DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0957z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.2 - - 73.3 - - 77.1 - - 77.8 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 226 - - 261 - - 111 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 4431 - - 5870 - - 8442 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 9162 - - 10335 - - 11762 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 10660 - - 12099 - - 14671 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1377 - - 2733 - - 4478 - - 2781 - - 4446 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 428 - - 491 - - 419 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 27 - - 30 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 302 - - 318 - - 297 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 31 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3308 - - -1815 - - -1418 - - 100 - - -4632 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9880 - - 12475 - - 13518 - - 14572 - - 11205 sfcLCL ODpotential -7676 - - -4376 - - -3409 - - -2061 - - -8496 ODpotential blCL 14248 - - 15036 - - 15508 - - 16732 - - 15068 blCL maxRH 98 - - 97 - - 93 - - 86 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 40 - - 90 - - 60 - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m 64.2 - - 73.3 - - 77.1 - - 77.8 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.7 - - 41.3 - - 40.4 - - 36.5 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.9 - - 71.2 - - 74.8 - - 76.4 - - 72.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.0 - - 40.7 - - 39.9 - - 35.9 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 226 - - 261 - - 111 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 4431 - - 5870 - - 8442 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 89 - - 71 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99348 22 097 24 104 20 108 23 106 19 083 99348 91886 17 105 19 128 14 118 16 091 18 098 91886 86107 17 113 18 131 8 103 11 100 16 102 86107 81306 13 096 15 091 11 132 11 116 12 104 81306 77162 14 087 15 083 15 129 9 094 10 120 77162 73502 16 093 16 092 14 128 8 073 11 113 73502 70199 13 101 13 098 13 104 5 105 10 090 70199 67164 9 103 10 113 10 089 7 113 8 068 67164 64349 10 110 6 144 4 101 9 109 5 097 64349 61632 6 108 7 156 2 230 6 054 5 138 61632 58819 1 201 3 130 8 181 3 281 1 249 58819 55928 4 208 10 242 6 249 8 261 6 255 55928 53195 9 240 18 213 17 231 12 239 11 267 53195 50749 18 259 20 224 22 230 19 258 21 274 50749 48563 21 248 23 230 27 231 25 247 30 255 48563 46578 22 251 23 230 28 228 30 241 36 243 46578 44751 38 251 32 237 34 226 34 234 42 243 44751 43054 48 245 47 243 34 233 37 237 48 241 43054 41467 51 239 58 243 56 249 47 238 53 237 41467 39981 54 237 56 234 61 243 56 237 57 233 39981 38590 53 235 52 228 63 235 61 234 60 232 38590 37260 52 235 52 223 62 232 59 229 59 232 37260 35929 50 235 51 223 56 227 56 228 57 236 35929 34570 46 238 49 225 49 222 54 233 56 239 34570 33188 43 240 45 229 46 227 48 238 53 242 33188 31773 37 241 42 233 41 234 43 240 48 242 31773 30317 28 241 40 232 37 238 40 244 40 244 30317 28824 22 236 33 233 35 238 36 246 30 252 28824 27297 18 225 25 226 32 241 31 244 27 263 27297 25734 12 222 22 212 28 240 31 244 25 267 25734 24140 11 188 19 200 22 233 30 250 23 272 24140 22511 11 168 17 191 20 237 28 261 22 284 22511 20849 8 154 12 181 14 232 28 272 16 296 20849 19180 3 137 5 219 12 265 20 279 11 319 19180 17584 2 314 11 290 12 290 13 282 9 336 17584 16128 5 303 12 306 12 301 9 269 8 340 16128 14822 8 305 12 316 11 304 8*263 7 334 14822 13646 10 319 11 328 10 304 8*265 6 322 13646 12581 12 328 10 341 5*294 7 271 4 299 12581 11615 13 328 7 341 4*286 7 281 4 269 11615 10739 11 322 5*325 4 287 6 291 4 253 10739 9950 8 313 4*296 3 295 6 301 4 258 9950 9237 5 288 3 292 3 311 6 310 3 267 9237 8583 3 239 3 294 3 326 6 315 2 275 8583 7995 3 213 3 300 3 337 6 321 1 303 7995 7495 3 203 2 308 4 347 6 323 1 068 7495 7105 4 183 2 319 4 353 6 326 2 084 7105 6833 4 169 2 324 4 356 6 327 3 091 6833 6667 4*165 2 329 4 357 5 329 2*110 6667 6572 2*178 2 329 3 357 5 331 2*130 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography