DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.2 - - 86.1 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 202 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3552 - - 5237 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3724 - - 4837 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4937 - - 6622 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2053 - - 2551 - - 6618 - - 406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 423 - - 424 - - 30 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 17 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 154 - - 159 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -855 - - -195 - - -4089 - - -994 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5792 - - 6818 - - 5669 - - 2573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2419 - - -1174 - - -5139 - - -3723 ODpotential blCL - - - 7356 - - 7796 - - 6719 - - 5302 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 88 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 730 - - 990 - - 1350 - - 2530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.2 - - 86.1 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.4 - - 64.4 - - 66.4 - - 72.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.4 - - 87.4 - - 86.0 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 63.7 - - 65.9 - - 72.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 202 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3552 - - 5237 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 54 - - 30 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98166 4 149 5 162 6 209 5 319 98166 90781 11 087 5 126 5 084 7 051 90781 85117 13 058 9 076 8 060 13 068 85117 80427 12 051 15 076 9 065 17 074 80427 76385 11 075 14 072 12 051 14 063 76385 72819 14 088 12 068 11 059 11 053 72819 69603 14 078 10 057 10 056 13 041 69603 66662 12 068 8 054 10 046 11 044 66662 63955 10 054 8 045 11 034 12 050 63955 61344 5 035 7 346 13 010 15 031 61344 58638 4 015 6 327 15 342 18 001 58638 55861 11 004 11 348 14 332 15 342 55861 53234 17 343 18 338 23 330 22 326 53234 50880 16 342 18 324 22 314 22 301 50880 48754 17 346 14 315 17 315 17 303 48754 46797 21 322 13 310 22 315 20 308 46797 44975 17 285 19 299 22 307 29 307 44975 43270 16 272 25 279 24 298 31 308 43270 41675 21 272 28 266 27 279 28 293 41675 40186 31 264 29 249 29 249 28 274 40186 38789 29 250 26 240 30 244 30 258 38789 37437 25 234 24 243 24 244 29 242 37437 36061 20 221 20 243 23 251 29 248 36061 34629 11 212 17 257 24 265 30 257 34629 33146 10 217 19 274 19 286 26 273 33146 31598 11 224 19 273 15 282 21 279 31598 29972 9 212 11 259 13 265 14 295 29972 28270 7 254 9 307 13 282 13 277 28270 26494 10 279 11 302 14 303 13 254 26494 24650 18 255 14 276 10 257 17 250 24650 22742 12 235 15 250 14 225 16 249 22742 20763 9 219 10 225 15 233 13 259 20763 18699 10 210 10 225 13 247 10 268 18699 16596 9 199 10 222 9 288 8 300 16596 14572 6 229 6 247 11 332 11 329 14572 12733 7 317 8 350 12 342 13 353 12733 11096 3 296 11 360 9 021 13 026 11096 9640 7 062 9 017 8 067 7 070 9640 8345 9 057 6 052 5 087 10 133 8345 7193 8 048 4*102 3 118 11 147 7193 6167 2 052 4*141 3 156 10 157 6167 5258 4*197 5 146 3 162 9 162 5258 4452 5*198 5 152 3 161 9 162 4452 3728 5 198 5 154 3 161 8 157 3728 3085 5 199 5 157 3 162 7 144 3085 2548 5 197 5 160 3 160 6 123 2548 2135 5 196 5 162 3 160 6 092 2135 1850 5 195 5 162 3 158 5 067 1850 1678 5 195 4 162 3*157 4 054 1678 1579 4 195 4 163 3*159 2*050 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography