DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 94.8 - - 93.8 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 440 - - 243 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3124 - - 8206 - - 6247 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5441 - - 9583 - - 7724 - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6527 - - 11609 - - 9650 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2481 - - 2584 - - 4531 - - 3248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 415 - - 635 - - 476 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 268 - - 355 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 12 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8974 - - -5936 - - -7687 - - -9629 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15502 - - 17546 - - 17338 - - 13188 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14209 - - -9640 - - -11659 - - -15453 ODpotential blCL - - - 20736 - - 21249 - - 21309 - - 19012 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 46 - - 37 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 94.8 - - 93.8 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 29.2 - - 29.3 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 91.9 - - 91.9 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 29.2 - - 29.3 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 440 - - 243 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3124 - - 8206 - - 6247 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99795 25 118 21 103 24 100 26 108 99795 92262 30 121 22 108 24 113 22 083 92262 86450 23 102 25 116 20 116 18 095 86450 81624 18 113 23 110 19 103 19 117 81624 77456 21 132 14 114 15 097 18 106 77456 73766 21 123 14 130 9 113 12 088 73766 70438 15 096 15 134 9 120 8 094 70438 67393 10 079 15 126 13 138 9 117 67393 64583 8 108 12 130 12 152 7 145 64583 61868 7 163 8 172 5 157 8 156 61868 59045 10 207 11 215 8 250 7 225 59045 56137 14 220 18 229 16 243 14 236 56137 53384 15 249 20 229 21 239 21 244 53384 50928 22 269 23 240 29 245 30 250 50928 48741 26 268 25 249 34 247 34 250 48741 46758 26 260 28 257 33 252 34 253 46758 44933 26 258 31 258 33 254 37 256 44933 43232 31 261 35 261 36 258 41 254 43232 41635 37 260 42 263 42 261 44 254 41635 40129 42 258 48 263 47 259 47 256 40129 38712 43 258 52 262 48 258 50 257 38712 37354 44 261 51 262 48 259 51 257 37354 35991 45 263 46 263 47 261 49 260 35991 34589 47 260 47 263 45 262 48 264 34589 33154 47 257 48 262 40 263 41 263 33154 31672 42 259 44 262 37 259 36 258 31672 30132 36 260 38 262 34 258 34 256 30132 28534 33 260 33 258 30 256 33 254 28534 26877 30 258 31 251 31 253 33 252 26877 25160 27 255 30 248 32 252 34 252 25160 23386 25 251 27 248 31 252 32 254 23386 21549 22 247 24 250 28 251 29 256 21549 19641 19 245 21 249 25 250 26 257 19641 17700 17 243 20 244 24 244 24 255 17700 15832 16 241 21 236 24 233 23 246 15832 14133 17 241 20 229 20 222 24 228 14133 12617 19 242 16*229 16 228 20 212 12617 11262 20 242 14*233 11 246 12 230 11262 10048 19 242 13 238 8*277 6 252 10048 8959 17 243 11 249 7*310 4 299 8959 7986 14 243 9 260 9 338 7 346 7986 7121 11*245 7 276 12 352 10 356 7121 6349 8*251 7 292 14 358 13 357 6349 5652 6 261 7 304 15 000 16 354 5652 5031 4 287 7 313 15 001 18 352 5031 4510 4 297 7 319 15 003 18 349 4510 4106 3 305 7 323 15 003 18 348 4106 3827 3 312 7 324 15 003 16 348 3827 3657 3 313 7 326 14 004 13 347 3657 3559 3 316 7 326 13 004 8*347 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography