DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 82.9 - - 84.7 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 454 - - 246 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2117 - - 3731 - - 3656 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4701 - - 6017 - - 5744 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5520 - - 7134 - - 7059 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1036 - - 1523 - - 1729 - - 3233 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 493 - - 400 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 23 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 047 - - 359 - - 360 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -8 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7529 - - -8525 - - -9635 - - -10079 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13050 - - 15660 - - 16695 - - 13639 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14633 - - -14711 - - -15775 - - -17630 ODpotential blCL - - - 20153 - - 21845 - - 22834 - - 21189 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 73 - - 62 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 82.9 - - 84.7 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 26.4 - - 23.6 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.7 - - 80.0 - - 82.8 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 26.3 - - 23.7 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 454 - - 246 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2117 - - 3731 - - 3656 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99706 27 106 30 105 26 112 26 108 99706 92194 27 106 21 097 25 102 22 094 92194 86406 24 106 21 120 14 106 19 103 86406 81584 23 105 19 106 15 115 16 111 81584 77417 20 106 14 115 14 092 18 101 77417 73737 16 101 14 125 6 083 18 073 73737 70417 13 083 14 101 11 127 8 065 70417 67379 6 097 9 075 10 082 12 096 67379 64568 5 075 5 050 7 045 11 062 64568 61847 4 007 6 305 9 343 11 028 61847 59021 10 350 10 301 14 304 14 321 59021 56108 25 330 16 319 18 312 16 312 56108 53342 33 308 26 301 28 297 25 300 53342 50868 40 306 35 302 36 304 31 301 50868 48666 51 299 47 297 47 303 40 305 48666 46671 56 295 53 297 52 299 47 302 46671 44838 60 298 57 300 52 298 46 297 44838 43136 64 298 58 302 51 300 44 301 43136 41542 64 298 60 301 54 303 45 305 41542 40047 64 299 61 303 55 301 45 304 40047 38646 65 300 62 302 53 298 43 299 38646 37305 64 301 62 299 53 297 41 293 37305 35951 61 303 61 300 53 298 41 295 35951 34554 58 303 61 301 55 295 42 293 34554 33116 56 303 58 301 56 292 46 288 33116 31625 55 303 54 300 52 293 48 278 31625 30070 52 303 50 298 49 296 44 285 30070 28455 45 305 47 299 47 298 40 293 28455 26782 40 305 42 304 43 299 38 300 26782 25054 39 305 37 307 36 303 32 301 25054 23273 37 306 33 308 30 306 27 298 23273 21435 32 306 31 308 27 306 24 297 21435 19531 27 312 27 311 24 307 21 298 19531 17598 23 320 22 316 20 310 18 302 17598 15739 18 321 18 317 16 310 15 300 15739 14044 14 316 14 313 13 302 14 293 14044 12533 11 310 11 302 12 290 13 286 12533 11184 8 301 8 285 11 278 12 283 11184 9976 5 289 7 266 11 266 12 273 9976 8895 4 259 7 248 9 266 10 271 8895 7929 6 208 3*238 5 294 6 294 7929 7073 10 187 1*343 7*355 4 019 7073 6312 8 170 2 003 8*000 8 027 6312 5625 5*139 4 001 9 000 11 021 5625 5012 4*069 5 002 9 000 12 017 5012 4497 4 052 5 359 9 360 13 013 4497 4098 4 043 6 358 10 359 13 010 4098 3823 4 037 6 357 9 359 12 005 3823 3655 4 035 6 356 9 359 9*001 3655 3559 4 033 5 356 8 359 6*355 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography