DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 48.2 - - 53.2 - - 48.4 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 86 - - 55 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1104 - - 1532 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6972 - - 7400 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 482 - - 710 - - 1127 - - 1121 - - 382 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 200 - - 199 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 36 - - 19 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 140 - - 204 - - 226 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -4 - - 5 - - 1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -55 - - 528 - - -41 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6097 - - 6445 - - 7441 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -9481 - - -6081 - - -6255 - - -3621 - - -7147 ODpotential blCL 15523 - - 13053 - - 13655 - - 9664 - - 13190 blCL maxRH 67 - - 77 - - 68 - - 78 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 48.2 - - 53.2 - - 48.4 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 41.1 - - 41.6 - - 44.7 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.2 - - 47.3 - - 52.5 - - 49.9 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 39.8 - - 40.4 - - 44.0 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 86 - - 55 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1104 - - 1532 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96415 46 289 57 272 59 273 61 273 67 277 96415 89279 30 286 33 284 37 276 37 280 37 280 89279 83790 18 275 22 277 27 282 28 290 22 299 83790 79240 19 290 12 260 24 270 27 278 25 300 79240 75314 17 288 13 281 21 276 24 277 25 294 75314 71843 15 292 16 298 16 277 20 280 24 288 71843 68706 20 279 18 291 15 277 16 280 21 280 68706 65823 21 266 19 282 16 275 18 286 20 287 65823 63154 16 272 20 280 20 275 26 283 26 289 63154 60572 18 289 19 274 23 275 27 274 30 273 60572 57871 27 284 22 275 26 280 29 270 30 259 57871 55063 28 275 30 275 33 267 33 261 35 258 55063 52377 29 267 34 270 34 263 35 262 37 256 52377 49951 34 279 39 277 40 279 41 276 36 272 49951 47773 42 290 44 282 44 284 44 283 40 282 47773 45801 42 291 39 289 40 291 37 293 36 282 45801 43999 31 301 32 293 34 292 33 305 32 284 43999 42337 26 324 20 310 28 295 31 306 20 273 42337 40795 22 342 22 336 24 301 26 298 8 318 40795 39358 25 006 24 342 16 311 20 295 18 353 39358 38014 31 014 21 354 17 328 18 304 23 352 38014 36726 35 011 22 000 20 333 24 323 22 347 36726 35432 33 009 26 358 22 337 27 326 24 344 35432 34107 30 016 26 356 25 342 25 329 26 344 34107 32756 29 031 23 358 24 346 22 338 27 341 32756 31365 30 039 19 005 23 349 19 346 23 341 31365 29927 29 038 17 014 19 354 16 346 18 346 29927 28445 24 035 15 022 14 002 13 344 15 345 28445 26919 21 033 15 031 12 011 10 348 15 346 26919 25354 24 033 16 041 11 024 7 013 14 349 25354 23751 23 030 15 046 10 037 6 040 12 353 23751 22106 17 027 14 044 9 044 7 047 11 002 22106 20411 14 021 11 047 7 050 6 067 9 022 20411 18697 14 016 10 050 7 071 6 099 6 047 18697 17053 10 018 9 050 6 078 4 106 5 061 17053 15558 7 031 5 042 4 055 3 073 6 061 15558 14222 4 046 2 008 3 005 3 042 6 055 14222 13025 3 061 3 291 5 341 4 032 6 050 13025 11948 2 112 5 256 6 325 4 020 5 045 11948 10979 3 140 7 239 6 307 3 351 4 035 10979 10107 4 149 8 233 5 294 3 339 3 014 10107 9326 4 163 8 232 5 296 4 346 2 001 9326 8625 3 175 7 232 4 314 6 354 2 031 8625 7987 2 186 5 232 3 332 6 353 2 032 7987 7415 1 173 2*225 1*324 5 354 2 033 7415 6931 1 084 1*121 1*220 4 357 3 037 6931 6555 3 075 1 132 2 205 2 358 3 027 6555 6294 5 069 1 144 2 202 1 326 5 017 6294 6134 6 051 1 147 2 200 1*236 4*014 6134 6043 5*045 1 149 2 200 1*226 4*011 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography