DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 40.5 - - 41.0 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 323 - - 163 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2598 - - 4588 - - 4445 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4662 - - 6567 - - 6129 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6001 - - 7991 - - 7848 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2953 - - 3846 - - 3058 - - 3873 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 472 - - 371 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 22 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 311 - - 314 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 718 - - 992 - - 471 - - -1661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5284 - - 6999 - - 7377 - - 5218 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 140 - - 214 - - -231 - - -3368 ODpotential blCL - - - 5861 - - 7777 - - 8079 - - 6924 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 86 - - 100 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 40.5 - - 41.0 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 22.3 - - 21.2 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 38.6 - - 39.7 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.3 - - 22.2 - - 21.2 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 323 - - 163 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2598 - - 4588 - - 4445 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 46 - - 101 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96389 12 240 16 252 15 269 19 275 96389 89275 8 205 15 227 13 247 8 245 89275 83813 5 219 8 243 12 248 9 179 83813 79255 6 223 8 244 8 224 9 214 79255 75300 10 300 11 244 7 276 9 253 75300 71780 10 277 14 254 9 277 10 253 71780 68568 11 242 14 246 9 272 15 280 68568 65600 13 235 22 265 17 281 10 287 65600 62828 24 256 29 258 22 272 10 298 62828 60114 30 262 28 260 21 275 26 293 60114 57281 25 282 22 287 28 300 33 296 57281 54345 31 299 33 307 34 300 31 308 54345 51525 44 300 43 305 41 305 37 314 51525 48975 47 297 48 301 42 306 46 315 48975 46693 47 299 50 299 45 313 53 312 46693 44635 50 303 51 305 55 308 50 305 44635 42766 51 305 55 312 56 299 48 309 42766 41059 50 312 56 315 51 308 54 311 41059 39488 53 320 58 319 56 323 60 318 39488 38030 59 326 65 327 72 327 75 323 38030 36671 66 328 77 332 82 330 89 323 36671 35371 71 329 83 334 91 332 95 322 35371 34063 74 332 86 337 98 333 95 324 34063 32719 78 335 92 341 100 334 96 328 32719 31341 85 337 97 343 99 336 94 332 31341 29917 89 336 102 345 97 339 87 336 29917 28439 87 335 108 346 95 342 79 339 28439 26905 83 337 109 346 92 345 74 342 26905 25317 83 339 100 345 88 346 72 345 25317 23675 77 338 91 344 84 347 70 346 23675 21984 59 338 84 343 80 350 64 349 21984 20236 41 337 71 339 73 351 59 352 20236 18430 34 341 49 337 60 353 51 354 18430 16607 31 344 37 338 46 003 40 002 16607 14857 28 343 31 337 41 009 35 009 14857 13265 30 337 29 334 33 358 33 006 13265 11846 34 328 24 325 26 345 28 354 11846 10588 33 323 21 318 20 328 23 343 10588 9471 32 318 21 315 19 321 18 336 9471 8476 31 316 22*312 19*318 16 322 8476 7588 29 316 22*310 19*314 15 311 7588 6800 27 317 22 310 19 314 14 311 6800 6097 24*319 22 310 19 314 13 315 6097 5463 22*322 22 310 19 314 13 323 5463 4897 21 324 22 311 19 314 13 331 4897 4421 20 325 22 311 18 315 13 337 4421 4054 19 326 21 311 18 315 12 341 4054 3799 18 326 20 312 17 315 11 343 3799 3645 17 327 19 311 16 315 8*345 3645 3556 13 327 16 311 13 315 5*348 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography