DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.6 - - 104.5 - - - - - 93.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 515 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6952 - - 11214 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7286 - - 10806 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9052 - - 13314 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3786 - - 2381 - - - - - 4735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 610 - - 734 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 23 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 238 - - - - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -11 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4984 - - -2846 - - - - - -13858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14036 - - 16161 - - - - - 16005 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7014 - - -4768 - - - - - -19382 ODpotential blCL - - - 16066 - - 18082 - - - - - 21528 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 54 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.6 - - 104.5 - - - - - 93.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 39.8 - - - - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.8 - - 101.6 - - - - - 94.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 39.8 - - - - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 515 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6952 - - 11214 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98941 36 112 30 111 28 089 98941 91431 39 104 33 109 30 097 91431 85656 32 103 33 102 31 095 85656 80878 22 105 27 103 28 103 80878 76774 21 104 26 097 23 113 76774 73157 19 108 20 097 24 099 73157 69884 16 115 19 098 16 085 69884 66871 8 109 9 114 14 076 66871 64079 11 127 4 141 3 048 64079 61392 3 274 4 181 7 301 61392 58639 12 237 11 246 15 249 58639 55829 13 249 23 266 22 257 55829 53166 35 272 38 264 32 269 53166 50777 55 267 48 263 40 266 50777 48632 56 258 51 259 41 261 48632 46678 50 257 46 259 35 263 46678 44878 45 260 36 265 32 263 44878 43204 42 261 33 269 24 264 43204 41636 42 258 31 275 22 265 41636 40158 42 255 29 276 20 260 40158 38765 41 256 25 275 17 253 38765 37420 37 256 19 267 14 259 37420 36055 24 257 14 259 16 267 36055 34638 14 266 12 256 20 267 34638 33174 11 272 13 254 23 266 33174 31650 9 283 13 252 22 265 31650 30052 9 297 14 257 23 264 30052 28382 10 291 14 258 21 258 28382 26641 10 295 12 268 16 251 26641 24831 18 303 17 274 19 270 24831 22959 26 287 26 265 23 268 22959 21022 29 270 24 262 22 261 21022 19011 23 256 24 261 19 255 19011 16962 21 252 25 257 20 253 16962 14987 22 251 25*251 21 251 14987 13190 22 246 23*242 21 248 13190 11586 23 240 23 236 22 245 11586 10153 24*233 23 236 23 243 10153 8873 23*226 23 236 24 241 8873 7728 23 225 23 237 25 240 7728 6709 23 226 23 237 26 240 6709 5807 22 226 23 238 26 240 5807 5007 22 228 23 239 27 243 5007 4288 22 228 23 239 27 245 4288 3650 22 229 23 240 27 247 3650 3115 21 230 22 240 25 249 3115 2702 20 231 22 240 23 251 2702 2418 19 231 21 240 20 251 2418 2245 18 232 20 240 17*252 2245 2146 16 232 17 240 11*251 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography