DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.3 - - 34.3 - - 28.3 - - 23.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -1 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 904 - - 1785 - - 332 - - 77 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 309 - - 287 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -497 - - -1240 - - -217 - - -259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2746 - - 3490 - - 2466 - - 2508 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5264 - - -4464 - - -4940 - - -6754 ODpotential blCL - - - 7513 - - 6713 - - 7189 - - 9002 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 70 - - 69 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.3 - - 34.3 - - 28.3 - - 23.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 27.1 - - 25.7 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 34.4 - - 30.9 - - 26.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 26.3 - - 25.6 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -1 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97076 35 065 39 033 29 026 36 042 97076 90041 24 065 30 038 32 031 35 044 90041 84483 22 052 23 051 25 037 26 043 84483 79822 21 040 16 045 16 027 21 034 79822 75774 18 029 13 036 13 004 16 016 75774 72168 16 017 13 011 9 357 13 003 72168 68876 11 020 12 357 9 352 8 357 68876 65816 14 016 14 331 14 354 12 350 65816 62971 15 347 12 330 15 340 10 351 62971 60203 13 347 16 306 17 343 15 032 60203 57312 12 333 20 307 26 311 23 337 57312 54328 20 333 18 322 23 300 27 320 54328 51479 23 319 26 312 28 305 28 307 51479 48912 27 331 38 313 29 318 28 323 48912 46612 45 328 46 318 39 330 40 328 46612 44529 51 306 53 319 49 324 50 325 44529 42627 42 296 54 316 52 320 53 330 42627 40874 35 305 48 315 56 331 64 338 40874 39250 38 319 51 327 74 337 86 324 39250 37750 46 326 67 334 88 327 86 317 37750 36369 53 330 81 329 86 323 78 318 36369 35058 57 332 85 328 82 331 79 331 35058 33740 65 333 91 335 93 344 85 340 33740 32385 82 337 108 341 101 343 89 339 32385 30994 98 340 109 339 97 342 89 340 30994 29549 105 342 102 339 91 341 85 344 29549 28039 97 342 94 342 83 338 78 341 28039 26468 85 340 86 340 76 336 71 337 26468 24834 77 335 80 338 71 332 68 331 24834 23139 70 323 73 331 67 327 68 327 23139 21383 64 315 64 319 66 324 66 325 21383 19563 60 310 60 309 67 324 64 323 19563 17675 58 306 57 306 61 323 60 323 17675 15761 53 308 52 305 52 319 56 325 15761 13929 47 314 46 310 46 317 49 328 13929 12269 40 319 42 316 41 317 38 326 12269 10797 34 316 38 318 37 318 31 323 10797 9487 30 311 34 319 32 320 28 323 9487 8319 28 311 29 319 28 320 24 325 8319 7279 28 315 26 314 24 318 20 322 7279 6355 29 318 26 310 23 317 17 315 6355 5539 30 321 26 310 23 322 15 316 5539 4816 29 325 26 312 23 325 13 325 4816 4168 29 332 24 314 21 321 13 326 4168 3593 28 331 23 312 19 314 14 319 3593 3113 23 324 18 310 17 309 15 309 3113 2744 18 308 15 309 14 309 15 303 2744 2490 13 297 12 309 11 306 13 299 2490 2336 12*294 11*309 9*300 9 285 2336 2248 7*290 8*309 5*287 5*269 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography