DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 51.2 - - 47.2 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 5 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 521 - - 1937 - - 113 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7206 - - 8622 - - 6798 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1167 - - 3117 - - 3439 - - 401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 101 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 234 - - 222 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 408 - - 781 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6799 - - 7842 - - 6798 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2324 - - -1127 - - -1445 - - -2791 ODpotential blCL - - - 9530 - - 9749 - - 8243 - - 9590 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 60 - - 190 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 51.2 - - 47.2 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.6 - - 40.3 - - 44.4 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 51.4 - - 48.7 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 40.0 - - 44.0 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 5 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 521 - - 1937 - - 113 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 100 - - 74 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95965 36 288 33 298 27 306 29 292 95965 88915 22 298 23 286 27 308 30 305 88915 83465 19 301 19 298 25 300 23 303 83465 78955 21 303 20 310 17 305 18 305 78955 75064 18 305 17 292 18 316 19 318 75064 71613 18 311 14 304 22 313 20 328 71613 68475 26 303 18 305 19 279 26 306 68475 65594 31 289 24 305 17 253 21 246 65594 62932 46 236 43 230 20 250 15 274 62932 60319 47 235 45 217 40 251 27 287 60319 57591 49 243 50 240 63 251 66 256 57591 54798 61 239 72 244 77 247 81 245 54798 52134 71 236 85 241 84 241 82 244 52134 49707 81 236 86 241 84 241 85 249 49707 47519 88 238 88 247 89 248 92 253 47519 45538 91 239 96 248 98 250 97 253 45538 43734 96 238 99 248 103 248 96 252 43734 42078 98 236 97 250 102 245 91 252 42078 40540 102 236 95 253 98 243 88 254 40540 39100 109 237 93 252 94 245 88 257 39100 37751 113 236 90 247 88 249 89 259 37751 36462 109 233 88 242 83 256 89 260 36462 35172 103 230 84 242 83 261 88 260 35172 33854 98 227 80 246 84 263 87 258 33854 32510 96 224 79 251 85 261 87 257 32510 31131 93 224 80 251 85 260 87 256 31131 29709 94 229 81 249 84 259 86 256 29709 28247 95 237 83 248 82 257 84 255 28247 26749 86 242 84 248 81 254 83 255 26749 25222 72 245 82 251 81 253 81 255 25222 23670 64 245 76 253 78 255 76 256 23670 22090 62 243 67 255 72 257 71 258 22090 20477 61 242 59 254 63 257 64 258 20477 18859 58 240 54 252 55 255 58 258 18859 17313 52 242 50 251 46 252 51 256 17313 15910 45 246 46 251 42 252 44 254 15910 14658 40 249 43 252 39 252 38 252 14658 13535 37 249 37 251 37 253 32 250 13535 12521 35 247 34 251 34 253 26 250 12521 11603 32 246 31 250 29 253 22 250 11603 10771 31 248 27 248 24 251 21 250 10771 10019 27 249 22 244 20 248 19 247 10019 9340 22 247 19 240 17 248 19 244 9340 8718 17 238 15*236 14 249 18 240 8718 8157 15 232 13*234 14 251 16 238 8157 7679 11 218 12 233 11 251 14 236 7679 7307 7*196 11 234 8 250 9 227 7307 7048 4*169 10 234 5 245 6 200 7048 6889 4 161 9 234 4 237 5*168 6889 6799 4 160 8 234 2*222 4*153 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography