DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 58.3 - - - - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 495 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3055 - - 4687 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5434 - - 6800 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6458 - - 8090 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1203 - - 1327 - - - - - 4643 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 548 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 353 - - - - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1673 - - -2435 - - - - - -3290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8132 - - 10526 - - - - - 6847 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6911 - - -5693 - - - - - -6254 ODpotential blCL - - - 13369 - - 13783 - - - - - 9811 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 54 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 58.3 - - - - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.1 - - 24.4 - - - - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 55.5 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.7 - - 24.3 - - - - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 495 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3055 - - 4687 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97263 18 292 20 287 15 316 97263 89881 15 275 17 292 10 285 89881 84276 16 252 14 291 8 349 84276 79620 10 236 10 264 9 336 79620 75586 5 265 6 234 8 297 75586 72007 6 292 4 227 10 271 72007 68745 9 298 7 233 11 273 68745 65732 15 283 8 255 14 284 65732 62936 17 274 10 296 10 269 62936 60218 13 283 12 297 5 322 60218 57368 13 308 13 287 12 314 57368 54399 13 313 13 275 17 300 54399 51558 16 307 19 292 22 306 51558 48999 23 305 27 295 25 312 48999 46708 27 303 28 295 29 308 46708 44641 29 304 29 298 31 310 44641 42765 32 308 32 308 31 308 42765 41056 32 307 31 311 31 337 41056 39505 31 313 32 324 36 334 39505 38087 31 321 27 320 27 317 38087 36759 24 333 18 338 21 352 36759 35481 28 016 35 026 33 002 35481 34196 40 021 40 021 36 358 34196 32876 39 013 38 010 34 352 32876 31523 32 001 33 002 34 347 31523 30123 28 349 30 353 33 346 30123 28667 29 344 28 345 33 340 28667 27156 31 344 27 340 36 334 27156 25590 31 348 28 335 39 332 25590 23966 30 350 28 334 38 331 23966 22286 30 348 28 335 37 330 22286 20545 29 341 27 334 36 328 20545 18735 30 332 29 328 35 330 18735 16893 30 329 31 326 34 332 16893 15119 29 333 29 329 31 333 15119 13506 26 342 24 333 28 334 13506 12071 24 352 18 332 23 333 12071 10792 21 003 15 332 20 325 10792 9648 16 009 10 331 17 309 9648 8624 11 006 7*342 13 309 8624 7712 6 356 7*347 12 333 7712 6901 4*354 7 349 15 348 6901 6178 4*358 7 351 17 355 6178 5524 4 359 7 353 18 358 5524 4941 5 001 7 355 18 359 4941 4450 5 004 7 356 18 359 4450 4071 5 005 7 357 18 359 4071 3809 4 006 7 357 16 359 3809 3649 4 007 7 358 13 358 3649 3557 4 008 7 358 9*358 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography