DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.6 - - 69.0 - - 71.5 - - 69.2 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 61 - - 170 - - 127 - - -18 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1246 - - 3858 - - 4285 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 3775 - - 3948 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2631 - - 5243 - - 5670 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2902 - - 1942 - - 1600 - - 4977 - - 413 Hgt.Variab. W* 188 - - 377 - - 357 - - 51 - - 30 W* B/S 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 160 - - 155 - - 131 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2019 - - -206 - - -678 - - -2990 - - -1348 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4650 - - 5449 - - 6348 - - 4568 - - 2926 sfcLCL ODpotential -4512 - - -4614 - - -4885 - - -4303 - - -5338 ODpotential blCL 7143 - - 9857 - - 10555 - - 5881 - - 6916 blCL maxRH 59 - - 64 - - 60 - - 69 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.6 - - 69.0 - - 71.5 - - 69.2 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.9 - - 50.7 - - 49.2 - - 54.6 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.0 - - 67.6 - - 70.3 - - 69.9 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.7 - - 49.5 - - 47.9 - - 53.4 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 61 - - 170 - - 127 - - -18 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1246 - - 3858 - - 4285 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98004 6 154 1 328 3 210 9 008 17 007 98004 90537 4 127 2 263 6 196 4 314 9 359 90537 84770 8 359 9 273 6 248 5 269 4 288 84770 80010 13 292 12 274 10 285 9 289 9 288 80010 75942 21 262 14 255 15 276 15 280 13 293 75942 72354 18 249 18 250 15 282 14 284 15 285 72354 69114 6 235 16 253 19 282 22 292 23 293 69114 66150 11 278 20 240 23 248 25 266 29 290 66150 63416 26 302 15 259 19 261 30 266 35 277 63416 60794 35 286 30 287 31 279 33 282 35 271 60794 58068 43 283 36 289 35 294 42 298 42 285 58068 55239 58 279 56 290 64 285 63 284 56 284 55239 52545 65 272 74 276 75 278 69 284 68 283 52545 50117 74 278 82 274 82 279 76 288 73 278 50117 47933 85 278 83 277 80 281 82 288 74 283 47933 45961 83 277 80 289 85 289 86 289 83 290 45961 44179 84 296 94 296 93 292 91 292 88 294 44179 42540 97 301 99 295 95 293 94 295 90 295 42540 41004 102 301 97 306 92 295 95 298 91 294 41004 39555 106 303 104 311 92 300 92 299 91 293 39555 38184 107 304 105 309 94 303 88 297 88 292 38184 36855 105 309 102 304 92 302 85 298 83 292 36855 35502 97 310 97 300 91 298 82 298 80 292 35502 34095 87 304 95 298 89 292 79 295 82 293 34095 32636 79 295 88 299 88 289 79 293 82 291 32636 31110 68 293 79 297 89 293 80 295 82 293 31110 29506 60 293 70 292 77 296 80 296 78 296 29506 27827 60 290 60 289 67 293 75 293 73 292 27827 26070 63 291 55 288 61 291 65 289 68 286 26070 24241 60 294 54 289 55 291 56 290 63 284 24241 22349 57 295 52 291 51 290 49 294 58 284 22349 20392 57 296 50 293 46 293 45 296 47 288 20392 18356 52 299 46 299 42 297 40 299 37 299 18356 16278 39 307 29 308 35 302 37 296 32 304 16278 14277 28 308 18 307 19 300 29 297 32 304 14277 12461 16 300 15 295 17 285 21 282 31 302 12461 10851 9 310 16 288 19 292 20 283 26 295 10851 9420 4 298 9 280 14 290 17 283 22 280 9420 8143 4 176 2 220 7 252 15 251 18 255 8143 7012 7 126 5 142 8 198 14 205 17 213 7012 6013 7 125 7*158 8*182 15 190 20 190 6013 5132 7 134 7*162 8*175 14 184 20 183 5132 4351 8 144 7 162 8 164 13 174 18 178 4351 3650 8 154 7 161 8 158 12 162 17 167 3650 3029 8*158 7 160 8 152 12 149 17 145 3029 2511 6*164 7 159 8 148 11 142 20 127 2511 2113 4 180 7 157 8 145 11 137 21 122 2113 1839 3 180 7 156 7 144 10 134 17 120 1839 1673 3 183 7 156 7 143 8 133 11*118 1673 1578 3 183 6 156 6 141 6*131 6*114 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography