DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.2 - - 74.8 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 28 - - 53 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2705 - - 4389 - - 2542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 86 - - 108 - - 30 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 184 - - 216 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -35 - - -887 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2852 - - 3705 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -881 - - -1740 - - -889 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3698 - - 4558 - - 3706 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 95 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 540 - - 1160 - - 1000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.2 - - 74.8 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.5 - - 67.4 - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.5 - - 73.8 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.1 - - 66.6 - - 67.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 28 - - 53 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 80 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99262 38 092 33 088 30 083 99262 91814 40 091 30 090 33 073 91814 86099 35 085 31 094 30 077 86099 81326 29 083 30 088 28 085 81326 77200 25 086 26 084 25 083 77200 73558 22 090 20 086 21 087 73558 70271 20 100 17 090 17 087 70271 67251 21 103 12 109 11 075 67251 64452 12 083 14 116 10 127 64452 61752 6 103 6 104 11 121 61752 58948 3 137 5 119 3 119 58948 56042 8 211 3 172 1 277 56042 53279 10 208 7 183 9 176 53279 50825 27 215 25 230 16 220 50825 48650 34 198 37 212 31 219 48650 46677 35 190 39 199 40 217 46677 44858 35 197 41 207 47 220 44858 43166 37 215 40 213 51 223 43166 41584 40 216 42 217 52 226 41584 40096 40 217 43 216 54 227 40096 38691 41 224 45 220 52 221 38691 37333 43 226 44 219 50 215 37333 35953 46 222 44 207 47 209 35953 34524 47 215 47 206 45 205 34524 33051 44 208 48 209 43 200 33051 31522 44 204 48 207 44 201 31522 29928 45 198 48 201 46 202 29928 28271 42 190 49 202 48 203 28271 26551 41 193 46 207 49 206 26551 24768 42 203 39 213 46 208 24768 22930 40 213 32 211 39 208 22930 21036 34 220 30 210 32 212 21036 19083 30 223 30 213 27 216 19083 17102 30 225 27 220 24 217 17102 15195 28 220 23 223 22 211 15195 13459 26 212 23 222 23 204 13459 11912 26 205 22 214 23 208 11912 10533 26 202 22 220 21 217 10533 9302 26 202 21 227 19 225 9302 8204 26 202 19 227 16 228 8204 7227 24 199 17 224 14 227 7227 6360 23 195 16 223 13 228 6360 5590 21 192 15 223 12 231 5590 4895 20 189 13 222 11 233 4895 4277 19 189 12 221 10 234 4277 3759 16 186 11 220 9 233 3759 3359 14 185 10 218 7 232 3359 3082 13 185 9 218 5 230 3082 2914 11 185 8*217 4 229 2914 2817 7*184 6*216 3*227 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography