DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.0 - - 36.6 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 59 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1931 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3607 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4489 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 664 - - 2148 - - 1123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 317 - - 102 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 145 - - 144 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5071 - - -5652 - - -4296 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9560 - - 8466 - - 7110 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -15803 - - -16540 - - -16464 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 20292 - - 19354 - - 19278 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 76 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.0 - - 36.6 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 6.6 - - 10.0 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 36.1 - - 35.7 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 6.1 - - 9.8 - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 59 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1931 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 29 - - 6 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95854 18 285 17 274 32 271 95854 88841 15 280 20 296 22 292 88841 83377 20 261 22 285 18 297 83377 78827 22 258 24 271 21 283 78827 74892 20 248 26 258 23 276 74892 71380 16 245 25 250 26 264 71380 68183 25 267 26 256 32 251 68183 65242 29 255 26 266 28 248 65242 62504 32 256 34 272 34 264 62504 59850 45 256 43 257 45 258 59850 57091 55 246 54 255 47 254 57091 54206 56 241 55 246 49 257 54206 51430 57 249 61 255 60 259 51430 48941 64 251 73 251 69 250 48941 46730 62 250 70 249 61 247 46730 44735 63 254 65 254 70 259 44735 42924 73 257 74 253 79 251 42924 41285 69 253 72 245 69 240 41285 39774 56 248 61 241 61 248 39774 38356 53 255 55 251 70 255 38356 37024 54 258 62 261 69 248 37024 35743 53 255 66 260 67 243 35743 34448 53 251 68 258 69 244 34448 33111 52 250 70 257 68 242 33111 31733 56 258 74 258 67 244 31733 30300 61 261 66 255 63 244 30300 28798 53 266 57 247 60 240 28798 27228 46 268 50 239 58 237 27228 25589 40 261 45 235 56 238 25589 23884 37 257 42 235 55 241 23884 22116 39 259 41 237 50 241 22116 20282 41 257 45 244 46 236 20282 18383 40 249 46 249 41 233 18383 16461 38 242 41 244 41 234 16461 14615 36 234 39 232 42 231 14615 12935 33 232 37 226 39 228 12935 11439 29 233 32 225 36 226 11439 10106 25 236 28 225 32 224 10106 8916 21 239 23 223 29 220 8916 7857 17 239 19 219 27 212 7857 6920 14 232 16 213 24 205 6920 6095 11 213 13 204 20 204 6095 5367 11 175 14 179 22 195 5367 4717 14*152 16 158 27 174 4717 4145 14*148 16 152 30 157 4145 3670 14 145 15 150 28 151 3670 3306 13 144 15 148 23 146 3306 3055 12 143 14 147 19 142 3055 2902 11 143 12 146 15*139 2902 2814 8 141 8*144 9*136 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography