DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 84.3 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 346 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1858 - - 5699 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4376 - - 7462 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 9102 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1910 - - 1814 - - - - - 1476 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 518 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 265 - - - - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7358 - - -6978 - - - - - -9788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12619 - - 16081 - - - - - 13348 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14592 - - -13513 - - - - - -18466 ODpotential blCL - - - 19853 - - 22615 - - - - - 22025 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 44 - - - - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 84.3 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 25.8 - - - - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 81.8 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 25.6 - - - - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 346 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1858 - - 5699 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99032 7 268 7 260 12 284 99032 91560 7 270 8 261 13 326 91560 85825 1 245 4 270 6 346 85825 81072 5 092 3 357 1 121 81072 76967 5 055 4 344 7 008 76967 73354 4 008 5 316 10 356 73354 70099 1 329 5 304 9 315 70099 67099 4 223 7 313 10 282 67099 64308 3 260 9 282 12 283 64308 61610 8 304 11 284 13 282 61610 58805 12 298 17 284 17 299 58805 55906 17 304 19 282 25 298 55906 53161 23 301 19 297 31 285 53161 50712 24 302 23 301 34 269 50712 48527 23 298 23 300 29 271 48527 46548 21 308 26 294 25 278 46548 44732 19 292 23 292 22 288 44732 43051 18 352 15 324 21 297 43051 41485 32 027 11 348 24 300 41485 40019 37 036 10 027 24 283 40019 38641 36 040 17 045 21 257 38641 37313 34 040 23 044 17 249 37313 35970 32 041 22 036 15 230 35970 34583 29 045 20 026 12 224 34583 33156 26 049 20 018 8 228 33156 31673 23 046 18 012 4 255 31673 30126 23 044 14 016 4 264 30126 28516 24 051 10 026 3 263 28516 26846 19 046 9 051 5 212 26846 25115 15 026 9 063 10 215 25115 23326 12 006 6 028 12 232 23326 21475 11 348 7 332 11 264 21475 19555 8 339 7 322 8 296 19555 17606 8 305 8 305 4 314 17606 15735 11 294 10 297 5 284 15735 14038 8 296 10 295 7 278 14038 12528 7 296 9 279 9 270 12528 11182 8 282 10 257 13 242 11182 9978 8 265 9*241 14 235 9978 8900 8 249 8*240 10 247 8900 7936 7 231 7 243 5 285 7936 7079 7 218 6 249 6 332 7079 6315 6 211 4 265 9 348 6315 5626 5*202 4 280 10 358 5626 5012 3*188 3 292 11 011 5012 4496 2 176 3 305 12 018 4496 4098 2 171 4 312 12 019 4098 3823 1 165 4 315 11 018 3823 3655 1 163 4 315 8*013 3655 3559 1 164 3 318 5*006 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography