DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 70.9 - - 73.5 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 11 - - 17 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1095 - - 1727 - - 2361 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1375 - - 2007 - - 2641 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 775 - - 1424 - - 1298 - - 2008 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 136 - - 169 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 21 - - 25 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 198 - - 193 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -474 - - 176 - - 460 - - -373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1850 - - 1831 - - 2181 - - 653 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5519 - - -1268 - - -411 - - -1236 ODpotential blCL - - - 6894 - - 3275 - - 3052 - - 1516 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 540 - - 480 - - 830 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 70.9 - - 73.5 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 63.5 - - 64.4 - - 67.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.2 - - 71.2 - - 73.7 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 62.8 - - 63.7 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 11 - - 17 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1095 - - 1727 - - 2361 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97969 8 226 4 274 8 238 6 223 97969 90569 15 258 14 253 16 261 13 283 90569 84856 16 231 22 247 17 251 13 266 84856 80078 12 210 17 221 24 222 22 232 80078 75955 10 278 8 217 21 191 22 216 75955 72336 21 279 11 280 14 248 11 230 72336 69072 21 276 20 261 20 264 15 310 69072 66071 24 273 29 271 24 285 32 299 66071 63301 32 290 37 269 35 269 34 267 63301 60635 38 290 26 269 35 267 31 256 60635 57866 37 282 34 285 36 266 41 272 57866 55003 47 280 54 285 55 277 57 280 55003 52282 63 284 71 284 69 280 66 276 52282 49835 77 291 83 286 83 280 81 278 49835 47651 107 288 104 288 96 278 97 275 47651 45695 122 282 120 284 105 277 107 272 45695 43919 123 280 117 282 109 278 109 273 43919 42273 121 282 106 283 107 279 113 278 42273 40727 121 284 101 284 104 280 107 274 40727 39267 118 284 98 284 104 282 109 272 39267 37883 114 284 99 283 111 282 120 275 37883 36539 112 286 102 283 119 281 122 275 36539 35168 103 287 99 284 118 280 119 274 35168 33740 88 286 86 282 109 280 112 274 33740 32258 77 285 73 277 98 278 106 274 32258 30707 73 286 66 284 90 279 102 275 30707 29076 66 288 64 286 80 282 97 275 29076 27366 58 286 65 281 67 275 90 276 27366 25579 57 277 65 275 66 276 78 276 25579 23714 54 272 63 277 65 276 62 276 23714 21772 50 270 54 275 58 272 60 273 21772 19752 49 273 49 273 51 270 61 270 19752 17649 46 266 48 267 43 269 64 270 17649 15505 43 248 45 261 44 263 59 270 15505 13435 43 240 41 243 42 250 43 265 13435 11548 41 243 40 238 40 242 45 257 11548 9867 36 246 34 238 42 243 40 249 9867 8371 28 244 27 231 38 242 34 240 8371 7044 20 232 26 217 34 244 34 243 7044 5869 14 220 26 212 33 237 34 244 5869 4829 11 207 30 223 33 227 34 238 4829 3914 18 196 33 220 32 221 33 233 3914 3107 28 203 33 215 29*207 32 224 3107 2387 35 207 28*206 28*196 31 212 2387 1753 35*204 24*199 27 194 28 202 1753 1226 29*195 23 198 26 193 24 196 1226 822 27 193 21 198 24 192 21 193 822 544 25 192 19 197 22 192 18 192 544 375 22 192 17 197 20 191 15*191 375 279 17 191 13 196 15 190 9*191 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography