DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 71.1 - - 72.5 - - 68.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 321 - - 406 - - 137 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 164 - - 1663 - - 2590 - - 2038 - - 123 BL Depth Hcrit 4147 - - 5124 - - 5874 - - 5081 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4331 - - 5830 - - 6757 - - 6205 - - 4290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 339 - - 1559 - - 1627 - - 1064 - - 1513 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 339 - - 424 - - 273 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 17 - - 19 - - 23 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 305 - - 299 - - 291 - - 297 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 12 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -56 - - -48 - - -51 - - -67 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4750 - - -5590 - - -5538 - - -5172 - - -4630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9081 - - 11421 - - 12296 - - 11378 - - 8921 sfcLCL ODpotential -13667 - - -12629 - - -11657 - - -11673 - - -12133 ODpotential blCL 17998 - - 18459 - - 18414 - - 17878 - - 16423 blCL maxRH 37 - - 35 - - 30 - - 32 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 71.1 - - 72.5 - - 68.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 35.5 - - 33.0 - - 32.9 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.3 - - 69.9 - - 71.0 - - 68.2 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.8 - - 35.3 - - 32.7 - - 32.7 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 321 - - 406 - - 137 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 164 - - 1663 - - 2590 - - 2038 - - 123 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98004 10 285 8 271 14 258 19 260 24 280 98004 90648 8 279 7 278 8 263 11 253 11 275 90648 84970 6 310 4 285 5 247 7 229 4 266 84970 80246 2 054 1 320 5 251 3 267 4 097 80246 76191 5 084 2 077 2 184 2 251 9 078 76191 72627 6 048 2 087 3 134 2 171 2 027 72627 69405 6 311 3 320 2 180 1 215 3 093 69405 66430 10 269 8 283 4 286 4 273 1 273 66430 63665 9 253 12 264 11 269 11 265 8 245 63665 60980 11 259 16 248 16 253 18 263 11 254 60980 58165 18 272 19 258 20 256 24 261 17 262 58165 55241 23 275 23 259 24 259 27 258 24 262 55241 52456 27 279 26 264 30 262 33 261 32 260 52456 49967 32 281 29 271 34 262 38 263 39 261 49967 47757 36 277 32 273 34 265 40 259 43 257 47757 45761 30 272 33 262 34 268 38 256 43 254 45761 43935 26 268 31 258 35 263 40 257 46 254 43935 42254 23 266 30 253 35 258 45 258 50 252 42254 40696 22 255 30 246 36 256 48 257 51 247 40696 39243 20 247 32 242 36 251 46 252 51 242 39243 37882 17 250 31 237 35 247 43 248 51 242 37882 36573 22 245 31 233 35 244 40 243 50 243 36573 35254 24 227 32 232 34 242 36 241 49 246 35254 33896 23 216 34 231 34 241 35 242 46 247 33896 32504 22 223 34 232 35 240 34 244 44 248 32504 31065 25 241 35 233 36 241 34 247 43 250 31065 29567 27 244 34 234 35 242 34 247 41 249 29567 28013 26 243 32 237 33 243 33 245 40 248 28013 26404 24 242 30 238 30 241 31 243 40 246 26404 24745 23 241 28 238 30 239 30 240 39 245 24745 23038 23 243 28 236 31 237 32 238 39 245 23038 21278 22 244 26 235 32 236 32 237 38 244 21278 19459 20 240 24 234 30 237 28 238 37 244 19459 17616 19 233 21 237 25 242 23 242 35 247 17616 15844 17 232 19 241 21 249 20 247 32 250 15844 14233 14 235 18 244 19 254 18 249 28 251 14233 12795 12 244 17 247 18 253 16 249 24 249 12795 11509 12 257 17 251 18 250 14 250 20 246 11509 10356 11 265 16 254 16 249 13 256 18 245 10356 9321 11 264 14 249 15 249 14 271 16 253 9321 8393 10 261 12 240 15 252 17 286 18 273 8393 7567 8 260 10 245 15 265 20 294 23 290 7567 6830 8 275 10 265 16*279 23*296 29 299 6830 6165 9 295 14*286 19*287 24*297 32 303 6165 5571 15 310 17*297 20 290 25 298 31 303 5571 5072 22 314 18 299 20 291 25 298 28 303 5072 4686 25 311 18 300 20 292 24 298 24 302 4686 4419 23*307 17 299 19 292 22 297 19*297 4419 4257 19*305 16 300 17 293 20 297 14*294 4257 4163 11 305 11 299 13 292 13 296 8 287 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography