DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.6 - - 40.6 - - 44.1 - - 39.2 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 84 - - 76 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 787 - - 2359 - - 2708 - - 1403 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 134 - - 131 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 457 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 210 - - 338 - - 340 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1230 - - -1209 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 7800 - - 7780 - - 6570 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -4259 - - -6079 - - -4829 - - -3641 - - -5307 ODpotential blCL 10828 - - 12649 - - 11399 - - 10211 - - 11876 blCL maxRH 78 - - 73 - - 73 - - 79 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.6 - - 40.6 - - 44.1 - - 39.2 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 29.5 - - 33.0 - - 36.0 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.7 - - 39.4 - - 43.0 - - 40.2 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 28.4 - - 31.8 - - 35.3 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 84 - - 76 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96031 26 289 34 296 22 298 31 290 33 296 96031 89227 9 335 18 286 20 321 13 306 15 305 89227 83894 8 009 8 261 15 309 11 317 8 304 83894 79412 9 309 1 146 8 247 9 306 4 315 79412 75504 9 275 1 006 8 208 18 276 14 304 75504 72012 13 260 7 260 14 244 20 242 18 269 72012 68834 15 272 4 281 10 255 11 236 15 272 68834 65887 22 271 14 261 19 257 20 238 16 263 65887 63133 20 253 20 243 20 228 17 218 16 244 63133 60453 12 241 18 275 12 246 8 244 12 244 60453 57644 18 269 20 265 20 254 17 272 14 271 57644 54722 24 265 21 240 18 233 19 264 16 253 54722 51924 26 254 15 232 11 230 15 233 10 237 51924 49403 24 258 24 260 25 259 24 265 17 277 49403 47164 26 269 35 255 40 255 33 264 29 261 47164 45162 29 272 30 275 33 248 28 260 29 256 45162 43337 29 267 36 291 21 283 24 273 31 251 43337 41652 17 261 37 285 37 289 33 281 26 250 41652 40088 27 318 31 277 44 278 44 278 30 262 40088 38640 44 320 31 278 37 267 48 276 35 260 38640 37303 52 305 31 290 27 264 42 270 36 265 37303 36033 55 290 35 304 22 284 34 269 36 267 36033 34762 50 294 38 304 24 296 28 277 25 263 34762 33464 46 304 36 299 28 296 30 282 16 253 33464 32141 45 316 33 301 29 296 32 285 15 263 32141 30781 42 319 28 320 27 301 32 287 16 282 30781 29378 38 322 27 320 24 302 30 288 18 289 29378 27936 34 325 24 320 25 302 28 289 19 289 27936 26457 30 324 21 323 23 300 24 297 21 288 26457 24943 26 330 19 319 19 303 24 299 19 285 24943 23403 19 351 14 315 19 300 19 305 12 295 23403 21834 18 016 7 335 13 303 17 307 9 299 21834 20226 17 030 7 044 3 055 12 319 7 328 20226 18610 18 062 11 093 8 095 6 002 4 063 18610 17064 21 079 17 105 13 108 5 065 9 106 17064 15658 18 086 19 107 17 113 8 103 14 116 15658 14399 13 095 20 110 20 117 14 119 17 124 14399 13268 11 101 20 115 21 123 19 124 20 129 13268 12248 8 101 19 119 20 131 21 129 20 132 12248 11325 6 099 16 125 18 137 20 134 19 136 11325 10492 5 102 11 137 15 143 17 139 17 141 10492 9743 4 107 8 153 12 150 14 146 14 147 9743 9069 3 106 7 157 8 161 10 157 11 155 9069 8453 4 103 6 158 4 181 7 171 8 165 8453 7900 5 102 4 165 1 278 3 184 4 184 7900 7431 6 098 2 182 2 315 1 333 2 246 7431 7066 6 096 1 192 2 328 3 342 4 296 7066 6813 5 099 1 202 3 333 4 341 5 304 6813 6659 4 110 0*196 3*337 4*340 4 299 6659 6569 1*175 0*210 3*338 3*340 3*289 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography