DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.2 - - 38.8 - - 40.5 - - 37.6 - - 28.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -61 - - 9 - - -10 - - -51 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 707 - - 2695 - - 6100 - - 6293 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 82 - - 73 - - 54 - - 25 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 240 - - 250 - - 245 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -12 - - -7 - - -5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1118 - - -2455 - - -1821 - - -1381 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 7688 - - 9026 - - 8391 - - 7950 sfcLCL ODpotential -4656 - - -4233 - - -4584 - - -4597 - - -6695 ODpotential blCL 11226 - - 10803 - - 11154 - - 11167 - - 13264 blCL maxRH 63 - - 57 - - 52 - - 75 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.2 - - 38.8 - - 40.5 - - 37.6 - - 28.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 27.9 - - 23.8 - - 23.7 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.1 - - 38.8 - - 41.4 - - 40.4 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.7 - - 26.8 - - 22.6 - - 22.6 - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -61 - - 9 - - -10 - - -51 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96312 3 089 8 004 4 129 4 183 5 300 96312 89165 3 069 3 105 2 125 2 045 4 043 89165 83629 3 200 5 135 7 144 3 307 6 345 83629 79017 4 131 5 127 7 183 9 242 8 324 79017 75009 6 257 4 155 5 240 8 220 9 260 75009 71446 8 274 11 218 6 237 8 241 13 230 71446 68200 14 234 20 218 29 246 29 254 31 244 68200 65204 10 258 19 233 35 246 32 253 32 248 65204 62440 36 275 31 271 37 259 37 264 22 273 62440 59782 40 263 46 264 46 267 49 273 38 279 59782 57006 27 262 38 253 53 262 51 263 45 270 57006 54092 32 273 28 258 46 258 47 252 49 258 54092 51282 45 278 42 275 46 273 47 263 53 260 51282 48748 59 273 58 273 59 275 55 271 58 264 48748 46485 66 265 67 264 69 267 65 272 62 269 46485 44437 66 264 70 261 73 261 72 269 67 269 44437 42566 68 273 74 263 75 262 77 266 73 267 42566 40850 75 280 78 271 81 268 82 266 77 269 40850 39275 86 280 85 274 87 269 88 270 89 277 39275 37834 93 277 90 272 91 268 96 273 99 272 37834 36511 98 274 90 271 92 268 100 271 97 266 36511 35262 103 273 91 274 93 270 96 269 96 271 35262 34016 103 272 94 278 93 273 93 272 97 272 34016 32741 95 271 95 280 93 276 94 276 94 266 32741 31439 86 274 94 282 94 278 93 277 94 267 31439 30102 86 284 94 285 94 279 90 272 96 271 30102 28724 87 288 93 287 93 280 89 267 94 273 28724 27312 85 288 91 286 90 278 90 263 90 272 27312 25868 81 284 87 282 87 274 90 262 87 271 25868 24397 78 280 83 277 86 271 89 264 86 270 24397 22902 76 278 80 274 86 270 87 269 84 271 22902 21377 72 278 78 273 84 272 84 275 81 272 21377 19817 66 276 75 273 81 273 80 280 77 273 19817 18249 63 273 71 272 77 275 73 281 71 274 18249 16751 61 271 67 271 71 277 64 282 65 273 16751 15392 59 270 63 270 64 279 52 282 59 273 15392 14181 56 270 60 271 53 281 39 279 52 274 14181 13094 54 269 57 272 44 278 34 272 43 273 13094 12112 51 268 52 273 40 273 34 267 36 271 12112 11222 49 267 47 274 38 267 34 264 31 268 11222 10417 47 265 44 272 38 262 35 262 31 265 10417 9689 46 262 43 268 37 258 35 260 33 263 9689 9032 46 259 42 261 36 257 35 258 34 262 9032 8430 46 254 39 251 35 255 34 256 34 261 8430 7885 45 248 37 244 34 254 33 255 33 261 7885 7423 41 242 35 242 32 253 30 253 32 260 7423 7062 34 236 32 241 29 252 25 251 27 257 7062 6811 26 230 28 241 26 251 21 249 21 252 6811 6657 20*227 24*240 22*251 16*248 14 246 6657 6569 11*223 15*240 13*250 9*245 6*229 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography