DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 72.9 - - 71.7 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 74 - - -20 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 612 - - 2009 - - 281 - - 371 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 892 - - 2289 - - 561 - - 651 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2241 - - 1701 - - 3242 - - 1764 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 219 - - 54 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 28 - - 19 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 168 - - 169 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 14 - - 8 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -187 - - 373 - - -898 - - 18 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1079 - - 1917 - - 1459 - - 633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -726 - - 67 - - -1653 - - -1064 ODpotential blCL - - - 1618 - - 2222 - - 2214 - - 1715 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 100 - - 550 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 72.9 - - 71.7 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.0 - - 65.1 - - 65.9 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 72.7 - - 72.4 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 64.9 - - 65.4 - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 74 - - -20 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 612 - - 2009 - - 281 - - 371 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96892 77 258 92 260 82 263 77 258 96892 89673 49 258 62 264 56 266 50 267 89673 84089 23 279 35 266 34 259 34 277 84089 79499 13 292 11 254 20 254 23 271 79499 75573 6 288 6 276 9 282 14 282 75573 72106 7 315 5 291 4 280 10 295 72106 68961 8 334 3 011 5 256 9 290 68961 66059 13 333 6 014 7 287 6 281 66059 63363 15 315 11 344 5 297 5 294 63363 60748 12 298 15 314 4 335 5 311 60748 58017 4 255 12 302 4 354 3 326 58017 55189 8 069 5 257 6 281 6 263 55189 52495 2 170 9 186 15 264 6 236 52495 50080 13 205 18 204 23 238 19 233 50080 47914 26 211 23 205 26 211 31 221 47914 45934 27 204 32 202 34 207 35 211 45934 44101 30 197 46 197 44 201 37 206 44101 42397 37 195 52 199 45 193 43 209 42397 40815 44 196 56 198 50 205 63 209 40815 39351 44 188 50 185 61 202 74 199 39351 37982 41 184 41 180 59 188 70 198 37982 36653 37 193 40 193 53 182 62 198 36653 35295 38 202 35 197 50 190 57 199 35295 33877 40 209 38 208 44 195 56 200 33877 32401 42 211 42 219 48 202 56 200 32401 30850 43 212 46 219 51 205 54 200 30850 29213 45 215 52 213 53 205 53 199 29213 27491 49 214 49 207 56 206 51 198 27491 25684 55 208 52 202 58 203 48 197 25684 23794 51 203 59 199 58 201 45 194 23794 21826 47 202 56 192 56 200 43 192 21826 19774 45 198 50 191 55 197 42 192 19774 17635 41 197 45 192 49 201 41 194 17635 15458 36 199 39 194 45 201 42 198 15458 13366 28 197 35 190 42 202 44 200 13366 11474 28 193 36 189 39 202 37 194 11474 9796 32 199 39 196 38 201 29 187 9796 8305 38 201 41 200 37 198 24 199 8305 6983 39 197 41 202 37 196 25 221 6983 5814 40 196 40 202 38 195 29 234 5814 4782 42 196 40 197 37 191 32 240 4782 3876 43 193 38 183 36 178 31 242 3876 3077 42 188 38 180 35 173 27 236 3077 2365 40 182 36*177 33 170 24 223 2365 1739 37 179 32*170 31 172 22 209 1739 1217 31*175 31 168 29 170 20 199 1217 816 27*173 29 167 26*169 19*194 816 541 24 172 27 166 23*169 16*192 541 374 21 172 24 166 19 169 14 190 374 278 15 171 18 165 14 169 10 186 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography