DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.5 - - 28.8 - - 32.4 - - 32.4 - - 27.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 69 - - 41 - - -7 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 1854 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 8083 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 756 - - 2055 - - 4974 - - 3418 - - 830 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 221 - - 107 - - 40 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 20 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 229 - - 215 - - 198 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -28 - - -12 - - -13 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1514 - - -285 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6569 - - 6854 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -3011 - - -647 - - -1648 - - -1909 - - -2904 ODpotential blCL 9580 - - 8730 - - 8217 - - 8478 - - 9473 blCL maxRH 82 - - 85 - - 90 - - 92 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.5 - - 28.8 - - 32.4 - - 32.4 - - 27.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.4 - - 23.1 - - 25.4 - - 26.8 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.0 - - 27.9 - - 31.7 - - 32.8 - - 30.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.8 - - 22.0 - - 24.2 - - 26.1 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 69 - - 41 - - -7 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 1854 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 38 - - 59 - - 69 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96719 32 254 29 250 27 257 22 260 39 261 96719 89462 22 251 25 248 30 250 32 267 30 265 89462 83837 19 241 23 239 25 243 28 256 26 264 83837 79137 16 244 23 244 21 249 25 251 23 257 79137 75087 18 251 22 242 21 248 23 256 18 250 75087 71507 18 252 15 231 20 234 17 268 14 245 71507 68257 15 264 20 254 20 256 18 282 13 250 68257 65250 16 273 24 237 29 260 22 280 15 266 65250 62437 24 276 21 256 28 258 24 281 19 268 62437 59695 26 282 25 274 23 276 28 273 22 267 59695 56831 27 290 25 284 26 284 29 270 29 266 56831 53865 29 292 27 286 28 282 29 279 32 268 53865 51028 30 296 27 282 32 288 37 280 33 280 51028 48477 35 299 29 293 40 282 39 281 41 279 48477 46217 37 304 42 290 37 285 40 280 40 277 46217 44188 43 306 39 298 45 299 47 284 42 280 44188 42343 49 311 50 308 57 291 54 282 48 276 42343 40658 57 322 58 302 64 295 59 291 53 284 40658 39115 71 321 64 309 80 301 78 294 79 284 39115 37702 85 318 89 313 95 300 94 291 95 279 37702 36401 99 316 105 309 97 299 100 289 98 279 36401 35163 104 315 106 308 96 298 95 287 92 278 35163 33925 104 317 98 310 92 298 89 288 82 277 33925 32662 99 318 88 313 87 299 83 289 70 277 32662 31377 82 318 79 315 78 303 74 291 63 274 31377 30057 67 325 67 314 67 308 64 293 62 274 30057 28695 67 330 63 310 53 307 55 293 55 273 28695 27296 70 331 56 312 56 296 50 288 47 270 27296 25861 69 331 46 312 56 294 47 286 44 269 25861 24394 68 329 43 313 50 299 43 286 37 269 24394 22900 66 328 43 315 44 303 40 286 29 269 22900 21375 61 328 42 316 41 305 38 286 27 269 21375 19816 52 327 40 315 40 308 37 288 25 270 19816 18249 40 322 38 314 38 311 37 292 24 271 18249 16752 30 310 34 313 35 312 36 296 23 274 16752 15394 23 293 28 309 33 310 34 299 26 275 15394 14181 18 276 23 300 28 298 28 297 28 272 14181 13091 16 266 20 288 25 283 24 285 28 267 13091 12105 15 264 20 275 25 271 23 269 26 261 12105 11211 15 264 22 264 24 263 23 255 25 256 11211 10403 16 263 23 256 24 256 24 246 24 251 10403 9674 17 258 25 250 23 248 24 238 24 244 9674 9017 18 254 25 245 22 240 24 229 24 239 9017 8416 18 246 24*239 21 230 25 219 25 230 8416 7874 19 233 23*233 19 222 24 212 26 218 7874 7415 20 219 22 230 18 219 23 210 25 206 7415 7058 18 207 20 228 17 218 21 207 20 199 7058 6809 15 201 18 227 16 217 18 205 16 192 6809 6657 12*197 16 226 14*217 15 203 12*186 6657 6569 6*192 11 226 10*215 8*198 6*175 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography