DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.7 - - 56.8 - - 61.5 - - 53.3 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 175 - - 122 - - -28 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1443 - - 1744 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1983 - - 2010 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1576 - - 2828 - - 3129 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 452 - - 611 - - 802 - - 255 - - 99 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 262 - - 248 - - 19 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 13 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 209 - - 209 - - 210 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - -4 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1909 - - -3020 - - -3927 - - -3415 - - -3560 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3486 - - 5848 - - 7056 - - 4992 - - 5137 sfcLCL ODpotential -14007 - - -12964 - - -13606 - - -14807 - - -16331 ODpotential blCL 15583 - - 15792 - - 16735 - - 16384 - - 17908 blCL maxRH 67 - - 52 - - 42 - - 42 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.7 - - 56.8 - - 61.5 - - 53.3 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.4 - - 37.1 - - 36.4 - - 37.4 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 55.5 - - 60.4 - - 56.1 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.6 - - 35.9 - - 35.4 - - 36.8 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 175 - - 122 - - -28 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1443 - - 1744 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96423 27 269 26 250 36 240 39 283 47 254 96423 89180 28 263 24 255 28 263 36 263 29 278 89180 83614 22 270 26 262 25 276 24 257 23 307 83614 78998 24 272 27 264 30 285 18 275 16 309 78998 75023 22 274 24 256 29 281 22 285 17 310 75023 71526 26 304 19 277 23 274 23 287 21 291 71526 68396 39 294 32 309 18 283 19 279 16 280 68396 65527 41 279 43 302 25 298 21 290 16 293 65527 62858 41 273 46 290 39 297 33 293 29 299 62858 60280 42 266 47 274 48 286 42 285 41 292 60280 57612 45 263 51 263 52 272 50 278 51 280 57612 54865 47 270 52 264 53 267 53 277 57 275 54865 52248 57 273 60 266 59 271 58 276 64 274 52248 49880 74 270 71 265 66 270 63 273 68 272 49880 47740 82 267 76 264 71 266 67 270 71 272 47740 45783 83 267 76 268 71 265 67 269 74 272 45783 43987 84 268 81 271 72 267 67 270 77 273 43987 42331 88 268 93 272 75 273 66 273 79 271 42331 40788 95 269 101 270 77 275 59 275 75 268 40788 39336 98 268 97 266 74 274 50 279 60 268 39336 37964 93 268 88 267 66 274 45 281 44 277 37964 36641 89 269 80 271 61 276 40 278 36 284 36641 35299 85 268 77 273 58 277 30 277 23 278 35299 33907 77 266 74 274 54 278 14 305 4 198 33907 32467 70 276 67 275 48 281 16 004 15 073 32467 30964 57 283 51 277 36 289 19 009 22 055 30964 29387 42 290 20 273 29 286 17 004 21 054 29387 27732 36 299 8 012 17 282 11 016 16 039 27732 26001 34 306 17 012 1 312 8 051 7 029 26001 24200 33 308 17 354 5 025 5 154 5 028 24200 22329 33 307 17 353 13 339 7 271 7 004 22329 20379 37 303 16 359 13 348 11 327 9 347 20379 18343 36 295 12 359 12 346 11 350 9 341 18343 16265 30 296 13 316 8 333 8 347 6 337 16265 14260 24 299 21 292 15 302 10 306 6 301 14260 12436 22 295 20 286 22 289 17 295 13 296 12436 10818 20 289 19 289 21 285 22 292 20 296 10818 9383 17 284 17 290 20 285 23 291 23 292 9383 8107 14 288 13 288 18 279 22 290 24 288 8107 6973 11 301 8 281 13 266 21 285 25 286 6973 5968 9 305 6 248 12 239 19 267 27 283 5968 5083 10 265 13 238 16 232 19 253 26 269 5083 4303 15 228 18 228 18 224 20 236 24 237 4303 3611 18 214 18 220 16*212 20 211 28 217 3611 3002 17 212 14*213 14*209 20 200 28 210 3002 2493 14 202 12*210 14 209 19 201 25 206 2493 2102 13 189 11 209 13 209 16 205 22 204 2102 1833 10 185 10 209 12 210 13 208 18 204 1833 1670 7 184 10 209 11 210 10 210 12 205 1670 1577 5*185 8 208 9 210 6*210 6*205 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography