DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 91.5 - - 84.1 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 291 - - 73 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2709 - - 7247 - - 1901 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3684 - - 7287 - - 2129 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4809 - - 9347 - - 4001 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2817 - - 3730 - - 2983 - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 346 - - 526 - - 214 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 29 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 104 - - 347 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -6 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1620 - - -221 - - -2500 - - -188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6429 - - 9569 - - 6501 - - 2333 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3646 - - -1068 - - -4539 - - -4546 ODpotential blCL - - - 8455 - - 10415 - - 8540 - - 6691 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 81 - - 69 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 1720 - - 1480 - - 1990 - - 1950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 91.5 - - 84.1 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.5 - - 56.7 - - 62.7 - - 68.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 89.4 - - 83.2 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 56.5 - - 62.5 - - 67.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 291 - - 73 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2709 - - 7247 - - 1901 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 22 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98344 6 276 5 106 3 035 4 008 98344 90943 4 141 4 123 7 118 3 081 90943 85254 10 090 12 136 6 132 9 077 85254 80551 14 105 10 130 6 074 15 089 80551 76528 17 110 10 116 11 093 15 098 76528 72972 15 102 12 103 15 100 15 088 72972 69749 12 110 11 118 16 111 11 098 69749 66787 12 149 8 125 9 120 10 098 66787 64048 8 153 4 161 2 196 6 057 64048 61408 10 185 10 193 9 226 6 261 61408 58659 5 214 8 213 13 234 16 248 58659 55811 22 230 25 225 25 225 25 233 55811 53097 29 204 30 212 25 223 26 229 53097 50646 28 205 32 220 29 234 32 235 50646 48431 31 221 37 227 39 240 43 239 48431 46409 37 223 45 231 46 235 50 233 46409 44546 40 219 46 226 47 228 47 230 44546 42819 41 217 44 221 46 223 44 233 42819 41212 40 215 44 220 45 220 42 236 41212 39712 40 210 43 216 40 222 38 235 39712 38307 40 206 41 210 37 224 34 230 38307 36957 39 206 40 209 35 220 29 226 36957 35590 37 204 38 209 33 216 27 222 35590 34178 32 200 34 210 31 215 25 217 34178 32725 24 193 31 211 28 213 21 214 32725 31217 17 187 28 211 27 209 15 219 31217 29639 14 170 26 205 23 204 10 228 29639 27992 13 170 23 195 21 205 8 232 27992 26277 16 185 22 192 21 206 9 228 26277 24500 22 196 23 196 19 207 14 219 24500 22665 23 205 21 209 17 212 18 210 22665 20762 21 214 18 221 18 213 20 203 20762 18784 20 217 19 222 18 221 20 201 18784 16770 14 199 17 215 17 224 17 199 16770 14830 10 158 13 193 15 203 17 198 14830 13059 8 116 12 164 16 190 18 192 13059 11476 8 099 11 141 15 187 17 193 11476 10060 8 099 10*130 13 179 16 196 10060 8793 10 100 9*126 12 169 13 199 8793 7661 11 102 8 124 10 156 10 202 7661 6653 11 103 5 115 8 130 8 194 6653 5759 10 103 3 104 6 103 7 152 5759 4967 8*098 2 082 5 069 8 115 4967 4255 7*089 2 055 4*025 8 094 4255 3624 6 074 2 026 6*352 8 079 3624 3096 5 056 2 012 6 347 6 068 3096 2691 5 047 2 001 6 346 2 043 2691 2411 5 042 2 000 6 346 2 300 2411 2242 5 040 2 358 6 345 3*272 2242 2145 5 038 2 358 6 344 3*265 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography