DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 91.2 - - 88.1 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 198 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4198 - - 6065 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4256 - - 5462 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5583 - - 7450 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1602 - - 1944 - - 7694 - - 4931 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 462 - - 443 - - 35 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 130 - - 108 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -476 - - 63 - - -4914 - - -3474 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6059 - - 7388 - - 6495 - - 5054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2943 - - -1076 - - -6033 - - -5125 ODpotential blCL - - - 8526 - - 8526 - - 7613 - - 6705 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 88 - - 86 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1420 - - 1300 - - 1330 - - 1670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 91.2 - - 88.1 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.3 - - 64.2 - - 65.1 - - 66.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 89.4 - - 88.5 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 63.4 - - 64.5 - - 66.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 198 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4198 - - 6065 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 52 - - 45 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98750 25 106 11 108 18 062 20 050 98750 91311 30 086 38 093 29 101 31 090 91311 85586 28 079 40 093 35 087 40 088 85586 80876 30 090 31 093 32 075 37 084 80876 76832 31 101 24 084 29 078 34 081 76832 73251 32 103 24 090 24 083 32 083 73251 70002 32 101 24 099 19 091 26 082 70002 67019 31 098 26 108 17 105 21 079 67019 64266 28 095 25 110 19 115 14 082 64266 61608 20 089 27 100 22 110 14 103 61608 58851 17 087 22 092 22 094 19 105 58851 56030 14 102 13 089 18 066 20 084 56030 53364 11 132 6 124 9 072 18 060 53364 50970 16 137 15 155 12 147 4 148 50970 48825 17 128 17 151 17 157 15 165 48825 46875 17 133 16 159 16 165 17 169 46875 45075 17 147 13 186 14 183 20 169 45075 43402 17 165 17 191 17 182 25 167 43402 41836 19 173 22 186 23 180 30 165 41836 40362 22 174 26 185 24 181 32 167 40362 38968 26 177 27 180 27 174 33 169 38968 37617 26 178 26 175 29 169 30 172 37617 36244 25 178 26 178 27 178 26 176 36244 34818 23 178 23 181 25 182 22 172 34818 33340 21 178 23 183 20 181 15 165 33340 31795 19 180 26 182 15 171 15 159 31795 30171 18 175 23 184 13 177 19 155 30171 28471 16 178 18 180 16 176 21 172 28471 26697 22 185 19 171 23 169 20 173 26697 24852 22 186 22 172 23 174 16 172 24852 22937 18 164 21 173 20 182 15 182 22937 20942 19 153 19 176 15 188 13 203 20942 18860 17 158 15 175 14 182 11 181 18860 16736 12 149 11 152 11 168 11 155 16736 14687 8 133 9 122 7 151 9 137 14687 12820 7 118 9 101 5 101 8 091 12820 11162 6 123 8 093 8 100 12 067 11162 9693 6 128 8 115 12 132 8 085 9693 8387 7 133 10*134 14 138 11 118 8387 7224 9 141 10*134 13 136 16 120 7224 6190 10*147 10 133 13 131 18 123 6190 5275 10*148 10 132 12 126 19 128 5275 4464 10 148 9 130 12 122 19 132 4464 3736 10 149 9 129 12 119 20 134 3736 3091 10 148 9 128 11 115 19 134 3091 2552 10 148 9 126 11 113 18 133 2552 2137 9 148 8 125 10 111 15 131 2137 1852 9 149 8 125 9 109 12 130 1852 1679 8 148 8 125 8*109 9*129 1679 1580 7 149 7 124 5*108 5*127 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography