DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 12.5 - - 30.0 - - 32.0 - - 26.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 39 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 782 - - 940 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 275 - - 1062 - - 1220 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 36 - - 539 - - 629 - - 1114 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 128 - - 103 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 043 - - 253 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -649 - - -336 - - -773 - - -787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 924 - - 1398 - - 1993 - - 1064 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15325 - - -10548 - - -10690 - - -14123 ODpotential blCL - - - 15600 - - 11610 - - 11910 - - 14400 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - 82 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 12.5 - - 30.0 - - 32.0 - - 26.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.2 - - 25.4 - - 24.8 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 12.7 - - 29.8 - - 32.0 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.3 - - 24.7 - - 23.9 - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 39 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 782 - - 940 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 47 - - 28 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96000 110 226 86 228 101 234 91 240 96000 88707 104 241 92 242 94 244 84 261 88707 83138 81 254 81 245 85 242 81 262 83138 78523 76 260 74 253 74 249 76 254 78523 74510 75 264 73 260 66 259 66 259 74510 70966 69 266 70 263 71 271 68 266 70966 67793 66 266 69 268 72 273 74 270 67793 64909 66 271 68 274 72 278 79 275 64909 62260 73 281 73 280 76 280 80 277 62260 59711 80 281 77 280 79 278 78 280 59711 57050 77 278 75 279 77 279 75 284 57050 54267 77 286 75 283 77 286 75 289 54267 51575 86 290 78 289 82 291 78 290 51575 49120 90 290 83 294 86 294 86 290 49120 46899 91 293 87 295 88 295 92 288 46899 44877 92 296 88 297 89 297 92 289 44877 43033 87 294 86 299 92 300 91 292 43033 41351 75 295 81 301 94 303 91 292 41351 39811 68 301 75 307 91 305 88 292 39811 38382 67 304 76 320 88 312 85 296 38382 37037 63 304 81 328 88 318 85 299 37037 35729 58 313 83 331 88 320 83 298 35729 34390 60 336 83 332 87 319 82 296 34390 32989 70 348 82 332 87 319 84 297 32989 31530 74 351 81 331 86 319 86 302 31530 30001 69 347 79 331 84 319 88 305 30001 28390 63 339 77 332 85 318 84 306 28390 26700 58 334 74 332 85 317 79 306 26700 24931 49 326 68 330 82 318 77 308 24931 23082 40 316 62 325 76 320 74 309 23082 21155 43 307 58 319 71 322 70 307 21155 19142 42 305 56 316 61 319 67 305 19142 17038 38 304 52 308 53 313 62 305 17038 14896 36 301 46 304 48 309 53 304 14896 12846 35 303 40 305 41 308 45 302 12846 10998 35 308 36 307 36 307 39 303 10998 9366 35 309 33 307 34 305 34 304 9366 7922 32 310 29 304 33 305 33 308 7922 6643 27 313 25 303 31 304 32 313 6643 5512 23 307 21 301 28 294 25 309 5512 4517 21 303 17 297 24 286 22 293 4517 3647 21 302 15 293 20 283 22 287 3647 2887 19 303 14 298 18 284 19 282 2887 2215 16 317 12 311 13 285 15 279 2215 1628 13 345 8 333 7*273 10 257 1628 1142 13 006 4*036 5*253 7 224 1142 772 14 013 4*042 5 253 6 207 772 518 14 013 3 043 4 253 5 203 518 363 12*013 3 043 4 253 4*195 363 276 3*002 3 043 4 254 4*190 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography