DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 72.5 - - 64.6 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 299 - - 135 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2037 - - 4260 - - 1806 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4544 - - 6283 - - 4132 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5440 - - 7663 - - 5209 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2317 - - 3942 - - 1779 - - 2749 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 449 - - 259 - - 60 W* B/S - - - 78 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 21 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 280 - - 345 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5894 - - -5264 - - -3254 - - -343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11335 - - 12928 - - 8463 - - 3901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11752 - - -8151 - - -6126 - - -1515 ODpotential blCL - - - 17192 - - 15814 - - 11335 - - 5072 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 72.5 - - 64.6 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 27.7 - - 39.7 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 70.4 - - 63.4 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 27.6 - - 39.8 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 299 - - 135 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2037 - - 4260 - - 1806 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 93 - - 91 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98616 22 270 14 271 15 275 26 280 98616 91191 13 260 17 254 19 276 15 283 91191 85478 9 249 14 261 12 265 8 275 85478 80748 6 218 14 272 10 276 7 259 80748 76683 2 297 8 269 3 312 3 236 76683 73085 3 300 4 325 1 245 3 313 73085 69820 4 279 8 315 3 337 6 339 69820 66808 6 316 10 310 8 335 4 338 66808 64004 8 281 13 273 14 301 9 318 64004 61280 5 259 11 258 19 284 15 300 61280 58430 12 288 14 256 22 258 22 270 58430 55466 20 284 19 262 23 264 25 273 55466 52620 30 283 32 268 36 264 31 281 52620 50039 44 272 41 263 48 254 50 260 50039 47732 62 264 56 257 58 254 56 243 47732 45648 79 261 69 255 69 249 53 244 45648 43738 93 265 83 258 78 247 64 248 43738 41976 106 266 98 258 89 248 70 248 41976 40336 116 265 112 257 99 247 82 246 40336 38812 122 263 118 254 102 247 94 245 38812 37394 121 261 117 252 109 248 116 244 37394 36042 116 258 115 250 114 246 126 239 36042 34685 109 255 112 245 115 241 128 236 34685 33293 101 252 108 242 114 238 129 234 33293 31868 98 249 104 240 113 236 129 232 31868 30396 97 248 101 239 109 234 126 230 30396 28871 93 248 98 239 104 234 117 228 28871 27303 88 250 94 240 100 235 102 225 27303 25696 81 253 89 243 93 234 84 221 25696 24050 73 252 79 246 84 231 69 214 24050 22359 64 247 66 243 76 227 63 210 22359 20609 58 243 59 236 68 222 60 210 20609 18792 52 242 56 232 61 215 57 209 18792 16942 48 240 53 230 53 209 54 206 16942 15160 45 236 50 228 43 201 45 199 15160 13535 43 235 44 224 36 196 32 198 13535 12088 40 235 34 215 29 195 19 200 12088 10799 37 236 25 206 22 201 11 205 10799 9650 34 236 20 207 14 218 8 220 9650 8624 29 234 16 212 9 243 10 247 8624 7708 23 229 12*224 6 293 14 258 7708 6895 16 222 10*237 10 343 17 267 6895 6171 11 217 8 260 15 352 19 279 6171 5518 7*216 7 281 19*350 19 290 5518 4936 2*221 7 290 22*347 18 301 4936 4447 1 241 7 296 22 345 17 310 4447 4069 1 284 7 300 22 345 17 316 4069 3808 1 324 7 302 22 344 15 319 3808 3649 1 326 7 304 20 344 14*320 3649 3557 1 322 7 305 15 344 10*320 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography