DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.9 - - 18.6 - - 16.0 - - 14.0 - - 7.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 39 - - 51 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 913 - - 979 - - 1085 - - 575 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2232 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 3108 - - 3174 - - 3280 - - 2770 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 169 - - 284 - - 449 - - 575 - - 1293 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 137 - - 152 - - 94 - - 22 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 11 - - 14 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 055 - - 073 - - 087 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12 - - 600 - - 559 - - 502 - - -172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2260 - - 2508 - - 2615 - - 2778 - - 2942 sfcLCL ODpotential -8991 - - 80 - - 117 - - -39 - - -13390 ODpotential blCL 11239 - - 3028 - - 3057 - - 3319 - - 16160 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.9 - - 18.6 - - 16.0 - - 14.0 - - 7.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.1 - - 15.8 - - 12.8 - - 10.0 - - 3.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.9 - - 18.3 - - 15.6 - - 14.0 - - 7.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.9 - - 15.2 - - 12.1 - - 9.9 - - 3.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 39 - - 51 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 913 - - 979 - - 1085 - - 575 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 103 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95657 26 298 28 297 37 303 41 318 37 320 95657 88445 37 284 26 280 41 281 35 294 42 303 88445 82837 62 316 55 318 55 312 58 312 64 313 82837 78177 75 307 70 304 73 306 77 310 78 314 78177 74182 68 295 70 295 73 296 76 302 76 310 74182 70644 63 295 69 295 71 293 75 299 73 302 70644 67418 67 297 72 296 71 292 75 298 72 296 67418 64432 74 297 75 296 72 295 76 299 70 296 64432 61652 80 297 79 298 76 296 78 297 72 295 61652 58947 81 294 81 296 77 294 76 295 72 293 58947 56116 80 294 78 294 75 294 76 297 71 295 56116 53172 78 297 74 294 75 293 78 295 73 294 53172 50370 79 299 72 293 74 290 80 292 73 292 50370 47869 78 300 71 293 72 288 82 290 71 289 47869 45650 80 296 71 291 72 288 78 284 68 287 45650 43650 79 295 69 294 73 288 73 284 69 285 43650 41831 82 296 76 290 70 292 73 286 70 282 41831 40170 84 295 75 286 72 295 79 285 75 281 40170 38642 83 295 74 290 88 285 84 283 83 278 38642 37227 83 297 81 295 91 278 90 281 86 275 37227 35905 89 298 88 289 89 274 96 281 87 278 35905 34637 94 297 90 284 86 272 98 280 92 281 34637 33354 95 293 85 281 80 267 97 280 101 283 33354 32028 91 290 71 286 75 266 95 277 109 283 32028 30659 84 290 66 284 72 269 90 275 107 281 30659 29234 75 292 65 284 70 271 83 273 98 277 29234 27744 72 294 64 288 68 271 72 271 90 273 27744 26189 71 295 65 287 65 272 60 268 83 275 26189 24570 71 294 68 287 61 275 55 264 76 280 24570 22893 73 293 67 286 57 277 54 263 68 281 22893 21162 74 293 66 284 56 278 51 268 62 275 21162 19376 72 294 65 284 57 279 48 275 58 273 19376 17525 68 295 63 284 57 279 47 281 55 279 17525 15638 63 296 60 285 56 278 47 286 48 286 15638 13813 59 294 54 288 53 275 47 288 41 287 13813 12151 53 290 46 291 48 272 48 285 36 289 12151 10672 45 288 35 292 42 269 46 278 37 296 10672 9354 39 288 31 288 34 269 39 269 39 297 9354 8176 34 280 31 275 29 267 35 265 39 293 8176 7123 26 271 32 264 27 258 31 263 35 285 7123 6188 17 265 28 268 27 245 26 255 29 270 6188 5370 17 260 21 266 24 242 19 218 20 248 5370 4666 18 255 20 239 13 248 15 145 17 166 4666 4051 15 251 9 228 6 103 20 114 18 130 4051 3512 5 247 10*074 16*081 18*094 16 107 3512 3062 2 042 12*057 16*075 17*091 15*100 3062 2715 3 358 12 056 15 074 16 087 14*097 2715 2476 4 263 12 054 14 072 14 085 13 094 2476 2331 3*175 11 053 13 072 13 084 11 094 2331 2247 1*113 9 053 11 071 10 083 8 091 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography