DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 74.3 - - 70.8 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 187 - - -19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 721 - - 3576 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 4243 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2821 - - 5676 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 877 - - 2261 - - 4344 - - 278 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 358 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 058 - - 028 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9105 - - -10644 - - -12408 - - -10104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11927 - - 16321 - - 14553 - - 12248 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17444 - - -17458 - - -19729 - - -20208 ODpotential blCL - - - 20265 - - 23134 - - 21873 - - 22351 blCL maxRH - - - 22 - - 21 - - 13 - - 13 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 74.3 - - 70.8 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.7 - - 9.7 - - 14.7 - - 13.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 72.8 - - 72.1 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 9.4 - - 14.2 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 187 - - -19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 721 - - 3576 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96669 34 081 32 081 25 085 38 069 96669 89500 39 089 35 097 34 089 39 080 89500 83959 23 107 23 094 26 084 24 090 83959 79365 19 113 13 068 20 069 24 080 79365 75392 13 094 7 101 12 070 21 059 75392 71878 11 089 12 096 6 077 12 049 71878 68692 8 034 13 049 9 089 10 089 68692 65738 5 001 11 003 12 028 9 043 65738 62997 14 333 15 331 17 335 20 360 62997 60372 22 341 17 339 20 339 22 341 60372 57658 34 334 26 327 26 338 26 331 57658 54855 42 326 38 321 30 325 33 325 54855 52177 46 318 43 325 34 318 38 318 52177 49758 54 314 48 323 41 316 46 313 49758 47590 62 311 58 317 50 316 50 314 47590 45620 65 310 64 309 56 310 54 314 45620 43816 65 314 60 311 55 307 57 313 43816 42152 63 316 59 308 55 302 56 307 42152 40607 55 327 45 327 37 317 41 308 40607 39169 57 334 43 332 31 319 32 315 39169 37826 52 328 41 326 25 320 24 299 37826 36532 45 325 35 339 22 338 15 288 36532 35213 37 336 34 010 23 355 9 317 35213 33845 43 015 39 026 28 006 11 017 33845 32429 51 024 40 026 34 007 18 033 32429 30953 49 020 40 017 37 004 20 027 30953 29403 46 014 42 010 38 003 21 014 29403 27780 46 011 45 009 40 005 25 011 27780 26084 47 008 44 005 42 006 30 012 26084 24320 45 003 41 359 42 004 33 009 24320 22488 42 359 38 356 40 000 31 001 22488 20583 40 357 35 356 38 357 31 355 20583 18599 37 357 33 358 35 356 31 354 18599 16579 30 359 29 359 33 002 29 359 16579 14632 20 004 22 354 28 011 27 005 14632 12858 16 011 17 351 20 010 23 014 12858 11277 17 013 15 000 17 010 18 033 11277 9873 20 013 17 029 17 037 16 050 9873 8625 20 018 20 045 19 048 14 061 8625 7514 18 025 19 050 17 058 12 082 7514 6528 16 031 17*059 16 066 11 100 6528 5659 14 038 13*061 15 063 10 107 5659 4887 13 054 12 059 14 056 9 097 4887 4196 14 069 11 058 13 051 9 080 4196 3582 10 080 11 058 13 046 10 065 3582 3068 4*097 10 057 13 042 11 051 3068 2674 1*089 10 055 12 038 11 034 2674 2402 1 081 9 055 11 034 10 020 2402 2238 1 071 9 055 9 030 5 003 2238 2143 1 070 8 054 6*028 2*332 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography