DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 89.9 - - 88.7 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 210 - - 10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4406 - - 5372 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4332 - - 4992 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5791 - - 6757 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1900 - - 2324 - - 7859 - - 3339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 442 - - 68 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 155 - - 143 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 518 - - 182 - - -4686 - - -1171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5273 - - 6575 - - 6266 - - 2751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -404 - - -1229 - - -5487 - - -2628 ODpotential blCL - - - 6195 - - 7986 - - 7067 - - 4207 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 81 - - 84 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 1400 - - 1330 - - 1370 - - 2650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 89.9 - - 88.7 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.2 - - 66.3 - - 66.5 - - 72.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.2 - - 88.2 - - 88.5 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 65.0 - - 65.5 - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 210 - - 10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4406 - - 5372 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 24 - - 36 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98728 37 102 42 095 37 094 37 070 98728 91265 36 088 33 093 34 090 33 082 91265 85536 33 085 29 105 30 081 32 089 85536 80815 30 083 29 094 27 080 31 089 80815 76763 28 086 28 084 26 082 31 086 76763 73177 22 090 25 083 23 082 24 071 73177 69935 14 100 23 088 17 087 17 066 69935 66966 12 130 15 087 14 085 12 059 66966 64227 14 128 10 117 13 081 10 071 64227 61593 12 077 12 102 11 084 8 069 61593 58874 8 033 8 058 11 043 10 035 58874 56072 4 024 9 349 13 345 15 356 56072 53405 3 102 3 323 13 331 18 345 53405 51001 2 124 3 185 10 316 12 335 51001 48841 4 139 4 201 4 261 8 292 48841 46874 7 135 4 210 3 208 6 256 46874 45062 9 147 7 209 4 238 5 233 45062 43381 10 147 9 205 7 260 5 248 43381 41811 7 151 9 203 10 259 9 252 41811 40334 5 154 8 204 11 245 11 242 40334 38935 4 155 9 208 11 221 12 230 38935 37579 5 169 11 217 11 204 15 229 37579 36197 6 185 12 221 15 206 17 233 36197 34762 7 194 16 218 20 215 16 238 34762 33274 10 195 21 219 20 213 14 246 33274 31722 14 198 22 219 19 216 13 251 31722 30092 15 198 21 214 17 225 14 250 30092 28386 15 194 21 212 16 227 15 244 28386 26604 15 189 19 214 16 229 14 231 26604 24750 16 190 16 216 14 236 10 228 24750 22829 13 188 10 226 11 243 6 245 22829 20836 6 198 6 238 6 256 3 308 20836 18767 5 189 5 235 5 284 5 002 18767 16657 5 154 6 185 5 312 5 013 16657 14620 5 153 5 164 3 282 5 346 14620 12767 5 231 2 264 1 255 3 314 12767 11124 12 218 6 260 2 228 2 176 11124 9665 17 206 10 209 6 190 4 160 9665 8362 17 197 12 185 11 166 6 169 8362 7200 15 188 13*167 13 157 7 173 7200 6168 13*178 13*162 13 153 9 165 6168 5256 12*175 13 159 14 151 13 158 5256 4450 12 174 13 157 14 149 18 155 4450 3727 12 173 13 154 14 147 20 152 3727 3085 12 172 13 153 14 146 21 151 3085 2549 11 171 13 152 14 145 20 150 2549 2136 10 170 13 151 13 145 18 148 2136 1851 10 170 12 151 12 144 15 147 1851 1679 9 170 11 150 11*143 12 147 1679 1579 8 169 10 150 9*143 7*145 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography