DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 50.3 - - 53.9 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 192 - - 105 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 251 - - 1809 - - 3550 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 1148 - - 2032 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 531 - - 2089 - - 3830 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 406 - - 1387 - - 1353 - - 323 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 70 - - 285 - - 291 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 207 - - 198 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2596 - - -3390 - - -2769 - - -4579 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3128 - - 5479 - - 6599 - - 4857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15982 - - -13198 - - -12159 - - -15598 ODpotential blCL - - - 16513 - - 15287 - - 15989 - - 15876 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 48 - - 73 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 50.3 - - 53.9 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.4 - - 27.6 - - 26.2 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 49.4 - - 53.4 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 26.5 - - 25.7 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 192 - - 105 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 251 - - 1809 - - 3550 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96514 25 285 24 269 32 270 28 269 96514 89400 16 290 19 257 24 276 22 276 89400 83902 11 281 20 273 19 286 19 284 83902 79292 13 281 23 287 20 287 22 278 79292 75284 16 294 18 287 21 280 28 283 75284 71721 18 295 20 288 21 272 29 276 71721 68484 23 268 22 275 26 272 28 289 68484 65502 29 266 32 270 35 265 36 276 65502 62739 36 264 39 281 39 263 51 273 62739 60087 47 259 47 270 53 272 66 266 60087 57345 56 262 59 267 69 268 67 264 57345 54499 69 261 68 262 76 263 74 266 54499 51769 77 261 78 262 87 262 83 265 51769 49291 84 262 88 262 95 262 89 265 49291 47050 91 264 93 260 99 261 94 265 47050 45004 94 264 94 260 99 262 97 266 45004 43133 93 264 94 262 98 263 99 266 43133 41419 93 264 94 265 98 264 101 267 41419 39846 92 264 95 266 99 265 105 267 39846 38394 91 266 94 266 99 266 109 267 38394 37039 89 267 91 267 96 266 109 266 37039 35735 90 267 89 266 90 265 105 266 35735 34410 87 267 87 265 82 265 98 266 34410 33034 84 266 84 265 80 267 93 265 33034 31607 82 267 80 264 79 268 90 265 31607 30110 82 268 72 263 78 268 87 265 30110 28528 83 263 71 264 74 266 82 265 28528 26861 82 261 72 263 70 264 79 265 26861 25108 78 263 72 261 70 263 77 264 25108 23275 73 263 68 261 70 262 72 263 23275 21362 68 263 63 261 68 262 67 259 21362 19364 62 265 60 263 62 264 62 258 19364 17273 56 264 58 264 56 266 55 257 17273 15130 52 263 54 264 55 266 49 257 15130 13056 52 261 50 264 53 263 46 262 13056 11165 49 257 48 260 47 261 44 266 11165 9488 40 249 41 254 39 260 39 263 9488 8015 28 237 29 245 27 248 33 257 8015 6729 21 226 24 240 25 237 31 259 6729 5600 18 228 23 229 26 222 30 256 5600 4608 20 232 23 221 23*212 23 232 4608 3738 24 229 24 220 21*205 22 221 3738 2971 30 227 25 219 21 201 22 214 2971 2286 34 225 23*217 20 199 21 208 2286 1681 33 225 17*210 20 197 21 199 1681 1178 29 221 15 207 20 196 21 190 1178 793 23*214 15 206 19 195 20 182 793 528 16*207 14 205 18 194 17 174 528 368 14 206 13 205 17 194 14*171 368 277 11 205 11 204 14 193 7*165 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography