DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 81.6 - - 79.7 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 462 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7409 - - 8578 - - 7738 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12232 - - 13230 - - 11768 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14094 - - 15263 - - 14423 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1669 - - 1582 - - 1581 - - 4422 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 619 - - 673 - - 421 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 249 - - 259 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 6 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 938 - - 371 - - -898 - - -6298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13156 - - 14893 - - 15322 - - 13099 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -451 - - -2607 - - -4637 - - -12142 ODpotential blCL - - - 14545 - - 17870 - - 19060 - - 18942 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 74 - - 57 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 81.6 - - 79.7 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 39.5 - - 35.9 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 78.9 - - 78.6 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 39.4 - - 35.8 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 462 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7409 - - 8578 - - 7738 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98865 19 113 16 125 11 089 13 112 98865 91443 16 106 14 106 17 097 12 104 91443 85716 15 106 14 090 9 114 16 096 85716 80950 15 110 12 116 7 086 14 064 80950 76860 14 074 10 141 7 088 13 052 76860 73259 10 076 11 129 6 094 9 075 73259 69992 9 081 16 108 7 123 6 076 69992 67003 6 119 4 096 18 147 9 187 67003 64248 8 171 8 181 2 171 10 163 64248 61598 15 194 10 182 9 213 8 165 61598 58868 18 212 23 236 18 246 19 241 58868 56068 19 219 31 229 30 239 31 244 56068 53419 19 252 32 237 34 244 32 263 53419 51043 44 253 43 235 44 247 38 264 51043 48904 54 248 41 236 44 243 39 259 48904 46939 60 256 43 256 44 250 42 256 46939 45115 66 257 52 262 50 256 46 256 45115 43413 70 254 59 258 56 256 51 257 43413 41818 71 254 61 255 58 254 55 257 41818 40318 64 251 62 249 59 251 58 256 40318 38909 54 243 63 243 61 249 58 255 38909 37564 53 231 59 242 62 249 56 252 37564 36220 52 227 49 239 60 250 55 249 36220 34849 44 226 42 230 53 250 52 251 34849 33459 38 221 41 228 44 247 45 251 33459 32035 37 218 40 225 39 244 37 245 32035 30566 33 218 38 226 35 240 35 237 30566 29060 29 223 31 230 31 238 31 239 29060 27520 26 229 27 231 27 237 23 240 27520 25950 24 231 23 231 24 237 20 237 25950 24352 22 225 21 230 23 236 18 237 24352 22721 19 217 19 226 21 238 16 243 22721 21052 18 209 18 221 18 243 11 251 21052 19374 18 206 17 221 13 249 6 243 19374 17771 19 211 16 226 10 253 4 238 17771 16315 17 224 12*230 5 238 6 238 16315 15015 14*238 9*243 5*254 8 237 15015 13847 12*243 9 247 6*261 7 243 13847 12789 9 243 9 248 7 261 6 259 12789 11829 6 248 9 249 8 261 7 274 11829 10958 4 264 10 250 8 261 8 281 10958 10173 4 269 11 251 9 260 9 283 10173 9461 4 272 11 251 10 259 10 284 9461 8810 4 273 12 251 10 258 11 285 8810 8222 4 274 12 251 10 258 12 286 8222 7723 4 275 12 251 10 257 11 286 7723 7333 4 274 12 251 10 256 11 286 7333 7061 4 276 12 251 10 257 9 284 7061 6895 4 275 11 251 10 256 7*283 6895 6800 4 275 10 251 9 256 4*285 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography