DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1603z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.0 - - 73.5 - - 75.7 - - 73.2 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 60 - - 401 - - 394 - - 50 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 400 - - 9538 - - 10789 - - 7896 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 13946 - - 14960 - - 10920 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7085 - - 16223 - - 17474 - - 14581 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 659 - - 1683 - - 1844 - - 4702 - - 3865 Hgt.Variab. W* 123 - - 666 - - 690 - - 313 - - 15 W* B/S 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 21 - - 24 - - 20 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 275 - - 280 - - 287 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 19 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 8 - - -13 - - -12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4745 - - 1906 - - 2599 - - 107 - - -5461 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11831 - - 14318 - - 14876 - - 14475 - - 12261 sfcLCL ODpotential -8618 - - 587 - - 1462 - - -1607 - - -9037 ODpotential blCL 15703 - - 15636 - - 16012 - - 16188 - - 15837 blCL maxRH 76 - - 71 - - 81 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 90 - - 50 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 60.0 - - 73.5 - - 75.7 - - 73.2 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.0 - - 34.0 - - 33.6 - - 33.1 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 71.4 - - 73.4 - - 72.9 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.0 - - 33.8 - - 33.4 - - 33.0 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 60 - - 401 - - 394 - - 50 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 400 - - 9538 - - 10789 - - 7896 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 0 - - 23 - - 44 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98279 5 220 2 094 11 162 6 235 3 218 98279 90843 5 251 6 228 4 177 9 215 7 249 90843 85100 5 270 6 200 11 235 7 224 4 267 85100 80348 7 308 3 152 10 212 11 237 5 299 80348 76272 3 308 3 282 3 176 9 219 4 296 76272 72688 3 328 5 284 6 296 3 235 4 285 72688 69459 8 305 9 284 10 269 2 282 3 286 69459 66500 7 278 9 287 13 273 10 303 8 292 66500 63776 10 262 15 263 20 262 18 284 14 277 63776 61154 8 257 16 235 18 255 20 278 18 287 61154 58418 20 294 19 261 25 257 27 266 27 281 58418 55576 31 284 31 268 31 259 32 261 33 270 55576 52858 38 276 38 268 37 263 39 261 38 266 52858 50407 46 272 44 266 46 266 47 262 48 263 50407 48210 54 272 51 267 56 269 55 264 54 260 48210 46213 64 273 61 269 67 270 61 266 60 265 46213 44375 75 272 69 269 76 268 71 266 70 264 44375 42672 82 270 75 269 81 266 78 265 74 261 42672 41087 84 269 76 270 81 266 77 264 72 261 41087 39607 80 267 76 270 77 267 71 264 66 263 39607 38226 74 266 74 270 72 269 66 266 62 266 38226 36912 69 267 71 271 68 270 63 267 59 266 36912 35603 64 269 68 271 64 269 60 265 54 264 35603 34270 60 268 65 271 62 270 57 264 51 264 34270 32917 58 266 61 270 59 271 55 264 50 265 32917 31528 58 265 58 269 57 273 53 266 49 268 31528 30095 57 266 57 269 56 273 52 269 48 271 30095 28622 56 265 56 269 54 273 50 272 47 274 28622 27113 54 265 54 270 51 273 49 275 45 274 27113 25574 50 266 50 271 48 275 47 278 44 275 25574 24010 46 268 45 271 45 277 42 279 41 276 24010 22418 40 273 39 270 41 278 38 283 37 275 22418 20793 34 276 33 270 33 280 36 280 35 271 20793 19159 30 276 29 270 32 277 31 275 34 275 19159 17596 28 260 30*271 31*276 29 275 30 278 17596 16176 25 249 31*272 31*276 28 275 28 280 16176 14901 21 258 31 273 30 277 28*276 27 278 14901 13752 19 277 28 275 25 281 25*279 26 278 13752 12709 19 290 23 278 24 281 22 284 25 281 12709 11762 19 301 21 280 23 282 21 286 25 286 11762 10904 19 308 19 279 23 282 20 287 23 290 10904 10129 19 311 18 277 22 282 20 289 22 293 10129 9428 16 308 17 274 22 282 19 289 20 294 9428 8785 12 302 16 272 21 282 19 290 19 296 8785 8205 7 293 15 270 21 281 18 290 18 296 8205 7711 3 296 15 268 20 281 18 290 16 297 7711 7326 2*054 14 267 20 281 17 290 13 297 7326 7058 3*085 14 267 19 281 17 290 9 296 7058 6894 3 090 13 266 18 281 15 290 5*295 6894 6800 3 090 12 266 16 281 13 290 3*296 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography