DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 101.4 - - 106.5 - - 106.7 - - 98.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 447 - - 210 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5718 - - 9658 - - 11383 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6251 - - 9452 - - 10345 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7818 - - 11758 - - 13483 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2419 - - 4277 - - 3662 - - 8478 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 551 - - 666 - - 547 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 17 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 260 - - 284 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5490 - - -3304 - - -1634 - - -11089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13309 - - 15063 - - 15117 - - 13236 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7318 - - -4212 - - -2476 - - -13638 ODpotential blCL - - - 15136 - - 15970 - - 15959 - - 15784 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 90 - - 77 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 240 - - 280 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 101.4 - - 106.5 - - 106.7 - - 98.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 47.1 - - 47.1 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 98.4 - - 103.6 - - 104.9 - - 99.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 47.1 - - 47.1 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 447 - - 210 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5718 - - 9658 - - 11383 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 60 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98780 37 095 35 110 29 084 39 086 98780 91331 38 101 38 103 33 100 28 073 91331 85583 34 104 33 102 32 106 28 085 85583 80783 22 109 28 091 27 110 26 087 80783 76654 22 122 14 081 26 091 21 103 76654 73034 17 122 15 111 15 078 18 092 73034 69773 16 110 11 117 18 096 19 090 69773 66787 15 077 10 090 8 074 20 076 66787 64032 10 077 15 079 5 057 9 023 64032 61395 7 350 11 007 11 011 11 032 61395 58693 7 344 5 333 9 316 15 339 58693 55928 16 316 10 312 5 322 9 310 55928 53304 25 299 24 301 19 294 21 304 53304 50939 29 289 33 296 31 293 28 297 50939 48810 31 284 36 291 35 287 33 290 48810 46865 32 284 38 289 40 287 38 288 46865 45069 33 285 40 289 41 288 40 285 45069 43393 32 283 38 285 40 285 40 279 43393 41819 31 280 34 281 36 279 37 277 41819 40333 30 280 31 281 32 273 33 273 40333 38930 30 282 29 284 27 272 29 269 38930 37572 29 283 28 285 25 273 25 268 37572 36194 28 283 26 281 23 271 24 265 36194 34767 25 281 22 275 22 266 24 262 34767 33294 22 276 19 270 20 265 22 255 33294 31761 19 270 18 263 19 261 20 248 31761 30157 20 261 20 248 19 251 20 249 30157 28484 23 247 19 236 16 240 17 245 28484 26742 20 243 18 233 15 232 15 232 26742 24936 14 237 16 219 14 224 14 222 24936 23067 17 227 17 215 13 221 15 214 23067 21135 22 211 19 215 17 229 19 214 21135 19132 23 198 22 201 24 216 26 216 19132 17089 19 197 19 207 21 204 23 214 17089 15113 17 191 16 187 13*205 15 209 15113 13306 15 195 14*180 7*245 5 197 13306 11693 10 208 7*208 7 261 1 036 11693 10250 6 182 6 232 7 264 4 348 10250 8959 5*181 6 238 8 279 7 327 8959 7805 6*251 7 251 9 286 10 312 7805 6776 7 264 7 266 10 290 14 303 6776 5864 7 269 8 272 11 292 17 296 5864 5053 7 273 8 276 11 294 19 292 5053 4323 7 276 8 279 11 295 21 289 4323 3674 7 280 9 281 11 296 21 287 3674 3131 7 283 9 282 11 297 21 285 3131 2712 7 285 9 283 11 297 20 284 2712 2423 7 287 9 284 11 297 18 284 2423 2247 6 286 8 285 11 298 15 284 2247 2146 6 288 8 285 10 298 10*283 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography