DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 82.7 - - 89.2 - - 87.8 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 232 - - 319 - - 49 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2528 - - 7186 - - 7444 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3565 - - 7285 - - 5807 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 4628 - - 9286 - - 9544 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 57 - - 2882 - - 2165 - - 2917 - - 168 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 342 - - 540 - - 293 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 224 - - 268 - - 270 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 3 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7398 - - -10107 - - -7789 - - -7635 - - -11672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9541 - - 14736 - - 17076 - - 17180 - - 13816 sfcLCL ODpotential -16526 - - -14639 - - -11540 - - -11342 - - -17862 ODpotential blCL 18669 - - 19267 - - 20826 - - 20886 - - 20006 blCL maxRH 21 - - 77 - - 70 - - 40 - - 21 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 82.7 - - 89.2 - - 87.8 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 25.3 - - 20.4 - - 18.6 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.4 - - 81.0 - - 86.9 - - 87.2 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.3 - - 25.1 - - 20.1 - - 18.5 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 232 - - 319 - - 49 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2528 - - 7186 - - 7444 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96249 21 278 24 304 21 275 15 278 20 279 96249 89090 8 278 13 237 14 271 7 270 14 296 89090 83622 7 304 9 237 14 288 10 256 16 295 83622 79112 12 324 6 348 13 327 6 325 12 294 79112 75250 10 322 9 022 7 011 13 004 11 302 75250 71861 11 359 8 036 4 020 14 350 14 321 71861 68811 15 015 12 029 7 026 10 339 15 343 68811 66008 16 347 22 346 14 006 11 008 11 000 66008 63397 20 309 27 317 18 309 15 306 18 334 63397 60855 31 315 23 307 25 289 24 271 26 289 60855 58188 38 303 31 303 31 300 28 295 30 288 58188 55390 47 296 42 299 42 300 43 299 38 294 55390 52688 50 288 49 288 49 284 52 290 48 288 52688 50226 52 287 52 280 54 276 55 279 52 285 50226 47990 53 285 54 276 58 275 58 278 56 281 47990 45943 55 281 58 276 62 274 62 276 58 277 45943 44063 59 275 61 273 66 271 64 268 59 274 44063 42323 61 270 62 269 65 267 64 262 62 269 42323 40707 61 267 64 265 64 262 65 259 62 263 40707 39202 59 264 62 262 61 258 64 257 61 259 39202 37802 54 263 57 262 57 259 60 257 58 258 37802 36472 51 266 52 258 52 258 56 257 55 255 36472 35139 51 266 51 260 51 256 54 256 53 252 35139 33766 50 260 56 262 55 258 56 254 55 252 33766 32352 48 257 56 259 58 259 59 254 59 251 32352 30879 48 256 54 256 58 257 59 254 59 251 30879 29336 48 255 52 254 56 255 56 252 56 249 29336 27723 49 254 52 254 54 255 55 249 54 247 27723 26038 47 253 50 254 51 254 52 250 52 248 26038 24285 45 253 49 253 49 254 49 251 48 253 24285 22467 43 254 47 253 47 252 47 252 43 256 22467 20580 41 253 45 251 46 250 45 253 40 257 20580 18618 39 253 42 251 43 250 43 254 39 258 18618 16619 34 256 36 250 39 251 38 256 36 262 16619 14692 27 258 29 250 33 251 32 258 32 266 14692 12936 24 265 23 255 28 252 26 258 27 264 12936 11371 22 271 20 263 23 256 20 257 21 255 11371 9974 20 277 18 272 15*257 14*258 16 240 9974 8725 18 282 16 276 11*260 14*261 14 241 8725 7610 16 290 12 274 10 262 14 264 14 253 7610 6616 13 297 8 272 10 265 13 267 15 264 6616 5733 7 305 5 269 9 268 13 270 16 273 5733 4950 4 317 4*257 9 270 13 272 16 281 4950 4244 4 316 4*232 9 272 13 273 17 287 4244 3618 2 301 4 225 9 275 12 275 17 294 3618 3093 1 208 4 223 8 276 12 276 16 298 3093 2689 3 170 4 221 8 277 12 276 15 301 2689 2410 5 178 3 219 8 278 11 276 11 302 2410 2241 6 180 3 218 8 278 11 277 6 295 2241 2144 5*184 3 218 7 279 9 277 4*287 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography