DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 88.7 - - 88.1 - - 77.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 523 - - 193 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4938 - - 12094 - - 12139 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9483 - - 15363 - - 14725 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10806 - - 17962 - - 18007 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4929 - - 2552 - - 2824 - - 7621 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 568 - - 781 - - 561 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 258 - - 259 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -25 - - -19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8936 - - -4132 - - -5444 - - -15937 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19743 - - 22095 - - 23453 - - 21983 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11942 - - -6791 - - -8153 - - -20638 ODpotential blCL - - - 22748 - - 24753 - - 26160 - - 26683 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 24 - - 25 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 88.7 - - 88.1 - - 77.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.5 - - 10.8 - - 4.1 - - 1.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 85.4 - - 86.3 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.4 - - 10.6 - - 4.0 - - 1.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 523 - - 193 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4938 - - 12094 - - 12139 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99059 35 110 32 095 38 093 37 093 99059 91574 30 110 33 097 30 087 32 080 91574 85843 31 098 30 100 24 093 26 088 85843 81092 24 093 26 108 19 090 23 079 81092 76990 25 087 14 106 21 078 20 073 76990 73386 17 083 17 092 16 073 19 073 73386 70141 10 072 15 083 14 077 16 058 70141 67166 12 087 16 080 16 089 9 061 67166 64412 10 067 14 071 14 098 13 102 64412 61737 6 109 5 014 8 042 10 051 61737 58957 7 063 5 049 7 357 9 008 58957 56096 12 345 11 004 11 354 12 346 56096 53380 20 312 19 331 18 338 15 340 53380 50939 24 303 26 317 24 327 22 330 50939 48744 21 296 25 309 25 318 30 322 48744 46737 20 301 24 308 27 316 33 322 46737 44882 26 312 32 311 30 320 35 326 44882 43158 34 306 37 307 39 314 36 320 43158 41549 37 300 37 303 34 307 31 312 41549 40041 38 301 35 302 35 312 25 316 40041 38636 36 300 29 298 34 306 25 320 38636 37296 35 290 30 289 34 296 28 315 37296 35955 36 286 34 282 35 294 31 311 35955 34586 36 275 31 275 32 292 30 307 34586 33195 34 266 30 271 29 285 29 306 33195 31773 33 262 31 263 25 268 28 298 31773 30312 34 265 30 260 24 267 24 281 30312 28815 34 269 28 263 23 267 21 272 28815 27278 32 271 24 267 20 271 18 274 27278 25701 25 271 21 270 16 274 14 273 25701 24087 20 264 17 266 14 275 11 277 24087 22431 20 260 15 260 12 274 8 275 22431 20730 21 257 15 274 8 288 5 225 20730 19012 21 258 14*293 6*320 5 159 19012 17361 20 262 11*294 6*312 3 125 17361 15855 17 267 11 291 7 298 2 123 15855 14504 13 272 11 288 7 289 1 214 14504 13287 10 274 10 279 8 270 3 251 13287 12188 9 268 10 270 9 261 5 258 12188 11192 9*256 10 253 10 254 7 260 11192 10292 9*248 11 243 11 250 8 261 10292 9483 9 241 11 236 11 247 9 263 9483 8753 8 233 11 231 12 244 10 265 8753 8087 8 224 11 227 12 243 11 266 8087 7488 8 221 12 224 12 241 11 268 7488 6980 8 218 12 221 12 240 11 269 6980 6584 8 214 12 220 12 239 11 268 6584 6309 8 212 12 219 12 239 10 269 6309 6141 8 211 11 219 11 239 8*268 6141 6045 7 210 10 218 10 238 6*273 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography