DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 63.4 - - 63.5 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 149 - - 12 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1493 - - 3623 - - 4177 - - 333 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 116 - - 143 - - 71 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 072 - - 041 - - 020 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6827 - - -7030 - - -6813 - - -2177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9643 - - 9846 - - 9629 - - 4993 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15299 - - -13749 - - -13345 - - -8428 ODpotential blCL - - - 18115 - - 16565 - - 16161 - - 11244 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 70 - - 63 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 63.4 - - 63.5 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.4 - - 30.4 - - 31.4 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 61.8 - - 63.1 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 29.2 - - 30.3 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 149 - - 12 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97554 13 268 18 260 18 276 15 288 97554 90279 5 284 9 249 15 259 15 260 90279 84676 9 308 6 268 8 261 10 248 84676 80027 11 284 7 269 9 262 8 305 80027 76025 10 268 6 302 9 281 9 327 76025 72492 6 273 6 315 9 288 13 328 72492 69304 5 329 4 295 10 287 18 302 69304 66384 13 320 8 301 10 309 17 294 66384 63687 16 312 13 325 13 339 12 326 63687 61085 16 308 18 327 17 332 19 331 61085 58377 14 315 17 324 17 317 21 314 58377 55564 13 327 18 323 20 316 22 302 55564 52871 21 318 23 322 25 317 23 309 52871 50434 21 312 27 321 28 317 27 316 50434 48233 25 321 31 314 30 315 27 319 48233 46219 31 317 32 308 31 313 28 319 46219 44359 33 314 33 309 32 318 29 321 44359 42628 32 312 33 312 33 325 29 325 42628 41006 31 308 33 312 32 326 29 327 41006 39480 30 306 32 308 31 322 28 327 39480 38044 27 299 28 303 28 318 26 325 38044 36664 26 296 27 299 21 313 23 324 36664 35280 19 291 20 279 18 315 16 329 35280 33871 15 289 9 260 10 300 13 343 33871 32442 11 268 2 265 2 359 11 043 32442 30972 9 262 4 278 4 340 15 043 30972 29435 9 287 4 291 5 321 10 033 29435 27828 9 302 5 301 5 309 5 027 27828 26153 10 279 10 306 9 315 8 358 26153 24415 11 274 12 315 10 324 8 351 24415 22619 10 283 13 315 11 329 7 330 22619 20757 9 291 11 308 11 321 8 308 20757 18821 9 301 10 295 13 320 11 313 18821 16850 10 307 7 297 11 314 11 322 16850 14953 9 325 5 328 8 314 10 326 14953 13229 8 341 5 000 6 326 8 328 13229 11702 9 356 9 031 5 020 7 351 11702 10348 9 003 12 038 10 048 9 027 10348 9142 7 037 12 033 13 049 12 031 9142 8065 8 067 11 030 14 044 13 032 8065 7107 10 072 10 028 14 037 13 035 7107 6258 12 065 10 026 11 024 13 039 6258 5504 13 060 8 025 9 016 11 033 5504 4827 15 062 7 026 9 016 9 027 4827 4226 15 067 7 029 8 017 10 010 4226 3723 13 068 6 033 8 019 14 354 3723 3337 10 069 6 037 7 019 16 346 3337 3070 8 070 5 038 7 020 14 342 3070 2908 7*071 5 039 6 020 10*338 2908 2816 5*072 4*041 4*020 5*333 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography