DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.9 - - 76.9 - - 87.1 - - 91.0 - - 84.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 126 - - 268 - - 147 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 833 - - 2746 - - 6147 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit 262 - - 262 - - 1956 - - 4195 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top 279 - - 1113 - - 3026 - - 6427 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 314 - - 622 - - 3410 - - 2551 - - 7298 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 193 - - 368 - - 396 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 223 - - 193 - - 161 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -109 - - -1646 - - -2555 - - -302 - - -5108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 388 - - 2759 - - 5581 - - 6729 - - 5389 sfcLCL ODpotential -5575 - - -4650 - - -4086 - - -1449 - - -7001 ODpotential blCL 5854 - - 5763 - - 7112 - - 7876 - - 7281 blCL maxRH 89 - - 76 - - 67 - - 68 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 620 - - 320 - - 770 - - 1040 - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m 65.9 - - 76.9 - - 87.1 - - 91.0 - - 84.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.9 - - 65.7 - - 63.6 - - 62.4 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.2 - - 76.1 - - 85.5 - - 89.9 - - 88.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 63.1 - - 61.9 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 126 - - 268 - - 147 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 833 - - 2746 - - 6147 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98067 9 244 10 240 20 233 19 249 13 281 98067 90680 13 282 6 251 10 228 17 235 16 274 90680 85005 14 265 8 275 7 240 13 231 12 271 85005 80316 5 225 7 220 8 221 12 239 11 268 80316 76286 6 065 8 184 7 180 12 229 10 273 76286 72744 8 005 4 169 7 166 9 217 7 249 72744 69554 7 296 1 054 5 189 3 234 5 225 69554 66623 10 253 2 313 6 248 5 287 3 277 66623 63900 9 210 3 242 10 256 9 258 8 270 63900 61261 9 204 8 238 11 257 13 245 11 264 61261 58514 7 248 12 237 13 240 15 240 12 245 58514 55679 13 278 9 252 12 223 17 231 15 242 55679 52981 20 265 15 284 12 252 15 246 16 246 52981 50554 19 245 20 277 18 271 18 262 20 256 50554 48379 16 254 17 278 17 269 20 260 23 257 48379 46402 17 283 15 284 17 274 22 263 24 257 46402 44580 16 259 17 278 20 276 23 271 25 261 44580 42887 14 251 16 258 21 280 24 279 28 263 42887 41302 15 259 11 259 22 278 22 279 30 262 41302 39813 12 244 9 255 18 255 20 274 27 260 39813 38413 12 226 9 233 17 241 17 262 20 260 38413 37060 11 218 6 214 15 226 17 254 17 247 37060 35686 5 205 5 176 11 211 15 242 15 243 35686 34258 3 130 7 142 9 198 13 222 13 244 34258 32776 4 103 11 144 8 190 10 203 15 243 32776 31224 5 089 9 133 10 186 8 187 12 222 31224 29591 3 096 5 132 8 180 9 171 9 191 29591 27878 1 165 2 170 6 182 7 180 9 160 27878 26077 2 253 3 210 5 186 7 196 8 178 26077 24188 3 272 4 234 4 206 5 206 6 201 24188 22215 5 017 2 225 2 251 2 226 2 170 22215 20154 9 031 1 114 2 297 2 328 2 071 20154 17999 9 010 5 035 1 342 2 332 3 049 17999 15795 10 343 9 354 6 346 6 337 4 010 15795 13677 8 354 8 002 8 348 7 328 9 342 13677 11762 9 011 5 357 7 349 6 340 10 351 11762 10065 9 020 3 305 3 344 4 334 8 359 10065 8554 9 016 4 271 1 310 1 331 4 013 8554 7210 5 013 0 164 3 144 4*147 4 093 7210 6015 6 008 1 122 5 134 4*150 6 107 6015 4955 2 325 3 166 6 134 5 154 5 113 4955 4020 8 251 5 209 5 149 5 156 5 120 4020 3194 12 231 8 230 5*187 5 161 5 127 3194 2455 17 210 10 228 5*189 5 163 5 134 2455 1802 19 207 11 235 5 191 5 167 5 142 1802 1258 20 214 9*229 5 193 5 169 5 147 1258 840 20 213 7*224 4 194 4 170 5 151 840 553 14 206 7 223 4 195 4 170 5 153 553 379 11*203 6 222 4 195 4 172 4*155 379 280 4*191 5 223 4 195 4 172 3*156 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography