DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.4 - - 24.7 - - 27.4 - - 19.8 - - 16.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -35 - - 18 - - 22 - - -3 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 1190 - - 1790 - - 661 - - 78 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 81 - - 86 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 222 - - 235 - - 224 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -6 - - -3 - - -4 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1189 - - -1736 - - -1388 - - -513 - - -1111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7758 - - 8305 - - 7957 - - 7082 - - 7679 sfcLCL ODpotential -12497 - - -9513 - - -7385 - - -9902 - - -12227 ODpotential blCL 19065 - - 16082 - - 13954 - - 16471 - - 18795 blCL maxRH 88 - - 87 - - 82 - - 74 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.4 - - 24.7 - - 27.4 - - 19.8 - - 16.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.4 - - 11.9 - - 16.0 - - 12.4 - - 6.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.3 - - 24.9 - - 26.9 - - 24.7 - - 21.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.7 - - 10.9 - - 15.0 - - 14.1 - - 10.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -35 - - 18 - - 22 - - -3 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 49 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96130 35 311 41 301 43 288 45 294 45 286 96130 89265 28 295 34 309 33 313 34 314 30 301 89265 83862 23 326 22 301 27 322 21 308 28 315 83862 79305 27 348 15 302 26 319 20 313 26 321 79305 75327 25 341 19 303 22 309 17 324 24 310 75327 71773 21 343 14 326 23 316 23 338 26 319 71773 68533 21 321 18 338 26 311 32 314 31 325 68533 65552 20 328 15 327 22 304 28 298 22 314 65552 62772 25 332 13 355 21 348 10 312 19 319 62772 60052 43 323 36 330 34 335 37 319 45 313 60052 57210 53 317 52 310 46 305 46 305 49 303 57210 54278 58 315 47 314 47 304 53 312 53 312 54278 51498 62 315 47 324 53 307 62 304 60 310 51498 49007 64 314 52 321 54 305 62 304 64 309 49007 46774 65 313 61 317 59 308 65 308 62 310 46774 44752 67 309 69 312 59 313 64 311 64 316 44752 42929 66 310 69 308 64 326 70 327 72 329 42929 41288 75 315 70 310 87 332 97 329 87 330 41288 39781 83 309 73 311 98 322 107 322 92 326 39781 38371 76 301 74 311 91 318 99 320 93 327 38371 37048 71 309 73 313 79 321 95 325 93 327 37048 35783 77 317 78 314 78 328 94 326 91 328 35783 34516 79 317 82 313 88 333 92 323 88 327 34516 33223 80 312 82 313 91 334 92 322 84 325 33223 31906 83 310 82 314 81 328 90 322 82 323 31906 30555 84 311 81 314 76 322 85 322 80 322 30555 29161 84 311 78 313 77 321 76 325 76 322 29161 27729 82 312 75 313 77 320 71 328 69 320 27729 26260 79 314 71 312 74 319 67 329 65 317 26260 24758 74 316 68 312 66 317 65 324 62 315 24758 23225 69 315 64 310 61 316 65 320 59 318 23225 21658 63 312 59 309 59 315 64 320 56 321 21658 20052 59 310 54 310 57 315 60 319 53 324 20052 18438 56 306 51 310 55 314 54 318 50 322 18438 16897 50 304 47 308 52 311 49 318 46 317 16897 15500 44 305 42 305 45 307 45 319 42 314 15500 14253 40 305 37 301 37 303 42 318 38 312 14253 13135 35 304 32 298 30 300 38 314 34 311 13135 12127 31 304 27 296 26 299 33 307 30 309 12127 11216 28 302 23 296 23 295 27 298 27 306 11216 10396 25 296 19 295 20 289 22 293 24 300 10396 9661 22 289 15 288 18 279 18 289 20 293 9661 9000 19 280 14 276 16 264 17 279 16 283 9000 8400 17 268 14 260 15 248 16 264 15 269 8400 7862 16 254 14 240 12 232 14 246 13 254 7862 7406 15 239 15 225 8 221 12 232 11 238 7406 7051 14 219 13 218 5 222 9 223 10 218 7051 6805 11 198 9 213 3 227 6 216 9 189 6805 6655 9*184 8*212 3*230 3*211 8 178 6655 6568 5*184 4*222 2*235 1*224 5*188 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography