DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1331z - - 1555z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.5 - - 39.1 - - 45.8 - - 46.3 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 266 - - 349 - - 64 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 3423 - - 5719 - - 3489 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 8101 - - 9978 - - 7263 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 9291 - - 11587 - - 9357 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2076 - - 2517 - - 1361 - - 5624 - - 5818 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 415 - - 533 - - 258 - - 20 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 16 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 168 - - 179 - - 158 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 28 - - 24 - - 18 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -889 - - 1601 - - 53 - - -2888 - - -3365 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6932 - - 7690 - - 11534 - - 12246 - - 9408 sfcLCL ODpotential -3423 - - -433 - - -2717 - - -4308 - - -5456 ODpotential blCL 9465 - - 9724 - - 14304 - - 13665 - - 11498 blCL maxRH 72 - - 77 - - 86 - - 81 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.5 - - 39.1 - - 45.8 - - 46.3 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 26.7 - - 16.3 - - 13.7 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.1 - - 37.3 - - 43.5 - - 45.5 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.5 - - 25.5 - - 15.8 - - 13.5 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 266 - - 349 - - 64 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 3423 - - 5719 - - 3489 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 9 - - 45 - - 25 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96579 15 247 14 258 16 229 11 253 17 295 96579 89250 8 220 11 221 14 234 8 272 12 250 89250 83617 7 235 7 200 9 230 10 244 8 259 83617 78960 7 259 3 241 7 248 12 237 7 267 78960 74972 3 263 5 224 7 259 8 252 3 288 74972 71457 7 300 4 286 9 295 9 291 6 341 71457 68264 11 297 7 308 11 311 9 291 7 323 68264 65310 13 282 16 295 18 309 18 305 15 311 65310 62563 14 282 21 284 24 294 21 300 20 294 62563 59894 16 289 23 283 24 290 25 301 25 287 59894 57091 21 290 25 289 28 287 29 294 28 288 57091 54161 27 296 34 287 34 284 39 283 39 289 54161 51361 34 291 37 285 39 288 38 290 42 294 51361 48845 36 289 36 291 46 292 45 298 45 300 48845 46594 38 297 38 297 51 289 45 300 50 298 46594 44559 44 301 45 301 47 293 47 302 54 295 44559 42707 47 298 52 300 46 305 55 298 57 294 42707 41013 47 297 51 301 58 308 64 299 60 298 41013 39449 48 302 55 301 69 302 74 301 64 300 39449 37998 53 307 55 299 64 295 78 297 67 297 37998 36646 52 306 54 306 57 297 72 292 69 288 36646 35362 51 308 61 301 59 287 61 288 63 283 35362 34087 52 310 59 298 57 276 53 282 50 282 34087 32796 51 315 57 305 56 272 50 272 42 273 32796 31489 49 314 53 308 52 272 45 261 35 259 31489 30149 45 304 46 305 47 276 41 265 35 260 30149 28765 47 299 38 297 41 277 37 267 39 274 28765 27338 48 301 34 289 35 278 35 270 42 278 27338 25870 46 304 33 292 29 277 32 276 43 277 25870 24365 40 307 32 292 25 275 29 280 39 280 24365 22829 33 312 27 284 26 268 25 283 35 284 22829 21258 30 316 23 281 25 251 27 283 35 286 21258 19648 27 311 16 278 22 238 32 268 36 274 19648 18032 24 300 16 275 22 239 36 244 35 230 18032 16489 20 286 20 277 22 244 34 228 36 223 16489 15086 18 272 21 273 22 247 31 217 30 215 15086 13834 16 257 18 255 22 241 29 211 23 209 13834 12710 13 227 16 219 20 224 27 207 18 206 12710 11697 15 195 17 197 17*206 23 203 17 208 11697 10781 17 180 19 188 15*191 20 197 18 211 10781 9954 18 176 19*183 14 187 17*190 18 212 9954 9211 16 180 18*179 13 181 14*180 20 214 9211 8540 15 178 17 173 13 178 12 167 21 213 8540 7927 16 169 16 167 13 175 11 155 22 212 7927 7375 16 157 15 165 13 174 11 152 22 210 7375 6907 13 152 15 165 13 172 11 150 21 207 6907 6541 9 147 15 164 12 171 11 149 18 201 6541 6287 5 139 14 164 12 171 10 148 15 194 6287 6132 4*135 13 164 11 170 10 147 11 190 6132 6042 4*134 12 163 10 170 9 146 6*189 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography