DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 85.6 - - 82.7 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 187 - - 17 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2536 - - 3665 - - 2527 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2896 - - 3648 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3921 - - 5050 - - 3912 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 820 - - 913 - - 1418 - - 2500 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 375 - - 170 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 154 - - 149 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -563 - - -509 - - -789 - - -547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4485 - - 5559 - - 4701 - - 2126 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5566 - - -4557 - - -5394 - - -2417 ODpotential blCL - - - 9487 - - 9607 - - 9306 - - 3996 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 86 - - 77 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1270 - - 1480 - - 1550 - - 2140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 85.6 - - 82.7 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 66.3 - - 67.1 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.3 - - 84.1 - - 82.3 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 65.1 - - 66.3 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 187 - - 17 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2536 - - 3665 - - 2527 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 44 - - 7 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98443 10 168 9 157 10 038 9 054 98443 90931 15 144 13 134 6 141 12 028 90931 85142 14 105 13 127 9 161 4 047 85142 80350 12 082 10 110 5 086 6 139 80350 76253 5 086 14 078 6 083 6 065 76253 72677 2 108 14 046 15 075 13 076 72677 69481 14 122 8 062 12 059 16 078 69481 66567 17 090 8 104 5 083 12 053 66567 63882 18 071 10 105 6 094 5 047 63882 61301 8 075 5 102 4 340 3 000 61301 58611 4 330 4 003 2 079 8 152 58611 55802 20 264 14 282 15 307 9 314 55802 53115 25 251 24 257 25 262 22 269 53115 50703 24 257 27 248 23 253 28 259 50703 48535 29 255 28 244 28 253 30 248 48535 46560 35 258 30 247 33 251 30 243 46560 44744 38 258 34 244 37 246 33 246 44744 43059 40 256 38 240 37 241 35 248 43059 41485 42 252 42 237 38 241 37 247 41485 40003 41 247 44 234 41 241 39 245 40003 38603 43 242 44 231 43 240 40 246 38603 37249 50 233 45 227 43 237 40 244 37249 35874 53 230 50 224 42 233 40 237 35874 34449 46 232 48 225 42 229 40 232 34449 32979 40 233 37 232 40 229 41 232 32979 31446 37 231 28 232 34 236 38 234 31446 29837 36 230 26 234 28 236 33 242 29837 28155 35 224 27 235 26 224 28 250 28155 26398 33 233 28 229 23 229 24 255 26398 24568 33 234 30 224 22 237 23 252 24568 22669 30 247 31 230 22 245 23 250 22669 20699 28 235 28 253 17 259 19 253 20699 18658 22 238 15 263 16 262 13 299 18658 16576 11 230 8 283 8 236 11 288 16576 14568 2 230 7 253 3 037 3 229 14568 12737 1 314 7 178 6 085 5 100 12737 11101 6 143 8 138 9 124 9 071 11101 9639 8 126 13 125 12 118 10 078 9639 8334 9 129 15 134 13 111 11 102 8334 7170 9 145 12 144 9 105 12 104 7170 6137 10 165 11 159 7 105 11 106 6137 5227 12 175 11*160 9 144 10 130 5227 4426 11*176 11*158 12*150 13 144 4426 3709 11*174 11 155 12*150 16 149 3709 3073 11 173 11 154 12 149 19 151 3073 2540 11 171 11 152 12 149 19 150 2540 2131 10 170 10 151 12 148 18 149 2131 1849 10 169 10 150 11 148 15 147 1849 1677 9 168 9 150 10 148 11 145 1677 1579 8 169 8 150 8 147 6*143 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography