DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 1008z - - 1334z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.2 - - 63.0 - - 66.8 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 104 - - 238 - - 151 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1237 - - 3575 - - 3844 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 250 - - 251 - - 2528 - - 2488 - - 252 Hcrit BL Top 268 - - 1517 - - 3855 - - 4124 - - 269 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 424 - - 2027 - - 583 - - 714 - - 342 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 208 - - 387 - - 338 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 17 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 017 - - 024 - - 029 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -541 - - -1203 - - -1479 - - -3226 - - -5293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 809 - - 2720 - - 5334 - - 7350 - - 5562 sfcLCL ODpotential -12741 - - -11502 - - -10483 - - -11406 - - -15306 ODpotential blCL 13009 - - 13019 - - 14338 - - 15530 - - 15575 blCL maxRH 85 - - 71 - - 67 - - 55 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.2 - - 63.0 - - 66.8 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 44.7 - - 40.9 - - 36.0 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 54.5 - - 61.6 - - 65.9 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 43.6 - - 39.5 - - 35.3 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 104 - - 238 - - 151 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1237 - - 3575 - - 3844 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97761 6 243 9 236 6 219 10 265 20 251 97761 90349 2 085 9 206 7 245 8 232 8 245 90349 84643 0 119 8 180 8 216 7 202 1 057 84643 79887 0 262 2 205 9 175 10 206 6 317 79887 75791 5 254 6 284 4 140 9 190 10 286 75791 72186 9 227 9 266 4 298 2 202 8 239 72186 68914 11 255 13 261 12 288 8 303 5 248 68914 65900 15 257 14 258 16 270 18 282 12 285 65900 63123 19 265 19 273 20 268 26 273 23 281 63123 60458 25 283 27 274 25 271 30 269 28 276 60458 57690 35 275 36 273 34 277 34 273 31 275 57690 54826 43 273 48 268 47 273 43 274 40 279 54826 52106 53 267 54 260 56 268 53 271 49 277 52106 49663 59 264 57 259 62 264 59 266 55 271 49663 47472 66 262 62 260 65 260 62 262 60 266 47472 45481 72 259 67 259 67 257 66 259 62 264 45481 43656 77 255 71 257 69 256 69 258 63 263 43656 41967 80 253 73 255 70 256 70 258 61 262 41967 40394 82 250 74 253 70 256 68 258 58 261 40394 38917 81 248 73 253 69 257 65 258 56 263 38917 37524 78 250 70 254 68 258 62 261 53 268 37524 36179 74 255 64 255 67 259 60 265 50 273 36179 34812 66 257 58 255 67 261 58 269 48 278 34812 33395 58 261 56 257 69 262 57 272 45 284 33395 31927 57 267 55 262 66 265 55 276 45 291 31927 30392 56 272 55 271 59 271 55 280 47 297 30392 28779 57 277 54 276 54 277 52 283 45 298 28779 27087 57 279 51 279 51 281 48 287 37 303 27087 25320 52 278 48 284 45 284 43 295 28 327 25320 23478 44 278 46 288 38 294 36 305 26 349 23478 21562 38 285 41 293 34 303 30 316 24 357 21562 19561 34 295 37 302 31 310 25 330 22 003 19561 17464 32 309 35 309 28 316 22 345 19 008 17464 15314 31 317 34 313 26 324 21 351 13 006 15314 13237 29 319 33 317 25 332 20 349 13 350 13237 11349 27 323 32 324 24 341 21 350 16 355 11349 9673 28 332 31 333 24 351 20 357 15 004 9673 8187 27 340 28 349 23 003 18 010 12 014 8187 6870 22 350 27 000 24 009 18 023 12 035 6870 5708 21 352 26 013 25 015 21 034 15 053 5708 4692 22 009 26 026 24*029 19*031 16 042 4692 3806 28 023 28 030 21*027 18*029 16 036 3806 3025 30 024 28 029 19 025 18 029 16 038 3025 2326 28 023 25 023 18 024 17 029 16 041 2326 1709 27 031 21*021 18 024 17 029 16 045 1709 1194 25 042 16*018 17 023 16 028 16 047 1194 798 21 040 14 017 16 023 16 028 15 049 798 527 14 026 13 017 15 023 15 029 12 049 527 362 12*023 12 016 14 023 14 028 10*048 362 268 5*015 10 016 13 023 12 028 5*044 268 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography