DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 42.7 - - 40.6 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 33 - - -11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 3253 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 6656 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5164 - - 3127 - - 5022 - - 3550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 58 - - 209 - - 23 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 21 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 236 - - 226 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1351 - - 1278 - - -2286 - - -1282 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4907 - - 5378 - - 5842 - - 4838 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2323 - - -311 - - -3589 - - -3209 ODpotential blCL - - - 5879 - - 6967 - - 7145 - - 6765 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 85 - - 85 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 42.7 - - 40.6 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 31.2 - - 27.2 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 42.3 - - 41.1 - - 38.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 30.2 - - 26.7 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 33 - - -11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 3253 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 40 - - 40 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95965 22 287 23 303 20 303 25 293 95965 88986 12 312 15 285 24 309 18 309 88986 83542 13 340 3 297 13 327 17 317 83542 78986 17 314 20 287 17 317 17 302 78986 75037 11 295 18 272 18 320 15 312 75037 71514 13 314 15 267 18 306 12 304 71514 68274 18 278 15 249 18 255 17 260 68274 65261 9 267 14 256 14 247 18 253 65261 62453 15 265 23 255 12 274 10 266 62453 59709 31 242 27 244 22 262 10 298 59709 56811 33 237 27 236 29 248 27 265 56811 53795 28 253 26 240 30 247 33 257 53795 50930 28 263 27 247 30 249 28 251 50930 48357 31 268 29 256 28 248 26 254 48357 46050 37 264 35 258 29 249 27 257 46050 43961 41 253 40 253 34 252 29 254 43961 42054 41 243 42 246 40 252 31 248 42054 40299 41 239 43 241 44 251 34 247 40299 38671 43 239 46 239 47 250 39 246 38671 37158 49 239 47 241 50 246 44 246 37158 35752 56 237 46 246 50 243 48 246 35752 34423 58 234 50 250 52 244 53 245 34423 33108 58 233 54 247 56 245 57 243 33108 31777 57 234 53 243 57 244 55 240 31777 30432 53 232 52 242 56 244 51 238 30432 29058 47 233 53 241 57 242 49 240 29058 27643 44 238 55 240 60 240 48 242 27643 26183 45 239 56 240 61 240 49 242 26183 24673 47 237 54 241 60 240 49 239 24673 23111 47 235 51 242 56 240 48 238 23111 21501 47 235 49 244 49 241 46 240 21501 19836 46 238 48 245 44 244 46 242 19836 18113 44 239 47 245 44 246 49 244 18113 16363 41 241 46 245 45 246 49 243 16363 14677 38 242 44 244 44 246 46 240 14677 13141 37 242 42 244 41 246 43 241 13141 11771 38 241 38 241 38 245 43 245 11771 10547 40 241 33 235 37 242 43 246 10547 9449 41 242 31 230 36 237 43 244 9449 8465 41 242 30 229 35 233 42 241 8465 7584 40 242 29 230 33 230 39 238 7584 6800 38 241 28*231 32 230 35 235 6800 6099 34 239 26*233 30 230 32 232 6099 5466 30 237 24 234 27 230 27 229 5466 4901 26 235 22 235 24 230 22 227 4901 4424 22 232 20 237 20 230 16 222 4424 4056 17 227 18 237 17 230 10 209 4056 3801 14 222 16 238 13 228 6 178 3801 3646 13 219 14 238 11 227 6*147 3646 3556 10*217 12 239 8*226 4*134 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography