DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.0 - - 23.3 - - 21.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 225 - - 155 - - 75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2968 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4356 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5526 - - 2814 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1336 - - 3145 - - 2605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 364 - - 141 - - 111 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 42 - - 17 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 276 - - 284 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -12 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1533 - - -1205 - - -624 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3994 - - 4019 - - 3438 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 763 - - -1446 - - -983 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4763 - - 4260 - - 3796 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.0 - - 23.3 - - 21.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 18.5 - - 15.7 - - 16.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 24.8 - - 22.3 - - 20.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 17.6 - - 15.3 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 225 - - 155 - - 75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2968 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95744 49 245 48 259 39 255 95744 88667 27 262 36 256 31 256 88667 83201 24 282 23 258 26 255 83201 78670 18 259 13 259 21 261 78670 74749 13 244 16 203 28 262 74749 71273 14 272 14 232 28 265 71273 68124 15 275 19 252 29 250 68124 65226 9 262 18 218 23 231 65226 62499 21 306 22 268 21 249 62499 59823 42 265 53 260 55 258 59823 57047 66 242 74 257 74 255 57047 54176 75 251 82 255 82 253 54176 51433 96 260 92 259 93 255 51433 48964 109 256 107 260 102 256 48964 46744 113 245 115 255 108 253 46744 44719 108 238 112 248 113 249 44719 42860 110 245 114 247 115 249 42860 41147 118 250 127 252 122 252 41147 39561 135 249 142 253 139 252 39561 38088 141 245 153 250 157 249 38088 36710 142 244 157 246 163 246 36710 35383 145 246 156 244 163 244 35383 34037 143 244 155 244 162 243 34037 32647 136 239 154 245 164 242 32647 31212 130 237 151 244 164 243 31212 29721 127 236 147 242 160 245 29721 28170 127 237 143 239 149 246 28170 26568 127 239 143 240 138 248 26568 24914 126 240 144 246 125 248 24914 23212 124 239 139 249 115 249 23212 21467 122 237 126 250 104 255 21467 19679 121 236 115 251 88 263 19679 17847 121 237 98 257 77 272 17847 15990 115 244 79 271 75 276 15990 14200 111 249 70 282 73 280 14200 12570 108 251 66 288 69 285 12570 11122 100 251 65 296 64 290 11122 9835 86 253 67 301 62 294 9835 8688 74 260 68 303 61 296 8688 7664 56 265 66 304 59 301 7664 6759 46 271 61 303 54 303 6759 5969 47*273 51 295 47 297 5969 5278 47*274 44 289 42 290 5278 4660 47 275 43 288 40 288 4660 4111 45 276 42 287 38 287 4111 3650 44 276 40 287 35 286 3650 3294 41 277 37 286 32 285 3294 3049 37 277 33 286 28 284 3049 2899 31 277 28*285 24 283 2899 2813 19 276 17*284 15*282 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography