DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 25.5 - - 24.9 - - 20.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 53 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1942 - - 2133 - - 1462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 132 - - 100 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 293 - - 285 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -408 - - -190 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3222 - - 3004 - - 2813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -662 - - -602 - - -1073 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3476 - - 3416 - - 3886 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 25.5 - - 24.9 - - 20.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 21.5 - - 21.8 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 24.1 - - 24.0 - - 21.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 20.3 - - 21.0 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 53 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 91 - - 101 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96161 47 234 45 244 36 246 96161 88967 34 237 37 246 30 254 88967 83439 16 251 27 250 29 266 83439 78838 13 270 19 246 25 261 78838 74869 23 294 20 259 24 270 74869 71364 26 277 26 268 27 264 71364 68176 27 267 26 266 27 273 68176 65225 31 270 26 266 26 268 65225 62463 37 273 31 271 28 276 62463 59766 41 269 37 268 40 279 59766 56946 41 258 42 265 45 276 56946 54009 38 250 44 258 43 275 54009 51191 39 256 39 256 42 272 51191 48640 47 262 40 260 46 267 48640 46350 50 259 43 262 47 265 46350 44276 51 255 45 260 45 264 44276 42378 50 254 42 260 41 260 42378 40625 46 253 46 263 37 267 40625 38997 43 254 46 263 39 282 38997 37480 39 255 40 266 44 286 37480 36067 34 259 37 273 45 280 36067 34722 36 264 37 278 42 273 34722 33379 32 264 33 284 37 274 33379 32013 22 293 32 288 39 281 32013 30633 25 320 36 301 37 277 30633 29229 28 323 35 304 35 270 29229 27774 27 329 35 295 34 267 27774 26259 27 332 34 291 34 268 26259 24680 25 331 29 290 37 273 24680 23041 24 332 30 297 38 275 23041 21344 19 321 32 297 38 276 21344 19586 17 295 28 291 36 275 19586 17764 17 294 25 290 33 277 17764 15917 17 304 22 289 31 281 15917 14147 17 300 21 288 29 277 14147 12540 16 293 20 291 23 277 12540 11112 14 298 17 294 20 287 11112 9842 13 306 15 297 19 295 9842 8709 11 310 13 300 18 298 8709 7697 9 310 11 301 18 298 7697 6799 9 306 11 302 18 302 6799 6003 9 304 12 294 19 305 6003 5300 10 294 12 282 20 297 5300 4671 11 292 12 282 17 282 4671 4116 11 293 12 283 15 277 4116 3653 11 293 12 284 13 284 3653 3296 10 294 11 285 12 289 3296 3050 10 294 10 285 10 290 3050 2899 9*293 9*285 8 292 2899 2813 6*293 6*285 4*292 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography