DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 60.7 - - 68.3 - - 59.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 162 - - 111 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 797 - - 806 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 1562 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2182 - - 2191 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 747 - - 337 - - 466 - - 405 - - 147 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 209 - - 187 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 14 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 223 - - 229 - - 207 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 12 - - -2251 - - -248 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 2170 - - 4443 - - 1826 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -9263 - - -9113 - - -9968 - - -9456 - - -9708 ODpotential blCL 10841 - - 11295 - - 12159 - - 11034 - - 11286 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 64 - - 80 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 60.7 - - 68.3 - - 59.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.7 - - 56.4 - - 54.2 - - 56.7 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 59.5 - - 67.2 - - 61.5 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.7 - - 55.9 - - 53.5 - - 56.7 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 162 - - 111 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 797 - - 806 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 81 - - 0 - - 19 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96744 33 249 33 270 41 256 37 270 44 274 96744 89416 25 259 21 259 28 248 39 266 35 269 89416 83848 14 239 13 241 15 247 24 255 25 270 83848 79277 13 235 19 256 15 288 12 247 15 226 79277 75335 16 254 23 249 18 274 11 260 9 247 75335 71836 18 258 23 250 19 267 16 250 15 236 71836 68663 19 241 22 254 20 270 19 267 18 255 68663 65779 10 229 18 244 19 247 21 272 23 262 65779 63149 22 272 16 249 18 246 18 237 17 283 63149 60618 34 262 26 283 31 270 25 267 27 280 60618 57991 30 258 27 271 31 272 32 263 33 265 57991 55270 30 266 24 274 26 265 33 259 33 264 55270 52656 31 266 23 288 25 262 32 253 33 262 52656 50276 30 264 22 296 22 271 31 256 32 263 50276 48112 28 268 24 295 26 285 31 270 32 270 48112 46121 31 261 28 276 32 285 33 280 35 277 46121 44278 34 254 31 252 33 273 34 284 38 279 44278 42573 31 257 30 244 31 263 30 283 36 276 42573 40993 26 274 25 256 27 266 26 276 32 262 40993 39520 25 288 22 265 25 267 22 268 31 255 39520 38139 26 294 20 266 23 270 18 264 26 250 38139 36809 28 292 22 271 23 275 13 270 19 248 36809 35462 28 285 27 274 21 281 10 301 10 265 35462 34067 28 280 31 274 19 284 14 326 8 287 34067 32623 28 277 32 272 19 284 15 321 3 268 32623 31112 28 269 32 268 23 282 15 295 4 294 31112 29525 25 259 30 261 30 271 17 296 14 302 29525 27867 22 253 28 263 31 266 23 286 20 321 27867 26138 21 256 26 275 26 265 25 273 21 298 26138 24339 20 269 22 281 23 267 24 267 25 279 24339 22471 20 283 21 282 24 273 24 273 24 277 22471 20529 20 286 22 275 26 280 22 282 19 288 20529 18505 21 290 22 278 25 285 19 294 14 301 18505 16437 21 294 20 286 24 298 19 305 17 302 16437 14440 19 296 18 298 21 303 18 307 17 297 14440 12620 16 299 15 296 16 300 15 301 16 290 12620 10996 14 288 15 289 13 304 15 300 16 286 10996 9547 16 280 15 287 12 308 17 301 17 286 9547 8254 16 277 16 283 11 297 18 300 19 291 8254 7104 16 283 16 267 14 273 15 296 20 302 7104 6082 18 288 15 261 15 265 14 299 20 314 6082 5180 20 277 17 272 16 280 14 308 20 321 5180 4382 21 252 22 266 20 286 14 308 18 326 4382 3668 22 236 23 254 20 275 14 294 14 318 3668 3037 25 222 22 233 18 264 13 277 10 286 3037 2512 25 219 18*225 13*244 10 243 9 250 2512 2111 24 218 15*223 11*231 10 216 9 223 2111 1838 18 219 14 223 11 229 10 210 9 215 1838 1672 14*219 13 223 10 228 7*208 7*217 1672 1578 11*219 11 222 8 227 4*207 4*217 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography