DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 9.9 - - 25.0 - - 30.6 - - 27.2 - - 23.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 42 - - 22 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 666 - - 741 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6779 - - 6780 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6796 - - 7351 - - 7426 - - 6797 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 58 - - 529 - - 658 - - 572 - - 513 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 131 - - 113 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 12 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 241 - - 269 - - 240 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 163 - - 558 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6796 - - 7189 - - 6868 - - 6797 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential -10549 - - -7970 - - -4886 - - -4617 - - -7325 ODpotential blCL 17345 - - 15321 - - 12312 - - 11414 - - 14122 blCL maxRH 89 - - 77 - - 75 - - 77 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 9.9 - - 25.0 - - 30.6 - - 27.2 - - 23.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.3 - - 17.8 - - 24.5 - - 24.2 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 13.1 - - 24.7 - - 30.6 - - 29.2 - - 26.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.9 - - 16.9 - - 23.3 - - 23.9 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 42 - - 22 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 666 - - 741 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 8 - - 2 - - 7 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96354 11 049 2 009 6 009 3 343 5 213 96354 89197 13 044 5 044 3 338 6 350 6 006 89197 83668 10 034 2 048 3 322 5 353 6 009 83668 79070 9 025 6 020 5 064 4 345 8 342 79070 75109 10 016 2 290 5 334 7 339 8 346 75109 71627 13 010 3 338 4 300 13 316 14 338 71627 68483 11 340 12 324 11 341 17 310 16 314 68483 65597 11 311 17 308 19 308 19 320 21 310 65597 62939 14 301 17 301 23 307 28 317 20 308 62939 60371 19 306 21 333 27 323 25 319 22 291 60371 57673 24 334 27 332 31 329 22 312 25 301 57673 54843 30 336 32 322 36 310 32 304 37 303 54843 52122 34 314 33 306 35 294 40 298 48 307 52122 49666 30 315 31 299 32 296 45 304 48 305 49666 47453 28 329 41 314 43 312 48 307 43 306 47453 45422 48 342 48 314 51 315 46 310 49 315 45422 43543 62 332 46 316 49 319 50 318 59 317 43543 41804 57 322 48 326 51 331 55 320 64 312 41804 40194 48 318 50 330 56 335 55 320 58 304 40194 38696 45 331 50 331 57 333 52 323 45 302 38696 37293 48 333 51 330 52 331 48 329 39 317 37293 35954 45 327 49 330 49 336 43 340 52 353 35954 34628 39 319 45 330 47 340 56 003 86 001 34628 33295 31 306 42 331 46 344 105 010 107 000 33295 31955 31 292 40 331 50 352 137 007 115 360 31955 30587 35 290 38 323 62 001 134 005 118 360 30587 29182 43 272 34 313 74 005 113 006 108 358 29182 27748 42 270 30 318 73 004 90 005 95 354 27748 26285 34 281 33 327 54 356 81 360 88 355 26285 24794 30 297 38 326 36 335 75 355 71 354 24794 23280 30 310 34 330 38 316 66 352 53 346 23280 21738 30 322 30 332 39 314 55 352 44 332 21738 20160 32 327 31 326 36 316 44 344 39 324 20160 18573 34 324 33 326 33 321 38 328 35 321 18573 17054 32 321 35 329 32 326 37 321 34 319 17054 15675 28 322 35 330 32 329 37 322 35 319 15675 14443 26 325 33 329 31 332 35 325 36 320 14443 13338 25 327 31 326 30 335 33 330 37 323 13338 12342 24 327 28 323 28 338 29 336 35 326 12342 11441 24 326 25 321 25 339 26 342 32 331 11441 10629 22 324 21 320 21 337 22 346 27 335 10629 9898 20 321 19 316 19 329 18 346 21 338 9898 9239 18 318 17 308 18 316 14 337 14 334 9239 8637 16 313 16 298 19 303 14 318 9 312 8637 8096 13 312 14 289 19 291 17 299 9 292 8096 7637 6 322 10*278 16*282 19 287 8 290 7637 7282 3 073 6*244 13*270 17 278 5 273 7282 7034 5 097 5 241 12 269 11 261 3 183 7034 6884 5*081 5 240 11 267 7*251 3*144 6884 6797 4*059 5 238 9 267 4*240 3*133 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography