DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.2 - - 46.7 - - 55.0 - - 48.7 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 236 - - 212 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1587 - - 2561 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7516 - - 8183 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8272 - - 9246 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 161 - - 461 - - 742 - - 1556 - - 531 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 306 - - 346 - - 10 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 088 - - 149 - - 261 - - 225 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1358 - - -3637 - - -4936 - - -5780 - - -3846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8155 - - 11910 - - 14182 - - 12579 - - 10644 sfcLCL ODpotential -12449 - - -11329 - - -10867 - - -12877 - - -13473 ODpotential blCL 19246 - - 19601 - - 20113 - - 19675 - - 20271 blCL maxRH 55 - - 41 - - 41 - - 43 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.2 - - 46.7 - - 55.0 - - 48.7 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.0 - - 19.0 - - 17.1 - - 18.1 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.9 - - 45.3 - - 53.6 - - 50.8 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.9 - - 18.8 - - 16.8 - - 18.0 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 236 - - 212 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1587 - - 2561 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96668 6 254 23 277 15 290 15 272 26 269 96668 89486 10 325 12 271 14 280 14 313 8 329 89486 83921 13 336 8 359 8 309 14 311 12 344 83921 79306 7 335 12 314 15 310 13 310 12 354 79306 75323 21 348 9 311 10 311 12 320 22 022 75323 71796 23 328 16 328 15 321 24 331 30 348 71796 68623 28 344 22 333 22 323 32 333 33 336 68623 65719 33 344 28 340 26 338 30 336 30 335 65719 63027 34 330 31 337 31 335 32 336 37 341 63027 60419 35 322 34 323 38 330 40 331 44 336 60419 57694 39 324 36 325 44 331 43 329 43 332 57694 54861 53 329 49 331 55 336 47 334 47 334 54861 52164 58 323 57 333 61 336 55 341 60 342 52164 49765 58 322 58 338 61 337 68 344 71 343 49765 47648 56 329 59 342 63 341 74 345 71 343 47648 45745 61 347 64 348 69 353 71 350 64 344 45745 44007 70 356 66 356 79 000 70 357 59 345 44007 42396 67 351 64 002 73 001 70 360 56 347 42396 40885 60 345 62 004 63 001 68 001 56 348 40885 39462 58 348 60 002 56 000 64 000 56 350 39462 38121 57 354 59 359 51 359 60 360 55 351 38121 36836 54 354 55 358 48 359 55 360 53 353 36836 35547 54 352 51 356 46 359 51 358 50 356 35547 34227 54 352 49 355 44 356 46 353 46 359 34227 32882 54 356 49 354 42 354 41 350 42 359 32882 31502 52 359 48 353 41 353 38 352 38 000 31502 30079 46 360 46 352 41 351 36 355 37 005 30079 28615 40 354 44 349 41 344 35 354 36 010 28615 27112 36 338 42 342 41 337 35 350 35 010 27112 25574 39 328 42 334 40 334 37 345 34 006 25574 24003 40 331 42 332 37 336 36 344 32 002 24003 22395 38 335 40 333 33 338 33 345 30 360 22395 20749 37 338 36 337 30 338 29 346 27 358 20749 19095 34 339 31 341 28 337 27 345 24 354 19095 17514 30 341 28 345 27 341 26 348 22 349 17514 16078 27 343 27 350 26 349 25 356 21 350 16078 14794 24 347 25 354 25 358 24 006 19 355 14794 13640 22 352 23 358 23 004 22 014 18 003 13640 12597 18 355 19 359 21 002 20 016 16 011 12597 11654 14 354 15 357 20 355 18 011 14 018 11654 10803 10 349 11 351 17 343 16 003 12 023 10803 10037 7 346 8 342 14 326 14 343 11 021 10037 9347 4 010 3 343 7*295 14 316 10 016 9347 8717 5 070 2*140 6*271 12 290 8 010 8717 8151 6 102 3*146 6 264 11 261 7 360 8151 7673 6 151 3 147 6 261 11 243 5 327 7673 7302 8 158 3 149 6 258 11 236 5 246 7302 7045 8 127 3 151 6 256 10 231 4 209 7045 6889 7*096 3 150 6 255 8 227 3*153 6889 6798 5*088 3 152 5 255 5*225 3*125 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography