DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 95.5 - - - - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 374 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4607 - - 6765 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5242 - - 7026 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6707 - - 8865 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1607 - - 1805 - - - - - 151 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 557 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 274 - - - - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8632 - - -9425 - - - - - -16149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15340 - - 18291 - - - - - 18294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15167 - - -15295 - - - - - -24241 ODpotential blCL - - - 21874 - - 24160 - - - - - 26386 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 34 - - - - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 95.5 - - - - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 21.3 - - - - - 7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.2 - - 92.9 - - - - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 21.2 - - - - - 7.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 374 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4607 - - 6765 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96616 28 266 45 285 46 284 96616 89374 21 285 32 287 27 291 89374 83861 17 289 23 282 22 307 83861 79293 10 285 14 302 17 301 79293 75370 9 348 4 347 12 332 75370 71936 13 011 10 052 10 333 71936 68846 11 020 8 042 8 033 68846 66021 11 020 11 020 9 045 66021 63416 8 044 13 022 7 020 63416 60898 8 052 8 022 6 015 60898 58277 8 017 7 330 6 016 58277 55555 13 020 9 343 11 325 55555 52919 25 017 15 020 13 303 52919 50503 28 356 21 020 3 028 50503 48314 14 332 16 359 15 049 48314 46318 10 159 2 193 12 037 46318 44502 15 102 9 115 11 217 44502 42832 29 072 28 081 16 181 42832 41277 33 070 30 081 20 145 41277 39825 24 079 23 101 23 146 39825 38461 16 077 16 088 23 141 38461 37145 17 085 15 079 22 132 37145 35805 22 089 15 098 22 133 35805 34412 21 096 15 111 19 137 34412 32971 16 101 11 117 17 137 32971 31467 15 114 12 129 12 156 31467 29892 17 118 14 141 13 188 29892 28243 14 120 10 146 8 195 28243 26524 12 118 9 136 5 121 26524 24733 12 140 7 159 4 123 24733 22871 8 131 6 140 5 129 22871 20937 6 083 8 118 6 203 20937 18928 1 288 5 097 5 201 18928 16879 2 336 1 001 2 177 16879 14903 6 311 3 255 2 086 14903 13104 14 282 8 264 1 331 13104 11504 18 276 13 267 3 304 11504 10080 19 276 12*264 7 285 10080 8812 16 273 9*262 10 296 8812 7681 10*256 8 264 12 301 7681 6674 5*207 8 266 11 299 6674 5780 3 170 7 271 11 297 5780 4986 3 166 7 275 11 297 4986 4272 3 162 7 279 10 297 4272 3637 3 158 6 284 10 299 3637 3106 2 150 6 288 9 300 3106 2697 2 141 6 290 8 302 2697 2414 2 136 6 291 7 302 2414 2243 2 136 6 291 5*295 2243 2145 2 134 5 292 4*287 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography