DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 86.7 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 488 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8124 - - 12211 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12048 - - 15431 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13992 - - 18079 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5594 - - 2076 - - - - - 11359 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 664 - - 770 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 235 - - - - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 17 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6031 - - -1465 - - - - - -11563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20024 - - 19545 - - - - - 17609 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9159 - - -3563 - - - - - -16121 ODpotential blCL - - - 23151 - - 21642 - - - - - 22166 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 53 - - - - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 86.7 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.5 - - 20.5 - - - - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 83.6 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.6 - - 19.9 - - - - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 488 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8124 - - 12211 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98588 17 106 11 094 5 041 98588 91110 14 112 12 113 13 043 91110 85365 14 125 9 110 17 076 85365 80616 14 115 13 129 18 094 80616 76526 12 116 15 094 10 106 76526 72911 6 130 9 083 15 113 72911 69644 10 153 9 154 8 098 69644 66643 12 154 14 174 5 134 66643 63869 10 169 16 200 6 206 63869 61197 8 232 17 196 12 234 61197 58431 16 236 14 217 14 225 58431 55561 21 248 18 241 11 274 55561 52816 26 247 25 260 20 289 52816 50343 21 252 25 258 30 277 50343 48123 23 258 23 246 36 275 48123 46115 26 257 22 249 36 273 46115 44287 28 265 25 265 31 266 44287 42605 27 270 28 280 27 256 42605 41043 25 277 26 280 27 249 41043 39580 23 284 20 274 25 248 39580 38207 23 284 18 272 22 253 38207 36892 22 279 20 269 23 261 36892 35575 21 273 20 264 26 264 35575 34228 21 267 21 265 27 266 34228 32855 21 265 25 266 26 266 32855 31446 18 251 23 259 25 258 31446 29995 14 252 19 260 24 244 29995 28507 11 266 17 266 23 239 28507 26981 9 265 17 258 21 240 26981 25419 9 268 16 247 19 241 25419 23821 10 263 15 234 18 248 23821 22184 10 228 14 225 19 255 22184 20503 17 237 16 230 20 254 20503 18810 20 233 26*235 21 247 18810 17190 17 224 25*235 22 245 17190 15715 16 225 23 235 22 246 15715 14392 18*238 22 235 22 248 14392 13198 18*249 21 235 21 251 13198 12118 17 251 20 236 21 253 12118 11138 17 251 19 236 21 256 11138 10251 16 251 18 236 20 258 10251 9453 16 249 18 236 20 260 9453 8731 16 247 17 235 20 262 8731 8072 16 246 17 235 19 264 8072 7478 15 243 16 235 19 265 7478 6973 15 241 16 235 17 265 6973 6581 14 240 15 234 15 263 6581 6308 14 239 15 234 12 260 6308 6141 13 239 14 234 9*258 6141 6045 12 238 13 234 6*261 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography