DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 77.0 - - 77.1 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 251 - - 96 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4175 - - 7441 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9010 - - 11565 - - 6556 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10404 - - 13670 - - 6572 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5790 - - 5141 - - 13472 - - 4588 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 434 - - 529 - - 138 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 256 - - 267 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 73 - - 57 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1811 - - 435 - - -7277 - - -5507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12215 - - 13235 - - 13850 - - 12080 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4044 - - -1330 - - -8913 - - -8979 ODpotential blCL - - - 14448 - - 15000 - - 15485 - - 15551 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 97 - - 89 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 520 - - 490 - - 390 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 77.0 - - 77.1 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.5 - - 41.6 - - 39.0 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 74.9 - - 76.1 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 40.9 - - 38.6 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 251 - - 96 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4175 - - 7441 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 87 - - 58 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99498 26 106 27 094 23 094 23 101 99498 91999 21 116 15 085 21 084 19 100 91999 86202 20 113 12 103 13 085 17 071 86202 81380 14 092 11 099 9 095 9 065 81380 77228 5 070 8 097 10 101 10 080 77228 73566 3 077 6 091 3 172 11 034 73566 70252 2 245 5 040 2 083 6 356 70252 67213 1 017 4 300 8 322 9 008 67213 64405 5 012 3 305 12 300 9 335 64405 61689 9 326 4 253 12 276 7 304 61689 58863 12 301 17 288 20 307 23 314 58863 55928 29 282 29 277 33 291 25 300 55928 53114 33 280 36 276 36 277 32 292 53114 50593 49 280 45 285 40 280 47 271 50593 48368 60 275 57 286 56 280 55 275 48368 46380 68 274 72 275 70 274 69 276 46380 44579 68 290 66 267 79 269 70 275 44579 42921 88 292 75 285 73 275 77 281 42921 41371 92 287 91 286 81 278 86 280 41371 39911 82 284 88 282 85 276 87 278 39911 38537 78 276 76 278 84 274 81 277 38537 37220 79 274 68 272 78 270 77 275 37220 35900 76 277 71 272 75 269 74 268 35900 34550 70 275 73 271 72 269 74 264 34550 33173 71 272 74 272 72 272 72 266 33173 31759 68 273 71 275 71 275 67 270 31759 30300 60 272 63 277 65 278 61 273 30300 28803 49 277 52 278 55 279 55 278 28803 27271 39 285 37 280 45 275 52 283 27271 25710 34 272 31 275 45 269 52 277 25710 24126 35 268 35 269 43 268 45 264 24126 22510 32 272 38 266 39 270 37 260 22510 20854 29 273 35 257 33 270 30 263 20854 19187 30 271 31 258 29 269 26 268 19187 17591 29 271 25 263 27 267 23 269 17591 16135 27 267 24 262 26 267 20 267 16135 14829 25 258 23*257 25 265 18 264 14829 13651 22 251 23*253 21 261 15 264 13651 12585 19 244 21 252 18 258 12 267 12585 11617 16 237 18 251 16 258 10 273 11617 10740 14*235 15 251 14 258 8 282 10740 9950 12*236 13 254 14 259 6 292 9950 9236 10 240 11 257 13 261 5 306 9236 8583 8 252 9 261 13 262 4 321 8583 7994 6 268 8 269 12 263 4 339 7994 7494 6 284 7 273 11 264 4 350 7494 7104 6 293 6 277 11 266 4 359 7104 6833 6 301 6 278 10 266 3 013 6833 6668 5 306 6 281 9 266 3*052 6668 6572 5 310 5 284 7*267 2*067 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography