DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 84.8 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 494 - - 538 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5320 - - 6779 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5987 - - 7194 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7420 - - 8879 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1326 - - 1660 - - - - - 6312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 564 - - 629 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 18 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 250 - - - - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -11 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5958 - - -4838 - - - - - -10049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13379 - - 13717 - - - - - 12195 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11685 - - -9863 - - - - - -16265 ODpotential blCL - - - 19105 - - 18742 - - - - - 18410 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 33 - - - - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 84.8 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 31.5 - - - - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.7 - - 81.9 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.8 - - 31.4 - - - - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 494 - - 538 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5320 - - 6779 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98207 17 080 15 074 12 065 98207 90824 8 127 8 070 12 061 90824 85136 14 121 4 104 13 057 85136 80397 22 091 10 120 14 053 80397 76332 15 067 10 091 11 059 76332 72764 10 100 10 082 11 089 72764 69544 14 087 12 102 8 077 69544 66587 6 028 4 124 5 076 66587 63854 2 013 5 200 2 348 63854 61221 8 220 7 217 7 217 61221 58461 29 225 19 241 17 232 58461 55572 35 248 29 245 28 244 55572 52803 41 254 34 243 33 248 52803 50311 47 248 40 248 38 253 50311 48078 49 248 46 251 41 257 48078 46055 57 255 51 256 44 258 46055 44207 73 258 62 257 46 258 44207 42504 85 255 73 254 48 258 42504 40924 92 252 76 252 49 257 40924 39447 93 251 76 251 49 256 39447 38061 90 249 72 251 47 254 38061 36726 87 247 67 251 47 255 36726 35375 81 246 62 252 48 255 35375 33980 67 248 59 255 47 254 33980 32541 61 250 57 258 44 255 32541 31044 60 251 53 260 40 259 31044 29476 59 250 48 262 38 264 29476 27839 57 249 44 268 37 269 27839 26131 55 251 42 273 34 273 26131 24356 52 255 42 273 32 276 24356 22517 48 258 42 264 32 271 22517 20609 42 257 40 254 34 267 20609 18628 37 254 40 252 34 267 18628 16610 36 244 39 248 32 267 16610 14667 39 235 35 239 27 261 14667 12900 39 229 33 235 23 252 12900 11328 38 228 29 230 19 236 11328 9931 34 224 23*225 17 219 9931 8686 27 215 19*231 12 224 8686 7577 17*213 18 235 11 249 7577 6589 15*216 18 239 13 263 6589 5713 14 220 18 251 14 270 5713 4934 13 233 19 255 15 276 4934 4234 13 237 19 257 16 280 4234 3611 13 241 19 260 17 283 3611 3089 12 244 19 261 17 286 3089 2687 12 246 18 263 16 287 2687 2410 12 248 18 263 14 288 2410 2241 11 248 17 264 11*288 2241 2145 10 249 15 264 6*288 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography