DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 52.3 - - 51.5 - - 41.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 222 - - 12 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2327 - - 5690 - - 5127 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7868 - - 10576 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9012 - - 12375 - - 11812 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3693 - - 2141 - - 3614 - - 2137 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 462 - - 173 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 16 - - 3 - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 11 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 143 - - 260 - - 277 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 989 - - 1241 - - -181 - - -2992 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8024 - - 11134 - - 11993 - - 9791 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1039 - - -495 - - -1955 - - -6703 ODpotential blCL - - - 10051 - - 12870 - - 13767 - - 13501 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 88 - - 79 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 52.3 - - 51.5 - - 41.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 27.2 - - 22.8 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 50.9 - - 51.5 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 26.8 - - 22.5 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 222 - - 12 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2327 - - 5690 - - 5127 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 52 - - 16 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96406 18 057 27 055 23 088 15 087 96406 89419 18 073 19 078 14 084 17 069 89419 83960 18 089 20 092 10 084 15 055 83960 79386 17 088 16 066 10 099 9 043 79386 75416 17 084 10 071 8 083 7 036 75416 71896 13 064 8 135 5 008 12 019 71896 68704 14 023 4 114 6 245 12 345 68704 65770 12 288 12 321 3 215 10 308 65770 63054 21 261 21 284 20 259 22 267 63054 60427 28 276 26 273 25 262 26 260 60427 57677 43 266 39 267 35 268 32 267 57677 54784 49 253 49 253 52 254 51 253 54784 51995 52 251 57 254 66 251 60 250 51995 49480 67 251 76 254 77 250 71 251 49480 47240 82 255 88 252 85 253 73 251 47240 45222 101 254 96 253 93 255 80 256 45222 43373 108 248 102 250 99 251 96 255 43373 41665 109 248 96 249 95 249 99 251 41665 40093 112 250 101 254 99 252 102 252 40093 38640 113 252 119 255 112 253 109 252 38640 37288 118 253 134 252 123 251 116 250 37288 36000 122 252 135 252 124 250 121 249 36000 34714 121 252 124 253 118 250 117 248 34714 33403 119 253 110 253 111 250 107 249 33403 32077 115 253 102 254 104 252 100 251 32077 30721 107 257 95 255 98 254 96 251 30721 29325 98 262 90 253 90 254 89 251 29325 27894 90 263 86 252 83 253 83 252 27894 26428 80 261 80 255 78 254 76 256 26428 24934 65 260 70 258 70 259 68 259 24934 23419 52 259 58 256 59 260 57 259 23419 21876 47 261 50 253 48 253 49 251 21876 20299 43 260 47 251 46 246 46 242 20299 18712 38 258 44 251 44 248 43 244 18712 17194 34 256 39 252 38 256 35 254 17194 15816 30 257 33 255 30 264 27 262 15816 14584 23 257 25 263 23 275 22 263 14584 13475 16 262 19 269 17 284 18 261 13475 12471 11 274 11*270 13*287 15 261 12471 11560 9 271 7*265 12*286 12 266 11560 10735 7 256 6 261 11 283 9 276 10735 9990 7 239 5 260 11 280 7 288 9990 9317 6*212 5 259 11 277 5 295 9317 8700 5*173 5 259 11 274 5 299 8700 8144 6 142 5 259 10 273 5 304 8144 7671 6 140 5 257 10 271 6 305 7671 7302 6 137 5 258 10 271 6 304 7302 7046 5 135 4 259 10 270 5 299 7046 6889 5 135 4 258 9 270 3 281 6889 6798 5 135 4 259 8 269 1*272 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography