DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 88.5 - - 87.7 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 472 - - 502 - - 197 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10976 - - 13981 - - 13597 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14385 - - 16912 - - 15921 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16844 - - 19849 - - 19465 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1806 - - 1435 - - 1817 - - 4068 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 732 - - 810 - - 589 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 24 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 274 - - 261 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 47 - - 79 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2633 - - 21 - - -892 - - -13898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19478 - - 19829 - - 20358 - - 19943 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5717 - - -822 - - -3168 - - -19859 ODpotential blCL - - - 22561 - - 20671 - - 22633 - - 25903 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 77 - - 71 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 88.5 - - 87.7 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.5 - - 20.9 - - 17.9 - - 10.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 85.1 - - 85.9 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.3 - - 20.8 - - 17.8 - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 472 - - 502 - - 197 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10976 - - 13981 - - 13597 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98926 42 127 22 120 21 101 22 089 98926 91365 24 103 29 111 22 098 26 097 91365 85563 16 103 22 099 23 103 21 098 85563 80782 21 113 18 121 17 084 20 101 80782 76681 20 097 19 108 14 110 18 095 76681 73062 15 098 13 078 16 105 12 107 73062 69791 15 087 12 112 12 111 8 094 69791 66803 9 061 10 082 14 109 10 093 66803 64036 6 158 10 266 12 329 12 032 64036 61358 12 162 10 230 9 255 6 315 61358 58586 14 311 11 276 14 256 17 261 58586 55734 26 286 25 278 24 281 22 272 55734 53028 33 276 37 274 35 281 33 283 53028 50596 46 267 46 271 44 282 44 282 50596 48416 57 268 54 272 51 280 54 280 48416 46436 66 270 60 274 60 278 61 280 46436 44620 72 274 65 277 64 276 65 279 44620 42941 75 278 66 279 63 276 67 278 42941 41374 78 281 67 281 60 278 66 277 41374 39903 81 282 69 283 59 281 64 278 39903 38521 80 282 69 284 60 283 62 280 38521 37198 78 281 68 285 61 284 59 282 37198 35874 75 281 67 285 61 284 57 284 35874 34519 72 279 65 285 59 283 56 285 34519 33138 68 278 64 283 57 283 54 284 33138 31719 64 279 62 283 56 284 51 286 31719 30252 61 280 58 284 55 286 49 287 30252 28740 56 281 55 285 51 287 46 288 28740 27187 51 280 52 284 48 288 43 288 27187 25598 47 278 49 282 45 285 42 287 25598 23977 43 277 45 280 42 283 41 283 23977 22321 35 279 37 283 33 283 36 281 22321 20626 29 289 21*294 14*299 23 285 20626 18919 23 296 12*309 10*321 9 276 18919 17282 13*310 11 310 9 315 3 339 17282 15790 11*321 10 308 8 298 5 348 15790 14451 10 327 8 302 8 281 6 334 14451 13245 8 334 7 290 9 266 6 317 13245 12154 7 339 6 273 9 255 7 301 12154 11165 5 343 6 255 10 248 8 290 11165 10272 3 347 6 239 10 242 9 283 10272 9468 1 353 6 230 11 238 11 279 9468 8742 1 152 7 222 11 234 12 276 8742 8079 3 168 7 216 11 231 13 273 8079 7482 4 168 8 212 11 229 14 271 7482 6976 5 168 8 209 12 227 14 268 6976 6582 5 167 8 207 11 226 14 264 6582 6308 5 168 8 206 11 225 12 258 6308 6141 5 168 8 206 11 225 9 254 6141 6044 5 168 7 205 10 223 6*254 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography