DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.1 - - 40.7 - - 47.2 - - 44.1 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 173 - - 220 - - 24 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1422 - - 2784 - - 365 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7302 - - 8369 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8107 - - 9469 - - 7050 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 1384 - - 1531 - - 2475 - - 75 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 268 - - 363 - - 87 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 66 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 111 - - 185 - - 021 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - 6 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3869 - - -5651 - - -4425 - - -3967 - - -1843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10666 - - 13759 - - 13895 - - 11017 - - 8642 sfcLCL ODpotential -16877 - - -14821 - - -12737 - - -10831 - - -10968 ODpotential blCL 23674 - - 22928 - - 22206 - - 17881 - - 17766 blCL maxRH 85 - - 67 - - 70 - - 75 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.1 - - 40.7 - - 47.2 - - 44.1 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.6 - - 5.0 - - 10.5 - - 20.1 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.8 - - 39.7 - - 46.0 - - 44.3 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -0.3 - - 4.1 - - 9.8 - - 19.5 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 173 - - 220 - - 24 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1422 - - 2784 - - 365 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96686 27 096 20 105 16 117 15 081 8 073 96686 89477 18 096 20 103 17 106 14 084 12 060 89477 83939 12 109 16 107 15 108 14 098 6 065 83939 79364 8 098 10 107 9 116 7 096 13 062 79364 75402 4 123 8 104 6 132 4 209 12 004 75402 71882 2 209 6 308 6 033 4 214 11 333 71882 68686 5 284 12 264 15 298 16 298 13 326 68686 65748 6 293 13 253 22 277 23 297 19 313 65748 63022 14 319 12 273 19 280 25 287 21 313 63022 60386 28 304 23 293 27 280 32 284 37 294 60386 57657 38 291 34 282 37 285 43 283 43 286 57657 54831 41 282 42 280 45 285 50 286 46 291 54831 52135 41 279 45 281 52 285 59 286 56 296 52135 49712 45 279 45 286 57 286 61 286 60 287 49712 47534 45 282 44 289 53 288 53 289 57 285 47534 45554 43 289 42 286 50 293 58 296 58 293 45554 43749 44 292 44 290 55 295 67 294 65 297 43749 42099 41 284 44 285 55 291 68 290 66 292 42099 40573 38 282 40 280 55 293 64 291 63 291 40573 39145 38 280 47 298 53 298 60 295 60 295 39145 37803 50 296 47 304 50 302 57 297 57 296 37803 36520 57 288 42 300 45 298 52 297 54 298 36520 35232 60 284 45 292 42 293 48 296 51 300 35232 33916 57 283 50 288 43 294 46 293 47 298 33916 32575 57 286 51 287 44 295 45 292 44 294 32575 31199 58 288 50 289 45 293 43 294 43 293 31199 29780 58 287 49 291 44 292 41 296 40 293 29780 28324 54 287 47 292 41 289 40 296 37 294 28324 26832 50 287 42 292 40 286 37 295 34 296 26832 25308 47 288 38 288 37 286 35 292 30 299 25308 23756 43 289 35 285 33 285 33 290 28 300 23756 22172 39 292 33 283 32 282 32 291 27 301 22172 20549 35 292 32 284 32 285 30 297 26 304 20549 18916 32 288 30 285 29 292 27 304 22 307 18916 17352 30 287 27 288 25 299 23 310 18 311 17352 15930 27 285 23 292 21 303 19 311 16 311 15930 14660 23 276 21 289 17 303 15 310 15 307 14660 13520 19 265 18 280 15 300 12 308 13 303 13520 12493 14 259 14 271 13 292 10 304 11 297 12493 11568 10 253 9 265 9 276 9 295 10 291 11568 10733 9 239 7 251 4 230 6 278 9 281 10733 9982 8 226 5 216 4*203 3 240 7 264 9982 9306 5 198 3 170 4*192 2 207 6 250 9306 8689 4 139 6 125 3 185 1 171 4 240 8689 8134 7 106 8*112 2 179 2 045 1 263 8134 7663 11 098 8*111 0 063 5 029 2 023 7663 7296 14 093 8 111 1 005 6*025 5 043 7296 7042 13 082 7 112 1 003 6*022 8 046 7042 6887 10*074 7 111 2 359 6 021 9*038 6887 6798 6*071 6 110 1 359 5 019 6*035 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography