DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.5 - - 46.6 - - 54.1 - - 45.4 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 72 - - 106 - - -3 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 453 - - 1003 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6321 - - 6871 - - 6042 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 191 - - 572 - - 1969 - - 821 - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 136 - - 201 - - 8 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 289 - - 008 - - 347 - - 217 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - -8 - - 3 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4269 - - -5812 - - -6324 - - -5408 - - -4302 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10311 - - 12133 - - 13196 - - 11451 - - 10346 sfcLCL ODpotential -15133 - - -13881 - - -12764 - - -13541 - - -14112 ODpotential blCL 21175 - - 20202 - - 19635 - - 19583 - - 20155 blCL maxRH 61 - - 65 - - 58 - - 53 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.5 - - 46.6 - - 54.1 - - 45.4 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 15.3 - - 17.7 - - 17.1 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.0 - - 45.8 - - 53.0 - - 49.0 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.2 - - 14.6 - - 17.1 - - 16.6 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 72 - - 106 - - -3 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 453 - - 1003 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96222 22 343 20 354 18 338 13 344 16 339 96222 89270 16 313 17 322 20 344 17 011 17 345 89270 83868 12 333 10 348 12 319 22 326 24 346 83868 79364 14 001 11 359 9 333 17 299 21 317 79364 75425 15 351 9 329 10 314 14 295 20 311 75425 71902 15 309 8 293 11 298 20 297 29 313 71902 68742 19 291 12 278 20 291 23 303 29 310 68742 65883 18 296 15 281 21 279 17 306 21 311 65883 63236 24 307 24 303 25 294 25 306 24 295 63236 60650 30 302 32 308 29 290 31 299 27 290 60650 57942 33 299 30 306 38 315 37 311 34 296 57942 55139 35 303 52 313 56 319 52 311 48 303 55139 52464 45 310 57 305 61 302 61 303 60 304 52464 50041 60 311 47 303 56 289 65 301 70 303 50041 47844 54 315 43 320 48 294 67 301 68 298 47844 45827 51 327 63 333 57 311 65 305 61 304 45827 43965 58 332 84 329 76 322 77 321 83 327 43965 42247 57 333 90 322 94 325 91 325 103 324 42247 40656 52 336 66 321 93 322 78 329 90 320 40656 39176 57 350 49 337 67 323 67 327 67 319 39176 37797 105 351 65 352 57 338 61 316 67 333 37797 36490 115 351 89 347 68 345 57 313 71 339 36490 35196 105 352 92 344 72 343 55 321 61 332 35196 33877 87 353 88 343 75 339 56 329 56 321 33877 32529 75 352 87 344 72 335 53 330 58 315 32529 31139 63 350 75 344 69 331 49 321 61 313 31139 29699 47 343 56 339 63 329 54 314 61 313 29699 28218 36 329 47 327 59 325 62 314 53 315 28218 26697 31 322 46 322 58 323 60 323 47 324 26697 25138 30 323 47 327 58 321 51 333 43 331 25138 23546 35 329 43 333 51 321 41 329 38 336 23546 21915 40 335 36 335 41 324 39 318 35 337 21915 20237 41 340 32 334 32 326 39 311 33 332 20237 18542 39 344 31 334 29 322 35 305 30 329 18542 16918 35 346 30 341 28 322 31 308 30 323 16918 15443 32 345 30 348 25 329 26 317 31 316 15443 14127 29 345 27 352 24 342 22 327 26 314 14127 12948 26 345 24 353 23 354 19 342 19 322 12948 11887 23 347 22 353 22 002 18 358 15 338 11887 10929 20 351 20 355 21 006 17 012 12 354 10929 10067 17 356 19 359 19 007 17 023 10 011 10067 9294 15 001 18 004 17 008 16 032 9 027 9294 8599 14 005 17 008 15 008 15 038 7 040 8599 7967 12 008 16 010 13 007 14 040 6 045 7967 7400 10 007 14 011 10 003 11 038 5 036 7400 6920 8 001 10 010 7*358 7 031 4 001 6920 6548 6 348 5*008 5*351 4 018 5 338 6548 6290 5 326 3*008 4 348 1 343 5 331 6290 6133 4*300 2 008 3 345 1 249 5*331 6133 6043 3*289 0 012 3 339 2*217 5*335 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography