DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 50.7 - - 49.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 56 - - -7 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2027 - - 3491 - - 3341 - - 3680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 96 - - 37 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 205 - - 343 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 14 - - -9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -50 - - -661 - - -1972 - - -719 ODpotential blCL - - - 6093 - - 6704 - - 8015 - - 6762 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 290 - - 60 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 50.7 - - 49.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.7 - - 47.6 - - 43.7 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 49.9 - - 49.7 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 46.6 - - 42.5 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 56 - - -7 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 92 - - 101 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97293 17 293 22 273 24 301 23 305 97293 90135 8 318 8 288 10 285 16 314 90135 84597 7 315 5 323 6 321 8 345 84597 79998 1 069 1 222 3 044 6 009 79998 76034 7 082 3 148 2 339 6 055 76034 72530 2 031 3 130 1 038 2 015 72530 69359 4 235 5 250 6 328 4 050 69359 66442 4 100 3 213 8 257 3 301 66442 63739 14 339 8 005 3 255 4 025 63739 61122 15 209 17 272 10 287 5 255 61122 58385 24 206 18 216 14 233 13 235 58385 55512 21 239 23 234 22 215 20 245 55512 52736 38 242 33 243 27 231 25 234 52736 50219 53 231 42 240 37 250 31 228 50219 47960 66 232 54 237 49 241 38 231 47960 45901 82 231 74 232 64 224 48 237 45901 44002 95 228 83 229 70 222 61 235 44002 42246 103 226 85 231 75 229 73 228 42246 40617 108 225 95 233 86 232 78 225 40617 39103 108 225 104 230 94 229 79 225 39103 37698 109 227 106 225 93 225 80 223 37698 36366 110 227 96 223 86 225 77 222 36366 35041 101 227 92 227 81 228 76 223 35041 33695 94 230 92 226 82 228 79 223 33695 32330 87 228 86 225 80 226 82 221 32330 30928 80 229 82 228 78 224 83 218 30928 29479 79 236 82 230 78 224 81 218 29479 27988 78 238 82 230 79 225 78 220 27988 26459 77 237 78 226 78 224 78 221 26459 24895 77 235 76 224 75 222 77 219 24895 23301 78 232 75 225 73 222 76 216 23301 21673 77 230 73 227 72 221 73 214 21673 20009 69 227 67 227 68 219 69 212 20009 18341 49 220 51 223 63 213 63 209 18341 16753 34 216 49 224 53 205 52 206 16753 15314 37 221 43 226 48 206 44 203 15314 14026 34 224 38 225 43 211 40 205 14026 12867 28 221 35 222 38 218 37 209 12867 11821 23 214 32 218 32 224 33 214 11821 10877 20 209 29 215 26 230 23 221 10877 10028 17 208 26 213 20 236 14 242 10028 9268 15 210 21 212 15 244 9 279 9268 8584 14 214 16 211 13 259 7 306 8584 7960 13 218 13 208 11 277 5 321 7960 7398 12 220 11 208 10 297 3 338 7398 6921 11 223 10 207 9 314 0 352 6921 6550 10 225 9 206 8 327 2 168 6550 6292 8 227 8 206 7 336 2 167 6292 6134 8*228 8*206 5*342 2*168 6134 6043 7*228 7*205 4*343 2*166 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography