DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 86.3 - - 85.5 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 443 - - 142 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6642 - - 13015 - - 11606 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11459 - - 16866 - - 14889 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13327 - - 19700 - - 18291 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5115 - - 922 - - 2005 - - 2737 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 533 - - 765 - - 506 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 22 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 278 - - 267 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -14 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -889 - - 2888 - - 1145 - - -7815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14217 - - 16813 - - 17147 - - 14617 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3620 - - 1204 - - -1031 - - -11650 ODpotential blCL - - - 16947 - - 18496 - - 19322 - - 18451 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 65 - - 58 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 90 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 86.3 - - 85.5 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.8 - - 35.7 - - 33.6 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.7 - - 83.6 - - 84.4 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 35.2 - - 33.2 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 443 - - 142 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6642 - - 13015 - - 11606 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99190 40 100 35 100 28 111 22 092 99190 91716 31 099 33 092 32 099 30 091 91716 85950 28 099 27 096 28 083 34 088 85950 81165 27 093 22 106 20 073 30 075 81165 77058 20 088 17 111 18 089 21 070 77058 73444 19 079 15 096 17 104 12 079 73444 70165 12 094 9 060 14 077 11 092 70165 67151 11 094 7 130 3 023 14 031 67151 64383 8 050 9 047 3 088 7 012 64383 61728 4 035 6 343 6 352 6 007 61728 58972 8 318 0 313 7 307 6 295 58972 56134 12 268 5 241 13 288 14 290 56134 53445 17 291 15 284 17 291 17 291 53445 51027 31 269 29 263 23 287 23 286 51027 48853 23 306 28 305 22 309 20 289 48853 46890 37 319 39 309 29 320 24 315 46890 45105 25 315 36 296 28 302 32 316 45105 43449 5 350 5 216 19 288 19 311 43449 41890 14 015 5 071 1 263 10 283 41890 40422 23 009 12 012 3 041 10 306 40422 39038 22 010 12 006 3 021 10 332 39038 37713 19 029 8 351 8 293 12 324 37713 36383 15 051 9 328 11 311 13 314 36383 35020 12 057 12 326 18 320 13 313 35020 33629 11 054 19 339 21 324 15 319 33629 32200 10 005 25 337 24 324 20 325 32200 30726 19 353 25 344 22 330 20 324 30726 29210 20 343 20 352 20 341 16 324 29210 27656 14 331 11 359 15 352 13 342 27656 26073 9 325 7 341 5 334 5 325 26073 24470 6 320 6 335 5 303 5 280 24470 22836 4 302 2 345 3 239 6 245 22836 21167 3 338 1*330 2 244 4 257 21167 19491 7 316 4*324 2*341 2 095 19491 17889 10 285 4 317 4*295 2 130 17889 16427 11 275 5 294 6 282 3 220 16427 15116 7 273 6 284 7 278 6 239 15116 13933 3*273 6 280 7 274 8 247 13933 12862 1*276 7 274 8 269 8 254 12862 11890 1 142 7 271 9 266 9 260 11890 11008 2 152 8 269 10 264 9 264 11008 10212 4 169 8 267 10 262 10 267 10212 9492 4 170 8 266 10 261 11 270 9492 8833 4 174 8 265 10 259 11 271 8833 8238 4 177 8 264 11 258 12 273 8238 7733 4 179 8 264 10 258 12 273 7733 7339 4 182 8 264 10 257 12 273 7339 7065 4 185 8 263 10 258 10 272 7065 6897 4 185 8 263 10 257 8*270 6897 6801 4 186 8 264 9 256 5*269 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography