DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.1 - - 77.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 230 - - 100 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3914 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5102 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6472 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1433 - - 5974 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 412 - - 129 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 262 - - 253 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -758 - - -4023 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7230 - - 6842 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5069 - - -5189 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11541 - - 8007 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 95 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 150 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.1 - - 77.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.1 - - 56.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.1 - - 76.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.8 - - 55.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 230 - - 100 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3914 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 79 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98402 7 111 11 066 98402 90996 13 089 11 078 90996 85336 16 075 10 060 85336 80637 13 074 8 030 80637 76572 13 086 5 052 76572 72958 11 069 9 091 72958 69683 7 063 7 073 69683 66684 8 036 7 063 66684 63917 11 015 10 044 63917 61248 14 353 15 014 61248 58476 16 337 12 346 58476 55609 17 329 17 331 55609 52881 24 308 32 317 52881 50444 27 296 39 302 50444 48275 32 298 45 284 48275 46325 40 287 41 290 46325 44544 42 292 49 296 44544 42888 56 295 61 292 42888 41338 57 292 55 284 41338 39879 55 290 54 285 39879 38498 56 292 56 287 38498 37160 55 291 56 289 37160 35800 47 289 55 290 35800 34390 45 295 53 291 34390 32933 43 289 50 292 32933 31417 40 272 52 290 31417 29834 40 268 45 273 29834 28194 38 267 37 271 28194 26491 35 266 33 283 26491 24725 36 265 35 287 24725 22901 37 266 31 277 22901 21015 35 277 32 273 21015 19061 29 284 29 274 19061 17077 23 278 22 278 17077 15174 16 275 17 273 15174 13443 15 267 14 260 13443 11901 16 252 15 253 11901 10527 15 244 17 253 10527 9299 14 245 15 259 9299 8205 13 257 15 261 8205 7231 12*262 15 261 7231 6365 12*263 15 260 6365 5595 12 263 15 259 5595 4900 12 262 14 257 4900 4281 12 262 14 256 4281 3761 12 261 13 255 3761 3360 11 260 13 255 3360 3083 10 260 12 254 3083 2914 10 259 11*254 2914 2818 8 258 8*253 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography