DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 9.8 - - 24.8 - - 29.5 - - 31.1 - - 26.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -47 - - 76 - - 57 - - -10 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 1711 - - 2636 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6551 - - 6552 - - 6971 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 7940 - - 8865 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 154 - - 1892 - - 1671 - - 3801 - - 368 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 222 - - 235 - - 47 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 18 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 236 - - 235 - - 211 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -17 - - -18 - - -10 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -615 - - 0 - - 1045 - - -906 - - -121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7184 - - 7940 - - 7820 - - 7476 - - 6690 sfcLCL ODpotential -5745 - - -3382 - - -1594 - - -2796 - - -4439 ODpotential blCL 12313 - - 11322 - - 10459 - - 9365 - - 11008 blCL maxRH 78 - - 81 - - 78 - - 83 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 9.8 - - 24.8 - - 29.5 - - 31.1 - - 26.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.4 - - 13.7 - - 18.8 - - 21.8 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 13.1 - - 23.9 - - 28.9 - - 31.5 - - 30.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.5 - - 12.7 - - 17.7 - - 20.7 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -47 - - 76 - - 57 - - -10 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 1711 - - 2636 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 26 - - 11 - - 32 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96367 10 058 2 212 5 342 4 105 5 005 96367 89260 5 080 2 039 1 184 7 311 9 348 89260 83766 3 327 5 009 3 126 7 266 6 302 83766 79160 8 259 5 296 4 332 3 004 4 272 79160 75159 13 179 9 285 11 300 9 311 9 324 75159 71603 8 303 12 279 15 300 12 302 12 326 71603 68373 6 289 8 281 15 299 17 305 14 345 68373 65395 8 353 12 248 8 309 12 301 14 317 65395 62624 19 308 7 282 11 314 18 297 27 307 62624 59943 34 292 22 305 29 300 40 292 28 295 59943 57159 42 288 37 292 40 296 42 298 28 300 57159 54250 46 289 43 295 42 295 47 304 39 302 54250 51448 51 295 47 295 46 297 60 298 56 299 51448 48923 58 296 55 297 57 297 69 295 66 297 48923 46666 65 294 63 297 66 299 76 296 70 295 46666 44630 68 291 72 299 76 300 81 299 73 298 44630 42785 72 294 81 298 85 300 85 303 83 306 42785 41103 82 301 88 300 90 301 92 306 98 313 41103 39556 100 306 99 303 97 306 103 305 113 314 39556 38124 119 306 109 302 109 307 110 302 117 309 38124 36795 131 305 114 301 118 306 114 300 117 306 36795 35533 132 303 117 301 123 307 116 302 116 307 35533 34273 130 305 120 303 126 310 116 307 115 310 34273 32986 130 308 118 306 128 312 118 311 115 312 32986 31676 123 309 113 309 125 314 116 313 114 313 31676 30335 109 308 105 308 119 316 112 313 107 313 30335 28954 99 307 98 306 112 317 108 313 99 312 28954 27537 94 309 93 304 100 314 103 314 92 310 27537 26084 94 312 90 305 89 310 94 313 88 308 26084 24601 95 315 87 307 81 307 83 310 81 305 24601 23090 93 318 85 311 76 307 74 306 74 302 23090 21548 85 320 80 316 71 308 68 303 68 299 21548 19967 73 318 73 318 65 307 62 301 63 298 19967 18377 66 313 66 315 59 306 55 299 59 297 18377 16855 59 309 58 310 53 307 50 297 55 296 16855 15473 49 307 50 306 49 308 47 296 51 293 15473 14239 39 304 41 303 43 310 42 294 47 290 14239 13131 32 299 35 300 38 308 35 289 43 286 13131 12132 28 294 30 296 31 300 30 279 42 281 12132 11230 23 293 27 289 25 286 29 263 41 274 11230 10415 19 294 24 279 22 266 30 249 41 265 10415 9683 14 291 23 271 22 247 29 241 42 256 9683 9023 11 281 22 260 21*238 28 236 41 250 9023 8421 10 261 20*249 21*236 26 231 39 245 8421 7878 12 241 17*238 20 235 24 226 36 241 7878 7417 14 226 16 236 19 234 22 222 31 237 7417 7058 14 215 15 235 18 234 19 219 26 229 7058 6809 11 195 14 235 16 233 17 216 19 220 6809 6657 9*186 12 235 14 233 14 214 14*213 6657 6569 6*185 9 234 10 232 8*211 7*203 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography