DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.2 - - 24.4 - - 21.1 - - 16.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 30 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 286 - - 824 - - 545 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 94 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 299 - - 288 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -1 - - -3 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -985 - - -204 - - 1 - - -1764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7555 - - 6773 - - 6569 - - 8333 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12733 - - -8693 - - -9104 - - -13230 ODpotential blCL - - - 19302 - - 15262 - - 15673 - - 19799 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 74 - - 81 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.2 - - 24.4 - - 21.1 - - 16.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.0 - - 18.4 - - 18.3 - - 4.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.7 - - 23.9 - - 23.1 - - 21.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.0 - - 17.3 - - 19.4 - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 30 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97190 27 061 37 061 21 060 3 008 97190 90038 20 086 20 067 17 061 13 054 90038 84428 21 082 21 047 20 049 23 059 84428 79726 20 078 14 054 20 022 28 040 79726 75665 17 059 14 032 19 001 25 023 75665 72071 12 065 7 037 13 343 19 018 72071 68800 13 013 5 017 9 354 17 014 68800 65779 12 356 11 014 14 012 15 013 65779 62960 10 012 13 354 17 015 16 016 62960 60226 18 026 11 345 20 353 11 003 60226 57378 25 021 11 347 15 338 13 340 57378 54443 31 003 24 356 25 336 33 335 54443 51685 38 353 38 351 33 346 37 338 51685 49225 47 350 46 354 43 355 39 340 49225 47021 52 351 55 351 48 350 42 343 47021 45022 55 351 56 343 48 351 50 344 45022 43201 56 350 56 337 55 347 58 340 43201 41534 56 349 54 327 62 336 61 334 41534 39998 58 348 56 325 63 329 62 331 39998 38571 60 345 69 328 62 329 64 329 38571 37243 62 343 73 325 64 331 68 328 37243 35976 64 343 71 328 67 331 70 329 35976 34707 66 343 76 332 70 331 72 330 34707 33409 66 344 79 333 73 329 74 330 33409 32087 67 345 77 331 75 327 76 330 32087 30732 67 346 75 329 75 327 76 329 30732 29333 67 347 75 328 71 329 74 329 29333 27895 68 348 78 330 67 331 71 330 27895 26419 69 349 76 333 65 332 67 331 26419 24907 68 352 71 336 63 334 61 333 24907 23365 67 356 64 340 59 336 54 336 23365 21791 64 356 60 344 55 340 49 339 21791 20178 60 357 57 347 52 343 46 341 20178 18552 54 000 51 350 49 345 43 341 18552 16995 49 006 43 353 44 344 39 340 16995 15580 46 009 38 357 38 339 37 339 15580 14317 43 008 34 359 33 332 35 337 14317 13184 41 007 32 358 30 327 34 335 13184 12165 39 006 30 357 29 326 33 334 12165 11245 36 006 28 354 29 327 32 334 11245 10417 32 006 26 349 28 326 30 332 10417 9675 27 005 22 344 24 320 25 325 9675 9008 21 003 17 336 19 306 20 311 9008 8403 15 001 11 325 15 290 17 295 8403 7861 10 356 7 314 11 274 14 279 7861 7405 7 346 4 288 6 252 11 259 7405 7050 5 323 4 276 3 196 8 227 7050 6804 5 293 3 288 2 186 8 185 6804 6655 4*272 3*295 1*210 8*158 6655 6569 3*250 2*299 1*288 6*169 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography