DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.2 - - 65.3 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 261 - - 136 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2270 - - 2867 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3902 - - 4070 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4828 - - 5425 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1526 - - 4332 - - 2800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 352 - - 308 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 230 - - 242 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -12 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1889 - - -1518 - - -3383 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6717 - - 6943 - - 6201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5154 - - -2900 - - -6368 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9982 - - 8325 - - 9185 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 80 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 60 - - 370 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.2 - - 65.3 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.5 - - 44.6 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.3 - - 64.0 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.4 - - 43.8 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 261 - - 136 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2270 - - 2867 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97762 13 213 15 231 17 301 97762 90444 18 235 12 250 10 295 90444 84773 21 242 19 254 13 289 84773 80001 14 221 21 235 17 256 80001 75865 11 208 17 226 23 229 75865 72211 10 210 13 237 17 219 72211 68899 11 244 10 222 14 221 68899 65838 23 256 18 258 14 258 65838 62998 33 254 33 255 28 264 62998 60255 31 243 36 250 38 254 60255 57404 24 251 31 252 33 258 57404 54449 32 259 33 264 36 270 54449 51632 39 264 46 263 42 270 51632 49107 52 262 49 263 44 272 49107 46855 58 260 51 266 48 273 46855 44823 57 259 52 264 50 270 44823 42974 52 262 50 265 49 268 42974 41287 51 268 48 267 45 269 41287 39742 51 266 45 270 42 270 39742 38313 50 271 46 272 45 271 38313 36979 57 279 49 269 48 266 36979 35702 64 279 55 271 51 265 35702 34415 64 274 62 271 52 264 34415 33084 61 271 63 272 50 268 33084 31713 59 273 60 274 46 273 31713 30289 58 273 52 275 44 274 30289 28801 53 264 42 272 41 273 28801 27250 44 258 40 259 37 274 27250 25635 36 258 39 246 34 275 25635 23958 33 260 35 249 33 274 23958 22222 30 264 32 261 35 273 22222 20424 32 276 28 274 36 278 20424 18558 41 287 31 286 36 281 18558 16660 50 292 35 285 34 277 16660 14827 52 294 38 281 33 268 14827 13156 50 293 39 276 32 257 13156 11665 50 287 36 268 32 247 11665 10333 46 278 34 261 33 241 10333 9141 41 269 31 257 32 237 9141 8074 37 266 27 254 31 233 8074 7122 32 265 24 252 30 231 7122 6277 27 258 20 247 28 230 6277 5525 24*247 17*243 25 230 5525 4846 21*236 16*242 21 231 4846 4243 19 230 16 242 19 234 4243 3736 17 229 15 242 17 236 3736 3345 16 228 15 242 15 238 3345 3075 15 228 14 242 12 238 3075 2911 13 228 12 242 8*238 2911 2817 9 228 9 243 4*237 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography