DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.2 - - 31.9 - - 32.8 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2797 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1136 - - 924 - - 939 - - 903 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 38 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 159 - - 180 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -351 - - -344 - - -672 - - -388 ODpotential blCL - - - 3165 - - 3158 - - 3487 - - 3202 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.2 - - 31.9 - - 32.8 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 31.4 - - 32.6 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 31.6 - - 32.7 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.7 - - 31.2 - - 32.8 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96150 5 290 8 290 12 298 5 315 96150 89020 12 016 1 037 5 250 9 293 89020 83510 6 300 5 241 10 268 17 301 83510 78946 10 250 13 267 13 280 13 269 78946 74998 11 282 20 284 20 284 17 269 74998 71504 25 285 21 278 20 289 21 264 71504 68344 30 263 28 270 25 287 22 273 68344 65426 28 271 34 260 32 270 28 273 65426 62703 35 278 38 259 34 260 34 272 62703 60059 42 279 41 263 37 264 39 276 60059 57306 53 275 47 268 42 274 46 275 57306 54450 60 265 56 267 50 275 56 270 54450 51716 67 255 67 262 61 272 64 263 51716 49246 69 251 73 256 72 267 68 261 49246 47027 81 257 83 256 84 256 77 262 47027 45018 103 256 100 254 92 251 94 258 45018 43186 115 245 117 249 104 254 111 252 43186 41496 118 247 117 244 128 253 122 250 41496 39936 132 252 132 249 151 251 129 252 39936 38495 147 251 153 247 161 250 146 254 38495 37147 150 251 152 246 154 249 147 251 37147 35842 141 251 151 246 153 249 141 248 35842 34517 127 249 151 246 153 250 147 247 34517 33143 126 246 152 248 154 254 154 248 33143 31723 127 245 152 251 150 257 154 254 31723 30249 128 248 150 254 137 252 139 256 30249 28721 121 251 131 252 129 244 122 247 28721 27131 112 249 119 245 131 239 126 244 27131 25478 106 244 115 240 123 243 122 243 25478 23767 107 243 115 242 117 246 120 246 23767 22001 105 248 105 248 104 252 108 253 22001 20174 94 252 95 250 92 255 93 258 20174 18285 86 252 85 251 84 254 80 259 18285 16372 79 252 75 252 80 256 66 257 16372 14534 72 249 65 251 71 260 55 257 14534 12862 59 252 58 250 61 262 47 257 12862 11376 43 254 48 254 53 262 41 258 11376 10056 38 249 37 255 42 263 36 261 10056 8884 32 246 31 253 31 268 30 265 8884 7841 28 243 29 255 27 270 24 269 7841 6914 23 239 27 254 27 267 20 273 6914 6096 22 235 25 250 25 265 20 270 6096 5375 20 223 21 244 22 262 24 265 5375 4729 19 199 18 240 19 257 23 262 4729 4157 18 170 14 226 15 258 19 259 4157 3679 17 159 10 200 11 264 15 260 3679 3311 15 153 8 179 7 266 10 268 3311 3057 12 149 6 171 3 258 7 276 3057 2903 10 147 4*163 2*243 4*279 2903 2814 6*144 2*159 1*180 2*283 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography