DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 66.2 - - 70.4 - - 67.8 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 152 - - 435 - - 339 - - 7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1316 - - 4098 - - 5067 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1808 - - 4262 - - 4930 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2701 - - 5483 - - 6452 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2555 - - 865 - - 997 - - 5708 - - 457 Hgt.Variab. W* 241 - - 496 - - 491 - - 52 - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 042 - - 054 - - 052 - - 073 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2995 - - -3167 - - -3436 - - -7998 - - -5322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5696 - - 8651 - - 9889 - - 9576 - - 6900 sfcLCL ODpotential -10152 - - -10004 - - -9716 - - -14180 - - -13488 ODpotential blCL 12853 - - 15487 - - 16168 - - 15758 - - 15066 blCL maxRH 88 - - 60 - - 66 - - 68 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 66.2 - - 70.4 - - 67.8 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 34.0 - - 32.5 - - 31.5 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.2 - - 63.6 - - 68.1 - - 67.5 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.5 - - 32.9 - - 31.4 - - 30.5 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 152 - - 435 - - 339 - - 7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1316 - - 4098 - - 5067 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97133 33 246 32 262 36 263 43 271 40 276 97133 89742 29 272 29 259 32 255 38 268 36 273 89742 84092 26 281 27 269 26 259 29 272 28 274 84092 79441 21 275 26 276 22 277 23 272 19 280 79441 75457 13 279 20 281 18 289 16 275 14 294 75457 71949 3 240 9 313 9 288 12 276 13 300 71949 68794 19 326 12 337 11 349 7 312 14 315 68794 65925 22 307 20 335 21 353 14 348 17 314 65925 63285 20 317 25 319 26 325 22 326 23 310 63285 60731 27 311 29 297 31 305 31 315 26 308 60731 58053 32 303 36 294 39 301 37 309 34 311 58053 55235 42 293 46 294 48 302 46 311 43 304 55235 52503 58 291 58 295 55 301 59 294 52 293 52503 50023 62 287 60 293 62 293 63 284 57 287 50023 47791 62 287 57 291 67 288 63 283 60 286 47791 45769 60 288 54 296 69 296 63 293 66 290 45769 43938 58 305 67 304 84 300 82 298 80 293 43938 42274 71 304 84 304 83 301 92 297 88 293 42274 40736 69 305 87 306 83 305 89 297 92 292 40736 39289 68 313 84 308 93 305 94 298 93 291 39289 37916 73 315 82 312 93 307 92 302 90 294 37916 36585 78 317 82 316 82 310 87 308 85 297 36585 35229 82 314 81 315 68 308 72 310 83 300 35229 33821 82 315 82 314 66 308 57 306 75 301 33821 32367 74 314 73 316 68 306 54 300 62 303 32367 30848 55 306 57 311 64 309 53 297 55 296 30848 29252 41 301 50 299 56 301 48 295 53 293 29252 27584 35 301 50 295 53 298 42 302 45 297 27584 25843 32 301 43 298 48 300 39 299 37 294 25843 24029 30 301 36 301 38 303 35 293 33 293 24029 22149 22 297 30 305 28 313 25 299 25 291 22149 20199 14 328 18 296 17 306 17 304 17 296 20199 18174 17 341 6 295 9 280 12 289 14 300 18174 16117 15 350 6 332 5 297 8 269 13 293 16117 14135 12 325 9 349 8 343 5 328 9 292 14135 12330 4 335 6 336 8 348 9 357 6 328 12330 10730 5 048 5 340 6 344 8 356 6 346 10730 9311 12 036 9 045 6 080 4 058 1 332 9311 8052 17 037 14 063 11 085 10 086 7 115 8052 6938 20 042 17 062 10*068 11 073 7 089 6938 5953 21 051 16*058 10*062 11 071 6 066 5953 5083 23 063 15*057 9 059 11 071 7 071 5083 4313 23 062 15 056 9 054 11 073 10 085 4313 3622 21 058 15 055 9 051 11 073 12 092 3622 3011 18*054 15 053 9 048 10 073 14 093 3011 2499 16*048 14 053 9 045 10 073 15 093 2499 2106 12 040 13 051 9 043 10 073 14 093 2106 1836 11 040 13 051 8 042 9 073 12 096 1836 1672 10 039 12 051 8 041 8 074 8*094 1672 1578 9 038 10 051 7 041 7*073 5*089 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography