DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 42.6 - - 41.9 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 49 - - 65 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 3476 - - 3810 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4381 - - 4954 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 6879 - - 7213 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6507 - - 4078 - - 3911 - - 5004 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 59 - - 235 - - 260 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 24 - - 22 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 289 - - 299 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 26 - - 26 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1409 - - 767 - - 799 - - -1806 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4966 - - 6113 - - 6414 - - 5362 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2195 - - -376 - - 126 - - -3101 ODpotential blCL - - - 5752 - - 7255 - - 7087 - - 6657 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 180 - - 180 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 42.6 - - 41.9 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 28.3 - - 26.4 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 42.1 - - 41.4 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 27.5 - - 26.3 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 49 - - 65 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 3476 - - 3810 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 98 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96117 9 325 9 318 17 300 15 324 96117 89068 8 066 10 280 19 308 13 348 89068 83654 8 029 7 308 12 331 8 000 83654 79140 14 344 12 318 11 355 5 339 79140 75217 23 304 19 323 8 329 17 285 75217 71749 18 293 20 283 10 313 16 266 71749 68583 19 280 33 277 20 283 26 285 68583 65628 34 282 37 276 36 287 33 281 65628 62857 35 291 38 278 42 285 34 278 62857 60143 42 290 38 282 40 284 33 277 60143 57286 45 284 39 284 40 285 35 283 57286 54306 43 281 43 284 44 288 39 289 54306 51452 44 283 48 282 48 287 44 292 51452 48880 47 283 50 281 49 285 46 290 48880 46576 50 281 49 280 45 285 44 292 46576 44489 52 278 46 280 41 288 42 299 44489 42580 51 275 43 281 40 292 41 303 42580 40820 49 273 41 281 41 294 40 308 40820 39188 48 270 41 280 41 296 39 311 39188 37668 50 265 41 278 41 298 39 313 37668 36249 52 257 41 277 40 298 37 318 36249 34896 53 248 41 275 37 300 37 325 34896 33546 54 240 39 271 33 303 40 334 33546 32175 56 230 35 264 30 306 43 337 32175 30787 60 222 31 255 27 305 41 342 30787 29370 61 217 30 250 24 303 40 346 29370 27914 60 215 30 249 23 299 36 349 27914 26416 59 213 29 248 24 288 37 354 26416 24875 59 210 28 243 22 278 39 354 24875 23291 58 206 26 238 22 283 38 352 23291 21662 57 203 22 239 24 294 33 351 21662 19979 54 206 19 257 26 302 28 354 19979 18234 50 213 20 287 28 307 24 354 18234 16460 43 228 25 302 29 308 20 352 16460 14753 35 254 26 304 29 304 21 347 14753 13199 33 272 26 303 28 301 25 348 13199 11812 33 275 28 299 28 299 28 345 11812 10573 32 277 30 295 28 297 31 332 10573 9466 31 278 30 291 28 297 32 319 9466 8475 29 279 30 290 28 296 32 310 8475 7590 27 280 29*289 27*297 30 306 7590 6801 23 280 28*289 25*297 28 305 6801 6098 21 280 27 288 24 298 26 303 6098 5463 18 280 25 288 23 299 22 301 5463 4897 16 280 24 289 22 299 18 300 4897 4421 15 280 23 289 21 300 14 300 4421 4054 14 280 22 288 20 300 11 302 4054 3800 14 280 21 289 19 300 9 302 3800 3645 12*280 19 289 18 301 7*299 3645 3556 10*280 14 288 14 300 5*297 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography