DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 39.4 - - 42.5 - - 37.4 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 94 - - 103 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 2431 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 7320 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 8660 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 942 - - 2238 - - 1002 - - 1654 - - 768 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 138 - - 273 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 196 - - 286 - - 317 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -597 - - 1470 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 7168 - - 7190 - - 6570 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -3903 - - -3686 - - -13 - - -2263 - - -6442 ODpotential blCL 10473 - - 10256 - - 8673 - - 8833 - - 13011 blCL maxRH 89 - - 80 - - 88 - - 88 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 39.4 - - 42.5 - - 37.4 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 31.2 - - 34.1 - - 34.6 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.8 - - 38.2 - - 41.3 - - 37.5 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 30.1 - - 33.1 - - 34.0 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 94 - - 103 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 2431 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 22 - - 52 - - 53 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95608 31 300 38 296 38 296 39 298 34 287 95608 88855 15 312 23 310 24 312 25 301 22 311 88855 83578 8 320 15 315 14 325 15 322 17 327 83578 79148 6 343 8 341 13 305 15 333 16 332 79148 75279 12 342 5 044 9 263 15 294 16 327 75279 71816 14 320 9 011 3 029 12 265 18 310 71816 68659 10 332 15 316 9 330 11 277 17 290 68659 65742 15 341 11 321 10 324 10 296 15 283 65742 63030 21 324 19 319 14 313 16 319 16 290 63030 60405 24 306 20 308 21 310 23 316 15 307 60405 57661 26 304 24 310 23 307 28 322 18 321 57661 54814 20 311 24 312 24 332 33 328 35 319 54814 52116 25 324 25 320 29 336 30 335 28 315 52116 49683 30 317 28 320 35 340 20 003 18 308 49683 47490 28 322 24 323 37 353 37 341 50 326 47490 45502 31 337 30 341 46 348 63 326 49 323 45502 43683 40 345 48 353 65 337 58 332 56 343 43683 42008 46 346 65 349 65 339 60 346 75 348 42008 40454 54 345 72 343 64 346 66 347 83 343 40454 39010 55 342 61 335 56 347 63 346 76 341 39010 37668 47 343 42 337 47 344 55 345 64 344 37668 36393 38 008 31 007 42 341 48 344 55 349 36393 35117 56 028 35 020 34 341 40 340 46 350 35117 33812 62 022 43 021 30 344 40 334 32 347 33812 32479 64 019 46 019 31 347 40 332 28 340 32479 31109 68 014 46 016 33 344 34 334 29 337 31109 29695 70 009 45 015 31 340 25 342 27 335 29695 28238 67 012 45 014 28 344 20 333 24 329 28238 26740 62 018 43 007 26 357 18 334 22 323 26740 25205 57 025 45 000 29 002 21 337 22 323 25205 23639 44 034 49 001 34 354 26 342 24 326 23639 22037 23 014 45 001 36 348 29 342 23 330 22037 20393 18 344 35 349 30 344 30 337 22 334 20393 18736 19 332 27 343 26 343 28 335 22 334 18736 17152 18 329 21 342 26 347 24 339 22 334 17152 15716 17 332 19 339 23 349 19 342 21 336 15716 14437 17 337 17 336 17 349 16 342 18 337 14437 13291 16 339 15 337 13 341 14 338 15 334 13291 12258 15 338 11 340 10 330 13 331 13 324 12258 11324 13 327 8 344 7 315 12 323 13 318 11324 10484 11 314 6 343 4 289 11 310 13 316 10484 9731 9 305 5 333 4 256 9 292 12 306 9731 9056 7 299 4 314 5*253 8 277 10 291 9056 8442 4 291 3 281 5*257 6 253 8 277 8442 7892 2 291 2 234 6 281 4 230 5 263 7892 7426 1 298 2 205 6 289 2 236 2 265 7426 7064 0 128 2 199 6 294 2 276 0 291 7064 6812 2 129 2 199 6 297 2 304 1 341 6812 6658 2*151 2*195 6 299 2*313 1 283 6658 6569 2*202 1*196 5 300 2*317 2*269 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography