DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 55.8 - - 56.5 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 221 - - 21 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1931 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3590 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3558 - - 4489 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 568 - - 651 - - 2483 - - 452 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 221 - - 312 - - 77 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 264 - - 261 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1914 - - -3903 - - -5828 - - -2403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5472 - - 8393 - - 8645 - - 5219 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9469 - - -11008 - - -12868 - - -11770 ODpotential blCL - - - 13027 - - 15497 - - 15684 - - 14586 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 44 - - 46 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 55.8 - - 56.5 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 29.1 - - 28.8 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 53.9 - - 55.9 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 28.2 - - 28.0 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 221 - - 21 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1931 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96613 83 245 87 252 86 251 87 254 96613 89280 54 259 54 253 55 258 52 260 89280 83744 32 270 31 254 35 259 36 273 83744 79171 22 271 18 257 25 260 26 283 79171 75213 16 269 17 267 23 269 24 275 75213 71718 13 269 15 282 18 264 21 254 71718 68559 18 270 15 279 16 276 20 256 68559 65646 20 262 18 260 19 274 24 266 65646 62935 20 268 22 256 24 267 27 273 62935 60298 23 271 26 262 30 268 27 276 60298 57542 30 264 33 262 34 274 34 285 57542 54677 34 260 36 267 44 271 37 281 54677 51936 38 263 43 270 43 271 52 279 51936 49469 45 265 47 274 45 278 60 275 49469 47252 51 267 51 274 51 274 60 272 47252 45227 55 265 56 271 54 272 63 275 45227 43373 56 262 58 267 58 277 67 278 43373 41678 56 263 59 271 70 276 71 276 41678 40120 61 261 62 270 72 267 68 273 40120 38667 60 258 59 270 61 267 63 276 38667 37312 60 264 48 282 58 277 67 280 37312 36023 52 273 50 288 60 282 67 274 36023 34726 45 281 47 280 44 276 62 269 34726 33388 37 278 36 273 44 284 49 281 33388 32012 18 310 34 296 47 289 48 288 32012 30578 27 335 36 294 48 290 49 293 30578 29076 33 336 33 286 45 284 47 293 29076 27507 30 338 29 282 46 284 43 288 27507 25872 21 328 32 290 46 289 42 286 25872 24173 20 307 28 297 44 289 42 285 24173 22410 21 301 24 301 38 287 40 284 22410 20578 22 297 23 297 30 293 37 286 20578 18675 25 290 25 293 29 304 36 293 18675 16737 27 292 27 292 28 304 32 295 16737 14866 25 294 27 293 27 292 29 290 14866 13158 22 299 25 296 27 284 30 285 13158 11639 17 304 22 301 28 285 34 286 11639 10287 13 306 19 300 27 287 36 289 10287 9082 11 311 16 296 25 286 36 290 9082 8009 9 318 12 288 23 283 35 289 8009 7056 8 321 11 282 22 283 33 288 7056 6213 9 317 13 279 22 282 32 288 6213 5466 13 305 15 274 20 276 30 282 5466 4798 15 296 14*267 18 268 26 273 4798 4205 14 295 13*265 17 266 24 265 4205 3711 11*294 13 264 16 264 24 256 3711 3330 9*290 12 264 15 263 22 251 3330 3067 8 288 12 263 14 263 17 249 3067 2907 7 287 10 263 11*262 13*250 2907 2816 6 286 8 263 8*261 6*251 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography