DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 49.2 - - - - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 124 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3094 - - 342 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7958 - - 6554 - - - - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9323 - - 6571 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1578 - - 5249 - - - - - 3366 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 157 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 283 - - - - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1833 - - -5522 - - - - - -3223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11156 - - 12094 - - - - - 9793 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8530 - - -9802 - - - - - -8612 ODpotential blCL - - - 17853 - - 16373 - - - - - 15182 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 69 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 49.2 - - - - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.2 - - 19.3 - - - - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 47.9 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 18.1 - - - - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 124 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3094 - - 342 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96438 25 244 18 260 27 277 96438 89276 17 256 18 256 22 293 89276 83764 18 257 19 265 23 275 83764 79195 20 255 22 237 23 296 79195 75247 24 272 31 274 28 297 75247 71760 19 263 29 274 28 301 71760 68602 13 280 27 287 31 301 68602 65684 32 294 36 285 34 301 65684 62960 41 283 42 284 42 292 62960 60301 41 273 49 283 51 290 60301 57519 49 271 56 277 61 287 57519 54635 53 275 65 278 66 284 54635 51871 66 282 73 277 69 288 51871 49376 65 277 69 279 74 295 49376 47151 63 283 73 289 79 294 47151 45147 75 293 81 290 79 289 45147 43324 91 291 85 289 76 288 43324 41655 92 280 86 287 77 295 41655 40119 77 277 80 284 87 305 40119 38694 80 297 78 292 97 308 38694 37359 96 304 84 297 98 309 37359 36082 100 301 91 296 88 309 36082 34806 99 293 92 295 72 300 34806 33504 100 292 83 294 69 289 33504 32180 100 297 74 293 67 283 32180 30818 90 302 71 297 63 276 30818 29412 74 295 69 295 61 277 29412 27964 74 285 68 290 60 277 27964 26477 76 283 65 286 60 277 26477 24955 71 284 62 282 58 276 24955 23411 63 286 58 281 49 274 23411 21844 57 288 53 282 42 271 21844 20244 52 291 49 283 40 269 20244 18632 46 292 44 287 36 268 18632 17087 41 292 40 290 32 268 17087 15682 38 295 37 292 28 271 15682 14425 34 299 33 293 24 273 14425 13295 30 303 28 295 19 273 13295 12276 25 308 21 292 15 270 12276 11354 18 311 13 282 13 258 11354 10521 12 310 9 273 11 235 10521 9772 8*311 7 271 8 224 9772 9095 5*314 7 271 6 224 9095 8477 4 315 6 272 5 226 8477 7918 4 316 5 274 3 226 7918 7445 4 317 5 276 2 211 7445 7075 4 320 4 278 2 170 7075 6818 3 319 4 280 3 145 6818 6661 3 321 4*281 3*141 6661 6570 3 323 3*283 3*157 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography