DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.8 - - 35.9 - - 43.3 - - 37.5 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 144 - - 120 - - -13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 315 - - 1002 - - 1728 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6864 - - 7370 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 7000 - - 7687 - - 8413 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 477 - - 361 - - 1676 - - 1411 - - 667 Hgt.Variab. W* 99 - - 226 - - 257 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 130 - - 144 - - 255 - - 224 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -5 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 203 - - 890 - - 126 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 6797 - - 8287 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential 140 - - -3811 - - -3065 - - -2655 - - -3137 ODpotential blCL 6860 - - 11498 - - 11478 - - 9453 - - 9935 blCL maxRH 100 - - 84 - - 74 - - 78 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.8 - - 35.9 - - 43.3 - - 37.5 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 30.3 - - 30.8 - - 34.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.6 - - 35.1 - - 42.3 - - 39.3 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 29.2 - - 29.7 - - 34.1 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 144 - - 120 - - -13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 315 - - 1002 - - 1728 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 38 - - 0 - - 13 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96227 15 284 18 276 15 300 10 278 19 257 96227 89186 4 228 13 245 8 315 11 277 6 299 89186 83728 3 135 1 187 3 273 8 262 7 025 83728 79155 2 135 2 232 11 272 9 288 8 324 79155 75190 4 343 9 215 10 229 13 254 12 297 75190 71675 14 283 12 249 9 268 11 267 8 293 71675 68474 18 270 18 256 18 288 16 288 10 296 68474 65519 20 263 23 262 30 277 28 288 22 297 65519 62779 23 253 21 267 33 272 34 287 30 295 62779 60126 25 269 23 278 36 274 35 282 35 292 60126 57356 36 280 29 276 34 272 35 273 34 285 57356 54471 43 280 34 277 32 275 35 280 34 289 54471 51720 51 275 43 287 38 290 40 288 41 292 51720 49258 52 275 53 289 49 300 46 293 45 290 49258 47064 54 282 55 289 56 298 52 292 46 288 47064 45090 50 291 57 292 51 299 48 297 37 306 45090 43317 53 294 53 294 50 318 65 329 63 327 43317 41710 48 290 46 308 63 320 75 325 67 328 41710 40216 36 308 49 318 54 326 69 313 58 330 40216 38812 40 332 54 343 61 001 52 313 47 331 38812 37493 50 340 63 359 81 009 45 346 47 337 37493 36228 52 333 57 354 81 006 53 360 54 339 36228 34958 51 324 42 337 70 000 60 001 61 340 34958 33659 49 323 39 315 64 352 59 358 63 339 33659 32336 47 321 44 311 61 345 53 345 61 336 32336 30978 48 319 48 315 59 338 54 330 60 334 30978 29575 50 319 51 321 55 332 57 329 61 333 29575 28132 50 319 51 325 50 328 57 335 62 332 28132 26650 49 319 48 327 49 325 56 338 59 333 26650 25135 46 319 42 322 50 323 56 338 54 334 25135 23592 42 318 41 314 51 326 55 336 48 334 23592 22016 41 317 43 311 46 326 47 332 39 326 22016 20401 42 316 43 311 40 318 39 331 31 316 20401 18774 44 319 41 311 38 312 36 330 27 312 18774 17219 43 321 38 311 37 311 32 326 27 313 17219 15810 40 323 34 312 34 312 27 319 26 316 15810 14555 36 323 31 315 30 315 23 317 24 320 14555 13432 33 323 27 319 26 318 20 319 21 324 13432 12422 31 324 24 323 23 322 16 320 17 327 12422 11510 28 326 21 327 19 325 13 318 14 327 11510 10686 25 331 16 331 16 322 12 311 11 324 10686 9946 22 337 11 334 14 314 13 301 9 319 9946 9278 16 342 6 335 11 303 14 291 9 315 9278 8668 11 339 3 326 8*285 15 279 11 314 8668 8118 6 323 0*325 7*262 14 263 11 311 8118 7652 1 068 2*141 7 256 13 248 8 298 7652 7291 5 128 3 144 7 254 12 238 3 274 7291 7039 4*130 3 145 7 253 11 232 1 159 7039 6886 4*130 3 144 6 251 8*227 3*112 6886 6798 4 130 3 144 6 251 5*224 3*105 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography