DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 78.5 - - 84.9 - - 81.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 122 - - 480 - - 390 - - 77 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1269 - - 3734 - - 6727 - - 2465 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6168 - - 8521 - - 10846 - - 6815 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 7137 - - 9602 - - 12595 - - 8333 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 921 - - 1482 - - 5051 - - 5514 - - 2981 Hgt.Variab. W* 230 - - 514 - - 591 - - 254 - - 28 W* B/S 12 - - 28 - - 48 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 186 - - 168 - - 209 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 10 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -469 - - -1095 - - 304 - - -2284 - - -3153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7606 - - 10698 - - 12291 - - 10617 - - 9198 sfcLCL ODpotential -5689 - - -3533 - - -1478 - - -4941 - - -6899 ODpotential blCL 12826 - - 13135 - - 14073 - - 13274 - - 12944 blCL maxRH 79 - - 72 - - 85 - - 96 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 360 - - 770 - - 1240 - - 1050 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 78.5 - - 84.9 - - 81.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.1 - - 52.1 - - 51.5 - - 55.4 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.8 - - 75.4 - - 82.2 - - 80.6 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.7 - - 51.9 - - 50.7 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 122 - - 480 - - 390 - - 77 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1269 - - 3734 - - 6727 - - 2465 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 40 - - 85 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99468 51 101 42 102 44 104 30 108 33 097 99468 91921 36 089 38 090 36 114 29 103 33 089 91921 86145 30 103 30 098 32 110 24 101 28 101 86145 81344 36 105 27 118 28 099 28 096 26 103 81344 77195 34 092 31 123 23 104 25 103 26 089 77195 73547 23 081 29 112 23 113 20 109 26 088 73547 70266 15 091 24 092 25 111 15 103 24 100 70266 67268 12 109 17 086 23 098 13 107 15 102 67268 64504 14 115 8 105 14 088 14 107 11 105 64504 61840 18 112 11 135 7 109 9 086 15 094 61840 59086 16 102 17 123 10 142 5 094 8 097 59086 56255 2 154 15 128 14 157 10 154 6 157 56255 53571 11 190 8 183 14 167 11 183 6 160 53571 51165 19 152 12 196 14 170 12 204 4 188 51165 49005 17 144 13 163 13 178 14 184 8 198 49005 47025 13 144 13 141 13 175 13 171 9 196 47025 45193 11 134 14 134 12 143 8 158 7 204 45193 43487 3 096 14 131 9 124 5 137 4 182 43487 41890 2 000 6 094 6 083 3 084 4 352 41890 40394 5 012 9 042 11 067 7 056 10 008 40394 38990 8 016 14 015 17 057 13 061 12 027 38990 37645 14 016 14 011 16 027 14 038 14 026 37645 36293 16 021 14 012 15 009 15 013 15 007 36293 34909 13 027 11 011 14 356 15 360 17 001 34909 33500 15 047 10 020 14 003 14 001 17 010 33500 32053 15 057 12 027 15 020 12 029 16 031 32053 30557 14 038 15 032 17 030 14 042 14 041 30557 29018 15 018 20 032 19 035 18 047 14 055 29018 27438 17 024 21 034 20 044 19 047 15 064 27438 25824 19 029 18 035 16 043 18 046 17 066 25824 24180 15 026 17 030 16 044 15 049 17 065 24180 22499 11 026 18 024 16 047 12 060 16 063 22499 20774 7 036 15 030 15 049 13 070 14 056 20774 19037 8 054 15 051 14 051 19 072 13 063 19037 17376 10 058 18 061 13 054 20 067 13 057 17376 15868 9 049 14 065 12 054 18 056 12 035 15868 14515 8 012 11 066 10 053 15 043 11 010 14515 13297 10 358 11 057 6*051 11 027 9 336 13297 12195 11 350 12 048 3*057 6 003 7 299 12195 11197 10 341 11 043 2 066 4 306 5 260 11197 10297 8 330 6*041 1 139 5 246 5 206 10297 9487 5 311 1*124 2 174 7 223 8 176 9487 8756 2 249 2 180 3 180 9*211 10 165 8756 8090 5 175 3 187 4 183 9*208 14 161 8090 7490 6*172 4 189 4 184 9 208 16 160 7490 6981 4*177 4 189 4 184 8 209 17 162 6981 6585 4 179 5 189 5 183 8 210 16 162 6585 6310 3 179 5 190 5 183 7 210 13 162 6310 6142 3 178 5 189 5 184 7 211 11*162 6142 6045 3 180 5 189 5 183 6 211 7*159 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography