DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 71.6 - - 68.0 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 183 - - -16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1768 - - 2799 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2216 - - 2969 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3153 - - 4184 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 685 - - 904 - - 2884 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 332 - - 26 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 196 - - 157 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -923 - - -2527 - - -3566 - - -2572 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4076 - - 6711 - - 5145 - - 4150 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10448 - - -10560 - - -12248 - - -13743 ODpotential blCL - - - 13601 - - 14744 - - 13827 - - 15321 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 54 - - 50 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 71.6 - - 68.0 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 47.8 - - 51.1 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 70.1 - - 69.7 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 46.8 - - 50.1 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 183 - - -16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1768 - - 2799 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96526 6 216 9 223 5 301 5 095 96526 89404 9 121 7 166 12 224 4 300 89404 83911 3 138 2 120 8 249 4 153 83911 79322 9 194 6 222 8 289 5 159 79322 75352 7 205 9 233 9 283 7 252 75352 71853 8 243 10 250 9 258 11 262 71853 68706 9 262 9 267 8 251 10 272 68706 65839 9 247 12 263 12 238 13 265 65839 63205 12 274 16 286 12 274 12 282 63205 60675 25 279 26 288 26 287 31 292 60675 58040 32 274 32 286 34 279 37 289 58040 55283 33 276 34 277 35 273 42 285 55283 52629 33 276 35 272 39 271 43 276 52629 50221 37 275 43 274 45 273 50 274 50221 48050 46 278 53 275 55 272 58 271 48050 46073 57 277 58 272 61 270 57 271 46073 44257 59 273 60 272 58 274 51 283 44257 42588 51 274 57 277 50 286 50 296 42588 41044 44 277 46 276 45 294 48 303 41044 39602 38 271 35 275 40 291 45 308 39602 38242 32 277 32 277 35 286 43 311 38242 36923 30 284 31 283 32 290 44 313 36923 35578 27 284 31 291 32 297 40 313 35578 34178 24 276 30 296 32 300 35 312 34178 32729 29 263 25 291 29 300 30 304 32729 31213 33 254 26 279 29 298 27 297 31213 29619 32 254 30 259 30 294 24 290 29619 27949 31 258 29 249 32 289 27 286 27949 26211 30 261 28 255 31 289 34 297 26211 24405 27 269 27 266 30 289 38 302 24405 22530 25 272 25 273 30 292 37 297 22530 20574 24 265 23 274 28 286 33 296 20574 18531 21 252 20 274 25 278 29 300 18531 16441 20 236 19 259 22 277 21 316 16441 14418 19 219 19 241 19 276 17 303 14418 12573 19 211 19 227 19 269 13 284 12573 10933 18 205 20 217 18 256 14 274 10933 9475 19 197 20 210 16 246 15 266 9475 8181 19 202 17 214 14 239 13 252 8181 7034 15 211 15 231 11 241 11 247 7034 6019 9 215 13 233 12 247 14 239 6019 5128 5 220 11 210 10 205 14 199 5128 4346 8 212 10*198 12 173 18 170 4346 3647 11*186 9*196 12 167 20 161 3647 3028 11*181 9 196 12 165 19 158 3028 2511 11 179 9 196 11 164 19 157 2511 2113 11 178 8 196 10 163 17 154 2113 1839 10 178 8 196 9 161 14 152 1839 1673 9 177 7 196 7*160 9*149 1673 1578 8 177 6 196 4*157 5*143 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography