DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.1 - - 87.4 - - 82.8 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 478 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6845 - - 9856 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7161 - - 9650 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8945 - - 11956 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2648 - - 1790 - - 12476 - - 9843 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 589 - - 686 - - 18 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 19 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 258 - - 250 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 10 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6400 - - -2467 - - -9329 - - -6354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15346 - - 14424 - - 11475 - - 8498 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10442 - - -4087 - - -10029 - - -7561 ODpotential blCL - - - 19387 - - 16043 - - 12174 - - 9705 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 76 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 270 - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.1 - - 87.4 - - 82.8 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.2 - - 30.4 - - 39.5 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 84.5 - - 82.9 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 30.4 - - 39.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 478 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6845 - - 9856 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - 97 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97547 17 268 22 221 23 259 18 289 97547 90103 15 255 9 266 16 247 15 290 90103 84440 9 274 7 331 6 276 4 271 84440 79766 4 039 8 349 11 345 4 344 79766 75744 10 043 7 001 9 023 11 332 75744 72205 13 029 7 015 9 027 11 327 72205 69013 15 036 1 042 7 326 7 336 69013 66078 12 002 5 356 13 314 9 329 66078 63345 18 316 14 279 19 291 21 306 63345 60698 25 259 27 278 26 293 40 286 60698 57947 29 256 39 267 38 261 31 277 57947 55086 40 270 34 266 34 255 27 279 55086 52334 53 266 50 271 42 267 39 284 52334 49841 64 256 67 263 49 270 51 280 49841 47599 73 251 71 253 58 266 57 271 47599 45561 77 247 74 246 65 259 59 262 45561 43689 76 246 80 240 73 254 57 256 43689 41957 74 247 81 235 83 247 55 251 41957 40342 79 247 82 232 92 240 52 244 40342 38832 85 246 84 232 98 233 48 240 38832 37417 89 246 87 232 101 229 44 238 37417 36063 90 247 88 234 105 228 41 236 36063 34702 87 247 90 236 108 226 39 232 34702 33304 80 243 93 238 108 224 37 228 33304 31874 76 238 95 237 102 218 36 218 31874 30398 76 237 93 235 91 211 35 203 30398 28870 73 240 85 233 79 210 34 192 28870 27287 68 242 76 233 67 215 32 188 27287 25642 60 243 72 235 54 222 27 184 25642 23931 53 244 59 242 42 229 21 174 23931 22153 48 251 46 253 30 239 16 170 22153 20301 42 260 38 258 16 250 11 176 20301 18370 22 272 25 262 11 235 5 213 18370 16400 18 246 21 252 12 223 6 274 16400 14500 19 232 21 241 12 224 9 279 14500 12772 18 235 10*236 11 227 11 274 12772 11235 20 239 6*244 11 237 12 267 11235 9865 19*234 6 246 11 241 13 259 9865 8638 14*227 6 249 11 245 15 250 8638 7540 10 222 6 254 11 247 18 244 7540 6560 9 220 7 259 11 248 20 240 6560 5691 8 220 7 261 11 250 21 238 5691 4918 7 220 7 264 10 251 22 236 4918 4222 6 221 7 265 10 251 21 233 4222 3603 5 222 7 267 10 251 20 231 3603 3084 5 224 7 267 10 251 18 227 3084 2684 4 223 7 268 10 251 14 221 2684 2409 4 224 7 268 9 251 10 210 2409 2241 4 224 7 268 8*251 8 204 2241 2144 3 224 6 268 7*250 6*199 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography