DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.2 - - 57.3 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3277 - - 2196 - - 5168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 113 - - 65 - - 27 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 234 - - 228 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1802 - - -755 - - -1991 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4619 - - 3571 - - 4808 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2620 - - -2376 - - -3290 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5436 - - 5192 - - 6107 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 60 - - 40 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.2 - - 57.3 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.8 - - 51.5 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.1 - - 57.1 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.5 - - 51.1 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96792 39 252 47 259 47 271 96792 89443 42 248 42 247 44 261 89443 83853 31 240 39 245 39 255 83853 79228 26 251 31 249 35 252 79228 75248 24 255 29 264 29 259 75248 71731 23 269 29 271 27 268 71731 68556 25 286 25 270 25 273 68556 65642 24 290 21 263 24 270 65642 62935 25 287 21 266 24 269 62935 60313 33 278 27 276 27 271 60313 57579 44 274 39 273 35 274 57579 54736 53 269 48 269 45 274 54736 52014 59 271 58 271 56 272 52014 49555 69 272 66 273 63 271 49555 47341 78 272 75 273 68 270 47341 45338 80 270 79 271 69 271 45338 43527 69 269 74 271 67 272 43527 41881 58 274 61 272 58 276 41881 40369 54 283 55 278 53 274 40369 38957 55 289 56 283 53 272 38957 37623 54 292 52 285 51 273 37623 36334 50 294 48 286 46 275 36334 35026 45 298 45 289 44 276 35026 33670 45 300 41 291 41 278 33670 32270 42 295 39 290 39 281 32270 30812 35 291 39 288 36 284 30812 29284 31 283 36 283 34 287 29284 27689 27 276 33 277 35 288 27689 26028 25 278 29 274 33 281 26028 24312 25 273 27 280 27 266 24312 22539 22 275 27 283 21 268 22539 20699 23 285 23 280 19 269 20699 18787 24 275 21 286 17 280 18787 16838 24 257 23 283 14 300 16838 14957 25 246 24 264 17 293 14957 13247 25 240 27 254 24 268 13247 11728 21 230 27 244 25 252 11728 10375 19 227 24 238 27 235 10375 9169 17 233 22 236 24 226 9169 8095 15 257 22 234 21 223 8095 7137 16 268 23 230 19 222 7137 6288 16 262 24 226 17 223 6288 5532 16 246 23 226 17 224 5532 4851 16 236 22 226 16 224 4851 4246 16 235 19 226 15 223 4246 3738 15 235 16 227 14 222 3738 3346 15 234 13 228 12 220 3346 3075 14 235 11 229 10 217 3075 2911 12 234 9*229 7*214 2911 2817 8*234 5*228 4*211 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography