DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.1 - - 74.3 - - 77.8 - - 76.5 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 41 - - 126 - - 19 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 586 - - 1732 - - 1270 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 1563 - - 2064 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 1971 - - 3117 - - 2655 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1680 - - 1655 - - 1383 - - 932 - - 1407 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 123 - - 256 - - 134 - - 73 W* B/S 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 017 - - 069 - - 075 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -4 - - -7 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 392 - - 1010 - - 693 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 1579 - - 2107 - - 1962 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -47 - - 49 - - 358 - - -204 - - -150 ODpotential blCL 1626 - - 1922 - - 2759 - - 2859 - - 1729 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 3110 - - 2840 - - 3350 - - 3170 - - 2250 CAPE Temp@2m 74.1 - - 74.3 - - 77.8 - - 76.5 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.3 - - 72.7 - - 73.1 - - 72.4 - - 68.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.4 - - 73.6 - - 76.6 - - 76.2 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 73.2 - - 72.3 - - 72.3 - - 71.9 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 41 - - 126 - - 19 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 586 - - 1732 - - 1270 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 96 - - 81 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97760 18 225 14 203 10 202 9 278 8 286 97760 90298 9 264 9 170 16 220 12 283 8 289 90298 84563 7 287 3 186 11 214 15 252 12 264 84563 79821 3 336 11 277 4 350 7 236 11 275 79821 75774 2 010 12 279 9 341 2 015 3 340 75774 72216 9 151 7 265 8 328 7 348 12 037 72216 69010 4 063 6 205 4 297 8 329 10 345 69010 66103 9 321 5 235 7 238 8 268 12 267 66103 63453 13 006 7 079 10 136 3 152 4 172 63453 60902 28 267 23 284 24 310 12 356 8 353 60902 58238 39 252 37 263 37 266 21 300 18 285 58238 55431 40 252 45 260 48 264 44 273 25 301 55431 52709 47 262 54 257 62 261 61 265 57 279 52709 50275 61 265 58 257 68 258 71 263 74 270 50275 48135 62 271 66 275 70 276 76 276 75 273 48135 46216 73 283 86 289 85 289 91 287 85 281 46216 44452 83 287 100 290 89 289 102 288 97 286 44452 42810 90 286 92 288 89 289 98 287 103 286 42810 41268 88 283 85 286 87 289 89 288 97 286 41268 39815 82 281 79 287 79 285 83 286 85 287 39815 38441 76 284 69 288 75 280 77 280 74 285 38441 37108 76 289 69 289 74 279 71 275 69 279 37108 35748 76 291 70 290 72 283 69 274 67 273 35748 34332 75 291 61 287 69 286 71 277 65 270 34332 32865 74 290 48 279 67 285 73 281 64 274 32865 31334 72 289 48 278 65 282 69 287 64 281 31334 29729 66 288 54 283 61 279 67 291 64 284 29729 28049 63 285 50 280 56 277 68 287 62 282 28049 26290 60 285 46 276 54 276 65 280 59 281 26290 24459 53 284 47 275 49 275 59 276 57 281 24459 22567 41 277 44 269 46 278 54 277 54 281 22567 20607 39 276 43 266 48 281 50 278 48 279 20607 18572 45 275 45 261 53 279 46 276 41 276 18572 16500 43 269 42 255 48 275 39 272 34 273 16500 14499 35 267 34 257 37 260 32 267 29 272 14499 12672 30 276 26 263 28 255 29 266 26 275 12672 11041 21 267 18 251 25 256 25 268 24 282 11041 9587 17 248 14 242 24 273 23 289 23 294 9587 8289 12 216 12 240 21 289 20 315 20 312 8289 7133 10 180 7 251 12 311 14 349 16 328 7133 6106 9 186 3 344 7 333 9 008 2 194 6106 5199 9 206 7 021 3 050 4 104 10 176 5199 4396 9 202 8 021 6 082 9 124 11 158 4396 3679 8 185 9 018 9*073 12 103 10 103 3679 3048 7 176 9 016 9*070 14*079 15 053 3048 2523 7 175 10 016 10 069 14*076 16 046 2523 2120 6 175 10*017 10 069 13 075 15 044 2120 1843 6 175 10*017 9 069 13 074 14 043 1843 1675 5 176 9 017 9 069 11 074 13*042 1675 1579 4*176 8 018 8 069 9 073 10*042 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography