DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 63.5 - - 71.9 - - 69.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 135 - - 186 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1005 - - 3048 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2127 - - 3851 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3105 - - 5148 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 138 - - 1015 - - 2122 - - 4177 - - 242 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 210 - - 338 - - 5 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 137 - - 067 - - 341 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4478 - - -7960 - - -8763 - - -11666 - - -8066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6621 - - 11065 - - 13912 - - 13811 - - 10210 sfcLCL ODpotential -15054 - - -14604 - - -14177 - - -17805 - - -17373 ODpotential blCL 17197 - - 17709 - - 19325 - - 19949 - - 19517 blCL maxRH 32 - - 23 - - 22 - - 16 - - 18 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 63.5 - - 71.9 - - 69.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 22.9 - - 18.3 - - 16.6 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 62.4 - - 70.3 - - 70.8 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 22.6 - - 17.9 - - 16.1 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 135 - - 186 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1005 - - 3048 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96068 5 039 5 354 9 306 15 354 11 346 96068 89114 30 083 20 087 19 083 22 073 14 087 89114 83735 33 080 28 090 25 089 28 096 24 073 83735 79209 29 070 26 086 31 085 23 101 32 063 79209 75287 20 051 25 087 23 084 17 090 24 063 75287 71825 20 063 21 079 19 094 15 070 14 072 71825 68685 18 063 20 066 17 079 16 059 12 066 68685 65784 20 044 19 036 18 060 20 059 16 054 65784 63094 14 011 17 010 15 036 18 046 13 058 63094 60498 10 330 18 345 19 019 15 032 8 064 60498 57783 16 344 19 353 20 359 17 012 5 349 57783 54943 24 006 26 009 20 357 21 344 13 334 54943 52230 28 005 23 007 17 349 20 323 24 334 52230 49792 27 002 20 005 16 348 15 313 21 324 49792 47593 29 004 21 004 18 009 4 029 18 325 47593 45586 29 005 24 012 21 017 16 063 12 298 45586 43741 27 005 28 013 20 018 26 047 4 203 43741 42052 23 013 22 009 20 008 29 033 30 100 42052 40503 20 028 16 011 16 355 23 019 38 083 40503 39063 23 042 14 039 11 019 17 014 46 076 39063 37706 24 045 17 067 20 062 10 025 45 073 37706 36394 21 052 25 067 29 072 19 083 47 074 36394 35063 20 055 30 066 34 069 32 076 54 079 35063 33691 16 059 32 068 38 065 37 073 60 083 33691 32284 16 062 34 072 41 068 39 075 60 085 32284 30821 17 058 37 075 41 072 38 074 56 082 30821 29283 14 047 41 077 41 076 39 073 55 082 29283 27671 12 039 42 078 41 076 39 077 49 083 27671 25988 13 044 42 081 41 076 37 081 37 080 25988 24237 16 049 36 086 36 078 34 078 31 075 24237 22420 17 055 26 087 27 074 31 069 28 076 22420 20527 16 061 16 065 23 062 29 058 25 082 20527 18552 12 034 14 047 22 061 28 053 24 080 18552 16536 8 019 11 045 18 060 26 056 24 073 16536 14592 12 072 11 054 15 060 21 064 22 066 14592 12823 19 073 13 067 16 069 18 068 17 058 12823 11250 19 070 17 070 18 077 18 069 15 051 11250 9852 18 063 19 069 19 078 18 073 14 050 9852 8609 15 057 18 067 18 078 17 080 12 048 8609 7503 12 058 15 062 15 082 14 091 11 044 7503 6520 10 064 13 068 12 088 11 098 11 041 6520 5651 9 084 11 087 8*087 8 095 12 040 5651 4881 11 107 12 104 6*082 6 086 13 039 4881 4190 13 119 14 118 4 073 3 055 13 033 4190 3577 13 124 13*126 4 067 3 012 13 021 3577 3065 10 129 11*133 4 062 3 354 14 006 3065 2672 5 127 7 138 4 056 3 348 15 358 2672 2401 2 097 7 139 3 053 3 345 12 354 2401 2237 2*142 6 139 3 052 3*343 6*349 2237 2144 3*185 5 138 3 052 2*341 3*331 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography