DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 57.8 - - 54.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 54 - - -21 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 740 - - 1610 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2125 - - 2995 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 639 - - 730 - - 1840 - - 576 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 187 - - 22 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 071 - - 084 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3182 - - -3311 - - -4191 - - -4409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5308 - - 6306 - - 5768 - - 5986 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15068 - - -14643 - - -15496 - - -17270 ODpotential blCL - - - 17193 - - 17638 - - 17073 - - 18847 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 57.8 - - 54.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 36.3 - - 35.4 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 57.2 - - 56.0 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 35.3 - - 34.6 - - 29.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 54 - - -21 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 740 - - 1610 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 59 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96442 52 281 40 273 44 267 58 274 96442 89269 31 274 31 273 28 276 37 277 89269 83751 21 263 25 281 24 264 26 276 83751 79174 23 260 27 273 19 273 17 288 79174 75229 20 261 24 261 19 286 18 303 75229 71740 20 268 22 260 22 267 20 288 71740 68579 25 260 24 274 24 271 22 294 68579 65670 28 266 32 283 30 282 26 287 65670 62976 30 271 36 280 36 284 32 285 62976 60377 35 273 39 277 38 282 38 282 60377 57684 39 278 42 276 40 286 39 290 57684 54899 44 283 47 278 46 297 45 293 54899 52231 49 283 52 281 55 296 50 294 52231 49817 55 284 53 287 58 297 55 297 49817 47658 56 290 56 295 60 300 60 303 47658 45705 61 297 60 299 62 300 68 302 45705 43922 67 300 64 302 63 298 73 302 43922 42279 67 298 66 302 59 299 73 303 42279 40753 60 291 63 298 56 299 67 302 40753 39324 41 277 57 296 54 298 56 297 39324 37979 34 291 50 288 51 297 46 295 37979 36674 38 292 35 278 46 294 44 292 36674 35344 39 290 33 284 37 276 43 287 35344 33958 39 287 35 284 31 257 38 279 33958 32522 38 286 36 284 25 263 34 273 32522 31024 35 288 35 289 27 267 27 260 31024 29450 31 291 29 295 30 270 25 258 29450 27798 29 298 24 304 28 273 28 255 27798 26065 30 305 26 314 19 274 26 262 26065 24256 34 308 26 310 18 288 20 267 24256 22373 34 302 27 303 21 297 19 285 22373 20408 29 293 26 303 22 297 20 289 20408 18353 28 297 25 299 21 296 19 280 18353 16254 28 309 22 301 21 299 18 283 16254 14231 25 314 20 303 17 300 15 297 14231 12393 22 309 18 309 13 308 11 300 12393 10762 18 302 15 316 10 324 6 311 10762 9320 9 278 12 283 12 284 10 281 9320 8042 7 255 11 255 10 245 12 255 8042 6914 8 263 8 253 5 249 5 224 6914 5920 4 299 3 284 2 167 6 167 5920 5047 4 033 3 083 6 112 9 154 5047 4277 7 071 9 089 9 094 11 143 4277 3589 9 088 10*080 10 082 12 123 3589 2984 11 097 10*073 12 082 15 107 2984 2481 11*093 10 072 13 086 18 103 2481 2096 8*082 10 071 13 088 17 099 2096 1830 7 081 9 071 12 088 13 092 1830 1669 6 080 8 071 9 086 9 085 1669 1577 5 079 7 070 5*084 5*080 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography