DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1334z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 59.6 - - 60.5 - - 61.8 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 55 - - 98 - - 104 - - 50 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 506 - - 507 - - 507 - - 507 - - 506 BL Depth Hcrit 6719 - - 6719 - - 6719 - - 6719 - - 6719 Hcrit BL Top 6735 - - 6736 - - 6736 - - 6736 - - 6735 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4766 - - 7648 - - 7477 - - 8292 - - 4942 Hgt.Variab. W* 137 - - 166 - - 168 - - 135 - - 27 W* B/S 9 - - 14 - - 11 - - 23 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 203 - - 278 - - 265 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1502 - - -2485 - - -2341 - - -3063 - - -1419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8237 - - 9221 - - 9078 - - 9799 - - 8154 sfcLCL ODpotential -3699 - - -4042 - - -3886 - - -4863 - - -4598 ODpotential blCL 10434 - - 10778 - - 10622 - - 11599 - - 11333 blCL maxRH 84 - - 84 - - 90 - - 88 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 510 - - 780 - - 1000 - - 840 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 59.6 - - 60.5 - - 61.8 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.6 - - 42.2 - - 43.7 - - 41.9 - - 44.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.9 - - 58.4 - - 59.2 - - 60.9 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.6 - - 40.8 - - 42.2 - - 40.4 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 55 - - 98 - - 104 - - 50 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 506 - - 507 - - 507 - - 507 - - 506 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 35 - - 58 - - 54 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98805 10 095 5 141 8 093 9 086 6 095 98805 92531 9 104 7 132 4 107 6 065 6 072 92531 87496 8 112 10 123 4 131 4 054 6 084 87496 83212 6 120 7 113 5 123 4 057 6 086 83212 79456 6 124 4 120 5 130 3 066 5 082 79456 76095 5 110 4 140 4 138 3 075 4 071 76095 73017 5 091 5 148 3 161 2 081 4 060 73017 70160 4 085 7 142 3 177 1 081 3 070 70160 67490 2 099 6 129 5 182 1 356 3 082 67490 64889 1 186 5 116 6 180 2 307 3 084 64889 62161 3 210 2 122 6 182 3 268 2 073 62161 59318 7 210 3 231 5 192 5 241 2 270 59318 56596 8 213 6 239 6 211 7 228 5 258 56596 54144 8 221 9 236 7 230 7 229 6 256 54144 51946 8 232 11 236 9 241 6 235 6 266 51946 49954 9 233 11 234 11 243 6 245 5 285 49954 48131 10 236 12 232 11 240 7 251 6 284 48131 46455 11 240 12 232 12 237 7 249 7 265 46455 44910 13 227 13 226 13 238 8 246 10 247 44910 43480 14 216 13 216 15 231 10 242 12 247 43480 42146 16 210 15 203 17 216 13 233 13 234 42146 40866 16 209 15 195 18 207 16 239 15 234 40866 39577 15 208 14 189 18 200 19 246 19 247 39577 38250 15 207 13 187 17 192 22 247 25 251 38250 36883 16 206 15 192 16 188 23 246 30 245 36883 35457 17 206 17 198 14 191 21 243 32 241 35457 33957 18 204 16 204 12 197 16 240 28 246 33957 32379 16 204 13 211 8 203 12 239 20 247 32379 30722 14 204 10 217 6 208 11 241 13 235 30722 28986 11 202 9 216 7 223 11 245 10 215 28986 27173 10 200 10 211 9 236 12 246 12 217 27173 25277 10 197 10 207 9 239 11 238 15 222 25277 23292 10 191 10 201 8 238 10 229 15 227 23292 21261 11 187 11 195 10 227 11 212 14 235 21261 19297 11 188 12 192 11 218 12 204 12 243 19297 17507 12 194 13 193 12 208 11 207 12 241 17507 15914 13 198 13 196 12 204 9 223 13 235 15914 14498 13 200 11 199 11 206 8 234 12 233 14498 13238 11 199 10 199 9 209 7 235 9 234 13238 12117 9 196 8 192 7 208 5 233 6 238 12117 11123 6 191 7 186 5 211 3 227 4 241 11123 10247 5 183 5 186 4 227 1 234 3 246 10247 9472 4 174 4 190 3 246 1 245 2 245 9472 8779 3 173 3 191 3 256 1 256 2 236 8779 8166 2 187 3 195 3 265 1 263 1 217 8166 7655 3 195 3 199 3 272 1 264 2 192 7655 7263 4 203 3 200 3 275 1 268 2 179 7263 6993 3 209 2 201 3 279 1 270 3 173 6993 6829 3 211 2*203 3*278 1*268 3 170 6829 6735 3*212 2*203 3*278 1*265 4*178 6735 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography