DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 68.6 - - 75.2 - - 75.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 307 - - 332 - - 28 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2989 - - 6243 - - 2890 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8633 - - 11200 - - 6783 - - - Hcrit BL Top 6799 - - 9674 - - 12928 - - 9575 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 151 - - 2203 - - 2297 - - 5831 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 414 - - 544 - - 190 - - - W* B/S 2 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction 245 - - 291 - - 294 - - 259 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 16 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -11 - - 14 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6732 - - -8508 - - -6571 - - -10286 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13532 - - 18183 - - 19500 - - 19862 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -16510 - - -15298 - - -12118 - - -15355 - - - ODpotential blCL 23309 - - 24972 - - 25046 - - 24930 - - - blCL maxRH 55 - - 40 - - 44 - - 43 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 68.6 - - 75.2 - - 75.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.3 - - 12.6 - - 12.9 - - 11.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 66.6 - - 73.2 - - 75.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 11.8 - - 11.8 - - 10.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 307 - - 332 - - 28 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2989 - - 6243 - - 2890 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96700 19 285 18 268 17 259 24 287 96700 89514 12 263 10 279 2 234 7 265 89514 84035 9 139 7 257 6 289 6 358 84035 79491 9 089 7 111 5 172 6 283 79491 75559 10 034 9 115 5 164 6 231 75559 72077 9 009 11 144 2 182 4 244 72077 68910 8 020 6 106 3 163 5 212 68910 65998 2 356 6 177 14 270 6 282 65998 63308 5 102 3 321 4 284 6 345 63308 60712 24 336 26 320 20 324 25 329 60712 58054 29 339 27 329 21 319 29 338 58054 55309 23 336 21 342 21 331 28 335 55309 52673 23 342 20 345 22 324 29 326 52673 50290 36 347 28 339 29 325 35 318 50290 48157 44 343 36 335 35 323 37 320 48157 46227 42 343 38 337 34 327 37 327 46227 44465 39 347 36 340 31 336 36 335 44465 42831 40 348 36 335 35 339 39 345 42831 41297 39 344 36 332 41 344 47 348 41297 39849 36 340 38 333 50 348 50 344 39849 38488 35 339 42 337 55 348 51 342 38488 37186 37 338 49 343 58 349 52 341 37186 35881 43 338 57 345 57 349 53 341 35881 34546 47 340 59 345 56 348 53 340 34546 33187 49 342 59 346 55 347 53 339 33187 31792 48 343 58 347 53 348 53 339 31792 30352 46 345 56 348 51 349 54 340 30352 28873 45 350 55 350 50 349 53 342 28873 27357 44 355 52 352 49 349 49 344 27357 25808 42 357 47 354 47 350 45 346 25808 24231 39 355 42 354 41 352 41 345 24231 22621 36 350 38 353 36 351 39 342 22621 20972 34 345 36 351 35 347 37 340 20972 19310 34 343 35 350 38 344 37 342 19310 17717 33 342 33 350 39 345 35 347 17717 16269 32 344 30 353 34 350 29 355 16269 14974 31 348 27 356 24 355 19 356 14974 13809 30 353 24 001 17*352 14 349 13809 12756 31 359 20 006 13*342 13 344 12756 11800 31 006 16 008 11 336 11 330 11800 10933 30 012 11 004 9 320 10 314 10933 10151 28 019 7*347 8 296 10*297 10151 9444 25 027 6*322 8 273 10*280 9444 8797 19 033 6 309 8 264 11 265 8797 8213 13 040 6 286 9 259 11 258 8213 7717 6 040 6 282 9 255 11 254 7717 7330 2 350 6 279 9 253 11 252 7330 7060 4 269 6 277 9 251 11 250 7060 6895 5*250 6 275 9 250 10 249 6895 6800 3*245 6 275 8 250 9 247 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography