DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.7 - - 45.6 - - 43.5 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 202 - - -15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 767 - - 900 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 6974 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7452 - - 7585 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 418 - - 433 - - 324 - - 60 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 241 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 249 - - 297 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1314 - - -2484 - - -5021 - - -3803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8767 - - 10070 - - 11819 - - 10602 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9787 - - -8722 - - -12465 - - -12482 ODpotential blCL - - - 17239 - - 16307 - - 19263 - - 19280 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 50 - - 25 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.7 - - 45.6 - - 43.5 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 25.5 - - 16.0 - - 10.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 44.5 - - 46.8 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 25.2 - - 15.6 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 202 - - -15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 767 - - 900 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96159 18 048 20 053 37 056 20 073 96159 89311 25 069 23 076 29 054 31 062 89311 83946 26 078 22 074 19 049 25 051 83946 79431 19 069 21 064 12 064 23 034 79431 75486 16 061 15 055 6 095 11 035 75486 71956 14 063 8 056 3 069 12 015 71956 68734 10 048 2 072 6 344 14 011 68734 65755 4 354 4 346 10 307 16 350 65755 62980 16 313 20 355 11 326 28 315 62980 60320 30 302 25 321 24 330 32 309 60320 57577 31 310 36 310 34 313 32 308 57577 54743 36 321 36 318 40 312 37 311 54743 52050 34 315 41 327 47 319 42 312 52050 49629 32 309 43 309 52 317 49 313 49629 47443 30 308 43 284 55 307 55 305 47443 45443 26 314 40 276 54 283 57 298 45443 43596 30 326 46 303 54 284 59 298 43596 41883 41 327 65 315 57 296 60 300 41883 40290 52 313 66 309 68 301 64 300 40290 38809 61 291 67 298 74 302 69 301 38809 37433 63 286 71 295 74 305 75 302 37433 36128 61 291 72 299 73 307 81 304 36128 34828 61 305 73 306 75 309 84 306 34828 33508 62 314 73 311 76 310 84 307 33508 32174 64 318 70 315 76 309 84 307 32174 30814 62 323 67 317 73 308 82 306 30814 29415 58 326 63 315 70 308 78 306 29415 27982 54 323 59 309 69 309 73 309 27982 26515 51 320 57 306 68 309 70 314 26515 25020 48 318 55 306 66 310 65 317 25020 23501 43 315 52 305 63 312 58 317 23501 21954 41 311 50 306 61 315 53 319 21954 20370 39 309 47 310 58 319 49 325 20370 18775 35 312 43 314 53 322 46 332 18775 17246 31 315 39 317 47 326 43 337 17246 15854 28 315 36 320 42 330 39 340 15854 14607 26 313 33 323 37 335 35 344 14607 13486 25 309 31 327 33 339 31 349 13486 12473 24 308 29 332 29 344 29 356 12473 11557 23 310 26 334 25 350 27 003 11557 10728 23 314 23 333 24 353 25 009 10728 9982 21 316 22 328 22 354 23 013 9982 9309 17 315 21 320 21 353 20 017 9309 8693 12 309 20 308 20 350 18 017 8693 8138 10 288 18 294 19 344 15 012 8138 7666 8*265 13*266 17 336 12 001 7666 7299 6*242 11*251 14 327 9 340 7299 7043 5 240 11 249 10 315 9 310 7043 6887 5 239 11 248 7*304 8*301 6887 6798 5 239 9 247 5*297 5*304 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography