DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.5 - - 55.5 - - 60.0 - - 53.3 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 60 - - 244 - - 147 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 447 - - 1164 - - 1997 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1893 - - 2286 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1832 - - 2549 - - 3382 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 283 - - 372 - - 2091 - - 2774 - - 577 Hgt.Variab. W* 124 - - 269 - - 274 - - 13 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 11 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 031 - - 061 - - 096 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -5 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2887 - - -3172 - - -3717 - - -4362 - - -3343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4719 - - 5721 - - 7099 - - 5939 - - 4921 sfcLCL ODpotential -15702 - - -13262 - - -13012 - - -14691 - - -15171 ODpotential blCL 17534 - - 15811 - - 16394 - - 16268 - - 16748 blCL maxRH 57 - - 53 - - 46 - - 36 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.5 - - 55.5 - - 60.0 - - 53.3 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.0 - - 36.3 - - 34.7 - - 33.3 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.9 - - 53.8 - - 58.7 - - 56.3 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.5 - - 35.5 - - 33.7 - - 32.5 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 60 - - 244 - - 147 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 447 - - 1164 - - 1997 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96415 25 260 35 270 34 261 34 279 43 269 96415 89121 38 264 28 265 25 271 32 258 24 284 89121 83518 30 264 25 263 28 272 35 263 23 302 83518 78878 27 270 22 243 31 261 30 279 23 277 78878 74914 32 276 22 262 28 263 26 278 23 259 74914 71448 37 269 32 277 29 278 28 269 28 263 71448 68340 42 270 39 269 36 281 30 283 27 264 68340 65508 41 276 41 266 41 274 37 293 27 282 65508 62892 33 281 38 266 41 270 41 276 37 290 62892 60343 36 279 36 269 41 276 42 270 43 278 60343 57676 41 272 43 268 48 277 48 274 50 272 57676 54920 46 267 49 262 50 268 54 267 55 268 54920 52292 52 269 53 263 52 265 54 265 57 266 52292 49914 58 267 57 267 56 266 57 265 63 268 49914 47768 60 264 62 268 61 265 64 264 72 267 47768 45808 62 264 66 265 67 264 69 262 78 265 45808 43998 66 265 69 264 71 264 73 262 80 263 43998 42312 70 269 72 267 75 264 78 264 83 263 42312 40737 77 269 78 269 81 265 83 266 85 264 40737 39260 79 267 81 267 85 264 85 266 86 265 39260 37871 76 268 79 266 84 262 86 263 87 264 37871 36529 76 271 77 268 80 264 85 262 87 262 36529 35165 71 270 75 267 75 266 77 264 82 262 35165 33755 60 270 66 265 68 266 66 266 71 264 33755 32306 55 273 53 268 59 265 59 266 61 265 32306 30799 51 273 48 276 55 269 54 274 56 267 30799 29216 47 282 47 285 50 280 52 281 54 273 29216 27560 42 293 44 286 47 285 50 284 53 278 27560 25832 41 299 41 285 42 282 44 285 48 282 25832 24035 40 300 39 287 40 278 39 283 42 281 24035 22168 38 301 36 292 36 282 37 281 39 282 22168 20224 36 302 33 297 32 292 32 285 35 284 20224 18198 34 305 31 302 30 303 28 297 31 288 18198 16127 31 309 30 307 30 307 27 303 30 296 16127 14128 27 312 29 305 28 307 27 305 30 303 14128 12310 27 312 27 312 28 310 27 311 28 312 12310 10697 24 321 22 323 25 321 26 323 23 320 10697 9269 16 335 13 329 18 329 21 328 19 321 9269 8003 11 347 8 331 11 323 15 325 15 313 8003 6885 14 016 7 005 7 326 11 317 8 295 6885 5900 15 031 7 026 4 347 5 316 3 227 5900 5034 14 039 7 038 2 022 0 358 6 155 5034 4270 12 043 7 052 3 057 3 133 7 146 4270 3586 12 046 7 055 4*063 5 123 6 144 3586 2982 14 040 11*035 5*062 6 116 7 137 2982 2478 18 025 11*031 5 062 6 111 11 123 2478 2093 18*015 11 031 5 060 7 106 14 113 2093 1829 15*013 11 030 5 060 6 103 13 109 1829 1669 14 012 10 031 4 059 5 098 8*108 1669 1577 10 012 8 031 4 061 4*096 4*101 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography