DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 102.5 - - - - - 93.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 437 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4300 - - 7132 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5090 - - 7391 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6400 - - 9232 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1497 - - 4579 - - - - - 3317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 483 - - 597 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 55 - - 24 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 300 - - - - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3275 - - -2594 - - - - - -8751 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9675 - - 11827 - - - - - 10898 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5904 - - -4207 - - - - - -12098 ODpotential blCL - - - 12304 - - 13439 - - - - - 14244 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 77 - - - - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 1110 - - 1200 - - - - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 102.5 - - - - - 93.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 57.7 - - - - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.1 - - 99.5 - - - - - 95.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 57.6 - - - - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 437 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4300 - - 7132 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99026 27 112 24 104 28 101 99026 91572 26 120 24 110 26 082 91572 85830 30 108 30 109 25 099 85830 81060 27 092 33 102 30 106 81060 76954 22 085 32 096 28 098 76954 73335 18 100 20 089 22 091 73335 70058 18 107 13 109 16 084 70058 67065 17 110 13 120 17 083 67065 64310 17 112 15 127 14 065 64310 61653 13 124 15 129 6 067 61653 58904 16 141 14 146 4 157 58904 56088 8 175 7 158 8 203 56088 53442 9 205 8 217 9 217 53442 51077 17 222 17 233 11 224 51077 48944 24 228 23 237 16 255 48944 46991 27 226 27 225 23 259 46991 45183 30 225 31 224 27 251 45183 43496 31 226 34 226 28 244 43496 41913 29 225 32 224 29 234 41913 40422 27 220 30 218 28 224 40422 39014 27 212 30 212 29 221 39014 37653 28 202 30 207 30 215 37653 36271 30 202 32 208 31 212 36271 34840 31 204 30 214 31 210 34840 33363 30 212 24 224 31 211 33363 31827 26 216 22 219 28 211 31827 30221 20 218 20 209 22 210 30221 28547 22 216 16 215 17 215 28547 26803 21 210 17 218 11 220 26803 24993 21 201 18 215 9 206 24993 23120 18 197 15 209 10 200 23120 21179 11 197 12 187 9 179 21179 19164 7 196 8 164 11 156 19164 17111 7 145 6 133 16 143 17111 15131 7 128 6 117 18 131 15131 13322 6 080 8 119 16 131 13322 11704 7 081 9 131 11 132 11704 10257 7 088 7*139 6 137 10257 8963 7 113 2*222 1 294 8963 7807 7 121 3 279 7 317 7807 6777 2*120 4 288 10 321 6777 5864 0*352 5 297 11 325 5864 5053 1 333 5 301 12 331 5053 4323 1 337 6 306 13 337 4323 3674 2 340 6 309 14 341 3674 3130 2 347 6 313 14 343 3130 2711 2 347 6 313 13 345 2711 2422 2 350 6 315 12 346 2422 2246 2 349 6 315 9*345 2246 2146 2 352 6 316 5*342 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography