DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 83.8 - - 77.6 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 138 - - -36 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4510 - - 4870 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4254 - - 4372 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5895 - - 6255 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1506 - - 1669 - - 4698 - - 2005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 395 - - 371 - - 34 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 163 - - 149 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 847 - - -533 - - -3254 - - -1493 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5048 - - 6788 - - 4833 - - 3072 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -610 - - -5342 - - -8106 - - -7327 ODpotential blCL - - - 6505 - - 11597 - - 9685 - - 8906 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 87 - - 82 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 83.8 - - 77.6 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 59.4 - - 61.8 - - 64.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 82.8 - - 79.0 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 58.6 - - 61.4 - - 63.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 138 - - -36 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4510 - - 4870 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 46 - - 26 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98129 21 290 20 276 20 291 22 297 98129 90728 8 220 11 239 8 293 20 314 90728 84986 6 125 5 142 5 019 15 012 84986 80274 12 081 16 077 8 072 10 075 80274 76249 10 045 12 065 11 044 6 094 76249 72703 5 122 6 068 9 032 4 059 72703 69520 3 130 3 248 3 024 5 058 69520 66622 3 313 4 250 2 211 4 087 66622 63956 4 257 2 310 3 303 5 055 63956 61402 6 170 1 284 4 333 8 045 61402 58770 2 221 5 318 8 344 12 015 58770 56068 5 251 4 275 6 277 6 324 56068 53495 10 321 3 265 6 256 5 271 53495 51161 20 316 11 309 10 293 9 296 51161 49045 25 305 15 313 18 322 14 322 49045 47100 24 290 18 321 21 325 18 336 47100 45297 23 283 22 318 22 319 22 334 45297 43614 23 292 20 307 20 318 21 336 43614 42032 23 296 16 289 17 317 22 335 42032 40536 20 287 17 278 13 311 21 330 40536 39118 17 276 16 274 14 288 17 323 39118 37743 17 275 18 274 16 273 15 317 37743 36344 20 276 20 268 17 264 14 270 36344 34892 18 286 22 261 18 256 14 264 34892 33388 20 277 24 258 20 258 15 258 33388 31816 24 267 24 250 21 255 17 247 31816 30164 24 255 24 238 22 243 20 241 30164 28435 23 251 23 244 22 240 21 244 28435 26628 18 246 20 248 19 254 17 252 26628 24750 15 232 19 245 18 248 17 241 24750 22810 16 226 20 237 22 236 20 241 22810 20802 18 223 22 238 23 237 20 247 20802 18714 22 222 21 237 18 238 18 245 18714 16585 20 225 16 229 16 233 15 234 16585 14535 12 226 9 220 14 235 10 223 14535 12673 7 238 4 220 7 230 10 214 12673 11021 11 207 11 206 8 206 13 194 11021 9554 18 194 18 189 14 202 18 186 9554 8255 24 191 22 174 19 181 22 177 8255 7105 24 185 22*166 22 165 23 167 7105 6090 22*179 21*164 22 159 21 164 6090 5194 21*177 21 164 23 157 20 162 5194 4401 20 177 21 163 23 156 22 156 4401 3689 19 176 21 163 23 155 26 153 3689 3059 19 176 20 163 23 154 28 152 3059 2531 18 175 20 163 22 153 26 152 2531 2125 17 175 19 162 21 152 23 151 2125 1846 16 175 18 162 17 151 17 151 1846 1676 15 175 16 162 13*150 13*150 1676 1579 12 175 13 162 8*149 8*150 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography