DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 58.4 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 322 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1563 - - 1741 - - - - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2153 - - 2385 - - - - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2948 - - 3126 - - - - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 459 - - 414 - - - - - 1496 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 290 - - 338 - - - - - 54 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 31 - - - - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 017 - - - - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - -24 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 444 - - -648 - - - - - -2138 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2504 - - 3775 - - - - - 3715 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 249 - - -10844 - - - - - -11928 ODpotential blCL - - - 2699 - - 13970 - - - - - 13505 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1060 - - 690 - - - - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 58.4 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 47.4 - - - - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.8 - - 57.0 - - - - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 46.9 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 322 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1563 - - 1741 - - - - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 89 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97529 20 323 11 293 26 344 97529 90221 10 319 9 355 17 349 90221 84579 9 077 6 060 5 011 84579 79904 12 080 8 057 7 058 79904 75869 8 024 5 355 12 064 75869 72300 4 197 11 237 11 013 72300 69073 12 189 13 186 14 284 69073 66124 2 127 8 150 18 239 66124 63418 12 272 9 257 20 244 63418 60816 34 235 27 254 18 263 60816 58085 37 232 31 255 23 288 58085 55232 45 253 45 259 49 266 55232 52533 59 250 65 254 64 260 52533 50117 71 242 76 244 74 257 50117 47948 79 240 81 243 83 249 47948 45982 87 242 92 243 91 245 45982 44184 97 242 104 242 103 244 44184 42522 103 241 110 241 110 243 42522 40971 106 242 112 241 108 242 40971 39514 108 243 109 240 102 244 39514 38140 106 241 106 238 98 245 38140 36812 103 236 101 236 96 245 36812 35459 101 234 94 234 95 244 35459 34051 93 238 88 237 92 247 34051 32591 79 246 80 246 83 251 32591 31069 69 250 69 247 73 253 31069 29474 61 252 65 248 64 253 29474 27810 57 253 60 250 58 255 27810 26074 58 254 56 249 57 258 26074 24267 58 253 53 247 53 256 24267 22389 57 251 51 246 49 254 22389 20436 52 248 50 243 44 253 20436 18397 42 244 46 244 38 252 18397 16316 35 236 39 240 31 251 16316 14306 27 221 29 236 23 258 14306 12477 27 217 19 233 13 286 12477 10853 28 221 11 260 5 045 10853 9411 21 221 7 253 3 117 9411 8126 8 204 4 194 5 198 8126 6983 5 086 4 164 6 203 6983 5970 10 068 6 137 9 080 5970 5079 16 070 8 096 20 072 5079 4293 22 055 22 034 27 060 4293 3596 30 030 33*019 38 038 3596 2987 31*022 34*018 40 032 2987 2484 31*020 33 017 37 030 2484 2098 30 019 32 017 33 029 2098 1831 28 019 30 017 28 029 1831 1670 25 019 27 017 25 029 1670 1577 19 018 21 017 18*029 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography