DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 82.5 - - 90.1 - - 91.6 - - 91.2 - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 102 - - 447 - - 223 - - 82 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 10520 - - 12620 - - 11055 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6028 - - 13979 - - 15235 - - 13029 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6695 - - 16388 - - 18488 - - 16923 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4418 - - 2303 - - 2780 - - 4379 - - 1447 Hgt.Variab. W* 185 - - 708 - - 598 - - 409 - - 30 W* B/S 14 - - 17 - - 15 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 308 - - 323 - - 342 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 12 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 38 - - 23 - - -21 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8503 - - 432 - - 1751 - - 71 - - -6111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15199 - - 15957 - - 16737 - - 16852 - - 12156 sfcLCL ODpotential -11423 - - -595 - - 607 - - -1220 - - -9457 ODpotential blCL 18118 - - 16983 - - 17881 - - 18143 - - 15502 blCL maxRH 75 - - 77 - - 101 - - 98 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 200 - - 280 - - 240 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m 82.5 - - 90.1 - - 91.6 - - 91.2 - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.9 - - 40.5 - - 38.7 - - 37.9 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.2 - - 87.0 - - 89.7 - - 90.2 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 40.5 - - 38.4 - - 37.8 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 102 - - 447 - - 223 - - 82 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 10520 - - 12620 - - 11055 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 10 - - 103 - - 93 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99417 36 112 30 098 31 107 26 123 19 096 99417 91905 29 097 27 106 30 104 25 097 24 098 91905 86095 28 100 20 104 24 103 27 089 30 093 86095 81290 16 103 14 097 21 100 22 087 26 091 81290 77164 13 105 17 110 17 093 15 080 20 096 77164 73516 14 101 14 106 15 102 11 089 17 099 73516 70223 15 099 11 109 8 104 10 113 9 060 70223 67210 12 085 13 115 7 154 6 104 4 099 67210 64414 6 060 8 095 9 176 2 002 4 063 64414 61709 5 348 2 206 5 167 5 277 3 012 61709 58910 4 300 6 123 0 232 5 247 2 301 58910 56059 7 278 7 005 4 122 3 178 7 227 56059 53381 11 272 13 282 11 284 8 310 3 248 53381 50989 15 269 17 244 20 270 20 279 15 290 50989 48852 16 289 16 279 19 272 21 265 22 282 48852 46907 21 297 20 296 16 295 12 269 20 274 46907 45110 19 296 20 295 17 303 12 313 15 268 45110 43437 18 296 20 293 18 301 17 329 11 273 43437 41868 19 301 20 293 19 302 19 327 9 300 41868 40389 18 299 20 291 24 304 20 319 12 308 40389 38995 20 291 20 290 27 297 21 310 17 309 38995 37656 21 287 21 292 23 288 24 304 18 305 37656 36313 20 290 22 297 21 286 24 302 19 301 36313 34938 18 287 22 300 19 283 20 303 21 294 34938 33537 16 287 18 298 13 275 14 271 18 296 33537 32098 14 292 12 282 12 265 18 264 15 279 32098 30611 13 296 10 281 12 270 17 266 12 254 30611 29079 14 292 9 294 12 281 14 267 10 247 29079 27506 12 286 9 303 11 290 12 269 9 261 27506 25898 10 283 13 296 8 299 9 255 7 258 25898 24256 12 278 13 270 8 305 10 242 8 243 24256 22577 14 273 15 261 10 290 9 238 7 236 22577 20856 14 273 18 258 10 289 7 247 7 231 20856 19118 15 272 16 272 8*292 6 274 4 256 19118 17452 15 277 12*306 7*294 6*283 3 010 17452 15935 14 291 12*325 7 298 6*301 4 047 15935 14575 15 300 12 327 6 303 6 316 2 055 14575 13350 16 299 11 325 7 312 8 336 1 061 13350 12241 16 295 10 322 7 323 9 341 1 273 12241 11237 15 290 9 314 8 328 10 345 2 288 11237 10329 12 286 8 305 8 333 11 348 4 309 10329 9513 9 281 7 294 8 335 11 349 6 324 9513 8776 6 274 6 281 9 337 11 349 10 333 8776 8104 4 262 6 270 9 339 12 350 15 339 8104 7499 2 236 6 261 9 340 12 350 19 341 7499 6987 2*217 6 253 9 341 11 351 21 343 6987 6589 2*220 5 248 8 341 11 351 19 344 6589 6312 2 214 5 246 8 342 11 351 16 344 6312 6143 2 212 5 244 8 342 10 351 12*342 6143 6045 3 210 5 243 7 342 9 351 8*341 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography