DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 47.0 - - 48.2 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 174 - - 35 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 2292 - - 2514 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4608 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 5695 - - 5917 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1409 - - 1273 - - 2062 - - 1535 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 307 - - 186 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 159 - - 154 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1913 - - -2366 - - -1759 - - -1612 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5470 - - 8061 - - 7676 - - 5169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5778 - - -5121 - - -3955 - - -6231 ODpotential blCL - - - 9334 - - 10816 - - 9872 - - 9788 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 77 - - 76 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 47.0 - - 48.2 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 24.1 - - 26.9 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 45.7 - - 47.8 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 23.3 - - 26.7 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 174 - - 35 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 2292 - - 2514 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 6 - - 6 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97045 34 099 26 080 35 088 24 087 97045 89948 26 102 16 090 26 091 24 097 89948 84400 22 097 16 106 17 100 22 081 84400 79721 16 087 13 112 10 107 16 067 79721 75649 11 089 13 124 6 097 12 061 75649 72025 6 075 11 122 2 136 12 043 72025 68722 4 080 7 115 4 197 12 014 68722 65666 0 309 2 243 4 265 8 345 65666 62826 2 262 12 261 10 290 4 325 62826 60070 7 288 14 261 13 286 6 255 60070 57191 14 276 15 260 14 284 10 245 57191 54199 17 260 16 253 18 273 17 255 54199 51333 18 266 18 256 21 260 19 255 51333 48747 27 270 22 264 21 247 20 255 48747 46432 32 257 26 266 20 243 21 251 46432 44344 32 252 30 258 21 255 19 246 44344 42443 31 257 31 250 25 267 16 252 42443 40696 33 257 32 244 27 263 18 263 40696 39082 32 255 31 242 27 252 22 253 39082 37585 34 263 31 246 24 242 23 250 37585 36203 45 258 34 249 28 249 26 245 36203 34910 49 244 41 250 40 243 34 243 34910 33630 38 235 53 242 46 230 42 243 33630 32321 29 243 57 241 43 234 43 242 32321 30983 34 252 52 241 41 244 41 244 30983 29604 41 249 44 242 40 245 41 242 29604 28174 40 252 40 243 40 244 42 236 28174 26690 33 249 29 244 33 244 43 236 26690 25147 29 246 30 237 24 245 42 237 25147 23549 27 245 30 236 26 241 35 239 23549 21900 28 241 30 237 32 242 26 243 21900 20197 28 228 26 234 32 245 21 251 20197 18432 21 217 23 229 25 246 18 255 18432 16641 19 218 18 206 19 238 14 254 16641 14919 17 197 16 193 17 212 11 235 14919 13349 15 185 18 193 16 197 11 206 13349 11948 12 183 17 196 16 190 15 213 11948 10694 13 191 15 198 15 192 19 215 10694 9567 16 196 14 198 16 196 20 211 9567 8557 20 194 16 197 17 196 18 203 8557 7653 24 187 20 193 17 190 16 192 7653 6850 27 181 21 186 16 180 16 179 6850 6133 29 175 19*175 15*167 18 165 6133 5488 29 172 16*165 14*158 20 153 5488 4914 27 169 15 160 14 155 19 146 4914 4432 23 164 15 159 13 154 12 144 4432 4060 19 162 15 157 13 152 7 140 4060 3803 16 160 14 156 12 152 3 118 3803 3646 13 159 13 156 11 151 2*056 3646 3557 9*157 11 156 9 150 3*032 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography