - - 94 - - 99 - - 90 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 250 - - 290 - - 460 - - 330 CAPE Temp@2m 66.0 - - 71.9 - - 72.8 - - 72.5 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 37.6 - - 36.0 - - 38.5 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.1 - - 68.7 - - 70.5 - - 70.6 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 37.2 - - 35.7 - - 38.2 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 110 - - 366 - - 180 - - 118 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 7395 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 77 - - 95 - - 62 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99025 43 100 43 105 26 112 29 072 41 081 99025 91649 34 094 35 099 34 090 28 099 33 102 91649 85946 28 099 26 096 36 088 34 099 29 113 85946 81188 26 104 21 094 27 096 34 092 28 106 81188 77099 26 106 16 100 17 105 24 090 26 090 77099 73501 22 096 17 128 14 092 16 108 22 080 73501 70251 19 083 20 126 12 098 14 117 14 079 70251 67263 12 088 15 108 12 118 10 119 9 097 67263 64491 8 119 12 104 9 131 6 137 4 107 64491 61813 5 148 6 081 6 120 3 140 1 000 61813 59041 4 136 1 215 1 143 4 122 2 225 59041 56182 1 097 4 253 3 243 3 002 0 247 56182 53471 8 355 3 287 5 245 9 312 6 320 53471 51046 16 338 11 334 6 302 9 302 10 312 51046 48875 14 323 16 326 17 299 17 300 19 299 48875 46901 16 330 16 316 17 301 16 299 20 292 46901 45080 21 331 21 332 22 328 24 319 21 305 45080 43382 34 323 35 321 35 323 31 315 30 305 43382 41794 41 310 36 314 37 320 31 318 28 303 41794 40303 38 308 33 314 37 320 35 319 31 313 40303 38905 34 309 34 317 37 320 39 316 36 308 38905 37576 32 310 34 320 35 319 37 316 37 307 37576 36255 30 310 33 321 31 318 32 323 34 309 36255 34916 25 310 32 318 27 319 26 323 25 316 34916 33566 21 314 29 316 25 321 18 310 18 320 33566 32193 22 313 22 312 24 319 14 302 15 305 32193 30793 14 303 17 305 18 316 14 304 15 295 30793 29374 7 294 10 278 15 310 13 306 14 304 29374 27941 6 295 8 251 15 298 15 307 15 314 27941 26497 7 271 10 255 15 281 16 310 15 318 26497 25050 7 236 11 258 16 280 17 312 14 315 25050 23593 6 230 12 283 15 286 20 306 12 312 23593 22121 8 244 15 307 10 314 15 319 11 303 22121 20659 11 254 13 327 10 322 12 331 11 308 20659 19274 12 259 10 344 10 327 12 333 14 312 19274 18019 11 269 11 349 9 328 12 334 16 314 18019 16893 9 284 12*348 9 328 13 334 16 314 16893 15872 8 303 12*348 9 327 12 332 16 314 15872 14939 10 320 12 348 9 326 12 330 15 315 14939 14081 12 328 12 348 9 324 12 328 14 317 14081 13294 15 333 12 349 9 321 12 326 13 320 13294 12573 17 336 11 349 9 320 11 324 12 323 12573 11913 17 340 11 349 9 318 10 324 12 325 11913 11302 16 344 11 350 9 317 9 324 11 326 11302 10742 15 349 10 349 8 315 8 326 11 329 10742 10262 14 352 10 349 8 313 7 327 9 334 10262 9885 12 353 9 348 8 313 6 327 8 342 9885 9620 11 354 9 348 7 311 5 328 7 351 9620 9458 9*354 8 348 7*311 5*328 6*354 9458 9364 7*354 6 347 5*308 4*329 4*351 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography