DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 89.3 - - 87.5 - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 206 - - 0 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2891 - - 4529 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3200 - - 4308 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4276 - - 5914 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1398 - - 2673 - - 7419 - - 894 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 386 - - 406 - - 17 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 97 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 174 - - 315 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1187 - - -432 - - -4379 - - -3426 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5463 - - 6346 - - 5959 - - 5005 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3154 - - -1428 - - -5695 - - -6804 ODpotential blCL - - - 7430 - - 7342 - - 7275 - - 8383 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 84 - - 70 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 870 - - 1360 - - 1160 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 89.3 - - 87.5 - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.6 - - 66.6 - - 66.5 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.3 - - 87.5 - - 87.7 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 66.0 - - 65.7 - - 64.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 206 - - 0 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2891 - - 4529 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 35 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98190 11 084 11 093 4 097 14 042 98190 90767 24 106 17 120 10 087 18 042 90767 85070 24 089 19 090 20 100 18 072 85070 80371 19 058 19 067 22 090 21 082 80371 76326 12 066 16 073 16 075 17 074 76326 72758 7 065 14 067 12 076 10 063 72758 69541 3 048 11 052 8 042 10 059 69541 66596 4 280 8 018 14 024 18 033 66596 63900 5 068 4 345 9 356 10 012 63900 61310 16 018 10 007 12 001 8 023 61310 58611 17 355 17 349 19 358 23 002 58611 55846 30 345 30 343 35 345 39 353 55846 53251 59 334 53 335 56 336 62 343 53251 50929 77 322 79 325 77 330 79 336 50929 48825 82 320 83 326 76 329 74 336 48825 46878 82 323 83 326 76 329 76 337 46878 45072 76 323 75 325 74 323 76 333 45072 43388 66 324 71 325 71 321 72 329 43388 41808 58 322 66 320 70 323 63 325 41808 40316 53 318 62 317 68 322 58 325 40316 38899 50 312 58 313 64 320 58 326 38899 37527 43 306 54 311 59 320 58 326 37527 36130 41 305 50 311 54 320 58 325 36130 34680 39 304 47 308 51 319 56 326 34680 33182 35 296 45 308 47 317 51 327 33182 31621 32 295 40 309 43 318 43 323 31621 29987 31 298 32 307 37 317 36 322 29987 28278 30 304 28 306 29 311 31 320 28278 26496 26 311 25 304 25 299 25 315 26496 24648 20 311 21 309 19 298 21 314 24648 22736 16 310 17 310 16 295 18 316 22736 20751 12 277 17 305 17 302 18 314 20751 18683 12 272 18 296 16 313 16 317 18683 16580 13 281 18 287 14 309 16 327 16580 14561 13 288 15 276 17 304 15 330 14561 12729 10 286 12 305 16 315 16 339 12729 11102 8 304 15 321 11 330 17 354 11102 9651 4 356 8 336 4 011 15 358 9651 8352 6 036 6 018 4 128 10 003 8352 7194 9 039 5 030 5 140 1 333 7194 6165 9 034 2*042 4 140 5 158 6165 5256 6 028 0*089 3 139 10 141 5256 4450 4*228 0 139 1 139 13 138 4450 3726 5*226 1 171 0 147 16 139 3726 3084 5 224 1 177 0 301 18 139 3084 2548 5 224 1 183 1 307 19 136 2548 2135 5 222 1 189 1 316 18 133 2135 1851 5 221 1 190 1 321 14 129 1851 1678 5 220 1 189 1*317 9 126 1678 1579 4 221 1 186 1*315 5*124 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography