DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 78.2 - - 81.5 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 112 - - 156 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8714 - - 10201 - - 12431 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13198 - - 13587 - - 15640 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15399 - - 16886 - - 19116 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3151 - - 5627 - - 2054 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 615 - - 450 - - 537 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 23 - - 29 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 241 - - 249 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 23 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 35 - - 7 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1894 - - 1771 - - -183 - - -11768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13506 - - 15115 - - 19300 - - 18569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 33 - - -6 - - -2771 - - -16903 ODpotential blCL - - - 15366 - - 16892 - - 21887 - - 23703 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 76 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 260 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 78.2 - - 81.5 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 35.2 - - 19.5 - - 12.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 77.5 - - 80.8 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 34.6 - - 19.1 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 112 - - 156 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8714 - - 10201 - - 12431 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 99 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98764 20 115 17 131 15 137 10 110 98764 91260 24 097 22 107 17 099 14 101 91260 85506 21 094 18 106 17 076 22 097 85506 80758 17 125 19 108 17 072 24 085 80758 76679 19 125 18 116 19 082 19 077 76679 73073 15 096 17 108 15 100 19 084 73073 69817 10 116 10 089 14 107 11 096 69817 66834 9 151 4 172 7 079 8 094 66834 64091 13 193 12 196 5 229 2 115 64091 61463 13 198 11 204 12 233 6 258 61463 58721 17 229 20 224 27 227 23 244 58721 55863 33 258 21 253 22 231 26 240 55863 53133 50 251 41 265 29 257 27 267 53133 50682 54 249 45 265 31 263 30 270 50682 48476 49 249 42 259 36 260 33 260 48476 46458 36 252 36 260 38 266 36 261 46458 44595 33 272 44 268 46 273 42 267 44595 42871 44 264 54 265 58 269 55 267 42871 41275 44 255 56 257 66 260 67 263 41275 39791 39 259 53 254 67 257 72 259 39791 38404 38 266 51 255 65 257 71 255 38404 37079 38 269 50 255 64 257 69 253 37079 35751 39 266 50 252 64 256 67 256 35751 34395 41 265 51 249 64 254 66 263 34395 33020 42 261 53 250 64 254 70 268 33020 31616 43 255 55 254 66 256 69 264 31616 30173 45 251 57 255 64 258 65 259 30173 28698 45 247 56 254 57 257 59 263 28698 27196 44 243 54 252 52 257 54 273 27196 25665 45 236 53 247 48 256 49 276 25665 24105 44 233 51 241 46 253 44 268 24105 22510 44 238 46 238 46 249 44 258 22510 20875 49 243 42 238 42 240 42 252 20875 19233 51 241 40 239 36*237 37 248 19233 17664 48 240 37*240 34*238 33 250 17664 16238 37*238 34*242 33 240 31 256 16238 14958 28*233 32 243 32 241 30 259 14958 13803 24 228 29 243 31 244 30 260 13803 12756 24 227 27 243 30 247 30 261 12756 11804 23 226 24 242 29 251 30 261 11804 10940 23 226 22 241 28 253 29 262 10940 10159 22 226 20 240 28 255 29 262 10159 9452 22 225 18 238 27 257 29 262 9452 8804 21 226 17 237 26 258 28 262 8804 8218 21 226 16 236 26 259 28 262 8218 7720 20 226 15 236 25 260 26 261 7720 7332 19 226 15 236 24 260 23 260 7332 7061 18 226 14 235 24 260 18 258 7061 6895 17 226 13 235 22 261 14*256 6895 6800 15 226 11 235 18 261 7*253 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography