DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.3 - - 46.2 - - 46.5 - - 46.8 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 17 - - 14 - - 6 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1931 - - 3461 - - 3179 - - 1125 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 4126 - - 5656 - - 5374 - - 3320 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2405 - - 3426 - - 2654 - - 4814 - - 4965 Hgt.Variab. W* 149 - - 190 - - 181 - - 101 - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 27 - - 26 - - 28 - - 18 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 035 - - 035 - - 019 - - 014 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1390 - - 1880 - - 1752 - - -24 - - -824 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2736 - - 3776 - - 3622 - - 3344 - - 3074 sfcLCL ODpotential 362 - - 534 - - 355 - - -1028 - - -2086 ODpotential blCL 3764 - - 5122 - - 5019 - - 4348 - - 4336 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 96 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 160 - - 210 - - 230 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 44.3 - - 46.2 - - 46.5 - - 46.8 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 37.2 - - 38.4 - - 39.9 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 46.1 - - 46.4 - - 46.8 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 36.0 - - 37.1 - - 39.0 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 17 - - 14 - - 6 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1931 - - 3461 - - 3179 - - 1125 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 103 - - 83 - - 102 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98207 15 074 21 102 30 117 20 113 17 091 98207 90726 14 120 20 102 19 108 21 094 21 093 90726 84967 18 105 19 114 11 087 17 087 23 081 84967 80172 20 082 16 102 14 092 14 080 18 059 80172 76038 19 073 13 083 13 091 13 068 18 050 76038 72376 19 059 11 066 11 072 15 070 16 048 72376 69045 15 046 9 068 12 062 9 058 11 051 69045 65960 8 029 6 050 10 054 5 051 9 036 65960 63074 5 350 6 356 7 043 6 029 9 034 63074 60259 3 320 6 306 9 006 7 011 9 038 60259 57313 5 338 5 333 10 340 8 009 9 032 57313 54253 9 346 9 010 7 335 9 002 9 027 54253 51332 11 322 9 001 4 359 8 347 8 021 51332 48708 10 304 7 349 4 016 7 339 8 012 48708 46363 7 272 8 331 6 040 6 355 5 025 46363 44247 4 222 8 304 7 018 6 014 5 050 44247 42320 4 280 6 315 7 003 7 015 8 030 42320 40550 6 315 3 342 8 343 11 020 11 022 40550 38916 6 344 2 324 11 332 17 018 12 038 38916 37397 7 017 3 023 9 323 16 359 13 037 37397 35983 9 020 9 034 5 028 9 357 12 026 35983 34638 10 010 14 021 14 044 8 026 12 029 34638 33300 8 357 12 021 13 035 9 023 13 036 33300 31948 10 065 10 046 9 039 12 006 10 017 31948 30582 14 059 10 048 10 029 12 005 7 359 30582 29181 11 065 11 028 12 024 15 012 9 000 29181 27726 12 083 13 013 20 356 20 007 10 345 27726 26208 12 059 11 008 23 358 22 004 13 334 26208 24628 14 040 19 356 24 015 25 006 20 339 24628 22988 20 030 25 019 27 025 31 009 25 349 22988 21288 25 053 30 050 33 029 34 015 30 354 21288 19521 26 050 33 054 36 030 39 029 31 353 19521 17677 27 039 35 046 38 033 34 026 29 352 17677 15795 28 027 34 042 37 037 35 007 28 360 15795 13978 29 023 34 046 36 049 33 005 30 009 13978 12324 30 029 32 046 31 042 32 015 31 005 12324 10855 25 035 32 042 30 040 32 021 29 358 10855 9551 25 038 33 045 30 040 31 025 27 013 9551 8386 30 044 33 045 31 038 28 029 28 026 8386 7345 34 055 33 044 32 034 27 031 29 029 7345 6418 36 055 32*042 33 028 26 032 30 026 6418 5597 36 052 30*039 32*022 26 031 30 023 5597 4867 36 049 28 036 31*021 25 029 31 021 4867 4210 34*042 28 035 30 020 24 027 30 020 4210 3626 32*038 27 034 29 019 23*022 30 018 3626 3137 30 036 26 034 28 019 21*017 28 016 3137 2759 28 035 24 033 27 018 20 014 24 013 2759 2499 25 033 22 032 25 018 18 012 20 011 2499 2341 22 032 20 032 22 018 16 011 17*010 2341 2250 17 032 16 031 17 017 13 009 11*008 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography