DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.5 - - 40.7 - - 48.6 - - 48.9 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 126 - - 225 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1504 - - 2674 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3858 - - 4977 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4907 - - 6077 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1358 - - 637 - - 1651 - - 4696 - - 1075 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 238 - - 349 - - 50 - - 6 W* B/S 4 - - 26 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 289 - - 341 - - 017 - - 352 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -4 - - 3 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 278 - - -600 - - -3533 - - -806 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 4630 - - 6677 - - 7090 - - 4363 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -2586 - - -2105 - - -5474 - - -5183 ODpotential blCL 3556 - - 7493 - - 8182 - - 9031 - - 8740 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 79 - - 67 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.5 - - 40.7 - - 48.6 - - 48.9 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.4 - - 32.9 - - 31.8 - - 30.3 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.3 - - 39.6 - - 47.0 - - 48.6 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 32.9 - - 31.8 - - 30.3 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 126 - - 225 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1504 - - 2674 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 68 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96621 15 004 12 314 18 350 9 346 17 313 96621 89695 14 036 13 087 9 320 9 020 13 023 89695 84249 10 058 15 082 6 235 5 029 13 057 84249 79686 4 045 8 079 5 123 3 186 6 037 79686 75735 3 278 4 062 4 150 10 233 6 316 75735 72230 5 241 9 288 4 134 11 196 9 234 72230 69029 6 169 9 253 7 264 4 228 9 208 69029 66057 2 237 4 236 7 253 12 266 12 241 66057 63288 11 290 12 308 6 305 8 267 14 215 63288 60603 12 297 17 297 16 295 13 287 7 208 60603 57810 11 308 18 292 21 283 22 286 13 303 57810 54937 12 332 15 294 20 286 26 287 25 279 54937 52213 23 345 18 333 25 318 20 304 19 281 52213 49755 37 340 31 339 39 322 33 310 27 288 49755 47534 42 339 45 336 41 315 32 302 26 282 47534 45501 47 347 48 333 33 319 29 306 26 283 45501 43623 61 352 47 341 29 332 29 307 28 287 43623 41881 71 351 50 345 35 330 33 303 40 294 41881 40269 68 347 53 342 41 325 38 296 49 296 40269 38775 58 346 53 341 44 321 43 307 42 300 38775 37381 51 353 55 344 47 324 52 318 42 321 37381 36049 47 005 57 346 50 333 57 322 60 319 36049 34716 53 012 58 353 50 341 56 324 56 323 34716 33348 62 013 61 359 54 347 53 332 44 328 33348 31951 65 011 63 004 59 350 53 341 42 332 31951 30509 61 010 65 009 60 356 52 350 44 334 30509 29008 57 008 68 015 59 005 54 358 41 341 29008 27448 44 007 73 019 62 014 54 003 40 352 27448 25830 31 003 76 020 67 019 53 009 38 356 25830 24158 19 345 68 018 69 020 54 011 36 354 24158 22434 12 323 44 008 67 018 54 013 35 354 22434 20651 8 329 17 340 57 015 54 018 33 004 20651 18797 7 342 9 320 33 002 52 017 32 013 18797 16908 8 348 10 359 13 346 49 014 35 023 16908 15093 10 354 14 016 12 005 31 009 35 030 15093 13454 9 358 13 019 15 011 13 002 26 027 13454 12012 6 010 10 019 15 010 11 015 14 013 12012 10736 4 023 9 013 14 010 13 022 8 011 10736 9597 4 026 9 007 12 010 13 019 8 028 9597 8580 6 011 9 009 10 011 11 009 9 032 8580 7672 8 360 9 008 8 011 10 357 10 025 7672 6866 10 355 9 000 6 011 9 354 9 014 6866 6148 10 350 9 351 5*012 8 353 9 003 6148 5500 7 344 7*337 5*014 8 353 9 003 5500 4923 3 333 3*330 5 016 8 353 7 008 4923 4438 1 293 2 340 5 018 8 353 4 010 4438 4063 2 287 1 346 5 018 8 353 3 009 4063 3804 2 290 1 349 5 020 8 353 2 009 3804 3647 2*287 1 355 5 019 8*352 1*345 3647 3557 2*289 1 355 4 020 6*352 1*204 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography