DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 92.4 - - 92.0 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 494 - - 196 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8989 - - 10673 - - 11077 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8923 - - 10340 - - 10052 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11089 - - 12773 - - 13177 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1230 - - 1277 - - 1756 - - 5296 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 657 - - 713 - - 531 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 224 - - 218 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 8 - - 12 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4777 - - -5521 - - -5184 - - -10280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15866 - - 18295 - - 18362 - - 12425 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8258 - - -8648 - - -8683 - - -14728 ODpotential blCL - - - 19347 - - 21421 - - 21860 - - 16873 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 26 - - 43 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 92.4 - - 92.0 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 17.3 - - 16.7 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 89.3 - - 90.5 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 17.2 - - 16.6 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 494 - - 196 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8989 - - 10673 - - 11077 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98520 14 113 10 143 10 088 15 086 98520 91023 12 106 13 108 9 126 8 086 91023 85245 11 096 13 099 13 128 10 087 85245 80472 10 109 16 098 17 118 10 108 80472 76371 13 107 12 089 22 096 14 101 76371 72747 14 103 13 097 14 077 16 081 72747 69484 6 161 10 064 14 084 14 084 69484 66498 13 161 6 210 4 235 6 054 66498 63723 6 147 8 156 4 213 5 213 63723 61022 13 246 10 244 15 259 16 258 61022 58183 19 258 20 253 25 258 22 259 58183 55238 22 260 26 264 30 256 29 267 55238 52436 25 264 26 269 29 261 29 266 52436 49927 27 268 28 273 32 273 30 283 49927 47693 29 271 32 279 32 287 40 286 47693 45690 30 274 38 282 41 302 45 291 45690 43874 30 285 33 283 48 291 46 288 43874 42200 33 295 27 307 46 289 36 291 42200 40641 33 292 34 324 39 288 40 301 40641 39181 29 283 38 321 35 291 45 297 39181 37813 22 282 40 317 39 294 39 303 37813 36497 22 288 38 314 39 292 34 309 36497 35164 23 293 33 309 33 291 34 311 35164 33782 23 295 28 305 30 295 37 309 33782 32356 22 293 25 301 30 300 35 304 32356 30872 21 291 24 297 30 302 30 302 30872 29317 21 289 23 294 28 303 30 300 29317 27693 21 289 20 291 25 302 31 298 27693 26000 21 290 19 289 23 297 27 301 26000 24242 21 291 20 289 20 290 20 303 24242 22421 21 289 21 289 17 283 17 290 22421 20536 20 288 18 283 16 274 17 268 20536 18577 17 280 15 271 13 257 17 254 18577 16581 13 271 16 260 13 241 16 241 16581 14658 12 246 14 228 13*194 14 216 14658 12908 17 201 12*204 12*193 17 168 12908 11350 15*183 11*205 12 195 18 155 11350 9961 13*183 11 208 12 199 16 161 9961 8717 12 186 11 212 12 211 14 176 8717 7604 10 190 10 219 12 218 14 196 7604 6612 8 198 10 224 13 225 14 217 6612 5732 7 202 10 229 13 229 17 233 5732 4950 6 206 10 234 13 232 20 243 4950 4246 5 211 9 237 13 234 23 248 4246 3620 5 217 9 240 13 236 24 252 3620 3096 4 222 9 242 13 237 24 254 3096 2691 4 224 9 244 13 238 23 255 2691 2412 4 225 9 244 13 238 20 256 2412 2242 4 226 9 245 12 239 16*256 2242 2145 3 228 8 245 11 239 11*256 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography