DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 50.1 - - 44.8 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 131 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 870 - - 2674 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 8076 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7555 - - 9359 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 904 - - 1761 - - 3572 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 304 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 113 - - 213 - - 219 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1047 - - -1293 - - -3044 - - -1488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8602 - - 10652 - - 9843 - - 8287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6526 - - -7362 - - -8947 - - -8728 ODpotential blCL - - - 14081 - - 16721 - - 15745 - - 15526 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 50 - - 45 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 50.1 - - 44.8 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 27.1 - - 25.5 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 26.2 - - 24.9 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 131 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 870 - - 2674 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96109 25 263 36 271 31 271 35 276 96109 88965 12 287 14 266 20 297 18 268 88965 83533 16 286 11 309 15 293 11 321 83533 79020 13 254 14 276 19 285 17 310 79020 75096 3 312 9 282 16 296 15 311 75096 71616 13 296 16 285 21 267 19 289 71616 68471 17 306 19 302 15 284 14 279 68471 65571 31 288 26 315 14 315 23 296 65571 62865 44 262 44 270 44 279 43 268 62865 60241 47 262 46 255 45 258 42 258 60241 57493 48 265 44 264 38 265 43 263 57493 54613 55 262 52 276 47 274 50 265 54613 51835 64 256 72 270 65 265 57 266 51835 49330 67 255 81 260 75 259 76 264 49330 47110 68 258 81 253 82 256 83 256 47110 45129 73 260 78 254 81 254 83 253 45129 43333 83 261 78 260 81 259 90 255 43333 41684 98 260 86 263 92 260 102 254 41684 40157 108 258 93 261 96 257 106 254 40157 38732 99 258 88 256 88 253 97 251 38732 37397 87 260 73 250 71 249 81 248 37397 36123 76 262 61 254 65 255 72 250 36123 34845 68 264 62 261 64 258 75 254 34845 33538 62 265 67 264 66 264 76 257 33538 32206 57 264 67 263 68 266 73 259 32206 30841 56 262 64 261 65 264 67 259 30841 29436 56 263 62 262 63 262 63 259 29436 27995 54 265 60 265 60 262 61 258 27995 26520 50 266 56 266 55 260 59 257 26520 25018 46 266 52 264 51 256 55 253 25018 23491 44 265 48 261 49 252 53 250 23491 21935 43 263 45 258 48 249 51 247 21935 20344 42 264 44 257 47 249 49 246 20344 18743 39 264 40 258 45 252 47 245 18743 17211 36 263 36 257 40 254 45 245 17211 15819 34 259 33 252 35 254 41 245 15819 14577 31 255 30 248 30 252 35 246 14577 13463 28 252 27 248 28 252 29 247 13463 12458 24 252 23 249 26 251 23 245 12458 11550 19 251 18 252 23 250 20 242 11550 10726 14 248 14 255 17 251 18 242 10726 9983 9 239 10*254 11 254 15 244 9983 9311 6 232 6*241 7 251 13 245 9311 8695 5 212 4 215 4 235 8 242 8695 8140 4 145 4 208 3 222 4 243 8140 7668 5*117 3 207 3 220 1 275 7668 7300 5*113 3 205 3 222 2 029 7300 7045 5 112 3 203 3 221 3 030 7045 6888 5 114 3 201 3 222 3*026 6888 6798 4 113 3 202 3*219 4*025 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography