DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.4 - - 70.2 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 68 - - 51 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1966 - - 3876 - - 4072 - - 2117 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 113 - - 106 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 215 - - 190 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -341 - - -1027 - - -916 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3159 - - 3844 - - 3733 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1125 - - -1629 - - -1646 - - -882 ODpotential blCL - - - 3942 - - 4446 - - 4463 - - 3699 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 99 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 370 - - 620 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.4 - - 70.2 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.6 - - 62.0 - - 63.2 - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 68.3 - - 69.5 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 61.1 - - 62.5 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 68 - - 51 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 96 - - 96 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98461 17 082 15 085 14 102 8 119 98461 90988 13 103 6 097 9 107 5 068 90988 85211 12 087 3 079 5 086 11 044 85211 80434 11 049 8 084 8 092 11 043 80434 76350 5 038 9 057 10 053 11 070 76350 72760 3 054 9 054 9 025 10 053 72760 69520 4 050 6 057 4 056 5 019 69520 66543 7 045 6 065 3 084 4 305 66543 63781 6 023 3 028 4 297 8 303 63781 61103 3 340 2 170 5 222 5 277 61103 58315 6 297 5 269 9 277 8 303 58315 55445 15 242 16 254 19 257 15 249 55445 52725 24 244 21 251 23 244 18 247 52725 50296 32 246 28 242 31 244 32 259 50296 48160 33 233 42 235 46 230 46 242 48160 46255 31 245 44 236 43 220 45 244 46255 44508 36 251 38 231 39 239 49 246 44508 42878 36 256 33 222 52 246 50 239 42878 41342 34 260 30 220 44 237 53 237 41342 39889 34 264 30 229 37 226 51 236 39889 38511 34 257 31 236 40 230 45 230 38511 37176 29 245 30 239 37 229 45 225 37176 35819 28 244 30 238 36 229 44 226 35819 34412 35 251 31 235 37 231 43 227 34412 32960 39 251 33 231 38 235 40 229 32960 31450 39 247 33 225 35 231 37 229 31450 29872 35 237 34 219 31 222 35 228 29872 28228 34 224 35 222 30 217 34 230 28228 26518 34 220 35 222 29 222 30 233 26518 24745 32 221 35 215 26 231 24 230 24745 22913 29 229 31 213 23 227 19 228 22913 21017 26 229 31 211 23 229 18 226 21017 19053 27 221 29 212 23 229 20 227 19053 17060 29 217 28 213 24 231 23 225 17060 15145 27 209 26 211 25 227 26 220 15145 13406 24 202 26 212 25 220 27 216 13406 11859 21 205 24 213 24 218 25 218 11859 10482 17 208 22 212 21 223 22 223 10482 9254 14 208 19 213 19 224 20 225 9254 8158 12 208 18 215 18 222 19 225 8158 7183 13 222 16 214 17 218 19 221 7183 6320 17 232 13 211 17 213 21 212 6320 5554 18 226 11 210 16 205 21 202 5554 4866 17 212 10 210 16 199 21 193 4866 4255 15 197 9 212 16 198 19 188 4255 3744 12 185 8 213 15 195 16 181 3744 3350 10 174 8 213 14 193 14 179 3350 3078 9 171 7 215 13 192 12 176 3078 2912 8*169 6*215 12 191 10*175 2912 2817 6*167 5*215 8*190 6*174 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography