DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 73.6 - - 73.7 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 328 - - 115 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6364 - - 7594 - - 7630 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10821 - - 11839 - - 11241 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12593 - - 13823 - - 13859 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1958 - - 2194 - - 2671 - - 1297 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 540 - - 587 - - 421 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 259 - - 248 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - -10 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -670 - - -1327 - - -1508 - - -6355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13264 - - 15150 - - 15368 - - 12928 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5580 - - -5572 - - -5955 - - -10888 ODpotential blCL - - - 18173 - - 19395 - - 19814 - - 17460 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 39 - - 50 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 73.6 - - 73.7 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 29.6 - - 29.0 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 71.1 - - 72.5 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 28.5 - - 27.8 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 328 - - 115 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6364 - - 7594 - - 7630 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99008 28 113 25 110 21 109 18 095 99008 91473 19 108 16 130 19 087 18 083 91473 85697 18 125 13 138 10 078 17 088 85697 80909 16 106 12 122 6 068 17 095 80909 76768 11 077 15 101 5 116 10 054 76768 73123 5 098 12 080 11 112 5 056 73123 69843 6 124 3 050 8 103 3 113 69843 66827 6 166 7 239 4 070 3 170 66827 64029 8 175 12 239 10 251 9 233 64029 61328 6 244 10 234 12 247 18 244 61328 58537 21 269 18 271 17 275 21 259 58537 55662 24 267 27 279 25 281 25 289 55662 52917 24 287 28 275 27 274 34 284 52917 50452 42 297 36 288 38 288 47 286 50452 48261 54 286 49 285 50 285 54 283 48261 46286 58 286 55 284 52 283 53 288 46286 44473 61 290 59 290 53 291 58 296 44473 42788 63 295 63 295 60 298 66 298 42788 41212 68 299 67 297 66 301 73 299 41212 39735 72 299 69 298 66 300 74 299 39735 38350 74 299 69 298 61 296 70 296 38350 37028 72 300 67 298 59 290 64 292 37028 35705 69 301 65 297 58 286 59 288 35705 34356 65 302 63 296 58 284 55 281 34356 32985 62 301 60 293 58 285 54 276 32985 31581 59 300 58 292 56 286 54 277 31581 30134 57 300 56 292 52 285 53 279 30134 28646 56 301 54 293 48 283 50 281 28646 27122 54 300 51 293 45 280 45 279 27122 25567 51 297 46 290 43 277 41 276 25567 23984 48 294 44 286 41 276 40 275 23984 22370 44 292 42 284 39 276 40 274 22370 20719 40 291 38 284 38 279 37 275 20719 19059 37 291 31 285 34 284 34 275 19059 17471 32 292 25 287 27 280 29 274 17471 16027 26 293 20 282 21 268 26 270 16027 14735 21 291 15*264 17*255 23 266 14735 13572 16*283 13*254 16*252 21 263 13572 12519 12*267 13 253 16 251 19 259 12519 11564 12 262 13 253 15 249 19 255 11564 10698 11 257 13 255 15 247 18 250 10698 9917 11 257 13 258 14 246 18 244 9917 9211 10 257 13 260 13 246 17 238 9211 8565 10 257 12 263 13 245 17 232 8565 7982 10 258 12 265 12 245 16 228 7982 7486 9 259 12 267 11 245 15 224 7486 7100 9 260 11 269 11 245 13 218 7100 6831 8 260 11 270 10 245 11 207 6831 6666 8 260 10 270 9 246 9*195 6666 6572 6 260 8 271 7 245 6*187 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography