DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 1.2 - - 12.7 - - 11.5 - - 5.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - -24 - - -26 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 52 - - 53 - - 53 - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2247 - - 2248 - - 2248 - - 2247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 50 - - 60 - - 64 - - 51 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 283 - - 284 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1057 - - -972 - - -1182 - - -1191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3304 - - 3220 - - 3430 - - 3439 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10227 - - -6264 - - -5906 - - -6449 ODpotential blCL - - - 12474 - - 8512 - - 8154 - - 8696 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 81 - - 91 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 1.2 - - 12.7 - - 11.5 - - 5.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -4.9 - - 6.7 - - 4.7 - - -1.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 6.4 - - 17.5 - - 16.7 - - 10.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.2 - - 9.3 - - 8.3 - - 2.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - -24 - - -26 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 52 - - 53 - - 53 - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 26 - - 65 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94653 57 268 64 272 61 275 28 277 94653 87967 38 271 44 270 44 282 46 297 87967 82724 39 274 47 276 46 288 42 296 82724 78301 40 272 49 278 45 299 37 291 78301 74411 37 284 40 281 40 309 33 290 74411 70907 32 277 33 288 34 313 35 296 70907 67676 27 258 33 283 33 305 39 299 67676 64663 27 265 35 275 32 283 40 297 64663 61845 30 268 32 274 25 279 33 289 61845 59087 30 270 31 274 39 281 28 286 59087 56172 34 268 38 269 39 271 31 283 56172 53121 39 260 41 263 35 275 37 281 53121 50207 38 248 35 259 36 277 38 278 50207 47599 33 237 27 264 40 273 38 278 47599 45277 27 246 31 278 39 272 37 283 45277 43182 27 271 38 277 36 278 34 291 43182 41273 31 282 41 269 33 287 36 301 41273 39519 35 284 36 267 35 293 41 303 39519 37896 37 274 27 277 39 294 43 303 37896 36388 28 258 30 296 42 294 42 306 36388 34983 19 268 39 297 45 295 43 310 34983 33643 28 288 47 287 46 295 44 312 33643 32304 37 292 50 278 47 297 46 313 32304 30934 42 293 45 273 45 296 49 314 30934 29538 40 284 30 276 40 286 50 314 29538 28105 34 278 28 291 33 270 50 313 28105 26628 29 280 32 287 26 260 49 311 26628 25110 26 272 29 273 23 265 48 309 25110 23550 31 264 25 258 28 272 42 298 23550 21947 35 260 32 258 37 259 32 286 21947 20305 43 249 41 247 40 241 27 287 20305 18617 42 242 42 239 35 232 29 300 18617 16873 38 237 34 242 30 240 39 303 16873 15104 34 233 26 252 26 268 34 296 15104 13400 31 230 24 252 25 287 30 298 13400 11844 27 231 23 253 28 292 30 301 11844 10455 24 230 22 254 28 292 32 303 10455 9214 20 234 21 255 29 291 31 305 9214 8104 17 244 22 261 31 292 31 305 8104 7111 15 259 24 270 32 295 31 306 7111 6226 15 275 24 279 33 300 30 307 6226 5442 18 290 24 290 33 307 31 308 5442 4744 20 299 26 302 33 313 32 310 4744 4116 23 305 28 310 33 314 33 311 4116 3558 28 308 30 311 31 311 32 311 3558 3090 32 307 30 307 28 306 30 309 3090 2730 30 302 27 302 23 302 27 304 2730 2482 21 297 21 294 18 296 22 294 2482 2332 9 290 17*292 15*293 18 290 2332 2247 3*229 7*283 8*284 9*281 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography