DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.5 - - 94.6 - - 91.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 83 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4709 - - 6249 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3224 - - 4024 - - 264 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4989 - - 6529 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3413 - - 2802 - - 7200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 383 - - 358 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 209 - - 197 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 34 - - 817 - - -4493 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4955 - - 5713 - - 4773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1698 - - -1317 - - -6428 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6687 - - 7846 - - 6708 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 67 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2080 - - 1960 - - 2080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.5 - - 94.6 - - 91.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 70.4 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 91.6 - - 94.0 - - 92.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.2 - - 69.0 - - 70.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 83 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4709 - - 6249 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99077 38 090 37 089 31 086 99077 91581 38 080 34 092 27 079 91581 85828 32 077 33 088 25 082 85828 81074 22 079 28 082 25 086 81074 76983 17 093 23 083 21 080 76983 73364 15 097 14 089 15 060 73364 70082 12 091 11 094 14 053 70082 67068 11 097 9 073 12 082 67068 64295 10 097 7 068 9 109 64295 61635 9 113 6 083 8 115 61635 58876 15 128 6 178 2 059 58876 56028 9 123 9 178 8 310 56028 53326 3 170 6 168 12 266 53326 50913 11 251 6 266 12 241 50913 48768 14 237 13 245 14 242 48768 46829 9 214 12 237 17 247 46829 45043 3 084 7 220 17 247 45043 43376 8 020 1 003 14 240 43376 41808 4 009 3 272 10 219 41808 40327 4 209 10 240 9 214 40327 38921 9 189 12 232 11 230 38921 37552 8 192 10 229 12 227 37552 36152 4 174 8 221 13 215 36152 34691 4 151 7 217 13 215 34691 33173 4 181 7 241 12 225 33173 31586 4 220 8 249 14 228 31586 29920 3 238 7 227 13 220 29920 28172 9 268 5 222 7 197 28172 26337 13 271 4 276 2 162 26337 24417 9 254 5 287 3 108 24417 22418 6 195 7 242 3 193 22418 20333 12 188 10 228 7 237 20333 18159 17 174 13 205 9 247 18159 15944 18 168 18 183 12 214 15944 13811 14 170 15 176 14 193 13811 11874 8 173 8 160 12 180 11874 10157 7 176 6 166 9 164 10157 8632 8 185 5 170 6 154 8632 7275 8 184 5*177 4 172 7275 6069 7*189 4*188 5 187 6069 5001 5*200 4 192 5 183 5001 4058 4 206 4 194 5 179 4058 3225 4 208 4 198 5 175 3225 2478 4 211 4 199 5 172 2478 1819 4 212 4 201 5 169 1819 1269 4 213 4 202 5 169 1269 847 4 214 4 202 4 167 847 557 3 214 4 203 4 167 557 381 3 214 4 202 4 166 381 280 3 215 4 202 3*165 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography