DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 47.5 - - 46.9 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 400 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4179 - - 6742 - - 5159 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9580 - - 11676 - - 9478 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10864 - - 13427 - - 11844 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1692 - - 1521 - - 2190 - - 781 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 592 - - 316 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 56 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 268 - - 278 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 5 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1455 - - -1985 - - -3934 - - -5470 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12320 - - 15412 - - 15779 - - 12268 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6094 - - -6525 - - -8544 - - -13188 ODpotential blCL - - - 16958 - - 19952 - - 20388 - - 19986 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 32 - - 28 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 47.5 - - 46.9 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.4 - - 3.4 - - 1.4 - - 6.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 45.2 - - 46.3 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.5 - - 2.9 - - 1.1 - - 6.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 400 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4179 - - 6742 - - 5159 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96122 25 284 21 274 36 279 36 291 96122 89085 21 304 20 293 17 271 22 307 89085 83648 14 291 20 305 16 304 18 313 83648 79082 14 282 25 299 21 313 17 315 79082 75142 13 266 23 274 22 300 23 310 75142 71680 7 284 14 256 22 293 22 292 71680 68554 15 301 11 274 19 295 17 273 68554 65671 24 279 20 283 19 282 19 281 65671 62980 27 259 26 263 24 264 23 270 62980 60360 28 253 29 250 27 256 25 257 60360 57608 31 249 33 248 30 257 24 260 57608 54734 32 240 35 248 32 255 26 261 54734 51979 28 238 32 248 28 254 22 255 51979 49489 25 248 25 252 25 257 16 265 49489 47255 22 251 20 258 17 262 13 275 47255 45234 16 257 15 267 13 275 10 286 45234 43394 9 268 10 270 8 275 6 349 43394 41709 2 324 5 340 10 043 14 057 41709 40147 10 011 16 037 24 060 30 048 40147 38692 17 021 27 039 40 046 35 062 38692 37337 24 040 39 045 45 048 60 069 37337 36049 30 048 58 050 73 055 82 057 36049 34762 30 044 72 050 85 054 88 050 34762 33448 30 041 70 050 85 055 85 051 33448 32111 29 041 61 052 80 057 77 055 32111 30742 30 046 59 055 79 062 67 065 30742 29336 26 051 60 056 70 067 55 070 29336 27898 7 025 60 057 59 067 48 073 27898 26428 28 251 52 062 54 071 42 069 26428 24928 47 246 27 066 48 074 37 074 24928 23400 42 243 9 282 29 075 32 087 23400 21841 34 240 31 258 5 341 19 072 21841 20247 29 242 33 253 17 285 18 042 20247 18649 24 247 25 245 21 280 13 034 18649 17127 22 252 17 244 20 280 8 300 17127 15747 19 260 8 261 16 283 12 272 15747 14518 11 265 3*299 8 297 9 261 14518 13414 2 218 2*294 5 322 5 246 13414 12416 5 112 1 282 4*318 1 310 12416 11512 7*119 1 271 4*305 4 353 11512 10693 7*120 2 266 4 296 7 337 10693 9955 6 120 2 264 5 284 9 321 9955 9287 6 118 2 265 5 277 10 307 9287 8677 6 117 2 264 6 273 10 292 8677 8127 5 116 2 266 6 270 11 278 8127 7659 5 114 3 265 6 269 12 268 7659 7295 5 112 3 264 6 267 12 261 7295 7042 5 111 3 264 6 267 10 255 7042 6887 4 112 3 264 6 266 7*247 6887 6798 4 110 3 265 5 266 4*242 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography