DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1335z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 71.0 - - 65.5 - - 65.8 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 175 - - 369 - - 74 - - 89 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2017 - - 8459 - - 792 - - 1768 - - 125 BL Depth Hcrit 7730 - - 13039 - - 6793 - - 7220 - - 6793 Hcrit BL Top 8702 - - 15144 - - 7477 - - 8453 - - 6810 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1327 - - 4035 - - 3449 - - 2177 - - 1293 Hgt.Variab. W* 303 - - 628 - - 178 - - 238 - - 23 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 16 - - 18 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 175 - - 114 - - 099 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 15 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 22 - - 15 - - 7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1240 - - 2390 - - -2576 - - -1447 - - -2004 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9942 - - 12754 - - 10053 - - 9901 - - 8815 sfcLCL ODpotential -4626 - - 1065 - - -6001 - - -4739 - - -6169 ODpotential blCL 13328 - - 14079 - - 13478 - - 13192 - - 12979 blCL maxRH 63 - - 87 - - 95 - - 70 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 320 - - 940 - - 1060 - - 1130 - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 71.0 - - 65.5 - - 65.8 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 38.4 - - 44.7 - - 45.6 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.3 - - 69.0 - - 64.6 - - 65.2 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 37.5 - - 43.2 - - 44.7 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 175 - - 369 - - 74 - - 89 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2017 - - 8459 - - 792 - - 1768 - - 125 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 48 - - 81 - - 0 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98800 9 268 9 287 8 293 14 286 10 291 98800 92548 10 278 11 288 11 282 17 279 11 292 92548 87501 7 280 11 291 10 285 12 289 8 296 87501 83196 6 295 10 287 11 290 11 324 6 305 83196 79431 7 308 6 281 12 279 12 341 5 325 79431 76071 7 304 2 274 10 252 11 341 4 353 76071 73003 5 274 3 272 9 242 9 334 7 354 73003 70164 3 229 3 232 9 233 6 323 7 341 70164 67519 1 282 4 234 10 239 6 290 6 350 67519 64941 2 217 4 201 11 229 7 254 7 351 64941 62234 8 234 10 227 12 237 9 229 10 258 62234 59422 12 222 14 217 15 228 12 222 15 234 59422 56740 12 218 15 223 18 225 18 233 13 228 56740 54313 19 234 23 234 23 227 23 231 16 227 54313 52130 26 235 29 231 28 226 27 230 24 226 52130 50153 31 233 32 228 30 228 36 231 30 222 50153 48355 35 233 36 228 35 231 41 228 33 224 48355 46708 40 233 41 228 41 231 41 227 38 229 46708 45190 43 232 45 227 42 229 38 231 42 230 45190 43784 45 232 45 227 41 231 38 239 44 230 43784 42473 45 231 42 230 41 237 39 243 45 230 42473 41214 46 231 40 233 42 241 43 243 45 230 41214 39937 46 230 40 234 42 242 45 241 46 229 39937 38612 46 229 40 233 41 238 46 238 47 227 38612 37238 45 229 38 231 40 232 46 235 47 226 37238 35799 43 228 36 231 39 228 45 233 46 224 35799 34281 42 229 34 233 38 224 42 231 44 221 34281 32684 41 229 32 233 37 220 40 228 42 219 32684 31005 40 229 32 232 36 213 39 224 40 216 31005 29245 38 229 32 231 34 210 39 218 40 215 29245 27409 34 230 31 230 31 212 39 213 41 214 27409 25491 32 230 31 229 29 216 37 211 42 213 25491 23493 30 227 31 227 31 218 34 213 36 214 23493 21456 30 221 31 220 31 214 30 218 26 222 21456 19487 30 215 31 213 29 211 27 222 24 223 19487 17687 25 201 30 208 25 207 24 218 22 215 17687 16077 19 187 30*201 22 204 23 209 21 206 16077 14642 15 191 24*189 20 201 24 201 20 196 14642 13363 12 195 19 179 19 199 25 194 22 189 13363 12227 12 183 16 175 18 195 25 187 23 180 12227 11221 12 172 15 174 16 188 23 180 22 166 11221 10337 11 169 14 172 15 177 21 169 21 150 10337 9556 10 165 14 171 14 162 19 152 21 139 9556 8858 9*148 13 170 15 145 18*130 21 130 8858 8242 10*113 12 169 16 129 18*109 22 119 8242 7730 10 108 12 168 18*120 19 099 22 106 7730 7337 10 107 11 167 17*115 18 097 21 095 7337 7066 10 106 11 167 17 114 18 097 18 090 7066 6903 10 105 11 167 15 113 16 096 15*088 6903 6810 9 106 10 167 12 113 14 095 9*085 6810 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography