DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.1 - - 64.1 - - 69.1 - - 66.4 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 408 - - 435 - - 112 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 738 - - 4175 - - 6933 - - 5061 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 9640 - - 11867 - - 9688 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7423 - - 10860 - - 13618 - - 11746 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 657 - - 1541 - - 2381 - - 3817 - - 2111 Hgt.Variab. W* 154 - - 508 - - 615 - - 353 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 13 - - 12 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 177 - - 194 - - 185 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5188 - - -2518 - - -1116 - - -3115 - - -4622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12611 - - 13378 - - 14734 - - 14862 - - 11421 sfcLCL ODpotential -11742 - - -6414 - - -3497 - - -6299 - - -10035 ODpotential blCL 19165 - - 17274 - - 17115 - - 18045 - - 16834 blCL maxRH 51 - - 48 - - 58 - - 57 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.1 - - 64.1 - - 69.1 - - 66.4 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.2 - - 29.1 - - 28.0 - - 24.9 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.8 - - 61.7 - - 66.6 - - 65.6 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.1 - - 28.8 - - 27.6 - - 24.5 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 408 - - 435 - - 112 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 738 - - 4175 - - 6933 - - 5061 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 40 279 46 276 44 283 38 276 50 286 96490 89254 26 271 33 276 27 279 30 285 40 292 89254 83766 24 283 26 277 22 275 28 294 28 299 83766 79233 29 297 17 270 22 288 27 298 26 310 79233 75304 25 301 14 270 23 291 30 300 30 309 75304 71822 18 303 16 289 20 277 29 291 31 305 71822 68672 12 285 17 287 19 264 27 282 28 292 68672 65791 18 298 18 285 18 265 22 289 25 290 65791 63144 33 289 25 283 21 278 21 288 24 290 63144 60597 41 278 31 276 25 287 21 283 23 284 60597 57944 41 271 33 273 31 282 23 287 24 285 57944 55183 41 266 35 274 35 278 29 287 27 283 55183 52525 38 266 37 275 40 276 34 283 31 284 52525 50101 37 268 39 275 42 273 41 280 37 281 50101 47904 40 268 43 274 43 270 42 278 41 276 47904 45895 45 266 47 272 45 270 43 274 43 270 45895 44050 50 259 52 265 51 268 46 268 44 266 44050 42356 50 253 57 248 57 253 47 263 47 269 42356 40797 52 257 59 248 58 252 54 256 52 262 40797 39356 58 264 60 254 65 251 62 253 56 254 39356 38017 62 265 61 256 63 248 60 250 54 252 38017 36736 60 262 59 255 60 252 56 252 49 256 36736 35452 55 262 57 255 57 255 54 253 47 256 35452 34138 51 264 52 259 53 257 49 255 43 256 34138 32798 49 266 47 260 47 260 43 258 41 255 32798 31422 47 271 45 264 43 262 39 260 40 254 31422 30003 45 271 43 264 42 265 39 258 39 253 30003 28543 45 265 45 260 43 262 41 257 39 254 28543 27046 45 263 47 262 42 269 40 266 37 261 27046 25515 41 269 42 271 36 280 36 282 33 275 25515 23955 37 279 34 283 29 287 30 286 27 284 23955 22360 33 286 30 294 24 292 25 284 23 280 22360 20728 29 287 26 298 21 296 24 288 22 278 20728 19086 22 284 21 297 18 297 21 293 21 281 19086 17517 17 276 16 290 15 291 19 291 19 279 17517 16089 13 261 12 269 15 276 16 287 16 277 16089 14810 10 278 9 255 13 265 13 279 12 274 14810 13659 11 293 6 265 9*222 10 252 8 273 13659 12617 10 292 2 242 10*207 10*218 6 263 12617 11673 6 315 9*167 11 203 11*209 6 242 11673 10819 4 071 13*178 11 199 13 195 7 216 10819 10050 10 118 13 178 13 194 15 187 11 199 10050 9358 13 149 13 177 13 192 17 183 20 186 9358 8728 19 173 14 177 14 191 17 181 30 176 8728 8163 25 176 14 177 14 190 18 180 30 173 8163 7684 24*173 14 176 14 189 18 180 27 172 7684 7310 18*164 13 176 14 189 17 179 23 171 7310 7050 15 159 12 176 13 189 17 179 16 169 7050 6890 13 158 12 176 13 188 16 179 14*167 6890 6799 11 158 11 176 12 188 14 179 7*161 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography