DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.0 - - 66.9 - - 75.1 - - 76.3 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 342 - - 339 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2055 - - 5790 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7139 - - 10020 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7923 - - 11658 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 852 - - 1692 - - 1929 - - 9883 - - 525 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 376 - - 529 - - 54 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 14 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 175 - - 201 - - 192 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 14 - - 22 - - 20 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6765 - - -7039 - - -5749 - - -10870 - - -9804 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12809 - - 14963 - - 17408 - - 16915 - - 15849 sfcLCL ODpotential -15531 - - -13448 - - -10378 - - -14979 - - -15578 ODpotential blCL 21574 - - 21371 - - 22036 - - 21023 - - 21622 blCL maxRH 49 - - 53 - - 45 - - 45 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.0 - - 66.9 - - 75.1 - - 76.3 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.6 - - 22.5 - - 19.3 - - 22.8 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 64.5 - - 72.7 - - 76.0 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 22.3 - - 19.2 - - 22.6 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 342 - - 339 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2055 - - 5790 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97943 11 259 17 241 22 243 22 254 15 269 97943 90637 10 249 12 269 11 241 16 254 13 249 90637 85015 11 243 12 262 13 263 15 265 10 238 85015 80335 4 302 4 245 8 245 11 257 8 251 80335 76297 4 012 2 220 2 272 4 218 4 249 76297 72721 3 298 4 147 7 263 4 234 4 205 72721 69468 9 230 9 273 8 233 3 254 3 240 69468 66466 9 221 12 250 12 245 9 263 3 247 66466 63682 9 235 13 227 18 252 12 271 7 249 63682 60989 14 247 16 234 20 246 19 268 13 248 60989 58192 23 262 19 253 21 239 28 244 24 240 58192 55305 24 265 24 253 23 245 28 237 27 237 55305 52562 23 265 27 251 27 251 26 241 30 240 52562 50106 27 269 29 254 32 250 28 241 33 240 50106 47916 34 266 29 262 33 247 28 241 33 238 47916 45935 35 256 35 264 31 252 29 244 29 230 45935 44125 21 255 35 255 34 252 31 249 27 226 44125 42464 19 267 19 257 32 240 32 237 28 232 42464 40924 23 275 20 274 21 235 31 218 30 231 40924 39480 24 277 21 266 19 235 24 211 28 219 39480 38124 19 279 18 255 21 230 27 203 26 211 38124 36825 15 276 16 242 24 224 31 207 22 213 36825 35521 15 263 18 229 26 216 32 213 22 219 35521 34184 15 253 21 217 27 209 31 216 26 220 34184 32818 14 252 22 211 28 207 30 227 29 218 32818 31416 13 260 21 218 29 216 31 230 30 218 31416 29967 16 261 22 220 29 228 29 227 29 220 29967 28477 18 242 24 221 28 232 27 226 30 219 28477 26947 19 240 26 233 27 239 26 228 30 214 26947 25382 21 252 24 242 26 243 26 229 32 208 25382 23786 22 259 21 249 25 242 26 229 33 208 23786 22151 22 262 19 252 23 239 26 227 34 211 22151 20468 22 258 19 249 22 236 27 223 34 216 20468 18771 21 253 20 245 21 234 28 223 33 219 18771 17146 19 248 19 240 20 232 29 223 33 216 17146 15670 18 245 19 236 20 229 27 216 33 212 15670 14349 19 244 20 235 22 226 25 211 32 213 14349 13158 20 240 21 232 23 223 24 209 31 213 13158 12080 19 235 21 226 20*216 23 207 28 212 12080 11104 17 232 19 215 18*211 21 204 25 210 11104 10221 15 235 18 203 16 207 19 201 22 209 10221 9426 13 240 16 195 14 202 18 199 19 209 9426 8709 11 241 14 186 14 199 17 197 17 210 8709 8054 8 213 10*180 13 198 16 195 15 211 8054 7464 7 180 8*176 13 197 15 194 13 212 7464 6964 7 160 8 176 12 196 15 193 12 210 6964 6574 6 134 8 175 12 196 14 193 10 203 6574 6304 6 100 7 175 11 195 13 192 8 188 6304 6139 5*072 7 174 11 195 12 192 5*156 6139 6044 4*067 7 174 10 195 10*192 3*130 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography