DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 68.1 - - 64.9 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 307 - - 113 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1844 - - 4784 - - 3018 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4340 - - 6699 - - 4879 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5247 - - 8187 - - 6421 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1641 - - 2176 - - 3085 - - 4036 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 471 - - 289 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 346 - - 006 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4466 - - -3052 - - -3397 - - -4474 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9714 - - 11240 - - 9819 - - 8032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9100 - - -5978 - - -5536 - - -7903 ODpotential blCL - - - 14347 - - 14165 - - 11957 - - 11460 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 88 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 68.1 - - 64.9 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 31.0 - - 34.1 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 65.9 - - 63.8 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 30.9 - - 34.0 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 307 - - 113 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1844 - - 4784 - - 3018 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 53 - - 94 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98780 27 242 23 261 20 258 17 249 98780 91379 21 242 21 255 22 259 20 246 91379 85634 14 276 18 234 22 258 21 247 85634 80852 16 274 15 249 19 245 18 266 80852 76742 14 253 16 262 15 267 14 268 76742 73111 11 241 16 265 15 277 11 283 73111 69814 8 239 16 267 17 285 14 291 69814 66776 8 257 15 264 17 289 12 279 66776 63951 9 296 12 277 17 285 15 279 63951 61208 18 300 16 288 17 282 14 277 61208 58341 22 299 20 286 22 277 19 289 58341 55360 23 290 24 274 25 277 24 288 55360 52510 26 283 27 286 29 281 27 278 52510 49944 33 283 43 277 29 279 25 280 49944 47645 36 281 36 270 31 280 25 283 47645 45559 35 287 39 278 37 278 26 280 45559 43649 43 283 44 272 42 270 29 273 43649 41888 52 271 40 262 44 261 31 268 41888 40260 55 257 40 264 44 257 32 265 40260 38746 54 257 47 273 42 256 33 256 38746 37335 51 264 58 264 46 255 36 251 37335 35992 49 254 61 256 56 251 40 250 35992 34654 51 256 61 249 65 246 48 246 34654 33295 46 260 62 248 72 241 57 239 33295 31910 42 263 61 251 69 239 63 237 31910 30483 39 265 60 258 62 242 62 236 30483 28998 37 261 52 261 56 247 56 235 28998 27456 37 257 42 241 50 245 53 230 27456 25854 38 259 48 243 50 235 55 231 25854 24199 37 263 47 253 53 240 45 240 24199 22498 36 264 37 258 44 247 28 237 22498 20736 35 263 33 254 32 244 27 240 20736 18909 30 260 32 247 33 245 24 249 18909 17055 25 257 28 245 30 240 22 248 17055 15272 20 254 24 244 27 233 22 240 15272 13648 16 256 19 240 22 229 21 234 13648 12199 13 260 14 237 16 226 20 234 12199 10904 11 262 11 235 11 232 17 239 10904 9743 10 262 9 241 7 256 12 245 9743 8703 8 264 4*285 6 296 6 272 8703 7776 7 270 5*330 8 347 7 351 7776 6952 5 284 6 342 10*359 11 017 6952 6218 4 315 7 346 12*003 15 026 6218 5554 3*339 8 348 15 006 17 029 5554 4962 3*346 9 348 15 006 18 028 4962 4464 4 347 9 348 16 006 18 026 4464 4079 4 348 9 350 16 006 16 023 4079 3813 4 351 9 350 15 006 13 018 3813 3650 4 351 9 349 14 006 10 015 3650 3557 3 351 8 349 12 006 6*011 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography