DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.4 - - 42.8 - - 44.6 - - 36.7 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 141 - - 164 - - 89 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4134 - - 4526 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 8743 - - 9112 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 10363 - - 10755 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3527 - - 4653 - - 3413 - - 2015 - - 1009 Hgt.Variab. W* 92 - - 366 - - 396 - - 134 - - 15 W* B/S 8 - - 30 - - 12 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 285 - - 322 - - 004 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1279 - - 1593 - - 1665 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7849 - - 8771 - - 9091 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -3375 - - -141 - - -123 - - 0 - - -1878 ODpotential blCL 9945 - - 10504 - - 10878 - - 6570 - - 8448 blCL maxRH 91 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 200 - - 220 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.4 - - 42.8 - - 44.6 - - 36.7 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 27.4 - - 27.7 - - 35.9 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.8 - - 41.3 - - 42.9 - - 35.6 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 26.3 - - 26.6 - - 35.4 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 141 - - 164 - - 89 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4134 - - 4526 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 103 - - 102 - - 101 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97407 2 276 9 243 11 255 11 299 6 325 97407 90008 11 340 8 324 5 283 12 286 18 314 90008 84380 16 317 7 290 10 293 12 294 8 335 84380 79715 2 289 12 250 19 293 16 313 7 325 79715 75689 6 269 18 250 19 280 14 298 13 286 75689 72125 13 291 17 271 14 275 15 279 12 289 72125 68867 20 279 18 283 15 284 20 284 19 287 68867 65856 20 268 18 281 17 269 20 281 22 280 65856 63056 21 285 18 289 17 272 18 288 19 303 63056 60338 24 282 22 281 23 287 23 297 23 305 60338 57497 20 277 23 274 24 289 23 303 22 301 57497 54540 18 299 22 284 24 296 27 305 25 311 54540 51712 25 306 22 301 23 295 29 309 28 312 51712 49169 29 303 26 304 25 299 31 308 28 316 49169 46891 29 300 31 297 27 300 29 303 32 318 46891 44826 28 308 30 300 27 302 26 305 32 316 44826 42937 31 309 29 305 27 300 26 312 28 317 42937 41200 33 299 28 305 27 301 27 316 24 318 41200 39595 34 292 29 308 26 302 27 318 21 322 39595 38107 30 297 34 302 27 303 27 317 21 325 38107 36731 34 301 33 293 27 302 27 313 22 324 36731 35437 37 300 33 295 28 296 27 308 24 320 35437 34161 42 301 35 293 28 289 27 302 26 314 34161 32871 40 298 38 291 30 288 27 296 27 308 32871 31565 35 301 40 291 29 290 26 292 26 306 31565 30230 34 303 39 295 28 295 25 289 26 307 30230 28854 33 297 35 293 27 297 24 290 24 309 28854 27444 30 289 33 292 26 297 24 298 23 313 27444 26001 26 289 31 294 23 305 26 310 22 317 26001 24534 24 291 26 294 24 312 25 325 19 318 24534 23044 22 297 23 294 22 308 19 344 15 309 23044 21524 23 307 21 307 23 303 19 345 9 300 21524 19964 25 319 20 320 22 302 15 334 9 310 19964 18390 20 319 16 323 11 294 13 315 12 313 18390 16881 12 316 12 321 9 294 12 301 14 318 16881 15509 12 306 10 318 8 299 12 292 14 328 15509 14281 11 301 8 309 8 301 13 290 15 341 14281 13176 10 297 6 305 7 306 13 291 16 352 13176 12175 9 300 4 300 7 312 13 294 17 003 12175 11269 8 310 3 284 7*318 13 299 17 015 11269 10449 7 323 2*279 7*321 12 307 17 026 10449 9711 5 338 2*278 6 322 12 319 16 034 9711 9044 3 003 2 278 6 323 11 333 14 041 9044 8436 2 049 2 280 6 323 12 349 13 049 8436 7888 1 106 2 285 6 321 13 001 11 059 7888 7423 2 152 2 290 5 321 14 005 11 071 7423 7062 2 136 2 295 5 320 13 005 10 079 7062 6812 2 134 2 297 5 320 13 005 7 083 6812 6658 2*129 2 297 5 320 12*004 4*089 6658 6570 2*127 2 296 4 319 9*004 2*094 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography