DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.1 - - 78.2 - - 81.8 - - 86.3 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 103 - - 118 - - 102 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1851 - - 3016 - - 3689 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 262 - - 934 - - 1876 - - 2206 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top 280 - - 2131 - - 3296 - - 3969 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 713 - - 678 - - 948 - - 1432 - - 5180 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 247 - - 309 - - 305 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 18 - - 22 - - 26 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 219 - - 211 - - 214 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -515 - - -124 - - 432 - - -589 - - -4279 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 795 - - 2255 - - 2864 - - 4558 - - 4559 sfcLCL ODpotential -6374 - - -4583 - - -4518 - - -4972 - - -8731 ODpotential blCL 6654 - - 6714 - - 7814 - - 8941 - - 9011 blCL maxRH 84 - - 86 - - 85 - - 93 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 2360 - - 1830 - - 2450 - - 2180 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m 72.1 - - 78.2 - - 81.8 - - 86.3 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.0 - - 68.8 - - 69.7 - - 66.8 - - 66.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.1 - - 77.7 - - 81.3 - - 86.0 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.8 - - 67.8 - - 68.5 - - 66.1 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 103 - - 118 - - 102 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1851 - - 3016 - - 3689 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 42 - - 39 - - 71 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98011 3 057 8 074 2 023 5 333 6 347 98011 90470 4 232 6 075 1 214 5 219 4 319 90470 84684 2 174 9 147 4 146 12 195 2 339 84684 79911 6 113 6 140 7 166 13 178 3 275 79911 75830 5 062 3 041 7 226 4 145 0 293 75830 72238 1 192 1 357 9 236 6 257 6 291 72238 69003 2 037 6 321 6 241 11 260 9 271 69003 66042 15 312 9 284 6 240 11 263 11 272 66042 63294 21 290 17 278 12 267 17 273 13 253 63294 60633 29 277 25 276 18 271 23 269 16 262 60633 57868 30 267 29 270 25 278 28 278 20 280 57868 55007 30 274 31 265 35 266 33 272 30 271 55007 52275 34 279 33 260 41 257 36 268 37 262 52275 49826 39 276 35 263 40 256 40 261 43 256 49826 47655 46 270 38 271 41 257 40 255 39 249 47655 45711 50 264 38 274 40 269 34 261 34 248 45711 43941 45 257 30 277 45 270 35 267 36 244 43941 42301 35 263 28 276 40 251 35 258 33 238 42301 40764 24 278 22 275 31 243 37 231 29 239 40764 39317 17 305 27 276 21 229 34 215 27 247 39317 37948 24 331 29 268 21 225 32 210 29 250 37948 36620 31 338 19 283 23 224 31 214 32 246 36620 35266 27 329 16 317 22 231 35 225 35 244 35266 33854 19 295 13 294 22 254 33 233 35 246 33854 32388 23 280 15 270 24 265 28 229 33 250 32388 30852 24 271 21 262 29 275 28 243 34 253 30852 29235 24 266 26 264 36 275 31 262 36 254 29235 27541 27 268 29 262 36 272 34 267 41 257 27541 25768 27 268 29 255 35 272 36 269 43 265 25768 23916 26 265 26 244 38 269 41 268 40 272 23916 21988 27 249 27 232 42 263 43 259 39 274 21988 19977 37 239 30 230 39 258 43 257 39 272 19977 17877 36 240 29 234 31 249 42 260 38 273 17877 15727 26 243 25 235 33 231 40 260 36 276 15727 13642 20 257 24 245 33 230 36 257 32 279 13642 11734 17 261 25 254 31 238 34 251 33 267 11734 10031 15 257 24 250 29 242 34 250 37 254 10031 8518 17 257 25 238 28 240 33 237 38 235 8518 7174 20 251 24 230 28 236 37 225 40 227 7174 5985 20 242 23 224 31 234 38 222 38 218 5985 4934 19 246 22 223 33 231 35 219 36 212 4934 4007 20 247 21 229 30*225 30*215 35 209 4007 3185 23 240 23 235 24*212 29*215 34 208 3185 2450 26 238 23*229 23 212 28 214 32 207 2450 1799 30 235 20*220 23 211 27 214 30 206 1799 1256 31 225 19 219 22 211 26 214 28 205 1256 840 28 219 19 219 21 211 24 214 25 203 840 553 20 211 17 219 20 211 22 213 20 201 553 379 18*209 16 218 18 211 19 213 17*200 379 279 8*206 13 218 15 211 15 213 12*199 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography