DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1339z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 73.4 - - 77.5 - - 77.2 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 291 - - 306 - - 104 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4175 - - 4564 - - 3426 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9084 - - 9405 - - 8061 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 10404 - - 10793 - - 9655 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1988 - - 2178 - - 2660 - - 6007 - - 2799 Hgt.Variab. W* 116 - - 462 - - 484 - - 312 - - 19 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 252 - - 270 - - 278 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 4 - - -6 - - -16 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6366 - - -4635 - - -5527 - - -6686 - - -8304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12936 - - 15040 - - 16321 - - 16342 - - 14876 sfcLCL ODpotential -11658 - - -9275 - - -10554 - - -10585 - - -12797 ODpotential blCL 18228 - - 19679 - - 21347 - - 20240 - - 19368 blCL maxRH 40 - - 53 - - 62 - - 57 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 73.4 - - 77.5 - - 77.2 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 30.1 - - 28.5 - - 28.2 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.0 - - 71.0 - - 75.1 - - 75.9 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 28.9 - - 27.3 - - 26.9 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 291 - - 306 - - 104 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4175 - - 4564 - - 3426 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99094 28 101 30 120 23 147 16 129 13 108 99094 91583 21 111 20 131 21 137 13 125 7 103 91583 85790 22 116 18 127 14 135 19 105 14 104 85790 80992 15 105 15 118 11 116 16 103 13 111 80992 76852 16 094 13 116 9 089 14 091 14 091 76852 73213 15 095 17 092 13 094 12 098 17 078 73213 69931 12 079 14 072 10 085 14 093 18 083 69931 66915 14 056 8 072 6 054 15 066 11 072 66915 64121 10 032 3 105 3 000 8 006 10 040 64121 61429 12 012 5 359 1 250 4 266 10 332 61429 58634 19 303 16 310 12 316 2 013 7 284 58634 55730 21 281 23 281 28 287 26 313 21 304 55730 52965 24 288 25 281 31 283 32 292 29 295 52965 50479 30 292 29 288 33 284 35 286 37 294 50479 48245 37 290 35 287 37 285 38 284 42 288 48245 46213 45 288 42 287 40 285 40 281 44 283 46213 44356 50 284 47 284 44 285 41 276 49 275 44356 42656 52 281 48 279 46 279 40 275 50 270 42656 41090 48 282 45 275 48 274 44 278 48 274 41090 39632 46 287 41 275 46 269 44 278 46 276 39632 38268 45 287 41 274 44 265 43 277 43 273 38268 36962 46 285 43 274 41 264 42 275 45 274 36962 35656 48 285 45 276 42 266 41 275 47 277 35656 34323 50 283 46 277 42 268 40 276 45 278 34323 32971 48 282 43 276 40 268 38 276 39 278 32971 31585 47 283 41 279 35 268 36 273 35 277 31585 30155 45 284 40 282 33 271 35 271 32 274 30155 28684 43 285 38 284 32 270 34 271 31 271 28684 27173 41 284 37 286 32 268 32 270 31 268 27173 25626 39 282 36 283 32 269 31 266 32 267 25626 24049 36 281 34 280 31 271 29 265 34 267 24049 22438 33 280 32 277 30 273 28 268 37 270 22438 20789 31 279 31 276 29 275 28 273 39 273 20789 19129 30 277 32 276 30 279 29 280 34 278 19129 17539 28 275 33 276 32 280 27 286 27 283 17539 16091 25 271 32 276 33 279 25 292 24 283 16091 14792 22 266 28 275 32 279 24 294 22 279 14792 13622 20 261 24 272 29 280 22 293 21 275 13622 12561 17 259 21 266 23 280 21 290 19 270 12561 11598 15 259 17 256 18*277 18 286 16 264 11598 10725 15 256 15*248 14*268 15 282 14 255 10725 9938 16 252 14*246 13 266 11*276 12 243 9938 9227 16 250 12 246 12 267 9*274 10 226 9227 8577 16 247 11 249 12 269 8 275 9 205 8577 7990 14 238 10 252 12 271 7 278 9 184 7990 7491 12 227 10 256 12 273 7 279 9 170 7491 7103 9 223 9 259 11 276 6 283 9 160 7103 6832 7 224 8 262 11 276 6 284 8 152 6832 6667 6 224 8 263 10 278 6 285 7 147 6667 6571 4*225 7 264 9 279 5 287 5*151 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography