DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 87.2 - - 82.7 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 148 - - -30 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2687 - - 4547 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2793 - - 4164 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4072 - - 5932 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2280 - - 1361 - - 4944 - - 2231 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 369 - - 33 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 168 - - 148 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 686 - - 519 - - -2515 - - -661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3386 - - 5414 - - 4095 - - 2241 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -142 - - -677 - - -3998 - - -2743 ODpotential blCL - - - 4214 - - 6609 - - 5578 - - 4323 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 88 - - 89 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1530 - - 1070 - - 1210 - - 1360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 87.2 - - 82.7 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.1 - - 68.4 - - 69.7 - - 72.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.0 - - 86.0 - - 83.8 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 67.8 - - 69.4 - - 72.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 148 - - -30 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2687 - - 4547 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 51 - - 55 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 15 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97754 24 278 31 267 40 269 36 269 97754 90468 12 299 17 267 18 262 17 279 90468 84826 7 349 8 266 9 280 11 304 84826 80126 11 359 3 357 10 348 6 039 80126 76092 1 296 5 027 8 004 12 070 76092 72551 7 136 4 068 7 028 12 062 72551 69365 3 062 6 062 12 085 8 091 69365 66470 2 055 6 071 12 089 10 093 66470 63826 10 140 8 130 3 143 5 084 63826 61288 21 135 17 141 11 187 6 180 61288 58668 16 112 19 131 19 146 21 156 58668 55980 5 078 12 122 19 126 22 143 55980 53421 13 176 10 179 8 138 12 150 53421 51098 26 152 20 169 14 179 15 174 51098 48992 25 141 24 158 23 167 27 173 48992 47060 22 153 28 151 30 164 32 176 47060 45266 21 163 29 153 29 167 31 182 45266 43586 25 167 30 163 28 173 30 183 43586 42006 29 167 33 170 30 177 30 182 42006 40513 32 163 36 171 31 177 33 180 40513 39098 33 160 34 176 31 180 36 179 39098 37727 28 165 27 188 26 185 34 179 37727 36330 25 175 26 192 25 192 26 183 36330 34881 24 183 26 196 27 196 23 191 34881 33384 23 189 24 200 27 199 22 198 33384 31822 20 186 24 202 24 198 21 196 31822 30185 19 203 23 214 23 196 20 197 30185 28474 24 230 24 226 21 203 19 201 28474 26686 26 243 23 239 22 220 19 215 26686 24826 17 239 16 248 20 229 19 230 24826 22899 14 221 16 235 18 226 15 220 22899 20900 17 205 17 209 19 212 16 207 20900 18819 21 187 19 184 20 199 17 203 18819 16698 18 177 20 175 19 188 15 195 16698 14655 13 181 15 186 14 187 14 193 14655 12794 9 198 11 197 12 199 14 192 12794 11138 12 199 13 205 12 211 14 196 11138 9663 15 198 16 202 14 215 13 202 9663 8350 19 205 20 201 17 206 16 202 8350 7183 20 199 19 184 19 175 19 189 7183 6151 20 188 19*173 22 161 21 176 6151 5240 20 183 19*171 23 157 22 166 5240 4435 19*179 19 169 23 156 24 161 4435 3713 18*176 18 168 23 155 28 157 3713 3074 17 175 18 167 23 154 29 152 3074 2542 16 174 18 166 22 153 27 150 2542 2132 16 174 17 166 20 152 24 149 2132 1849 15 173 16 165 17 150 20 149 1849 1678 13 173 14 165 13*149 16*148 1678 1580 11 172 12 165 8*148 11*148 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography