DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.5 - - 37.1 - - 41.4 - - 42.5 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 140 - - 201 - - 44 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3156 - - 4661 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 8015 - - 9318 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 9385 - - 10890 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4736 - - 4198 - - 4609 - - 10046 - - 4943 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 332 - - 429 - - 114 - - 19 W* B/S 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 13 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 294 - - 279 - - 262 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -5 - - -9 - - -2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1504 - - 1663 - - -3819 - - -297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 7881 - - 9228 - - 10389 - - 6867 sfcLCL ODpotential -973 - - -428 - - -460 - - -5198 - - -3006 ODpotential blCL 7543 - - 9813 - - 11350 - - 11768 - - 9576 blCL maxRH 97 - - 101 - - 100 - - 85 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 180 - - 40 - - 170 - - 70 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 33.5 - - 37.1 - - 41.4 - - 42.5 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 25.7 - - 24.0 - - 20.0 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 35.6 - - 39.6 - - 41.8 - - 38.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 24.5 - - 22.9 - - 18.8 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 140 - - 201 - - 44 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3156 - - 4661 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 103 - - 102 - - 38 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97396 8 302 16 256 14 278 4 359 13 267 97396 90033 9 288 13 284 14 292 13 297 11 297 90033 84424 7 276 14 267 16 293 18 296 14 327 84424 79784 4 284 12 245 15 262 19 290 15 328 79784 75777 7 279 15 272 13 251 20 266 16 305 75777 72216 15 255 19 268 15 264 22 255 19 285 72216 68968 18 249 23 255 18 257 22 257 20 271 68968 65956 26 259 20 250 22 247 24 248 23 266 65956 63152 28 255 20 256 22 247 24 246 24 263 63152 60425 26 254 22 255 25 254 23 258 24 256 60425 57553 25 256 24 258 27 257 25 276 21 276 57553 54560 25 262 24 255 30 260 30 272 27 285 54560 51707 23 269 22 259 26 267 27 274 25 279 51707 49149 22 274 22 268 24 274 26 278 23 280 49149 46859 19 279 21 281 23 275 26 279 25 286 46859 44784 15 297 22 283 26 272 29 278 31 288 44784 42895 22 299 21 283 22 271 31 281 33 286 42895 41165 24 287 23 288 23 286 32 286 31 286 41165 39568 21 302 24 293 27 286 30 290 26 286 39568 38088 27 315 28 301 29 287 29 299 27 312 38088 36724 32 310 35 298 33 287 30 310 34 319 36724 35444 33 308 38 296 34 283 33 315 36 332 35444 34180 31 311 34 298 31 287 34 315 41 344 34180 32895 30 313 30 308 33 293 35 313 44 343 32895 31588 29 314 29 316 34 292 36 307 43 340 31588 30246 29 316 29 321 30 295 37 298 41 337 30246 28865 29 319 29 323 27 306 32 295 38 327 28865 27448 29 323 28 323 27 315 28 298 35 313 27448 25999 29 328 27 323 27 318 26 295 32 307 25999 24519 30 330 24 324 26 319 25 296 28 308 24519 23015 31 331 22 325 25 318 25 302 24 311 23015 21481 31 330 22 324 23 315 26 305 21 315 21481 19912 31 328 22 323 23 311 29 303 23 315 19912 18341 28 326 22 321 17 307 22 304 20 312 18341 16843 23 322 18 314 13 309 17 304 19 302 16843 15480 19 316 17 312 12 313 16 303 19 290 15480 14259 17 315 17 312 12 309 16 294 19 281 14259 13161 16 319 17 311 12 300 15 286 19 277 13161 12168 15 322 15 309 13 294 15 283 19 275 12168 11268 13 320 13 307 13*284 14 280 18 276 11268 10453 12 316 10 302 13*281 14 278 17 276 10453 9718 10 314 8*293 13 279 13 272 15 276 9718 9052 7 307 8*291 13 278 13 268 13 276 9052 8444 6 295 7 292 13 278 12 266 11 278 8444 7895 4 281 7 293 13 278 12 265 8 287 7895 7429 4 280 7 295 13 278 11 263 5 307 7429 7066 3 280 7 296 12 279 11 262 4 348 7066 6813 3 281 7 297 12 279 10 261 4 030 6813 6659 3*283 6 297 11 279 9*261 4*049 6659 6570 2*287 5 298 9 279 7*262 3*056 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography