DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.4 - - 77.0 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 177 - - 37 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2820 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4193 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5378 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2373 - - 4795 - - 3257 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 342 - - 97 - - 32 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 244 - - 252 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 471 - - -1542 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4907 - - 4360 - - 2818 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1157 - - -2458 - - -1304 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6535 - - 5276 - - 4122 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1560 - - 1860 - - 2210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.4 - - 77.0 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.2 - - 67.1 - - 69.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.6 - - 76.2 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.0 - - 66.3 - - 69.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 177 - - 37 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2820 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 50 - - 77 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99425 38 084 30 098 18 081 99425 91942 36 084 28 086 24 082 91942 86142 34 088 30 083 26 080 86142 81317 29 087 27 084 25 082 81317 77176 21 090 22 078 23 080 77176 73533 15 096 18 075 22 070 73533 70244 12 092 14 090 18 063 70244 67225 8 094 10 107 11 071 67225 64431 7 101 6 090 5 046 64431 61743 7 084 3 103 4 283 61743 58950 4 016 1 087 5 242 58950 56063 6 319 4 270 7 247 56063 53335 12 298 7 309 4 246 53335 50902 15 276 11 293 10 302 50902 48727 8 235 11 259 17 294 48727 46748 6 215 10 235 17 279 46748 44924 7 253 11 254 18 255 44924 43232 14 249 15 241 20 249 43232 41655 14 258 16 225 22 247 41655 40179 16 264 16 228 24 245 40179 38788 20 265 18 262 28 252 38788 37441 21 273 15 239 28 252 37441 36073 19 266 16 205 26 252 36073 34656 15 248 17 217 25 257 34656 33195 16 254 19 240 27 262 33195 31675 20 242 20 254 27 263 31675 30086 27 226 21 255 27 263 30086 28430 30 226 22 254 27 264 28430 26710 29 238 20 249 23 257 26710 24929 27 247 21 248 19 251 24929 23089 26 244 22 251 16 254 23089 21185 25 243 22 257 12 253 21185 19212 23 244 21 263 13 264 19212 17212 20 251 21 267 11 301 17212 15291 19 250 22 265 11 309 15291 13541 17 245 16 257 7 276 13541 11984 15 245 15 249 8 252 11984 10597 13 247 17 253 9 260 10597 9358 12 256 17 260 10 265 9358 8250 11 272 15 265 11 262 8250 7262 11 273 14 263 11 259 7262 6388 10 267 13 259 11 252 6388 5611 10*256 12 257 12 247 5611 4911 10*249 12 255 13 244 4911 4288 10 245 11 254 12 245 4288 3765 10 244 11 254 11 245 3765 3362 10 242 10 254 10 246 3362 3084 9 241 9 253 8 245 3084 2915 8 241 8*253 7*245 2915 2818 6 241 6*252 4*245 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography