DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.5 - - 34.5 - - 34.2 - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 150 - - 55 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 2729 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3998 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 5287 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3389 - - 1265 - - 3589 - - 2925 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 308 - - 100 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 17 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 307 - - 305 - - 299 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -789 - - 830 - - -1629 - - -700 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3603 - - 4457 - - 4443 - - 3515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1084 - - 356 - - -1973 - - -1194 ODpotential blCL - - - 3898 - - 4931 - - 4787 - - 4008 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.5 - - 34.5 - - 34.2 - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.8 - - 25.0 - - 24.9 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 33.2 - - 33.4 - - 31.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 24.4 - - 24.5 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 150 - - 55 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 2729 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 87 - - 93 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96728 54 235 63 247 70 249 62 254 96728 89376 38 246 46 237 44 245 37 254 89376 83766 36 249 34 242 25 233 32 243 83766 79135 24 243 27 238 22 236 29 241 79135 75165 15 241 18 220 22 226 21 232 75165 71629 19 248 15 241 16 222 13 232 71629 68402 20 214 22 241 28 256 21 274 68402 65461 13 280 20 191 29 246 27 265 65461 62756 35 275 11 220 26 219 24 245 62756 60117 36 258 28 265 18 237 24 253 60117 57334 32 257 36 259 41 269 38 259 57334 54442 43 270 49 254 55 261 50 259 54442 51682 59 269 58 256 60 261 55 254 51682 49183 70 268 64 257 63 260 57 254 49183 46932 71 266 65 259 65 257 61 260 46932 44885 73 269 68 263 65 258 65 265 44885 43016 79 271 75 268 69 261 74 265 43016 41295 85 270 83 269 75 264 83 261 41295 39697 90 268 90 269 80 266 88 258 39697 38203 92 268 97 269 84 267 87 260 38203 36801 91 269 100 268 86 267 84 260 36801 35457 90 270 99 267 85 267 78 262 35457 34104 87 268 95 268 82 266 77 265 34104 32717 81 270 88 269 73 268 75 264 32717 31297 76 272 78 271 63 271 62 266 31297 29838 66 273 67 274 57 273 50 271 29838 28331 51 281 51 283 42 278 40 277 28331 26777 40 293 37 296 27 298 28 291 26777 25171 31 311 29 310 22 322 25 310 25171 23509 29 331 28 322 23 332 22 318 23509 21790 29 343 29 328 25 336 20 325 21790 20007 30 350 29 329 25 334 22 332 20007 18153 30 350 28 327 26 334 19 331 18153 16264 27 351 26 326 25 335 15 324 16264 14441 24 348 22 328 23 333 16 327 14441 12778 22 344 20 332 21 328 17 331 12778 11299 19 334 20 337 22 330 16 337 11299 9985 19 323 20 335 24 331 17 338 9985 8817 20 314 21 331 27 330 21 334 8817 7778 20 316 23 329 28 326 25 329 7778 6858 19 317 21 320 25 312 25 322 6858 6052 19 315 19 308 21 303 24 310 6052 5345 19 313 19*307 21 302 23 303 5345 4710 19 312 19*306 21 302 22 301 4710 4146 18 311 18 305 20 302 21 300 4146 3673 17 310 18 305 19 301 20 298 3673 3308 16 309 17 305 18 301 18 297 3308 3055 15 308 15 305 16 301 15 296 3055 2902 12 308 13 305 13 301 12 295 2902 2814 9*307 9 304 9*299 8*293 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography