DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.9 - - 43.7 - - 43.9 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 392 - - 234 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6204 - - 7744 - - 6193 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10795 - - 12024 - - 10536 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12433 - - 13973 - - 12422 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2409 - - 2760 - - 3859 - - 5763 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 579 - - 618 - - 483 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 316 - - 349 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - 20 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1418 - - 1010 - - 644 - - -2260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11016 - - 12964 - - 11779 - - 8830 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -97 - - -26 - - -677 - - -4004 ODpotential blCL - - - 12530 - - 13999 - - 13099 - - 10574 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 94 - - 85 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.9 - - 43.7 - - 43.9 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.4 - - 9.5 - - 15.1 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 41.0 - - 42.1 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.3 - - 8.5 - - 14.7 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 392 - - 234 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6204 - - 7744 - - 6193 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 74 - - 39 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97982 8 103 4 035 12 051 10 098 97982 90574 18 099 3 156 9 358 11 064 90574 84871 1 358 1 070 4 288 5 014 84871 80137 4 158 2 296 3 023 4 034 80137 76050 4 085 6 225 7 295 8 075 76050 72432 2 204 6 313 6 265 6 014 72432 69153 7 232 6 279 3 232 5 291 69153 66130 5 226 11 248 10 321 5 346 66130 63305 7 236 16 231 18 279 12 337 63305 60540 8 170 11 204 22 246 21 280 60540 57638 12 283 2 288 15 238 18 266 57638 54618 22 256 15 305 13 282 13 283 54618 51726 21 252 19 281 15 281 13 276 51726 49118 24 249 20 271 17 282 13 283 49118 46784 25 229 24 257 23 272 18 287 46784 44675 21 224 24 249 25 266 23 275 44675 42754 21 242 23 254 25 263 23 269 42754 40988 26 250 24 260 25 260 23 270 40988 39355 28 247 28 255 25 253 25 265 39355 37839 30 240 28 245 25 250 26 254 37839 36435 31 240 27 240 26 246 26 239 36435 35113 36 239 30 236 28 240 28 235 35113 33809 41 228 35 232 31 236 34 230 33809 32499 44 220 42 230 38 230 42 223 32499 31190 52 218 50 226 49 224 49 218 31190 29871 56 217 58 223 63 213 56 217 29871 28526 53 215 61 226 66 206 60 214 28526 27147 48 217 55 225 63 209 55 213 27147 25732 44 219 51 225 53 208 49 212 25732 24286 39 221 47 228 43 212 42 215 24286 22812 37 223 45 223 37 211 37 210 22812 21307 34 226 39 220 35 209 31 207 21307 19765 29 228 29 238 25 213 24 212 19765 18211 24 226 23 236 14 210 18 207 18211 16725 16 220 15 230 5 197 12 177 16725 15376 5 210 7 238 2 202 12 136 15376 14171 1 271 5*271 2 323 7 086 14171 13087 2*306 5*284 5*347 10 039 13087 12107 3*310 7 311 7*348 16 025 12107 11219 5 312 7 313 9 349 20 024 11219 10414 5 311 8 316 12 349 22 025 10414 9688 6 310 9 318 13 349 23 029 9688 9031 7 311 9 318 14 349 25 036 9031 8429 7 311 10 319 14 349 27 042 8429 7886 8 311 10 319 15 349 27 044 7886 7424 8 312 10 320 15 349 26 045 7424 7063 8 311 10 320 15 349 25 045 7063 6812 8 312 10 320 14 348 22 045 6812 6658 7 312 9 320 13 349 19*045 6658 6570 6 312 8 321 11 348 12*044 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography