DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 75.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 120 - - 58 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5797 - - 5796 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 140 - - 112 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 296 - - 263 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2722 - - -2116 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5540 - - 4934 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3472 - - -3078 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6289 - - 5895 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 86 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 640 - - 1510 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 75.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.7 - - 62.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.2 - - 74.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.3 - - 61.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 120 - - 58 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 10 - - 44 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99108 22 105 16 096 99108 91700 23 089 18 077 91700 85976 24 087 20 089 85976 81213 20 078 18 091 81213 77094 16 081 16 098 77094 73439 15 090 11 095 73439 70128 8 102 13 107 70128 67082 9 128 7 093 67082 64257 6 171 6 171 64257 61532 13 169 5 226 61532 58696 11 250 12 218 58696 55770 22 241 18 229 55770 52994 24 247 23 243 52994 50496 41 240 39 254 50496 48257 52 218 52 236 48257 46240 49 209 57 217 46240 44398 47 224 53 213 44398 42694 60 230 54 225 42694 41109 66 228 62 226 41109 39627 66 228 67 220 39627 38231 67 230 67 216 38231 36885 68 230 65 217 36885 35527 66 229 64 220 35527 34129 61 230 61 222 34129 32691 56 229 59 223 32691 31196 49 225 56 225 31196 29634 48 222 53 229 29634 28008 47 224 47 234 28008 26319 47 233 42 244 26319 24573 40 243 38 252 24573 22769 33 243 35 259 22769 20902 29 244 29 265 20902 18967 30 240 26 265 18967 17002 27 247 23 259 17002 15115 20 259 20 264 15115 13403 16 275 17 266 13403 11878 16 292 16 274 11878 10514 16 305 14 281 10514 9292 16 308 11 281 9292 8200 13 311 10 279 8200 7226 10 312 10 278 7226 6363 9 311 10 277 6363 5593 8 309 10 274 5593 4899 8 306 10 271 4899 4280 8 304 9 268 4280 3761 7 302 9 266 3761 3360 7 299 9 265 3360 3083 6 298 8 264 3083 2914 6 297 7 264 2914 2817 4*296 6*263 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography