DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 88.8 - - 89.4 - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 335 - - 127 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3936 - - 10329 - - 12699 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4773 - - 9829 - - 10912 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6036 - - 12429 - - 14799 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4308 - - 3980 - - 1991 - - 7546 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 454 - - 618 - - 480 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 269 - - 293 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 13 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3878 - - 354 - - 2160 - - -7839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9914 - - 12076 - - 12639 - - 9984 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5468 - - 3 - - 675 - - -9839 ODpotential blCL - - - 11504 - - 12426 - - 14124 - - 11984 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 99 - - 80 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 360 - - 260 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 88.8 - - 89.4 - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 42.8 - - 41.0 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.0 - - 86.5 - - 88.2 - - 83.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 42.8 - - 40.9 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 335 - - 127 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3936 - - 10329 - - 12699 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 97 - - 19 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96955 39 275 47 270 48 268 54 278 96955 89590 32 265 37 271 44 275 46 282 89590 83998 25 279 27 273 30 279 32 281 83998 79394 23 297 17 270 23 278 18 284 79394 75441 19 303 12 285 21 294 15 304 75441 71947 14 306 15 307 19 305 14 324 71947 68788 12 282 16 308 20 296 18 308 68788 65892 15 288 14 298 14 292 16 305 65892 63202 22 301 20 308 19 311 21 317 63202 60588 35 276 36 295 32 300 30 298 60588 57852 30 280 41 283 39 283 41 283 57852 55003 40 294 36 282 43 276 47 276 55003 52285 44 292 38 290 40 278 52 283 52285 49848 42 288 43 292 45 295 62 293 49848 47680 40 287 49 284 61 296 61 278 47680 45725 34 285 37 286 48 290 48 270 45725 43937 31 320 36 355 38 340 55 322 43937 42292 94 344 88 345 82 338 100 324 42292 40762 124 344 110 339 109 330 111 323 40762 39322 87 342 103 339 102 329 94 325 39322 37960 40 327 89 340 78 333 75 321 37960 36644 26 304 75 342 61 339 64 315 36644 35308 26 301 53 340 51 338 57 311 35308 33923 27 305 34 334 41 328 47 313 33923 32495 25 307 23 320 35 310 30 316 32495 31006 19 310 22 307 29 306 25 310 31006 29443 14 314 22 308 25 302 28 305 29443 27807 10 300 14 313 23 293 29 305 27807 26101 5 239 6 294 18 284 25 297 26101 24332 5 260 4 260 15 280 20 279 24332 22508 8 284 6 303 16 290 15 269 22508 20623 7 273 10 307 18 297 13 277 20623 18668 5 242 9 288 14 304 11 314 18668 16677 5 180 10 276 9*308 9 331 16677 14757 7 131 6 270 8*296 7 314 14757 13006 4 073 6*270 8 293 6 294 13006 11438 6 007 6*269 9 292 7 281 11438 10036 8 342 6 269 9 291 8 273 10036 8780 8 323 6 269 9 291 11 267 8780 7657 7 312 6 268 9 291 14 263 7657 6654 6*295 7 269 9 292 16 262 6654 5765 5*255 7 269 9 292 18 261 5765 4975 7 229 7 269 9 293 20 261 4975 4264 9 223 7 270 9 294 21 261 4264 3632 9 221 7 270 9 294 21 262 3632 3103 9 221 7 271 9 294 20 263 3103 2695 9 220 7 271 9 294 18 264 2695 2414 8 220 7 271 8 294 14 264 2414 2243 8 219 7 271 8 295 10*264 2243 2145 7 219 6 271 7 295 5*264 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography