DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.3 - - 79.3 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 96 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3649 - - 259 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4860 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6207 - - 2817 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2427 - - 7565 - - 6735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 389 - - 127 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 23 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 227 - - 250 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2058 - - -5439 - - -3159 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8265 - - 8256 - - 5977 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5021 - - -6716 - - -5218 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11228 - - 9533 - - 8036 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 68 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 380 - - 590 - - 1160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.3 - - 79.3 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.9 - - 52.9 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.5 - - 78.1 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.6 - - 51.6 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 96 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3649 - - 259 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97915 8 101 8 052 9 355 97915 90524 4 354 6 313 9 009 90524 84881 4 080 5 318 6 039 84881 80199 8 104 3 101 3 342 80199 76150 3 143 9 122 5 258 76150 72573 4 264 5 080 5 317 72573 69332 0 303 3 035 3 267 69332 66355 5 354 5 328 9 333 66355 63612 11 302 12 302 16 328 63612 60970 14 300 20 302 24 320 60970 58222 20 301 25 289 30 299 58222 55379 24 292 32 289 24 286 55379 52661 27 297 33 294 20 315 52661 50202 32 300 33 289 40 305 50202 48008 29 301 28 304 37 305 48008 46045 31 305 33 327 29 329 46045 44269 25 299 27 324 26 325 44269 42629 8 161 16 317 13 341 42629 41093 23 112 17 166 2 242 41093 39643 26 100 29 131 16 140 39643 38272 29 102 23 108 16 127 38272 36944 23 100 29 119 21 118 36944 35595 14 121 27 132 22 131 35595 34196 11 142 13 129 10 132 34196 32755 9 173 10 165 7 113 32755 31266 10 203 12 189 11 192 31266 29718 11 208 13 204 21 204 29718 28105 10 214 15 205 17 205 28105 26423 8 221 13 196 10 199 26423 24677 8 232 11 197 7 199 24677 22875 17 243 9 234 6 245 22875 21008 19 253 10 263 11 256 21008 19075 25 263 17 273 12 264 19075 17112 26 260 24 264 17 260 17112 15221 19 259 22 258 18 245 15221 13495 18 249 18 247 17 238 13495 11953 22 245 18 231 19 220 11953 10576 20 241 18 214 15 194 10576 9347 16 233 15 196 14 182 9347 8246 12 221 14 192 13 180 8246 7263 7 213 12 196 12 179 7263 6389 4*213 10 207 10 179 6389 5612 4*217 8 221 8 182 5612 4911 3 223 8 236 6 190 4911 4288 3 226 8 242 4 202 4288 3766 3 230 7 245 4 216 3766 3363 3 232 7 246 3 227 3363 3084 3 233 7 247 3 237 3084 2915 3 233 6 249 2*244 2915 2818 2 234 5*250 1*244 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography