DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.9 - - 57.2 - - 62.1 - - 61.1 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 283 - - 302 - - 69 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4415 - - 6778 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 9240 - - 11120 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 10644 - - 13007 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 617 - - 2333 - - 2276 - - 7930 - - 679 Hgt.Variab. W* 81 - - 459 - - 540 - - 123 - - 9 W* B/S 5 - - 25 - - 19 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 020 - - 040 - - 007 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2263 - - -200 - - 724 - - -4821 - - -1144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8833 - - 10845 - - 12283 - - 11393 - - 7715 sfcLCL ODpotential -6067 - - -2120 - - -523 - - -6302 - - -5369 ODpotential blCL 12637 - - 12764 - - 13530 - - 12873 - - 11940 blCL maxRH 76 - - 85 - - 84 - - 76 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.9 - - 57.2 - - 62.1 - - 61.1 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 32.5 - - 31.0 - - 34.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 54.8 - - 59.7 - - 60.2 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 32.1 - - 30.7 - - 33.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 283 - - 302 - - 69 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4415 - - 6778 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 41 - - 36 - - 3 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98244 5 062 5 056 14 151 8 285 6 336 98244 90916 10 128 5 090 12 101 7 093 3 250 90916 85279 11 108 10 106 4 064 7 078 5 084 85279 80606 10 079 9 109 2 115 6 353 12 075 80606 76557 10 069 7 103 7 092 6 003 14 063 76557 72967 10 077 10 106 8 075 5 034 10 049 72967 69727 11 082 11 091 6 085 5 019 6 055 69727 66754 6 062 6 076 8 083 5 016 9 049 66754 63999 5 074 5 079 6 053 5 027 11 034 63999 61344 8 034 9 075 4 046 4 354 10 015 61344 58573 6 357 5 007 7 005 5 047 5 343 58573 55680 7 330 6 304 7 324 8 020 3 351 55680 52901 7 339 5 330 3 331 9 328 9 344 52901 50391 12 338 8 345 8 005 9 336 13 322 50391 48135 13 333 10 343 11 340 12 347 12 331 48135 46085 15 343 12 354 10 355 15 332 12 348 46085 44201 15 339 13 001 17 011 14 346 15 336 44201 42454 12 352 13 018 23 000 19 356 18 339 42454 40831 14 022 16 021 21 352 24 006 19 350 40831 39321 18 029 23 004 27 016 30 015 24 002 39321 37920 21 021 26 353 40 012 36 009 30 001 37920 36605 22 018 28 014 39 009 40 002 35 001 36605 35308 26 019 42 032 35 015 41 003 36 004 35308 33987 25 012 54 031 38 026 40 003 38 008 33987 32640 19 046 55 027 45 026 36 006 38 007 32640 31258 42 050 49 026 43 018 34 009 35 005 31258 29832 47 045 43 026 41 017 32 007 33 002 29832 28368 45 039 42 028 40 018 29 003 31 004 28368 26867 41 036 40 029 37 018 28 002 30 010 26867 25332 35 034 38 031 33 016 27 001 29 012 25332 23766 27 030 36 031 31 018 26 002 29 009 23766 22166 21 027 34 033 30 021 22 003 28 010 22166 20528 19 011 31 035 29 023 16 002 25 011 20528 18882 17 359 24 032 24 026 14 001 20 004 18882 17306 16 355 21 029 19 026 17 010 17 358 17306 15873 14 350 17 037 12 039 16 027 16 004 15873 14590 11 348 12 043 8 054 13 044 15 013 14590 13437 9 349 9 045 7*056 11 043 11 012 13437 12396 6 355 6 052 6*055 11 033 9 004 12396 11454 5 006 5*059 6 052 11 027 7 011 11454 10603 6 014 3*050 5 048 11 023 7 031 10603 9837 6 020 3 045 5 043 11 020 9 049 9837 9146 6 021 3 031 5 038 11 016 12 057 9146 8514 5 024 3 015 5 033 11 014 16 059 8514 7944 4 034 4 009 5 028 11 012 18 055 7944 7461 5 051 4 007 5 026 10 010 18 050 7461 7084 5 048 4 005 5 024 10 009 15 043 7084 6823 4 010 4 004 4 023 10 008 12 033 6823 6663 4*334 4 003 4 021 9 008 8*022 6663 6571 3*332 3 003 4 023 7*007 4*353 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography