DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 52.4 - - 51.0 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 76 - - 7 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1761 - - 1843 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6860 - - 6665 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7990 - - 8072 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3537 - - 2883 - - 1471 - - 357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 230 - - 63 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 16 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 250 - - 119 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -58 - - -23 - - -3 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -59 - - 893 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8049 - - 7179 - - 6571 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2678 - - -1221 - - -2435 - - -3919 ODpotential blCL - - - 10668 - - 9293 - - 9006 - - 10490 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 70 - - 310 - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 52.4 - - 51.0 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 43.2 - - 46.9 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 51.4 - - 50.5 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 42.1 - - 46.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 76 - - 7 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1761 - - 1843 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 98 - - 95 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97768 10 286 12 316 16 285 21 288 97768 90510 10 267 11 295 12 293 12 315 90510 84860 10 250 14 265 11 294 13 302 84860 80168 7 277 10 219 9 277 13 288 80168 76136 9 299 3 309 9 292 8 253 76136 72572 14 282 13 306 12 320 3 305 72572 69338 15 285 21 291 18 309 11 311 69338 66365 17 297 16 274 19 287 10 319 66365 63596 15 321 8 261 14 278 12 325 63596 60918 18 285 18 266 19 281 12 306 60918 58127 29 265 31 269 25 284 19 306 58127 55211 27 266 37 262 35 272 39 280 55211 52419 31 277 37 268 39 271 43 270 52419 49899 44 279 48 272 50 272 50 266 49899 47636 56 273 57 264 59 262 55 260 47636 45582 57 269 56 258 62 257 61 257 45582 43700 60 264 59 258 65 258 67 253 43700 41961 63 259 64 256 71 257 69 252 41961 40342 63 254 68 255 72 253 70 251 40342 38830 58 251 70 252 73 248 75 245 38830 37427 55 250 68 249 72 245 81 241 37427 36105 59 248 64 246 68 244 81 241 36105 34797 62 244 63 245 64 240 76 238 34797 33471 63 241 63 242 63 239 75 235 33471 32129 63 239 62 241 62 238 73 235 32129 30757 60 238 59 240 58 237 69 237 30757 29347 55 238 55 239 53 235 63 238 29347 27903 53 233 50 234 47 233 57 238 27903 26428 52 228 48 229 43 232 51 237 26428 24925 51 228 50 232 42 236 47 236 24925 23398 51 229 50 239 45 237 45 236 23398 21844 51 232 47 240 46 238 47 240 21844 20261 52 237 46 236 44 240 48 239 20261 18671 52 245 48 231 43 239 45 237 18671 17143 50 250 48 227 41 239 42 235 17143 15748 46 250 46 225 39 237 40 233 15748 14498 41 248 41 223 38 235 37 231 14498 13373 38 247 35 223 36 233 33 230 13373 12353 37 246 31 228 33 232 28 231 12353 11426 37 243 28 236 29 233 24 230 11426 10585 37 239 26 243 24 233 22 228 10585 9825 37 234 26 247 18 233 20 227 9825 9138 37 227 25 249 13 232 18 225 9138 8509 35*217 23*250 9 234 15 222 8509 7941 33*205 21*250 9 238 10 216 7941 7459 31 198 19 250 4 232 13 171 7459 7083 29 196 16 250 2 187 16 146 7083 6822 26 195 14 250 2 127 15 140 6822 6663 23 194 13 250 2*123 12*141 6663 6571 15 192 9 250 2*119 6*147 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography