DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.5 - - 90.8 - - 101.8 - - 103.1 - - 96.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 127 - - 411 - - 165 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 148 - - 1995 - - 8069 - - 8352 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit 2129 - - 3006 - - 8124 - - 7787 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 4095 - - 10169 - - 10452 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 535 - - 2731 - - 3072 - - 3871 - - 9858 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 275 - - 612 - - 457 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 24 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 167 - - 326 - - 309 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 2 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1090 - - -2696 - - -1712 - - -1920 - - -8628 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3338 - - 6791 - - 11881 - - 12372 - - 10774 sfcLCL ODpotential -6225 - - -6393 - - -3182 - - -3215 - - -11050 ODpotential blCL 8473 - - 10488 - - 13351 - - 13667 - - 13196 blCL maxRH 75 - - 77 - - 73 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 2280 - - 1970 - - 610 - - 750 - - 770 CAPE Temp@2m 80.5 - - 90.8 - - 101.8 - - 103.1 - - 96.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.5 - - 68.0 - - 56.7 - - 55.9 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.5 - - 89.7 - - 99.1 - - 101.6 - - 98.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.4 - - 66.9 - - 56.5 - - 55.8 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 127 - - 411 - - 165 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 148 - - 1995 - - 8069 - - 8352 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 26 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 14 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98737 51 101 45 112 35 107 39 076 52 079 98737 91352 48 093 49 101 44 107 44 096 44 096 91352 85665 45 099 44 095 46 102 46 102 43 104 85665 80963 36 101 33 095 40 090 41 099 40 105 80963 76921 31 102 33 097 34 090 35 100 34 103 76921 73340 32 103 33 097 29 095 28 106 28 103 73340 70098 30 104 31 098 24 100 23 108 22 102 70098 67127 28 103 26 102 22 101 19 110 19 097 67127 64379 26 105 22 114 18 101 18 098 17 092 64379 61729 27 102 16 128 13 112 13 093 17 086 61729 58986 21 074 20 124 14 122 10 102 11 089 58986 56161 16 043 14 087 16 109 12 117 7 106 56161 53482 10 356 14 040 11 069 12 068 10 082 53482 51085 6 355 11 008 9 001 13 359 14 022 51085 48944 8 037 9 026 4 004 7 333 11 338 48944 46992 20 029 18 037 9 033 5 338 9 335 46992 45187 28 019 23 010 16 004 12 005 10 009 45187 43503 34 000 28 347 24 351 18 352 16 356 43503 41919 38 350 30 337 28 341 19 346 18 341 41919 40427 33 344 27 332 28 338 20 341 20 333 40427 39017 28 339 23 335 24 338 21 338 22 331 39017 37655 27 344 23 348 21 345 22 338 22 329 37655 36271 27 344 26 355 23 350 22 341 21 326 36271 34838 26 345 27 353 26 350 22 348 20 329 34838 33358 21 341 27 349 25 352 19 347 20 339 33358 31818 18 325 24 350 25 352 18 350 18 350 31818 30204 19 317 19 353 25 357 18 355 18 356 30204 28518 15 333 19 000 18 002 13 000 16 008 28518 26762 10 025 11 005 12 005 9 346 13 005 26762 24945 8 051 1 051 9 326 11 353 9 357 24945 23070 9 025 5 029 6 339 9 018 8 032 23070 21130 8 018 6 016 10 020 12 037 12 051 21130 19120 1 153 5 328 12 015 15 028 16 051 19120 17076 3 009 7 007 6 053 17 026 15 048 17076 15104 15 011 11 032 9 073 12 032 11 044 15104 13304 19 009 11 017 9 065 7 035 9 022 13304 11695 20 007 12 003 7 023 5*353 11 335 11695 10257 14 003 14 354 8*346 8*310 13 323 10257 8968 7 337 14 341 9*330 8 309 11 316 8968 7815 8 331 14 328 9 325 8 308 10 309 7815 6785 8 344 10 343 9 324 8 307 10 301 6785 5872 8 000 6 347 9 324 8 307 10 296 5872 5060 8 016 2 343 9 324 8 309 10 292 5060 4329 6 046 2*201 9 326 8 310 10 289 4329 3678 4 082 2*183 9 327 8 311 10 287 3678 3133 4 156 2 175 9 328 8 311 10 286 3133 2713 7 176 2 163 8 329 8 311 9 285 2713 2423 6*182 2 158 8 330 8 311 8 283 2423 2247 4*184 2 153 8 331 7 311 6 280 2247 2146 3 182 2 150 7 331 7 312 4*275 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography