DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.6 - - 20.7 - - 22.1 - - 24.5 - - 21.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 58 - - 110 - - 43 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 255 - - 1116 - - 1250 - - 152 BL Depth Hcrit 3538 - - 3538 - - 3538 - - 3539 - - 3538 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 3658 - - 4519 - - 4653 - - 3555 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 876 - - 1249 - - 778 - - 655 - - 1717 Hgt.Variab. W* 54 - - 102 - - 206 - - 157 - - 56 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 329 - - 331 - - 330 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 103 - - 964 - - 703 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3555 - - 3555 - - 3555 - - 3950 - - 3555 sfcLCL ODpotential -231 - - 31 - - 497 - - 138 - - -329 ODpotential blCL 3786 - - 3627 - - 4022 - - 4515 - - 3884 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.6 - - 20.7 - - 22.1 - - 24.5 - - 21.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.3 - - 18.9 - - 19.6 - - 20.2 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.3 - - 19.9 - - 21.2 - - 23.9 - - 21.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 19.9 - - 19.1 - - 19.9 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 58 - - 110 - - 43 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 255 - - 1116 - - 1250 - - 152 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94859 43 330 37 320 43 323 42 319 43 307 94859 88337 27 351 28 335 34 332 38 340 33 318 88337 83181 20 009 22 348 26 341 33 344 26 331 83181 78808 19 015 19 002 19 350 26 342 23 343 78808 74966 19 010 18 000 16 351 26 342 24 342 74966 71519 17 008 14 351 15 331 25 337 22 345 71519 68362 16 005 18 333 15 337 22 334 24 345 68362 65435 19 353 20 329 22 337 23 333 27 328 65435 62714 21 338 24 341 24 327 25 329 28 318 62714 60077 27 325 29 330 28 326 29 331 31 323 60077 57316 27 323 32 323 33 322 37 327 35 325 57316 54428 30 329 35 326 34 322 39 323 38 321 54428 51646 36 325 37 328 37 326 42 326 39 321 51646 49122 40 321 40 323 42 326 45 328 42 325 49122 46848 40 321 40 323 43 327 47 329 46 327 46848 44783 40 330 41 326 45 329 49 330 50 329 44783 42898 47 334 46 335 52 335 56 332 55 330 42898 41164 50 337 55 339 59 333 62 333 57 332 41164 39561 59 343 61 340 62 335 62 339 61 337 39561 38076 73 346 68 345 68 345 66 346 66 344 38076 36697 88 347 79 351 83 352 81 354 79 351 36697 35377 91 347 97 350 97 348 96 350 95 348 35377 34051 88 349 96 349 99 344 101 344 102 345 34051 32696 90 352 89 354 93 347 98 340 98 342 32696 31314 90 355 92 357 93 351 95 345 92 342 31314 29887 84 356 98 356 99 351 96 351 90 348 29887 28403 75 353 99 354 104 350 96 352 90 353 28403 26866 68 350 96 354 100 352 89 353 85 353 26866 25281 57 349 86 355 88 354 79 355 77 354 25281 23646 44 349 68 355 74 355 70 358 69 354 23646 21965 37 349 52 354 61 354 61 359 57 357 21965 20231 35 349 43 355 53 354 48 000 44 360 20231 18438 36 351 40 357 46 356 36 003 35 002 18438 16616 33 351 34 000 37 358 27 010 28 010 16616 14862 28 355 26 005 28 002 23 019 25 020 14862 13265 25 005 21 011 21 012 20 025 22 032 13265 11842 22 016 19 019 18 022 17 032 21 044 11842 10574 18 026 18 030 17 036 16 043 21 053 10574 9441 16 028 17 040 17 049 14 054 20 060 9441 8429 15 025 16 048 17 062 13 067 19 067 8429 7529 14 021 14 053 17 071 12 079 17 075 7529 6733 10 012 12 051 15 070 11 081 16 080 6733 6031 8 007 9 040 11 057 9 066 13 075 6031 5405 8 019 7 015 7 019 6 023 6 046 5405 4854 8 011 9 346 9*335 8*335 7 341 4854 4393 9 342 10 334 9*333 8*332 8 332 4393 4037 8 329 10 331 9 331 8 330 7 329 4037 3791 7 323 9*330 8 329 8 329 7 327 3791 3641 6*321 8*329 8 329 7 329 7*326 3641 3555 5*320 7 329 7 329 6 328 6*324 3555 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography