DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 86.3 - - 86.8 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 415 - - 216 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7249 - - 13819 - - 13592 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11349 - - 16658 - - 15990 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13117 - - 19687 - - 19460 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5122 - - 1661 - - 1934 - - 12405 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 646 - - 757 - - 606 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 263 - - 263 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 18 - - 15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 168 - - 4051 - - 2419 - - -8250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12950 - - 15637 - - 17042 - - 14295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1174 - - 2513 - - 1189 - - -10833 ODpotential blCL - - - 14291 - - 17174 - - 18271 - - 16878 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 91 - - 85 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 610 - - 400 - - 170 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 86.3 - - 86.8 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 38.1 - - 32.4 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 83.5 - - 85.1 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.0 - - 37.9 - - 32.2 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 415 - - 216 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7249 - - 13819 - - 13592 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 63 - - 38 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99023 38 108 33 096 26 094 27 092 99023 91524 33 100 29 108 23 097 25 077 91524 85765 29 090 29 107 19 098 25 074 85765 80968 21 097 19 110 23 097 23 093 80968 76822 21 098 17 114 20 087 19 097 76822 73170 20 096 13 112 15 092 15 105 73170 69865 13 081 14 103 12 123 12 103 69865 66830 6 099 12 071 14 133 11 125 66830 64042 6 183 7 067 12 112 12 104 64042 61364 10 151 5 207 2 075 8 071 61364 58588 7 057 6 214 11 274 8 330 58588 55731 25 303 14 280 14 266 13 281 55731 53032 36 269 28 262 25 261 27 266 53032 50608 43 266 41 268 37 266 35 266 50608 48424 52 266 55 269 49 269 47 266 48424 46438 59 266 61 265 58 268 55 263 46438 44620 64 265 65 260 65 265 60 261 44620 42939 68 263 67 258 67 263 62 261 42939 41369 71 263 68 258 65 262 61 262 41369 39894 73 262 69 258 63 261 59 262 39894 38509 72 261 68 259 61 260 57 261 38509 37186 67 261 64 258 60 260 54 261 37186 35860 60 261 60 259 57 260 52 261 35860 34503 54 262 56 261 53 261 49 260 34503 33120 49 262 48 261 47 262 44 261 33120 31700 43 263 40 262 41 262 39 263 31700 30234 37 267 37 266 36 265 35 265 30234 28727 33 273 35 268 31 267 33 264 28727 27180 28 276 33 268 27 273 29 265 27180 25597 25 279 30 269 26 276 24 270 25597 23983 22 283 27 270 25 276 21 277 23983 22335 20 283 24 276 23 280 19 285 22335 20648 21 284 18*286 18*292 18 286 20648 18946 22 289 15*284 16*290 18 274 18946 17311 21 293 14 277 15 280 18 264 17311 15818 19 298 14 269 15 275 16 257 15818 14477 15 303 14 266 15 272 15 252 14477 13269 11*302 13 264 15 267 14 250 13269 12175 10*298 13 261 15 262 15 247 12175 11184 9 292 13 258 15 258 15 246 11184 10287 7 273 13 256 15 255 16 245 10287 9480 7 247 13 254 15 252 16 245 9480 8752 7 229 13 252 15 249 17 245 8752 8087 7 223 13 251 15 247 17 246 8087 7488 8 218 13 249 15 245 17 248 7488 6980 8 214 12 248 15 244 15 249 6980 6585 8 212 12 248 15 243 13 250 6585 6310 8 210 12 247 14 243 11 249 6310 6142 8 210 11 247 14 242 9*249 6142 6045 7 210 10 246 12 242 5*257 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography