DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 14.5 - - 21.7 - - 35.0 - - 34.3 - - 24.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 88 - - 203 - - 27 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 712 - - 4046 - - 3094 - - 152 BL Depth Hcrit 3538 - - 3538 - - 5948 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 4115 - - 7449 - - 6497 - - 3555 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 567 - - 888 - - 1797 - - 2527 - - 962 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 164 - - 387 - - 181 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 13 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 005 - - 072 - - 069 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -28 - - -640 - - -1986 - - -2945 - - -1574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3583 - - 4756 - - 9436 - - 9443 - - 5130 sfcLCL ODpotential -5507 - - -4846 - - -5634 - - -6569 - - -5511 ODpotential blCL 9062 - - 8961 - - 13083 - - 13066 - - 9066 blCL maxRH 89 - - 80 - - 52 - - 45 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 14.5 - - 21.7 - - 35.0 - - 34.3 - - 24.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.8 - - 13.9 - - 6.1 - - 5.5 - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.2 - - 20.9 - - 33.5 - - 33.8 - - 25.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.7 - - 13.8 - - 5.9 - - 5.3 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 88 - - 203 - - 27 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 712 - - 4046 - - 3094 - - 152 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96472 1 334 11 281 18 336 16 003 13 313 96472 89530 13 000 3 245 19 334 15 354 12 343 89530 84105 12 022 12 022 9 359 14 339 13 007 84105 79515 17 028 12 038 9 027 18 351 23 006 79515 75519 18 009 14 054 12 038 10 000 16 345 75519 71954 24 002 19 025 15 040 7 038 8 000 71954 68691 23 345 20 012 20 019 18 010 15 357 68691 65671 12 335 17 004 15 357 19 346 18 350 65671 62861 9 002 16 003 7 339 14 342 16 353 62861 60120 23 359 24 003 13 360 17 332 19 347 60120 57249 29 346 28 351 22 354 19 347 19 355 57249 54263 25 335 24 340 22 339 22 351 17 358 54263 51402 22 320 18 354 18 349 20 354 20 010 51402 48823 20 003 25 012 26 004 26 007 30 020 48823 46528 29 020 32 014 31 011 30 004 32 018 46528 44473 38 013 38 023 34 026 32 033 27 029 44473 42603 43 010 44 028 40 037 39 040 29 050 42603 40873 42 011 45 031 44 040 42 038 38 057 40873 39263 38 016 47 033 47 040 46 039 51 050 39263 37767 42 026 50 032 48 039 51 042 60 047 37767 36378 48 027 50 029 48 038 55 042 65 048 36378 35057 51 037 50 032 46 041 53 042 71 060 35057 33742 74 051 55 041 51 050 53 051 103 068 33742 32404 99 049 63 046 61 054 64 060 122 067 32404 31036 105 044 69 048 68 055 77 063 127 065 31036 29621 91 041 71 049 68 055 79 064 128 064 29621 28146 79 045 68 049 63 057 75 063 125 065 28146 26614 77 051 63 048 56 059 66 063 112 066 26614 25034 80 051 59 048 51 059 56 064 90 066 25034 23413 79 047 55 049 49 059 52 065 71 067 23413 21752 76 050 53 049 48 059 51 065 64 068 21752 20036 70 058 54 050 48 061 49 065 60 069 20036 18255 62 059 53 052 49 064 47 066 59 069 18255 16444 53 054 49 054 47 065 43 068 55 070 16444 14707 45 055 44 057 44 067 40 070 47 071 14707 13134 39 061 41 064 39 071 36 073 39 074 13134 11742 35 068 37 071 34 079 33 080 34 078 11742 10504 33 074 34 078 32 087 30 089 29 084 10504 9399 31 080 31 082 31 092 28 095 27 092 9399 8412 29 085 29 086 26 091 25 093 25 097 8412 7532 29 089 26 088 18*083 22 086 24 099 7532 6751 29 089 24 091 15*077 21*080 23 096 6751 6056 29 087 22 091 15 075 20*072 23 090 6056 5429 24 084 18 087 13 073 20 070 23 083 5429 4872 13 077 11 075 13 071 19 069 21 077 4872 4404 6 030 5*035 12 069 19 068 16 068 4404 4043 7 355 5*006 11 068 19 067 13 054 4043 3794 8 342 5 006 11 067 18 066 10 033 3794 3642 5*329 4 004 10 067 16 066 8 019 3642 3555 3*318 4 005 9 066 12 065 5*008 3555 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography