DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 68.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2634 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3816 - - 2800 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5192 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3060 - - 3758 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 284 - - 94 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 249 - - 276 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 567 - - -716 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4625 - - 3533 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -772 - - -1562 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5964 - - 4379 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 93 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 420 - - 430 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 68.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 61.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.3 - - 67.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.3 - - 61.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2634 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 22 - - 74 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97660 36 256 37 259 97660 90385 24 248 25 254 90385 84801 19 240 24 255 84801 80150 12 226 18 240 80150 76128 9 214 13 258 76128 72565 8 224 12 265 72565 69343 13 231 10 250 69343 66396 10 239 11 240 66396 63686 10 274 12 224 63686 61093 13 292 13 251 61093 58407 21 251 28 278 58407 55603 35 229 35 252 55603 52925 41 227 42 217 52925 50536 46 226 56 214 50536 48390 49 216 66 211 48390 46422 55 211 73 208 46422 44599 62 206 75 207 44599 42895 63 202 75 207 42895 41293 63 204 76 210 41293 39782 64 206 79 213 39782 38361 64 204 77 214 38361 36995 65 204 71 214 36995 35617 69 203 66 217 35617 34196 66 206 63 221 34196 32739 57 221 59 223 32739 31228 57 230 59 225 31228 29650 55 231 62 226 29650 28005 56 230 64 227 28005 26295 59 230 66 230 26295 24527 61 233 66 233 24527 22708 61 235 65 233 22708 20836 59 237 61 230 20836 18901 53 235 56 228 18901 16937 44 235 52 229 16937 15050 42 233 49 231 15050 13334 43 228 42 238 13334 11807 41 223 36 243 11807 10447 36 226 33 245 10447 9233 32 235 30 244 9233 8148 30 244 28 244 8148 7180 28 250 26 244 7180 6323 28 251 23 249 6323 5560 26*251 22 256 5560 4873 23*250 21 262 4873 4261 22 249 20 265 4261 3749 21 249 19 270 3749 3352 20 249 18 273 3352 3079 18 249 17 274 3079 2913 16 248 15*276 2913 2817 11 248 10*276 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography