DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 78.2 - - 79.9 - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 51 - - 105 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1702 - - 2219 - - 1833 - - 1070 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 263 - - 909 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1982 - - 2499 - - 2113 - - 1350 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2111 - - 1888 - - 1624 - - 1801 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 214 - - 211 - - 245 - - 68 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 108 - - 088 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 213 - - 729 - - 33 - - 131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1769 - - 1770 - - 2081 - - 1219 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1028 - - 297 - - -1758 - - -1261 ODpotential blCL - - - 3010 - - 2202 - - 3871 - - 2611 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 940 - - 920 - - 1120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 78.2 - - 79.9 - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.0 - - 71.1 - - 71.4 - - 72.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 77.8 - - 79.2 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 70.3 - - 70.5 - - 72.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 51 - - 105 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1702 - - 2219 - - 1833 - - 1070 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 99 - - 68 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99037 55 088 45 095 28 088 34 078 99037 91597 43 079 42 092 36 081 37 082 91597 85852 35 076 40 085 35 086 39 081 85852 81097 28 079 32 084 33 086 36 082 81097 77013 20 090 24 086 28 074 31 084 77013 73425 19 104 21 081 20 082 25 073 73425 70182 18 093 16 082 18 094 16 069 70182 67204 16 068 14 096 14 086 8 084 67204 64442 13 043 9 072 9 090 5 103 64442 61756 4 035 7 041 5 089 5 030 61756 58954 3 083 7 008 3 063 5 359 58954 56071 3 050 5 331 7 345 4 347 56071 53342 6 351 3 263 9 321 7 325 53342 50894 8 298 7 247 12 275 10 290 50894 48699 14 261 13 244 14 248 15 262 48699 46702 21 249 20 256 19 246 21 234 46702 44867 32 244 30 240 22 244 21 230 44867 43166 40 233 33 237 38 253 39 256 43166 41584 43 229 46 244 59 241 54 251 41584 40103 47 227 58 238 59 238 63 244 40103 38701 48 230 64 236 54 242 67 239 38701 37339 53 236 66 234 56 247 64 238 37339 35945 62 239 64 234 59 244 62 235 35945 34490 62 241 62 234 60 237 60 233 34490 32976 54 237 54 229 52 234 57 235 32976 31388 48 245 50 223 49 231 50 237 31388 29717 33 252 39 226 48 235 41 232 29717 27960 18 234 21 221 45 249 34 220 27960 26124 15 233 17 212 30 243 13 204 26124 24213 17 222 20 215 21 234 25 262 24213 22218 18 212 17 207 17 216 11 205 22218 20132 11 203 15 184 18 208 13 199 20132 17959 8 121 14 131 14 223 9 211 17959 15747 20 056 9 095 5 201 3 164 15747 13620 14 040 16 043 17 072 6 054 13620 11691 12 044 14 052 20 068 9 068 11691 9983 13 060 15 066 15 070 12 072 9983 8471 12 055 13 078 14 079 13 064 8471 7130 12 056 11 083 9 095 8 067 7130 5940 12 070 9 087 4 116 3 129 5940 4889 11 092 7 086 3 126 4 191 4889 3964 11 118 5 088 4 102 5 232 3964 3148 13 126 5*095 5 086 7 244 3148 2420 12*133 5*103 5*085 6 239 2420 1777 9*144 5 107 5*086 3*215 1777 1241 7 156 5 109 5 087 3*144 1241 831 6 159 6 109 5 088 3 138 831 548 6 159 6 110 5 088 3 131 548 377 5 160 5 110 5 089 2 128 377 279 5 161 5 110 4 088 2 124 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography