DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 68.2 - - 65.8 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 116 - - -3 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1566 - - 2387 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6270 - - 7036 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7434 - - 8255 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1592 - - 2476 - - 3813 - - 2284 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 232 - - 289 - - 56 - - 65 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 178 - - 182 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 17 - - 18 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1390 - - 1501 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6044 - - 6754 - - 6044 - - 6044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 73 - - -293 - - -2012 - - -184 ODpotential blCL - - - 7361 - - 8548 - - 8056 - - 6228 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 91 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 860 - - 1350 - - 1180 - - 820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 68.2 - - 65.8 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.2 - - 58.9 - - 59.5 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 66.9 - - 65.6 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 57.6 - - 58.4 - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 116 - - -3 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1566 - - 2387 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 64 - - 76 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98962 22 113 21 108 15 106 18 101 98962 91589 16 116 15 123 13 097 18 071 91589 85890 17 100 17 110 10 115 14 085 85890 81157 12 099 12 110 13 113 14 115 81157 77076 9 125 6 088 12 096 11 108 77076 73455 12 169 6 206 7 053 10 093 73455 70158 7 145 14 191 6 255 7 024 70158 67130 3 264 9 181 13 221 7 279 67130 64328 5 221 9 198 11 235 8 211 64328 61625 7 241 7 241 8 216 9 238 61625 58839 16 231 19 243 18 239 17 227 58839 55999 17 199 26 211 22 240 19 246 55999 53320 15 207 22 216 26 224 28 242 53320 50913 38 233 33 238 30 232 33 231 50913 48752 49 227 48 230 40 230 38 236 48752 46779 51 229 52 223 46 227 43 237 46779 44961 52 236 52 231 46 233 44 236 44961 43272 54 237 55 239 48 240 46 241 43272 41694 61 235 67 240 67 238 55 245 41694 40214 68 233 77 239 72 230 61 235 40214 38828 72 232 73 235 60 217 57 223 38828 37500 72 233 67 226 54 207 51 219 37500 36165 67 231 68 222 50 203 46 217 36165 34793 59 229 61 222 45 202 40 220 34793 33392 51 228 50 220 42 202 35 220 33392 31951 42 231 44 221 39 200 30 215 31951 30459 34 232 38 225 33 200 29 207 30459 28921 30 233 33 230 28 202 28 198 28921 27338 28 234 29 232 20 203 27 194 27338 25717 27 230 25 236 14 204 23 187 25717 24062 26 230 23 239 11 216 18 184 24062 22370 22 231 21 240 9 218 18 187 22370 20634 20 228 18 233 7 217 15 184 20634 18885 18 222 15 227 6 203 13 179 18885 17211 18 221 15 223 6 209 13 176 17211 15694 20 225 15 220 6 208 12 159 15694 14345 21 227 15 220 6 202 11 146 14345 13141 21 225 15 218 7 178 11 148 13141 12055 20 220 15 211 10 164 10 155 12055 11074 19 214 13 201 13 162 10 159 11074 10190 17 206 12 187 16 163 11 155 10190 9397 14 193 11 176 17 166 14 149 9397 8683 12 171 10*174 17 169 14 146 8683 8032 11 156 10*174 16 172 14 143 8032 7448 10*156 9 177 15 174 12 137 7448 6953 9*155 9 178 15 176 10 129 6953 6568 8 155 8 178 14 178 9 120 6568 6301 8 154 8 180 13 180 8 113 6301 6138 7 154 8 180 11*181 7*112 6138 6044 7 154 7 179 9*182 6*112 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography