DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 87.8 - - 88.8 - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 135 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3368 - - 4697 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3515 - - 4256 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4753 - - 6082 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2368 - - 2603 - - 8096 - - 2005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 391 - - 369 - - 44 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 108 - - 136 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 197 - - 356 - - -5328 - - -2419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4556 - - 5726 - - 6908 - - 3998 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1274 - - -735 - - -6136 - - -4724 ODpotential blCL - - - 6027 - - 6817 - - 7716 - - 6303 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 97 - - 94 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 1470 - - 1060 - - 320 - - 1330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 87.8 - - 88.8 - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.1 - - 67.8 - - 63.7 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.2 - - 86.5 - - 88.6 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 66.6 - - 63.0 - - 69.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 135 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3368 - - 4697 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 87 - - 78 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98651 25 125 21 119 17 098 24 069 98651 91187 23 101 26 096 26 087 21 086 91187 85440 23 078 24 092 28 094 28 086 85440 80696 23 071 24 089 20 090 31 082 80696 76615 21 078 23 091 16 085 23 069 76615 73014 20 086 18 086 14 088 13 070 73014 69772 16 082 13 086 13 081 11 077 69772 66824 15 081 13 104 13 086 16 075 66824 64127 19 078 13 103 14 079 16 067 64127 61532 23 064 17 098 16 077 13 053 61532 58833 18 068 19 086 14 073 16 030 58833 56054 16 084 18 062 16 051 18 038 56054 53427 17 073 19 044 20 047 21 047 53427 51066 23 070 25 051 24 049 24 049 51066 48942 28 054 29 052 28 055 25 060 48942 46998 31 047 31 054 31 053 30 067 46998 45193 34 047 31 065 33 054 33 067 45193 43503 33 049 35 072 33 055 32 067 43503 41915 30 054 32 065 29 060 32 060 41915 40419 29 063 27 064 28 067 32 059 40419 39009 25 065 22 067 27 067 31 070 39009 37645 24 064 15 076 23 068 27 079 37645 36257 21 072 15 100 16 070 24 074 36257 34813 19 087 16 102 15 090 20 063 34813 33317 20 093 17 092 17 107 19 067 33317 31754 23 082 17 076 17 109 18 077 31754 30114 24 078 18 080 15 103 18 095 30114 28396 24 074 17 081 15 093 18 097 28396 26601 22 077 17 080 14 088 18 083 26601 24736 25 085 16 081 12 083 17 073 24736 22806 22 093 14 075 11 081 14 065 22806 20801 12 096 10 064 12 076 13 075 20801 18719 8 085 10 057 10 086 15 098 18719 16606 6 110 11 080 9 086 14 115 16606 14572 4 130 6 081 6 045 9 102 14572 12726 3 157 3 097 6 029 10 059 12726 11091 4 167 2 086 4 015 9 040 11091 9640 4 144 3 130 1 124 4 204 9640 8348 8 109 7 130 5 136 8 190 8348 7193 10 098 8 127 6 137 10 179 7193 6166 9 116 8*124 7 138 11 167 6166 5256 8*137 8*119 8 138 12 154 5256 4450 8*140 8 114 8 137 14 143 4450 3726 8 142 8 109 8 137 16 135 3726 3084 8 142 8 106 9 136 18 128 3084 2548 8 142 7 103 9 137 18 119 2548 2135 8 142 7 100 8 136 15 112 2135 1851 7 142 7 100 8 137 12 107 1851 1679 7 142 7 099 7*137 10 104 1679 1579 6 141 6 099 6*136 6*102 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography