DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.5 - - 47.6 - - 55.0 - - 53.1 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 193 - - 235 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1333 - - 3672 - - 2809 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7275 - - 9052 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8018 - - 10357 - - 9494 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 1128 - - 1608 - - 2614 - - 402 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 271 - - 405 - - 40 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 24 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 080 - - 101 - - 207 - - 256 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -5 - - -3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4841 - - -6155 - - -6038 - - -6733 - - -6635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11638 - - 14173 - - 16396 - - 16228 - - 13434 sfcLCL ODpotential -16091 - - -13781 - - -12419 - - -12790 - - -14030 ODpotential blCL 22888 - - 21799 - - 22776 - - 22284 - - 20828 blCL maxRH 73 - - 90 - - 90 - - 66 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.5 - - 47.6 - - 55.0 - - 53.1 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.7 - - 9.8 - - 6.9 - - 5.9 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.7 - - 46.3 - - 53.5 - - 53.7 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.4 - - 9.4 - - 6.4 - - 5.2 - - 8.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 193 - - 235 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1333 - - 3672 - - 2809 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 60 - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96362 10 218 18 253 10 299 13 269 12 224 96362 89236 6 047 6 115 7 250 13 316 5 049 89236 83747 5 040 10 069 2 214 5 316 5 015 83747 79200 5 037 8 049 4 345 2 029 7 028 79200 75284 7 027 7 034 5 339 1 023 10 005 75284 71805 8 026 3 047 3 001 1 271 10 327 71805 68653 2 315 1 275 4 355 1 239 8 290 68653 65769 3 182 5 222 5 300 3 248 10 267 65769 63104 1 122 5 185 2 247 7 220 14 243 63104 60527 3 211 10 205 9 264 8 261 12 257 60527 57823 8 211 16 227 15 252 17 268 19 255 57823 55009 14 236 20 243 23 254 27 256 25 244 55009 52316 21 235 26 246 27 255 25 259 25 232 52316 49870 24 238 27 247 30 247 32 247 31 237 49870 47654 24 248 28 246 32 241 37 240 39 235 47654 45622 33 256 30 243 33 241 40 240 44 237 45622 43749 36 243 41 242 45 239 42 239 45 236 43749 42018 35 237 47 232 49 233 46 234 47 238 42018 40417 39 226 46 227 49 227 50 231 52 235 40417 38937 41 204 48 223 51 224 51 228 58 229 38937 37574 42 190 48 220 59 223 53 228 62 227 37574 36291 44 188 47 217 67 221 58 226 66 227 36291 35016 40 192 47 216 68 220 62 225 67 227 35016 33716 35 196 47 218 64 224 65 225 66 228 33716 32392 32 196 47 220 58 225 63 229 65 229 32392 31032 30 196 48 222 49 223 56 232 60 231 31032 29630 30 192 47 224 44 218 45 233 54 232 29630 28188 32 190 44 228 40 215 37 228 46 228 28188 26712 35 189 33 231 35 216 32 222 39 227 26712 25203 36 187 22 220 29 217 33 223 37 229 25203 23664 34 185 23 214 24 213 32 224 36 230 23664 22093 28 182 24 202 23 212 27 225 32 232 22093 20485 25 183 26 197 24 212 21 225 24 236 20485 18867 23 187 21 201 24 212 20 226 19 236 18867 17319 21 198 18 208 19 217 18 229 20 232 17319 15916 16 218 15 213 13 224 16 232 22 230 15916 14666 12 228 10 211 10 222 11 234 18 230 14666 13542 9 220 8 211 10 221 7 222 13 228 13542 12525 8 206 7 214 8 230 6 221 9 224 12525 11603 8 192 7 211 6 232 5 235 8 222 11603 10768 7 173 6 198 4*217 3 249 8 228 10768 10014 7 150 4 183 3*211 3*255 7 240 10014 9334 9 131 4 162 3 210 4*256 6 252 9334 8712 10 128 5 138 3 207 4 256 5 270 8712 8151 10 131 4*112 3 206 5 256 5 287 8151 7675 10 128 4*103 3 206 5 255 6 288 7675 7305 9 117 4 101 3 206 5 255 6 284 7305 7047 9 101 4 099 3 207 5 255 6 284 7047 6889 7 087 4 100 3 206 5 254 4 296 6889 6798 5*080 4 100 3 207 4 254 3*319 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography