DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.1 - - 65.8 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 140 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2197 - - 2692 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2358 - - 2754 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3582 - - 4077 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 509 - - 945 - - 2885 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 298 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 188 - - 245 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 587 - - -203 - - -692 - - -493 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2995 - - 4280 - - 2271 - - 2071 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 324 - - -4305 - - -2284 - - -7949 ODpotential blCL - - - 3258 - - 8382 - - 3863 - - 9527 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 86 - - 85 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.1 - - 65.8 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 57.9 - - 61.2 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 69.9 - - 67.4 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 57.3 - - 61.1 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 140 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2197 - - 2692 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 42 - - 39 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96322 54 255 59 263 56 266 53 288 96322 89172 37 260 37 261 40 261 42 281 89172 83682 30 271 27 276 29 273 33 268 83682 79125 28 276 28 286 29 295 24 279 79125 75208 30 290 24 291 25 300 21 298 75208 71758 32 294 22 308 22 305 18 310 71758 68669 22 282 23 311 20 317 16 316 68669 65882 15 248 19 299 14 321 12 330 65882 63336 8 248 13 256 7 309 8 345 63336 60878 7 271 10 223 4 267 5 323 60878 58308 11 273 12 240 10 214 8 223 58308 55625 20 274 22 267 17 241 17 241 55625 53038 28 267 29 269 26 256 24 254 53038 50675 30 270 31 266 26 255 26 257 50675 48517 28 274 27 268 23 258 22 263 48517 46529 25 273 26 275 21 281 22 291 46529 44697 24 280 26 286 25 307 23 311 44697 43007 20 309 25 301 24 315 23 317 43007 41436 20 340 22 326 15 337 14 312 41436 39961 16 355 20 354 13 016 16 342 39961 38574 24 017 22 016 20 014 23 352 38574 37236 33 020 26 018 26 019 26 357 37236 35874 36 013 28 010 25 029 26 003 35874 34456 36 013 26 012 23 032 17 013 34456 32986 33 020 25 020 22 027 15 018 32986 31444 26 031 22 020 21 021 16 010 31444 29820 21 039 19 014 22 012 16 010 29820 28113 13 055 14 026 15 025 12 040 28113 26331 7 084 9 039 11 069 12 074 26331 24491 9 108 7 080 11 101 11 096 24491 22588 9 113 6 098 8 079 12 095 22588 20608 8 139 5 113 6 065 11 075 20608 18545 5 172 5 134 4 063 10 084 18545 16448 1 054 9 131 6 180 7 189 16448 14437 4 182 14 190 16 210 16 216 14437 12606 13 210 16 218 19 214 15 217 12606 10975 14 221 10 244 16 220 13 236 10975 9521 14 211 10 246 9 235 9 246 9521 8223 18 199 13 229 12 220 11 244 8223 7071 19 196 14 222 14 217 14 242 7071 6053 14 195 11 218 10 209 17 223 6053 5160 11 195 9 199 8 185 18 203 5160 4371 10 185 8*186 8 172 18 188 4371 3665 10*177 8*185 7 174 17 177 3665 3040 10*176 8 187 5 185 14 170 3040 2518 10 176 8 188 4 204 12 159 2518 2117 9 176 7 188 4 223 10 142 2117 1841 9 175 7 190 4 235 9 125 1841 1674 8 176 7 191 4*242 5 112 1674 1578 7 175 6 190 3*245 2*089 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography