DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 47.7 - - 39.9 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 150 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 744 - - 1417 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 7230 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7429 - - 8102 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 413 - - 411 - - 889 - - 174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 254 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 261 - - 237 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5020 - - -5927 - - -5001 - - -3370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12450 - - 14030 - - 11800 - - 10169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14691 - - -15012 - - -15946 - - -16291 ODpotential blCL - - - 22120 - - 23114 - - 22744 - - 23089 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 71 - - 73 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 47.7 - - 39.9 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.5 - - 10.8 - - 12.9 - - 11.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 46.8 - - 42.6 - - 37.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.3 - - 10.4 - - 12.7 - - 11.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 150 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 744 - - 1417 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95322 57 334 48 340 36 339 43 336 95322 88492 48 339 50 354 41 005 53 360 88492 83169 46 350 54 355 51 003 47 002 83169 78753 49 359 50 352 55 002 44 003 78753 74932 47 002 43 354 48 360 43 002 74932 71508 41 008 35 358 36 353 38 358 71508 68372 38 358 32 001 31 351 34 348 68372 65479 38 337 33 001 27 349 28 342 65479 62800 35 328 35 345 25 338 24 333 62800 60218 35 319 37 328 24 328 22 316 60218 57529 35 308 38 304 29 313 25 308 57529 54734 28 305 33 294 29 297 31 288 54734 52090 32 304 41 290 39 295 39 280 52090 49747 49 293 50 289 45 281 45 274 49747 47665 55 298 43 295 48 283 42 272 47665 45784 56 310 59 296 72 285 68 274 45784 44057 78 296 79 288 79 281 78 271 44057 42443 84 289 81 283 74 282 67 276 42443 40921 78 290 75 285 67 282 59 274 40921 39481 73 295 71 290 63 277 55 274 39481 38124 68 298 67 294 61 279 50 274 38124 36822 67 297 65 295 60 288 46 275 36822 35515 62 292 58 296 56 293 40 277 35515 34178 59 288 56 294 53 294 36 286 34178 32813 56 301 50 290 48 294 37 281 32813 31413 51 310 44 287 43 291 40 274 31413 29969 49 309 40 297 41 282 37 271 29969 28485 50 307 39 297 38 276 29 272 28485 26968 49 310 38 304 36 274 28 268 26968 25423 37 307 36 314 35 277 32 263 25423 23854 25 303 27 304 31 282 31 265 23854 22252 15 302 21 290 26 289 23 272 22252 20611 9 288 19 281 23 282 22 270 20611 18961 7 279 17 279 20 277 21 269 18961 17385 8 269 14 278 18 283 17 272 17385 15955 10 270 11 275 15 285 16 280 15955 14680 11 276 12 275 13 282 16 287 14680 13536 12 280 13 276 11 285 13 287 13536 12507 12 286 13 279 8 294 10 278 12507 11576 11 297 12 283 7 296 8 267 11576 10737 11 305 11 289 7 294 8 263 10737 9983 10 311 10 296 6 295 8 264 9983 9304 9 316 9 306 6 301 7 268 9304 8685 6 317 6 308 6 304 5 270 8685 8129 3 316 4*280 5 294 3 265 8129 7659 1*148 4*268 6 269 2 256 7659 7294 1*158 4 262 7 252 2 248 7294 7041 2 159 4 259 7 245 2 243 7041 6886 1 160 4 258 6*241 1*239 6886 6798 1 159 4 257 4*237 0*041 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography