DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 52.7 - - 51.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 30 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 739 - - 2783 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7424 - - 9468 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1566 - - 1872 - - 4515 - - 1418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 188 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 163 - - 182 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4135 - - -1141 - - -2221 - - -1431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11559 - - 10609 - - 9021 - - 8230 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12121 - - -4755 - - -5071 - - -4359 ODpotential blCL - - - 19545 - - 14223 - - 11870 - - 11158 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 52.7 - - 51.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.9 - - 30.1 - - 35.3 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 52.5 - - 52.7 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.5 - - 29.9 - - 35.1 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 30 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 739 - - 2783 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96022 36 289 32 286 44 297 34 308 96022 89022 33 301 26 308 31 300 35 311 89022 83586 26 295 29 311 24 300 30 306 83586 79050 24 300 32 317 23 320 19 329 79050 75130 23 285 27 295 24 306 26 315 75130 71678 10 298 13 317 21 303 25 300 71678 68567 23 289 22 282 19 279 24 288 68567 65718 32 273 26 269 19 271 13 221 65718 63083 39 273 31 270 28 283 9 276 63083 60540 56 260 53 261 45 259 39 261 60540 57901 68 245 67 248 61 250 54 256 57901 55151 71 237 75 237 71 240 65 242 55151 52511 72 238 77 242 72 239 67 238 52511 50114 78 242 82 247 75 246 69 240 50114 47941 85 242 87 246 81 247 75 242 47941 45959 86 245 89 244 85 243 81 241 45959 44144 84 245 86 241 82 237 84 239 44144 42475 78 247 77 241 73 234 80 235 42475 40927 74 251 71 246 64 238 71 232 40927 39481 65 246 68 246 63 244 66 235 39481 38126 50 237 60 238 61 243 65 237 38126 36832 50 241 53 233 56 239 63 236 36832 35535 50 245 53 236 53 236 59 233 35535 34206 51 249 52 241 51 236 57 230 34206 32850 50 252 51 245 51 239 55 230 32850 31457 49 251 48 245 50 241 53 230 31457 30019 46 248 45 242 50 241 50 230 30019 28539 42 243 40 235 46 236 50 229 28539 27018 37 237 38 227 41 225 50 227 27018 25462 33 228 39 224 42 222 51 228 25462 23883 35 228 44 228 49 226 50 231 23883 22280 42 231 47 231 50 231 45 228 22280 20641 39 232 44 231 43 235 40 220 20641 18995 33 230 38 237 35 235 32 214 18995 17421 29 228 35 237 30 228 28 215 17421 15993 28 230 35 233 31 234 25 224 15993 14721 28 233 33 236 31 246 22 238 14721 13582 27 233 30 237 28 252 20 243 13582 12556 25 235 25 233 19 246 16 237 12556 11628 22 239 20 224 14 232 12 223 11628 10790 17 242 16 212 12 218 12 221 10790 10034 12 241 11*193 12 208 13 229 10034 9351 9 236 9*170 10 200 16 232 9351 8725 6 221 9 164 8 194 18 231 8725 8161 4 176 8 162 7 191 20 228 8161 7682 6*134 8 161 6 190 20 224 7682 7308 6*124 8 160 6 190 16 220 7308 7049 6 123 7 160 5 189 11 211 7049 6890 6 122 7 160 4*187 7*197 6890 6799 5 122 6 159 3*182 4*187 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography