DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.0 - - 70.8 - - 75.7 - - 73.2 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 66 - - 397 - - 406 - - 56 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 433 - - 4707 - - 9099 - - 6586 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 10050 - - 13596 - - 10159 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7118 - - 11392 - - 15784 - - 13271 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 630 - - 4356 - - 2067 - - 3271 - - 160 Hgt.Variab. W* 130 - - 524 - - 659 - - 308 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 18 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 281 - - 285 - - 299 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 9 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -6 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2257 - - -2924 - - -3177 - - -5235 - - -8733 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9376 - - 14316 - - 18962 - - 18507 - - 15533 sfcLCL ODpotential -6871 - - -6829 - - -6477 - - -8539 - - -14055 ODpotential blCL 13989 - - 18221 - - 22261 - - 21810 - - 20855 blCL maxRH 54 - - 33 - - 27 - - 24 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.0 - - 70.8 - - 75.7 - - 73.2 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 31.5 - - 15.3 - - 15.3 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 68.4 - - 73.5 - - 72.7 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.5 - - 31.1 - - 14.7 - - 14.9 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 66 - - 397 - - 406 - - 56 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 433 - - 4707 - - 9099 - - 6586 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98060 13 084 10 088 14 104 7 154 8 105 98060 90739 8 079 9 098 9 122 3 186 7 073 90739 85098 12 088 11 104 6 132 5 097 6 049 85098 80409 16 087 10 115 6 152 9 049 11 073 80409 76378 16 073 10 094 13 152 4 015 14 066 76378 72823 10 036 10 081 12 109 5 137 6 061 72823 69596 6 077 2 143 7 031 3 051 7 076 69596 66623 12 067 7 085 3 065 7 033 9 052 66623 63881 9 038 12 050 5 118 8 062 11 036 63881 61244 8 009 10 036 13 078 11 067 8 045 61244 58498 9 359 7 002 16 014 12 023 11 049 58498 55659 9 320 4 298 11 346 16 311 17 331 55659 52958 15 299 16 322 16 306 23 299 24 315 52958 50525 26 307 32 314 27 314 29 311 35 317 50525 48337 42 310 46 308 44 312 41 319 44 305 48337 46347 54 304 50 302 52 307 49 312 47 305 46347 44520 55 307 53 309 57 308 58 311 51 310 44520 42825 59 305 59 308 63 306 63 308 56 311 42825 41237 64 301 62 304 65 303 62 305 59 308 41237 39745 65 299 61 301 63 300 60 302 62 304 39745 38346 64 299 60 299 62 298 61 301 65 301 38346 37011 64 301 60 298 63 296 63 302 67 300 37011 35680 63 300 62 296 67 294 66 303 68 300 35680 34325 62 297 62 294 68 293 69 303 68 301 34325 32953 59 297 60 292 66 294 69 303 68 301 32953 31549 54 300 58 294 62 295 66 303 67 301 31549 30107 48 301 56 297 57 297 60 303 63 302 30107 28628 43 303 51 302 53 301 56 304 57 303 28628 27119 39 304 43 299 47 302 52 304 51 302 27119 25583 34 305 35 298 40 299 44 302 44 302 25583 24025 23 303 28 298 31 302 33 301 36 302 24025 22438 20 303 22 285 23 301 25 300 29 299 22438 20814 20 292 21 279 20 295 22 295 23 291 20814 19176 21 287 19 290 20 296 21 295 22 291 19176 17605 23 285 19 296 20 300 21 301 21 300 17605 16175 23 274 20 292 18*295 18 311 21 308 16175 14895 21 272 23 285 17*289 16 313 20 312 14895 13742 20 281 23 282 17 288 16*310 18 312 13742 12699 18 291 21 285 18 287 16*307 17 310 12699 11753 16 289 19*291 18 286 17 304 17 308 11753 10895 15 279 15*292 18 285 17 302 17 309 10895 10120 13 273 12 287 18 284 17 299 17 311 10120 9420 9 271 11 285 18 284 17 298 17 312 9420 8779 4 284 9 277 18 283 17 296 16 311 8779 8199 3 088 9 276 18 283 17 296 16 307 8199 7707 6 105 8 273 18 282 16 295 16 298 7707 7323 9*095 8 272 17 282 16 294 15 290 7323 7056 8*085 8 272 17 282 15 294 13 285 7056 6893 7 082 8 271 16 282 14 294 9*282 6893 6800 6 081 7 271 14 282 12 293 5*282 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography