DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 75.8 - - 73.9 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 264 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2031 - - 5233 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7006 - - 9476 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7899 - - 11101 - - 6045 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1318 - - 6354 - - 10169 - - 1412 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 472 - - 33 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 21 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 223 - - 220 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -13 - - 6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3646 - - -3082 - - -8562 - - -6876 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11546 - - 14184 - - 14608 - - 12921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6750 - - -5239 - - -10757 - - -10924 ODpotential blCL - - - 14649 - - 16340 - - 16802 - - 16968 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 55 - - 52 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 240 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 75.8 - - 73.9 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 34.4 - - 30.8 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 73.6 - - 73.7 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 33.9 - - 30.5 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 264 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2031 - - 5233 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97625 15 307 16 299 14 293 12 330 97625 90412 4 250 9 304 15 343 11 030 90412 84802 5 069 3 327 11 344 9 008 84802 80146 10 031 6 014 3 016 10 337 80146 76146 10 031 8 034 2 071 10 343 76146 72610 6 029 7 033 7 001 11 350 72610 69411 8 015 10 022 14 358 13 352 69411 66479 13 001 15 355 18 345 21 344 66479 63775 18 352 20 341 21 336 22 341 63775 61161 23 348 22 337 22 335 23 338 61161 58439 23 347 20 331 23 326 25 330 58439 55623 20 343 20 325 24 319 28 326 55623 52938 24 341 25 329 26 318 31 321 52938 50520 28 336 30 326 30 325 34 320 50520 48343 26 343 33 324 35 327 33 319 48343 46357 30 354 33 326 38 327 31 318 46357 44523 31 356 34 328 38 326 30 316 44523 42815 27 356 31 332 35 328 29 318 42815 41214 25 358 28 341 33 331 26 323 41214 39707 26 359 26 349 32 329 24 331 39707 38294 22 359 22 357 28 330 24 332 38294 36944 18 002 21 002 22 324 24 324 36944 35597 9 356 14 349 14 341 22 320 35597 34224 2 346 6 324 13 332 12 312 34224 32835 2 260 4 274 9 327 5 303 32835 31425 3 230 4 238 4 301 4 212 31425 29982 4 218 5 229 4 273 3 191 29982 28504 3 283 4 268 4 279 6 294 28504 26984 5 312 6 297 5 292 8 292 26984 25423 3 304 4 276 6 282 6 278 25423 23824 1 236 5 206 4 258 6 245 23824 22185 3 211 5 182 7 180 8 205 22185 20505 7 212 5 200 7 153 10 164 20505 18810 8 184 6 184 7 151 11 155 18810 17183 7 163 6 177 5 155 8 162 17183 15700 6 151 6 175 4 168 5 179 15700 14370 4 159 5 171 3 191 4 198 14370 13173 6 180 4 180 2 215 3 207 13173 12091 7 193 4*207 3 227 2 216 12091 11111 8 200 4*223 3 230 2 218 11111 10225 7 193 4 226 4 232 2 213 10225 9428 6 168 4 226 4 229 2 200 9428 8709 6 152 4 227 4 228 2 184 8709 8054 5*149 4 223 5 224 2 171 8054 7464 4*153 4 223 5 223 2 146 7464 6963 4 157 5 221 5 222 2 125 6963 6574 3 158 5 218 5 221 2 114 6574 6304 3 161 5 217 5 221 2 076 6304 6139 3 162 5 216 5*220 3*036 6139 6044 3 161 4 216 4*220 4*028 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography