DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 88.7 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 88 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2392 - - 3106 - - - - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2591 - - 2970 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3777 - - 4491 - - - - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 670 - - 891 - - - - - 1849 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 299 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 157 - - - - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 856 - - 1110 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2921 - - 3381 - - - - - 1580 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4607 - - -4925 - - - - - -6895 ODpotential blCL - - - 8384 - - 9416 - - - - - 8475 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 87 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 4500 - - 4360 - - - - - 4470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 88.7 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 79.3 - - 78.1 - - - - - 78.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.8 - - 87.8 - - - - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 76.8 - - - - - 78.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 88 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2392 - - 3106 - - - - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 49 - - - - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 21 - - 20 - - - - - 23 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98490 27 118 34 089 40 083 98490 91074 27 100 29 095 27 106 91074 85360 31 097 27 115 20 091 85360 80590 31 102 27 112 25 073 80590 76484 23 097 26 103 23 079 76484 72872 18 087 24 099 17 102 72872 69644 9 069 18 078 16 107 69644 66710 6 126 10 074 17 097 66710 64002 10 135 10 122 11 083 64002 61402 9 137 10 136 9 048 61402 58721 5 078 2 183 5 005 58721 55964 5 292 7 268 9 265 55964 53342 11 281 9 256 14 241 53342 50974 21 272 13 248 20 268 50974 48838 24 254 20 250 21 274 48838 46880 25 248 26 263 24 277 46880 45065 31 261 32 273 33 274 45065 43367 36 266 35 271 37 269 43367 41772 39 266 42 263 41 264 41772 40265 43 260 48 259 45 260 40265 38841 48 258 49 259 47 255 38841 37465 46 257 43 261 42 250 37465 36073 37 252 32 263 31 245 36073 34634 22 257 25 260 23 235 34634 33152 12 302 25 256 20 223 33152 31612 14 281 26 248 19 222 31612 29997 18 256 27 251 22 231 29997 28306 19 253 22 255 21 239 28306 26545 14 265 15 243 15 246 26545 24716 15 271 8 225 12 236 24716 22819 12 271 3 272 8 225 22819 20852 8 284 6 315 4 240 20852 18811 4 301 4 293 4 286 18811 16730 4 353 3 009 4 260 16730 14716 6 321 5 310 5 320 14716 12872 10 309 8 298 4 306 12872 11223 10 321 10 297 5 288 11223 9750 7 344 8 302 4 296 9750 8432 6 032 5 311 2 016 8432 7257 4 003 4 153 1 061 7257 6211 9 226 11 192 6 223 6211 5289 17 205 13*177 10 189 5289 4473 17*197 13*164 13 159 4473 3743 13*184 12 160 16 137 3743 3096 12 180 12 156 21 128 3096 2556 12 179 12 155 22 127 2556 2141 11 177 12 153 20 127 2141 1854 10 177 11 152 17 126 1854 1680 10 176 11 152 13*125 1680 1580 8 175 9 151 9*125 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography