DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.5 - - 46.1 - - 51.1 - - 48.4 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 293 - - 318 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 3787 - - 4962 - - 3472 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 9225 - - 10166 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 10472 - - 11647 - - 10157 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 249 - - 1314 - - 1436 - - 2535 - - 1252 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 441 - - 495 - - 170 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 15 - - 19 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 267 - - 262 - - 273 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -10 - - -13 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 616 - - 268 - - -754 - - -1745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 9857 - - 11380 - - 10912 - - 8543 sfcLCL ODpotential -3450 - - -1354 - - -3447 - - -3653 - - -6259 ODpotential blCL 10248 - - 11826 - - 15094 - - 13810 - - 13057 blCL maxRH 100 - - 80 - - 72 - - 70 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.5 - - 46.1 - - 51.1 - - 48.4 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 26.6 - - 24.8 - - 24.4 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.7 - - 44.3 - - 49.2 - - 48.4 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 26.6 - - 24.7 - - 24.2 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 293 - - 318 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 3787 - - 4962 - - 3472 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96943 15 298 25 308 24 335 18 349 19 301 96943 89904 9 335 8 319 13 347 20 025 18 028 89904 84375 7 042 7 038 8 049 15 034 18 048 84375 79731 8 021 4 037 8 061 12 061 14 052 79731 75700 8 346 7 359 6 010 13 051 12 066 75700 72121 6 301 4 353 5 006 13 015 16 029 72121 68899 2 307 7 283 5 309 9 348 11 332 68899 65975 13 282 16 274 10 292 11 331 13 319 65975 63289 11 251 20 281 20 295 19 312 17 286 63289 60702 20 288 26 301 23 283 32 285 25 249 60702 57978 32 298 39 290 39 273 42 279 38 273 57978 55122 37 280 54 275 54 270 57 275 60 280 55122 52390 53 264 65 270 65 270 66 269 68 272 52390 49915 66 257 71 262 72 267 70 269 72 265 49915 47683 73 257 77 260 81 262 79 265 80 263 47683 45649 76 257 82 259 88 259 87 259 88 260 45649 43780 78 258 85 257 90 256 89 256 92 257 43780 42047 83 260 87 257 93 258 91 257 93 258 42047 40431 91 261 94 258 100 261 96 261 98 264 40431 38923 102 261 105 257 108 262 105 263 110 268 38923 37522 113 260 114 257 116 260 115 262 120 267 37522 36197 121 259 119 256 123 258 122 259 127 264 36197 34883 125 257 121 256 125 256 126 258 129 262 34883 33549 125 257 122 256 123 257 124 259 128 264 33549 32197 122 259 119 258 117 260 122 266 124 268 32197 30819 115 264 112 260 108 262 116 269 117 271 30819 29406 106 267 103 262 101 262 107 265 106 267 29406 27959 98 266 97 261 100 260 100 259 99 260 27959 26479 95 266 95 261 100 262 98 258 97 259 26479 24973 92 267 92 262 95 263 96 261 92 262 24973 23447 87 268 86 262 88 263 91 263 85 264 23447 21894 81 270 81 264 83 262 86 264 80 266 21894 20305 77 273 78 268 79 263 82 266 78 269 20305 18706 72 275 73 270 76 265 77 269 75 270 18706 17178 67 274 66 268 70 267 69 271 66 271 17178 15794 63 272 59 266 61 266 60 269 58 270 15794 14558 57 269 51 266 51 264 51 265 52 267 14558 13449 49 265 44 268 40 263 40 260 47 263 13449 12447 41 266 36 270 31*262 31 259 39 259 12447 11540 34 266 29 270 24*262 25 261 34 259 11540 10718 28 268 22*268 20 263 20*265 30 261 10718 9976 25 276 18*268 19 262 17*269 27 264 9976 9305 25 287 16 268 19 262 16 272 22 267 9305 8691 24 296 15 268 18 263 15 272 18 273 8691 8137 20 303 14 267 18 262 15 273 14 284 8137 7666 15 308 14 267 17 262 14 274 11 299 7666 7299 11 311 13 266 17 262 14 274 9 308 7299 7044 6 302 13 266 16 262 13 274 7 309 7044 6888 3*272 12 266 15 262 12 274 5 306 6888 6798 1*199 11 266 13 262 10 274 3*306 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography