DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.5 - - 83.9 - - 87.8 - - 85.8 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 115 - - 262 - - 167 - - -5 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1663 - - 5650 - - 7036 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1910 - - 5290 - - 6119 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3048 - - 7035 - - 8421 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2205 - - 1649 - - 1918 - - 9672 - - 956 Hgt.Variab. W* 240 - - 475 - - 444 - - 28 - - 34 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 12 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 161 - - 158 - - 151 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -61 - - 1024 - - 103 - - -5777 - - -3956 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3109 - - 6011 - - 8319 - - 7357 - - 5536 sfcLCL ODpotential -852 - - -1077 - - -2301 - - -6722 - - -6397 ODpotential blCL 3900 - - 8112 - - 10722 - - 8301 - - 7976 blCL maxRH 84 - - 84 - - 90 - - 93 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 590 - - 210 - - 10 - - 100 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 76.5 - - 83.9 - - 87.8 - - 85.8 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.9 - - 62.7 - - 56.6 - - 59.0 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.3 - - 82.0 - - 86.4 - - 86.4 - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.4 - - 61.8 - - 55.5 - - 57.8 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 115 - - 262 - - 167 - - -5 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1663 - - 5650 - - 7036 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 36 - - 61 - - 72 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 11 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98018 25 081 24 093 18 109 9 125 15 087 98018 90721 23 095 15 082 16 081 17 070 24 065 90721 85068 28 090 15 105 14 074 19 069 23 060 85068 80364 23 090 22 101 21 102 19 096 15 074 80364 76309 17 100 22 093 20 095 19 102 15 104 76309 72719 13 102 16 080 16 088 19 087 16 100 72719 69476 13 101 12 100 14 086 14 080 19 085 69476 66508 17 093 10 114 12 093 10 094 18 083 66508 63775 15 083 13 130 11 097 9 125 12 086 63775 61143 8 073 18 113 11 134 9 139 7 108 61143 58430 4 006 8 063 10 108 6 104 3 059 58430 55650 8 347 11 331 10 330 12 343 6 039 55650 53025 17 333 18 296 18 298 22 308 24 309 53025 50686 16 329 15 294 20 289 24 288 24 296 50686 48580 25 317 18 307 20 291 20 290 22 307 48580 46643 33 311 24 305 22 302 21 303 22 306 46643 44847 39 307 29 303 31 297 26 298 25 307 44847 43168 43 304 35 295 34 288 28 290 30 300 43168 41591 49 296 35 285 34 281 28 285 34 289 41591 40106 52 292 36 280 35 272 29 281 37 281 40106 38704 46 291 35 278 34 268 30 277 38 273 38704 37350 42 285 33 275 34 268 32 274 40 262 37350 35972 40 285 31 273 34 269 31 272 38 255 35972 34541 30 299 30 277 35 271 27 279 32 257 34541 33058 18 306 25 281 36 281 21 289 30 263 33058 31509 18 305 22 300 19 286 18 288 26 271 31509 29885 18 297 17 288 19 273 21 287 19 281 29885 28185 14 298 14 273 15 257 21 286 14 291 28185 26415 9 279 11 296 10 273 12 277 5 257 26415 24576 10 263 10 304 7 311 10 301 2 288 24576 22665 3 305 9 314 9 337 7 329 5 009 22665 20678 3 019 6 326 8 342 9 352 6 014 20678 18612 3 114 3 270 8 325 10 352 6 036 18612 16507 5 119 4 202 8 306 12 342 8 024 16507 14480 5 084 5 134 2 243 12 336 14 357 14480 12640 7 067 3 082 2 091 4 002 12 335 12640 11016 4 076 6 216 5 153 9 147 1 067 11016 9579 9 171 9 167 12*156 11 150 3 143 9579 8295 14 164 17 158 13*157 11 149 6 158 8295 7149 18 157 18*159 13 157 10 148 9 163 7149 6129 19 159 17*159 13 158 9 147 13 162 6129 5228 18 169 17 160 12 159 8 147 17 160 5228 4428 17 175 16 161 12 158 7 148 19 158 4428 3710 16 176 15 162 11 158 7 148 20 157 3710 3074 15*174 15 162 11 158 6 151 20 154 3074 2541 12*168 14 162 11 159 5 150 18 149 2541 2131 10 162 13 162 10 159 5 151 16 141 2131 1849 9 160 12 162 10 159 4 152 12 130 1849 1677 9 160 12 162 9 159 3 153 8 122 1677 1579 7 160 10 162 8 160 2*151 5*118 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography