DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 73.6 - - 72.7 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 10 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2265 - - 4337 - - 2828 - - 1876 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 63 - - 20 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 179 - - 167 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -926 - - -290 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 2505 - - 1869 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -434 - - -1570 - - -1693 - - -464 ODpotential blCL - - - 2013 - - 3149 - - 3272 - - 2043 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1480 - - 1420 - - 1730 - - 1570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 73.6 - - 72.7 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.0 - - 67.6 - - 69.4 - - 69.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 73.5 - - 73.0 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 67.0 - - 68.7 - - 69.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 10 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96853 57 259 61 262 59 280 53 278 96853 89665 44 265 47 266 52 284 44 286 89665 84109 33 268 33 266 39 271 39 292 84109 79509 24 274 20 269 26 259 27 281 79509 75541 16 280 11 283 14 249 17 271 75541 72028 14 269 3 309 7 240 9 257 72028 68858 10 239 7 244 7 291 7 253 68858 65960 11 246 10 201 8 252 10 285 65960 63307 17 254 12 263 13 266 17 255 63307 60774 20 245 16 269 9 276 19 265 60774 58131 29 238 29 257 21 255 25 246 58131 55361 43 240 38 250 33 244 31 236 55361 52700 48 239 45 244 41 247 37 246 52700 50303 53 245 57 244 54 251 49 256 50303 48165 63 246 66 245 71 245 69 250 48165 46236 73 241 74 239 78 238 80 240 46236 44466 69 240 77 236 76 234 82 234 44466 42816 72 240 77 237 74 235 79 235 42816 41262 74 240 74 245 73 239 74 238 41262 39796 69 239 75 247 70 239 69 240 39796 38409 66 238 70 246 66 238 64 240 38409 37068 66 239 63 246 63 239 59 238 37068 35707 64 242 61 246 61 244 53 237 35707 34293 61 245 61 241 54 246 49 237 34293 32830 57 244 59 239 50 244 48 236 32830 31303 51 241 50 236 51 240 45 233 31303 29703 47 234 40 229 47 236 39 230 29703 28028 46 227 33 225 37 231 33 228 28028 26276 41 224 38 226 37 231 33 230 26276 24452 36 223 40 226 35 230 33 230 24452 22559 33 221 38 226 36 230 31 228 22559 20590 30 218 34 227 35 234 32 228 20590 18545 27 220 29 232 32 235 31 226 18545 16466 25 231 26 234 31 233 30 226 16466 14463 22 232 23 229 27 226 28 222 14463 12639 23 219 23 216 26 219 26 215 12639 11012 24 221 28 209 28 213 22 210 11012 9554 16 224 26 209 26 212 22 204 9554 8251 12 182 20 213 20 211 21 195 8251 7098 14 156 14 201 17 175 20 190 7098 6082 13 174 13 184 18 156 20 181 6082 5186 13 178 14 177 18 154 20 169 5186 4392 12 180 15 176 17 155 22 161 4392 3681 11 179 14 177 15 158 25 157 3681 3051 10 176 13 179 12 167 24 160 3051 2526 10 170 12 180 9 169 22 159 2526 2122 9 166 12 180 6 167 20 157 2122 1844 8 165 11 179 4 168 16 156 1844 1675 8*164 10*179 3 168 13*155 1675 1579 6*164 8*179 2*167 10*156 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography