DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 56.3 - - - - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 175 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 2394 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7632 - - 8012 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8520 - - 9079 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 806 - - 1332 - - - - - 341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 324 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 76 - - 93 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 135 - - - - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -566 - - -1933 - - - - - -1445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9087 - - 11013 - - - - - 8245 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8430 - - -7997 - - - - - -9660 ODpotential blCL - - - 16950 - - 17076 - - - - - 16459 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 47 - - - - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 56.3 - - - - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 32.1 - - - - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 55.1 - - - - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 31.1 - - - - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 175 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 2394 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97617 16 274 24 262 19 300 97617 90328 10 256 19 245 15 276 90328 84736 7 286 11 223 15 266 84736 80108 7 283 4 247 8 261 80108 76121 2 230 5 288 3 323 76121 72597 4 090 3 201 8 344 72597 69417 5 358 3 064 5 299 69417 66499 6 320 8 344 2 274 66499 63795 6 287 11 315 7 350 63795 61180 8 250 11 299 12 333 61180 58463 5 283 6 283 12 304 58463 55650 9 317 5 278 15 289 55650 52959 13 307 8 281 16 278 52959 50530 16 285 11 288 13 269 50530 48345 19 270 16 278 12 266 48345 46356 24 268 19 274 13 260 46356 44529 22 262 20 266 12 264 44529 42838 14 259 16 252 11 264 42838 41262 7 244 8 237 9 258 41262 39787 2 101 4 173 1 198 39787 38409 5 074 6 123 7 113 38409 37093 8 084 8 105 12 110 37093 35777 19 103 10 107 16 109 35777 34436 29 105 15 113 18 088 34436 33081 34 093 20 113 16 083 33081 31696 32 086 25 095 18 093 31696 30265 31 084 27 078 19 092 30265 28792 30 085 25 070 20 089 28792 27278 29 087 22 068 19 085 27278 25727 26 090 20 071 17 083 25727 24144 22 080 20 069 16 081 24144 22524 19 079 20 067 15 073 22524 20862 19 082 18 073 15 073 20862 19187 21 080 17 080 13 093 19187 17586 22 079 16 083 12 109 17586 16130 21 078 17 085 11 113 16130 14832 19 079 17 089 12 112 14832 13668 20 083 18 092 13 111 13668 12620 20 088 18 094 14 119 12620 11675 18 095 17 095 13 131 11675 10823 14 102 13 100 11 141 10823 10056 10 102 8 107 10 145 10056 9365 4 092 4*109 8 146 9365 8734 2*093 1*102 5 137 8734 8165 1*095 1 116 3 091 8165 7684 1 107 1 132 4 031 7684 7310 1 130 1 170 4 015 7310 7049 1 146 1 176 3 009 7049 6890 1 154 1 185 2*007 6890 6799 1 152 1 187 2*019 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography