DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 92.3 - - - - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 433 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8673 - - 12705 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8570 - - 11933 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10773 - - 14805 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2918 - - 1129 - - - - - 3994 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 610 - - 722 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 241 - - - - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 27 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5402 - - -2241 - - - - - -11243 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16176 - - 17047 - - - - - 13389 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8047 - - -4409 - - - - - -15646 ODpotential blCL - - - 18820 - - 19214 - - - - - 17791 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 64 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 92.3 - - - - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 23.1 - - - - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 89.4 - - - - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 23.1 - - - - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 433 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8673 - - 12705 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97341 44 258 45 249 50 270 97341 90007 41 260 39 260 45 273 90007 84380 35 255 33 270 31 265 84380 79715 28 257 27 267 22 275 79715 75715 15 262 20 262 15 294 75715 72178 6 270 12 253 10 303 72178 68963 5 293 7 254 11 281 68963 66005 8 287 9 246 10 249 66005 63262 10 278 15 254 14 257 63262 60608 20 265 24 256 20 266 60608 57841 25 259 29 264 29 269 57841 54970 36 271 35 264 40 264 54970 52233 46 263 40 268 45 262 52233 49768 46 262 43 268 50 263 49768 47559 45 269 44 273 50 262 47559 45557 45 278 49 275 48 266 45557 43734 47 283 49 275 54 270 43734 42070 47 286 49 276 58 269 42070 40539 46 289 47 278 56 268 40539 39114 44 295 44 281 47 267 39114 37772 43 299 41 283 42 264 37772 36472 41 297 42 282 40 260 36472 35148 37 294 42 282 42 257 35148 33774 33 292 38 283 41 263 33774 32353 30 292 31 283 36 268 32353 30874 28 291 25 280 31 253 30874 29329 26 288 25 276 29 244 29329 27718 24 288 25 278 26 239 27718 26036 20 287 21 285 22 236 26036 24286 18 286 17 284 18 234 24286 22469 16 285 13 275 15 230 22469 20582 12 266 10 269 14 223 20582 18620 10 259 7 242 16 219 18620 16622 11 258 10*230 18 210 16622 14698 16 230 14*218 19 159 14698 12948 20 213 13 223 17 147 12948 11384 18*214 12 226 12 158 11384 9985 16*219 11 235 9 174 9985 8733 13 213 9 243 6 205 8733 7615 10 202 8 250 8 248 7615 6619 8 191 7 256 12 265 6619 5736 7 188 7 262 16 270 5736 4952 6 186 6 268 19 271 4952 4246 6 183 6 273 21 271 4246 3620 5 179 6 279 23 270 3620 3095 5 175 5 282 23 270 3095 2690 4 173 5 284 21 271 2690 2411 4 170 5 286 17 271 2411 2242 4 170 5 287 13*270 2242 2145 3 168 4 289 8*269 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography