DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/22 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 12.4 - - 29.0 - - 33.4 - - 23.8 - - 21.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - -9 - - 2 - - -7 - - -83 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 326 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit 6539 - - 6539 - - 6539 - - 6539 - - 6539 Hcrit BL Top 6555 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 296 - - 1080 - - 301 - - 91 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 44 - - 49 - - 9 - - 25 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 197 - - 202 - - 190 - - 184 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -11 - - -4 - - -9 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4150 - - -3801 - - -2607 - - -911 - - -2612 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10705 - - 10358 - - 9164 - - 7467 - - 9168 sfcLCL ODpotential -17602 - - -13291 - - -9701 - - -10089 - - -12602 ODpotential blCL 24157 - - 19847 - - 16257 - - 16645 - - 19158 blCL maxRH 42 - - 37 - - 77 - - 78 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 12.4 - - 29.0 - - 33.4 - - 23.8 - - 21.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -9.8 - - 7.3 - - 16.6 - - 14.6 - - 4.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.0 - - 29.0 - - 33.0 - - 28.8 - - 25.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -10.4 - - 4.3 - - 14.3 - - 14.4 - - 5.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - -9 - - 2 - - -7 - - -83 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 326 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96229 24 296 13 289 23 267 31 296 29 292 96229 89077 17 287 16 277 20 278 22 297 23 289 89077 83536 19 293 15 286 19 289 19 302 24 293 83536 78921 25 272 21 274 21 281 20 290 26 295 78921 74927 23 265 23 274 23 280 23 287 25 288 74927 71385 21 278 25 279 26 284 25 292 22 281 71385 68172 24 282 26 280 28 285 29 292 23 287 68172 65206 28 288 28 281 31 280 34 287 28 290 65206 62438 34 292 32 282 33 276 35 280 32 284 62438 59745 40 291 35 282 34 278 36 280 35 282 59745 56926 44 289 38 284 38 281 40 285 39 284 56926 54001 48 283 44 281 45 279 47 285 45 283 54001 51215 48 280 46 280 47 276 51 280 49 279 51215 48720 47 281 46 280 46 275 50 275 51 271 48720 46500 46 282 48 278 46 277 48 273 51 265 46500 44499 46 285 48 275 50 277 44 274 49 263 44499 42673 47 289 45 273 54 271 44 277 47 262 42673 40993 46 287 41 269 51 262 48 273 44 265 40993 39443 41 282 35 265 46 259 47 261 41 268 39443 38011 33 279 33 260 42 255 37 256 38 263 38011 36686 27 279 32 251 38 249 33 258 31 252 36686 35432 25 283 29 247 36 244 33 248 27 251 35432 34183 26 290 29 249 35 243 30 245 24 252 34183 32909 29 292 30 250 33 241 30 248 22 252 32909 31614 31 291 30 253 31 241 29 252 21 252 31614 30285 33 287 31 254 30 244 29 254 22 251 30285 28916 35 286 31 253 30 246 28 252 24 250 28916 27507 35 285 29 252 29 246 26 253 24 248 27507 26062 35 281 28 253 28 246 24 254 23 247 26062 24583 35 279 30 253 27 247 23 255 22 247 24583 23076 35 276 32 250 26 248 22 254 23 247 23076 21537 33 274 32 249 25 247 22 248 23 246 21537 19960 31 274 28 251 23 246 24 244 23 247 19960 18372 26 276 23 253 22 243 24 244 22 248 18372 16851 22 276 19 255 20 239 24 242 21 248 16851 15469 18 274 16 254 20 236 23 240 20 242 15469 14233 16 271 15 249 20 235 21 238 20 235 14233 13124 13 266 14 245 19 233 19 235 20 229 13124 12123 11 260 13 236 18 231 17 230 19 223 12123 11219 9 251 11 222 15 224 16 219 18 219 11219 10403 7 236 11 207 13 210 15 206 17 217 10403 9669 6 223 10 196 12 198 15 201 16 215 9669 9008 5 206 9 195 12 193 16 198 16 214 9008 8404 4 186 9 191 13 188 17 196 16 212 8404 7861 4 164 9 185 13 183 16 192 17 206 7861 7400 3 165 9 175 11 180 13 186 18 196 7400 7042 4 166 9 172 8 182 9 184 17 183 7042 6793 5 168 8 180 4 186 6 183 16 175 6793 6642 6*182 6*193 2*188 3*177 13*178 6642 6556 7*197 4*202 1*190 2*184 9*186 6556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography