DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 99.4 - - - - - 92.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 379 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4867 - - 6188 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5505 - - 6575 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6967 - - 8288 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1492 - - 2517 - - - - - 6303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 491 - - 544 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 330 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1756 - - -2382 - - - - - -5792 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8724 - - 10670 - - - - - 7939 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4210 - - -4120 - - - - - -8442 ODpotential blCL - - - 11177 - - 12408 - - - - - 10588 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 76 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 850 - - 920 - - - - - 1910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 99.4 - - - - - 92.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.7 - - 59.8 - - - - - 65.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.3 - - 96.8 - - - - - 93.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 59.7 - - - - - 65.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 379 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4867 - - 6188 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 6 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98928 34 108 28 122 25 104 98928 91427 29 111 33 114 25 082 91427 85682 25 107 32 115 27 084 85682 80937 25 102 27 116 24 089 80937 76840 20 103 23 104 23 091 76840 73212 17 106 19 101 19 092 73212 69931 20 115 18 124 17 089 69931 66941 20 120 18 119 13 067 66941 64205 14 105 16 099 10 074 64205 61588 9 072 15 084 11 089 61588 58888 10 077 12 075 11 078 58888 56121 11 118 5 131 5 045 56121 53509 10 119 7 162 5 203 53509 51164 6 109 5 152 3 175 51164 49050 7 088 5 129 4 353 49050 47111 7 062 4 058 5 355 47111 45311 10 037 8 035 10 005 45311 43631 15 024 13 032 15 006 43631 42053 17 020 15 030 17 015 42053 40564 17 021 16 034 17 026 40564 39153 15 015 15 031 16 036 39153 37784 13 009 14 023 14 040 37784 36393 11 010 13 025 12 035 36393 34951 8 014 11 027 8 035 34951 33464 6 000 8 020 4 045 33464 31917 3 092 8 017 5 052 31917 30296 10 111 6 077 6 071 30296 28605 11 112 8 114 8 089 28605 26846 8 122 8 126 9 088 26846 25022 8 118 9 133 8 117 25022 23138 10 119 8 130 8 136 23138 21185 10 124 7 116 8 123 21185 19160 10 119 8 110 8 084 19160 17101 9 109 9 112 9 075 17101 15116 7 100 9 114 7 089 15116 13306 6 098 7 103 7 110 13306 11688 7 099 6 091 7 110 11688 10242 7 094 5 093 6 095 10242 8951 6 100 2*023 6 037 8951 7798 1*078 5*331 7 012 7798 6770 5*299 6 330 8 358 6770 5858 6 298 6 329 9 347 5858 5049 6 299 6 328 10 336 5049 4320 6 300 7 329 12 327 4320 3672 6 301 7 331 12 322 3672 3129 6 301 7 330 13 319 3129 2711 6 302 7 331 12 318 2711 2422 6 303 7 331 11 316 2422 2246 6 303 6 331 9*314 2246 2146 6 304 6 333 5*312 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography