DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 64.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 308 - - 158 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4448 - - 5339 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5597 - - 5949 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7006 - - 7897 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1504 - - 2171 - - 2246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 461 - - 394 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 218 - - 219 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 16 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2957 - - -1440 - - -4463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9964 - - 9338 - - 7280 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7719 - - -4611 - - -9849 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14725 - - 12508 - - 12665 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 81 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 64.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.7 - - 32.9 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 62.5 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.5 - - 32.0 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 308 - - 158 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4448 - - 5339 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 22 - - 23 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96434 39 243 34 254 32 258 96434 89244 17 234 27 254 26 262 89244 83716 19 279 25 242 24 255 83716 79110 26 286 21 252 24 259 79110 75131 18 289 22 272 25 273 75131 71638 28 297 23 288 26 293 71638 68494 24 290 29 295 28 301 68494 65599 33 296 34 293 33 312 65599 62900 38 296 36 303 41 321 62900 60269 46 313 48 314 62 315 60269 57534 61 311 59 305 62 300 57534 54700 57 305 51 299 50 297 54700 51982 48 316 50 318 49 321 51982 49516 52 333 62 327 63 328 49516 47298 73 333 74 325 72 326 47298 45291 81 325 77 324 78 325 45291 43472 81 323 83 325 85 326 43472 41819 83 329 88 327 93 326 41819 40297 95 335 88 328 91 324 40297 38870 94 333 88 328 85 326 38870 37524 92 332 88 328 83 327 37524 36221 88 332 87 328 82 326 36221 34899 77 332 83 327 79 325 34899 33529 62 332 77 323 74 324 33529 32118 52 330 75 321 68 322 32118 30652 44 326 72 319 63 317 30652 29122 41 318 64 312 62 313 29122 27530 45 315 56 308 59 309 27530 25871 45 315 47 306 52 306 25871 24149 40 313 38 301 44 300 24149 22371 31 310 35 298 39 293 22371 20531 28 309 32 302 36 291 20531 18622 28 300 28 304 32 291 18622 16679 29 289 26 300 30 291 16679 14812 31 280 27 295 32 290 14812 13117 29 263 29 285 32 286 13117 11610 26 252 30 263 31 279 11610 10270 22 245 25 243 32 268 10270 9078 21 233 17 225 28 247 9078 8019 16 224 15*220 21 232 8019 7075 11*217 14*218 19 232 7075 6237 10*215 13 218 19 232 6237 5492 9 216 13 218 18 231 5492 4820 9 218 12 219 17 226 4820 4224 8 218 12 219 16 218 4224 3723 8 220 11 219 15 210 3723 3337 7 221 10 220 13 202 3337 3071 7 221 10 219 10 193 3071 2909 6 221 9 220 8 186 2909 2816 5 221 7 218 4*179 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography