DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1904z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.3 - - 67.5 - - 73.1 - - 75.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 168 - - 181 - - 68 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 657 - - 3249 - - 6825 - - 7252 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit 2254 - - 4095 - - 6834 - - 6408 - - 2255 Hcrit BL Top 2852 - - 5444 - - 9020 - - 9447 - - 2271 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 650 - - 3519 - - 2086 - - 2053 - - 7157 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 346 - - 455 - - 343 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 19 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 323 - - 308 - - 286 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 9 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - 4 - - 15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2538 - - -1546 - - 774 - - 562 - - -4420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5390 - - 6990 - - 8246 - - 8885 - - 6691 sfcLCL ODpotential -5506 - - -3906 - - -1351 - - -1360 - - -6439 ODpotential blCL 8358 - - 9350 - - 10371 - - 10807 - - 8710 blCL maxRH 74 - - 63 - - 68 - - 72 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 59.3 - - 67.5 - - 73.1 - - 75.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.8 - - 44.8 - - 44.8 - - 44.0 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 - - 66.4 - - 72.0 - - 74.5 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.7 - - 43.2 - - 43.0 - - 42.4 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 168 - - 181 - - 68 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 657 - - 3249 - - 6825 - - 7252 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99904 32 102 24 110 22 101 24 097 24 087 99904 92332 24 091 22 107 18 103 18 098 18 090 92332 86491 17 093 17 104 15 112 15 105 16 089 86491 81632 12 094 13 107 15 106 13 113 11 080 81632 77442 11 101 14 111 7 106 9 123 8 084 77442 73738 12 077 11 105 9 128 9 133 7 075 73738 70377 5 057 8 096 4 139 3 136 4 067 70377 67280 3 055 3 078 2 173 1 281 4 046 67280 64401 5 350 2 270 5 245 9 272 6 345 64401 61603 8 339 4 320 3 274 11 257 9 286 61603 58683 15 296 12 286 10 310 9 298 11 302 58683 55651 17 287 18 286 19 288 17 296 17 294 55651 52763 17 303 21 295 22 291 19 298 22 295 52763 50178 27 299 28 295 27 300 26 307 26 298 50178 47876 30 291 30 289 29 300 29 306 29 303 47876 45802 29 300 30 291 29 301 33 307 36 306 45802 43923 35 307 33 296 32 307 40 305 43 308 43923 42216 45 299 36 297 41 307 41 304 48 312 42216 40649 46 297 39 303 45 304 45 314 52 314 40649 39193 55 304 44 310 45 307 52 314 51 319 39193 37832 71 300 49 313 45 319 54 311 50 325 37832 36522 73 295 53 312 49 322 56 311 49 325 36522 35194 70 295 55 310 47 328 55 308 46 320 35194 33817 68 299 55 308 50 336 51 305 44 316 33817 32394 58 306 54 309 52 338 46 307 42 316 32394 30910 55 308 51 313 50 337 40 306 40 317 30910 29354 53 307 49 317 38 335 37 304 38 316 29354 27728 46 307 48 319 34 333 36 308 38 315 27728 26032 36 318 45 319 36 320 36 311 38 313 26032 24268 34 314 41 319 39 315 41 307 36 311 24268 22440 36 307 37 317 37 315 45 304 33 308 22440 20543 38 305 36 316 35 313 42 304 31 307 20543 18572 40 307 35 312 34 314 38 309 30 308 18572 16571 40 311 34 309 32 314 37 312 29 310 16571 14651 37 312 32 309 29 313 31 315 27 313 14651 12912 31 308 29 312 26 316 24 316 24 313 12912 11368 28 309 27 316 23 316 18 308 19 312 11368 9992 25 307 25 314 19*312 15*298 15 309 9992 8763 23 304 22 315 18*310 9*285 12 301 8763 7663 24 297 19 310 11 301 7 282 9 290 7663 6683 25 300 18 309 10 301 5 281 7 286 6683 5813 24 305 17*311 8 304 3 282 4 286 5813 5040 22 309 14*315 7 308 2 287 2 292 5040 4345 20 314 10 322 6 312 1 305 1 045 4345 3727 19 314 8 325 6 317 1 329 2 086 3727 3209 16*313 8 326 5 320 0 018 4 091 3209 2810 15*314 7 328 5 323 1 046 5 093 2810 2535 9 315 7 330 5 324 1 049 5 095 2535 2367 8 316 6 330 5 325 1 055 5 099 2367 2271 7 315 6 331 4 325 1 059 4*102 2271 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography