DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 88.9 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 453 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8267 - - 11609 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12978 - - 15718 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14952 - - 18294 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2722 - - 1692 - - - - - 2384 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 666 - - 743 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 281 - - - - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -7 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 335 - - 1884 - - - - - -7423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14618 - - 16411 - - - - - 14224 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2249 - - -473 - - - - - -11263 ODpotential blCL - - - 17201 - - 18767 - - - - - 18064 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 62 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 100 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 88.9 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 40.0 - - - - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 86.3 - - - - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 39.4 - - - - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 453 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8267 - - 11609 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99546 53 098 35 101 44 092 99546 92032 47 100 44 108 41 084 92032 86210 38 109 43 105 34 094 86210 81383 33 111 35 108 33 098 81383 77252 27 106 28 108 27 081 77252 73618 20 107 23 106 24 086 73618 70344 18 110 17 112 20 098 70344 67348 20 097 14 103 13 120 67348 64578 17 103 13 093 16 128 64578 61915 6 086 10 102 13 101 61915 59176 2 314 3 032 8 038 59176 56385 6 215 7 218 8 316 56385 53748 10 255 11 257 7 305 53748 51365 17 254 21 258 14 288 51365 49213 21 251 24 241 22 279 49213 47245 23 249 22 247 20 274 47245 45422 24 253 24 253 19 276 45422 43720 30 259 25 249 22 274 43720 42122 35 260 28 242 27 269 42122 40617 33 257 30 238 29 265 40617 39201 29 247 30 242 29 266 39201 37845 29 237 32 247 28 269 37845 36488 30 240 32 244 27 266 36488 35106 30 244 31 240 31 263 35106 33703 28 245 30 241 32 262 33703 32267 26 249 29 248 29 263 32267 30790 24 252 27 251 28 260 30790 29275 23 254 25 246 28 258 29275 27725 23 252 24 246 27 258 27725 26144 23 251 24 252 23 260 26144 24538 24 249 22 260 17 270 24538 22901 24 247 20 267 12 277 22901 21229 23 248 16 273 6 251 21229 19547 20 254 11*286 5 128 19547 17937 21 267 11*292 7 080 17937 16467 22 277 12 289 8 036 16467 15149 21*285 12 288 8 009 15149 13961 18*290 13 285 10 345 13961 12885 16 291 13 282 11 329 12885 11908 15 289 14 280 13 316 11908 11022 15 287 14 278 15 305 11022 10224 14 284 15 277 16 297 10224 9502 14 283 15 276 17 291 9502 8840 14 281 15 275 18 287 8840 8244 13 279 15 274 19 283 8244 7737 13 277 15 274 19 280 7737 7341 13 276 15 273 18 276 7341 7066 12 275 14 273 15 272 7066 6898 12 275 14 273 11*268 6898 6801 11 274 13 273 6*263 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography