DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.3 - - 61.1 - - - - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 374 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3888 - - 5300 - - - - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4685 - - 5866 - - - - - 2126 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5988 - - 7400 - - - - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1628 - - 1019 - - - - - 3595 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 514 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 257 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2331 - - -1964 - - - - - -6454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8319 - - 9365 - - - - - 8597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8088 - - -6417 - - - - - -12879 ODpotential blCL - - - 14076 - - 13817 - - - - - 15022 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 63 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.3 - - 61.1 - - - - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.2 - - 27.2 - - - - - 22.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 58.9 - - - - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 27.0 - - - - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 374 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3888 - - 5300 - - - - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 15 164 8 135 7 085 96488 89381 8 124 11 153 3 269 89381 83865 2 114 8 164 2 274 83865 79257 1 209 3 192 7 011 79257 75271 6 274 6 254 6 326 75271 71736 3 189 5 260 6 278 71736 68530 14 280 9 267 7 254 68530 65569 26 246 14 280 8 283 65569 62807 28 264 29 275 22 266 62807 60136 37 260 35 259 34 251 60136 57359 38 256 35 257 39 256 57359 54484 43 268 46 264 51 267 54484 51745 62 272 59 268 62 270 51745 49275 80 270 72 274 74 270 49275 47059 92 260 92 271 87 268 47059 45053 88 259 102 261 98 265 45053 43225 91 272 100 261 103 262 43225 41546 119 283 111 275 108 263 41546 39995 138 278 138 277 121 265 39995 38546 139 274 145 271 134 264 38546 37182 128 271 146 269 141 260 37182 35862 124 268 141 267 142 258 35862 34519 122 266 136 268 140 259 34519 33124 122 264 135 269 137 261 33124 31683 123 263 133 268 135 263 31683 30184 122 262 130 263 132 264 30184 28620 117 262 124 259 125 263 28620 26996 112 264 118 261 117 262 26996 25312 105 265 110 265 110 262 25312 23570 95 262 100 262 99 264 23570 21778 93 258 94 260 85 265 21778 19929 89 263 80 266 76 267 19929 18013 72 272 63 273 70 271 18013 16064 58 275 56 275 62 275 16064 14189 49 271 50 275 51 278 14189 12484 43 268 43 275 42 275 12484 10966 36 269 35 274 33 270 10966 9615 28 272 29 271 27 262 9615 8413 23 270 22*266 20 247 8413 7344 19 263 16*257 17 232 7344 6395 14*261 16 257 15 236 6395 5556 12*263 16 257 15 244 5556 4811 12 266 16 257 16 251 4811 4141 11 269 16 257 17 254 4141 3545 11 271 16 257 17 256 3545 3046 11 273 15 257 17 257 3046 2662 10 274 15 257 15 258 2662 2396 10 275 14 257 12 258 2396 2235 9 276 14 257 9*255 2235 2143 8 276 12 257 5*247 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography