DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.6 - - 81.0 - - 85.0 - - 81.9 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 115 - - 73 - - 2 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1517 - - 2859 - - 3646 - - 1593 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 2883 - - 3239 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2902 - - 4244 - - 5031 - - 2978 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2181 - - 1678 - - 2804 - - 3674 - - 2355 Hgt.Variab. W* 175 - - 306 - - 298 - - 127 - - 32 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 158 - - 153 - - 119 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - -6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 934 - - 1014 - - 1060 - - 86 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1968 - - 3231 - - 3971 - - 2892 - - 1580 sfcLCL ODpotential 282 - - -43 - - -294 - - -1498 - - -590 ODpotential blCL 2620 - - 4287 - - 5325 - - 4476 - - 2170 blCL maxRH 100 - - 87 - - 87 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 1020 - - 1470 - - 2200 - - 2570 - - 2620 CAPE Temp@2m 75.6 - - 81.0 - - 85.0 - - 81.9 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.9 - - 71.8 - - 72.5 - - 74.1 - - 75.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.9 - - 80.0 - - 84.1 - - 81.7 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.2 - - 70.5 - - 71.1 - - 73.2 - - 75.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 115 - - 73 - - 2 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1517 - - 2859 - - 3646 - - 1593 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 49 - - 49 - - 64 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98897 38 088 35 096 36 101 28 097 34 076 98897 91428 37 098 41 089 40 087 38 087 33 096 91428 85672 34 090 40 076 41 080 42 082 37 097 85672 80894 38 081 32 087 32 082 37 078 42 085 80894 76807 37 083 29 105 21 097 27 077 37 074 76807 73228 31 092 30 100 20 107 18 084 29 075 73228 70001 32 097 29 091 20 098 18 085 27 078 70001 67034 30 087 31 090 25 093 22 085 27 076 67034 64297 24 076 34 093 29 092 25 086 24 081 64297 61674 17 071 29 085 29 090 26 080 24 093 61674 58977 15 078 20 071 26 078 27 072 30 086 58977 56206 23 099 16 079 24 070 27 066 30 083 56206 53569 39 095 25 095 27 086 26 081 29 078 53569 51201 46 080 33 085 31 089 27 080 28 077 51201 49072 41 074 30 074 30 082 25 080 28 078 49072 47115 30 084 21 078 24 069 21 085 25 073 47115 45299 22 084 18 091 11 076 13 081 17 061 45299 43602 18 047 18 089 11 092 7 089 7 036 43602 42011 24 357 16 069 10 087 6 083 2 262 42011 40516 23 338 12 039 8 050 9 014 4 232 40516 39102 19 334 7 028 7 350 17 347 3 308 39102 37731 15 330 4 013 5 319 17 339 8 340 37731 36333 14 325 5 332 6 326 11 317 9 317 36333 34881 13 311 6 302 6 320 11 305 11 292 34881 33377 13 324 4 260 4 294 10 299 12 275 33377 31809 13 342 4 250 4 279 9 297 12 261 31809 30166 2 235 4 286 3 300 8 298 11 262 30166 28447 3 178 4 280 5 344 8 299 10 257 28447 26652 1 045 6 227 3 301 10 293 8 247 26652 24784 1 270 7 196 5 227 8 299 7 272 24784 22849 3 152 6 172 7 199 1 080 3 267 22849 20839 7 147 8 198 10 225 4 182 1 324 20839 18753 12 171 10 208 10 207 8 187 7 027 18753 16638 12 183 10 198 11 194 9 180 5 087 16638 14605 13 191 11 194 9 184 9 160 5 141 14605 12755 16 183 9 183 6 154 6 143 5 174 12755 11106 16 175 7 170 7 149 8 153 5 154 11106 9640 16 170 9 158 12 163 12 172 6 139 9640 8335 15 166 13 160 15 167 16 182 8 159 8335 7175 15 163 17 165 16 167 15 178 12 174 7175 6147 16 162 18 168 15 166 13 165 14 176 6147 5240 16 163 16 167 14*162 12 145 14 168 5240 4437 16 163 13*166 12*158 12 128 14 160 4437 3716 15 163 12*163 10 154 12 122 14 157 3716 3076 15*162 10 159 10 153 12*122 13 153 3076 2542 14*161 9 158 9 151 13*120 10 147 2542 2132 12 161 9 157 8 151 13 119 9 142 2132 1850 12 160 8 156 8 150 13 118 7 141 1850 1678 11 160 8 157 8 150 12 118 6*141 1678 1580 9 161 7 156 7 150 9 117 5*141 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography