DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 65.0 - - 72.3 - - 70.9 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 295 - - 428 - - 220 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2554 - - 8975 - - 7826 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 4982 - - 10194 - - 8897 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 5957 - - 12378 - - 11229 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 139 - - 2734 - - 2584 - - 3966 - - 2486 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 376 - - 648 - - 496 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 62 - - 21 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 280 - - 307 - - 326 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -4 - - 9 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1798 - - -3786 - - 175 - - -61 - - -3171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5355 - - 9744 - - 12204 - - 11291 - - 6729 sfcLCL ODpotential -7228 - - -5674 - - -1348 - - -765 - - -6073 ODpotential blCL 10785 - - 11631 - - 13726 - - 11994 - - 9631 blCL maxRH 86 - - 70 - - 79 - - 76 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 130 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 65.0 - - 72.3 - - 70.9 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 34.6 - - 30.6 - - 33.5 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 63.0 - - 69.6 - - 69.2 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.2 - - 34.5 - - 30.4 - - 33.4 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 295 - - 428 - - 220 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2554 - - 8975 - - 7826 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 0 - - 16 - - 3 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96364 13 292 12 304 22 283 28 314 14 320 96364 89173 15 326 15 290 25 294 32 308 28 326 89173 83711 21 316 15 308 20 302 26 304 31 313 83711 79213 25 307 22 314 24 306 25 303 29 315 79213 75315 24 307 26 310 30 296 30 299 31 317 75315 71836 24 310 27 307 31 291 32 303 33 311 71836 68652 31 298 26 305 31 291 34 301 33 301 68652 65696 36 291 30 303 32 288 34 295 34 294 65696 62935 39 289 32 299 31 288 34 295 36 290 62935 60242 38 285 35 293 33 292 34 293 36 293 60242 57412 36 281 36 287 36 290 35 298 34 292 57412 54464 36 280 38 280 38 285 37 296 31 294 54464 51655 34 285 38 276 38 287 37 292 34 297 51655 49139 34 289 37 278 40 289 37 295 36 290 49139 46900 33 286 34 275 41 283 39 294 34 292 46900 44879 33 282 33 274 38 279 39 286 36 299 44879 43036 35 281 33 279 37 283 37 281 41 291 43036 41358 35 279 33 283 35 286 32 285 38 284 41358 39826 32 279 34 284 32 289 31 298 34 291 39826 38413 30 279 34 283 31 293 35 302 39 299 38413 37097 29 279 32 285 31 293 36 299 38 302 37097 35833 28 279 30 287 30 295 34 298 37 303 35833 34554 30 276 28 289 28 296 31 295 33 301 34554 33233 32 271 27 293 26 294 28 294 31 298 33233 31871 30 271 24 298 23 292 26 293 31 297 31871 30458 27 277 24 298 22 294 24 290 30 293 30458 28983 23 285 24 287 21 297 23 290 28 287 28983 27447 23 285 22 285 20 291 22 290 26 284 27447 25852 23 280 21 288 20 285 23 283 24 280 25852 24200 21 280 21 285 19 282 23 277 24 275 24200 22497 19 277 20 278 20 277 24 277 24 275 22497 20738 18 269 18 267 21 271 25 275 26 276 20738 18919 15 265 16 261 19 267 25 273 25 273 18919 17073 14 268 15 262 17 266 21 271 22 266 17073 15295 14 268 14 268 14 263 15 261 20 255 15295 13674 12 263 10 271 10*255 11 249 18 244 13674 12225 9 262 6 259 5*261 8*260 14 236 12225 10928 6 263 5 237 5 276 7*272 10 243 10928 9765 3 246 5 221 5 285 7 295 8 262 9765 8723 1 248 5 202 5 299 9 322 7 286 8723 7792 2 334 4 191 6 309 11 328 9 304 7792 6963 4 357 2 193 6 316 13 332 12 314 6963 6225 6 004 1*231 7 320 14 333 14 320 6225 5558 7 007 1*250 7 322 15 334 16 324 5558 4964 5 009 1 270 7 325 15 334 17 327 4964 4466 3 011 1 279 7 327 15 335 18 332 4466 4080 2 261 1 291 7 328 15 335 17 336 4080 3813 5 238 1 295 7 329 15 335 15 339 3813 3651 5*220 1 300 7 329 14 335 12*340 3651 3558 4*210 1 303 7 329 13 335 7*340 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography