DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 40.2 - - 40.4 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -34 - - -24 - - -5 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 277 - - 277 - - 277 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 282 - - 329 - - 299 - - 62 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 226 - - 242 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -98 - - 1 - - 1 - - -31 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 375 - - 276 - - 276 - - 308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6442 - - -5973 - - -6593 - - -9354 ODpotential blCL - - - 6719 - - 6250 - - 6870 - - 9631 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 40.2 - - 40.4 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 40.4 - - 40.5 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 42.7 - - 42.9 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 42.5 - - 42.7 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -34 - - -24 - - -5 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96277 45 235 36 259 48 259 44 267 96277 89116 39 252 38 256 39 258 37 271 89116 83645 33 277 32 267 32 256 31 281 83645 79079 35 288 27 273 24 261 29 278 79079 75108 27 276 23 279 22 266 30 263 75108 71590 19 270 22 280 24 277 22 248 71590 68400 23 277 25 276 28 278 22 281 68400 65463 30 281 30 274 33 276 29 269 65463 62741 40 273 39 279 39 268 37 268 62741 60113 45 267 48 273 47 268 44 267 60113 57364 50 263 53 269 53 265 51 268 57364 54492 55 268 56 265 62 260 63 263 54492 51736 58 265 64 260 66 260 70 261 51736 49239 63 266 73 260 72 264 77 259 49239 46976 75 268 81 261 80 264 84 261 46976 44904 81 265 86 260 85 264 90 263 44904 43004 82 264 90 260 87 264 90 263 43004 41253 84 263 90 261 91 263 85 263 41253 39630 87 266 88 262 93 262 85 266 39630 38123 90 268 91 263 93 261 88 265 38123 36725 86 267 94 261 93 261 89 262 36725 35389 81 265 97 260 91 260 87 257 35389 34034 85 267 97 261 88 259 78 262 34034 32630 89 268 96 261 90 260 85 267 32630 31191 86 266 96 260 91 261 84 265 31191 29706 77 264 89 259 84 261 69 267 29706 28155 70 262 77 256 70 264 59 275 28155 26523 65 261 69 254 59 265 55 274 26523 24807 61 260 64 258 49 265 53 267 24807 23007 59 260 59 258 44 268 56 260 23007 21124 53 258 52 257 42 270 52 257 21124 19152 53 257 44 265 40 271 47 261 19152 17091 54 253 39 266 39 273 41 270 17091 14988 48 251 35 261 36 269 36 269 14988 12963 39 246 34 259 35 264 34 264 12963 11119 36 238 34 257 33 270 33 261 11119 9479 32 239 34 251 27 273 32 262 9479 8024 25 244 33 246 32 264 30 265 8024 6734 20 257 27 253 34 257 26 271 6734 5594 23 259 25 259 31 257 20 282 5594 4595 26 261 24 264 25 270 15 301 4595 3722 30 264 24 273 19 296 14 335 3722 2957 36 262 26 281 19 302 18 345 2957 2273 39 252 28 276 18 308 19 350 2273 1671 39 241 30 262 17 315 18 007 1671 1171 36 231 30 248 15 308 19 017 1171 788 30 222 26 238 14 273 19 015 788 525 20 212 17 229 12 250 18 012 525 366 18*210 14*228 10*248 14*007 366 276 9*208 8*226 4*242 6*003 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography