DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 58.6 - - 65.3 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 204 - - 89 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 247 - - 754 - - 1821 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 527 - - 1034 - - 2101 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 106 - - 510 - - 856 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 114 - - 217 - - 221 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 200 - - 215 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 75 - - -1785 - - -3451 - - -3162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 452 - - 2819 - - 5553 - - 3441 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 199 - - -11131 - - -11839 - - -13946 ODpotential blCL - - - 328 - - 12165 - - 13940 - - 14224 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 76 - - 53 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 58.6 - - 65.3 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 47.6 - - 42.4 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 57.4 - - 64.8 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 47.1 - - 42.1 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 204 - - 89 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 247 - - 754 - - 1821 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96644 71 260 77 250 72 258 68 260 96644 89377 45 267 41 253 45 255 48 257 89377 83812 30 263 24 271 26 252 33 263 83812 79218 18 246 20 268 24 260 21 273 79218 75274 12 266 19 252 25 258 17 282 75274 71804 21 293 14 254 24 256 21 286 71804 68670 27 281 18 272 20 253 23 264 68670 65781 20 284 22 273 18 263 24 252 65781 63112 20 310 20 279 19 277 24 262 63112 60546 27 303 24 287 21 287 25 260 60546 57871 30 281 33 272 33 276 34 272 57871 55097 29 269 34 270 37 266 37 270 55097 52445 32 281 43 286 45 274 42 277 52445 50050 45 282 46 280 47 270 48 275 50050 47890 50 275 48 281 48 273 52 267 47890 45922 55 270 53 278 51 273 56 264 45922 44108 58 265 59 269 56 272 59 266 44108 42424 57 264 65 264 58 272 58 266 42424 40852 59 269 59 267 56 272 54 265 40852 39379 52 266 56 270 55 274 49 268 39379 37992 42 262 56 268 58 277 46 277 37992 36650 33 260 47 267 58 274 48 280 36650 35282 27 267 28 266 55 267 50 279 35282 33860 23 274 19 266 50 262 53 277 33860 32385 19 270 19 263 36 261 56 278 32385 30839 13 265 17 261 30 267 47 282 30839 29213 10 285 9 269 28 269 21 282 29213 27508 12 285 10 287 17 271 7 286 27508 25719 9 273 12 282 11 291 2 268 25719 23846 9 284 10 286 11 308 2 277 23846 21889 7 286 6 287 8 321 2 263 21889 19843 5 278 6 295 6 350 1 200 19843 17705 1 265 5 284 7 346 1 196 17705 15519 4 102 3 238 4 337 2 213 15519 13411 3 103 3 238 3 295 7 246 13411 11496 2 249 3 272 4 261 7 242 11496 9798 4 255 2 258 3 241 5 238 9798 8297 4 255 2 244 3 245 4 237 8297 6968 4 264 3 250 3 251 3 238 6968 5794 2 287 3 251 3 238 3 221 5794 4758 1 066 1 219 4 208 3 202 4758 3850 4 109 4 152 8 199 4 206 3850 3053 5 098 7 144 9 207 3 236 3053 2345 5 085 7 141 9*214 3 269 2345 1723 2 119 4 174 9*215 3 261 1723 1206 3 248 3*190 9 215 3 240 1206 809 5*243 3*195 9 216 4 216 809 537 4*235 3 200 9 216 5 200 537 372 4 236 3 204 9 215 5*188 372 277 3 235 3 203 8 215 4*183 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography