DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 54.5 - - 58.0 - - 58.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 9 - - 0 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 192 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 1577 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1098 - - 1221 - - 2224 - - 2005 - - 2524 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 55 - - 36 - - 21 - - 22 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 121 - - 137 - - 140 - - 143 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4058 - - -2880 - - -2130 - - -569 - - -548 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5636 - - 4457 - - 3709 - - 2147 - - 2126 sfcLCL ODpotential -15412 - - -11276 - - -6947 - - -2042 - - -1647 ODpotential blCL 16989 - - 12853 - - 8525 - - 3620 - - 3225 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 10 - - 50 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 54.5 - - 58.0 - - 58.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 40.9 - - 47.5 - - 54.4 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 54.4 - - 58.0 - - 59.0 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 40.1 - - 46.9 - - 54.3 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 9 - - 0 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 192 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96469 36 263 49 275 42 270 41 270 44 281 96469 89255 33 259 28 266 35 275 34 269 30 277 89255 83714 25 250 22 252 34 264 29 264 22 278 83714 79105 18 257 17 257 29 257 27 262 23 269 79105 75135 20 282 15 264 23 263 22 253 22 262 75135 71637 20 281 22 265 22 255 21 263 25 252 71637 68482 24 268 25 261 23 262 22 280 22 249 68482 65586 26 250 26 264 27 273 30 287 17 268 65586 62906 23 264 29 263 33 274 32 279 26 280 62906 60332 30 285 27 257 31 268 33 273 36 273 60332 57674 36 293 29 274 31 268 39 269 43 268 57674 54924 41 285 37 279 40 264 47 268 47 267 54924 52279 43 280 45 277 51 269 54 274 52 270 52279 49877 54 284 58 280 61 274 62 276 63 270 49877 47712 63 285 69 280 72 275 72 274 75 269 47712 45743 69 288 76 280 81 276 81 276 84 272 45743 43937 79 292 82 284 88 282 89 282 92 277 43937 42266 88 294 89 288 95 286 96 285 99 281 42266 40708 92 295 93 289 98 287 100 286 104 282 40708 39243 96 294 94 288 97 287 103 285 110 282 39243 37860 96 293 96 287 98 286 106 283 113 283 37860 36520 93 291 95 286 99 285 106 283 111 282 36520 35158 86 288 90 283 95 284 100 284 105 282 35158 33746 73 284 79 279 88 280 92 283 98 281 33746 32292 59 283 69 275 81 276 84 281 89 281 32292 30787 54 282 62 271 76 274 79 280 80 280 30787 29216 52 279 58 271 72 275 77 281 76 282 29216 27570 51 275 53 269 66 275 73 278 73 280 27570 25849 47 273 49 265 56 270 64 277 65 279 25849 24062 37 269 43 262 50 265 53 272 54 280 24062 22210 31 270 38 259 45 264 47 272 47 280 22210 20281 26 277 34 258 40 266 40 278 41 281 20281 18267 25 280 32 266 34 273 36 278 32 281 18267 16209 26 269 29 274 29 279 32 273 30 278 16209 14223 25 264 25 278 25 277 28 267 31 272 14223 12413 20 264 21 283 19 278 25 264 30 263 12413 10798 12 266 20 274 16 274 19 259 29 255 10798 9362 16 254 28 244 22 243 19 240 26 246 9362 8090 20 216 26 224 28 222 21 226 27 219 8090 6962 12 213 21 197 29 207 27 213 35 205 6962 5965 9 184 20 173 27 187 32 196 37 190 5965 5088 14 156 22 167 28 170 34 176 36 176 5088 4315 18 152 25 168 29 161 35 163 35 165 4315 3623 20 147 25 163 25 155 34 157 34 160 3623 3011 21 133 23 154 22 149 30 151 30 155 3011 2500 21 124 19 147 18 146 25 146 26 151 2500 2107 16 121 14 141 15 143 22 144 22 149 2107 1837 13 121 10 138 12 142 18 144 18 149 1837 1672 10*121 9 138 9*142 14*143 14*149 1672 1578 7*121 6*137 7*140 10*143 10*149 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography