DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 67.1 - - 63.1 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 90 - - -12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 193 - - 2281 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1561 - - 2180 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1578 - - 3666 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1616 - - 479 - - 2825 - - 233 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 246 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 143 - - 073 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 507 - - -557 - - -25 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1578 - - 3160 - - 2136 - - 1603 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -272 - - 84 - - -2255 - - -3059 ODpotential blCL - - - 1850 - - 3582 - - 3834 - - 4637 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 90 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 80 - - 110 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 67.1 - - 63.1 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.0 - - 58.5 - - 59.0 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 66.1 - - 65.4 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 58.0 - - 58.8 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 90 - - -12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 193 - - 2281 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 76 - - 60 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96428 43 256 46 251 46 267 56 259 96428 89174 30 256 33 253 35 266 32 263 89174 83630 24 246 24 240 34 263 26 277 83630 79063 20 257 14 259 24 258 21 273 79063 75122 17 261 15 272 18 253 20 282 75122 71628 13 259 18 263 19 268 23 287 71628 68482 14 262 19 272 20 276 23 280 68482 65605 18 279 22 286 21 283 24 277 65605 62944 26 282 27 284 27 280 29 284 62944 60381 34 281 35 283 34 273 34 285 60381 57715 42 283 39 286 35 276 35 287 57715 54939 47 279 43 285 37 292 38 286 54939 52275 46 274 46 280 41 293 38 288 52275 49871 40 277 45 278 40 286 36 286 49871 47710 38 285 39 282 31 285 32 281 47710 45742 36 288 33 287 30 295 32 292 45742 43933 32 286 29 295 30 301 34 299 43933 42263 29 286 27 300 27 305 31 300 42263 40711 24 292 22 302 22 311 22 304 40711 39260 21 287 21 314 20 321 19 312 39260 37897 15 267 22 311 20 328 19 317 37897 36579 9 245 17 302 19 329 18 323 36579 35241 4 254 14 309 18 329 17 330 35241 33851 4 302 12 324 18 328 17 335 33851 32412 6 316 14 344 18 326 16 337 32412 30911 7 327 16 349 16 323 16 343 30911 29336 6 020 13 345 14 325 17 342 29336 27685 11 045 6 017 14 331 16 334 27685 25961 9 043 5 065 8 333 11 334 25961 24167 2 006 2 007 7 311 9 338 24167 22306 3 262 4 354 9 288 10 328 22306 20373 5 301 7 003 6 296 9 310 20373 18358 8 328 7 350 5 325 7 309 18358 16301 9 312 8 322 7 320 5 306 16301 14312 9 299 10 310 7 317 5 293 14312 12497 8 288 12 293 7 333 4 293 12497 10879 10 272 12 276 7 330 2 338 10879 9440 11 253 13 251 8 274 4 321 9440 8161 9 227 10 211 9 244 7 272 8161 7025 7 198 9 181 5 214 5 256 7025 6020 6 180 6 176 4 169 10 194 6020 5136 6 199 3 194 7 139 17 164 5136 4355 8 224 5*160 9 128 19 155 4355 3653 10 217 6*147 9 122 14 146 3653 3031 10 212 6 143 9 116 10 115 3031 2512 9 212 5 142 9 110 11 089 2512 2113 8 213 5 141 8 102 12 079 2113 1839 7 212 5 141 8 093 11 075 1839 1673 7*213 4 140 6*080 6*065 1673 1578 6*213 4 139 5*073 4*055 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography