DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.9 - - 78.1 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 231 - - 113 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4114 - - 4564 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5255 - - 5244 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6672 - - 7122 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1872 - - 1978 - - 4472 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 419 - - 349 - - 32 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 248 - - 250 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1196 - - -730 - - -3032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7869 - - 7852 - - 5849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5884 - - -5000 - - -7479 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12556 - - 12122 - - 10296 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - 59 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.9 - - 78.1 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.2 - - 53.4 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.8 - - 76.9 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.9 - - 52.1 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 231 - - 113 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4114 - - 4564 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98631 16 056 11 035 14 067 98631 91138 10 098 14 066 20 035 91138 85395 11 102 15 073 18 028 85395 80647 10 078 11 053 12 033 80647 76544 9 066 7 039 11 052 76544 72920 9 089 3 056 11 057 72920 69654 11 100 4 061 9 060 69654 66662 11 079 7 035 9 048 66662 63899 13 047 8 043 10 010 63899 61233 12 011 9 035 12 349 61233 58458 12 357 8 018 13 329 58458 55582 13 325 9 341 15 307 55582 52846 17 298 16 328 15 297 52846 50393 20 282 18 301 16 307 50393 48212 15 267 20 274 18 275 48212 46261 14 269 23 247 15 260 46261 44494 18 256 25 245 19 258 44494 42858 22 245 29 237 25 253 42858 41322 24 239 28 236 25 247 41322 39870 19 227 24 236 26 247 39870 38495 18 218 23 236 26 252 38495 37165 19 213 23 239 25 254 37165 35814 21 222 22 238 24 254 35814 34414 18 233 21 233 24 251 34414 32968 18 232 20 230 24 255 32968 31464 20 234 20 233 22 264 31464 29891 20 237 18 244 21 265 29891 28252 20 235 18 253 19 256 28252 26552 21 234 19 251 20 253 26552 24792 17 238 21 244 21 252 24792 22972 15 239 20 244 19 253 22972 21085 14 253 14 247 17 256 21085 19126 12 265 10 262 14 260 19126 17134 11 260 12 270 12 261 17134 15217 11 256 13 265 12 262 15217 13475 9 256 12 261 13 271 13475 11924 8 255 11 258 14 277 11924 10542 9 251 10 251 14 269 10542 9309 8 251 9 242 12 252 9309 8209 6 250 9 246 11 237 8209 7232 5*248 9*248 10 239 7232 6365 5*247 10*250 10 246 6365 5594 6 248 10 250 11 247 5594 4898 6 248 10 250 11 245 4898 4280 6 248 10 250 12 243 4280 3760 6 248 9 249 12 241 3760 3359 6 247 9 249 11 239 3359 3083 6 247 9 250 9 236 3083 2914 5 248 8 250 7 233 2914 2817 5 247 6 250 3*231 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography