DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.1 - - 41.2 - - 43.8 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 407 - - 271 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4515 - - 7743 - - 7250 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6496 - - 9169 - - 8564 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7918 - - 11146 - - 10653 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4283 - - 2400 - - 1525 - - 6053 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 464 - - 606 - - 517 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 343 - - 354 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -16 - - -9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1018 - - 1833 - - 603 - - -4390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6900 - - 9313 - - 10050 - - 7946 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 283 - - 889 - - 104 - - -6146 ODpotential blCL - - - 7635 - - 10257 - - 10549 - - 9702 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 83 - - 81 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.1 - - 41.2 - - 43.8 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.5 - - 12.8 - - 12.1 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 38.8 - - 41.9 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 12.5 - - 12.1 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 407 - - 271 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4515 - - 7743 - - 7250 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 32 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96755 27 255 42 273 33 277 34 271 96755 89381 30 262 32 275 26 279 28 272 89381 83750 20 265 18 273 23 282 22 288 83750 79138 5 290 13 272 21 279 23 299 79138 75184 10 314 11 307 17 289 16 291 75184 71661 11 293 13 314 13 296 15 296 71661 68445 10 310 14 307 14 318 11 311 68445 65464 10 319 19 301 17 319 14 325 65464 62681 6 328 14 274 18 314 17 319 62681 59976 10 336 12 305 23 317 17 322 59976 57144 20 325 16 307 23 312 21 327 57144 54193 19 323 22 326 27 321 27 332 54193 51379 27 324 31 326 34 327 34 335 51379 48853 33 320 37 323 36 330 41 339 48853 46591 37 320 39 322 41 334 47 338 46591 44541 37 319 37 324 47 331 48 335 44541 42672 36 325 37 331 48 330 49 334 42672 40960 39 335 42 339 49 338 57 334 40960 39390 48 342 49 345 59 345 62 335 39390 37937 56 343 58 349 71 346 66 342 37937 36583 62 344 68 351 80 351 70 344 36583 35285 65 344 79 351 90 353 72 345 35285 33982 67 344 87 353 96 353 73 347 33982 32645 69 345 93 356 98 353 76 349 32645 31276 72 348 100 359 99 354 79 350 31276 29860 76 352 105 001 98 355 81 351 29860 28384 79 354 106 003 97 356 82 352 28384 26849 84 357 102 003 97 357 81 354 26849 25258 84 357 94 003 97 358 80 356 25258 23612 75 355 86 004 92 002 79 359 23612 21916 67 355 78 006 83 003 75 002 21916 20167 54 357 64 008 68 003 69 004 20167 18364 38 000 49 016 53 004 60 003 18364 16545 30 359 42 027 37 007 48 003 16545 14808 24 352 31 024 30 013 36 004 14808 13235 19 345 16 016 25 017 27 009 13235 11836 17 341 12*010 14*013 20 016 11836 10590 15 340 11*006 11*005 10 019 10590 9479 15 339 11 356 11 003 5 014 9479 8487 15*338 11 343 11 358 6 003 8487 7600 15*336 11 341 11 356 9 351 7600 6810 15 334 11 339 11 353 11 346 6810 6106 15 334 11 338 12 351 12 343 6106 5469 15 333 11 337 12 350 13 340 5469 4902 15 333 11 336 12 349 14 338 4902 4424 14 333 11 335 12 347 14 338 4424 4056 14 333 11 335 11 347 14 336 4056 3800 13 333 10 335 11 346 12 335 3800 3645 13 333 10 334 11 347 10 334 3645 3556 11 332 9 334 10 346 6*333 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography