DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 92.1 - - 91.1 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 172 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4722 - - 8500 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4524 - - 7301 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6107 - - 9885 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3884 - - 1582 - - 9609 - - 430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 484 - - 53 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 20 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 162 - - 138 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -5 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -259 - - 1891 - - -6589 - - -4875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6367 - - 7994 - - 8169 - - 6456 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2011 - - -98 - - -7455 - - -7380 ODpotential blCL - - - 8118 - - 9983 - - 9035 - - 8960 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 63 - - 74 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 810 - - 380 - - 160 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 92.1 - - 91.1 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.0 - - 62.2 - - 60.6 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 90.6 - - 91.2 - - 85.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 60.8 - - 59.3 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 172 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4722 - - 8500 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98863 42 100 41 096 27 109 36 080 98863 91407 40 091 43 103 36 092 36 082 91407 85665 42 089 39 094 39 090 31 087 85665 80894 38 086 34 089 37 087 35 088 80894 76798 30 084 33 085 33 080 37 085 76798 73210 27 093 26 088 30 076 35 079 73210 69994 27 086 24 103 24 079 30 077 69994 67044 24 097 22 099 22 089 23 084 67044 64307 24 092 22 102 20 091 20 077 64307 61667 16 088 24 101 20 101 13 079 61667 58929 19 088 20 097 21 087 17 091 58929 56103 18 079 19 091 16 086 19 085 56103 53425 19 056 17 068 14 086 14 084 53425 51031 8 042 13 043 16 061 11 088 51031 48887 5 155 2 277 7 022 12 064 48887 46929 2 135 6 245 8 294 8 003 46929 45122 3 335 7 247 16 262 14 290 45122 43439 6 288 8 235 17 246 20 267 43439 41859 8 258 8 231 17 246 20 264 41859 40366 11 261 9 240 17 249 23 272 40366 38952 16 276 11 248 16 255 26 272 38952 37581 22 279 12 256 15 267 23 271 37581 36183 22 276 13 266 15 282 16 279 36183 34731 18 276 15 272 13 291 11 299 34731 33231 9 287 15 274 9 327 7 002 33231 31671 4 235 16 289 9 004 9 066 31671 30043 11 127 8 289 9 064 17 093 30043 28344 20 097 10 118 16 094 23 098 28344 26572 23 093 19 103 18 100 24 099 26572 24724 23 097 20 102 17 101 23 096 24724 22805 20 097 17 093 15 097 22 099 22805 20810 14 092 9 062 16 090 19 090 20810 18734 14 080 5 004 13 065 15 082 18734 16621 16 080 8 063 12 033 15 051 16621 14589 7 091 8 090 2 020 12 021 14589 12743 4 183 1 194 3 016 8 003 12743 11109 6 169 4*186 4 165 1 326 11109 9661 8 127 4*172 8 170 8 182 9661 8367 8 107 5 168 8 166 9 166 8367 7209 7 105 5 164 8 162 10 156 7209 6179 5*138 5 163 7 157 12 152 6179 5267 6*154 4 161 7 152 14 150 5267 4459 6 155 4 158 7 148 16 149 4459 3733 6 155 4 157 7 144 17 147 3733 3089 6 154 4 156 7 143 17 143 3089 2551 6 154 4 154 6 141 16 137 2551 2137 6 153 4 154 6 140 15 129 2137 1851 5 153 4 155 6 139 13 124 1851 1678 5 152 4 155 6*139 8*122 1678 1580 5 152 3 155 5*138 4*123 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography