DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.5 - - 77.6 - - 81.3 - - 81.8 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 107 - - 90 - - 14 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 228 - - 1990 - - 229 - - 228 - - 228 BL Depth Hcrit 2769 - - 3368 - - 2770 - - 2770 - - 2770 Hcrit BL Top 2786 - - 4548 - - 2787 - - 2786 - - 2786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 3807 - - 7052 - - 7041 - - 3862 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 260 - - 121 - - 78 - - 31 W* B/S 7 - - 6 - - 19 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 295 - - 261 - - 331 - - 172 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -367 - - -509 - - -2960 - - -3246 - - -1268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3153 - - 5057 - - 5748 - - 6033 - - 4054 sfcLCL ODpotential -4400 - - -2476 - - -3993 - - -4240 - - -3200 ODpotential blCL 7186 - - 7024 - - 6780 - - 7026 - - 5986 blCL maxRH 75 - - 80 - - 82 - - 88 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 730 - - 1260 - - 1090 - - 1390 CAPE Temp@2m 66.5 - - 77.6 - - 81.3 - - 81.8 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.1 - - 64.8 - - 65.4 - - 64.7 - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.0 - - 76.2 - - 80.0 - - 80.8 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.4 - - 63.6 - - 64.3 - - 63.3 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 107 - - 90 - - 14 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 228 - - 1990 - - 229 - - 228 - - 228 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 21 - - 30 - - 51 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98953 35 081 34 080 33 077 30 089 21 070 98953 91991 30 075 30 080 27 075 30 084 26 088 91991 86521 27 074 26 075 23 080 27 082 26 085 86521 81931 25 083 22 079 20 087 19 079 23 079 81931 77960 21 090 20 089 19 094 16 090 18 071 77960 74448 18 095 18 098 15 094 14 090 14 079 74448 71261 14 082 14 093 13 101 10 069 13 084 71261 68317 11 064 10 090 12 088 8 081 7 050 68317 65593 9 041 6 094 5 070 7 079 7 354 65593 62963 11 009 3 072 3 194 2 269 8 320 62963 60223 15 311 6 282 7 275 8 257 9 274 60223 57397 19 267 17 266 20 279 14 279 13 281 57397 54736 19 267 21 276 27 268 19 276 18 282 54736 52369 25 279 26 287 29 265 22 273 25 284 52369 50258 28 272 25 283 27 261 30 281 31 282 50258 48341 27 259 23 275 26 257 34 278 34 279 48341 46581 25 263 23 271 20 249 33 265 34 277 46581 44944 26 288 24 267 12 254 29 249 36 266 44944 43411 29 303 23 264 6 254 22 233 34 251 43411 41964 30 302 22 269 4 286 18 225 30 242 41964 40594 29 292 23 279 8 296 13 245 24 254 40594 39264 27 283 24 289 13 294 19 287 25 272 39264 37903 25 279 25 294 21 286 28 298 30 274 37903 36483 23 285 23 294 25 279 34 293 32 270 36483 35004 25 298 21 288 22 272 34 282 29 268 35004 33452 26 308 21 287 18 263 29 272 26 266 33452 31815 23 310 25 291 17 262 23 267 23 269 31815 30095 26 306 28 294 20 273 21 266 23 274 30095 28289 27 306 24 296 18 271 21 265 24 274 28289 26402 16 278 19 277 17 251 22 253 26 269 26402 24436 18 250 21 249 24 250 26 251 27 269 24436 22388 19 254 22 247 26 254 27 255 25 274 22388 20255 18 266 20 251 23 257 24 260 25 288 20255 18081 16 263 17 266 18 262 19 264 21 293 18081 15990 13 241 16 276 13 272 15 276 15 294 15990 14092 12 225 16 256 12 268 11 278 12 289 14092 12409 12 223 15 239 12 259 11 265 11 265 12409 10918 11 228 12 235 10 266 6 260 9 237 10918 9595 10 239 9 239 5 276 1 226 7 206 9595 8419 9 252 7 252 1 300 2 214 10 206 8419 7377 10 261 6 270 2 359 2 201 13 206 7377 6459 10 264 7 283 2 353 3 193 15 200 6459 5648 9 264 9 282 2 346 4 185 16 196 5648 4923 8 260 9*273 2 343 5 179 16 194 4923 4282 8 254 9*265 2 339 5 176 16 193 4282 3748 8 247 8 261 2 333 6 174 15 192 3748 3337 9 239 7 260 1 332 6 173 14 192 3337 3055 8 226 7 260 1 335 6 172 11 191 3055 2884 6*219 6 259 1*328 5 171 9 190 2884 2786 1*295 5 259 1*331 4*172 4*187 2786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography