DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 76.9 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 25 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1157 - - 1968 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 1563 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2542 - - 3353 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1983 - - 2540 - - - - - 2292 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 183 - - - - - 41 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 149 - - - - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 961 - - 1157 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1581 - - 2196 - - - - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 347 - - -140 - - - - - -271 ODpotential blCL - - - 2195 - - 3493 - - - - - 1850 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2160 - - 2040 - - - - - 1720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 76.9 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 72.1 - - - - - 72.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 76.6 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 71.1 - - - - - 71.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 25 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1157 - - 1968 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 90 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 16 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98810 39 102 38 101 35 085 98810 91355 42 101 37 098 43 086 91355 85615 44 098 41 098 49 092 85615 80862 41 089 40 095 44 088 80862 76794 34 081 39 093 39 087 76794 73210 31 087 34 098 35 084 73210 69966 33 094 29 100 28 076 69966 66983 33 092 30 100 23 075 66983 64225 28 096 32 094 23 086 64225 61571 28 096 31 089 25 083 61571 58828 25 082 30 089 24 079 58828 55992 22 063 27 057 27 071 55992 53282 21 046 19 034 26 045 53282 50846 22 023 15 004 22 003 50846 48672 28 359 16 338 15 326 48672 46704 30 344 20 315 22 317 46704 44898 25 327 19 304 27 296 44898 43222 21 300 24 293 26 285 43222 41655 22 294 25 277 26 274 41655 40182 24 291 22 269 26 265 40182 38789 26 280 21 266 27 265 38789 37437 25 271 18 263 30 265 37437 36059 25 258 13 238 30 264 36059 34624 27 247 14 215 31 266 34624 33135 21 244 17 222 33 273 33135 31581 14 224 21 235 32 276 31581 29950 13 227 21 240 23 259 29950 28243 14 233 18 250 20 245 28243 26462 15 225 16 257 17 239 26462 24608 15 219 16 252 17 246 24608 22687 12 227 12 236 19 225 22687 20692 12 224 12 247 19 226 20692 18622 9 242 13 256 16 218 18622 16519 7 273 10 252 14 212 16519 14497 4 286 6 234 17 207 14497 12661 11 181 15 216 21 201 12661 11026 16 179 21 208 22 199 11026 9570 17 189 21 204 21 193 9570 8273 20 193 20 196 20 188 8273 7122 20 184 20 186 19 181 7122 6102 20 172 19 175 18 168 6102 5203 20 165 18 164 18 155 5203 4406 20 163 18 158 18 147 4406 3692 18 160 17*154 18 142 3692 3060 16*158 17*152 18 140 3060 2532 14*155 16 149 17 137 2532 2126 12 151 15 148 15 132 2126 1846 11 150 14 148 13 130 1846 1676 10 149 13 147 11 129 1676 1579 8 148 10 147 8*128 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography