DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.0 - - 86.6 - - 90.5 - - 89.7 - - 81.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 71 - - 252 - - 206 - - -6 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1969 - - 4505 - - 5971 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 4401 - - 5440 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3354 - - 5890 - - 7356 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1661 - - 2434 - - 2578 - - 7874 - - 2631 Hgt.Variab. W* 225 - - 439 - - 454 - - 55 - - 36 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 16 - - 15 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 171 - - 169 - - 146 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 792 - - 646 - - 548 - - -5510 - - -2789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2562 - - 5244 - - 6808 - - 7090 - - 4368 sfcLCL ODpotential -179 - - -512 - - -773 - - -6526 - - -5517 ODpotential blCL 3533 - - 6402 - - 8129 - - 8106 - - 7096 blCL maxRH 97 - - 86 - - 88 - - 78 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 2050 - - 1560 - - 1260 - - 780 - - 1140 CAPE Temp@2m 79.0 - - 86.6 - - 90.5 - - 89.7 - - 81.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.5 - - 68.7 - - 65.9 - - 63.9 - - 67.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.1 - - 84.8 - - 89.0 - - 89.7 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.9 - - 67.7 - - 64.8 - - 62.8 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 71 - - 252 - - 206 - - -6 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1969 - - 4505 - - 5971 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 44 - - 53 - - 13 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98861 40 095 48 095 42 101 39 102 38 086 98861 91439 37 104 35 101 39 095 40 091 40 087 91439 85716 41 098 34 098 38 103 34 085 40 091 85716 80965 39 089 37 096 36 105 32 088 35 091 80965 76883 35 086 38 098 32 098 29 088 32 084 76883 73290 30 086 34 097 28 096 26 090 29 077 73290 70038 28 094 28 104 28 095 26 097 24 076 70038 67049 26 100 25 112 23 095 27 095 21 085 67049 64289 24 105 21 109 19 102 25 092 21 096 64289 61630 21 096 20 101 17 105 19 081 23 096 61630 58886 18 084 16 087 13 107 12 067 18 073 58886 56078 19 069 13 062 12 095 7 074 13 048 56078 53416 18 058 14 064 15 068 8 093 8 049 53416 51021 13 064 14 067 18 054 11 085 7 085 51021 48873 10 079 9 060 15 055 9 071 5 063 48873 46914 8 073 6 049 10 052 7 061 3 013 46914 45103 6 048 5 050 9 050 8 054 5 020 45103 43415 5 027 7 063 10 049 12 046 10 030 43415 41832 6 030 10 062 11 046 14 047 13 021 41832 40340 9 037 10 054 11 048 14 065 11 025 40340 38932 13 040 11 052 13 058 17 077 10 051 38932 37572 15 050 13 062 16 062 19 076 12 069 37572 36189 17 057 17 067 18 060 21 067 15 056 36189 34754 18 054 20 067 18 053 21 056 17 050 34754 33272 16 062 17 063 14 048 19 043 17 047 33272 31729 15 083 12 068 10 035 15 030 15 040 31729 30110 16 092 10 088 4 031 9 010 13 033 30110 28414 15 088 9 095 1 139 5 338 13 025 28414 26642 11 073 8 083 1 191 6 314 13 027 26642 24793 10 060 9 064 3 069 4 350 13 029 24793 22870 10 065 8 053 6 056 6 022 10 035 22870 20869 9 080 6 051 4 044 6 009 9 047 20869 18786 6 088 4 067 3 069 2 029 7 044 18786 16666 8 197 3 278 2 041 2 026 2 102 16666 14629 14 225 5 263 2 084 2 212 6 152 14629 12783 11 223 6 217 7 184 2 211 6 128 12783 11138 9 191 14 182 12 213 9 220 3 195 11138 9676 14 175 19 172 15 191 14 196 9 230 9676 8373 15 172 18 176 16*178 16 179 9 218 8373 7211 16 163 18 176 16*174 15 171 6 172 7211 6177 17 161 18*175 16 172 15 164 9 141 6177 5263 18 168 17*173 16 170 15 160 13 142 5263 4453 18 170 17 172 15 168 15 156 18 147 4453 3727 18*170 16 172 15 168 15 153 25 150 3727 3085 17*168 16 171 15 167 14 151 27 152 3085 2549 14 165 15 171 14 166 14 150 27 152 2549 2136 14 164 14 170 14 165 13 149 24 152 2136 1851 13 163 14 170 13 165 12 147 19 151 1851 1679 12 163 13 170 12 165 11*147 15 151 1679 1579 10 163 11 169 10 164 8*146 10*150 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography