DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 68.7 - - 66.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 378 - - 92 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6729 - - 11093 - - 9469 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10792 - - 14363 - - 11986 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12597 - - 16961 - - 15337 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4559 - - 1817 - - 2919 - - 11441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 567 - - 685 - - 407 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 245 - - 242 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - 17 - - 9 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1144 - - 2449 - - 1333 - - -8511 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11454 - - 14513 - - 14004 - - 14556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -743 - - 885 - - -208 - - -11057 ODpotential blCL - - - 13340 - - 16076 - - 15545 - - 17101 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 83 - - 79 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 60 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 68.7 - - 66.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.3 - - 25.5 - - 26.0 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 66.2 - - 65.9 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 25.0 - - 25.6 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 378 - - 92 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6729 - - 11093 - - 9469 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 33 - - 17 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97926 27 265 18 273 15 282 21 277 97926 90415 24 253 22 259 27 282 24 289 90415 84638 12 256 19 241 22 262 20 293 84638 79868 13 272 20 263 17 269 19 293 79868 75783 16 291 22 276 25 303 20 284 75783 72184 17 292 20 274 25 302 19 281 72184 68921 18 288 20 281 21 284 21 303 68921 65929 26 287 21 284 25 271 28 296 65929 63170 33 294 28 285 27 279 22 290 63170 60490 40 290 34 296 32 299 21 294 60490 57680 44 280 43 292 47 299 36 288 57680 54769 49 271 51 277 55 282 49 284 54769 52008 50 275 50 271 58 265 56 269 52008 49548 52 276 53 275 55 259 56 262 49548 47352 61 276 70 279 56 272 62 266 47352 45361 81 273 89 270 76 272 78 262 45361 43547 101 271 97 268 100 272 92 260 43547 41885 130 273 117 271 118 269 111 258 41885 40341 136 272 127 268 127 266 125 256 40341 38892 125 269 127 266 128 265 130 255 38892 37528 127 264 129 265 124 263 127 256 37528 36225 130 264 129 265 114 260 122 257 36225 34920 126 265 128 265 110 256 113 256 34920 33584 112 264 120 263 109 255 108 253 33584 32220 101 261 110 261 104 253 109 251 32220 30814 93 263 105 259 107 250 108 252 30814 29365 83 271 96 263 108 249 106 258 29365 27882 70 276 78 270 90 255 99 267 27882 26370 59 279 57 274 49 275 70 272 26370 24830 56 279 46 278 33 282 38 271 24830 23264 53 272 48 279 32 276 19 271 23264 21670 48 264 48 273 34 271 21 269 21670 20039 47 258 41 265 36 263 29 253 20039 18402 38 259 31*261 29 257 27 242 18402 16836 25 265 20*258 19 244 21 236 16836 15409 21 268 19 258 18*242 20 242 15409 14128 18 262 16 252 18*241 20 246 14128 12973 15*255 16 251 17 241 20 248 12973 11927 12*248 15 247 16 242 21 249 11927 10979 11 243 14 243 15 242 21 249 10979 10121 10 240 14 240 14 243 21 249 10121 9348 10 237 14 237 13 244 20 250 9348 8649 10 232 14 235 12 244 19 249 8649 8010 9 229 13 233 12 244 18 248 8010 7434 9 225 13 231 11 244 16 247 7434 6945 9 223 13 229 11 244 14 245 6945 6564 9 221 13 228 10 244 11 241 6564 6299 8 220 12 228 10 244 9 237 6299 6137 8 219 12 227 10 244 7*234 6137 6044 8 218 11 226 8 244 6*234 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography