DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 42.4 - - 35.1 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 118 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 273 - - 2429 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 7833 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6958 - - 9114 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 741 - - 1339 - - 1790 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 282 - - 7 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 145 - - 269 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2529 - - -3879 - - -3871 - - -2820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9487 - - 12994 - - 10670 - - 9619 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10983 - - -10995 - - -11366 - - -11888 ODpotential blCL - - - 17941 - - 20109 - - 18164 - - 18686 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 57 - - 45 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 42.4 - - 35.1 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.0 - - 9.9 - - 13.0 - - 11.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 41.9 - - 39.3 - - 34.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.0 - - 9.0 - - 12.3 - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 118 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 273 - - 2429 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95866 48 292 31 295 36 272 46 289 95866 88904 31 295 23 327 23 330 27 336 88904 83493 18 311 18 306 19 318 22 349 83493 79017 13 328 16 285 17 298 20 346 79017 75147 9 335 18 316 21 324 21 343 75147 71693 6 334 16 325 18 324 16 319 71693 68540 7 346 12 316 12 323 13 287 68540 65622 18 328 19 315 16 326 18 339 65622 62913 18 309 26 304 25 324 31 327 62913 60296 11 275 21 292 30 303 27 304 60296 57546 11 305 20 275 28 281 26 292 57546 54662 27 318 26 296 32 281 35 286 54662 51900 34 308 33 295 37 282 37 286 51900 49420 30 295 33 286 38 287 34 286 49420 47204 26 279 31 276 37 286 31 290 47204 45197 21 284 24 283 28 283 26 293 45197 43367 17 300 23 312 21 296 24 313 43367 41695 16 331 26 321 23 312 28 319 41695 40169 18 347 22 323 22 310 24 309 40169 38765 15 358 22 340 19 316 20 309 38765 37452 13 360 20 334 21 322 19 317 37452 36194 11 005 13 321 20 319 18 314 36194 34930 14 002 11 322 15 301 22 316 34930 33640 14 359 14 329 14 300 21 322 33640 32324 7 007 14 324 17 314 18 317 32324 30971 5 302 13 311 18 313 16 314 30971 29574 8 274 14 306 14 299 14 312 29574 28137 10 300 14 298 13 274 13 305 28137 26662 11 309 12 294 11 262 14 299 26662 25155 8 294 10 281 11 256 13 286 25155 23620 8 284 10 275 10 268 10 282 23620 22054 8 292 9 274 7 278 6 304 22054 20449 6 302 6 269 5 290 5 339 20449 18833 5 321 3 293 3 324 5 013 18833 17283 3 008 1 004 2 003 5 038 17283 15873 4 075 2 097 2 054 5 052 15873 14612 4 091 1 076 3 061 6 062 14612 13478 3 144 1 310 5 049 8 071 13478 12456 5 171 2 291 5 028 9 073 12456 11532 7 186 2 285 6 017 8 061 11532 10699 11 182 3 168 6 017 7 043 10699 9952 13 172 5 154 4 028 6 033 9952 9281 14 162 5*146 3 062 3 035 9281 8670 11 149 5*142 3 099 1 067 8670 8120 8 120 5 142 3 114 1 093 8120 7654 8 097 4 144 2 128 0 043 7654 7291 9 091 4 147 1 171 2 329 7291 7039 8*090 3 152 1 243 3 335 7039 6886 6*089 3 153 2*263 3*343 6886 6798 5 089 3 155 1*269 2*002 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography