DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.0 - - 46.1 - - 46.0 - - 45.3 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 127 - - 70 - - 21 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2789 - - 3377 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 4798 - - 4728 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6192 - - 6780 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 158 - - 2171 - - 2884 - - 5646 - - 3315 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 294 - - 256 - - 61 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 19 - - 15 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 263 - - 270 - - 283 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 8 - - 12 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 157 - - 534 - - -2694 - - -932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 6035 - - 6247 - - 6251 - - 4488 sfcLCL ODpotential -5064 - - -805 - - -121 - - -3396 - - -2880 ODpotential blCL 8620 - - 6997 - - 6901 - - 6953 - - 6436 blCL maxRH 90 - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.0 - - 46.1 - - 46.0 - - 45.3 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 32.1 - - 31.0 - - 30.3 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.8 - - 45.0 - - 45.3 - - 44.9 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 31.9 - - 30.9 - - 30.3 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 127 - - 70 - - 21 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2789 - - 3377 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 76 - - 100 - - 99 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96429 15 309 25 286 27 296 14 300 26 286 96429 89331 14 323 17 289 19 281 16 313 13 289 89331 83862 10 301 11 308 10 263 13 280 6 351 83862 79288 8 279 11 291 10 264 11 270 6 307 79288 75318 9 264 7 274 10 235 6 259 6 279 75318 71782 9 275 4 277 10 236 9 272 11 261 71782 68551 11 290 8 243 12 241 8 264 10 238 68551 65556 7 297 8 243 7 265 4 306 2 279 65556 62750 13 289 13 253 16 261 13 275 9 285 62750 60014 16 279 10 248 18 240 9 255 6 286 60014 57147 8 268 1 210 13 241 21 270 12 300 57147 54172 29 281 16 294 14 261 27 261 26 269 54172 51358 35 276 34 280 24 276 24 264 26 260 51358 48846 31 277 32 272 29 272 23 277 23 268 48846 46602 30 279 28 271 33 263 34 276 32 277 46602 44575 36 281 33 273 37 265 39 266 40 276 44575 42733 41 278 42 271 46 276 44 274 44 276 42733 41047 42 277 52 271 57 279 52 278 50 275 41047 39494 45 277 59 273 60 277 57 277 58 271 39494 38053 49 278 62 273 58 277 58 276 60 269 38053 36708 52 280 61 271 58 280 60 278 61 268 36708 35420 52 280 59 271 60 281 63 279 63 267 35420 34124 50 281 57 273 62 278 65 277 65 267 34124 32790 49 281 57 276 62 276 63 275 65 268 32790 31421 47 282 56 278 59 277 61 274 64 271 31421 30004 45 285 56 279 56 281 61 273 64 273 30004 28529 45 288 54 280 54 287 62 273 65 273 28529 26999 45 288 51 280 52 287 64 274 67 272 26999 25416 45 287 49 280 52 282 63 275 66 271 25416 23781 47 286 48 279 53 279 61 274 63 272 23781 22093 49 287 48 279 53 279 59 273 61 272 22093 20347 49 287 48 279 51 279 55 273 57 271 20347 18537 46 286 46 281 50 280 50 273 48 271 18537 16704 41 282 42 282 47 282 44 272 40 268 16704 14944 37 276 38 282 44 283 39 272 36 262 14944 13344 32 273 35 282 41 282 35 274 34 262 13344 11921 28 275 31 279 38 278 32 274 31 264 11921 10655 26 284 30 280 33 271 28 270 26 267 10655 9527 27 293 31 285 27 266 24 259 22 268 9527 8522 29 296 33 285 25 265 20 255 19 268 8522 7626 30 292 31 282 21 265 18 258 18 265 7626 6831 30 285 27*276 17*266 16 265 17 268 6831 6122 30 278 23*269 17*267 14 272 15 271 6122 5481 29 271 21 264 16 269 14 276 13 276 5481 4911 27 263 20 263 15 271 13 279 11 281 4911 4430 24 252 19 262 15 271 13 281 9 291 4430 4059 18 241 18 262 14 272 13 282 8 309 4059 3802 13 228 17 262 14 272 12 282 8 325 3802 3646 8*197 16 261 13 273 11*283 6 330 3646 3556 6*176 13 262 11 273 9*283 4*334 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography