DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.8 - - 62.0 - - 65.8 - - 60.8 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 114 - - 254 - - 149 - - -22 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 911 - - 1710 - - 2453 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2299 - - 2627 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2296 - - 3095 - - 3838 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 423 - - 450 - - 792 - - 2856 - - 1174 Hgt.Variab. W* 194 - - 312 - - 297 - - 25 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 15 - - 12 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 005 - - 006 - - 006 - - 020 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -11 - - -6 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -392 - - -142 - - -203 - - -1274 - - -366 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2688 - - 3238 - - 4042 - - 2852 - - 1944 sfcLCL ODpotential -9693 - - -7587 - - -6172 - - -7809 - - -8140 ODpotential blCL 11989 - - 10682 - - 10010 - - 9387 - - 9718 blCL maxRH 87 - - 88 - - 83 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.8 - - 62.0 - - 65.8 - - 60.8 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.6 - - 53.3 - - 53.5 - - 53.8 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.0 - - 60.3 - - 64.6 - - 61.8 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 52.5 - - 52.7 - - 53.5 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 114 - - 254 - - 149 - - -22 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 911 - - 1710 - - 2453 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 51 - - 33 - - 23 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97092 54 265 48 259 54 258 55 264 54 272 97092 89752 43 268 36 266 40 262 42 270 41 273 89752 84139 33 274 29 281 26 268 30 261 34 269 84139 79507 20 260 17 262 17 278 19 272 22 277 79507 75533 12 242 12 227 11 266 16 280 17 292 75533 72031 9 287 10 257 7 270 13 289 12 294 72031 68871 4 328 11 247 10 256 11 291 8 257 68871 65966 12 331 8 273 10 237 13 271 7 265 65966 63265 12 288 11 266 12 248 15 260 12 253 63265 60653 17 282 9 263 9 270 16 255 22 231 60653 57948 28 270 21 270 23 273 23 274 21 260 57948 55163 37 259 34 258 36 262 38 267 33 268 55163 52519 39 257 37 258 43 262 43 262 44 267 52519 50138 44 266 44 263 54 262 60 263 65 265 50138 48001 55 269 52 263 61 259 67 262 71 263 48001 46061 66 267 57 264 67 265 71 270 76 267 46061 44277 73 268 70 267 75 269 83 274 84 270 44277 42614 83 268 78 264 78 270 84 272 87 270 42614 41054 88 264 80 263 80 271 81 272 87 270 41054 39585 81 265 77 269 81 272 78 273 87 270 39585 38200 75 267 78 276 79 273 77 275 85 272 38200 36861 72 272 83 278 76 273 75 274 83 275 36861 35501 71 274 83 281 72 272 66 267 79 279 35501 34086 71 271 76 277 67 275 62 261 67 274 34086 32620 68 269 68 265 63 271 56 256 56 264 32620 31090 64 274 62 259 62 266 53 260 52 256 31090 29488 59 274 51 264 56 262 53 262 51 254 29488 27813 54 270 42 272 46 261 51 264 45 257 27813 26066 49 268 39 274 39 263 42 265 37 260 26066 24247 40 262 36 269 35 267 34 269 29 262 24247 22361 33 261 30 267 30 269 29 268 24 263 22361 20401 26 267 23 265 23 269 24 269 21 261 20401 18361 19 262 18 262 20 269 20 267 20 262 18361 16281 17 267 17 262 20 273 21 268 20 265 16281 14280 19 280 18 270 18 278 22 273 21 274 14280 12460 21 284 18 280 18 277 20 278 19 289 12460 10839 19 290 17 283 19 272 19 283 18 295 10839 9395 20 293 17 288 19 281 18 283 16 302 9395 8112 21 285 18 282 19 289 17 286 12 298 8112 6974 17 273 18 278 17 294 16 287 11 280 6974 5970 14 253 15 270 12 299 12 299 6 292 5970 5088 11 239 10 265 7 332 9 357 9 035 5088 4313 8 252 6 292 13*006 14 017 16 031 4313 3621 7 343 14*004 13*006 16 020 21 027 3621 3009 21 006 16*005 13 005 17 021 22 030 3009 2498 22*005 16 006 13 005 17 022 21 035 2498 2106 21*005 16 006 12 006 16 022 18 037 2106 1836 20 005 15 006 12 006 13 021 14 037 1836 1672 18 004 14 006 11 006 11*020 10*035 1672 1578 14 004 11 006 9 006 6*020 5*031 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography