DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.2 - - 85.9 - - 90.7 - - 89.6 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 112 - - 425 - - 438 - - 135 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 696 - - 7933 - - 12014 - - 11698 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 12671 - - 16033 - - 14920 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7381 - - 14618 - - 18699 - - 18383 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 578 - - 3563 - - 2878 - - 4076 - - 506 Hgt.Variab. W* 182 - - 640 - - 743 - - 500 - - 12 W* B/S 5 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 086 - - 296 - - 303 - - 303 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -9 - - -11 - - -8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5780 - - -1145 - - 1674 - - 1111 - - -7668 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13161 - - 15764 - - 17026 - - 17273 - - 14470 sfcLCL ODpotential -10134 - - -3174 - - 5 - - -1146 - - -10959 ODpotential blCL 17515 - - 17792 - - 18694 - - 19529 - - 17760 blCL maxRH 67 - - 62 - - 71 - - 74 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 160 - - 510 - - 360 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m 74.2 - - 85.9 - - 90.7 - - 89.6 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 40.0 - - 39.0 - - 37.0 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.5 - - 83.4 - - 88.0 - - 88.7 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 39.5 - - 38.5 - - 36.6 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 112 - - 425 - - 438 - - 135 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 696 - - 7933 - - 12014 - - 11698 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99394 35 110 30 103 34 108 26 111 20 094 99394 91884 36 100 29 097 30 103 28 104 27 095 91884 86080 28 090 24 103 25 099 25 081 32 100 86080 81270 20 090 19 109 22 093 19 092 27 092 81270 77142 14 097 17 107 17 085 15 099 20 090 77142 73505 11 124 13 100 13 113 19 088 14 112 73505 70215 13 102 15 107 13 124 8 069 15 087 70215 67188 12 092 11 101 11 121 8 144 9 038 67188 64397 14 090 12 130 3 131 7 125 2 021 64397 61709 6 020 6 108 7 196 6 305 4 146 61709 58917 8 288 1 343 6 177 6 263 1 282 58917 56067 6 271 4 349 1 260 3 182 6 251 56067 53400 8 282 6 308 9 267 7 293 5 262 53400 51015 11 265 11 282 13 258 15 277 10 287 51015 48875 15 298 16 296 13 286 15 275 15 297 48875 46922 19 305 17 300 16 309 10 304 13 289 46922 45117 18 309 17 294 18 311 12 329 8 306 45117 43438 21 325 17 295 19 315 15 332 12 343 43438 41867 25 331 17 302 20 315 16 333 16 352 41867 40390 27 328 17 308 20 308 20 340 15 347 40390 39002 27 327 17 310 21 301 23 339 17 344 39002 37672 25 327 16 309 19 305 21 337 18 344 37672 36338 23 321 14 303 18 313 16 338 17 345 36338 34975 21 317 12 293 16 307 11 338 12 341 34975 33588 17 305 10 288 11 274 11 310 4 329 33588 32166 10 293 11 282 9 259 13 294 5 276 32166 30699 7 291 11 279 8 261 11 281 7 279 30699 29193 7 295 10 285 6 269 10 262 8 273 29193 27652 7 304 9 296 4 277 10 247 8 262 27652 26081 8 305 6 308 3 284 8 231 8 252 26081 24486 12 288 6 322 6 299 5 244 7 237 24486 22862 15 281 8 307 9 301 5 314 5 244 22862 21202 16 279 10 294 9 322 8 336 2 330 21202 19529 16 271 11 299 11*345 9*343 3 339 19529 17925 14 259 12 304 11*337 10*328 7 323 17925 16462 12 261 12 310 11 326 12 316 11 319 16462 15148 12 287 12*316 11 322 12 312 13 316 15148 13963 14 312 12*314 11 315 13 309 14 313 13963 12889 15 321 12 311 12 303 15 302 15 310 12889 11913 14 321 11 307 13 297 16 300 16 306 11913 11028 12 319 10 298 13 294 17 298 17 302 11028 10229 8 321 10 290 14 292 17 296 18 298 10229 9506 3 347 9 285 14 290 17 295 19 295 9506 8844 4 077 9 283 14 289 17 295 19 292 8844 8247 8 096 8 280 14 288 17 294 20 289 8247 7738 9*098 8 278 14 288 17 294 19 286 7738 7342 8*090 8 277 14 287 17 293 18 282 7342 7066 7 086 7 275 14 287 16 293 15 279 7066 6898 7 084 7 276 13 287 15 293 11*276 6898 6801 6 084 7 275 12 287 13 292 6*274 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography