DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 75.5 - - 56.3 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 416 - - 69 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8968 - - 11117 - - 1618 - - 1401 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13577 - - 15263 - - 6782 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15653 - - 17802 - - 8303 - - 8086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4597 - - 3514 - - 3629 - - 3511 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 697 - - 711 - - 222 - - 130 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 16 - - 20 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 175 - - 185 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 13 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 19 - - 7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -337 - - 1720 - - 1504 - - -581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15991 - - 16082 - - 6799 - - 8667 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1620 - - 873 - - -943 - - -2933 ODpotential blCL - - - 17273 - - 16929 - - 9246 - - 11019 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 270 - - 980 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 75.5 - - 56.3 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.7 - - 28.0 - - 50.6 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 73.0 - - 55.7 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.2 - - 27.6 - - 49.6 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 416 - - 69 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8968 - - 11117 - - 1618 - - 1401 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 78 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98413 18 107 18 110 15 104 16 084 98413 90952 10 117 12 068 17 098 14 076 90952 85230 11 113 11 059 13 058 16 083 85230 80487 11 086 12 078 14 051 15 085 80487 76404 10 078 13 071 12 072 7 071 76404 72804 4 080 6 081 9 079 5 099 72804 69539 5 178 5 237 6 047 9 099 69539 66519 6 153 10 218 4 298 6 034 66519 63711 3 163 10 192 7 253 5 273 63711 60995 6 248 10 219 12 251 10 265 60995 58166 11 243 13 246 18 249 17 277 58166 55228 17 241 17 251 19 248 20 259 55228 52426 19 249 18 249 19 251 18 243 52426 49907 21 248 20 252 20 253 14 245 49907 47653 19 252 20 244 20 246 15 248 47653 45620 23 247 19 240 21 234 20 238 45620 43776 25 226 21 230 22 224 23 219 43776 42091 26 215 26 216 20 207 23 201 42091 40542 28 208 24 201 26 177 22 189 40542 39109 35 195 29 198 37 163 32 180 39109 37774 33 190 40 200 35 164 45 153 37774 36501 29 202 41 199 34 168 45 144 36501 35224 34 205 43 196 37 169 40 137 35224 33917 34 212 43 194 38 170 36 134 33917 32585 35 215 40 191 38 171 36 142 32585 31216 36 216 37 190 38 170 38 152 31216 29804 33 215 34 189 39 170 39 161 29804 28352 26 212 28 181 41 168 41 170 28352 26862 15 206 23 158 36 167 41 173 26862 25340 12 186 24 140 36 167 40 174 25340 23789 16 176 26 150 38 165 39 175 23789 22208 22 181 29 163 36 164 37 172 22208 20588 30 177 28 164 30 165 34 166 20588 18960 31 173 26*165 26 167 31 163 18960 17404 25 182 22*167 24 167 28 163 17404 15992 23*185 21 169 23 167 25 167 15992 14733 20*184 18 172 22 169 21 175 14733 13601 14 178 17 174 21 175 21 184 13601 12579 10 169 16 176 22 182 23 187 12579 11652 7 153 15 178 23 187 25 182 11652 10811 7 149 14 179 23 188 26 175 10811 10052 6 145 13 180 22 189 26 167 10052 9366 6 142 13 181 22 188 25 159 9366 8739 6 139 12 182 22*187 23 151 8739 8172 6 136 12 183 21*186 21*143 8172 7690 6 134 12 183 21 186 19*136 7690 7314 6 133 11 184 20 185 18 132 7314 7052 6 133 11 184 19 184 16 131 7052 6891 5 133 11 184 18 184 15 131 6891 6799 5 132 10 184 14 183 11 130 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography