DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.5 - - 46.8 - - 50.7 - - 43.3 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 62 - - 73 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6571 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 569 - - 2001 - - 2679 - - 1046 - - 467 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 121 - - 127 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 181 - - 248 - - 279 - - 016 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -461 - - -2154 - - -2528 - - -43 - - -613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7031 - - 8726 - - 9099 - - 6613 - - 7183 sfcLCL ODpotential -7441 - - -6837 - - -6301 - - -5509 - - -8204 ODpotential blCL 14011 - - 13408 - - 12871 - - 12079 - - 14774 blCL maxRH 69 - - 70 - - 69 - - 73 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.5 - - 46.8 - - 50.7 - - 43.3 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 31.7 - - 33.9 - - 37.2 - - 32.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.5 - - 45.7 - - 49.7 - - 46.1 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 30.6 - - 32.9 - - 36.8 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 62 - - 73 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96129 15 284 21 280 29 289 20 306 19 292 96129 89174 11 298 11 305 18 285 14 308 18 312 89174 83774 8 333 13 320 5 337 10 289 17 319 83774 79281 8 311 9 327 6 007 8 326 15 331 79281 75389 8 350 5 303 7 335 5 009 7 337 75389 71911 12 317 8 334 9 331 10 001 7 005 71911 68744 7 299 8 301 11 284 5 315 7 307 68744 65827 11 360 1 218 4 266 15 340 5 061 65827 63118 21 299 21 290 24 305 32 303 26 311 63118 60511 23 318 23 298 25 301 30 285 31 286 60511 57814 30 329 21 308 20 298 23 300 24 291 57814 55024 35 322 25 311 33 308 35 297 35 292 55024 52356 49 321 41 312 40 306 34 296 39 292 52356 49934 62 319 54 313 48 315 42 306 45 296 49934 47747 64 321 62 316 61 318 55 311 46 301 47747 45758 71 324 71 315 74 315 68 310 54 311 45758 43936 77 321 71 314 78 310 78 306 66 309 43936 42257 71 321 64 320 70 309 74 306 67 303 42257 40702 63 330 64 332 59 319 59 309 58 302 40702 39248 62 338 70 337 59 333 55 324 50 306 39248 37886 54 338 67 338 58 338 58 329 46 320 37886 36590 48 334 49 333 51 343 52 332 50 329 36590 35298 45 337 41 328 43 343 42 339 43 332 35298 33981 37 345 39 334 36 333 34 344 35 332 33981 32641 33 349 31 345 32 327 30 342 29 329 32641 31267 31 348 27 344 26 330 25 335 23 318 31267 29850 32 344 25 338 21 331 20 325 22 319 29850 28394 33 341 24 333 19 328 18 312 19 319 28394 26899 35 338 25 327 20 321 18 300 19 309 26899 25369 37 334 26 318 22 317 18 300 21 304 25369 23805 39 331 26 314 23 314 17 309 22 306 23805 22205 39 331 25 313 24 310 17 318 21 309 22205 20562 37 331 25 315 24 308 17 320 20 314 20562 18905 35 329 27 316 24 313 18 319 19 318 18905 17317 33 326 27 317 23 315 18 320 18 321 17317 15871 31 323 24 318 21 314 16 322 16 325 15871 14580 29 322 21 318 17 312 14 321 14 331 14580 13420 25 320 18 316 14 309 10 316 11 338 13420 12373 20 316 16 312 12 302 7 305 8 338 12373 11428 16 302 14 306 11 294 7 289 5 331 11428 10574 15 289 13 298 11 290 8 281 4 314 10574 9807 14 281 11 290 9 283 7 277 4 285 9807 9117 11 270 9 278 6 270 6 273 4 266 9117 8489 9 256 7 255 4 229 5 261 4 245 8489 7925 7 245 5 231 3 223 3 201 3 213 7925 7447 6 236 3 223 2 232 3 137 3 154 7447 7076 6 213 2 227 2 251 3 099 5 128 7076 6818 6 171 2 236 2 259 3 060 5 126 6818 6660 6*161 1*245 1*269 3*031 4*136 6660 6570 4*181 1*248 1*279 2*016 3*193 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography