DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 71.0 - - 68.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 183 - - -15 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1662 - - 2522 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 3465 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3762 - - 4622 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1041 - - 1749 - - 3979 - - 751 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 316 - - 13 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 21 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 126 - - 115 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5666 - - -4376 - - -6813 - - -4974 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9428 - - 8998 - - 8958 - - 7118 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10801 - - -8059 - - -11479 - - -10617 ODpotential blCL - - - 14563 - - 12681 - - 13623 - - 12761 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 90 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 71.0 - - 68.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 39.2 - - 37.1 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 69.7 - - 69.1 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 39.1 - - 37.0 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 183 - - -15 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1662 - - 2522 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 60 - - 58 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96353 10 046 3 072 17 013 19 020 96353 89200 9 003 16 013 17 010 26 005 89200 83660 7 343 12 338 18 004 21 357 83660 79057 8 348 8 339 17 346 20 335 79057 75113 10 314 13 358 15 326 20 314 75113 71647 14 314 15 336 14 303 19 309 71647 68512 24 312 19 312 17 313 18 304 68512 65621 31 297 25 303 22 302 19 304 65621 62933 30 279 33 286 26 302 23 301 62933 60329 28 263 41 267 34 284 30 301 60329 57599 30 258 44 259 40 260 39 276 57599 54763 33 259 39 259 38 259 40 263 54763 52064 38 256 39 254 44 258 44 263 52064 49649 43 251 43 252 46 251 42 258 49649 47509 41 269 42 259 40 257 36 261 47509 45588 61 253 53 258 51 272 47 272 45588 43849 77 249 63 252 51 261 49 268 43849 42246 83 239 59 253 59 263 65 271 42246 40738 78 239 63 256 74 257 66 267 40738 39313 76 244 68 259 73 255 62 266 39313 37961 69 252 71 260 73 259 61 265 37961 36647 65 260 64 261 70 263 59 267 36647 35309 63 265 57 260 65 267 54 269 35309 33920 60 266 55 266 56 269 50 268 33920 32484 58 266 49 270 45 269 44 260 32484 30988 57 269 45 258 39 263 42 255 30988 29417 51 272 47 254 40 254 41 255 29417 27771 37 270 45 250 39 252 38 257 27771 26060 32 255 40 252 32 254 33 252 26060 24281 30 241 35 251 30 261 31 255 24281 22436 33 237 30 249 28 256 23 270 22436 20521 28 237 21 256 18 251 18 269 20521 18537 16 231 13 256 5 245 7 230 18537 16522 14 220 6 222 2 260 5 163 16522 14584 18 229 3 167 3 149 6 199 14584 12825 18 229 5 211 4 156 4 261 12825 11261 14 221 9 214 6 207 1 056 11261 9866 12 211 8 206 8 203 2 115 9866 8621 11 201 8 196 9 185 4 138 8621 7511 11 188 9 180 11 161 4 132 7511 6524 15 174 12 155 14 138 6 132 6524 5651 21 160 17 136 19 127 12 137 5651 4879 28 144 21*127 21 121 22 135 4879 4187 32*134 22*125 21 116 29 129 4187 3575 30*134 22 125 20 114 30 123 3575 3064 29 134 22 126 19 114 29 120 3064 2671 27 133 21 126 18 115 24 126 2671 2401 25 134 20 127 16 115 18 134 2401 2237 22 134 19 127 14*114 14*137 2237 2144 16 134 15 127 10*115 7*143 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography