DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 48.3 - - 51.0 - - 43.2 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -74 - - 26 - - 62 - - -7 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6571 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 2750 - - 6808 - - 3693 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 96 - - 121 - - 10 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 194 - - 195 - - 196 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -14 - - -12 - - -8 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2454 - - -3981 - - -4332 - - -1562 - - -572 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9024 - - 10551 - - 10904 - - 8132 - - 7142 sfcLCL ODpotential -9427 - - -7131 - - -6357 - - -5005 - - -6000 ODpotential blCL 15997 - - 13701 - - 12928 - - 11575 - - 12570 blCL maxRH 88 - - 86 - - 86 - - 83 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 48.3 - - 51.0 - - 43.2 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.9 - - 25.0 - - 25.9 - - 30.3 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.2 - - 48.0 - - 50.2 - - 47.0 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.8 - - 23.8 - - 25.0 - - 29.6 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -74 - - 26 - - 62 - - -7 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 42 - - 45 - - 34 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95922 3 295 7 309 7 338 13 085 11 253 95922 88950 7 056 4 073 6 297 8 022 4 314 88950 83545 4 026 10 062 2 166 7 326 11 033 83545 79006 8 344 8 037 1 318 8 312 14 006 79006 75058 14 327 9 353 3 271 7 321 10 331 75058 71551 12 291 8 295 8 301 10 324 4 031 71551 68353 7 273 5 267 7 273 13 286 10 326 68353 65404 5 283 6 296 2 160 11 267 11 311 65404 62665 7 304 16 292 8 307 8 288 6 338 62665 59989 22 258 26 262 20 276 20 291 11 314 59989 57205 19 261 22 226 23 256 23 268 23 280 57205 54325 24 243 22 223 25 251 15 271 16 258 54325 51548 32 235 17 250 20 239 14 238 29 230 51548 49035 44 218 35 229 19 243 33 216 40 215 49035 46803 45 223 48 211 42 209 39 212 39 208 46803 44796 56 226 58 214 52 205 41 203 34 208 44796 42960 65 219 69 208 57 200 47 194 32 200 42960 41264 66 214 70 205 66 196 54 188 36 194 41264 39695 64 214 63 200 68 192 56 184 55 185 39695 38246 57 208 54 190 69 190 57 183 68 179 38246 36902 49 199 48 185 67 187 59 183 69 178 36902 35626 46 195 46 191 64 187 59 185 67 181 35626 34355 45 201 48 197 61 191 56 187 62 183 34355 33060 44 206 52 204 57 196 51 190 55 181 33060 31745 42 207 51 209 53 201 42 194 50 178 31745 30397 39 206 46 212 50 208 34 194 46 176 30397 29011 36 205 42 210 44 216 31 194 43 177 29011 27592 36 205 41 206 38 221 34 194 42 178 27592 26138 38 204 41 203 36 219 38 195 41 178 26138 24654 41 200 42 201 41 211 42 196 41 178 24654 23142 43 197 43 196 44 208 43 197 41 179 23142 21599 44 197 42 191 44 209 42 197 39 185 21599 20023 44 198 40 190 43 210 40 195 35 196 20023 18441 43 201 35 196 40 206 38 197 32 207 18441 16932 37 203 31 203 34 202 34 205 31 210 16932 15561 30 204 27 207 28 205 29 212 32 205 15561 14333 25 203 23 208 24 210 26 215 34 200 14333 13227 22 204 22 208 22 214 27 215 35 199 13227 12226 20 209 21 210 22 215 28 212 36 201 12226 11317 19 215 21 212 22 213 29 206 37 204 11317 10494 19 220 21 213 22 210 28 202 37 205 10494 9752 20 222 22 212 21 205 27 199 36 204 9752 9080 20 221 23 211 19 198 25 200 34 201 9080 8466 21 216 24 209 18 196 23 202 31 194 8466 7911 22 208 25 204 17 196 21 204 28 185 7911 7440 21 199 23 199 16 196 18 206 25 177 7440 7072 20 187 20 196 15 196 15 207 21 171 7072 6816 17 180 18 196 14 196 10 206 16 162 6816 6660 13*181 15*196 12*196 8 203 12*155 6660 6570 7*191 9*194 8*195 4*196 7*152 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography