DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1339z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2223z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.7 - - 39.7 - - 42.8 - - 34.1 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 56 - - 79 - - -21 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 327 - - 327 - - 2481 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit 6539 - - 6539 - - 7202 - - 6539 - - 6539 Hcrit BL Top 6556 - - 6556 - - 8710 - - 6556 - - 6556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 438 - - 2375 - - 2950 - - 1867 - - 731 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 116 - - 256 - - 36 - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 17 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 047 - - 053 - - 054 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 8 - - 36 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -24 - - -1139 - - 213 - - -916 - - -654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6580 - - 7695 - - 8497 - - 7472 - - 7210 sfcLCL ODpotential -5688 - - -3689 - - -2064 - - -4216 - - -5360 ODpotential blCL 12244 - - 10245 - - 10774 - - 10772 - - 11916 blCL maxRH 100 - - 97 - - 92 - - 95 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.7 - - 39.7 - - 42.8 - - 34.1 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 28.6 - - 28.2 - - 24.2 - - 22.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.0 - - 38.8 - - 41.9 - - 34.0 - - 31.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.9 - - 27.4 - - 27.0 - - 23.6 - - 21.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 56 - - 79 - - -21 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 327 - - 327 - - 2481 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 90 - - 67 - - 78 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96456 11 004 11 035 16 021 7 020 18 001 96456 89550 16 030 18 059 18 047 18 039 24 041 89550 84129 17 060 16 062 15 068 14 027 25 046 84129 79558 17 042 16 081 12 066 11 019 21 041 79558 75581 12 044 15 059 14 042 12 065 14 040 75581 72033 13 043 11 048 14 028 14 051 12 054 72033 68791 9 354 17 057 11 050 11 033 14 049 68791 65793 5 021 9 026 11 036 11 040 13 040 65793 63002 12 050 4 029 9 006 13 026 12 036 63002 60289 10 008 9 048 2 021 10 004 13 025 60289 57447 6 317 9 353 5 350 9 357 12 011 57447 54489 6 273 10 299 10 306 9 349 11 006 54489 51660 11 292 10 274 9 284 7 331 9 003 51660 49116 17 284 12 263 11 288 8 323 9 357 49116 46846 20 267 17 262 14 279 10 313 10 350 46846 44796 26 252 24 246 17 271 11 293 12 336 44796 42921 31 245 26 241 21 256 12 292 13 311 42921 41192 39 236 31 248 25 253 16 291 12 297 41192 39593 36 227 34 233 33 241 21 273 14 299 39593 38113 32 235 32 226 29 240 22 247 18 260 38113 36753 47 261 37 249 27 253 16 238 19 229 36753 35474 74 249 56 241 39 242 16 264 15 241 35474 34205 76 233 65 226 45 230 24 260 23 268 34205 32913 72 233 64 225 43 221 31 237 29 262 32913 31601 71 229 57 227 40 223 35 222 27 251 31601 30259 66 225 53 225 39 221 35 225 26 242 30259 28876 63 221 56 222 39 220 37 227 26 239 28876 27453 63 221 56 220 37 223 36 228 25 243 27453 25994 59 222 51 214 34 232 34 232 26 246 25994 24505 49 235 45 209 34 235 29 239 25 247 24505 22993 36 246 30 211 33 227 24 241 21 245 22993 21453 29 237 24 213 27 219 22 234 16 248 21453 19878 26 227 18 226 18 213 18 228 11 260 19878 18298 19 230 12 213 10 214 7 246 7 257 18298 16790 16 231 11 220 5 245 6 301 3 283 16790 15420 16 222 11 235 7 285 8 314 3 301 15420 14198 16 225 11 266 8 300 6 319 3 280 14198 13100 13 246 9 297 2 325 4 318 4 291 13100 12109 7 277 6 359 3 106 3 024 5 350 12109 11212 4 017 7 052 6 103 5 064 7 018 11212 10401 9 052 7 081 9 093 8 083 6 022 10401 9671 9 061 7 098 13 083 13 093 5 054 9671 9012 11 075 11 099 16*074 19 095 8 103 9012 8408 18 084 14 095 17*066 24 092 15 113 8408 7864 24 084 15 089 18 058 26 088 20 114 7864 7403 25 080 13 078 18 052 24 083 19 111 7403 7045 20 072 12 066 17 048 20 075 14 105 7045 6796 14 053 10 058 16 045 16 067 8 090 6796 6644 10*032 9*053 14 043 12*061 3*060 6644 6556 5*002 7*047 12 042 8*054 2*325 6556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography