DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.2 - - 80.1 - - 87.0 - - 85.8 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 227 - - 310 - - 55 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2143 - - 4566 - - 3713 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3278 - - 5214 - - 3315 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2144 - - 4243 - - 6666 - - 5813 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 60 - - 1724 - - 1855 - - 2901 - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 321 - - 459 - - 242 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 30 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 304 - - 323 - - 332 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5372 - - -7693 - - -6701 - - -7606 - - -7569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7516 - - 11937 - - 13368 - - 13420 - - 9715 sfcLCL ODpotential -15691 - - -13267 - - -11454 - - -12876 - - -15711 ODpotential blCL 17835 - - 17510 - - 18120 - - 18689 - - 17856 blCL maxRH 34 - - 34 - - 29 - - 46 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.2 - - 80.1 - - 87.0 - - 85.8 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.7 - - 35.5 - - 35.6 - - 34.3 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.3 - - 78.4 - - 84.8 - - 85.1 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 35.5 - - 35.5 - - 34.2 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 227 - - 310 - - 55 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2143 - - 4566 - - 3713 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96519 7 091 13 265 9 274 10 298 9 278 96519 89341 8 101 6 197 4 232 5 289 6 016 89341 83810 2 324 4 178 8 201 7 288 9 295 83810 79208 7 343 3 328 2 153 12 296 7 279 79208 75233 12 333 7 335 8 042 14 306 13 334 75233 71747 25 324 16 348 14 360 16 321 25 327 71747 68659 22 343 27 351 26 348 21 354 24 347 68659 65858 35 344 35 346 35 340 30 344 36 350 65858 63269 44 341 40 338 43 333 44 339 44 339 63269 60769 42 331 40 333 42 328 44 336 41 332 60769 58149 42 323 41 331 40 333 39 333 39 332 58149 55388 51 319 45 322 49 323 48 327 44 329 55388 52719 58 312 54 313 55 306 53 309 52 311 52719 50313 56 308 54 308 55 302 55 302 58 305 50313 48162 56 307 55 307 55 302 56 302 59 307 48162 46206 55 304 56 307 57 298 57 302 58 305 46206 44405 52 303 55 303 56 297 57 300 57 304 44405 42738 48 299 52 298 53 298 53 296 53 306 42738 41186 44 293 49 291 51 296 48 295 48 306 41186 39732 42 289 46 288 49 295 44 300 43 302 39732 38364 42 288 44 288 46 295 43 303 39 303 38364 37041 44 290 45 292 45 296 42 302 37 305 37041 35694 46 293 46 294 45 296 41 300 37 304 35694 34296 49 295 45 298 44 298 42 300 37 303 34296 32850 53 299 46 301 43 301 43 303 38 306 32850 31345 56 301 49 304 44 304 44 308 39 310 31345 29769 59 303 51 306 46 307 46 311 41 313 29769 28124 60 304 50 309 48 309 47 311 41 317 28124 26409 56 304 46 312 47 310 44 312 39 322 26409 24625 52 305 43 312 44 310 41 315 39 328 24625 22774 50 309 41 311 41 310 39 320 37 332 22774 20849 47 314 42 312 40 312 39 325 32 333 20849 18844 44 318 43 316 41 314 38 329 29 331 18844 16799 42 321 40 320 41 316 34 330 26 334 16799 14827 40 325 36 321 39 319 28 330 21 343 14827 13032 35 328 32 320 33 320 23 333 16 352 13032 11436 28 329 29 321 29 320 21 339 14 004 11436 10017 24 329 26 322 26 323 18 344 13 013 10017 8753 24 334 22 325 22 327 14 347 12 008 8753 7626 25 339 20 331 17*327 11 336 12 358 7626 6623 24 341 19 336 10*322 10*329 12 357 6623 5736 20 342 15 340 9 321 10*329 11 000 5736 4950 15 345 10*343 9 322 10 330 11 359 4950 4244 9 348 4*336 9 322 10 332 11 356 4244 3618 5 341 2 297 9 323 10 333 11 350 3618 3093 1 278 2 289 9 325 10 334 11 346 3093 2689 2 192 2 288 8 326 10 335 11 341 2689 2410 4 200 1 289 8 326 10 335 10 338 2410 2241 5*195 1 292 8 327 9 335 7*328 2241 2145 5*196 1 295 7 327 8 335 4*315 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography