DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.0 - - 73.6 - - 78.8 - - 76.3 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 184 - - 187 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2173 - - 4840 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3226 - - 5191 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 4273 - - 6940 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 329 - - 2822 - - 1683 - - 6671 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 303 - - 398 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 078 - - 130 - - 101 - - 099 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2825 - - -4837 - - -4000 - - -7535 - - -4567 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4968 - - 9110 - - 10940 - - 9680 - - 6711 sfcLCL ODpotential -11781 - - -11079 - - -9865 - - -12853 - - -11006 ODpotential blCL 13924 - - 15352 - - 16805 - - 14998 - - 13150 blCL maxRH 53 - - 38 - - 39 - - 42 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.0 - - 73.6 - - 78.8 - - 76.3 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 41.2 - - 38.3 - - 41.5 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 72.2 - - 77.2 - - 77.6 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.7 - - 40.7 - - 37.8 - - 40.9 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 184 - - 187 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2173 - - 4840 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96832 62 279 67 275 63 276 63 273 74 274 96832 89603 40 276 48 284 41 277 43 286 39 293 89603 84095 30 280 34 293 31 281 31 291 36 308 84095 79522 22 282 21 284 26 278 29 289 35 307 79522 75585 21 298 13 295 21 283 25 291 29 303 75585 72110 20 313 14 320 13 292 16 299 18 300 72110 68949 19 318 15 318 10 318 14 303 13 298 68949 66034 22 300 21 299 15 323 18 303 16 302 66034 63334 22 274 21 276 16 300 18 293 20 302 63334 60729 22 264 20 264 17 275 17 280 21 286 60729 58026 28 264 26 259 23 262 20 280 21 283 58026 55236 35 258 31 255 29 257 26 276 26 278 55236 52569 33 256 32 252 32 257 28 265 29 273 52569 50151 30 267 33 258 34 262 33 264 30 271 50151 47973 35 275 36 261 35 264 33 266 29 269 47973 45993 39 273 36 267 36 268 35 271 29 273 45993 44184 39 270 40 274 42 273 37 277 30 278 44184 42514 35 274 39 274 43 275 40 274 32 281 42514 40957 34 287 36 277 36 276 32 281 29 282 40957 39496 33 299 30 290 30 285 26 288 24 285 39496 38119 33 312 26 311 21 301 19 288 20 291 38119 36789 30 315 24 320 19 318 14 299 17 296 36789 35442 28 312 25 318 22 330 14 339 7 320 35442 34048 24 315 23 310 23 328 16 351 8 005 34048 32609 20 324 13 315 19 327 14 347 13 004 32609 31111 14 342 6 347 13 335 12 343 15 007 31111 29546 12 002 8 009 12 002 10 010 15 022 29546 27916 16 029 13 030 15 039 10 037 15 029 27916 26215 21 040 17 048 19 061 16 072 14 047 26215 24442 25 046 21 060 24 068 21 076 14 062 24442 22600 29 053 23 061 20 070 20 074 14 076 22600 20683 29 058 21 068 14 079 15 075 13 080 20683 18690 24 060 18 082 13 089 12 078 10 085 18690 16659 23 069 19 081 15 086 12 077 12 084 16659 14704 26 069 23 074 17 087 15 079 16 079 14704 12927 25 073 24 073 19 090 17 082 19 081 12927 11349 22 079 22 080 19 093 16 086 20 084 11349 9944 17 079 17 089 17 097 12 093 17 089 9944 8692 14 080 11 089 13 100 9 096 12 095 8692 7577 12 091 9 081 9*103 9 095 8 100 7577 6586 12 104 8 089 8*103 8 094 6 099 6586 5708 15 120 9 112 8 102 8 095 5 109 5708 4928 21 127 12*125 8 102 7 097 7 124 4928 4227 24 129 14*129 7 102 7 097 11 130 4227 3604 24 128 14 129 7 100 7 099 14 128 3604 3084 20 129 13 130 6 100 7 100 18 123 3084 2684 15 133 13 130 6 099 6 100 15 121 2684 2408 9 139 12 130 6 098 6 099 11 120 2408 2240 4 132 11 130 6 098 5*099 7*118 2240 2144 0*078 10 130 5 098 4*099 4*123 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography