DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.2 - - 70.8 - - 74.7 - - 69.5 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 128 - - 78 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1837 - - 2448 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2164 - - 2262 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3222 - - 3833 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 958 - - 944 - - 1140 - - 2594 - - 309 Hgt.Variab. W* 77 - - 265 - - 248 - - 11 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 188 - - 222 - - 279 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1279 - - -1081 - - -1197 - - -1432 - - -657 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2858 - - 4304 - - 5030 - - 3011 - - 2235 sfcLCL ODpotential -8645 - - -8043 - - -6458 - - -5630 - - -3879 ODpotential blCL 10223 - - 11265 - - 10291 - - 7209 - - 5457 blCL maxRH 80 - - 73 - - 72 - - 69 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 64.2 - - 70.8 - - 74.7 - - 69.5 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.9 - - 57.2 - - 57.9 - - 61.4 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.7 - - 69.6 - - 73.8 - - 72.2 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 55.9 - - 56.8 - - 60.7 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 128 - - 78 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1837 - - 2448 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97049 51 267 45 279 47 253 48 259 51 269 97049 89742 39 263 38 274 42 276 39 276 41 278 89742 84138 27 279 25 272 29 280 26 273 27 277 84138 79492 22 305 11 277 17 285 18 275 22 276 79492 75516 15 320 9 242 14 291 14 301 15 300 75516 72034 7 330 10 240 11 291 11 331 6 343 72034 68884 9 315 5 294 10 309 10 316 7 307 68884 65993 7 262 6 223 10 260 12 284 9 275 65993 63316 8 282 11 287 14 292 16 278 9 290 63316 60718 18 274 24 278 23 284 20 286 16 281 60718 58027 26 268 28 269 28 274 29 271 28 279 58027 55273 38 271 37 276 38 263 36 267 34 263 55273 52664 55 269 56 273 55 267 51 270 48 275 52664 50320 60 265 64 264 65 262 67 265 67 265 50320 48208 66 270 66 264 69 264 71 260 71 259 48208 46268 77 271 72 267 77 264 75 258 75 261 46268 44470 82 266 78 263 81 257 81 257 81 261 44470 42796 80 259 81 255 82 251 82 254 84 259 42796 41231 76 259 80 252 80 250 81 250 82 255 41231 39758 76 266 77 255 80 256 82 255 78 250 39758 38366 75 265 75 257 77 261 80 260 74 250 38366 37017 72 258 74 256 73 257 75 256 72 250 37017 35643 73 255 72 254 71 252 72 248 69 248 35643 34218 75 258 70 250 69 249 70 244 66 249 34218 32744 77 255 72 248 67 250 65 246 64 250 32744 31206 73 251 71 249 62 253 57 250 60 249 31206 29595 69 249 67 248 58 253 53 254 54 248 29595 27911 62 249 61 249 57 252 50 254 48 250 27911 26156 52 247 51 252 52 256 46 255 42 255 26156 24332 44 246 40 254 44 260 40 256 37 256 24332 22442 36 251 33 255 34 257 33 258 32 255 22442 20481 31 260 30 258 29 255 27 261 27 254 20481 18441 29 259 28 258 26 257 24 267 22 262 18441 16363 24 255 26 257 26 265 24 268 21 270 16363 14363 19 259 23 254 27 275 27 273 24 271 14363 12546 17 279 19 254 25 275 26 277 24 267 12546 10931 17 299 13 263 19 274 20 278 19 260 10931 9493 17 312 9 294 14 283 14 287 11 266 9493 8216 15 322 9 313 9 294 9 293 6 296 8216 7081 13 325 10 319 7 308 6 305 11 347 7081 6073 13 307 10 302 8 311 8 322 12 354 6073 5181 16 242 14 244 9 272 6 307 12 354 5181 4390 19 220 16 221 7*232 4 248 10 348 4390 3680 19 208 12*208 6*225 5 212 4 325 3680 3051 17 193 9*192 6 223 4 217 3 241 3051 2525 15 183 8 189 6 222 3 241 4 229 2525 2121 13 180 8 188 5 220 3 259 3 252 2121 1844 9 180 7 186 5 221 3 269 3 275 1844 1675 7 180 7 186 5 221 3*274 2 288 1675 1578 5*179 6 185 4 220 2*279 2*307 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography