DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 42.1 - - 44.0 - - 41.3 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 148 - - 117 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1468 - - 2793 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7261 - - 8082 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8153 - - 9478 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 925 - - 2716 - - 2956 - - 5500 - - 2210 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 256 - - 294 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 249 - - 241 - - 222 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -5 - - -9 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1355 - - 1402 - - -682 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6798 - - 8077 - - 7480 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -28 - - -287 - - -247 - - -2695 - - -3110 ODpotential blCL 6826 - - 8440 - - 9725 - - 9493 - - 9908 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 95 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 42.1 - - 44.0 - - 41.3 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 35.7 - - 32.2 - - 32.2 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.3 - - 41.2 - - 43.2 - - 42.4 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 35.5 - - 32.1 - - 32.1 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 148 - - 117 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1468 - - 2793 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 77 - - 81 - - 94 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96013 65 288 62 284 62 289 56 288 60 276 96013 88866 44 289 44 292 44 294 37 301 37 295 88866 83322 37 286 34 289 36 289 36 298 32 313 83322 78708 33 303 28 295 30 283 34 287 33 306 78708 74749 32 310 23 299 25 279 30 287 29 296 74749 71259 29 284 28 293 27 286 30 284 31 292 71259 68088 27 290 31 289 31 289 28 283 31 286 68088 65159 40 288 36 292 29 290 23 285 31 272 65159 62461 49 275 43 277 41 276 34 293 35 278 62461 59866 48 266 50 261 58 267 55 282 46 282 59866 57151 50 266 56 260 62 262 60 270 54 269 57151 54331 58 267 58 261 63 257 64 258 64 261 54331 51634 65 267 65 263 65 256 68 250 72 255 51634 49200 76 265 73 261 73 262 71 252 75 252 49200 47009 83 263 78 259 80 263 78 260 79 256 47009 45016 87 265 83 260 85 262 90 265 86 260 45016 43187 93 267 93 261 93 262 100 264 94 261 43187 41498 102 266 103 261 102 262 106 262 101 259 41498 39933 109 263 110 260 109 263 111 261 110 258 39933 38478 111 261 109 259 112 262 115 259 116 258 38478 37126 107 261 106 259 109 260 115 257 117 258 37126 35841 102 263 102 261 105 260 112 256 117 257 35841 34557 101 267 100 263 104 260 110 257 116 257 34557 33247 101 269 99 264 102 260 107 258 114 257 33247 31917 98 270 95 264 98 259 103 258 110 258 31917 30554 90 269 88 261 93 257 97 258 105 258 30554 29153 82 267 85 258 90 255 91 256 100 256 29153 27718 76 264 84 257 88 255 86 256 94 256 27718 26251 72 263 81 256 84 256 81 257 85 257 26251 24762 69 263 75 256 79 256 74 258 75 259 24762 23253 64 266 69 257 72 256 67 259 67 262 23253 21717 57 267 62 257 67 256 62 260 62 263 21717 20147 52 268 54 257 63 257 58 262 58 264 20147 18569 47 267 48 258 56 259 51 265 50 265 18569 17064 42 267 42 261 46 260 42 266 40 265 17064 15699 37 266 37 263 38 261 34 267 30 261 15699 14481 34 266 33 265 32 264 29 267 27 257 14481 13388 31 265 30 265 28 265 23 262 28 257 13388 12399 28 263 26 265 20 265 18 259 27 256 12399 11503 23 262 21 267 17 270 15 258 24 255 11503 10690 17 263 17 273 16 270 14 257 19 255 10690 9955 13 267 12 276 15*268 13 256 14 254 9955 9290 11 265 9 275 14*259 12 254 9 253 9290 8681 11 260 7*270 12 249 11 252 6 250 8681 8131 10 265 6*264 12 238 9 243 4 247 8131 7663 9 269 4 250 11 235 7 233 2 249 7663 7298 9 267 3 244 11 233 7 228 1 267 7298 7043 5 256 3 241 11 232 6 226 1 356 7043 6887 3*250 3 238 10 232 5*224 2*039 6887 6798 2*249 3 238 9 231 4*222 2*041 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography