DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 103.1 - - 107.9 - - 107.2 - - 97.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 418 - - 149 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4857 - - 12343 - - 9613 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5503 - - 11611 - - 8674 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6957 - - 14443 - - 11713 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7725 - - 4365 - - 7217 - - 2081 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 493 - - 706 - - 462 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 64 - - 122 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 263 - - 332 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -12 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5536 - - -197 - - -3203 - - -10502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12494 - - 14641 - - 14917 - - 12649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7169 - - -1095 - - -3992 - - -13142 ODpotential blCL - - - 14126 - - 15538 - - 15705 - - 15288 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 63 - - 74 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 900 - - 570 - - 420 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 103.1 - - 107.9 - - 107.2 - - 97.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 50.4 - - 48.7 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 100.5 - - 105.0 - - 105.7 - - 99.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 50.3 - - 48.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 418 - - 149 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4857 - - 12343 - - 9613 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99149 27 114 33 111 22 115 23 075 99149 91683 42 102 34 118 26 116 23 081 91683 85899 42 102 35 112 30 118 26 092 85899 81099 30 090 30 094 32 106 29 106 81099 76973 22 085 26 088 31 086 30 101 76973 73332 26 109 19 104 24 078 28 083 73332 70046 30 113 18 126 20 084 20 084 70046 67047 20 103 19 127 19 107 21 094 67047 64300 8 098 15 117 17 121 21 094 64300 61675 12 135 12 118 13 135 12 096 61675 58957 17 137 17 139 16 145 8 168 58957 56147 12 132 18 128 18 137 14 161 56147 53478 8 138 10 141 9 143 12 164 53478 51078 9 160 14 181 11 183 9 180 51078 48922 13 188 16 180 13 172 12 172 48922 46962 17 201 15 163 13 166 13 147 46962 45161 19 177 20 149 15 168 11 156 45161 43487 21 151 27 145 23 162 18 161 43487 41920 27 137 31 146 31 150 27 151 41920 40443 25 135 28 149 31 147 31 144 40443 39047 23 144 24 151 27 145 28 154 39047 37693 21 141 22 153 27 149 28 158 37693 36318 22 134 22 158 28 151 27 153 36318 34891 18 128 18 150 27 151 27 155 34891 33417 12 130 14 126 20 150 24 151 33417 31883 16 164 11 126 17 146 20 147 31883 30277 16 163 12 148 16 147 17 155 30277 28602 14 151 12 157 14 154 16 160 28602 26853 11 137 12 142 11 158 13 157 26853 25037 12 137 12 127 12 148 11 148 25037 23162 16 142 13 140 17 136 12 155 23162 21223 16 142 17 148 19 145 14 155 21223 19209 11 163 14 146 18 151 18 145 19209 17159 10 190 10 149 15 148 19 140 17159 15178 11 194 11*182 13 151 13 136 15178 13367 11 187 7*186 8 154 7 138 13367 11747 7 178 5 186 3*162 3 156 11747 10298 4 173 2 189 2*168 1 233 10298 9000 1 149 1 222 1 297 2 292 9000 7840 3*102 1 290 4 326 4 317 7840 6805 2*096 2 316 6 330 6 332 6805 5886 2 090 2 327 8 332 9 339 5886 5070 1 082 3 329 9 333 10 341 5070 4336 1 067 4 331 9 334 12 343 4336 3683 1 054 4 333 10 335 13 344 3683 3136 1 041 4 333 10 335 13 345 3136 2715 1 035 5 335 10 335 13 345 2715 2424 2 030 5 336 10 335 12 344 2424 2247 1 032 4 336 10 336 9 341 2247 2146 1 030 4 336 9 335 5*337 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography