DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 89.1 - - - - - 84.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 230 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2849 - - 6684 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5141 - - 8065 - - - - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6252 - - 10087 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3181 - - 4163 - - - - - 9530 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 368 - - 487 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 91 - - 25 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 275 - - - - - 117 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 16 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4446 - - -34 - - - - - -5987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10699 - - 10121 - - - - - 9546 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7107 - - -1617 - - - - - -7579 ODpotential blCL - - - 13359 - - 11704 - - - - - 11138 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 97 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 890 - - - - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 89.1 - - - - - 84.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 56.7 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.4 - - 87.4 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 56.0 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 230 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2849 - - 6684 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 88 - - - - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99736 27 115 25 104 28 096 99736 92196 29 115 25 108 20 103 92196 86386 27 117 22 118 24 107 86386 81557 27 108 23 120 24 101 81557 77400 23 103 21 112 22 093 77400 73739 21 121 18 104 18 103 73739 70442 28 119 17 122 19 114 70442 67417 23 095 21 136 15 105 67417 64622 14 108 18 126 12 125 64622 61923 13 129 12 124 13 141 61923 59118 11 134 9 162 10 180 59118 56241 12 221 10 221 14 204 56241 53524 25 221 21 233 19 221 53524 51083 28 221 26 220 26 214 51083 48892 29 228 27 215 30 204 48892 46893 31 229 27 218 29 202 46893 45050 34 226 28 220 25 210 45050 43337 34 218 30 219 23 217 43337 41736 30 210 35 216 24 221 41736 40233 29 200 35 206 25 219 40233 38820 29 197 31 200 29 218 38820 37466 28 203 29 205 36 218 37466 36105 29 212 28 202 36 215 36105 34703 31 203 29 198 31 208 34703 33262 37 198 32 201 30 202 33262 31766 38 206 35 208 30 200 31766 30205 33 218 34 218 29 198 30205 28580 33 220 25 221 28 196 28580 26895 31 210 22 212 26 195 26895 25154 29 206 21 207 24 196 25154 23359 26 215 23 210 22 199 23359 21509 25 210 24 213 19 212 21509 19599 24 204 22 216 15 252 19599 17666 19 214 22 221 12 300 17666 15808 18 227 19 231 14 313 15808 14120 18 237 17 241 14 292 14120 12617 18 246 15 242 12 275 12617 11272 16 253 10*240 9 274 11272 10063 12 256 7*244 7 271 10063 8978 8 249 6 246 4 256 8978 8005 6 229 4 264 3 210 8005 7139 5 208 3 284 4 172 7139 6365 3*197 3 299 5 158 6365 5666 2*190 3 306 6 151 5666 5041 1 185 3 310 6 145 5041 4516 1 174 3 313 6 137 4516 4110 0 150 3 314 6 134 4110 3829 0 063 3 317 5 129 3829 3658 0 038 3 315 5 124 3658 3559 0 024 3 316 4*117 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography