DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 54.5 - - 62.3 - - 56.8 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 154 - - 173 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 795 - - 1459 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6501 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6663 - - 7327 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 382 - - 570 - - 908 - - 1176 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 212 - - 268 - - 6 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 176 - - 211 - - 194 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6258 - - -5034 - - -7026 - - -7050 - - -6430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12302 - - 11697 - - 14354 - - 13094 - - 12473 sfcLCL ODpotential -18010 - - -14526 - - -14670 - - -15704 - - -15734 ODpotential blCL 24053 - - 21189 - - 21997 - - 21747 - - 21777 blCL maxRH 53 - - 43 - - 44 - - 55 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 54.5 - - 62.3 - - 56.8 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.0 - - 25.0 - - 21.0 - - 21.4 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 53.1 - - 60.7 - - 59.6 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.2 - - 24.2 - - 20.3 - - 20.7 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 154 - - 173 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 795 - - 1459 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96950 29 269 34 282 40 273 29 272 42 287 96950 89726 24 271 31 273 27 273 24 278 28 276 89726 84159 21 263 17 266 22 265 20 290 16 277 84159 79568 7 258 13 253 15 254 18 286 14 295 79568 75609 5 317 8 233 11 241 14 293 12 297 75609 72107 7 272 8 215 8 246 9 288 11 287 72107 68944 4 295 2 277 7 248 11 264 14 284 68944 66037 9 319 11 314 12 291 13 281 18 296 66037 63342 14 331 11 310 14 284 16 285 20 299 63342 60755 21 315 14 329 11 315 15 289 16 297 60755 58089 28 323 19 331 13 329 16 287 18 291 58089 55337 26 319 24 338 16 332 9 283 13 285 55337 52709 19 297 20 308 25 310 15 296 7 309 52709 50329 12 298 15 268 25 273 25 293 16 309 50329 48181 11 333 12 286 21 254 32 250 32 260 48181 46224 14 312 20 304 18 274 25 234 32 241 46224 44431 18 269 30 273 31 272 28 260 32 250 44431 42772 16 265 28 242 37 248 48 255 49 248 42772 41223 26 285 27 249 35 254 49 247 55 241 41223 39770 29 272 35 261 38 259 46 247 55 242 39770 38409 29 282 32 262 38 253 48 248 54 242 38409 37105 30 281 32 264 39 254 50 247 51 242 37105 35794 30 274 33 264 41 252 49 248 46 240 35794 34450 26 265 33 263 39 252 43 252 38 242 34450 33078 27 266 33 264 36 258 38 259 34 245 33078 31668 29 269 27 268 30 266 32 259 33 244 31668 30210 26 276 23 272 23 266 28 250 33 241 30210 28707 21 284 23 269 23 258 27 242 34 243 28707 27160 18 284 21 265 24 252 27 247 32 248 27160 25574 15 287 18 265 22 254 26 256 26 261 25574 23952 14 299 16 274 21 264 23 271 20 273 23952 22289 14 313 14 286 19 272 20 282 15 275 22289 20577 15 319 14 292 18 276 17 288 12 267 20577 18847 16 311 15 291 17 280 17 288 13 260 18847 17185 17 301 17 289 19 283 18 286 16 265 17185 15675 17 294 19 290 20 285 19 287 16 277 15675 14327 17 291 20 292 19 286 18 290 14 287 14327 13119 16 290 19 294 17 290 15 293 11 296 13119 12032 15 289 16 296 13 295 11 295 9 298 12032 11051 13 290 13 298 9 300 8 296 7 292 11051 10167 11 291 11 300 7 309 5 295 7 279 10167 9374 10 290 9 301 6 323 5 298 8 268 9374 8662 9 288 7 298 5 318 5 306 8 262 8662 8014 7 284 6 293 4 295 5 301 6 256 8014 7433 5 275 3 284 3*234 4 290 4 254 7433 6942 3 258 1*208 5*216 2 286 1 231 6942 6561 2 232 2*179 5 213 1 230 2 069 6561 6297 1 157 3 176 5 209 2 205 3 051 6297 6136 1*093 3 175 5 208 2 201 4*035 6136 6043 1*044 3 175 5 208 2*194 4*029 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography