DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.0 - - 44.1 - - 41.8 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 55 - - -1 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2235 - - 3432 - - 2072 - - 1323 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 93 - - 16 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - 1 - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 113 - - 232 - - 211 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -430 - - -1007 - - -702 - - 0 ODpotential blCL - - - 6472 - - 7049 - - 6744 - - 6042 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.0 - - 44.1 - - 41.8 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 39.4 - - 40.4 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 43.4 - - 41.8 - - 39.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 38.5 - - 40.1 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 55 - - -1 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 89 - - 74 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96428 9 357 5 325 6 307 9 321 96428 89370 10 069 10 156 6 329 8 035 89370 83901 15 112 11 137 6 066 10 059 83901 79326 10 122 6 108 4 177 4 030 79326 75367 1 265 4 210 7 220 7 318 75367 71864 10 249 4 218 12 222 15 283 71864 68701 12 265 5 279 9 233 13 250 68701 65786 13 265 14 268 14 265 13 246 65786 63069 18 254 21 265 19 265 19 253 63069 60422 25 251 25 261 21 253 20 249 60422 57635 30 255 27 262 22 261 23 262 57635 54731 29 255 26 258 25 270 31 270 54731 51956 24 256 20 259 28 273 28 270 51956 49454 25 258 19 279 28 276 22 295 49454 47209 23 255 22 277 21 277 23 323 47209 45176 24 263 19 267 24 299 31 337 45176 43311 18 242 19 278 24 300 34 332 43311 41586 6 230 21 284 21 328 35 340 41586 39985 7 291 15 302 23 339 35 348 39985 38493 10 290 12 330 23 355 32 353 38493 37104 13 205 16 358 29 006 33 005 37104 35794 5 124 17 359 28 007 29 015 35794 34505 12 081 20 016 29 017 32 013 34505 33204 20 088 27 025 26 012 22 355 33204 31887 21 086 26 029 24 011 8 355 31887 30537 22 090 20 047 23 014 6 022 30537 29141 23 094 18 062 22 019 11 024 29141 27700 23 100 16 063 19 022 14 359 27700 26214 23 102 13 060 17 027 18 353 26214 24689 21 101 11 060 19 018 20 008 24689 23133 19 110 9 065 21 004 20 026 23133 21541 13 111 10 057 24 354 19 018 21541 19907 7 108 12 044 23 357 19 003 19907 18260 6 076 12 042 19 009 18 355 18260 16682 9 059 11 051 16 015 17 353 16682 15248 10 050 7 053 16 020 18 360 15248 13967 8 040 4 046 16 023 20 006 13967 12817 6 020 3 028 17 024 20 008 12817 11779 4 341 6 359 16 022 20 006 11779 10842 5 293 8 351 14 017 18 002 10842 9997 6 279 10 347 13 010 16 356 9997 9238 7 277 10 345 11 001 14 347 9238 8556 5 279 8 342 9 353 11 336 8556 7935 2 267 6 335 7 345 8 325 7935 7378 1 138 3 304 4 331 6 315 7378 6907 1 098 3 258 3 297 4 302 6907 6541 1 100 3 245 2 239 2 272 6541 6287 1 107 3 236 3 220 2 226 6287 6131 1*111 3 234 3 212 1*210 6131 6042 1*113 3*232 3*211 1*208 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography