DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.5 - - 47.3 - - 50.0 - - 44.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 78 - - 73 - - -15 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2065 - - 3376 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6880 - - 7807 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 8294 - - 9605 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 193 - - 2045 - - 2508 - - 3813 - - 1555 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 240 - - 280 - - 28 - - 70 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 16 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 192 - - 203 - - 195 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -19 - - -21 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 348 - - 1064 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 7946 - - 8541 - - 6571 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -4452 - - -3151 - - -1509 - - -2593 - - -205 ODpotential blCL 11022 - - 11445 - - 11114 - - 9164 - - 6775 blCL maxRH 89 - - 78 - - 69 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 180 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 36.5 - - 47.3 - - 50.0 - - 44.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 35.3 - - 35.3 - - 38.4 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 46.3 - - 49.0 - - 46.1 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 34.1 - - 34.1 - - 37.5 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 78 - - 73 - - -15 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2065 - - 3376 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 13 - - 0 - - 36 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96908 4 277 11 250 16 267 20 297 16 309 96908 89801 0 195 8 212 10 277 11 296 3 342 89801 84294 6 113 6 178 7 277 4 011 4 040 84294 79684 2 124 9 135 5 225 4 019 6 004 79684 75693 1 261 7 132 6 207 2 300 8 306 75693 72162 1 090 3 223 6 176 6 208 8 274 72162 68956 2 213 6 247 4 225 10 197 6 243 68956 65996 7 261 8 227 6 234 5 220 8 236 65996 63235 17 254 13 235 10 244 11 249 9 231 63235 60542 20 225 16 245 12 248 14 256 11 250 60542 57710 21 224 18 245 16 215 23 237 15 247 57710 54758 24 229 22 232 21 223 20 232 19 243 54758 51930 28 233 27 218 27 226 26 233 24 235 51930 49379 29 231 27 220 26 223 29 221 28 229 49379 47091 30 225 29 218 26 222 23 219 29 229 47091 45017 35 226 31 220 31 231 28 240 27 224 45017 43120 39 219 39 219 36 230 32 245 31 236 43120 41375 34 212 39 215 31 225 42 241 38 237 41375 39766 32 218 35 222 39 242 44 230 44 236 39766 38275 29 232 37 228 49 241 43 231 46 238 38275 36889 26 243 35 226 52 241 46 239 49 236 36889 35578 26 249 35 231 50 239 52 243 52 233 35578 34286 26 247 38 234 46 237 59 239 57 232 34286 32983 27 243 39 231 43 239 61 235 61 228 32983 31670 28 240 37 225 43 242 62 234 62 223 31670 30334 26 239 36 223 43 244 64 236 63 221 30334 28964 19 237 32 226 41 245 63 237 62 222 28964 27561 17 234 29 229 39 243 60 236 57 226 27561 26126 15 231 28 233 41 240 58 234 49 228 26126 24657 12 233 27 238 41 237 59 233 36 225 24657 23156 12 241 26 240 38 233 59 233 32 222 23156 21621 14 251 26 239 38 228 55 234 36 227 21621 20047 15 256 24 236 37 227 50 231 39 230 20047 18459 15 255 23 234 35 229 46 227 40 230 18459 16937 15 253 24 236 33 229 43 223 41 231 16937 15552 15 247 24 238 32 228 39 222 40 231 15552 14314 13 244 21 235 31 225 33 219 40 230 14314 13201 11 232 18 231 29 220 29 217 40 230 13201 12196 13 214 18 221 26 216 28 220 39 228 12196 11286 14 210 18 212 23 214 28 219 38 228 11286 10463 14 217 17 209 21 212 28 214 36 229 10463 9722 14 224 17 209 19*207 28 208 34 231 9722 9054 16 225 17 204 18*204 26 205 33 234 9054 8443 18 219 16*198 17 203 25 205 31 238 8443 7894 20 208 15*193 17 203 23 205 27 243 7894 7428 20 196 14 193 16 203 20 205 25 246 7428 7065 17 184 13 192 15 203 17 205 22 248 7065 6813 14 177 12 192 14 203 13 203 18 249 6813 6659 10*178 11 191 12 203 9*201 15*250 6659 6570 6*191 8 191 9 202 4*195 8*252 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography