DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 66.7 - - 68.5 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 177 - - 73 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 5350 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 6092 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 7908 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5443 - - 1037 - - 5874 - - 5025 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 426 - - 120 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 014 - - 002 - - 003 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5127 - - 136 - - -5424 - - -2794 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7944 - - 7773 - - 8242 - - 5611 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12443 - - -7815 - - -11747 - - -4567 ODpotential blCL - - - 15259 - - 15723 - - 14564 - - 7384 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 78 - - 66 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 66.7 - - 68.5 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 42.6 - - 42.3 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 65.0 - - 67.3 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 41.4 - - 41.1 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 177 - - 73 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 5350 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98639 23 108 14 125 13 097 10 133 98639 91121 17 086 12 095 10 087 13 069 91121 85349 12 074 14 099 8 081 13 042 85349 80592 16 069 16 096 11 087 7 068 80592 76504 16 096 14 083 11 077 18 083 76504 72893 16 085 14 081 10 075 19 073 72893 69626 10 072 13 090 6 098 11 039 69626 66622 9 068 10 064 7 090 3 037 66622 63824 11 047 5 014 10 038 8 054 63824 61113 10 070 4 297 10 001 13 357 61113 58301 18 031 3 348 12 354 14 332 58301 55396 25 355 14 003 17 344 14 335 55396 52632 29 326 21 347 22 329 20 339 52632 50162 25 309 25 329 24 324 27 336 50162 47969 18 333 22 330 28 323 32 326 47969 45993 24 009 23 351 26 321 32 321 45993 44195 38 005 30 356 23 342 29 322 44195 42547 36 004 33 350 26 353 25 324 42547 41021 34 028 28 353 27 349 24 328 41021 39589 39 037 26 005 26 344 23 335 39589 38236 42 032 29 012 26 349 23 342 38236 36927 43 026 32 015 27 352 25 348 36927 35599 44 021 33 018 26 352 26 347 35599 34222 45 017 31 022 25 356 27 345 34222 32801 45 014 30 023 25 004 25 348 32801 31320 44 012 31 019 25 009 21 351 31320 29770 44 008 35 006 23 002 19 350 29770 28149 40 011 37 356 26 359 18 353 28149 26458 35 015 37 351 28 357 18 354 26458 24699 32 007 34 349 29 353 17 003 24699 22873 33 004 30 346 30 349 17 006 22873 20980 33 016 26 347 29 348 20 358 20980 19021 32 024 21 001 26 350 24 360 19021 17031 32 027 20 023 21 356 23 006 17031 15115 31 033 23 041 18 008 21 010 15115 13370 30 039 24 051 16 027 17 012 13370 11817 28 045 23 056 15 046 13 021 11817 10435 24 045 21 052 15 059 10 032 10435 9206 19 037 15 032 12 044 8 035 9206 8119 14 033 11*012 11 027 7 047 8119 7157 10 028 11*009 11 022 7 053 7157 6304 9 025 11 006 11 018 7 046 6304 5544 8 021 11 004 10 014 7 037 5544 4861 8 018 10 001 10 012 7 028 4861 4252 7 017 10 359 10 009 7 021 4252 3742 7 015 9 357 9 008 7 016 3742 3348 6 014 9 356 9 006 6 010 3348 3077 6 014 8 355 8 005 5 002 3077 2912 5 013 7 354 8*004 4*354 2912 2817 4*014 6 353 6*003 2*346 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography