DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 76.6 - - 76.3 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 276 - - 10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2980 - - 7371 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7801 - - 11175 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8848 - - 13239 - - 6045 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4203 - - 5205 - - 12160 - - 3125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 410 - - 536 - - 53 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 14 - - 8 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 203 - - 201 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 19 - - 15 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1556 - - 236 - - -7491 - - -2370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10404 - - 13004 - - 13536 - - 8415 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3784 - - -1077 - - -8945 - - -5647 ODpotential blCL - - - 12632 - - 14316 - - 14990 - - 11691 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 92 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 410 - - 330 - - 180 - - 850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 76.6 - - 76.3 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 40.3 - - 37.7 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 74.4 - - 75.9 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 40.1 - - 37.5 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 276 - - 10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2980 - - 7371 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 68 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98315 7 156 11 148 9 197 6 215 98315 90945 6 151 5 151 6 214 2 010 90945 85258 5 282 3 093 5 300 6 069 85258 80553 2 008 5 298 5 025 6 047 80553 76495 5 031 2 355 6 038 6 016 76495 72919 6 359 7 058 6 050 2 352 72919 69701 2 044 2 064 6 020 4 077 69701 66738 5 064 4 114 1 057 7 039 66738 63978 2 153 5 097 3 251 5 357 63978 61296 2 187 4 054 7 158 8 268 61296 58509 10 208 10 234 11 206 11 199 58509 55631 12 213 12 219 6 218 16 232 55631 52900 9 228 21 222 26 235 33 221 52900 50453 18 225 28 220 34 224 35 216 50453 48258 34 228 33 221 34 227 38 235 48258 46268 38 230 39 231 41 236 48 238 46268 44446 42 234 48 239 52 237 59 235 44446 42764 51 237 57 239 63 232 71 227 42764 41201 58 236 69 233 75 224 79 219 41201 39739 63 233 78 229 81 219 82 217 39739 38365 66 230 82 229 85 218 78 216 38365 37046 67 230 78 231 83 221 73 216 37046 35720 65 230 69 232 76 225 67 218 35720 34362 59 231 61 231 68 229 63 220 34362 32978 52 233 56 230 61 229 59 224 32978 31558 47 236 50 227 56 226 54 227 31558 30093 45 238 46 228 52 222 50 227 30093 28587 44 238 45 230 48 222 46 224 28587 27043 42 237 43 229 46 225 44 222 27043 25461 42 236 40 227 43 227 42 223 25461 23843 41 229 39 225 42 223 40 225 23843 22186 40 215 43 218 41 218 40 226 22186 20491 37 206 43 211 35 216 35 225 20491 18795 35 208 36 210 29 216 28 226 18795 17172 34 212 34 213 28 217 25 229 17172 15689 32 214 32 216 24 217 23 231 15689 14360 29 210 26*215 21 217 22 236 14360 13161 26 206 21*212 20 216 20 236 13161 12078 24 206 18 208 17 214 18 230 12078 11096 21 208 16 206 16 212 15 210 11096 10210 17 206 14 202 15 210 17 182 10210 9413 14*194 12 200 13 209 24 166 9413 8697 11*176 12 199 12 207 32 158 8697 8044 10 167 11 198 11 205 34 153 8044 7458 10 165 11 197 11 203 30 148 7458 6960 10 163 10 197 10 203 27 148 6960 6573 9 163 10 196 10 202 24 147 6573 6304 9 162 10 196 9 202 21 146 6304 6139 8 162 9 195 9*202 18*146 6139 6044 8 162 9 196 8*201 12*145 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography