DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.4 - - 87.3 - - 93.2 - - - - - 84.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 141 - - 483 - - 450 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1842 - - 4664 - - 11784 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6673 - - 9259 - - 15024 - - - - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top 7710 - - 10532 - - 17652 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1131 - - 4024 - - 3697 - - - - - 2671 Hgt.Variab. W* 269 - - 554 - - 737 - - - - - 15 W* B/S 6 - - 46 - - 52 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 182 - - 344 - - - - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 9 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - -13 - - 28 - - - - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5075 - - -3872 - - 1791 - - - - - -8054 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12786 - - 14405 - - 15861 - - - - - 14100 sfcLCL ODpotential -8704 - - -5984 - - 446 - - - - - -10948 ODpotential blCL 16414 - - 16516 - - 17206 - - - - - 16993 blCL maxRH 95 - - 67 - - 83 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 190 - - 510 - - - - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m 78.4 - - 87.3 - - 93.2 - - - - - 84.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 44.8 - - 44.0 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.9 - - 84.0 - - 90.1 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 44.6 - - 43.9 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 141 - - 483 - - 450 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1842 - - 4664 - - 11784 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 0 - - 31 - - - - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99335 44 108 46 103 46 110 44 082 99335 91785 45 104 41 105 38 103 33 096 91785 86017 44 105 38 099 30 091 37 107 86017 81276 38 108 36 098 27 096 36 105 81276 77191 28 098 31 105 30 110 29 098 77191 73566 21 079 26 103 32 112 27 085 73566 70294 15 089 18 098 27 106 26 085 70294 67317 20 108 15 129 16 113 25 084 67317 64582 24 114 22 141 16 133 18 095 64582 61954 20 108 26 135 19 146 18 136 61954 59240 15 142 21 131 19 150 14 131 59240 56438 25 176 17 163 20 160 10 114 56438 53765 30 166 25 168 25 163 15 151 53765 51356 26 163 28 163 29 164 22 163 51356 49190 26 168 28 166 29 169 27 166 49190 47210 25 173 30 171 29 175 31 164 47210 45378 22 178 29 175 27 174 29 166 45378 43665 16 181 27 180 22 173 27 184 43665 42058 11 178 24 175 18 173 22 178 42058 40548 11 190 19 166 17 167 12 157 40548 39133 12 187 16 166 13 165 4 110 39133 37778 11 161 11 159 9 183 9 014 37778 36417 9 126 7 117 8 189 9 343 36417 35022 8 095 5 069 5 174 9 321 35022 33603 9 067 3 029 2 045 7 329 33603 32150 10 057 1 035 3 017 9 341 32150 30651 12 055 1 243 4 003 11 346 30651 29111 12 039 1 065 6 007 11 353 29111 27535 9 004 8 050 9 020 7 024 27535 25929 6 305 12 053 11 047 10 051 25929 24290 5 221 12 060 12 057 12 055 24290 22613 12 154 8 077 13 081 11 063 22613 20892 17 131 9 104 12 090 11 057 20892 19155 15 106 12 104 11*078 12 055 19155 17486 16 078 12 091 10*058 12 055 17486 15964 15 067 12 073 7 035 12 054 15964 14600 13 055 12 064 7 020 12 051 14600 13372 10 042 10 052 5 359 12 049 13372 12260 9 028 9 033 4 336 12 051 12260 11254 8 018 7*025 4 316 11 051 11254 10343 7 012 4*020 3 286 10 046 10343 9524 6 021 1 029 4 270 8 025 9524 8785 4 105 1 178 4 261 8 354 8785 8111 9*150 3 186 4 254 12 326 8111 7504 9*157 4 187 5 248 15 312 7504 6991 8 160 5 188 5 245 17 308 6991 6591 7 161 5 188 5 242 17 308 6591 6313 7 163 5 188 5 241 16 310 6313 6143 7 163 5 187 5 240 13*312 6143 6045 6 164 5 186 4 240 9*314 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography