DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.5 - - 77.7 - - 75.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 164 - - 77 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1767 - - 3149 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3156 - - 4399 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 4325 - - 5707 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2057 - - 1873 - - 3948 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 346 - - 118 - - - W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 279 - - 280 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 2 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 846 - - 1201 - - -938 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3479 - - 4506 - - 3756 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -215 - - -66 - - -1631 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 4540 - - 5773 - - 4449 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 98 - - 95 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 1210 - - 1610 - - 1790 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.5 - - 77.7 - - 75.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.3 - - 67.0 - - 67.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 76.0 - - 74.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 66.0 - - 67.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 164 - - 77 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1767 - - 3149 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 91 - - 81 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99194 37 088 34 082 33 077 99194 91725 33 083 31 079 29 080 91725 85970 28 078 27 073 26 079 85970 81196 25 077 22 071 28 074 81196 77076 25 071 20 083 20 079 77076 73437 23 063 17 094 13 087 73437 70141 16 062 15 087 9 101 70141 67110 13 058 13 058 9 070 67110 64312 12 030 12 049 13 041 64312 61625 15 016 17 022 16 020 61625 58830 16 335 13 338 15 006 58830 55945 19 319 22 329 30 335 55945 53231 28 321 30 323 33 328 53231 50804 32 317 34 313 38 325 50804 48625 31 303 30 303 40 318 48625 46640 32 282 30 298 38 308 46640 44816 34 282 31 288 34 291 44816 43131 38 291 34 284 35 280 43131 41561 40 285 36 285 36 283 41561 40086 36 276 37 279 34 283 40086 38693 36 274 39 273 33 272 38693 37349 37 272 40 270 35 268 37349 35986 36 280 37 279 31 267 35986 34575 23 303 26 277 25 266 34575 33119 20 314 20 272 22 267 33119 31605 17 300 17 271 23 269 31605 30023 17 283 15 274 22 271 30023 28375 15 282 16 276 19 271 28375 26663 14 296 15 266 17 267 26663 24887 13 270 19 255 20 269 24887 23052 19 271 21 279 25 285 23052 21150 25 279 21 287 22 292 21150 19179 21 274 22 281 19 280 19179 17183 16 269 22 282 21 277 17183 15263 15 269 20 288 22 282 15263 13511 15 280 17 288 22 278 13511 11956 17 286 15 282 16 260 11956 10576 18 286 15 273 14 258 10576 9340 19 287 15 273 15 276 9340 8236 18 289 14 278 16 291 8236 7252 17 289 13 279 15 295 7252 6380 16 288 13*280 13 291 6380 5605 15 288 12*280 13 287 5605 4907 14*286 12 279 12 286 4907 4286 13*285 11 279 12 285 4286 3765 12 283 11 279 11 284 3765 3362 11 283 10 278 10 283 3362 3084 10 283 10 278 10 282 3084 2915 9 282 9 278 9*281 2915 2818 7 283 7 277 6*280 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography