DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 82.1 - - 80.1 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 235 - - 122 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 3621 - - 1998 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 4886 - - 3437 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2818 - - 6179 - - 4556 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5260 - - 4489 - - 4538 - - 2819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 403 - - 270 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 246 - - 293 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2199 - - -290 - - -764 - - -475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5017 - - 6470 - - 5320 - - 3293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3247 - - -2029 - - -2453 - - -2250 ODpotential blCL - - - 6065 - - 8208 - - 7009 - - 5068 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 70 - - 90 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 1160 - - 1030 - - 1630 - - 2090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 82.1 - - 80.1 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.4 - - 63.1 - - 66.0 - - 69.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.2 - - 80.1 - - 78.7 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 62.0 - - 65.2 - - 68.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 235 - - 122 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 3621 - - 1998 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 59 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98967 45 080 37 078 38 083 37 085 98967 91510 29 068 36 085 36 081 34 081 91510 85755 27 072 32 082 33 083 27 072 85755 80976 26 086 30 078 25 094 24 078 80976 76869 23 099 23 087 21 086 24 091 76869 73267 22 093 19 106 16 063 23 086 73267 70028 21 087 19 103 11 072 19 070 70028 67058 23 089 19 101 11 075 13 065 67058 64296 23 079 20 109 8 074 12 058 64296 61612 17 069 22 105 10 112 11 054 61612 58823 12 073 18 097 17 105 11 093 58823 55958 5 097 8 101 14 099 15 122 55958 53252 6 102 1 089 6 092 12 132 53252 50836 6 083 3 280 1 264 5 159 50836 48682 4 151 5 241 6 263 5 268 48682 46730 7 135 9 202 11 242 13 265 46730 44937 2 294 9 199 11 238 14 256 44937 43271 9 260 7 214 12 262 11 258 43271 41710 8 241 9 239 15 279 8 288 41710 40237 4 242 13 231 16 275 9 275 40237 38842 1 230 13 219 13 262 13 265 38842 37491 2 081 11 202 11 236 16 262 37491 36119 2 034 9 187 11 227 17 263 36119 34698 4 275 9 191 11 236 18 261 34698 33233 10 273 10 216 13 240 17 259 33233 31711 12 273 10 229 16 238 16 262 31711 30120 11 270 10 231 18 246 18 263 30120 28462 5 236 9 239 16 258 18 263 28462 26738 8 210 4 245 10 258 13 258 26738 24953 12 219 6 256 7 252 10 248 24953 23112 12 226 10 256 9 252 9 247 23112 21206 11 242 11 260 10 259 8 246 21206 19230 9 248 14 274 13 284 6 246 19230 17226 10 257 17 280 14 288 3 243 17226 15299 11 259 16 277 10 274 4 251 15299 13546 14 251 13 270 7 262 5 265 13546 11989 14 238 10 265 6 249 5 270 11989 10601 11 230 9 265 7 250 5 280 10601 9363 7 245 8 262 8 250 3 288 9363 8257 7 275 7 256 8 252 5 288 8257 7271 8 291 6 250 8 258 9 284 7271 6396 8 297 6*248 9 269 12 286 6396 5617 7 299 7*248 10 279 14 288 5617 4915 6 295 7 246 11*286 14 287 4915 4290 5 289 7 246 12*291 13 282 4290 3767 5 284 7 246 12 293 12 275 3767 3363 5 281 7 246 12 294 11 269 3363 3085 5 279 7 246 11 294 9 266 3085 2915 4*277 6 246 10 294 8*263 2915 2818 4*277 5 245 8 294 6*261 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography