DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.2 - - 34.2 - - 39.1 - - 36.0 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 12 - - 1 - - -7 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 172 - - 1318 - - 3053 - - 1883 - - 185 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 73 - - 52 - - 22 - - 27 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 188 - - 219 - - 178 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -5 - - -4 - - -6 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2202 - - -1254 - - -989 - - 1 - - -574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8771 - - 7825 - - 7559 - - 6570 - - 7144 sfcLCL ODpotential -11429 - - -6225 - - -3762 - - -3707 - - -6438 ODpotential blCL 17998 - - 12795 - - 10332 - - 10277 - - 13008 blCL maxRH 57 - - 61 - - 74 - - 81 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.2 - - 34.2 - - 39.1 - - 36.0 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.5 - - 23.2 - - 29.0 - - 30.4 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.4 - - 34.9 - - 39.4 - - 39.0 - - 37.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.4 - - 22.1 - - 27.9 - - 29.3 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 12 - - 1 - - -7 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96491 14 110 8 139 3 128 10 087 12 144 96491 89324 5 074 8 124 4 195 5 340 8 102 89324 83742 3 083 1 039 6 239 10 288 14 334 83742 79077 9 061 2 291 10 219 12 251 13 311 79077 75045 13 299 11 295 10 292 8 281 21 334 75045 71488 23 281 15 295 16 280 21 306 30 319 71488 68303 39 307 26 326 15 308 35 332 37 323 68303 65380 46 296 40 302 38 313 40 312 38 306 65380 62658 46 299 43 297 43 301 43 307 40 302 62658 60009 43 311 45 304 47 302 50 309 45 307 60009 57232 47 315 46 305 51 299 53 300 50 304 57232 54337 58 301 52 302 53 300 56 295 52 300 54337 51566 65 298 61 299 60 301 60 294 59 297 51566 49071 76 298 74 295 75 294 68 293 63 297 49071 46837 84 295 80 292 78 293 72 289 65 292 46837 44821 86 295 84 295 84 293 75 287 67 297 44821 42984 85 298 89 298 85 288 74 286 74 293 42984 41302 91 298 96 294 85 285 79 285 78 288 41302 39752 95 295 96 290 86 283 78 280 78 284 39752 38320 94 297 93 288 84 281 67 273 68 277 38320 36998 96 297 87 289 79 280 62 268 50 265 36998 35745 98 296 80 296 75 278 62 270 42 263 35745 34488 95 299 81 300 75 277 57 273 43 270 34488 33202 89 305 78 296 68 281 49 279 40 274 33202 31892 90 310 80 295 61 289 48 279 37 280 31892 30545 86 311 79 301 62 287 50 275 36 277 30545 29155 81 308 76 304 63 285 52 272 39 275 29155 27726 77 305 73 303 62 285 51 271 41 277 27726 26261 76 304 69 302 57 289 46 274 41 284 26261 24764 76 305 65 301 51 293 39 280 43 288 24764 23238 75 306 62 300 48 295 35 284 42 282 23238 21682 70 307 60 300 47 294 35 284 34 269 21682 20089 63 308 57 300 47 293 37 284 24 289 20089 18491 55 308 51 300 47 293 38 287 25 301 18491 16964 50 305 46 297 45 293 38 292 28 296 16964 15575 46 302 42 296 41 293 35 296 30 292 15575 14333 42 300 38 295 37 294 32 298 29 291 14333 13216 37 300 33 296 33 295 29 299 27 291 13216 12209 33 302 28 297 27 294 25 296 24 289 12209 11296 27 305 22 297 22 291 22 287 21 283 11296 10471 22 308 17 295 18 283 19 275 20 276 10471 9730 18 303 14 287 16 272 18 262 22 264 9730 9061 16 290 15 280 14 260 16 250 24 253 9061 8450 16 281 14 272 13 245 14 239 25 246 8450 7899 16 275 12 260 12 239 12 231 25 241 7899 7431 16 258 9 237 11 235 11 224 22 235 7431 7067 13 237 7 214 10 233 9 217 19 226 7067 6813 9 209 5 198 8 228 7 204 15 216 6813 6659 7*180 4*191 7*223 5*185 11*204 6659 6570 5*173 3*188 5*219 4*178 6*194 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography