DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 86.0 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 396 - - 509 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2962 - - 5879 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5380 - - 7765 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6365 - - 9282 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2203 - - 3571 - - - - - 3154 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 597 - - - - - 46 W* B/S - - - 144 - - 44 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 296 - - - - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -7 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6611 - - -5725 - - - - - -8376 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12976 - - 15008 - - - - - 11935 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11920 - - -8996 - - - - - -12657 ODpotential blCL - - - 18285 - - 18278 - - - - - 16216 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 39 - - - - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 86.0 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 31.9 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 82.8 - - - - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 31.8 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 396 - - 509 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2962 - - 5879 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99927 32 110 29 100 30 110 99927 92379 33 103 28 111 22 096 92379 86553 27 103 26 106 21 097 86553 81700 21 112 21 100 22 104 81700 77518 23 117 16 106 19 099 77518 73836 22 114 22 124 15 098 73836 70512 20 113 24 124 15 115 70512 67463 11 130 10 117 15 120 67463 64636 14 139 12 154 15 134 64636 61901 12 148 15 159 13 131 61901 59051 9 180 20 150 17 173 59051 56105 15 214 14 200 19 194 56105 53310 33 202 36 207 28 214 53310 50795 37 207 41 195 39 213 50795 48533 51 225 40 190 46 218 48533 46478 65 222 48 213 54 221 46478 44592 76 218 69 222 64 222 44592 42849 81 216 80 220 72 222 42849 41231 79 214 83 217 75 223 41231 39721 76 213 82 215 75 224 39721 38309 76 213 83 214 75 224 38309 36956 76 211 82 213 76 224 36956 35594 74 210 79 211 76 224 35594 34192 72 210 76 210 75 223 34192 32755 67 210 72 210 73 222 32755 31272 62 208 67 208 72 222 31272 29734 58 206 61 206 70 223 29734 28143 53 206 58 206 64 224 28143 26501 50 208 55 209 58 223 26501 24807 49 211 51 213 52 222 24807 23062 49 212 50 214 47 222 23062 21261 49 213 49 213 43 224 21261 19396 46 212 46 214 42 227 19396 17497 42 212 42 217 40 232 17497 15664 37 213 39 219 37 233 15664 13991 32 213 33 215 32 227 13991 12497 28 212 23 206 27 215 12497 11159 25 211 18 203 20 199 11159 9960 22 209 16*205 14 199 9960 8884 18 204 11*210 8 210 8884 7922 15 200 7 217 3 234 7922 7067 11*199 4 237 3 005 7067 6306 6*199 3 318 11 014 6306 5619 2 200 5 345 16 011 5619 5008 0 296 6 351 18 010 5008 4495 1 356 6 354 18 008 4495 4097 2 359 7 355 17 008 4097 3822 2 002 7 355 17 007 3822 3655 2 003 7 355 15*008 3655 3559 2 005 7 357 11*008 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography