DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 85.7 - - - - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 447 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6215 - - 9644 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11280 - - 14084 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12900 - - 16329 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2358 - - 1472 - - - - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 589 - - 691 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 283 - - - - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3821 - - -2423 - - - - - -8847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16722 - - 18753 - - - - - 15648 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8542 - - -6182 - - - - - -15277 ODpotential blCL - - - 21442 - - 22511 - - - - - 22077 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 48 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 85.7 - - - - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 26.4 - - - - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.5 - - 83.1 - - - - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.1 - - 26.3 - - - - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 447 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6215 - - 9644 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98995 19 104 18 132 18 093 98995 91566 13 125 14 110 9 073 91566 85816 11 104 18 100 9 051 85816 81026 10 113 13 098 9 069 81026 76903 8 132 11 092 10 078 76903 73273 11 129 5 128 9 065 73273 70006 12 106 8 172 9 024 70006 67011 8 070 8 166 8 351 67011 64241 2 166 1 014 7 328 64241 61596 3 298 1 343 6 289 61596 58893 14 305 7 327 7 259 58893 56111 19 272 16 281 17 295 56111 53462 24 254 25 262 27 300 53462 51081 27 259 29 256 32 286 51081 48936 26 261 27 253 33 270 48936 46977 27 267 31 271 36 274 46977 45170 30 276 35 280 41 282 45170 43485 32 283 37 289 44 288 43485 41903 30 286 36 290 43 295 41903 40416 29 285 30 284 39 295 40416 39021 28 284 29 280 35 296 39021 37687 28 282 30 276 32 297 37687 36348 29 278 30 276 30 293 36348 34976 30 273 31 280 28 283 34976 33578 26 267 30 279 31 280 33578 32145 22 258 28 270 36 285 32145 30671 20 253 24 263 36 288 30671 29160 19 254 23 263 32 287 29160 27617 16 257 21 264 29 284 27617 26043 13 261 20 265 26 281 26043 24440 13 268 19 268 24 285 24440 22803 14 274 17 278 22 292 22803 21129 16 280 17 294 19 294 21129 19447 17 286 16 302 16 299 19447 17838 19 288 14 307 10 304 17838 16375 20 287 12*300 3 314 16375 15065 19 287 12*296 5 334 15065 13886 18*293 12 294 8 330 13886 12820 14*296 13 290 11 330 12820 11852 10 293 13 286 14 332 11852 10975 8 282 14 283 17 336 10975 10185 7 275 14 281 19 338 10185 9470 7 263 14 279 21 338 9470 8816 7 258 14 278 21 336 8816 8226 7 254 14 276 22 332 8226 7724 6 251 14 275 21 327 7724 7333 6 250 14 274 18 320 7333 7061 6 249 14 274 15 310 7061 6896 6 248 13 274 11*301 6896 6800 6 249 12 274 6*291 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography