DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 61.1 - - 52.6 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 174 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1760 - - 2027 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2276 - - 2381 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3145 - - 3412 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1036 - - 1135 - - 1107 - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 290 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 232 - - 252 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5956 - - -4808 - - -4423 - - -4470 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9102 - - 8221 - - 6000 - - 6048 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15822 - - -13630 - - -15617 - - -18299 ODpotential blCL - - - 18967 - - 17042 - - 17194 - - 19876 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 54 - - 56 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 61.1 - - 52.6 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.4 - - 31.1 - - 32.5 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 59.7 - - 55.6 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 30.4 - - 32.2 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 174 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1760 - - 2027 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95568 59 258 68 254 71 258 70 265 95568 88479 48 279 53 276 50 274 58 281 88479 83057 53 275 58 282 50 283 53 286 83057 78585 52 281 51 282 49 286 47 299 78585 74736 48 293 43 292 42 292 44 308 74736 71343 47 296 39 303 41 300 39 303 71343 68283 43 295 40 308 38 306 37 304 68283 65472 39 300 38 301 37 304 35 305 65472 62864 41 305 38 304 36 302 33 298 62864 60341 43 299 42 301 40 306 32 294 60341 57703 45 298 45 295 46 298 38 293 57703 54955 55 304 52 302 51 303 44 304 54955 52333 76 294 73 295 66 298 59 302 52333 49987 79 284 78 282 71 288 66 290 49987 47911 76 297 71 292 65 296 58 296 47911 46041 86 312 79 314 60 316 58 311 46041 44309 92 313 86 313 74 316 61 310 44309 42683 91 308 88 309 80 311 71 307 42683 41153 91 307 87 310 80 309 78 305 41153 39703 89 307 85 313 77 314 79 307 39703 38327 87 307 85 315 71 313 76 309 38327 36988 87 311 82 316 68 316 71 312 36988 35622 88 320 76 317 69 318 64 316 35622 34200 86 324 71 320 66 317 63 317 34200 32725 80 318 72 324 64 315 62 316 32725 31187 76 311 69 318 61 316 56 314 31187 29579 75 307 71 309 60 314 50 314 29579 27899 76 308 72 312 56 308 48 312 27899 26142 76 309 68 315 57 311 48 308 26142 24306 66 310 58 315 56 319 50 326 24306 22396 46 320 43 322 48 321 41 334 22396 20416 37 329 25 341 28 322 28 329 20416 18362 25 328 22 353 13 348 14 319 18362 16278 19 317 22 343 11 009 8 302 16278 14271 15 336 20 335 11 337 10 300 14271 12445 13 346 15 334 12 323 9 300 12445 10822 11 326 10 332 9 311 11 281 10822 9378 13 293 11 302 12 297 15 287 9378 8095 13 283 15 287 16 302 17 304 8095 6958 11 276 16 285 16 309 19 306 6958 5954 10 252 14 262 12 297 16 301 5954 5071 9 244 13 246 11 261 14 284 5071 4293 9 248 12 239 12 237 14 254 4293 3602 9*254 11*235 13 223 15 231 3602 2993 8*255 11*233 12 218 15 214 2993 2488 7 255 11 232 10 224 14 205 2488 2099 7 254 11 232 9 236 11 206 2099 1832 7 254 11 231 7 243 8 224 1832 1670 6 254 10 231 6 246 4*230 1670 1577 6 253 9 231 4*252 2*226 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography