DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 51.7 - - 49.7 - - 45.6 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 57 - - 50 - - -17 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 225 - - 3430 - - 1331 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8173 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6910 - - 10115 - - 8016 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1465 - - 3549 - - 5346 - - 5309 - - 3426 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 - - 268 - - 187 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 19 - - 14 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 174 - - 232 - - 253 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - -4 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 112 - - 2774 - - 571 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 7341 - - 7445 - - 6799 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -1899 - - -158 - - -1668 - - -1907 - - -1599 ODpotential blCL 8809 - - 10273 - - 9684 - - 8706 - - 8397 blCL maxRH 89 - - 94 - - 98 - - 72 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 750 - - 750 - - 510 - - 660 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 51.7 - - 49.7 - - 45.6 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 43.0 - - 40.6 - - 40.2 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 51.4 - - 49.4 - - 46.8 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 41.8 - - 39.3 - - 39.3 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 57 - - 50 - - -17 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 225 - - 3430 - - 1331 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 77 - - 90 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97485 17 250 17 276 29 273 24 279 28 281 97485 90267 19 277 18 267 14 270 14 287 20 275 90267 84710 15 275 17 253 13 253 11 274 10 253 84710 80081 15 274 15 262 12 248 13 253 9 260 80081 76071 13 255 14 245 12 242 15 256 15 264 76071 72516 11 258 10 215 12 247 12 281 12 266 72516 69299 16 262 10 224 15 250 13 293 8 274 69299 66359 15 249 11 237 15 225 16 267 11 270 66359 63641 13 251 11 257 11 227 15 242 16 249 63641 61008 17 255 14 261 14 246 20 238 25 238 61008 58259 19 249 17 260 18 242 19 220 22 224 58259 55397 17 239 21 242 17 238 12 220 16 232 55397 52644 14 221 17 215 19 238 19 244 24 262 52644 50143 10 214 14 207 26 233 29 247 35 259 50143 47896 5 208 21 227 25 236 32 240 29 244 47896 45850 19 225 22 224 29 249 22 255 17 247 45850 43961 32 217 25 230 36 247 28 271 19 287 43961 42201 45 198 41 229 40 237 37 257 30 280 42201 40556 41 191 47 210 44 224 44 240 39 266 40556 39016 36 194 41 198 45 216 43 234 40 258 39016 37582 38 205 38 209 42 216 37 239 39 257 37582 36225 48 210 46 217 44 220 36 238 41 255 36225 34883 61 203 64 209 53 218 36 230 38 247 34883 33525 73 201 71 207 64 212 37 227 31 254 33525 32156 76 201 79 206 73 207 41 228 36 258 32156 30765 75 200 79 201 73 202 44 228 47 250 30765 29350 74 198 73 194 64 198 43 225 59 244 29350 27912 72 195 68 191 55 192 45 222 64 237 27912 26449 64 192 65 192 43 181 47 219 61 233 26449 24962 55 189 62 193 43 184 45 215 57 232 24962 23450 53 186 60 193 47 186 43 209 50 235 23450 21907 51 186 56 192 50 189 41 205 44 240 21907 20324 47 189 52 190 51 193 38 205 40 242 20324 18730 44 192 46 189 45 192 38 200 37 240 18730 17204 42 194 37 186 42 191 40 200 34 233 17204 15816 36 193 32 181 37 191 40 205 32 229 15816 14575 27 189 31 181 38 189 39 207 30 227 14575 13460 21 170 29 178 35 188 36 209 25 228 13460 12453 23 166 27 177 32 188 32 211 21 230 12453 11542 23 170 26 178 28 190 28 216 18 233 11542 10718 24 176 25*178 25 194 23 222 14 237 10718 9976 27 181 24*177 21 201 20 231 10 245 9976 9306 29 179 22 176 19 207 18 240 9 259 9306 8692 30 170 20 174 18 214 17 247 9 274 8692 8138 28 163 19 173 17*219 16 252 10 281 8138 7667 25 154 18 172 15*228 15 254 10 285 7667 7300 20 143 17 172 14 232 14 255 9 284 7300 7045 15*133 16 172 13 233 13 254 7 272 7045 6888 13*129 15 171 13 234 10*254 5*252 6888 6798 9 127 12 171 11 235 7*253 4*244 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography