DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.4 - - 79.4 - - 81.4 - - 75.5 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 196 - - 134 - - -13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 2266 - - 3371 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2634 - - 3263 - - 1562 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 3651 - - 4756 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 776 - - 2193 - - 1690 - - 3932 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 322 - - 326 - - 26 - - 20 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 038 - - 050 - - 035 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -8 - - -10 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3711 - - -3105 - - -2857 - - -3118 - - -2174 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5290 - - 6756 - - 7613 - - 4697 - - 3754 sfcLCL ODpotential -8710 - - -8086 - - -8571 - - -7341 - - -7376 ODpotential blCL 10289 - - 11737 - - 13327 - - 8920 - - 8955 blCL maxRH 71 - - 61 - - 51 - - 54 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.4 - - 79.4 - - 81.4 - - 75.5 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.9 - - 55.3 - - 53.5 - - 60.3 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.0 - - 77.9 - - 80.2 - - 77.3 - - 74.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.6 - - 54.1 - - 52.3 - - 59.5 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 196 - - 134 - - -13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 2266 - - 3371 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97891 3 212 6 125 12 207 11 244 10 282 97891 90480 7 126 14 134 10 176 2 025 5 354 90480 84789 7 092 9 109 11 097 10 107 3 042 84789 80100 3 076 4 020 12 072 7 088 6 057 80100 76080 4 321 6 304 9 052 4 081 8 036 76080 72529 2 130 7 266 5 018 3 108 5 023 72529 69323 5 063 6 264 8 348 2 037 6 036 69323 66394 3 103 3 173 4 326 4 313 7 031 66394 63691 10 024 7 069 4 030 7 322 14 355 63691 61102 10 011 6 001 6 341 9 326 16 323 61102 58435 23 343 14 346 9 340 8 312 17 300 58435 55682 32 312 27 326 19 318 22 310 26 301 55682 53055 40 304 35 315 30 306 34 302 36 297 53055 50680 38 292 36 303 33 301 37 290 37 291 50680 48531 36 289 36 298 32 300 39 289 39 286 48531 46558 39 290 37 296 34 300 41 289 39 280 46558 44733 41 289 39 288 38 299 41 290 41 277 44733 43029 42 288 41 283 41 291 40 289 42 278 43029 41432 41 285 40 279 40 283 38 285 42 277 41432 39931 40 282 37 279 37 278 38 279 40 275 39931 38518 39 284 36 280 34 277 38 275 38 275 38518 37155 39 286 38 280 34 275 37 272 39 275 37155 35772 39 286 40 278 38 272 39 272 41 276 35772 34339 41 288 40 279 39 276 40 274 41 277 34339 32862 44 289 39 282 38 283 37 281 36 281 32862 31324 46 290 38 286 37 288 34 289 30 284 31324 29717 41 289 35 289 33 288 32 293 26 285 29717 28037 33 297 30 292 29 287 29 289 25 280 28037 26282 27 306 22 294 25 281 26 284 24 279 26282 24453 18 315 18 287 22 276 23 282 20 283 24453 22558 12 305 15 279 18 279 21 295 17 304 22558 20589 8 313 9 292 11 298 13 308 9 327 20589 18543 7 357 5 002 5 353 8 347 8 035 18543 16456 9 024 6 043 5 035 6 010 8 055 16456 14444 9 056 7 070 6 064 3 045 6 063 14444 12617 11 076 9 078 8 084 5 082 5 073 12617 10994 10 093 8 078 6 082 5 071 6 074 10994 9550 6 093 9 075 5 065 6 057 10 054 9550 8261 6 029 13 075 7 064 9 041 11 054 8261 7115 10 063 14 066 10 068 10 056 9 067 7115 6099 12 065 15 056 12 068 10 068 9 081 6099 5202 12 055 15 050 11*062 11 072 9 088 5202 4408 11 050 14 046 11*057 11 070 8 088 4408 3695 9 065 12*043 11 053 11 066 9 085 3695 3062 9 074 11*039 11 050 11 061 10 078 3062 2533 9 073 10 038 10 048 11 055 10 070 2533 2126 10 067 10 039 10 047 10 050 10 060 2126 1846 9 060 9 038 9 047 9 045 10 051 1846 1676 6*051 9 039 9 046 7*040 6*038 1676 1579 5*049 8 039 8 046 4*035 4*022 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography