DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.6 - - 52.2 - - 51.4 - - 41.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 1116 - - 2268 - - 2962 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 149 - - 151 - - 331 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -789 - - -3344 - - -3536 - - -3580 - - -589 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4345 - - 6902 - - 7093 - - 7137 - - 4146 sfcLCL ODpotential -8593 - - -9508 - - -8196 - - -9526 - - -8326 ODpotential blCL 12149 - - 13065 - - 11753 - - 13083 - - 11883 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 79 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.6 - - 52.2 - - 51.4 - - 41.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 30.2 - - 33.8 - - 32.9 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 47.8 - - 52.1 - - 54.3 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 29.9 - - 33.3 - - 32.4 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96487 27 086 22 081 20 075 13 065 20 067 96487 89449 24 073 19 086 18 082 13 095 15 073 89449 83925 13 081 15 077 13 091 11 093 13 063 83925 79308 8 096 10 053 8 048 10 069 16 057 79308 75311 6 064 7 039 4 026 8 337 16 029 75311 71765 8 030 5 343 10 025 6 304 11 351 71765 68549 12 006 6 309 13 335 9 342 11 344 68549 65579 10 342 10 310 11 302 12 359 7 327 65579 62818 20 328 18 311 23 310 22 337 18 334 62818 60142 27 311 25 309 27 311 29 312 21 324 60142 57346 33 320 25 310 27 308 32 295 28 304 57346 54453 38 315 31 315 33 301 33 295 31 296 54453 51707 43 302 41 312 45 298 42 304 43 300 51707 49253 43 300 45 306 43 292 51 290 46 294 49253 47069 47 309 45 315 40 311 42 282 42 290 47069 45105 65 306 62 306 56 310 43 291 42 283 45105 43346 70 298 58 300 56 292 45 285 37 283 43346 41752 58 302 54 301 54 282 50 278 36 290 41752 40267 62 316 55 295 52 286 52 270 38 284 40267 38864 59 313 58 295 50 289 50 269 40 273 38864 37537 57 307 59 299 49 289 44 277 40 268 37537 36253 60 303 58 298 53 288 43 277 39 264 36253 34951 59 302 58 296 56 289 45 273 42 263 34951 33603 57 302 58 295 57 290 47 272 45 263 33603 32213 56 300 59 295 53 291 45 273 44 259 32213 30769 56 297 60 296 49 288 41 271 45 257 30769 29260 57 296 59 297 49 283 41 267 47 256 29260 27690 58 300 56 291 52 279 45 269 44 259 27690 26062 60 301 56 282 53 279 46 274 37 261 26062 24379 63 295 57 282 53 286 43 284 33 260 24379 22647 63 289 57 288 50 292 41 294 29 266 22647 20857 61 290 53 292 45 295 39 295 28 270 20857 19003 55 293 46 290 38 294 37 289 32 273 19003 17120 44 295 38 283 34 286 36 283 35 275 17120 15310 36 288 33 275 33 278 32 276 35 275 15310 13663 31 274 30 270 30 271 29 269 33 271 13663 12197 28 266 28 267 28 265 26 265 31 266 12197 10892 26 265 24 265 27 262 25 262 30 261 10892 9726 24 267 20 262 26 261 25 260 29 257 9726 8685 23 271 17 263 25 261 23 259 27 252 8685 7756 22 274 14 266 24 261 21 258 23 246 7756 6932 22 274 13 269 22 259 17 258 20 239 6932 6198 21 271 12 268 19 255 13 259 16 235 6198 5535 20 268 11 261 15 248 10 261 12 233 5535 4945 16 262 10 249 10 231 7 264 8 232 4945 4450 10 251 7 222 6 202 4 273 6 233 4450 4069 5 216 6 178 6 169 4 293 5 245 4069 3807 6 164 6 156 5 157 3 311 4 253 3807 3648 7*149 6*152 5*153 3*323 4*247 3648 3557 6*145 5*149 4*151 2*331 4*244 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography