DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.7 - - 36.1 - - 36.1 - - 32.7 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - -13 - - -22 - - -36 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 955 - - 1438 - - 213 - - 906 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 36 - - 36 - - 0 - - 25 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 197 - - 190 - - 179 - - 168 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -10 - - -11 - - -11 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -258 - - -327 - - 0 - - -40 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6828 - - 6898 - - 6570 - - 6609 sfcLCL ODpotential -6649 - - -3924 - - -4534 - - -4658 - - -4711 ODpotential blCL 13219 - - 10494 - - 11104 - - 11228 - - 11280 blCL maxRH 71 - - 76 - - 70 - - 75 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.7 - - 36.1 - - 36.1 - - 32.7 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.4 - - 29.2 - - 28.8 - - 27.6 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.3 - - 38.2 - - 38.8 - - 37.1 - - 35.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.5 - - 28.4 - - 27.8 - - 28.0 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - -13 - - -22 - - -36 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95713 28 300 26 289 27 296 24 302 36 283 95713 88790 22 313 19 299 21 286 19 302 22 298 88790 83400 15 313 16 296 20 310 11 284 26 292 83400 78882 10 298 14 295 20 300 13 294 23 286 78882 74958 13 300 17 294 14 290 15 305 23 293 74958 71464 14 281 19 301 14 301 19 283 21 286 71464 68274 9 285 18 286 17 296 14 279 22 284 68274 65313 12 271 18 272 20 290 18 284 22 278 65313 62557 13 278 19 260 19 280 16 273 26 267 62557 59894 18 267 26 271 29 276 25 274 30 268 59894 57088 24 264 32 265 24 292 31 280 42 268 57088 54153 32 272 40 272 43 267 53 251 55 240 54153 51373 42 276 49 263 56 249 51 240 50 237 51373 48887 42 264 51 255 53 250 45 258 44 257 48887 46647 43 258 53 256 53 256 48 267 53 268 46647 44595 53 263 59 258 61 258 62 256 59 261 44595 42714 65 263 66 257 70 254 69 248 69 250 42714 40995 75 263 69 256 76 249 71 244 74 245 40995 39419 90 264 72 258 80 251 84 245 76 246 39419 37970 99 263 75 259 91 253 106 247 82 248 37970 36637 89 264 73 258 95 253 119 248 94 248 36637 35383 69 265 67 256 87 251 122 247 100 245 35383 34134 56 266 61 255 81 248 111 245 91 239 34134 32857 53 266 56 255 77 247 96 243 86 233 32857 31560 56 263 56 255 75 248 86 242 76 237 31560 30235 61 260 61 256 72 249 73 241 72 242 30235 28869 65 261 65 258 66 250 58 242 68 240 28869 27465 63 264 64 260 59 253 51 243 62 233 27465 26022 55 267 58 261 54 254 50 245 53 225 26022 24548 48 268 51 261 51 252 51 248 45 226 24548 23048 43 266 46 261 48 250 47 246 62 248 23048 21519 38 264 43 260 46 248 43 242 69 258 21519 19954 36 261 36 257 45 245 41 239 54 256 19954 18376 37 256 34 254 41 239 42 233 37 244 18376 16863 37 253 33 249 38 235 43 225 36 229 16863 15489 33 251 32 240 38 236 42 222 36 226 15489 14261 32 249 31 232 36 238 39 222 35 225 14261 13157 31 245 28 228 32 235 36 222 33 223 13157 12160 29 242 24 229 27 228 31 220 31 223 12160 11258 24 238 22 234 24 223 27 218 29 225 11258 10442 21 233 22 241 23 227 26 218 30 228 10442 9707 20 230 23 242 24 231 26 218 32 228 9707 9043 21 228 24 237 25 229 27 214 34 224 9043 8436 24 223 25 226 26 220 29 206 34 217 8436 7889 25 212 25 212 27 207 29 196 33 208 7889 7425 22 201 21 201 25 198 27 187 30 201 7425 7064 19 189 17 192 21 193 23 180 26 196 7064 6812 16 185 13 189 17 191 18 175 20 193 6812 6658 12*189 10*188 13*188 13*172 16 193 6658 6569 6*197 5*190 6*179 6*168 8*194 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography