DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.4 - - 72.8 - - 78.8 - - 77.6 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 114 - - 219 - - 22 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 2305 - - 4126 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2412 - - 4051 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 3690 - - 5511 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1711 - - 1257 - - 1422 - - 5816 - - 2445 Hgt.Variab. W* 84 - - 272 - - 407 - - 75 - - 21 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 150 - - 161 - - 156 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -945 - - -111 - - -670 - - -3698 - - -403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2524 - - 3801 - - 6181 - - 5277 - - 1983 sfcLCL ODpotential -5785 - - -3886 - - -3761 - - -4872 - - -1960 ODpotential blCL 7364 - - 7576 - - 9272 - - 6451 - - 3539 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 81 - - 81 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 70 - - 0 - - 270 - - 1710 CAPE Temp@2m 68.4 - - 72.8 - - 78.8 - - 77.6 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.5 - - 61.3 - - 57.0 - - 59.7 - - 67.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 71.9 - - 77.1 - - 77.3 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.5 - - 60.3 - - 55.9 - - 58.8 - - 67.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 114 - - 219 - - 22 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 2305 - - 4126 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 97 - - 23 - - 24 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 11 - - 9 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98088 21 075 16 097 12 126 11 065 19 067 98088 90693 19 093 23 097 20 094 20 093 26 070 90693 84984 19 097 23 089 23 089 22 080 24 070 84984 80253 17 085 18 089 20 094 22 076 19 082 80253 76196 15 097 14 094 15 074 20 076 19 085 76196 72627 16 111 6 096 11 049 13 065 15 080 72627 69412 17 098 6 146 5 062 8 058 9 051 69412 66485 14 063 10 120 5 115 4 040 7 036 66485 63808 6 030 9 035 9 038 6 066 10 052 63808 61225 5 145 3 314 7 333 6 359 14 042 61225 58517 1 238 5 247 8 275 8 307 7 007 58517 55677 5 352 2 288 8 235 8 276 6 333 55677 52924 21 290 19 276 14 264 17 252 15 275 52924 50415 25 270 20 259 19 245 26 240 24 250 50415 48147 13 274 18 251 28 238 26 248 22 257 48147 46088 17 277 34 259 30 260 30 259 19 266 46088 44226 46 264 46 256 35 256 31 253 21 257 44226 42536 54 253 47 239 40 233 28 241 19 260 42536 40983 49 241 46 222 46 218 32 222 30 274 40983 39529 33 242 29 207 47 206 40 206 41 269 39529 38157 31 246 25 199 42 198 45 194 38 255 38157 36830 28 250 28 205 39 197 45 192 35 247 36830 35485 24 252 29 215 36 203 45 200 30 239 35485 34086 20 254 27 228 35 219 39 215 26 236 34086 32636 17 257 24 245 29 241 32 234 25 238 32636 31121 17 260 25 260 29 266 28 252 19 232 31121 29529 21 265 30 270 28 276 24 260 13 214 29529 27861 32 272 30 284 24 288 22 285 9 199 27861 26121 41 279 25 296 14 292 14 298 5 197 26121 24307 38 292 21 309 12 281 4 327 7 153 24307 22425 36 307 20 325 10 286 8 244 10 180 22425 20469 32 321 19 318 17 282 12 268 10 166 20469 18434 30 353 9 330 16 276 11 289 7 130 18434 16361 14 025 5 081 9 254 9 293 3 090 16361 14365 1 106 5 182 9 242 11 302 1 130 14365 12547 10 295 6 284 2 238 6 298 2 205 12547 10928 10 265 6 251 4 124 1 133 3 204 10928 9487 9 225 10 207 9 172 5 199 6 208 9487 8207 8 197 14 196 12 167 9 179 8 203 8207 7073 8 177 16 191 14 170 11 160 9 186 7073 6067 10 174 19 187 13*168 11 155 11 173 6067 5177 15 170 20 179 13*166 11 155 12 166 5177 4387 20 168 18*172 13 164 11 156 13 162 4387 3679 21 172 15*163 12 162 11 156 14 160 3679 3051 19 178 13 151 12 160 11 157 12 157 3051 2526 16 181 12 148 12 158 11 157 11 151 2526 2122 11 180 12 146 11 157 10 156 9 148 2122 1844 8 180 12 145 11 156 10 156 6 152 1844 1676 8*179 11 144 10 156 9*156 4*158 1676 1579 6*180 9 143 9 155 7*156 2*167 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography