DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.9 - - 33.6 - - 38.6 - - 33.2 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 31 - - 22 - - -21 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 317 - - 583 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2512 - - 2778 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 309 - - 473 - - 361 - - 958 - - 1783 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 89 - - 96 - - 0 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 181 - - 310 - - 338 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -582 - - -666 - - 0 - - -132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2248 - - 3094 - - 3444 - - 2249 - - 2381 sfcLCL ODpotential -10962 - - -10101 - - -8097 - - -8135 - - -752 ODpotential blCL 13210 - - 12613 - - 10875 - - 10384 - - 3001 blCL maxRH 91 - - 86 - - 85 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.9 - - 33.6 - - 38.6 - - 33.2 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.8 - - 27.9 - - 31.3 - - 31.5 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.2 - - 33.3 - - 38.4 - - 34.4 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 27.6 - - 30.9 - - 31.4 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 31 - - 22 - - -21 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 317 - - 583 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 43 - - 40 - - 45 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96875 42 043 40 028 41 040 36 037 35 036 96875 89835 41 040 36 033 39 034 37 041 32 037 89835 84299 34 039 30 037 33 035 35 031 33 038 84299 79659 26 032 25 038 28 036 25 023 32 034 79659 75626 19 031 21 033 21 026 20 020 24 031 75626 72029 16 027 16 024 14 009 15 011 20 024 72029 68745 12 012 15 017 10 009 12 000 13 013 68745 65700 8 356 13 360 10 359 11 349 11 355 65700 62861 8 004 7 316 13 319 14 332 9 348 62861 60102 9 028 5 300 14 295 17 332 13 341 60102 57213 14 318 12 301 14 304 15 313 15 324 57213 54214 9 287 10 265 14 301 7 315 16 312 54214 51366 20 287 11 270 17 289 19 327 16 304 51366 48813 27 272 22 255 22 269 21 272 21 285 48813 46526 27 263 25 270 18 281 16 268 28 278 46526 44464 27 259 33 263 34 279 31 270 35 260 44464 42598 29 253 37 253 39 262 36 268 35 252 42598 40887 31 245 40 247 40 260 38 268 32 257 40887 39297 35 243 42 243 46 255 41 262 35 258 39297 37813 38 247 40 243 48 236 47 248 43 255 37813 36436 44 250 42 244 47 240 53 242 53 245 36436 35132 52 250 48 244 53 246 55 238 57 237 35132 33831 49 251 49 245 55 239 52 235 55 234 33831 32496 48 256 48 248 52 240 50 237 54 233 32496 31123 50 258 46 256 49 244 47 241 53 236 31123 29696 49 255 44 259 47 248 47 244 49 242 29696 28204 46 250 43 258 42 246 45 246 45 246 28204 26646 43 250 40 252 40 244 41 246 41 249 26646 25025 40 252 37 251 39 242 37 248 30 255 25025 23343 37 252 33 246 35 243 36 250 25 263 23343 21598 32 248 31 245 32 249 34 251 30 280 21598 19780 27 252 29 250 29 256 27 259 26 280 19780 17886 22 264 25 258 24 259 21 273 23 272 17886 15959 16 267 19 261 18 265 19 280 24 276 15959 14110 15 251 16 258 16 273 15 288 22 281 14110 12426 16 247 15 258 17 280 14 311 19 278 12426 10924 14 255 13 273 16 287 16 322 19 281 10924 9582 11 261 12 294 15 290 16 317 22 289 9582 8383 10 266 12 305 14 298 17 317 26 296 8383 7316 9 272 14 312 16 319 22 325 28 305 7316 6372 5 272 12 312 19 333 25 331 28 315 6372 5542 3 259 12 309 23 338 26 334 27 330 5542 4810 5 209 12 308 24 334 24 349 26 345 4810 4160 8 197 7 306 20 331 22 002 23 352 4160 3588 11 204 4 312 14 327 22 001 19 350 3588 3112 17 189 5 232 8*317 21 349 18 350 3112 2745 20 163 7*198 5*310 18 344 16 349 2745 2492 13 150 3*182 5 310 15 343 13 348 2492 2338 11 149 3 180 4 310 13*342 11*347 2338 2249 4*137 3 181 4 309 6*338 7*346 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography