DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 69.6 - - 69.0 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 523 - - 535 - - 207 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10827 - - 10750 - - 10550 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14315 - - 14265 - - 13522 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16695 - - 16618 - - 16418 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 936 - - 1627 - - 1845 - - 3454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 754 - - 759 - - 550 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 250 - - 273 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - -15 - - 43 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1354 - - 76 - - -462 - - -9325 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15342 - - 16542 - - 16881 - - 15368 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 740 - - -1611 - - -2543 - - -14290 ODpotential blCL - - - 15955 - - 18229 - - 18961 - - 20333 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 56 - - 58 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 69.6 - - 69.0 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 17.2 - - 15.3 - - 13.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 66.3 - - 67.1 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.0 - - 16.6 - - 14.9 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 523 - - 535 - - 207 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10827 - - 10750 - - 10550 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98181 6 111 17 079 9 078 15 104 98181 90755 9 136 9 084 8 095 10 072 90755 85066 15 117 2 286 6 088 7 041 85066 80339 2 096 3 163 2 005 10 017 80339 76237 7 098 3 226 2 002 8 004 76237 72598 4 127 9 192 3 259 8 290 72598 69316 8 258 4 170 3 246 4 180 69316 66297 13 219 14 242 14 258 8 255 66297 63490 15 193 17 230 17 234 16 231 63490 60759 9 221 15 228 12 229 13 232 60759 57893 23 255 20 249 20 256 20 262 57893 54920 29 249 25 246 26 248 26 257 54920 52093 27 247 27 248 28 260 28 266 52093 49564 33 244 37 248 34 261 30 258 49564 47310 32 236 33 242 32 255 26 258 47310 45279 33 251 30 253 30 264 28 270 45279 43433 38 263 38 268 36 268 31 281 43433 41747 50 262 46 264 40 268 42 274 41747 40207 57 252 47 265 44 261 45 258 40207 38784 56 248 46 266 32 270 33 274 38784 37460 54 251 41 273 34 289 35 290 37460 36196 55 251 41 281 38 286 34 289 36196 34926 54 250 41 283 38 282 33 280 34926 33622 54 250 39 285 35 282 32 275 33622 32291 55 250 36 288 32 285 29 272 32291 30920 54 249 34 293 33 286 28 272 30920 29505 50 247 33 295 34 284 31 278 29505 28047 47 246 32 297 33 283 32 281 28047 26548 46 249 30 296 31 283 30 279 26548 25011 42 253 29 290 27 281 28 275 25011 23439 38 255 30 283 21 268 27 268 23439 21827 33 257 28 276 22 259 27 261 21827 20172 28 259 24 265 22 259 25 263 20172 18505 21 259 18 262 16 251 21 261 18505 16911 10*254 9*270 7*262 20 253 16911 15462 8*249 9*273 5*281 18 246 15462 14165 7 245 9 272 5 284 12 234 14165 12999 7 242 9 269 6 284 6 210 12999 11944 7 239 9 262 6 280 4 199 11944 10989 7 233 9 254 6 275 3 213 10989 10125 8 229 10 247 7 272 2 263 10125 9348 8 225 10 242 7 269 3 326 9348 8647 8 222 10 238 7 267 5 345 8647 8007 8 219 10 235 7 266 9 353 8007 7431 9 217 11 232 7 264 13 357 7431 6942 9 216 11 230 7 263 15 360 6942 6562 9 215 11 228 7 262 14 001 6562 6298 9 214 11 228 7 261 12 002 6298 6136 8 213 10 226 7 260 10 001 6136 6043 8 214 10 226 6 260 7*000 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography