DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.9 - - 54.5 - - 63.2 - - 61.6 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 303 - - 355 - - 47 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2562 - - 7385 - - 6350 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 7484 - - 11318 - - 8915 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 8430 - - 13253 - - 12218 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 437 - - 1495 - - 3335 - - 4253 - - 694 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 389 - - 585 - - 285 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 15 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 250 - - 276 - - 279 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 9 - - 14 - - -6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3596 - - -3188 - - -660 - - -681 - - -4190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9639 - - 11619 - - 13914 - - 12900 - - 10233 sfcLCL ODpotential -9597 - - -6369 - - -2429 - - -2246 - - -8260 ODpotential blCL 15639 - - 14799 - - 15682 - - 14464 - - 14303 blCL maxRH 61 - - 65 - - 65 - - 90 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.9 - - 54.5 - - 63.2 - - 61.6 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 24.5 - - 22.8 - - 25.8 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 52.3 - - 60.8 - - 61.1 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.8 - - 24.2 - - 22.3 - - 25.6 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 303 - - 355 - - 47 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2562 - - 7385 - - 6350 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96555 18 216 21 274 12 307 4 243 13 276 96555 89318 6 338 11 252 16 266 19 293 10 333 89318 83758 13 311 8 271 13 259 18 282 15 324 83758 79160 23 288 12 281 20 255 24 264 17 301 79160 75195 27 280 14 267 22 255 24 253 30 282 75195 71687 28 270 24 270 27 269 32 262 32 269 71687 68515 33 264 35 264 34 266 34 275 30 253 68515 65586 37 255 41 256 41 263 36 268 26 250 65586 62857 36 250 41 253 46 260 38 266 34 272 62857 60219 36 252 43 252 45 258 42 271 42 273 60219 57468 37 255 43 251 47 263 44 263 43 265 57468 54586 35 256 40 254 45 256 42 260 43 258 54586 51802 30 256 41 258 44 256 46 263 42 267 51802 49283 33 261 44 256 53 262 50 266 45 280 49283 47042 38 264 43 258 49 258 49 274 50 287 47042 45047 38 261 39 259 42 265 49 279 47 286 45047 43250 32 250 33 252 35 277 39 278 40 299 43250 41603 22 253 24 285 28 308 36 305 55 316 41603 40079 19 291 27 322 54 330 62 324 73 320 40079 38664 31 317 45 340 58 331 70 324 81 320 38664 37340 38 332 55 342 49 336 61 321 81 322 37340 36070 39 339 55 343 46 340 58 321 81 325 36070 34793 31 346 53 344 48 337 62 325 81 327 34793 33482 24 358 50 342 50 334 63 327 78 328 33482 32143 27 352 46 339 55 333 58 326 73 328 32143 30767 29 345 40 337 60 334 53 325 68 327 30767 29346 24 343 36 333 61 335 55 326 66 326 29346 27884 15 329 32 328 55 334 59 327 66 328 27884 26383 20 283 28 321 46 329 57 327 65 331 26383 24849 25 267 22 313 38 322 51 325 61 334 24849 23284 19 262 16 305 32 314 45 321 51 334 23284 21686 15 270 18 300 28 308 43 315 41 327 21686 20048 11 258 17 295 26 301 40 311 38 314 20048 18397 14 258 12 278 22 296 34 307 37 305 18397 16817 20 261 15 269 18 286 26 306 32 304 16817 15381 23 253 18 260 18 283 20 306 24 310 15381 14097 22 245 19 259 17*288 18 303 24 315 14097 12941 25 245 22 266 16*288 16*296 26 313 12941 11895 27 248 26 274 16 287 16*293 28 311 11895 10948 27 251 27 281 16 285 16 289 29 307 10948 10091 24 256 24 283 15 281 16 283 30 303 10091 9320 22 263 19 281 15 275 16 280 31 299 9320 8624 21 271 15*276 15 272 16 277 31 294 8624 7989 17 276 12*269 15 269 16 275 30 288 7989 7417 7 261 10 255 15 266 16 273 28 281 7417 6933 4 209 9 248 15 263 16 272 24 274 6933 6556 4 163 9 242 15 261 15 271 20 269 6556 6295 5 131 8 239 14 260 15 270 15 263 6295 6135 5*093 8 237 14 259 14 270 12*259 6135 6043 3*072 8 235 12 258 12 269 5*254 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography