DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 55.1 - - 62.5 - - 56.5 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 117 - - 159 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1318 - - 2337 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1561 - - 2564 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1576 - - 2703 - - 3722 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 284 - - 1120 - - 690 - - 1465 - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 223 - - 296 - - 11 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 15 - - 18 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 187 - - 180 - - 152 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2222 - - -1027 - - -786 - - -945 - - -419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3799 - - 3731 - - 4509 - - 2523 - - 1996 sfcLCL ODpotential -14307 - - -9687 - - -7460 - - -8567 - - -10172 ODpotential blCL 15883 - - 12390 - - 11182 - - 10145 - - 11749 blCL maxRH 99 - - 95 - - 86 - - 83 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 55.1 - - 62.5 - - 56.5 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 44.5 - - 48.3 - - 51.0 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.8 - - 54.2 - - 61.3 - - 58.9 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 43.6 - - 47.8 - - 50.8 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 117 - - 159 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1318 - - 2337 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 80 - - 45 - - 33 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96937 26 250 32 261 30 262 31 285 27 280 96937 89639 18 278 19 269 18 254 25 257 29 280 89639 84034 14 280 14 274 14 279 16 264 17 271 84034 79394 8 242 10 274 13 249 15 285 8 279 79394 75385 5 215 8 293 5 274 13 253 13 270 75385 71850 4 273 14 259 16 323 8 218 12 238 71850 68678 7 272 11 258 16 309 3 023 8 193 68678 65752 19 254 20 249 27 261 22 295 19 286 65752 63070 34 251 29 252 37 261 38 273 37 275 63070 60530 36 256 33 266 43 266 45 273 47 273 60530 57897 42 266 43 267 47 265 52 264 54 263 57897 55139 55 260 55 260 53 262 57 260 58 265 55139 52462 60 255 63 258 62 262 65 262 64 264 52462 50023 66 259 71 259 72 265 70 266 70 263 50023 47824 84 265 84 262 86 267 82 268 82 263 47824 45821 103 264 99 263 99 265 99 264 97 261 45821 43973 109 261 105 260 107 261 108 259 105 257 43973 42255 107 260 106 257 108 258 108 256 104 256 42255 40650 104 259 105 256 106 257 104 256 100 258 40650 39153 102 259 100 255 102 257 101 256 95 260 39153 37755 100 260 95 258 97 257 97 255 91 260 37755 36416 102 262 95 259 95 258 96 254 91 260 36416 35062 105 264 97 260 95 257 97 254 94 258 35062 33665 102 265 95 260 93 257 96 255 98 255 33665 32225 92 263 90 260 91 256 94 256 99 254 32225 30728 80 262 83 258 86 255 88 256 97 256 30728 29160 69 262 74 256 79 253 79 253 86 256 29160 27524 62 260 64 253 73 250 73 248 74 252 27524 25823 57 258 59 252 67 249 69 247 67 249 25823 24050 53 258 56 252 59 251 60 249 61 249 24050 22204 48 259 51 253 52 254 52 249 54 247 22204 20283 42 261 46 252 47 254 46 249 47 245 20283 18284 37 263 39 252 41 253 41 254 41 247 18284 16240 32 263 33 252 36 251 37 259 35 254 16240 14261 27 262 29 255 31 248 33 260 31 269 14261 12452 25 267 27 259 27 248 30 260 31 278 12452 10837 26 267 22 262 23 251 25 262 29 279 10837 9399 24 263 19 266 18 251 21 264 27 279 9399 8120 21 263 17 266 15 249 17 263 24 282 8120 6986 24 259 19 260 15 243 14 246 19 287 6986 5983 22 219 20 224 19 214 19 223 18 233 5983 5100 27 201 31 201 24 198 27 196 25 210 5100 4320 33 202 34 194 22*185 29 184 23 195 4320 3623 37 200 32 191 19*181 24 176 23 174 3623 3007 36 197 24*188 19 180 18 168 24 162 3007 2493 31 191 18*187 18 180 15 163 23 153 2493 2100 23 186 16 187 17 180 12 160 16 126 2100 1832 16 184 15 188 16 181 10 158 11 091 1832 1670 10 186 14 187 15 181 7*155 7*071 1670 1577 5*189 11 187 12 181 4*152 4*057 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography