DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 61.7 - - 63.6 - - 62.8 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 96 - - 42 - - -12 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 788 - - 2904 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2235 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 2250 - - 2983 - - 5099 - - 2251 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 100 - - 2718 - - 3376 - - 7564 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 174 - - 205 - - 13 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 21 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 277 - - 298 - - 284 - - 297 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -837 - - -3179 - - -1859 - - -4470 - - -1958 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3087 - - 6163 - - 6958 - - 6722 - - 4208 sfcLCL ODpotential -9367 - - -5593 - - -3562 - - -5873 - - -4723 ODpotential blCL 11617 - - 8576 - - 8661 - - 8124 - - 6973 blCL maxRH 79 - - 83 - - 100 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 61.7 - - 63.6 - - 62.8 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.6 - - 42.5 - - 40.8 - - 41.1 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 - - 60.9 - - 63.2 - - 63.8 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 42.3 - - 40.6 - - 40.9 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 96 - - 42 - - -12 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 788 - - 2904 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 32 - - 100 - - 78 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97710 11 328 21 324 18 320 18 332 25 329 97710 90571 13 331 13 312 20 306 22 336 22 357 90571 84979 17 331 9 330 16 323 23 331 21 358 84979 80293 17 313 17 308 16 317 18 348 12 001 80293 76227 19 301 14 299 19 332 19 338 9 342 76227 72624 14 310 18 307 23 307 21 319 17 301 72624 69368 19 333 16 318 20 293 20 287 20 293 69368 66364 23 330 20 317 21 291 21 273 9 301 66364 63555 34 323 22 300 13 290 17 306 20 290 63555 60827 44 300 29 314 26 301 26 288 30 271 60827 58007 41 300 33 302 22 316 18 273 26 265 58007 55083 38 307 30 307 25 327 10 358 23 299 55083 52258 45 300 44 294 53 278 38 282 31 286 52258 49695 47 297 45 280 57 263 50 271 45 283 49695 47395 45 301 47 294 54 281 57 278 60 279 47395 45308 53 305 61 298 66 284 65 279 65 278 45308 43392 65 299 69 291 73 281 76 275 74 278 43392 41624 68 291 66 286 75 279 82 271 80 276 41624 39987 66 287 63 286 75 280 81 269 81 275 39987 38462 70 287 65 287 73 282 80 271 81 278 38462 37040 76 283 70 284 75 283 83 275 85 281 37040 35682 76 279 75 281 83 282 89 279 91 283 35682 34326 73 278 80 279 89 280 93 280 99 285 34326 32941 71 280 85 277 91 278 96 281 109 285 32941 31526 70 280 88 275 90 279 101 281 115 284 31526 30060 70 279 87 273 92 280 104 281 113 282 30060 28529 70 279 85 273 92 278 104 281 108 281 28529 26936 69 281 80 274 88 276 99 281 104 281 26936 25279 63 284 75 276 84 274 92 279 98 282 25279 23563 55 284 70 279 80 275 87 276 92 279 23563 21794 50 280 64 279 75 277 82 276 86 276 21794 19967 49 278 56 276 70 280 77 278 77 276 19967 18072 48 277 53 273 62 281 70 280 65 277 18072 16146 44 277 50 273 55 278 63 280 55 278 16146 14294 40 283 47 275 53 277 56 277 52 281 14294 12610 39 289 44 281 46 276 53 272 51 280 12610 11111 38 294 40 283 41 276 50 275 47 280 11111 9771 38 294 34 278 45 287 43 280 45 284 9771 8571 37 294 30 284 40 288 39 281 44 290 8571 7499 36 296 29 295 36 284 34 281 44 296 7499 6544 33 299 26 302 34 285 30 282 44 302 6544 5698 30 298 25 308 29*287 27 283 42 308 5698 4946 27 299 24 312 25*286 23 285 39 311 4946 4270 24 303 21 314 22 285 21 288 35 313 4270 3668 22 307 18 312 21 284 19 291 33 313 3668 3164 19 310 15*307 21 284 16 294 31 313 3164 2775 19 305 11*300 20 284 14 296 27 312 2775 2507 18 292 9 298 18 283 11 296 20 310 2507 2344 14*287 9 298 16 283 9 297 16 309 2344 2250 5*277 8 297 13 282 6*297 7*303 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography