DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 44.0 - - - - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 488 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4001 - - 6072 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8763 - - 10762 - - - - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10230 - - 12301 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3070 - - 5956 - - - - - 4265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 612 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 010 - - - - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 23 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1432 - - 1277 - - - - - -1071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8798 - - 11024 - - - - - 7642 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 32 - - 222 - - - - - -3679 ODpotential blCL - - - 10198 - - 12079 - - - - - 10249 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 120 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 44.0 - - - - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 18.5 - - - - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 41.1 - - - - - 37.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 17.7 - - - - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 488 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4001 - - 6072 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 82 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98096 8 142 10 127 7 053 98096 90695 7 163 2 229 7 093 90695 85002 13 139 6 175 8 063 85002 80265 9 151 10 183 4 069 80265 76173 8 161 10 182 2 227 76173 72556 3 175 10 180 5 271 72556 69272 2 333 7 175 10 226 69272 66233 9 259 7 226 13 207 66233 63391 17 232 16 226 11 222 63391 60626 16 219 16 211 10 226 60626 57735 11 236 12 235 11 241 57735 54732 19 255 18 244 17 230 54732 51859 20 251 22 244 12 220 51859 49284 25 256 28 246 22 287 49284 46999 21 238 28 237 38 276 46999 44936 22 290 29 247 42 262 44936 43046 36 295 28 265 42 257 43046 41299 42 294 36 267 45 260 41299 39683 42 293 38 269 47 253 39683 38182 40 289 40 274 39 253 38182 36791 38 282 42 277 33 276 36791 35485 34 283 41 282 35 287 35485 34198 31 285 38 283 33 302 34198 32898 27 276 35 282 36 314 32898 31579 23 256 32 283 39 326 31579 30231 31 223 28 282 43 334 30231 28843 45 210 23 265 43 336 28843 27418 50 211 26 250 42 339 27418 25958 42 221 26 239 40 346 25958 24470 26 231 24 230 32 343 24470 22964 24 219 17 246 25 333 22964 21435 24 225 13 256 18 330 21435 19876 24 251 8 243 14 320 19876 18310 12 314 5 085 11 262 18310 16813 11 014 5 065 9 265 16813 15452 10 040 6 035 7 326 15452 14235 12 050 9 019 11 358 14235 13140 13 052 13*012 14 007 13140 12150 16 052 15*010 15 011 12150 11252 17 051 15 009 16 016 11252 10439 17*049 16 009 16 023 10439 9706 18*047 16 009 16 031 9706 9043 17 046 16 010 18 041 9043 8437 17 044 16 010 20 049 8437 7891 17 043 16 010 21 054 7891 7426 16 042 16 011 21 055 7426 7065 16 041 15 011 19 054 7065 6812 15 040 15 011 16 051 6812 6658 14 040 14 011 12*049 6658 6570 10 039 11 011 5*049 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography