DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.0 - - 88.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 178 - - 106 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2354 - - 4743 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1526 - - 2923 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2634 - - 5023 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2048 - - 1863 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 309 - - 326 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 223 - - 221 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2491 - - -2296 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5125 - - 7320 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6655 - - -7596 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9289 - - 12619 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 88 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.0 - - 88.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.5 - - 57.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.9 - - 88.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.7 - - 57.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 178 - - 106 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2354 - - 4743 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 19 - - 53 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97701 27 264 34 249 97701 90438 22 241 23 266 90438 84835 15 221 15 265 84835 80165 7 218 10 222 80165 76138 4 202 8 198 76138 72591 2 157 7 186 72591 69411 1 291 2 345 69411 66511 13 212 10 260 66511 63844 20 216 20 227 63844 61283 19 219 23 228 61283 58622 20 228 23 230 58622 55879 22 237 23 226 55879 53280 28 242 26 238 53280 50935 35 226 36 227 50935 48815 41 215 43 218 48815 46874 44 212 46 213 46874 45073 44 213 45 209 45073 43388 42 214 43 210 43388 41802 40 217 40 211 41802 40303 38 221 38 214 40303 38883 37 222 36 218 38883 37503 37 220 36 218 37503 36093 37 218 34 218 36093 34624 37 215 36 211 34624 33097 35 210 34 203 33097 31498 31 208 29 207 31498 29812 28 224 26 207 29812 28043 24 236 22 212 28043 26194 17 231 20 209 26194 24269 17 210 22 200 24269 22269 19 203 24 208 22269 20185 19 194 23 210 20185 18019 19 189 20 207 18019 15812 18 219 16 218 15812 13680 23 229 22 228 13680 11740 26 223 26 235 11740 10021 26 223 25 241 10021 8503 24 233 23 250 8503 7161 24 232 24 247 7161 5972 23 226 22*238 5972 4921 23 227 19*226 4921 3993 23 230 18 224 3993 3174 22*230 18 222 3174 2441 19*227 17 220 2441 1792 17 223 17 219 1792 1252 17 222 16 218 1252 837 16 221 16 218 837 552 15 221 15 217 552 379 14 221 14 217 379 279 12 221 12 216 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography