DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.7 - - 78.0 - - 83.1 - - 81.2 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 144 - - 494 - - 508 - - 182 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 794 - - 7789 - - 10711 - - 10628 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 11794 - - 14209 - - 13493 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6662 - - 13657 - - 16579 - - 16496 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 877 - - 2707 - - 1573 - - 2234 - - 3959 Hgt.Variab. W* 205 - - 664 - - 746 - - 530 - - 14 W* B/S 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 21 - - 28 - - 32 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 261 - - 269 - - 262 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 19 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 27 - - 5 - - -8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9902 - - -4460 - - -3297 - - -2925 - - -10752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16565 - - 18118 - - 19877 - - 19422 - - 16797 sfcLCL ODpotential -16171 - - -8832 - - -6604 - - -5959 - - -15763 ODpotential blCL 22833 - - 22489 - - 23183 - - 22455 - - 21807 blCL maxRH 58 - - 59 - - 77 - - 58 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.7 - - 78.0 - - 83.1 - - 81.2 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.3 - - 18.6 - - 15.3 - - 15.6 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.4 - - 75.0 - - 80.2 - - 79.9 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.2 - - 18.2 - - 14.8 - - 15.3 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 144 - - 494 - - 508 - - 182 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 794 - - 7789 - - 10711 - - 10628 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97873 2 007 5 242 4 111 3 061 0 168 97873 90416 8 057 7 105 5 188 8 065 9 045 90416 84646 6 067 4 069 4 124 6 112 7 058 84646 79880 6 086 1 250 5 000 5 072 8 067 79880 75804 8 033 3 152 3 287 7 356 10 061 75804 72213 11 026 2 066 5 276 6 332 7 036 72213 68965 10 343 5 345 7 309 11 331 9 010 68965 65968 15 297 11 319 12 309 10 298 8 329 65968 63172 26 282 18 307 5 309 9 286 15 317 63172 60464 31 286 32 300 22 302 23 267 16 311 60464 57661 36 286 37 282 40 286 24 274 15 325 57661 54769 36 287 36 282 39 283 35 290 31 298 54769 52028 37 294 43 294 37 295 39 290 41 285 52028 49595 43 294 44 296 39 292 42 292 41 287 49595 47439 37 286 37 301 42 291 50 298 52 296 47439 45505 31 301 38 310 49 305 58 299 63 296 45505 43753 38 318 44 315 42 307 61 294 70 290 43753 42139 37 325 38 308 30 294 57 289 72 288 42139 40626 36 329 26 300 33 287 56 289 68 288 40626 39198 36 329 22 298 39 294 57 291 63 289 39198 37852 35 328 27 299 47 298 58 295 59 291 37852 36561 33 326 32 304 50 298 57 297 57 291 36561 35265 33 325 35 304 49 298 56 297 55 292 35265 33935 34 326 36 304 49 298 55 297 53 293 33935 32579 36 327 35 301 50 298 53 296 52 294 32579 31183 38 327 35 299 50 296 51 297 51 295 31183 29741 39 324 37 298 50 293 50 297 50 295 29741 28256 38 320 40 298 48 290 49 297 47 293 28256 26733 34 314 42 295 45 287 48 295 44 289 26733 25175 27 305 41 286 43 285 47 292 40 285 25175 23587 20 287 39 273 42 283 45 288 38 281 23587 21966 22 274 39 270 40 284 43 286 36 278 21966 20304 28 281 41 276 40 287 40 284 35 276 20304 18631 32 286 40 280 38 289 36 277 35 274 18631 17029 32 283 37 280 31*282 33*266 36 275 17029 15571 32 279 34 279 29*274 33*264 37 277 15571 14267 30 279 30*277 29 273 33 264 38 278 14267 13091 28 281 28*275 29 272 33 264 40 277 13091 12028 26 283 26 273 29 272 33 264 41 275 12028 11064 24 280 24 269 28 270 33 263 43 272 11064 10191 22 272 23 265 28 268 33 262 44 270 10191 9405 21 261 22 261 28 267 32 262 44 268 9405 8694 19 254 21 257 28 266 32 261 43 267 8694 8045 17 251 20 252 27 265 32 261 41 266 8045 7459 14 252 18 248 27 264 31 261 38 264 7459 6961 10*251 18 244 26 263 30 260 33 262 6961 6573 6*238 17 242 25 263 29 260 28 258 6573 6304 5 228 16 240 25 262 28 260 22 255 6304 6139 4 225 16 240 23 262 26 259 17*252 6139 6044 4 224 14 239 20 261 21 259 10*250 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography