DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 85.5 - - 78.4 - - 77.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 179 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3226 - - 3438 - - 361 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3284 - - 3445 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4611 - - 4823 - - 1746 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 982 - - 1798 - - 1087 - - 1305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 349 - - 358 - - 99 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 132 - - 075 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -8 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1122 - - 185 - - -1214 - - -85 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3489 - - 4639 - - 2961 - - 1664 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 265 - - -2617 - - -5273 - - -2784 ODpotential blCL - - - 4346 - - 7440 - - 7019 - - 4363 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 93 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 1740 - - 1750 - - 1180 - - 2570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 85.5 - - 78.4 - - 77.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.7 - - 70.1 - - 70.3 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 84.2 - - 77.9 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 69.3 - - 69.7 - - 74.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 179 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3226 - - 3438 - - 361 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 72 - - 94 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98784 30 101 15 113 15 094 26 055 98784 91334 23 091 22 094 14 077 23 079 91334 85572 30 099 32 092 26 095 25 084 85572 80785 36 098 30 093 33 097 32 087 80785 76692 28 085 23 094 25 088 32 088 76692 73117 16 069 23 099 15 078 23 086 73117 69894 14 082 26 092 15 098 12 086 69894 66929 15 089 24 080 23 089 19 095 66929 64193 7 097 13 064 22 070 23 080 64193 61576 8 104 4 059 13 054 22 068 61576 58883 18 095 15 107 9 092 18 061 58883 56102 24 088 19 093 15 083 16 052 56102 53444 22 073 18 070 21 061 21 061 53444 51047 22 066 24 059 27 054 26 053 51047 48892 25 058 28 058 27 049 28 057 48892 46926 31 048 32 056 26 058 30 067 46926 45113 35 042 33 048 30 061 29 071 45113 43423 34 036 34 038 31 055 26 069 43423 41836 32 034 33 035 27 051 22 075 41836 40339 32 033 33 034 24 060 20 090 40339 38925 31 030 34 032 20 071 21 100 38925 37556 30 028 32 031 18 075 23 102 37556 36161 29 030 31 033 15 069 22 099 36161 34714 30 035 26 031 9 064 20 098 34714 33220 29 041 20 029 8 080 19 111 33220 31666 20 050 16 042 8 102 19 126 31666 30038 15 051 14 050 6 110 18 120 30038 28336 16 038 13 056 3 121 14 112 28336 26560 14 059 9 056 3 032 15 059 26560 24711 11 071 6 050 9 031 17 054 24711 22793 10 073 5 043 11 032 12 048 22793 20802 11 054 8 027 12 024 8 039 20802 18732 10 036 11 015 13 017 13 035 18732 16625 6 016 9 355 14 005 17 033 16625 14594 3 018 7 326 9 345 15 017 14594 12747 2 040 5 283 9 327 15 351 12747 11105 2 019 2 315 8 352 11 359 11105 9646 1 054 2 015 6 025 7 007 9646 8346 1 065 3 083 4 044 3 279 8346 7187 2 351 9 140 3 200 10 194 7187 6157 3 181 12 141 10 195 12 167 6157 5246 9*158 12*138 13 179 15 144 5246 4440 11*154 12*135 14 164 18 137 4440 3717 12 152 12 133 15 148 23 135 3717 3076 12 151 11 132 13 131 25 130 3076 2542 12 150 11 131 13 111 22 124 2542 2132 11 150 11 130 11 086 18 120 2132 1849 11 150 10 130 10*077 15 119 1849 1678 10 149 10 130 9*076 12 118 1678 1579 9 150 8 130 8 074 9*117 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography