DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 62.7 - - 67.0 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 325 - - 140 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 3608 - - 4467 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 4969 - - 5229 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 6166 - - 7025 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3420 - - 1054 - - 2100 - - 1914 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 437 - - 357 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 257 - - 271 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1275 - - -1060 - - -2553 - - -2575 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4091 - - 7227 - - 9578 - - 5391 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1773 - - -6232 - - -7224 - - -7375 ODpotential blCL - - - 4589 - - 12398 - - 14249 - - 10191 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 63 - - 46 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 62.7 - - 67.0 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 40.8 - - 34.7 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 60.3 - - 65.5 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 40.0 - - 33.9 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 325 - - 140 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 3608 - - 4467 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96347 22 275 31 260 37 273 29 292 96347 89142 15 277 23 243 32 290 22 311 89142 83631 14 265 15 238 24 272 19 304 83631 79104 17 274 14 269 16 242 20 265 79104 75241 21 267 16 268 13 229 22 245 75241 71827 23 263 23 271 13 244 20 252 71827 68718 29 248 30 267 18 259 22 266 68718 65854 32 251 29 261 23 260 21 269 65854 63195 39 252 32 256 32 261 27 268 63195 60624 42 242 34 241 35 248 34 252 60624 57937 35 255 33 249 34 243 35 243 57937 55115 55 276 40 259 39 250 37 256 55115 52384 63 262 49 259 47 253 49 255 52384 49898 63 255 58 254 55 249 57 260 49898 47642 64 252 67 251 65 252 63 261 47642 45576 63 253 71 250 73 254 66 263 45576 43685 62 255 71 253 72 255 69 261 43685 41956 56 258 63 254 66 255 59 259 41956 40365 46 256 55 253 59 254 56 262 40365 38886 42 252 49 250 49 252 53 262 38886 37502 40 247 42 244 44 251 48 265 37502 36175 23 254 37 214 42 256 45 269 36175 34839 22 261 31 201 40 259 45 267 34839 33466 21 256 26 202 37 252 44 268 33466 32059 20 254 24 200 35 245 42 269 32059 30604 19 252 22 200 32 238 40 271 30604 29088 21 248 18 202 28 225 38 272 29088 27511 20 260 14 206 24 217 36 272 27511 25872 19 259 18 221 19 218 33 272 25872 24171 18 235 19 228 20 246 30 274 24171 22411 18 223 20 221 24 259 28 275 22411 20586 18 234 19 221 26 262 30 275 20586 18689 18 238 16 224 25 264 29 277 18689 16757 19 250 18 249 28 269 29 275 16757 14893 18 257 22 262 30 269 29 279 14893 13194 18 254 25 262 29 264 26 291 13194 11679 16 256 22 260 27 267 23 306 11679 10330 15 259 19 263 25 289 24 309 10330 9128 17 259 20 272 23 301 25 300 9128 8057 19 262 23 284 17 297 24 288 8057 7104 21 266 19 284 16*291 20 277 7104 6260 20 260 14*267 15*287 18 266 6260 5509 20 259 14*263 14 276 18 254 5509 4834 19 259 14 259 14 271 20 245 4834 4233 18 258 14 257 13 268 21 240 4233 3729 16 258 13 255 13 266 20 238 3729 3341 14 258 12 254 12 263 18 236 3341 3073 13 257 12 252 11 263 14 235 3073 2910 11*257 11 251 10 261 10 233 2910 2816 8*257 8 251 8 260 5*230 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography