DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 90.7 - - 88.8 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 166 - - -11 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3954 - - 5962 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4011 - - 5315 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5339 - - 7347 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1437 - - 2032 - - 7483 - - 3193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 431 - - 424 - - 54 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 161 - - 137 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -164 - - 468 - - -4932 - - -2350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5503 - - 6879 - - 6512 - - 3930 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3130 - - -753 - - -6072 - - -4678 ODpotential blCL - - - 8469 - - 8100 - - 7652 - - 6258 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 79 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 1410 - - 1470 - - 1400 - - 1900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 90.7 - - 88.8 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.7 - - 65.8 - - 65.5 - - 69.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 89.2 - - 89.0 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 64.6 - - 64.5 - - 68.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 166 - - -11 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3954 - - 5962 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 17 - - 17 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98666 37 092 28 092 34 102 25 080 98666 91194 34 096 30 103 28 081 30 080 91194 85471 39 091 34 100 24 086 30 076 85471 80743 30 088 31 086 26 093 26 078 80743 76682 23 094 28 073 27 083 22 091 76682 73110 20 093 21 085 27 067 21 094 73110 69879 16 086 17 092 21 067 18 067 69879 66901 12 083 14 075 17 081 17 056 66901 64142 11 088 13 071 14 078 16 058 64142 61491 13 064 10 069 10 079 16 061 61491 58750 13 036 9 023 9 016 15 051 58750 55931 11 347 11 339 13 329 14 352 55931 53254 9 309 11 300 13 311 12 347 53254 50841 14 290 18 283 24 300 24 307 50841 48682 17 288 18 278 24 286 21 274 48682 46722 19 290 18 276 21 282 24 300 46722 44922 20 301 23 291 27 295 32 294 44922 43260 22 299 31 290 32 293 39 287 43260 41706 27 304 33 280 32 291 45 285 41706 40239 34 299 31 287 32 290 42 291 40239 38848 32 301 27 298 34 297 39 301 38848 37499 29 297 23 297 31 301 33 308 37499 36124 21 295 23 275 27 297 27 297 36124 34693 6 305 22 250 24 295 25 308 34693 33211 7 263 12 238 15 293 18 323 33211 31665 10 264 16 256 17 283 12 303 31665 30044 11 273 10 256 13 264 10 324 30044 28351 6 291 6 239 6 227 5 337 28351 26583 5 004 1 041 4 147 3 045 26583 24741 7 064 4 109 4 113 5 047 24741 22830 6 076 3 104 5 074 7 054 22830 20842 9 066 6 070 8 063 9 060 20842 18772 8 069 5 065 6 046 7 047 18772 16661 3 085 3 015 6 017 7 037 16661 14627 3 157 1 238 6 003 6 044 14627 12776 3 169 2 169 1 306 3 067 12776 11130 4 210 1 224 1 325 4 076 11130 9667 9 205 7 188 3 186 3 086 9667 8365 12 190 10*173 8 174 3 119 8365 7205 13 182 10*169 9 165 4 138 7205 6174 12*178 10 166 11 152 8 133 6174 5263 11*177 10 163 13 148 11 135 5263 4454 11 177 10 160 13 144 14 143 4454 3729 11 177 9 159 14 142 18 150 3729 3087 10 177 9 156 14 141 22 153 3087 2550 10 175 9 155 14 140 22 153 2550 2136 9 175 8 155 13 139 21 152 2136 1851 9 175 8 153 13 138 17 152 1851 1679 8 176 8 154 11*138 13*150 1679 1580 7 175 7 153 8*137 8*149 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography