DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 71.0 - - 69.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 335 - - 43 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2640 - - 6743 - - 5510 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8318 - - 11600 - - 9040 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9325 - - 13428 - - 12195 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3632 - - 2177 - - 2538 - - 922 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 376 - - 559 - - 266 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 43 - - 31 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 255 - - 247 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 9 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 364 - - 1573 - - -40 - - -2633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8962 - - 11855 - - 12235 - - 9434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1724 - - -570 - - -2890 - - -7340 ODpotential blCL - - - 11049 - - 13998 - - 15085 - - 14140 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 66 - - 69 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 450 - - 160 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 71.0 - - 69.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 42.4 - - 39.4 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 68.9 - - 69.1 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 42.1 - - 39.2 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 335 - - 43 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2640 - - 6743 - - 5510 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98505 14 197 12 196 5 307 7 127 98505 91076 8 125 12 149 10 190 4 039 91076 85369 12 089 9 126 10 136 0 071 85369 80650 7 135 7 060 9 084 4 093 80650 76584 4 144 4 070 5 059 7 073 76584 72991 4 199 3 104 2 181 6 009 72991 69757 7 158 2 132 3 173 5 298 69757 66804 3 133 3 244 6 346 5 312 66804 64075 1 074 6 247 12 323 6 324 64075 61422 10 261 9 247 12 289 12 322 61422 58644 16 264 15 256 23 257 24 277 58644 55777 25 274 24 264 32 261 34 279 55777 53052 35 263 34 260 38 268 44 274 53052 50609 38 264 38 263 42 274 50 268 50609 48427 42 272 42 273 50 278 52 274 48427 46450 48 277 51 278 62 278 63 281 46450 44634 52 276 56 278 71 279 82 280 44634 42950 49 274 56 276 75 279 91 278 42950 41378 46 273 56 274 74 279 83 279 41378 39908 47 272 57 273 70 281 79 282 39908 38530 47 269 59 272 68 283 82 281 38530 37212 46 269 59 270 53 278 82 279 37212 35889 45 269 56 269 48 279 77 283 35889 34537 44 269 51 271 52 278 69 290 34537 33161 43 271 45 275 54 275 54 284 33161 31752 40 272 39 276 47 273 49 272 31752 30299 38 270 36 274 40 272 49 272 30299 28808 38 267 35 272 35 269 41 274 28808 27284 36 268 34 275 32 271 31 272 27284 25731 30 273 31 278 28 279 24 274 25731 24150 22 277 25 277 23 287 18 284 24150 22538 20 281 21 276 19 286 14 292 22538 20887 15 284 17 274 15 286 12 292 20887 19224 11 285 11 282 13 286 10 289 19224 17634 8 283 7 295 9 280 7 291 17634 16192 5 294 4 324 1 305 2 278 16192 14906 3 306 3 348 3 062 4 146 14906 13750 3 332 2*324 2 005 4 168 13750 12704 5 341 2*290 2*290 3 204 12704 11756 6 331 3 271 3*273 3 243 11756 10898 7 318 3 262 3 266 3 269 10898 10123 6 313 3 257 3 258 3 278 10123 9422 4*307 3 252 4 249 3 282 9422 8781 1*290 4 249 4 243 2 277 8781 8201 1 160 4 247 4 238 2 263 8201 7709 2 157 4 245 4 234 2 245 7709 7325 2 156 4 244 4 232 2 224 7325 7057 2 153 4 243 4 232 2 200 7057 6894 2 155 4 243 4 231 2*171 6894 6800 2 157 4 243 4 230 1*109 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography