DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.8 - - 50.6 - - 55.3 - - 48.7 - - 41.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 92 - - 108 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1315 - - 2150 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 6782 - - 7624 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8000 - - 8835 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 116 - - 1308 - - 1373 - - 2018 - - 327 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 219 - - 269 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 28 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 079 - - 021 - - 280 - - 232 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -8 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -916 - - -1843 - - -2028 - - -677 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7714 - - 9843 - - 10863 - - 7476 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -9978 - - -8923 - - -8000 - - -6501 - - -6997 ODpotential blCL 16776 - - 16923 - - 16835 - - 13300 - - 13796 blCL maxRH 47 - - 47 - - 46 - - 58 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.8 - - 50.6 - - 55.3 - - 48.7 - - 41.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.2 - - 31.4 - - 31.5 - - 39.6 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.6 - - 49.9 - - 54.4 - - 51.4 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 30.1 - - 30.5 - - 38.9 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 92 - - 108 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1315 - - 2150 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96429 48 279 57 272 64 270 69 274 74 280 96429 89311 31 288 38 282 35 273 41 279 38 274 89311 83842 22 289 22 279 28 283 23 281 19 281 83842 79272 20 285 18 279 25 276 27 279 22 311 79272 75325 19 279 13 270 23 276 27 274 25 307 75325 71852 18 291 11 278 17 269 20 259 24 280 71852 68721 22 297 15 297 15 282 14 273 21 268 68721 65842 19 286 19 279 15 285 17 297 17 287 65842 63174 17 289 18 268 17 271 23 289 22 301 63174 60597 19 292 19 290 17 263 27 274 26 280 60597 57909 22 293 25 294 20 284 24 276 28 255 57909 55103 26 281 34 285 28 288 26 270 28 260 55103 52419 25 268 37 268 35 270 30 260 35 266 52419 50001 23 280 35 265 38 262 31 267 37 267 50001 47820 32 298 36 283 39 280 36 280 37 276 47820 45831 40 303 38 296 39 294 37 292 32 279 45831 44014 42 311 34 307 40 304 36 302 23 292 44014 42349 35 316 28 320 30 312 32 317 22 306 42349 40806 25 326 23 339 22 332 25 325 20 301 40806 39366 19 012 20 015 16 347 23 329 15 307 39366 38019 37 026 25 029 17 003 21 329 16 330 38019 36732 47 026 31 026 21 009 19 342 15 335 36732 35444 45 027 34 020 26 010 22 358 13 354 35444 34128 42 033 33 019 31 009 25 004 16 006 34128 32787 37 039 29 024 30 012 26 009 20 008 32787 31413 33 042 28 033 25 019 23 014 22 009 31413 29995 31 044 27 036 23 026 19 021 21 013 29995 28536 28 039 26 034 22 031 18 027 18 023 28536 27039 28 032 27 035 22 033 18 028 18 029 27039 25508 29 032 28 037 24 036 19 035 20 028 25508 23946 29 033 29 039 25 043 20 052 20 027 23946 22352 26 034 28 042 25 053 20 067 20 034 22352 20717 20 029 26 050 22 063 16 072 17 045 20717 19069 16 020 20 054 17 067 11 062 16 047 19069 17492 12 021 13 041 13 055 10 056 14 047 17492 16058 10 026 10 033 10 044 8 063 13 051 16058 14777 9 028 7 030 7 040 6 069 10 056 14777 13627 7 028 5 015 6 026 4 067 8 065 13627 12588 5 042 3 359 6 008 5 051 7 069 12588 11648 4 084 1 009 7 356 6 039 6 070 11648 10799 5 120 0 057 7 348 7 027 5 066 10799 10037 6 137 1 238 7 334 8 002 3 047 10037 9349 7 144 1 224 6*315 8 330 3 330 9349 8722 6 139 1 217 6*292 9 306 5 299 8722 8157 6 126 0*355 6 283 8 285 7 293 8157 7678 6 110 1*022 6 278 8 265 7 283 7678 7306 6 103 1 020 5 274 7 250 8 262 7306 7047 7 096 1 020 5 274 7 242 7 239 7047 6889 6*084 1 024 5 273 6*235 5*215 6889 6799 4*079 1 022 5 272 4*232 3*202 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography