DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 62.0 - - 66.5 - - 63.7 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 49 - - 46 - - -20 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 1738 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 1578 - - 3123 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1274 - - 1551 - - 1998 - - 2315 - - 1341 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 - - 87 - - 187 - - 22 - - 50 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 16 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 133 - - 134 - - 103 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 940 - - -283 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 1578 - - 2183 - - 1861 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 0 - - 262 - - -1488 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 1578 - - 1578 - - 2861 - - 3066 - - 1578 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 250 - - 210 - - 550 - - 300 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 62.0 - - 66.5 - - 63.7 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.0 - - 61.9 - - 62.1 - - 60.6 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 61.4 - - 66.0 - - 64.5 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.0 - - 61.7 - - 61.5 - - 60.5 - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 49 - - 46 - - -20 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 1738 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 99 - - 74 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96225 59 255 64 261 60 256 65 256 68 252 96225 89032 53 249 59 257 72 258 74 260 71 257 89032 83543 48 253 51 256 61 259 66 266 63 264 83543 79009 37 259 40 252 41 254 46 263 44 259 79009 75110 26 263 30 255 32 255 35 260 33 254 75110 71655 24 254 21 259 25 255 29 258 27 255 71655 68524 20 272 13 274 14 267 22 244 22 251 68524 65653 24 286 16 279 15 288 19 246 23 249 65653 63011 27 267 22 269 22 272 20 250 24 254 63011 60472 26 268 26 267 26 271 24 261 24 262 60472 57825 33 268 30 265 32 260 31 259 31 260 57825 55069 36 266 35 260 35 250 37 256 39 258 55069 52414 43 262 44 262 43 256 44 251 45 253 52414 49989 49 256 51 258 48 258 48 249 49 249 49989 47782 54 255 56 249 54 250 54 249 51 248 47782 45755 60 254 60 244 59 243 59 250 52 248 45755 43882 65 250 68 245 63 245 62 251 56 248 43882 42147 68 246 72 245 68 245 67 248 62 247 42147 40542 67 246 72 244 71 241 67 241 65 246 40542 39060 63 249 70 242 73 233 66 238 64 246 39060 37689 59 252 68 243 70 232 66 237 60 248 37689 36380 60 252 62 243 67 231 65 237 56 249 36380 35053 62 251 61 242 67 232 63 241 56 249 35053 33675 63 251 62 239 65 236 61 244 55 249 33675 32247 63 253 64 243 61 241 58 246 54 248 32247 30755 63 255 64 248 56 245 54 249 53 247 30755 29186 65 254 59 252 49 249 51 251 52 246 29186 27543 64 254 49 257 40 250 47 248 48 245 27543 25824 58 258 42 257 37 251 40 249 44 244 25824 24031 49 262 37 256 36 249 36 256 42 239 24031 22169 47 261 34 255 34 252 31 259 37 236 22169 20234 44 262 31 258 31 250 30 254 34 239 20234 18219 33 268 25 266 29 240 31 246 30 237 18219 16167 18 269 21 259 23 232 32 243 27 236 16167 14194 17 275 22 252 20 231 33 245 26 241 14194 12399 14 276 23 244 21 227 26 227 23 236 12399 10799 13 262 26 234 26 229 26 224 17 226 10799 9374 15 248 26 217 29 220 23 221 9 205 9374 8109 18 235 23 207 24 215 17 217 8 158 8109 6985 18 222 14 195 19 205 16 194 10 145 6985 5989 16 211 10 170 16 181 18 177 12 131 5989 5111 15 193 11 154 17 163 19 168 15 119 5111 4334 16 170 15 148 19 150 18 156 17 112 4334 3637 17 165 18 144 19*140 18 139 18 109 3637 3020 16 165 18 140 18*136 18 124 18 108 3020 2505 15 159 16 136 18 135 18 115 18 106 2505 2110 13 157 15 135 17 134 16 110 17 105 2110 1838 11 155 13 134 16 133 14 107 15 103 1838 1673 9*154 11*133 14 133 11 104 12 102 1673 1578 7*154 9*133 11 133 7*103 9*101 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography