DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 51.8 - - 54.8 - - 49.7 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 49 - - 34 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1105 - - 2119 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6973 - - 7987 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 218 - - 2124 - - 2283 - - 2120 - - 380 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 175 - - 200 - - 14 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 004 - - 033 - - 028 - - 308 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -9 - - -7 - - -4 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -194 - - -500 - - -58 - - -244 - - -304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6237 - - 7474 - - 8046 - - 6287 - - 6347 sfcLCL ODpotential -6433 - - -3777 - - -4423 - - -4146 - - -8060 ODpotential blCL 12476 - - 10750 - - 12410 - - 10189 - - 14103 blCL maxRH 61 - - 62 - - 60 - - 64 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 51.8 - - 54.8 - - 49.7 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 40.1 - - 40.5 - - 43.0 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 - - 51.1 - - 54.3 - - 51.9 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.4 - - 38.8 - - 39.3 - - 41.8 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 49 - - 34 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1105 - - 2119 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96305 53 279 62 263 67 279 64 280 57 285 96305 89271 37 283 36 266 43 281 34 283 29 288 89271 83832 25 287 23 294 21 287 18 292 18 288 83832 79294 11 277 16 286 15 283 16 316 16 287 79294 75372 8 280 7 272 18 259 15 312 17 293 75372 71909 14 294 9 300 21 262 20 283 17 300 71909 68772 15 297 10 294 16 258 20 271 19 309 68772 65884 19 311 18 323 14 300 23 296 20 308 65884 63201 22 309 20 310 13 312 23 286 13 297 63201 60588 20 298 14 312 17 342 27 314 15 334 60588 57870 23 330 25 327 29 326 30 307 27 319 57870 55076 26 329 25 309 25 306 24 300 28 305 55076 52419 17 357 15 284 15 291 17 321 23 311 52419 50019 29 018 15 327 18 328 21 342 28 324 50019 47856 46 359 35 344 34 331 31 329 33 321 47856 45885 55 347 48 345 38 336 30 316 29 312 45885 44072 48 358 43 357 31 342 22 329 21 317 44072 42390 53 017 48 016 33 356 27 000 25 343 42390 40819 64 021 59 015 44 002 40 360 38 345 40819 39349 68 021 65 015 58 002 51 357 45 345 39349 37974 65 025 59 019 63 004 55 358 40 354 37974 36665 59 031 52 024 54 007 55 001 38 001 36665 35359 55 037 45 028 42 011 42 005 36 360 35359 34028 48 036 41 036 38 015 33 009 29 357 34028 32674 41 037 42 047 35 021 29 011 25 356 32674 31283 38 039 39 052 29 032 26 011 26 001 31283 29845 36 041 33 048 25 041 26 007 27 011 29845 28364 36 044 29 042 23 036 28 006 26 015 28364 26839 36 047 28 041 23 031 24 011 26 019 26839 25273 37 048 28 044 22 036 17 018 23 024 25273 23672 37 048 28 047 21 045 13 031 18 015 23672 22032 37 045 28 048 22 050 14 041 15 011 22032 20347 35 044 28 048 23 053 15 050 14 022 20347 18647 33 046 28 050 24 058 16 057 13 040 18647 17014 29 052 27 056 24 062 16 060 11 056 17014 15526 23 054 25 059 23 062 17 061 11 064 15526 14196 18 047 21 055 21 058 18 062 11 065 14196 13004 14 043 16 047 18 054 17 064 11 064 13004 11933 10 042 11 043 14 051 14 065 10 066 11933 10968 7 042 8 045 12 053 12 070 9 069 10968 10101 6 039 9 046 10 051 10 073 7 077 10101 9323 6 034 10 041 10 042 10 066 7 083 9323 8624 8 035 12 037 10*033 10 056 8 069 8624 7987 10 038 13 031 9*029 11 044 9 061 7987 7414 13 038 11*029 7 028 10 031 11 047 7414 6930 15 035 9*030 6 028 10 018 12 034 6930 6554 14 026 7 032 5 028 8 009 11 019 6554 6293 11 019 6 035 5 030 5 359 9 003 6293 6134 7*014 5 037 4 030 3*346 5*346 6134 6043 3*004 4 041 4 031 2*308 4*335 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography