DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.6 - - 40.3 - - 41.4 - - 37.8 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 118 - - 286 - - 200 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2002 - - 5352 - - 4049 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 4225 - - 7114 - - 5946 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 5405 - - 8755 - - 7452 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3046 - - 2516 - - 2202 - - 4260 - - 4261 Hgt.Variab. W* 67 - - 261 - - 479 - - 386 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 18 - - 24 - - 29 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 311 - - 284 - - 285 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 14 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 11 - - 29 - - 7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -876 - - 1156 - - 1297 - - -76 - - -489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4434 - - 4249 - - 7458 - - 7528 - - 4045 sfcLCL ODpotential -1983 - - 218 - - 571 - - -835 - - -1595 ODpotential blCL 5540 - - 5187 - - 8184 - - 8287 - - 5151 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 89 - - 81 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 41.6 - - 40.3 - - 41.4 - - 37.8 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 34.0 - - 21.0 - - 17.2 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 39.4 - - 39.8 - - 36.8 - - 29.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.9 - - 33.1 - - 20.3 - - 17.1 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 118 - - 286 - - 200 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2002 - - 5352 - - 4049 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 100 - - 55 - - 22 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96633 43 257 34 252 40 252 42 260 27 265 96633 89239 30 254 30 260 36 262 28 266 27 264 89239 83618 18 257 24 261 24 267 14 277 16 269 83618 78992 21 257 21 262 17 259 23 274 12 309 78992 74998 15 262 12 255 15 259 21 277 16 303 74998 71470 10 281 8 287 10 291 9 309 12 311 71470 68258 19 280 11 289 17 314 10 323 5 316 68258 65279 13 288 12 264 21 294 19 302 9 321 65279 62501 12 327 1 098 13 288 21 305 18 325 62501 59792 24 301 11 336 13 288 22 299 25 300 59792 56953 24 294 20 302 16 273 16 293 23 279 56953 53998 15 289 16 282 18 300 18 317 19 284 53998 51170 15 292 31 281 34 302 29 320 22 308 51170 48610 38 292 42 281 48 286 47 297 34 305 48610 46312 52 287 51 283 53 278 53 285 46 303 46312 44245 57 286 58 281 51 269 52 277 49 294 44245 42368 63 281 62 273 49 270 51 276 47 289 42368 40639 67 274 60 265 54 276 53 279 48 287 40639 39034 75 272 60 267 63 278 58 282 50 284 39034 37533 86 268 69 271 70 276 62 282 53 280 37533 36128 90 263 79 270 74 275 66 282 55 280 36128 34785 86 262 84 267 78 275 71 282 61 282 34785 33440 84 264 86 264 84 277 78 282 68 283 33440 32066 85 267 88 264 91 277 87 281 75 282 32066 30665 85 268 91 265 95 276 93 278 78 280 30665 29225 85 270 94 265 96 275 94 275 81 278 29225 27736 84 271 96 265 95 275 92 273 82 278 27736 26203 82 272 95 266 93 277 92 273 82 277 26203 24627 79 271 93 265 89 277 91 273 82 276 24627 23008 77 269 89 263 83 275 87 274 81 276 23008 21349 74 268 86 262 77 271 82 274 76 275 21349 19652 70 268 83 262 74 267 76 272 65 274 19652 17916 65 270 78 262 72 265 70 270 53 273 17916 16174 60 271 73 260 68 263 62 270 43 275 16174 14510 58 270 68 260 65 259 53 272 38 278 14510 12997 60 267 62 262 61 259 44 276 38 280 12997 11648 62 265 52 262 51 262 40 277 38 284 11648 10442 61 265 44 262 38 268 38 279 38 288 10442 9360 60 267 37 266 32*272 37 280 38 290 9360 8389 60 267 31 271 29*276 35 282 37 292 8389 7520 58 264 27 276 27 279 34*283 35 293 7520 6746 53 260 24 282 25 283 33*284 34 294 6746 6056 46 256 23 288 24 286 32 284 31 295 6056 5432 40 252 21*296 24 287 31 285 27 297 5432 4876 33 249 19*305 23 289 29 285 23 301 4876 4408 27 248 19 310 23 289 28 286 19 305 4408 4046 22 247 18 312 22 290 26 286 16 308 4046 3795 18 246 18 313 21 290 25 286 13 310 3795 3643 15*246 16 313 20 290 23 286 11*310 3643 3556 12*246 13 314 17 290 18 286 8*310 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography