DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.7 - - 49.4 - - 51.5 - - 51.9 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 228 - - 175 - - 121 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3114 - - 3451 - - 2875 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 5306 - - 5434 - - 4816 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6517 - - 6854 - - 6278 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 154 - - 1317 - - 1357 - - 1215 - - 2149 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 369 - - 349 - - 290 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 26 - - 26 - - 33 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 253 - - 256 - - 259 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 13 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 8 - - 14 - - 20 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -291 - - -261 - - -152 - - -764 - - -1571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3847 - - 6778 - - 7006 - - 7042 - - 5129 sfcLCL ODpotential -5747 - - -2284 - - -1899 - - -4423 - - -7595 ODpotential blCL 9303 - - 8801 - - 8753 - - 10701 - - 11152 blCL maxRH 87 - - 89 - - 95 - - 90 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.7 - - 49.4 - - 51.5 - - 51.9 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.7 - - 32.3 - - 33.4 - - 33.6 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.3 - - 47.9 - - 50.5 - - 51.0 - - 45.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.7 - - 32.2 - - 33.4 - - 33.6 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 228 - - 175 - - 121 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3114 - - 3451 - - 2875 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 55 - - 82 - - 59 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96376 9 126 5 117 7 181 8 300 8 034 96376 89304 10 121 4 116 8 128 4 121 7 096 89304 83809 4 344 8 132 7 263 5 015 5 015 83809 79209 3 172 4 194 5 219 7 322 7 336 79209 75222 7 312 5 328 10 294 11 296 16 299 75222 71698 9 315 8 269 8 236 5 312 10 264 71698 68482 22 297 19 298 27 297 17 320 15 283 68482 65502 32 293 29 291 38 287 41 301 31 303 65502 62766 28 284 24 278 33 288 30 297 22 313 62766 60127 25 288 27 304 15 302 14 306 13 318 60127 57336 46 312 40 315 16 319 19 306 28 308 57336 54401 59 307 54 311 39 307 49 300 61 302 54401 51604 64 303 61 306 66 304 72 297 75 298 51604 49109 68 301 70 300 77 297 83 293 78 295 49109 46884 74 298 74 295 74 295 84 296 79 304 46884 44874 82 296 78 298 77 301 93 303 96 312 44874 43054 89 296 93 302 93 302 107 301 109 305 43054 41405 100 298 106 299 105 298 106 298 106 296 41405 39894 114 294 107 296 102 297 97 303 97 296 39894 38487 115 288 101 296 95 298 97 310 93 299 38487 37164 106 293 98 297 95 298 95 307 89 299 37164 35888 102 299 100 298 101 296 94 301 85 300 35888 34597 102 298 100 297 105 296 98 300 83 302 34597 33261 103 295 102 295 106 297 104 300 83 305 33261 31885 104 294 101 295 105 298 106 300 84 306 31885 30455 103 296 96 295 101 300 103 300 87 306 30455 28960 99 297 92 295 97 299 95 301 90 305 28960 27405 93 300 90 296 92 299 87 300 91 305 27405 25793 87 302 87 299 86 299 80 298 87 305 25793 24131 81 302 81 302 78 299 75 295 81 304 24131 22421 77 302 73 303 71 298 70 294 76 301 22421 20656 74 303 67 302 67 296 66 293 72 298 20656 18829 70 305 64 301 65 294 63 293 69 296 18829 16974 62 303 60 300 64 294 60 294 67 294 16974 15188 54 295 55 298 62 294 59 293 64 293 15188 13562 48 289 50 296 59 293 58 292 62 291 13562 12111 42 286 47 293 55 292 58 289 61 288 12111 10814 36 286 45 289 51 289 57 287 59 285 10814 9654 32 287 43 282 46 283 56 283 58 282 9654 8617 28 286 41 275 41 276 54 278 57 278 8617 7694 25 283 39 269 36 269 50 271 56 273 7694 6877 23 276 34*263 31*263 44*265 54 267 6877 6154 22 267 31*258 30*260 39*261 50 261 6154 5504 23 257 29 255 28 257 38 260 45 256 5504 4925 24 245 27 252 27 256 36 259 39 250 4925 4440 25 235 25 251 26 255 33 258 33 246 4440 4065 22 228 24 250 24 254 31 258 26 242 4065 3805 17 219 22 249 22 253 28 258 19 238 3805 3647 12*207 20 249 20 253 25 258 14*235 3647 3557 7*196 16 249 16 253 19 258 6*224 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography