DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 12.7 - - 15.7 - - 13.0 - - 10.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 30 - - 13 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 538 - - 892 - - 593 - - 215 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2733 - - 3087 - - 2788 - - 2410 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 256 - - 297 - - 812 - - 1182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 125 - - 82 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 19 - - 19 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 107 - - 096 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 132 - - 555 - - 404 - - -26 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2601 - - 2532 - - 2385 - - 2436 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6895 - - 45 - - -133 - - -512 ODpotential blCL - - - 9628 - - 3042 - - 2921 - - 2922 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 99 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 12.7 - - 15.7 - - 13.0 - - 10.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.3 - - 12.6 - - 10.6 - - 7.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 12.5 - - 15.4 - - 13.0 - - 10.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.1 - - 12.2 - - 10.4 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 30 - - 13 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 538 - - 892 - - 593 - - 215 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 96 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97530 32 085 23 099 24 080 20 083 97530 90240 27 090 24 101 22 077 23 074 90240 84530 23 093 23 098 18 090 21 077 84530 79745 20 100 16 097 17 098 18 081 79745 75591 15 092 13 097 13 100 13 081 75591 71893 10 090 9 083 9 093 11 085 71893 68518 6 098 7 081 4 086 9 074 68518 65393 5 138 4 090 4 065 7 072 65393 62481 4 131 4 160 5 009 5 069 62481 59654 3 325 3 151 5 328 3 053 59654 56698 6 302 2 279 7 296 3 003 56698 53622 7 296 5 293 7 262 4 280 53622 50687 8 286 8 276 7 248 6 234 50687 48057 8 286 11 266 7 263 5 211 48057 45708 9 289 12 251 9 253 6 222 45708 43586 9 294 8 245 12 225 11 223 43586 41654 15 300 10 284 9 227 15 219 41654 39877 21 273 21 267 13 255 16 226 39877 38231 23 264 27 256 24 259 24 236 38231 36708 29 266 28 257 29 252 29 238 36708 35296 36 267 35 262 39 249 36 246 35296 33963 43 253 43 253 54 247 46 244 33963 32651 43 252 51 246 60 237 46 230 32651 31328 51 264 51 248 56 245 64 241 31328 29991 70 270 57 254 72 253 80 236 29991 28618 77 266 63 261 82 249 64 231 28618 27182 75 268 71 264 73 252 76 234 27182 25681 73 271 74 264 67 251 71 234 25681 24117 71 271 65 267 65 247 58 231 24117 22493 67 269 57 259 62 243 56 231 22493 20809 58 265 50 250 57 245 53 232 20809 19058 50 263 42 244 51 250 52 230 19058 17234 40 263 32 245 45 250 52 221 17234 15375 31 256 26 242 35 248 47 212 15375 13588 22 237 23 238 24 233 29 207 13588 11968 20 217 22 229 17 208 20 193 11968 10531 26 210 22 211 16 191 22 177 10531 9250 28 198 24 193 18 183 23 171 9250 8108 29 187 23 180 20 174 23 153 8108 7090 28 170 25 172 23 170 25 141 7090 6185 24 155 28 166 25 166 29 145 6185 5386 21 155 31 158 30 156 38 145 5386 4685 21 150 31 145 35 139 44 134 4685 4065 23 135 31 130 33 124 41 117 4065 3520 28 121 28*116 29 113 36 107 3520 3067 25*112 23*110 24*101 30 097 3067 2718 20*105 20 107 22*098 27 094 2718 2478 18 104 19 105 20 096 24*092 2478 2331 16 103 17 104 18 095 21*090 2331 2247 12 102 13 104 14 093 16 089 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography