DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.3 - - 51.8 - - 57.1 - - 50.5 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 96 - - 128 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1030 - - 2362 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6782 - - 7846 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7715 - - 9047 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 1090 - - 2039 - - 2801 - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 203 - - 290 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 62 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 088 - - 225 - - 226 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1091 - - -2895 - - -2800 - - -2632 - - -1150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7889 - - 10610 - - 11848 - - 9431 - - 7949 sfcLCL ODpotential -10000 - - -9525 - - -8081 - - -8668 - - -8990 ODpotential blCL 16798 - - 17240 - - 17128 - - 15467 - - 15789 blCL maxRH 44 - - 42 - - 40 - - 42 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.3 - - 51.8 - - 57.1 - - 50.5 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.0 - - 29.4 - - 29.1 - - 33.1 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.8 - - 51.2 - - 56.1 - - 54.1 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.9 - - 28.3 - - 28.1 - - 32.5 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 96 - - 128 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1030 - - 2362 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96461 37 283 54 278 48 275 44 282 48 276 96461 89292 23 302 33 278 29 279 35 291 38 304 89292 83807 19 308 16 270 20 285 29 294 30 316 83807 79294 16 319 14 312 15 303 21 311 22 328 79294 75399 17 315 18 327 13 317 19 321 15 329 75399 71933 17 315 16 326 14 327 16 327 17 346 71933 68784 17 325 14 324 20 313 23 324 23 342 68784 65902 21 321 15 323 21 302 24 303 24 323 65902 63243 27 315 20 321 26 321 25 311 29 312 63243 60676 30 311 31 313 33 320 33 316 36 305 60676 58012 40 317 37 308 32 316 30 314 30 309 58012 55254 31 318 35 311 32 330 38 333 39 328 55254 52613 40 344 43 323 46 329 47 330 51 320 52613 50212 48 340 48 323 50 322 48 325 56 313 50212 48034 48 337 53 329 50 322 45 326 51 308 48034 46039 49 333 55 336 48 325 42 340 38 316 46039 44201 49 329 55 349 46 332 48 347 40 339 44201 42495 45 326 63 359 49 343 53 347 48 346 42495 40903 39 326 64 001 49 350 52 344 53 345 40903 39417 32 324 54 000 46 356 48 342 49 340 39417 38028 31 312 34 351 45 001 40 344 43 335 38028 36699 33 298 25 344 40 003 37 357 35 353 36699 35372 23 298 17 342 30 001 37 005 39 012 35372 34027 25 294 9 004 18 351 31 003 36 021 34027 32673 29 295 11 049 11 358 22 347 26 011 32673 31299 28 291 13 059 9 023 13 339 18 351 31299 29889 26 294 13 056 9 040 10 348 17 354 29889 28444 19 296 10 048 9 048 10 354 15 358 28444 26963 7 320 5 052 10 043 11 355 14 007 26963 25451 7 014 8 087 8 041 7 007 15 020 25451 23908 8 034 13 094 9 058 4 045 13 019 23908 22328 9 058 17 082 14 062 6 056 10 008 22328 20706 12 081 20 062 18 059 10 049 7 010 20706 19068 14 080 20 062 17 064 10 078 5 017 19068 17496 12 067 17 087 10 103 6 127 5 014 17496 16063 10 066 14 104 9 127 7 080 9 029 16063 14780 9 066 8 098 8 067 12 060 12 051 14780 13630 8 061 6 090 10 042 14 058 13 062 13630 12593 6 052 4 102 8 040 12 053 10 067 12593 11656 4 044 3 133 5 040 8 052 4 054 11656 10810 3 071 4 162 1 340 3 053 3 297 10810 10048 6 102 4 172 3 238 2 276 6 271 10048 9360 8 107 5 178 3*231 4 264 7 271 9360 8731 7 105 5 178 3*228 4 257 6 289 8731 8165 6 099 3*164 3 226 2 241 3 304 8165 7684 5 097 1*122 3 226 2 226 1 328 7684 7309 5 102 1 083 3 223 3 229 1 346 7309 7049 5 108 1 069 3 223 3 227 1 343 7049 6890 4*100 0 068 3 224 3*226 2*353 6890 6799 4*092 0 059 3 223 3*226 2*011 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography