DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.1 - - 74.8 - - 77.8 - - 70.4 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 157 - - 116 - - -25 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2862 - - 3835 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2975 - - 3498 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1688 - - 4247 - - 5220 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1248 - - 1138 - - 1316 - - 3797 - - 253 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 325 - - 322 - - 22 - - 24 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 146 - - 135 - - 114 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2209 - - -2683 - - -2430 - - -3235 - - -2185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3897 - - 6930 - - 7650 - - 4814 - - 3764 sfcLCL ODpotential -11245 - - -11750 - - -10759 - - -7578 - - -12318 ODpotential blCL 12933 - - 15997 - - 15979 - - 9157 - - 13896 blCL maxRH 63 - - 55 - - 55 - - 65 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.1 - - 74.8 - - 77.8 - - 70.4 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.6 - - 50.1 - - 49.8 - - 55.0 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.7 - - 73.6 - - 76.8 - - 72.7 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.4 - - 48.8 - - 48.6 - - 54.3 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 157 - - 116 - - -25 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2862 - - 3835 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97790 23 221 32 239 32 254 32 273 21 291 97790 90349 18 241 22 244 23 258 17 275 10 259 90349 84666 16 264 16 268 17 247 12 257 12 259 84666 79991 15 301 7 270 13 247 6 259 10 268 79991 75981 13 296 5 308 7 226 5 238 6 271 75981 72441 11 252 5 296 3 203 6 215 3 282 72441 69241 3 291 1 033 7 098 6 184 7 243 69241 66325 5 030 5 131 7 095 5 152 7 216 66325 63653 2 077 7 158 2 155 1 072 3 139 63653 61086 5 224 7 223 4 270 4 325 2 168 61086 58415 10 230 13 235 10 264 9 288 5 230 58415 55650 19 258 20 239 20 249 19 253 17 247 55650 53020 21 262 19 253 22 251 24 254 21 251 53020 50653 22 272 22 267 28 268 30 264 28 260 50653 48516 29 269 28 267 33 263 33 265 35 261 48516 46557 31 270 32 263 32 259 34 261 35 257 46557 44743 31 275 32 263 30 261 34 259 34 257 44743 43054 28 263 30 268 30 266 30 259 31 259 43054 41477 15 274 22 258 28 259 25 260 26 257 41477 40000 3 235 11 199 17 229 25 243 21 247 40000 38611 6 259 11 182 17 201 19 204 24 227 38611 37271 9 264 8 225 13 218 16 210 22 194 37271 35910 12 265 13 237 15 231 21 223 18 197 35910 34493 13 268 15 234 17 233 26 232 23 217 34493 33027 9 276 13 237 19 234 23 235 26 225 33027 31495 7 282 11 247 15 232 17 224 20 226 31495 29884 10 278 11 252 13 232 13 208 17 210 29884 28193 14 279 11 254 12 232 11 212 16 204 28193 26426 11 295 9 262 10 234 8 207 10 198 26426 24584 7 348 6 273 8 234 8 203 7 189 24584 22667 6 004 4 283 6 235 8 219 6 208 22667 20670 1 332 0 217 4 196 11 225 6 249 20670 18590 0 021 1 221 3 193 9 198 7 241 18590 16470 7 037 3 048 1 016 2 096 2 141 16470 14427 16 042 12 057 6 062 5 096 8 084 14427 12571 17 038 15 067 10 084 7 113 8 115 12571 10930 10 027 10 075 9 090 9 108 11 133 10930 9483 4 064 6 109 6 101 9 104 12 123 9483 8199 10 126 8 138 8 143 9 133 11 118 8199 7058 15 125 12 130 11 151 10 149 10 141 7058 6050 17 123 12 137 11*146 13 152 14 152 6050 5161 14 126 12 149 12*140 14 146 18 148 5161 4374 15 141 12*150 12 138 14 139 21 148 4374 3668 18 149 11*149 12 135 15 135 23 148 3668 3043 16 153 11 148 11 135 15 131 24 145 3043 2520 12 156 11 146 11 133 15 127 23 136 2520 2118 10 159 10 145 11 132 14 124 22 126 2118 1842 7*157 10 144 10 132 12 122 17 119 1842 1674 5*155 9 145 10 132 9*117 12 115 1674 1578 4 156 8 144 8 131 6*114 6*113 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography