DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 89.6 - - 86.6 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 182 - - 1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3410 - - 4495 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3548 - - 4267 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4795 - - 5880 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1226 - - 1683 - - 5497 - - 2198 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 393 - - 401 - - 61 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 169 - - 153 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 325 - - 397 - - -2816 - - -361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4470 - - 5483 - - 4396 - - 1941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3819 - - -2664 - - -4035 - - -1235 ODpotential blCL - - - 8614 - - 8544 - - 5615 - - 2815 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 80 - - 83 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1900 - - 2490 - - 3010 - - 2580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 89.6 - - 86.6 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.7 - - 70.5 - - 72.1 - - 73.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.8 - - 88.2 - - 86.5 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 69.4 - - 71.5 - - 73.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 182 - - 1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3410 - - 4495 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 21 - - 31 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98668 30 096 24 104 24 101 20 067 98668 91167 30 091 22 093 31 083 30 091 91167 85434 22 096 29 091 28 079 31 089 85434 80717 20 116 27 092 24 085 25 086 80717 76663 22 113 20 099 19 090 19 064 76663 73076 22 100 20 111 15 099 18 063 73076 69835 24 088 21 106 16 100 17 082 69835 66876 16 086 18 100 17 098 13 090 66876 64146 8 143 13 124 11 105 11 108 64146 61509 14 178 8 159 5 143 9 121 61509 58775 10 166 8 186 7 172 4 119 58775 55962 6 142 11 140 11 160 6 151 55962 53298 4 105 10 101 7 107 7 127 53298 50918 4 094 9 067 11 050 11 070 50918 48794 11 080 10 060 13 062 12 059 48794 46858 10 049 12 056 14 067 12 045 46858 45062 10 050 12 059 11 076 11 041 45062 43382 11 066 12 067 16 099 13 077 43382 41802 12 076 13 044 18 105 12 104 41802 40311 12 042 15 022 18 073 11 093 40311 38899 15 025 16 015 20 064 17 078 38899 37533 15 020 16 024 17 064 21 078 37533 36147 11 038 12 030 13 071 18 080 36147 34711 9 082 6 065 9 092 14 082 34711 33225 14 103 6 118 8 110 10 075 33225 31674 14 096 9 124 7 111 9 070 31674 30048 16 107 12 124 9 103 11 088 30048 28346 19 120 14 129 10 115 14 102 28346 26569 21 120 18 126 11 139 7 127 26569 24720 19 115 18 122 16 135 10 133 24720 22806 15 113 14 115 10 121 9 100 22806 20819 13 115 10 114 6 117 7 078 20819 18752 12 128 7 137 3 145 5 068 18752 16647 11 142 7 163 3 167 3 126 16647 14623 11 147 9 166 6 185 5 164 14623 12779 9 154 12 177 10 186 11 189 12779 11136 13 180 18 185 16 183 19 185 11136 9672 22 191 23 191 20 196 23 185 9672 8364 27 194 26 196 23 199 22 189 8364 7199 29 195 24 190 23 192 23 192 7199 6164 27 192 22*178 23 179 25 188 6164 5251 22*183 22*174 23 172 27 180 5251 4443 21*180 22 172 25 162 29 172 4443 3718 21 179 22 170 25 159 31 159 3718 3079 20 178 22 168 25 157 30 150 3079 2544 20 177 21 167 24 156 28 147 2544 2133 19 177 20 166 23 155 25 146 2133 1850 18 176 19 166 21 154 22 146 1850 1678 17 176 18 165 18 153 18*145 1678 1580 14 176 14 165 14*153 13*145 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography