DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/13 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.7 - - 77.7 - - 82.4 - - 81.9 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 317 - - 353 - - 137 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 4933 - - 7562 - - 6408 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 9697 - - 11837 - - 10410 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 11162 - - 13791 - - 12637 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2320 - - 2644 - - 2603 - - 3216 - - 6275 Hgt.Variab. W* 111 - - 498 - - 596 - - 415 - - 0 W* B/S 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 246 - - 275 - - 294 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7201 - - -4688 - - -2964 - - -4365 - - -8153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13773 - - 15851 - - 16756 - - 17003 - - 14726 sfcLCL ODpotential -12981 - - -9431 - - -6889 - - -8129 - - -12540 ODpotential blCL 19553 - - 20593 - - 20680 - - 20766 - - 19112 blCL maxRH 59 - - 51 - - 44 - - 32 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.7 - - 77.7 - - 82.4 - - 81.9 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 30.9 - - 31.3 - - 29.9 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.8 - - 75.2 - - 79.7 - - 80.3 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 29.7 - - 30.1 - - 28.7 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 317 - - 353 - - 137 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 4933 - - 7562 - - 6408 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99373 34 100 35 112 28 103 29 104 35 098 99373 91882 29 091 31 108 21 110 26 097 28 091 91882 86118 33 096 24 105 25 115 21 094 21 089 86118 81326 24 092 21 098 22 099 23 104 17 097 81326 77191 19 092 23 096 14 087 18 107 16 088 77191 73521 15 094 18 074 15 108 11 099 13 088 73521 70189 14 092 11 075 14 110 10 083 12 072 70189 67138 6 096 5 049 11 103 8 070 8 057 67138 64334 3 128 1 330 5 093 4 077 3 094 64334 61628 1 084 6 282 7 309 5 356 2 092 61628 58818 6 059 5 248 13 296 12 335 9 353 58818 55927 14 325 13 332 19 316 23 326 22 341 55927 53178 21 327 19 317 22 311 26 317 25 326 53178 50713 24 322 20 308 26 306 29 312 32 319 50713 48514 22 316 22 309 24 304 31 314 37 314 48514 46524 23 291 23 297 24 305 32 313 38 309 46524 44701 20 266 24 272 23 286 30 307 35 305 44701 43013 16 245 26 245 24 255 26 293 31 302 43013 41439 14 255 23 237 29 239 23 282 30 302 41439 39965 10 257 19 234 29 238 25 265 29 295 39965 38586 8 263 17 233 26 237 27 255 26 281 38586 37276 7 271 14 234 25 233 29 255 28 268 37276 35971 6 289 13 241 24 231 30 254 30 263 35971 34638 8 310 13 249 21 237 31 250 30 261 34638 33279 11 317 14 260 18 250 29 252 31 263 33279 31882 14 309 15 272 19 261 28 256 32 263 31882 30439 18 307 15 291 19 269 29 259 31 263 30439 28953 18 310 17 299 20 282 29 263 31 263 28953 27427 17 312 17 300 21 289 28 269 30 262 27427 25864 17 314 16 301 18 287 25 271 28 261 25864 24268 17 316 15 301 16 283 21 268 24 259 24268 22639 16 317 14 302 15 279 19 268 21 257 22639 20970 15 317 13 302 16 281 19 268 18 261 20970 19287 15 313 14 300 16 287 17 279 16 269 19287 17672 16 308 15 297 16 291 14 291 11 304 17672 16201 16 302 15 291 14 289 10 298 11 329 16201 14883 15 296 14 282 11*277 7 284 10 341 14883 13696 14 291 13 276 9*264 6*276 9 348 13696 12621 12 291 10 264 8 264 6*278 8 351 12621 11647 8 296 9*244 8 265 6 282 7 349 11647 10764 5 302 8*241 8 268 6 286 5 341 10764 9969 3 286 8 240 8 273 6 291 3 321 9969 9251 3 222 7 242 8 277 6 296 2 271 9251 8595 3 192 7 245 8 282 6 299 2 233 8595 8003 3 203 7 248 8 285 7 302 2 221 8003 7500 4 222 6 252 8 289 7 304 1 217 7500 7108 4 218 6 256 8 292 7 306 1 226 7108 6835 4 219 5 258 8 293 7 306 1 214 6835 6669 3*219 5 259 7 294 6 308 1*204 6669 6572 2*217 4 262 6 296 5 309 2*194 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography