DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.0 - - 19.5 - - 19.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 110 - - 34 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 255 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2813 - - 2813 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3007 - - 3794 - - 3692 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 126 - - 86 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 296 - - 300 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -233 - - -316 - - -292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3046 - - 3129 - - 3105 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -555 - - -806 - - -1013 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3368 - - 3619 - - 3826 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.0 - - 19.5 - - 19.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 15.9 - - 16.1 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 18.0 - - 18.8 - - 18.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 15.1 - - 15.6 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 110 - - 34 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 255 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96572 9 116 9 133 7 330 96572 89406 10 115 7 119 5 079 89406 83822 10 150 5 154 3 119 83822 79145 6 152 4 150 3 176 79145 75098 5 120 9 195 9 237 75098 71527 1 283 1 216 10 246 71527 68290 3 138 1 125 11 199 68290 65287 12 297 15 303 10 277 65287 62493 9 219 16 257 12 253 62493 59771 14 246 13 200 13 238 59771 56903 31 270 24 271 22 263 56903 53907 33 254 33 264 34 269 53907 51037 30 249 35 265 42 273 51037 48458 34 263 37 271 43 280 48458 46155 35 271 36 272 41 282 46155 44068 36 284 35 279 38 283 44068 42154 42 290 36 284 36 286 42154 40383 45 290 36 288 35 294 40383 38740 43 290 36 292 36 302 38740 37212 42 290 36 293 40 308 37212 35789 39 290 36 295 44 309 35789 34435 36 298 39 301 42 312 34435 33087 38 307 42 309 43 322 33087 31720 41 311 48 316 51 330 31720 30338 43 316 51 319 58 332 30338 28926 44 315 52 321 63 331 28926 27470 44 314 53 323 64 330 27470 25966 41 316 54 327 60 329 25966 24408 41 322 57 330 56 331 24408 22795 44 325 57 332 54 335 22795 21129 45 328 56 334 52 339 21129 19402 42 328 52 335 50 342 19402 17606 36 326 47 334 46 345 17606 15777 28 327 42 334 43 345 15777 14014 26 335 38 333 42 342 14014 12412 29 338 35 334 40 339 12412 10989 33 333 33 335 38 335 10989 9724 34 332 34 335 36 329 9724 8601 35 340 34 333 34 327 8601 7610 37 340 36 326 35 325 7610 6736 36 332 37 320 37 320 6736 5964 35 324 36 316 37 316 5964 5277 31 315 35 311 36 311 5277 4659 27 305 33 310 34 308 4659 4110 26 303 30 307 32 305 4110 3649 24 301 27 305 29 302 3649 3294 22 299 24 303 25 299 3294 3048 20 298 21 302 21 297 3048 2899 17 297 17 301 17 296 2899 2813 11*296 11*300 10*294 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography