DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 54.5 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 129 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1959 - - 1637 - - - - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2510 - - 1947 - - - - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3344 - - 3022 - - - - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 542 - - 613 - - - - - 2733 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 245 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 41 - - 39 - - - - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 012 - - - - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 22 - - 22 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -38 - - -32 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1164 - - -1362 - - - - - -1868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4508 - - 4384 - - - - - 3446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12753 - - -13765 - - - - - -14613 ODpotential blCL - - - 16097 - - 16787 - - - - - 16190 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 54.5 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 41.2 - - - - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 53.7 - - - - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 40.8 - - - - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 129 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1959 - - 1637 - - - - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 100 - - - - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97944 33 274 31 267 24 295 97944 90603 17 238 27 261 18 308 90603 84946 10 220 9 239 15 295 84946 80231 10 157 12 170 15 212 80231 76184 10 113 18 157 13 189 76184 72635 11 071 15 135 7 133 72635 69432 3 089 5 114 10 088 69432 66480 10 187 2 312 5 079 66480 63756 15 175 2 251 4 027 63756 61166 18 159 9 204 9 346 61166 58506 10 165 12 206 14 316 58506 55760 14 237 16 246 18 288 55760 53142 23 235 22 238 30 272 53142 50774 28 254 30 258 37 263 50774 48639 38 256 35 259 37 268 48639 46692 33 258 34 269 39 274 46692 44893 29 272 37 272 41 273 44893 43215 38 276 39 273 42 272 43215 41637 44 274 43 273 41 273 41637 40147 49 269 48 271 40 275 40147 38736 43 259 49 266 40 278 38736 37369 39 244 45 261 41 280 37369 35978 34 247 41 249 36 273 35978 34539 28 256 35 251 32 257 34539 33052 24 255 32 260 30 260 33052 31497 27 244 28 263 31 274 31497 29861 31 243 24 256 28 278 29861 28143 30 240 20 260 24 293 28143 26347 24 248 18 269 20 296 26347 24480 15 251 11 268 13 285 24480 22546 1 240 2 009 7 035 22546 20537 3 067 6 034 9 044 20537 18446 4 236 4 335 5 009 18446 16319 10 262 11 292 8 345 16319 14271 13 293 12 308 15 013 14271 12413 9 319 14 314 16 008 12413 10771 6 334 10 318 12 340 10771 9319 7 346 8 327 8 302 9319 8030 8 011 10 005 3 309 8030 6888 13 036 17 021 12 039 6888 5884 28 035 23 029 28 049 5884 5013 43 033 33 032 38 040 5013 4253 50 028 44 023 43 028 4253 3577 49*022 47*015 44 020 3577 2978 46*020 45*013 42 018 2978 2478 44 019 43 012 38 016 2478 2094 42 018 39 012 33 015 2094 1830 38 018 35 012 28 015 1830 1669 33 018 31 012 24*014 1669 1577 25 018 23 012 17*014 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography