DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.4 - - 102.8 - - - - - 94.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 490 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4719 - - 12736 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5374 - - 12034 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6819 - - 14836 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7827 - - 2648 - - - - - 11735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 480 - - 753 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 334 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4279 - - 1882 - - - - - -8947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11099 - - 12955 - - - - - 11094 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5909 - - 1190 - - - - - -10850 ODpotential blCL - - - 12728 - - 13646 - - - - - 12996 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 76 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 820 - - 910 - - - - - 910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.4 - - 102.8 - - - - - 94.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.9 - - 52.8 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.9 - - 99.6 - - - - - 96.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 52.8 - - - - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 490 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4719 - - 12736 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 2 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98588 19 103 18 111 17 072 98588 91120 19 081 25 109 15 076 91120 85384 15 106 20 087 15 085 85384 80639 19 105 14 073 16 056 80639 76559 17 088 14 084 14 063 76559 72956 18 092 13 078 14 088 72956 69702 18 076 9 079 15 070 69702 66739 14 053 9 095 14 038 66739 64015 13 041 13 069 3 037 64015 61403 10 359 4 054 8 051 61403 58695 5 203 9 219 21 349 58695 55899 0 059 13 200 23 279 55899 53247 22 319 7 294 24 269 53247 50861 38 290 32 293 37 287 50861 48712 45 271 41 272 48 286 48712 46742 51 255 46 263 51 275 46742 44914 59 243 51 253 49 266 44914 43210 58 236 61 244 47 255 43210 41618 55 234 60 238 50 248 41618 40126 51 235 55 238 53 249 40126 38722 48 240 52 240 54 248 38722 37370 48 242 51 240 53 248 37370 36002 47 243 49 244 51 250 36002 34585 45 247 44 249 44 257 34585 33124 41 253 39 253 37 263 33124 31606 36 258 34 260 31 265 31606 30018 30 265 30 270 25 267 30018 28360 27 274 29 281 22 273 28360 26630 25 280 26 292 21 278 26630 24832 15 297 13 306 17 292 24832 22969 9 345 5 337 8 318 22969 21037 5 338 4 358 6 350 21037 19035 6 322 4 320 8 025 19035 17004 11 313 9 354 12 039 17004 15047 12 318 9*358 12 034 15047 13260 11 329 7*353 11 016 13260 11661 11 344 6 342 11 355 11661 10230 13 352 6 339 12 345 10230 8947 12 356 7 336 12 340 8947 7797 11*358 7 333 13 336 7797 6771 9*357 7 331 13 332 6771 5860 5 344 8 329 14 330 5860 5050 3 301 8 328 14 328 5050 4321 3 284 9 328 15 326 4321 3673 3 278 9 327 15 325 3673 3130 3 276 9 327 15 323 3130 2711 3 276 9 327 14 321 2711 2422 3 275 9 327 12 319 2422 2247 3 275 9 327 9*316 2247 2146 3 277 8 328 5*312 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography