DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 85.8 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 245 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3851 - - 4531 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3945 - - 4397 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5236 - - 5916 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1072 - - 882 - - - - - 462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 432 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 21 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 148 - - - - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -664 - - -1766 - - - - - -2819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5900 - - 7682 - - - - - 4398 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5656 - - -5783 - - - - - -9365 ODpotential blCL - - - 10892 - - 11699 - - - - - 10944 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 57 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 680 - - 310 - - - - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 85.8 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.7 - - 57.5 - - - - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.1 - - 83.9 - - - - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 56.3 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 245 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3851 - - 4531 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98139 2 348 3 016 6 026 98139 90719 5 153 1 285 11 048 90719 84986 6 122 6 145 11 047 84986 80217 2 109 13 135 2 351 80217 76120 4 324 9 107 1 163 76120 72524 4 230 5 329 7 019 72524 69293 6 090 8 246 11 303 69293 66352 12 339 7 272 13 286 66352 63649 18 326 12 314 13 295 63649 61048 23 312 20 303 18 323 61048 58351 29 289 28 299 27 309 58351 55570 33 284 32 289 33 296 55570 52919 38 284 38 280 47 286 52919 50527 46 279 46 274 50 279 50527 48367 49 276 48 276 50 284 48367 46398 52 283 54 287 64 291 46398 44586 56 286 61 288 70 289 44586 42903 54 286 62 287 65 290 42903 41330 49 284 59 286 57 290 41330 39857 44 282 54 283 49 293 39857 38470 40 284 46 282 45 293 38470 37134 35 287 38 282 37 291 37134 35779 33 293 36 291 34 292 35779 34371 32 300 38 293 34 292 34371 32912 29 301 39 291 36 293 32912 31386 24 295 38 294 37 295 31386 29785 21 292 31 299 29 296 29785 28110 22 296 25 297 20 293 28110 26361 18 298 23 301 16 302 26361 24539 9 307 15 299 17 305 24539 22648 5 321 5 285 11 294 22648 20684 6 032 2 134 6 294 20684 18640 13 053 11 083 3 148 18640 16557 14 066 14 077 11 105 16557 14547 14 075 14 082 18 107 14547 12713 17 085 13 088 21 116 12713 11076 20 094 15 105 18 124 11076 9616 19 103 13 116 13 144 9616 8313 13 112 7 114 10 161 8313 7152 9 098 4 128 6 158 7152 6125 7*094 4*147 4 204 6125 5222 3*126 4*149 7 203 5222 4422 3 174 4 149 10 187 4422 3705 3 181 4 149 11 175 3705 3068 3 184 4 148 12 157 3068 2537 3 186 4 149 14 139 2537 2128 3 187 4 148 16 131 2128 1847 3 188 4 147 14 130 1847 1677 3 186 3 147 9*127 1677 1579 3 186 3 146 5*122 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography