DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 85.0 - - - - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 465 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9908 - - 14745 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14328 - - 18344 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16593 - - 21430 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6055 - - 1499 - - - - - 910 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 710 - - 815 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 284 - - - - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 10 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -434 - - 2010 - - - - - -9515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17028 - - 19421 - - - - - 16316 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2868 - - 403 - - - - - -13046 ODpotential blCL - - - 19461 - - 21027 - - - - - 19846 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 64 - - - - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 40 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 85.0 - - - - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 22.2 - - - - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 82.4 - - - - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.9 - - 21.3 - - - - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 465 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9908 - - 14745 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98516 14 106 16 081 8 050 98516 91057 12 090 10 092 13 064 91057 85340 14 116 9 131 18 069 85340 80600 19 126 8 118 12 086 80600 76514 9 088 14 117 11 120 76514 72907 8 149 11 086 14 108 72907 69645 12 131 9 130 9 095 69645 66650 11 159 13 185 2 132 66650 63886 14 146 13 196 7 241 63886 61234 6 213 15 211 13 223 61234 58473 15 246 15 200 15 214 58473 55603 22 239 20 232 16 249 55603 52863 24 227 24 232 17 271 52863 50393 21 247 20 237 21 281 50393 48175 18 261 19 255 27 276 48175 46164 22 277 23 261 27 271 46164 44325 20 279 24 260 25 268 44325 42633 14 281 20 265 21 269 42633 41067 9 295 14 266 19 269 41067 39605 11 310 12 282 22 262 39605 38237 16 305 13 301 23 260 38237 36932 17 293 15 308 21 263 36932 35626 15 289 16 300 19 261 35626 34291 11 293 16 280 18 258 34291 32933 10 311 10 271 16 255 32933 31543 13 301 11 286 13 249 31543 30115 11 292 11 311 13 254 30115 28649 7 295 12 312 12 266 28649 27148 8 312 14 295 12 272 27148 25618 7 342 12 295 10 273 25618 24062 4 015 7 302 11 271 24062 22475 2 349 5*302 14 262 22475 20852 5 287 5*305 18 250 20852 19222 7 276 6 297 18 249 19222 17662 7*280 8 288 18 258 17662 16239 6*287 9 285 18 265 16239 14961 6 280 10 284 19 269 14961 13807 6 275 12 283 19 272 13807 12760 6 273 13 282 20 276 12760 11808 6 273 13 282 21 279 11808 10945 6 272 14 282 21 282 10945 10163 6 272 14 282 22 284 10163 9456 6 272 15 282 22 286 9456 8807 7 272 15 282 22 287 8807 8221 7 271 15 282 22 288 8221 7722 7 272 15 282 20 289 7722 7333 7 273 15 282 17 288 7333 7062 7 272 14 282 13 287 7062 6896 7 272 14 282 9 288 6896 6800 6 273 13 282 6*286 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography