DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 67.5 - - 74.3 - - 72.1 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 218 - - 242 - - -17 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 482 - - 2295 - - 5801 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2691 - - 5359 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1867 - - 3680 - - 7186 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 677 - - 3488 - - 1290 - - 6536 - - 1032 Hgt.Variab. W* 112 - - 334 - - 464 - - 39 - - 36 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 239 - - 225 - - 203 - - 172 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2484 - - -1337 - - -922 - - -6545 - - -1853 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4351 - - 5017 - - 8109 - - 8125 - - 3431 sfcLCL ODpotential -6078 - - -3189 - - -7050 - - -12226 - - -9962 ODpotential blCL 7945 - - 6869 - - 14236 - - 13805 - - 11540 blCL maxRH 57 - - 67 - - 52 - - 46 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 67.5 - - 74.3 - - 72.1 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 51.2 - - 44.3 - - 42.2 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.4 - - 65.9 - - 72.6 - - 73.0 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 49.9 - - 43.0 - - 41.0 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 218 - - 242 - - -17 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 482 - - 2295 - - 5801 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97226 13 346 11 295 12 324 23 336 26 350 97226 89952 18 032 13 020 12 006 18 010 24 015 89952 84396 21 031 21 042 16 052 15 040 19 030 84396 79737 16 051 15 080 13 091 9 068 11 065 79737 75690 11 122 9 115 2 108 4 106 8 124 75690 72114 12 170 7 159 8 213 9 218 7 171 72114 68891 16 215 10 250 9 226 13 219 9 216 68891 65948 26 242 26 247 24 247 22 255 18 240 65948 63246 28 247 31 248 30 245 35 257 26 256 63246 60654 31 259 38 266 39 258 43 263 41 265 60654 57968 47 270 49 271 52 267 55 265 56 265 57968 55179 60 268 63 267 65 268 67 265 68 263 55179 52509 66 267 70 266 69 267 71 265 74 264 52509 50094 70 270 73 268 71 270 75 271 73 269 50094 47915 74 276 75 272 75 274 83 275 79 275 47915 45926 81 278 80 276 80 276 87 276 86 277 45926 44094 89 280 87 278 86 277 89 280 89 280 44094 42402 89 282 89 279 87 281 87 283 85 284 42402 40838 85 281 87 281 88 283 80 282 77 283 40838 39383 81 280 82 286 80 290 73 283 70 279 39383 38018 76 282 77 289 74 298 72 286 67 275 38018 36699 68 285 75 289 76 297 73 288 65 275 36699 35357 63 283 70 283 77 293 74 290 63 277 35357 33959 64 282 65 279 76 292 74 292 64 281 33959 32512 62 283 64 281 73 296 69 294 64 285 32512 31000 58 284 59 286 64 292 62 294 60 287 31000 29415 54 284 52 288 56 286 57 292 52 287 29415 27756 51 284 48 287 50 287 49 284 49 282 27756 26022 47 284 46 284 47 284 45 278 49 276 26022 24214 44 285 44 281 46 280 44 277 46 276 24214 22335 40 288 42 280 44 280 43 278 42 281 22335 20382 37 288 39 281 41 281 38 281 36 284 20382 18350 36 288 36 284 36 283 33 285 30 288 18350 16279 34 294 32 288 32 286 28 288 26 292 16279 14281 31 301 28 295 27 287 24 289 22 292 14281 12460 23 304 23 297 24 285 22 285 19 284 12460 10840 15 319 16 290 21 278 22 275 18 292 10840 9399 11 344 7 287 14 268 20 261 22 270 9399 8125 7 360 5 192 12*205 13 211 23 235 8125 6999 5 354 6 181 13*198 13 184 23 208 6999 6002 4 355 5 194 13 199 13 180 21 186 6002 5121 1 316 8 226 12 201 13 177 21 168 5121 4341 7 232 12*230 12 203 12 176 23 159 4341 3642 16 230 12*228 11 205 12 175 26 158 3642 3023 20 231 11 226 11 207 12 174 31 157 3023 2507 20 233 11 225 11 209 11 173 31 155 2507 2111 16*237 10 224 10 210 10 173 28 154 2111 1838 11*239 10 223 10 211 9 173 22 151 1838 1673 10 239 9 222 9 211 8*173 16*150 1673 1578 8 239 8 223 8 211 5*172 9*149 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography