DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 79.6 - - 75.6 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 170 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3005 - - 3386 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3215 - - 3378 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4390 - - 4771 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1736 - - 1788 - - 4346 - - 517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 367 - - 349 - - 29 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 045 - - 036 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -7 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 246 - - -310 - - -2066 - - -1215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4144 - - 5081 - - 3645 - - 2794 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -295 - - -2855 - - -3581 - - -5378 ODpotential blCL - - - 4685 - - 7626 - - 5160 - - 6957 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 84 - - 81 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 110 - - 180 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 79.6 - - 75.6 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.8 - - 62.6 - - 64.7 - - 63.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 78.1 - - 76.5 - - 72.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 61.7 - - 64.1 - - 63.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 170 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3005 - - 3386 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 37 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98163 7 354 7 178 11 182 2 287 98163 90719 10 143 13 186 5 219 6 035 90719 84979 18 117 9 161 3 133 7 065 84979 80245 14 101 8 132 4 081 5 121 80245 76181 9 034 12 111 6 107 1 094 76181 72596 5 040 11 103 10 096 6 056 72596 69374 11 098 6 050 15 062 11 099 69374 66439 9 054 2 076 9 036 12 053 66439 63761 7 010 3 040 3 087 6 042 63761 61197 7 023 7 340 4 317 6 335 61197 58527 6 360 7 333 10 311 11 340 58527 55786 14 314 14 304 21 306 24 303 55786 53185 20 296 21 301 27 291 31 296 53185 50824 31 298 30 295 31 283 38 285 50824 48699 39 295 36 288 35 275 39 267 48699 46756 37 279 39 280 36 273 42 270 46756 44959 39 268 40 261 38 267 43 266 44959 43277 39 266 39 258 39 264 43 260 43277 41698 40 266 39 261 39 266 43 262 41698 40207 41 266 38 261 38 267 41 263 40207 38794 39 265 38 258 36 270 41 269 38794 37425 38 260 40 254 36 269 42 271 37425 36030 36 260 40 251 35 265 40 268 36030 34581 34 270 33 254 33 264 39 269 34581 33080 33 290 29 271 33 275 40 279 33080 31515 32 295 30 289 35 289 39 288 31515 29876 33 292 31 287 35 293 36 288 29876 28166 31 293 33 292 33 293 33 288 28166 26386 27 295 33 291 29 298 27 308 26386 24542 29 299 30 283 26 288 20 314 24542 22635 22 293 26 283 24 287 21 305 22635 20656 17 296 23 297 22 306 21 305 20656 18591 16 306 19 318 20 323 21 326 18591 16484 14 338 16 348 17 357 16 004 16484 14456 7 033 8 026 13 028 13 045 14456 12617 9 098 4 081 8 046 12 053 12617 10987 6 084 4 113 4 064 7 038 10987 9538 5 051 4 076 3 099 5 007 9538 8248 6 042 3 074 1 087 5 355 8248 7105 4 059 4 083 2 134 2 031 7105 6091 4 083 5 072 4 113 6 100 6091 5196 4 093 7*056 7 092 11 098 5196 4403 4*088 7*049 8 076 12 092 4403 3690 5*081 8 045 9 063 11 083 3690 3059 5 068 8 045 10 053 11 071 3059 2531 6 065 8 044 10 047 13 061 2531 2125 6 063 8 044 10 043 13 050 2125 1846 6 063 8 044 9 040 12 042 1846 1676 6 063 7 044 7 038 8*034 1676 1579 5 063 6 044 5*036 4*023 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography