DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.4 - - 83.1 - - 89.4 - - - - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 177 - - 456 - - 436 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2361 - - 5796 - - 10861 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 7975 - - 10972 - - 15079 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 9046 - - 12481 - - 17546 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1161 - - 3505 - - 4627 - - - - - 7065 Hgt.Variab. W* 319 - - 590 - - 717 - - - - - 22 W* B/S 5 - - 91 - - 52 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction 124 - - 192 - - 310 - - - - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -9 - - 17 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2435 - - -1636 - - 1631 - - - - - -6392 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11482 - - 14117 - - 15916 - - - - - 13193 sfcLCL ODpotential -6355 - - -3907 - - 333 - - - - - -9242 ODpotential blCL 15401 - - 16388 - - 17213 - - - - - 16043 blCL maxRH 79 - - 58 - - 94 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 200 - - 440 - - - - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m 73.4 - - 83.1 - - 89.4 - - - - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.6 - - 44.5 - - 42.6 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.1 - - 80.4 - - 86.7 - - - - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 44.1 - - 42.1 - - - - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 177 - - 456 - - 436 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2361 - - 5796 - - 10861 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 0 - - 75 - - - - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99275 50 107 48 100 48 109 38 087 99275 91711 45 101 39 102 35 098 38 098 91711 85949 40 103 38 100 32 101 37 103 85949 81231 34 107 38 098 35 102 33 099 81231 77166 28 100 33 100 30 100 25 098 77166 73550 22 084 24 099 22 103 26 098 73550 70273 20 095 16 100 20 089 32 092 70273 67290 24 119 17 132 16 094 29 087 67290 64567 27 117 25 132 22 129 15 087 64567 61958 20 099 31 121 28 133 12 118 61958 59245 13 097 24 115 24 129 17 114 59245 56441 15 163 15 142 17 122 15 113 56441 53777 23 158 18 165 16 128 14 132 53777 51377 24 148 21 156 20 134 17 144 51377 49215 22 149 21 149 21 139 21 140 49215 47237 23 153 20 152 18 149 22 141 47237 45403 25 150 23 156 19 162 21 138 45403 43691 21 147 24 157 19 164 18 124 43691 42083 13 153 19 154 17 166 9 119 42083 40570 7 132 14 141 14 151 7 122 40570 39149 4 124 14 116 15 133 8 122 39149 37790 5 153 11 101 13 119 5 119 37790 36429 9 134 6 100 11 105 4 057 36429 35041 12 113 5 136 8 084 6 034 35041 33630 9 093 7 146 3 063 8 011 33630 32184 11 064 4 111 4 326 13 007 32184 30700 14 040 7 043 6 352 15 007 30700 29183 13 024 15 022 16 008 13 010 29183 27637 12 006 15 019 20 016 15 052 27637 26067 12 004 16 030 19 025 20 059 26067 24473 10 013 20 040 18 034 17 050 24473 22846 13 065 20 047 20 046 15 024 22846 21179 18 072 18 060 20 053 17 005 21179 19501 20 064 18 062 18 055 16 357 19501 17892 22 052 18 060 16*055 11 356 17892 16429 21 043 19 054 10*048 8 353 16429 15117 20 035 17 045 5 027 7 351 15117 13934 14 024 13 033 3 346 6 355 13934 12863 7 002 7*016 3 304 6 006 12863 11890 6 298 3*002 3 284 6 025 11890 11008 4 303 1 217 4 277 6 042 11008 10212 2 072 1 196 4 274 8 057 10212 9493 8*134 2 191 4 271 10 066 9493 8834 11*130 2 189 4 270 13 072 8834 8239 11 125 2 188 4 268 15 076 8239 7734 11 123 2 185 4 266 17 079 7734 7340 11 123 2 182 4 267 16 079 7340 7066 11 122 2 183 4 267 15 079 7066 6898 10 122 2 186 4 267 13*078 6898 6801 9 122 2 186 4 265 8*076 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography