DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.5 - - 89.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 271 - - 128 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3990 - - 4181 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2883 - - 2635 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4270 - - 4461 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2365 - - 2096 - - 4256 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 415 - - 330 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 227 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -84 - - -53 - - -3161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4354 - - 4514 - - 3441 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -502 - - -431 - - -5572 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4772 - - 4892 - - 5852 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 90 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 810 - - 1080 - - 680 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.5 - - 89.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.2 - - 70.8 - - 69.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.9 - - 89.0 - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.0 - - 70.6 - - 69.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 271 - - 128 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3990 - - 4181 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 41 - - 60 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97411 28 267 37 253 37 278 97411 90210 13 266 13 277 20 274 90210 84634 6 262 10 296 7 295 84634 80017 5 081 4 214 1 359 80017 76056 10 081 4 090 4 080 76056 72570 8 080 4 104 3 120 72570 69426 4 092 7 144 7 162 69426 66541 5 190 9 140 12 150 66541 63882 9 169 11 176 11 163 63882 61336 10 149 16 186 12 202 61336 58716 5 198 12 179 18 199 58716 56013 10 231 7 230 14 201 56013 53436 14 226 11 238 11 224 53436 51111 11 210 14 211 17 218 51111 49005 5 201 12 213 17 200 49005 47067 7 279 15 241 15 214 47067 45267 10 298 16 256 17 240 45267 43581 18 305 17 273 18 256 43581 41992 22 295 16 280 20 264 41992 40489 21 285 19 282 21 264 40489 39065 24 288 21 280 23 263 39065 37678 28 295 23 278 27 273 37678 36258 34 293 28 277 31 277 36258 34777 37 287 32 268 34 271 34777 33241 38 291 33 273 36 266 33241 31632 35 296 33 285 35 273 31632 29946 32 294 27 288 28 277 29946 28180 34 287 26 279 26 276 28180 26331 35 288 29 276 27 276 26331 24404 31 300 27 285 25 284 24404 22402 26 300 21 294 20 293 22402 20323 24 289 17 293 11 288 20323 18155 21 275 15 280 6 262 18155 15937 22 264 17 281 8 283 15937 13798 20 262 18 284 14 286 13798 11852 15 238 16 279 14 272 11852 10122 14 218 13 244 14 240 10122 8590 11 229 16 219 19 226 8590 7235 11 228 16 225 21 231 7235 6033 14 231 15 228 19 234 6033 4968 18*231 14*227 17 233 4968 4031 18*230 14*227 15 228 4031 3203 16 226 14 227 14 224 3203 2462 16 225 13 227 13 222 2462 1807 15 225 13 226 12 221 1807 1261 15 224 13 227 12 219 1261 842 14 224 12 226 11 217 842 554 14 224 12 227 9 214 554 380 13 223 11 226 7*209 380 280 11 223 10 226 4*199 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography