DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 82.6 - - - - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 474 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6087 - - 16450 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11209 - - 19770 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12772 - - 23135 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8796 - - 1532 - - - - - 9813 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 601 - - 846 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 224 - - - - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -18 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6601 - - 2653 - - - - - -7044 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19374 - - 20483 - - - - - 13844 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8627 - - 1292 - - - - - -9393 ODpotential blCL - - - 21399 - - 21843 - - - - - 16193 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 80 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - - - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 82.6 - - - - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.4 - - 14.9 - - - - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.9 - - 79.9 - - - - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.6 - - 14.1 - - - - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 474 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6087 - - 16450 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 21 - - - - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98071 6 209 4 330 13 334 98071 90637 6 272 4 275 5 297 90637 84915 3 011 6 308 3 352 84915 80192 4 046 8 287 9 012 80192 76131 6 078 7 242 10 020 76131 72554 4 023 2 360 8 014 72554 69327 6 001 4 356 8 355 69327 66363 7 003 10 329 11 339 66363 63622 11 316 13 295 14 324 63622 60974 11 296 13 287 14 319 60974 58217 19 285 19 285 20 297 58217 55360 23 279 24 274 27 287 55360 52624 26 282 24 276 34 278 52624 50154 32 268 27 266 33 268 50154 47946 32 263 32 266 31 274 47946 45950 30 259 37 263 31 274 45950 44127 33 254 38 256 29 260 44127 42454 36 241 37 251 27 252 42454 40904 32 231 35 250 27 253 40904 39455 30 233 31 247 29 254 39455 38100 30 237 26 245 30 254 38100 36809 28 237 27 244 30 251 36809 35521 26 233 31 245 30 246 35521 34208 25 233 33 246 28 248 34208 32872 26 228 33 248 26 245 32872 31501 27 216 32 247 26 235 31501 30086 26 207 31 248 25 226 30086 28631 23 209 32 248 25 225 28631 27138 20 229 30 247 24 225 27138 25612 20 240 24 245 21 228 25612 24056 17 231 17*236 18 235 24056 22467 18 209 13*219 16 237 22467 20838 19 202 15 215 15 222 20838 19196 18 195 15 216 15 201 19196 17626 15 206 15 218 13 191 17626 16199 14 223 15 220 13 196 16199 14921 13 235 15 221 14 209 14921 13769 12*246 15 223 15 223 13769 12724 10*249 15 226 15 238 12724 11775 10 249 15 229 17 249 11775 10914 10 249 15 231 19 257 10914 10137 10 250 15 233 21 261 10137 9434 10 250 15 234 23 263 9434 8790 10 251 15 235 24 263 8790 8208 11 250 15 236 25 262 8208 7714 11 251 15 236 24 262 7714 7328 11 250 14 237 23 262 7328 7059 10 250 14 237 19 262 7059 6895 10 250 13 237 15*262 6895 6800 9 250 12 237 9*261 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography