DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 80.4 - - 78.7 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 217 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1585 - - 4872 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2722 - - 5286 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3685 - - 6972 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1198 - - 2574 - - 8624 - - 226 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 417 - - 13 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 12 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 137 - - 096 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10262 - - -8421 - - -13080 - - -10257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13948 - - 15393 - - 15224 - - 12402 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16636 - - -13343 - - -17563 - - -16918 ODpotential blCL - - - 20321 - - 20315 - - 19707 - - 19062 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 39 - - 25 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 80.4 - - 78.7 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 19.8 - - 18.9 - - 20.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.7 - - 78.7 - - 79.1 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.1 - - 19.5 - - 18.5 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 217 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1585 - - 4872 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95997 49 274 48 266 48 259 48 254 95997 88875 41 264 44 266 46 271 34 280 88875 83457 31 264 33 270 36 288 32 294 83457 78943 14 277 22 264 26 284 29 290 78943 75040 10 314 16 263 19 267 27 279 75040 71604 12 313 12 294 8 279 18 266 71604 68518 12 274 18 293 9 319 11 289 68518 65688 12 247 19 289 16 309 13 320 65688 63066 9 258 19 282 23 290 20 298 63066 60535 13 286 21 275 26 281 27 285 60535 57887 22 286 22 279 30 281 29 280 57887 55114 25 290 25 283 31 283 33 286 55114 52441 28 295 33 285 38 278 41 280 52441 50015 32 290 39 279 42 276 48 277 50015 47819 32 283 42 279 43 276 50 275 47819 45805 29 282 43 277 42 278 48 274 45805 43948 31 283 39 273 40 282 44 278 43948 42227 30 283 33 271 36 278 39 277 42227 40628 20 278 26 270 30 266 37 264 40628 39141 17 261 19 259 25 259 36 254 39141 37754 17 229 18 246 21 254 32 244 37754 36429 16 218 17 230 21 242 28 241 36429 35092 16 221 18 226 21 231 24 242 35092 33709 17 221 17 220 19 230 23 237 33709 32276 16 204 20 193 19 223 23 229 32276 30787 21 177 26 174 21 198 23 211 30787 29238 24 162 29 173 28 174 26 187 29238 27629 25 157 25 171 28 166 24 184 27629 25954 23 151 21 158 24 158 18 195 25954 24212 20 144 21 145 23 154 17 218 24212 22403 20 135 23 139 22 153 17 210 22403 20520 19 123 25 133 22 154 19 195 20520 18559 17 111 24 127 21 155 16 193 18559 16559 15 097 21 123 16 152 12 193 16559 14629 15 094 17 121 11 150 9 166 14629 12870 14 100 11 129 7 168 8 151 12870 11306 11 112 7 148 10 200 8 183 11306 9917 8 117 5 164 13 207 5 216 9917 8676 6 112 5 166 11 207 4 232 8676 7567 6 118 8*160 8 196 5 209 7567 6578 9 130 10*147 6 170 6 178 6578 5702 14 138 12 140 6 134 9 157 5702 4924 19 138 12 137 7 113 12 145 4924 4224 24*134 13 136 8 107 14 138 4224 3603 23*135 13 136 8 104 13 134 3603 3082 21 137 13 135 8 101 10 129 3082 2682 20 138 12 134 8 099 7 127 2682 2407 19 138 12 134 8 098 3 136 2407 2240 17 139 11 134 7 097 1*177 2240 2144 13 139 10 134 5*096 2*218 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography