DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.4 - - 38.6 - - 50.5 - - 47.6 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 8 - - 76 - - -19 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 725 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3556 - - 4128 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 119 - - 506 - - 797 - - 765 - - 133 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 45 - - 158 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 160 - - 172 - - 148 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -7 - - -8 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2508 - - -4058 - - -5294 - - -4953 - - -2723 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6064 - - 7614 - - 9423 - - 8510 - - 6280 sfcLCL ODpotential -16322 - - -15910 - - -14664 - - -14379 - - -14570 ODpotential blCL 19878 - - 19466 - - 18792 - - 17936 - - 18126 blCL maxRH 78 - - 66 - - 58 - - 67 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.4 - - 38.6 - - 50.5 - - 47.6 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.2 - - 18.6 - - 22.4 - - 23.5 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.8 - - 39.0 - - 50.3 - - 49.7 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.8 - - 18.0 - - 22.0 - - 23.1 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 8 - - 76 - - -19 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 725 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96479 55 034 43 026 43 009 47 008 49 014 96479 89465 49 025 33 026 32 008 41 011 43 019 89465 84022 44 019 34 018 32 014 36 019 32 021 84022 79462 38 012 35 016 30 014 31 028 23 017 79462 75502 34 007 35 016 31 013 29 031 23 026 75502 71970 26 006 27 017 27 007 24 026 24 031 71970 68746 22 022 22 024 22 002 18 006 27 025 68746 65773 23 005 21 015 22 003 17 011 21 020 65773 63029 17 339 15 355 20 356 20 004 18 000 63029 60388 26 338 19 340 21 354 18 359 13 324 60388 57628 25 335 20 322 20 332 18 328 18 309 57628 54750 26 325 20 304 19 302 24 302 20 304 54750 52009 24 313 20 297 20 293 23 299 18 282 52009 49552 25 307 21 296 21 295 24 283 22 271 49552 47355 26 302 22 291 23 287 29 270 23 270 47355 45370 23 290 23 283 22 274 31 256 22 262 45370 43564 13 289 14 286 19 256 30 242 23 261 43564 41914 18 325 13 332 10 232 24 230 27 255 41914 40397 10 310 13 343 3 216 16 209 31 236 40397 38981 10 125 7 329 2 182 11 196 24 225 38981 37647 8 080 4 223 6 217 6 219 18 225 37647 36362 14 055 8 178 14 227 9 249 15 218 36362 35061 18 051 5 162 17 209 14 234 19 220 35061 33718 16 050 5 125 19 190 15 225 23 213 33718 32336 15 053 9 128 20 179 16 225 25 206 32336 30900 11 049 8 160 20 179 17 221 25 204 30900 29400 5 346 8 194 17 189 17 214 24 205 29400 27840 9 304 7 223 15 205 17 216 24 211 27840 26220 10 299 8 256 15 222 14 232 21 216 26220 24543 9 300 10 250 17 238 12 249 16 216 24543 22811 10 288 12 240 17 246 10 255 12 220 22811 21018 13 279 13 245 16 254 9 259 9 217 21018 19156 13 277 14 255 16 258 9 254 9 210 19156 17259 14 277 13 263 16 260 11 248 9 209 17259 15429 13 281 12 268 15 261 13 245 10 215 15429 13759 11 280 12 263 15 258 14 244 12 222 13759 12267 8 270 12 250 14 254 15 241 12 228 12267 10937 7 252 13 236 13 245 15 238 12 227 10937 9751 10 233 13 229 12 232 16 237 12 223 9751 8695 12 221 13 224 11 219 18 236 11 228 8695 7756 12 228 14 220 11 214 21 233 12 236 7756 6924 12 228 14 217 13 214 24 230 16 238 6924 6185 13 226 13 212 15 211 25 228 18 235 6185 5522 14 222 12 201 16 201 22 226 18 231 5522 4933 17 208 16 186 17 188 18 220 16 220 4933 4442 21 190 21 174 17*179 15 204 16 194 4442 4064 23 175 23 164 16*175 13 182 20 175 4064 3804 18 165 21 162 15 172 11 164 18 167 3804 3646 14*157 18 160 14 171 9*156 12 161 3646 3556 7*143 11*160 10 171 6*148 7*152 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography