DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 60.6 - - 59.4 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 225 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2294 - - 3479 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7471 - - 8442 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8523 - - 9708 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1963 - - 1544 - - 3835 - - 809 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 395 - - 86 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 287 - - 346 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -431 - - -1419 - - -4788 - - -2807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8955 - - 11127 - - 11359 - - 9379 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4658 - - -6679 - - -10669 - - -9878 ODpotential blCL - - - 13181 - - 16387 - - 17240 - - 16449 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 59 - - 62 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 60.6 - - 59.4 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.4 - - 34.5 - - 32.4 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 58.6 - - 59.0 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 33.8 - - 31.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 225 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2294 - - 3479 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97867 15 273 13 313 14 299 12 263 97867 90602 3 276 6 261 13 321 9 328 90602 84982 4 059 8 192 11 324 10 353 84982 80330 4 060 11 168 10 307 4 360 80330 76326 5 213 3 189 10 270 5 194 76326 72764 6 223 7 268 12 262 7 261 72764 69522 11 252 14 250 16 262 14 265 69522 66545 18 264 16 248 16 255 18 275 66545 63791 23 258 25 269 28 277 24 273 63791 61120 25 237 34 255 31 275 24 277 61120 58324 22 248 30 252 32 270 31 278 58324 55419 30 256 33 256 34 254 32 267 55419 52645 28 263 33 249 33 262 31 272 52645 50164 36 271 37 264 42 264 37 270 50164 47962 33 263 32 263 38 250 35 261 47962 45965 22 248 23 260 24 249 23 281 45965 44139 19 299 24 310 30 309 26 310 44139 42473 24 320 22 312 32 326 24 326 42473 40933 18 316 10 294 29 331 19 325 40933 39488 7 355 3 225 14 311 14 312 39488 38128 17 020 10 030 9 340 12 301 38128 36823 29 015 21 009 8 001 15 302 36823 35513 28 010 26 002 10 351 19 315 35513 34177 24 006 23 003 13 343 18 322 34177 32816 21 009 17 003 12 343 15 321 32816 31420 18 017 12 006 10 340 15 316 31420 29981 14 019 9 015 10 331 16 300 29981 28501 13 019 9 009 4 313 20 277 28501 26983 11 024 8 351 6 267 22 267 26983 25429 15 000 6 329 8 276 21 271 25429 23846 18 344 8 323 11 294 21 288 23846 22230 18 332 10 324 13 308 21 296 22230 20574 17 329 12 323 14 316 20 302 20574 18908 16 333 16 326 13 319 16 311 18908 17318 14 334 18 329 12 319 14 322 17318 15878 12 331 17 328 13 322 13 335 15878 14593 10 327 15 323 13 327 13 344 14593 13440 7 321 12 313 14 331 13 351 13440 12400 6 313 10 300 14 332 13 358 12400 11458 7 300 10 288 12 331 14 001 11458 10607 9 293 8 275 11 323 13 359 10607 9840 10 292 6*269 9 309 11 355 9840 9148 8*287 6*271 6 299 9 351 9148 8515 6*282 5 277 5 308 7 330 8515 7945 5 286 5 284 4 325 6 306 7945 7461 5 293 5 292 4 337 4 289 7461 7085 5 299 5 299 4 343 1 236 7085 6823 5 304 5 303 4 345 2 138 6823 6663 5 305 5 304 4*347 3*144 6663 6571 4 308 4 308 3*346 2*196 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography