DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1705z - - 1707z - - 1715z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.5 - - 49.3 - - 50.2 - - 47.5 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 180 - - 604 - - 541 - - 172 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3701 - - 9020 - - 13343 - - 8069 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 8959 - - 13716 - - 17254 - - 12267 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 10386 - - 15705 - - 20028 - - 14754 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4545 - - 1789 - - 1636 - - 5675 - - 5277 Hgt.Variab. W* 372 - - 750 - - 824 - - 476 - - 3 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 27 - - 31 - - 26 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 237 - - 242 - - 261 - - 282 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 16 - - 19 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 18 - - -19 - - -11 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1782 - - 1217 - - 4820 - - 1182 - - -2497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12168 - - 14489 - - 15209 - - 13573 - - 9295 sfcLCL ODpotential -3446 - - -160 - - 3223 - - -17 - - -4944 ODpotential blCL 13832 - - 15865 - - 16805 - - 14771 - - 11742 blCL maxRH 65 - - 59 - - 88 - - 86 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 120 - - 80 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 44.5 - - 49.3 - - 50.2 - - 47.5 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.9 - - 9.0 - - 6.7 - - 11.5 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 46.8 - - 47.8 - - 46.5 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.7 - - 8.8 - - 6.4 - - 11.4 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 180 - - 604 - - 541 - - 172 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3701 - - 9020 - - 13343 - - 8069 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97486 15 322 6 296 7 277 12 291 20 324 97486 90193 7 005 4 079 5 033 8 024 10 039 90193 84577 8 046 8 058 7 032 10 064 11 059 84577 79930 11 048 6 082 7 065 8 058 9 048 79930 75941 10 065 5 053 0 272 11 033 12 077 75941 72384 6 061 4 097 6 218 6 321 11 050 72384 69154 7 031 7 030 6 160 12 281 11 327 69154 66201 9 027 8 078 5 119 6 210 7 242 66201 63460 25 254 13 293 4 241 11 209 12 202 63460 60764 43 216 32 218 26 222 22 212 22 223 60764 57912 33 189 34 223 28 231 34 236 35 244 57912 54935 33 259 32 241 38 243 41 239 41 239 54935 52081 55 260 43 250 47 248 37 247 37 250 52081 49509 62 252 56 251 52 255 41 259 42 259 49509 47205 64 248 65 247 61 255 49 260 49 264 47205 45121 65 242 69 239 67 249 52 260 52 272 45121 43222 67 239 66 234 66 245 53 268 56 273 43222 41475 67 241 58 235 58 245 56 269 53 268 41475 39850 71 243 54 239 54 247 57 266 44 267 39850 38326 74 241 55 240 54 248 55 266 40 281 38326 36905 76 240 58 239 52 245 54 265 43 290 36905 35556 82 236 62 237 47 242 53 266 49 293 35556 34219 85 233 65 233 44 244 50 270 55 293 34219 32867 88 232 64 229 44 247 45 272 59 289 32867 31506 93 231 65 231 45 246 42 268 57 287 31506 30123 98 229 73 233 47 246 36 271 54 286 30123 28724 98 228 77 230 49 248 37 291 47 302 28724 27326 94 227 77 226 51 251 38 293 43 304 27326 25916 87 229 75 225 53 245 37 290 39 328 25916 24480 79 229 71 229 53 240 39 285 43 333 24480 23018 74 225 67 231 46 245 42 284 44 321 23018 21523 69 220 64 230 41*248 41 280 44 308 21523 19990 64 216 61 231 37*250 34 276 43 302 19990 18448 60 213 56 234 34 253 31 276 39 304 18448 16974 52 214 46*236 34 255 30 278 33 311 16974 15631 42 222 35*236 33 256 30*279 30 315 15631 14429 30 231 28 238 33 257 29*280 30 315 14429 13346 18 229 27 239 31 261 28 281 30 314 13346 12365 14 222 27 240 31 264 28 281 29 311 12365 11475 15 229 27 241 30 266 27 282 27 305 11475 10668 16*237 27 243 30 267 26 282 25 300 10668 9938 19*242 27 244 29 269 26 283 24 297 9938 9278 21 242 27 244 29 270 25 283 23 295 9278 8672 21 238 27 245 29 271 24 283 23 294 8672 8125 21 236 27 246 28 271 24 283 22 292 8125 7659 20 234 26 246 28 272 23 283 20 290 7659 7296 19 233 26 246 27 272 22 283 17 287 7296 7042 17 232 25 246 26 273 21 283 14 283 7042 6887 16 232 23 246 24 273 20 283 11*280 6887 6798 14 232 20 246 20 273 16 283 6*277 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography