DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 72.2 - - 72.5 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 58 - - 43 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2980 - - 4390 - - 4418 - - 3539 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 109 - - 99 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 120 - - 102 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -368 - - -1186 - - -1129 - - -94 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3185 - - 4003 - - 3946 - - 2911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -937 - - -1980 - - -1847 - - -1086 ODpotential blCL - - - 3754 - - 4797 - - 4664 - - 3903 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 410 - - 760 - - 910 - - 1130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 72.2 - - 72.5 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.5 - - 64.1 - - 64.6 - - 66.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 71.2 - - 71.5 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 63.2 - - 63.7 - - 66.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 58 - - 43 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 100 - - 89 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99237 48 088 47 094 44 095 37 088 99237 91746 37 079 40 081 38 090 36 086 91746 85981 31 081 34 079 31 079 31 082 85981 81204 20 082 25 082 24 074 23 067 81204 77102 17 105 14 069 20 062 19 075 77102 73470 16 096 15 106 13 053 17 064 73470 70175 16 075 18 088 10 079 12 047 70175 67157 16 058 16 065 10 087 11 047 67157 64379 14 065 13 044 10 074 16 039 64379 61699 17 029 13 030 8 044 14 026 61699 58908 16 344 10 344 12 359 12 016 58908 56016 21 308 17 305 19 317 17 328 56016 53267 19 284 21 288 19 294 19 305 53267 50798 26 289 24 287 20 290 22 289 50798 48588 37 276 30 278 25 283 24 280 48588 46592 38 260 40 263 36 275 31 272 46592 44774 38 258 41 255 45 260 42 267 44774 43096 38 261 39 251 52 251 50 257 43096 41534 43 265 39 250 55 250 58 251 41534 40064 47 262 41 252 55 251 58 245 40064 38674 47 256 41 253 49 249 53 242 38674 37330 44 250 37 251 43 245 42 246 37330 35972 41 248 33 251 40 246 31 243 35972 34567 39 247 28 255 38 248 28 240 34567 33115 35 248 25 251 34 253 29 240 33115 31603 32 250 26 253 27 257 28 236 31603 30019 30 256 24 257 23 262 23 239 30019 28367 28 262 20 248 22 270 17 246 28367 26648 25 260 18 238 18 271 10 259 26648 24867 24 271 20 247 15 257 5 265 24867 23026 23 275 25 258 12 255 6 238 23026 21121 20 278 23 276 10 263 7 220 21121 19147 13 279 13 305 11 266 6 231 19147 17144 10 287 7 334 6 270 6 265 17144 15218 5 290 11 006 4 028 7 283 15218 13468 4 287 12 009 7 025 6 287 13468 11914 4 277 7 003 5 012 3 280 11914 10531 5 277 10 284 6 303 1 266 10531 9300 8 260 12 275 7 288 1 227 9300 8202 9 253 9 276 5 285 2 171 8202 7223 9 237 6 263 3 261 3 132 7223 6355 9 207 4 236 1 213 4 115 6355 5585 8 178 3 196 2 095 4 107 5585 4891 7 158 4 141 2 097 5 101 4891 4274 6 142 5 127 2 101 6 100 4274 3756 5 128 5 123 3 102 6 097 3756 3357 5 124 5 122 3 101 6 098 3357 3082 5 124 5 121 3 102 6 097 3082 2914 4*124 5 121 2 101 5 095 2914 2817 4*123 4*120 2*102 3*095 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography