DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 49.4 - - 48.5 - - 43.3 - - 36.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 153 - - 84 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3533 - - 3013 - - 2931 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5442 - - 4737 - - 4480 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6936 - - 6416 - - 6334 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2957 - - 1883 - - 2517 - - 2486 - - 5178 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 340 - - 271 - - 250 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 25 - - 33 - - 24 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 225 - - 230 - - 277 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 21 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 10 - - -8 - - 15 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -452 - - 587 - - 1313 - - 1171 - - -640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4008 - - 6350 - - 5103 - - 5163 - - 4197 sfcLCL ODpotential -2125 - - -287 - - -107 - - -492 - - -1736 ODpotential blCL 5681 - - 7223 - - 6523 - - 6826 - - 5292 blCL maxRH 98 - - 98 - - 90 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 120 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 49.4 - - 48.5 - - 43.3 - - 36.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 33.5 - - 38.0 - - 32.7 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.2 - - 48.3 - - 47.8 - - 42.7 - - 37.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.8 - - 33.3 - - 37.2 - - 31.6 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 153 - - 84 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3533 - - 3013 - - 2931 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 93 - - 59 - - 80 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96281 12 258 22 251 12 253 16 280 7 287 96281 89121 7 339 4 283 14 270 15 288 9 334 89121 83628 10 324 7 306 8 297 15 273 14 314 83628 79078 9 314 16 265 17 276 15 273 9 305 79078 75130 11 317 9 254 18 245 18 280 13 331 75130 71601 19 310 16 288 19 255 24 271 19 295 71601 68388 28 291 24 281 25 271 18 281 17 279 68388 65411 26 283 22 285 20 281 10 311 11 296 65411 62614 25 284 22 284 29 280 30 288 18 303 62614 59878 28 283 30 283 37 275 37 283 30 301 59878 57025 32 287 31 284 38 274 35 281 43 292 57025 54063 39 287 34 289 34 274 33 284 45 288 54063 51220 43 281 41 287 31 282 41 289 46 286 51220 48650 40 278 43 284 43 288 48 284 49 286 48650 46342 37 278 43 280 52 281 51 282 51 285 46342 44247 39 280 44 281 53 280 54 284 54 284 44247 42333 44 277 50 280 54 279 59 284 59 281 42333 40574 44 274 57 273 56 276 64 281 61 278 40574 38943 43 271 59 263 57 274 67 279 62 278 38943 37422 43 266 53 259 58 274 71 276 66 280 37422 36002 46 267 51 263 63 275 70 271 72 278 36002 34650 47 266 54 265 67 272 65 268 75 274 34650 33297 47 260 61 266 67 266 62 268 71 268 33297 31917 46 254 69 265 64 260 61 270 63 265 31917 30513 45 250 68 262 62 252 62 271 56 267 30513 29076 44 248 56 251 60 244 60 267 54 268 29076 27599 45 250 47 236 51 235 57 257 54 266 27599 26085 47 253 47 230 46 225 57 246 57 258 26085 24535 45 256 49 240 48 228 58 243 58 248 24535 22954 41 254 47 249 51 233 51 237 56 243 22954 21342 38 248 44 252 49 237 47 224 53 239 21342 19688 38 248 45 252 46 241 53 224 52 236 19688 17980 37 251 44 252 46 245 60 230 52 232 17980 16248 34 253 41 248 45 249 59 235 51 224 16248 14581 33 250 39 244 43 249 50 233 49 221 14581 13060 32 246 38 241 40 246 46 228 49 226 13060 11702 34 245 39 241 40 242 41 230 51 233 11702 10487 37 245 41 241 42 240 33 234 50 240 10487 9400 40 245 42 239 44 237 26 247 42 246 9400 8426 42 245 41 236 44 234 25 260 36 254 8426 7553 40 242 36*232 43 232 26 269 34 260 7553 6777 35 239 32*229 42*231 26*274 31 263 6777 6083 30 233 28 226 40*231 26*275 29 264 6083 5455 25 227 27 225 37 230 26 276 27 264 5455 4893 20 220 25 225 34 230 25 277 23 264 4893 4420 16 212 23 224 32 230 25 278 19 265 4420 4054 12 199 22 224 30 231 23 279 16 265 4054 3800 10 182 20 224 28 231 22 279 13 265 3800 3645 8 172 18 224 25 231 20 279 11*266 3645 3556 5*167 15 224 19 231 15 279 7*265 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography