DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 60.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 313 - - 157 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2526 - - 2770 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4137 - - 4053 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5084 - - 5328 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 735 - - 1644 - - 3312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 383 - - 315 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 26 - - 29 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 173 - - 159 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 24 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 20 - - 20 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 142 - - 423 - - -1051 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4942 - - 4905 - - 3867 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3251 - - -295 - - -2734 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8335 - - 5623 - - 5550 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 92 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 60.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.3 - - 48.5 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.5 - - 59.4 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.9 - - 48.3 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 313 - - 157 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2526 - - 2770 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 50 - - 67 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96817 95 237 98 237 86 237 96817 89351 77 236 75 238 76 234 89351 83659 56 234 60 237 54 236 83659 79018 37 230 42 239 41 243 79018 75068 23 250 31 247 27 259 75068 71601 14 255 20 241 22 259 71601 68470 10 290 10 225 16 237 68470 65586 22 280 14 271 15 238 65586 62912 27 253 26 266 20 268 62912 60320 28 252 34 234 34 249 60320 57608 24 246 32 227 39 227 57608 54777 40 266 29 254 25 236 54777 52035 64 265 48 261 33 263 52035 49550 70 244 62 245 64 249 49550 47330 67 241 55 240 52 242 47330 45321 65 249 60 256 59 241 45321 43478 73 257 82 253 75 245 43478 41784 83 252 88 246 80 241 41784 40231 72 247 76 242 88 247 40231 38797 61 255 76 252 96 251 38797 37456 68 260 78 255 92 251 37456 36161 69 250 61 252 84 249 36161 34845 67 241 52 241 78 247 34845 33483 59 236 51 236 64 248 33483 32079 48 232 49 237 56 248 32079 30621 46 229 49 233 54 243 30621 29096 45 228 51 227 46 242 29096 27508 43 228 50 221 41 240 27508 25854 41 229 46 221 39 239 25854 24135 40 230 45 227 40 235 24135 22360 38 230 48 225 46 214 22360 20531 42 224 57 215 54 203 20531 18642 53 211 60 208 56 199 18642 16722 53 200 56 204 52 201 16722 14872 52 198 51 202 47 206 14872 13183 45 198 49 200 44 211 13183 11674 34 196 49 199 44 212 11674 10325 26 196 49 197 44 206 10325 9118 22 199 50 192 45 194 9118 8043 22 200 47 184 50 179 8043 7092 26 194 43 174 55 170 7092 6252 30 186 41 170 54 166 6252 5506 30*180 40*169 51 164 5506 4832 30*177 37*165 46 162 4832 4233 29 175 33 161 39 160 4233 3729 27 173 30 158 31 156 3729 3341 26 172 27 156 23 151 3341 3073 23 171 25 155 17 145 3073 2910 20 171 21 154 12 140 2910 2816 13 170 14 153 5*126 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography