DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.1 - - 66.9 - - 70.3 - - 62.8 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 157 - - 105 - - -26 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 982 - - 1547 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 1751 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2367 - - 2932 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 632 - - 465 - - 818 - - 1518 - - 782 Hgt.Variab. W* 74 - - 225 - - 230 - - 27 - - 22 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 032 - - 047 - - 043 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1812 - - -2264 - - -1817 - - -1365 - - -965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3391 - - 4631 - - 4749 - - 2943 - - 2543 sfcLCL ODpotential -9968 - - -7945 - - -6416 - - -7194 - - -7449 ODpotential blCL 11546 - - 10312 - - 9348 - - 8772 - - 9027 blCL maxRH 89 - - 86 - - 78 - - 78 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 320 - - 260 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.1 - - 66.9 - - 70.3 - - 62.8 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.9 - - 52.2 - - 55.0 - - 55.5 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 65.6 - - 69.3 - - 64.1 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.9 - - 51.2 - - 54.1 - - 55.1 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 157 - - 105 - - -26 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 982 - - 1547 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 43 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96648 47 264 56 278 49 278 53 277 48 290 96648 89390 27 279 38 262 40 276 33 272 38 271 89390 83881 22 277 27 250 29 264 26 268 26 271 83881 79339 14 305 16 246 24 245 24 275 16 290 79339 75413 12 295 9 258 17 241 19 264 15 278 75413 71932 7 266 6 286 9 261 8 255 8 239 71932 68792 3 250 5 261 5 301 2 262 4 205 68792 65925 11 218 4 235 4 304 5 317 1 110 65925 63299 11 244 7 286 5 278 5 269 5 227 63299 60789 23 255 25 275 18 282 11 276 9 280 60789 58169 26 249 31 261 25 276 17 279 12 260 58169 55419 31 262 40 273 35 278 24 269 22 235 55419 52761 46 260 45 271 43 256 42 262 37 251 52761 50344 52 255 47 254 52 253 53 259 54 261 50344 48163 52 254 49 250 51 250 53 254 58 257 48163 46179 53 255 51 250 50 250 52 249 53 251 46179 44364 57 258 53 252 53 253 53 250 52 248 44364 42690 60 261 55 257 57 257 54 255 56 255 42690 41131 61 263 58 260 59 261 57 260 64 262 41131 39672 62 265 59 262 60 263 60 264 67 267 39672 38299 61 267 57 262 60 262 61 265 64 267 38299 36970 59 267 53 261 58 261 57 265 60 264 36970 35619 54 265 49 262 50 260 52 266 56 261 35619 34214 49 264 46 262 43 258 47 267 52 260 34214 32758 47 260 43 256 38 257 41 264 46 259 32758 31238 46 258 40 253 35 257 36 261 43 259 31238 29643 44 260 39 252 36 258 39 262 46 256 29643 27976 43 262 39 256 37 261 43 260 43 254 27976 26231 42 262 40 259 39 262 42 257 39 255 26231 24409 43 263 40 260 37 259 35 251 36 250 24409 22515 41 264 38 262 34 257 28 248 32 242 22515 20542 36 265 34 261 30 257 26 250 27 244 20542 18486 30 261 29 253 26 253 24 253 23 249 18486 16388 25 252 25 242 25 252 23 251 18 254 16388 14368 19 254 20 241 22 250 21 261 15 256 14368 12532 13 269 10 250 13 244 15 261 10 259 12532 10904 12 303 6 261 8 226 12 239 9 241 10904 9461 13 320 5 249 6 217 10 226 9 215 9461 8177 9 318 5 235 5 224 6 220 9 202 8177 7035 4 300 3 250 4 229 3 233 8 184 7035 6022 5 234 2 214 3 227 1 230 7 169 6022 5130 6 217 4 192 1 175 1 125 9 142 5130 4342 6 190 4 182 3 083 5 089 13 119 4342 3639 7 123 4 149 9 055 13 064 14 098 3639 3019 10 074 9 046 13*049 16 058 17 073 3019 2504 18 038 12*033 12*048 17 053 21 066 2504 2109 19 033 12*033 12 048 16 049 21 067 2109 1837 15 029 12 032 12 047 14 047 16 067 1837 1672 14*028 11 032 11 047 11 045 12*065 1672 1578 11*029 9 032 9 047 7*043 7*063 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography