DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 91.5 - - 101.4 - - 107.5 - - - - - 100.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 420 - - 467 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 773 - - 3825 - - 7011 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit 2129 - - 4752 - - 7323 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top 2873 - - 5925 - - 9111 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1049 - - 1796 - - 3139 - - - - - 5937 Hgt.Variab. W* 164 - - 479 - - 607 - - - - - 4 W* B/S 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 005 - - 350 - - 336 - - - - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5682 - - -6729 - - -6296 - - - - - -12216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8555 - - 12654 - - 15408 - - - - - 14363 sfcLCL ODpotential -9494 - - -9091 - - -8116 - - - - - -16119 ODpotential blCL 12367 - - 15016 - - 17227 - - - - - 18265 blCL maxRH 97 - - 86 - - 64 - - - - - 45 maxRH CAPE 290 - - 10 - - 40 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 91.5 - - 101.4 - - 107.5 - - - - - 100.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.5 - - 53.3 - - 46.8 - - - - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 90.5 - - 98.6 - - 104.6 - - - - - 102.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.4 - - 53.1 - - 46.7 - - - - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 420 - - 467 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 773 - - 3825 - - 7011 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 43 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99308 49 109 46 096 44 104 36 098 99308 91808 47 090 46 099 47 104 41 097 91808 86046 43 084 41 100 45 102 42 091 86046 81276 37 097 35 101 39 105 36 088 81276 77150 40 108 33 109 32 106 31 093 77150 73491 37 104 32 111 29 102 35 090 73491 70201 30 097 26 107 27 095 35 083 70201 67214 28 093 25 108 26 099 28 089 67214 64468 24 086 28 099 27 110 21 098 64468 61832 19 076 26 089 26 109 17 092 61832 59125 19 091 23 090 19 093 19 086 59125 56362 21 097 20 103 16 097 20 068 56362 53751 15 099 14 106 14 095 15 073 53751 51402 18 090 14 082 12 085 13 061 51402 49285 18 088 17 087 15 094 10 057 49285 47342 17 092 17 099 13 104 10 070 47342 45537 14 081 11 131 3 130 6 101 45537 43846 8 006 10 109 3 111 3 090 43846 42255 7 290 10 046 7 102 4 098 42255 40752 6 254 12 025 9 073 4 089 40752 39331 5 222 9 035 6 090 5 061 39331 37956 7 200 4 350 0 010 7 047 37956 36559 10 186 2 327 3 334 13 016 36559 35111 8 171 3 360 7 079 5 062 35111 33615 5 112 9 080 12 094 9 116 33615 32061 6 065 8 064 11 076 10 113 32061 30437 6 088 8 035 10 056 9 120 30437 28745 8 106 4 035 9 046 6 144 28745 26985 10 094 4 076 8 074 4 144 26985 25159 10 094 6 100 8 098 5 099 25159 23268 15 112 7 100 7 130 10 096 23268 21312 19 130 9 160 10 164 14 099 21312 19286 24 150 18 169 13 174 14 105 19286 17220 18 133 19 167 18 171 14 115 17220 15224 7 109 9 150 16 167 13 119 15224 13399 4 037 8 080 7 127 9 116 13399 11767 5 001 6 044 8 078 7 100 11767 10310 7 360 5 012 7*045 3 029 10310 9009 9 360 6 358 8*350 7 315 9009 7846 11 357 7 343 10 342 10 307 7846 6810 11 356 9*340 10 339 11 308 6810 5891 9 341 11*349 11 336 12 311 5891 5074 9 306 11 350 11 334 12 315 5074 4339 12 276 12 350 12 333 13 319 4339 3685 11 275 12 351 12 331 13 321 3685 3138 5*303 12 350 12 331 13 323 3138 2716 3*003 12 350 12 330 13 324 2716 2424 3 006 11 350 12 330 12 324 2424 2247 3 006 11 350 11 330 9 322 2247 2146 3 006 10 350 10 331 5*319 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography