DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.5 - - 68.0 - - 76.0 - - 73.0 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 98 - - 163 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1399 - - 3114 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2127 - - 3835 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3499 - - 5214 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 410 - - 819 - - 1701 - - 4772 - - 284 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 211 - - 326 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 18 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 134 - - 114 - - 067 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 7 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4294 - - -6330 - - -6459 - - -8946 - - -5180 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6437 - - 9829 - - 11674 - - 11090 - - 7324 sfcLCL ODpotential -14637 - - -13432 - - -11828 - - -15400 - - -13573 ODpotential blCL 16780 - - 16931 - - 17042 - - 17544 - - 15717 blCL maxRH 78 - - 98 - - 75 - - 66 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.5 - - 68.0 - - 76.0 - - 73.0 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 32.9 - - 32.5 - - 32.3 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 67.2 - - 74.6 - - 74.8 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 32.8 - - 32.4 - - 32.0 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 98 - - 163 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1399 - - 3114 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 90 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96130 26 025 20 005 30 336 27 346 24 005 96130 89030 26 045 27 019 29 347 37 359 32 003 89030 83565 25 036 27 026 24 010 35 004 38 008 83565 79021 26 015 23 031 24 026 25 007 38 005 79021 75081 26 347 29 008 23 020 21 008 31 351 75081 71604 20 327 27 346 25 001 18 359 23 339 71604 68481 16 319 24 327 23 347 15 343 19 332 68481 65610 18 322 19 320 19 330 17 321 21 327 65610 62948 21 314 20 306 23 313 21 311 22 319 62948 60384 26 294 22 287 29 290 30 300 23 310 60384 57720 25 288 25 272 31 271 31 274 27 298 57720 54960 36 292 25 289 28 277 33 277 30 283 54960 52328 47 278 41 276 41 274 39 267 41 263 52328 49962 46 261 48 264 44 266 37 263 34 275 49962 47846 41 269 51 271 40 275 46 284 40 288 47846 45951 44 277 66 287 67 293 78 269 68 260 45951 44229 67 275 89 260 82 263 79 258 76 257 44229 42617 84 266 101 253 83 253 72 255 78 258 42617 41095 79 265 97 253 78 251 64 254 74 260 41095 39652 68 271 91 255 71 252 59 256 66 259 39652 38283 66 276 79 259 62 255 53 251 60 259 38283 36953 61 276 74 265 53 257 49 247 57 260 36953 35599 51 271 67 270 49 271 45 249 51 253 35599 34196 43 271 55 283 49 284 41 257 42 233 34196 32747 38 279 53 288 44 298 33 276 37 227 32747 31235 33 287 47 294 35 314 25 311 29 231 31235 29652 31 282 35 305 25 316 17 338 14 283 29652 28000 31 281 26 300 18 301 11 345 10 321 28000 26276 25 280 19 312 15 289 5 270 5 010 26276 24482 16 256 11 309 8 299 13 224 4 171 24482 22626 10 252 5 210 7 232 14 223 11 200 22626 20700 3 261 7 176 10 204 16 218 15 192 20700 18698 3 346 8 160 11 189 18 216 15 196 18698 16663 3 292 10 198 12 204 17 216 16 213 16663 14707 9 247 11 228 14 225 12 228 17 223 14707 12924 9 257 12 240 15 247 10 270 7 228 12924 11336 7 263 11 253 12 262 12 295 2 326 11336 9922 5 289 10 257 9 280 9 303 5 001 9922 8661 5 038 4 250 6 288 4 328 3 010 8661 7538 11 058 3 123 3 161 4 160 2 065 7538 6545 9 080 6 148 6 138 8 124 4 135 6545 5669 12 108 12 133 8*122 9 112 9 134 5669 4895 19 121 20 128 10*116 9 108 12 130 4895 4201 26 125 24 126 10 115 8 104 15 131 4201 3586 29 125 23*129 10 114 7 098 15 126 3586 3071 32 126 20*132 9 113 6 093 12 122 3071 2676 27 133 19 133 9 112 6 087 5 113 2676 2403 20 141 18 134 8 112 5 081 3 081 2403 2238 16 145 16 134 8 111 4 074 1*102 2238 2144 7*156 12 135 7 111 3*067 1*184 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography