DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.2 - - 77.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 221 - - 118 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3992 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 5144 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 6550 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3788 - - 1644 - - 5933 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 144 - - 409 - - 135 - - - W* B/S - - - 22 - - 22 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 114 - - 233 - - 244 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3492 - - -928 - - -4880 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6309 - - 7478 - - 7697 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9838 - - -7490 - - -10333 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 12655 - - 14040 - - 13150 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 72 - - 60 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.2 - - 77.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 53.1 - - 53.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 74.1 - - 75.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 51.9 - - 52.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 221 - - 118 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3992 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99457 49 090 45 078 35 079 99457 91967 40 085 37 076 38 076 91967 86194 35 075 33 087 35 080 86194 81418 32 077 32 090 28 086 81418 77312 29 084 28 084 26 087 77312 73676 23 072 24 077 26 084 73676 70378 21 074 21 083 22 080 70378 67347 20 068 21 086 17 080 67347 64542 16 079 18 074 12 063 64542 61851 14 070 12 084 10 042 61851 59060 11 040 9 068 11 028 59060 56171 12 019 8 006 13 338 56171 53425 20 006 13 007 10 331 53425 50967 32 354 28 359 22 347 50967 48770 42 341 41 345 35 344 48770 46782 48 352 52 356 40 351 46782 44962 65 358 64 000 51 010 44962 43274 81 358 71 350 61 357 43274 41695 82 356 73 351 64 345 41695 40210 74 359 63 357 58 348 40210 38804 59 353 51 353 47 351 38804 37445 42 343 47 352 40 346 37445 36068 40 344 44 343 38 352 36068 34641 38 344 42 333 36 348 34641 33167 35 349 39 336 35 339 33167 31635 30 342 32 339 32 335 31635 30038 25 342 26 334 26 327 30038 28376 23 342 23 328 23 326 28376 26648 23 337 24 320 23 321 26648 24860 21 331 27 323 23 326 24860 23015 23 331 22 332 20 333 23015 21108 24 334 17 345 11 330 21108 19136 21 340 12 348 8 312 19136 17137 16 336 9 331 10 293 17137 15216 12 338 6 325 9 289 15216 13467 12 341 3 330 6 285 13467 11908 10 337 2 285 5 284 11908 10521 8 335 2 271 3 292 10521 9291 7 346 3 290 1 280 9291 8197 7 343 2 275 2 246 8197 7224 6 323 2*239 2 251 7224 6360 3 294 3*235 3 250 6360 5590 0 124 3 232 3 250 5590 4896 2 083 3 234 4 249 4896 4278 2 086 4 233 4 248 4278 3760 2 095 4 233 5 247 3760 3359 2 104 4 233 5 246 3359 3083 1 106 4 233 5 245 3083 2914 1*112 4 233 4 245 2914 2817 1*114 3 234 4*244 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography