DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 68.9 - - 74.7 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 232 - - 175 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 4463 - - 5124 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 3212 - - 3557 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1518 - - 4743 - - 5404 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1994 - - 1014 - - 1470 - - 6243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 421 - - 399 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 210 - - 241 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -7 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2805 - - -1003 - - -2638 - - -4452 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4323 - - 5746 - - 8043 - - 4731 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8489 - - -6243 - - -6843 - - -6339 ODpotential blCL - - - 10007 - - 10986 - - 12247 - - 6618 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 53 - - 42 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 68.9 - - 74.7 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 44.8 - - 40.4 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 67.6 - - 73.8 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 43.5 - - 39.2 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 232 - - 175 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 4463 - - 5124 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97889 18 309 19 267 17 295 22 300 97889 90451 15 249 24 265 24 275 22 281 90451 84715 14 250 18 254 23 257 24 269 84715 79950 17 272 17 250 22 242 24 247 79950 75855 17 265 14 264 15 238 18 233 75855 72237 19 246 16 267 16 266 18 272 72237 68963 17 237 21 244 27 258 27 279 68963 65953 20 259 22 254 27 253 34 267 65953 63153 32 265 30 261 34 254 35 265 63153 60437 33 264 31 259 31 258 36 271 60437 57599 37 271 38 268 40 273 39 269 57599 54640 45 268 46 266 46 270 43 276 54640 51817 53 269 52 267 49 270 55 281 51817 49295 61 267 57 271 53 271 61 278 49295 47051 60 263 61 265 56 273 61 278 47051 45024 58 265 56 260 55 272 60 281 45024 43186 56 268 53 265 49 277 58 284 43186 41516 54 265 53 262 50 288 53 289 41516 39983 46 274 43 273 51 290 55 296 39983 38562 43 283 41 285 47 288 55 299 38562 37227 37 282 33 285 41 289 54 302 37227 35933 30 285 29 295 37 296 54 306 35933 34611 28 288 29 298 37 301 53 307 34611 33230 27 290 29 301 38 299 53 307 33230 31790 28 295 30 303 37 296 51 305 31790 30280 28 296 34 302 37 298 49 303 30280 28688 28 290 33 296 39 303 46 305 28688 27018 30 284 31 288 40 307 41 308 27018 25269 29 282 31 283 38 305 39 309 25269 23443 29 288 30 284 33 301 38 307 23443 21542 29 299 25 300 31 307 35 305 21542 19554 28 311 20 320 27 310 34 303 19554 17475 27 317 20 337 24 312 31 313 17475 15348 25 321 18 335 18 315 28 313 15348 13295 24 326 15 328 13 321 21 306 13295 11426 20 324 16 317 11 313 15 304 11426 9767 19 319 15 308 12 299 13 298 9767 8296 20 312 14 303 14 284 15 283 8296 6990 19 294 14 284 18 269 19 269 6990 5831 19 271 16*270 17*253 19 249 5831 4805 18 246 14*237 16*244 19 236 4805 3900 15 234 15 220 15 242 19 233 3900 3100 11 215 15 213 15 241 18 233 3100 2385 12 185 14 204 14 240 17 234 2385 1753 13*174 14 202 14 240 16 235 1753 1225 12*173 13 201 13 240 15 235 1225 822 12 173 13 199 12 240 13 234 822 543 11 174 12 199 12 240 11 233 543 375 10 174 11 199 11 239 8*231 375 278 9 174 10 198 10 240 5*228 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography