DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 93.9 - - 93.0 - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 346 - - 85 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1827 - - 8789 - - 10057 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4442 - - 9929 - - 9791 - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5230 - - 12192 - - 13460 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1626 - - 3474 - - 3533 - - 4846 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 334 - - 599 - - 394 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 45 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 216 - - 205 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 9 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 8 - - -3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8840 - - -5268 - - -3844 - - -8830 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14071 - - 17461 - - 17305 - - 12389 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11942 - - -7168 - - -5319 - - -11869 ODpotential blCL - - - 17172 - - 19360 - - 18779 - - 15428 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 93 - - 95 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 93.9 - - 93.0 - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 28.6 - - 28.5 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.9 - - 91.3 - - 92.0 - - 83.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 28.5 - - 28.6 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 346 - - 85 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1827 - - 8789 - - 10057 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 71 - - 81 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99538 17 115 13 117 12 082 11 129 99538 92053 11 086 12 110 11 124 11 069 92053 86228 10 109 9 118 10 120 8 076 86228 81390 10 137 10 125 5 132 9 093 81390 77236 13 125 7 091 7 132 8 105 77236 73574 12 105 5 113 7 099 12 104 73574 70266 12 098 6 133 3 131 10 069 70266 67230 12 084 9 132 4 128 5 082 67230 64418 6 112 8 124 7 144 5 118 64418 61693 8 128 5 145 6 124 11 147 61693 58854 17 175 18 216 14 237 9 191 58854 55931 10 189 24 214 14 224 12 205 55931 53154 29 209 31 207 33 208 27 223 53154 50645 40 202 38 207 44 206 43 214 50645 48385 45 206 43 208 48 209 51 212 48385 46339 51 215 54 212 55 212 60 214 46339 44482 67 220 72 215 70 214 68 214 44482 42788 79 214 83 208 83 213 77 211 42788 41222 84 209 80 206 81 208 83 206 41222 39757 83 207 75 204 73 204 83 203 39757 38379 77 206 73 200 70 203 80 202 38379 37054 71 206 70 200 68 203 75 202 37054 35715 65 207 67 201 65 203 72 200 35715 34334 62 208 63 202 58 202 70 199 34334 32915 60 209 59 203 53 201 67 199 32915 31445 57 211 55 202 53 201 63 202 31445 29912 55 212 53 200 53 200 60 206 29912 28319 52 210 53 198 53 196 58 208 28319 26666 50 204 53 197 53 191 58 208 26666 24960 50 196 51 195 52 186 54 205 24960 23204 50 194 49 193 50 184 49 196 23204 21391 49 196 47 193 45 184 46 190 21391 19510 46 198 45 192 42 186 43 189 19510 17598 42 200 42 192 38 191 38 186 17598 15757 35 200 37 196 33 197 30 185 15757 14077 27 200 28 204 25*201 22 181 14077 12575 24 198 17*204 21*202 14 176 12575 11232 23 197 12*201 19 203 7 176 11232 10027 22 199 11 201 16 204 2 215 10027 8946 19 203 10 204 12 204 2 290 8946 7978 16 208 8 212 10 205 4 303 7978 7117 14 212 8 219 9 206 5 309 7117 6347 11 218 7 226 8 208 6 317 6347 5651 8*226 7 232 8 209 7 327 5651 5031 2*243 7 236 7 211 9 340 5031 4509 1 271 7 241 7 212 11 352 4509 4105 1 291 7 244 6 212 11 358 4105 3827 1 308 6 246 6 212 11 001 3827 3657 1 314 6 247 6 213 9*003 3657 3559 1 314 6 248 5 213 5*005 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography