DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/02 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 40.5 - - 43.7 - - 42.4 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 36 - - 77 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1150 - - 2376 - - 2724 - - 1399 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2233 - - 3130 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 3345 - - 4571 - - 4919 - - 3594 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3022 - - 2751 - - 2693 - - 2037 - - 1828 Hgt.Variab. W* 116 - - 185 - - 245 - - 119 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 312 - - 316 - - 342 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 683 - - 856 - - 338 - - -520 - - -635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2662 - - 3716 - - 4581 - - 4114 - - 2884 sfcLCL ODpotential 103 - - 264 - - -321 - - -1609 - - -2450 ODpotential blCL 3242 - - 4307 - - 5240 - - 5203 - - 4699 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 40.5 - - 43.7 - - 42.4 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 32.2 - - 31.5 - - 32.3 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 40.3 - - 43.1 - - 42.1 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.6 - - 31.7 - - 31.1 - - 32.2 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 36 - - 77 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1150 - - 2376 - - 2724 - - 1399 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 102 - - 99 - - 67 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97410 16 325 18 350 8 022 16 326 15 315 97410 90301 18 335 13 314 14 337 15 331 14 001 90301 84730 18 343 9 334 11 358 14 319 22 359 84730 80083 16 353 13 009 11 351 14 317 21 341 80083 76058 14 325 15 001 10 330 11 295 10 338 76058 72446 14 320 15 295 13 305 13 303 5 313 72446 69143 10 323 12 280 11 286 15 300 12 315 69143 66102 14 317 13 303 8 302 11 276 17 293 66102 63277 18 308 13 298 11 325 6 296 18 264 63277 60512 20 300 20 269 19 296 22 335 21 299 60512 57590 23 287 22 270 28 279 31 305 31 301 57590 54531 33 281 26 288 33 279 39 295 42 293 54531 51599 38 279 33 279 36 278 43 291 42 287 51599 48968 39 293 32 282 36 283 42 293 36 288 48968 46629 51 292 43 282 37 287 41 298 34 294 46629 44518 54 284 45 278 38 295 39 297 37 294 44518 42592 53 286 43 287 41 295 39 293 36 293 42592 40820 56 290 47 288 42 291 40 292 35 297 40820 39177 59 290 48 286 42 289 42 293 39 301 39177 37649 59 287 49 288 45 288 41 294 40 299 37649 36230 59 284 51 291 45 281 37 297 36 296 36230 34882 58 282 53 291 38 280 34 300 29 304 34882 33538 61 286 56 288 32 289 30 299 25 306 33538 32164 68 288 56 285 30 297 23 302 19 306 32164 30764 71 285 56 284 27 303 17 315 11 319 30764 29323 72 282 56 284 26 308 16 322 9 337 29323 27832 70 283 56 283 27 303 23 321 13 343 27832 26289 65 286 52 284 30 296 35 307 26 332 26289 24692 55 288 41 290 26 290 36 291 35 318 24692 23039 49 291 34 297 22 292 31 301 36 312 23039 21327 46 297 34 300 26 300 32 308 35 307 21327 19550 47 305 38 303 30 306 32 306 38 303 19550 17697 47 310 42 307 34 311 35 303 37 302 17697 15805 42 307 44 309 37 310 36 313 35 307 15805 13979 35 309 42 308 38 309 39 318 35 315 13979 12319 32 314 40 308 37 309 42 317 37 318 12319 10841 34 319 38 310 34 308 44 313 40 315 10841 9525 36 318 35 315 32 308 45 311 41 312 9525 8352 32 316 34 319 31 306 40 312 39 310 8352 7308 26 319 28 315 27 302 33 312 36 310 7308 6382 27 327 21 311 27 302 29 311 31 313 6382 5561 27 330 20 311 23*303 23 309 26 314 5561 4835 27 331 19*311 19*307 20 310 22 313 4835 4182 21 334 16*311 15 314 16 319 18 319 4182 3604 18*336 16 312 15 316 13*332 14 331 3604 3122 16*336 15 312 14 318 12*339 12 343 3122 2750 15 336 15 312 14 319 11 342 12 347 2750 2494 14 336 14 312 13 320 10 344 10 347 2494 2338 12 336 13 312 12 321 9 344 9 346 2338 2249 10 336 10 312 10 321 8 344 4*342 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography