DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.5 - - 73.1 - - 75.9 - - 69.9 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 194 - - 111 - - -11 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 744 - - 3995 - - 4657 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 3886 - - 4053 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2129 - - 5380 - - 6042 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1598 - - 1222 - - 1395 - - 4954 - - 696 Hgt.Variab. W* 139 - - 384 - - 337 - - 21 - - 24 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 119 - - 131 - - 128 - - 081 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -594 - - 542 - - -252 - - -2848 - - -2116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2723 - - 4839 - - 6294 - - 4426 - - 3694 sfcLCL ODpotential -2279 - - -569 - - -4232 - - -4582 - - -4769 ODpotential blCL 4408 - - 5949 - - 10274 - - 6160 - - 6347 blCL maxRH 83 - - 85 - - 86 - - 94 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.5 - - 73.1 - - 75.9 - - 69.9 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.1 - - 57.4 - - 53.9 - - 56.1 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.9 - - 71.7 - - 74.8 - - 71.8 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.5 - - 56.4 - - 53.0 - - 55.4 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 194 - - 111 - - -11 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 744 - - 3995 - - 4657 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 42 - - 43 - - 75 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97615 32 250 38 266 30 279 30 285 22 278 97615 90191 16 254 20 259 19 264 18 248 18 259 90191 84528 8 293 9 231 15 240 8 246 13 259 84528 79872 5 266 7 245 8 235 8 300 5 283 79872 75873 1 219 5 253 3 211 5 296 4 320 75873 72342 2 001 2 221 4 144 6 235 4 343 72342 69162 4 310 4 222 5 180 11 200 4 288 69162 66266 6 283 7 215 4 228 5 190 4 235 66266 63608 6 216 14 211 9 246 7 262 8 242 63608 61050 6 178 13 211 12 239 11 237 13 229 61050 58393 11 221 14 230 16 235 13 224 16 230 58393 55643 22 202 20 235 27 222 25 231 23 222 55643 53008 25 211 33 235 32 228 27 227 30 230 53008 50623 36 220 41 231 37 246 44 241 50 238 50623 48482 37 220 42 232 54 241 54 235 59 227 48482 46525 52 243 54 233 55 239 53 238 53 226 46525 44704 80 241 63 232 62 242 63 245 62 244 44704 43003 91 231 74 228 76 234 76 238 84 246 43003 41418 87 227 82 221 85 224 79 229 70 245 41418 39933 86 226 81 224 80 220 81 222 54 239 39933 38533 80 229 71 225 55 213 77 223 40 238 38533 37183 62 231 44 216 41 199 54 226 30 267 37183 35813 28 219 37 208 39 203 48 213 31 286 35813 34390 16 207 40 205 36 214 47 212 24 239 34390 32917 17 203 38 206 37 220 42 214 24 220 32917 31377 22 193 37 211 42 219 25 209 24 223 31377 29763 33 179 37 206 43 211 23 232 20 220 29763 28079 33 187 33 188 36 196 28 227 26 209 28079 26324 28 195 27 187 26 186 30 192 49 190 26324 24496 25 190 24 199 23 194 27 187 42 185 24496 22598 25 183 24 199 22 202 29 192 32 173 22598 20620 22 194 23 198 21 205 25 195 25 170 20620 18551 19 207 21 203 20 211 21 199 21 188 18551 16435 16 220 18 210 17 222 13 223 12 200 16435 14394 10 233 12 207 11 212 10 234 3 185 14394 12542 6 229 6 212 5 215 6 216 3 162 12542 10907 4 203 6 172 3 183 4 204 3 151 10907 9460 6 184 6 122 6 105 5 141 3 133 9460 8178 10 150 12 129 11 134 10 155 7 193 8178 7043 14 133 17 135 14 141 15 155 12 183 7043 6038 15 145 16*135 14*138 15 150 13 172 6038 5150 17 159 15*134 15*134 14 140 13 156 5150 4364 19 155 15 133 14 131 13 129 14 139 4364 3660 19 144 15 131 14 129 13 120 16 126 3660 3037 20 130 14 131 14 127 12 113 18 118 3037 2516 19*124 14 130 13 125 12 107 19 113 2516 2116 16*120 13 130 13 125 11 103 18 110 2116 1841 14 119 12 129 12 124 9 098 14 107 1841 1674 12 119 11 129 12 124 7 091 10 104 1674 1578 10 118 10 129 10 123 4*081 5*100 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography