DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 66.9 - - 68.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 19 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 186 - - 1169 - - 651 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 466 - - 1449 - - 931 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 787 - - 1695 - - 2482 - - 1616 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 51 - - 124 - - 60 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 236 - - 246 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -412 - - 535 - - -196 - - -114 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 878 - - 914 - - 1127 - - 393 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4629 - - 246 - - -829 - - -1735 ODpotential blCL - - - 5095 - - 1203 - - 1760 - - 2014 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 650 - - 1070 - - 1240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 66.9 - - 68.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.9 - - 63.4 - - 63.6 - - 63.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 67.0 - - 68.5 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 63.0 - - 63.1 - - 64.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 19 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 186 - - 1169 - - 651 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 100 - - 100 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96715 25 270 20 258 30 254 35 267 96715 89513 29 265 27 269 22 252 27 273 89513 83949 23 268 25 254 21 270 25 271 83949 79318 17 264 22 251 22 275 21 265 79318 75317 17 265 18 263 20 268 17 255 75317 71778 17 250 15 259 20 263 17 263 71778 68575 7 247 15 246 23 257 20 246 68575 65620 17 284 18 244 22 265 13 264 65620 62890 20 285 16 273 21 277 30 276 62890 60274 27 273 17 266 26 257 31 258 60274 57538 37 255 32 288 27 262 37 265 57538 54705 38 260 40 282 44 263 49 264 54705 52010 53 268 51 265 53 263 56 270 52010 49575 52 268 51 253 54 266 64 265 49575 47382 50 267 49 269 74 271 60 263 47382 45369 62 272 65 276 81 264 60 269 45369 43505 75 267 81 268 77 255 70 269 43505 41782 75 262 83 255 70 253 73 266 41782 40192 74 263 75 252 68 262 73 275 40192 38714 79 263 74 259 74 273 83 286 38714 37329 84 259 74 260 85 277 98 287 37329 35999 85 254 72 264 90 279 107 285 35999 34653 80 248 73 267 92 281 109 283 34653 33259 77 245 79 267 94 282 106 285 33259 31815 74 247 82 262 98 281 96 287 31815 30306 69 248 79 253 98 279 91 288 30306 28717 65 250 75 254 93 278 89 293 28717 27046 65 254 69 255 76 274 82 297 27046 25291 63 253 68 248 62 266 77 291 25291 23460 59 251 65 252 63 268 70 281 23460 21555 56 251 62 254 59 271 57 277 21555 19568 53 255 57 260 57 268 50 278 19568 17491 48 264 45 273 51 271 46 276 17491 15366 40 268 36 275 44 268 40 278 15366 13310 39 261 35 270 45 270 36 281 13310 11438 37 241 36 269 40 272 34 280 11438 9777 29 242 30 263 31 273 24 276 9777 8302 23 257 25 257 23 276 19 288 8302 6991 20 276 20 255 22 268 19 301 6991 5827 20 277 17 257 18 260 18 306 5827 4798 24 269 18 255 17 270 21 315 4798 3892 27 254 24 255 17 272 20 317 3892 3092 33 240 25 244 17 261 16 297 3092 2378 35 238 25 242 17 254 16 274 2378 1748 33 236 23*240 17 251 16 262 1748 1223 29 229 20*237 16*249 15 253 1223 820 23 218 18 236 15*247 13 247 820 542 17*213 17 236 13 246 11 241 542 374 15*212 15 236 11 246 9*236 374 278 11 212 11 235 8 245 5*220 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography