DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 81.0 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 310 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1910 - - 8095 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4337 - - 9315 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5313 - - 11498 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3608 - - 2749 - - - - - 2058 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 563 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 37 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 292 - - - - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -12 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5489 - - -2009 - - - - - -4376 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10803 - - 13508 - - - - - 7934 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8587 - - -4274 - - - - - -8021 ODpotential blCL - - - 13900 - - 15772 - - - - - 11579 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 75 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 81.0 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 33.6 - - - - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 78.9 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 33.4 - - - - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 310 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1910 - - 8095 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 1 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98209 8 314 10 313 9 321 98209 90941 12 341 13 320 7 314 90941 85334 11 326 19 316 11 357 85334 80668 13 355 15 332 13 341 80668 76623 10 329 12 319 12 326 76623 73027 10 303 12 294 8 329 73027 69753 9 277 12 258 10 315 69753 66734 12 266 14 263 14 278 66734 63928 12 257 15 256 19 264 63928 61196 12 250 19 236 22 255 61196 58337 18 248 24 234 23 253 58337 55372 23 251 24 238 26 252 55372 52558 23 250 25 245 26 248 52558 50044 22 245 26 247 26 247 50044 47799 19 242 25 239 28 246 47799 45765 15 240 22 237 29 239 45765 43906 15 239 21 236 27 237 43906 42200 17 239 20 228 25 239 42200 40628 16 243 20 223 21 237 40628 39172 24 234 21 228 21 231 39172 37811 24 219 21 222 18 217 37811 36505 20 204 19 218 15 206 36505 35187 17 197 19 210 12 221 35187 33826 13 200 19 213 13 230 33826 32425 12 205 17 222 11 231 32425 30974 13 211 14 228 8 246 30974 29463 13 215 12 230 7 253 29463 27895 10 222 8 229 7 239 27895 26270 6 250 4 237 7 226 26270 24589 3 252 3 227 7 244 24589 22852 3 220 5 216 9 249 22852 21055 4 216 7 212 10 235 21055 19195 6 224 8 222 10 229 19195 17312 7 229 7 231 8 246 17312 15504 6 235 6 245 8 259 15504 13856 5 238 6 256 11 247 13856 12384 3 241 6*257 11 235 12384 11067 2 269 5*257 9 236 11067 9884 4 253 4 259 6 240 9884 8823 6 221 4 263 1 304 8823 7874 6 214 3 277 6 023 7874 7030 5 217 2 297 11 015 7030 6277 5 221 2 316 15 008 6277 5598 5*218 3 327 17 000 5598 4993 4*204 3 337 19 354 4993 4484 3 196 3 343 20 351 4484 4090 3 193 3 346 19 350 4090 3819 2 190 3 347 16 348 3819 3653 2 190 3 346 12*347 3653 3558 2 191 3 349 7*345 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography