DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 58.4 - - 57.8 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 424 - - 129 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4476 - - 6236 - - 5662 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9409 - - 10837 - - 9769 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10705 - - 12465 - - 11891 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1582 - - 1672 - - 2435 - - 1340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 514 - - 588 - - 383 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 19 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 246 - - 245 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -17 - - -23 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -364 - - -176 - - -692 - - -3431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11070 - - 12642 - - 12584 - - 10001 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4954 - - -3336 - - -5327 - - -9246 ODpotential blCL - - - 15659 - - 15801 - - 17218 - - 15816 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 59 - - 63 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 58.4 - - 57.8 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 25.8 - - 25.5 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.6 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 25.3 - - 25.3 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 424 - - 129 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4476 - - 6236 - - 5662 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98847 4 277 8 108 11 267 7 316 98847 91441 3 341 2 048 2 327 4 284 91441 85732 9 071 9 014 11 049 5 041 85732 80998 12 082 8 026 12 037 12 019 80998 76913 12 076 6 054 8 059 11 046 76913 73301 11 054 6 095 6 064 10 055 73301 70030 6 045 8 097 3 059 11 064 70030 67011 5 074 11 081 1 004 7 053 67011 64209 4 148 2 131 3 271 5 349 64209 61502 4 119 4 207 4 195 3 303 61502 58680 12 229 12 216 10 195 11 180 58680 55735 27 228 29 223 27 233 24 229 55735 52913 35 225 35 227 31 226 31 223 52913 50385 36 227 34 224 32 225 39 239 50385 48127 41 241 38 224 39 238 44 242 48127 46076 52 244 48 229 52 240 51 241 46076 44191 60 239 57 232 62 237 59 239 44191 42449 66 235 62 232 67 234 63 239 42449 40835 68 233 64 232 66 233 67 239 40835 39334 70 234 67 233 68 235 71 239 39334 37939 72 236 69 235 71 235 72 238 37939 36614 75 239 72 239 71 236 71 239 36614 35298 77 242 75 241 71 239 72 240 35298 33961 79 244 76 242 73 240 72 241 33961 32605 81 246 78 243 74 241 70 242 32605 31216 81 246 80 245 75 243 68 243 31216 29782 78 247 79 247 75 245 67 244 29782 28308 71 248 73 248 72 248 65 244 28308 26798 67 249 64 248 65 251 60 248 26798 25259 64 250 59 251 59 254 53 254 25259 23693 62 251 58 254 55 257 48 258 23693 22092 61 250 55 256 53 260 45 260 22092 20453 59 248 53 257 49 264 42 263 20453 18804 51 250 48 257 44 269 40 266 18804 17229 43 253 41 257 37 273 37 270 17229 15798 38 256 36 259 27 271 31 271 15798 14521 35 258 29 262 21 266 22 270 14521 13378 30 261 22*256 18 258 15 272 13378 12348 26 265 20*249 18*253 13 277 12348 11415 20*263 20 248 18*251 13 274 11415 10572 18*254 20 247 19 248 13 264 10572 9811 18 249 20 246 19 246 15 250 9811 9125 18 246 20 245 19 244 18 240 9125 8499 18 245 20 245 19 244 21 233 8499 7934 18 245 19 245 19 243 23 229 7934 7454 18 245 19 245 18 243 23 227 7454 7081 17 244 18 245 18 243 20 224 7081 6821 16 244 17 245 17 243 17 218 6821 6662 15 244 15 245 15 242 12 212 6662 6570 11 244 12 245 11 243 6*206 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography