DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 97.7 - - 89.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 261 - - 28 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5778 - - 8476 - - 2408 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6159 - - 8199 - - 2129 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 7878 - - 10576 - - 4508 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2325 - - 3556 - - 6809 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 497 - - 535 - - 185 - - - W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 216 - - 147 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -166 - - 423 - - -975 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8044 - - 10153 - - 5483 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1613 - - -284 - - -3092 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 9491 - - 10860 - - 7600 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 92 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 1480 - - 1230 - - 4050 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 97.7 - - 89.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.2 - - 60.2 - - 72.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.3 - - 95.7 - - 89.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 59.9 - - 71.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 261 - - 28 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5778 - - 8476 - - 2408 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 67 - - 63 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 18 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98659 23 121 13 138 13 129 98659 91220 22 108 19 127 16 123 91220 85471 23 107 22 120 20 096 85471 80715 20 098 28 127 23 097 80715 76639 16 104 20 106 21 101 76639 73046 10 100 15 081 16 094 73046 69800 8 141 10 084 10 083 69800 66821 11 152 9 130 4 068 66821 64060 13 170 9 160 5 194 64060 61397 11 156 9 184 9 200 61397 58655 3 190 13 185 10 213 58655 55857 5 272 6 257 7 256 55857 53222 5 224 8 284 11 284 53222 50862 9 245 11 279 15 302 50862 48739 11 264 15 259 16 275 48739 46799 22 270 26 250 22 249 46799 45007 28 259 29 241 28 240 45007 43332 29 239 28 235 26 233 43332 41761 27 229 30 226 29 230 41761 40279 26 225 28 223 32 222 40279 38877 26 214 26 225 32 209 38877 37518 26 209 26 221 29 205 37518 36135 22 205 24 217 30 218 36135 34701 19 215 22 225 27 231 34701 33220 18 229 20 233 22 230 33220 31679 17 240 18 239 20 231 31679 30067 14 252 15 246 20 241 30067 28384 10 262 11 245 20 250 28384 26632 7 249 8 231 18 249 26632 24818 6 232 8 232 16 250 24818 22946 7 231 8 239 11 245 22946 21010 7 256 7 264 7 254 21010 18998 9 266 9 265 9 272 18998 16952 16 242 17 244 11 253 16952 14983 20 224 17 226 12 240 14983 13192 19 221 14 218 16 234 13192 11598 17 219 14*218 17 238 11598 10175 16 213 13*218 15 237 10175 8899 15*207 12 217 13 235 8899 7758 12*199 11 218 12 228 7758 6739 12 194 10 217 11 213 6739 5835 11 190 9 217 11 190 5835 5032 11 185 9 216 12*164 5032 4308 11 182 8 215 13*151 4308 3664 10 179 8 214 13 148 3664 3124 10 177 7 213 13 147 3124 2708 9 175 7 212 13 146 2708 2421 9 174 7 212 12 145 2421 2246 9 173 6 211 11 145 2246 2146 8 173 6 210 9 144 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography