DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.0 - - 18.8 - - 28.8 - - 24.1 - - 19.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - -25 - - -8 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2248 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 78 - - 252 - - 3003 - - 2260 - - 174 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 262 - - 298 - - 322 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -841 - - -755 - - -988 - - -263 - - -171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3089 - - 3003 - - 3237 - - 2511 - - 2419 sfcLCL ODpotential -6967 - - -5534 - - -2051 - - -2053 - - -3849 ODpotential blCL 9215 - - 7782 - - 4300 - - 4301 - - 6097 blCL maxRH 75 - - 83 - - 81 - - 89 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.0 - - 18.8 - - 28.8 - - 24.1 - - 19.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.7 - - 13.8 - - 22.5 - - 21.1 - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.3 - - 21.5 - - 29.4 - - 26.5 - - 23.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.9 - - 13.6 - - 21.7 - - 20.9 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - -25 - - -8 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 32 - - 25 - - 55 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97442 30 085 32 076 30 099 14 090 30 074 97442 90189 27 074 23 080 26 095 18 078 25 067 90189 84497 21 083 16 088 17 078 17 075 21 074 84497 79727 17 084 14 090 12 071 14 083 16 080 79727 75580 11 067 13 073 9 087 11 074 12 083 75580 71880 6 049 8 053 6 075 10 040 11 062 71880 68510 8 015 5 060 3 038 5 350 8 023 68510 65403 7 344 4 025 4 016 6 338 9 003 65403 62507 3 268 7 300 8 318 10 304 8 344 62507 59688 8 293 9 278 12 295 8 287 10 329 59688 56739 12 297 9 275 16 301 14 310 16 310 56739 53676 22 299 8 286 19 279 22 301 20 299 53676 50742 24 292 14 299 17 286 26 290 20 282 50742 48098 18 294 24 299 23 291 27 282 22 283 48098 45741 25 298 24 292 26 287 27 275 27 270 45741 43615 28 288 24 289 25 285 22 276 21 295 43615 41680 26 283 25 290 25 292 26 298 25 294 41680 39906 29 292 28 291 30 287 28 290 30 294 39906 38265 34 290 27 288 31 277 27 289 36 289 38265 36740 35 288 29 303 30 295 31 295 40 284 36740 35317 38 296 41 303 37 302 38 303 39 286 35317 33960 44 300 46 300 45 301 44 293 42 286 33960 32618 47 301 51 302 50 298 43 285 47 287 32618 31270 48 302 51 300 51 298 51 286 51 289 31270 29917 46 303 45 303 50 299 58 283 53 288 29917 28529 42 311 44 312 49 301 59 284 55 288 28529 27085 45 323 48 319 52 302 57 287 57 286 27085 25583 49 328 53 321 54 305 56 289 57 286 25583 24021 51 330 53 319 54 307 58 285 54 285 24021 22399 50 329 50 316 52 304 60 280 51 282 22399 20721 47 325 47 314 47 303 57 277 50 281 20721 18984 43 317 47 313 44 301 53 277 47 283 18984 17182 43 309 47 312 45 302 48 278 42 285 17182 15351 43 304 48 314 46 306 43 281 39 285 15351 13591 42 301 49 316 44 309 39 286 39 281 13591 11993 39 299 46 313 41 310 35 291 38 278 11993 10573 36 299 40 309 38 309 34 295 33 278 10573 9307 35 301 39 304 35 305 35 298 26 282 9307 8176 34 305 39 295 33 301 35 299 23 293 8176 7167 35 307 36 289 32 302 33 299 23 301 7167 6268 34 308 30 294 32 307 27 299 24 298 6268 5472 33 307 27 301 31 310 23 306 20 284 5472 4768 32 309 28 306 29 310 19 309 14 264 4768 4134 33 312 29 307 27 310 16 308 9 258 4134 3571 34 308 30 304 24 308 12 309 4 258 3571 3100 32 301 28 295 21 305 10 316 1 087 3100 2737 29 296 26 287 19 302 9 326 4 080 2737 2487 23 284 19 270 17 300 7 329 4 082 2487 2335 18*280 17 266 15*299 5 328 3 097 2335 2248 10*273 10*262 11*298 2*322 2*105 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography