DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 1006z - - 1331z - - 1601z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.5 - - 69.6 - - 78.8 - - 80.5 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 0 - - 41 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1772 - - 2347 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 259 - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top 277 - - 277 - - 2052 - - 2627 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 756 - - 676 - - 2248 - - 2920 - - 1860 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 186 - - 114 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 13 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 172 - - 183 - - 185 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 976 - - 1294 - - -105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 276 - - 276 - - 1076 - - 1333 - - 383 sfcLCL ODpotential -2333 - - -2597 - - 288 - - 509 - - -1528 ODpotential blCL 2610 - - 2874 - - 1764 - - 2118 - - 1806 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 490 - - 1000 - - 2100 - - 2590 - - 2420 CAPE Temp@2m 69.5 - - 69.6 - - 78.8 - - 80.5 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.9 - - 69.1 - - 74.4 - - 75.0 - - 75.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.9 - - 70.1 - - 78.6 - - 80.8 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.1 - - 69.5 - - 73.7 - - 74.3 - - 75.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 0 - - 41 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1772 - - 2347 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 102 - - 94 - - 101 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 17 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98220 16 088 14 094 18 100 13 120 16 093 98220 90824 11 099 13 113 10 107 9 115 11 074 90824 85120 9 124 10 117 7 151 6 139 3 082 85120 80390 1 020 7 092 11 144 9 174 5 192 80390 76312 2 237 2 057 5 133 11 181 7 221 76312 72715 10 210 1 283 3 143 5 168 3 220 72715 69479 7 207 4 281 3 284 3 001 1 045 69479 66527 6 194 1 263 5 239 8 300 3 316 66527 63810 6 173 4 300 6 188 7 246 5 259 63810 61196 10 308 9 286 4 238 7 225 7 241 61196 58483 11 281 7 260 6 246 9 231 9 243 58483 55683 10 225 7 263 10 265 11 243 11 256 55683 53025 14 277 18 282 16 266 14 259 14 260 53025 50637 31 274 27 278 23 275 20 281 18 281 50637 48495 38 273 33 279 34 278 38 279 36 280 48495 46547 44 271 37 274 39 272 45 273 47 274 46547 44747 46 266 38 271 40 269 46 272 51 271 44747 43064 48 266 39 268 40 270 44 274 49 272 43064 41484 49 265 40 267 41 272 43 276 43 272 41484 39997 47 263 38 265 41 275 42 277 37 269 39997 38591 43 260 34 261 39 273 42 274 36 265 38591 37227 39 254 32 258 35 266 40 272 37 263 37227 35835 36 251 30 257 30 262 37 267 39 265 35835 34388 36 251 26 259 26 267 32 260 36 266 34388 32890 34 250 21 260 23 275 27 264 31 261 32890 31324 31 249 18 257 22 283 26 276 28 255 31324 29672 25 237 16 250 21 289 26 284 27 261 29672 27934 24 222 17 240 20 292 23 288 27 268 27934 26112 26 227 20 237 17 294 19 287 23 264 26112 24210 25 238 19 240 14 301 13 284 18 260 24210 22226 22 231 17 229 13 300 10 287 12 261 22226 20151 22 236 20 219 15 247 8 252 11 223 20151 17984 24 234 18 216 21 224 19 231 17 221 17984 15784 18 225 19 227 19 228 22 227 18 231 15784 13668 13 226 13 220 16 223 21 227 16 228 13668 11741 12 235 12 219 15 208 21 223 18 222 11741 10027 14 225 13 223 17 217 20 220 17 219 10027 8505 17 218 15 225 23 223 19 221 16 215 8505 7158 21 218 17 225 26 223 21 222 19 206 7158 5966 24 217 17 225 26 222 20 222 22 198 5966 4913 23 215 17 225 24 216 20 213 21 195 4913 3985 19 209 17 220 21 209 18 201 19 196 3985 3165 17 202 17 214 20 204 17*195 16 201 3165 2432 16 197 17 208 19*191 16*189 13 200 2432 1784 16 193 19 199 17*184 14 186 11 188 1784 1244 16 187 20 189 15 182 13 184 11 167 1244 831 15 179 18 182 13 182 12 183 11 149 831 547 13 168 13 176 11 182 11 182 10 143 547 375 10*161 10*175 9 181 10 181 8*141 375 277 5*154 3*172 7 181 7 181 4*136 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography