DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.7 - - 69.5 - - 70.6 - - 69.3 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 15 - - 20 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 194 - - 193 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 1579 - - 1578 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1294 - - 2175 - - 2396 - - 2237 - - 604 Hgt.Variab. W* 75 - - 66 - - 71 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 112 - - 124 - - 113 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -460 - - -633 - - -785 - - -55 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2038 - - 2212 - - 2363 - - 1634 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -2442 - - -1778 - - -1988 - - -1820 - - -2443 ODpotential blCL 4020 - - 3357 - - 3566 - - 3399 - - 4022 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 100 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m 68.7 - - 69.5 - - 70.6 - - 69.3 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.9 - - 65.0 - - 65.4 - - 67.1 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.1 - - 69.1 - - 70.1 - - 70.7 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.3 - - 64.3 - - 64.7 - - 66.8 - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 15 - - 20 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 194 - - 193 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 101 - - 101 - - 56 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97370 50 259 51 271 51 265 56 264 49 267 97370 90062 34 269 36 274 28 274 34 275 28 275 90062 84455 17 270 22 268 18 275 21 293 10 296 84455 79841 3 298 3 201 10 274 12 323 9 354 79841 75858 8 001 5 092 5 307 12 335 16 358 75858 72333 12 348 6 015 4 025 8 345 13 355 72333 69145 12 349 9 014 7 353 12 001 6 038 69145 66213 10 293 6 024 5 312 9 341 4 351 66213 63507 11 261 7 300 9 291 12 310 6 308 63507 60912 17 294 13 287 9 297 13 298 9 286 60912 58244 19 292 18 282 26 296 22 294 22 299 58244 55514 37 299 35 296 31 295 29 295 26 297 55514 52928 57 300 46 306 36 305 36 303 36 304 52928 50608 64 302 52 309 54 304 53 301 52 297 50608 48530 68 304 59 306 57 297 60 293 54 293 48530 46627 67 304 63 303 57 291 58 286 51 289 46627 44860 63 300 63 298 58 289 54 286 45 288 44860 43208 60 296 56 293 54 291 52 289 40 288 43208 41657 54 293 48 291 47 293 50 289 35 287 41657 40193 47 297 47 289 42 294 44 288 33 285 40193 38806 40 305 44 293 41 295 38 286 32 282 38806 37457 39 310 37 292 38 294 33 290 28 281 37457 36083 41 310 31 294 34 292 30 291 27 284 36083 34653 40 308 31 300 30 288 28 292 29 288 34653 33174 37 308 34 307 29 289 28 295 34 289 33174 31633 36 309 35 308 30 290 28 296 36 284 31633 30016 36 311 32 310 30 292 29 293 32 276 30016 28324 34 312 30 313 25 296 26 291 26 265 28324 26556 31 311 24 307 20 299 19 289 18 261 26556 24711 27 307 22 300 20 300 13 300 13 264 24711 22794 23 303 21 297 17 292 10 291 13 279 22794 20799 22 303 18 298 15 290 9 290 12 303 20799 18720 23 307 17 308 13 306 9 309 10 329 18720 16598 22 313 16 322 11 326 8 332 8 001 16598 14551 11 303 11 299 9 321 8 323 5 013 14551 12688 8 277 11 255 9 264 8 288 6 298 12688 11034 7 247 10 236 10 239 9 258 10 255 11034 9567 6 235 9 209 10 227 10 241 11 245 9567 8262 7 230 7 184 10 208 9 235 10 235 8262 7107 8 255 5 189 8 189 8 194 12 194 7107 6088 7 268 5 209 6 158 10 159 15 186 6088 5192 4 236 6 187 7 155 11 150 17 178 5192 4399 4 167 6 165 9 157 11 149 17 170 4399 3687 8 145 7 153 9 149 10 147 15 163 3687 3057 12 147 7 142 8 141 8 138 14 154 3057 2529 13 142 6 125 7 131 6 125 13 143 2529 2124 11 132 4 112 5 123 5 118 11 127 2124 1845 8 126 4 112 4 122 5 120 9 111 1845 1676 7 125 4*112 4 122 4*116 5*097 1676 1579 6*125 3*112 3*124 3*113 3*079 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography