DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.3 - - 48.7 - - 54.1 - - 48.5 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 227 - - 214 - - -22 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1725 - - 1723 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 2272 - - 2243 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1576 - - 3110 - - 3108 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 377 - - 770 - - 711 - - 1010 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* 67 - - 301 - - 293 - - 19 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 249 - - 250 - - 219 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -8 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3106 - - -3950 - - -4399 - - -3355 - - -3551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4682 - - 7061 - - 7507 - - 4932 - - 5128 sfcLCL ODpotential -17307 - - -16857 - - -15373 - - -13781 - - -17316 ODpotential blCL 18883 - - 19967 - - 18481 - - 15358 - - 18893 blCL maxRH 50 - - 40 - - 40 - - 48 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.3 - - 48.7 - - 54.1 - - 48.5 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.0 - - 23.8 - - 27.2 - - 32.9 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 47.2 - - 52.6 - - 49.9 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.0 - - 22.5 - - 26.3 - - 32.6 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 227 - - 214 - - -22 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1725 - - 1723 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 6 042 10 030 9 065 21 029 17 054 96166 89079 23 075 20 075 11 081 11 040 21 074 89079 83618 18 076 14 059 10 080 8 080 11 124 83618 79090 9 051 1 207 5 360 7 086 8 140 79090 75174 2 075 11 234 13 285 8 331 3 058 75174 71682 5 192 11 218 16 246 15 278 12 307 71682 68506 4 200 9 231 18 225 19 239 20 266 68506 65584 8 287 8 270 12 242 20 236 21 251 65584 62873 21 261 17 288 8 281 18 227 29 255 62873 60251 30 259 28 277 21 270 22 250 38 252 60251 57540 36 271 38 272 33 276 36 270 41 264 57540 54740 48 277 53 272 52 278 48 282 51 275 54740 52067 56 276 60 271 61 272 59 278 63 274 52067 49656 61 277 62 271 62 269 64 275 69 272 49656 47487 69 278 65 273 62 274 66 273 72 273 47487 45511 73 277 69 275 65 277 69 275 75 276 45511 43694 75 281 68 274 70 277 74 278 78 279 43694 42012 80 283 62 281 71 276 76 282 79 281 42012 40449 74 283 64 289 64 279 76 284 75 284 40449 38991 69 285 68 292 63 288 70 283 69 286 38991 37629 68 287 70 289 67 290 64 287 63 290 37629 36322 69 288 71 285 68 286 65 287 59 296 36322 34996 68 290 71 286 68 284 64 282 57 297 34996 33618 69 299 70 289 67 287 62 281 59 291 33618 32191 70 305 69 293 69 291 60 283 61 283 32191 30702 68 308 68 299 68 293 59 286 58 281 30702 29137 66 308 66 299 64 294 60 289 55 286 29137 27496 62 305 66 297 62 295 59 292 52 294 27496 25777 59 304 65 296 64 298 58 296 51 299 25777 23981 56 306 63 297 64 304 57 300 50 300 23981 22110 52 305 58 295 61 308 55 309 49 301 22110 20156 49 304 52 294 53 304 49 311 46 305 20156 18117 47 303 47 299 47 298 44 302 41 303 18117 16041 45 309 44 310 40 305 42 300 40 299 16041 14048 43 317 38 321 28 314 28 311 31 307 14048 12244 37 321 33 326 23 314 20 311 21 298 12244 10650 35 333 29 333 20 325 18 318 15 295 10650 9242 33 339 28 348 19 343 15 337 10 322 9242 7991 25 345 28 354 20 348 12 352 9 337 7991 6878 23 347 24 352 18 338 10 345 8 324 6878 5892 20 337 18 344 13 323 13 323 11 312 5892 5023 14 325 13 306 13 293 13 307 12 307 5023 4257 9 306 18 268 16 271 12 283 10 281 4257 3576 10 269 18*261 16*263 13 265 13 246 3576 2975 12 258 13*253 13*253 14 251 17 227 2975 2475 12 253 13 250 13 251 14 235 18 216 2475 2092 12 256 12 248 12 249 13 225 17 214 2092 1828 11 257 11 248 12 249 11 222 15 218 1828 1668 8 257 10 247 11 248 9 220 9*219 1668 1577 6*256 9 247 9 248 6*219 5*219 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography