DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 70.5 - - 74.4 - - 67.5 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 110 - - 71 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1222 - - 3138 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 2652 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2607 - - 4523 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 154 - - 2194 - - 2862 - - 3851 - - 105 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 218 - - 259 - - 16 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 19 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 023 - - 197 - - 066 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2952 - - -3009 - - -2330 - - -3328 - - -3855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4530 - - 5617 - - 6854 - - 4906 - - 5433 sfcLCL ODpotential -11095 - - -7068 - - -6462 - - -6929 - - -9269 ODpotential blCL 12673 - - 9675 - - 10985 - - 8507 - - 10847 blCL maxRH 47 - - 52 - - 55 - - 44 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 70.5 - - 74.4 - - 67.5 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 51.4 - - 49.9 - - 51.7 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 69.4 - - 73.6 - - 71.7 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.7 - - 50.2 - - 48.8 - - 50.9 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 110 - - 71 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1222 - - 3138 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96618 51 257 48 261 52 268 49 272 47 268 96618 89449 39 258 43 266 46 258 45 260 38 273 89449 83920 30 268 37 249 40 266 42 257 35 269 83920 79309 23 273 26 248 32 267 35 270 29 272 79309 75338 20 255 22 256 21 260 25 285 21 270 75338 71837 21 237 27 260 20 257 19 287 13 244 71837 68682 12 212 24 257 19 260 19 267 11 277 68682 65794 4 274 10 249 13 257 17 241 19 284 65794 63118 12 274 11 264 14 273 19 248 30 279 63118 60528 31 262 25 253 28 259 28 252 40 262 60528 57831 38 247 39 252 38 255 40 252 48 256 57831 55027 47 243 53 246 51 244 51 247 53 251 55027 52338 55 242 56 245 56 239 57 245 59 245 52338 49904 53 242 55 247 55 243 58 246 64 241 49904 47712 50 248 55 246 57 249 61 249 68 241 47712 45719 52 253 57 246 63 250 65 253 66 244 45719 43895 58 256 63 246 69 248 68 255 64 251 43895 42215 64 256 69 246 75 245 72 251 69 254 42215 40656 67 254 71 247 76 244 75 245 76 251 40656 39204 66 256 68 248 73 247 72 246 77 247 39204 37845 65 260 67 252 71 254 70 252 74 249 37845 36535 62 261 66 255 72 257 71 255 69 252 36535 35201 60 257 64 252 71 255 70 255 70 253 35201 33813 61 252 62 250 68 251 69 256 69 252 33813 32376 59 251 61 251 65 251 68 257 66 254 32376 30873 55 251 58 251 63 255 67 259 64 257 30873 29293 52 252 54 249 60 256 64 259 62 259 29293 27639 48 252 50 250 56 253 61 259 60 260 27639 25914 45 254 48 252 53 252 57 259 55 262 25914 24120 42 254 45 253 48 256 51 260 47 263 24120 22256 39 252 43 254 43 259 43 261 40 265 22256 20314 36 253 42 255 40 261 38 262 35 267 20314 18288 33 257 40 256 38 263 34 264 32 266 18288 16225 31 264 36 259 35 264 33 265 28 266 16225 14245 30 269 33 262 32 267 31 263 25 262 14245 12449 28 273 31 262 30 270 28 261 24 257 12449 10853 26 273 28 265 28 274 24 263 23 258 10853 9432 24 276 24 270 26 276 20 267 20 259 9432 8167 21 283 20 272 21 273 15 275 13 251 8167 7040 14 272 13 268 16 265 10 285 5 221 7040 6039 12 247 11 234 12 250 7 281 1 005 6039 5154 12 253 11 222 8*234 4 260 2 020 5154 4369 11 260 9 214 6*216 3 208 2 001 4369 3664 9 255 7 216 4 205 3 162 2 011 3664 3040 8 264 3*228 3 195 3 129 3 063 3040 2518 7 301 2*015 3 189 3 105 4 072 2518 2117 9 331 2 021 3 183 3 091 5 062 2117 1841 12 342 2 027 3 178 4 080 4 041 1841 1674 10*343 2 027 3 176 4 072 3 029 1674 1578 5*342 2 029 2 175 4*066 3*011 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography