DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 34.0 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 11 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2634 - - 1619 - - 587 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 62 - - 36 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 176 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -11 - - -218 - - -14 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2825 - - 3032 - - 2829 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -816 - - -1813 - - -5229 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3630 - - 4627 - - 8043 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 34.0 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 30.6 - - 30.8 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 32.5 - - 33.7 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.0 - - 30.1 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 11 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95683 88 253 97 255 94 248 95683 88576 71 254 76 254 73 254 88576 83067 60 252 63 259 58 260 83067 78529 54 252 51 261 46 264 78529 74606 54 260 44 257 41 262 74606 71102 55 262 46 259 52 267 71102 67922 53 262 53 263 60 265 67922 64996 53 260 60 261 62 264 64996 62269 53 261 56 259 61 262 62269 59604 56 264 58 263 62 261 59604 56810 63 252 70 249 62 263 56810 53927 71 246 70 252 75 259 53927 51187 77 253 77 250 78 251 51187 48718 79 254 80 255 80 261 48718 46513 85 264 89 265 89 264 46513 44522 95 267 104 266 93 262 44522 42697 107 264 114 262 98 264 42697 41015 116 261 119 260 108 263 41015 39466 123 259 121 259 116 269 39466 38030 125 259 117 262 130 277 38030 36686 122 264 126 273 138 276 36686 35392 126 272 143 276 140 272 35392 34083 138 276 152 273 141 268 34083 32731 145 274 150 270 137 266 32731 31343 151 272 146 272 132 267 31343 29905 147 271 142 274 129 270 29905 28403 140 271 140 274 127 273 28403 26837 131 269 132 272 120 275 26837 25209 124 266 122 271 112 274 25209 23518 117 266 111 270 107 273 23518 21766 107 265 106 268 102 274 21766 19955 90 265 93 267 89 269 19955 18090 84 268 82 266 81 268 18090 16211 77 270 66 274 60 267 16211 14415 65 270 56 277 45 271 14415 12782 58 271 49 277 39 279 12782 11324 50 276 41 272 34 281 11324 10022 45 272 37 275 30 273 10022 8860 38 264 38 274 27 263 8860 7827 28 262 35 267 26 264 7827 6909 22 272 29 258 26 260 6909 6097 21 274 22 251 26 246 6097 5377 19 264 18 245 24 237 5377 4731 17 252 16 242 19 231 4731 4159 15 248 12 239 14 221 4159 3680 12 246 8 228 12 204 3680 3311 9 245 5 209 10 188 3311 3057 7 245 3 188 8 172 3057 2903 6 245 2 183 5 157 2903 2814 4*245 2*176 3*147 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography