DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 68.3 - - 70.1 - - 69.4 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 71 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 321 - - 791 - - 901 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1706 - - 2176 - - 2286 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 855 - - 1117 - - 1867 - - 2362 - - 836 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 162 - - 152 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 193 - - 183 - - 166 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 128 - - 598 - - 707 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential 4 - - 168 - - 179 - - -496 - - -1281 ODpotential blCL 1702 - - 2008 - - 2107 - - 2075 - - 2860 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1080 - - 1150 - - 1620 - - 1770 - - 2170 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 68.3 - - 70.1 - - 69.4 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.8 - - 66.6 - - 67.9 - - 68.0 - - 67.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.0 - - 67.5 - - 69.5 - - 69.3 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.6 - - 66.1 - - 67.4 - - 67.9 - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 71 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 321 - - 791 - - 901 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96809 36 268 32 271 33 267 48 270 46 281 96809 89496 35 259 41 256 41 257 42 270 37 265 89496 83982 33 261 41 258 35 256 36 269 32 260 83982 79393 26 278 29 272 25 261 27 271 25 269 79393 75427 21 270 19 260 18 261 19 264 17 266 75427 71930 3 237 10 234 10 257 16 254 10 240 71930 68789 3 009 12 200 13 219 11 228 12 206 68789 65927 13 278 9 241 9 207 9 224 12 226 65927 63298 13 260 13 239 12 218 14 211 15 211 63298 60763 23 258 18 223 18 251 19 249 21 230 60763 58121 32 218 33 227 35 246 31 238 29 237 58121 55364 32 235 40 214 44 232 35 234 37 235 55364 52709 42 243 46 230 49 243 50 237 57 237 52709 50296 48 252 50 246 60 248 56 239 57 238 50296 48102 70 260 65 253 65 252 60 249 57 249 48102 46096 80 255 76 250 74 250 72 253 72 254 46096 44252 81 251 78 246 76 243 75 248 82 251 44252 42556 77 254 73 245 73 242 72 247 88 247 42556 40997 80 261 79 257 86 255 83 248 96 249 40997 39551 86 262 99 262 98 255 94 245 100 246 39551 38187 87 259 103 261 92 253 92 242 99 242 38187 36861 85 257 89 258 91 248 89 241 95 242 36861 35511 84 257 85 255 87 247 86 241 89 243 35511 34109 83 257 86 253 81 247 82 243 84 240 34109 32658 69 258 73 255 75 247 75 246 81 241 32658 31142 63 263 62 260 70 251 60 246 74 246 31142 29552 62 266 59 264 55 255 44 247 58 245 29552 27891 54 263 52 256 47 249 36 246 41 235 27891 26159 48 265 46 250 44 245 30 247 36 245 26159 24357 48 266 42 255 38 247 37 251 37 249 24357 22484 43 265 35 255 34 248 33 244 30 247 22484 20536 40 269 27 248 30 262 33 245 34 241 20536 18510 37 264 22 239 26 253 27 245 28 228 18510 16448 29 254 21 242 19 234 23 237 29 215 16448 14455 17 259 19 252 13 230 21 222 27 216 14455 12633 11 262 18 222 15 220 18 209 22 219 12633 11006 12 246 19 218 17 218 14 197 19 228 11006 9555 14 234 13 237 10 218 12 187 11 226 9555 8263 14 239 8 268 5 186 8 182 6 221 8263 7112 19 239 8 268 10 193 7 188 10 222 7112 6089 24 233 15 222 15 203 15 201 24 217 6089 5188 26 226 21 209 16 206 18 191 27 206 5188 4392 26 221 21 206 16 202 18 186 23 188 4392 3680 25 215 21 204 14 196 17 183 20 171 3680 3050 23 209 18 202 13 190 14 180 17 167 3050 2524 20 207 14*197 11*186 11 176 14 160 2524 2121 16 207 11*194 11*184 8 170 11 151 2121 1843 12*207 10 193 10 182 6 167 8 148 1843 1675 10*207 9 193 9 182 5*165 5*148 1675 1579 8 206 8 192 8 182 4*166 2*148 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography