DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 3.6 - - 1.3 - - 3.7 - - 7.5 - - 2.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 2 - - 8 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 52 - - 52 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top 2247 - - 2247 - - 2247 - - 2247 - - 2247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1950 - - 879 - - 838 - - 861 - - 126 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 025 - - 294 - - 228 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -739 - - -777 - - -978 - - -531 - - -616 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2986 - - 3025 - - 3225 - - 2778 - - 2863 sfcLCL ODpotential -14288 - - -14575 - - -13530 - - -12694 - - -13919 ODpotential blCL 16535 - - 16822 - - 15777 - - 14941 - - 16166 blCL maxRH 91 - - 93 - - 100 - - 98 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 3.6 - - 1.3 - - 3.7 - - 7.5 - - 2.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -0.8 - - -3.1 - - -1.6 - - 4.1 - - -0.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 5.2 - - 1.5 - - 3.7 - - 8.5 - - 7.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -0.3 - - -3.4 - - -1.7 - - 4.2 - - 4.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 2 - - 8 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 52 - - 52 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 71 - - 98 - - 92 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97064 43 023 51 008 51 011 51 016 56 010 97064 89866 54 021 51 007 44 004 42 012 52 009 89866 84256 50 017 48 009 44 001 44 003 48 006 84256 79569 39 010 39 005 40 358 42 356 42 001 79569 75466 37 003 33 354 38 353 40 352 41 358 75466 71789 42 353 34 354 39 351 42 353 48 360 71789 68446 46 347 41 355 45 351 51 354 53 360 68446 65366 50 349 47 351 50 351 58 347 57 358 65366 62493 55 346 49 344 54 348 58 344 62 352 62493 59697 54 340 49 341 56 343 58 344 64 347 59697 56777 52 335 54 343 55 341 60 342 66 348 56777 53753 53 340 57 343 57 344 63 344 71 348 53753 50880 60 340 60 342 63 344 70 346 75 348 50880 48315 64 343 65 341 69 343 76 345 76 348 48315 46033 71 342 72 342 74 344 77 345 76 348 46033 43971 79 340 77 341 80 343 78 345 78 347 43971 42086 86 335 83 337 81 341 77 343 79 348 42086 40354 87 332 82 335 79 339 76 344 84 352 40354 38758 84 334 80 336 77 340 76 350 89 354 38758 37278 83 336 83 339 79 345 83 356 91 355 37278 35904 87 340 88 340 85 348 91 356 94 355 35904 34603 92 342 92 341 89 347 95 354 96 356 34603 33307 96 343 96 341 92 346 98 352 96 357 33307 31986 100 343 96 339 93 344 98 349 94 357 31986 30634 101 340 90 338 87 343 92 353 90 357 30634 29234 97 340 86 341 84 348 92 359 87 356 29234 27768 99 345 84 341 82 347 93 002 85 355 27768 26235 103 347 81 339 73 348 91 004 84 355 26235 24634 100 347 77 337 66 353 87 005 83 357 24634 22969 89 345 74 338 64 354 81 007 81 359 22969 21243 68 346 73 341 61 354 74 005 75 360 21243 19447 54 354 67 344 58 353 69 358 68 357 19447 17575 52 359 57 342 53 351 69 355 64 353 17575 15663 52 358 49 341 48 347 61 355 63 353 15663 13819 46 354 42 341 44 346 53 352 57 354 13819 12143 39 351 36 342 40 344 49 348 51 349 12143 10654 35 349 32 344 36 341 44 346 45 347 10654 9338 33 348 31 345 32 341 41 347 39 344 9338 8174 33 348 27 343 29 342 38 350 36 339 8174 7144 32 350 24 339 26 338 36 350 34 337 7144 6234 29 354 22 342 25 331 34 348 29 343 6234 5433 26 357 23 345 23 328 30 346 24 352 5433 4723 23 355 24 344 22 324 22 338 22 352 4723 4093 19 340 23 343 18 325 18 320 18 336 4093 3539 17 338 18 350 15 330 15 311 14 321 3539 3077 16 343 12 000 11 331 12 298 13 310 3077 2722 14 345 8 018 5 316 8 276 13 292 2722 2478 12 345 6 026 1 299 6 253 11 262 2478 2331 10 343 5*025 1*300 4 241 7*249 2331 2247 5*339 3*025 1*294 2*228 5*245 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography