DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 50.4 - - 45.6 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 269 - - -34 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2446 - - 3768 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2914 - - 3829 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3831 - - 5153 - - 1577 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1013 - - 1847 - - 5279 - - 1957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 410 - - 24 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 031 - - 032 - - 024 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -12 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5457 - - -4112 - - -6218 - - -4273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9289 - - 9265 - - 7795 - - 5850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15647 - - -13348 - - -13728 - - -10433 ODpotential blCL - - - 19478 - - 18501 - - 15305 - - 12009 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 54 - - 62 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 50.4 - - 45.6 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.9 - - 15.3 - - 17.2 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 48.9 - - 46.4 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.0 - - 14.3 - - 16.9 - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 269 - - -34 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2446 - - 3768 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96291 10 319 10 321 23 008 31 031 96291 89280 6 096 13 063 17 055 22 069 89280 83845 8 096 6 114 6 161 10 069 83845 79291 3 130 5 150 8 202 8 355 79291 75330 6 211 5 228 4 289 4 342 75330 71808 8 180 9 233 10 268 14 311 71808 68627 3 309 8 248 11 269 10 273 68627 65693 15 268 15 264 14 252 5 291 65693 62950 25 263 26 270 23 266 24 277 62950 60297 32 267 32 272 28 271 33 269 60297 57540 44 271 41 273 34 276 39 276 57540 54681 60 263 57 268 52 275 56 277 54681 51946 72 259 73 264 71 267 67 273 51946 49479 84 261 87 263 85 262 78 272 49479 47265 96 262 98 261 92 262 88 270 47265 45253 101 263 101 261 98 264 95 270 45253 43405 104 266 105 265 105 267 104 271 43405 41699 110 269 110 268 111 270 107 269 41699 40108 115 268 115 270 116 269 97 272 40108 38618 119 266 121 269 113 267 98 278 38618 37223 120 263 122 266 105 268 102 280 37223 35882 118 261 115 264 103 273 102 277 35882 34521 115 259 112 261 111 275 95 273 34521 33103 109 256 112 257 117 271 86 272 33103 31632 102 258 110 255 114 263 78 280 31632 30100 98 259 104 258 99 261 73 287 30100 28503 91 255 97 263 83 269 71 293 28503 26846 84 255 91 262 80 279 77 296 26846 25127 75 258 86 257 78 282 80 293 25127 23344 70 261 82 258 74 282 78 287 23344 21502 67 264 79 261 71 277 74 288 21502 19595 63 268 74 266 75 271 68 293 19595 17617 59 271 66 270 78 277 69 289 17617 15608 56 275 58 269 66 286 68 292 15608 13687 51 278 51 273 50 282 48 298 13687 11948 42 279 42 279 46 284 46 300 11948 10402 36 283 34 283 36 286 36 313 10402 9027 32 280 27 279 23 294 38 312 9027 7803 22 273 13 282 9 333 32 311 7803 6720 11 264 5 344 12 031 21 329 6720 5766 3 054 14*037 17 034 16 007 5766 4928 15 050 16*037 21 033 20 028 4928 4189 18*041 17 034 23 031 23 030 4189 3527 19*034 17 032 24 030 24 029 3527 2943 19 032 17 031 24 029 25 026 2943 2455 18 031 17 029 24 028 25 025 2455 2080 18 030 17 029 22 026 22 024 2080 1822 17 030 16 028 18 025 16 019 1822 1665 16 029 15 027 15*025 13 019 1665 1576 13 029 12 027 11*024 8*018 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography