DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 73.4 - - 74.7 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 299 - - 141 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3002 - - 4865 - - 4978 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8405 - - 10079 - - 9792 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9687 - - 11550 - - 11663 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1880 - - 2649 - - 3608 - - 2680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 487 - - 382 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 248 - - 255 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2090 - - 1717 - - 1076 - - -278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7598 - - 9833 - - 10587 - - 7078 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 355 - - -335 - - -1019 - - -3512 ODpotential blCL - - - 9332 - - 11885 - - 12682 - - 10312 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 81 - - 96 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 910 - - 910 - - 760 - - 1430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 73.4 - - 74.7 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.4 - - 53.2 - - 51.3 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 71.4 - - 73.7 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 52.6 - - 51.0 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 299 - - 141 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3002 - - 4865 - - 4978 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 23 - - 83 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99206 30 099 28 097 28 094 31 099 99206 91729 25 097 28 102 22 104 23 079 91729 85963 21 107 25 102 19 091 23 086 85963 81162 21 102 20 109 12 090 22 087 81162 77018 19 080 16 118 9 115 14 084 77018 73366 12 086 12 097 9 125 8 083 73366 70076 7 070 10 113 5 115 9 096 70076 67061 2 123 7 095 7 122 6 095 67061 64278 2 188 3 075 5 150 2 175 64278 61595 10 243 7 298 3 180 4 215 61595 58823 16 234 16 263 8 278 11 244 58823 55978 11 204 16 242 12 256 11 219 55978 53274 12 226 22 238 18 241 11 263 53274 50851 22 227 30 227 28 245 20 265 50851 48692 24 213 30 212 35 239 25 243 48692 46730 24 205 30 207 36 221 25 239 46730 44927 25 210 33 219 34 214 33 237 44927 43255 30 219 37 222 35 216 35 230 43255 41690 34 223 38 223 35 217 33 228 41690 40216 34 223 36 224 31 225 30 232 40216 38831 34 221 32 223 30 234 26 243 38831 37505 32 221 30 224 31 240 24 257 37505 36174 27 218 31 225 29 238 20 261 36174 34811 26 220 29 229 26 236 19 257 34811 33421 27 223 25 236 24 236 31 230 33421 31994 25 224 19 247 21 238 34 230 31994 30525 21 224 12 248 20 242 25 240 30525 29018 18 228 9 289 21 248 17 240 29018 27474 16 242 10 297 20 249 16 235 27474 25900 16 249 11 283 14 243 16 232 25900 24300 16 253 12 272 9 238 16 229 24300 22668 15 256 13 263 9 252 16 224 22668 20999 13 259 14 248 11 267 14 220 20999 19322 13 261 18 238 12 263 12 221 19322 17723 14 248 16 242 13 258 12 234 17723 16273 12 248 12 252 12 242 15 242 16273 14977 10 255 10 259 11 238 16 247 14977 13812 9 263 11 251 10 240 17 250 13812 12758 9 265 10 246 9 244 16 253 12758 11802 9 262 10*245 9*247 14 255 11802 10935 9 260 10*246 10*249 12 257 10935 10154 8*258 9 246 10 251 11 260 10154 9446 8*257 9 246 10 253 10 265 9446 8799 7 254 9 247 10 255 10 271 8799 8214 7 253 9 248 10 256 10 281 8214 7717 7 253 8 249 10 257 9 297 7717 7330 7 252 8 250 10 258 8 310 7330 7060 7 252 8 251 10 258 7 314 7060 6895 6 251 7 251 9 258 5*312 6895 6800 6 250 7 251 8 258 3*310 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography