DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 85.8 - - 83.6 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 205 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3303 - - 3794 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3440 - - 3746 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4688 - - 5179 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2354 - - 2287 - - 4879 - - 3047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 380 - - 380 - - 54 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 15 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 180 - - 157 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 205 - - -69 - - -2821 - - -2464 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4483 - - 5248 - - 4401 - - 4043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -515 - - -792 - - -3849 - - -5211 ODpotential blCL - - - 5203 - - 5971 - - 5429 - - 6790 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 1610 - - 1510 - - 1830 - - 720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 85.8 - - 83.6 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.2 - - 67.9 - - 69.3 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 84.0 - - 83.3 - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 67.4 - - 69.0 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 205 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3303 - - 3794 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 71 - - 44 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98322 18 101 15 113 14 130 3 003 98322 90880 21 080 16 089 13 078 14 052 90880 85179 19 080 14 068 17 046 27 057 85179 80501 17 079 12 052 15 045 24 059 80501 76494 18 070 14 064 14 049 16 059 76494 72950 15 060 18 066 17 052 14 057 72950 69741 13 064 16 074 12 053 12 044 69741 66791 11 083 12 073 8 059 11 033 66791 64058 11 082 10 069 8 068 9 039 64058 61427 9 078 6 072 5 047 6 042 61427 58706 5 028 3 279 8 339 6 026 58706 55909 1 267 5 316 11 333 13 348 55909 53253 7 304 9 014 11 330 14 323 53253 50866 8 283 7 341 10 308 16 310 50866 48734 7 290 9 333 11 325 13 312 48734 46785 11 332 13 348 10 340 16 325 46785 44983 21 328 20 342 20 320 23 298 44983 43311 26 322 25 324 20 314 24 281 43311 41748 24 329 26 320 20 321 20 290 41748 40272 24 338 24 321 21 321 25 297 40272 38871 22 344 22 320 20 325 26 300 38871 37513 21 350 20 321 19 323 24 306 37513 36130 21 352 17 331 17 316 20 316 36130 34692 19 349 12 336 14 308 21 318 34692 33203 14 339 6 286 8 318 16 300 33203 31650 5 286 8 275 5 280 7 304 31650 30025 5 211 6 260 2 237 4 239 30025 28333 7 190 4 239 3 214 5 188 28333 26565 10 162 7 191 5 210 4 218 26565 24725 14 147 8 175 6 195 6 214 24725 22816 16 134 11 153 9 174 8 187 22816 20834 12 126 9 134 10 152 10 167 20834 18766 10 123 7 147 7 138 7 145 18766 16653 7 130 5 171 3 174 1 124 16653 14615 4 172 1 187 2 287 4 348 14615 12762 4 151 1 094 4 237 3 290 12762 11113 2 173 1 124 6 222 6 255 11113 9647 1 237 3 149 4 243 1 312 9647 8342 1 248 2 183 4 341 5 059 8342 7181 3 230 3 204 4 034 7 097 7181 6153 4 216 3 186 3 094 9 125 6153 5245 5*204 4*179 6 156 11 136 5245 4441 6*196 4*178 7 159 12 141 4441 3720 6 192 4 178 7 159 13 142 3720 3080 6 191 5 180 8 158 14 145 3080 2546 7 188 5 180 8 158 14 148 2546 2134 7 187 5 181 8 158 13 150 2134 1850 6 186 5 181 7 156 11 149 1850 1678 6 186 5 181 7*157 8 146 1678 1579 6 186 5 181 6*157 4*144 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography