DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.3 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 353 - - 64 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1880 - - 3373 - - 2757 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6994 - - 8146 - - 6703 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7748 - - 9241 - - 8625 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1180 - - 1704 - - 2624 - - 1642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 358 - - 448 - - 238 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 200 - - 207 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 11 - - 14 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2882 - - -4450 - - -5667 - - -5815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10631 - - 13692 - - 14293 - - 11858 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9090 - - -10014 - - -11328 - - -12353 ODpotential blCL - - - 16838 - - 19255 - - 19953 - - 18396 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 31 - - 68 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.3 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.5 - - 16.7 - - 13.7 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 53.4 - - 54.6 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.3 - - 16.3 - - 13.3 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 353 - - 64 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1880 - - 3373 - - 2757 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96278 25 279 26 266 25 298 24 276 96278 89105 14 253 18 258 26 269 27 298 89105 83636 11 266 13 276 20 272 20 308 83636 79129 10 270 13 275 17 293 17 331 79129 75265 9 265 16 265 20 290 20 326 75265 71870 13 291 19 276 20 281 17 288 71870 68785 24 295 25 284 21 282 13 277 68785 65919 29 287 30 277 26 288 23 266 65919 63245 35 276 37 269 33 273 29 273 63245 60627 42 267 43 269 41 272 40 275 60627 57863 51 268 53 269 51 270 52 272 57863 54973 60 266 61 266 60 267 64 266 54973 52195 65 265 66 265 64 266 67 260 52195 49681 69 266 70 265 64 266 59 256 49681 47414 74 269 71 263 60 266 48 260 47414 45345 71 271 61 263 58 265 49 268 45345 43443 64 272 52 268 54 264 55 271 43443 41692 58 273 52 270 51 267 59 271 41692 40080 54 276 50 271 50 269 59 267 40080 38593 48 276 48 271 49 266 52 263 38593 37227 41 276 47 268 44 266 53 261 37227 35942 36 276 37 262 39 271 55 260 35942 34668 25 283 32 261 36 275 52 258 34668 33367 23 282 29 252 35 276 48 259 33367 32040 21 278 25 249 37 281 46 260 32040 30676 20 276 23 249 33 273 44 258 30676 29268 19 282 24 249 29 251 42 255 29268 27818 20 288 24 249 27 244 38 254 27818 26327 21 289 24 250 26 244 35 252 26327 24799 21 287 25 253 27 245 33 247 24799 23240 21 285 24 253 28 245 32 241 23240 21645 17 285 21 251 26 245 30 237 21645 20007 12 282 17 247 26 245 29 241 20007 18353 10 272 17 239 25 245 28 252 18353 16768 11 264 17 237 23 244 27 260 16768 15327 12 259 18 233 21 244 27 260 15327 14040 10 252 18 225 19 246 27 252 14040 12886 8 239 17 219 19 245 27 239 12886 11846 7 220 16 217 18 242 27 229 11846 10905 8 200 15 216 16 239 26 225 10905 10055 9 189 12 215 13 234 24 223 10055 9290 10 185 9*211 10*225 21 218 9290 8599 9 187 6*206 9*213 18 211 8599 7970 7*185 6 202 8 208 14 204 7970 7404 6*183 6 201 8 207 10 191 7404 6924 6 181 6 198 8 205 8 170 6924 6551 6 181 5 196 8 204 6 158 6551 6292 6 180 5 194 8 204 5 154 6292 6134 6 178 5 194 8 203 3*135 6134 6043 6 179 5 194 7 203 2*116 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography