DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 53.6 - - - - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 509 - - - - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6305 - - 5274 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8106 - - 7276 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9708 - - 8677 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3338 - - 1161 - - - - - 3829 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 610 - - 574 - - - - - 46 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 19 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 292 - - - - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 7 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 519 - - 232 - - - - - -3551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9189 - - 8445 - - - - - 7108 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -949 - - -449 - - - - - -8603 ODpotential blCL - - - 10657 - - 9126 - - - - - 12160 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 84 - - - - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 53.6 - - - - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 28.9 - - - - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 50.9 - - - - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 28.7 - - - - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 509 - - - - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6305 - - 5274 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 37 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98218 3 220 7 281 10 004 98218 90766 7 132 8 203 3 009 90766 85041 8 150 5 215 5 038 85041 80318 8 147 1 265 9 094 80318 76259 8 107 4 068 5 044 76259 72674 6 035 7 353 4 018 72674 69428 6 345 3 320 8 350 69428 66432 10 320 5 305 6 013 66432 63637 13 306 10 295 13 309 63637 60939 11 289 12 303 9 269 60939 58124 10 349 8 315 11 320 58124 55205 22 297 16 309 20 302 55205 52435 31 282 29 292 29 290 52435 49940 33 283 34 287 28 289 49940 47688 37 291 37 295 32 308 47688 45626 40 295 40 305 43 302 45626 43727 44 296 45 307 48 296 43727 41969 48 294 52 302 56 296 41969 40339 51 292 61 298 65 295 40339 38832 53 290 69 296 69 298 38832 37441 55 288 77 292 76 300 37441 36123 56 286 82 290 79 300 36123 34802 58 284 84 289 78 305 34802 33443 59 282 80 293 78 310 33443 32047 60 281 82 306 78 312 32047 30599 59 280 94 313 78 308 30599 29088 57 277 98 310 79 305 29088 27518 55 279 95 305 79 305 27518 25893 54 279 90 305 74 306 25893 24216 54 279 85 306 67 304 24216 22489 53 279 79 306 59 299 22489 20707 49 278 70 307 53 295 20707 18863 41 281 59 309 49 297 18863 16992 34 293 50 310 45 301 16992 15192 33 301 44 312 40 304 15192 13558 30 295 36 318 34 304 13558 12103 27 287 30 327 28 302 12103 10809 27*282 26 328 24 299 10809 9653 27*278 21*306 22 294 9653 8622 28 276 20*293 19 286 8622 7705 28 275 20 292 18 279 7705 6892 29 274 19 292 16 282 6892 6169 28 274 19 292 15 290 6169 5517 28 274 19 292 15 301 5517 4936 28 274 19 292 14 309 4936 4447 27 275 18 292 14 312 4447 4069 26 275 17 293 14 315 4069 3807 24 275 17 293 13 316 3807 3648 23 275 16 293 12*317 3648 3557 19 275 14 293 10*318 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography