DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 45.3 - - 52.3 - - 51.4 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 181 - - 215 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1256 - - 2083 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6370 - - 7019 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7124 - - 7951 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 918 - - 768 - - 1564 - - 2864 - - 995 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 258 - - 323 - - 33 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 24 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 180 - - 188 - - 219 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 3 - - 10 - - 5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4452 - - -4808 - - -5862 - - -8088 - - -5946 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10495 - - 11932 - - 13814 - - 14131 - - 11990 sfcLCL ODpotential -14523 - - -11885 - - -11847 - - -13662 - - -12797 ODpotential blCL 20565 - - 19009 - - 19798 - - 19705 - - 18840 blCL maxRH 89 - - 93 - - 87 - - 73 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 45.3 - - 52.3 - - 51.4 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.0 - - 14.7 - - 13.1 - - 10.9 - - 12.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.2 - - 43.7 - - 50.6 - - 51.2 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.8 - - 14.4 - - 12.8 - - 10.6 - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 181 - - 215 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1256 - - 2083 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 72 - - 47 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96374 10 215 17 272 10 315 10 282 13 250 96374 89245 10 068 6 146 8 291 9 326 8 027 89245 83751 7 041 10 086 3 298 6 355 6 043 83751 79204 1 295 12 048 3 009 6 349 9 042 79204 75277 5 057 8 041 4 003 4 312 11 354 75277 71795 10 049 2 125 4 339 3 223 10 311 71795 68650 4 014 4 229 6 334 2 206 7 275 68650 65765 2 126 6 213 4 293 2 252 5 254 65765 63089 2 135 8 197 7 201 6 273 9 241 63089 60494 4 242 7 195 10 208 13 254 13 226 60494 57784 9 229 14 225 14 237 15 267 14 242 57784 54966 19 217 20 236 19 248 26 256 28 248 54966 52268 21 220 25 248 27 247 28 241 29 234 52268 49827 26 229 27 248 31 254 27 246 30 237 49827 47612 25 237 29 242 35 244 35 240 37 240 47612 45573 32 250 33 233 37 233 39 233 41 240 45573 43686 35 237 35 233 40 230 36 230 41 235 43686 41938 34 224 43 226 43 227 36 228 41 228 41938 40321 32 211 46 212 47 221 49 222 46 227 40321 38829 39 196 43 206 49 217 52 221 53 228 38829 37455 47 173 47 208 57 218 57 223 60 227 37455 36159 52 165 53 206 65 215 64 221 66 225 36159 34873 50 170 58 209 71 214 67 222 71 226 34873 33564 46 177 61 211 73 215 70 222 69 227 33564 32233 41 182 58 210 69 219 66 224 64 227 32233 30864 38 182 55 211 61 219 59 228 59 225 30864 29448 36 178 51 213 51 217 52 228 56 222 29448 27987 36 177 46 212 47 210 45 223 52 220 27987 26484 36 182 43 208 44 205 43 217 49 222 26484 24943 36 182 39 203 41 203 44 216 46 223 24943 23369 41 176 35 206 39 207 41 219 38 221 23369 21758 36 176 28 206 33 219 31 223 28 220 21758 20103 28 177 29 198 26 217 22 224 21 214 20103 18431 24 184 29 200 25 212 20 220 23 211 18431 16830 22 196 20 204 22 215 20 226 23 215 16830 15375 17 206 13 209 15 203 16 231 17 219 15375 14079 16 211 13 218 13 198 11 223 11 219 14079 12916 15 206 14 223 12 215 9 227 10 220 12916 11867 13 198 13 219 11 225 9 249 10 227 11867 10918 12 190 11 213 10 221 9 264 10 245 10918 10061 12 184 9 211 9 213 7 271 10 263 10061 9291 13 180 8 208 8 209 5 268 8 273 9291 8598 14 175 7 197 6 200 3 251 6 278 8598 7967 14 170 7 177 5*193 3 238 4 278 7967 7401 12 165 5*167 5*190 3 234 3 283 7401 6922 9 160 2*174 5 188 3 227 2 306 6922 6550 3 145 2 180 5 187 3 224 2 328 6550 6291 1 023 2 181 5 186 3 223 2 334 6291 6133 4*003 2 182 5 185 3*222 3*352 6133 6043 4*359 2 182 5 185 3*219 3*355 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography