DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.2 - - 38.9 - - 49.9 - - 46.7 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 110 - - 99 - - -6 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 735 - - 1160 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2930 - - 3355 - - 2250 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 245 - - 356 - - 613 - - 1808 - - 56 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 177 - - 199 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 215 - - 218 - - 260 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1195 - - -4077 - - -5075 - - -1764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 4125 - - 7432 - - 7325 - - 4013 sfcLCL ODpotential -15643 - - -13201 - - -13760 - - -15613 - - -13172 ODpotential blCL 17892 - - 16131 - - 17115 - - 17863 - - 15421 blCL maxRH 90 - - 76 - - 65 - - 65 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.2 - - 38.9 - - 49.9 - - 46.7 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 28.9 - - 25.5 - - 22.9 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.5 - - 38.1 - - 49.2 - - 50.1 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 28.8 - - 25.3 - - 22.7 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 110 - - 99 - - -6 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 735 - - 1160 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96114 25 312 28 301 31 312 28 326 25 325 96114 89363 22 309 22 300 21 297 32 335 28 334 89363 84064 18 296 18 308 15 303 22 296 22 341 84064 79589 17 306 15 284 17 310 18 278 24 330 79589 75654 19 296 15 266 22 280 17 290 16 301 75654 72137 20 275 20 285 25 257 19 289 16 300 72137 68931 20 260 25 287 24 251 24 273 22 281 68931 65954 21 263 27 279 24 259 31 275 26 272 65954 63167 26 268 26 260 28 270 31 272 29 276 63167 60460 25 253 28 251 31 275 27 265 29 270 60460 57644 23 234 26 250 31 270 24 262 27 251 57644 54717 16 227 25 242 29 264 26 280 22 256 54717 51924 11 246 25 238 32 266 34 290 27 283 51924 49432 10 275 21 237 33 248 36 280 29 286 49432 47209 19 288 21 276 26 234 31 256 26 281 47209 45189 15 252 21 271 20 251 25 248 26 279 45189 43336 11 267 18 263 18 253 22 253 27 279 43336 41626 10 270 16 270 16 261 21 262 26 278 41626 40039 5 286 11 267 17 267 21 267 27 287 40039 38565 12 006 7 308 12 268 19 273 29 295 38565 37195 19 004 14 343 17 302 19 286 27 295 37195 35887 15 019 15 353 17 312 17 291 22 289 35887 34568 14 045 11 006 10 312 15 293 17 293 34568 33204 14 062 9 010 7 311 16 301 17 320 33204 31800 11 049 12 009 8 326 19 311 23 341 31800 30341 7 054 10 014 7 344 20 320 25 342 30341 28817 5 058 5 021 9 343 21 325 26 340 28817 27227 6 045 2 052 11 334 24 328 25 341 27227 25570 8 049 3 109 8 334 25 321 24 340 25570 23847 7 047 5 109 4 338 23 310 24 337 23847 22061 11 118 4 107 5 331 17 304 23 336 22061 20204 12 137 9 142 1 213 17 310 21 332 20204 18270 4 159 12 154 3 234 18 334 20 331 18270 16299 6 336 1 128 8 328 16 345 18 334 16299 14399 4 355 3 127 5 316 10 326 17 336 14399 12671 2 057 4 139 7 309 8 315 14 338 12671 11134 1 077 4 224 9 306 7 311 12 327 11134 9765 5 267 7 243 8 287 7 297 14 327 9765 8546 11 249 9 255 9 271 9 285 16 334 8546 7462 16 243 12 250 11 266 11 291 17 347 7462 6500 16 241 14 250 11 267 15 300 18 354 6500 5652 15 240 16 249 11 267 18 307 18 347 5652 4903 16 232 16 244 12 266 20 306 18 334 4903 4233 17 225 17 243 14 253 18 300 17 322 4233 3641 18 228 19 237 14*228 15 292 14 318 3641 3144 23 226 17*225 12*219 13 289 12 321 3144 2763 24 221 13*216 12 218 11 283 10 315 2763 2499 18 211 13 215 11 217 9 275 8 280 2499 2340 15*207 12 215 11 216 6*268 8 240 2340 2249 7*202 10 214 9 216 4*260 5*233 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography