DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.2 - - 35.3 - - 43.3 - - 38.0 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 47 - - 31 - - -10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 319 - - 623 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2514 - - 2818 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 120 - - 226 - - 651 - - 197 - - 61 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 101 - - 110 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 165 - - 169 - - 181 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -446 - - -1640 - - -2931 - - -2166 - - -713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2694 - - 4154 - - 5749 - - 4416 - - 2962 sfcLCL ODpotential -10735 - - -9198 - - -8928 - - -8014 - - -7853 ODpotential blCL 12983 - - 11712 - - 11746 - - 10263 - - 10102 blCL maxRH 86 - - 75 - - 65 - - 84 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.2 - - 35.3 - - 43.3 - - 38.0 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.5 - - 25.2 - - 26.3 - - 26.9 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.0 - - 35.0 - - 43.0 - - 41.5 - - 35.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.5 - - 25.0 - - 26.0 - - 26.5 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 47 - - 31 - - -10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 319 - - 623 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 2 - - 0 - - 35 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95900 19 067 26 060 22 065 17 060 24 055 95900 89072 15 051 19 069 17 067 15 057 18 068 89072 83687 13 045 9 078 7 041 13 044 15 071 83687 79148 13 035 5 055 1 324 11 015 15 051 79148 75207 9 018 6 359 1 311 8 342 12 032 75207 71705 8 353 11 315 6 000 7 304 9 360 71705 68507 11 349 13 314 11 334 9 299 10 319 68507 65539 13 337 16 316 16 323 14 322 13 301 65539 62763 14 335 15 313 16 302 19 306 17 301 62763 60056 17 336 14 323 18 297 20 308 20 299 60056 57215 18 311 19 297 23 295 26 301 22 309 57215 54254 19 304 20 293 33 297 32 298 30 299 54254 51429 26 305 25 295 39 285 33 295 31 297 51429 48892 29 297 27 294 37 286 38 297 33 300 48892 46623 32 298 28 300 35 286 38 296 36 300 46623 44571 36 295 32 298 32 286 38 302 42 297 44571 42703 39 291 35 298 33 291 45 299 43 291 42703 40991 37 290 40 295 37 289 49 293 39 294 40991 39417 33 293 44 286 40 284 49 294 42 310 39417 37970 32 296 44 276 40 287 55 297 52 319 37970 36629 30 294 43 271 47 289 59 296 73 320 36629 35345 30 288 33 273 61 290 62 295 99 317 35345 34046 28 281 28 285 67 288 63 295 114 312 34046 32699 22 272 30 289 55 282 57 295 117 310 32699 31307 19 260 29 284 40 295 40 295 120 307 31307 29859 16 255 27 279 44 303 29 287 120 308 29859 28341 17 252 21 279 50 296 30 278 120 315 28341 26757 18 253 18 282 37 290 30 278 93 321 26757 25117 19 264 21 284 37 294 29 283 67 322 25117 23424 20 271 28 282 44 290 31 285 56 320 23424 21675 21 270 31 282 37 296 33 287 47 315 21675 19860 21 268 27 285 28 290 35 284 38 305 19860 17972 18 263 21 291 26 282 34 277 35 302 17972 16049 12 243 15 280 26 279 30 267 37 302 16049 14192 6 218 14 265 23 282 25 274 38 296 14192 12502 7 253 14 268 21 282 29 280 38 287 12502 11000 7 276 17 273 20 283 27 286 33 282 11000 9665 3 283 15 273 21 284 25 299 28 291 9665 8474 1 190 13 279 22 285 27 302 27 308 8474 7412 4 196 9 282 19 286 25 296 29 309 7412 6466 7 193 6 274 16 281 23 297 25 305 6466 5629 9 170 5 255 14 278 21 291 17 309 5629 4886 10 155 6 228 10 275 19 279 12 281 4886 4219 10 143 8 199 7 263 17 275 13 271 4219 3627 10 132 10 176 7 241 10 277 11 258 3627 3133 9 132 9 166 6*215 6 249 10 221 3133 2755 10 149 7*174 5*172 7 205 13 206 2755 2496 14 152 5*166 5 169 7 196 14 203 2496 2338 10 151 4 164 4 168 6 186 11*202 2338 2249 3*117 4 164 4 167 5*181 5*197 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography