DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.1 - - 46.3 - - 54.8 - - 48.9 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 97 - - 130 - - 10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 720 - - 1636 - - 1064 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3981 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4123 - - 5039 - - 4467 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 270 - - 779 - - 1985 - - 887 - - 697 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 170 - - 247 - - 92 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 42 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 7 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 257 - - 353 - - 350 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -561 - - -2536 - - -3989 - - -2121 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4117 - - 6659 - - 9028 - - 6589 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential -9945 - - -8498 - - -7835 - - -5088 - - -4894 ODpotential blCL 13501 - - 12621 - - 12874 - - 9555 - - 8450 blCL maxRH 90 - - 80 - - 79 - - 86 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.1 - - 46.3 - - 54.8 - - 48.9 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 29.8 - - 27.7 - - 32.6 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 45.4 - - 53.7 - - 48.7 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 29.6 - - 27.7 - - 32.6 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 97 - - 130 - - 10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 720 - - 1636 - - 1064 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 20 - - 17 - - 44 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96311 21 322 15 315 17 330 21 315 19 316 96311 89432 5 330 10 343 16 306 10 351 14 304 89432 84052 5 126 6 296 12 313 7 020 7 313 84052 79525 3 295 2 320 5 341 3 310 6 355 79525 75571 10 245 5 320 7 307 7 314 4 026 75571 72052 8 246 1 270 9 263 10 295 7 014 72052 68847 11 283 5 352 8 276 8 281 8 314 68847 65882 14 278 8 337 11 281 12 288 17 279 65882 63119 15 292 8 307 10 286 12 289 19 271 63119 60431 20 279 13 310 8 288 13 296 14 276 60431 57616 18 263 17 282 12 285 18 284 14 295 57616 54684 18 260 20 261 19 299 19 280 17 300 54684 51879 23 248 20 251 25 282 16 292 19 301 51879 49353 16 239 21 250 23 272 20 297 17 314 49353 47090 27 255 23 243 26 266 17 283 20 323 47090 45040 29 258 25 241 27 259 16 292 24 318 45040 43165 43 249 26 247 24 240 13 273 16 318 43165 41435 51 234 34 232 21 228 9 270 22 320 41435 39826 48 222 39 217 24 212 13 265 15 321 39826 38331 41 211 43 209 24 211 5 239 23 035 38331 36944 37 212 40 189 38 186 7 205 32 021 36944 35620 38 216 37 193 40 172 18 180 19 021 35620 34302 37 220 39 203 39 170 32 135 24 095 34302 32963 37 225 47 206 42 170 38 133 33 103 32963 31598 39 226 54 202 46 170 41 141 31 108 31598 30187 42 225 54 201 47 172 42 149 26 118 30187 28717 46 223 50 205 44 174 39 155 20 122 28717 27186 49 224 45 209 41 178 34 160 15 112 27186 25595 50 224 44 206 40 182 30 165 14 102 25595 23945 47 218 44 200 42 185 26 169 14 099 23945 22244 42 208 46 193 42 186 25 172 14 092 22244 20488 39 203 44 187 40 186 24 171 12 086 20488 18674 34 202 41 181 36 187 20 165 11 118 18674 16837 28 191 38 176 31 187 19 163 13 127 16837 15073 29 175 35 176 27 186 18 168 8 127 15073 13467 29 173 29 179 23 190 13 173 6 114 13467 12035 25 171 24 179 19 197 5 176 8 103 12035 10758 23 172 18 177 15 197 2 164 6 107 10758 9616 22 175 14 170 11 190 3 168 3 151 9616 8595 21 177 11 161 9 185 4 163 3 174 8595 7682 17 178 10 157 8 179 3 149 2 133 7682 6869 12 178 9 163 7 167 1 082 3 001 6869 6147 10 176 12 169 5 150 3 357 7 339 6147 5496 10 173 13 168 3*113 7 346 7 341 5496 4919 12 168 12 167 5*011 13*353 7 352 4919 4434 12 160 5*165 7 355 13*351 9 355 4434 4061 6 143 1*218 7 351 13 351 10 347 4061 3803 1 056 1 258 7 349 12 350 9 336 3803 3646 1*175 1 274 7 348 11 350 6 309 3646 3556 1*216 1 278 7 347 8 348 4*294 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography