DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 62.6 - - 61.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 330 - - 258 - - 7 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2350 - - 2750 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2843 - - 3063 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3735 - - 4135 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 541 - - 599 - - 3099 - - 697 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 368 - - 50 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 33 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 039 - - 051 - - 148 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3783 - - -4481 - - -6005 - - -3892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7518 - - 8616 - - 7583 - - 5469 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15140 - - -14694 - - -15266 - - -15467 ODpotential blCL - - - 18875 - - 18829 - - 16844 - - 17044 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 39 - - 40 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 62.6 - - 61.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 30.9 - - 34.7 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 60.8 - - 62.0 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 29.7 - - 33.7 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 330 - - 258 - - 7 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2350 - - 2750 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96609 36 258 31 277 32 284 33 281 96609 89338 22 280 27 265 34 277 25 282 89338 83803 22 280 33 257 37 278 26 285 83803 79225 24 276 24 269 28 277 25 287 79225 75273 19 278 16 289 20 271 20 281 75273 71786 22 290 21 280 18 266 23 288 71786 68635 29 289 28 282 21 280 25 280 68635 65739 34 278 34 292 28 290 32 287 65739 63066 39 274 35 294 34 284 37 288 63066 60488 39 274 37 290 35 271 41 285 60488 57799 42 275 38 282 35 269 43 281 57799 54998 46 272 40 273 40 279 44 280 54998 52317 49 266 44 273 45 285 42 284 52317 49895 49 266 48 273 48 285 42 287 49895 47714 52 270 50 271 48 283 43 286 47714 45733 53 269 46 275 46 282 44 286 45733 43926 45 275 45 282 44 280 41 287 43926 42273 41 278 41 280 39 280 37 287 42273 40745 41 276 38 277 35 286 34 289 40745 39315 41 284 38 279 36 290 31 291 39315 37964 42 287 39 279 38 291 29 296 37964 36656 41 287 40 279 41 289 30 302 36656 35323 38 284 39 283 43 289 31 305 35323 33938 35 280 38 288 45 291 31 304 33938 32502 33 281 36 284 43 290 30 302 32502 31002 32 285 33 280 40 287 27 302 31002 29426 32 287 33 283 37 286 23 305 29426 27773 36 295 31 289 35 288 19 304 27773 26042 33 306 22 293 30 291 18 300 26042 24235 26 314 17 300 26 289 19 295 24235 22355 17 321 14 291 21 286 20 294 22355 20396 15 305 13 296 17 290 20 292 20396 18350 16 297 16 301 17 300 19 290 18350 16262 16 307 19 309 22 305 18 302 16262 14250 12 337 17 308 20 301 18 318 14250 12423 9 352 9 299 14 310 18 324 12423 10802 10 352 4 349 14 300 14 310 10802 9364 13 352 6 005 9 261 12 299 9364 8087 15 357 10 356 6 260 15 264 8087 6955 14 006 11 355 7 308 13 247 6955 5951 13 028 7 010 7 326 9 245 5951 5069 16 042 3 031 2 286 8 259 5069 4293 14*041 2*044 3 180 8 229 4293 3603 11*038 2*047 4 167 10 197 3603 2996 10 038 2 048 4 162 10 177 2996 2489 10 039 2 050 4 153 12 162 2489 2100 10 038 2 051 4 149 12 156 2100 1833 9 039 2 055 3 146 10 155 1833 1670 9 039 2 056 3*148 7 152 1670 1577 8 039 2 054 3*148 5*148 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography