DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.8 - - 27.2 - - 27.3 - - 25.6 - - 18.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 85 - - 105 - - 22 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 3543 - - 3629 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 8001 - - 8206 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 9772 - - 9858 - - 6569 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1343 - - 4082 - - 3315 - - 7419 - - 5194 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 294 - - 318 - - 89 - - 37 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 22 - - 22 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 268 - - 288 - - 311 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -12 - - 33 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -28 - - 2400 - - 2080 - - -781 - - -361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6597 - - 7372 - - 7778 - - 7350 - - 6930 sfcLCL ODpotential -3210 - - 296 - - 196 - - -2159 - - -2743 ODpotential blCL 9779 - - 9476 - - 9662 - - 8728 - - 9311 blCL maxRH 77 - - 91 - - 99 - - 100 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 40 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 23.8 - - 27.2 - - 27.3 - - 25.6 - - 18.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.0 - - 18.1 - - 16.4 - - 16.7 - - 12.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.4 - - 26.4 - - 26.3 - - 25.2 - - 21.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.5 - - 16.9 - - 15.2 - - 15.5 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 85 - - 105 - - 22 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 3543 - - 3629 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 63 - - 95 - - 99 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96468 14 149 6 217 8 203 4 134 1 149 96468 89307 5 198 3 087 6 144 2 237 2 331 89307 83781 7 151 3 219 1 071 5 237 9 335 83781 79177 5 291 3 194 2 244 7 196 7 298 79177 75169 16 253 9 233 12 247 9 307 6 257 75169 71584 20 252 20 205 29 225 29 260 24 263 71584 68341 28 269 18 258 23 229 34 230 16 245 68341 65350 36 263 37 277 28 288 30 293 14 337 65350 62556 38 266 50 270 48 274 48 280 43 287 62556 59847 43 272 48 261 52 259 52 260 50 271 59847 57022 42 267 38 251 47 252 43 259 39 269 57022 54079 39 264 32 263 42 266 43 279 35 290 54079 51251 45 271 44 277 52 276 50 286 45 289 51251 48697 60 270 58 274 60 277 59 285 50 283 48697 46405 67 266 64 273 64 277 64 285 53 286 46405 44326 65 270 69 276 66 281 67 288 61 299 44326 42431 73 277 75 278 71 282 70 294 76 306 42431 40700 82 274 77 282 72 284 78 300 95 306 40700 39107 84 273 83 286 83 297 99 305 108 304 39107 37634 86 279 96 288 120 302 128 303 117 306 37634 36267 99 284 108 288 145 296 145 299 128 309 36267 34976 111 284 109 287 134 291 144 294 138 309 34976 33693 120 283 109 288 122 292 132 294 140 308 33693 32386 131 282 111 288 123 296 125 299 138 308 32386 31060 137 280 115 287 131 297 126 304 137 311 31060 29704 136 277 123 288 136 298 133 307 138 314 29704 28307 132 275 128 287 136 298 135 308 142 317 28307 26873 126 274 124 286 125 295 128 308 144 319 26873 25408 117 272 112 280 110 289 112 305 133 318 25408 23923 106 269 101 272 102 283 96 299 111 315 23923 22428 102 265 101 269 99 275 85 292 91 310 22428 20920 101 264 102 271 100 272 75 288 72 305 20920 19395 98 265 97 276 93 279 67 287 57 300 19395 17877 90 267 86 281 69 286 56 286 45 297 17877 16435 79 271 70 284 38 282 42 281 37 296 16435 15128 65 275 51 284 30 275 32 280 33 292 15128 13958 48 277 39 281 29 275 29 281 29 294 13958 12905 35 274 33 276 28 276 28 282 26 299 12905 11951 31 269 30 272 28 278 28 284 23 305 11951 11086 32 265 28 270 27 279 26 287 22 310 11086 10303 33 264 26*271 26*281 25 291 21 313 10303 9596 32 266 25*271 25*284 24 295 20 315 9596 8957 31 267 24 270 24 286 23 298 19 316 8957 8372 30 267 23 268 23 287 22 301 18 316 8372 7845 30 261 22 266 22 289 21 304 18 316 7845 7397 27 251 21 266 21 290 19 306 17 315 7397 7047 24 246 21 265 20 291 18 308 16 313 7047 6803 21 245 19 266 19 291 17 309 12 308 6803 6654 18*244 17 266 16 292 14*310 10 303 6654 6568 10*243 12 266 12 293 10*311 6*294 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography