DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.7 - - 45.9 - - 50.6 - - 51.1 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 45 - - 2 - - -34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 128 - - 1640 - - 4281 - - 4969 - - 124 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 115 - - 79 - - 60 - - 33 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 235 - - 254 - - 261 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -5 - - -4 - - -1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -616 - - -1915 - - -3010 - - -3054 - - -4041 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7186 - - 8486 - - 9582 - - 9625 - - 10612 sfcLCL ODpotential -9097 - - -6822 - - -6809 - - -6571 - - -11388 ODpotential blCL 15667 - - 13393 - - 13380 - - 13142 - - 17959 blCL maxRH 100 - - 81 - - 90 - - 98 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.7 - - 45.9 - - 50.6 - - 51.1 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 31.7 - - 31.6 - - 32.0 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.6 - - 46.3 - - 51.6 - - 54.1 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.5 - - 30.6 - - 30.4 - - 31.0 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 45 - - 2 - - -34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 23 - - 58 - - 94 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96478 3 296 12 278 11 265 12 316 15 307 96478 89461 7 017 9 248 1 282 8 290 13 295 89461 84032 2 332 3 203 2 161 3 301 7 261 84032 79498 3 351 3 125 8 188 4 305 5 014 79498 75549 8 334 4 258 2 305 5 283 10 312 75549 72032 5 315 4 314 6 345 6 321 8 242 72032 68834 6 281 7 222 9 299 15 295 5 081 68834 65842 9 281 9 272 15 261 21 257 7 353 65842 63081 19 274 8 248 10 264 26 308 36 307 63081 60508 19 298 21 275 28 299 40 308 30 312 60508 57847 29 297 23 284 30 273 48 319 29 330 57847 55046 32 276 35 313 28 307 51 319 43 322 55046 52341 44 318 60 316 59 324 52 321 53 317 52341 49895 64 324 70 316 67 318 56 320 58 318 49895 47701 74 321 77 312 70 312 62 317 66 321 47701 45723 81 317 85 312 72 315 73 313 79 317 45723 43931 91 317 93 313 79 318 83 308 82 310 43931 42277 96 318 100 312 88 318 86 308 80 315 42277 40731 96 318 102 310 88 320 85 320 83 324 40731 39285 92 317 99 311 91 329 87 326 88 320 39285 37930 87 315 94 313 105 333 86 324 92 313 37930 36634 82 316 89 315 108 330 81 321 92 309 36634 35332 80 317 85 316 94 327 79 316 86 310 35332 33999 78 317 82 315 79 325 82 312 81 311 33999 32639 75 317 80 315 80 319 88 312 81 310 32639 31244 73 317 77 314 89 316 89 312 81 310 31244 29804 74 316 73 312 85 315 86 314 83 311 29804 28325 76 315 68 312 79 315 82 317 82 314 28325 26810 76 314 65 313 74 314 79 320 80 316 26810 25264 72 313 62 315 72 313 76 319 77 318 25264 23691 65 314 58 315 67 313 71 317 73 320 23691 22086 58 315 54 313 61 312 65 315 70 320 22086 20445 54 318 51 311 58 310 61 312 66 318 20445 18796 53 322 48 310 55 309 59 309 60 313 18796 17222 52 324 47 312 52 308 56 306 54 308 17222 15793 51 324 46 314 49 308 50 303 49 306 15793 14518 48 324 44 316 45 307 44 300 45 305 14518 13375 44 323 42 318 40 306 36 292 40 304 13375 12344 40 322 38 319 35 304 32 284 34 302 12344 11411 35 319 32 318 29 299 31 281 30 298 11411 10568 29 315 24 313 25 290 30 280 27 292 10568 9809 23 309 18 304 23 279 30 279 27 284 9809 9125 19 302 17 290 21 269 29 278 27 280 9125 8499 18 293 18 280 21 263 28 277 27 280 8499 7934 19 287 17 269 20 261 27 276 26 281 7934 7454 19 279 12 253 19 260 24 275 25 282 7454 7080 18 262 10 244 17 259 21 273 21 281 7080 6821 13 243 9 242 15 258 16 271 16 275 6821 6662 8*219 7*238 12*257 10*267 11*269 6662 6571 5*138 5*235 7*254 5*261 4*234 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography