DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.1 - - 81.8 - - 89.5 - - - - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 326 - - 491 - - - - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 458 - - 3583 - - 11317 - - - - - 1657 BL Depth Hcrit 3542 - - 5795 - - 12187 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 3861 - - 6986 - - 14720 - - - - - 5060 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 973 - - 4751 - - 1818 - - - - - 4008 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 436 - - 733 - - - - - 132 W* B/S 4 - - 19 - - 19 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 19 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 173 - - 225 - - - - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -5 - - 17 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5713 - - -6181 - - -61 - - - - - -6004 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9574 - - 13167 - - 14782 - - - - - 11064 sfcLCL ODpotential -10161 - - -8298 - - -832 - - - - - -8029 ODpotential blCL 14022 - - 15284 - - 15552 - - - - - 13089 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 69 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m 69.1 - - 81.8 - - 89.5 - - - - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 36.2 - - 36.4 - - - - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.5 - - 79.5 - - 86.4 - - - - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 36.1 - - 36.3 - - - - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 326 - - 491 - - - - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 458 - - 3583 - - 11317 - - - - - 1657 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 84 - - 0 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99830 49 115 32 105 41 110 37 097 99830 92248 38 106 30 114 35 112 29 103 92248 86424 34 100 30 117 26 118 27 111 86424 81601 29 083 25 119 17 122 28 105 81601 77450 20 089 26 123 16 131 22 103 77450 73777 16 097 20 104 20 132 18 114 73777 70457 14 130 12 121 19 117 14 120 70457 67417 17 134 11 139 14 140 14 122 67417 64593 13 116 15 144 16 151 6 140 64593 61854 9 157 14 152 14 168 14 175 61854 59003 12 216 10 174 14 175 20 173 59003 56060 25 207 21 206 14 203 18 177 56060 53259 29 201 35 200 31 206 19 217 53259 50743 37 201 43 198 44 202 39 225 50743 48500 42 204 49 201 51 200 58 207 48500 46466 47 215 56 208 56 199 50 204 46466 44595 64 222 67 211 60 201 65 220 44595 42869 78 218 73 211 71 209 84 213 42869 41269 82 213 76 211 81 210 85 202 41269 39772 76 211 71 210 75 207 79 199 39772 38366 71 212 66 210 69 209 79 202 38366 37017 70 210 64 208 69 209 81 203 37017 35658 68 208 62 206 65 206 81 205 35658 34260 62 204 57 203 63 204 79 206 34260 32826 62 201 50 202 59 206 79 209 32826 31347 62 200 46 204 56 209 77 212 31347 29812 58 200 47 207 55 212 69 216 29812 28224 55 198 49 209 52 214 54 213 28224 26583 53 200 46 209 46 213 46 204 26583 24887 44 207 40 203 37 212 40 203 24887 23134 26 205 37 209 34 210 31 206 23134 21322 25 201 33 216 33 211 25 209 21322 19452 23 204 28 221 30 222 18 198 19452 17559 20 218 22 235 26 239 14 189 17559 15733 19 242 18 254 19*253 11 192 15733 14064 18 252 17 256 11*241 8 193 14064 12569 16 254 16 251 10 238 5 196 12569 11228 12 256 15 242 9 234 2 214 11228 10023 9 259 13 231 8 229 2 328 10023 8941 4 258 11 223 7 223 5 356 8941 7972 2 121 8 210 6 218 9 358 7972 7110 5 093 6*187 6 214 12 357 7110 6340 6 101 5*180 5 210 15 354 6340 5646 6 104 5 175 5 207 19*349 5646 5026 3 094 4 174 5 202 20*347 5026 4506 4 312 4 170 5 200 20 348 4506 4104 6*310 3 167 5 197 20 348 4104 3826 5*310 3 168 4 197 19 348 3826 3656 5 310 3 166 4 196 17 348 3656 3559 4 310 3 165 4 196 12 349 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography