DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 82.0 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 237 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1903 - - 2842 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2505 - - 3107 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3288 - - 4227 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 619 - - 1094 - - - - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 349 - - 364 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 204 - - - - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2718 - - -3786 - - - - - -3891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6006 - - 8013 - - - - - 5470 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7479 - - -7153 - - - - - -10391 ODpotential blCL - - - 10767 - - 11380 - - - - - 11970 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 43 - - - - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 82.0 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.3 - - 52.4 - - - - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 80.3 - - - - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 51.4 - - - - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 237 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1903 - - 2842 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97027 45 248 40 257 37 274 97027 89695 20 270 23 256 29 261 89695 84093 7 247 18 241 16 280 84093 79484 2 153 8 236 11 299 79484 75521 3 095 2 197 4 062 75521 72018 5 094 3 169 10 046 72018 68855 6 058 6 084 10 054 68855 65962 7 059 4 092 6 070 65962 63294 9 035 2 064 4 036 63294 60724 4 314 9 003 4 013 60724 58059 2 179 4 342 4 014 58059 55294 2 048 4 047 1 112 55294 52639 7 311 10 008 4 098 52639 50236 13 275 13 357 11 010 50236 48073 6 345 15 356 19 355 48073 46103 14 030 18 004 23 001 46103 44298 24 015 19 006 21 006 44298 42641 25 013 18 011 17 356 42641 41101 26 016 16 022 13 344 41101 39651 34 023 19 028 13 005 39651 38280 38 025 26 038 16 023 38280 36952 40 029 33 032 20 032 36952 35601 39 035 32 035 22 035 35601 34195 40 042 31 045 21 045 34195 32740 44 048 32 050 21 049 32740 31219 41 041 34 050 21 042 31219 29621 32 031 32 049 24 031 29621 27948 33 017 28 042 23 023 27948 26198 36 359 33 028 29 028 26198 24373 33 000 39 016 33 034 24373 22482 33 009 37 010 32 025 22482 20526 33 015 34 011 34 021 20526 18496 28 019 34 019 39 024 18496 16427 29 034 26 030 38 029 16427 14432 25 036 20 041 23 040 14432 12613 16 032 12 027 14 055 12613 10991 7 033 9 009 12 032 10991 9545 4 016 5 342 11 011 9545 8255 3 335 4 304 7 345 8255 7105 5 237 6 266 6 317 7105 6084 7 212 8 244 9 254 6084 5185 8 205 12 209 14 220 5185 4392 11 213 13*202 17 204 4392 3682 13*213 14*202 19 194 3682 3052 13*213 14 203 21 185 3052 2526 13 212 13 204 23 179 2526 2122 12 213 13 204 22 176 2122 1844 11 212 12 205 17 175 1844 1675 11 212 11 205 11*176 1675 1579 9 212 10 205 6*175 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography