DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 61.8 - - 61.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 305 - - 126 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1396 - - 2257 - - 2063 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4029 - - 4775 - - 4271 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4799 - - 5660 - - 5466 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 567 - - 1005 - - 1041 - - 1263 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 366 - - 264 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 004 - - 354 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4107 - - -5319 - - -5119 - - -4234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8907 - - 10980 - - 10585 - - 7791 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10008 - - -9009 - - -8361 - - -9707 ODpotential blCL - - - 14807 - - 14669 - - 13827 - - 13264 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 85 - - 73 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 61.8 - - 61.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.3 - - 26.0 - - 27.4 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 59.7 - - 60.2 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 25.9 - - 27.4 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 305 - - 126 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1396 - - 2257 - - 2063 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98316 11 217 6 259 9 256 8 326 98316 90952 7 253 5 288 3 247 6 333 90952 85271 3 206 4 309 2 053 2 339 85271 80566 4 014 3 164 8 019 6 064 80566 76525 6 024 2 107 5 359 6 359 76525 72952 5 296 7 330 4 333 4 316 72952 69697 6 251 10 283 11 295 8 289 69697 66684 8 264 13 255 16 278 12 283 66684 63884 11 281 12 257 16 279 15 290 63884 61169 16 280 15 271 18 275 17 285 61169 58331 18 280 16 278 18 274 19 280 58331 55370 22 277 21 278 22 276 22 279 55370 52534 25 270 27 274 28 274 27 286 52534 49979 29 268 33 270 33 271 32 284 49979 47682 31 268 35 267 32 271 34 280 47682 45590 32 268 34 264 31 268 31 277 45590 43669 34 265 33 257 31 265 29 280 43669 41897 35 258 30 253 30 263 28 281 41897 40257 35 250 28 254 28 261 24 278 40257 38736 39 245 31 253 25 258 19 281 38736 37323 46 239 34 245 22 259 17 284 37323 35980 55 232 39 236 22 258 15 284 35980 34639 66 226 50 224 26 249 14 285 34639 33272 75 220 58 215 31 236 14 271 33272 31880 74 217 62 211 35 221 14 257 31880 30446 71 218 61 212 36 213 16 243 30446 28958 63 221 55 215 36 214 18 234 28958 27416 51 223 47 220 35 220 19 231 27416 25820 43 223 39 222 32 225 20 230 25820 24171 38 224 34 224 28 230 21 228 24171 22471 33 228 31 227 25 232 22 225 22471 20714 27 235 25 230 22 230 23 225 20714 18892 22 237 18 234 18 225 22 231 18892 17041 18 227 14 233 13 222 19 241 17041 15261 13 207 13 223 11 223 15 254 15261 13638 15 201 13 219 11 230 13 254 13638 12189 17 200 13 227 12 227 11 247 12189 10894 16 199 15 228 11 216 8 244 10894 9732 15 197 15 222 8 208 4 253 9732 8690 14 197 14 209 4 204 2 296 8690 7759 12 197 13 193 1 238 4 009 7759 6932 9 193 10 178 3 353 7 006 6932 6198 7 179 5*157 6 357 9 005 6198 5537 6 160 2*030 11*358 10 019 5537 4948 1*133 4 008 12*356 12 017 4948 4455 1*336 4 003 12 355 13 006 4455 4073 2 336 5 000 12 354 13 356 4073 3810 2 336 5 357 12 353 11 346 3810 3649 2 332 5 355 11 353 8*333 3649 3557 2 333 5 356 10 353 5*319 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography