DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -9.7 - - -11.5 - - -10.9 - - -16.6 - - -19.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - -5 - - -6 - - -24 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 842 - - 51 - - 195 - - 51 - - 50 BL Depth Hcrit 2230 - - 2229 - - 2229 - - 2229 - - 2229 Hcrit BL Top 3037 - - 2246 - - 2390 - - 2246 - - 2245 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 658 - - 1254 - - 1439 - - 1001 - - 269 Hgt.Variab. W* 77 - - 6 - - 0 - - 10 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 332 - - 328 - - 315 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -160 - - -983 - - -871 - - -1054 - - -1130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3197 - - 3229 - - 3261 - - 3300 - - 3376 sfcLCL ODpotential -17130 - - -17620 - - -16819 - - -18247 - - -20520 ODpotential blCL 20167 - - 19866 - - 19209 - - 20493 - - 22765 blCL maxRH 98 - - 85 - - 82 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -9.7 - - -11.5 - - -10.9 - - -16.6 - - -19.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -15.2 - - -17.1 - - -16.6 - - -22.3 - - -25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -9.6 - - -11.1 - - -10.3 - - -14.4 - - -16.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -16.0 - - -16.9 - - -17.2 - - -20.2 - - -22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - -5 - - -6 - - -24 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 842 - - 51 - - 195 - - 51 - - 50 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 40 - - 27 - - 23 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95688 72 355 73 360 60 002 67 009 56 358 95688 88837 58 357 61 356 64 356 66 357 63 353 88837 83446 52 360 49 346 55 346 58 354 59 353 83446 78878 50 354 43 345 49 341 53 343 52 350 78878 74880 47 348 45 346 43 340 52 337 49 347 74880 71302 51 346 46 345 41 340 49 334 49 344 71302 68019 55 335 47 342 44 338 46 330 51 336 68019 64971 59 326 58 332 49 327 48 325 52 329 64971 62136 66 316 61 321 54 318 49 322 52 327 62136 59390 68 309 61 316 57 311 52 322 53 327 59390 56525 68 304 67 308 56 308 55 319 55 325 56525 53550 65 303 68 302 60 306 59 316 57 321 53550 50707 67 305 64 300 65 304 63 315 61 317 50707 48150 70 304 65 301 66 304 68 311 67 313 48150 45868 72 301 71 302 68 305 68 309 71 311 45868 43807 73 301 74 301 71 305 71 310 73 311 43807 41922 75 302 76 300 76 304 77 311 76 312 41922 40183 78 300 78 298 80 303 80 308 81 312 40183 38571 81 298 79 298 82 302 83 306 88 312 38571 37069 82 297 80 299 83 303 83 306 94 311 37069 35670 83 298 80 300 84 305 83 308 98 310 35670 34333 84 299 81 300 85 306 86 310 105 309 34333 32989 85 300 82 301 87 306 92 311 110 310 32989 31610 86 299 81 301 88 306 97 310 114 311 31610 30198 83 298 79 301 89 306 100 309 117 310 30198 28743 77 297 76 300 87 306 100 308 117 309 28743 27233 70 297 71 299 85 305 97 307 113 308 27233 25671 66 295 67 301 81 305 93 306 106 308 25671 24054 64 295 68 303 75 305 89 306 99 307 24054 22380 62 299 68 305 70 305 85 305 92 307 22380 20652 59 303 64 306 68 306 79 305 85 308 20652 18865 48 305 60 308 66 307 73 305 77 309 18865 17015 43 297 56 308 61 307 67 306 70 310 17015 15138 44 290 53 309 55 306 61 305 63 310 15138 13336 47 290 52 310 51 305 57 304 58 311 13336 11703 44 302 47 310 49 305 53 304 55 311 11703 10256 40 311 45 309 50 306 51 309 52 312 10256 8976 34 311 43 307 51 306 48 315 45 317 8976 7848 35 315 36 309 46 310 39 322 36 324 7848 6860 30 321 31 320 37 323 29 333 28 332 6860 5995 21 337 28 331 27 339 22 342 20 340 5995 5239 22 341 24 338 23 347 19 345 17 345 5239 4573 25 350 23 346 22 349 20 346 16 345 4573 3980 26 353 22 352 23 346 22 344 18 347 3980 3460 26*344 24 347 22 338 23 340 21 345 3460 3026 23*337 22 339 19 332 22 327 21 341 3026 2693 21 336 19 336 18 331 20 320 21 339 2693 2464 19 335 16 334 16*329 17 318 16 327 2464 2325 16 334 14*333 14*329 14*317 13 323 2325 2245 12 334 9*332 10 328 8*315 6*312 2245 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography