DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.9 - - 55.7 - - 56.3 - - 57.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 192 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 1577 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1369 - - 1542 - - 1728 - - 1656 - - 1379 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 50 - - 44 - - 24 - - 21 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 065 - - 065 - - 065 - - 058 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -168 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1745 - - 1577 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -737 - - -426 - - -287 - - -396 - - -349 ODpotential blCL 2314 - - 2003 - - 1865 - - 1974 - - 1927 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 270 - - 280 - - 350 - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m 56.9 - - 55.7 - - 56.3 - - 57.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.6 - - 54.2 - - 55.4 - - 56.5 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 55.4 - - 56.1 - - 57.5 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.3 - - 54.0 - - 55.3 - - 56.4 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 192 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97246 49 256 44 265 42 262 46 263 47 270 97246 89765 40 267 40 272 42 264 39 280 37 271 89765 84065 26 275 25 255 31 266 34 276 34 282 84065 79422 20 288 16 252 22 260 25 275 26 295 79422 75474 18 276 17 277 16 257 23 270 17 308 75474 72001 13 269 19 265 18 268 19 272 14 285 72001 68853 9 264 13 252 14 253 15 274 14 259 68853 65960 15 297 6 279 10 256 14 268 16 275 65960 63295 18 290 11 291 11 292 16 275 17 277 63295 60736 16 283 15 306 10 310 14 279 14 260 60736 58081 23 289 23 302 11 302 13 277 10 256 58081 55332 24 285 25 292 21 298 19 285 12 273 55332 52709 30 288 28 279 30 281 26 273 19 267 52709 50338 44 283 30 275 31 267 34 268 27 266 50338 48193 51 280 32 280 31 269 39 254 34 257 48193 46225 59 271 43 280 42 273 37 258 33 251 46225 44405 68 261 56 274 52 275 36 268 31 248 44405 42709 68 257 61 263 51 268 37 263 33 242 42709 41120 67 253 66 257 56 260 39 259 35 245 41120 39625 65 247 65 252 62 254 45 257 35 246 39625 38212 65 247 64 250 63 248 51 250 40 243 38212 36847 66 249 62 251 62 244 54 243 50 239 36847 35466 68 249 62 251 61 245 55 240 58 237 35466 34043 71 248 62 251 61 245 58 242 60 237 34043 32579 70 246 64 249 62 246 62 243 61 238 32579 31055 67 244 64 247 62 246 60 244 64 237 31055 29455 63 245 60 248 58 247 56 245 63 238 29455 27780 52 249 50 251 49 246 50 244 58 238 27780 26032 43 244 38 250 41 244 42 239 51 236 26032 24219 38 230 30 249 33 238 34 229 44 230 24219 22344 38 219 25 244 29 236 31 224 39 225 22344 20397 40 215 27 235 23 241 27 231 34 223 20397 18371 34 219 30 237 17 247 22 236 30 224 18371 16305 15 219 32 234 20 241 20 248 24 227 16305 14311 7 157 39 222 25 226 17 251 20 226 14311 12489 13 149 43 210 29 214 18 241 19 222 12489 10865 21 165 40 199 30 196 24 229 16 220 10865 9422 26 168 37 179 30 168 26 210 13 216 9422 8139 30 157 37 166 30 154 29 181 12 204 8139 6998 27 148 32 162 28 145 28 156 16 133 6998 5990 23 136 29 147 27 130 26 120 20 115 5990 5103 19 122 31 126 29 115 27 097 20 112 5103 4321 20 106 33 108 29 103 28 089 22 109 4321 3622 29 086 32 089 28 083 28 086 22 100 3622 3008 33 074 28 076 24 070 27 077 22 071 3008 2497 32 069 24 070 23 068 24 066 21 058 2497 2105 27 067 22 068 21 067 22 063 19 055 2105 1836 23 066 19 067 17 067 18 060 15 053 1836 1672 20 065 16 066 15*066 16*059 13*052 1672 1578 15*065 12*065 11*065 11*058 9*052 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography