DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.9 - - 80.0 - - 82.1 - - 79.8 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 84 - - 56 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1744 - - 2144 - - 2421 - - 194 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 2143 - - 2149 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3129 - - 3529 - - 3806 - - 1579 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1238 - - 1809 - - 2941 - - 4386 - - 2234 Hgt.Variab. W* 188 - - 247 - - 240 - - 51 - - 25 W* B/S 5 - - 21 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 134 - - 142 - - 116 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - -10 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 936 - - 514 - - 547 - - -771 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2193 - - 3015 - - 3259 - - 2350 - - 1580 sfcLCL ODpotential 206 - - -695 - - -585 - - -1590 - - -522 ODpotential blCL 2923 - - 4224 - - 4391 - - 3169 - - 2102 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 94 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 1300 - - 1520 - - 1950 - - 2450 - - 2610 CAPE Temp@2m 76.9 - - 80.0 - - 82.1 - - 79.8 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.2 - - 71.8 - - 72.7 - - 74.3 - - 75.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.1 - - 79.1 - - 81.3 - - 79.8 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.6 - - 70.8 - - 71.3 - - 73.6 - - 75.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 84 - - 56 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1744 - - 2144 - - 2421 - - 194 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 92 - - 78 - - 92 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 19 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98821 55 104 50 109 39 109 36 089 39 081 98821 91305 50 084 43 096 45 101 41 087 45 078 91305 85593 46 075 40 085 45 094 40 089 44 085 85593 80888 32 085 36 087 42 088 36 090 42 088 80888 76821 28 099 37 090 38 085 33 097 37 091 76821 73211 30 097 36 093 31 085 34 090 38 092 73211 69947 29 091 34 097 26 089 31 081 39 086 69947 66977 28 086 33 087 25 101 25 085 33 082 66977 64265 33 078 28 086 27 102 21 100 23 079 64265 61672 34 072 23 085 27 096 25 096 18 096 61672 58971 26 075 21 079 24 077 29 071 27 081 58971 56180 24 083 24 065 26 062 29 062 28 067 56180 53535 29 077 24 063 25 052 27 050 31 053 53535 51159 28 074 26 068 25 050 23 049 25 046 51159 49015 27 055 28 062 24 055 20 051 19 048 49015 47048 22 051 24 053 24 045 16 043 17 033 47048 45225 22 045 25 043 26 037 17 031 18 021 45225 43524 23 043 19 038 24 028 19 028 19 022 43524 41928 19 041 15 030 18 016 19 020 18 013 41928 40424 18 004 15 015 16 004 20 007 19 356 40424 39004 20 342 13 352 17 356 21 355 19 349 39004 37632 22 326 15 336 19 349 21 352 18 346 37632 36242 21 319 16 333 19 337 19 337 21 337 36242 34801 18 308 15 329 14 341 19 309 26 330 34801 33310 17 294 13 327 14 333 18 308 25 321 33310 31751 15 281 14 328 14 318 19 315 23 315 31751 30115 7 286 14 315 14 318 19 332 19 302 30115 28402 4 303 9 295 16 318 18 340 17 283 28402 26612 7 298 5 260 15 314 15 346 15 286 26612 24749 9 326 4 294 13 292 16 332 12 288 24749 22816 7 290 5 298 12 278 14 302 12 280 22816 20810 10 243 11 263 17 254 16 269 10 278 20810 18730 14 208 17 236 19 239 17 262 9 281 18730 16617 14 197 12 220 14 228 15 257 11 259 16617 14582 12 208 8 212 6 208 13 247 9 231 14582 12732 5 187 7 191 2 196 11 231 7 228 12732 11090 6 104 7 174 5 213 7 220 7 235 11090 9631 6 094 7 169 7 208 5 210 8 235 9631 8331 6 097 7 164 5 191 5 191 9 224 8331 7174 4 100 8 165 4 173 8 178 9 208 7174 6145 2 142 8 173 5 162 9 166 9 193 6145 5236 4 200 6 183 5 154 8 149 8 173 5236 4432 7 202 4 190 5*144 8 121 8 146 4432 3711 8*187 3*185 5*141 9 115 10 123 3711 3074 8*181 2*154 5 142 9 114 12 111 3074 2541 8 179 2 140 5 142 9 115 12 103 2541 2131 7 177 2 129 5 142 9 115 11 100 2131 1849 7 177 2 124 5 143 9 115 10 098 1849 1678 7 177 2 124 5 144 8 116 8*096 1678 1580 6 176 2 122 5 145 6*116 6*096 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography