DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.5 - - 78.2 - - 81.2 - - 79.5 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 60 - - 101 - - 78 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 994 - - 3905 - - 4226 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 1542 - - 3567 - - 3644 - - 1543 - - 1542 Hcrit BL Top 2379 - - 5290 - - 5611 - - 1559 - - 1559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1855 - - 1851 - - 2681 - - 6284 - - 656 Hgt.Variab. W* 170 - - 327 - - 312 - - 33 - - 23 W* B/S 6 - - 15 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 197 - - 204 - - 198 - - 185 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - -8 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 236 - - 1962 - - 1441 - - -1986 - - -1378 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2143 - - 3328 - - 4170 - - 3545 - - 2937 sfcLCL ODpotential -1011 - - 587 - - 109 - - -3814 - - -3882 ODpotential blCL 3390 - - 4703 - - 5502 - - 5373 - - 5441 blCL maxRH 94 - - 90 - - 85 - - 65 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 470 - - 540 - - 680 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 72.5 - - 78.2 - - 81.2 - - 79.5 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.9 - - 68.5 - - 67.8 - - 68.7 - - 66.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.8 - - 77.2 - - 80.2 - - 80.1 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.1 - - 67.0 - - 66.1 - - 67.4 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 60 - - 101 - - 78 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 994 - - 3905 - - 4226 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 59 - - 39 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98178 31 092 26 095 29 103 23 108 17 084 98178 90791 27 095 23 105 23 098 23 095 29 087 90791 85087 21 095 19 108 17 098 19 084 25 091 85087 80357 19 089 20 106 15 112 13 101 16 099 80357 76298 15 086 16 100 14 116 11 125 10 109 76298 72726 8 089 12 092 10 106 13 113 9 118 72726 69505 7 113 8 088 7 092 11 080 11 113 69505 66556 8 118 4 120 3 089 8 043 13 106 66556 63838 7 103 8 150 4 177 4 345 10 089 63838 61230 8 103 6 123 10 156 6 217 8 060 61230 58543 10 091 8 110 8 120 10 165 4 082 58543 55786 9 053 8 083 7 110 8 155 3 219 55786 53181 9 353 7 007 3 047 5 157 9 252 53181 50845 14 322 13 316 10 310 5 304 10 262 50845 48739 16 309 16 298 14 291 11 304 13 279 48739 46807 17 305 16 292 15 285 15 305 20 293 46807 45015 20 301 18 292 17 287 19 307 23 291 45015 43338 22 300 21 295 19 291 21 304 23 288 43338 41762 25 300 23 295 22 291 22 303 23 285 41762 40274 26 302 24 295 23 290 23 301 21 281 40274 38867 27 303 24 296 24 288 23 300 19 281 38867 37506 26 301 21 297 21 285 22 300 18 288 37506 36123 23 297 17 291 16 276 19 292 18 290 36123 34689 20 292 15 276 15 267 17 275 19 284 34689 33208 16 292 14 264 14 259 17 268 19 277 33208 31663 12 293 11 245 13 248 15 260 16 273 31663 30037 9 306 7 238 10 237 12 252 12 276 30037 28332 8 315 4 255 7 242 9 237 8 264 28332 26547 9 326 4 323 4 265 6 249 7 248 26547 24684 11 338 7 352 3 301 4 255 5 275 24684 22748 11 348 7 355 4 311 3 273 5 294 22748 20737 7 009 3 350 5 287 6 284 6 306 20737 18648 6 018 3 356 4 317 6 295 7 311 18648 16522 4 012 5 347 6 346 8 332 10 324 16522 14481 5 022 10 348 13 347 14 343 13 343 14481 12632 9 002 10 326 11 323 14 329 13 344 12632 10995 7 303 10 283 12 281 11 313 11 328 10995 9548 9 264 10 274 11 265 5 296 3 285 9548 8265 9 282 9 289 8 258 3 248 3 166 8265 7122 7 296 7 288 5 240 5 213 9 206 7122 6105 5 281 4*262 5*231 7 203 13 200 6105 5204 4 261 3*226 5*207 8 197 14 184 5204 4405 4 247 3 214 5 199 8 193 15 174 4405 3688 7 228 4 204 5 197 8 187 16 168 3688 3051 8 215 4 201 5 196 8 184 16 164 3051 2519 7*205 4 199 5 197 7 184 15 158 2519 2110 6*198 4 198 5 196 7 185 13 149 2110 1827 5 197 4 196 5 196 6 185 11 145 1827 1656 5 196 4 197 5 195 5*185 8*144 1656 1559 4 196 4 195 4 196 4*185 4*139 1559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography