DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 84.9 - - 83.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 444 - - 157 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7572 - - 12690 - - 10542 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12418 - - 16602 - - 14151 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14257 - - 19375 - - 17227 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4483 - - 2427 - - 3073 - - 5116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 650 - - 761 - - 509 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 18 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 269 - - 285 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -11 - - -13 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -924 - - 1401 - - -1880 - - -10653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15182 - - 17975 - - 19108 - - 17454 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3950 - - -494 - - -4464 - - -15076 ODpotential blCL - - - 18207 - - 19869 - - 21691 - - 21876 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 82 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 130 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 84.9 - - 83.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 28.9 - - 22.0 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 82.3 - - 81.9 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 28.3 - - 21.6 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 444 - - 157 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7572 - - 12690 - - 10542 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 30 - - 45 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98659 20 100 19 098 22 110 18 090 98659 91148 20 113 15 109 17 076 17 091 91148 85411 27 106 15 120 13 068 17 088 85411 80675 24 090 20 099 12 095 17 089 80675 76591 17 099 16 087 13 082 17 099 76591 72988 11 081 13 081 11 098 11 087 72988 69738 7 090 8 096 12 073 12 087 69738 66755 8 108 10 136 7 044 13 040 66755 63998 1 176 7 191 11 288 7 018 63998 61337 7 326 11 221 15 237 10 275 61337 58590 19 286 12 271 18 255 21 276 58590 55762 31 266 28 271 32 270 28 275 55762 53069 35 269 35 269 35 265 34 264 53069 50653 38 270 41 268 38 266 37 259 50653 48488 41 266 46 265 47 264 44 258 48488 46517 54 267 54 262 55 261 55 261 46517 44702 64 264 58 260 58 259 61 260 44702 43016 60 257 62 258 61 261 61 259 43016 41439 56 255 61 257 64 262 63 259 41439 39956 59 255 58 258 63 259 64 258 39956 38562 59 248 53 259 58 257 62 260 38562 37232 52 248 51 257 52 258 58 263 37232 35909 48 252 49 254 49 260 58 262 35909 34564 45 256 47 255 46 261 55 263 34564 33195 45 258 46 258 43 262 50 267 33195 31792 42 256 45 258 40 262 46 270 31792 30348 34 250 41 257 39 257 40 272 30348 28867 30 251 36 254 34 259 33 272 28867 27353 29 255 33 249 28 263 25 268 27353 25809 28 254 32 257 24 251 20 266 25809 24238 26 250 31 265 23 256 21 261 24238 22634 29 257 31 266 23 265 26 247 22634 20990 33 260 31*265 26 261 26 246 20990 19335 34 264 28*265 26 259 24 253 19335 17751 31 273 20 266 21*263 23 262 17751 16309 25 277 19 267 16*273 21 269 16309 15014 17*270 18 269 15 276 20 272 15014 13847 11*268 17 269 15 280 18 275 13847 12791 8 249 17 270 15 283 16 280 12791 11830 8 236 16 270 15 285 15 288 11830 10960 8 232 16 270 15 288 14 297 10960 10175 7 230 16 271 15 289 14 303 10175 9464 7 227 16 271 15 291 14 306 9464 8813 7 227 15 271 15 292 14 309 8813 8225 7 226 15 271 15 293 14 311 8225 7724 6 226 15 271 14 294 13 313 7724 7334 6 227 14 271 14 294 12 313 7334 7062 6 226 14 272 14 294 10 312 7062 6896 6 225 13 271 13 294 8*312 6896 6800 5 226 12 272 11 295 5*315 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography