DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 86.8 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 489 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3018 - - 6997 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5418 - - 8651 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6421 - - 10400 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2143 - - 1824 - - - - - 4364 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 624 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 61 - - 18 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 275 - - - - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 7 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3838 - - -3796 - - - - - -8564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10259 - - 14197 - - - - - 12123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8541 - - -7738 - - - - - -13753 ODpotential blCL - - - 14962 - - 18138 - - - - - 17312 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 89 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 86.8 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 36.4 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 83.7 - - - - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 36.3 - - - - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 489 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3018 - - 6997 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 56 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99860 34 121 33 113 28 102 99860 92339 29 126 24 115 27 107 92339 86522 25 123 19 112 20 106 86522 81685 20 109 22 122 21 105 81685 77518 15 112 22 120 15 102 77518 73843 16 119 17 111 14 129 73843 70520 10 117 12 125 12 120 70520 67460 10 143 11 141 4 100 67460 64635 7 144 7 160 6 199 64635 61919 5 222 11 214 6 239 61919 59091 15 245 14 222 14 251 59091 56155 19 249 20 239 21 257 56155 53353 32 251 31 253 28 265 53353 50832 34 251 37 260 39 272 50832 48578 47 265 44 257 48 269 48578 46536 55 258 47 259 44 270 46536 44666 54 259 47 259 42 287 44666 42941 55 262 46 259 49 294 42941 41335 53 262 52 253 48 295 41335 39829 46 257 52 245 41 295 39829 38416 37 251 43 240 35 308 38416 37060 38 245 39 232 30 320 37060 35696 40 249 36 229 31 343 35696 34297 36 255 35 236 32 345 34297 32866 32 256 33 239 21 332 32866 31394 30 257 30 238 7 291 31394 29873 30 258 30 238 7 210 29873 28297 31 259 28 234 11 220 28297 26661 29 262 24 229 15 229 26661 24965 26 264 20 231 17 231 24965 23212 23 258 22 239 19 230 23212 21394 22 249 24 250 21 231 21394 19506 22 246 23 260 22 234 19506 17582 22 243 21 261 21 235 17582 15728 23 241 21 255 22 234 15728 14038 23 238 21 246 23 229 14038 12530 22 240 19 236 21 213 12530 11182 22 241 13*229 17 205 11182 9976 21 238 12*234 10 214 9976 8896 18 229 11 237 5 228 8896 7933 13 215 8 252 5 001 7933 7077 8*204 6 274 10 006 7077 6315 4*194 6 295 13 007 6315 5628 1 094 6 307 16 008 5628 5014 2 049 6 318 17 007 5014 4498 2 038 7 324 17 006 4498 4099 3 030 7 326 17 005 4099 3824 3 028 7 329 15 004 3824 3655 3 027 7 330 13*003 3655 3559 3 026 7 330 9*001 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography