DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z - - 2219z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.2 - - 87.4 - - 90.6 - - 89.8 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 199 - - 375 - - 304 - - 34 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2132 - - 4638 - - 5764 - - 6063 - - 181 BL Depth Hcrit 2510 - - 4639 - - 5437 - - 3740 - - 1550 Hcrit BL Top 3517 - - 6023 - - 7149 - - 7448 - - 1566 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1175 - - 1134 - - 1451 - - 1897 - - 3972 Hgt.Variab. W* 308 - - 495 - - 498 - - 255 - - 32 W* B/S 6 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 159 - - 151 - - 134 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 12 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 237 - - 469 - - 749 - - 501 - - -2515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3281 - - 5554 - - 6401 - - 6947 - - 4081 sfcLCL ODpotential -2524 - - -1300 - - 44 - - -569 - - -4247 ODpotential blCL 6041 - - 7323 - - 7105 - - 8017 - - 5813 blCL maxRH 95 - - 93 - - 91 - - 87 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 870 - - 1200 - - 1420 - - 640 - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m 79.2 - - 87.4 - - 90.6 - - 89.8 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.8 - - 68.1 - - 67.6 - - 64.6 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.6 - - 85.3 - - 88.4 - - 89.3 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.5 - - 67.6 - - 67.0 - - 64.0 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 199 - - 375 - - 304 - - 34 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2132 - - 4638 - - 5764 - - 6063 - - 181 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 73 - - 66 - - 49 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98401 52 089 56 102 43 105 40 099 42 079 98401 91282 43 085 48 093 46 093 39 098 41 090 91282 85749 39 085 43 083 45 088 40 088 43 095 85749 81137 38 094 35 080 38 085 40 081 42 085 81137 77151 38 100 31 086 29 082 37 080 38 077 77151 73626 37 099 31 092 25 093 31 083 32 074 73626 70443 32 095 33 095 26 103 24 090 26 081 70443 67530 26 092 31 096 23 103 17 089 24 089 67530 64844 19 090 25 093 21 106 14 091 20 092 64844 62259 13 105 14 077 19 097 14 093 16 090 62259 59579 13 114 8 094 9 072 11 082 13 085 59579 56808 9 105 6 095 8 094 6 102 10 073 56808 54175 9 107 2 191 5 086 9 116 6 090 54175 51821 11 097 4 171 2 298 6 095 7 116 51821 49713 8 087 5 141 2 237 2 086 9 114 49713 47787 5 095 4 145 3 186 2 103 8 109 47787 46004 3 118 5 173 5 205 1 190 5 122 46004 44340 4 151 8 178 8 210 4 234 3 156 44340 42779 1 172 7 174 8 220 6 252 2 277 42779 41306 2 259 5 175 8 226 6 259 5 295 41306 39910 4 245 6 186 8 221 6 255 8 306 39910 38554 6 241 8 196 10 212 7 239 10 319 38554 37169 6 250 10 199 13 206 7 234 12 324 37169 35725 6 283 8 206 11 213 3 269 14 323 35725 34224 8 317 4 226 7 236 7 318 15 320 34224 32651 9 337 2 298 3 275 11 313 13 320 32651 30992 9 354 3 004 2 337 10 316 10 319 30992 29248 8 012 3 024 3 030 5 327 6 329 29248 27421 6 028 1 001 2 031 2 353 4 338 27421 25515 4 038 1 216 0 298 2 310 4 320 25515 23529 4 044 3 120 2 166 2 149 4 307 23529 21455 4 058 5 105 4 105 3 108 4 345 21455 19287 6 064 5 081 5 052 5 035 7 007 19287 17080 7 049 6 041 7 034 8 018 10 016 17080 14959 6 072 5 057 6 081 3 051 10 016 14959 13034 8 093 7 092 7 117 3 087 7 017 13034 11326 8 102 8 104 6 142 4 104 3 031 11326 9812 10 127 9 122 7 155 5 144 3 212 9812 8468 12 143 10 137 8 152 8*139 6 128 8468 7275 14 155 9 149 9*149 9*133 11 120 7275 6219 14 162 8*154 9*148 9 133 13 125 6219 5288 13 170 8*156 10 149 9 134 16 132 5288 4466 13 188 8 158 10 150 10 134 18 138 4466 3730 13*197 8 159 10 151 10 134 20 142 3730 3081 10*202 8 160 11 152 10 135 21 143 3081 2540 9 203 8 161 11 153 10 135 21 142 2540 2124 9 204 8 162 10 153 10 136 19 140 2124 1838 8 204 8 161 10 153 9 135 14 136 1838 1665 8 204 8 161 10 153 9 135 12 135 1665 1566 7 204 7 161 9 153 8 136 6*134 1566 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography