DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 50.4 - - 54.6 - - 53.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 368 - - 408 - - 92 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 3076 - - 4073 - - 3026 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 7930 - - 8735 - - 7251 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 8944 - - 9941 - - 8894 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1755 - - 1320 - - 1539 - - 2459 - - 1348 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 440 - - 500 - - 276 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 23 - - 18 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 360 - - 354 - - 351 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -40 - - -31 - - -28 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4652 - - -4619 - - -4883 - - -5793 - - -6575 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10695 - - 13564 - - 14825 - - 14687 - - 12617 sfcLCL ODpotential -12261 - - -11150 - - -10470 - - -11567 - - -14546 ODpotential blCL 18303 - - 20094 - - 20411 - - 20461 - - 20588 blCL maxRH 41 - - 35 - - 34 - - 47 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 50.4 - - 54.6 - - 53.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.4 - - 12.3 - - 10.8 - - 10.7 - - 10.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.7 - - 48.1 - - 52.1 - - 52.7 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.1 - - 11.9 - - 10.3 - - 10.3 - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 368 - - 408 - - 92 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 3076 - - 4073 - - 3026 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96432 5 147 23 266 12 269 11 243 27 288 96432 89300 8 355 2 313 13 229 21 274 12 294 89300 83795 14 280 6 282 15 273 23 272 16 290 83795 79214 12 290 11 245 15 266 9 240 16 256 79214 75256 16 297 19 283 25 301 15 305 15 316 75256 71753 24 269 36 271 34 279 35 287 26 318 71753 68581 19 268 25 244 31 256 35 276 26 299 68581 65649 17 273 17 272 17 274 27 281 25 293 65649 62928 39 295 40 294 32 296 38 312 31 309 62928 60310 53 292 46 291 44 292 46 303 36 303 60310 57581 51 286 43 288 46 286 43 287 39 290 57581 54726 45 274 42 289 44 285 38 280 40 287 54726 51979 42 275 48 295 50 295 42 294 44 295 51979 49498 49 281 54 292 57 296 56 304 51 303 49498 47278 52 276 53 280 58 293 64 302 59 303 47278 45290 47 279 49 274 58 294 66 297 64 301 45290 43506 49 301 50 289 62 296 67 296 67 301 43506 41878 68 314 62 303 65 298 71 298 70 301 41878 40365 77 312 73 305 70 300 74 298 72 301 40365 38948 76 310 78 303 75 299 74 297 73 302 38948 37618 77 312 80 302 78 299 73 298 72 304 37618 36346 78 314 80 301 79 299 72 300 68 305 36346 35069 79 314 81 303 81 300 72 302 64 307 35069 33759 80 315 83 305 80 301 70 304 64 311 33759 32420 79 315 82 307 78 303 67 305 63 313 32420 31040 75 315 77 309 72 305 63 306 62 313 31040 29612 69 315 69 311 67 308 59 309 59 313 29612 28138 63 314 62 312 64 309 56 312 57 314 28138 26622 60 315 58 314 63 311 54 315 55 316 26622 25067 58 316 54 315 60 313 53 319 52 320 25067 23478 54 317 51 317 57 316 51 324 47 323 23478 21849 50 317 48 317 54 318 49 327 41 323 21849 20175 46 318 46 318 50 320 45 328 37 322 20175 18487 43 318 43 318 47 320 41 327 34 321 18487 16871 40 317 39 318 45 322 38 327 33 323 16871 15402 39 316 37 319 43 323 37 327 33 325 15402 14092 38 317 36 320 40 326 34 328 33 328 14092 12918 39 320 35 324 36 329 31 330 32 329 12918 11861 40 325 34 329 30 334 27 333 30 329 11861 10908 40 331 33 336 24 341 22 337 28 332 10908 10051 38 338 30 344 21*347 18 343 25 336 10051 9282 34 347 28*351 19*350 16*347 23 342 9282 8591 31 358 26*355 19 352 16*349 21 349 8591 7962 29 009 25 359 18 353 16 350 20 357 7962 7397 28 017 24 000 18 354 16 351 19 005 7397 6919 25 020 23 001 17 355 15 351 17 010 6919 6548 20 020 21 002 17 355 15 352 15 012 6548 6290 16 019 19 002 15 356 14 352 11 013 6290 6133 12*017 18 003 14 356 13 352 8 012 6133 6042 5*008 14 003 13 356 11 352 5*006 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography