DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 80.6 - - 82.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 24 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1246 - - 1369 - - 1711 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 263 - - 263 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1526 - - 1649 - - 1991 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1046 - - 1623 - - 2490 - - 2007 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 139 - - 85 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 247 - - 212 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -704 - - 511 - - 639 - - -35 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2230 - - 1138 - - 1352 - - 316 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2463 - - 177 - - -120 - - -1171 ODpotential blCL - - - 3989 - - 1472 - - 2111 - - 1451 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 930 - - 1910 - - 2450 - - 2080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 80.6 - - 82.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.9 - - 76.0 - - 76.6 - - 76.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 80.5 - - 82.6 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.6 - - 75.6 - - 76.0 - - 76.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 24 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1246 - - 1369 - - 1711 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 101 - - 101 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 19 - - 19 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97595 35 261 31 260 35 249 31 251 97595 90366 23 266 20 259 21 240 23 265 90366 84767 6 281 12 214 11 235 15 253 84767 80115 5 318 7 198 3 267 8 209 80115 76140 3 196 9 185 7 286 3 021 76140 72639 3 133 6 151 9 189 4 353 72639 69477 2 121 6 039 14 141 5 197 69477 66589 12 177 7 327 9 089 4 173 66589 63923 21 166 16 186 9 230 8 256 63923 61351 17 152 26 175 20 206 17 223 61351 58703 4 095 16 171 18 195 20 195 58703 56001 14 300 9 263 10 232 13 170 56001 53424 29 240 20 278 14 265 9 290 53424 51075 38 221 38 233 40 231 33 253 51075 48945 37 222 46 219 45 219 43 234 48945 46996 36 233 46 216 48 212 46 220 46996 45191 36 235 45 217 48 212 46 217 45191 43508 36 232 43 222 46 218 45 221 43508 41925 40 224 42 229 44 223 42 223 41925 40430 40 220 44 231 42 231 41 225 40430 39014 36 229 44 231 42 240 43 226 39014 37637 38 243 43 235 43 244 44 226 37637 36229 43 251 43 244 41 248 40 232 36229 34759 45 258 43 253 41 253 38 247 34759 33232 41 260 34 257 37 258 37 250 33232 31634 34 261 19 268 28 261 28 244 31634 29954 31 276 19 280 17 253 22 248 29954 28191 28 284 20 287 16 264 19 236 28191 26343 24 295 19 286 13 256 19 247 26343 24413 19 285 16 270 15 241 15 251 24413 22404 20 270 18 260 16 244 15 251 22404 20310 22 265 18 266 15 254 16 253 20310 18131 21 262 18 256 17 263 17 268 18131 15911 19 238 23 245 21 258 18 270 15911 13769 19 233 23 242 22 247 17 260 13769 11820 17 223 21 233 19 251 12 257 11820 10092 16 220 18 231 16 252 8 251 10092 8561 16 229 16 235 18 241 10 248 8561 7203 14 235 17 234 16 238 14 250 7203 5999 11 240 19 230 15 239 13 252 5999 4936 10 242 18 234 13 234 10 251 4936 4001 11 247 15 239 11 228 9 242 4001 3176 12 255 14 241 10 226 9 235 3176 2440 13 253 13 240 9*221 10 227 2440 1791 14*241 12*241 8*217 9 217 1791 1250 12*233 9*245 8 213 9 204 1250 836 11 230 8 247 7 211 8 194 836 551 11 228 8 249 7 209 7 189 551 378 10 227 7 249 6 208 6*188 378 280 9 227 6 250 5 207 3*191 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography