DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 85.9 - - 85.1 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 505 - - 319 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4665 - - 9486 - - 6901 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6689 - - 10693 - - 8380 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8068 - - 12889 - - 10304 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2580 - - 1542 - - 4219 - - 4336 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 501 - - 697 - - 539 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 244 - - 335 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 21 - - 23 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3037 - - -1843 - - -4020 - - -7557 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11106 - - 14733 - - 14325 - - 11116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7207 - - -5840 - - -8163 - - -11986 ODpotential blCL - - - 15275 - - 18729 - - 18467 - - 15545 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 56 - - 62 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 85.9 - - 85.1 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 33.0 - - 34.1 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 82.8 - - 82.8 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 32.9 - - 34.1 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 505 - - 319 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4665 - - 9486 - - 6901 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99651 33 115 25 117 29 105 24 103 99651 92111 23 117 25 107 25 106 24 096 92111 86305 21 107 24 109 20 112 19 088 86305 81491 15 110 20 110 18 118 15 094 81491 77344 17 132 14 120 14 105 15 106 77344 73680 17 117 13 134 9 111 12 116 73680 70357 11 141 11 143 6 101 10 115 70357 67305 7 180 5 172 5 107 7 112 67305 64481 7 187 9 214 5 259 1 051 64481 61762 8 201 12 192 13 213 14 232 61762 58948 19 255 13 242 9 225 17 227 58948 56033 34 236 33 240 28 241 29 241 56033 53250 37 235 41 243 42 249 36 248 53250 50759 52 239 58 239 62 246 54 254 50759 48531 58 234 63 232 72 236 68 244 48531 46498 58 234 59 236 67 237 67 240 46498 44622 55 236 57 239 64 239 65 241 44622 42890 53 237 52 244 56 240 64 241 42890 41288 48 236 46 248 47 243 54 239 41288 39799 37 241 37 251 41 242 42 239 39799 38407 23 252 29 257 34 244 37 238 38407 37073 15 271 27 268 29 248 33 237 37073 35725 14 279 26 273 27 252 29 239 35725 34335 13 274 24 272 27 256 29 241 34335 32906 13 267 25 270 27 259 29 243 32906 31426 16 264 26 270 28 258 31 245 31426 29883 20 259 26 266 30 257 33 246 29883 28281 23 252 25 265 31 257 33 248 28281 26619 25 247 24 262 31 258 32 247 26619 24897 26 241 26 257 30 256 30 247 24897 23121 28 238 28 252 30 254 29 246 23121 21284 28 237 29 247 32 250 29 245 21284 19384 28 237 29 241 32 241 30 241 19384 17459 29 238 29 238 33 232 32 234 17459 15616 29 237 29 233 27 213 32 228 15616 13944 29 235 21*223 20 200 27 208 13944 12453 30 234 15*219 16 207 20 199 12453 11122 27 232 14 220 11*224 12 216 11122 9929 21 226 12 227 7*249 6 234 9929 8860 15*216 10 239 6 287 3 333 8860 7905 11*213 9 249 8 321 8 006 7905 7055 9 212 8 257 10 338 11 003 7055 6297 6 211 8 265 12 343 15 358 6297 5614 3 214 8 273 14 346 18 354 5614 5004 2 218 8 280 14 348 19 352 5004 4492 1 238 7 285 15 348 20 351 4492 4096 0 290 7 289 15 349 19 351 4096 3822 1 320 7 290 15 349 18 351 3822 3655 1 334 7 291 14 349 16*351 3655 3559 1 338 7 292 13 349 12*351 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography