DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 56.0 - - 55.4 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 47 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3612 - - 2400 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5082 - - 3541 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7015 - - 5803 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1933 - - 2813 - - 4903 - - 4228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 221 - - 56 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 20 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 220 - - 229 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 8 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 836 - - 1048 - - -1031 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6179 - - 4755 - - 4589 - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -234 - - -488 - - -2121 - - -1416 ODpotential blCL - - - 7249 - - 6291 - - 5678 - - 4973 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 56.0 - - 55.4 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 47.2 - - 47.2 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 55.5 - - 55.3 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 45.9 - - 46.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 47 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3612 - - 2400 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99108 5 200 11 055 5 105 3 028 99108 91705 9 141 5 094 8 059 7 077 91705 85963 9 104 6 104 7 058 8 060 85963 81183 6 058 3 130 3 330 7 027 81183 77052 1 125 2 167 6 294 8 354 77052 73394 4 261 6 233 5 262 4 333 73394 70068 6 230 8 237 6 257 3 029 70068 66988 9 230 10 215 10 224 7 237 66988 64119 15 221 14 228 12 236 15 230 64119 61324 19 233 20 244 17 249 17 236 61324 58387 23 236 26 240 25 253 19 256 58387 55334 26 249 29 253 30 250 27 265 55334 52435 33 253 31 255 29 259 30 268 52435 49840 30 257 30 266 33 279 36 277 49840 47519 36 274 40 269 43 272 41 278 47519 45414 40 267 40 259 43 267 45 277 45414 43488 39 266 36 263 45 267 50 276 43488 41712 39 266 39 269 47 266 55 273 41712 40068 38 266 47 268 49 262 57 270 40068 38540 42 263 51 262 49 258 56 268 38540 37116 51 258 53 252 51 252 56 265 37116 35763 58 251 54 234 53 238 55 261 35763 34419 61 244 55 230 57 220 52 254 34419 33056 57 243 58 236 58 214 48 245 33056 31673 53 243 61 240 57 214 47 238 31673 30250 54 244 61 240 54 218 49 232 30250 28772 51 248 57 237 51 227 53 229 28772 27238 48 250 55 232 54 235 56 230 27238 25647 46 252 57 234 58 241 58 232 25647 24002 45 254 59 239 57 243 59 230 24002 22304 43 255 57 244 49 240 59 230 22304 20547 39 256 48 249 41 235 57 239 20547 18728 35 258 34 246 38 233 57 249 18728 16884 32 263 25 239 37 237 50 251 16884 15115 33 268 23 249 38 246 42 244 15115 13509 36 265 24 256 40 254 40 241 13509 12079 38 256 28 257 41 258 35 243 12079 10803 38 243 34 254 42 259 30 242 10803 9661 38 229 38 246 42 254 29 245 9661 8639 37 220 37 236 41 246 27 246 8639 7726 35*216 34 229 37 239 26 246 7726 6914 34*215 32 226 34 235 24 246 6914 6189 32 213 29*225 33 234 23 247 6189 5533 30 212 26*223 29 233 22 247 5533 4948 27 210 23 221 25 232 20 245 4948 4455 25 209 20 220 22 231 16 244 4455 4074 22 208 18 219 19 230 13 240 4074 3810 21 207 16 218 17 229 8 233 3810 3650 19 207 15 218 15 229 6*225 3650 3557 15 206 12 218 12*229 4*218 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography