DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 66.0 - - 59.6 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 310 - - 89 - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1686 - - 3269 - - 2147 - - 1671 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4216 - - 5538 - - 4067 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5089 - - 6672 - - 5550 - - 5074 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1037 - - 2056 - - 1817 - - 1364 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 416 - - 239 - - 178 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 14 - - 18 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 343 - - 336 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4171 - - -2651 - - -1691 - - 758 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9260 - - 9323 - - 7241 - - 4317 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10686 - - -7639 - - -6305 - - 144 ODpotential blCL - - - 15775 - - 14311 - - 11855 - - 4930 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 66 - - 77 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 66.0 - - 59.6 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 37.2 - - 40.0 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 63.8 - - 58.7 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 37.2 - - 40.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 310 - - 89 - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1686 - - 3269 - - 2147 - - 1671 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97754 10 040 3 036 8 005 12 026 97754 90528 5 048 6 050 5 002 14 010 90528 84890 6 042 4 010 9 344 10 346 84890 80194 8 040 9 019 13 338 9 351 80194 76145 16 360 8 004 17 332 13 336 76145 72566 15 346 14 354 13 353 17 331 72566 69336 26 322 26 333 20 322 10 318 69336 66344 27 320 20 326 14 325 28 327 66344 63560 26 322 26 317 28 324 38 313 63560 60897 26 322 36 319 36 331 34 325 60897 58127 33 327 46 320 43 327 38 331 58127 55236 48 320 49 316 50 315 47 325 55236 52465 54 314 48 314 48 310 52 322 52465 49957 53 311 49 317 51 317 58 320 49957 47696 51 310 52 319 60 320 61 316 47696 45636 50 308 57 318 64 318 62 313 45636 43743 47 303 57 313 64 314 62 310 43743 41993 46 299 54 306 61 309 63 308 41993 40366 48 290 54 297 56 302 62 304 40366 38849 49 280 56 288 56 295 60 294 38849 37435 47 281 58 282 61 288 56 284 37435 36088 46 285 60 277 65 280 57 284 36088 34741 45 284 58 274 66 273 62 283 34741 33373 47 279 52 272 66 271 68 276 33373 31982 48 271 50 271 61 271 61 272 31982 30543 48 267 51 269 57 271 53 272 30543 29041 48 265 53 266 54 271 51 269 29041 27477 47 263 53 265 52 269 48 268 27477 25855 45 263 52 267 52 268 45 269 25855 24178 41 263 51 267 54 267 43 270 24178 22452 39 263 50 265 55 265 43 267 22452 20674 38 263 49 263 54 263 45 262 20674 18836 37 262 48 261 52 260 48 260 18836 16970 36 260 47 257 49 258 50 258 16970 15174 37 259 46 256 46 257 49 256 15174 13541 38 260 43 258 42 259 47 256 13541 12085 36 263 38 261 37 263 43 258 12085 10789 32 266 32 264 32 264 37 262 10789 9635 29 271 25 265 25 261 28 265 9635 8607 25 275 18 265 19 258 20 270 8607 7693 21 279 13 275 16 268 15 288 7693 6882 17 281 11*310 15 289 14 321 6882 6160 12 279 11*320 16*314 17 342 6160 5510 7*280 13 340 17*327 18*353 5510 4931 4*328 14 344 18 335 19*355 4931 4444 5 350 15 346 19 337 19 356 4444 4068 5 354 15 347 19 339 19 357 4068 3807 5 357 14 348 18 339 18 357 3807 3648 5 359 14 349 17 340 16 357 3648 3557 4 359 12 350 13 341 12 357 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography