DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.3 - - 51.3 - - 56.7 - - 55.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - 42 - - 14 - - -46 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - - Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 91 - - 2157 - - 4749 - - 676 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 115 - - 99 - - 64 - - - W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction 176 - - 230 - - 237 - - 225 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -6 - - -4 - - -7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2845 - - -2214 - - -3735 - - -3068 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9416 - - 8785 - - 10306 - - 9639 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -11743 - - -7044 - - -7444 - - -6680 - - - ODpotential blCL 18313 - - 13615 - - 14015 - - 13251 - - - blCL maxRH 38 - - 47 - - 47 - - 32 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 40.3 - - 51.3 - - 56.7 - - 55.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.7 - - 35.7 - - 34.5 - - 35.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.6 - - 52.0 - - 57.5 - - 58.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 34.5 - - 33.3 - - 34.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - 42 - - 14 - - -46 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96513 8 294 8 270 9 267 15 283 96513 89459 3 186 4 270 10 279 13 303 89459 84010 7 188 4 270 8 284 3 311 84010 79450 5 105 8 230 11 273 5 293 79450 75495 9 291 8 223 12 245 18 266 75495 71996 9 284 4 241 11 219 16 253 71996 68823 12 294 7 287 7 240 18 277 68823 65907 17 266 9 273 9 253 17 262 65907 63198 16 322 13 294 13 298 25 334 63198 60592 28 314 29 302 31 307 35 313 60592 57924 20 300 25 282 31 286 31 293 57924 55173 22 307 12 286 18 285 25 302 55173 52515 34 313 31 304 33 305 38 310 52515 50100 42 301 46 296 44 298 39 298 50100 47929 45 297 46 290 43 295 40 290 47929 45953 54 301 48 291 46 295 45 291 45953 44138 66 303 55 294 53 294 54 297 44138 42461 71 303 61 293 62 293 67 301 42461 40902 68 301 65 294 67 293 77 302 40902 39444 68 297 66 295 68 296 79 302 39444 38079 71 295 70 299 68 301 74 301 38079 36775 75 296 76 304 72 303 70 303 36775 35467 80 301 81 305 82 301 75 304 35467 34130 81 305 85 303 89 298 88 301 34130 32768 82 305 88 300 91 297 96 298 32768 31372 85 304 90 299 93 297 95 297 31372 29933 86 304 91 299 95 296 94 296 29933 28455 87 304 90 300 94 295 93 295 28455 26941 87 304 87 301 90 297 90 295 26941 25393 85 304 82 303 82 299 84 296 25393 23818 80 301 75 301 75 299 76 297 23818 22210 72 297 71 297 69 295 68 294 22210 20562 66 294 67 294 66 292 64 291 20562 18905 61 294 63 295 62 293 59 293 18905 17321 53 297 55 297 54 294 50 297 17321 15886 44 300 47 299 45 294 41 297 15886 14606 37 302 40 297 38 292 31 288 14606 13458 33 302 35 294 32 289 28 280 13458 12419 29 299 31 292 28 285 27 275 12419 11478 25 292 28 289 24 278 27 270 11478 10626 24 282 25 281 21 266 27 265 10626 9858 25 275 25 273 21 257 26 262 9858 9163 25 270 25 268 20 254 26 259 9163 8528 24 266 22 260 19 252 25 256 8528 7955 22 260 18 249 18 250 23 253 7955 7468 19 249 14 241 16 248 21 250 7468 7089 15 229 13 238 14 246 18 245 7089 6825 12 203 11 235 12 244 14 239 6825 6664 10*182 9*233 10*241 11*232 6664 6571 6*176 6*230 8*237 7*225 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography