DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 69.5 - - 75.2 - - 73.9 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 49 - - 352 - - 358 - - 15 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 250 - - 3784 - - 7239 - - 4968 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 9286 - - 12025 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6935 - - 10469 - - 13924 - - 11653 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 342 - - 2885 - - 1720 - - 4964 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* 98 - - 468 - - 584 - - 179 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 160 - - 227 - - 210 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -5 - - -5 - - -15 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5795 - - -5984 - - -5231 - - -6008 - - -7372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12730 - - 16454 - - 19156 - - 17661 - - 14173 sfcLCL ODpotential -14322 - - -11632 - - -9970 - - -9846 - - -12598 ODpotential blCL 21257 - - 22101 - - 23894 - - 21499 - - 19398 blCL maxRH 45 - - 40 - - 38 - - 37 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 69.5 - - 75.2 - - 73.9 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.8 - - 20.9 - - 14.1 - - 19.9 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 67.5 - - 73.1 - - 73.8 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 20.8 - - 13.9 - - 19.7 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 49 - - 352 - - 358 - - 15 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 250 - - 3784 - - 7239 - - 4968 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98019 13 238 17 242 22 244 21 255 17 250 98019 90690 11 254 16 246 16 244 19 260 13 258 90690 85037 12 256 10 260 11 240 14 258 11 268 85037 80341 3 242 6 259 9 253 9 247 6 273 80341 76297 2 023 3 218 8 261 7 260 6 254 76297 72725 10 295 3 319 5 244 4 260 4 226 72725 69482 9 244 10 256 10 267 6 234 5 213 69482 66490 5 217 11 229 14 263 9 254 10 200 66490 63719 10 240 11 241 16 240 13 272 9 204 63719 61038 12 241 15 255 19 239 19 272 10 258 61038 58249 13 254 16 248 21 239 25 243 23 254 58249 55372 17 268 17 242 21 248 26 234 30 243 55372 52639 22 268 24 249 27 250 30 242 30 239 52639 50188 28 265 28 255 32 242 32 243 32 239 50188 47998 32 266 31 262 32 241 31 242 31 239 47998 46014 35 261 35 266 30 252 26 245 26 234 46014 44206 28 261 36 258 29 256 23 248 24 230 44206 42543 24 296 18 269 29 248 24 233 23 231 42543 41002 22 284 17 294 14 263 21 209 22 223 41002 39559 6 270 17 277 13 269 16 189 24 210 39559 38203 3 348 10 247 11 227 12 177 22 199 38203 36904 4 355 10 224 15 209 13 180 18 200 36904 35602 5 325 10 215 19 211 15 201 18 209 35602 34271 6 308 11 209 20 216 16 213 18 217 34271 32918 9 275 13 215 19 216 20 229 18 221 32918 31534 13 270 13 230 18 211 22 232 18 223 31534 30110 11 274 13 225 18 215 21 221 19 218 30110 28648 8 275 14 229 18 223 21 210 20 208 28648 27149 12 269 17 243 19 235 19 216 20 199 27149 25617 17 267 20 249 22 239 19 232 20 204 25617 24057 20 262 23 250 23 242 19 240 21 213 24057 22468 23 260 25 251 24 245 21 241 24 222 22468 20842 24 259 26 252 25 243 25 238 31 222 20842 19208 24 256 25 250 26 239 29 234 37 213 19208 17642 22 254 23 246 25 238 29 229 38 208 17642 16215 19 252 20 239 22 238 26 223 36 210 16215 14934 17 251 17 236 18*238 24 220 32 218 14934 13780 15 245 13 232 12*230 21 218 27 226 13780 12734 13 246 10 226 10 227 18 217 23 231 12734 11784 11 255 8 220 10 226 15*216 20 233 11784 10922 6 270 6*193 10 226 12*214 18 233 10922 10143 3 313 6*167 10 226 9 212 17 232 10143 9438 2 030 6 163 10 227 7 209 15 230 9438 8792 3 076 6 160 10 227 6 209 13 223 8792 8209 4 104 6 159 10 227 5 209 9 210 8209 7713 8 106 6 158 10 228 5 208 7 182 7713 7327 11 099 6 157 10 228 4 209 6 144 7327 7058 10*091 6 157 10 228 4 208 7 110 7058 6894 7*087 6 158 9 228 4 207 7*088 6894 6800 5 087 5 158 9 228 4 209 6*082 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography