DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.4 - - 62.6 - - 67.1 - - 62.3 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 82 - - 103 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1396 - - 3615 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 3251 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2781 - - 5000 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 665 - - 2163 - - 694 - - 4058 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 - - 205 - - 302 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 233 - - 272 - - 350 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 477 - - 698 - - -1971 - - -922 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 2304 - - 4302 - - 3549 - - 2500 sfcLCL ODpotential -2401 - - -48 - - -48 - - -3425 - - -8373 ODpotential blCL 3979 - - 2829 - - 5048 - - 5003 - - 9951 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 86 - - 77 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.4 - - 62.6 - - 67.1 - - 62.3 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.9 - - 57.9 - - 53.7 - - 52.3 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 61.7 - - 66.1 - - 65.0 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.7 - - 57.1 - - 52.8 - - 51.6 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 82 - - 103 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1396 - - 3615 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 79 - - 45 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96191 20 253 19 238 23 259 23 249 26 254 96191 89015 19 249 18 219 25 241 24 253 20 244 89015 83537 21 235 22 228 20 239 22 251 21 244 83537 79002 24 225 28 242 20 257 26 254 22 262 79002 75081 28 245 31 245 26 257 28 265 26 259 75081 71611 29 259 32 252 32 253 29 263 27 259 71611 68469 26 269 28 260 32 255 32 261 32 264 68469 65599 29 259 29 275 34 260 35 261 35 270 65599 62961 31 263 28 280 32 260 37 258 37 260 62961 60404 36 276 37 277 37 274 34 270 37 281 60404 57745 44 279 46 271 50 280 48 284 46 282 57745 54985 48 274 48 268 53 272 54 274 51 270 54985 52322 49 271 46 273 52 273 53 272 51 265 52322 49894 53 270 57 280 58 275 58 278 54 274 49894 47704 58 270 64 277 60 274 61 277 58 277 47704 45705 61 270 63 275 60 273 57 272 59 271 45705 43856 59 268 60 274 58 270 52 270 59 267 43856 42134 54 268 56 267 57 268 51 271 59 271 42134 40532 57 265 53 260 56 267 51 273 54 273 40532 39056 63 252 54 262 54 266 50 274 44 278 39056 37690 66 246 61 254 52 264 46 280 40 279 37690 36380 71 244 67 246 50 264 41 279 39 298 36380 35054 76 241 69 238 50 263 34 288 47 315 35054 33680 73 242 66 242 45 265 37 308 50 318 33680 32255 68 249 60 251 39 280 41 316 45 314 32255 30765 65 255 49 256 38 292 37 309 36 309 30765 29197 59 263 42 270 39 289 33 288 29 292 29197 27553 56 271 44 285 39 283 34 267 32 277 27553 25829 49 271 44 287 39 283 37 269 35 278 25829 24031 41 272 37 273 38 290 36 284 34 289 24031 22165 37 274 35 274 35 295 33 297 31 301 22165 20227 34 273 32 280 30 284 29 308 25 310 20227 18212 32 271 30 283 28 284 26 294 16 325 18212 16156 30 269 27 279 25 283 24 294 15 307 16156 14173 26 268 25 270 23 276 19 297 14 309 14173 12369 23 273 24 265 22 269 14 284 9 285 12369 10766 21 282 23 265 22 270 14 278 15 267 10766 9341 19 287 21 270 22 275 12 282 19 261 9341 8073 19 286 20 279 21 281 11 295 15 262 8073 6948 18 289 17 292 17 287 15 311 10 281 6948 5955 15 273 12 299 9 283 13 320 8 336 5955 5084 17 232 10 258 5*273 7 329 12 008 5084 4314 20 226 13 238 5*272 6 331 13 012 4314 3623 20 228 13 235 5 272 6 333 12 012 3623 3011 21 226 13*235 5 272 5 335 10 011 3011 2500 18 223 12*234 5 273 5 337 8 007 2500 2107 14 217 11 233 5 272 5 339 6 002 2107 1836 9 209 11 233 5 272 4 343 5 357 1836 1672 6*207 10 232 5 272 3 347 4*358 1672 1578 4*208 8 232 4 272 3*350 4*351 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography