DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 69.2 - - 70.7 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 394 - - 165 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2866 - - 6858 - - 7849 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5189 - - 8441 - - 8719 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6269 - - 10261 - - 11252 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2466 - - 1751 - - 2040 - - 553 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 575 - - 451 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 24 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 164 - - 149 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7803 - - -4084 - - -4313 - - -6971 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14073 - - 14345 - - 15566 - - 10529 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12779 - - -7178 - - -7718 - - -12092 ODpotential blCL - - - 19048 - - 17439 - - 18970 - - 15650 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 68 - - 72 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 69.2 - - 70.7 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.9 - - 18.2 - - 14.2 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 66.8 - - 69.3 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.7 - - 17.9 - - 13.9 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 394 - - 165 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2866 - - 6858 - - 7849 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96729 19 255 17 257 22 262 26 285 96729 89528 15 232 19 236 17 264 20 294 89528 84002 14 233 22 239 19 266 11 289 84002 79437 10 224 20 239 21 265 12 278 79437 75504 5 232 16 251 17 279 14 272 75504 72007 12 265 17 277 17 298 14 272 72007 68820 14 267 20 275 19 299 18 282 68820 65878 16 269 20 280 23 300 21 293 65878 63137 17 272 26 281 29 292 24 291 63137 60461 25 281 29 275 31 280 26 283 60461 57645 28 272 31 275 30 278 27 277 57645 54706 29 276 33 278 32 280 30 267 54706 51900 33 278 37 278 36 276 33 273 51900 49378 37 275 42 269 42 272 39 283 49378 47121 42 272 44 267 42 268 44 277 47121 45081 43 270 43 271 40 272 42 274 45081 43227 40 276 41 270 40 270 41 271 43227 41546 39 278 36 270 39 267 42 267 41546 40021 35 285 32 276 39 267 41 267 40021 38617 37 286 35 281 37 275 40 269 38617 37303 36 287 39 283 45 275 42 268 37303 36033 36 285 40 287 50 270 43 266 36033 34744 37 281 41 290 44 268 44 264 34744 33413 33 281 41 288 42 270 44 264 33413 32045 32 283 41 285 43 274 42 266 32045 30626 33 288 39 285 42 277 40 269 30626 29147 35 292 37 289 37 277 37 273 29147 27609 36 296 37 293 34 279 36 275 27609 26013 36 298 35 298 31 281 35 274 26013 24359 33 300 31 300 26 287 30 277 24359 22650 29 303 27 302 24 291 23 279 22650 20878 25 305 23 306 21 295 18 281 20878 19038 22 308 19 306 16 303 13 282 19038 17168 16 317 14 312 13 310 8 288 17168 15369 12 329 10 325 9 317 4 296 15369 13729 9 334 6 337 2 311 2 266 13729 12267 6 326 2 335 4*177 7 196 12267 10964 3 302 3*179 4*165 9 182 10964 9799 3 216 5*172 5 162 9 171 9799 8753 6 180 5 171 4 158 10 163 8753 7817 9 174 5 169 4 153 9 154 7817 6983 11*175 5 165 4 149 8 144 6983 6239 10*173 5 163 4 142 6 124 6239 5568 9 171 4 160 4 138 5 084 5568 4970 7 168 4 158 4 135 7 041 4970 4468 6 168 4 154 4 132 10 020 4468 4081 5 168 4 154 3 130 12 007 4081 3814 5 167 4 151 3 128 12 357 3814 3651 4 167 4 152 3 126 9*348 3651 3558 4 166 3 150 3 126 6*341 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography