DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.9 - - 76.0 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 515 - - 526 - - 209 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8988 - - 10220 - - 9046 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12792 - - 13816 - - 12335 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14856 - - 16088 - - 14914 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2322 - - 2132 - - 3005 - - 9940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 705 - - 741 - - 524 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 20 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 256 - - 239 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - -29 - - -23 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1249 - - -853 - - -2776 - - -10325 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16106 - - 16942 - - 17691 - - 16370 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3625 - - -3116 - - -5797 - - -14200 ODpotential blCL - - - 18481 - - 19204 - - 20711 - - 20244 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 46 - - 46 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.9 - - 76.0 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.2 - - 21.9 - - 18.7 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 72.7 - - 74.2 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 21.4 - - 18.3 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 515 - - 526 - - 209 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8988 - - 10220 - - 9046 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98513 8 106 9 081 8 050 9 061 98513 90992 12 136 8 065 9 053 13 069 90992 85234 16 126 12 121 9 041 13 067 85234 80492 15 103 15 111 8 091 14 073 80492 76430 12 099 12 105 14 094 15 080 76430 72855 15 122 13 127 11 099 18 086 72855 69637 18 124 12 116 11 097 13 102 69637 66675 19 132 9 145 6 088 8 107 66675 63922 13 114 12 136 9 143 7 141 63922 61264 8 209 7 191 7 197 9 175 61264 58472 16 225 14 208 16 212 12 216 58472 55555 24 226 21 225 23 238 27 238 55555 52774 25 233 28 230 30 240 32 243 52774 50274 26 251 27 246 29 246 33 247 50274 48024 36 257 35 256 34 253 38 257 48024 45976 43 258 44 260 45 259 46 261 45976 44107 52 260 52 261 53 260 51 263 44107 42393 58 262 57 261 56 260 57 264 42393 40812 63 265 61 265 57 262 61 263 40812 39343 66 267 66 267 59 263 61 260 39343 37975 66 265 67 267 59 262 59 257 37975 36672 65 265 66 265 59 260 57 256 36672 35369 65 263 64 264 59 260 56 255 35369 34037 64 261 63 262 58 259 56 253 34037 32680 61 260 60 259 56 257 55 253 32680 31287 57 259 54 256 53 253 53 253 31287 29848 53 258 50 254 49 251 51 252 29848 28365 51 259 47 254 46 251 47 250 28365 26843 49 262 44 258 42 251 42 249 26843 25285 44 264 40 262 38 248 35 245 25285 23697 35 263 33 261 32 245 30 242 23697 22073 28 259 26 254 27 242 25 243 22073 20406 25 261 22 249 23 241 21 246 20406 18723 21 267 17 253 18 242 18 240 18723 17108 18 269 10*276 10 256 17 235 17108 15637 15*265 8*286 7*269 15 235 15637 14317 11*253 8 286 6*271 11 239 14317 13130 9 244 7 284 6 269 7 250 13130 12055 8 239 7 280 6 263 5 273 12055 11083 7 229 7 263 6 256 5 292 11083 10204 6 218 7 247 6 241 5 294 10204 9412 7 205 7 238 7 232 5 292 9412 8698 7 200 7 232 7 225 5 286 8698 8046 7 196 8 228 7 221 4 276 8046 7459 7 193 8 224 7 217 3 262 7459 6961 8 191 8 221 8 215 2 242 6961 6573 8 189 8 220 8 214 2 220 6573 6304 8 189 8 219 7 212 2 204 6304 6139 7 189 8 218 7 212 1*189 6139 6044 7 188 7 218 7 211 1*182 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography