DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 83.6 - - - - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 531 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3394 - - 6655 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5706 - - 8406 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6797 - - 10058 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2208 - - 2192 - - - - - 3935 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 453 - - 630 - - - - - 42 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 20 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 309 - - - - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 18 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3459 - - -2835 - - - - - -5380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10257 - - 12894 - - - - - 8938 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7320 - - -6954 - - - - - -9843 ODpotential blCL - - - 14117 - - 17012 - - - - - 13401 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 49 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 83.6 - - - - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 39.0 - - - - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 80.4 - - - - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 39.0 - - - - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 531 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3394 - - 6655 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99691 25 103 30 114 33 106 99691 92134 23 124 26 100 26 106 92134 86321 26 126 15 101 26 103 86321 81494 23 111 18 129 21 097 81494 77317 17 111 21 129 13 085 77317 73632 10 089 16 108 5 078 73632 70318 0 230 8 095 9 160 70318 67282 10 224 6 161 8 148 67282 64467 11 210 7 253 5 184 64467 61738 10 206 16 226 4 312 61738 58893 15 216 19 220 19 264 58893 55955 21 234 26 234 24 246 55955 53156 38 240 33 232 31 244 53156 50637 40 235 39 227 38 235 50637 48374 50 246 46 236 45 234 48374 46317 71 234 64 232 52 232 46317 44438 72 224 67 230 50 233 44438 42714 71 227 67 230 40 239 42714 41122 75 227 66 230 31 251 41122 39642 72 228 56 232 27 253 39642 38257 61 230 40 238 24 256 38257 36929 47 232 30 247 23 261 36929 35589 38 238 27 247 23 265 35589 34208 31 243 26 245 23 266 34208 32789 28 245 26 242 24 262 32789 31321 29 244 27 239 26 259 31321 29792 32 242 27 237 27 255 29792 28202 33 241 29 235 27 252 28202 26552 32 241 31 236 28 249 26552 24844 30 241 31 238 28 247 24844 23082 28 241 29 239 27 247 23082 21259 27 242 28 242 27 247 21259 19371 25 242 26 244 27 245 19371 17453 22 245 24 246 27 240 17453 15610 19 245 23 245 27 237 15610 13934 19 241 22 238 27 232 13934 12440 19 236 19 231 24 222 12440 11104 20 232 14*233 19 216 11104 9910 20 230 12*239 11 230 9910 8841 18 228 10 248 6 242 8841 7887 14 232 7 268 4 331 7887 7039 9*242 5 307 11 002 7039 6286 6*253 7 339 16 003 6286 5606 3 284 8 347 18 002 5606 4999 3 305 9 351 18 001 4999 4488 3 318 9 354 18 000 4488 4094 3 327 10 356 18 000 4094 3821 3 333 10 356 17 360 3821 3654 3 335 9 357 15 360 3654 3558 3 335 9 357 11*359 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography