DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 69.1 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 342 - - 188 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5001 - - 4619 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6069 - - 5504 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7559 - - 7177 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2029 - - 2836 - - 3503 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 496 - - 397 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 299 - - 297 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 421 - - -528 - - -3240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7139 - - 7705 - - 6057 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -584 - - -1857 - - -6226 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8143 - - 9034 - - 9042 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 70 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 220 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 69.1 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.2 - - 45.3 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 67.3 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.4 - - 44.5 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 342 - - 188 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5001 - - 4619 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97163 50 255 55 263 56 269 97163 89806 48 259 53 265 52 271 89806 84148 34 261 43 258 42 274 84148 79502 22 264 31 272 31 274 79502 75532 20 268 26 262 23 274 75532 72025 23 273 29 270 26 275 72025 68850 30 272 32 269 30 270 68850 65922 33 264 32 271 32 283 65922 63197 35 275 38 279 41 286 63197 60553 46 277 43 279 43 277 60553 57783 48 272 42 278 41 276 57783 54893 44 276 42 277 46 278 54893 52125 46 282 45 278 52 280 52125 49634 50 282 51 279 54 282 49634 47400 51 282 46 280 53 284 47400 45376 51 283 56 295 56 295 45376 43554 60 287 63 291 61 292 43554 41902 60 284 57 286 57 293 41902 40373 47 286 49 300 49 301 40373 38950 43 297 54 317 54 316 38950 37618 46 303 58 320 65 323 37618 36335 47 301 54 318 69 325 36335 35034 48 293 50 313 64 323 35034 33686 50 286 49 307 58 316 33686 32293 49 283 48 301 57 315 32293 30840 47 287 45 302 55 318 30840 29318 44 291 40 303 50 316 29318 27728 41 291 36 303 44 315 27728 26071 41 289 33 304 41 314 26071 24347 39 289 32 304 39 311 24347 22566 34 293 32 304 34 311 22566 20723 26 293 32 308 30 309 20723 18807 21 287 25 296 27 307 18807 16855 19 271 25 284 25 298 16855 14977 13 266 21 268 23 292 14977 13270 13 299 17 279 18 292 13270 11752 15 312 17 294 15 294 11752 10400 16 312 15 287 14 292 10400 9191 14 303 12 277 13 273 9191 8112 13*299 11*279 13 253 8112 7149 13*299 11*283 12 245 7149 6295 13 299 11 290 10 252 6295 5537 13 299 12 295 8 275 5537 4855 12 299 12 298 8 302 4855 4248 12 300 12 300 9 317 4248 3739 12 300 12 302 9 325 3739 3346 11 300 11 303 9 328 3346 3076 10 300 11 303 8 330 3076 2911 10 300 10 304 6 331 2911 2816 8 300 7 304 4*332 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography