DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 71.0 - - 70.4 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 23 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 949 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2334 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3011 - - 3768 - - 1444 - - 1773 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 75 - - 16 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 197 - - 341 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 3 - - -1 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 472 - - -479 - - -178 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1862 - - 2058 - - 1757 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -244 - - -1001 - - -2282 - - -617 ODpotential blCL - - - 2578 - - 2580 - - 3861 - - 2196 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1000 - - 1040 - - 1310 - - 1230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 71.0 - - 70.4 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.0 - - 66.9 - - 67.5 - - 67.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.0 - - 70.6 - - 70.8 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 66.2 - - 67.0 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 23 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 949 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 95 - - 96 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96554 49 265 57 271 52 279 47 265 96554 89424 36 274 41 273 41 276 36 289 89424 83934 28 271 24 273 30 270 33 297 83934 79375 23 276 17 279 19 252 24 287 79375 75432 14 274 14 310 8 237 16 274 75432 71933 5 273 9 338 2 328 6 269 71933 68786 4 004 4 318 6 349 5 005 68786 65915 4 036 5 100 3 176 5 315 65915 63284 8 285 5 310 5 320 5 236 63284 60764 16 245 14 282 12 314 2 225 60764 58127 34 251 31 253 21 278 13 294 58127 55374 41 255 31 253 28 268 25 290 55374 52737 46 257 36 260 32 269 33 275 52737 50353 54 251 44 261 36 277 37 275 50353 48195 60 243 52 252 45 271 45 272 48195 46219 66 244 55 246 53 254 53 264 46219 44397 77 241 59 245 54 247 54 259 44397 42703 86 235 65 243 56 247 56 251 42703 41120 85 234 69 241 61 247 60 248 41120 39630 83 236 75 239 65 245 60 245 39630 38225 82 237 77 237 67 243 61 243 38225 36868 81 237 77 235 68 241 63 242 36868 35492 83 238 78 235 71 240 64 242 35492 34069 85 239 80 235 75 239 66 242 34069 32602 83 239 83 234 78 236 67 238 32602 31075 72 239 83 234 79 234 66 235 31075 29475 63 241 79 235 78 234 61 237 29475 27804 58 241 68 235 76 236 55 243 27804 26064 47 235 69 236 69 235 44 246 26064 24256 44 229 64 233 66 232 31 262 24256 22378 45 229 56 231 63 231 29 268 22378 20425 46 229 55 231 59 232 36 246 20425 18397 47 227 53 231 54 234 43 237 18397 16338 44 223 49 228 51 238 46 238 16338 14353 35 217 40 223 47 235 43 242 14353 12546 29 210 34 218 41 234 34 248 12546 10937 29 202 32 218 33 237 27 258 10937 9502 30 196 29 216 26 233 23 270 9502 8220 29 191 26 204 24 211 17 254 8220 7078 27 187 26 198 23 198 19 218 7078 6065 26 186 25 196 20 192 20 198 6065 5172 27 185 23 194 17 189 19 183 5172 4381 27 184 19 194 15 189 20 167 4381 3673 26 184 16 194 11 192 22 159 3673 3046 24 183 16 195 7 207 20 161 3046 2522 21*182 14 196 5 229 19 159 2522 2120 18*180 12 196 3 244 17 150 2120 1843 17 180 11 196 1 274 14 144 1843 1675 14 180 11*196 0*318 12*141 1675 1579 11 179 8*197 0*341 8*140 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography