DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.4 - - 48.5 - - 54.4 - - 46.5 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 137 - - 134 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1092 - - 2120 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6955 - - 7697 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7777 - - 8805 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 193 - - 512 - - 1082 - - 1084 - - 328 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 231 - - 284 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 244 - - 258 - - 199 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -273 - - -417 - - -122 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8051 - - 9222 - - 6922 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -9661 - - -6586 - - -5491 - - -5987 - - -6492 ODpotential blCL 16459 - - 14363 - - 14296 - - 12786 - - 13291 blCL maxRH 80 - - 84 - - 81 - - 70 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.4 - - 48.5 - - 54.4 - - 46.5 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.9 - - 37.0 - - 37.6 - - 39.7 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.9 - - 47.5 - - 53.4 - - 48.6 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 35.8 - - 36.7 - - 39.3 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 137 - - 134 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1092 - - 2120 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 38 - - 22 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96462 55 276 49 276 57 272 57 280 45 285 96462 89343 34 292 29 285 30 278 33 276 30 288 89343 83845 20 296 21 280 17 275 20 280 20 299 83845 79272 12 316 14 263 12 271 16 310 15 314 79272 75342 16 308 18 296 17 276 21 309 14 313 75342 71878 20 301 27 295 23 282 22 318 14 339 71878 68741 22 306 26 289 29 291 29 308 26 332 68741 65854 26 303 27 288 27 293 26 290 28 315 65854 63173 31 292 28 290 22 311 19 293 24 311 63173 60572 33 291 28 295 31 316 28 312 29 316 60572 57863 36 290 32 293 36 309 31 308 31 305 57863 55056 36 282 34 288 36 298 31 298 28 308 55056 52365 36 282 30 290 32 288 30 298 31 320 52365 49924 36 289 32 299 35 291 37 303 37 315 49924 47718 38 285 41 290 40 291 41 306 39 311 47718 45712 41 277 43 278 44 291 45 303 36 304 45712 43883 40 273 46 273 46 283 45 296 36 302 43883 42209 32 276 44 272 46 276 47 287 39 302 42209 40661 30 288 39 275 47 273 47 279 41 292 40661 39220 25 287 34 274 45 275 49 277 46 279 39220 37879 24 281 32 275 45 276 46 273 50 271 37879 36601 24 276 31 277 42 275 42 269 50 267 36601 35319 23 271 29 275 40 273 40 269 46 267 35319 34007 21 277 30 274 39 274 39 273 43 271 34007 32670 20 282 30 274 37 277 36 276 36 275 32670 31301 21 285 28 271 32 279 33 276 30 274 31301 29889 20 283 26 275 29 277 30 275 25 276 29889 28438 19 281 22 281 27 276 28 277 22 283 28438 26951 19 284 20 281 26 278 28 278 20 291 26951 25432 19 283 19 282 26 281 28 277 20 293 25432 23884 18 281 19 283 26 282 28 274 23 289 23884 22301 15 284 19 283 23 281 26 274 24 286 22301 20675 14 293 17 284 20 279 24 284 21 298 20675 19037 14 300 12 286 17 282 20 298 15 319 19037 17470 15 302 9 290 15 306 16 328 14 343 17470 16046 14 304 10 308 14 327 18 357 15 351 16046 14771 13 308 13 322 13 346 21 012 14 005 14771 13625 12 316 14 329 12 005 21 018 13 021 13625 12589 11 322 14 332 11 020 19 024 14 036 12589 11652 10 323 13 333 11 024 16 028 14 047 11652 10805 9 318 12 331 10 017 14 028 13 055 10805 10042 9 309 11 327 8 354 10 018 10 062 10042 9353 9 303 11 319 8*314 8 343 7 065 9353 8723 9 298 10 308 8*287 9 310 4 050 8723 8156 9 296 9*294 7 261 9 286 4 025 8156 7676 8 289 6*251 7 254 9 255 5 022 7676 7304 6 278 6 244 7 249 8 235 3 002 7304 7046 4 274 6 241 7 246 8 221 2 195 7046 6889 3*294 5 240 7 245 7*208 3*137 6889 6799 2*332 5 239 6 245 4*199 3*113 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography