DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 100.3 - - 101.2 - - 95.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 426 - - 196 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6351 - - 9008 - - 8686 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6717 - - 8899 - - 8168 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8451 - - 11108 - - 10786 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2480 - - 1828 - - 3029 - - 8391 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 554 - - 641 - - 489 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 41 - - 90 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 033 - - 312 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -6 - - -6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1270 - - -139 - - -920 - - -8422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9721 - - 11247 - - 11707 - - 10569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2137 - - -420 - - -1574 - - -10842 ODpotential blCL - - - 10588 - - 11528 - - 12360 - - 12988 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 87 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 350 - - 310 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 100.3 - - 101.2 - - 95.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 58.0 - - 56.9 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.7 - - 97.6 - - 99.4 - - 96.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 57.9 - - 56.8 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 426 - - 196 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6351 - - 9008 - - 8686 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 47 - - 44 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99039 42 100 44 098 42 099 46 104 99039 91582 37 102 33 100 32 098 37 080 91582 85811 38 097 34 119 34 101 34 090 85811 81016 36 094 36 115 35 096 37 103 81016 76918 31 097 33 100 32 094 38 100 76918 73312 31 109 29 093 26 101 35 094 73312 70059 29 109 29 096 26 102 26 093 70059 67089 26 117 29 102 25 101 23 084 67089 64362 33 122 27 118 26 104 21 085 64362 61744 35 105 28 126 25 119 19 102 61744 59037 25 091 22 116 25 120 25 128 59037 56249 15 131 13 104 18 108 24 123 56249 53594 24 159 21 156 18 158 15 150 53594 51211 22 163 29 162 25 168 19 173 51211 49078 20 175 29 171 25 171 22 174 49078 47134 14 184 22 181 17 187 17 183 47134 45337 8 181 18 191 14 206 11 196 45337 43659 6 199 14 190 13 210 10 212 43659 42079 6 209 11 160 13 209 10 213 42079 40586 8 212 6 139 9 193 8 198 40586 39172 11 203 5 174 11 154 8 170 39172 37802 9 199 6 172 10 137 11 155 37802 36411 7 229 5 155 5 147 7 134 36411 34968 5 268 3 138 5 141 5 111 34968 33478 3 316 3 093 5 134 5 133 33478 31928 5 007 4 090 6 125 6 128 31928 30307 5 360 3 104 6 126 5 123 30307 28616 5 309 2 148 5 143 4 136 28616 26854 7 289 2 196 5 156 4 136 26854 25023 6 311 4 208 5 178 5 133 25023 23128 6 348 4 168 7 201 5 163 23128 21167 6 020 5 164 10 206 7 194 21167 19135 7 011 5 176 10 207 8 200 19135 17072 8 005 6 194 6 191 8 193 17072 15087 5 031 6 191 7 162 12 181 15087 13280 6 044 6 162 8 148 12 173 13280 11669 6 046 4*111 5*146 9 165 11669 10230 8 041 3*079 3*151 6 163 10230 8943 8*032 3 067 3 153 4 166 8943 7792 7*028 3 054 1 200 2 167 7792 6766 3 003 3 040 1 298 1 325 6766 5856 3 357 3 026 2 316 4 340 5856 5047 2 356 3 020 2 320 6 342 5047 4319 2 358 3 014 3 324 7 341 4319 3672 2 360 3 011 3 326 8 341 3672 3129 2 005 4 008 4 327 9 341 3129 2711 2 010 4 006 4 328 9 341 2711 2422 2 017 4 007 4 327 9 340 2422 2247 2 018 4 006 4 329 7*340 2247 2146 2 019 3 005 4 330 5*340 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography