DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 75.8 - - 74.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 242 - - 23 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2920 - - 3992 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3176 - - 3983 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4305 - - 5377 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1070 - - 2007 - - 5711 - - 1879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 413 - - 75 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 13 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 013 - - 026 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -10 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 657 - - 376 - - -2917 - - -755 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3648 - - 5001 - - 4496 - - 2334 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -960 - - -584 - - -3691 - - -2769 ODpotential blCL - - - 5265 - - 5961 - - 5270 - - 4348 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 87 - - 83 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 230 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 75.8 - - 74.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.8 - - 59.3 - - 59.9 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 74.2 - - 74.0 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 58.3 - - 59.2 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 242 - - 23 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2920 - - 3992 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 50 - - 33 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98100 9 151 13 164 6 193 6 338 98100 90655 16 143 12 155 8 139 8 110 90655 84904 10 145 14 141 16 134 13 150 84904 80151 2 145 9 137 7 101 9 147 80151 76077 7 202 5 188 5 206 1 160 76077 72503 10 174 9 196 3 200 2 118 72503 69298 5 146 11 160 3 255 5 046 69298 66380 4 251 3 161 6 192 6 015 66380 63687 8 263 11 303 1 184 5 341 63687 61067 18 257 21 269 18 285 19 292 61067 58347 26 243 31 249 30 267 29 266 58347 55539 26 256 31 256 36 258 33 266 55539 52864 36 264 36 265 41 263 41 268 52864 50460 42 267 49 271 50 264 48 268 50460 48303 53 266 60 266 59 264 55 268 48303 46344 68 263 70 263 68 267 62 270 46344 44548 88 262 85 265 86 265 80 268 44548 42885 103 261 104 263 103 261 99 264 42885 41324 111 259 113 260 109 260 108 261 41324 39846 117 257 110 257 97 259 103 260 39846 38442 110 259 110 257 78 260 84 263 38442 37086 91 261 89 261 61 266 59 266 37086 35714 77 265 68 271 51 274 44 274 35714 34297 70 272 54 280 45 278 37 279 34297 32833 62 276 47 286 42 279 34 278 32833 31306 54 276 45 290 35 288 31 282 31306 29702 49 270 39 297 28 296 26 290 29702 28019 42 273 35 315 25 300 23 292 28019 26258 38 286 34 328 24 309 22 295 26258 24421 40 302 34 330 27 318 22 309 24421 22517 38 313 33 320 28 322 23 321 22517 20544 34 322 28 319 29 323 23 328 20544 18497 29 318 25 332 30 326 25 339 18497 16411 25 312 26 338 27 332 26 340 16411 14398 23 315 24 329 26 333 25 340 14398 12562 21 319 22 317 27 339 27 347 12562 10928 18 323 19 316 22 340 27 355 10928 9477 12 319 12 321 18 341 25 353 9477 8193 12 310 10 331 10 345 18 347 8193 7056 11 305 9 010 9 010 9 327 7056 6049 10 028 12*014 11 025 8 342 6049 5160 16 029 13*013 12 027 9 011 5160 4373 17*022 13 013 13 026 10 035 4373 3667 17*019 14 013 13 027 12 047 3667 3043 17 017 13 013 13 026 13 051 3043 2521 17 016 13 013 13 027 14 053 2521 2119 16 015 13 014 12 027 13 052 2119 1842 15 015 12 014 12 027 11 048 1842 1674 14 015 12 013 10*027 9*045 1674 1579 12 015 10 014 8*026 5*042 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography