DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 84.7 - - - - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 469 - - - - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11073 - - 12698 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15299 - - 16643 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17758 - - 19383 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1741 - - 1169 - - - - - 1170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 742 - - 776 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 35 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 242 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 20 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 14 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1925 - - 724 - - - - - -10989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15834 - - 18660 - - - - - 17790 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 100 - - -2439 - - - - - -17994 ODpotential blCL - - - 17658 - - 21822 - - - - - 24794 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 54 - - - - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 84.7 - - - - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 25.4 - - - - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 82.5 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 24.8 - - - - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 469 - - - - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11073 - - 12698 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99176 36 105 33 115 26 082 99176 91642 36 105 26 094 23 079 91642 85833 28 105 24 107 22 092 85833 81027 22 107 23 107 23 090 81027 76912 22 110 21 108 19 076 76912 73275 19 097 17 105 14 097 73275 69980 10 070 13 102 16 093 69980 66946 3 211 4 119 6 038 66946 64130 4 206 3 295 4 227 64130 61407 17 181 17 220 4 251 61407 58587 12 264 11 248 11 265 58587 55700 29 240 24 256 23 273 55700 52983 31 230 37 240 25 258 52983 50560 34 255 41 239 27 244 50560 48382 45 257 43 242 32 248 48382 46402 50 252 43 250 43 262 46402 44599 51 257 51 264 44 263 44599 42933 56 270 52 270 41 260 42933 41374 58 276 53 280 43 260 41374 39906 55 278 58 283 47 261 39906 38527 53 277 60 278 52 262 38527 37210 53 274 59 272 56 263 37210 35893 53 269 60 267 57 263 35893 34548 54 264 62 266 58 263 34548 33179 55 262 64 267 58 262 33179 31774 57 262 65 268 59 260 31774 30326 58 264 64 269 60 259 30326 28839 58 266 63 268 61 259 28839 27314 56 265 60 265 60 260 27314 25755 52 257 56 259 59 263 25755 24169 48 248 51 253 56 263 24169 22552 47 247 48 249 52 261 22552 20902 47 248 47*248 46 257 20902 19247 46*249 42*245 43 250 19247 17668 42*249 37 242 42 246 17668 16233 36 245 37 242 40 244 16233 14950 32 243 36 242 39 244 14950 13795 31 242 36 242 38 245 13795 12748 31 242 35 242 38 247 12748 11798 30 242 35 242 38 249 11798 10935 29 242 34 242 38 251 10935 10154 28 242 33 242 38 252 10154 9449 28 242 33 242 37 254 9449 8801 27 242 32 242 37 256 8801 8216 27 241 32 242 36 257 8216 7719 26 241 31 242 33 258 7719 7331 25 242 30 242 29 259 7331 7061 24 241 29 242 22 258 7061 6895 22 241 27 242 18*257 6895 6800 19 241 22 242 9*256 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography