DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.4 - - 74.1 - - 80.0 - - 76.0 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 151 - - 169 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1476 - - 4490 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2635 - - 4872 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3576 - - 6590 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 112 - - 2096 - - 2587 - - 6652 - - 229 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 249 - - 375 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 116 - - 095 - - 016 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1928 - - -5712 - - -4804 - - -8430 - - -5331 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4071 - - 9288 - - 11394 - - 10575 - - 7476 sfcLCL ODpotential -9608 - - -10888 - - -10398 - - -14033 - - -12432 ODpotential blCL 11751 - - 14464 - - 16988 - - 16178 - - 14576 blCL maxRH 57 - - 33 - - 38 - - 32 - - 34 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.4 - - 74.1 - - 80.0 - - 76.0 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 41.1 - - 37.4 - - 37.3 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 72.8 - - 78.6 - - 77.8 - - 70.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.0 - - 40.6 - - 37.0 - - 36.6 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 151 - - 169 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1476 - - 4490 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96903 43 278 61 279 59 273 57 277 63 281 96903 89633 27 295 39 286 38 283 45 294 38 300 89633 84070 25 306 26 284 26 297 37 301 32 310 84070 79478 25 313 21 291 24 306 30 304 30 319 79478 75549 23 306 21 307 26 313 24 315 30 325 75549 72086 23 307 22 316 24 311 22 315 23 322 72086 68951 23 312 22 320 20 311 22 312 20 316 68951 66077 24 312 21 308 18 312 21 314 20 306 66077 63424 20 302 18 290 21 298 17 314 18 307 63424 60869 18 289 17 288 23 286 23 324 22 329 60869 58229 22 325 23 310 26 303 26 302 30 310 58229 55507 25 316 22 309 20 296 22 266 30 280 55507 52885 24 332 17 341 24 338 17 335 11 296 52885 50487 35 337 37 332 44 326 44 330 40 328 50487 48326 44 337 43 323 48 312 51 317 56 314 48326 46351 40 335 38 315 36 304 39 307 49 305 46351 44524 32 327 35 310 32 306 27 307 28 305 44524 42820 28 333 24 312 26 321 23 350 20 337 42820 41223 34 348 30 354 23 352 25 360 25 349 41223 39718 30 340 38 002 28 015 29 010 29 358 39718 38295 33 326 34 339 37 011 25 010 36 003 38295 36918 37 317 38 323 36 351 23 357 35 006 36918 35524 29 291 27 326 37 330 32 343 28 355 35524 34083 24 271 21 287 24 312 35 332 30 337 34083 32595 23 265 20 257 18 276 22 324 37 333 32595 31062 18 271 18 259 18 255 14 288 23 333 31062 29488 13 270 14 273 15 275 13 267 12 283 29488 27864 12 272 12 278 14 292 9 284 9 271 27864 26173 12 276 10 275 11 304 9 318 7 311 26173 24410 9 282 6 271 8 299 6 351 4 011 24410 22577 7 292 3 263 4 264 1 331 1 332 22577 20671 4 284 2 226 2 196 4 135 5 144 20671 18684 3 167 3 168 3 172 4 124 7 131 18684 16656 6 133 6 145 5 154 4 135 8 122 16656 14704 6 115 8 135 8 142 5 141 9 110 14704 12931 6 087 7 121 9 123 9 132 11 109 12931 11355 8 073 7 109 10 117 13 130 13 113 11355 9952 9 072 7 106 11 120 14 128 12 117 9952 8702 8 086 7 106 11 121 13 121 12 120 8702 7587 6 099 7 105 10*116 12 114 12 122 7587 6595 5 103 7 105 9*112 10 110 12 121 6595 5715 5 104 7 107 8 109 8 104 13 118 5715 4934 4 112 6 110 6 102 7 096 13 112 4934 4231 4 132 6 117 5 091 5 080 10 097 4231 3607 6 149 6*121 5 084 5 056 8 067 3607 3085 8 149 6*119 5 076 5 040 8 035 3085 2684 8 151 5 117 4 070 5 029 9 016 2684 2407 6 159 5 115 4 068 5 023 8 003 2407 2240 4 167 5 113 4 065 5*019 3*002 2240 2144 3*183 4 111 4 064 4*016 1*345 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography