DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 57.7 - - 58.2 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2268 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3793 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4826 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 784 - - 3595 - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 318 - - 63 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 312 - - 257 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1669 - - -4280 - - -1637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6495 - - 7097 - - 4453 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6980 - - -9568 - - -8370 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11806 - - 12384 - - 11186 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 77 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 57.7 - - 58.2 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.3 - - 37.2 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.8 - - 57.4 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.0 - - 37.0 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2268 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 16 - - 7 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95804 58 250 66 248 69 262 95804 88646 42 256 50 269 50 266 88646 83200 35 240 33 254 37 266 83200 78702 29 255 26 231 24 259 78702 74783 35 286 31 286 24 269 74783 71326 29 286 39 291 28 293 71326 68241 15 233 29 266 31 300 68241 65418 13 203 18 258 33 285 65418 62791 33 311 29 291 30 280 62791 60230 66 308 52 299 38 299 60230 57554 84 298 64 297 59 300 57554 54784 88 299 77 301 71 301 54784 52130 96 299 90 298 82 299 52130 49719 100 297 101 292 90 296 49719 47536 102 301 103 291 96 293 47536 45547 101 301 99 295 97 295 45547 43733 97 299 97 299 95 301 43733 42067 97 300 101 299 99 304 42067 40524 99 302 107 296 108 301 40524 39084 99 303 105 296 112 295 39084 37728 98 305 98 295 105 292 37728 36416 95 303 92 295 101 293 36416 35085 88 298 90 296 96 294 35085 33707 84 294 88 295 94 295 33707 32287 82 292 86 293 92 294 32287 30813 79 295 85 294 89 292 30813 29278 78 299 84 294 90 294 29278 27678 78 297 83 294 91 295 27678 26013 77 293 81 292 90 295 26013 24285 74 293 78 292 83 292 24285 22501 72 294 73 295 72 293 22501 20652 68 296 66 299 61 297 20652 18732 56 292 55 300 55 309 18732 16781 43 296 45 297 46 299 16781 14907 39 311 35 296 35 286 14907 13207 35 318 29 301 27 288 13207 11690 32 316 29 307 23 298 11690 10335 32 313 29 312 19 312 10335 9124 31 314 25 316 14 320 9124 8043 27 318 18 318 10 306 8043 7085 24 324 11 311 7 268 7085 6238 21 325 6 277 10 230 6238 5490 16*323 5 247 13 222 5490 4818 11*314 5 249 12 225 4818 4222 10 312 5 252 11 227 4222 3721 9 311 4 253 9 226 3721 3336 9 311 4 256 8 223 3336 3070 8 311 4 257 6 216 3070 2908 8 311 3 257 4*205 2908 2816 6 310 3*257 3*206 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography