DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 54.1 - - 59.2 - - 54.6 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 144 - - 161 - - -12 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1472 - - 4055 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7284 - - 9184 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8157 - - 10740 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 162 - - 2365 - - 2699 - - 4165 - - 150 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 260 - - 374 - - 15 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 084 - - 126 - - 148 - - 086 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -816 - - -486 - - 308 - - -1705 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7614 - - 8644 - - 10433 - - 8505 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -6664 - - -3626 - - -2660 - - -4924 - - -4899 ODpotential blCL 13462 - - 11783 - - 13400 - - 11723 - - 11698 blCL maxRH 74 - - 78 - - 83 - - 72 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 210 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 54.1 - - 59.2 - - 54.6 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 39.7 - - 37.0 - - 40.8 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 53.2 - - 58.1 - - 56.5 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 38.6 - - 36.2 - - 40.4 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 144 - - 161 - - -12 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1472 - - 4055 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 12 - - 33 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96727 44 274 53 261 61 272 55 274 65 280 96727 89574 32 270 33 271 38 267 40 276 41 281 89574 84102 28 264 32 276 25 271 28 281 20 283 84102 79549 23 263 26 262 27 274 24 286 18 292 79549 75602 18 272 22 251 25 275 24 283 20 286 75602 72097 22 259 19 258 21 261 26 272 27 271 72097 68910 23 259 19 271 21 245 27 254 32 253 68910 65962 21 263 21 264 20 247 26 243 26 239 65962 63203 24 249 26 255 21 252 25 248 22 248 63203 60513 30 246 32 244 35 249 36 256 32 258 60513 57704 36 243 40 233 43 240 42 241 43 250 57704 54801 45 250 43 234 47 229 45 229 48 242 54801 52052 57 249 49 238 48 230 46 230 47 238 52052 49599 61 244 55 239 49 233 48 233 47 237 49599 47413 62 240 55 238 52 233 51 235 48 236 47413 45438 58 237 52 239 55 232 53 233 52 234 45438 43639 50 236 53 239 55 232 52 230 55 232 43639 41986 46 240 54 235 55 230 53 228 56 227 41986 40456 46 239 54 233 55 228 55 225 56 221 40456 39032 44 238 49 234 51 224 55 221 55 216 39032 37701 42 239 45 235 50 223 49 221 54 214 37701 36427 40 241 44 234 48 226 44 227 53 218 36427 35148 39 242 42 234 42 229 44 228 52 219 35148 33838 39 238 40 234 40 233 45 225 50 220 33838 32503 37 231 38 233 39 230 46 223 46 222 32503 31135 34 226 38 232 36 226 46 222 43 224 31135 29727 31 230 38 232 35 227 43 222 42 226 29727 28284 30 237 37 231 34 229 39 223 41 226 28284 26806 31 240 36 229 34 230 36 225 39 224 26806 25297 32 242 36 230 32 230 34 228 36 222 25297 23759 30 245 35 234 32 229 33 233 32 229 23759 22189 27 244 34 234 32 234 32 239 26 239 22189 20582 25 242 31 234 31 240 30 244 24 240 20582 18964 23 243 27 237 28 242 26 249 24 241 18964 17418 23 245 24 241 25 246 24 253 24 245 17418 16013 23 242 22 244 22 247 21 249 24 247 16013 14755 21 235 21 244 19 242 19 239 23 245 14755 13622 19 226 18 243 17 235 17 230 21 236 13622 12595 18 220 15 237 14 228 15 224 17 226 12595 11664 16 219 12 226 12 220 12 214 13 211 11664 10820 13 220 11 213 8*201 9 194 13 184 10820 10058 9 206 9 196 8*177 9 168 13 171 10058 9369 9 183 7 169 7 154 9 145 13 156 9369 8740 9 154 9 137 8 147 9 129 14 140 8740 8172 11 128 9*129 8 144 9 118 14 127 8172 7689 13 120 9*126 8 143 9 109 14 113 7689 7312 13 111 9 125 7 141 8 101 14 097 7312 7050 12 093 8 126 7 140 8 095 13 082 7050 6890 10*087 8 126 7 140 7 090 10*071 6890 6799 6*084 7 125 6 139 5*086 5*066 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography