DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.0 - - 79.2 - - 79.2 - - 77.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 107 - - 268 - - 92 - - 18 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1616 - - 3067 - - 2092 - - 1785 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1874 - - 3330 - - 2244 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3001 - - 4452 - - 3477 - - 3170 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1116 - - 719 - - 3977 - - 3088 - - 2718 Hgt.Variab. W* 238 - - 393 - - 261 - - 152 - - 24 W* B/S 10 - - 14 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 152 - - 103 - - 097 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 6 - - -2 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 163 - - 490 - - -377 - - -43 - - -712 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2838 - - 3962 - - 3854 - - 3213 - - 2291 sfcLCL ODpotential -3020 - - -2271 - - -1569 - - -1307 - - -2573 ODpotential blCL 6021 - - 6723 - - 5046 - - 4477 - - 4152 blCL maxRH 87 - - 86 - - 89 - - 84 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 1550 - - 2110 - - 2460 - - 2780 - - 2400 CAPE Temp@2m 74.0 - - 79.2 - - 79.2 - - 77.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.6 - - 66.8 - - 67.4 - - 68.8 - - 68.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.9 - - 77.1 - - 78.2 - - 77.6 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.7 - - 65.7 - - 66.0 - - 68.0 - - 68.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 107 - - 268 - - 92 - - 18 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1616 - - 3067 - - 2092 - - 1785 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 44 - - 54 - - 37 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98232 15 126 15 121 21 110 18 083 18 088 98232 90813 12 075 17 125 10 111 13 074 16 058 90813 85093 9 095 14 107 15 085 9 102 16 072 85093 80346 13 113 13 083 17 081 14 070 14 091 80346 76277 16 113 12 076 17 077 17 062 18 073 76277 72704 14 098 10 113 8 069 14 059 20 054 72704 69475 15 094 10 133 7 149 4 040 14 049 69475 66496 6 116 5 127 9 173 4 136 5 088 66496 63741 5 082 4 084 3 175 5 115 6 115 63741 61088 5 268 2 265 8 270 7 009 7 070 61088 58314 13 235 13 232 15 232 16 244 10 273 58314 55440 21 249 21 245 16 246 20 245 18 265 55440 52707 28 253 26 257 22 262 25 259 27 268 52707 50253 28 249 30 257 27 259 27 261 28 264 50253 48057 26 248 29 255 28 251 24 260 29 260 48057 46070 26 257 25 249 24 244 20 260 28 256 46070 44256 29 260 19 250 19 244 18 263 23 259 44256 42582 28 248 20 255 17 250 18 268 21 273 42582 41020 22 238 23 249 18 255 19 269 23 280 41020 39550 20 241 24 241 20 251 22 265 25 279 39550 38164 23 242 23 237 21 246 24 257 28 272 38164 36824 25 239 24 235 21 242 23 252 27 261 36824 35459 24 242 23 233 22 236 20 252 24 259 35459 34043 24 249 21 241 21 231 20 258 25 271 34043 32582 24 249 21 251 19 233 21 264 25 274 32582 31063 23 241 20 248 18 241 19 263 23 281 31063 29478 20 232 19 236 17 246 16 264 25 288 29478 27826 14 232 17 226 16 240 12 278 25 287 27826 26100 12 258 8 199 14 262 11 282 22 293 26100 24297 9 239 4 208 13 281 14 302 17 316 24297 22423 8 198 7 252 13 290 12 307 14 324 22423 20475 5 208 2 286 9 312 10 301 15 310 20475 18452 3 048 5 038 8 330 8 272 6 319 18452 16397 8 064 7 047 9 349 5 274 2 015 16397 14416 6 022 10 017 9 353 3 296 5 035 14416 12610 5 015 11 004 8 002 6 028 7 029 12610 10997 5 005 8 007 8 020 7 028 9 026 10997 9557 6 360 8 022 5 042 6 011 10 031 9557 8271 8 019 8 056 3 101 5 002 10 046 8271 7124 10 038 11 076 4 124 3 052 9 049 7124 6106 10 039 11 074 4 122 5 087 8 048 6106 5208 7 068 6*078 5 119 6 092 9 073 5208 4413 7 093 4*144 5 116 8 093 12 093 4413 3699 7 126 4 151 6*113 9*095 14 100 3699 3065 6*134 5 152 5*107 9*095 16 102 3065 2536 5*131 5 152 5 104 9 097 16 103 2536 2128 4 125 6 153 5 103 9 097 16 102 2128 1847 4 123 6 153 5 100 9 097 14 101 1847 1677 4 122 6 153 5 100 9 098 10*099 1677 1579 3 123 5 153 4 099 7 097 6*097 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography