DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 76.2 - - 72.0 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 37 - - 27 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 311 - - 1539 - - 2009 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 591 - - 1819 - - 2289 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 584 - - 4105 - - 2586 - - 4929 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 160 - - 156 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 127 - - 144 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3834 - - -3914 - - -1480 - - -3521 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4426 - - 5734 - - 3769 - - 3801 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8601 - - -6615 - - -2580 - - -4740 ODpotential blCL - - - 9192 - - 8434 - - 4869 - - 5020 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 97 - - 101 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 76.2 - - 72.0 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 52.3 - - 56.7 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 75.9 - - 72.0 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 51.8 - - 56.6 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 37 - - 27 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 311 - - 1539 - - 2009 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 90 - - 103 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96836 78 250 86 254 82 262 81 264 96836 89713 44 258 50 259 52 258 59 261 89713 84217 27 263 31 263 34 258 39 264 84217 79664 24 275 23 277 23 274 25 274 79664 75738 20 287 17 292 17 277 16 281 75738 72249 20 300 13 303 10 287 12 301 72249 69072 19 293 13 292 14 302 16 324 69072 66138 17 297 14 275 21 291 16 310 66138 63406 21 293 10 268 17 281 18 295 63406 60759 26 271 17 284 19 284 20 284 60759 58009 26 259 22 276 22 284 21 282 58009 55161 23 263 36 272 28 281 20 287 55161 52434 33 255 41 255 34 259 29 274 52434 49985 39 257 37 255 32 253 39 265 49985 47804 44 259 39 256 41 257 41 269 47804 45829 43 246 42 249 47 257 45 266 45829 44021 39 225 41 240 44 248 47 253 44021 42357 36 209 39 230 37 238 44 246 42357 40812 45 220 36 221 34 230 43 242 40812 39367 49 224 38 219 39 227 40 236 39367 38002 41 226 36 223 36 226 39 234 38002 36677 37 225 35 230 28 217 41 234 36677 35325 33 223 36 230 28 216 41 234 35325 33916 31 224 33 227 33 222 40 233 33916 32449 31 229 29 227 33 231 44 230 32449 30910 30 233 25 227 31 242 47 232 30910 29285 28 233 23 230 27 243 40 239 29285 27577 26 229 22 226 27 234 31 244 27577 25779 30 232 33 218 29 231 30 245 25779 23893 34 239 29 234 29 236 28 254 23893 21927 38 233 24 249 25 241 27 258 21927 19876 36 206 24 240 23 237 23 251 19876 17733 35 199 25 219 21 239 21 234 17733 15547 25 185 28 210 22 248 24 244 15547 13445 18 163 31 186 29 205 23 252 13445 11539 19 158 28 171 29 195 22 197 11539 9850 18 157 24 173 27 201 23 193 9850 8355 17 150 21 188 16 199 21 205 8355 7030 13 140 20 186 6 189 11 214 7030 5857 8 133 15 166 5 135 8 166 5857 4821 8 135 11 143 7 128 9 146 4821 3910 9 135 9 140 10 135 11 140 3910 3107 9 141 8 138 16 144 15 135 3107 2389 10 142 8*135 17*144 17 132 2389 1755 12 140 8*132 18*144 19 129 1755 1227 13 139 7 128 18 144 19 127 1227 822 13*136 6 126 18 144 18 124 822 544 10*133 5 124 17 144 15 122 544 375 9 133 5 124 15 143 13*121 375 279 7 133 4 123 12 143 8*119 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography