DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.2 - - 72.8 - - 77.6 - - 75.1 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 146 - - 502 - - 508 - - 172 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 866 - - 7987 - - 12423 - - 9844 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 12788 - - 16455 - - 13661 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7551 - - 14672 - - 19108 - - 16529 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1273 - - 3736 - - 1281 - - 2894 - - 3640 Hgt.Variab. W* 214 - - 678 - - 789 - - 510 - - 0 W* B/S 12 - - 14 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 104 - - 272 - - 290 - - 287 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - 13 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9061 - - -3015 - - 405 - - -1973 - - -8956 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16613 - - 17687 - - 18704 - - 18502 - - 15757 sfcLCL ODpotential -13941 - - -5630 - - -1826 - - -4615 - - -12933 ODpotential blCL 21492 - - 20302 - - 20934 - - 21144 - - 19733 blCL maxRH 44 - - 46 - - 61 - - 39 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.2 - - 72.8 - - 77.6 - - 75.1 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.4 - - 18.2 - - 18.0 - - 16.9 - - 19.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 69.9 - - 74.8 - - 73.9 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.1 - - 17.6 - - 17.3 - - 16.2 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 146 - - 502 - - 508 - - 172 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 866 - - 7987 - - 12423 - - 9844 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98243 1 333 9 174 13 255 9 316 11 322 98243 90816 4 309 7 236 9 245 9 275 9 296 90816 85070 3 199 9 267 4 248 7 276 5 243 85070 80280 3 166 9 226 6 232 7 241 5 261 80280 76168 2 210 7 176 9 226 7 232 8 277 76168 72552 4 174 8 174 10 237 6 238 4 280 72552 69286 2 140 9 197 12 229 12 251 7 275 69286 66289 9 297 7 264 10 229 17 247 17 253 66289 63529 20 271 18 278 18 262 23 266 22 253 63529 60871 25 262 27 275 25 268 28 272 24 265 60871 58090 28 266 31 275 29 271 31 269 29 267 58090 55199 29 270 28 267 29 265 33 260 36 270 55199 52447 25 269 22 259 26 265 33 263 36 272 52447 49991 19 275 17 266 23 270 31 265 37 273 49991 47793 14 292 18 277 23 277 29 269 40 265 47793 45780 11 295 19 283 23 278 30 274 42 275 45780 43931 13 281 17 295 24 292 37 286 46 278 43931 42237 16 279 24 309 28 299 39 288 44 279 42237 40682 12 269 20 298 25 297 33 287 41 286 40682 39241 5 253 12 278 19 304 30 293 40 290 39241 37893 10 359 8 326 21 314 29 296 40 288 37893 36604 21 349 15 338 23 317 28 295 38 286 36604 35315 24 345 15 336 22 313 28 294 36 285 35315 34000 21 355 13 338 19 308 27 294 35 285 34000 32662 15 360 13 328 18 305 27 293 34 284 32662 31291 10 347 12 315 17 301 27 295 31 283 31291 29878 7 326 12 303 17 296 26 298 28 281 29878 28427 5 307 15 304 18 296 24 296 27 279 28427 26943 6 285 17 307 21 297 22 291 26 278 26943 25427 7 277 16 304 22 297 20 290 24 278 25427 23887 10 274 15 301 19 293 19 290 19 277 23887 22316 12 279 13 301 16 290 18 289 14 275 22316 20710 10 285 11 305 12*300 15 288 10 274 20710 19094 10 269 9 312 11*310 10 287 15 275 19094 17546 8 251 10 301 11 303 11*292 19 270 17546 16134 7 258 13 291 12 301 12*291 21 268 16134 14867 7 282 14*285 12 297 13 290 20 271 14867 13725 8 300 12*282 13 291 13 289 18 275 13725 12689 11 307 10 279 14 288 14 288 17 280 12689 11748 13 308 9 274 14 286 15 287 15 286 11748 10894 11 311 8 272 15 285 15 286 15 292 10894 10122 8 320 8 270 15 284 16 286 15 297 10122 9423 7 322 8 269 15 283 16 286 15 299 9423 8783 6 315 8 267 16 283 16 286 15 300 8783 8203 4 300 8 267 16 282 16 286 15 300 8203 7711 1*280 8 266 16 282 16 286 15 300 7711 7326 3*103 8 266 15 281 15 286 14 301 7326 7058 3 105 7 265 15 281 15 286 12 300 7058 6894 3 104 7 265 14 281 14 285 9*301 6894 6800 3 106 7 265 13 281 12 286 5*303 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography