DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 62.5 - - 57.5 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 106 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2753 - - 3401 - - 1431 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8006 - - 8515 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9438 - - 10086 - - 8116 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2261 - - 2707 - - 2675 - - 2346 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 314 - - 112 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 148 - - 168 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2480 - - 2062 - - 1317 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6958 - - 8025 - - 6800 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 164 - - -44 - - -523 - - -523 ODpotential blCL - - - 9274 - - 10130 - - 8639 - - 7322 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 86 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 530 - - 330 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 62.5 - - 57.5 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 50.2 - - 52.4 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 61.7 - - 57.4 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 49.3 - - 51.5 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 106 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2753 - - 3401 - - 1431 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 45 - - 89 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98056 5 336 3 229 11 254 16 298 98056 90705 12 343 6 200 4 265 8 313 90705 85046 4 296 3 267 9 339 4 011 85046 80359 9 185 3 304 6 331 5 046 80359 76326 13 155 3 165 4 340 11 051 76326 72785 11 141 8 126 1 015 10 042 72785 69594 4 153 5 095 4 119 4 110 69594 66663 7 135 5 205 3 274 7 107 66663 63955 7 081 7 205 6 271 2 078 63955 61344 9 335 2 220 1 202 3 220 61344 58619 20 277 16 290 18 284 13 282 58619 55801 30 247 24 248 26 249 27 253 55801 53112 30 238 38 221 39 233 38 230 53112 50671 35 246 30 236 36 233 34 226 50671 48457 52 256 49 257 42 252 40 241 48457 46435 73 253 63 257 67 251 55 242 46435 44574 84 247 80 251 86 242 69 236 44574 42848 87 243 92 243 94 237 80 231 42848 41235 86 242 97 237 97 231 86 228 41235 39722 85 240 98 233 93 225 88 225 39722 38304 86 234 98 227 86 216 83 220 38304 36956 88 225 91 218 83 208 73 212 36956 35621 83 218 85 211 81 208 64 201 35621 34267 74 214 84 211 73 209 61 198 34267 32890 69 212 77 211 65 206 55 205 32890 31478 65 210 66 212 60 203 46 202 31478 30024 64 212 58 210 54 199 41 202 30024 28531 56 214 53 202 43 197 37 201 28531 27003 39 214 47 198 34 191 31 196 27003 25446 25 215 36 190 29 180 25 201 25446 23868 24 239 19 167 21 155 17 183 23868 22262 27 270 5 011 20 109 15 149 22262 20625 26 294 21 340 18 066 12 135 20625 18985 19 308 19 001 20 069 16 118 18985 17421 10 304 15 053 19 074 22 105 17421 16003 4 257 16 095 21 085 26 098 16003 14738 4 224 12 112 23 089 29 096 14738 13602 4 235 9 102 22 086 30 095 13602 12578 2 167 9 093 19 085 29 095 12578 11649 6 133 8 100 14 090 25 103 11649 10808 8 142 6*119 10 098 20 113 10808 10049 8*143 5*131 6 119 15 116 10049 9363 8*138 5 142 5 147 11 117 9363 8736 8 136 4 146 5 156 8 119 8736 8170 8 136 4 151 6*153 7 120 8170 7688 8 135 4 155 6*163 4 117 7688 7313 8 135 4 157 6 168 3 118 7313 7052 7 135 4 161 7 170 2 124 7052 6891 7 135 4 162 6 169 2 132 6891 6799 6 135 3 163 6 170 2*144 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography