DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 80.2 - - 79.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 477 - - 281 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2866 - - 6200 - - 5177 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5286 - - 7995 - - 6961 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6269 - - 9603 - - 8580 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1761 - - 4531 - - 4440 - - 5327 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 421 - - 593 - - 468 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 24 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 310 - - 343 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -10 - - 8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1364 - - -661 - - -745 - - -3737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7633 - - 10265 - - 9325 - - 7297 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3526 - - -1328 - - -1735 - - -5804 ODpotential blCL - - - 9795 - - 10931 - - 10315 - - 9363 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 78 - - 75 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 740 - - 490 - - 760 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 80.2 - - 79.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 47.3 - - 50.3 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 77.3 - - 76.9 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 47.2 - - 50.3 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 477 - - 281 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2866 - - 6200 - - 5177 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - 1 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99680 20 119 17 099 22 108 24 096 99680 92216 18 133 5 111 17 113 19 101 92216 86403 16 116 11 146 7 120 12 095 86403 81545 11 103 18 120 11 153 4 109 81545 77370 11 122 11 107 7 126 7 136 77370 73691 14 133 7 127 3 170 5 097 73691 70371 12 141 6 148 4 148 4 145 70371 67322 8 156 11 173 4 269 3 096 67322 64486 10 214 14 204 11 239 8 275 64486 61734 12 218 18 219 19 222 17 233 61734 58855 15 236 16 226 17 224 16 218 58855 55852 20 240 19 230 20 241 19 236 55852 52989 22 239 22 228 22 239 24 237 52989 50423 25 233 24 235 24 235 22 236 50423 48132 25 230 29 240 27 238 27 237 48132 46067 25 234 32 241 32 239 29 235 46067 44191 28 244 32 249 31 244 33 235 44191 42482 29 261 36 260 37 253 36 232 42482 40913 29 276 41 268 42 254 39 234 40913 39456 32 285 44 269 44 256 40 235 39456 38092 31 292 42 271 43 256 38 237 38092 36779 30 303 38 272 41 255 36 240 36779 35451 29 309 34 274 37 255 35 243 35451 34080 25 311 32 273 34 257 35 246 34080 32671 19 310 30 270 31 258 34 246 32671 31209 13 296 25 267 29 258 31 247 31209 29688 10 268 22 265 27 258 29 246 29688 28106 12 256 21 261 24 255 27 245 28106 26464 13 255 18 257 20 251 25 246 26464 24766 13 242 17 247 18 247 22 243 24766 23016 16 223 17 240 18 243 20 240 23016 21207 20 216 16 236 18 239 19 237 21207 19334 22 215 17 231 18 237 18 235 19334 17434 23 211 19 230 16 227 17 227 17434 15605 23 205 20 225 18 219 18 215 15605 13939 22 199 19 219 18 208 19 200 13939 12453 21 193 18 219 15 205 17 191 12453 11122 20 189 15 223 10 206 9 192 11122 9929 17 194 12*229 4 230 2 216 9929 8859 14 211 9*238 5*327 6 356 8859 7905 12 233 5 260 6*334 12 358 7905 7056 8 246 4 301 11 343 15 355 7056 6299 4*293 5 322 13 344 17 350 6299 5615 4*308 5 330 14 343 18 347 5615 5005 4 314 6 337 14 343 19 344 5005 4492 4 317 6 340 15 343 19 343 4492 4096 4 320 6 342 15 343 18 342 4096 3822 4 322 6 342 15 343 17 341 3822 3654 4 321 6 344 14 342 14*341 3654 3559 4 322 6 344 12 342 10*341 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography