DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 57.6 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 98 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2243 - - 3146 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3463 - - 4131 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4801 - - 5704 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2471 - - 3310 - - 4914 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 259 - - 294 - - 36 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 331 - - 326 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 722 - - 342 - - -2551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4079 - - 5362 - - 5368 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -407 - - -1158 - - -4088 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5208 - - 6862 - - 6904 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 76 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 57.6 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.2 - - 43.9 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.1 - - 56.5 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.0 - - 42.7 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 98 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2243 - - 3146 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98071 6 229 5 280 12 320 98071 90667 3 172 8 255 10 298 90667 84987 4 215 7 261 11 294 84987 80267 3 209 3 212 7 273 80267 76172 10 238 8 248 9 260 76172 72540 13 237 12 238 13 256 72540 69246 14 253 12 240 13 258 69246 66213 15 256 18 268 17 270 66213 63405 20 254 23 264 24 271 63405 60700 25 252 26 267 30 273 60700 57893 26 254 28 259 32 268 57893 54986 39 271 37 261 40 263 54986 52207 46 268 43 270 44 270 52207 49694 56 270 60 278 59 277 49694 47441 71 265 78 269 75 274 47441 45407 81 257 85 258 83 266 45407 43549 79 253 78 252 80 266 43549 41839 73 258 76 257 83 274 41839 40268 87 265 82 269 93 273 40268 38819 105 268 93 272 100 267 38819 37466 108 266 100 271 95 264 37466 36160 101 263 100 266 84 269 36160 34837 100 257 97 261 80 276 34837 33470 101 253 91 261 78 282 33470 32061 102 249 87 264 76 287 32061 30597 102 248 82 269 76 287 30597 29066 89 256 77 271 79 286 29066 27471 73 258 72 273 81 287 27471 25815 65 259 66 274 73 287 25815 24098 59 263 60 275 68 285 24098 22323 53 265 56 277 63 284 22323 20484 47 265 53 276 56 281 20484 18576 42 261 50 276 52 278 18576 16633 40 260 44 278 50 278 16633 14761 36 261 37 273 49 280 14761 13059 33 261 35 272 44 285 13059 11550 34 260 31 278 34 290 11550 10215 36 265 25 287 24 293 10215 9029 33 273 16 292 17 298 9029 7976 22 282 13 297 12 314 7976 7041 16 294 12 310 12 335 7041 6211 14 305 12*320 12 340 6211 5473 12 318 12*324 12 342 5473 4807 11*328 12 325 12 342 4807 4215 11*330 12 326 12 342 4215 3717 10 332 12 326 11 342 3717 3334 10 332 11 327 10 342 3334 3069 9 332 11 326 9 340 3069 2908 8 332 9 326 6*340 2908 2816 6 332 7 325 3*338 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography