DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.1 - - 92.4 - - 91.4 - - 80.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 534 - - 223 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10306 - - 14223 - - 13661 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13846 - - 17150 - - 16075 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16174 - - 20091 - - 19529 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2236 - - 2543 - - 3580 - - 8215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 723 - - 831 - - 614 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 19 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 322 - - 331 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 48 - - 19 - - -25 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2896 - - -558 - - -1423 - - -13069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19071 - - 20650 - - 20953 - - 19115 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5271 - - -1947 - - -3176 - - -16371 ODpotential blCL - - - 21445 - - 22038 - - 22705 - - 22416 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 46 - - 42 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.1 - - 92.4 - - 91.4 - - 80.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.4 - - 21.0 - - 18.9 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 89.0 - - 89.5 - - 84.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 20.8 - - 18.7 - - 17.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 534 - - 223 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10306 - - 14223 - - 13661 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98977 31 106 38 092 35 098 27 096 98977 91480 38 100 34 121 28 089 28 090 91480 85702 34 104 27 123 23 105 26 077 85702 80930 22 106 22 104 23 101 21 089 80930 76834 22 117 22 095 21 095 21 091 76834 73222 17 089 18 114 21 093 15 089 73222 69970 15 080 17 104 19 105 14 094 69970 66981 12 091 6 088 18 086 18 112 66981 64202 8 078 8 125 8 042 15 068 64202 61530 4 030 5 070 5 019 14 038 61530 58789 6 050 4 017 6 337 8 342 58789 55966 4 343 7 332 7 305 9 289 55966 53263 16 301 21 321 23 323 16 309 53263 50818 28 292 34 304 33 313 30 319 50818 48627 34 294 41 298 43 311 43 315 48627 46642 37 299 45 298 48 309 50 309 46642 44819 43 306 49 299 53 310 56 307 44819 43127 50 310 53 300 58 309 59 306 43127 41543 54 311 56 301 62 308 61 308 41543 40055 54 309 57 300 63 307 62 309 40055 38659 53 306 57 299 62 305 60 310 38659 37324 52 304 55 299 59 303 55 311 37324 35989 49 303 54 297 55 301 49 311 35989 34623 46 301 52 296 51 299 45 310 34623 33233 43 299 48 293 47 298 42 309 33233 31806 40 297 44 292 43 299 36 309 31806 30335 38 298 40 294 39 300 29 313 30335 28825 32 301 35 296 32 302 21 316 28825 27282 23 305 23 297 22 302 15 319 27282 25706 16 305 13 294 12 291 11 320 25706 24097 12 296 11 300 8 305 9 318 24097 22449 10 286 11 303 7 324 7 319 22449 20752 9 286 7*319 6*329 8 331 20752 19034 10 295 5*324 6*326 11 336 19034 17383 12*307 5 324 7 324 14 336 17383 15876 12*310 5 321 8 324 16 336 15876 14525 12 310 6 320 8 325 17 335 14525 13308 11 310 7 320 10 327 17 336 13308 12207 10 305 8 321 11 330 16 336 12207 11210 9 297 9 322 12 333 16 339 11210 10308 8 286 10 323 13 334 16 342 10308 9497 7 273 10 323 13 335 15 345 9497 8765 7 259 11 323 13 336 15 349 8765 8097 7 249 11 322 14 336 15 353 8097 7495 6 240 11 322 14 337 15 356 7495 6984 6 233 11 322 13 337 15 358 6984 6587 6 230 11 321 13 337 14 359 6587 6311 6 227 11 321 13 337 11 001 6311 6142 6 225 10 321 12 337 9*360 6142 6045 6 224 10 320 11 337 7*359 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography