DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 64.1 - - 70.7 - - 71.1 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 166 - - 197 - - 36 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 2595 - - 3874 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 7326 - - 8325 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 8463 - - 9742 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2665 - - 1410 - - 5589 - - 8804 - - 3903 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 329 - - 393 - - 79 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 15 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 170 - - 186 - - 167 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 11 - - 11 - - -9 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -359 - - 1223 - - 207 - - -4714 - - -2222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6404 - - 7240 - - 9535 - - 10758 - - 8266 sfcLCL ODpotential -2772 - - -827 - - -2004 - - -6518 - - -5762 ODpotential blCL 8816 - - 9290 - - 11746 - - 12562 - - 11806 blCL maxRH 89 - - 87 - - 87 - - 89 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 570 - - 630 - - 260 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 64.1 - - 70.7 - - 71.1 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.5 - - 52.9 - - 49.5 - - 44.7 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.7 - - 62.6 - - 69.0 - - 70.4 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.5 - - 51.9 - - 48.6 - - 44.4 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 166 - - 197 - - 36 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 2595 - - 3874 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 47 - - 46 - - 57 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98403 8 134 11 139 15 197 9 205 5 342 98403 91030 5 116 5 144 10 163 3 172 7 132 91030 85329 5 116 2 316 8 112 3 182 7 127 85329 80588 4 117 5 188 6 335 4 115 7 060 80588 76522 6 089 5 148 2 320 2 312 8 006 76522 72959 6 071 3 145 9 168 10 260 11 347 72959 69740 3 072 2 063 9 150 8 213 8 285 69740 66772 3 230 3 217 3 121 3 155 7 217 66772 64017 8 178 10 172 8 179 5 221 7 224 64017 61351 9 199 1 219 6 181 11 224 9 228 61351 58575 22 222 17 237 12 220 12 239 8 245 58575 55696 24 207 32 224 30 226 26 231 21 242 55696 52958 19 216 34 209 36 222 31 221 32 224 52958 50506 26 233 32 208 40 219 35 216 36 224 50506 48307 36 237 34 217 42 218 39 215 46 217 48307 46308 45 236 39 226 42 220 41 215 46 214 46308 44480 55 235 44 231 43 221 47 217 47 216 44480 42793 69 225 55 227 49 221 54 214 50 211 42793 41222 85 213 72 212 57 216 57 210 51 207 41222 39751 84 210 69 208 65 202 59 205 49 205 39751 38373 73 209 67 206 57 205 59 200 45 206 38373 37056 63 202 65 203 56 205 57 194 38 213 37056 35737 62 201 60 200 51 205 54 188 32 216 35737 34390 60 203 54 196 48 203 53 192 29 211 34390 33015 55 212 51 197 45 202 50 205 28 211 33015 31599 50 223 50 209 42 202 38 211 28 212 31599 30133 35 233 38 222 37 206 23 204 21 203 30133 28622 27 234 29 233 27 231 22 210 16 214 28622 27069 23 226 24 224 24 242 17 236 14 234 27069 25477 22 224 21 221 21 228 17 244 15 235 25477 23853 23 226 20 230 20 228 16 244 14 241 23853 22195 22 231 18 238 17 234 12 240 9 244 22195 20497 20 233 16 244 14 243 8 231 7 246 20497 18789 17 232 14 251 11 264 4 276 4 256 18789 17155 14 231 13 254 12 289 7 333 2 017 17155 15669 12 238 12 249 11 284 9 318 4 043 15669 14340 12 252 10 242 9 274 9 313 6 031 14340 13145 9 242 9 246 7 268 8 311 7 011 13145 12066 8 227 8 249 5 263 7 309 8 000 12066 11089 12 222 7 238 4 242 4 296 6 358 11089 10206 10 218 6 203 4*210 3 269 3 350 10206 9412 9 196 7 178 4*193 2 226 2 224 9412 8697 15 175 8*170 5 186 3 195 4 198 8697 8045 20 163 8*168 5 186 3 183 6 187 8045 7458 18 162 7 169 5 186 4 179 7 179 7458 6960 13 161 7 170 5 185 4 174 8 174 6960 6572 9 161 6 171 5 185 4 172 8 171 6572 6303 7 160 6 171 5 184 4 170 7 168 6303 6139 6*161 6 171 4 184 4*169 5*160 6139 6044 6*161 5 170 4 185 4*167 3*154 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography