DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 73.7 - - 72.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 513 - - 172 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7510 - - 10027 - - 8230 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12395 - - 14473 - - 12396 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14195 - - 16712 - - 14915 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3097 - - 2331 - - 2895 - - 2735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 662 - - 736 - - 480 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 20 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 283 - - 294 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -6 - - -22 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3548 - - -2266 - - -4060 - - -9105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17744 - - 18979 - - 18976 - - 15905 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7045 - - -5893 - - -8455 - - -13948 ODpotential blCL - - - 21240 - - 22605 - - 23370 - - 20748 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 38 - - 48 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 73.7 - - 72.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.1 - - 13.1 - - 11.8 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 71.1 - - 71.1 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.3 - - 12.3 - - 11.1 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 513 - - 172 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7510 - - 10027 - - 8230 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98354 14 120 13 085 12 085 14 075 98354 90886 10 097 7 099 13 080 10 074 90886 85132 12 088 11 141 4 057 14 074 85132 80355 7 152 9 151 3 100 12 081 80355 76243 12 095 13 152 7 143 6 068 76243 72631 9 112 10 129 10 112 6 110 72631 69377 7 153 5 140 7 080 5 070 69377 66373 4 140 1 223 1 183 4 019 66373 63582 4 289 3 346 2 246 7 331 63582 60896 11 271 9 320 4 348 9 273 60896 58127 25 277 18 315 17 317 22 304 58127 55267 28 272 35 286 35 293 36 300 55267 52536 37 286 42 281 41 288 42 295 52536 50077 47 289 48 283 49 285 49 292 50077 47874 54 288 52 283 55 286 54 291 47874 45877 60 288 55 287 59 291 57 295 45877 44052 66 290 59 295 63 294 61 298 44052 42372 69 289 63 297 65 297 64 299 42372 40813 65 288 60 297 65 299 66 301 40813 39353 57 291 54 299 60 297 65 302 39353 37987 54 297 50 301 50 292 61 302 37987 36686 54 298 48 298 42 292 51 298 36686 35389 54 292 47 291 39 290 43 289 35389 34068 52 286 46 285 38 286 37 281 34068 32726 53 283 46 283 39 284 31 276 32726 31354 54 283 46 283 40 284 29 277 31354 29944 53 285 47 283 40 285 31 278 29944 28498 53 287 47 282 40 288 33 280 28498 27013 52 288 49 282 41 290 33 281 27013 25495 51 288 49 285 41 290 33 283 25495 23945 48 285 47 288 42 291 33 284 23945 22361 46 283 43 291 40 292 33 284 22361 20741 42 282 38 292 36 292 29 282 20741 19113 33 280 33 291 30 293 27 279 19113 17555 26 285 28*289 26 293 26 274 17555 16136 23 293 21*284 22*292 24 275 16136 14864 22*294 21 283 19*292 23 281 14864 13718 20*289 21 283 19 293 21 290 13718 12678 19 287 20 283 19 293 19 299 12678 11736 18 287 20 283 19 293 18 307 11736 10881 16 287 20 283 19 294 17 315 10881 10109 15 285 20 282 19 294 17 320 10109 9411 14 285 20 282 19 295 16 322 9411 8773 13 284 20 282 18 295 16 323 8773 8196 13 284 19 282 18 295 15 323 8196 7705 12 283 19 282 18 296 14 323 7705 7323 12 282 19 282 17 296 12 323 7323 7056 11 282 18 282 17 296 10 323 7056 6893 11 282 17 282 16 296 8*325 6893 6800 10 282 15 282 14 296 5*331 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography