DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.8 - - 85.9 - - 87.8 - - 79.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 122 - - 259 - - 152 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1513 - - 4486 - - 4617 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1833 - - 4379 - - 4217 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2898 - - 5871 - - 6002 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1367 - - 2256 - - 3273 - - 2516 - - 2082 Hgt.Variab. W* 237 - - 436 - - 371 - - 55 - - 30 W* B/S 12 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 122 - - 112 - - 136 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -664 - - 387 - - 74 - - -1353 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3562 - - 5484 - - 5928 - - 2934 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -2942 - - -373 - - -747 - - -3361 - - -938 ODpotential blCL 5840 - - 6244 - - 6749 - - 4941 - - 2517 blCL maxRH 80 - - 88 - - 83 - - 94 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 930 - - 840 - - 1150 - - 1640 - - 2310 CAPE Temp@2m 79.8 - - 85.9 - - 87.8 - - 79.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.2 - - 67.0 - - 67.0 - - 71.8 - - 74.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.6 - - 84.0 - - 86.3 - - 79.8 - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.7 - - 66.4 - - 66.4 - - 71.1 - - 74.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 122 - - 259 - - 152 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1513 - - 4486 - - 4617 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 52 - - 32 - - 75 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98451 6 082 9 156 10 186 13 277 8 024 98451 91016 14 116 3 148 6 253 3 010 4 358 91016 85298 10 113 10 095 6 151 4 163 8 044 85298 80551 13 090 14 082 15 115 14 157 8 096 80551 76470 15 085 13 075 16 076 16 104 14 119 76470 72889 7 105 2 111 12 064 18 068 17 092 72889 69671 9 121 6 171 5 107 10 046 16 058 69671 66727 6 102 7 163 5 137 2 177 8 004 66727 64018 2 336 3 148 4 102 5 112 2 067 64018 61414 7 293 2 204 2 347 5 080 4 104 61414 58724 7 220 8 190 7 233 6 267 8 235 58724 55970 8 208 12 186 13 207 12 232 13 227 55970 53371 17 251 14 239 16 247 14 258 9 270 53371 51041 24 255 23 260 20 265 19 271 14 291 51041 48932 27 255 32 266 26 274 25 277 22 286 48932 46989 31 261 38 259 31 269 30 269 27 273 46989 45187 43 257 45 257 39 264 34 259 28 261 45187 43508 44 254 47 248 46 257 39 247 33 245 43508 41933 36 258 36 242 42 245 38 242 37 242 41933 40446 25 253 22 220 34 239 33 236 34 240 40446 39036 19 251 20 216 27 232 26 229 30 236 39036 37665 20 262 22 220 26 225 22 220 25 229 37665 36270 19 254 21 216 26 226 19 221 21 227 36270 34824 19 236 22 212 25 224 19 230 19 223 34824 33328 18 219 23 203 24 219 19 229 16 222 33328 31766 16 192 22 193 22 207 19 215 16 211 31766 30126 17 185 23 195 22 202 18 205 19 195 30126 28411 16 188 21 198 21 202 19 202 21 189 28411 26619 12 170 19 193 19 208 19 201 21 190 26619 24754 11 155 15 187 17 201 18 202 18 190 24754 22819 11 149 13 171 16 185 18 203 15 187 22819 20813 10 153 12 159 15 170 18 201 12 188 20813 18729 7 176 9 154 13 148 17 179 8 167 18729 16610 6 236 2 161 9 113 14 158 8 136 16610 14570 5 204 3 152 8 102 13 145 8 135 14570 12717 7 142 8 134 7 111 9 113 8 138 12717 11075 9 117 12 127 11 123 8 087 11 134 11075 9618 13 131 13 123 12 124 7 080 14 132 9618 8321 17 134 15 121 12 123 6 084 14 132 8321 7166 20 131 16 120 11 121 7 089 14 125 7166 6140 18 132 16*120 11*117 9 095 14 117 6140 5233 17 135 13*121 10*116 11 103 13 109 5233 4430 16 142 12 121 10 114 14 110 13 109 4430 3710 13 150 12 122 10 112 15 117 14 119 3710 3073 8*160 11 122 10 111 16 121 13 118 3073 2540 4*168 11 122 10 110 18 129 11 107 2540 2131 4 168 10 122 10 109 18 132 10 087 2131 1849 3 170 10 122 9 109 18 134 8 072 1849 1678 3 171 9 123 9 109 16*135 7 068 1678 1579 3 170 8 122 8 108 12*136 5*065 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography