DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.8 - - 75.0 - - 80.5 - - 73.9 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 152 - - 374 - - 326 - - 39 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1462 - - 3137 - - 4001 - - 2092 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1909 - - 3470 - - 4090 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2847 - - 4522 - - 5386 - - 3477 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 509 - - 644 - - 1767 - - 1523 - - 1499 Hgt.Variab. W* 248 - - 432 - - 449 - - 185 - - 54 W* B/S 3 - - 21 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 4 - - 9 - - 27 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 045 - - 014 - - 003 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 11 - - -11 - - -14 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 112 - - -154 - - -585 - - -1632 - - -1415 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2735 - - 4677 - - 5972 - - 5110 - - 2993 sfcLCL ODpotential -8337 - - -4922 - - -2280 - - -3861 - - -10784 ODpotential blCL 11184 - - 9444 - - 7666 - - 7338 - - 12362 blCL maxRH 96 - - 92 - - 76 - - 94 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 300 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.8 - - 75.0 - - 80.5 - - 73.9 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.1 - - 59.8 - - 59.7 - - 57.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.5 - - 72.5 - - 78.1 - - 73.4 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.9 - - 59.4 - - 59.2 - - 56.8 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 152 - - 374 - - 326 - - 39 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1462 - - 3137 - - 4001 - - 2092 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 67 - - 4 - - 75 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97066 36 265 33 275 35 264 39 277 36 283 97066 89669 26 264 32 256 29 259 41 267 39 278 89669 84057 15 280 26 245 25 259 31 270 32 291 84057 79433 18 273 17 265 21 260 20 271 20 292 79433 75471 17 254 17 292 13 273 17 272 18 276 75471 71976 14 279 17 287 12 288 15 286 15 264 71976 68824 12 288 13 282 12 287 12 279 9 265 68824 65952 8 267 11 285 11 286 10 273 8 260 65952 63317 6 227 12 266 14 286 12 268 7 266 63317 60793 5 266 10 249 15 279 13 261 13 294 60793 58174 11 284 8 278 11 271 12 259 15 275 58174 55441 20 248 13 283 11 277 9 292 14 281 55441 52804 17 223 18 255 17 255 18 272 21 279 52804 50399 4 220 16 234 19 237 21 252 25 260 50399 48215 10 297 17 245 19 259 20 251 24 247 48215 46217 18 281 18 266 21 274 20 270 17 255 46217 44388 19 272 18 279 19 278 23 277 18 277 44388 42703 18 272 17 275 16 278 18 272 17 269 42703 41144 18 283 18 274 14 278 12 266 11 275 41144 39691 14 289 13 269 12 288 7 294 6 245 39691 38321 13 295 7 263 10 294 9 337 2 272 38321 36993 10 303 3 254 7 288 10 331 9 352 36993 35641 9 329 2 047 4 302 8 320 11 339 35641 34238 9 341 5 028 4 356 6 346 7 335 34238 32787 9 347 7 010 7 360 9 004 5 359 32787 31270 10 353 12 004 11 356 10 013 7 017 31270 29675 12 351 13 357 13 359 8 029 4 074 29675 28002 14 345 12 339 11 001 7 021 6 106 28002 26249 14 336 14 328 11 337 9 009 9 064 26249 24419 12 327 17 329 11 329 15 004 13 034 24419 22522 10 338 17 334 13 352 16 004 16 023 22522 20551 12 023 11 348 13 356 13 010 9 026 20551 18497 15 054 6 076 7 346 7 355 6 019 18497 16399 16 034 6 069 4 004 6 350 10 358 16399 14375 22 032 12 066 7 088 2 018 11 353 14375 12535 25 036 11 076 8 131 7 184 5 295 12535 10901 22 045 7 081 7 129 10 186 10 256 10901 9451 12 051 7 059 6 090 10 146 11 230 9451 8164 3 048 6 023 3 008 14 110 12 181 8164 7021 5 243 4 284 6 007 14 092 14 151 7021 6006 11 222 7 228 9*015 14 066 16 119 6006 5110 16 215 3*194 9*015 16 042 18 097 5110 4320 20 209 3*055 9 014 22 022 20 065 4320 3616 22 202 3 050 9 014 28*008 30 028 3616 3001 16*191 4 044 9 013 29*005 36 014 3001 2493 14*188 4 043 9 014 29 004 35 012 2493 2102 14 187 4 041 9 014 28 003 33 011 2102 1834 13 187 4 040 9 015 27 002 29 010 1834 1671 12 187 4 040 8 015 23 002 25*010 1671 1578 10 187 4 039 7 015 17 001 19*010 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography