DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 99.4 - - - - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 363 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3820 - - 11714 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4592 - - 11009 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5920 - - 13814 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5090 - - 1879 - - - - - 189 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 415 - - 663 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 255 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 17 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11552 - - -6074 - - - - - -14481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17473 - - 19889 - - - - - 16627 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16088 - - -9997 - - - - - -21526 ODpotential blCL - - - 22008 - - 23811 - - - - - 23671 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 66 - - - - - 9 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 99.4 - - - - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 17.2 - - - - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.0 - - 97.0 - - - - - 85.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 17.0 - - - - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 363 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3820 - - 11714 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97001 40 259 37 272 42 269 97001 89637 19 254 24 250 30 270 89637 84044 12 262 23 255 17 293 84044 79443 10 246 17 254 14 298 79443 75485 6 213 14 221 13 280 75485 71986 1 025 9 207 7 280 71986 68829 6 346 0 207 4 354 68829 65954 2 353 3 019 4 016 65954 63317 5 055 8 017 7 021 63317 60787 11 035 9 025 11 047 60787 58153 16 015 11 024 21 017 58153 55407 11 028 10 004 20 349 55407 52759 9 065 3 014 15 329 52759 50345 11 014 5 356 14 307 50345 48150 11 349 10 341 17 304 48150 46139 19 322 17 322 19 313 46139 44295 27 314 23 306 21 317 44295 42606 23 306 23 300 23 308 42606 41051 20 302 26 294 24 298 41051 39609 18 292 25 280 26 302 39609 38256 16 274 21 263 25 310 38256 36946 16 263 20 257 24 304 36946 35612 15 271 19 264 24 297 35612 34226 16 286 18 278 22 296 34226 32793 17 294 18 291 20 298 32793 31299 17 294 19 300 17 306 31299 29731 18 288 19 303 12 309 29731 28094 16 276 17 289 11 293 28094 26385 14 269 17 273 12 287 26385 24607 13 268 15 268 13 274 24607 22762 12 259 13 269 12 266 22762 20844 11 260 12 268 10 255 20844 18847 12 260 11 257 12 242 18847 16815 14 259 15 244 13 229 16815 14861 19 255 20*238 13 222 14861 13085 22 249 17*238 13 220 13085 11502 24 247 16 239 12 218 11502 10086 22 251 15 242 10 219 10086 8819 15 256 13 251 9 225 8819 7687 8 242 12 257 8 239 7687 6678 4*196 12 262 8 250 6678 5783 3*160 11 266 9 258 5783 4988 3 164 11 269 12 260 4988 4273 4 173 11 273 14 259 4273 3638 4 172 10 275 17 258 3638 3106 4 170 10 278 20 258 3106 2697 4 169 10 280 20 257 2697 2414 4 167 10 280 17 257 2414 2243 4 167 9 280 12*253 2243 2145 3 165 9 281 6*247 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography