DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.0 - - 29.8 - - 36.2 - - 33.0 - - 24.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 98 - - 246 - - -16 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 2825 - - 4780 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit 6024 - - 7189 - - 9093 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 8693 - - 10648 - - 6042 - - 6041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 582 - - 1915 - - 2629 - - 6691 - - 2455 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 280 - - 447 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 20 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 328 - - 325 - - 333 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -13 - - -28 - - -22 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2824 - - -1697 - - -2032 - - -6462 - - -4483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8866 - - 10390 - - 12680 - - 12505 - - 10525 sfcLCL ODpotential -9593 - - -6547 - - -5230 - - -9956 - - -9111 ODpotential blCL 15634 - - 15240 - - 15878 - - 15998 - - 15152 blCL maxRH 39 - - 46 - - 45 - - 40 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.0 - - 29.8 - - 36.2 - - 33.0 - - 24.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.1 - - 5.7 - - 1.7 - - -0.5 - - 0.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.3 - - 28.8 - - 34.6 - - 33.3 - - 27.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.1 - - 4.6 - - 0.6 - - -1.0 - - 0.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 98 - - 246 - - -16 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 2825 - - 4780 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94912 110 261 102 267 94 267 100 266 110 263 94912 88103 70 269 70 262 81 274 79 276 75 275 88103 82890 51 286 49 261 57 272 66 281 54 281 82890 78490 47 291 35 266 43 265 52 278 45 279 78490 74621 35 285 29 271 36 261 40 271 45 278 74621 71174 29 283 32 279 33 267 36 271 46 285 71174 68047 40 282 38 283 31 274 37 277 44 288 68047 65154 36 266 41 271 35 274 39 280 43 279 65154 62450 27 261 40 262 43 275 40 276 40 275 62450 59804 38 286 42 268 51 274 38 277 39 272 59804 57008 53 287 45 270 50 270 41 279 41 271 57008 54074 55 280 46 271 47 261 44 270 49 281 54074 51267 51 271 46 265 44 261 47 275 57 287 51267 48743 46 276 41 261 48 279 54 286 58 288 48743 46468 52 288 43 283 51 283 60 289 58 292 46468 44391 55 289 48 288 45 277 62 291 61 297 44391 42492 49 286 46 288 40 284 62 298 63 303 42492 40750 44 286 49 295 45 301 65 305 66 310 40750 39145 47 293 55 302 55 310 71 310 73 315 39145 37664 51 293 61 305 68 314 76 312 81 315 37664 36297 50 299 66 308 78 314 80 313 88 315 36297 35007 56 316 71 312 84 313 81 315 92 315 35007 33730 62 321 72 316 84 314 81 318 95 316 33730 32433 58 322 69 316 80 316 80 321 94 316 32433 31121 53 325 61 313 76 317 77 323 90 318 31121 29782 51 326 55 310 72 317 74 324 85 319 29782 28407 48 323 53 310 69 317 72 323 82 322 28407 26997 45 319 53 311 65 316 70 324 77 329 26997 25552 43 314 53 313 61 317 69 325 75 338 25552 24073 42 311 50 313 57 318 69 327 75 344 24073 22561 41 310 47 314 55 320 69 329 74 345 22561 21012 40 311 43 314 54 322 69 330 70 343 21012 19425 38 313 41 314 52 324 66 330 64 340 19425 17828 36 315 39 314 50 325 61 331 58 339 17828 16304 34 319 38 314 47 326 54 332 52 341 16304 14920 32 322 36 316 43 327 47 333 46 345 14920 13685 30 326 34 319 39 327 42 331 41 347 13685 12577 28 329 32 322 33 327 37 329 38 345 12577 11580 27 332 29 326 28 326 33 328 37 342 11580 10679 25 334 27 330 25*326 31 329 36 339 10679 9866 25 336 23 333 23*325 29 330 35 339 9866 9136 24 338 19*334 22 325 28 331 34 342 9136 8478 25 340 15*332 22 325 27 332 34 346 8478 7878 25 341 12 330 21 326 26 333 33 351 7878 7339 25 343 11 329 20 325 25 334 30 353 7339 6882 23 346 10 325 19 325 23 334 27 353 6882 6526 19 349 9 324 18 325 21 334 21 352 6526 6279 15 352 8 322 17 324 19 334 16 351 6279 6128 10*353 7 322 16 324 16*333 11*349 6128 6041 5*349 6 319 13 323 11*333 6*343 6041 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography