DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.0 - - 42.1 - - 44.5 - - 41.5 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 153 - - 110 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1635 - - 2380 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6572 - - 6922 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7503 - - 8248 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 514 - - 1623 - - 2306 - - 4162 - - 1146 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 267 - - 271 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 179 - - 198 - - 180 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 11 - - 19 - - 10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 631 - - 859 - - -1170 - - -143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6873 - - 7389 - - 7212 - - 6185 sfcLCL ODpotential -2469 - - -971 - - -320 - - -3489 - - -3874 ODpotential blCL 8511 - - 8474 - - 8568 - - 9531 - - 9916 blCL maxRH 98 - - 92 - - 97 - - 89 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.0 - - 42.1 - - 44.5 - - 41.5 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 33.0 - - 33.0 - - 30.9 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.5 - - 40.8 - - 43.4 - - 43.3 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.4 - - 32.8 - - 32.9 - - 30.8 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 153 - - 110 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1635 - - 2380 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 68 - - 90 - - 57 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95988 52 285 55 290 56 289 53 292 51 286 95988 88853 40 298 36 293 41 298 33 304 29 300 88853 83306 41 296 29 294 34 297 28 305 29 314 83306 78697 37 299 31 300 31 292 31 294 33 303 78697 74753 26 301 27 297 22 285 27 288 25 300 74753 71261 22 305 24 296 20 274 25 279 24 301 71261 68084 23 295 23 291 24 288 27 282 28 290 68084 65163 32 291 34 296 30 292 27 289 30 282 65163 62444 40 279 45 277 42 281 30 295 31 272 62444 59809 41 260 55 258 60 266 48 280 41 279 59809 57073 44 263 55 255 62 258 59 265 57 270 57073 54242 57 268 56 262 59 259 60 257 64 262 54242 51532 70 268 65 266 63 260 66 256 67 258 51532 49079 82 266 75 263 72 259 75 257 72 258 49079 46872 87 264 82 261 82 263 85 259 80 259 46872 44867 90 265 86 261 91 266 92 263 88 260 44867 43031 95 267 93 263 100 265 99 264 95 260 43031 41339 104 266 102 263 106 262 106 262 105 259 41339 39773 110 263 110 260 112 261 112 259 113 257 39773 38319 111 261 112 258 118 259 118 258 118 257 38319 36967 109 262 111 259 119 257 123 256 120 258 36967 35679 107 264 109 260 116 256 123 255 119 257 35679 34393 107 264 107 260 113 257 120 255 117 256 34393 33078 106 265 104 261 110 258 116 256 115 256 33078 31740 101 265 98 261 104 257 112 256 114 257 31740 30368 93 264 92 259 97 257 107 257 111 259 30368 28956 87 260 88 256 91 258 98 256 102 260 28956 27510 80 258 84 256 86 257 87 256 90 259 27510 26031 74 257 79 257 78 256 76 258 81 260 26031 24519 68 259 70 257 70 255 69 261 77 262 24519 22974 61 261 61 256 63 255 65 264 73 262 22974 21393 55 263 55 254 58 255 62 263 67 260 21393 19773 51 266 50 253 54 255 56 262 60 258 19773 18143 46 268 45 256 48 255 48 261 49 257 18143 16585 40 266 41 260 43 256 40 261 40 255 16585 15171 34 262 37 261 39 259 35 262 33 256 15171 13908 31 260 33 259 36 262 32 262 29 256 13908 12773 29 261 29 257 33 263 29 260 25 254 12773 11750 27 259 25 256 28 259 25 252 22 251 11750 10824 24 249 21 254 22 252 21 240 20 247 10824 9988 21 236 17 248 16 242 18 231 18 244 9988 9236 20 233 14 237 14 237 17 224 16 241 9236 8559 19 238 12 224 12*228 16 218 14 238 8559 7940 17 243 9*212 10*210 14 210 12 234 7940 7383 13 245 6*196 10 199 12 201 8 226 7383 6911 8 240 5 178 10 196 11 193 5 201 6911 6543 4 222 5 175 10 195 10 189 3 169 6543 6288 1 111 5 173 10 194 8 185 2 117 6288 6132 2*049 5 173 9 194 6 181 2*051 6132 6042 3*031 5 173 9 193 5*180 3*033 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography