DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.3 - - 72.2 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 298 - - 6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3616 - - 8668 - - 6722 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9089 - - 13082 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10301 - - 15353 - - 13407 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4312 - - 3486 - - 4134 - - 213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 585 - - 150 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 143 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 274 - - 264 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 9 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3245 - - 397 - - -1555 - - -4754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13547 - - 14957 - - 14963 - - 11553 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5712 - - -2079 - - -4139 - - -9103 ODpotential blCL - - - 16013 - - 17432 - - 17546 - - 15902 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 49 - - 46 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 300 - - 90 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.3 - - 72.2 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 32.1 - - 30.1 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 72.4 - - 72.3 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 31.8 - - 29.8 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 298 - - 6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3616 - - 8668 - - 6722 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97612 18 281 21 276 20 281 19 313 97612 90418 11 266 16 295 16 320 5 349 90418 84818 3 322 7 288 12 309 7 344 84818 80143 10 022 6 046 4 300 11 340 80143 76120 9 031 9 033 3 019 12 352 76120 72573 8 048 8 011 7 038 9 355 72573 69374 8 021 9 348 10 020 7 338 69374 66450 12 359 13 350 16 353 15 344 66450 63750 19 348 18 347 20 334 20 341 63750 61139 22 342 17 339 21 328 23 335 61139 58420 21 338 17 328 21 321 25 329 58420 55603 17 343 19 322 22 322 28 325 55603 52919 20 352 24 330 26 326 29 321 52919 50500 23 352 29 335 29 324 28 321 50500 48322 24 003 27 333 31 322 29 324 48322 46335 28 017 25 341 31 323 30 326 46335 44501 30 019 28 346 32 326 30 326 44501 42792 26 020 27 348 32 327 27 328 42792 41190 22 025 26 002 30 330 26 331 41190 39685 18 024 26 008 26 338 25 323 39685 38270 9 034 22 012 22 346 22 317 38270 36920 2 030 16 003 16 357 14 323 36920 35583 1 091 8 340 14 346 11 344 35583 34235 3 020 2 330 10 338 7 316 34235 32879 1 313 0 033 4 025 5 219 32879 31500 5 161 5 184 2 129 6 178 31500 30083 5 155 6 172 3 171 4 156 30083 28627 3 167 5 171 4 159 4 137 28627 27133 2 185 5 163 4 157 3 156 27133 25604 3 190 6 159 6 162 5 193 25604 24045 4 185 6 161 7 154 10 188 24045 22454 6 190 6 162 8 141 13 180 22454 20830 8 176 6 160 7 134 12 169 20830 19194 8 163 6 151 6 129 11 164 19194 17627 9 144 6 150 5 125 12 174 17627 16199 8 115 5*133 3 105 11 178 16199 14919 8 091 2*113 1 074 6 182 14919 13765 7 082 2 113 1*294 1 266 13765 12719 4 072 1 114 2*273 2 322 12719 11769 2 033 1 259 3 270 3 319 11769 10907 1*265 1 277 3 267 4 324 10907 10130 2*209 2 278 4 266 5 330 10130 9427 2 172 2 280 5 264 6 338 9427 8783 2 168 2 284 5 262 7 344 8783 8203 3 163 3 285 5 263 8 351 8203 7709 3 165 3 285 5 262 9 355 7709 7324 3 166 3 288 5 263 9 358 7324 7057 3 164 3 289 5 262 9 000 7057 6894 3 164 3 289 5 261 7 002 6894 6799 2 166 3 286 5 262 5*001 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography