DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.1 - - 72.2 - - 77.2 - - 72.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 70 - - 20 - - -13 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 744 - - 1529 - - 2438 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2129 - - 2914 - - 3823 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1272 - - 1134 - - 1451 - - 2842 - - 1555 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 205 - - 181 - - 21 - - 25 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 16 - - 15 - - 4 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 190 - - 186 - - 158 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 551 - - 912 - - 908 - - -64 - - -15 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 2002 - - 2915 - - 1644 - - 1594 sfcLCL ODpotential 27 - - 360 - - -145 - - -1786 - - -2572 ODpotential blCL 2102 - - 2554 - - 3968 - - 3365 - - 4151 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 650 - - 1500 - - 1500 - - 2110 CAPE Temp@2m 69.1 - - 72.2 - - 77.2 - - 72.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.4 - - 68.3 - - 69.2 - - 69.6 - - 69.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.6 - - 71.6 - - 76.9 - - 73.4 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.0 - - 67.7 - - 68.3 - - 69.4 - - 69.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 70 - - 20 - - -13 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 744 - - 1529 - - 2438 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 100 - - 91 - - 90 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97431 44 250 53 262 54 266 41 255 50 257 97431 90075 29 257 34 272 35 266 35 285 31 274 90075 84431 19 270 20 277 18 257 27 293 20 300 84431 79788 10 288 1 040 4 238 13 304 16 311 79788 75798 11 338 11 069 3 079 5 312 5 349 75798 72295 14 000 11 049 10 049 4 062 6 070 72295 69146 14 350 7 036 12 017 10 046 9 086 69146 66250 9 358 3 051 10 350 11 025 11 084 66250 63558 10 016 3 327 9 329 11 009 11 032 63558 60951 4 338 3 317 12 317 12 346 12 002 60951 58240 9 335 8 338 12 312 14 332 12 350 58240 55453 20 332 15 335 10 328 9 306 15 304 55453 52822 28 308 25 309 21 318 18 306 22 283 52822 50462 31 287 30 303 31 306 23 303 33 277 50462 48331 29 277 34 277 38 284 23 281 34 274 48331 46378 28 280 35 265 40 272 26 260 34 270 46378 44567 36 284 39 267 42 270 37 268 36 263 44567 42877 42 280 41 265 43 266 46 265 41 259 42877 41297 46 273 42 261 45 259 51 260 49 258 41297 39819 48 268 42 258 47 257 55 258 56 256 39819 38432 47 264 43 259 49 256 58 258 58 254 38432 37094 46 263 46 261 50 257 60 258 51 254 37094 35736 45 264 47 262 52 257 63 258 44 258 35736 34327 44 265 47 263 54 258 62 259 38 265 34327 32871 43 264 46 262 54 258 60 261 35 273 32871 31352 42 263 46 258 53 256 57 261 34 277 31352 29757 39 261 43 255 50 253 54 258 33 274 29757 28088 34 259 38 251 47 251 51 254 34 269 28088 26346 28 259 33 250 43 250 49 251 33 267 26346 24529 23 258 30 251 39 250 46 250 31 268 24529 22641 21 254 28 248 34 245 42 247 30 267 22641 20675 21 257 26 243 32 239 38 244 31 259 20675 18628 21 258 23 240 31 238 37 246 35 246 18628 16542 17 240 23 240 29 240 36 252 36 245 16542 14530 13 241 21 243 27 246 33 254 34 253 14530 12696 8 281 16 254 21 252 27 251 32 259 12696 11062 11 304 10 251 14 247 23 249 28 263 11062 9606 13 297 9 262 12 246 19 251 25 267 9606 8305 10 295 12 272 12 255 18 247 22 266 8305 7144 11 257 18 245 16 251 18 249 20 260 7144 6115 16 226 23 221 21 223 21 243 20 226 6115 5209 20 213 26 206 20 199 20 208 21 201 5209 4410 24 190 27 199 19*191 21 186 22 186 4410 3693 26 184 22 194 18*188 20 182 24 175 3693 3058 23 188 19*192 16 187 18 180 29 161 3058 2530 21*190 18*190 15 185 16 178 28 156 2530 2125 18*191 17 190 14 185 14 175 24 155 2125 1846 15 191 16 190 13 184 11 168 19 155 1846 1676 13 191 14 190 11 184 8*162 15*155 1676 1579 11 191 11 189 9 183 4*158 10*155 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography