DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 72.2 - - 74.0 - - 69.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 58 - - 145 - - 100 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 819 - - 2483 - - 2763 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2657 - - 2632 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2204 - - 3868 - - 4148 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 987 - - 1989 - - 2412 - - 3527 - - 1478 Hgt.Variab. W* 155 - - 300 - - 274 - - 27 - - 15 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 142 - - 114 - - 127 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -4 - - -9 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -234 - - 592 - - 83 - - -1221 - - -880 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2439 - - 3276 - - 4066 - - 2800 - - 2458 sfcLCL ODpotential -2704 - - -8 - - -910 - - -2417 - - -3794 ODpotential blCL 4908 - - 3876 - - 5058 - - 3996 - - 5372 blCL maxRH 96 - - 93 - - 95 - - 94 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 360 - - 250 - - 280 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 72.2 - - 74.0 - - 69.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.0 - - 63.2 - - 61.5 - - 62.8 - - 60.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.7 - - 70.9 - - 73.1 - - 70.5 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.3 - - 62.2 - - 60.7 - - 62.5 - - 60.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 58 - - 145 - - 100 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 819 - - 2483 - - 2763 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 72 - - 80 - - 74 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97539 35 267 36 256 51 264 52 277 52 273 97539 90150 27 261 27 257 32 262 33 273 31 282 90150 84503 20 267 21 267 17 271 17 275 23 280 84503 79829 14 266 14 267 13 277 11 282 12 263 79829 75818 13 268 12 268 7 285 7 293 9 250 75818 72295 13 261 10 254 6 242 12 294 10 267 72295 69117 16 261 9 261 9 261 13 276 12 280 69117 66197 18 244 11 227 12 258 15 270 13 256 66197 63495 17 224 16 225 17 239 22 249 17 251 63495 60895 19 211 20 222 24 211 28 222 20 256 60895 58194 27 264 25 264 20 261 20 251 27 248 58194 55385 56 238 48 240 45 245 47 244 39 251 55385 52706 55 227 46 234 50 237 51 242 52 257 52706 50307 59 239 61 244 60 243 62 251 63 259 50307 48169 76 243 70 241 69 245 71 253 70 265 48169 46230 79 240 72 239 74 245 73 253 73 266 46230 44441 73 241 69 239 71 244 71 253 73 263 44441 42774 70 243 68 240 68 245 68 253 70 259 42774 41213 67 243 68 241 67 245 65 252 66 258 41213 39743 63 242 67 243 65 245 63 251 62 257 39743 38352 59 243 64 244 64 245 61 251 59 256 38352 37005 54 246 59 244 62 245 59 250 57 254 37005 35638 50 243 55 242 59 244 55 247 58 250 35638 34221 47 235 56 237 55 242 53 245 57 248 34221 32758 48 232 56 235 55 239 50 245 52 249 32758 31233 48 234 55 236 55 238 47 246 46 249 31233 29637 47 234 53 238 50 240 43 249 41 248 29637 27966 46 235 49 242 42 243 37 249 38 250 27966 26220 43 237 40 246 37 246 30 247 34 255 26220 24397 37 243 33 245 33 244 26 248 32 260 24397 22501 20 248 26 235 28 242 26 240 24 261 22501 20534 17 213 24 222 24 238 25 244 15 258 20534 18494 19 204 18 228 20 231 19 243 16 238 18494 16414 15 229 15 223 15 230 17 244 13 240 16414 14402 10 250 14 199 15 216 13 232 12 226 14402 12568 3 232 10 179 13 199 12 206 14 205 12568 10936 4 120 10 181 12 182 17 177 15 195 10936 9489 5 110 9 182 11 183 17 173 11 197 9489 8204 3 124 6 171 7 191 9 187 8 188 8204 7062 3 158 6 174 6 185 5 215 7 163 7062 6050 5 165 6 166 7 152 1 173 9 147 6050 5157 7 157 7 157 8 130 3 103 11 141 5157 4369 9 150 8*153 8*119 7 113 12 135 4369 3663 10 140 7*146 8*115 11 123 13 132 3663 3039 10 134 7 143 8 114 14 125 15 133 3039 2518 10*128 7 142 8 114 14 126 16 132 2518 2117 9*120 7 141 8 113 14 126 16 131 2117 1841 7 117 6 140 8 114 13 127 13 129 1841 1674 7 116 6 140 7 114 10*127 9 127 1674 1578 6 115 5 140 6 114 7*127 5*126 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography