DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 45.9 - - 48.7 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 153 - - 78 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 570 - - 2052 - - 2579 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 1244 - - 1179 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 850 - - 2332 - - 2859 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1312 - - 641 - - 442 - - 2149 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 281 - - 246 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 016 - - 037 - - 055 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -840 - - -548 - - -362 - - -602 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1690 - - 2881 - - 3221 - - 879 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14624 - - -12375 - - -10918 - - -1680 ODpotential blCL - - - 15474 - - 14707 - - 13777 - - 1957 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 77 - - 80 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 45.9 - - 48.7 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 34.7 - - 36.0 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 45.0 - - 48.2 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 33.4 - - 34.8 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 153 - - 78 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 570 - - 2052 - - 2579 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 6 - - 18 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96531 22 207 20 230 26 249 16 302 96531 89363 6 208 3 234 10 178 13 281 89363 83858 6 358 3 291 3 077 8 269 83858 79253 10 004 4 015 7 357 9 296 79253 75263 12 343 6 018 8 348 8 310 75263 71748 17 323 8 339 13 329 10 353 71748 68577 21 321 14 322 17 314 15 340 68577 65676 20 335 14 312 18 301 17 324 65676 62994 23 320 17 307 22 291 23 310 62994 60402 29 312 25 299 31 287 30 293 60402 57699 42 303 36 299 37 292 38 293 57699 54890 48 287 46 292 45 289 51 279 54890 52204 60 285 54 289 56 284 56 276 52204 49773 66 287 63 287 67 291 64 284 49773 47577 70 287 75 282 84 287 73 288 47577 45571 71 290 79 279 93 283 90 284 45571 43722 79 292 81 282 101 277 99 277 43722 42006 89 291 87 280 97 274 97 271 42006 40405 90 288 87 285 88 276 91 267 40405 38914 84 291 82 289 85 284 88 277 38914 37530 79 290 78 290 87 289 94 285 37530 36208 76 288 77 283 81 288 92 288 36208 34865 76 290 78 284 76 285 85 290 34865 33465 76 295 75 290 76 287 79 290 33465 32009 69 302 68 292 72 292 74 289 32009 30480 59 301 62 289 65 293 70 289 30480 28864 57 295 65 286 64 289 62 286 28864 27163 57 296 67 284 68 287 62 285 27163 25376 50 298 68 284 68 289 64 287 25376 23504 45 299 64 291 62 292 59 292 23504 21550 40 298 50 297 54 297 52 300 21550 19512 40 301 41 292 46 297 46 297 19512 17389 38 309 35 294 42 297 43 296 17389 15230 35 314 30 306 39 299 41 301 15230 13151 34 311 32 316 35 313 38 305 13151 11262 34 313 32 328 36 327 30 317 11262 9586 33 325 30 332 31 329 27 320 9586 8102 33 343 27 337 24 332 20 316 8102 6790 30 349 23 344 19 334 14 299 6790 5630 25 343 19 342 14 330 11 285 5630 4610 23 342 17 341 11 331 8 282 4610 3720 19 354 14 360 5 000 3 295 3720 2948 11 005 9*020 3*041 4 057 2948 2267 8 034 6*034 3*048 6 063 2267 1668 12 039 6 037 3 051 5 082 1668 1170 12*032 6 037 3 056 6 107 1170 789 11*022 6 037 2 060 7 122 789 526 8 014 6 038 2 060 8 129 526 367 7 013 5 038 2 062 7*131 367 276 6 013 5 037 2 061 4*133 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography