DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.2 - - 50.6 - - 54.2 - - 51.1 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 103 - - 111 - - -3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 204 - - 2469 - - 3322 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 7833 - - 8472 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6889 - - 9154 - - 10007 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 700 - - 2688 - - 3212 - - 5117 - - 247 Hgt.Variab. W* 73 - - 279 - - 314 - - 13 - - 20 W* B/S 5 - - 40 - - 21 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 167 - - 172 - - 169 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -9 - - -13 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 91 - - 2041 - - 1718 - - -541 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7113 - - 8289 - - 7340 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential 20 - - 342 - - -320 - - -2914 - - -3515 ODpotential blCL 6869 - - 8812 - - 10327 - - 9713 - - 10314 blCL maxRH 100 - - 91 - - 82 - - 80 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 140 - - 80 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.2 - - 50.6 - - 54.2 - - 51.1 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 42.9 - - 41.3 - - 42.4 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 49.9 - - 53.5 - - 53.0 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 41.7 - - 40.3 - - 41.4 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 103 - - 111 - - -3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 204 - - 2469 - - 3322 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 64 - - 26 - - 19 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96696 51 277 61 269 65 278 63 280 62 278 96696 89688 48 282 44 282 49 277 46 281 46 285 89688 84267 40 285 32 292 34 275 36 282 34 290 84267 79732 25 296 24 291 18 278 23 275 28 294 79732 75792 21 290 23 277 20 272 20 282 25 293 75792 72294 17 283 23 271 20 265 18 283 22 279 72294 69106 21 299 20 264 17 258 19 271 18 267 69106 66140 24 273 15 262 19 257 21 257 19 257 66140 63370 24 257 22 260 21 255 19 251 21 251 63370 60681 24 254 23 255 21 259 25 256 24 264 60681 57888 30 255 29 263 34 259 36 256 39 255 57888 55024 44 250 42 260 46 254 40 258 33 254 55024 52317 47 250 52 262 55 267 52 263 49 270 52317 49910 42 256 68 260 71 263 74 258 70 255 49910 47779 60 272 64 262 68 255 69 256 61 261 47779 45856 75 268 68 266 63 272 69 267 84 276 45856 44101 75 263 71 275 87 285 88 277 109 273 44101 42472 61 262 79 281 121 284 102 276 114 271 42472 40944 50 279 86 283 120 277 104 272 103 268 40944 39504 66 276 96 283 119 275 101 270 93 264 39504 38149 76 270 101 283 118 277 102 270 92 262 38149 36848 84 269 103 284 114 278 104 270 90 265 36848 35541 85 277 85 284 106 280 103 274 82 266 35541 34203 74 286 64 281 93 282 100 277 70 260 34203 32839 65 293 52 273 79 283 97 277 63 253 32839 31436 51 299 48 266 64 278 82 278 61 250 31436 29989 36 290 47 262 54 271 69 283 58 250 29989 28504 38 272 46 263 47 262 56 283 56 251 28504 26983 44 263 39 264 45 254 41 265 53 252 26983 25433 42 263 35 262 43 244 39 250 53 254 25433 23857 37 266 37 260 40 241 41 248 51 252 23857 22252 34 267 37 264 34 247 38 247 49 243 22252 20610 32 263 33 267 30 257 33 249 45 236 20610 18964 29 258 30 265 26 262 30 251 40 237 18964 17398 26 249 30 259 25 258 27 248 36 241 17398 15979 24 245 29 255 26 254 26 246 30 245 15979 14713 21 253 25 255 23 255 23 243 24 240 14713 13577 16 260 22 256 17 259 20 240 21 229 13577 12552 14 259 17 256 12 262 15 238 17 220 12552 11625 12 258 13 255 9 259 10 235 12 204 11625 10787 10 268 9 256 6 250 7 221 9 173 10787 10031 7 282 6 260 3*223 6 203 10 142 10031 9349 6 289 3*258 2*184 5 176 13 125 9349 8724 3 285 1*221 3 175 5 167 15 119 8724 8161 1 249 1 175 3 172 5 166 16 115 8161 7682 2 132 1 159 3 168 5 168 16 113 7682 7308 3 125 1 157 3 166 5 169 15 110 7308 7049 4*111 1 151 3 166 4 170 13 106 7049 6890 3*099 1 149 3 166 4*169 10*101 6890 6799 3 096 1 150 3 167 3*169 6*097 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography