DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.6 - - 95.4 - - 99.0 - - 97.1 - - 87.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 146 - - 487 - - 524 - - 230 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2603 - - 7219 - - 9275 - - 7666 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 3413 - - 7511 - - 9220 - - 7478 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 4703 - - 9319 - - 11375 - - 9766 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1451 - - 2481 - - 1709 - - 2283 - - 4982 Hgt.Variab. W* 296 - - 622 - - 693 - - 495 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 24 - - 21 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 218 - - 223 - - 227 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 29 - - -12 - - -11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7440 - - -4580 - - -5260 - - -8725 - - -13213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12144 - - 13899 - - 16636 - - 18492 - - 15359 sfcLCL ODpotential -12737 - - -8193 - - -8587 - - -13142 - - -19150 ODpotential blCL 17440 - - 17512 - - 19962 - - 22908 - - 21295 blCL maxRH 29 - - 31 - - 28 - - 20 - - 17 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 84.6 - - 95.4 - - 99.0 - - 97.1 - - 87.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.9 - - 41.3 - - 32.1 - - 21.9 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.5 - - 92.6 - - 96.1 - - 95.5 - - 88.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 41.3 - - 31.9 - - 21.8 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 146 - - 487 - - 524 - - 230 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2603 - - 7219 - - 9275 - - 7666 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98788 32 103 32 110 33 107 28 111 26 102 98788 91318 29 086 33 107 30 113 21 117 23 085 91318 85546 32 080 31 105 30 117 24 105 27 090 85546 80775 27 091 26 102 23 107 22 089 25 094 80775 76694 23 103 23 102 18 097 21 094 24 083 76694 73096 23 091 24 103 19 099 23 098 21 090 73096 69855 20 098 21 104 19 096 17 090 16 105 69855 66874 14 113 10 092 8 071 9 085 10 123 66874 64101 7 103 9 112 7 119 7 106 10 104 64101 61434 2 322 4 251 5 270 5 308 5 312 61434 58669 3 157 8 168 7 181 2 180 2 172 58669 55818 18 243 10 225 23 243 20 246 21 252 55818 53130 31 238 28 231 34 230 32 230 30 244 53130 50722 40 243 37 248 37 239 35 241 37 245 50722 48549 44 241 48 254 44 252 43 252 41 249 48549 46560 48 244 54 256 49 256 48 258 45 251 46560 44720 50 249 55 256 52 259 53 261 48 253 44720 43011 51 254 54 257 54 261 54 264 49 257 43011 41420 52 258 52 258 55 262 55 266 49 261 41420 39932 52 259 51 258 54 263 54 263 51 262 39932 38530 51 257 51 257 52 263 53 260 52 260 38530 37175 50 253 49 257 49 261 52 259 52 259 37175 35802 49 250 46 256 44 260 49 259 49 257 35802 34383 45 246 42 253 43 258 45 256 44 253 34383 32922 38 245 39 249 43 255 45 254 43 252 32922 31403 33 246 37 244 44 250 45 253 44 253 31403 29815 33 247 37 240 43 247 45 251 44 254 29815 28158 34 248 37 240 39 242 41 246 41 253 28158 26434 34 248 36 240 33 239 34 239 37 247 26434 24644 33 249 34 239 32 239 30 238 32 240 24644 22793 32 249 33 238 31 236 30 239 28 238 22793 20872 31 244 33 237 30 234 29 233 28 232 20872 18873 31 238 32 235 31 236 28 222 28 222 18873 16837 31 232 29 230 31 237 28 227 27 219 16837 14874 29 223 26 225 27 230 25 227 25 221 14874 13087 27 224 23 223 23 212 23 211 24 218 13087 11495 26 228 23 224 22*210 21 204 24 212 11495 10074 28 229 25*221 22*213 19*208 24 204 10074 8806 31 226 25*218 22 215 19*212 22 201 8806 7675 34 222 25 217 22 219 19 216 19 203 7675 6668 35 216 25 217 22 222 20 224 18 212 6668 5776 32 209 25 218 22 225 20 228 18 223 5776 4984 26*201 24 218 22 227 20 231 18 231 4984 4271 21*192 24 218 22 228 20 233 19 237 4271 3638 18 187 24 219 22 230 20 234 19 242 3638 3107 17 186 23 219 21 231 20 235 19 246 3107 2698 16 185 22 220 21 232 20 236 18 248 2698 2415 16 184 21 220 20 232 19 236 15 250 2415 2244 14 184 20 220 19 232 18 237 12 251 2244 2145 12 183 17 220 17 232 15 237 7*251 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography