DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.9 - - 52.3 - - 47.7 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 64 - - -4 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 416 - - 1821 - - 1165 - - 149 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 89 - - 8 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 197 - - 152 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4817 - - -6333 - - -5296 - - -3185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8373 - - 9891 - - 8853 - - 6741 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15831 - - -14257 - - -14062 - - -14624 ODpotential blCL - - - 19387 - - 17814 - - 17619 - - 18180 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 81 - - 87 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.9 - - 52.3 - - 47.7 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.5 - - 21.8 - - 21.8 - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 51.7 - - 50.4 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.8 - - 21.3 - - 21.3 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 64 - - -4 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 26 - - 49 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96099 38 019 48 016 43 007 40 010 96099 89225 33 043 34 031 33 031 28 022 89225 83824 30 039 25 034 27 039 19 033 83824 79265 23 029 16 033 20 031 17 019 79265 75313 22 020 14 010 18 018 18 018 75313 71802 21 016 11 017 13 353 16 355 71802 68609 17 006 15 016 11 007 9 334 68609 65665 13 349 16 353 12 356 6 331 65665 62923 7 309 16 337 12 353 4 284 62923 60256 9 280 14 314 16 333 5 311 60256 57466 13 303 14 288 17 307 11 299 57466 54568 18 291 16 259 16 274 16 280 54568 51803 18 269 16 247 15 257 13 283 51803 49320 26 261 22 263 16 262 14 279 49320 47106 34 246 32 255 29 258 25 249 47106 45125 35 233 39 236 46 236 38 232 45125 43349 36 240 53 243 46 238 44 251 43349 41723 43 250 90 252 56 254 59 244 41723 40204 53 249 96 249 73 251 73 235 40204 38778 59 256 90 249 79 242 77 230 38778 37435 70 256 82 248 72 239 58 234 37435 36143 67 253 75 249 64 241 46 237 36143 34838 66 250 66 250 58 244 42 235 34838 33489 65 250 60 253 50 250 41 237 33489 32100 62 255 50 253 45 253 41 239 32100 30658 56 253 45 254 41 251 41 240 30658 29152 50 255 42 251 37 249 40 243 29152 27586 45 251 39 253 33 245 39 245 27586 25959 41 245 36 252 26 239 37 246 25959 24273 37 239 35 246 27 235 35 248 24273 22533 35 236 36 245 30 235 33 244 22533 20735 32 236 34 246 30 237 31 232 20735 18880 27 236 28 247 28 239 27 220 18880 17001 21 229 21 245 26 233 25 216 17001 15199 16 219 17 235 24 224 24 215 15199 13562 13 215 17 231 21 222 21 210 13562 12107 12 216 17 233 19 227 18 209 12107 10814 12 223 17 234 17 236 15 216 10814 9661 12 227 17 235 16 246 14 227 9661 8630 11 229 15 238 15 253 12 238 8630 7711 10 234 13 244 14 259 11 248 7711 6894 11 240 14 249 14 259 10 255 6894 6167 13 242 15 247 15 256 11 257 6167 5511 15 238 16 242 15 249 13 253 5511 4928 16 231 14 236 15 241 14 245 4928 4439 15 215 10 224 12 232 14 233 4439 4063 14 189 8 213 8 211 12 211 4063 3803 12 170 6 204 6 181 12 181 3803 3646 10*161 5*199 5*164 10 164 3646 3556 7*154 5*197 4*152 6*156 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography