DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 51.2 - - - - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 313 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4595 - - 4833 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6451 - - 6751 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7998 - - 8236 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2287 - - 2601 - - - - - 5863 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 430 - - 478 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 274 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 692 - - 1037 - - - - - -2719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7307 - - 7199 - - - - - 6276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -591 - - 468 - - - - - -3875 ODpotential blCL - - - 8589 - - 7768 - - - - - 7432 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 96 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 90 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 51.2 - - - - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 31.8 - - - - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 49.1 - - - - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 31.2 - - - - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 313 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4595 - - 4833 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 82 - - - - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96786 26 274 35 265 40 266 96786 89443 26 259 31 259 35 269 89443 83844 23 249 25 258 23 271 83844 79201 22 244 19 260 15 271 79201 75194 24 249 21 249 15 265 75194 71644 24 233 21 243 17 254 71644 68407 22 220 20 244 16 251 68407 65407 16 224 23 236 16 259 65407 62611 15 233 21 234 18 266 62611 59891 12 236 18 233 21 263 59891 57034 11 275 12 234 19 258 57034 54049 18 268 12 253 12 247 54049 51192 15 246 15 252 10 286 51192 48619 15 256 9 256 14 304 48619 46317 13 227 11 268 18 320 46317 44230 4 209 9 243 12 309 44230 42328 8 255 3 213 10 305 42328 40580 11 204 4 248 8 002 40580 38972 10 154 11 199 19 010 38972 37485 11 149 12 134 16 345 37485 36105 13 160 9 078 8 040 36105 34802 22 175 8 176 16 037 34802 33513 38 163 22 150 15 052 33513 32206 41 136 42 123 24 085 32206 30881 48 118 47 114 28 087 30881 29517 45 119 44 104 28 090 29517 28096 42 116 37 097 27 088 28096 26617 37 115 30 099 22 080 26617 25080 31 115 23 110 21 077 25080 23486 29 111 22 126 22 073 23486 21838 27 122 24 129 22 062 21838 20137 26 144 22 110 15 050 20137 18376 18 137 17 080 8 056 18376 16586 17 116 9 055 3 075 16586 14863 10 127 2 049 4 319 14863 13294 10 183 2 242 8 288 13294 11897 10 182 3 271 11 257 11897 10652 5 182 7 268 11 256 10652 9538 3 210 9 267 12 278 9538 8539 6*231 9*266 14 291 8539 7645 7*245 9*266 17 296 7645 6849 7 249 9 267 18 298 6849 6138 8 254 8 270 18 300 6138 5495 8 257 8 273 17 302 5495 4921 8 260 7 278 17 305 4921 4438 8 263 6 281 16 307 4438 4064 8 265 6 285 15 309 4064 3805 7 266 6 286 14 310 3805 3647 7 266 6 286 12*310 3647 3557 7 266 5 287 9*309 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography