DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 84.3 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 516 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2664 - - 4629 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5155 - - 6767 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6067 - - 8032 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1138 - - 2106 - - - - - 5028 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 422 - - 553 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 44 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 348 - - - - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6807 - - -6424 - - - - - -12211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12874 - - 14457 - - - - - 15770 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11873 - - -9606 - - - - - -16688 ODpotential blCL - - - 17940 - - 17638 - - - - - 20247 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 87 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 84.3 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 32.9 - - - - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.4 - - 81.1 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 32.8 - - - - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 516 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2664 - - 4629 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 47 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99494 34 105 29 100 34 109 99494 91954 33 110 20 104 32 100 91954 86161 24 111 20 108 26 083 86161 81368 27 106 18 112 17 077 81368 77248 20 099 20 113 14 086 77248 73611 13 106 15 102 12 088 73611 70315 12 127 8 096 10 087 70315 67276 5 124 4 293 5 079 67276 64453 5 206 11 260 5 344 64453 61712 4 262 11 246 9 294 61712 58846 15 275 15 251 18 269 58846 55887 27 269 23 256 27 260 55887 53074 39 262 35 253 35 263 53074 50537 45 257 43 249 42 258 50537 48252 49 254 43 251 43 251 48252 46177 51 251 43 255 41 245 46177 44288 50 252 44 253 39 242 44288 42560 51 251 43 252 34 241 42560 40968 48 248 42 250 30 243 40968 39494 46 246 44 247 28 244 39494 38119 47 247 45 248 24 247 38119 36804 47 245 41 249 24 245 36804 35481 44 241 41 247 27 234 35481 34118 42 242 41 245 31 228 34118 32716 37 244 38 248 32 233 32716 31262 33 243 34 255 25 239 31262 29743 33 247 30 259 20 236 29743 28164 31 257 26 253 20 221 28164 26526 26 259 23 248 20 228 26526 24834 22 254 22 246 18 238 24834 23087 19 252 22 245 19 245 23087 21280 20 251 22 245 21 245 21280 19406 23 251 23 247 25 240 19406 17500 27 253 25 251 25 240 17500 15661 29 255 27 247 21 245 15661 13985 25 258 26 242 13 234 13985 12489 21 261 24 240 9 207 12489 11151 16 260 20 237 8 194 11151 9952 12 252 15 237 7 189 9952 8879 10 242 9*250 3 167 8879 7920 9 235 5*300 5 057 7920 7068 6 229 5 320 8 044 7068 6309 1*252 7 347 12 032 6309 5623 1*350 9 354 14 025 5623 5011 1 357 9 356 15 022 5011 4497 2 357 10 358 16 020 4497 4099 2 356 10 359 16 019 4099 3823 2 355 10 360 15 017 3823 3655 2 354 10 359 13*017 3655 3559 2 356 9 360 10*015 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography