DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 53.6 - - 54.9 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 228 - - 154 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5698 - - 7486 - - 7835 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9989 - - 11545 - - 11564 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11927 - - 13715 - - 14064 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5317 - - 4853 - - 3692 - - 7602 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 425 - - 513 - - 457 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 263 - - 260 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -8 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1081 - - 1240 - - 911 - - -4133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10846 - - 12476 - - 13154 - - 10703 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -727 - - -499 - - -616 - - -6339 ODpotential blCL - - - 12654 - - 14214 - - 14680 - - 12909 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 98 - - 90 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 90 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 53.6 - - 54.9 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.4 - - 21.7 - - 20.0 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 51.7 - - 53.5 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 20.6 - - 18.9 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 228 - - 154 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5698 - - 7486 - - 7835 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 90 - - 61 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98273 6 118 10 096 15 078 11 101 98273 90825 7 143 5 120 9 105 9 052 90825 85110 9 158 7 145 8 128 6 095 85110 80373 10 142 6 143 2 132 9 102 80373 76277 7 127 6 151 2 239 7 069 76277 72642 8 130 4 199 3 199 4 056 72642 69335 4 153 5 167 3 244 2 068 69335 66281 7 209 5 192 6 214 0 129 66281 63429 6 225 7 227 9 250 5 318 63429 60638 6 228 9 218 12 246 11 269 60638 57728 12 266 11 256 13 276 13 287 57728 54733 13 273 14 260 11 271 12 245 54733 51874 15 280 14 285 13 306 9 310 51874 49297 22 289 23 288 25 300 21 311 49297 46996 23 280 25 284 23 295 25 306 46996 44921 20 285 20 293 21 305 28 310 44921 43032 26 303 24 302 26 309 32 310 43032 41300 26 304 28 298 32 301 29 312 41300 39704 25 307 31 296 33 300 28 321 39704 38228 29 320 31 299 33 309 33 326 38228 36863 37 326 32 304 36 311 38 319 36863 35581 44 327 37 305 39 306 39 308 35581 34319 46 327 40 306 45 299 36 293 34319 33044 44 329 38 305 47 297 39 285 33044 31751 42 329 35 304 41 297 42 289 31751 30424 38 330 36 309 34 296 39 295 30424 29055 35 330 36 313 31 293 35 295 29055 27648 34 330 34 313 31 296 33 290 27648 26205 33 332 31 312 32 303 33 284 26205 24728 28 337 28 310 32 305 35 280 24728 23222 21 330 26 311 29 306 34 279 23222 21683 20 321 24 313 26 306 32 281 21683 20107 21 321 24 316 24 300 28 282 20107 18520 18 313 17 304 20 285 22 277 18520 17000 12 290 14 290 18 275 20 269 17000 15617 10 271 14 282 16 263 20 258 15617 14380 11 262 14*280 15*257 20 251 14380 13268 13 257 14*271 15*257 20 250 13268 12262 14*254 14 266 15 257 19 251 12262 11351 14*254 13 263 15 258 18 254 11351 10524 14 252 13 262 15 259 17 256 10524 9778 14 252 13 261 14 261 16 258 9778 9103 14 252 13 261 14 261 15 261 9103 8483 13 252 13 260 14 263 14 263 8483 7924 13 252 13 260 14 263 13 266 7924 7449 12 253 12 260 13 264 12 270 7449 7078 12 253 12 260 13 265 10 273 7078 6820 11 253 11 260 12 265 8 275 6820 6662 10 253 10 260 11 265 6 272 6662 6570 8 253 8 260 9 265 3*272 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography