DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 72.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 66 - - 46 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2029 - - 3836 - - 2771 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 109 - - 103 - - 54 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 230 - - 243 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - -750 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2817 - - 3568 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -579 - - -1587 - - -875 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3396 - - 4405 - - 3692 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 770 - - 970 - - 770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 72.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.1 - - 66.0 - - 66.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.7 - - 71.6 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.9 - - 65.4 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 66 - - 46 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99289 34 098 29 087 26 071 99289 91745 34 094 33 096 27 091 91745 85921 32 096 28 095 26 101 85921 81090 24 091 23 094 24 103 81090 76939 16 097 20 091 21 089 76939 73283 12 120 14 098 17 069 73283 69983 10 126 13 125 10 076 69983 66960 11 131 10 137 4 104 66960 64171 14 114 11 158 2 130 64171 61481 6 080 5 141 4 184 61481 58695 7 280 8 314 6 208 58695 55827 14 221 16 259 14 237 55827 53126 26 228 31 243 29 243 53126 50727 31 226 35 237 33 243 50727 48576 38 250 39 243 40 252 48576 46616 44 249 42 241 43 244 46616 44814 41 243 40 242 39 232 44814 43143 36 235 40 248 34 220 43143 41578 33 236 39 247 33 236 41578 40102 33 237 34 247 35 255 40102 38705 33 233 30 259 31 252 38705 37357 36 254 30 274 31 239 37357 35988 45 271 35 267 31 234 35988 34571 49 272 37 255 34 244 34571 33111 43 270 35 252 35 246 33111 31593 36 262 32 254 35 245 31593 30006 36 258 30 256 35 246 30006 28351 36 256 27 253 32 250 28351 26628 36 253 24 249 30 252 26628 24840 36 250 22 248 31 250 24840 22998 35 247 22 245 30 253 22998 21097 36 244 26 248 31 253 21097 19128 38 239 28 250 32 250 19128 17126 40 231 29 247 32 253 17126 15203 41 228 29 244 32 256 15203 13459 39 230 29 242 35 258 13459 11910 36 238 31 241 36 261 11910 10532 32 249 34 243 34 263 10532 9300 30 255 37 244 30 266 9300 8200 28 254 36 246 28 264 8200 7220 26 248 33 246 27 259 7220 6353 26 242 30 245 27 256 6353 5583 25 237 29 245 26 254 5583 4889 24 235 27 244 25 253 4889 4273 23 235 25 244 24 253 4273 3756 21 232 23 244 21 252 3756 3357 18 231 21 243 19 251 3357 3081 16 231 19 243 16 251 3081 2914 13 230 16*243 14 250 2914 2817 9*230 11*243 9*249 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography