DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.9 - - 101.6 - - 99.5 - - 93.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 320 - - 349 - - 24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4636 - - 7883 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5281 - - 7886 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6736 - - 9983 - - 2146 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2624 - - 3708 - - 12899 - - 2424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 466 - - 573 - - 42 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 40 - - 24 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 226 - - 011 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10940 - - -8279 - - -15340 - - -13713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17677 - - 18263 - - 17487 - - 15860 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15503 - - -11087 - - -18831 - - -18484 ODpotential blCL - - - 22239 - - 21070 - - 20977 - - 20630 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 90 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.9 - - 101.6 - - 99.5 - - 93.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.8 - - 27.5 - - 29.2 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.6 - - 99.1 - - 99.0 - - 94.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.8 - - 27.4 - - 29.1 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 320 - - 349 - - 24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4636 - - 7883 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 62 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98877 31 099 36 107 35 107 37 084 98877 91397 38 114 29 113 27 091 28 094 91397 85659 37 105 32 110 27 089 30 084 85659 80925 35 095 35 104 26 095 27 093 80925 76848 28 096 31 093 23 107 27 104 76848 73238 22 103 27 083 21 098 25 090 73238 69987 17 119 12 084 25 082 20 067 69987 67027 22 121 11 107 21 062 19 080 67027 64294 21 074 20 086 17 076 21 075 64294 61647 11 053 15 062 17 055 22 055 61647 58908 13 047 14 048 9 046 16 023 58908 56105 20 344 17 345 14 016 14 024 56105 53452 23 330 21 331 24 333 25 343 53452 51069 33 331 33 337 30 340 27 348 51069 48921 45 323 47 320 44 320 36 333 48921 46956 51 318 47 320 48 317 41 327 46956 45133 52 321 47 320 48 321 45 329 45133 43432 46 322 44 318 47 324 46 326 43432 41841 39 322 40 318 45 325 43 323 41841 40349 36 316 40 314 41 321 36 320 40349 38945 37 308 42 307 36 311 33 308 38945 37589 36 301 41 300 35 297 32 289 37589 36212 34 297 36 296 35 287 32 288 36212 34782 32 294 37 290 36 290 31 287 34782 33303 32 293 35 288 35 293 30 286 33303 31762 34 295 34 294 33 296 28 289 31762 30147 37 299 31 302 30 303 25 299 30147 28461 31 296 27 293 27 305 24 299 28461 26703 20 281 19 274 28 303 24 295 26703 24877 16 285 15 260 25 306 24 291 24877 22992 10 236 14 225 13 302 16 272 22992 21047 15 200 19 208 12 245 10 246 21047 19033 20 202 14 222 17 219 14 237 19033 16982 19 189 13 197 20 195 16 217 16982 15007 16 158 15 156 10 166 10 183 15007 13209 10 148 11 141 7 121 7 129 13209 11607 7 216 7 181 2 192 4 095 11607 10176 10 237 7*217 4 267 2 026 10176 8896 11 232 7*223 5 288 4 338 8896 7752 7*226 7 226 6 296 5 329 7752 6732 3*233 6 228 6 305 6 330 6732 5827 3 242 5 230 6 316 7 337 5827 5022 2 248 4 228 6 328 8 348 5022 4299 2 252 3 227 5 341 8 358 4299 3656 2 260 2 224 5 356 10 012 3656 3118 2 265 2 217 5 003 11 022 3118 2704 2 272 2 213 5 006 11 024 2704 2419 1 277 1 208 5 009 10 023 2419 2245 1 279 1 205 5*009 7*018 2245 2146 1 278 1 200 4*011 4*012 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography