DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 90.2 - - 89.9 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 430 - - 182 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5670 - - 10741 - - 11165 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7395 - - 11639 - - 11385 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9073 - - 14144 - - 14568 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3385 - - 1778 - - 2097 - - 2792 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 500 - - 689 - - 524 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 212 - - 220 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 23 - - 17 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5060 - - -2095 - - -2090 - - -7061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14133 - - 16239 - - 16659 - - 10620 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8308 - - -4324 - - -4413 - - -10305 ODpotential blCL - - - 17381 - - 18468 - - 18981 - - 13864 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 74 - - 82 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 90.2 - - 89.9 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 30.4 - - 28.3 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 87.3 - - 88.2 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 30.4 - - 28.3 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 430 - - 182 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5670 - - 10741 - - 11165 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 0 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99459 18 111 10 142 7 140 8 089 99459 91998 10 118 9 123 5 130 10 082 91998 86218 7 118 7 094 11 114 7 089 86218 81403 7 129 5 106 9 088 9 102 81403 77249 9 131 5 119 6 086 8 105 77249 73575 6 119 9 135 5 113 5 081 73575 70258 4 117 4 083 4 128 3 106 70258 67216 7 093 6 124 2 134 2 091 67216 64394 4 258 2 110 3 117 5 118 64394 61661 11 215 10 219 7 270 5 287 61661 58807 15 217 14 228 13 242 11 248 58807 55817 17 232 18 231 26 242 23 245 55817 52954 27 236 31 230 37 240 34 246 52954 50405 36 237 39 233 40 237 38 242 50405 48154 42 235 42 237 42 241 43 243 48154 46136 47 233 46 239 45 243 46 245 46136 44298 51 233 49 239 48 246 47 247 44298 42602 53 232 49 237 50 246 46 247 42602 41029 53 230 49 234 49 242 45 245 41029 39564 51 230 49 233 47 240 45 242 39564 38192 50 232 50 233 45 240 41 240 38192 36875 49 232 49 232 44 239 39 242 36875 35546 45 232 46 232 44 237 39 244 35546 34177 42 231 43 233 42 235 39 243 34177 32769 40 229 42 231 40 233 39 240 32769 31309 38 226 40 227 38 231 38 238 31309 29786 33 222 38 228 38 231 37 234 29786 28204 30 217 34 233 36 235 38 230 28204 26564 29 217 31 233 30 240 34 229 26564 24868 28 217 30 231 26 240 27 225 24868 23120 27 218 29 229 24 235 29 219 23120 21311 28 219 28 227 24 230 30 220 21311 19434 28 219 28 226 26 225 31 222 19434 17524 26 216 27 223 25 216 31 216 17524 15688 25 210 24*218 18*202 25 194 15688 14018 23 207 17*209 13*198 21 177 14018 12525 22 208 15 207 12 199 20 178 12525 11186 20 212 15 207 12 203 17 177 11186 9983 18*214 14 208 10 212 13 173 9983 8903 16*215 13 210 10 220 7 152 8903 7938 14 216 13 213 10 227 6 067 7938 7080 13 218 12 215 9 234 13 027 7080 6316 11 221 12 218 9 238 19 013 6316 5627 10 224 11 219 9 242 21 002 5627 5013 9 227 11 221 9 245 23 353 5013 4498 8 230 11 223 9 248 23 350 4498 4099 7 233 10 224 9 249 21 347 4099 3823 6 235 10 225 9 250 18 346 3823 3655 6 236 10 225 9 251 15*345 3655 3559 6 236 9 226 8 251 10*345 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography