DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.4 - - 31.1 - - 37.4 - - 32.8 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - -15 - - -3 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 92 - - 246 - - 369 - - 124 - - 84 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 229 - - 189 - - 148 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -384 - - -502 - - -743 - - 0 - - -49 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2632 - - 2751 - - 2992 - - 2249 - - 2298 sfcLCL ODpotential -6991 - - -5314 - - -3933 - - -5379 - - -4428 ODpotential blCL 9239 - - 7563 - - 6182 - - 7628 - - 6677 blCL maxRH 75 - - 96 - - 96 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.4 - - 31.1 - - 37.4 - - 32.8 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.1 - - 27.1 - - 32.2 - - 30.8 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.6 - - 32.4 - - 37.9 - - 35.2 - - 33.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 26.6 - - 31.4 - - 30.7 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - -15 - - -3 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 86 - - 83 - - 59 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97084 31 061 34 070 37 073 32 071 30 079 97084 90026 28 079 29 072 27 078 28 068 28 080 90026 84454 20 066 21 074 18 080 20 073 25 077 84454 79753 14 048 15 080 13 078 12 073 17 077 79753 75660 5 055 13 064 5 098 7 039 12 082 75660 72012 7 096 1 260 7 029 3 034 6 068 72012 68678 3 101 4 181 7 300 5 013 2 353 68678 65606 2 253 5 070 3 201 3 187 6 261 65606 62754 5 350 15 264 16 264 10 259 4 326 62754 59979 11 298 17 303 17 298 12 269 20 290 59979 57107 17 269 32 288 28 293 21 272 30 273 57107 54144 20 255 32 281 20 297 12 294 28 294 54144 51290 26 283 32 285 38 289 41 301 38 300 51290 48694 33 297 38 290 46 276 54 288 49 294 48694 46366 45 298 47 289 56 287 63 281 58 289 46366 44270 61 292 66 284 71 280 64 279 65 281 44270 42372 67 287 62 278 65 274 64 280 67 274 42372 40633 71 295 49 286 52 282 67 280 65 278 40633 39029 96 293 71 302 69 292 72 283 74 282 39029 37551 102 286 90 296 81 291 80 285 84 283 37551 36183 86 288 91 289 88 289 86 285 88 281 36183 34879 87 294 89 287 90 288 89 284 87 279 34879 33567 93 296 88 289 92 288 88 283 83 278 33567 32216 101 294 90 292 92 288 86 281 79 278 32216 30831 109 292 93 293 90 287 84 281 74 278 30831 29399 113 292 94 293 88 287 81 284 70 281 29399 27907 111 295 95 294 86 288 75 287 67 283 27907 26356 99 298 98 297 86 290 68 286 64 284 26356 24744 86 299 95 298 86 290 68 278 62 283 24744 23071 85 300 86 294 80 288 69 275 66 284 23071 21341 87 297 83 293 74 284 69 279 77 285 21341 19548 82 294 78 292 70 285 67 282 79 286 19548 17686 75 295 64 289 65 288 64 285 71 287 17686 15796 65 298 54 285 57 293 55 287 55 288 15796 13979 52 289 48 282 50 287 41 289 46 289 13979 12323 45 284 43 276 45 278 38 287 43 291 12323 10848 41 285 37 271 39 277 35 280 36 293 10848 9535 38 289 32 264 30 269 29 281 32 299 9535 8362 35 293 26 256 24 239 27 286 22 302 8362 7320 30 293 22 252 24 218 30 276 18 311 7320 6395 27 288 17 257 22 218 31 259 14 306 6395 5575 25 288 14 258 19 220 26 244 6 315 5575 4847 24 297 13 258 17 221 18 219 6 331 4847 4192 25 306 13 261 15 220 8 188 7 337 4192 3610 25 303 13 269 15 218 1 127 10 331 3610 3123 24 297 15 272 16 217 5 023 10 327 3123 2750 22 292 17 252 13 217 5 028 7 329 2750 2493 15 269 15 240 9 208 4 126 2 294 2493 2338 12 262 12*236 6 198 6 149 5*248 2338 2249 6*241 6*229 4*189 5*148 4*250 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography