DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 74.9 - - 71.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 492 - - 162 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11523 - - 14237 - - 11221 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15693 - - 17947 - - 14702 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18208 - - 20922 - - 17906 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3215 - - 2977 - - 3946 - - 661 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 762 - - 817 - - 523 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 300 - - 308 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 10 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -17 - - 62 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1001 - - 3351 - - 1468 - - -6858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17208 - - 17572 - - 16438 - - 13659 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -559 - - 1627 - - -371 - - -10211 ODpotential blCL - - - 18767 - - 19295 - - 18277 - - 17011 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 74 - - 89 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 200 - - 210 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 74.9 - - 71.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 20.6 - - 22.4 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 72.3 - - 70.2 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 20.0 - - 22.3 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 492 - - 162 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11523 - - 14237 - - 11221 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 57 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97655 11 300 7 352 6 309 11 251 97655 90266 6 272 5 245 5 293 6 304 90266 84568 6 199 12 248 8 312 5 007 84568 79842 5 166 9 239 9 295 4 042 79842 75776 5 233 7 239 5 301 7 017 75776 72198 4 242 3 269 1 236 6 353 72198 68963 6 256 10 285 9 319 9 347 68963 65992 11 287 10 271 14 318 10 331 65992 63242 15 302 12 311 17 309 11 330 63242 60578 18 293 16 293 16 305 10 345 60578 57800 15 309 19 307 23 301 20 303 57800 54932 24 308 21 295 19 304 23 298 54932 52211 21 299 24 307 25 305 22 304 52211 49765 28 311 29 299 28 295 22 305 49765 47559 33 303 29 289 31 292 23 305 47559 45538 33 292 33 289 33 291 28 302 45538 43681 37 287 42 291 39 293 34 295 43681 41974 44 286 52 288 46 288 34 290 41974 40398 51 282 54 283 47 284 31 289 40398 38936 55 280 53 282 47 283 30 289 38936 37582 59 281 53 282 49 281 30 289 37582 36301 60 280 53 283 50 280 31 288 36301 35025 58 281 50 286 50 282 34 286 35025 33726 54 283 47 286 48 284 36 283 33726 32410 53 289 44 285 46 285 40 284 32410 31065 50 292 39 289 44 284 42 286 31065 29678 48 293 38 293 42 285 41 289 29678 28253 48 297 38 295 40 289 38 291 28253 26792 45 298 36 295 36 295 32 289 26792 25298 42 296 35 293 32 297 27 286 25298 23776 38 296 34 293 30 292 22 285 23776 22220 34 298 30*294 27 285 18 289 22220 20627 31 301 25*298 21 279 17 298 20627 19023 30*304 21 302 18*277 18 304 19023 17484 27*304 20 302 18*278 18 309 17484 16081 25 306 20 301 18 281 18 315 16081 14821 23 307 20 301 18 286 17 321 14821 13684 22 307 20 300 18 293 18 325 13684 12653 20 306 20 300 19 301 18 327 12653 11717 19 305 20 300 20 308 18 327 11717 10866 18 302 21 299 21 315 18 326 10866 10098 18 301 21 299 23 320 18 322 10098 9403 17 299 21 299 24 324 18 317 9403 8767 17 297 20 299 26 327 19 310 8767 8191 16 295 20 299 26 329 20 304 8191 7703 16 294 20 299 26 329 22 299 7703 7321 15 293 19 299 26 330 22 297 7321 7055 15 292 19 299 25 330 18 301 7055 6893 14 292 18 299 24 329 14*306 6893 6800 12 291 16 299 18 328 6*314 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography