DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 48.2 - - 44.1 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 156 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 1926 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6792 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6943 - - 7794 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 662 - - 1717 - - 2814 - - 972 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 285 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 185 - - 185 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -362 - - -1097 - - -2287 - - -845 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7306 - - 8892 - - 8330 - - 6887 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5997 - - -6294 - - -6666 - - -5277 ODpotential blCL - - - 12940 - - 14088 - - 12709 - - 11319 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 74 - - 87 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 48.2 - - 44.1 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 30.3 - - 28.8 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 46.8 - - 46.2 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 29.8 - - 28.5 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 156 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 1926 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 0 - - 48 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96105 23 266 29 265 33 276 35 270 96105 88997 18 271 19 290 12 311 16 295 88997 83554 10 296 10 295 14 303 12 329 83554 79023 5 281 10 273 17 280 15 306 79023 75106 8 294 11 303 12 284 15 306 75106 71629 15 303 16 301 14 288 15 276 71629 68467 16 304 19 301 14 317 9 275 68467 65539 19 305 26 295 22 290 23 276 65539 62824 44 253 50 257 44 263 36 272 62824 60192 46 246 44 249 39 250 39 263 60192 57415 44 264 28 265 30 249 43 253 57415 54508 50 270 43 275 43 262 47 257 54508 51724 58 259 70 263 66 266 61 268 51724 49223 64 253 80 255 81 257 80 263 49223 46997 68 253 79 251 85 247 83 249 46997 44994 75 257 76 252 77 249 75 247 44994 43177 87 259 83 260 83 260 87 257 43177 41525 96 257 98 260 100 258 111 256 41525 40007 98 257 93 252 97 250 110 250 40007 38591 88 255 76 251 83 244 98 248 38591 37260 74 255 69 255 74 247 92 251 37260 35982 72 262 72 257 75 252 91 254 35982 34700 73 262 75 257 79 255 89 254 34700 33386 69 259 78 258 82 258 87 254 33386 32045 67 258 78 259 81 260 82 256 32045 30667 66 260 75 260 77 259 75 258 30667 29245 64 263 71 259 73 258 68 256 29245 27781 61 264 66 258 69 257 65 253 27781 26279 56 263 62 256 65 254 64 250 26279 24741 53 259 60 254 62 249 64 245 24741 23175 52 256 58 252 61 246 64 242 23175 21575 51 255 55 250 60 245 61 242 21575 19934 48 255 52 249 57 245 58 245 19934 18278 43 255 47 250 52 245 55 247 18278 16692 37 255 41 249 46 245 52 247 16692 15251 32 253 36 245 40 243 47 246 15251 13967 29 250 33 240 34 241 41 242 13967 12817 27 246 30 237 29 237 35 234 12817 11784 24 241 27 232 26 232 30 226 11784 10851 21 235 24 229 25 228 27 220 10851 10009 17 228 20 227 23 227 25 219 10009 9253 14 216 16 224 20 228 22 219 9253 8571 12 201 13 215 17 229 19 214 8571 7948 12 183 10*199 12 226 15 204 7948 7388 11*175 8*188 7 215 12 191 7388 6914 7*164 8 186 4 200 10 180 6914 6545 5 152 7 184 4 192 7 168 6545 6289 4 149 7 184 3 190 4 156 6289 6132 4 148 7 183 3*190 2*131 6132 6042 4 148 6 183 2*185 1*097 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography