DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 56.7 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 65 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1287 - - 1562 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6027 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 7155 - - 7430 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2745 - - 3476 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 216 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 214 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 42 - - 29 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1112 - - 1387 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6043 - - 6044 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -154 - - -1099 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 7309 - - 8529 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 82 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 490 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 56.7 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 50.9 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 56.1 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 49.5 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 65 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1287 - - 1562 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 30 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97554 18 290 24 295 97554 90344 11 285 15 298 90344 84787 6 279 12 278 84787 80151 2 040 3 255 80151 76146 6 010 2 112 76146 72626 7 305 3 280 72626 69453 6 226 5 290 69453 66534 8 163 7 242 66534 63824 6 185 7 248 63824 61212 13 236 11 253 61212 58512 24 221 23 213 58512 55720 24 220 27 225 55720 53038 37 235 37 240 53038 50595 49 237 48 239 50595 48386 61 238 61 239 48386 46367 74 236 75 238 46367 44506 85 233 91 235 44506 42779 93 233 103 233 42779 41162 98 235 109 232 41162 39642 100 237 109 233 39642 38211 98 238 110 236 38211 36841 94 237 113 237 36841 35468 90 235 111 236 35468 34066 86 233 104 233 34066 32644 84 233 96 229 32644 31190 83 233 89 227 31190 29697 84 233 87 227 29697 28171 83 232 86 227 28171 26618 81 230 84 227 26618 25043 77 228 81 227 25043 23447 74 227 80 226 23447 21819 72 226 78 226 21819 20152 66 225 73 226 20152 18476 53 222 60 225 18476 16874 43 217 47 219 16874 15421 41 215 43 218 15421 14123 40 215 41 216 14123 12959 37 212 40 212 12959 11909 35 208 38 209 11909 10959 34 204 37 208 10959 10100 33 202 35 208 10100 9328 31 201 32 209 9328 8631 29 200 30 211 8631 7995 27 200 27*212 7995 7423 26*200 26*213 7423 6938 23*200 23 213 6938 6560 21 199 20 214 6560 6297 19 199 18 214 6297 6136 18 199 17 213 6136 6044 14 198 14 214 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography