DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.5 - - 84.6 - - 91.4 - - 90.4 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 338 - - 241 - - -12 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1540 - - 2628 - - 3973 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 3066 - - 3971 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2925 - - 4013 - - 5358 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 797 - - 720 - - 1016 - - 5577 - - 1814 Hgt.Variab. W* 214 - - 399 - - 413 - - 53 - - 30 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 17 - - 15 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 185 - - 187 - - 167 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 682 - - -1298 - - -2423 - - -6186 - - -1423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2243 - - 5311 - - 7781 - - 7766 - - 3002 sfcLCL ODpotential 210 - - -6110 - - -5722 - - -9361 - - -8193 ODpotential blCL 2715 - - 10123 - - 11080 - - 10941 - - 9772 blCL maxRH 100 - - 71 - - 55 - - 55 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 1770 - - 2660 - - 2550 - - 2500 - - 2790 CAPE Temp@2m 72.5 - - 84.6 - - 91.4 - - 90.4 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.4 - - 66.3 - - 62.4 - - 61.5 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.6 - - 82.4 - - 89.6 - - 90.5 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.0 - - 65.6 - - 61.4 - - 60.7 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 338 - - 241 - - -12 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1540 - - 2628 - - 3973 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97791 14 111 9 166 3 123 8 065 10 055 97791 90341 10 074 9 112 10 172 4 001 8 061 90341 84615 6 023 9 066 5 152 1 180 5 063 84615 79891 5 016 3 183 5 339 1 326 3 089 79891 75857 2 311 6 211 4 205 4 344 4 190 75857 72295 4 273 5 284 7 216 8 330 7 215 72295 69072 4 158 12 252 12 246 12 258 7 281 69072 66128 3 057 10 212 9 234 16 233 11 258 66128 63425 14 308 14 286 12 300 10 278 12 245 63425 60829 25 290 25 284 22 283 21 293 17 274 60829 58114 29 285 27 288 29 277 33 278 29 266 58114 55272 30 285 31 281 35 267 39 273 37 269 55272 52541 34 276 34 270 36 264 43 271 38 273 52541 50074 38 268 36 265 38 266 43 266 40 274 50074 47864 37 262 37 262 40 267 39 264 42 266 47864 45880 33 259 37 260 41 267 36 270 39 267 45880 44085 31 263 37 261 40 269 38 276 41 279 44085 42435 31 269 34 263 40 269 40 277 47 277 42435 40897 32 271 31 267 40 268 40 273 45 271 40897 39453 31 269 29 269 37 267 39 270 38 270 39453 38090 29 267 29 269 34 268 35 267 34 273 38090 36773 28 264 29 266 30 271 31 266 32 273 36773 35434 26 259 27 263 28 275 28 266 31 270 35434 34044 21 246 24 262 27 276 26 266 30 269 34044 32607 17 232 24 255 24 271 25 266 31 271 32607 31109 18 218 22 241 18 255 24 269 30 273 31109 29540 18 212 20 226 16 238 21 273 28 274 29540 27899 17 206 19 222 18 239 22 276 26 274 27899 26186 15 197 18 231 18 250 23 272 23 274 26186 24401 14 197 17 239 16 273 19 273 21 279 24401 22546 10 228 15 252 16 284 15 277 22 288 22546 20613 8 266 10 258 19 277 17 288 23 294 20613 18597 4 216 8 262 15 264 22 293 25 293 18597 16535 4 202 8 244 10 250 22 294 27 292 16535 14542 2 253 8 226 11 243 17 269 27 292 14542 12719 2 313 5 230 10 241 17 247 24 295 12719 11091 4 308 4 247 8 239 17 254 19 301 11091 9637 6 274 4 256 7 243 14 259 11 288 9637 8338 12 251 5 259 8 244 13 262 8 254 8338 7177 16 244 11 249 12 237 14 198 9 236 7177 6144 15 229 15 227 15*196 18 180 13 216 6144 5230 14 208 18 193 16*188 19 176 18 197 5230 4423 22 193 18*185 16 187 20 173 20 182 4423 3702 22 188 18*185 16 186 20 172 26 162 3702 3066 20*186 18 185 16 186 20 170 29 152 3066 2537 19*185 17 185 15 186 19 169 27 150 2537 2129 18 185 16 186 15 187 19 168 25 149 2129 1848 17 185 15 186 14 187 17 168 21 148 1848 1677 15 186 14 186 13 186 14*167 17 148 1677 1579 12 185 12 186 11 186 11*167 12*148 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography