DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 80.8 - - 78.1 - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 444 - - 75 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5258 - - 8198 - - 5875 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10500 - - 12901 - - 9932 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11943 - - 14883 - - 12560 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2550 - - 1779 - - 2751 - - 3971 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 654 - - 323 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 266 - - 280 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -15 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 589 - - 1163 - - -1122 - - -5582 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11355 - - 13721 - - 13683 - - 12383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1403 - - -67 - - -3696 - - -9138 ODpotential blCL - - - 13346 - - 14950 - - 16256 - - 15939 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 90 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 100 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 80.8 - - 78.1 - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 43.8 - - 41.5 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 78.2 - - 77.4 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 43.7 - - 41.4 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 444 - - 75 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5258 - - 8198 - - 5875 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 59 - - 90 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98832 16 124 11 093 17 095 9 106 98832 91415 9 122 11 113 11 103 12 102 91415 85682 5 108 12 137 1 226 9 084 85682 80923 6 062 16 129 4 191 13 080 80923 76822 12 078 12 117 7 157 10 077 76822 73205 10 077 16 105 15 134 5 074 73205 69953 12 104 7 071 18 094 8 117 69953 66971 8 131 4 024 12 064 14 103 66971 64215 13 151 8 215 1 075 4 292 64215 61572 11 183 12 213 7 232 9 226 61572 58856 11 223 20 210 18 228 18 243 58856 56082 24 254 26 230 28 242 28 247 56082 53453 36 251 37 245 40 247 38 253 53453 51082 44 240 44 242 46 245 44 248 51082 48943 44 236 46 244 45 240 45 239 48943 46977 45 244 47 249 43 247 40 236 46977 45154 53 246 53 250 52 258 42 249 45154 43450 58 242 58 241 56 252 50 254 43450 41850 56 231 56 233 56 239 53 250 41850 40347 54 225 54 227 57 230 54 242 40347 38937 54 221 53 225 54 222 52 233 38937 37593 54 220 54 219 54 214 52 228 37593 36249 52 218 55 220 57 210 51 222 36249 34878 52 217 54 224 56 211 49 217 34878 33486 51 221 53 225 52 222 47 218 33486 32058 48 225 51 226 51 232 46 223 32058 30587 41 234 43 229 47 231 45 225 30587 29077 36 235 38 230 39 227 41 228 29077 27533 34 229 37 231 34 227 35 232 27533 25957 33 231 35 233 31 226 33 231 25957 24354 32 239 32 236 28 229 33 227 24354 22720 29 240 31 240 25 233 29 222 22720 21051 26 237 28 244 22 237 25 224 21051 19375 24 238 24 243 21 242 20 227 19375 17774 24 247 22 248 19 249 17 230 17774 16319 23 256 19 257 17 255 14 236 16319 15020 22 263 14*263 14 261 12 254 15020 13850 20 264 13*265 12 271 12 271 13850 12790 15*259 13 266 12*277 12 278 12790 11828 11*256 13 266 12*279 12 280 11828 10956 9 258 13 267 13 279 12 283 10956 10170 8 259 13 267 13 280 11 287 10170 9459 7 259 13 267 13 280 10 295 9459 8808 7 259 13 267 14 280 9 308 8808 8220 7 259 13 267 14 280 10 321 8220 7721 7 259 13 267 14 280 11 327 7721 7332 7 258 13 266 14 280 11 328 7332 7062 7 259 12 267 13 280 9 326 7062 6895 7 259 12 266 13 280 7*326 6895 6801 6 258 11 267 11 280 3*330 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography