DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - -32 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 525 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 805 - - 278 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1525 - - 1148 - - 984 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 69 - - 19 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 170 - - 170 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1970 - - -1784 - - -129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2775 - - 2062 - - 407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12480 - - -11799 - - -6609 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13285 - - 12077 - - 6887 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 80 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 140 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.5 - - 37.3 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 45.7 - - 46.2 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.3 - - 36.5 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - -32 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 525 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 22 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96060 25 307 22 303 30 291 96060 88998 12 350 9 311 22 291 88998 83515 8 344 10 321 17 298 83515 78936 10 225 16 294 21 307 78936 74977 15 223 19 273 22 284 74977 71461 13 272 18 258 18 271 71461 68258 24 269 24 267 22 277 68258 65314 26 261 32 284 20 276 65314 62587 33 269 40 274 28 284 62587 59933 41 265 37 265 33 276 59933 57161 46 263 46 266 41 270 57161 54294 52 261 54 269 45 268 54294 51557 58 267 68 270 68 271 51557 49100 73 268 82 263 74 273 49100 46900 80 263 77 259 80 274 46900 44901 76 260 75 275 83 272 44901 43081 65 265 86 279 82 274 43081 41425 69 284 91 277 84 278 41425 39904 88 285 97 275 92 279 39904 38486 95 276 97 271 97 278 38486 37147 85 264 94 268 97 279 37147 35845 74 254 89 270 94 280 35845 34514 68 252 86 273 90 281 34514 33126 69 253 83 277 87 282 33126 31684 70 257 81 279 84 280 31684 30173 70 260 79 279 82 275 30173 28582 66 257 76 277 76 273 28582 26911 59 251 72 275 67 275 26911 25155 58 251 68 276 65 273 25155 23317 61 251 65 275 61 270 23317 21400 59 249 62 268 56 268 21400 19397 55 248 63 259 56 266 19397 17307 48 245 62 254 58 258 17307 15172 43 247 55 251 58 248 15172 13110 46 252 50 252 54 248 13110 11233 48 255 48 258 47 248 11233 9571 48 253 50 260 40 254 9571 8100 45 237 51 258 39 264 8100 6798 53 216 55 248 42 264 6798 5645 52 206 55 226 48 252 5645 4631 50 196 53 214 48 239 4631 3745 47 188 48 208 45 225 3745 2969 45 183 47 202 40 215 2969 2280 42 179 48 194 33 211 2280 1676 37 175 44 184 27 210 1676 1173 30*171 36 175 22 211 1173 790 25*170 29 171 18 213 790 527 22 170 25 170 12 211 527 367 19 170 21*170 10*210 367 277 14 171 15*170 7*208 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography