DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 74.6 - - 74.8 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 489 - - 172 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6060 - - 7762 - - 7758 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6560 - - 7950 - - 7349 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8160 - - 9862 - - 9858 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1028 - - 1372 - - 2113 - - 3617 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 579 - - 637 - - 450 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 276 - - 302 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1336 - - -2704 - - -3873 - - -9989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9496 - - 12567 - - 13732 - - 12133 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4381 - - -5508 - - -6463 - - -14194 ODpotential blCL - - - 12541 - - 15370 - - 16321 - - 16338 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 69 - - 36 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 74.6 - - 74.8 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.6 - - 26.2 - - 21.3 - - 19.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 71.7 - - 73.4 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 26.1 - - 21.3 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 489 - - 172 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6060 - - 7762 - - 7758 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97554 17 291 28 301 23 323 26 310 97554 90209 25 293 31 300 33 322 28 313 90209 84541 27 304 29 307 25 320 24 315 84541 79809 13 311 21 307 19 299 20 304 79809 75716 10 273 16 288 20 287 20 300 75716 72116 15 279 14 265 19 259 16 269 72116 68870 24 265 19 249 22 254 20 264 68870 65878 29 245 28 236 28 248 25 260 65878 63102 33 242 35 240 32 243 32 252 63102 60424 37 240 38 240 34 235 37 242 60424 57625 38 238 37 245 36 245 37 235 57625 54705 45 238 47 246 48 253 43 246 54705 51923 47 238 52 244 53 246 46 247 51923 49430 44 246 47 245 47 240 46 245 49430 47202 51 251 47 250 44 246 46 246 47202 45178 60 246 54 250 48 253 46 253 45178 43324 63 242 57 249 53 255 50 259 43324 41616 61 242 58 249 54 256 51 258 41616 40038 60 243 58 246 55 255 53 259 40038 38573 66 241 58 244 57 253 57 265 38573 37206 74 240 57 245 59 251 63 263 37206 35894 78 239 59 245 62 251 59 265 35894 34570 80 237 67 243 64 247 54 269 34570 33205 82 236 73 240 68 244 52 275 33205 31797 81 235 74 239 69 243 53 278 31797 30331 79 235 74 240 70 243 52 281 30331 28794 75 237 71 240 71 243 49 279 28794 27190 72 238 69 240 69 243 48 270 27190 25523 71 241 68 240 64 244 47 263 25523 23796 68 243 65 242 56 246 44 263 23796 22015 62 246 58 246 46 248 40 266 22015 20173 52 247 47 252 34 256 35 266 20173 18260 45 245 41 255 30 269 30 267 18260 16306 40 244 38 257 25 274 26 269 16306 14417 35 249 34 258 20 276 23 274 14417 12694 29 256 27 261 18 271 19 284 12694 11158 23 267 19*263 12*268 13 277 11158 9790 18 279 11*264 10*277 10 257 9790 8569 11*277 10 267 10 281 9 255 8569 7478 7*278 10 269 10 291 8 278 7478 6507 6 280 9 273 10 300 8 307 6507 5645 6 281 9 277 10 307 10 327 5645 4881 6 282 9 280 10 311 12 337 4881 4193 6 285 9 284 11 315 13 343 4193 3582 6 288 9 286 11 318 14 345 3582 3070 6 291 9 288 11 319 15 347 3070 2676 5 292 9 289 11 321 14 348 2676 2403 5 293 9 290 10 322 13 349 2403 2238 5 293 9 290 10 322 10*350 2238 2144 5 294 8 290 9 323 5*349 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography