DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 53.7 - - 46.6 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 154 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 806 - - 1780 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 7503 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7491 - - 8465 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 662 - - 1179 - - 1722 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 207 - - 277 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 263 - - 243 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -10 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4065 - - -5113 - - -5279 - - -4019 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11556 - - 13579 - - 12078 - - 10817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11627 - - -11221 - - -13190 - - -13189 ODpotential blCL - - - 19118 - - 19686 - - 19988 - - 19987 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 44 - - 56 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 53.7 - - 46.6 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 18.2 - - 18.0 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 52.5 - - 51.0 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.2 - - 17.8 - - 17.7 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 154 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 806 - - 1780 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96142 19 246 19 271 13 256 25 266 96142 89108 12 304 17 262 19 281 10 312 89108 83630 7 323 13 288 15 303 9 345 83630 79044 10 275 15 273 16 297 13 316 79044 75086 8 291 5 292 10 285 16 301 75086 71575 17 309 13 318 10 325 16 304 71575 68396 23 303 24 311 18 299 17 295 68396 65483 17 301 22 297 18 291 22 294 65483 62808 17 289 12 302 20 301 25 302 62808 60261 13 284 12 339 20 321 27 330 60261 57602 21 324 25 355 28 343 30 326 57602 54809 51 306 42 322 43 314 53 308 54809 52134 48 289 55 301 51 301 51 293 52134 49720 37 292 51 290 44 293 47 284 49720 47538 36 302 49 292 45 294 44 281 47538 45543 41 305 53 296 51 294 46 290 45543 43714 52 297 58 293 59 291 59 295 43714 42044 57 289 60 287 63 287 70 292 42044 40514 57 285 57 285 61 286 71 289 40514 39090 54 282 52 284 59 286 67 289 39090 37753 51 282 46 282 55 287 63 296 37753 36472 49 283 43 282 52 288 57 301 36472 35187 47 285 42 283 50 288 49 296 35187 33872 44 286 42 286 50 289 50 293 33872 32531 43 286 42 287 51 289 50 297 32531 31155 43 286 43 287 53 289 50 300 31155 29736 44 284 45 286 55 288 50 299 29736 28280 46 283 48 283 57 288 51 295 28280 26787 48 283 51 281 59 287 52 291 26787 25263 50 284 54 282 59 286 53 288 25263 23713 51 287 56 284 60 286 52 286 23713 22133 52 289 56 285 59 286 52 285 22133 20517 53 290 55 285 58 287 51 285 20517 18894 51 289 53 285 57 288 50 286 18894 17343 48 289 50 283 55 288 50 288 17343 15934 45 289 48 280 51 286 50 289 15934 14674 45 288 46 279 48 283 49 290 14674 13541 44 288 46 279 46 281 49 291 13541 12519 43 288 46 280 45 282 49 291 12519 11594 42 288 44 282 43 282 48 290 11594 10759 39 287 39 283 38 280 44 287 10759 10007 34 287 32 284 33 274 38 284 10007 9329 27 291 25 283 28 272 33 281 9329 8708 18 291 18*279 23 275 27 278 8708 8149 10 284 14*269 17 278 19 272 8149 7673 5*250 12 263 14 276 13 268 7673 7303 4*216 12 261 12 270 9 272 7303 7046 4 214 11 261 9 262 6 268 7046 6888 3 214 11 260 7 252 3 254 6888 6798 3 214 9 259 4*243 1*166 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography