DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 79.3 - - 81.0 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 513 - - 308 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4563 - - 6684 - - 7839 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6647 - - 8416 - - 9108 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7966 - - 10087 - - 11242 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1156 - - 1087 - - 828 - - 5921 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 515 - - 624 - - 556 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 17 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 050 - - 048 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 3 - - 11 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4761 - - -5490 - - -4868 - - -9593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12728 - - 15578 - - 16111 - - 13152 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12442 - - -11667 - - -10877 - - -16517 ODpotential blCL - - - 20408 - - 21754 - - 22119 - - 20075 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 43 - - 46 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 79.3 - - 81.0 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 22.8 - - 22.1 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 76.2 - - 78.8 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 22.3 - - 21.7 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 513 - - 308 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4563 - - 6684 - - 7839 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99104 30 111 33 103 30 098 24 113 99104 91553 35 112 22 104 25 094 31 092 91553 85766 28 102 23 111 22 099 27 090 85766 81002 21 097 20 112 22 096 22 096 81002 76916 14 102 19 109 17 087 22 086 76916 73307 17 114 16 095 15 088 14 071 73307 70042 16 097 13 091 11 069 14 061 70042 67038 12 086 10 092 6 063 12 037 67038 64249 7 058 8 061 8 078 5 027 64249 61537 6 040 4 339 9 359 11 024 61537 58702 11 347 9 334 12 321 15 337 58702 55760 15 324 14 330 14 314 15 307 55760 52949 22 312 22 322 22 325 16 315 52949 50420 25 311 26 307 28 312 22 319 50420 48155 28 317 28 304 31 305 27 314 48155 46104 29 319 27 308 31 301 30 312 46104 44238 29 320 26 322 28 312 28 318 44238 42536 28 317 27 332 27 329 26 334 42536 40975 25 321 26 339 27 334 27 342 40975 39529 22 324 23 347 27 334 27 343 39529 38175 18 322 20 355 25 336 27 340 38175 36872 16 329 19 002 22 342 25 340 36872 35553 16 334 19 006 21 346 21 345 35553 34191 16 337 17 011 21 352 17 015 34191 32790 16 343 15 016 20 355 19 031 32790 31334 17 347 15 016 18 355 17 026 31334 29812 18 349 18 014 16 357 15 020 29812 28226 18 351 17 010 14 358 13 021 28226 26576 17 347 15 003 14 353 11 022 26576 24864 16 339 15 354 16 348 8 033 24864 23093 16 332 15 349 16 345 8 031 23093 21259 17 334 14 345 15 342 9 005 21259 19360 16 345 14 345 12 344 12 354 19360 17433 14 358 12 349 9 348 11 349 17433 15581 11 009 10 352 8 360 9 353 15581 13900 10 021 7 359 5 008 8 004 13900 12405 9 034 3 020 4*094 3 336 12405 11075 9 056 6*089 8*078 5 158 11075 9889 10 076 7*076 8 075 5 124 9889 8827 10*087 7 072 9 067 8 079 8827 7878 8*083 7 064 10 051 12 065 7878 7034 8 081 7 054 10 044 17 058 7034 6282 7 075 7 048 11 039 20 053 6282 5602 6 069 7 040 11 036 20 051 5602 4996 6 063 7 034 12 033 20 049 4996 4487 5 056 7 029 12 030 20 047 4487 4093 5 050 7 027 12 029 20 046 4093 3820 5 047 7 025 12 028 18 044 3820 3654 5 047 7 024 11 027 16 043 3654 3558 5 045 6 023 10 027 12*041 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography