DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 45.9 - - 42.6 - - 41.2 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 89 - - 94 - - 3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 661 - - 3896 - - 2413 - - 1796 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8838 - - 7761 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 7346 - - 10581 - - 9098 - - 8481 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2081 - - 3735 - - 2823 - - 2531 - - 1631 Hgt.Variab. W* 91 - - 323 - - 272 - - 100 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 22 - - 13 - - 11 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 219 - - 245 - - 266 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 15 - - 4 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 548 - - 3263 - - 2300 - - 1683 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 7319 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential 203 - - 687 - - 691 - - 22 - - -1550 ODpotential blCL 7143 - - 9894 - - 8407 - - 8459 - - 8348 blCL maxRH 101 - - 97 - - 100 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 320 - - 360 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 45.9 - - 42.6 - - 41.2 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.0 - - 37.3 - - 36.8 - - 36.8 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.9 - - 45.5 - - 41.9 - - 41.3 - - 38.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.7 - - 36.1 - - 35.6 - - 35.8 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 89 - - 94 - - 3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 661 - - 3896 - - 2413 - - 1796 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 88 - - 99 - - 78 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97553 12 281 23 268 28 264 21 296 15 291 97553 90308 8 274 11 241 17 263 13 277 18 292 90308 84698 6 280 5 250 11 223 10 245 16 278 84698 80050 1 075 2 161 9 186 5 240 5 250 80050 76074 4 043 5 131 5 144 5 195 1 077 76074 72568 4 328 6 064 7 119 4 109 3 074 72568 69389 4 221 4 301 2 054 7 019 8 057 69389 66471 4 191 6 182 5 232 5 285 7 347 66471 63778 1 139 3 310 4 304 4 008 5 312 63778 61173 9 055 8 210 11 251 7 304 4 351 61173 58447 12 049 10 185 16 220 13 262 17 259 58447 55596 22 247 16 239 25 216 24 223 22 234 55596 52847 34 229 25 239 22 212 21 211 20 247 52847 50354 39 220 33 229 20 224 22 250 30 254 50354 48107 43 221 38 222 33 241 35 238 34 248 48107 46055 53 224 44 226 43 229 36 236 33 244 46055 44164 65 223 54 230 40 226 35 244 33 248 44164 42408 77 219 64 227 45 233 45 243 36 256 42408 40768 84 218 71 221 53 230 50 240 47 255 40768 39232 88 218 74 216 57 228 51 239 53 250 39232 37798 94 217 76 213 61 228 53 237 58 245 37798 36434 97 214 81 212 63 228 58 236 61 241 36434 35076 96 212 86 211 61 228 60 237 61 242 35076 33697 93 211 86 209 60 228 62 240 62 244 33697 32304 92 210 84 207 61 229 63 242 58 245 32304 30884 94 210 83 206 62 228 61 244 56 248 30884 29432 96 207 85 204 61 226 59 244 58 250 29432 27953 91 202 90 203 57 225 58 243 58 252 27953 26453 86 201 96 200 55 225 55 243 51 260 26453 24938 85 202 96 197 52 226 45 249 33 277 24938 23407 76 203 91 198 46 238 40 261 32 346 23407 21849 53 199 80 204 41 246 40 267 37 355 21849 20261 37 188 59 207 40 249 39 270 27 332 20261 18668 41 194 43 198 38 251 35 269 27 309 18668 17147 38 193 38 188 28 242 32 265 26 298 17147 15764 34 190 36 188 27 240 30 263 25 294 15764 14528 32 185 32 194 25 237 29 263 25 290 14528 13418 30 181 27 204 24 231 28 264 25 284 13418 12416 27 181 25 211 23 227 26 265 25 280 12416 11509 23 185 25 213 22 227 24 267 25 278 11509 10689 20 188 24*215 22 229 22 267 23 279 10689 9950 17 194 24*216 20 232 20 267 20 282 9950 9283 16 199 24 217 19*236 19 268 18 286 9283 8674 15 200 23 219 16*241 16*268 15 292 8674 8124 15 201 22 220 14 245 14*267 12 298 8124 7658 13*204 22 220 13 246 12 266 10 300 7658 7295 12*206 21 221 13 247 11 266 7 298 7295 7042 10 207 20 221 12 247 10 265 4 292 7042 6887 9 207 19 221 11 247 9 265 2*284 6887 6798 8 208 15 221 10 248 7 265 1*273 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography