DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 84.5 - - 83.9 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 441 - - 138 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4734 - - 7229 - - 7782 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5448 - - 7475 - - 7201 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6834 - - 9329 - - 9882 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1408 - - 1395 - - 1626 - - 6463 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 507 - - 602 - - 419 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 249 - - 263 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3963 - - -4358 - - -3423 - - -9671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10797 - - 13688 - - 13306 - - 11817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9821 - - -8922 - - -7078 - - -14897 ODpotential blCL - - - 16655 - - 18251 - - 16960 - - 17042 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 76 - - 78 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 84.5 - - 83.9 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.4 - - 31.2 - - 32.5 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 81.6 - - 82.7 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 31.1 - - 32.4 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 441 - - 138 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4734 - - 7229 - - 7782 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96838 38 271 38 263 45 266 53 287 96838 89608 26 274 35 272 31 272 30 285 89608 84061 18 261 25 266 21 295 16 299 84061 79430 10 254 14 264 13 307 11 314 79430 75431 11 260 9 294 9 275 16 311 75431 71916 5 140 8 190 12 260 23 298 71916 68758 15 301 6 281 11 246 18 267 68758 65867 23 263 21 290 14 287 14 289 65867 63184 28 269 29 279 27 278 27 286 63184 60588 30 273 34 279 33 273 28 278 60588 57874 39 287 40 286 39 286 36 296 57874 55054 53 286 52 285 53 289 53 289 55054 52365 59 280 57 278 61 280 59 278 52365 49927 61 283 60 276 63 279 57 278 49927 47711 65 284 65 281 67 281 58 283 47711 45683 68 280 68 281 70 282 67 287 45683 43837 70 277 72 279 73 277 76 278 43837 42172 69 277 73 271 73 266 76 265 42172 40646 67 279 73 267 74 271 61 266 40646 39219 63 282 65 268 78 279 61 273 39219 37867 61 285 61 270 83 284 64 277 37867 36557 60 285 57 271 80 283 65 277 36557 35223 59 281 50 273 72 279 64 276 35223 33837 58 285 48 269 62 270 63 276 33837 32402 50 280 48 262 51 264 61 274 32402 30905 50 275 48 256 47 263 64 271 30905 29335 48 268 49 254 46 263 57 269 29335 27697 44 268 48 253 50 259 51 257 27697 25991 34 268 43 257 49 256 53 264 25991 24220 31 263 39 260 43 256 50 274 24220 22392 33 259 36 260 38 259 41 274 22392 20501 34 259 35 259 33 262 30 278 20501 18540 32 265 33 264 28 270 24 279 18540 16541 28 273 29 269 24 274 21 269 16541 14615 23 278 24 270 20 268 21 258 14615 12863 20 273 20 264 17 252 19 246 12863 11305 18 260 18 245 15 236 16 228 11305 9917 15 247 13*234 14*244 12 220 9917 8679 14 242 12*238 13*248 9 241 8679 7572 12*239 12 241 14 255 10 260 7572 6585 9*237 11 245 14 259 12 269 6585 5710 9 236 11 248 14 263 14 272 5710 4933 8 239 11 252 14 266 16 274 4933 4233 8 240 11 255 14 268 17 276 4233 3610 7 241 11 257 14 270 18 277 3610 3089 6 244 10 259 14 271 17 278 3089 2687 6 245 10 260 13 272 16 279 2687 2409 5 245 10 261 13 272 13 279 2409 2241 5 246 9 261 12 273 10*278 2241 2145 5 245 9 262 11 273 6*276 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography