DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.7 - - 96.6 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 288 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4836 - - 10369 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5259 - - 9776 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6936 - - 12469 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5218 - - 2015 - - - - - 286 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 416 - - 592 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 197 - - - - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2630 - - 177 - - - - - -8626 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9566 - - 12293 - - - - - 10772 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4442 - - -1217 - - - - - -12944 ODpotential blCL - - - 11378 - - 13686 - - - - - 15089 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 93 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 400 - - 160 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.7 - - 96.6 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 49.7 - - - - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.0 - - 94.4 - - - - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 49.3 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 288 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4836 - - 10369 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 72 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98313 10 105 18 184 5 349 98313 90904 17 078 13 106 2 359 90904 85213 15 083 16 080 6 060 85213 80509 14 086 14 073 9 042 80509 76469 14 074 13 070 12 061 76469 72899 11 063 14 070 17 063 72899 69665 8 063 11 075 16 052 69665 66699 8 069 11 081 11 052 66699 63959 5 065 8 082 5 085 63959 61315 4 125 6 149 2 064 61315 58576 7 170 8 210 7 230 58576 55760 10 219 14 226 13 216 55760 53079 22 254 23 254 16 244 53079 50656 42 249 44 248 33 246 50656 48480 48 242 51 245 47 241 48480 46499 54 246 57 243 56 241 46499 44677 62 246 63 241 62 237 44677 42991 64 242 67 238 65 235 42991 41417 65 236 67 237 67 233 41417 39941 62 235 63 235 62 232 39941 38551 59 236 59 235 62 232 38551 37206 58 235 59 235 60 236 37206 35839 56 235 57 235 54 239 35839 34426 48 236 51 235 50 237 34426 32967 40 235 45 233 47 232 32967 31447 39 240 44 232 47 234 31447 29854 36 244 41 232 44 237 29854 28195 33 241 37 236 41 232 28195 26467 29 232 32 233 37 225 26467 24672 22 223 25 224 30 228 24672 22816 18 212 20 218 22 232 22816 20895 11 191 14 210 17 228 20895 18901 7 190 9 210 15 219 18901 16872 10 225 12 226 16 201 16872 14917 16 220 16 215 20 173 14917 13138 16 213 15*200 19 150 13138 11550 15 210 14*198 14 152 11550 10130 16 201 13 198 11 164 10130 8859 15 190 12 199 9 180 8859 7721 12*179 10 198 8 203 7721 6708 10*170 8 197 9 223 6708 5809 8 165 7 196 10 237 5809 5009 7 162 6 194 11 248 5009 4290 6 159 5 191 12 258 4290 3650 5 157 4 190 13 265 3650 3114 5 153 4 186 14 268 3114 2702 5 152 3 184 13 271 2702 2417 4 150 3 182 10 273 2417 2244 4 150 3 182 7 272 2244 2145 4 148 3 180 4*268 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography