DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/21 Beloit_WI 817ft pt38417@42.519,-89.104,854ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 49.0 - - 45.6 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 18 - - -26 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1082 - - 28 - - 28 - - 28 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 829 - - 829 - - 829 - - 828 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1899 - - 845 - - 845 - - 845 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2306 - - 6574 - - 4463 - - 4140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 149 - - 37 - - 22 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 259 - - 267 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -595 - - -2200 - - -958 - - -924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2494 - - 3045 - - 1803 - - 1769 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2073 - - -2487 - - -1580 - - -1579 ODpotential blCL - - - 3972 - - 3332 - - 2425 - - 2424 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 130 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 49.0 - - 45.6 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 38.4 - - 40.5 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 48.7 - - 46.2 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 37.3 - - 39.9 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 18 - - -26 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1082 - - 28 - - 28 - - 28 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96736 30 277 40 278 35 276 32 267 96736 89585 21 288 26 275 27 273 28 274 89585 84070 17 283 17 274 23 267 26 279 84070 79487 13 291 18 269 23 264 24 279 79487 75509 13 294 17 253 24 270 21 281 75509 71970 14 282 12 255 24 272 19 282 71970 68748 13 280 14 268 17 277 11 260 68748 65757 14 277 13 283 15 291 7 307 65757 62964 9 287 13 280 19 277 21 296 62964 60257 12 318 13 290 16 265 23 268 60257 57406 26 317 17 289 17 263 24 268 57406 54405 26 285 22 263 26 255 30 280 54405 51531 26 267 26 257 31 272 37 294 51531 48956 35 278 37 277 39 285 43 295 48956 46655 40 276 43 275 44 284 50 295 46655 44573 38 271 40 278 47 289 57 297 44573 42664 39 274 45 287 52 289 62 299 42664 40901 46 279 53 289 54 291 65 301 40901 39259 49 277 55 287 59 293 69 301 39259 37723 47 273 54 286 64 294 72 301 37723 36282 46 271 54 284 68 294 75 303 36282 34898 44 274 52 281 71 293 78 303 34898 33504 45 278 49 283 69 291 80 304 33504 32071 46 277 49 291 63 295 82 304 32071 30605 47 276 56 296 66 298 80 304 30605 29093 47 273 60 294 66 297 79 307 29093 27527 43 270 62 296 66 297 73 309 27527 25909 45 266 65 296 68 299 69 313 25909 24235 49 258 59 292 66 302 73 318 24235 22499 51 255 54 293 61 302 78 316 22499 20698 48 253 52 291 58 300 73 313 20698 18824 45 256 47 288 52 297 63 315 18824 16877 41 257 43 287 47 292 51 310 16877 14894 34 257 40 283 45 291 48 303 14894 12981 32 263 39 277 42 292 44 301 12981 11242 35 265 39 274 36 288 39 304 11242 9696 39 264 36 275 35 282 40 306 9696 8326 39 263 36 271 38 277 42 298 8326 7109 37 264 34 268 40 282 41 299 7109 6030 33 269 34 266 42 284 44 299 6030 5073 29 271 33 266 42 283 46 297 5073 4230 25 275 32 265 42 282 46 294 4230 3485 26 283 29 263 41 279 45 290 3485 2818 26 283 28 262 39 275 42 285 2818 2227 26*282 27 262 37 273 39 283 2227 1734 21*273 25 261 33 271 35 280 1734 1355 19 272 23 261 29 269 31 278 1355 1094 18 270 21 260 25 268 26 277 1094 936 15 270 18 260 21*268 22*276 936 845 12 269 13*259 15*267 15*275 845 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography