DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -6.6 - - -7.0 - - -2.0 - - -0.8 - - -9.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 4 - - 3 - - -38 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 51 - - 52 - - 52 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2229 Hcrit BL Top 2246 - - 2246 - - 2247 - - 2247 - - 2246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 103 - - 223 - - 2982 - - 3434 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 146 - - 082 - - 256 - - 342 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -674 - - -627 - - -546 - - -588 - - -806 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2920 - - 2873 - - 2793 - - 2835 - - 3052 sfcLCL ODpotential -8780 - - -8834 - - -4856 - - -1683 - - -1978 ODpotential blCL 11026 - - 11080 - - 7103 - - 3930 - - 4224 blCL maxRH 91 - - 87 - - 96 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -6.6 - - -7.0 - - -2.0 - - -0.8 - - -9.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -11.0 - - -11.1 - - -5.9 - - -4.9 - - -14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -4.1 - - -6.9 - - -2.1 - - 1.6 - - -7.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -7.9 - - -10.9 - - -5.9 - - -2.6 - - -13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 4 - - 3 - - -38 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 51 - - 52 - - 52 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 49 - - 85 - - 44 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94682 53 337 53 338 60 325 70 313 68 314 94682 87901 49 342 60 345 59 334 60 329 56 327 87901 82507 50 345 57 347 53 342 51 337 48 327 82507 77898 46 333 46 335 46 341 47 336 47 331 77898 73858 37 329 43 327 49 338 49 336 52 336 73858 70276 38 342 44 329 54 334 57 336 52 329 70276 67012 49 344 42 329 52 327 62 334 47 318 67012 63960 55 339 35 324 47 319 59 328 49 322 63960 61092 53 331 35 332 45 319 53 320 56 326 61092 58307 51 326 49 342 47 329 48 316 61 324 58307 55410 51 328 59 338 53 332 49 318 62 320 55410 52412 58 329 58 331 57 325 54 319 59 315 52412 49552 62 323 58 327 60 318 57 317 52 316 49552 46981 59 316 59 324 60 315 58 318 53 327 46981 44688 57 315 61 323 59 318 61 321 60 331 44688 42622 58 319 62 324 60 319 65 319 65 328 42622 40739 62 323 63 323 61 316 65 317 65 323 40739 39004 65 322 62 319 60 314 62 318 63 321 39004 37396 65 322 61 317 59 316 61 321 62 322 37396 35897 70 324 62 318 60 319 63 324 62 325 35897 34496 78 325 65 320 62 321 65 325 65 327 34496 33158 83 324 70 321 66 321 67 325 68 328 33158 31817 88 323 74 320 69 321 68 325 70 329 31817 30448 97 322 78 319 71 321 69 324 71 329 30448 29059 107 320 81 319 72 321 68 324 70 328 29059 27640 114 319 84 318 73 321 67 323 69 327 27640 26184 115 319 87 316 74 320 67 323 65 326 26184 24690 110 320 85 314 74 320 66 321 62 325 24690 23152 100 320 82 313 73 319 65 320 61 324 23152 21562 91 317 77 312 72 318 63 321 60 322 21562 19919 83 315 71 310 70 318 62 321 58 322 19919 18218 73 312 63 304 68 317 60 322 55 322 18218 16456 63 310 61 290 63 311 58 323 51 324 16456 14669 54 308 59 286 54 303 55 324 46 326 14669 12954 43 308 46 287 47 306 50 321 42 328 12954 11398 37 305 37 288 41 317 46 315 40 327 11398 10023 36 301 34 287 36 307 40 316 38 322 10023 8812 34 302 23 288 35 303 34 322 37 319 8812 7743 28 310 16 299 28 301 28 319 31 325 7743 6802 22 320 14 316 22 312 23 322 23 329 6802 5970 20 322 12 323 17 331 22 328 18 331 5970 5234 18 324 9 318 16 343 23 340 16 355 5234 4581 13 327 6 297 14 346 26 349 18 009 4581 3995 7 311 4 253 12 343 28 351 19 010 3995 3473 4 245 4 221 7 332 28 351 20 008 3473 3036 7 194 6 195 4 318 27 350 20 004 3036 2700 12 166 8 180 2 271 25 348 18 359 2700 2468 12 158 7 166 2 206 20 345 15 354 2468 2327 9 156 5 148 1*205 17*344 12*352 2327 2246 5*146 2*082 0*256 10*342 8*350 2246 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography