DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 1336z - - 1605z - - 1905z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.2 - - 76.0 - - 83.5 - - 85.5 - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 341 - - 392 - - 153 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 939 - - 3236 - - 7963 - - 9141 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 8862 - - 12662 - - 13033 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7624 - - 9921 - - 14648 - - 15826 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1150 - - 3212 - - 4154 - - 3845 - - 3325 Hgt.Variab. W* 168 - - 444 - - 626 - - 481 - - 24 W* B/S 12 - - 11 - - 42 - - 30 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 149 - - 245 - - 232 - - 252 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -11 - - -15 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 305 - - -28 - - 1446 - - 846 - - -2297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7320 - - 9949 - - 13202 - - 14981 - - 9097 sfcLCL ODpotential -3895 - - -3108 - - -685 - - -2157 - - -5854 ODpotential blCL 11519 - - 13029 - - 15333 - - 17983 - - 12654 blCL maxRH 86 - - 94 - - 97 - - 85 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1470 - - 1310 - - 720 - - 240 - - 1470 CAPE Temp@2m 68.2 - - 76.0 - - 83.5 - - 85.5 - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.8 - - 55.3 - - 48.7 - - 43.0 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.2 - - 74.6 - - 81.6 - - 84.4 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.5 - - 54.9 - - 48.2 - - 42.4 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 341 - - 392 - - 153 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 939 - - 3236 - - 7963 - - 9141 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 75 - - 90 - - 40 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98949 39 100 35 109 33 097 34 101 29 098 98949 91491 33 099 32 094 31 110 29 098 31 096 91491 85737 27 089 26 089 29 106 25 106 28 091 85737 80959 25 097 22 093 21 098 24 106 24 083 80959 76858 25 102 22 099 17 104 21 085 22 080 76858 73248 23 091 22 099 17 109 19 085 20 086 73248 69989 19 073 21 101 18 091 18 099 18 095 69989 67004 13 071 18 097 16 083 17 098 18 098 67004 64252 11 095 13 094 14 095 12 084 15 085 64252 61603 8 107 13 109 12 100 9 091 12 074 61603 58859 9 131 12 092 11 100 12 107 9 076 58859 56042 14 129 11 112 6 101 8 105 7 107 56042 53383 9 099 14 129 5 158 2 232 6 110 53383 51008 3 044 4 142 4 169 5 265 4 021 51008 48889 5 124 4 268 4 233 9 271 11 321 48889 46959 9 085 3 348 5 169 8 233 11 309 46959 45173 11 020 14 352 3 102 5 270 9 314 45173 43504 17 348 16 335 6 344 10 327 11 314 43504 41932 21 339 14 329 10 332 12 330 12 308 41932 40448 8 358 13 312 10 324 11 324 10 292 40448 39050 4 011 12 306 11 316 10 306 10 277 39050 37710 3 338 12 304 12 307 12 301 10 287 37710 36368 1 027 9 297 11 303 11 297 12 304 36368 34996 4 132 5 274 11 301 11 297 12 311 34996 33598 8 151 4 257 10 296 9 294 11 311 33598 32165 6 181 3 264 7 282 6 288 11 312 32165 30688 5 229 4 293 6 270 5 308 9 320 30688 29172 6 270 5 310 6 292 5 004 9 319 29172 27621 8 278 5 308 7 317 7 033 7 312 27621 26037 9 269 5 302 7 323 8 033 7 317 26037 24429 6 265 5 306 7 322 5 032 7 328 24429 22794 1 279 6 297 5 316 3 045 6 319 22794 21126 2 176 2 263 2 348 4 090 7 315 21126 19450 4 216 0 155 3 043 5 102 7 307 19450 17847 6 240 4 118 4 148 4 111 5 292 17847 16390 3 312 5 108 5 151 3*107 4 242 16390 15085 3 001 5 098 3*114 2*103 5 217 15085 13908 2 043 4 096 3*085 1 121 4 212 13908 12840 3 053 3 075 2 073 1 252 1 147 12840 11871 6 043 3 047 1 076 2 256 4 083 11871 10993 6 036 3 017 1 239 3 255 8 081 10993 10200 6 036 3*329 3 240 4 255 11 086 10200 9484 6 040 4*280 5 239 5 255 14 090 9484 8827 4 049 6 253 6 238 5 254 15 090 8827 8235 3 084 7 244 7 236 5 253 15 088 8235 7731 3*128 8 241 7 235 5 253 14 086 7731 7338 3*146 8 239 7 235 5 253 11 079 7338 7064 3 149 8 238 7 234 5 253 8 070 7064 6896 2 152 8 238 7 234 5 254 6 063 6896 6800 2 153 7 237 7 234 5 253 4*062 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography