DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 88.8 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 469 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5580 - - 13916 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10809 - - 17655 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12265 - - 20601 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6386 - - 2958 - - - - - 5394 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 588 - - 800 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 277 - - - - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4804 - - 422 - - - - - -10037 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17070 - - 20180 - - - - - 16838 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7374 - - -789 - - - - - -13665 ODpotential blCL - - - 19639 - - 21390 - - - - - 20465 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 67 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 88.8 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 22.5 - - - - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 86.1 - - - - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 22.0 - - - - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 469 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5580 - - 13916 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98899 28 112 27 101 29 097 98899 91367 24 098 25 102 24 075 91367 85581 19 098 15 107 14 063 85581 80811 15 096 16 098 18 083 80811 76710 13 100 13 087 18 072 76710 73088 12 118 10 093 12 096 73088 69818 9 089 10 122 9 074 69818 66827 4 069 8 117 1 298 66827 64074 5 051 3 035 5 216 64074 61438 8 337 6 289 2 260 61438 58722 15 301 7 296 9 271 58722 55921 22 293 20 285 20 289 55921 53247 30 293 27 280 26 279 53247 50828 42 291 34 285 27 287 50828 48655 50 280 47 280 39 297 48655 46686 48 274 51 276 52 290 46686 44877 44 283 50 280 54 281 44877 43193 46 289 46 286 49 278 43193 41611 47 293 44 291 52 284 41611 40124 46 303 44 297 57 289 40124 38729 49 311 47 302 57 291 38729 37399 53 312 49 304 52 292 37399 36068 53 310 50 305 44 292 36068 34711 47 307 49 306 40 293 34711 33332 43 305 48 305 41 296 33332 31919 40 308 45 304 43 298 31919 30463 30 311 38 305 40 296 30463 28968 19 310 24 300 37 294 28968 27437 11 293 18 279 34 295 27437 25876 10 292 18 249 22 295 25876 24295 13 283 18 247 13 268 24295 22693 18 269 10 273 8 224 22693 21054 18 250 12*300 3 229 21054 19399 11 240 13*295 3 257 19399 17812 4 230 13 290 6 269 17812 16364 4 269 14 287 9 271 16364 15065 5 297 14 285 11 270 15065 13893 8 319 14 281 12 271 13893 12831 8*316 14 277 13 271 12831 11866 8*305 15 274 13 273 11866 10991 8 292 15 271 14 275 10991 10200 8 288 15 269 14 277 10200 9484 8 285 15 268 14 278 9484 8828 8 284 15 266 15 279 8828 8236 8 283 15 265 15 280 8236 7732 8 282 15 263 15 281 7732 7338 8 281 15 263 14 281 7338 7065 8 281 14 263 12 278 7065 6897 7 281 14 263 9 274 6897 6800 7 281 13 262 5*271 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography