DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.4 - - 48.1 - - 52.2 - - 46.9 - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 112 - - 359 - - 258 - - -46 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1150 - - 2378 - - 2897 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit 1559 - - 2878 - - 3159 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 2535 - - 3763 - - 4282 - - 1577 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 545 - - 602 - - 755 - - 2858 - - 1847 Hgt.Variab. W* 205 - - 386 - - 370 - - 21 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 35 - - 31 - - 27 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 001 - - 006 - - 001 - - 001 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 19 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -26 - - -18 - - -20 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -993 - - -2287 - - -4147 - - -6442 - - -4902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3528 - - 6051 - - 8430 - - 8019 - - 6478 sfcLCL ODpotential -13223 - - -12935 - - -15471 - - -18291 - - -17728 ODpotential blCL 15758 - - 16698 - - 19753 - - 19868 - - 19304 blCL maxRH 81 - - 60 - - 54 - - 29 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.4 - - 48.1 - - 52.2 - - 46.9 - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.9 - - 27.5 - - 21.3 - - 18.1 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 46.4 - - 50.9 - - 47.9 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.9 - - 27.1 - - 20.6 - - 17.8 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 112 - - 359 - - 258 - - -46 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1150 - - 2378 - - 2897 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96816 36 243 29 251 36 270 41 279 38 271 96816 89524 35 254 34 246 33 260 38 281 27 262 89524 83939 25 270 24 249 21 269 23 260 22 255 83939 79322 18 279 10 252 12 233 16 249 17 262 79322 75372 16 256 8 306 8 187 13 222 10 223 75372 71884 13 230 15 215 13 229 10 216 3 030 71884 68696 12 222 15 193 18 224 19 229 10 291 68696 65756 11 234 9 239 19 221 19 230 13 255 65756 63048 31 229 23 242 26 240 31 250 27 236 63048 60448 30 240 30 239 37 233 38 246 38 238 60448 57729 50 255 49 248 52 241 47 247 47 247 57729 54878 64 244 66 244 63 245 57 241 59 243 54878 52141 71 235 76 239 70 245 61 242 67 239 52141 49683 77 234 79 236 75 242 68 244 72 236 49683 47495 84 236 81 235 79 240 75 242 73 238 47495 45531 93 235 92 235 88 239 84 239 78 241 45531 43755 100 235 99 233 96 235 90 236 86 239 43755 42124 106 233 103 231 104 232 95 235 90 236 42124 40600 109 230 108 228 106 231 99 233 94 234 40600 39159 109 231 108 227 105 232 100 233 95 236 39159 37795 109 232 108 230 104 233 98 236 94 238 37795 36473 108 234 107 233 103 234 96 238 92 239 36473 35125 107 237 107 237 101 237 96 239 92 240 35125 33723 103 238 101 241 99 239 93 241 89 242 33723 32271 91 238 91 240 91 241 85 242 80 245 32271 30758 81 235 81 239 79 241 75 242 73 246 30758 29173 77 234 77 239 70 240 67 242 66 244 29173 27513 73 235 72 241 66 242 62 242 61 245 27513 25778 66 235 65 240 61 243 58 243 56 247 25778 23970 58 237 59 240 56 245 53 247 51 250 23970 22095 54 242 54 241 51 246 48 252 44 254 22095 20144 53 243 51 242 48 247 44 255 39 257 20144 18110 52 244 48 244 46 248 41 256 36 259 18110 16038 48 242 46 247 43 251 39 257 33 265 16038 14040 42 244 43 253 41 259 36 265 29 274 14040 12222 37 246 39 257 39 268 37 276 28 285 12222 10611 36 247 37 260 39 277 32 286 25 299 10611 9186 28 244 38 272 30 296 23 303 18 320 9186 7925 29 260 30 293 25 327 22 321 15 347 7925 6808 35 289 26 336 28 343 24 336 20 011 6808 5825 37 320 33 358 32 355 26 349 26 015 5825 4966 39 341 40 007 30*360 29 357 30 013 4966 4214 41 357 38*007 29*000 31 360 32 012 4214 3546 47 003 34*006 29 001 31 001 33 014 3546 2956 47*002 33 006 29 001 30 002 32 014 2956 2463 41*001 32 006 28 001 29 002 31 014 2463 2085 38 001 31 006 27 001 25 002 27 013 2085 1824 34 001 29 006 25 001 21 001 19 011 1824 1667 30 001 26 006 22 001 17*001 16 009 1667 1576 22 002 20 006 17 001 12*001 9*009 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography