DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 98.3 - - 104.4 - - 103.5 - - 94.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 482 - - 196 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5555 - - 9284 - - 9001 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6124 - - 9186 - - 8415 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7655 - - 11384 - - 11101 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1752 - - 2885 - - 3680 - - 5776 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 547 - - 674 - - 495 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 272 - - 283 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9123 - - -6563 - - -6318 - - -13817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16779 - - 17948 - - 17420 - - 15964 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14322 - - -10310 - - -10277 - - -19911 ODpotential blCL - - - 21977 - - 21694 - - 21378 - - 22057 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 60 - - 68 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 0 - - 70 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 98.3 - - 104.4 - - 103.5 - - 94.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 31.6 - - 33.2 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.5 - - 101.3 - - 101.9 - - 96.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 31.5 - - 33.2 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 482 - - 196 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5555 - - 9284 - - 9001 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98552 21 120 19 118 12 065 19 066 98552 91091 23 109 19 107 16 111 18 073 91091 85329 22 082 23 098 20 107 17 089 85329 80561 18 081 22 096 21 077 20 101 80561 76480 18 104 19 098 16 071 23 089 76480 72892 19 111 18 105 14 083 17 076 72892 69658 16 122 14 108 11 098 14 087 69658 66702 12 123 12 117 12 121 8 076 66702 63980 10 170 2 017 10 119 5 137 63980 61365 12 185 8 249 3 286 1 112 61365 58653 12 203 16 229 16 255 12 280 58653 55861 15 219 25 229 27 238 26 247 55861 53213 24 248 27 243 27 241 29 241 53213 50832 45 255 39 254 35 252 32 243 50832 48684 57 245 50 245 44 245 40 238 48684 46719 61 240 56 239 51 241 51 237 46719 44907 64 237 61 234 60 234 64 229 44907 43218 62 237 62 232 63 229 66 224 43218 41634 58 240 60 234 61 230 64 225 41634 40145 54 243 56 237 59 231 62 227 40145 38745 50 244 52 241 54 234 56 230 38745 37396 46 244 47 243 50 239 51 237 37396 36028 36 243 37 239 43 242 43 242 36028 34611 18 245 23 231 34 241 34 243 34611 33149 7 259 11 216 28 241 28 241 33149 31629 1 283 8 204 20 248 21 244 31629 30040 4 140 8 188 15 254 15 248 30040 28382 7 170 7 191 12 242 13 254 28382 26654 8 141 7 174 8 212 9 256 26654 24857 6 112 7 138 3 201 2 245 24857 22994 8 034 5 036 4 052 3 047 22994 21056 7 077 7 071 6 072 5 072 21056 19036 5 126 6 128 6 152 2 076 19036 16984 4 179 7 190 14 215 13 221 16984 15013 14 239 19 242 20 240 18 240 15013 13216 25 241 20 248 16 248 16 245 13216 11612 25 247 14*253 12*265 8 247 11612 10180 20 250 12*257 11*272 6 285 10180 8902 15 248 12 259 12 275 8 299 8902 7759 9*240 11 265 12 279 10 301 7759 6739 7*237 11 269 12 282 13 301 6739 5835 6 240 11 274 13 285 15 301 5835 5030 5 244 11 277 13 286 16 303 5030 4307 4 248 11 280 13 288 17 303 4307 3662 4 253 11 282 13 289 18 304 3662 3123 3 259 11 284 13 290 18 304 3123 2707 3 266 11 285 13 290 17 305 2707 2420 3 267 10 286 13 290 14 305 2420 2245 3 269 10 286 12 291 11*304 2245 2146 3 270 9 287 11 291 6*305 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography