DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.6 - - 48.9 - - 52.8 - - 48.6 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 114 - - 58 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1128 - - 1177 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1576 - - 2513 - - 2562 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 901 - - 438 - - 617 - - 1080 - - 832 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 209 - - 173 - - 19 - - 20 W* B/S 21 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 224 - - 227 - - 206 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -525 - - 44 - - -435 - - -816 - - -1214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2101 - - 2469 - - 2997 - - 2393 - - 2791 sfcLCL ODpotential -10431 - - -8238 - - -8651 - - -9797 - - -10700 ODpotential blCL 12007 - - 10751 - - 11213 - - 11374 - - 12277 blCL maxRH 90 - - 93 - - 91 - - 71 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.6 - - 48.9 - - 52.8 - - 48.6 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 43.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.6 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 47.9 - - 52.1 - - 50.0 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.7 - - 42.9 - - 44.3 - - 42.9 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 114 - - 58 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1128 - - 1177 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 71 - - 66 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 7 248 9 292 12 271 20 292 19 291 96405 89157 14 282 12 253 18 291 21 300 19 311 89157 83596 11 260 8 244 16 267 17 280 11 315 83596 79034 7 273 6 259 12 273 13 304 6 294 79034 75124 6 299 7 265 15 300 14 292 9 298 75124 71675 1 208 7 281 11 288 9 289 11 282 71675 68559 14 326 10 314 11 285 11 300 12 301 68559 65701 20 289 14 274 15 273 18 273 21 280 65701 63062 16 250 14 257 15 262 18 252 21 261 63062 60505 30 280 26 283 23 286 16 278 18 266 60505 57816 43 266 42 275 40 275 29 281 23 272 57816 55014 45 253 51 253 45 265 38 273 29 272 55014 52334 50 254 52 250 52 259 38 259 34 267 52334 49909 63 260 75 254 53 261 47 270 49 267 49909 47738 90 257 83 247 88 258 78 261 80 249 47738 45787 100 249 88 250 100 246 94 249 88 243 45787 44007 105 245 101 247 106 238 102 241 91 250 44007 42354 112 243 103 245 96 236 94 240 101 252 42354 40804 106 243 101 248 82 248 83 249 109 250 40804 39340 97 244 103 251 100 262 96 263 113 246 39340 37952 94 254 104 251 112 260 105 262 114 245 37952 36604 100 258 102 251 107 256 97 252 114 249 36604 35234 96 255 99 250 101 252 92 242 111 253 35234 33818 91 251 93 249 95 245 92 241 108 253 33818 32357 90 250 87 249 96 244 90 242 106 251 32357 30834 89 248 85 248 91 244 86 245 101 253 30834 29235 88 248 90 248 85 247 85 247 90 248 29235 27565 83 245 89 241 69 245 86 247 83 249 27565 25825 77 242 83 231 69 242 79 241 77 245 25825 24015 70 241 76 232 70 251 63 240 67 243 24015 22138 79 257 60 236 71 261 68 271 68 260 22138 20189 69 259 72 263 66 258 58 270 63 267 20189 18161 55 252 58 262 54 251 52 249 51 259 18161 16102 51 247 52 248 48 251 50 247 46 244 16102 14127 51 248 46 250 47 254 46 254 46 253 14127 12331 44 253 40 254 45 259 42 264 42 268 12331 10732 34 249 33 250 40 263 39 272 39 275 10732 9310 27 253 25 244 31 258 36 275 36 277 9310 8047 21 262 21 252 24 255 31 274 34 280 8047 6925 17 263 19 258 20 262 25 272 30 284 6925 5930 18 250 21 255 18 270 20 270 24 285 5930 5052 19 242 24 253 18 269 17 274 18 285 5052 4276 18 245 22 253 20 263 16 273 16 283 4276 3585 14 255 15 249 16 251 14 257 14 267 3585 2978 9 264 9*236 12*234 12 225 12 239 2978 2477 3 288 6*226 11*228 12 209 12 217 2477 2093 1 352 6 224 11 228 11 207 12 205 2093 1829 1 007 6 223 10 226 10 207 10 204 1829 1669 1 013 5 222 9 226 8 207 6*206 1669 1577 1*013 5 221 8 225 4*206 4*206 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography