DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 73.1 - - 73.9 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 558 - - 338 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3138 - - 4963 - - 5563 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5543 - - 7059 - - 7346 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6541 - - 8366 - - 8966 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1046 - - 1116 - - 1415 - - 3939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 581 - - 510 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 341 - - 351 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - 8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2726 - - -4082 - - -2829 - - -5374 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9267 - - 12449 - - 11795 - - 8932 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11571 - - -11574 - - -9211 - - -12979 ODpotential blCL - - - 18112 - - 19940 - - 18177 - - 16537 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 42 - - 50 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 73.1 - - 73.9 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 30.7 - - 34.4 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 69.9 - - 71.7 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 30.7 - - 34.4 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 558 - - 338 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3138 - - 4963 - - 5563 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99724 34 110 30 108 26 103 26 093 99724 92196 27 101 26 107 26 104 20 089 92196 86377 20 101 19 099 22 097 21 096 86377 81537 16 091 16 107 15 094 20 083 81537 77379 15 086 17 106 11 097 13 074 77379 73720 11 084 13 105 10 083 8 083 73720 70393 14 089 8 121 7 052 12 076 70393 67329 9 068 6 072 7 023 8 045 67329 64499 6 297 3 318 8 308 13 001 64499 61775 12 294 10 295 10 271 8 291 61775 58938 19 281 17 282 16 273 18 277 58938 55989 29 271 30 272 35 276 35 278 55989 53187 42 270 43 268 47 273 47 279 53187 50683 58 275 58 275 59 280 57 282 50683 48450 77 275 75 278 74 282 71 286 48450 46426 88 272 88 277 85 279 80 283 46426 44568 92 271 93 275 89 276 86 280 44568 42848 92 271 92 273 91 274 89 278 42848 41247 92 271 90 274 90 273 89 277 41247 39748 90 271 88 274 87 275 87 277 39748 38342 85 270 83 274 81 276 85 277 38342 36993 79 272 77 274 74 276 79 277 36993 35637 75 274 73 276 69 277 71 278 35637 34243 73 274 68 277 67 278 66 281 34243 32813 70 274 64 277 64 279 65 282 32813 31331 67 276 60 278 62 278 63 283 31331 29788 65 276 57 278 59 275 61 283 29788 28185 63 276 55 279 56 275 58 283 28185 26519 62 275 54 279 53 276 57 281 26519 24794 61 275 53 276 53 276 56 280 24794 23014 56 274 52 273 53 277 53 283 23014 21174 51 271 49 273 50 280 49 286 21174 19273 47 272 44 276 45 281 43 290 19273 17348 40 275 39 278 41 281 36 293 17348 15501 34 277 34 278 36 280 32 295 15501 13822 29 277 30 278 32 278 30 296 13822 12329 24 275 26 276 28 274 28 295 12329 10999 19 274 23 271 21 271 25 292 10999 9813 15 275 17 266 12*300 20 284 9813 8756 11 275 9*290 12*330 14 288 8756 7815 9 274 8*317 12 335 11 319 7815 6981 4*296 8 324 14 348 13 342 6981 6239 4*333 9 340 15 353 14 356 6239 5569 4 342 10 344 15 356 17 009 5569 4973 4 348 10 347 16 357 18 011 4973 4471 4 350 10 350 16 359 18 012 4471 4083 4 353 11 352 15 360 18 013 4083 3815 4 354 10 353 15 360 17 013 3815 3652 4 356 10 353 14 000 15*013 3652 3558 4 354 9 353 13 000 11*014 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography