DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.0 - - 45.9 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 84 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 2265 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6657 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6894 - - 8133 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1953 - - 3762 - - 5516 - - 771 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 246 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 195 - - 165 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 23 - - 9 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 648 - - 882 - - -809 - - -480 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6246 - - 7251 - - 6852 - - 6524 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1116 - - -507 - - -3533 - - -4201 ODpotential blCL - - - 8010 - - 8640 - - 9576 - - 10244 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 91 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.0 - - 45.9 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 38.2 - - 36.8 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 48.2 - - 49.3 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 37.8 - - 36.3 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 84 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 2265 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 66 - - 56 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95843 35 300 32 283 29 295 34 296 95843 88868 22 287 26 302 21 305 29 291 88868 83455 16 299 25 301 23 310 27 300 83455 78961 19 317 18 310 20 280 24 303 78961 75072 20 298 14 325 11 290 19 299 75072 71606 18 294 15 301 14 286 20 295 71606 68445 18 297 17 296 18 299 17 300 68445 65533 31 276 25 280 20 281 23 266 65533 62845 17 239 21 271 19 258 17 264 62845 60216 20 249 14 147 23 266 22 268 60216 57412 39 252 35 265 38 267 31 255 57412 54490 73 249 70 248 65 251 60 249 54490 51728 82 249 81 243 77 244 70 244 51728 49262 88 249 87 243 81 244 74 244 49262 47066 92 248 92 244 88 245 85 247 47066 45092 93 248 97 245 94 245 94 247 45092 43303 93 247 98 246 96 244 97 247 43303 41664 94 246 97 245 100 243 101 247 41664 40143 94 245 97 244 105 242 111 246 40143 38717 92 246 97 243 104 241 121 246 38717 37377 89 247 97 242 101 242 119 247 37377 36092 87 249 96 242 99 243 109 247 36092 34801 86 249 95 244 99 244 102 246 34801 33479 86 247 96 247 99 244 99 247 33479 32129 85 247 96 248 98 245 99 247 32129 30741 84 247 95 249 98 246 100 247 30741 29307 83 247 93 248 98 246 97 246 29307 27833 83 245 91 246 98 247 92 244 27833 26321 83 242 87 244 96 248 88 243 26321 24776 81 239 82 243 89 249 83 244 24776 23202 78 238 76 242 80 248 77 246 23202 21597 74 237 71 242 74 246 72 248 21597 19954 68 237 64 242 68 245 67 246 19954 18300 62 236 58 240 62 247 63 242 18300 16719 56 234 53 237 56 246 58 237 16719 15284 49 231 47 234 50 242 51 233 15284 14004 43 229 42 232 42 235 43 230 14004 12857 39 229 35 229 35 226 36 224 12857 11823 34 230 30 224 31 219 31 217 11823 10888 30 228 26 218 27 217 28 215 10888 10043 24 222 24 215 23 217 26 215 10043 9281 19 209 21 211 21 217 24 216 9281 8594 17 197 18*205 19 217 22 218 8594 7967 16 192 15*199 16 216 20 222 7967 7401 15 184 13 195 14 212 18 222 7401 6922 13*178 13 194 12 205 15 214 6922 6550 11*174 12 193 9 197 13 196 6550 6291 10 174 12 194 7 185 10 181 6291 6133 9 173 11 193 5*170 5*179 6133 6043 8 174 10 193 4*165 2*174 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography