DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 63.3 - - 63.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 314 - - 126 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1663 - - 3924 - - 3055 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4014 - - 6041 - - 4974 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5066 - - 7327 - - 6458 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1190 - - 1829 - - 1823 - - 1002 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 443 - - 301 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 311 - - 324 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -100 - - -1069 - - -2634 - - -1531 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5166 - - 8397 - - 9093 - - 5088 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3201 - - -4228 - - -7191 - - -7874 ODpotential blCL - - - 8267 - - 11555 - - 13649 - - 11431 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 66 - - 51 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 63.3 - - 63.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 39.0 - - 36.4 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 61.2 - - 62.5 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 38.9 - - 36.3 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 314 - - 126 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1663 - - 3924 - - 3055 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96331 12 087 19 055 22 075 30 080 96331 89199 9 040 11 051 17 045 14 058 89199 83713 15 015 11 054 11 012 12 033 83713 79141 21 008 5 060 4 334 11 034 79141 75180 26 346 11 008 14 346 17 356 75180 71685 15 334 15 331 7 329 9 002 71685 68511 14 317 16 348 21 339 26 348 68511 65606 19 341 27 341 31 333 26 332 65606 62928 28 345 19 325 25 325 21 342 62928 60309 21 343 11 281 18 003 26 358 60309 57578 11 017 25 002 32 352 29 340 57578 54773 37 019 44 352 33 351 31 343 54773 52098 50 001 34 337 38 341 34 341 52098 49671 37 356 24 332 37 327 31 335 49671 47481 24 019 31 338 39 335 32 338 47481 45498 34 013 44 347 47 342 43 333 45498 43706 63 356 58 348 49 338 50 325 43706 42069 68 354 60 347 46 340 49 324 42069 40547 65 354 57 347 49 341 51 326 40547 39119 59 354 57 347 52 339 54 327 39119 37773 57 356 56 345 54 337 55 326 37773 36473 58 358 54 342 54 335 55 326 36473 35157 57 360 52 341 54 334 55 326 35157 33796 55 001 51 341 52 332 55 326 33796 32395 56 002 52 341 51 332 54 326 32395 30943 58 001 54 342 52 332 55 328 30943 29431 58 000 59 342 58 334 58 330 29431 27861 55 001 63 343 64 336 58 331 27861 26231 49 002 61 345 63 337 56 331 26231 24542 42 004 52 347 57 337 52 331 24542 22800 38 005 42 350 49 341 47 333 22800 21001 34 002 33 352 40 351 37 337 21001 19138 35 001 28 354 29 356 26 334 19138 17244 41 000 29 352 20 345 21 320 17244 15418 45 360 33 348 22 334 21 314 15418 13753 44 001 34 348 25 337 22 320 13753 12270 38 002 31 352 25 342 24 326 12270 10949 30 002 25 353 22 346 23 330 10949 9769 19 001 17 349 19 348 21 331 9769 8718 11 000 10 333 15 343 17 328 8718 7782 9 352 7*306 10 322 12 323 7782 6953 11 344 7*304 10*316 10 318 6953 6215 12 336 7 306 10*318 10 316 6215 5549 10*325 7 310 11 321 10 321 5549 4956 6*312 7 311 11 324 10 329 4956 4459 4 299 6 314 11 326 11 343 4459 4076 4 300 6 315 11 327 11 356 4076 3811 3 298 6 317 11 328 10 001 3811 3650 3 298 6 317 10 328 8 004 3650 3557 3 298 6 317 9 328 4*007 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography