DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 83.4 - - - - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 471 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5853 - - 8190 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6385 - - 8282 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7953 - - 10290 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2295 - - 2139 - - - - - 4990 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 568 - - 641 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 24 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 233 - - - - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -12 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6874 - - -6003 - - - - - -8170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14828 - - 16294 - - - - - 10315 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10729 - - -8641 - - - - - -11794 ODpotential blCL - - - 18682 - - 18931 - - - - - 13938 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 82 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 83.4 - - - - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.2 - - 17.9 - - - - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 80.9 - - - - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 17.9 - - - - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 471 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5853 - - 8190 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 29 - - - - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97595 23 278 38 259 39 291 97595 90263 28 284 27 288 30 297 90263 84562 25 285 28 307 22 282 84562 79814 23 274 24 296 16 275 79814 75761 19 283 19 273 15 280 75761 72196 16 256 6 246 16 275 72196 68961 17 249 12 252 16 244 68961 65971 25 249 19 241 18 233 65971 63185 23 233 26 234 28 253 63185 60491 25 240 36 227 33 246 60491 57691 34 242 43 237 35 250 57691 54788 48 246 46 241 34 252 54788 52024 51 244 45 240 40 260 52024 49550 45 248 46 249 51 259 49550 47357 46 257 48 255 58 254 47357 45395 48 259 47 259 66 253 45395 43620 50 267 56 269 73 253 43620 41986 58 277 65 273 77 252 41986 40458 69 283 73 274 79 251 40458 39018 73 284 79 273 80 249 39018 37657 69 283 79 271 79 248 37657 36340 61 278 75 269 74 246 36340 35000 56 270 71 266 69 244 35000 33608 56 265 70 264 66 247 33608 32171 55 264 67 261 64 250 32171 30675 53 265 64 258 63 251 30675 29110 51 263 61 253 61 248 29110 27481 50 260 56 253 57 243 27481 25787 49 260 48 258 52 241 25787 24033 47 264 42 261 49 251 24033 22222 45 267 39 252 54 258 22222 20348 41 265 41 243 59 255 20348 18402 38 261 42 249 57 248 18402 16425 33 254 36 248 34 232 16425 14519 26 245 29 238 24 247 14519 12780 20 234 29 233 23 258 12780 11230 20 228 27*229 22 259 11230 9848 23 227 25*229 20 253 9848 8613 23*225 25 229 21 243 8613 7513 22*225 25 230 25 234 7513 6534 22 225 24 232 28 230 6534 5667 22 226 24 233 29 231 5667 4898 21 227 24 234 28 234 4898 4207 21 229 24 235 27 237 4207 3592 21 230 24 236 26 239 3592 3077 20 231 23 237 24 241 3077 2680 19 232 22 237 21 242 2680 2406 19 232 21 237 18 243 2406 2240 18 233 20 238 15*242 2240 2144 15 233 17 238 10*242 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography