DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.6 - - 67.1 - - 70.7 - - 70.9 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 168 - - 225 - - 97 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 4096 - - 6063 - - 5753 - - 227 BL Depth Hcrit 2768 - - 5095 - - 6745 - - 6012 - - 2769 Hcrit BL Top 2785 - - 6654 - - 8621 - - 8311 - - 2785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 493 - - 1431 - - 1173 - - 2450 - - 6788 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 377 - - 474 - - 359 - - 43 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 11 - - 17 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 270 - - 280 - - 284 - - 284 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -3 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1541 - - -781 - - 838 - - 1155 - - -2956 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4327 - - 7435 - - 7784 - - 7157 - - 5741 sfcLCL ODpotential -4793 - - -6097 - - -3459 - - -143 - - -4168 ODpotential blCL 7578 - - 12751 - - 12080 - - 8454 - - 6953 blCL maxRH 68 - - 83 - - 78 - - 83 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 56.6 - - 67.1 - - 70.7 - - 70.9 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.5 - - 44.2 - - 46.2 - - 49.2 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 65.3 - - 68.8 - - 69.7 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.9 - - 42.2 - - 44.1 - - 47.7 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 168 - - 225 - - 97 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 4096 - - 6063 - - 5753 - - 227 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 31 - - 13 - - 33 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98973 32 087 25 098 28 091 26 081 30 082 98973 91940 28 093 21 093 25 085 24 089 25 081 91940 86441 20 089 17 090 22 085 21 093 18 085 86441 81836 14 080 16 096 18 082 18 088 16 109 81836 77832 11 087 14 100 13 095 13 081 15 115 77832 74265 7 101 12 110 9 111 9 074 12 113 74265 71015 9 135 8 120 7 136 4 093 8 079 71015 68013 8 115 8 153 6 185 3 168 4 027 68013 65227 2 093 6 157 9 218 6 236 3 266 65227 62539 8 282 5 235 13 230 14 243 11 266 62539 59755 19 257 16 264 16 238 19 239 19 246 59755 56885 30 257 31 264 29 260 30 263 31 269 56885 54165 44 254 43 250 46 257 47 258 43 263 54165 51721 49 238 49 243 57 246 57 249 46 259 51721 49520 52 250 57 247 66 245 68 247 60 258 49520 47532 70 256 70 250 76 242 78 244 78 252 47532 45732 81 252 78 249 80 235 85 239 88 244 45732 44075 85 247 80 247 76 232 85 232 88 237 44075 42522 85 246 79 249 70 242 76 235 82 239 42522 41057 85 246 80 253 76 256 73 246 83 247 41057 39673 86 247 81 256 85 260 77 254 86 253 39673 38335 86 248 81 257 85 259 80 256 90 256 38335 36976 86 248 79 255 81 256 80 254 91 256 36976 35566 86 248 75 247 76 250 78 251 89 255 35566 34107 86 247 78 242 75 240 75 246 86 254 34107 32583 85 247 81 243 80 234 74 240 83 252 32583 30981 81 247 80 243 83 237 77 236 81 250 30981 29300 74 246 76 241 78 240 78 238 79 247 29300 27539 66 245 71 239 72 242 76 245 77 248 27539 25701 61 246 63 239 69 243 70 250 72 253 25701 23794 57 246 57 241 64 247 65 253 65 257 23794 21813 55 245 52 245 60 252 63 255 59 259 21813 19747 52 248 49 249 56 258 56 257 51 260 19747 17641 47 252 47 253 52 259 53 264 47 264 17641 15610 45 255 46 255 51 258 45 269 41 264 15610 13763 44 256 42 258 50 262 36 269 36 260 13763 12126 42 261 37 263 42 270 29 270 29 253 12126 10678 35 267 34 274 34 278 23 268 18 241 10678 9396 29 279 33 286 29*282 19*268 13 245 9396 8256 24 280 31 293 21*282 17*274 11 255 8256 7245 19 278 25*297 19 283 17 280 11 269 7245 6354 15 279 18*295 19 283 16 283 11 285 6354 5566 12 285 13 287 18 284 16 285 12 296 5566 4862 11 302 10 278 17 284 16 286 12 302 4862 4239 11 319 10 275 16 285 16 288 13 307 4239 3720 10 325 9 272 16 285 15 288 13 309 3720 3321 8 311 8 270 15 285 14 288 12 310 3321 3047 6 270 8 269 14 285 14 289 11 310 3047 2881 4*272 7 267 13 284 12 289 8 309 2881 2785 2*270 6 267 10 284 9 289 5*309 2785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography