DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.7 - - 75.8 - - 80.8 - - 80.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 161 - - 518 - - 504 - - 191 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2250 - - 8554 - - 12261 - - 12666 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 7855 - - 13267 - - 16320 - - 15994 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 8935 - - 15239 - - 18946 - - 19351 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3711 - - 1955 - - 2175 - - 2411 - - 2892 Hgt.Variab. W* 304 - - 701 - - 785 - - 576 - - 13 W* B/S 14 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 18 - - 22 - - 25 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 219 - - 220 - - 227 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 12 - - 12 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7742 - - 47 - - 1157 - - 1613 - - -10381 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16678 - - 15193 - - 17790 - - 17739 - - 17182 sfcLCL ODpotential -12726 - - -3089 - - -632 - - -201 - - -14354 ODpotential blCL 21661 - - 18328 - - 19578 - - 19552 - - 21154 blCL maxRH 66 - - 50 - - 60 - - 60 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.7 - - 75.8 - - 80.8 - - 80.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.3 - - 32.3 - - 25.6 - - 25.8 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 72.9 - - 78.2 - - 79.5 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.8 - - 31.7 - - 25.1 - - 25.2 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 161 - - 518 - - 504 - - 191 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2250 - - 8554 - - 12261 - - 12666 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99019 28 106 34 108 24 111 26 101 23 092 99019 91470 30 100 32 096 26 106 19 089 26 101 91470 85691 32 099 27 091 27 102 19 088 24 086 85691 80938 26 090 27 096 23 114 19 094 20 088 80938 76859 27 091 28 094 21 115 19 101 20 083 76859 73247 22 090 27 097 23 108 14 102 17 093 73247 69974 19 106 19 103 14 076 19 100 17 110 69974 66973 9 120 17 124 10 094 14 100 11 103 66973 64176 5 153 6 126 14 134 11 150 6 153 64176 61464 4 214 2 357 7 114 17 160 13 180 61464 58667 14 213 16 239 14 227 4 130 12 166 58667 55787 35 223 42 226 30 221 20 246 15 250 55787 53042 40 233 47 222 40 233 45 235 37 243 53042 50567 44 234 47 231 53 236 45 230 46 237 50567 48343 50 231 55 232 60 232 52 235 51 234 48343 46322 54 226 58 225 63 226 57 237 53 232 46322 44468 55 222 57 222 61 225 61 238 56 234 44468 42753 54 224 55 226 61 226 65 239 60 239 42753 41159 54 228 58 233 64 229 69 240 63 243 41159 39672 56 233 63 236 68 230 72 241 67 247 39672 38284 57 235 65 235 70 232 74 241 70 246 38284 36963 58 235 67 233 71 232 75 239 70 242 36963 35645 59 233 68 232 70 232 73 238 68 240 35645 34303 59 230 68 231 70 233 70 239 65 240 34303 32943 58 229 66 227 70 233 66 239 61 240 32943 31554 58 228 64 223 68 232 62 238 55 241 31554 30125 57 228 61 223 64 231 59 238 50 242 30125 28660 56 229 58 225 60 230 58 236 48 241 28660 27160 55 229 55 226 58 230 56 232 50 237 27160 25629 52 229 52 227 56 229 54 229 50 234 25629 24071 47 226 50 225 53 226 51 229 48 230 24071 22483 44 220 47 221 49 222 47 225 44 226 22483 20860 42 215 44 216 44 220 41*219 40 217 20860 19225 41 211 40 214 37*220 35*215 38 209 19225 17658 38 211 36 217 27*218 29 219 33 213 17658 16230 35 216 32*221 25 219 27 223 28 223 16230 14949 32 221 25*221 24 219 26 225 26 230 14949 13793 29 226 21 219 24 220 26 227 25 234 13793 12745 26 233 20 219 23 220 25 229 23 241 12745 11793 23 240 18 218 22 221 24 231 22 249 11793 10929 20 245 17 218 22 221 24 233 22 257 10929 10150 15 244 17 218 21 222 23 234 21 266 10150 9444 10*236 17 218 21 222 23 235 21 273 9444 8797 6*225 16 218 20 222 23 235 22 279 8797 8214 4 204 16 219 20 222 22 236 22 283 8214 7717 4 181 15 219 19 222 21 236 21 285 7717 7330 4 176 15 219 19 222 21 236 19 288 7330 7060 4 173 14 219 18 223 20 236 15 291 7060 6895 4 172 14 219 17 222 19 237 11*293 6895 6800 4 172 12 219 15 222 16 237 6*294 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography