DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 42.2 - - 41.7 - - 36.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 77 - - 80 - - 25 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1756 - - 1632 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6554 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 7985 - - 7861 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2602 - - 2369 - - 1953 - - 1528 - - 1327 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 225 - - 221 - - 89 - - 71 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 23 - - 21 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 206 - - 220 - - 237 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -43 - - -30 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1415 - - 1291 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -1407 - - -66 - - 344 - - -390 - - -163 ODpotential blCL 7977 - - 8051 - - 7517 - - 6960 - - 6732 blCL maxRH 83 - - 99 - - 98 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 42.2 - - 41.7 - - 36.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.7 - - 37.3 - - 37.7 - - 35.2 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.7 - - 41.2 - - 40.7 - - 36.2 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 36.5 - - 37.0 - - 34.9 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 77 - - 80 - - 25 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1756 - - 1632 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 97 - - 93 - - 96 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97222 4 160 7 207 6 240 8 328 3 222 97222 90073 3 102 6 157 6 014 6 019 5 066 90073 84557 6 068 8 132 3 351 6 041 7 060 84557 79963 9 080 8 131 7 170 6 014 10 044 79963 75995 8 081 6 080 9 150 2 315 4 022 75995 72481 3 050 3 344 7 125 4 204 6 135 72481 69283 10 297 2 108 4 225 6 260 5 360 69283 66328 11 273 4 059 6 149 6 167 7 246 66328 63574 12 272 11 254 14 265 9 269 7 229 63574 60892 18 266 12 232 18 231 16 246 17 265 60892 58087 16 223 15 260 15 203 17 229 23 237 58087 55160 18 236 31 252 27 233 27 226 30 208 55160 52333 36 240 44 229 36 223 32 225 30 212 52333 49770 43 222 48 216 39 216 36 225 31 218 49770 47470 48 198 49 199 40 205 39 213 34 215 47470 45383 45 197 47 191 41 201 38 204 33 215 45383 43470 44 202 44 193 42 199 37 208 33 219 43470 41709 46 198 42 189 42 195 37 210 34 220 41709 40076 49 192 40 189 37 197 29 204 32 213 40076 38557 52 188 41 200 33 211 24 217 24 211 38557 37145 48 187 46 203 39 217 31 220 20 230 37145 35813 46 193 46 197 41 213 32 217 21 239 35813 34509 49 195 43 195 38 222 16 233 8 229 34509 33206 52 189 41 208 30 240 12 006 14 072 33206 31894 51 180 40 212 21 253 23 022 20 040 31894 30550 48 171 26 206 20 312 21 011 16 005 30550 29161 44 162 13 217 26 321 20 351 18 016 29161 27734 40 151 11 327 24 320 20 336 22 359 27734 26270 36 141 15 320 24 298 22 332 23 348 26270 24771 33 135 12 287 20 274 25 328 22 338 24771 23243 34 139 15 278 22 259 25 321 22 335 23243 21682 36 151 17 295 26 258 22 309 21 336 21682 20082 35 162 15 291 28 257 21 294 19 336 20082 18474 30 174 12 235 29 252 20 281 17 330 18474 16936 24 188 14 212 29 249 18 271 16 323 16936 15541 20 197 20 223 30 248 15 271 14 325 15541 14298 19 201 23 224 31 247 14 285 12 330 14298 13182 21 202 25 222 31 246 17 293 9 343 13182 12176 24 202 29 220 32 244 20 291 9 360 12176 11266 25 202 32 219 33 240 23 287 10 002 11266 10445 27 202 33 218 33 231 26 281 11 351 10445 9707 28 201 33 215 32 225 27 273 13 334 9707 9042 28 199 32 213 32 223 28 263 14 321 9042 8434 26 198 31*210 30 222 29 251 15 308 8434 7887 23 196 28*208 28*221 29 244 15 294 7887 7423 20 195 26 206 25*220 27 241 13 279 7423 7062 16 194 23 205 23 220 23 239 12 273 7062 6811 12 191 21 205 21 220 20 238 10 269 6811 6658 9*185 18 204 18 219 17*238 9 267 6658 6569 4*166 12 203 12 218 11*237 6*268 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography