DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 59.8 - - 63.9 - - 61.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 281 - - 210 - - -2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 324 - - 3605 - - 6635 - - 1779 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 9069 - - 11275 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7009 - - 10290 - - 13320 - - 8464 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1250 - - 3637 - - 1829 - - 6170 - - 187 Hgt.Variab. W* 92 - - 427 - - 476 - - 25 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 15 - - 18 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 079 - - 125 - - 178 - - 085 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -6 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 774 - - 2039 - - -2563 - - -1228 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7008 - - 9516 - - 11281 - - 11027 - - 8028 sfcLCL ODpotential -3388 - - -830 - - 228 - - -4891 - - -5861 ODpotential blCL 10397 - - 11120 - - 13092 - - 13355 - - 12660 blCL maxRH 87 - - 87 - - 79 - - 71 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 80 - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 59.8 - - 63.9 - - 61.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.2 - - 41.6 - - 38.0 - - 37.1 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 58.1 - - 62.6 - - 62.5 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.1 - - 41.4 - - 37.8 - - 36.8 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 281 - - 210 - - -2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 324 - - 3605 - - 6635 - - 1779 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 47 - - 17 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97500 13 308 14 281 14 292 12 307 16 323 97500 90247 12 312 12 300 11 293 13 341 11 312 90247 84684 10 308 10 327 8 310 13 337 8 337 84684 80073 11 330 6 342 9 328 12 321 14 348 80073 76093 9 336 6 030 1 046 7 319 11 359 76093 72579 5 322 8 008 6 119 4 296 5 328 72579 69408 3 240 4 328 5 191 5 271 3 289 69408 66491 6 192 2 242 4 188 4 233 6 270 66491 63788 8 223 9 206 5 222 6 201 6 227 63788 61181 12 213 10 225 9 249 8 235 12 240 61181 58480 17 231 18 227 17 229 16 224 17 225 58480 55686 24 238 22 232 21 221 24 215 22 225 55686 53020 35 245 32 244 29 236 28 222 29 236 53020 50619 37 235 37 238 32 232 31 232 36 240 50619 48453 30 238 31 240 29 232 34 239 40 240 48453 46469 30 254 27 247 31 239 35 242 39 243 46469 44637 35 259 31 252 36 246 35 243 38 247 44637 42934 37 260 36 252 39 248 34 244 38 248 42934 41342 38 262 38 253 39 250 33 246 37 248 41342 39848 37 265 38 253 37 252 33 249 37 247 39848 38445 35 269 38 254 37 255 33 252 38 245 38445 37106 35 272 37 257 36 259 33 258 38 244 37106 35767 35 270 37 260 35 265 36 263 36 247 35767 34406 36 271 38 265 39 270 43 267 44 259 34406 33032 35 269 41 269 49 270 48 266 56 261 33032 31632 33 261 44 274 53 270 49 264 53 262 31632 30188 32 260 48 277 49 269 46 263 44 262 30188 28705 33 260 47 276 45 266 41 262 38 260 28705 27184 33 267 45 274 42 264 34 259 33 263 27184 25628 34 274 41 271 36 264 30 255 25 266 25628 24041 33 278 37 274 31 263 29 254 23 260 24041 22425 27 282 31 274 27 257 28 254 27 260 22425 20776 21 289 22 268 23 256 26 255 30 267 20776 19122 17 290 18 265 20 254 22 257 32 271 19122 17542 14 283 16 265 18 253 18 255 33 267 17542 16111 12 269 15 255 16 249 18 249 30 254 16111 14834 11 241 12 238 9 222 18 245 27 240 14834 13687 13 223 9 217 8*209 15 243 22 237 13687 12649 15 227 7 210 8*206 11 232 18 238 12649 11707 15 232 7 218 6 190 7 210 13 236 11707 10854 12 235 6*211 6 187 5 186 8 226 10854 10084 9 236 4*160 5 175 4 173 4 195 10084 9390 6 225 5 129 4 168 3 158 5 136 9390 8754 2 181 5 124 4 166 2*134 7 113 8754 8182 2 094 6 121 4 160 2*108 10 098 8182 7695 4 120 6 120 4 158 2 091 12 086 7695 7316 7 104 5 119 4 156 2 082 14 074 7316 7052 7*084 5 118 3 154 3 075 13 063 7052 6891 6*079 5 119 3 156 2 073 10*058 6891 6799 5 079 5 117 3 155 2 073 6*056 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography