DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 70.4 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4751 - - 5255 - - 3115 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 151 - - 101 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 21 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 263 - - 285 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3291 - - -3935 - - -1765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6109 - - 6752 - - 4582 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5969 - - -7925 - - -6774 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8786 - - 10742 - - 9591 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 67 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 70.4 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.2 - - 50.5 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.4 - - 69.5 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.0 - - 49.4 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97970 9 229 17 246 12 282 97970 90709 11 262 12 266 15 291 90709 85076 7 263 10 278 5 296 85076 80383 5 240 9 298 5 020 80383 76362 5 157 6 311 4 005 76362 72818 3 143 6 304 6 304 72818 69604 3 310 5 285 13 304 69604 66652 5 294 5 214 13 294 66652 63918 7 284 5 261 11 288 63918 61271 4 256 6 278 8 276 61271 58512 5 305 9 301 8 313 58512 55658 9 301 14 288 13 295 55658 52944 10 311 12 297 14 315 52944 50499 14 328 15 325 20 320 50499 48299 18 332 17 330 25 325 48299 46294 22 332 19 334 26 333 46294 44443 23 331 24 336 27 327 44443 42725 21 334 30 334 26 339 42725 41129 20 332 31 328 37 360 41129 39637 19 323 21 314 44 356 39637 38236 16 317 18 315 41 345 38236 36888 16 314 18 310 31 335 36888 35530 22 295 18 306 25 345 35530 34136 27 276 19 299 27 348 34136 32706 26 274 19 295 24 331 32706 31223 22 276 19 295 17 320 31223 29674 18 284 19 292 14 331 29674 28058 17 288 20 294 14 343 28058 26374 16 283 19 300 14 337 26374 24625 15 291 17 306 13 322 24625 22818 12 298 15 297 12 311 22818 20942 11 305 14 291 13 309 20942 18991 12 311 13 299 14 311 18991 17007 11 312 13 309 13 313 17007 15098 9 312 12 314 12 314 15098 13366 8 314 10 316 12 315 13366 11825 10 319 11 318 13 318 11825 10454 11 321 12 319 13 317 10454 9232 10 323 9 312 11 299 9232 8143 8 317 6 282 9 259 8143 7176 4 289 4 284 7 238 7176 6320 2 276 4 291 6 249 6320 5558 2 273 4 294 5 262 5558 4871 2 272 4 292 4 276 4871 4260 2 271 4 293 3 296 4260 3747 2 269 4 291 3 312 3747 3351 2 265 3 288 4 322 3351 3078 2 263 3 288 4 324 3078 2912 2*265 3 286 3*323 2912 2817 1*263 3*285 2*321 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography