DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 92.8 - - 91.9 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 483 - - 190 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9561 - - 11930 - - 11987 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9362 - - 11362 - - 10745 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11661 - - 14030 - - 14087 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1722 - - 1973 - - 2216 - - 7667 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 659 - - 734 - - 539 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 224 - - 242 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 11 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2587 - - -2812 - - -4088 - - -13311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14248 - - 16842 - - 18175 - - 15457 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5868 - - -4698 - - -7271 - - -17914 ODpotential blCL - - - 17529 - - 18728 - - 21358 - - 20059 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 41 - - 35 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 92.8 - - 91.9 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 24.5 - - 17.5 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 89.8 - - 90.3 - - 84.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 24.4 - - 17.3 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 483 - - 190 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9561 - - 11930 - - 11987 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98347 23 110 18 133 10 159 8 093 98347 90898 6 105 10 110 9 076 14 078 90898 85170 8 096 10 060 16 073 15 081 85170 80436 14 091 16 067 19 080 14 093 80436 76371 13 102 14 089 17 079 15 086 76371 72780 15 128 9 104 10 073 15 077 72780 69515 13 122 14 112 8 101 6 084 69515 66502 9 160 6 160 3 078 5 069 66502 63711 10 177 9 206 5 255 6 323 63711 61013 9 256 12 241 12 279 14 302 61013 58201 16 263 18 255 21 264 21 273 58201 55290 21 276 23 275 26 268 25 281 55290 52519 28 286 32 275 35 269 36 280 52519 50026 35 282 38 270 41 270 42 278 50026 47792 42 276 41 269 42 274 42 279 47792 45767 45 271 43 271 44 276 44 279 45767 43916 51 273 47 275 46 275 46 278 43916 42210 58 273 54 278 47 275 45 277 42210 40627 60 272 59 276 50 275 46 277 40627 39150 60 272 58 274 51 274 45 277 39150 37771 60 274 50 274 45 274 37 279 37771 36453 58 275 45 277 34 277 29 283 36453 35124 53 272 41 276 32 278 29 283 35124 33748 44 267 38 273 31 278 29 280 33748 32325 40 268 38 269 33 275 31 277 32325 30840 40 268 37 267 33 272 31 277 30840 29285 38 266 35 266 30 270 29 276 29285 27664 36 263 32 264 26 269 25 274 27664 25978 31 258 28 261 21 267 22 271 25978 24229 25 251 26 257 19 266 20 267 24229 22417 18 237 22 243 17 267 14 256 22417 20536 15 234 16 224 16 242 14 257 20536 18581 19 226 15 231 14 220 15 235 18581 16593 19 216 16 227 13 205 14 197 16593 14682 19 203 13*208 11*197 14 161 14682 12942 17*186 10*206 10*206 10 172 12942 11385 11*183 10 207 10 209 7 202 11385 9993 10 183 9 210 9 219 7 247 9993 8746 10 183 8 217 9 236 8 267 8746 7630 9 184 8 224 10 247 10 275 7630 6634 7 187 7 230 10 253 12 278 6634 5750 6 188 7 235 11 258 14 279 5750 4964 6 190 7 239 11 261 15 277 4964 4257 5 193 7 243 11 263 16 276 4257 3627 5 195 7 246 11 265 17 274 3627 3100 4 197 7 248 11 266 17 274 3100 2693 4 198 7 249 11 266 16 273 2693 2413 3 200 7 250 11 266 14 273 2413 2242 3 198 6 251 10 267 10*272 2242 2145 3 198 6 250 9 267 6*269 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography