DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 77.3 - - 79.2 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 587 - - 593 - - 247 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8771 - - 9266 - - 10138 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12670 - - 13083 - - 13316 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14639 - - 15134 - - 16006 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1562 - - 1549 - - 1918 - - 8467 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 730 - - 746 - - 575 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 237 - - 235 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 18 - - 14 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2802 - - -3119 - - -3195 - - -11927 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17442 - - 18254 - - 19201 - - 17972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7310 - - -6743 - - -6541 - - -17293 ODpotential blCL - - - 21949 - - 21877 - - 22547 - - 23337 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 34 - - 34 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 77.3 - - 79.2 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.1 - - 17.2 - - 14.8 - - 13.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 73.8 - - 77.2 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.9 - - 17.1 - - 14.6 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 587 - - 593 - - 247 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8771 - - 9266 - - 10138 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98995 36 106 28 107 21 096 25 099 98995 91478 26 089 27 096 26 091 23 086 91478 85712 21 088 25 096 26 093 29 090 85712 80953 16 111 18 094 27 078 27 087 80953 76867 15 129 12 102 17 094 21 095 76867 73251 16 114 13 105 14 099 14 089 73251 69983 12 127 10 126 4 102 11 066 69983 66973 9 118 10 172 4 174 3 032 66973 64161 14 062 15 124 9 156 4 283 64161 61431 8 286 11 058 22 140 9 201 61431 58601 26 235 13 242 9 215 13 270 58601 55690 30 225 28 227 32 238 29 248 55690 52930 29 245 32 249 33 244 39 244 52930 50457 54 246 55 256 47 254 50 246 50457 48245 64 242 71 251 64 254 60 245 48245 46236 70 247 78 249 72 251 65 245 46236 44395 80 249 82 247 73 249 67 247 44395 42696 86 247 84 245 74 246 70 248 42696 41117 88 245 86 243 76 244 74 247 41117 39639 89 244 87 242 78 243 75 245 39639 38252 88 244 85 243 79 243 77 244 38252 36926 84 247 81 246 79 244 78 244 36926 35599 83 249 78 248 77 245 76 244 35599 34245 83 247 77 249 74 246 71 244 34245 32868 80 245 77 248 72 246 66 242 32868 31457 78 244 75 247 69 246 62 241 31457 30001 75 245 73 247 65 247 58 241 30001 28503 70 247 68 247 60 250 53 242 28503 26966 63 250 61 248 55 251 49 243 26966 25392 56 253 53 249 51 251 45 243 25392 23786 53 252 48 250 47 249 43 244 23786 22145 53 249 47 249 43 249 40 247 22145 20463 52 248 46 249 40 249 37 246 20463 18767 46 250 42 250 37 246 34 240 18767 17144 35 256 34 251 26*237 31 231 17144 15665 25*258 23*248 18*231 29 225 15665 14342 19*255 17*242 17 232 27 224 14342 13150 18 254 16 241 16 233 24 225 13150 12073 17 251 16 240 15 234 21 227 12073 11098 17 250 16 239 14 235 17 229 11098 10216 17 248 16 238 13 236 14 231 10216 9423 16 247 16 237 13 237 10 237 9423 8707 16 246 16 235 12 238 8 245 8707 8053 16 244 16 235 12 239 7 256 8053 7464 16 243 15 233 11 239 6 268 7464 6965 16 242 15 233 11 238 6 278 6965 6576 15 241 15 232 11 238 6 284 6576 6305 15 241 15 232 11 239 5 293 6305 6140 14 240 14 232 10 239 4 299 6140 6044 13 240 13 231 9 238 4*308 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography