DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.5 - - 77.2 - - 83.8 - - 74.0 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 55 - - 199 - - 93 - - -34 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 472 - - 1266 - - 2932 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1914 - - 2717 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1857 - - 2651 - - 4317 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 393 - - 569 - - 1067 - - 261 - - 143 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 263 - - 275 - - 23 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 253 - - 314 - - 000 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - 6 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -420 - - -3016 - - -3770 - - -4075 - - -3960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2277 - - 5667 - - 8087 - - 5654 - - 5540 sfcLCL ODpotential -8272 - - -8768 - - -8405 - - -10296 - - -12259 ODpotential blCL 10129 - - 11419 - - 12722 - - 11875 - - 13838 blCL maxRH 85 - - 55 - - 43 - - 38 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 90 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.5 - - 77.2 - - 83.8 - - 74.0 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.6 - - 57.8 - - 53.8 - - 54.9 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.0 - - 75.6 - - 82.8 - - 76.8 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.1 - - 56.9 - - 52.7 - - 54.3 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 55 - - 199 - - 93 - - -34 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 472 - - 1266 - - 2932 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97098 35 271 37 259 29 252 43 256 42 259 97098 89756 38 254 42 259 43 261 45 268 39 270 89756 84139 35 249 38 253 46 258 39 272 34 269 84139 79505 28 259 24 256 34 250 33 256 32 261 79505 75502 23 271 20 264 25 254 29 247 30 252 75502 71953 22 255 20 263 19 279 22 261 22 257 71953 68756 23 249 20 263 20 284 20 273 19 257 68756 65839 20 257 23 252 25 280 24 287 20 282 65839 63158 19 268 26 266 30 278 29 281 30 286 63158 60586 23 286 26 264 28 277 31 271 31 276 60586 57917 31 280 29 280 34 285 31 277 27 278 57917 55152 36 277 40 283 39 285 34 294 28 284 55152 52511 38 276 45 278 45 280 41 293 35 285 52511 50135 37 272 46 272 48 274 47 283 44 286 50135 48001 31 281 41 270 45 269 46 278 47 281 48001 46051 38 292 40 283 45 281 44 282 46 280 46051 44248 45 290 45 287 45 284 42 283 46 281 44248 42571 47 284 49 284 45 289 42 286 46 284 42571 40999 46 282 51 286 48 294 45 292 47 287 40999 39528 48 289 53 292 53 294 50 297 52 292 39528 38148 54 297 57 296 54 291 53 297 55 292 38148 36818 57 299 57 298 51 290 54 296 54 292 36818 35466 55 298 56 297 50 290 51 292 53 294 35466 34065 52 294 54 292 51 291 48 288 51 289 34065 32619 50 294 51 290 50 290 38 287 44 285 32619 31112 49 295 48 291 46 289 29 293 32 284 31112 29531 48 297 42 293 40 287 29 299 27 289 29531 27876 47 297 34 298 32 282 30 292 23 290 27876 26145 47 297 31 302 27 280 30 283 24 289 26145 24340 45 297 30 301 28 283 31 282 28 287 24340 22466 41 298 31 296 30 286 30 284 28 285 22466 20517 35 298 30 289 30 286 29 286 27 286 20517 18486 28 289 28 284 27 290 27 287 28 289 18486 16414 24 280 27 288 26 291 26 288 28 290 16414 14414 23 289 26 292 24 296 24 288 26 289 14414 12590 24 298 24 294 20 304 22 293 23 291 12590 10966 24 301 22 292 18 305 17 295 20 292 10966 9523 22 299 20 286 17 296 15 302 18 295 9523 8236 21 293 18 275 18 292 16 306 16 303 8236 7088 22 288 16 265 20 285 15 308 15 295 7088 6071 21 288 15 267 19 281 12 323 12 283 6071 5174 22 282 15 282 16 294 13 341 8 298 5174 4382 23 268 17 295 11*314 15 350 11 342 4382 3673 23 254 17 291 10*314 17 355 18 007 3673 3047 22 238 14*270 9 314 18 358 23 017 3047 2523 21 230 11*255 9 314 18 360 24 021 2523 2120 18*229 11 253 8 315 17 001 22 021 2120 1843 13*229 10 252 7 314 14 001 17 017 1843 1675 12 229 9 252 7 314 10 001 12*013 1675 1579 9 229 8 252 6 314 6*000 6*009 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography