DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.3 - - 47.0 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 201 - - 34 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1957 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3565 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4515 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1095 - - 2593 - - 728 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 301 - - 85 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 166 - - 167 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -8082 - - -8594 - - -6897 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 12597 - - 11410 - - 9713 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -18963 - - -18856 - - -18320 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 23478 - - 21671 - - 21135 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 84 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.3 - - 47.0 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 2.5 - - 7.6 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 45.5 - - 46.2 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 2.0 - - 7.2 - - 8.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 201 - - 34 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1957 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 24 - - 37 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95991 48 260 39 270 40 266 95991 88902 37 261 36 257 41 266 88902 83402 32 247 35 259 37 260 83402 78854 17 234 26 263 22 259 78854 74956 14 273 24 269 19 283 74956 71530 18 268 25 280 30 298 71530 68437 25 310 27 296 37 303 68437 65597 44 305 39 296 42 304 65597 62963 48 295 45 296 40 309 62963 60393 51 301 50 307 51 313 60393 57683 66 305 65 305 63 300 57683 54839 77 299 71 298 68 295 54839 52098 75 295 72 296 76 290 52098 49625 74 296 78 296 83 289 49625 47411 79 295 87 295 92 294 47411 45403 81 292 92 296 96 297 45403 43565 81 291 94 297 99 298 43565 41875 85 289 96 294 101 298 41875 40317 88 285 96 286 99 295 40317 38876 89 282 91 283 93 286 38876 37536 87 283 84 285 84 284 37536 36249 86 287 79 289 72 287 36249 34943 86 288 80 290 72 289 34943 33587 84 289 80 290 72 292 33587 32186 81 290 79 293 72 294 32186 30727 79 291 75 294 71 296 30727 29197 78 290 72 293 70 298 29197 27599 77 290 72 292 68 296 27599 25934 73 287 71 289 64 294 25934 24204 69 286 67 286 62 294 24204 22416 67 288 59 288 59 290 22416 20568 66 289 58 290 50 291 20568 18647 63 292 57 292 51 291 18647 16691 57 295 51 292 49 283 16691 14807 50 299 47 289 44 278 14807 13093 43 297 45 287 41 276 13093 11570 35 294 38 284 38 272 11570 10218 26 288 32 276 33 263 10218 9017 18 277 26 265 29 251 9017 7949 15 267 21 255 28 246 7949 7002 15 261 20 250 26 247 7002 6166 14 245 17 240 24 246 6166 5426 10 224 13 232 18 238 5426 4764 10*182 11 211 12 225 4764 4178 11*171 11 181 12 200 4178 3691 11 167 11 176 20 176 3691 3317 10 165 10 173 18 166 3317 3060 10 163 10 171 13 157 3060 2904 9 162 8 169 10*151 2904 2815 7 161 6*167 5*145 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography