DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.7 - - 78.8 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 172 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2409 - - 3279 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2716 - - 3311 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3794 - - 4664 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 687 - - 2262 - - 5444 - - 3123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 348 - - 73 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 26 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 148 - - 113 - - 106 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 716 - - 569 - - -2749 - - -672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3078 - - 4095 - - 4328 - - 2251 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 148 - - -390 - - -3503 - - -1520 ODpotential blCL - - - 3646 - - 5054 - - 5082 - - 3099 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 92 - - 82 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 750 - - 1320 - - 1380 - - 1850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.7 - - 78.8 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.2 - - 65.8 - - 64.9 - - 67.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 77.2 - - 78.4 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 64.8 - - 64.1 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 172 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2409 - - 3279 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 68 - - 28 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98018 4 080 13 193 11 295 11 001 98018 90612 11 108 9 109 3 121 6 058 90612 84923 12 112 14 078 11 082 13 098 84923 80212 13 114 12 072 19 071 13 095 80212 76172 13 112 11 097 13 090 13 093 76172 72599 9 133 12 111 11 108 10 090 72599 69357 8 155 10 152 9 136 5 224 69357 66387 5 153 7 146 9 164 9 186 66387 63655 13 215 8 226 4 267 5 284 63655 61024 18 228 17 245 18 231 22 233 61024 58270 25 230 31 226 24 225 22 227 58270 55413 20 197 29 208 34 227 34 237 55413 52700 15 206 26 215 36 241 31 237 52700 50243 35 245 43 241 44 251 40 246 50243 48038 53 237 54 237 54 243 49 244 48038 46053 59 224 58 224 54 234 53 248 46053 44248 67 216 65 215 53 225 60 244 44248 42599 72 212 66 214 58 221 66 229 42599 41075 67 212 60 217 62 225 66 226 41075 39640 59 214 55 226 59 231 61 226 39640 38279 51 217 53 233 48 236 57 227 38279 36958 46 223 51 235 42 239 54 229 36958 35609 44 228 48 235 41 242 52 230 35609 34206 42 233 45 235 36 239 49 231 34206 32751 40 235 43 235 39 234 44 231 32751 31229 38 231 42 233 40 225 39 233 31229 29631 34 229 41 229 40 226 35 239 29631 27956 31 240 38 234 37 232 33 247 27956 26205 29 250 28 240 33 240 31 249 26205 24385 28 247 21 250 30 250 23 237 24385 22498 28 253 20 255 15 248 9 211 22498 20543 13 298 18 280 3 282 15 150 20543 18511 14 338 9 304 2 123 13 175 18511 16439 15 342 8 344 1 211 8 204 16439 14443 12 354 5 016 4 248 8 226 14443 12620 10 352 5 038 8 268 7 236 12620 10993 10 304 4 346 7 289 3 275 10993 9540 12 280 5 252 8 292 4 320 9540 8245 10 216 11 215 6 256 7 292 8245 7095 16 197 11 175 1 096 8 278 7095 6079 15 194 5 174 4 077 6 279 6079 5184 10 181 3*168 5 081 3 280 5184 4392 5*133 3*161 5 089 2 155 4392 3682 6*092 2 153 5 098 7 125 3682 3054 6 087 3 149 6 105 10 112 3054 2528 6 085 2 142 6 108 12 109 2528 2124 6 084 2 141 6 110 12 108 2124 1845 6 083 2 141 6 111 10 108 1845 1676 6 083 2 140 6 112 8*107 1676 1579 5 083 2 138 5*113 5*106 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography