DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 55.0 - - 55.9 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 476 - - 229 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3964 - - 5313 - - 5648 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6136 - - 7283 - - 7228 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7367 - - 8716 - - 9051 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1371 - - 1020 - - 1255 - - 3960 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 472 - - 563 - - 451 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 108 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 312 - - 004 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 2 - - -7 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3654 - - -4935 - - -4887 - - -7945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11021 - - 13651 - - 13938 - - 11503 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10163 - - -10476 - - -10228 - - -13641 ODpotential blCL - - - 17530 - - 19192 - - 19279 - - 17198 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 74 - - 81 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 55.0 - - 55.9 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.5 - - 7.1 - - 6.9 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 52.3 - - 54.3 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.3 - - 7.0 - - 6.6 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 476 - - 229 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3964 - - 5313 - - 5648 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96741 27 261 37 272 37 286 33 288 96741 89463 26 270 26 280 30 290 25 286 89463 83895 17 263 21 289 22 295 17 300 83895 79300 21 302 15 291 15 285 15 293 79300 75333 17 312 14 292 15 282 15 293 75333 71794 15 317 16 304 16 305 18 297 71794 68571 18 309 17 302 14 311 15 279 68571 65592 17 320 18 306 19 327 13 325 65592 62825 20 330 21 310 27 319 24 330 62825 60149 21 331 22 313 27 309 28 323 60149 57355 20 339 22 330 24 318 28 325 57355 54446 28 337 31 334 30 329 34 329 54446 51659 34 331 37 329 35 329 35 325 51659 49141 37 332 40 329 35 329 35 327 49141 46876 40 332 41 327 39 321 37 325 46876 44822 42 331 41 323 42 321 39 324 44822 42951 45 330 43 322 43 317 44 324 42951 41240 49 328 39 322 43 319 49 313 41240 39674 44 331 49 330 51 308 50 316 39674 38233 57 335 56 320 52 319 58 314 38233 36899 67 328 58 319 60 319 61 311 36899 35625 69 328 62 321 62 318 59 310 35625 34340 69 328 66 321 62 318 57 310 34340 33015 69 330 63 320 60 319 55 310 33015 31651 68 333 58 324 55 318 53 309 31651 30236 67 334 53 326 49 313 51 310 30236 28761 64 337 50 330 47 307 48 312 28761 27225 63 339 48 334 44 306 43 314 27225 25630 60 339 47 334 39 307 39 310 25630 23980 51 338 44 331 35 307 33 308 23980 22281 41 339 39 329 32 312 30 301 22281 20525 34 341 31 330 27 318 23 295 20525 18711 30 343 25 335 21 319 15 298 18711 16872 27 345 20 342 16 322 11 300 16872 15101 25 349 17 350 12 324 8 290 15101 13489 21 352 14 358 7 311 8 275 13489 12052 16 346 12 004 4 253 10 253 12052 10771 11 332 7 001 5 210 12 226 10771 9629 7 307 1*246 2*191 14 196 9629 8608 6 267 1*225 1*187 10 178 8608 7698 6*243 1 236 0 005 6 162 7698 6887 6*243 1 257 3 004 2 122 6887 6166 5 245 1 299 4 004 3 044 6166 5514 5 249 1 320 4 004 7 022 5514 4933 5 254 2 337 5 005 10 016 4933 4445 4 260 2 344 5 004 11 013 4445 4068 4 265 2 344 5 004 12 012 4068 3807 4 270 2 347 6 005 11 010 3807 3648 4 271 2 345 5 004 9*008 3648 3557 3 271 2 345 5 004 5*006 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography