DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 16.1 - - 21.4 - - 20.0 - - 18.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 28 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 327 - - 1278 - - 931 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2522 - - 3473 - - 3126 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 632 - - 1012 - - 1175 - - 1370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 80 - - 137 - - 109 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 127 - - 108 - - 090 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -207 - - 883 - - 595 - - -27 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2729 - - 2591 - - 2531 - - 2275 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4663 - - 335 - - 6 - - -1762 ODpotential blCL - - - 7185 - - 3138 - - 3120 - - 4010 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 16.1 - - 21.4 - - 20.0 - - 18.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.4 - - 18.3 - - 17.1 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 15.8 - - 21.2 - - 20.0 - - 19.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.0 - - 17.7 - - 16.8 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 28 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 327 - - 1278 - - 931 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96194 13 089 11 110 5 136 6 028 96194 89072 7 083 9 081 9 116 3 089 89072 83557 4 082 6 068 6 070 8 069 83557 78945 2 091 1 347 1 058 7 351 78945 74938 1 003 5 282 8 320 11 003 74938 71363 6 332 7 277 13 293 11 312 71363 68094 15 312 13 303 16 299 14 306 68094 65052 21 289 23 292 25 304 19 308 65052 62210 19 287 27 292 41 295 34 293 62210 59452 29 286 33 274 41 282 37 288 59452 56557 28 276 34 273 37 279 44 281 56557 53526 38 277 37 279 40 282 43 275 53526 50627 41 275 43 281 45 277 39 280 50627 48018 43 276 49 277 43 273 41 281 48018 45686 46 274 49 273 44 277 46 278 45686 43584 50 273 49 274 53 278 53 271 43584 41672 54 272 54 272 60 267 53 263 41672 39918 58 270 60 265 56 258 48 263 39918 38294 61 270 61 262 51 262 51 267 38294 36788 66 270 61 265 57 271 61 268 36788 35389 73 271 67 269 70 270 68 265 35389 34056 83 272 78 271 80 265 72 263 34056 32723 97 271 95 269 88 262 74 262 32723 31360 107 269 108 267 97 261 78 263 31360 29972 110 268 115 264 105 260 87 263 29972 28543 111 269 116 262 111 259 93 262 28543 27061 112 269 115 262 113 258 93 261 27061 25527 107 270 110 263 108 259 85 260 25527 23947 91 270 98 264 95 262 74 263 23947 22324 69 268 79 264 78 266 65 269 22324 20660 54 266 62 259 52 268 45 271 20660 18944 44 264 50 256 36 262 26 255 18944 17161 40 261 37 257 30 267 21 271 17161 15340 34 261 29 258 23 265 22 269 15340 13580 22 256 22 260 26 262 25 266 13580 11974 18 242 20 248 27 261 28 265 11974 10541 19 237 23 233 26 255 25 257 10541 9265 21 220 24 218 23 245 17 240 9265 8130 17 196 23 201 17 219 14 186 8130 7123 9 155 20 183 17 189 16 159 7123 6228 8 148 18 162 18 168 14 146 6228 5437 10 168 16 163 15 150 18 133 5437 4735 13 172 16 156 15 134 21 121 4735 4107 12 157 14 140 17 114 24 115 4107 3551 12 151 13*115 18*098 25 108 3551 3086 12 148 12*111 18*092 24 100 3086 2729 11*139 12 108 17 090 20 093 2729 2484 7*129 11 107 16 089 16 087 2484 2333 7 127 10 106 14 088 14*085 2333 2248 6 126 8 105 11 087 9*081 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography