DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.4 - - 96.7 - - 90.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 190 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4351 - - 7113 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3112 - - 5093 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4631 - - 7393 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4481 - - 2402 - - 7657 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 413 - - 450 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 224 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3164 - - -1041 - - -6367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7796 - - 8435 - - 6647 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4941 - - -3200 - - -8540 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9572 - - 10593 - - 8820 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - 64 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 170 - - 270 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.4 - - 96.7 - - 90.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.3 - - 60.6 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 93.0 - - 95.5 - - 92.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.4 - - 60.2 - - 62.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 190 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4351 - - 7113 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98299 14 073 9 030 18 021 98299 90940 21 067 14 066 15 049 90940 85267 23 071 15 067 12 066 85267 80584 18 047 17 068 14 055 80584 76564 12 049 10 035 16 055 76564 72998 13 061 4 033 14 018 72998 69757 15 047 3 121 10 001 69757 66779 10 035 4 069 4 338 66779 64025 3 020 4 343 4 288 64025 61375 4 358 2 337 1 010 61375 58628 10 338 9 331 7 028 58628 55796 9 260 12 288 9 345 55796 53125 7 205 12 239 16 272 53125 50749 3 289 9 218 19 241 50749 48622 9 304 6 230 16 228 48622 46680 14 303 8 273 10 234 46680 44888 16 272 14 275 17 273 44888 43219 17 262 18 263 20 266 43219 41653 17 280 17 255 19 261 41653 40177 15 284 14 251 17 258 40177 38776 14 286 12 262 14 255 38776 37414 14 286 10 262 12 232 37414 36022 13 289 10 259 12 213 36022 34573 16 293 14 276 10 234 34573 33069 17 295 15 284 11 260 33069 31493 18 299 15 288 14 276 31493 29834 18 298 17 289 17 287 29834 28092 19 297 17 294 18 298 28092 26266 15 309 14 300 18 313 26266 24359 9 314 13 304 19 318 24359 22371 12 330 14 305 19 320 22371 20297 14 332 13 304 17 311 20297 18131 9 342 8 305 12 307 18131 15916 3 259 9 275 11 304 15916 13782 11 235 12 259 8 279 13782 11851 16 211 15 237 12 252 11851 10140 15 210 13 228 12 224 10140 8618 13 224 12*218 12 191 8618 7265 13 222 11*217 13 186 7265 6061 13 220 11 218 13 191 6061 4993 11*226 11 219 12 198 4993 4051 10*235 10 222 11 207 4051 3218 9 241 10 225 10 215 3218 2473 9 245 10 228 10 225 2473 1815 9 247 10 230 10 234 1815 1266 8 249 10 232 9 241 1266 845 8 251 10 233 9 246 845 556 8 252 10 234 8 249 556 380 7 252 9 233 7*251 380 280 7 253 8 233 4*253 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography