DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.9 - - 28.4 - - 35.8 - - 34.6 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -20 - - -35 - - -47 - - -88 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 55 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2249 - - 2250 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 37 - - 49 - - 75 - - 73 - - 414 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 250 - - 281 - - 295 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -901 - - -632 - - -781 - - -685 - - -705 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3150 - - 2881 - - 3031 - - 2934 - - 2954 sfcLCL ODpotential -13776 - - -12147 - - -7220 - - -6293 - - -4822 ODpotential blCL 16025 - - 14396 - - 9470 - - 8542 - - 7071 blCL maxRH 64 - - 75 - - 91 - - 60 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.9 - - 28.4 - - 35.8 - - 34.6 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.6 - - 24.1 - - 30.7 - - 30.0 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.7 - - 33.0 - - 40.1 - - 39.5 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 25.7 - - 30.5 - - 30.6 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -20 - - -35 - - -47 - - -88 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 55 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 2 - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96903 36 031 53 032 53 040 58 044 53 045 96903 89983 31 033 40 035 43 037 46 040 52 035 89983 84509 32 032 33 033 40 037 42 034 42 033 84509 79842 26 029 23 021 34 029 42 024 29 028 79842 75777 27 014 13 017 20 002 31 008 25 014 75777 72188 23 360 14 022 13 322 25 357 21 357 72188 68935 23 338 20 003 16 332 20 345 15 005 68935 65920 26 322 26 353 17 343 17 329 23 358 65920 63078 24 322 25 330 18 307 30 297 25 341 63078 60304 25 324 21 253 30 294 37 284 40 294 60304 57466 22 320 28 332 30 323 23 273 35 285 57466 54567 36 309 45 328 23 334 19 315 34 302 54567 51773 48 308 36 302 31 301 50 326 43 298 51773 49227 48 316 40 293 45 268 68 313 51 303 49227 46933 63 313 51 286 47 283 77 290 58 298 46933 44839 75 308 67 298 67 293 80 275 68 293 44839 42913 83 306 79 306 84 291 81 279 77 289 42913 41135 92 302 93 306 96 292 83 281 83 286 41135 39488 99 299 114 302 110 291 89 284 85 287 39488 37961 101 298 127 297 117 288 99 287 87 289 37961 36544 99 299 126 295 117 285 111 287 91 290 36544 35197 96 301 118 296 112 284 123 286 95 290 35197 33851 92 302 112 298 109 285 129 284 96 289 33851 32476 86 303 106 298 106 285 121 285 95 288 32476 31080 79 304 102 297 103 285 103 288 95 290 31080 29647 74 305 95 298 103 284 94 292 98 291 29647 28162 71 307 81 296 102 284 90 292 101 291 28162 26614 68 309 70 286 96 284 85 289 97 291 26614 25000 61 309 66 276 83 279 82 286 90 291 25000 23319 54 308 60 271 71 269 82 285 82 292 23319 21578 50 306 55 274 69 268 81 286 74 293 21578 19770 49 302 49 277 72 274 76 286 70 296 19770 17884 49 298 46 280 74 281 68 284 68 299 17884 15955 48 298 44 283 73 286 62 287 65 298 15955 14095 47 301 43 287 70 288 62 292 63 297 14095 12406 46 303 44 293 61 292 63 297 61 299 12406 10910 44 304 46 298 48 297 62 301 57 305 10910 9584 42 306 46 302 37 301 60 306 51 311 9584 8405 40 309 43 304 33 303 58 310 49 316 8405 7355 37 312 38 303 35 305 57 314 51 320 7355 6421 32 316 33 301 36 305 58 316 56 322 6421 5596 28 318 31 302 38 302 57 317 61 320 5596 4863 24 319 32 311 38 297 55 317 62 317 4863 4205 23 318 32 317 38 295 52 317 60 314 4205 3621 24 313 29 316 38 296 46 315 56 312 3621 3131 27 305 26 305 38 298 41 313 50 308 3131 2755 24 288 26 292 33 295 37 311 43 306 2755 2496 19 281 23 280 24 289 28 307 33 302 2496 2339 13*270 15*266 19*287 23 304 29 301 2339 2249 5*253 7*250 9*281 10*295 19*299 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography