DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.4 - - 92.6 - - 90.1 - - 86.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 43 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3743 - - 5404 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3233 - - 4293 - - 1564 - - 1564 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5128 - - 6789 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3358 - - 2983 - - 7068 - - 3564 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 314 - - 57 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 12 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 070 - - 071 - - 148 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -260 - - 1143 - - -2669 - - -2013 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5388 - - 5647 - - 4249 - - 3593 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2047 - - -424 - - -4131 - - -4774 ODpotential blCL - - - 7175 - - 7213 - - 5711 - - 6354 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 84 - - 87 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 2100 - - 2930 - - 3720 - - 3250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.4 - - 92.6 - - 90.1 - - 86.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.7 - - 72.8 - - 76.1 - - 75.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.6 - - 92.0 - - 90.8 - - 88.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 71.4 - - 74.7 - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 43 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3743 - - 5404 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 37 - - 47 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 20 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98907 32 102 51 100 53 090 48 091 98907 91468 39 094 41 094 39 094 40 085 91468 85738 42 102 38 095 35 096 39 082 85738 80965 44 099 41 099 35 090 36 087 80965 76866 39 091 41 100 35 089 34 089 76866 73254 32 082 30 099 32 089 35 081 73254 69994 31 088 27 105 26 106 27 080 69994 67019 33 093 33 102 27 118 19 110 67019 64279 28 084 32 079 32 095 27 105 64279 61656 23 083 25 072 29 076 28 084 61656 58964 21 077 26 077 27 091 25 091 58964 56212 24 090 27 084 27 079 30 092 56212 53606 28 097 25 089 24 081 32 086 53606 51259 26 101 19 088 17 083 23 074 51259 49146 28 105 18 090 13 090 15 082 49146 47211 27 103 19 098 13 100 15 103 47211 45410 24 099 19 109 12 093 15 099 45410 43724 15 091 19 117 12 075 14 068 43724 42137 11 100 17 124 12 065 17 055 42137 40637 16 127 16 124 12 060 18 050 40637 39215 18 122 15 121 12 085 18 047 39215 37835 24 110 22 112 17 084 24 048 37835 36430 29 103 23 097 19 076 26 052 36430 34976 28 101 22 096 21 082 25 067 34976 33476 29 103 27 098 26 091 28 075 33476 31912 30 103 28 099 28 095 29 079 31912 30270 31 096 27 097 28 094 28 087 30270 28553 32 091 30 094 27 090 26 089 28553 26763 33 087 32 095 27 090 24 091 26763 24902 33 086 31 096 25 089 22 086 24902 22971 31 088 26 093 22 086 21 082 22971 20968 27 087 22 089 21 087 20 086 20968 18887 22 086 19 088 21 090 20 081 18887 16770 17 079 16 080 20 092 19 077 16770 14732 18 065 17 074 20 088 18 081 14732 12876 21 064 20 074 21 089 16 088 12876 11221 22 072 20 070 22 082 17 073 11221 9747 17 071 18 065 21 065 21 060 9747 8437 15 064 15 063 16 060 19 054 8437 7268 16 060 12*063 13 064 15 070 7268 6229 15 063 9*063 9 071 13 084 6229 5308 11*071 6 066 6 085 9 097 5308 4492 8*072 5 069 4 112 6 120 4492 3758 6 070 4 072 3 134 4 165 3758 3108 6 069 3 076 4 141 4 199 3108 2563 5 070 3 080 4 144 4 209 2563 2145 5 070 3 084 4 146 4 211 2145 1856 5 069 3 086 4 149 4 212 1856 1680 5 069 3 086 3 149 3 218 1680 1580 4 069 2 089 3*148 2*241 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography