DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -7.9 - - 1.7 - - 11.1 - - 11.6 - - 2.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 12 - - -4 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 51 - - 53 - - 53 - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit 2229 - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top 2246 - - 2246 - - 2248 - - 2248 - - 2247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 222 - - 306 - - 478 - - 307 - - 96 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 35 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 246 - - 292 - - 294 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -676 - - -1005 - - -807 - - -313 - - -653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2922 - - 3251 - - 3055 - - 2561 - - 2900 sfcLCL ODpotential -17133 - - -13940 - - -10456 - - -9361 - - -14075 ODpotential blCL 19379 - - 16186 - - 12704 - - 11609 - - 16322 blCL maxRH 79 - - 77 - - 87 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -7.9 - - 1.7 - - 11.1 - - 11.6 - - 2.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -12.1 - - -4.0 - - 6.1 - - 8.8 - - -1.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -6.2 - - 1.6 - - 11.7 - - 13.9 - - 7.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -10.6 - - -4.2 - - 5.8 - - 10.8 - - 5.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 12 - - -4 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 51 - - 53 - - 53 - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 10 - - 46 - - 102 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98254 67 067 67 067 62 065 64 064 73 060 98254 90994 53 061 49 067 43 062 48 052 58 053 90994 85294 44 053 36 066 28 061 35 048 44 047 85294 80472 44 045 34 049 24 052 26 044 31 032 80472 76255 38 039 26 025 22 031 26 027 29 024 76255 72479 32 042 21 013 23 008 25 017 32 007 72479 69026 30 034 20 014 26 009 24 017 26 352 69026 65827 27 024 21 012 30 007 25 015 24 353 65827 62853 26 015 25 004 30 010 29 003 30 003 62853 59991 30 007 28 012 31 000 31 354 34 356 59991 57023 36 002 33 004 32 359 37 347 34 356 57023 53961 39 354 36 000 37 000 38 349 44 355 53961 51074 39 354 43 360 45 353 42 357 51 355 51074 48514 43 358 48 356 53 351 54 000 59 355 48514 46249 49 358 52 354 60 352 67 356 67 353 46249 44214 54 356 58 354 66 352 72 351 74 351 44214 42360 59 354 65 354 70 353 77 347 79 348 42360 40656 63 352 71 354 75 353 76 347 86 350 40656 39082 65 353 77 355 76 352 77 350 107 346 39082 37623 68 356 82 356 81 356 84 353 106 347 37623 36264 73 359 87 357 86 356 97 356 109 355 36264 34964 82 360 93 357 88 353 113 357 126 001 34964 33649 90 358 98 358 85 351 129 358 130 358 33649 32287 92 356 100 357 82 352 137 357 126 354 32287 30884 89 357 100 354 82 351 125 355 123 353 30884 29426 89 358 100 353 82 351 92 351 117 354 29426 27901 82 357 96 354 82 351 80 348 113 354 27901 26305 65 348 87 353 82 351 74 346 114 354 26305 24638 50 335 81 353 78 351 71 347 103 353 24638 22920 34 318 68 351 73 350 66 349 76 346 22920 21156 31 313 53 343 69 350 59 349 65 341 21156 19336 32 319 41 329 57 347 52 348 59 338 19336 17454 32 324 34 319 42 339 50 342 53 335 17454 15553 30 325 29 326 34 331 47 337 48 336 15553 13738 28 324 29 331 31 329 43 334 43 338 13738 12095 26 322 29 335 29 330 40 327 39 337 12095 10633 24 318 27 336 28 334 36 322 37 338 10633 9330 21 315 25 332 27 340 35 321 37 341 9330 8169 20 310 22 323 24 342 34 320 37 343 8169 7138 20 302 19 318 22 340 31 322 36 343 7138 6226 18 298 18 316 22 333 29 325 35 342 6226 5424 17 295 17 314 22 324 29 330 33 340 5424 4720 16 291 15 309 21 317 29 336 29 337 4720 4093 16 285 14 306 20 320 26 339 27 333 4093 3539 16 279 15 307 20 330 22 325 25 331 3539 3076 14 273 17 301 21 326 21 319 22 337 3076 2721 14 256 15 289 17 317 19 316 17 339 2721 2479 14 225 9 266 10 303 12 310 12 330 2479 2331 11*212 6 248 8*300 10*308 9 326 2331 2247 6*200 5*246 4*292 4*294 5*308 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography