DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 65.8 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - 51 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2399 - - 6707 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1389 - - 3900 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2679 - - 6987 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6410 - - 3175 - - 8105 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 278 - - 315 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 289 - - 316 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1522 - - 2103 - - -2944 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4201 - - 4884 - - 3223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2793 - - 713 - - -4183 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5472 - - 6274 - - 4461 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 87 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 200 - - 200 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 65.8 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.9 - - 45.5 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.5 - - 65.7 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.6 - - 44.3 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - 51 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2399 - - 6707 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 91 - - 48 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97861 21 256 20 264 25 281 97861 90445 21 252 24 251 25 270 90445 84706 22 246 25 258 24 266 84706 79937 17 233 22 249 24 266 79937 75845 10 259 13 247 22 252 75845 72236 13 269 15 271 16 264 72236 68971 14 254 17 258 20 267 68971 65976 17 235 23 248 23 258 65976 63196 14 250 23 258 23 261 63196 60492 25 263 31 261 26 265 60492 57664 36 261 37 263 39 269 57664 54732 45 257 45 261 50 264 54732 51933 47 254 50 258 52 262 51933 49401 49 264 56 263 57 263 49401 47121 62 265 61 261 61 265 47121 45053 70 260 62 263 65 268 45053 43164 71 262 67 266 68 272 43164 41430 72 263 70 268 72 275 41430 39834 70 263 74 268 77 272 39834 38356 66 265 73 272 73 273 38356 36979 68 272 74 278 71 277 36979 35659 71 276 75 278 72 276 35659 34319 73 277 74 277 68 280 34319 32929 74 275 68 280 61 286 32929 31495 74 274 63 288 58 291 31495 29999 70 273 58 297 57 298 29999 28420 61 279 55 304 56 302 28420 26757 53 289 54 308 54 302 26757 25009 48 295 51 312 53 301 25009 23178 46 299 48 313 52 302 23178 21267 45 297 44 316 48 301 21267 19272 42 294 38 322 44 303 19272 17195 39 300 38 319 40 313 17195 15079 36 303 37 312 35 320 15079 13042 33 305 36 314 32 323 13042 11197 29 300 28 307 32 319 11197 9569 23 298 24 303 26 302 9569 8132 21 311 22*309 21 295 8132 6855 21 320 19*317 19 300 6855 5718 22 328 18 319 16 309 5718 4711 22 331 16 318 15 320 4711 3823 18 328 14 316 14 332 3823 3040 13*313 13 315 14 343 3040 2339 11*296 12 314 15 351 2339 1720 10 291 12 314 15 357 1720 1204 9 288 11 313 16 360 1204 809 9 287 10 313 15 002 809 537 9 286 10 313 13 002 537 372 8 286 10 312 10*003 372 277 7 285 8 312 6*002 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography