DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.4 - - 27.6 - - 29.7 - - 30.7 - - 29.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 34 - - 49 - - 8 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 216 - - 325 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2411 - - 2520 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1373 - - 857 - - 1145 - - 1530 - - 1100 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 80 - - 104 - - 31 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 256 - - 289 - - 333 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 163 - - 272 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -10 - - 91 - - 216 - - -18 - - -236 ODpotential blCL 2259 - - 2320 - - 2304 - - 2267 - - 2485 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.4 - - 27.6 - - 29.7 - - 30.7 - - 29.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 26.8 - - 29.2 - - 30.5 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 27.3 - - 29.3 - - 30.6 - - 29.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.5 - - 27.0 - - 28.9 - - 30.6 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 34 - - 49 - - 8 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 216 - - 325 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96101 32 014 28 005 34 019 29 006 36 013 96101 89373 30 012 27 020 31 003 32 345 28 001 89373 84074 26 013 29 017 21 340 23 349 31 008 84074 79588 25 007 20 015 15 013 14 350 27 346 79588 75659 16 003 19 005 15 028 9 345 17 335 75659 72148 8 016 14 339 13 022 10 308 10 339 72148 68940 5 011 10 328 14 357 11 279 8 348 68940 65956 4 358 6 327 12 333 5 249 5 307 65956 63160 4 039 2 339 7 297 3 103 6 255 63160 60428 4 126 2 113 5 256 6 028 5 247 60428 57561 6 140 3 156 6 264 9 333 2 298 57561 54578 3 056 4 168 6 269 13 306 7 356 54578 51737 2 254 3 224 7 291 14 295 13 346 51737 49190 2 137 4 235 9 298 12 299 18 331 49190 46916 2 302 7 261 11 293 13 305 22 318 46916 44856 11 277 9 268 12 278 16 301 21 311 44856 42966 15 252 9 261 14 269 18 304 18 309 42966 41215 19 231 16 258 15 264 19 301 18 315 41215 39585 21 226 19 242 17 259 20 297 22 322 39585 38066 22 225 21 226 20 256 23 296 24 321 38066 36646 26 219 23 225 24 249 27 296 27 319 36646 35288 29 221 31 230 29 242 26 282 28 314 35288 33924 34 223 39 223 34 234 24 272 26 303 33924 32526 35 221 42 223 45 229 30 257 25 291 32526 31102 37 212 63 232 60 228 45 236 24 287 31102 29637 37 205 71 231 67 228 58 224 23 287 29637 28119 38 207 70 232 62 216 60 221 27 271 28119 26554 38 214 62 239 59 206 61 216 40 241 26554 24937 37 221 47 235 55 221 60 205 50 221 24937 23257 34 220 38 222 49 227 55 206 47 205 23257 21515 30 214 38 209 47 210 49 223 43 212 21515 19703 27 211 34 205 48 209 43 214 40 207 19703 17815 25 215 27 211 42 216 41 208 37 210 17815 15894 22 220 24 224 27 220 35 215 32 236 15894 14052 18 220 21 226 23 217 22 215 23 252 14052 12377 14 213 19 222 18 222 19 234 16 248 12377 10884 12 216 17 218 17 234 16 255 15 258 10884 9554 9 239 13 222 15 241 16 275 15 285 9554 8368 6 249 9 230 12 247 17 286 14 316 8368 7311 8 234 9 238 11 256 15 301 13 325 7311 6372 9 239 9 244 9 274 12 315 14 331 6372 5539 6 248 8 255 9 287 12 320 12 342 5539 4805 3 227 4 266 8 284 11 324 11 344 4805 4155 3 173 2 248 5 285 10 348 9 352 4155 3582 2 096 3 195 4 314 9 349 7 356 3582 3106 2 048 3 201 3 310 8 341 6 337 3106 2740 3 023 2 267 3*296 7 338 5 300 2740 2489 4 013 2*260 3*291 5 334 4 280 2489 2336 4*010 2*256 3 288 4*332 4*277 2336 2249 3*009 2 257 2 287 3*333 3*274 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography