DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 88.3 - - 89.8 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 479 - - 276 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3409 - - 7858 - - 6660 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5714 - - 9338 - - 8114 - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6812 - - 11261 - - 10063 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1266 - - 2006 - - 5054 - - 3707 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 452 - - 643 - - 507 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 64 - - 25 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 242 - - 329 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 16 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - 13 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1050 - - -548 - - -2773 - - -5876 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7862 - - 11810 - - 12836 - - 9435 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4836 - - -3076 - - -4593 - - -9145 ODpotential blCL - - - 11648 - - 14337 - - 14656 - - 12704 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 54 - - 44 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 700 - - 240 - - 190 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 88.3 - - 89.8 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.7 - - 48.4 - - 45.5 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.7 - - 85.3 - - 87.7 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 48.3 - - 45.5 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 479 - - 276 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3409 - - 7858 - - 6660 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99900 29 108 33 113 23 109 27 107 99900 92307 27 113 21 104 25 099 28 107 92307 86475 25 111 20 098 23 101 26 101 86475 81667 23 116 19 112 16 111 20 095 81667 77508 23 116 18 123 12 107 18 089 77508 73819 21 118 15 132 12 096 16 093 73819 70490 19 117 14 137 8 108 13 101 70490 67454 14 115 12 126 7 103 8 138 67454 64647 9 104 12 165 2 184 5 104 64647 61924 11 247 9 155 5 198 5 210 61924 59088 23 217 6 179 5 193 7 262 59088 56162 20 205 16 236 23 235 19 246 56162 53383 18 206 26 215 27 228 24 232 53383 50873 32 236 35 237 34 234 29 235 50873 48617 48 230 49 240 42 237 40 240 48617 46574 59 228 59 236 53 239 51 242 46574 44708 65 228 67 234 63 240 63 242 44708 42994 71 229 73 232 71 237 70 240 42994 41407 77 227 76 231 73 235 72 239 41407 39926 77 228 77 233 73 237 70 237 39926 38535 75 230 78 235 74 238 67 237 38535 37195 74 229 77 235 74 239 66 238 37195 35840 73 229 73 234 72 239 65 239 35840 34444 71 231 70 233 68 239 63 240 34444 33010 66 230 67 232 64 239 59 240 33010 31526 59 227 61 231 60 238 58 238 31526 29981 55 221 56 226 59 235 58 235 29981 28377 55 220 53 223 58 233 56 233 28377 26715 53 221 51 223 57 231 52 232 26715 24997 48 221 50 224 54 229 49 230 24997 23228 43 221 47 223 51 227 49 229 23228 21405 37 221 44 221 48 224 48 228 21405 19521 34 217 41 221 45 222 44 226 19521 17607 33 217 39 223 40 223 39 226 17607 15763 29 219 36 224 30 219 33 225 15763 14082 24 219 31 222 20 207 25 211 14082 12582 20 216 22*216 18 208 19 193 12582 11236 18 212 13*213 13*216 15 195 11236 10028 17 209 11 216 9*228 9 194 10028 8943 16 212 9 221 6 253 4 185 8943 7972 13 219 6 232 5 301 2 065 7972 7108 7*220 3 266 7 336 10 018 7108 6339 3*211 3 296 8 345 15 011 6339 5645 2 207 3 311 9 348 18 003 5645 5027 1 203 4 326 10 350 19 357 5027 4506 1 204 4 334 10 352 19 354 4506 4104 1 199 4 339 11 352 18 353 4104 3826 0 201 4 340 11 353 17 352 3826 3657 0 199 5 341 11 352 15 351 3657 3559 0 160 4 341 10 352 11*350 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography