DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1603z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.9 - - 74.8 - - 81.0 - - 80.6 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 435 - - 435 - - 124 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 6264 - - 9864 - - 9923 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 10501 - - 13424 - - 12600 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 12132 - - 15732 - - 15791 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1703 - - 1823 - - 1230 - - 1722 - - 3174 Hgt.Variab. W* 87 - - 590 - - 686 - - 453 - - 0 W* B/S 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 16 - - 18 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 231 - - 222 - - 217 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 20 - - 25 - - 23 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2979 - - 80 - - 1707 - - 1388 - - -6623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9023 - - 12052 - - 14026 - - 14404 - - 12669 sfcLCL ODpotential -6725 - - -3317 - - 472 - - 152 - - -9399 ODpotential blCL 12769 - - 15449 - - 15260 - - 15639 - - 15444 blCL maxRH 57 - - 61 - - 70 - - 84 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 30 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 63.9 - - 74.8 - - 81.0 - - 80.6 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 42.6 - - 40.0 - - 38.1 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.3 - - 71.9 - - 78.2 - - 79.5 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.6 - - 42.4 - - 39.9 - - 38.0 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 435 - - 435 - - 124 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 6264 - - 9864 - - 9923 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99031 15 126 13 118 12 143 9 132 4 032 99031 91582 17 112 16 108 14 123 6 135 12 113 91582 85822 18 090 11 103 17 113 6 157 10 100 85822 81045 13 090 11 109 11 102 7 109 13 104 81045 76932 13 096 13 097 11 097 14 097 12 100 76932 73311 10 084 14 109 10 131 14 093 11 102 73311 70032 11 098 6 098 12 121 11 100 11 055 70032 67014 1 011 6 157 4 161 11 084 9 113 67014 64220 11 159 15 187 10 195 5 255 5 134 64220 61525 8 322 8 231 10 196 9 200 11 208 61525 58751 27 251 13 277 6 227 13 224 12 225 58751 55897 38 235 31 247 22 248 17 246 21 244 55897 53169 40 241 39 239 30 248 36 240 31 241 53169 50715 44 249 40 240 42 245 41 242 42 242 50715 48519 52 250 42 243 49 241 49 243 46 244 48519 46532 57 247 42 245 49 241 57 242 52 248 46532 44713 56 242 46 243 49 243 62 242 58 248 44713 43030 48 237 47 238 49 242 62 242 59 248 43030 41457 40 239 41 235 47 240 58 241 58 248 41457 39981 36 239 38 240 44 242 53 241 55 244 39981 38596 32 237 37 241 43 245 48 241 49 240 38596 37273 31 238 33 237 42 244 45 240 46 239 37273 35948 29 240 28 231 40 241 42 237 44 238 35948 34592 28 243 25 226 38 239 41 236 41 237 34592 33208 27 245 25 220 34 239 39 240 38 236 33208 31785 26 248 25 213 32 235 36 245 36 238 31785 30314 26 247 26 206 32 231 34 250 35 243 30314 28798 24 237 27 203 29 231 32 252 34 249 28798 27239 24 228 26 210 26 238 30 253 33 253 27239 25641 24 235 23 231 24 239 28 250 33 253 25641 24009 24 247 21 236 25 238 29 244 33 249 24009 22340 22 253 20 236 30 236 33 239 34 241 22340 20627 21 253 23 239 35 233 36 234 35 235 20627 18904 24 246 31 238 38 231 36 232 32 229 18904 17261 28 236 35 234 32*230 27*227 26 220 17261 15772 28 231 34 233 24*228 22*223 23 216 15772 14438 28 232 31 236 21 226 21 222 22 217 14438 13234 29 237 28*241 20 225 21 221 22 218 13234 12145 31 242 21*241 19 225 19 219 21 218 12145 11158 31 245 19 238 19 223 18 217 20 217 11158 10266 30 245 18 237 18 222 17 215 19 215 10266 9462 27 245 16 232 17 220 16 214 18 212 9462 8737 23 244 15 229 17 219 15 213 17 207 8737 8075 19 242 15 227 17 217 15 211 16 201 8075 7479 14 233 14 224 16 216 14 211 15 194 7479 6974 10 222 14 222 16 215 14 210 15 185 6974 6581 7 216 13 221 15 215 14 209 13 177 6581 6307 3 202 13 220 15 214 13 209 10 168 6307 6140 2*201 12 219 14 214 13 209 7*155 6140 6045 2*201 11 219 13 213 11 208 4*144 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography