DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.6 - - 46.5 - - 55.0 - - 52.9 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 215 - - 284 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1416 - - 4171 - - 2799 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7368 - - 9507 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8101 - - 10856 - - 9484 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 163 - - 1203 - - 1176 - - 2099 - - 330 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 286 - - 450 - - 60 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 52 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 12 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 311 - - 271 - - 280 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -8 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1608 - - -4325 - - -4054 - - -5816 - - -5936 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8406 - - 12426 - - 14911 - - 15301 - - 12735 sfcLCL ODpotential -12578 - - -11132 - - -9819 - - -11867 - - -14068 ODpotential blCL 19376 - - 19233 - - 20675 - - 21351 - - 20866 blCL maxRH 48 - - 51 - - 49 - - 36 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.6 - - 46.5 - - 55.0 - - 52.9 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.3 - - 16.2 - - 13.4 - - 9.9 - - 9.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.0 - - 45.2 - - 53.1 - - 53.2 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.3 - - 16.0 - - 13.1 - - 9.5 - - 9.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 215 - - 284 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1416 - - 4171 - - 2799 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96758 17 084 6 080 7 075 15 082 13 054 96758 89628 25 078 24 107 12 069 22 097 24 083 89628 84080 21 086 23 104 9 103 19 094 20 065 84080 79452 14 086 15 087 10 096 12 104 18 042 79452 75471 12 081 7 098 9 066 14 091 9 077 75471 71951 7 074 5 143 5 015 10 056 9 125 71951 68755 6 037 5 222 8 290 7 348 3 135 68755 65816 9 329 9 264 12 262 12 274 5 301 65816 63100 17 279 16 278 16 269 19 261 18 276 63100 60482 23 264 23 274 21 270 24 259 28 258 60482 57744 27 266 26 267 27 270 25 268 30 262 57744 54888 30 261 33 259 39 260 36 267 43 267 54888 52155 33 276 39 251 42 251 46 256 49 261 52155 49689 41 272 39 253 45 256 48 255 54 261 49689 47473 44 260 44 257 46 259 54 251 59 255 47473 45456 39 262 46 249 50 256 59 247 60 251 45456 43610 40 268 45 256 54 250 57 250 60 247 43610 41915 44 253 41 249 51 245 57 249 58 249 41915 40356 38 226 30 228 38 237 53 240 56 248 40356 38924 23 270 24 246 32 245 44 234 44 237 38924 37595 26 305 29 298 31 301 32 236 35 229 37595 36322 26 301 34 309 35 311 17 289 28 238 36322 35043 22 295 31 301 26 311 22 301 25 250 35043 33733 20 299 25 288 28 307 27 300 23 268 33733 32400 19 303 19 282 30 293 26 293 25 277 32400 31033 18 295 19 287 27 275 21 270 24 264 31033 29620 16 275 19 277 23 264 22 252 26 241 29620 28168 18 269 19 256 22 253 24 247 30 240 28168 26682 20 276 20 250 26 245 28 240 32 242 26682 25168 19 256 21 257 27 229 31 246 32 244 25168 23629 23 222 23 229 31 234 32 257 33 258 23629 22060 26 240 27 235 33 250 33 262 33 268 22060 20456 27 257 27 250 32 252 32 261 31 272 20456 18842 26 259 25 251 31 245 32 262 29 275 18842 17299 27 253 25 246 30 246 33 268 27 276 17299 15898 27 254 26 246 30 258 32 274 26 273 15898 14646 26 260 25 249 28 272 28 279 25 272 14646 13522 24 269 25 258 26 280 24 283 25 274 13522 12506 19 275 24 268 24 284 22 287 24 277 12506 11586 16 277 22 274 19*286 19 291 25 278 11586 10754 14 274 19 275 14*281 16 291 24 277 10754 10004 13 271 16 272 12 276 13*287 22 278 10004 9325 11 270 13 266 12 273 13*284 18 280 9325 8706 10 271 10 262 12 270 12 282 13 286 8706 8147 7 264 5*266 11 268 12 280 10 297 8147 7673 5 214 1*292 11 265 12 278 9 305 7673 7303 6 174 1 310 11 264 11 278 8 309 7303 7046 6 160 1 319 10 263 11 277 6 310 7046 6888 4*147 1 325 10 263 10 276 3*314 6888 6798 2*117 1 328 9 262 8 276 2*347 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography