DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.1 - - 75.5 - - 78.8 - - 77.9 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 162 - - 533 - - 507 - - 157 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 820 - - 9451 - - 10174 - - 10411 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 14017 - - 14592 - - 14039 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7505 - - 16136 - - 16859 - - 17096 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1256 - - 1554 - - 1519 - - 2030 - - 467 Hgt.Variab. W* 218 - - 731 - - 738 - - 505 - - 11 W* B/S 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 26 - - 29 - - 29 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 270 - - 280 - - 272 - - 270 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 18 - - 11 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9198 - - -1662 - - -1855 - - -2307 - - -9598 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16704 - - 17799 - - 18715 - - 19404 - - 16399 sfcLCL ODpotential -15450 - - -5821 - - -5566 - - -5529 - - -14599 ODpotential blCL 22955 - - 21957 - - 22425 - - 22625 - - 21399 blCL maxRH 68 - - 56 - - 74 - - 73 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.1 - - 75.5 - - 78.8 - - 77.9 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 20.3 - - 19.3 - - 15.3 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.1 - - 72.7 - - 76.3 - - 77.0 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.5 - - 19.8 - - 18.6 - - 14.8 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 162 - - 533 - - 507 - - 157 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 820 - - 9451 - - 10174 - - 10411 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97874 3 253 4 261 7 173 4 201 4 266 97874 90384 6 091 10 177 6 207 7 096 4 090 90384 84628 3 044 8 140 7 196 5 076 8 090 84628 79893 2 286 1 016 5 118 1 098 8 083 79893 75834 6 068 2 300 5 321 5 021 8 061 75834 72240 9 024 1 223 10 307 10 335 9 358 72240 68984 14 329 6 333 10 285 10 280 9 337 68984 65985 20 290 17 314 12 297 5 280 12 318 65985 63188 27 288 32 289 29 281 27 280 12 292 63188 60473 33 285 29 287 31 282 29 273 19 284 60473 57663 37 284 36 280 37 286 29 284 32 280 57663 54781 39 279 37 275 39 280 36 283 38 278 54781 52054 35 284 37 285 33 284 38 285 39 277 52054 49632 38 298 44 298 35 296 38 292 41 288 49632 47495 34 295 43 298 38 300 41 292 43 297 47495 45577 22 292 37 303 37 306 47 301 52 297 45577 43833 30 328 40 316 43 317 46 299 55 288 43833 42221 40 341 40 320 38 317 38 286 50 279 42221 40705 39 345 32 316 35 308 39 293 48 276 40705 39272 35 344 25 314 41 301 43 295 48 278 39272 37921 31 341 24 316 40 300 43 295 48 285 37921 36628 29 336 26 315 39 299 42 297 48 291 36628 35332 29 331 27 311 36 295 42 300 49 294 35332 34007 28 329 25 308 35 292 42 301 49 294 34007 32658 27 332 23 305 36 291 43 301 48 295 32658 31276 27 337 22 301 37 293 45 301 47 296 31276 29852 26 340 22 297 41 295 46 299 46 297 29852 28391 24 340 23 294 43 296 48 296 44 296 28391 26898 21 338 24 292 42 291 49 293 43 291 26898 25377 18 335 26 292 38 277 47 290 42 285 25377 23833 14 323 23 284 33 264 43 287 42 282 23833 22260 14 304 24 277 39 275 41 285 41 280 22260 20653 24 292 30 280 43 285 38 284 40 274 20653 19042 30 293 35 287 41 290 37 277 40 259 19042 17502 33 299 36*288 37*285 33*269 40 252 17502 16100 32 299 34*286 31*273 32*268 40 254 16100 14842 28 294 31 284 30 272 32 268 39 256 14842 13706 24 290 30 284 30 272 32 268 38 261 13706 12675 23 291 29 283 30 272 31 269 38 268 12675 11737 22 295 25 280 29 271 30 270 38 275 11737 10887 19 299 24 279 29 271 30 271 39 282 10887 10117 17 297 24 277 29 271 29 272 40 288 10117 9420 16 291 23 276 28 271 28 272 39 291 9420 8781 16 288 23 275 27 271 28 273 39 292 8781 8203 14 287 22 274 27 271 27 273 37 293 8203 7711 11*285 21 273 26 271 26 274 34 293 7711 7326 5*272 21 273 25 271 26 274 29 292 7326 7058 5 271 20 272 24 271 24 274 21 289 7058 6894 4 268 19 272 23 271 22 274 17*288 6894 6800 4 269 16 272 19 271 18 274 7*282 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography