DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.2 - - 97.0 - - 95.6 - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 380 - - 82 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3781 - - 8073 - - 7607 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4603 - - 8082 - - 6577 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5881 - - 10173 - - 9707 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3981 - - 2190 - - 2673 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 428 - - 594 - - 349 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 276 - - 289 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11931 - - -10528 - - -11764 - - -17448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17812 - - 20702 - - 21472 - - 19594 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17202 - - -15361 - - -16782 - - -25007 ODpotential blCL - - - 23083 - - 25534 - - 26489 - - 27152 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 32 - - 27 - - 12 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.2 - - 97.0 - - 95.6 - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 11.3 - - 6.6 - - 2.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.1 - - 94.4 - - 94.6 - - 86.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 11.1 - - 6.4 - - 2.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 380 - - 82 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3781 - - 8073 - - 7607 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96667 44 265 49 270 53 269 53 275 96667 89401 29 253 34 271 37 269 37 285 89401 83900 18 285 18 249 21 261 23 294 83900 79365 17 291 11 260 11 269 19 295 79365 75441 10 237 17 257 11 281 13 299 75441 71970 3 310 14 248 11 267 9 300 71970 68836 6 250 11 250 10 248 7 291 68836 65975 7 233 7 238 11 244 8 254 65975 63354 10 251 8 222 13 227 13 240 63354 60832 15 246 12 250 10 226 13 236 60832 58195 16 223 15 245 13 248 15 241 58195 55438 12 198 14 228 15 240 18 238 55438 52778 12 220 12 221 16 243 20 241 52778 50360 20 220 16 223 20 235 22 244 50360 48174 20 218 22 218 22 228 24 238 48174 46177 15 230 25 216 22 229 23 230 46177 44344 25 235 27 224 24 231 25 227 44344 42658 35 228 35 222 30 225 29 223 42658 41101 31 222 36 215 36 213 38 217 41101 39649 22 232 29 210 34 205 37 204 39649 38286 24 239 28 216 31 204 34 199 38286 36969 31 236 27 218 31 207 36 202 36969 35634 30 235 24 220 29 209 32 204 35634 34247 26 239 23 220 27 210 27 203 34247 32814 20 231 24 218 26 211 24 205 32814 31321 21 215 27 216 26 214 23 205 31321 29755 26 214 30 218 28 218 24 210 29755 28116 28 213 28 225 27 227 23 223 28116 26406 24 231 21 249 18 245 13 239 26406 24628 22 276 13 263 9 266 5 198 24628 22782 20 286 11 260 6 233 10 182 22782 20865 18 275 12 247 10 236 10 208 20865 18870 18 252 16 244 12 251 10 234 18870 16834 25 249 22 250 15 263 12 267 16834 14872 32 249 26 257 18 271 13 286 14872 13084 31 255 25 267 16 274 12 292 13084 11493 27 263 19*273 12 269 9 281 11493 10078 20 266 13*272 11*271 8 282 10078 8815 15 269 12 272 11*274 8 294 8815 7685 11 260 11 273 10 277 9 298 7685 6678 9*259 10 274 10 283 10 304 6678 5784 7*257 10 276 10 288 10 309 5784 4990 5 241 9 277 10 292 10 315 4990 4275 3 216 9 279 10 295 11 320 4275 3639 3 207 9 280 10 298 10 325 3639 3107 3 203 9 281 10 300 10 328 3107 2697 3 198 8 282 10 301 9 329 2697 2415 2 195 8 283 9 302 7 325 2415 2243 2 196 8 284 9 303 5*314 2243 2145 2 192 7 283 8 303 4*304 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography