DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 85.5 - - 87.6 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 285 - - 156 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4230 - - 6830 - - 7536 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8883 - - 10760 - - 10953 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10098 - - 12698 - - 13404 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2939 - - 2766 - - 4107 - - 8130 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 519 - - 527 - - 447 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 28 - - 22 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 229 - - 277 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 138 - - 423 - - 368 - - -4618 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9960 - - 12276 - - 13037 - - 10664 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1628 - - -971 - - -1034 - - -7585 ODpotential blCL - - - 11726 - - 13669 - - 14438 - - 13630 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 99 - - 94 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 1000 - - 630 - - 640 - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 85.5 - - 87.6 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 52.2 - - 51.0 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 83.2 - - 86.0 - - 83.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 52.0 - - 50.8 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 285 - - 156 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4230 - - 6830 - - 7536 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 94 - - 75 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99510 38 108 44 094 36 104 30 110 99510 91951 32 099 34 102 29 094 33 088 91951 86126 33 105 25 108 28 090 33 079 86126 81321 33 098 31 103 27 098 30 090 81321 77209 29 090 31 099 30 100 30 097 77209 73588 24 098 21 098 25 104 28 089 73588 70325 23 096 20 110 17 107 18 098 70325 67340 23 104 22 119 10 104 15 115 67340 64581 16 112 15 121 11 113 14 109 64581 61926 14 122 8 135 7 069 15 104 61926 59190 9 100 11 142 3 149 7 109 59190 56388 5 161 7 179 8 171 7 194 56388 53733 18 246 15 234 14 240 13 247 53733 51348 29 243 27 237 29 249 27 252 51348 49203 29 247 32 242 34 249 32 252 49203 47247 28 256 33 244 34 253 28 254 47247 45442 31 266 31 255 30 254 28 260 45442 43759 29 261 27 260 27 257 29 269 43759 42173 24 241 23 256 26 266 29 274 42173 40674 21 234 20 244 21 261 25 279 40674 39262 24 236 20 245 22 256 18 271 39262 37909 24 240 20 254 23 255 15 261 37909 36552 22 241 20 254 21 260 15 267 36552 35163 17 238 20 245 20 257 15 273 35163 33747 15 254 19 247 20 244 15 264 33747 32290 16 269 17 259 17 249 17 250 32290 30786 17 270 17 273 16 260 16 245 30786 29235 17 267 18 274 16 262 17 250 29235 27643 15 269 17 271 15 266 16 257 27643 26013 12 277 13 269 13 277 11 274 26013 24351 12 286 9 281 9 280 7 285 24351 22655 15 292 7 306 6 296 5 293 22655 20916 16 294 7 297 9 293 6 321 20916 19165 15 298 10 323 11 322 7 333 19165 17490 13 299 12 339 9 324 7 312 17490 15966 10 291 8 333 8 321 9 306 15966 14601 7 274 6 320 7*315 10 309 14601 13372 5 265 3*287 5*294 10 307 13372 12260 5 273 3*271 5 292 9 305 12260 11253 4 275 3 250 5 288 7 306 11253 10343 3*256 3 240 4 283 5 306 10343 9524 3*226 3 230 4 277 3 307 9524 8786 3 194 3 224 4 269 1 308 8786 8112 4 188 4 220 3 264 0 191 8112 7506 4 185 4 215 3 259 1 126 7506 6991 5 184 4 214 3 251 2 113 6991 6592 5 182 4 211 3 250 3 106 6592 6313 5 183 4 210 3 249 4 100 6313 6143 5 181 4 210 3 247 4 095 6143 6045 5 181 4 208 3 246 4*089 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography