DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 71.2 - - 69.4 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 535 - - 429 - - 149 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11985 - - 14061 - - 12311 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16117 - - 17714 - - 15486 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18670 - - 20746 - - 18996 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2333 - - 1686 - - 1882 - - 8131 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 792 - - 777 - - 524 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 19 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 268 - - 274 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - 34 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1704 - - 3602 - - 1765 - - -8585 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16967 - - 17145 - - 17231 - - 15385 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 422 - - 2020 - - 368 - - -11911 ODpotential blCL - - - 18248 - - 18726 - - 18628 - - 18710 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 90 - - 84 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 110 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 71.2 - - 69.4 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.7 - - 18.9 - - 16.9 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 68.8 - - 68.5 - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 18.3 - - 16.5 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 535 - - 429 - - 149 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11985 - - 14061 - - 12311 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 61 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98124 14 132 12 110 15 125 11 136 98124 90732 7 134 9 123 6 150 11 103 90732 85043 15 128 6 172 5 127 5 123 85043 80302 15 121 7 197 2 227 5 108 80302 76204 6 120 4 197 3 194 5 320 76204 72597 9 243 9 243 2 121 4 244 72597 69333 4 211 15 231 9 249 2 207 69333 66309 4 170 10 210 14 232 9 247 66309 63490 11 249 2 201 12 209 10 246 63490 60750 20 248 12 254 14 261 15 262 60750 57894 16 240 15 237 17 257 17 260 57894 54941 17 284 14 271 15 279 12 276 54941 52137 25 285 23 284 24 295 21 305 52137 49636 28 281 26 283 27 289 26 294 49636 47420 29 288 27 275 29 290 25 291 47420 45422 34 278 32 265 34 276 27 289 45422 43596 44 273 36 266 37 270 30 292 43596 41912 53 272 50 267 43 269 35 287 41912 40349 54 270 61 263 48 267 37 275 40349 38893 47 267 60 262 50 265 38 268 38893 37542 42 262 55 260 49 264 37 269 37542 36260 38 259 49 256 48 261 36 273 36260 34984 35 262 46 257 45 260 36 277 34984 33685 31 265 43 258 41 264 34 281 33685 32365 26 267 39 258 41 266 31 287 32365 31012 24 264 36 259 40 265 29 291 31012 29616 25 261 33 260 35 264 28 289 29616 28184 29 259 32 263 28 265 28 284 28184 26720 33 256 31 266 24 277 26 278 26720 25227 32 259 30 267 24 282 22 266 25227 23708 28 267 27 262 24 267 20 252 23708 22157 22 278 22*254 25 252 20 247 22157 20568 18 283 20*258 25*251 20 251 20568 18966 19*271 19 263 20*259 20 258 18966 17432 18*270 19 265 16 265 18 261 17432 16034 15 274 19 266 16 266 16 266 16034 14781 14 275 19 267 16 268 16 271 14781 13650 13 275 19 269 16 270 15 279 13650 12625 13 275 19 270 16 275 15 286 12625 11694 12 275 19 270 16 277 15 293 11694 10849 12 273 19 271 16 280 15 299 10849 10085 12 272 19 271 16 281 15 304 10085 9394 12 271 18 271 16 282 15 306 9394 8760 12 269 18 271 16 283 15 308 8760 8187 12 269 18 271 16 283 15 310 8187 7700 12 267 18 271 16 284 14 311 7700 7320 12 267 17 271 15 284 13 311 7320 7055 11 267 17 271 15 285 11 311 7055 6893 11 266 16 271 14 284 8 312 6893 6799 10 266 14 271 12 284 5*314 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography