DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 56.9 - - 58.2 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 379 - - 131 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6407 - - 8268 - - 7615 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10897 - - 12435 - - 11286 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12636 - - 14497 - - 13844 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1946 - - 2503 - - 3834 - - 8879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 558 - - 626 - - 431 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 317 - - 302 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -9 - - -17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1274 - - 1581 - - -123 - - -5769 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11363 - - 12916 - - 13968 - - 12341 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -800 - - -117 - - -1852 - - -8878 ODpotential blCL - - - 13436 - - 14614 - - 15696 - - 15449 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 85 - - 87 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 56.9 - - 58.2 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 23.0 - - 19.8 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 54.4 - - 56.9 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 21.8 - - 18.6 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 379 - - 131 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6407 - - 8268 - - 7615 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 41 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97623 4 212 7 036 8 087 4 086 97623 90245 8 134 3 315 4 058 5 096 90245 84556 9 091 3 196 5 004 9 080 84556 79841 5 104 6 140 3 356 13 041 79841 75789 3 076 7 136 0 294 8 005 75789 72214 4 005 4 063 3 351 8 035 72214 68974 3 340 5 041 4 005 6 022 68974 65986 6 319 4 004 9 011 8 044 65986 63213 11 212 8 224 9 313 6 343 63213 60531 8 324 7 353 8 354 9 038 60531 57741 10 271 11 302 15 335 16 352 57741 54855 12 328 14 349 16 345 19 345 54855 52092 33 333 29 325 20 314 17 302 52092 49595 41 325 35 315 27 309 29 308 49595 47352 41 315 34 314 30 313 32 314 47352 45317 37 303 33 311 34 313 35 326 45317 43466 33 299 33 315 35 319 41 331 43466 41775 32 305 35 326 42 332 45 337 41775 40219 35 316 42 336 48 337 56 348 40219 38773 39 323 50 335 51 340 81 354 38773 37424 43 325 51 330 53 344 93 354 37424 36136 44 325 44 326 54 346 86 352 36136 34850 44 327 29 330 51 344 71 352 34850 33540 45 328 27 349 42 340 60 353 33540 32211 46 327 27 353 33 335 54 358 32211 30851 49 326 26 001 28 334 51 002 30851 29451 53 325 29 000 25 337 49 003 29451 28013 56 323 35 356 25 343 48 001 28013 26538 55 321 39 350 29 345 47 000 26538 25029 53 321 39 347 32 342 47 000 25029 23489 52 321 37 347 31 337 46 359 23489 21915 50 321 34 344 30 337 43 353 21915 20303 47 321 33 341 31 335 42 348 20303 18683 43 323 33 337 30 328 39 340 18683 17138 38 326 27 334 25 323 32 324 17138 15739 33 328 21*332 20 320 26 318 15739 14488 26 330 18*330 19*319 19 327 14488 13360 18*330 16 326 16*314 15 338 13360 12339 13*327 13 319 15 312 13 343 12339 11413 13 327 12 314 13 309 12 344 11413 10573 12 327 12 312 12 303 11 344 10573 9816 12 327 11 311 11 298 10 341 9816 9131 12 327 11 310 10 295 9 336 9131 8504 12 327 10 309 10 293 7 330 8504 7938 12 327 10 309 9 292 6 321 7938 7458 12 327 10 309 9 291 5 312 7458 7083 11 327 9 309 9 290 5 302 7083 6822 11 328 9 308 8 290 4 291 6822 6663 10 328 9 309 8 290 3*278 6663 6571 9 329 7 309 7 290 3*265 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography