DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.4 - - 69.9 - - 72.0 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 28 - - 29 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 933 - - 194 - - - - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 2318 - - 1579 - - - - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1655 - - 2000 - - 3415 - - - - - 617 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 128 - - 80 - - - - - 29 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 281 - - 358 - - - - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -2 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 696 - - -784 - - - - - -496 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 1622 - - 2363 - - - - - 2074 sfcLCL ODpotential -37 - - 64 - - -1290 - - - - - -6240 ODpotential blCL 1616 - - 2254 - - 2869 - - - - - 7818 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE 1300 - - 1240 - - 1110 - - - - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m 68.4 - - 69.9 - - 72.0 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.0 - - 67.6 - - 66.6 - - - - - 59.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.0 - - 69.5 - - 71.4 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.9 - - 67.1 - - 65.7 - - - - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 28 - - 29 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 933 - - 194 - - - - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 96 - - - - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96658 53 272 52 275 47 270 45 272 96658 89454 29 273 33 271 31 277 32 288 89454 83918 18 294 20 276 21 278 27 276 83918 79346 9 286 11 280 16 271 11 264 79346 75433 5 274 8 274 10 278 11 316 75433 71968 0 075 7 255 10 301 9 307 71968 68829 9 073 4 170 7 273 6 312 68829 65961 4 021 6 116 8 184 5 234 65961 63336 6 000 2 141 10 159 11 198 63336 60821 17 265 5 290 4 001 12 229 60821 58197 27 248 28 249 23 278 24 255 58197 55452 30 240 31 244 34 256 31 242 55452 52796 30 238 40 246 38 236 35 243 52796 50382 32 239 43 241 43 236 41 247 50382 48215 33 236 42 235 46 233 44 247 48215 46239 35 241 42 238 44 236 46 251 46239 44416 40 244 45 244 46 244 52 256 44416 42723 46 247 47 250 51 247 60 254 42723 41141 49 252 48 252 54 247 63 251 41141 39656 50 255 50 253 55 247 63 253 39656 38256 54 257 52 255 55 251 64 261 38256 36910 55 255 53 256 56 256 66 267 36910 35550 48 250 52 253 55 257 63 267 35550 34145 42 248 49 247 53 254 58 263 34145 32692 42 251 45 244 50 249 53 259 32692 31175 42 255 45 245 47 247 50 253 31175 29582 41 256 43 248 45 253 50 248 29582 27914 40 257 43 253 46 257 50 248 27914 26169 39 257 42 257 45 257 49 252 26169 24349 39 256 40 257 43 252 49 255 24349 22458 39 255 36 253 42 249 47 255 22458 20490 37 253 37 248 42 249 44 255 20490 18444 35 252 38 247 39 252 36 258 18444 16363 34 254 34 248 35 255 28 265 16363 14359 34 255 28 246 30 252 23 264 14359 12538 35 254 30 247 29 247 21 251 12538 10921 28 239 29 249 29 241 22 239 10921 9484 20 232 27 237 28 244 22 231 9484 8204 20 233 24 223 24 243 20 230 8204 7063 19 235 23 220 22 239 17 242 7063 6050 16 237 16 227 17 249 9 275 6050 5158 14 235 8 259 10 260 4 302 5158 4370 12 235 7 274 4 283 1 208 4370 3662 11 232 6 278 4 311 3 138 3662 3035 9 221 6 280 4 347 3 061 3035 2513 8 209 6*281 4 353 10 016 2513 2113 6 203 5*281 4 356 15 010 2113 1840 5 200 5 281 4 356 13 008 1840 1673 4*200 5 280 4*357 9 007 1673 1578 4*200 4 280 4*358 5*003 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography