DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.0 - - 45.1 - - 48.3 - - 43.6 - - 38.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 83 - - 72 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1987 - - 3167 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6879 - - 7641 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 8216 - - 9396 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 2313 - - 2108 - - 3469 - - 434 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 242 - - 272 - - 10 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 13 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 205 - - 211 - - 037 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -23 - - -16 - - 3 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -543 - - 95 - - 794 - - -743 - - -487 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7114 - - 8122 - - 8602 - - 7315 - - 7058 sfcLCL ODpotential -6684 - - -3145 - - -2252 - - -4021 - - -5426 ODpotential blCL 13254 - - 11361 - - 11648 - - 10592 - - 11996 blCL maxRH 53 - - 65 - - 73 - - 83 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.0 - - 45.1 - - 48.3 - - 43.6 - - 38.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 32.4 - - 33.4 - - 34.4 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 44.1 - - 47.3 - - 46.2 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.3 - - 31.1 - - 32.2 - - 33.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 83 - - 72 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1987 - - 3167 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96174 29 273 32 269 39 281 36 280 45 281 96174 89171 17 280 25 271 33 278 24 297 21 282 89171 83759 11 294 25 272 21 269 23 269 21 286 83759 79231 12 302 16 285 9 274 14 275 17 287 79231 75285 17 263 18 263 15 249 19 262 15 284 75285 71764 15 248 18 253 22 252 21 271 18 265 71764 68560 25 272 20 261 26 259 26 281 21 265 68560 65594 33 256 22 256 28 248 27 262 24 261 65594 62827 32 249 23 260 26 244 26 248 27 254 62827 60137 29 246 27 260 26 249 28 244 28 251 60137 57312 30 249 32 252 30 251 33 245 30 251 57312 54364 32 258 34 249 34 250 33 248 33 245 54364 51555 40 254 39 246 39 251 35 253 33 247 51555 49048 42 243 42 242 43 251 41 249 38 251 49048 46820 41 244 42 243 44 250 42 241 43 244 46820 44816 45 251 42 248 44 246 39 240 40 242 44816 42995 52 252 49 251 51 245 45 239 41 246 42995 41329 59 252 57 253 58 240 53 237 49 238 41329 39802 64 255 66 250 64 244 62 235 52 232 39802 38390 73 257 70 249 68 244 64 237 52 230 38390 37076 79 257 68 251 66 245 63 236 53 230 37076 35819 78 257 68 253 65 246 60 235 55 229 35819 34558 76 259 66 255 61 246 58 236 52 228 34558 33268 74 260 64 254 58 246 57 237 47 230 33268 31954 72 261 62 253 56 243 56 239 42 235 31954 30605 69 262 61 252 56 240 53 240 41 238 30605 29213 66 261 60 252 54 240 50 239 40 239 29213 27782 64 262 58 254 51 242 49 239 41 240 27782 26316 59 264 54 256 48 244 48 237 45 238 26316 24818 50 264 51 256 47 246 42 235 48 237 24818 23292 45 263 46 255 44 249 35 233 46 236 23292 21733 43 258 41 257 40 251 31 234 38 233 21733 20143 40 255 38 260 34 254 27 232 25 230 20143 18548 37 254 37 259 30 260 20 231 20 229 18548 17023 35 254 34 258 29 263 17 235 21 226 17023 15633 32 255 31 254 27 260 18 232 22 222 15633 14387 28 255 29 250 25 253 20 230 23 219 14387 13268 25 254 28 245 24 246 20 227 22 215 13268 12256 22 249 27 240 24 239 21 223 21 211 12256 11340 21 241 26 235 23 229 21 219 19 207 11340 10511 21 235 24 229 21 220 21 212 18 201 10511 9764 20 231 22 223 17*213 19 205 17 195 9764 9089 18 226 20 217 15*211 17 201 16 189 9089 8471 18 219 19*213 15 210 15 202 15 182 8471 7914 18 210 17*207 14 210 13 204 14 174 7914 7441 18 196 16 205 13 211 10 207 12 164 7441 7073 17 181 15 204 12 211 7 209 11 155 7073 6817 14 174 14 204 11 211 4 210 10 148 6817 6660 11*175 12 203 10 211 2*207 8*147 6660 6570 6*189 9 203 8 212 2*037 5*166 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography