DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 62.5 - - 69.6 - - 68.7 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 295 - - 337 - - 44 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 3378 - - 4912 - - 3558 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 8092 - - 9331 - - 6780 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 9246 - - 10780 - - 9426 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 325 - - 1704 - - 1956 - - 2388 - - 2340 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 423 - - 502 - - 232 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 11 - - 14 - - 20 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 007 - - 358 - - 348 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -16 - - -24 - - -34 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3270 - - -4541 - - -5998 - - -7905 - - -9730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9314 - - 13788 - - 16779 - - 17332 - - 15775 sfcLCL ODpotential -12910 - - -12237 - - -13010 - - -14685 - - -18519 ODpotential blCL 18953 - - 21483 - - 23790 - - 24111 - - 24563 blCL maxRH 49 - - 44 - - 31 - - 40 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 62.5 - - 69.6 - - 68.7 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 23.2 - - 16.9 - - 13.8 - - 11.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 60.3 - - 67.3 - - 68.2 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 22.5 - - 15.9 - - 12.8 - - 11.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 295 - - 337 - - 44 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 3378 - - 4912 - - 3558 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96623 11 262 20 273 23 283 20 301 27 276 96623 89500 8 053 17 226 14 251 10 293 13 303 89500 84040 9 034 4 142 5 147 18 220 18 297 84040 79486 11 033 9 079 8 097 4 159 2 070 79486 75552 7 344 9 019 11 099 6 130 9 044 75552 72064 2 359 5 166 2 152 2 017 9 076 72064 68880 5 041 6 104 18 180 10 254 9 028 68880 65945 3 042 4 337 4 077 2 015 4 284 65945 63227 4 246 8 274 18 267 13 347 10 308 63227 60623 16 331 12 336 18 249 17 304 13 316 60623 57956 12 318 30 339 31 331 24 327 21 344 57956 55202 31 333 40 329 39 332 31 340 30 344 55202 52559 49 348 38 345 34 333 33 352 38 346 52559 50165 54 354 36 357 35 342 43 344 45 339 50165 48014 52 355 44 351 43 343 50 335 48 336 48014 46064 52 350 57 341 54 337 57 331 51 335 46064 44281 55 344 63 332 63 332 63 329 53 337 44281 42640 56 339 65 330 68 331 65 330 52 339 42640 41114 59 339 71 334 71 333 67 332 47 344 41114 39680 65 341 76 337 74 335 68 334 46 348 39680 38327 70 343 76 338 74 335 70 336 48 348 38327 37026 71 346 76 339 72 335 71 336 51 347 37026 35717 67 349 75 341 69 335 70 336 51 346 35717 34373 61 352 74 343 69 336 69 337 48 345 34373 33002 56 354 70 342 69 337 67 337 46 346 33002 31590 53 355 65 339 68 336 65 336 47 346 31590 30130 52 355 58 336 65 336 65 336 51 345 30130 28625 54 354 54 337 61 335 64 336 54 344 28625 27077 57 353 53 339 59 334 63 338 56 344 27077 25490 58 351 55 343 59 336 61 341 57 345 25490 23867 55 350 57 346 61 340 60 345 58 349 23867 22204 48 348 54 349 62 346 59 350 59 352 22204 20495 41 345 47 350 57 348 54 354 58 355 20495 18772 37 344 39 347 45 348 46 354 52 355 18772 17123 36 349 35 345 35 346 37 351 45 353 17123 15626 36 355 34 348 31 348 32 347 38 350 15626 14291 36 001 34 353 30 353 29 345 34 347 14291 13094 35 006 34 358 27 357 28 346 32 346 13094 12016 34 009 30 000 23 358 26 347 31 345 12016 11042 33 011 26 003 20*359 24 347 31 344 11042 10165 33 012 21 004 17*358 23*347 31 345 10165 9377 32 011 18*005 16 357 22*348 30 348 9377 8668 32 010 16*005 15 358 22 348 30 350 8668 8022 31 008 14 006 15 358 21 348 29 352 8022 7441 27 006 12 006 14 358 21 348 27 353 7441 6948 20 004 10 007 14 358 20 349 23 353 6948 6566 12 004 9 008 13 359 18 348 17 351 6566 6300 5 009 8 008 12 360 17 348 12 347 6300 6137 2*028 7 008 11 360 15 348 8*336 6137 6044 2*167 6 009 10 359 12 348 5*315 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography