DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.1 - - 61.9 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 437 - - 172 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10719 - - 12725 - - 11077 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13902 - - 15789 - - 13801 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16587 - - 18593 - - 16945 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2491 - - 1314 - - 2355 - - 4490 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 622 - - 751 - - 527 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 329 - - 344 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - -17 - - -24 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1524 - - 2347 - - 423 - - -7714 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15063 - - 16247 - - 16523 - - 13758 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 651 - - 1417 - - -1168 - - -10563 ODpotential blCL - - - 15936 - - 17176 - - 18113 - - 16606 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 67 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.1 - - 61.9 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 12.1 - - 9.8 - - 13.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 60.2 - - 60.4 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.0 - - 11.1 - - 9.0 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 437 - - 172 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10719 - - 12725 - - 11077 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 98 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97407 16 257 22 258 21 274 23 280 97407 89961 14 268 13 241 16 272 17 286 89961 84339 7 325 9 342 3 298 3 297 84339 79698 9 306 10 299 8 329 8 353 79698 75678 4 286 7 255 13 290 15 315 75678 72117 7 282 6 281 15 265 17 282 72117 68886 14 271 12 291 16 278 18 280 68886 65913 22 271 20 287 22 288 18 283 65913 63148 27 272 28 281 27 282 21 288 63148 60462 26 278 29 277 26 281 23 281 60462 57658 25 283 26 278 26 281 25 284 57658 54744 30 288 30 279 30 280 31 290 54744 51967 36 286 31 279 32 285 33 297 51967 49473 43 284 38 284 39 286 36 293 49473 47242 49 275 44 275 44 277 40 287 47242 45223 52 274 46 274 44 276 43 282 45223 43370 58 279 53 278 46 274 44 274 43370 41653 67 278 62 274 48 270 45 269 41653 40059 77 274 66 269 51 272 49 270 40059 38580 87 271 70 269 56 271 55 270 38580 37209 89 269 74 268 57 268 57 272 37209 35911 88 267 78 264 57 267 55 276 35911 34620 85 267 76 263 56 270 53 282 34620 33304 80 268 72 268 56 274 54 287 33304 31963 76 270 71 274 57 279 55 287 31963 30582 75 269 69 275 58 285 55 289 30582 29154 68 270 65 277 55 290 55 300 29154 27684 58 272 57 282 49 292 48 307 27684 26184 46 273 50 282 42 291 36 297 26184 24663 35 276 43 280 37 285 31 284 24663 23118 32 280 35 284 33 281 30 280 23118 21541 29 283 27 292 24 292 23 290 21541 19927 24 293 17*297 16 302 20 301 19927 18301 17 302 9*313 7*303 18 315 18301 16742 14*298 9 315 6*310 14 326 16742 15321 12*297 8 316 6 315 9 330 15321 14047 11 298 8 318 6 320 6 336 14047 12899 10 302 8 324 6 331 5 352 12899 11860 9 308 8 330 9 346 6 006 11860 10920 9 312 9 334 10 350 8 015 10920 10070 8 317 9 337 11 352 11 018 10070 9304 8 320 9 340 11 353 14 018 9304 8613 8 321 9 340 12 353 16 018 8613 7982 8 323 9 342 12 354 17 018 7982 7413 8 324 9 342 12 354 19 017 7413 6931 7 324 9 343 12 354 19 017 6931 6555 7 325 9 343 12 354 18 016 6555 6294 7 325 9 343 12 355 16 014 6294 6135 7 325 8 343 11 354 12*013 6135 6043 6 324 8 344 10 355 8*011 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography