DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 90.9 - - - - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 483 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4574 - - 10201 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9179 - - 13756 - - - - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10442 - - 16069 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2493 - - 3257 - - - - - 3538 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 546 - - 719 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 222 - - - - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 17 - - - - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1885 - - 1395 - - - - - -5925 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12328 - - 14675 - - - - - 11971 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4304 - - -184 - - - - - -8891 ODpotential blCL - - - 14746 - - 16253 - - - - - 14936 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 62 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 590 - - - - - 620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 90.9 - - - - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 46.8 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 87.7 - - - - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 46.7 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 483 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4574 - - 10201 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99416 46 096 39 109 40 096 99416 91901 41 104 35 113 35 087 91901 86089 44 118 32 106 27 094 86089 81272 40 114 33 105 28 102 81272 77143 29 106 31 110 27 107 77143 73520 26 118 21 108 25 104 73520 70253 23 112 20 117 19 098 70253 67246 18 103 21 126 14 123 67246 64465 10 078 13 115 15 127 64465 61809 1 124 10 042 10 125 61809 59087 15 182 6 261 3 028 59087 56299 20 167 24 195 26 262 56299 53661 17 229 27 192 31 225 53661 51278 31 227 31 213 29 211 51278 49114 41 209 37 213 29 224 49114 47125 49 197 38 206 34 234 47125 45286 40 194 36 207 38 234 45286 43576 31 205 35 217 41 229 43576 41978 32 212 37 218 42 228 41978 40476 35 210 36 215 41 233 40476 39066 36 206 35 218 37 235 39066 37716 37 204 34 220 32 238 37716 36362 36 206 35 219 28 236 36362 34977 34 214 35 222 27 237 34977 33566 32 223 31 227 28 239 33566 32118 28 226 24 226 29 240 32118 30624 24 224 21 217 27 240 30624 29084 23 218 24 210 27 235 29084 27505 25 211 27 215 29 234 27505 25891 27 212 29 222 29 236 25891 24244 25 215 27 226 29 236 24244 22562 19 217 23 225 25 225 22562 20836 12 207 19 212 21 211 20836 19100 7 188 15 209 17 195 19100 17440 9 189 12*216 15 189 17440 15926 9 207 10*225 14 193 15926 14568 11 227 10 227 13 201 14568 13344 13 230 10 227 12 209 13344 12237 13 237 10 226 11 220 12237 11233 10*233 10 226 10 236 11233 10327 7*222 10 224 11 253 10327 9510 7 218 10 221 11 270 9510 8775 7 215 10 219 12 289 8775 8103 7 212 10 218 13 309 8103 7499 7 210 10 215 15 326 7499 6987 7 207 10 213 18 337 6987 6589 7 205 10 213 18 340 6589 6312 7 204 10 212 17 341 6312 6142 7 203 10 212 14*341 6142 6045 7 203 9 211 10*340 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography