DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 85.9 - - 84.3 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 79 - - -20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2637 - - 3248 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2808 - - 3036 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4022 - - 4633 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1496 - - 1089 - - 3902 - - 1566 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 298 - - 60 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 190 - - 178 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 659 - - 871 - - -1650 - - -31 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3363 - - 3762 - - 3230 - - 1611 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4205 - - -4267 - - -6866 - - -7579 ODpotential blCL - - - 8227 - - 8900 - - 8446 - - 9159 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 83 - - 77 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 2120 - - 2710 - - 3000 - - 2670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 85.9 - - 84.3 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.5 - - 73.8 - - 74.5 - - 74.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.5 - - 85.1 - - 85.2 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 72.4 - - 73.3 - - 74.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 79 - - -20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2637 - - 3248 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 31 - - 8 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - 19 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98407 26 094 33 112 26 100 26 085 98407 90987 16 103 21 120 25 094 26 099 90987 85272 14 098 17 118 20 099 25 103 85272 80519 20 098 22 101 21 112 20 103 80519 76431 23 098 24 092 20 103 21 105 76431 72833 16 089 20 078 21 100 19 092 72833 69600 9 104 12 090 14 083 15 076 69600 66659 16 112 13 102 7 103 9 068 66659 63955 18 068 15 078 12 103 14 096 63955 61358 8 050 12 050 13 071 16 088 61358 58676 1 348 3 019 6 051 9 082 58676 55920 7 343 8 284 11 307 8 343 55920 53307 16 311 15 282 20 296 17 305 53307 50958 23 294 18 275 22 289 21 292 50958 48839 27 283 23 291 24 287 23 291 48839 46893 31 275 28 282 28 270 27 279 46893 45085 33 267 28 271 29 255 28 266 45085 43391 32 269 30 277 28 258 27 262 43391 41797 32 284 34 282 30 268 28 262 41797 40290 38 292 36 278 31 268 30 259 40290 38864 41 290 36 276 32 264 32 256 38864 37483 40 284 35 271 31 263 34 261 37483 36081 42 280 35 270 30 262 33 261 36081 34631 47 278 35 277 29 260 30 255 34631 33141 40 282 28 276 30 262 27 251 33141 31594 30 277 26 268 27 262 27 255 31594 29973 28 293 25 266 21 258 21 263 29973 28277 24 288 22 294 18 267 14 263 28277 26509 20 272 17 308 8 291 5 265 26509 24674 17 260 15 297 9 293 4 316 24674 22776 9 282 11 283 14 291 8 325 22776 20806 3 000 8 284 7 299 8 318 20806 18756 9 034 3 347 5 316 7 315 18756 16665 12 015 6 016 7 321 9 334 16665 14647 14 360 8 357 13 341 12 351 14647 12808 15 347 12 345 19 349 17 342 12808 11167 13 337 16 341 23 344 20 338 11167 9701 10 338 17 334 22 338 19 338 9701 8389 9 343 14 328 18 328 17 335 8389 7218 8 345 11 324 12 297 14 323 7218 6178 5 324 7 300 10 262 10 302 6178 5260 4 275 8*214 12 214 11 250 5260 4451 4*224 8*203 12 202 16 221 4451 3726 5*202 9 194 12 193 15 197 3726 3084 6 198 9 189 12 188 17 175 3084 2548 6 197 9 186 11 183 20 166 2548 2136 6 195 9 184 11 181 19 164 2136 1851 6 193 9 184 10 180 16 162 1851 1679 6 193 8 183 9*179 12*161 1679 1580 5 193 8 182 7*178 7*160 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography