DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 82.7 - - - - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 204 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6979 - - 7813 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11924 - - 12233 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13664 - - 14498 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3079 - - 3858 - - - - - 6739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 626 - - 513 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 31 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 332 - - - - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 14 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 347 - - 1340 - - - - - -4132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13318 - - 13158 - - - - - 10934 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1671 - - -767 - - - - - -7505 ODpotential blCL - - - 15335 - - 15265 - - - - - 14306 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 98 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 500 - - - - - 600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 82.7 - - - - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 48.2 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 81.2 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 47.0 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 204 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6979 - - 7813 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 93 - - - - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99393 37 090 38 104 34 086 99393 91856 31 100 34 097 29 091 91856 86084 32 105 32 095 26 095 86084 81292 35 107 27 094 26 092 81292 77160 35 092 25 093 26 082 77160 73529 25 086 19 096 26 078 73529 70274 16 092 13 096 24 082 70274 67297 18 090 14 090 18 084 67297 64542 22 083 13 088 16 077 64542 61895 20 084 13 107 10 073 61895 59160 20 101 18 109 9 108 59160 56351 21 093 19 104 14 101 56351 53691 17 070 17 079 17 088 53691 51300 17 057 15 063 24 064 51300 49140 21 053 18 057 24 053 49140 47160 22 044 20 045 20 056 47160 45327 20 043 20 043 17 069 45327 43614 19 044 20 043 18 075 43614 42005 19 045 20 053 18 067 42005 40494 20 053 23 062 16 065 40494 39081 22 057 25 057 13 077 39081 37736 20 061 25 051 15 084 37736 36390 19 063 22 049 18 076 36390 35014 21 068 19 064 19 065 35014 33613 25 069 24 080 17 068 33613 32177 20 062 24 079 16 071 32177 30700 16 064 18 077 12 074 30700 29186 9 078 9 085 11 069 29186 27638 10 074 5 084 8 067 27638 26060 12 045 5 110 7 055 26060 24455 9 016 8 082 6 063 24455 22820 10 030 8 071 6 081 22820 21147 9 034 10 063 8 056 21147 19467 8 046 11 065 19 069 19467 17863 10 053 9 076 22 076 17863 16405 11 065 7 081 17 088 16405 15098 12 077 3*073 12 107 15098 13919 10*089 2*021 10 112 13919 12852 7*105 2 351 7 109 12852 11882 5 124 2 338 5 099 11882 11003 3 155 3 330 4 084 11003 10209 3 175 3 327 4 065 10209 9491 3 183 4 326 4 047 9491 8833 3 187 4 328 5 032 8833 8239 4 190 4 328 6 020 8239 7734 4 193 4 327 7 014 7734 7340 4 195 4 325 7 010 7340 7065 4 194 4 326 6 006 7065 6898 4 196 4 326 4*002 6898 6801 3 197 4 326 3*356 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography