DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.4 - - 48.6 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 94 - - 116 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 257 - - 2387 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 3668 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2815 - - 4945 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2064 - - 881 - - 2493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 122 - - 279 - - 41 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 21 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 281 - - 287 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 1132 - - -544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2815 - - 3813 - - 3359 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -277 - - 173 - - -1467 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3092 - - 4772 - - 4282 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 93 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.4 - - 48.6 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 41.8 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.3 - - 47.5 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.9 - - 40.5 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 94 - - 116 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 257 - - 2387 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 74 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96833 42 251 37 267 36 271 96833 89511 28 257 28 265 33 276 89511 83948 17 288 18 278 20 277 83948 79359 9 314 14 275 14 290 79359 75414 8 349 9 296 8 301 75414 71925 7 344 9 327 7 329 71925 68750 7 339 9 331 9 318 68750 65817 5 301 5 285 6 248 65817 63078 10 255 10 244 10 246 63078 60417 11 261 14 249 21 248 60417 57649 13 284 20 261 24 256 57649 54778 33 269 34 259 35 255 54778 52034 33 261 39 262 43 261 52034 49549 37 268 45 260 47 263 49549 47304 50 258 45 257 52 262 47304 45263 48 252 58 260 60 261 45263 43402 65 255 69 254 72 262 43402 41700 83 247 75 250 80 257 41700 40132 88 235 85 253 83 257 40132 38678 83 236 92 253 91 258 38678 37321 83 246 88 249 93 256 37321 36020 84 248 89 241 90 252 36020 34710 79 241 89 236 87 246 34710 33357 78 236 90 236 85 241 33357 31961 79 237 87 236 81 239 31961 30507 71 236 78 239 80 244 30507 28985 67 238 70 240 77 244 28985 27400 65 242 65 238 73 243 27400 25752 59 238 62 232 67 242 25752 24043 57 232 64 233 63 242 24043 22273 58 227 62 242 61 245 22273 20436 61 235 52 247 58 252 20436 18528 59 243 41 245 56 256 18528 16586 48 247 37 248 53 259 16586 14717 42 247 37 246 51 263 14717 13018 41 251 39 245 49 268 13018 11511 38 257 39 250 41 267 11511 10172 37 254 40 256 37 259 10172 8978 37 253 39 260 37 258 8978 7915 37 255 36 263 37 270 7915 6972 32 254 34 267 36 285 6972 6143 28 251 28 271 35 294 6143 5414 25 253 23*281 33 296 5414 4761 20 265 23*285 31 296 4761 4182 17 278 23 286 29 296 4182 3697 16 281 22 287 27 296 3697 3322 15 281 21 288 24 295 3322 3063 14 282 19 288 20 294 3063 2905 12 282 17 288 17 293 2905 2815 9*281 11 287 10*292 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography