DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.9 - - 34.2 - - 35.8 - - 33.4 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - -3 - - 6 - - -36 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 725 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2920 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1182 - - 1789 - - 2995 - - 3343 - - 3630 Hgt.Variab. W* 87 - - 14 - - 34 - - 22 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 15 - - 19 - - 18 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 327 - - 329 - - 329 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 671 - - 0 - - -181 - - -70 - - -91 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 2249 - - 2430 - - 2319 - - 2340 sfcLCL ODpotential 279 - - -280 - - -726 - - -944 - - -990 ODpotential blCL 2641 - - 2529 - - 2975 - - 3193 - - 3239 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.9 - - 34.2 - - 35.8 - - 33.4 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 33.7 - - 33.2 - - 31.3 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 34.4 - - 35.9 - - 34.2 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 33.6 - - 32.6 - - 30.9 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - -3 - - 6 - - -36 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 725 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97258 4 193 14 271 11 315 10 325 4 311 97258 90206 3 157 4 202 5 233 7 320 8 003 90206 84670 2 153 5 134 7 174 6 297 5 065 84670 80005 7 189 7 192 7 195 3 252 1 224 80005 75963 9 193 12 196 12 240 5 269 7 259 75963 72384 8 238 14 210 19 250 15 277 10 270 72384 69131 18 247 16 223 18 248 18 263 16 245 69131 66125 18 246 17 240 18 251 18 262 17 231 66125 63316 22 239 23 243 23 253 19 262 14 233 63316 60569 19 246 23 235 29 246 24 258 20 261 60569 57687 29 260 26 240 31 241 31 241 28 237 57687 54672 38 255 32 244 33 237 36 225 34 240 54672 51783 44 244 38 247 36 239 38 229 41 239 51783 49187 48 234 47 245 44 241 44 240 38 236 49187 46864 51 232 55 238 51 239 48 242 40 240 46864 44760 56 231 59 229 56 236 52 237 45 237 44760 42842 59 229 59 224 58 229 53 229 48 230 42842 41077 59 231 57 223 59 223 54 225 44 223 41077 39438 65 231 56 227 59 219 56 223 43 225 39438 37909 74 229 62 228 60 223 60 217 48 231 37909 36481 91 228 81 226 69 215 60 213 56 229 36481 35119 95 223 88 216 82 212 61 217 60 225 35119 33755 87 218 79 207 89 208 78 211 57 220 33755 32359 82 214 74 202 84 208 87 205 55 212 32359 30931 77 215 72 198 80 207 86 203 61 205 30931 29455 67 220 68 195 78 202 84 201 69 200 29455 27914 55 214 63 195 77 198 80 197 69 198 27914 26311 56 206 59 196 75 195 77 196 64 201 26311 24650 55 204 54 199 74 203 77 209 54 211 24650 22939 53 205 51 206 73 211 72 209 40 232 22939 21181 46 207 49 212 68 213 65 203 31 244 21181 19377 42 205 44 216 60 218 55 210 23 274 19377 17519 41 203 36 214 49 221 30 251 25 300 17519 15636 37 202 25 219 37 224 15 275 31 315 15636 13830 31 198 14 234 24 251 15 292 37 324 13830 12190 25 196 10 286 15 321 23 326 37 325 12190 10727 14 191 21 335 22 332 26 334 36 330 10727 9421 2 151 26 341 26 333 32 343 41 332 9421 8260 10 356 25 343 28 341 36 345 43 338 8260 7232 17 357 26 349 33 344 38 346 48 342 7232 6322 20 009 30 350 39 343 45 344 48 341 6322 5516 26 012 34 349 43 338 47 340 48 340 5516 4801 33 004 39 344 43 334 47 338 46 338 4801 4159 36 357 39 339 42 332 45 336 44 335 4159 3589 34 347 37 336 39 331 42 334 41 332 3589 3112 32*345 33 334 36 330 39 333 37 329 3112 2745 30*343 29 331 32 330 34 331 33 328 2745 2491 27 342 24 329 28 329 29 330 27 326 2491 2338 23 341 21*328 25 329 25*330 24*326 2338 2249 17 341 15*327 19*329 18*329 17*324 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography