DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.0 - - 83.5 - - 86.0 - - 81.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 114 - - 293 - - 197 - - -9 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 593 - - 5084 - - 6028 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 4891 - - 5429 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 1978 - - 6469 - - 7413 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1625 - - 1280 - - 1464 - - 6346 - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* 169 - - 472 - - 441 - - 23 - - 16 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 078 - - 089 - - 099 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3219 - - -1042 - - -559 - - -4972 - - -4029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5197 - - 7512 - - 7972 - - 6551 - - 5608 sfcLCL ODpotential -9102 - - -5416 - - -3667 - - -8677 - - -9032 ODpotential blCL 11080 - - 11885 - - 11080 - - 10256 - - 10611 blCL maxRH 60 - - 65 - - 71 - - 68 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 75.0 - - 83.5 - - 86.0 - - 81.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.7 - - 55.9 - - 56.3 - - 58.3 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.8 - - 81.3 - - 84.3 - - 82.8 - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.2 - - 55.0 - - 55.4 - - 57.5 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 114 - - 293 - - 197 - - -9 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 593 - - 5084 - - 6028 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98278 16 094 17 118 20 094 18 103 19 095 98278 90799 23 085 24 124 23 091 17 093 19 103 90799 85024 21 081 19 106 24 118 14 104 21 072 85024 80246 18 093 18 088 19 123 15 136 16 075 80246 76167 16 099 17 104 15 104 14 124 13 105 76167 72594 13 101 16 092 14 102 12 101 14 112 72594 69375 11 129 10 077 13 094 11 093 10 113 69375 66434 10 133 4 127 11 070 7 085 10 101 66434 63728 9 129 12 191 2 038 3 018 8 052 63728 61132 9 107 13 186 5 227 4 270 6 341 61132 58456 4 082 9 179 9 219 7 223 5 253 58456 55703 4 256 7 188 12 214 12 221 12 227 55703 53088 9 250 9 217 14 210 18 226 19 225 53088 50735 9 250 10 229 15 218 20 221 25 233 50735 48613 13 257 13 242 16 226 22 229 27 232 48613 46666 17 255 18 249 18 245 26 238 30 241 46666 44862 19 259 19 254 21 253 29 243 33 242 44862 43175 20 262 22 253 25 250 30 242 37 246 43175 41586 21 258 24 249 26 246 29 247 40 250 41586 40084 23 252 25 247 27 252 31 259 41 256 40084 38663 24 246 26 246 29 258 36 267 43 260 38663 37287 25 244 26 247 29 260 40 269 45 262 37287 35889 26 242 25 252 29 264 38 271 46 262 35889 34439 25 240 24 257 25 269 32 268 41 265 34439 32943 20 231 21 259 22 270 28 274 35 264 32943 31385 11 217 16 237 20 266 24 273 29 269 31385 29753 6 179 10 210 15 250 19 281 24 282 29753 28058 1 161 4 189 8 253 12 276 20 305 28058 26302 0 160 3 122 3 206 11 303 19 313 26302 24477 10 134 12 131 7 139 9 290 13 319 24477 22584 20 134 17 120 10 115 5 148 3 312 22584 20617 18 129 13 113 9 103 7 113 9 112 20617 18566 14 105 12 098 8 089 6 088 7 095 18566 16472 16 090 14 098 13 092 6 074 6 069 16472 14458 23 087 23 101 22 098 15 104 12 100 14458 12633 31 081 31 092 27 099 22 102 17 101 12633 11012 35 088 34 100 26 102 19 106 16 104 11012 9567 28 089 27 108 20 109 14 103 14 109 9567 8280 17 076 17 099 12*096 9 091 10 100 8280 7136 12 043 10*087 11*092 9 085 9 095 7136 6120 10 052 9*085 10 090 9 088 10 103 6120 5220 12 077 9 083 10 090 9 091 10 109 5220 4422 12 094 8 081 10 090 9 095 10 115 4422 3705 12 102 8 078 9 089 9 098 11 120 3705 3070 11 101 7 076 9 088 9 100 12 125 3070 2538 10 090 7 073 9 088 9 101 13 127 2538 2130 8*056 6 071 8 088 8 101 12 126 2130 1848 7*049 6 070 8 088 7 102 10 122 1848 1677 7 047 6 070 8 087 6 101 8*115 1677 1579 6 046 5 070 7 088 4*099 5*109 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography