DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 71.8 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 294 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1755 - - 2749 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7709 - - 8438 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8440 - - 9434 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 574 - - 1374 - - - - - 532 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 397 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 24 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 291 - - - - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1545 - - -2959 - - - - - -1509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9986 - - 12393 - - - - - 8309 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6997 - - -7066 - - - - - -6983 ODpotential blCL - - - 15437 - - 16500 - - - - - 13783 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 49 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 90 - - - - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 71.8 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 41.0 - - - - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 70.0 - - - - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 40.7 - - - - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 294 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1755 - - 2749 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97805 14 246 11 247 17 278 97805 90514 4 232 10 229 12 295 90514 84903 1 205 3 254 4 302 84903 80239 2 017 5 037 2 351 80239 76238 3 031 6 020 4 040 76238 72727 8 021 4 342 9 025 72727 69563 13 356 7 336 8 006 69563 66661 10 337 12 339 13 358 66661 63976 10 309 13 322 14 348 63976 61377 14 298 17 280 21 331 61377 58678 15 305 17 284 27 291 58678 55902 24 304 20 285 27 274 55902 53260 30 295 27 295 26 285 53260 50869 33 296 39 295 29 291 50869 48707 36 301 43 291 37 297 48707 46725 39 302 40 291 42 298 46725 44892 38 304 39 296 43 299 44892 43181 37 308 42 303 44 301 43181 41575 40 310 46 309 47 304 41575 40064 38 309 49 311 56 313 40064 38648 32 302 43 310 57 318 38648 37300 29 304 36 310 48 317 37300 35962 26 316 33 310 39 315 35962 34612 25 322 31 303 36 314 34612 33245 27 316 28 299 35 309 33245 31843 28 309 26 292 30 304 31843 30394 27 307 28 295 27 308 30394 28901 26 310 23 302 25 313 28901 27375 27 313 21 314 19 314 27375 25823 21 323 21 342 11 337 25823 24246 15 347 18 359 8 357 24246 22639 13 003 14 010 6 355 22639 20991 12 015 11 016 5 011 20991 19329 12 022 10 019 5 057 19329 17738 12 028 10 024 11 069 17738 16289 12 039 10 035 12 077 16289 14991 12 047 10 045 12 093 14991 13821 11 054 10 053 13 103 13821 12762 12 060 12 061 13 113 12762 11801 13 064 12 069 12 120 11801 10931 13 065 10 076 7 118 10931 10146 10 066 6*079 4 082 10146 9438 5 061 2*305 4 014 9438 8791 1*326 3 292 3 351 8791 8207 2*267 3 291 2 328 8207 7712 3 260 3 289 3 292 7712 7326 3 256 3 289 5 276 7326 7058 3 254 3 287 4 273 7058 6894 3 255 3 288 2*276 6894 6800 3 253 3 287 1*294 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography