DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.0 - - 43.0 - - 48.3 - - 41.2 - - 36.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 127 - - 158 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1155 - - 2686 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6930 - - 8165 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7840 - - 9371 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 100 - - 1126 - - 1402 - - 2035 - - 413 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 228 - - 322 - - 7 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 076 - - 108 - - 262 - - 229 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -5 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -979 - - -1271 - - -1798 - - -1037 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8819 - - 10642 - - 8596 - - 7836 sfcLCL ODpotential -8072 - - -5917 - - -5414 - - -6982 - - -6723 ODpotential blCL 14870 - - 13757 - - 14785 - - 13780 - - 13521 blCL maxRH 86 - - 75 - - 60 - - 48 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.0 - - 43.0 - - 48.3 - - 41.2 - - 36.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.4 - - 28.1 - - 25.4 - - 27.3 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.3 - - 42.2 - - 47.2 - - 44.0 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 27.1 - - 24.9 - - 27.0 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 127 - - 158 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1155 - - 2686 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96266 12 086 22 083 34 100 24 124 13 103 96266 89139 20 103 9 092 17 087 20 086 21 082 89139 83617 16 068 7 134 7 029 13 072 16 058 83617 79013 9 011 6 097 5 327 8 033 12 041 79013 75030 11 007 3 276 8 304 15 018 10 018 75030 71509 10 341 2 259 12 283 16 348 13 338 71509 68319 14 321 12 331 13 306 17 331 12 345 68319 65374 15 296 18 307 18 306 19 298 21 309 65374 62647 20 296 19 287 18 311 18 311 22 307 62647 60017 29 300 26 291 24 306 22 317 24 290 60017 57263 39 289 39 289 30 301 29 292 30 288 57263 54382 56 282 50 288 44 293 45 288 46 295 54382 51612 64 276 56 283 61 282 60 282 61 288 51612 49109 65 280 61 281 65 277 62 277 62 282 49109 46868 67 282 62 284 63 280 62 280 64 281 46868 44849 67 280 62 286 67 286 70 281 66 283 44849 43029 66 278 65 285 69 286 75 285 76 289 43029 41386 66 275 65 281 67 284 79 285 82 287 41386 39871 58 275 57 281 61 279 69 283 74 284 39871 38453 46 273 49 283 54 293 58 298 61 285 38453 37119 42 271 45 285 58 305 61 307 58 297 37119 35841 36 268 45 289 56 295 65 312 62 312 35841 34565 36 274 45 289 63 289 66 311 73 318 34565 33265 35 278 43 290 68 288 64 305 80 319 33265 31946 35 278 42 295 67 286 64 298 81 318 31946 30594 36 280 42 298 63 288 64 296 80 313 30594 29204 36 280 34 294 54 290 60 294 75 304 29204 27779 36 276 38 285 49 287 56 290 73 293 27779 26320 37 273 43 279 48 283 54 288 71 288 26320 24833 38 272 42 275 47 282 52 286 70 292 24833 23325 38 272 41 271 45 280 50 286 67 295 23325 21792 37 273 39 271 41 280 48 287 62 292 21792 20224 35 273 36 273 37 283 46 287 58 286 20224 18649 31 274 33 278 35 288 44 287 55 284 18649 17141 28 274 29 281 33 290 42 287 51 285 17141 15771 26 274 26 283 30 291 41 287 47 290 15771 14544 23 275 24 284 29 293 39 288 44 294 14544 13439 21 274 23 285 27 292 37 289 41 293 13439 12438 19 272 21 286 26 289 34 290 39 290 12438 11532 14 270 19 287 23 288 31 289 38 287 11532 10710 10 267 16 286 19 289 28 286 36 283 10710 9969 7 264 12 285 14*288 24 284 32 278 9969 9299 5 255 8 284 8*277 20 283 27 274 9299 8686 2 232 5 277 7 265 15 279 20 273 8686 8133 3 111 1*265 7 262 12 269 13 276 8133 7664 6 101 3*105 6 259 10 256 10 279 7664 7298 7 108 3 108 6 257 9 246 8 272 7298 7043 9 094 3 108 6 256 9 239 7 262 7043 6887 7*081 3 109 6 255 7*233 4*254 6887 6798 5*076 3 107 6 254 5*229 1*243 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography