DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 53.6 - - 52.9 - - 41.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 232 - - 2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1225 - - 1757 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6380 - - 6810 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7093 - - 7625 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 858 - - 1236 - - 2171 - - 482 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 313 - - 33 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 108 - - 174 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -8 - - 7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5964 - - -6117 - - -7618 - - -5182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13058 - - 13743 - - 13662 - - 11225 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15091 - - -13136 - - -15317 - - -15169 ODpotential blCL - - - 22184 - - 20761 - - 21360 - - 21212 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 34 - - 31 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 53.6 - - 52.9 - - 41.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.4 - - 15.0 - - 14.7 - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 51.9 - - 52.6 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.9 - - 14.6 - - 14.4 - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 232 - - 2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1225 - - 1757 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96210 24 270 25 295 15 275 14 255 96210 89126 2 232 19 263 20 341 2 032 89126 83675 18 040 7 283 10 305 12 006 83675 79147 11 038 9 343 4 349 8 336 79147 75224 8 039 8 331 3 310 11 002 75224 71756 8 066 6 010 4 239 18 012 71756 68639 10 074 9 342 5 035 10 003 68639 65778 12 052 6 308 8 041 2 304 65778 63118 14 066 4 023 4 057 5 197 63118 60530 12 072 11 054 3 109 7 144 60530 57819 5 087 19 077 9 114 10 140 57819 54991 13 139 19 113 19 121 17 143 54991 52274 24 096 21 140 19 125 20 147 52274 49817 32 078 23 141 14 151 17 143 49817 47612 32 074 25 123 17 163 16 154 47612 45611 15 062 26 104 22 134 23 174 45611 43778 5 132 22 095 25 115 29 154 43778 42106 12 150 13 109 21 112 32 136 42106 40579 14 130 12 133 16 129 32 141 40579 39160 17 114 17 121 20 127 34 138 39160 37825 21 101 21 099 24 123 36 135 37825 36544 21 102 21 100 27 121 35 139 36544 35255 20 108 23 103 26 122 32 141 35255 33934 21 109 24 102 23 125 28 144 33934 32586 23 105 21 100 19 124 24 143 32586 31200 18 112 14 105 14 130 22 136 31200 29766 16 111 9 103 11 125 20 125 29766 28286 17 106 8 092 11 117 20 119 28286 26761 22 105 10 082 13 112 22 123 26761 25197 26 103 14 086 19 114 22 132 25197 23596 23 099 19 091 23 117 21 137 23596 21955 21 093 21 097 23 125 19 138 21955 20267 20 090 21 109 21 140 14 128 20267 18565 17 093 23 126 14 147 10 111 18565 16935 15 092 23 132 12 149 9 121 16935 15454 15 090 18 133 13 144 10 138 15454 14132 15 094 14 128 14 139 12 150 14132 12948 14 096 12 127 14 134 12 156 12948 11883 14 093 11 134 14 132 12 156 11883 10924 14 086 11 141 12 129 12 151 10924 10062 14 079 10 144 10 121 11 147 10062 9291 15 072 8 138 9 108 10 146 9291 8597 13 065 7 124 7 093 9 145 8597 7966 11 063 5*103 5 085 7 142 7966 7400 7*079 4*099 3 088 5 135 7400 6920 4*129 4 103 3 157 2 103 6920 6548 4 148 4 109 4 168 3 006 6548 6291 5 156 4 114 4 172 5 350 6291 6133 5 159 4 118 4*174 5*356 6133 6043 5 161 4 119 4*174 6*358 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography