DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 56.0 - - 61.8 - - 56.9 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 251 - - 232 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2024 - - 4487 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7853 - - 9668 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8709 - - 11172 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 166 - - 1413 - - 1682 - - 4938 - - 354 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 340 - - 432 - - 10 - - 2 W* B/S 2 - - 21 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 179 - - 258 - - 246 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - -7 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1530 - - -2566 - - -2679 - - -6623 - - -5130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8329 - - 11276 - - 13852 - - 13423 - - 11930 sfcLCL ODpotential -9447 - - -7132 - - -8549 - - -12932 - - -13297 ODpotential blCL 16245 - - 15841 - - 19721 - - 19731 - - 20096 blCL maxRH 66 - - 62 - - 80 - - 73 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 56.0 - - 61.8 - - 56.9 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 30.3 - - 24.7 - - 22.0 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.6 - - 54.5 - - 60.2 - - 59.0 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 30.0 - - 24.3 - - 21.7 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 251 - - 232 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2024 - - 4487 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97112 50 275 52 274 57 276 43 278 49 282 97112 89909 44 280 27 279 40 273 40 270 40 280 89909 84343 37 268 33 285 30 266 37 271 35 283 84343 79698 27 260 42 268 29 264 30 276 31 284 79698 75676 20 267 33 263 26 271 21 273 25 282 75676 72113 27 280 21 269 23 265 18 274 22 277 72113 68886 28 262 21 266 28 260 23 288 22 303 68886 65932 23 259 23 271 30 258 28 292 29 300 65932 63234 23 264 23 278 22 259 21 287 20 296 63234 60658 19 269 20 288 13 292 19 307 11 327 60658 57964 41 293 34 292 32 304 29 306 27 306 57964 55147 42 302 41 307 38 304 35 288 35 289 55147 52440 59 318 51 309 45 317 38 306 39 302 52440 49997 73 306 67 302 69 309 67 309 61 302 49997 47828 65 297 71 289 76 292 79 294 69 283 47828 45870 48 295 65 287 68 281 69 282 61 278 45870 44066 55 316 59 306 56 297 54 292 58 302 44066 42390 81 321 79 318 80 316 74 317 74 313 42390 40829 95 316 94 312 96 311 91 312 82 310 40829 39368 80 307 91 304 91 303 91 303 81 301 39368 38005 68 301 79 298 74 296 84 301 80 296 38005 36708 56 300 71 300 67 296 85 305 81 298 36708 35413 49 302 65 306 67 303 89 307 82 300 35413 34089 43 304 61 311 65 310 88 306 78 299 34089 32740 37 299 57 313 66 311 84 303 73 297 32740 31354 33 287 50 313 67 310 80 301 74 298 31354 29926 35 282 44 311 65 308 76 301 76 300 29926 28459 39 286 38 310 62 306 69 299 73 301 28459 26958 43 289 33 297 57 302 63 296 68 302 26958 25427 45 290 40 284 50 296 58 295 65 303 25427 23869 43 289 47 284 43 289 51 292 63 304 23869 22278 37 286 47 284 43 284 47 288 59 304 22278 20651 33 283 43 274 44 280 45 285 47 299 20651 19015 33 279 39 268 41 275 45 282 42 289 19015 17448 30 277 35 268 38 272 44 281 42 280 17448 16023 26 280 30 269 35 272 41 283 41 279 16023 14751 21 284 23 272 31 273 37 282 37 282 14751 13612 19 288 18 275 26 275 32 275 30 279 13612 12585 17 292 16 276 21 278 26 267 25 266 12585 11656 16 294 15 275 14*277 22 263 24 259 11656 10814 15 291 14 276 9*267 18 263 24 258 10814 10055 14 287 12 275 8 259 15 265 22 255 10055 9367 12 285 9 271 7 258 13 264 18 251 9367 8738 10 286 4*255 7 256 11 262 14 245 8738 8170 8 283 3*189 7 256 10 259 10 239 8170 7688 4 285 3 183 7 256 9 256 6 234 7688 7312 1 123 3 177 7 256 9 254 4 229 7312 7051 6 114 3 175 7 257 8 251 2 225 7051 6891 6*105 3 173 6 257 6*248 1*193 6891 6799 4*101 3 174 6 256 4*246 1*060 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography