DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 56.1 - - 60.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 300 - - 137 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1428 - - 2707 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3150 - - 4260 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3986 - - 5265 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 909 - - 931 - - 4108 - - 1804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 387 - - 137 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 287 - - 224 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4870 - - -4393 - - -6509 - - -3671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8856 - - 9658 - - 9326 - - 6487 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14864 - - -10288 - - -9977 - - -8012 ODpotential blCL - - - 18850 - - 15553 - - 12793 - - 10828 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 70 - - 74 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 56.1 - - 60.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.1 - - 23.8 - - 29.6 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.0 - - 53.8 - - 58.9 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 22.6 - - 28.4 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 300 - - 137 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1428 - - 2707 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 31 234 19 242 36 248 38 273 96422 89188 19 253 19 245 30 259 28 274 89188 83608 23 260 25 250 21 263 23 275 83608 78994 24 254 24 252 18 261 23 252 78994 75017 19 247 18 253 18 255 22 250 75017 71496 15 257 19 254 18 257 18 270 71496 68308 22 261 20 263 14 268 15 286 68308 65366 27 242 22 263 17 271 16 287 65366 62639 17 258 17 260 17 256 15 276 62639 59998 26 283 18 288 14 264 12 252 59998 57224 33 273 29 274 24 270 26 272 57224 54340 47 267 43 253 43 266 39 268 54340 51606 58 269 51 254 50 260 49 266 51606 49168 70 267 60 258 60 257 58 262 49168 47000 74 270 65 263 64 262 58 263 47000 45040 81 271 72 269 66 267 62 265 45040 43253 84 270 79 268 71 265 65 264 43253 41616 87 272 81 265 75 264 67 258 41616 40103 90 276 83 264 79 258 69 258 40103 38687 88 277 85 264 77 256 72 258 38687 37350 82 274 81 265 75 257 71 254 37350 36056 76 270 78 265 74 259 69 252 36056 34744 75 269 77 264 75 260 70 254 34744 33385 76 268 78 263 76 260 71 256 33385 31981 77 267 78 263 76 259 71 256 31981 30521 75 266 76 264 73 258 69 253 30521 28996 69 262 70 261 70 256 66 251 28996 27408 68 261 65 257 66 256 61 254 27408 25758 69 262 61 261 61 258 54 256 25758 24046 64 259 56 261 54 262 49 256 24046 22278 59 258 53 260 50 263 45 254 22278 20455 58 260 52 259 48 263 41 254 20455 18568 55 265 53 256 50 261 42 253 18568 16653 52 273 47 256 48 254 40 249 16653 14808 51 283 42 267 42 255 39 248 14808 13127 49 288 41 273 35 264 36 252 13127 11628 43 289 39 272 30 262 28 251 11628 10291 39 281 33 270 26 245 26 245 10291 9098 41 274 28 263 26 232 24 236 9098 8033 40 279 27 261 22 227 16 211 8033 7086 37 289 24 271 17 222 14 192 7086 6246 32 295 17 281 12 213 16 182 6246 5499 26 298 9*284 6 205 19 175 5499 4826 20 299 9*286 4 208 20 168 4826 4228 11*297 8 286 4 212 20 163 4228 3726 8*291 8 287 3 214 18 158 3726 3339 8 291 7 287 3 219 15 152 3339 3071 7 290 7 287 2 221 11 142 3071 2909 7 289 6 286 2*222 8*130 2909 2816 5 287 5 287 2*224 4*117 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography