DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.2 - - 61.0 - - 67.2 - - 66.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 146 - - 507 - - 614 - - 394 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1405 - - 3904 - - 5355 - - 4768 - - 2205 BL Depth Hcrit 3878 - - 6186 - - 7406 - - 6784 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 4808 - - 7307 - - 8758 - - 8171 - - 5608 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1463 - - 887 - - 996 - - 1598 - - 1885 Hgt.Variab. W* 244 - - 519 - - 615 - - 511 - - 174 W* B/S 18 - - 11 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 12 - - 15 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 331 - - 337 - - 341 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -793 - - -2175 - - -1818 - - -1909 - - -2186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5601 - - 9483 - - 10576 - - 10080 - - 7795 sfcLCL ODpotential -8034 - - -7461 - - -5236 - - -5362 - - -6563 ODpotential blCL 12842 - - 14768 - - 13994 - - 13533 - - 12171 blCL maxRH 76 - - 57 - - 57 - - 56 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.2 - - 61.0 - - 67.2 - - 66.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 31.7 - - 32.9 - - 34.0 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 58.1 - - 63.8 - - 63.6 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 31.6 - - 32.9 - - 34.0 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 146 - - 507 - - 614 - - 394 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1405 - - 3904 - - 5355 - - 4768 - - 2205 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99345 32 107 32 098 32 103 33 106 31 106 99345 91816 32 101 22 118 22 102 25 102 23 090 91816 86050 32 085 23 117 14 123 21 088 22 104 86050 81264 18 080 28 102 14 136 15 101 20 099 81264 77128 13 113 19 088 14 122 12 124 16 092 77128 73450 12 117 12 093 14 115 11 137 12 103 73450 70098 9 113 8 101 14 111 9 129 7 150 70098 67017 9 113 6 108 10 095 9 098 8 178 67017 64170 9 112 4 131 4 143 6 055 7 134 64170 61409 5 091 3 154 4 189 5 335 8 093 61409 58512 3 066 3 143 6 191 7 272 4 009 58512 55496 4 313 4 314 5 287 7 270 6 303 55496 52614 5 302 7 296 8 317 8 298 10 308 52614 50025 7 327 7 312 9 318 12 300 13 305 50025 47713 16 337 7 345 11 318 12 302 12 307 47713 45623 19 329 13 334 14 313 13 301 13 314 45623 43721 21 308 20 307 15 304 15 302 16 311 43721 41981 19 295 22 295 17 297 16 305 14 311 41981 40382 14 291 20 283 17 283 14 305 10 317 40382 38903 14 291 16 260 15 261 11 293 8 339 38903 37528 14 289 15 242 14 238 10 277 9 345 37528 36218 14 284 16 241 12 236 10 284 11 344 36218 34902 15 271 16 244 10 263 11 307 13 345 34902 33545 16 261 16 247 10 286 13 318 16 344 33545 32152 17 257 15 253 10 289 13 315 17 335 32152 30710 17 258 13 264 9 290 12 309 16 329 30710 29206 16 263 13 271 9 294 12 309 14 328 29206 27642 14 277 12 276 10 296 12 315 13 330 27642 26017 14 291 11 295 13 303 13 324 11 336 26017 24334 14 302 13 310 14 310 15 329 11 338 24334 22598 14 312 14 318 13 316 14 323 13 338 22598 20806 11 309 11 317 11 308 13 318 13 342 20806 18953 9 293 9 301 10 305 11 326 10 347 18953 17078 9 298 9 293 8 303 6 324 6 332 17078 15279 11 317 9 300 6 300 5 279 6 275 15279 13645 13 325 10 317 7 312 7 266 9 260 13645 12190 12 327 11 326 9 318 8 284 10 268 12190 10890 11 326 12 333 10 318 9 286 11 275 10890 9727 11 326 12 340 10*317 7 297 10 276 9727 8687 11 314 12 328 11*330 9*332 8 280 8687 7760 10 293 9*323 11 332 11*340 7 332 7760 6938 8 284 9*326 12 335 12 340 11 354 6938 6206 7 307 9 328 13 338 15 342 15*352 6206 5545 7 320 9 330 13 339 16 342 17*346 5545 4956 4*326 9 331 14 340 17 341 17 344 4956 4460 3*352 9 334 14 341 17 341 17 343 4460 4077 3 001 9 334 14 341 17 340 17 342 4077 3812 2 007 8 336 13 342 17 340 16 342 3812 3650 2 008 8 336 13 341 16 340 15 342 3650 3557 2 009 7 336 12 341 14 340 12 341 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography