DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.9 - - 74.8 - - 81.0 - - 81.0 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 428 - - 464 - - 145 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 5444 - - 7706 - - 6963 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 6030 - - 7882 - - 6616 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2406 - - 7544 - - 9806 - - 9063 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 927 - - 1952 - - 1848 - - 2396 - - 255 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 541 - - 625 - - 410 - - 4 W* B/S 11 - - 29 - - 49 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 136 - - 066 - - 296 - - 300 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -6 - - -9 - - -3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7940 - - -5895 - - -6595 - - -7956 - - -11571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10346 - - 13439 - - 16402 - - 17020 - - 13715 sfcLCL ODpotential -13408 - - -9619 - - -10028 - - -11786 - - -17443 ODpotential blCL 15814 - - 17163 - - 19834 - - 20849 - - 19587 blCL maxRH 30 - - 24 - - 20 - - 22 - - 18 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.9 - - 74.8 - - 81.0 - - 81.0 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.3 - - 22.8 - - 15.0 - - 12.4 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.2 - - 72.1 - - 78.1 - - 79.7 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 22.7 - - 14.9 - - 12.3 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 428 - - 464 - - 145 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 5444 - - 7706 - - 6963 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97477 29 311 29 295 34 295 34 295 40 306 97477 90169 28 313 25 289 31 293 25 306 21 315 90169 84507 24 307 21 291 22 282 20 292 16 297 84507 79768 18 296 11 276 10 239 17 257 23 276 79768 75690 17 282 13 259 9 242 17 242 27 261 75690 72107 22 270 24 262 18 255 22 245 27 252 72107 68863 31 257 29 252 28 248 28 253 26 251 68863 65872 33 244 32 244 36 244 37 253 34 254 65872 63102 32 237 34 240 40 239 43 246 41 249 63102 60431 34 231 34 233 38 235 44 234 40 240 60431 57646 33 231 33 237 34 237 37 232 37 238 57646 54756 34 247 34 251 34 248 32 242 35 241 54756 51997 35 251 38 255 37 255 36 252 37 248 51997 49517 37 247 41 248 41 254 40 256 42 253 49517 47298 35 248 39 245 42 256 41 261 42 258 47298 45290 34 258 34 246 41 252 45 262 45 264 45290 43462 39 264 32 258 38 255 45 266 48 268 43462 41790 43 258 36 265 39 265 44 269 49 272 41790 40248 39 251 39 262 38 264 40 278 48 276 40248 38815 35 256 34 264 26 270 35 286 47 275 38815 37468 35 266 34 271 28 288 34 291 43 274 37468 36166 32 270 34 269 29 278 32 291 39 281 36166 34847 28 281 27 270 28 273 29 286 38 288 34847 33484 31 286 20 287 20 279 24 285 35 290 33484 32076 36 280 18 303 15 291 20 290 30 293 32076 30610 39 276 17 307 15 301 19 298 23 299 30610 29075 37 278 16 308 15 305 19 302 20 303 29075 27471 35 285 15 314 14 308 18 300 21 302 27471 25800 34 290 16 315 13 313 16 295 20 298 25800 24065 33 292 19 310 13 318 13 296 13 298 24065 22266 30 297 21 303 12 312 11 294 8 302 22266 20396 26 298 22 299 15 301 12 280 7 266 20396 18449 22 305 21 303 17 298 12 284 11 258 18449 16466 17 313 17 305 14 298 12 283 10 265 16466 14557 13 317 13 296 11 293 11 268 9 263 14557 12816 10 318 9 291 10 280 9 251 10 252 12816 11265 8 313 6 294 7 262 8 229 13 231 11265 9881 5 307 3 323 3*253 4*240 13 229 9881 8647 2 048 3*046 2*259 4*259 12 243 8647 7543 8 077 4*069 2 270 4 270 10 256 7543 6561 10 072 4 071 2 281 4 288 8 272 6561 5689 11 063 4 070 2 292 4 300 7 292 5689 4915 10 056 4 068 2 299 5 306 7 313 4915 4219 10 054 3 067 3 306 5 311 7 330 4219 3600 8 057 3 062 3 309 6 315 8 343 3600 3082 7 069 3 060 3 313 6 316 9 352 3082 2683 5*089 3 057 3 315 6 318 10 358 2683 2407 3*125 3 055 3 316 6 319 10 001 2407 2240 2 142 3 054 3 316 5 320 8 001 2240 2144 1 148 3 054 3 317 5 320 5*358 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography