DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 59.2 - - 64.7 - - 62.4 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 399 - - 309 - - 91 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 505 - - 4242 - - 10421 - - 8805 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 9687 - - 14519 - - 12301 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7190 - - 10927 - - 17106 - - 15490 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1356 - - 3814 - - 2839 - - 2893 - - 1137 Hgt.Variab. W* 140 - - 508 - - 630 - - 397 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 14 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 099 - - 157 - - 242 - - 279 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - 7 - - 17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5419 - - -2813 - - 1549 - - 707 - - -4359 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12610 - - 13740 - - 15558 - - 14784 - - 11158 sfcLCL ODpotential -9939 - - -4747 - - 194 - - -832 - - -7804 ODpotential blCL 17129 - - 15674 - - 16912 - - 16322 - - 14603 blCL maxRH 83 - - 75 - - 94 - - 88 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 59.2 - - 64.7 - - 62.4 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.9 - - 22.6 - - 19.8 - - 21.0 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 56.9 - - 62.8 - - 61.7 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.3 - - 22.1 - - 19.2 - - 20.6 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 399 - - 309 - - 91 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 505 - - 4242 - - 10421 - - 8805 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 1 - - 74 - - 50 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96541 28 275 37 267 40 270 41 269 46 285 96541 89324 30 292 22 277 27 266 31 272 31 291 89324 83804 31 290 21 303 24 289 30 286 27 306 83804 79228 21 279 26 300 22 304 27 306 27 321 79228 75307 13 318 20 296 18 301 21 322 24 324 75307 71860 27 327 17 321 17 301 24 322 26 323 71860 68742 29 318 24 326 23 311 29 314 27 313 68742 65871 27 311 27 318 27 315 28 310 27 303 65871 63192 30 311 24 319 25 316 28 307 30 294 63192 60567 35 311 28 309 31 302 35 301 31 297 60567 57793 44 305 39 299 44 296 46 292 40 292 57793 54884 55 293 53 294 54 288 52 282 50 283 54884 52082 59 284 61 296 59 287 53 281 54 278 52082 49546 58 279 66 293 59 292 54 287 50 282 49546 47276 51 282 64 287 61 291 54 292 49 287 47276 45230 50 296 58 283 64 283 56 291 51 288 45230 43374 67 303 54 283 64 276 59 283 54 287 43374 41683 99 301 50 288 59 276 59 275 56 283 41683 40135 110 297 59 292 57 281 53 276 51 281 40135 38706 104 293 74 288 62 282 50 278 43 277 38706 37379 98 293 71 284 65 281 46 276 43 270 37379 36115 68 290 57 284 66 282 45 276 49 263 36115 34847 56 288 51 281 64 284 47 275 47 259 34847 33550 54 285 46 275 56 283 45 272 41 271 33550 32229 41 291 38 280 41 276 41 275 36 286 32229 30876 33 295 28 290 29 274 35 282 27 284 30876 29483 28 287 25 283 22 276 32 278 22 278 29483 28054 21 275 24 269 24 273 28 277 22 280 28054 26591 15 276 20 261 22 270 27 278 21 267 26591 25099 15 281 18 262 20 267 23 269 20 255 25099 23581 16 272 18 267 17 278 19 257 16 260 23581 22034 16 252 17 274 20 286 15 257 10 288 22034 20450 20 239 16 284 19 287 10 278 8 289 20450 18854 18 244 19 293 14 292 10 304 2 271 18854 17325 16 259 22 290 9*282 9 303 3 114 17325 15935 15 258 16 279 8*274 8*284 4 140 15935 14691 14 237 11 270 7 254 7*276 4 164 14691 13571 14 208 10 255 7 238 8 276 4 172 13571 12556 14 201 10 236 7 237 8 274 2 185 12556 11634 12 215 8*206 7 235 8 277 1 264 11634 10797 13 218 7*174 7 235 8 277 3 302 10797 10042 12 214 7 164 7 235 8 279 6 310 10042 9358 9 197 7 159 7 236 8 281 9 315 9358 8732 9 164 7 155 7 236 8 282 12 318 8732 8166 13 132 7 152 7 238 8 282 15 322 8166 7686 15 114 6 149 7 239 7 284 18 325 7686 7311 14*104 6 148 7 239 7 285 18 325 7311 7050 12*100 6 147 7 239 7 285 15 321 7050 6890 10 099 6 148 7 240 7 285 11*317 6890 6799 9 098 5 148 6 240 6 284 6*313 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography