DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 72.7 - - 71.2 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 330 - - 149 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2083 - - 4677 - - 4073 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4544 - - 6643 - - 5810 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5486 - - 8080 - - 7476 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1276 - - 1950 - - 2614 - - 2163 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 478 - - 351 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 14 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 325 - - 353 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - 8 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2487 - - -2700 - - -3314 - - -3046 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7973 - - 10781 - - 10790 - - 6605 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6055 - - -5534 - - -6296 - - -8422 ODpotential blCL - - - 11541 - - 13614 - - 13772 - - 11980 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 80 - - 58 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 72.7 - - 71.2 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 37.6 - - 36.1 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 70.5 - - 69.9 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 37.4 - - 36.1 - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 330 - - 149 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2083 - - 4677 - - 4073 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98167 2 344 3 004 4 195 5 310 98167 90870 7 315 6 033 8 019 7 072 90870 85255 5 045 7 346 11 006 12 018 85255 80606 6 358 14 318 13 348 15 013 80606 76580 10 336 10 337 10 348 10 004 76580 72986 7 308 11 322 10 327 8 346 72986 69709 5 227 10 265 10 279 9 296 69709 66678 8 241 12 243 13 261 12 256 66678 63844 15 245 21 244 21 264 15 251 63844 61073 20 227 27 232 26 256 22 265 61073 58176 22 248 26 235 32 245 30 252 58176 55177 26 249 26 232 32 235 33 253 55177 52333 29 247 34 253 38 255 39 253 52333 49799 38 249 42 249 41 249 37 249 49799 47539 39 244 38 248 34 251 38 255 47539 45504 32 247 34 257 42 268 40 257 45504 43653 32 259 41 267 46 262 31 258 43653 41956 38 263 38 261 35 277 42 293 41956 40397 36 267 33 270 33 291 47 292 40397 38957 33 277 35 281 34 292 37 303 38957 37612 34 281 38 281 35 291 32 315 37612 36316 34 278 36 279 33 297 36 322 36316 35007 32 273 33 280 31 300 39 324 35007 33655 31 265 29 276 27 300 39 324 33655 32265 32 261 28 262 25 293 33 325 32265 30821 28 255 31 260 27 284 29 318 30821 29314 26 256 27 267 30 282 28 311 29314 27748 24 255 22 266 30 285 24 298 27748 26125 22 248 22 256 26 281 24 290 26125 24448 22 246 23 251 23 268 21 288 24448 22721 22 249 21 258 23 260 20 279 22721 20938 20 263 20 261 20 260 19 265 20938 19094 16 267 17 261 16 259 16 258 19094 17219 10 266 13 260 14 254 15 255 17219 15412 8 268 10 263 12 255 14 256 15412 13764 9 266 11 269 12 260 14 262 13764 12293 11 261 11 270 12 261 14 267 12293 10978 13 258 13 264 11 251 14 266 10978 9800 13 254 13 257 10 255 12 259 9800 8746 12 249 9*263 6 285 10 260 8746 7805 10 239 7*284 9*346 5 274 7805 6969 8 230 6 301 10*350 5 358 6969 6228 5 235 6 320 12 354 12 005 6228 5559 2*290 7 332 14 353 15 358 5559 4965 2*320 7 336 14 353 17 354 4965 4466 2 325 7 340 14 353 17 353 4466 4080 2 332 7 342 14 353 16 353 4080 3813 2 335 7 343 14 353 14 352 3813 3651 2 337 7 343 13 353 11*352 3651 3558 2 339 7 343 12 353 7*352 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography