DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.9 - - 54.0 - - 64.1 - - 62.7 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 229 - - 399 - - 147 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1793 - - 4668 - - 4216 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 4349 - - 6709 - - 5905 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 5196 - - 8071 - - 7619 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 158 - - 1114 - - 1920 - - 2507 - - 1705 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 308 - - 509 - - 353 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 44 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 285 - - 273 - - 311 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -3 - - 23 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3580 - - -5713 - - -5942 - - -4669 - - -3877 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7136 - - 10909 - - 14014 - - 12288 - - 7435 sfcLCL ODpotential -15676 - - -13807 - - -14432 - - -12320 - - -10994 ODpotential blCL 19232 - - 19003 - - 22503 - - 19939 - - 14551 blCL maxRH 87 - - 89 - - 88 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.9 - - 54.0 - - 64.1 - - 62.7 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.9 - - 18.8 - - 14.6 - - 21.0 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 52.3 - - 61.6 - - 61.4 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.9 - - 18.7 - - 14.4 - - 20.8 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 229 - - 399 - - 147 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1793 - - 4668 - - 4216 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 55 - - 51 - - 77 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96323 21 288 18 283 27 275 29 285 25 307 96323 89220 13 310 14 267 26 286 24 287 22 299 89220 83746 18 311 18 288 25 284 23 300 27 291 83746 79232 27 297 23 291 31 281 33 305 19 307 79232 75319 27 287 23 283 33 276 37 295 22 309 75319 71818 28 296 23 287 34 270 37 283 38 294 71818 68644 38 297 34 298 38 279 42 288 47 290 68644 65740 45 292 43 296 44 284 50 286 51 287 65740 63063 53 290 48 293 44 286 50 279 50 281 63063 60466 61 284 51 293 49 291 47 285 48 281 60466 57740 61 288 57 291 57 293 59 293 54 287 57740 54907 72 297 71 295 78 293 74 289 63 285 54907 52207 85 295 88 297 88 292 76 282 75 289 52207 49776 97 290 103 292 94 291 83 289 80 290 49776 47582 94 285 107 287 99 289 96 291 85 291 47582 45582 84 285 94 288 98 285 103 286 97 288 45582 43752 88 300 83 292 88 287 108 279 101 278 43752 42067 122 308 92 305 88 297 99 280 102 277 42067 40506 132 304 115 306 111 305 100 296 121 295 40506 39054 129 300 115 301 104 300 106 299 122 297 39054 37691 132 299 112 297 89 289 105 294 98 287 37691 36380 132 299 114 294 95 289 105 288 93 279 36380 35051 128 300 115 293 101 291 104 285 95 275 35051 33677 119 298 112 293 100 290 100 282 98 273 33677 32261 106 291 102 289 95 287 97 277 98 275 32261 30792 98 286 95 285 92 281 98 274 96 277 30792 29263 96 281 88 283 92 281 100 275 92 279 29263 27677 97 277 82 284 91 283 99 280 89 283 27677 26034 95 282 73 284 89 282 93 283 87 281 26034 24336 74 295 60 286 78 282 85 281 84 275 24336 22587 50 286 49 286 63 281 77 279 79 275 22587 20783 49 272 44 278 51 282 67 278 67 277 20783 18919 52 270 39 269 44 283 58 277 54 277 18919 17034 42 270 32 266 38 277 46 273 47 273 17034 15228 31 267 28 266 33 265 36 267 41 272 15228 13590 26 265 25 266 28 255 36 262 36 270 13590 12135 22 267 22 266 24 253 36 255 31 269 12135 10840 17 270 18 265 20 249 30 245 29 268 10840 9686 13 272 14 265 16 241 21 238 28 265 9686 8656 11 273 11 264 11*239 14 245 27 258 8656 7738 9 275 9 263 9*243 11*261 24 251 7738 6921 9 277 8 263 8 249 9*279 20 248 6921 6193 8 280 6 260 6 267 9 300 16 250 6193 5535 7 281 3*254 5 279 9 312 12 257 5535 4947 5 279 2*258 5 292 9 317 8 273 4947 4454 4 274 1 272 5 302 9 321 6 308 4454 4073 2 258 1 295 5 308 9 323 6 340 4073 3809 2 231 1 307 5 312 9 324 6 354 3809 3649 3*185 1 315 5 314 9 325 5 002 3649 3557 3*166 1 315 4 313 8 325 3*005 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography