DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 64.4 - - 63.6 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 545 - - 339 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3644 - - 5455 - - 5255 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5939 - - 7447 - - 7105 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7047 - - 8858 - - 8658 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1263 - - 2286 - - 2690 - - 4666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 484 - - 595 - - 501 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 14 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 17 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 307 - - 311 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - 25 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4119 - - -3190 - - -2475 - - -3418 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11167 - - 12048 - - 11133 - - 6976 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9404 - - -6561 - - -4716 - - -5159 ODpotential blCL - - - 16451 - - 15419 - - 13374 - - 8716 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 69 - - 55 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 64.4 - - 63.6 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.7 - - 23.6 - - 27.0 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 61.3 - - 61.5 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 23.4 - - 26.9 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 545 - - 339 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3644 - - 5455 - - 5255 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98195 9 158 3 326 9 340 8 024 98195 90748 5 078 4 101 4 305 8 324 90748 85023 4 080 1 194 2 304 5 034 85023 80271 1 127 2 103 1 148 4 053 80271 76178 4 205 3 308 5 019 7 072 76178 72561 8 148 6 232 11 310 8 357 72561 69286 3 017 6 253 10 262 11 307 69286 66276 7 258 6 223 8 263 10 277 66276 63467 12 280 12 276 13 266 14 267 63467 60730 13 255 14 272 20 264 28 266 60730 57901 14 277 18 266 27 273 28 252 57901 54981 23 263 25 266 31 271 25 266 54981 52174 28 263 36 262 39 258 37 273 52174 49632 35 261 41 261 45 255 50 263 49632 47352 43 270 46 265 48 255 55 256 47352 45289 48 271 50 265 47 265 59 265 45289 43410 50 279 56 272 64 277 71 275 43410 41694 62 281 71 271 83 273 86 275 41694 40115 73 282 78 268 91 267 93 273 40115 38647 76 284 80 272 94 268 94 275 38647 37274 72 283 81 274 98 275 98 280 37274 35958 73 285 81 275 100 278 104 282 35958 34634 75 285 82 275 99 276 105 281 34634 33272 76 283 81 276 99 275 103 278 33272 31877 77 282 81 276 98 275 99 276 31877 30436 77 282 81 277 96 276 94 275 30436 28937 76 283 80 277 96 277 91 278 28937 27379 72 284 77 277 96 278 89 283 27379 25767 68 282 75 276 90 280 80 286 25767 24106 66 280 73 274 78 284 69 290 24106 22397 64 281 69 274 69 286 62 292 22397 20630 59 281 59 273 59 283 59 291 20630 18798 48 279 50 271 50 278 54 292 18798 16941 39 274 46 269 44 273 47 292 16941 15159 33 272 42 267 39 273 40 290 15159 13541 28 274 38 263 33 272 34 287 13541 12101 25 275 32 258 27 268 30 287 12101 10817 22 276 24 254 21 267 26 288 10817 9668 20 276 18*257 18 271 23 291 9668 8641 16 274 14*264 17*278 19 292 8641 7724 10*270 11 274 16*290 18 295 7724 6909 5*272 9 288 17 298 18 301 6909 6183 3 286 8 317 18 309 18 307 6183 5528 2 318 8 331 18 314 19 314 5528 4943 3 331 8 337 19 317 19 317 4943 4452 3 341 8 342 19 318 19 318 4452 4072 3 348 9 346 18 320 18 319 4072 3809 3 350 8 347 18 321 17 320 3809 3649 3 353 8 348 17 321 15 320 3649 3557 3 351 8 348 15 321 12*321 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography