DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 48.9 - - 55.4 - - 53.8 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 192 - - 259 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1386 - - 2742 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6486 - - 7566 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7254 - - 8610 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 416 - - 1725 - - 2967 - - 4528 - - 893 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 272 - - 377 - - 41 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 233 - - 238 - - 210 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 11 - - 12 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3268 - - -4405 - - -4629 - - -6738 - - -4271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9311 - - 11659 - - 13240 - - 12782 - - 10314 sfcLCL ODpotential -11738 - - -11260 - - -10295 - - -12377 - - -12306 ODpotential blCL 17780 - - 18514 - - 18905 - - 18420 - - 18349 blCL maxRH 50 - - 48 - - 52 - - 41 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 48.9 - - 55.4 - - 53.8 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.6 - - 19.3 - - 18.6 - - 19.2 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 47.4 - - 53.4 - - 53.4 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.5 - - 19.0 - - 18.2 - - 18.9 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 192 - - 259 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1386 - - 2742 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96771 14 106 8 104 2 012 4 296 6 345 96771 89629 14 087 12 103 9 071 10 103 10 020 89629 84109 11 084 8 072 9 106 10 104 7 043 84109 79518 8 073 4 073 5 099 7 085 8 078 79518 75539 10 074 4 134 1 095 1 030 8 071 75539 72011 7 038 8 151 3 326 1 119 8 036 72011 68823 6 352 4 155 7 286 9 338 8 001 68823 65909 7 300 3 280 10 257 10 314 5 317 65909 63210 9 284 10 276 14 277 14 305 15 321 63210 60604 16 290 16 260 19 270 20 281 28 295 60604 57888 25 283 17 275 18 278 19 269 26 273 57888 55040 29 272 23 287 26 293 22 285 21 268 55040 52293 29 266 24 276 25 277 23 283 26 280 52293 49807 27 269 19 279 20 266 24 282 30 274 49807 47573 25 278 23 296 21 282 27 283 32 284 47573 45545 21 276 29 279 26 283 31 276 38 278 45545 43687 21 309 21 269 27 277 30 266 43 256 43687 41986 44 342 16 296 23 303 34 320 33 334 41986 40431 44 334 28 322 29 325 42 315 48 331 40431 38999 40 347 32 318 29 314 36 309 44 317 38999 37666 56 004 38 351 32 010 30 303 34 315 37666 36395 71 005 69 007 58 018 16 344 20 337 36395 35122 82 006 80 006 57 011 34 025 21 356 35122 33816 79 010 69 007 43 006 40 024 21 351 33816 32484 61 014 48 012 30 002 27 013 21 340 32484 31113 47 018 34 009 22 349 17 339 19 331 31113 29694 43 019 29 005 19 339 18 306 15 327 29694 28227 44 015 26 004 16 332 19 298 14 326 28227 26713 41 013 25 006 20 319 19 307 15 324 26713 25156 30 012 25 002 24 327 22 327 16 325 25156 23561 24 357 26 359 26 332 25 332 15 331 23561 21929 23 346 30 357 25 333 24 329 16 321 21929 20255 22 340 27 355 22 331 18 330 13 301 20255 18563 21 329 19 351 16 324 12 326 8 257 18563 16935 20 319 13 343 11 318 11 312 10 260 16935 15453 16 315 8 334 8 314 11 306 12 281 15453 14133 13 314 6 329 7 319 10 303 13 288 14133 12952 10 313 6 330 7 330 7 298 13 284 12952 11891 9 313 6 325 10 339 6 298 12 278 11891 10934 6 317 5 318 11 340 6 318 13 274 10934 10072 4 331 5 311 10 332 7 320 13 272 10072 9299 3 358 4 305 8*317 6 301 13 272 9299 8604 3 037 3 295 6*285 7 265 12 272 8604 7972 2 073 3 280 7 252 7 244 10 273 7972 7404 2 102 3*267 7 235 8 224 7 272 7404 6923 2 119 3*248 8 229 8 218 5 269 6923 6550 2 114 3 235 8 226 9 215 2 275 6550 6291 1 073 4 228 8 223 8 213 1 352 6291 6133 1 047 4 225 8 223 8*212 2*018 6133 6043 2*030 3 223 7 221 7*210 3*011 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography