DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1603z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.8 - - 74.1 - - 78.6 - - 77.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 371 - - 401 - - 60 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 297 - - 6428 - - 10469 - - 7835 - - 149 BL Depth Hcrit 5999 - - 10567 - - 13878 - - 10269 - - 6000 Hcrit BL Top 6165 - - 12296 - - 16337 - - 13703 - - 6017 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 939 - - 4295 - - 2621 - - 5034 - - 1637 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 565 - - 682 - - 329 - - 16 W* B/S 16 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 16 - - 24 - - 23 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 256 - - 265 - - 273 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 20 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -19 - - -7 - - -19 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4864 - - -916 - - 1573 - - -1008 - - -5857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11030 - - 13213 - - 14765 - - 14712 - - 11874 sfcLCL ODpotential -8395 - - -2034 - - 538 - - -2801 - - -9606 ODpotential blCL 14560 - - 14330 - - 15799 - - 16504 - - 15623 blCL maxRH 88 - - 89 - - 72 - - 54 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 80 - - 110 - - 60 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 62.8 - - 74.1 - - 78.6 - - 77.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.6 - - 36.7 - - 34.2 - - 33.1 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.7 - - 71.7 - - 76.1 - - 76.4 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 36.6 - - 34.1 - - 33.0 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 371 - - 401 - - 60 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 297 - - 6428 - - 10469 - - 7835 - - 149 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98260 5 265 1 053 9 190 8 222 5 224 98260 90830 7 264 4 209 7 222 5 229 6 260 90830 85096 6 262 4 258 8 220 10 256 5 280 85096 80355 3 322 1 249 3 225 10 246 7 323 80355 76286 5 322 4 257 3 284 5 206 6 310 76286 72700 8 341 3 252 7 269 3 281 3 327 72700 69463 11 299 12 288 8 273 7 305 9 277 69463 66507 10 270 15 278 12 270 9 307 9 300 66507 63774 12 276 17 265 20 270 21 293 16 299 63774 61135 19 282 23 268 28 260 29 279 25 284 61135 58393 25 283 25 269 31 260 32 270 29 279 58393 55540 33 283 31 272 36 267 36 266 33 272 55540 52810 42 281 41 271 42 267 41 264 38 268 52810 50352 50 278 48 271 49 269 49 264 45 269 50352 48143 58 275 56 272 57 270 56 264 52 267 48143 46130 67 272 64 272 66 269 61 266 55 266 46130 44282 75 271 70 271 72 267 66 267 59 266 44282 42578 81 271 72 270 75 266 67 266 62 265 42578 40996 84 270 72 270 72 266 65 265 61 265 40996 39522 85 270 71 271 67 268 62 266 58 266 39522 38148 84 271 70 272 63 271 58 267 51 269 38148 36841 81 271 69 274 61 272 56 268 48 272 36841 35536 77 270 68 275 60 273 55 268 49 270 35536 34200 74 269 67 275 57 274 55 268 49 270 34200 32834 71 268 67 275 53 275 54 270 49 273 32834 31430 69 268 66 275 45 276 53 273 48 274 31430 29978 65 268 64 274 38 280 50 276 47 275 29978 28484 62 268 61 274 36 282 44 279 45 275 28484 26946 58 268 58 274 39 281 39 282 41 275 26946 25372 53 269 55 274 40 281 36 284 37 275 25372 23766 47 272 51 275 40 281 34 286 34 275 23766 22125 42 273 43 274 38 280 33 286 31 273 22125 20447 36 268 36 274 34 276 30 282 27 268 20447 18760 30 263 34 271 29 269 28 278 23 270 18760 17140 30 257 33 265 28*268 27 278 20 279 17140 15663 30 252 31 261 28*267 26 277 20 289 15663 14337 28 253 29 262 27 267 26*277 21 294 14337 13144 25 261 27*265 26 267 26*277 22 293 13144 12064 23 268 25*269 25 266 25 275 23 289 12064 11086 21 272 23 270 25 266 25 274 24 287 11086 10201 21 275 21 268 24 265 24 274 24 286 10201 9405 22 276 18 264 24 264 24 273 25 286 9405 8686 21 277 16 256 23 263 23 272 25 287 8686 8030 19 276 14 244 22 262 22 272 25 286 8030 7439 15 274 12 229 22 261 22 271 23 285 7439 6938 10 272 12 225 21 260 21 271 19 283 6938 6548 5 271 12 222 21 260 20 271 13 280 6548 6277 2*272 12 221 20 259 19 270 9 279 6277 6112 1*265 11 220 19 259 17 270 6*283 6112 6017 1 255 10 219 16 258 14 269 5*293 6017 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography