DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 57.9 - - 55.7 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 131 - - 42 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 940 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 3498 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1316 - - 1028 - - 1627 - - 1441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 208 - - 92 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 092 - - 092 - - 084 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 556 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2816 - - 2942 - - 2816 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -259 - - 25 - - -474 - - -391 ODpotential blCL - - - 3075 - - 3473 - - 3290 - - 3207 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 30 - - 140 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 57.9 - - 55.7 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 54.7 - - 53.3 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 56.5 - - 54.8 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 54.2 - - 53.1 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 131 - - 42 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 940 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98535 9 134 6 209 5 132 5 147 98535 91121 13 120 9 162 6 216 2 053 91121 85401 11 102 8 120 6 171 8 019 85401 80665 7 078 6 092 5 086 5 035 80665 76591 2 081 7 089 1 355 5 041 76591 72989 6 276 6 096 8 246 5 320 72989 69738 2 245 4 040 3 233 6 327 69738 66768 6 012 4 033 4 336 9 345 66768 64028 6 352 5 019 4 349 9 337 64028 61380 7 326 9 332 10 334 11 333 61380 58616 6 279 8 271 10 295 11 292 58616 55746 15 309 11 277 13 301 16 290 55746 53008 27 282 23 278 20 281 19 292 53008 50548 29 260 27 266 23 278 21 301 50548 48342 24 249 27 265 25 279 26 291 48342 46336 23 264 27 262 25 274 27 275 46336 44488 27 267 25 261 25 267 26 259 44488 42768 32 259 30 258 25 267 24 252 42768 41159 36 245 37 253 28 272 22 262 41159 39651 35 238 38 244 32 271 24 271 39651 38237 35 238 35 239 33 255 27 266 38237 36877 37 236 31 239 33 240 29 254 36877 35503 36 235 30 241 31 240 31 248 35503 34085 33 236 30 241 34 248 35 247 34085 32630 29 235 30 237 37 248 38 243 32630 31133 26 230 30 232 36 234 42 233 31133 29580 25 231 28 233 34 231 47 231 29580 27963 23 231 25 236 30 233 38 237 27963 26284 21 230 24 237 28 244 24 243 26284 24543 18 230 22 238 23 249 20 248 24543 22741 17 237 21 240 20 251 17 244 22741 20871 16 245 20 252 18 252 13 238 20871 18928 17 246 18 259 15 254 9 242 18928 16950 17 241 16 254 16 268 7 248 16950 15049 14 251 11 254 10 268 3 179 15049 13324 6 303 4 316 2 259 5 132 13324 11788 3 342 5 026 4 110 5 149 11788 10414 1 331 4 060 5 119 4 196 10414 9187 2 330 2 053 4 142 6 213 9187 8091 3 338 3 153 6 174 7 203 8091 7118 2 356 6 170 8 171 9 174 7118 6258 6 123 9 166 11 151 13 141 6258 5498 14 120 12 151 14 122 18 117 5498 4818 19 109 14 114 18 097 21 098 4818 4219 20 101 15 098 19 089 22 090 4219 3719 17 097 14*094 17 087 20 086 3719 3335 14 094 13*093 15 085 17 085 3335 3070 12 093 12 092 13 085 14 084 3070 2908 10 092 10 092 11 085 12*083 2908 2816 7*092 8 091 8*084 8*083 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography