DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 67.0 - - 74.5 - - 74.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 169 - - 139 - - 20 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 371 - - 1100 - - 3032 - - 3502 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2234 - - 2505 - - 3811 - - 2235 - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top 2566 - - 3295 - - 5227 - - 5697 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 409 - - 477 - - 4886 - - 4730 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 77 - - 235 - - 311 - - 176 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 152 - - 152 - - 137 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 315 - - -977 - - -1528 - - -1375 - - -1498 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2251 - - 4272 - - 6755 - - 7072 - - 3749 sfcLCL ODpotential -136 - - -3599 - - -3268 - - -2860 - - -5258 ODpotential blCL 2702 - - 6894 - - 8495 - - 8557 - - 7509 blCL maxRH 100 - - 84 - - 84 - - 77 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 240 - - 530 - - 710 - - 440 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 67.0 - - 74.5 - - 74.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.2 - - 55.6 - - 52.3 - - 50.8 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.7 - - 65.7 - - 73.4 - - 74.1 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 55.4 - - 51.9 - - 50.5 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 169 - - 139 - - 20 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 371 - - 1100 - - 3032 - - 3502 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 35 - - 37 - - 8 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98271 5 358 2 065 8 297 14 314 5 317 98271 90963 4 089 5 047 4 059 4 343 3 357 90963 85332 6 088 5 075 6 038 7 066 9 096 85332 80658 7 090 4 109 5 095 7 044 11 090 80658 76618 3 094 4 162 7 144 1 046 4 072 76618 73039 2 225 1 228 5 135 5 154 4 143 73039 69787 4 237 6 180 7 171 8 183 6 168 69787 66778 10 228 10 191 10 188 9 201 8 194 66778 63976 15 225 11 206 13 192 10 208 10 212 63976 61254 18 217 14 212 15 207 13 213 12 197 61254 58406 18 213 16 210 18 212 17 214 14 197 58406 55441 18 217 18 207 20 205 22 216 16 204 55441 52603 19 214 19 213 22 204 23 215 21 209 52603 50050 19 210 21 215 20 208 22 210 23 208 50050 47766 16 201 20 212 18 224 19 206 21 200 47766 45702 11 195 14 201 20 228 16 224 16 202 45702 43811 7 214 10 217 18 225 18 237 18 219 43811 42067 4 222 5 206 11 232 17 240 19 229 42067 40446 2 248 2 232 9 267 13 248 20 243 40446 38932 1 329 4 032 10 281 10 285 16 260 38932 37516 4 339 14 007 5 323 15 300 16 281 37516 36169 7 343 17 354 12 011 13 314 15 302 36169 34825 7 336 12 352 17 353 19 336 19 319 34825 33448 7 338 7 355 17 342 22 331 19 328 33448 32032 9 346 5 354 17 341 19 319 18 326 32032 30561 11 340 5 334 13 344 19 313 21 321 30561 29025 9 337 5 321 9 331 19 314 23 316 29025 27424 5 338 4 308 10 314 18 309 24 313 27424 25755 2 039 3 265 11 308 17 305 21 317 25755 24020 4 052 3 250 11 294 18 296 17 314 24020 22225 6 025 2 307 7 277 16 288 16 303 22225 20365 4 035 5 328 4 294 13 303 12 311 20365 18433 1 012 7 309 6 298 11 323 10 322 18433 16468 1 216 5 301 8 284 11 331 12 319 16468 14575 4 170 5 290 8 297 8 320 15 315 14575 12853 5 197 3 273 8 298 7 293 16 305 12853 11320 7 210 2 231 8 279 8 281 12 295 11320 9952 9 198 3 222 9 268 8 277 7 305 9952 8727 10 194 4 212 8 262 6 265 5 280 8727 7632 12 183 6 197 5 243 4 231 4 239 7632 6655 12 172 7 180 4 201 4 183 6 207 6655 5789 13 164 9 168 6*172 5*155 7 177 5789 5018 14 158 11 165 8*156 6*147 7 156 5018 4324 14 162 13 165 8 154 6 142 7 147 4324 3707 13 177 12*162 8 152 5 138 7 138 3707 3189 12 172 9*154 8 151 5 134 6 130 3189 2790 12*138 9 153 8 149 5 132 6 121 2790 2515 10*127 8 152 8 148 5 130 6 113 2515 2347 9 125 8 151 7 148 5 129 5 101 2347 2251 7 123 7 150 7 148 4 129 4*096 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography