DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.0 - - 85.7 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 293 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8569 - - 11213 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13215 - - 15133 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15254 - - 17898 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4026 - - 4101 - - - - - 8923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 669 - - 636 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 263 - - - - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -361 - - 1561 - - - - - -8438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15616 - - 16338 - - - - - 15240 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2590 - - -412 - - - - - -11704 ODpotential blCL - - - 17844 - - 18310 - - - - - 18505 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 84 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 340 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.0 - - 85.7 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 37.2 - - - - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 83.8 - - - - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 36.7 - - - - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 293 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8569 - - 11213 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 34 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99204 45 109 30 111 38 090 99204 91647 41 108 33 109 26 099 91647 85858 34 091 32 104 23 103 85858 81086 25 093 21 104 28 105 81086 77003 22 091 20 108 29 091 77003 73412 23 103 22 101 22 090 73412 70160 18 116 15 096 22 095 70160 67177 21 130 13 108 21 075 67177 64436 24 099 14 117 9 058 64436 61803 17 057 10 084 4 071 61803 59066 9 047 5 115 4 062 59066 56244 13 337 5 004 5 306 56244 53570 17 321 13 336 11 285 53570 51162 26 313 23 308 19 299 51162 48985 31 298 31 304 29 307 48985 46988 33 292 36 297 35 302 46988 45137 33 290 36 287 39 295 45137 43407 35 295 37 286 45 294 43407 41785 38 294 38 289 46 297 41785 40267 36 290 35 292 43 299 40267 38848 29 292 24 296 33 301 38848 37503 18 303 8 300 18 307 37503 36168 7 284 7 205 11 291 36168 34812 6 208 12 195 9 295 34812 33435 6 202 14 195 6 288 33435 32024 6 195 14 193 7 253 32024 30573 7 186 12 188 7 226 30573 29081 6 175 8 189 10 213 29081 27554 7 153 3 198 10 208 27554 25997 6 205 4 289 7 191 25997 24414 5 280 6 296 6 172 24414 22800 7 307 3 308 5 177 22800 21147 5 297 1 003 6 137 21147 19482 4 253 1*020 6 120 19482 17883 8 207 1*009 2 109 17883 16425 5*181 3 271 1 321 16425 15116 4*175 5 263 4 311 15116 13935 3 190 6 262 5 311 13935 12865 3 198 6 261 7 309 12865 11893 3 205 7 260 8 308 11893 11012 3 207 7 260 10 307 11012 10216 3 211 8 262 11 306 10216 9496 3 212 8 261 12 306 9496 8837 3 212 8 262 12 306 8837 8242 3 214 8 261 13 306 8242 7735 3 214 8 262 13 305 7735 7341 3 215 8 262 13 304 7341 7066 3 215 8 263 11 304 7066 6897 3 215 7 262 8*303 6897 6801 3 217 7 262 5*303 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography