DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.0 - - 61.9 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 27 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2488 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3813 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5046 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1072 - - 3355 - - 1142 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 296 - - 92 - - 26 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 009 - - 350 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4070 - - -4287 - - -1131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9116 - - 7104 - - 3947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14904 - - -12449 - - -10680 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 19950 - - 15265 - - 13496 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 42 - - 51 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.0 - - 61.9 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.2 - - 40.7 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.7 - - 61.3 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 31.0 - - 39.6 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 27 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2488 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98528 13 154 5 101 8 015 98528 91164 18 102 12 075 9 068 91164 85460 8 088 8 044 11 087 85460 80712 7 105 3 056 9 085 80712 76623 13 084 4 091 3 058 76623 73016 5 044 2 092 2 007 73016 69752 3 028 2 205 6 323 69752 66769 7 050 4 169 8 318 66769 64026 7 031 3 128 2 353 64026 61371 5 316 3 295 3 066 61371 58600 3 027 7 306 11 341 58600 55738 9 347 5 313 15 304 55738 53019 18 321 12 339 16 310 53019 50574 18 314 18 321 18 313 50574 48384 16 341 16 320 20 334 48384 46397 31 349 35 332 36 340 46397 44573 41 320 42 319 39 322 44573 42886 35 326 35 316 36 312 42886 41317 40 356 31 331 28 317 41317 39844 52 002 34 347 28 326 39844 38457 58 354 42 350 33 325 38457 37117 59 351 49 343 41 325 37117 35757 61 347 55 337 49 328 35757 34349 62 344 57 335 52 329 34349 32895 54 343 53 336 53 327 32895 31381 44 346 49 341 47 329 31381 29796 38 349 45 342 46 332 29796 28142 38 349 38 338 42 338 28142 26423 41 346 34 342 37 337 26423 24642 42 347 37 348 31 331 24642 22799 36 353 36 353 28 340 22799 20893 24 351 29 359 26 347 20893 18923 19 359 21 358 23 002 18923 16932 23 008 20 005 23 015 16932 15020 23 015 22 018 23 017 15020 13284 22 015 25 022 24 013 13284 11742 24 020 29 026 26 018 11742 10373 27 031 30 031 28 027 10373 9154 28 038 26 037 26 030 9154 8068 26 043 22 047 23 035 8068 7103 24 047 20 049 20 041 7103 6251 22 041 18 039 18 043 6251 5498 17*030 14 008 16 041 5498 4821 13*011 14 358 16 024 4821 4221 12 009 14 356 19 003 4221 3721 12 008 13 354 19 353 3721 3336 11 008 13 353 17 349 3336 3070 10 007 12 351 13 345 3070 2909 9 008 10 351 9*341 2909 2816 7 008 7*350 4*335 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography