DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.5 - - 81.7 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 169 - - 92 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4171 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5170 - - 2801 - - 2802 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6729 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2685 - - 6673 - - 4821 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 384 - - 128 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 319 - - 307 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 647 - - -3797 - - -2056 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6082 - - 6615 - - 4875 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -857 - - -4922 - - -4171 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7586 - - 7740 - - 6989 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 65 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 800 - - 780 - - 1250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.5 - - 81.7 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 62.3 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.8 - - 80.6 - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.1 - - 61.1 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 169 - - 92 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4171 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98986 29 090 24 083 30 057 98986 91478 33 081 27 081 24 086 91478 85708 25 070 26 072 23 080 85708 80939 18 067 23 082 15 060 80939 76851 13 082 20 065 14 070 76851 73246 13 099 16 050 17 067 73246 69981 12 094 11 037 18 046 69981 66983 11 092 2 348 12 013 66983 64221 11 051 2 065 5 337 64221 61566 7 010 7 018 6 337 61566 58811 8 291 15 319 12 307 58811 55974 13 293 18 315 22 327 55974 53298 19 292 26 296 30 310 53298 50914 20 286 24 274 27 287 50914 48771 17 294 22 289 26 297 48771 46810 29 305 36 296 35 296 46810 45001 33 299 38 293 39 288 45001 43314 27 285 30 288 38 286 43314 41734 25 266 27 276 31 287 41734 40253 22 252 23 280 25 295 40253 38865 25 237 22 296 26 307 38865 37527 21 267 22 311 25 311 37527 36170 16 297 23 328 19 323 36170 34763 21 349 21 340 16 338 34763 33308 22 355 21 352 16 346 33308 31796 22 354 23 349 18 347 31796 30214 24 349 22 353 18 349 30214 28560 25 347 20 002 15 357 28560 26839 25 349 21 010 13 353 26839 25052 25 354 23 014 11 345 25052 23203 25 359 26 012 16 002 23203 21289 29 353 30 358 29 002 21289 19309 33 346 32 350 35 357 19309 17299 35 345 34 001 35 002 17299 15363 32 341 32 001 34 008 15363 13598 29 355 25 353 30 008 13598 12025 21 356 22 346 23 360 12025 10625 15 344 18 346 14 353 10625 9381 11 340 10 350 6 334 9381 8273 8 339 7 344 4 323 8273 7284 8*335 6 336 3 323 7284 6407 7*329 6 329 4 326 6407 5626 7 325 7 323 4 326 5626 4923 7 321 7 317 5 327 4923 4297 7 318 7 315 6 326 4297 3772 7 315 7 312 7 325 3772 3366 7 312 7 310 7 324 3366 3086 6 311 6 309 6 323 3086 2915 6 309 6*308 5*321 2915 2818 5 309 5*307 3*316 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography