DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 84.6 - - - - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 337 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6567 - - 10041 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11567 - - 14256 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13252 - - 16726 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4220 - - 3106 - - - - - 826 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 602 - - 638 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 278 - - - - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1437 - - 830 - - - - - -6752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14690 - - 15896 - - - - - 13554 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3481 - - -665 - - - - - -10597 ODpotential blCL - - - 16733 - - 17391 - - - - - 17398 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 94 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 230 - - - - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 84.6 - - - - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.5 - - 38.1 - - - - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 82.4 - - - - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 38.0 - - - - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 337 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6567 - - 10041 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 77 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99198 24 124 19 107 24 106 99198 91778 27 121 20 135 21 108 91778 86022 22 101 21 118 18 089 86022 81233 17 081 24 102 20 085 81233 77102 14 096 22 089 19 086 77102 73453 11 105 12 085 13 094 73453 70166 10 110 7 058 12 101 70166 67163 8 097 7 095 10 095 67163 64398 4 125 8 134 9 068 64398 61730 9 167 8 184 5 053 61730 58960 7 161 9 193 7 246 58960 56118 7 170 12 181 14 235 56118 53426 18 222 20 217 19 259 53426 51011 31 228 32 235 33 256 51011 48855 39 230 44 237 41 243 48855 46895 42 235 46 237 45 243 46895 45086 46 247 50 242 46 247 45086 43403 49 250 51 245 47 248 43403 41828 46 244 48 243 47 247 41828 40347 43 240 49 242 45 246 40347 38954 39 239 49 239 44 246 38954 37622 36 241 46 240 41 246 37622 36286 31 237 40 241 37 244 36286 34922 27 239 34 239 37 239 34922 33537 26 230 31 239 33 238 33537 32120 30 227 30 242 27 245 32120 30660 30 226 27 249 24 253 30660 29160 23 217 27 244 21 254 29160 27621 19 217 28 233 21 248 27621 26050 16 223 22 219 18 248 26050 24452 13 237 11 227 14 246 24452 22825 15 254 10 254 13 224 22825 21163 17 265 7 299 13 208 21163 19490 11 267 5 315 12 204 19490 17886 8 280 4*310 9 213 17886 16425 7 295 5*294 8 229 16425 15114 6 304 6 288 6 240 15114 13931 6*306 7 285 4 267 13931 12861 7*305 8 282 5 301 12861 11888 8 300 9 278 7 310 11888 11006 8 296 10 276 8 309 11006 10211 8 288 11 275 9 308 10211 9491 8 281 11 274 10 307 9491 8832 9 277 12 273 11 306 8832 8238 9 274 12 273 12 305 8238 7733 9 272 12 271 12 303 7733 7338 9 270 12 272 11 300 7338 7064 9 269 12 271 9 295 7064 6897 8 269 11 271 6*288 6897 6801 8 267 10 271 4*286 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography