DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.8 - - 101.6 - - 101.0 - - 89.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 470 - - 186 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5438 - - 9687 - - 11170 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6039 - - 9505 - - 10081 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7538 - - 11787 - - 13270 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3537 - - 3422 - - 2301 - - 3712 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 547 - - 679 - - 523 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 309 - - 309 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - 40 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11936 - - -7900 - - -6132 - - -13444 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19475 - - 19688 - - 19403 - - 15590 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14858 - - -9143 - - -9495 - - -17882 ODpotential blCL - - - 22396 - - 20930 - - 22765 - - 20027 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 68 - - 62 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.8 - - 101.6 - - 101.0 - - 89.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.9 - - 20.3 - - 21.1 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.0 - - 98.7 - - 99.5 - - 90.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.7 - - 20.3 - - 21.2 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 470 - - 186 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5438 - - 9687 - - 11170 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98607 13 124 14 138 11 138 8 089 98607 91117 19 132 12 137 10 105 9 105 91117 85347 17 136 14 118 15 098 14 116 85347 80562 17 114 15 104 17 110 11 127 80562 76440 7 110 11 112 15 101 12 113 76440 72811 4 125 10 126 12 068 17 085 72811 69554 12 124 10 129 5 108 18 066 69554 66597 17 131 10 146 6 153 7 054 66597 63878 11 129 12 149 3 166 6 121 63878 61242 5 143 8 156 6 246 3 112 61242 58493 5 181 8 182 12 236 7 276 58493 55658 3 311 1 256 9 202 8 269 55658 52964 10 323 8 349 4 039 8 308 52964 50529 9 345 12 345 11 350 12 313 50529 48326 12 341 16 323 17 326 14 316 48326 46315 14 357 16 341 15 331 16 320 46315 44469 24 003 25 351 23 354 23 342 44469 42767 32 004 26 004 26 354 31 357 42767 41190 36 012 33 019 25 009 36 360 41190 39716 38 014 38 019 30 020 34 360 39716 38331 36 012 38 019 35 019 34 009 38331 36998 34 016 37 021 35 018 35 012 36998 35648 36 019 35 024 32 018 31 011 35648 34251 37 017 32 026 30 024 29 014 34251 32810 34 016 31 026 27 030 27 021 32810 31310 30 022 31 026 28 029 24 029 31310 29741 29 032 30 030 26 031 22 030 29741 28103 27 032 28 035 24 037 20 023 28103 26394 26 032 25 041 22 038 18 019 26394 24616 22 034 23 045 20 043 15 026 24616 22775 15 037 17 039 19 051 13 064 22775 20867 6 017 11 029 17 062 15 082 20867 18884 9 116 10 076 16 078 15 076 18884 16860 10 112 11 081 15 082 15 063 16860 14903 9 103 10 071 10*063 13 058 14903 13114 5 067 7*044 10*332 9 042 13114 11517 8 352 9*326 14 321 9 006 11517 10094 11 338 11 312 15 317 11 355 10094 8823 11 337 12 309 16 312 12 344 8823 7689 10*327 12 308 17 308 12 327 7689 6678 10*312 12 307 17 305 14 306 6678 5783 11 309 12 307 17 303 17 290 5783 4988 11 308 12 307 18 302 22 276 4988 4274 11 308 12 307 18 300 25 270 4274 3640 11 309 12 306 18 300 26 268 3640 3108 11 309 12 307 17 300 26 268 3108 2699 10 310 12 307 17 299 24 267 2699 2416 10 310 12 307 17 299 21 267 2416 2244 10 311 11 308 16 298 18 267 2244 2145 9 310 10 308 14 298 12*266 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography