DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 27.3 - - 23.8 - - 27.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 63 - - -13 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 1406 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 7635 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2554 - - 2086 - - 1186 - - 739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 99 - - 193 - - 0 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 16 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 214 - - 179 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -22 - - -7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1101 - - 1066 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7670 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3696 - - -168 - - -6645 - - -4987 ODpotential blCL - - - 10265 - - 7803 - - 13214 - - 11556 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 95 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 27.3 - - 23.8 - - 27.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.7 - - 23.0 - - 22.3 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.4 - - 26.5 - - 24.3 - - 27.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.6 - - 22.3 - - 22.7 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 63 - - -13 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 1406 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 78 - - 84 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96284 12 070 9 023 13 043 11 058 96284 89261 8 050 9 030 14 030 12 074 89261 83737 16 010 12 040 4 013 11 358 83737 79112 11 022 8 335 14 024 9 028 79112 75107 8 018 7 275 20 325 15 360 75107 71558 14 353 16 327 17 319 23 347 71558 68322 23 241 19 271 26 302 25 334 68322 65339 20 299 27 303 31 300 37 301 65339 62601 39 292 38 299 35 296 35 296 62601 59951 36 295 38 301 39 297 34 300 59951 57151 33 299 39 302 40 303 40 303 57151 54222 44 308 52 308 58 304 56 299 54222 51441 61 298 66 299 68 298 66 298 51441 48962 65 295 63 293 65 298 66 301 48962 46753 77 310 65 314 70 311 74 312 46753 44756 102 308 90 319 97 317 101 309 44756 42948 101 301 121 309 125 304 120 298 42948 41308 93 307 127 301 122 295 114 292 41308 39797 125 321 108 312 105 302 103 296 39797 38380 139 321 113 321 107 310 106 301 38380 37050 135 319 118 321 104 308 109 299 37050 35775 134 319 116 318 105 303 101 299 35775 34494 125 314 114 312 107 301 97 299 34494 33181 124 307 113 307 109 301 105 297 33181 31844 124 307 111 305 109 301 112 297 31844 30475 119 309 102 304 108 301 114 297 30475 29065 110 309 97 301 103 300 110 296 29065 27621 107 304 98 298 96 300 103 296 27621 26144 109 301 99 296 89 299 95 295 26144 24638 100 298 98 295 84 298 88 294 24638 23107 80 296 94 295 84 297 83 294 23107 21547 68 295 88 296 85 296 80 293 21547 19954 57 299 82 298 83 296 75 293 19954 18357 46 299 76 299 79 299 68 292 18357 16832 40 295 68 298 73 302 63 292 16832 15449 38 289 60 294 69 304 60 293 15449 14215 35 284 53 290 65 302 59 293 14215 13108 31 279 46 284 59 298 58 291 13108 12111 26 272 42 275 50 291 53 287 12111 11210 22 263 37 259 44 282 52 280 11210 10398 21 253 32 243 42 267 52 274 10398 9667 22 244 26 229 39 251 49 266 9667 9009 23 237 24 223 36 237 45 254 9009 8408 23 232 23 219 33 223 42 242 8408 7867 22 227 22*217 30 212 39 233 7867 7410 19 222 20*215 25 206 33 221 7410 7054 17 220 18 214 21 201 26 212 7054 6807 15 218 16 214 15 196 21 207 6807 6656 13*218 14 213 12*191 17*204 6656 6569 8*217 9 212 5*179 8*198 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography