DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.4 - - 90.0 - - 99.7 - - - - - 95.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 179 - - 424 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 163 - - 2951 - - 7592 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit 2129 - - 3803 - - 7749 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top 2263 - - 5051 - - 9692 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 712 - - 2837 - - 3687 - - - - - 9794 Hgt.Variab. W* 69 - - 340 - - 604 - - - - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 15 - - 112 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 219 - - 254 - - - - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -10 - - -15 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2164 - - -2462 - - -1424 - - - - - -8470 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4427 - - 7514 - - 11116 - - - - - 10617 sfcLCL ODpotential -6529 - - -5631 - - -2280 - - - - - -10530 ODpotential blCL 8792 - - 10682 - - 11972 - - - - - 12676 blCL maxRH 85 - - 91 - - 90 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE 1220 - - 900 - - 640 - - - - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m 81.4 - - 90.0 - - 99.7 - - - - - 95.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.9 - - 64.3 - - 58.1 - - - - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.2 - - 88.7 - - 97.0 - - - - - 96.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.8 - - 63.4 - - 58.0 - - - - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 179 - - 424 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 163 - - 2951 - - 7592 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 65 - - 60 - - - - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98996 54 119 39 112 31 103 46 092 98996 91521 49 100 50 103 48 104 40 096 91521 85786 46 092 50 093 50 107 37 100 85786 81043 35 089 40 095 41 105 38 101 81043 76964 35 096 32 100 30 100 33 095 76964 73360 32 102 28 108 28 099 30 094 73360 70100 29 116 26 113 30 105 27 101 70100 67115 30 116 26 119 28 110 25 107 67115 64375 28 107 27 116 29 113 21 116 64375 61755 19 094 29 114 29 118 21 111 61755 59047 17 124 28 128 23 136 21 102 59047 56251 33 136 28 149 22 153 20 105 56251 53596 39 130 35 148 28 155 20 135 53596 51212 35 127 38 139 32 144 27 143 51212 49064 32 131 35 132 34 139 29 144 49064 47096 28 140 30 129 34 136 28 149 47096 45276 24 147 21 122 32 131 27 142 45276 43581 22 147 14 106 24 121 24 135 43581 41994 21 147 13 110 16 104 20 133 41994 40500 23 150 13 117 14 108 13 125 40500 39090 21 149 15 128 12 126 7 119 39090 37726 13 137 18 134 12 145 7 120 37726 36339 5 141 20 139 12 147 7 127 36339 34899 9 146 20 142 12 150 5 111 34899 33412 16 134 19 142 9 154 6 077 33412 31866 20 128 18 144 9 158 6 078 31866 30248 20 122 17 130 10 147 6 087 30248 28558 17 118 16 113 11 124 9 077 28558 26799 15 125 15 101 12 110 9 086 26799 24973 14 112 14 098 14 109 10 100 24973 23088 13 102 13 105 14 104 12 092 23088 21138 13 099 12 111 12 091 12 078 21138 19116 11 111 8 117 11 076 17 080 19116 17059 12 113 9 114 12 069 22 085 17059 15079 11 114 11 103 12 084 21 096 15079 13278 8 111 10 088 12 095 13 099 13278 11670 5 114 9 078 12 103 4 078 11670 10233 2 111 8 082 8*111 4 334 10233 8947 2 052 7 098 5*122 5 316 8947 7797 6 087 6 121 1 160 7 313 7797 6771 9 087 6 146 1 221 7 313 6771 5860 9 093 6*170 1 252 8 315 5860 5050 8 103 5*189 2 271 9 315 5050 4321 7 122 5 210 2 282 9 316 4321 3673 7 144 4 222 2 286 10 317 3673 3130 11 154 4 228 3 293 10 317 3130 2711 11 157 4 235 3 293 9 316 2711 2422 9*159 3 238 3 296 8 315 2422 2247 6*161 3 239 3 296 7 312 2247 2146 5 163 3 240 2 299 4*307 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography