DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.5 - - 37.3 - - 37.1 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 96 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1729 - - 2486 - - 2914 - - 1768 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 124 - - 41 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 258 - - 267 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -68 - - -885 - - -689 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2882 - - 3700 - - 3504 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -579 - - -1282 - - -1337 - - -616 ODpotential blCL - - - 3393 - - 4097 - - 4152 - - 3430 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 89 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.5 - - 37.3 - - 37.1 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 31.0 - - 31.7 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 36.3 - - 36.8 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 29.8 - - 31.0 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 96 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 55 - - 92 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96288 6 107 4 292 6 188 6 236 96288 89053 7 201 9 285 8 213 8 287 89053 83488 13 279 9 246 9 252 15 268 83488 78898 17 260 13 241 11 269 15 241 78898 74939 17 273 15 253 13 261 16 242 74939 71434 21 283 22 251 23 267 24 272 71434 68284 25 279 26 247 30 262 30 269 68284 65395 27 264 27 249 31 253 30 252 65395 62691 34 265 33 253 36 257 35 253 62691 60048 43 258 42 252 46 257 47 252 60048 57284 50 260 51 257 57 255 56 253 57284 54422 62 256 62 256 67 256 72 261 54422 51696 68 255 69 256 80 252 86 255 51696 49239 74 256 77 254 82 247 91 250 49239 47030 82 255 81 253 83 251 96 249 47030 45007 89 252 87 256 94 258 104 253 45007 43149 93 250 99 255 101 252 109 252 43149 41442 107 249 110 249 105 250 113 248 41442 39863 120 247 121 245 113 251 114 241 39863 38373 129 248 131 245 110 249 100 242 38373 36959 142 248 139 245 103 250 96 256 36959 35602 142 247 144 243 112 249 118 262 35602 34245 138 248 149 242 130 244 133 261 34245 32849 139 250 154 242 145 243 129 258 32849 31410 142 249 157 242 147 243 120 249 31410 29916 141 248 157 242 145 240 127 245 29916 28370 137 243 151 240 150 238 117 248 28370 26789 132 239 143 237 146 238 95 259 26789 25174 129 239 139 237 135 241 84 271 25174 23510 119 245 121 244 114 245 73 278 23510 21791 98 248 102 243 98 247 60 281 21791 20008 87 247 91 243 92 248 57 273 20008 18153 81 247 83 246 80 253 57 271 18153 16258 68 247 73 249 69 258 52 272 16258 14428 54 245 60 250 58 261 47 274 14428 12763 47 246 49 253 46 265 43 275 12763 11290 43 251 42 259 39 270 40 277 11290 9988 38 258 36 269 35 276 35 281 9988 8832 35 264 31 278 32 282 32 284 8832 7802 33 266 30 285 30 286 30 287 7802 6885 30 266 29 288 28 288 27 289 6885 6075 26 267 28 284 23 286 23 294 6075 5357 22 267 24 278 18 279 20 293 5357 4716 19 257 18 265 17 275 15 282 4716 4149 17 250 16 261 16 272 13 281 4149 3674 15 249 16 260 15 271 11 297 3674 3309 13 250 15 260 14 270 10 303 3309 3056 12 250 14 259 13 268 8 306 3056 2903 10*251 12*259 10*268 6 307 2903 2814 7*251 8*258 7*267 3*310 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography