DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.8 - - 62.6 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 464 - - 94 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6248 - - 9470 - - 10332 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11351 - - 13967 - - 13510 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12933 - - 16155 - - 17017 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1868 - - 1499 - - 2345 - - 11097 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 613 - - 699 - - 426 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 18 - - 25 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 237 - - 249 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - -30 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2308 - - -1702 - - -1314 - - -8551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15242 - - 17858 - - 18332 - - 15351 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6217 - - -5169 - - -4011 - - -11446 ODpotential blCL - - - 19150 - - 21324 - - 21028 - - 18245 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 83 - - 84 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.8 - - 62.6 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 8.3 - - 5.1 - - 10.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 61.3 - - 62.2 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.0 - - 7.5 - - 4.3 - - 9.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 464 - - 94 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6248 - - 9470 - - 10332 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 32 - - 38 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97359 35 295 38 307 30 308 19 307 97359 90087 44 295 39 303 31 320 23 301 90087 84471 43 270 46 288 37 304 39 306 84471 79754 38 252 45 265 41 278 39 281 79754 75667 31 252 39 248 41 263 37 254 75667 72078 31 253 29 247 40 255 31 248 72078 68827 31 254 27 253 39 247 28 256 68827 65824 33 258 36 246 34 248 31 264 65824 63026 39 252 39 242 34 257 41 260 63026 60314 43 249 36 249 43 253 48 252 60314 57497 46 249 39 257 46 248 48 242 57497 54595 48 248 46 253 44 248 43 242 54595 51842 51 249 47 254 46 252 41 255 51842 49367 54 251 52 255 50 254 45 261 49367 47140 57 251 59 250 56 254 48 259 47140 45112 59 250 65 247 62 253 51 254 45112 43256 62 250 66 244 66 247 56 252 43256 41550 63 251 69 245 67 247 63 249 41550 39981 71 256 79 244 70 244 68 248 39981 38532 79 257 82 241 68 236 69 249 38532 37190 78 257 81 242 66 236 70 250 37190 35915 76 255 79 245 66 237 70 249 35915 34642 76 255 76 246 64 236 67 246 34642 33345 70 255 70 245 62 237 64 244 33345 32026 61 256 66 246 63 238 60 242 32026 30677 56 259 62 244 63 237 55 240 30677 29286 54 260 58 242 60 237 50 246 29286 27862 53 259 54 243 51 241 46 254 27862 26406 50 260 51 245 43 241 43 255 26406 24923 46 260 46 247 40 239 41 253 24923 23417 43 258 42 251 39 239 41 252 23417 21884 39 258 40 252 38 243 43 251 21884 20319 34 259 38 250 38 250 43 246 20319 18747 27 258 35 244 37 252 40 243 18747 17245 24 253 31*240 34*251 35 243 17245 15879 25 246 22*235 29*248 34 244 15879 14653 25 243 20 235 27 247 33 245 14653 13544 22*240 19 235 26 246 32 247 13544 12538 18*234 18 236 26 247 31 249 12538 11623 16 229 18 236 25 247 30 250 11623 10792 14 227 17 238 25 248 30 251 10792 10040 12 221 17 238 24 250 29 252 10040 9359 12 220 16 239 24 251 28 253 9359 8734 11 218 16 240 24 251 27 254 8734 8168 11 218 15 241 23 252 25 254 8168 7688 11 218 15 241 23 252 21 255 7688 7312 10 217 14 242 22 252 17 255 7312 7051 10 217 14 242 21 252 13 254 7051 6891 10 217 13 242 20 252 8*251 6891 6799 9 217 12 242 16 252 5*244 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography