DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 70.0 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 409 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11769 - - 12796 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15764 - - 16637 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18454 - - 19481 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2008 - - 1614 - - - - - 3248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 710 - - 741 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 241 - - - - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -10 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1295 - - 2044 - - - - - -8123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17160 - - 17438 - - - - - 14923 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 96 - - 893 - - - - - -12289 ODpotential blCL - - - 18358 - - 18588 - - - - - 19088 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 82 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 70.0 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.4 - - 16.5 - - - - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 67.5 - - - - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.6 - - 15.8 - - - - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 409 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11769 - - 12796 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 26 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97065 52 262 46 264 49 269 97065 89682 47 251 53 267 45 282 89682 84084 31 258 36 261 40 281 84084 79488 25 284 22 271 28 270 79488 75540 31 291 27 297 17 280 75540 72041 29 275 32 293 19 297 72041 68853 25 286 30 279 24 299 68853 65896 24 297 24 268 26 297 65896 63138 24 294 22 272 30 284 63138 60470 28 283 26 275 30 273 60470 57691 30 278 29 278 24 271 57691 54790 33 271 31 284 26 273 54790 52011 32 266 34 279 31 270 52011 49513 33 270 35 274 35 269 49513 47277 37 273 37 276 38 273 47277 45257 41 274 39 278 44 273 45257 43425 38 275 40 278 42 271 43425 41764 34 275 42 277 39 276 41764 40244 35 271 44 277 44 280 40244 38835 36 264 44 278 47 279 38835 37517 35 260 44 279 47 280 37517 36255 33 262 45 280 45 282 36255 34990 32 264 44 281 43 282 34990 33696 31 265 41 278 42 283 33696 32377 30 267 38 272 40 284 32377 31025 29 272 36 269 35 283 31025 29631 29 276 32 272 30 277 29631 28201 29 276 30 275 27 270 28201 26736 28 275 31 276 25 265 26736 25241 27 274 30 274 23 261 25241 23719 25 273 28 272 21 260 23719 22167 22 268 24 267 18 264 22167 20575 18 273 18*259 15 269 20575 18972 18*265 12*244 13 263 18972 17434 18*239 11 238 14 252 17434 16034 17 239 11 237 16 247 16034 14779 15 245 11 237 17 249 14779 13647 12 251 11 237 16 255 13647 12621 7 250 11 238 15 260 12621 11689 4 232 11 240 13 264 11689 10843 4 224 11 241 11 268 10843 10080 4 219 11 242 9 274 10080 9389 4 216 11 244 8 284 9389 8756 4 214 11 245 8 295 8756 8184 4 212 10 245 8 303 8184 7698 4 211 10 246 8 309 7698 7318 3 210 10 246 7 311 7318 7054 3 211 10 247 7 313 7054 6892 3 209 10 248 5 316 6892 6799 3 211 9 247 3*328 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography