DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 63.8 - - 68.3 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 173 - - 134 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 150 - - 1468 - - 2970 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 888 - - 1819 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 430 - - 1748 - - 3250 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 246 - - 1883 - - 3236 - - 1895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 262 - - 303 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 209 - - 234 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -525 - - -1091 - - -1061 - - -1984 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 955 - - 2839 - - 4312 - - 2263 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4790 - - -3359 - - -3510 - - -5646 ODpotential blCL - - - 5220 - - 5107 - - 6760 - - 5925 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 75 - - 64 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 63.8 - - 68.3 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 52.4 - - 50.4 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 62.8 - - 67.4 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 51.2 - - 49.5 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 173 - - 134 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 150 - - 1468 - - 2970 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 10 114 8 153 13 188 6 316 96596 89376 6 088 15 143 11 145 4 176 89376 83821 5 124 10 157 7 178 4 070 83821 79189 8 197 6 211 8 236 6 277 79189 75180 5 188 8 222 11 250 8 252 75180 71624 4 240 9 266 8 272 6 255 71624 68401 7 234 14 260 12 272 12 258 68401 65443 7 262 9 228 14 261 16 268 65443 62701 12 289 15 268 17 264 17 273 62701 60035 21 246 18 282 17 262 26 291 60035 57261 35 282 35 287 35 289 38 291 57261 54383 44 281 43 280 43 289 49 285 54383 51625 51 281 47 282 49 285 47 287 51625 49144 53 286 50 284 48 289 51 296 49144 46929 58 294 53 290 49 293 57 294 46929 44929 61 294 55 290 53 289 58 287 44929 43101 52 286 52 285 50 284 51 283 43101 41419 44 272 43 282 43 286 43 289 41419 39861 38 269 36 286 39 287 44 294 39861 38409 36 276 36 293 37 290 42 295 38409 37052 41 295 40 301 38 299 40 298 37052 35745 48 304 47 304 41 304 42 298 35745 34416 43 306 43 298 41 301 39 289 34416 33037 38 305 27 288 34 285 33 283 33037 31611 32 304 15 297 21 271 27 278 31611 30116 27 308 19 301 20 290 23 271 30116 28539 24 313 26 291 20 300 18 266 28539 26881 27 318 26 290 20 304 16 272 26881 25143 32 311 24 295 20 308 14 274 25143 23321 31 299 24 293 18 305 14 275 23321 21418 27 297 26 291 16 297 12 284 21418 19428 26 303 23 298 12 299 14 284 19428 17349 27 309 20 313 9 315 17 281 17349 15227 25 310 20 323 12 312 14 292 15227 13181 21 318 18 330 19 319 17 337 13181 11322 21 331 16 341 23 333 23 346 11322 9674 23 330 15 353 21 333 24 336 9674 8210 22 332 16 350 14 334 21 333 8210 6911 20 336 19 328 13 338 15 323 6911 5757 16 343 15 329 13 329 11 312 5757 4738 13 355 9 333 10 318 10 298 4738 3842 10 354 4 349 5*285 11 283 3842 3053 5 336 2 279 5*240 10 271 3053 2348 1 056 3*220 6 236 9 245 2348 1726 7 113 4*207 6 234 9 226 1726 1208 10 128 4 206 6 234 8 222 1208 811 9 137 4 210 6 233 7 225 811 538 5*140 4 210 6 233 7 227 538 372 2*145 3 213 6 232 6*228 372 278 2 144 3 212 6 232 4*227 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography