DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 53.4 - - - - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 172 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2690 - - 4242 - - - - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7728 - - 8942 - - - - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8919 - - 10471 - - - - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2575 - - 1850 - - - - - 422 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 326 - - 399 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 222 - - - - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -6 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3006 - - -1330 - - - - - -1978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11926 - - 11801 - - - - - 8550 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9181 - - -6348 - - - - - -7638 ODpotential blCL - - - 18100 - - 16819 - - - - - 14209 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 65 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 53.4 - - - - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.2 - - 24.6 - - - - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 51.7 - - - - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.0 - - 23.4 - - - - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 172 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2690 - - 4242 - - - - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96731 19 299 20 275 30 290 96731 89478 21 280 26 274 22 284 89478 83927 21 259 24 279 17 297 83927 79332 18 257 19 290 14 299 79332 75353 14 267 16 283 16 299 75353 71819 14 270 12 280 18 284 71819 68618 18 284 15 284 17 284 68618 65673 21 295 16 288 19 279 65673 62932 23 303 16 291 20 275 62932 60262 24 294 21 288 22 272 60262 57476 24 285 23 280 25 269 57476 54587 23 282 25 278 25 280 54587 51819 24 284 30 275 29 282 51819 49323 27 282 32 274 32 279 49323 47089 29 282 31 272 35 278 47089 45072 29 281 31 275 39 269 45072 43252 31 290 33 280 35 266 43252 41611 34 296 36 290 32 268 41611 40110 34 297 38 299 28 269 40110 38708 32 299 40 308 35 260 38708 37392 30 305 42 305 32 258 37392 36129 33 306 40 305 27 268 36129 34862 34 302 39 305 24 273 34862 33566 32 296 37 304 21 275 33566 32244 29 294 34 300 20 267 32244 30887 27 298 27 298 21 255 30887 29487 25 303 22 302 27 250 29487 28046 24 307 19 306 27 248 28046 26568 17 310 14 300 26 248 26568 25059 8 009 13 302 23 249 25059 23520 19 038 11 311 18 245 23520 21948 14 035 5 353 18 237 21948 20337 14 349 4 011 18 234 20337 18715 19 340 8 308 17 240 18715 17161 19 333 10 300 16 249 17161 15749 15 321 10 299 15 255 15749 14486 13 302 11 292 14 259 14486 13350 12 282 11 281 13 260 13350 12325 13 264 11 270 12 257 12325 11396 12 253 8 253 12 245 11396 10556 10 242 7*240 11 234 10556 9799 8 227 6*231 10 226 9799 9116 8*216 6 228 8 217 9116 8492 8*213 6 223 7 198 8492 7929 8 211 5 221 6 181 7929 7451 8 211 5 219 8 159 7451 7078 8 212 5 215 10 150 7078 6820 7 212 4 215 10 141 6820 6661 7 212 4 215 8*142 6661 6571 6 211 4 214 5*154 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography