DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 68.2 - - 64.3 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 185 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2982 - - 4295 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3651 - - 4769 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5082 - - 6395 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1823 - - 2283 - - 5361 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 304 - - 379 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 327 - - 003 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2155 - - -1976 - - -5434 - - -3635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7237 - - 8372 - - 7578 - - 5778 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5574 - - -4099 - - -8653 - - -10680 ODpotential blCL - - - 10656 - - 10494 - - 10797 - - 12823 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 58 - - 55 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 68.2 - - 64.3 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 38.9 - - 38.6 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 66.7 - - 65.3 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 38.7 - - 38.5 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 185 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2982 - - 4295 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96341 29 070 32 079 26 081 22 076 96341 89219 33 075 29 081 25 079 24 073 89219 83734 28 082 29 087 23 083 25 070 83734 79176 24 094 21 083 26 077 18 075 79176 75226 17 083 16 094 15 059 11 074 75226 71721 9 076 11 062 9 039 6 044 71721 68536 5 066 5 032 3 328 5 359 68536 65600 5 261 11 285 14 277 15 314 65600 62878 10 280 14 282 16 253 18 288 62878 60242 25 285 24 287 18 280 21 292 60242 57493 36 276 35 280 31 280 31 285 57493 54643 43 271 45 268 42 275 39 278 54643 51922 44 270 43 267 42 271 39 273 51922 49490 42 275 41 274 39 278 36 279 49490 47338 43 277 42 277 37 277 33 280 47338 45402 46 280 38 281 33 289 29 288 45402 43630 50 280 42 287 37 296 24 286 43630 41991 54 277 47 284 35 291 20 341 41991 40464 60 272 47 280 31 295 20 358 40464 39026 68 267 45 279 29 310 20 021 39026 37665 73 264 39 282 25 327 25 028 37665 36345 76 263 34 288 21 349 26 029 36345 35006 76 263 29 299 21 016 28 027 35006 33618 72 265 27 306 25 030 27 021 33618 32183 70 268 27 304 28 034 25 014 32183 30688 65 271 31 290 30 036 23 010 30688 29124 58 268 40 277 30 034 22 016 29124 27494 50 270 46 272 29 034 20 023 27494 25797 46 276 44 276 20 020 20 022 25797 24035 41 280 43 279 19 334 22 015 24035 22209 38 280 43 278 25 318 23 009 22209 20315 34 278 41 282 23 309 21 005 20315 18352 35 284 34 283 23 306 17 006 18352 16359 35 287 30 280 20 308 11 335 16359 14439 30 285 26 275 19 293 10 312 14439 12691 25 283 22 270 16 286 10 307 12691 11140 19 280 15 270 12 273 9 280 11140 9765 17 274 11 287 8 268 8 248 9765 8542 16 259 11 304 5 260 5 230 8542 7451 12 242 10 300 3 243 3 220 7451 6481 8 229 5*308 1 264 1 138 6481 5623 4*213 5*315 2 334 3 065 5623 4861 3*191 5 319 3 352 5 041 4861 4177 4 166 5 324 5 357 8 025 4177 3570 4 152 5 329 6 001 10 015 3570 3061 4 146 5 333 6 002 11 008 3061 2670 3 141 5 336 7 002 12 005 2670 2401 3 140 5 337 7 001 10 005 2401 2237 3 138 5 337 6*002 6 003 2237 2143 3 137 4 338 5*003 3*353 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography