DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 82.9 - - 82.2 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 120 - - 39 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 2520 - - 2027 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2218 - - 2623 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3220 - - 3905 - - 3412 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1765 - - 1940 - - 2796 - - 3213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 290 - - 191 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 9 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 161 - - 143 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 963 - - 801 - - 502 - - -3 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2258 - - 3104 - - 2910 - - 1582 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 396 - - -194 - - -647 - - -897 ODpotential blCL - - - 2824 - - 4099 - - 4059 - - 2476 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 88 - - 88 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2440 - - 2660 - - 2710 - - 2660 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 82.9 - - 82.2 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.7 - - 74.0 - - 74.1 - - 75.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 81.8 - - 81.8 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 73.0 - - 73.6 - - 75.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 120 - - 39 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 2520 - - 2027 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 51 - - 53 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98504 21 095 31 120 27 082 33 088 98504 91002 27 097 26 104 19 078 24 072 91002 85270 29 097 31 089 28 102 20 094 85270 80541 28 086 31 087 32 094 28 099 80541 76476 23 092 26 094 28 091 28 095 76476 72889 22 105 19 101 22 089 28 090 72889 69641 21 095 16 111 14 094 23 065 69641 66688 20 101 15 104 14 103 14 068 66688 63994 16 105 8 096 9 077 12 071 63994 61411 6 091 3 085 5 079 6 079 61411 58742 4 105 5 195 3 300 4 356 58742 56006 7 315 9 222 13 253 10 271 56006 53415 16 296 11 275 16 263 13 264 53415 51079 21 278 16 278 18 282 20 284 51079 48966 22 268 18 270 21 279 24 286 48966 47027 22 259 21 265 25 271 24 288 47027 45230 25 253 22 264 22 267 21 277 45230 43550 20 270 20 275 13 279 17 265 43550 41970 11 280 18 286 12 287 14 267 41970 40479 16 310 12 288 13 288 17 283 40479 39066 21 322 13 300 12 291 19 291 39066 37694 21 321 15 297 12 292 16 282 37694 36294 18 316 19 294 12 312 14 244 36294 34841 14 300 13 271 9 292 17 207 34841 33339 12 251 13 255 12 235 15 210 33339 31772 16 265 11 257 12 233 13 232 31772 30130 14 260 11 263 11 242 13 239 30130 28413 11 275 10 254 12 252 13 255 28413 26619 11 266 10 232 13 247 12 266 26619 24750 8 229 8 217 11 235 10 263 24750 22814 5 216 3 229 8 216 7 239 22814 20811 5 101 2 135 10 203 6 230 20811 18732 11 075 3 168 5 221 3 232 18732 16616 14 082 6 128 3 140 4 128 16616 14579 15 095 9 117 10 119 11 139 14579 12728 13 104 13 124 10 104 10 162 12728 11085 10 102 13 125 6 090 8 175 11085 9625 9 119 11 121 6 125 4 180 9625 8325 12 137 11 120 10 134 5 153 8325 7169 13 149 12 130 10 137 11 135 7169 6142 14 155 13 144 10 137 16 135 6142 5235 15 156 12 152 10 139 17 139 5235 4434 15 158 11*154 12 142 19 142 4434 3715 15*162 10*157 13*143 20 144 3715 3078 14*166 9 160 13*143 20 146 3078 2544 14 170 9 162 13 143 20 146 2544 2133 13 173 9 164 13 143 18 147 2133 1850 13 174 8 164 12 142 14 146 1850 1678 12 175 8 164 11 142 11 146 1678 1579 10 175 7 165 9 142 8*146 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography