DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 67.5 - - 73.0 - - 71.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 241 - - 369 - - 123 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2259 - - 3963 - - 2903 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 4700 - - 6131 - - 4855 - - - Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 5662 - - 7366 - - 6306 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 1264 - - 1921 - - 2511 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 338 - - 470 - - 294 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind 7 - - 15 - - 17 - - 17 - - - BL Wind Direction 178 - - 259 - - 263 - - 262 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4313 - - -8931 - - -7841 - - -7500 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7870 - - 14593 - - 15207 - - 13807 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -15731 - - -16560 - - -14594 - - -13805 - - - ODpotential blCL 19288 - - 22222 - - 21960 - - 20111 - - - blCL maxRH 32 - - 59 - - 57 - - 64 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 67.5 - - 73.0 - - 71.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 16.1 - - 18.4 - - 23.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 65.7 - - 70.6 - - 70.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.8 - - 16.0 - - 18.4 - - 23.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 241 - - 369 - - 123 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2259 - - 3963 - - 2903 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96509 5 340 5 255 17 252 13 323 96509 89430 3 268 6 197 12 250 9 305 89430 83955 3 322 5 183 8 249 12 297 83955 79404 6 333 4 333 11 264 15 277 79404 75492 5 302 4 305 4 256 6 258 75492 72021 12 288 14 278 14 307 11 288 72021 68883 5 287 11 260 15 276 10 306 68883 65996 11 308 7 185 7 266 12 340 65996 63307 27 268 21 284 23 279 26 279 63307 60705 29 261 25 270 24 272 24 268 60705 57987 30 275 26 269 24 268 22 274 57987 55153 40 278 38 273 38 273 37 275 55153 52446 48 274 46 275 46 274 49 271 52446 50018 48 272 49 273 51 267 56 273 50018 47840 43 284 50 274 53 263 59 273 47840 45857 55 289 55 277 59 270 64 271 45857 44041 69 276 64 273 69 274 70 267 44041 42375 74 264 72 267 76 269 71 264 42375 40835 71 259 69 266 72 263 65 266 40835 39393 68 260 62 268 66 264 61 272 39393 38029 67 265 64 271 68 269 62 273 38029 36710 73 267 73 269 72 270 62 268 36710 35375 84 265 84 264 78 267 64 262 35375 33998 87 265 86 261 84 263 72 261 33998 32583 87 266 86 262 86 263 79 261 32583 31116 88 267 87 262 87 263 80 261 31116 29589 89 265 87 262 88 263 80 263 29589 28000 89 264 86 262 88 263 79 265 28000 26353 87 265 84 264 85 264 76 266 26353 24650 82 268 80 268 81 266 70 268 24650 22897 74 271 72 271 73 267 64 269 22897 21088 65 270 61 267 62 262 60 266 21088 19217 58 263 54 261 56 258 58 263 19217 17316 54 259 50 261 51 261 55 263 17316 15487 50 261 44 268 43 266 45 265 15487 13824 42 266 35 271 34 266 34 263 13824 12344 34 271 29 269 28 261 28 257 12344 11024 28 274 26 264 26 257 26 254 11024 9842 24 275 25 260 25 258 26 254 9842 8786 22 275 25 259 23 260 25 255 8786 7844 21 273 26 260 20*261 22 255 7844 7007 21 270 26 261 18*262 19*258 7007 6260 22 265 23*261 18 263 18*259 6260 5586 23 260 19*259 17 263 18 260 5586 4985 24 253 16 258 17 263 17 262 4985 4479 24 245 15 259 17 264 17 263 4479 4088 20 233 14 259 16 264 17 264 4088 3818 14 221 13 259 16 264 16 264 3818 3653 9*198 13 260 15 265 15 265 3653 3558 7*178 11 260 13 265 12 265 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography