DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 85.3 - - 95.7 - - 101.4 - - 101.4 - - 89.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 72 - - 406 - - 465 - - 195 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 893 - - 5161 - - 8082 - - 8118 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit 2129 - - 5788 - - 8189 - - 7720 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 2993 - - 7261 - - 10182 - - 10218 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2223 - - 1706 - - 2260 - - 4753 - - 1568 Hgt.Variab. W* 166 - - 523 - - 636 - - 477 - - 14 W* B/S 4 - - 18 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 293 - - 286 - - 277 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 22 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3149 - - -2490 - - -1213 - - -1198 - - -4184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6143 - - 9751 - - 11396 - - 11417 - - 6330 sfcLCL ODpotential -7546 - - -5168 - - -2806 - - -2135 - - -6989 ODpotential blCL 10539 - - 12429 - - 12988 - - 12353 - - 9135 blCL maxRH 59 - - 58 - - 63 - - 74 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 1300 - - 1050 - - 1290 - - 1420 - - 2980 CAPE Temp@2m 85.3 - - 95.7 - - 101.4 - - 101.4 - - 89.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.5 - - 60.2 - - 58.4 - - 58.4 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 84.4 - - 92.9 - - 98.4 - - 99.7 - - 89.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.3 - - 60.1 - - 58.3 - - 58.4 - - 68.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 72 - - 406 - - 465 - - 195 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 893 - - 5161 - - 8082 - - 8118 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99168 44 104 32 112 31 121 21 099 28 083 99168 91695 40 095 37 101 39 104 31 107 28 104 91695 85888 33 098 37 090 38 105 36 102 32 108 85888 81067 28 102 27 100 30 093 31 096 37 094 81067 76955 24 103 20 107 24 084 26 092 31 091 76955 73352 22 103 17 103 18 104 21 082 25 093 73352 70095 17 106 19 110 16 119 15 095 19 087 70095 67099 16 119 16 122 12 114 10 087 12 089 67099 64335 11 117 12 139 10 123 5 069 6 112 64335 61681 4 054 9 140 10 147 4 175 4 153 61681 58932 6 336 4 124 5 170 6 148 5 151 58932 56100 8 304 6 146 5 197 5 148 3 107 56100 53420 9 261 8 124 9 148 7 193 1 286 53420 51022 1 269 9 094 14 147 12 184 8 249 51022 48871 4 026 7 076 10 123 13 139 9 170 48871 46916 3 026 5 063 6 078 9 117 12 130 46916 45119 5 100 7 143 4 123 7 165 9 131 45119 43443 15 104 13 132 10 132 10 161 11 112 43443 41866 19 083 19 095 14 104 12 121 13 108 41866 40378 21 066 21 078 18 092 13 110 14 117 40378 38971 21 062 20 073 18 088 16 113 18 115 38971 37612 23 060 20 081 18 092 16 101 23 107 37612 36233 21 063 21 086 19 091 16 101 26 101 36233 34806 16 077 20 099 19 100 18 119 25 101 34806 33332 17 083 24 104 24 109 21 123 25 108 33332 31795 16 103 28 096 27 107 23 122 22 115 31795 30185 21 125 28 105 29 104 26 115 22 118 30185 28506 22 124 27 122 29 106 29 116 23 115 28506 26756 15 113 23 130 25 119 26 122 25 116 26756 24938 12 112 16 123 18 121 21 122 27 120 24938 23059 14 119 15 113 16 107 21 111 26 123 23059 21116 19 131 17 121 16 097 22 098 22 123 21116 19102 25 136 19 130 17 114 21 088 22 115 19102 17054 26 129 21 129 21 125 19 093 22 113 17054 15081 21 109 20 119 20 124 15 106 17 117 15081 13280 16 090 16 106 15 120 9 117 8 091 13280 11670 13 083 13 098 10 126 2 241 9 016 11670 10231 12 086 10 090 1*228 7*279 10 005 10231 8942 10 081 6 069 5*282 8*279 10 353 8942 7789 6 062 2*357 5 283 9 280 9 334 7789 6762 5 050 4*295 6 284 10 279 10 309 6762 5850 4 053 5 292 7 286 11 279 13 290 5850 5041 1 131 5 292 8 286 11 277 15 281 5041 4312 4 223 6 292 8 286 11 276 18 273 4312 3666 8 215 6 293 8 287 11 275 21 266 3666 3124 9*208 6 294 9 288 11 273 22 261 3124 2708 8*202 6 294 9 287 11 273 20 256 2708 2421 7 200 6 295 9 287 11 273 16 254 2421 2246 6 199 6 296 8 288 11 272 14*253 2246 2146 6 198 5 295 8 288 10 272 10*253 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography