DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 72.8 - - 71.4 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 290 - - 86 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2616 - - 4001 - - 2803 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4988 - - 6068 - - 4524 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6019 - - 7404 - - 6206 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1905 - - 2103 - - 2765 - - 696 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 364 - - 434 - - 258 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 253 - - 258 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -5 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8421 - - -6561 - - -6551 - - -4758 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14441 - - 13965 - - 12758 - - 8317 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14279 - - -11443 - - -10923 - - -11763 ODpotential blCL - - - 20298 - - 18847 - - 17129 - - 15321 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 87 - - 73 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 72.8 - - 71.4 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.5 - - 23.9 - - 27.9 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 70.9 - - 70.5 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 23.8 - - 28.0 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 290 - - 86 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2616 - - 4001 - - 2803 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 48 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96428 10 217 20 268 18 332 3 231 96428 89424 8 212 16 250 13 313 3 243 89424 84020 8 290 13 273 19 279 10 292 84020 79513 11 272 12 267 8 263 10 321 79513 75592 5 273 9 284 15 289 15 311 75592 72123 14 276 16 273 17 287 15 325 72123 68974 6 272 10 281 12 290 10 336 68974 66058 14 292 17 297 24 282 23 293 66058 63363 26 275 26 270 24 263 27 272 63363 60772 26 264 26 264 21 263 21 269 60772 58058 26 265 31 270 32 277 30 281 58058 55216 35 270 42 268 46 275 45 278 55216 52495 45 270 50 270 55 272 55 271 52495 50046 57 274 61 275 62 274 58 269 50046 47845 69 273 71 273 70 273 63 271 47845 45841 75 269 73 267 75 270 72 271 45841 44002 76 269 75 264 73 267 74 265 44002 42314 73 268 72 263 70 259 71 259 42314 40756 68 272 66 263 64 254 64 253 40756 39305 68 279 62 267 60 258 58 245 39305 37940 66 273 60 262 59 254 55 243 37940 36625 63 264 59 259 60 253 54 251 36625 35295 63 260 63 262 59 259 53 259 35295 33925 64 262 64 265 57 266 52 262 33925 32518 64 266 63 267 55 269 51 260 32518 31061 64 270 61 269 54 270 54 256 31061 29542 65 271 60 273 53 270 63 256 29542 27964 65 269 59 274 54 265 72 259 27964 26328 66 266 59 270 59 261 74 261 26328 24638 65 264 63 266 64 262 69 263 24638 22897 64 263 65 266 65 266 63 264 22897 21097 61 262 63 267 62 268 59 263 21097 19230 56 262 59 268 56 268 55 262 19230 17332 51 263 56 267 52 268 52 263 17332 15506 45 263 51 265 48 269 48 266 15506 13843 40 262 46 263 44 269 45 269 13843 12359 36 260 42 262 41 266 41 272 12359 11034 34 258 39 260 38 262 38 273 11034 9848 32 257 37 258 35 257 36 271 9848 8787 30 257 33 256 31 254 34 268 8787 7840 28 258 26*252 26 251 32 263 7840 6999 27 259 21*251 21 251 30 257 6999 6251 24*259 21 251 19*253 27 252 6251 5578 22*258 20 252 19*255 25 247 5578 4978 20 258 20 254 18 257 22 243 4978 4474 19 259 19 255 18 258 19 242 4474 4085 18 260 18 256 17 260 15 242 4085 3815 17 261 18 257 16 260 11 245 3815 3651 16 261 17 257 15 261 8*248 3651 3558 14 262 14 257 12 262 5*242 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography