DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1336z - - 1605z - - 1905z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.3 - - 68.4 - - 72.7 - - 72.7 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 294 - - 329 - - 114 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1235 - - 4498 - - 7240 - - 6647 - - 329 BL Depth Hcrit 6541 - - 9338 - - 11553 - - 10491 - - 6542 Hcrit BL Top 7464 - - 10727 - - 13469 - - 12876 - - 6558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2434 - - 2435 - - 2328 - - 2520 - - 586 Hgt.Variab. W* 200 - - 475 - - 577 - - 401 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 18 - - 21 - - 25 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 252 - - 254 - - 255 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 9 - - 14 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -13 - - -21 - - -27 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1061 - - -785 - - -37 - - -121 - - -4534 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8526 - - 11513 - - 13507 - - 12998 - - 11093 sfcLCL ODpotential -4483 - - -4848 - - -3418 - - -3413 - - -8703 ODpotential blCL 11947 - - 15575 - - 16887 - - 16289 - - 15261 blCL maxRH 72 - - 88 - - 95 - - 94 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.3 - - 68.4 - - 72.7 - - 72.7 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.2 - - 40.3 - - 35.9 - - 38.2 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 66.1 - - 70.5 - - 71.6 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 38.9 - - 34.3 - - 37.0 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 294 - - 329 - - 114 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1235 - - 4498 - - 7240 - - 6647 - - 329 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 51 - - 81 - - 78 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99279 30 099 30 111 30 112 23 105 24 091 99279 91839 24 101 22 105 26 107 18 089 23 091 91839 86070 19 106 22 101 19 103 18 108 20 100 86070 81278 17 105 17 100 21 105 15 112 16 105 81278 77151 17 100 10 105 16 091 15 124 11 107 77151 73499 14 107 11 121 9 080 14 103 9 108 73499 70197 5 105 13 129 3 067 9 069 8 112 70197 67164 6 124 5 133 4 144 4 355 5 102 67164 64353 5 058 8 153 3 226 3 279 3 226 64353 61627 12 307 4 344 1 313 5 300 7 226 61627 58784 12 271 14 288 10 269 14 300 12 297 58784 55851 18 271 21 272 23 274 27 283 24 292 55851 53080 23 266 27 270 29 271 29 274 34 287 53080 50612 26 272 27 279 31 275 36 279 42 292 50612 48422 33 286 33 288 32 283 46 297 49 289 48422 46451 38 280 40 296 48 299 56 293 43 291 46451 44647 36 277 48 299 54 294 48 296 47 316 44647 42975 37 290 52 297 49 305 57 324 69 326 42975 41412 41 307 50 306 67 328 88 329 81 322 41412 39943 46 321 56 321 81 326 90 324 80 317 39943 38560 48 321 65 326 78 323 82 318 76 315 38560 37233 44 310 66 326 74 323 78 316 73 314 37233 35901 43 305 57 322 68 324 77 318 71 312 35901 34537 41 304 46 299 61 321 75 320 69 312 34537 33147 40 300 49 292 52 312 72 319 69 311 33147 31720 41 299 49 295 48 297 71 319 69 311 31720 30248 41 296 44 290 53 289 61 319 69 312 30248 28734 39 288 42 282 58 289 48 307 65 312 28734 27183 39 282 43 281 53 289 49 290 52 304 27183 25601 38 278 42 277 43 282 55 285 50 288 25601 23993 37 273 39 270 41 277 52 284 56 282 23993 22358 39 269 38 270 40 274 48 279 55 282 22358 20695 41 268 38 275 39 275 45 276 50 280 20695 19028 40 266 38 278 38 275 42 275 45 277 19028 17438 38 262 36 275 36 272 38 272 40 276 17438 15994 36 258 34 270 32 268 36 269 37 275 15994 14703 32 260 30 266 28 264 34 267 35 274 14703 13542 28 266 26 267 27*262 34*267 34 273 13542 12492 24 267 23 269 26*261 32*265 32 271 12492 11540 21 264 21*268 25 258 29 259 31 268 11540 10678 21 260 20*262 22 253 27 256 29 266 10678 9899 20 255 19 253 21 252 26 254 28 266 9899 9194 19 250 19 250 21 252 25 253 27 265 9194 8549 17 245 18 250 20 252 24 252 26 264 8549 7967 16*238 18 250 19 252 23 252 24 263 7967 7472 15*231 17 251 18 253 22 251 22 260 7472 7086 14 227 16 251 17 253 21 251 18 256 7086 6817 12 226 15 251 16 254 20 251 14 250 6817 6653 10 226 14 252 15 254 17 251 10 241 6653 6558 8 226 11 252 12 254 14 251 5*226 6558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography