DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.4 - - 54.8 - - 63.0 - - 64.2 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 260 - - 320 - - 24 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1689 - - 5105 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6799 - - 9459 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7557 - - 10973 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 524 - - 1572 - - 3603 - - 11540 - - 431 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 322 - - 499 - - 69 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 17 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 189 - - 215 - - 235 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 13 - - 23 - - 17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3200 - - -4281 - - -3218 - - -8675 - - -5998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9243 - - 11838 - - 14192 - - 14720 - - 12042 sfcLCL ODpotential -10466 - - -8424 - - -5824 - - -10128 - - -9550 ODpotential blCL 16508 - - 15981 - - 16797 - - 16172 - - 15593 blCL maxRH 76 - - 78 - - 90 - - 82 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.4 - - 54.8 - - 63.0 - - 64.2 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 24.1 - - 21.5 - - 20.4 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.0 - - 53.0 - - 60.8 - - 63.9 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 23.8 - - 21.1 - - 20.1 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 260 - - 320 - - 24 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1689 - - 5105 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 12 - - 59 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96218 8 287 6 209 9 264 5 203 12 276 96218 89084 1 266 9 260 12 284 5 249 13 281 89084 83566 8 296 11 294 15 288 13 334 6 350 83566 79011 17 303 13 310 15 312 19 318 19 339 79011 75152 15 297 12 330 10 304 14 294 16 315 75152 71748 17 325 17 332 13 324 9 299 17 315 71748 68669 32 325 29 323 28 315 27 313 29 317 68669 65851 41 309 35 307 36 310 35 316 35 302 65851 63216 42 305 38 302 38 312 42 311 37 308 63216 60628 46 306 41 303 42 308 55 305 41 304 60628 57892 51 304 45 298 49 294 56 299 48 296 57892 55025 51 300 47 290 49 289 55 291 55 288 55025 52268 49 294 49 285 51 286 51 280 56 280 52268 49767 50 290 55 284 54 284 53 275 56 279 49767 47510 57 286 63 282 61 280 62 276 60 280 47510 45454 66 282 71 277 71 275 69 277 63 278 45454 43565 72 276 76 271 75 272 71 278 63 275 43565 41816 75 271 76 267 77 270 74 277 64 272 41816 40191 76 269 74 265 78 267 77 273 69 271 40191 38682 77 269 77 265 80 263 80 267 75 268 38682 37290 81 266 84 265 86 261 86 261 78 262 37290 35982 81 262 87 263 91 259 95 258 83 257 35982 34688 77 258 85 261 91 257 100 256 89 256 34688 33375 76 257 83 258 88 257 97 254 93 256 33375 32040 76 256 83 255 84 257 90 254 92 254 32040 30671 75 257 81 255 79 258 83 255 85 251 30671 29259 73 257 75 255 76 258 79 256 79 251 29259 27807 68 257 68 256 73 257 77 257 77 253 27807 26319 62 258 66 258 71 258 74 258 74 256 26319 24796 58 259 63 259 68 259 69 258 70 258 24796 23241 57 259 58 258 64 259 65 258 67 258 23241 21651 54 258 52 258 59 258 60 258 63 256 21651 20019 51 256 47 258 55 256 55 256 59 253 20019 18377 47 255 45 257 51 253 47 251 49 248 18377 16806 44 256 44 254 48 249 38 241 35 240 16806 15378 40 257 42 253 46 246 30 233 28 243 15378 14096 37 259 40 252 40 241 28 231 26 248 14096 12942 34 258 38 252 35 237 28 232 25 255 12942 11898 30 256 35 253 30*233 27 232 25 264 11898 10951 27 256 32 253 26*228 26 232 27 272 10951 10096 26 257 28 252 23 223 25 233 28 278 10096 9325 25 258 23 248 20 218 24 234 30 282 9325 8630 24 256 18 243 18 213 23 235 30 284 8630 7995 21 253 13*233 15 208 23 235 29 284 7995 7423 15 245 8*207 15 206 22 235 27 283 7423 6937 7 203 7 189 14 205 21 235 23 277 6937 6559 7 158 7 185 14 204 21 236 18 270 6559 6296 7 143 7 183 13 204 20 235 13 264 6296 6136 4 101 7 182 13 203 18*235 10*266 6136 6043 3*072 6 181 11 203 14*235 7*273 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography