DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 68.3 - - 66.9 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 188 - - 155 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1288 - - 2780 - - 2271 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2987 - - 4139 - - 3689 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3846 - - 5338 - - 4829 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1708 - - 1770 - - 2130 - - 2092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 334 - - 293 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 249 - - 245 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -773 - - -812 - - 273 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4619 - - 6150 - - 4556 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4073 - - -2467 - - -404 - - -985 ODpotential blCL - - - 7919 - - 7805 - - 5233 - - 3802 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 100 - - 91 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 100 - - 540 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 68.3 - - 66.9 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 51.0 - - 56.4 - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 66.5 - - 65.4 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 50.6 - - 56.2 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 188 - - 155 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1288 - - 2780 - - 2271 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 101 - - 65 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96458 24 258 16 273 28 278 27 281 96458 89314 13 257 13 261 22 279 18 308 89314 83837 3 235 15 269 17 286 16 320 83837 79297 8 302 11 274 10 284 12 289 79297 75380 12 262 15 270 11 289 12 289 75380 71914 13 273 19 268 12 266 17 276 71914 68789 15 270 14 255 19 257 21 267 68789 65928 18 260 15 256 20 229 23 256 65928 63273 20 246 19 256 24 246 24 233 63273 60687 22 251 33 279 30 265 22 266 60687 57978 44 269 53 262 47 263 41 267 57978 55161 54 255 55 255 49 261 56 260 55161 52458 55 262 55 266 51 262 73 266 52458 50010 67 271 64 268 71 267 81 269 50010 47798 77 269 71 264 83 268 86 268 47798 45780 78 267 74 259 86 272 81 272 45780 43936 75 271 72 260 77 270 72 275 43936 42248 72 270 70 277 65 279 64 279 42248 40691 55 277 73 280 65 289 68 286 40691 39241 50 290 65 282 69 288 83 288 39241 37880 55 294 59 289 70 284 94 288 37880 36569 58 294 63 295 67 280 90 288 36569 35239 58 292 71 295 68 284 74 289 35239 33867 56 290 79 292 76 287 61 288 33867 32452 55 290 71 282 77 287 58 283 32452 30980 55 294 59 278 68 283 58 280 30980 29439 47 297 55 282 65 278 55 277 29439 27832 41 298 45 285 57 279 53 281 27832 26159 36 301 35 273 46 279 54 281 26159 24426 29 306 35 264 40 270 50 282 24426 22635 20 316 34 268 40 268 40 273 22635 20784 18 310 29 273 39 276 37 264 20784 18863 15 284 26 267 34 288 28 275 18863 16904 12 277 23 261 29 288 21 272 16904 15014 19 278 22 265 26 270 23 265 15014 13294 22 275 21 262 30 256 29 265 13294 11766 21 262 21 256 32 259 32 268 11766 10407 15 251 20 251 29 264 31 269 10407 9194 10 242 19 253 23 268 26 264 9194 8112 9 247 18 259 18 270 21 260 8112 7148 10 263 17 262 16 271 17 259 7148 6294 14 274 15 258 15 270 16 259 6294 5535 18 277 14*251 14 264 15 255 5535 4852 20 275 14*250 14*253 14 243 4852 4246 19*267 14 249 14*248 13 234 4246 3738 17*261 14 249 14 246 13 230 3738 3346 15 259 13 248 14 244 11 227 3346 3076 14 259 12 248 13 244 9 226 3076 2911 12 259 11 248 12 243 7*224 2911 2817 9 258 8 248 9 242 4*223 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography