DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 53.7 - - 49.0 - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 95 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 247 - - 2319 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4255 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3650 - - 5722 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1420 - - 2096 - - 3446 - - 701 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 250 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 28 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 256 - - 296 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5455 - - -3821 - - -3929 - - -668 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9105 - - 9543 - - 7486 - - 4226 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12560 - - -8065 - - -7775 - - -5572 ODpotential blCL - - - 16210 - - 13787 - - 11332 - - 9129 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 92 - - 95 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 53.7 - - 49.0 - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.0 - - 24.4 - - 28.8 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 52.7 - - 50.6 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.9 - - 24.3 - - 28.8 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 95 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 247 - - 2319 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 67 - - 81 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 16 102 22 091 23 072 29 089 96685 89596 17 087 13 102 18 087 25 090 89596 84070 19 092 14 109 11 099 19 085 84070 79440 14 090 13 119 8 119 12 090 79440 75413 7 133 9 156 2 126 9 099 75413 71833 5 180 5 163 6 202 2 277 71833 68580 5 249 5 243 4 202 3 291 68580 65571 9 273 10 255 10 251 9 270 65571 62771 12 267 18 270 15 264 11 264 62771 60060 15 262 21 261 23 264 17 261 60060 57236 21 267 21 260 26 266 25 273 57236 54316 31 278 30 265 37 264 36 264 54316 51539 41 270 36 261 39 259 36 256 51539 49038 43 263 44 263 45 268 42 261 49038 46792 45 270 52 264 54 265 49 264 46792 44761 51 271 55 268 56 262 56 263 44761 42910 56 272 61 270 60 263 60 267 42910 41215 63 270 67 267 65 263 71 265 41215 39662 64 264 67 263 64 263 71 259 39662 38236 62 265 65 263 64 263 70 265 38236 36916 67 270 68 264 63 266 70 266 36916 35647 66 269 69 265 61 268 69 267 35647 34360 61 268 66 265 57 269 69 267 34360 33030 58 268 59 267 54 271 68 266 33030 31659 56 268 55 269 52 274 68 266 31659 30235 54 269 52 272 51 275 67 267 30235 28755 50 269 51 271 50 273 59 264 28755 27220 45 270 46 268 49 270 58 263 27220 25630 42 272 42 269 47 270 57 264 25630 23981 40 271 43 267 44 269 54 267 23981 22279 36 270 43 265 43 265 51 272 22279 20522 32 267 41 263 45 266 48 274 20522 18706 29 259 37 260 43 270 45 269 18706 16865 27 257 34 261 39 272 39 265 16865 15099 25 260 33 265 35 271 33 266 15099 13493 24 262 31 265 32 273 32 272 13493 12062 23 267 26 262 30 275 30 275 12062 10783 22 272 20 262 25 277 26 274 10783 9639 21 278 15 268 21 278 22 270 9639 8614 19 283 13 279 18 279 20 267 8614 7699 17 289 12 286 16 277 18 267 7699 6886 14 295 9 286 13 273 17 268 6886 6162 11 302 6*271 11 267 16 268 6162 5510 7 308 3*253 10 261 16 267 5510 4929 6 300 2 253 8 260 17 263 4929 4441 7 281 1 253 6 262 17 256 4441 4065 9 261 1 260 4 270 13 250 4065 3805 8*255 1 267 2 283 9 245 3805 3647 5*251 1 273 1*299 5*232 3647 3557 4 250 1 278 1*296 4*219 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography