DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.5 - - 56.9 - - 57.9 - - 58.9 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 24 - - 19 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 193 - - 192 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 1578 - - 1577 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1224 - - 1027 - - 1056 - - 1411 - - 1046 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 71 - - 66 - - 23 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 086 - - 027 - - 064 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -87 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1577 - - 1665 - - 1577 - - 1578 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -378 - - -4636 - - -258 - - -166 - - -3003 ODpotential blCL 1955 - - 6214 - - 1835 - - 1744 - - 4581 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 110 - - 320 - - 160 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 55.5 - - 56.9 - - 57.9 - - 58.9 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.2 - - 55.1 - - 56.6 - - 58.4 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 56.5 - - 57.5 - - 58.7 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.0 - - 54.6 - - 56.3 - - 58.3 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 24 - - 19 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 193 - - 192 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 103 - - 101 - - 103 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97209 57 264 45 265 42 271 50 261 55 265 97209 89784 43 265 42 275 42 274 45 270 42 272 89784 84125 25 280 34 258 33 260 40 276 32 283 84125 79483 19 285 22 253 27 252 37 282 30 295 79483 75522 15 292 18 262 21 255 27 275 26 293 75522 72046 12 275 16 278 17 258 20 270 21 292 72046 68916 12 281 15 306 9 293 11 282 9 254 68916 66034 17 281 17 283 13 305 13 296 5 249 66034 63355 15 274 19 265 21 277 21 275 18 285 63355 60797 12 282 16 263 21 270 24 260 23 276 60797 58154 16 286 15 265 21 275 21 264 22 264 58154 55412 30 283 21 265 27 276 24 266 28 251 55412 52786 35 278 28 267 30 261 29 258 31 252 52786 50405 34 266 33 269 28 251 30 261 36 261 50405 48248 31 258 36 266 28 257 35 263 38 261 48248 46268 31 261 34 258 30 259 37 259 39 258 46268 44434 34 263 31 253 32 255 36 263 41 259 44434 42725 37 261 33 251 37 255 39 268 43 259 42725 41124 42 257 40 248 45 251 44 263 48 259 41124 39627 46 252 44 244 48 246 46 252 50 256 39627 38221 44 254 44 248 46 244 44 243 47 249 38221 36865 52 259 50 251 47 247 42 244 45 248 36865 35488 57 250 55 247 53 248 45 248 46 252 35488 34063 59 242 56 243 57 247 49 250 49 255 34063 32592 60 240 56 241 59 246 52 250 51 254 32592 31060 61 236 58 240 60 246 54 250 53 253 31060 29455 60 231 59 237 59 247 55 252 54 252 29455 27777 52 224 58 234 57 246 53 255 51 253 27777 26030 41 208 55 230 54 243 47 257 45 252 26030 24220 38 202 50 225 51 239 37 254 40 248 24220 22345 39 204 41 217 44 236 35 257 34 245 22345 20393 40 201 31 201 38 235 32 237 31 247 20393 18355 36 202 31 204 28 227 37 213 30 239 18355 16280 25 217 36 211 29 222 36 207 29 229 16280 14284 20 258 35 213 34 220 30 199 26 226 14284 12467 17 272 28 214 35 220 24 192 20 228 12467 10850 13 265 14 213 32 216 18 179 19 220 10850 9410 15 241 12 071 19 143 17 152 17 207 9410 8128 17 229 16 053 19 088 19 113 15 180 8128 6990 14 214 15 061 19 067 18 117 18 134 6990 5984 18 168 13 085 17 068 14 123 14 125 5984 5099 26 136 11 115 16 084 10 117 7 127 5099 4319 27 119 15 141 14 102 9 105 4 122 4319 3622 25 103 18 138 10 113 9 094 6 092 3622 3007 23 091 18 122 8 088 9 078 11 078 3007 2495 20 079 15 106 11 042 10 059 14 070 2495 2104 17 069 10 089 12 030 9 061 13 064 2104 1835 15 066 8 086 11 028 7 061 9 060 1835 1671 13 065 7*086 11 028 5*062 8*058 1671 1578 10*064 6*086 8*027 3*064 5*056 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography