DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1331z - - 1555z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.3 - - 36.5 - - 42.8 - - 43.4 - - 36.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 60 - - 169 - - 226 - - 28 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1179 - - 4570 - - 6625 - - 5843 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 9619 - - 11343 - - 8721 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 7864 - - 11255 - - 13310 - - 12528 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3459 - - 2179 - - 1494 - - 2738 - - 4931 Hgt.Variab. W* 182 - - 402 - - 498 - - 246 - - 29 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 180 - - 189 - - 186 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 14 - - 19 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1067 - - 2097 - - 2081 - - 478 - - -1526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 9159 - - 11230 - - 12050 - - 8324 sfcLCL ODpotential -952 - - -85 - - -206 - - -2567 - - -4012 ODpotential blCL 8816 - - 11340 - - 13516 - - 15095 - - 10810 blCL maxRH 83 - - 81 - - 74 - - 74 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.3 - - 36.5 - - 42.8 - - 43.4 - - 36.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.7 - - 20.5 - - 17.5 - - 14.4 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.9 - - 35.4 - - 41.5 - - 43.4 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.6 - - 19.4 - - 16.3 - - 13.5 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 60 - - 169 - - 226 - - 28 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1179 - - 4570 - - 6625 - - 5843 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 13 258 13 246 19 232 15 261 24 288 96612 89276 14 213 15 218 13 222 8 245 12 254 89276 83639 7 197 10 204 10 213 8 214 6 197 83639 78964 5 243 5 221 6 236 8 219 2 229 78964 74958 2 276 3 215 6 254 7 236 1 217 74958 71439 8 304 5 283 10 287 7 276 4 320 71439 68254 9 304 9 293 12 279 13 291 11 301 68254 65325 12 305 15 296 17 296 16 306 14 296 65325 62600 14 284 24 281 23 296 25 295 16 296 62600 59933 19 267 25 274 29 289 23 295 18 291 59933 57123 21 269 27 277 27 287 30 296 33 290 57123 54191 22 288 27 284 32 284 39 283 42 288 54191 51385 33 286 31 286 41 285 40 287 45 293 51385 48859 34 282 37 284 44 287 41 298 46 295 48859 46606 37 289 38 296 43 291 46 298 46 296 46606 44579 41 296 42 306 48 295 48 296 48 299 44579 42733 40 296 50 304 51 295 48 301 53 299 42733 41041 44 301 56 297 48 303 57 309 58 301 41041 39486 54 299 52 297 62 312 68 307 67 302 39486 38043 55 301 51 306 69 300 77 303 73 297 38043 36697 55 309 57 309 63 298 73 298 71 289 36697 35421 54 313 59 307 66 301 66 292 60 288 35421 34156 50 314 57 305 71 293 61 288 48 281 34156 32876 46 314 54 308 64 297 58 281 43 272 32876 31583 47 313 49 306 59 302 53 280 36 267 31583 30259 55 310 44 300 55 309 51 281 34 270 30259 28893 59 307 45 298 49 312 48 277 35 273 28893 27489 55 309 45 296 37 301 41 275 37 276 27489 26048 50 317 41 297 33 293 33 279 38 279 26048 24574 46 318 35 303 34 288 27 282 39 284 24574 23073 43 318 27 312 34 278 25 283 39 288 23073 21546 35 317 23 317 26 276 25 270 36 284 21546 19991 27 310 21 302 19 276 26 253 35 268 19991 18435 24 300 20 287 20 275 24 246 38 242 18435 16953 21 294 19 280 23 274 26 246 38 235 16953 15607 16 287 16 272 21 262 25 240 28 236 15607 14403 11 273 14 245 14 225 19 221 22 238 14403 13320 8 239 12 199 12*201 15*206 18 232 13320 12341 8 186 12 188 11*197 14*203 15 222 12341 11452 8 149 12*186 10 194 12 194 13 208 11452 10648 8 133 11*183 10 191 11 191 13 195 10648 9921 7 139 10 181 9 188 10 187 14 182 9921 9263 8 163 9 180 8 186 9 183 16 173 9263 8660 10 165 9 179 7 184 8 179 19 166 8660 8116 12*159 8 180 7 183 7 174 21 160 8116 7653 11*152 8 179 6 182 6 169 21 156 7653 7292 10 144 7 179 6 180 5 166 19 153 7292 7040 9 142 7 180 6 180 5 164 16 150 7040 6886 9 141 7 179 5 180 5 164 13*148 6886 6798 7 141 6 178 5 180 4 164 8*146 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography