DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.7 - - 87.2 - - 91.7 - - 89.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 111 - - 403 - - 428 - - 132 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 797 - - 7391 - - 13584 - - 11448 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 6784 - - 12207 - - 17323 - - 14716 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7482 - - 14076 - - 20269 - - 18133 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 625 - - 5421 - - 1598 - - 3150 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* 191 - - 614 - - 770 - - 495 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 15 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 298 - - 288 - - 306 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 14 - - 7 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -9 - - 15 - - -20 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4427 - - -4219 - - -30 - - -2657 - - -10839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11910 - - 18296 - - 20300 - - 20791 - - 17641 sfcLCL ODpotential -8863 - - -7727 - - -2789 - - -6152 - - -15727 ODpotential blCL 16345 - - 21803 - - 23058 - - 24285 - - 22528 blCL maxRH 47 - - 44 - - 47 - - 42 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.7 - - 87.2 - - 91.7 - - 89.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 30.0 - - 25.0 - - 20.5 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.8 - - 84.7 - - 89.1 - - 88.2 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.8 - - 29.4 - - 24.4 - - 20.0 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 111 - - 403 - - 428 - - 132 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 797 - - 7391 - - 13584 - - 11448 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99315 35 103 35 106 34 098 35 106 30 096 99315 91811 34 100 32 098 32 108 32 104 32 099 91811 86029 34 102 30 105 30 107 32 102 32 096 86029 81262 34 092 30 115 27 104 26 094 28 086 81262 77166 29 085 26 104 25 104 24 091 23 086 77166 73541 21 094 21 086 23 112 22 083 22 094 73541 70254 15 102 13 112 20 096 16 086 20 087 70254 67231 12 119 15 124 7 100 8 092 16 072 67231 64432 6 088 8 098 8 135 5 098 8 080 64432 61738 2 110 3 067 3 140 3 194 0 159 61738 58956 6 341 4 345 9 343 8 013 9 034 58956 56123 9 334 6 246 13 280 18 327 21 344 56123 53463 17 339 6 290 12 247 16 300 18 319 53463 51068 30 326 22 333 13 318 14 303 18 308 51068 48906 36 307 33 326 27 321 21 307 21 304 48906 46928 36 300 38 313 35 316 27 308 25 309 46928 45100 39 304 42 308 40 309 34 308 31 314 45100 43399 39 302 44 307 42 307 41 307 38 313 43399 41810 38 295 42 304 41 307 43 305 40 309 41810 40321 37 290 40 298 38 306 40 302 39 306 40321 38926 36 291 38 294 36 303 36 299 37 302 38926 37596 35 294 35 295 34 298 33 298 34 300 37596 36267 33 296 33 300 30 298 29 298 31 294 36267 34909 30 296 29 302 26 297 24 296 27 289 34909 33529 27 296 23 297 23 288 22 292 23 290 33529 32116 25 297 19 285 20 280 20 284 22 287 32116 30663 22 295 18 272 19 271 19 278 22 286 30663 29171 18 296 18 264 20 263 18 275 20 289 29171 27641 14 299 19 258 20 262 17 279 17 295 27641 26079 13 299 18 262 20 271 15 285 13 299 26079 24490 12 296 18 276 17 292 11 297 7 302 24490 22867 15 294 16 290 15 313 9 328 5 313 22867 21204 18 281 16 304 13*327 11 004 2 005 21204 19529 19 271 18 307 12*312 13*004 7 024 19529 17924 19 274 18 299 12 299 13*357 12 015 17924 16460 18 284 17 295 12 296 13 346 13 006 16460 15145 17 306 17*297 13 291 12 332 13 358 15145 13960 19 316 16*306 13 288 12 322 13 350 13960 12884 19 320 13 312 14 285 13 307 13 340 12884 11909 18 329 12 311 14 284 14 296 14 329 11909 11024 16 344 9 307 15 283 15 291 14 320 11024 10225 14 003 6 293 15 282 16 288 15 311 10225 9503 11 023 4 273 15 282 16 286 17 305 9503 8842 8 048 4 265 15 282 16 285 17 301 8842 8245 9 078 4 257 15 282 16 284 17 299 8245 7737 12*092 3 250 15 281 16 284 17 297 7737 7341 12*092 3 246 15 281 16 283 16 294 7341 7066 11 092 3 245 14 281 16 283 13 291 7066 6897 10 091 3 244 14 281 15 283 9*286 6897 6801 8 091 3 243 13 281 13 282 5*282 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography