DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.0 - - 32.0 - - 37.2 - - 32.5 - - 28.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 157 - - 152 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 829 - - 1242 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit 6024 - - 6025 - - 6281 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 6697 - - 7110 - - 6042 - - 6041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 357 - - 606 - - 858 - - 847 - - 587 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 215 - - 243 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 181 - - 198 - - 192 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -285 - - -1179 - - -1621 - - -1515 - - -500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6326 - - 7877 - - 8731 - - 7558 - - 6541 sfcLCL ODpotential -9495 - - -8052 - - -6418 - - -8212 - - -8889 ODpotential blCL 15536 - - 14749 - - 13528 - - 14254 - - 14930 blCL maxRH 86 - - 81 - - 88 - - 75 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.0 - - 32.0 - - 37.2 - - 32.5 - - 28.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.9 - - 19.0 - - 20.3 - - 20.8 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.6 - - 30.7 - - 35.8 - - 34.1 - - 32.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.1 - - 18.5 - - 20.0 - - 20.5 - - 21.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 157 - - 152 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 829 - - 1242 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 22 - - 53 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96363 15 079 5 093 7 075 8 088 5 171 96363 89211 14 052 10 101 4 104 6 024 5 053 89211 83687 10 057 7 058 6 102 4 056 5 033 83687 79094 8 037 8 046 7 045 6 007 9 001 79094 75137 10 012 7 355 10 028 6 338 8 346 75137 71646 12 001 9 317 7 344 11 348 11 339 71646 68479 10 013 6 322 16 324 20 312 19 326 68479 65593 12 325 17 315 16 310 19 319 22 313 65593 62946 20 329 13 307 17 335 21 327 18 288 62946 60374 23 319 18 325 24 318 13 301 17 297 60374 57671 30 333 28 326 19 317 25 321 28 302 57671 54855 33 329 32 312 34 308 34 306 39 306 54855 52152 31 322 31 302 44 298 45 305 47 303 52152 49704 32 338 36 315 43 311 45 308 44 298 49704 47481 48 342 48 322 44 318 37 318 44 303 47481 45439 55 333 55 324 41 323 44 328 54 313 45439 43564 49 327 54 327 45 333 59 325 65 314 43564 41835 42 327 50 332 52 339 66 319 63 306 41835 40229 46 338 50 339 55 340 61 317 47 302 40229 38724 52 341 53 342 53 339 51 324 38 313 38724 37311 52 339 53 342 52 342 45 338 44 344 37311 35965 51 336 52 342 57 347 57 358 79 356 35965 34639 49 334 54 344 65 352 100 006 103 357 34639 33306 47 335 58 351 76 358 131 004 111 357 33306 31957 45 337 63 357 94 002 141 002 112 357 31957 30574 40 333 67 359 116 004 127 002 114 356 30574 29149 35 335 64 355 127 006 105 002 108 356 29149 27687 35 340 50 345 118 009 91 360 91 354 27687 26190 36 340 44 326 93 011 89 359 84 350 26190 24659 37 338 42 314 67 006 86 359 80 350 24659 23098 39 337 39 314 50 352 74 358 65 350 23098 21501 40 338 38 318 41 342 59 353 50 339 21501 19863 40 338 39 324 37 336 50 348 44 328 19863 18212 40 338 40 328 38 337 44 345 40 321 18212 16631 37 333 40 331 38 339 39 342 37 318 16631 15193 33 327 38 333 36 339 35 336 35 320 15193 13910 28 324 34 335 34 339 33 332 33 323 13910 12760 25 327 31 338 34 340 32 331 31 326 12760 11725 22 330 29 340 33 338 31 331 29 327 11725 10793 20 331 26 340 28 332 28 331 26 327 10793 9953 18 329 23 337 22 324 24 330 21 325 9953 9201 15 324 19 332 17 315 20 327 15 322 9201 8526 12 315 15 324 13 306 17 321 10 314 8526 7911 10 304 11 313 8 292 13 313 7 293 7911 7359 7 290 7 296 4*257 8 302 6 260 7359 6893 4 278 2*257 4*209 5 292 5 231 6893 6532 1 250 3*185 4 200 2 268 4 205 6532 6282 2 105 3 180 5 195 1 212 3 183 6282 6129 3*091 4 178 5 193 2*190 1 157 6129 6041 3*081 3 180 4 192 1*192 0*057 6041 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography