DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 53.6 - - 54.1 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 114 - - 49 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2140 - - 2516 - - 2257 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4369 - - 4622 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5543 - - 5919 - - 5660 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1730 - - 2139 - - 2562 - - 3321 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 287 - - 211 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 339 - - 338 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1155 - - 1473 - - 1406 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4389 - - 4447 - - 4254 - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 70 - - 486 - - 273 - - -1016 ODpotential blCL - - - 5473 - - 5433 - - 5387 - - 4573 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 99 - - 95 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 420 - - 480 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 53.6 - - 54.1 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 46.3 - - 47.6 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 52.5 - - 53.5 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 45.1 - - 46.5 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 114 - - 49 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2140 - - 2516 - - 2257 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 96 - - 81 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98845 6 121 3 351 12 324 16 011 98845 91480 5 085 8 019 12 352 6 346 91480 85794 14 065 8 017 13 037 5 065 85794 81067 12 062 4 032 10 054 10 056 81067 76991 9 061 4 095 6 056 8 061 76991 73367 6 039 6 101 2 150 6 034 73367 70065 3 320 3 103 5 197 4 327 70065 67019 6 269 2 154 4 180 3 263 67019 64185 13 223 10 232 8 232 7 245 64185 61429 9 197 15 223 15 231 15 241 61429 58546 13 240 15 232 16 236 17 241 58546 55551 19 234 18 252 18 265 18 271 55551 52689 17 241 19 261 24 272 24 279 52689 50116 16 253 19 265 24 277 28 280 50116 47815 14 263 17 273 22 284 29 287 47815 45731 16 265 18 283 23 292 35 299 45731 43823 15 263 20 286 26 303 38 306 43823 42054 18 266 19 289 29 307 43 309 42054 40403 20 261 16 294 29 308 45 310 40403 38858 15 254 13 295 28 313 45 310 38858 37411 11 253 12 283 29 317 42 318 37411 36028 14 243 10 285 28 318 47 330 36028 34644 16 228 12 307 27 324 55 335 34644 33232 17 223 11 301 18 324 56 338 33232 31797 22 213 10 302 18 354 57 344 31797 30327 30 214 9 278 23 355 52 347 30327 28814 41 217 9 251 17 345 49 351 28814 27260 49 215 13 218 10 037 48 355 27260 25661 45 214 23 204 14 039 44 359 25661 24019 34 214 24 199 14 028 34 001 24019 22329 28 206 14 206 12 038 27 009 22329 20581 24 194 13 209 9 048 25 015 20581 18765 23 190 9 206 6 038 23 018 18765 16918 24 200 6 226 4 010 16 023 16918 15141 20 215 3 274 5 352 13 357 15141 13527 16 224 4 279 3 326 13 335 13527 12092 15 227 10 242 4 297 12 348 12092 10810 15 239 14 239 6 294 12 339 10810 9663 14 254 14 250 8 287 13 323 9663 8636 14 270 12 266 9 290 14 314 8636 7719 14 281 10 282 9 300 15 310 7719 6905 12 286 9 296 9 310 15 313 6905 6180 9*289 8*312 9*316 14 319 6180 5525 5*287 8*332 9*327 14 326 5525 4941 3 284 9 337 8 337 13 329 4941 4450 3 283 9 340 8 339 11 336 4450 4071 3 282 9 341 8 340 10 343 4071 3809 2 283 9 342 8 341 8 350 3809 3649 2 282 8 342 7 341 6*353 3649 3557 2 282 8 342 7 342 3*353 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography