DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 88.7 - - 87.0 - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 259 - - 21 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3069 - - 4439 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3385 - - 4348 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4454 - - 5824 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1187 - - 3466 - - 7084 - - 2903 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 414 - - 436 - - 73 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 113 - - 130 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -7 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3324 - - -1636 - - -4785 - - -1984 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7778 - - 7460 - - 6366 - - 3564 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6414 - - -3577 - - -6757 - - -4436 ODpotential blCL - - - 10868 - - 9401 - - 8337 - - 6016 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 83 - - 73 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 1020 - - 1560 - - 2940 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 88.7 - - 87.0 - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.4 - - 61.3 - - 64.3 - - 69.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 86.6 - - 86.6 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 60.3 - - 63.6 - - 69.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 259 - - 21 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3069 - - 4439 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 32 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98246 10 111 9 190 2 320 4 038 98246 90806 13 105 9 086 13 075 19 071 90806 85050 14 117 14 091 13 096 17 068 85050 80253 16 090 15 106 13 102 9 108 80253 76139 10 064 12 092 11 091 9 093 76139 72519 8 069 12 075 13 087 10 102 72519 69266 4 091 10 061 15 057 18 087 69266 66307 9 147 8 161 5 054 7 024 66307 63609 7 151 8 196 3 276 6 309 63609 61041 15 288 13 270 17 284 7 260 61041 58361 29 261 23 268 24 261 17 271 58361 55562 37 232 33 251 36 261 34 258 55562 52884 36 259 47 259 44 261 43 266 52884 50482 59 269 59 261 57 264 53 270 50482 48343 65 262 62 259 63 259 60 264 48343 46400 70 254 64 257 63 254 61 259 46400 44606 76 251 70 252 64 252 61 257 44606 42935 79 247 74 248 68 250 63 257 42935 41369 82 244 77 245 70 248 64 257 41369 39895 83 241 79 243 71 245 63 255 39895 38500 83 239 79 240 72 242 59 256 38500 37149 82 239 79 237 73 240 57 258 37149 35774 80 239 79 235 73 238 58 258 35774 34350 76 240 79 234 74 237 56 258 34350 32877 71 245 77 236 74 235 50 261 32877 31340 65 252 73 239 73 235 43 268 31340 29729 50 260 64 248 69 238 40 270 29729 28051 40 257 48 266 58 247 35 260 28051 26310 35 257 43 263 45 263 18 275 26310 24504 38 263 39 258 41 266 21 270 24504 22631 43 263 33 262 42 271 26 275 22631 20682 44 268 34 264 38 275 28 280 20682 18647 38 277 31 278 36 290 28 283 18647 16568 31 288 33 286 34 307 23 292 16568 14558 24 293 32 290 25 309 25 304 14558 12723 14 291 25 298 24 317 24 313 12723 11089 8 293 15 313 20 312 18 317 11089 9636 6 309 6 336 1 223 6 308 9636 8343 5 324 4 032 7 140 7 192 8343 7191 6 354 4 079 9 140 11 179 7191 6164 3 029 6*109 11 138 12 170 6164 5256 3*106 6*112 12 136 12 159 5256 4451 7*103 6 111 12 134 13 151 4451 3727 8 102 7 112 12 132 14 145 3727 3086 8 102 6 113 12 131 15 144 3086 2549 8 103 6 113 12 131 16 145 2549 2136 7 104 6 113 12 131 15 146 2136 1851 7 104 6 114 11 130 13 144 1851 1679 7 104 6 114 10*130 9*140 1679 1580 6 103 5 114 8*130 5*137 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography