DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.9 - - 37.7 - - 45.5 - - 46.3 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 124 - - 220 - - 25 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1352 - - 2250 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6268 - - 7154 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 7220 - - 8118 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 616 - - 746 - - 956 - - 2962 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 237 - - 336 - - 69 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 20 - - 18 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 150 - - 146 - - 073 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 3 - - 5 - - -1 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3876 - - -3926 - - -4006 - - -6607 - - -4499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9918 - - 11147 - - 12125 - - 12650 - - 10541 sfcLCL ODpotential -16422 - - -13940 - - -11970 - - -14020 - - -14545 ODpotential blCL 22463 - - 21160 - - 20088 - - 20063 - - 20587 blCL maxRH 73 - - 78 - - 73 - - 83 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.9 - - 37.7 - - 45.5 - - 46.3 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.8 - - 10.8 - - 14.1 - - 12.7 - - 11.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.8 - - 36.6 - - 43.8 - - 45.8 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.7 - - 9.8 - - 12.9 - - 12.2 - - 11.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 124 - - 220 - - 25 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1352 - - 2250 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 31 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 28 100 19 110 18 117 14 094 9 082 96685 89500 17 099 20 109 19 110 16 101 8 064 89500 83970 12 111 20 112 14 113 14 093 10 077 83970 79389 8 112 16 114 12 124 3 122 12 031 79389 75429 7 156 2 118 8 106 5 169 8 012 75429 71907 5 143 4 224 3 255 8 275 9 010 71907 68699 6 245 9 241 13 278 13 290 12 320 68699 65752 7 263 14 257 19 276 18 284 15 314 65752 63023 10 309 18 275 23 272 26 291 23 305 63023 60381 25 289 28 280 31 281 36 279 37 283 60381 57647 34 284 35 280 38 279 44 282 43 284 57647 54822 37 281 41 278 45 282 52 286 43 297 54822 52124 41 278 47 276 55 283 61 285 57 293 52124 49695 45 278 50 276 56 280 61 280 60 281 49695 47510 45 282 47 278 48 288 54 284 56 283 47510 45524 42 289 44 287 54 296 61 290 61 291 45524 43720 48 289 49 289 61 291 69 289 68 292 43720 42076 48 282 52 284 61 286 70 284 69 290 42076 40555 44 279 52 284 57 286 69 283 66 288 40555 39127 48 286 52 290 55 289 64 285 61 289 39127 37785 48 292 51 294 54 292 59 289 59 290 37785 36496 49 289 46 293 51 293 56 291 58 290 36496 35203 54 284 44 289 47 290 54 290 54 291 35203 33877 56 283 44 288 43 286 50 287 49 293 33877 32524 56 285 46 288 43 286 47 284 45 291 32524 31132 55 286 48 288 41 289 44 284 43 286 31132 29693 53 284 46 288 41 290 41 287 40 285 29693 28211 51 282 43 287 39 288 38 289 37 288 28211 26688 47 282 40 285 37 285 36 291 35 291 26688 25129 43 282 38 281 35 281 33 290 32 294 25129 23534 41 284 34 277 33 276 31 288 29 295 23534 21899 38 287 32 274 32 275 30 287 27 296 21899 20219 34 289 31 276 30 280 28 291 25 298 20219 18522 30 290 28 281 28 286 25 298 22 301 18522 16896 27 290 24 287 25 291 21 305 17 303 16896 15418 24 289 20 292 21 295 18 306 14 302 15418 14098 20 283 16 292 16 295 15 302 13 300 14098 12916 17 272 14 285 13 293 12 295 13 296 12916 11851 14 256 12 274 11 288 10 284 12 290 11851 10893 12 240 10 261 9 279 8 273 10 280 10893 10033 11 224 7 239 6 261 5 259 8 265 10033 9264 8 205 5 200 4 189 2 229 5 247 9264 8574 8 176 9 155 4*157 1 097 4 206 8574 7947 12 158 10 150 4*147 2 068 4 169 7947 7386 12 153 6*147 3 146 2 068 3 131 7386 6911 7 144 3*149 3 145 3 072 3 075 6911 6542 2 103 2 150 3 145 3 073 6 050 6542 6287 4 358 2 148 3 146 3 074 8 038 6287 6131 6 347 2 151 3 144 3*073 9*026 6131 6042 6*346 2 155 3 147 3*073 7*021 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography