DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 79.4 - - 72.1 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 89 - - -12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 44 - - 2651 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 3140 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2144 - - 4751 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1034 - - 2601 - - 3549 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 256 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 151 - - 331 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 6 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5042 - - -8094 - - -8870 - - -6761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7186 - - 12846 - - 11014 - - 8906 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11782 - - -12761 - - -14584 - - -14499 ODpotential blCL - - - 13926 - - 17512 - - 16728 - - 16643 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 87 - - 78 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 79.4 - - 72.1 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 30.6 - - 31.8 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 78.6 - - 75.1 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 30.0 - - 31.2 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 89 - - -12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 44 - - 2651 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 47 - - 14 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96052 35 308 24 275 20 286 25 262 96052 89040 19 292 15 301 15 276 17 287 89040 83600 12 279 14 309 13 307 9 325 83600 79030 6 307 10 302 14 315 12 353 79030 75089 9 281 13 323 15 325 17 352 75089 71631 15 276 16 308 17 308 20 335 71631 68526 16 291 15 302 16 299 21 313 68526 65673 18 313 17 309 16 302 22 304 65673 63021 21 312 23 313 19 313 25 305 63021 60449 22 307 27 307 23 316 29 306 60449 57771 24 306 29 306 27 311 31 299 57771 54996 32 305 34 311 33 302 36 286 54996 52342 39 301 43 308 40 301 42 287 52342 49944 47 299 50 301 47 292 50 285 49944 47779 51 293 52 293 54 283 60 280 47779 45799 56 289 57 287 62 278 68 275 45799 43980 62 283 61 282 68 275 78 273 43980 42299 68 276 64 274 76 272 85 271 42299 40729 70 271 70 272 83 269 84 271 40729 39255 58 266 72 271 86 267 84 270 39255 37866 46 258 69 267 81 266 81 269 37866 36527 45 255 61 260 69 264 74 267 36527 35176 42 253 54 255 65 260 68 265 35176 33784 33 245 51 253 63 259 64 264 33784 32350 30 236 46 253 54 256 60 264 32350 30859 31 229 39 248 47 249 51 261 30859 29304 26 226 34 239 44 248 42 252 29304 27689 25 223 35 237 36 250 40 246 27689 26014 23 208 31 234 27 241 31 245 26014 24273 21 205 22 226 28 233 27 236 24273 22461 22 210 18 217 31 243 26 236 22461 20573 20 202 18 225 24 251 17 241 20573 18606 17 197 18 215 16 249 11 234 18606 16597 13 193 15 208 12 244 11 232 16597 14658 7 185 13 194 10 208 13 226 14658 12892 7 156 12 186 11 191 15 222 12892 11319 9 165 13 190 12 197 16 214 11319 9919 10 173 13 196 14 200 16 202 9919 8670 9 179 13 197 14 200 14 196 8670 7557 9 180 11 193 12 199 11 201 7557 6566 9 174 9 192 8 203 7 207 6566 5689 11 167 7 192 4 207 4 216 5689 4912 13 164 6*181 2 243 3 245 4912 4214 17 157 5*161 3 289 4 284 4214 3594 21 145 4 156 5 311 5 312 3594 3077 21 142 4 151 6 320 6 335 3077 2679 16 143 3 145 7 327 7 353 2679 2405 12 145 3 140 8 330 6 002 2405 2238 9 146 3 140 7 331 3*007 2238 2144 6*149 2 138 5*331 0*337 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography