DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 70.9 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 24 - - 3 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 776 - - 726 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1056 - - 1006 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 738 - - 2846 - - 2764 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 112 - - 67 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 219 - - 206 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5 - - -538 - - -458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1061 - - 1544 - - 737 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1915 - - -1261 - - -1236 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2971 - - 2267 - - 1515 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 100 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 70.9 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.5 - - 65.1 - - 65.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.2 - - 71.2 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.2 - - 64.7 - - 65.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 24 - - 3 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 776 - - 726 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95950 45 260 57 255 54 265 95950 88856 29 249 40 253 44 268 88856 83375 24 251 30 268 33 270 83375 78812 24 270 25 292 22 279 78812 74899 28 287 28 302 15 291 74899 71469 28 289 29 300 18 297 71469 68406 27 286 28 302 25 304 68406 65638 31 284 34 297 35 298 65638 63098 34 279 32 291 31 292 63098 60635 37 296 36 303 41 313 60635 58042 56 298 57 303 55 307 58042 55319 62 295 68 299 65 301 55319 52688 61 294 67 294 69 297 52688 50302 58 294 62 292 69 297 50302 48151 56 290 60 293 66 297 48151 46186 56 288 61 294 63 298 46186 44377 54 289 60 295 63 301 44377 42703 50 291 57 297 63 305 42703 41152 47 291 57 301 62 302 41152 39706 46 293 56 303 52 293 39706 38339 41 291 51 293 51 293 38339 37004 40 283 52 287 56 294 37004 35638 41 277 51 282 57 293 35638 34210 40 277 47 280 57 291 34210 32724 41 280 47 282 56 290 32724 31166 43 282 48 283 54 289 31166 29522 42 279 46 280 53 288 29522 27789 38 272 43 275 50 281 27789 25970 35 268 40 276 46 274 25970 24068 31 271 37 283 42 273 24068 22087 26 271 30 288 33 275 22087 20022 22 273 25 289 24 277 20022 17871 20 282 23 284 22 275 17871 15675 20 294 18 284 22 270 15675 13557 22 292 17 283 22 269 13557 11630 25 279 21 278 24 274 11630 9917 28 271 26 275 26 273 9917 8397 26 265 27 273 28 270 8397 7053 23 256 27 266 27 266 7053 5869 19 246 26 247 23 255 5869 4826 19 244 26 239 22 244 4826 3911 19 246 26 234 22 234 3911 3105 19 247 24 227 20 234 3105 2386 20 243 21 223 20 236 2386 1752 20 234 18 219 19 240 1752 1225 18*228 14*214 19 245 1225 821 14*220 11*208 18 248 821 543 13 219 10 206 15 253 543 375 12 218 9 206 12*254 375 278 10 217 7 205 6*253 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography