DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.1 - - 69.8 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 266 - - 128 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5475 - - 8271 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10040 - - 12261 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11704 - - 14500 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3715 - - 4390 - - 11907 - - 4119 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 484 - - 560 - - 153 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 267 - - 265 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -9 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1368 - - 1671 - - -7689 - - -5087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10337 - - 12830 - - 14262 - - 11659 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -575 - - -676 - - -8909 - - -8235 ODpotential blCL - - - 12279 - - 15176 - - 15481 - - 14806 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 85 - - 92 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 150 - - 50 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.1 - - 69.8 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 35.4 - - 29.8 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 67.0 - - 68.3 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 34.2 - - 28.7 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 266 - - 128 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5475 - - 8271 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 38 - - 68 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99167 31 122 25 104 25 101 29 095 99167 91607 26 113 23 108 25 101 26 094 91607 85795 19 104 23 110 23 102 24 097 85795 80977 14 105 16 118 17 110 15 089 80977 76841 16 108 14 102 14 096 14 116 76841 73189 15 099 12 108 13 088 15 103 73189 69877 7 117 8 107 7 112 10 082 69877 66836 5 186 5 108 8 093 9 061 66836 64021 5 211 3 255 6 064 3 097 64021 61298 15 182 13 209 6 254 2 261 61298 58454 8 239 10 213 13 245 12 252 58454 55504 18 247 22 252 25 260 25 268 55504 52696 17 258 21 252 27 262 29 267 52696 50174 25 272 24 274 24 270 25 274 50174 47911 33 278 35 282 35 284 31 278 47911 45855 39 282 44 279 45 276 39 273 45855 43983 39 281 46 278 47 271 47 272 43983 42273 34 280 44 281 48 269 53 271 42273 40703 32 292 43 284 47 267 54 269 40703 39249 34 299 42 283 47 268 52 264 39249 37893 33 302 39 283 48 270 50 264 37893 36599 31 306 36 283 47 269 49 267 36599 35305 29 310 32 281 43 266 48 267 35305 33985 27 313 28 281 40 265 47 264 33985 32641 25 313 25 280 40 263 46 263 32641 31261 24 308 24 279 40 262 44 264 31261 29836 24 303 25 278 39 262 42 267 29836 28372 23 300 24 278 36 263 40 269 28372 26870 23 299 25 279 34 267 37 271 26870 25336 21 298 26 279 33 271 35 275 25336 23775 19 294 26 276 33 273 35 279 23775 22183 20 299 27 276 33 273 34 281 22183 20556 25 305 26 281 27 278 29 283 20556 18921 25 306 17 276 20 283 22 290 18921 17357 21 302 12 268 16 284 18 292 17357 15933 18 299 11 268 15 284 17 288 15933 14657 17 296 11*268 12 280 17 281 14657 13506 15 293 11*268 10 271 16 274 13506 12463 13*289 11 268 8 263 15 267 12463 11517 11*285 11 267 8 261 14 258 11517 10660 8 281 11 267 8 261 13 248 10660 9886 6 276 11 267 8 261 12 234 9886 9187 5 278 11 266 8 261 11 222 9187 8547 5 279 11 266 8 260 11 212 8547 7969 5 280 10 266 8 262 11 205 7969 7478 4 284 10 265 7 263 11 199 7478 7095 4 286 9 266 7 263 10 194 7095 6828 4 288 9 267 7 263 10 189 6828 6665 4 288 8 267 6*263 7 184 6665 6571 3 289 7 267 5*265 5*183 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography