DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 45.6 - - 54.4 - - 53.4 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 336 - - 380 - - 63 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2080 - - 4088 - - 3442 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7975 - - 9549 - - 8049 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8765 - - 10773 - - 10127 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 320 - - 992 - - 1321 - - 1702 - - 359 Hgt.Variab. W* 53 - - 378 - - 493 - - 257 - - 7 W* B/S 4 - - 16 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 251 - - 268 - - 261 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -7 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4010 - - -4978 - - -5641 - - -6477 - - -7349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10807 - - 13744 - - 16415 - - 16605 - - 14148 sfcLCL ODpotential -15094 - - -12218 - - -11149 - - -12217 - - -15489 ODpotential blCL 21891 - - 20983 - - 21922 - - 22344 - - 22287 blCL maxRH 53 - - 42 - - 40 - - 48 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 45.6 - - 54.4 - - 53.4 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.0 - - 9.5 - - 6.1 - - 4.4 - - 3.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.6 - - 43.6 - - 52.2 - - 53.0 - - 45.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.6 - - 9.0 - - 5.4 - - 3.9 - - 3.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 336 - - 380 - - 63 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2080 - - 4088 - - 3442 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96254 13 286 23 285 23 253 24 279 31 266 96254 89082 14 272 24 265 17 279 20 266 23 271 89082 83593 17 282 24 253 20 290 18 257 21 284 83593 79048 19 303 19 263 19 269 21 281 21 296 79048 75113 20 304 16 273 20 255 23 284 18 290 75113 71633 20 285 15 267 23 259 25 267 21 275 71633 68499 24 278 21 264 28 265 27 264 23 274 68499 65621 27 268 23 263 30 260 30 267 29 264 65621 62947 29 260 27 262 32 248 35 260 34 260 62947 60352 29 256 30 255 34 248 37 253 38 254 60352 57626 28 257 30 253 33 248 37 251 40 253 57626 54771 28 254 30 248 34 243 42 248 41 250 54771 52024 28 247 31 246 33 244 38 247 36 247 52024 49542 24 243 28 245 28 246 29 250 30 241 49542 47315 16 236 17 236 23 238 23 250 23 240 47315 45297 6 225 8 209 13 225 17 244 18 246 45297 43467 10 078 11 096 13 195 9 240 10 280 43467 41802 22 039 20 042 17 055 12 196 8 218 41802 40261 14 047 14 041 16 032 13 052 2 098 40261 38826 12 102 9 087 8 080 14 045 6 057 38826 37491 15 119 15 101 19 119 12 100 7 089 37491 36214 23 111 26 101 21 105 17 111 10 069 36214 34934 35 087 28 085 19 079 17 089 10 054 34934 33625 39 075 26 080 18 080 16 087 10 054 33625 32294 37 071 23 084 16 087 15 095 10 059 32294 30929 35 068 22 087 14 090 13 090 9 061 30929 29523 33 076 22 095 14 093 12 070 10 055 29523 28081 27 086 18 102 10 079 15 049 14 033 28081 26606 21 054 16 055 16 038 17 052 15 044 26606 25105 27 050 23 046 19 049 15 075 13 078 25105 23580 30 055 26 052 20 068 12 107 11 110 23580 22023 27 068 24 064 17 090 4 156 4 082 22023 20425 16 084 15 077 10 101 2 022 7 039 20425 18815 4 079 6 060 3 058 6 021 8 040 18815 17273 1 296 4 048 1 343 5 349 4 029 17273 15872 4 290 2 036 3 261 6 305 4 275 15872 14623 6 303 2 302 5 267 8 297 9 273 14623 13501 8 309 4 294 6 276 9 298 10 279 13501 12488 12 302 6 299 7 286 9 299 10 282 12488 11570 13 294 8 303 8*283 11 293 11 284 11570 10740 11 290 9 298 9*276 12*282 13 283 10740 9991 9 292 9 288 9 274 12*275 14 282 9991 9316 8 295 7*282 9 271 13 267 15 280 9316 8698 5 296 5*262 10 268 13 262 15 280 8698 8141 2 293 4 252 10 266 13 259 15 282 8141 7669 1 235 4 249 10 264 13 258 15 281 7669 7301 2 152 4 247 10 262 13 256 15 275 7301 7044 4 120 4 246 9 262 13 255 12 265 7044 6888 4*098 4 245 9 261 12 254 8*251 6888 6798 3*087 4 246 8 261 10 254 5*244 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography