DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 80.1 - - 78.3 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 160 - - -22 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2621 - - 3130 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2908 - - 3195 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4006 - - 4515 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 732 - - 996 - - 4124 - - 1520 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 343 - - 341 - - 51 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 198 - - 180 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 36 - - -937 - - -2787 - - -523 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3970 - - 5452 - - 4366 - - 2102 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5177 - - -4830 - - -7004 - - -6918 ODpotential blCL - - - 9183 - - 9345 - - 8583 - - 8497 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 73 - - 73 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 240 - - 530 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 80.1 - - 78.3 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.3 - - 61.3 - - 64.2 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 78.9 - - 79.2 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 60.1 - - 63.2 - - 65.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 160 - - -22 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2621 - - 3130 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98057 3 125 9 194 11 312 10 011 98057 90584 2 204 7 170 3 289 9 013 90584 84801 7 162 6 220 3 213 7 295 84801 80018 2 317 4 309 3 135 6 234 80018 75913 14 292 7 307 7 259 8 284 75913 72329 15 285 9 305 11 311 14 298 72329 69115 20 266 17 298 18 291 15 278 69115 66157 21 244 21 274 19 287 12 279 66157 63412 30 298 31 285 29 293 19 284 63412 60793 45 289 36 290 36 304 35 301 60793 58106 48 282 46 286 47 294 38 291 58106 55320 49 281 53 284 50 290 45 292 55320 52659 56 283 66 287 61 292 66 294 52659 50281 69 284 76 285 76 286 77 285 50281 48169 76 287 76 284 79 279 83 280 48169 46264 76 292 73 287 75 280 79 280 46264 44513 72 295 75 294 70 287 74 285 44513 42876 75 296 80 298 71 294 74 289 42876 41335 80 297 82 297 74 296 76 291 41335 39875 86 299 82 296 77 296 78 290 39875 38490 88 300 83 296 79 292 79 288 38490 37145 87 297 83 295 79 290 78 287 37145 35774 86 292 83 294 76 291 76 287 35774 34349 85 291 82 294 73 291 72 286 34349 32874 81 293 79 294 69 289 69 288 32874 31334 80 296 77 295 67 289 68 292 31334 29719 79 298 76 295 68 289 67 293 29719 28031 76 298 76 293 71 288 64 290 28031 26274 72 300 75 291 72 286 63 285 26274 24451 67 297 70 289 69 284 62 281 24451 22561 54 294 65 289 64 283 58 280 22561 20596 47 289 58 290 60 290 52 285 20596 18553 45 285 48 287 55 295 44 291 18553 16469 38 283 42 287 48 295 39 299 16469 14459 25 283 36 292 38 292 38 298 14459 12630 23 298 28 278 30 287 35 293 12630 11004 21 303 21 283 26 283 30 289 11004 9557 16 299 15 288 22 270 27 284 9557 8267 10 278 10 267 16 263 22 271 8267 7115 8 271 13 254 12 262 21 263 7115 6091 11 251 16 229 15 205 18 242 6091 5189 16 213 16*205 20 187 19 218 5189 4395 17*201 16*199 20 184 22 204 4395 3684 17*200 16 199 20 183 25 193 3684 3054 17 199 16 199 19 182 27 182 3054 2528 16 199 15 198 18 182 26 175 2528 2124 16 199 15 198 17 181 24 172 2124 1845 15 199 14 198 15 180 19 170 1845 1676 14 199 13 198 12 180 14*169 1676 1579 11 199 11 198 9*180 9*169 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography