DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.4 - - 46.7 - - 49.2 - - 42.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -49 - - 31 - - 50 - - -6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6571 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 1893 - - 2829 - - 1205 - - 87 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 101 - - 115 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 211 - - 239 - - 205 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -8 - - -3 - - -5 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1021 - - -2185 - - -1877 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7592 - - 8755 - - 8448 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -10739 - - -9051 - - -6463 - - -5313 - - -6458 ODpotential blCL 17309 - - 15621 - - 13034 - - 11883 - - 13028 blCL maxRH 61 - - 68 - - 91 - - 78 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.4 - - 46.7 - - 49.2 - - 42.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 31.4 - - 35.1 - - 37.4 - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 46.0 - - 48.4 - - 45.1 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.8 - - 30.2 - - 33.9 - - 36.9 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -49 - - 31 - - 50 - - -6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 63 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95762 40 291 43 281 39 285 37 289 50 285 95762 88896 26 283 27 285 31 282 32 289 32 293 88896 83553 16 302 17 299 21 284 25 295 19 312 83553 79049 19 299 17 293 17 260 22 273 21 310 79049 75109 15 260 13 292 14 288 23 276 24 301 75109 71596 15 271 18 260 26 261 31 265 34 277 71596 68423 18 286 16 246 22 236 26 249 29 255 68423 65535 29 258 18 281 9 267 10 249 12 230 65535 62840 36 245 35 274 41 284 29 298 18 301 62840 60196 38 249 45 260 47 265 43 274 37 284 60196 57433 36 262 46 255 47 259 47 267 45 272 57433 54578 46 272 47 261 47 264 45 267 49 271 54578 51872 55 270 46 267 49 269 48 276 52 273 51872 49458 51 267 44 271 47 267 53 275 54 269 49458 47312 48 270 41 271 38 259 49 270 52 267 47312 45379 47 273 42 288 48 282 51 280 55 272 45379 43620 44 279 61 290 64 282 63 282 61 280 43620 42002 52 284 61 280 64 278 67 283 68 287 42002 40493 51 278 46 269 60 275 65 284 67 286 40493 39071 45 275 39 276 58 275 63 280 63 282 39071 37732 43 280 40 281 58 275 61 275 62 281 37732 36450 45 283 42 279 57 271 59 271 62 280 36450 35165 48 281 45 279 55 267 58 272 61 280 35165 33849 48 277 46 280 53 264 59 274 60 280 33849 32508 46 276 47 281 51 263 61 272 59 280 32508 31131 44 276 46 281 49 264 60 267 58 280 31131 29711 42 276 45 279 47 267 59 262 57 278 29711 28250 41 274 42 273 46 266 58 260 56 274 28250 26752 39 273 41 266 46 262 57 261 57 271 26752 25221 38 273 41 264 48 259 56 264 57 268 25221 23659 36 272 41 266 50 262 55 266 57 268 23659 22064 33 268 39 267 49 265 53 268 55 269 22064 20427 33 268 36 265 46 264 50 269 53 270 20427 18779 32 272 36 262 42 262 46 268 50 270 18779 17202 31 271 35 262 41 262 42 267 45 271 17202 15771 28 265 34 265 37 262 37 266 40 272 15771 14495 26 263 30 265 33 261 34 265 35 273 14495 13349 24 260 27 261 30 260 32 263 31 274 13349 12315 23 255 25 257 28 259 30 264 28 272 12315 11381 21 250 25 254 26 257 27 266 26 270 11381 10537 20 247 24 248 25 254 25 265 24 267 10537 9779 19 241 23 241 23 249 23 259 21 264 9779 9097 18 231 22 235 20 240 23 249 20 257 9097 8475 18 226 21 231 17 234 22 235 19 247 8475 7916 18 224 20 226 14 233 20 225 19 237 7916 7441 19 217 17 218 13 234 18 220 20 225 7441 7073 17 204 15 215 12 236 15 217 17 212 7073 6816 14 192 13 214 11 237 10 212 12 198 6816 6660 10*183 11 213 9*238 7*207 9*186 6660 6570 6*183 7*211 7*239 3*205 5*187 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography