DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.6 - - 105.6 - - 105.8 - - 98.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 467 - - 199 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5311 - - 7333 - - 8365 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5926 - - 7583 - - 7926 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7411 - - 9433 - - 10465 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1946 - - 2694 - - 4122 - - 7063 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 537 - - 616 - - 485 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 329 - - 322 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7294 - - -7344 - - -6024 - - -12254 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14706 - - 16778 - - 16490 - - 14400 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10227 - - -8965 - - -7784 - - -15459 ODpotential blCL - - - 17638 - - 18398 - - 18249 - - 17605 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 48 - - 70 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.6 - - 105.6 - - 105.8 - - 98.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.3 - - 38.5 - - 40.1 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.9 - - 102.6 - - 104.0 - - 100.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 38.4 - - 40.0 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 467 - - 199 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5311 - - 7333 - - 8365 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98992 39 095 39 109 42 097 43 096 98992 91489 36 115 34 111 28 107 39 096 91489 85686 32 116 26 108 26 107 30 100 85686 80870 28 113 25 093 28 113 26 091 80870 76755 28 110 22 107 23 106 23 103 76755 73151 21 107 21 106 16 112 15 108 73151 69895 19 121 19 109 16 093 19 092 69895 66911 19 099 13 116 10 097 12 058 66911 64167 12 074 11 117 10 148 4 077 64167 61515 4 150 3 067 3 040 3 109 61515 58776 1 261 4 261 13 323 14 335 58776 56007 14 311 12 276 17 256 19 285 56007 53400 18 312 13 298 16 254 20 265 53400 51036 28 294 24 296 23 286 23 278 51036 48899 38 281 36 285 35 291 31 293 48899 46945 41 273 42 278 42 286 37 293 46945 45141 44 274 43 277 42 284 39 289 45141 43460 45 274 42 277 40 282 39 287 43460 41884 43 274 40 274 37 276 37 285 41884 40400 41 272 38 269 35 266 33 279 40400 39000 39 267 36 265 35 253 30 267 39000 37647 37 260 35 261 35 254 30 256 37647 36274 35 253 33 258 33 259 27 258 36274 34849 32 252 29 252 28 255 25 254 34849 33378 24 254 20 241 19 229 24 240 33378 31847 16 255 16 226 17 203 21 222 31847 30244 12 234 19 209 21 205 22 224 30244 28567 13 202 23 205 27 206 20 225 28567 26818 17 202 26 202 25 212 19 220 26818 25007 19 199 23 203 23 213 22 205 25007 23140 20 190 20 201 19 202 22 198 23140 21210 19 189 19 187 16 181 13 192 21210 19199 20 188 15 177 16 158 9 173 19199 17143 18 174 14 182 14 146 13 155 17143 15156 12 166 13 173 11 145 15 152 15156 13340 5 163 12 149 9 137 13 147 13340 11717 1 007 9 120 3*127 9 145 11717 10268 3 323 4*094 6*320 1 185 10268 8973 3 339 4*333 7 320 9 318 8973 7816 4*315 5 326 8 320 13 321 7816 6785 5*313 6 325 9 320 13 326 6785 5871 5 314 7 327 9 321 13 331 5871 5058 5 316 7 328 10 322 14 336 5058 4327 6 318 7 330 10 323 14 339 4327 3677 6 321 8 331 10 324 14 342 3677 3132 6 324 8 333 10 325 14 344 3132 2713 6 326 8 333 10 325 14 345 2713 2423 6 328 8 334 10 325 12 345 2423 2247 6 328 7 334 10 325 9 344 2247 2146 5 328 7 335 9 326 5*342 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography