DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 70.5 - - 66.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 225 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2644 - - 4193 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7762 - - 8971 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8873 - - 10422 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2844 - - 2728 - - 4906 - - 480 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 417 - - 25 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 302 - - 307 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4782 - - -5030 - - -7884 - - -5883 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13656 - - 15453 - - 14456 - - 12454 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8831 - - -8641 - - -12121 - - -12817 ODpotential blCL - - - 17704 - - 19063 - - 18693 - - 19388 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 56 - - 37 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 70.5 - - 66.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 25.6 - - 26.1 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 68.5 - - 66.4 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 25.1 - - 25.6 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 225 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2644 - - 4193 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97796 8 326 7 326 13 340 11 327 97796 90546 7 029 2 349 10 003 13 010 90546 84897 8 051 2 032 12 352 18 015 84897 80212 8 032 7 031 7 013 10 015 80212 76181 13 010 8 355 10 025 6 348 76181 72620 15 344 5 351 9 006 5 011 72620 69394 11 305 11 321 15 332 7 042 69394 66432 17 300 22 299 29 320 29 341 66432 63708 24 304 29 308 30 325 33 330 63708 61080 30 307 29 297 35 317 31 324 61080 58331 30 311 23 289 36 301 33 315 58331 55472 31 316 22 304 32 286 34 301 55472 52746 34 308 32 310 30 297 30 295 52746 50296 34 297 37 297 33 305 27 305 50296 48107 33 293 38 282 33 295 30 305 48107 46125 34 297 34 277 30 283 32 296 46125 44311 35 305 32 287 29 294 33 295 44311 42629 35 305 31 300 30 309 34 302 42629 41062 31 309 28 308 30 316 29 306 41062 39606 22 323 19 307 24 317 25 310 39606 38249 18 351 14 319 18 327 21 312 38249 36952 21 009 18 356 17 343 17 319 36952 35655 22 019 23 011 20 357 17 338 35655 34329 21 028 26 010 21 004 19 349 34329 32979 22 028 27 007 21 003 20 351 32979 31592 20 023 27 006 22 357 21 352 31592 30160 18 019 24 007 22 357 19 351 30160 28688 17 019 21 009 18 004 12 341 28688 27177 12 019 20 010 18 006 9 334 27177 25628 11 359 16 009 15 008 5 318 25628 24047 14 336 10 353 7 027 5 295 24047 22429 14 322 11 338 2 317 8 321 22429 20768 13 306 11 331 7 308 8 328 20768 19093 13 292 12 311 10 312 7 319 19093 17488 15 288 14 299 13 315 8 304 17488 16028 19 290 16 298 15 315 11 308 16028 14723 22 292 18 299 17 314 15 317 14723 13551 22 295 18 299 16 312 15 322 13551 12493 20 296 16 299 14 311 13 328 12493 11536 17 295 12 298 11 308 11 330 11536 10670 14 294 8*293 7 290 8 328 10670 9890 9 297 6*291 6 278 7 319 9890 9187 5*297 6 295 5 279 6 306 9187 8544 4*292 6 298 5 286 6 290 8544 7966 4 300 6 303 6 295 5 277 7966 7475 4 307 6 307 6 300 3 264 7475 7093 4 316 5 310 6 303 2 239 7093 6827 4 321 5 313 6 305 2 168 6827 6664 4 324 5 315 5*307 3 166 6664 6571 3 327 5 317 4*307 3*198 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography