DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 64.3 - - 62.8 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 211 - - 36 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 3544 - - 2263 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7437 - - 8930 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8322 - - 10229 - - 8948 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1507 - - 2938 - - 3648 - - 1369 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 392 - - 188 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 43 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 218 - - 275 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 11 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 991 - - 1385 - - 812 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7332 - - 8844 - - 8137 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2372 - - -387 - - -1141 - - -2027 ODpotential blCL - - - 10694 - - 10616 - - 10089 - - 8827 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 86 - - 89 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 300 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 64.3 - - 62.8 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 48.6 - - 50.2 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 62.8 - - 62.6 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 47.9 - - 50.0 - - 52.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 211 - - 36 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 3544 - - 2263 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 46 - - 58 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97988 10 236 13 249 21 248 24 301 97988 90693 7 318 10 296 9 283 13 291 90693 85045 6 291 10 307 12 341 4 312 85045 80365 9 263 2 329 11 324 7 358 80365 76351 4 265 4 048 5 335 7 013 76351 72820 3 159 3 355 8 033 9 026 72820 69631 2 335 3 185 8 294 9 359 69631 66708 6 276 4 183 11 277 11 319 66708 64009 10 302 3 260 8 259 12 298 64009 61400 16 283 13 274 13 267 14 275 61400 58672 17 257 17 283 16 276 18 283 58672 55836 24 285 23 282 23 290 22 297 55836 53132 31 278 25 288 29 295 26 302 53132 50695 34 290 29 293 30 296 27 301 50695 48503 38 290 32 294 27 300 23 300 48503 46504 39 291 29 299 24 308 23 311 46504 44666 38 296 28 314 23 317 23 317 44666 42965 38 306 24 330 19 332 21 326 42965 41383 35 311 25 008 24 003 19 360 41383 39906 28 319 33 020 32 014 24 024 39906 38525 21 337 34 023 33 018 28 026 38525 37207 24 356 34 024 31 022 29 017 37207 35886 27 003 33 025 30 026 28 017 35886 34538 23 005 32 026 29 030 27 028 34538 33167 23 015 31 027 28 035 29 037 33167 31761 25 025 30 030 27 040 31 044 31761 30311 29 029 30 032 27 042 29 050 30311 28820 32 030 31 032 28 041 25 053 28820 27292 34 031 32 030 31 039 25 049 27292 25730 35 031 31 028 34 039 27 044 25730 24141 34 031 31 027 32 039 29 043 24141 22519 33 029 31 025 29 036 28 042 22519 20858 30 025 30 023 28 035 26 036 20858 19187 28 019 30 021 29 035 26 032 19187 17592 25 015 30 021 29 031 27 033 17592 16146 24 020 26 021 24 024 25 033 16146 14858 26 032 23 027 20 027 18 032 14858 13703 28 043 21 036 17 037 13 037 13703 12659 28 049 17 052 11 054 10 056 12659 11715 25 053 13 063 6 071 7 091 11715 10862 20 058 9*073 3 090 5 145 10862 10093 14 065 5*081 1 129 6 165 10093 9398 9 076 1 121 1*248 5 166 9398 8761 5*096 2 223 4*272 3 157 8761 8187 3*163 3 232 5 275 2 140 8187 7699 3 182 3 235 6 275 1 108 7699 7319 3 187 4 236 6 275 1 107 7319 7054 4 192 4 237 6 276 2 116 7054 6892 3 192 4 238 6 276 3*121 6892 6800 3 193 4 238 5 276 4*122 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography