DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 11.8 - - 15.9 - - 12.9 - - 9.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 48 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1670 - - 2435 - - 1606 - - 757 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 99 - - 109 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 267 - - 165 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 0 - - -2 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2087 - - -1881 - - -1374 - - -2383 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8656 - - 8449 - - 7943 - - 8951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12504 - - -11691 - - -12629 - - -14991 ODpotential blCL - - - 19072 - - 18259 - - 19197 - - 21559 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 59 - - 52 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 11.8 - - 15.9 - - 12.9 - - 9.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.2 - - 2.7 - - 2.1 - - -5.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 11.1 - - 15.1 - - 14.6 - - 13.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -3.3 - - 1.6 - - 1.1 - - -6.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 48 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 35 042 42 050 31 032 35 028 96405 89237 26 026 23 028 19 010 19 016 89237 83692 23 024 13 357 15 357 13 347 83692 79084 16 001 15 305 19 331 16 320 79084 75109 11 335 10 279 13 326 10 323 75109 71566 17 344 17 311 19 326 8 333 71566 68328 19 300 20 310 20 336 20 345 68328 65333 17 260 11 285 27 339 29 335 65333 62546 14 300 14 314 29 320 29 334 62546 59846 16 328 26 323 28 311 28 331 59846 57032 18 318 28 321 28 312 31 321 57032 54113 26 319 27 319 27 311 30 323 54113 51331 33 317 28 324 28 323 33 333 51331 48837 37 320 37 329 38 330 42 332 48837 46618 42 317 44 326 41 326 45 323 46618 44619 43 315 42 320 38 327 35 322 44619 42796 41 316 38 319 41 336 27 338 42796 41118 36 321 34 323 46 340 43 350 41118 39562 36 334 35 329 46 341 44 352 39562 38119 44 341 37 332 44 343 70 018 38119 36784 51 337 36 336 40 341 90 016 36784 35518 50 331 34 340 35 339 95 010 35518 34255 43 331 31 349 33 352 84 008 34255 32971 38 341 31 003 41 009 69 007 32971 31672 41 349 30 360 52 016 63 001 31672 30342 40 342 30 336 57 018 47 353 30342 28970 48 339 35 327 53 019 42 353 28970 27557 55 338 36 335 51 020 41 359 27557 26105 55 338 38 347 49 015 36 358 26105 24619 49 334 40 355 42 007 32 356 24619 23099 46 333 41 358 36 007 31 350 23099 21543 43 337 42 360 33 013 32 337 21543 19945 40 338 42 001 33 015 34 335 19945 18335 37 336 39 357 35 012 34 340 18335 16793 36 336 35 351 36 010 32 346 16793 15390 36 338 32 346 35 009 29 351 15390 14140 34 340 29 340 32 006 28 354 14140 13021 32 341 26 335 28 002 26 355 13021 12018 29 342 23 331 25 355 24 355 12018 11117 26 343 21 329 22 349 23 352 11117 10309 23 343 17 329 20 345 22 348 10309 9587 19 342 13 326 17 342 20 342 9587 8941 14 338 10 315 13 338 16 335 8941 8354 10 327 7 294 9 324 11 325 8354 7829 6 304 4 267 5 302 8 315 7829 7384 4 266 3 263 1 229 6 305 7384 7039 4 210 3 264 2 169 3 298 7039 6799 5 195 3 265 2 155 1 202 6799 6653 5*193 2*268 2*153 2*169 6653 6568 4*189 2*267 1*165 3*197 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography