DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.4 - - 37.7 - - 44.8 - - 44.6 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - -3 - - 36 - - -3 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 56 - - 438 - - 2041 - - 2770 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 13 - - 74 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 150 - - 218 - - 168 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6113 - - -7030 - - -7808 - - -7575 - - -4122 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9670 - - 10586 - - 11364 - - 11132 - - 7678 sfcLCL ODpotential -15599 - - -13245 - - -12269 - - -11969 - - -11072 ODpotential blCL 19155 - - 16801 - - 15825 - - 15526 - - 14628 blCL maxRH 89 - - 100 - - 97 - - 80 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.4 - - 37.7 - - 44.8 - - 44.6 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -0.2 - - 4.6 - - 7.8 - - 8.7 - - 13.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.8 - - 38.8 - - 45.1 - - 46.4 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -0.6 - - 4.1 - - 7.4 - - 7.8 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - -3 - - 36 - - -3 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 102 - - 87 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94791 61 330 70 331 77 339 78 342 70 335 94791 88036 60 337 64 327 75 331 74 336 74 337 88036 82707 55 341 55 327 66 328 66 328 75 335 82707 78206 53 336 45 325 55 322 61 324 71 323 78206 74317 53 331 38 325 46 315 61 318 66 320 74317 70886 47 325 36 325 41 313 55 313 61 319 70886 67771 41 320 37 319 40 315 48 316 53 316 67771 64885 40 313 39 314 40 316 45 319 46 313 64885 62191 41 314 42 313 40 315 45 316 46 312 62191 59573 47 309 41 316 38 316 45 315 47 316 59573 56837 45 310 40 319 37 318 47 315 48 319 56837 53987 39 316 40 319 37 317 51 313 52 317 53987 51260 35 318 41 314 39 315 53 312 51 314 51260 48803 34 313 43 311 40 316 52 313 49 320 48803 46600 40 312 43 313 40 321 50 317 56 322 46600 44599 44 311 43 317 43 324 52 319 56 318 44599 42777 41 308 43 320 49 323 57 318 52 320 42777 41122 39 308 45 320 56 321 61 319 56 322 41122 39610 42 307 48 320 62 320 63 323 63 320 39610 38209 43 300 52 319 74 321 70 327 66 323 38209 36893 43 295 60 317 85 323 76 325 67 323 36893 35622 43 290 68 316 89 322 87 325 70 322 35622 34333 42 283 74 315 89 322 97 328 76 323 34333 33001 41 278 76 313 88 321 93 327 76 323 33001 31629 41 278 76 311 86 319 86 326 70 324 31629 30201 42 279 75 309 81 317 75 327 64 330 30201 28710 43 277 71 305 76 315 65 327 57 332 28710 27162 43 271 63 299 69 312 58 328 50 328 27162 25560 42 267 53 288 63 307 54 322 46 321 25560 23906 41 265 48 275 56 299 52 312 47 314 23906 22203 39 264 47 267 48 288 50 307 46 310 22203 20445 38 262 45 264 44 277 44 299 43 304 20445 18630 35 263 41 261 42 272 36 289 39 296 18630 16793 30 261 35 258 38 272 32 283 34 288 16793 15036 25 255 27 253 33 271 29 281 28 282 15036 13441 22 255 23 250 29 269 26 276 24 276 13441 12018 20 258 20 252 25 267 23 273 21 270 12018 10746 18 263 18 257 23 265 21 270 18 267 10746 9607 18 266 17 263 22 264 19 270 16 264 9607 8588 19 269 18 266 22 263 19 269 14 263 8588 7678 20 270 19 268 22 263 18 267 13 261 7678 6869 21 270 20 268 22 262 17 263 12 257 6869 6149 22 269 22 266 22 260 16 258 10 250 6149 5499 22 266 23 261 21 256 14 251 10 237 5499 4920 21 259 23 253 18 252 11 243 11 227 4920 4435 17 249 19 244 14 245 8 234 11 219 4435 4060 11 233 12 235 10 240 6 224 9 203 4060 3802 6 195 6 211 6 233 4 204 10 181 3802 3646 7*154 4*174 5 225 3*183 9 167 3646 3556 7*144 3*150 4*218 2*168 7*165 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography