DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.8 - - 83.6 - - 82.6 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 129 - - 30 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2512 - - 3046 - - 2598 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2619 - - 3034 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3897 - - 4431 - - 3983 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1766 - - 2241 - - 2417 - - 3031 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 290 - - 316 - - 194 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 159 - - 151 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1130 - - 998 - - 782 - - -48 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2768 - - 3434 - - 3201 - - 1628 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 95 - - 63 - - -219 - - -865 ODpotential blCL - - - 3802 - - 4368 - - 4202 - - 2445 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 90 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2600 - - 2950 - - 2920 - - 2640 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.8 - - 83.6 - - 82.6 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.3 - - 73.1 - - 73.2 - - 74.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 82.5 - - 82.3 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 72.2 - - 72.7 - - 74.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 129 - - 30 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2512 - - 3046 - - 2598 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 60 - - 83 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 18 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98362 26 101 18 112 19 103 18 087 98362 90898 21 122 21 109 17 097 23 073 90898 85148 20 111 19 104 18 093 23 077 85148 80400 20 092 18 112 16 098 17 071 80400 76352 18 089 20 098 16 093 17 072 76352 72803 18 086 19 083 19 080 21 087 72803 69599 17 084 17 096 16 076 21 087 69599 66667 19 082 18 105 17 095 19 086 66667 63975 16 086 13 088 18 098 21 091 63975 61382 15 116 9 118 13 080 17 071 61382 58694 12 132 10 155 2 151 6 095 58694 55914 5 234 12 195 5 283 3 171 55914 53258 18 253 14 223 19 265 16 277 53258 50870 34 239 30 251 35 249 34 252 50870 48729 42 230 49 245 47 242 50 239 48729 46777 53 237 63 239 61 237 58 240 46777 44976 69 242 70 240 65 237 68 241 44976 43297 86 243 77 241 72 241 73 240 43297 41717 85 240 80 239 77 240 74 238 41717 40221 82 237 79 236 76 237 74 237 40221 38802 83 236 79 233 77 234 72 235 38802 37425 84 234 80 230 79 230 72 234 37425 36023 78 229 78 228 80 228 72 233 36023 34569 68 221 75 225 76 230 68 234 34569 33068 61 211 66 221 66 232 55 235 33068 31508 61 209 59 215 55 234 43 228 31508 29879 59 218 57 213 46 228 39 222 29879 28181 53 233 52 224 43 223 36 224 28181 26412 43 229 42 232 39 223 33 228 26412 24573 36 221 35 234 27 232 26 229 24573 22672 30 220 24 223 18 246 13 233 22672 20701 22 220 23 227 15 240 9 256 20701 18647 18 219 16 231 15 257 9 319 18647 16556 7 255 12 253 5 290 6 344 16556 14546 4 289 8 248 8 023 9 033 14546 12714 4 268 4 221 4 001 12 051 12714 11079 4 262 3 216 3 231 10 067 11079 9621 6 262 4 234 3 184 8 094 9621 8322 10 253 7 224 3 175 7 146 8322 7165 14 227 8 204 7 179 10 180 7165 6137 15 206 12 183 12 178 14 187 6137 5229 15 192 14 171 15 170 16 182 5229 4428 15*183 15*166 17*162 18 173 4428 3710 15*179 16*162 18*156 20 167 3710 3074 14 174 16 160 18 153 20 164 3074 2542 13 171 16 159 18 151 20 162 2542 2132 13 170 15 157 17 150 18 160 2132 1850 12 169 15 157 17 149 16 158 1850 1678 11 169 14 157 15 148 13*158 1678 1580 9 168 11 156 11 148 10*157 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography