DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 73.5 - - 71.0 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 420 - - 72 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7307 - - 9707 - - 6361 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12124 - - 14110 - - 10267 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13992 - - 16392 - - 13046 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3122 - - 1480 - - 2902 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 605 - - 681 - - 330 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 291 - - 309 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -8 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2478 - - -1989 - - -5776 - - -9072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16471 - - 18382 - - 18823 - - 15872 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5968 - - -8571 - - -11688 - - -16867 ODpotential blCL - - - 19960 - - 24963 - - 24734 - - 23666 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 44 - - 73 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 73.5 - - 71.0 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 15.7 - - 11.7 - - 13.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 71.2 - - 70.5 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 14.9 - - 11.1 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 420 - - 72 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7307 - - 9707 - - 6361 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96350 53 268 46 263 48 260 47 274 96350 89192 29 251 37 256 40 270 40 285 89192 83733 19 255 30 258 33 274 35 285 83733 79207 19 294 24 281 24 284 26 282 79207 75292 20 297 14 295 16 290 19 272 75292 71845 16 303 10 290 13 297 14 286 71845 68738 22 278 17 299 13 305 17 308 68738 65890 18 253 19 275 19 282 19 294 65890 63269 15 290 16 263 17 262 17 287 63269 60742 29 285 18 277 22 280 27 270 60742 58096 34 274 29 274 33 267 33 267 58096 55333 35 254 36 259 36 263 39 263 55333 52671 32 244 35 248 38 264 39 263 52671 50246 28 255 33 255 40 264 41 267 50246 48051 33 268 42 265 45 262 44 270 48051 46047 38 264 45 261 46 260 48 269 46047 44210 41 257 42 263 45 260 48 265 44210 42525 40 253 42 264 45 259 49 259 42525 40974 46 264 45 264 43 258 48 254 40974 39534 47 260 48 267 39 260 42 245 39534 38185 49 277 46 275 37 262 38 246 38185 36890 63 283 43 284 39 264 39 250 36890 35592 70 281 43 286 42 263 42 255 35592 34264 71 277 47 284 44 262 49 263 34264 32914 70 272 50 281 45 262 53 263 32914 31530 70 269 52 279 45 262 51 264 31530 30102 66 268 51 279 40 268 45 266 30102 28633 63 264 47 281 36 278 40 268 28633 27126 68 251 42 287 36 279 37 274 27126 25586 75 244 40 297 38 282 37 278 25586 24015 72 243 36 307 38 286 35 284 24015 22412 63 240 31 315 34 294 30 294 22412 20774 57 237 26 321 29 303 23 298 20774 19132 46 245 25 314 24 310 16 309 19132 17563 33 263 23*310 20 322 12 337 17563 16140 28 263 19*301 17 339 13 354 16140 14866 25*258 18 299 16 338 16 355 14866 13719 22*265 19 297 16*329 18 352 13719 12679 20 276 19 295 16*324 19 348 12679 11736 19 286 19 292 16 319 18 342 11736 10880 20 289 19 290 16 313 18 333 10880 10108 20 289 20 288 16 309 17 322 10108 9409 20 289 20 287 16 306 16 309 9409 8770 20 288 20 286 16 304 16 299 8770 8194 20 288 20 284 16 302 17 293 8194 7704 19 288 20 284 16 301 16 289 7704 7321 19 287 19 283 15 300 16 285 7321 7055 18 287 19 283 15 300 13 283 7055 6893 17 287 18 283 14 299 9 281 6893 6799 15 287 15 283 12 298 5*281 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography