DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 65.7 - - 59.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 301 - - -21 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1822 - - 2159 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2475 - - 2674 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3207 - - 3544 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 586 - - 1001 - - 2970 - - 1957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 356 - - 37 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 25 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 008 - - 013 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -19 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3837 - - -5395 - - -6291 - - -4725 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7045 - - 8940 - - 7868 - - 6303 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11861 - - -14409 - - -16099 - - -17441 ODpotential blCL - - - 15068 - - 17953 - - 17676 - - 19018 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 76 - - 52 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 65.7 - - 59.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 32.4 - - 31.0 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 64.0 - - 59.7 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 31.4 - - 30.4 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 301 - - -21 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1822 - - 2159 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96560 12 180 12 219 14 257 5 246 96560 89386 5 193 6 194 11 269 7 292 89386 83893 7 144 7 247 8 259 6 331 83893 79317 7 052 6 298 2 266 3 021 79317 75341 9 278 8 268 5 269 5 290 75341 71840 5 255 6 171 6 214 10 296 71840 68692 11 283 11 302 7 304 11 294 68692 65818 9 242 22 284 21 299 16 291 65818 63170 18 282 18 283 16 302 18 269 63170 60594 37 296 40 285 37 286 31 282 60594 57911 49 278 49 278 49 278 46 281 57911 55128 57 262 59 268 59 272 55 273 55128 52459 62 263 65 271 63 274 59 274 52459 50038 72 270 76 272 71 272 66 276 50038 47859 77 262 82 264 78 267 75 273 47859 45880 81 256 85 258 83 263 80 267 45880 44070 85 254 86 259 83 263 78 267 44070 42402 86 258 87 267 81 268 74 274 42402 40857 91 262 90 271 81 274 74 278 40857 39413 94 263 89 271 82 276 75 279 39413 38052 93 261 84 269 76 276 72 279 38052 36735 91 262 77 269 67 274 65 280 36735 35394 84 264 73 271 63 272 60 280 35394 33999 77 266 71 275 62 272 59 279 33999 32552 74 267 70 277 62 273 58 277 32552 31037 75 267 69 277 61 274 57 276 31037 29443 75 266 66 275 60 274 56 276 29443 27770 72 266 66 274 58 274 56 277 27770 26017 69 264 66 274 58 274 56 279 26017 24189 68 262 65 273 56 277 53 281 24189 22289 62 265 61 270 54 278 50 284 22289 20312 53 264 58 267 53 277 48 287 20312 18253 49 256 53 264 52 275 48 288 18253 16157 53 253 50 258 50 275 44 286 16157 14146 48 249 43 258 45 277 41 283 14146 12323 40 228 36 254 36 279 37 284 12323 10710 29 234 34 246 29 273 31 290 10710 9279 16 246 20 251 26 273 28 302 9279 8007 14 265 15 269 27 291 25 320 8007 6880 15 281 17 294 28 317 26 344 6880 5886 24 322 27 337 31 345 29 004 5886 5016 29 346 31 356 31 004 31 017 5016 4253 27 003 30 006 31 012 35 021 4253 3574 26*009 28*008 31 013 38 020 3574 2976 25*008 27*008 30 013 38 020 2976 2476 25 008 27 008 29 013 36 020 2476 2093 24 008 26 009 27 013 32 020 2093 1829 23 008 24 009 23 013 25 020 1829 1669 21 008 22 009 19 013 21*019 1669 1577 17 008 17 009 14*013 14*019 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography