DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.9 - - 42.7 - - 48.3 - - 41.3 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 126 - - 146 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 766 - - 1328 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6324 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6634 - - 7196 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 332 - - 1262 - - 3706 - - 1616 - - 637 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 194 - - 245 - - 5 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 195 - - 236 - - 245 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1849 - - -3447 - - -4121 - - -3632 - - -2157 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7891 - - 10081 - - 11318 - - 9675 - - 8199 sfcLCL ODpotential -9490 - - -8844 - - -9532 - - -11366 - - -11426 ODpotential blCL 15532 - - 15478 - - 16728 - - 17408 - - 17468 blCL maxRH 63 - - 54 - - 56 - - 45 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.9 - - 42.7 - - 48.3 - - 41.3 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.2 - - 20.2 - - 20.1 - - 20.6 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.2 - - 41.6 - - 47.0 - - 44.3 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.0 - - 19.6 - - 19.7 - - 20.3 - - 21.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 126 - - 146 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 766 - - 1328 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96234 5 050 9 335 9 014 6 091 10 004 96234 89098 24 040 10 064 11 062 15 061 13 034 89098 83584 11 025 16 059 14 055 19 035 13 040 83584 78991 9 014 16 037 15 062 16 018 20 036 78991 74986 19 020 21 031 15 064 19 025 19 021 74986 71442 14 337 17 311 20 355 28 020 24 038 71442 68225 19 309 15 311 23 323 25 337 24 015 68225 65278 28 307 22 313 26 327 22 317 29 324 65278 62604 33 307 33 299 34 305 34 314 27 323 62604 60027 39 303 40 295 36 296 37 301 34 312 60027 57321 41 300 42 291 34 302 34 294 36 301 57321 54492 43 302 44 295 44 306 35 293 40 303 54492 51783 48 299 49 301 51 302 45 302 44 304 51783 49351 52 300 52 298 54 301 51 307 46 305 49351 47187 56 302 50 300 56 303 49 317 37 313 47187 45247 54 301 48 307 53 301 56 324 37 331 45247 43488 50 306 48 310 46 304 56 324 31 328 43488 41866 53 310 44 308 44 322 51 329 25 341 41866 40348 53 311 36 309 48 332 47 342 40 015 40348 38927 47 314 30 321 47 337 41 009 68 024 38927 37597 44 320 31 333 43 339 43 032 79 024 37597 36321 46 323 35 340 36 341 47 035 74 021 36321 35039 44 326 39 341 30 349 54 029 64 017 35039 33724 42 330 38 339 29 359 56 024 51 015 33724 32384 41 332 34 344 32 005 54 023 45 013 32384 31004 40 326 33 357 36 008 48 021 43 009 31004 29578 40 316 37 008 40 010 37 023 38 003 29578 28107 43 309 38 010 41 007 32 018 38 356 28107 26593 45 307 38 007 38 004 32 355 38 347 26593 25039 44 309 37 003 35 001 36 345 37 339 25039 23447 42 313 34 001 36 356 37 342 36 335 23447 21815 39 316 31 355 37 354 36 341 35 334 21815 20137 36 316 30 345 36 355 35 341 34 335 20137 18443 32 318 29 336 33 353 31 342 33 336 18443 16820 29 322 28 333 29 346 28 340 32 338 16820 15349 27 327 27 333 27 339 27 338 31 339 15349 14039 26 332 24 335 26 337 27 342 29 341 14039 12868 24 337 21 338 24 339 25 346 28 346 12868 11816 22 343 18 342 20 345 22 348 27 350 11816 10869 20 348 16 349 15 352 18 351 26 354 10869 10018 17 351 15 357 11 355 14 353 23 358 10018 9254 14 354 13 004 9 355 11 354 20 360 9254 8569 11 356 12 010 7 353 8 353 16 001 8569 7945 8 359 9 014 4 339 6 344 13 360 7945 7385 6 004 5 016 3*280 4 322 9 353 7385 6911 4 008 1*019 3*247 4 302 7 342 6911 6542 3 009 1*198 3 238 3 281 6 333 6542 6287 3 009 2 197 4 232 3 260 4 329 6287 6132 2*002 2 192 4 229 3 248 3*336 6132 6042 3*359 2 193 3 229 3*245 3*342 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography