DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 43.8 - - 38.0 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 144 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 695 - - 881 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6563 - - 6749 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 339 - - 470 - - 545 - - 427 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 212 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 213 - - 213 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5114 - - -5745 - - -4800 - - -4139 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11677 - - 12494 - - 10842 - - 10181 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16410 - - -16930 - - -16519 - - -16973 ODpotential blCL - - - 22973 - - 23679 - - 22561 - - 23015 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 80 - - 84 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 43.8 - - 38.0 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.0 - - 11.1 - - 12.6 - - 11.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 42.5 - - 39.8 - - 37.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.6 - - 10.8 - - 12.3 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 144 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 695 - - 881 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 34 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95458 56 340 52 351 39 000 54 349 95458 88635 49 347 55 002 46 012 51 004 88635 83281 45 356 52 358 49 010 46 016 83281 78823 48 008 46 359 51 005 44 016 78823 74974 47 009 39 005 42 360 44 006 74974 71540 42 008 36 002 34 357 36 360 71540 68403 37 001 31 001 29 357 28 352 68403 65514 32 344 29 353 27 347 24 348 65514 62837 28 333 29 341 22 336 21 330 62837 60246 29 322 29 327 21 335 20 307 60246 57541 27 310 27 312 22 314 22 295 57541 54729 26 310 26 293 24 299 26 279 54729 52059 33 291 35 282 35 289 31 279 52059 49698 46 285 45 282 46 270 43 261 49698 47613 44 290 47 280 48 278 46 265 47613 45734 57 300 66 285 69 277 78 262 45734 44012 82 283 82 278 82 268 81 259 44012 42400 85 280 79 276 78 268 64 267 42400 40880 75 281 73 277 66 271 56 266 40880 39443 68 287 69 281 60 269 51 267 39443 38086 65 290 63 285 58 266 47 266 38086 36781 65 289 62 286 56 276 43 264 36781 35468 64 289 57 286 53 281 41 265 35468 34121 57 286 51 287 47 282 37 264 34121 32743 51 289 45 285 42 283 32 264 32743 31324 44 299 35 280 36 278 32 260 31324 29857 42 300 35 275 37 270 34 257 29857 28345 40 295 35 273 37 268 34 259 28345 26794 42 306 32 278 34 269 27 262 26794 25211 35 311 26 304 33 263 23 260 25211 23598 21 293 21 299 29 258 25 245 23598 21946 15 279 19 269 23 261 27 245 21946 20248 12 264 17 261 21 259 20 245 20248 18536 11 248 15 270 16 263 20 246 18536 16898 10 239 13 272 13 271 15 247 16898 15412 9 239 13 261 12 278 12 251 15412 14087 9 244 13 254 12 276 13 258 14087 12902 8 246 12 253 10 267 12 259 12902 11838 7 246 10 255 7 247 11 251 11838 10882 6 251 8 252 6 220 10 233 10882 10023 5 259 5 256 5 199 10 220 10023 9255 2 281 3 282 4 173 10 213 9255 8565 2 022 2 316 3 151 8 203 8565 7938 4 051 3 319 1 259 7 203 7938 7377 4 050 3 295 4 279 5 235 7377 6904 2*037 2*255 3 287 4 265 6904 6538 1*253 4*218 2 295 1 283 6538 6285 2 216 4 214 2 236 1 001 6285 6131 3 210 4 211 2 216 1*010 6131 6042 3 211 4 210 2*213 1*003 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography