DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 42.7 - - 46.7 - - 41.8 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 64 - - 74 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 370 - - 3157 - - 4290 - - 2388 - - 824 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 124 - - 130 - - 34 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 37 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 178 - - 336 - - 348 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -1 - - 2 - - 6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1006 - - -1096 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 7576 - - 7666 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -8018 - - -3089 - - -2427 - - -1048 - - -3758 ODpotential blCL 14588 - - 9659 - - 8997 - - 7618 - - 10328 blCL maxRH 66 - - 72 - - 94 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 42.7 - - 46.7 - - 41.8 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 32.6 - - 36.0 - - 38.5 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.4 - - 41.6 - - 45.5 - - 41.6 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.6 - - 31.4 - - 34.8 - - 38.0 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 64 - - 74 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 76 - - 79 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97332 8 139 4 215 5 304 2 355 7 261 97332 90082 12 113 7 139 3 360 7 141 2 332 90082 84507 8 106 10 104 7 130 5 128 5 042 84507 79878 4 149 7 063 9 114 5 114 5 076 79878 75894 7 154 7 107 1 142 8 089 7 123 75894 72378 5 129 7 137 6 206 5 344 9 120 72378 69176 5 211 5 135 8 196 8 250 1 310 69176 66220 10 239 4 297 5 202 15 184 13 213 66220 63459 15 236 15 256 13 255 10 238 13 203 63459 60756 18 226 22 227 20 237 21 256 15 243 60756 57923 22 226 27 224 25 232 25 251 22 250 57923 54979 27 229 30 231 31 234 29 242 27 244 54979 52165 29 231 36 231 36 229 35 241 32 245 52165 49634 29 230 38 223 40 227 40 238 38 248 49634 47373 29 232 35 224 38 228 40 237 40 244 47373 45333 33 235 33 235 36 230 39 238 39 239 45333 43479 37 229 36 242 34 233 37 237 35 242 43479 41785 34 232 34 236 31 234 33 230 31 234 41785 40220 32 236 33 232 26 232 24 239 23 229 40220 38760 27 241 36 233 22 255 25 266 21 269 38760 37408 26 248 24 249 24 276 19 255 18 272 37408 36130 25 243 6 264 9 289 7 225 4 255 36130 34852 16 250 15 017 9 025 9 017 10 014 34852 33544 11 294 29 005 15 017 30 356 21 008 33544 32216 11 317 16 007 14 021 37 360 25 004 32216 30856 13 307 7 333 12 012 33 001 22 014 30856 29454 13 290 5 264 9 350 18 005 18 028 29454 28015 8 287 2 272 6 004 7 049 13 026 28015 26538 5 020 8 037 10 019 2 105 6 040 26538 25026 17 045 16 037 11 010 2 309 5 356 25026 23486 24 044 18 042 6 015 4 031 7 357 23486 21913 24 042 19 051 6 041 5 099 2 055 21913 20301 25 043 18 048 6 038 4 124 2 053 20301 18675 26 045 16 036 5 056 1 089 4 002 18675 17116 26 049 14 045 4 078 3 358 3 043 17116 15698 25 060 15 065 5 094 4 013 5 100 15698 14431 23 069 18 083 6 102 4 060 7 127 14431 13294 18 074 18 096 6 116 4 104 6 149 13294 12269 13 077 13 107 6 147 6 142 6 170 12269 11342 8 078 6 128 9 161 9 151 6 180 11342 10506 6 077 5 143 11 168 9 146 7 173 10506 9755 5 082 8 141 10 170 7 144 7 161 9755 9078 4 093 10 145 8 173 5 136 7 149 9078 8461 4 103 10 150 4 179 2 077 5 126 8461 7905 3 108 8 156 2 191 5 005 4 084 7905 7435 2 125 5 167 1 204 7 355 5 050 7435 7069 1 218 3 176 0 274 7 350 5 035 7069 6815 1 246 2 176 0 308 7 349 3 021 6815 6659 2*235 2*180 1 324 6*348 2*355 6659 6570 2*213 1*178 1*336 5*348 1*255 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography