DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1004z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 63.9 - - 65.2 - - 64.4 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 80 - - 111 - - 50 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 253 - - 253 - - 1082 - - 253 - - 253 BL Depth Hcrit 2795 - - 2795 - - 2795 - - 2795 - - 2795 Hcrit BL Top 2811 - - 2811 - - 3640 - - 2811 - - 2811 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1482 - - 2012 - - 1512 - - 2426 - - 1652 Hgt.Variab. W* 70 - - 115 - - 208 - - 99 - - 60 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 121 - - 122 - - 128 - - 132 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 799 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2811 - - 2811 - - 2841 - - 2811 - - 2811 sfcLCL ODpotential -146 - - -375 - - 184 - - -466 - - -228 ODpotential blCL 2957 - - 3186 - - 3456 - - 3277 - - 3039 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 70 - - 70 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 63.9 - - 65.2 - - 64.4 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.3 - - 61.4 - - 62.0 - - 61.9 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.2 - - 62.8 - - 63.9 - - 63.5 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.2 - - 61.0 - - 61.5 - - 61.6 - - 60.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 80 - - 111 - - 50 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 253 - - 253 - - 1082 - - 253 - - 253 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 100 - - 99 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98331 6 099 13 083 16 109 7 077 7 051 98331 90963 6 112 10 095 13 117 8 110 4 082 90963 85246 9 136 6 131 9 132 9 149 2 026 85246 80473 5 125 7 163 8 161 9 175 1 258 80473 76355 4 287 7 188 10 175 10 200 3 242 76355 72730 6 233 7 227 6 193 7 202 4 231 72730 69476 6 253 7 250 7 227 7 255 4 288 69476 66520 10 253 9 289 5 247 10 244 5 243 66520 63797 8 252 10 274 9 284 11 283 2 261 63797 61174 12 242 11 275 15 276 16 287 12 311 61174 58463 16 269 14 276 15 261 17 275 13 291 58463 55660 22 271 19 289 16 270 18 266 18 290 55660 52988 32 283 27 277 25 272 28 274 29 281 52988 50593 36 266 31 265 31 264 35 265 31 265 50593 48449 35 254 36 258 35 256 35 255 32 251 48449 46503 38 258 39 256 39 247 38 255 38 250 46503 44716 42 254 44 254 40 243 44 252 45 251 44716 43055 44 252 45 252 41 246 45 247 48 247 43055 41497 42 247 42 248 42 245 43 245 44 244 41497 40030 38 232 39 242 40 241 40 239 40 237 40030 38646 35 232 35 236 37 233 39 231 40 225 38646 37309 34 236 33 232 34 223 37 228 40 221 37309 35950 33 243 32 232 32 225 37 225 38 221 35950 34540 33 249 32 231 33 228 34 228 36 218 34540 33084 34 249 31 229 34 226 32 234 32 218 33084 31568 36 241 30 232 33 226 32 240 30 221 31568 29983 36 231 30 234 31 230 32 244 29 225 29983 28330 38 230 28 241 27 236 30 246 27 230 28330 26610 39 231 26 251 23 239 26 243 25 234 26610 24827 37 229 24 254 22 236 25 239 24 237 24827 22982 34 228 21 251 22 235 26 228 25 236 22982 21073 30 229 21 241 24 231 28 230 27 232 21073 19095 26 230 24 234 27 220 27 229 28 229 19095 17088 23 230 24 229 26 219 24 219 30 226 17088 15160 17 217 20 224 23 221 24 211 30 221 15160 13409 12 192 17 214 20 225 21 207 28 214 13409 11853 12 156 15 183 17 226 16 205 23 210 11853 10469 12 146 12 162 15 203 12 191 17 202 10469 9237 12 153 12 158 13 178 14 190 11 188 9237 8141 9 168 12 158 12 181 20 183 10 184 8141 7167 7 194 14 159 16 173 24 169 16 167 7167 6303 8 202 17 159 21 163 25 164 22 154 6303 5538 10 187 20 157 21 157 23 160 26 150 5538 4852 13 169 21 152 19 151 21 154 26 147 4852 4243 15 153 18 138 16 139 18 143 23 137 4243 3733 15 136 15 130 14*134 17 139 21 128 3733 3341 13 132 13 126 13*130 15 136 18 125 3341 3070 11 126 11 124 11 129 13 134 15 122 3070 2906 8*123 10 123 10 127 11 133 12*120 2906 2811 6*121 7*122 7 126 8*132 8*118 2811 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography