DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 84.7 - - 83.1 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 470 - - 160 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9786 - - 11279 - - 9275 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14240 - - 15468 - - 13173 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16471 - - 17964 - - 15960 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1407 - - 1571 - - 3278 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 713 - - 746 - - 491 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 289 - - 286 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -9 - - -20 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4739 - - -3071 - - -5299 - - -11482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21211 - - 21036 - - 21260 - - 18283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9390 - - -7252 - - -9543 - - -17423 ODpotential blCL - - - 25861 - - 25216 - - 25503 - - 24223 blCL maxRH - - - 20 - - 24 - - 22 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 84.7 - - 83.1 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.8 - - 14.4 - - 12.2 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 82.1 - - 82.0 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.1 - - 13.9 - - 11.8 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 470 - - 160 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9786 - - 11279 - - 9275 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98901 39 129 22 113 20 099 27 088 98901 91323 26 098 26 115 24 098 25 093 91323 85539 17 085 29 111 25 103 26 090 85539 80768 18 115 18 101 19 089 21 099 80768 76664 21 114 13 100 12 084 18 103 76664 73047 18 099 12 110 10 104 15 093 73047 69781 12 075 11 109 14 134 9 110 69781 66788 6 071 10 108 11 094 7 108 66788 64027 11 134 4 336 11 033 5 076 64027 61361 7 174 11 270 13 298 5 335 61361 58600 5 327 9 251 11 256 14 264 58600 55764 27 289 20 271 19 276 20 271 55764 53067 35 277 34 271 30 280 29 282 53067 50640 46 272 48 272 43 281 41 284 50640 48461 58 268 57 273 56 281 53 282 48461 46481 67 268 65 274 65 280 62 282 46481 44664 71 271 69 276 71 280 68 282 44664 42985 73 276 71 279 73 279 71 281 42985 41419 75 280 69 281 70 280 74 281 41419 39949 77 282 68 283 67 282 74 281 39949 38569 78 282 69 284 67 284 73 283 38569 37249 77 282 69 284 67 286 69 285 37249 35928 73 281 67 284 66 286 64 288 35928 34581 69 279 65 284 62 286 62 288 34581 33210 66 278 65 282 59 285 58 288 33210 31806 63 278 64 281 59 286 53 288 31806 30358 59 280 59 283 57 287 49 290 30358 28872 54 283 54 286 53 289 47 291 28872 27351 47 284 49 286 47 288 44 291 27351 25799 38 282 45 284 43 286 42 289 25799 24221 36 277 43 282 42 282 41 285 24221 22612 36 280 39 283 38 282 38 284 22612 20969 33 286 31 284 29 287 29 284 20969 19317 29 288 22*294 19 298 14 284 19317 17738 23*285 15*301 11 317 2 293 17738 16297 16*282 14 299 11*315 5 012 16297 15006 15 282 14 297 11*308 8 006 15006 13841 15 281 15 294 11 302 9 352 13841 12785 15 278 15 291 12 296 9 334 12785 11826 15 275 15 288 13 288 10 315 11826 10956 15 272 16 286 14 284 12 300 10956 10171 15 270 16 284 14 281 14 290 10171 9461 15 268 16 283 15 279 16 285 9461 8810 15 266 16 283 15 278 17 282 8810 8223 15 265 16 282 15 277 17 279 8223 7723 15 264 16 281 15 276 17 276 7723 7333 14 263 15 280 14 276 16 274 7333 7061 14 262 15 280 14 276 14 270 7061 6896 13 263 14 280 13 275 10*265 6896 6800 12 262 13 280 12 275 6*262 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography