DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 69.8 - - - - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 314 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2343 - - 3562 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8145 - - 9079 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9028 - - 10247 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1048 - - 1570 - - - - - 926 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 443 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 46 - - 26 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 290 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1394 - - -1411 - - - - - -906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10423 - - 11659 - - - - - 7707 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6903 - - -5700 - - - - - -6731 ODpotential blCL - - - 15931 - - 15947 - - - - - 13531 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 53 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 69.8 - - - - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 42.1 - - - - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 67.8 - - - - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 41.8 - - - - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 314 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2343 - - 3562 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97858 14 291 9 235 17 284 97858 90560 10 284 11 276 14 295 90560 84933 7 316 11 322 10 269 84933 80269 6 308 9 326 8 339 80269 76270 6 323 4 351 7 358 76270 72744 4 297 4 332 12 354 72744 69573 6 227 10 272 16 349 69573 66677 7 277 12 266 16 335 66677 64007 7 282 13 278 17 296 64007 61423 8 304 12 282 16 281 61423 58723 14 306 14 282 23 279 58723 55928 21 306 16 295 25 277 55928 53264 24 307 23 305 24 285 53264 50855 25 308 28 310 24 298 50855 48673 26 312 31 311 29 304 48673 46677 26 311 33 314 36 304 46677 44836 25 305 35 312 37 305 44836 43123 26 300 34 310 40 305 43123 41519 21 274 32 307 46 301 41519 40014 15 242 25 281 41 303 40014 38610 14 236 22 259 28 296 38610 37279 16 236 21 266 23 277 37279 35958 13 217 19 243 25 269 35958 34613 10 202 14 219 22 262 34613 33245 7 208 11 222 25 275 33245 31841 3 246 8 246 24 292 31841 30396 5 341 7 293 19 301 30396 28911 10 002 9 338 12 291 28911 27386 14 010 13 355 14 311 27386 25829 15 017 13 007 14 334 25829 24243 15 026 12 021 13 348 24243 22626 16 038 12 034 12 356 22626 20975 16 049 13 047 12 012 20975 19312 16 058 13 059 12 024 19312 17717 16 066 14 065 13 035 17717 16263 14 071 13 067 14 041 16263 14961 12 072 13 064 13 046 14961 13790 8 064 13 058 12 050 13790 12730 6 049 12 053 10 047 12730 11770 5 034 9 046 9 033 11770 10902 6 021 5*030 7 024 10902 10122 6 004 2*326 3 022 10122 9418 5*350 3 299 1 327 9418 8776 2*313 3 289 3 281 8776 8197 1 284 3 287 5 281 8197 7705 2 271 4 284 7 279 7705 7322 2 262 4 283 8 276 7322 7056 2 257 4 283 8 275 7056 6893 2 255 4 282 5*272 6893 6800 1 253 4 282 3*273 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography