DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 45.9 - - - - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 302 - - - - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1912 - - 4489 - - - - - 1721 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3982 - - 6462 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5315 - - 7892 - - - - - 5124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2606 - - 4041 - - - - - 3052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 458 - - - - - 136 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 20 - - - - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 304 - - - - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -8 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 982 - - 105 - - - - - -477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4333 - - 7787 - - - - - 5602 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 191 - - -708 - - - - - -1638 ODpotential blCL - - - 5124 - - 8600 - - - - - 6762 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 98 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 45.9 - - - - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 24.3 - - - - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 44.0 - - - - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 24.2 - - - - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 302 - - - - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1912 - - 4489 - - - - - 1721 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 93 - - - - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98224 2 277 8 306 10 053 98224 90756 5 137 10 277 5 349 90756 85015 7 093 2 288 10 335 85015 80251 1 148 5 304 10 335 80251 76157 7 066 2 276 4 351 76157 72525 6 008 6 321 9 011 72525 69218 10 285 7 310 11 310 69218 66168 11 300 7 285 4 332 66168 63309 8 290 6 270 11 335 63309 60524 4 207 2 121 12 300 60524 57622 15 313 6 300 12 323 57622 54597 27 284 27 293 17 326 54597 51708 28 285 31 294 29 318 51708 49128 30 289 30 303 35 317 49128 46831 29 298 35 306 41 321 46831 44754 36 308 42 307 45 320 44754 42857 45 310 48 308 51 323 42857 41113 53 310 56 311 58 321 41113 39501 61 313 65 309 56 318 39501 38005 71 314 70 307 54 323 38005 36614 74 310 70 305 60 329 36614 35292 70 309 68 307 70 328 35292 33972 71 317 67 310 72 324 33972 32624 80 318 68 311 65 318 32624 31252 88 317 70 308 61 319 31252 29839 90 317 73 307 63 322 29839 28374 91 319 75 308 63 320 28374 26851 85 317 77 307 63 314 26851 25271 80 314 75 305 64 309 25271 23634 80 312 72 306 67 306 23634 21945 78 312 71 311 67 306 21945 20203 72 313 72 314 63 307 20203 18406 61 310 68 315 59 307 18406 16585 53 303 60 314 55 309 16585 14840 48 299 50 312 45 313 14840 13261 41 299 36 314 31 319 13261 11861 28 292 26 312 23 316 11861 10615 19 290 23 313 21 309 10615 9500 19 298 23 312 22 309 9500 8502 18 303 22*309 23 310 8502 7610 18 307 21*306 22 312 7610 6817 18 310 21 305 21 312 6817 6111 18 313 21 304 20 314 6111 5473 18*316 20 304 19*316 5473 4905 18*318 20 304 17*319 4905 4426 18 319 19 304 16 321 4426 4057 17 321 18 304 15 322 4057 3801 16 321 17 303 14 322 3801 3646 15 321 16 303 12 323 3646 3557 12 322 14 303 10 323 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography