DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 46.9 - - 53.5 - - 55.0 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 206 - - 270 - - 46 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3532 - - 6071 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 8473 - - 10532 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 9761 - - 12300 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2702 - - 2782 - - 1785 - - 9620 - - 173 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 394 - - 510 - - 113 - - 46 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 14 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 294 - - 288 - - 264 - - 243 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - -6 - - -6 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3141 - - -1810 - - -225 - - -7540 - - -3286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9711 - - 11572 - - 12526 - - 14112 - - 9856 sfcLCL ODpotential -7528 - - -6758 - - -3955 - - -9377 - - -7181 ODpotential blCL 14098 - - 16519 - - 16255 - - 15948 - - 13751 blCL maxRH 55 - - 56 - - 69 - - 73 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 46.9 - - 53.5 - - 55.0 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 19.1 - - 21.3 - - 15.9 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.7 - - 45.1 - - 51.4 - - 54.4 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.6 - - 18.0 - - 20.1 - - 14.9 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 206 - - 270 - - 46 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3532 - - 6071 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96203 13 285 14 234 26 246 23 253 25 265 96203 89044 20 294 14 279 24 283 12 317 11 291 89044 83572 10 326 14 317 17 292 20 317 15 280 83572 79039 12 314 15 309 12 312 20 297 15 269 79039 75104 19 304 19 299 17 324 21 287 15 295 75104 71591 22 301 21 298 26 311 27 303 26 300 71591 68403 22 297 22 282 31 302 29 300 30 302 68403 65465 23 297 20 279 27 292 27 298 28 296 65465 62723 23 306 21 302 24 294 27 300 27 293 62723 60052 30 310 31 317 29 301 32 300 28 291 60052 57258 36 299 39 302 37 297 36 303 28 291 57258 54352 34 287 33 283 39 287 38 301 30 296 54352 51570 27 303 25 285 34 280 37 294 33 296 51570 49063 37 317 30 303 31 283 37 290 35 294 49063 46818 47 306 39 304 34 288 40 290 37 290 46818 44788 51 301 46 298 40 292 42 288 38 284 44788 42944 55 300 53 296 48 293 43 287 39 279 42944 41263 62 302 58 297 54 295 46 287 42 281 41263 39725 70 301 64 296 60 295 52 289 49 289 39725 38306 75 298 70 295 64 293 55 288 54 287 38306 36985 80 298 74 294 66 291 55 288 53 282 36985 35724 83 298 75 295 67 291 55 289 53 280 35724 34462 83 299 74 296 68 290 56 288 53 281 34462 33170 81 301 73 297 69 290 56 286 51 281 33170 31856 76 302 72 298 68 289 55 285 49 281 31856 30509 68 303 71 300 66 290 55 286 48 281 30509 29126 61 302 66 302 61 292 54 286 47 283 29126 27709 58 300 58 301 59 295 53 285 45 283 27709 26259 55 300 53 300 55 297 52 285 44 283 26259 24777 53 301 50 299 49 296 50 286 45 282 24777 23267 51 302 47 298 44 294 50 287 45 282 23267 21723 50 303 45 299 43 292 49 289 44 284 21723 20139 49 305 44 301 41 292 46 292 41 288 20139 18547 48 306 43 303 39 294 41 296 35 293 18547 17024 47 307 42 305 37 296 34 295 27 294 17024 15640 45 308 39 307 33 296 26 281 23 289 15640 14402 41 309 34 308 29 294 24 272 23 283 14402 13288 37 310 29 306 20*283 23 268 25 279 13288 12279 31 310 23 297 16*270 22 264 27 275 12279 11362 26 309 18 279 15 264 22 258 28 272 11362 10532 23 308 15*271 15 263 21 255 30 268 10532 9782 20 309 12*274 14 263 21 252 31 263 9782 9103 18 311 11 281 14 263 20 250 32 258 9103 8483 17 316 9 289 14 263 20 248 33 253 8483 7923 15 320 9 291 13 264 19 247 34 247 7923 7447 13 317 9 294 13 264 19 246 32 242 7447 7077 10 310 8 295 12 265 18 246 28 238 7077 6819 7 302 8 297 12 265 17 245 22 230 6819 6661 6*300 8 297 11 265 15*244 16 224 6661 6570 4*294 7 298 9 265 10*243 8*217 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography