DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 37.9 - - 34.5 - - 29.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2257 - - 2869 - - 1407 - - 765 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 65 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 149 - - 172 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2647 - - -804 - - -1071 - - -2037 ODpotential blCL - - - 9217 - - 7374 - - 7641 - - 8607 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 98 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 37.9 - - 34.5 - - 29.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 35.1 - - 33.6 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 37.8 - - 35.4 - - 33.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 34.6 - - 34.1 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 93 - - 87 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96391 6 202 4 187 2 334 6 053 96391 89191 7 145 8 236 13 293 10 321 89191 83609 9 255 19 273 17 271 19 297 83609 78989 14 304 17 308 13 322 18 302 78989 75007 31 309 32 298 28 312 28 301 75007 71492 30 315 39 299 38 306 38 300 71492 68323 34 313 37 301 37 302 43 295 68323 65416 39 302 38 302 41 301 42 294 65416 62710 44 297 45 302 46 303 43 297 62710 60066 48 294 52 297 51 302 47 295 60066 57289 52 295 55 293 58 297 54 295 57289 54404 60 297 63 292 66 289 64 294 54404 51659 67 297 71 293 69 290 67 291 51659 49191 72 297 78 294 73 290 71 287 49191 46979 76 295 79 291 78 288 75 284 46979 44973 79 295 79 291 81 285 75 283 44973 43133 85 291 80 291 79 285 76 283 43133 41439 86 289 86 289 83 282 76 280 41439 39877 89 289 94 283 84 277 80 272 39877 38438 95 289 96 281 94 273 86 268 38438 37105 101 289 95 280 98 271 86 264 37105 35836 102 288 92 282 93 273 82 265 35836 34565 99 288 90 283 89 275 81 267 34565 33264 97 289 88 284 86 276 79 267 33264 31937 95 290 85 284 82 277 77 267 31937 30574 92 291 81 285 78 277 76 266 30574 29167 85 293 74 286 73 276 74 267 29167 27723 75 292 67 285 67 276 66 270 27723 26242 64 291 62 286 59 279 58 270 26242 24730 50 288 48 288 48 282 51 269 24730 23196 35 281 36 282 37 282 41 274 23196 21635 28 283 29 273 29 279 37 279 21635 20040 30 282 24 266 24 273 32 281 20040 18439 32 278 21 265 20 265 23 276 18439 16911 30 280 18 263 17 262 17 270 16911 15525 24 281 18 261 15 262 15 266 15525 14287 20 276 17 259 12 259 12 263 14287 13175 15 268 16 248 10 249 10 260 13175 12172 10 262 13 228 10 245 10 252 12172 11265 7 255 10 213 9 240 10 244 11265 10446 7 253 8 211 7 234 9 237 10446 9708 9 245 5 213 5 220 7 228 9708 9042 11 241 4 216 4 204 7 214 9042 8434 12 239 2 217 4 187 6 200 8434 7887 12 235 2 212 4 175 6 191 7887 7423 11 228 2 202 4 172 5 184 7423 7062 9 217 2 180 3 175 5 180 7062 6811 8 213 2 164 3 179 4 179 6811 6658 6*209 2*156 2*176 2*178 6658 6570 4*202 2*149 2*172 1*195 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography