DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 86.6 - - 84.9 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 447 - - 129 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6810 - - 10772 - - 9206 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7084 - - 10364 - - 8233 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8910 - - 12872 - - 11306 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1937 - - 923 - - 2076 - - 3421 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 567 - - 691 - - 434 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 223 - - 230 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 9 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8560 - - -5895 - - -7375 - - -12623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17471 - - 18768 - - 18682 - - 14768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12354 - - -8913 - - -11214 - - -17699 ODpotential blCL - - - 21264 - - 21785 - - 22520 - - 19843 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 85 - - 83 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 86.6 - - 84.9 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.4 - - 9.2 - - 8.2 - - 15.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 84.0 - - 83.7 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.3 - - 9.2 - - 8.3 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 447 - - 129 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6810 - - 10772 - - 9206 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 42 - - 32 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97608 30 290 32 302 30 307 25 306 97608 90262 26 296 29 292 25 290 25 302 90262 84594 16 273 25 282 25 278 21 288 84594 79877 13 223 22 240 26 268 20 264 79877 75817 21 224 22 227 22 247 20 253 75817 72222 31 258 22 259 20 242 21 252 72222 68951 41 258 37 254 31 256 29 260 68951 65947 41 248 43 244 41 254 39 258 65947 63178 38 246 38 243 42 250 41 249 63178 60508 34 250 35 253 36 246 40 245 60508 57724 35 248 39 249 38 248 41 244 57724 54829 41 250 43 249 42 251 42 252 54829 52070 52 249 49 250 49 260 49 256 52070 49600 60 246 57 250 59 256 54 255 49600 47392 64 245 64 247 63 252 61 253 47392 45394 63 244 68 244 70 250 68 251 45394 43571 63 241 68 243 76 247 80 249 43571 41893 60 239 67 243 81 247 89 245 41893 40334 59 235 67 243 82 246 91 243 40334 38879 53 229 66 243 79 246 91 243 38879 37516 49 218 64 245 78 248 90 243 37516 36206 45 217 63 249 78 248 90 243 36206 34883 47 223 62 251 75 247 88 242 34883 33512 47 226 61 251 71 247 85 243 33512 32095 44 228 59 251 68 247 80 243 32095 30619 44 232 55 251 65 248 73 242 30619 29075 42 228 47 245 58 246 66 240 29075 27464 41 210 44 241 54 244 60 239 27464 25787 42 201 47 241 49 247 55 242 25787 24047 32 198 43 241 41 244 44 247 24047 22247 22 226 39 242 35 237 33 243 22247 20379 24 238 39 233 29 238 32 234 20379 18435 23 238 29 222 25 232 31 228 18435 16454 19 237 21 232 28 219 28 223 16454 14545 17 229 16*225 25 212 25 218 14545 12807 14 215 14*196 18*207 21 203 12807 11259 14 206 13 200 14*211 18 179 11259 9879 16*204 13 203 14 214 15 179 9879 8644 15*204 13 216 14 218 13 192 8644 7542 14 204 14 225 14 228 13 213 7542 6559 13 205 14 231 14 233 14 232 6559 5688 12 205 15 235 14 237 16 245 5688 4915 11 205 15 237 14 240 19 253 4915 4218 10 205 15 239 14 241 22 257 4218 3600 10 205 15 241 14 243 24 259 3600 3082 9 205 15 242 14 245 25 260 3082 2683 8 206 15 244 14 245 23 260 2683 2407 8 205 15 244 13 246 19 260 2407 2240 7 206 14 244 13 246 15 260 2240 2144 7 205 13 244 11 246 9*259 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography