DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.9 - - 37.1 - - 41.1 - - 37.2 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 143 - - 110 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 2265 - - 3456 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 7376 - - 8100 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 8494 - - 9685 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 661 - - 1748 - - 1869 - - 3518 - - 830 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 297 - - 316 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 14 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 217 - - 222 - - 262 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -18 - - -14 - - -1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1218 - - 1236 - - -102 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 7276 - - 8450 - - 6673 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -2469 - - -650 - - -918 - - -2425 - - -3080 ODpotential blCL 9038 - - 9144 - - 10603 - - 8995 - - 9650 blCL maxRH 79 - - 84 - - 73 - - 73 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.9 - - 37.1 - - 41.1 - - 37.2 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 28.3 - - 27.1 - - 30.8 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.4 - - 35.7 - - 39.9 - - 38.5 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.0 - - 27.2 - - 25.9 - - 29.7 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 143 - - 110 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 2265 - - 3456 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96278 22 271 37 270 35 272 34 274 38 280 96278 89233 18 267 18 264 28 265 26 288 26 286 89233 83802 16 278 6 248 15 255 13 287 16 275 83802 79258 9 251 8 256 11 283 8 296 10 265 79258 75306 9 278 14 223 18 238 19 279 16 306 75306 71792 16 292 10 256 14 217 24 237 23 256 71792 68602 32 255 22 265 17 262 21 256 21 246 68602 65637 32 235 30 248 26 256 28 274 18 256 65637 62851 27 224 28 238 36 247 33 265 25 273 62851 60132 24 254 28 237 35 237 37 255 37 265 60132 57292 31 259 28 250 29 246 36 251 42 252 57292 54347 34 254 32 261 33 259 36 257 39 252 54347 51546 37 252 39 256 42 254 43 259 40 258 51546 49040 43 259 43 253 44 250 48 253 44 259 49040 46808 46 261 46 254 45 250 45 250 46 255 46808 44795 51 267 45 255 46 254 44 254 46 252 44795 42962 54 268 43 265 48 257 44 263 44 251 42962 41279 59 272 50 272 49 261 50 268 41 257 41279 39726 62 272 59 266 52 264 52 261 47 266 39726 38291 61 270 63 257 56 262 47 257 56 266 38291 36955 59 277 59 257 60 259 47 262 56 261 36955 35684 61 283 58 259 61 254 54 259 52 259 35684 34416 64 284 57 260 58 254 57 254 53 260 34416 33128 65 284 56 261 56 256 56 254 56 259 33128 31821 66 286 55 261 54 257 55 255 58 257 31821 30482 64 289 53 264 52 259 53 256 57 258 30482 29100 59 286 50 270 51 259 50 259 56 259 29100 27678 56 280 47 272 51 257 50 262 54 261 27678 26218 59 278 46 270 49 258 49 263 51 263 26218 24724 58 278 47 269 46 260 46 263 49 263 24724 23202 52 275 46 272 43 260 42 261 46 261 23202 21648 46 272 42 268 43 258 40 262 43 259 21648 20057 41 268 42 262 41 259 38 263 41 259 20057 18456 36 264 39 260 37 259 34 258 37 261 18456 16925 34 262 35 260 34 255 31 256 34 261 16925 15534 32 266 29 260 31 252 27 255 31 259 15534 14292 28 270 24 258 28 248 24 252 27 256 14292 13178 24 275 21 253 25 243 22 248 24 252 13178 12174 19 274 19 247 23 237 22 242 23 248 12174 11267 13 268 18 239 19 227 21 233 22 247 11267 10449 10 252 17 231 17 220 20 222 23 245 10449 9713 10 240 17 225 16*220 18 217 22 242 9713 9048 11 237 16*221 16*220 16 217 20 236 9048 8440 12 237 15*219 15 221 13 220 18 228 8440 7892 12 231 15 218 14 222 11 226 14 223 7892 7427 13 217 14 217 13 222 10 233 10 218 7427 7064 13 203 14 217 13 223 8 241 6 207 7064 6812 11 188 12 216 12 223 6 247 4 184 6812 6658 9*183 11 216 11 224 4*254 4*170 6658 6570 5*183 8 216 8 225 3*262 3*190 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography