DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.0 - - 87.9 - - 91.8 - - 90.9 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 267 - - 271 - - 86 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 344 - - 5532 - - 13380 - - 344 - - 344 BL Depth Hcrit 6556 - - 10105 - - 16415 - - 6556 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6573 - - 11761 - - 19609 - - 6573 - - 6573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 822 - - 8277 - - 4139 - - 17605 - - 4055 Hgt.Variab. W* 79 - - 493 - - 666 - - 136 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 19 - - 19 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 201 - - 207 - - 250 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -25 - - -27 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10386 - - -6787 - - -431 - - -12635 - - -9512 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16960 - - 18549 - - 20041 - - 19209 - - 16086 sfcLCL ODpotential -14032 - - -10212 - - -2959 - - -13773 - - -13120 ODpotential blCL 20605 - - 21973 - - 22568 - - 20346 - - 19693 blCL maxRH 79 - - 64 - - 86 - - 84 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 100 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 80.0 - - 87.9 - - 91.8 - - 90.9 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 28.9 - - 25.6 - - 28.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.3 - - 85.8 - - 89.6 - - 89.8 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 27.6 - - 24.4 - - 27.7 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 267 - - 271 - - 86 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 344 - - 5532 - - 13380 - - 344 - - 344 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 0 - - 44 - - 38 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99790 32 107 30 109 31 098 32 098 27 104 99790 92194 31 098 29 107 29 105 24 091 27 102 92194 86353 25 103 25 107 25 094 20 105 26 087 86353 81519 22 109 18 105 19 104 20 099 21 082 81519 77372 21 114 14 120 17 100 16 114 16 090 77372 73719 18 110 15 129 6 115 16 112 13 099 73719 70425 7 087 10 127 13 142 6 105 15 111 70425 67406 5 237 10 136 9 158 3 173 10 105 67406 64610 11 215 5 170 6 174 5 153 6 148 64610 61922 15 217 8 237 12 214 10 181 12 180 61922 59146 15 218 19 236 18 222 9 218 12 179 59146 56300 25 221 34 217 29 217 24 232 26 230 56300 53617 32 227 37 210 33 219 36 215 37 218 53617 51213 39 235 39 227 40 232 42 227 38 229 51213 49045 47 238 48 236 53 233 50 232 46 233 49045 47063 54 239 55 235 59 230 55 230 53 230 47063 45233 59 239 59 232 61 230 57 229 56 228 45233 43528 61 241 58 233 60 229 57 229 59 227 43528 41932 60 243 56 243 52 237 47 233 55 224 41932 40434 61 245 59 248 55 249 41 244 43 226 40434 39029 61 249 60 248 61 253 42 248 37 241 39029 37690 54 252 56 247 53 247 42 243 39 246 37690 36349 47 251 46 246 51 241 44 237 42 242 36349 34980 40 244 39 243 43 235 46 230 44 234 34980 33586 33 238 35 243 38 232 44 233 43 228 33586 32156 27 248 31 242 33 225 41 232 41 228 32156 30681 25 258 23 242 25 224 33 227 39 234 30681 29163 24 257 17 234 20 217 27 222 33 228 29163 27608 19 213 16 227 22 209 29 214 32 225 27608 26026 21 179 21 204 23 204 28 214 35 224 26026 24424 22 172 27 195 23 216 28 213 35 215 24424 22793 23 170 27 195 25 229 25 212 32 215 22793 21120 22 173 23 203 25*230 21 214 27 217 21120 19430 17 198 19 211 23*223 19 215 19 215 19430 17805 16 224 18 213 21 211 17 216 16 214 17805 16321 18 223 19 216 21 209 15 216 13 213 16321 14989 19 220 21 218 20 208 13 217 9 218 14989 13788 20 217 23 216 20 207 12 218 8 231 13788 12700 20 214 23*213 20 206 10 221 7 252 12700 11715 20 210 23*212 19 205 9 224 7 270 11715 10822 20 205 23 209 18 204 8 228 7 283 10822 10016 21 200 22 204 18 203 7 233 8 289 10016 9289 21 195 20 199 17 202 7 238 7 294 9289 8623 22 190 19 196 17 201 6 240 6 297 8623 8023 22 182 18 194 16 200 6 245 4 304 8023 7513 25 165 17 193 15 199 6 246 3 317 7513 7116 24 156 16 192 14 199 6 247 2 337 7116 6840 21 154 15 191 14 198 5 248 2 001 6840 6670 17*155 14 191 13 198 5*249 1*051 6670 6573 9*165 11 190 10 197 4*250 2*094 6573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography