DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.3 - - 74.6 - - 74.4 - - 71.9 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 157 - - 105 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 228 - - 228 - - 228 - - 228 BL Depth Hcrit 2769 - - 2769 - - 2769 - - 2769 - - 2769 Hcrit BL Top 2785 - - 2786 - - 2786 - - 2786 - - 2786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 257 - - 5719 - - 5538 - - 4142 - - 1933 Hgt.Variab. W* 58 - - 141 - - 124 - - 40 - - 28 W* B/S 28 - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 256 - - 131 - - 142 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -734 - - -2626 - - -2398 - - -1700 - - -407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3519 - - 5413 - - 5185 - - 4487 - - 3194 sfcLCL ODpotential -4247 - - -3456 - - -3161 - - -3010 - - -2238 ODpotential blCL 7032 - - 6242 - - 5947 - - 5796 - - 5024 blCL maxRH 72 - - 80 - - 89 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 580 - - 770 - - 700 - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m 64.3 - - 74.6 - - 74.4 - - 71.9 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.4 - - 60.3 - - 61.1 - - 61.6 - - 62.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.8 - - 73.1 - - 73.1 - - 71.5 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.2 - - 59.2 - - 60.1 - - 60.9 - - 62.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 157 - - 105 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 228 - - 228 - - 228 - - 228 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 19 - - 56 - - 72 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98375 8 116 11 234 5 204 6 264 0 229 98375 91333 3 266 11 224 5 224 7 239 6 242 91333 85814 8 289 7 233 8 235 6 226 11 259 85814 81216 8 271 4 239 10 227 6 252 12 266 81216 77253 7 228 2 246 9 220 8 278 7 274 77253 73747 4 220 2 295 6 211 10 283 6 309 73747 70580 4 012 1 002 2 225 10 269 10 322 70580 67684 8 355 4 006 0 344 8 245 11 311 67684 65012 10 323 9 331 3 356 7 234 8 275 65012 62433 9 318 14 300 8 319 5 253 7 240 62433 59750 11 295 17 280 15 293 11 279 9 258 59750 56962 16 276 20 271 20 275 20 272 14 276 56962 54287 20 268 26 268 23 261 24 266 22 272 54287 51865 27 268 30 263 27 253 26 259 28 261 51865 49696 32 255 29 255 31 252 27 254 31 254 49696 47740 32 239 26 250 30 243 29 250 31 250 47740 45964 26 233 24 248 27 245 28 244 26 248 45964 44334 17 241 21 237 27 242 24 243 22 248 44334 42819 12 261 19 225 25 219 25 230 23 248 42819 41395 18 268 19 223 25 203 27 214 27 242 41395 40046 27 253 19 221 24 198 28 208 27 234 40046 38737 26 240 19 218 23 199 29 207 25 228 38737 37400 22 234 20 219 22 204 27 208 22 221 37400 36006 21 230 19 225 21 213 25 211 21 218 36006 34555 20 230 18 232 21 222 23 219 20 225 34555 33031 18 225 17 236 20 229 22 226 20 234 33031 31423 17 225 16 238 19 233 22 231 19 243 31423 29729 14 234 15 238 16 237 18 229 18 243 29729 27949 12 251 13 237 14 242 13 226 14 232 27949 26087 13 256 9 236 12 238 11 227 13 228 26087 24149 11 251 6 220 13 225 12 231 12 225 24149 22129 8 233 7 188 13 215 13 233 10 213 22129 20024 8 206 10 178 14 198 13 211 9 211 20024 17878 7 154 10 161 13 185 10 191 10 214 17878 15813 8 090 10 144 11 191 8 188 10 223 15813 13937 7 075 9 151 9 196 9 183 10 220 13937 12272 5 070 8 164 6 200 8 175 9 216 12272 10797 3 068 6 171 4 219 5 152 9 212 10797 9487 2 132 4 184 2 256 5 125 10 204 9487 8324 2 207 1 306 1 008 7 129 12 198 8324 7296 5 282 5 340 1 100 8 137 14 193 7296 6391 7 300 5 325 3 138 8 145 15 185 6391 5593 8 316 3 299 5 142 8 147 15 176 5593 4879 8 326 3 277 5 139 8 147 16 164 4879 4250 6 326 3 273 6 136 8 148 15 157 4250 3726 5 308 3 264 6 134 7 148 13 152 3726 3325 5 268 3 261 6 133 7 147 10 147 3325 3049 4 237 3 259 5 132 6 145 7 140 3049 2881 2*238 3*259 5*131 5*143 6*137 2881 2786 0*312 2*256 4*131 4*142 4*135 2786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography