DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 81.0 - - 78.0 - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 99 - - -2 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1670 - - 2181 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1828 - - 2223 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3055 - - 3566 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2354 - - 2440 - - 3033 - - 1522 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 254 - - 37 - - 62 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 16 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 189 - - 165 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 752 - - 696 - - -117 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2303 - - 2870 - - 1696 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 42 - - -224 - - -887 - - -166 ODpotential blCL - - - 3013 - - 3790 - - 2466 - - 1745 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1280 - - 1710 - - 2110 - - 1820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 81.0 - - 78.0 - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.8 - - 73.0 - - 74.9 - - 75.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 80.1 - - 77.9 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 72.5 - - 74.6 - - 74.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 99 - - -2 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1670 - - 2181 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 91 - - 98 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 18 - - 20 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98007 2 185 18 200 20 259 10 328 98007 90665 4 126 8 103 7 183 5 078 90665 85042 10 100 10 077 15 095 18 122 85042 80378 15 107 8 067 15 082 22 102 80378 76353 17 124 9 074 12 077 15 086 76353 72796 16 132 13 121 7 065 11 039 72796 69595 14 132 15 136 4 137 10 016 69595 66671 11 110 11 136 10 143 5 026 66671 63973 12 097 13 121 14 117 8 108 63973 61388 18 095 14 099 13 113 10 131 61388 58740 13 103 15 095 9 114 13 133 58740 56040 2 112 4 115 6 145 8 166 56040 53482 12 261 14 268 11 263 9 246 53482 51155 17 262 15 270 15 281 6 250 51155 49035 20 285 14 288 15 288 5 275 49035 47080 20 298 13 301 16 285 12 285 47080 45260 17 311 12 301 17 281 17 275 45260 43556 16 321 11 291 20 274 20 264 43556 41953 19 309 15 278 23 263 24 258 41953 40441 23 287 21 270 22 251 27 251 40441 39013 26 266 26 267 24 241 28 247 39013 37631 26 252 29 261 25 233 29 242 37631 36225 25 235 28 247 24 227 29 237 36225 34767 24 226 29 240 27 234 27 234 34767 33261 21 229 30 237 31 237 26 233 33261 31692 23 234 32 234 33 236 24 235 31692 30048 25 229 32 230 32 234 24 237 30048 28329 25 221 23 227 29 227 23 236 28329 26539 26 217 15 225 24 226 23 232 26539 24682 27 208 16 240 22 233 23 231 24682 22760 27 200 15 253 23 240 25 233 22760 20770 26 198 20 264 24 247 25 236 20770 18703 24 195 23 270 23 250 24 241 18703 16599 23 200 21 270 19 248 21 240 16599 14573 20 211 16 256 15 241 17 236 14573 12729 18 221 12 237 15 233 15 229 12729 11086 16 219 14 218 20 231 17 228 11086 9623 15 206 18 206 23 226 19 218 9623 8322 16 198 19 194 21 207 19 200 8322 7165 20 189 25 182 23 189 21 182 7165 6137 26 177 28 180 23 184 23 171 6137 5230 28 175 28 180 20 182 23 166 5230 4427 28 175 26 183 17 178 23 165 4427 3707 27 177 23*185 15 175 21 166 3707 3071 24*181 19*188 14 175 18 168 3071 2538 21*184 17 189 13 172 17 166 2538 2130 19 185 16 189 11 169 14 163 2130 1848 18 185 15 189 10 167 12 161 1848 1677 16 186 14 190 9 166 10 160 1677 1579 13 186 11 189 7*165 8*161 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography