DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 38.2 - - 39.0 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 290 - - 104 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1743 - - 3616 - - 3725 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4106 - - 5778 - - 5333 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5146 - - 7019 - - 7128 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1732 - - 1245 - - 1950 - - 2265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 259 - - 421 - - 303 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 246 - - 247 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1159 - - -742 - - -382 - - -2234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6306 - - 7762 - - 7510 - - 5790 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6978 - - -4794 - - -1314 - - -5679 ODpotential blCL - - - 12124 - - 11813 - - 8442 - - 9235 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 72 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 38.2 - - 39.0 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.2 - - 16.6 - - 18.4 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 36.3 - - 37.9 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.8 - - 16.3 - - 18.3 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 290 - - 104 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1743 - - 3616 - - 3725 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96938 18 141 23 110 16 102 21 109 96938 89733 17 133 16 119 15 096 15 111 89733 84118 16 115 12 142 12 097 11 101 84118 79419 14 095 9 142 6 117 11 096 79419 75344 11 053 9 116 9 164 5 097 75344 71725 7 080 4 110 5 150 4 119 71725 68437 4 058 3 179 5 211 2 274 68437 65401 3 241 5 250 3 295 1 228 65401 62571 3 011 6 260 11 276 9 300 62571 59820 10 336 7 314 12 278 12 299 59820 56937 11 325 14 318 14 297 15 297 56937 53933 18 319 22 321 20 312 22 302 53933 51060 23 321 29 319 25 311 26 293 51060 48478 29 320 34 317 27 312 26 291 48478 46169 31 313 36 313 29 310 27 293 46169 44077 31 316 35 309 33 307 27 295 44077 42163 33 319 34 307 37 300 31 298 42163 40401 34 320 34 307 40 296 36 294 40401 38777 36 317 35 305 41 293 37 289 38777 37275 36 311 35 302 41 295 36 292 37275 35887 35 311 34 302 43 296 38 294 35887 34578 34 312 32 302 40 291 40 288 34578 33285 31 313 30 297 34 286 41 278 33285 31982 27 320 25 296 31 289 36 273 31982 30662 27 322 24 301 33 293 35 279 30662 29301 27 323 32 307 35 291 39 280 29301 27881 30 324 40 308 38 286 39 277 27881 26403 32 319 40 308 39 280 39 277 26403 24866 31 314 35 305 34 275 39 277 24866 23278 28 318 30 301 31 276 35 272 23278 21640 26 324 26 297 30 269 31 269 21640 19948 25 328 21 292 26 259 30 262 19948 18198 24 329 19 288 23 257 34 246 18198 16424 21 329 18 283 22 256 33 235 16424 14717 17 326 18 276 22 253 28 235 14717 13163 13 316 18 271 21 247 27 239 13163 11777 10 303 18 266 20 242 26 241 11777 10540 10 293 17 259 18 241 25 241 10540 9435 10 287 15 250 14 240 23 239 9435 8448 11 288 12 243 11 238 18 232 8448 7567 9 290 8*240 10*240 14 225 7567 6784 6 278 8*241 10*242 12 219 6784 6085 4 215 8 243 10 244 12 214 6085 5454 6*193 7 244 10 246 12 207 5454 4891 6*204 7 247 10 247 13 200 4891 4418 6 208 7 248 10 248 12 192 4418 4052 6 210 7 249 10 249 11 182 4052 3799 6 211 7 251 10 250 10 174 3799 3644 5 211 7 251 9 250 7*170 3644 3556 5 212 6 252 8 250 5*168 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography