DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 73.0 - - 75.0 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 252 - - 112 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 4393 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 5478 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 6951 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1947 - - 1329 - - 6987 - - 5031 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 58 - - 432 - - 129 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 355 - - 324 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1730 - - -1199 - - -5474 - - -3584 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4547 - - 8150 - - 8292 - - 6401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4616 - - -4638 - - -6361 - - -5464 ODpotential blCL - - - 7433 - - 11589 - - 9178 - - 8281 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 96 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 73.0 - - 75.0 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.4 - - 47.0 - - 48.3 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 70.9 - - 73.7 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 46.2 - - 47.6 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 252 - - 112 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 4393 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 87 - - 82 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98157 12 085 10 089 15 138 7 265 98157 90806 12 122 3 112 2 339 6 065 90806 85128 6 083 6 130 9 304 9 057 85128 80405 9 028 7 091 3 289 5 016 80405 76347 8 041 5 067 4 109 4 025 76347 72779 5 069 6 108 6 099 5 050 72779 69558 5 064 9 109 5 121 2 038 69558 66601 3 083 5 066 7 122 2 173 66601 63857 6 137 1 018 3 135 3 249 63857 61197 6 156 4 204 4 226 6 247 61197 58424 5 203 7 225 9 239 9 240 58424 55550 5 231 9 232 13 242 15 227 55550 52810 7 264 11 236 16 252 13 239 52810 50347 15 281 17 250 20 252 16 264 50347 48148 18 256 25 246 23 252 22 264 48148 46155 13 232 26 235 27 248 28 255 46155 44326 11 290 16 224 26 239 32 249 44326 42632 18 265 11 269 14 246 32 246 42632 41057 13 205 13 258 20 283 27 242 41057 39590 17 087 12 151 20 228 17 239 39590 38218 12 036 4 085 16 214 15 244 38218 36899 7 020 6 325 12 238 13 219 36899 35562 7 012 9 312 14 261 8 240 35562 34176 11 341 11 311 16 276 12 265 34176 32744 14 331 17 316 18 291 14 275 32744 31252 16 315 16 325 16 299 13 279 31252 29689 16 308 12 330 13 302 11 269 29689 28061 12 317 10 312 10 302 12 258 28061 26367 9 347 9 321 8 302 11 264 26367 24609 9 323 10 321 9 311 10 268 24609 22794 11 305 7 324 8 313 10 278 22794 20917 9 316 5 340 8 320 12 309 20917 18970 7 003 7 329 11 333 14 349 18970 16991 12 041 9 338 12 340 16 001 16991 15089 15 049 10 352 14 347 17 001 15089 13362 19 043 13 000 16 002 16 002 13362 11827 20 037 14 002 16 013 15 012 11827 10461 17 033 13 011 15 025 11 014 10461 9245 14 030 12 017 12 013 8 016 9245 8160 12 022 10 010 10 354 9 010 8160 7192 11 012 10*360 10 350 10 002 7192 6332 13 004 10*358 10 343 11 356 6332 5568 16 356 10 357 10 338 12 351 5568 4879 16 352 10 355 10 334 13 348 4879 4266 14 350 9 354 10 331 13 345 4266 3751 10 341 9 353 9 328 12 343 3751 3354 8 337 8 352 9 326 11 340 3354 3080 6 336 8 351 8 326 9 336 3080 2913 5*334 7 351 8 325 7*332 2913 2817 3*330 6 351 6*324 3*328 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography