DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 71.2 - - 77.4 - - 74.4 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 254 - - 252 - - -14 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1079 - - 2680 - - 3568 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 3009 - - 3664 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2464 - - 4065 - - 4953 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1678 - - 720 - - 997 - - 4045 - - 1354 Hgt.Variab. W* 143 - - 364 - - 398 - - 34 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 178 - - 176 - - 163 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 647 - - 86 - - -1183 - - -3467 - - -2334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1818 - - 3979 - - 6136 - - 5046 - - 3913 sfcLCL ODpotential 114 - - -4466 - - -5064 - - -7960 - - -8585 ODpotential blCL 2350 - - 8531 - - 10017 - - 9539 - - 10164 blCL maxRH 100 - - 88 - - 69 - - 73 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 71.2 - - 77.4 - - 74.4 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.0 - - 59.0 - - 55.9 - - 57.6 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.4 - - 69.5 - - 75.5 - - 74.9 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.7 - - 58.3 - - 55.2 - - 57.2 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 254 - - 252 - - -14 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1079 - - 2680 - - 3568 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96703 19 246 31 264 25 277 25 276 26 290 96703 89424 12 264 18 266 22 252 28 257 26 295 89424 83860 19 243 18 262 22 257 23 268 20 277 83860 79226 22 247 14 255 16 230 20 255 22 268 79226 75216 25 255 13 274 8 252 16 255 20 253 75216 71689 16 226 11 242 15 260 24 278 21 275 71689 68552 15 291 6 292 14 265 23 281 23 284 68552 65708 36 314 25 319 21 306 28 307 22 313 65708 63085 46 306 29 323 25 316 31 315 25 316 63085 60544 42 301 41 318 41 321 39 323 37 327 60544 57890 44 315 48 313 52 317 47 321 46 328 57890 55125 54 324 57 313 59 316 54 321 49 329 55125 52473 66 318 63 310 61 313 57 311 58 317 52473 50087 68 314 62 306 59 306 54 306 57 306 50087 47948 68 305 63 303 60 303 57 302 55 301 47948 45993 68 297 64 300 62 300 60 298 54 298 45993 44185 67 294 63 300 61 299 59 296 52 298 44185 42506 64 299 62 303 58 302 57 301 50 303 42506 40946 66 308 61 307 58 308 55 308 48 308 40946 39491 69 313 62 310 60 314 54 311 46 310 39491 38128 70 312 62 313 61 317 53 311 45 311 38128 36812 68 312 63 315 62 316 50 309 44 310 36812 35473 66 314 62 316 59 316 48 308 41 306 35473 34079 64 316 60 316 55 318 46 312 39 303 34079 32634 62 318 59 317 53 318 46 316 38 303 32634 31126 58 317 56 319 53 318 47 318 36 303 31126 29542 56 313 51 318 52 318 48 316 36 305 29542 27883 55 309 49 313 51 318 47 311 36 311 27883 26150 54 309 50 311 49 316 46 306 35 312 26150 24343 50 311 51 311 48 314 43 309 35 309 24343 22464 43 306 47 312 44 312 40 311 34 312 22464 20507 37 301 40 306 38 307 37 309 32 320 20507 18466 29 297 36 301 34 306 32 306 30 321 18466 16384 25 299 28 299 29 313 26 311 28 316 16384 14379 22 304 21 305 24 314 19 321 20 313 14379 12559 17 321 14 301 17 296 15 307 14 303 12559 10941 12 338 8 292 14 258 14 270 16 284 10941 9500 10 335 3 298 10 239 14 251 15 271 9500 8214 7 318 4 316 6 235 12 253 14 275 8214 7067 6 317 9 258 10 244 10 266 14 260 7067 6053 10 252 12 226 12 194 10 206 13 207 6053 5162 14 200 14 193 14*178 14 176 14 187 5162 4374 17 183 15*180 15*177 15 170 15 176 4374 3667 18 182 15*179 15 176 15 168 18 164 3667 3041 17 182 15 178 15 176 15 166 24 156 3041 2519 16*183 15 178 14 176 15 166 26 153 2519 2119 14*183 14 177 14 176 14 165 24 152 2119 1842 12 184 14 177 13 176 13 164 18 151 1842 1674 11 184 13 177 12 176 11*164 13*149 1674 1579 9 184 11 177 10 176 8*163 7*146 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography