DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.2 - - 96.8 - - 94.8 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 468 - - 176 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8407 - - 16274 - - 14081 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12227 - - 18777 - - 16202 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14275 - - 22142 - - 19949 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6724 - - 1113 - - 2579 - - 449 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 647 - - 831 - - 573 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 26 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 311 - - 350 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 122 - - -34 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6267 - - -93 - - -2986 - - -14469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20543 - - 22236 - - 22936 - - 20515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9467 - - -2142 - - -5324 - - -18424 ODpotential blCL - - - 23742 - - 24284 - - 25273 - - 24469 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 78 - - 47 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.2 - - 96.8 - - 94.8 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.8 - - 18.1 - - 13.3 - - 14.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.1 - - 93.5 - - 93.2 - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 17.9 - - 13.2 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 468 - - 176 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8407 - - 16274 - - 14081 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99461 40 104 37 108 33 099 32 091 99461 91943 39 088 39 097 29 107 29 097 91943 86135 30 090 35 096 28 106 31 101 86135 81312 25 110 24 099 27 090 36 088 81312 77168 27 114 21 115 25 087 33 084 77168 73537 26 096 19 107 23 111 27 087 73537 70278 21 082 17 125 16 098 17 098 70278 67284 14 081 21 113 7 123 12 108 67284 64498 9 120 12 090 17 108 12 134 64498 61806 11 097 9 067 16 077 15 125 61806 59030 8 110 2 277 12 016 18 068 59030 56194 10 108 4 211 9 303 15 346 56194 53526 11 021 1 337 8 264 16 299 53526 51127 13 347 5 335 6 284 13 294 51127 48963 13 328 9 332 10 328 11 303 48963 46986 15 327 12 336 13 331 11 320 46986 45163 16 331 13 343 10 320 11 314 45163 43466 17 335 19 347 10 338 8 326 43466 41872 18 333 22 345 13 348 8 351 41872 40372 19 328 23 341 15 344 11 354 40372 38964 19 325 23 339 16 342 16 348 38964 37616 20 314 22 336 17 343 22 346 37616 36266 21 299 21 335 17 342 25 342 36266 34885 21 295 18 339 15 344 22 336 34885 33480 22 299 16 338 11 343 14 330 33480 32042 21 305 13 314 11 313 9 316 32042 30569 16 313 10 269 16 274 15 284 30569 29061 9 304 10 247 16 271 18 274 29061 27510 9 271 12 260 11 285 15 294 27510 25918 10 257 13 278 8 311 12 316 25918 24292 8 258 12 315 9 337 11 337 24292 22627 11 299 11*325 6 333 11 342 22627 20914 14 308 5*313 1*227 9 333 20914 19180 15 307 5 303 1*209 7 330 19180 17510 13 307 5 303 1 326 6 334 17510 15985 13 313 5 306 3 342 7 339 15985 14617 12*320 6 309 6 345 8 342 14617 13384 12*326 6 312 8 348 9 343 13384 12270 11 328 6 315 10 349 10 345 12270 11261 10 329 6 315 12 351 11 346 11261 10349 9 326 7 316 13 351 12 349 10349 9529 7 319 6 316 14 353 13 352 9529 8789 5 300 6 316 14 353 13 355 8789 8114 4 267 6 315 14 353 14 360 8114 7506 4 249 6 314 14 354 14 004 7506 6992 5 238 6 315 14 354 14 007 6992 6591 5 231 6 314 14 354 13 010 6591 6313 5 227 6 313 14 354 11 012 6313 6143 5 226 5 313 13 354 9*012 6143 6045 5 223 5 311 12 354 7*012 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography