DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.7 - - 90.0 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 178 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2916 - - 5483 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3101 - - 4999 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4301 - - 6868 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3309 - - 2496 - - 7690 - - 319 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 349 - - 424 - - 60 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 54 - - 14 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 014 - - 029 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -9 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1449 - - -1425 - - -5510 - - -3369 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5751 - - 8293 - - 7091 - - 4949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3854 - - -5235 - - -7232 - - -6396 ODpotential blCL - - - 8155 - - 12103 - - 8812 - - 7976 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 49 - - 63 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 1090 - - 370 - - 750 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.7 - - 90.0 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.2 - - 60.6 - - 64.1 - - 65.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 90.2 - - 89.7 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 59.2 - - 63.0 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 178 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2916 - - 5483 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98913 38 093 35 102 31 101 38 071 98913 91477 44 091 45 095 37 095 36 092 91477 85737 43 087 44 092 38 093 38 097 85737 80964 41 094 37 093 37 091 37 088 80964 76870 37 100 31 097 33 086 34 086 76870 73273 32 098 30 102 28 087 31 088 73273 70023 28 098 28 096 28 092 27 093 70023 67046 25 101 23 093 25 091 23 088 67046 64296 22 103 17 109 17 087 20 087 64296 61641 20 097 18 098 14 099 14 080 61641 58887 18 070 16 082 15 075 16 076 58887 56066 16 049 15 081 14 052 15 052 56066 53409 23 040 19 067 12 063 8 065 53409 51020 23 023 22 026 18 040 14 061 51020 48871 12 345 22 359 15 011 14 037 48871 46913 9 241 15 320 12 330 8 354 46913 45109 10 228 13 262 18 294 15 305 45109 43428 9 239 13 249 20 273 18 279 43428 41846 13 294 14 274 18 267 19 264 41846 40349 18 297 16 288 14 278 17 268 40349 38928 22 301 15 290 16 286 16 275 38928 37550 18 328 11 296 18 270 17 270 37550 36148 18 330 15 313 19 266 19 276 36148 34693 17 308 17 313 17 280 19 289 34693 33191 14 298 15 287 20 296 18 292 33191 31625 9 307 11 268 21 292 18 307 31625 29986 8 013 7 022 12 284 18 292 29986 28280 8 039 11 031 4 323 15 289 28280 26504 5 060 9 038 11 008 8 284 26504 24659 6 036 6 048 17 014 11 014 24659 22749 7 357 7 047 16 025 19 032 22749 20764 8 329 13 035 14 034 21 034 20764 18700 11 297 13 000 12 026 17 029 18700 16599 6 334 8 333 10 019 13 025 16599 14579 2 327 5 308 9 021 11 037 14579 12743 8 347 7 322 9 012 10 054 12743 11110 10 000 6 323 7 356 9 041 11110 9657 16 027 8 020 3 031 4 037 9657 8363 19 031 11 030 5 085 3 089 8363 7208 16 032 9*029 7 084 5 092 7208 6179 11 032 8*027 7 080 6 084 6179 5268 2 010 6 019 6 073 7 076 5268 4459 1*269 5 014 6 059 8 072 4459 3734 1*258 5 011 5 048 8 068 3734 3090 1 266 5 011 5 041 9 063 3090 2552 1 275 5 010 5 035 8 057 2552 2138 1 282 5 010 5 033 7 047 2138 1852 1 289 5 008 5 031 6 035 1852 1679 1 290 5 009 5*029 4*027 1679 1580 1 287 5 009 4*029 3*025 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography