DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.7 - - 37.1 - - 40.2 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 154 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 598 - - 1497 - - 2039 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 837 - - 259 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 878 - - 1777 - - 2319 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 546 - - 551 - - 1516 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 251 - - 189 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 27 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 237 - - 216 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -685 - - -1031 - - -498 - - -443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1563 - - 2809 - - 2818 - - 720 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15868 - - -14999 - - -12889 - - -12674 ODpotential blCL - - - 16746 - - 16776 - - 15208 - - 12951 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 69 - - 76 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.7 - - 37.1 - - 40.2 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 26.0 - - 29.0 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 36.2 - - 40.0 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 24.7 - - 27.8 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 154 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 598 - - 1497 - - 2039 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 0 - - 3 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96268 9 045 12 029 8 061 3 330 96268 89079 7 071 5 076 3 126 14 332 89079 83558 4 229 1 239 9 310 6 250 83558 78972 6 293 5 238 12 267 9 265 78972 75023 12 295 8 266 14 268 15 302 75023 71550 17 300 13 254 20 279 17 303 71550 68404 22 299 14 268 25 290 24 300 68404 65520 23 296 22 281 30 287 30 290 65520 62857 29 300 27 276 29 279 27 282 62857 60276 38 292 29 283 28 280 26 272 60276 57552 44 278 35 288 32 281 29 279 57552 54684 44 265 42 282 38 281 41 283 54684 51925 43 258 46 275 44 277 48 280 51925 49436 46 260 50 265 49 271 54 275 49436 47201 57 262 60 259 60 261 60 264 47201 45171 76 261 69 256 72 255 69 257 45171 43309 94 256 80 252 81 252 81 254 43309 41588 103 248 100 249 95 250 95 250 41588 39993 116 249 118 250 102 248 108 248 39993 38513 122 246 142 249 109 250 122 250 38513 37139 128 254 147 245 142 249 145 252 37139 35817 140 255 147 247 146 246 154 250 35817 34463 134 250 148 249 144 244 152 249 34463 33047 135 247 150 251 145 244 153 248 33047 31571 139 250 149 256 147 246 157 251 31571 30023 137 253 139 261 147 251 151 256 30023 28400 120 252 109 253 130 255 118 253 28400 26707 107 251 101 245 107 250 103 248 26707 24938 100 249 98 244 102 245 99 246 24938 23090 93 248 94 248 96 247 93 248 23090 21166 84 251 85 251 82 252 85 253 21166 19161 77 254 72 254 72 254 76 257 19161 17074 71 256 66 258 59 258 61 257 17074 14948 61 261 55 262 48 264 48 253 14948 12901 50 268 44 264 38 261 40 256 12901 11041 40 266 37 263 33 260 36 261 11041 9397 32 266 33 259 31 260 29 272 9397 7944 27 263 28 259 29 259 25 278 7944 6661 22 258 25 266 25 261 23 276 6661 5529 15 268 20 265 20 268 18 272 5529 4533 8 277 12 256 17 265 14 264 4533 3662 7 296 6 265 11 248 14 254 3662 2904 10 320 5 296 8*233 14 250 2904 2234 12 325 4*291 7*219 13 245 2234 1646 9 327 2*244 7 216 11 240 1646 1156 5*346 2 240 7 216 10 235 1156 780 4*004 2 235 6 215 8 227 780 521 4 007 2 236 6 215 7 213 521 365 3 007 1 229 6 214 5*200 365 276 3 007 1 231 5 214 4*194 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography