DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 81.7 - - 76.5 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 345 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3760 - - 5602 - - 2315 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8430 - - 9885 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9628 - - 11470 - - 8183 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2904 - - 3053 - - 3539 - - 1504 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 458 - - 529 - - 218 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 12 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 178 - - 129 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 16 - - 7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 327 - - 207 - - 382 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9301 - - 11264 - - 7802 - - 6045 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1781 - - -1443 - - -2262 - - -3168 ODpotential blCL - - - 11409 - - 12913 - - 10445 - - 9213 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 97 - - 95 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 1040 - - 590 - - 2060 - - 2130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 81.7 - - 76.5 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 52.8 - - 62.3 - - 64.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 79.2 - - 75.8 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 52.3 - - 61.2 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 345 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3760 - - 5602 - - 2315 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 90 - - 80 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99358 31 091 34 105 34 092 50 094 99358 91855 39 104 26 111 27 099 31 090 91855 86102 40 108 27 105 24 108 22 098 86102 81314 31 096 30 097 29 105 26 100 81314 77187 22 080 29 092 29 098 28 095 77187 73550 20 094 25 086 24 104 24 098 73550 70272 22 104 20 094 23 105 21 097 70272 67286 24 100 17 106 19 088 21 098 67286 64538 20 110 16 111 11 088 19 093 64538 61890 16 114 14 138 8 061 13 075 61890 59149 11 103 13 144 6 124 7 071 59149 56332 9 162 15 161 11 153 9 160 56332 53663 14 194 14 181 13 195 14 191 53663 51265 22 188 23 198 21 212 17 229 51265 49106 22 187 25 202 24 218 22 235 49106 47133 31 207 24 212 28 225 21 242 47133 45318 31 205 22 226 24 220 20 234 45318 43631 23 205 22 236 17 224 16 239 43631 42049 24 198 24 244 16 246 14 269 42049 40555 23 180 22 246 19 261 16 289 40555 39149 19 163 20 258 20 264 18 296 39149 37800 19 145 21 263 19 259 18 295 37800 36444 18 139 12 252 18 250 17 285 36444 35053 15 136 9 222 18 244 15 276 35053 33633 15 140 11 188 17 239 13 269 33633 32173 18 155 15 183 13 225 12 254 32173 30664 25 163 17 182 13 216 11 236 30664 29112 28 167 15 170 15 210 13 241 29112 27520 27 166 17 165 16 200 15 239 27520 25892 22 175 19 164 15 195 12 232 25892 24230 18 182 18 167 14 193 11 224 24230 22533 17 177 16 174 12 199 12 213 22533 20791 17 177 13 183 11 208 12 206 20791 19039 19 173 12 195 9 208 11 203 19039 17365 15 168 15 196 8 200 11 207 17365 15848 12 157 14 184 7 193 9 219 15848 14492 10 158 13 166 7 190 7 230 14492 13274 10 170 12 160 8 188 7 230 13274 12172 10 178 10*165 8 184 8 222 12172 11177 10 178 8*172 8 182 8 212 11177 10277 9*174 8 174 7 178 8 203 10277 9468 7*168 8 176 7 170 8 193 9468 8738 6 164 8 178 6*157 8 181 8738 8074 6 163 8 180 7*137 8 171 8074 7476 6 164 8 180 7 130 5 163 7476 6971 6 167 8 181 6 128 1 118 6971 6580 7 168 9 181 6 126 3 007 6580 6307 6 170 8 180 6 124 5 002 6307 6141 6 170 8 181 6 125 5*001 6141 6045 6 171 8 181 5 125 4*001 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography