DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.5 - - 83.5 - - 90.3 - - 90.6 - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 145 - - 452 - - 447 - - 132 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1713 - - 5350 - - 12972 - - 14057 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 7428 - - 10610 - - 16839 - - 16759 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 8398 - - 12035 - - 19657 - - 20742 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1215 - - 5859 - - 3219 - - 3217 - - 1706 Hgt.Variab. W* 268 - - 572 - - 768 - - 528 - - 15 W* B/S 8 - - 48 - - 27 - - 26 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 102 - - 045 - - 005 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 21 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -13 - - -26 - - 15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5061 - - -3525 - - 420 - - 952 - - -9309 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13459 - - 15561 - - 19238 - - 19791 - - 16111 sfcLCL ODpotential -8762 - - -6972 - - -1013 - - -410 - - -12448 ODpotential blCL 17160 - - 19007 - - 20670 - - 21152 - - 19249 blCL maxRH 36 - - 30 - - 63 - - 88 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 120 - - 70 - - 80 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 74.5 - - 83.5 - - 90.3 - - 90.6 - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.2 - - 38.6 - - 28.6 - - 26.6 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.3 - - 80.8 - - 87.4 - - 89.4 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.0 - - 38.0 - - 28.1 - - 26.2 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 145 - - 452 - - 447 - - 132 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1713 - - 5350 - - 12972 - - 14057 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 52 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99274 41 094 37 110 32 109 29 089 29 075 99274 91775 24 098 29 095 34 095 26 103 26 091 91775 86007 22 086 20 098 22 093 26 099 25 088 86007 81233 22 087 13 112 16 101 25 090 21 092 81233 77137 19 092 17 112 17 117 19 085 20 094 77137 73520 19 110 20 103 18 121 16 117 18 086 73520 70248 17 120 19 113 17 115 14 135 10 082 70248 67244 23 122 17 114 12 112 17 119 12 113 67244 64477 15 079 14 144 10 120 15 098 13 116 64477 61831 3 047 14 125 12 137 5 123 14 098 61831 59112 5 207 5 086 12 161 9 172 4 112 59112 56330 3 077 5 309 2 135 7 158 5 175 56330 53693 1 003 6 263 4 355 5 046 8 109 53693 51317 6 219 6 211 3 273 5 355 5 067 51317 49169 6 246 3 205 2 234 1 000 5 117 49169 47197 10 307 3 331 2 350 3 063 6 110 47197 45370 16 305 6 294 2 313 1 065 1 118 45370 43663 18 286 8 278 4 302 2 039 1 253 43663 42057 15 282 9 280 6 306 4 019 0 141 42057 40543 15 294 9 290 6 287 2 330 1 118 40543 39118 19 299 8 314 6 292 3 205 2 177 39118 37754 24 283 8 302 6 291 5 241 2 170 37754 36389 20 256 16 267 9 275 8 253 3 200 36389 35002 18 257 20 256 15 265 9 276 3 244 35002 33598 19 280 15 275 17 280 14 325 6 357 33598 32164 21 309 16 304 16 307 11 329 9 015 32164 30691 24 323 17 333 12 329 4 339 8 011 30691 29182 19 339 15 353 8 014 3 023 3 340 29182 27650 19 353 12 006 10 042 10 055 10 088 27650 26094 16 351 13 016 13 049 20 053 12 080 26094 24508 14 355 14 019 12 050 19 053 13 063 24508 22887 11 013 12 013 13 043 16 056 14 051 22887 21225 12 021 8 006 18*037 12*057 12 038 21225 19550 14 011 6 036 19*035 8*052 7 010 19550 17942 16 011 13 034 16 033 6 044 5 336 17942 16476 18 007 17 026 12 034 5 037 5 326 16476 15160 16 002 14 028 8 038 4 028 4 340 15160 13972 13 358 9 031 6 041 4 012 4 017 13972 12895 9 002 6*026 3 057 4 355 5 050 12895 11917 6 020 4*021 2 096 4 340 8 068 11917 11031 6 070 2 060 2 150 4 331 10 076 11031 10230 5 081 2 102 2 168 4 327 13 079 10230 9507 2 347 3 113 3 174 4 321 15 081 9507 8845 2*142 3 119 3 178 4 320 17 082 8845 8247 4*117 3 120 3 182 5 317 18 082 8247 7738 6 098 3 119 3 183 5 317 18 080 7738 7342 6 096 3 121 3 184 5 317 17 078 7342 7067 6 094 3 122 3 186 5 317 15 076 7067 6898 6 095 3 123 3 186 5 317 12*074 6898 6801 5 095 2 124 3 186 4 316 7*071 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography