DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 47.4 - - 49.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 123 - - 17 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 2138 - - 2587 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 1180 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 419 - - 2418 - - 2867 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1061 - - 1221 - - 1144 - - 1133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 264 - - 155 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 152 - - 174 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2278 - - -2713 - - -2499 - - -2409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2697 - - 5131 - - 5366 - - 2687 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14431 - - -13705 - - -12021 - - -10370 ODpotential blCL - - - 14850 - - 16123 - - 14888 - - 10647 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 85 - - 99 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 47.4 - - 49.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 26.3 - - 27.6 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 46.7 - - 49.7 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 25.1 - - 26.4 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 123 - - 17 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 2138 - - 2587 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 42 - - 96 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96015 19 302 4 345 8 310 6 328 96015 88942 9 325 2 151 11 302 12 315 88942 83471 10 277 4 206 9 264 14 271 83471 78912 14 263 11 259 12 276 10 273 78912 74963 13 263 17 251 18 272 14 277 74963 71458 16 288 16 247 18 261 17 275 71458 68274 20 285 19 259 20 268 21 280 68274 65338 23 277 24 263 26 259 26 272 65338 62608 27 266 25 270 30 263 27 271 62608 59953 32 285 34 282 32 270 33 273 59953 57189 47 281 43 279 41 272 46 268 57189 54336 52 279 49 281 51 277 54 269 54336 51614 55 286 61 281 65 277 64 275 51614 49160 62 290 67 279 74 275 75 277 49160 46957 71 290 70 282 77 276 80 276 46957 44960 77 288 72 282 80 278 79 274 44960 43137 77 286 73 280 80 276 74 274 43137 41463 75 286 73 281 72 271 74 276 41463 39914 75 287 72 279 67 272 73 272 39914 38469 75 286 70 272 66 275 64 267 38469 37114 74 285 61 262 64 270 53 267 37114 35807 74 283 56 262 60 267 52 267 35807 34480 76 280 58 266 57 267 51 266 34480 33102 75 279 60 267 57 268 52 264 33102 31669 74 279 60 269 57 270 52 264 31669 30161 75 279 58 272 56 272 54 266 30161 28569 76 280 60 274 55 272 53 268 28569 26891 77 280 61 275 53 273 53 270 26891 25129 77 281 61 278 51 273 49 273 25129 23284 72 285 60 280 49 277 45 276 23284 21354 63 293 58 283 48 283 41 276 21354 19335 54 302 55 288 47 284 38 274 19335 17224 51 306 46 293 45 284 37 272 17224 15072 49 308 44 296 42 284 36 268 15072 13011 47 312 45 297 36 289 31 271 13011 11144 47 323 40 309 29 301 27 273 11144 9491 48 333 37 322 28 309 20 280 9491 8030 37 328 31 328 26 310 16 291 8030 6738 30 317 21 322 19 319 10 296 6738 5601 20 293 18 320 10 317 5 284 5601 4603 17 279 13 280 9 266 9 245 4603 3729 11 259 11 256 7 224 9 208 3729 2963 5 251 7*225 6*173 10 173 2963 2280 3 150 5*166 6*172 11 155 2280 1677 9 093 4 154 5 173 10 151 1677 1176 11 082 4 150 5 174 9 154 1176 792 10 075 4 148 5 175 8 155 792 528 7*066 4 146 4 176 8 153 528 368 5*061 4 147 4 177 6*147 368 276 4 061 3 146 4 177 5*141 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography