DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2219z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.1 - - 75.8 - - 86.5 - - 88.5 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 319 - - 424 - - 224 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 101 - - 2347 - - 5465 - - 4506 - - 102 BL Depth Hcrit 3488 - - 4852 - - 7362 - - 6343 - - 3489 Hcrit BL Top 3504 - - 5750 - - 8868 - - 7909 - - 3505 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 504 - - 1613 - - 2372 - - 4210 - - 811 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 375 - - 547 - - 415 - - 0 W* B/S 8 - - 16 - - 27 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 081 - - 060 - - 025 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -8 - - -18 - - -21 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4407 - - -5828 - - -5089 - - -6804 - - -8271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7912 - - 11579 - - 13958 - - 14713 - - 11777 sfcLCL ODpotential -13238 - - -12076 - - -9505 - - -10835 - - -13902 ODpotential blCL 16742 - - 17826 - - 18373 - - 18744 - - 17407 blCL maxRH 50 - - 52 - - 53 - - 44 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.1 - - 75.8 - - 86.5 - - 88.5 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.1 - - 37.4 - - 37.3 - - 35.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 75.3 - - 84.6 - - 86.5 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 37.4 - - 37.3 - - 35.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 319 - - 424 - - 224 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 101 - - 2347 - - 5465 - - 4506 - - 102 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99430 18 100 16 113 12 097 13 111 8 096 99430 92573 13 096 15 106 10 112 9 097 8 101 92573 87165 12 094 12 097 13 124 5 077 11 097 87165 82602 10 092 8 104 13 121 3 091 10 090 82602 78628 7 098 6 106 8 105 4 110 8 083 78628 75092 5 097 5 103 4 089 5 116 5 087 75092 71874 3 041 4 083 2 083 4 110 2 112 71874 68907 3 353 1 056 2 044 3 070 2 211 68907 66151 4 342 2 348 2 356 2 026 3 235 66151 63482 5 320 4 295 4 316 2 323 5 260 63482 60706 4 310 5 265 6 288 4 291 6 256 60706 57837 5 340 5 277 6 283 4 296 3 256 57837 55115 5 335 5 288 6 290 5 316 3 004 55115 52690 8 021 0 075 4 272 4 313 6 015 52690 50537 16 025 7 068 1 154 1 327 5 030 50537 48592 18 020 11 052 5 078 3 078 5 055 48592 46811 17 022 13 045 9 068 6 064 5 056 46811 45165 16 033 13 045 10 061 8 056 6 041 45165 43635 17 037 14 040 10 045 9 039 8 020 43635 42201 19 040 14 042 9 035 9 029 9 014 42201 40848 20 039 14 041 9 025 7 015 9 010 40848 39534 23 036 14 039 10 021 6 358 9 008 39534 38193 25 031 14 037 10 021 4 345 7 003 38193 36796 26 027 14 035 10 024 4 348 4 359 36796 35345 26 024 14 034 11 027 5 358 2 029 35345 33825 25 024 14 036 12 028 6 010 3 067 33825 32222 24 026 13 039 13 030 7 022 5 086 32222 30537 23 029 13 047 12 042 7 039 8 107 30537 28767 23 033 12 061 10 073 5 079 10 131 28767 26917 20 036 12 076 10 109 6 129 10 162 26917 24987 13 047 11 088 11 129 7 154 10 186 24987 22972 7 072 8 100 10 140 8 175 8 207 22972 20869 3 091 4 120 6 157 8 203 9 222 20869 18724 1 221 4 180 6 201 9 230 10 231 18724 16657 4 241 7 220 9 233 10 245 12 247 16657 14776 5 251 8 232 11 237 11 249 16 244 14776 13104 6 253 7 229 11 234 13 227 17 229 13104 11619 6 242 7 223 11 221 13 196 14 214 11619 10297 6 222 7 210 11 198 11 181 10 211 10297 9122 7 196 8 196 9*178 8 164 6 194 9122 8081 8 175 9 184 7*158 5*128 4 152 8081 7163 8 150 11 167 5 131 4*080 3 098 7163 6354 8 134 9*149 4 068 7 036 5 053 6354 5631 8 131 7*128 5 045 9 024 9 035 5631 4993 6 131 5 095 6 036 9 020 11 023 4993 4461 2 127 4 070 6 029 10 018 12 014 4461 4053 1 080 4 058 6 024 10 017 13 007 4053 3773 2 202 4 053 7 023 10 015 13 001 3773 3603 2*201 4 050 7 022 10 015 10 356 3603 3505 1*198 4 048 6 022 9 014 5*347 3505 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography