DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 86.1 - - 96.0 - - 101.6 - - 102.1 - - 96.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 143 - - 454 - - 491 - - 215 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3017 - - 5123 - - 7290 - - 7902 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit 3697 - - 5801 - - 7572 - - 7620 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top 5117 - - 7223 - - 9390 - - 10002 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1261 - - 1616 - - 1985 - - 2886 - - 7928 Hgt.Variab. W* 309 - - 542 - - 626 - - 489 - - 6 W* B/S 21 - - 15 - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 334 - - 320 - - 328 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -672 - - -1395 - - -524 - - -381 - - -7861 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5789 - - 8619 - - 9915 - - 10383 - - 10007 sfcLCL ODpotential -4223 - - -3874 - - -2207 - - -1592 - - -10525 ODpotential blCL 9340 - - 11097 - - 11597 - - 11594 - - 12671 blCL maxRH 81 - - 77 - - 74 - - 76 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 1730 - - 1990 - - 2730 - - 2490 - - 1260 CAPE Temp@2m 86.1 - - 96.0 - - 101.6 - - 102.1 - - 96.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.6 - - 65.2 - - 65.0 - - 63.6 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 84.7 - - 93.0 - - 98.5 - - 100.3 - - 97.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.6 - - 65.1 - - 65.0 - - 63.6 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 143 - - 454 - - 491 - - 215 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3017 - - 5123 - - 7290 - - 7902 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 8 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99100 40 112 39 109 38 102 36 102 35 099 99100 91616 42 098 38 099 43 118 35 107 34 097 91616 85840 36 101 36 106 38 104 34 117 33 096 85840 81042 35 097 32 099 33 102 33 103 36 094 81042 76937 34 099 26 099 28 107 31 097 34 098 76937 73336 32 105 27 117 27 104 29 087 30 096 73336 70091 24 099 27 118 24 105 22 079 26 089 70091 67119 18 105 25 116 21 112 16 095 20 081 67119 64371 17 115 23 103 15 123 13 105 13 094 64371 61713 13 092 20 092 13 108 11 107 12 109 61713 58953 11 059 12 096 9 086 12 083 12 082 58953 56127 8 036 7 100 8 100 8 087 11 055 56127 53475 5 045 6 026 4 068 3 085 8 041 53475 51108 1 027 6 016 5 033 2 013 7 013 51108 48979 1 033 5 037 5 045 4 067 5 015 48979 47031 6 054 9 046 10 059 8 082 6 069 47031 45229 13 033 14 027 13 046 12 075 13 053 45229 43548 16 025 14 016 13 036 14 058 17 030 43548 41969 15 014 13 008 10 024 13 042 15 015 41969 40479 10 343 12 350 10 007 11 023 13 007 40479 39069 9 329 10 346 6 354 11 358 10 016 39069 37704 9 354 7 353 5 333 9 339 4 345 37704 36318 8 021 5 336 6 328 7 358 2 050 36318 34883 9 027 5 353 6 348 3 047 9 182 34883 33403 10 029 6 049 3 062 6 157 14 177 33403 31863 9 054 9 094 7 131 8 150 14 154 31863 30251 15 077 12 101 9 113 8 103 14 140 30251 28567 15 101 11 125 9 109 10 084 13 124 28567 26812 18 139 16 144 14 134 10 107 15 128 26812 24990 20 143 17 142 17 135 14 119 18 136 24990 23108 20 133 14 129 16 123 16 119 22 134 23108 21164 24 129 17 128 16 117 17 109 22 117 21164 19153 24 132 20 133 19 127 16 103 19 099 19153 17109 20 125 20 130 18 121 17 105 16 102 17109 15132 15 108 15 108 15 111 16 108 13 113 15132 13324 16 093 16 105 14 107 12 105 8 095 13324 11707 20 080 13 112 11 101 6 095 7 048 11707 10264 22 071 8 097 3*066 5*333 7 334 10264 8973 18 052 7 039 6*322 8*326 11 308 8973 7818 14 016 6*001 7 320 9 326 12 305 7818 6788 10 335 6*339 7 319 10 326 11 310 6788 5873 5*317 6 335 8 318 10 327 10 318 5873 5061 3*026 6 333 8 319 11 328 10 327 5061 4329 3 039 7 333 8 320 11 329 10 335 4329 3679 3 039 7 333 9 320 11 330 10 342 3679 3134 3 041 7 333 9 321 11 331 10 347 3134 2713 2 041 7 333 9 322 11 331 10 351 2713 2424 2 042 7 334 8 321 11 332 9 352 2424 2247 2 041 6 333 8 322 10 332 7 354 2247 2146 2 044 6 334 8 322 10 333 4*355 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography