DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.6 - - 85.3 - - 91.1 - - - - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 249 - - 204 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1711 - - 2713 - - 4390 - - - - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 3046 - - 4229 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3096 - - 4098 - - 5775 - - - - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 634 - - 960 - - 1652 - - - - - 2621 Hgt.Variab. W* 213 - - 370 - - 409 - - - - - 36 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 189 - - 174 - - - - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 710 - - -395 - - -797 - - - - - -2390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2386 - - 4494 - - 6572 - - - - - 3970 sfcLCL ODpotential -4866 - - -4433 - - -4361 - - - - - -4998 ODpotential blCL 7962 - - 8531 - - 10136 - - - - - 6578 blCL maxRH 94 - - 87 - - 83 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE 540 - - 850 - - 710 - - - - - 1140 CAPE Temp@2m 77.6 - - 85.3 - - 91.1 - - - - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.0 - - 70.6 - - 67.5 - - - - - 70.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.7 - - 83.4 - - 89.3 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.3 - - 69.4 - - 66.2 - - - - - 69.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 249 - - 204 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1711 - - 2713 - - 4390 - - - - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 47 - - 33 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 16 - - 14 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99107 43 095 46 096 44 089 45 089 99107 91607 51 090 43 092 42 101 41 084 91607 85845 50 088 47 089 46 100 44 084 85845 81073 42 088 43 081 45 089 47 089 81073 76970 33 086 37 083 44 078 45 089 76970 73364 29 094 33 096 32 080 35 083 73364 70120 29 100 31 103 22 094 28 072 70120 67148 29 091 28 102 21 107 23 063 67148 64408 28 080 27 099 22 098 19 073 64408 61773 25 085 27 097 25 096 17 080 61773 59055 23 088 24 086 25 095 18 079 59055 56268 23 086 22 072 23 082 23 063 56268 53631 24 086 21 066 18 065 23 053 53631 51270 26 075 22 076 18 064 18 054 51270 49150 29 070 24 079 20 054 18 057 49150 47210 29 060 23 075 19 050 18 043 47210 45411 24 052 22 069 18 055 18 028 45411 43727 19 052 21 063 17 060 13 027 43727 42142 17 058 18 067 15 057 8 046 42142 40645 15 064 16 073 12 059 7 031 40645 39228 15 074 16 072 12 067 10 012 39228 37856 16 084 18 070 12 072 15 008 37856 36459 19 076 18 073 12 075 12 013 36459 35008 21 070 19 079 12 078 6 045 35008 33504 21 071 20 090 11 081 6 039 33504 31930 19 063 19 088 10 067 9 017 31930 30278 17 052 16 079 10 052 11 000 30278 28556 11 052 12 087 7 048 10 334 28556 26765 8 059 8 086 7 040 7 006 26765 24903 10 056 5 055 9 036 11 030 24903 22973 9 072 3 015 7 032 11 033 22973 20968 6 082 3 031 6 027 12 038 20968 18884 6 067 7 064 7 045 14 055 18884 16761 12 070 12 068 11 058 15 055 16761 14709 14 059 14 069 13 067 16 050 14709 12836 10 067 9 076 9 071 17 045 12836 11169 9 101 6 109 5 110 15 033 11169 9694 9 132 7 136 7 154 9 001 9694 8387 11 152 10 160 10 175 3 283 8387 7226 13 168 13 174 11 177 5 170 7226 6193 16 181 13 184 11*174 6 161 6193 5278 18 189 13 189 11*174 9 159 5278 4467 20 192 11*190 10 174 14 158 4467 3739 17*189 10*190 10 174 18 156 3739 3094 15*187 9 189 10 174 21 154 3094 2554 14 186 9 189 9 174 20 151 2554 2139 13 186 9 189 9 175 18 147 2139 1853 12 186 8 189 8 175 14 140 1853 1679 11 186 8 189 8 175 10*134 1679 1580 9 185 7 188 7 174 6*132 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography