DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.5 - - 70.7 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 367 - - 132 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4943 - - 7282 - - 7687 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9759 - - 11634 - - 11381 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11172 - - 13511 - - 13916 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1451 - - 2078 - - 2527 - - 3306 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 522 - - 598 - - 440 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 290 - - 312 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -14 - - 26 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1991 - - -1171 - - -1706 - - -5409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13164 - - 14682 - - 15622 - - 11981 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10331 - - -8228 - - -7771 - - -12204 ODpotential blCL - - - 21503 - - 21739 - - 21687 - - 18775 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 48 - - 46 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.5 - - 70.7 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 26.5 - - 24.6 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 65.9 - - 69.5 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 25.3 - - 23.6 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 367 - - 132 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4943 - - 7282 - - 7687 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99063 29 100 23 102 27 103 23 106 99063 91515 26 108 17 118 21 088 22 095 91515 85722 21 116 20 113 9 100 20 084 85722 80940 16 111 19 104 12 112 16 077 80940 76843 12 090 13 096 15 102 8 091 76843 73223 11 087 13 116 7 096 10 083 73223 69935 13 079 9 086 8 058 11 092 69935 66905 9 079 5 119 4 045 10 039 66905 64103 6 059 0 075 3 013 9 009 64103 61394 1 227 3 298 4 020 5 004 61394 58574 7 111 8 261 13 296 9 311 58574 55671 12 327 3 285 8 262 13 266 55671 52929 21 299 16 317 15 312 15 311 52929 50473 32 295 35 298 37 297 32 305 50473 48271 39 301 45 296 43 287 41 292 48271 46267 43 301 51 293 46 281 43 282 46267 44417 47 298 55 289 49 280 47 284 44417 42701 51 298 57 286 53 285 52 292 42701 41106 58 296 59 287 59 294 59 300 41106 39619 62 295 63 290 65 297 64 304 39619 38232 63 294 66 290 68 300 68 306 38232 36907 62 295 66 294 71 304 71 307 36907 35580 62 299 69 301 74 308 74 308 35580 34223 63 303 72 306 77 310 76 308 34223 32843 65 305 75 307 78 311 76 309 32843 31428 67 306 77 308 78 313 75 309 31428 29973 69 307 76 308 78 313 75 311 29973 28484 69 307 74 309 76 312 74 312 28484 26961 67 306 73 309 74 311 72 314 26961 25408 65 304 73 309 74 312 70 318 25408 23827 65 303 73 307 73 314 68 319 23827 22213 66 304 73 306 72 316 65 317 22213 20560 67 307 74 308 68 316 64 316 20560 18899 65 308 70 310 59 313 60 319 18899 17316 59 308 56 307 42 299 51 318 17316 15884 53 308 41 298 29 284 37 309 15884 14607 46 309 30*291 26*283 30 291 14607 13458 38 310 26*291 21*289 27 283 13458 12418 30 309 23 291 19 297 23 291 12418 11476 22*306 21 291 17 305 19 309 11476 10625 18*302 18 291 17 312 18 330 10625 9858 16 299 16 289 17 317 19 346 9858 9164 16 298 14 289 17 321 20 350 9164 8530 16 298 14 289 17 323 21 351 8530 7957 15 298 13 289 17 325 21 350 7957 7471 15 298 13 289 16 326 21 349 7471 7091 14 298 12 289 16 327 18 348 7091 6826 13 298 11 289 15 327 14 345 6826 6664 12 299 11 289 14 327 11 341 6664 6571 10 299 9 291 11 328 5*332 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography