DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.6 - - 51.2 - - 55.6 - - 50.8 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 120 - - 109 - - -7 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1539 - - 2899 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 7264 - - 8170 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8224 - - 9584 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 207 - - 1814 - - 1745 - - 3149 - - 91 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 252 - - 300 - - 13 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 124 - - 140 - - 107 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -6 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -184 - - -674 - - -1430 - - -246 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8408 - - 10258 - - 8229 - - 7045 sfcLCL ODpotential -5905 - - -5404 - - -5902 - - -5800 - - -6367 ODpotential blCL 12703 - - 13628 - - 15486 - - 12599 - - 13165 blCL maxRH 71 - - 64 - - 75 - - 79 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.6 - - 51.2 - - 55.6 - - 50.8 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 37.9 - - 34.3 - - 38.3 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.2 - - 50.4 - - 54.8 - - 53.2 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 36.6 - - 33.2 - - 37.3 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 120 - - 109 - - -7 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1539 - - 2899 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96844 31 270 40 267 48 277 42 288 43 269 96844 89665 30 274 31 265 27 269 29 268 29 281 89665 84095 18 268 19 258 20 262 27 267 37 283 84095 79491 15 278 12 265 19 258 27 264 31 272 79491 75563 17 297 12 276 14 258 18 244 17 268 75563 72068 22 274 19 290 17 292 15 259 16 269 72068 68884 22 235 24 264 24 281 26 268 20 269 68884 65950 14 216 23 229 27 246 28 252 21 267 65950 63213 16 274 18 241 26 228 24 249 22 253 63213 60555 27 269 23 264 30 247 28 264 27 258 60555 57773 39 254 33 264 37 256 37 258 36 254 57773 54883 45 256 46 261 47 257 47 251 45 246 54883 52131 54 252 59 257 57 254 57 251 54 246 52131 49661 59 250 64 250 69 249 68 247 61 247 49661 47455 58 250 62 246 68 247 67 245 64 248 47455 45470 53 250 57 244 60 247 60 244 62 245 45470 43674 48 252 53 244 54 244 58 244 59 246 43674 42032 46 253 51 244 51 247 58 244 58 251 42032 40510 46 252 50 244 51 249 58 246 60 254 40510 39086 45 250 49 244 51 250 56 249 60 254 39086 37750 43 249 47 245 51 249 54 252 59 256 37750 36472 41 247 47 246 50 249 52 253 54 259 36472 35191 39 245 47 247 49 249 52 252 48 259 35191 33883 37 244 46 246 49 250 52 252 45 259 33883 32550 37 248 44 246 47 251 49 252 45 258 32550 31183 37 256 43 248 44 252 45 254 43 257 31183 29774 38 265 40 249 42 254 42 259 41 258 29774 28328 39 273 37 253 40 256 40 262 40 255 28328 26846 40 274 37 259 38 259 40 262 38 254 26846 25331 40 269 39 262 37 262 38 259 36 254 25331 23788 38 266 39 263 36 264 36 257 33 249 23788 22213 37 267 38 264 37 264 34 254 29 243 22213 20600 34 268 36 263 35 263 32 254 26 242 20600 18976 32 267 33 262 32 261 31 255 26 245 18976 17420 32 264 31 261 29 260 29 257 26 247 17420 16007 31 262 29 261 27 261 27 258 27 245 16007 14742 29 260 26 261 24 261 24 259 26 243 14742 13605 25 257 23 261 21 258 22 259 24 240 13605 12578 22 255 20 258 18 253 20 257 21 238 12578 11646 19 257 16 253 14 248 15 254 17 237 11646 10803 16 263 12 250 10 244 10 249 14 234 10803 10043 13 269 6 245 5*220 6 230 9 228 10043 9356 9 275 3 211 5*154 4 180 5 203 9356 8728 5 275 4*156 5 141 6 140 4 139 8728 8163 2 233 6*130 5 139 7 125 7 115 8163 7683 3 153 6 124 6 137 7 119 9 101 7683 7309 6 125 6 123 6 137 7 116 10 082 7309 7049 8 107 6 122 5 136 6 114 11 067 7049 6890 7*094 6 122 5 138 5*111 9 056 6890 6798 4*091 5 122 5 136 4*107 6*053 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography