DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 84.2 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 513 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3424 - - 5779 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5754 - - 7685 - - - - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6827 - - 9182 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1282 - - 1675 - - - - - 6000 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 467 - - 594 - - - - - 40 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 50 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 274 - - - - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -11 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8571 - - -6908 - - - - - -9919 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15399 - - 16091 - - - - - 13479 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16361 - - -11578 - - - - - -15201 ODpotential blCL - - - 23188 - - 20760 - - - - - 18760 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 49 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 84.2 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.0 - - 25.5 - - - - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 81.2 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.9 - - 25.5 - - - - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 513 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3424 - - 5779 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99655 23 125 20 077 24 097 99655 92054 25 105 19 098 18 090 92054 86214 23 097 21 116 19 092 86214 81388 22 100 17 108 15 098 81388 77236 21 107 12 119 16 112 77236 73561 14 101 13 115 10 091 73561 70237 4 115 10 106 7 099 70237 67190 2 137 6 107 3 196 67190 64370 4 255 4 233 5 213 64370 61645 9 262 11 236 7 266 61645 58811 11 272 13 251 14 260 58811 55878 22 278 25 270 20 266 55878 53083 31 275 34 267 32 267 53083 50567 36 276 39 269 39 266 50567 48318 33 280 38 270 42 266 48318 46290 35 285 32 276 39 265 46290 44454 26 279 21 277 26 257 44454 42776 27 316 21 309 16 249 42776 41216 22 327 23 303 12 275 41216 39752 13 339 19 295 12 277 39752 38378 9 345 15 305 11 269 38378 37056 10 340 14 317 11 260 37056 35719 15 336 12 310 14 256 35719 34338 18 337 11 299 16 253 34338 32917 18 340 12 297 15 256 32917 31441 17 345 14 306 14 273 31441 29902 11 342 15 314 14 269 29902 28301 8 308 12 298 18 254 28301 26638 10 295 13 278 20 259 26638 24918 11 300 13 277 18 261 24918 23145 11 291 14 273 19 261 23145 21317 13 276 14 268 20 263 21317 19426 13 273 14 271 21 261 19426 17506 12 272 14 274 22 253 17506 15659 12 267 13 268 22 243 15659 13979 11 265 12 259 22 234 13979 12483 9 269 11 249 19 219 12483 11148 7 269 11 235 13 224 11148 9952 5 264 8*226 6 238 9952 8881 3 262 5*228 4 331 8881 7924 1 295 4 232 9 356 7924 7073 2*045 3 243 13 358 7073 6314 2*043 2 284 17 357 6314 5627 2 039 2 304 18 356 5627 5014 2 039 2 324 19 354 5014 4498 3 033 3 336 19 353 4498 4099 3 033 3 340 19 353 4099 3823 3 031 3 344 18 352 3823 3656 3 031 3 344 16*352 3656 3559 3 030 3 346 12*351 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography