DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.4 - - 72.5 - - 78.0 - - 77.3 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 359 - - 369 - - 52 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 4439 - - 7590 - - 4046 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 8980 - - 11497 - - 7407 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 10307 - - 13458 - - 9914 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1102 - - 2773 - - 1711 - - 5357 - - 6110 Hgt.Variab. W* 73 - - 494 - - 596 - - 253 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 86 - - 26 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 166 - - 290 - - 210 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 9 - - -26 - - 18 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7333 - - -4889 - - -3782 - - -7732 - - -9620 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13378 - - 15197 - - 17241 - - 17647 - - 15664 sfcLCL ODpotential -13063 - - -9860 - - -7671 - - -11965 - - -15785 ODpotential blCL 19107 - - 20167 - - 21129 - - 21879 - - 21829 blCL maxRH 62 - - 81 - - 75 - - 76 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.4 - - 72.5 - - 78.0 - - 77.3 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 26.7 - - 22.8 - - 20.6 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 70.0 - - 75.3 - - 76.5 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.1 - - 26.5 - - 22.6 - - 20.3 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 359 - - 369 - - 52 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 4439 - - 7590 - - 4046 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 2 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97998 5 091 11 128 9 137 9 196 6 344 97998 90682 7 090 8 136 4 106 2 288 5 049 90682 85038 9 097 6 126 5 179 9 020 8 082 85038 80336 13 087 10 100 12 135 5 005 11 025 80336 76298 10 071 9 049 8 118 0 152 7 011 76298 72743 5 077 7 012 5 066 5 082 5 076 72743 69530 6 054 2 115 2 071 5 012 11 041 69530 66583 10 039 8 110 4 115 2 016 6 013 66583 63860 7 025 5 061 4 096 3 153 4 294 63860 61239 6 008 9 005 6 072 8 110 4 240 61239 58514 4 323 8 308 6 329 8 024 2 325 58514 55687 7 325 12 290 14 304 15 319 10 313 55687 53000 13 315 18 275 20 289 23 293 18 303 53000 50588 25 324 20 294 25 299 24 294 23 299 50588 48422 39 308 32 301 37 299 35 291 32 295 48422 46447 47 297 41 298 47 286 41 291 39 289 46447 44625 49 291 48 289 49 285 49 295 53 287 44625 42929 45 292 48 284 50 289 58 287 62 281 42929 41343 43 298 43 290 48 288 55 284 56 279 41343 39863 53 302 48 301 44 291 42 282 47 276 39863 38484 58 296 52 298 45 296 36 290 31 292 38484 37169 59 289 50 297 47 298 38 293 28 295 37169 35845 59 298 49 298 45 296 38 290 28 293 35845 34488 62 312 49 312 43 296 37 295 29 296 34488 33099 60 325 46 320 40 313 33 297 32 296 33099 31671 43 326 36 316 32 320 26 310 30 289 31671 30195 30 322 31 302 30 302 25 296 26 279 30195 28679 25 315 28 302 31 300 27 298 21 273 28679 27125 20 313 24 306 25 303 21 313 15 271 27125 25536 17 338 18 308 20 301 15 319 8 287 25536 23917 19 360 14 344 12 309 9 301 6 276 23917 22262 21 003 17 010 8 352 3 298 7 255 22262 20562 19 347 15 021 7 012 1 297 5 235 20562 18847 18 330 12 004 4 357 2 244 3 246 18847 17204 17 329 12 337 6 328 3 251 7 258 17204 15709 17 324 12 325 9 316 6 328 8 249 15709 14373 17 309 11 313 10*323 9 338 4 245 14373 13174 16 298 11 304 9*327 8 337 1 144 13174 12092 13 300 10 307 9 326 6 329 2 141 12092 11112 9 307 6*320 7 323 4 306 2 167 11112 10226 6 311 4*335 5 307 4*261 2 195 10226 9429 3 325 2 357 4 282 5*228 2 208 9429 8710 2 032 1 087 4 250 7 215 2 211 8710 8054 5 072 1 152 4 234 7 210 2 214 8054 7464 9 067 3 166 5 225 8 208 2 207 7464 6964 12 065 3 168 5 219 8 207 2 194 6964 6575 13 052 4 172 5 214 8 206 2 181 6575 6305 11 042 4 173 5 214 8 205 1 126 6305 6139 10*041 4 174 5 212 8 205 2*048 6139 6044 7*041 4 173 5 212 7 205 3*036 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography