DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 45.5 - - 53.5 - - 44.5 - - 40.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 88 - - 109 - - -1 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 174 - - 801 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6042 - - 6669 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 262 - - 771 - - 1411 - - 501 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 106 - - 188 - - 4 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 035 - - 186 - - 240 - - 311 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 3 - - 3 - - -3 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4376 - - -5371 - - -6621 - - -4895 - - -4979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10419 - - 11413 - - 13290 - - 10938 - - 11023 sfcLCL ODpotential -14552 - - -13483 - - -13145 - - -13386 - - -14143 ODpotential blCL 20594 - - 19525 - - 19814 - - 19429 - - 20186 blCL maxRH 46 - - 52 - - 57 - - 61 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 45.5 - - 53.5 - - 44.5 - - 40.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.9 - - 17.4 - - 16.9 - - 18.5 - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.2 - - 44.5 - - 52.4 - - 48.6 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.4 - - 16.8 - - 16.3 - - 18.1 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 88 - - 109 - - -1 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 174 - - 801 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95885 26 325 35 316 29 315 28 295 37 310 95885 88943 23 340 19 326 19 320 26 316 25 324 88943 83531 19 343 19 322 19 325 18 337 23 345 83531 79021 20 344 13 324 20 323 20 347 27 010 79021 75122 15 356 8 359 13 343 23 337 30 010 75122 71670 16 010 15 349 16 011 18 013 29 006 71670 68543 26 358 17 357 19 026 20 016 26 010 68543 65669 26 354 27 357 19 022 18 353 20 337 65669 63010 22 337 28 337 14 047 22 003 21 353 63010 60441 21 322 29 335 26 340 30 348 27 350 60441 57758 29 321 35 330 27 332 34 326 31 337 57758 54954 35 323 34 325 31 325 34 322 32 322 54954 52264 39 321 37 316 35 317 35 323 31 314 52264 49835 41 312 37 312 35 312 35 317 29 325 49835 47645 41 310 37 305 35 307 36 309 31 313 47645 45646 37 308 37 297 36 309 36 305 32 303 45646 43815 34 308 33 292 37 301 32 308 29 301 43815 42124 34 303 29 299 32 292 31 300 25 303 42124 40557 25 300 27 293 29 290 27 295 23 302 40557 39101 18 306 20 286 24 281 25 289 26 293 39101 37745 16 316 14 306 14 272 19 280 27 288 37745 36454 18 315 15 323 11 285 13 279 23 284 36454 35163 19 311 13 315 12 289 14 290 24 291 35163 33844 18 310 11 305 10 289 17 293 28 298 33844 32500 17 314 9 304 9 288 17 292 27 301 32500 31119 17 313 10 314 6 296 13 296 22 294 31119 29696 21 311 12 329 3 357 4 302 9 264 29696 28232 27 308 13 337 5 019 0 139 3 216 28232 26727 31 306 13 355 4 014 2 247 5 256 26727 25183 23 314 12 359 6 338 4 306 5 280 25183 23601 17 343 12 350 10 328 9 326 5 300 23601 21978 18 348 13 336 13 325 11 330 6 315 21978 20308 19 336 15 325 14 326 11 330 7 329 20308 18618 21 328 16 324 14 328 11 329 7 336 18618 16994 21 326 15 327 14 329 11 331 7 347 16994 15513 20 329 14 335 13 331 11 334 8 359 15513 14188 18 336 13 343 12 335 11 341 9 009 14188 12998 16 342 12 350 11 341 12 350 10 016 12998 11926 15 344 13 357 11 350 12 002 10 024 11926 10960 14 342 13 002 12 002 12 014 11 033 10960 10090 12 339 13 005 13 011 12 025 10 042 10090 9311 11 339 11 008 13 017 12 034 9 053 9311 8611 9 339 9 011 12 020 12 038 9 062 8611 7975 6 343 7 013 10 022 10 035 9 069 7975 7405 4 348 5 013 5 020 8 028 11 059 7405 6923 3 004 3 013 2*349 6 016 10 044 6923 6550 2 037 1 010 1*259 5 004 9 024 6550 6291 3 054 1 184 2 240 3 350 8 005 6291 6133 4*044 2 185 2 233 1*329 7*353 6133 6043 4*035 2*186 2 228 1*311 6*349 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography