DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 40.2 - - 44.0 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 98 - - 42 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1636 - - 1275 - - 1446 - - 1078 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 130 - - 123 - - 94 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 126 - - 135 - - 140 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2106 - - -334 - - -50 - - -386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4921 - - 3150 - - 2865 - - 3201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8261 - - -746 - - -534 - - -4932 ODpotential blCL - - - 11076 - - 3561 - - 3349 - - 7747 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 40.2 - - 44.0 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 36.6 - - 41.5 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 39.2 - - 43.1 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 35.8 - - 40.9 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 98 - - 42 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 12 184 12 194 25 218 18 237 96395 89224 11 214 15 206 18 212 11 218 89224 83665 14 193 23 203 22 232 15 225 83665 79026 13 214 20 182 25 221 19 230 79026 75025 16 254 15 238 21 236 18 243 75025 71489 21 249 20 237 19 257 23 259 71489 68286 16 247 20 261 19 246 24 248 68286 65354 23 275 17 261 22 283 31 290 65354 62647 28 282 38 280 38 274 38 274 62647 60016 39 278 39 262 37 278 38 278 60016 57265 39 274 43 289 46 288 46 289 57265 54418 50 290 60 282 54 284 53 285 54418 51704 63 283 60 271 53 276 53 283 51704 49261 61 278 52 272 51 277 60 287 49261 47069 56 280 51 284 55 285 63 287 47069 45075 58 290 62 295 64 292 64 286 45075 43251 66 294 75 297 72 297 65 289 43251 41584 70 296 83 296 83 295 73 292 41584 40061 75 296 85 296 92 293 85 288 40061 38649 73 292 84 297 102 293 87 282 38649 37318 70 288 84 296 101 294 86 288 37318 36031 73 287 82 291 91 295 82 291 36031 34725 73 287 77 289 84 292 78 288 34725 33370 70 285 74 287 81 286 77 285 33370 31971 67 283 73 286 77 286 75 286 31971 30515 64 277 70 282 70 285 72 287 30515 28992 62 271 72 275 67 275 68 288 28992 27402 61 271 76 274 64 269 60 289 27402 25747 50 270 71 278 56 273 51 281 25747 24032 47 270 59 276 47 270 51 272 24032 22265 45 275 49 268 37 263 48 271 22265 20434 42 280 42 268 29 263 38 271 20434 18530 43 282 25 280 24 261 33 262 18530 16592 47 271 22 287 22 258 24 260 16592 14729 49 264 26 285 22 263 15 235 14729 13035 41 242 32 275 27 270 13 238 13035 11528 37 225 39 263 32 273 16 264 11528 10190 35 228 41 256 42 259 31 251 10190 9001 30 235 39 253 45 250 34 234 9001 7943 24 245 37 250 39 243 32 226 7943 7002 23 242 34 242 30 235 29 223 7002 6168 19 228 30 230 24 228 26 219 6168 5428 16 194 24 217 21 221 24 207 5428 4764 19 153 19 193 17 208 24 183 4764 4178 19 137 18 161 14 179 24 159 4178 3691 18 132 16 143 12 152 22 148 3691 3318 17 130 16 139 12 147 17 140 3318 3061 15 129 14 137 11 144 14 134 3061 2905 13*128 12*136 9 141 11*130 2905 2815 9*126 9*135 7*140 7*126 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography