DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 66.3 - - 64.6 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 107 - - -10 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3070 - - 4607 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3217 - - 4113 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4455 - - 5992 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1593 - - 1393 - - 5492 - - 3600 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 356 - - 352 - - 51 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 032 - - 043 - - 063 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -6 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 241 - - 708 - - -2559 - - -901 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4215 - - 5284 - - 4137 - - 2479 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4187 - - -3726 - - -3312 - - -2822 ODpotential blCL - - - 8642 - - 9718 - - 4890 - - 4400 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 69 - - 79 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 66.3 - - 64.6 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 48.7 - - 52.1 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 65.5 - - 65.1 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 47.5 - - 50.8 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 107 - - -10 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3070 - - 4607 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97999 7 216 10 212 10 305 7 056 97999 90518 9 203 14 187 16 222 11 282 90518 84787 13 209 13 211 17 216 14 238 84787 80032 15 222 12 236 11 246 15 236 80032 75945 16 238 14 249 11 275 14 247 75945 72354 14 263 15 250 13 282 10 276 72354 69121 15 267 17 268 14 276 12 279 69121 66168 12 253 18 268 14 266 10 276 66168 63417 22 249 23 271 24 276 17 288 63417 60754 27 246 34 262 37 266 34 270 60754 58014 31 262 31 265 38 263 41 264 58014 55192 43 279 38 281 39 271 45 267 55192 52492 60 273 55 271 54 268 56 268 52492 50049 71 266 68 265 64 265 62 270 50049 47846 74 269 76 267 70 268 74 273 47846 45839 81 278 84 273 81 272 82 272 45839 43998 96 279 95 273 91 273 86 272 43998 42298 102 274 101 268 99 271 88 272 42298 40722 98 272 96 264 99 267 90 270 40722 39249 90 272 85 264 91 266 89 266 39249 37866 87 272 85 267 87 266 87 266 37866 36534 86 274 87 270 88 267 86 269 36534 35187 82 275 82 274 86 270 86 272 35187 33794 77 270 76 276 77 273 86 275 33794 32352 70 265 74 273 71 274 79 277 32352 30845 63 266 70 268 70 274 68 276 30845 29263 60 267 64 267 67 274 64 277 29263 27608 57 267 58 269 61 274 62 278 27608 25877 53 269 54 269 53 276 58 278 25877 24070 51 271 49 272 50 275 55 277 24070 22189 48 272 47 274 45 275 50 278 22189 20231 45 274 44 276 41 276 44 279 20231 18198 42 277 40 278 37 278 35 281 18198 16136 35 282 31 286 28 283 24 285 16136 14155 26 280 25 286 24 280 20 283 14155 12351 18 282 21 289 21 291 16 294 12351 10749 12 310 13 305 15 309 12 316 10749 9330 9 336 9 326 13 336 7 346 9330 8071 9 025 8 020 8 013 5 019 8071 6955 13 044 14*046 9 045 7 052 6955 5967 17 045 14*043 10 050 9 052 5967 5095 17*039 14 043 9 052 9 044 5095 4324 16*033 14 043 9 055 8 043 4324 3631 16 032 13 043 9 058 6 054 3631 3017 16 031 13 043 8 061 6 070 3017 2504 15 031 13 043 8 062 5 085 2504 2109 15 031 12 043 8 063 5 097 2109 1838 14 031 11 044 7 063 4 103 1838 1672 13 031 11 044 6*063 3*101 1672 1578 11 031 9 044 5*063 2*088 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography