DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.6 - - 29.2 - - 30.3 - - - - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - -14 - - -43 - - - - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - - - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - - - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2248 - - 2249 - - - - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 46 - - 112 - - 125 - - - - - 84 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 218 - - 239 - - - - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -207 - - 0 - - -155 - - - - - -136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2455 - - 2248 - - 2404 - - - - - 2385 sfcLCL ODpotential -13799 - - -6150 - - -5535 - - - - - -3845 ODpotential blCL 16047 - - 8398 - - 7784 - - - - - 6094 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 96 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.6 - - 29.2 - - 30.3 - - - - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.9 - - 28.1 - - 27.7 - - - - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.5 - - 30.4 - - 32.9 - - - - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.9 - - 28.1 - - 27.5 - - - - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - -14 - - -43 - - - - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 54 - - - - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 85 - - 85 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96977 42 055 32 055 37 051 31 061 96977 89987 29 065 24 048 28 042 22 064 89987 84473 22 056 20 041 22 038 15 053 84473 79814 14 043 17 028 16 038 12 023 79814 75737 10 056 8 022 14 025 12 014 75737 72086 10 082 8 061 3 357 7 032 72086 68758 6 052 4 017 3 278 3 356 68758 65699 5 301 9 273 9 296 2 270 65699 62858 8 322 13 236 16 266 7 315 62858 60090 20 303 6 220 11 240 10 297 60090 57202 33 264 18 330 8 312 20 296 57202 54244 27 266 27 278 31 283 30 292 54244 51451 34 294 34 278 36 266 32 287 51451 48908 36 283 35 276 29 270 34 274 48908 46587 33 283 29 285 31 279 42 286 46587 44463 24 303 32 306 51 292 57 289 44463 42523 61 292 65 284 71 281 71 287 42523 40760 64 276 66 275 74 279 73 284 40760 39143 51 292 72 289 63 288 71 291 39143 37643 77 312 86 292 68 296 84 300 37643 36246 108 305 96 289 86 295 99 297 36246 34910 112 302 97 284 98 289 100 291 34910 33566 106 298 95 281 100 284 90 290 33566 32185 95 297 99 282 99 282 82 294 32185 30777 91 299 100 282 100 283 81 297 30777 29328 86 299 98 278 99 282 81 299 29328 27822 84 296 98 274 93 281 80 298 27822 26258 84 294 97 272 88 277 77 298 26258 24636 81 292 97 274 89 276 71 298 24636 22956 72 292 94 279 90 278 66 299 22956 21223 56 291 85 285 86 281 61 299 21223 19433 48 290 70 288 76 283 57 298 19433 17580 43 287 56 285 66 284 56 299 17580 15701 39 286 52 280 57 279 54 296 15701 13898 39 281 49 279 53 273 52 295 13898 12259 40 279 37 282 44 279 49 294 12259 10798 40 278 35 291 40 290 44 293 10798 9497 38 280 38 298 43 296 41 292 9497 8336 36 284 42 302 45 301 38 297 8336 7302 37 290 44 301 45 300 39 309 7302 6383 39 295 42 295 43 298 41 314 6383 5568 36 298 34 282 39 294 41 316 5568 4844 28 288 29 266 36 291 40 316 4844 4191 23 268 24 261 33 288 40 317 4191 3611 20 258 18 254 31 286 39 316 3611 3125 15 248 17 241 28 279 36 312 3125 2751 17 235 19 228 24 261 32 309 2751 2494 19 236 17 226 21 249 23 303 2494 2338 16*233 13 226 16*244 19*300 2338 2249 6*215 6*218 8*239 8*294 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography