DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 49.6 - - 51.7 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 38 - - 5 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 897 - - 798 - - 1049 - - 443 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7582 - - 7483 - - 7734 - - 7128 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2021 - - 1678 - - 2432 - - 1829 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 159 - - 137 - - 84 - - 78 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 200 - - 188 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 783 - - 685 - - 935 - - 330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 275 - - 288 - - 83 - - 166 ODpotential blCL - - - 7307 - - 7195 - - 7651 - - 6962 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 190 - - 380 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 49.6 - - 51.7 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 48.3 - - 49.1 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 49.4 - - 51.8 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 47.8 - - 48.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 38 - - 5 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 897 - - 798 - - 1049 - - 443 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 103 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97359 16 286 22 273 25 295 24 306 97359 90172 10 318 5 304 12 286 14 311 90172 84630 3 344 4 294 6 329 7 353 84630 80023 2 345 1 173 1 244 6 023 80023 76050 8 359 5 141 1 096 2 137 76050 72547 3 265 5 234 2 297 5 310 72547 69371 4 178 4 235 4 184 2 273 69371 66445 4 207 7 259 8 322 4 350 66445 63743 4 145 5 253 6 282 4 264 63743 61135 16 288 14 266 10 284 4 232 61135 58422 20 198 28 236 28 230 17 246 58422 55582 19 202 34 222 32 227 28 229 55582 52828 38 239 43 226 41 226 40 227 52828 50343 57 239 52 233 47 230 50 228 50343 48113 78 237 71 236 63 234 66 231 48113 46084 102 233 95 233 84 233 82 229 46084 44223 124 227 114 228 100 230 94 228 44223 42500 128 223 123 225 110 226 99 227 42500 40887 124 222 126 223 114 225 102 225 40887 39372 121 223 126 222 113 224 105 226 39372 37955 122 224 124 223 109 225 109 227 37955 36614 124 225 120 222 106 225 105 223 36614 35290 125 226 114 221 101 223 88 219 35290 33950 122 225 103 221 92 221 75 221 33950 32590 116 223 92 222 80 223 74 226 32590 31198 108 222 83 225 74 228 74 226 31198 29767 97 223 75 228 69 230 71 228 29767 28303 85 226 67 230 65 230 68 229 28303 26805 77 229 64 231 63 228 66 225 26805 25274 75 232 64 232 63 227 64 222 25274 23718 75 233 64 233 61 228 61 223 23718 22137 69 232 60 233 52 226 56 224 22137 20526 61 232 45 227 49 223 50 221 20526 18910 42 225 46 227 44 222 45 216 18910 17366 45 225 45 227 45 221 43 214 17366 15962 45 223 43 226 45 221 42 214 15962 14707 41 223 39 226 43 222 40 215 14707 13576 36 224 34 226 38 223 38 215 13576 12553 31 225 29 225 31 224 33 216 12553 11627 28 228 24 221 26 223 26 217 11627 10788 23 230 20 214 20 220 21 216 10788 10031 19 229 17 204 16 215 18 215 10031 9348 15 223 15 197 13 207 16 213 9348 8723 12 217 13 196 12 202 15 212 8723 8160 12 214 12 201 12*202 14 211 8160 7681 11*213 12*202 10*196 13 210 7681 7309 10*211 10*201 9 187 12*208 7309 7049 10 210 9 200 8 185 10*206 7049 6890 9 209 8 200 7 183 9 205 6890 6799 8 209 7 199 6 182 7 206 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography