DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 81.1 - - 82.9 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 526 - - 321 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3950 - - 6991 - - 6804 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6164 - - 8676 - - 8304 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7353 - - 10394 - - 10207 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1729 - - 1575 - - 2703 - - 5447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 490 - - 639 - - 537 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 40 - - 32 - - 17 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 285 - - 336 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -10 - - -8 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2955 - - -2725 - - -3398 - - -6246 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10309 - - 13119 - - 13605 - - 9806 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6811 - - -6361 - - -6845 - - -9809 ODpotential blCL - - - 14164 - - 16755 - - 17052 - - 13368 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 46 - - 52 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 81.1 - - 82.9 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 35.5 - - 35.2 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 77.9 - - 80.6 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 35.5 - - 35.2 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 526 - - 321 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3950 - - 6991 - - 6804 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99712 28 112 28 105 35 105 28 099 99712 92132 22 128 20 100 26 099 28 098 92132 86283 23 116 14 124 21 105 18 090 86283 81451 21 112 17 141 12 110 18 092 81451 77298 18 099 18 121 10 138 13 088 77298 73637 9 094 15 104 15 141 7 113 73637 70329 5 156 5 101 10 120 9 141 70329 67279 7 181 6 181 2 155 7 135 67279 64432 6 213 7 220 5 272 3 146 64432 61671 10 209 14 236 14 274 12 284 61671 58816 9 282 8 250 12 270 12 273 58816 55874 16 281 16 284 19 288 17 285 55874 53078 21 296 23 301 22 306 22 306 53078 50572 25 298 34 308 33 306 32 307 50572 48333 33 310 39 300 36 297 28 298 48333 46292 39 307 32 303 30 312 34 324 46292 44421 34 315 34 326 41 325 44 326 44421 42703 33 331 46 335 47 321 41 321 42703 41119 47 338 48 334 40 319 37 323 41119 39647 47 343 39 349 35 336 35 325 39647 38267 43 353 48 001 41 343 35 323 38267 36942 49 001 53 000 44 342 35 321 36942 35605 50 001 51 359 44 341 35 320 35605 34225 42 352 49 360 42 339 34 319 34225 32806 34 343 43 002 41 337 32 319 32806 31336 28 340 35 356 40 335 30 319 31336 29803 24 330 32 347 33 334 27 320 29803 28209 21 322 26 341 31 333 27 319 28209 26555 20 318 17 330 29 336 26 317 26555 24844 20 311 16 314 23 325 21 318 24844 23078 18 309 16 305 20 309 17 314 23078 21256 16 313 15 307 18 298 15 287 21256 19374 16 322 15 314 15 285 16 269 19374 17466 13 317 13 319 12 275 15 260 17466 15628 11 296 9 308 9 253 16 250 15628 13952 11 276 8 269 15 228 19 239 13952 12461 12 263 13 240 14 225 18 217 12461 11131 12 251 10*234 11*232 12 220 11131 9939 13 245 9*236 9*240 7 234 9939 8871 12 239 8 239 6 260 3 292 8871 7915 9*232 6 247 5 305 7 000 7915 7064 6*229 4 289 7 346 11 002 7064 6305 5 230 4 320 8 353 13 359 6305 5620 2 249 4 335 9 356 16 348 5620 5009 1 268 5 344 9 359 18 345 5009 4495 1 296 5 351 10 000 18 343 4495 4097 1 318 6 352 10 001 18 342 4097 3822 1 330 6 354 10 001 17 342 3822 3655 1 331 6 355 10 002 16*341 3655 3559 1 337 5 355 9 001 12*341 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography