DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 62.0 - - 63.7 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 349 - - 171 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1900 - - 3703 - - 3477 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3567 - - 5073 - - 4625 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4458 - - 6261 - - 6035 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1491 - - 1408 - - 1853 - - 2146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 454 - - 354 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 234 - - 225 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3505 - - -4098 - - -4750 - - -4621 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7963 - - 10360 - - 10786 - - 7437 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10187 - - -10433 - - -11086 - - -10946 ODpotential blCL - - - 14645 - - 16694 - - 17121 - - 13762 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 63 - - 76 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 62.0 - - 63.7 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 26.4 - - 26.2 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 59.7 - - 62.2 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 25.1 - - 25.0 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 349 - - 171 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1900 - - 3703 - - 3477 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98251 19 206 15 216 10 221 11 210 98251 90810 14 203 12 186 9 196 4 204 90810 85033 11 185 14 199 13 206 6 242 85033 80214 7 216 9 208 10 197 12 209 80214 76044 9 233 12 206 16 228 12 232 76044 72357 12 262 11 221 19 222 14 239 72357 69021 11 253 10 252 15 238 16 263 69021 65966 19 264 16 254 17 252 23 273 65966 63161 27 267 20 253 21 249 26 267 63161 60454 30 271 26 265 21 260 28 272 60454 57621 30 283 32 271 28 272 33 272 57621 54668 43 285 38 269 34 273 34 273 54668 51844 45 274 43 271 40 275 39 280 51844 49317 47 273 51 272 46 273 49 276 49317 47075 51 267 55 267 51 274 51 270 47075 45068 49 272 55 267 57 274 51 265 45068 43253 45 279 48 277 57 276 51 271 43253 41595 65 294 65 287 61 282 57 281 41595 40068 81 288 70 282 70 290 68 287 40068 38649 76 284 68 281 74 291 73 284 38649 37315 67 279 64 280 69 289 73 282 37315 36026 62 281 57 281 66 287 71 280 36026 34719 61 284 51 282 59 283 68 280 34719 33367 59 285 46 284 56 282 63 280 33367 31976 52 286 43 289 55 278 58 280 31976 30533 48 289 43 295 52 274 57 277 30533 29024 45 290 42 300 50 275 57 275 29024 27450 43 292 46 294 50 271 56 274 27450 25810 41 294 46 283 47 272 53 273 25810 24108 42 296 38 281 44 274 49 272 24108 22345 45 299 36 282 43 278 48 269 22345 20516 43 301 44 285 46 284 46 266 20516 18619 35 293 40 285 47 287 45 269 18619 16688 30 295 30 276 39 277 44 269 16688 14826 32 302 25 275 32 259 41 267 14826 13131 29 296 24 278 29 251 39 266 13131 11624 21 283 24 271 30 251 39 264 11624 10285 15 268 24 259 31 248 39 255 10285 9093 14 256 24 249 31 241 39 243 9093 8030 15 250 23 245 30 235 36 231 8030 7084 16 253 19*237 22 224 32 222 7084 6244 16 260 18*234 21*223 30 222 6244 5497 17 259 17 234 21*223 28 225 5497 4825 15*251 17 234 21 224 25 231 4825 4227 12*246 17 234 20 225 24 234 4227 3726 11 245 16 234 20 226 21 237 3726 3339 10 245 15 235 19 226 18 239 3339 3072 9 244 14 235 17 227 14 242 3072 2909 8 245 13 235 15 227 10*243 2909 2816 6 245 10 235 11 226 5*245 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography