DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 87.2 - - 88.7 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 137 - - 87 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1276 - - 4957 - - 5942 - - 506 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 3365 - - 3827 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1556 - - 5237 - - 6222 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5859 - - 3428 - - 3202 - - 7174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 380 - - 356 - - 64 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 40 - - 23 - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 119 - - 235 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1424 - - 423 - - 1257 - - -2816 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2980 - - 4814 - - 4966 - - 3602 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2728 - - -902 - - 174 - - -3955 ODpotential blCL - - - 4284 - - 6139 - - 6048 - - 4741 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 80 - - 80 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 960 - - 500 - - 990 - - 1570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 87.2 - - 88.7 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.1 - - 67.0 - - 67.8 - - 70.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 86.4 - - 88.2 - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 65.6 - - 66.5 - - 69.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 137 - - 87 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1276 - - 4957 - - 5942 - - 506 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 21 - - 19 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98862 44 093 34 104 32 094 27 096 98862 91353 40 091 32 099 30 085 32 088 91353 85574 33 091 29 097 28 090 30 074 85574 80826 29 092 27 094 21 095 28 078 80826 76747 27 082 28 086 19 102 19 073 76747 73141 21 066 27 083 21 096 12 080 73141 69885 17 069 24 071 21 089 14 073 69885 66904 14 068 18 067 20 079 15 064 66904 64157 14 082 14 071 16 072 15 050 64157 61521 19 057 13 077 12 069 11 059 61521 58788 17 023 14 034 14 048 13 065 58788 55965 11 007 15 019 15 030 15 036 55965 53281 14 359 17 015 17 029 19 033 53281 50859 13 002 18 005 20 023 20 022 50859 48676 13 008 15 352 19 013 16 015 48676 46689 11 003 11 336 17 007 16 008 46689 44862 12 335 7 289 14 356 18 001 44862 43164 18 300 5 283 9 311 16 342 43164 41573 27 282 14 272 18 278 16 302 41573 40087 30 286 20 269 24 262 29 288 40087 38695 30 294 21 264 24 268 39 292 38695 37345 32 292 21 261 27 261 50 295 37345 35963 31 288 21 265 26 265 44 299 35963 34519 29 287 20 265 26 276 36 299 34519 33015 28 296 20 263 29 281 31 290 33015 31437 25 312 17 269 30 280 27 287 31437 29773 15 317 14 271 24 267 24 293 29773 28023 13 319 11 278 20 276 22 281 28023 26190 13 295 12 304 15 281 20 270 26190 24276 8 276 15 296 13 305 11 269 24276 22287 5 262 17 295 16 313 8 288 22287 20214 6 335 12 296 12 309 5 276 20214 18048 12 003 9 333 8 324 2 291 18048 15836 14 002 10 351 8 338 4 357 15836 13703 11 336 11 348 8 351 5 003 13703 11762 5 328 9 338 6 340 9 320 11762 10045 8 333 7 309 6 296 6 272 10045 8533 11 329 5 301 6 287 4 268 8533 7191 11 327 5 301 5*282 5 302 7191 6001 12 331 4*301 4*264 5 301 6001 4944 8 339 0*309 3 249 5 295 4944 4012 4 009 1 123 3 243 5 291 4012 3189 4 029 2 118 3 234 5 286 3189 2451 4 052 2 119 3 226 4 275 2451 1800 4*057 2 118 3 221 3 259 1800 1257 4*059 3 118 2 215 2 217 1257 840 4 058 3 119 2 211 2*178 840 553 3 058 3 119 2 208 2*169 553 379 3 058 3 120 2 211 2 164 379 280 3 058 2 118 2 208 2 165 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography