DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 85.7 - - 83.9 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 168 - - 37 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4075 - - 3606 - - 2539 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4015 - - 3550 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5460 - - 4991 - - 3924 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2236 - - 2711 - - 2936 - - 2916 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 359 - - 203 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 160 - - 146 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 614 - - 627 - - 275 - - -140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4846 - - 4364 - - 3649 - - 1721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -616 - - -565 - - -939 - - -934 ODpotential blCL - - - 6076 - - 5556 - - 4863 - - 2514 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 86 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 1800 - - 2190 - - 2240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 85.7 - - 83.9 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.0 - - 71.3 - - 72.6 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 84.4 - - 83.4 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 70.5 - - 72.1 - - 74.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 168 - - 37 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4075 - - 3606 - - 2539 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 42 - - 43 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98425 35 110 23 104 17 061 23 050 98425 90914 27 096 28 093 26 080 26 093 90914 85212 25 084 28 093 28 090 28 083 85212 80506 25 082 29 093 26 089 24 081 80506 76440 18 078 23 087 22 082 24 089 76440 72858 17 096 19 084 17 083 22 084 72858 69633 20 105 20 078 19 091 19 083 69633 66685 20 109 20 080 22 090 20 078 66685 63987 21 116 15 094 19 078 20 069 63987 61415 19 120 12 111 13 083 14 083 61415 58760 14 124 13 149 5 139 7 090 58760 56026 5 111 8 186 9 191 4 214 56026 53427 4 357 5 299 5 263 7 213 53427 51074 20 300 22 317 19 318 13 312 51074 48945 28 285 28 284 29 300 26 301 48945 47003 30 280 37 267 37 287 35 284 47003 45205 32 280 36 267 39 280 34 280 45205 43518 31 283 30 270 36 280 32 285 43518 41928 31 287 28 276 34 283 31 290 41928 40426 31 287 29 281 32 287 30 299 40426 39010 31 289 31 287 30 291 31 303 39010 37640 33 294 32 291 28 291 30 295 37640 36244 32 301 29 299 30 295 29 293 36244 34796 18 299 18 295 22 304 23 303 34796 33299 8 241 14 240 16 299 11 297 33299 31738 10 218 17 236 15 255 14 269 31738 30099 16 225 17 255 15 257 14 261 30099 28386 18 211 15 264 12 279 9 272 28386 26598 20 192 14 265 12 295 6 334 26598 24740 17 197 13 259 12 294 10 351 24740 22818 9 210 10 252 10 284 11 336 22818 20827 4 268 4 230 7 262 6 309 20827 18760 2 326 2 187 5 255 5 317 18760 16653 6 148 7 186 7 193 4 304 16653 14617 8 119 8 154 10 167 4 205 14617 12759 6 118 3 132 5 170 11 194 12759 11104 8 193 3 184 2 181 15 187 11104 9634 16 202 10 161 7 178 16 180 9634 8330 20 184 16 164 12 180 15 175 8330 7172 22 178 18 171 14 180 14 175 7172 6144 21*178 18 172 16 172 15 172 6144 5236 19*177 18*170 17 164 17 168 5236 4433 18 176 18*166 20*153 22 161 4433 3714 17 175 18 162 20*149 26 155 3714 3076 16 175 18 160 20 148 26 153 3076 2543 16 174 18 159 20 146 24 151 2543 2133 15 174 18 158 19 145 22 150 2133 1850 14 173 17 157 18 144 19 149 1850 1678 13 173 16 156 16 144 15*148 1678 1580 11 173 13 156 12 144 11*148 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography