DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.6 - - 46.1 - - 49.5 - - 43.7 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 72 - - 76 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 306 - - 3006 - - 5074 - - 2647 - - 576 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 130 - - 131 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 36 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 288 - - 254 - - 338 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1586 - - -2595 - - -2676 - - -205 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8157 - - 9165 - - 9246 - - 6775 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -9507 - - -6921 - - -4517 - - -3003 - - -4251 ODpotential blCL 16077 - - 13491 - - 11087 - - 9573 - - 10821 blCL maxRH 70 - - 49 - - 72 - - 68 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.6 - - 46.1 - - 49.5 - - 43.7 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 29.0 - - 31.9 - - 36.9 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 45.0 - - 48.5 - - 44.7 - - 41.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.1 - - 27.8 - - 30.7 - - 35.6 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 72 - - 76 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97127 2 018 11 226 10 288 13 269 9 266 97127 89937 11 132 2 211 2 189 7 338 4 029 89937 84408 5 069 6 140 3 002 4 094 5 021 84408 79818 3 035 9 123 2 290 6 072 4 065 79818 75853 3 134 4 054 4 113 7 081 3 147 75853 72333 7 175 1 244 3 053 7 093 6 171 72333 69138 4 194 5 177 4 207 3 219 5 242 69138 66186 10 253 6 251 8 219 10 211 9 237 66186 63425 15 238 14 255 10 253 14 230 11 258 63425 60731 19 234 21 240 18 252 19 236 18 244 60731 57918 19 240 22 238 24 233 24 228 25 234 57918 55001 29 245 30 242 30 230 29 234 23 237 55001 52219 32 234 32 237 33 230 33 232 27 242 52219 49720 33 238 35 238 32 235 31 224 32 233 49720 47474 32 246 36 237 35 234 31 232 31 226 47474 45424 35 244 35 229 39 234 36 238 30 234 45424 43540 34 234 31 230 35 232 34 233 28 234 43540 41806 33 213 28 217 26 224 23 223 26 222 41806 40204 31 198 25 210 22 222 15 228 17 232 40204 38726 21 196 18 204 13 214 7 239 9 270 38726 37362 7 198 11 175 4 236 5 319 9 307 37362 36073 4 291 8 119 4 016 11 350 10 341 36073 34794 7 302 3 032 15 349 20 357 14 010 34794 33492 4 308 10 356 18 358 23 358 19 002 33492 32168 5 084 13 013 18 008 25 358 21 356 32168 30813 8 055 15 023 17 019 24 001 21 356 30813 29416 14 033 16 037 17 032 22 010 20 001 29416 27980 17 054 19 048 17 049 21 017 20 008 27980 26508 14 048 20 049 18 054 20 026 20 019 26508 25002 16 026 19 050 18 053 20 030 21 026 25002 23466 11 029 15 058 15 055 18 031 20 028 23466 21894 8 031 13 064 13 057 15 038 16 028 21894 20282 8 016 11 068 12 062 12 052 9 038 20282 18657 8 009 10 074 10 065 8 068 4 059 18657 17101 7 012 8 086 7 072 7 099 3 140 17101 15688 6 039 5 115 4 089 6 134 6 169 15688 14428 6 069 7 151 3 165 8 160 8 175 14428 13297 5 092 9 164 6 188 10 175 10 182 13297 12276 5 113 9 167 9 178 12 182 11 186 12276 11353 5 125 9 166 12 169 13 181 12 185 11353 10518 5 130 8 166 11 168 13 176 12 181 10518 9766 4 143 6 167 9 172 11 175 11 176 9766 9088 4 144 4 168 6 177 8 178 9 171 9088 8469 4 145 3 181 4 183 4 180 7 167 8469 7912 4 139 2 229 2 193 1 201 5 155 7912 7439 5 136 3 264 2 203 2 332 3 134 7439 7071 5 146 3 276 1 216 4 336 2 118 7071 6816 4 183 3 283 1 234 4 337 1 119 6816 6660 4*224 3 288 1 243 4*337 1*171 6660 6570 4*230 2*288 1*254 3*338 2*226 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography