DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/19 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.5 - - 28.1 - - 30.0 - - 30.0 - - 30.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 16 - - 17 - - 4 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 326 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit 6539 - - 6539 - - 6539 - - 6539 - - 6539 Hcrit BL Top 6555 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 830 - - 1258 - - 1403 - - 1249 - - 855 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 76 - - 76 - - 46 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 219 - - 220 - - 215 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -13 - - -9 - - -10 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6555 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 sfcLCL ODpotential -5961 - - -3193 - - -225 - - -158 - - -2608 ODpotential blCL 12516 - - 9749 - - 6781 - - 6714 - - 9164 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.5 - - 28.1 - - 30.0 - - 30.0 - - 30.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 25.4 - - 29.2 - - 29.5 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.9 - - 27.8 - - 29.6 - - 29.6 - - 30.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.8 - - 25.1 - - 29.3 - - 29.8 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 16 - - 17 - - 4 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 326 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94866 42 320 35 330 16 293 29 286 40 311 94866 87953 24 346 18 339 15 334 22 311 23 340 87953 82685 18 358 14 353 16 348 15 337 13 009 82685 78297 17 345 13 340 18 332 21 346 17 350 78297 74487 17 332 17 331 19 322 21 352 15 320 74487 71111 21 325 23 319 24 311 31 331 16 331 71111 68033 22 320 27 307 31 300 37 319 25 331 68033 65180 26 325 28 312 30 311 42 316 40 318 65180 62514 39 326 36 325 41 319 45 306 50 311 62514 59911 50 312 43 319 44 313 45 304 48 308 59911 57156 52 308 49 313 42 310 48 304 47 305 57156 54250 54 307 49 306 49 303 54 299 50 298 54250 51453 54 311 51 304 58 294 58 294 54 294 51453 48940 60 312 54 301 62 293 58 293 58 293 48940 46703 64 308 61 304 67 295 63 300 64 297 46703 44688 65 306 76 304 78 297 80 300 76 296 44688 42868 67 309 84 301 82 292 89 291 85 294 42868 41218 83 311 80 307 69 294 76 287 89 293 41218 39702 106 313 92 317 70 313 62 299 89 297 39702 38286 121 314 112 319 100 320 78 312 95 303 38286 36963 112 312 127 317 110 315 101 315 104 303 36963 35700 95 310 132 314 104 308 114 312 108 300 35700 34434 76 311 129 313 102 303 110 307 108 298 34434 33137 70 309 124 311 104 301 102 302 108 298 33137 31812 74 307 120 311 102 300 99 298 103 301 31812 30457 77 305 109 312 95 298 97 298 93 303 30457 29065 75 303 78 310 89 297 90 297 83 301 29065 27640 70 304 63 304 81 295 84 296 76 297 27640 26182 66 309 63 299 74 294 80 295 71 295 26182 24692 59 313 65 299 63 296 76 293 68 293 24692 23176 54 315 61 303 53 300 71 289 65 289 23176 21626 52 316 54 309 47 305 61 284 62 284 21626 20039 51 315 47 314 44 307 49 285 59 282 20039 18439 48 311 43 315 41 306 41 289 55 283 18439 16907 44 309 39 315 39 303 38 293 49 283 16907 15516 41 310 37 318 36 301 36 294 42 283 15516 14273 38 312 35 323 33 302 35 291 38 284 14273 13157 38 312 33 327 30 304 34 288 36 281 13157 12150 38 308 31 329 27 305 32 286 35 276 12150 11240 33 302 29 326 23 304 29 279 33 271 11240 10418 27 291 22 316 18 295 27 268 32 269 10418 9680 26 281 16 296 15 280 25 258 31 269 9680 9015 27 271 18 271 16 259 25 252 29 267 9015 8408 27 255 23 252 19 242 25 245 28 257 8408 7863 25 237 24 244 20 234 23 238 25 244 7863 7402 23 224 22 232 18 229 20 229 22 229 7402 7044 19 214 18 223 14 224 17 224 17 215 7044 6795 14 209 16 222 12 223 13 219 12 206 6795 6643 11 204 13*221 10*222 11*218 10*204 6643 6556 6*194 9*219 7*220 8*215 7*200 6556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography