DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 51.9 - - 51.5 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 239 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1418 - - 2304 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6508 - - 7218 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7286 - - 8172 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 816 - - 1723 - - 3957 - - 1006 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 347 - - 39 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 203 - - 218 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 13 - - 6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5482 - - -5294 - - -7999 - - -6162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12768 - - 13467 - - 14043 - - 12205 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11131 - - -9098 - - -12267 - - -11836 ODpotential blCL - - - 18417 - - 17270 - - 18310 - - 17879 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 89 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 51.9 - - 51.5 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.7 - - 14.0 - - 11.2 - - 11.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 50.1 - - 51.2 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.3 - - 13.6 - - 10.8 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 239 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1418 - - 2304 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 56 - - 49 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96711 37 082 28 090 25 079 22 078 96711 89602 30 087 29 092 29 096 28 080 89602 84066 24 105 20 104 22 095 25 087 84066 79444 21 122 16 099 15 097 15 087 79444 75445 18 123 7 127 15 084 12 081 75445 71904 13 123 12 163 6 196 9 000 71904 68707 2 115 3 269 13 154 6 266 68707 65767 8 280 13 296 8 206 11 253 65767 63029 21 266 18 270 14 244 18 249 63029 60371 29 251 22 261 25 251 27 266 60371 57595 33 243 41 253 36 250 42 257 57595 54704 38 241 43 232 45 248 43 250 54704 51926 41 224 45 251 50 257 42 253 51926 49410 49 255 61 255 61 264 47 265 49410 47146 72 250 72 250 73 259 64 267 47146 45098 76 239 75 248 77 254 77 258 45098 43243 64 238 72 250 75 258 84 257 43243 41558 60 255 68 259 85 260 95 257 41558 40019 68 261 80 265 90 257 104 251 40019 38597 72 259 82 266 87 257 101 250 38597 37268 72 262 82 266 86 258 94 253 37268 35992 72 267 81 267 84 258 89 256 35992 34708 70 269 79 269 80 258 87 258 34708 33392 69 271 72 270 81 261 84 258 33392 32049 62 272 66 271 80 262 83 257 32049 30670 48 265 61 269 75 260 80 258 30670 29249 44 259 56 260 71 257 74 258 29249 27790 46 253 57 254 66 257 68 258 27790 26293 44 250 50 254 58 258 60 261 26293 24764 41 251 46 254 52 260 53 263 24764 23205 43 251 47 254 51 262 51 264 23205 21608 45 252 49 251 50 258 50 263 21608 19969 44 254 45 249 47 253 48 259 19969 18318 40 255 38 247 43 249 44 254 18318 16739 36 251 32 247 36 250 37 248 16739 15305 32 248 29 249 30 254 30 246 15305 14024 28 246 26 250 25 257 25 246 14024 12873 25 247 24 252 22 259 22 246 12873 11833 21 243 22 253 20 261 20 244 11833 10893 18 230 20 254 18 261 18 243 10893 10043 16 219 16 253 16 261 16 242 10043 9279 15 206 13 248 13 261 15 242 9279 8590 13 189 9*234 10 261 13 242 8590 7962 11 178 7*211 7 253 10 246 7962 7397 8*174 7 204 5 234 5 243 7397 6919 5*173 7 202 5 224 2 172 6919 6548 5 172 7 200 5 222 4 105 6548 6291 5 171 7 200 5 220 4 087 6291 6133 4 171 7 199 4*220 4*062 6133 6043 4 170 7 198 4*218 4*047 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography