DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.6 - - 104.1 - - 104.1 - - 98.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 478 - - 191 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4741 - - 7344 - - 7124 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5469 - - 7604 - - 6938 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6841 - - 9444 - - 9224 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1498 - - 1948 - - 2337 - - 10053 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 514 - - 622 - - 454 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 318 - - 307 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1732 - - -3358 - - -3845 - - -9184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8574 - - 12802 - - 13070 - - 11331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5280 - - -5347 - - -5831 - - -12023 ODpotential blCL - - - 12121 - - 14791 - - 15055 - - 14169 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 72 - - 83 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 1430 - - 620 - - 540 - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.6 - - 104.1 - - 104.1 - - 98.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.1 - - 54.9 - - 53.8 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.9 - - 101.0 - - 102.5 - - 99.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 54.9 - - 53.8 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 478 - - 191 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4741 - - 7344 - - 7124 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99020 43 112 35 118 35 102 36 085 99020 91529 41 100 44 113 37 110 35 103 91529 85761 38 094 43 102 40 107 37 104 85761 80994 35 094 34 094 38 094 37 093 80994 76920 34 094 28 097 33 094 32 088 76920 73329 27 098 26 097 28 095 27 096 73329 70068 22 113 22 098 23 091 27 105 70068 67071 20 115 15 109 15 092 20 093 67071 64320 15 098 13 119 11 110 13 095 64320 61687 12 081 13 108 12 111 8 099 61687 58959 7 087 11 119 9 094 11 075 58959 56146 8 128 12 126 6 122 7 055 56146 53484 7 106 8 065 8 074 6 068 53484 51104 4 077 8 029 13 040 13 053 51104 48972 5 132 5 100 8 039 14 029 48972 47023 12 112 9 109 6 080 12 016 47023 45218 17 075 10 077 8 081 9 033 45218 43534 22 049 14 055 13 076 10 072 43534 41955 27 034 18 046 14 065 12 065 41955 40465 30 015 20 035 16 044 13 063 40465 39056 28 008 20 027 18 027 14 058 39056 37692 23 030 20 029 17 028 14 052 37692 36309 22 045 19 036 14 042 12 053 36309 34876 18 051 16 054 12 055 8 077 34876 33397 14 063 13 075 12 078 8 104 33397 31856 14 080 12 088 13 085 8 087 31856 30245 15 089 12 102 15 088 9 084 30245 28563 14 105 11 088 17 083 11 095 28563 26810 13 128 11 096 18 079 14 103 26810 24989 12 137 12 111 17 091 17 106 24989 23108 14 135 13 115 19 100 23 105 23108 21168 15 132 15 130 18 109 32 101 21168 19156 18 130 18 131 19 115 32 099 19156 17105 19 125 9 101 15 097 24 100 17105 15121 12 114 10 069 12 079 16 078 15121 13312 10 071 10 080 10 070 13 034 13312 11700 12 043 9 064 9 047 14 344 11700 10259 17 022 7*010 8*358 14 338 10259 8969 19 004 8*333 11*314 13 324 8969 7815 12*338 9 319 12 310 13 310 7815 6785 5*313 10 317 12 308 15 299 6785 5871 5 304 10 316 13 307 17 292 5871 5060 5 298 10 316 13 305 18 286 5060 4328 5 295 10 316 13 305 19 283 4328 3678 5 294 10 316 13 304 20 281 3678 3134 5 291 10 317 13 303 20 280 3134 2713 4 291 10 317 13 303 18 279 2713 2424 4 290 10 318 12 303 15 278 2424 2247 4 290 10 317 12 303 12 278 2247 2146 4 290 9 318 10 303 8*277 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography