DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.7 - - - - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 109 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1393 - - 2565 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6554 - - 7460 - - - - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7622 - - 8794 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1232 - - 1317 - - - - - 83 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 285 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 221 - - - - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -14 - - - - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3760 - - -3204 - - - - - -2151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11383 - - 11998 - - - - - 8722 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12413 - - -10422 - - - - - -11785 ODpotential blCL - - - 20035 - - 19216 - - - - - 18355 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 68 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.7 - - - - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.6 - - 28.3 - - - - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 56.5 - - - - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.4 - - 27.1 - - - - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 109 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1393 - - 2565 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97500 8 271 7 250 13 277 97500 90258 3 259 8 229 9 347 90258 84621 2 176 6 224 10 313 84621 79932 7 290 9 247 18 271 79932 75901 11 302 17 274 18 266 75901 72341 11 283 16 263 24 290 72341 69134 12 287 18 268 27 283 69134 66210 27 265 32 269 28 286 66210 63506 29 261 31 275 32 293 63506 60870 28 279 29 281 34 283 60870 58100 36 275 38 273 39 279 58100 55226 41 264 43 266 46 274 55226 52496 47 258 48 261 48 273 52496 50050 49 254 51 256 52 270 50050 47865 47 251 48 253 53 262 47865 45890 42 253 44 252 50 251 45890 44093 40 251 39 252 43 245 44093 42436 37 245 38 246 41 244 42436 40887 30 236 38 231 38 247 40887 39435 23 228 35 232 35 247 39435 38079 19 231 33 234 31 238 38079 36788 20 239 30 236 28 243 36788 35493 22 245 27 239 29 246 35493 34166 22 247 25 245 30 246 34166 32812 20 246 23 248 29 248 32812 31422 21 247 23 245 29 249 31422 29989 25 245 24 242 28 248 29989 28517 28 238 28 239 27 244 28517 27008 27 238 28 240 26 242 27008 25464 26 245 26 246 25 243 25464 23887 27 248 27 248 26 246 23887 22274 27 246 28 245 27 249 22274 20619 28 245 28 245 27 247 20619 18952 27 246 28 246 26 246 18952 17356 26 246 27 247 25 249 17356 15903 26 246 27 249 26 251 15903 14606 24 245 27 253 26 251 14606 13442 22 246 28 257 25 252 13442 12392 23 249 27 259 23 252 12392 11443 23 247 25 258 21 250 11443 10588 22 242 23 254 19 246 10588 9820 20 238 21 244 18 240 9820 9129 18 233 16*230 17 239 9129 8500 17 228 14*223 18 237 8500 7933 16*223 14 222 19 229 7933 7452 14*218 13 221 19 217 7452 7079 12 216 12 220 15 209 7079 6820 11 216 11 220 11 199 6820 6661 10 215 10 220 7 187 6661 6570 7 215 8 219 5*192 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography