DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.9 - - 101.6 - - 101.5 - - 93.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 424 - - 157 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5727 - - 11234 - - 11763 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6192 - - 10711 - - 10392 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7827 - - 13334 - - 13863 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5554 - - 2212 - - 2256 - - 6000 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 523 - - 688 - - 502 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 191 - - 121 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 153 - - 276 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -16 - - -9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2645 - - -232 - - 170 - - -10117 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10473 - - 13566 - - 13694 - - 12263 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3432 - - -866 - - -546 - - -12508 ODpotential blCL - - - 11259 - - 14200 - - 14409 - - 14654 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 71 - - 75 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 80 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.9 - - 101.6 - - 101.5 - - 93.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 49.0 - - 48.5 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.4 - - 98.7 - - 100.0 - - 95.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 48.8 - - 48.4 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 424 - - 157 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5727 - - 11234 - - 11763 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99061 34 110 32 104 34 108 38 077 99061 91564 45 102 38 110 36 100 38 090 91564 85832 45 099 37 108 36 097 40 100 85832 81099 36 102 34 108 36 090 42 098 81099 77011 30 110 30 099 30 092 36 092 77011 73403 25 115 27 104 29 098 26 089 73403 70151 21 117 20 103 23 099 19 090 70151 67170 20 121 18 122 19 091 14 113 67170 64411 21 120 17 119 13 102 16 104 64411 61752 21 106 21 140 12 116 11 088 61752 59004 8 118 14 132 16 156 8 128 59004 56163 13 202 17 210 16 178 15 174 56163 53449 20 207 28 214 22 224 15 219 53449 51014 19 207 31 199 31 216 24 226 51014 48842 20 234 20 210 26 204 24 207 48842 46874 37 250 35 249 27 237 25 233 46874 45073 40 231 39 241 35 237 35 230 45073 43408 35 224 39 229 35 225 35 219 43408 41846 34 247 33 228 34 220 33 218 41846 40368 33 258 29 231 31 229 31 226 40368 38967 32 248 31 234 30 239 33 235 38967 37612 34 237 35 245 32 240 32 237 37612 36235 38 241 36 250 31 240 29 238 36235 34808 38 250 34 247 28 244 25 244 34808 33334 39 255 29 244 28 241 21 242 33334 31800 36 258 25 244 23 226 21 232 31800 30194 26 268 24 247 19 232 19 226 30194 28516 15 268 19 237 16 246 14 226 28516 26766 12 246 16 222 14 247 12 231 26766 24946 13 241 15 220 14 246 11 236 24946 23062 17 241 15 239 14 253 10 244 23062 21112 19 243 17 261 14 264 9 260 21112 19093 18 234 16 266 11 272 4 277 19093 17045 11 232 10 247 4 253 4 135 17045 15073 2 226 4*170 5*158 11 137 15073 13274 1 344 4*138 4*164 9 156 13274 11666 3 273 3 139 4 173 6 179 11666 10228 4 255 2 141 3 179 4 203 10228 8941 3*198 1 148 1 211 3 241 8941 7789 5*134 1 160 1 275 3 292 7789 6762 6 128 0 227 2 312 5 319 6762 5851 6 127 1 290 3 323 7 330 5851 5042 5 132 1 300 3 330 9 335 5042 4314 4 136 1 312 3 334 11 339 4314 3668 4 137 2 314 4 335 12 341 3668 3126 4 137 2 318 4 337 13 342 3126 2709 3 138 2 319 4 339 13 344 2709 2421 3 137 2 320 4 339 12 344 2421 2246 3 135 2 324 4 339 9*343 2246 2146 3 137 2 322 4 340 5*344 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography