DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 75.3 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 62 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3268 - - 2255 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3288 - - 1893 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4653 - - 3640 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1694 - - 2271 - - - - - 1935 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 229 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 196 - - - - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -5 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1220 - - 691 - - - - - -49 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3434 - - 2950 - - - - - 1628 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 493 - - -241 - - - - - -1378 ODpotential blCL - - - 4160 - - 3881 - - - - - 2957 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 94 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 1340 - - 2100 - - - - - 2410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 75.3 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.9 - - 67.3 - - - - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 74.4 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 66.3 - - - - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 62 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3268 - - 2255 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 75 - - - - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98028 7 147 6 219 9 338 98028 90641 8 091 10 130 5 299 90641 84942 9 067 12 083 8 078 84942 80201 9 058 10 073 13 080 80201 76124 9 124 14 087 10 106 76124 72540 12 133 6 095 9 110 72540 69308 4 161 3 264 2 091 69308 66345 10 141 10 240 5 070 66345 63593 4 212 10 225 6 266 63593 60927 18 235 13 268 5 299 60927 58158 29 219 26 235 17 246 58158 55269 27 238 27 207 18 232 55269 52499 43 255 24 244 36 247 52499 50038 54 252 40 258 43 252 50038 47858 53 253 51 254 41 258 47858 45884 52 247 53 251 41 259 45884 44077 53 237 50 245 43 258 44077 42409 55 220 47 238 46 253 42409 40856 64 209 52 235 47 245 40856 39404 73 202 57 229 47 234 39404 38039 72 199 61 228 42 230 38039 36718 68 203 66 229 35 232 36718 35377 65 205 64 229 29 233 35377 33986 63 207 61 228 24 235 33986 32544 59 211 56 228 21 239 32544 31037 55 219 53 227 19 247 31037 29452 54 229 49 226 19 255 29452 27793 50 242 42 235 24 260 27793 26058 50 251 51 247 26 263 26058 24251 46 256 46 250 26 269 24251 22374 45 266 29 253 24 275 22374 20422 32 275 26 260 22 274 20422 18388 20 279 23 261 24 274 18388 16322 24 298 18 259 26 270 16322 14336 17 304 13 250 20 262 14336 12535 3 216 8 254 11 257 12535 10933 4 177 7 271 8 262 10933 9504 2 215 8 275 11 263 9504 8228 7 240 7 270 16 265 8228 7088 9 232 5 251 18 268 7088 6075 9 227 5 227 13 271 6075 5181 8*226 5 209 5 274 5181 4390 6*225 5 201 1 331 4390 3680 6 221 5*198 2 017 3680 3052 5 218 5*198 4 021 3052 2526 5 217 5 196 5 032 2526 2123 5 215 5 196 6 050 2123 1845 5 214 5 196 6 062 1845 1676 4 214 5 194 6*063 1676 1579 4 212 4 193 5*063 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography