DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 56.8 - - 56.3 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 386 - - 93 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2982 - - 4170 - - 2640 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7834 - - 8796 - - 6997 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8850 - - 10038 - - 8508 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1496 - - 1772 - - 2272 - - 1763 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 424 - - 496 - - 266 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 19 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 000 - - 360 - - 353 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -30 - - -32 - - -36 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3118 - - -3326 - - -4463 - - -5055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11969 - - 13364 - - 12972 - - 11099 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9311 - - -9411 - - -11886 - - -14382 ODpotential blCL - - - 18161 - - 19449 - - 20394 - - 20425 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 73 - - 61 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 56.8 - - 56.3 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 19.2 - - 20.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 54.4 - - 55.3 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.7 - - 18.7 - - 20.3 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 386 - - 93 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2982 - - 4170 - - 2640 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96630 17 226 22 257 25 282 26 284 96630 89495 6 286 4 230 8 249 15 291 89495 83984 7 023 7 076 3 176 10 277 83984 79404 4 046 2 350 4 048 12 010 79404 75465 15 066 9 042 5 062 12 030 75465 71993 15 089 4 032 10 035 18 023 71993 68852 18 071 13 029 19 031 14 008 68852 65960 15 038 16 036 20 045 11 028 65960 63249 17 022 17 017 18 033 14 030 63249 60590 24 024 25 355 28 345 20 354 60590 57826 32 018 38 003 36 347 49 356 57826 54977 52 006 52 009 51 359 55 356 54977 52260 68 357 66 003 68 360 62 001 52260 49822 76 349 78 353 82 356 77 002 49822 47657 79 347 81 349 93 353 89 357 47657 45716 78 352 81 354 91 350 83 351 45716 43948 93 003 94 006 81 357 70 001 43948 42313 123 007 113 013 88 015 76 019 42313 40786 137 005 123 012 105 020 88 019 40786 39344 127 002 121 008 109 016 89 011 39344 37983 110 356 114 004 103 008 92 005 37983 36676 102 349 108 359 96 000 99 001 36676 35367 98 343 112 359 93 354 89 359 35367 34029 96 338 114 001 90 351 79 356 34029 32664 96 338 111 004 91 355 73 355 32664 31259 98 344 104 004 90 002 73 002 31259 29806 97 353 96 001 84 005 69 006 29806 28309 91 357 92 359 77 004 60 002 28309 26773 81 349 88 358 76 005 54 353 26773 25201 77 337 78 354 71 004 54 348 25201 23595 77 333 67 348 62 357 55 349 23595 21950 74 334 63 344 60 350 53 351 21950 20260 69 337 63 348 61 351 50 352 20260 18554 64 343 62 354 57 357 48 353 18554 16923 58 349 59 359 51 004 45 357 16923 15445 52 353 53 360 47 009 41 003 15445 14128 46 356 46 000 43 010 37 007 14128 12950 40 357 38 002 39 009 35 009 12950 11891 35 358 31 004 36 007 33 006 11891 10936 30 358 25 004 32 003 33 001 10936 10076 27 359 22*003 29 360 33 356 10076 9304 25*359 21*002 26 357 33 353 9304 8610 24*359 21 001 24*355 31 352 8610 7977 23 359 20 360 22*354 28 352 7977 7408 21 360 20 359 21 353 23 353 7408 6927 20 000 19 359 20 353 16 353 6927 6553 18 001 18 359 19 353 10 349 6553 6293 16 002 17 358 18 353 6 335 6293 6135 14 003 15 359 16 352 3*286 6135 6043 12 003 13 358 13 352 4*239 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography