DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 44.3 - - 40.5 - - 26.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 239 - - -26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 2391 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7321 - - 8104 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8061 - - 9076 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 829 - - 1039 - - 2179 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 353 - - 11 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 271 - - 253 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3328 - - -4706 - - -8427 - - -5055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11390 - - 13783 - - 15226 - - 11853 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9669 - - -9745 - - -14501 - - -13996 ODpotential blCL - - - 17730 - - 18821 - - 21299 - - 20793 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 29 - - 38 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 44.3 - - 40.5 - - 26.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.5 - - 8.0 - - -1.7 - - -0.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 42.8 - - 42.0 - - 31.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.2 - - 7.8 - - -1.9 - - -0.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 239 - - -26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 2391 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95978 15 313 19 005 7 296 15 282 95978 88898 7 302 11 346 13 354 11 010 88898 83461 5 358 12 335 12 357 12 015 83461 78932 8 044 9 322 13 351 22 000 78932 75001 12 022 6 047 11 342 20 342 75001 71511 15 351 12 019 12 353 18 352 71511 68344 19 345 15 020 12 018 7 345 68344 65434 32 320 25 336 22 353 16 344 65434 62721 28 318 26 322 23 333 28 323 62721 60093 30 320 39 314 38 315 42 312 60093 57368 41 321 45 306 45 314 47 314 57368 54525 49 318 49 308 52 315 51 315 54525 51788 56 310 56 308 60 311 60 314 51788 49317 59 305 60 309 63 305 66 309 49317 47096 59 306 61 308 62 303 66 306 47096 45074 57 306 59 307 60 305 63 305 45074 43215 55 301 60 307 63 309 60 306 43215 41500 54 299 61 306 66 308 58 308 41500 39913 50 302 62 301 65 304 57 309 39913 38442 49 306 58 298 62 300 57 312 38442 37079 51 304 54 298 57 300 57 316 37079 35792 52 301 49 300 54 302 58 318 35792 34517 51 301 45 306 52 308 57 318 34517 33226 49 299 43 311 52 314 56 319 33226 31920 47 294 43 311 52 317 55 320 31920 30585 45 293 43 308 52 316 54 320 30585 29212 43 297 44 306 49 314 52 319 29212 27804 41 301 43 307 46 313 50 321 27804 26362 39 304 41 310 43 316 48 324 26362 24891 35 308 41 312 41 319 47 326 24891 23393 31 313 38 312 42 323 46 326 23393 21862 28 315 34 312 41 324 45 325 21862 20290 26 315 31 312 37 323 41 325 20290 18703 24 315 28 313 33 322 36 322 18703 17180 23 314 26 314 30 320 32 316 17180 15793 22 314 24 316 27 318 29 314 15793 14552 21 314 24 319 25 317 28 317 14552 13437 19 315 22 320 24 318 27 320 13437 12430 17 317 21 320 21 320 26 323 12430 11520 16 320 18 319 19 322 24 324 11520 10696 13 320 16 314 17 321 22 325 10696 9954 11 313 14 304 17 312 20 324 9954 9284 8 302 11*285 17 300 18 321 9284 8672 6 285 11*278 18 288 17 315 8672 8121 3*234 11 272 18 277 17 308 8121 7653 3*209 11 270 17 269 18 300 7653 7290 3 204 10 268 16 263 19 292 7290 7038 3 202 10 267 15 259 15 278 7038 6885 3 202 10 267 12*256 9 262 6885 6797 3 201 9 266 8*253 4*248 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography