DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 80.8 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 413 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3038 - - 7290 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5405 - - 8812 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6441 - - 10693 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2688 - - 5074 - - - - - 4674 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 424 - - 597 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 29 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 264 - - - - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -13 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2097 - - -726 - - - - - -5547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8538 - - 11420 - - - - - 9106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3923 - - -1446 - - - - - -7834 ODpotential blCL - - - 10364 - - 12139 - - - - - 11393 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 85 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 170 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 80.8 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 42.7 - - - - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 78.0 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 42.6 - - - - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 413 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3038 - - 7290 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 39 - - - - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99600 21 119 16 116 20 119 99600 92073 14 121 17 124 18 110 92073 86263 11 133 14 126 8 087 86263 81456 9 132 9 126 8 093 81456 77309 12 136 9 132 10 108 77309 73625 11 124 10 144 5 146 73625 70284 8 129 3 132 4 172 70284 67211 5 154 6 166 5 168 67211 64357 7 205 8 194 3 277 64357 61598 7 191 12 210 8 253 61598 58728 12 234 14 240 5 245 58728 55748 18 241 18 233 9 252 55748 52900 21 258 18 240 17 237 52900 50339 24 257 21 247 20 230 50339 48043 25 250 24 241 24 233 48043 45962 26 243 25 236 26 235 45962 44062 26 239 26 236 26 235 44062 42322 26 244 28 236 27 232 42322 40728 26 250 27 234 24 232 40728 39265 26 260 26 238 23 242 39265 37909 27 271 26 243 28 248 37909 36610 29 269 27 251 27 243 36610 35292 30 265 29 254 25 235 35292 33931 30 265 28 257 25 233 33931 32536 31 264 27 256 26 236 32536 31091 32 265 27 253 27 233 31091 29583 31 268 28 255 27 229 29583 28014 29 270 29 258 25 226 28014 26383 27 270 29 262 22 224 26383 24694 26 267 27 264 20 222 24694 22948 25 264 25 262 19 221 22948 21142 23 260 22 259 20 226 21142 19273 20 254 20 255 22 226 19273 17381 16 249 18 244 21 213 17381 15565 13 238 19 222 20 197 15565 13912 15 235 19 222 18 190 13912 12435 17 233 16 224 14 176 12435 11111 15 229 12*229 9 146 11111 9922 13 232 11*230 7 091 9922 8857 11 238 8 235 10 048 8857 7903 9 245 5 249 13 026 7903 7055 4*255 3 269 15 010 7055 6298 2*306 3 287 18 355 6298 5614 3 318 3 304 20 342 5614 5005 3 325 3 317 22 337 5005 4492 3 328 3 326 21 334 4492 4096 3 330 3 330 21 333 4096 3822 3 331 3 334 19 333 3822 3654 3 331 3 334 16*332 3654 3559 3 331 3 335 12*332 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography