DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 27.9 - - 25.3 - - 19.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 54 - - -8 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2174 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6658 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8403 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3241 - - 5337 - - 5185 - - 740 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 116 - - 47 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 258 - - 247 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -7 - - -9 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1834 - - 0 - - -996 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 7565 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 257 - - -1070 - - -2759 - - -3174 ODpotential blCL - - - 8146 - - 7639 - - 9328 - - 9743 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 89 - - 65 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 250 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 27.9 - - 25.3 - - 19.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 22.9 - - 15.3 - - 14.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 27.1 - - 25.6 - - 22.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.9 - - 21.8 - - 14.1 - - 15.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 54 - - -8 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2174 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 56 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96749 74 072 81 077 70 079 80 071 96749 89580 62 074 66 073 59 074 61 072 89580 84055 51 076 49 073 51 074 42 072 84055 79430 41 069 37 068 41 074 33 069 79430 75395 32 066 30 060 31 065 28 068 75395 71798 26 068 17 054 21 040 22 053 71798 68534 19 050 12 048 13 001 17 038 68534 65526 13 024 10 015 13 351 15 015 65526 62729 15 355 11 356 16 337 10 293 62729 60000 18 335 14 345 12 315 8 281 60000 57120 17 331 13 327 17 296 10 333 57120 54120 21 322 21 304 23 290 34 315 54120 51258 28 308 32 307 32 304 39 303 51258 48678 32 304 36 306 38 304 36 299 48678 46366 36 308 37 303 46 307 41 302 46366 44269 36 307 42 304 47 310 46 306 44269 42348 36 308 46 302 49 312 52 308 42348 40575 38 306 48 304 55 311 59 311 40575 38936 42 302 51 308 64 311 70 312 38936 37421 46 299 56 310 72 310 79 311 37421 36030 47 300 61 310 78 312 89 313 36030 34726 48 306 62 311 84 315 102 315 34726 33443 50 310 65 314 91 314 116 316 33443 32147 51 308 71 316 92 312 124 318 32147 30837 47 302 74 315 90 312 125 319 30837 29500 40 293 72 313 90 314 122 319 29500 28128 31 291 68 312 92 315 113 319 28128 26731 28 287 61 309 92 316 103 318 26731 25314 28 284 50 303 88 316 97 315 25314 23877 27 282 38 295 80 315 95 314 23877 22419 27 277 33 283 64 312 91 316 22419 20934 24 266 23 280 48 305 83 323 20934 19418 22 266 23 283 29 294 66 326 19418 17901 22 280 26 281 19 292 44 316 17901 16457 23 287 26 277 16 288 35 296 16457 15149 22 287 27 274 20 267 33 295 15149 13980 21 283 28 271 28 256 33 297 13980 12926 20 278 27 269 34 258 33 295 12926 11972 19 274 27 267 36 263 32 293 11972 11106 17 268 26 266 37 264 31 291 11106 10320 17 262 26 263 38 264 29 288 10320 9611 19 255 27 260 38 261 28 284 9611 8970 20*249 27 257 38 258 28 279 8970 8381 20*247 27 256 37 255 29 274 8381 7851 20 246 26 256 35 253 30 268 7851 7400 19 246 25 256 33 252 28 260 7400 7049 18 246 23 256 29 250 25 252 7049 6804 16 246 21 257 25 249 20 246 6804 6655 14 245 18*257 21*249 15*242 6655 6569 9 245 12*258 12*247 7*235 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography