DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 64.7 - - 66.4 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 391 - - 194 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2801 - - 4732 - - 4764 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5051 - - 6752 - - 6466 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6204 - - 8135 - - 8167 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1266 - - 1591 - - 2433 - - 3797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 349 - - 508 - - 403 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 36 - - 30 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 302 - - 347 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 146 - - -1393 - - -1829 - - -4224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6059 - - 9529 - - 9997 - - 7783 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3167 - - -5053 - - -5343 - - -8716 ODpotential blCL - - - 9371 - - 13188 - - 13510 - - 12274 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 60 - - 74 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 64.7 - - 66.4 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 35.3 - - 34.9 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 62.2 - - 64.7 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 35.0 - - 34.8 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 391 - - 194 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2801 - - 4732 - - 4764 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98821 6 137 5 272 4 036 3 043 98821 91409 4 136 6 122 2 104 8 088 91409 85720 6 141 9 100 10 110 8 094 85720 81021 11 119 9 115 10 100 11 091 81021 76970 10 113 8 105 7 137 11 083 76970 73356 7 089 8 128 4 107 10 092 73356 70060 1 061 10 113 6 179 1 340 70060 67025 6 213 2 356 4 135 6 184 67025 64195 9 201 8 232 6 256 2 139 64195 61425 7 204 13 203 12 244 7 295 61425 58531 7 267 7 211 12 237 13 270 58531 55548 12 274 11 254 11 255 15 253 55548 52713 17 266 19 268 15 280 14 264 52713 50163 22 262 25 264 25 281 18 281 50163 47880 24 269 28 267 30 278 23 283 47880 45806 30 273 30 272 31 277 26 285 45806 43907 33 275 32 275 35 278 32 287 43907 42161 38 278 35 282 37 279 38 285 42161 40549 41 280 42 287 41 291 45 290 40549 39055 43 283 43 291 50 297 54 293 39055 37670 41 284 44 295 52 297 58 295 37670 36353 38 291 43 296 48 300 57 297 36353 35033 35 298 41 298 46 305 55 303 35033 33678 33 304 41 301 47 304 55 306 33678 32283 32 308 40 301 48 302 54 306 32283 30836 33 307 40 299 48 301 52 303 30836 29327 34 305 39 299 45 302 52 300 29327 27759 35 303 37 300 44 303 51 300 27759 26133 38 302 37 300 43 303 48 301 26133 24452 39 303 36 300 41 304 45 302 24452 22716 37 307 35 302 37 304 42 301 22716 20923 34 308 33 303 34 301 38 299 20923 19065 30 309 30 302 31 298 35 300 19065 17181 27 312 27 302 28 301 30 304 17181 15370 22 309 23 300 25 305 25 307 15370 13721 18 300 18 293 21 301 20 305 13721 12253 15 292 16 286 19 286 18 292 12253 10944 12 288 14 284 16 266 15 264 10944 9777 9 290 10 282 10 259 13 243 9777 8732 8 295 5*275 7*271 9 254 8732 7799 6 289 4*280 6*277 5 296 7799 6970 5*264 3 284 4 307 5 339 6970 6231 3*218 3 293 5 347 6 006 6231 5563 2 201 3 301 6 357 9 021 5563 4968 2 192 3 311 6 000 11 024 4968 4468 2 189 3 316 7 004 12 024 4468 4081 1 182 3 322 7 005 12 023 4081 3814 1 177 3 323 7 006 11 021 3814 3651 1 174 3 324 7 006 9*019 3651 3558 1 172 3 326 6 007 5*016 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography