DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/03 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1330z - - 1555z - - 1854z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.1 - - 21.0 - - 27.4 - - 26.5 - - 26.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - -1 - - -9 - - -19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 53 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2248 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 63 - - 188 - - 410 - - 219 - - 657 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 241 - - 186 - - 185 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -450 - - -1157 - - -1671 - - -946 - - -268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2698 - - 3405 - - 3920 - - 3194 - - 2517 sfcLCL ODpotential -7231 - - -7592 - - -6574 - - -6286 - - -4833 ODpotential blCL 9479 - - 9840 - - 8823 - - 8534 - - 7082 blCL maxRH 80 - - 66 - - 59 - - 91 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.1 - - 21.0 - - 27.4 - - 26.5 - - 26.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.3 - - 14.2 - - 18.1 - - 20.3 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.1 - - 21.3 - - 28.6 - - 28.0 - - 27.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 14.0 - - 17.5 - - 20.0 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - -1 - - -9 - - -19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 53 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 63 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97619 48 015 58 022 54 021 55 017 54 024 97619 90438 39 012 42 017 39 008 45 008 39 016 90438 84783 31 011 28 005 31 004 34 358 32 001 84783 80007 29 359 22 349 27 355 27 348 28 350 80007 75841 32 347 21 348 23 345 23 339 24 349 75841 72116 33 338 21 352 22 336 21 337 23 345 72116 68713 34 329 24 349 26 325 24 332 22 345 68713 65564 33 325 25 342 25 319 23 325 24 341 65564 62630 30 327 25 331 27 313 23 324 29 338 62630 59784 28 331 25 320 27 310 26 321 32 338 59784 56807 27 327 26 319 27 313 24 316 30 332 56807 53717 29 325 30 318 29 316 25 315 29 320 53717 50780 35 324 34 309 33 314 29 313 31 311 50780 48157 40 322 34 307 38 305 36 306 35 311 48157 45827 44 318 36 309 38 303 38 302 36 310 45827 43731 46 315 39 311 39 304 43 296 35 310 43731 41825 49 312 45 312 42 299 40 289 38 311 41825 40081 51 312 48 313 38 303 40 294 42 303 40081 38475 52 316 52 318 46 307 44 292 41 298 38475 36992 56 323 60 320 57 309 33 302 35 286 36992 35615 65 326 71 319 66 311 54 297 18 274 35615 34297 74 325 83 313 78 305 69 273 22 309 34297 32974 79 324 90 311 98 293 66 265 29 294 32974 31634 84 324 94 315 98 287 54 267 30 240 31634 30278 90 324 94 321 87 287 44 271 27 214 30278 28874 95 324 98 323 78 293 35 277 17 201 28874 27409 98 324 102 323 71 301 27 283 10 191 27409 25885 96 324 101 320 64 314 24 296 7 213 25885 24301 84 325 95 326 59 325 22 298 11 258 24301 22660 56 322 86 332 57 328 22 298 22 257 22660 20962 33 304 67 335 48 328 27 294 31 265 20962 19204 29 296 45 312 42 318 37 288 36 272 19204 17376 26 297 24 293 39 296 36 285 33 276 17376 15515 21 302 28 313 29 272 30 279 30 275 15515 13728 19 305 27 297 23 287 24 286 26 284 13728 12107 19 303 20 272 21 301 34 287 25 311 12107 10668 21 297 20 259 17 279 26 281 30 319 10668 9387 21 288 21 260 17 258 14 275 36 315 9387 8245 17 280 20 262 18 241 12 245 34 309 8245 7225 14 284 18 263 21 236 16 227 27 298 7225 6315 12 277 16 260 22 235 22 220 24 285 6315 5509 8 285 14 253 21 229 27 219 23 275 5509 4793 6 305 13 259 19 226 29 221 24 267 4793 4149 6 310 13 277 16 228 29 222 27 262 4149 3579 9 304 13 288 12 236 27 224 30 256 3579 3103 14 308 15 295 10 245 24 223 27 254 3103 2739 18 307 18 291 10 234 19 215 19 253 2739 2488 16 297 14 275 9 203 16 201 12 246 2488 2336 11*286 9 260 7*194 12 196 9*245 2336 2249 5*256 4*241 4*186 5*185 3*243 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography