DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 81.6 - - - - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 56 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2595 - - 2299 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2534 - - 2174 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3980 - - 3684 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1429 - - 3692 - - - - - 2158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 245 - - - - - 36 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 172 - - - - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1168 - - 865 - - - - - -131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2812 - - 2819 - - - - - 1710 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -231 - - -496 - - - - - -1940 ODpotential blCL - - - 4211 - - 4180 - - - - - 3519 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 87 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 2220 - - 3080 - - - - - 2580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 81.6 - - - - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.5 - - 74.0 - - - - - 73.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 80.8 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 72.6 - - - - - 73.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 56 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2595 - - 2299 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 48 - - - - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 17 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99039 44 104 46 108 28 075 99039 91507 40 099 41 095 44 100 91507 85751 37 097 38 081 50 092 85751 81010 32 101 32 081 48 077 81010 76937 32 094 28 090 35 074 76937 73340 31 082 28 094 26 078 73340 70087 23 078 27 093 27 083 70087 67095 17 087 25 094 26 079 67095 64329 18 083 21 094 18 078 64329 61668 17 070 17 094 11 106 61668 58906 15 075 14 090 9 105 58906 56048 18 065 13 078 13 083 56048 53326 8 050 9 071 18 069 53326 50893 12 115 4 142 7 073 50893 48738 4 162 8 178 2 181 48738 46806 17 189 14 216 7 270 46806 45037 21 264 17 190 17 269 45037 43383 35 263 13 282 13 278 43383 41824 28 253 23 286 9 238 41824 40353 19 220 23 282 10 200 40353 38957 18 227 25 281 9 186 38957 37603 15 236 25 277 6 180 37603 36220 10 236 22 269 6 230 36220 34780 6 221 17 262 13 260 34780 33287 5 208 14 259 17 270 33287 31727 6 196 12 250 15 274 31727 30089 10 195 10 233 13 264 30089 28374 19 195 10 224 13 256 28374 26585 22 206 15 205 15 255 26585 24725 24 204 18 207 18 258 24725 22799 24 204 19 197 17 237 22799 20803 24 207 22 196 25 217 20803 18732 24 208 25 193 23 215 18732 16626 27 199 27 187 19 213 16626 14597 28 189 29 186 17 211 14597 12751 30 187 30 185 18 217 12751 11108 32 193 31 187 22 213 11108 9648 33 194 31 185 24 206 9648 8348 34 190 30 184 24 203 8348 7189 34 188 28 181 22 197 7189 6158 30 188 25 178 22 184 6158 5245 25 185 22 176 23 172 5245 4438 19*179 19 174 25 160 4438 3715 17*175 16*172 30 152 3715 3076 16 173 15*171 30 148 3076 2542 15 171 14 172 28 145 2542 2132 15 171 14 172 23 142 2132 1849 14 171 13 172 17 139 1849 1678 13 170 12 172 13 138 1678 1579 11 170 10 172 8*137 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography