DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.2 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 192 - - 94 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3898 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5020 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6456 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2759 - - 7199 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 390 - - 128 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 256 - - 260 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 671 - - -3610 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5785 - - 6429 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1021 - - -4467 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7477 - - 7285 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 76 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1780 - - 1790 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.2 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.1 - - 64.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.6 - - 81.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.0 - - 63.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 192 - - 94 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3898 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98544 17 087 18 093 98544 91112 23 091 17 093 91112 85416 27 087 20 103 85416 80697 22 089 22 084 80697 76639 17 092 22 061 76639 73045 13 087 16 049 73045 69785 14 097 11 073 69785 66806 12 090 14 078 66806 64068 15 083 13 074 64068 61436 12 066 11 067 61436 58714 8 060 5 035 58714 55906 6 014 6 335 55906 53229 12 320 19 297 53229 50805 16 278 23 275 50805 48617 18 268 20 262 48617 46622 23 268 9 280 46622 44790 28 284 18 351 44790 43090 29 274 26 323 43090 41499 23 247 33 299 41499 40004 18 226 33 282 40004 38600 16 253 26 268 38600 37253 16 269 19 269 37253 35892 15 272 13 278 35892 34484 14 274 15 286 34484 33032 14 289 15 297 33032 31525 14 304 14 310 31525 29950 13 298 14 315 29950 28310 14 284 16 306 28310 26606 13 266 16 296 26606 24837 10 251 17 295 24837 23009 9 261 18 290 23009 21117 16 279 19 278 21117 19160 16 301 19 279 19160 17177 15 305 15 286 17177 15273 11 268 14 273 15273 13544 10 238 14 261 13544 12000 11 237 16 259 12000 10620 12 254 16 262 10620 9384 13 263 16 264 9384 8280 12 261 16 265 8280 7293 12*260 15 264 7293 6416 12*259 15 263 6416 5635 12 258 15 263 5635 4930 12 257 15 262 4930 4303 12 256 14 261 4303 3776 11 255 14 261 3776 3368 11 254 13 261 3368 3087 10 254 12 260 3087 2916 9 253 11*260 2916 2818 7 253 8*260 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography