DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.4 - - 76.1 - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 164 - - 100 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2365 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3814 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4923 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1952 - - 4891 - - 4186 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 310 - - 128 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 268 - - 305 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 944 - - -1783 - - -1022 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3979 - - 4600 - - 3839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 64 - - -2499 - - -2306 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4859 - - 5316 - - 5123 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 93 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 840 - - 920 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.4 - - 76.1 - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.1 - - 65.1 - - 65.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.9 - - 74.8 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.4 - - 64.3 - - 64.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 164 - - 100 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2365 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 79 - - 73 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98948 29 079 18 085 24 058 98948 91451 22 064 20 071 20 086 91451 85697 23 061 20 069 20 080 85697 80955 18 075 17 073 18 063 80955 76886 18 094 15 079 19 050 76886 73285 16 094 13 079 17 044 73285 70022 13 086 11 077 15 044 70022 67028 11 070 4 063 10 020 67028 64268 7 077 5 023 6 358 64268 61608 10 094 4 349 6 327 61608 58840 8 355 6 313 12 324 58840 55976 12 269 17 275 19 295 55976 53264 25 265 24 267 23 278 53264 50853 25 278 28 274 28 274 50853 48696 23 281 32 265 29 282 48696 46726 27 273 34 267 41 286 46726 44912 34 271 39 271 45 285 44912 43228 46 272 48 272 44 289 43228 41653 53 264 55 266 34 307 41653 40169 54 256 55 266 34 316 40169 38767 52 257 56 268 36 303 38767 37414 48 266 55 271 35 286 37414 36047 50 279 49 268 34 290 36047 34634 46 278 40 260 33 297 34634 33178 37 265 38 266 33 297 33178 31664 38 265 37 275 33 296 31664 30084 35 266 35 285 32 299 30084 28437 32 270 29 293 33 309 28437 26721 30 273 27 296 30 316 26721 24936 28 274 27 294 30 321 24936 23090 26 281 28 299 28 322 23090 21180 26 296 26 313 24 318 21180 19203 27 305 22 316 22 320 19203 17195 27 315 18 313 17 320 17195 15263 25 317 14 317 14 311 15263 13506 22 306 14 318 15 305 13506 11944 20 293 19 305 20 312 11944 10556 19 291 22 293 21 317 10556 9321 19 292 22 291 19 316 9321 8222 19 291 20 295 17 306 8222 7242 17 287 18 298 16 301 7242 6374 16 281 17 301 15 304 6374 5601 16*277 16 303 15 309 5601 4905 16*274 16 304 15 312 4905 4284 15 270 15 305 14 315 4284 3763 14 268 14 306 13 317 3763 3361 13 265 14 306 12 317 3361 3084 12 264 13 306 11 317 3084 2915 11 264 11 306 9 317 2915 2817 8 263 8*305 6*316 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography