DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.4 - - 84.0 - - 82.4 - - 79.3 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 200 - - 152 - - 3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1897 - - 3637 - - 2038 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1812 - - 3641 - - 2382 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3282 - - 5022 - - 3423 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2031 - - 2511 - - 3442 - - 3750 - - 2558 Hgt.Variab. W* 229 - - 378 - - 289 - - 54 - - 25 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 17 - - 18 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 170 - - 159 - - 148 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 678 - - 359 - - -108 - - -784 - - -594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2604 - - 4664 - - 3531 - - 2363 - - 2174 sfcLCL ODpotential -188 - - -660 - - -1200 - - -1566 - - -1394 ODpotential blCL 3470 - - 5682 - - 4623 - - 3145 - - 2973 blCL maxRH 97 - - 90 - - 90 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 1150 - - 1440 - - 2110 - - 2610 - - 1850 CAPE Temp@2m 76.4 - - 84.0 - - 82.4 - - 79.3 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.9 - - 68.5 - - 71.7 - - 73.7 - - 72.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.5 - - 82.4 - - 81.0 - - 79.2 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.4 - - 67.7 - - 70.9 - - 73.1 - - 72.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 200 - - 152 - - 3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1897 - - 3637 - - 2038 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 58 - - 61 - - 101 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 15 - - 17 - - 19 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98889 35 089 40 089 36 089 40 089 36 089 98889 91491 44 096 31 093 33 098 29 087 33 086 91491 85769 41 094 33 106 29 098 28 105 30 074 85769 80982 35 093 36 109 30 095 30 099 30 085 80982 76850 28 088 34 106 30 091 32 088 33 099 76850 73221 26 088 29 102 27 094 30 087 33 097 73221 69976 22 089 25 091 24 099 23 089 27 090 69976 67021 18 092 21 090 22 104 18 079 19 076 67021 64293 14 090 17 093 19 101 16 061 20 052 64293 61659 17 095 17 098 18 087 16 072 20 047 61659 58927 28 076 23 094 19 079 21 085 16 074 58927 56108 33 065 33 082 27 082 26 081 21 092 56108 53429 29 060 36 069 33 075 32 073 31 098 53429 51033 27 067 32 065 32 072 34 068 40 084 51033 48877 27 066 34 070 32 073 31 072 40 080 48877 46902 21 070 31 067 34 070 28 084 29 086 46902 45082 20 104 17 059 18 054 21 077 16 098 45082 43390 27 118 10 168 1 261 10 064 7 114 43390 41806 28 115 18 161 11 167 6 147 8 216 41806 40317 26 100 20 136 16 173 13 202 19 228 40317 38913 19 105 17 128 17 185 13 212 25 227 38913 37555 11 108 13 156 15 193 10 231 27 222 37555 36171 11 092 14 153 10 201 10 223 28 219 36171 34733 15 104 15 144 12 206 10 207 24 221 34733 33245 17 108 18 131 11 190 5 217 18 223 33245 31693 13 115 16 133 9 191 2 239 16 214 31693 30064 12 114 12 148 7 189 3 342 11 216 30064 28360 9 105 10 149 3 171 4 002 2 221 28360 26581 7 090 8 138 2 130 3 015 6 027 26581 24729 7 082 6 123 2 133 2 075 8 036 24729 22806 9 112 5 116 2 124 3 101 8 051 22806 20808 13 148 4 134 3 112 4 100 7 063 20808 18730 14 153 8 133 7 138 6 150 5 045 18730 16614 11 142 12 103 13 138 8 172 5 103 16614 14576 8 135 12 104 15 123 11 168 9 153 14576 12721 7 155 9 104 12 126 14 160 12 163 12721 11072 10 153 9 138 13 141 12 161 13 148 11072 9610 14 145 18 157 15 158 13 163 17 136 9610 8311 17 148 23 161 15 167 16 162 20 136 8311 7156 17 158 23 166 16 169 17 159 21 138 7156 6131 19 167 21 168 17 167 18 156 20 135 6131 5226 21 169 20*169 18 164 18 154 19 136 5226 4424 21 168 19*170 18 163 18 152 17 149 4424 3706 19*168 19 170 19*161 17 152 17 161 3706 3071 17*168 18 170 19*161 16 151 17 167 3071 2539 14 168 17 170 19 160 15 150 17 168 2539 2131 13 167 17 171 18 159 14 150 15 169 2131 1849 13 167 16 171 18 159 12 149 14 169 1849 1678 12 166 14 171 16 159 11 149 11 170 1678 1579 9 167 12 170 13 158 8*148 8*170 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography