DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 71.0 - - 80.6 - - 81.3 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 91 - - 389 - - 505 - - 308 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 730 - - 2585 - - 4527 - - 4312 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 5088 - - 6679 - - 6336 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 4133 - - 5988 - - 7930 - - 7715 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 657 - - 988 - - 2666 - - 3169 - - 4968 Hgt.Variab. W* 168 - - 414 - - 545 - - 456 - - 15 W* B/S 12 - - 42 - - 19 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 309 - - 074 - - 347 - - 359 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -13 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2841 - - -5757 - - -6108 - - -5237 - - -8049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6975 - - 11746 - - 14039 - - 12953 - - 11608 sfcLCL ODpotential -11962 - - -11600 - - -9760 - - -8542 - - -12569 ODpotential blCL 16095 - - 17588 - - 17690 - - 16257 - - 16128 blCL maxRH 55 - - 51 - - 66 - - 56 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 71.0 - - 80.6 - - 81.3 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 32.0 - - 31.0 - - 36.5 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.8 - - 68.5 - - 77.4 - - 79.0 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.7 - - 31.9 - - 30.9 - - 36.5 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 91 - - 389 - - 505 - - 308 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 730 - - 2585 - - 4527 - - 4312 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99442 30 107 21 100 22 093 30 100 28 105 99442 92003 26 107 18 100 20 092 20 094 22 091 92003 86250 27 100 19 122 14 095 15 082 21 083 86250 81453 20 080 19 114 15 113 8 097 14 073 81453 77309 15 079 15 105 11 112 9 090 12 081 77309 73636 14 096 9 122 8 104 7 075 12 091 73636 70310 9 085 11 109 10 140 3 090 5 101 70310 67262 6 106 6 099 8 138 5 120 3 173 67262 64454 3 081 4 046 1 001 6 048 2 101 64454 61742 3 340 1 231 5 253 6 288 5 280 61742 58905 12 287 8 274 9 272 12 262 14 260 58905 55949 21 261 21 258 23 264 22 271 21 268 55949 53124 26 265 28 263 31 258 34 265 33 270 53124 50588 35 273 36 267 38 263 41 263 42 263 50588 48314 41 270 42 268 45 267 46 265 44 261 48314 46246 46 269 53 268 53 268 52 265 48 264 46246 44345 54 268 59 266 60 266 59 263 53 266 44345 42590 59 267 58 265 60 264 61 261 54 265 42590 40964 59 264 55 262 54 262 55 259 50 265 40964 39453 55 259 53 258 50 259 50 258 45 265 39453 38046 48 258 52 255 50 254 46 257 39 265 38046 36706 42 259 49 255 49 252 42 256 32 268 36706 35364 39 258 45 255 45 250 38 256 27 271 35364 33985 37 258 40 256 40 252 35 255 23 274 33985 32572 36 262 37 258 35 255 30 257 19 277 32572 31110 33 264 33 260 29 258 25 258 16 274 31110 29591 30 265 29 263 24 260 21 258 15 268 29591 28016 27 266 26 262 22 260 19 259 16 258 28016 26385 25 264 25 259 22 260 19 259 16 254 26385 24697 24 263 24 257 22 260 18 258 15 257 24697 22956 22 263 22 256 20 260 18 257 14 261 22956 21155 20 263 20 255 19 256 17 256 14 263 21155 19289 18 261 18 252 18 251 19 257 18 261 19289 17392 16 262 16 249 18 246 22 255 24 256 17392 15566 16 262 15 250 19 244 26 250 28 250 15566 13904 18 258 16 252 21 243 28 242 31 245 13904 12421 20 255 17 253 22 238 23 232 30 243 12421 11095 21 252 18 253 20 226 19 235 25 242 11095 9905 20 248 19 250 15 217 15 244 17 247 9905 8841 16 237 17 244 9*216 8 274 10 268 8841 7890 12 212 13 230 4*230 7*330 7 315 7890 7044 10 178 9 202 2 315 8*336 9 336 7044 6290 8 148 4*160 4 347 11 355 10 350 6290 5609 8 131 2*123 6 353 12 360 12 002 5609 5001 7 126 2 093 7 354 13 001 13 005 5001 4490 2*114 2 070 8 354 13 002 13 006 4490 4095 2*311 2 052 8 355 13 002 13 007 4095 3821 2 309 2 044 8 355 13 003 12 006 3821 3654 2 308 2 037 8 355 12 003 10*006 3654 3559 2 310 2 036 7 355 11 003 8*005 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography