DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 67.4 - - 70.6 - - 66.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 164 - - 108 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 475 - - 2384 - - 2506 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2643 - - 2516 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1860 - - 3769 - - 3891 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 899 - - 1006 - - 1320 - - 2694 - - 389 Hgt.Variab. W* 118 - - 308 - - 274 - - 14 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 35 - - 30 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 051 - - 356 - - 087 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1137 - - -983 - - -1698 - - -2081 - - -1985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2997 - - 4752 - - 5589 - - 3660 - - 3563 sfcLCL ODpotential -12629 - - -11132 - - -10756 - - -11547 - - -12660 ODpotential blCL 14489 - - 14901 - - 14647 - - 13125 - - 14238 blCL maxRH 75 - - 69 - - 65 - - 60 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 67.4 - - 70.6 - - 66.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.2 - - 52.0 - - 51.6 - - 55.6 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 66.1 - - 69.5 - - 68.7 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.4 - - 50.8 - - 50.6 - - 54.8 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 164 - - 108 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 475 - - 2384 - - 2506 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97197 43 268 40 271 37 260 41 263 53 272 97197 89885 32 267 37 280 35 282 33 270 40 274 89885 84242 27 259 30 277 26 289 27 278 31 282 84242 79591 13 266 23 256 23 275 27 290 20 288 79591 75616 1 336 14 237 18 272 22 292 17 322 75616 72106 10 040 6 200 7 276 10 287 14 326 72106 68936 6 020 4 157 7 223 5 249 9 299 68936 66026 4 281 3 245 7 220 5 213 11 247 66026 63319 10 288 12 281 15 289 9 305 9 237 63319 60698 16 242 18 265 22 289 20 308 12 287 60698 57992 20 282 30 282 38 276 37 288 33 290 57992 55246 39 271 36 276 40 268 47 270 49 276 55246 52674 45 281 45 286 44 280 47 271 50 272 52674 50359 62 295 61 291 54 288 49 281 52 276 50359 48262 70 294 64 284 62 284 58 282 60 276 48262 46342 69 299 61 281 66 278 64 277 66 270 46342 44568 68 301 62 286 66 279 65 275 67 265 44568 42912 68 294 65 286 66 282 64 277 64 264 42912 41355 74 291 68 286 69 281 64 278 65 266 41355 39881 79 295 75 286 74 280 69 275 69 266 39881 38484 77 293 74 283 72 274 70 271 70 263 38484 37130 73 291 71 282 69 273 69 268 70 260 37130 35752 70 289 69 282 67 272 69 268 71 260 35752 34324 68 286 65 279 64 270 67 267 70 261 34324 32851 64 284 62 275 61 268 62 266 66 261 32851 31318 59 284 60 275 59 267 56 264 61 260 31318 29713 53 284 55 278 55 268 50 263 55 260 29713 28036 49 282 49 279 50 272 44 264 47 259 28036 26283 43 282 44 278 45 273 38 267 39 254 26283 24457 31 276 34 271 40 272 33 269 34 255 24457 22558 24 268 25 252 30 258 29 266 28 257 22558 20582 24 273 23 254 26 246 26 248 25 252 20582 18525 25 282 23 265 24 254 24 245 24 246 18525 16427 22 286 21 271 22 261 22 253 22 252 16427 14403 20 304 15 270 19 253 18 257 20 261 14403 12562 18 311 11 277 16 247 18 255 18 267 12562 10925 17 298 12 282 15 264 19 267 18 271 10925 9472 15 311 13 293 15 280 18 282 17 276 9472 8182 16 311 13 299 15 288 14 290 14 276 8182 7038 15 298 14 300 13 293 10 278 12 256 7038 6027 10 282 11 291 10 307 8 254 12 240 6027 5139 5 323 4 305 6 306 6 223 11 216 5139 4355 8 022 1*007 2*308 5 189 12 194 4355 3653 10 040 1*041 2*323 4 177 11 177 3653 3033 10 048 2 048 2 339 4 168 10 158 3033 2514 10 045 2 051 2 357 3 146 10 146 2514 2115 10*031 2 054 2 012 3 119 9 138 2115 1841 9*027 2 055 2 017 3 102 7 132 1841 1674 8 025 2 056 2 020 3 091 5*124 1674 1578 6 025 2 054 2 020 3*087 4*112 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography