DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 95.6 - - 94.8 - - 85.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 224 - - 1 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3109 - - 7165 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3409 - - 6394 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4494 - - 8550 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3854 - - 2382 - - 10257 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 413 - - 490 - - 51 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 17 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 152 - - 126 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1750 - - -135 - - -7174 - - -5398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6244 - - 8685 - - 8755 - - 6978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4486 - - -3171 - - -7884 - - -8800 ODpotential blCL - - - 8980 - - 11721 - - 9464 - - 10380 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 74 - - 79 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 2610 - - 1510 - - 1400 - - 1110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 95.6 - - 94.8 - - 85.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.9 - - 62.8 - - 61.9 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.7 - - 93.6 - - 94.7 - - 88.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 61.7 - - 60.9 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 224 - - 1 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3109 - - 7165 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 30 111 22 095 27 088 32 079 98989 91542 40 097 37 104 34 097 33 082 91542 85770 37 092 42 094 36 096 32 087 85770 80985 35 089 36 085 34 087 36 090 80985 76876 33 090 31 086 30 082 38 084 76876 73250 30 093 26 099 26 078 33 073 73250 69979 27 091 24 106 22 081 27 077 69979 66991 21 080 21 103 18 083 22 082 66991 64241 19 068 22 085 16 089 18 080 64241 61602 16 059 20 068 20 077 17 077 61602 58870 13 058 18 061 19 069 16 070 58870 56049 14 064 15 054 16 067 15 054 56049 53359 16 054 8 049 14 045 14 050 53359 50933 13 036 7 055 15 036 15 052 50933 48754 8 030 9 040 14 041 16 053 48754 46777 5 038 9 035 13 041 17 053 46777 44965 7 056 10 046 13 035 18 051 44965 43288 16 072 14 065 14 046 21 055 43288 41719 21 074 17 074 17 069 25 063 41719 40246 26 071 19 080 21 088 30 075 40246 38856 29 059 22 079 25 098 35 076 38856 37507 30 055 25 072 26 101 32 078 37507 36135 31 059 26 076 24 097 22 077 36135 34710 31 062 25 078 23 087 18 073 34710 33236 28 061 23 075 21 078 15 068 33236 31698 22 061 21 073 18 071 13 060 31698 30084 16 069 18 070 17 067 13 057 30084 28393 12 075 14 067 17 061 14 061 28393 26626 7 075 10 056 15 049 15 066 26626 24786 3 056 7 020 12 027 16 066 24786 22877 5 044 7 012 10 015 13 061 22877 20890 8 046 7 037 7 032 15 071 20890 18821 8 045 6 045 9 041 18 069 18821 16713 11 057 7 065 5 041 17 058 16713 14680 12 071 11 087 10 098 14 066 14680 12829 11 085 12 087 12 098 16 077 12829 11184 10 095 8 097 8 133 12 071 11184 9722 7 096 6*144 8 143 2 096 9722 8417 6 086 6*153 8 143 3 162 8417 7252 4 093 6 154 8 142 6 152 7252 6214 8 131 6 154 8 140 7 150 6214 5295 10*145 6 154 8 137 9 151 5295 4480 8*152 5 153 8 135 11 154 4480 3749 8 155 5 151 7 133 14 157 3749 3100 7 155 4 150 7 131 16 159 3100 2558 7 156 4 150 7 129 17 158 2558 2141 7 157 4 148 7 128 16 155 2141 1854 6 157 4 148 6 127 12 149 1854 1679 6 157 4 148 6 126 8*140 1679 1580 6 157 3 147 5*126 5*136 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography