DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.1 - - 82.9 - - 92.5 - - 91.9 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 300 - - 431 - - 228 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 155 - - 1910 - - 5727 - - 5126 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 4515 - - 7579 - - 6828 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 3558 - - 5313 - - 9130 - - 8529 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 199 - - 1451 - - 3352 - - 4510 - - 3976 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 344 - - 560 - - 437 - - 13 W* B/S 4 - - 36 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 159 - - 326 - - 301 - - 350 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -7 - - -8 - - -9 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8055 - - -10448 - - -8433 - - -8524 - - -9835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11613 - - 15762 - - 17564 - - 17054 - - 13395 sfcLCL ODpotential -18387 - - -16636 - - -12587 - - -12764 - - -16006 ODpotential blCL 21945 - - 21949 - - 21717 - - 21293 - - 19565 blCL maxRH 39 - - 58 - - 32 - - 41 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.1 - - 82.9 - - 92.5 - - 91.9 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.8 - - 26.2 - - 26.8 - - 28.8 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.8 - - 80.7 - - 89.6 - - 90.1 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 26.1 - - 26.8 - - 28.8 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 300 - - 431 - - 228 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 155 - - 1910 - - 5727 - - 5126 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99648 30 101 31 106 30 120 21 112 28 103 99648 92137 24 118 27 117 22 099 29 109 26 102 92137 86339 27 108 23 123 18 098 21 103 24 104 86339 81535 24 099 21 121 18 118 15 095 19 102 81535 77403 20 099 20 102 20 130 12 098 16 097 77403 73753 17 102 19 094 19 113 12 126 10 095 73753 70445 16 088 15 103 15 111 13 125 12 087 70445 67402 12 102 14 108 10 115 10 109 13 075 67402 64579 10 064 11 093 8 109 6 104 9 072 64579 61856 5 016 9 065 7 073 3 126 2 134 61856 59046 6 358 4 012 3 360 1 036 3 210 59046 56161 12 327 6 282 10 280 8 305 4 267 56161 53431 19 310 13 293 15 280 17 274 16 287 53431 50988 26 302 18 298 19 284 18 271 22 279 50988 48801 28 298 24 294 24 292 22 284 19 281 48801 46811 31 300 30 298 29 294 25 288 21 280 46811 44977 39 304 35 306 31 303 27 287 23 278 44977 43269 45 300 41 307 35 302 30 291 24 286 43269 41668 45 297 42 305 37 297 37 293 30 288 41668 40159 41 299 40 301 38 296 39 292 36 284 40159 38738 36 300 38 299 37 293 37 291 38 282 38738 37371 34 298 35 297 36 290 36 289 37 282 37371 35996 33 298 34 296 35 289 35 287 34 283 35996 34586 31 287 34 295 34 285 35 283 32 282 34586 33146 31 284 32 290 31 281 34 280 32 286 33146 31665 33 282 30 285 30 278 32 283 33 291 31665 30123 30 279 26 279 28 274 31 288 31 292 30123 28517 27 280 22 275 26 271 31 288 24 291 28517 26849 24 280 21 274 25 267 28 283 26 285 26849 25125 23 278 22 274 24 266 27 278 25 282 25125 23349 22 279 23 274 23 268 24 274 23 280 23349 21510 21 281 21 274 21 269 20 274 21 274 21510 19603 18 280 18 270 18 268 17 274 19 270 19603 17664 16 273 15 264 16 261 17 264 18 265 17664 15798 14 267 13 258 17 249 21 249 20 256 15798 14103 12 263 13 255 19 240 21 233 22 244 14103 12592 12 264 15 258 19 238 18 236 20 234 12592 11241 12 267 17 261 17 241 16 245 14 247 11241 10031 12 267 17 263 15*243 12 267 11 270 10031 8946 11 261 17 261 12*249 10*295 10 296 8946 7977 11 244 16 257 9 259 10*322 11 323 7977 7114 10 222 14 252 7 275 10 333 14 339 7114 6345 9 202 11 249 6 304 12 350 15 346 6345 5650 8 188 7*250 6 331 13 355 17 348 5650 5030 7 179 2*275 7 339 13 357 18 349 5030 4508 5 176 2 322 7 344 13 358 18 349 4508 4105 5 179 2 334 8 346 13 359 18 349 4105 3827 5 179 2 343 8 348 13 359 16 349 3827 3657 4*166 2 345 8 348 12 360 12*349 3657 3559 2*159 2 345 7 348 11 001 8*349 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography