DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 68.5 - - 59.0 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 219 - - -12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1736 - - 3495 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7130 - - 8905 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8421 - - 10180 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2379 - - 6190 - - 1844 - - 3098 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 232 - - 394 - - 34 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 25 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 207 - - 264 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1621 - - 452 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6800 - - 9729 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 290 - - -1940 - - -3080 - - -2004 ODpotential blCL - - - 8131 - - 12120 - - 9879 - - 8803 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 91 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 800 - - 770 - - 660 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 68.5 - - 59.0 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 48.8 - - 52.8 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 67.4 - - 60.3 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 48.2 - - 51.6 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 219 - - -12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1736 - - 3495 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 62 - - 100 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97801 29 279 27 300 23 301 26 302 97801 90573 8 282 17 286 18 289 17 300 90573 84977 3 312 15 264 17 301 7 293 84977 80299 6 281 10 242 14 279 9 310 80299 76276 4 316 4 176 14 251 12 299 76276 72741 5 316 1 246 3 221 6 296 72741 69554 7 308 3 309 2 019 2 245 69554 66640 12 290 5 299 3 317 3 154 66640 63942 10 259 9 254 7 249 2 042 63942 61338 10 244 14 224 14 216 10 237 61338 58656 13 270 11 240 5 249 10 262 58656 55895 22 262 20 239 18 253 22 224 55895 53266 27 260 21 244 23 245 20 206 53266 50890 35 270 34 268 27 272 13 230 50890 48724 46 275 40 268 36 282 20 238 48724 46720 55 269 49 259 40 266 35 248 46720 44856 61 260 54 257 46 256 44 244 44856 43116 65 253 57 254 51 248 52 240 43116 41484 69 249 59 246 56 241 60 238 41484 39949 73 245 61 240 61 238 66 237 39949 38506 75 241 63 240 65 239 71 239 38506 37127 74 238 69 240 67 239 74 241 37127 35746 72 236 75 240 70 240 74 240 35746 34338 70 234 78 239 73 240 74 237 34338 32915 69 233 78 238 74 240 75 235 32915 31470 68 231 75 237 70 239 72 235 31470 29997 66 229 71 236 67 235 67 235 29997 28500 60 225 67 234 66 228 64 232 28500 26980 55 223 62 233 61 224 63 226 26980 25439 50 222 59 233 64 225 63 222 25439 23878 49 220 56 228 64 226 62 222 23878 22290 49 216 53 224 58 224 59 222 22290 20667 50 215 50 222 50 221 55 218 20667 19034 50 216 51 221 48 219 53 217 19034 17473 50 217 50 218 50 220 53 220 17473 16056 48 215 47 214 50 220 49 221 16056 14789 45 215 44 211 46 217 43 221 14789 13648 42 215 40 209 41 211 39 220 13648 12615 40 216 37 209 37 211 39 221 12615 11679 36 215 36 209 35 215 38 223 11679 10832 32 210 34*210 33 222 39 228 10832 10069 28 203 32*210 32 233 37 233 10069 9380 25 199 30 209 31 239 32 238 9380 8749 25*198 27 208 31 240 29 244 8749 8180 24*198 24 207 29 242 27 247 8180 7695 23 197 22 205 25 247 25 251 7695 7317 21 195 19 204 20 252 21 255 7317 7053 19 193 18 203 13 258 15 260 7053 6892 18 193 16 203 11 260 12 260 6892 6799 14 192 14 202 5*264 6*258 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography