DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/24 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.7 - - 44.7 - - 48.6 - - 49.0 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 199 - - 181 - - 74 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 943 - - 2967 - - 3364 - - 4565 - - 328 BL Depth Hcrit 6540 - - 8033 - - 8306 - - 8693 - - 6540 Hcrit BL Top 7172 - - 9196 - - 9593 - - 10794 - - 6557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1940 - - 2812 - - 4077 - - 3503 - - 3547 Hgt.Variab. W* 185 - - 366 - - 375 - - 315 - - 34 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 14 - - 19 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 261 - - 231 - - 242 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -16 - - -22 - - -10 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 616 - - 2639 - - 2447 - - 3249 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6557 - - 6557 - - 7146 - - 7546 - - 6557 sfcLCL ODpotential 137 - - 989 - - 24 - - 984 - - -1840 ODpotential blCL 7035 - - 8207 - - 9569 - - 9810 - - 8397 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 94 - - 98 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 380 - - 450 - - 460 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 38.7 - - 44.7 - - 48.6 - - 49.0 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 39.8 - - 39.7 - - 38.4 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.7 - - 43.1 - - 47.1 - - 48.0 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 38.3 - - 37.7 - - 36.7 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 199 - - 181 - - 74 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 943 - - 2967 - - 3364 - - 4565 - - 328 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 97 - - 76 - - 92 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98321 31 094 26 095 24 106 21 104 20 107 98321 90869 25 098 23 106 21 102 19 100 21 101 90869 85135 22 099 20 109 16 110 15 090 20 101 85135 80386 19 101 17 113 15 114 12 106 19 106 80386 76299 15 114 16 106 14 110 10 129 16 095 76299 72681 14 115 13 103 12 113 8 125 11 081 72681 69393 10 109 9 125 7 109 9 122 6 078 69393 66361 7 124 6 137 3 146 5 100 2 125 66361 63542 6 117 5 157 5 195 1 262 4 166 63542 60791 2 148 5 187 5 204 5 246 5 179 60791 57898 5 226 8 213 9 226 9 256 6 218 57898 54875 9 239 10 229 11 225 10 244 11 229 54875 51977 14 243 13 238 15 232 13 254 13 238 51977 49368 17 237 17 235 20 232 17 247 16 250 49368 47036 19 236 19 241 20 237 18 245 21 255 47036 44933 18 236 20 246 21 240 22 247 24 249 44933 43019 18 235 21 244 21 240 24 244 22 247 43019 41265 18 239 22 246 20 251 22 246 22 251 41265 39655 16 237 23 234 23 255 21 255 26 252 39655 38180 10 229 17 233 23 250 24 267 27 249 38180 36833 6 355 2 273 15 274 24 271 25 260 36833 35567 16 350 8 314 15 291 20 273 29 277 35567 34306 2 326 11 295 15 295 17 260 29 274 34306 33022 9 040 1 299 14 291 14 245 27 266 33022 31715 13 044 3 067 13 279 17 249 26 258 31715 30377 13 046 1 081 11 261 22 255 24 259 30377 28998 11 042 6 316 11 264 25 253 22 254 28998 27584 11 021 7 347 12 269 23 246 24 241 27584 26134 13 356 12 008 5 283 23 247 24 234 26134 24652 16 350 18 328 13 293 25 248 21 245 24652 23143 19 348 18 323 20 290 28 259 19 267 23143 21602 18 334 14 314 19 289 26 258 18 281 21602 20024 16 310 18 307 20 312 15 271 21 292 20024 18437 15 306 19 309 28 320 15 295 20 293 18437 16921 14 310 18 311 25 323 17 288 14 284 16921 15545 14 320 18 319 18 327 13 276 9 280 15545 14314 15 328 19 324 12 323 10 252 8 278 14314 13207 15 335 19 325 10 303 11 243 7 275 13207 12206 15 337 18 324 9 279 15 242 8 260 12206 11299 16 331 16 319 10 261 16*242 10 243 11299 10478 17 320 14 310 11 248 16*242 13 232 10478 9736 17 305 13*295 15*240 16 242 16 225 9736 9066 19 287 13*278 18*234 16 243 19 222 9066 8452 21 268 15 264 20 232 16 242 22 221 8452 7898 23 255 15 259 20 231 15 242 22 219 7898 7427 22*251 15 258 20 230 14 242 21 218 7427 7059 20*250 14 256 19 229 14 242 19 216 7059 6803 17 249 13 255 17 229 13 242 15 213 6803 6647 15 248 12 255 16 229 11 243 12*211 6647 6557 11 248 9 254 12 228 9 243 7*209 6557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography