DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 59.7 - - 63.5 - - 63.0 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 125 - - 294 - - 427 - - 181 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 708 - - 3439 - - 6436 - - 7058 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2234 - - 4431 - - 6923 - - 6948 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 2903 - - 5634 - - 8631 - - 9253 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1721 - - 1682 - - 2503 - - 2193 - - 4831 Hgt.Variab. W* 183 - - 412 - - 575 - - 445 - - 8 W* B/S 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 023 - - 360 - - 349 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5844 - - -2363 - - -915 - - -980 - - -5812 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8747 - - 7997 - - 9546 - - 10234 - - 8064 sfcLCL ODpotential -8091 - - -4010 - - -1662 - - -2249 - - -9064 ODpotential blCL 10994 - - 9644 - - 10293 - - 11502 - - 11315 blCL maxRH 77 - - 101 - - 75 - - 75 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 59.7 - - 63.5 - - 63.0 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 32.3 - - 29.0 - - 25.5 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.0 - - 57.9 - - 61.2 - - 61.8 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 32.2 - - 28.7 - - 25.3 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 125 - - 294 - - 427 - - 181 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 708 - - 3439 - - 6436 - - 7058 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 103 - - 0 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97857 21 099 11 127 4 125 10 081 13 091 97857 90462 19 094 14 120 8 136 12 090 13 082 90462 84757 15 088 14 102 12 114 11 110 10 064 84757 80003 7 086 12 087 7 098 11 090 6 084 80003 75895 7 111 6 082 3 044 7 078 7 084 75895 72251 11 090 2 150 3 053 2 083 8 046 72251 68938 7 070 4 159 5 036 3 066 4 021 68938 65880 4 038 4 082 3 308 5 354 6 020 65880 63033 6 346 7 360 6 341 9 331 10 342 63033 60274 7 295 9 330 10 328 11 330 9 329 60274 57388 15 339 19 335 18 334 16 336 15 335 57388 54392 24 329 24 322 23 330 21 328 22 317 54392 51545 31 327 22 326 25 322 26 325 26 324 51545 48994 39 326 28 328 31 318 33 321 30 328 48994 46720 41 324 33 325 36 316 38 318 36 321 46720 44674 43 320 40 327 42 319 40 316 38 316 44674 42817 49 321 52 326 49 322 46 316 37 317 42817 41118 59 321 65 319 60 322 49 321 48 316 41118 39564 69 322 74 316 73 314 65 306 52 311 39564 38136 82 323 73 316 76 316 70 304 59 316 38136 36803 83 321 72 320 79 318 68 309 61 311 36803 35516 79 319 73 321 79 319 66 313 58 307 35516 34208 76 321 72 320 77 322 64 315 56 310 34208 32850 73 321 69 319 74 322 63 314 55 314 32850 31448 69 320 68 319 71 322 63 316 53 312 31448 29988 67 318 67 321 68 321 64 321 50 315 29988 28460 65 317 66 323 66 321 64 324 50 321 28460 26864 64 316 65 321 63 322 62 322 48 325 26864 25204 64 317 63 318 60 319 59 319 47 320 25204 23486 65 318 60 318 56 319 56 319 49 322 23486 21715 64 321 58 320 53 319 51 320 47 326 21715 19887 56 325 55 324 51 320 46 319 44 322 19887 17990 42 316 46 324 46 319 45 316 42 319 17990 16060 34 308 37 323 41 318 41 319 38 319 16060 14204 30 318 31 320 35 319 36 322 35 320 14204 12518 24 316 26 318 31 320 30 318 33 321 12518 11023 22 315 25 313 28 321 26 316 31 322 11023 9691 20 317 26 311 24*331 17*328 27 324 9691 8503 18 313 25 313 19*345 16*333 19 327 8503 7443 17 313 21 319 17 353 16 342 13 339 7443 6499 15 311 15 334 16 359 16 348 13 357 6499 5663 14 313 13*001 16 002 16 349 15 006 5663 4919 13 318 14*020 16 003 16 352 16 009 4919 4249 13 328 14 022 16 004 17 353 17 011 4249 3654 14 341 15 023 16 005 16 354 18 012 3654 3154 13*342 15 023 16 005 16 355 18 013 3154 2770 11*341 15 023 16 006 16 356 18 012 2770 2504 9 339 15 024 15 006 16 356 15 011 2504 2343 8 339 14 023 15 006 15 356 12*010 2343 2251 7 339 13 024 13 006 13 356 7*009 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography