DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 87.9 - - 84.5 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 165 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1946 - - 3307 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2848 - - 4050 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4046 - - 5407 - - 2146 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2550 - - 3149 - - 5510 - - 1130 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 350 - - 39 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 19 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 297 - - 123 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -368 - - -530 - - -1872 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4414 - - 5938 - - 4018 - - 2145 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2692 - - -2360 - - -3679 - - -3046 ODpotential blCL - - - 6738 - - 7767 - - 5825 - - 5191 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 88 - - 83 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 2020 - - 2600 - - 3680 - - 2950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 87.9 - - 84.5 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.7 - - 68.7 - - 73.4 - - 74.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.3 - - 86.5 - - 84.6 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 67.8 - - 72.1 - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 165 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1946 - - 3307 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 52 - - 33 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 19 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98868 27 108 25 126 15 096 27 080 98868 91416 32 101 34 106 25 097 28 083 91416 85696 28 101 30 095 30 102 27 089 85696 80964 27 113 25 101 27 101 24 099 80964 76898 25 117 22 120 23 100 20 105 76898 73301 22 108 22 127 19 115 13 098 73301 70047 16 111 17 126 14 131 8 089 70047 67066 10 129 11 124 8 145 11 107 67066 64311 14 174 7 140 12 165 6 147 64311 61645 21 166 13 196 11 205 8 184 61645 58883 14 190 16 209 18 227 19 233 58883 56067 16 218 20 225 20 228 22 232 56067 53405 19 259 17 247 21 247 21 257 53405 51012 29 261 29 255 32 268 31 269 51012 48861 38 253 38 255 42 278 40 274 48861 46893 43 249 46 255 50 280 44 284 46893 45069 50 252 50 252 53 281 51 289 45069 43362 56 245 51 246 54 280 56 287 43362 41759 56 235 51 237 49 273 56 287 41759 40247 52 230 49 230 44 257 50 290 40247 38822 44 224 47 230 44 241 43 289 38822 37447 39 221 42 227 42 236 35 278 37447 36057 34 220 37 219 38 230 32 265 36057 34624 29 216 33 214 36 220 30 249 34624 33151 26 216 31 209 33 220 28 234 33151 31621 25 217 31 206 31 222 33 226 31621 30018 23 217 29 207 31 219 35 229 30018 28344 22 212 27 213 31 222 31 236 28344 26600 23 207 23 220 27 234 25 238 26600 24789 22 210 21 221 20 241 22 241 24789 22918 21 210 20 218 16 237 19 256 22918 20981 21 213 18 217 14 228 15 263 20981 18968 21 215 16 216 11 237 11 263 18968 16921 20 219 14 222 8 276 6 288 16921 14948 17 223 12 225 6 327 8 322 14948 13152 13 232 12 215 3 324 8 347 13152 11549 10 234 10 216 2 227 8 000 11549 10118 7 231 7 215 3 185 6 353 10118 8840 6 224 7 209 4 186 3 321 8840 7699 5 187 7 207 6 192 3 201 7699 6683 6 116 6 210 6 188 3 201 6683 5785 7 108 5*221 5 177 3 202 5785 4988 6 113 4*240 5 159 4 149 4988 4273 5*118 3 262 5 140 7 130 4273 3638 3*118 3 292 5 130 8 141 3638 3106 2 110 4 316 6 128 8 144 3106 2697 2 096 4 322 6 126 6 131 2697 2415 1 083 5 326 6 125 4 099 2415 2243 1 079 5 329 6*124 3 065 2243 2145 1 078 4 331 5*123 3*044 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography