DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 70.6 - - 76.4 - - 75.7 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 143 - - 190 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1782 - - 4594 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2819 - - 5006 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3882 - - 6694 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 64 - - 2215 - - 4433 - - 9346 - - 308 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 259 - - 391 - - 25 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 50 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 191 - - 349 - - 004 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5118 - - -7613 - - -7135 - - -11617 - - -8594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7262 - - 11495 - - 13829 - - 13763 - - 10739 sfcLCL ODpotential -14057 - - -13035 - - -11416 - - -15762 - - -15207 ODpotential blCL 16200 - - 16917 - - 18110 - - 17907 - - 17351 blCL maxRH 83 - - 86 - - 89 - - 81 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 70.6 - - 76.4 - - 75.7 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.0 - - 27.8 - - 22.8 - - 22.5 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 69.4 - - 74.9 - - 75.6 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 27.7 - - 22.5 - - 22.2 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 143 - - 190 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1782 - - 4594 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 44 - - 55 - - 23 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96255 26 281 37 266 45 271 38 273 30 271 96255 89054 30 284 34 269 39 275 31 281 29 280 89054 83582 29 276 31 271 28 272 23 289 28 288 83582 79059 23 269 24 271 21 271 18 298 22 279 79059 75148 16 260 13 272 12 266 18 293 18 282 75148 71698 12 295 9 297 7 262 16 268 19 282 71698 68582 18 290 11 313 9 283 11 275 15 290 68582 65719 22 288 20 299 18 302 14 311 17 300 65719 63072 30 284 23 279 25 292 20 289 20 294 63072 60512 29 265 26 262 32 274 30 286 25 293 60512 57831 30 267 28 252 36 262 41 271 35 278 57831 55033 40 275 31 265 35 263 39 262 42 265 55033 52343 49 268 40 268 39 265 47 265 49 266 52343 49895 51 263 52 260 53 261 59 265 59 271 49895 47682 51 265 54 261 61 259 64 267 62 267 47682 45663 55 271 53 269 60 259 62 262 63 260 45663 43805 62 274 54 272 55 260 62 260 68 264 43805 42085 68 272 58 272 56 266 67 265 72 269 42085 40486 69 271 58 274 60 271 68 268 75 269 40486 39000 67 272 57 278 61 272 69 272 72 270 39000 37622 66 278 57 281 60 275 68 273 66 269 37622 36313 65 284 64 282 64 276 61 267 61 263 36313 34994 67 292 67 283 61 271 60 268 53 267 34994 33625 71 295 65 280 58 270 57 274 54 269 33625 32207 64 293 61 281 57 276 58 275 51 271 32207 30728 56 288 56 279 53 273 57 275 50 271 30728 29177 55 290 53 278 48 267 51 274 47 274 29177 27555 45 296 48 280 44 268 45 270 46 274 27555 25863 29 279 37 282 37 273 34 271 41 273 25863 24108 22 257 26 278 26 271 26 273 29 273 24108 22298 15 258 16 267 18 262 19 259 20 269 22298 20424 8 264 14 253 16 271 10 273 11 265 20424 18471 5 251 8 244 13 266 10 280 8 313 18471 16476 8 211 7 238 10 260 7 289 6 351 16476 14553 10 208 8 217 9 246 5 298 5 041 14553 12807 12 209 11 195 10 220 4 260 4 066 12807 11256 12 193 9 184 7 191 5 208 3 191 11256 9873 9 199 3 150 4 114 4 197 3 219 9873 8636 6 226 1 101 3 083 3 205 1 276 8636 7531 4 243 1 017 1*055 1 248 3 307 7531 6546 4 259 2 307 1*351 2 306 5 317 6546 5674 5 280 3 272 1 339 3 339 7 325 5674 4900 7 288 3 253 1 340 4 349 8 336 4900 4206 8 288 3*222 1 348 5 355 9 354 4206 3589 7 285 3*196 2 348 5 359 10 011 3589 3073 6 272 3 191 2 354 6 000 12 022 3073 2677 4 226 3 191 2 354 6 001 13 028 2677 2404 6 190 3 190 2 356 6 002 12 031 2404 2238 6*189 3 189 2 357 6*002 6*034 2238 2144 5*192 3 189 2 358 5*004 3*029 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography