DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1330z - - 1555z - - 1854z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.5 - - 25.4 - - 29.2 - - 25.7 - - 29.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 16 - - 27 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1376 - - 1688 - - 2226 - - 1085 - - 1047 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 77 - - 92 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 208 - - 229 - - 218 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - -8 - - -2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -846 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7416 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -5344 - - -2194 - - -597 - - -1747 - - -693 ODpotential blCL 11913 - - 8763 - - 7166 - - 8316 - - 7262 blCL maxRH 79 - - 78 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.5 - - 25.4 - - 29.2 - - 25.7 - - 29.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.6 - - 19.9 - - 26.6 - - 24.7 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.7 - - 24.9 - - 28.7 - - 27.7 - - 30.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.0 - - 19.3 - - 26.1 - - 27.0 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 16 - - 27 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 14 - - 99 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97328 43 026 39 028 47 035 38 038 37 037 97328 90228 38 041 36 042 35 040 30 043 32 047 90228 84646 31 049 34 045 25 043 31 039 33 038 84646 79942 27 058 26 051 18 049 27 034 30 044 79942 75846 21 041 18 046 13 058 23 034 21 042 75846 72185 16 039 13 027 12 025 19 025 17 039 72185 68852 17 042 10 037 11 043 16 006 15 011 68852 65777 18 003 13 354 11 355 7 355 12 004 65777 62898 12 337 16 296 17 324 15 338 15 337 62898 60104 16 339 11 303 24 317 24 332 30 320 60104 57214 31 341 24 348 30 318 33 318 33 315 57214 54229 34 308 34 318 31 304 30 307 30 313 54229 51376 35 307 32 289 36 314 35 311 35 316 51376 48812 39 323 38 318 43 322 42 319 45 311 48812 46538 46 330 48 320 55 327 52 320 50 310 46538 44501 54 333 55 324 71 319 58 317 54 319 44501 42657 64 335 72 323 74 315 73 313 71 315 42657 40986 86 335 74 325 76 318 85 306 80 307 40986 39463 108 340 72 339 83 323 90 305 82 306 39463 38056 127 345 82 348 93 323 90 306 83 305 38056 36744 135 339 96 337 94 319 89 307 90 299 36744 35490 138 332 114 326 92 318 88 307 97 296 35490 34235 135 328 115 320 89 317 86 305 98 296 34235 32951 134 327 112 320 88 314 77 302 92 296 32951 31646 129 329 108 323 84 314 74 301 83 298 31646 30309 121 332 105 323 79 313 71 303 75 302 30309 28931 113 337 98 321 76 312 65 305 69 304 28931 27517 106 339 89 320 74 313 63 306 65 304 27517 26066 102 337 80 326 72 314 62 307 61 308 26066 24583 98 336 73 331 72 315 62 309 64 316 24583 23075 94 336 71 329 71 316 62 312 62 326 23075 21534 87 335 71 327 69 315 61 316 55 332 21534 19954 79 331 70 327 64 312 60 318 50 335 19954 18364 71 326 65 325 59 309 58 318 47 337 18364 16842 63 320 61 322 53 307 55 317 43 340 16842 15463 56 317 57 319 48 307 53 316 41 339 15463 14234 50 318 52 318 42 307 51 314 44 332 14234 13130 43 319 45 318 35 306 48 310 46 327 13130 12133 37 321 36 317 29 302 40 303 44 323 12133 11232 31 322 27 314 22 295 32 290 39 318 11232 10417 27 323 19 308 20 281 29 275 34 308 10417 9684 23 323 14 296 20 263 31 265 31 298 9684 9022 20 320 12 281 21 251 33 256 30 288 9022 8417 16 313 11 270 20 241 31 247 29 276 8417 7874 14 300 10 262 18 235 27 243 29 263 7874 7415 13 291 10 248 17 233 21 239 27 257 7415 7057 11 287 10 233 14 232 16 237 23 253 7057 6809 9 275 8 219 12 230 11 234 18 251 6809 6657 6*261 6*213 10*230 7*231 15*251 6657 6569 3*224 4*208 7*229 2*218 7*249 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography