DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 57.1 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 45 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 669 - - 1137 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 6783 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7354 - - 7822 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1553 - - 1700 - - - - - 1624 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 168 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 159 - - - - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 555 - - 1023 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6799 - - 6799 - - - - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 238 - - 314 - - - - - -946 ODpotential blCL - - - 7116 - - 7508 - - - - - 7745 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 820 - - - - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 57.1 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 55.0 - - - - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 56.8 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 54.1 - - - - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 45 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 669 - - 1137 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97330 5 012 11 213 12 276 97330 90117 1 172 3 242 4 359 90117 84571 4 132 3 068 6 030 84571 79958 4 089 7 047 4 039 79958 75982 4 120 3 018 8 054 75982 72473 4 209 1 075 10 045 72473 69294 2 157 2 064 4 028 69294 66365 4 185 2 265 5 360 66365 63655 7 154 11 166 8 217 63655 61037 5 233 5 173 12 186 61037 58318 21 229 14 238 12 191 58318 55507 29 213 24 219 19 219 55507 52817 24 204 28 214 26 206 52817 50376 28 221 34 220 26 219 50376 48177 36 224 41 226 40 226 48177 46186 44 225 46 228 47 224 46186 44359 50 224 51 226 48 224 44359 42666 52 220 56 220 58 223 42666 41094 52 217 58 216 64 218 41094 39629 54 221 62 218 66 213 39629 38261 64 225 63 221 65 209 38261 36957 63 223 58 222 62 204 36957 35651 57 218 51 223 63 204 35651 34315 53 217 49 222 61 204 34315 32952 50 218 48 220 56 204 32952 31551 49 217 47 219 54 205 31551 30106 45 215 46 215 51 207 30106 28620 45 215 46 208 49 206 28620 27098 49 220 48 209 48 205 27098 25545 49 222 48 212 48 207 25545 23965 43 219 48 217 47 210 23965 22354 36 212 46 218 46 213 22354 20707 32 206 40 215 44 214 20707 19055 33 208 36 213 41 215 19055 17479 31 206 35 212 38 217 17479 16051 32 202 33 211 35 217 16051 14777 33 202 31 211 32 213 14777 13633 32 204 32 211 30 208 13633 12601 31 204 33 209 26 207 12601 11667 30 199 32 204 27 208 11667 10821 28 189 30 197 30 205 10821 10057 24 177 27 188 33 198 10057 9368 20 168 23 180 33 188 9368 8737 18 167 19 174 31 179 8737 8169 18 170 19*174 26 170 8169 7687 15*159 15*168 21 159 7687 7312 13*151 12 159 16 147 7312 7051 12 148 10 155 11 131 7051 6891 11 146 9 153 9*124 6891 6799 9 146 8 152 6*120 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography