DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 56.6 - - 61.8 - - 62.5 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 249 - - 343 - - 75 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4426 - - 6956 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9224 - - 11339 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 10655 - - 13185 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3965 - - 2630 - - 1866 - - 10080 - - 3180 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 450 - - 575 - - 129 - - 19 W* B/S 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 14 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 273 - - 275 - - 252 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3017 - - 64 - - 418 - - -6863 - - -5124 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9588 - - 10592 - - 12768 - - 13434 - - 11696 sfcLCL ODpotential -6027 - - -3616 - - -2434 - - -8550 - - -8324 ODpotential blCL 12598 - - 14271 - - 15619 - - 15121 - - 14895 blCL maxRH 58 - - 70 - - 86 - - 82 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 56.6 - - 61.8 - - 62.5 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.7 - - 32.9 - - 28.4 - - 26.3 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 54.5 - - 59.3 - - 61.5 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.5 - - 31.7 - - 27.2 - - 25.1 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 249 - - 343 - - 75 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4426 - - 6956 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 45 - - 30 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97754 2 114 11 249 7 277 7 301 7 278 97754 90363 3 340 5 196 9 244 6 284 6 328 90363 84652 5 027 5 144 3 221 2 136 7 025 84652 79901 3 027 4 173 2 325 4 358 10 036 79901 75813 2 050 2 184 5 345 4 327 8 036 75813 72209 4 041 2 017 4 002 3 354 7 353 72209 68947 7 340 7 319 6 345 3 042 2 010 68947 65938 6 308 7 292 11 297 9 327 7 007 65938 63151 9 325 7 307 14 284 12 302 9 322 63151 60449 16 315 18 331 12 319 16 320 11 321 60449 57628 25 297 25 317 20 319 23 331 25 325 57628 54720 23 312 25 308 25 308 32 322 30 331 54720 51956 28 334 27 320 27 314 36 315 37 326 51956 49486 36 332 31 331 31 326 36 321 42 325 49486 47290 42 331 40 335 38 330 43 323 46 324 47290 45301 48 331 48 337 53 327 48 317 48 311 45301 43478 53 329 61 331 52 321 50 305 48 296 43478 41805 54 329 61 328 52 321 53 294 49 284 41805 40264 53 329 59 327 56 314 55 287 51 272 40264 38832 53 329 55 327 56 309 53 285 50 263 38832 37496 52 330 52 328 54 307 51 285 52 266 37496 36219 52 334 49 327 51 307 48 287 52 267 36219 34937 53 336 49 326 48 308 45 290 51 268 34937 33626 54 336 49 326 47 309 43 292 49 270 33626 32292 54 332 49 326 46 310 43 293 46 273 32292 30924 51 326 50 324 46 311 43 294 42 277 30924 29514 46 322 47 321 45 312 41 294 38 282 29514 28065 41 320 44 318 43 313 38 294 37 287 28065 26581 39 322 41 318 40 315 35 294 37 291 26581 25065 41 325 38 320 38 314 33 294 37 294 25065 23522 40 322 33 318 37 312 34 296 38 297 23522 21951 35 315 29 315 35 311 36 299 40 297 21951 20348 30 315 25 310 32 309 37 301 39 296 20348 18740 27 319 22 304 29 307 34 303 31 292 18740 17202 26 320 21 301 25 305 30 302 22 282 17202 15804 24 320 22 304 22 301 28 300 20 282 15804 14549 22 323 22 304 19 296 26 296 18 286 14549 13416 18 327 19 302 16*280 23 290 16 288 13416 12390 14 331 16 297 15*276 21 283 14 288 12390 11457 11 335 13*290 15 275 19 276 12 286 11457 10611 7 342 11*280 15 275 17 270 10 283 10611 9848 5 358 10 273 15 275 16 266 8 279 9848 9156 4 021 10 271 14 275 14 259 6 274 9156 8524 2 044 10 271 14 275 13 256 5 265 8524 7953 0 295 10 271 14 275 12 254 3 251 7953 7467 1 227 9 273 13 276 11 254 2 219 7467 7089 3 225 9 274 13 277 11 253 1 137 7089 6825 3 234 9 275 12 277 10 253 3 100 6825 6664 3*235 8 276 12 277 10*253 4*094 6664 6571 2*238 7 276 10 278 8*252 3*094 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography