DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 48.9 - - 47.8 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 263 - - 91 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 839 - - 2095 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3764 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3397 - - 4653 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 573 - - 809 - - 2631 - - 1872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 339 - - 118 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 15 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 282 - - 278 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -131 - - -235 - - -1824 - - -568 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3529 - - 4889 - - 4639 - - 3383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4457 - - -8010 - - -12236 - - -14205 ODpotential blCL - - - 7854 - - 12663 - - 15051 - - 17020 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 85 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 48.9 - - 47.8 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 37.4 - - 37.5 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 46.9 - - 46.8 - - 42.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 36.9 - - 37.3 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 263 - - 91 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 839 - - 2095 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 41 - - 42 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 28 281 36 274 34 273 34 275 96592 89528 26 273 27 263 35 276 29 272 89528 84054 24 262 25 252 33 266 30 269 84054 79495 22 263 20 258 25 251 27 269 79495 75570 28 255 24 264 25 255 26 265 75570 72076 27 250 27 253 31 265 26 266 72076 68897 24 248 27 241 33 270 29 270 68897 65995 26 256 25 238 31 257 30 265 65995 63311 27 255 23 226 28 234 31 251 63311 60698 23 251 30 271 23 251 33 246 60698 57970 26 261 39 262 25 258 29 248 57970 55162 27 265 33 246 34 258 34 259 55162 52510 17 268 30 257 39 254 42 253 52510 50120 27 293 32 275 41 263 46 259 50120 47961 38 286 34 278 51 267 55 267 47961 45991 36 289 49 280 61 265 60 269 45991 44175 49 295 55 273 67 264 67 271 44175 42493 55 288 54 264 73 261 73 269 42493 40928 47 286 58 259 73 254 74 258 40928 39461 32 295 61 254 69 249 74 245 39461 38078 25 309 60 249 63 250 71 239 38078 36739 29 328 53 249 55 258 59 237 36739 35379 44 331 43 291 49 287 47 247 35379 33977 71 330 75 320 64 309 36 281 33977 32543 96 328 93 323 75 315 49 296 32543 31061 103 327 96 323 81 316 53 293 31061 29514 97 325 94 323 83 315 57 285 29514 27899 88 328 91 322 80 314 62 281 27899 26213 87 329 88 321 77 314 59 285 26213 24460 91 329 80 321 73 314 57 298 24460 22644 82 330 74 322 67 313 58 305 22644 20758 59 331 67 322 62 312 58 304 20758 18796 45 326 58 316 59 310 57 300 18796 16801 49 322 49 310 59 307 57 298 16801 14883 48 326 46 308 59 305 56 298 14883 13143 37 335 46 310 56 305 54 302 13143 11599 22 332 40 310 48 305 51 306 11599 10231 14 318 31 306 45 307 46 305 10231 9018 13 320 27 300 45 307 45 303 9018 7942 15 325 25 297 43 301 45 304 7942 6991 15 326 24 295 38 294 45 307 6991 6155 14 325 22 293 34 288 43 307 6155 5419 12 324 20 288 28 281 40 303 5419 4762 11 320 17*283 23 278 37 298 4762 4182 11 311 17*282 22 278 35 294 4182 3696 10*297 16 282 22 278 32 293 3696 3321 8*285 16 282 20 278 28 291 3321 3062 8 282 15 282 19 279 22 289 3062 2905 7 280 13 282 16 279 18*288 2905 2815 5 280 10 281 11*278 11*287 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography