DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.6 - - 64.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 310 - - 170 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3621 - - 3755 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4978 - - 4833 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6179 - - 6313 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1043 - - 1226 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 437 - - 364 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 296 - - 290 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 394 - - 499 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5786 - - 5814 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7489 - - -6908 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13668 - - 13221 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 94 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.6 - - 64.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.8 - - 49.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.6 - - 63.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.7 - - 48.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 310 - - 170 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3621 - - 3755 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 14 - - 78 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98689 27 100 29 086 98689 91204 25 093 23 088 91204 85456 21 091 20 093 85456 80705 19 096 14 091 80705 76611 12 086 8 096 76611 72980 6 097 5 110 72980 69686 1 322 3 356 69686 66661 6 142 7 171 66661 63874 3 301 1 275 63874 61184 15 217 8 268 61184 58391 18 268 20 265 58391 55514 33 248 32 253 55514 52794 36 251 50 253 52794 50356 50 248 54 247 50356 48154 61 259 61 258 48154 46149 77 264 82 268 46149 44320 88 265 105 265 44320 42638 101 266 112 264 42638 41067 112 264 115 265 41067 39589 113 264 115 267 39589 38193 108 264 110 267 38193 36848 100 263 100 265 36848 35488 89 260 93 262 35488 34086 77 257 83 260 34086 32646 71 257 73 256 32646 31151 71 257 68 252 31151 29588 69 255 65 254 29588 27957 61 251 64 250 27957 26258 62 247 63 247 26258 24498 64 251 61 254 24498 22685 58 256 58 260 22685 20812 49 256 54 255 20812 18871 44 258 51 252 18871 16897 44 261 52 256 16897 14995 43 264 49 264 14995 13264 38 265 48 271 13264 11725 36 265 44 273 11725 10355 39 265 42 272 10355 9136 37 277 37 275 9136 8058 28 284 22 271 8058 7106 18 291 14*278 7106 6265 17*293 14*282 6265 5516 17*295 14 286 5516 4840 17 295 14 290 4840 4239 17 296 13 292 4239 3734 16 296 13 294 3734 3344 16 297 13 294 3344 3075 15 296 12 295 3075 2911 13 296 11 295 2911 2817 10 296 8 294 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography