DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1904z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.2 - - 75.8 - - 80.0 - - 80.0 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 276 - - 315 - - 126 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 826 - - 4425 - - 6669 - - 5902 - - 330 BL Depth Hcrit 6542 - - 9255 - - 11075 - - 9978 - - 6542 Hcrit BL Top 7055 - - 10654 - - 12898 - - 12131 - - 6559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1708 - - 3239 - - 3518 - - 4852 - - 7117 Hgt.Variab. W* 142 - - 462 - - 553 - - 394 - - 12 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 245 - - 285 - - 314 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -6 - - 3 - - -17 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3979 - - -1631 - - -1370 - - -3221 - - -6878 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11035 - - 12286 - - 14268 - - 15352 - - 13437 sfcLCL ODpotential -8214 - - -4831 - - -5368 - - -5979 - - -10503 ODpotential blCL 15269 - - 15485 - - 18266 - - 18110 - - 17062 blCL maxRH 69 - - 57 - - 65 - - 59 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 210 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.2 - - 75.8 - - 80.0 - - 80.0 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.6 - - 44.4 - - 39.9 - - 35.2 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.6 - - 73.7 - - 77.6 - - 78.7 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.2 - - 43.3 - - 38.4 - - 33.9 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 276 - - 315 - - 126 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 826 - - 4425 - - 6669 - - 5902 - - 330 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99336 33 095 31 107 30 110 30 108 32 098 99336 91827 28 093 28 107 27 107 25 100 26 092 91827 86049 22 100 25 097 23 111 22 102 24 088 86049 81256 22 103 21 083 21 108 19 103 21 086 81256 77135 18 084 17 087 18 105 17 103 18 082 77135 73500 12 102 13 104 15 099 14 103 14 081 73500 70210 14 096 10 112 10 104 11 079 12 085 70210 67183 12 051 10 134 6 094 5 073 8 073 67183 64384 1 319 5 108 3 095 5 076 4 069 64384 61680 11 147 7 214 5 280 6 003 2 068 61680 58872 6 313 4 298 9 244 12 295 7 315 58872 55979 13 278 13 285 13 257 17 275 13 299 55979 53235 23 289 25 281 22 274 22 270 23 290 53235 50772 29 269 29 271 33 272 33 271 33 274 50772 48576 30 255 35 272 40 269 43 270 47 261 48576 46598 38 272 46 267 47 270 52 268 53 259 46598 44786 51 263 52 258 52 267 59 268 52 269 44786 43106 53 250 48 262 52 268 62 274 62 279 43106 41534 47 268 54 279 58 273 67 275 70 275 41534 40053 53 284 60 281 61 274 67 273 70 271 40053 38661 56 290 57 282 57 276 62 274 67 269 38661 37330 52 295 51 284 49 275 54 274 60 268 37330 35999 50 299 46 285 44 272 47 268 53 269 35999 34644 48 302 42 289 41 273 44 267 47 271 34644 33269 43 301 39 294 35 276 43 270 41 275 33269 31862 36 299 34 297 31 274 40 273 36 278 31862 30409 29 294 31 297 28 272 35 272 34 279 30409 28914 25 292 28 299 27 274 32 269 34 278 28914 27379 22 295 26 294 26 279 33 268 33 277 27379 25809 21 296 23 286 26 282 31 271 34 274 25809 24208 20 292 22 283 26 285 28 278 33 270 24208 22574 21 286 23 282 24 285 26 285 26 273 22574 20905 21 280 23 281 20 286 21 284 23 288 20905 19228 21 275 23 286 19 297 18 291 23 302 19228 17622 17 270 23 293 20 302 18 306 21 310 17622 16158 13 254 23 297 19 302 18 310 18 312 16158 14845 12 237 21 297 18 301 17 311 15 314 14845 13662 13 236 17 296 16*300 17 311 12 318 13662 12591 15 241 14 292 14*295 15*312 10 322 12591 11620 16 246 12 282 11 290 12*312 8 325 11620 10740 18 247 11*271 10 281 9 312 6 328 10740 9948 21 245 11*257 10 279 6 312 4 328 9948 9231 22 238 11 251 10 280 5 312 2 318 9231 8576 22 229 11 241 10 281 5 314 1 197 8576 7986 21 214 10 240 10 282 4 315 2 164 7986 7484 20 199 10 241 10 284 4 320 3 154 7484 7093 17*193 9 242 10 286 4 320 3 147 7093 6821 15*192 8 243 9 286 4 322 3 144 6821 6655 13 191 8 244 9 287 4 322 3*144 6655 6559 9 191 7 244 8 288 3 324 3*153 6559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography