DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 66.7 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 108 - - 93 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4083 - - 343 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8774 - - 6555 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10312 - - 6572 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3517 - - 7414 - - 7469 - - 2820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 147 - - 137 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 164 - - 219 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -2 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 852 - - -2424 - - -3005 - - -896 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9460 - - 8997 - - 9577 - - 7467 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -976 - - -3899 - - -4568 - - -4319 ODpotential blCL - - - 11288 - - 10471 - - 11140 - - 10890 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 99 - - 80 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 690 - - 920 - - 750 - - 920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 66.7 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.3 - - 48.5 - - 47.3 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 64.0 - - 65.5 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 47.3 - - 46.8 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 108 - - 93 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4083 - - 343 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 97 - - 22 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99670 35 119 19 103 19 088 25 087 99670 92194 21 104 17 113 14 117 16 073 92194 86388 12 120 13 112 8 100 14 089 86388 81545 10 119 9 137 9 103 8 086 81545 77382 7 126 5 104 6 133 4 063 77382 73713 8 121 6 150 8 130 4 068 73713 70397 2 198 9 135 5 147 2 069 70397 67349 2 198 6 114 8 165 2 165 67349 64525 5 198 5 258 3 265 1 322 64525 61800 6 261 9 236 10 251 10 289 61800 58973 13 248 13 239 13 252 17 252 58973 56040 21 249 21 240 22 248 21 226 56040 53237 26 231 27 235 22 244 20 224 53237 50704 28 230 30 240 24 252 20 239 50704 48424 39 235 35 242 34 252 31 259 48424 46352 47 231 49 242 48 249 45 255 46352 44466 50 225 55 231 54 245 53 249 44466 42745 49 224 50 233 50 246 52 246 42745 41166 48 228 53 241 49 250 48 249 41166 39704 44 231 53 244 49 255 46 254 39704 38339 38 241 50 250 48 258 45 257 38339 37034 40 249 46 257 46 260 43 259 37034 35727 35 244 43 261 43 263 41 259 35727 34389 29 235 36 261 40 266 38 259 34389 33027 20 246 31 259 34 267 36 258 33027 31627 20 248 23 254 29 259 34 258 31627 30184 17 244 19 255 27 254 32 261 30184 28699 15 246 17 253 26 255 30 263 28699 27177 16 239 14 248 24 256 29 263 27177 25624 15 240 13 255 23 255 31 264 25624 24041 15 250 17 253 23 255 31 265 24041 22423 19 243 18 249 22 254 27 256 22423 20764 18 228 17 245 22 252 22 254 20764 19092 7 241 15 235 22 254 20 255 19092 17493 9 293 14 234 23 254 20 250 17493 16041 10 298 13 243 24 251 20 252 16041 14743 9 302 11 246 24 247 19 260 14743 13575 9 304 10 244 23 245 18 261 13575 12517 9 302 9 240 21 243 16 255 12517 11559 6 286 8 232 17 241 14 253 11559 10691 4*239 7 226 13 238 12 252 10691 9909 4*226 6 219 10 236 10 250 9909 9203 5 214 5 209 9 234 8 249 9203 8558 6 211 5 195 8 232 7 245 8558 7976 6 210 4 187 8 230 5 234 7976 7482 6 209 4 178 7 226 4 218 7482 7097 6 209 4 173 6 222 3 194 7097 6830 6 209 4 168 5 221 4 159 6830 6666 5 210 4*166 5*220 4 144 6666 6571 5 209 3*164 4*219 3*151 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography