DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1333z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.8 - - 80.8 - - 84.2 - - 84.4 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 379 - - 207 - - 275 - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 395 - - 4198 - - 7850 - - 7488 - - 2266 BL Depth Hcrit 3489 - - 6325 - - 8929 - - 8772 - - 3489 Hcrit BL Top 3798 - - 7601 - - 11253 - - 10891 - - 5669 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1548 - - 2387 - - 3830 - - 4200 - - 2328 Hgt.Variab. W* 108 - - 484 - - 500 - - 529 - - 189 W* B/S 21 - - 30 - - 13 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 335 - - 304 - - 287 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - 11 - - 21 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2733 - - -2808 - - 903 - - -504 - - -2572 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6531 - - 10410 - - 10351 - - 11395 - - 8242 sfcLCL ODpotential -7075 - - -5465 - - -716 - - -2170 - - -5339 ODpotential blCL 10873 - - 13066 - - 11969 - - 13061 - - 11008 blCL maxRH 59 - - 55 - - 85 - - 56 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 700 - - 500 - - 1130 - - 890 - - 870 CAPE Temp@2m 71.8 - - 80.8 - - 84.2 - - 84.4 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.1 - - 47.2 - - 50.6 - - 46.2 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.7 - - 80.4 - - 82.9 - - 82.4 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.0 - - 47.2 - - 48.9 - - 46.0 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 379 - - 207 - - 275 - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 395 - - 4198 - - 7850 - - 7488 - - 2266 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99381 23 106 21 110 17 097 17 095 16 094 99381 92454 19 099 18 111 17 102 15 112 13 092 92454 87014 18 099 17 107 18 103 16 108 13 100 87014 82440 18 105 15 106 14 101 14 096 14 102 82440 78471 16 108 13 098 10 105 12 085 13 095 78471 74945 14 108 12 101 8 122 6 093 12 089 74945 71745 11 106 9 108 7 151 4 136 4 089 71745 68800 6 108 7 110 7 170 7 208 1 058 68800 66066 3 141 2 157 6 179 7 204 6 221 66066 63419 4 208 8 229 7 226 7 236 5 200 63419 60651 8 243 12 235 15 237 18 242 11 233 60651 57776 14 250 14 239 18 240 19 243 20 241 57776 55041 20 251 20 247 20 250 20 251 21 254 55041 52577 29 247 29 241 27 249 28 248 25 261 52577 50361 33 242 33 236 33 243 34 240 31 258 50361 48344 33 244 34 240 37 243 36 239 34 255 48344 46491 37 246 39 245 42 245 39 244 35 253 46491 44773 42 243 45 244 48 244 42 247 36 253 44773 43172 45 239 47 240 50 241 42 247 36 252 43172 41672 47 235 49 236 51 238 42 244 36 250 41672 40263 48 233 49 234 50 235 40 240 35 247 40263 38907 47 231 48 232 48 232 39 236 34 245 38907 37537 45 228 45 228 47 231 38 233 31 244 37537 36125 42 224 42 221 44 228 37 231 29 242 36125 34675 38 220 39 215 42 225 36 229 29 238 34675 33171 34 219 37 209 40 221 36 228 30 234 33171 31599 31 219 34 206 38 216 36 224 31 230 31599 29957 29 221 31 206 38 210 36 220 30 226 29957 28240 28 222 29 207 38 206 36 216 27 225 28240 26447 27 222 28 207 39 204 37 213 24 227 26447 24579 26 220 27 207 40 204 36 212 23 230 24579 22628 26 217 28 207 39 206 35 212 23 233 22628 20588 26 215 28 207 35 209 32 213 23 235 20588 18498 26 216 29 207 31 210 26 215 22 238 18498 16476 24 217 28 206 27 205 20 218 21 240 16476 14628 21 218 24 207 21 205 16 222 19 243 14628 12981 16 216 19 210 13 217 13 231 16 246 12981 11514 12 214 15 216 8*246 11*243 13 252 11514 10209 10 218 13 230 6*272 11*257 10 265 10209 9048 9 223 11 248 6 288 12 270 9 283 9048 8022 7 222 9*256 7 298 14 282 11 295 8022 7117 4 219 5*266 7 306 16 289 13 304 7117 6319 1 244 3 309 7 311 16 292 14*312 6319 5606 1 254 3 335 7 313 17 294 15*319 5606 4976 1 203 3 350 7 315 17 296 15 324 4976 4451 0 100 4 358 7 316 17 296 16 326 4451 4048 0*158 4 003 7 316 17 297 15 328 4048 3770 1*194 4 005 7 317 17 297 15 329 3770 3602 1 192 4 006 7 317 16 298 14 329 3602 3505 1 191 4 006 6 317 15 298 12 329 3505 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography