DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 41.8 - - 42.4 - - 41.7 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 324 - - 463 - - 191 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3227 - - 4195 - - 3368 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5521 - - 6386 - - 5417 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6630 - - 7598 - - 6771 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3080 - - 1558 - - 1066 - - 1276 - - 2764 Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 420 - - 515 - - 357 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 21 - - 20 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 328 - - 322 - - 330 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -708 - - 130 - - 66 - - -1162 - - -2105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4264 - - 6500 - - 7532 - - 7933 - - 5662 sfcLCL ODpotential -1756 - - -549 - - -5851 - - -8395 - - -10864 ODpotential blCL 5312 - - 7179 - - 13449 - - 15166 - - 14420 blCL maxRH 100 - - 85 - - 76 - - 82 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 41.8 - - 42.4 - - 41.7 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 25.8 - - 21.9 - - 19.6 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.2 - - 39.8 - - 39.9 - - 40.4 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 25.6 - - 21.9 - - 19.5 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 324 - - 463 - - 191 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3227 - - 4195 - - 3368 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 38 - - 6 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96336 11 056 14 075 10 117 3 142 6 051 96336 89256 17 067 14 084 12 094 3 049 12 065 89256 83756 10 044 11 107 4 075 7 042 11 026 83756 79181 10 035 10 057 3 344 10 028 7 067 79181 75212 16 346 10 035 5 018 12 344 13 000 75212 71704 12 333 9 315 7 296 11 351 16 321 71704 68534 15 337 21 290 20 300 20 331 17 343 68534 65588 20 294 22 287 28 299 30 320 28 340 65588 62840 17 276 18 298 28 321 39 318 35 336 62840 60175 29 311 39 320 41 316 42 319 40 328 60175 57389 55 304 47 308 44 309 47 318 43 324 57389 54485 61 301 51 304 49 308 51 316 49 324 54485 51710 63 298 55 302 56 309 61 316 59 323 51710 49215 62 295 61 302 63 309 67 318 64 325 49215 46978 60 298 66 304 69 311 75 324 76 329 46978 44965 61 303 70 309 79 316 96 323 95 321 44965 43155 66 305 79 314 95 318 109 315 95 319 43155 41507 73 307 94 316 109 316 102 322 101 337 41507 39979 87 312 106 316 112 324 116 340 134 350 39979 38545 105 322 108 320 128 336 146 347 164 350 38545 37192 120 329 118 333 152 342 147 344 161 349 37192 35889 123 332 144 339 150 339 140 339 151 346 35889 34575 125 333 148 337 138 334 131 333 128 336 34575 33222 129 330 132 332 134 332 128 328 121 329 33222 31832 132 327 125 327 128 328 123 324 115 326 31832 30390 129 326 124 324 124 324 117 321 110 326 30390 28885 119 324 118 322 119 323 113 322 105 324 28885 27320 106 319 109 320 113 322 107 323 100 322 27320 25697 98 312 105 317 108 322 96 321 92 323 25697 24019 92 307 104 314 104 322 89 320 86 323 24019 22285 85 302 102 315 102 321 88 322 84 322 22285 20490 81 298 95 315 99 319 86 324 84 323 20490 18634 78 297 85 312 92 320 81 324 81 326 18634 16761 74 297 78 309 81 322 75 324 73 328 16761 14973 69 297 72 307 70 322 68 326 64 326 14973 13353 65 298 64 307 62 319 61 328 57 327 13353 11914 62 297 58 305 55 316 53 328 49 331 11914 10636 58 294 51 302 45 316 45 328 41 336 10636 9499 52 291 42 298 34 312 36 325 32 337 9499 8487 45 289 33 296 23*305 26 318 25 334 8487 7589 35 290 26 300 20*311 19 316 18 322 7589 6796 26 293 22*309 20 315 18*322 14 319 6796 6092 19 302 21*317 20 319 18*325 11 338 6092 5458 16 317 21 325 21 324 19 329 12 358 5458 4894 15 331 21 329 21 326 18 330 13 007 4894 4419 15 337 21 331 21 327 18 331 14 011 4419 4052 14 340 21 331 20 328 18 332 13 013 4052 3799 13 341 20 332 20 328 17 332 11 016 3799 3645 12 341 19 332 18 329 16 333 8*017 3645 3556 9*341 15 333 16 329 13 333 4*019 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography