DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 58.5 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 594 - - 577 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6261 - - 8380 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10620 - - 12345 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12129 - - 14248 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1520 - - 1185 - - - - - 3058 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 657 - - 717 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 10 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 272 - - - - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 4 - - - - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 301 - - 483 - - - - - -3966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11829 - - 13765 - - - - - 10010 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1645 - - -727 - - - - - -7209 ODpotential blCL - - - 13774 - - 14975 - - - - - 13252 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 78 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 58.5 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.2 - - 18.6 - - - - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 55.2 - - - - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 18.2 - - - - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 594 - - 577 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6261 - - 8380 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98058 5 272 2 287 3 293 98058 90609 8 181 6 288 10 338 90609 84920 11 162 10 258 9 342 84920 80235 11 135 7 185 5 318 80235 76177 4 112 5 174 4 143 76177 72570 0 345 5 178 3 157 72570 69305 5 062 5 252 6 146 69305 66302 3 203 10 231 6 217 66302 63502 14 223 12 194 9 195 63502 60775 23 214 19 216 11 256 60775 57924 23 221 23 209 12 243 57924 54972 24 236 25 213 30 247 54972 52182 26 233 25 222 35 237 52182 49704 35 240 33 245 36 241 49704 47507 43 243 39 255 44 243 47507 45535 38 276 48 265 56 244 45535 43743 58 287 59 262 71 243 43743 42090 62 289 64 264 78 238 42090 40540 67 294 68 269 78 239 40540 39079 75 296 71 271 79 245 39079 37706 79 294 71 271 80 249 37706 36392 79 293 70 269 80 249 36392 35078 78 292 68 268 78 248 35078 33735 78 290 68 266 77 247 33735 32367 79 289 68 264 77 249 32367 30962 79 289 70 264 75 251 30962 29512 78 288 71 265 72 252 29512 28018 77 285 70 267 70 252 28018 26485 74 283 69 270 67 252 26485 24916 71 281 67 270 64 252 24916 23314 70 277 63 266 62 251 23314 21675 70 273 59 263 59 252 21675 19999 64 270 58 264 53 254 19999 18321 49 272 52 265 47 252 18321 16727 31 277 36 261 45 246 16727 15287 22 281 17*257 39 241 15287 14005 20 282 10*267 29 238 14005 12856 18*284 10 269 17 229 12856 11819 17*284 10 271 9 210 11819 10882 17 284 10 272 5 195 10882 10035 17 284 10 273 0 197 10035 9274 17 285 10 274 4 008 9274 8587 17 285 10 275 9 009 8587 7961 17 285 10 274 15 009 7961 7398 17 285 10 274 21 009 7398 6921 16 285 10 274 23 009 6921 6550 16 284 9 273 22 009 6550 6292 15 283 9 273 21 009 6292 6134 15 283 9 273 18*009 6134 6043 13 283 8 273 13*009 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography