DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.5 - - 54.4 - - 48.3 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 172 - - -15 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 724 - - 1409 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6461 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6592 - - 7277 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 472 - - 2317 - - 2489 - - 620 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 264 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 324 - - 006 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -8 - - -13 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3675 - - -6550 - - -7591 - - -5187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10267 - - 13828 - - 13635 - - 11231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12309 - - -12768 - - -14678 - - -12773 ODpotential blCL - - - 18901 - - 20045 - - 20721 - - 18816 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 24 - - 19 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.5 - - 54.4 - - 48.3 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.2 - - 15.1 - - 10.2 - - 13.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 52.9 - - 50.1 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 14.6 - - 9.8 - - 12.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 172 - - -15 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 724 - - 1409 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96249 23 046 31 064 37 067 22 076 96249 89375 25 072 20 086 31 062 30 065 89375 83994 28 084 21 085 23 054 31 048 83994 79458 19 083 21 067 11 070 23 045 79458 75500 16 077 17 043 7 079 9 044 75500 71971 13 046 8 050 5 039 13 048 71971 68749 12 012 3 053 9 012 13 012 68749 65775 9 344 5 026 8 330 14 006 65775 63006 18 310 19 354 15 320 26 319 63006 60342 23 319 28 330 24 316 36 307 60342 57601 32 334 29 313 29 315 35 314 57601 54782 33 319 34 315 34 326 35 318 54782 52096 29 309 40 316 44 326 37 316 52096 49667 29 308 40 307 50 313 43 316 49667 47474 29 300 42 290 51 303 53 310 47474 45468 27 305 41 274 53 293 56 301 45468 43618 35 321 48 303 53 292 57 298 43618 41903 49 324 65 313 52 299 59 299 41903 40307 53 305 64 306 60 304 64 304 40307 38823 56 288 69 297 68 306 70 307 38823 37445 60 285 69 295 72 309 76 308 37445 36138 63 294 70 300 75 311 80 307 36138 34835 61 306 72 306 78 312 81 309 34835 33508 60 312 71 312 79 313 82 310 33508 32163 62 316 70 316 78 312 82 309 32163 30786 61 319 68 317 75 311 79 308 30786 29366 56 321 65 316 71 311 75 310 29366 27906 52 321 61 312 69 313 70 314 27906 26409 50 320 59 309 65 316 67 319 26409 24876 48 319 57 310 62 321 61 323 24876 23313 44 316 55 311 60 325 55 326 23313 21713 41 313 52 313 57 326 51 327 21713 20068 40 312 49 317 52 328 48 332 20068 18407 37 314 43 322 46 332 45 338 18407 16812 33 319 38 327 40 339 42 343 16812 15359 28 324 34 332 36 346 37 345 15359 14059 25 329 31 337 33 352 31 348 14059 12893 23 332 28 342 31 357 25 353 12893 11842 21 334 26 345 28 001 22 001 11842 10895 19 337 24 346 25 005 21 008 10895 10041 17 340 21 346 23 009 20 015 10041 9274 15 343 19 346 22 013 21 019 9274 8585 13 344 17 345 22 014 21 021 8585 7958 10 343 13 342 21 012 22 022 7958 7394 6 335 10*337 21 009 23 019 7394 6917 3*313 8*332 19 007 22 015 6917 6546 2*223 6 326 16 007 17 011 6546 6289 2 206 5 320 12 007 12 009 6289 6132 3 199 5 317 10*008 6*007 6132 6043 3 198 4 312 6*006 1*347 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography