DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 55.4 - - - - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 535 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5201 - - 6775 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 8508 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8604 - - 10178 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1050 - - 990 - - - - - 4675 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 535 - - 636 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 016 - - - - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2447 - - -3282 - - - - - -7965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11052 - - 13461 - - - - - 11523 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9002 - - -8812 - - - - - -14295 ODpotential blCL - - - 17606 - - 18990 - - - - - 17852 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 40 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 55.4 - - - - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.4 - - 8.1 - - - - - 7.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 52.4 - - - - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.1 - - 7.8 - - - - - 7.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 535 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5201 - - 6775 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97189 10 277 11 293 19 294 97189 89853 9 287 5 290 9 291 89853 84251 9 280 5 303 10 291 84251 79603 8 246 9 279 7 266 79603 75569 9 212 12 259 1 228 75569 71972 8 193 9 259 5 273 71972 68706 4 220 10 279 5 264 68706 65687 5 272 14 275 6 278 65687 62872 8 271 12 275 12 288 62872 60147 11 285 12 280 15 290 60147 57298 14 294 14 283 15 288 57298 54319 14 298 15 291 16 290 54319 51462 17 306 17 297 20 305 51462 48893 21 310 17 296 25 309 48893 46601 25 306 21 298 25 304 46601 44529 23 315 23 306 24 307 44529 42641 33 330 28 305 27 309 42641 40912 39 324 30 310 30 311 40912 39321 41 323 36 310 34 316 39321 37859 41 314 38 310 40 317 37859 36509 33 322 34 310 44 314 36509 35225 37 354 34 333 46 310 35225 33935 50 001 44 344 48 311 33935 32610 57 360 49 344 52 313 32610 31254 56 355 49 345 53 313 31254 29851 51 348 47 348 52 311 29851 28394 47 343 45 348 49 315 28394 26887 44 341 42 346 44 322 26887 25325 44 341 41 342 41 323 25325 23706 43 339 41 337 41 323 23706 22033 43 338 41 335 41 326 22033 20302 42 336 40 335 38 328 20302 18510 39 334 38 336 34 328 18510 16690 36 335 36 336 28 330 16690 14941 33 342 33 336 22 334 14941 13352 31 350 29 340 17 334 13352 11938 28 001 21 350 14 326 11938 10678 18 016 6*008 13 314 10678 9551 7*054 6*015 11 319 9551 8544 6*079 6 017 6 357 8544 7647 6 079 7 018 8 026 7647 6849 6 078 7 017 12 034 6849 6138 6 075 8 016 14 032 6138 5494 6 073 8 016 15 030 5494 4920 6 070 8 015 16 028 4920 4437 6 068 9 015 16 026 4437 4063 5 065 9 015 16 023 4063 3804 5 063 8 015 14 020 3804 3647 5 063 8 015 11*018 3647 3557 5 062 8 015 7*016 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography