DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 75.1 - - 73.2 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 294 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2294 - - 5813 - - 5554 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8080 - - 10802 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8979 - - 12498 - - 12239 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2446 - - 5389 - - 5127 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 509 - - 175 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 225 - - 59 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 299 - - 305 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - 9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2944 - - -990 - - -1012 - - -2654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11923 - - 13489 - - 13252 - - 9454 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5996 - - -3033 - - -3350 - - -7126 ODpotential blCL - - - 14975 - - 15531 - - 15589 - - 13926 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 65 - - 62 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 610 - - 590 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 75.1 - - 73.2 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 39.3 - - 38.6 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 73.2 - - 73.2 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 39.1 - - 38.4 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 294 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2294 - - 5813 - - 5554 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97933 16 239 16 247 23 253 24 279 97933 90609 8 269 21 236 20 263 18 286 90609 84944 4 254 17 246 17 279 12 293 84944 80231 5 300 3 204 10 287 7 312 80231 76198 6 346 4 049 3 344 4 310 76198 72670 8 340 8 006 7 021 6 037 72670 69484 7 339 13 344 15 006 15 022 69484 66567 8 349 12 347 13 354 18 341 66567 63884 8 013 12 004 8 356 13 336 63884 61278 22 341 17 349 14 349 16 342 61278 58551 25 324 23 334 24 326 25 329 58551 55733 30 316 32 312 32 314 34 318 55733 53047 36 309 33 310 37 318 37 319 53047 50624 39 307 42 321 49 321 47 321 50624 48439 42 313 50 319 57 318 54 319 48439 46440 52 314 55 315 57 316 58 314 46440 44590 56 310 58 311 54 314 55 311 44590 42868 57 308 59 307 53 310 51 308 42868 41257 59 306 59 308 53 303 48 306 41257 39747 57 304 62 308 53 303 45 304 39747 38337 49 303 61 305 56 305 42 300 38337 36998 42 303 53 301 55 304 44 295 36998 35664 41 302 39 298 47 303 43 296 35664 34313 42 298 32 288 34 300 28 300 34313 32957 35 299 36 280 24 290 8 297 32957 31577 28 300 31 279 22 282 6 319 31577 30157 22 291 21 281 19 283 6 341 30157 28697 15 287 18 279 13 278 4 352 28697 27198 6 294 10 263 12 270 2 347 27198 25667 6 303 5 242 10 251 4 279 25667 24108 5 322 3 270 10 252 6 257 24108 22515 4 297 3 313 5 256 7 255 22515 20883 5 278 3 339 6 101 7 195 20883 19240 2 224 3 016 9 095 10 171 19240 17667 4 149 4 047 8 103 11 168 17667 16233 7 130 4 065 7 113 10 168 16233 14948 8 110 4 084 4 124 7 164 14948 13790 7 091 4 087 1 119 2 111 13790 12741 7 076 3*081 2*309 4 022 12741 11788 6 067 2*069 3*303 4 019 11788 10923 6 067 1 013 3 303 4 031 10923 10143 5 067 1 306 3 301 5 040 10143 9437 4*066 2 294 3 303 7 046 9437 8791 2*049 2 290 4 304 8 046 8791 8208 0 002 2 289 4 306 9 044 8208 7713 0 293 3 289 4 307 9 041 7713 7327 1 269 3 288 4 309 8 041 7327 7058 1 257 3 289 3 310 6 041 7058 6894 1 257 3 288 3 310 5*039 6894 6800 1 255 3 290 3 311 3*034 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography