DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.9 - - 83.6 - - 84.7 - - 82.3 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 137 - - 413 - - 241 - - 31 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1906 - - 9087 - - 9794 - - 1979 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 7540 - - 13598 - - 13876 - - 6784 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 8591 - - 15772 - - 16479 - - 8664 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3108 - - 2684 - - 3734 - - 11049 - - 8925 Hgt.Variab. W* 273 - - 664 - - 574 - - 188 - - 8 W* B/S 17 - - 20 - - 17 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 332 - - 314 - - 350 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 13 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -15 - - 3 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3528 - - 1273 - - 1828 - - -4595 - - -5183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12119 - - 14500 - - 14651 - - 13260 - - 11985 sfcLCL ODpotential -6467 - - -215 - - 90 - - -6862 - - -8345 ODpotential blCL 15058 - - 15987 - - 16389 - - 15526 - - 15146 blCL maxRH 81 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 300 - - 490 - - 790 - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m 74.9 - - 83.6 - - 84.7 - - 82.3 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 43.2 - - 43.6 - - 47.4 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.9 - - 81.0 - - 83.0 - - 82.1 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.9 - - 42.6 - - 42.8 - - 46.4 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 137 - - 413 - - 241 - - 31 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1906 - - 9087 - - 9794 - - 1979 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 73 - - 101 - - 98 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99000 44 100 43 105 25 111 28 070 42 082 99000 91634 35 093 36 097 35 094 28 100 32 097 91634 85932 29 097 27 093 38 091 37 101 30 114 85932 81171 26 101 20 096 28 091 35 092 29 108 81171 77081 25 106 18 104 16 096 25 086 28 094 77081 73487 24 103 18 117 14 099 16 105 23 078 73487 70243 19 083 19 125 13 093 14 122 15 080 70243 67255 14 082 17 110 13 111 11 113 10 095 67255 64487 9 110 12 104 10 128 6 131 6 096 64487 61815 5 147 7 081 6 146 4 163 1 210 61815 59041 4 125 1 005 3 109 5 101 1 290 59041 56182 3 040 2 264 2 265 3 038 2 016 56182 53472 6 002 1 321 4 248 8 316 5 343 53472 51048 15 344 11 348 5 325 7 314 9 306 51048 48878 16 332 16 326 15 320 16 313 19 305 48878 46906 16 338 17 320 16 313 18 308 20 298 46906 45087 25 336 21 333 20 335 21 325 21 310 45087 43391 35 327 36 327 35 328 32 322 29 311 43391 41803 41 314 37 321 38 324 32 326 26 310 41803 40311 37 313 34 321 37 323 36 328 28 321 40311 38910 33 316 35 322 36 323 39 325 34 316 38910 37569 30 317 34 324 34 323 38 326 36 314 37569 36227 28 317 32 324 32 323 34 330 32 319 36227 34858 25 320 31 322 30 327 26 327 23 330 34858 33464 23 322 27 322 28 327 18 320 16 331 33464 32035 20 317 19 316 23 328 16 319 14 308 32035 30567 13 310 13 314 17 327 14 322 15 303 30567 29063 8 305 6 288 14 317 12 324 13 316 29063 27526 6 300 8 264 13 292 14 316 12 325 27526 25958 2 305 9 260 13 277 15 314 13 323 25958 24366 1 207 8 264 12 282 14 317 15 323 24366 22744 4 223 9 288 13 294 17 310 13 322 22744 21087 7 230 13 310 15 322 17 321 14 321 21087 19425 9 257 17 326 15 333 17 321 14 318 19425 17835 11 285 17 344 15*334 14 318 13 310 17835 16385 13 301 16*350 13*332 13 314 12 315 16385 15084 14 310 13*350 12 331 12 308 10 319 15084 13910 14 319 11 347 10 328 11 303 10 324 13910 12846 15 326 10 345 8 320 10 300 10 327 12846 11878 16 329 7 337 6 309 10 298 10 331 11878 11001 15 333 5 324 5 299 9 298 10 333 11001 10208 14 338 4 311 4 290 8 299 10 335 10208 9490 11 342 4 302 4 281 7 303 11 338 9490 8833 7*341 3 296 4 274 5*315 11 342 8833 8239 3*321 3 288 4 270 4*334 11 347 8239 7734 3 265 3 282 4 266 4 349 10 353 7734 7340 3 259 3 278 4 265 4 354 9 358 7340 7065 3 253 3 276 3 263 4 357 7 002 7065 6898 3 254 3 278 3 262 4 358 5*005 6898 6801 3 254 3 275 3 262 4 359 3*008 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography