DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 75.2 - - 73.3 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 340 - - 41 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2400 - - 7942 - - 5557 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7364 - - 11740 - - 8131 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8268 - - 13810 - - 11425 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2021 - - 1536 - - 3009 - - 4216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 589 - - 260 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 214 - - 207 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 14 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1100 - - 971 - - -1749 - - -5168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9369 - - 12840 - - 13175 - - 11213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3232 - - -415 - - -5194 - - -10096 ODpotential blCL - - - 11500 - - 14225 - - 16619 - - 16140 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 83 - - 75 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 75.2 - - 73.3 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 39.6 - - 36.4 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 72.6 - - 72.6 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 39.4 - - 36.3 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 340 - - 41 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2400 - - 7942 - - 5557 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 33 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98475 13 195 13 184 8 276 5 129 98475 91083 15 109 14 158 8 181 4 062 91083 85387 10 087 10 108 11 123 2 158 85387 80663 7 100 4 080 11 092 7 073 80663 76596 7 180 1 067 6 095 8 048 76596 73004 6 175 3 089 2 131 5 327 73004 69770 1 058 3 096 3 010 4 333 69770 66804 2 235 1 154 5 332 3 360 66804 64050 2 182 8 237 11 298 7 344 64050 61381 9 248 15 237 23 263 18 288 61381 58605 14 271 18 244 28 249 25 270 58605 55738 31 266 25 255 29 262 27 276 55738 53004 38 260 31 263 32 275 41 270 53004 50554 38 261 37 267 40 272 48 266 50554 48372 39 269 42 270 48 273 51 270 48372 46394 43 274 48 273 60 274 60 275 46394 44576 46 271 53 273 70 274 78 273 44576 42891 45 268 55 270 74 274 86 271 42891 41320 41 266 55 268 73 274 80 274 41320 39850 41 266 56 267 72 276 80 276 39850 38472 44 265 59 266 73 279 84 273 38472 37152 45 264 58 264 67 279 83 272 37152 35825 44 266 54 264 51 273 77 276 35825 34465 42 268 46 266 50 274 67 282 34465 33079 39 270 39 267 46 273 58 283 33079 31654 36 271 35 267 40 269 51 273 31654 30183 30 268 33 266 36 267 45 267 30183 28670 26 266 33 269 33 269 36 264 28670 27119 24 267 32 274 29 276 28 257 27119 25534 24 269 29 278 28 281 23 260 25534 23913 23 270 26 279 26 278 19 270 23913 22255 21 275 22 278 23 271 18 272 22255 20552 21 280 19 273 19 264 17 264 20552 18834 16 279 16 271 16 255 14 264 18834 17188 8 263 12 268 13 252 11 273 17188 15693 4 245 8 258 10 253 10 266 15693 14359 7 252 6*242 8 250 12 249 14359 13161 10 242 6*235 6 243 14 241 13161 12079 11 239 6 228 5*232 13 238 12079 11100 10 236 6 220 5*225 11 235 11100 10215 8 231 6 216 5 216 8 226 10215 9420 6 226 7 212 6 210 7 211 9420 8703 5*206 7 210 6 206 6 191 8703 8049 5*187 7 208 6 203 5 168 8049 7461 5 181 8 206 6 201 5 151 7461 6962 5 180 8 205 6 201 5 143 6962 6573 5 179 8 204 6 200 4 137 6573 6304 5 178 7 204 6 199 4 125 6304 6139 5 177 7 204 6 199 4*097 6139 6044 5 177 7 203 5 198 4*082 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography