DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.1 - - 98.6 - - 97.1 - - 90.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 402 - - 98 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3956 - - 7397 - - 6027 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4743 - - 7566 - - 5647 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6056 - - 9497 - - 8127 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2363 - - 2930 - - 4354 - - 5806 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 437 - - 588 - - 349 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 41 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 269 - - 280 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -2 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1238 - - -435 - - -1383 - - -5229 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7294 - - 9932 - - 9510 - - 7375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3629 - - -1411 - - -2910 - - -7581 ODpotential blCL - - - 9685 - - 10908 - - 11037 - - 9727 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 95 - - 89 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 2310 - - 1730 - - 1760 - - 2040 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.1 - - 98.6 - - 97.1 - - 90.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.1 - - 62.1 - - 62.5 - - 65.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.8 - - 95.9 - - 96.1 - - 91.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 62.0 - - 62.2 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 402 - - 98 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3956 - - 7397 - - 6027 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 80 - - 56 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98985 34 126 28 123 16 106 22 081 98985 91475 31 103 29 118 24 100 26 079 91475 85679 30 098 28 111 31 094 27 102 85679 80907 25 101 28 111 29 088 27 101 80907 76819 23 100 26 106 22 103 24 094 76819 73211 22 096 22 109 22 116 20 099 73211 69952 15 102 20 111 16 117 13 104 69952 66976 11 128 12 100 14 128 12 121 66976 64224 11 143 9 138 5 138 13 132 64224 61562 11 181 5 148 9 205 1 079 61562 58816 19 202 16 222 16 217 17 242 58816 56026 17 198 23 216 23 239 22 240 56026 53403 16 199 24 220 26 232 27 232 53403 51036 15 269 18 237 18 245 21 225 51036 48888 32 286 28 271 26 270 25 261 48888 46923 43 280 39 270 39 268 38 270 46923 45108 46 278 41 269 43 266 42 271 45108 43413 44 277 43 273 45 270 44 272 43413 41820 40 271 42 274 44 269 43 270 41820 40320 35 259 37 263 39 258 39 258 40320 38907 34 248 35 248 36 245 38 247 38907 37543 34 240 33 239 36 238 39 244 37543 36158 34 235 31 230 33 234 36 240 36158 34724 31 232 30 223 29 226 31 238 34724 33246 28 232 28 226 27 219 26 226 33246 31708 25 234 25 229 23 221 24 209 31708 30100 21 236 21 229 19 229 22 209 30100 28420 17 230 17 226 15 217 17 214 28420 26668 14 223 12 222 10 208 11 206 26668 24855 13 198 10 217 8 219 5 152 24855 22982 13 178 13 200 8 203 8 147 22982 21042 10 176 10 187 10 156 15 142 21042 19032 6 190 7 146 13 134 18 143 19032 16994 4 219 8 137 15 144 16 146 16994 15030 4 220 9 154 12 155 12 156 15030 13237 7 168 9 178 7 145 10 147 13237 11632 5 162 5 189 2 081 8 125 11632 10198 3 196 1*253 4 001 5 087 10198 8915 4 192 1*277 4*341 3 057 8915 7767 3 193 1 279 5*331 2 047 7767 6744 0*270 2 280 5 316 2 355 6744 5838 1*210 2 274 5 292 4 285 5838 5032 2 218 3 272 6 276 8 266 5032 4307 3 224 3 267 7 268 11 259 4307 3663 3 228 4 265 7 265 13 257 3663 3123 3 230 4 263 8 264 13 257 3123 2707 3 233 4 260 8 263 13 257 2707 2421 3 236 4 259 7 262 11 258 2421 2246 3 238 4 259 7 262 9*259 2246 2146 3 237 4 258 7 262 6*259 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography