DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 91.0 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 481 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6481 - - 9515 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6890 - - 9373 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8581 - - 11615 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1076 - - 1262 - - - - - 5299 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 588 - - 679 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 210 - - - - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 26 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5093 - - -3555 - - - - - -8779 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13674 - - 15170 - - - - - 10924 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9270 - - -6186 - - - - - -12935 ODpotential blCL - - - 17851 - - 17801 - - - - - 15080 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 89 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 91.0 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 30.9 - - - - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 88.2 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 30.8 - - - - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 481 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6481 - - 9515 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 57 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98375 9 141 9 073 5 054 98375 90948 12 085 11 126 9 050 90948 85233 13 097 12 132 13 078 85233 80488 13 124 11 098 12 090 80488 76412 10 148 6 093 17 098 76412 72817 15 117 4 116 16 078 72817 69569 10 114 3 077 6 086 69569 66607 3 192 8 199 3 359 66607 63872 9 227 15 169 3 005 63872 61196 13 230 17 238 7 329 61196 58401 27 247 26 234 30 264 58401 55525 30 259 22 233 34 251 55525 52778 35 259 30 257 33 254 52778 50293 40 257 43 262 47 256 50293 48072 54 260 59 257 60 253 48072 46073 68 257 69 252 68 255 46073 44244 78 258 80 255 76 258 44244 42549 89 261 89 255 85 260 42549 40967 93 260 92 255 93 260 40967 39481 93 258 92 255 96 258 39481 38081 91 257 93 256 97 257 38081 36731 90 257 92 256 94 256 36731 35365 83 257 85 253 85 253 35365 33958 70 248 74 244 76 247 33958 32512 64 235 66 236 75 245 32512 31011 68 233 65 231 77 246 31011 29441 67 235 65 230 74 250 29441 27803 61 242 60 232 68 252 27803 26099 52 246 51 240 59 250 26099 24333 34 243 45 258 49 250 24333 22507 27 225 39 264 40 252 22507 20612 32 216 30 252 31 246 20612 18643 35 215 28 222 24 223 18643 16640 32 215 34 190 22 209 16640 14707 28 212 25 176 23 200 14707 12943 26 205 22*175 23 182 12943 11369 24 201 19*183 23 173 11369 9968 23 194 18 191 22 173 9968 8717 20*188 17 196 21 178 8717 7601 19*189 17 208 20 187 7601 6607 18 190 17 214 18 202 6607 5727 18 191 17 219 18 221 5727 4944 17 192 17 222 20 234 4944 4241 17 193 17 226 21 240 4241 3617 16 194 17 228 21 244 3617 3093 15 195 17 230 21 247 3093 2690 15 196 17 231 19 250 2690 2411 14 196 16 232 17 251 2411 2242 13 196 16 232 14*251 2242 2145 12 196 14 232 9*251 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography