DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 84.4 - - 84.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 405 - - 186 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2379 - - 9192 - - 10702 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4844 - - 10344 - - 11045 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5782 - - 12595 - - 14105 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1830 - - 1881 - - 2549 - - 2300 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 364 - - 642 - - 522 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 17 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 206 - - 223 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 15 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 15 - - 51 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9107 - - -4280 - - -3243 - - -9130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14890 - - 16876 - - 17349 - - 12688 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14781 - - -8477 - - -7286 - - -14320 ODpotential blCL - - - 20563 - - 21072 - - 21391 - - 17878 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 66 - - 63 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 84.4 - - 84.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.7 - - 21.5 - - 19.8 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 81.7 - - 83.4 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 21.3 - - 19.7 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 405 - - 186 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2379 - - 9192 - - 10702 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99097 4 077 9 164 2 327 4 016 99097 91683 6 168 4 201 3 029 4 057 91683 85963 5 148 2 295 4 353 8 077 85963 81191 8 159 6 259 7 308 8 069 81191 77045 6 148 7 184 7 231 6 323 77045 73376 1 219 7 165 10 220 10 274 73376 70056 3 255 5 197 8 235 7 254 70056 66998 8 234 7 218 9 230 8 236 66998 64152 11 218 10 235 11 231 9 246 64152 61382 13 225 13 235 13 230 16 237 61382 58490 16 241 17 241 18 246 18 240 58490 55498 19 235 23 240 22 249 23 251 55498 52658 19 239 24 238 22 243 27 244 52658 50115 21 249 24 241 25 239 27 240 50115 47841 23 244 28 238 30 240 31 237 47841 45791 25 231 33 227 34 241 34 232 45791 43931 29 217 36 213 34 234 35 229 43931 42228 29 214 39 201 36 213 36 223 42228 40656 32 214 39 201 41 195 37 214 40656 39197 31 211 38 206 42 193 39 205 39197 37833 29 214 36 205 42 196 42 199 37833 36525 27 214 34 206 42 196 43 199 36525 35203 26 214 33 208 41 198 43 201 35203 33840 26 216 33 209 40 201 42 202 33840 32441 27 218 32 212 37 204 41 202 32441 30991 27 221 29 216 32 207 40 203 30991 29479 26 225 26 218 30 208 39 206 29479 27908 24 228 25 220 30 212 39 210 27908 26278 23 231 26 223 31 218 39 213 26278 24593 22 232 26 224 32 219 35 214 24593 22854 21 229 26 222 33 218 32 216 22854 21059 20 224 25 219 34 215 33 217 21059 19200 19 220 24 217 33 212 33 212 19200 17316 18 215 24 216 28 209 33 203 17316 15508 18 208 24 215 19*203 27 193 15508 13865 17 202 19*209 16*203 21 186 13865 12397 16 201 14*201 14 204 19 190 12397 11081 17 202 13 200 11 205 15 189 11081 9898 17 202 12 200 8 207 8 183 9898 8837 16 201 9 200 5 212 1 133 8837 7888 15 200 7 203 3 232 6 001 7888 7042 12 196 5 208 2 303 12 000 7042 6289 9*186 3 218 4 339 17 003 6289 5608 7*174 2 238 5 347 19 003 5608 5000 5 166 2 265 6 349 21 003 5000 4489 4 163 2 288 7 350 21 001 4489 4094 3 163 2 299 7 350 20 357 4094 3820 3 163 2 302 7 350 17 351 3820 3654 3 163 3 305 7 351 13 346 3654 3558 2 162 2 306 6 349 7*341 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography