DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 78.0 - - 79.9 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 476 - - 252 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3142 - - 5378 - - 5473 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5502 - - 7335 - - 7139 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6545 - - 8781 - - 8876 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1757 - - 1686 - - 2778 - - 3434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 437 - - 565 - - 460 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 20 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 324 - - 357 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -11 - - -12 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2466 - - -4025 - - -4559 - - -7185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9011 - - 12806 - - 13435 - - 10744 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6607 - - -8885 - - -9042 - - -13301 ODpotential blCL - - - 13152 - - 17666 - - 17918 - - 16859 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 39 - - 43 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 78.0 - - 79.9 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 34.0 - - 33.1 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 75.1 - - 77.9 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 34.0 - - 33.1 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 476 - - 252 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3142 - - 5378 - - 5473 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99412 13 091 18 120 13 108 16 093 99412 91944 12 124 11 120 11 122 11 080 91944 86150 12 143 9 098 12 099 8 081 86150 81340 17 116 4 133 10 116 4 082 81340 77202 13 106 4 111 8 089 9 132 77202 73550 7 104 8 117 6 084 11 125 73550 70236 7 125 5 133 7 053 12 123 70236 67184 8 160 6 175 3 228 7 121 67184 64354 5 125 7 181 8 181 5 229 64354 61617 7 248 6 217 4 249 7 234 61617 58766 9 221 10 216 13 229 14 236 58766 55808 13 266 9 261 13 243 12 222 55808 52975 26 232 24 241 25 247 19 243 52975 50430 26 239 30 233 33 237 28 242 50430 48166 32 251 31 244 36 238 31 241 48166 46121 41 251 37 250 38 241 34 237 46121 44253 49 251 44 253 41 246 35 238 44253 42540 52 253 50 252 44 249 36 240 42540 40965 50 254 50 252 45 249 40 243 40965 39506 48 255 48 253 44 247 43 244 39506 38140 45 259 44 253 40 247 42 245 38140 36826 42 262 41 252 36 249 40 245 36826 35499 40 264 38 254 32 249 38 244 35499 34129 40 266 36 257 29 250 33 242 34129 32722 40 266 36 260 28 251 29 241 32722 31266 39 267 36 261 27 252 27 242 31266 29747 38 268 36 261 27 255 25 244 29747 28167 35 268 34 262 26 257 24 247 28167 26526 33 266 33 263 25 258 22 248 26526 24826 33 264 31 263 25 260 21 249 24826 23070 31 266 28 264 23 263 21 249 23070 21253 28 271 24 265 20 264 18 250 21253 19369 25 275 21 269 16 265 15 255 19369 17454 25 275 18 271 12 265 13 258 17454 15611 25 270 16 268 12 260 15 258 15611 13935 23 265 15 264 15 252 18 248 13935 12443 20 263 15 262 16 240 18 228 12443 11111 18 263 14 261 13 241 15 221 11111 9919 16 265 12 261 8*257 8 227 9919 8851 13 267 7*273 5*293 3 255 8851 7897 11 269 6*286 5 307 3 353 7897 7049 7*273 5 295 6 345 5 019 7049 6292 3*285 5 319 8 004 8 027 6292 5610 2 313 5 331 9 008 12 029 5610 5001 2 336 5 336 9 010 14 028 5001 4490 3 348 6 341 10 012 15 025 4490 4094 3 356 6 344 10 013 14 023 4094 3820 3 358 6 346 10 013 13 021 3820 3654 3 000 6 347 10 013 10 019 3654 3558 3 359 5 347 9 014 6*018 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography