DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 85.4 - - 85.3 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 504 - - 538 - - 213 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7475 - - 10473 - - 11400 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11541 - - 14035 - - 14215 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13343 - - 16341 - - 17268 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2893 - - 2080 - - 1594 - - 8381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 657 - - 752 - - 568 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 244 - - 245 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 18 - - 29 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6584 - - -3969 - - -3307 - - -13537 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19928 - - 20311 - - 20576 - - 19583 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10024 - - -7085 - - -6604 - - -18734 ODpotential blCL - - - 23367 - - 23426 - - 23872 - - 24779 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 46 - - 44 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 85.4 - - 85.3 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.2 - - 15.8 - - 14.7 - - 10.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 81.9 - - 83.4 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.1 - - 15.7 - - 14.5 - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 504 - - 538 - - 213 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7475 - - 10473 - - 11400 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99229 30 110 29 099 33 091 33 098 99229 91722 27 110 28 105 20 097 24 079 91722 85943 26 109 23 100 19 107 21 075 85943 81153 24 102 19 106 21 102 17 085 81153 77056 24 085 21 118 18 103 17 087 77056 73453 25 074 25 107 16 118 12 098 73453 70186 13 103 19 081 16 105 8 107 70186 67176 9 085 8 083 15 080 11 101 67176 64385 3 035 3 005 12 028 18 069 64385 61687 5 182 9 224 9 295 13 346 61687 58884 6 299 6 259 11 269 8 298 58884 55974 21 278 13 300 8 306 8 321 55974 53201 28 271 22 298 23 310 22 318 53201 50720 33 265 34 288 34 305 33 314 50720 48495 34 263 40 281 38 296 36 312 48495 46464 32 270 40 277 41 287 41 300 46464 44596 34 277 39 274 44 278 44 289 44596 42873 38 280 41 268 45 274 47 286 42873 41281 43 278 43 267 44 273 49 282 41281 39809 49 277 49 267 44 271 50 276 39809 38444 53 273 52 266 47 269 50 271 38444 37146 56 270 55 265 50 266 52 267 37146 35843 56 268 57 264 53 265 54 265 35843 34506 54 265 57 265 54 265 56 265 34506 33139 53 261 56 265 53 267 55 267 33139 31732 52 260 55 265 51 267 53 269 31732 30277 52 260 54 264 48 268 49 270 30277 28777 50 260 52 263 45 267 43 270 28777 27233 47 260 47 262 42 266 38 267 27233 25650 44 258 42 259 40 263 36 263 25650 24031 42 255 39 257 39 260 34 262 24031 22372 38 254 35 259 36 261 29 267 22372 20670 33 252 31 260 31 264 23 273 20670 18953 28 245 27 259 25 263 19 275 18953 17306 25 242 23*258 17*256 15 266 17306 15806 22 241 15*257 16*255 13 251 15806 14461 17*237 14 257 15 254 12 243 14461 13251 14*230 14 255 14 254 12 241 13251 12157 12 225 13 252 13 252 11 243 12157 11166 12 225 13 247 12 249 11 246 11166 10271 11 228 12 242 11 244 11 250 10271 9466 9 227 12 238 10 240 11 256 9466 8740 8 225 12 233 9 235 11 262 8740 8077 8 219 12 230 9 230 11 268 8077 7481 8 215 12 226 8 226 11 272 7481 6975 8 211 12 224 8 223 11 275 6975 6582 8 208 12 223 8 221 10 278 6582 6308 8 207 12 222 8 220 9 282 6308 6141 8 205 11 221 7 220 7*285 6141 6045 7 204 11 220 7 219 6*290 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography