DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.0 - - 85.3 - - 89.2 - - 86.3 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 420 - - 468 - - 126 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 411 - - 7258 - - 8500 - - 7576 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 7476 - - 8532 - - 6970 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2511 - - 9358 - - 10600 - - 9676 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1941 - - 1575 - - 1862 - - 2624 - - 3346 Hgt.Variab. W* 126 - - 593 - - 648 - - 403 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 14 - - 17 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 212 - - 221 - - 225 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 13 - - 11 - - -10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10420 - - -6190 - - -6757 - - -7368 - - -10949 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12932 - - 15549 - - 17358 - - 17045 - - 13094 sfcLCL ODpotential -18190 - - -12007 - - -10570 - - -11989 - - -16669 ODpotential blCL 20701 - - 21365 - - 21170 - - 21665 - - 18813 blCL maxRH 79 - - 82 - - 90 - - 85 - - 19 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.0 - - 85.3 - - 89.2 - - 86.3 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 23.7 - - 19.0 - - 17.7 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.3 - - 82.7 - - 86.4 - - 85.2 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.9 - - 23.5 - - 18.8 - - 17.8 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 420 - - 468 - - 126 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 411 - - 7258 - - 8500 - - 7576 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 29 - - 60 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98283 9 219 12 263 13 240 8 230 3 310 98283 90786 2 185 12 227 12 225 11 249 2 316 90786 84999 6 213 10 192 11 220 12 234 6 274 84999 80220 6 165 9 164 8 187 6 170 4 229 80220 76136 6 056 7 107 6 098 5 140 5 158 76136 72560 5 078 10 083 12 069 13 071 14 089 72560 69356 8 106 9 108 8 121 6 067 10 055 69356 66442 6 106 9 120 10 133 3 187 2 063 66442 63748 0 041 5 186 8 163 7 169 8 186 63748 61145 6 270 3 212 10 183 13 201 19 187 61145 58428 25 256 21 249 20 240 18 241 20 216 58428 55579 34 254 34 259 30 262 26 261 27 247 55579 52816 48 258 46 266 45 262 42 260 43 251 52816 50295 60 255 56 258 57 254 65 251 64 250 50295 48015 63 254 64 256 67 251 78 245 72 244 48015 45937 73 259 79 255 78 251 78 248 73 249 45937 44043 80 257 87 253 88 250 87 250 84 252 44043 42310 78 255 82 252 88 248 93 247 93 250 42310 40714 74 255 76 252 85 248 93 246 96 247 40714 39231 71 256 76 252 83 247 92 244 96 245 39231 37846 73 259 77 251 81 245 87 242 94 243 37846 36516 77 261 78 248 79 243 83 241 90 241 36516 35171 79 260 80 246 82 242 81 241 86 240 35171 33781 79 258 81 245 87 240 80 239 85 241 33781 32349 77 253 82 243 85 237 80 234 84 240 32349 30862 71 250 80 242 81 237 84 231 83 238 30862 29305 66 248 74 242 80 237 87 232 83 236 29305 27680 63 246 70 243 79 237 85 234 83 234 27680 25984 62 248 69 242 76 236 84 235 83 232 25984 24218 58 251 69 242 73 236 81 235 82 233 24218 22390 50 248 65 242 69 237 75 236 72 236 22390 20501 43 240 53 235 62 235 62 239 53 233 20501 18539 38 232 44 225 51 232 49 235 44 222 18539 16541 34 230 39 226 44 230 47 227 40 221 16541 14617 31 230 32 231 33 226 35 218 34 225 14617 12867 25 220 25 223 23 215 25 202 28 218 12867 11306 23 210 21 211 18*207 20 197 27 208 11306 9914 22 212 17*208 17*211 18*205 26 201 9914 8671 21 215 15*209 17 212 18*209 24 196 8671 7560 19 217 15 210 17 215 18 215 22 197 7560 6572 18 215 14 211 17 219 18 221 21 202 6572 5697 17 212 14 211 17 222 18 225 20 211 5697 4921 16 205 14 213 17 224 19 228 21 222 4921 4223 16 196 13 213 17 226 19 231 22 230 4223 3604 16 183 13 214 17 228 19 232 23 237 3604 3084 14 171 12 214 17 229 18 233 22 241 3084 2684 12*163 12 214 16 230 18 234 20 244 2684 2408 9*160 11 215 16 230 18 235 17 245 2408 2240 8 161 11 215 15 230 16 235 13 246 2240 2144 7 161 10 215 13 230 14 235 8*244 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography