DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 61.2 - - 64.4 - - 62.9 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 89 - - 470 - - 478 - - 180 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1363 - - 10897 - - 11162 - - 10298 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 14319 - - 14547 - - 13217 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 7231 - - 16765 - - 17030 - - 16166 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6574 - - 1390 - - 1062 - - 2238 - - 4411 Hgt.Variab. W* 210 - - 730 - - 740 - - 521 - - 14 W* B/S 5 - - 15 - - 24 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 282 - - 306 - - 319 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 15 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 15 - - 26 - - -22 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6835 - - 1824 - - 963 - - 348 - - -8365 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14067 - - 14942 - - 16067 - - 15818 - - 14409 sfcLCL ODpotential -8999 - - 203 - - -61 - - -898 - - -11672 ODpotential blCL 16230 - - 16562 - - 17091 - - 17064 - - 17715 blCL maxRH 88 - - 61 - - 83 - - 78 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 61.2 - - 64.4 - - 62.9 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.8 - - 16.2 - - 14.3 - - 14.1 - - 11.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 58.2 - - 61.4 - - 61.3 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.1 - - 15.5 - - 13.5 - - 13.5 - - 11.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 89 - - 470 - - 478 - - 180 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1363 - - 10897 - - 11162 - - 10298 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 0 - - 32 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97513 21 285 14 248 22 257 26 275 26 308 97513 90111 15 298 17 286 14 286 14 276 19 293 90111 84459 10 303 15 308 13 321 12 325 10 294 84459 79810 13 327 10 281 11 312 15 322 11 325 79810 75825 13 353 3 279 9 316 11 327 9 342 75825 72285 13 330 11 312 11 318 12 321 10 345 72285 69058 2 357 7 262 10 289 15 287 15 310 69058 66084 15 311 13 287 13 276 16 271 17 277 66084 63313 23 270 22 276 20 275 20 279 21 276 63313 60617 26 269 29 270 27 272 29 285 28 287 60617 57801 29 276 34 275 34 271 35 276 30 287 57801 54867 41 274 42 273 40 275 38 273 36 280 54867 52058 50 272 45 272 45 275 43 275 46 272 52058 49539 59 272 54 273 52 273 50 279 51 274 49539 47301 69 267 62 272 61 273 61 280 58 281 47301 45282 68 265 67 270 67 272 69 273 68 279 45282 43440 68 273 70 272 67 271 73 267 75 270 43440 41747 78 277 76 275 71 273 79 267 84 268 41747 40178 87 276 85 276 90 274 89 269 101 269 40178 38711 97 276 101 274 113 272 105 268 118 268 38711 37338 104 275 113 273 123 268 119 267 124 266 37338 36026 104 273 118 272 125 265 125 265 122 266 36026 34713 100 272 113 270 116 263 121 262 112 263 34713 33375 95 272 99 270 98 262 108 260 100 258 33375 32020 91 274 83 274 84 264 88 262 90 258 32020 30643 87 276 71 280 75 267 75 266 82 260 30643 29229 86 278 65 279 71 268 71 266 76 262 29229 27778 84 277 63 277 66 269 66 269 65 268 27778 26291 81 278 58 278 59 271 59 273 50 272 26291 24767 76 280 54 277 53 273 50 273 43 272 24767 23210 60 275 49 277 49 274 46 272 37 272 23210 21621 45 264 40 283 47 274 40 271 30 271 21621 19993 32 257 31 294 39 274 29 276 25 270 19993 18355 26 254 23*291 22*271 14 278 21 270 18355 16785 19 252 18*286 6*260 6*276 18 270 16785 15355 12 239 15 287 5 262 6*280 12 259 15355 14073 11 251 10 291 5 266 6 285 9 249 14073 12920 12 275 9 292 5 276 7 297 8 260 12920 11878 11 288 8 290 5 301 8 311 8 282 11878 10934 9 288 7 286 6 316 10 321 8 298 10934 10080 6 291 7 281 7 322 11 325 9 314 10080 9312 4 296 6 275 7 326 12 328 10 327 9312 8618 3 324 6 269 8 328 12 330 12 339 8618 7985 4 011 6 263 8 330 13 330 14 349 7985 7416 7*030 6 258 8 331 13 332 16 355 7416 6932 9*031 6 253 9 331 13 332 16 358 6932 6556 8 030 6 251 8 332 12 332 16 359 6556 6295 8 031 6 250 8 332 12 332 13 001 6295 6135 7 032 6 249 8 332 12 332 11*001 6135 6043 6 032 5 247 8 332 11 333 7*000 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography