DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 43.9 - - 43.8 - - 43.9 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 57 - - 34 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2078 - - 174 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7946 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2381 - - 2488 - - 4612 - - 4108 - - 1872 Hgt.Variab. W* 43 - - 222 - - 82 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 9 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 267 - - 250 - - 221 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1904 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -684 - - 94 - - -1085 - - -1508 - - -2043 ODpotential blCL 6726 - - 7852 - - 7127 - - 7550 - - 8086 blCL maxRH 98 - - 99 - - 99 - - 95 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 180 - - 240 - - 260 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 43.9 - - 43.8 - - 43.9 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.9 - - 38.4 - - 39.2 - - 40.9 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.6 - - 43.2 - - 43.2 - - 44.6 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.5 - - 37.2 - - 38.0 - - 39.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 57 - - 34 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2078 - - 174 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 98 - - 96 - - 80 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96315 35 274 41 281 44 265 36 262 48 271 96315 89172 19 305 20 269 30 276 27 287 24 296 89172 83709 16 338 15 288 19 277 26 283 23 315 83709 79177 15 309 21 309 13 314 21 284 20 301 79177 75263 16 307 23 302 11 327 13 312 12 314 75263 71799 19 302 18 299 12 301 18 315 15 336 71799 68658 22 302 15 320 15 300 16 318 16 326 68658 65756 22 297 20 330 22 314 18 332 19 319 65756 63044 22 305 25 323 25 306 25 308 27 303 63044 60408 30 311 26 315 28 307 28 310 30 301 60408 57657 38 299 30 305 36 305 29 315 26 306 57657 54793 36 291 37 302 39 304 34 324 33 331 54793 52056 35 299 41 302 47 313 46 328 52 332 52056 49597 41 303 46 303 56 317 60 324 63 330 49597 47393 46 301 52 304 62 315 68 322 72 323 47393 45395 48 298 53 305 64 316 72 320 68 322 45395 43563 48 297 52 309 68 315 75 323 72 331 43563 41860 46 297 55 312 76 316 83 326 88 326 41860 40277 42 297 60 312 80 317 91 325 92 315 40277 38810 41 297 62 308 82 318 93 322 86 317 38810 37444 40 293 59 307 81 319 92 322 93 333 37444 36142 37 286 53 306 81 319 91 323 100 336 36142 34836 33 278 48 305 79 319 93 326 101 332 34836 33497 25 267 41 301 76 319 94 329 102 331 33497 32131 16 241 34 296 72 319 91 331 101 333 32131 30726 16 170 30 291 65 316 87 333 100 334 30726 29277 22 161 25 262 55 315 79 333 97 334 29277 27790 19 157 24 214 42 320 65 333 95 336 27790 26267 12 157 29 164 30 323 54 329 89 336 26267 24711 9 171 30 163 17 301 45 324 82 335 24711 23127 11 189 26 181 14 242 28 318 71 334 23127 21512 15 206 15 188 11 252 13 317 53 331 21512 19866 17 210 11 210 12 248 10 338 33 325 19866 18219 18 216 15 237 14 251 12 344 15 324 18219 16650 21 232 19 255 14 267 12 335 8 354 16650 15225 22 247 20 267 14 281 12 326 7 006 15225 13950 24 260 20 274 13 285 12 328 7 353 13950 12806 24 267 20 276 12 288 11 329 7 331 12806 11775 25 270 21 277 12 293 10 329 6 325 11775 10845 25 271 23 277 12 294 10 330 6 343 10845 10005 25 270 23 278 13 288 10 328 4 338 10005 9249 25 267 22 278 13 283 10 324 4 339 9249 8568 25 263 21*277 13 279 10 318 4 350 8568 7947 24 261 20*275 13 272 9 311 6 002 7947 7387 21 259 17 270 13 265 8 300 7 006 7387 6914 17 257 15 265 12 259 7 287 8 005 6914 6545 13 256 14 262 12 255 6 269 6 004 6545 6289 10 254 13 261 11 253 5 248 3 011 6289 6132 8 252 12 259 10 251 4 231 3*023 6132 6043 6*250 10 258 9*250 3*221 3*020 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography