DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Beloit_WI 817ft pt38417@42.519,-89.104,854ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0956z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 55.5 - - 60.5 - - 62.7 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 105 - - 181 - - 105 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 26 - - 1327 - - 3423 - - 4440 - - 27 BL Depth Hcrit 826 - - 827 - - 2860 - - 3284 - - 828 Hcrit BL Top 843 - - 2144 - - 4240 - - 5257 - - 844 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 2429 - - 1314 - - 474 - - 3651 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 215 - - 356 - - 325 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 166 - - 169 - - 176 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -178 - - -541 - - -640 - - -376 - - -2709 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1021 - - 2685 - - 4881 - - 5633 - - 3553 sfcLCL ODpotential -12471 - - -1366 - - -9157 - - -10836 - - -10471 ODpotential blCL 13314 - - 3510 - - 13397 - - 16093 - - 11315 blCL maxRH 80 - - 77 - - 64 - - 62 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 55.5 - - 60.5 - - 62.7 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.5 - - 47.1 - - 42.4 - - 41.2 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 54.7 - - 59.3 - - 61.8 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.0 - - 46.1 - - 40.5 - - 39.5 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 105 - - 181 - - 105 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 26 - - 1327 - - 3423 - - 4440 - - 27 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98409 5 188 4 237 5 198 5 154 4 210 98409 90997 10 236 11 209 13 224 13 234 12 255 90997 85220 14 236 13 208 19 227 18 251 16 245 85220 80401 19 255 15 233 23 223 24 252 17 266 80401 76273 14 241 20 251 21 234 24 247 21 271 76273 72653 16 279 17 257 18 247 21 257 21 267 72653 69389 20 279 21 279 18 281 18 269 19 273 69389 66398 22 289 23 281 22 281 20 287 18 277 66398 63623 28 288 26 292 24 275 27 291 20 295 63623 60941 33 289 32 297 30 283 35 289 30 302 60941 58158 40 292 38 293 37 287 40 285 38 293 58158 55280 49 292 44 292 43 289 42 286 42 287 55280 52534 57 290 49 291 48 290 45 291 45 287 52534 50060 61 287 53 290 51 291 48 293 47 289 50060 47842 61 285 54 290 53 292 50 296 47 292 47842 45829 60 285 55 292 53 294 53 297 48 297 45829 43985 60 284 55 294 55 300 53 301 51 302 43985 42286 56 285 52 297 54 302 52 306 51 305 42286 40712 53 291 48 300 48 304 50 310 48 310 40712 39245 53 295 44 309 43 309 48 312 46 316 39245 37871 50 296 43 316 41 318 44 315 45 320 37871 36550 47 301 43 319 42 324 44 322 45 323 36550 35211 47 308 42 322 43 325 45 324 44 322 35211 33819 45 314 41 326 41 323 43 322 43 319 33819 32373 41 321 40 329 39 319 41 319 41 315 32373 30857 40 327 39 327 38 314 40 320 40 313 30857 29259 39 328 39 326 36 312 40 321 39 315 29259 27579 38 328 40 327 36 315 40 315 40 315 27579 25813 36 327 40 325 36 316 41 311 42 316 25813 23964 37 326 39 318 37 310 42 313 43 318 23964 22033 38 322 39 311 39 309 43 315 42 319 22033 20014 35 308 40 305 40 308 44 315 42 321 20014 17905 36 305 40 306 41 314 43 316 43 323 17905 15755 33 308 35 314 35 319 38 318 41 322 15755 13689 27 311 28 318 27 317 30 319 37 325 13689 11818 21 316 22 319 21 322 25 320 25 326 11818 10161 17 321 16 320 20 329 20 326 16 321 10161 8694 12 323 10 332 15 333 15 337 11 319 8694 7394 8 336 6 346 9 346 9 349 7 323 7394 6244 10 007 5 023 3 027 2*215 4 301 6244 5236 11 014 5 048 4 129 6*191 5 227 5236 4357 8 035 3 109 4*138 7 183 7 200 4357 3582 5 078 9 184 7*168 7 178 7 184 3582 2889 7 143 12 179 7 169 7 174 7 172 2889 2276 12 178 12*176 7 170 7 171 8 163 2276 1764 12 179 10*170 7 169 7 170 8 157 1764 1372 10 169 8 165 7 169 6 168 8 151 1372 1101 8 156 7 164 7 168 6 167 8 147 1101 938 5*121 6 165 6 169 6 167 7 140 938 844 3*101 5 165 5 169 5 166 4*135 844 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography