DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 52.3 - - 55.6 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 457 - - 254 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3496 - - 4303 - - 4902 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4903 - - 5623 - - 5865 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6054 - - 6861 - - 7460 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 876 - - 1116 - - 1330 - - 4835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 441 - - 518 - - 447 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 297 - - 279 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1729 - - -2934 - - -3058 - - -5913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7783 - - 9796 - - 10518 - - 8729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9170 - - -8977 - - -9170 - - -11704 ODpotential blCL - - - 15224 - - 15838 - - 16630 - - 14519 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 41 - - 42 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 52.3 - - 55.6 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.8 - - 19.0 - - 19.1 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 49.4 - - 53.6 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 17.9 - - 18.0 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 457 - - 254 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3496 - - 4303 - - 4902 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97799 11 300 5 318 17 310 15 297 97799 90412 11 256 16 253 17 299 13 301 90412 84714 11 243 17 238 19 255 21 281 84714 79961 9 242 10 220 18 223 20 248 79961 75857 12 232 7 236 13 213 21 251 75857 72228 15 223 10 225 13 198 21 225 72228 68936 22 242 14 247 8 229 13 226 68936 65898 29 215 25 246 23 255 25 257 65898 63083 21 220 26 228 28 243 28 253 63083 60347 27 246 24 234 31 245 34 256 60347 57489 39 256 35 249 38 248 41 254 57489 54524 46 251 45 246 48 249 47 256 54524 51693 51 251 52 248 53 248 52 252 51693 49144 59 254 58 254 56 253 56 255 49144 46866 68 257 63 256 65 255 63 256 46866 44806 74 260 67 257 71 254 66 256 44806 42925 78 259 72 259 76 257 73 255 42925 41206 75 262 76 258 83 257 77 252 41206 39633 79 263 79 260 84 259 79 250 39633 38189 80 265 86 260 84 259 74 249 38189 36853 83 267 86 263 80 262 67 257 36853 35578 86 267 87 267 79 266 66 264 35578 34293 82 267 86 267 78 268 65 266 34293 32962 75 270 81 270 76 271 64 268 32962 31587 70 274 78 274 75 273 64 271 31587 30156 69 278 77 276 74 274 63 273 30156 28658 69 281 76 276 74 274 62 274 28658 27096 68 284 72 277 71 273 58 273 27096 25472 65 288 68 280 66 276 55 271 25472 23786 60 288 63 284 60 276 50 271 23786 22042 55 288 58 290 57 276 45 276 22042 20236 50 290 53 293 46 280 47 275 20236 18367 44 290 50 293 39 285 45 274 18367 16470 39 291 42 290 37 291 40 282 16470 14639 37 292 34 285 34 294 36 287 14639 12970 33 294 30 282 30 291 35 294 12970 11483 31 302 25 286 27 284 34 296 11483 10160 29 305 23 292 23 282 31 287 10160 8982 25 305 22 295 17 275 25 270 8982 7936 19 310 15 294 13*276 18 260 7936 7008 15 314 12*295 13*277 16 263 7008 6185 12*307 12*296 13 278 15 266 6185 5453 12*306 12 296 13 279 15 266 5453 4793 12 306 11 297 12 279 14 265 4793 4205 11 305 11 297 12 280 14 265 4205 3711 11 304 11 297 12 281 13 264 3711 3330 10 303 10 297 11 281 11 264 3330 3067 10 303 9 297 11 281 9 263 3067 2907 9 302 9 296 10 280 7 262 2907 2815 7 302 7 296 7 280 4*259 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography