DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 56.3 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 489 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6999 - - 10337 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8580 - - 11379 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10402 - - 13740 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2160 - - 2050 - - - - - 2664 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 590 - - 711 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 346 - - - - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2456 - - 858 - - - - - -1798 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12859 - - 12883 - - - - - 5355 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4028 - - 611 - - - - - -3680 ODpotential blCL - - - 14430 - - 13129 - - - - - 7237 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 95 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 56.3 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.5 - - 11.2 - - - - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 53.4 - - - - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.3 - - 11.0 - - - - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 489 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6999 - - 10337 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 80 - - - - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97196 12 315 11 294 10 320 97196 89865 6 271 10 299 16 311 89865 84241 7 215 16 279 11 297 84241 79571 8 241 15 253 7 271 79571 75526 8 259 9 262 9 258 75526 71927 8 249 10 256 11 258 71927 68654 9 254 12 251 11 255 68654 65632 12 276 15 256 11 263 65632 62818 12 277 15 253 14 268 62818 60081 10 272 14 251 15 269 60081 57210 12 261 16 266 15 274 57210 54215 12 259 17 272 11 287 54215 51351 11 267 14 281 10 304 51351 48781 7 279 9 286 11 312 48781 46488 7 316 6 302 8 309 46488 44414 9 327 13 346 11 007 44414 42516 12 345 15 342 17 339 42516 40774 11 350 16 348 12 346 40774 39167 12 346 19 351 16 039 39167 37674 17 346 20 000 22 029 37674 36282 17 343 22 002 28 023 36282 34963 16 357 21 007 35 021 34963 33651 17 012 21 022 40 022 33651 32314 18 005 20 026 44 026 32314 30952 16 346 19 021 42 026 30952 29551 13 315 17 006 34 022 29551 28100 11 292 14 349 28 018 28100 26600 10 275 12 346 26 015 26600 25049 10 271 13 349 24 011 25049 23450 9 302 15 352 21 003 23450 21806 12 352 17 007 17 349 21806 20110 16 012 18 020 14 339 20110 18353 15 016 15 030 12 350 18353 16571 12 012 9 026 13 314 16571 14860 8 009 6*343 10 312 14860 13303 8 020 7*338 4 327 13303 11912 9 025 7 339 5 042 11912 10668 9*017 7 341 10 044 10668 9551 7*011 8 342 15 033 9551 8550 6 011 8 344 18 021 8550 7653 6 011 8 347 19 013 7653 6853 5 011 8 349 19 005 6853 6139 5 011 8 350 19 354 6139 5494 5 011 8 352 19 340 5494 4919 5 010 8 353 20 325 4919 4436 5 011 8 354 20 313 4436 4063 5 011 8 355 19 308 4063 3804 5 011 8 355 18 306 3804 3647 4 010 8 355 16*305 3647 3557 4 010 7 356 11*304 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography