DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.8 - - 74.5 - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 52 - - 39 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2818 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3604 - - 3874 - - 4291 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 104 - - 97 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 255 - - 257 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -403 - - -935 - - -1009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3221 - - 3753 - - 3827 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1102 - - -1705 - - -2293 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3920 - - 4523 - - 5111 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 880 - - 870 - - 1390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.8 - - 74.5 - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.8 - - 67.2 - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.8 - - 73.7 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.2 - - 66.6 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 52 - - 39 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 97 - - 101 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99146 36 094 28 077 31 065 99146 91637 38 087 28 080 30 072 91637 85848 34 079 34 079 28 080 85848 81081 26 076 31 077 26 084 81081 77000 20 076 23 080 22 074 77000 73395 14 082 15 095 13 069 73395 70119 12 087 11 100 8 079 70119 67104 10 100 8 109 6 075 67104 64316 9 127 4 118 2 055 64316 61635 6 084 4 097 2 072 61635 58866 4 342 6 031 4 066 58866 56029 6 301 10 343 5 029 56029 53354 9 284 16 293 11 295 53354 50978 14 230 19 272 19 275 50978 48853 14 226 21 254 22 266 48853 46915 14 254 22 256 27 262 46915 45128 22 272 30 264 28 260 45128 43462 26 270 31 258 29 261 43462 41892 27 268 32 262 30 261 41892 40410 26 266 32 269 32 258 40410 39008 24 266 32 272 33 260 39008 37653 23 264 31 269 33 265 37653 36278 21 255 30 265 32 268 36278 34854 22 255 31 260 29 269 34854 33385 23 259 30 250 28 265 33385 31856 23 255 29 248 24 259 31856 30256 22 256 29 250 22 267 30256 28588 21 259 26 252 23 272 28588 26852 24 253 21 266 26 278 26852 25055 25 253 23 282 25 280 25055 23199 25 261 24 290 24 280 23199 21280 23 269 20 284 23 276 21280 19296 21 270 16 286 22 273 19296 17282 19 268 14 301 21 276 17282 15345 18 262 14 308 22 275 15345 13582 18 248 15 298 20 275 13582 12012 18 244 16 279 18 275 12012 10616 14 247 18 266 17 277 10616 9371 11 249 17 257 17 276 9371 8260 11 252 14 252 16 270 8260 7272 11 260 11 250 16 268 7272 6398 11 265 11 254 15 268 6398 5619 11 265 11 257 14 266 5619 4918 11 263 11 258 13 263 4918 4294 10 261 11 258 12 260 4294 3769 9 257 10 258 11 258 3769 3365 9 256 10 258 10 257 3365 3085 8 255 9 258 9 256 3085 2915 7*255 8*258 7*256 2915 2818 5*255 6*257 5*254 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography