DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 10.3 - - 18.8 - - 26.0 - - 23.1 - - 19.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - -48 - - -23 - - -30 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2248 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 65 - - 254 - - 1444 - - 513 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 11 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 277 - - 299 - - 300 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1058 - - -1123 - - -945 - - -277 - - -417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3306 - - 3371 - - 3194 - - 2525 - - 2665 sfcLCL ODpotential -8104 - - -7832 - - -6164 - - -5939 - - -7722 ODpotential blCL 10352 - - 10080 - - 8413 - - 8187 - - 9970 blCL maxRH 92 - - 98 - - 71 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 10.3 - - 18.8 - - 26.0 - - 23.1 - - 19.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.4 - - 12.5 - - 20.3 - - 20.3 - - 16.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 15.6 - - 22.2 - - 27.6 - - 25.9 - - 23.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.9 - - 12.3 - - 19.9 - - 21.3 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - -48 - - -23 - - -30 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 90 - - 0 - - 29 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95832 43 314 63 321 29 332 37 323 57 310 95832 88860 49 318 39 301 45 315 47 324 60 320 88860 83444 51 324 53 315 52 323 56 327 58 324 83444 78855 49 329 61 325 54 327 51 326 54 325 78855 74826 48 330 54 323 56 328 48 329 54 330 74826 71236 47 325 51 324 55 324 54 327 59 331 71236 67978 52 334 49 330 52 321 57 327 62 328 67978 64971 63 342 51 341 57 332 54 330 59 334 64971 62175 67 343 55 345 63 340 48 337 60 336 62175 59461 61 339 57 346 57 341 45 339 50 331 59461 56614 53 339 61 351 50 346 44 346 40 334 56614 53642 51 346 63 354 55 353 54 353 41 351 53642 50798 56 352 61 358 59 355 61 350 53 358 50798 48250 62 355 64 002 62 360 58 347 63 355 48250 45989 65 355 67 005 62 002 56 350 63 352 45989 43960 64 356 68 008 58 005 60 356 60 358 43960 42116 65 001 68 011 61 010 64 001 58 008 42116 40427 72 008 74 018 73 014 71 014 79 013 40427 38880 81 012 86 022 88 019 94 018 91 011 38880 37455 86 012 98 021 111 021 109 011 102 012 37455 36130 81 012 112 019 124 020 109 009 112 014 36130 34861 77 018 125 019 125 020 105 013 119 016 34861 33582 84 023 124 019 124 020 104 015 120 018 33582 32263 88 024 122 022 122 019 102 016 113 019 32263 30906 76 020 124 025 113 021 99 017 107 017 30906 29494 71 023 119 026 106 025 94 017 101 014 29494 28013 63 022 104 026 103 027 84 020 96 013 28013 26463 55 019 89 025 90 024 82 026 83 012 26463 24845 54 015 78 024 81 018 80 026 74 016 24845 23161 55 012 68 021 77 014 72 018 70 031 23161 21415 50 012 59 016 71 011 70 010 57 033 21415 19597 40 009 49 011 63 009 68 006 46 020 19597 17701 34 003 43 009 55 006 66 004 46 015 17701 15774 35 356 39 006 50 003 62 004 45 009 15774 13934 38 352 33 358 42 357 53 004 44 359 13934 12273 36 341 32 336 33 355 45 002 41 355 12273 10798 30 328 33 337 28 345 40 002 38 344 10798 9486 24 320 30 338 29 334 34 002 34 338 9486 8316 20 320 29 324 27 332 29 357 29 334 8316 7274 18 324 28 313 26 332 30 349 27 329 7274 6348 16 325 26 307 29 327 31 348 26 330 6348 5529 16 323 25 301 31 321 30 351 25 334 5529 4806 17 318 26 300 28 318 31 351 28 336 4806 4158 19 311 29 303 27 319 33 343 31 334 4158 3586 18 299 32 301 30 313 31 331 30 326 3586 3107 19 296 33 291 28 306 29 317 31 315 3107 2740 22 293 30 286 25 302 26 308 30 308 2740 2488 19 284 22 281 22 300 21 304 23 300 2488 2335 15*278 18*280 19*300 18 303 20 298 2335 2248 7*263 9*277 13*299 10*300 10*293 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography