DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 82.0 - - 76.8 - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 153 - - -16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3761 - - 4121 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3736 - - 3864 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5146 - - 5506 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1989 - - 2096 - - 4814 - - 470 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 360 - - 29 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 053 - - 010 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -558 - - -526 - - -2778 - - -1739 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5704 - - 6032 - - 4357 - - 3318 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4118 - - -2861 - - -4696 - - -4905 ODpotential blCL - - - 9264 - - 8367 - - 6275 - - 6484 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 82 - - 77 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 650 - - 890 - - 950 - - 900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 82.0 - - 76.8 - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.6 - - 60.8 - - 62.9 - - 63.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 80.5 - - 78.2 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 59.9 - - 62.2 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 153 - - -16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3761 - - 4121 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 27 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97884 15 220 23 235 16 238 10 297 97884 90492 14 193 17 233 14 250 13 311 90492 84795 7 137 14 167 11 208 9 237 84795 80088 4 080 9 111 11 151 16 185 80088 76054 2 041 5 013 8 099 5 123 76054 72495 1 287 4 321 3 061 9 035 72495 69277 1 263 2 294 7 328 16 346 69277 66347 5 105 6 174 11 270 17 320 66347 63673 7 045 3 139 6 266 13 289 63673 61102 11 358 2 084 5 306 10 275 61102 58421 16 327 4 329 5 296 10 269 58421 55621 21 305 12 309 8 305 8 267 55621 52941 29 294 24 291 25 286 25 271 52941 50531 32 291 33 285 37 272 37 264 50531 48355 37 287 38 284 35 266 45 260 48355 46364 39 287 39 284 40 270 53 264 46364 44529 43 290 44 286 47 267 58 265 44529 42824 48 292 47 284 50 267 60 266 42824 41232 51 292 49 285 52 272 61 268 41232 39737 52 292 49 284 54 277 62 272 39737 38330 52 291 47 283 54 281 62 274 38330 36972 50 289 46 285 52 284 60 277 36972 35597 50 289 48 288 50 287 59 281 35597 34175 51 286 53 290 49 287 56 282 34175 32706 48 283 55 289 48 284 53 283 32706 31174 41 279 52 291 49 286 48 283 31174 29567 27 275 39 288 33 296 45 285 29567 27887 21 275 23 271 25 285 34 282 27887 26144 19 276 18 275 19 284 23 285 26144 24342 18 271 19 280 14 298 6 317 24342 22474 12 270 15 288 13 308 6 319 22474 20528 8 281 9 306 8 317 4 280 20528 18497 4 322 4 323 3 329 4 265 18497 16419 3 009 2 333 4 345 2 348 16419 14423 5 092 4 143 2 235 3 054 14423 12614 8 133 11 154 8 131 9 102 12614 11002 7 142 7 163 6 096 8 086 11002 9561 2 134 1 097 1 014 5 079 9561 8275 3 061 5 100 3 130 2 185 8275 7131 8 084 7 107 8 117 4 158 7131 6114 9 095 7*099 10 105 8 120 6114 5215 9*084 6*085 10 097 9 095 5215 4418 8*073 6 066 9 087 10 082 4418 3701 7 064 6 052 8 070 11 077 3701 3067 7 056 6 047 8 047 12 071 3067 2536 7 053 6 043 8 029 14 061 2536 2128 6 050 6 040 9 021 14 050 2128 1847 6 050 6 039 9 016 12 042 1847 1676 6 049 6 039 7 013 8*034 1676 1579 5 048 5 039 5*010 4*023 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography