DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 81.4 - - 72.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 257 - - 116 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11122 - - 9689 - - 1337 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15189 - - 13826 - - 7028 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17807 - - 16374 - - 8022 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3318 - - 2933 - - 4606 - - 2423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 680 - - 582 - - 232 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 4 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 24 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 270 - - 176 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -13 - - -14 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1588 - - 1640 - - -2908 - - -987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16219 - - 14734 - - 10931 - - 7787 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 73 - - -382 - - -5666 - - -4967 ODpotential blCL - - - 17734 - - 16756 - - 13688 - - 11767 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 89 - - 89 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 520 - - 400 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 81.4 - - 72.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 40.1 - - 47.8 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 80.2 - - 71.5 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 39.7 - - 47.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 257 - - 116 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11122 - - 9689 - - 1337 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 58 - - 58 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99000 37 091 33 099 36 091 31 092 99000 91494 30 094 25 091 24 096 29 079 91494 85696 22 102 25 097 21 095 26 069 85696 80908 21 105 21 095 25 097 19 078 80908 76801 16 091 14 108 22 084 18 099 76801 73166 12 111 13 111 17 074 18 079 73166 69878 17 106 11 098 5 073 13 055 69878 66875 9 091 10 100 11 107 6 084 66875 64098 6 086 8 067 12 082 8 119 64098 61419 7 076 7 042 6 058 7 135 61419 58657 8 056 8 030 8 336 9 346 58657 55826 21 313 9 283 11 277 12 291 55826 53139 31 298 28 301 27 306 22 297 53139 50724 45 288 48 292 41 296 35 296 50724 48567 50 282 55 287 48 295 43 297 48567 46603 52 281 57 284 55 296 51 296 46603 44797 52 283 56 283 58 292 53 293 44797 43124 54 284 55 284 56 287 53 291 43124 41561 55 283 55 285 53 285 52 289 41561 40093 54 281 56 286 49 285 45 288 40093 38717 50 280 55 285 41 279 41 280 38717 37404 46 279 50 286 38 261 34 273 37404 36089 44 280 43 280 37 259 33 273 36089 34739 43 281 38 265 37 257 36 275 34739 33361 43 282 36 263 36 257 34 275 33361 31946 41 283 36 265 35 256 33 275 31946 30485 38 288 35 265 34 254 33 274 30485 28983 32 291 33 266 33 254 33 268 28983 27444 28 284 31 268 33 256 36 258 27444 25873 26 275 27 271 34 258 41 248 25873 24274 23 265 21 270 35 260 46 244 24274 22643 26 264 19 262 37 261 49 244 22643 20975 29 266 17 259 39 259 52 241 20975 19300 33 268 15 263 41 255 53 239 19300 17698 32*268 14*268 42 253 53 242 17698 16244 25*267 15*271 40 255 51 248 16244 14947 21 269 17 273 35 262 46 252 14947 13781 19 271 19 273 28 271 42 257 13781 12726 18 272 21 273 22 278 40 265 12726 11769 16 276 24 272 17 280 39 273 11769 10903 15 280 27 270 14 279 37 284 10903 10123 14 283 28 270 11 274 37 293 10123 9420 13 286 29 269 8 267 36 299 9420 8778 13 289 30 269 6 256 34 303 8778 8199 12 291 30 268 4*233 30 308 8199 7707 12 292 30 268 3*197 23 316 7707 7324 12 293 29 268 3 174 17 328 7324 7057 11 294 28 268 4 172 14 335 7057 6894 11 294 26 268 4 168 11*337 6894 6800 10 295 20 268 3 165 8*337 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography