DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.0 - - 70.7 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 204 - - 232 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1890 - - 3693 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2346 - - 3718 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3275 - - 5078 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 744 - - 1023 - - 4682 - - 2408 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 390 - - 26 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 152 - - 136 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 338 - - 318 - - -3022 - - -406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2937 - - 4761 - - 4600 - - 1984 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 271 - - -5516 - - -4441 - - -1321 ODpotential blCL - - - 3004 - - 10594 - - 6019 - - 2899 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 83 - - 83 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.0 - - 70.7 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.2 - - 57.4 - - 55.9 - - 61.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 71.3 - - 71.7 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 57.0 - - 55.6 - - 61.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 204 - - 232 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1890 - - 3693 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 33 - - 33 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96348 9 123 13 233 5 293 8 166 96348 89286 9 125 8 197 5 285 8 063 89286 83830 7 148 5 132 5 191 6 048 83830 79247 8 114 5 087 8 123 4 067 79247 75263 7 083 4 067 7 118 3 075 75263 71756 7 111 6 339 2 096 1 135 71756 68623 4 113 3 247 4 302 6 292 68623 65770 5 242 5 211 7 240 8 295 65770 63132 17 235 12 242 19 245 12 242 63132 60584 24 236 28 245 34 250 25 245 60584 57930 35 241 36 240 37 243 35 246 57930 55166 44 246 44 249 45 247 49 254 55166 52515 46 244 55 245 55 248 60 246 52515 50111 52 252 63 244 63 250 67 249 50111 47941 67 254 79 249 78 254 79 256 47941 45963 87 253 89 248 91 253 91 257 45963 44142 95 254 94 247 101 251 102 255 44142 42450 97 257 99 249 108 251 109 253 42450 40871 97 257 100 250 108 251 112 251 40871 39398 93 256 93 252 102 252 107 250 39398 38021 83 258 86 259 92 257 97 253 38021 36697 78 263 85 264 86 261 89 256 36697 35352 77 264 84 265 85 263 86 256 35352 33959 79 264 86 263 85 262 83 253 33959 32523 80 264 85 263 83 258 80 252 32523 31025 81 263 83 261 80 256 78 251 31025 29453 82 260 82 258 78 254 75 251 29453 27807 80 257 77 255 73 252 69 252 27807 26085 74 259 70 254 66 248 63 248 26085 24289 66 266 63 256 58 246 59 240 24289 22422 55 267 56 256 53 248 55 237 22422 20477 47 271 48 254 49 249 50 239 20477 18446 40 280 39 255 43 247 44 242 18446 16372 34 273 29 256 31 247 37 241 16372 14367 30 268 21 252 23 254 27 233 14367 12537 15 272 13 229 18 244 20 233 12537 10905 5 264 10 209 15 229 19 236 10905 9451 4 216 7 196 11 213 14 239 9451 8158 5 165 9 144 14 198 13 243 8158 7016 11 122 15 149 17 175 14 211 7016 6012 16 123 15 155 19 164 16 180 6012 5129 17 137 15*156 18 160 19 161 5129 4348 16 154 14*155 17 156 21 153 4348 3648 14*162 13 153 16 152 26 151 3648 3029 11*161 13 152 15 148 29 150 3029 2512 11 160 12 151 15 145 28 150 2512 2114 10 159 11 150 13 142 24 149 2114 1840 10 158 11 150 12 139 19 147 1840 1674 9 158 10 149 9 137 15 147 1674 1578 8 158 9 149 6*136 11*146 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography