DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.9 - - 92.3 - - 94.0 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 87 - - 448 - - 251 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1017 - - 12096 - - 13611 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6028 - - 15275 - - 16123 - - - - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top 6885 - - 17964 - - 19479 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 9294 - - 1533 - - 1918 - - - - - 3377 Hgt.Variab. W* 188 - - 741 - - 636 - - - - - 7 W* B/S 8 - - 28 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 332 - - 290 - - - - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 38 - - 55 - - - - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9141 - - 421 - - 1686 - - - - - -10617 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16027 - - 17544 - - 17794 - - - - - 16663 sfcLCL ODpotential -12714 - - -1636 - - 956 - - - - - -14171 ODpotential blCL 19599 - - 19600 - - 18523 - - - - - 20216 blCL maxRH 56 - - 71 - - 97 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 84.9 - - 92.3 - - 94.0 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.6 - - 35.7 - - 36.4 - - - - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.9 - - 89.2 - - 91.9 - - - - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 35.5 - - 36.3 - - - - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 87 - - 448 - - 251 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1017 - - 12096 - - 13611 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 87 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99598 47 094 33 105 44 087 36 091 99598 92098 39 094 39 097 38 100 31 085 92098 86302 33 100 37 095 35 101 33 084 86302 81494 40 099 27 101 27 102 30 078 81494 77365 33 094 27 109 24 101 27 084 77365 73727 23 092 26 101 24 099 28 087 73727 70430 16 094 20 098 26 094 20 085 70430 67410 15 097 20 083 16 101 15 098 67410 64636 14 099 10 070 16 127 17 086 64636 61964 12 072 7 096 11 095 14 075 61964 59215 14 062 8 123 2 149 11 042 59215 56410 12 326 5 002 2 349 4 337 56410 53754 16 264 8 301 12 275 9 302 53754 51371 14 266 12 281 17 278 21 306 51371 49227 14 276 19 262 22 269 28 297 49227 47263 15 298 19 261 23 262 25 291 47263 45446 18 303 20 279 23 274 22 295 45446 43751 22 294 22 287 22 287 21 297 43751 42159 23 291 21 295 23 294 23 302 42159 40658 23 305 25 315 24 308 25 305 40658 39244 28 311 30 317 27 307 26 312 39244 37889 30 303 34 310 32 300 31 316 37889 36531 34 291 36 302 34 299 34 318 36531 35143 34 285 36 297 31 305 31 320 35143 33731 33 294 33 301 29 315 29 323 33731 32281 33 307 31 304 30 320 29 329 32281 30780 32 307 27 301 28 313 29 330 30780 29236 30 302 25 300 24 303 29 330 29236 27650 28 298 24 302 21 300 27 331 27650 26030 24 303 24 301 20 303 22 321 26030 24382 20 311 23 304 21 306 19 311 24382 22699 17 314 17 309 19 311 17 312 22699 20973 16 311 15 314 13*327 14 324 20973 19229 14 310 16*312 9*337 6 336 19229 17553 8 326 13*324 8 335 0 349 17553 16022 5 331 10 334 7 327 1 326 16022 14649 5 336 9 339 6 314 3 332 14649 13411 6 346 7 345 6 299 6 338 13411 12293 7 351 6 348 6 284 8 342 12293 11280 7 356 4 349 6 272 10 346 11280 10365 7 001 3 345 7 263 12 348 10365 9541 7 005 2 330 7 256 13 351 9541 8799 6 011 1 285 7 252 15 353 8799 8122 6 015 1 239 7 247 16 355 8122 7513 6 017 2 223 8 244 17 356 7513 6995 6*015 2 216 8 242 16 357 6995 6593 5*010 3 213 8 240 15 356 6593 6314 4 008 3 210 8 239 12 353 6314 6144 4 007 3 210 7 239 10 352 6144 6045 3 008 3 209 7 238 7*349 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography