DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.2 - - 75.9 - - 80.0 - - 72.4 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 165 - - 122 - - -11 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 613 - - 1870 - - 2965 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2278 - - 2886 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1998 - - 3255 - - 4350 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 807 - - 854 - - 1395 - - 2794 - - 1391 Hgt.Variab. W* 123 - - 284 - - 297 - - 19 - - 61 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 192 - - 200 - - 136 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 419 - - -143 - - -372 - - -1118 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 3398 - - 4722 - - 2697 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential 65 - - -4407 - - -3730 - - -6105 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 1933 - - 7662 - - 8080 - - 7684 - - 1579 blCL maxRH 100 - - 85 - - 80 - - 80 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1170 - - 1790 - - 1740 - - 1400 - - 2320 CAPE Temp@2m 68.2 - - 75.9 - - 80.0 - - 72.4 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.4 - - 66.0 - - 64.3 - - 65.6 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.6 - - 74.5 - - 78.8 - - 74.3 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.1 - - 65.2 - - 63.8 - - 65.2 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 165 - - 122 - - -11 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 613 - - 1870 - - 2965 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 39 - - 22 - - 18 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96849 58 255 63 259 63 257 60 267 61 267 96849 89607 57 261 55 260 56 256 54 261 53 262 89607 84048 44 258 43 263 42 263 44 265 39 263 84048 79441 29 261 28 258 24 271 29 257 22 257 79441 75460 17 272 17 240 17 263 19 252 15 242 75460 71923 11 276 8 228 12 239 17 251 11 256 71923 68718 10 281 10 258 9 231 15 225 16 225 68718 65806 16 229 16 260 9 282 12 231 17 218 65806 63162 17 227 23 246 23 256 18 249 17 236 63162 60639 22 252 30 232 27 243 25 252 19 252 60639 58008 24 261 32 235 34 243 30 257 30 258 58008 55253 24 224 34 231 39 235 39 239 39 239 55253 52583 29 224 33 233 42 230 42 224 40 247 52583 50151 42 244 47 248 49 251 50 252 56 259 50151 47979 59 248 63 253 66 253 68 255 69 255 47979 46025 70 247 71 248 76 247 74 250 74 251 46025 44243 73 247 75 249 76 247 72 253 74 253 44243 42595 74 248 75 253 74 259 72 261 72 257 42595 41051 75 249 74 255 76 266 76 267 72 261 41051 39594 81 248 74 255 82 267 80 268 74 264 39594 38214 83 244 73 254 83 265 82 267 76 265 38214 36877 78 245 70 252 79 261 81 265 77 264 36877 35518 73 247 66 248 74 257 76 265 76 261 35518 34108 69 249 62 248 68 255 70 263 74 260 34108 32650 62 250 60 251 62 253 66 262 70 263 32650 31127 56 250 59 253 61 252 63 260 62 267 31127 29532 52 254 55 253 59 254 58 260 55 270 29532 27863 47 256 49 253 54 257 53 261 50 271 27863 26123 42 258 44 255 48 256 47 262 44 270 26123 24313 35 260 38 258 45 255 42 261 37 271 24313 22438 29 261 32 255 39 256 39 258 33 262 22438 20496 27 260 28 249 33 256 35 255 31 250 20496 18477 26 257 28 251 30 255 29 252 29 247 18477 16418 23 253 29 253 30 253 26 255 25 251 16418 14430 19 250 26 247 30 254 26 256 22 254 14430 12619 16 246 23 236 27 244 23 242 20 253 12619 11003 18 248 22 238 24 234 22 242 21 247 11003 9559 17 252 16 246 20 234 19 249 22 251 9559 8269 13 273 12 259 14 239 14 249 19 257 8269 7119 11 287 9 276 7 252 10 248 15 251 7119 6098 9 297 11 273 7 252 7 247 12 242 6098 5197 9 286 12 244 7 207 7 212 12 215 5197 4401 10 244 13 214 7*202 10 179 12 191 4401 3687 13 221 12*199 7*201 11 168 17 168 3687 3056 15 214 11*194 7 200 10 161 20 159 3056 2529 13 212 11 192 7 200 9 156 20 158 2529 2124 10*209 11 192 7 200 9 150 18 157 2124 1845 8*207 10 191 6 201 8 145 15 156 1845 1676 8 207 9 191 6 200 6*140 13*155 1676 1579 6 206 8 191 6 201 4*136 10*155 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography