DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 85.7 - - - - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 485 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5490 - - 10072 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7323 - - 11155 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8893 - - 13475 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2162 - - 2144 - - - - - 4468 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 522 - - 702 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 227 - - - - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3062 - - -1644 - - - - - -6224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11956 - - 15120 - - - - - 9783 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6339 - - -4117 - - - - - -9429 ODpotential blCL - - - 15232 - - 17592 - - - - - 12987 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 45 - - - - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 85.7 - - - - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 30.9 - - - - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 82.8 - - - - - 72.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 30.8 - - - - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 485 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5490 - - 10072 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99401 11 097 17 099 11 067 99401 91951 14 114 9 102 8 075 91951 86168 13 107 9 079 11 089 86168 81347 9 099 10 065 7 124 81347 77190 9 122 3 029 6 098 77190 73530 10 143 2 109 9 079 73530 70228 12 118 5 127 6 080 70228 67182 7 083 5 144 4 104 67182 64357 8 149 10 166 1 170 64357 61627 10 143 12 134 3 228 61627 58771 2 242 14 235 18 226 58771 55820 24 229 27 210 21 225 55820 53012 28 197 26 215 22 233 53012 50482 30 219 38 222 30 228 50482 48210 44 226 44 223 38 231 48210 46144 56 220 53 220 45 231 46144 44250 62 212 61 218 51 231 44250 42501 64 208 67 219 57 232 42501 40880 66 207 73 219 63 233 40880 39375 69 208 77 218 70 233 39375 37976 73 209 80 217 74 231 37976 36643 75 209 81 216 75 229 36643 35305 74 209 81 215 77 227 35305 33930 71 209 78 215 78 226 33930 32519 69 210 75 215 78 225 32519 31058 68 210 72 214 78 225 31058 29538 65 212 70 214 76 226 29538 27962 63 214 67 215 73 228 27962 26330 61 213 64 217 67 229 26330 24643 60 211 60 217 62 230 24643 22903 60 207 57 216 57 230 22903 21105 60 204 56 214 52 230 21105 19244 58 204 54 214 45 227 19244 17358 54 206 48 215 40 224 17358 15543 49 208 38 213 34 220 15543 13890 42 207 23*206 29 216 13890 12413 36 205 17*203 24 210 12413 11091 31 205 16 205 19 209 11091 9904 24*209 15 210 16 213 9904 8840 17*216 14 221 13 226 8840 7889 15 220 13 232 12 242 7889 7043 13 225 13 238 12 258 7043 6289 11 235 13 243 13 271 6289 5607 10 238 13 246 13 283 5607 5000 10 241 13 250 13 291 5000 4489 9 243 13 252 13 298 4489 4094 9 246 13 253 13 304 4094 3820 8 248 13 254 11 309 3820 3654 8 248 12 255 9 312 3654 3558 8 249 11 255 7*313 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography