DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.7 - - 73.3 - - 73.6 - - 74.2 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 19 - - 37 - - 15 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 756 - - 181 - - 889 - - 181 - - 181 BL Depth Hcrit 1549 - - 1549 - - 1549 - - 1549 - - 1550 Hcrit BL Top 2141 - - 1566 - - 2274 - - 1566 - - 1566 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1991 - - 2534 - - 1615 - - 2409 - - 2893 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 65 - - 137 - - 61 - - 32 W* B/S 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 096 - - 100 - - 108 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 423 - - -110 - - 498 - - -136 - - -777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1718 - - 1676 - - 1776 - - 1702 - - 2343 sfcLCL ODpotential -202 - - -608 - - -179 - - -1005 - - -1714 ODpotential blCL 2343 - - 2174 - - 2453 - - 2571 - - 3280 blCL maxRH 97 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 580 - - 800 - - 750 - - 1220 - - 1560 CAPE Temp@2m 72.7 - - 73.3 - - 73.6 - - 74.2 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.0 - - 70.7 - - 70.6 - - 71.4 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.2 - - 72.6 - - 72.9 - - 73.8 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.7 - - 70.4 - - 70.2 - - 71.1 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 19 - - 37 - - 15 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 756 - - 181 - - 889 - - 181 - - 181 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 88 - - 100 - - 101 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98500 36 092 43 089 39 108 32 095 36 087 98500 91258 32 085 37 094 33 091 36 087 36 086 91258 85625 28 086 32 089 33 094 34 078 35 087 85625 80951 23 096 25 086 30 085 29 077 34 086 80951 76925 22 094 22 095 26 072 24 078 30 076 76925 73373 21 095 20 094 19 080 18 085 24 071 73373 70179 21 085 21 089 18 110 16 087 19 066 70179 67266 18 075 21 085 16 104 15 079 17 068 67266 64574 15 056 18 084 14 071 12 074 18 073 64574 61972 16 053 13 062 14 036 13 069 13 041 61972 59288 13 048 17 033 13 031 13 052 11 025 59288 56534 4 010 17 353 15 005 15 012 15 010 56534 53910 5 001 11 286 19 321 23 330 18 347 53910 51546 7 353 12 248 24 283 28 300 23 314 51546 49426 10 312 18 272 28 278 27 286 28 302 49426 47500 19 296 27 283 30 266 30 276 34 296 47500 45727 22 284 30 283 29 256 33 268 38 276 45727 44079 23 263 29 276 29 253 34 260 37 263 44079 42534 20 255 27 278 25 260 32 260 35 265 42534 41076 19 250 25 275 23 265 30 259 34 268 41076 39691 19 251 23 277 22 258 27 258 32 270 39691 38344 20 259 20 281 22 249 25 256 30 270 38344 36965 21 266 20 276 20 248 23 254 29 268 36965 35526 20 265 19 261 19 247 23 254 28 268 35526 34029 20 266 16 254 19 253 24 261 25 269 34029 32459 21 268 18 250 19 262 26 271 22 274 32459 30802 21 269 18 251 18 273 29 275 21 280 30802 29061 15 279 14 264 17 279 30 276 21 285 29061 27235 11 312 10 255 15 281 27 278 22 288 27235 25331 10 318 11 224 15 287 22 285 19 296 25331 23353 7 289 8 233 16 296 19 291 14 302 23353 21293 5 259 6 296 13 295 15 287 12 303 21293 19149 5 246 6 318 7 287 8 268 13 299 19149 16964 2 189 2 314 2 220 5 246 10 286 16964 14860 3 094 3 100 2 115 1 270 2 305 14860 12947 7 060 5 101 2 098 3 345 4 111 12947 11248 9 056 4 123 2 104 2 261 5 110 11248 9740 7 061 3 124 4 117 4 153 4 110 9740 8401 4 076 2 126 5 125 7 127 6 099 8401 7214 3 123 2 147 5 117 11 115 10 102 7214 6165 4 142 4 154 6 111 15 111 15 107 6165 5242 3 133 4 147 8 111 18 111 18 110 5242 4428 3 121 3 131 9 108 19 112 18 112 4428 3701 3 122 4 115 11 107 20 113 19 118 3701 3060 5 119 7 105 13 105 20 112 19 121 3060 2526 6*104 8 098 12*103 18 111 16 121 2526 2116 5*101 7 097 9*101 15 109 15 120 2116 1835 5 101 7 097 8 101 11 108 13 120 1835 1664 5 101 6*096 8 100 10*108 12*119 1664 1566 4 100 5*096 6 100 7*108 8*118 1566 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography