DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.4 - - 82.7 - - 88.2 - - 88.9 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 397 - - 258 - - 35 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 630 - - 3123 - - 10688 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6028 - - 7991 - - 13787 - - 6029 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top 6498 - - 8991 - - 16556 - - 6045 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1313 - - 5612 - - 3036 - - 14979 - - 12655 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 455 - - 594 - - 79 - - 0 W* B/S 13 - - 26 - - 18 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 118 - - 170 - - 289 - - 236 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 11 - - -17 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1593 - - -3041 - - 1749 - - -10025 - - -8494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8092 - - 12032 - - 14808 - - 16071 - - 14540 sfcLCL ODpotential -5875 - - -5373 - - 418 - - -11118 - - -11326 ODpotential blCL 12373 - - 14364 - - 16138 - - 17163 - - 17371 blCL maxRH 88 - - 63 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 690 - - 800 - - 560 - - 220 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 71.4 - - 82.7 - - 88.2 - - 88.9 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.3 - - 50.5 - - 43.8 - - 39.1 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 80.0 - - 86.2 - - 88.3 - - 85.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.1 - - 50.2 - - 43.6 - - 38.7 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 397 - - 258 - - 35 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 630 - - 3123 - - 10688 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 0 - - 102 - - 99 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99042 43 101 41 109 25 109 30 074 40 084 99042 91642 34 095 35 096 30 095 29 095 32 101 91642 85951 28 097 28 099 34 085 29 102 30 108 85951 81212 26 102 21 097 26 092 31 093 28 107 81212 77116 23 109 15 112 19 100 26 090 25 094 77116 73508 20 097 17 129 13 104 16 098 19 082 73508 70254 15 100 16 114 14 116 11 126 15 078 70254 67258 11 097 15 111 11 121 11 140 7 073 67258 64481 9 106 9 115 10 129 9 144 2 082 64481 61804 7 137 8 128 6 150 4 147 5 193 61804 59030 7 182 2 244 5 169 2 203 5 196 59030 56171 2 231 6 245 5 236 4 283 5 274 56171 53463 6 320 6 280 10 284 4 307 5 258 53463 51038 9 323 8 296 16 281 17 299 13 305 51038 48870 13 323 9 282 13 255 19 271 20 274 48870 46900 15 319 8 298 7 269 13 268 18 275 46900 45080 27 321 23 316 21 321 20 307 22 299 45080 43382 40 302 39 308 34 312 31 298 34 292 43382 41793 41 298 43 302 41 306 31 296 30 289 41793 40296 39 299 43 301 43 303 35 300 32 290 40296 38890 40 298 42 301 44 302 40 296 34 288 38890 37544 39 299 40 301 44 303 41 294 36 287 37544 36194 38 299 38 302 42 305 38 297 38 290 36194 34815 35 297 35 304 37 304 32 302 36 296 34815 33415 32 297 33 302 32 301 26 303 28 299 33415 31976 25 300 28 300 28 297 22 298 19 294 31976 30488 18 300 21 300 23 295 21 296 14 285 30488 28956 16 299 19 294 17 298 22 297 17 285 28956 27386 10 304 15 291 18 291 20 299 22 290 27386 25784 7 298 11 287 17 288 17 300 24 292 25784 24152 9 286 9 275 13 291 16 296 21 288 24152 22486 11 286 9 283 11 282 14 278 20 294 22486 20782 15 288 12 297 12 294 13 288 19 302 20782 19064 17 285 14 301 13 306 12 289 14 304 19064 17413 15 285 15 298 13*307 12 288 10 300 17413 15905 13 283 15 303 12*306 11 284 10 292 15905 14553 11 287 14 316 10 306 10 279 9 286 14553 13333 6 305 11 330 9 307 10 273 9 280 13333 12230 5 008 9 340 8 304 9 267 9 275 12230 11230 8 026 6 354 5 291 9 262 9 270 11230 10326 10 025 5 018 5 276 8 258 8 264 10326 9512 10 021 3*044 4 265 8 253 8 259 9512 8777 8 014 2*069 4 255 7 249 7 253 8777 8106 6 006 2 144 4 249 7 246 6 246 8106 7502 2 350 4 176 4 242 7 244 5 238 7502 6989 1 263 4 178 4 239 7 241 5 227 6989 6590 1*130 5 178 4 237 6 239 4 210 6590 6312 2*117 5 178 4 236 6 238 3 179 6312 6143 2 119 5 178 4 236 6*238 2*151 6143 6045 2 118 5 177 4 234 5*236 2*144 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography