DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 44.9 - - 49.5 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 62 - - 59 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1783 - - 1273 - - 2304 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7197 - - 6553 - - 6718 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8012 - - 7502 - - 8533 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2045 - - 2248 - - 2370 - - 2918 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 187 - - 228 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 23 - - 25 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 246 - - 241 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -27 - - -29 - - -30 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1442 - - 932 - - 1109 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 7424 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 410 - - -25 - - -845 - - -1285 ODpotential blCL - - - 7602 - - 7527 - - 9378 - - 7855 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 44.9 - - 49.5 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 41.2 - - 39.5 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 44.2 - - 48.8 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 40.7 - - 38.8 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 62 - - 59 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1783 - - 1273 - - 2304 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 103 - - 93 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99404 30 106 25 091 27 109 30 090 99404 91793 28 094 28 105 28 093 20 104 91793 85979 21 090 24 110 20 085 24 105 85979 81193 15 118 16 107 12 078 24 097 81193 77078 20 136 13 114 11 103 21 090 77078 73436 15 120 11 133 12 127 9 089 73436 70128 12 121 8 118 12 125 4 141 70128 67064 10 133 3 120 9 099 6 140 67064 64204 9 122 5 195 4 081 3 092 64204 61436 8 155 8 166 4 222 4 141 61436 58555 8 192 4 210 5 257 7 177 58555 55557 16 197 19 204 14 233 8 199 55557 52687 9 185 13 195 15 204 12 249 52687 50105 11 237 11 235 12 202 17 241 50105 47791 16 232 17 245 16 234 21 245 47791 45693 14 224 19 236 18 249 22 254 45693 43777 15 247 20 251 20 255 22 268 43777 42021 19 254 24 253 17 263 25 259 42021 40403 20 267 19 282 16 286 20 240 40403 38905 27 279 25 295 17 306 9 285 38905 37525 23 274 23 282 21 306 12 309 37525 36226 11 318 15 258 19 299 23 282 36226 34934 22 355 13 284 21 299 28 275 34934 33616 20 339 14 264 29 292 26 273 33616 32276 19 333 17 258 29 289 24 276 32276 30903 18 325 18 267 28 283 24 276 30903 29490 20 317 17 281 27 279 25 272 29490 28041 21 322 15 290 26 279 28 266 28041 26557 22 331 16 308 25 293 28 266 26557 25039 30 327 21 326 24 295 25 274 25039 23491 31 316 25 329 24 288 24 282 23491 21909 27 309 25 326 25 283 24 286 21909 20289 27 305 20 319 25 281 24 289 20289 18660 31 298 13 307 24 292 24 292 18660 17104 33 293 19 298 26 302 23 292 17104 15693 32 288 23 293 26 302 21 291 15693 14435 30 280 24 283 25 297 19 289 14435 13306 28 274 25 274 25 287 20 282 13306 12286 27 272 27 266 25 275 21 273 12286 11364 27 269 30 261 28 265 22 269 11364 10529 29 266 34 257 30 258 21 266 10529 9777 30 261 35 254 31 252 20 264 9777 9099 31 255 35 253 30*248 18 261 9099 8480 30*252 34 251 29*245 16 258 8480 7921 28*249 32*249 28 243 14 256 7921 7446 25 246 29*247 26 241 12 252 7446 7077 22 244 26 246 24 240 10 248 7077 6819 21 244 23 246 21 239 8 244 6819 6661 18 244 20 245 18 239 6 243 6661 6570 12 243 12 245 12 238 4*241 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography