DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.5 - - 33.4 - - 41.1 - - 39.8 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 153 - - 202 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1059 - - 1546 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6118 - - 6617 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 6927 - - 7414 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 485 - - 490 - - 738 - - 1924 - - 1050 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 230 - - 287 - - 15 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 156 - - 188 - - 226 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 4 - - 12 - - 6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5049 - - -4615 - - -6347 - - -7598 - - -6098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11091 - - 11543 - - 13762 - - 13641 - - 12140 sfcLCL ODpotential -17378 - - -14189 - - -13988 - - -15810 - - -15056 ODpotential blCL 23419 - - 21116 - - 21402 - - 21852 - - 21098 blCL maxRH 93 - - 83 - - 72 - - 54 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.5 - - 33.4 - - 41.1 - - 39.8 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.5 - - 4.9 - - 2.6 - - 1.7 - - 1.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.7 - - 32.2 - - 39.6 - - 40.3 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.7 - - 4.7 - - 2.1 - - 1.3 - - 1.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 153 - - 202 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1059 - - 1546 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95562 74 284 61 283 67 277 69 283 80 284 95562 88578 62 303 52 308 46 304 52 295 49 295 88578 83162 55 308 51 314 50 301 47 305 40 308 83162 78599 50 309 44 319 47 302 48 308 47 318 78599 74661 50 316 42 317 39 301 46 306 49 326 74661 71193 51 316 42 316 40 306 41 311 47 318 71193 68077 45 308 41 311 39 314 43 314 44 308 68077 65231 41 306 43 304 43 315 44 311 41 300 65231 62596 43 302 45 298 43 312 41 313 37 292 62596 60031 46 291 48 288 43 306 41 311 35 287 60031 57327 48 282 47 287 44 299 45 297 39 294 57327 54488 53 279 54 282 46 288 48 289 49 293 54488 51758 56 278 57 271 52 274 52 282 51 289 51758 49285 60 276 59 268 56 271 56 281 59 288 49285 47058 62 275 60 273 60 275 68 281 70 282 47058 45035 65 273 68 276 65 277 74 278 71 279 45035 43182 64 270 70 271 69 278 73 279 70 281 43182 41467 63 271 68 265 72 277 76 279 73 283 41467 39872 63 273 72 266 78 267 83 275 82 281 39872 38393 57 272 76 265 87 262 90 272 93 278 38393 37024 48 273 72 262 88 260 96 271 98 276 37024 35732 47 278 70 261 91 256 105 270 95 278 35732 34454 41 280 71 261 92 255 110 270 86 277 34454 33162 36 269 69 259 87 257 101 270 75 276 33162 31847 37 258 67 259 83 259 83 267 74 284 31847 30493 42 251 66 260 82 263 68 269 76 291 30493 29093 43 251 64 261 77 265 63 278 76 293 29093 27648 45 256 61 260 73 264 64 291 73 293 27648 26162 46 256 54 255 68 265 71 297 69 295 26162 24637 44 254 49 250 63 265 74 297 67 298 24637 23077 39 253 47 250 57 267 75 296 68 301 23077 21478 37 253 44 253 53 268 74 297 68 302 21478 19836 36 253 40 257 50 268 69 299 68 302 19836 18182 34 255 38 260 48 267 58 297 66 304 18182 16604 32 259 35 262 44 267 45 290 58 307 16604 15176 28 265 32 266 40 268 41 283 48 309 15176 13903 25 270 28 267 36 271 41 287 39 309 13903 12762 22 271 25 267 32 274 39 296 33 308 12762 11734 19 270 22 264 30 277 37 302 30 310 11734 10804 16 264 21 258 28 277 34 303 29 318 10804 9967 13 253 19 251 24 274 30 301 29 329 9967 9215 10 238 17 241 20 271 25 297 29 339 9215 8539 8 219 15 229 14 268 20 292 26 346 8539 7923 6 195 11 210 8*254 15 285 26 348 7923 7370 5 171 7*186 5*199 11 273 23 347 7370 6901 5 144 4*165 6 189 8 256 17 346 6901 6538 4 118 3 155 6 186 7 240 11 346 6538 6285 5 095 3 152 6 184 7 231 7 352 6285 6131 5*072 3 152 6 184 6*227 4*360 6131 6042 5*063 3 151 5 183 5*226 3*006 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography