DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.8 - - 34.2 - - 34.2 - - 30.1 - - 26.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -60 - - -33 - - -26 - - -14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 326 - - 243 - - 249 - - 80 - - 45 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 295 - - 291 - - 271 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -235 - - -92 - - -20 - - -253 - - -539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2484 - - 2341 - - 2270 - - 2502 - - 2788 sfcLCL ODpotential -4661 - - -4813 - - -5116 - - -7225 - - -10026 ODpotential blCL 6910 - - 7062 - - 7365 - - 9474 - - 12275 blCL maxRH 82 - - 84 - - 79 - - 77 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.8 - - 34.2 - - 34.2 - - 30.1 - - 26.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.0 - - 32.0 - - 32.3 - - 27.4 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.6 - - 37.3 - - 37.4 - - 34.9 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.1 - - 32.3 - - 33.1 - - 30.9 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -60 - - -33 - - -26 - - -14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 36 - - 14 - - 8 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96618 55 021 48 028 40 025 37 019 52 026 96618 89699 38 017 37 011 31 017 31 012 42 022 89699 84259 34 006 26 007 30 008 32 010 33 012 84259 79683 38 353 29 358 33 357 33 006 33 359 79683 75717 37 346 27 353 27 350 32 001 33 358 75717 72195 33 330 27 005 23 347 34 354 32 358 72195 68965 34 328 35 348 28 340 37 346 32 348 68965 65968 39 336 37 332 31 328 34 330 34 338 65968 63177 39 335 32 329 28 337 32 335 39 338 63177 60455 40 327 36 334 35 345 44 335 50 332 60455 57599 53 327 47 336 49 336 49 328 48 325 57599 54645 64 318 59 334 58 331 50 332 48 331 54645 51849 65 322 61 329 58 335 65 339 64 339 51849 49351 67 325 65 328 76 332 87 331 80 334 49351 47126 69 324 76 326 88 325 92 331 87 330 47126 45123 77 329 83 323 90 328 98 330 85 330 45123 43291 96 332 87 327 103 332 100 328 83 333 43291 41600 117 327 101 331 114 326 100 334 95 335 41600 40036 124 322 120 327 114 328 108 339 109 333 40036 38585 121 322 124 324 114 334 121 336 120 330 38585 37229 121 328 119 327 125 337 129 332 122 326 37229 35925 132 333 116 331 133 335 129 329 121 323 35925 34602 138 333 118 332 134 332 125 327 121 323 34602 33231 132 329 121 331 127 329 122 327 120 323 33231 31815 129 322 124 331 118 326 121 328 117 324 31815 30338 135 321 124 330 112 327 118 330 113 325 30338 28790 130 321 126 328 110 331 109 332 105 326 28790 27173 125 323 128 327 109 332 96 331 94 328 27173 25487 124 325 124 327 106 332 88 331 85 326 25487 23736 118 324 113 327 100 333 87 335 81 324 23736 21929 110 321 102 327 92 331 83 334 76 326 21929 20063 102 319 94 325 85 329 74 330 68 331 20063 18134 83 316 83 324 80 326 70 327 65 330 18134 16175 59 313 73 325 73 327 66 329 65 329 16175 14290 52 317 63 326 59 329 58 328 58 328 14290 12579 43 318 51 328 46 332 46 324 44 325 12579 11061 41 321 44 325 40 333 39 322 37 323 11061 9710 42 325 40 317 38 329 33 324 38 320 9710 8506 42 326 39 310 38 321 30 326 41 316 8506 7432 42 328 36 312 37 313 30 327 41 314 7432 6478 42 332 29 320 35 308 32 324 37 314 6478 5634 43 332 29 331 32 311 33 322 31 317 5634 4888 42 329 33 337 27 324 31 321 28 317 4888 4219 40 326 34 334 28 327 28 322 23 317 4219 3629 38 321 32 328 30 325 28 325 19 318 3629 3135 37 314 32 320 30 318 27 320 19 313 3135 2756 35 310 29 314 27 311 24 312 20 304 2756 2495 28 305 22 302 20 301 16 298 18 293 2495 2338 24 302 19 299 17 298 13 293 13*278 2338 2249 15*301 11*295 9*291 7*271 7*262 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography