DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 63.1 - - 66.1 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 99 - - 21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1658 - - 2458 - - 3644 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1346 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1938 - - 2738 - - 3924 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 941 - - 638 - - 542 - - 4509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 268 - - 211 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 010 - - 024 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 820 - - 1216 - - 1507 - - -1077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1118 - - 1522 - - 2417 - - 1356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 395 - - 747 - - 527 - - -2012 ODpotential blCL - - - 1543 - - 1991 - - 3397 - - 2291 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 63.1 - - 66.1 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.2 - - 57.4 - - 56.4 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 62.6 - - 66.0 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 56.1 - - 55.1 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 99 - - 21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1658 - - 2458 - - 3644 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97651 26 243 33 244 31 260 37 277 97651 90190 26 247 26 252 26 259 25 261 90190 84493 10 243 18 259 17 266 17 239 84493 79795 5 341 10 219 13 257 12 285 79795 75769 9 006 2 261 10 248 9 299 75769 72212 5 353 7 327 5 239 7 295 72212 68995 2 325 4 003 2 170 9 229 68995 66044 9 269 10 287 6 285 10 292 66044 63313 17 234 20 243 25 243 24 255 63313 60675 34 276 28 278 23 286 23 257 60675 57915 50 276 37 273 37 272 31 262 57915 55016 62 269 52 265 53 268 48 284 55016 52228 72 267 72 268 81 268 76 272 52228 49728 80 273 81 267 82 267 88 269 49728 47499 89 274 85 268 88 268 94 270 47499 45485 88 266 96 265 96 264 97 273 45485 43669 83 275 93 274 99 275 108 276 43669 42022 105 288 112 284 117 280 117 276 42022 40492 117 290 122 285 123 280 118 274 40492 39050 126 288 120 283 122 280 117 273 39050 37681 123 287 116 280 120 279 116 273 37681 36349 105 285 112 279 116 279 114 274 36349 34987 98 280 108 278 110 274 110 273 34987 33569 92 277 99 275 108 268 104 269 33569 32096 79 271 92 268 103 264 102 263 32096 30551 77 270 87 263 97 260 101 261 30551 28924 73 269 88 264 93 260 97 258 28924 27217 70 267 84 263 85 259 91 258 27217 25430 67 267 75 264 75 260 84 262 25430 23566 65 265 68 270 68 269 83 273 23566 21628 64 262 63 269 59 275 69 278 21628 19615 61 266 57 267 52 270 51 274 19615 17518 55 280 49 271 49 263 42 269 17518 15372 55 289 42 279 42 258 37 262 15372 13293 54 288 38 282 37 258 29 258 13293 11400 40 284 36 277 32 260 22 263 11400 9725 20 286 27 267 23 263 18 245 9725 8239 12 307 11 282 12 243 15 230 8239 6920 16 301 8 285 6 284 6 274 6920 5755 18 303 12 301 12 337 15 005 5755 4735 17 322 14 323 19*014 19 025 4735 3843 16 334 15 359 16*022 19 028 3843 3056 16 004 14*011 15 023 19 030 3056 2352 17*007 15*012 14 024 18 033 2352 1730 17*004 14 011 13 024 17 037 1730 1211 16 002 14 010 12 025 15 039 1211 813 15 001 13 010 11 025 13 040 813 539 14 000 13 009 11 025 11 042 539 373 13 360 12 010 10 025 9*040 373 278 10 359 10 009 8 025 5*039 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography