DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.1 - - 80.8 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 234 - - 68 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7720 - - 6835 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 12191 - - 10534 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 14405 - - 13520 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5129 - - 6026 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 520 - - 330 - - 30 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 229 - - 244 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - -12 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1123 - - -289 - - -464 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 13282 - - 13810 - - 7265 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -556 - - -2321 - - -5141 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14961 - - 15841 - - 11941 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 90 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 570 - - 290 - - 1400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.1 - - 80.8 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.1 - - 43.5 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.4 - - 80.2 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.8 - - 43.5 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 234 - - 68 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7720 - - 6835 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 61 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98704 14 070 12 067 5 083 98704 91336 9 082 11 074 12 072 91336 85612 13 108 5 174 5 073 85612 80841 11 140 7 138 5 083 80841 76735 9 138 7 155 2 120 76735 73119 3 196 0 123 3 080 73119 69852 5 152 2 258 3 307 69852 66854 2 260 5 264 5 259 66854 64086 8 260 9 278 9 263 64086 61427 12 258 13 263 12 262 61427 58694 17 246 18 269 17 265 58694 55898 19 243 21 258 21 266 55898 53254 17 250 19 252 23 254 53254 50882 24 259 23 260 27 256 50882 48750 26 256 26 255 28 258 48750 46797 27 251 27 252 26 259 46797 44987 27 247 29 245 29 247 44987 43300 27 246 31 244 32 240 43300 41721 28 247 32 249 36 244 41721 40238 29 249 32 251 37 246 40238 38846 27 251 31 249 34 248 38846 37516 26 251 30 250 32 250 37516 36182 26 256 30 253 33 250 36182 34818 24 256 29 254 33 246 34818 33430 21 253 29 255 33 240 33430 32008 19 249 27 257 31 239 32008 30543 18 240 24 258 28 240 30543 29037 17 233 21 260 23 244 29037 27496 14 233 22 255 21 248 27496 25923 11 233 19 240 23 245 25923 24325 12 217 15 228 24 228 24325 22699 14 201 20 222 26 228 22699 21039 16 208 22 221 26 226 21039 19374 17 216 22 214 26 220 19374 17786 17 220 21 215 27 220 17786 16341 17 222 20 215 24 226 16341 15044 16*223 18 217 21 230 15044 13874 12*226 15*221 19 229 13874 12812 12 226 14*225 16 228 12812 11848 11 227 12 230 13 226 11848 10973 11 228 11 238 10 228 10973 10183 11 230 10 246 8 233 10183 9468 11 231 10 249 7 238 9468 8814 11 231 10 253 5 238 8814 8224 11 232 10 254 3 203 8224 7723 10 233 10 256 5 134 7723 7332 10 233 10 257 8 108 7332 7062 10 233 9 257 10 091 7062 6896 10 234 9 257 9*087 6896 6800 9 233 8 257 6*085 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography