DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 95.4 - - 94.7 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 377 - - 82 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2896 - - 6746 - - 6979 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3927 - - 7015 - - 6127 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4996 - - 8846 - - 9079 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2104 - - 2499 - - 2693 - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 389 - - 558 - - 340 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 206 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 127 - - 301 - - 292 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11257 - - -9803 - - -10311 - - -14718 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16254 - - 18650 - - 19390 - - 16864 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17397 - - -15407 - - -15564 - - -22102 ODpotential blCL - - - 22393 - - 24253 - - 24643 - - 24247 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 39 - - 35 - - 15 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 95.4 - - 94.7 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.8 - - 19.5 - - 15.6 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.9 - - 92.9 - - 93.8 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.7 - - 19.3 - - 15.4 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 377 - - 82 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2896 - - 6746 - - 6979 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96546 37 261 47 275 51 274 42 276 96546 89341 18 264 31 274 34 274 33 289 89341 83831 18 306 18 281 15 276 26 287 83831 79245 12 259 18 269 21 299 20 313 79245 75314 4 170 9 236 14 281 16 305 75314 71876 5 024 6 095 7 198 9 266 71876 68781 8 347 5 064 8 160 4 215 68781 65953 7 295 6 358 2 127 2 080 65953 63357 6 224 4 350 3 352 5 046 63357 60853 5 153 4 330 5 342 6 014 60853 58233 4 273 3 225 4 247 3 192 58233 55498 11 226 8 183 12 220 6 238 55498 52858 13 182 13 191 17 207 16 225 52858 50449 13 193 13 196 16 207 19 215 50449 48268 18 220 15 224 14 227 19 220 48268 46276 24 207 23 221 21 236 22 226 46276 44445 16 188 21 204 25 206 32 206 44445 42757 19 214 22 188 27 189 32 191 42757 41203 35 224 28 220 28 221 28 215 41203 39756 37 221 40 221 38 222 35 225 39756 38389 38 200 41 208 42 209 41 216 38389 37068 38 197 39 209 36 214 39 212 37068 35727 35 204 36 215 31 224 35 215 35727 34336 30 216 31 226 29 226 29 224 34336 32897 24 225 26 228 25 229 26 229 32897 31398 20 221 24 228 21 232 22 228 31398 29825 17 205 21 216 19 217 19 211 29825 28178 17 184 21 195 21 202 23 197 28178 26459 18 179 23 187 23 194 25 192 26459 24673 19 184 22 193 22 198 23 197 24673 22823 20 195 24 206 23 213 21 213 22823 20899 21 206 27 211 25 222 21 234 20899 18896 16 208 21 211 22 222 21 240 18896 16855 14 208 16 217 15 222 16 237 16855 14886 15 223 12 239 13 241 13 251 14886 13094 13 239 12 247 15 267 17 276 13094 11503 9 243 12 258 15 272 14 275 11503 10089 8 254 12*279 12*275 12 284 10089 8824 8 275 10*291 11*279 13 292 8824 7692 8 296 10 294 11 282 14 299 7692 6683 8 296 9 297 10 286 14 304 6683 5788 5*286 9 300 10 291 14 309 5788 4993 1*220 9 303 10 295 13 315 4993 4277 0 164 8 306 9 298 12 319 4277 3641 1 144 8 309 9 301 11 325 3641 3108 0 118 8 311 9 303 10 331 3108 2698 0 091 8 313 9 304 8 337 2698 2415 1 074 7 314 9 305 6 341 2415 2243 1 068 7 315 8 305 4*340 2243 2145 1 071 7 315 7 306 3*330 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography