DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.7 - - 43.2 - - 41.6 - - 44.3 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 95 - - 97 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1818 - - 911 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6501 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7686 - - 6779 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3343 - - 2215 - - 2179 - - 4228 - - 1145 Hgt.Variab. W* 58 - - 246 - - 194 - - 37 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 236 - - 223 - - 242 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 20 - - 14 - - 16 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1644 - - 737 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6043 - - 6042 - - 6043 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential -408 - - 406 - - 88 - - -1328 - - -2288 ODpotential blCL 6450 - - 7280 - - 6691 - - 7371 - - 8330 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 350 - - 120 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.7 - - 43.2 - - 41.6 - - 44.3 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.1 - - 39.3 - - 39.5 - - 39.6 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.4 - - 42.2 - - 40.6 - - 44.4 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.7 - - 38.1 - - 38.5 - - 38.6 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 95 - - 97 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1818 - - 911 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 99 - - 101 - - 67 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97458 8 279 17 262 25 272 19 303 14 287 97458 90272 4 276 9 263 17 255 14 284 18 296 90272 84725 9 315 7 252 10 236 9 267 12 293 84725 80088 6 308 3 216 5 202 6 233 4 278 80088 76086 2 062 4 078 8 142 4 185 3 283 76086 72567 2 322 3 091 7 143 2 071 2 095 72567 69391 4 197 1 353 4 156 5 298 4 022 69391 66473 5 128 4 267 5 300 5 001 3 105 66473 63775 6 043 3 176 9 245 8 277 5 299 63775 61159 7 309 5 205 15 208 13 236 10 265 61159 58418 18 244 14 254 19 217 18 234 18 248 58418 55566 24 237 22 246 19 234 19 238 19 235 55566 52822 27 237 17 241 16 251 17 254 15 262 52822 50327 25 241 16 251 21 256 21 259 22 264 50327 48073 32 244 24 247 26 249 22 255 22 278 48073 46007 43 231 30 240 26 241 22 265 30 288 46007 44102 46 224 30 231 23 236 21 262 30 285 44102 42336 44 223 26 227 21 251 22 282 31 285 42336 40691 42 220 22 232 22 264 30 276 36 280 40691 39152 38 221 22 242 26 264 26 269 38 272 39152 37712 33 222 26 242 32 258 23 275 35 268 37712 36341 30 221 32 232 34 250 26 281 32 274 36341 34974 31 228 35 222 25 252 28 288 33 289 34974 33586 52 219 35 217 20 258 32 289 30 300 33586 32186 58 203 35 213 20 257 30 295 36 300 32186 30764 61 192 35 211 20 264 30 304 31 296 30764 29317 64 189 32 210 19 283 26 307 19 313 29317 27844 66 190 27 211 18 296 27 310 24 014 27844 26342 63 192 20 210 20 303 30 021 42 019 26342 24807 55 192 17 188 20 328 39 017 43 010 24807 23240 46 187 14 165 21 346 35 012 37 359 23240 21638 38 180 5 175 19 350 25 002 29 346 21638 19992 31 170 2 226 18 343 23 341 28 333 19992 18331 31 158 5 169 12 321 21 325 30 326 18331 16739 31 157 9 168 11 294 19 314 26 325 16739 15294 30 161 9 172 12 301 17 314 21 324 15294 14005 27 172 8 181 14 307 15 313 18 323 14005 12849 28 178 6 204 16 303 13 309 16 322 12849 11807 27 183 6 229 15 291 11 305 17 323 11807 10867 24 182 7 235 14 276 10 302 20 325 10867 10019 21 181 7 233 14 263 11 296 23 326 10019 9258 20 179 8 238 14 252 11 291 26 326 9258 8573 19 178 10 241 14 243 11 284 25 325 8573 7949 18 175 11*240 14 236 11 277 22 324 7949 7389 18 174 12*238 13 229 10 269 15 325 7389 6914 17 172 13 237 13*226 10 259 8 329 6914 6545 16 170 13 236 12*225 9 253 3 325 6545 6289 15 168 13 236 12 223 9 249 1 215 6289 6133 13 167 12 235 11 223 8*246 2 156 6133 6042 11*166 10 234 9 222 6*242 2*147 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography