DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 75.4 - - 74.2 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 530 - - 520 - - 171 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8944 - - 9554 - - 9206 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13596 - - 14091 - - 13157 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15629 - - 16239 - - 15891 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1298 - - 1195 - - 1972 - - 406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 716 - - 728 - - 498 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 273 - - 279 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -5 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2984 - - -3085 - - -3853 - - -10633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18613 - - 19325 - - 19745 - - 17433 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7034 - - -6610 - - -7610 - - -15963 ODpotential blCL - - - 22663 - - 22849 - - 23501 - - 22763 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 46 - - 38 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 75.4 - - 74.2 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 13.2 - - 10.3 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 72.6 - - 73.0 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.7 - - 12.3 - - 9.5 - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 530 - - 520 - - 171 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8944 - - 9554 - - 9206 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98104 4 213 4 205 6 315 6 315 98104 90695 1 046 3 218 10 303 6 342 90695 84969 3 127 4 286 6 303 5 342 84969 80211 5 122 5 270 3 344 3 315 80211 76130 10 075 5 227 6 323 5 034 76130 72539 10 048 4 136 5 268 3 359 72539 69306 5 299 3 004 2 019 5 017 69306 66345 2 346 4 338 5 323 6 358 66345 63607 7 313 9 313 7 317 10 323 63607 60960 16 288 14 285 13 284 17 301 60960 58190 18 314 18 289 20 278 22 283 58190 55305 27 296 25 286 23 282 23 277 55305 52553 27 276 25 288 21 291 19 278 52553 50080 29 272 26 291 20 304 14 290 50080 47860 29 273 26 283 21 305 11 304 47860 45848 27 279 24 279 21 294 12 297 45848 44014 25 282 22 280 22 276 17 275 44014 42333 22 278 22 282 22 273 14 273 42333 40773 24 274 22 285 21 279 13 288 40773 39315 24 270 24 293 20 292 16 299 39315 37955 20 270 22 298 15 301 16 298 37955 36662 19 272 19 298 15 311 15 292 36662 35370 21 265 17 291 15 308 14 296 35370 34053 23 253 16 281 13 297 12 305 34053 32712 22 246 16 280 13 309 12 325 32712 31339 21 255 19 283 14 320 12 339 31339 29927 21 275 18 275 14 313 11 342 29927 28478 26 283 14 275 14 296 9 335 28478 26994 29 273 17 274 14 282 10 302 26994 25478 25 272 24 269 17 274 12 278 25478 23933 25 276 26 267 21 271 14 274 23933 22353 25 272 24 272 22 271 14 269 22353 20735 25 262 23 278 20 269 12 267 20735 19107 26 257 23 271 13 269 8 276 19107 17550 25 261 21*273 10 282 3 317 17550 16132 20*269 15*276 11*286 4 345 16132 14861 17*275 14 276 12*284 5 322 14861 13716 16 275 14 275 13 282 7 294 13716 12679 16 276 15 274 13 280 10 284 12679 11737 16 276 15 274 14 279 13 281 11737 10883 16 276 15 273 14 278 14 281 10883 10112 16 276 15 272 14 278 15 281 10112 9415 16 276 15 272 14 277 15 280 9415 8775 16 276 15 271 14 277 16 280 8775 8198 16 276 15 271 14 276 16 280 8198 7707 16 276 15 270 14 276 16 279 7707 7323 15 275 15 270 14 276 15 278 7323 7057 15 276 14 270 14 276 13 276 7057 6894 14 276 14 270 13 276 10*273 6894 6800 13 275 12 269 11 275 6*270 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography