DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.9 - - 80.3 - - 84.3 - - 84.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 350 - - 367 - - 108 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 6240 - - 11334 - - 11574 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 10763 - - 14914 - - 14157 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 12469 - - 17563 - - 17803 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1457 - - 7057 - - 3394 - - 2747 - - 96 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 553 - - 687 - - 464 - - 17 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 12 - - 20 - - 22 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 250 - - 260 - - 261 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 13 - - -5 - - 13 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5472 - - -825 - - 2251 - - -559 - - -9225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12045 - - 13294 - - 15313 - - 18363 - - 15798 sfcLCL ODpotential -9078 - - -2704 - - 401 - - -3338 - - -13612 ODpotential blCL 15650 - - 15173 - - 17162 - - 21141 - - 20184 blCL maxRH 52 - - 70 - - 64 - - 50 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 930 - - 710 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.9 - - 80.3 - - 84.3 - - 84.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 44.4 - - 39.4 - - 26.0 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.4 - - 77.8 - - 81.7 - - 83.2 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.6 - - 44.0 - - 38.8 - - 25.2 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 350 - - 367 - - 108 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 6240 - - 11334 - - 11574 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99655 20 117 19 120 21 091 20 108 18 118 99655 92126 19 107 15 110 18 115 15 095 16 100 92126 86282 12 080 14 100 14 125 12 092 15 074 86282 81441 11 099 6 095 11 119 10 092 14 069 81441 77291 14 103 4 120 5 107 10 072 10 096 77291 73629 12 066 12 137 4 119 7 049 11 073 73629 70312 6 006 11 099 7 151 5 247 7 020 70312 67264 1 165 2 028 5 094 5 182 2 232 67264 64439 2 320 2 283 3 148 2 283 3 241 64439 61709 1 080 8 287 6 305 6 296 5 207 61709 58869 5 081 7 229 10 252 12 272 8 263 58869 55957 12 311 12 300 12 276 15 279 12 248 55957 53215 25 296 28 280 25 276 25 284 18 290 53215 50752 32 287 29 270 31 269 35 279 33 285 50752 48542 41 281 37 274 39 266 44 274 43 276 48542 46536 47 279 49 276 48 272 53 276 52 274 46536 44704 54 278 61 276 60 277 62 277 60 275 44704 43017 58 279 66 275 68 276 65 275 65 274 43017 41445 59 278 67 275 68 274 66 273 67 272 41445 39972 56 275 64 276 66 273 65 272 67 271 39972 38591 53 272 60 275 63 273 63 272 67 269 38591 37271 50 271 54 274 58 273 59 272 65 268 37271 35946 49 271 51 274 55 274 54 274 63 267 35946 34593 48 272 48 274 54 275 51 275 58 268 34593 33219 45 273 47 274 52 275 49 275 51 268 33219 31811 43 274 46 274 50 275 47 275 48 269 31811 30361 42 274 43 274 49 275 46 275 46 270 30361 28872 41 274 40 273 45 274 43 274 44 270 28872 27347 38 277 36 273 40 274 40 273 42 270 27347 25789 37 280 33 273 36 274 37 273 39 271 25789 24201 37 278 32 274 32 273 34 272 36 272 24201 22582 34 274 32 272 32 271 32 272 34 273 22582 20923 34 278 33 273 32 266 32 270 34 271 20923 19251 35 278 35 273 31 262 29*266 35 268 19251 17647 34 273 34 266 30*260 24*262 34 266 17647 16184 32 266 31 263 28*259 23 262 31 268 16184 14871 29 265 29 261 26 257 23 262 27 270 14871 13688 22 263 26 258 23 256 23 261 25 270 13688 12617 19 268 20*252 19 257 22 261 24 267 12617 11646 18 273 15*247 19 257 22 260 24 264 11646 10766 16 274 14 247 18 259 22 260 24 262 10766 9972 15 270 13 247 17 261 21 260 24 261 9972 9254 15 263 12 249 17 262 21 260 24 260 9254 8597 17 253 12 251 17 264 21 259 25 260 8597 8004 18 245 11 253 16 266 20 259 24 260 8004 7501 18 235 11 256 15 267 20 259 23 259 7501 7108 15 221 10 258 15 268 19 259 20 256 7108 6835 12 216 10 259 14 269 18 259 16 250 6835 6668 10*213 9 260 13 269 16 259 11 242 6668 6572 7*212 8 260 11 270 12 259 6*229 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography