DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 94.4 - - 94.4 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 370 - - 86 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3651 - - 12943 - - 13349 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8440 - - 15858 - - 14841 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9519 - - 18811 - - 19217 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4422 - - 2346 - - 2204 - - 13435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 501 - - 712 - - 443 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 32 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 310 - - 289 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 20 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 12 - - 27 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4371 - - 1237 - - 693 - - -12551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13891 - - 17575 - - 18525 - - 18597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6401 - - 456 - - -303 - - -18567 ODpotential blCL - - - 15920 - - 18355 - - 19520 - - 24612 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 94 - - 100 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 60 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 94.4 - - 94.4 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 37.6 - - 33.5 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 91.6 - - 93.3 - - 90.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 37.5 - - 33.4 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 370 - - 86 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3651 - - 12943 - - 13349 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 75 - - 99 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99358 43 098 39 088 43 091 39 096 99358 91896 35 101 33 096 32 084 38 092 91896 86121 34 095 31 106 26 091 32 083 86121 81327 34 089 31 107 25 098 26 085 81327 77210 27 084 28 093 21 108 24 081 77210 73588 23 090 22 087 22 104 22 089 73588 70308 15 096 17 103 18 100 20 086 70308 67295 13 104 14 099 13 094 16 075 67295 64517 18 108 15 098 12 104 13 070 64517 61859 19 074 15 113 12 107 11 087 61859 59117 9 078 9 083 11 080 11 089 59117 56302 10 030 5 336 10 009 11 021 56302 53647 16 340 12 333 16 337 19 335 53647 51268 23 343 19 338 21 342 18 339 51268 49122 30 333 26 330 29 350 31 348 49122 47151 33 328 32 330 35 343 40 342 47151 45328 34 324 35 329 38 339 40 345 45328 43629 33 322 35 329 37 336 41 349 43629 42038 32 327 32 327 39 336 41 350 42038 40543 30 335 27 328 38 335 42 347 40543 39140 30 329 28 328 32 333 44 341 39140 37797 25 323 29 319 32 334 37 336 37797 36458 20 336 28 319 30 338 29 346 36458 35091 23 350 28 333 24 347 26 000 35091 33697 25 360 27 351 22 357 24 003 33697 32261 28 006 27 004 21 006 20 003 32261 30772 31 010 29 010 21 013 16 006 30772 29236 32 010 30 015 21 020 14 013 29236 27654 30 006 30 017 22 022 14 021 27654 26031 29 006 29 014 23 023 16 031 26031 24373 26 008 25 013 23 024 17 036 24373 22677 18 004 20 010 19 015 15 020 22677 20947 12 359 19 353 15*351 10 002 20947 19209 12 339 18*351 14*347 6 010 19209 17538 12 315 15*350 11 333 6 352 17538 16010 10 312 12 350 10 322 6 343 16010 14640 8 316 9 347 8 305 7 335 14640 13406 5 320 6 339 8 290 7 329 13406 12289 4 333 4 312 8 276 8 324 12289 11278 3 328 3 266 8 266 9 320 11278 10364 2*257 4 242 8 257 9 316 10364 9542 3*192 5 230 8 251 10 312 9542 8800 5 185 5 224 8 246 10 309 8800 8122 5 183 6 221 9 243 10 305 8122 7513 5 183 6 218 9 240 11 300 7513 6996 6 182 7 216 9 238 10 293 6996 6594 6 181 7 214 8 237 10 286 6594 6314 6 182 7 214 8 236 8 276 6314 6144 6 181 7 215 8 235 6 270 6144 6045 6 181 6 214 7 234 4*272 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography