DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 37.0 - - 33.8 - - 28.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 64 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1923 - - 2686 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 5326 - - 6089 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4678 - - 3995 - - 2880 - - 2910 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 60 - - 209 - - 159 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 19 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 248 - - 284 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1472 - - 263 - - 758 - - -446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5028 - - 5063 - - 5332 - - 4002 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2385 - - -770 - - -556 - - -1916 ODpotential blCL - - - 5941 - - 6096 - - 6645 - - 5472 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 87 - - 94 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 37.0 - - 33.8 - - 28.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 27.2 - - 22.8 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 36.4 - - 33.4 - - 29.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 26.7 - - 22.5 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 64 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1923 - - 2686 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 46 - - 77 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95959 31 270 32 290 34 297 36 272 95959 88918 23 265 24 298 22 305 20 282 88918 83453 21 265 20 277 20 306 14 297 83453 78881 13 267 13 261 19 287 15 286 78881 74907 17 257 14 259 18 272 12 276 74907 71351 22 255 19 259 20 279 17 276 71351 68117 17 271 20 277 22 282 18 274 68117 65131 17 274 20 281 18 283 13 294 65131 62324 20 270 17 282 22 288 26 295 62324 59582 22 269 24 283 30 281 35 280 59582 56721 21 265 29 268 27 280 34 275 56721 53743 17 265 21 245 21 259 28 261 53743 50877 27 284 9 258 9 256 19 275 50877 48268 44 278 31 292 23 284 30 302 48268 45920 51 273 50 283 42 283 45 297 45920 43803 53 272 52 278 47 281 49 295 43803 41888 55 274 55 276 50 283 46 290 41888 40139 61 271 60 270 52 287 39 287 40139 38519 63 262 59 266 57 286 35 295 38519 37009 56 261 56 267 58 276 38 302 37009 35602 57 277 52 268 53 267 40 302 35602 34261 72 281 51 272 43 267 41 303 34261 32922 82 273 57 277 42 282 44 305 32922 31563 81 262 64 279 51 291 51 306 31563 30196 71 255 66 276 58 290 53 304 30196 28807 65 261 63 274 58 287 52 307 28807 27373 69 270 58 277 53 285 54 311 27373 25891 72 273 57 278 48 285 54 310 25891 24367 71 271 56 279 48 286 51 302 24367 22805 67 270 54 279 49 283 48 297 22805 21208 62 270 51 279 50 274 47 295 21208 19567 59 269 47 280 55 267 43 292 19567 17873 58 268 42 284 51 263 40 288 17873 16157 58 270 38 290 46 262 37 288 16157 14505 56 273 37 291 49 266 37 295 14505 12996 55 275 38 287 49 276 38 298 12996 11647 53 277 38 282 44 287 37 299 11647 10440 48 277 36 275 39 296 35 299 10440 9357 41 276 36 268 35 300 32 300 9357 8385 35 273 36 265 31 298 30 300 8385 7516 31 270 35 263 29 293 28 299 7516 6743 27 267 34 261 26*289 26 298 6743 6053 24 263 31 259 24*286 25 296 6053 5430 20 258 27*256 21 285 23 293 5430 4875 17 253 23*252 19 284 19 288 4875 4407 15 249 21 249 17 284 15 280 4407 4046 13 245 19 247 15 284 13 270 4046 3795 12 243 17 246 14 284 11 265 3795 3643 10*242 16 246 13 284 9*262 3643 3556 8*241 13 245 10 284 6*260 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography