DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 48.5 - - 53.5 - - 54.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - -6 - - -1 - - -14 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3541 - - 3541 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 896 - - 1295 - - 3484 - - 3454 - - 1182 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 18 - - 36 - - 12 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 11 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 236 - - 254 - - 267 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -30 - - 0 - - -883 - - -1526 - - -175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3587 - - 3557 - - 4440 - - 5083 - - 3733 sfcLCL ODpotential -2723 - - -1797 - - -2158 - - -3278 - - -2877 ODpotential blCL 6280 - - 5354 - - 5715 - - 6835 - - 6434 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 48.5 - - 53.5 - - 54.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 46.1 - - 46.3 - - 44.3 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 49.1 - - 53.8 - - 55.0 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 45.7 - - 45.7 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - -6 - - -1 - - -14 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96749 27 052 19 062 16 058 25 015 22 011 96749 89673 15 058 17 074 17 051 21 036 19 022 89673 84097 16 046 16 049 19 034 21 007 24 017 84097 79447 20 014 17 041 9 358 15 022 24 019 79447 75453 17 008 23 018 20 343 26 009 23 009 75453 71922 18 022 20 358 19 340 18 003 14 015 71922 68703 14 001 13 022 18 347 23 357 24 012 68703 65731 18 346 25 343 22 319 28 325 32 351 65731 62980 27 322 22 322 20 323 17 310 24 316 62980 60329 22 312 23 336 26 351 10 324 21 313 60329 57567 30 318 41 318 29 341 22 333 23 317 57567 54696 44 311 49 311 44 323 36 326 31 324 54696 51966 51 309 52 317 51 314 49 317 42 323 51966 49520 52 316 56 321 52 320 54 317 51 319 49520 47329 61 317 66 315 60 318 60 316 57 314 47329 45355 71 308 77 306 74 308 72 310 66 310 45355 43577 74 296 83 293 84 298 80 297 79 302 43577 41963 73 284 81 287 83 289 82 284 84 293 41963 40462 72 280 80 283 82 285 80 282 81 291 40462 39044 69 281 80 282 81 283 78 285 78 292 39044 37703 61 288 80 282 80 283 77 287 75 294 37703 36409 66 293 79 283 79 284 74 288 71 293 36409 35100 72 294 77 284 77 286 71 291 63 293 35100 33747 74 294 75 287 77 288 69 296 60 304 33747 32352 72 291 75 288 76 289 69 304 64 316 32352 30902 71 290 73 288 75 291 71 312 65 316 30902 29389 71 291 71 290 74 293 74 316 64 313 29389 27815 72 294 70 293 73 296 72 314 62 313 27815 26184 75 295 71 296 74 299 68 306 60 310 26184 24498 78 296 71 298 73 301 64 300 57 305 24498 22758 80 298 71 301 69 303 61 299 54 302 22758 20958 79 298 72 307 64 306 60 302 53 299 20958 19090 78 299 70 309 60 308 60 305 53 298 19090 17190 77 299 68 307 58 310 56 310 54 298 17190 15363 75 299 67 304 57 311 52 314 56 300 15363 13702 72 299 63 300 59 308 50 313 55 301 13702 12226 67 298 59 297 60 304 48 309 52 301 12226 10913 64 296 56 293 58 299 46 305 50 299 10913 9741 61 293 53 290 55 294 45 300 48 295 9741 8694 56 290 48 288 51 289 44 295 47 290 8694 7761 50 287 42 285 45 283 41 292 45 286 7761 6935 43 282 35 282 40 278 36 289 41 283 6935 6201 37 276 29 280 34 274 30 286 35 279 6201 5539 31 269 24 275 30 269 25 283 30 273 5539 4950 27 258 21 268 26 263 20 277 27 263 4950 4455 24 247 19 259 23 258 17 273 25 253 4455 4073 19 238 16 253 20 256 15 271 22 246 4073 3810 14 227 11 247 18 254 12 270 17 243 3810 3649 10*215 8*242 15 254 10 270 12 238 3649 3557 6*198 4*236 11*254 6*267 6*228 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography