DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 78.4 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 136 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2529 - - 3950 - - - - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2809 - - 3664 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3914 - - 5335 - - - - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1638 - - 1288 - - - - - 400 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 340 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 080 - - 095 - - - - - 106 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -233 - - -687 - - - - - -3411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4148 - - 6022 - - - - - 4989 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4531 - - -4027 - - - - - -13705 ODpotential blCL - - - 8445 - - 9362 - - - - - 15283 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 72 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 78.4 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.8 - - 57.5 - - - - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 77.1 - - - - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 56.6 - - - - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 136 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2529 - - 3950 - - - - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97590 27 241 29 245 31 271 97590 90241 10 243 19 250 17 263 90241 84605 11 265 14 266 6 280 84605 79954 9 283 5 276 3 207 79954 75965 5 296 4 341 6 176 75965 72449 2 105 4 022 5 132 72449 69274 7 092 7 109 4 130 69274 66362 6 123 10 101 4 134 66362 63677 7 152 7 092 4 155 63677 61112 2 272 5 060 4 166 61112 58468 7 220 6 255 2 213 58468 55734 12 234 14 254 11 282 55734 53119 15 249 20 251 22 264 53119 50754 17 268 26 261 27 267 50754 48616 27 280 34 268 36 269 48616 46655 28 277 33 266 35 265 46655 44838 23 284 28 271 31 268 44838 43143 23 297 23 286 29 284 43143 41565 24 299 24 297 30 299 41565 40093 21 312 24 306 30 309 40093 38708 25 325 22 327 26 318 38708 37367 29 331 22 333 21 329 37367 36002 27 346 19 338 19 335 36002 34583 22 354 17 333 17 343 34583 33112 17 350 18 324 17 342 33112 31575 16 337 17 319 18 331 31575 29957 19 322 19 322 21 324 29957 28261 19 322 21 320 19 316 28261 26485 17 320 20 316 18 313 26485 24632 17 321 17 326 16 330 24632 22706 18 324 17 336 15 344 22706 20703 18 332 16 344 15 351 20703 18620 19 359 17 002 12 008 18620 16496 22 020 19 016 14 028 16496 14451 21 022 17 028 14 028 14451 12598 15 016 14 027 11 028 12598 10961 7 010 8 008 11 035 10961 9511 5 104 1 097 10 043 9511 8220 9 106 6 123 8 098 8220 7075 11 102 7 117 9 123 7075 6062 11 097 7*109 7 150 6062 5170 7 094 6*103 7 149 5170 4380 5*093 6 100 9 122 4380 3672 5*087 6 096 11 108 3672 3044 5 082 6 094 13 108 3044 2521 5 079 5 091 14 115 2521 2118 4 077 5 089 17 122 2118 1842 4 076 5 088 15 121 1842 1674 4 075 5 088 9 115 1674 1578 4 075 4 087 5*106 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography