DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 11.7 - - 18.8 - - 18.3 - - 17.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 52 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2247 - - 2248 - - 2248 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 191 - - 909 - - 906 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 34 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 157 - - 176 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -247 - - -21 - - 0 - - -13 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2494 - - 2269 - - 2248 - - 2261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17178 - - -469 - - -414 - - -13906 ODpotential blCL - - - 19425 - - 2717 - - 2662 - - 16154 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 11.7 - - 18.8 - - 18.3 - - 17.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.1 - - 17.0 - - 16.6 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 11.8 - - 18.7 - - 18.4 - - 17.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.0 - - 18.8 - - 18.4 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 52 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97072 44 060 48 042 38 047 34 045 97072 90099 49 073 40 056 36 050 36 049 90099 84586 44 082 43 078 31 065 37 057 84586 79880 33 073 30 089 22 080 25 069 79880 75765 20 056 18 084 13 063 15 076 75765 72123 13 032 13 069 8 058 9 062 72123 68823 10 004 9 040 6 067 4 353 68823 65780 8 333 9 340 6 042 6 314 65780 62948 11 314 15 305 8 351 11 295 62948 60200 7 313 11 281 9 299 11 280 60200 57339 16 313 12 306 12 297 12 290 57339 54383 19 301 16 290 22 274 25 282 54383 51574 21 312 20 299 29 282 33 276 51574 49068 31 304 30 299 31 283 35 279 49068 46832 34 303 37 291 36 290 41 280 46832 44792 36 302 41 290 40 283 46 279 44792 42910 38 303 44 298 33 288 50 279 42910 41166 42 302 50 298 45 293 56 279 41166 39551 43 299 47 290 68 288 59 277 39551 38058 43 311 42 287 64 276 57 276 38058 36674 52 322 50 295 54 259 54 274 36674 35361 56 317 49 305 53 264 54 267 35361 34047 58 313 48 297 56 275 65 263 34047 32695 54 312 46 291 60 274 71 265 32695 31302 51 313 43 291 58 271 67 265 31302 29852 49 311 46 291 56 271 65 263 29852 28335 45 310 51 292 55 272 65 261 28335 26751 40 316 53 291 55 272 62 263 26751 25102 39 304 49 290 53 270 57 267 25102 23391 40 298 46 286 51 268 53 275 23391 21619 36 299 46 281 48 270 51 283 21619 19781 35 299 43 283 45 269 47 289 19781 17871 28 300 33 284 39 266 40 291 17871 15932 24 291 23 277 31 262 36 287 15932 14072 20 285 22 263 28 256 30 285 14072 12386 16 291 19 257 25 259 26 277 12386 10888 13 303 12 260 22 257 25 275 10888 9555 10 306 11 256 20 252 23 272 9555 8367 9 300 12 251 17 252 19 271 8367 7310 7 281 12 241 15 250 15 277 7310 6373 7 255 12 229 12 243 16 293 6373 5544 4 218 12 209 12 230 16 304 5544 4810 7 156 14 196 11 215 18 311 4810 4150 12 153 14 187 11 191 16 305 4150 3566 14 165 15 178 14 187 12 273 3566 3086 12 182 11 175 12 184 15 224 3086 2727 9 181 11 173 11 183 15 198 2727 2482 8 162 7 162 10 181 13 192 2482 2333 5 159 6*158 8*178 11*191 2333 2248 2*133 5*157 5*176 7*189 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography