DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1009z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.8 - - 84.6 - - 90.8 - - 92.2 - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 85 - - 121 - - 34 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1080 - - 4194 - - 4239 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 253 - - 253 - - 2733 - - 1837 - - 254 Hcrit BL Top 270 - - 1360 - - 4474 - - 4519 - - 271 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 173 - - 2787 - - 2792 - - 3604 - - 5926 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 192 - - 346 - - 250 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 21 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 298 - - 243 - - 201 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -126 - - -614 - - 966 - - 789 - - -2190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 396 - - 1974 - - 3508 - - 3731 - - 2461 sfcLCL ODpotential -4239 - - -2071 - - -264 - - -567 - - -3762 ODpotential blCL 4509 - - 3431 - - 4738 - - 5086 - - 4033 blCL maxRH 97 - - 84 - - 82 - - 86 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 2090 - - 3130 - - 3480 - - 3610 - - 4060 CAPE Temp@2m 73.8 - - 84.6 - - 90.8 - - 92.2 - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.5 - - 76.4 - - 76.1 - - 76.5 - - 78.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.2 - - 84.5 - - 90.2 - - 91.8 - - 89.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 73.1 - - 76.3 - - 75.1 - - 75.1 - - 77.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 85 - - 121 - - 34 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1080 - - 4194 - - 4239 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 37 - - 28 - - 42 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98651 35 071 37 084 35 098 31 084 27 101 98651 91219 30 074 32 080 36 084 33 090 24 095 91219 85496 28 091 28 086 32 078 29 083 25 083 85496 80768 29 106 25 092 23 086 22 079 23 067 80768 76704 29 102 22 100 18 089 16 082 22 061 76704 73111 22 081 21 105 15 083 14 093 18 076 73111 69869 15 065 18 098 13 093 12 096 16 090 69869 66914 7 066 14 072 13 110 7 115 11 063 66914 64188 4 078 10 023 11 090 8 144 3 130 64188 61547 9 136 3 343 3 007 4 350 1 321 61547 58817 12 302 6 312 1 012 3 344 8 303 58817 56021 15 269 15 290 9 307 6 338 11 323 56021 53366 11 299 13 275 16 281 10 294 12 306 53366 50980 15 292 6 282 16 271 12 267 13 272 50980 48840 21 286 10 333 13 278 12 272 12 248 48840 46893 24 281 15 322 12 291 13 287 8 258 46893 45096 22 279 12 290 12 297 11 278 11 282 45096 43418 18 285 10 254 12 271 11 259 13 260 43418 41841 17 298 11 249 13 245 12 237 15 242 41841 40355 19 296 14 266 12 243 13 224 17 230 40355 38950 21 291 17 274 11 245 14 221 17 229 38950 37584 21 294 16 278 10 238 14 223 16 226 37584 36187 18 296 14 283 8 229 15 225 15 218 36187 34726 16 296 12 290 6 222 14 226 14 216 34726 33207 14 292 11 296 5 229 12 227 12 216 33207 31613 11 285 12 299 5 253 10 231 11 212 31613 29933 8 283 11 296 7 266 9 244 10 212 29933 28171 7 296 9 288 8 264 8 261 10 227 28171 26323 9 316 3 270 8 236 8 234 11 242 26323 24393 9 297 5 200 13 214 14 221 14 248 24393 22384 8 235 10 212 18 220 18 230 17 252 22384 20293 14 232 16 214 22 216 20 240 18 261 20293 18118 12 228 17 199 19 212 18 237 17 263 18118 15903 8 192 12 199 15 211 15 224 13 250 15903 13776 7 169 7 202 12 213 13 219 10 231 13776 11848 9 179 6 203 11 210 10 223 11 219 11848 10136 9 179 5 213 10 211 8 220 11 204 10136 8613 8 189 4 217 7 218 7 218 12 196 8613 7259 9 210 4 228 7 226 8 221 13 197 7259 6054 9 213 5 245 7 234 8 218 13 199 6054 4986 7 242 5 252 6*237 7*210 12 198 4986 4044 10 261 4 265 4*235 7*205 11 195 4044 3212 11 258 3 276 3 238 7 202 10 193 3212 2467 11 262 3 285 3 240 7 200 10 193 2467 1809 8 265 5*299 3 244 7 200 10 194 1809 1259 6 256 4*299 3 249 7 200 9 194 1259 837 8 232 3 297 3 251 7 200 9 195 837 547 9 205 2 297 3 253 7 200 8 196 547 371 7*195 2 300 3 255 7 199 6*195 371 270 2*155 2 296 2 256 6 199 4*194 270 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography