DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 58.8 - - 60.8 - - 55.3 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 270 - - 211 - - -59 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1789 - - 2813 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2368 - - 3026 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 3174 - - 4198 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 555 - - 646 - - 1791 - - 3129 - - 279 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 321 - - 345 - - 24 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 28 - - 31 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 011 - - 001 - - 359 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -24 - - -20 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3999 - - -2676 - - -2630 - - -4049 - - -4048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5576 - - 5851 - - 6829 - - 5626 - - 5626 sfcLCL ODpotential -11165 - - -7799 - - -7811 - - -9205 - - -14511 ODpotential blCL 12742 - - 10973 - - 12009 - - 10782 - - 16088 blCL maxRH 89 - - 80 - - 71 - - 62 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 58.8 - - 60.8 - - 55.3 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 38.9 - - 36.5 - - 36.6 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.0 - - 57.3 - - 59.6 - - 57.0 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 38.4 - - 35.9 - - 36.3 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 270 - - 211 - - -59 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1789 - - 2813 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96197 22 248 20 287 12 260 26 277 20 300 96197 89118 11 050 5 012 7 328 13 346 13 003 89118 83663 22 062 11 076 6 023 14 026 21 023 83663 79152 23 066 15 076 12 066 14 062 19 037 79152 75261 21 061 14 063 14 049 15 059 16 062 75261 71803 19 033 15 060 11 053 12 040 16 047 71803 68663 22 007 16 044 10 038 14 012 10 034 68663 65765 18 355 14 024 11 017 8 351 11 030 65765 63075 16 346 20 005 17 353 25 000 20 341 63075 60465 16 329 25 340 22 336 30 333 19 307 60465 57713 18 323 26 323 31 326 25 308 37 340 57713 54848 24 313 33 309 39 312 40 319 56 322 54848 52125 36 306 40 301 46 300 54 312 60 303 52125 49668 44 296 46 295 51 296 49 297 46 300 49668 47442 51 287 54 288 60 300 39 290 46 325 47442 45417 61 284 66 284 69 294 44 314 57 328 45417 43580 68 283 69 283 66 284 66 316 67 309 43580 41909 77 282 71 283 66 285 73 305 66 293 41909 40360 80 280 75 285 69 289 73 296 61 293 40360 38897 71 276 77 285 73 290 59 306 57 311 38897 37513 61 271 77 281 78 290 52 314 70 345 37513 36182 48 270 69 272 81 285 51 327 81 349 36182 34835 44 279 59 264 77 277 57 339 76 344 34835 33448 42 302 55 275 66 276 59 341 63 333 33448 32027 44 310 55 285 63 280 59 329 58 318 32027 30551 42 309 54 283 65 287 61 320 62 309 30551 28998 42 308 55 283 63 291 58 314 62 309 28998 27364 46 301 58 292 55 291 53 303 62 310 27364 25650 46 295 59 300 50 297 55 297 60 313 25650 23861 49 296 56 306 51 312 59 303 55 316 23861 22000 50 297 54 311 59 328 56 318 52 317 22000 20059 48 303 52 314 65 332 58 328 53 321 20059 18031 45 313 46 314 69 337 61 334 57 333 18031 15963 39 317 39 319 56 328 58 336 58 340 15963 13972 30 324 37 312 43 308 48 325 56 343 13972 12171 25 344 31 311 41 299 44 308 52 347 12171 10585 31 006 32 330 39 287 44 310 48 351 10585 9189 36 010 41 350 43 323 42 321 47 351 9189 7954 36 008 41 354 54 343 42 333 46 347 7954 6859 34 007 35 349 53 355 40 341 40 341 6859 5888 32 008 33 351 43 359 37 347 35 340 5888 5030 33 009 33 003 35 359 36 353 32 347 5030 4271 37 013 36 013 34*360 35 356 32 355 4271 3591 45 019 36*013 34*000 35 358 31 002 3591 2988 48 019 32*011 33 000 34 359 30 005 2988 2484 44 014 30 011 33 001 32 360 28 007 2484 2097 35 006 28 011 31 001 28 000 24 007 2097 1831 25 000 26 010 29 001 22 360 18 006 1831 1669 22*359 24 010 26 001 18 359 14 004 1669 1577 15*359 18 010 19 001 11*359 7*001 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography