DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 33.3 - - 29.2 - - 27.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 8 - - -12 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1425 - - 1549 - - 1159 - - 444 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 52 - - 61 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 249 - - 192 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -4 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -634 - - -247 - - -1943 - - -2444 ODpotential blCL - - - 7204 - - 6816 - - 8512 - - 9013 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 94 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 33.3 - - 29.2 - - 27.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 32.8 - - 28.1 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 33.0 - - 31.4 - - 30.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 32.6 - - 29.8 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 8 - - -12 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 100 - - 75 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95816 23 300 25 273 29 289 30 290 95816 88824 14 302 20 294 22 316 26 303 88824 83394 11 307 20 293 17 321 19 308 83394 78867 10 296 17 296 17 297 15 307 78867 74941 16 294 18 285 20 303 15 297 74941 71453 16 289 13 311 17 297 11 287 71453 68259 17 281 21 296 20 287 14 276 68259 65296 21 261 26 280 23 269 15 286 65296 62533 17 261 22 282 21 272 13 290 62533 59840 32 284 27 274 32 278 20 286 59840 57016 40 257 32 264 38 276 27 277 57016 54057 33 251 38 271 40 271 41 262 54057 51216 30 270 51 262 50 249 47 248 51216 48671 49 257 55 241 43 241 43 249 48671 46395 49 243 42 241 38 255 43 258 46395 44330 43 252 38 260 55 261 46 261 44330 42438 42 261 55 264 62 257 52 264 42438 40699 49 264 68 259 68 256 67 264 40699 39094 61 264 76 259 79 254 79 258 39094 37613 83 263 93 258 89 251 92 251 37613 36254 101 261 112 254 102 249 102 248 36254 34977 112 260 122 252 116 249 109 247 34977 33712 116 260 126 252 126 249 111 247 33712 32428 116 260 126 252 129 249 109 247 32428 31132 111 261 126 253 123 250 102 247 31132 29812 101 261 120 253 109 251 92 246 29812 28462 89 259 101 251 96 250 83 245 28462 27081 79 255 88 245 82 249 71 246 27081 25670 74 251 87 245 70 250 58 245 25670 24230 67 247 77 246 61 251 57 239 24230 22760 53 242 58 248 52 246 57 237 22760 21257 41 241 47 249 43 242 56 241 21257 19717 36 241 45 248 40 246 52 248 19717 18169 33 242 42 243 38 252 45 261 18169 16689 32 247 38 240 35 255 37 268 16689 15345 32 248 35 237 31 252 32 267 15345 14143 31 245 33 236 29 244 29 265 14143 13062 30 241 32 237 29 239 29 265 13062 12085 28 238 31 238 30 241 28 264 12085 11199 27 237 31 239 30 246 26 261 11199 10396 26 236 30 240 30 251 24 258 10396 9672 27 235 30 241 31 253 22 251 9672 9018 27 234 28 241 31 253 21 243 9018 8418 27 233 26 241 29 250 21 231 8418 7878 26 232 22 241 26 244 20 218 7878 7417 24 229 19 241 22 238 18 208 7417 7059 19 226 15 241 17 232 16 201 7059 6810 15 224 12 243 12 223 12 190 6810 6657 12*223 10 244 8*214 9*179 6657 6569 6*218 6*249 3*192 5*168 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography