DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.4 - - 91.9 - - 98.6 - - 97.9 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 292 - - 355 - - 72 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 3540 - - 9851 - - 8771 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 4404 - - 9480 - - 7283 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2144 - - 5640 - - 11951 - - 10871 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 129 - - 3306 - - 2026 - - 4286 - - 174 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 413 - - 621 - - 351 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 27 - - 51 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 147 - - 189 - - 279 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12502 - - -13424 - - -10127 - - -11433 - - -16183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14647 - - 19064 - - 22079 - - 22306 - - 18329 sfcLCL ODpotential -20798 - - -17894 - - -13656 - - -13946 - - -20899 ODpotential blCL 22942 - - 23534 - - 25607 - - 24817 - - 23044 blCL maxRH 32 - - 31 - - 44 - - 75 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.4 - - 91.9 - - 98.6 - - 97.9 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.1 - - 14.2 - - 6.1 - - 4.4 - - 9.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.5 - - 89.8 - - 96.1 - - 96.9 - - 87.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.1 - - 14.0 - - 5.8 - - 4.3 - - 9.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 292 - - 355 - - 72 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 3540 - - 9851 - - 8771 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96843 53 279 48 288 47 281 42 275 51 278 96843 89501 29 288 33 281 38 279 34 292 31 295 89501 83957 10 305 24 255 29 273 25 289 27 314 83957 79364 7 327 13 250 21 276 19 295 21 320 79364 75402 12 284 4 288 13 254 17 293 17 320 75402 71916 15 285 5 317 11 230 18 282 18 303 71916 68792 18 288 6 335 4 273 11 262 14 295 68792 65939 17 262 11 283 11 313 7 274 10 303 65939 63298 14 246 14 273 9 263 14 278 11 290 63298 60748 16 245 17 272 10 251 18 269 13 273 60748 58102 19 250 22 256 16 268 19 263 16 288 58102 55352 20 251 21 248 21 268 17 261 19 291 55352 52703 19 245 19 243 23 263 16 271 19 270 52703 50293 18 251 17 239 24 256 19 274 17 262 50293 48107 20 257 16 245 26 247 22 260 16 258 48107 46101 20 255 19 247 26 240 25 245 16 250 46101 44249 21 245 22 234 26 235 27 241 16 251 44249 42533 21 234 22 231 27 228 29 238 18 251 42533 40945 27 221 27 226 30 223 32 236 22 248 40945 39478 45 207 39 206 34 211 37 229 28 243 39478 38113 48 200 46 198 39 198 38 222 33 235 38113 36799 41 196 42 197 42 196 38 216 34 231 36799 35460 37 193 39 194 41 195 39 209 31 232 35460 34071 35 191 36 191 38 196 37 206 32 231 34071 32638 31 190 35 192 37 195 32 204 36 226 32638 31151 22 189 30 192 35 192 31 202 35 223 31151 29596 13 193 23 188 31 189 33 202 32 220 29596 27976 11 196 19 181 27 187 32 201 32 223 27976 26292 12 188 20 177 28 190 29 202 30 226 26292 24541 14 190 21 176 26 198 24 209 24 230 24541 22724 18 210 16 192 19 222 17 228 18 237 22724 20834 23 229 16 241 19 252 15 248 18 240 20834 18865 21 243 14 260 15 252 18 253 16 240 18865 16852 17 252 16 252 16 244 15 250 11 222 16852 14905 17 246 19 234 18 235 10 217 12 180 14905 13125 13 245 15 230 14*224 8 188 12 163 13125 11535 8 227 8 211 8*190 7*185 10 156 11535 10113 5 184 8 191 8 190 6*187 7 156 10113 8841 3 181 9 187 7 189 3 195 4 168 8841 7705 1 178 9 179 5 188 2 206 2 222 7705 6692 2 098 8 166 4 187 1 266 3 275 6692 5794 4 083 7*156 3 188 2 308 5 293 5794 4997 6 074 7*153 2 189 2 320 5 304 4997 4279 7 078 6 151 1 188 3 325 6 315 4279 3642 7 106 6 148 1 192 3 329 6 331 3642 3109 9 141 6 144 0 193 4 331 7 346 3109 2698 10 156 5 142 0 298 4 331 8 356 2698 2415 9 164 5 139 0 338 4 331 8 004 2415 2243 8*166 4 137 0 004 4 331 6*012 2243 2145 4*178 4 137 0 347 4 332 3*011 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography