DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.7 - - 57.0 - - 62.7 - - 60.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 74 - - 167 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1701 - - 5506 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3541 - - 6938 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 5104 - - 8909 - - 3558 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 113 - - 1837 - - 2157 - - 7525 - - 3208 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 208 - - 402 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 17 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 223 - - 235 - - 247 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3592 - - -6418 - - -3655 - - -9374 - - -6193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7148 - - 11522 - - 12564 - - 12933 - - 9750 sfcLCL ODpotential -12889 - - -11731 - - -7497 - - -13042 - - -11250 ODpotential blCL 16445 - - 16835 - - 16406 - - 16600 - - 14807 blCL maxRH 90 - - 91 - - 85 - - 95 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.7 - - 57.0 - - 62.7 - - 60.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 19.0 - - 19.7 - - 15.5 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.7 - - 56.2 - - 61.4 - - 60.4 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.3 - - 19.0 - - 19.6 - - 15.3 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 74 - - 167 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1701 - - 5506 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 63 - - 39 - - 79 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97117 3 023 6 284 8 284 6 325 4 356 97117 89966 10 051 3 176 6 250 4 025 2 052 89966 84460 12 076 4 120 5 146 3 032 3 080 84460 79878 9 075 3 207 4 065 3 116 2 076 79878 75904 5 059 6 158 3 344 2 107 5 079 75904 72357 4 204 5 182 6 251 7 237 2 331 72357 69121 4 165 6 206 6 214 9 233 6 278 69121 66120 9 292 4 234 8 257 11 245 11 253 66120 63325 16 255 11 244 8 255 8 242 9 260 63325 60611 8 245 8 209 8 258 8 250 6 328 60611 57754 12 268 13 250 20 242 20 243 19 266 57754 54783 29 265 26 260 24 244 25 247 28 247 54783 51959 32 260 30 252 24 248 23 248 25 247 51959 49416 32 258 29 247 28 247 25 247 27 258 49416 47127 33 256 30 246 34 245 31 248 31 252 47127 45043 34 253 34 247 41 243 38 247 32 246 45043 43132 38 253 41 248 48 244 42 243 33 247 43132 41373 44 254 49 247 53 245 46 247 38 249 41373 39751 50 252 55 245 59 243 56 245 46 241 39751 38253 54 251 59 246 61 236 63 234 53 233 38253 36862 59 253 63 249 62 236 64 229 57 229 36862 35538 63 254 67 247 68 238 70 229 58 227 35538 34213 63 254 68 246 71 236 75 226 62 224 34213 32861 61 254 68 245 71 235 75 225 67 222 32861 31486 59 252 67 244 71 236 75 227 67 222 31486 30070 56 250 64 242 69 236 75 228 66 222 30070 28602 53 249 61 241 66 235 73 229 64 224 28602 27082 52 248 58 240 64 233 69 228 60 226 27082 25510 50 247 57 239 63 233 66 228 57 228 25510 23884 49 247 57 239 61 235 64 230 54 229 23884 22207 47 247 55 238 58 237 61 233 53 228 22207 20472 44 245 52 237 55 238 57 235 51 227 20472 18674 41 242 48 236 53 237 53 235 49 227 18674 16849 37 238 43 237 50 235 50 234 46 226 16849 15095 33 236 38 237 46 236 46 233 42 225 15095 13498 30 235 35 237 42 238 41 233 39 224 13498 12075 27 237 32 237 38 241 36 230 38 224 12075 10803 25 240 30 237 32 240 29 223 36 222 10803 9663 23 243 28 239 24*235 25 219 33 219 9663 8640 21 245 27 240 19*231 22 220 30 217 8640 7726 20 246 26 240 18 232 21 224 27 218 7726 6911 19 247 25 239 18 233 20 229 25 222 6911 6185 20 248 24 236 17 235 19 232 24 228 6185 5529 20 247 21*232 17 237 18 236 21 234 5529 4944 20 243 17*225 16 238 18 239 18 240 4944 4452 18 236 14 223 16 239 17 241 14 245 4452 4072 14 224 13 222 15 240 16 243 10 249 4072 3809 10 190 11 221 14 241 14 245 7 258 3809 3649 9 164 10 221 14 241 12*246 5*269 3649 3557 6*154 9 221 12 241 9*247 3*280 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography