DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 60.8 - - 51.8 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 132 - - 65 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1680 - - 1763 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3260 - - 3243 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4238 - - 4321 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1055 - - 1356 - - 1328 - - 1651 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 255 - - 106 - - 100 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 18 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 290 - - 307 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - -7 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 167 - - 432 - - -568 - - -258 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4072 - - 3889 - - 3384 - - 3073 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5718 - - -185 - - -6647 - - -717 ODpotential blCL - - - 9956 - - 4506 - - 9463 - - 3532 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 60.8 - - 51.8 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 53.3 - - 46.7 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 59.6 - - 50.8 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.5 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 132 - - 65 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1680 - - 1763 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 100 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96554 33 251 35 244 48 251 48 262 96554 89294 31 257 35 245 36 248 37 265 89294 83730 24 255 32 236 34 242 33 264 83730 79115 26 245 30 241 33 245 33 241 79115 75143 18 237 26 238 30 250 29 232 75143 71648 18 253 28 252 31 266 29 253 71648 68506 30 260 37 262 33 262 36 263 68506 65625 34 257 37 263 35 255 38 257 65625 62941 35 282 32 269 35 248 41 253 62941 60346 39 292 33 271 41 256 46 257 60346 57648 43 278 41 263 45 264 50 268 57648 54855 46 269 49 260 59 268 65 270 54855 52186 51 273 55 259 64 259 66 266 52186 49757 58 275 58 264 62 270 71 269 49757 47561 58 278 60 270 67 273 72 272 47561 45571 59 284 62 271 69 270 71 270 45571 43757 63 287 62 270 68 265 67 267 43757 42089 66 283 57 270 62 259 63 266 42089 40542 59 269 49 270 56 271 61 265 40542 39097 55 259 45 275 63 277 60 263 39097 37738 51 254 49 282 63 273 62 263 37738 36428 48 254 54 284 60 266 65 262 36428 35100 47 257 53 280 60 262 67 261 35100 33726 47 258 50 271 61 263 67 257 33726 32308 47 256 48 263 60 265 66 258 32308 30833 50 259 51 259 59 264 67 263 30833 29289 52 263 54 262 57 261 66 263 29289 27677 51 268 54 266 56 265 64 257 27677 26001 52 273 52 270 57 272 63 254 26001 24263 50 275 53 268 57 272 64 258 24263 22469 47 275 55 260 59 266 65 267 22469 20614 47 269 53 256 59 259 68 274 20614 18692 47 260 51 254 60 256 63 274 18692 16738 46 253 50 255 58 256 54 271 16738 14852 46 252 49 257 58 266 54 270 14852 13138 46 254 49 259 55 270 53 270 13138 11616 48 256 48 259 50 270 43 268 11616 10263 48 260 48 260 44 264 36 264 10263 9054 47 266 47 260 35 256 35 260 9054 7977 44 270 40 260 29 258 31 263 7977 7021 39 273 30 263 27 265 27 276 7021 6180 36 276 25 267 26 273 28 297 6180 5437 35 275 23 273 27 282 28 314 5437 4773 33*270 21*281 24 290 25 321 4773 4188 29*262 20*287 19 300 20 320 4188 3700 27 259 19 289 15 308 15 314 3700 3324 25 259 18 291 14 309 14 312 3324 3064 23 259 17 291 13 309 12 311 3064 2906 19 259 15 291 11*309 10*309 2906 2815 13 260 10 291 8*307 7*307 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography