DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 68.1 - - 70.3 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 61 - - 24 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 901 - - 1217 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 434 - - 1181 - - 1497 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 360 - - 770 - - 1359 - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 47 - - 161 - - 136 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 197 - - 192 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -859 - - -666 - - -592 - - -924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1293 - - 1847 - - 2089 - - 1203 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4289 - - -2783 - - -2167 - - -4416 ODpotential blCL - - - 4723 - - 3964 - - 3664 - - 4695 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 97 - - 82 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 10 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 68.1 - - 70.3 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 61.0 - - 62.1 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 67.7 - - 70.4 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 60.2 - - 61.5 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 61 - - 24 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 901 - - 1217 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 87 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96365 78 251 78 254 89 251 78 261 96365 89274 62 254 61 251 65 256 63 264 89274 83786 42 268 45 249 49 256 50 264 83786 79215 30 276 29 268 30 259 36 256 79215 75283 20 277 23 281 23 274 23 264 75283 71832 14 303 14 276 15 277 12 257 71832 68709 17 288 15 300 18 308 14 341 68709 65832 18 288 21 287 26 303 27 322 65832 63168 18 325 17 291 26 292 29 311 63168 60580 30 333 21 319 25 305 35 307 60580 57893 36 309 35 310 36 305 40 300 57893 55128 38 309 39 298 36 305 39 298 55128 52479 46 308 38 308 40 311 44 302 52479 50082 53 301 47 311 50 307 52 301 50082 47934 59 295 55 305 58 299 57 300 47934 45988 62 297 61 302 60 295 53 302 45988 44191 66 305 63 303 59 302 50 317 44191 42513 69 304 66 304 61 308 61 329 42513 40938 70 303 67 302 64 311 72 325 40938 39461 71 305 69 301 66 313 78 324 39461 38079 72 307 73 302 73 315 77 322 38079 36749 73 308 71 307 79 311 74 323 36749 35394 73 307 65 310 78 311 69 331 35394 33979 73 308 68 308 71 316 72 334 33979 32506 73 307 68 305 67 319 75 333 32506 30959 72 306 66 305 74 320 74 329 30959 29325 69 308 66 306 75 314 74 330 29325 27604 63 306 63 305 68 311 71 327 27604 25795 57 305 57 301 62 311 69 331 25795 23906 52 305 52 302 54 312 55 320 23906 21937 51 302 48 299 48 307 51 317 21937 19880 43 299 45 297 43 305 44 312 19880 17736 28 296 29 297 30 302 35 311 17736 15558 17 294 18 288 17 290 23 305 15558 13461 15 272 17 275 17 280 19 296 13461 11556 14 254 15 249 16 260 15 282 11556 9868 14 241 17 243 19 262 17 297 9868 8368 14 240 19 241 21 247 22 291 8368 7034 12 231 15 218 21 243 22 274 7034 5855 11 236 15 206 22 231 22 255 5855 4818 11 233 17 217 21 219 25 227 4818 3907 12 228 18 227 20 214 26 211 3907 3105 16 230 20 230 20 214 25 205 3105 2386 21 235 20 226 20 212 24 202 2386 1753 22 242 19 220 19*206 24 196 1753 1224 20 238 15*208 16*194 23 186 1224 820 17 221 12*199 15 193 22 176 820 542 12*200 12 197 14 191 18 168 542 374 10*198 11 196 12 191 15*165 374 278 7 195 9 195 10 190 7*160 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography