DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.7 - - 42.4 - - - - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 99 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1565 - - - - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3540 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 4968 - - - - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 794 - - 1148 - - - - - 897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 225 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 14 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 029 - - - - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -91 - - - - - -106 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3556 - - 5059 - - - - - 3662 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4772 - - -3224 - - - - - -3899 ODpotential blCL - - - 8328 - - 8192 - - - - - 7455 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.7 - - 42.4 - - - - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.3 - - 32.8 - - - - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 41.3 - - - - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 32.3 - - - - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 99 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1565 - - - - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 87 - - - - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96952 33 088 27 083 28 072 96952 89864 26 095 23 073 22 083 89864 84322 23 087 12 062 19 074 84322 79666 13 060 11 080 12 069 79666 75621 6 083 12 083 5 109 75621 72021 6 048 9 073 6 078 72021 68755 6 061 3 025 8 027 68755 65761 8 045 3 279 5 319 65761 62980 9 350 7 283 5 287 62980 60268 7 293 10 269 9 294 60268 57414 10 273 10 246 13 286 57414 54430 14 278 13 247 16 277 54430 51574 15 277 16 264 14 263 51574 49011 15 276 20 287 9 285 49011 46730 15 280 19 282 7 305 46730 44673 13 287 12 273 5 005 44673 42798 11 300 7 299 16 004 42798 41081 8 311 8 359 18 356 41081 39493 6 006 13 016 17 013 39493 38010 11 025 18 019 22 023 38010 36629 15 027 21 025 28 040 36629 35325 18 032 24 036 40 052 35325 34030 23 038 35 048 50 048 34030 32707 26 040 47 051 53 042 32707 31349 20 036 52 050 51 041 31349 29942 16 027 46 050 50 052 29942 28477 8 019 31 038 51 053 28477 26954 3 031 13 033 51 058 26954 25376 4 188 5 039 37 058 25376 23753 3 185 8 177 16 056 23753 22086 4 200 6 165 9 041 22086 20364 6 237 5 180 5 054 20364 18577 9 236 12 184 5 110 18577 16758 11 226 7 174 5 106 16758 15007 11 228 6 184 4 155 15007 13412 9 227 8 218 5 280 13412 11992 8 217 9 222 6 294 11992 10723 7 197 7 205 5 284 10723 9589 9 183 5 152 6 273 9589 8574 11 177 6 149 9 260 8574 7667 10 165 8 164 10 247 7667 6861 10 150 9 170 9 236 6861 6143 12 145 8 166 6 220 6143 5494 11 141 6*152 4 186 5494 4916 9 138 2*071 3 154 4916 4432 5 134 3 030 2 047 4432 4060 1 066 3 024 5 016 4060 3802 2 008 3 019 5 006 3802 3646 2*007 3 018 4 359 3646 3556 2*009 3 017 2*353 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography