DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.0 - - 74.1 - - 75.8 - - 71.2 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 161 - - 111 - - -20 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 507 - - 2811 - - 3914 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2943 - - 3523 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1892 - - 4196 - - 5299 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2635 - - 2436 - - 2852 - - 4347 - - 2816 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 324 - - 319 - - 23 - - 31 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 120 - - 150 - - 148 - - 109 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -582 - - 247 - - 436 - - -1887 - - -1195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2474 - - 3949 - - 4863 - - 3466 - - 2774 sfcLCL ODpotential -1854 - - -550 - - -355 - - -3715 - - -2736 ODpotential blCL 3746 - - 4746 - - 5654 - - 5294 - - 4315 blCL maxRH 96 - - 87 - - 83 - - 88 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 90 - - 80 - - 50 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 67.0 - - 74.1 - - 75.8 - - 71.2 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.5 - - 62.1 - - 59.9 - - 61.4 - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 72.7 - - 74.7 - - 73.0 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.9 - - 61.1 - - 59.1 - - 60.9 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 161 - - 111 - - -20 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 507 - - 2811 - - 3914 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 48 - - 32 - - 52 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97658 25 257 21 252 29 257 22 250 27 285 97658 90201 20 242 17 257 18 255 15 275 14 299 90201 84546 19 248 19 244 11 281 10 271 10 277 84546 79912 15 266 13 241 9 257 8 310 8 268 79912 75930 9 267 6 238 11 218 8 279 7 280 75930 72410 9 237 7 246 8 220 6 272 4 306 72410 69230 4 238 6 229 4 210 4 223 5 243 69230 66317 2 326 3 243 4 198 4 260 5 253 66317 63632 0 304 2 227 8 204 7 254 6 222 63632 61053 8 228 10 221 9 221 10 254 7 236 61053 58389 12 241 14 224 12 220 15 222 15 219 58389 55650 18 261 16 258 13 224 15 205 19 210 55650 53047 26 250 25 258 18 244 17 230 23 229 53047 50697 27 244 28 248 27 238 25 229 27 221 50697 48573 31 252 30 247 28 238 26 228 28 224 48573 46624 36 256 38 249 31 242 31 240 30 235 46624 44817 40 256 43 250 43 245 39 250 43 253 44817 43131 45 254 51 251 60 246 56 253 65 250 43131 41549 51 253 59 250 66 243 65 247 72 242 41549 40056 49 247 59 248 63 239 67 244 72 238 40056 38642 37 232 51 246 54 236 66 243 69 239 38642 37279 17 223 36 228 45 233 51 240 57 241 37279 35905 14 223 22 182 33 210 37 228 36 229 35905 34484 18 206 23 182 28 199 34 206 32 207 34484 33012 21 203 25 194 28 195 32 201 34 196 33012 31478 22 207 24 198 25 192 32 196 33 196 31478 29869 23 205 22 200 23 195 30 194 31 192 29869 28182 23 196 22 194 23 196 29 193 29 193 28182 26416 22 192 20 191 22 196 25 194 25 196 26416 24572 21 181 18 190 20 202 19 196 20 196 24572 22656 20 182 18 196 18 204 17 189 18 190 22656 20661 19 185 17 191 17 191 18 180 19 190 20661 18580 16 182 18 185 19 187 18 181 19 194 18580 16458 13 174 15 173 15 193 14 185 14 200 16458 14417 9 142 15 142 12 176 13 167 12 185 14417 12572 8 108 17 136 14 166 15 153 21 167 12572 10943 10 142 15 154 19 167 17 157 25 160 10943 9497 14 160 18 164 20 163 19 170 21 165 9497 8212 16 161 18 171 19 159 20 162 16 150 8212 7073 15 155 19 174 18 159 22 151 15 128 7073 6064 18 176 19 172 18*158 22 147 17 128 6064 5172 18 179 19 171 16*152 21 145 20 139 5172 4382 16 172 17*165 15 149 19 143 24 146 4382 3674 15 165 15*155 15 148 18 138 27 149 3674 3047 15 153 14 151 14 147 16 134 27 149 3047 2523 14 139 13 150 14 146 15 129 26 148 2523 2120 13*130 13 149 13 145 14 124 22 147 2120 1843 9*121 12 148 13 145 11 119 16 144 1843 1675 8 119 11 148 12 144 8*113 12*141 1675 1579 7 119 10 148 10 145 5*109 7*139 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography