DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 14.9 - - 22.4 - - 27.5 - - 23.2 - - 17.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 3 - - 21 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 56 - - 448 - - 1319 - - 598 - - 308 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 49 - - 84 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 151 - - 024 - - 330 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -6 - - 1 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1609 - - -867 - - -475 - - 1 - - -1551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8178 - - 7436 - - 7045 - - 6569 - - 8120 sfcLCL ODpotential -13056 - - -10047 - - -5829 - - -4950 - - -9230 ODpotential blCL 19625 - - 16616 - - 12398 - - 11519 - - 15799 blCL maxRH 55 - - 59 - - 69 - - 70 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 14.9 - - 22.4 - - 27.5 - - 23.2 - - 17.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.1 - - 13.5 - - 20.1 - - 19.0 - - 5.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.4 - - 23.1 - - 27.4 - - 25.9 - - 23.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.6 - - 13.7 - - 19.1 - - 19.6 - - 12.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 3 - - 21 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96669 42 050 41 049 40 038 46 058 36 051 96669 89582 40 044 29 051 33 040 37 062 33 053 89582 84066 36 050 25 047 33 046 33 046 35 043 84066 79435 30 047 24 042 30 045 28 036 33 026 79435 75409 20 040 15 034 20 040 15 039 26 032 75409 71824 18 023 22 022 16 010 27 014 29 012 71824 68571 26 016 23 017 18 002 30 005 24 009 68571 65566 30 000 26 004 23 003 27 007 30 014 65566 62766 20 359 31 345 28 348 33 356 36 354 62766 60051 12 003 31 337 31 335 41 344 38 343 60051 57213 21 000 29 342 31 332 43 334 46 342 57213 54265 40 350 43 347 41 339 46 331 52 334 54265 51452 53 336 57 338 54 338 51 336 56 340 51452 48926 55 331 61 331 60 327 66 332 66 337 48926 46680 58 334 61 331 61 320 68 323 69 330 46680 44664 64 334 65 332 62 323 63 322 69 328 44664 42826 65 325 68 328 66 326 63 327 70 328 42826 41140 59 316 64 322 68 326 68 325 73 328 41140 39594 51 317 56 316 65 319 69 319 78 326 39594 38174 48 322 53 313 59 316 69 318 77 322 38174 36854 46 323 52 316 58 317 69 321 73 321 36854 35593 45 323 51 318 57 316 68 321 71 324 35593 34328 44 322 51 320 56 316 69 318 70 324 34328 33035 43 321 51 321 56 316 69 316 68 321 33035 31718 44 322 51 321 57 317 68 320 67 318 31718 30368 46 324 51 320 58 318 61 320 67 319 30368 28975 47 323 51 318 58 322 55 322 68 324 28975 27542 48 322 50 316 55 324 57 327 68 328 27542 26075 50 323 50 317 51 326 57 328 65 328 26075 24577 52 325 49 321 49 326 53 326 60 327 24577 23054 52 325 47 323 48 326 49 322 54 324 23054 21500 52 323 45 323 47 324 48 322 52 323 21500 19910 50 323 44 324 45 320 47 324 51 326 19910 18314 48 323 43 326 43 318 43 325 45 330 18314 16792 45 323 42 327 38 321 38 326 38 331 16792 15411 41 323 41 327 35 325 33 326 32 332 15411 14181 37 324 39 326 33 328 28 329 28 334 14181 13078 33 326 35 325 31 330 24 335 23 338 13078 12084 30 329 30 327 27 331 21 343 19 344 12084 11187 27 334 22 331 21 330 18 349 15 352 11187 10378 24 337 15 339 15 326 13 354 11 002 10378 9651 21 334 9 349 10 319 9 000 9 015 9651 8996 16 321 6 336 7 315 7 002 8 021 8996 8398 12 303 6 304 5 314 5 001 8 022 8398 7860 10 277 5 279 3 295 4 008 7 021 7860 7405 9 254 4 255 2 258 2 004 5 018 7405 7051 9 227 3 228 1 257 1 332 4 014 7051 6805 9 194 3 171 1 009 1 304 2 009 6805 6655 8*176 4*148 1*020 0*308 2*301 6655 6569 6*179 3*151 1*024 0*330 3*267 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography