DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -7.9 - - -6.1 - - 2.2 - - 5.5 - - -2.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 1 - - 25 - - -8 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 51 - - 523 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2230 Hcrit BL Top 2246 - - 2246 - - 2718 - - 2247 - - 2247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 377 - - 422 - - 203 - - 598 - - 78 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 14 - - 97 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 219 - - 209 - - 193 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -642 - - -641 - - -264 - - -551 - - -672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2888 - - 2887 - - 2983 - - 2798 - - 2919 sfcLCL ODpotential -8687 - - -10979 - - -8493 - - -7435 - - -13222 ODpotential blCL 10933 - - 13225 - - 11211 - - 9682 - - 15469 blCL maxRH 88 - - 90 - - 85 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -7.9 - - -6.1 - - 2.2 - - 5.5 - - -2.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -11.8 - - -10.1 - - -2.4 - - 1.7 - - -6.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -6.1 - - -5.9 - - 1.9 - - 6.7 - - 1.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -9.5 - - -9.2 - - -2.7 - - 1.8 - - -2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 1 - - 25 - - -8 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 51 - - 523 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 59 - - 39 - - 27 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96764 18 160 13 149 14 178 15 183 20 181 96764 89444 14 182 11 180 10 194 11 205 15 214 89444 83710 7 255 12 259 10 270 13 257 9 244 83710 78908 17 305 19 275 16 287 18 266 14 282 78908 74766 24 312 27 288 24 283 22 279 24 293 74766 71099 30 292 29 281 32 280 24 306 22 292 71099 67743 41 278 34 289 37 290 39 319 27 295 67743 64650 47 285 38 295 45 291 43 304 42 302 64650 61795 55 291 47 303 45 296 47 295 47 301 61795 59033 63 298 60 304 57 306 62 304 64 307 59033 56156 70 300 70 304 72 305 77 307 77 303 56156 53178 73 302 77 302 79 303 83 303 82 301 53178 50344 79 308 79 304 81 304 84 299 82 303 50344 47798 87 310 83 308 84 305 82 299 80 304 47798 45516 92 308 88 308 87 305 84 303 80 305 45516 43450 93 305 90 305 89 304 89 305 86 306 43450 41567 93 305 92 304 92 304 94 304 91 303 41567 39841 95 307 95 304 94 305 94 301 97 301 39841 38253 98 309 100 304 97 306 95 300 101 299 38253 36784 104 310 105 305 101 306 97 300 104 298 36784 35420 109 311 112 305 107 307 100 300 105 298 35420 34121 113 312 119 306 113 306 103 300 105 298 34121 32820 118 312 123 306 119 304 104 300 101 298 32820 31488 122 312 127 307 121 303 101 301 98 301 31488 30128 125 309 125 308 117 302 95 302 89 302 30128 28727 118 313 112 306 106 303 84 304 78 304 28727 27269 115 319 98 305 94 301 77 305 72 305 27269 25750 115 321 95 312 87 298 69 307 69 307 25750 24167 114 322 97 315 82 302 69 307 68 308 24167 22522 114 323 94 315 78 307 68 303 66 307 22522 20817 109 324 88 316 75 310 63 303 64 306 20817 19049 95 322 81 317 72 309 59 307 61 304 19049 17209 74 320 72 318 66 308 56 305 56 301 17209 15340 55 319 61 318 57 309 54 305 49 301 15340 13549 45 320 49 318 47 310 49 306 43 303 13549 11933 37 320 39 318 38 313 41 304 40 302 11933 10503 31 318 32 316 31 310 35 301 38 301 10503 9233 28 319 27 311 27 303 29 299 34 304 9233 8103 24 318 24 305 24 299 26 294 30 310 8103 7098 21 313 21 303 21 297 23 291 24 310 7098 6205 18 301 20 296 20 293 20 290 19 302 6205 5416 13 294 18 282 18 288 18 287 16 291 5416 4718 9 288 14 269 16 273 16 280 15 280 4718 4090 8 283 11 254 17 248 16 267 15 267 4090 3535 9 269 12 247 18 229 17 250 17 251 3535 3072 9 230 14 239 17*221 16 229 20 235 3072 2718 9 212 16 228 14*213 15 208 21 216 2718 2475 8 202 13 222 12 208 12 198 19 200 2475 2329 6 200 10 221 11 207 10*195 16*196 2329 2247 4*200 7*219 10 206 7*193 8*189 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography