DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2220z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.8 - - 94.6 - - 98.9 - - 98.7 - - 89.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 391 - - 394 - - 146 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 989 - - 6951 - - 10073 - - 10121 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit 2113 - - 7202 - - 9727 - - 9062 - - 2113 Hcrit BL Top 3089 - - 9051 - - 12173 - - 12221 - - 2130 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1628 - - 2923 - - 1804 - - 2199 - - 561 Hgt.Variab. W* 182 - - 573 - - 650 - - 469 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 16 - - 22 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 341 - - 326 - - 339 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7003 - - -3236 - - -498 - - -243 - - -8553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10092 - - 12288 - - 12672 - - 12464 - - 10684 sfcLCL ODpotential -10703 - - -5135 - - -1583 - - -1228 - - -11468 ODpotential blCL 13792 - - 14186 - - 13756 - - 13449 - - 13598 blCL maxRH 83 - - 79 - - 80 - - 76 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 84.8 - - 94.6 - - 98.9 - - 98.7 - - 89.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.1 - - 47.7 - - 50.2 - - 51.1 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.9 - - 92.7 - - 96.9 - - 97.4 - - 90.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.9 - - 47.6 - - 50.1 - - 50.9 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 391 - - 394 - - 146 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 989 - - 6951 - - 10073 - - 10121 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 16 - - 19 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98769 48 091 42 108 45 102 36 097 34 089 98769 91724 43 094 43 103 39 103 39 100 35 097 91724 86205 37 093 40 096 35 106 33 096 34 099 86205 81598 30 096 34 092 34 107 27 095 32 095 81598 77621 28 103 29 094 31 103 27 101 29 092 77621 74101 27 105 26 096 27 095 27 103 26 093 74101 70910 25 101 24 100 20 091 25 102 23 098 70910 67978 21 099 22 101 16 097 23 101 20 106 67978 65271 16 106 18 098 13 099 20 096 19 112 65271 62668 12 130 12 101 9 094 15 084 17 111 62668 59966 13 145 8 155 4 128 5 088 10 105 59966 57169 11 150 14 178 11 196 7 201 3 122 57169 54510 8 178 13 181 18 198 17 209 12 227 54510 52137 12 226 12 209 18 201 22 208 20 220 52137 50022 18 239 14 234 18 217 21 213 21 216 50022 48093 25 239 24 240 24 230 22 230 22 223 48093 46309 33 236 32 239 33 236 31 243 29 237 46309 44649 37 234 38 237 39 237 40 244 38 241 44649 43094 38 233 40 234 42 234 44 241 43 238 43094 41629 36 234 38 234 41 235 45 239 45 236 41629 40240 34 237 37 235 39 237 45 238 46 236 40240 38889 32 240 35 236 38 239 44 238 45 236 38889 37509 31 242 33 238 38 242 43 241 43 238 37509 36071 30 243 33 240 39 245 43 246 42 243 36071 34579 31 243 34 241 41 247 45 251 42 248 34579 33018 32 243 36 241 44 247 49 253 44 252 33018 31376 31 242 37 241 46 247 53 254 46 254 31376 29653 29 240 34 240 44 246 53 254 48 255 29653 27846 25 239 30 236 38 241 48 253 44 256 27846 25957 21 237 26 232 32 233 39 249 36 256 25957 23990 18 236 22 231 28 227 31 242 26 252 23990 21939 17 235 18 232 23 221 25 227 21 237 21939 19802 16 227 15 231 20 218 21 209 21 220 19802 17625 12 211 11 220 15 214 17 201 20 208 17625 15529 8 212 5 195 8 201 9 194 16 197 15529 13623 4 231 1 114 1*166 2*193 7 187 13623 11927 3 062 2 039 3*329 3*327 1 176 11927 10417 7 044 4*035 5 327 4 334 3 329 10417 9072 8 028 5*009 5 326 5 337 4 328 9072 7876 7 016 6 348 5 327 5 338 5 335 7876 6815 4 348 6 339 6 326 5 339 6 343 6815 5879 6 348 7 337 6 326 6 341 8 349 5879 5051 9 341 7 337 6 326 6 341 8 355 5051 4310 11 325 7 337 6 325 6 342 10 359 4310 3656 12 309 7 338 6 326 6 343 10 003 3656 3111 11*296 7 338 6 326 6 343 11 005 3111 2692 9*286 7 338 6 326 6 344 11 008 2692 2404 8 284 7 338 6 326 6 344 11 010 2404 2229 7 283 7 339 6 326 6 343 9*010 2229 2130 6 283 6 339 6 326 6 344 5*006 2130 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography