DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 77.7 - - 80.6 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 90 - - 142 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7516 - - 344 - - 4111 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11661 - - 6556 - - 8697 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13745 - - 6573 - - 10340 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2317 - - 8912 - - 6821 - - 2294 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 543 - - 136 - - 359 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 4 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 044 - - 165 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - 5 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14 - - -7029 - - -3125 - - -4351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13760 - - 13603 - - 13465 - - 10924 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2518 - - -9093 - - -5019 - - -7295 ODpotential blCL - - - 16263 - - 15666 - - 15359 - - 13867 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 88 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 250 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 77.7 - - 80.6 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 40.7 - - 44.1 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.7 - - 76.5 - - 79.1 - - 74.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 40.2 - - 43.6 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 90 - - 142 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7516 - - 344 - - 4111 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 101 - - 53 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99634 27 099 30 111 22 102 28 098 99634 92044 23 108 20 097 23 097 24 089 92044 86251 22 098 20 101 20 089 21 091 86251 81474 19 092 20 095 19 100 23 091 81474 77340 17 100 21 104 15 113 18 085 77340 73674 16 103 13 104 9 115 10 080 73674 70365 9 103 13 107 7 089 7 088 70365 67342 5 169 2 174 11 067 6 064 67342 64554 7 154 4 221 5 007 5 108 64554 61865 4 138 12 184 11 239 3 208 61865 59085 18 276 7 226 10 242 11 236 59085 56232 26 252 23 263 16 262 18 257 56232 53531 31 245 38 253 32 256 31 264 53531 51112 39 238 45 240 41 239 40 250 51112 48944 42 238 43 239 44 235 44 237 48944 46966 44 245 45 246 44 245 44 236 46966 45139 52 249 54 249 53 252 45 241 45139 43436 64 247 65 247 63 249 49 245 43436 41838 70 243 70 243 67 243 56 246 41838 40333 73 241 73 240 68 239 61 244 40333 38919 72 240 74 237 68 238 65 242 38919 37566 69 241 71 236 67 236 67 241 37566 36213 68 240 67 239 65 237 68 242 36213 34832 65 239 63 240 62 241 67 242 34832 33430 59 238 59 239 63 246 65 243 33430 31994 51 232 55 236 62 241 61 240 31994 30519 48 228 52 232 55 231 58 231 30519 29007 43 228 51 227 47 225 48 235 29007 27456 38 225 50 227 45 227 45 230 27456 25869 36 221 46 232 42 238 47 223 25869 24254 36 223 36 241 38 246 46 225 24254 22609 34 237 25 260 34 254 45 239 22609 20930 30 249 29 262 28 267 38 263 20930 19247 25 243 27 266 23 274 25 292 19247 17639 21 229 25 266 18 268 16 314 17639 16176 16 234 19 260 17 252 10 300 16176 14865 12*261 14 251 15 244 9 272 14865 13685 12*272 10 239 14 236 10 253 13685 12615 11 274 6 227 12 225 10 240 12615 11644 11 273 3 209 10 215 11 228 11644 10764 10 272 1 132 9*210 12 218 10764 9969 7 271 3 075 8*200 13 210 9969 9252 3 281 5 061 6 182 15 204 9252 8596 2 031 6 054 5 160 17 199 8596 8003 3 048 7 049 5 155 18 193 8003 7500 3 049 7 046 5 151 16 185 7500 7108 4 053 7 046 5 148 14 173 7108 6835 4 053 7 044 5 146 11 162 6835 6669 4 052 7*045 5 145 8 158 6669 6572 3 052 6*044 4 144 4*161 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography