DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.1 - - 54.1 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -14 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2149 - - 2900 - - 341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 101 - - 50 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 237 - - 238 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -37 - - -229 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2853 - - 3045 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -698 - - -1305 - - -3928 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3514 - - 4121 - - 6744 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 90 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.1 - - 54.1 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.2 - - 50.3 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.6 - - 54.3 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.5 - - 49.9 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -14 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 87 - - 61 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96156 10 269 16 311 18 348 96156 89169 27 038 7 009 18 025 89169 83750 23 040 11 014 19 019 83750 79213 20 023 5 058 7 031 79213 75254 15 009 12 004 13 005 75254 71741 13 060 4 116 3 344 71741 68536 27 345 12 320 9 349 68536 65577 31 297 25 306 22 320 65577 62848 25 266 21 298 19 309 62848 60199 21 250 21 287 32 288 60199 57456 23 277 28 284 42 292 57456 54625 44 303 49 293 54 291 54625 51916 65 288 65 289 62 284 51916 49466 68 288 71 289 69 285 49466 47260 74 293 86 285 81 285 47260 45254 92 288 91 287 89 284 45254 43414 93 286 93 287 92 283 43414 41719 85 285 94 285 93 282 41719 40156 72 286 92 284 99 282 40156 38706 73 290 88 282 106 281 38706 37347 81 291 84 282 103 281 37347 36038 83 289 84 282 96 282 36038 34715 84 286 87 280 103 284 34715 33350 78 283 86 279 108 284 33350 31947 66 280 78 280 97 284 31947 30493 56 277 72 279 84 283 30493 28974 52 273 72 280 80 282 28974 27394 53 269 70 281 77 281 27394 25753 55 268 60 282 71 280 25753 24052 57 270 54 282 66 279 24052 22290 56 273 55 277 55 276 22290 20468 53 271 60 270 48 275 20468 18580 52 270 60 271 50 278 18580 16658 51 273 57 273 52 278 16658 14803 49 272 53 273 49 273 14803 13115 45 270 46 272 47 268 13115 11616 40 267 40 266 46 268 11616 10284 35 265 38 261 47 271 10284 9095 31 265 37 263 48 272 9095 8032 31 265 33 267 49 270 8032 7083 33 265 31 269 48 267 7083 6241 33 261 29 266 46 264 6241 5491 33 253 29 257 44 258 5491 4817 31 248 28 249 43 250 4817 4219 27 242 27 244 40 243 4219 3719 23 239 24 242 34 239 3719 3334 21 238 21 240 27 238 3334 3069 19 237 18 239 19 238 3069 2908 16*238 14*239 13*239 2908 2816 10*237 9*238 6*242 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography