DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.4 - - 23.2 - - 25.0 - - 21.7 - - 19.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 32 - - 29 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 760 - - 1657 - - 3079 - - 2586 - - 1910 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 96 - - 94 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 230 - - 247 - - 244 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -9 - - -7 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -2254 - - -625 - - -981 - - -1079 - - -1535 ODpotential blCL 8823 - - 7194 - - 7550 - - 7648 - - 8104 blCL maxRH 96 - - 98 - - 99 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.4 - - 23.2 - - 25.0 - - 21.7 - - 19.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.3 - - 20.1 - - 20.7 - - 19.0 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.5 - - 22.5 - - 24.3 - - 22.8 - - 21.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 19.6 - - 20.0 - - 19.7 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 32 - - 29 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 91 - - 97 - - 92 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95542 39 320 41 302 45 291 47 305 54 293 95542 88601 33 338 38 322 40 315 34 317 35 310 88601 83140 23 329 30 330 36 333 24 335 31 322 83140 78524 24 345 25 327 32 331 26 329 34 325 78524 74522 29 334 19 329 24 315 30 313 33 309 74522 70984 18 308 14 328 13 290 21 284 30 285 70984 67763 25 290 19 288 16 272 23 286 30 291 67763 64782 34 299 37 294 37 298 34 299 37 297 64782 62010 36 291 46 286 45 285 42 294 42 288 62010 59315 48 278 48 284 47 278 48 286 44 282 59315 56490 47 269 48 281 48 280 48 277 49 283 56490 53551 45 263 50 279 53 280 51 278 54 281 53551 50748 46 269 54 275 57 277 53 280 56 277 50748 48223 52 274 57 274 60 274 54 278 56 273 48223 45956 60 276 60 271 64 271 59 277 58 273 45956 43903 64 276 63 267 65 269 65 269 63 276 43903 42032 68 275 65 268 67 269 66 266 68 272 42032 40316 72 272 70 267 69 268 67 265 67 266 40316 38737 75 270 73 268 70 267 68 264 62 266 38737 37275 76 270 75 269 71 266 68 264 57 270 37275 35919 77 271 75 269 69 266 65 265 53 272 35919 34635 79 271 75 269 68 267 62 266 47 269 34635 33364 82 271 76 270 67 269 58 266 37 268 33364 32081 86 270 77 271 66 270 53 267 17 285 32081 30791 90 269 80 272 69 271 46 271 13 009 30791 29479 93 269 85 273 73 271 38 278 14 011 29479 28132 94 269 89 272 75 271 32 280 12 031 28132 26752 93 269 90 271 74 271 29 279 14 022 26752 25336 90 269 87 271 72 272 34 276 11 029 25336 23893 79 271 79 270 68 270 43 271 9 011 23893 22433 66 270 68 269 63 267 46 268 17 333 22433 20955 58 268 56 268 54 267 44 270 33 295 20955 19452 51 271 48 270 49 270 41 273 38 285 19452 17941 46 278 45 275 45 277 40 278 36 286 17941 16493 40 282 41 280 42 284 37 285 34 288 16493 15175 32 283 36 283 38 285 35 289 31 288 15175 13996 24 285 30 282 33 283 32 289 29 286 13996 12935 20 287 25 277 29 279 30 288 28 285 12935 11975 17 290 22 271 27 276 28 286 26 286 11975 11104 15 296 20 266 26 272 26 284 24 288 11104 10316 14 301 18 264 26 267 25 281 22 290 10316 9605 12 302 17 261 26 261 25 277 21 288 9605 8962 12 296 18 257 24 251 23 268 21 280 8962 8375 13 289 19 252 24 249 22 257 22 268 8375 7846 15 275 19 239 23 248 20 251 22 258 7846 7398 15 252 18 234 21 247 19 248 21 250 7398 7047 14 237 17 233 19 247 17 247 17 244 7047 6804 12 232 15 232 17 247 14 246 13 240 6804 6654 9*229 13*232 15*247 12*245 10*237 6654 6569 5*226 8*230 9*247 6*244 5*233 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography