DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.7 - - 49.6 - - 55.4 - - 48.0 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 81 - - 117 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 450 - - 828 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6318 - - 6696 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 312 - - 600 - - 1247 - - 672 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 142 - - 195 - - 16 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 16 - - 8 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 174 - - 240 - - 235 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2245 - - -2963 - - -4432 - - -3798 - - -2771 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8287 - - 9281 - - 11129 - - 9842 - - 8815 sfcLCL ODpotential -12293 - - -10383 - - -10584 - - -11376 - - -11566 ODpotential blCL 18335 - - 16701 - - 17280 - - 17419 - - 17609 blCL maxRH 44 - - 48 - - 38 - - 37 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.7 - - 49.6 - - 55.4 - - 48.0 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 30.4 - - 28.0 - - 26.5 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 48.8 - - 54.2 - - 51.7 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.7 - - 29.6 - - 27.6 - - 26.1 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 81 - - 117 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 450 - - 828 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96155 30 339 29 312 31 315 27 316 31 294 96155 89197 24 350 21 349 18 337 18 304 29 306 89197 83748 20 007 22 010 14 347 10 337 20 325 83748 79172 17 003 17 350 15 344 14 350 18 348 79172 75198 14 017 8 315 13 333 19 334 22 340 75198 71678 13 339 6 321 9 331 20 314 25 321 71678 68491 15 322 13 322 12 323 18 315 20 311 68491 65561 14 319 17 295 18 319 26 317 21 317 65561 62857 25 325 23 282 28 299 33 293 30 311 62857 60276 36 318 28 304 27 304 35 295 34 313 60276 57604 46 303 39 313 34 322 31 315 33 318 57604 54825 43 291 40 305 40 313 38 326 36 325 54825 52165 30 307 36 303 37 304 37 315 40 322 52165 49765 31 326 32 314 30 305 34 297 40 314 49765 47613 32 328 30 312 30 309 33 295 40 309 47613 45662 29 327 27 302 31 310 31 304 36 306 45662 43882 27 323 26 304 29 312 30 312 29 306 43882 42245 25 317 27 309 27 314 29 306 23 305 42245 40725 26 307 27 309 24 317 28 296 23 308 40725 39298 27 303 27 308 25 315 27 296 24 307 39298 37955 26 301 26 305 27 312 28 303 23 307 37955 36665 25 298 26 299 27 310 33 309 21 307 36665 35366 26 295 28 296 28 312 37 311 20 311 35366 34033 27 294 29 296 29 315 38 315 21 317 34033 32671 27 295 27 300 32 315 40 320 22 322 32671 31271 27 301 25 307 35 315 42 320 23 327 31271 29823 28 310 26 309 36 315 43 317 23 332 29823 28333 25 315 25 304 35 312 43 317 24 335 28333 26802 21 314 24 296 33 308 36 317 25 338 26802 25236 21 301 23 288 31 305 25 319 26 338 25236 23638 24 294 24 288 29 304 18 324 25 334 23638 22002 26 297 25 292 25 305 16 320 26 326 22002 20320 26 306 25 298 23 305 18 311 27 323 20320 18623 27 316 23 305 22 302 21 310 27 327 18623 16995 26 322 23 310 23 302 24 316 25 333 16995 15514 24 324 23 313 24 308 24 325 23 338 15514 14190 23 328 23 316 24 316 24 334 23 344 14190 13003 21 331 22 322 24 325 23 342 23 351 13003 11934 19 334 21 331 23 334 22 349 24 358 11934 10969 18 334 19 339 22 344 20 355 24 005 10969 10101 15 334 16 346 19 351 18 360 23 011 10101 9322 13 333 13 353 15 356 16 004 21 017 9322 8621 10 333 11 000 10 356 13 006 19 021 8621 7984 7 330 9 011 7 348 11 006 17 024 7984 7412 5 325 7 020 4 308 8 358 16 024 7412 6928 3 334 5 028 4*268 5 345 14 020 6928 6552 2 024 2*035 4*247 3 332 11 014 6552 6292 3 062 1*170 5 240 2 296 8 009 6292 6134 3*063 2 175 4 237 1*248 4*005 6134 6043 3*054 2 176 4 234 1*235 2*347 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography