DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.6 - - 57.6 - - 62.8 - - 60.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 145 - - 157 - - -2 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1819 - - 3957 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 6709 - - 8278 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7687 - - 9825 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 973 - - 2140 - - 2616 - - 5488 - - 431 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 278 - - 367 - - 17 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 150 - - 167 - - 092 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 566 - - 1107 - - -2422 - - -1988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 7121 - - 8718 - - 8466 - - 8032 sfcLCL ODpotential -4293 - - -1900 - - -788 - - -4840 - - -6420 ODpotential blCL 10336 - - 9587 - - 10613 - - 10884 - - 12464 blCL maxRH 75 - - 80 - - 72 - - 66 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 100 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.6 - - 57.6 - - 62.8 - - 60.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 47.1 - - 45.4 - - 44.6 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 56.3 - - 61.4 - - 61.6 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.0 - - 46.2 - - 44.5 - - 43.7 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 145 - - 157 - - -2 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1819 - - 3957 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97497 9 319 15 296 19 299 15 324 13 314 97497 90254 13 314 7 311 14 307 12 334 16 315 90254 84675 14 310 7 318 6 323 12 339 10 345 84675 80058 5 333 10 320 2 259 15 319 13 007 80058 76086 8 356 7 340 4 335 12 312 11 010 76086 72573 7 333 7 025 3 057 6 334 8 335 72573 69390 4 326 2 067 4 166 3 298 9 307 69390 66464 7 263 7 215 8 191 8 237 9 251 66464 63757 12 222 12 214 9 201 12 204 13 250 63757 61145 17 211 16 218 16 225 16 217 18 229 61145 58428 20 211 23 229 23 225 22 224 23 224 58428 55616 33 239 26 238 25 225 26 216 31 221 55616 52947 41 232 33 239 29 226 31 224 34 228 52947 50543 36 230 34 235 33 224 38 230 41 230 50543 48371 32 243 33 236 36 228 41 235 43 230 48371 46382 35 252 35 241 40 235 42 236 44 236 46382 44546 37 255 40 243 44 241 42 234 46 240 44546 42841 39 256 44 244 45 242 42 234 47 239 42841 41247 41 256 45 244 45 243 42 239 48 237 41247 39750 41 257 43 246 45 244 43 243 47 235 39750 38346 39 255 40 248 42 246 43 245 47 234 38346 37004 37 254 37 254 40 249 43 246 49 238 37004 35664 35 255 37 260 41 253 45 249 56 242 35664 34305 34 261 39 265 46 256 49 253 60 243 34305 32928 35 268 41 267 51 256 52 254 58 243 32928 31515 35 268 45 268 49 256 49 253 56 243 31515 30051 34 267 47 269 42 256 45 250 50 245 30051 28544 32 267 45 271 38 254 39 249 39 240 28544 26996 31 268 38 265 36 251 35 245 35 231 26996 25406 29 269 32 255 32 246 32 239 30 229 25406 23779 28 267 25 257 28 240 31 237 30 234 23779 22115 23 267 22 259 25 236 29 237 32 244 22115 20414 16 273 17 253 21 233 26 235 35 252 20414 18704 13 278 13 245 19 232 20 233 35 256 18704 17070 9 270 11 249 15 229 14 224 30 255 17070 15586 6 249 9 244 11 224 14 216 27 245 15586 14264 6 232 7 220 10 212 18 217 23 230 14264 13078 7 223 9 193 12 201 19 216 20 219 13078 12007 8 202 11 187 13 195 18 212 18 212 12007 11037 8 190 12 190 12 191 15 205 16 201 11037 10162 8 182 12 191 10*186 12 195 13 182 10162 9375 8 176 11 182 8*177 9 178 12 157 9375 8667 7 164 10 170 7 170 6 157 13 144 8667 8020 8 156 8*158 7 167 5 140 13 138 8020 7439 9 154 6*151 6 165 4 123 10 129 7439 6947 9 149 6 150 6 162 4 107 8 111 6947 6564 5 122 5 150 6 161 4 099 7 078 6564 6298 5 077 5 149 5 160 4 094 8 050 6298 6136 5*046 5 150 5 159 3*091 7*030 6136 6044 4*036 5 150 5 159 3*092 6*026 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography