DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 44.5 - - 40.4 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 163 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1148 - - 3090 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6990 - - 8464 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7833 - - 9775 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1513 - - 1420 - - 3633 - - 976 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 339 - - 14 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 12 - - 1 - - 13 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 270 - - 232 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -911 - - -650 - - -2408 - - -933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8744 - - 10426 - - 9207 - - 7731 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6105 - - -5307 - - -7335 - - -7382 ODpotential blCL - - - 13938 - - 15082 - - 14133 - - 14180 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 80 - - 78 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 44.5 - - 40.4 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 22.7 - - 24.1 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 43.5 - - 42.4 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.2 - - 22.3 - - 23.7 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 163 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1148 - - 3090 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 20 - - 12 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 34 269 24 257 27 258 29 262 96219 89043 17 241 22 267 19 275 21 280 89043 83600 8 272 16 292 17 301 12 325 83600 79075 17 271 21 298 20 309 18 319 79075 75148 13 266 17 286 21 303 19 300 75148 71686 12 254 14 280 13 289 18 286 71686 68553 12 258 20 261 17 293 21 281 68553 65659 21 288 20 264 25 272 30 274 65659 62962 37 271 31 276 32 267 35 268 62962 60338 43 262 39 273 41 272 43 266 60338 57574 52 258 53 259 50 267 50 262 57574 54673 60 257 62 258 57 265 59 258 54673 51885 67 259 68 261 66 264 63 258 51885 49371 72 259 72 262 76 260 69 258 49371 47133 73 259 75 261 76 257 70 255 47133 45127 74 260 77 261 76 260 74 262 45127 43307 82 263 87 262 87 262 89 264 43307 41639 106 258 106 259 104 259 96 256 41639 40103 119 253 118 258 113 257 104 254 40103 38673 118 254 118 257 112 257 108 253 38673 37338 117 256 111 255 106 260 96 256 37338 36065 114 257 103 253 100 262 89 258 36065 34791 105 258 99 264 91 262 87 258 34791 33487 105 266 95 269 81 262 82 258 33487 32158 104 267 91 264 80 265 75 260 32158 30794 100 264 90 259 86 268 74 261 30794 29387 95 262 89 257 87 267 77 261 29387 27944 85 264 86 259 85 263 75 261 27944 26470 74 267 80 264 81 263 66 261 26470 24971 62 267 68 269 72 265 62 261 24971 23446 51 263 57 266 62 269 56 264 23446 21891 47 260 50 261 53 269 49 269 21891 20297 45 263 45 260 45 267 44 271 20297 18695 41 269 40 265 40 266 40 269 18695 17163 35 275 35 270 37 269 34 268 17163 15773 30 280 29 272 31 270 29 268 15773 14533 25 280 24 272 26 268 25 266 14533 13419 19 275 21 274 22 268 22 264 13419 12416 14 271 18 277 18 271 18 264 12416 11508 10 272 14 280 14 278 15 267 11508 10688 8 280 10 285 9 288 12 270 10688 9950 6 283 6*280 6 294 8 273 9950 9283 5 288 5*274 4 284 4 268 9283 8674 4 304 5 272 4 264 2 256 8674 8125 1*334 5 270 5 251 2 256 8125 7658 2*091 5 269 5 244 2 247 7658 7295 2 093 5 267 5 240 3 237 7295 7042 2 093 5 267 5 237 3 234 7042 6887 2 092 5 268 5*235 2*225 6887 6798 2 093 4 267 4*232 0*232 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography