DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 83.1 - - 77.5 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 124 - - -19 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3178 - - 5775 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3235 - - 4973 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4563 - - 7160 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2596 - - 1531 - - 6695 - - 292 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 379 - - 24 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 168 - - 137 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1471 - - -1092 - - -3872 - - -2275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6034 - - 8252 - - 5451 - - 3854 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6987 - - -5231 - - -5883 - - -5949 ODpotential blCL - - - 11550 - - 12391 - - 7462 - - 7528 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 58 - - 75 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 83.1 - - 77.5 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.0 - - 52.3 - - 59.1 - - 59.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 81.9 - - 79.8 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 51.1 - - 58.2 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 124 - - -19 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3178 - - 5775 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98220 25 224 18 253 25 268 15 285 98220 90806 15 209 12 235 13 246 9 307 90806 85060 8 136 15 202 2 185 5 297 85060 80305 10 099 6 176 6 130 6 223 80305 76260 2 165 8 102 3 133 9 138 76260 72697 10 198 2 149 5 312 10 104 72697 69474 9 160 12 220 10 279 6 334 69474 66546 5 205 10 230 10 236 12 290 66546 63864 6 233 11 240 7 238 9 281 63864 61287 13 261 13 250 9 303 10 298 61287 58624 12 240 10 247 11 278 10 271 58624 55883 13 282 10 304 12 284 8 288 55883 53273 25 292 20 305 22 294 16 305 53273 50918 34 297 31 307 29 294 23 302 50918 48790 42 298 37 306 33 296 30 291 48790 46837 48 299 42 304 36 292 35 290 46837 45027 52 297 46 300 37 292 36 291 45027 43334 55 293 48 300 37 293 35 291 43334 41744 55 289 49 299 35 299 34 294 41744 40240 54 287 48 296 37 304 34 297 40240 38818 54 284 47 293 39 305 33 304 38818 37442 54 283 48 290 39 303 38 317 37442 36041 54 282 50 287 39 297 45 324 36041 34586 51 283 48 284 41 296 45 326 34586 33079 47 287 45 284 42 297 39 327 33079 31509 46 287 42 284 40 297 30 316 31509 29872 44 287 40 284 40 293 28 298 29872 28168 42 291 36 283 39 288 27 288 28168 26393 41 296 32 285 34 291 26 287 26393 24547 36 301 31 289 28 292 22 288 24547 22632 23 306 29 295 23 293 18 286 22632 20645 12 316 20 299 19 309 13 288 20645 18580 6 300 10 303 10 313 7 296 18580 16478 7 247 7 278 7 297 3 289 16478 14456 6 168 6 202 6 244 4 241 14456 12621 10 137 10 170 11 188 10 223 12621 10991 9 131 12 157 16 182 14 219 10991 9545 9 137 13 161 17 184 13 209 9545 8263 10 156 13*169 17 178 12 202 8263 7122 11 173 12*171 16 169 13 192 7122 6107 13 179 11 170 16 165 13 175 6107 5208 13*175 10 170 16 162 15 161 5208 4411 10*173 9 168 16 159 17 157 4411 3696 7 174 8 167 16 157 19 160 3696 3062 6 175 7 165 16 155 23 165 3062 2532 6 176 7 165 15 153 26 166 2532 2126 6 176 6 164 14 151 24 166 2126 1846 5 176 6 164 12 148 17 165 1846 1676 5 177 6 163 8 144 11*162 1676 1579 4 177 5 163 5*137 6*160 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography