DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2220z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 75.9 - - 84.5 - - 82.4 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 374 - - 314 - - 10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 3159 - - 9094 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 8001 - - 12626 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6444 - - 9027 - - 14962 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1026 - - 2464 - - 3236 - - 11871 - - 74 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 448 - - 601 - - 54 - - 18 W* B/S 30 - - 21 - - 18 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 248 - - 326 - - 345 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -11 - - -10 - - -5 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2449 - - -2442 - - 480 - - -8052 - - -7040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8894 - - 11470 - - 14483 - - 14094 - - 13083 sfcLCL ODpotential -6945 - - -5456 - - -971 - - -9613 - - -10715 ODpotential blCL 13389 - - 14483 - - 15933 - - 15655 - - 16757 blCL maxRH 71 - - 66 - - 79 - - 89 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 340 - - 470 - - 330 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 75.9 - - 84.5 - - 82.4 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.3 - - 46.4 - - 41.6 - - 41.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 74.7 - - 82.7 - - 82.0 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.3 - - 46.2 - - 41.4 - - 40.0 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 374 - - 314 - - 10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 3159 - - 9094 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 54 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99484 33 096 32 099 26 096 22 093 26 093 99484 93106 28 097 28 095 24 103 24 090 22 090 93106 87970 26 090 23 091 27 104 22 085 21 086 87970 83592 22 085 22 095 21 101 20 085 20 087 83592 79758 17 091 22 096 15 097 16 084 18 091 79758 76337 14 103 17 095 14 090 13 087 16 092 76337 73221 13 107 11 095 13 089 11 095 12 088 73221 70347 11 107 8 104 8 096 9 105 9 082 70347 67675 8 113 7 112 6 113 7 117 7 091 67675 65084 3 151 3 116 3 098 6 118 5 115 65084 62385 5 235 3 223 3 345 2 105 3 154 62385 59597 8 253 8 245 7 300 4 317 1 267 59597 56945 11 245 13 245 13 268 10 290 7 296 56945 54567 15 238 16 236 17 254 14 266 16 277 54567 52448 20 245 17 236 21 245 22 254 20 268 52448 50532 27 248 22 240 28 235 27 245 23 260 50532 48774 32 245 29 241 31 231 30 241 26 249 48774 47146 35 241 33 241 32 238 33 244 28 245 47146 45623 39 238 36 240 37 246 36 247 31 247 45623 44190 42 236 39 237 42 246 40 246 36 248 44190 42836 44 236 41 235 45 243 44 244 40 246 42836 41522 46 239 43 235 46 241 45 241 44 243 41522 40181 45 243 44 238 46 241 46 240 46 241 40181 38785 40 249 41 242 44 241 45 240 46 242 38785 37338 32 255 34 242 39 241 42 241 42 244 37338 35829 23 261 23 231 32 238 36 243 35 246 35829 34247 16 258 16 213 26 233 30 244 26 244 34247 32597 12 232 11 210 24 224 23 243 19 235 32597 30876 9 203 8 211 19 208 17 232 15 220 30876 29078 6 155 6 193 12 183 13 210 12 212 29078 27200 3 098 4 118 9 141 9 172 10 197 27200 25238 3 012 5 026 9 096 8 119 9 172 25238 23186 8 053 8 035 9 080 9 098 3 131 23186 21090 10 050 11 039 12 074 11 079 7 058 21090 19070 9 065 11 056 13 070 13 052 10 051 19070 17229 11 064 13 063 13 058 13 034 9 046 17229 15584 12 047 15 055 13*031 12 028 9 042 15584 14117 12 037 15 043 12*014 11 024 9 039 14117 12808 12 031 14 032 10 000 9 020 9 034 12808 11642 12 022 14 020 8 343 7 016 8 028 11642 10608 11 009 14 007 6 321 6 012 8 023 10608 9695 9 352 11*355 6 304 5 007 8 017 9695 8889 7 327 7*336 6 296 5 004 8 012 8889 8167 6 303 4 273 6 289 4 001 7 007 8167 7529 5 276 4 238 6 282 4 357 7 359 7529 6997 4 254 5 228 6 277 3 355 6 351 6997 6589 2*250 5 222 6 274 3 352 6 344 6589 6308 1*232 5 220 6 272 3 348 6 341 6308 6139 1 213 5 218 6 271 3 345 7 344 6139 6042 1 205 5 216 5 271 2*345 6*347 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography