DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.2 - - 92.8 - - 85.5 - - 84.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 284 - - -16 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6394 - - 12451 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10616 - - 15279 - - 6029 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12262 - - 18319 - - 6045 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3453 - - 2096 - - 12277 - - 8826 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 599 - - 645 - - 60 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 30 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 028 - - 332 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 37 - - -10 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1367 - - 2960 - - -5361 - - -6819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13630 - - 15360 - - 11406 - - 12864 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3505 - - 1280 - - -8224 - - -9769 ODpotential blCL - - - 15767 - - 17039 - - 14269 - - 15814 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 99 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 670 - - 1970 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.2 - - 92.8 - - 85.5 - - 84.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 45.9 - - 56.0 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 90.6 - - 87.5 - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 45.8 - - 55.0 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 284 - - -16 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6394 - - 12451 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 96 - - 102 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 12 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99309 39 110 29 117 17 084 31 081 99309 91765 33 091 36 099 27 102 27 087 91765 85980 30 093 32 102 30 109 27 085 85980 81202 23 097 28 096 27 105 27 097 81202 77096 19 099 28 084 25 091 24 101 77096 73471 22 116 21 102 24 094 19 095 73471 70198 21 111 17 110 21 098 16 090 70198 67208 17 099 16 099 19 104 17 107 67208 64464 15 107 14 104 13 088 19 111 64464 61838 14 126 10 124 8 073 18 090 61838 59124 15 122 11 132 5 115 13 073 59124 56323 17 115 14 128 10 152 6 117 56323 53663 18 114 19 123 16 129 10 124 53663 51277 18 121 19 116 20 108 13 110 51277 49129 17 116 17 118 20 109 15 115 49129 47160 16 124 19 125 24 121 21 122 47160 45336 21 139 22 131 26 126 25 125 45336 43634 29 139 29 148 29 142 27 133 43634 42036 32 132 33 150 32 147 29 139 42036 40532 32 119 29 147 25 144 25 143 40532 39122 30 110 24 143 18 139 20 142 39122 37774 29 107 20 144 15 143 16 133 37774 36421 25 113 19 146 15 153 15 136 36421 35035 23 119 20 145 16 146 17 142 35035 33624 26 120 21 143 17 118 17 134 33624 32177 31 113 18 142 19 123 16 099 32177 30686 33 110 17 132 20 113 20 086 30686 29150 30 113 19 125 19 107 21 088 29150 27572 22 114 21 124 18 103 21 091 27572 25955 18 123 20 120 17 109 21 093 25955 24303 17 136 18 117 20 119 20 095 24303 22613 15 123 19 110 20 109 17 100 22613 20880 13 102 15 096 18 100 14 105 20880 19133 9 111 10*071 12 089 9 104 19133 17459 6 113 9*062 8 076 5 093 17459 15936 5 057 7 046 6 061 3 055 15936 14574 9 039 6 039 5 040 5 019 14574 13348 11*031 6 033 4 016 7 011 13348 12242 10*025 5 025 5 359 9 012 12242 11240 9 020 4 016 5 347 10 018 11240 10334 8 020 3 005 6 339 12 026 10334 9519 6 019 3 355 6 335 14 033 9519 8783 4 017 2 344 6 332 15 040 8783 8111 2 015 2 329 7 330 17 046 8111 7506 1 005 2 317 7 329 18 052 7506 6993 0 247 2 305 6 329 19 057 6993 6592 1 213 2 296 6 327 20 062 6592 6314 1 201 2 293 6 327 19 064 6314 6144 1 197 2 291 5 329 16 063 6144 6045 1 196 2 289 5*332 12*062 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography