DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.7 - - 62.4 - - 61.0 - - 59.1 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 49 - - 98 - - -5 - - -12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 718 - - 1173 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2103 - - 2558 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 423 - - 774 - - 2237 - - 1421 - - 1364 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 203 - - 32 - - 30 - - 26 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 12 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 037 - - 038 - - 025 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -6 - - -2 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -570 - - -593 - - -791 - - -279 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2674 - - 3151 - - 2370 - - 1857 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -6655 - - -5092 - - -2041 - - -3161 - - -537 ODpotential blCL 8758 - - 7650 - - 3619 - - 4739 - - 2115 blCL maxRH 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 90 - - 170 - - 370 - - 410 CAPE Temp@2m 57.7 - - 62.4 - - 61.0 - - 59.1 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.6 - - 54.1 - - 56.1 - - 56.4 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 61.4 - - 61.2 - - 59.6 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.1 - - 53.3 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 49 - - 98 - - -5 - - -12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 718 - - 1173 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97151 50 263 48 256 48 252 47 254 49 257 97151 89767 39 276 43 265 39 260 40 271 38 271 89767 84125 31 269 35 275 30 268 36 275 29 272 84125 79506 25 259 26 268 21 272 26 284 18 288 79506 75550 17 250 21 240 20 254 21 286 15 298 75550 72038 11 228 18 245 18 272 17 285 12 290 72038 68862 8 191 12 237 14 272 15 263 12 275 68862 65954 3 293 8 234 7 248 13 248 12 272 65954 63263 14 291 13 279 11 315 12 283 15 294 63263 60667 19 277 18 275 21 281 17 286 14 278 60667 57960 17 268 14 279 21 262 23 283 15 283 57960 55152 35 269 35 272 34 272 35 281 31 271 55152 52487 45 260 46 264 49 264 49 271 40 269 52487 50093 60 258 57 258 57 261 58 261 46 268 50093 47936 71 257 63 255 64 259 62 259 55 268 47936 45972 85 256 75 258 77 261 79 260 74 263 45972 44173 102 257 92 258 88 253 84 250 85 253 44173 42507 110 257 107 253 96 253 79 249 81 250 42507 40948 106 256 109 252 103 253 77 251 77 249 40948 39482 103 257 104 251 100 253 78 253 76 249 39482 38099 99 257 102 251 91 254 74 254 74 251 38099 36760 96 259 99 251 84 254 72 254 73 251 36760 35398 94 258 93 251 79 254 71 253 71 252 35398 33986 92 258 86 252 74 254 70 251 68 252 33986 32527 88 258 81 254 72 255 68 251 67 254 32527 31006 80 258 76 255 74 256 69 254 67 256 31006 29411 70 260 69 256 73 255 69 256 66 256 29411 27743 59 265 62 257 65 253 65 253 64 254 27743 26005 47 264 56 256 54 251 56 249 59 250 26005 24201 39 261 46 253 45 248 47 247 49 246 24201 22334 34 254 38 249 38 246 40 245 42 246 22334 20390 32 248 33 246 32 244 35 244 35 245 20390 18364 29 242 30 248 30 244 31 243 31 245 18364 16297 23 244 27 248 29 245 28 251 27 244 16297 14300 17 236 19 242 23 248 22 255 24 246 14300 12478 18 223 18 238 19 246 20 244 19 243 12478 10858 17 214 22 224 13 217 19 227 18 222 10858 9417 13 214 18 217 13 186 14 210 20 208 9417 8135 10 224 11 213 11 168 10 178 16 175 8135 6999 9 225 6 197 10 167 10 155 16 148 6999 5993 7 230 5 181 9 161 11 146 20 149 5993 5105 3 227 5 164 4 144 11 136 24 145 5105 4322 4 088 6 129 4 091 11 121 23 133 4322 3623 8 077 7 094 12 065 10 082 21 102 3623 3008 11 070 12*047 15 054 16 054 21 062 3008 2497 16*039 13*039 15 047 19 045 20 047 2497 2105 16*034 12 038 14 043 18 037 18 042 2105 1836 14 031 12 037 12 040 14 029 14 039 1836 1672 12 031 11 037 10*039 12*027 12*038 1672 1578 10 031 9 036 7*038 9*025 9*037 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography