DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 92.3 - - 90.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 264 - - 205 - - -18 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2378 - - 4604 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2807 - - 4374 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3763 - - 5989 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 826 - - 3394 - - 8767 - - 1990 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 411 - - 43 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 153 - - 122 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 40 - - -9 - - -5513 - - -1628 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3723 - - 5998 - - 7093 - - 3208 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2759 - - -1015 - - -6769 - - -5059 ODpotential blCL - - - 6522 - - 7004 - - 8349 - - 6639 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 76 - - 83 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 3270 - - 3130 - - 1350 - - 2150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 92.3 - - 90.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.9 - - 70.9 - - 65.2 - - 71.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.7 - - 90.6 - - 91.8 - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 70.2 - - 64.3 - - 71.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 264 - - 205 - - -18 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2378 - - 4604 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 5 - - 31 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 16 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98753 16 104 10 128 3 074 13 034 98753 91284 24 097 23 105 13 109 16 071 91284 85529 28 114 26 120 18 089 23 085 85529 80753 27 105 25 114 24 094 23 105 80753 76642 22 087 22 083 22 103 22 104 76642 73032 11 092 17 058 19 084 23 082 73032 69796 13 112 12 079 12 082 17 078 69796 66840 12 109 10 115 5 076 7 070 66840 64109 9 135 10 144 4 129 2 260 64109 61478 8 152 10 172 8 127 8 196 61478 58753 6 216 5 227 3 072 3 123 58753 55965 3 176 3 318 5 309 8 354 55965 53336 6 052 9 011 6 003 11 356 53336 50975 10 041 8 023 8 016 9 340 50975 48845 12 044 8 045 7 020 7 332 48845 46896 17 020 14 025 13 015 8 002 46896 45092 20 003 17 013 19 007 14 014 45092 43409 20 350 18 001 18 009 18 014 43409 41832 17 347 16 356 17 019 18 020 41832 40347 14 360 15 007 18 028 20 035 40347 38945 11 009 10 019 14 037 21 034 38945 37587 9 012 8 045 13 051 17 037 37587 36205 10 024 12 046 14 053 15 051 36205 34771 13 014 12 030 13 051 15 060 34771 33287 10 031 10 026 10 054 15 065 33287 31738 10 055 8 041 9 058 12 057 31738 30112 9 058 8 047 8 056 9 048 30112 28411 7 056 7 036 8 043 9 055 28411 26633 5 070 3 038 6 022 12 060 26633 24780 5 039 5 034 7 018 13 047 24780 22856 6 032 6 041 6 019 14 047 22856 20856 3 022 2 062 2 009 9 047 20856 18780 2 266 2 238 1 136 3 054 18780 16670 1 276 2 281 2 093 7 103 16670 14641 1 000 2 356 5 064 9 102 14641 12794 2 070 3 084 4 092 9 107 12794 11148 5 100 6 131 6 171 6 116 11148 9683 9 118 9 157 11 171 5 162 9683 8379 12 121 11 161 13 163 6 172 8379 7217 13 136 12 159 13 156 7 164 7217 6183 13 160 12*158 13 150 9 159 6183 5267 13 170 12*156 13 146 12 159 5267 4454 12*171 12 155 13 142 16 156 4454 3727 10*168 12 153 13 138 25 153 3727 3084 9 166 11 153 13 135 28 152 3084 2548 9 165 11 153 13 132 27 152 2548 2136 9 163 11 152 12 129 24 152 2136 1851 8 162 10 152 11 126 20 152 1851 1678 8 161 10 152 9 124 15*152 1678 1580 7 161 9 152 6*122 10*151 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography