DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.6 - - 21.7 - - 28.1 - - 29.6 - - 22.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 334 - - 520 - - 323 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 255 - - 2818 - - 3622 - - 3954 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit 2797 - - 4370 - - 5122 - - 5223 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top 2813 - - 5376 - - 6180 - - 6512 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2845 - - 739 - - 831 - - 1011 - - 3110 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 403 - - 508 - - 446 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 17 - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 301 - - 299 - - 306 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -4 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1688 - - 263 - - -862 - - -1380 - - -2705 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4501 - - 5113 - - 7042 - - 7893 - - 5518 sfcLCL ODpotential -2022 - - -10884 - - -9946 - - -13506 - - -11889 ODpotential blCL 4835 - - 16260 - - 16126 - - 20018 - - 14702 blCL maxRH 93 - - 90 - - 71 - - 69 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.6 - - 21.7 - - 28.1 - - 29.6 - - 22.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.1 - - 9.5 - - 7.2 - - 4.9 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.9 - - 19.7 - - 25.4 - - 27.6 - - 22.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.8 - - 8.8 - - 6.5 - - 4.4 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 334 - - 520 - - 323 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 255 - - 2818 - - 3622 - - 3954 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96646 20 272 16 298 18 268 19 273 16 307 96646 89381 5 310 8 127 15 202 16 236 13 287 89381 83863 2 123 6 131 9 163 9 207 8 236 83863 79260 7 124 10 168 8 173 7 199 8 177 79260 75256 6 210 7 212 8 168 10 202 4 228 75256 71707 13 243 11 230 11 195 18 199 18 213 71707 68506 16 260 12 244 12 206 19 224 21 221 68506 65574 25 251 21 253 18 205 23 232 23 233 65574 62857 36 249 38 246 32 242 30 235 27 222 62857 60230 49 235 51 237 51 244 40 246 28 245 60230 57493 55 234 55 230 60 233 59 230 51 233 57493 54637 70 241 60 240 63 232 56 227 58 228 54637 51880 79 247 76 247 73 241 70 243 65 237 51880 49375 89 250 93 244 90 242 87 245 86 239 49375 47116 99 245 102 240 102 240 102 241 101 237 47116 45051 105 241 103 238 108 236 106 237 105 235 45051 43136 110 242 104 241 108 237 109 237 106 237 43136 41347 118 245 112 245 114 241 116 241 114 240 41347 39673 127 248 120 245 123 243 124 243 124 241 39673 38113 131 249 122 245 128 242 128 239 133 240 38113 36669 130 248 123 247 128 243 129 238 139 238 36669 35303 128 246 127 246 125 245 133 242 139 238 35303 33943 122 243 129 243 128 247 139 245 136 238 33943 32552 113 244 125 242 132 246 141 245 138 238 32552 31134 110 243 123 243 135 245 137 243 137 237 31134 29679 109 242 125 244 140 244 138 241 134 237 29679 28172 108 242 127 245 139 244 140 243 129 237 28172 26602 108 241 127 246 138 246 136 243 129 240 26602 24966 108 240 124 247 133 246 132 243 118 243 24966 23274 109 239 122 247 126 245 126 243 106 242 23274 21527 106 240 115 246 115 244 118 244 101 240 21527 19718 94 238 95 244 102 243 102 245 96 242 19718 17847 83 235 80 241 86 244 80 246 77 244 17847 15961 73 237 68 241 64 248 52 252 46 252 15961 14163 65 239 54 243 44 250 34 262 27 267 14163 12534 55 242 42 245 32 251 26 269 18 277 12534 11090 46 248 32 248 23 257 20 273 15 291 11090 9812 38 255 24 255 18 262 16 276 12 312 9812 8674 34 264 18 271 16 276 13 280 12 341 8674 7663 31 268 18 282 15 284 12 293 12 345 7663 6769 27 273 18 286 14*293 12*301 11 329 6769 5985 23 291 17*297 15*295 13*302 12 320 5985 5293 23 303 17*300 15 297 14 305 12 321 5293 4671 22 304 18 301 16 299 14 306 13 323 4671 4119 22 303 18 301 16 299 14 307 13 323 4119 3655 21 303 17 301 15 300 14 307 12 324 3655 3297 20 302 17 301 15 300 14 308 12 324 3297 3050 17 302 16 301 14 300 13 308 10 324 3050 2900 15*301 14 301 12 301 12 309 8 323 2900 2813 10*300 10 300 9 300 9 308 5*321 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography