DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.9 - - 63.7 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 140 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2878 - - 2717 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4121 - - 4001 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5436 - - 5275 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4165 - - 3955 - - 4794 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 317 - - 310 - - 44 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 077 - - 078 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1009 - - -1372 - - -1613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6445 - - 6647 - - 4430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2364 - - -3061 - - -2923 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7800 - - 8336 - - 5739 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 84 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 130 - - 170 - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.9 - - 63.7 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.5 - - 44.5 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 62.3 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.3 - - 43.3 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 140 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2878 - - 2717 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 81 - - 34 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98471 17 083 11 105 13 074 98471 91032 13 119 6 110 10 043 91032 85316 16 106 10 108 8 043 85316 80566 15 101 16 091 9 085 80566 76460 17 075 18 073 14 094 76460 72819 17 050 19 066 16 084 72819 69530 14 069 18 052 18 054 69530 66527 14 067 16 050 15 040 66527 63746 12 071 5 071 6 022 63746 61043 21 357 15 020 15 010 61043 58229 26 320 24 330 20 336 58229 55317 27 305 27 299 19 315 55317 52519 34 294 30 297 24 336 52519 49991 40 292 39 307 49 328 49991 47747 49 296 52 307 56 312 47747 45722 55 293 58 299 48 301 45722 43855 56 289 50 298 40 308 43855 42124 57 291 51 301 40 321 42124 40517 57 289 52 298 43 323 40517 39019 57 291 48 296 43 322 39019 37612 62 291 41 303 42 332 37612 36262 67 288 42 313 46 342 36262 34904 70 283 47 314 48 350 34904 33513 70 280 45 313 45 002 33513 32094 66 280 41 319 46 019 32094 30631 63 282 37 329 57 034 30631 29109 63 284 37 337 64 038 29109 27521 62 286 37 340 62 035 27521 25868 51 288 35 341 60 027 25868 24152 39 294 33 339 61 022 24152 22374 33 300 31 336 61 021 22374 20533 28 305 30 336 49 019 20533 18631 24 315 30 335 36 007 18631 16701 21 327 26 333 30 001 16701 14845 17 338 21 337 21 342 14845 13161 12 339 17 350 16 339 13161 11662 9 337 14 353 16 342 11662 10326 9 329 13 345 14 343 10326 9132 7 333 13 349 13 351 9132 8065 5 354 13 002 12 005 8065 7112 4 062 11 016 11 023 7112 6267 6 080 9 033 11 047 6267 5515 7*081 8*049 12 065 5515 4839 8*080 8*068 12 070 4839 4237 9 078 8 076 12 072 4237 3732 9 077 7 079 11 071 3732 3343 9 077 7 080 11 071 3343 3074 9 076 7 082 10 070 3074 2910 8 076 6 082 8 070 2910 2816 7 075 5 082 5*070 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography