DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.7 - - 67.4 - - 76.5 - - 77.6 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 262 - - 359 - - 82 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2168 - - 3774 - - 2840 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3351 - - 4658 - - 3156 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 4268 - - 5874 - - 4940 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 404 - - 1048 - - 2279 - - 2322 - - 530 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 340 - - 452 - - 251 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 13 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 351 - - 002 - - 004 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -8 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1326 - - -2375 - - -4042 - - -6249 - - -5802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3469 - - 6643 - - 9917 - - 11189 - - 7946 sfcLCL ODpotential -7231 - - -5874 - - -9364 - - -11370 - - -12381 ODpotential blCL 9374 - - 10142 - - 15238 - - 16310 - - 14525 blCL maxRH 71 - - 61 - - 41 - - 34 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.7 - - 67.4 - - 76.5 - - 77.6 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 46.0 - - 40.6 - - 36.1 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 65.5 - - 74.1 - - 76.6 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.9 - - 45.6 - - 40.4 - - 36.0 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 262 - - 359 - - 82 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2168 - - 3774 - - 2840 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96662 12 320 37 305 25 277 22 278 41 280 96662 89401 17 291 23 280 27 276 22 279 19 290 89401 83917 21 271 16 256 21 271 27 287 17 304 83917 79367 23 283 19 264 23 278 29 282 20 301 79367 75436 25 289 24 278 29 276 31 283 25 310 75436 71954 25 289 17 280 27 275 35 280 37 301 71954 68794 28 282 16 293 21 289 28 275 35 290 68794 65888 31 281 22 292 22 288 25 281 30 288 65888 63204 33 284 28 289 26 289 30 286 30 296 63204 60607 31 277 34 282 32 292 33 292 30 293 60607 57894 30 282 36 275 36 285 36 293 33 289 57894 55073 37 283 37 278 39 279 41 289 39 291 55073 52375 42 281 39 283 40 281 43 284 45 289 52375 49940 45 283 43 291 39 286 41 282 45 289 49940 47758 44 280 45 293 38 294 37 283 42 293 47758 45789 33 306 36 290 37 296 36 289 38 296 45789 44001 35 311 29 303 31 296 35 286 36 288 44001 42363 31 311 29 301 31 299 31 284 34 275 42363 40843 30 323 28 301 33 299 30 292 30 275 40843 39418 31 329 28 310 35 297 31 299 28 285 39418 38071 33 326 30 316 37 298 33 301 27 290 38071 36766 35 324 31 316 39 304 36 300 27 290 36766 35436 36 322 32 313 41 306 38 297 30 291 35436 34057 34 319 34 310 42 302 38 294 32 297 34057 32633 31 317 34 308 43 298 36 299 35 303 32633 31151 30 317 34 305 41 301 24 311 32 297 31151 29596 32 313 33 305 34 308 22 325 31 298 29596 27966 33 308 28 305 27 306 23 331 32 313 27966 26262 32 314 23 301 21 307 23 328 35 328 26262 24485 29 313 21 313 20 322 25 326 32 333 24485 22638 25 314 23 329 21 324 24 326 26 325 22638 20715 23 328 24 334 19 330 21 326 26 329 20715 18714 22 338 20 346 18 348 21 333 24 342 18714 16683 22 342 22 360 21 008 21 007 18 014 16683 14732 23 354 25 001 24 019 21 029 19 042 14732 12956 21 011 24 004 26 023 21 040 24 058 12956 11372 22 022 20 009 26 025 24 050 25 060 11372 9961 24 024 19 017 21 027 24 054 26 057 9961 8704 23 019 21 020 16 031 22 055 26 053 8704 7583 20 005 21 014 12 038 19 054 23 050 7583 6586 18 352 20 008 9*032 15 046 18 047 6586 5704 16 347 17 001 8*009 11*017 13 039 5704 4922 14 347 12*352 8 003 11*005 11 025 4922 4221 13 348 7*346 8 001 11 004 11 011 4221 3600 11 352 5 347 8 000 10 003 10 003 3600 3081 9 011 5 351 8 001 10 003 9 359 3081 2682 6 024 4 354 8 002 10 003 8 358 2682 2407 2 005 4 358 8 002 10 003 7 357 2407 2240 0 235 4 359 8 003 9 003 5 351 2240 2144 2*205 4 360 7 003 8 003 3*341 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography