DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.5 - - 56.1 - - 60.1 - - 61.4 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 216 - - 223 - - 43 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 3066 - - 3700 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 8116 - - 8598 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 9295 - - 9929 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1222 - - 2322 - - 2630 - - 6382 - - 1696 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 373 - - 400 - - 105 - - 8 W* B/S 5 - - 16 - - 25 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 288 - - 309 - - 314 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 5 - - -15 - - 3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1129 - - 618 - - -3678 - - -1053 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6571 - - 8167 - - 9312 - - 10250 - - 7624 sfcLCL ODpotential -2228 - - -356 - - -1065 - - -5665 - - -5733 ODpotential blCL 8799 - - 9651 - - 10994 - - 12236 - - 12304 blCL maxRH 92 - - 89 - - 76 - - 67 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 110 - - 150 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.5 - - 56.1 - - 60.1 - - 61.4 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.6 - - 43.0 - - 41.9 - - 39.3 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 54.1 - - 58.0 - - 60.5 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.1 - - 42.4 - - 41.5 - - 38.9 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 216 - - 223 - - 43 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 3066 - - 3700 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 55 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98291 11 227 8 236 12 237 12 247 9 253 98291 90915 13 180 7 216 5 221 6 265 5 229 90915 85245 10 187 7 181 4 231 3 244 2 153 85245 80565 12 167 7 170 4 208 2 214 5 091 80565 76536 6 099 3 210 5 187 6 279 7 031 76536 72964 8 026 2 275 3 142 4 266 5 336 72964 69718 5 329 1 200 5 174 6 246 8 302 69718 66720 7 226 4 230 7 180 9 199 7 274 66720 63931 11 237 9 191 12 228 11 239 13 229 63931 61224 17 242 11 185 18 209 19 236 17 218 61224 58395 22 236 21 224 22 223 25 227 20 236 58395 55458 31 223 30 221 30 230 30 236 26 246 55458 52662 36 227 37 220 38 228 38 232 39 242 52662 50157 42 229 40 224 41 238 39 236 42 237 50157 47916 46 236 46 230 43 242 43 245 43 239 47916 45895 48 234 44 233 49 239 49 244 47 240 45895 44057 43 233 47 239 41 236 43 242 42 236 44057 42373 40 241 40 238 43 250 42 262 32 254 42373 40824 43 242 36 245 35 259 44 259 23 235 40824 39377 46 238 38 251 30 280 25 276 24 293 39377 38026 47 236 33 253 30 304 30 295 37 313 38026 36741 43 234 26 274 34 325 34 294 37 319 36741 35456 31 230 25 285 41 333 26 329 34 325 35456 34140 26 243 24 285 47 339 35 351 31 326 34140 32798 22 253 22 283 45 340 38 355 27 329 32798 31419 19 257 19 283 38 334 33 354 21 338 31419 29992 18 257 15 284 32 334 25 349 15 345 29992 28521 17 250 13 287 26 332 22 332 12 339 28521 27011 18 248 12 290 24 326 24 319 14 317 27011 25466 14 260 14 288 21 312 23 314 18 301 25466 23890 13 284 15 287 19 295 22 310 22 299 23890 22278 15 288 14 288 20 288 20 306 22 302 22278 20623 15 283 15 298 20 288 18 301 20 301 20623 18957 13 280 16 309 17 295 16 297 17 299 18957 17364 10 294 17 315 15 309 14 300 14 301 17364 15920 11 319 16 323 13 322 11 313 10 312 15920 14631 14 333 13 331 12 330 9 336 6 334 14631 13474 17 340 9 344 9 333 6 355 5 001 13474 12429 17 343 8 357 5 332 4 002 4 029 12429 11483 14 341 7 002 3 318 2 284 2 072 11483 10627 11 330 5 350 2*301 3 263 2 134 10627 9856 11 312 3*306 2*299 3 264 3 189 9856 9160 10 301 4*284 3 299 3 272 4 196 9160 8525 8 298 4 282 3 305 3 285 4 181 8525 7953 6 296 4 285 3 309 3 293 3 153 7953 7467 5 292 4 288 3 313 3 302 3 128 7467 7088 4 284 4 293 3 318 2 305 3 114 7088 6825 2 223 4 295 3 320 2 310 3 115 6825 6664 2*165 4 298 3 322 2*309 4*132 6664 6571 2*175 4 298 3 323 2*314 3*158 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography