DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.9 - - 51.4 - - 56.5 - - 54.2 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 104 - - 116 - - -21 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1834 - - 3603 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6976 - - 8298 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 8063 - - 9832 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 185 - - 1901 - - 2569 - - 5166 - - 71 Hgt.Variab. W* 45 - - 260 - - 338 - - 65 - - 39 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 16 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 233 - - 243 - - 252 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -10 - - -15 - - -4 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3236 - - -2845 - - -3103 - - -5711 - - -4379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9807 - - 10908 - - 12936 - - 12283 - - 10950 sfcLCL ODpotential -10535 - - -8647 - - -8315 - - -9229 - - -9856 ODpotential blCL 17105 - - 16710 - - 18147 - - 15800 - - 16426 blCL maxRH 78 - - 67 - - 81 - - 87 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.9 - - 51.4 - - 56.5 - - 54.2 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.4 - - 26.6 - - 22.7 - - 23.4 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.9 - - 50.2 - - 55.4 - - 55.0 - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 25.5 - - 21.5 - - 22.3 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 104 - - 116 - - -21 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1834 - - 3603 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 0 - - 24 - - 47 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96237 14 286 11 289 15 305 18 298 18 287 96237 89000 12 270 6 314 14 290 13 330 16 340 89000 83434 12 008 11 336 10 292 15 317 16 324 83434 78846 12 316 21 307 19 303 19 310 25 322 78846 74931 14 325 27 300 23 309 12 299 28 312 74931 71501 30 301 29 296 31 298 18 308 20 314 71501 68385 28 294 26 290 30 290 24 299 13 315 68385 65493 34 301 28 291 30 286 28 306 27 295 65493 62799 41 299 34 288 34 279 35 291 32 289 62799 60171 46 295 34 290 33 274 40 282 38 287 60171 57408 51 289 41 281 38 280 44 277 42 284 57408 54524 60 283 53 275 52 276 51 278 44 279 54524 51757 68 275 69 273 66 270 60 276 51 277 51757 49258 71 272 73 265 72 264 65 270 61 274 49258 47022 72 274 72 264 70 263 62 267 63 269 47022 45006 73 274 66 265 63 262 59 268 58 268 45006 43181 71 269 61 266 59 264 57 269 53 269 43181 41519 62 264 57 267 55 266 54 269 51 274 41519 39993 52 265 51 269 47 269 48 271 54 280 39993 38580 46 264 45 270 40 276 51 285 56 280 38580 37260 50 262 43 265 40 284 54 290 55 279 37260 35997 53 262 42 261 41 286 50 286 53 278 35997 34728 51 262 42 263 39 282 46 281 52 277 34728 33427 51 260 45 266 38 279 43 278 52 276 33427 32103 50 258 47 266 40 277 42 277 50 274 32103 30744 47 261 47 265 42 275 42 276 47 273 30744 29345 45 264 49 266 41 273 42 272 47 276 29345 27912 42 270 51 268 40 270 43 268 47 277 27912 26445 46 272 50 270 42 270 43 270 47 275 26445 24947 49 271 51 269 45 272 43 272 46 275 24947 23421 45 265 51 267 47 270 42 272 46 276 23421 21863 41 268 49 264 47 268 43 270 45 276 21863 20270 41 270 48 264 47 266 42 269 43 276 20270 18665 40 268 46 264 46 267 40 270 41 275 18665 17127 38 267 42 265 42 269 37 273 39 277 17127 15726 36 268 37 267 37 271 32 275 36 279 15726 14472 33 269 33 271 31 273 28 278 33 280 14472 13343 29 269 28 273 27 272 24 276 29 279 13343 12323 26 268 24 271 24 267 22 270 26 275 12323 11398 24 265 23 263 21 257 21 264 25 270 11398 10560 22 260 21 256 18*246 20 259 25 267 10560 9805 20 253 20 251 18*243 20 256 26 265 9805 9122 18 245 18 244 18 243 20 255 26 262 9122 8497 17 237 15*237 17 242 20 254 27 261 8497 7933 18 231 12*233 17 242 19 254 27 259 7933 7454 18 222 11 233 16 243 18 254 25 257 7454 7080 17 209 10 233 15 243 17 254 22 251 7080 6821 13 196 9 233 14 243 15 253 17 244 6821 6662 10*189 8 234 12 243 12*253 11 233 6662 6570 5*185 6 235 9 244 8*252 6*218 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography