DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 83.0 - - 81.8 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 511 - - 498 - - 191 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8769 - - 10702 - - 11082 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13440 - - 15023 - - 14738 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15454 - - 17387 - - 17767 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1252 - - 1537 - - 1787 - - 7138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 705 - - 748 - - 553 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 30 - - 31 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 240 - - 239 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1553 - - -726 - - -134 - - -9668 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17008 - - 18113 - - 17902 - - 16469 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6641 - - -3675 - - -3335 - - -14284 ODpotential blCL - - - 22095 - - 21062 - - 21102 - - 21084 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 48 - - 52 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 83.0 - - 81.8 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.1 - - 26.3 - - 26.1 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 80.5 - - 80.8 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.6 - - 25.7 - - 25.6 - - 21.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 511 - - 498 - - 191 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8769 - - 10702 - - 11082 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99033 32 099 34 098 22 097 23 068 99033 91502 25 098 21 100 26 088 22 086 91502 85729 21 103 17 096 18 083 24 085 85729 80947 24 101 20 113 14 106 18 069 80947 76833 19 103 13 111 15 110 12 101 76833 73204 10 087 15 099 14 093 19 120 73204 69932 9 119 9 110 13 097 14 112 69932 66924 12 118 10 136 7 128 11 124 66924 64118 9 128 7 170 6 163 6 162 64118 61400 4 117 6 179 5 229 3 196 61400 58582 15 175 11 218 13 196 8 221 58582 55685 13 246 26 254 20 247 14 261 55685 52961 20 238 41 232 29 229 28 245 52961 50528 11 199 39 209 37 243 33 246 50528 48343 20 240 41 243 45 245 45 244 48343 46356 51 257 50 251 53 252 53 247 46356 44531 57 251 55 258 61 258 60 252 44531 42840 52 251 62 263 67 260 69 254 42840 41258 52 253 67 262 69 257 73 253 41258 39772 51 251 68 257 69 252 75 250 39772 38377 51 247 68 252 69 247 75 247 38377 37047 51 245 67 248 69 243 74 246 37047 35718 52 243 64 246 68 242 72 246 35718 34366 53 243 61 246 65 243 69 244 34366 32995 54 242 60 246 63 244 66 241 32995 31594 54 241 59 245 61 244 64 240 31594 30153 53 240 57 242 60 243 62 240 30153 28674 52 239 55 237 59 241 61 240 28674 27161 50 237 54 231 57 240 61 240 27161 25616 51 235 54 228 55 239 59 242 25616 24047 53 233 52 227 53 239 55 242 24047 22452 54 236 50 231 51 238 49 242 22452 20824 54 243 49 237 47 235 43 238 20824 19188 52 248 46 239 42*232 40 233 19188 17622 48 249 38*238 34*233 39 229 17622 16197 40*247 32*237 33 235 37 229 16197 14921 31*241 32 238 33 236 34 233 14921 13772 29 240 31 238 32 237 33 238 13772 12731 27 238 31 239 32 238 33 241 12731 11784 26 238 30 240 32 240 34 244 11784 10924 25 238 30 241 32 241 34 246 10924 10147 25 238 29 242 31 242 34 249 10147 9443 24 239 29 242 31 243 33 251 9443 8797 23 239 28 243 30 244 33 253 8797 8214 23 239 27 243 30 244 32 255 8214 7717 22 239 27 244 29 244 29 256 7717 7330 21 239 26 244 29 245 25 256 7330 7060 20 239 25 244 27 245 20 255 7060 6895 19 239 23 244 25 245 16*254 6895 6800 17 239 20 244 20 245 8*252 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography