DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1334z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.0 - - 78.7 - - 85.2 - - 86.1 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 139 - - 348 - - 337 - - 105 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1257 - - 5406 - - 12038 - - 12859 - - 126 BL Depth Hcrit 7082 - - 10566 - - 15915 - - 15648 - - 6794 Hcrit BL Top 7942 - - 12091 - - 18723 - - 19544 - - 6811 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1140 - - 6161 - - 3611 - - 3435 - - 449 Hgt.Variab. W* 240 - - 531 - - 689 - - 486 - - 18 W* B/S 7 - - 37 - - 18 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 104 - - 185 - - 289 - - 300 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -17 - - -13 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4218 - - -3223 - - 756 - - 235 - - -7899 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12161 - - 15314 - - 17967 - - 19310 - - 14710 sfcLCL ODpotential -8597 - - -6288 - - -1901 - - -2532 - - -11467 ODpotential blCL 16539 - - 18379 - - 20624 - - 22076 - - 18278 blCL maxRH 61 - - 43 - - 48 - - 53 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 250 - - 130 - - 20 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 69.0 - - 78.7 - - 85.2 - - 86.1 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 35.1 - - 29.5 - - 24.5 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.4 - - 78.2 - - 83.5 - - 85.3 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 34.7 - - 27.6 - - 21.4 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 139 - - 348 - - 337 - - 105 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1257 - - 5406 - - 12038 - - 12859 - - 126 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99439 29 100 25 106 22 103 15 111 23 081 99439 93146 21 096 23 114 21 094 16 117 23 092 93146 88060 14 094 20 099 16 099 19 109 21 092 88060 83717 14 099 16 085 13 113 18 090 17 098 83717 79907 15 079 12 095 14 116 15 081 16 096 79907 76499 14 073 12 093 14 094 14 090 17 084 76499 73392 13 074 13 076 14 076 17 085 17 069 73392 70528 11 068 12 073 12 067 17 071 15 060 70528 67868 10 068 12 062 8 062 13 060 14 044 67868 65296 10 057 11 040 11 029 15 036 18 023 65296 62634 5 042 6 026 10 357 16 010 17 015 62634 59892 7 004 5 348 8 305 13 340 15 004 59892 57288 16 345 14 344 11 308 15 318 17 338 57288 54959 24 332 25 338 20 327 19 325 19 319 54959 52880 31 322 33 329 29 326 26 328 19 312 52880 50989 34 315 37 322 34 323 31 326 19 310 50989 49247 36 312 39 320 38 322 35 323 22 308 49247 47628 38 311 41 319 40 323 37 319 24 307 47628 46113 40 311 42 318 42 322 39 316 28 307 46113 44687 42 311 43 318 43 320 40 312 32 305 44687 43339 43 311 43 318 43 318 41 312 34 306 43339 42032 44 311 44 319 42 317 42 313 36 307 42032 40700 45 311 45 320 42 315 43 315 38 310 40700 39315 46 311 46 322 41 314 43 318 40 314 39315 37882 46 312 45 322 40 314 41 320 42 318 37882 36386 45 314 44 323 39 316 39 322 41 322 36386 34818 42 317 41 325 37 318 35 322 38 325 34818 33179 36 321 36 327 34 321 31 322 34 326 33179 31467 27 324 28 328 31 324 27 320 31 326 31467 29684 20 325 21 329 25 324 24 316 29 321 29684 27828 15 324 16 333 20 324 21 314 28 315 27828 25892 12 326 13 339 15 324 15 311 27 310 25892 23868 11 327 10 344 11 333 9 312 24 304 23868 21797 10 319 9 340 9 348 8 311 19 295 21797 19792 10 314 8 332 8*343 8*300 12 275 19792 17959 8 327 8 335 7*322 8*295 10 266 17959 16321 9 346 8 346 7 304 9 295 10 267 16321 14858 10 356 9 355 7 293 9 296 10 267 14858 13554 10 359 8 003 7 289 9 297 9 268 13554 12391 9 001 6*006 7 287 9 300 9 268 12391 11360 7 005 3*010 7 284 9 300 8 266 11360 10451 5 023 2 180 7 281 9 302 7 260 10451 9647 4 064 3 182 7 279 9 303 6 251 9647 8928 6 091 3 186 7 277 9 304 5 236 8928 8293 7*101 4 186 7 276 9 305 5 216 8293 7763 7*102 4 187 7 276 9 305 5 200 7763 7356 7 104 4 188 7 275 9 305 5 186 7356 7077 6 105 4 188 7 275 9 306 5 171 7077 6907 6 105 4 189 7 274 9 305 5*156 6907 6811 5 105 4 190 6 275 8 306 4*145 6811 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography