DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 61.1 - - 54.1 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 175 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1767 - - 3058 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2283 - - 3125 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3152 - - 4443 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 831 - - 1067 - - 3840 - - 776 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 334 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 164 - - 122 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5480 - - -6349 - - -6250 - - -4765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8633 - - 10793 - - 7827 - - 6342 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17141 - - -16779 - - -16873 - - -16671 ODpotential blCL - - - 20293 - - 21222 - - 18450 - - 18248 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 70 - - 34 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 61.1 - - 54.1 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.6 - - 19.5 - - 25.9 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 59.6 - - 57.4 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 18.4 - - 25.0 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 175 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1767 - - 3058 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96119 10 224 10 219 10 246 8 271 96119 89049 11 141 6 239 12 002 10 073 89049 83598 11 147 13 236 11 321 2 110 83598 79075 7 224 16 244 17 268 7 280 79075 75171 14 255 16 252 21 258 14 280 75171 71685 21 262 20 252 28 242 24 274 71685 68521 21 259 22 245 26 237 28 256 68521 65608 25 271 26 262 26 249 33 256 65608 62912 34 269 33 262 31 263 39 263 62912 60323 41 267 39 265 38 266 42 266 60323 57637 51 269 48 269 48 263 51 266 57637 54853 62 268 58 270 59 264 60 265 54853 52198 66 263 64 267 63 265 64 265 52198 49806 65 261 65 266 63 266 64 266 49806 47647 62 264 64 265 62 267 62 266 47647 45668 60 265 63 263 62 266 63 265 45668 43846 62 265 68 261 68 265 69 261 43846 42176 72 267 78 261 80 263 78 258 42176 40642 82 267 87 260 88 261 82 257 40642 39209 87 269 90 262 88 262 84 255 39209 37851 87 269 90 263 87 264 84 256 37851 36530 82 272 88 264 87 265 81 260 36530 35183 80 275 84 266 85 263 79 262 35183 33783 79 277 81 272 83 265 75 264 33783 32331 73 281 79 273 78 269 69 264 32331 30815 65 276 77 276 71 272 64 269 30815 29225 61 272 68 278 67 274 60 268 29225 27560 57 271 62 273 62 278 56 268 27560 25822 55 270 56 270 57 274 53 271 25822 24012 51 271 50 273 52 271 50 273 24012 22132 48 273 45 276 45 274 46 274 22132 20179 46 278 43 279 40 279 41 277 20179 18143 42 278 40 281 37 284 37 281 18143 16067 35 278 37 279 35 283 35 282 16067 14065 29 280 32 279 32 281 34 283 14065 12250 24 278 25 279 27 279 30 285 12250 10646 17 268 19 270 20 276 22 278 10646 9231 13 256 14 257 13 271 13 269 9231 7980 14 241 15 262 12 267 9 284 7980 6872 18 207 18 223 13 226 8 259 6872 5895 21 193 19 195 11 164 5 134 5895 5036 22 184 13*172 12 145 9 127 5036 4276 20 179 12*166 12 143 11 140 4276 3594 17*178 12 165 12 142 14 147 3594 2990 12*180 11 164 11 141 16 151 2990 2486 11 180 11 164 11 140 16 151 2486 2098 10 180 10 164 10 138 14 147 2098 1831 10 179 10 164 8 135 9 133 1831 1669 9 179 9 164 6 128 6*110 1669 1577 8 180 8 163 4*122 4*092 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography