DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.9 - - 41.3 - - 38.4 - - 31.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 173 - - -1 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 1637 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6185 - - 6620 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6964 - - 7505 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 677 - - 1013 - - 1540 - - 128 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 277 - - 8 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 156 - - 218 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3352 - - -4256 - - -5210 - - -3869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10317 - - 11762 - - 11252 - - 9911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11856 - - -11626 - - -12661 - - -12993 ODpotential blCL - - - 18820 - - 19131 - - 18703 - - 19035 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 78 - - 69 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.9 - - 41.3 - - 38.4 - - 31.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.7 - - 11.6 - - 11.1 - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 39.9 - - 40.2 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.6 - - 11.3 - - 10.8 - - 10.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 173 - - -1 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 1637 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95862 40 297 26 312 26 287 39 305 95862 88984 26 309 19 333 18 345 26 340 88984 83573 20 321 19 335 16 350 22 016 83573 79045 12 328 14 320 21 338 24 009 79045 75154 11 331 10 286 17 313 22 347 75154 71718 14 335 10 341 7 323 11 314 71718 68574 17 321 22 332 18 358 4 314 68574 65656 15 289 28 313 31 332 18 350 65656 62941 9 283 23 290 29 301 23 336 62941 60298 9 329 20 255 21 287 28 324 60298 57528 24 325 25 297 29 294 31 304 57528 54646 34 304 34 294 33 284 34 291 54646 51895 32 290 30 283 31 285 33 286 51895 49419 26 287 28 289 29 291 28 289 49419 47203 25 291 28 295 29 298 23 302 47203 45196 30 306 28 305 29 302 25 320 45196 43369 31 317 31 315 31 310 28 325 43369 41698 23 314 32 311 36 309 29 321 41698 40166 16 316 29 306 31 295 27 313 40166 38754 25 339 30 318 27 295 29 307 38754 37441 23 338 27 313 32 307 25 292 37441 36181 15 325 26 303 30 304 26 292 36181 34912 13 312 24 298 28 302 28 301 34912 33609 14 313 25 306 28 303 29 308 33609 32279 18 311 22 307 28 308 29 314 32279 30910 17 298 18 307 22 311 22 325 30910 29495 15 287 15 311 18 318 15 327 29495 28034 16 299 12 323 13 321 11 322 28034 26529 12 312 11 336 10 327 9 321 26529 24985 11 337 9 342 6 323 9 326 24985 23406 10 345 8 343 4 307 9 332 23406 21788 8 346 7 342 3 336 7 347 21788 20127 5 006 6 348 4 004 7 030 20127 18448 5 046 3 033 4 022 10 050 18448 16837 7 072 5 083 4 048 11 057 16837 15369 8 091 5 108 5 061 11 063 15369 14056 9 111 6 121 6 066 11 066 14056 12879 10 130 6 139 6 072 10 067 12879 11819 11 153 5 164 6 075 9 068 11819 10865 12 163 5 187 6 074 8 070 10865 10008 12 164 6 180 7 080 8 076 10008 9242 12 160 9 162 7 092 8 083 9242 8557 12 152 10 152 6 091 8 084 8557 7935 11 145 9*150 5 084 8 077 7935 7377 7*140 3*150 4 052 8 064 7377 6905 3*129 2 153 3 030 7 055 6905 6539 2 133 2 158 1 003 7 044 6539 6285 2 139 2 161 1 252 8 030 6285 6131 2 145 2 161 1*224 8*020 6131 6042 2 147 2 160 1*218 7*016 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography