DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 63.1 - - 60.0 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 317 - - 32 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3894 - - 4849 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8836 - - 9621 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10123 - - 11078 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2630 - - 2347 - - 5493 - - 1561 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 439 - - 491 - - 96 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 242 - - 240 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -15 - - -7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1403 - - -2812 - - -6514 - - -4625 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11527 - - 13890 - - 13085 - - 11196 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4137 - - -5971 - - -9832 - - -9606 ODpotential blCL - - - 14260 - - 17049 - - 16403 - - 16177 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 85 - - 89 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 63.1 - - 60.0 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 25.0 - - 25.6 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 60.9 - - 59.4 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 24.6 - - 25.4 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 317 - - 32 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3894 - - 4849 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 41 - - 56 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98482 4 326 8 289 1 267 6 314 98482 91110 7 242 9 233 8 306 5 336 91110 85404 5 182 1 293 8 326 4 056 85404 80661 8 122 7 011 4 042 3 049 80661 76591 6 089 2 299 1 348 6 021 76591 73004 0 220 5 171 7 217 5 341 73004 69744 8 270 4 204 6 253 10 288 69744 66739 6 206 8 203 11 242 16 249 66739 63952 12 266 14 250 11 241 18 245 63952 61234 21 259 19 243 15 255 15 276 61234 58381 27 240 24 247 28 259 26 274 58381 55434 23 238 28 245 30 252 28 259 55434 52648 23 254 30 247 30 252 33 263 52648 50157 26 256 32 249 36 253 39 254 50157 47932 29 254 36 251 40 252 39 251 47932 45908 37 257 43 255 45 255 45 252 45908 44047 48 256 51 254 52 254 53 251 44047 42323 52 254 56 250 60 253 60 252 42323 40719 58 258 61 250 67 252 66 253 40719 39223 63 257 65 253 70 253 70 254 39223 37834 63 254 68 256 72 255 71 256 37834 36519 63 253 73 257 75 257 73 258 36519 35213 60 254 74 257 78 257 74 259 35213 33888 57 255 72 258 77 257 72 259 33888 32543 55 254 65 256 73 257 67 258 32543 31164 53 254 61 253 68 256 62 260 31164 29743 51 255 61 251 64 257 58 263 29743 28281 50 253 62 249 60 257 54 259 28281 26783 49 251 60 249 57 257 50 252 26783 25253 48 251 56 251 55 255 46 253 25253 23696 47 251 52 252 54 253 42 259 23696 22105 46 251 49 253 52 252 41 257 22105 20474 46 252 48 251 50 253 42 255 20474 18834 48 253 49 250 47 255 42 257 18834 17268 52 252 49 249 45 256 40 259 17268 15844 52 251 47 248 42 256 37 258 15844 14572 47 252 44 247 40 254 34 254 14572 13427 38 251 41 250 37 251 31 247 13427 12389 29 244 36 252 34 251 28 241 12389 11449 25 236 27*248 31 250 24 237 11449 10598 22*233 22*242 27 248 21 239 10598 9832 18*233 21 241 23 243 18 247 9832 9141 16 236 20 241 19 239 17 253 9141 8510 15 238 19 241 19 239 14 252 8510 7942 15 239 19 242 18 239 11 244 7942 7460 14 241 18 243 17 239 9 234 7460 7084 13 243 17 243 16 240 8 224 7084 6822 12 244 16 244 15 240 6 200 6822 6663 11 245 15 245 13*240 5*174 6663 6571 9 245 12 246 9*240 4*179 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography