DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.7 - - 105.5 - - - - - 95.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 514 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7231 - - 12187 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7503 - - 11609 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9331 - - 14287 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4601 - - 3297 - - - - - 6630 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 614 - - 754 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 232 - - - - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -10 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4448 - - -1033 - - - - - -11048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13780 - - 15321 - - - - - 13195 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5543 - - -1605 - - - - - -14355 ODpotential blCL - - - 14874 - - 15892 - - - - - 16501 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 65 - - - - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 200 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.7 - - 105.5 - - - - - 95.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 44.7 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.8 - - 102.4 - - - - - 95.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 44.7 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 514 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7231 - - 12187 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98785 39 113 33 122 34 092 98785 91297 39 116 32 119 26 095 91297 85553 38 097 37 110 28 105 85553 80789 26 097 32 107 23 108 80789 76694 22 106 25 105 27 105 76694 73092 20 107 16 103 24 098 73092 69835 13 117 19 126 14 081 69835 66840 9 137 12 128 7 074 66840 64063 7 154 3 172 7 057 64063 61380 11 190 3 170 4 320 61380 58620 11 246 4 236 10 206 58620 55816 14 189 14 205 18 234 55816 53177 12 213 20 201 29 241 53177 50806 27 263 33 250 35 253 50806 48667 44 260 47 254 42 249 48667 46707 50 251 51 246 47 243 46707 44895 54 241 53 238 51 241 44895 43207 54 238 53 236 54 241 43207 41627 55 237 50 237 52 242 41627 40144 56 238 47 236 47 244 40144 38747 54 240 44 236 43 245 38747 37398 50 242 42 236 41 245 37398 36028 43 244 39 237 41 245 36028 34610 34 249 34 240 41 246 34610 33146 31 251 33 247 40 243 33146 31624 31 247 34 253 38 245 31624 30032 31 245 34 254 36 245 30032 28370 28 244 31 247 32 240 28370 26638 23 245 29 239 29 238 26638 24838 17 244 25 235 26 236 24838 22975 15 237 25 228 24 236 22975 21043 15 224 25 220 22 240 21043 19036 15 215 24 212 20 238 19036 16994 14 215 21 214 19 231 16994 15025 13 216 19*215 19 225 15025 13229 13 223 18*219 19 224 13229 11624 15 228 17 221 19 225 11624 10190 16*225 17 223 19 228 10190 8907 17*221 18 227 20 231 8907 7760 16 221 18 231 21 233 7760 6737 16 221 18 234 22 236 6737 5831 16 221 19 237 23 238 5831 5027 16 222 19 239 24 241 5027 4303 16 223 19 240 25 244 4303 3661 16 224 19 241 25 246 3661 3122 15 225 19 243 24 248 3122 2707 15 226 18 243 22 249 2707 2420 14 226 18 244 20 249 2420 2246 13 226 17 244 17*250 2246 2146 12 226 15 244 12*250 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography