DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.6 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 507 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5865 - - 10524 - - - - - 1817 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7644 - - 11552 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9268 - - 13927 - - - - - 5220 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3222 - - 2105 - - - - - 2230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 544 - - 724 - - - - - 171 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 25 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 249 - - - - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 22 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2447 - - 357 - - - - - -4003 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11716 - - 13571 - - - - - 9224 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4075 - - -532 - - - - - -7091 ODpotential blCL - - - 13343 - - 14459 - - - - - 12311 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 65 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 390 - - - - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.6 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 41.8 - - - - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 86.4 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 41.6 - - - - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 507 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5865 - - 10524 - - - - - 1817 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99809 29 110 25 113 35 108 99809 92233 34 116 20 111 33 091 92233 86402 30 109 21 105 21 078 86402 81575 26 108 19 106 13 101 81575 77419 15 102 22 123 18 113 77419 73739 16 123 18 133 15 107 73739 70413 11 114 16 131 16 108 70413 67365 6 146 10 125 9 115 67365 64549 9 183 4 168 5 156 64549 61822 14 199 15 227 8 201 61822 58968 18 214 23 228 15 240 58968 56013 22 229 27 232 24 254 56013 53197 33 239 38 237 38 251 53197 50654 44 248 42 243 47 248 50654 48366 55 250 47 246 55 251 48366 46289 60 247 56 249 64 253 46289 44385 58 246 59 249 67 252 44385 42633 53 246 54 249 60 251 42633 41019 45 245 45 249 51 252 41019 39530 35 246 37 249 40 250 39530 38151 28 248 32 249 33 248 38151 36835 25 248 28 251 28 248 36835 35510 22 243 27 251 27 249 35510 34144 19 238 25 247 28 249 34144 32739 19 245 25 245 29 253 32739 31284 19 252 24 246 31 258 31284 29767 19 251 24 247 30 259 29767 28187 20 249 23 248 28 257 28187 26549 22 248 23 251 25 253 26549 24854 23 244 24 254 24 245 24854 23106 22 241 25 256 25 236 23106 21298 21 242 25 251 25 232 21298 19424 21 239 25 242 25 232 19424 17520 20 232 25 232 24 230 17520 15686 18 228 22 226 22 215 15686 14013 16 225 13*214 19 190 14013 12517 17 217 9*211 15 190 12517 11176 17 205 8 213 9 205 11176 9973 14*192 7 220 5 226 9973 8895 12*185 6 233 2 318 8895 7931 10 182 5 253 10 003 7931 7075 9 180 5 268 14 001 7075 6313 7 178 5 280 17 353 6313 5625 5 177 5 290 20*348 5625 5012 4 175 6 297 20*348 5012 4497 3 176 6 301 20 348 4497 4099 2 174 6 304 20 348 4099 3823 2 173 6 304 19 348 3823 3655 2 176 6 305 18 348 3655 3559 2 176 6 307 13 348 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography