DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.2 - - 79.8 - - 84.8 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 80 - - 441 - - 559 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 826 - - 5668 - - 7108 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 3542 - - 7541 - - 8794 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 4229 - - 9071 - - 10511 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2067 - - 1700 - - 2043 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 167 - - 562 - - 655 - - - - - - W* B/S 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 4 - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 180 - - 234 - - 245 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -11 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1974 - - -4396 - - -3881 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6204 - - 13468 - - 14392 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -5456 - - -9811 - - -8365 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 9685 - - 18882 - - 18876 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 63 - - 36 - - 36 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 68.2 - - 79.8 - - 84.8 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.1 - - 32.8 - - 33.4 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 77.0 - - 81.5 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.0 - - 32.7 - - 33.4 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 80 - - 441 - - 559 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 826 - - 5668 - - 7108 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99628 32 109 30 095 32 105 99628 92092 30 098 26 099 28 111 92092 86310 26 102 19 104 23 100 86310 81510 23 096 22 113 17 108 81510 77368 19 092 19 121 15 125 77368 73713 12 093 15 113 9 138 73713 70406 12 137 9 123 6 137 70406 67364 8 128 10 145 7 168 67364 64543 8 162 10 171 7 180 64543 61819 4 196 10 175 20 191 61819 59006 19 230 13 217 15 193 59006 56091 23 220 22 222 20 233 56091 53295 31 217 37 218 45 225 53295 50776 43 226 48 224 58 226 50776 48524 56 232 63 231 71 232 48524 46488 70 240 79 237 84 235 46488 44626 86 241 91 239 95 236 44626 42903 95 237 100 237 101 236 42903 41297 99 233 103 235 103 236 41297 39794 102 232 104 234 102 236 39794 38386 106 233 104 235 102 235 38386 37038 105 233 101 235 99 234 37038 35683 98 234 93 234 93 234 35683 34291 90 234 87 235 88 235 34291 32860 86 234 84 236 85 237 32860 31378 84 234 83 236 85 237 31378 29833 81 234 81 235 84 236 29833 28229 77 233 79 234 80 235 28229 26567 73 232 76 232 76 234 26567 24851 70 232 73 232 71 235 24851 23084 68 231 70 232 66 235 23084 21261 64 230 65 232 61 235 21261 19375 60 231 61 232 56 235 19375 17461 56 232 57 232 53 235 17461 15621 52 232 54 232 51 235 15621 13948 47 230 50 231 47 233 13948 12461 43 228 47 230 39 230 12461 11134 38 227 41 229 28*229 11134 9945 32 226 30*227 21*233 9945 8878 25 222 21*225 20 236 8878 7924 20 219 18 227 20 240 7924 7074 16 218 17 230 19 244 7074 6315 13 219 16 234 19 248 6315 5628 10 219 15 237 19 250 5628 5015 8 209 15 240 19 252 5015 4500 6*189 14 243 18 254 4500 4100 4*178 14 245 18 255 4100 3825 4 179 14 246 18 256 3825 3656 3 180 13 247 17 256 3656 3559 3 181 12 247 15 256 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography