DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 53.2 - - 50.9 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 43 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 192 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1560 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2034 - - 1577 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 486 - - 1626 - - 1194 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 85 - - 25 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 129 - - 114 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2112 - - -2531 - - -1301 - - -552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4146 - - 4108 - - 2878 - - 2129 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11156 - - -10075 - - -9145 - - -8898 ODpotential blCL - - - 13190 - - 11652 - - 10722 - - 10475 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 53.2 - - 50.9 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 41.1 - - 44.1 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 52.5 - - 51.5 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 40.4 - - 43.4 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 43 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 192 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 22 251 21 253 25 269 24 257 96166 89041 9 211 10 257 12 198 15 213 89041 83543 15 246 11 231 13 278 8 251 83543 78980 25 220 21 258 23 262 13 264 78980 75065 19 235 25 250 24 263 21 281 75065 71625 21 246 26 244 29 266 21 265 71625 68493 22 251 24 251 30 245 18 261 68493 65583 29 272 30 273 30 261 26 285 65583 62906 33 273 35 258 39 266 37 277 62906 60352 36 273 32 247 35 257 37 267 60352 57692 44 277 37 267 35 266 38 263 57692 54907 53 272 52 278 46 272 44 264 54907 52223 60 266 64 272 56 268 52 265 52223 49794 61 257 68 265 59 265 57 266 49794 47610 63 249 70 254 61 262 61 265 47610 45623 60 248 67 243 65 252 65 261 45623 43802 60 253 65 240 64 244 69 251 43802 42124 73 261 65 249 67 247 71 243 42124 40570 86 259 76 258 74 253 70 247 40570 39129 87 258 84 258 81 255 76 255 39129 37778 87 257 84 256 86 255 83 251 37778 36467 87 256 84 256 80 253 82 248 36467 35129 84 256 80 257 75 254 81 252 35129 33734 78 255 76 255 74 254 77 256 33734 32289 70 254 71 254 69 255 70 256 32289 30783 63 255 66 256 60 258 57 255 30783 29204 61 256 62 258 57 262 51 255 29204 27549 61 257 61 259 57 262 49 257 27549 25818 59 261 60 259 57 261 50 259 25818 24011 57 264 58 262 55 263 50 262 24011 22137 48 265 53 266 52 268 48 269 22137 20190 39 266 43 272 45 273 45 276 20190 18167 34 271 35 276 36 274 40 280 18167 16109 29 278 30 278 29 272 32 275 16109 14130 27 282 28 276 28 268 30 267 14130 12329 25 284 24 272 26 265 27 257 12329 10726 19 275 18 274 20 260 23 253 10726 9297 16 271 11 274 16 254 19 257 9297 8029 18 239 15 227 23 236 22 241 8029 6909 19 207 20 209 27 219 27 223 6909 5923 19 196 20 204 26 214 27 213 5923 5054 16 195 17 200 20 209 25 206 5054 4284 13 192 15 193 15 191 24 197 4284 3596 11 159 13 167 15 168 22 179 3596 2988 12 132 12 140 13 150 23 156 2988 2482 9 101 10 128 10 128 23 142 2482 2094 8*073 9 127 9 118 19 131 2094 1829 7*069 9 127 8 116 12 122 1829 1669 7 069 8*127 6 116 7*116 1669 1577 6 069 7*129 4*114 4*113 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography