DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.9 - - 62.8 - - 66.4 - - 61.8 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 234 - - 185 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 475 - - 2942 - - 3550 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 3174 - - 3516 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1860 - - 4327 - - 4935 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2067 - - 933 - - 791 - - 3802 - - 737 Hgt.Variab. W* 124 - - 366 - - 359 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 32 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 061 - - 074 - - 071 - - 078 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3124 - - -2812 - - -2993 - - -4286 - - -3702 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4984 - - 7139 - - 7928 - - 5865 - - 5280 sfcLCL ODpotential -16240 - - -15337 - - -14734 - - -15689 - - -16150 ODpotential blCL 18100 - - 19664 - - 19669 - - 17267 - - 17728 blCL maxRH 58 - - 84 - - 79 - - 75 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.9 - - 62.8 - - 66.4 - - 61.8 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 37.4 - - 37.5 - - 42.0 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 61.0 - - 64.8 - - 63.5 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.7 - - 36.2 - - 36.3 - - 40.9 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 234 - - 185 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 475 - - 2942 - - 3550 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 37 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98025 14 261 22 269 25 264 25 282 23 286 98025 90757 13 258 19 263 14 291 15 284 17 286 90757 85122 14 271 13 243 13 291 8 246 9 281 85122 80404 8 292 7 255 10 276 9 256 7 304 80404 76335 4 296 8 301 7 300 11 303 6 340 76335 72746 8 250 5 268 5 265 11 322 7 001 72746 69507 0 313 0 146 7 186 5 295 4 275 69507 66550 5 054 2 030 3 139 1 320 4 241 66550 63834 4 034 3 195 3 260 8 339 5 003 63834 61243 10 016 5 030 4 218 8 297 13 355 61243 58581 14 349 16 348 7 353 5 255 8 312 58581 55848 18 308 21 315 22 336 15 335 10 330 55848 53249 20 269 22 283 24 302 21 313 15 319 53249 50898 18 284 20 278 22 285 22 291 20 297 50898 48767 26 299 21 302 20 291 22 281 21 282 48767 46809 32 299 27 307 24 296 22 281 20 278 46809 44993 36 296 31 301 27 298 22 285 19 280 44993 43297 39 291 33 294 29 294 23 289 18 280 43297 41703 43 284 35 287 30 291 25 292 19 277 41703 40198 45 279 40 281 33 286 29 291 21 278 40198 38775 46 276 43 273 38 280 34 286 27 278 38775 37401 43 276 41 266 42 274 38 279 27 279 37401 36005 40 279 38 264 41 270 36 269 29 281 36005 34556 36 280 34 264 38 265 36 258 33 269 34556 33065 33 275 32 264 34 260 35 252 35 256 33065 31517 29 275 30 264 32 261 36 245 36 252 31517 29892 22 279 28 277 31 267 34 250 33 255 29892 28187 22 280 32 281 31 271 29 259 31 259 28187 26405 24 251 36 273 29 266 20 272 25 262 26405 24548 19 254 32 265 29 266 21 274 20 266 24548 22619 12 260 18 262 24 270 16 265 15 270 22619 20615 9 259 14 269 11 270 9 232 8 238 20615 18530 8 241 10 263 6 254 9 225 7 194 18530 16409 6 231 8 226 8 237 6 241 6 197 16409 14369 4 225 7 211 7 218 5 226 8 227 14369 12515 6 184 9 187 9 207 7 228 8 242 12515 10869 9 155 10 173 10 204 8 235 7 241 10869 9407 4 156 7 160 9 192 7 253 5 252 9407 8109 4 319 5 149 7 176 6 256 4 277 8109 6961 5 325 4 154 5 159 2 234 3 276 6961 5956 5 349 2 140 3 117 4 114 2 201 5956 5081 3 002 2*081 3*092 7 109 5 161 5081 4310 2 058 2*075 3*084 7 110 6 151 4310 3620 4 089 2 076 3 077 7 110 7 145 3620 3009 6 097 2 073 3 072 6 108 9 138 3009 2498 7 098 2 074 3 067 6 103 11 131 2498 2105 7*091 2 074 3 065 5 096 12 124 2105 1835 5*063 2 074 3 064 5 090 11 121 1835 1671 4 060 2 071 3 062 4*084 7*118 1671 1578 4 059 2 075 3 063 3*078 4*112 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography