DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 66.3 - - 67.9 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 58 - - 6 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2801 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 899 - - 3626 - - 3896 - - 1521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 97 - - 107 - - 61 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 276 - - 297 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -377 - - -1191 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2816 - - 3194 - - 4009 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2501 - - -1007 - - -2144 - - -1939 ODpotential blCL - - - 5317 - - 3824 - - 4961 - - 4756 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 95 - - 95 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 150 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 66.3 - - 67.9 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 61.6 - - 59.8 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 65.2 - - 67.5 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 60.8 - - 59.1 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 58 - - 6 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 81 - - 81 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98179 14 258 10 207 9 231 16 224 98179 90793 10 191 17 200 12 259 4 205 90793 85091 15 160 20 199 17 226 8 242 85091 80357 9 165 16 190 17 224 15 218 80357 76266 10 232 4 180 16 213 13 225 76266 72665 12 248 6 296 11 182 9 207 72665 69440 8 264 7 258 8 225 8 271 69440 66500 6 256 11 234 12 253 14 268 66500 63781 8 295 15 263 16 254 16 281 63781 61153 22 271 25 273 24 263 23 279 61153 58426 29 260 28 262 30 260 29 266 58426 55606 31 252 34 254 38 259 39 261 55606 52929 37 257 45 255 49 261 52 262 52929 50528 45 264 53 259 56 261 60 265 50528 48372 53 266 59 260 63 260 71 265 48372 46407 66 261 63 261 68 259 79 263 46407 44598 78 257 76 262 84 262 90 260 44598 42928 86 258 95 262 108 262 105 258 42928 41370 90 256 97 259 114 258 107 251 41370 39896 92 251 92 254 107 257 106 249 39896 38498 95 249 89 250 100 255 106 250 38498 37143 93 249 91 247 98 253 104 252 37143 35770 79 251 91 249 89 255 97 255 35770 34352 58 250 80 253 79 254 85 256 34352 32897 55 254 67 252 72 251 75 256 32897 31392 52 252 62 249 66 250 66 256 31392 29822 48 247 56 249 56 253 56 255 29822 28182 47 251 52 247 50 252 53 255 28182 26475 45 254 39 249 37 247 46 261 26475 24715 34 254 28 253 23 251 32 280 24715 22903 32 247 23 262 22 269 24 289 22903 21025 33 251 23 260 23 276 20 283 21025 19070 32 243 26 269 25 274 21 279 19070 17074 31 243 26 271 25 273 23 273 17074 15152 30 252 28 266 23 275 28 266 15152 13406 27 263 28 268 23 282 24 266 13406 11855 23 265 25 274 22 290 16 278 11855 10476 17 257 21 275 19 300 14 303 10476 9246 14 252 18 281 18 304 12 319 9246 8150 14 260 16 278 16 304 11 322 8150 7177 13 275 13 267 12 286 12 312 7177 6315 13 281 12 265 9 267 12 285 6315 5551 13 279 11 270 9 267 11 262 5551 4863 12 276 9 274 9 275 10 263 4863 4253 11 267 7 277 8 290 9 300 4253 3742 6 251 4 277 8 293 11 324 3742 3348 2 141 3 279 8 296 12 328 3348 3077 2 124 3 279 8 296 10 328 3077 2911 2 119 2 277 7*297 7*327 2911 2817 2*121 2*276 5*297 4*326 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography