DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.0 - - 81.4 - - 84.5 - - 78.7 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 93 - - 276 - - 175 - - -8 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 790 - - 4416 - - 4971 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 4347 - - 4551 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2175 - - 5801 - - 6356 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1625 - - 1048 - - 1532 - - 5671 - - 386 Hgt.Variab. W* 174 - - 441 - - 396 - - 18 - - 15 W* B/S 7 - - 18 - - 16 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 117 - - 101 - - 018 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1394 - - -983 - - -1784 - - -4187 - - -3682 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3569 - - 6784 - - 8140 - - 5766 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -8746 - - -7580 - - -8208 - - -9952 - - -11267 ODpotential blCL 10921 - - 13381 - - 14564 - - 11531 - - 12846 blCL maxRH 73 - - 66 - - 62 - - 72 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.0 - - 81.4 - - 84.5 - - 78.7 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.6 - - 57.1 - - 54.2 - - 58.9 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.9 - - 79.3 - - 82.9 - - 80.3 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.1 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 - - 58.4 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 93 - - 276 - - 175 - - -8 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 790 - - 4416 - - 4971 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97381 13 102 7 053 8 127 3 079 10 067 97381 90064 12 076 18 082 16 088 10 093 8 057 90064 84446 10 094 14 076 14 065 5 057 8 062 84446 79778 14 083 10 094 8 086 6 019 11 042 79778 75749 14 047 10 100 6 079 5 066 7 035 75749 72200 12 045 11 086 9 076 7 098 9 101 72200 69036 11 031 9 080 9 087 7 091 11 084 69036 66160 5 107 8 084 11 093 11 112 8 095 66160 63508 10 126 6 107 9 073 13 113 11 128 63508 60968 16 113 12 143 5 108 7 124 12 123 60968 58349 17 125 18 133 11 134 6 148 7 130 58349 55644 14 128 18 140 15 174 7 191 4 274 55644 53058 19 138 23 154 25 159 23 156 22 159 53058 50726 25 134 23 134 23 143 28 139 31 139 50726 48621 24 131 22 126 25 152 23 147 29 140 48621 46682 21 134 25 147 31 167 34 171 28 155 46682 44881 20 131 31 145 45 177 42 165 41 162 44881 43200 24 133 36 145 47 169 46 164 51 158 43200 41623 29 126 38 142 44 155 41 160 49 156 41623 40134 32 118 38 135 39 149 36 163 48 161 40134 38725 35 112 34 130 36 145 39 169 50 165 38725 37358 29 098 32 123 36 139 41 167 51 166 37358 35968 30 096 31 117 34 136 39 164 49 171 35968 34527 29 093 27 113 26 127 35 159 35 170 34527 33040 27 088 24 111 23 117 29 147 26 153 33040 31493 22 084 20 104 22 109 23 119 26 139 31493 29876 22 088 19 093 18 093 24 102 21 116 29876 28186 23 085 16 094 19 091 25 094 22 101 28186 26424 23 076 19 095 20 100 25 089 27 089 26424 24590 23 074 21 091 18 102 25 097 27 084 24590 22685 21 078 20 085 16 100 19 098 19 087 22685 20703 19 083 18 082 16 084 14 094 16 084 20703 18638 15 076 15 077 14 071 14 078 14 093 18638 16532 14 061 14 065 13 057 13 072 10 082 16532 14499 17 067 16 062 14 058 12 079 11 100 14499 12648 18 077 18 073 15 070 14 090 13 103 12648 11002 19 088 18 078 17 080 15 097 13 106 11002 9543 18 086 17 076 19 089 13 105 9 096 9543 8254 13 085 14 075 14 094 11 088 6 079 8254 7114 12 073 11 088 8*104 12 089 6 107 7114 6100 11 077 6*107 7*107 11 094 8 110 6100 5204 11 093 5*116 6 107 9 093 10 111 5204 4409 10 105 5 118 5 105 8 085 12 109 4409 3696 7 123 4 119 4 101 6 065 13 109 3696 3063 2 159 4 117 4 097 6 041 15 111 3063 2533 4*272 4 116 3 093 6 028 16 111 2533 2127 5*293 4 115 3 088 6 022 15 109 2127 1847 5 298 4 115 3 086 6 019 12 103 1847 1676 4 299 4 116 3 088 5 016 8*093 1676 1579 4 299 3 117 2 087 4*018 5*084 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography