DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.8 - - 105.4 - - - - - 96.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 472 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6828 - - 12535 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7141 - - 11846 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8928 - - 14635 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5875 - - 3201 - - - - - 11766 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 586 - - 740 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 316 - - - - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4210 - - -445 - - - - - -10574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13139 - - 15081 - - - - - 12721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5337 - - -1391 - - - - - -12665 ODpotential blCL - - - 14265 - - 16026 - - - - - 14811 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 55 - - - - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 410 - - - - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.8 - - 105.4 - - - - - 96.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 45.7 - - - - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.9 - - 102.4 - - - - - 98.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 45.7 - - - - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 472 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6828 - - 12535 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98445 22 096 31 108 22 072 98445 90977 22 101 18 084 18 085 90977 85234 17 092 13 093 22 087 85234 80484 10 105 14 086 23 068 80484 76427 14 102 12 101 14 076 76427 72871 12 082 13 083 14 105 72871 69658 13 088 16 082 19 092 69658 66712 14 067 15 072 22 074 66712 63999 15 036 12 060 21 058 63999 61393 10 019 3 057 18 024 61393 58705 8 020 1 169 14 318 58705 55940 12 344 7 286 18 279 55940 53302 25 295 17 303 17 280 53302 50917 38 280 29 286 27 280 50917 48766 41 279 34 263 32 263 48766 46791 49 288 36 273 32 274 46791 44957 57 283 49 284 42 281 44957 43245 60 272 56 276 50 281 43245 41634 56 265 57 268 53 275 41634 40114 48 264 50 267 50 269 40114 38682 37 273 39 271 45 268 38682 37307 26 275 24 284 34 270 37307 35927 14 273 15 295 19 270 35927 34512 11 278 10 302 10 270 34512 33058 9 289 7 293 8 256 33058 31543 8 299 4 271 8 264 31543 29959 9 304 4 266 5 271 29959 28306 10 299 6 282 4 255 28306 26585 13 295 7 282 6 250 26585 24796 13 294 4 289 5 254 24796 22944 8 314 3 036 3 260 22944 21024 9 352 6 060 6 130 21024 19031 9 356 7 027 12 100 19031 17005 7 353 5 016 12 081 17005 15049 5 005 5*014 6 046 15049 13262 5 357 6*338 7 334 13262 11662 8 007 8 322 12 318 11662 10229 12*009 8 318 15 315 10229 8945 11*353 9 315 17 313 8945 7796 9 335 9 314 18 311 7796 6770 9 320 9 313 19 309 6770 5860 8 314 10 312 20 306 5860 5050 8 312 10 312 21 304 5050 4321 8 311 10 313 21 302 4321 3673 8 310 10 312 21 300 3673 3130 8 310 10 313 20 299 3130 2711 8 310 10 313 18 298 2711 2422 7 311 9 313 15 297 2422 2247 7 310 9 313 11*296 2247 2146 6 310 8 314 7*294 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography