DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.6 - - 75.0 - - 75.8 - - - - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 44 - - 16 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 966 - - 194 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 2351 - - 1579 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2385 - - 3016 - - 4700 - - - - - 2380 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 155 - - 71 - - - - - 34 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 174 - - 168 - - - - - 114 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -95 - - 433 - - -591 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1674 - - 1918 - - 2170 - - - - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -852 - - -373 - - -1219 - - - - - -326 ODpotential blCL 2431 - - 2724 - - 2798 - - - - - 1905 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 1070 - - 1130 - - - - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m 71.6 - - 75.0 - - 75.8 - - - - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.2 - - 71.5 - - 71.2 - - - - - 71.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.3 - - 74.4 - - 75.3 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.7 - - 70.6 - - 70.2 - - - - - 71.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 44 - - 16 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 966 - - 194 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99006 52 091 45 099 55 107 37 074 99006 91470 49 097 42 105 41 098 39 083 91470 85660 41 095 47 102 32 102 41 091 85660 80863 43 082 45 094 39 091 45 095 80863 76754 39 078 38 089 40 087 49 090 76754 73156 30 088 31 086 36 085 43 079 73156 69932 24 105 25 088 31 079 37 079 69932 66994 31 095 25 107 22 092 28 072 66994 64283 36 076 30 098 21 121 19 094 64283 61656 34 071 36 081 30 085 29 082 61656 58931 34 074 34 075 30 070 30 067 58931 56128 30 055 26 067 27 063 33 039 56128 53455 28 043 23 054 23 054 27 024 53455 51046 28 037 28 044 30 043 29 025 51046 48879 29 036 29 029 33 022 32 018 48879 46901 31 027 28 023 26 004 33 004 46901 45075 30 020 24 015 20 355 31 351 45075 43378 31 010 22 359 20 342 29 332 43378 41792 29 352 24 346 22 332 32 317 41792 40302 26 333 27 332 25 328 36 311 40302 38893 23 323 26 316 26 317 36 303 38893 37528 20 309 22 295 26 297 37 299 37528 36139 21 301 24 284 25 288 38 294 36139 34694 21 295 27 286 25 295 39 293 34694 33197 22 293 24 291 22 294 37 293 33197 31634 21 289 17 291 20 291 35 290 31634 29994 19 290 16 292 19 295 33 285 29994 28279 17 294 15 294 19 292 32 291 28279 26490 14 308 13 302 16 285 27 319 26490 24632 12 324 10 322 12 270 7 329 24632 22707 10 333 6 336 7 256 4 253 22707 20710 7 003 6 338 4 258 2 325 20710 18633 7 028 7 329 4 303 4 296 18633 16518 6 346 11 320 6 295 6 209 16518 14485 8 312 13 286 11 249 8 209 14485 12640 10 255 17 242 13 237 9 238 12640 11003 18 228 22 228 16 239 14 237 11003 9553 23 219 25 222 25 217 18 213 9553 8264 25 212 29 214 27 210 19 200 8264 7116 24 204 31 208 20 204 18 192 7116 6096 27 199 29 204 14 193 17 176 6096 5196 29 197 23 197 12 186 18 153 5196 4401 27 194 19 190 10 181 19 136 4401 3689 23 189 16 187 9 177 19 127 3689 3058 20 185 13 184 7 175 17 128 3058 2530 16 179 9*180 6 169 15 124 2530 2125 12 172 6*175 5 169 13 119 2125 1846 10 168 6 175 5 168 10 116 1846 1676 9*167 5 174 4*169 9*115 1676 1579 7*167 4 173 4*168 6*114 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography