DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.4 - - 38.1 - - 43.1 - - 35.3 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 146 - - 157 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 844 - - 1230 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6284 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6712 - - 7098 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 327 - - 655 - - 782 - - 835 - - 468 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 210 - - 244 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 215 - - 208 - - 185 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4161 - - -4652 - - -5118 - - -3367 - - -2555 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10204 - - 11365 - - 12217 - - 9410 - - 8597 sfcLCL ODpotential -15591 - - -13399 - - -12954 - - -12931 - - -13419 ODpotential blCL 21633 - - 20111 - - 20052 - - 18973 - - 19461 blCL maxRH 30 - - 34 - - 32 - - 39 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.4 - - 38.1 - - 43.1 - - 35.3 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.9 - - 10.2 - - 11.3 - - 15.9 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.6 - - 36.9 - - 41.7 - - 38.0 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.6 - - 9.7 - - 10.9 - - 15.5 - - 15.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 146 - - 157 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 844 - - 1230 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96688 32 273 50 270 46 276 45 271 55 277 96688 89545 16 282 28 288 24 285 23 300 23 289 89545 84026 12 329 17 312 16 293 16 328 14 316 84026 79424 17 337 12 338 12 343 18 349 16 359 79424 75424 15 335 16 331 16 328 17 329 21 356 75424 71877 15 343 16 332 17 324 13 303 23 330 71877 68681 26 340 23 336 23 332 14 333 24 324 68681 65745 38 322 30 324 32 317 31 342 28 334 65745 63011 44 325 35 321 36 317 35 322 32 322 63011 60361 52 310 43 316 44 315 39 310 39 308 60361 57605 53 304 48 312 49 313 45 311 47 307 57605 54745 58 302 56 305 56 308 56 309 55 307 54745 52006 67 298 65 299 61 303 63 304 64 303 52006 49531 74 295 72 298 65 300 65 298 72 299 49531 47311 76 292 75 296 67 299 69 290 79 293 47311 45301 75 290 77 293 68 298 67 292 75 290 45301 43470 72 289 75 287 71 296 67 304 63 294 43470 41796 68 290 68 284 73 294 73 305 51 307 41796 40251 66 290 56 286 68 290 71 300 47 319 40251 38809 61 292 54 296 53 289 61 296 52 317 38809 37459 59 292 55 296 46 306 54 297 55 308 37459 36173 60 289 54 293 52 307 53 304 57 302 36173 34894 55 292 47 290 55 301 49 305 45 303 34894 33594 46 294 38 294 48 294 45 311 33 323 33594 32271 38 309 34 306 39 299 45 323 39 339 32271 30908 42 319 35 314 35 312 44 326 41 341 30908 29496 43 318 34 317 34 315 43 321 38 342 29496 28039 44 315 33 318 34 310 41 316 33 329 28039 26537 45 312 34 316 32 308 39 313 35 322 26537 24997 45 311 36 313 30 311 36 310 38 322 24997 23419 44 312 37 313 30 313 36 308 37 321 23419 21798 41 314 36 314 32 313 37 307 36 319 21798 20128 38 313 34 315 32 312 37 308 36 318 20128 18441 36 310 32 314 31 312 35 307 35 318 18441 16824 33 308 30 315 29 312 32 307 32 316 16824 15354 30 310 28 317 26 311 28 306 29 314 15354 14042 27 315 25 319 23 311 25 307 25 313 14042 12867 25 321 22 320 20 310 22 308 21 315 12867 11811 21 327 18 321 18 308 20 308 18 318 11811 10859 17 331 14 322 15 306 18 309 15 320 10859 10004 13 335 10 323 13 303 15 309 13 319 10004 9239 9 336 7 324 9 304 12 313 9 315 9239 8553 6 336 4 328 6 312 8 324 6 312 8553 7930 5 339 3 329 5 317 6 347 2 314 7930 7373 3 348 2 326 2*296 5 006 1 006 7373 6902 3 355 2*278 3*216 5 016 1 053 6902 6538 2 006 3*223 4 209 2 023 1 008 6538 6285 3 009 3 216 4 205 1 040 2 347 6285 6130 4*004 3 212 4 204 1*175 3*335 6130 6042 4*003 3 210 4 204 1*185 3*339 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography