DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.9 - - 54.0 - - 58.7 - - 57.8 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 82 - - 416 - - 450 - - 177 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1557 - - 5934 - - 8187 - - 7748 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 10596 - - 12451 - - 11597 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 7786 - - 12163 - - 14416 - - 13977 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2279 - - 2198 - - 1850 - - 2624 - - 2278 Hgt.Variab. W* 222 - - 579 - - 661 - - 478 - - 29 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 14 - - 20 - - 24 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 258 - - 254 - - 252 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -7 - - -15 - - -24 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3215 - - -575 - - -881 - - -1488 - - -6998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11002 - - 12739 - - 15297 - - 15466 - - 13569 sfcLCL ODpotential -7540 - - -3749 - - -4592 - - -4798 - - -11397 ODpotential blCL 15326 - - 15912 - - 19008 - - 18775 - - 17968 blCL maxRH 69 - - 42 - - 49 - - 50 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.9 - - 54.0 - - 58.7 - - 57.8 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 20.9 - - 14.0 - - 12.5 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.9 - - 51.4 - - 56.0 - - 56.3 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.6 - - 19.7 - - 12.9 - - 11.4 - - 11.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 82 - - 416 - - 450 - - 177 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1557 - - 5934 - - 8187 - - 7748 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98264 11 102 4 180 2 165 8 163 6 300 98264 90794 8 128 10 202 6 294 1 206 2 039 90794 85031 6 037 8 180 7 273 4 334 3 359 85031 80246 2 271 2 340 4 219 6 308 6 327 80246 76134 3 223 6 325 4 190 3 282 9 314 76134 72512 1 222 5 210 10 223 5 291 4 003 72512 69223 4 304 4 213 13 215 12 242 9 332 69223 66183 12 222 5 196 7 209 17 233 13 238 66183 63350 15 227 20 249 10 221 16 231 21 233 63350 60593 24 256 30 232 23 245 25 255 27 248 60593 57728 23 263 28 247 26 239 24 260 26 259 57728 54769 31 258 35 271 34 264 27 270 28 261 54769 51942 38 247 42 256 41 260 35 267 34 261 51942 49389 39 249 44 248 44 258 45 267 42 263 49389 47101 47 263 47 254 52 258 54 264 51 259 47101 45035 59 267 53 259 57 257 56 259 52 256 45035 43156 66 263 59 261 56 259 55 262 52 256 43156 41437 70 265 65 267 61 268 62 267 53 273 41437 39860 80 268 74 270 68 270 66 267 63 276 39860 38411 90 269 80 270 77 272 67 269 64 273 38411 37073 98 269 81 270 81 269 67 271 63 272 37073 35808 103 268 79 270 78 267 64 271 63 271 35808 34546 103 267 76 271 75 270 61 271 63 268 34546 33257 100 266 74 273 73 274 58 272 62 266 33257 31944 96 264 72 273 71 274 57 274 60 266 31944 30597 89 261 69 274 69 274 56 274 58 267 30597 29208 80 261 66 274 67 274 55 273 55 268 29208 27780 74 265 63 274 66 273 55 271 53 270 27780 26317 70 270 62 273 65 269 56 270 50 273 26317 24822 66 274 62 274 63 270 56 272 47 274 24822 23302 62 276 61 274 60 272 53 274 46 274 23302 21751 58 276 57 274 56 273 49 272 45 273 21751 20164 54 276 51 272 51 270 46 269 44 273 20164 18569 51 275 46 271 47 268 41 270 39 275 18569 17042 47 276 39 272 41 270 34 272 31 275 17042 15656 39 279 32 274 31*268 27 268 22 279 15656 14415 30 282 26 273 22*257 24*261 18 284 14415 13297 24 279 21 270 21 254 24*258 18 285 13297 12285 22 273 16*261 21 253 24 257 20 280 12285 11366 21 266 15*257 21 253 25 254 22 271 11366 10534 18 265 15 256 20 253 25 252 25 262 10534 9784 13 273 15 257 20 253 25 251 28 253 9784 9106 9 290 15 257 20 253 25 250 30 248 9106 8485 9 296 15 257 20 253 24 249 31 244 8485 7925 9*288 14 258 20 253 24 249 31 241 7925 7449 10*270 14 259 19 254 23 249 29 237 7449 7078 10 267 13 260 18 254 23 249 25 232 7078 6819 9 267 13 261 17 254 21 248 19 227 6819 6661 9 266 12 261 16 254 19 248 15*224 6661 6571 6 267 10 262 12 254 13 248 8*219 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography