DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 1009z - - 1331z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.8 - - 75.5 - - 81.1 - - 82.5 - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 86 - - 135 - - 87 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1085 - - 3967 - - 4608 - - 4353 BL Depth Hcrit 252 - - 252 - - 2639 - - 2855 - - 253 Hcrit BL Top 270 - - 1365 - - 4247 - - 4888 - - 4633 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 262 - - 2814 - - 1858 - - 2291 - - 3101 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 195 - - 354 - - 327 - - 154 W* B/S 1 - - 20 - - 15 - - 25 - - 19 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 017 - - 293 - - 342 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -7 - - -5 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1219 - - -1992 - - -720 - - -111 - - 152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1489 - - 3357 - - 4968 - - 4999 - - 4481 sfcLCL ODpotential -4860 - - -3914 - - -3184 - - -2218 - - -1699 ODpotential blCL 5130 - - 5279 - - 7431 - - 7106 - - 6332 blCL maxRH 68 - - 100 - - 80 - - 94 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 120 - - 90 - - 210 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m 66.8 - - 75.5 - - 81.1 - - 82.5 - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.4 - - 61.9 - - 60.3 - - 61.6 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.1 - - 75.5 - - 80.3 - - 81.9 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.7 - - 61.5 - - 58.3 - - 59.7 - - 60.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 86 - - 135 - - 87 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1085 - - 3967 - - 4608 - - 4353 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 100 - - 21 - - 75 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98670 29 089 30 099 31 091 29 098 27 093 98670 91149 26 087 24 092 25 096 27 094 22 086 91149 85351 23 084 21 093 21 092 24 091 20 088 85351 80540 16 099 12 084 21 088 19 084 19 094 80540 76412 10 097 7 105 14 063 18 091 16 083 76412 72783 14 102 7 122 6 069 12 060 13 085 72783 69504 12 076 8 106 3 098 5 010 11 037 69504 66505 8 033 5 029 3 043 3 259 9 006 66505 63739 6 315 7 305 10 332 6 344 6 335 63739 61063 13 328 16 308 18 300 20 316 20 338 61063 58283 25 297 19 287 25 276 31 287 29 293 58283 55415 29 278 29 295 29 276 35 270 34 293 55415 52695 40 289 42 290 41 284 48 287 51 291 52695 50284 46 282 46 279 51 277 55 282 61 275 50284 48127 47 279 44 273 57 268 59 271 60 263 48127 46145 53 285 47 278 57 259 56 260 53 259 46145 44308 67 289 61 286 52 263 51 265 54 274 44308 42607 83 291 78 289 62 284 59 277 63 279 42607 41029 92 291 88 289 83 288 72 280 69 278 41029 39551 91 289 90 287 93 284 84 276 75 274 39551 38156 89 288 89 286 86 281 80 268 76 272 38156 36803 89 288 87 285 76 280 80 269 74 271 36803 35422 90 289 85 281 73 278 83 273 71 270 35422 33985 87 294 83 279 72 276 72 275 66 270 33985 32493 69 296 81 282 70 273 56 276 60 267 32493 30930 50 287 68 283 65 276 50 279 60 264 30930 29283 43 274 56 283 52 282 47 279 60 268 29283 27556 45 272 50 280 45 280 45 275 52 274 27556 25753 45 277 46 275 45 274 43 273 48 280 25753 23872 41 276 45 276 47 277 42 275 45 283 23872 21913 35 275 40 277 47 285 43 279 43 287 21913 19869 33 276 39 269 45 291 40 286 39 290 19869 17736 35 267 39 265 40 284 35 292 33 292 17736 15566 30 268 31 275 33 276 30 290 32 299 15566 13483 24 279 24 289 25 285 27 280 32 294 13483 11590 15 295 12 296 20 298 20 283 26 297 11590 9908 12 308 9 304 17 309 16 303 19 301 9908 8414 15 288 7 326 12 309 15 309 10 303 8414 7090 13 279 4 322 6 304 13 304 3 294 7090 5913 6 267 1 153 4 287 6*285 3 182 5913 4871 6 279 1 268 4*282 3*283 2*154 4871 3952 6 293 5 305 4*291 2 314 2*123 3952 3140 5 331 4 318 4 294 2 341 1 106 3140 2413 7 028 3 353 4 294 2 348 1 090 2413 1770 14 041 2*028 4 293 3 356 2 080 1770 1234 18 040 2*025 4 293 3 358 2 072 1234 822 18 037 2 019 4 293 3 002 2 069 822 540 14 029 2 013 4 294 3 001 2 064 540 368 12*026 2 012 4 293 3 002 2 064 368 270 4*022 2 009 4 293 3 003 1 063 270 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography