DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 103.1 - - 108.4 - - 107.5 - - 102.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 451 - - 156 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8423 - - 13164 - - 13058 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8406 - - 12338 - - 11407 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10523 - - 15264 - - 15158 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3069 - - 1449 - - 1577 - - 13570 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 619 - - 741 - - 519 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 22 - - 34 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 192 - - 240 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -9 - - 19 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -952 - - 1659 - - 1877 - - -10671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11476 - - 13606 - - 13281 - - 12817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2426 - - 860 - - 1324 - - -12150 ODpotential blCL - - - 12949 - - 14404 - - 13834 - - 14296 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 83 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 830 - - 660 - - 780 - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 103.1 - - 108.4 - - 107.5 - - 102.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.8 - - 55.5 - - 56.2 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 100.3 - - 105.4 - - 106.0 - - 103.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 55.4 - - 56.1 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 451 - - 156 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8423 - - 13164 - - 13058 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 31 - - 98 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99049 43 096 43 104 42 110 52 100 99049 91611 42 103 40 118 34 097 37 093 91611 85889 41 108 43 105 36 103 34 091 85889 81120 37 105 45 092 42 103 32 103 81120 77012 32 099 39 089 39 096 35 112 77012 73391 28 103 30 100 34 093 33 102 73391 70137 31 108 28 113 28 094 29 092 70137 67169 32 110 26 125 20 103 27 087 67169 64437 28 108 23 127 15 122 22 085 64437 61813 26 100 20 121 17 126 17 097 61813 59104 19 094 21 110 20 120 18 123 59104 56323 13 141 20 125 18 118 18 124 56323 53696 15 162 25 163 15 165 9 154 53696 51348 12 161 24 163 21 177 12 187 51348 49236 19 202 23 184 25 184 18 185 49236 47296 28 197 23 192 29 190 21 189 47296 45493 20 196 16 192 25 187 19 192 45493 43805 18 192 13 175 19 184 19 191 43805 42214 18 184 15 165 16 185 21 175 42214 40710 13 161 13 161 15 183 18 165 40710 39284 8 119 9 159 14 182 13 162 39284 37900 5 111 8 138 11 164 10 161 37900 36495 8 120 10 126 11 144 9 147 36495 35040 10 100 12 141 13 142 12 136 35040 33542 11 112 13 137 15 135 15 128 33542 31988 14 131 13 133 14 122 17 125 31988 30367 14 131 11 134 15 117 17 127 30367 28681 13 137 11 136 14 126 17 133 28681 26928 14 147 11 142 13 140 15 138 26928 25110 14 150 11 155 13 157 13 148 25110 23229 15 153 11 161 13 172 12 163 23229 21278 12 152 11 161 14 179 11 173 21278 19249 9 151 12 161 13 168 12 171 19249 17188 9 166 12*162 12 150 12 146 17188 15206 15 182 10*176 8*143 10 147 15206 13395 19 185 8 186 6*142 7 146 13395 11773 16*181 7 190 3 151 3 165 11773 10322 10*168 7 193 2 171 2 254 10322 9022 9 154 7 196 2 213 5 279 9022 7859 8 148 6 199 2 250 6 284 7859 6822 7 147 5 200 3 263 8 287 6822 5901 7 147 5 201 5 267 9 289 5901 5083 7 146 4 201 5 268 10 290 5083 4346 7 145 4 201 6 268 10 291 4346 3690 6 145 3 203 6 268 11 292 3690 3142 6 145 3 202 7 268 11 293 3142 2718 6 144 3 202 7 268 11 294 2718 2426 6 145 3 199 7 268 9 294 2426 2248 6 143 3 202 7 268 8 294 2248 2146 5 143 2 199 6 268 5*292 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography