DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.9 - - - - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 538 - - 600 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8275 - - 7576 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13054 - - 12524 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14960 - - 14261 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1218 - - 1047 - - - - - 4066 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 702 - - 707 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 23 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 259 - - - - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -12 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1705 - - -1074 - - - - - -6489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13256 - - 15335 - - - - - 13289 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8 - - -8373 - - - - - -15355 ODpotential blCL - - - 14968 - - 22634 - - - - - 22154 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 54 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.9 - - - - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 15.8 - - - - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 57.1 - - - - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.6 - - 15.3 - - - - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 538 - - 600 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8275 - - 7576 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98005 4 115 5 281 0 315 98005 90618 9 211 5 203 10 009 90618 84934 11 171 5 144 11 337 84934 80230 10 118 5 225 6 270 80230 76176 4 068 4 214 1 158 76176 72579 0 006 6 206 1 131 72579 69311 7 140 5 197 7 188 69311 66305 1 054 5 209 7 119 66305 63514 11 139 15 192 8 215 63514 60800 11 227 10 137 12 218 60800 57961 34 234 24 243 24 247 57961 55032 35 223 36 225 33 252 55032 52266 28 221 37 215 38 241 52266 49800 23 244 30 244 37 226 49800 47624 38 266 39 250 37 233 47624 45677 52 263 40 256 43 242 45677 43898 53 276 48 265 50 238 43898 42248 61 283 54 268 55 232 42248 40702 65 285 60 273 58 233 40702 39245 66 290 63 276 60 240 39245 37875 70 294 62 276 62 248 37875 36563 72 293 61 273 63 252 36563 35249 72 291 60 271 63 248 35249 33910 74 289 60 268 64 244 33910 32551 75 288 61 267 64 243 32551 31158 76 286 63 266 64 244 31158 29723 76 284 65 266 63 248 29723 28251 75 280 66 268 62 251 28251 26746 75 277 65 269 61 253 26746 25215 76 273 64 266 59 252 25215 23656 77 268 63 261 56 252 23656 22065 80 263 62 260 54 254 22065 20441 82 262 61 262 53 256 20441 18814 76 261 58 263 52 254 18814 17268 60 255 54 257 50 245 17268 15872 45*248 47 247 44 234 15872 14629 37*245 32*245 37 232 14629 13512 34 245 26*248 30 238 13512 12502 32 247 25 250 23 247 12502 11586 31 248 25 251 18 259 11586 10758 31 249 24 259 14 274 10758 10010 30 250 23 262 12 294 10010 9334 30 251 23 264 11 314 9334 8714 29 252 23 266 12 326 8714 8155 29 253 22 267 12 330 8155 7679 28 253 22 268 12 331 7679 7307 27 254 22 269 11 331 7307 7048 27 254 21 269 10 332 7048 6890 25 254 20 269 7*333 6890 6799 21 255 17 270 4*339 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography