DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.7 - - 42.9 - - 44.8 - - 47.7 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 35 - - -2 - - 68 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 579 - - 1874 - - 1119 - - 1667 - - 123 BL Depth Hcrit 4145 - - 4145 - - 4146 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4746 - - 6041 - - 5286 - - 5834 - - 4290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1304 - - 1223 - - 1535 - - 1607 - - 2203 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 180 - - 87 - - 211 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 189 - - 216 - - 239 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 12 - - 14 - - 11 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 14 - - 16 - - -17 - - -18 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 584 - - 1464 - - 356 - - 1439 - - 128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4162 - - 4577 - - 4930 - - 4396 - - 4162 sfcLCL ODpotential -2357 - - -601 - - -4194 - - -751 - - -1303 ODpotential blCL 7103 - - 6642 - - 9480 - - 6585 - - 5593 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 90 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.7 - - 42.9 - - 44.8 - - 47.7 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 37.4 - - 37.6 - - 42.6 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.6 - - 43.6 - - 45.7 - - 48.0 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 36.2 - - 36.4 - - 41.6 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 35 - - -2 - - 68 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 579 - - 1874 - - 1119 - - 1667 - - 123 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 103 - - 62 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96635 19 281 9 270 14 257 19 272 23 292 96635 89275 7 318 1 185 9 239 19 294 20 311 89275 83667 4 007 1 158 0 320 3 347 10 355 83667 79026 5 344 4 075 5 019 4 313 12 356 79026 75043 7 345 7 011 3 048 4 062 10 358 75043 71537 5 357 10 316 13 312 12 329 11 013 71537 68349 9 305 15 297 15 320 16 338 18 318 68349 65429 18 311 18 295 17 312 21 322 17 328 65429 62723 17 307 24 308 27 291 35 294 16 013 62723 60063 31 309 26 310 38 299 50 294 28 322 60063 57268 36 310 39 303 53 297 57 295 57 293 57268 54390 51 304 49 295 51 297 52 300 59 293 54390 51659 55 297 49 299 47 310 55 310 62 304 51659 49207 52 299 50 308 54 314 64 306 65 307 49207 47011 54 305 57 305 61 309 65 306 69 310 47011 45020 68 310 69 307 75 311 77 313 87 308 45020 43206 90 314 95 310 107 307 105 307 103 301 43206 41542 106 302 100 297 110 295 110 297 101 292 41542 40003 100 297 82 290 91 290 93 293 91 289 40003 38570 82 301 82 305 85 303 93 295 90 293 38570 37227 85 310 103 312 107 313 105 295 98 297 37227 35938 95 309 112 311 118 312 110 296 106 298 35938 34638 98 307 108 309 114 308 112 298 108 300 34638 33298 100 306 103 305 113 304 115 300 108 303 33298 31924 100 307 107 302 116 302 109 302 107 305 31924 30503 102 307 108 301 115 301 100 304 104 306 30503 29026 104 308 106 300 109 300 95 303 99 307 29026 27496 91 310 103 301 104 298 94 302 90 304 27496 25912 65 306 90 302 102 299 94 301 85 298 25912 24274 53 293 65 295 92 300 94 302 86 295 24274 22586 51 286 60 283 74 293 88 302 83 298 22586 20848 40 282 61 284 65 283 73 297 74 307 20848 19060 40 291 51 284 60 282 63 290 61 311 19060 17251 47 288 38 280 45 282 54 289 52 305 17251 15513 47 281 35 274 34 268 41 287 48 296 15513 13931 43 276 40 271 37 259 31 279 43 292 13931 12523 36 271 43 269 40 259 27 267 36 288 12523 11267 33 259 42 262 40 257 26 262 29 283 11267 10145 34 240 39 249 37 253 27 265 26 280 10145 9142 35 227 38 233 33 248 26 271 26 281 9142 8248 34 218 36 220 29 240 25 273 27 285 8248 7452 31 210 33 210 27 230 24 270 28 288 7452 6742 27 200 29 203 26 221 23 263 28 289 6742 6100 23 190 25*198 25 215 23*252 28 289 6100 5527 19 180 20*193 25*213 22*243 25 288 5527 5043 16*171 18 190 23*215 21 240 22 284 5043 4669 13*161 16 187 20 216 20 238 18 276 4669 4410 10 153 14 186 17 217 19 236 14*269 4410 4253 8 149 13 185 15 217 17 235 11*263 4253 4162 6 146 9 185 9 217 11 234 4 243 4162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography