DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.8 - - 35.8 - - 35.3 - - 31.5 - - 22.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -80 - - 40 - - -44 - - -39 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 864 - - 2319 - - 3035 - - 7110 - - 7207 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 108 - - 46 - - 61 - - 53 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 244 - - 247 - - 310 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -13 - - -11 - - 13 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -474 - - 1 - - 0 - - -904 - - -1095 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7045 - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 7473 - - 7663 sfcLCL ODpotential -4795 - - -1164 - - -1520 - - -2624 - - -2544 ODpotential blCL 11365 - - 7734 - - 8089 - - 9193 - - 9112 blCL maxRH 98 - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 220 - - 170 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.8 - - 35.8 - - 35.3 - - 31.5 - - 22.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.7 - - 31.9 - - 32.0 - - 21.7 - - 12.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.8 - - 35.3 - - 36.1 - - 32.0 - - 22.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.5 - - 31.1 - - 31.6 - - 20.5 - - 11.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -80 - - 40 - - -44 - - -39 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 70 - - 101 - - 101 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96213 7 104 7 015 9 084 4 095 2 031 96213 89115 9 072 8 076 4 074 5 032 12 026 89115 83623 7 038 10 087 6 093 2 005 15 016 83623 79038 9 016 4 076 7 036 6 044 15 019 79038 75068 11 004 7 064 4 345 8 337 11 357 75068 71563 8 334 16 351 12 348 8 343 11 001 71563 68391 13 317 18 316 21 319 15 315 9 333 68391 65454 16 335 13 321 21 297 13 298 5 349 65454 62688 30 326 23 307 14 302 17 320 14 313 62688 59971 27 283 25 281 30 286 36 270 26 301 59971 57143 15 265 21 269 36 293 28 285 32 274 57143 54197 26 303 13 261 44 296 37 294 21 272 54197 51337 58 300 53 303 50 298 37 297 32 320 51337 48760 62 292 62 295 54 295 44 304 54 316 48760 46469 66 289 66 292 62 293 54 306 59 309 46469 44392 73 289 73 289 71 292 69 303 58 309 44392 42481 80 288 76 285 74 290 80 300 61 314 42481 40715 85 285 77 284 74 288 85 300 69 317 40715 39080 89 282 79 284 76 288 88 301 79 317 39080 37565 94 280 82 282 80 289 92 302 86 316 37565 36160 100 277 86 278 84 288 94 302 91 314 36160 34829 105 274 90 274 87 288 94 302 95 314 34829 33510 104 273 93 273 87 288 94 302 96 315 33510 32173 97 275 91 274 88 289 93 302 96 316 32173 30826 89 275 85 274 88 288 92 302 94 317 30826 29458 80 275 81 273 86 288 91 301 92 317 29458 28063 73 277 79 272 83 286 91 300 90 316 28063 26647 72 281 78 273 81 284 90 297 88 315 26647 25213 71 283 76 274 81 282 87 294 83 313 25213 23767 70 284 75 276 81 281 84 291 77 310 23767 22308 68 284 73 276 82 281 81 290 71 308 22308 20832 66 282 70 276 82 283 77 289 65 307 20832 19329 63 280 67 276 77 285 70 288 55 306 19329 17825 61 278 64 278 61 287 56 285 46 300 17825 16391 60 278 60 281 52 287 43 282 45 288 16391 15087 58 277 57 283 51 286 44 283 44 291 15087 13922 56 277 54 284 51 285 42 283 38 307 13922 12876 54 276 51 284 51 283 41 286 36 318 12876 11929 50 275 47 283 50 280 40 291 36 328 11929 11070 47 273 44 279 50 276 39 297 35 333 11070 10291 46 269 44 274 50 272 39 302 34 334 10291 9588 47 265 46 266 49 267 39 304 33 333 9588 8952 49 260 47 259 49 262 39 306 32 333 8952 8370 49 253 46 252 48 258 39 308 31 332 8370 7844 49 246 44 248 46 255 38 309 29 330 7844 7396 44 240 41 247 42 252 36 309 27 328 7396 7047 37 237 36 246 38 250 34 310 25 327 7047 6804 29 233 32 245 32 249 30 310 22 325 6804 6655 23*231 27*245 27 249 25*310 19 325 6655 6568 12*228 16*244 16*247 16*310 13*323 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography