DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 83.5 - - 84.4 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 484 - - 253 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2770 - - 5584 - - 6586 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5219 - - 7507 - - 8010 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6173 - - 8987 - - 9989 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1362 - - 1805 - - 2497 - - 4540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 419 - - 576 - - 491 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 345 - - 330 - - 349 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -9 - - -9 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6003 - - -5975 - - -4218 - - -6704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12176 - - 14963 - - 14208 - - 10264 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11559 - - -10391 - - -7921 - - -11591 ODpotential blCL - - - 17732 - - 19378 - - 17910 - - 15150 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 71 - - 84 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 83.5 - - 84.4 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 29.9 - - 34.0 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 80.4 - - 82.4 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 29.9 - - 34.1 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 484 - - 253 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2770 - - 5584 - - 6586 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99626 19 107 16 099 16 098 16 094 99626 92103 14 107 15 096 16 115 12 075 92103 86300 16 118 9 118 8 068 14 094 86300 81468 14 113 6 120 5 066 12 087 81468 77295 12 096 8 094 8 073 8 080 77295 73616 9 051 8 065 9 085 6 073 73616 70299 8 113 3 095 5 044 8 060 70299 67255 7 085 4 117 3 272 6 001 67255 64439 5 009 5 011 1 237 5 320 64439 61718 7 316 8 337 5 358 1 062 61718 58878 6 296 8 272 9 305 4 317 58878 55942 13 278 12 248 16 274 10 280 55942 53153 20 264 21 243 22 256 17 270 53153 50644 27 254 27 249 25 253 24 263 50644 48399 33 258 33 252 33 253 34 254 48399 46362 38 254 41 251 43 251 42 251 46362 44492 46 248 48 248 48 249 48 247 44492 42762 50 243 51 245 50 245 53 244 42762 41153 49 240 52 242 51 243 54 241 41153 39650 47 240 51 240 52 238 51 239 39650 38240 44 240 46 242 51 234 46 239 38240 36887 39 241 38 246 49 232 46 239 36887 35529 33 241 30 245 42 233 42 237 35529 34145 29 235 31 239 28 238 32 237 34145 32734 25 231 29 236 24 231 24 236 32734 31276 24 236 27 236 27 229 23 234 31276 29758 25 242 29 236 27 231 24 233 29758 28181 26 245 30 237 29 234 26 233 28181 26544 27 247 32 240 31 239 27 235 26544 24849 29 250 33 245 31 242 25 238 24849 23096 30 251 33 248 29 245 24 241 23096 21281 29 251 31 249 28 246 25 243 21281 19399 27 251 28 249 27 246 27 246 19399 17486 23 252 26 248 27 247 29 249 17486 15643 20 252 25 248 27 249 28 250 15643 13966 19 251 24 247 25 247 28 245 13966 12469 19 253 22 246 18 249 25 241 12469 11131 17 257 18 248 10*274 16 244 11131 9933 14 262 12*260 8*299 8 255 9933 8862 11 267 7*293 8 325 4 314 8862 7905 9 276 7 313 9 337 10 354 7905 7055 8 294 7 322 11 352 13 355 7055 6298 5*324 7 332 11 357 16 357 6298 5614 5*336 8 337 12 359 18 001 5614 5005 5 342 8 340 12 001 19 003 5005 4492 5 345 8 343 12 002 20 004 4492 4096 5 347 8 345 12 003 19 005 4096 3822 5 349 8 346 12 003 17 005 3822 3654 5 350 8 347 12 004 15*005 3654 3559 5 350 7 347 10 005 10*005 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography