DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 82.1 - - 81.7 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 452 - - 108 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5964 - - 7874 - - 7436 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10257 - - 11818 - - 10585 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11832 - - 13742 - - 13304 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2885 - - 1407 - - 2063 - - 6827 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 579 - - 644 - - 393 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 227 - - 233 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 15 - - 13 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1568 - - -2467 - - -4247 - - -10097 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13400 - - 16209 - - 17552 - - 16143 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4131 - - -6541 - - -8858 - - -16778 ODpotential blCL - - - 15963 - - 20283 - - 22162 - - 22823 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 63 - - 96 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 82.1 - - 81.7 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 31.5 - - 25.4 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 79.1 - - 80.5 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 31.4 - - 25.2 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 452 - - 108 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5964 - - 7874 - - 7436 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 84 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98856 18 117 14 124 14 084 9 114 98856 91479 16 105 16 105 9 095 15 108 91479 85745 13 120 10 095 9 124 14 076 85745 80974 15 091 11 129 8 103 10 057 80974 76869 10 091 12 141 5 059 11 065 76869 73261 12 108 9 128 4 109 8 049 73261 70012 8 087 13 092 12 118 4 130 70012 67021 8 175 2 068 4 052 5 058 67021 64247 8 154 9 129 14 136 13 176 64247 61580 4 221 16 225 4 256 8 143 61580 58822 17 230 25 217 19 240 20 239 58822 56000 28 226 31 231 33 230 29 238 56000 53346 33 246 40 241 37 250 43 261 53346 50973 47 247 48 235 52 251 49 255 50973 48830 54 255 46 246 50 254 49 255 48830 46856 67 257 57 257 54 257 51 255 46856 45026 73 254 66 254 60 254 56 256 45026 43319 74 249 69 247 66 248 61 254 43319 41720 74 246 71 243 69 245 65 250 41720 40213 69 243 69 243 71 244 67 246 40213 38797 61 237 64 241 70 245 68 249 38797 37445 59 229 61 236 66 244 64 251 37445 36095 60 221 61 233 61 243 57 250 36095 34721 58 220 56 231 59 242 56 247 34721 33326 54 223 50 228 57 240 54 242 33326 31892 49 226 47 225 52 238 51 237 31892 30407 44 230 43 228 46 239 46 241 30407 28883 39 231 38 231 42 242 37 244 28883 27323 35 230 34 232 36 244 31 241 27323 25723 32 229 31 229 29 241 27 239 25723 24087 29 227 29 226 24 237 21 238 24087 22411 27 227 27 231 21 237 17 240 22411 20691 21 232 23 238 18 245 14 243 20691 18959 16 237 17 243 15 252 11 249 18959 17300 15 223 11 245 13 258 10 251 17300 15793 15 215 10 247 10 254 10 248 15793 14446 16 217 10*241 9*245 12 241 14446 13236 17 213 10*236 9*242 13 237 13236 12144 17*212 10 234 9 241 13 236 12144 11156 15*217 10 232 9 240 11 238 11156 10263 13 222 10 230 9 236 10 241 10263 9459 10 225 10 227 9 233 9 243 9459 8734 9 222 10 225 9 230 8 242 8734 8073 8 220 10 223 9 228 8 241 8073 7477 8 217 10 221 9 226 7 236 7477 6973 8 216 10 219 9 224 6 227 6973 6580 8 214 10 217 9 224 5 218 6580 6307 8 213 10 217 9 223 4 207 6307 6140 8 212 10 217 9 222 2*195 6140 6045 7 211 9 217 8 222 1*182 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography