DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.0 - - 71.6 - - 74.4 - - 73.0 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 351 - - 405 - - 94 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 5018 - - 6952 - - 5051 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 9427 - - 11026 - - 8720 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 10886 - - 12820 - - 10919 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 961 - - 3450 - - 3279 - - 4765 - - 5102 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 511 - - 597 - - 331 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 34 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 189 - - 206 - - 207 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 10 - - 19 - - 12 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10712 - - -8093 - - -4994 - - -6330 - - -8241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16755 - - 18980 - - 17815 - - 17250 - - 14286 sfcLCL ODpotential -17549 - - -12479 - - -8042 - - -9621 - - -12211 ODpotential blCL 23592 - - 23365 - - 20862 - - 20540 - - 18255 blCL maxRH 50 - - 47 - - 57 - - 45 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.0 - - 71.6 - - 74.4 - - 73.0 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.2 - - 8.7 - - 16.7 - - 18.1 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 69.2 - - 71.6 - - 71.9 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.8 - - 8.0 - - 16.2 - - 17.6 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 351 - - 405 - - 94 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 5018 - - 6952 - - 5051 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96472 32 280 42 274 43 284 34 277 48 293 96472 89260 34 276 27 282 27 286 27 279 32 289 89260 83743 31 286 27 284 20 282 30 299 25 295 83743 79172 20 308 22 282 19 281 34 302 30 311 79172 75249 13 315 16 270 24 278 33 292 36 315 75249 71793 17 320 6 282 21 278 26 284 30 309 71793 68664 29 305 12 299 16 277 19 274 27 297 68664 65790 29 289 21 287 21 279 20 289 23 284 65790 63137 32 282 25 284 25 276 22 292 20 279 63137 60581 35 276 31 289 28 282 25 291 22 280 60581 57921 36 268 34 280 30 282 28 289 27 284 57921 55154 36 268 34 274 34 279 33 283 33 286 55154 52490 39 270 38 274 39 275 37 279 37 283 52490 50067 42 271 40 272 43 271 41 275 41 279 50067 47870 43 273 41 272 43 268 42 273 43 274 47870 45856 48 271 44 272 42 269 44 271 45 270 45856 44007 52 263 51 265 47 266 44 269 45 262 44007 42314 49 257 55 258 53 260 45 265 42 258 42314 40761 47 258 58 250 59 247 52 256 42 265 40761 39316 47 263 59 247 62 247 57 253 48 260 39316 37966 55 266 58 251 64 249 59 253 45 255 37966 36680 59 263 60 256 61 251 55 256 41 260 36680 35391 57 260 60 259 57 253 51 258 42 263 35391 34071 52 261 55 260 52 256 46 259 42 258 34071 32721 48 267 49 260 48 258 41 262 39 255 32721 31332 48 268 47 261 45 259 41 259 36 259 31332 29894 48 262 47 258 45 257 44 255 38 258 29894 28410 48 259 49 257 46 259 44 259 41 261 28410 26886 44 263 46 262 43 268 37 270 38 270 26886 25326 37 274 39 270 35 275 30 271 30 274 25326 23732 34 281 32 279 29 277 27 265 27 268 23732 22099 33 281 27 285 24 276 24 261 26 266 22099 20424 30 279 23 288 20 273 21 264 23 266 20424 18735 24 280 19 289 16 272 17 266 20 259 18735 17115 18 289 15 286 13 271 14 255 21 247 17115 15638 13 297 11 274 10 262 12 240 18 244 15638 14313 10 293 10 251 8 254 11 231 12 228 14313 13122 9 281 11 228 7*246 10 226 10 200 13122 12045 8 270 9 231 7*240 8 219 11 179 12045 11070 7 257 4*246 7 227 7*214 13 169 11070 10191 6 256 2*245 7 219 7*212 16 165 10191 9400 3 272 2 228 8 207 7 209 20 162 9400 8687 3 008 2 199 9 201 7 207 22 160 8687 8037 8 034 3 185 9 198 7 206 23 159 8037 7452 13 038 3 179 9 195 7 206 21 159 7452 6956 16 035 4 176 10 194 7 205 18 157 6956 6570 14 028 4 175 10 193 7 205 15 156 6570 6302 10 019 4 174 10 192 7 205 11 151 6302 6138 8 016 4 174 9 192 7 204 9*145 6138 6044 4*010 4 172 9 191 6 204 7*141 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography