DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 57.6 - - 66.8 - - 68.6 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 412 - - 420 - - 76 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 669 - - 3180 - - 5148 - - 6650 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8865 - - 10422 - - 10531 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7354 - - 9865 - - 11833 - - 13335 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1087 - - 880 - - 2370 - - 4435 - - 2169 Hgt.Variab. W* 164 - - 465 - - 551 - - 341 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 15 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 111 - - 158 - - 232 - - 254 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -7 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2636 - - -3031 - - -4095 - - -3833 - - -7721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9990 - - 12897 - - 15929 - - 17168 - - 14521 sfcLCL ODpotential -9882 - - -8010 - - -7139 - - -6541 - - -11600 ODpotential blCL 17236 - - 17875 - - 18972 - - 19876 - - 18400 blCL maxRH 62 - - 85 - - 76 - - 71 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 57.6 - - 66.8 - - 68.6 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.0 - - 25.0 - - 20.5 - - 16.8 - - 19.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 55.3 - - 64.4 - - 68.0 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 24.7 - - 20.0 - - 16.2 - - 18.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 412 - - 420 - - 76 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 669 - - 3180 - - 5148 - - 6650 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 40 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96461 32 283 38 285 34 289 32 273 45 277 96461 89153 29 294 32 277 32 280 35 285 39 299 89153 83617 29 303 24 278 29 283 35 293 37 305 83617 79066 27 297 21 288 29 293 28 294 31 301 79066 75168 26 295 22 283 27 287 24 297 29 307 75168 71718 21 309 20 289 24 281 25 297 26 308 71718 68585 16 316 19 301 21 284 19 317 18 310 68585 65702 14 304 19 285 22 282 23 310 19 309 65702 63045 19 307 15 269 21 274 23 283 22 289 63045 60497 26 309 16 302 16 281 20 283 20 296 60497 57832 32 292 25 301 18 280 25 282 23 282 57832 55045 37 281 32 282 32 268 34 265 31 268 55045 52370 39 277 39 271 41 263 42 255 42 262 52370 49942 38 273 42 269 40 265 44 255 46 255 49942 47736 37 272 40 271 40 268 44 256 49 249 47736 45709 39 268 40 268 43 265 43 259 51 248 45709 43839 41 262 42 256 47 260 43 263 50 252 43839 42118 42 255 46 249 51 251 43 263 49 257 42118 40537 44 248 50 250 54 245 47 262 51 260 40537 39084 45 247 50 246 54 245 59 256 54 261 39084 37741 45 252 47 240 51 245 65 251 56 260 37741 36465 45 256 44 242 49 247 65 249 53 259 36465 35188 44 255 42 244 48 248 63 251 49 258 35188 33883 40 252 41 246 45 251 58 255 47 260 33883 32555 33 251 40 247 45 253 48 258 47 262 32555 31195 27 255 37 248 46 255 43 263 45 262 31195 29794 22 261 33 250 47 255 41 267 42 262 29794 28355 23 262 30 253 47 255 39 269 38 264 28355 26880 28 262 33 250 46 257 38 267 33 268 26880 25374 35 259 37 245 45 259 36 266 29 272 25374 23840 39 259 40 249 44 260 34 267 27 277 23840 22272 41 260 42 260 43 263 33 268 30 275 22272 20664 40 257 46 266 41 268 33 270 33 267 20664 19045 35 252 48 268 40 272 35 269 33 258 19045 17498 30 248 47 270 41 273 34 262 29 250 17498 16091 26 245 42 271 39 272 31 258 26 254 16091 14827 24 249 33 271 33 269 30 257 25 259 14827 13688 21 259 25 266 25 266 25*256 25 261 13688 12655 20 267 22 261 19*259 21*254 23 261 12655 11716 17 268 17 260 13*249 20 254 22 259 11716 10865 7 238 10 234 10 239 17 254 19 255 10865 10097 7 183 7*187 8 231 14 253 17 250 10097 9401 12 161 7*164 8 228 13 254 14 245 9401 8764 14 144 7 159 8 227 12 254 11 241 8764 8190 12 130 7 158 7 225 12 255 8 239 8190 7701 10*122 7 156 7 224 11 255 6 237 7701 7320 9*116 7 155 7 223 11 255 4 236 7320 7055 7 109 7 155 7 224 11 255 2 234 7055 6893 6 108 6 156 6 223 10 256 1*205 6893 6800 5 107 6 156 6 224 9 256 1*076 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography