DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 72.0 - - 69.3 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 259 - - 139 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2780 - - 3892 - - 2282 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4224 - - 5103 - - 3664 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5338 - - 6450 - - 4840 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2130 - - 3036 - - 2659 - - 2947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 358 - - 417 - - 287 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 237 - - 229 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -9 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -198 - - 22 - - 126 - - -1077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5536 - - 6428 - - 4714 - - 3894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1213 - - -879 - - -1020 - - -3196 ODpotential blCL - - - 6551 - - 7329 - - 5860 - - 6013 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 83 - - 85 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 900 - - 1430 - - 1450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 72.0 - - 69.3 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 53.5 - - 58.1 - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 70.0 - - 67.8 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 53.0 - - 57.5 - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 259 - - 139 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2780 - - 3892 - - 2282 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 31 - - 40 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96736 37 248 42 253 38 247 47 251 96736 89480 32 255 39 255 38 256 38 259 89480 83896 30 256 34 253 38 254 29 271 83896 79268 32 257 33 263 37 255 32 273 79268 75289 26 247 31 259 29 255 27 267 75289 71777 18 264 21 257 23 260 19 276 71777 68596 19 284 14 260 21 268 21 283 68596 65669 21 277 11 266 20 274 23 284 65669 62953 21 269 18 286 24 280 25 275 62953 60312 28 258 26 267 30 269 27 270 60312 57552 30 253 31 255 33 266 31 264 57552 54688 34 257 36 256 38 260 33 262 54688 51951 37 261 38 258 40 261 32 261 51951 49491 39 265 36 259 40 260 33 261 49491 47301 41 265 38 263 36 256 38 270 47301 45343 41 262 41 265 38 260 35 267 45343 43590 43 256 39 256 41 264 26 271 43590 41999 38 245 37 243 37 255 29 283 41999 40512 32 242 34 233 32 256 32 284 40512 39106 31 238 33 236 31 258 31 276 39106 37772 30 239 32 242 30 257 28 274 37772 36478 27 244 29 245 27 256 25 278 36478 35165 24 243 27 250 23 256 19 286 35165 33806 23 243 26 254 21 255 17 309 33806 32403 25 254 25 250 22 254 18 314 32403 30941 25 256 24 245 24 255 16 298 30941 29411 25 253 23 250 25 254 18 276 29411 27816 28 255 25 259 25 251 19 261 27816 26154 30 257 28 259 23 249 18 254 26154 24428 29 261 28 260 23 260 15 262 24428 22645 26 261 28 264 24 270 16 274 22645 20799 27 252 28 264 22 264 16 270 20799 18881 32 238 31 257 22 256 17 258 18881 16929 36 232 33 246 25 258 22 250 16929 15050 33 226 31 236 25 254 24 243 15050 13340 29 226 27 233 22 245 25 230 13340 11818 25 234 24 234 22 224 25 227 11818 10460 21 242 22 234 27 222 23 226 10460 9246 19 248 19 233 27 224 22 219 9246 8160 19 256 18 234 25 224 21 212 8160 7191 20 266 17*235 22 222 20 207 7191 6331 21 266 17*236 19 221 19 206 6331 5566 20*262 17 236 16 221 17 209 5566 4877 19*259 16 237 14*225 15 217 4877 4264 18 257 16 238 13*227 14 225 4264 3750 17 256 16 238 12 228 13 230 3750 3353 16 255 15 238 11 229 11 234 3353 3079 15 255 14 239 10 230 9 235 3079 2913 13 254 13 238 9 230 7*236 2913 2817 10 254 9 239 7 230 3*239 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography