DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 87.4 - - - - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 450 - - 495 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5673 - - 8077 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6233 - - 8212 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7773 - - 10177 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1942 - - 1612 - - - - - 5598 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 558 - - 648 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 249 - - - - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6639 - - -6693 - - - - - -11165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14413 - - 16871 - - - - - 13311 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12142 - - -11475 - - - - - -17303 ODpotential blCL - - - 19915 - - 21652 - - - - - 19448 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 66 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 87.4 - - - - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.1 - - 19.4 - - - - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 84.4 - - - - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.0 - - 19.3 - - - - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 450 - - 495 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5673 - - 8077 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97741 24 257 32 262 27 313 97741 90319 19 272 22 271 24 306 90319 84626 12 290 15 280 14 289 84626 79901 12 292 11 291 14 303 79901 75827 13 291 9 312 17 316 75827 72256 4 278 9 331 14 328 72256 69034 8 295 5 301 13 302 69034 66078 8 267 12 268 18 268 66078 63344 13 281 14 271 14 257 63344 60704 33 278 37 289 25 299 60704 57977 43 275 48 271 32 290 57977 55153 46 274 46 273 42 290 55153 52450 53 284 54 286 56 275 52450 50012 71 280 67 283 61 269 50012 47816 75 278 72 285 63 281 47816 45814 82 286 83 289 74 289 45814 43976 93 290 97 284 93 285 43976 42288 94 289 98 280 101 276 42288 40738 90 291 92 279 98 274 40738 39292 85 294 84 286 96 283 39292 37927 77 291 91 293 101 286 37927 36604 64 283 97 295 102 285 36604 35256 53 274 91 290 101 290 35256 33857 47 267 78 284 94 287 33857 32410 44 264 62 277 91 282 32410 30908 42 264 53 270 79 280 30908 29346 42 265 49 262 65 281 29346 27720 41 263 45 258 60 278 27720 26027 36 260 43 261 56 272 26027 24267 33 258 41 260 49 268 24267 22444 33 265 39 261 46 270 22444 20548 32 270 37 264 43 273 20548 18576 31 272 33 265 39 273 18576 16568 29 269 29 263 33 270 16568 14634 24 261 26 258 27 265 14634 12878 20 251 23 247 23 256 12878 11314 22 245 19*234 20 242 11314 9923 23 242 17*238 14 232 9923 8681 19*235 17 240 12 246 8681 7574 14*225 16 243 14 260 7574 6587 13 225 16 247 17 265 6587 5711 12 226 16 251 19 268 5711 4932 11 229 17 253 20 269 4932 4232 10 230 16 255 21 270 4232 3609 10 233 16 257 22 271 3609 3088 9 236 16 259 21 272 3088 2686 9 238 16 259 19 271 2686 2409 8 239 15 260 16 271 2409 2241 8 239 15 260 12*270 2241 2145 7 239 13 260 7*268 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography