DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 86.6 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 505 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3171 - - 6849 - - - - - 1667 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5541 - - 8546 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6574 - - 10252 - - - - - 5070 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1790 - - 2634 - - - - - 4462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 446 - - 627 - - - - - 143 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 294 - - - - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 14 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -16 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7935 - - -4779 - - - - - -5335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14510 - - 15031 - - - - - 10405 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11348 - - -6652 - - - - - -7802 ODpotential blCL - - - 17922 - - 16904 - - - - - 12872 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 42 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 86.6 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.1 - - 32.3 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.1 - - 83.4 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 32.0 - - - - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 505 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3171 - - 6849 - - - - - 1667 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99193 23 112 17 104 30 099 99193 91673 18 104 16 108 29 102 91673 85882 18 097 16 132 18 097 85882 81073 17 122 15 136 12 091 81073 76923 20 114 14 134 9 128 76923 73260 14 097 15 105 12 137 73260 69944 9 112 7 079 11 129 69944 66897 5 148 1 117 7 081 66897 64082 3 104 4 223 1 322 64082 61358 7 210 9 249 3 278 61358 58520 3 193 15 218 13 276 58520 55580 16 272 15 244 13 242 55580 52778 24 247 24 254 20 245 52778 50261 26 246 26 243 27 246 50261 48002 31 249 29 236 28 239 48002 45949 40 246 34 241 29 238 45949 44071 42 241 39 243 30 240 44071 42342 42 243 40 241 31 242 42342 40739 44 243 41 239 29 235 40739 39254 41 242 37 234 22 238 39254 37881 36 241 29 232 15 246 37881 36573 31 240 25 235 22 244 36573 35255 26 245 23 233 39 202 35255 33900 23 235 23 227 37 199 33900 32508 24 225 27 228 31 211 32508 31062 26 233 31 234 22 238 31062 29554 24 234 33 238 14 265 29554 27985 22 234 31 242 10 273 27985 26357 21 240 26 247 8 280 26357 24671 20 246 23 247 7 239 24671 22929 20 252 22 247 8 229 22929 21130 18 258 22 256 12 258 21130 19270 12 263 23 269 18 277 19270 17384 9 249 18 269 17 281 17384 15570 9 244 13 259 13 242 15570 13916 11 260 14 247 15 229 13916 12438 12 263 15 238 16 242 12438 11117 11 259 13*240 16 247 11117 9930 12 254 11*247 15 253 9930 8866 14 250 10 253 13 259 8866 7912 13 249 8 266 11 269 7912 7063 9*257 6 289 11 282 7063 6305 6*273 6 319 11 298 6305 5620 4 314 7 329 13*313 5620 5009 5 335 7 336 14*324 5009 4496 5 340 7 340 14 327 4496 4098 5 345 8 343 14 329 4098 3823 5 348 8 344 14 330 3823 3655 5 348 7 345 13 331 3655 3559 5 349 7 346 10 331 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography