DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.1 - - 74.0 - - 77.5 - - 69.9 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 199 - - 126 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 295 - - 2300 - - 3240 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2653 - - 3112 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1680 - - 3685 - - 4625 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 576 - - 1330 - - 1217 - - 3363 - - 334 Hgt.Variab. W* 98 - - 322 - - 311 - - 15 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 071 - - 070 - - 048 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3647 - - -4325 - - -4571 - - -4851 - - -4696 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5328 - - 8010 - - 9197 - - 6431 - - 6275 sfcLCL ODpotential -13216 - - -12547 - - -12818 - - -12429 - - -14039 ODpotential blCL 14896 - - 16232 - - 17443 - - 14008 - - 15618 blCL maxRH 51 - - 49 - - 46 - - 36 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.1 - - 74.0 - - 77.5 - - 69.9 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.7 - - 44.8 - - 43.1 - - 47.7 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.7 - - 72.4 - - 76.3 - - 73.1 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.7 - - 43.4 - - 41.8 - - 46.7 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 199 - - 126 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 295 - - 2300 - - 3240 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97639 19 276 26 272 22 273 22 263 29 264 97639 90284 17 290 20 266 23 272 23 290 15 289 90284 84645 17 307 14 296 13 274 15 287 9 303 84645 80004 13 316 11 314 7 282 8 277 9 306 80004 76027 4 280 9 328 4 355 5 306 8 330 76027 72526 8 214 5 255 6 352 4 357 6 343 72526 69361 6 169 8 151 3 034 6 045 5 064 69361 66465 8 098 12 136 6 112 5 095 8 076 66465 63807 11 084 13 137 9 121 7 144 4 131 63807 61253 10 067 9 120 6 108 5 125 7 114 61253 58605 5 343 6 062 7 096 2 149 1 297 58605 55883 6 304 8 320 6 005 4 336 6 304 55883 53288 17 300 16 309 12 336 7 344 5 316 53288 50930 23 299 23 312 21 317 19 325 14 319 50930 48789 28 293 30 302 30 302 31 304 29 306 48789 46820 31 296 31 299 30 292 34 296 36 299 46820 44990 37 307 33 299 31 299 31 300 35 302 44990 43280 39 305 35 300 34 306 32 306 33 303 43280 41680 37 304 35 300 32 307 32 309 26 310 41680 40178 35 310 34 305 32 310 31 311 26 319 40178 38767 38 319 34 315 30 315 31 312 28 320 38767 37407 42 319 34 321 29 327 32 322 24 337 37407 36030 41 319 33 334 31 337 35 333 37 336 36030 34605 38 323 36 343 35 339 37 340 39 326 34605 33130 37 326 39 345 36 341 36 347 37 338 33130 31591 36 330 36 343 33 342 28 343 31 346 31591 29975 34 332 31 338 30 339 27 336 25 343 29975 28279 33 333 25 333 30 337 28 337 24 334 28279 26502 33 331 26 329 30 338 29 343 25 334 26502 24647 33 327 28 328 28 337 28 344 28 346 24647 22717 31 326 26 328 27 334 28 347 29 355 22717 20708 27 327 24 330 24 338 30 349 28 359 20708 18617 24 333 18 333 21 341 28 352 26 006 18617 16499 17 345 13 347 17 341 21 350 20 001 16499 14473 9 021 6 016 8 347 12 340 14 348 14473 12633 7 055 4 040 5 346 7 330 11 343 12633 10994 6 050 5 049 5 013 8 358 11 008 10994 9533 5 046 8 052 7 040 11 022 12 029 9533 8231 4 059 8 051 8 049 12 037 15 040 8231 7076 7 061 8 048 8 052 11 055 12 052 7076 6057 9 038 8 048 7 068 9 066 9 069 6057 5162 9 024 7 057 7*078 8 078 8 074 5162 4373 7 029 7*072 7*077 9 083 8 076 4373 3667 6 046 7*074 6 074 9 080 10 092 3667 3042 5 059 7 072 6 071 8 075 11 101 3042 2520 6 080 7 071 6 068 8 070 12 102 2520 2118 7 079 7 070 6 066 7 065 12 100 2118 1842 7*063 6 070 5 065 6 059 11 099 1842 1674 5*052 6 070 5 064 5*053 5*088 1674 1579 4 051 5 070 5 063 4*048 3*057 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography