DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 81.2 - - 81.1 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 362 - - 113 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4395 - - 6401 - - 4709 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9252 - - 10909 - - 8995 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10624 - - 12630 - - 10938 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3382 - - 3678 - - 5771 - - 694 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 469 - - 565 - - 348 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 276 - - 275 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -8 - - -10 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7147 - - -6657 - - -7443 - - -9323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17772 - - 19288 - - 18382 - - 15896 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11346 - - -10374 - - -11260 - - -15059 ODpotential blCL - - - 21970 - - 23004 - - 22198 - - 21631 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 29 - - 40 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 81.2 - - 81.1 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 18.7 - - 23.0 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 78.6 - - 79.8 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 17.8 - - 22.2 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 362 - - 113 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4395 - - 6401 - - 4709 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99760 28 115 25 112 22 088 27 106 99760 92195 24 104 24 096 22 103 28 093 92195 86397 23 100 22 110 22 101 24 088 86397 81611 23 090 18 101 14 101 17 103 81611 77465 14 096 14 089 16 102 14 120 77465 73780 14 126 13 122 12 071 15 098 73780 70446 14 110 14 133 5 099 17 057 70446 67401 12 099 18 114 12 133 11 060 67401 64600 9 104 12 078 11 106 8 087 64600 61884 17 130 8 124 6 175 6 087 61884 59057 7 330 7 347 2 241 5 270 59057 56153 12 298 13 277 7 295 8 234 56153 53412 16 308 17 280 22 291 16 311 53412 50970 22 313 20 294 24 286 26 297 50970 48786 31 309 28 302 26 286 28 285 48786 46794 35 308 32 301 30 285 31 285 46794 44958 40 307 35 294 35 287 33 290 44958 43254 44 305 38 290 38 288 35 293 43254 41657 47 305 39 290 39 291 39 297 41657 40155 46 309 40 292 43 296 43 299 40155 38744 44 311 43 296 48 298 46 298 38744 37398 41 310 44 299 49 298 47 296 37398 36057 39 307 44 302 49 300 48 297 36057 34696 37 305 45 303 50 303 51 300 34696 33317 35 304 47 303 51 303 50 300 33317 31906 34 305 46 303 48 301 46 296 31906 30454 35 306 44 305 44 299 41 295 30454 28964 35 304 42 307 39 301 37 296 28964 27437 36 301 41 308 36 303 35 297 27437 25878 38 300 41 308 35 307 33 296 25878 24286 38 299 40 307 35 314 31 294 24286 22657 36 299 38 304 34 317 29 294 22657 20982 33 299 36 301 32 317 27 300 20982 19292 30 298 34 298 32 311 26 301 19292 17674 28 298 30 295 31 304 25 298 17674 16203 27 300 27 293 29 302 23 291 16203 14886 25 302 23 291 26 302 21 285 14886 13698 23 304 19*287 22 300 19 279 13698 12623 21 304 17*283 19 294 16 273 12623 11648 17 301 14 278 16*288 14 266 11648 10766 13*287 13 274 14*282 12 256 10766 9970 11*271 13 273 12 275 11 246 9970 9252 9 259 12 273 11 273 10 233 9252 8594 9 258 12 274 11 273 9 220 8594 8002 8 258 12 274 10 274 8 209 8002 7499 8 258 12 276 10 275 6 193 7499 7107 7 260 12 277 9 276 5 170 7107 6835 7 262 11 277 9 277 6 144 6835 6668 6 262 10 278 8 278 6*134 6668 6572 5 263 9 279 7 279 4*134 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography