DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 59.9 - - 58.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 60 - - -6 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 193 - - 725 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1578 - - 2110 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1068 - - 385 - - 651 - - 608 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 76 - - 147 - - 25 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 092 - - 099 - - 093 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2354 - - -281 - - -454 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3932 - - 2391 - - 2032 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11280 - - -8903 - - -9185 - - -8053 ODpotential blCL - - - 12858 - - 11013 - - 10763 - - 9631 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1040 - - 940 - - 860 - - 1290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 59.9 - - 58.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 54.8 - - 55.0 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 59.2 - - 58.7 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 54.3 - - 54.8 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 60 - - -6 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 193 - - 725 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96597 42 264 43 267 45 272 48 267 96597 89384 27 270 30 262 31 260 38 263 89384 83895 25 245 28 259 29 279 18 264 83895 79353 20 259 15 259 19 270 12 274 79353 75424 18 283 11 258 15 265 10 256 75424 71942 8 268 9 254 11 262 6 276 71942 68795 4 189 9 260 9 269 10 269 68795 65925 5 301 6 236 8 217 10 204 65925 63279 15 255 8 287 8 271 12 253 63279 60729 27 227 26 244 22 244 22 242 60729 58089 31 233 28 261 25 253 28 238 58089 55336 41 247 37 260 30 247 34 252 55336 52674 45 239 44 253 49 258 47 261 52674 50247 49 242 52 252 61 258 60 258 50247 48051 52 245 60 245 63 251 70 254 48051 46048 52 250 58 240 58 244 68 250 46048 44217 54 256 54 243 55 241 62 246 44217 42529 57 258 52 246 55 242 58 240 42529 40959 59 258 53 251 54 244 57 241 40959 39488 60 255 57 253 57 248 59 247 39488 38108 60 250 58 251 60 250 61 251 38108 36778 61 245 56 246 60 248 63 251 36778 35431 59 243 57 243 60 245 63 247 35431 34037 55 243 59 244 59 241 62 246 34037 32597 52 244 59 245 59 242 60 245 32597 31093 49 244 57 244 58 244 53 242 31093 29510 47 243 54 243 56 246 49 241 29510 27853 47 245 51 245 53 247 50 244 27853 26122 48 250 47 249 48 250 50 250 26122 24321 45 255 42 251 41 253 42 251 24321 22450 40 257 38 251 39 256 36 245 22450 20502 36 253 36 249 36 256 35 238 20502 18470 33 249 34 246 34 250 36 238 18470 16400 32 251 31 243 32 246 32 240 16400 14403 29 254 25 235 29 240 30 237 14403 12581 21 259 22 223 27 232 28 230 12581 10953 15 236 23 215 25 224 24 227 10953 9501 19 216 22 210 21 217 20 217 9501 8207 20 194 22 201 22 203 20 201 8207 7060 21 183 21 192 26 190 24 196 7060 6045 21 174 23 185 28 185 26 192 6045 5151 22 170 24 184 27 179 27 185 5151 4360 24 171 21 182 26 172 27 168 4360 3652 25 162 20 174 24 165 27 163 3652 3026 20 133 18 150 22 153 26 153 3026 2505 16 105 16*124 18 128 22 136 2505 2107 12 094 11*102 15 103 16 119 2107 1837 11 093 10 098 12 095 10 108 1837 1672 10*093 9 097 9*094 9*105 1672 1578 8*092 7 097 7*093 7*104 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography