DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 85.3 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 81 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2188 - - 3123 - - - - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2391 - - 2933 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3573 - - 4508 - - - - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 881 - - 1868 - - - - - 1773 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 292 - - - - - 58 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 8 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 077 - - - - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 930 - - 1166 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2643 - - 3342 - - - - - 1580 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4027 - - -649 - - - - - -333 ODpotential blCL - - - 7600 - - 5157 - - - - - 1913 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 93 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 3790 - - 3560 - - - - - 3180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 85.3 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 76.4 - - 75.2 - - - - - 76.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 84.4 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 73.8 - - - - - 76.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 81 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2188 - - 3123 - - - - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 72 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 18 - - - - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98513 27 083 26 088 27 083 98513 91098 24 095 25 098 20 077 91098 85361 24 105 27 094 20 076 85361 80582 21 101 21 091 26 079 80582 76479 19 087 19 083 25 072 76479 72878 16 086 20 082 21 079 72878 69650 15 081 18 098 19 080 69650 66706 8 054 15 089 15 074 66706 64001 8 104 10 070 11 072 64001 61408 11 051 6 073 7 058 61408 58728 5 008 6 144 6 059 58728 55965 16 325 7 345 13 006 55965 53350 15 307 16 312 20 347 53350 51006 11 292 12 308 22 328 51006 48885 16 316 21 336 25 325 48885 46936 37 320 37 326 30 318 46936 45128 50 312 47 312 31 304 45128 43439 51 308 48 304 28 300 43439 41851 46 293 41 301 25 293 41851 40356 42 280 36 292 24 279 40356 38947 39 274 36 267 24 275 38947 37583 35 265 32 258 24 281 37583 36191 32 252 31 254 22 280 36191 34743 28 240 33 242 17 268 34743 33244 21 226 29 237 18 266 33244 31680 19 211 25 233 18 265 31680 30040 17 207 23 230 16 265 30040 28324 17 201 24 236 15 263 28324 26536 19 201 25 240 16 268 26536 24679 20 210 22 239 14 277 24679 22755 21 206 17 233 12 284 22755 20759 28 188 12 247 10 285 20759 18688 28 176 19 200 7 280 18688 16591 24 175 26 195 5 244 16591 14578 17 197 20 205 6 243 14578 12743 14 221 22 230 11 268 12743 11107 10 228 21 256 15 271 11107 9647 8 238 23 264 17 268 9647 8344 8 258 19 260 12 246 8344 7186 11 273 2 201 12 177 7186 6158 11 284 7 097 16 163 6158 5248 5 324 8*089 17 163 5248 4441 9 076 8*085 17 162 4441 3718 16*095 8 080 17 161 3718 3077 16*096 8 076 14 161 3077 2543 16 097 8 075 13 155 2543 2133 16 098 8 074 13 152 2133 1850 15 098 7 073 11 150 1850 1678 14 098 7 072 10*149 1678 1580 12 098 6 072 8*148 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography