DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.5 - - 58.2 - - 63.1 - - 58.8 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 305 - - 438 - - 204 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3380 - - 6039 - - 4858 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5616 - - 7833 - - 6565 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6783 - - 9442 - - 8261 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 1490 - - 1713 - - 1842 - - 3005 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 418 - - 572 - - 413 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 16 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 281 - - 280 - - 279 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 11 - - 17 - - 8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2618 - - -5589 - - -4177 - - -1945 - - -2840 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6175 - - 12373 - - 13619 - - 10206 - - 6397 sfcLCL ODpotential -11246 - - -11877 - - -9289 - - -6026 - - -7812 ODpotential blCL 14802 - - 18660 - - 18731 - - 14287 - - 11369 blCL maxRH 87 - - 73 - - 75 - - 68 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.5 - - 58.2 - - 63.1 - - 58.8 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 16.3 - - 15.3 - - 26.4 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 56.1 - - 60.6 - - 57.4 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.4 - - 16.2 - - 15.1 - - 26.5 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 305 - - 438 - - 204 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3380 - - 6039 - - 4858 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96338 23 287 12 297 21 271 15 295 18 295 96338 89128 12 308 8 318 17 289 15 312 20 315 89128 83610 14 320 13 300 22 299 19 316 16 317 83610 79043 15 310 11 308 15 306 12 325 22 320 79043 75115 20 300 17 313 21 302 21 304 24 304 75115 71654 23 301 24 295 24 301 23 308 15 296 71654 68488 20 298 18 287 22 283 20 307 17 310 68488 65540 21 287 21 295 22 275 27 287 30 292 65540 62802 26 285 27 280 31 278 30 277 33 279 62802 60140 32 278 30 268 37 271 35 274 28 275 60140 57339 35 264 36 273 41 271 42 273 30 279 57339 54408 44 267 46 269 51 265 50 270 40 277 54408 51601 52 258 50 262 54 257 53 266 50 271 51601 49080 55 263 52 262 52 263 57 265 55 268 49080 46822 58 265 55 265 55 263 62 261 59 269 46822 44785 61 263 60 263 61 264 66 262 66 269 44785 42947 63 259 67 260 70 267 72 267 72 268 42947 41285 63 261 74 262 79 265 80 266 77 270 41285 39762 65 262 79 263 81 261 81 264 81 269 39762 38349 66 261 77 263 77 259 79 264 77 270 38349 37026 65 263 71 263 73 258 77 265 73 274 37026 35755 65 265 71 263 72 257 75 266 72 277 35755 34471 61 263 71 262 71 257 73 268 71 277 34471 33143 60 262 69 263 70 261 71 269 70 276 33143 31777 59 262 65 263 69 266 69 270 68 274 31777 30360 58 264 59 263 66 268 66 271 66 272 30360 28883 57 268 55 261 62 268 62 273 64 271 28883 27347 55 268 54 262 58 266 57 276 59 272 27347 25753 53 264 53 266 55 263 54 277 53 274 25753 24103 51 262 50 267 50 263 51 275 48 274 24103 22399 48 264 48 264 49 265 51 272 46 272 22399 20636 49 265 47 261 49 268 50 271 46 268 20636 18807 50 262 46 261 46 271 46 273 44 267 18807 16950 47 258 45 263 39 271 39 275 40 270 16950 15162 42 259 42 263 33 269 33 273 35 272 15162 13535 37 264 39 262 30 267 29 271 31 273 13535 12088 33 271 34 263 27 267 27 269 30 274 12088 10800 30 278 29 264 24 268 25 269 30 275 10800 9652 27 284 25 267 19*271 22 268 28 273 9652 8627 23 287 21 270 17*274 18*271 26 270 8627 7714 18 288 18 273 16 276 17*272 24 265 7714 6902 14 289 14*273 16 279 17 275 21 261 6902 6178 10 291 11*273 16 280 17 277 19 261 6178 5524 7 296 10 277 16 282 17 279 17 265 5524 4941 5 295 9 279 16 283 17 281 15 272 4941 4450 5 284 8 283 16 284 16 282 13 282 4450 4070 6 266 8 286 16 284 16 283 12 295 4070 3808 6 253 7 288 16 285 15 284 10 306 3808 3648 4 230 7 288 15 285 15 284 8*309 3648 3557 4*214 7 289 13 285 13 284 5*310 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography