DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.4 - - 25.7 - - 34.0 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 199 - - 92 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1650 - - 1486 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3022 - - 3241 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4208 - - 4044 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 652 - - 468 - - 2090 - - 673 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 277 - - 121 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 243 - - 235 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1000 - - 175 - - -2909 - - -1575 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3208 - - 3869 - - 5724 - - 4390 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 296 - - -7107 - - -8067 - - -8469 ODpotential blCL - - - 3912 - - 11151 - - 10881 - - 11283 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 92 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.4 - - 25.7 - - 34.0 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.6 - - 18.9 - - 19.0 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 17.2 - - 24.0 - - 33.0 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.6 - - 17.8 - - 17.8 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 199 - - 92 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1650 - - 1486 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 67 - - 8 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96447 7 076 7 062 5 103 6 055 96447 89297 7 094 3 163 3 163 4 018 89297 83720 7 147 7 210 7 215 8 268 83720 79053 6 244 9 227 11 228 11 241 79053 74999 16 220 14 222 13 253 13 255 74999 71399 10 241 13 214 20 263 18 273 71399 68148 10 217 13 236 20 252 20 250 68148 65150 9 190 14 190 13 224 17 244 65150 62349 25 292 21 295 18 290 21 277 62349 59631 35 272 34 283 31 289 34 285 59631 56792 32 256 34 269 39 279 40 277 56792 53835 26 253 30 265 37 278 38 276 53835 51007 29 268 33 278 43 282 43 278 51007 48463 33 283 40 290 45 285 47 288 48463 46197 40 298 57 291 63 293 73 285 46197 44169 57 291 59 291 68 289 73 285 44169 42337 63 293 59 302 66 298 77 304 42337 40666 53 294 74 306 89 302 98 305 40666 39129 53 309 79 300 97 303 104 304 39129 37704 77 311 80 306 102 308 110 305 37704 36372 86 312 110 318 113 314 118 306 36372 35093 91 315 131 318 127 317 121 306 35093 33801 91 315 132 316 128 319 121 308 33801 32468 90 312 129 314 116 317 118 309 32468 31096 89 305 114 313 106 310 111 309 31096 29676 91 302 100 307 104 302 100 307 29676 28194 85 305 89 301 97 299 93 304 28194 26650 63 312 87 298 89 300 87 301 26650 25041 45 310 80 300 82 301 82 294 25041 23369 41 304 58 302 77 298 78 288 23369 21644 39 303 52 295 67 302 73 292 21644 19863 38 305 47 292 56 305 63 292 19863 18024 37 308 45 290 52 301 55 290 18024 16162 36 309 43 289 48 297 53 293 16162 14371 37 311 42 286 46 292 54 293 14371 12741 37 310 42 280 45 283 51 296 12741 11289 37 306 39 273 42 271 45 295 11289 9995 36 302 35 273 38 266 41 287 9995 8841 33 304 30 281 35 266 40 276 8841 7812 29 306 28 286 32 265 37 268 7812 6898 27 306 25 286 29 260 34 263 6898 6088 25 303 21 278 28 252 33 255 6088 5370 22 296 19 263 28 242 35 244 5370 4725 17*286 16 243 23 233 37 235 4725 4153 16*283 14*240 18 232 34 230 4153 3676 15 282 13*242 16 232 27 227 3676 3309 14 281 12 242 15 233 20 226 3309 3056 13 281 11 244 14 234 14 227 3056 2903 11 280 10 244 12*234 10 227 2903 2814 8 279 7 245 8*235 5*228 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography