DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.5 - - 79.4 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 86 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4398 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5450 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6956 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1636 - - 6875 - - 5603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 422 - - 124 - - 33 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 285 - - 277 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 436 - - -4615 - - -2497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6520 - - 7433 - - 5314 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1121 - - -5722 - - -4317 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8077 - - 8540 - - 7134 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 81 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 160 - - 70 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.5 - - 79.4 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.4 - - 56.4 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.5 - - 78.2 - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.1 - - 55.1 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 86 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4398 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 34 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98622 20 091 19 080 12 083 98622 91126 15 072 18 080 15 067 91126 85384 14 073 15 062 18 062 85384 80643 16 081 10 070 19 053 80643 76579 14 079 11 077 15 055 76579 72993 13 081 9 068 12 054 72993 69746 14 053 7 079 10 035 69746 66764 10 039 8 055 11 020 66764 64004 10 040 12 032 16 011 64004 61345 17 022 12 012 18 359 61345 58590 18 351 14 356 19 336 58590 55744 20 335 23 339 20 338 55744 53024 25 312 31 314 29 336 53024 50578 30 304 35 309 35 324 50578 48400 36 306 42 307 44 315 48400 46441 48 301 49 302 55 306 46441 44657 49 295 53 292 55 298 44657 43012 47 294 53 294 58 296 43012 41468 52 291 54 295 63 289 41468 40006 51 295 50 291 58 294 40006 38621 43 292 45 289 53 299 38621 37281 39 292 40 293 49 290 37281 35919 39 292 38 296 48 294 35919 34507 38 293 36 298 47 295 34507 33049 37 292 35 298 45 298 33049 31533 36 289 35 294 43 300 31533 29950 32 290 33 293 36 303 29950 28304 29 290 31 299 32 309 28304 26594 31 294 29 308 27 317 26594 24824 27 299 25 318 19 324 24824 22996 20 299 22 319 14 337 22996 21103 22 299 22 308 13 350 21103 19139 25 296 21 301 15 346 19139 17144 24 296 20 301 15 337 17144 15226 19 296 19 304 14 322 15226 13484 14 288 16 302 12 304 13484 11935 11 275 12 306 8 311 11935 10557 11 261 10 317 7 350 10557 9327 9 262 9 313 7 346 9327 8230 8 285 9 300 8 307 8230 7251 9*288 9 294 10 286 7251 6382 9*288 9 290 10 281 6382 5607 9 287 9 287 10 279 5607 4909 9 286 9 285 10 276 4909 4287 9 284 9 283 9 272 4287 3765 9 283 8 281 9 269 3765 3362 9 282 8 280 8 266 3362 3084 8 281 8 279 7 264 3084 2915 8 280 7*278 5 262 2915 2817 6 280 5*277 3*261 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography