DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 83.5 - - 82.0 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 195 - - 27 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 4883 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 5755 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3584 - - 7441 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2822 - - 2804 - - 7086 - - 4674 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 418 - - 87 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 311 - - 304 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2149 - - -195 - - -4491 - - -2629 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5733 - - 7637 - - 7310 - - 5447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4752 - - -2161 - - -5992 - - -5113 ODpotential blCL - - - 8336 - - 9602 - - 8810 - - 7931 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 75 - - 95 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 240 - - 250 - - 490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 83.5 - - 82.0 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.2 - - 59.8 - - 59.8 - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.2 - - 81.7 - - 81.8 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 58.8 - - 58.9 - - 61.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 195 - - 27 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 4883 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 0 - - 81 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98797 14 047 17 088 11 073 21 043 98797 91434 20 076 18 065 13 061 16 046 91434 85755 17 059 13 066 14 030 16 053 85755 81025 15 060 14 080 13 025 15 045 81025 76950 12 065 14 074 10 058 14 028 76950 73361 13 074 12 069 9 080 11 024 73361 70109 11 069 13 076 10 110 8 006 70109 67114 7 049 11 060 11 091 1 014 67114 64336 2 099 4 048 4 086 2 344 64336 61662 2 137 4 316 1 255 7 274 61662 58905 6 291 11 302 11 313 3 295 58905 56072 4 242 9 285 16 312 12 350 56072 53401 7 035 1 141 9 304 16 331 53401 51017 16 017 11 025 8 008 8 339 51017 48886 19 006 18 019 16 019 8 049 48886 46949 12 004 18 015 15 019 12 040 46949 45161 9 062 15 017 13 027 11 029 45161 43496 10 078 11 044 11 036 6 048 43496 41930 10 090 10 046 11 038 7 091 41930 40451 10 092 11 042 10 049 7 099 40451 39049 8 075 10 050 8 067 4 087 39049 37694 6 064 8 067 7 086 3 118 37694 36319 5 073 6 102 4 090 2 123 36319 34893 6 061 5 101 1 122 2 249 34893 33421 8 055 11 045 5 030 7 355 33421 31892 11 018 16 028 15 026 14 005 31892 30295 15 003 16 019 21 015 17 356 30295 28631 17 005 15 017 19 004 20 352 28631 26901 20 004 14 013 18 358 20 354 26901 25108 22 005 15 018 17 001 17 358 25108 23254 22 001 15 019 13 010 13 009 23254 21333 22 349 16 005 13 001 11 015 21333 19340 20 348 19 350 15 346 13 011 19340 17317 15 358 18 341 16 342 18 001 17317 15376 9 017 14 324 16 336 19 348 15376 13615 10 356 13 315 16 333 19 343 13615 12051 13 334 11 311 14 335 17 338 12051 10656 12 329 9 311 11 334 13 329 10656 9410 12 329 9 318 9 319 10 310 9410 8297 12 331 10*320 9 311 10 302 8297 7305 12 331 10*318 9 308 11 304 7305 6423 13 327 10 315 9 308 11 309 6423 5638 14 320 10 314 9 308 10 315 5638 4931 13 315 10 311 9 308 10 321 4931 4302 12 309 10 308 9 307 9 327 4302 3775 10*302 9 306 9 307 9 331 3775 3368 8*292 9 305 8 307 8 333 3368 3087 7 289 8 304 8 306 7 333 3087 2916 6 287 8 302 7*306 5*330 2916 2818 5 285 6 301 5*304 3*324 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography