DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 50.5 - - 45.8 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 216 - - -19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1229 - - 2425 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1910 - - 2754 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2614 - - 3810 - - 1577 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 716 - - 753 - - 1867 - - 309 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 331 - - 26 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 222 - - 228 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3465 - - -1430 - - -1868 - - -529 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6079 - - 5240 - - 3445 - - 2106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17513 - - -11097 - - -12140 - - -13279 ODpotential blCL - - - 20127 - - 14907 - - 13717 - - 14855 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 82 - - 69 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 50.5 - - 45.8 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 33.4 - - 36.6 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 48.8 - - 46.7 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 32.7 - - 36.0 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 216 - - -19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1229 - - 2425 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96377 43 221 65 234 61 248 48 259 96377 89230 40 258 51 263 51 263 46 265 89230 83695 37 262 41 265 37 269 34 262 83695 79075 35 279 29 273 30 267 30 262 79075 75095 31 286 23 278 25 267 25 273 75095 71610 24 312 12 308 21 258 23 264 71610 68469 25 305 19 321 19 316 13 287 68469 65592 28 292 28 302 28 315 26 297 65592 62963 27 310 25 289 26 297 30 293 62963 60435 42 329 33 323 27 301 37 290 60435 57779 48 312 43 315 37 292 39 299 57779 54999 51 303 52 307 46 307 47 309 54999 52323 62 302 63 303 54 314 48 310 52323 49899 66 298 65 298 58 306 51 305 49899 47713 64 299 62 290 59 301 54 297 47713 45720 64 297 62 291 61 295 57 294 45720 43887 67 296 65 291 63 289 60 288 43887 42200 75 295 68 294 63 288 61 284 42200 40643 83 294 75 296 62 291 61 289 40643 39198 80 294 79 293 65 292 67 294 39198 37842 78 296 76 292 67 293 67 294 37842 36529 64 298 72 296 68 293 61 294 36529 35190 54 307 67 295 63 294 54 296 35190 33798 53 309 58 301 57 291 51 295 33798 32359 51 306 54 307 46 296 44 293 32359 30858 45 310 52 310 44 304 38 300 30858 29281 41 317 50 317 43 308 36 309 29281 27629 39 316 45 319 39 313 30 315 27629 25898 34 312 41 312 37 313 27 335 25898 24089 33 310 41 312 33 325 26 342 24089 22205 34 314 39 315 31 339 23 335 22205 20240 34 317 37 317 31 345 26 342 20240 18190 31 318 38 325 30 340 27 347 18190 16105 30 326 36 323 31 331 25 337 16105 14106 28 355 28 336 29 329 25 331 14106 12295 22 000 21 001 20 325 21 328 12295 10686 18 352 16 001 16 349 15 324 10686 9259 15 332 13 344 17 008 12 001 9259 7993 10 318 12 334 14 004 12 022 7993 6871 7 316 7 323 10 338 9 009 6871 5880 8 290 3 281 6 308 5 326 5880 5009 18 239 10 233 5 262 4 265 5009 4243 22 229 13*225 8 225 7 238 4243 3562 18 227 13*223 11 214 11 228 3562 2963 9*218 12 222 12 217 14 221 2963 2466 5*198 12 222 12 222 14 216 2466 2086 5 193 12 222 12 225 12 217 2086 1825 5 191 11 222 11 226 10 229 1825 1667 5 189 10 222 9*227 6 238 1667 1576 4 190 9 222 6*228 4*246 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography