DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.3 - - 49.1 - - 51.1 - - 48.5 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 75 - - 65 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1612 - - 1903 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6243 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7480 - - 7771 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1346 - - 2897 - - 3984 - - 4735 - - 2518 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 221 - - 227 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 179 - - 236 - - 218 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 7 - - -8 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1408 - - 1200 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6072 - - 6572 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -1086 - - -738 - - -880 - - -1275 - - -2216 ODpotential blCL 7129 - - 8218 - - 8651 - - 7318 - - 8259 blCL maxRH 98 - - 92 - - 82 - - 85 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 310 - - 520 - - 670 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m 44.3 - - 49.1 - - 51.1 - - 48.5 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.3 - - 43.3 - - 43.2 - - 45.4 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 48.3 - - 50.3 - - 49.3 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 42.0 - - 41.9 - - 44.3 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 75 - - 65 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1612 - - 1903 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 69 - - 29 - - 39 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97350 14 243 21 251 23 269 17 261 25 287 97350 90034 5 260 7 233 9 282 10 272 4 289 90034 84448 1 333 3 145 6 303 4 351 6 061 84448 79814 4 043 4 056 2 321 4 321 9 356 79814 75824 3 351 5 357 9 066 2 238 10 328 75824 72305 4 314 4 290 8 065 0 031 3 316 72305 69122 5 272 2 008 4 111 0 263 3 353 69122 66192 7 233 4 262 3 286 1 105 3 225 66192 63473 7 198 10 190 13 246 9 259 12 248 63473 60835 7 260 10 155 13 180 14 178 17 196 60835 58067 26 238 10 230 12 225 9 210 14 206 58067 55181 29 221 25 220 25 221 22 217 22 228 55181 52422 24 210 26 201 27 211 23 217 25 232 52422 49927 22 220 22 205 26 220 26 219 30 222 49927 47677 29 225 24 211 27 221 26 215 29 214 47677 45624 32 219 24 205 25 216 24 215 24 214 45624 43738 32 215 27 206 23 218 22 222 20 224 43738 41999 36 212 33 212 26 225 22 235 18 243 41999 40388 41 210 35 212 29 224 26 232 23 255 40388 38886 43 210 36 213 33 220 26 225 24 263 38886 37485 48 206 42 206 42 205 24 241 27 272 37485 36153 53 203 47 200 35 200 24 240 26 276 36153 34827 57 204 48 204 29 206 24 238 28 302 34827 33484 64 203 53 205 29 210 23 237 34 318 33484 32128 68 200 55 202 32 212 18 249 42 329 32128 30745 65 198 50 200 27 216 15 269 40 329 30745 29323 55 200 42 200 20 225 12 267 34 328 29323 27869 41 203 32 199 18 226 10 275 30 328 27869 26381 34 205 28 200 18 221 11 285 25 330 26381 24858 31 208 27 204 17 217 12 284 21 328 24858 23300 32 209 24 204 16 214 11 276 17 313 23300 21699 29 210 21 202 16 210 11 257 13 297 21699 20052 25 208 21 198 17 208 11 243 11 274 20052 18390 23 205 22 197 17 204 12 233 12 258 18390 16796 21 201 21 195 16 194 13 215 12 242 16796 15346 22 192 19 189 15 191 15 208 13 238 15346 14052 23 190 20 182 16 190 17 209 13 239 14052 12891 27 189 20 184 16 187 17 212 14 242 12891 11845 28 189 20 190 15 188 15 212 14 246 11845 10901 27 191 20 196 14 194 12 210 13 248 10901 10049 24 196 19 199 13 204 9 215 11 244 10049 9285 21 201 16 203 12 213 7 229 9 236 9285 8595 18 203 12 208 11 220 7 239 8 227 8595 7967 15 206 8*209 8*229 7 239 6 220 7967 7402 11 214 5*201 7*235 7 236 4 222 7402 6924 6 223 3 181 7 236 7 232 2 231 6924 6551 2 237 3 172 6 236 7 229 1 255 6551 6292 1 345 3 171 6 236 6 225 1 042 6292 6134 2*010 3 167 6 236 5*221 2*051 6134 6043 2*015 3 166 5 235 4*218 2*042 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography