DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 56.5 - - 53.5 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 241 - - -7 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1895 - - 3953 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6839 - - 8450 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7763 - - 9821 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1780 - - 2089 - - 4376 - - 354 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 300 - - 416 - - 19 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 14 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 042 - - 044 - - 035 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -27 - - -17 - - -13 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5606 - - -5675 - - -8596 - - -5850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13370 - - 15497 - - 14640 - - 11894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13078 - - -12539 - - -15941 - - -15896 ODpotential blCL - - - 20841 - - 22360 - - 21984 - - 21939 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 47 - - 56 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 56.5 - - 53.5 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.3 - - 9.8 - - 10.9 - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 54.5 - - 53.7 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.9 - - 9.3 - - 10.6 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 241 - - -7 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1895 - - 3953 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96145 22 273 26 279 25 296 7 314 96145 89096 17 327 12 294 12 274 15 337 89096 83664 16 325 7 321 9 341 13 358 83664 79134 8 007 6 318 8 319 9 001 79134 75222 13 031 12 355 10 015 5 342 75222 71748 17 029 16 352 21 003 17 011 71748 68605 16 038 14 358 20 009 19 013 68605 65715 20 013 13 347 12 008 15 014 65715 63020 28 360 15 340 14 018 17 015 63020 60407 31 357 19 350 14 004 13 003 60407 57684 28 352 25 357 19 004 15 009 57684 54862 24 350 26 001 22 007 20 015 54862 52173 23 348 23 011 25 017 24 018 52173 49748 23 355 27 019 26 021 22 024 49748 47573 29 017 32 018 30 029 26 039 47573 45606 39 018 37 018 37 028 31 044 45606 43813 45 018 41 020 42 030 33 047 43813 42168 54 024 43 023 47 037 38 048 42168 40649 56 026 42 026 50 042 41 046 40649 39233 52 029 43 037 51 043 40 043 39233 37903 51 037 46 044 49 038 39 041 37903 36625 55 046 45 046 44 034 40 039 36625 35339 55 048 40 041 37 031 38 035 35339 34018 49 041 32 034 36 029 35 030 34018 32668 48 035 24 030 37 026 34 026 32668 31278 47 033 22 028 35 021 33 024 31278 29838 47 033 25 035 32 016 31 023 29838 28351 46 034 27 042 29 014 28 023 28351 26819 38 034 29 044 28 015 25 023 26819 25246 27 028 31 041 27 018 22 019 25246 23637 19 018 32 037 27 018 22 014 23637 21986 22 017 32 032 27 020 23 019 21986 20290 25 015 34 030 29 026 24 028 20290 18581 28 018 34 033 29 035 24 035 18581 16948 30 022 32 038 26 045 22 042 16948 15467 29 026 29 042 23 054 19 048 15467 14148 26 030 26 046 19 064 15 051 14148 12965 24 033 23 049 17 069 12 051 12965 11899 22 035 19 050 14 070 10 052 11899 10938 20 038 16 048 12 065 10 053 10938 10073 20 042 15*047 12 052 11 049 10073 9297 20 045 15*046 13 041 13 041 9297 8601 19 047 15 043 13 037 15 037 8601 7968 19*045 15 042 13 035 19 038 7968 7401 18*042 14 043 13 034 21 039 7401 6921 18 041 14 044 13 034 21 038 6921 6548 18 041 13 044 12 035 20 032 6548 6290 16 042 12 045 11 035 15 025 6290 6133 15 043 12 046 10*035 11*022 6133 6043 13 043 10 047 8*035 6*019 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography