DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 61.5 - - 62.7 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 352 - - 73 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3057 - - 6530 - - 7792 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7710 - - 10637 - - 10537 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8925 - - 12398 - - 13660 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1731 - - 1620 - - 2695 - - 823 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 563 - - 358 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 25 - - 25 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 235 - - 243 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 26 - - 19 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1446 - - 250 - - 119 - - -4837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7479 - - 12148 - - 13541 - - 10881 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -759 - - -2604 - - -2094 - - -8379 ODpotential blCL - - - 9684 - - 15002 - - 15754 - - 14422 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 66 - - 62 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 61.5 - - 62.7 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 28.8 - - 23.9 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 59.4 - - 62.1 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 27.9 - - 23.2 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 352 - - 73 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3057 - - 6530 - - 7792 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96561 44 267 33 267 31 252 31 281 96561 89354 25 253 31 261 29 280 24 292 89354 83850 14 247 21 259 23 281 19 283 83850 79300 9 253 14 301 13 289 13 296 79300 75368 11 245 12 296 10 299 13 308 75368 71882 14 251 16 268 12 285 14 320 71882 68715 11 259 17 258 14 279 13 348 68715 65761 14 269 16 233 19 248 14 292 65761 63002 23 265 19 233 21 243 26 254 63002 60348 23 274 14 260 21 268 30 254 60348 57596 28 286 21 291 21 278 24 273 57596 54730 41 278 33 275 21 273 22 303 54730 51955 39 268 34 267 29 276 28 290 51955 49420 32 263 32 271 41 278 38 275 49420 47135 39 272 45 275 55 277 53 277 47135 45078 53 271 61 271 63 274 66 277 45078 43223 64 271 69 268 69 271 69 275 43223 41536 68 272 71 267 70 269 69 272 41536 39986 68 272 72 266 71 268 70 271 39986 38548 68 271 73 265 76 264 71 271 38548 37206 68 271 74 264 80 260 73 270 37206 35926 69 271 74 264 81 257 73 268 35926 34643 70 271 73 264 80 258 72 266 34643 33331 70 270 73 266 79 263 71 264 33331 31995 70 269 72 267 75 266 70 262 31995 30623 70 268 71 267 69 265 70 262 30623 29205 71 267 71 267 68 263 70 262 29205 27746 72 266 71 267 68 264 69 264 27746 26249 72 265 72 266 68 267 66 266 26249 24721 69 265 71 267 67 269 60 268 24721 23167 63 265 67 266 64 270 55 269 23167 21582 57 264 60 265 58 269 49 267 21582 19959 52 263 51 263 53 266 44 261 19959 18325 48 262 44 261 49 264 41 258 18325 16760 44 260 39 261 43 261 38 257 16760 15338 41 258 37 262 36 254 36 255 15338 14063 38 256 36 260 28*244 35 253 14063 12916 37 254 29*248 28*243 34 255 12916 11877 36 252 26*239 27 243 34 258 11877 10936 32 247 26 237 27 243 34 262 10936 10084 26 239 26 236 26 243 33 267 10084 9317 22*232 26 235 26 243 33 271 9317 8624 20*227 25 235 25 243 32 273 8624 7991 18 221 25 234 25 243 32 275 7991 7420 16 216 24 234 24 243 31 275 7420 6936 16 214 24 233 23 243 28 275 6936 6558 15 212 23 233 23 243 23 274 6558 6296 14 211 22 233 22 243 18 273 6296 6136 13 211 21 232 20 242 14*273 6136 6043 12 210 18 232 16 242 7*276 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography