DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.7 - - 36.5 - - 37.9 - - 35.1 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - -16 - - -29 - - -44 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 719 - - 957 - - 1289 - - 230 - - 413 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 235 - - 231 - - 206 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -12 - - -11 - - -11 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -3067 - - -3362 - - -3275 - - -4214 - - -5824 ODpotential blCL 9637 - - 9932 - - 9845 - - 10784 - - 12394 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 96 - - 87 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.7 - - 36.5 - - 37.9 - - 35.1 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.5 - - 35.3 - - 36.7 - - 33.7 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 37.7 - - 40.0 - - 39.3 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 35.7 - - 37.3 - - 36.5 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - -16 - - -29 - - -44 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 103 - - 84 - - 47 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96104 49 004 57 005 44 008 41 357 44 355 96104 89197 45 006 55 007 52 011 42 012 28 357 89197 83702 42 013 36 004 45 009 44 011 32 006 83702 79068 40 008 19 004 30 348 36 358 37 360 79068 75091 22 343 19 355 20 342 24 347 34 344 75091 71602 12 318 19 002 18 353 21 333 27 328 71602 68444 27 329 25 340 23 338 19 344 20 341 68444 65509 27 330 22 331 26 323 31 346 20 352 65509 62748 24 327 25 339 21 319 25 320 27 332 62748 60075 27 326 25 309 18 308 31 312 39 297 60075 57337 22 319 14 289 20 282 34 266 24 293 57337 54516 33 323 11 345 15 297 12 278 16 324 54516 51806 52 316 46 330 56 329 45 333 42 331 51806 49363 66 316 66 321 73 319 72 324 59 320 49363 47184 70 315 70 318 72 315 80 318 70 315 47184 45227 74 317 81 320 74 317 81 314 77 313 45227 43460 83 323 89 319 82 319 83 311 81 312 43460 41845 98 327 94 319 89 319 83 308 83 311 41845 40343 107 328 99 320 90 319 83 307 83 308 40343 38932 105 326 99 320 86 319 83 307 83 306 38932 37603 96 324 98 320 82 317 81 306 83 303 37603 36328 83 321 95 317 79 314 77 307 82 301 36328 35048 81 318 89 314 77 313 73 307 79 299 35048 33739 87 316 86 312 75 313 69 307 75 298 33739 32404 89 316 84 311 74 314 68 305 72 299 32404 31033 88 317 80 310 73 314 70 304 70 301 31033 29618 87 320 77 310 71 314 71 304 70 305 29618 28164 84 322 74 311 69 314 69 305 71 308 28164 26673 80 323 73 312 66 314 66 306 71 310 26673 25149 76 324 72 314 64 315 64 309 70 311 25149 23594 72 323 71 315 62 316 64 312 69 311 23594 22005 68 322 67 316 62 318 65 315 68 311 22005 20375 65 323 62 317 63 319 66 316 66 310 20375 18733 62 323 56 318 61 318 65 316 64 310 18733 17163 61 321 51 316 59 316 62 314 60 310 17163 15737 59 317 47 313 55 314 58 312 55 310 15737 14464 55 313 45 310 51 312 52 311 50 310 14464 13322 51 310 43 308 46 309 44 310 46 310 13322 12292 47 307 41 305 40 305 37 307 41 309 12292 11363 43 303 39 300 36 298 31 300 36 307 11363 10523 36 300 37 292 32 288 27 288 30 302 10523 9769 31 289 35 281 32 277 27 276 25 293 9769 9088 28 273 33 271 36 267 32 268 24 279 9088 8467 32 260 39 262 39 256 38 258 30 268 8467 7908 35 255 42 254 38 247 38 249 36 258 7908 7436 33 251 38 247 35 242 34 244 36 249 7436 7069 27 245 31 242 30 240 29 240 30 243 7069 6815 21 241 25 239 24 237 22 233 23 237 6815 6659 17*239 20*238 20*236 15*226 16*229 6659 6570 8*234 10*235 10*231 6*206 8*217 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography