DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.0 - - 77.5 - - 83.8 - - 84.2 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 179 - - 482 - - 480 - - 192 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1694 - - 6081 - - 10287 - - 10118 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 7502 - - 11223 - - 14659 - - 13965 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 8379 - - 12766 - - 16972 - - 16803 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1603 - - 2806 - - 2975 - - 3877 - - 10498 Hgt.Variab. W* 286 - - 611 - - 728 - - 535 - - 15 W* B/S 16 - - 62 - - 45 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 259 - - 164 - - 250 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -5 - - -10 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2690 - - -689 - - 971 - - -117 - - -7145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11070 - - 13456 - - 16002 - - 16921 - - 13947 sfcLCL ODpotential -6882 - - -3504 - - -1183 - - -2018 - - -9725 ODpotential blCL 15261 - - 16270 - - 18155 - - 18821 - - 16526 blCL maxRH 79 - - 75 - - 72 - - 81 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 150 - - 160 - - 70 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 67.0 - - 77.5 - - 83.8 - - 84.2 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 41.8 - - 36.6 - - 33.1 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.9 - - 74.8 - - 80.9 - - 82.8 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.8 - - 41.3 - - 36.1 - - 32.5 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 179 - - 482 - - 480 - - 192 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1694 - - 6081 - - 10287 - - 10118 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 1 - - 0 - - 23 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98968 38 101 36 102 28 101 33 077 41 098 98968 91497 34 095 37 100 32 108 26 096 33 083 91497 85748 24 088 30 102 30 103 25 101 25 080 85748 80965 21 097 18 103 27 091 23 108 19 081 80965 76843 24 102 12 095 20 094 23 104 17 093 76843 73215 19 094 13 102 15 102 21 099 22 099 73215 69962 16 088 20 105 14 099 19 095 23 107 69962 66999 15 094 20 103 14 119 11 103 19 107 66999 64264 15 099 16 107 17 129 10 124 11 107 64264 61626 11 108 14 111 15 136 10 142 9 138 61626 58888 9 139 11 129 13 129 13 137 12 143 58888 56064 8 159 13 159 10 162 9 150 9 152 56064 53381 10 166 18 171 17 184 18 199 11 195 53381 50966 12 157 23 172 26 186 26 204 17 211 50966 48791 14 173 24 179 26 189 28 201 22 215 48791 46802 16 197 23 183 25 192 25 206 29 227 46802 44965 19 205 23 189 27 202 30 217 37 223 44965 43256 20 205 23 193 29 197 29 219 35 214 43256 41655 21 210 23 205 29 205 27 226 32 216 41655 40148 23 215 26 215 30 207 28 232 33 228 40148 38734 23 215 27 222 26 210 28 227 36 230 38734 37385 20 217 28 223 27 218 25 226 39 226 37385 36043 17 212 24 218 31 213 22 229 36 231 36043 34679 18 214 18 218 26 212 22 219 24 238 34679 33297 13 220 15 214 20 209 18 216 22 231 33297 31880 8 243 16 199 18 212 16 214 21 222 31880 30422 5 255 13 195 18 209 17 204 17 221 30422 28924 7 237 11 184 16 197 18 194 14 232 28924 27392 10 229 10 182 15 199 19 201 16 220 27392 25834 12 201 11 191 10 204 15 199 18 208 25834 24252 16 183 6 204 6 120 10 134 13 179 24252 22644 16 161 8 189 6 097 15 096 18 119 22644 21003 13 131 9 149 11 112 19 083 19 112 21003 19351 8 093 9 118 14 104 16 083 14 126 19351 17768 5 081 9 105 13*092 8*084 7 148 17768 16326 7 089 10 093 9*091 1*098 3 189 16326 15033 8 066 9 085 6 104 1 100 4 263 15033 13867 10 043 9*075 5 109 3 252 7 277 13867 12809 11 027 6*066 3 147 5 253 9 282 12809 11848 10 015 2 041 3 181 7 253 11 285 11848 10976 7 002 2 274 4 196 8 252 12 289 10976 10188 5 320 3 262 4 206 8 251 12 293 10188 9475 4 289 3 253 4 214 9 251 13 297 9475 8821 1*254 4 250 5 217 9 250 13 301 8821 8231 3*139 4 249 5 221 9 250 14 304 8231 7729 3 138 4 247 5 223 10 250 14 305 7729 7337 3 137 4 246 5 224 10 249 13 304 7337 7064 3 136 4 246 5 226 9 249 11 302 7064 6897 3 136 4 246 5 226 9 250 9*298 6897 6801 3 137 4 246 5 227 8 249 6*294 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography