DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.5 - - 27.6 - - 39.2 - - 39.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 30 - - 111 - - 6 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 153 - - 555 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 3556 - - 3958 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 358 - - 592 - - 736 - - 356 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 69 - - 165 - - 41 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 157 - - 251 - - 343 - - 311 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2746 - - -942 - - -2681 - - -2468 - - -520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6302 - - 4498 - - 6639 - - 6024 - - 4076 sfcLCL ODpotential -14318 - - -11603 - - -10478 - - -8830 - - -8021 ODpotential blCL 17873 - - 15159 - - 14436 - - 12386 - - 11577 blCL maxRH 74 - - 75 - - 82 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.5 - - 27.6 - - 39.2 - - 39.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.2 - - 20.8 - - 22.9 - - 25.6 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 27.2 - - 38.1 - - 39.4 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.7 - - 20.4 - - 22.4 - - 25.5 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 30 - - 111 - - 6 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 153 - - 555 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 1 - - 27 - - 98 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95270 31 038 20 345 33 348 37 346 28 005 95270 88631 31 022 23 020 23 003 34 006 24 018 88631 83377 25 018 18 019 20 003 28 002 18 023 83377 78944 16 027 15 020 21 001 29 002 24 019 78944 75096 20 017 20 022 24 014 27 357 26 011 75096 71682 25 007 25 011 23 013 22 003 20 359 71682 68565 27 002 25 005 24 010 22 007 17 348 68565 65669 30 002 30 001 28 006 26 009 21 001 65669 62967 33 357 34 355 30 359 32 005 21 357 62967 60338 33 352 33 349 29 352 32 357 21 353 60338 57568 37 348 33 345 31 349 30 346 23 342 57568 54672 41 346 35 346 34 341 36 344 31 336 54672 51910 46 346 42 343 40 341 42 344 32 338 51910 49415 49 344 48 340 47 340 45 339 36 340 49415 47159 53 338 51 339 48 336 44 329 42 329 47159 45100 54 337 51 339 45 333 40 324 42 326 45100 43203 55 342 51 340 43 332 41 327 39 328 43203 41439 58 343 48 337 42 332 46 326 47 335 41439 39799 54 340 47 335 44 332 51 328 57 335 39799 38279 50 340 48 335 48 330 54 335 59 332 38279 36870 45 340 50 337 50 334 55 338 60 332 36870 35534 42 340 50 339 54 339 59 340 64 338 35534 34206 41 338 43 336 56 337 64 340 69 342 34206 32857 40 330 40 332 49 333 64 339 72 339 32857 31486 35 323 41 335 46 333 62 335 67 337 31486 30076 33 330 42 339 46 330 57 330 66 337 30076 28611 35 335 42 336 46 331 50 326 67 337 28611 27091 38 328 39 330 42 334 45 324 62 336 27091 25516 39 322 35 328 37 326 42 321 51 332 25516 23885 35 319 30 332 36 318 37 323 44 324 23885 22200 32 323 28 337 35 318 33 329 44 325 22200 20459 32 329 27 337 33 322 33 329 41 330 20459 18657 31 331 26 332 29 326 32 329 33 328 18657 16823 28 328 23 332 25 327 33 327 28 329 16823 15055 25 324 21 331 23 326 36 327 29 335 15055 13444 21 325 20 328 21 328 34 322 29 335 13444 12010 19 326 18 326 20 333 28 314 26 334 12010 10728 17 327 17 327 19 338 25 315 25 342 10728 9582 16 327 15 328 19 340 22 324 23 343 9582 8559 15 325 14 327 18 341 19 332 20 333 8559 7648 14 323 13 323 17 340 16 337 16 326 7648 6840 14 322 11 318 16 337 15 339 14 323 6840 6122 13 322 10 310 14 334 13 336 13 321 6122 5476 12 326 7 298 11 330 11 331 11 320 5476 4903 7 323 5 274 7 324 6 327 6 314 4903 4422 5 293 4 260 5 332 3 304 4 293 4422 4053 7 273 3 250 5*343 2 300 2 299 4053 3798 4 229 2 240 5*343 2 307 1 334 3798 3644 4 164 1*244 5 344 3 310 0*294 3644 3556 4*157 1*251 4 343 2*311 1*268 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography