DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 38.6 - - 41.9 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 34 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 590 - - 1362 - - 1777 - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 89 - - 33 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 153 - - 183 - - 185 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1001 - - -888 - - -243 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3815 - - 3702 - - 3058 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12032 - - -7889 - - -1870 - - -8375 ODpotential blCL - - - 14846 - - 10703 - - 4685 - - 11190 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 86 - - 82 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 38.6 - - 41.9 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 32.5 - - 38.5 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 37.8 - - 42.1 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 31.4 - - 37.7 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 34 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 45 - - 30 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96419 17 240 28 271 28 281 16 268 96419 89288 13 307 13 298 17 310 18 334 89288 83796 12 336 2 264 10 312 22 336 83796 79233 9 026 0 189 11 327 18 334 79233 75289 13 012 6 343 14 338 14 336 75289 71772 23 341 9 341 13 331 15 346 71772 68565 30 320 19 334 23 323 26 334 68565 65612 30 307 27 312 27 310 27 309 65612 62867 29 299 29 303 27 302 28 303 62867 60198 35 296 32 301 33 303 34 302 60198 57407 43 290 44 298 43 297 45 297 57407 54520 53 287 50 289 52 297 54 294 54520 51768 55 286 53 290 58 296 64 296 51768 49278 56 289 58 290 63 295 71 291 49278 47031 60 292 59 289 72 292 64 285 47031 44977 66 292 61 289 73 287 53 292 44977 43082 68 287 65 288 63 289 60 306 43082 41344 69 280 68 293 59 301 80 309 41344 39761 63 280 72 295 83 307 85 302 39761 38314 58 283 68 289 76 297 70 293 38314 36973 51 290 54 288 47 288 59 296 36973 35684 47 293 42 297 31 321 56 311 35684 34383 39 288 40 302 50 344 64 322 34383 33048 30 303 39 297 51 336 66 324 33048 31680 28 306 39 296 44 316 63 326 31680 30259 30 305 34 288 43 308 62 323 30259 28773 28 303 31 283 43 308 60 318 28773 27222 26 304 31 283 42 308 58 314 27222 25604 25 304 32 283 44 303 58 312 25604 23922 25 305 32 286 42 295 53 312 23922 22177 28 308 35 297 39 295 47 316 22177 20363 30 310 36 303 38 301 44 312 20363 18474 32 311 34 301 37 301 45 304 18474 16548 33 312 33 300 36 298 44 297 16548 14692 30 310 33 295 38 294 40 293 14692 13004 28 300 36 290 42 290 38 289 13004 11504 31 294 35 290 42 287 39 284 11504 10169 33 286 30 289 39 285 40 282 10169 8980 29 277 28 284 36 280 39 279 8980 7923 25 273 28 274 35 271 36 272 7923 6988 24 273 26 266 33 259 34 264 6988 6161 22 275 23 258 30 250 35 254 6161 5429 20 273 22 248 26 243 34 246 5429 4770 17 263 20 239 20 237 29 244 4770 4186 12 237 15 227 17 234 23 242 4186 3697 11 206 11 204 13 226 18 235 3697 3321 11 178 8 189 10 217 13 222 3321 3062 7 163 7 186 7 201 9 207 3062 2904 5 157 6 184 5 192 6*193 2904 2815 4*153 4*183 3*185 3*183 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography