DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 50.3 - - 49.4 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 13 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 835 - - 1580 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3030 - - 3775 - - 2250 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3460 - - 2260 - - 2401 - - 665 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 102 - - 120 - - 17 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 170 - - 149 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -157 - - 205 - - -681 - - -215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3187 - - 3570 - - 2931 - - 2465 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1479 - - -959 - - -2240 - - -3349 ODpotential blCL - - - 4509 - - 4734 - - 4490 - - 5599 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 50.3 - - 49.4 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 42.5 - - 44.3 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 50.2 - - 49.8 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 41.7 - - 43.7 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 13 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 835 - - 1580 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97713 29 012 28 358 27 001 31 355 97713 90490 20 353 19 325 25 342 22 337 90490 84828 20 338 16 317 22 335 22 328 84828 80086 20 319 23 313 24 315 24 314 80086 75986 13 306 17 301 20 298 22 305 75986 72344 21 334 18 316 18 306 22 299 72344 69025 30 309 29 304 26 317 28 317 69025 65955 33 298 38 297 40 303 37 300 65955 63102 29 287 34 292 42 296 40 288 63102 60331 27 292 40 300 43 296 40 291 60331 57425 44 298 45 295 46 294 45 294 57425 54410 52 299 50 295 49 296 49 294 54410 51552 60 300 57 299 54 298 54 295 51552 49012 70 295 65 298 63 297 60 292 49012 46771 72 293 70 294 69 296 62 293 46771 44761 73 294 73 293 73 294 68 294 44761 42936 78 294 75 295 71 296 79 294 42936 41268 89 298 83 301 81 301 89 291 41268 39732 102 304 97 303 98 296 93 289 39732 38307 107 302 101 303 97 294 96 291 38307 36974 105 299 97 297 93 293 96 292 36974 35690 103 300 95 295 90 290 95 289 35690 34386 102 301 94 293 87 289 91 286 34386 33033 99 302 92 292 88 289 83 286 33033 31636 97 304 87 293 89 288 79 287 31636 30181 97 306 85 296 89 289 76 288 30181 28658 97 305 82 299 86 292 70 290 28658 27068 98 304 79 301 79 295 65 291 27068 25411 86 301 76 303 66 295 62 293 25411 23688 77 295 74 302 58 290 62 294 23688 21900 72 296 70 297 60 285 60 291 21900 20043 66 298 67 292 58 285 55 283 20043 18115 61 299 58 292 52 287 50 279 18115 16159 58 293 46 293 46 288 46 283 16159 14284 49 287 41 297 39 285 37 287 14284 12583 32 297 41 297 32 285 33 284 12583 11067 23 304 39 293 29 289 32 269 11067 9715 12 295 31 283 26 290 28 257 9715 8512 9 292 18 259 25 278 22 269 8512 7443 9 282 12 233 27 257 19 285 7443 6494 5 258 13 219 22 232 13 283 6494 5652 4 299 11 204 15 205 11 244 5652 4907 6 300 7 194 12 194 21 206 4907 4237 8 277 5*185 10 175 20 190 4237 3644 10 259 4*173 11 162 19 168 3644 3147 9*254 4 171 10 156 18 156 3147 2765 7*249 4 168 9 154 16 148 2765 2501 6 249 4 169 8 152 13 141 2501 2342 6 248 4 167 7*151 11*139 2342 2250 5 248 3 166 4*149 5*131 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography