DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.8 - - 102.7 - - 102.9 - - 95.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 495 - - 193 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5929 - - 10078 - - 11350 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6449 - - 9850 - - 10248 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8029 - - 12178 - - 13450 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3623 - - 2997 - - 2420 - - 11291 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 572 - - 699 - - 531 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 288 - - 301 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4018 - - -1229 - - -757 - - -10774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12048 - - 13408 - - 14207 - - 12920 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5159 - - -1727 - - -1455 - - -13120 ODpotential blCL - - - 13188 - - 13905 - - 14905 - - 15266 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 87 - - 90 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 430 - - 250 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.8 - - 102.7 - - 102.9 - - 95.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 50.6 - - 47.4 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.8 - - 99.4 - - 101.2 - - 97.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 50.6 - - 47.4 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 495 - - 193 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5929 - - 10078 - - 11350 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 49 - - 61 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98579 27 108 23 111 22 107 18 110 98579 91112 17 095 25 087 23 101 23 100 91112 85384 16 099 20 083 20 096 23 096 85384 80641 13 115 15 119 15 081 20 091 80641 76569 20 108 18 106 15 098 18 088 76569 72972 19 100 17 093 11 094 15 085 72972 69721 16 106 20 115 9 078 14 055 69721 66767 11 090 16 091 13 085 11 068 66767 64057 9 100 9 064 13 072 19 069 64057 61431 12 090 7 046 10 055 11 051 61431 58699 8 113 4 242 5 305 8 009 58699 55900 4 147 17 213 25 236 19 267 55900 53257 16 276 14 237 20 217 27 237 53257 50882 32 261 29 252 30 255 30 246 50882 48745 43 250 43 247 44 248 42 246 48745 46790 50 250 48 249 48 246 48 244 46790 44978 56 246 53 247 54 246 54 243 44978 43289 59 241 58 242 59 243 57 242 43289 41704 60 239 61 238 61 239 58 241 41704 40212 60 236 62 235 62 237 59 239 40212 38802 61 234 63 233 63 234 61 237 38802 37438 60 235 60 236 61 234 60 238 37438 36052 56 239 55 241 57 239 57 242 36052 34618 52 244 49 245 50 242 49 244 34618 33142 45 248 41 250 41 242 41 242 33142 31612 39 251 34 251 32 242 35 240 31612 30012 33 252 30 247 27 245 29 241 30012 28346 26 253 28 241 24 243 24 246 28346 26616 20 245 26 241 25 228 22 236 26616 24820 19 237 25 243 25 235 20 237 24820 22962 20 239 21 243 24 242 19 249 22962 21036 21 247 18 243 19 237 14 239 21036 19038 17 245 14 253 14 246 13 230 19038 17003 17 221 15 240 14 244 11 249 17003 15037 18 224 16 233 11*249 9 250 15037 13243 11 236 11*237 7*284 5 294 13243 11642 6 291 7*273 8 290 7 326 11642 10212 5 305 8 277 8 294 8 329 10212 8930 5*282 8 282 8 298 9 326 8930 7782 6*284 8 285 9 302 8 322 7782 6760 7 285 9 288 9 304 9 316 6760 5851 7 288 9 291 9 306 9 310 5851 5044 7 290 10 292 10 307 9 306 5044 4316 7 293 10 294 10 308 9 302 4316 3670 7 296 10 295 10 308 10 298 3670 3128 7 298 10 296 10 309 10 296 3128 2710 7 300 10 296 9 310 10 295 2710 2422 7 301 10 296 9 309 9 293 2422 2246 7 301 9 297 9 309 7*292 2246 2146 6 301 9 297 8 310 4*290 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography