DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 48.9 - - 40.9 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 168 - - -24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1591 - - 4106 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7389 - - 9228 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8276 - - 10791 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1302 - - 1820 - - 2307 - - 371 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 377 - - 12 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 260 - - 226 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2995 - - -3133 - - -3986 - - -961 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11271 - - 13924 - - 10785 - - 7759 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10187 - - -8564 - - -8903 - - -7041 ODpotential blCL - - - 18463 - - 19355 - - 15701 - - 13839 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 73 - - 76 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 48.9 - - 40.9 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.0 - - 11.7 - - 17.8 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 47.8 - - 43.1 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 11.2 - - 17.6 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 168 - - -24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1591 - - 4106 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96498 20 062 22 062 13 052 29 053 96498 89329 24 067 19 071 19 060 30 065 89329 83756 14 069 13 072 23 049 25 067 83756 79123 9 056 4 099 14 018 18 049 79123 75129 5 131 5 260 3 005 11 338 75129 71594 4 033 8 264 3 318 9 339 71594 68372 12 303 14 300 11 327 8 303 68372 65396 19 285 20 303 18 302 15 306 65396 62640 27 291 26 300 23 294 27 287 62640 59977 37 286 33 290 32 305 32 290 59977 57196 40 287 42 291 44 287 40 289 57196 54317 53 288 58 290 56 280 54 284 54317 51574 62 285 67 286 66 283 64 281 51574 49108 63 285 72 285 77 284 74 277 49108 46905 67 285 83 283 85 278 75 275 46905 44910 75 285 89 277 83 277 78 276 44910 43089 81 284 86 278 87 278 87 273 43089 41419 81 282 87 280 93 276 93 270 41419 39879 76 281 86 278 95 274 95 269 39879 38449 74 279 80 274 92 273 92 269 38449 37117 72 274 75 273 85 272 86 270 37117 35850 72 277 75 270 84 270 78 271 35850 34584 74 280 76 268 80 269 74 269 34584 33289 75 280 75 270 72 268 75 267 33289 31971 71 282 72 272 69 268 72 265 31971 30620 65 285 70 271 66 269 67 263 30620 29229 62 286 66 266 62 270 64 264 29229 27802 57 286 59 265 59 271 58 268 27802 26342 51 285 55 268 56 274 53 271 26342 24851 48 285 51 274 53 274 49 271 24851 23336 47 284 49 279 47 275 44 273 23336 21793 46 284 46 284 42 279 38 276 21793 20218 45 290 41 291 35 285 29 277 20218 18635 42 296 37 297 30 294 21 284 18635 17122 36 301 32 304 27 304 18 291 17122 15747 31 309 28 313 24 313 14 291 15747 14519 26 315 24 320 19 324 8 299 14519 13414 23 314 20 324 13 338 4 295 13414 12416 20 318 14 329 9 347 3 247 12416 11511 17 330 10*322 6 333 5 231 11511 10691 15 345 7*290 5 307 6 235 10691 9952 11 351 7 275 7 287 6 234 9952 9284 7 343 6 262 9 278 6 229 9284 8673 4*308 6 256 11 270 4 230 8673 8122 3*273 6 251 14 261 4 280 8122 7655 3 259 6 247 15 253 6 306 7655 7292 3 250 6 245 15 246 6 285 7292 7040 3 245 6 243 13 237 5 214 7040 6886 3 243 6 243 10*231 5*179 6886 6798 3 240 5 241 7*226 5*170 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography