DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 10.1 - - 10.2 - - 11.2 - - 6.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 140 - - 63 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 255 - - 255 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2796 - - 2796 - - 2796 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 2813 - - 2813 - - 2812 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1708 - - 2458 - - 3564 - - 3397 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 136 - - 105 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 286 - - 288 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -152 - - -307 - - -874 - - -851 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2965 - - 3120 - - 3687 - - 3663 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -441 - - -504 - - -1211 - - -1387 ODpotential blCL - - - 3254 - - 3317 - - 4024 - - 4199 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 10.1 - - 10.2 - - 11.2 - - 6.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.4 - - 7.0 - - 5.4 - - 1.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 9.3 - - 9.3 - - 10.5 - - 6.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.4 - - 6.6 - - 4.9 - - 1.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 140 - - 63 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 255 - - 255 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96191 103 232 91 233 99 232 104 231 96191 88972 118 234 104 241 106 241 102 241 88972 83405 96 242 101 243 103 246 96 245 83405 78783 67 257 76 248 85 248 76 246 78783 74828 55 261 61 249 65 238 65 242 74828 71350 44 249 60 243 58 239 60 237 71350 68200 44 237 52 236 55 241 52 241 68200 65285 46 237 49 239 57 236 56 244 65285 62561 57 244 58 235 62 234 66 246 62561 59911 71 242 66 236 72 234 80 245 59911 57146 79 241 77 241 79 239 87 247 57146 54264 86 244 88 246 91 247 93 249 54264 51489 95 245 102 240 105 243 104 248 51489 48971 109 239 111 236 111 241 113 246 48971 46705 120 236 116 237 116 241 118 244 46705 44641 125 238 122 240 124 242 126 243 44641 42747 133 241 132 243 133 243 134 243 42747 40995 144 243 148 245 144 244 140 243 40995 39364 156 243 163 244 157 244 146 244 39364 37839 164 243 170 245 164 244 155 245 37839 36411 168 242 174 245 168 245 164 244 36411 35042 171 241 176 245 173 244 169 243 35042 33664 170 239 175 243 175 243 167 241 33664 32249 168 237 173 240 174 240 162 239 32249 30800 163 235 172 238 172 237 157 239 30800 29307 153 233 172 236 173 236 154 238 29307 27759 146 232 170 235 175 236 151 238 27759 26156 140 232 166 236 174 236 147 238 26156 24497 137 238 154 236 167 236 131 239 24497 22791 131 241 148 239 159 236 107 245 22791 21052 115 240 135 240 144 238 84 255 21052 19272 96 237 112 237 127 240 67 267 19272 17440 83 235 97 234 112 239 58 279 17440 15590 73 235 90 234 97 242 58 290 15590 13826 65 239 81 240 84 248 59 294 13826 12234 60 244 68 248 78 258 59 294 12234 10823 56 249 61 259 76 266 57 294 10823 9571 51 255 60 268 69 272 55 295 9571 8461 47 263 60 271 60 277 52 296 8461 7483 46 267 58 274 49 281 47 299 7483 6624 47 271 51 279 37 285 40 299 6624 5872 46 278 44 287 34 288 34 295 5872 5206 44 286 38 290 34 288 33 294 5206 4606 39 290 33 289 33 289 32 293 4606 4073 34 290 31 288 32 289 31 293 4073 3626 32 289 30 288 31 289 29 292 3626 3280 30 289 28 287 28 289 26 291 3280 3041 26 288 25 287 25 289 22 290 3041 2896 22*288 21*286 21*289 18 290 2896 2812 14*286 14*286 13*288 11*289 2812 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography