DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 93.9 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 458 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2972 - - 7303 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5342 - - 8870 - - - - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6375 - - 10706 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2369 - - 2369 - - - - - 3246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 415 - - 619 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 282 - - - - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8206 - - -6568 - - - - - -8864 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14582 - - 17275 - - - - - 12424 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12972 - - -10430 - - - - - -14329 ODpotential blCL - - - 19347 - - 21136 - - - - - 17888 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 27 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 93.9 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 29.6 - - - - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 90.9 - - - - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 29.6 - - - - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 458 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2972 - - 7303 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99849 27 116 28 108 24 091 99849 92314 26 117 24 113 21 087 92314 86485 20 109 21 113 19 082 86485 81661 15 093 19 106 14 095 81661 77507 11 097 18 097 15 115 77507 73823 12 103 11 096 15 109 73823 70480 7 111 4 106 10 085 70480 67417 9 138 4 137 5 071 67417 64594 4 128 4 120 3 192 64594 61858 6 163 4 166 4 174 61858 59024 6 236 6 238 10 250 59024 56122 17 237 18 259 16 265 56122 53376 23 244 27 253 29 271 53376 50921 26 256 30 259 39 262 50921 48730 40 267 41 265 43 265 48730 46742 52 266 51 265 49 267 46742 44914 57 265 54 265 52 265 44914 43217 56 265 55 263 54 265 43217 41633 49 268 49 264 52 268 41633 40146 39 273 39 266 50 267 40146 38745 34 276 33 269 43 266 38745 37400 33 277 30 271 33 264 37400 36044 31 278 28 272 31 263 36044 34648 29 279 27 274 31 263 34648 33214 28 280 26 276 31 263 33214 31726 26 280 24 275 30 263 31726 30176 25 277 24 271 28 261 30176 28567 24 272 23 271 26 259 28567 26897 21 270 24 271 24 257 26897 25168 20 268 22 271 25 257 25168 23384 23 262 22 270 29 262 23384 21542 27 257 26 261 32 262 21542 19633 29 256 30 256 32 260 19633 17694 29 257 30 256 31 257 17694 15828 26 258 27 255 27 253 15828 14127 23 259 23 253 24 242 14127 12607 21 257 19 249 21 232 12607 11248 21 253 14*247 15 233 11248 10032 22 248 13*249 10 248 10032 8943 20 243 12 254 6 282 8943 7971 16 242 9 264 8 339 7971 7108 11*247 8 280 12 353 7108 6338 6*254 7 295 16 354 6338 5644 3 271 7 307 18 352 5644 5026 2 312 7 316 19 349 5026 4505 2 334 7 323 20 347 4505 4104 2 349 7 327 19 345 4104 3826 2 356 7 328 17 344 3826 3656 2 358 7 330 14*344 3656 3559 2 357 6 330 10*344 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography