DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 67.9 - - 70.4 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 105 - - 65 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1443 - - 4324 - - 4295 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6783 - - 9224 - - 8704 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8128 - - 11009 - - 10980 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2291 - - 2453 - - 4343 - - 1108 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 348 - - 281 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 110 - - 209 - - 168 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -5 - - 7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1329 - - 2553 - - 851 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6800 - - 8457 - - 10129 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 37 - - -305 - - -1584 - - -2276 ODpotential blCL - - - 8091 - - 11314 - - 12564 - - 9076 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 78 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 1240 - - 990 - - 750 - - 1540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 67.9 - - 70.4 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 53.9 - - 49.2 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 67.0 - - 69.9 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 52.6 - - 49.0 - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 105 - - 65 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1443 - - 4324 - - 4295 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 10 - - 25 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 9 - - 8 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98658 15 108 17 093 19 047 21 060 98658 91281 20 101 17 090 17 069 25 062 91281 85616 20 083 15 072 16 073 23 063 85616 80928 19 074 14 090 15 061 20 054 80928 76886 15 090 12 067 15 059 17 050 76886 73306 16 081 10 082 12 044 11 038 73306 70057 14 061 9 068 10 053 12 036 70057 67068 7 061 7 045 9 065 7 035 67068 64282 4 034 3 318 7 012 8 022 64282 61589 4 277 6 261 10 284 13 300 61589 58813 10 280 12 302 7 309 6 289 58813 55949 20 248 19 267 16 298 13 320 55949 53236 25 241 21 259 21 265 21 275 53236 50808 30 228 28 237 24 249 24 262 50808 48626 30 228 31 229 27 236 27 238 48626 46638 33 231 32 229 30 236 30 236 46638 44807 37 229 34 230 35 237 34 234 44807 43106 41 224 40 229 39 236 37 230 43106 41514 46 223 46 227 42 233 39 228 41514 40018 51 222 49 222 44 229 41 228 40018 38617 54 218 52 219 45 224 43 226 38617 37280 54 215 54 216 47 220 45 223 37280 35943 53 214 55 213 49 218 46 221 35943 34579 52 213 53 213 50 218 47 220 34579 33195 51 212 51 213 49 218 47 217 33195 31778 50 212 49 215 44 219 46 216 31778 30323 51 212 45 217 40 223 41 215 30323 28834 50 211 37 220 35 227 37 217 28834 27309 47 211 30 220 27 231 31 224 27309 25753 41 213 28 224 22 235 24 234 25753 24174 30 221 26 229 20 243 21 243 24174 22566 27 222 26 237 20 252 19 256 22566 20920 19 222 28 239 21 259 19 265 20920 19263 13 221 26 241 22 261 20 262 19263 17677 14 226 23 243 21 253 21 256 17677 16235 14 231 22 245 20 245 20 253 16235 14945 14 237 21 246 18 241 19 251 14945 13784 14 243 18 245 16 234 16 251 13784 12733 14 245 14 244 13 225 13 245 12733 11779 11 237 10*240 12*220 11 226 11779 10914 9 225 8*233 8*210 11 213 10914 10134 7 205 6 223 6 193 9 197 10134 9429 6 183 5 215 5 168 9 171 9429 8785 5 160 4 199 4 156 9 148 8785 8204 5*137 4 194 4 148 10 125 8204 7710 5*116 4 191 4 144 11 107 7710 7325 5 111 4 189 4 142 11 097 7325 7058 5 109 3 187 4 140 10 089 7058 6894 5 107 3 186 4 140 8*081 6894 6800 5 107 3 187 4 139 5*077 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography