DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.8 - - 16.7 - - 30.2 - - 28.5 - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - -5 - - -12 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2232 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 39 - - 34 - - 140 - - 82 - - 54 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 212 - - 209 - - 185 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1663 - - -461 - - -407 - - -98 - - -341 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3911 - - 2709 - - 2656 - - 2347 - - 2590 sfcLCL ODpotential -14455 - - -14254 - - -8310 - - -8394 - - -7242 ODpotential blCL 16703 - - 16502 - - 10559 - - 10643 - - 9491 blCL maxRH 57 - - 70 - - 81 - - 92 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.8 - - 16.7 - - 30.2 - - 28.5 - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.2 - - 13.1 - - 26.5 - - 26.2 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.3 - - 19.7 - - 31.4 - - 32.0 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.1 - - 14.5 - - 26.2 - - 27.6 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - -5 - - -12 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 70 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96225 39 355 43 340 35 357 34 006 33 358 96225 89449 32 353 35 345 35 003 33 002 25 348 89449 84030 32 351 32 347 29 358 30 354 26 350 84030 79424 32 348 28 338 26 343 26 345 28 344 79424 75404 30 345 23 334 24 326 23 327 27 327 75404 71821 29 339 23 326 24 323 22 329 22 324 71821 68555 30 329 27 325 31 319 29 327 25 331 68555 65540 26 316 30 313 31 305 30 310 26 312 65540 62737 26 304 24 294 24 284 25 293 17 315 62737 59997 30 300 21 308 26 302 26 308 28 324 59997 57125 40 299 42 306 38 303 36 305 40 301 57125 54153 44 295 42 295 39 294 33 290 35 282 54153 51314 44 294 36 290 35 295 26 297 27 272 51314 48754 48 289 39 287 40 296 35 304 30 291 48754 46468 50 278 45 282 45 287 40 292 37 290 46468 44409 44 273 44 284 42 279 45 286 45 286 44409 42532 40 283 43 292 32 274 52 285 48 275 42532 40805 48 288 45 292 43 290 54 278 46 265 40805 39202 49 289 51 293 54 281 47 272 43 261 39202 37717 51 298 61 288 62 281 47 282 44 268 37717 36349 50 297 63 289 76 279 53 283 47 280 36349 35061 47 303 64 296 75 277 52 279 68 271 35061 33783 57 315 66 300 60 278 52 272 63 256 33783 32468 66 320 63 302 44 272 46 264 59 257 32468 31110 60 322 55 303 44 267 42 256 56 257 31110 29694 48 314 48 300 44 267 40 252 54 259 29694 28210 41 307 40 298 40 265 40 253 51 260 28210 26658 37 298 32 286 34 262 40 255 47 260 26658 25039 33 289 29 277 30 260 43 258 40 260 25039 23355 35 284 29 283 27 261 46 260 34 259 23355 21609 39 285 35 293 27 267 48 260 30 255 21609 19793 38 283 37 293 32 273 50 260 26 259 19793 17903 39 292 38 291 42 274 53 260 29 265 17903 15978 36 298 37 289 52 272 52 258 31 270 15978 14129 32 297 36 283 50 270 41 253 29 281 14129 12452 30 290 33 268 42 270 32 257 30 282 12452 10965 30 285 27 259 33 274 29 268 25 281 10965 9641 29 286 25 256 25 277 23 272 19 288 9641 8460 27 287 22 263 20 275 21 274 17 298 8460 7407 25 291 19 270 19 270 20 270 17 290 7407 6469 24 296 16 270 19 267 19 258 17 271 6469 5637 22 298 14 266 19 269 19 247 18 266 5637 4897 19 297 12 262 16 268 21 241 20 261 4897 4231 16 297 11 263 13 260 23 238 22 257 4231 3639 14 291 10 273 9 251 24 234 24 255 3639 3143 15 291 9 287 6 243 25 230 24 252 3143 2760 18 296 11 292 9 240 24 233 23 249 2760 2497 18 287 13 275 15 229 20 234 21 247 2497 2339 11*267 9*242 12*218 13*221 15*240 2339 2249 5*230 5*212 7*209 6*185 6*212 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography