DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 83.8 - - 82.4 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 474 - - 155 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7997 - - 10340 - - 9741 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12753 - - 14696 - - 13504 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14682 - - 17025 - - 16426 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2865 - - 2011 - - 2426 - - 7690 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 656 - - 726 - - 492 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 254 - - 262 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 5 - - -19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6643 - - -5426 - - -5620 - - -11874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21326 - - 22452 - - 22047 - - 18675 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11595 - - -9548 - - -9900 - - -17177 ODpotential blCL - - - 26277 - - 26573 - - 26326 - - 23977 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 86 - - 88 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 83.8 - - 82.4 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.0 - - 7.3 - - 8.1 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 81.0 - - 81.3 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.3 - - 6.5 - - 7.4 - - 13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 474 - - 155 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7997 - - 10340 - - 9741 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 43 - - 52 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99147 29 113 27 086 35 087 32 102 99147 91664 24 115 28 109 21 090 26 075 91664 85897 22 110 24 105 19 103 19 066 85897 81123 25 103 18 118 19 094 19 072 81123 77028 22 091 19 117 18 104 16 086 77028 73413 22 081 22 103 18 113 13 106 73413 70144 13 067 23 095 15 100 10 105 70144 67148 8 120 9 073 14 080 10 100 67148 64372 7 093 5 063 12 061 14 071 64372 61680 2 353 8 287 14 351 21 025 61680 58872 3 280 7 211 12 259 16 335 58872 55970 12 286 5 269 11 282 13 302 55970 53210 28 272 22 291 20 297 19 321 53210 50733 37 263 36 285 33 295 31 308 50733 48515 39 263 41 278 38 293 33 301 48515 46493 36 266 42 273 38 291 34 302 46493 44629 36 275 41 272 41 287 40 293 44629 42907 41 278 42 272 44 279 45 288 42907 41319 45 274 46 273 46 274 48 283 41319 39856 46 271 52 269 47 271 49 278 39856 38501 47 270 54 263 50 268 50 274 38501 37210 47 268 52 261 53 266 53 269 37210 35913 48 267 52 264 52 267 54 270 35913 34585 48 265 53 266 51 269 53 274 34585 33231 48 264 54 267 52 269 52 276 33231 31842 49 263 55 268 51 269 49 275 31842 30408 49 265 54 268 48 267 46 270 30408 28934 48 266 49 266 46 264 46 265 28934 27420 46 265 45 261 44 261 46 264 27420 25872 44 262 43 260 43 261 43 265 25872 24294 42 261 41 261 41 263 39 266 24294 22682 37 259 37 262 39 262 36 266 22682 21029 32 251 33 260 37 260 32 262 21029 19365 30 244 30 255 34 254 28 252 19365 17774 30 239 26*251 24*251 23 235 17774 16326 28 237 17*252 17*253 18 236 16326 15029 24*240 16 253 15 255 15 246 15029 13860 17*243 15 254 15 256 14 254 13860 12800 14 243 15 254 14 259 13 262 12800 11838 11 238 15 254 13 262 12 270 11838 10965 9 228 15 255 12 265 11 280 10965 10177 9 226 15 255 11 267 10 290 10177 9465 8 225 15 255 11 268 10 300 9465 8813 8 223 15 255 11 270 10 308 8813 8224 8 222 15 255 10 271 10 314 8224 7724 8 222 15 255 10 272 10 319 7724 7334 8 222 15 255 10 273 9 322 7334 7062 7 221 14 255 10 273 7 326 7062 6896 7 222 14 255 9 273 5 328 6896 6800 7 222 12 255 8 273 4*330 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography