DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 82.4 - - 83.2 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 548 - - 218 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5838 - - 9462 - - 12049 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10221 - - 13210 - - 14752 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11706 - - 15330 - - 17917 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2299 - - 2664 - - 1914 - - 9897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 609 - - 732 - - 583 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 223 - - 232 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 20 - - 37 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7139 - - -3889 - - -2733 - - -13117 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18846 - - 19220 - - 20651 - - 19162 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10266 - - -6678 - - -6626 - - -18527 ODpotential blCL - - - 21972 - - 22008 - - 24543 - - 24571 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 37 - - 63 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 82.4 - - 83.2 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 17.9 - - 12.0 - - 10.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 79.0 - - 81.3 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 17.7 - - 11.9 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 548 - - 218 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5838 - - 9462 - - 12049 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99273 38 099 33 104 29 102 33 100 99273 91788 29 106 26 107 27 097 25 094 91788 86036 27 115 28 099 27 107 20 096 86036 81251 32 112 26 115 20 111 19 097 81251 77107 24 103 23 121 17 111 18 095 77107 73441 13 096 15 116 16 090 21 099 73441 70137 10 117 16 122 9 099 16 082 70137 67105 9 138 8 108 8 130 3 078 67105 64308 6 152 4 116 6 085 4 122 64308 61608 6 211 7 236 3 226 6 170 61608 58791 12 185 8 203 11 196 13 215 58791 55868 14 230 11 256 7 255 7 215 55868 53062 31 233 31 250 22 266 21 274 53062 50531 32 226 35 239 34 258 32 266 50531 48273 26 228 34 237 44 255 39 264 48273 46233 31 236 35 242 46 250 44 262 46233 44380 34 241 40 253 45 252 46 257 44380 42687 36 248 44 255 47 261 45 261 42687 41129 40 252 47 256 49 266 48 268 41129 39681 44 252 49 258 48 270 48 268 39681 38327 46 253 52 261 49 274 46 267 38327 37028 47 253 54 262 48 273 45 267 37028 35723 47 252 53 260 48 269 44 269 35723 34384 46 250 51 258 47 267 42 268 34384 33017 45 250 50 258 45 266 40 264 33017 31611 44 250 48 258 44 264 40 258 31611 30157 43 246 47 256 43 261 40 255 30157 28657 44 242 47 251 44 259 39 257 28657 27115 43 241 46 247 44 260 38 261 27115 25533 39 242 42 244 42 261 35 262 25533 23919 36 242 37 245 39 259 30 260 23919 22268 33 240 32 246 35 255 26 256 22268 20577 31 238 29 247 31 250 22 249 20577 18873 29 234 28 244 26*244 22 240 18873 17239 26 229 27 241 19*239 22 230 17239 15749 23 225 21*234 19 239 20 226 15749 14415 19 224 17*230 18 239 19 226 14415 13213 16 219 16 229 17 238 18 229 13213 12126 15*211 15 228 16 235 16 233 12126 11142 13*209 15 226 15 233 16 238 11142 10252 12 210 15 224 14 229 15 244 10252 9451 10 208 14 222 13 227 14 251 9451 8729 9 206 14 220 13 224 14 256 8729 8069 9 204 14 219 12 221 14 261 8069 7475 9 203 13 217 12 218 13 266 7475 6971 9 201 13 216 11 216 13 269 6971 6579 9 200 13 215 11 215 12 271 6579 6307 9 198 12 214 11 214 10 274 6307 6140 8 198 12 214 10 214 8 277 6140 6044 8 197 11 213 9 213 6*284 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography