DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 63.5 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 457 - - 554 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4808 - - 9397 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6867 - - 10664 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8211 - - 12800 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3150 - - 2138 - - - - - 7454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 537 - - 716 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 334 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 6 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1995 - - -632 - - - - - -5535 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10207 - - 13432 - - - - - 9092 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3625 - - -2321 - - - - - -6920 ODpotential blCL - - - 11836 - - 15121 - - - - - 10477 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 67 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 63.5 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.1 - - 16.3 - - - - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 60.4 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 16.1 - - - - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 457 - - 554 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4808 - - 9397 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98110 15 114 5 056 6 059 98110 90696 7 099 3 153 7 107 90696 84958 4 127 11 121 4 046 84958 80214 5 069 3 096 3 086 80214 76132 4 040 2 172 8 121 76132 72501 3 154 6 199 4 100 72501 69197 4 146 6 230 1 211 69197 66145 3 288 5 218 4 241 66145 63305 6 278 10 298 4 296 63305 60545 8 278 13 295 10 328 60545 57669 9 300 13 292 17 313 57669 54703 13 300 13 312 18 313 54703 51882 16 323 18 320 18 305 51882 49340 22 326 19 316 18 313 49340 47056 27 316 25 313 23 319 47056 44989 31 314 31 316 25 330 44989 43110 32 313 30 323 31 336 43110 41389 30 319 29 328 32 339 41389 39805 29 322 29 338 36 354 39805 38343 25 324 32 343 49 002 38343 36989 21 347 29 345 59 003 36989 35698 23 348 28 339 62 000 35698 34398 21 334 21 331 58 000 34398 33060 17 333 15 338 54 006 33060 31687 14 347 17 341 51 009 31687 30268 15 350 19 344 45 007 30268 28792 17 347 21 346 38 002 28792 27262 18 344 22 349 31 356 27262 25677 20 344 23 352 28 355 25677 24037 22 352 25 352 27 355 24037 22344 26 002 25 355 26 351 22344 20591 26 002 21 358 23 349 20591 18773 21 356 14 356 22 348 18773 16926 17 351 9 350 22 349 16926 15150 16 342 8 329 21 347 15150 13537 16 336 9*318 14 325 13537 12102 15 326 10*317 8 289 12102 10825 14 315 10 319 5 292 10825 9681 12 309 10 323 6 335 9681 8656 10*308 10 328 9 355 8656 7738 8*310 10 333 11 360 7738 6922 7 313 10 338 14 004 6922 6194 6 318 10 341 17 006 6194 5536 6 320 10 344 18 006 5536 4949 6 324 10 347 18 006 4949 4455 6 327 10 349 18 006 4455 4074 6 329 10 351 18 006 4074 3810 6 330 10 352 17 006 3810 3650 5 332 10 352 15 005 3650 3557 5 331 9 352 11*005 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography