DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 82.1 - - 81.4 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 496 - - 168 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7591 - - 8790 - - 8655 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12466 - - 13444 - - 12727 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14276 - - 15475 - - 15340 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1667 - - 1580 - - 1733 - - 2807 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 667 - - 699 - - 488 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 24 - - 22 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 281 - - 277 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -8 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3720 - - -3402 - - -3888 - - -9820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17997 - - 18878 - - 19229 - - 16621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8329 - - -7999 - - -8502 - - -15464 ODpotential blCL - - - 22605 - - 23474 - - 23842 - - 22264 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 31 - - 30 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 82.1 - - 81.4 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 22.0 - - 19.9 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 79.6 - - 80.4 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 21.5 - - 19.5 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 496 - - 168 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7591 - - 8790 - - 8655 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98570 16 087 18 083 11 097 10 076 98570 91152 20 078 15 096 13 045 17 084 91152 85439 19 091 23 092 12 094 23 079 85439 80682 23 090 14 103 15 089 19 080 80682 76595 18 100 16 103 15 057 18 093 76595 72992 12 112 13 092 12 070 13 086 72992 69742 8 098 9 085 9 091 9 083 69742 66766 11 160 7 113 6 134 7 109 66766 64003 10 218 4 179 5 153 6 123 64003 61342 22 211 16 255 10 268 5 232 61342 58588 20 226 31 248 22 264 22 277 58588 55738 19 257 31 251 34 259 36 265 55738 53029 30 256 33 262 39 265 37 260 53029 50588 32 265 36 268 44 265 40 267 50588 48396 47 268 51 266 56 262 55 271 48396 46408 62 259 63 263 67 259 69 268 46408 44589 72 256 70 263 70 260 74 265 44589 42906 68 258 70 261 66 260 72 262 42906 41334 66 261 67 261 63 264 65 264 41334 39859 61 264 63 262 59 267 58 266 39859 38480 55 271 56 263 55 267 52 270 38480 37166 51 274 50 266 51 266 50 271 37166 35853 46 276 44 268 50 265 49 270 35853 34513 43 283 40 271 47 266 45 274 34513 33152 43 289 38 278 41 269 39 279 33152 31756 44 291 37 286 36 274 35 280 31756 30318 45 291 38 291 34 277 33 276 30318 28840 47 292 39 292 34 277 31 274 28840 27325 47 292 40 289 34 276 30 278 27325 25776 46 292 40 286 35 276 31 280 25776 24200 45 293 41 282 36 278 34 280 24200 22592 42 290 40 277 37 281 34 279 22592 20946 40 285 40 273 38 283 33 282 20946 19291 39 281 39 274 37 287 33 286 19291 17708 38 280 37 279 34 286 32 283 17708 16270 35 280 32*281 27*277 31 272 16270 14983 30*281 25*281 24*275 29 267 14983 13823 25*281 25 281 24 275 28 269 13823 12772 23 281 25 281 24 276 28 272 12772 11817 23 281 25 281 23 276 27 276 11817 10950 22 281 24 281 23 277 26 280 10950 10167 22 281 24 281 22 278 25 284 10167 9458 22 280 24 281 22 278 24 288 9458 8808 21 280 24 281 21 278 23 291 8808 8222 21 280 24 281 21 278 22 294 8222 7723 20 279 23 281 20 279 20 295 7723 7333 19 279 22 281 20 279 17 297 7333 7062 19 279 21 281 19 279 13 297 7062 6896 18 279 20 281 18 279 9*299 6896 6800 16 279 17 281 15 279 5*299 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography