DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.2 - - 43.3 - - 49.6 - - 41.0 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - -10 - - 6 - - -17 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 421 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2249 - - 2616 - - 2250 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 116 - - 612 - - 3839 - - 171 - - 55 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 62 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 293 - - 304 - - 272 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -2483 - - -3217 - - -1788 - - -325 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 4733 - - 5833 - - 4039 - - 2574 sfcLCL ODpotential -10138 - - -8565 - - -5988 - - -6112 - - -5829 ODpotential blCL 12387 - - 10814 - - 8604 - - 8362 - - 8078 blCL maxRH 79 - - 87 - - 89 - - 85 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.2 - - 43.3 - - 49.6 - - 41.0 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 30.5 - - 31.9 - - 31.3 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.0 - - 43.7 - - 49.6 - - 44.7 - - 37.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.8 - - 29.5 - - 31.3 - - 31.0 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - -10 - - 6 - - -17 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 421 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 46 - - 55 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95330 36 008 35 015 24 360 31 005 32 010 95330 88722 30 003 26 006 23 010 28 355 26 357 88722 83529 25 000 22 000 22 356 24 347 21 347 83529 79117 20 357 17 349 17 336 22 349 19 344 79117 75232 14 360 17 339 15 329 20 339 16 338 75232 71740 11 345 14 338 11 332 15 327 12 325 71740 68540 6 336 8 332 5 325 16 307 12 331 68540 65572 4 304 4 306 4 326 16 295 14 322 65572 62796 4 290 7 279 11 306 12 293 12 288 62796 60091 7 292 10 284 14 290 13 289 15 281 60091 57266 10 287 12 293 16 280 16 282 20 288 57266 54334 11 277 12 278 15 265 18 269 22 276 54334 51525 12 280 13 264 14 277 21 272 21 272 51525 48988 16 270 19 258 20 278 25 261 22 271 48988 46718 17 251 19 247 20 264 27 246 22 268 46718 44661 18 244 15 237 23 254 26 240 21 251 44661 42774 20 254 14 247 29 244 25 239 24 263 42774 41033 23 242 18 248 33 234 29 244 26 271 41033 39424 23 223 25 238 33 233 36 245 33 271 39424 37930 15 227 27 224 39 231 39 242 38 271 37930 36539 19 252 25 223 45 223 43 234 38 272 36539 35208 17 250 24 232 49 220 49 226 37 270 35208 33870 13 267 29 238 53 219 53 218 34 268 33870 32496 16 272 29 236 51 218 56 211 31 268 32496 31087 18 272 27 235 48 217 57 208 29 270 31087 29629 21 274 27 236 48 219 56 210 28 277 29629 28111 18 271 25 235 47 220 56 212 29 292 28111 26537 20 248 23 231 44 218 54 213 35 306 26537 24905 23 250 24 230 40 213 51 217 41 312 24905 23219 25 240 32 222 37 211 51 221 41 317 23219 21478 26 229 29 218 34 214 44 221 40 323 21478 19677 27 228 25 235 32 226 31 225 38 322 19677 17809 25 237 30 240 37 237 30 238 35 311 17809 15910 28 242 37 237 36 241 26 256 33 296 15910 14082 28 241 35 233 29 246 22 266 28 276 14082 12418 27 244 26 218 27 251 21 279 24 272 12418 10936 20 255 19 223 24 266 24 288 23 284 10936 9614 19 270 15 263 21 271 29 292 27 292 9614 8435 20 285 15 275 21 274 30 294 32 290 8435 7383 21 299 16 296 21 291 30 294 33 288 7383 6447 22 312 17 314 21 307 28 296 30 291 6447 5617 25 322 23 320 23 313 27 298 27 294 5617 4880 27 327 31 317 25 310 26 298 22 291 4880 4218 28 326 35 314 24 308 24 298 18 286 4218 3630 27 322 34 311 22 306 21 299 14 286 3630 3137 27 318 31 307 20 305 19 298 12 281 3137 2758 24 310 26 302 18*305 16 297 11 267 2758 2497 15 295 18 295 15*304 12 292 11 252 2497 2339 7*257 15 294 13 304 10*286 9*233 2339 2249 4*228 9*293 10 305 6*272 5*221 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography