DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.9 - - 101.2 - - 98.8 - - 89.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 528 - - 241 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6476 - - 9957 - - 8271 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6909 - - 9785 - - 7984 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8576 - - 12057 - - 10371 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2204 - - 2051 - - 2790 - - 4912 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 599 - - 712 - - 516 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 27 - - 25 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 238 - - 239 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -14 - - -13 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5290 - - -3637 - - -4845 - - -11009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13867 - - 15694 - - 15217 - - 13155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8213 - - -6094 - - -8232 - - -16425 ODpotential blCL - - - 16789 - - 18151 - - 18603 - - 18571 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 62 - - 54 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.9 - - 101.2 - - 98.8 - - 89.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 38.7 - - 38.6 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.2 - - 98.4 - - 97.3 - - 90.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 38.6 - - 38.6 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 528 - - 241 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6476 - - 9957 - - 8271 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98874 38 096 32 118 28 116 21 102 98874 91332 32 106 31 119 22 111 24 085 91332 85538 24 111 27 101 22 107 26 094 85538 80792 21 104 28 091 24 093 26 108 80792 76730 22 093 19 096 23 091 24 098 76730 73145 20 103 16 110 19 092 19 098 73145 69891 14 099 14 106 14 090 17 106 69891 66885 9 111 7 114 7 114 10 110 66885 64098 4 091 5 233 6 203 5 169 64098 61411 6 247 6 214 8 240 6 297 61411 58640 17 232 14 220 16 240 18 272 58640 55804 23 258 24 245 27 248 30 252 55804 53125 27 268 30 256 36 260 34 263 53125 50732 29 266 34 262 38 266 36 269 50732 48587 34 270 34 268 34 269 32 269 48587 46627 36 273 32 279 32 276 31 273 46627 44817 33 267 28 280 31 277 32 275 44817 43134 26 259 23 274 26 265 31 271 43134 41556 17 265 20 271 22 257 26 260 41556 40069 14 282 19 272 19 263 21 250 40069 38665 14 277 18 267 17 266 18 244 38665 37309 14 261 18 255 19 264 16 243 37309 35932 12 266 17 251 20 267 16 249 35932 34507 15 283 16 254 20 269 16 257 34507 33036 19 279 17 262 18 263 17 265 33036 31505 21 271 20 261 19 247 19 247 31505 29907 24 258 25 250 23 243 24 243 29907 28246 24 251 28 243 26 250 26 248 28246 26518 26 252 30 250 29 252 28 252 26518 24720 31 249 35 256 33 250 31 250 24720 22857 32 249 37 255 34 251 32 251 22857 20922 30 243 30 252 28 255 28 252 20922 18912 24 234 23 243 21 244 23 244 18912 16870 22 247 24 248 19 242 19 239 16870 14903 28 251 28 244 23 245 19 242 14903 13114 31 244 29*239 26 242 21 244 13114 11518 31 235 28*236 25*238 22 243 11518 10095 31 226 28 236 25*236 23 241 10095 8824 26*224 28 236 25 237 23 238 8824 7690 24*226 28 236 26 237 25 233 7690 6679 23 228 28 237 26 238 26 230 6679 5784 23 231 28 238 26 239 26 231 5784 4991 22 235 27 239 26 239 26 234 4991 4276 22 237 27 239 26 240 26 236 4276 3642 21 239 27 240 26 240 25 238 3642 3110 21 241 26 240 25 241 24 240 3110 2700 20 242 25 240 25 241 22 241 2700 2416 19 242 24 241 24 241 19 242 2416 2244 18 243 23 240 22 241 16*242 2244 2146 16 244 19 241 18 241 11*241 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography