DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 58.5 - - 58.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 421 - - 158 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4692 - - 6736 - - 5433 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9561 - - 11245 - - 9752 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10921 - - 12965 - - 11662 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1802 - - 1627 - - 3121 - - 1680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 606 - - 410 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 23 - - 23 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 256 - - 247 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -16 - - -29 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1457 - - -1960 - - -2710 - - -6084 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12378 - - 14926 - - 14373 - - 12655 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6443 - - -6642 - - -7031 - - -10939 ODpotential blCL - - - 17364 - - 19607 - - 18693 - - 17510 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 72 - - 64 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 58.5 - - 58.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 15.7 - - 18.3 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 56.1 - - 57.2 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 14.6 - - 17.2 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 421 - - 158 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4692 - - 6736 - - 5433 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98133 8 163 2 125 4 122 6 001 98133 90692 5 083 7 122 4 359 5 030 90692 84960 7 084 1 098 10 359 11 037 84960 80220 7 100 3 320 7 356 11 015 80220 76148 7 136 5 088 5 278 10 332 76148 72554 4 124 6 022 3 002 2 280 72554 69296 6 111 2 268 1 039 2 169 69296 66281 1 246 5 226 5 290 6 345 66281 63485 7 240 4 188 5 255 7 208 63485 60779 8 269 9 294 17 282 15 266 60779 57946 12 255 24 223 28 252 33 261 57946 55026 6 264 9 222 24 259 30 260 55026 52274 29 288 28 277 23 298 28 284 52274 49811 26 276 27 282 26 290 33 278 49811 47591 19 284 30 286 32 286 39 273 47591 45562 24 290 34 286 39 280 42 271 45562 43695 33 285 39 286 41 276 44 271 43695 41973 42 283 48 289 44 277 48 272 41973 40384 57 291 57 295 52 283 55 275 40384 38914 72 296 67 302 60 288 60 274 38914 37550 83 301 77 307 65 291 62 273 37550 36252 89 300 80 305 67 290 65 273 36252 34953 89 298 79 301 68 285 68 275 34953 33626 88 302 79 297 71 284 70 277 33626 32275 89 307 78 294 73 283 72 279 32275 30891 87 306 77 291 72 282 73 280 30891 29467 86 303 74 289 70 282 73 279 29467 28009 86 300 70 288 68 281 72 278 28009 26519 84 298 66 288 67 282 70 277 26519 25000 80 297 63 289 64 282 67 275 25000 23456 73 296 60 289 62 281 63 274 23456 21884 63 295 57 288 59 279 60 272 21884 20277 54 292 53 286 56 277 56 272 20277 18663 47 288 49 283 52 279 51 275 18663 17121 43 288 45 283 43 283 39 278 17121 15721 40 288 40 284 33 286 27 280 15721 14469 35 288 32 280 27 286 23 281 14469 13341 30 286 25*267 24 271 22 281 13341 12320 24 280 24*259 23*259 23 278 12320 11394 19*268 24 258 23*255 25 270 11394 10555 17*259 24 257 24 250 30 261 10555 9799 16 255 23 256 24 247 33 254 9799 9117 16 253 23 255 24 246 35 248 9117 8494 16 253 23 255 24 245 35 244 8494 7931 16 252 23 255 24 244 34 242 7931 7453 15 252 22 254 23 244 31 239 7453 7080 14 252 21 254 22 243 27 235 7080 6820 13 252 20 254 21 243 21 230 6820 6662 12 253 18 254 19 243 16*227 6662 6571 10 253 14 255 13 243 8*223 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography