DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1337z - - 1605z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 62.0 - - 65.9 - - 65.4 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 321 - - 334 - - 47 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4619 - - 7416 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 9449 - - 11682 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 10848 - - 13645 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1498 - - 2699 - - 1919 - - 8932 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 98 - - 486 - - 577 - - 109 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 16 - - 17 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 273 - - 278 - - 279 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4159 - - -1479 - - -1875 - - -10566 - - -7726 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10729 - - 12328 - - 15521 - - 17138 - - 14296 sfcLCL ODpotential -8453 - - -4719 - - -5024 - - -13788 - - -14058 ODpotential blCL 15023 - - 15567 - - 18669 - - 20359 - - 20628 blCL maxRH 71 - - 64 - - 81 - - 83 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 62.0 - - 65.9 - - 65.4 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 30.6 - - 20.3 - - 12.8 - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 59.7 - - 63.6 - - 64.7 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.9 - - 30.1 - - 19.4 - - 12.0 - - 12.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 321 - - 334 - - 47 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4619 - - 7416 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98508 18 252 23 271 19 231 17 235 28 248 98508 91125 18 254 24 250 19 250 19 252 20 269 91125 85377 9 274 19 229 23 248 19 266 17 266 85377 80593 8 294 12 200 17 245 20 269 10 277 80593 76469 10 290 10 193 13 261 15 268 10 310 76469 72830 10 224 12 232 11 260 10 274 8 288 72830 69545 3 209 10 231 20 262 14 266 5 267 69545 66511 11 290 11 241 25 246 26 255 9 294 66511 63694 24 271 27 265 26 252 25 271 20 270 63694 60976 23 256 35 272 34 272 30 278 28 267 60976 58155 26 265 39 269 35 269 35 277 29 267 58155 55229 37 268 42 261 40 264 43 270 36 266 55229 52429 49 268 49 259 49 265 53 266 47 267 52429 49916 59 270 58 261 62 266 62 267 59 266 49916 47682 75 272 73 264 74 267 73 266 70 266 47682 45668 91 269 88 266 88 266 86 263 81 265 45668 43827 101 267 99 265 102 264 99 261 92 262 43827 42124 107 267 106 265 109 263 104 260 98 258 42124 40536 110 267 112 265 111 263 104 261 96 257 40536 39054 109 267 113 266 109 264 101 263 88 260 39054 37675 103 267 110 267 106 266 96 265 77 266 37675 36370 96 265 102 266 102 266 92 266 74 268 36370 35072 89 262 94 265 96 265 87 266 71 268 35072 33752 83 261 89 264 90 264 77 267 67 272 33752 32414 79 261 83 263 82 263 71 271 63 273 32414 31045 75 262 79 260 75 264 68 273 58 272 31045 29637 72 262 77 259 71 268 64 273 53 273 29637 28193 71 261 75 259 67 268 62 275 50 274 28193 26712 68 260 71 261 64 266 58 280 47 276 26712 25197 64 260 65 263 61 265 54 280 43 280 25197 23651 60 261 60 263 59 266 49 278 39 281 23651 22073 56 261 58 262 57 267 44 279 35 280 22073 20454 53 261 55 261 52 269 39 282 31 278 20454 18822 50 260 52 262 46 270 34 288 29 282 18822 17256 47 261 49 264 40 272 31 293 27 280 17256 15833 44 262 46 266 34 274 27 289 21 274 15833 14562 43 266 41 270 24*273 19 276 13 281 14562 13421 39 273 34 275 19*273 16 267 11 297 13421 12389 33 275 28 278 19 274 16 265 12 300 12389 11452 26 270 23*276 18 274 15 266 13 295 11452 10603 24 265 21*274 18 276 15 268 13 288 10603 9837 23 267 19 272 17 278 14 271 12 276 9837 9145 23 273 16 272 17 279 13 273 13 260 9145 8513 23 274 16 272 16 282 13 275 16 249 8513 7944 23 270 15 273 16 283 13 276 19 243 7944 7460 22 254 15 273 15 285 12 277 19 240 7460 7084 19 243 14 274 15 286 12 278 17 236 7084 6822 16 240 13 275 14 286 11 278 13 231 6822 6662 13*237 12 276 13 287 10*278 9*223 6662 6570 8*235 10 276 11 287 8*279 5*216 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography