DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 73.4 - - 71.1 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 369 - - 404 - - 62 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3845 - - 8375 - - 6907 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9351 - - 13004 - - 10502 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10530 - - 15060 - - 13592 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4076 - - 1249 - - 1892 - - 428 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 479 - - 640 - - 323 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 16 - - 14 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 283 - - 294 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1176 - - 706 - - -2341 - - -6293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11707 - - 14355 - - 15934 - - 13093 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3694 - - -2888 - - -7042 - - -12479 ODpotential blCL - - - 14224 - - 17948 - - 20634 - - 19278 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 56 - - 69 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 73.4 - - 71.1 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 33.8 - - 24.8 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 71.0 - - 70.7 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 33.4 - - 24.5 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 369 - - 404 - - 62 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3845 - - 8375 - - 6907 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98312 14 076 18 085 4 121 9 015 98312 90966 15 059 16 073 10 077 14 070 90966 85279 12 042 14 059 10 051 15 043 85279 80575 11 063 6 033 13 026 16 036 80575 76542 14 062 2 060 15 002 20 025 76542 72988 10 046 7 035 13 005 17 021 72988 69772 8 037 11 012 10 034 10 022 69772 66811 12 045 7 358 10 013 11 026 66811 64063 12 357 6 017 8 007 9 357 64063 61406 15 336 8 010 8 354 7 011 61406 58641 18 290 14 311 12 327 8 353 58641 55769 19 262 21 271 22 287 17 296 55769 53029 21 261 25 260 30 273 28 288 53029 50570 28 269 27 270 37 267 39 277 50570 48364 34 271 35 270 37 270 48 278 48364 46357 40 271 40 271 44 277 50 275 46357 44522 42 272 41 287 47 283 52 282 44522 42829 42 285 50 294 53 291 56 287 42829 41252 52 294 56 296 57 293 58 288 41252 39777 55 293 59 295 59 292 56 288 39777 38401 52 294 58 298 57 294 52 288 38401 37093 52 297 60 298 57 290 53 286 37093 35783 51 297 61 305 56 286 50 282 35783 34442 45 293 57 306 49 288 46 282 34442 33075 38 291 53 302 43 292 44 284 33075 31671 33 289 45 299 41 293 42 289 31671 30224 30 289 33 299 35 298 35 289 30224 28740 28 289 28 298 25 289 30 286 28740 27222 26 288 25 294 21 283 26 281 27222 25673 26 285 23 287 20 281 24 276 25673 24096 25 284 22 283 20 281 21 277 24096 22488 24 287 22 283 20 285 20 279 22488 20841 23 294 20 286 19 290 18 281 20841 19186 22 297 19 291 18 295 16 284 19186 17605 20 294 18 294 17 297 14 287 17605 16171 19 284 18*291 16 298 15 292 16171 14889 20 274 17*288 14 298 15 293 14889 13736 22 272 17 287 13*296 15 295 13736 12693 22 275 17 286 13*294 13 298 12693 11747 20 281 17 286 14 294 11 304 11747 10889 14*288 16 284 14 294 10 309 10889 10116 9*288 16 282 14 294 10 312 10116 9416 5 281 16 281 14 294 10 311 9416 8776 2 228 16 280 14 295 10 310 8776 8197 2 215 15 278 14 295 10 308 8197 7706 2 204 15 277 14 295 10 307 7706 7323 2 199 14 277 13 295 9 307 7323 7056 2 196 14 277 13 295 7 307 7056 6893 2 195 13 277 12 295 4 307 6893 6799 2 195 12 277 10 295 2*321 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography