DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 77.9 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - 112 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 2604 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 3814 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 5162 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2552 - - 2174 - - 4513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 94 - - 286 - - 42 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 247 - - 250 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -667 - - 358 - - -1105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3484 - - 4805 - - 3923 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1972 - - -1023 - - -2580 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4789 - - 6185 - - 5398 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 82 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1060 - - 1420 - - 1680 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 77.9 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.3 - - 66.0 - - 67.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.5 - - 76.6 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.9 - - 65.2 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - 112 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 2604 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 29 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98707 23 081 21 092 12 079 98707 91239 15 079 12 084 7 051 91239 85491 11 077 13 046 13 054 85491 80725 11 090 10 051 20 044 80725 76648 15 092 6 101 17 046 76648 73068 20 086 10 102 8 079 73068 69816 21 082 13 061 13 069 69816 66825 20 067 17 056 18 053 66825 64076 20 045 23 058 18 051 64076 61441 21 023 25 054 17 053 61441 58721 19 015 24 044 16 050 58721 55920 18 015 19 018 15 024 55920 53249 18 359 17 342 14 349 53249 50840 14 333 16 304 16 299 50840 48679 9 350 15 292 22 288 48679 46714 10 358 11 308 21 271 46714 44905 14 360 11 331 15 264 44905 43217 21 341 17 326 18 291 43217 41632 24 324 29 305 30 285 41632 40140 25 306 37 290 32 278 40140 38730 25 291 35 278 30 272 38730 37368 21 267 29 262 28 276 37368 35989 21 242 28 240 26 282 35989 34568 23 252 27 249 28 287 34568 33109 22 259 34 262 32 289 33109 31596 17 265 31 286 34 297 31596 30017 18 283 35 296 34 304 30017 28373 31 297 35 298 31 302 28373 26663 31 300 31 295 27 295 26663 24889 24 309 23 282 24 291 24889 23054 18 287 18 284 21 286 23054 21153 23 279 20 292 18 282 21153 19182 22 291 22 298 16 286 19182 17185 22 304 21 300 13 290 17185 15268 23 316 18 307 16 316 15268 13526 21 313 13 309 19 319 13526 11979 19 300 10 292 15 309 11979 10599 17 285 13 299 12 300 10599 9364 18 277 18 304 13 294 9364 8259 21 278 19 293 16 284 8259 7274 22 281 19 274 17 273 7274 6399 22 278 18 264 17 265 6399 5621 22 274 16*258 17 260 5621 4920 20 265 15*253 17 257 4920 4295 17 252 14 251 16 255 4295 3770 15 249 13 250 15 253 3770 3365 14 248 13 249 14 251 3365 3086 13 247 12 249 11 250 3086 2916 11 247 11 248 9*250 2916 2818 8*247 8 248 5*249 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography