DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.3 - - 90.4 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 268 - - 133 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4800 - - 5769 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3500 - - 3836 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5080 - - 6049 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1349 - - 1755 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 441 - - 374 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 098 - - 093 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2950 - - -4069 - - -8259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8031 - - 10118 - - 8539 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5710 - - -7481 - - -14083 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10790 - - 13530 - - 14363 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 49 - - 36 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 170 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.3 - - 90.4 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.2 - - 46.9 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.7 - - 89.4 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.7 - - 46.3 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 268 - - 133 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4800 - - 5769 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98013 39 238 36 245 39 251 98013 90633 34 247 31 230 30 249 90633 84902 25 220 26 232 26 244 84902 80162 19 203 22 246 21 246 80162 76118 10 219 12 234 18 227 76118 72557 12 272 5 229 10 235 72557 69332 16 255 8 268 9 264 69332 66372 18 251 17 274 14 285 66372 63650 14 240 21 254 17 271 63650 61039 14 246 20 243 18 261 61039 58328 16 247 20 227 21 250 58328 55511 17 256 18 231 23 234 55511 52817 20 247 19 234 22 228 52817 50376 25 242 17 219 21 219 50376 48172 36 237 27 228 23 227 48172 46165 61 215 50 219 42 223 46165 44321 59 202 56 207 58 210 44321 42614 58 197 58 195 62 197 42614 41026 64 192 65 185 67 185 41026 39537 69 189 73 180 75 179 39537 38132 69 188 77 180 84 174 38132 36768 66 188 77 182 82 176 36768 35381 61 191 68 185 63 183 35381 33950 49 196 52 191 35 191 33950 32475 32 202 29 199 11 178 32475 30934 16 189 10 187 11 151 30934 29313 8 159 7 117 8 130 29313 27614 6 097 7 076 9 077 27614 25832 6 070 11 052 12 056 25832 23968 6 095 8 065 13 049 23968 22024 6 125 5 057 14 036 22024 19992 6 097 8 048 16 028 19992 17866 8 064 12 052 17 034 17866 15690 12 052 20 067 21 049 15690 13591 14 052 21 073 26 072 13591 11681 12 056 17 071 22 080 11681 9984 12 074 15 072 17 087 9984 8479 13 094 15 087 18 096 8479 7140 14 102 13*093 16 098 7140 5952 13*101 11*093 14 099 5952 4902 11*098 11 093 15 101 4902 3977 10 098 11 093 16 100 3977 3160 10 098 12 093 17 097 3160 2429 10 097 12 093 17 094 2429 1784 9 097 12 093 17 093 1784 1246 9 097 11 092 17 091 1246 833 9 097 11 093 17 090 833 549 8 096 11 093 15 089 549 377 8 097 10 092 12*087 377 279 7 097 9 092 6*083 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography