DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 57.3 - - 55.4 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 85 - - 2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4231 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8928 - - 6555 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10460 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2985 - - 5776 - - 4613 - - 1616 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 397 - - 137 - - 56 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 216 - - 115 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1138 - - -684 - - -1613 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9322 - - 7255 - - 8184 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -684 - - -2386 - - -3993 - - -2919 ODpotential blCL - - - 11144 - - 8957 - - 10564 - - 9490 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 94 - - 73 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 920 - - 120 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 57.3 - - 55.4 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 47.8 - - 42.1 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 56.1 - - 55.1 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 46.6 - - 40.9 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 85 - - 2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4231 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 75 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98075 14 295 10 323 11 320 16 291 98075 90763 6 278 3 227 12 301 9 327 90763 85093 7 187 6 280 8 334 3 343 85093 80399 10 105 3 220 7 325 4 009 80399 76390 6 341 1 027 7 278 10 319 76390 72862 4 311 7 284 4 273 8 335 72862 69648 4 265 16 290 11 296 12 318 69648 66674 5 217 14 253 12 265 15 289 66674 63898 10 288 11 236 15 285 17 292 63898 61192 22 273 22 267 25 278 24 277 61192 58371 24 259 23 255 25 274 23 262 58371 55447 27 265 23 265 26 277 24 259 55447 52660 38 270 34 263 33 264 32 258 52660 50154 45 263 38 252 39 248 38 252 50154 47898 51 263 41 257 38 249 39 247 47898 45841 61 261 49 257 44 256 40 248 45841 43948 69 248 59 254 54 252 43 251 43948 42197 65 243 62 246 58 243 44 250 42197 40571 63 246 60 238 55 238 41 249 40571 39059 69 248 62 238 49 245 38 251 39059 37656 73 245 67 239 51 244 36 253 37656 36332 76 239 72 235 50 242 33 256 36332 35018 76 235 75 233 46 244 29 260 35018 33689 76 234 78 233 49 248 27 261 33689 32346 72 231 77 233 56 249 29 256 32346 30974 67 225 72 232 62 247 33 253 30974 29564 66 219 60 228 65 240 39 250 29564 28118 67 217 49 224 57 237 48 247 28118 26633 65 221 46 222 44 234 50 244 26633 25112 58 226 43 225 46 248 49 251 25112 23563 45 229 27 237 40 252 38 261 23563 21981 43 247 40 246 31 251 23 272 21981 20364 34 261 33 261 25 255 14 275 20364 18738 25 268 26 273 17 263 11 282 18738 17184 17 279 19 286 12 280 9 294 17184 15771 15 291 15 301 12 295 10 309 15771 14508 15 295 12 315 13 308 12 315 14508 13374 11 293 9 321 12 319 12 317 13374 12348 6 303 6 309 9 330 11 315 12348 11419 4 316 4 283 6 339 10 310 11419 10577 3*263 3 267 4 353 9 314 10577 9818 5*242 4 242 2 012 7 321 9818 9132 6 243 4 225 2 041 5 330 9132 8505 6 244 5 219 3 089 2 351 8505 7938 6 246 5 217 5 106 2 049 7938 7458 6 250 5 217 5 111 3 063 7458 7083 6 252 5 215 5 113 3 068 7083 6822 5 253 4 216 5 115 3 078 6822 6663 5 255 4 216 4*115 2*099 6663 6571 4 257 3*216 3*115 1*131 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography