DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.5 - - 80.7 - - 81.8 - - 80.5 - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 106 - - 192 - - 88 - - 26 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1909 - - 2446 - - 2645 - - 1500 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 2060 - - 2762 - - 2532 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3294 - - 3831 - - 4030 - - 2885 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2475 - - 1793 - - 1900 - - 2976 - - 2153 Hgt.Variab. W* 247 - - 330 - - 268 - - 159 - - 57 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 154 - - 143 - - 155 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 544 - - 842 - - 875 - - 411 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2750 - - 2989 - - 3155 - - 2474 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -271 - - 193 - - 22 - - -844 - - -254 ODpotential blCL 3565 - - 3638 - - 4008 - - 3729 - - 1833 blCL maxRH 93 - - 95 - - 100 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1520 - - 1950 - - 2310 - - 2820 - - 2220 CAPE Temp@2m 78.5 - - 80.7 - - 81.8 - - 80.5 - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.4 - - 72.5 - - 72.8 - - 74.4 - - 74.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.4 - - 79.0 - - 80.8 - - 80.1 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.8 - - 71.4 - - 71.9 - - 73.7 - - 74.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 106 - - 192 - - 88 - - 26 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1909 - - 2446 - - 2645 - - 1500 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 78 - - 101 - - 60 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98824 36 079 40 093 38 098 33 106 34 064 98824 91404 41 089 31 086 37 102 38 086 34 085 91404 85675 43 086 34 087 34 085 38 083 37 085 85675 80898 36 086 32 093 31 080 33 082 38 085 80898 76777 29 089 29 099 27 090 27 079 37 085 76777 73173 28 090 30 098 22 103 26 081 30 076 73173 69964 27 088 28 094 21 107 24 086 24 071 69964 67026 24 089 22 097 19 095 21 094 19 087 67026 64298 19 100 21 108 18 090 21 087 20 101 64298 61676 22 097 25 107 21 098 21 071 21 086 61676 58962 26 086 28 090 27 100 21 081 22 067 58962 56149 33 074 35 076 34 089 30 100 25 082 56149 53480 33 064 40 073 39 079 38 092 31 095 53480 51105 29 066 38 070 37 074 39 077 37 090 51105 48974 27 100 29 083 24 085 31 076 38 083 48974 47017 28 107 23 106 20 107 20 093 22 096 47017 45209 25 109 18 124 16 115 16 094 13 116 45209 43530 18 090 19 146 13 144 8 121 2 144 43530 41955 11 037 17 147 14 175 8 181 8 262 41955 40470 13 268 8 233 10 203 8 211 11 251 40470 39064 23 237 19 235 13 232 11 237 10 241 39064 37698 24 249 20 228 13 225 15 245 9 232 37698 36307 23 269 18 231 14 224 16 249 8 220 36307 34862 23 281 15 229 14 217 15 252 7 216 34862 33365 10 267 13 229 14 206 11 237 7 227 33365 31802 12 209 13 233 12 212 10 212 4 245 31802 30160 9 211 12 243 8 223 7 208 6 226 30160 28442 4 110 7 228 5 239 4 202 6 201 28442 26649 6 107 6 191 5 227 3 224 1 173 26649 24782 6 127 6 178 5 229 2 219 2 346 24782 22844 9 165 6 172 5 211 1 234 3 323 22844 20837 11 159 6 176 7 208 2 192 7 359 20837 18757 10 156 10 178 9 197 6 202 9 007 18757 16640 10 153 12 164 11 167 7 202 9 359 16640 14601 8 148 11 144 11 145 12 183 1 242 14601 12746 5 156 6 135 12 154 13 171 10 185 12746 11094 6 182 5 167 12 172 12 163 13 180 11094 9624 13 177 12 180 10 175 13 158 13 176 9624 8319 18 174 16 181 9 173 13 161 12 173 8319 7162 20 176 17 178 11 169 13 168 12 165 7162 6135 20 176 17 174 13 162 13 172 13 161 6135 5228 20 174 15 169 14 157 14 167 16 157 5228 4426 19 173 14*164 13*153 16 161 17 154 4426 3707 17*171 13*162 12*147 16 158 18 152 3707 3070 14*166 11 156 11 143 15*156 18 150 3070 2538 12 162 10 153 11 143 15*155 17 148 2538 2129 11 161 9 151 11 141 14 155 15 145 2129 1848 11 161 8 148 10 142 13 155 12 143 1848 1677 10 161 8 148 9 140 12 154 11 142 1677 1579 8 160 7 147 8 141 9 154 8*142 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography