DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 89.1 - - 85.8 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 205 - - -15 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2724 - - 5723 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3083 - - 5217 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4109 - - 7108 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2004 - - 2117 - - 6708 - - 3741 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 439 - - 32 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 145 - - 119 - - 130 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1224 - - -83 - - -4342 - - -1679 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5333 - - 7192 - - 5922 - - 3258 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2858 - - -1153 - - -5882 - - -3187 ODpotential blCL - - - 6967 - - 8261 - - 7462 - - 4766 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 84 - - 77 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 780 - - 440 - - 740 - - 1570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 89.1 - - 85.8 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.6 - - 62.7 - - 65.1 - - 70.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 87.3 - - 86.7 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 62.0 - - 64.6 - - 70.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 205 - - -15 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2724 - - 5723 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 36 - - 8 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98093 6 178 10 196 12 232 4 281 98093 90744 19 133 13 138 7 254 7 011 90744 85082 19 111 15 116 7 066 9 080 85082 80377 11 084 13 083 13 074 17 082 80377 76315 10 080 11 076 12 050 16 065 76315 72734 9 117 13 083 8 085 11 059 72734 69515 11 128 6 092 9 047 12 067 69515 66576 16 085 9 128 8 039 15 073 66576 63869 17 067 15 101 9 067 11 058 63869 61280 19 042 17 037 12 024 9 059 61280 58614 20 016 21 005 20 002 18 027 58614 55863 33 347 33 347 32 345 31 351 55863 53257 45 326 47 327 50 324 54 324 53257 50920 51 326 51 326 57 324 58 320 50920 48803 60 331 59 327 63 329 62 327 48803 46854 64 330 68 325 69 326 73 325 46854 45042 64 328 73 322 75 323 78 322 45042 43347 66 327 71 322 74 323 76 323 43347 41755 63 323 60 321 65 323 67 323 41755 40257 62 314 55 313 61 317 60 319 40257 38841 63 313 57 311 59 311 56 313 38841 37470 60 316 54 315 56 316 51 311 37470 36075 56 318 50 317 54 316 47 309 36075 34632 50 321 49 320 48 312 45 310 34632 33141 45 324 46 324 43 313 42 318 33141 31591 38 326 38 323 38 322 36 325 31591 29969 28 320 32 327 35 323 29 328 29969 28274 28 319 30 322 31 324 27 326 28274 26502 31 327 30 321 29 327 23 326 26502 24657 28 336 28 333 27 340 21 339 24657 22741 18 341 22 339 19 344 15 354 22741 20750 16 356 13 350 12 344 10 339 20750 18679 13 346 12 349 11 354 9 327 18679 16567 11 314 12 328 12 359 9 347 16567 14535 7 322 5 301 9 359 11 356 14535 12695 1 212 6 258 7 295 10 353 12695 11064 6 179 6 240 6 314 9 006 11064 9615 6 124 4 154 1 082 2 037 9615 8323 9 091 8 122 9 147 5 142 8323 7172 11 082 9*122 12 148 10 142 7172 6147 10 085 9*120 13 144 13 144 6147 5241 8 106 9 120 13 141 19 147 5241 4438 6*139 9 119 13 139 24 146 4438 3718 6*144 9 119 13 137 25 141 3718 3079 6 145 9 119 13 135 25 135 3079 2544 6 145 9 118 12 133 23 130 2544 2133 6 146 8 118 12 132 21 128 2133 1850 6 145 8 118 10 131 18 126 1850 1678 6 144 8 118 8*131 14 126 1678 1579 5 145 7 118 5*130 10*125 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography