DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.1 - - 93.4 - - 89.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 201 - - -21 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4316 - - 6390 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4341 - - 5732 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5701 - - 7775 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1541 - - 1875 - - 7710 - - 1552 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 464 - - 456 - - 41 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 15 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 169 - - 149 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1092 - - -1423 - - -6583 - - -3446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6793 - - 9199 - - 8163 - - 5025 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4627 - - -4651 - - -10119 - - -8265 ODpotential blCL - - - 10328 - - 12426 - - 11699 - - 9844 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 62 - - 62 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 1120 - - 440 - - 360 - - 810 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.1 - - 93.4 - - 89.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.6 - - 58.5 - - 58.9 - - 64.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 91.8 - - 90.1 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 57.5 - - 58.2 - - 63.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 201 - - -21 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4316 - - 6390 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98691 23 093 16 122 14 102 16 074 98691 91299 28 096 30 101 24 098 19 090 91299 85543 28 095 35 095 35 093 31 102 85543 80780 27 100 31 092 37 092 40 093 80780 76709 29 108 26 098 31 087 38 085 76709 73132 30 112 23 105 20 089 24 077 73132 69895 26 107 24 106 17 098 15 085 69895 66912 19 094 22 096 19 099 18 099 66912 64154 17 092 19 089 21 088 19 100 64154 61503 15 101 15 100 18 084 17 092 61503 58767 14 097 12 120 12 105 15 069 58767 55956 14 084 13 120 9 140 8 060 55956 53294 14 073 12 078 9 074 11 085 53294 50908 8 053 9 053 10 021 13 059 50908 48765 12 083 6 103 7 348 13 022 48765 46802 20 083 16 106 4 127 4 348 46802 44987 22 075 17 097 8 128 2 254 44987 43299 21 072 15 093 9 116 3 197 43299 41721 19 076 13 085 10 097 5 166 41721 40234 19 075 14 077 10 089 5 159 40234 38829 19 076 14 075 10 081 5 157 38829 37471 20 081 14 072 11 073 7 145 37471 36094 21 084 12 071 10 072 10 140 36094 34667 21 085 11 081 8 069 11 144 34667 33193 20 090 13 092 6 049 11 146 33193 31656 20 099 14 102 6 052 11 142 31656 30042 20 114 13 118 7 065 9 128 30042 28353 16 127 9 129 7 094 10 126 28353 26589 12 124 8 136 7 123 10 132 26589 24751 11 141 8 165 3 153 5 134 24751 22840 11 159 12 178 8 196 2 196 22840 20850 9 159 14 171 13 185 7 200 20850 18779 9 161 13 171 15 179 10 191 18779 16670 7 166 10 171 11 184 8 176 16670 14639 5 164 6 178 6 194 7 152 14639 12788 9 200 7 194 5 198 7 132 12788 11140 14 199 11 191 8 187 9 143 11140 9672 17 197 15 179 13 168 11 151 9672 8366 20 192 16*172 15 161 12 153 8366 7203 22 187 16*171 16 159 13 152 7203 6171 19*180 16 170 16 158 14 149 6171 5257 19*178 16 170 17 156 16 146 5257 4447 18 177 15 169 17 156 19 145 4447 3722 18 176 15 169 17 155 23 146 3722 3080 17 176 15 169 17 154 27 148 3080 2545 17 175 14 168 16 154 27 148 2545 2134 16 175 13 168 15 153 24 148 2134 1850 15 175 13 168 13 152 19 148 1850 1678 14 175 12 168 10*151 15 148 1678 1579 12 175 10 167 6*149 9*148 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography