DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 79.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 191 - - 98 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3658 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4838 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6216 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1949 - - 5818 - - 4138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 381 - - 129 - - 35 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 333 - - 285 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 285 - - -3254 - - -1255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5931 - - 6073 - - 4073 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1914 - - -4650 - - -3176 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8130 - - 7468 - - 5994 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 71 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 900 - - 1300 - - 1630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 79.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 62.2 - - 65.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.4 - - 78.2 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.3 - - 61.1 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 191 - - 98 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3658 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 16 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99252 47 085 41 089 39 079 99252 91785 40 088 33 086 35 078 91785 86022 33 091 33 073 32 083 86022 81231 28 098 30 083 27 080 81231 77117 28 091 26 091 21 079 77117 73488 28 083 22 090 18 081 73488 70201 24 080 20 086 15 066 70201 67184 22 075 16 079 9 048 67184 64382 17 059 16 057 10 103 64382 61668 18 037 14 036 20 050 61668 58876 20 357 17 006 22 004 58876 56017 24 339 21 345 20 336 56017 53280 33 348 36 348 26 344 53280 50817 54 339 51 340 50 334 50817 48626 66 323 63 334 55 332 48626 46632 67 327 71 328 54 339 46632 44783 74 332 70 332 60 346 44783 43053 76 332 74 338 73 346 43053 41437 72 331 77 341 78 345 41437 39926 65 329 75 342 72 349 39926 38517 61 330 61 337 67 348 38517 37174 59 332 53 334 55 346 37174 35818 56 331 52 333 41 337 35818 34417 54 329 51 329 37 329 34417 32972 52 330 53 329 39 328 32972 31469 51 324 55 326 36 330 31469 29899 49 321 53 334 35 328 29899 28260 51 324 49 342 34 325 28260 26554 47 320 40 336 32 325 26554 24783 47 321 37 325 30 316 24783 22951 41 328 39 316 26 317 22951 21053 38 326 34 316 27 325 21053 19089 36 330 35 331 31 327 19089 17103 30 336 35 337 39 330 17103 15201 27 334 30 341 40 334 15201 13473 28 337 28 344 32 332 13473 11933 28 347 27 348 24 334 11933 10559 27 354 24 355 18 340 10559 9331 24 358 19 001 12 337 9331 8233 18 003 13 009 7 327 8233 7254 9 005 8 010 7 301 7254 6385 6*358 6 356 9 286 6385 5611 6*353 5 341 10 282 5611 4912 5 343 4 317 10 279 4912 4290 5 334 4 306 9 274 4290 3767 4 325 4 297 8 269 3767 3364 4 319 5 293 7 264 3364 3085 4 316 4 289 6 262 3085 2915 4 313 4*287 5*260 2915 2818 3 311 3*285 3*259 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography