DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.9 - - 103.9 - - - - - 97.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 467 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5061 - - 7523 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5727 - - 7736 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7161 - - 9623 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1617 - - 2870 - - - - - 6693 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 528 - - 621 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 339 - - - - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3541 - - -2758 - - - - - -9519 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10703 - - 12382 - - - - - 11666 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5937 - - -4300 - - - - - -12370 ODpotential blCL - - - 13098 - - 13923 - - - - - 14516 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 61 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 630 - - 950 - - - - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.9 - - 103.9 - - - - - 97.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.2 - - 56.6 - - - - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.1 - - 100.8 - - - - - 99.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 56.6 - - - - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 467 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5061 - - 7523 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99114 41 106 36 112 39 091 99114 91633 42 101 38 107 35 098 91633 85874 40 095 44 115 35 101 85874 81095 34 093 39 103 32 096 81095 76990 29 099 33 089 29 096 76990 73383 25 111 26 085 32 094 73383 70131 22 116 19 101 28 085 70131 67153 18 117 17 116 21 081 67153 64402 22 106 20 122 17 096 64402 61742 23 105 19 120 16 109 61742 58982 21 112 16 122 13 096 58982 56159 16 110 13 125 13 092 56159 53513 14 127 9 134 11 093 53513 51146 20 111 13 144 3 093 51146 49010 23 061 21 085 5 127 49010 47055 21 033 23 053 17 078 47055 45248 18 017 23 033 20 049 45248 43565 17 354 20 018 21 031 43565 41985 16 360 18 001 23 017 41985 40495 16 360 17 352 21 003 40495 39087 15 343 15 338 16 356 39087 37724 11 329 13 329 15 356 37724 36340 8 316 12 329 15 355 36340 34905 7 330 10 331 14 350 34905 33424 7 350 9 345 10 352 33424 31883 7 356 10 009 4 000 31883 30270 7 018 9 016 6 041 30270 28590 7 058 8 032 11 087 28590 26844 10 059 11 076 11 104 26844 25032 10 060 11 080 11 100 25032 23158 10 072 12 097 14 089 23158 21217 10 090 12 109 18 100 21217 19201 11 114 12 122 25 108 19201 17148 14 115 17 127 27 114 17148 15166 12 083 17 116 21 120 15166 13355 11 058 15 095 14 120 13355 11734 8 034 12 062 7 109 11734 10285 8 028 9*021 3 097 10285 8989 8 024 9*347 4 334 8989 7830 6*351 9 343 7 328 7830 6797 6*328 9 340 9 328 6797 5880 6 324 9 338 10 328 5880 5066 7 323 10 337 11 329 5066 4333 7 322 10 337 12 329 4333 3681 7 322 10 336 13 330 3681 3135 7 322 10 336 14 329 3135 2714 7 322 10 336 13 329 2714 2424 7 322 9 336 12 328 2424 2247 7 323 9 336 9 326 2247 2146 6 323 8 337 5*323 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography