DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 88.9 - - 88.0 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 170 - - 5 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4417 - - 5987 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4348 - - 5357 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5802 - - 7372 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1503 - - 2646 - - 8218 - - 3156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 441 - - 430 - - 63 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 157 - - 136 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 362 - - 708 - - -4828 - - -2168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5440 - - 6664 - - 6408 - - 3748 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2845 - - -455 - - -5922 - - -4444 ODpotential blCL - - - 8647 - - 7827 - - 7502 - - 6023 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 79 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 640 - - 660 - - 740 - - 990 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 88.9 - - 88.0 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.8 - - 64.9 - - 65.2 - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.5 - - 87.5 - - 87.8 - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 63.7 - - 64.2 - - 67.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 170 - - 5 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4417 - - 5987 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 17 - - 1 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98901 39 093 39 102 30 103 33 070 98901 91394 39 102 35 108 29 097 28 086 91394 85626 36 099 32 108 32 087 34 095 85626 80848 32 098 28 102 31 086 33 086 80848 76731 25 103 24 091 28 094 30 077 76731 73114 23 114 18 080 26 090 22 089 73114 69877 23 115 15 100 19 077 19 095 69877 66928 19 115 17 115 10 072 15 076 66928 64206 16 114 16 110 9 114 10 059 64206 61578 10 136 10 099 12 127 7 094 61578 58847 13 172 4 133 6 154 5 105 58847 56029 12 171 7 172 3 213 2 348 56029 53350 8 162 5 203 3 192 2 256 53350 50958 12 133 8 182 5 190 6 217 50958 48824 12 126 13 157 10 164 13 188 48824 46882 6 115 13 142 12 146 12 159 46882 45091 3 064 6 114 10 129 12 127 45091 43422 5 062 6 086 9 118 16 119 43422 41852 8 038 7 075 10 112 17 112 41852 40367 15 041 18 075 13 094 17 105 40367 38960 22 047 20 069 18 086 15 103 38960 37594 21 046 13 063 13 094 14 113 37594 36202 15 055 10 074 13 102 16 118 36202 34756 11 081 10 095 13 106 16 124 34756 33260 14 099 11 104 12 106 15 124 33260 31700 14 107 10 108 9 109 14 120 31700 30064 14 107 10 108 10 107 12 118 30064 28350 14 108 9 113 10 103 10 103 28350 26559 12 115 8 125 8 109 8 085 26559 24698 8 111 5 139 3 104 8 030 24698 22778 5 086 2 154 3 063 11 018 22778 20791 3 048 2 020 5 042 12 006 20791 18726 4 055 4 065 5 030 9 009 18726 16621 4 095 5 125 0 003 5 041 16621 14590 5 124 6 134 3 144 4 158 14590 12742 4 150 5 150 4 105 8 151 12742 11099 9 167 11 169 6 175 8 147 11099 9640 15 165 13 168 10 182 5 153 9640 8343 17 167 13*166 11 169 3 147 8343 7186 16 171 13*163 12 150 6 115 7186 6160 15*172 13 161 13 144 11 120 6160 5251 14*172 13 159 13 141 13 133 5251 4445 14 172 13 157 13 140 17 147 4445 3723 13 171 13 155 13 138 21 153 3723 3082 13 172 12 153 13 137 23 155 3082 2546 12 171 12 152 13 137 22 155 2546 2134 12 171 12 151 12 137 20 154 2134 1850 11 171 11 151 12 136 17 152 1850 1678 10 170 11 151 11*135 12 150 1678 1579 9 170 9 150 8*136 7*148 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography