DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 60.5 - - 60.6 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 133 - - 13 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1855 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3345 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 4413 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 955 - - 1053 - - 2957 - - 805 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 67 - - 265 - - 69 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 155 - - 146 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1559 - - -1332 - - -3291 - - -149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4374 - - 5746 - - 6107 - - 2965 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6270 - - -5398 - - -7525 - - -6651 ODpotential blCL - - - 9085 - - 9811 - - 10341 - - 9467 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 60.5 - - 60.6 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 45.3 - - 43.9 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 59.2 - - 60.0 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 44.3 - - 43.2 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 133 - - 13 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1855 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 71 - - 101 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96750 86 245 99 247 92 251 91 245 96750 89537 63 258 65 252 66 258 54 259 89537 83984 46 265 38 262 40 259 36 286 83984 79406 25 255 21 269 25 253 33 291 79406 75470 14 278 14 289 13 256 22 295 75470 71991 18 295 14 307 9 286 18 298 71991 68842 18 296 16 303 18 298 16 292 68842 65935 17 297 16 292 18 302 17 327 65935 63225 16 305 17 294 27 298 23 313 63225 60600 18 304 25 280 27 280 20 293 60600 57853 18 296 17 272 16 283 20 314 57853 55005 20 305 9 327 21 312 28 303 55005 52308 31 308 32 310 29 304 26 295 52308 49907 39 291 34 303 32 320 24 321 49907 47781 33 283 26 316 29 328 34 347 47781 45875 25 296 43 330 46 340 39 336 45875 44136 40 339 55 327 60 339 32 349 44136 42519 54 340 56 328 62 331 40 021 42519 41002 60 343 54 342 45 343 50 027 41002 39572 66 346 52 347 41 353 49 026 39572 38217 75 349 49 344 40 353 41 020 38217 36904 81 350 47 345 40 350 39 003 36904 35569 79 350 46 338 40 349 41 344 35569 34183 67 343 47 330 42 350 39 336 34183 32752 62 334 53 326 44 351 34 332 32752 31260 61 335 55 329 48 350 34 332 31260 29697 54 338 51 333 44 342 32 336 29697 28066 51 334 50 337 40 336 25 334 28066 26368 44 334 45 336 38 341 24 318 26368 24605 20 321 44 345 36 342 23 307 24605 22777 15 293 30 339 33 352 16 338 22777 20876 20 294 17 309 24 347 11 360 20876 18909 19 284 17 301 17 309 12 304 18909 16923 12 288 15 278 16 288 11 306 16923 15020 12 269 13 267 15 272 10 294 15020 13290 13 250 10 265 12 274 9 284 13290 11751 13 240 12 246 10 270 7 267 11751 10379 13 233 13 225 12 250 7 247 10379 9156 12 229 14 208 14 223 10 230 9156 8068 10 218 13 200 13 214 12 209 8068 7104 9 200 11 203 11 216 12 207 7104 6253 9 187 12 199 11 207 12 211 6253 5499 10 177 14 182 10 190 13 205 5499 4821 12 166 14*169 10 174 15 188 4821 4221 16 156 12*159 10 161 15 168 4221 3720 16 149 12 156 10 156 17 156 3720 3335 14 143 11 154 10 153 16 152 3335 3070 11 137 10 152 9 151 12 146 3070 2908 9 134 9 151 8 148 8*136 2908 2816 6*131 7 151 5*146 3*117 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography