DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 76.5 - - 77.4 - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 99 - - 43 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5212 - - 7400 - - 7646 - - 5915 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 131 - - 104 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 13 - - 10 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 047 - - 010 - - 323 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2620 - - -3986 - - -4263 - - -1827 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5438 - - 6803 - - 7081 - - 4645 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3843 - - -4661 - - -5110 - - -3472 ODpotential blCL - - - 6660 - - 7478 - - 7928 - - 6290 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 88 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 60 - - 100 - - 670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 76.5 - - 77.4 - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.9 - - 56.4 - - 56.1 - - 62.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 75.2 - - 76.4 - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 55.1 - - 54.8 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 99 - - 43 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 53 - - 78 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99182 40 084 44 086 41 091 26 082 99182 91700 33 081 37 083 35 087 28 078 91700 85917 28 079 32 080 28 074 27 082 85917 81143 27 075 24 085 23 069 30 073 81143 77045 22 071 21 083 18 065 27 070 77045 73433 19 077 14 074 15 069 20 065 73433 70168 17 071 10 101 13 054 16 066 70168 67175 13 075 11 106 6 058 11 051 67175 64403 9 082 5 088 2 086 8 029 64403 61719 3 097 1 048 3 222 3 238 61719 58921 7 277 7 302 6 285 3 281 58921 56012 15 270 16 278 14 294 13 304 56012 53240 18 263 21 261 24 265 25 267 53240 50764 19 275 20 255 26 249 33 251 50764 48568 33 284 27 272 35 271 38 252 48568 46579 53 261 48 259 51 261 43 259 46579 44748 57 251 57 249 58 244 53 268 44748 43049 58 251 57 251 59 249 65 266 43049 41467 60 248 58 251 68 257 71 266 41467 39985 60 247 60 251 75 259 82 259 39985 38590 58 247 60 250 74 258 78 257 38590 37239 56 250 57 249 64 253 74 268 37239 35872 55 254 56 249 61 252 81 278 35872 34461 55 256 55 249 51 253 75 277 34461 33009 53 255 52 252 44 256 59 267 33009 31497 47 263 50 251 46 254 54 256 31497 29913 46 269 43 259 47 253 55 253 29913 28259 40 260 39 262 46 256 54 252 28259 26541 34 244 42 254 46 257 48 249 26541 24760 29 250 35 240 43 255 37 254 24760 22926 22 278 20 251 26 256 25 276 22926 21038 17 278 14 266 14 268 20 289 21038 19082 16 260 15 269 18 278 21 285 19082 17091 17 263 18 277 20 284 19 287 17091 15180 16 268 18 288 19 292 13 290 15180 13446 13 271 14 290 16 297 12 298 13446 11905 12 275 10 289 11 300 11 298 11905 10533 12 272 7 291 5 295 9 298 10533 9309 9 267 6 300 3 311 4 317 9309 8216 5 290 5 318 3 324 4 030 8216 7239 5 358 4 349 3 330 5 033 7239 6370 7 029 4 354 3 330 5 024 6370 5597 9 037 3 360 3 329 5 014 5597 4901 8 039 3 001 3 326 5 006 4901 4281 7 040 3 005 3 327 5 001 4281 3761 6 042 3 007 3 324 5 001 3761 3360 6 042 2 009 3 323 4 360 3360 3083 5 044 2 010 3 323 4 000 3083 2914 5 045 2 011 2*321 3*000 2914 2818 4*047 2*010 2*323 1*001 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography