DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 91.4 - - 91.1 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 407 - - 114 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3759 - - 13460 - - 14897 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9287 - - 17184 - - 17263 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10444 - - 20145 - - 21582 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3004 - - 3904 - - 2333 - - 627 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 753 - - 513 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 36 - - 21 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 125 - - 279 - - 310 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -23 - - 20 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4453 - - 1457 - - 1338 - - -10485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14898 - - 18689 - - 20245 - - 17287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7039 - - -1335 - - -610 - - -13369 ODpotential blCL - - - 17483 - - 21480 - - 22192 - - 20170 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 71 - - 78 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 190 - - 40 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 91.4 - - 91.1 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 32.3 - - 25.0 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 88.8 - - 90.2 - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 31.7 - - 24.6 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 407 - - 114 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3759 - - 13460 - - 14897 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 0 - - 13 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99276 36 105 29 097 28 084 28 098 99276 91796 42 104 28 099 26 087 27 081 91796 86041 40 096 30 105 25 096 26 080 86041 81259 27 095 29 095 26 096 24 085 81259 77134 23 105 22 091 25 094 24 084 77134 73504 23 104 19 105 19 092 22 084 73504 70222 17 100 18 117 11 094 16 079 70222 67207 17 107 13 105 9 131 6 084 67207 64422 12 051 12 099 11 149 9 172 64422 61729 5 193 7 097 6 093 5 130 61729 58956 5 322 4 110 3 061 2 136 58956 56126 11 283 14 331 17 347 7 032 56126 53448 9 210 12 288 22 305 19 324 53448 51053 4 309 5 259 18 283 22 304 51053 48909 20 337 10 004 10 340 17 296 48909 46957 30 337 23 357 16 359 16 313 46957 45155 36 340 28 347 20 339 23 325 45155 43475 37 343 29 339 23 331 27 325 43475 41898 37 348 29 339 25 334 28 325 41898 40413 38 349 30 345 27 339 27 327 40413 39017 37 350 30 349 27 342 26 334 39017 37681 32 342 28 346 25 345 25 339 37681 36341 28 327 25 345 23 346 24 345 36341 34968 27 329 24 344 23 342 22 353 34968 33570 24 335 24 334 18 334 18 356 33570 32143 23 339 22 334 18 321 21 343 32143 30686 20 343 16 336 16 333 18 325 30686 29195 14 352 14 340 11 338 10 318 29195 27668 12 009 10 339 11 344 7 337 27668 26106 13 032 5 019 7 012 5 017 26106 24515 13 034 6 038 7 051 6 027 24515 22892 6 029 6 021 5*067 4 013 22892 21230 2 274 5*336 2*062 4 353 21230 19556 4 234 6*308 3 323 4 331 19556 17951 4 229 6 312 4 321 5 317 17951 16486 4 282 6 320 4 319 5 317 16486 15170 6 303 5 323 5 316 6 325 15170 13982 7 297 4 313 5 311 7 332 13982 12905 6 281 3 269 5 308 7 338 12905 11927 5 267 4 246 5 306 8 345 11927 11039 3*248 5 237 6 303 8 351 11039 10238 3*134 5 236 5 302 9 356 10238 9514 4 126 5 234 6 300 10 000 9514 8850 5 124 5 235 6 298 10 003 8850 8251 5 125 5 234 5 297 10 005 8251 7741 5 124 5 233 5 296 10 006 7741 7344 5 124 5 234 5 296 10 006 7344 7067 5 124 5 234 5 296 8 004 7067 6898 5 125 5 236 5 297 6*001 6898 6801 5 125 5 235 5 296 4*355 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography