DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 85.6 - - - - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 509 - - 522 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5284 - - 7624 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5971 - - 7871 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7384 - - 9724 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1563 - - 1210 - - - - - 6478 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 569 - - 649 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 245 - - - - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -8 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2991 - - -2997 - - - - - -7248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10376 - - 12721 - - - - - 9394 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9425 - - -8484 - - - - - -12479 ODpotential blCL - - - 16809 - - 18208 - - - - - 14624 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 45 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 85.6 - - - - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 36.6 - - - - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 82.7 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 36.5 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 509 - - 522 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5284 - - 7624 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98029 12 313 7 239 15 339 98029 90647 5 218 9 270 7 352 90647 84956 11 168 5 256 8 315 84956 80226 9 133 6 238 4 269 80226 76149 6 063 3 209 6 169 76149 72548 2 189 4 213 3 239 72548 69304 7 111 8 209 4 260 69304 66330 6 301 8 165 5 225 66330 63563 15 255 12 231 5 243 63563 60868 21 236 25 235 17 261 60868 58058 24 237 25 236 26 240 58058 55149 30 252 26 254 21 230 55149 52388 32 247 35 245 22 268 52388 49933 22 243 32 228 29 267 49933 47769 27 279 23 255 28 259 47769 45833 24 277 20 279 27 245 45833 44069 15 343 15 300 29 208 44069 42436 14 338 15 291 27 204 42436 40904 14 332 16 288 25 227 40904 39458 14 328 17 291 23 244 39458 38090 15 318 18 291 24 255 38090 36765 17 310 18 281 27 255 36765 35418 19 307 19 267 30 248 35418 34023 21 304 21 259 32 242 34023 32581 21 297 22 255 34 246 32581 31081 20 286 22 253 36 257 31081 29511 20 286 26 248 35 264 29511 27870 21 271 32 254 35 263 27870 26159 30 266 36 263 37 257 26159 24379 38 272 40 267 37 253 24379 22533 42 275 41 268 33 255 22533 20618 42 271 40 267 28 258 20618 18626 41 270 36 265 27 254 18626 16601 37 268 33 258 28 244 16601 14654 32 251 31 245 29 241 14654 12888 31 246 27 240 25 235 12888 11322 28 245 22 233 21 224 11322 9929 24 245 18*232 17 214 9929 8687 20 243 18*236 12 218 8687 7579 18*239 18 238 11 240 7579 6591 18*239 18 242 12 253 6591 5715 18 240 18 245 14 259 5715 4937 18 242 18 247 16 260 4937 4236 18 245 18 249 17 261 4236 3613 18 246 18 250 18 261 3613 3091 18 248 18 252 18 261 3091 2688 17 249 17 253 17 262 2688 2411 16 250 17 253 15 262 2411 2241 16 250 16 253 12*261 2241 2145 14 251 14 254 8*260 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography