DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.0 - - 61.9 - - 66.4 - - 65.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 158 - - 494 - - 475 - - 119 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1114 - - 8257 - - 10978 - - 10467 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 7029 - - 13001 - - 15221 - - 13837 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7799 - - 14942 - - 17663 - - 17152 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1329 - - 1818 - - 1421 - - 3005 - - 9679 Hgt.Variab. W* 239 - - 681 - - 740 - - 461 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 19 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 6 - - 9 - - 14 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 263 - - 267 - - 278 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -12 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3264 - - 884 - - 1441 - - 899 - - -7173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11063 - - 14059 - - 16223 - - 16254 - - 13972 sfcLCL ODpotential -6318 - - -1556 - - -293 - - -550 - - -10360 ODpotential blCL 14117 - - 16498 - - 17956 - - 17702 - - 17159 blCL maxRH 75 - - 81 - - 82 - - 99 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.0 - - 61.9 - - 66.4 - - 65.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 23.7 - - 18.3 - - 17.5 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 59.3 - - 63.6 - - 64.6 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 23.1 - - 17.6 - - 16.9 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 158 - - 494 - - 475 - - 119 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1114 - - 8257 - - 10978 - - 10467 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 25 - - 28 - - 94 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97786 25 264 26 252 21 261 22 270 23 266 97786 90358 21 244 24 249 26 260 21 270 20 295 90358 84638 17 257 16 243 24 257 22 283 21 294 84638 79876 16 274 9 287 20 254 25 279 25 297 79876 75768 14 278 15 289 18 263 25 283 23 300 75768 72148 18 275 21 281 20 284 23 282 23 297 72148 68889 18 279 25 276 25 288 25 284 27 297 68889 65911 20 294 21 286 24 288 24 281 30 286 65911 63160 27 296 23 294 24 287 25 286 27 290 63160 60485 31 292 30 288 29 288 26 294 32 293 60485 57679 35 288 34 286 33 289 33 288 34 287 57679 54759 41 289 41 281 40 289 41 289 40 289 54759 51975 51 283 49 281 51 286 49 291 52 292 51975 49492 53 279 57 282 58 282 60 284 60 291 49492 47289 53 282 59 281 64 281 69 280 71 285 47289 45302 60 287 68 282 76 282 82 275 87 280 45302 43489 70 285 84 282 92 277 95 274 96 277 43489 41821 76 286 88 279 92 275 102 277 101 278 41821 40272 76 286 84 279 88 279 99 279 103 279 40272 38825 65 282 80 280 93 281 94 283 101 281 38825 37476 52 273 75 283 91 280 99 284 95 282 37476 36191 47 271 69 281 83 278 99 281 93 282 36191 34907 43 275 59 273 75 277 94 278 94 281 34907 33597 37 275 51 266 69 277 86 275 94 280 33597 32264 32 269 49 271 62 279 75 275 89 279 32264 30900 32 264 43 275 53 277 64 276 80 277 30900 29501 33 264 35 271 49 271 54 277 70 276 29501 28071 33 266 33 267 47 273 47 275 58 278 28071 26612 29 267 31 270 38 279 45 274 46 282 26612 25124 23 268 29 265 33 273 44 278 43 283 25124 23609 21 268 28 258 32 270 38 282 42 280 23609 22064 20 265 23 261 30 274 32 278 36 270 22064 20481 19 260 20 267 25 275 28 272 31 260 20481 18886 18 269 20 262 17*283 22 275 27 259 18886 17360 17 276 15 278 10*281 18*278 22 260 17360 15971 13 288 11*303 10 280 16*279 19 259 15971 14728 10 303 9*297 9 275 15 279 17 258 14728 13607 6 271 7 284 9 271 15 279 15 259 13607 12589 8 219 7 283 9 268 14 279 14 260 12589 11664 9 222 6 260 9 264 14 278 12 263 11664 10825 11 227 6 255 9 261 14 278 10 267 10825 10066 11 226 6 251 9 260 14 277 9 272 10066 9379 10 220 6 249 9 258 13 277 8 276 9379 8749 5 198 6 246 9 257 13 276 7 279 8749 8180 6*126 6 245 9 256 13 276 7 282 8180 7695 9*114 6 243 9 255 13 275 6 285 7695 7317 9 113 6 242 9 255 13 275 6 287 7317 7054 9 113 6 242 9 255 12 275 5 288 7054 6892 8 113 6 242 9 255 12 275 4*289 6892 6799 7 113 6 242 8 255 10 275 2*294 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography