DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.4 - - 67.6 - - 69.5 - - 62.4 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 74 - - 21 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1468 - - 2567 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2853 - - 3952 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 732 - - 2087 - - 2183 - - 2300 - - 81 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 213 - - 191 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 050 - - 029 - - 343 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -5 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1685 - - -2051 - - -1845 - - -1552 - - -1506 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3263 - - 4904 - - 5798 - - 3130 - - 3085 sfcLCL ODpotential -5808 - - -5571 - - -5372 - - -5419 - - -8407 ODpotential blCL 7386 - - 8424 - - 9324 - - 6997 - - 9985 blCL maxRH 73 - - 58 - - 56 - - 50 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.4 - - 67.6 - - 69.5 - - 62.4 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.7 - - 51.7 - - 49.6 - - 54.2 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.3 - - 66.7 - - 69.1 - - 65.5 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.3 - - 50.4 - - 48.3 - - 52.9 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 74 - - 21 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1468 - - 2567 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96814 61 269 56 266 56 253 62 258 72 256 96814 89394 46 272 44 278 42 268 40 276 43 281 89394 83805 32 284 29 257 32 282 30 284 23 288 83805 79219 24 297 26 262 28 292 25 294 18 299 79219 75265 14 304 25 284 26 293 22 303 19 312 75265 71773 14 313 18 319 20 281 20 298 19 312 71773 68617 17 306 19 332 20 301 18 295 18 307 68617 65734 18 307 18 320 20 319 20 303 19 310 65734 63087 21 306 26 298 28 314 28 309 27 313 63087 60555 28 304 29 283 29 302 35 301 37 299 60555 57937 32 325 29 314 26 305 31 297 34 287 57937 55223 57 326 44 320 36 300 36 304 36 304 55223 52635 60 314 53 307 51 297 55 295 51 298 52635 50287 44 311 47 297 58 291 58 289 49 285 50287 48138 43 322 43 313 46 283 47 288 42 282 48138 46148 52 319 49 321 42 299 47 302 41 304 46148 44302 50 306 58 312 55 313 52 309 54 317 44302 42581 45 291 56 297 57 307 53 315 64 318 42581 40972 48 286 54 287 58 300 51 319 61 317 40972 39471 47 294 51 286 57 293 48 312 52 319 39471 38066 40 300 41 291 49 284 49 300 51 311 38066 36714 37 297 35 300 42 285 42 291 40 297 36714 35340 39 283 33 303 35 295 30 299 30 300 35340 33913 38 283 33 288 31 298 28 316 27 316 33913 32435 31 282 35 283 38 288 30 320 31 306 32435 30892 28 282 31 280 39 291 32 309 34 312 30892 29281 26 282 28 280 31 292 34 298 31 322 29281 27613 20 288 23 278 25 286 28 293 30 320 27613 25888 14 299 16 280 20 282 21 293 25 301 25888 24096 11 318 11 295 14 289 17 298 20 298 24096 22233 10 331 10 314 13 304 16 306 16 307 22233 20296 10 322 11 313 14 308 15 313 14 316 20296 18276 10 311 11 320 13 321 10 325 8 320 18276 16214 9 308 10 334 10 349 7 010 5 345 16214 14223 7 323 7 003 7 003 1 051 2 292 14223 12411 6 003 5 038 5 004 2 211 4 291 12411 10803 5 004 5 355 9 351 5 010 8 006 10803 9378 5 340 7 340 10 349 10 013 11 017 9378 8113 7 349 6 008 7 005 9 024 9 018 8113 6989 10 018 9 044 9 030 10 035 9 030 6989 5993 14 036 12 053 10 042 9 044 8 034 5993 5115 17 046 13 059 8 047 8 049 5 041 5115 4338 18 052 12 065 6*045 7 052 3 062 4338 3642 17 058 10 064 5*036 6 042 2 053 3642 3024 18 064 9*058 4 031 5 020 3 013 3024 2508 18 062 7*051 4 028 5 357 4 338 2508 2111 16 051 7 049 4 027 5 347 5 311 2111 1838 12 036 6 050 4 027 5 344 5 297 1838 1673 10*031 6 049 3 024 4*343 4*291 1673 1578 8*029 5 049 3 024 4*343 4*303 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography