DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 71.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 65 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3848 - - 4247 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 120 - - 114 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 247 - - 272 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -474 - - -751 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3291 - - 3568 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1136 - - -1494 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3953 - - 4311 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1310 - - 1430 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 71.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.4 - - 65.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 71.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.6 - - 64.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 65 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 64 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98453 8 151 15 062 98453 90983 12 103 8 084 90983 85274 19 080 9 088 85274 80551 19 072 9 072 80551 76469 15 055 10 063 76469 72853 9 014 11 055 72853 69580 4 357 7 022 69580 66579 6 041 3 010 66579 63814 12 017 2 001 63814 61153 1 333 5 007 61153 58389 4 204 7 310 58389 55530 9 241 14 267 55530 52815 25 241 24 260 52815 50384 37 251 42 258 50384 48223 51 236 55 243 48223 46273 54 245 55 237 46273 44481 66 252 60 246 44481 42820 81 247 71 249 42820 41269 84 239 76 248 41269 39806 76 229 77 247 39806 38423 69 225 79 244 38423 37085 66 229 78 240 37085 35725 67 235 76 237 35725 34317 66 238 70 238 34317 32869 59 239 59 237 32869 31369 53 240 52 237 31369 29803 48 240 51 241 29803 28170 41 241 52 249 28170 26471 40 236 45 261 26471 24711 39 235 39 260 24711 22891 36 237 36 254 22891 21006 39 245 36 255 21006 19053 33 250 35 255 19053 17071 27 245 33 256 17071 15163 27 243 26 256 15163 13422 25 248 30 259 13422 11876 19 253 26 259 11876 10509 20 259 25 262 10509 9288 20 261 25 264 9288 8194 19 259 26 267 8194 7219 17 258 23 270 7219 6353 17 257 20 271 6353 5584 17 256 19 272 5584 4891 16 254 17 273 4891 4275 15 252 15 273 4275 3757 14 249 14 273 3757 3358 13 248 13 273 3358 3082 12 248 12 273 3082 2914 11*247 10 272 2914 2817 8*247 8*272 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography