DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 50.8 - - 49.9 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 109 - - 29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 531 - - 2185 - - 3502 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1170 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 811 - - 2465 - - 3782 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1420 - - 978 - - 911 - - 2497 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 260 - - 213 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 22 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 325 - - 321 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 208 - - 297 - - 145 - - -1859 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 604 - - 2168 - - 3637 - - 2136 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -213 - - -4525 - - -7305 - - -7094 ODpotential blCL - - - 1024 - - 6990 - - 11087 - - 7371 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 82 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 50.8 - - 49.9 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 42.5 - - 35.2 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.7 - - 50.4 - - 49.8 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 41.2 - - 34.0 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 109 - - 29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 531 - - 2185 - - 3502 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 96 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96360 55 247 52 259 58 268 64 269 96360 89117 41 267 43 261 47 270 45 269 89117 83644 30 263 32 254 31 270 35 274 83644 79118 21 251 20 252 27 253 30 270 79118 75206 16 277 18 279 21 242 26 256 75206 71743 21 278 21 280 18 257 20 255 71743 68582 31 264 25 256 17 239 21 261 68582 65638 36 247 27 247 29 252 27 246 65638 62900 42 233 40 237 42 249 37 247 62900 60258 44 220 43 224 44 233 47 242 60258 57496 39 234 44 232 51 237 59 236 57496 54601 56 243 59 240 61 241 64 238 54601 51820 80 245 78 242 77 243 74 244 51820 49316 98 240 94 243 90 241 85 245 49316 47080 109 232 105 237 101 238 98 241 47080 45072 116 229 116 232 113 233 111 237 45072 43259 123 229 123 228 124 231 125 234 43259 41599 133 232 130 228 133 230 134 234 41599 40056 136 230 137 228 142 231 141 233 40056 38604 136 230 142 229 147 232 146 233 38604 37226 137 232 141 230 147 234 148 235 37226 35885 135 233 139 231 148 236 150 237 35885 34516 127 230 137 232 142 237 145 239 34516 33093 122 226 127 233 131 235 136 239 33093 31620 120 224 120 232 126 232 132 238 31620 30080 116 225 116 231 122 231 127 237 30080 28461 111 225 113 230 118 232 121 236 28461 26763 103 227 109 232 113 234 116 237 26763 24983 95 230 103 234 109 236 113 239 24983 23120 89 232 98 235 106 236 109 240 23120 21177 86 233 95 234 103 237 107 242 21177 19148 83 233 91 234 99 239 101 242 19148 17048 79 232 88 237 98 244 73 252 17048 14928 75 234 84 242 69 247 57 257 14928 12889 69 242 66 240 48 252 45 266 12889 11039 54 247 50 241 41 261 35 277 11039 9404 29 243 39 244 40 263 30 287 9404 7960 20 233 33 242 39 269 25 306 7960 6685 15 229 31 254 30 289 25 326 6685 5561 16 241 28 278 22 317 28 334 5561 4573 17 254 21 312 20*322 27 331 4573 3709 17 274 20 330 20*322 25 326 3709 2949 18 304 23*328 20 321 23 325 2949 2270 23 312 23*326 20 321 22 326 2270 1671 23 309 23 325 20 321 21 327 1671 1172 19*303 23 325 19 320 20 327 1172 789 14*299 22 325 19 320 18 326 789 526 12 298 21 325 18 320 15 324 526 367 10 297 19 325 16 320 12*321 367 276 8 297 15 324 13 319 5*314 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography