DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1010z - - 1336z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.8 - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 55.1 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 130 - - 134 - - -8 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 85 - - 2304 - - 2769 - - 86 - - 86 BL Depth Hcrit 2264 - - 3235 - - 3586 - - 2265 - - 2265 Hcrit BL Top 2280 - - 4499 - - 4964 - - 2281 - - 2281 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 124 - - 1263 - - 1586 - - 737 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 274 - - 295 - - 18 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 13 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 286 - - 246 - - 184 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -6 - - -7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1313 - - -1803 - - -1844 - - -4233 - - -1848 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3593 - - 6302 - - 6808 - - 6515 - - 4129 sfcLCL ODpotential -6078 - - -5522 - - -4379 - - -6961 - - -5418 ODpotential blCL 8358 - - 10021 - - 9343 - - 9242 - - 7699 blCL maxRH 79 - - 76 - - 94 - - 97 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.8 - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 55.1 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 31.4 - - 33.7 - - 34.5 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.3 - - 50.0 - - 54.6 - - 55.3 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 31.3 - - 33.7 - - 34.2 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 130 - - 134 - - -8 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 85 - - 2304 - - 2769 - - 86 - - 86 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 3 - - 77 - - 88 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97340 17 320 25 334 24 331 17 316 23 307 97340 90583 15 301 22 315 23 322 18 322 17 308 90583 85217 8 311 14 287 19 313 16 318 14 309 85217 80673 15 310 15 291 22 295 17 314 12 306 80673 76704 17 274 13 296 15 296 14 300 12 294 76704 73161 11 278 18 273 17 276 18 296 16 308 73161 69933 18 300 17 279 19 278 22 274 19 290 69933 66948 21 287 14 281 18 280 18 284 15 276 66948 64152 26 276 27 269 27 276 26 299 23 303 64152 61441 28 283 34 274 35 279 33 289 36 293 61441 58633 31 296 32 272 36 275 38 277 34 280 58633 55712 39 284 29 270 34 272 37 271 39 274 55712 52909 41 277 35 288 41 279 38 279 41 279 52909 50385 47 287 49 289 47 283 47 285 49 292 50385 48137 62 292 60 288 55 289 60 286 63 291 48137 46125 75 291 69 288 66 291 70 286 77 285 46125 44313 83 289 77 287 77 287 77 285 85 279 44313 42662 85 288 84 286 82 283 84 284 88 277 42662 41140 87 288 87 285 82 282 89 282 91 277 41140 39724 88 289 87 287 80 284 93 283 92 278 39724 38396 89 290 87 291 79 287 96 283 91 279 38396 37115 91 291 88 296 82 290 98 284 90 279 37115 35811 93 293 93 300 86 293 97 285 88 280 35811 34456 94 294 99 302 89 295 95 285 85 280 34456 33049 95 295 102 301 89 295 91 285 82 280 33049 31575 94 296 102 301 87 295 86 284 79 281 31575 30020 93 296 98 300 84 293 82 283 76 281 30020 28384 90 296 94 299 79 291 80 282 74 282 28384 26666 87 296 90 298 74 287 79 281 71 282 26666 24866 82 296 85 297 71 284 78 280 69 282 24866 22988 78 295 79 297 69 282 74 279 68 282 22988 21030 74 293 71 297 67 281 70 279 67 282 21030 18986 70 291 65 295 64 281 67 279 65 283 18986 16904 65 289 61 293 60 281 64 280 63 283 16904 14901 59 289 56 293 56 281 61 281 59 282 14901 13082 53 289 51 292 52 281 58 282 54 281 13082 11471 48 289 46 291 48 283 55 281 50 282 11471 10045 44 290 39 290 43 284 51 278 48 286 10045 8779 41 290 34 287 37 284 46 271 47 287 8779 7656 38 290 30 282 30 281 39 259 46 287 7656 6662 36 294 29 281 26 271 34 252 44 286 6662 5786 34 302 27 284 22 261 31 246 40 283 5786 5012 34 309 20*290 20*258 28 236 38 281 5012 4319 34 311 18*290 14*248 24 227 37 279 4319 3707 32 311 16 287 13 246 21 218 36 277 3707 3196 27 304 15 285 13 246 17 211 33 272 3196 2804 24 298 14 284 12 245 14 202 30 266 2804 2535 18 282 13 283 12 245 11 195 23 251 2535 2373 16 278 12 283 11 245 9 189 20 248 2373 2281 6*264 10 282 10 245 5*184 9*239 2281 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography