DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 92.6 - - 93.2 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 489 - - 291 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3071 - - 10670 - - 10901 - - 1190 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5449 - - 11652 - - 11531 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6474 - - 14073 - - 14304 - - 4593 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2536 - - 1774 - - 2384 - - 1679 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 434 - - 718 - - 609 - - 113 W* B/S - - - 76 - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 14 - - 11 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 225 - - 237 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 24 - - 19 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 45 - - 48 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4597 - - -1874 - - -2222 - - -4564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11071 - - 15947 - - 16527 - - 9157 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8743 - - -5217 - - -5546 - - -7926 ODpotential blCL - - - 15217 - - 19290 - - 19850 - - 12519 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 36 - - 37 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 92.6 - - 93.2 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 34.0 - - 32.1 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 89.5 - - 91.0 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 33.8 - - 32.3 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 489 - - 291 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3071 - - 10670 - - 10901 - - 1190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99829 25 117 26 107 25 098 29 092 99829 92250 29 111 22 113 26 092 21 101 92250 86424 29 107 18 117 17 102 19 096 86424 81578 20 109 16 108 16 115 18 094 81578 77404 19 118 13 110 18 123 14 109 77404 73733 17 121 8 106 12 105 17 130 73733 70419 14 115 11 142 6 086 14 107 70419 67379 7 134 9 159 3 167 6 105 67379 64575 8 121 11 172 6 164 9 156 64575 61870 7 206 6 189 3 186 10 165 61870 59051 11 203 20 205 14 241 10 213 59051 56141 11 247 15 218 14 206 10 219 56141 53358 29 242 24 242 20 223 19 237 53358 50831 44 235 38 239 37 230 40 232 50831 48565 54 228 51 234 55 234 55 235 48565 46522 56 228 59 234 72 238 70 242 46522 44659 68 237 77 238 91 237 90 243 44659 42939 91 236 97 235 102 232 102 236 42939 41338 100 233 105 233 106 231 107 232 41338 39838 93 233 105 232 106 231 108 232 39838 38432 90 235 100 233 101 230 105 233 38432 37084 92 236 96 234 96 230 97 233 37084 35727 93 238 95 236 93 231 91 232 35727 34331 81 238 92 237 88 232 87 232 34331 32900 69 237 83 237 81 232 83 231 32900 31424 65 235 77 235 76 231 79 230 31424 29887 64 233 74 231 75 230 77 229 29887 28291 65 230 73 229 75 230 75 229 28291 26636 66 230 74 229 74 231 74 230 26636 24925 67 229 73 228 72 230 70 230 24925 23165 66 229 71 226 70 226 67 227 23165 21349 62 227 67 223 67 224 65 225 21349 19468 58 225 63 221 61 223 61 227 19468 17559 54 225 57 222 50 221 54 229 17559 15723 47 226 43*219 31*214 43 223 15723 14050 40 225 27*212 18*209 30 206 14050 12554 34 221 22 211 17 210 22 193 12554 11214 30 219 19 213 15 215 18 193 11214 10011 25 218 16 220 13 224 12 201 10011 8930 19 217 14 225 11 234 8 219 8930 7962 14 215 12 232 10 247 4 261 7962 7101 9*208 11 239 10 260 5 317 7101 6333 5*196 10 245 10 270 7 338 6333 5639 2 168 9 251 10 277 12 339 5639 5021 1 134 8 258 10 282 15*342 5021 4503 1 090 8 262 10 285 16*346 4503 4102 1 055 7 266 10 287 16 348 4102 3825 1 040 7 267 10 288 15 349 3825 3656 1 039 7 268 10 289 14 350 3656 3559 1 035 7 270 9 289 10 351 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography