DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 65.8 - - - - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 466 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3695 - - 5319 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5949 - - 7280 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7098 - - 8722 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1078 - - 1148 - - - - - 5107 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 471 - - 559 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 330 - - - - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -7 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1204 - - -1216 - - - - - -4575 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8303 - - 9939 - - - - - 8132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5706 - - -4751 - - - - - -9571 ODpotential blCL - - - 12804 - - 13473 - - - - - 13128 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 95 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 65.8 - - - - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 34.4 - - - - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 63.0 - - - - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 34.4 - - - - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 466 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3695 - - 5319 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 80 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99262 12 105 14 129 6 054 99262 91786 11 173 8 120 3 038 91786 86022 11 148 3 151 7 097 86022 81236 10 091 6 158 10 084 81236 77092 6 133 2 160 10 103 77092 73432 12 126 7 160 5 087 73432 70125 5 006 4 153 5 024 70125 67078 3 185 6 153 7 284 67078 64250 7 294 3 279 9 236 64250 61497 16 245 13 255 13 261 61497 58608 18 245 19 258 20 262 58608 55600 24 262 24 258 26 262 55600 52726 30 261 30 258 30 269 52726 50142 34 260 35 261 34 274 50142 47835 39 261 41 266 37 280 47835 45757 45 266 45 268 40 280 45757 43867 52 267 48 277 38 278 43867 42130 59 267 57 273 35 285 42130 40517 63 264 57 268 36 318 40517 39021 64 255 59 271 58 331 39021 37634 57 256 66 267 67 330 37634 36309 61 265 66 258 64 327 36309 34976 62 262 63 263 61 330 34976 33609 59 256 66 265 58 328 33609 32207 59 253 68 263 55 326 32207 30754 58 257 67 264 52 325 30754 29238 57 265 67 265 50 321 29238 27662 56 271 68 265 49 316 27662 26028 54 271 66 270 48 312 26028 24339 52 268 58 277 46 310 24339 22601 51 266 49 275 43 308 22601 20811 49 268 45 269 40 302 20811 18960 43 269 45 273 39 298 18960 17084 37 272 40 279 36 297 17084 15283 30 279 32 282 32 298 15283 13646 26 282 28 279 29 298 13646 12186 23 278 26 276 27 299 12186 10885 22 274 22 270 22 294 10885 9723 21 275 16*264 17 285 9723 8687 19 278 9*296 12 313 8687 7764 11*289 9 306 13 343 7764 6943 7*320 9 316 14 353 6943 6211 7 329 10 335 15 356 6211 5549 8 335 11 340 16 357 5549 4959 8 338 11 342 16 359 4959 4462 8 341 11 344 16 360 4462 4078 8 343 11 345 16 001 4078 3812 8 344 11 345 14 000 3812 3650 8 344 11 345 11 000 3650 3557 7 345 10 346 7*000 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography