DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 76.4 - - 76.7 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 487 - - 152 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4625 - - 7809 - - 8035 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10056 - - 12628 - - 12156 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11310 - - 14494 - - 14720 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1612 - - 3341 - - 4036 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 559 - - 665 - - 457 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 275 - - 290 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -10 - - -13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4195 - - -4042 - - -4376 - - -10196 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15506 - - 18537 - - 19097 - - 16996 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8436 - - -6990 - - -7269 - - -15068 ODpotential blCL - - - 19746 - - 21484 - - 21989 - - 21868 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 35 - - 36 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 76.4 - - 76.7 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.8 - - 18.1 - - 16.0 - - 14.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 73.7 - - 75.7 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 17.3 - - 15.2 - - 13.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 487 - - 152 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4625 - - 7809 - - 8035 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98069 9 207 5 264 14 207 14 273 98069 90608 14 192 9 213 5 228 3 314 90608 84863 13 177 12 192 7 313 2 244 84863 80103 7 218 13 192 8 239 5 341 80103 76038 2 213 12 204 6 220 3 184 76038 72457 3 306 3 163 4 222 9 185 72457 69213 3 273 5 295 7 269 2 352 69213 66248 6 265 11 264 8 269 7 309 66248 63514 12 264 11 293 9 301 12 293 63514 60870 14 254 15 296 13 283 17 276 60870 58121 11 251 17 281 15 275 19 273 58121 55277 12 260 20 266 21 280 20 283 55277 52571 14 278 22 263 29 275 28 281 52571 50152 18 285 21 266 27 267 28 273 50152 47995 21 282 21 269 24 288 25 286 47995 46045 25 285 23 286 31 296 29 295 46045 44264 28 293 27 294 32 300 30 306 44264 42619 32 304 31 308 34 312 35 321 42619 41086 35 312 36 316 38 321 40 327 41086 39644 39 315 40 319 43 325 42 329 39644 38290 42 316 43 318 44 324 42 329 38290 36993 42 315 43 316 44 322 41 326 36993 35693 42 316 42 315 42 322 40 325 35693 34365 42 317 42 315 40 322 40 327 34365 33013 38 315 42 316 39 321 39 329 33013 31627 33 312 40 318 38 319 35 328 31627 30199 29 312 33 316 34 320 30 324 30199 28733 26 312 26 312 29 319 25 322 28733 27231 22 312 22 313 23 316 22 324 27231 25697 19 313 20 314 18 313 20 322 25697 24136 18 319 19 314 17 313 17 316 24136 22544 18 324 19 316 18 316 15 315 22544 20912 17 325 19 316 18 318 15 315 20912 19267 14 322 17 317 16 320 15 312 19267 17688 11 329 14 322 14 323 14 310 17688 16248 10 347 10 331 13 321 13 312 16248 14958 10 356 8*318 13*308 12 314 14958 13795 10 356 7*292 13*299 12 315 13795 12742 9 346 8 283 13 296 13 315 12742 11788 5*319 8 278 14 293 14 312 11788 10922 3*252 9 275 14 291 15 310 10922 10142 4 223 9 274 14 289 16 307 10142 9437 5 218 9 272 14 288 16 304 9437 8791 5 216 9 271 14 287 17 301 8791 8208 5 213 10 270 14 286 17 299 8208 7713 5 214 10 270 14 286 17 297 7713 7327 5 213 9 270 14 286 16 295 7327 7058 5 212 9 269 13 285 13 292 7058 6894 5 214 9 269 13 285 9*288 6894 6800 4 214 8 269 11 285 6*282 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography