DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -14.3 - - -9.4 - - - - - -8.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 20 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 51 - - 341 - - - - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2229 - - 2230 - - - - - 2229 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2246 - - 2536 - - - - - 2246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 345 - - 435 - - - - - 804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 78 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 050 - - - - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -764 - - -523 - - - - - -749 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3011 - - 3059 - - - - - 2995 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14802 - - -14048 - - - - - -15049 ODpotential blCL - - - 17048 - - 16584 - - - - - 17295 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -14.3 - - -9.4 - - - - - -8.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -19.0 - - -14.4 - - - - - -12.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -14.3 - - -9.5 - - - - - -8.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -18.5 - - -14.2 - - - - - -12.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 20 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 51 - - 341 - - - - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 104 - - - - - 104 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94932 82 313 86 318 84 321 94932 87878 79 308 83 314 83 312 87878 82451 70 302 67 308 74 309 82451 77879 68 298 63 295 74 302 77879 73906 65 296 66 290 72 300 73906 70388 62 291 66 285 71 299 70388 67190 60 289 64 282 67 297 67190 64228 59 285 63 284 64 291 64228 61457 60 283 65 285 64 285 61457 58755 62 284 68 283 65 281 58755 55918 65 283 69 282 66 279 55918 52958 63 283 71 276 68 278 52958 50133 69 286 71 274 74 278 50133 47604 78 280 74 276 76 274 47604 45353 76 276 76 280 75 271 45353 43315 76 276 80 281 74 268 43315 41448 81 276 84 279 74 267 41448 39730 84 274 85 281 75 271 39730 38138 84 272 90 281 82 274 38138 36658 84 272 96 276 89 274 36658 35281 85 272 102 273 95 271 35281 33974 88 274 108 272 99 269 33974 32673 92 275 112 272 102 268 32673 31346 96 275 114 273 103 267 31346 29988 94 274 114 273 100 266 29988 28585 90 274 110 275 96 267 28585 27127 87 275 103 276 91 269 27127 25611 86 278 88 278 86 270 25611 24037 82 280 70 279 79 270 24037 22408 74 278 66 281 68 268 22408 20727 64 275 67 281 57 267 20727 18987 58 286 58 284 49 267 18987 17178 53 288 40 274 41 260 17178 15333 52 281 31 277 33 259 15333 13551 46 283 30 278 30 246 13551 11927 36 280 29 269 27 237 11927 10481 31 274 28 262 23 239 10481 9189 27 276 24 261 23 228 9189 8036 21 278 20 258 27 208 8036 7009 21 263 14 248 33 199 7009 6099 17 252 11 223 32 200 6099 5302 7 313 8 198 25 186 5302 4611 6 015 8 132 20 151 4611 4007 6 066 10 129 22 136 4007 3476 5 072 7 117 23 130 3476 3035 4 015 6 083 20 121 3035 2698 3 352 6*055 15 113 2698 2467 4 357 6*051 13 112 2467 2327 4*344 5 050 11*111 2327 2246 2*325 5 049 8*110 2246 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography