DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 378 - - 82 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4249 - - 6383 - - 6775 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8793 - - 10539 - - 9847 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10117 - - 12251 - - 12643 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2029 - - 1802 - - 1840 - - 1246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 567 - - 348 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 072 - - 041 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -10 - - -9 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -372 - - -820 - - -1975 - - -5289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10489 - - 13072 - - 14619 - - 11332 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3344 - - -3475 - - -8147 - - -13364 ODpotential blCL - - - 13461 - - 15726 - - 20790 - - 19406 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 51 - - 41 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.3 - - 13.4 - - 6.9 - - 12.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 47.2 - - 49.1 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.6 - - 13.0 - - 6.6 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 378 - - 82 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4249 - - 6383 - - 6775 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96085 19 291 21 286 27 279 33 290 96085 89083 19 305 19 299 15 278 19 306 89083 83652 21 303 23 304 21 305 20 326 83652 79093 17 286 19 286 24 308 20 324 79093 75164 8 288 15 275 23 303 19 311 75164 71697 6 314 15 278 15 287 19 303 71697 68555 12 288 16 271 14 278 18 285 68555 65659 17 277 18 270 19 276 20 277 65659 62963 20 268 20 269 21 270 22 272 62963 60332 20 257 23 263 22 266 22 274 60332 57570 22 253 23 260 21 259 21 273 57570 54692 21 251 20 254 19 258 18 259 54692 51936 16 263 17 264 17 276 10 262 51936 49455 16 274 17 283 17 290 8 302 49455 47237 13 270 13 282 13 291 8 325 47237 45236 6 305 7 326 7 321 10 034 45236 43410 11 031 8 034 8 060 23 047 43410 41731 20 050 25 053 33 052 37 040 41731 40185 38 047 48 045 46 043 38 056 40185 38741 53 047 53 052 54 055 48 072 38741 37386 68 054 75 058 74 060 72 057 37386 36094 88 059 96 054 87 050 80 048 36094 34804 96 057 101 049 93 047 76 046 34804 33486 101 055 98 049 89 048 72 046 33486 32140 95 056 90 051 86 054 68 055 32140 30756 82 057 84 056 81 061 62 066 30756 29329 75 058 75 060 69 068 52 073 29329 27860 74 061 72 058 58 073 41 065 27860 26350 74 065 70 058 50 066 37 053 26350 24805 71 070 61 065 44 063 34 054 24805 23228 54 071 51 075 38 072 29 061 23228 21614 19 069 36 085 32 073 23 064 21614 19956 12 074 9 069 27 067 22 062 19956 18285 17 061 4 019 28 060 22 061 18285 16689 20 055 6 046 24 060 20 064 16689 15244 20 059 8 060 15 059 16 068 15244 13959 16 064 10 062 9 043 11 071 13959 12809 13 066 9*059 9*037 9 065 12809 11776 11 065 9*060 9*036 7 062 11776 10845 10*072 9 061 9 037 6 067 10845 10004 10*078 9 063 8 038 6 065 10004 9248 10 080 8 068 8 039 7 061 9248 8567 10 081 8 072 8 041 7 056 8567 7945 11 082 8 078 8 042 7 047 7945 7386 11 084 7 082 7 044 7 033 7386 6912 10 085 7 087 7 046 7 016 6912 6544 10 086 7 090 7 046 7 003 6544 6288 10 088 7 092 7 047 7 354 6288 6132 9 088 6 093 6 048 6*350 6132 6042 9 089 6 095 6 049 5*345 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography