DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 82.2 - - - - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 463 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11825 - - 14223 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15886 - - 17895 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18510 - - 20908 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2672 - - 1940 - - - - - 293 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 743 - - 799 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 292 - - - - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -17 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2725 - - -356 - - - - - -11087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21236 - - 21265 - - - - - 17888 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6280 - - -2658 - - - - - -15303 ODpotential blCL - - - 24790 - - 23566 - - - - - 22103 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 48 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 82.2 - - - - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.9 - - 11.0 - - - - - 14.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 79.5 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.0 - - 10.0 - - - - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 463 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11825 - - 14223 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98054 8 228 2 067 5 355 98054 90675 5 163 5 256 11 328 90675 84999 2 150 6 211 4 317 84999 80257 9 205 5 231 6 343 80257 76163 9 235 6 233 6 342 76163 72556 7 194 10 255 4 360 72556 69298 4 127 7 266 6 329 69298 66322 9 326 9 300 9 300 66322 63589 16 308 16 289 13 300 63589 60955 14 303 19 278 16 298 60955 58212 17 290 18 280 18 289 58212 55373 19 274 21 286 21 285 55373 52667 21 274 24 279 23 277 52667 50238 27 282 28 274 28 272 50238 48069 32 282 30 273 33 263 48069 46112 34 284 30 276 32 251 46112 44325 31 290 30 277 23 251 44325 42675 31 293 29 279 20 256 42675 41139 30 294 28 287 23 248 41139 39695 28 300 27 294 22 245 39695 38336 27 300 26 296 15 254 38336 37035 25 302 25 297 11 278 37035 35733 24 310 23 303 11 299 35733 34404 21 317 20 306 9 297 34404 33054 20 318 18 302 8 280 33054 31670 18 318 16 295 10 276 31670 30245 15 320 15 293 11 287 30245 28780 14 320 12 298 10 284 28780 27279 13 321 10 312 7 266 27279 25747 13 320 9 333 5 242 25747 24189 12 314 10 348 6 186 24189 22597 6 323 8 012 10 125 22597 20965 7 004 11*035 9 109 20965 19318 10*013 9*026 8 088 19318 17737 12*007 6 344 7 078 17737 16295 11 358 6 316 4 069 16295 15001 10 355 6 307 2 028 15001 13834 7 354 7 294 3 316 13834 12777 5 349 8 285 5 301 12777 11818 3 321 9 280 7 301 11818 10949 3 273 10 277 9 304 10949 10164 4 257 10 275 11 307 10164 9455 4 252 10 273 13 309 9455 8805 5 251 10 271 14 310 8805 8219 5 248 11 270 15 310 8219 7720 5 248 10 269 15 310 7720 7331 5 247 10 269 14 310 7331 7060 5 247 10 268 12 309 7060 6895 5 245 10 269 8*309 6895 6800 5 246 9 269 5*310 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography