DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1859z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.5 - - 52.2 - - 63.3 - - 65.7 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 291 - - 381 - - 137 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 147 - - 2137 - - 3637 - - 3883 - - 148 BL Depth Hcrit 3534 - - 4668 - - 5888 - - 5612 - - 3534 Hcrit BL Top 3550 - - 5540 - - 7040 - - 7286 - - 3551 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 128 - - 784 - - 891 - - 1140 - - 289 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 352 - - 461 - - 334 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 11 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 049 - - 032 - - 022 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -7 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1350 - - -2341 - - -4312 - - -5243 - - -5486 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4901 - - 7882 - - 11353 - - 12530 - - 9038 sfcLCL ODpotential -14572 - - -12378 - - -12132 - - -12628 - - -15618 ODpotential blCL 18122 - - 17918 - - 19172 - - 19914 - - 19169 blCL maxRH 62 - - 55 - - 38 - - 33 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.5 - - 52.2 - - 63.3 - - 65.7 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.8 - - 30.4 - - 26.1 - - 23.3 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.6 - - 52.0 - - 61.7 - - 64.6 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.9 - - 30.3 - - 26.0 - - 23.2 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 291 - - 381 - - 137 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 147 - - 2137 - - 3637 - - 3883 - - 148 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98121 20 272 23 297 15 286 14 259 22 285 98121 90709 21 288 19 278 27 282 21 285 24 285 90709 84986 24 306 15 274 29 269 30 291 22 292 84986 80244 24 305 18 278 21 265 28 285 20 293 80244 76169 23 306 21 286 19 277 22 284 20 303 76169 72582 23 303 20 284 20 292 20 289 20 306 72582 69348 21 305 19 294 20 293 20 297 19 317 69348 66386 22 307 18 307 17 292 19 301 20 322 66386 63645 23 308 23 319 19 309 19 308 18 316 63645 60981 25 309 25 313 23 309 22 311 19 320 60981 58195 25 310 25 315 26 309 27 311 25 323 58195 55308 29 318 28 323 28 310 30 311 29 319 55308 52557 35 316 31 320 29 314 31 317 32 322 52557 50086 39 315 35 325 36 332 40 332 37 331 50086 47881 44 318 47 332 47 336 49 335 43 334 47881 45895 51 324 56 331 52 333 48 333 46 332 45895 44086 57 328 58 330 50 329 43 333 43 330 44086 42416 56 333 54 333 45 327 38 340 42 340 42416 40862 51 336 50 335 41 331 38 351 47 353 40862 39406 45 341 45 336 41 339 42 359 55 002 39406 38041 42 348 43 342 45 349 48 004 62 006 38041 36730 41 351 43 349 51 355 53 005 64 007 36730 35406 39 351 46 356 57 357 56 006 62 007 35406 34040 38 350 51 001 60 358 56 005 59 007 34040 32632 37 350 58 005 61 358 53 004 56 008 32632 31169 37 351 63 007 61 358 52 003 52 008 31169 29640 38 353 62 007 59 358 52 003 49 007 29640 28049 39 356 56 004 56 356 52 004 48 007 28049 26398 41 359 49 000 54 354 50 002 47 007 26398 24693 41 001 46 358 51 353 48 359 45 005 24693 22934 40 001 43 357 46 354 45 357 42 001 22934 21112 39 001 39 355 39 355 40 353 39 359 21112 19221 38 002 35 354 35 353 36 352 37 358 19221 17299 36 005 32 359 34 351 34 354 34 359 17299 15451 33 007 31 008 32 357 32 360 32 001 15451 13771 28 012 31 016 29 009 28 012 30 005 13771 12277 23 017 26 022 26 021 24 028 25 013 12277 10949 18 022 19 026 20 026 19 044 18 024 10949 9767 15 025 15 028 13 028 12 053 13 040 9767 8714 14 026 13 033 10 038 9 056 10 045 8714 7778 13 027 12 041 9*057 9*057 9 053 7778 6950 11 029 10 047 8*057 9*053 8 060 6950 6212 9 030 8*053 8 051 10 031 10 061 6212 5547 8 034 6*057 8 029 10 023 12 059 5547 4954 6 037 4 051 8 025 11 018 14 055 4954 4456 2 058 3 048 8 022 11 015 14 051 4456 4071 2 191 3 044 8 020 10 012 13 044 4071 3805 6 214 3 041 8 019 10 011 11 034 3805 3644 6*208 3 038 7 018 10 010 8*021 3644 3551 4*200 3 038 7 017 9 010 5*015 3551 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography