DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.1 - - 33.5 - - 38.0 - - 32.0 - - 27.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 110 - - 163 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1235 - - 2361 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 7118 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 7103 - - 8229 - - 6042 - - 6041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 522 - - 1913 - - 2666 - - 2162 - - 1127 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 220 - - 309 - - 9 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 21 - - 12 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 015 - - 218 - - 209 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 13 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1916 - - -1650 - - -1561 - - -1793 - - -674 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7957 - - 8753 - - 9791 - - 7836 - - 6716 sfcLCL ODpotential -10587 - - -7593 - - -6968 - - -7837 - - -8600 ODpotential blCL 16628 - - 14696 - - 15197 - - 13879 - - 14641 blCL maxRH 40 - - 51 - - 56 - - 52 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.1 - - 33.5 - - 38.0 - - 32.0 - - 27.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.2 - - 16.7 - - 16.5 - - 19.2 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.7 - - 32.5 - - 36.5 - - 33.8 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.4 - - 15.6 - - 15.9 - - 18.7 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 110 - - 163 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1235 - - 2361 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96344 11 177 8 083 14 109 12 145 17 140 96344 89263 14 097 11 058 14 081 10 137 8 043 89263 83816 24 053 11 074 13 059 14 061 11 078 83816 79250 20 056 7 097 3 030 16 024 16 043 79250 75311 12 044 12 034 13 032 11 037 10 029 75311 71830 16 355 8 032 17 029 14 034 9 043 71830 68673 21 001 2 040 12 018 17 027 14 032 68673 65771 23 357 13 004 13 031 13 024 15 026 65771 63077 18 351 22 351 17 020 11 023 9 019 63077 60454 15 002 24 348 20 003 11 037 12 020 60454 57709 25 008 24 356 20 008 18 030 24 013 57709 54863 31 002 28 008 26 018 25 017 24 359 54863 52136 34 002 37 005 33 012 23 012 18 019 52136 49646 36 358 36 359 32 010 20 025 38 005 49646 47393 34 353 33 357 34 004 29 012 42 356 47393 45348 29 349 32 353 35 358 40 354 36 007 45348 43458 26 347 29 342 36 352 43 346 45 012 43458 41697 25 342 29 329 37 345 39 343 54 000 41697 40059 25 334 31 318 39 338 36 343 55 349 40059 38541 29 319 32 312 38 332 35 343 48 336 38541 37144 31 310 30 308 35 327 39 342 38 314 37144 35830 32 307 28 309 31 326 42 347 25 332 35830 34523 30 308 27 315 29 334 47 001 40 017 34523 33194 28 308 27 321 33 350 55 011 49 009 33194 31850 28 306 28 323 42 003 62 016 57 004 31850 30478 26 305 29 318 46 006 68 018 56 005 30478 29066 24 309 30 308 44 004 72 019 54 009 29066 27614 23 317 30 301 38 352 75 020 52 011 27614 26123 25 325 29 303 35 332 68 020 47 011 26123 24598 27 331 29 305 33 324 51 010 41 008 24598 23040 29 337 27 304 30 324 41 354 39 359 23040 21443 30 341 25 304 27 330 35 344 37 348 21443 19802 30 346 22 309 26 332 30 339 35 339 19802 18148 29 351 20 317 25 329 27 338 33 331 18148 16566 26 351 18 327 23 327 26 336 31 323 16566 15129 24 342 18 333 21 328 25 336 28 320 15129 13849 20 329 17 335 19 334 24 336 25 324 13849 12705 15 318 16 335 18 339 22 337 23 330 12705 11677 11 315 14 334 16 340 19 338 21 336 11677 10752 10 329 11 335 12 341 16 338 19 340 10752 9920 10 351 9 341 8 341 12 337 16 342 9920 9175 13 008 8 353 6 338 9 334 12 342 9175 8506 15 017 8 006 3*315 6 325 9 335 8506 7897 18 022 8 014 3*249 5 305 6 321 7897 7351 19 023 6*017 4 220 4 270 4 299 7351 6889 18 021 4*015 5 217 4 236 2 269 6889 6530 13 016 2 013 6 215 4 221 1 223 6530 6281 8 011 1 019 6 214 4 212 1 186 6281 6129 4*009 1 016 6 213 4*209 1 064 6129 6041 1*353 1 016 6 212 3*209 1*041 6041 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography