DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Beloit_WI 817ft pt38417@42.519,-89.104,854ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1008z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 48.6 - - 55.9 - - 57.9 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 59 - - 98 - - -1 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 22 - - 338 - - 2141 - - 24 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit 823 - - 824 - - 1640 - - 824 - - 824 Hcrit BL Top 839 - - 1155 - - 2958 - - 841 - - 840 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 137 - - 1058 - - 2333 - - 4595 - - 101 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 113 - - 254 - - 28 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 237 - - 249 - - 253 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -172 - - -927 - - -218 - - -2990 - - -1214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1011 - - 2082 - - 3177 - - 3831 - - 2055 sfcLCL ODpotential -3736 - - -2666 - - -1959 - - -4002 - - -6198 ODpotential blCL 4575 - - 3821 - - 4917 - - 4843 - - 7038 blCL maxRH 89 - - 81 - - 74 - - 68 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 48.6 - - 55.9 - - 57.9 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 42.8 - - 45.2 - - 44.3 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 47.9 - - 54.9 - - 57.7 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 41.9 - - 43.2 - - 41.9 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 59 - - 98 - - -1 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 22 - - 338 - - 2141 - - 24 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97503 35 268 38 262 36 263 43 263 43 265 97503 90369 24 272 29 259 28 260 28 264 29 259 90369 84821 15 283 19 258 22 260 20 267 20 254 84821 80146 14 287 17 264 17 253 18 261 19 266 80146 76088 13 277 19 262 15 248 20 254 19 277 76088 72492 9 282 17 259 15 251 22 259 19 275 72492 69223 15 290 17 263 16 245 20 255 17 258 69223 66200 21 277 18 261 14 257 18 259 18 263 66200 63386 24 265 23 267 22 273 22 269 22 275 63386 60665 24 255 25 257 26 261 25 261 27 273 60665 57831 25 272 20 270 22 266 23 264 27 265 57831 54887 34 284 33 285 31 283 30 288 26 277 54887 52080 45 276 38 274 38 275 40 288 30 288 52080 49574 43 266 33 277 37 275 43 283 36 289 49574 47348 40 275 42 288 40 280 42 280 40 286 47348 45340 48 285 48 283 39 284 37 289 42 287 45340 43509 56 286 44 281 41 297 42 302 43 290 43509 41827 58 282 43 298 46 301 45 304 43 293 41827 40273 52 288 50 306 46 302 42 306 41 294 40273 38826 56 299 54 309 44 310 40 316 41 296 38826 37471 61 302 54 312 45 321 42 325 43 300 37471 36166 62 306 51 319 49 330 48 328 45 302 36166 34842 61 312 52 333 53 338 53 326 45 303 34842 33466 60 320 61 343 56 341 54 321 43 303 33466 32039 61 328 71 348 57 340 55 317 42 303 32039 30543 63 335 76 350 59 336 57 316 43 301 30543 28969 65 341 74 349 60 333 56 315 46 297 28969 27314 68 345 70 346 59 333 54 313 49 295 27314 25577 69 347 66 343 56 334 50 311 50 293 25577 23756 67 345 62 340 53 334 48 310 51 293 23756 21852 64 342 58 337 50 330 46 310 50 296 21852 19859 59 338 53 333 47 323 45 311 49 298 19859 17773 55 334 51 329 46 316 42 309 47 302 17773 15643 50 332 49 326 43 313 38 305 43 305 15643 13595 43 329 46 327 38 314 33 302 38 303 13595 11740 36 327 40 325 31 317 28 299 33 301 11740 10099 32 324 34 320 25 316 24 294 31 301 10099 8645 31 318 28 314 22 313 22 291 29 301 8645 7358 29 313 23 307 20 307 20 287 25 297 7358 6221 28 308 20 296 18 295 21 281 23 286 6221 5221 26 307 19 286 19 284 22 275 22 267 5221 4343 20 316 18 268 19 280 20 272 19 253 4343 3570 15 325 18 244 16*275 15 259 17 249 3570 2878 10 332 17 236 15*269 14 258 15 245 2878 2266 8 331 17 234 12 247 14 257 13 235 2266 1756 7 303 16 238 11 246 13 255 13 223 1756 1365 10 284 14*240 11 245 12 254 13 212 1365 1096 14 275 8*237 10 243 11 254 12 202 1096 933 12 274 8 237 10 243 10*253 10 193 933 840 4*265 7 236 8 243 8*253 5*187 840 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography