DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 61.5 - - 63.3 - - 64.6 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 14 - - 10 - - 4 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1561 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1576 - - 1215 - - 1389 - - 1653 - - 1209 Hgt.Variab. W* 53 - - 59 - - 53 - - 40 - - 49 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 101 - - 087 - - 088 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -314 - - -179 - - -204 - - -173 - - -8 ODpotential blCL 1892 - - 1757 - - 1782 - - 1751 - - 1586 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 50 - - 50 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 61.5 - - 63.3 - - 64.6 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.5 - - 60.8 - - 62.5 - - 64.0 - - 64.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 61.2 - - 62.9 - - 64.4 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.3 - - 60.6 - - 62.3 - - 63.9 - - 64.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 14 - - 10 - - 4 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97347 34 250 51 261 44 276 43 281 43 277 97347 90043 30 255 32 252 32 263 32 276 35 271 90043 84436 25 285 17 267 22 248 27 266 27 277 84436 79786 18 291 15 300 15 273 16 274 19 281 79786 75793 12 272 13 298 13 301 15 320 13 308 75793 72273 8 299 8 248 10 298 12 341 10 333 72273 69094 12 311 2 220 1 262 3 286 2 294 69094 66172 10 257 8 287 8 289 6 250 4 230 66172 63470 14 217 18 246 18 265 11 266 8 252 63470 60869 16 231 22 246 17 269 8 256 8 264 60869 58164 18 252 30 268 33 269 25 270 27 267 58164 55375 36 239 37 241 37 238 33 243 27 242 55375 52714 32 240 29 227 30 246 34 267 50 267 52714 50319 48 267 53 265 65 263 63 264 63 259 50319 48192 74 257 73 251 54 259 47 274 57 277 48192 46263 70 248 58 244 34 254 41 285 66 294 46263 44485 54 234 50 225 30 257 51 292 74 298 44485 42828 51 219 52 209 36 266 60 293 78 300 42828 41271 46 218 48 215 38 263 58 291 81 300 41271 39802 41 195 36 206 36 260 49 287 80 300 39802 38412 42 191 26 205 23 218 36 271 75 301 38412 37065 37 192 29 204 18 181 22 242 63 305 37065 35693 30 193 28 203 18 166 19 228 46 297 35693 34271 25 200 28 204 17 169 19 220 40 287 34271 32805 26 203 27 207 19 175 20 223 32 287 32805 31280 29 200 28 212 19 180 23 233 27 287 31280 29678 29 196 29 216 18 192 27 269 26 281 29678 27997 31 195 31 221 20 225 32 285 27 279 27997 26238 33 198 33 222 21 256 32 284 31 281 26238 24404 33 203 36 224 23 268 31 282 33 280 24404 22500 32 206 40 225 27 273 29 284 33 283 22500 20523 32 204 39 221 23 263 26 287 32 291 20523 18467 30 199 33 210 21 225 21 285 21 291 18467 16376 29 196 29 201 25 212 16 273 18 277 16376 14366 29 192 29 198 27 207 13 264 17 272 14366 12538 28 186 28 197 28 204 14 252 17 269 12538 10912 27 171 26 192 27 199 17 231 14 265 10912 9468 25 161 26 183 27 192 15 226 12 259 9468 8182 23 157 26 171 26 180 13 224 12 242 8182 7042 22 153 27 158 26 169 14 218 10 215 7042 6034 22 150 28 146 24 161 13 197 6 192 6034 5145 22 147 28 134 22 150 14 170 5 177 5145 4359 22 141 27 123 21 133 14 143 5 150 4359 3654 22 131 25 115 21 117 16 118 8 119 3654 3031 20 119 22 109 21 105 17 104 11 099 3031 2512 17 110 16 103 18 095 16 098 12 082 2512 2114 14 106 12 101 15 089 15 094 11 077 2114 1840 12 104 9 100 13 088 12 090 9 071 1840 1673 10*103 8*100 11*088 11 089 8 068 1673 1578 8*102 6*101 9*087 8*088 6*066 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography