DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 60.6 - - - - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 134 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3438 - - 3867 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5158 - - 5608 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6841 - - 7270 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2436 - - 2151 - - - - - 4075 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 299 - - 335 - - - - - 41 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 21 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 225 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2921 - - -461 - - - - - -1511 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9762 - - 7732 - - - - - 5069 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6371 - - -1686 - - - - - -2638 ODpotential blCL - - - 13212 - - 8956 - - - - - 6196 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 60.6 - - - - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 38.7 - - - - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 59.4 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 38.5 - - - - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 134 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3438 - - 3867 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 99 - - - - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98878 24 113 21 098 20 112 98878 91428 19 119 17 125 18 085 91428 85690 16 117 16 125 19 095 85690 80903 10 106 14 117 12 095 80903 76786 12 135 11 121 8 120 76786 73155 9 164 8 130 9 110 73155 69857 13 182 4 195 7 098 69857 66811 13 154 10 209 8 086 66811 63969 2 254 6 204 6 274 63969 61204 13 234 13 247 4 251 61204 58309 13 251 19 245 15 288 58309 55295 19 258 18 242 23 288 55295 52426 19 281 21 278 29 290 52426 49852 27 279 28 282 39 293 49852 47550 31 287 33 278 42 293 47550 45461 40 285 34 280 41 292 45461 43546 42 278 36 282 42 292 43546 41777 39 270 39 284 44 292 41777 40134 34 263 44 286 47 293 40134 38606 28 262 51 281 49 294 38606 37185 31 271 53 274 50 293 37185 35833 35 270 50 266 49 290 35833 34487 37 269 47 255 48 286 34487 33115 37 258 43 243 48 280 33115 31721 37 254 40 244 48 275 31721 30286 37 254 42 247 49 270 30286 28798 35 256 44 250 49 269 28798 27256 34 258 47 251 50 269 27256 25659 30 255 48 252 50 270 25659 24010 24 242 47 253 47 271 24010 22314 26 238 44 254 42 270 22314 20563 28 236 40 253 37 269 20563 18754 27 240 37 249 34 269 18754 16917 25 239 38 246 33 268 16917 15152 25 232 39 247 33 263 15152 13546 27 230 36 249 34 257 13546 12115 28 230 34 246 38 258 12115 10834 29 230 32 240 42 260 10834 9686 28 228 29 230 47 260 9686 8657 26 224 26 220 48 257 8657 7740 23 221 24*217 46 253 7740 6924 21*221 23*218 43 250 6924 6196 19*221 23 221 39 247 6196 5539 18 223 22 224 34 244 5539 4952 16 225 21 226 30 241 4952 4458 15 227 20 229 26 239 4458 4076 13 228 19 230 23 238 4076 3811 12 229 18 231 20 236 3811 3650 11 230 17 232 18*236 3650 3558 9 230 14 233 14*235 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography