DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.5 - - 83.6 - - 88.9 - - 83.7 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 182 - - 474 - - 418 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3021 - - 6611 - - 11010 - - 5448 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 8463 - - 11644 - - 15178 - - 9386 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 9706 - - 13296 - - 17695 - - 12133 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1942 - - 2917 - - 3849 - - 5348 - - 5831 Hgt.Variab. W* 349 - - 624 - - 710 - - 292 - - 10 W* B/S 6 - - 36 - - 186 - - 33 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 147 - - 195 - - 293 - - 236 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 4 - - 23 - - -33 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1463 - - -904 - - 1686 - - -2368 - - -6767 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11170 - - 14201 - - 16010 - - 14501 - - 13569 sfcLCL ODpotential -4300 - - -3321 - - 464 - - -4772 - - -10113 ODpotential blCL 14006 - - 16617 - - 17231 - - 16905 - - 16914 blCL maxRH 83 - - 60 - - 91 - - 95 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 210 - - 310 - - 240 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 74.5 - - 83.6 - - 88.9 - - 83.7 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.9 - - 44.6 - - 41.8 - - 43.6 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.2 - - 80.8 - - 86.4 - - 83.3 - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.7 - - 44.2 - - 41.3 - - 43.1 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 182 - - 474 - - 418 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3021 - - 6611 - - 11010 - - 5448 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 0 - - 63 - - 80 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99225 40 109 41 116 39 107 37 093 41 089 99225 91752 39 097 44 096 45 098 37 106 30 102 91752 86013 40 096 35 087 42 090 38 098 32 103 86013 81223 34 090 28 095 32 094 30 083 38 094 81223 77102 22 092 25 102 19 098 25 083 37 085 77102 73491 22 112 23 111 17 095 26 093 34 083 73491 70259 30 105 26 118 18 104 22 098 27 086 70259 67309 28 095 28 117 23 125 11 113 14 082 67309 64582 22 100 28 112 30 130 15 128 6 120 64582 61942 17 122 26 109 30 126 24 126 14 132 61942 59198 12 144 24 126 25 135 24 125 25 115 59198 56386 16 148 23 143 23 145 18 135 24 120 56386 53736 25 149 25 152 26 150 21 148 23 140 53736 51357 33 147 28 156 30 154 29 151 27 167 51357 49211 35 146 31 156 33 159 31 154 31 160 49211 47241 32 143 31 152 31 160 28 160 28 152 47241 45413 24 142 29 144 30 152 24 161 23 152 45413 43709 21 145 23 144 29 143 24 156 20 156 43709 42112 16 143 17 138 23 141 25 148 21 155 42112 40607 8 114 13 128 18 142 21 148 21 147 40607 39189 4 136 15 141 17 146 19 160 19 145 39189 37832 5 162 17 156 17 154 19 168 15 159 37832 36473 5 143 17 166 11 163 15 162 11 187 36473 35086 3 123 16 168 5 193 7 141 9 180 35086 33676 2 159 9 152 5 186 4 105 6 154 33676 32233 4 181 3 127 2 036 5 058 4 097 32233 30750 5 155 2 213 5 346 6 033 7 052 30750 29232 3 132 1 243 5 001 7 004 11 025 29232 27682 7 310 1 075 5 024 7 359 12 014 27682 26107 6 320 6 076 7 053 7 059 6 022 26107 24507 9 360 9 056 15 039 16 079 17 049 24507 22879 8 044 8 074 21 045 17 083 22 054 22879 21214 16 086 17 075 20 055 17 078 17 079 21214 19537 19 084 22 073 17 064 17 075 20 093 19537 17929 14 069 19 070 13*064 16 072 18 084 17929 16462 6 018 15 058 7*058 14 068 14 078 16462 15145 6 343 13 039 3 053 11 064 13 068 15145 13958 3 312 8*023 3 049 9 063 10 059 13958 12882 9 255 1*358 1 280 7*062 8 052 12882 11906 11 247 2 200 1 261 4*058 5 040 11906 11021 8 224 3 196 2 253 2 045 3 015 11021 10223 8*183 4 193 2 255 1 280 2 313 10223 9501 10*160 4 194 3 253 2 248 3 278 9501 8840 10 148 4 194 3 253 3 239 4 271 8840 8244 10 146 4 192 3 253 4 232 5 271 8244 7737 10 145 4 194 3 254 4 229 5 268 7737 7342 10 143 4 193 3 254 4 226 5 262 7342 7066 9 144 4 194 3 255 4 224 5 262 7066 6898 9 143 4 194 3 253 4 223 4*269 6898 6801 8 142 4 194 3 253 4 222 3*268 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography