DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 69.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - 65 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4500 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5341 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7058 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2152 - - 6056 - - 4788 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 376 - - 116 - - 22 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 286 - - 283 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1240 - - -3545 - - -1451 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5818 - - 6362 - - 4268 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -90 - - -4249 - - -3220 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7148 - - 7066 - - 6037 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 75 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 320 - - 20 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 69.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.6 - - 51.4 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.2 - - 68.7 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.2 - - 50.1 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - 65 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4500 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99228 28 087 25 098 18 071 99228 91754 23 090 24 081 22 077 91754 85973 19 097 17 075 24 079 85973 81180 13 097 13 084 19 073 81180 77053 16 098 10 098 14 069 77053 73402 18 089 10 102 11 063 73402 70103 11 100 11 095 9 060 70103 67066 6 165 7 114 5 056 67066 64244 13 166 7 154 3 231 64244 61502 7 217 8 214 8 231 61502 58645 10 205 15 215 17 232 58645 55681 21 279 15 263 15 253 55681 52861 34 258 31 263 34 269 52861 50353 31 234 29 241 34 258 50353 48115 23 225 26 273 31 280 48115 46086 28 277 44 278 41 277 46086 44233 51 278 54 271 40 281 44233 42520 61 269 53 271 47 300 42520 40932 55 267 51 278 60 307 40932 39455 51 275 50 290 68 309 39455 38073 59 285 57 300 72 310 38073 36748 65 283 64 302 73 310 36748 35411 64 279 66 302 72 309 35411 34029 60 276 66 305 68 307 34029 32604 61 277 66 308 66 306 32604 31124 63 278 67 310 62 308 31124 29579 59 274 67 310 52 301 29579 27975 57 270 67 310 47 289 27975 26306 59 271 64 309 48 284 26306 24571 60 269 57 303 47 286 24571 22772 56 272 49 295 42 290 22772 20903 51 278 45 289 37 290 20903 18959 43 281 44 285 35 283 18959 16978 37 273 45 285 34 278 16978 15070 35 267 43 283 34 279 15070 13335 32 268 40 281 33 281 13335 11792 29 270 36 279 31 281 11792 10421 29 279 31 279 27 278 10421 9205 21 287 21 275 22 269 9205 8125 19 289 14 276 16 262 8125 7164 17*289 13 278 12 266 7164 6311 16*288 13 280 10 279 6311 5552 14 287 12 281 10 289 5552 4867 14 287 12 282 10 297 4867 4257 13 286 12 283 10 304 4257 3746 12 285 11 283 9 308 3746 3351 12 285 11 283 8 311 3351 3078 11 284 10 283 7 312 3078 2912 10 284 9*284 5*311 2912 2817 7 283 7*283 3*309 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography