DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 59.4 - - 59.4 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 139 - - 6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1381 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2994 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 3939 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1225 - - 766 - - 1992 - - 755 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 240 - - 55 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 117 - - 100 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3905 - - -3374 - - -4217 - - -2057 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6721 - - 7313 - - 7033 - - 4874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12527 - - -8096 - - -8166 - - -7404 ODpotential blCL - - - 15343 - - 12035 - - 10982 - - 10220 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 97 - - 97 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 59.4 - - 59.4 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 37.7 - - 38.9 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 57.9 - - 59.0 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 36.9 - - 38.2 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 139 - - 6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1381 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 87 - - 86 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96913 85 243 93 247 91 252 83 249 96913 89716 53 247 59 252 65 253 63 255 89716 84144 36 253 38 253 48 253 47 257 84144 79541 26 272 29 244 30 255 33 261 79541 75580 23 285 22 265 21 270 26 278 75580 72083 21 286 13 276 14 272 21 290 72083 68919 23 279 12 304 13 275 21 295 68919 66004 23 270 21 307 14 277 23 282 66004 63291 25 268 25 289 19 280 22 276 63291 60655 31 266 28 278 20 286 23 282 60655 57906 38 269 32 273 31 279 30 281 57906 55069 44 269 37 271 40 274 40 271 55069 52377 45 265 41 270 43 273 43 266 52377 49960 43 268 45 267 42 270 43 266 49960 47796 46 266 48 262 49 259 49 258 47796 45856 49 262 57 252 58 250 54 251 45856 44104 45 263 53 252 55 243 50 247 44104 42489 42 268 47 255 48 247 45 251 42489 40972 42 270 46 255 45 249 46 251 40972 39537 42 270 45 256 41 256 43 251 39537 38178 40 268 44 256 39 259 39 255 38178 36861 39 265 41 256 39 260 38 255 36861 35521 38 266 38 257 38 260 37 253 35521 34134 37 270 35 259 35 262 34 250 34134 32702 36 268 32 264 33 266 27 254 32702 31210 31 266 30 269 33 267 25 256 31210 29647 31 262 32 270 34 269 25 257 29647 28014 36 255 36 271 36 272 28 262 28014 26311 30 257 33 266 37 268 31 262 26311 24541 30 260 32 255 33 260 31 264 24541 22707 31 258 33 249 32 254 34 270 22707 20808 20 254 30 249 29 251 33 267 20808 18847 14 266 17 235 18 245 29 253 18847 16870 14 262 8 263 11 237 20 245 16870 14977 13 267 8 290 8 262 10 230 14977 13259 8 288 6 317 6 270 5 253 13259 11730 6 332 6 354 3 321 6 257 11730 10371 7 355 8 003 7 006 2 074 10371 9160 6 003 8 007 10 013 5 052 9160 8078 5 007 8 014 9 018 5 055 8078 7114 6 039 8 037 9 036 6 079 7114 6260 10 080 10 072 11 065 8 099 6260 5502 14 095 12 096 11 089 10 112 5502 4822 17 106 13 117 10 108 12 113 4822 4222 18 110 12*120 10 108 14 110 4222 3721 16 109 11*118 10 105 15 119 3721 3335 13 105 11 117 9 103 15 127 3335 3070 12 104 10 116 8 101 12 127 3070 2908 10*104 9 116 7 101 8*122 2908 2816 7*103 7 115 5*100 4*115 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography