DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.9 - - 40.6 - - 46.3 - - 42.4 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 99 - - 48 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 896 - - 1507 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7581 - - 8192 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 323 - - 599 - - 688 - - 1705 - - 290 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 194 - - 183 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 50 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 224 - - 159 - - 184 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 372 - - -497 - - -676 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7209 - - 8690 - - 7474 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -9046 - - -7258 - - -6777 - - -6445 - - -6642 ODpotential blCL 15844 - - 14839 - - 14969 - - 13243 - - 13440 blCL maxRH 85 - - 86 - - 90 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.9 - - 40.6 - - 46.3 - - 42.4 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 32.9 - - 32.0 - - 33.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.4 - - 40.0 - - 46.0 - - 45.2 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 31.8 - - 31.0 - - 32.5 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 99 - - 48 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 896 - - 1507 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 43 - - 60 - - 48 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95891 14 316 19 262 24 281 17 274 28 283 95891 88822 10 342 10 313 12 294 16 280 16 301 88822 83401 11 332 9 297 8 305 17 272 19 297 83401 78907 8 347 5 296 5 293 5 257 15 268 78907 75015 13 297 14 273 15 293 7 335 10 264 75015 71548 11 283 13 260 21 284 13 305 15 286 71548 68402 12 299 14 271 25 264 20 281 24 277 68402 65510 18 274 17 265 19 266 20 273 29 269 65510 62813 22 284 23 280 25 277 25 274 35 270 62813 60193 34 273 34 269 34 270 35 275 40 262 60193 57479 41 264 39 263 41 268 40 265 40 262 57479 54666 45 262 41 265 44 263 46 260 46 263 54666 51971 45 267 46 265 42 256 50 256 52 258 51971 49530 48 273 54 267 54 274 56 257 61 266 49530 47330 52 274 64 268 73 271 63 266 72 264 47330 45334 57 267 66 262 77 257 67 261 75 256 45334 43521 53 268 55 259 60 243 69 256 71 257 43521 41868 45 292 41 275 51 267 66 258 80 264 41868 40340 77 298 76 289 70 284 77 260 95 264 40340 38914 103 292 93 284 89 279 80 263 97 261 38914 37576 101 289 91 282 83 275 77 265 88 260 37576 36298 87 286 85 283 79 279 73 263 81 258 36298 35018 82 282 77 280 71 277 66 260 80 254 35018 33706 77 283 66 273 58 262 64 253 81 251 33706 32369 68 288 65 265 59 255 66 251 79 247 32369 30999 49 289 59 262 57 255 66 253 75 246 30999 29587 41 279 57 265 52 256 63 251 71 245 29587 28137 42 277 53 264 55 256 61 251 69 243 28137 26651 38 282 48 264 57 251 62 256 63 247 26651 25136 30 288 40 263 50 247 63 257 57 253 25136 23595 26 293 33 264 42 247 58 249 57 257 23595 22020 23 290 28 268 36 248 47 241 55 250 22020 20414 20 286 25 265 32 249 36 239 45 237 20414 18809 19 294 22 264 27 248 30 236 34 235 18809 17276 21 304 21 266 23 248 26 235 28 243 17276 15878 23 309 19 266 21 251 23 243 25 250 15878 14626 22 313 15 267 19 255 19 250 22 256 14626 13500 19 316 12 274 17 258 16 251 18 261 13500 12482 15 319 9 280 13 258 13 250 15 263 12482 11561 11 317 7 284 9 252 10 244 13 262 11561 10728 8 313 5 277 6 243 7 233 10 261 10728 9979 6 303 5 271 4 235 5 220 6 259 9979 9304 5 296 5 279 2 222 3 195 3 243 9304 8687 4 302 4 293 2*164 3 152 2 178 8687 8132 1 345 1 287 3*154 3 125 3 121 8132 7662 2 093 1*246 3 158 2 130 4 083 7662 7296 5 103 1*234 3 160 2 153 5 060 7296 7042 6 096 1 223 3 162 2 172 4 050 7042 6887 4*077 1 222 3 163 2*179 4*051 6887 6798 3*073 1 220 3 165 2*184 3*052 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography