DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 58.6 - - 70.0 - - 71.3 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 296 - - 386 - - 142 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2141 - - 5135 - - 6513 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 4678 - - 7065 - - 7595 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 5544 - - 8538 - - 9916 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 162 - - 986 - - 1699 - - 2727 - - 703 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 355 - - 520 - - 404 - - 4 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 16 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 176 - - 198 - - 269 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -8 - - -4 - - 16 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6072 - - -10236 - - -9581 - - -7968 - - -8950 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9629 - - 15781 - - 18119 - - 17885 - - 12507 sfcLCL ODpotential -18110 - - -17033 - - -15326 - - -13496 - - -17401 ODpotential blCL 21666 - - 22577 - - 23864 - - 23412 - - 20958 blCL maxRH 83 - - 58 - - 67 - - 73 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 58.6 - - 70.0 - - 71.3 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.6 - - 1.9 - - 1.6 - - 3.9 - - 9.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.0 - - 56.7 - - 67.5 - - 69.9 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.4 - - 1.8 - - 1.2 - - 3.8 - - 9.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 296 - - 386 - - 142 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2141 - - 5135 - - 6513 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96202 19 297 13 311 19 284 27 312 20 307 96202 89041 22 284 18 301 21 308 17 324 13 314 89041 83526 23 293 21 299 24 306 21 306 23 316 83526 78976 27 292 25 298 27 308 22 306 26 310 78976 75077 29 292 29 290 34 295 32 309 31 315 75077 71629 31 298 28 290 36 283 36 300 34 311 71629 68488 33 302 27 297 32 287 35 290 33 298 68488 65576 38 294 31 286 35 287 36 283 32 292 65576 62858 44 286 34 281 36 284 36 284 32 291 62858 60214 47 274 41 277 43 277 40 285 36 288 60214 57442 52 275 43 275 46 272 47 275 44 276 57442 54555 60 274 53 273 53 267 56 270 53 266 54555 51799 70 273 66 269 65 269 67 267 59 263 51799 49322 80 271 73 268 71 267 68 270 65 265 49322 47101 83 272 79 268 76 267 74 267 69 266 47101 45093 87 270 82 264 80 263 75 262 71 261 45093 43274 83 264 81 262 84 258 75 261 66 259 43274 41622 79 271 73 270 73 266 66 267 60 265 41622 40104 78 271 65 268 64 263 62 271 57 264 40104 38692 69 268 58 263 51 258 58 262 54 255 38692 37365 61 288 54 269 43 271 57 247 52 257 37365 36086 59 292 53 270 45 270 56 260 52 263 36086 34789 57 289 50 275 52 273 61 270 54 262 34789 33449 58 286 50 279 61 275 57 266 54 262 33449 32068 59 284 52 282 66 278 54 263 52 262 32068 30634 63 282 59 288 65 280 52 264 50 263 30634 29138 59 279 62 288 61 278 51 267 48 262 29138 27585 50 272 56 285 54 278 49 270 48 261 27585 25971 48 266 47 275 48 275 44 271 48 260 25971 24299 45 265 46 268 44 270 44 261 47 262 24299 22575 41 265 43 271 43 263 47 260 44 262 22575 20795 37 261 39 268 40 260 46 260 44 259 20795 18957 32 261 36 260 35 259 42 259 45 256 18957 17095 28 264 30 256 30 255 35 257 43 257 17095 15305 23 265 24 257 23 251 27 251 37 255 15305 13677 19 263 20 257 18 250 21 241 30 249 13677 12225 15 258 17 253 15 250 16 227 27 241 12225 10927 11 253 13 248 13 240 10*216 24 234 10927 9763 9 242 9 231 11 219 7*219 20 227 9763 8720 9 217 10 195 10*208 7 224 16 228 8720 7787 9 200 11 183 10*205 5 247 13 239 7787 6957 11 192 13 187 10 202 4 269 9 257 6957 6217 16 187 16*185 10 200 5 285 8 289 6217 5550 21 182 17*179 10 198 5 296 10 322 5550 4956 23 178 17 177 9 196 5 302 13 343 4956 4459 21 175 16 176 9 193 6 306 15 002 4459 4076 16 172 16 175 8 191 6 309 15 009 4076 3811 9 169 15 174 8 191 6 310 13 007 3811 3650 5*162 13 173 8 191 6 310 9 000 3650 3557 1*106 11 173 7 190 5 312 5*348 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography