DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 92.1 - - 91.7 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 471 - - 146 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4401 - - 9511 - - 9482 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8995 - - 13173 - - 12401 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10269 - - 15379 - - 15350 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6206 - - 5162 - - 5815 - - 5381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 514 - - 695 - - 471 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 40 - - 38 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 192 - - 212 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -13 - - 13 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3539 - - -351 - - -1169 - - -8034 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13808 - - 15731 - - 16520 - - 14080 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5302 - - -1845 - - -2670 - - -10983 ODpotential blCL - - - 15571 - - 17224 - - 18020 - - 17028 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 70 - - 86 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 640 - - 280 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 92.1 - - 91.7 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 43.6 - - 39.9 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 88.9 - - 90.2 - - 85.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 43.5 - - 39.9 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 471 - - 146 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4401 - - 9511 - - 9482 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - 44 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99331 28 098 32 103 31 109 20 110 99331 91849 25 110 20 105 24 104 24 074 91849 86070 31 112 16 129 19 089 24 069 86070 81266 31 103 21 122 15 088 22 082 81266 77123 22 088 21 112 14 091 20 092 77123 73467 13 089 17 097 15 101 16 091 73467 70175 11 104 8 082 12 092 13 091 70175 67168 12 133 7 111 7 097 10 081 67168 64407 10 118 12 129 9 156 4 117 64407 61759 4 106 9 110 11 152 3 131 61759 59012 7 084 5 197 3 162 1 145 59012 56163 4 287 7 219 7 266 4 277 56163 53457 8 278 9 221 9 266 7 279 53457 51044 16 277 10 241 9 262 11 266 51044 48895 17 282 8 248 11 256 11 245 48895 46948 14 291 12 270 15 255 16 251 46948 45161 15 289 16 257 15 252 17 255 45161 43502 16 288 14 258 12 253 13 264 43502 41943 16 298 11 276 8 271 11 275 41943 40471 13 315 13 275 9 271 11 267 40471 39082 12 318 15 271 13 249 13 253 39082 37749 14 308 14 269 13 250 13 241 37749 36409 12 292 9 262 12 259 9 233 36409 35036 8 279 6 265 11 262 5 263 35036 33632 7 275 5 287 8 257 4 314 33632 32189 8 269 5 298 5 252 2 144 32189 30698 8 269 2 266 3 228 6 129 30698 29165 4 258 2 165 3 211 4 146 29165 27589 4 150 7 190 3 204 6 170 27589 25974 7 144 7 177 9 161 10 160 25974 24326 8 124 7 148 13 150 12 164 24326 22643 11 141 9 126 16 147 16 165 22643 20919 14 152 11 112 13 130 17 163 20919 19180 14 155 12 107 10 098 6 141 19180 17508 11 152 10 103 8 091 3 107 17508 15981 8 144 7*101 3*078 2 101 15981 14613 6 170 3*097 2*073 1 107 14613 13380 5 195 2 109 1 072 1 145 13380 12265 3 230 1 142 2 215 1 191 12265 11256 2 305 2 193 3 220 2 208 11256 10344 2*316 3 201 4 218 3 213 10344 9524 2*308 4 203 5 216 3 214 9524 8786 2 286 5 202 6 214 3 208 8786 8112 2 236 6 203 7 213 2 191 8112 7505 3 218 6 203 7 213 2 147 7505 6991 3 209 7 202 8 212 2 096 6991 6591 4 204 7 201 8 211 3 073 6591 6313 4 204 7 202 8 211 3 054 6313 6143 4 201 7 201 8 211 4*039 6143 6045 4 200 6 200 7 210 3*034 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography