DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 70.8 - - 73.0 - - 66.2 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 141 - - 136 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2683 - - 2895 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2765 - - 2885 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 4068 - - 4280 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 748 - - 2222 - - 1397 - - 2649 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 301 - - 303 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 202 - - 215 - - 260 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - -6 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 471 - - 28 - - -1491 - - -75 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 3597 - - 4252 - - 3069 - - 1653 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -126 - - -2821 - - -7647 - - -6781 ODpotential blCL 1578 - - 4194 - - 7101 - - 9225 - - 8359 blCL maxRH 100 - - 87 - - 82 - - 70 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 360 - - 400 - - 90 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 70.8 - - 73.0 - - 66.2 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.6 - - 60.3 - - 59.6 - - 58.1 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 69.5 - - 71.7 - - 69.6 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.5 - - 59.7 - - 59.1 - - 57.9 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 141 - - 136 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2683 - - 2895 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 48 - - 28 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 62 255 55 250 61 247 66 245 65 256 96480 89230 36 255 33 260 38 253 38 260 42 267 89230 83683 22 274 24 239 31 253 28 273 26 274 83683 79087 21 268 20 263 22 267 22 268 18 283 79087 75135 26 256 24 268 20 294 15 271 13 273 75135 71632 26 263 22 280 22 301 13 318 6 297 71632 68463 23 259 25 280 23 298 21 324 14 345 68463 65578 21 274 24 277 22 301 22 317 22 321 65578 62939 28 292 25 287 23 304 24 312 26 304 62939 60408 29 298 31 291 28 307 28 304 28 304 60408 57768 30 301 34 294 31 301 33 300 34 296 57768 55015 37 298 35 295 37 294 38 297 36 294 55015 52365 40 294 37 293 41 286 41 289 42 297 52365 49959 37 290 39 291 40 288 40 287 46 288 49959 47793 35 289 39 289 43 294 43 293 46 288 47793 45824 37 292 41 294 45 297 51 296 51 294 45824 44014 40 296 46 293 55 296 54 296 57 296 44014 42337 40 295 45 290 58 299 52 299 59 296 42337 40777 34 299 43 295 60 300 52 300 54 299 40777 39322 34 307 41 296 61 298 54 298 53 302 39322 37963 33 295 39 294 61 299 59 297 58 294 37963 36649 29 289 34 291 60 301 60 298 59 291 36649 35309 26 291 32 289 59 303 58 299 50 292 35309 33916 25 291 32 286 53 305 55 300 44 295 33916 32474 21 290 29 284 47 303 51 299 43 298 32474 30968 18 296 26 292 40 302 47 300 43 303 30968 29388 18 298 24 298 33 303 45 306 40 309 29388 27735 19 302 23 306 29 308 38 309 36 311 27735 26011 20 291 22 314 28 316 32 310 31 311 26011 24213 18 280 22 306 27 325 28 316 30 313 24213 22341 17 287 18 286 23 322 25 324 26 318 22341 20392 13 281 14 289 20 309 18 328 20 328 20392 18372 4 313 9 288 15 299 17 315 14 330 18372 16319 8 006 10 330 12 306 14 294 13 314 16319 14336 8 000 13 337 12 324 14 308 15 293 14336 12523 6 314 11 327 12 332 14 318 15 309 12523 10905 7 258 11 287 11 326 14 318 14 326 10905 9465 7 250 13 269 12 314 13 325 10 339 9465 8184 8 251 14 268 13 283 10 327 9 338 8184 7045 7 247 13 262 18 259 9 300 9 330 7045 6035 6 200 10 231 14 240 8 271 7 324 6035 5146 9 178 10 214 9 209 4 217 5 339 5146 4361 11 189 9*209 9*204 6 166 2 320 4361 3658 10 206 9*205 8*206 6 164 2 195 3658 3036 8 215 8 202 8 212 4 179 3 180 3036 2516 5 219 7 201 8 215 3 209 3 177 2516 2116 3 228 7 201 8 218 3 233 2 173 2116 1841 2 006 6 201 8 220 3 245 0 223 1841 1674 2*007 6 200 7 220 3 253 1 346 1674 1578 2*008 5 200 7 220 3*260 3*352 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography