DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.4 - - 46.5 - - 52.4 - - 46.4 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 71 - - 121 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 514 - - 1238 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6089 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6382 - - 7106 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 393 - - 741 - - 950 - - 1169 - - 712 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 142 - - 226 - - 5 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 177 - - 213 - - 154 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 4 - - 12 - - 6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2179 - - -3425 - - -4303 - - -4235 - - -3433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8221 - - 9807 - - 11409 - - 10278 - - 9476 sfcLCL ODpotential -11033 - - -9133 - - -8848 - - -10349 - - -10617 ODpotential blCL 17075 - - 15515 - - 15954 - - 16392 - - 16660 blCL maxRH 87 - - 86 - - 90 - - 91 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 35.4 - - 46.5 - - 52.4 - - 46.4 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.9 - - 25.0 - - 23.7 - - 22.9 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 45.7 - - 51.2 - - 48.8 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 24.2 - - 23.2 - - 22.5 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 71 - - 121 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 514 - - 1238 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 45 - - 58 - - 62 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96179 24 262 29 269 21 259 29 270 44 279 96179 89118 8 290 17 274 20 280 9 289 15 267 89118 83638 7 274 16 254 19 276 15 304 10 292 83638 79053 2 311 16 251 17 265 20 301 10 006 79053 75088 16 265 19 259 19 256 25 288 26 307 75088 71614 17 277 20 256 21 255 23 272 29 289 71614 68502 27 286 19 292 15 303 16 312 27 311 68502 65648 39 288 28 307 35 310 32 313 38 314 65648 62999 39 291 40 300 44 304 45 305 46 298 62999 60423 40 299 47 301 52 303 52 300 48 290 60423 57703 51 303 54 297 60 296 59 296 52 289 57703 54862 59 289 57 286 62 288 64 290 61 289 54862 52140 57 273 57 279 63 285 67 286 67 286 52140 49676 48 280 58 284 65 289 67 287 66 285 49676 47457 65 306 64 294 69 295 68 292 66 290 47457 45437 91 303 80 298 80 299 75 296 71 298 45437 43593 99 291 96 293 91 295 88 294 87 301 43593 41917 87 282 102 284 98 284 96 287 94 294 41917 40387 77 285 98 279 94 276 92 281 87 287 40387 38966 75 299 90 277 84 274 87 278 80 288 38966 37629 77 303 82 277 79 275 81 278 79 289 37629 36343 76 298 79 277 78 278 72 282 76 296 36343 35051 75 291 79 280 77 280 73 293 77 310 35051 33733 75 287 78 283 76 282 77 296 78 313 33733 32390 77 285 78 286 75 284 79 295 75 307 32390 31007 78 285 77 288 73 287 79 290 74 299 31007 29574 80 286 77 287 75 287 78 285 73 294 29574 28094 82 288 78 283 75 286 79 286 72 291 28094 26569 80 289 78 280 74 282 77 288 72 289 26569 25006 76 288 74 280 73 281 72 289 71 290 25006 23415 71 287 67 281 70 282 65 290 64 291 23415 21793 66 287 61 283 63 284 60 290 54 290 21793 20132 60 286 56 283 54 282 56 289 42 289 20132 18461 52 281 49 281 49 278 49 281 34 287 18461 16860 45 278 42 278 45 276 43 272 34 283 16860 15401 41 280 37 275 41 276 39 272 34 281 15401 14097 39 283 34 275 38 279 34 280 30 278 14097 12928 36 287 33 278 35 283 27 292 26 275 12928 11872 32 289 32 280 31 288 20 301 22 273 11872 10919 28 289 29 282 27 295 15 301 18 266 10919 10059 24 288 27 282 21 302 13 296 16 252 10059 9287 21 283 25 282 17 305 11 288 17 244 9287 8594 19 277 22 280 13 299 10 279 17 242 8594 7963 18 270 18 279 10 286 9 265 16 239 7963 7396 12 261 11 273 7*249 7 242 11 232 7396 6918 6 233 4 249 7*218 6 211 5 216 6918 6547 2 157 2*200 7 214 5 186 3 144 6547 6290 5 095 2*178 7 211 5 170 4 070 6290 6133 6*061 2 178 7 210 4*160 5*039 6133 6043 5*047 2 176 6 208 3*154 5*029 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography