DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 91.7 - - 93.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 113 - - 60 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1144 - - 3881 - - 5499 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 2493 - - 3293 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1424 - - 4161 - - 5779 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2984 - - 3549 - - 2782 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 335 - - 320 - - - W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 292 - - 271 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - -8 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1032 - - 178 - - 1164 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2456 - - 3983 - - 4616 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2716 - - -1201 - - -618 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 4140 - - 5362 - - 6397 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 75 - - 90 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 2700 - - 2730 - - 2640 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 91.7 - - 93.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 76.0 - - 74.8 - - 74.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 90.8 - - 93.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 73.4 - - 72.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 113 - - 60 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1144 - - 3881 - - 5499 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 0 - - 58 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 17 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99109 35 087 38 093 40 089 99109 91630 34 077 33 086 35 086 91630 85882 32 073 27 080 29 080 85882 81122 30 079 21 080 24 079 81122 77013 25 090 22 081 20 081 77013 73378 20 091 23 085 20 090 73378 70093 20 082 26 092 19 091 70093 67092 22 055 23 084 19 088 67092 64335 20 050 18 071 16 079 64335 61688 16 054 16 058 20 068 61688 58953 17 053 16 057 20 049 58953 56141 19 050 14 041 19 033 56141 53473 20 040 13 024 21 028 53473 51077 24 049 17 038 23 032 51077 48924 32 044 29 046 29 038 48924 46958 29 039 32 044 31 037 46958 45140 25 034 29 043 29 038 45140 43447 17 022 24 043 27 041 43447 41857 11 003 21 037 26 038 41857 40356 11 336 19 016 27 029 40356 38935 13 323 15 339 26 021 38935 37555 15 321 14 332 21 006 37555 36148 12 352 9 344 17 358 36148 34684 10 014 7 006 11 355 34684 33164 11 015 7 017 9 017 33164 31570 12 030 8 030 8 021 31570 29892 15 049 7 033 7 005 29892 28131 16 054 6 033 6 354 28131 26291 15 043 4 050 4 341 26291 24371 12 028 2 325 6 320 24371 22373 7 010 9 314 11 334 22373 20292 8 332 12 318 13 330 20292 18123 11 324 13 306 13 320 18123 15912 10 296 16 300 14 307 15912 13786 11 279 17 300 17 308 13786 11859 13 283 17 285 17 310 11859 10146 13 281 17 278 16 303 10146 8623 10 282 14 271 13 289 8623 7269 9 301 12 273 12 281 7269 6066 8 303 10 281 11*276 6066 4999 9 303 9*287 9*271 4999 4058 10 314 8*290 8 271 4058 3226 11 318 7 291 8 271 3226 2480 11 320 7 292 8 271 2480 1821 11*318 7 293 7 271 1821 1270 9*314 6 293 7 272 1270 848 7 307 6 293 7 272 848 557 7 305 5 293 6 272 557 381 6 305 5 293 6 273 381 280 5 305 5 293 5 272 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography