DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 73.4 - - 70.3 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 187 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 2791 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 3672 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2822 - - 4891 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 919 - - 1816 - - 4123 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 330 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 306 - - 331 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9653 - - -9574 - - -11400 - - -8031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12475 - - 14466 - - 13545 - - 10176 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17583 - - -15750 - - -17460 - - -16187 ODpotential blCL - - - 20405 - - 20641 - - 19604 - - 18331 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 66 - - 60 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 73.4 - - 70.3 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.0 - - 17.4 - - 18.6 - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 71.9 - - 71.0 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.7 - - 17.2 - - 18.3 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 187 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 2791 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96111 4 010 6 324 10 028 10 359 96111 89086 12 101 9 076 5 112 4 276 89086 83634 14 094 15 070 9 097 2 259 83634 79086 8 099 9 062 9 067 6 358 79086 75156 7 076 3 060 9 011 13 357 75156 71680 10 032 1 221 10 355 16 349 71680 68535 11 359 7 342 11 351 15 349 68535 65652 11 349 14 334 16 337 17 347 65652 62980 11 343 18 338 22 351 19 348 62980 60381 22 325 25 331 27 339 21 333 60381 57668 27 314 29 313 32 318 29 326 57668 54853 31 310 33 302 34 301 34 317 54853 52166 35 306 36 298 38 300 37 303 52166 49748 38 297 39 297 42 298 41 300 49748 47570 37 292 39 284 45 291 45 296 47570 45577 37 290 36 284 47 287 45 292 45577 43737 35 282 40 286 47 282 46 288 43737 42034 39 273 45 278 46 275 48 279 42034 40466 45 265 49 269 49 271 53 271 40466 39017 54 278 52 276 58 269 63 268 39017 37662 75 283 70 276 66 270 65 266 37662 36354 75 276 74 269 71 271 69 274 36354 35028 75 274 74 268 71 271 71 274 35028 33651 72 276 73 272 70 267 72 273 33651 32226 62 277 62 276 69 266 67 276 32226 30743 53 275 53 276 61 276 56 281 30743 29193 48 276 50 274 53 278 36 294 29193 27576 45 279 47 274 49 278 36 311 27576 25888 44 280 44 274 46 278 32 308 25888 24134 41 281 44 277 43 280 33 296 24134 22320 37 281 43 281 42 286 33 294 22320 20439 33 286 42 289 37 293 30 298 20439 18481 29 287 33 294 28 298 28 302 18481 16482 26 291 24 296 23 296 25 304 16482 14553 24 296 21 300 20 299 20 304 14553 12794 22 297 20 301 16 307 15 306 12794 11227 20 295 17 303 13 312 10 311 11227 9833 17 294 14 305 10 306 5 292 9833 8592 13 296 11 304 8 291 4 247 8592 7489 10 304 8 304 6 267 5 246 7489 6510 7 321 5 303 6 256 5 273 6510 5644 4 340 3*291 5 275 6 300 5644 4877 3 346 3*297 5 304 6 318 4877 4188 1 324 3 299 6 320 6 338 4188 3577 1 198 3 304 7 326 7 000 3577 3066 2*187 3 309 8 328 9 011 3066 2673 2*200 3 312 8 329 10 016 2673 2402 1 201 3 316 8 331 9 018 2402 2237 1 201 3 316 7 331 4*028 2237 2144 1 196 3 318 6*331 1*026 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography