DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.6 - - - - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 329 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7500 - - 10066 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11485 - - 13438 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13368 - - 15934 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4168 - - 3494 - - - - - 11449 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 620 - - 631 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 263 - - - - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 24 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 358 - - 957 - - - - - -9072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13011 - - 14978 - - - - - 15117 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1348 - - -181 - - - - - -11720 ODpotential blCL - - - 14716 - - 16115 - - - - - 17765 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 89 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 310 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.6 - - - - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 44.4 - - - - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.9 - - 87.1 - - - - - 85.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 44.0 - - - - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 329 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7500 - - 10066 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 56 - - - - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99584 53 102 38 103 46 093 99584 92051 45 106 40 106 39 093 92051 86233 36 106 39 107 29 091 86233 81425 30 107 32 108 28 089 81425 77298 24 109 27 105 25 085 77298 73654 18 113 22 105 23 093 73654 70365 20 110 19 108 20 106 70365 67359 22 103 16 116 15 117 67359 64591 14 110 11 102 10 117 64591 61928 6 082 8 115 10 121 61928 59189 5 359 2 149 1 094 59189 56383 9 301 10 247 2 230 56383 53720 19 251 24 258 18 298 53720 51334 25 231 30 242 32 282 51334 49188 24 241 28 243 30 266 49188 47221 28 259 28 258 24 264 47221 45399 34 260 29 262 25 272 45399 43694 38 256 31 259 26 273 43694 42090 42 254 34 254 27 276 42090 40577 47 255 36 248 27 280 40577 39154 47 253 36 245 29 281 39154 37795 44 249 35 246 31 273 37795 36435 43 241 35 247 27 270 36435 35047 43 236 36 246 25 274 35047 33633 43 238 35 248 25 277 33633 32184 35 244 34 250 25 276 32184 30688 29 251 32 248 24 272 30688 29150 27 251 29 253 24 270 29150 27568 24 252 25 259 23 276 27568 25951 20 255 22 264 20 284 25951 24306 20 257 19 268 16 289 24306 22625 23 254 17 273 13 289 22625 20896 22 258 15 273 13 291 20896 19151 14 267 9 300 7 302 19151 17481 8 288 9*311 2 057 17481 15961 6 309 8*310 3 014 15961 14596 6*328 7 308 5 345 14596 13367 6*331 7 303 7 337 13367 12255 6 328 6 281 8 332 12255 11249 5 325 6 268 9 328 11249 10340 5 317 6 259 10 326 10340 9521 4 299 6 252 11 324 9521 8783 3 276 7 247 11 322 8783 8110 4 252 7 243 12 321 8110 7504 4 238 7 239 12 318 7504 6990 4 230 7 236 12 316 6990 6590 5 224 7 235 11 310 6590 6313 5 221 7 234 9 304 6313 6143 5 220 7 233 8*303 6143 6045 5 218 6 233 5*303 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography