DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.4 - - 93.4 - - 95.3 - - 90.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 363 - - 211 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5946 - - 4703 - - 5848 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6456 - - 5392 - - 6015 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8046 - - 6803 - - 7948 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1673 - - 3601 - - 3593 - - 5726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 569 - - 492 - - 439 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 252 - - 257 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -9 - - -6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1079 - - -1613 - - -2795 - - -7162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9126 - - 8417 - - 10744 - - 9308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3663 - - -3032 - - -4329 - - -9889 ODpotential blCL - - - 11709 - - 9835 - - 12277 - - 12035 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 80 - - 81 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 800 - - 1500 - - 210 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.4 - - 93.4 - - 95.3 - - 90.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 63.7 - - 55.4 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.4 - - 91.0 - - 93.6 - - 90.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 63.2 - - 55.3 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 363 - - 211 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5946 - - 4703 - - 5848 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 19 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 13 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99078 35 107 34 113 27 101 38 083 99078 91633 37 106 36 112 29 097 31 089 91633 85887 40 101 38 101 31 105 27 095 85887 81106 35 093 36 094 35 099 28 104 81106 76989 22 096 28 090 33 085 28 100 76989 73360 24 101 17 103 23 080 25 083 73360 70091 23 095 14 106 15 091 17 091 70091 67100 13 083 12 099 10 090 14 111 67100 64338 5 106 8 115 4 075 11 066 64338 61674 6 115 8 164 8 169 4 013 61674 58919 3 073 5 171 9 179 4 203 58919 56089 4 299 0 208 1 275 6 164 56089 53399 4 234 10 163 6 229 4 223 53399 50980 5 193 13 143 10 182 8 216 50980 48822 5 187 8 141 5 165 6 168 48822 46874 8 186 6 206 9 244 1 075 46874 45076 7 187 9 231 13 250 7 273 45076 43395 4 143 6 191 9 247 7 151 43395 41816 8 106 5 137 8 140 6 142 41816 40326 10 107 7 133 11 131 9 134 40326 38919 10 103 10 114 11 114 13 114 38919 37558 6 085 13 099 13 098 17 106 37558 36177 6 036 16 119 15 118 17 117 36177 34745 2 086 20 125 8 133 14 126 34745 33267 13 143 16 132 3 275 6 132 33267 31730 23 132 14 152 8 230 1 295 31730 30122 23 128 15 154 9 188 3 229 30122 28444 18 127 15 145 11 157 7 184 28444 26696 15 119 15 136 11 150 12 172 26696 24886 15 110 13 135 9 143 13 157 24886 23016 16 124 9 129 11 144 17 134 23016 21077 21 140 12 112 15 140 20 121 21077 19058 26 143 14 111 17 138 18 116 19058 17002 22 137 16 127 18 139 13 125 17002 15020 13 105 17 135 18 142 13 146 15020 13216 13 091 12 115 12 136 11 150 13216 11607 12 065 6 088 4 096 7 148 11607 10172 13 015 1 002 3 330 1 188 10172 8889 10*332 4 281 4*298 3 273 8889 7744 10*305 5*278 4*282 5 274 7744 6723 11 296 6*276 6 269 8 270 6723 5819 12 290 7 267 9 261 11 265 5819 5017 12 289 8 257 10 257 15 260 5017 4295 13 288 11 248 11 254 18 258 4295 3654 13 288 11 246 12 253 19 257 3654 3118 13 288 11 245 12 253 19 256 3118 2704 13 288 11 244 12 252 18 256 2704 2419 12 288 11 243 12 252 16 255 2419 2245 12 288 11 243 12 251 14*255 2245 2146 11 288 10 243 10 251 10*254 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography