DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 80.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 213 - - 76 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3481 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4731 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6039 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2281 - - 6130 - - 1318 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 382 - - 117 - - 27 W* B/S - - - - - - 19 - - 17 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 166 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -162 - - -4266 - - -1140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6202 - - 7084 - - 3958 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5303 - - -5138 - - -5202 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11342 - - 7956 - - 8019 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 73 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 80.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.3 - - 58.8 - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.0 - - 78.8 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.3 - - 57.8 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 213 - - 76 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3481 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98966 30 109 17 130 17 113 98966 91552 25 098 15 097 19 103 91552 85828 17 095 12 081 20 085 85828 81099 17 101 14 097 18 077 81099 77032 14 101 19 103 15 084 77032 73427 10 105 19 090 14 100 73427 70150 16 117 13 099 9 090 70150 67137 14 110 10 130 6 115 67137 64350 13 095 13 130 9 128 64350 61662 11 073 12 118 12 123 61662 58890 6 074 8 075 12 098 58890 56081 7 053 7 029 9 027 56081 53452 11 047 9 025 10 009 53452 51095 14 014 17 356 20 355 51095 48972 14 026 14 008 17 360 48972 47032 18 027 15 024 15 017 47032 45241 17 004 15 022 15 021 45241 43572 13 341 15 003 12 019 43572 42002 12 328 12 321 12 334 42002 40523 18 346 12 331 9 303 40523 39124 21 332 16 329 9 321 39124 37771 13 317 18 312 14 316 37771 36398 12 299 18 305 14 304 36398 34973 16 297 15 290 13 285 34973 33501 21 295 14 285 12 269 33501 31968 23 285 14 291 12 278 31968 30363 21 285 17 293 15 294 30363 28689 25 283 22 290 18 297 28689 26952 22 290 25 289 19 300 26952 25153 14 288 22 291 21 310 25153 23294 14 298 18 295 22 302 23294 21362 15 309 18 298 17 301 21362 19352 12 309 16 297 14 292 19352 17311 4 287 10 282 13 291 17311 15355 4 256 6 280 10 302 15355 13582 3 293 1 353 4 321 13582 12008 3 353 4 059 4 049 12008 10608 4 357 5 032 8 028 10608 9359 9 325 7 326 13 003 9359 8248 12 292 6 298 13 342 8248 7261 10 279 6 294 10 325 7261 6385 9*273 4 286 8 320 6385 5605 6*259 4 276 4 324 5605 4903 4 231 2 255 1 128 4903 4280 4 223 1 219 9 151 4280 3759 3 213 1 194 14 149 3759 3358 3 206 1 182 14 144 3358 3082 3 203 1 177 12 137 3082 2914 3 199 1*173 9*132 2914 2817 2 199 1*166 5*126 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography