DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2153z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 54.1 - - 55.4 - - 54.5 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 59 - - 111 - - 76 - - 39 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 3564 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 8236 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 9793 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4133 - - 2609 - - 6011 - - 6457 - - 4065 Hgt.Variab. W* 123 - - 330 - - 135 - - 111 - - 37 W* B/S 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 251 - - 260 - - 232 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - -2 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -615 - - 2146 - - -1348 - - -747 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7186 - - 7647 - - 7919 - - 7319 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential -2292 - - -2 - - -2798 - - -2389 - - -1455 ODpotential blCL 8863 - - 9795 - - 9369 - - 8960 - - 8026 blCL maxRH 80 - - 90 - - 93 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 590 - - 680 - - 770 - - 570 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 54.1 - - 55.4 - - 54.5 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 43.1 - - 43.2 - - 44.8 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 52.9 - - 54.4 - - 53.7 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 41.8 - - 41.9 - - 43.6 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 59 - - 111 - - 76 - - 39 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 3564 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 59 - - 73 - - 59 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98456 24 122 12 121 13 133 3 138 9 124 98456 91034 11 106 15 128 6 138 7 129 9 091 91034 85285 10 092 15 128 7 101 14 119 13 090 85285 80540 15 101 14 114 6 108 13 092 14 094 80540 76496 14 089 11 106 8 118 8 095 11 091 76496 72923 5 097 12 091 10 122 6 132 9 084 72923 69672 8 102 3 082 8 102 6 084 7 087 69672 66676 9 084 1 143 5 093 5 050 6 072 66676 63896 6 130 5 214 3 356 3 051 3 043 63896 61203 6 116 9 183 8 253 5 327 4 146 61203 58378 4 307 6 142 9 217 7 285 4 157 58378 55417 11 260 3 254 5 208 7 256 2 256 55417 52572 12 244 8 262 5 231 8 230 6 290 52572 50009 11 242 10 264 6 274 5 253 8 279 50009 47720 10 233 10 246 8 280 7 302 8 266 47720 45644 8 213 12 232 12 265 12 294 8 269 45644 43741 6 207 11 232 13 248 15 279 9 265 43741 41988 4 258 10 248 9 234 12 266 12 248 41988 40366 8 245 13 252 8 247 10 261 12 236 40366 38864 11 239 15 240 12 243 13 265 10 245 38864 37473 15 247 14 227 15 243 19 266 13 282 37473 36161 21 242 16 224 20 258 29 261 23 280 36161 34870 27 219 27 241 34 262 35 257 38 271 34870 33570 27 214 34 245 42 261 39 258 42 271 33570 32250 24 224 32 239 41 258 41 260 41 269 32250 30894 22 231 29 232 36 255 38 256 41 269 30894 29493 20 233 25 235 31 250 34 249 37 269 29493 28051 18 234 22 236 28 244 33 241 32 266 28051 26571 18 240 22 245 27 247 31 236 29 264 26571 25057 18 250 22 242 26 252 29 238 26 263 25057 23514 18 253 22 240 23 248 26 246 25 262 23514 21939 18 251 20 245 22 246 24 254 26 259 21939 20326 17 245 18 250 20 243 20 257 23 255 20326 18704 16 240 17 245 21 247 17 258 20 250 18704 17149 16 238 17 243 21 247 19 253 18 249 17149 15735 16 241 17 243 20 247 20 247 17 253 15735 14472 16 251 17 241 19 250 17 251 16 258 14472 13337 17 257 17 240 18 251 14 265 15 262 13337 12313 19 256 17 242 17 253 13 274 14 261 12313 11387 19 253 16 246 16 255 12 274 13 257 11387 10549 18 251 16 248 15 257 11 268 12 249 10549 9796 16 249 15*249 14 257 10 258 10 238 9796 9116 14 246 14*249 13 257 9 247 9 226 9116 8493 13 240 13 250 13 257 9 239 9 217 8493 7931 11 229 12 251 12 258 8 236 8 211 7931 7453 10 218 12 251 12 258 8 235 8 203 7453 7081 9 214 11 252 11 258 8 233 8 191 7081 6821 8 212 10 253 10 259 7 231 7 179 6821 6662 7*210 9 254 10*259 6*231 6*174 6662 6571 6*209 8 254 7*260 5*232 4*169 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography