DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 59.7 - - 58.7 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 403 - - 72 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5284 - - 6335 - - 4367 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10478 - - 11356 - - 8850 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11969 - - 13020 - - 11052 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1431 - - 1873 - - 2750 - - 637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 531 - - 583 - - 292 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 21 - - 17 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 342 - - 340 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - -6 - - -23 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2147 - - -2057 - - -4160 - - -5540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14117 - - 15077 - - 15213 - - 12339 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7853 - - -6038 - - -8675 - - -14038 ODpotential blCL - - - 19822 - - 19058 - - 19727 - - 20837 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 77 - - 70 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 59.7 - - 58.7 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.9 - - 17.0 - - 15.6 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 57.6 - - 58.2 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.4 - - 16.3 - - 15.0 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 403 - - 72 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5284 - - 6335 - - 4367 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96628 18 247 22 257 27 274 31 285 96628 89473 5 256 4 257 7 238 17 281 89473 83956 8 355 3 045 1 289 9 306 83956 79386 10 019 8 044 5 022 9 034 79386 75452 11 079 11 023 10 020 15 018 75452 71972 17 081 13 039 15 019 15 014 71972 68802 18 073 10 040 12 089 10 068 68802 65880 12 078 15 015 24 349 26 344 65880 63210 17 029 25 360 30 337 15 332 63210 60612 15 003 18 349 15 000 15 030 60612 57832 20 024 10 054 19 022 34 007 57832 54919 55 001 42 010 46 007 53 360 54919 52153 75 351 77 358 72 359 65 000 52153 49684 83 350 91 352 89 353 82 359 49684 47491 85 348 93 348 97 348 97 354 47491 45526 86 351 100 351 98 352 96 353 45526 43748 106 002 118 357 107 003 92 005 43748 42119 135 006 129 001 120 009 106 018 42119 40601 137 003 131 007 127 011 115 018 40601 39171 130 359 139 010 129 010 114 012 39171 37824 125 354 141 009 129 008 110 006 37824 36533 117 347 139 005 128 008 104 004 36533 35239 115 345 136 003 128 009 96 006 35239 33913 116 346 134 003 125 011 90 009 33913 32564 117 349 131 004 118 012 87 010 32564 31182 118 353 127 006 107 015 77 008 31182 29761 116 357 114 006 94 016 70 003 29761 28304 103 358 86 359 76 011 69 360 28304 26813 86 349 70 350 62 358 69 000 26813 25291 80 335 69 348 61 348 66 003 25291 23739 82 331 63 350 62 347 62 005 23739 22152 82 333 58 354 58 350 57 002 22152 20527 77 337 55 357 54 356 53 358 20527 18894 71 342 52 358 49 004 50 358 18894 17338 63 347 49 358 45 009 44 003 17338 15929 55 351 43 358 41 012 39 008 15929 14672 48 355 36 356 36 013 34 014 14672 13543 40 356 28*353 30 012 29 019 13543 12525 30*353 23*348 25 010 24 024 12525 11602 24*346 22 345 21*003 21 026 11602 10767 23 344 22 344 19*354 19 026 10767 10014 21 341 21 342 18 349 18 021 10014 9334 19 335 21 341 18 343 18 012 9334 8712 18 329 21 340 18 339 18 358 8712 8152 17 325 20 339 17 335 18 342 8152 7675 16 323 20 338 17 334 18 325 7675 7304 16 321 19 337 17 332 20 307 7304 7047 15 320 18 337 16 331 20 301 7047 6889 14 319 17 337 15 331 18*300 6889 6799 13 318 15 336 13 329 11*299 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography