DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.2 - - 20.4 - - 27.2 - - 24.7 - - 17.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 1 - - 17 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 231 - - 239 - - 653 - - 350 - - 268 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 37 - - 79 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 208 - - 131 - - 272 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -6 - - -4 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2280 - - -868 - - -523 - - 0 - - -663 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8848 - - 7436 - - 7092 - - 6568 - - 7232 sfcLCL ODpotential -14502 - - -12574 - - -9754 - - -8995 - - -11191 ODpotential blCL 21070 - - 19142 - - 16322 - - 15563 - - 17759 blCL maxRH 65 - - 64 - - 65 - - 77 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.2 - - 20.4 - - 27.2 - - 24.7 - - 17.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.4 - - 11.5 - - 19.5 - - 21.1 - - 9.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.1 - - 21.5 - - 27.8 - - 27.1 - - 23.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.7 - - 12.0 - - 18.6 - - 22.1 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 1 - - 17 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96247 14 344 9 333 14 355 10 320 14 337 96247 89172 12 329 13 342 17 015 9 003 11 016 89172 83640 13 349 13 001 15 357 8 358 10 021 83640 79010 12 359 13 357 14 346 9 355 15 001 79010 74995 8 012 8 326 9 314 16 337 10 343 74995 71441 9 001 4 353 17 299 22 296 17 314 71441 68223 9 344 3 359 10 275 14 304 13 301 68223 65234 19 337 7 331 17 325 24 331 24 308 65234 62448 26 330 25 296 28 287 32 316 33 305 62448 59768 27 344 21 307 25 290 31 304 31 313 59768 56986 35 330 23 329 24 344 29 326 29 327 56986 54088 43 304 34 312 34 326 28 324 35 320 54088 51318 41 317 37 309 36 315 32 312 41 313 51318 48847 50 329 42 315 41 314 41 309 48 311 48847 46665 54 320 46 318 48 314 47 309 49 308 46665 44718 57 311 53 320 52 320 47 319 48 315 44718 42965 58 309 65 318 57 326 52 328 47 320 42965 41361 59 317 67 314 64 323 57 322 46 322 41361 39870 63 324 65 314 67 316 53 319 46 320 39870 38469 70 327 64 314 66 311 46 331 45 320 38469 37152 72 325 65 315 60 315 50 339 44 324 37152 35890 70 322 65 317 54 324 55 339 43 328 35890 34626 67 320 65 319 55 330 56 337 42 325 34626 33330 63 317 63 319 57 330 54 334 41 323 33330 32010 59 313 59 318 55 329 55 338 37 325 32010 30654 55 311 51 318 52 329 56 344 32 324 30654 29256 51 312 45 318 49 328 53 350 29 324 29256 27818 47 316 44 319 44 327 43 354 27 326 27818 26344 45 323 43 316 40 324 34 347 25 327 26344 24837 47 329 42 314 38 319 32 328 22 324 24837 23301 47 333 40 319 37 316 33 317 22 311 23301 21733 45 332 41 326 36 313 32 316 24 304 21733 20128 43 331 40 331 35 312 32 316 25 301 20128 18513 38 328 39 335 33 318 32 316 26 303 18513 16966 33 323 35 335 30 324 31 317 25 307 16966 15559 31 321 29 327 28 326 28 319 24 311 15559 14302 30 323 25 321 25 325 25 321 23 316 14302 13175 28 327 23 319 22 323 22 321 23 322 13175 12160 25 330 21 323 18 322 19 320 22 327 12160 11244 24 334 19 330 15 322 16 316 21 330 11244 10418 23 338 17 339 11 322 13 309 19 331 10418 9677 20 338 15 344 8 320 10 297 14 325 9677 9010 13 328 10 338 5 310 8 278 9 302 9010 8405 7 307 6 312 3 284 8 258 7 259 8405 7863 5 270 3 252 3 242 8 245 7 242 7863 7405 6 265 3 204 4 192 7 240 5 233 7405 7050 6 258 3 186 5 166 6 241 3 213 7050 6804 5 242 3 175 4 154 5 249 2 172 6804 6654 3*228 3*177 3*141 3*257 2*171 6654 6568 3*224 1*208 2*131 2*272 2*199 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography