DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 79.8 - - - - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 458 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2273 - - 5551 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4817 - - 7461 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5676 - - 8954 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1340 - - 3873 - - - - - 2962 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 380 - - 565 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 026 - - 311 - - - - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -15 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3931 - - -3413 - - - - - -4742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9607 - - 12368 - - - - - 8301 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7912 - - -5578 - - - - - -8673 ODpotential blCL - - - 13588 - - 14532 - - - - - 12231 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 56 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 79.8 - - - - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.5 - - 37.5 - - - - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 76.9 - - - - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 37.4 - - - - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 458 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2273 - - 5551 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99328 10 122 14 078 9 064 99328 91819 16 124 10 087 10 159 91819 86022 17 112 9 116 10 095 86022 81212 15 101 8 134 13 057 81212 77075 10 122 7 081 8 044 77075 73439 11 105 3 092 7 086 73439 70145 4 038 2 078 4 084 70145 67117 2 217 5 240 7 021 67117 64306 4 110 9 172 11 324 64306 61576 9 288 10 241 12 239 61576 58708 15 265 18 260 19 255 58708 55706 26 251 30 256 32 256 55706 52850 33 252 36 251 39 258 52850 50306 42 255 44 246 44 256 50306 48041 52 250 50 243 49 254 48041 45989 57 243 55 245 53 253 45989 44112 60 240 60 248 57 254 44112 42385 58 242 62 248 58 252 42385 40790 54 244 63 245 57 249 40790 39309 52 246 63 240 53 248 39309 37928 50 248 59 240 50 248 37928 36604 48 249 55 244 48 248 36604 35269 47 250 51 248 48 247 35269 33894 47 250 47 250 47 246 33894 32484 49 249 45 251 44 246 32484 31025 51 247 44 250 41 248 31025 29506 50 246 45 247 39 250 29506 27925 48 248 47 246 39 251 27925 26284 43 249 46 248 38 250 26284 24588 39 250 43 252 37 249 24588 22841 38 249 40 255 33 249 22841 21038 38 244 34 256 29 248 21038 19173 37 240 34 251 29 247 19173 17283 35 239 38 246 30 245 17283 15470 33 239 38 241 33 241 15470 13822 30 238 33 235 35 238 13822 12350 26 238 24 223 32 237 12350 11033 23 235 19 219 25 238 11033 9853 20 226 15*223 18 244 9853 8796 18 216 10*232 13 254 8796 7851 15 210 7 245 11 269 7851 7011 12 203 5 269 11 289 7011 6262 8*194 5 326 13 309 6262 5587 1*148 7 341 15 324 5587 4985 2 033 8 344 17 333 4985 4479 2 025 8 347 18 338 4479 4088 2 018 8 348 18 342 4088 3817 3 015 8 349 16 344 3817 3653 3 014 8 349 13*345 3653 3558 3 013 8 350 9*347 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography