DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.7 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 457 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8476 - - 10987 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13135 - - 15208 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15161 - - 17672 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1970 - - 1985 - - - - - 460 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 665 - - 731 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 19 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 230 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2216 - - 1372 - - - - - -8195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12945 - - 16301 - - - - - 14994 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 184 - - -300 - - - - - -11721 ODpotential blCL - - - 14977 - - 17972 - - - - - 18520 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 67 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.7 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.1 - - 15.3 - - - - - 11.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 61.1 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.6 - - 14.4 - - - - - 10.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 457 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8476 - - 10987 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97247 38 289 48 281 59 283 97247 89901 41 277 47 280 44 291 89901 84274 41 273 36 275 28 294 84274 79630 30 276 22 280 23 282 79630 75636 20 275 23 280 23 267 75636 72087 19 253 16 275 13 261 72087 68851 13 248 18 260 10 265 68851 65866 23 240 19 244 13 263 65866 63092 27 220 28 240 20 274 63092 60386 30 236 33 232 27 264 60386 57550 36 242 27 241 36 251 57550 54616 41 235 40 250 44 232 54616 51831 49 233 52 241 43 231 51831 49338 57 231 57 239 46 246 49338 47121 56 234 59 239 57 250 47121 45128 57 240 55 243 64 247 45128 43318 54 246 51 256 68 249 43318 41657 53 257 59 266 74 253 41657 40118 60 269 67 266 82 255 40118 38679 68 273 72 262 86 255 38679 37331 72 272 74 259 85 253 37331 36043 66 267 76 257 83 252 36043 34759 55 255 78 258 85 252 34759 33451 56 244 76 258 87 252 33451 32122 60 242 72 257 86 252 32122 30760 58 245 67 254 81 251 30760 29360 52 246 63 252 74 250 29360 27926 47 245 60 250 65 248 27926 26466 44 244 58 249 56 245 26466 24982 44 244 54 249 51 241 24982 23474 43 245 51 247 48 240 23474 21937 40 242 48 244 45 240 21937 20368 37 238 44 240 41 238 20368 18789 33 234 36*234 37 233 18789 17277 26 235 26*229 33 228 17277 15901 21*240 25 229 30 229 15901 14667 20*241 24 229 30 233 14667 13554 18 238 22 228 31 236 13554 12544 17 235 19 229 32 238 12544 11627 17 235 18 230 32 240 11627 10793 17 235 17 230 32 241 10793 10040 17 234 16 230 33 243 10040 9358 16 234 15 231 33 244 9358 8733 16 234 14 232 32 245 8733 8168 16 235 13 233 31 246 8168 7687 15 235 13 234 28 246 7687 7312 15 235 12 234 23 245 7312 7051 14 235 12 234 17 243 7051 6891 14 235 11 234 14*241 6891 6799 12 235 10 234 6*235 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography