DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.3 - - 41.9 - - 43.6 - - 38.0 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 81 - - 83 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 2242 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 7042 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 8471 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 654 - - 2871 - - 2576 - - 2770 - - 1397 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 132 - - 249 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 234 - - 288 - - 321 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -1 - - 6 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1240 - - 1031 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 7810 - - 7440 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -4042 - - -3725 - - -615 - - -1594 - - -2308 ODpotential blCL 10611 - - 10295 - - 9086 - - 8164 - - 8878 blCL maxRH 80 - - 79 - - 93 - - 84 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.3 - - 41.9 - - 43.6 - - 38.0 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 30.7 - - 33.9 - - 34.4 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.4 - - 40.8 - - 42.5 - - 38.8 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.9 - - 29.6 - - 32.8 - - 33.7 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 81 - - 83 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 2242 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 17 - - 71 - - 36 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95815 31 285 41 289 40 296 36 314 34 306 95815 89056 21 304 28 294 25 312 25 327 22 327 89056 83752 17 322 17 306 21 317 22 332 16 340 83752 79278 14 324 11 322 14 311 16 325 17 343 79278 75364 14 313 9 336 10 303 13 305 19 334 75364 71862 14 305 9 334 9 289 11 297 18 330 71862 68673 13 300 11 321 11 280 12 299 16 332 68673 65729 16 294 13 311 10 285 17 288 17 324 65729 62996 20 292 18 303 12 289 20 285 16 300 62996 60347 21 295 20 296 17 292 25 289 17 292 60347 57572 21 307 23 297 22 290 26 293 19 289 57572 54684 27 303 29 291 28 293 30 295 18 298 54684 51924 28 307 29 289 30 286 24 285 20 289 51924 49433 30 310 27 295 30 287 25 281 23 293 49433 47199 28 305 30 286 32 286 27 286 28 297 47199 45174 27 310 29 281 31 285 28 291 28 292 45174 43319 33 310 28 294 29 285 25 294 26 287 43319 41605 39 298 30 296 28 284 27 288 18 278 41605 40012 33 292 31 286 29 275 29 279 18 285 40012 38532 22 297 25 273 30 265 29 269 23 283 38532 37161 22 306 21 269 27 252 27 262 22 283 37161 35866 27 304 20 269 23 246 26 253 24 277 35866 34579 28 302 21 262 24 243 29 244 25 264 34579 33270 26 306 22 258 25 236 35 232 25 256 33270 31946 29 305 24 262 26 236 36 214 27 254 31946 30592 30 301 26 266 30 242 32 217 29 251 30592 29198 26 302 26 269 31 245 27 226 30 236 29198 27767 15 305 18 271 27 245 24 230 24 229 27767 26300 13 301 9 267 24 237 20 232 22 227 26300 24800 13 299 7 254 19 213 20 238 22 236 24800 23272 12 274 7 227 17 210 22 239 23 241 23272 21711 10 235 12 209 17 216 22 234 24 243 21711 20112 12 208 16 202 16 222 18 233 19 258 20112 18502 15 204 19 196 15 220 13 239 14 271 18502 16962 17 206 19 194 15 217 11 242 11 269 16962 15565 15 208 17 197 15 216 10 234 10 272 15565 14318 13 209 15 205 15 218 9 228 9 274 14318 13199 12 210 14 216 14 221 9 231 9 269 13199 12191 11 214 14 223 13 225 9 240 8 261 12191 11279 11 221 13 226 12 226 9 248 8 255 11279 10455 10 228 12 227 10 224 9 252 7 253 10455 9715 10 232 11 224 8 225 8 250 6 256 9715 9048 9 235 9 218 6*235 7 248 6 263 9048 8439 8 233 8 212 5*257 5 245 5 263 8439 7891 7 222 6 210 5 283 3 255 3 254 7891 7426 6 199 4 217 6 291 2 289 1 207 7426 7064 5 166 3 219 6 297 3 310 2 097 7064 6812 5 147 2 227 6 299 4 318 2 084 6812 6658 4 144 2*233 6 301 3*321 0*360 6658 6570 2*191 2*234 5 303 3*321 2*268 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography