DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.9 - - 72.0 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 173 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1340 - - 5106 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 5343 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3440 - - 7206 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2456 - - 2163 - - 5188 - - 520 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 205 - - 394 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 249 - - 285 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 15 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3276 - - -2152 - - -5739 - - -3495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6717 - - 9358 - - 7883 - - 5639 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7124 - - -4951 - - -9329 - - -8424 ODpotential blCL - - - 10564 - - 12157 - - 11473 - - 10568 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 68 - - 79 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.9 - - 72.0 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 43.3 - - 44.9 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 75.5 - - 72.9 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 43.1 - - 44.8 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 173 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1340 - - 5106 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96006 36 284 34 278 30 279 31 276 96006 88950 21 299 21 291 28 287 29 291 88950 83518 20 300 21 298 19 295 24 297 83518 79024 22 306 20 295 16 314 19 298 79024 75144 24 312 23 308 20 319 21 321 75144 71704 19 300 25 303 22 305 24 302 71704 68587 18 270 19 292 19 319 15 307 68587 65694 18 240 19 255 29 294 21 273 65694 62995 21 243 25 236 30 245 35 240 62995 60387 31 253 32 240 35 236 35 237 60387 57661 45 254 44 248 41 250 44 252 57661 54838 59 244 64 246 60 249 59 244 54838 52145 75 234 74 240 68 244 60 240 52145 49715 80 228 75 234 73 244 69 248 49715 47538 73 232 75 234 77 243 77 247 47538 45575 73 239 80 237 78 243 78 246 45575 43787 75 238 79 239 81 241 80 244 43787 42142 72 233 77 239 81 237 79 237 42142 40614 69 233 76 237 78 235 72 234 40614 39178 69 236 75 236 77 237 71 239 39178 37821 68 237 71 238 75 239 76 242 37821 36509 66 237 69 238 73 239 77 239 36509 35175 64 238 66 238 69 239 77 235 35175 33789 63 240 62 240 70 244 74 237 33789 32356 61 238 59 240 71 246 71 244 32356 30864 59 237 57 235 68 244 67 246 30864 29302 57 236 57 229 63 239 60 243 29302 27671 56 235 58 229 61 235 58 237 27671 25972 53 233 60 233 61 237 58 233 25972 24204 55 232 61 240 59 240 58 236 24204 22372 57 236 58 243 55 237 55 238 22372 20474 55 241 53 243 53 238 51 238 20474 18508 51 245 49 243 48 241 45 237 18508 16509 46 246 44 243 43 244 40 235 16509 14585 40 243 39 243 39 246 37 238 14585 12832 35 240 35 240 35 243 35 242 12832 11269 32 241 32 238 32 239 32 243 11269 9877 29 240 28 234 29 235 30 241 9877 8635 26 236 22 228 24 231 27 238 8635 7529 23 232 16*227 19 222 23 233 7529 6545 20 231 13*233 14 222 20 225 6545 5675 17 233 13 238 11 234 18 222 5675 4903 14 235 12 246 10 246 16 229 4903 4209 11 236 11 251 10 257 15 242 4209 3592 8*230 11 255 9 265 14 254 3592 3077 6*218 11 258 9 272 12 262 3077 2679 4 215 10 261 9 277 10 267 2679 2406 4 213 10 262 8 280 7 269 2406 2239 3 213 10 263 7 283 4 259 2239 2144 3 214 9 263 5*285 3*243 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography