DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.1 - - 45.9 - - 58.4 - - 61.2 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 267 - - 441 - - 234 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 426 - - 2111 - - 4715 - - 3635 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 4627 - - 6784 - - 5709 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3829 - - 5514 - - 8118 - - 7038 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 661 - - 1048 - - 1942 - - 3525 - - 2882 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 342 - - 529 - - 393 - - 13 W* B/S 5 - - 41 - - 52 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 289 - - 051 - - 074 - - 349 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -3 - - -9 - - -11 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3049 - - -3574 - - -4550 - - -6026 - - -6024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6878 - - 9089 - - 12669 - - 13065 - - 9581 sfcLCL ODpotential -11558 - - -10070 - - -9481 - - -10180 - - -11193 ODpotential blCL 15387 - - 15584 - - 17599 - - 17218 - - 14750 blCL maxRH 80 - - 83 - - 67 - - 65 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.1 - - 45.9 - - 58.4 - - 61.2 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.9 - - 18.7 - - 14.9 - - 15.9 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.7 - - 44.2 - - 55.8 - - 59.4 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 18.3 - - 14.3 - - 15.4 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 267 - - 441 - - 234 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 426 - - 2111 - - 4715 - - 3635 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97455 14 261 23 255 18 277 21 281 20 273 97455 90201 11 277 11 259 12 260 22 274 18 292 90201 84615 12 272 6 265 10 283 11 289 11 283 84615 79954 6 255 2 010 12 282 13 321 7 318 79954 75906 5 040 5 356 12 284 17 293 12 322 75906 72297 11 338 6 302 12 311 21 295 21 314 72297 69021 17 323 11 304 18 295 21 289 26 304 69021 66006 22 308 17 303 20 293 21 290 25 304 66006 63198 24 302 24 298 23 297 25 300 27 311 63198 60462 27 293 30 293 28 296 29 299 30 303 60462 57601 26 277 29 290 28 298 30 299 29 296 57601 54632 23 277 28 290 28 300 31 302 29 293 54632 51797 26 291 30 293 29 298 31 301 28 293 51797 49247 29 298 30 298 31 296 30 301 28 296 49247 46973 30 303 30 306 30 296 31 300 31 298 46973 44929 32 306 31 312 30 298 32 295 31 300 44929 43079 36 298 36 310 34 305 34 311 31 310 43079 41396 37 291 42 309 40 311 42 310 36 310 41396 39849 38 300 45 308 46 314 44 309 40 308 39849 38416 41 306 45 307 51 316 48 313 46 304 38416 37076 42 309 44 309 52 316 54 316 49 304 37076 35790 41 307 44 312 50 317 57 317 50 305 35790 34490 41 301 44 315 49 322 59 318 49 305 34490 33151 40 299 44 318 49 323 59 319 48 304 33151 31773 41 302 42 317 46 321 58 321 48 304 31773 30346 44 301 43 312 43 318 58 323 47 305 30346 28858 43 297 40 308 41 316 55 321 45 307 28858 27311 40 298 37 306 40 313 49 320 44 309 27311 25707 37 299 35 302 37 312 42 316 42 313 25707 24050 38 298 33 299 35 312 37 312 37 315 24050 22347 38 299 30 300 31 308 33 308 33 312 22347 20591 34 301 27 302 27 307 30 306 32 310 20591 18772 31 302 25 302 24 305 26 300 29 307 18772 16926 28 303 21 297 21 297 23 293 26 300 16926 15152 24 304 17 291 19 289 20 286 21 291 15152 13539 19 303 12 286 16 280 17 277 18 280 13539 12101 14 297 10 280 12 268 15 260 16 267 12101 10818 9 267 10 270 9 244 12 226 16 249 10818 9669 10 205 10 244 8 196 8 202 15 234 9669 8641 12 167 11 200 7*153 5 200 11 228 8641 7722 12 144 14 165 6*139 1*290 5 234 7722 6907 12 137 15 147 5 134 2*337 2 291 6907 6181 12 130 11*140 3 111 6 348 5 003 6181 5526 11 125 5*123 2 048 9 350 10 014 5526 4942 7 120 2 059 3 020 10 350 12 011 4942 4451 1 103 2 026 3 007 10 350 13 007 4451 4071 4*307 2 012 4 360 11 350 14 002 4071 3808 5*292 2 004 4 358 10 349 12 356 3808 3649 4 288 2 359 4 358 10 349 10 352 3649 3557 4 287 2 360 4 356 9 350 6*348 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography