DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 77.5 - - 77.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 531 - - 332 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4198 - - 5768 - - 6226 - - 2519 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6372 - - 7690 - - 7865 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7601 - - 9171 - - 9629 - - 5922 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1150 - - 1378 - - 1087 - - 3098 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 507 - - 601 - - 528 - - 138 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 16 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 342 - - 353 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4000 - - -4713 - - -4366 - - -5968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11602 - - 13884 - - 13996 - - 11890 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11212 - - -10815 - - -10488 - - -13447 ODpotential blCL - - - 18813 - - 19986 - - 20117 - - 19369 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 55 - - 41 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 77.5 - - 77.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 28.6 - - 28.1 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 74.4 - - 75.2 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 28.3 - - 27.7 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 531 - - 332 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4198 - - 5768 - - 6226 - - 2519 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98964 33 114 25 080 33 093 32 106 98964 91479 28 107 18 117 27 084 32 104 91479 85728 23 098 21 120 19 096 25 078 85728 80965 19 106 20 111 19 098 19 073 80965 76867 19 096 20 109 12 091 17 075 76867 73253 17 064 19 099 12 123 10 081 73253 69983 8 063 9 095 10 091 13 084 69983 66963 6 038 9 094 1 109 9 055 66963 64153 1 302 5 032 6 017 5 056 64153 61441 6 348 6 336 11 322 10 348 61441 58616 10 339 12 334 12 311 14 325 58616 55675 17 335 20 327 18 320 19 313 55675 52862 26 312 31 317 29 319 25 321 52862 50329 30 301 36 305 35 310 33 316 50329 48058 33 303 39 302 37 305 36 308 48058 46014 38 306 39 303 37 305 36 306 46014 44174 43 307 40 310 36 312 33 317 44174 42499 42 302 42 309 39 318 35 329 42499 40951 36 302 35 308 36 312 33 327 40951 39506 31 314 31 317 31 306 32 324 39506 38149 26 337 31 322 28 305 29 320 38149 36842 28 350 30 317 28 306 26 315 36842 35519 28 340 29 312 28 309 23 323 35519 34151 26 324 30 314 28 313 19 319 34151 32742 29 319 32 317 27 319 19 324 32742 31276 31 319 34 315 27 318 20 313 31276 29746 28 313 35 314 30 312 25 305 29746 28155 26 314 35 319 30 312 29 314 28155 26504 23 311 35 321 31 314 32 319 26504 24794 27 307 35 318 32 314 32 321 24794 23026 34 313 33 315 31 318 32 321 23026 21196 34 326 30 311 28 319 31 323 21196 19299 26 340 26 311 25 318 30 321 19299 17374 25 333 23 314 24 319 31 322 17374 15527 25 318 21 320 23 327 31 326 15527 13850 24 312 20 325 22 333 28 332 13850 12360 22 315 18 325 18 330 23 334 12360 11033 21 316 16 317 13 322 17 331 11033 9848 21 313 12*321 13*338 12 320 9848 8791 18 311 12*328 13*342 11 336 8791 7849 11*320 12 332 14 346 12 349 7849 7011 10*328 12 338 16 351 14 001 7011 6263 9 332 12 341 16 353 17*009 6263 5589 9 336 12 344 17 355 19*010 5589 4987 9 338 12 347 17 357 19 010 4987 4480 9 340 12 349 17 357 19 009 4480 4089 9 341 12 351 17 358 19 009 4089 3818 9 341 12 352 16 358 18 009 3818 3653 9 342 11 352 16 358 16 009 3653 3558 8 342 11 352 14 359 12 009 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography