DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 73.4 - - 68.5 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 160 - - -17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1281 - - 3649 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 4215 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3381 - - 5749 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1510 - - 1501 - - 4953 - - 441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 342 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 274 - - 348 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5053 - - -5310 - - -7567 - - -5092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8435 - - 11059 - - 9711 - - 7237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9670 - - -8622 - - -11488 - - -11291 ODpotential blCL - - - 13051 - - 14371 - - 13632 - - 13435 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 62 - - 35 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 73.4 - - 68.5 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 32.3 - - 33.6 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 72.0 - - 70.0 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 32.0 - - 33.4 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 160 - - -17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1281 - - 3649 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96413 13 032 3 112 3 266 0 196 96413 89219 5 268 9 285 9 296 13 014 89219 83693 5 282 7 271 9 309 6 348 83693 79111 12 330 10 281 12 315 7 349 79111 75146 12 309 12 284 16 285 15 333 75146 71631 9 294 13 295 14 280 15 291 71631 68465 15 298 18 293 15 321 13 282 68465 65572 23 293 23 295 17 307 17 304 65572 62887 27 290 27 295 26 290 28 294 62887 60280 31 281 36 287 32 279 34 281 60280 57565 39 276 46 285 46 279 44 280 57565 54747 53 272 58 278 56 276 53 275 54747 52048 57 273 67 274 66 267 65 269 52048 49618 68 271 72 271 74 265 74 261 49618 47442 73 270 78 267 79 262 79 258 47442 45464 76 270 79 263 83 260 81 259 45464 43650 80 270 80 263 85 262 84 260 43650 41986 85 269 85 265 90 262 93 257 41986 40451 93 268 93 264 96 262 108 256 40451 39014 95 269 98 264 103 261 113 254 39014 37653 85 269 92 266 109 261 114 253 37653 36332 75 268 74 266 107 264 115 256 36332 34990 69 266 67 262 96 266 99 264 34990 33604 60 269 60 260 73 262 74 266 33604 32178 53 272 55 260 59 257 59 258 32178 30696 49 272 50 261 52 257 52 255 30696 29145 45 272 47 264 47 265 47 256 29145 27524 42 276 45 269 44 271 43 259 27524 25832 39 279 43 276 40 278 39 261 25832 24071 37 279 39 274 36 278 36 264 24071 22246 37 276 38 271 36 277 36 266 22246 20355 36 274 32 274 31 278 34 275 20355 18397 29 268 27 274 25 276 28 277 18397 16412 24 264 24 273 22 276 25 274 16412 14504 20 274 21 276 20 274 23 274 14504 12764 16 280 18 276 16 271 20 274 12764 11211 11 281 14 263 15 264 19 271 11211 9824 7 276 10 246 16 247 18 260 9824 8588 2 271 9 231 16 228 16 232 8588 7488 1 151 9 220 14 233 14 222 7488 6512 2 140 7*229 11 246 12 249 6512 5648 2 179 4*249 8 262 12 271 5648 4881 3 195 4 257 6 291 12 279 4881 4192 5 177 3 270 6 314 9 290 4192 3579 5*171 3 279 7 329 6 332 3579 3067 5*168 3 289 8 338 7 014 3067 2673 4 165 3 297 9 342 9 026 2673 2402 4 161 3 302 9 345 6 035 2402 2238 4 159 3 303 7*347 2*038 2238 2144 3 158 2 304 5*348 1*223 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography