DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 72.3 - - 66.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 141 - - -16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2430 - - 3789 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2705 - - 3561 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3815 - - 5174 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1083 - - 983 - - 3804 - - 611 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 338 - - 25 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 14 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 174 - - 109 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2141 - - -1976 - - -3582 - - -3652 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5957 - - 7150 - - 5161 - - 5230 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11126 - - -9979 - - -11829 - - -14150 ODpotential blCL - - - 14941 - - 15153 - - 13408 - - 15728 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 95 - - 88 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 72.3 - - 66.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 46.6 - - 49.8 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 71.0 - - 68.6 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 45.5 - - 48.9 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 141 - - -16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2430 - - 3789 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 78 - - 52 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97906 19 272 26 278 26 278 24 306 97906 90588 15 274 21 269 18 295 17 300 90588 84949 10 272 12 281 15 299 12 300 84949 80266 6 270 3 283 8 304 9 320 80266 76222 2 305 5 241 7 326 6 355 76222 72648 4 107 3 240 5 328 7 018 72648 69415 7 111 2 008 3 304 5 340 69415 66465 7 095 2 081 4 253 5 293 66465 63775 10 005 6 051 3 306 6 332 63775 61225 13 345 10 008 6 039 3 020 61225 58595 7 328 11 330 8 348 5 011 58595 55864 5 227 9 277 7 300 5 296 55864 53244 8 214 13 240 19 276 15 291 53244 50878 9 227 22 222 27 255 24 270 50878 48744 15 267 17 241 24 255 24 262 48744 46784 27 282 24 277 23 272 19 276 46784 44968 29 281 28 280 26 288 23 295 44968 43274 29 280 29 282 28 293 26 291 43274 41682 29 280 29 283 30 300 28 287 41682 40176 28 277 29 282 32 301 29 287 40176 38749 29 273 30 280 33 298 29 292 38749 37365 30 270 32 277 32 294 31 294 37365 35960 30 265 33 275 32 292 33 294 35960 34509 31 262 33 273 31 293 34 298 34509 33016 30 264 32 270 30 293 32 298 33016 31463 27 267 29 270 29 285 30 294 31463 29835 27 263 27 271 27 275 28 290 29835 28133 27 257 26 268 26 272 24 283 28133 26362 21 249 26 258 22 262 20 270 26362 24519 16 245 23 248 19 259 16 269 24519 22608 19 249 18 260 15 265 12 268 22608 20617 20 249 17 260 12 269 9 273 20617 18543 14 253 11 248 9 257 6 258 18543 16431 12 242 9 252 10 275 5 310 16431 14398 9 211 11 260 12 283 9 318 14398 12551 5 217 7 251 9 283 10 305 12551 10909 3 244 5 261 6 290 6 302 10909 9452 3 274 4 284 3 291 1 249 9452 8160 3 280 3 266 2 295 2 155 8160 7014 3 284 3 218 3 206 2 164 7014 6005 5 248 5*186 9 182 5 202 6005 5120 10 223 5*177 9 172 8 201 5120 4339 9*212 5 176 8 153 7 172 4339 3640 6*174 5 176 8 138 8 134 3640 3022 6 159 4 174 8 128 12 118 3022 2506 6 156 4 172 9 121 16 112 2506 2110 5 154 4 171 9 118 17 112 2110 1837 5 151 3 172 9 115 13 110 1837 1672 5 153 3 172 7*111 8*105 1672 1578 4 152 3 171 5*109 4*097 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography