DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 37.0 - - 33.9 - - 29.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - -8 - - -24 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2296 - - 4105 - - 1693 - - 125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 49 - - 32 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 179 - - 172 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -14 - - -10 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -813 - - -767 - - -67 - - -632 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7384 - - 7337 - - 6638 - - 7202 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3638 - - -3215 - - -3683 - - -5920 ODpotential blCL - - - 10208 - - 9785 - - 10253 - - 12490 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 69 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 37.0 - - 33.9 - - 29.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.1 - - 27.6 - - 27.4 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 37.8 - - 37.0 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 26.4 - - 26.7 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - -8 - - -24 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96932 18 088 30 104 20 122 19 075 96932 89762 15 134 17 113 12 106 13 097 89762 84141 15 112 14 119 15 107 12 112 84141 79449 12 111 9 127 10 121 10 102 79449 75377 10 096 7 132 3 163 7 071 75377 71753 2 131 2 149 4 179 4 250 71753 68472 6 179 5 261 7 297 4 001 68472 65451 11 228 12 246 14 258 11 246 65451 62647 16 254 14 277 18 286 13 246 62647 59905 25 260 27 271 26 249 18 260 59905 57007 28 248 31 250 31 266 29 274 57007 53986 29 244 31 255 47 262 46 263 53986 51099 41 246 47 242 57 250 47 234 51099 48507 48 242 49 243 63 248 54 235 48507 46200 55 249 61 251 62 243 51 235 46200 44126 67 249 67 248 60 246 57 247 44126 42242 73 249 78 248 75 252 72 244 42242 40523 84 253 94 243 95 242 75 241 40523 38945 104 249 102 241 98 240 74 244 38945 37482 110 247 109 242 102 239 84 245 37482 36129 114 248 117 242 110 238 111 239 36129 34859 115 249 119 241 117 238 122 237 34859 33604 113 248 117 241 120 238 121 236 33604 32333 110 247 114 239 120 238 108 235 32333 31053 108 245 110 238 112 239 92 234 31053 29747 105 245 105 239 96 238 86 231 29747 28402 99 245 98 240 87 235 83 231 28402 27021 93 245 91 240 83 235 75 237 27021 25608 85 246 84 241 79 243 63 239 25608 24167 74 248 80 241 65 246 51 234 24167 22702 66 247 75 240 58 240 43 241 22702 21208 61 244 70 239 66 232 42 237 21208 19679 56 240 64 236 69 230 47 231 19679 18146 51 238 58 232 60 227 48 228 18146 16684 48 236 53 227 51 225 45 226 16684 15356 43 232 48 224 46 226 44 223 15356 14166 36 229 42 223 43 226 45 217 14166 13093 30 226 36 224 41 226 46 213 13093 12119 29 224 32 223 38 222 48 211 12119 11234 30 220 31 220 36 216 48 209 11234 10429 30 215 30 215 35 210 47 208 10429 9702 31 210 30 209 33 203 45 207 9702 9042 31 204 29 201 31 197 41 205 9042 8437 31 198 27 193 29 192 34 201 8437 7891 29 190 25 187 26 186 31 194 7891 7426 25 183 23 185 23 181 28 186 7426 7064 22 180 21 184 20 179 24 176 7064 6812 19 178 18 183 15 177 20 168 6812 6658 15*177 15*182 12*176 15*166 6658 6570 8*175 8*179 6*172 8*168 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography