DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.1 - - 45.0 - - 48.4 - - 45.0 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 109 - - 82 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1239 - - 2154 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6948 - - 7504 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7924 - - 8839 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 297 - - 1002 - - 1329 - - 2351 - - 1264 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 228 - - 253 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 180 - - 213 - - 180 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -5 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 656 - - 1034 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7269 - - 7805 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -4831 - - -3157 - - -4579 - - -5221 - - -7273 ODpotential blCL 11629 - - 11081 - - 13418 - - 12019 - - 14071 blCL maxRH 84 - - 78 - - 74 - - 74 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.1 - - 45.0 - - 48.4 - - 45.0 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 36.8 - - 37.8 - - 39.5 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.2 - - 44.2 - - 47.8 - - 46.8 - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 35.7 - - 36.6 - - 38.3 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 109 - - 82 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1239 - - 2154 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96538 47 272 52 276 59 284 50 277 41 276 96538 89500 32 281 36 281 32 283 31 288 34 289 89500 84075 21 297 32 287 14 289 20 282 31 295 84075 79577 16 309 20 302 16 280 16 290 19 297 79577 75670 12 324 9 325 24 258 24 289 23 310 75670 72180 10 324 5 348 19 248 25 277 27 300 72180 68999 13 316 7 333 9 249 14 272 17 290 68999 66058 22 290 12 303 9 296 6 267 15 275 66058 63321 17 262 13 264 15 258 11 253 14 260 63321 60660 9 263 16 265 11 273 6 250 15 298 60660 57881 21 255 31 261 32 283 25 279 27 280 57881 55011 21 255 39 259 40 265 33 273 32 273 55011 52283 33 271 41 275 36 282 40 282 39 271 52283 49847 43 281 37 297 56 290 51 287 40 283 49847 47675 44 290 65 298 69 287 67 292 61 294 47675 45714 57 300 85 290 82 289 89 293 80 288 45714 43922 76 301 96 287 103 291 106 291 96 286 43922 42257 97 300 109 291 118 291 114 288 105 281 42257 40699 114 299 123 293 125 290 117 286 107 278 40699 39238 119 299 125 293 125 290 114 285 106 277 39238 37869 116 298 121 292 120 290 111 286 106 278 37869 36560 112 299 114 292 112 292 107 288 102 281 36560 35254 103 302 104 292 100 295 98 290 90 284 35254 33925 93 305 93 295 90 299 89 292 74 287 33925 32578 81 304 80 296 84 301 80 293 66 287 32578 31201 68 306 72 295 79 302 73 294 64 285 31201 29784 65 307 71 295 74 301 69 294 62 284 29784 28330 65 309 70 296 72 300 66 293 59 284 28330 26836 56 312 68 297 69 299 63 293 55 285 26836 25308 50 310 64 298 61 302 60 294 52 288 25308 23754 50 306 58 299 55 305 56 298 51 291 23754 22172 47 307 51 310 51 309 48 299 49 292 22172 20556 43 312 44 311 46 315 43 303 42 286 20556 18930 43 323 39 307 43 321 41 307 36 283 18930 17371 39 334 37 320 40 318 39 312 31 286 17371 15951 26 348 31 332 35 316 36 315 27 293 15951 14681 14 001 19 340 26 319 31 317 22 301 14681 13538 6 344 11 344 17 313 24 317 17 307 13538 12507 2 309 6 324 11 297 14 311 11 310 12507 11578 2 141 4 273 8 291 8 294 5 274 11578 10742 4 131 5 231 6 274 4 284 5 224 10742 9992 4 145 6 214 5 233 2 254 5 201 9992 9316 4 165 6 205 4*216 1 162 6 174 9316 8699 4 184 5 201 4*214 3 130 7 155 8699 8143 3 184 4*185 4 213 3 138 6 145 8143 7670 5 174 4*182 4 213 3 156 5 135 7670 7302 5 171 4 179 4 213 3 169 3 125 7302 7045 4 157 4 181 4 213 3 176 2 108 7045 6888 2*121 4 179 4 214 3 181 1 056 6888 6798 2*066 4 180 4 215 2*180 3*034 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography