DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.8 - - 92.5 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 315 - - 123 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6624 - - 7925 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4998 - - 5381 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6904 - - 8205 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2162 - - 2515 - - 6147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 518 - - 404 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 212 - - 199 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -91 - - 184 - - -5425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6995 - - 8022 - - 5706 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1029 - - -498 - - -7412 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7933 - - 8703 - - 7692 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 88 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 60 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.8 - - 92.5 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.0 - - 58.2 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.9 - - 91.7 - - 87.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.6 - - 57.9 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 315 - - 123 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6624 - - 7925 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 40 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98016 14 214 14 268 19 255 98016 90724 8 222 4 314 2 242 90724 85079 6 333 3 176 6 008 85079 80397 6 357 6 195 7 338 80397 76375 3 017 3 244 6 284 76375 72829 2 137 6 277 9 294 72829 69635 9 133 7 240 10 306 69635 66710 10 112 5 165 2 297 66710 64008 5 039 6 051 6 099 64008 61409 9 332 13 014 7 084 61409 58716 7 276 10 333 8 302 58716 55948 8 336 11 317 15 298 55948 53330 39 319 32 310 26 313 53330 50968 36 307 31 313 31 322 50968 48830 36 330 45 327 45 325 48830 46871 59 324 56 319 53 319 46871 45059 60 318 51 317 50 314 45059 43371 51 316 44 309 44 311 43371 41788 39 311 40 303 37 308 41788 40295 37 307 39 295 33 306 40295 38878 34 308 28 292 28 304 38878 37501 28 302 21 295 26 292 37501 36093 16 301 20 287 14 281 36093 34625 6 313 10 246 10 257 34625 33101 9 257 12 235 15 228 33101 31503 13 266 14 247 15 232 31503 29819 12 279 13 246 11 234 29819 28054 11 264 12 234 12 226 28054 26209 12 245 16 254 18 233 26209 24283 14 261 13 261 18 240 24283 22280 13 255 12 258 19 249 22280 20194 12 227 13 243 16 247 20194 18018 13 205 16 217 16 236 18018 15802 15 189 21 199 19 222 15802 13674 14 195 19 194 18 218 13674 11750 14 210 14 199 16 201 11750 10053 17 210 13 199 16 192 10053 8548 16 196 13*199 15 184 8548 7207 13*200 13*199 15 178 7207 6013 14*209 13 199 15 178 6013 4955 13 209 13 199 15 178 4955 4020 11 213 12 199 15 178 4020 3195 11 213 12 199 15 178 3195 2456 11 214 12 198 15 178 2456 1803 10 215 11 198 15 177 1803 1258 10 215 11 198 15 177 1258 841 10 215 11 198 14 176 841 554 9 215 10 198 12 174 554 379 9 216 10 198 10*172 379 279 8 215 9 198 5*166 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography