DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 73.6 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 127 - - 14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3227 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4336 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5785 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2011 - - 4963 - - 928 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 322 - - 78 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 240 - - 256 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1528 - - -4712 - - -2070 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7314 - - 7530 - - 4887 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7784 - - -8713 - - -7725 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13569 - - 11530 - - 10542 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 84 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 73.6 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.2 - - 50.4 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.0 - - 73.2 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.9 - - 49.2 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 127 - - 14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3227 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 54 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98000 24 228 25 252 15 249 98000 90727 3 171 9 275 10 300 90727 85091 3 254 9 261 12 280 85091 80397 10 292 10 297 7 319 80397 76346 4 267 8 295 9 345 76346 72791 4 106 3 256 8 328 72791 69597 4 058 3 062 3 322 69597 66662 5 018 9 011 9 006 66662 63945 8 028 7 004 10 340 63945 61322 11 016 9 353 10 347 61322 58602 14 325 16 326 16 340 58602 55793 14 303 18 310 20 333 55793 53108 19 317 26 311 29 321 53108 50686 26 315 34 300 40 321 50686 48507 24 320 28 304 31 315 48507 46523 33 338 26 337 21 315 46523 44717 41 334 43 352 55 000 44717 43065 37 333 74 350 68 351 43065 41520 35 334 73 350 57 356 41520 40061 35 336 49 348 42 354 40061 38679 35 336 32 333 38 348 38679 37342 36 335 26 331 30 340 37342 35983 32 326 23 341 25 333 35983 34573 27 322 22 342 23 328 34573 33115 17 332 23 334 21 326 33115 31597 12 320 20 311 16 322 31597 30007 19 309 20 288 19 306 30007 28350 20 308 19 289 20 288 28350 26628 15 306 18 292 20 274 26628 24844 9 304 14 282 17 262 24844 23002 6 308 11 261 15 253 23002 21093 6 290 10 267 13 256 21093 19114 9 278 11 291 10 274 19114 17107 10 276 12 289 9 285 17107 15180 11 263 12 281 10 289 15180 13433 11 264 13 281 12 293 13433 11883 11 273 13 284 12 295 11883 10504 10 278 12 283 12 289 10504 9275 8 264 11 264 12 271 9275 8180 10 242 11 242 12 249 8180 7206 10 235 9 235 11 230 7206 6343 9*235 8 238 9 223 6343 5575 9*236 8 244 8 230 5575 4884 8 239 7 250 7 244 4884 4269 8 240 7 254 7 254 4269 3753 8 241 6 255 6 256 3753 3355 7 243 6 255 5 255 3355 3080 7 243 6 256 4 251 3080 2913 6 243 5 256 3*244 2913 2817 5 243 4*256 1*238 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography