DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1859z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.4 - - 50.7 - - 54.9 - - 51.6 - - 41.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 341 - - 380 - - 61 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 328 - - 3567 - - 8353 - - 328 - - 328 BL Depth Hcrit 6540 - - 8651 - - 12497 - - 6540 - - 6540 Hcrit BL Top 6557 - - 9796 - - 14582 - - 6557 - - 6557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1388 - - 2678 - - 2434 - - 11000 - - 5534 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 454 - - 625 - - 115 - - 21 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 17 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 294 - - 310 - - 323 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - -16 - - 14 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3047 - - -1361 - - 2588 - - -6253 - - -3690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9604 - - 11158 - - 11995 - - 12810 - - 10248 sfcLCL ODpotential -7944 - - -3188 - - 1397 - - -7298 - - -6967 ODpotential blCL 14501 - - 12984 - - 13185 - - 13855 - - 13524 blCL maxRH 94 - - 93 - - 93 - - 87 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.4 - - 50.7 - - 54.9 - - 51.6 - - 41.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 24.6 - - 25.0 - - 18.3 - - 19.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 48.5 - - 52.4 - - 50.7 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 24.3 - - 24.7 - - 18.2 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 341 - - 380 - - 61 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 328 - - 3567 - - 8353 - - 328 - - 328 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 73 - - 71 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98132 14 281 18 282 11 272 11 275 20 274 98132 90744 12 277 13 254 22 259 22 287 19 270 90744 85029 23 292 14 266 17 263 18 272 20 285 85029 80286 21 275 25 270 29 280 26 275 22 283 80286 76207 10 277 16 254 22 269 24 281 21 273 76207 72599 20 300 12 252 17 256 19 293 23 287 72599 69342 31 293 25 289 26 280 26 288 22 287 69342 66340 29 282 32 284 28 282 27 280 23 284 66340 63547 23 277 26 273 27 273 29 282 27 295 63547 60848 25 287 22 275 27 271 35 286 30 299 60848 58030 34 293 27 289 33 286 32 277 35 287 58030 55092 39 295 40 299 39 285 32 292 35 300 55092 52294 50 295 47 290 40 291 51 306 52 310 52294 49790 57 285 47 283 54 297 63 299 69 293 49790 47539 53 275 51 287 63 288 66 287 63 284 47539 45479 45 275 56 287 59 282 61 285 57 293 45479 43589 44 283 56 285 56 290 61 296 62 305 43589 41851 48 291 55 291 64 298 69 304 69 311 41851 40239 55 298 60 296 74 299 77 306 74 312 40239 38734 60 299 67 296 77 298 80 305 77 312 38734 37329 61 297 68 293 76 297 79 304 77 313 37329 35994 57 294 67 292 75 298 76 305 76 314 35994 34669 53 289 65 290 75 298 72 306 73 316 34669 33329 46 289 61 287 74 297 68 308 72 322 33329 31980 39 293 56 281 71 294 65 311 74 328 31980 30608 37 292 52 277 68 289 64 314 78 331 30608 29202 39 285 47 281 67 285 64 315 80 331 29202 27762 43 282 44 286 67 284 64 314 79 330 27762 26290 43 282 43 286 66 287 63 313 76 330 26290 24788 41 281 43 285 59 291 59 313 73 328 24788 23260 38 279 42 286 48 288 55 314 71 325 23260 21703 35 279 39 286 45 283 51 313 65 325 21703 20112 32 279 34 284 46 282 46 309 54 326 20112 18513 29 282 30 283 44 287 39 304 44 324 18513 16984 26 286 26 282 35 293 33 306 36 320 16984 15595 23 290 23 283 27*301 29 311 29 313 15595 14355 20 292 20 286 22*308 27 314 24 310 14355 13240 17 291 17 290 19 313 23 322 20 316 13240 12232 15 290 16 293 18 313 22 325 17 328 12232 11319 12 290 15 298 17 312 21 325 15 342 11319 10492 9 291 12*306 17 311 21 325 16 351 10492 9746 6 294 10*302 16 309 21 325 17 355 9746 9072 4 289 9 291 16 309 20 324 18 358 9072 8456 2 287 9 290 15 308 20 324 19 000 8456 7900 4 284 9 291 15 307 19 324 19 001 7900 7428 6 265 9 293 14 307 19 323 18 000 7428 7060 8 236 9 296 14 307 18 323 15 359 7060 6804 7 227 9 297 13 307 17 323 11 355 6804 6647 6*227 8 298 12 307 15*323 8*349 6647 6557 4*228 7 299 11 308 12*323 5*334 6557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography