DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 62.4 - - 64.6 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 509 - - 306 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2576 - - 5078 - - 6338 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5039 - - 7121 - - 7915 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5979 - - 8481 - - 9741 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1549 - - 1724 - - 1812 - - 6650 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 568 - - 517 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 20 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 344 - - 357 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - -8 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1642 - - -3758 - - -3356 - - -7474 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7621 - - 12239 - - 13098 - - 11032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5493 - - -7932 - - -7025 - - -10893 ODpotential blCL - - - 11472 - - 16413 - - 16766 - - 14451 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 41 - - 36 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 62.4 - - 64.6 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 20.9 - - 19.2 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 59.5 - - 62.4 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 20.3 - - 18.5 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 509 - - 306 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2576 - - 5078 - - 6338 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98694 25 111 12 113 8 073 17 102 98694 91203 21 119 14 123 14 075 20 103 91203 85476 23 122 12 115 16 098 17 087 85476 80744 20 110 15 121 13 097 15 098 80744 76683 17 114 14 147 10 101 20 089 76683 73081 12 123 17 139 5 113 18 082 73081 69794 13 135 15 140 7 178 14 074 69794 66753 9 159 16 127 14 152 4 170 66753 63916 13 192 11 166 10 145 10 189 63916 61151 15 180 14 174 12 177 15 183 61151 58250 13 187 14 193 10 192 12 176 58250 55230 16 209 15 207 10 211 12 193 55230 52347 18 221 16 216 11 223 13 216 52347 49760 16 232 13 225 12 228 13 229 49760 47447 14 238 13 241 11 231 13 239 47447 45357 14 244 14 255 11 247 12 259 45357 43455 15 248 15 268 11 265 13 277 43455 41707 15 247 17 277 11 289 10 295 41707 40088 14 257 19 283 12 304 13 311 40088 38585 14 268 20 286 14 313 18 309 38585 37183 15 282 18 286 18 310 20 311 37183 35845 16 282 17 292 20 313 21 327 35845 34509 16 270 16 294 22 315 26 337 34509 33149 16 279 15 292 22 314 28 339 33149 31765 24 280 13 280 19 306 26 335 31765 30343 33 258 14 253 14 298 22 331 30343 28867 29 253 18 236 12 277 16 324 28867 27339 23 261 19 234 12 251 10 313 27339 25758 20 269 16 236 13 240 6 292 25758 24124 17 275 14 245 12 243 5 276 24124 22438 12 272 13 252 10 248 5 264 22438 20689 11 258 13 260 8 256 5 263 20689 18875 12 260 12 269 5 267 4 286 18875 17027 10 268 9 275 3 244 3 291 17027 15246 9 281 7 273 3 244 3 266 15246 13622 9 297 6 271 4 242 5 249 13622 12174 8 311 4 274 4 231 5 235 12174 10883 6 326 3 276 2*276 3 229 10883 9728 3 340 2 292 4*351 1 015 9728 8694 2 355 3*329 5 354 5 021 8694 7771 2 004 4*335 6 356 7 020 7771 6948 1 327 4 339 7 357 10 019 6948 6215 1*311 5 342 8 358 12 018 6215 5552 2*312 5 344 8 359 13 017 5552 4960 2 319 6 346 9 359 13 016 4960 4463 2 323 6 348 9 359 13 015 4463 4079 2 324 6 349 9 360 13 014 4079 3812 3 325 6 350 9 359 12 014 3812 3650 3 325 6 349 9 360 11*014 3650 3558 2 326 6 349 8 360 8*013 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography