DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 72.7 - - 71.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 318 - - 107 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1985 - - 4489 - - 2921 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4424 - - 6483 - - 4776 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5388 - - 7892 - - 6324 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1941 - - 1535 - - 3036 - - 1573 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 301 - - 466 - - 281 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 337 - - 358 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -7 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6123 - - -4154 - - -5080 - - -2842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11511 - - 12046 - - 11404 - - 6400 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12950 - - -9604 - - -10676 - - -10244 ODpotential blCL - - - 18338 - - 17496 - - 17000 - - 13802 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 71 - - 64 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 72.7 - - 71.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 70.4 - - 70.6 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 31.9 - - 34.0 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 318 - - 107 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1985 - - 4489 - - 2921 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98029 8 275 13 292 11 335 9 260 98029 90747 5 126 8 282 12 324 7 349 90747 85103 9 040 2 149 7 291 10 351 85103 80413 10 351 4 349 8 336 9 012 80413 76357 12 320 6 307 9 321 12 334 76357 72771 9 305 9 306 12 286 16 310 72771 69531 15 296 15 293 14 271 17 284 69531 66557 14 287 10 297 15 303 14 290 66557 63801 23 280 23 286 27 294 24 292 63801 61125 23 272 28 268 30 283 26 279 61125 58329 20 293 27 278 33 286 31 291 58329 55446 30 303 29 286 35 280 40 283 55446 52709 36 308 33 295 33 290 35 287 52709 50248 38 304 36 299 35 305 38 299 50248 48049 33 302 39 307 41 308 40 303 48049 46064 35 313 42 312 43 309 40 302 46064 44253 44 324 43 313 43 309 39 299 44253 42585 49 327 43 313 44 307 40 297 42585 41028 50 328 45 314 44 302 43 294 41028 39566 49 328 44 316 44 298 44 293 39566 38189 46 324 42 317 44 298 45 293 38189 36862 44 318 40 317 44 299 46 292 36862 35520 45 314 39 315 45 298 46 291 35520 34133 44 313 37 311 45 298 46 290 34133 32707 40 313 38 310 43 299 44 288 32707 31230 36 310 38 311 41 301 42 289 31230 29693 33 307 35 311 39 303 39 295 29693 28097 32 308 33 310 36 303 37 300 28097 26442 30 308 31 309 34 298 35 301 26442 24731 28 306 29 310 32 294 32 304 24731 22967 27 304 26 309 30 298 29 308 22967 21144 25 305 24 307 27 306 27 310 21144 19255 24 306 23 306 24 310 24 308 19255 17338 24 305 20 306 21 303 23 302 17338 15494 24 302 20 301 20 296 23 294 15494 13818 23 303 19 297 20 294 21 288 13818 12328 19 303 18 294 19 293 18 282 12328 11001 17 299 17 287 17 286 14 273 11001 9819 16 292 15 276 14 270 11 257 9819 8763 14 287 11*272 11 268 8 245 8763 7822 12 281 7*288 7 287 5 263 7822 6986 10 271 6 306 7*325 5 337 6986 6242 9 265 6 329 8*346 9 000 6242 5570 8*261 7 346 11 357 12 005 5570 4972 7*264 8 351 12 359 14 003 4972 4470 6 267 8 355 12 360 16 001 4470 4083 6 271 8 356 12 360 15 000 4083 3815 5 275 8 358 12 000 13 000 3815 3651 5 277 8 358 12 001 9*001 3651 3558 4 278 8 359 10 001 5*002 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography