DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 103.2 - - - - - 95.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 433 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6947 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 7238 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 9047 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5167 - - - - - 4830 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 590 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 24 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 341 - - - - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3175 - - - - - -9961 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 12222 - - - - - 12107 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4575 - - - - - -12948 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13622 - - - - - 15094 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1070 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 103.2 - - - - - 95.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.6 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 100.2 - - - - - 97.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.5 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 433 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6947 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98995 26 109 40 087 98995 91578 38 118 28 104 91578 85841 39 113 25 114 85841 81049 29 100 31 095 81049 76931 23 096 27 086 76931 73312 19 109 17 085 73312 70042 20 128 11 097 70042 67040 22 127 16 108 67040 64275 17 109 19 101 64275 61626 16 102 19 112 61626 58891 17 120 17 117 58891 56079 17 133 10 120 56079 53417 9 120 8 094 53417 51025 9 104 6 082 51025 48876 18 095 14 118 48876 46924 20 085 22 104 46924 45131 19 093 21 102 45131 43465 20 108 22 113 43465 41902 19 112 23 115 41902 40426 16 119 20 111 40426 39029 15 119 15 109 39029 37675 15 110 12 122 37675 36300 15 098 13 124 36300 34873 16 090 13 121 34873 33398 17 095 13 119 33398 31862 16 102 13 118 31862 30253 16 111 12 121 30253 28572 18 115 11 121 28572 26821 18 110 12 118 26821 25003 15 101 15 117 25003 23126 11 108 17 113 23126 21183 13 127 17 113 21183 19167 16 128 17 120 19167 17116 14 129 19 131 17116 15138 8 138 18 141 15138 13330 6 124 13 151 13330 11713 3 100 9 164 11713 10268 1*027 6 169 10268 8974 3*344 1 150 8974 7817 4 341 3 347 7817 6785 4 340 5 339 6785 5871 4 339 7 335 5871 5058 5 340 7 336 5058 4327 5 340 8 336 4327 3677 5 342 9 338 3677 3132 5 343 9 339 3132 2712 5 344 9 339 2712 2423 5 344 9 341 2423 2247 5 344 7*340 2247 2146 5 345 5*337 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography