DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.0 - - 66.5 - - 72.0 - - 69.4 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 408 - - 544 - - 315 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 555 - - 4639 - - 7139 - - 5015 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 6695 - - 8809 - - 6888 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3958 - - 8042 - - 10542 - - 8418 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1403 - - 1380 - - 1543 - - 2575 - - 3644 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 512 - - 650 - - 482 - - 11 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 13 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 261 - - 297 - - 305 - - 324 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 5 - - 24 - - 9 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5181 - - -5794 - - -4315 - - -3512 - - -4579 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9139 - - 13837 - - 14858 - - 11930 - - 8137 sfcLCL ODpotential -12961 - - -11440 - - -8666 - - -7341 - - -9603 ODpotential blCL 16919 - - 19482 - - 19208 - - 15759 - - 13161 blCL maxRH 83 - - 83 - - 53 - - 66 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.0 - - 66.5 - - 72.0 - - 69.4 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 18.0 - - 18.5 - - 29.2 - - 35.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 64.0 - - 68.9 - - 67.3 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 17.9 - - 18.6 - - 29.2 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 408 - - 544 - - 315 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 555 - - 4639 - - 7139 - - 5015 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97653 5 133 9 236 11 295 6 293 6 007 97653 90257 4 122 10 166 7 246 2 162 4 056 90257 84574 6 090 7 157 7 195 0 128 4 089 84574 79864 5 054 4 143 3 184 4 239 4 065 79864 75809 2 043 5 357 3 083 3 321 2 347 75809 72231 7 344 5 342 3 334 4 341 2 105 72231 68990 8 010 8 359 5 339 9 346 6 347 68990 66013 15 335 13 336 10 330 11 340 6 025 66013 63249 14 328 14 351 9 346 19 338 15 331 63249 60580 17 324 21 326 18 324 11 346 11 330 60580 57796 22 321 18 312 13 323 21 323 19 332 57796 54905 20 331 15 318 26 305 31 307 28 316 54905 52165 29 328 30 315 32 306 32 309 29 309 52165 49704 40 319 37 306 33 300 35 299 30 303 49704 47486 41 307 38 299 38 293 34 293 36 301 47486 45457 43 295 40 292 44 289 45 293 46 288 45457 43590 46 284 50 286 51 285 54 290 50 286 43590 41864 51 274 56 277 57 285 62 286 56 288 41864 40265 47 261 58 270 61 281 65 284 60 289 40265 38780 46 256 56 260 60 277 66 284 61 290 38780 37399 45 252 56 254 58 273 64 287 59 292 37399 36085 42 249 58 252 56 272 60 287 57 295 36085 34772 41 245 60 251 54 272 54 287 54 296 34772 33431 42 247 60 252 55 271 53 289 47 296 33431 32061 41 251 59 254 56 269 53 290 45 300 32061 30641 40 252 54 255 54 269 51 292 42 299 30641 29161 39 251 50 252 50 272 48 294 39 298 29161 27623 38 254 51 252 49 277 44 297 37 298 27623 26027 39 263 52 255 48 280 40 303 35 298 26027 24372 40 268 48 256 46 284 39 309 32 303 24372 22659 37 265 45 255 43 290 38 312 31 309 22659 20882 35 260 43 256 40 296 38 314 32 311 20882 19035 32 260 39 259 37 296 38 316 31 311 19035 17154 29 257 36 261 34 291 36 318 30 312 17154 15342 27 254 33 261 32 287 31 319 28 315 15342 13694 25 255 29 263 30 285 26 317 26 316 13694 12226 23 258 27 267 24 282 22 312 22 315 12226 10919 20 263 24 273 15*280 18 302 19 311 10919 9753 17 269 21 277 14*283 16 299 16 308 9753 8711 15 275 15*280 13 286 16*303 14 309 8711 7781 13 280 10*284 13 293 16*307 14 315 7781 6954 10 284 9 289 13 302 16 314 14 325 6954 6218 8 289 8 293 13 311 17 322 15 336 6218 5554 8 291 8 297 13 315 18 326 16 344 5554 4962 10 286 8 302 13 318 18 328 17 348 4962 4464 11 273 7 306 14 321 18 330 17 350 4464 4079 10*262 7 310 13 323 18 332 17 350 4079 3813 7*260 7 311 13 324 17 332 15 351 3813 3650 6 261 7 311 13 324 16 333 14*351 3650 3558 5 262 6 312 11 325 14 333 10*352 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography