DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 73.3 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 312 - - 150 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4003 - - 3975 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5264 - - 4917 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6561 - - 6533 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1467 - - 2588 - - 3389 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 449 - - 353 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 250 - - 257 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -768 - - -374 - - -2426 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7329 - - 6907 - - 5244 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3112 - - -1285 - - -5209 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9673 - - 7818 - - 8026 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 95 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 120 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 73.3 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.0 - - 52.7 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.2 - - 71.8 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.2 - - 52.2 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 312 - - 150 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4003 - - 3975 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 49 - - 80 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96832 32 254 43 258 37 281 96832 89604 26 255 31 256 33 259 89604 84113 24 260 22 267 24 261 84113 79561 18 253 23 267 22 282 79561 75626 8 259 18 246 20 266 75626 72150 11 303 11 239 13 234 72150 68996 15 285 13 280 7 276 68996 66071 18 252 17 276 19 286 66071 63345 22 254 26 270 27 263 63345 60709 25 254 28 261 33 266 60709 57969 24 259 32 261 37 270 57969 55132 29 260 33 259 39 267 55132 52433 31 270 34 268 35 263 52433 50020 39 280 39 274 39 268 50020 47868 51 272 50 271 46 274 47868 45923 53 262 51 268 58 276 45923 44148 50 264 59 274 67 276 44148 42511 52 270 61 271 69 274 42511 40981 53 272 58 269 66 271 40981 39539 53 271 54 265 61 270 39539 38175 52 270 53 262 57 266 38175 36857 53 269 52 261 56 261 36857 35519 54 267 51 262 57 259 35519 34131 55 265 50 263 57 260 34131 32699 56 263 50 262 54 264 32699 31209 58 262 48 262 52 271 31209 29652 55 264 46 266 48 275 29652 28030 51 263 44 268 45 274 28030 26343 47 261 42 275 41 266 26343 24592 46 264 42 275 37 270 24592 22781 42 269 44 268 34 279 22781 20905 36 272 39 264 31 281 20905 18961 29 274 28 264 29 283 18961 16987 22 261 23 274 21 282 16987 15093 25 249 21 269 17 279 15093 13374 27 241 22 266 18 276 13374 11844 26 241 23 269 19 269 11844 10478 25 245 23 267 19 262 10478 9257 22 251 23 261 19 257 9257 8166 19 256 19 255 20 255 8166 7195 16*251 15*254 19 251 7195 6334 16*251 15*254 18 247 6334 5568 16 251 15 255 18 245 5568 4879 16 250 15 257 17 244 4879 4266 15 250 14 257 17 243 4266 3751 15 249 14 258 16 242 3751 3354 14 249 13 259 14 241 3354 3079 13 249 12 259 12 240 3079 2913 12 249 11 258 8*239 2913 2817 9 249 8 258 4*238 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography