DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 0959z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.1 - - 67.3 - - 73.5 - - 75.1 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 103 - - 201 - - 126 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 259 - - 259 - - 2768 - - 2605 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit 2800 - - 2801 - - 4197 - - 3877 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top 2817 - - 2817 - - 5326 - - 5163 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1347 - - 3712 - - 3645 - - 2901 - - 2422 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 127 - - 352 - - 297 - - 50 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 17 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 273 - - 255 - - 244 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 10 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -693 - - 306 - - 65 - - -420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2817 - - 3510 - - 5020 - - 5098 - - 3237 sfcLCL ODpotential -463 - - -1297 - - -831 - - -1534 - - -2159 ODpotential blCL 3280 - - 4114 - - 6157 - - 6697 - - 4976 blCL maxRH 100 - - 97 - - 79 - - 76 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 1050 - - 1460 - - 1920 - - 2340 - - 2480 CAPE Temp@2m 62.1 - - 67.3 - - 73.5 - - 75.1 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.7 - - 61.1 - - 60.7 - - 61.9 - - 64.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.6 - - 66.2 - - 71.8 - - 73.7 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.6 - - 60.6 - - 59.7 - - 61.0 - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 103 - - 201 - - 126 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 259 - - 259 - - 2768 - - 2605 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 87 - - 14 - - 4 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98068 10 091 14 108 15 119 7 103 11 073 98068 90548 5 081 13 096 16 117 11 158 5 129 90548 84770 2 108 10 112 10 132 12 161 6 164 84770 80005 6 236 4 189 7 177 9 192 6 194 80005 75916 8 210 6 197 9 227 7 208 6 239 75916 72305 3 256 7 203 14 230 8 246 6 233 72305 69031 7 334 5 218 12 233 10 271 8 290 69031 66037 9 292 5 235 8 227 14 259 12 288 66037 63267 20 292 12 295 11 250 19 245 17 266 63267 60586 18 271 18 301 16 274 20 261 24 262 60586 57804 22 263 19 273 14 265 19 267 24 265 57804 54933 34 261 25 268 22 269 30 287 27 273 54933 52205 37 261 39 271 35 272 38 275 32 268 52205 49758 45 274 47 267 44 270 40 257 39 263 49758 47602 53 274 53 268 48 268 37 263 47 266 47602 45683 60 269 61 267 50 277 42 277 50 258 45683 43917 63 265 67 261 52 280 47 300 46 266 43917 42267 64 262 69 256 45 292 68 304 51 291 42267 40732 63 260 64 257 58 311 74 307 61 294 40732 39299 58 264 57 256 60 312 67 310 59 290 39299 37950 55 268 52 254 48 300 47 303 50 281 37950 36646 51 266 51 260 47 283 39 283 41 269 36646 35322 48 261 49 262 50 265 44 277 42 270 35322 33949 46 258 50 262 54 259 50 270 43 270 33949 32533 44 258 49 261 57 258 50 263 40 268 32533 31059 44 262 47 259 54 256 50 260 38 267 31059 29517 42 266 44 260 51 257 50 260 35 266 29517 27907 39 271 40 259 45 264 48 263 31 260 27907 26230 37 276 33 258 41 269 46 265 33 266 26230 24490 38 276 31 266 38 272 43 270 33 268 24490 22691 35 275 34 272 36 273 38 270 31 265 22691 20827 32 280 37 274 38 278 34 283 27 261 20827 18894 32 285 40 277 46 282 41 294 24 251 18894 16936 34 285 44 279 51 280 40 289 25 237 16936 15059 38 282 49 280 52 278 37 280 25 230 15059 13356 43 277 51 281 48 280 38 274 26 234 13356 11842 42 275 47 280 38 276 36 269 27 244 11842 10489 39 277 42 281 30 269 33 262 27 253 10489 9273 39 279 38 284 27 270 29 260 28 257 9273 8183 40 278 35 286 25 271 25 260 28 259 8183 7212 39 277 32 286 23 269 21 260 26 263 7212 6350 37 277 28 283 20 265 19 257 25 266 6350 5581 35 276 26 282 19*260 17*252 24 268 5581 4888 32 274 24 280 18*258 16*248 25 270 4888 4271 29 271 22 278 18 256 15 245 25 270 4271 3755 24 266 19 276 17 255 15 244 23 271 3755 3357 19 263 18 275 17 253 14 243 21 272 3357 3081 16 262 16 274 16 253 13 243 18 272 3081 2913 13*262 14 273 14 252 12 243 14 273 2913 2817 8*262 10*273 10 251 9 242 9*273 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography