DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.2 - - 86.5 - - 89.9 - - 79.1 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 124 - - 265 - - 190 - - 57 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1633 - - 4511 - - 5140 - - 908 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1928 - - 4402 - - 4727 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3018 - - 5896 - - 6525 - - 2293 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2098 - - 2100 - - 3055 - - 1056 - - 2309 Hgt.Variab. W* 243 - - 438 - - 412 - - 155 - - 57 W* B/S 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 128 - - 106 - - 114 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - 3 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -594 - - 313 - - 182 - - 281 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3612 - - 5584 - - 6343 - - 2012 - - 1580 sfcLCL ODpotential -2197 - - -238 - - -799 - - -1673 - - -499 ODpotential blCL 5215 - - 6134 - - 7324 - - 3966 - - 2079 blCL maxRH 81 - - 82 - - 81 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1370 - - 1300 - - 1850 - - 3300 - - 3310 CAPE Temp@2m 80.2 - - 86.5 - - 89.9 - - 79.1 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.6 - - 67.3 - - 67.4 - - 75.0 - - 75.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.9 - - 84.4 - - 88.2 - - 78.3 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.2 - - 66.7 - - 66.8 - - 74.9 - - 75.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 124 - - 265 - - 190 - - 57 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1633 - - 4511 - - 5140 - - 908 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 29 - - 24 - - 84 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 20 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98636 36 099 39 091 31 116 10 073 26 056 98636 91206 33 081 33 080 34 085 31 095 29 080 91206 85500 30 084 29 085 31 078 34 075 38 080 85500 80782 28 089 23 088 26 083 25 061 38 072 80782 76720 32 081 25 091 28 082 24 086 27 074 76720 73142 32 079 27 094 24 080 25 090 23 082 73142 69913 29 086 28 094 23 081 24 076 21 082 69913 66950 26 099 23 090 22 084 21 078 19 076 66950 64214 19 105 23 097 22 092 20 085 17 079 64214 61573 16 086 22 098 22 099 19 103 15 098 61573 58829 20 072 18 092 18 094 17 113 18 110 58829 56007 9 058 13 076 15 075 15 094 21 091 56007 53339 8 151 9 093 8 081 10 074 15 060 53339 50962 19 126 17 134 11 146 10 131 9 099 50962 48846 17 111 22 133 20 145 19 147 16 142 48846 46917 13 129 23 142 26 145 26 154 29 162 46917 45133 24 157 25 152 29 147 29 158 30 169 45133 43468 32 165 28 155 28 155 27 167 25 192 43468 41910 34 166 30 157 29 165 25 183 21 201 41910 40442 32 164 28 157 27 167 23 189 21 187 40442 39050 28 163 23 149 25 165 22 187 20 171 39050 37698 24 161 20 148 26 162 23 183 13 169 37698 36320 21 163 23 147 28 157 25 171 7 153 36320 34887 19 170 26 144 27 153 24 155 6 148 34887 33399 20 167 23 140 25 150 24 145 5 151 33399 31844 21 162 19 140 24 148 24 139 6 162 31844 30209 21 162 18 145 21 148 22 146 9 175 30209 28500 20 162 18 152 18 149 20 161 16 173 28500 26719 19 157 19 156 15 154 14 175 23 168 26719 24867 21 150 18 154 14 161 14 178 22 171 24867 22944 20 149 16 148 14 159 12 174 19 183 22944 20944 14 139 14 141 14 151 8 162 14 199 20944 18856 10 132 11 132 13 139 7 117 6 226 18856 16727 7 108 9 113 9 117 8 103 10 349 16727 14672 9 069 9 086 9 094 14 120 11 018 14672 12797 11 055 11 077 12 072 9 096 10 096 12797 11134 13 062 10 075 12 082 9 081 14 098 11134 9663 11 094 11 099 12 110 8 067 14 080 9663 8355 13 114 12 121 12 114 6 058 15 082 8355 7192 14 125 12 128 10*112 5 062 16 084 7192 6158 13 133 11*129 10*110 6 081 16 087 6158 5245 12 137 10*129 9 108 9 103 16 094 5245 4438 11 134 10 129 9 106 15 113 15 101 4438 3715 9 126 10 128 9 105 20 118 16 104 3715 3076 9*112 9 128 9 104 21 116 16 104 3076 2542 8*099 9 128 8 104 20*115 15 103 2542 2132 8 098 8 128 8 103 18*114 13 103 2132 1850 7 096 8 128 7 103 17 114 12 102 1850 1678 7 096 8 128 7 103 16 114 11*102 1678 1580 6 095 7 129 7 103 12 114 8*102 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography