DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.5 - - 53.9 - - 58.5 - - 55.0 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 143 - - 426 - - 328 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1201 - - 2767 - - 3779 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1600 - - 3219 - - 3913 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2586 - - 4152 - - 5164 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 999 - - 716 - - 1019 - - 3994 - - 2062 Hgt.Variab. W* 226 - - 429 - - 438 - - 29 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 17 - - 13 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 044 - - 042 - - 023 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -6 - - -5 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3378 - - -3824 - - -3865 - - -6090 - - -4456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5964 - - 7976 - - 9029 - - 7667 - - 6034 sfcLCL ODpotential -16957 - - -15903 - - -15430 - - -17869 - - -17067 ODpotential blCL 19543 - - 20055 - - 20594 - - 19446 - - 18644 blCL maxRH 50 - - 48 - - 47 - - 36 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.5 - - 53.9 - - 58.5 - - 55.0 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.6 - - 25.0 - - 24.9 - - 27.5 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 - - 51.5 - - 56.6 - - 55.0 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.4 - - 24.3 - - 23.9 - - 27.0 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 143 - - 426 - - 328 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1201 - - 2767 - - 3779 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96650 15 198 19 253 15 269 20 258 17 294 96650 89481 6 220 10 223 11 251 13 252 8 292 89481 83954 4 262 7 183 18 233 14 275 8 300 83954 79366 4 252 1 189 12 240 10 306 3 009 79366 75400 2 021 7 197 10 241 11 279 4 305 75400 71875 15 354 4 351 1 168 7 269 7 254 71875 68697 17 314 10 309 12 323 13 314 12 304 68697 65803 21 304 12 289 14 308 14 285 15 279 65803 63136 26 292 25 287 23 311 23 290 24 294 63136 60571 31 287 35 285 33 292 36 292 34 290 60571 57902 42 287 44 289 42 295 44 302 42 296 57902 55122 52 284 55 287 56 289 57 300 51 301 55122 52449 59 287 61 280 59 282 60 289 59 288 52449 50031 65 287 62 281 61 280 60 284 61 284 50031 47856 68 288 67 282 69 282 67 284 69 288 47856 45874 68 287 72 283 74 282 74 283 79 284 45874 44061 66 289 71 287 74 281 78 281 83 277 44061 42399 66 294 72 292 74 282 74 281 76 276 42399 40855 70 297 78 293 76 285 74 285 77 282 40855 39407 66 293 80 292 77 287 75 287 81 283 39407 38040 63 288 79 291 75 287 74 286 83 283 38040 36716 60 286 75 284 76 287 75 285 81 283 36716 35367 59 288 69 279 78 286 74 285 77 285 35367 33962 60 290 66 279 77 287 71 288 74 292 33962 32507 61 292 64 281 71 289 66 285 63 293 32507 30990 62 292 62 284 65 290 60 285 56 288 30990 29395 58 290 57 288 60 293 53 287 50 289 29395 27720 52 287 52 288 56 293 50 288 45 292 27720 25971 47 289 51 289 49 294 46 292 40 297 25971 24147 44 293 48 292 44 298 43 296 39 299 24147 22248 40 297 41 299 41 301 39 299 35 304 22248 20266 36 299 37 300 38 307 35 303 32 309 20266 18198 35 299 35 299 36 305 33 303 31 307 18198 16094 34 302 32 304 33 304 32 308 31 309 16094 14074 31 311 26 318 26 315 24 314 26 313 14074 12247 23 315 18 331 15 333 16 324 19 310 12247 10637 16 307 13 337 9 003 9 343 10 301 10637 9217 9 332 6 352 3 021 4 280 4 289 9217 7963 13 036 5 074 2 123 1 356 2 238 7963 6854 22 057 11 079 10 059 12 043 7 041 6854 5874 30 064 20 066 13*051 13 049 8 042 5874 5013 36 062 22 058 13*048 12 050 9 043 5013 4256 38 055 19*050 13 046 13 044 12 046 4256 3578 35 051 19*047 13 043 13 037 16 047 3578 2979 31*047 18 045 13 041 13 032 17 047 2979 2478 25*042 18 044 13 039 13 029 17 048 2478 2094 21 039 17 043 13 038 12 027 16 047 2094 1829 19 038 16 043 12 037 11 025 13 043 1829 1669 17 038 15 042 11 036 10 024 10*038 1669 1577 13 037 13 042 10 036 7*023 5*036 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography