DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 82.6 - - 79.6 - - 77.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 120 - - 106 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3212 - - 5452 - - 3142 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5429 - - 6682 - - 4925 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6615 - - 8855 - - 6545 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2839 - - 2041 - - 3085 - - 4282 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 389 - - 360 - - 287 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 030 - - 045 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2887 - - -2088 - - -2844 - - -6346 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9502 - - 10943 - - 9390 - - 9906 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5026 - - -4639 - - -4929 - - -10192 ODpotential blCL - - - 11641 - - 13494 - - 11474 - - 13751 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 82.6 - - 79.6 - - 77.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 46.8 - - 50.6 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 81.4 - - 78.3 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 46.7 - - 50.5 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 120 - - 106 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3212 - - 5452 - - 3142 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 87 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99567 32 111 24 121 26 103 27 091 99567 92064 24 101 25 099 28 104 28 096 92064 86271 19 096 22 099 22 097 27 103 86271 81464 21 102 23 113 17 103 23 092 81464 77335 22 105 24 108 22 112 17 092 77335 73706 19 105 19 100 21 095 19 103 73706 70418 20 101 19 107 15 103 19 106 70418 67390 18 108 20 112 17 116 17 106 67390 64602 15 128 12 115 12 096 16 114 64602 61912 11 126 13 131 8 125 15 109 61912 59104 8 172 9 160 13 161 9 118 59104 56208 17 224 16 240 7 222 7 240 56208 53472 26 205 27 227 23 237 18 226 53472 51026 30 232 34 230 34 230 32 224 51026 48841 47 244 42 235 45 231 41 227 48841 46859 66 236 59 234 53 236 50 233 46859 45035 72 229 66 233 58 238 57 229 45035 43344 69 234 64 233 62 231 59 223 43344 41763 69 239 65 233 62 226 58 221 41763 40271 68 235 62 229 60 222 55 221 40271 38863 66 232 59 227 55 219 51 223 38863 37505 65 230 59 227 50 217 48 225 37505 36130 64 231 59 226 49 220 46 226 36130 34709 64 232 58 228 51 225 45 224 34709 33250 61 234 57 231 53 227 47 224 33250 31742 53 236 56 231 55 227 50 226 31742 30173 47 234 54 228 56 227 51 225 30173 28542 49 232 53 225 58 226 48 224 28542 26849 51 230 53 225 57 223 46 226 26849 25099 51 227 52 226 53 220 44 223 25099 23297 50 225 50 227 52 218 45 219 23297 21438 49 221 51 229 51 219 42 225 21438 19519 51 214 51 223 47 219 37 226 19519 17576 50 203 49 210 40 217 38 216 17576 15712 42 188 43 201 35 212 40 212 15712 14020 31 181 33 191 38 206 35 209 14020 12515 19 177 27 182 34 202 28 205 12515 11172 14 208 17 177 27 200 19 205 11172 9972 16 235 3 212 20 202 9 207 9972 8896 16 257 3*003 13 204 4 197 8896 7935 14 276 4*017 7 212 2 102 7935 7080 12*291 5 022 2*236 4 058 7080 6317 10*299 5 026 2*023 6 045 6317 5627 8 302 6 030 5 042 8 033 5627 5013 7 305 6 033 5 045 11 023 5013 4497 6 307 6 035 6 046 12 016 4497 4099 6 309 6 036 6 047 12 011 4099 3823 5 309 6 038 6 048 11 008 3823 3655 5 311 6 038 6 048 10*006 3655 3559 5 311 6 039 6 049 7*005 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography