DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 84.5 - - 82.9 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 576 - - 579 - - 251 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8417 - - 11882 - - 11323 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12373 - - 15246 - - 14283 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14285 - - 17750 - - 17191 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1163 - - 1274 - - 1552 - - 10480 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 717 - - 806 - - 601 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 35 - - 34 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 228 - - 233 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 18 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 37 - - 40 - - 33 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3438 - - -3353 - - -2921 - - -12169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17724 - - 21104 - - 20113 - - 18214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9304 - - -7877 - - -7367 - - -17669 ODpotential blCL - - - 23589 - - 25627 - - 24558 - - 23713 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 34 - - 35 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 84.5 - - 82.9 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.6 - - 10.9 - - 14.1 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 81.7 - - 81.2 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 10.8 - - 14.1 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 576 - - 579 - - 251 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8417 - - 11882 - - 11323 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99084 33 101 30 101 20 098 21 077 99084 91552 23 094 24 097 22 090 24 096 91552 85759 24 093 21 091 23 099 25 086 85759 80977 24 107 13 116 20 094 17 089 80977 76873 17 102 18 116 12 096 15 093 76873 73236 14 108 10 096 16 113 14 115 73236 69949 8 087 9 093 12 102 17 130 69949 66925 3 171 5 135 3 065 9 115 66925 64113 10 151 9 186 3 354 7 083 64113 61391 9 130 8 199 8 236 4 286 61391 58555 5 289 14 219 13 231 12 222 58555 55640 1 063 10 223 15 249 24 234 55640 52890 12 239 17 232 31 241 23 247 52890 50413 32 217 31 233 34 229 22 255 50413 48181 38 226 41 253 48 258 47 257 48181 46164 48 252 58 257 70 258 67 256 46164 44331 59 258 68 260 81 259 80 257 44331 42643 70 255 76 260 88 258 88 255 42643 41069 78 250 80 258 89 255 91 252 41069 39590 80 246 80 254 88 252 91 249 39590 38203 78 243 79 249 85 248 88 247 38203 36877 74 242 79 247 82 246 85 246 36877 35550 72 243 78 246 80 244 82 245 35550 34197 72 245 78 246 77 244 77 244 34197 32820 72 246 77 245 75 243 75 243 32820 31407 72 246 76 244 74 241 74 242 31407 29949 71 244 74 242 72 240 72 241 29949 28448 69 242 73 239 70 239 71 240 28448 26909 67 240 72 237 67 239 69 240 26909 25333 65 239 71 236 65 239 65 239 25333 23727 65 240 69 237 62 238 61 240 23727 22087 64 242 66 238 58 237 58 240 22087 20405 62 244 62 239 54 236 54 239 20405 18715 60 243 55*236 46*231 46 234 18715 17102 56 242 41*229 37*230 36 228 17102 15637 50*241 38 227 36 230 33 234 15637 14325 36*234 37 227 36 231 32 238 14325 13142 31 227 36 227 36 232 32 240 13142 12071 28 224 36 227 35 233 32 240 12071 11099 28 222 35 228 35 234 32 241 11099 10220 27 221 34 228 34 235 31 241 10220 9427 27 221 34 229 34 235 31 241 9427 8712 26 220 33 229 34 236 31 242 8712 8057 26 219 32 229 33 236 30 241 8057 7467 25 219 32 229 33 236 29 240 7467 6967 25 218 31 229 32 236 27 238 6967 6577 24 218 30 229 31 236 24 235 6577 6305 23 218 29 229 30 236 20 232 6305 6140 22 217 27 229 28 236 16*230 6140 6044 19 217 23 229 23 235 10*229 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography