DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 49.3 - - 50.2 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 311 - - 142 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1383 - - 3620 - - 4296 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 2653 - - 2770 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1663 - - 3900 - - 4576 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2216 - - 858 - - 489 - - 3971 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 419 - - 342 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 342 - - 343 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2283 - - -2450 - - -1200 - - -3626 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3946 - - 6350 - - 5777 - - 3903 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12116 - - -12505 - - -11467 - - -15985 ODpotential blCL - - - 13779 - - 16405 - - 16043 - - 16262 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 64 - - 76 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 49.3 - - 50.2 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.6 - - 22.5 - - 25.9 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 47.8 - - 49.4 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 22.2 - - 25.8 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 311 - - 142 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1383 - - 3620 - - 4296 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 37 237 60 245 65 248 55 252 96497 89162 32 251 35 243 40 246 35 258 89162 83575 30 258 29 246 26 243 27 263 83575 78946 25 262 20 265 13 261 25 264 78946 74976 14 261 15 278 11 271 17 270 74976 71493 11 289 13 302 11 275 12 306 71493 68341 16 310 17 279 17 291 21 297 68341 65448 25 321 15 285 19 295 23 290 65448 62765 36 304 26 301 20 299 22 298 62765 60155 39 296 30 295 30 295 25 305 60155 57421 45 315 44 296 44 291 45 296 57421 54586 63 301 51 297 59 289 59 285 54586 51894 67 301 63 303 69 295 65 301 51894 49470 72 304 80 306 84 304 85 305 49470 47281 77 306 93 304 96 306 92 298 47281 45288 84 311 96 304 104 306 99 297 45288 43457 90 313 100 306 111 305 108 297 43457 41760 96 313 103 307 114 304 113 297 41760 40175 103 313 102 310 114 305 114 297 40175 38693 104 315 103 312 109 308 111 297 38693 37300 104 319 104 315 106 310 109 300 37300 35948 108 322 104 321 106 312 106 304 35948 34569 109 323 107 325 104 318 105 308 34569 33135 106 324 108 326 102 320 103 311 33135 31651 105 327 105 326 102 318 102 314 31651 30101 105 333 99 322 100 316 100 314 30101 28475 102 334 94 317 96 313 95 313 28475 26771 99 332 94 317 94 310 89 311 26771 24989 99 329 92 321 92 309 87 309 24989 23131 99 329 89 322 89 312 86 309 23131 21199 92 331 86 319 80 314 80 311 21199 19184 74 329 83 320 77 310 74 312 19184 17078 63 323 75 324 74 310 72 312 17078 14930 57 323 63 325 66 319 69 319 14930 12872 49 325 53 327 56 322 59 324 12872 11016 42 324 46 324 48 321 47 328 11016 9378 38 321 39 316 42 320 37 328 9378 7932 31 325 34 315 37 324 31 330 7932 6656 28 333 29 322 32 329 27 338 6656 5534 26 340 24 327 21*328 20 337 5534 4553 23 340 15*334 15*338 13 339 4553 3696 16 344 13*340 15 340 13 352 3696 2940 15 358 13 341 15 342 14 357 2940 2264 16*013 12 342 15 343 14 003 2264 1667 15*018 12 342 15 344 15 007 1667 1169 14 019 12 343 15 345 15 010 1169 788 11 016 12 343 15 346 14 011 788 526 10 015 11 342 14 346 13 011 526 367 9 016 11 343 14 346 10*010 367 276 8 015 10 342 12 346 5*008 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography