DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.5 - - 48.0 - - 54.6 - - 47.2 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 124 - - 119 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1105 - - 1702 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6782 - - 7346 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7790 - - 8387 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 141 - - 440 - - 719 - - 1371 - - 356 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 225 - - 255 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 36 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 090 - - 247 - - 274 - - 234 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -383 - - -1093 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8174 - - 9480 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -9910 - - -8289 - - -7405 - - -6159 - - -7572 ODpotential blCL 16708 - - 16079 - - 15792 - - 12958 - - 14371 blCL maxRH 68 - - 69 - - 60 - - 71 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.5 - - 48.0 - - 54.6 - - 47.2 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 36.0 - - 36.8 - - 41.7 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 47.2 - - 53.8 - - 49.4 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.0 - - 34.9 - - 35.7 - - 41.2 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 124 - - 119 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1105 - - 1702 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96389 54 276 62 274 52 272 54 281 52 279 96389 89313 29 285 38 277 39 279 40 284 35 295 89313 83867 24 284 22 288 27 287 25 286 25 296 83867 79321 24 273 19 296 17 287 17 287 21 290 79321 75386 19 293 24 290 23 291 26 299 32 306 75386 71907 21 313 24 284 26 286 30 288 31 298 71907 68758 23 306 20 276 20 292 22 282 22 289 68758 65857 30 296 23 283 22 293 23 287 22 284 65857 63158 32 285 29 283 24 278 26 283 27 282 63158 60543 26 274 30 271 26 264 28 272 30 277 60543 57822 27 274 31 263 30 263 29 264 32 272 57822 55008 34 261 36 262 34 264 31 264 35 270 55008 52322 37 259 37 261 36 268 30 268 33 269 52322 49903 34 264 33 260 36 269 30 276 28 274 49903 47736 28 277 26 269 32 269 28 283 26 282 47736 45775 25 277 22 279 23 271 27 285 24 289 45775 43981 13 292 13 281 14 277 22 283 26 291 43981 42326 12 335 9 346 5 353 6 263 20 274 42326 40786 15 343 12 346 10 339 7 027 7 249 40786 39348 11 348 15 335 12 338 10 008 4 017 39348 38003 6 026 13 314 11 340 10 358 8 010 38003 36719 11 061 7 308 12 339 11 354 9 356 36719 35431 14 050 6 345 11 340 10 355 9 346 35431 34116 17 039 10 354 10 341 9 001 9 342 34116 32777 17 039 12 356 9 340 9 351 10 340 32777 31403 15 045 12 355 12 339 10 347 11 340 31403 29985 13 031 13 355 15 344 11 358 9 346 29985 28529 15 008 15 358 15 355 10 013 6 359 28529 27037 19 010 14 005 13 005 8 029 3 010 27037 25512 18 010 13 013 9 009 6 054 2 023 25512 23957 12 012 12 021 7 021 5 078 0 003 23957 22366 7 031 9 033 5 040 3 076 2 322 22366 20733 6 030 6 054 2 055 3 011 5 328 20733 19086 7 019 6 082 1 080 3 359 4 341 19086 17506 8 015 6 081 2 096 2 050 2 053 17506 16071 9 020 8 078 4 094 2 100 4 111 16071 14789 9 025 8 076 5 092 4 106 6 116 14789 13637 8 022 9 077 6 092 5 104 8 112 13637 12598 8 013 8 080 7 092 5 099 9 108 12598 11657 8 005 8 086 7 093 5 093 8 107 11657 10807 8 355 6 091 6 090 4 081 6 108 10807 10041 8 346 3 092 3 070 4 054 5 105 10041 9352 7 338 1 052 3 353 6 357 3 078 9352 8722 6 328 2 332 4*319 7 333 3 026 8722 8157 5 313 2*325 4*285 5 310 3 352 8157 7677 3 289 1*265 4 277 5 268 3 300 7677 7306 1 224 1 253 4 272 6 246 4 260 7306 7047 3 117 1 239 4 268 6 239 4 242 7047 6889 4*098 1 234 4 267 5*236 3*220 6889 6799 3*090 1 236 4 266 4*234 1*184 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography