DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 49.3 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 267 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2858 - - 5049 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5041 - - 6841 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 6261 - - 8452 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2432 - - 1427 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 457 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 015 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 4 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -127 - - -71 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6388 - - 8523 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1261 - - -832 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 7522 - - 9284 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 89 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 49.3 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 24.3 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 47.4 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 24.3 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 267 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2858 - - 5049 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 54 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97559 20 324 13 335 97559 90355 13 005 10 350 90355 84753 2 013 8 343 84753 80110 9 127 3 191 80110 76125 3 138 4 170 76125 72598 2 294 6 177 72598 69392 8 284 2 203 69392 66438 8 252 10 269 66438 63692 6 203 11 240 63692 61009 5 268 9 192 61009 58195 10 220 9 236 58195 55281 10 203 13 247 55281 52501 5 244 7 237 52501 49980 8 317 4 248 49980 47701 10 320 7 277 47701 45616 14 314 12 302 45616 43698 18 305 15 330 43698 41926 19 307 25 004 41926 40278 19 313 32 003 40278 38740 17 325 35 002 38740 37302 24 360 38 007 37302 35931 39 015 47 015 35931 34562 54 018 59 016 34562 33165 64 018 69 016 33165 31744 71 017 79 018 31744 30284 76 016 86 018 30284 28770 80 016 89 018 28770 27198 84 016 88 018 27198 25569 86 014 88 018 25569 23889 89 012 88 018 23889 22160 90 016 87 020 22160 20380 84 019 77 021 20380 18552 69 022 62 020 18552 16710 57 031 53 025 16710 14947 46 038 45 031 14947 13347 38 045 36 035 13347 11929 34 048 30 038 11929 10669 29 044 25 035 10669 9545 24 036 20 026 9545 8543 21 031 13*015 8543 7648 18 029 12*013 7648 6850 15*029 11 013 6850 6139 11*027 11 014 6139 5495 9 022 10 015 5495 4921 7 014 10 017 4921 4438 6 011 9 018 4438 4064 5 008 9 019 4064 3805 5 007 9 019 3805 3647 5 009 8 019 3647 3557 5 007 8 019 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography