DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.3 - - 41.8 - - 47.4 - - 40.4 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 85 - - 73 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 343 - - 1374 - - 2047 - - 819 - - 353 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 133 - - 128 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 20 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 067 - - 325 - - 334 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -920 - - -1455 - - 0 - - -226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 7490 - - 8026 - - 6570 - - 6796 sfcLCL ODpotential -9413 - - -6864 - - -5122 - - -5049 - - -9327 ODpotential blCL 15983 - - 13434 - - 11692 - - 11619 - - 15897 blCL maxRH 90 - - 72 - - 69 - - 80 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.3 - - 41.8 - - 47.4 - - 40.4 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 32.2 - - 35.3 - - 37.7 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.5 - - 40.6 - - 46.3 - - 41.7 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 31.1 - - 34.1 - - 37.4 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 85 - - 73 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95661 30 292 34 277 37 281 39 297 43 297 95661 88838 18 300 26 276 31 295 24 295 28 285 88838 83527 16 312 14 295 21 275 20 308 17 305 83527 79087 14 308 11 329 10 240 17 275 13 338 79087 75210 12 300 10 313 2 292 15 259 12 323 75210 71748 7 292 11 281 3 324 11 262 14 279 71748 68609 7 306 11 282 8 335 2 160 8 241 68609 65707 7 330 13 277 21 300 9 025 4 089 65707 62972 10 335 12 291 32 276 29 301 22 339 62972 60321 17 338 16 310 28 281 34 293 35 305 60321 57603 28 302 21 313 20 286 29 285 38 282 57603 54807 31 299 23 319 12 292 22 269 34 276 54807 52132 46 307 37 322 22 313 23 294 38 290 52132 49715 51 298 54 306 46 302 49 299 49 286 49715 47539 47 290 55 291 54 291 52 288 42 285 47539 45558 45 298 56 294 58 295 55 297 37 298 45558 43748 58 309 64 300 64 298 62 302 45 313 43748 42084 70 312 68 303 64 300 65 306 54 313 42084 40545 75 311 70 304 66 305 63 309 50 310 40545 39110 68 306 69 301 62 307 54 313 41 313 39110 37770 54 302 61 298 56 308 48 323 37 320 37770 36492 47 299 48 296 52 307 49 330 38 325 36492 35212 47 297 42 295 48 306 47 327 37 327 35212 33905 46 295 41 290 40 306 45 319 34 319 33905 32573 40 291 42 286 38 306 42 314 32 311 32573 31206 32 282 42 285 37 306 36 312 29 314 31206 29793 29 278 43 285 34 308 34 312 27 321 29793 28338 29 281 43 286 32 310 33 317 25 324 28338 26842 30 290 41 292 33 315 32 324 23 321 26842 25311 25 295 35 297 34 322 30 329 22 313 25311 23748 24 301 28 301 31 324 23 334 23 305 23748 22151 24 311 24 299 27 318 18 337 24 299 22151 20512 25 318 25 303 25 312 17 340 23 297 20512 18861 24 320 26 312 23 312 17 344 20 301 18861 17279 23 320 24 320 20 318 16 347 16 309 17279 15838 23 322 21 323 16 326 15 346 13 318 15838 14548 22 322 18 324 11 332 12 339 11 325 14548 13389 21 320 16 326 7 341 10 332 9 323 13389 12343 19 318 14 329 5 001 7 322 7 309 12343 11399 15 316 12 333 5 024 4 307 5 283 11399 10549 12 317 9 334 5 046 3 294 4 255 10549 9786 9 314 6 329 4 075 3 280 4 228 9786 9100 5 297 4 308 3 107 3 263 4 213 9100 8475 4 251 3 261 2 133 3 265 4 205 8475 7914 4 224 2 208 1 168 2 273 3 193 7914 7440 4 233 2 153 1 284 2 279 3 165 7440 7071 4 244 1 110 2 310 3 316 3 146 7071 6816 3 239 1 087 2 320 4 327 2 151 6816 6660 3*232 1*074 2*326 4*331 2*185 6660 6570 3*231 1*067 2*325 3*334 3*221 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography