DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 60.9 - - 58.4 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 15 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2880 - - 1733 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7051 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8748 - - 7601 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1987 - - 3611 - - 3373 - - 606 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 157 - - 42 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 063 - - 036 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -6 - - -11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2168 - - 1305 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6580 - - 6296 - - 6044 - - 6044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -417 - - -995 - - -2128 - - -3788 ODpotential blCL - - - 9165 - - 8596 - - 8172 - - 9832 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 97 - - 93 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 600 - - 430 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 60.9 - - 58.4 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 53.4 - - 53.4 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 60.6 - - 59.2 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 52.1 - - 52.1 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 15 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2880 - - 1733 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 86 - - 73 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97995 10 317 7 230 16 249 17 273 97995 90732 11 290 9 279 7 321 9 337 90732 85094 7 271 8 283 10 315 8 352 85094 80408 5 192 5 281 6 298 3 331 80408 76386 8 154 6 228 4 330 1 342 76386 72841 7 181 5 223 5 331 5 009 72841 69633 4 162 4 195 3 268 10 337 69633 66695 1 259 5 167 6 232 7 297 66695 63987 7 279 3 282 7 270 4 226 63987 61357 9 249 7 258 9 266 4 198 61357 58605 9 235 12 242 16 252 12 277 58605 55751 13 201 17 216 19 237 17 272 55751 53021 10 209 13 204 13 251 17 274 53021 50544 11 248 9 230 14 272 16 285 50544 48309 17 241 11 257 16 288 19 313 48309 46272 20 221 12 275 18 301 21 318 46272 44394 15 218 10 276 15 307 21 349 44394 42655 7 251 4 354 10 302 32 001 42655 41044 2 191 7 354 20 007 40 000 41044 39553 7 076 27 011 41 009 43 002 39553 38174 18 047 32 016 38 022 38 008 38174 36861 34 052 37 037 41 033 35 010 36861 35541 41 050 35 031 41 030 35 004 35541 34186 36 050 32 030 39 023 36 001 34186 32802 25 051 30 029 39 018 38 359 32802 31380 26 049 28 031 39 016 39 008 31380 29913 26 042 26 031 39 017 38 015 29913 28405 29 048 24 023 38 023 41 022 28405 26860 28 052 24 022 34 026 48 025 26860 25284 27 050 26 029 32 026 49 024 25284 23679 28 047 27 039 35 032 46 023 23679 22041 28 052 25 041 41 034 43 023 22041 20361 28 053 27 036 45 033 41 027 20361 18668 28 053 29 034 42 033 38 033 18668 17046 25 054 29 034 38 036 33 038 17046 15570 23 054 30 036 37 039 29 038 15570 14250 21 053 30 037 38 041 27 034 14250 13065 18 054 29 038 38 041 26 029 13065 11996 16 056 25 039 37 041 26 024 11996 11031 16 059 21 040 35 042 24 018 11031 10158 16 068 18 040 31 042 22 014 10158 9373 17*069 16 041 27 039 20 013 9373 8666 17*068 14 045 23 034 18 017 8666 8020 17 063 13*049 20 030 15 024 8020 7439 16 060 11*055 18 029 13 031 7439 6947 16 059 10 061 16 031 10 030 6947 6564 15 059 9 065 14 033 6 019 6564 6299 14 059 8 068 11 034 4 352 6299 6137 13 059 8 070 9*034 2*333 6137 6044 11 059 7 072 6*036 2*322 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography