DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Beloit_WI 817ft pt38417@42.519,-89.104,854ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 45.1 - - 47.5 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 189 - - 38 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1093 - - 2740 - - 3043 - - 27 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 828 - - 2348 - - 828 - - 828 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1910 - - 3557 - - 3860 - - 844 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 788 - - 1014 - - 1738 - - 168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 327 - - 202 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 316 - - 303 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3667 - - -4309 - - -4968 - - -5545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5578 - - 7866 - - 8828 - - 6389 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12570 - - -16407 - - -15888 - - -17981 ODpotential blCL - - - 14480 - - 19964 - - 19748 - - 18825 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 45 - - 61 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 45.1 - - 47.5 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.6 - - 13.5 - - 11.6 - - 13.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 43.9 - - 47.1 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.8 - - 12.5 - - 10.8 - - 12.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 189 - - 38 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1093 - - 2740 - - 3043 - - 27 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95470 31 325 32 314 21 301 31 293 95470 88638 21 321 29 312 23 312 25 304 88638 83289 27 345 24 320 24 337 22 331 83289 78805 30 319 28 315 31 330 27 332 78805 74920 16 319 23 328 26 306 29 333 74920 71466 22 332 26 347 23 316 33 321 71466 68329 31 320 34 314 33 317 35 318 68329 65425 36 321 28 300 29 315 31 320 65425 62696 40 313 27 306 31 307 36 309 62696 60038 42 302 37 307 39 296 41 298 60038 57276 46 297 45 302 44 293 44 300 57276 54413 51 298 51 302 47 299 46 296 54413 51675 62 302 60 299 57 302 53 296 51675 49203 74 305 67 297 64 298 60 296 49203 46981 86 303 74 298 68 295 65 294 46981 44954 89 297 78 299 72 296 66 293 44954 43090 83 297 79 300 76 299 69 293 43090 41374 89 304 86 302 83 300 77 296 41374 39790 101 308 96 300 88 299 86 298 39790 38317 113 299 99 298 91 296 91 299 38317 36939 119 296 98 296 91 297 92 299 36939 35612 118 298 97 297 94 298 91 299 35612 34268 117 302 96 299 98 298 94 301 34268 32872 117 304 98 302 99 298 97 301 32872 31424 120 305 100 301 98 299 96 301 31424 29910 120 306 103 300 96 298 94 300 29910 28319 118 306 105 303 93 300 90 300 28319 26651 116 305 106 304 95 304 88 303 26651 24905 116 305 108 304 97 307 89 305 24905 23088 112 308 102 305 93 307 88 307 23088 21206 105 310 93 305 86 307 78 308 21206 19254 97 314 88 309 76 308 69 311 19254 17221 81 315 81 315 71 313 65 312 17221 15148 62 312 70 315 68 316 63 313 15148 13155 57 315 58 310 60 316 57 314 13155 11354 57 317 49 309 53 314 52 317 11354 9765 56 318 46 313 48 315 46 321 9765 8364 54 321 46 318 45 318 41 327 8364 7127 48 326 45 322 43 321 37 332 7127 6034 43 330 41 325 37 321 33 335 6034 5071 40 332 35 328 30 316 30 331 5071 4226 37 333 29*327 22*303 27 322 4226 3480 34 336 20*320 22*303 25 313 3480 2813 28 338 19 317 21 303 24 313 2813 2223 25*336 18 316 20 303 23 313 2223 1730 18*329 17 315 20 303 22 313 1730 1352 17 328 16 315 19 303 20 312 1352 1092 16 327 15 315 17 303 16 308 1092 934 14 326 14 314 15 303 13 306 934 844 11 326 11 314 12 302 5*299 844 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography