DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.3 - - 93.2 - - 90.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 178 - - 84 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3083 - - 4875 - - 2160 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2087 - - 3018 - - 264 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3363 - - 5155 - - 2440 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3382 - - 2437 - - 4465 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 347 - - 329 - - 110 W* B/S - - - - - - 29 - - 7 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 121 - - 119 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -511 - - 768 - - -1214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3874 - - 4388 - - 3655 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2505 - - -813 - - -2612 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5868 - - 5968 - - 5052 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 78 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3280 - - 3440 - - 3700 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.3 - - 93.2 - - 90.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.1 - - 74.7 - - 75.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.2 - - 92.5 - - 91.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 74.0 - - 73.5 - - 74.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 178 - - 84 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3083 - - 4875 - - 2160 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 25 - - 12 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99095 39 094 26 102 35 082 99095 91638 31 091 26 092 31 079 91638 85906 22 089 29 085 24 082 85906 81143 17 095 29 084 21 084 81143 77029 18 094 24 086 18 089 77029 73392 22 099 19 084 13 100 73392 70105 22 112 12 089 7 090 70105 67096 20 108 9 107 8 060 67096 64318 15 096 10 108 11 060 64318 61642 10 102 6 106 10 056 61642 58877 14 111 6 155 4 059 58877 56032 18 101 10 147 4 239 56032 53341 6 084 7 104 2 165 53341 50934 6 265 5 334 5 032 50934 48781 4 334 9 295 12 315 48781 46827 7 353 9 319 12 298 46827 45033 5 311 10 311 10 323 45033 43365 3 250 7 292 9 329 43365 41799 4 052 3 023 7 332 41799 40317 10 046 9 045 7 351 40317 38911 15 041 11 039 8 345 38911 37542 14 038 9 034 9 331 37542 36143 8 039 3 010 10 328 36143 34686 5 038 3 032 8 305 34686 33173 4 304 5 023 5 297 33173 31589 8 298 7 014 3 022 31589 29921 6 308 8 014 6 034 29921 28169 1 023 7 360 9 024 28169 26329 7 104 6 008 10 034 26329 24405 14 114 7 120 4 115 24405 22411 19 143 13 175 9 207 22411 20341 24 145 18 162 12 188 20341 18182 23 146 20 156 16 169 18182 15975 23 149 20 151 20 162 15975 13840 17 142 17 147 17 151 13840 11900 15 128 15 138 17 135 11900 10182 13 128 16 133 17 128 10182 8657 14 127 13 132 14 129 8657 7297 12 124 10 128 14 130 7297 6086 10 135 9*120 12 128 6086 5014 4 133 8*119 10 130 5014 4068 3*124 8 118 9 132 4068 3232 2*123 9 118 8 137 3232 2484 2 121 9 119 7*140 2484 1822 2 121 9 119 7*143 1822 1271 2 121 9 119 7 145 1271 848 2 119 9 119 6 146 848 558 2 119 9 119 6 146 558 381 2 119 8 120 5 147 381 280 2 119 7 119 4 147 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography