DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.8 - - 27.6 - - 32.2 - - 29.5 - - 29.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 81 - - 249 - - 154 - - 32 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1113 - - 1758 - - 2210 - - 1983 - - 190 BL Depth Hcrit 1558 - - 2322 - - 2461 - - 1559 - - 1559 Hcrit BL Top 2498 - - 3143 - - 3595 - - 3368 - - 1575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 548 - - 503 - - 585 - - 460 - - 2066 Hgt.Variab. W* 184 - - 311 - - 288 - - 167 - - 66 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 31 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 14 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 017 - - 013 - - 005 - - 008 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -3 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -51 - - 163 - - 572 - - 913 - - -794 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2549 - - 2980 - - 3024 - - 2455 - - 2369 sfcLCL ODpotential -18828 - - -17163 - - 295 - - 466 - - -925 ODpotential blCL 21326 - - 20306 - - 3300 - - 2902 - - 2500 blCL maxRH 89 - - 92 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.8 - - 27.6 - - 32.2 - - 29.5 - - 29.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.9 - - 20.8 - - 25.1 - - 25.0 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.1 - - 26.0 - - 30.9 - - 29.2 - - 28.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 19.7 - - 24.0 - - 24.0 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 81 - - 249 - - 154 - - 32 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1113 - - 1758 - - 2210 - - 1983 - - 190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 68 - - 96 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96402 77 237 61 230 68 239 74 253 58 251 96402 89271 66 257 56 256 54 244 61 255 53 252 89271 83775 59 255 54 252 54 255 59 260 55 254 83775 79118 54 253 50 254 52 264 57 260 56 255 79118 75078 44 256 45 258 45 265 46 260 52 258 75078 71569 37 257 39 260 39 264 37 266 43 262 71569 68441 36 256 34 254 34 256 36 260 34 266 68441 65572 38 265 32 254 32 252 36 251 37 266 65572 62916 48 265 41 255 40 262 42 257 44 258 62916 60357 57 262 51 254 51 260 52 258 51 252 60357 57680 63 254 61 254 58 256 56 258 57 258 57680 54865 71 250 69 255 63 261 62 263 66 259 54865 52143 86 249 80 253 76 259 76 259 76 256 52143 49684 97 243 93 245 87 249 85 251 84 252 49684 47494 104 240 104 238 96 243 97 245 97 248 47494 45522 115 236 113 233 108 238 109 241 112 243 45522 43719 131 234 119 232 115 235 115 239 115 242 43719 42051 128 236 110 239 111 238 107 243 103 244 42051 40500 117 242 103 245 104 243 100 249 94 251 40500 39055 112 247 101 250 102 249 100 253 98 258 39055 37696 106 249 101 252 103 251 101 255 101 261 37696 36380 100 255 101 255 101 251 100 257 98 261 36380 35038 98 259 100 258 99 254 99 258 94 262 35038 33641 97 260 100 261 98 260 98 260 91 263 33641 32192 97 261 98 262 96 264 96 263 87 265 32192 30677 98 263 95 263 93 265 91 267 83 270 30677 29084 96 264 92 266 89 269 87 271 83 275 29084 27416 88 267 90 268 85 272 84 275 83 278 27416 25673 83 270 83 273 82 275 80 280 80 281 25673 23858 82 276 76 278 74 280 72 284 73 283 23858 21975 76 278 70 280 67 285 65 289 66 284 21975 20014 70 279 65 285 65 286 57 291 62 286 20014 17970 66 281 62 287 60 286 53 289 56 290 17970 15887 60 287 55 290 50 291 44 291 43 286 15887 13885 52 290 46 291 41 298 35 296 31 289 13885 12072 47 289 42 294 36 302 27 296 25 292 12072 10469 43 293 41 301 31 309 20 302 20 298 10469 9051 34 310 36 306 30 314 17 315 16 311 9051 7796 34 325 29 318 29 315 19 322 15 322 7796 6689 32 325 27 324 25 317 20 328 17 333 6689 5716 24 328 24 320 21 330 18 345 16 339 5716 4870 15 349 13 335 16 339 15 002 10 358 4870 4132 17 026 15 011 9*358 12 006 4 024 4132 3480 22 025 15*012 9*002 11*006 2 333 3480 2910 21*020 15*012 9 003 11*006 1 309 2910 2434 17*018 14 012 9 005 10 008 1 293 2434 2068 16 018 14 013 9 006 10 009 1 282 2068 1816 15 017 13 014 8 007 9 010 0 261 1816 1663 13 017 12 014 8 008 8 010 0 263 1663 1575 10 017 10 014 7 008 7 011 0*243 1575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography