DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.1 - - 100.2 - - 98.7 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 444 - - 145 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6620 - - 13984 - - 12946 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6937 - - 13005 - - 11251 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8720 - - 16084 - - 15046 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8131 - - 1767 - - 2501 - - 929 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 564 - - 752 - - 506 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 299 - - 320 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 10 - - -18 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9697 - - -3489 - - -4783 - - -15323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18418 - - 19574 - - 19830 - - 17469 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12789 - - -6585 - - -8650 - - -21203 ODpotential blCL - - - 21509 - - 22669 - - 23696 - - 23348 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 29 - - 29 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.1 - - 100.2 - - 98.7 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.7 - - 19.2 - - 16.9 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.5 - - 97.3 - - 97.4 - - 91.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 18.8 - - 16.7 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 444 - - 145 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6620 - - 13984 - - 12946 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97899 6 249 17 250 12 297 9 321 97899 90467 7 287 9 255 12 261 13 318 90467 84739 8 298 5 132 10 222 8 273 84739 79987 10 254 2 285 4 201 6 261 79987 75925 10 226 14 267 1 050 1 161 75925 72356 1 306 12 260 8 316 1 276 72356 69128 3 290 10 246 15 302 9 309 69128 66178 10 289 6 261 15 285 13 302 66178 63466 14 304 8 298 10 273 12 272 63466 60844 14 292 11 297 12 286 9 265 60844 58107 15 283 15 293 12 295 8 289 58107 55273 13 295 14 287 17 296 15 297 55273 52579 19 317 19 317 19 312 18 304 52579 50167 22 315 21 317 19 314 19 311 50167 48015 23 331 19 340 16 329 14 323 48015 46060 29 349 26 353 20 353 17 356 46060 44261 36 348 31 355 25 351 25 359 44261 42600 39 348 35 352 29 352 30 360 42600 41060 39 355 35 356 28 354 31 003 41060 39618 40 006 36 008 24 358 27 007 39618 38258 43 013 37 015 21 001 25 012 38258 36940 44 013 37 016 19 002 23 016 36940 35602 43 009 36 011 20 001 22 021 35602 34214 39 004 34 006 20 002 20 026 34214 32782 37 360 33 005 21 006 19 024 32782 31289 35 359 32 004 20 007 14 012 31289 29724 34 357 30 002 19 007 11 005 29724 28087 32 356 29 360 19 005 11 004 28087 26375 31 001 28 004 20 010 12 014 26375 24591 26 014 22 018 18 028 15 033 24591 22743 14 035 12 036 16 050 16 056 22743 20831 17 350 4 033 5 060 16 080 20831 18850 15 323 10 015 7 078 17 090 18850 16839 11 295 7*318 5*059 15 084 16839 14900 17 282 7*292 5*348 10 027 14900 13129 16 282 8 292 6 326 9 008 13129 11544 11 288 8 292 6 322 9 354 11544 10126 7 302 8 294 7 321 9 341 10126 8856 5*317 8 298 7 319 10 331 8856 7719 5*316 8 300 8 318 11 324 7719 6706 5 314 8 302 8 318 13 318 6706 5807 5 313 8 303 8 317 14 313 5807 5008 4 312 8 305 8 316 16 309 5008 4289 5 311 8 307 8 317 17 306 4289 3650 4 311 8 309 8 316 17 303 3650 3114 4 313 8 309 8 316 17 301 3114 2702 4 315 8 309 8 316 15 298 2702 2417 4 315 7 310 8 316 12 294 2417 2244 4 316 7 310 7 316 9 290 2244 2145 4 316 7 310 7 316 6*285 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography