DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.5 - - 26.9 - - 20.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 95 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 1603 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 4161 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2139 - - 545 - - 1424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 132 - - 220 - - 98 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 120 - - 130 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4952 - - -2257 - - -3077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7766 - - 6418 - - 5890 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -19911 - - -17412 - - -19887 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 22725 - - 21573 - - 22700 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.5 - - 26.9 - - 20.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 4.9 - - 9.2 - - 5.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.2 - - 25.9 - - 19.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 4.7 - - 9.0 - - 5.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 95 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 1603 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95598 99 242 106 244 110 250 95598 88507 76 243 92 251 89 254 88507 83103 66 251 73 251 76 252 83103 78622 53 252 56 254 64 253 78622 74754 42 257 45 250 50 255 74754 71332 37 260 41 244 46 256 71332 68229 39 259 40 249 47 253 68229 65365 43 257 45 253 50 254 65365 62703 47 255 47 255 52 251 62703 60117 50 253 52 259 59 255 60117 57414 60 259 67 261 66 259 57414 54597 78 258 79 259 78 260 54597 51893 81 257 85 261 82 258 51893 49436 84 260 94 263 89 261 49436 47210 94 258 102 259 103 258 47210 45171 103 253 108 251 106 254 45171 43292 106 249 100 246 101 254 43292 41561 101 248 93 250 100 258 41561 39972 96 253 99 262 110 263 39972 38517 100 262 109 259 113 260 38517 37173 102 259 105 254 109 259 37173 35890 99 256 101 257 104 262 35890 34590 95 256 101 258 101 266 34590 33242 95 259 103 256 96 264 33242 31852 95 261 100 254 94 261 31852 30404 91 261 96 253 95 260 30404 28884 88 259 95 254 88 258 28884 27297 88 256 91 257 81 252 27297 25642 89 256 82 258 77 252 25642 23921 85 258 77 257 73 248 23921 22138 78 257 78 256 71 250 22138 20290 71 259 78 256 68 252 20290 18372 65 258 76 253 66 251 18372 16419 65 256 71 252 66 250 16419 14546 64 252 65 252 64 250 14546 12849 57 250 61 249 59 247 12849 11342 44 253 56 244 53 245 11342 10005 34 255 43 240 49 242 10005 8818 30 246 34 234 45 240 8818 7763 27 238 27 229 43 234 7763 6832 22 232 21 218 35 223 6832 6016 16 221 15 207 26 212 6016 5300 11 194 12 182 24 190 5300 4665 11 143 14*146 23 152 4665 4109 12 129 14*134 21 130 4109 3648 12 125 14 131 20 125 3648 3293 12 123 14 130 19 123 3293 3048 11 122 13 129 17 122 3048 2899 10*121 11 128 14*121 2899 2813 7*120 8 127 10*119 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography