DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.1 - - 33.8 - - 35.7 - - 34.1 - - 26.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 24 - - 20 - - 1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 201 - - 1172 - - 1782 - - 1437 - - 610 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 89 - - 84 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 21 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 282 - - 311 - - 337 - - 149 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - -1 - - -3 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1622 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8192 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -8129 - - -2929 - - -2895 - - -2276 - - -4623 ODpotential blCL 14698 - - 9499 - - 9465 - - 8846 - - 11192 blCL maxRH 53 - - 87 - - 88 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.1 - - 33.8 - - 35.7 - - 34.1 - - 26.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.9 - - 30.2 - - 31.3 - - 32.4 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.2 - - 33.1 - - 35.1 - - 35.3 - - 31.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.0 - - 29.6 - - 30.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 24 - - 20 - - 1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 47 - - 53 - - 41 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95972 20 272 26 266 31 283 20 288 17 292 95972 88825 28 273 29 268 35 270 33 300 28 327 88825 83358 30 286 23 289 32 284 30 300 24 310 83358 78848 42 293 32 301 28 272 27 323 20 310 78848 74944 41 297 27 292 39 290 39 300 35 305 74944 71503 40 290 43 296 44 286 45 293 43 302 71503 68389 40 286 50 285 46 288 48 291 41 296 68389 65494 50 281 48 272 52 287 48 294 43 288 65494 62781 51 272 48 280 53 284 59 291 48 290 62781 60131 44 284 56 288 57 282 63 281 54 285 60131 57339 58 294 57 289 61 282 62 274 55 277 57339 54408 70 292 59 283 59 278 58 274 57 275 54408 51591 74 285 65 277 59 275 62 279 65 280 51591 49059 72 278 69 274 62 275 66 279 69 279 49059 46804 61 275 68 276 60 279 60 279 60 278 46804 44773 55 291 63 288 61 293 53 286 50 283 44773 42934 56 300 62 298 60 299 52 291 47 289 42934 41269 46 309 49 314 48 301 49 287 39 290 41269 39753 35 301 44 339 34 331 40 283 31 287 39753 38349 35 310 45 349 43 351 32 306 21 306 38349 37037 29 327 45 355 42 355 36 329 27 330 37037 35789 25 013 44 001 36 356 39 330 32 335 35789 34539 30 021 43 010 34 356 39 326 32 335 34539 33261 27 007 44 019 35 357 35 332 28 335 33261 31958 24 352 44 027 36 357 28 325 26 333 31958 30619 23 355 44 032 37 357 24 322 21 341 30619 29237 24 004 41 036 32 008 15 320 16 316 29237 27816 24 012 35 041 27 032 8 315 17 294 27816 26355 24 019 28 041 24 052 7 304 14 282 26355 24857 22 026 24 040 21 060 11 305 13 270 24857 23327 20 033 21 042 16 055 12 313 15 278 23327 21759 19 037 15 040 12 055 9 333 16 284 21759 20150 17 042 11 040 5 062 4 001 11 271 20150 18529 16 040 8 042 2 254 4 265 8 252 18529 16981 14 029 8 027 3 234 8 247 8 263 16981 15578 13 020 9 014 3 236 9 233 9 271 15578 14328 12 015 7 009 2 245 8 224 10 261 14328 13205 11 015 4 013 3 243 8 222 11 248 13205 12192 10 021 2 064 4 244 8 227 12 244 12192 11277 10 029 3 122 6 246 8 233 12 246 11277 10452 11 033 4 126 6 246 9 233 13 248 10452 9710 11 035 4 122 5 242 9 224 13 241 9710 9041 11 035 3 117 3 228 9 221 13 228 9041 8433 10 034 0 053 3 221 8 220 12 217 8433 7885 9 035 2 294 2 236 6 211 9 208 7885 7421 8 031 4 295 1 259 3 189 7 188 7421 7061 6 020 5 300 1 284 2 170 7 155 7061 6810 5 351 5 303 1 320 2 156 8 136 6810 6657 5*315 5*307 1*331 2*152 7 136 6657 6569 4*282 4*311 1*337 1*149 3*171 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography