DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 88.6 - - 83.6 - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 180 - - -17 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4264 - - 5416 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4265 - - 4910 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5649 - - 6801 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2507 - - 2907 - - 6303 - - 2998 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 448 - - 413 - - 36 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 161 - - 134 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 556 - - 303 - - -2966 - - -496 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5093 - - 6498 - - 4546 - - 2075 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -145 - - -853 - - -4166 - - -1277 ODpotential blCL - - - 5794 - - 7654 - - 5746 - - 2856 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 78 - - 88 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 740 - - 640 - - 1020 - - 1530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 88.6 - - 83.6 - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.5 - - 65.2 - - 68.5 - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 87.1 - - 83.9 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 64.8 - - 68.4 - - 72.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 180 - - -17 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4264 - - 5416 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 12 - - 50 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98042 4 155 20 191 16 244 8 300 98042 90718 5 133 5 152 3 242 4 317 90718 85041 10 114 13 076 4 111 11 082 85041 80339 13 112 15 077 10 092 18 083 80339 76313 12 107 12 088 14 085 16 075 76313 72769 12 099 11 115 14 097 12 089 72769 69566 11 083 10 107 12 098 12 104 69566 66631 9 098 9 095 12 091 11 087 66631 63938 12 092 11 079 12 070 12 069 63938 61362 10 074 9 074 9 045 14 054 61362 58706 11 043 10 082 9 076 10 052 58706 56000 25 359 19 351 16 360 12 353 56000 53442 33 006 22 354 13 344 15 298 53442 51107 35 350 28 352 18 352 13 314 51107 48971 40 339 38 335 36 332 23 330 48971 47006 47 334 43 328 44 329 30 329 47006 45186 51 328 43 325 48 323 35 323 45186 43488 48 324 42 321 42 315 42 315 43488 41894 42 320 44 316 40 309 47 306 41894 40390 39 322 39 316 42 311 43 311 40390 38967 35 326 31 322 38 318 30 323 38967 37591 31 322 28 323 28 326 28 330 37591 36192 22 314 25 309 27 333 27 326 36192 34738 14 308 21 293 22 323 19 323 34738 33235 14 302 17 276 17 292 12 303 33235 31672 15 294 18 273 17 274 16 276 31672 30036 12 285 16 268 21 275 21 273 30036 28325 13 267 12 260 21 262 20 252 28325 26540 15 262 15 266 17 255 19 244 26540 24681 16 265 16 262 20 244 19 242 24681 22758 17 263 17 243 19 234 18 240 22758 20764 11 245 16 239 14 224 16 236 20764 18693 7 218 9 211 12 213 13 225 18693 16583 3 138 7 200 8 236 9 232 16583 14549 4 095 6 239 11 281 8 261 14549 12698 1 261 6 251 10 288 7 267 12698 11053 11 199 9 165 10 232 5 220 11053 9597 17 167 16 159 14 174 11 184 9597 8304 21 156 17 162 15 170 15 177 8304 7153 21 160 16*163 15 168 16 176 7153 6130 20*164 16*163 17 157 18 164 6130 5225 17*166 15 163 19 148 23 155 5225 4425 16 166 15 162 21 142 28 148 4425 3708 15 166 15 161 21 140 30 141 3708 3072 15 166 14 160 22 138 29 137 3072 2540 14 166 14 160 21 137 27 135 2540 2131 13 166 13 159 20 136 24 133 2131 1849 12 166 12 159 18 135 20 132 1849 1677 12 165 12 159 14*134 16 132 1677 1579 10 166 10 158 10*134 12*131 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography