DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.7 - - 106.2 - - 106.9 - - 99.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 434 - - 162 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4770 - - 9982 - - 11455 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5453 - - 9701 - - 10186 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6870 - - 12082 - - 13555 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1975 - - 4983 - - 4700 - - 7146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 498 - - 667 - - 504 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 23 - - 30 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 101 - - 120 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -14 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3174 - - -1840 - - -805 - - -11056 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10045 - - 13922 - - 14361 - - 13203 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5612 - - -3021 - - -1422 - - -12930 ODpotential blCL - - - 12482 - - 15103 - - 14977 - - 15076 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 57 - - 84 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 1150 - - 530 - - 520 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.7 - - 106.2 - - 106.9 - - 99.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 52.0 - - 50.8 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.2 - - 103.3 - - 105.3 - - 101.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 51.9 - - 50.7 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 434 - - 162 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4770 - - 9982 - - 11455 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99065 43 110 34 109 30 099 36 092 99065 91621 42 110 36 105 31 102 32 093 91621 85883 41 108 36 102 31 108 26 102 85883 81113 38 101 34 099 34 103 30 102 81113 76995 33 091 34 101 33 101 32 095 76995 73363 28 088 27 090 28 096 28 097 73363 70098 24 098 16 095 24 085 21 095 70098 67116 23 115 14 121 15 079 14 079 67116 64356 21 095 16 117 11 089 10 068 64356 61685 19 082 11 109 5 110 8 072 61685 58933 11 089 12 103 6 114 9 080 58933 56126 3 136 9 080 10 083 10 071 56126 53467 11 158 2 035 5 016 9 027 53467 51082 17 119 4 103 2 248 10 332 51082 48946 18 063 11 061 10 056 7 008 48946 47003 17 038 14 051 14 046 17 033 47003 45207 19 057 15 064 16 050 19 027 45207 43526 27 073 20 072 20 057 17 039 43526 41946 26 066 25 071 26 063 21 060 41946 40455 19 044 29 071 27 071 23 073 40455 39045 16 030 26 069 23 068 23 083 39045 37678 15 022 21 043 20 040 21 083 37678 36289 15 022 19 029 20 031 21 068 36289 34854 16 029 20 047 21 045 22 059 34854 33376 16 038 23 066 23 067 21 078 33376 31838 16 050 28 079 25 084 21 091 31838 30227 20 065 27 083 26 088 23 099 30227 28545 26 067 24 085 23 088 19 102 28545 26797 25 061 22 091 18 092 12 087 26797 24987 21 062 18 095 15 088 11 086 24987 23118 20 102 12 108 12 079 13 092 23118 21181 27 125 15 129 10 097 19 105 21181 19174 31 121 14 116 16 107 21 107 19174 17134 26 121 14 116 17 107 18 109 17134 15161 18 123 14 110 14*108 14 124 15161 13355 16 101 13*101 10*117 11 139 13355 11739 18 089 11*100 9 120 8 154 11739 10293 16 077 10 101 7 123 7 165 10293 8997 12 051 9 103 5 128 5 172 8997 7838 8*039 7 103 3 132 2 181 7838 6804 5*006 5 104 1 136 1 315 6804 5886 4 346 3 102 0 152 3 345 5886 5070 4 344 3 101 1 323 6 348 5070 4336 4 344 2 095 1 318 9 347 4336 3683 4 346 1 087 2 318 11 344 3683 3136 4 348 1 072 2 320 12 342 3136 2715 4 351 1 055 2 322 12 341 2715 2424 4 351 1 051 2 322 11 342 2424 2247 4 353 1 043 3 323 9 342 2247 2146 3 353 1 034 2 324 5*342 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography