DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 58.9 - - 61.3 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 292 - - 152 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 4591 - - 3532 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 5703 - - 4623 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 7149 - - 6090 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4200 - - 1781 - - 2973 - - 3614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 464 - - 346 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 91 - - 17 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 233 - - 240 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -8 - - -10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4682 - - -1233 - - -2785 - - -3149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7498 - - 8382 - - 8875 - - 5966 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9191 - - -8021 - - -7848 - - -5537 ODpotential blCL - - - 12007 - - 15170 - - 13938 - - 8353 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 52 - - 57 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 58.9 - - 61.3 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 31.9 - - 32.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 56.7 - - 59.7 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 30.7 - - 30.9 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 292 - - 152 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 4591 - - 3532 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97530 11 346 8 036 4 084 9 285 97530 90196 4 029 4 250 8 322 7 308 90196 84533 8 300 5 285 12 311 7 310 84533 79839 8 239 10 283 14 298 12 280 79839 75790 12 262 11 264 15 271 15 268 75790 72193 16 264 10 235 15 256 14 270 72193 68939 11 248 13 253 17 243 15 270 68939 65951 16 277 17 282 16 251 26 255 65951 63171 31 262 31 266 30 259 32 257 63171 60482 41 267 36 268 42 269 44 268 60482 57683 60 270 60 265 62 266 58 265 57683 54774 76 255 73 259 73 258 64 257 54774 51992 73 253 75 257 75 257 67 262 51992 49486 80 261 79 260 79 258 75 263 49486 47251 87 262 90 262 86 262 84 266 47251 45240 93 265 104 262 104 265 104 268 45240 43417 106 267 117 262 117 265 121 265 43417 41743 116 268 125 264 130 265 128 263 41743 40184 126 268 131 264 141 262 131 262 40184 38722 135 267 130 264 143 260 130 260 38722 37346 137 267 127 265 141 259 131 258 37346 36022 136 266 124 265 137 260 134 257 36022 34683 132 265 119 266 131 261 136 256 34683 33302 117 265 112 265 121 263 133 256 33302 31883 100 266 97 265 109 266 121 258 31883 30418 94 270 84 267 96 266 107 261 30418 28894 93 271 80 269 82 266 96 262 28894 27309 89 270 78 268 78 267 89 262 27309 25661 81 271 75 266 77 267 79 262 25661 23955 68 272 72 264 75 265 72 267 23955 22194 63 271 64 264 72 265 64 270 22194 20374 61 272 56 266 62 267 56 272 20374 18490 56 278 54 268 51 268 49 273 18490 16575 52 278 49 269 46 270 43 275 16575 14733 48 277 43 268 42 270 38 274 14733 13057 34 277 33 268 35 269 29 270 13057 11569 25 267 27 268 25 262 21 259 11569 10246 19 266 23 265 17 253 23 240 10246 9066 13 271 14 241 15 220 27 224 9066 8011 9 283 7*226 14 209 23 212 8011 7070 8 299 6*225 13 211 21 213 7070 6234 6 322 5 228 12*216 18 217 6234 5490 3 347 5 231 10*228 16 226 5490 4820 2 356 5 233 10 237 14 236 4820 4224 1 359 5 235 9 241 13 243 4224 3724 1 356 5 238 9 244 12 247 3724 3338 1 359 5 240 9 246 11 251 3338 3071 0 001 4 242 8 247 9 253 3071 2909 0*347 4 241 8 248 6*256 2909 2816 0*344 4 242 6 249 3*259 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography