DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 70.0 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - 89 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5404 - - 5977 - - 4214 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 137 - - 127 - - 42 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 319 - - 319 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5305 - - -4616 - - -2677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8123 - - 7433 - - 5494 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8752 - - -6861 - - -5857 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11569 - - 9678 - - 8674 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 75 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 70.0 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.4 - - 47.1 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.9 - - 68.9 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.1 - - 45.9 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - 89 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 0 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98459 8 096 8 086 15 033 98459 91000 8 075 11 076 10 037 91000 85243 12 108 10 075 9 049 85243 80452 13 111 13 100 7 063 80452 76323 10 063 11 074 11 069 76323 72679 5 086 10 053 14 045 72679 69399 7 055 5 039 7 007 69399 66405 15 036 8 012 9 347 66405 63639 24 010 12 337 16 340 63639 60974 27 332 22 325 23 316 60974 58203 28 316 24 322 24 317 58203 55325 32 307 30 316 34 310 55325 52585 41 300 40 311 41 305 52585 50131 48 296 49 301 52 301 50131 47932 57 296 57 299 56 294 47932 45935 64 285 70 287 59 281 45935 44114 60 279 75 273 61 281 44114 42438 54 283 60 264 70 278 42438 40880 52 285 48 274 75 272 40880 39418 51 289 50 280 78 270 39418 38039 53 297 53 283 78 271 38039 36709 56 299 55 285 70 271 36709 35363 56 297 56 284 65 272 35363 33971 58 295 57 283 60 273 33971 32535 60 293 56 280 56 274 32535 31039 61 292 56 279 56 278 31039 29475 64 291 60 282 53 277 29475 27848 60 295 61 283 51 273 27848 26158 50 291 61 281 50 273 26158 24407 43 292 61 292 45 277 24407 22598 37 293 48 299 47 284 22598 20730 31 288 40 295 41 297 20730 18798 34 295 39 290 38 300 18798 16840 32 295 36 296 34 298 16840 14960 24 296 31 303 29 302 14960 13251 21 300 22 299 24 305 13251 11729 21 304 19 307 21 307 11729 10375 20 308 18 316 19 313 10375 9168 19 315 16 319 16 313 9168 8092 14 324 10 317 10 312 8092 7135 10 326 9 319 7 327 7135 6288 10 326 9 320 8 343 6288 5533 10 325 9 320 10 347 5533 4853 10 324 9 321 11 347 4853 4248 10 323 9 321 12 346 4248 3739 10 322 9 320 12 345 3739 3347 10 321 8 320 11 344 3347 3076 9 321 8 320 9 342 3076 2911 8*321 7*320 7*341 2911 2817 6*319 6*319 4*339 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography