DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 83.4 - - 81.1 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 367 - - 387 - - 80 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5845 - - 8953 - - 7578 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10921 - - 13450 - - 11251 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12530 - - 15638 - - 14263 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2602 - - 2081 - - 2976 - - 1683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 548 - - 644 - - 361 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 242 - - 253 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4539 - - -139 - - -813 - - -6225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17070 - - 15778 - - 15077 - - 13025 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8650 - - -1561 - - -3010 - - -10411 ODpotential blCL - - - 21180 - - 17199 - - 17273 - - 17211 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 85 - - 82 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 83.4 - - 81.1 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 37.4 - - 38.3 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 81.0 - - 80.4 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 37.4 - - 38.3 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 367 - - 387 - - 80 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5845 - - 8953 - - 7578 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 40 - - 28 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98815 13 130 8 091 9 028 12 063 98815 91387 13 091 12 111 3 065 4 096 91387 85661 11 044 5 106 8 123 5 057 85661 80916 7 079 5 149 8 070 8 077 80916 76820 11 100 8 130 4 021 9 064 76820 73201 14 097 8 108 7 075 7 083 73201 69943 13 073 10 122 5 088 8 079 69943 66953 8 106 4 073 7 133 6 038 66953 64192 4 190 4 143 2 172 1 136 64192 61550 14 245 9 205 10 233 6 231 61550 58831 18 231 15 233 19 239 14 253 58831 56062 18 233 22 231 25 232 24 247 56062 53444 23 264 26 239 28 227 29 240 53444 51070 28 262 35 238 32 235 36 233 51070 48915 34 257 39 239 41 239 39 234 48915 46937 41 256 41 243 46 242 45 242 46937 45113 47 260 41 248 45 244 50 248 45113 43425 49 261 43 254 49 252 52 252 43425 41847 47 258 46 254 54 255 55 255 41847 40362 46 254 46 253 56 254 55 253 40362 38963 49 253 45 251 57 254 54 252 38963 37621 52 253 43 252 54 255 49 251 37621 36276 51 254 44 250 48 255 45 252 36276 34903 48 257 46 248 44 252 42 252 34903 33505 45 254 43 251 37 252 37 247 33505 32070 41 244 36 254 29 257 30 241 32070 30593 32 232 31 244 24 257 25 236 30593 29080 24 227 29 234 24 241 26 227 29080 27536 21 226 24 228 24 220 27 224 27536 25965 16 229 18 222 22 207 24 223 25965 24370 12 229 16 204 20 203 23 219 24370 22742 9 225 17 193 20 207 22 219 22742 21076 11 231 18 204 20 208 26 221 21076 19403 14 231 13 207 18 205 27 214 19403 17805 15 235 10 219 15 204 23 211 17805 16352 15 243 8*230 11 210 19 213 16352 15050 13 253 8*235 8*228 17 216 15050 13877 12 262 8 237 8*242 14 217 13877 12814 9*262 8 239 8 247 11 215 12814 11850 7*262 8 241 8 250 8 212 11850 10976 4 257 8 242 8 252 5 215 10976 10186 4 253 8 243 9 254 2 241 10186 9473 3 251 9 244 9 255 2 296 9473 8819 3 246 9 244 9 256 4 319 8819 8229 3 243 9 245 9 256 5 322 8229 7727 3 240 9 245 9 257 5 319 7727 7336 3 238 9 246 9 258 6 318 7336 7063 3 235 9 245 9 258 5 320 7063 6896 3 235 9 245 9 257 5*336 6896 6800 3 234 8 246 8 257 4*345 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography