DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 57.8 - - 55.8 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 67 - - 41 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2300 - - 3961 - - 2723 - - 2660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 111 - - 92 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 267 - - 286 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -825 - - -307 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2816 - - 3642 - - 3123 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -584 - - -1433 - - -853 - - -473 ODpotential blCL - - - 3400 - - 4249 - - 3669 - - 3289 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 40 - - 30 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 57.8 - - 55.8 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 51.5 - - 51.6 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 57.0 - - 54.9 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 50.9 - - 51.4 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 67 - - 41 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 84 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95988 47 254 51 260 43 271 43 278 95988 88804 44 253 44 257 44 264 44 278 88804 83351 33 258 30 251 40 253 38 265 83351 78879 31 255 25 256 29 251 31 264 78879 75029 31 263 29 257 29 258 28 264 75029 71615 37 261 29 249 29 268 26 263 71615 68512 38 244 36 264 32 265 33 268 68512 65660 42 245 43 256 37 252 36 254 65660 63019 46 241 43 247 39 242 40 253 63019 60457 44 240 46 247 40 247 49 241 60457 57765 49 257 47 252 51 259 57 258 57765 54945 59 256 68 260 76 258 69 254 54945 52219 72 247 81 253 83 250 76 257 52219 49731 73 240 80 247 82 255 80 259 49731 47479 65 244 74 249 86 259 85 260 47479 45427 68 255 74 253 88 259 89 259 45427 43554 73 261 75 255 87 258 88 258 43554 41833 79 263 77 259 84 255 85 254 41833 40241 85 259 86 260 83 256 80 250 40241 38767 90 247 95 251 87 254 77 244 38767 37399 82 234 91 241 93 242 80 242 37399 36091 71 228 79 228 90 233 85 236 36091 34770 68 223 81 229 87 232 83 232 34770 33408 69 227 79 233 86 232 79 233 33408 32007 73 235 79 237 85 238 79 237 32007 30551 76 242 78 240 79 244 78 239 30551 29028 73 240 78 242 74 244 77 240 29028 27438 73 238 77 243 71 240 77 240 27438 25783 71 237 74 244 71 236 76 244 25783 24070 70 241 70 239 69 233 64 248 24070 22306 65 243 61 233 67 239 53 239 22306 20484 53 249 60 254 59 251 50 234 20484 18594 42 255 42 260 48 252 50 235 18594 16670 36 246 35 232 42 249 50 244 16670 14816 35 221 40 224 42 242 43 257 14816 13128 37 223 44 233 43 248 35 265 13128 11626 39 241 46 245 41 258 32 263 11626 10287 43 252 44 254 39 265 32 262 10287 9090 47 253 43 261 36 267 28 266 9090 8021 48 255 40 266 32 268 25 270 8021 7070 45 260 32 271 27 269 24 266 7070 6229 41 263 29 273 22 272 20 261 6229 5485 35 265 28 274 20 275 17 264 5485 4815 31 266 26 273 18 281 16 268 4815 4219 27 266 22 271 15 285 14 272 4219 3721 23 266 19 270 14 287 13 275 3721 3336 19 265 18 269 13 288 10 278 3336 3070 16 265 16 268 12 288 9 278 3070 2909 14*264 13 268 10*287 7*278 2909 2816 9*264 10*267 7*286 4*278 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography