DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1002z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.1 - - 53.5 - - 57.9 - - 57.2 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 209 - - 268 - - 55 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 328 - - 3924 - - 4921 - - 329 - - 328 BL Depth Hcrit 6540 - - 8755 - - 9617 - - 6541 - - 6540 Hcrit BL Top 6557 - - 10153 - - 11150 - - 6558 - - 6557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2153 - - 1636 - - 1592 - - 5286 - - 127 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 404 - - 470 - - 113 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 242 - - 255 - - 259 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -7 - - -5 - - -3 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2025 - - 1522 - - -4419 - - -1725 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6557 - - 8128 - - 9629 - - 10977 - - 8283 sfcLCL ODpotential -1626 - - 463 - - -441 - - -7933 - - -7833 ODpotential blCL 8183 - - 9690 - - 11591 - - 14491 - - 14390 blCL maxRH 92 - - 89 - - 75 - - 56 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.1 - - 53.5 - - 57.9 - - 57.2 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 40.6 - - 38.3 - - 31.9 - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 - - 51.9 - - 55.8 - - 56.2 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 39.4 - - 37.4 - - 31.3 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 209 - - 268 - - 55 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 328 - - 3924 - - 4921 - - 329 - - 328 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 56 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98340 22 256 19 263 16 263 25 262 25 270 98340 90924 22 258 18 256 20 263 25 273 21 271 90924 85208 12 260 15 258 19 262 17 274 15 278 85208 80464 9 283 12 253 17 274 15 287 16 283 80464 76386 12 291 8 239 14 273 15 293 15 281 76386 72808 12 289 8 250 12 251 11 289 11 279 72808 69586 8 272 10 271 12 255 8 292 7 280 69586 66614 5 243 10 250 16 259 14 281 5 299 66614 63839 13 294 9 217 17 243 21 268 11 287 63839 61141 20 273 8 218 15 219 20 247 16 268 61141 58324 26 256 20 261 18 252 21 265 22 274 58324 55406 27 244 27 251 30 249 32 264 30 276 55406 52630 24 262 24 241 27 247 31 260 33 271 52630 50132 31 271 24 265 28 263 31 262 37 265 50132 47895 36 266 32 273 34 270 34 266 39 261 47895 45865 40 265 37 272 39 270 38 270 40 262 45865 44001 40 262 39 272 42 270 42 275 44 265 44001 42276 39 266 43 274 46 272 47 276 46 267 42276 40676 46 274 50 274 50 272 50 276 47 269 40676 39192 54 279 55 271 52 271 52 278 45 273 39192 37818 58 280 57 271 53 271 53 279 43 277 37818 36516 60 281 60 271 54 271 52 279 44 280 36516 35221 60 283 61 272 55 271 50 280 47 278 35221 33902 58 285 54 272 52 271 46 279 50 275 33902 32562 53 287 48 272 44 268 42 279 50 273 32562 31187 49 290 45 272 37 269 40 279 46 274 31187 29770 47 292 41 274 37 270 39 278 41 274 29770 28315 44 292 39 278 37 271 39 277 38 275 28315 26822 40 291 39 280 37 273 38 278 37 276 26822 25294 37 290 39 282 37 276 37 278 36 278 25294 23735 35 289 37 283 36 279 36 278 34 279 23735 22141 33 287 35 284 34 282 35 282 33 280 22141 20505 32 287 32 286 33 283 34 285 31 280 20505 18856 30 289 30 288 30 285 32 287 30 280 18856 17275 28 293 28 288 27 286 29 287 29 279 17275 15837 26 297 25 286 23 287 25 287 25 279 15837 14553 24 298 22 283 20 284 21 287 19 275 14553 13402 21 297 19 280 17 278 17 287 15 271 13402 12363 19 292 17 278 15 270 14 279 13 266 12363 11424 16 287 15 273 14*255 12 264 11 262 11424 10575 14 281 12*262 13*250 11 258 11 257 10575 9811 11 277 11*249 13 250 11 254 11 251 9811 9122 9 275 11 241 13 252 10 252 12 239 9122 8493 7 274 10 240 12 254 9 253 12 227 8493 7926 5 261 10 240 12 257 9 254 11 219 7926 7444 4 237 9 241 11 259 8 255 8 211 7444 7069 4 206 8 242 11 260 8 257 6 196 7069 6808 5 185 8 243 10 262 7 257 5 167 6808 6649 5*183 7 244 10 262 7*258 6*157 6649 6557 4*185 6 244 8 264 6*259 6*165 6557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography