DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.4 - - 103.2 - - 104.2 - - 97.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 449 - - 171 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5724 - - 7317 - - 7638 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6255 - - 7554 - - 7258 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7824 - - 9417 - - 9738 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1513 - - 4644 - - 5489 - - 7421 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 551 - - 608 - - 448 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 23 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 329 - - 336 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1505 - - -2161 - - -2838 - - -9727 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9330 - - 11579 - - 12577 - - 11874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3656 - - -3427 - - -4302 - - -12459 ODpotential blCL - - - 11480 - - 12844 - - 14040 - - 14605 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 58 - - 59 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 1620 - - 1810 - - 1340 - - 610 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.4 - - 103.2 - - 104.2 - - 97.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.6 - - 59.5 - - 56.1 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.5 - - 100.3 - - 102.6 - - 99.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 59.4 - - 56.0 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 449 - - 171 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5724 - - 7317 - - 7638 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99060 36 107 42 116 27 109 24 098 99060 91574 37 123 35 120 27 103 25 097 91574 85807 37 113 30 109 34 097 28 107 85807 80990 34 094 26 097 31 097 34 096 80990 76859 29 091 22 096 24 100 31 088 76859 73257 27 100 22 098 21 100 23 093 73257 70003 24 102 21 104 18 086 18 100 70003 67006 23 089 20 117 13 106 16 075 67006 64258 15 072 16 095 15 105 16 078 64258 61630 7 059 18 086 17 083 17 094 61630 58905 8 121 16 088 17 094 14 098 58905 56090 11 093 10 109 9 099 9 089 56090 53422 6 042 6 116 1 286 7 001 53422 51026 12 015 10 039 9 022 10 019 51026 48867 19 002 17 019 17 026 18 034 48867 46904 17 002 19 037 18 049 19 060 46904 45104 16 040 22 049 23 057 26 068 45104 43432 22 047 26 051 24 071 27 067 43432 41862 22 047 27 048 25 082 24 068 41862 40382 20 050 23 053 23 074 21 063 40382 38983 20 046 21 060 20 066 19 058 38983 37630 22 040 23 056 20 062 19 065 37630 36256 26 032 25 053 21 059 20 070 36256 34833 28 026 30 049 23 056 21 066 34833 33365 28 027 32 045 27 055 21 065 33365 31835 24 028 26 046 27 054 20 068 31835 30232 23 034 23 054 23 052 19 075 30232 28559 19 056 22 052 22 056 22 082 28559 26816 19 074 21 068 22 058 23 084 26816 25007 18 071 21 079 21 074 21 086 25007 23134 19 067 20 082 21 086 22 089 23134 21192 15 074 16 080 20 081 23 089 21192 19176 15 099 12 089 19 075 23 091 19176 17126 19 107 12 109 15 083 21 094 17126 15147 18 105 12 109 13 107 16 102 15147 13338 15 092 10 100 11 120 11 107 13338 11719 13 074 8 091 7 125 5 112 11719 10274 11 057 4*072 1*022 3 327 10274 8980 9*035 3*333 6*334 7 317 8980 7824 6*358 4 327 7 333 9 320 7824 6792 5 337 4 325 7 334 9 327 6792 5877 5 333 5 326 8 335 10 334 5877 5064 6 332 5 327 8 336 11 338 5064 4331 6 332 5 329 8 337 12 341 4331 3680 6 333 6 330 9 338 12 343 3680 3134 6 335 6 332 9 339 13 344 3134 2714 6 335 6 333 9 339 13 345 2714 2424 6 336 6 334 8 340 11 344 2424 2247 6 337 6 334 8 340 8 342 2247 2146 6 336 5 334 8 340 4*338 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography