DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 55.4 - - 53.7 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 186 - - 99 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3543 - - 4826 - - 4629 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5492 - - 6489 - - 5932 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6946 - - 8229 - - 8032 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2148 - - 3230 - - 3199 - - 5187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 399 - - 319 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 19 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 286 - - 299 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 28 - - 17 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1163 - - 789 - - 557 - - -2275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5783 - - 7441 - - 7476 - - 5833 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -184 - - 170 - - -79 - - -3449 ODpotential blCL - - - 7130 - - 8059 - - 8111 - - 7006 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 99 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 90 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 55.4 - - 53.7 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 35.2 - - 33.4 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 53.9 - - 52.7 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 35.0 - - 33.4 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 186 - - 99 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3543 - - 4826 - - 4629 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 96 - - 98 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98446 5 210 15 211 10 244 12 260 98446 91079 4 143 2 328 1 248 7 290 91079 85379 5 076 7 038 4 046 2 345 85379 80662 6 055 7 045 5 009 9 036 80662 76603 8 052 3 158 6 018 8 047 76603 73004 5 037 5 026 4 327 3 355 73004 69732 5 074 4 306 4 333 4 316 69732 66706 5 265 10 265 11 262 11 278 66706 63876 2 148 5 135 9 215 10 259 63876 61122 11 258 11 248 11 246 21 263 61122 58250 20 238 31 245 22 253 20 255 58250 55269 15 225 32 253 27 274 23 272 55269 52440 18 270 30 280 32 289 28 291 52440 49925 38 279 35 277 38 282 32 287 49925 47682 54 267 37 273 36 278 34 283 47682 45642 58 253 38 277 38 283 48 279 45642 43767 57 247 43 281 47 284 54 270 43767 42026 56 256 49 283 53 284 50 269 42026 40398 64 269 54 282 57 285 56 273 40398 38877 80 273 60 278 62 283 61 276 38877 37462 92 268 66 272 66 279 66 279 37462 36121 97 261 70 267 66 278 66 279 36121 34789 100 256 73 264 65 277 65 279 34789 33433 101 254 75 263 64 274 65 278 33433 32047 102 254 76 263 63 273 58 277 32047 30613 103 253 75 264 61 273 54 273 30613 29117 101 251 74 266 59 275 53 273 29117 27557 95 251 69 268 59 278 54 275 27557 25934 86 251 68 272 59 278 51 275 25934 24250 77 247 68 276 55 278 44 269 24250 22507 70 244 66 278 53 283 38 267 22507 20697 65 245 58 279 50 291 35 277 20697 18820 56 247 44 276 44 294 33 284 18820 16920 46 251 35 270 34 289 31 278 16920 15107 37 259 29 268 26 274 29 259 15107 13470 34 267 24 274 22 263 28 255 13470 12026 35 272 21 282 16 271 22 260 12026 10751 37 273 21 285 15 279 16 256 10751 9616 39 272 21 284 15 281 13 270 9616 8600 38 272 21*284 14*285 13 286 8600 7692 36*269 20*284 14*290 14 295 7692 6884 34*265 20 284 13 294 14 300 6884 6164 31 261 20 285 13 298 14 305 6164 5513 30 259 20 286 13 301 14 312 5513 4933 29 258 19 286 13 303 14 319 4933 4445 27 257 19 287 13 304 14 325 4445 4068 26 256 18 287 13 306 13 329 4068 3807 24 256 18 287 12 306 12 331 3807 3648 22 256 16 288 12 306 10*332 3648 3557 17 256 14 288 10 306 7*333 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography