DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.6 - - 55.6 - - 65.0 - - 60.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 75 - - 158 - - -14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 3218 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 5215 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3557 - - 6621 - - 3558 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 64 - - 1717 - - 1854 - - 4610 - - 792 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 94 - - 330 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 12 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 206 - - 251 - - 275 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -4 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3832 - - -7899 - - -7152 - - -8709 - - -5416 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7389 - - 11457 - - 13774 - - 12268 - - 8973 sfcLCL ODpotential -16165 - - -16623 - - -13752 - - -15721 - - -14392 ODpotential blCL 19721 - - 20180 - - 20373 - - 19279 - - 17949 blCL maxRH 94 - - 94 - - 71 - - 79 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.6 - - 55.6 - - 65.0 - - 60.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.6 - - 18.4 - - 17.1 - - 19.6 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.5 - - 54.7 - - 63.6 - - 62.4 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.6 - - 18.2 - - 17.0 - - 19.6 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 75 - - 158 - - -14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 3218 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 76 - - 0 - - 17 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95786 27 318 15 311 30 297 30 311 27 319 95786 89029 20 337 11 338 14 294 16 305 20 309 89029 83737 9 005 7 344 5 333 7 335 14 308 83737 79271 8 027 3 315 5 312 6 297 7 305 79271 75368 5 004 3 030 1 198 4 260 9 299 75368 71894 8 333 9 323 8 325 8 303 4 289 71894 68735 13 308 9 288 10 296 10 326 7 358 68735 65826 10 303 4 260 12 292 22 308 16 305 65826 63135 18 321 15 312 20 285 22 279 13 274 63135 60512 24 317 17 291 16 283 13 264 14 279 60512 57771 24 318 21 299 22 289 22 282 29 278 57771 54942 31 316 27 293 27 293 30 291 31 287 54942 52248 30 311 36 302 42 296 43 285 36 285 52248 49815 36 307 45 296 44 288 38 275 36 274 49815 47621 41 306 41 289 39 294 39 288 44 287 47621 45629 44 313 44 305 49 304 63 295 66 289 45629 43819 60 319 62 311 64 303 78 291 78 287 43819 42156 77 315 69 307 71 301 75 288 78 285 42156 40607 78 313 72 306 70 300 67 290 72 282 40607 39152 69 311 70 306 65 300 63 290 69 282 39152 37781 60 309 66 306 60 300 61 289 70 284 37781 36463 54 308 61 305 57 299 60 288 70 285 36463 35138 49 307 53 302 53 301 57 287 68 283 35138 33776 44 306 46 299 49 300 53 285 62 282 33776 32378 40 308 44 297 45 296 50 284 56 284 32378 30930 36 311 40 297 44 291 49 285 50 283 30930 29418 32 308 33 295 40 288 48 289 49 278 29418 27844 29 298 28 286 35 283 47 291 50 279 27844 26210 29 293 27 280 34 279 44 292 51 285 26210 24520 29 293 28 281 35 282 38 288 47 289 24520 22778 29 289 30 287 33 285 35 283 41 290 22778 20978 29 287 32 291 31 285 34 284 36 286 20978 19111 31 290 32 294 32 284 33 283 34 283 19111 17213 32 293 32 293 32 280 32 280 31 281 17213 15388 30 293 29 291 29 277 30 278 28 277 15388 13729 25 290 24 284 25 276 26 277 25 273 13729 12255 20 283 19 277 21 275 22 275 23 270 12255 10941 17 280 17 274 18 273 19 273 20 270 10941 9767 16 282 16 274 17 270 16 269 18 272 9767 8719 17 281 16 275 17 266 15 260 17 271 8719 7784 17 278 16 273 16 259 15 251 17 267 7784 6953 19 272 18 269 14*252 14 247 18 262 6953 6214 20 267 19 263 13*249 13 249 18 257 6214 5548 22 260 19 255 13 250 13 254 18 253 5548 4956 21 251 17 247 13 251 13 258 17 249 4956 4459 16 243 12 233 13 252 12 263 13 242 4459 4076 9 227 9 220 12 252 11 267 7 229 4076 3811 7 172 7 209 11 253 10 271 3 190 3811 3650 8 148 6*207 11 253 8*274 3 148 3650 3557 6*139 6*206 10 253 5*275 3*146 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography