DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.8 - - 72.8 - - 78.4 - - 70.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 180 - - 100 - - -24 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 782 - - 2046 - - 2904 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2429 - - 2743 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2167 - - 3431 - - 4289 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1234 - - 673 - - 1059 - - 2378 - - 684 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 299 - - 280 - - 20 - - 27 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 204 - - 188 - - 165 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 385 - - -247 - - -1601 - - -2609 - - -1762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1782 - - 3679 - - 5890 - - 4188 - - 3341 sfcLCL ODpotential -85 - - -4350 - - -4470 - - -6999 - - -12215 ODpotential blCL 2252 - - 7781 - - 8759 - - 8578 - - 13794 blCL maxRH 100 - - 85 - - 65 - - 63 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.8 - - 72.8 - - 78.4 - - 70.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.2 - - 61.9 - - 58.0 - - 57.9 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 71.5 - - 77.4 - - 73.0 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.9 - - 61.1 - - 57.2 - - 57.5 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 180 - - 100 - - -24 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 782 - - 2046 - - 2904 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97044 60 261 57 245 61 247 64 256 70 261 97044 89794 50 245 50 250 43 245 48 261 48 264 89794 84168 42 254 41 241 42 244 40 259 37 258 84168 79496 27 258 28 247 32 256 33 253 28 268 79496 75493 16 255 14 259 18 272 19 252 16 257 75493 71980 10 307 4 265 8 262 12 264 8 268 71980 68835 11 317 4 311 3 290 5 298 6 299 68835 65989 6 315 6 293 4 299 4 295 10 317 65989 63393 4 305 6 313 5 300 4 317 10 318 63393 60896 6 336 10 337 11 330 9 351 8 304 60896 58281 10 326 11 341 13 328 6 329 9 277 58281 55547 11 319 10 336 11 305 8 304 11 269 55547 52921 13 306 13 309 13 290 11 294 10 273 52921 50543 17 268 19 278 18 284 14 275 17 278 50543 48399 19 258 23 261 22 275 18 264 21 277 48399 46445 19 268 24 259 22 275 16 266 20 277 46445 44647 19 281 23 262 22 274 16 266 20 272 44647 42980 21 282 20 265 24 267 19 263 26 266 42980 41424 24 278 23 266 29 266 24 268 31 265 41424 39959 23 273 25 268 32 264 29 272 33 268 39959 38574 17 276 24 269 30 263 31 272 32 270 38574 37232 12 294 21 270 27 265 30 271 30 270 37232 35867 10 316 15 261 24 269 27 272 28 270 35867 34448 7 322 6 242 22 265 27 273 24 273 34448 32980 6 300 2 212 14 247 27 273 20 278 32980 31447 2 294 2 220 8 230 26 272 17 278 31447 29842 2 053 3 214 7 234 25 271 18 272 29842 28165 1 048 4 207 9 247 27 271 19 266 28165 26414 4 293 5 239 11 254 24 279 17 268 26414 24587 7 275 8 257 14 261 15 255 13 274 24587 22684 6 278 8 258 12 264 11 251 10 252 22684 20701 7 275 8 244 10 258 11 266 9 251 20701 18631 8 264 10 243 10 266 11 293 9 273 18631 16518 7 256 9 256 11 287 11 312 7 302 16518 14478 6 271 10 266 12 291 13 313 8 321 14478 12618 6 307 9 275 10 287 16 314 13 323 12618 10968 8 355 4 356 3 353 11 314 17 321 10968 9513 11 002 7 025 6 052 2 346 9 323 9513 8227 6 343 3 008 3 058 1 336 3 310 8227 7084 2 232 2 253 1 156 5 261 7 262 7084 6068 7 216 7 220 7 195 9 222 13 236 6068 5173 12 222 12 218 12 189 12 191 17 208 5173 4383 17 217 15 209 12*187 14 180 19 192 4383 3674 21 212 15*204 12*187 15 176 20 181 3674 3045 21 210 15*204 11 188 15 173 23 173 3045 2521 21*210 14 204 11 188 15 171 27 167 2521 2119 16*209 14 204 10 189 15 169 26 166 2119 1842 14 209 13 204 10 190 13 168 20 166 1842 1674 13 210 12 204 9 190 9*167 15*166 1674 1579 10 209 10 204 8 190 5*165 8*165 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography