DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.2 - - 103.9 - - - - - 94.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 484 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5896 - - 9141 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6404 - - 9072 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7996 - - 11241 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1983 - - 2566 - - - - - 8123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 562 - - 672 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 294 - - - - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7972 - - -5679 - - - - - -12311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15969 - - 16921 - - - - - 14458 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11588 - - -8246 - - - - - -16187 ODpotential blCL - - - 19584 - - 19487 - - - - - 18333 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 69 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.2 - - 103.9 - - - - - 94.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 35.7 - - - - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.4 - - 100.9 - - - - - 96.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 35.7 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 484 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5896 - - 9141 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98460 16 116 20 110 20 072 98460 91011 21 105 21 125 17 089 91011 85289 25 103 20 103 20 100 85289 80548 19 113 22 072 19 113 80548 76487 12 108 13 087 20 107 76487 72910 15 116 14 123 15 078 72910 69671 16 108 17 115 12 072 69671 66700 9 105 15 106 6 108 66700 63970 6 078 11 148 4 088 63970 61358 6 298 5 158 7 162 61358 58644 14 227 10 244 6 152 58644 55835 19 201 21 211 11 218 55835 53170 16 231 24 233 16 260 53170 50778 39 240 38 235 42 247 50778 48639 54 234 51 236 49 241 48639 46694 62 232 57 234 51 239 46694 44898 64 229 55 232 54 234 44898 43222 64 226 48 233 54 231 43222 41648 62 224 43 235 49 229 41648 40164 58 224 40 233 44 228 40164 38763 48 231 35 233 41 225 38763 37411 36 236 30 237 35 220 37411 36040 32 236 24 233 26 218 36040 34620 28 235 19 222 23 226 34620 33150 24 232 17 230 26 223 33150 31620 17 237 17 233 26 229 31620 30021 15 243 15 224 20 237 30021 28356 9 228 10 217 13 237 28356 26625 6 225 6 207 8 245 26625 24827 2 132 4 196 7 249 24827 22966 2 099 6 178 2 187 22966 21036 3 120 7 154 1 140 21036 19031 5 143 6 215 4 268 19031 16989 5 329 5 257 6 275 16989 15017 13 302 8 284 6 323 15017 13217 14 299 8 292 6 329 13217 11614 12 298 8*286 4 268 11614 10185 11 291 9*286 6 276 10185 8906 8*277 9 287 9 297 8906 7762 7*274 9 289 11 308 7762 6743 7 275 10 292 13 314 6743 5837 7 277 10 294 14 319 5837 5032 7 280 10 296 15 322 5032 4308 6 284 10 298 16 324 4308 3664 6 287 10 299 17 326 3664 3124 6 290 10 301 17 327 3124 2707 6 291 10 301 16 328 2707 2420 5 294 10 302 13 329 2420 2246 5 295 10 302 10*328 2246 2146 5 295 9 302 6*326 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography