DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.7 - - 86.3 - - 91.1 - - 90.7 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 163 - - 466 - - 467 - - 154 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2108 - - 9894 - - 14135 - - 14525 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 7761 - - 14317 - - 17830 - - 17283 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 8793 - - 16579 - - 20820 - - 21210 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3187 - - 3434 - - 1991 - - 2524 - - 14681 Hgt.Variab. W* 299 - - 710 - - 801 - - 561 - - 8 W* B/S 7 - - 25 - - 22 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 111 - - 138 - - 115 - - 138 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 9 - - 19 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 8 - - -20 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5039 - - 455 - - 1572 - - 1495 - - -11870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13833 - - 16125 - - 19249 - - 19716 - - 18672 sfcLCL ODpotential -8550 - - -1681 - - 206 - - 236 - - -14306 ODpotential blCL 17343 - - 18260 - - 20614 - - 20974 - - 21107 blCL maxRH 57 - - 54 - - 64 - - 89 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 170 - - 40 - - 50 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 76.7 - - 86.3 - - 91.1 - - 90.7 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 38.8 - - 29.3 - - 27.0 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.5 - - 83.6 - - 88.3 - - 89.5 - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.5 - - 38.3 - - 28.8 - - 26.6 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 163 - - 466 - - 467 - - 154 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2108 - - 9894 - - 14135 - - 14525 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 54 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99438 39 108 30 104 39 095 31 089 29 092 99438 91850 32 088 34 097 28 092 32 092 30 096 91850 86014 32 086 32 093 24 093 26 095 30 090 86014 81227 29 079 26 099 25 089 20 094 24 085 81227 77140 26 084 21 103 23 101 22 085 20 096 77140 73523 27 092 18 101 17 114 24 081 22 094 73523 70242 23 104 18 110 15 105 20 095 25 093 70242 67241 21 119 22 115 18 107 16 112 24 103 67241 64489 18 112 21 114 20 121 15 123 22 108 64489 61863 9 099 17 113 20 133 14 135 19 122 61863 59154 6 101 12 123 16 147 12 130 14 139 59154 56363 11 113 13 145 14 146 14 117 16 124 56363 53715 17 141 16 146 17 147 19 129 17 105 53715 51337 25 144 21 134 23 146 25 147 16 128 51337 49196 25 129 24 116 27 135 30 145 27 154 49196 47231 16 114 24 106 27 122 32 135 35 150 47231 45406 9 101 21 105 24 115 30 124 36 136 45406 43700 12 106 17 108 20 121 24 120 30 129 43700 42097 12 116 12 129 17 133 18 135 24 132 42097 40591 10 139 12 150 16 143 18 157 21 152 40591 39175 8 165 10 160 11 142 20 166 21 169 39175 37819 5 179 9 157 5 156 15 169 18 173 37819 36461 2 070 9 156 4 180 7 146 14 154 36461 35074 8 064 11 144 8 173 1 140 11 134 35074 33666 10 082 14 115 10 156 4 236 2 118 33666 32225 11 095 16 091 10 119 5 238 2 156 32225 30742 13 094 13 094 9 099 5 150 6 154 30742 29222 15 083 13 105 8 108 6 143 6 124 29222 27673 16 068 16 098 10 105 7 132 7 084 27673 26104 16 062 18 090 12 095 6 099 15 055 26104 24516 17 066 16 090 14 083 15 065 14 060 24516 22895 19 061 16 082 21 062 18 065 11 076 22895 21234 19 046 15 065 22*057 16*073 10 089 21234 19561 15 048 13 047 18*062 11*093 8 088 19561 17954 12 077 10*045 11 079 9 110 7 084 17954 16486 11 097 8*073 8 101 8 120 6 085 16486 15169 10 122 6 112 7 115 8 126 6 090 15169 13980 10 145 6 134 6 125 7 136 5 101 13980 12903 9 155 6 142 6 136 7 145 5 118 12903 11924 8 192 6 147 6 142 7 153 5 132 11924 11037 11 201 6 149 6 146 7 159 6 143 11037 10236 11 194 6 152 6 150 7 164 6 149 10236 9512 11 177 5 154 6 151 7 167 7 155 9512 8849 9*149 5 156 6 152 7 169 7 158 8849 8250 8*121 5 157 6 153 7 171 7 161 8250 7741 8 111 5 159 6 154 7 172 7 165 7741 7344 8 108 5 158 6 154 7 173 7 166 7344 7068 7 107 4 159 6 154 7 173 7 165 7068 6898 7 106 4 159 6 153 6 174 5*161 6898 6801 6 105 4 159 5 154 6 174 3*152 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography