DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.3 - - 48.7 - - 52.9 - - 47.7 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 74 - - 67 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 716 - - 772 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6584 - - 6640 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 419 - - 605 - - 1095 - - 743 - - 141 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 166 - - 166 - - 6 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 12 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 218 - - 212 - - 263 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -969 - - 38 - - 113 - - 1 - - -677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7012 - - 6546 - - 6528 - - 6043 - - 6721 sfcLCL ODpotential -11180 - - -7823 - - -5676 - - -4111 - - -9340 ODpotential blCL 17222 - - 14407 - - 12316 - - 10154 - - 15383 blCL maxRH 53 - - 74 - - 77 - - 87 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.3 - - 48.7 - - 52.9 - - 47.7 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 41.1 - - 45.2 - - 45.8 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 47.9 - - 52.1 - - 48.8 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 39.9 - - 44.0 - - 45.5 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 74 - - 67 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 716 - - 772 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96334 55 279 61 278 52 277 50 282 53 281 96334 89301 26 285 30 275 34 273 37 285 27 297 89301 83849 18 287 25 284 28 292 26 294 19 300 83849 79280 18 264 22 290 26 292 24 305 22 297 79280 75349 20 297 21 298 22 283 26 288 31 301 75349 71872 29 317 22 302 18 293 22 274 33 291 71872 68716 29 307 26 296 24 299 23 287 31 291 68716 65810 24 286 28 280 29 288 27 289 28 288 65810 63115 22 275 26 271 29 276 28 278 27 279 63115 60507 30 287 28 274 29 269 30 271 28 274 60507 57791 36 274 33 275 31 268 32 266 31 273 57791 54978 37 262 34 268 34 267 33 264 32 271 54978 52294 35 262 33 267 36 270 32 270 32 274 52294 49875 30 267 31 269 35 274 34 279 35 278 49875 47707 28 277 25 273 29 275 33 281 34 278 47707 45747 23 275 18 280 22 273 28 281 30 279 45747 43961 17 306 15 298 16 263 24 274 25 278 43961 42315 17 326 16 316 8 285 19 256 22 273 42315 40780 7 343 17 309 14 308 10 254 17 262 40780 39343 3 023 11 292 17 296 9 275 13 262 39343 37997 3 042 7 297 11 285 9 277 12 266 37997 36712 5 008 7 306 10 283 11 281 14 274 36712 35420 6 353 8 309 11 287 12 283 15 275 35420 34096 6 337 10 304 13 294 12 293 13 277 34096 32743 7 331 13 303 16 309 11 302 10 269 32743 31352 10 339 15 312 15 315 9 300 10 270 31352 29914 14 349 15 324 12 330 6 294 10 266 29914 28433 17 355 16 342 12 351 2 273 9 254 28433 26908 16 001 16 352 11 001 3 236 10 254 26908 25342 14 006 12 360 7 358 6 249 10 264 25342 23738 12 003 5 004 3 286 7 265 9 271 23738 22092 10 358 4 353 4 288 7 270 8 266 22092 20397 6 341 2 312 4 276 5 276 7 255 20397 18684 7 317 4 281 4 273 3 285 4 221 18684 17041 8 320 2 310 2 263 1 275 3 183 17041 15549 9 337 2 071 2 183 2 232 3 184 15549 14216 9 350 5 094 4 169 3 239 2 190 14216 13022 8 359 5 099 4 166 3 251 1 179 13022 11948 7 005 5 099 2 163 2 269 0 133 11948 10979 5 005 3 088 0 154 2 316 1 029 10979 10108 4 004 2 046 2 347 2 003 2 039 10108 9327 4 357 2 346 5 348 3 021 3 041 9327 8626 3 349 3 324 7 354 5 026 4 033 8626 7989 3 334 4 316 7 355 5 023 3 033 7989 7416 2 333 4 316 5 347 5 015 3 028 7416 6931 2 340 3*317 2*310 4 359 2 010 6931 6555 1 359 1*258 2*220 3 331 3 358 6555 6294 2 022 2 215 2 212 2 299 4 354 6294 6134 2 018 2 209 3 208 2*272 5*352 6134 6043 2*010 2 207 3 207 2*263 5*353 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography