DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.7 - - 23.4 - - 27.8 - - 20.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 63 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2796 - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 873 - - 1072 - - 1401 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 106 - - 82 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 308 - - 331 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2506 - - -2738 - - -2597 - - -648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5319 - - 5552 - - 5412 - - 3462 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16962 - - -14823 - - -13811 - - -13222 ODpotential blCL - - - 19775 - - 17637 - - 16625 - - 16036 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 97 - - 95 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.7 - - 23.4 - - 27.8 - - 20.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 2.9 - - 9.5 - - 14.4 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 14.9 - - 22.4 - - 27.0 - - 23.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.1 - - 8.3 - - 13.3 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 63 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 89 - - 80 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96553 17 227 17 244 23 245 24 271 96553 89336 13 245 15 267 8 286 11 273 89336 83772 12 226 14 236 11 321 8 291 83772 79140 9 289 7 285 8 296 10 307 79140 75136 5 254 8 287 9 280 17 306 75136 71611 16 337 15 318 19 322 21 317 71611 68424 29 325 21 309 23 321 20 312 68424 65478 31 303 27 302 31 310 30 311 65478 62739 32 296 34 297 40 301 41 305 62739 60094 41 292 41 288 48 291 45 294 60094 57329 48 282 42 293 49 280 50 290 57329 54439 54 285 53 294 57 280 59 282 54439 51662 59 289 65 285 65 279 65 282 51662 49151 70 290 74 282 75 283 77 285 49151 46893 79 290 79 279 83 284 84 285 46893 44840 87 290 82 280 86 284 88 286 44840 42955 93 288 83 283 87 281 90 285 42955 41214 91 286 85 287 86 279 89 284 41214 39604 94 292 87 290 85 284 91 285 39604 38114 109 292 95 295 98 289 102 286 38114 36730 113 288 118 289 109 288 111 286 36730 35413 108 291 122 283 121 289 119 286 35413 34095 118 295 117 292 124 290 128 286 34095 32747 130 294 122 297 119 291 122 287 32747 31367 125 291 126 295 115 292 112 287 31367 29935 118 291 126 291 114 292 104 291 29935 28440 112 292 122 291 113 292 87 295 28440 26883 103 293 103 293 103 292 76 301 26883 25263 96 294 84 296 86 293 75 303 25263 23580 91 296 75 303 75 294 72 306 23580 21839 84 297 73 302 70 300 70 309 21839 20036 81 296 72 298 68 300 68 304 20036 18161 80 293 70 297 66 302 66 305 18161 16253 79 293 67 297 61 299 59 307 16253 14417 72 290 64 293 53 298 56 306 14417 12747 63 283 58 286 46 299 51 305 12747 11267 52 282 51 280 41 292 41 306 11267 9959 42 299 44 276 36 286 34 301 9959 8800 41 313 35 287 33 280 28 294 8800 7772 37 314 30 299 29 275 24 288 7772 6860 30 308 25 297 25 277 22 284 6860 6055 24 307 20 288 21 278 20 285 6055 5341 21 315 15 286 17 275 17 289 5341 4701 19 324 11 297 12 280 15 289 4701 4135 16 326 9 308 7 300 11 282 4135 3662 11 315 6 311 5 326 7 273 3662 3300 6 290 4 311 4 329 5 284 3300 3052 5 284 4 310 4 329 3 308 3052 2900 5*283 3*309 3*331 3*321 2900 2814 4*281 3*308 3*331 2*322 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography