DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2220z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.2 - - 71.2 - - 79.6 - - 72.5 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 63 - - 305 - - 304 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1128 - - 3309 - - 7574 - - 126 - - 125 BL Depth Hcrit 6793 - - 8887 - - 12233 - - 6794 - - 6793 Hcrit BL Top 7813 - - 9994 - - 14259 - - 6811 - - 6810 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 887 - - 1877 - - 3392 - - 6914 - - 365 Hgt.Variab. W* 185 - - 433 - - 569 - - 27 - - 23 W* B/S 6 - - 12 - - 17 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 258 - - 321 - - 002 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -12 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 524 - - -317 - - 890 - - -3922 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7290 - - 10312 - - 13369 - - 10733 - - 6810 sfcLCL ODpotential -4129 - - -3712 - - -1207 - - -6700 - - -3848 ODpotential blCL 11942 - - 13706 - - 15466 - - 13511 - - 10658 blCL maxRH 94 - - 86 - - 87 - - 95 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 230 - - 410 - - 470 - - 570 - - 1180 CAPE Temp@2m 61.2 - - 71.2 - - 79.6 - - 72.5 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.3 - - 49.2 - - 44.3 - - 48.9 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 70.2 - - 78.3 - - 73.3 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.6 - - 48.6 - - 43.6 - - 47.5 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 63 - - 305 - - 304 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1128 - - 3309 - - 7574 - - 126 - - 125 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 44 - - 47 - - 80 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99525 37 095 33 097 28 108 24 094 26 087 99525 93273 30 099 34 095 26 103 27 092 26 098 93273 88203 26 088 27 089 26 098 24 082 25 094 88203 83872 24 083 20 089 23 095 19 081 21 084 83872 80085 19 085 18 097 18 092 18 098 19 081 80085 76706 14 098 18 097 15 090 18 103 17 083 76706 73619 13 113 16 096 14 093 14 093 15 090 73619 70756 12 120 12 095 11 100 8 088 11 088 70756 68092 10 123 8 106 7 108 4 107 5 072 68092 65519 6 128 5 133 4 107 4 133 3 148 65519 62843 1 226 2 192 1 034 2 121 5 146 62843 60065 7 266 8 277 6 314 2 352 1 212 60065 57425 11 241 14 261 13 290 7 310 5 278 57425 55068 15 227 19 237 19 265 15 278 9 285 55068 52964 16 232 21 222 24 243 23 255 14 278 52964 51055 20 247 21 226 27 234 28 245 21 263 51055 49303 26 252 22 236 28 234 30 245 28 253 49303 47683 30 246 25 241 30 237 32 249 31 250 47683 46172 33 239 28 239 32 239 33 252 31 252 46172 44753 35 234 31 236 34 241 35 252 32 254 44753 43411 36 232 32 234 34 243 36 249 33 255 43411 42109 36 233 32 233 33 242 34 244 34 252 42109 40781 36 236 31 235 32 241 33 239 35 247 40781 39397 35 241 32 239 33 241 33 238 35 241 39397 37960 33 245 31 241 33 243 34 240 35 239 37960 36454 28 248 28 241 33 244 36 244 36 244 36454 34872 24 248 24 238 31 243 36 247 33 251 34872 33222 21 241 19 237 27 238 33 247 22 257 33222 31503 19 221 17 234 21 230 26 247 12 255 31503 29708 15 202 17 221 16 220 19 241 7 238 29708 27830 11 199 17 215 14 225 13 242 7 232 27830 25868 3 215 8 216 8 245 7 272 0 019 25868 23818 4 080 3 100 1 124 1 019 7 047 23818 21724 10 075 10 075 9 089 7 078 9 055 21724 19703 15 072 16 072 16 087 12 082 13 046 19703 17861 15 064 18 065 19 082 11 071 17 031 17861 16224 14 059 16 058 16 072 10 049 20 018 16224 14768 13 054 15 053 12*054 10 035 20 012 14768 13471 11 045 14 052 9*029 9 029 18 016 13471 12318 10 039 11 051 6 337 9 027 17 027 12318 11296 8 030 7 044 7 319 9 026 17 039 11296 10397 7 013 3*348 7 315 9 024 17 046 10397 9604 5 349 6*269 6 312 10 022 16 049 9604 8894 5 309 7 259 6 307 10 019 13 050 8894 8267 6*263 7 257 6 304 10 017 9 053 8267 7746 7*241 7 256 6 303 10 014 8 066 7746 7346 6 230 7 255 6 300 10 011 10 082 7346 7071 5 226 6 254 6 300 9 008 11 081 7071 6905 5 227 6 254 6 299 7*005 9*077 6905 6810 5 224 6 254 6 299 5*002 6*072 6810 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography