DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 56.3 - - 62.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 237 - - 97 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 135 - - 1233 - - 2059 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 815 - - 875 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 415 - - 1513 - - 2339 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 320 - - 648 - - 601 - - 1913 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 268 - - 236 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 316 - - 321 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1367 - - -1475 - - -2124 - - -2457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1782 - - 2988 - - 4464 - - 2735 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13091 - - -9853 - - -9645 - - -12548 ODpotential blCL - - - 13506 - - 11366 - - 11984 - - 12826 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 80 - - 66 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 56.3 - - 62.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.6 - - 44.5 - - 43.9 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 55.0 - - 61.5 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 44.2 - - 43.7 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 237 - - 97 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 135 - - 1233 - - 2059 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96694 72 251 83 256 82 255 82 259 96694 89395 46 268 50 262 54 260 50 265 89395 83834 30 276 29 257 32 259 29 263 83834 79243 19 275 20 252 28 250 28 272 79243 75288 21 281 16 259 21 262 27 279 75288 71805 24 275 19 268 19 272 21 272 71805 68653 19 262 19 264 19 270 18 287 68653 65743 17 274 19 275 20 277 20 297 65743 63041 23 283 22 280 21 283 22 287 63041 60434 28 276 20 274 25 277 25 269 60434 57727 32 272 23 277 28 280 30 290 57727 54930 34 281 36 287 36 280 41 294 54930 52264 36 291 42 293 37 280 49 280 52264 49860 37 296 46 294 41 288 48 271 49860 47691 40 288 47 287 50 289 48 277 47691 45701 45 280 48 279 57 284 59 278 45701 43862 49 270 51 272 58 278 59 280 43862 42161 50 265 54 264 54 273 57 283 42161 40585 49 267 50 264 53 267 54 277 40585 39115 50 273 45 268 49 267 53 273 39115 37735 50 279 42 269 45 267 50 275 37735 36403 54 281 42 274 39 271 50 274 36403 35052 63 281 44 267 37 276 47 275 35052 33652 70 272 42 265 40 276 41 277 33652 32202 68 274 42 268 42 285 31 285 32202 30682 61 278 35 278 33 295 23 296 30682 29079 53 290 19 270 23 290 18 299 29079 27391 39 300 9 271 16 286 15 303 27391 25616 21 325 8 329 12 319 11 311 25616 23750 19 338 12 011 13 336 12 326 23750 21799 18 309 12 027 7 350 6 333 21799 19758 22 286 5 332 4 310 3 266 19758 17628 19 289 14 294 12 306 8 311 17628 15459 10 308 12 296 13 307 7 306 15459 13368 6 303 8 308 10 301 7 288 13368 11461 4 308 6 294 8 294 7 296 11461 9767 5 295 7 273 8 285 10 311 9767 8268 6 300 7 275 8 296 12 322 8268 6940 6 306 7 281 7 313 11 333 6940 5767 6 316 6 284 7 328 9 346 5767 4733 7 324 6 290 8 334 8 358 4733 3827 10 326 6 307 8 332 8 354 3827 3034 10 325 7 321 5*324 6 325 3034 2330 8 306 6 316 4*321 6 301 2330 1713 7 280 5*315 4 322 4 295 1713 1200 6 269 4*316 4 321 3 292 1200 806 6 266 4 316 4 321 3 289 806 535 5*263 4 316 4 321 2 285 535 371 4*261 4 316 3 320 1*272 371 277 4 261 4 317 3 320 1*258 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography