DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0704z - - 1004z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 44.4 - - 43.9 - - 43.1 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 47 - - 89 - - 13 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 703 - - 1428 - - 2536 - - 2412 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 6782 - - 7823 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 7388 - - 8113 - - 9221 - - 9097 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3580 - - 2220 - - 2281 - - 2444 - - 1693 Hgt.Variab. W* 112 - - 184 - - 273 - - 162 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 29 - - 30 - - 25 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 233 - - 265 - - 273 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 15 - - 17 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 11 - - 8 - - -10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 590 - - 1315 - - 2423 - - 2299 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -517 - - 662 - - 1153 - - 424 - - -1433 ODpotential blCL 7905 - - 7451 - - 8068 - - 8673 - - 8231 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 150 - - 430 - - 210 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 44.4 - - 43.9 - - 43.1 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.4 - - 42.5 - - 40.4 - - 37.9 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 44.3 - - 43.5 - - 43.2 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.7 - - 41.8 - - 39.2 - - 36.7 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 47 - - 89 - - 13 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 703 - - 1428 - - 2536 - - 2412 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 78 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96657 30 260 34 258 27 270 25 267 37 266 96657 89376 32 275 32 270 27 267 27 266 35 282 89376 83846 30 281 26 273 19 271 27 281 29 291 83846 79277 26 284 22 271 13 286 19 287 20 302 79277 75341 20 281 16 266 15 268 14 284 12 320 75341 71852 16 290 9 296 20 264 19 274 9 323 71852 68679 20 291 13 289 18 261 16 278 12 294 68679 65757 25 288 19 288 14 285 15 271 18 271 65757 63032 37 276 30 281 15 279 16 249 15 260 63032 60361 39 271 32 273 20 298 25 293 21 269 60361 57556 35 274 29 277 31 285 27 299 29 239 57556 54637 35 281 41 281 37 267 22 267 24 255 54637 51843 51 278 49 266 41 272 40 278 40 271 51843 49329 60 267 54 263 51 267 50 268 42 272 49329 47076 62 263 58 262 55 259 44 262 44 288 47076 45027 66 260 65 262 53 259 50 278 54 288 45027 43151 75 259 76 259 66 267 66 280 59 286 43151 41434 97 256 89 255 82 263 69 275 61 290 41434 39855 118 255 103 247 84 253 65 273 65 298 39855 38395 121 255 111 246 78 246 62 278 70 305 38395 37039 110 253 104 245 70 249 59 281 73 310 37039 35752 93 245 90 243 70 258 57 285 75 313 35752 34470 88 238 84 240 74 263 56 288 78 315 34470 33168 86 239 86 236 78 263 58 292 80 317 33168 31849 81 239 94 235 79 260 63 292 79 317 31849 30502 75 237 98 238 78 257 63 292 76 315 30502 29120 73 238 92 243 77 255 62 298 71 312 29120 27704 71 239 77 245 76 255 63 301 66 308 27704 26256 68 240 63 237 70 255 61 299 60 305 26256 24781 61 241 62 232 58 255 55 297 52 302 24781 23281 53 241 58 233 42 253 49 296 45 300 23281 21752 50 243 51 235 36 252 47 291 42 297 21752 20185 53 246 49 236 40 252 44 293 42 296 20185 18609 58 247 49 241 41 254 41 290 41 293 18609 17102 62 246 47 247 41 254 39 288 39 293 17102 15733 63 241 43 249 40 254 38 286 36 296 15733 14510 61 235 41 248 40 254 38 286 35 293 14510 13411 55 230 41 249 40 255 37 286 35 292 13411 12417 47 229 42 251 41 256 36 285 36 288 12417 11517 41 228 42 251 41 259 35 283 37 284 11517 10701 36 226 41 248 41 261 35 282 37 281 10701 9964 32 224 39 244 39 263 34 281 35 279 9964 9297 28 221 38 240 37*264 32*279 32 279 9297 8686 24 217 37 237 35*264 29*276 28 279 8686 8134 19 211 36*235 34 265 27 274 23 279 8134 7665 15*202 34*234 31 265 26 273 17 278 7665 7298 11*190 32 233 29 265 24 272 12 274 7298 7044 9 186 29 232 27 265 22 271 8 268 7044 6888 9 185 26 232 25 265 20 271 5*260 6888 6798 8 183 19 231 18 264 15 271 2*247 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography