DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 44.6 - - 47.5 - - 49.0 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 1 - - 7 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 196 - - 190 - - 285 - - 110 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 260 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top 476 - - 470 - - 565 - - 390 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 609 - - 491 - - 516 - - 609 - - 474 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 26 - - 52 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 191 - - 178 - - 182 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 47 - - 99 - - 172 - - 95 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 429 - - 371 - - 393 - - 295 - - 277 sfcLCL ODpotential -12643 - - -49 - - 87 - - -123 - - -10659 ODpotential blCL 13119 - - 519 - - 478 - - 513 - - 10937 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 160 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 44.6 - - 47.5 - - 49.0 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.0 - - 44.0 - - 46.7 - - 48.5 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 44.9 - - 47.6 - - 49.3 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.9 - - 43.9 - - 46.5 - - 48.5 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 1 - - 7 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 196 - - 190 - - 285 - - 110 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96068 78 264 79 266 76 269 65 264 67 262 96068 88793 57 265 61 269 59 273 50 265 56 261 88793 83241 41 272 45 275 48 275 43 270 43 274 83241 78665 31 275 30 269 36 269 37 273 39 280 78665 74712 27 276 24 275 30 261 35 273 32 275 74712 71209 33 284 30 295 31 271 33 280 36 285 71209 68056 42 276 38 286 34 269 38 271 41 265 68056 65185 48 274 44 289 37 282 37 273 45 260 65185 62529 52 273 53 285 44 283 46 277 50 270 62529 59964 49 277 58 282 55 278 56 278 58 277 59964 57303 52 288 60 278 62 275 69 275 67 274 57303 54542 78 283 73 281 76 278 74 269 73 271 54542 51897 90 271 90 280 87 278 77 272 77 272 51897 49514 90 268 95 274 89 274 85 275 84 273 49514 47384 96 272 91 270 89 271 93 274 91 271 47384 45450 100 276 91 269 93 272 96 271 91 269 45450 43666 104 277 95 271 99 273 92 272 89 272 43666 42010 106 277 100 275 98 273 88 274 92 278 42010 40470 102 277 101 275 93 273 86 277 95 280 40470 39030 95 273 96 272 89 272 87 278 94 278 39030 37669 91 270 95 268 87 267 87 277 91 276 37669 36347 89 269 94 264 88 263 87 274 87 275 36347 34995 90 270 91 264 82 258 87 271 81 275 34995 33584 89 274 88 267 79 259 84 269 73 274 33584 32119 86 277 85 267 82 267 79 269 67 274 32119 30584 84 277 83 267 71 265 69 266 63 274 30584 28966 80 274 80 269 72 261 65 266 63 276 28966 27263 71 273 77 268 73 259 69 272 60 276 27263 25479 69 275 66 259 66 260 67 275 55 272 25479 23614 62 274 60 251 52 254 58 269 53 270 23614 21678 51 274 55 258 49 249 49 256 46 272 21678 19663 47 270 47 266 40 264 42 255 41 272 19663 17559 49 270 43 271 40 273 43 268 35 256 17559 15410 48 276 42 277 39 271 42 268 38 258 15410 13336 41 272 43 275 37 264 40 266 42 265 13336 11444 38 267 43 267 38 264 40 263 41 273 11444 9759 37 262 45 259 41 263 44 256 37 268 9759 8265 41 249 44 254 41 244 44 257 34 258 8265 6944 40 248 39 246 42 240 39 253 37 248 6944 5776 36 252 38 246 44 248 39 245 42 241 5776 4744 37 253 37 249 40 255 43 243 41 240 4744 3836 36 250 32 249 33 256 44 244 37 238 3836 3037 29 240 29 240 26 249 38 242 31 231 3037 2325 23 235 28 230 23 243 32 235 28 224 2325 1701 21 223 23 214 19 231 26 223 24 220 1701 1186 16 206 17 203 14 207 20 211 17 215 1186 795 11 197 11 193 10*188 14 194 11 195 795 529 7*191 5*191 6*179 9*185 6 164 529 369 6*191 4*191 5 177 8*184 4*153 369 277 4 190 2 190 4 177 5 180 3*114 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography