DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 52.8 - - 52.3 - - 52.0 - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 25 - - 39 - - -1 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 728 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6596 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1084 - - 2011 - - 3444 - - 4225 - - 1784 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 122 - - 84 - - 29 - - 42 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 120 - - 132 - - 103 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 553 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -2013 - - -859 - - -303 - - -492 - - -302 ODpotential blCL 8056 - - 7455 - - 6346 - - 6535 - - 6345 blCL maxRH 99 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 680 - - 900 - - 870 - - 890 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 52.8 - - 52.3 - - 52.0 - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.1 - - 49.0 - - 50.7 - - 50.3 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 52.4 - - 51.6 - - 51.8 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.5 - - 48.0 - - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 25 - - 39 - - -1 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 728 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 92 - - 98 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97401 8 205 14 231 16 234 20 259 18 268 97401 90060 3 213 8 194 5 168 5 206 7 197 90060 84487 7 197 2 088 4 325 4 118 5 155 84487 79868 3 122 2 116 6 292 6 076 4 165 79868 75891 6 056 9 113 5 232 1 214 2 119 75891 72377 6 066 12 098 7 147 10 231 6 340 72377 69196 2 356 5 096 6 095 7 197 4 351 69196 66274 5 278 3 184 10 296 2 332 7 360 66274 63557 7 217 4 168 11 224 8 220 11 274 63557 60928 11 244 5 289 8 194 6 223 11 238 60928 58179 19 219 17 237 10 204 7 233 15 191 58179 55298 21 232 25 235 25 241 25 248 20 253 55298 52539 27 224 39 221 37 222 37 218 31 242 52539 50054 34 234 43 220 36 231 35 223 40 228 50054 47817 49 228 45 222 49 236 47 238 43 225 47817 45772 57 220 53 217 61 231 59 237 47 228 45772 43884 63 210 58 215 69 220 66 231 53 227 43884 42137 65 204 65 213 72 214 70 224 58 224 42137 40516 66 203 65 208 74 208 69 215 63 217 40516 39013 67 203 64 204 74 203 67 209 66 211 39013 37616 68 203 63 203 74 200 67 204 67 207 37616 36287 69 201 67 205 73 198 69 199 71 201 36287 34961 74 198 77 205 71 198 70 195 74 195 34961 33615 81 195 81 200 73 197 72 194 75 191 33615 32250 82 191 80 197 78 196 74 193 76 189 32250 30855 79 189 75 195 81 194 75 192 77 187 30855 29420 74 189 70 192 79 191 73 190 75 185 29420 27948 66 189 63 192 73 186 69 189 67 185 27948 26444 56 189 53 189 64 183 60 188 53 185 26444 24908 49 189 51 182 53 181 48 182 40 182 24908 23338 45 187 49 178 47 180 44 174 38 183 23338 21729 43 183 48 176 46 181 40 175 34 182 21729 20077 42 178 47 175 43 180 38 181 34 183 20077 18411 41 175 45 175 41 180 41 185 35 185 18411 16816 39 173 43 174 40 183 40 187 36 185 16816 15368 36 174 38 175 38 185 37 190 37 184 15368 14075 32 176 34 176 35 185 34 192 35 183 14075 12916 29 177 32 179 31 187 29 195 31 182 12916 11870 27 177 28 181 26 189 22 197 25 178 11870 10923 26 175 24 181 21 190 15 192 20 174 10923 10067 23 174 21 175 17 185 10 170 16 172 10067 9297 18 161 19 164 13 176 10 146 13 173 9297 8604 15 139 19 155 12 167 10 137 10 178 8604 7973 17 138 16 150 11 161 10 128 8 184 7973 7405 16 134 14 149 10 158 9 124 7 187 7405 6925 12 115 10*143 9 151 9 116 4 208 6925 6552 11 084 6*130 8 140 9 110 2 267 6552 6293 10 052 5 119 7 134 9 106 3 306 6293 6134 10*042 5 115 7*133 8*105 4*314 6134 6043 7*039 4 113 6*132 6*103 4*316 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography