DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 75.3 - - 79.5 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 106 - - 25 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 591 - - 2148 - - 3313 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 1097 - - 263 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 871 - - 2428 - - 3593 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 802 - - 1357 - - 1531 - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 253 - - 190 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 25 - - 24 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 217 - - 228 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -349 - - 72 - - -55 - - -1131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1220 - - 2356 - - 3649 - - 1411 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6105 - - -480 - - -2445 - - -4416 ODpotential blCL - - - 6976 - - 2908 - - 6038 - - 4696 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 97 - - 87 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 1770 - - 1210 - - 1430 - - 1000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 75.3 - - 79.5 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.2 - - 65.6 - - 64.3 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 74.8 - - 79.5 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 65.2 - - 64.0 - - 64.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 106 - - 25 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 591 - - 2148 - - 3313 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 86 - - 49 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96464 42 263 52 263 47 262 57 266 96464 89396 27 266 35 266 34 271 35 283 89396 83921 17 284 18 261 27 275 25 285 83921 79350 17 270 8 261 20 274 17 295 79350 75404 11 265 5 260 20 266 19 314 75404 71901 10 326 5 296 14 247 15 283 71901 68720 12 271 12 313 13 276 13 273 68720 65797 11 247 18 274 19 253 16 287 65797 63114 18 283 22 284 22 289 21 281 63114 60539 30 263 40 274 34 284 29 279 60539 57843 31 262 44 266 38 272 37 273 57843 55025 45 274 40 273 41 278 44 279 55025 52322 56 266 51 270 50 271 56 268 52322 49900 58 261 59 269 60 271 58 269 49900 47741 58 265 70 272 70 273 64 276 47741 45788 63 272 76 271 77 274 73 277 45788 43999 70 278 82 271 84 273 81 277 43999 42345 76 280 91 270 90 273 88 278 42345 40802 86 281 98 269 93 274 96 276 40802 39351 96 282 98 269 96 275 98 276 39351 37978 100 280 93 271 96 277 96 277 37978 36642 93 276 87 271 94 278 91 278 36642 35279 82 273 81 268 89 279 86 281 35279 33860 78 271 77 266 83 278 83 280 33860 32386 75 269 72 264 80 277 80 279 32386 30841 71 266 66 258 74 274 78 282 30841 29213 65 264 64 257 68 272 70 283 29213 27502 60 260 63 259 64 270 62 282 27502 25709 54 255 61 262 60 271 58 278 25709 23834 51 252 57 265 58 272 56 279 23834 21884 51 254 53 267 56 276 54 285 21884 19851 50 259 49 267 51 280 48 289 19851 17733 46 258 48 262 45 276 42 282 17733 15576 41 252 48 254 47 266 42 273 15576 13499 31 250 41 253 48 256 40 269 13499 11609 29 261 34 250 41 251 37 275 11609 9927 29 259 37 247 36 258 37 278 9927 8436 27 247 36 250 38 260 38 276 8436 7110 28 241 33 254 38 258 36 272 7110 5930 30 244 31 253 35 256 33 266 5930 4884 32 245 35 245 32 249 32 256 4884 3961 33 237 38 236 28*233 31 245 3961 3147 36 233 36*232 26*229 30 239 3147 2419 38 227 30*224 26 228 28 233 2419 1776 37 215 27 217 25 228 27 228 1776 1239 32*206 25 216 24 227 25 223 1239 828 26*201 24 215 23 227 23 215 828 546 23 199 23 214 21 226 18 205 546 376 20 198 21 214 19 226 15*201 376 279 15 197 16 213 15 226 7*193 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography