DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.8 - - 85.3 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 160 - - 9 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3903 - - 4923 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3910 - - 4542 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5288 - - 6308 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1424 - - 2085 - - 4911 - - 2424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 408 - - 401 - - 69 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 23 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 165 - - 145 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -280 - - -432 - - -3183 - - -819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5568 - - 6740 - - 4763 - - 2399 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4388 - - -4066 - - -6208 - - -6177 ODpotential blCL - - - 9676 - - 10374 - - 7788 - - 7756 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 63 - - 77 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 1010 - - 1020 - - 1760 - - 1110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.8 - - 85.3 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.2 - - 65.5 - - 69.4 - - 70.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 88.7 - - 85.0 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 64.2 - - 68.8 - - 70.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 160 - - 9 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3903 - - 4923 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98542 35 080 35 105 35 110 19 076 98542 91077 31 091 29 094 25 086 29 083 91077 85335 27 088 27 086 24 073 28 078 85335 80595 19 085 18 077 29 066 29 077 80595 76553 13 092 11 058 26 061 29 078 76553 73004 13 098 10 076 21 068 24 072 73004 69801 16 091 16 093 14 089 18 070 69801 66857 16 093 17 083 12 106 13 064 66857 64125 10 108 12 082 9 102 10 065 64125 61487 7 142 8 112 7 055 12 055 61487 58759 5 139 8 128 8 082 11 069 58759 55962 7 099 6 086 12 090 12 091 55962 53326 11 078 11 067 12 054 17 071 53326 50969 11 066 14 064 14 027 20 045 50969 48847 15 060 16 063 14 023 18 019 48847 46902 14 049 15 052 13 025 15 013 46902 45097 15 027 19 041 13 039 13 018 45097 43411 17 013 19 038 16 055 12 039 43411 41827 16 017 18 029 19 059 14 059 41827 40334 12 035 16 020 21 050 18 057 40334 38921 11 049 15 020 24 038 21 042 38921 37551 13 058 15 033 19 046 20 036 37551 36158 17 058 14 042 17 052 16 051 36158 34714 15 056 12 045 14 048 13 062 34714 33224 10 065 8 049 9 052 10 062 33224 31673 10 112 3 116 7 066 9 068 31673 30046 8 153 5 200 4 081 7 083 30046 28344 10 178 8 211 3 243 4 033 28344 26568 7 190 7 211 8 253 3 325 26568 24723 5 189 12 235 13 263 5 272 24723 22807 12 213 13 227 11 250 6 267 22807 20813 11 204 10 214 10 200 6 213 20813 18739 12 182 10 209 9 208 8 209 18739 16628 14 175 14 189 13 206 11 206 16628 14593 19 175 19 180 17 195 14 194 14593 12741 24 176 23 179 20 188 17 187 12741 11094 29 179 27 180 23 185 20 183 11094 9631 32 182 29 185 25 185 24 179 9631 8328 36 186 29 186 25 184 27 173 8328 7168 38 189 25*179 24 181 28 170 7168 6139 32*186 24*171 23 170 28 167 6139 5229 25*179 24 168 24 157 28 164 5229 4425 24 177 24 166 25 151 32 155 4425 3706 23 176 23 164 26 149 33 150 3706 3071 22 175 23 163 26 148 32 148 3071 2539 22 174 22 163 25 147 29 147 2539 2130 21 174 22 162 24 146 26 147 2130 1848 19 173 21 162 22 146 21 146 1848 1677 18 173 19 161 19*145 17 146 1677 1579 14 173 15 161 15*145 12*145 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography