DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 41.4 - - 38.4 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 142 - - 36 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1177 - - 1192 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1884 - - 1560 - - 1560 - - 1559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2562 - - 2577 - - 1576 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 390 - - 432 - - 1372 - - 1157 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 225 - - 77 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 22 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 026 - - 027 - - 027 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -10 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -768 - - -764 - - -1941 - - -2556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3330 - - 3341 - - 3517 - - 4133 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13371 - - -13449 - - -16121 - - -17287 ODpotential blCL - - - 15933 - - 16026 - - 17697 - - 18863 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 98 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 41.4 - - 38.4 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 32.8 - - 29.1 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 40.5 - - 37.9 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 32.6 - - 28.9 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 142 - - 36 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1177 - - 1192 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 91 - - 95 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96374 62 254 59 248 64 257 67 264 96374 89213 41 264 44 250 44 262 45 272 89213 83734 36 264 35 272 29 282 22 277 83734 79186 30 259 30 284 24 305 14 338 79186 75268 16 266 17 291 12 293 15 349 75268 71807 11 307 12 343 4 018 10 356 71807 68668 11 322 17 335 14 013 15 358 68668 65787 10 331 17 326 16 344 22 349 65787 63135 12 313 16 319 15 330 22 336 63135 60582 17 314 17 315 19 312 22 320 60582 57927 24 307 22 316 22 307 24 302 57927 55166 29 300 29 304 29 305 24 309 55166 52511 36 300 32 303 31 301 26 309 52511 50104 43 301 41 303 40 301 32 302 50104 47940 55 292 50 298 49 295 41 295 47940 45974 55 292 57 295 54 297 50 301 45974 44164 64 298 65 296 67 296 63 297 44164 42488 74 299 74 294 72 293 66 295 42488 40926 80 293 76 291 70 292 66 294 40926 39462 78 284 71 285 66 290 62 291 39462 38088 77 282 71 278 67 284 58 288 38088 36764 73 282 69 279 67 283 59 288 36764 35418 68 285 63 285 63 288 59 293 35418 34019 64 295 61 294 55 294 47 299 34019 32572 53 303 46 296 46 294 42 293 32572 31060 45 310 39 293 40 288 39 288 31060 29470 35 301 39 290 42 293 40 294 29470 27800 31 289 36 288 42 297 41 301 27800 26051 26 292 30 294 35 301 37 307 26051 24225 25 296 25 297 26 305 30 303 24225 22328 24 299 23 303 25 308 24 302 22328 20353 18 301 20 313 18 309 20 296 20353 18299 12 310 14 307 14 318 11 326 18299 16208 9 299 11 297 12 307 12 339 16208 14192 8 300 10 303 10 306 12 326 14192 12355 9 321 8 325 5 335 7 339 12355 10721 11 335 6 341 3 333 6 327 10721 9272 13 331 8 343 2 345 5 276 9272 7993 14 311 13 325 5 005 1 209 7993 6863 11 279 15 290 10 332 2 325 6863 5867 3 238 11 286 8 303 8 289 5867 4992 4 070 5 301 5 273 8 284 4992 4220 16 062 12 042 11 043 2 354 4220 3534 27 042 24 038 22 039 14 042 3534 2939 30*029 26*029 23 029 23 038 2939 2451 29*026 25*027 21 027 22 040 2451 2078 28 026 24 027 20 027 20 041 2078 1821 26 025 23 027 18 027 17 041 1821 1665 23 025 20 027 16 027 14*041 1665 1576 18 026 15 027 12*027 10*041 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography