DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.9 - - 85.9 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 270 - - 18 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2963 - - 4226 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3302 - - 4203 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4348 - - 5611 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 593 - - 1509 - - 6218 - - 2232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 408 - - 435 - - 69 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 167 - - 160 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -168 - - -541 - - -4012 - - -772 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4516 - - 6153 - - 5593 - - 2351 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3743 - - -2884 - - -5513 - - -6135 ODpotential blCL - - - 8091 - - 8495 - - 7093 - - 7714 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 71 - - 78 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 2900 - - 3050 - - 2950 - - 2950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.9 - - 85.9 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.6 - - 65.8 - - 66.3 - - 69.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 85.8 - - 85.7 - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 65.0 - - 65.6 - - 69.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 270 - - 18 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2963 - - 4226 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 0 - - 14 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97631 18 234 15 235 16 252 17 263 97631 90233 11 256 9 270 14 282 7 268 90233 84511 13 234 13 258 17 279 14 292 84511 79784 13 252 13 255 13 255 17 268 79784 75726 15 252 14 271 13 267 12 276 75726 72145 13 291 14 278 11 286 6 296 72145 68925 16 306 14 273 8 316 6 318 68925 65982 12 291 16 293 12 310 10 313 65982 63278 16 295 21 291 29 303 24 316 63278 60697 26 294 33 292 33 299 31 308 60697 58015 37 281 31 280 32 289 33 291 58015 55218 39 284 34 281 37 281 36 276 55218 52532 51 286 47 284 41 278 46 283 52532 50115 65 285 58 286 55 285 60 290 50115 47952 74 287 71 288 70 288 71 292 47952 45988 82 291 81 289 79 290 81 292 45988 44189 88 293 89 289 85 290 88 289 44189 42526 90 294 92 290 86 289 89 287 42526 40973 89 293 91 290 85 289 86 287 40973 39513 86 292 87 292 82 289 84 287 39513 38135 82 291 82 294 80 290 81 288 38135 36805 80 290 77 294 78 291 77 290 36805 35457 77 288 73 293 76 291 71 290 35457 34057 73 286 70 292 72 291 64 289 34057 32610 69 286 69 292 69 292 61 287 32610 31100 63 285 67 293 66 293 61 286 31100 29515 59 283 62 294 63 294 58 287 29515 27858 55 282 57 290 60 295 54 289 27858 26126 49 280 51 285 55 294 49 290 26126 24325 42 277 45 280 49 291 45 289 24325 22457 35 270 37 276 42 284 40 288 22457 20517 31 271 32 274 37 280 37 287 20517 18499 30 282 32 274 35 277 34 285 18499 16442 28 279 32 271 29 271 30 282 16442 14458 21 276 27 258 26 263 27 277 14458 12649 12 264 18 245 25 252 25 274 12649 11033 8 268 9 234 19 243 22 273 11033 9590 7 277 9 238 12 223 19 272 9590 8301 5 254 10 229 10 224 15 259 8301 7150 5 222 9 189 10 194 12 248 7150 6127 4 202 9*175 10 179 10 236 6127 5224 8 189 10*172 10 173 7 193 5224 4425 9*189 9 171 10 169 10 153 4425 3708 9*187 9 168 9 165 13 148 3708 3072 8 187 9 167 9 163 15 152 3072 2540 8 185 9 165 9 161 17 157 2540 2131 8 185 8 164 8 160 17 158 2131 1849 7 184 8 163 8 159 14 156 1849 1677 7 183 7 163 7*159 10 153 1677 1579 6 183 7 163 6*160 6*151 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography