DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 88.2 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 333 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3388 - - 6428 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8191 - - 10517 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9256 - - 12296 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2986 - - 3860 - - - - - 797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 465 - - 544 - - - - - 52 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 39 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 016 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -13 - - - - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4072 - - -653 - - - - - -1092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13328 - - 12950 - - - - - 7137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6651 - - -2422 - - - - - -5732 ODpotential blCL - - - 15907 - - 14718 - - - - - 11777 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 610 - - - - - 2450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 88.2 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 51.9 - - - - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.0 - - 85.7 - - - - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 51.9 - - - - - 63.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 333 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3388 - - 6428 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 99 - - - - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99340 40 097 37 104 36 097 99340 91813 44 097 35 104 31 096 91813 86039 38 100 33 099 25 096 86039 81257 33 098 27 097 26 090 81257 77143 27 102 23 103 25 090 77143 73527 27 110 21 110 22 094 73527 70274 24 107 22 122 20 095 70274 67300 16 093 19 122 17 094 67300 64557 8 072 9 102 13 099 64557 61914 7 140 7 148 10 116 61914 59188 7 144 8 168 6 143 59188 56404 9 153 11 175 6 172 56404 53771 16 160 19 169 16 181 53771 51406 17 163 20 168 22 183 51406 49279 17 168 16 169 21 186 49279 47332 15 185 13 184 19 189 47332 45529 15 211 16 194 14 199 45529 43842 19 226 18 203 13 214 43842 42255 19 230 20 210 14 221 42255 40758 19 226 22 208 14 220 40758 39348 21 215 24 207 13 212 39348 37995 22 208 23 206 13 211 37995 36633 23 208 20 212 12 231 36633 35238 21 208 19 217 13 244 35238 33813 18 202 18 212 13 233 33813 32346 16 195 16 203 11 214 32346 30829 14 204 12 190 9 192 30829 29270 13 204 11 167 11 192 29270 27672 12 173 11 153 11 192 27672 26038 7 149 9 157 11 195 26038 24372 2 157 6 154 10 195 24372 22670 1 094 7 153 9 199 22670 20927 8 131 7 157 8 197 20927 19171 13 121 6 119 8 193 19171 17493 14 098 7 069 4 201 17493 15969 11 084 10 057 3 249 15969 14603 8 072 12 060 3 236 14603 13371 4 055 10*061 3 214 13371 12257 2 347 7*053 2 190 12257 11249 3 290 5 043 2 141 11249 10338 4 268 3 021 3 086 10338 9519 5*249 3 009 4 064 9519 8781 5*240 2 356 6 055 8781 8107 6 235 2 345 7 049 8107 7502 6 231 2 333 8 040 7502 6989 6 228 2 318 10 031 6989 6590 6 225 2 308 12 023 6590 6312 6 222 2 305 12 015 6312 6143 6 222 2 305 10*009 6143 6045 6 221 2 302 7*005 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography