DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 38.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 185 - - 42 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 4305 - - 4164 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 6098 - - 4388 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5165 - - 7708 - - 7567 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1752 - - 2002 - - 2182 - - 3534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 384 - - 230 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 23 - - 14 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 263 - - 274 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 23 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2672 - - 704 - - 266 - - -1052 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7837 - - 7004 - - 7301 - - 4608 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5617 - - -215 - - -494 - - -3714 ODpotential blCL - - - 10782 - - 7923 - - 8061 - - 7270 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 83 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 38.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.8 - - 31.8 - - 29.0 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 48.8 - - 47.8 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 31.7 - - 28.9 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 185 - - 42 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 4305 - - 4164 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 33 - - 20 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94960 53 295 62 297 51 310 49 308 94960 88333 36 297 48 301 44 311 41 316 88333 83086 28 313 30 299 33 315 33 316 83086 78637 23 321 21 303 35 293 37 301 78637 74765 22 308 22 285 32 285 35 299 74765 71331 19 296 16 297 13 295 19 294 71331 68193 15 298 14 329 12 340 10 327 68193 65260 29 267 29 292 31 292 28 296 65260 62517 31 251 33 268 39 274 37 274 62517 59864 18 242 21 242 28 254 30 261 59864 57075 7 279 9 246 15 265 32 272 57075 54159 34 261 24 270 35 279 42 268 54159 51373 57 254 47 264 47 265 41 270 51373 48866 72 253 63 258 51 271 46 285 48866 46622 78 246 70 251 61 275 61 285 46622 44588 75 238 71 249 70 272 68 278 44588 42726 70 237 69 248 71 265 67 272 42726 41013 68 244 65 249 68 259 66 263 41013 39430 74 249 64 253 64 251 59 258 39430 37962 86 248 69 255 60 250 48 260 37962 36594 100 242 78 252 59 257 49 278 36594 35294 109 237 85 246 68 262 59 283 35294 33998 111 235 89 243 76 262 60 278 33998 32675 106 236 89 243 79 259 54 273 32675 31323 100 239 87 245 79 259 48 274 31323 29931 96 242 85 247 79 260 47 282 29931 28487 89 242 83 250 77 263 52 284 28487 26989 84 242 81 251 70 266 53 280 26989 25434 81 240 77 251 65 266 52 279 25434 23822 78 241 72 254 63 267 49 282 23822 22154 73 247 68 259 62 272 47 284 22154 20426 66 253 61 263 58 275 44 285 20426 18629 57 250 53 265 50 275 42 284 18629 16800 51 246 47 265 42 274 39 282 16800 15037 46 247 44 264 38 273 35 279 15037 13430 43 250 43 264 35 274 33 277 13430 12000 41 249 40 266 31 276 29 276 12000 10725 42 248 36 268 27 276 25 274 10725 9587 43 248 32 267 23 274 22 272 9587 8571 43 250 28*265 19 273 18 270 8571 7666 40 251 26*264 18*272 16 267 7666 6862 37 248 25 263 17*272 15 263 6862 6147 33 245 24 263 16 273 13 263 6147 5500 28*241 23 262 15 274 12 262 5500 4923 22*237 22 262 14 275 11 260 4923 4438 19 234 21 262 14 275 9 261 4438 4064 17 233 20 262 13 276 7 265 4064 3805 14 232 18 262 13 276 5 273 3805 3647 13 232 17 262 12 277 3 271 3647 3556 11 231 14 262 10 277 2*258 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography