DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 66.2 - - 64.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 195 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2162 - - 4492 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3099 - - 4941 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4262 - - 6592 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1750 - - 1370 - - 5700 - - 478 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 391 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 256 - - 004 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -505 - - -1407 - - -5609 - - -2563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4767 - - 7999 - - 7753 - - 4707 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2008 - - -6872 - - -11219 - - -8190 ODpotential blCL - - - 6270 - - 13464 - - 13363 - - 10333 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 77 - - 59 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 66.2 - - 64.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 38.6 - - 37.8 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 64.7 - - 64.6 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 38.4 - - 37.6 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 195 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2162 - - 4492 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96468 29 259 31 256 26 255 32 274 96468 89215 20 286 14 271 18 280 20 278 89215 83730 7 272 13 293 14 288 11 303 83730 79189 3 035 14 301 12 297 15 330 79189 75260 4 313 12 324 4 343 10 270 75260 71793 8 285 12 270 8 345 1 305 71793 68653 13 248 12 276 11 240 13 235 68653 65775 13 250 20 275 17 277 17 242 65775 63107 37 263 32 253 28 275 24 258 63107 60500 54 251 48 242 42 255 41 255 60500 57754 61 245 64 239 60 243 56 249 57754 54886 64 248 68 239 68 241 66 245 54886 52128 69 249 68 245 69 242 65 245 52128 49639 77 251 77 252 68 248 66 251 49639 47418 85 252 83 252 78 256 73 255 47418 45421 93 246 92 250 94 253 91 249 45421 43617 101 241 99 245 99 246 95 247 43617 41970 103 238 104 241 98 245 96 248 41970 40444 102 238 101 241 101 247 100 249 40444 39012 97 241 99 242 102 247 100 249 39012 37656 97 242 98 244 99 247 98 250 37656 36342 97 243 97 245 95 247 94 250 36342 35005 95 245 94 246 95 250 89 249 35005 33618 90 245 91 249 90 250 86 250 33618 32183 83 244 87 253 87 250 83 249 32183 30687 76 246 84 255 83 253 80 247 30687 29123 72 251 77 254 76 252 70 245 29123 27498 70 253 69 254 68 250 66 246 27498 25807 66 251 68 251 66 248 68 246 25807 24049 65 244 68 244 66 247 67 246 24049 22225 66 243 69 246 65 251 61 251 22225 20334 64 250 63 253 58 256 51 258 20334 18371 58 261 52 261 46 262 41 256 18371 16372 47 265 34 262 32 255 33 245 16372 14445 36 254 28 250 28 245 31 240 14445 12693 35 244 33 246 28 249 25 248 12693 11139 32 242 31 247 27 254 17 257 11139 9759 25 241 22 245 21 246 15 248 9759 8532 20 236 16 236 15 221 15 214 8532 7443 17 234 12*234 10 221 13 203 7443 6475 14 229 5*240 4 236 8 221 6475 5619 9 216 4 244 1 295 4 230 5619 4858 5*183 4 254 3 348 0 167 4858 4175 3*162 3 259 3 356 3 041 4175 3568 3 163 3 267 4 000 6 030 3568 3061 2 165 3 270 4 000 9 024 3061 2670 2 165 3 276 5 002 10 021 2670 2400 2 168 2 279 5 002 9 024 2400 2237 2 168 2 279 5*002 5 034 2237 2143 2 167 2 283 4*004 2*041 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography