DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 79.8 - - 81.9 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 65 - - 78 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2870 - - 7822 - - 5738 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8587 - - 11449 - - 9933 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9555 - - 14507 - - 12423 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3465 - - 3563 - - 6616 - - 4156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 429 - - 367 - - 332 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 288 - - 001 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 15 - - -13 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -993 - - 1774 - - -1523 - - -5105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10549 - - 12733 - - 13947 - - 11906 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3787 - - -680 - - -3298 - - -8558 ODpotential blCL - - - 13342 - - 15187 - - 15721 - - 15359 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 100 - - 91 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 780 - - 660 - - 560 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 79.8 - - 81.9 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 47.4 - - 44.2 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 79.5 - - 81.2 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 46.1 - - 43.5 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 65 - - 78 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2870 - - 7822 - - 5738 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 98 - - 64 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99073 30 113 23 122 16 087 30 098 99073 91677 24 111 25 116 12 109 18 091 91677 85965 24 108 20 106 17 115 16 087 85965 81186 24 097 17 100 24 101 18 097 81186 77068 19 091 17 096 19 090 18 097 77068 73435 12 091 16 096 12 086 16 085 73435 70150 11 078 9 112 10 077 12 061 70150 67151 9 077 3 135 2 091 7 029 67151 64395 5 095 3 132 6 180 3 287 64395 61744 5 088 3 059 7 129 4 193 61744 58992 1 094 2 020 5 094 5 166 58992 56158 3 247 6 307 5 299 4 261 56158 53479 5 280 5 307 6 316 5 246 53479 51071 12 289 11 275 15 286 12 283 51071 48908 12 276 18 257 24 270 23 276 48908 46936 15 284 21 255 29 265 30 267 46936 45113 21 268 22 251 31 258 34 263 45113 43415 25 246 24 238 31 248 35 256 43415 41828 34 228 27 232 29 238 32 254 41828 40341 34 219 27 227 27 232 25 250 40341 38947 31 226 27 222 30 228 23 238 38947 37616 32 233 26 227 33 224 26 238 37616 36285 32 231 26 233 32 227 31 238 36285 34927 28 224 24 232 29 230 24 242 34927 33547 23 217 20 227 23 235 20 242 33547 32131 18 216 14 227 16 235 21 243 32131 30671 17 225 8 237 11 247 16 239 30671 29170 18 226 7 236 11 245 13 236 29170 27631 12 214 8 229 12 246 11 241 27631 26059 8 221 12 218 14 252 13 256 26059 24459 7 248 13 216 13 259 16 262 24459 22826 9 292 9 233 16 251 17 261 22826 21155 14 295 11 241 17 253 13 270 21155 19480 16 298 10 240 17 270 12 298 19480 17881 15 324 7 256 17 280 13 298 17881 16423 15 336 7 273 16 285 13 293 16423 15113 14 322 7*283 14 290 11 291 15113 13931 14 308 8*289 13 294 10 290 13931 12859 12 302 9 289 11*301 8 290 12859 11887 10 294 10 289 9*316 5 298 11887 11005 9 276 10 289 8 340 4 312 11005 10209 7*260 11 287 9 001 3 340 10209 9490 4*225 11 286 9 009 2 001 9490 8832 4 180 11 286 9 012 2 013 8832 8237 5 162 11 287 9 012 1 019 8237 7733 5 155 10 287 9 013 1 025 7733 7339 5 151 10 287 9 012 0 093 7339 7065 5 150 9 287 9 012 1 199 7065 6897 5 149 9 288 8 012 1*208 6897 6801 5 150 8 287 7 012 1*204 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography