DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.3 - - 43.8 - - 44.3 - - 44.1 - - 35.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 23 - - 63 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 1663 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3557 - - 5066 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 856 - - 3007 - - 1804 - - 4080 - - 483 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 63 - - 195 - - 47 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 319 - - 021 - - 023 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -127 - - -1400 - - 572 - - -968 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3683 - - 4957 - - 4495 - - 4524 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential -3224 - - -2774 - - 8 - - -1656 - - -2539 ODpotential blCL 6780 - - 6331 - - 5058 - - 5212 - - 6095 blCL maxRH 99 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.3 - - 43.8 - - 44.3 - - 44.1 - - 35.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 34.6 - - 37.2 - - 36.9 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.2 - - 43.4 - - 43.6 - - 43.8 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 34.5 - - 37.1 - - 36.9 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 23 - - 63 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 1663 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 102 - - 101 - - 97 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96721 44 093 39 091 33 093 37 100 44 090 96721 89609 33 086 37 083 34 092 34 100 38 093 89609 84039 25 078 30 082 29 081 29 098 35 090 84039 79372 21 072 24 082 21 082 22 085 30 078 79372 75328 19 056 18 079 13 077 16 075 23 060 75328 71757 14 018 11 059 9 062 10 070 14 045 71757 68515 10 007 8 028 6 349 11 033 9 038 68515 65514 12 328 11 329 13 322 14 344 15 000 65514 62719 14 311 14 287 13 294 16 332 17 342 62719 60004 24 303 22 302 18 313 21 333 23 333 60004 57167 25 297 26 303 23 309 24 316 26 319 57167 54215 27 312 22 307 26 313 26 328 26 323 54215 51406 35 320 29 316 36 310 37 321 34 322 51406 48908 47 314 34 315 37 297 43 309 38 322 48908 46698 48 310 35 328 34 317 45 311 45 316 46698 44721 47 317 60 330 50 329 47 316 49 311 44721 42932 52 325 63 325 62 321 51 317 50 313 42932 41294 83 322 72 315 65 311 55 310 55 299 41294 39786 96 314 74 317 68 311 63 301 55 295 39786 38384 94 317 78 321 73 306 66 298 57 294 38384 37066 86 327 78 321 69 308 63 300 57 291 37066 35794 83 333 74 323 65 311 59 302 56 291 35794 34507 81 338 70 322 63 314 56 305 55 292 34507 33177 82 341 68 324 61 317 54 305 52 294 33177 31807 82 340 64 329 59 321 51 306 49 294 31807 30387 81 339 60 335 58 323 45 311 47 295 30387 28905 81 338 60 340 54 326 39 320 41 297 28905 27362 81 337 61 342 50 336 37 323 38 302 27362 25759 79 339 61 343 50 345 38 328 36 311 25759 24097 78 347 59 345 50 352 39 332 35 321 24097 22381 70 349 55 346 48 352 38 336 34 329 22381 20609 57 336 49 353 44 349 36 338 32 333 20609 18777 55 321 42 348 38 354 35 346 28 335 18777 16916 52 319 44 338 33 004 32 357 21 349 16916 15127 45 321 42 339 30 009 27 009 16 016 15127 13497 37 321 33 351 29 009 23 022 14 045 13497 12047 26 327 21 355 29 014 22 038 13 072 12047 10753 17 344 12 354 22 021 21 050 14 088 10753 9599 19 351 12 351 11 025 21 057 16 093 9599 8571 23 328 16 340 9 017 16 066 17 099 8571 7660 25 311 19 324 12 354 7 076 13 113 7660 6854 24 303 19 316 13 342 5 069 8 142 6854 6136 20 300 16 317 12 346 5 061 5 123 6136 5490 15 300 12 324 10*004 6 053 5 093 5490 4914 12 293 9 324 8*019 6 037 7 086 4914 4430 10 282 6 313 8 020 6 029 9 080 4430 4058 9 270 5 304 8 022 6 025 8 054 4058 3802 7 260 4 305 8 022 6 025 6 013 3802 3646 5 245 3*314 7 022 5 023 4 337 3646 3556 3*204 2*319 6 022 5*023 3*307 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography