DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.4 - - 46.6 - - 48.7 - - 43.1 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 98 - - 78 - - -20 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1709 - - 3648 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7289 - - 8547 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8394 - - 10333 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 201 - - 1535 - - 3359 - - 4924 - - 1076 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 247 - - 299 - - 25 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 170 - - 256 - - 276 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - -10 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 791 - - 2164 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7603 - - 8170 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -5894 - - -2469 - - -366 - - -1837 - - -2165 ODpotential blCL 12692 - - 10863 - - 10699 - - 8635 - - 8963 blCL maxRH 64 - - 72 - - 76 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 280 - - 450 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.4 - - 46.6 - - 48.7 - - 43.1 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 36.7 - - 36.3 - - 38.8 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 46.0 - - 48.2 - - 44.6 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 35.4 - - 35.1 - - 38.0 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 98 - - 78 - - -20 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1709 - - 3648 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 18 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96509 56 283 66 277 48 285 55 272 65 272 96509 89432 35 284 41 273 42 283 42 289 36 285 89432 83983 24 285 25 286 33 278 30 295 26 297 83983 79456 26 295 19 304 21 276 19 284 26 304 79456 75535 27 299 16 300 20 278 19 277 27 303 75535 72067 20 275 15 297 18 285 23 296 20 304 72067 68917 17 271 15 291 17 278 21 305 16 313 68917 65987 21 271 15 283 15 274 21 305 18 328 65987 63251 14 278 15 296 11 284 21 291 21 313 63251 60605 20 299 15 295 13 302 19 287 19 284 60605 57840 23 291 24 291 25 298 21 290 26 260 57840 54956 22 305 30 289 35 290 32 292 35 282 54956 52198 41 279 46 279 48 285 48 287 46 283 52198 49713 51 278 49 274 51 278 53 279 50 277 49713 47475 54 280 56 279 55 280 54 277 50 277 47475 45426 63 277 67 274 66 276 57 280 53 283 45426 43539 71 272 69 268 68 273 64 281 66 284 43539 41797 76 269 69 265 70 273 74 277 76 279 41797 40177 79 268 75 266 80 275 79 269 76 273 40177 38663 85 270 86 265 91 272 81 265 73 275 38663 37252 95 270 93 265 95 269 80 267 79 279 37252 35914 100 267 97 267 98 268 89 270 83 278 35914 34584 99 266 101 268 104 267 100 269 83 277 34584 33234 99 269 107 269 110 266 104 266 83 277 33234 31868 102 269 113 268 115 265 104 265 86 276 31868 30481 102 265 114 267 117 265 107 265 88 274 30481 29066 98 261 107 266 114 264 111 264 83 273 29066 27628 87 260 92 263 107 263 104 264 70 276 27628 26170 69 262 78 260 96 261 86 266 56 283 26170 24697 58 262 68 257 84 259 67 268 49 287 24697 23207 53 259 61 255 72 255 54 271 43 290 23207 21689 50 252 57 253 62 253 44 275 37 292 21689 20134 49 249 54 253 54 254 35 277 31 295 20134 18567 44 245 48 253 45 257 29 279 26 295 18567 17068 37 240 41 251 36 259 29 278 22 297 17068 15704 32 238 33 243 29 260 28 276 21 299 15704 14485 28 241 28 235 26 261 27 274 20 300 14485 13387 23 245 23 231 22 260 27 273 19 301 13387 12394 20 246 18 230 19 260 25 274 20 302 12394 11495 16 242 14 229 15 261 23 275 20 304 11495 10680 11 221 13 230 12*260 21 276 21 304 10680 9945 11 179 13 226 11*259 19 278 20 305 9945 9281 10 162 12 217 11 258 18 280 20 305 9281 8673 10 170 9*204 11 257 16 284 20 304 8673 8125 13 167 7*182 11 256 16 284 19 305 8125 7659 15 145 6 170 10 255 16 283 17 303 7659 7295 13 114 6 168 10 255 16 282 15 298 7295 7042 11 093 6 166 10 254 13 279 12 287 7042 6887 8*078 6 166 9 254 11*277 9*279 6887 6798 4*072 5 165 8 253 7*276 5*272 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography