DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.1 - - 39.7 - - 46.3 - - 38.8 - - 30.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 136 - - 169 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 700 - - 1131 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6244 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6568 - - 6999 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 261 - - 419 - - 587 - - 789 - - 312 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 193 - - 243 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 241 - - 217 - - 187 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5113 - - -5987 - - -6817 - - -5877 - - -3710 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11156 - - 12556 - - 13817 - - 11920 - - 9753 sfcLCL ODpotential -17176 - - -15650 - - -14915 - - -15553 - - -15213 ODpotential blCL 23218 - - 22218 - - 21914 - - 21595 - - 21255 blCL maxRH 38 - - 54 - - 52 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.1 - - 39.7 - - 46.3 - - 38.8 - - 30.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.9 - - 7.0 - - 7.9 - - 9.0 - - 10.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.4 - - 38.5 - - 44.9 - - 41.3 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.7 - - 6.6 - - 7.5 - - 8.6 - - 10.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 136 - - 169 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 700 - - 1131 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95871 43 348 45 344 69 353 55 002 54 347 95871 88815 50 355 52 344 60 001 54 007 57 357 88815 83335 46 357 47 341 57 354 55 006 64 003 83335 78773 39 001 45 342 55 344 59 352 63 359 78773 74854 36 356 44 352 48 345 57 351 60 354 74854 71405 38 347 43 351 40 355 47 356 49 351 71405 68291 40 332 41 341 34 355 36 341 35 349 68291 65424 41 326 41 330 33 348 29 335 33 336 65424 62763 41 322 40 324 39 341 29 341 32 336 62763 60194 39 323 35 325 39 324 30 335 30 328 60194 57509 34 323 32 321 29 316 33 323 30 316 57509 54705 32 314 30 322 28 314 30 302 31 313 54705 52029 34 301 32 315 29 312 28 302 33 297 52029 49645 33 294 39 301 35 307 33 312 39 296 49645 47547 36 300 43 294 48 294 53 303 51 301 47547 45673 45 298 56 293 63 291 74 294 64 307 45673 43953 59 296 66 289 74 293 81 294 80 303 43953 42342 76 295 75 288 82 291 91 305 98 297 42342 40822 87 293 80 288 82 290 97 303 101 297 40822 39386 79 293 83 285 83 298 100 300 104 297 39386 38032 75 294 77 284 90 303 97 301 104 298 38032 36730 65 290 66 288 88 301 94 304 95 302 36730 35418 51 289 65 292 81 297 93 302 92 301 35418 34071 44 291 62 293 76 299 90 305 83 310 34071 32695 31 290 49 291 76 303 74 313 71 314 32695 31285 17 288 35 292 67 305 63 317 62 311 31285 29831 8 264 27 286 47 302 52 318 53 312 29831 28332 5 211 19 260 28 299 36 318 42 314 28332 26792 4 217 14 232 19 278 23 311 29 315 26792 25219 3 219 10 236 13 254 10 304 19 326 25219 23619 3 223 8 259 9 290 8 343 14 339 23619 21984 4 271 6 310 7 325 8 356 10 336 21984 20304 6 330 9 336 9 334 8 330 8 315 20304 18604 7 359 10 326 9 316 10 318 10 299 18604 16970 7 354 10 311 10 307 11 318 12 305 16970 15480 8 341 10 308 11 311 11 319 13 314 15480 14147 9 338 11 316 11 320 10 315 13 320 14147 12951 11 341 11 330 10 329 8 310 12 330 12951 11875 12 348 11 347 9 341 6 305 11 341 11875 10907 12 354 11 003 8 356 4 303 10 349 10907 10038 11 359 10 014 8 010 3 319 9 358 10038 9262 9 006 10 026 9 015 3 334 7 012 9262 8569 7 015 9 035 9 013 5 321 5 029 8569 7940 7 019 9 035 6 004 7 303 4 039 7940 7378 6 019 8 026 3*301 7 291 3 029 7378 6904 5 014 4*001 4*226 4 278 1 315 6904 6538 4 001 2*276 5 219 3 241 3 243 6538 6284 3 337 2 241 6 215 3 206 4 242 6284 6130 2*308 2 230 6 213 3 192 4*252 6130 6042 2*296 3 229 5 212 2*187 3*259 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography