DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 61.5 - - 59.4 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 380 - - 55 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4338 - - 6425 - - 5059 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9706 - - 11403 - - 9063 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11023 - - 13110 - - 11744 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2088 - - 1480 - - 2185 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 485 - - 574 - - 281 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 24 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 311 - - 309 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3410 - - -1985 - - -3072 - - -5346 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14434 - - 15096 - - 14817 - - 12146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9147 - - -6580 - - -8028 - - -12725 ODpotential blCL - - - 20170 - - 19690 - - 19772 - - 19524 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 56 - - 60 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 61.5 - - 59.4 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.3 - - 18.9 - - 18.2 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 59.6 - - 59.2 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.7 - - 18.1 - - 17.6 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 380 - - 55 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4338 - - 6425 - - 5059 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96327 15 295 8 295 13 277 20 296 96327 89168 14 243 8 284 8 327 9 355 89168 83647 7 243 7 277 10 279 9 312 83647 79069 10 236 14 246 10 247 5 297 79069 75098 13 290 7 321 6 234 3 318 75098 71567 24 291 22 293 20 299 17 318 71567 68399 27 281 26 293 28 285 22 304 68399 65525 27 301 22 302 22 304 18 315 65525 62867 34 299 24 305 25 307 33 319 62867 60285 38 307 33 307 32 308 42 309 60285 57580 44 312 44 309 41 309 45 298 57580 54757 58 316 52 309 53 308 51 302 54757 52052 63 312 62 313 58 308 57 308 52052 49615 62 306 66 313 63 313 59 314 49615 47433 57 306 60 310 61 314 59 313 47433 45457 46 312 49 307 50 313 52 306 45457 43656 43 320 47 311 44 315 45 306 43656 42010 49 320 54 320 46 316 42 313 42010 40496 53 315 62 322 49 316 40 317 40496 39087 51 307 57 314 53 316 40 315 39087 37764 51 301 51 300 51 312 40 309 37764 36497 48 300 51 303 49 309 41 306 36497 35224 39 303 43 303 47 309 41 306 35224 33919 34 309 41 304 44 311 41 307 33919 32589 31 308 40 308 43 313 40 308 32589 31223 29 302 40 310 43 313 39 309 31223 29813 30 296 40 311 43 313 38 309 29813 28363 31 294 41 313 42 314 38 309 28363 26875 33 298 41 315 42 316 38 310 26875 25352 35 306 41 318 42 319 39 313 25352 23801 36 312 40 322 41 322 40 317 23801 22216 36 315 39 326 40 325 39 320 22216 20591 36 316 37 329 38 327 38 322 20591 18958 37 316 37 330 36 329 36 324 18958 17396 37 318 37 329 35 329 35 324 17396 15979 37 320 36 329 34 330 35 325 15979 14715 36 322 33 330 31 330 34 325 14715 13580 33 325 27*325 27 327 32 323 13580 12557 29 325 25*319 24*319 29 320 12557 11630 26*323 25 317 24*316 27 317 11630 10792 23*320 25 314 24 313 26 316 10792 10036 22 316 25 312 24 310 25 317 10036 9352 22 312 25 309 24 309 24 318 9352 8727 21 308 25 308 23 307 23 317 8727 8162 21 305 24 307 23 306 22 314 8162 7682 20 303 24 305 23 305 20 307 7682 7308 20 301 23 305 22 304 18 298 7308 7049 19 300 22 304 21 304 14 290 7049 6890 18 299 21 304 19 303 11*287 6890 6799 15 298 18 303 15 303 6*282 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography