DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.0 - - 42.4 - - 53.6 - - 48.9 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 207 - - 242 - - -11 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1082 - - 6352 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7118 - - 11129 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7767 - - 13037 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 550 - - 2039 - - 6244 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 258 - - 491 - - 15 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 14 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 244 - - 347 - - 351 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 16 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1991 - - -5189 - - -1675 - - -6971 - - -4483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8788 - - 12957 - - 14713 - - 13770 - - 11281 sfcLCL ODpotential -11582 - - -11313 - - -5188 - - -12365 - - -12628 ODpotential blCL 18379 - - 19080 - - 18225 - - 19163 - - 19426 blCL maxRH 39 - - 51 - - 56 - - 69 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.0 - - 42.4 - - 53.6 - - 48.9 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.2 - - 10.0 - - 12.8 - - 12.6 - - 11.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.0 - - 41.1 - - 52.0 - - 49.5 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.1 - - 9.7 - - 12.4 - - 12.4 - - 11.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 207 - - 242 - - -11 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1082 - - 6352 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96198 26 261 25 271 34 273 29 293 28 310 96198 89077 22 279 24 279 29 280 15 310 20 334 89077 83610 24 288 20 306 20 290 19 305 20 335 83610 79065 23 296 20 302 17 282 13 317 15 320 79065 75132 14 295 20 281 23 280 19 337 18 332 75132 71639 9 302 13 270 20 296 25 322 26 321 71639 68478 19 312 14 306 20 314 27 308 22 324 68478 65562 29 300 23 299 22 309 24 320 22 333 65562 62845 30 295 28 308 29 323 30 319 30 326 62845 60206 40 298 36 309 35 315 32 309 37 318 60206 57448 39 286 37 294 34 298 34 306 40 309 57448 54583 38 289 39 293 37 299 37 304 33 306 54583 51837 51 290 51 294 48 298 37 303 29 310 51837 49350 60 287 59 288 52 292 40 304 30 321 49350 47115 63 284 55 288 51 296 43 317 42 333 47115 45101 58 287 55 292 48 303 55 324 52 336 45101 43285 54 289 51 294 52 314 58 328 56 347 43285 41633 43 308 46 309 53 312 58 335 62 358 41633 40109 58 327 38 319 41 311 56 338 69 006 40109 38696 62 321 43 002 30 346 57 349 78 014 38696 37379 52 312 68 014 52 013 66 002 86 019 37379 36122 46 333 76 010 66 013 73 007 91 021 36122 34859 52 355 70 007 71 010 74 007 94 021 34859 33565 61 005 64 006 70 006 71 002 94 021 33565 32247 67 003 58 005 69 004 66 356 88 022 32247 30897 68 358 53 004 70 004 61 350 80 022 30897 29507 61 353 54 002 71 006 58 348 70 019 29507 28081 57 352 57 354 67 009 56 347 56 010 28081 26617 56 355 58 346 65 009 54 347 46 354 26617 25117 45 354 56 343 66 004 53 348 46 343 25117 23587 37 345 52 340 64 355 53 348 46 341 23587 22024 36 334 47 335 60 345 53 349 42 341 22024 20421 37 330 44 330 55 337 54 349 41 345 20421 18805 35 331 41 330 50 335 52 348 42 350 18805 17255 32 330 36 331 45 339 50 348 45 357 17255 15849 29 327 32 331 38 344 45 349 46 003 15849 14596 26 325 29 330 30 351 39 350 43 009 14596 13474 23 323 27 330 22*355 33 351 34 015 13474 12464 20 322 25 332 18*353 27 352 20 024 12464 11550 18 322 22 336 17 352 22 352 10 053 11550 10723 15 322 20 340 16 350 19 351 8 091 10723 9978 12 323 18 344 15 349 17 349 8 097 9978 9305 10 322 15 347 14 346 15 348 8 087 9305 8689 8 321 12 345 12 344 15 349 6 048 8689 8134 7 320 7*329 11 340 15 349 8 349 8134 7663 5 313 3*254 10 339 15 349 12 327 7663 7297 3 295 4 244 10 337 14 350 16 313 7297 7043 1 191 4 240 9 337 13 350 17 308 7043 6887 2*132 3 239 9 336 12 350 15*309 6887 6798 3*115 3 239 8 335 9*351 7*311 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography