DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.1 - - 63.5 - - 67.3 - - 67.5 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 240 - - 300 - - 82 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4563 - - 6511 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9319 - - 10932 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 10792 - - 12740 - - 6572 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3420 - - 2967 - - 2753 - - 9631 - - 1241 Hgt.Variab. W* 94 - - 451 - - 542 - - 134 - - 31 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 17 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 246 - - 261 - - 265 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -11 - - -8 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4561 - - -2070 - - -1647 - - -8357 - - -5197 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11132 - - 12863 - - 14388 - - 14930 - - 11769 sfcLCL ODpotential -8217 - - -6945 - - -5967 - - -10424 - - -8705 ODpotential blCL 14788 - - 17737 - - 18707 - - 16996 - - 15277 blCL maxRH 52 - - 45 - - 68 - - 80 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.1 - - 63.5 - - 67.3 - - 67.5 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 29.9 - - 26.9 - - 24.8 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 61.5 - - 65.2 - - 66.3 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 28.6 - - 25.7 - - 23.6 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 240 - - 300 - - 82 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4563 - - 6511 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98745 33 108 17 100 21 109 15 092 24 103 98745 91239 28 115 18 116 19 088 19 092 20 113 91239 85509 21 103 17 113 10 093 21 079 18 106 85509 80774 22 101 16 101 12 125 13 066 21 086 80774 76693 17 091 17 096 14 104 9 087 16 067 76693 73088 14 083 15 080 13 108 9 071 11 077 73088 69832 5 049 12 077 9 085 8 075 10 076 69832 66844 7 112 7 082 7 044 8 062 9 072 66844 64071 10 086 9 108 1 095 6 359 10 059 64071 61370 6 102 5 089 8 124 4 223 2 003 61370 58536 5 296 5 215 2 310 4 238 4 265 58536 55585 5 246 7 230 9 242 8 228 11 267 55585 52768 9 260 12 262 17 261 14 282 12 299 52768 50234 13 264 11 264 16 254 19 282 21 299 50234 47966 13 269 14 286 17 282 20 286 23 296 47966 45915 15 278 20 290 20 295 23 300 24 305 45915 44045 20 290 20 297 23 302 32 302 29 313 44045 42333 20 284 25 297 29 302 35 301 43 316 42333 40757 10 259 30 284 30 298 38 297 58 323 40757 39291 10 337 23 281 26 288 38 293 67 321 39291 37919 16 329 20 296 26 279 33 283 68 316 37919 36610 15 340 20 296 26 283 31 268 70 314 36610 35300 15 341 19 295 25 285 27 254 66 312 35300 33962 15 335 18 298 22 278 23 251 56 308 33962 32606 14 325 16 299 22 267 24 256 44 298 32606 31219 14 317 16 296 20 261 27 258 39 286 31219 29793 15 308 18 289 19 263 28 265 37 279 29793 28331 17 292 20 282 19 262 31 274 32 278 28331 26837 19 288 21 279 20 252 34 281 30 278 26837 25312 21 291 20 278 19 247 32 281 29 275 25312 23758 22 290 19 274 20 242 29 269 35 271 23758 22171 25 289 20 270 21 249 26 251 42 267 22171 20546 30 286 24 264 21 265 23 254 43 261 20546 18910 31 282 27 262 23 274 24 270 37 260 18910 17345 25 277 27 261 23 278 28 279 29 264 17345 15921 20 269 26 261 22 277 28 282 23 273 15921 14647 20 261 26 260 22 272 25 282 22 277 14647 13498 22 257 27 260 21*267 21 281 20 273 13498 12456 23 254 26 257 21*263 19 281 19 266 12456 11510 22 252 23*253 20 261 16 279 17 259 11510 10652 21 249 21*250 20 260 13 278 16 254 10652 9878 20 247 19 248 17 259 10 274 14 250 9878 9179 20 246 17 246 16 260 8 270 12 243 9179 8539 20 243 15 245 15 260 7 267 9 225 8539 7963 18 233 15 244 15 261 6 264 6 195 7963 7473 17 222 14 245 14 262 6 264 9 156 7473 7092 15 212 13 245 14 262 6 265 10 145 7092 6827 12 206 12 246 13 263 5 265 10 140 6827 6665 10*205 11 246 12 263 5*264 9*139 6665 6572 7*202 9 246 10 264 4*265 5*153 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography