DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.8 - - 84.7 - - 87.3 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 61 - - 424 - - 227 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 177 - - 5266 - - 7859 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6028 - - 9695 - - 11456 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6045 - - 11134 - - 13727 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1405 - - 3824 - - 4183 - - - - - 743 Hgt.Variab. W* 99 - - 553 - - 515 - - - - - 32 W* B/S 11 - - 128 - - 36 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 020 - - 355 - - - - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 7 - - -4 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1190 - - -901 - - 706 - - - - - -3391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7236 - - 12036 - - 13022 - - - - - 9436 sfcLCL ODpotential -5374 - - -2753 - - -775 - - - - - -7870 ODpotential blCL 11419 - - 13887 - - 14502 - - - - - 13915 blCL maxRH 87 - - 92 - - 100 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE 1050 - - 710 - - 800 - - - - - 1020 CAPE Temp@2m 71.8 - - 84.7 - - 87.3 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.2 - - 52.4 - - 50.7 - - - - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 81.8 - - 85.4 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.4 - - 52.1 - - 50.5 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 61 - - 424 - - 227 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 177 - - 5266 - - 7859 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 67 - - 101 - - - - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99280 35 102 39 099 29 101 31 103 99280 91767 33 097 31 089 34 100 29 072 91767 85994 34 096 27 099 34 099 23 067 85994 81202 34 093 25 103 26 097 18 091 81202 77089 27 083 21 104 17 100 20 099 77089 73466 21 082 21 108 14 106 23 093 73466 70196 17 087 20 098 17 106 22 092 70196 67203 12 095 15 091 19 097 19 091 67203 64451 11 111 11 109 16 095 16 090 64451 61817 14 119 13 133 7 107 13 090 61817 59099 18 113 16 125 9 140 7 094 59099 56303 17 104 19 107 14 121 7 121 56303 53654 15 092 12 099 12 096 10 102 53654 51275 14 073 5 109 7 057 9 088 51275 49133 14 073 14 125 8 113 4 119 49133 47166 14 084 18 111 13 119 5 120 47166 45339 12 090 14 103 14 117 10 107 45339 43631 13 099 18 097 18 108 15 096 43631 42026 16 091 22 087 22 102 16 094 42026 40514 21 071 24 075 25 088 19 097 40514 39094 27 054 25 063 25 072 24 097 39094 37740 25 050 25 060 28 074 28 095 37740 36387 22 061 24 074 27 077 28 091 36387 35005 23 069 21 088 24 087 25 099 35005 33593 23 065 23 097 21 096 24 107 33593 32143 21 060 26 098 22 101 22 108 32143 30647 20 062 25 095 23 097 20 109 30647 29108 20 078 24 083 20 096 17 106 29108 27528 21 088 23 082 19 096 13 098 27528 25912 17 082 19 087 14 091 12 092 25912 24266 14 086 15 084 13 072 15 081 24266 22582 11 097 10 079 12 070 14 096 22582 20853 12 095 11 071 11 079 17 108 20853 19116 12 115 13 065 12 058 21 110 19116 17450 11 127 12 059 13 043 21 101 17450 15932 8 112 11 050 12 036 19 094 15932 14570 8 076 10 040 9*028 16 091 14570 13343 9 064 10 028 8*025 12 081 13343 12234 8 063 9 022 7 023 9 066 12234 11230 7 057 8*021 4 007 8 047 11230 10323 6 041 7*022 3 356 8 028 10323 9506 6 022 5 023 2 332 9 009 9506 8771 6 010 2 025 2 309 9 349 8771 8099 6 008 0 241 2 288 10 328 8099 7496 6 008 1 208 2 274 14 309 7496 6985 4 017 2 206 2 264 18 300 6985 6587 2 051 3 203 2 258 19 298 6587 6311 2 096 3 203 2 252 15 304 6311 6142 2*111 3 203 2 251 12*312 6142 6045 2*113 3 201 2 248 7*319 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography