DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 87.6 - - 90.6 - - 89.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 67 - - 52 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5028 - - 1721 - - 1600 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5486 - - 2541 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7128 - - 3821 - - 3700 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3320 - - 5820 - - 7237 - - 9496 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 445 - - 232 - - 192 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 209 - - 141 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -17 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -58 - - -1851 - - -3350 - - -7060 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7187 - - 5672 - - 7050 - - 9207 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1359 - - -4010 - - -5023 - - -8906 ODpotential blCL - - - 8487 - - 7831 - - 8723 - - 11052 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 88 - - 77 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 1420 - - 2420 - - 2020 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 87.6 - - 90.6 - - 89.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.1 - - 69.6 - - 66.7 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.7 - - 87.0 - - 90.0 - - 91.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 68.3 - - 66.0 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 67 - - 52 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5028 - - 1721 - - 1600 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 53 - - 7 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98878 20 091 20 115 12 108 17 082 98878 91437 20 113 19 110 18 092 22 092 91437 85676 23 109 21 124 19 100 21 098 85676 80912 20 109 24 113 23 111 19 108 80912 76820 21 104 21 103 26 109 23 114 76820 73216 18 106 20 099 25 103 20 111 73216 69968 15 094 18 093 18 090 17 111 69968 66989 13 105 15 108 13 103 17 083 66989 64242 7 123 8 106 5 094 11 058 64242 61594 14 169 10 198 9 235 5 015 61594 58855 10 206 11 209 15 219 11 240 58855 56055 22 206 21 228 19 233 18 242 56055 53414 28 222 31 231 25 239 25 240 53414 51046 37 248 35 236 33 239 32 237 51046 48911 46 255 40 247 38 253 32 247 48911 46953 49 252 46 249 42 256 37 260 46953 45139 47 250 46 245 44 253 42 264 45139 43447 45 249 44 243 46 249 45 263 43447 41857 44 245 44 242 46 248 46 258 41857 40357 43 243 43 242 47 249 47 256 40357 38939 40 239 42 242 44 248 47 255 38939 37574 36 235 38 240 40 245 43 250 37574 36191 34 233 35 234 37 240 37 242 36191 34759 34 237 33 229 35 236 33 239 34759 33278 33 237 31 228 32 231 29 238 33278 31735 32 231 30 222 30 224 28 231 31735 30117 31 230 29 223 28 226 28 227 30117 28430 27 236 25 234 22 232 21 226 28430 26677 22 241 20 234 16 221 21 212 26677 24857 17 226 17 223 15 213 23 214 24857 22977 20 217 19 226 17 223 20 221 22977 21032 23 220 22 228 17 228 15 225 21032 19014 21 227 18 232 15 230 13 218 19014 16961 17 225 12 232 12 227 12 225 16961 14984 14 213 13 224 12 218 10 215 14984 13189 14 200 10 220 11 237 7 183 13189 11594 14 187 8 220 11 263 1 221 11594 10170 12 177 8 219 10 264 3 242 10170 8893 10 182 8 216 10 258 4 246 8893 7752 8*194 7 214 9 251 6 250 7752 6733 8*195 7 211 8 238 7 251 6733 5829 8 195 8 208 7 215 9 252 5829 5026 8 194 8 206 6 190 10 252 5026 4303 7 192 8*205 7*172 11 252 4303 3660 7 191 8*207 7*156 11 252 3660 3121 7 188 8 208 8 142 11 251 3121 2706 6 186 8 209 8 137 11 249 2706 2420 6 185 8 212 8 136 9 244 2420 2245 6 184 7 212 8 135 7*237 2245 2146 5 184 6 213 7 133 4*231 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography