DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1030z - - 1401z - - 1630z - - 1949z - - 2220z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.8 - - 33.9 - - 37.3 - - 34.1 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -55 - - -3 - - 5 - - -3 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6551 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 65 - - 844 - - 1312 - - 605 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 47 - - 59 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 26 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 200 - - 300 - - 119 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -8 - - -1 - - -5 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1965 - - -2341 - - -1788 - - -898 - - -2834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8534 - - 8911 - - 8358 - - 7468 - - 9403 sfcLCL ODpotential -9357 - - -7098 - - -5579 - - -5565 - - -8564 ODpotential blCL 15925 - - 13667 - - 12148 - - 12134 - - 15133 blCL maxRH 64 - - 54 - - 62 - - 83 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.8 - - 33.9 - - 37.3 - - 34.1 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.1 - - 18.2 - - 23.7 - - 24.4 - - 13.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.0 - - 35.0 - - 37.3 - - 36.3 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.5 - - 17.6 - - 22.6 - - 23.3 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -55 - - -3 - - 5 - - -3 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 34 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96507 36 264 42 272 42 291 28 288 27 275 96507 89278 24 279 23 272 24 286 19 288 25 273 89278 83701 22 290 12 299 18 260 23 286 21 287 83701 79052 21 272 17 295 21 251 31 276 19 300 79052 75023 19 263 19 282 19 254 27 265 21 282 75023 71456 20 273 24 276 16 274 18 271 19 271 71456 68220 24 274 26 266 21 269 17 281 20 271 68220 65231 26 261 28 257 30 258 23 264 21 265 65231 62447 27 262 28 251 31 253 28 261 23 263 62447 59742 28 262 27 249 30 252 31 251 25 256 59742 56907 29 257 28 249 35 250 29 257 26 255 56907 53953 34 256 30 252 36 248 34 260 26 257 53953 51131 41 250 36 261 33 254 33 257 30 253 51131 48611 42 248 42 257 37 257 40 256 33 247 48611 46391 42 255 43 251 44 250 38 247 33 249 46391 44398 45 259 44 252 46 249 40 249 40 245 44398 42589 47 254 47 256 49 251 50 247 46 235 42589 40943 45 252 50 260 52 252 52 247 47 236 40943 39426 44 254 53 261 55 255 53 248 49 235 39426 38018 45 255 55 261 58 260 56 248 47 232 38018 36704 45 254 56 261 65 263 57 250 42 232 36704 35451 42 252 56 260 66 263 54 251 43 234 35451 34196 39 251 54 258 62 265 51 253 40 237 34196 32915 38 254 50 254 49 258 47 254 36 240 32915 31612 39 258 42 256 38 246 38 246 34 242 31612 30278 41 261 40 260 32 248 36 239 33 243 30278 28903 41 261 41 254 29 253 38 242 31 243 28903 27491 36 260 42 256 29 253 31 250 29 240 27491 26044 32 258 36 262 29 256 26 249 26 241 26044 24568 30 259 30 261 28 257 23 246 21 240 24568 23066 29 259 28 257 26 255 22 245 20 228 23066 21537 29 261 27 257 25 253 20 245 21 220 21537 19973 29 259 25 260 23 255 18 245 19 219 19973 18397 27 251 24 262 20 256 15 244 15 217 18397 16888 24 245 23 257 19 255 13 241 12 206 16888 15516 22 244 21 253 20 251 12 238 10 198 15516 14289 21 246 19 251 21 247 12 236 9 197 14289 13185 20 249 17 249 20 242 12 236 8 195 13185 12186 18 252 16 246 19 236 11 235 7 192 12186 11281 16 254 14 243 17 228 11 231 6 186 11281 10462 13 255 12 240 15 219 10 219 5 175 10462 9724 9 250 10 235 13 211 9 200 4 162 9724 9056 7 240 9 223 12 202 9 181 5 146 9056 8446 6 220 8 202 12 193 9 168 7 138 8446 7896 7 207 9 191 11 189 9 159 7 141 7896 7428 8 203 10 183 9 192 7 156 10 142 7428 7065 9 187 9 180 6 200 4 137 11 142 7065 6812 11 176 8 187 2 210 3 113 10 146 6812 6658 9*176 6*191 1*238 2*119 7*163 6658 6569 7*188 4*200 0*300 1*119 6*194 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography