DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 72.0 - - 71.9 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 140 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3174 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 4307 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 5732 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2387 - - 2299 - - 5947 - - 805 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 322 - - 54 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 241 - - 225 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1422 - - 89 - - -2969 - - -441 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4239 - - 5643 - - 5786 - - 3259 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4303 - - -1172 - - -3919 - - -3701 ODpotential blCL - - - 7120 - - 6904 - - 6736 - - 6518 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 86 - - 85 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 90 - - 70 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 72.0 - - 71.9 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.8 - - 56.9 - - 56.2 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 70.6 - - 71.5 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 56.2 - - 55.6 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 140 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3174 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 44 - - 40 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97046 32 266 33 257 29 265 39 268 97046 89795 22 280 27 260 28 288 24 288 89795 84229 19 293 20 271 25 287 22 293 84229 79644 13 302 12 290 15 280 17 294 79644 75703 6 291 13 316 7 296 9 301 75703 72220 4 271 14 301 5 309 7 306 72220 69070 7 276 7 315 8 356 7 330 69070 66184 12 218 10 209 7 296 8 313 66184 63518 17 194 24 212 19 242 23 259 63518 60967 19 198 21 207 32 227 33 224 60967 58315 24 229 22 211 33 233 33 233 58315 55553 43 245 41 243 48 242 48 239 55553 52920 55 238 58 235 56 232 63 234 52920 50541 57 232 60 230 59 235 68 241 50541 48402 64 233 67 238 68 244 78 245 48402 46454 73 231 74 241 78 245 86 241 46454 44652 77 227 80 237 83 243 87 240 44652 42969 76 224 83 233 85 240 86 240 42969 41391 72 223 80 229 89 233 86 236 41391 39912 69 223 75 228 83 228 89 231 39912 38521 65 223 74 226 80 226 88 230 38521 37180 61 222 74 225 83 224 84 229 37180 35820 58 221 71 225 81 225 79 227 35820 34412 58 223 65 228 70 231 75 227 34412 32961 59 226 60 230 59 238 69 229 32961 31454 61 226 57 231 58 239 65 230 31454 29880 60 226 56 228 56 234 63 232 29880 28238 58 226 56 225 54 229 60 234 28238 26529 52 227 53 225 53 229 56 236 26529 24757 48 228 48 228 50 232 52 239 24757 22928 46 227 45 232 48 236 49 239 22928 21033 44 227 43 234 46 237 45 242 21033 19069 41 226 41 234 41 238 41 247 19069 17077 34 228 39 232 36 240 37 249 17077 15164 27 232 33 224 33 237 31 248 15164 13423 22 238 25 215 28 229 24 251 13423 11875 18 243 19 225 22 227 21 258 11875 10499 17 254 20 240 21 239 19 261 10499 9273 19 266 20 246 20 246 17 262 9273 8178 19 269 20 252 16 240 17 262 8178 7204 21 264 18 250 12 231 17 259 7204 6340 22 255 15*245 9 227 16 246 6340 5572 22 246 13*242 8 227 14 238 5572 4880 21 238 12 241 8 227 12 240 4880 4266 18 231 12 241 7 226 10 247 4266 3750 13 225 12 241 7 226 9 258 3750 3353 10 224 11 241 7 225 7 262 3353 3079 9 223 10 241 6 226 5 262 3079 2912 8*224 9 241 5 226 3*260 2912 2817 6*224 7 241 4*225 2*259 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography