DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 72.9 - - 70.9 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 160 - - 6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 2172 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1561 - - 2498 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2183 - - 3557 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 500 - - 670 - - 2493 - - 1305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 300 - - 55 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 060 - - 057 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -5 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -179 - - -200 - - -1800 - - -798 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2363 - - 3758 - - 3378 - - 2376 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8148 - - -5605 - - -7885 - - -8763 ODpotential blCL - - - 10331 - - 9162 - - 9463 - - 10341 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 92 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 180 - - 310 - - 700 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 72.9 - - 70.9 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 61.6 - - 61.3 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 71.6 - - 70.9 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 60.4 - - 60.4 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 160 - - 6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 2172 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 67 - - 64 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98032 2 310 4 296 12 307 18 359 98032 90604 3 138 2 243 8 006 11 349 90604 84863 8 177 9 172 4 315 6 322 84863 80120 7 205 2 291 7 213 10 278 80120 76053 8 261 11 297 12 244 15 270 76053 72472 16 261 16 283 16 268 12 279 72472 69239 18 223 14 266 15 271 13 283 69239 66278 14 210 17 233 17 269 13 271 66278 63552 15 277 18 229 16 262 5 236 63552 60946 21 252 20 239 19 266 19 257 60946 58264 19 251 23 257 24 258 25 257 58264 55467 42 255 42 262 36 267 38 260 55467 52784 58 249 56 253 54 254 57 257 52784 50371 68 250 68 252 67 254 68 256 50371 48210 83 250 85 251 80 253 80 253 48210 46253 92 247 97 245 91 247 95 248 46253 44461 96 244 100 243 99 242 104 243 44461 42799 95 243 101 246 101 242 106 243 42799 41242 93 240 101 249 101 245 105 246 41242 39772 92 238 96 249 99 248 103 248 39772 38382 91 239 87 244 92 248 96 249 38382 37037 88 239 84 241 84 244 85 245 37037 35672 83 237 84 243 80 241 77 239 35672 34256 79 236 80 243 76 240 73 237 34256 32792 73 241 70 242 73 241 72 241 32792 31263 67 246 57 244 70 241 68 246 31263 29658 62 248 58 244 65 243 62 247 29658 27981 59 249 56 245 61 243 59 245 27981 26231 56 246 55 245 56 245 55 243 26231 24406 53 244 56 245 57 245 46 241 24406 22509 47 243 56 246 54 242 38 241 22509 20540 43 245 50 248 44 240 33 241 20540 18497 41 249 44 249 34 256 34 252 18497 16422 38 242 44 249 29 275 41 274 16422 14423 30 228 42 248 24 269 39 283 14423 12598 32 249 40 249 24 254 31 282 12598 10969 31 259 39 250 26 243 23 269 10969 9515 28 258 32 251 33 245 22 245 9515 8217 19 244 18 236 23 218 28 234 8217 7063 10 242 12 235 17 187 19 213 7063 6045 5 225 4 216 9 176 15 178 6045 5148 2 322 2 075 6 155 14 162 5148 4357 4 348 7 062 5 100 10 127 4357 3651 7 013 9*059 9 053 11 089 3651 3028 14 024 9*059 10 049 12 072 3028 2510 16*024 9 060 9 052 13 080 2510 2113 15*024 8 060 9 054 12 092 2113 1840 14 024 8 061 8 055 10 096 1840 1673 13 024 7 061 7 057 8 096 1673 1578 10 024 7 061 6*057 5*091 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography