DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1557z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 102.3 - - 107.4 - - 107.0 - - 95.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 476 - - 185 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6236 - - 10647 - - 11209 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6666 - - 10297 - - 10104 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8336 - - 12747 - - 13309 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3999 - - 1686 - - 1569 - - 9709 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 568 - - 703 - - 522 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 282 - - 281 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10122 - - -8590 - - -8501 - - -17768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18459 - - 21338 - - 21811 - - 19915 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14783 - - -13761 - - -13289 - - -24592 ODpotential blCL - - - 23119 - - 26508 - - 26598 - - 26738 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 22 - - 23 - - 13 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 102.3 - - 107.4 - - 107.0 - - 95.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.3 - - 18.6 - - 16.3 - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.4 - - 104.4 - - 105.4 - - 100.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 18.6 - - 16.1 - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 476 - - 185 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6236 - - 10647 - - 11209 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98521 29 125 17 144 11 063 22 072 98521 91100 23 115 18 130 18 101 19 095 91100 85383 22 116 21 121 23 119 22 107 85383 80630 20 118 21 116 21 112 22 104 80630 76528 25 113 21 101 24 121 16 102 76528 72918 20 099 21 103 20 103 18 123 72918 69667 16 097 21 105 14 101 15 088 69667 66703 15 097 14 100 16 101 13 083 66703 63974 16 110 14 115 12 073 18 082 63974 61357 18 097 13 102 8 107 13 062 61357 58670 14 061 8 097 8 088 7 078 58670 55900 14 341 9 016 9 031 9 049 55900 53256 14 324 15 339 16 360 17 006 53256 50877 14 331 17 339 16 357 18 358 50877 48743 17 341 22 345 26 356 25 004 48743 46798 21 348 27 342 30 352 29 005 46798 45000 24 343 27 345 30 358 33 008 45000 43324 25 344 29 350 33 004 37 008 43324 41754 24 346 30 351 39 005 43 009 41754 40275 26 350 30 353 40 005 48 009 40275 38877 27 353 30 355 40 003 50 009 38877 37522 30 352 32 357 42 357 46 009 37522 36145 35 351 35 355 43 355 42 006 36145 34720 36 350 36 351 43 353 40 000 34720 33250 31 351 33 349 41 349 39 000 33250 31722 27 348 28 347 33 356 32 006 31722 30123 26 356 21 357 20 354 22 003 30123 28453 20 003 16 013 8 020 10 349 28453 26715 12 019 12 031 9 050 3 019 26715 24909 10 039 8 054 9 066 3 108 24909 23041 9 023 7 069 5 079 4 084 23041 21102 8 342 4 074 5 112 6 094 21102 19085 10 330 5 046 8 108 9 110 19085 17032 7 301 4 019 8 083 11 107 17032 15056 7 246 8 281 3*295 5 107 15056 13258 7 267 9*264 7*264 2 283 13258 11655 11 283 8*265 8 265 6 302 11655 10223 13 286 8 268 8 267 7 305 10223 8939 12*287 8 272 8 273 7 303 8939 7791 9*283 8 276 8 280 8 301 7791 6766 4 279 8 282 9 285 8 298 6766 5856 4 279 8 286 9 288 8 298 5856 5047 3 284 8 290 9 291 9 297 5047 4319 3 287 8 293 9 294 10 296 4319 3672 3 291 8 296 9 297 10 294 3672 3129 3 296 8 298 9 298 11 293 3129 2711 3 300 8 299 9 298 10 293 2711 2422 3 302 8 300 9 299 9 294 2422 2246 3 303 7 300 8 299 7*294 2246 2146 3 304 7 300 8 299 5*293 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography