DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 71.6 - - 70.2 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 380 - - 425 - - 85 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5096 - - 9985 - - 8366 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9520 - - 13517 - - 11074 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10964 - - 15853 - - 14234 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4504 - - 3177 - - 4174 - - 6588 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 528 - - 686 - - 380 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 21 - - 22 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 258 - - 257 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3987 - - -1328 - - -2927 - - -9047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14952 - - 17181 - - 17162 - - 15091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6022 - - -3247 - - -5267 - - -12445 ODpotential blCL - - - 16986 - - 19100 - - 19501 - - 18489 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 70 - - 77 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 71.6 - - 70.2 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.1 - - 16.5 - - 15.4 - - 15.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.3 - - 69.1 - - 69.4 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 15.9 - - 14.9 - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 380 - - 425 - - 85 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5096 - - 9985 - - 8366 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96510 30 274 43 269 37 276 45 265 96510 89303 26 284 31 276 31 273 28 279 89303 83793 30 291 28 280 37 285 37 296 83793 79230 26 295 23 282 38 287 37 294 79230 75313 19 308 24 303 29 288 27 300 75313 71834 25 305 23 316 25 292 24 296 71834 68666 23 288 23 301 27 292 25 284 68666 65748 15 279 20 284 24 285 23 281 65748 63021 16 304 13 258 33 286 32 286 63021 60358 25 297 26 279 38 275 36 287 60358 57569 36 276 38 280 44 283 41 282 57569 54672 42 272 47 277 47 277 46 280 54672 51910 45 269 49 269 44 276 47 277 51910 49434 42 262 48 268 46 275 50 287 49434 47232 39 266 43 275 50 276 60 284 47232 45251 39 274 42 285 46 284 46 278 45251 43459 42 280 43 296 51 303 47 304 43459 41830 44 281 47 300 55 310 62 316 41830 40323 45 278 49 296 43 300 74 313 40323 38910 44 278 50 289 46 279 71 309 38910 37580 41 278 49 286 45 279 67 309 37580 36302 36 276 42 285 39 280 60 310 36302 35017 35 280 38 285 37 276 56 312 35017 33699 34 288 38 283 34 261 54 316 33699 32354 33 294 31 277 31 250 39 305 32354 30976 32 294 20 268 32 253 32 280 30976 29553 26 290 18 262 37 263 35 273 29553 28089 21 285 22 263 34 269 37 271 28089 26585 20 277 22 256 32 270 35 261 26585 25046 22 274 22 256 30 265 31 256 25046 23476 24 278 26 263 29 260 30 260 23476 21873 27 273 32 266 29 260 26 268 21873 20231 30 263 35 268 30 267 23 270 20231 18573 30 257 33 268 32 271 26 262 18573 16981 28 255 29*267 31 268 29 250 16981 15529 26 256 24*264 26*262 29 245 15529 14226 24 262 22 260 25*260 28 244 14226 13052 22 267 21 259 24 260 27 245 13052 11990 20 266 21 259 24 259 26 248 11990 11028 18*263 21 258 23 259 25 252 11028 10158 18*262 21 257 22 258 24 257 10158 9375 17 261 21 257 21 257 23 260 9375 8669 16 259 21 257 21 256 22 263 8669 8024 14 252 21 256 20 255 21 265 8024 7443 13 246 20 255 19 254 19 266 7443 6951 12 242 20 255 18 254 16 265 6951 6567 12 239 19 254 18 253 12 263 6567 6301 11 237 19 254 17 253 9 262 6301 6138 11 236 18 254 16 252 6*260 6138 6044 10 236 16 253 13 252 4*264 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography