DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.8 - - 96.3 - - 94.4 - - 87.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 207 - - 3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4637 - - 13042 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5143 - - 11685 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6737 - - 15142 - - 2146 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8298 - - 1359 - - 14777 - - 320 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 420 - - 576 - - 26 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 18 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 199 - - 115 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4572 - - 2672 - - -10484 - - -9342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11309 - - 12471 - - 12631 - - 11488 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5895 - - 1420 - - -11249 - - -11723 ODpotential blCL - - - 12632 - - 13722 - - 13395 - - 13868 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 98 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 240 - - 100 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.8 - - 96.3 - - 94.4 - - 87.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 48.6 - - 46.0 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.0 - - 94.6 - - 94.3 - - 89.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 48.0 - - 45.4 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 207 - - 3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4637 - - 13042 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 90 - - 59 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97946 20 252 19 260 24 260 23 263 97946 90584 14 222 17 256 16 261 13 256 90584 84895 4 259 11 222 13 261 12 271 84895 80176 3 014 6 177 8 261 8 290 80176 76126 4 346 0 325 5 310 6 006 76126 72570 4 321 7 321 9 334 8 010 72570 69377 4 023 9 332 7 332 8 342 69377 66467 6 035 6 357 4 021 8 331 66467 63786 9 013 7 352 8 005 8 338 63786 61197 10 001 9 332 11 329 11 331 61197 58504 12 328 12 312 14 305 14 310 58504 55723 21 313 21 306 23 295 22 301 55723 53073 29 307 29 300 30 293 28 299 53073 50680 35 298 36 297 33 296 35 297 50680 48522 37 293 40 296 39 299 38 296 48522 46549 38 292 45 295 43 302 37 299 46549 44722 38 292 45 295 46 303 40 300 44722 43018 39 289 46 290 46 296 40 296 43018 41421 40 288 47 288 49 290 41 291 41421 39921 41 289 45 287 50 286 43 288 39921 38509 37 289 42 289 46 285 42 285 38509 37149 33 289 39 289 43 284 41 283 37149 35773 32 291 35 289 40 279 39 281 35773 34351 33 293 33 290 36 275 36 278 34351 32888 33 290 32 289 33 277 32 276 32888 31365 30 290 29 286 29 281 27 278 31365 29771 25 293 24 285 25 277 23 271 29771 28113 20 292 20 282 21 262 21 261 28113 26392 16 297 16 278 16 267 20 253 26392 24603 14 304 12 279 14 262 15 243 24603 22749 13 301 10 278 12 254 12 233 22749 20826 9 288 8 258 7 245 7 223 20826 18840 6 263 6 242 8 233 18 207 18840 16829 9 217 11*221 13 231 17 209 16829 14889 8 216 10*221 11 249 10 212 14889 13121 2 235 9 224 10 256 9 213 13121 11541 4 255 8 223 8 256 7 208 11541 10126 4 237 7 221 6 249 4 193 10126 8858 7 209 6 217 4 231 3 169 8858 7723 10*196 6 200 3 199 3 142 7723 6710 12*186 5 182 4 164 3 119 6710 5812 14 174 5 168 4 144 3 105 5812 5012 15 163 6 158 5 132 3 096 5012 4293 15 160 6 151 6 125 4 088 4293 3653 15 157 6 145 6 120 4 078 3653 3116 15 156 6 142 6 118 5 071 3116 2703 14 155 6 140 6 117 5 064 2703 2418 14 153 6 138 6 116 5 062 2418 2244 13 153 6 138 6*116 4 073 2244 2145 11 153 6 137 5*115 2*092 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography