DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.8 - - 70.3 - - 70.9 - - 66.2 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 60 - - 36 - - -7 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 1780 - - 2024 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 3165 - - 3409 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2321 - - 991 - - 1241 - - 2850 - - 691 Hgt.Variab. W* 54 - - 224 - - 201 - - 16 - - 22 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 16 - - 14 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 011 - - 352 - - 007 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -11 - - -9 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1005 - - -936 - - -797 - - -1445 - - -1476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2584 - - 4101 - - 4206 - - 3023 - - 3054 sfcLCL ODpotential -5035 - - -6727 - - -6623 - - -6012 - - -5437 ODpotential blCL 6614 - - 9892 - - 10032 - - 7590 - - 7015 blCL maxRH 97 - - 84 - - 68 - - 59 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 1120 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.8 - - 70.3 - - 70.9 - - 66.2 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.6 - - 57.6 - - 57.7 - - 58.2 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.8 - - 69.8 - - 70.5 - - 68.7 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.5 - - 56.2 - - 56.4 - - 57.2 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 60 - - 36 - - -7 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 1780 - - 2024 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97250 39 251 44 267 37 270 29 260 39 257 97250 89957 30 263 29 256 32 262 27 268 27 272 89957 84337 20 249 20 245 25 258 25 276 20 288 84337 79702 7 218 14 232 16 255 17 284 15 293 79702 75733 6 017 8 182 9 256 7 316 10 299 75733 72228 11 051 9 085 5 115 3 101 3 010 72228 69047 13 054 11 062 12 099 7 121 3 079 69047 66119 10 018 8 049 9 079 5 083 6 097 66119 63416 5 011 6 345 3 011 2 298 2 109 63416 60823 6 327 6 317 8 299 5 314 3 206 60823 58125 10 277 18 317 14 330 12 330 8 279 58125 55351 22 281 23 284 30 300 28 298 25 290 55351 52739 21 287 28 295 32 302 36 299 34 299 52739 50384 39 293 35 295 45 306 45 311 48 313 50384 48260 41 289 37 311 61 303 53 314 64 313 48260 46326 42 303 56 311 60 310 63 319 69 314 46326 44543 52 312 70 311 65 323 76 325 75 320 44543 42885 66 314 74 318 80 328 89 328 85 323 42885 41330 72 316 79 324 93 327 89 325 85 321 41330 39863 74 324 85 325 94 326 86 323 81 318 39863 38477 82 331 84 324 91 325 82 323 74 316 38477 37136 85 332 83 325 86 324 74 321 68 313 37136 35768 77 328 76 325 81 323 69 318 62 309 35768 34346 68 324 64 321 74 322 65 317 57 306 34346 32873 63 320 56 316 59 311 60 315 52 302 32873 31337 58 316 54 310 52 299 50 306 48 297 31337 29727 55 311 51 307 50 295 47 296 48 293 29727 28044 58 305 46 303 46 295 49 294 50 293 28044 26286 61 299 42 298 43 292 49 292 46 296 26286 24453 61 298 43 291 42 287 47 295 38 298 24453 22543 53 293 50 289 42 286 42 294 34 295 22543 20549 44 278 51 290 41 288 39 291 35 298 20549 18470 40 271 45 288 40 287 35 285 35 299 18470 16351 36 268 41 274 39 286 34 283 33 293 16351 14315 33 267 36 269 35 283 32 287 31 288 14315 12474 30 267 30 257 27 271 26 292 29 289 12474 10851 23 257 25 253 24 261 20 288 24 291 10851 9418 18 250 23 246 19 262 19 283 17 286 9418 8146 16 244 17 263 17 270 18 284 14 300 8146 7018 14 247 15 272 19 278 17 298 13 319 7018 6019 14 266 10 276 17 296 16 328 16 329 6019 5136 10 287 9 331 16 326 18 342 18 340 5136 4354 10 003 14 004 15 345 17 350 20 352 4354 3653 17 018 17*010 15*350 16 358 19 005 3653 3033 18 013 17*011 15*351 14 004 19 018 3033 2514 17 010 17 011 14 352 13 008 19 025 2514 2115 14 010 16 011 14 352 11 011 16 030 2115 1841 12 011 15 011 13 353 8 012 12 033 1841 1674 10*012 14 011 12 353 6 010 8 030 1674 1578 8*012 11 011 9 353 4*007 5*026 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography