DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.7 - - 72.7 - - 79.8 - - 84.2 - - 81.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 115 - - 210 - - 193 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1197 - - 4946 - - 7145 - - 7064 BL Depth Hcrit 261 - - 262 - - 3529 - - 5153 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top 279 - - 1477 - - 5226 - - 7425 - - 7344 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 2615 - - 3351 - - 2909 - - 2771 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 218 - - 421 - - 459 - - 124 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 19 - - 23 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 284 - - 333 - - 346 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 5 - - -12 - - -11 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -598 - - -887 - - 209 - - -2 - - 783 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 877 - - 2364 - - 5017 - - 7428 - - 6562 sfcLCL ODpotential -4337 - - -2493 - - -1038 - - -1133 - - -401 ODpotential blCL 4616 - - 3970 - - 6264 - - 8558 - - 7745 blCL maxRH 70 - - 78 - - 72 - - 76 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 630 - - 320 - - 60 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 61.7 - - 72.7 - - 79.8 - - 84.2 - - 81.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.8 - - 63.2 - - 58.8 - - 52.6 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.9 - - 71.9 - - 78.5 - - 82.9 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.5 - - 62.1 - - 57.5 - - 51.4 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 115 - - 210 - - 193 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1197 - - 4946 - - 7145 - - 7064 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 3 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98245 18 055 19 052 20 086 7 075 7 049 98245 90843 14 034 17 084 16 093 13 079 12 053 90843 85120 17 055 15 090 9 094 11 082 10 067 85120 80376 19 068 10 078 10 075 6 145 9 038 80376 76302 14 087 7 075 13 065 9 139 8 039 76302 72702 11 094 6 112 10 070 6 083 9 081 72702 69438 9 096 5 119 4 145 5 045 4 066 69438 66450 8 092 3 080 8 233 5 351 2 031 66450 63700 7 322 6 027 9 251 9 307 8 011 63700 61040 9 308 10 330 9 282 16 297 19 332 61040 58270 13 297 12 315 13 296 19 298 25 307 58270 55396 19 309 18 314 19 310 23 311 27 313 55396 52645 24 311 23 309 25 311 28 306 32 315 52645 50159 26 303 26 306 26 305 31 300 34 314 50159 47923 25 299 25 305 25 298 34 296 40 302 47923 45904 23 302 23 311 26 299 33 291 49 279 45904 44082 20 321 28 328 33 312 31 306 41 270 44082 42425 33 332 47 327 54 329 49 332 29 319 42425 40886 58 321 74 322 75 323 69 327 44 329 40886 39434 67 312 100 318 79 315 75 319 55 316 39434 38056 58 313 101 314 82 309 75 318 60 307 38056 36715 58 323 96 313 79 312 70 324 55 309 36715 35347 66 327 81 316 77 318 66 324 48 327 35347 33920 73 325 69 321 73 324 60 326 46 332 33920 32435 64 324 65 335 63 322 54 325 41 324 32435 30875 49 330 51 337 54 327 48 320 33 315 30875 29231 42 338 38 330 43 327 42 317 31 309 29231 27507 42 343 34 330 37 325 37 313 34 314 27507 25700 40 347 36 331 33 325 31 312 37 317 25700 23813 35 349 33 338 34 325 28 314 40 313 23813 21848 28 353 22 329 31 325 30 314 38 315 21848 19802 21 002 17 319 23 322 31 321 31 312 19802 17673 18 020 14 325 15 328 28 326 25 317 17673 15509 14 049 9 349 11 335 20 329 19 320 15509 13434 14 074 7 015 9 342 15 327 15 332 13434 11551 13 071 6 017 6 342 10 320 15 328 11551 9882 7 044 4 360 4 349 5 322 8 337 9882 8403 1 274 6 304 5 350 4*329 8*344 8403 7086 2 220 7 309 6 344 4*336 7*344 7086 5913 2 245 5 332 5*337 4 339 7 344 5913 4871 5 284 3 336 5*333 4 341 6 345 4871 3953 10 285 3 309 4 331 4 344 5 347 3953 3142 13 287 3 281 4 331 4 348 5 348 3142 2416 12 287 5 267 4 331 3 351 4 350 2416 1775 12 281 6*275 4 334 3 355 4 350 1775 1240 10 279 4*281 4 334 3 357 4 353 1240 830 9 291 4 284 3 335 3 000 4 352 830 548 9 294 4 284 3 337 3 360 4 353 548 377 7*286 3 286 3 337 3 000 3 354 377 279 2*249 3 284 3 337 3 002 3 354 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography