DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.8 - - 70.6 - - 75.9 - - 73.8 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 94 - - 396 - - 314 - - 12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 3927 - - 5894 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 4101 - - 5548 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2212 - - 5312 - - 7279 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1310 - - 1179 - - 1258 - - 7142 - - 4456 Hgt.Variab. W* 176 - - 476 - - 505 - - 60 - - 26 W* B/S 5 - - 14 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 109 - - 146 - - 171 - - 160 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2172 - - -885 - - -578 - - -4529 - - -2089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4384 - - 6197 - - 7858 - - 6108 - - 3667 sfcLCL ODpotential -7005 - - -4022 - - -3373 - - -4995 - - -3104 ODpotential blCL 9217 - - 9334 - - 10652 - - 6574 - - 4682 blCL maxRH 98 - - 86 - - 85 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 60.8 - - 70.6 - - 75.9 - - 73.8 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 48.9 - - 46.8 - - 52.5 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 68.1 - - 73.7 - - 73.5 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.6 - - 48.1 - - 45.9 - - 52.1 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 94 - - 396 - - 314 - - 12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 3927 - - 5894 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 43 - - 39 - - 95 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97482 36 231 36 232 36 224 32 237 31 253 97482 90118 37 239 41 242 37 232 37 245 27 253 90118 84447 33 253 38 239 40 241 44 250 30 260 84447 79731 22 248 29 251 31 245 37 248 30 257 79731 75691 14 254 16 253 23 240 24 252 20 257 75691 72148 12 281 8 246 14 251 16 254 12 249 72148 68955 9 271 9 254 8 275 11 267 9 250 68955 66031 10 243 11 271 8 246 13 253 13 271 66031 63331 14 259 20 246 11 246 13 254 17 274 63331 60723 21 275 18 245 19 263 21 271 24 275 60723 58005 39 287 36 273 30 272 28 277 26 271 58005 55174 49 275 46 272 40 277 36 282 31 279 55174 52463 54 277 53 280 46 277 43 282 41 283 52463 50014 61 278 58 283 51 278 52 282 50 283 50014 47807 64 279 60 282 58 278 57 283 55 279 47807 45797 64 282 61 281 62 276 59 282 56 276 45797 43957 68 285 67 282 66 278 60 282 54 278 43957 42270 75 285 71 284 66 282 59 281 53 279 42270 40713 78 284 72 285 60 281 58 279 55 276 40713 39261 74 285 68 284 53 280 57 277 58 274 39261 37895 70 286 62 284 50 280 56 278 61 274 37895 36572 69 285 58 286 49 281 55 280 61 276 36572 35224 65 288 57 287 49 282 52 281 56 279 35224 33825 62 293 53 290 48 283 50 281 49 281 33825 32380 62 292 49 291 45 285 49 280 45 282 32380 30873 64 291 48 292 40 289 45 282 42 283 30873 29293 60 294 42 297 38 293 37 285 38 284 29293 27644 51 293 37 304 35 294 33 290 32 288 27644 25922 43 292 34 303 28 293 33 290 29 292 25922 24128 37 296 30 301 29 297 33 292 27 297 24128 22262 32 301 23 306 30 294 27 299 23 302 22262 20318 29 300 23 307 22 294 23 305 17 310 20318 18297 23 302 20 297 21 294 18 293 13 305 18297 16237 17 305 14 286 20 289 15 289 10 277 16237 14246 15 301 13 283 13 293 12 284 13 272 14246 12433 7 251 13 259 18 242 16 279 13 269 12433 10824 6 248 11 235 14 252 15 276 13 264 10824 9395 2 043 5 175 7 229 6 225 14 235 9395 8128 3 121 6 112 8*178 10 174 9 196 8128 7006 4 154 6 113 8*173 11 171 9 160 7006 6010 6 163 6*141 8 171 12 168 10 153 6010 5130 8 163 6*145 7 171 13 165 12 161 5130 4351 9 164 6 146 7 171 13 164 15 174 4351 3651 8 161 6 146 7 171 13 163 19 176 3651 3032 8 151 6 147 6 171 13 162 20 173 3032 2514 8*124 6 146 6 171 13 162 20 171 2514 2115 7*109 6 145 6 171 12 162 19 170 2115 1840 6 109 6 146 5 172 11 161 17 169 1840 1674 6 109 5 146 5 171 10*160 13 169 1674 1578 5 109 5 145 5 171 8*160 9*168 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography