DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 69.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 15 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 921 - - 967 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 262 - - 262 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1201 - - 1247 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1180 - - 1097 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 137 - - 106 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 044 - - 039 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 457 - - 467 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 744 - - 780 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 296 - - 216 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 905 - - 1031 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 30 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 69.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.2 - - 66.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.5 - - 69.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.8 - - 65.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 15 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 921 - - 967 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98012 15 194 17 221 98012 90613 14 194 10 237 90613 84942 14 191 12 207 84942 80258 8 220 11 223 80258 76234 3 284 4 254 76234 72689 4 318 7 333 72689 69482 7 341 6 354 69482 66539 6 332 4 313 66539 63835 6 235 12 269 63835 61245 6 207 14 240 61245 58555 15 276 17 267 58555 55776 25 259 27 250 55776 53125 26 262 25 256 53125 50722 39 264 32 263 50722 48564 49 258 47 248 48564 46608 59 252 54 247 46608 44807 67 244 65 244 44807 43129 71 239 72 235 43129 41557 73 236 74 233 41557 40072 69 235 74 232 40072 38664 61 238 70 233 38664 37298 57 243 59 237 37298 35905 51 245 48 239 35905 34452 42 243 40 238 34452 32940 40 245 36 234 32940 31355 40 251 35 236 31355 29686 40 254 34 239 29686 27934 36 243 33 240 27934 26096 35 231 32 233 26096 24175 24 244 28 225 24175 22182 24 262 17 242 22182 20109 17 275 14 259 20109 17942 10 248 9 267 17942 15731 7 219 5 227 15731 13604 9 222 9 241 13604 11672 9 232 11 238 11672 9956 6 242 9 240 9956 8434 4 260 6 244 8434 7085 2 200 6 230 7085 5889 4 174 6 231 5889 4834 2 160 4 220 4834 3910 2 119 2 154 3910 3099 6 085 6 089 3099 2378 14 068 12 066 2378 1746 15 052 13*055 1746 1221 14*049 11*041 1221 819 12*046 11 039 819 542 12 045 10 038 542 374 11 044 9 037 374 278 9 043 7 036 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography