DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 82.2 - - 77.6 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 141 - - -6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3843 - - 5235 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3632 - - 4653 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5228 - - 6620 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2054 - - 2004 - - 5972 - - 165 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 346 - - 382 - - 8 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 068 - - 066 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -503 - - -380 - - -4912 - - -5404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5731 - - 7000 - - 6492 - - 6983 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4047 - - -3632 - - -9027 - - -11089 ODpotential blCL - - - 9275 - - 10252 - - 10606 - - 12668 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 71 - - 51 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 530 - - 220 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 82.2 - - 77.6 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.4 - - 56.8 - - 54.7 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 80.8 - - 79.9 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 55.7 - - 53.6 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 141 - - -6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3843 - - 5235 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98091 22 222 12 197 13 212 14 234 98091 90649 16 185 12 212 8 252 9 280 90649 84905 10 143 9 177 7 186 4 252 84905 80175 10 087 7 156 4 156 11 168 80175 76123 5 089 5 165 3 065 7 158 76123 72564 3 199 10 182 4 206 3 333 72564 69380 3 257 5 178 6 156 3 136 69380 66456 6 264 3 293 4 286 4 044 66456 63746 7 234 6 275 10 257 6 306 63746 61146 5 228 8 250 12 270 10 283 61146 58463 6 263 8 253 15 273 13 279 58463 55695 13 302 11 294 17 272 20 283 55695 53056 20 302 19 294 22 278 28 283 53056 50671 25 298 28 283 32 280 34 275 50671 48514 28 297 28 273 34 275 37 273 48514 46535 34 300 29 278 34 274 39 274 46535 44702 39 295 34 287 35 274 41 275 44702 42993 44 292 37 288 39 273 45 275 42993 41389 44 288 38 286 41 272 49 275 41389 39877 45 281 38 286 42 273 51 276 39877 38448 45 278 41 284 42 276 52 280 38448 37067 45 276 45 282 45 279 55 283 37067 35664 49 273 48 280 47 282 56 284 35664 34211 52 271 51 278 51 286 56 284 34211 32709 53 269 51 276 53 285 55 285 32709 31145 49 267 49 273 54 280 56 284 31145 29510 39 267 43 268 48 276 50 284 29510 27814 28 265 36 265 34 274 41 284 27814 26065 17 255 25 266 21 281 27 284 26065 24263 8 236 16 265 14 287 10 307 24263 22399 8 234 11 256 7 280 8 336 22399 20458 6 211 9 247 5 296 5 324 20458 18434 4 211 3 224 3 265 3 271 18434 16367 2 128 3 175 6 167 6 194 16367 14376 11 141 9 145 12 149 10 166 14376 12564 10 110 11 137 7 148 9 143 12564 10951 6 068 8 129 3 105 8 128 10951 9515 11 042 8 138 4 131 9 122 9515 8237 14 040 9 114 6 119 9 118 8237 7099 14 037 9*090 8 093 9 109 7099 6088 13*039 9*081 8 085 10 098 6088 5194 11*050 8 077 9 085 11 089 5194 4402 9 061 8 071 8 086 11 085 4402 3690 8 065 7 066 8 085 12 087 3690 3059 7 065 7 063 8 084 13 091 3059 2531 7 064 7 059 8 082 13 096 2531 2125 6 063 6 056 7 079 13 099 2125 1846 6 063 6 056 6 075 12 101 1846 1676 6 062 6 055 5*070 9*098 1676 1579 5 062 5 055 4*066 5*087 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography