DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 68.4 - - 74.7 - - 71.8 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 339 - - 449 - - 30 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 5781 - - 12217 - - 155 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 7523 - - 12883 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 9184 - - 15620 - - 3558 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 323 - - 3902 - - 1627 - - 13785 - - 3332 Hgt.Variab. W* 43 - - 519 - - 732 - - 70 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 15 - - 24 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 166 - - 177 - - 226 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - 11 - - -2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4975 - - -3971 - - 709 - - -10327 - - -3681 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8533 - - 13156 - - 14912 - - 13886 - - 7239 sfcLCL ODpotential -10216 - - -5490 - - 195 - - -11227 - - -6844 ODpotential blCL 13773 - - 14674 - - 15425 - - 14785 - - 10402 blCL maxRH 89 - - 77 - - 85 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 68.4 - - 74.7 - - 71.8 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.3 - - 22.4 - - 20.5 - - 22.6 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 66.0 - - 72.1 - - 71.4 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 22.2 - - 20.2 - - 22.4 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 339 - - 449 - - 30 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 5781 - - 12217 - - 155 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 9 - - 41 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96801 14 283 23 248 36 292 30 296 16 315 96801 89552 13 283 10 265 17 271 23 281 24 291 89552 84033 15 278 8 305 15 257 17 273 17 281 84033 79428 9 266 9 280 20 264 16 287 12 281 79428 75431 10 259 7 287 13 265 17 280 10 290 75431 71896 10 248 13 284 10 260 18 250 10 297 71896 68685 9 259 11 284 8 283 14 265 12 301 68685 65720 15 257 17 256 16 267 16 265 16 272 65720 62964 16 263 17 243 16 257 13 251 14 240 62964 60282 19 278 15 266 17 260 12 268 15 244 60282 57462 24 256 18 257 20 256 20 251 20 246 57462 54531 22 246 20 246 18 238 19 238 21 238 54531 51737 22 248 20 241 16 250 15 235 14 221 51737 49229 25 240 21 246 22 250 13 239 6 164 49229 46980 24 240 29 245 32 236 17 230 8 120 46980 44942 31 240 39 233 35 229 29 217 15 182 44942 43097 51 228 51 237 40 230 46 220 38 209 43097 41427 64 230 66 242 51 227 57 221 54 209 41427 39890 76 236 74 237 60 227 64 219 66 206 39890 38457 81 237 75 233 67 229 69 217 74 205 38457 37110 76 235 77 233 71 230 72 216 77 206 37110 35813 68 233 76 233 73 230 73 217 79 206 35813 34502 62 228 75 235 74 229 73 218 78 204 34502 33149 55 218 71 236 73 230 74 218 75 202 33149 31759 49 209 67 234 72 230 73 218 73 202 31759 30318 46 206 61 229 71 230 73 219 72 206 30318 28818 46 207 53 221 69 228 72 220 70 210 28818 27264 46 206 46 213 63 225 67 219 67 210 27264 25661 44 203 43 202 52 219 58 215 63 206 25661 24017 40 197 45 198 45 207 51 205 60 201 24017 22330 36 193 47 200 46 198 50 197 57 197 22330 20590 36 193 48 202 48 199 47 194 55 194 20590 18792 40 196 48 201 49 200 37 190 53 190 18792 16968 41 194 46 195 43*197 29 183 48 182 16968 15209 40 187 41 182 32*187 25 179 38 169 15209 13604 38 179 37 171 28 180 22 181 30 162 13604 12168 34 174 34 167 27 179 20 183 25 162 12168 10882 32 172 30 170 24 175 19 186 18 160 10882 9729 30 178 25*176 24 174 18 191 10 153 9729 8695 27 187 20*174 23 174 17 196 4 133 8695 7771 21 190 18 170 22 174 16 201 1 105 7771 6949 16 182 17 168 22 174 15 206 3 293 6949 6216 14 167 16 164 21 173 14 211 6 288 6216 5553 13 155 15 163 20 174 13 215 7 293 5553 4962 10 152 14 161 20 173 13 219 8 309 4962 4464 11 157 13 160 19 174 12 221 9 326 4464 4079 15 159 13 159 18 173 12 223 9 337 4079 3813 11 164 12 158 18 174 11 225 9 340 3813 3651 7*159 11 158 17 174 10*225 7*342 3651 3558 3*148 10 158 15 173 9*226 5*343 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography