DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 78.7 - - 78.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 485 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9258 - - 11313 - - 11402 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12981 - - 14680 - - 14029 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15126 - - 17181 - - 17270 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1753 - - 1107 - - 1776 - - 4434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 696 - - 747 - - 526 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 17 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 265 - - 272 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 15 - - 20 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1918 - - -1626 - - -1803 - - -10975 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17045 - - 18808 - - 19074 - - 17020 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6290 - - -5190 - - -4955 - - -15790 ODpotential blCL - - - 21416 - - 22371 - - 22225 - - 21834 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 47 - - 55 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 78.7 - - 78.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 15.9 - - 14.5 - - 14.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 75.5 - - 76.7 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 15.1 - - 13.8 - - 13.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 485 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9258 - - 11313 - - 11402 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98102 5 233 2 196 4 324 6 335 98102 90677 1 123 3 257 6 296 5 352 90677 84944 3 129 4 272 6 320 4 331 84944 80198 10 133 3 251 6 337 4 051 80198 76115 10 086 1 178 6 324 6 017 76115 72520 6 077 4 104 1 277 3 348 72520 69286 4 024 4 312 5 341 6 002 69286 66330 4 346 6 338 2 331 5 322 66330 63597 12 301 12 295 11 298 11 327 63597 60940 12 302 16 269 18 277 17 289 60940 58159 18 283 17 272 21 274 23 280 58159 55279 23 278 17 283 20 272 24 277 55279 52537 25 276 18 298 13 290 17 271 52537 50070 26 277 19 299 14 315 8 310 50070 47857 23 286 16 306 15 320 10 336 47857 45850 19 306 12 310 12 315 9 312 45850 44011 20 307 13 310 12 307 8 270 44011 42319 22 288 17 298 16 299 11 283 42319 40753 23 272 19 296 19 290 13 295 40753 39298 21 267 19 299 18 296 12 305 39298 37938 15 283 20 302 17 313 10 320 37938 36642 15 304 19 301 17 317 10 355 36642 35346 16 313 18 297 16 317 10 009 35346 34022 16 324 17 307 12 329 10 357 34022 32672 14 320 16 318 11 341 13 350 32672 31285 14 309 16 316 11 342 14 354 31285 29853 16 296 15 308 10 335 11 357 29853 28377 18 283 15 299 9 326 7 344 28377 26860 22 273 15 295 8 314 7 336 26860 25304 26 267 14 290 8 308 6 331 25304 23714 28 265 13 285 9 303 5 328 23714 22086 27 267 11 286 8 294 5 304 22086 20414 22 275 7 296 6 272 7 285 20414 18726 20 280 7*340 9*348 4 276 18726 17110 17 278 9*319 10*344 7 358 17110 15640 13*280 9 313 10 335 8 350 15640 14322 13*277 9 307 8 316 7 328 14322 13135 12 275 9 290 8 295 7 306 13135 12060 12 269 9 266 9 275 8 291 12060 11087 12 257 9 255 10 261 9 281 11087 10207 12 251 10 248 10 253 10 275 10207 9416 12 246 10 242 11 247 11 269 9416 8701 13 243 11 238 12 243 12 265 8701 8048 13 239 11 234 12 241 13 260 8048 7460 13 236 11 231 12 238 13 255 7460 6962 13 233 11 229 12 237 13 252 6962 6573 12 232 11 227 12 235 12 247 6573 6304 12 231 11 227 12 235 10 243 6304 6139 12 230 11 226 12 235 8*239 6139 6044 11 229 10 225 11 234 5*240 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography