DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 31.5 - - 28.4 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 18 - - 14 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1703 - - 2272 - - 2208 - - 1857 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 63 - - 70 - - 66 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 092 - - 089 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -225 - - -266 - - -426 - - -491 ODpotential blCL - - - 3039 - - 3080 - - 3240 - - 3305 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 31.5 - - 28.4 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 30.4 - - 26.5 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.6 - - 30.8 - - 27.7 - - 24.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 30.1 - - 26.1 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 18 - - 14 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96005 23 276 23 251 25 246 24 258 96005 88784 22 258 23 257 31 249 26 260 88784 83207 25 258 25 252 25 250 28 259 83207 78575 24 270 25 246 34 263 35 252 78575 74606 33 275 28 255 33 261 30 247 74606 71088 40 263 33 259 30 250 29 258 71088 67870 35 251 35 258 34 249 36 265 67870 64910 32 260 39 249 41 263 47 275 64910 62194 40 271 37 250 55 264 54 268 62194 59583 56 260 46 260 56 260 57 259 59583 56843 50 262 62 264 67 257 65 255 56843 53981 71 259 77 256 74 256 80 256 53981 51244 84 250 85 257 88 256 91 255 51244 48773 84 250 96 256 93 254 92 254 48773 46544 93 253 101 251 91 255 92 256 46544 44510 100 252 102 250 91 257 91 258 44510 42640 105 250 101 251 92 258 92 260 42640 40911 107 249 100 253 91 258 93 263 40911 39308 107 247 101 255 90 260 98 264 39308 37815 104 247 101 252 95 263 103 261 37815 36416 102 249 98 248 103 262 106 257 36416 35071 104 251 92 245 103 261 104 253 35071 33710 107 251 85 245 97 260 98 252 33710 32308 107 248 83 250 93 259 91 255 32308 30872 108 246 90 251 87 260 90 261 30872 29390 104 244 94 248 81 261 91 267 29390 27857 87 238 87 245 75 264 88 271 27857 26284 74 236 73 244 72 269 81 275 26284 24673 65 242 68 245 66 269 74 281 24673 23019 58 242 63 243 58 270 69 287 23019 21320 48 231 54 242 49 269 62 289 21320 19572 41 236 45 240 43 273 55 288 19572 17770 32 236 35 236 40 278 46 284 17770 15938 22 235 31 244 36 278 40 291 15938 14167 16 259 25 243 23 269 36 295 14167 12560 18 268 25 252 20 265 29 292 12560 11135 19 256 22 259 22 273 26 288 11135 9864 19 253 18 248 21 267 20 294 9864 8727 12 249 18 234 19 242 18 313 8727 7714 9 246 16 212 16 226 18 302 7714 6814 9 222 14 186 14 206 15 261 6814 6018 11 190 13 161 12 179 12 225 6018 5315 12 162 13 142 11 142 8 175 5315 4685 13 135 12 129 13 111 10 119 4685 4127 13 112 12 112 15 097 12 101 4127 3660 12 108 12 103 15 095 12 096 3660 3300 11 103 11 098 14 092 11 093 3300 3052 9 099 10 095 13 091 10 092 3052 2901 8 097 8 094 11 090 8*091 2901 2814 5*096 6*092 7*089 5*090 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography