DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.5 - - 68.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 135 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1788 - - 3397 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 3945 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3888 - - 5497 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1898 - - 3495 - - 7869 - - 1628 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 317 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 277 - - 298 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 11 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 44 - - -166 - - -3925 - - -819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3844 - - 5663 - - 6070 - - 2964 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1097 - - -755 - - -4982 - - -2627 ODpotential blCL - - - 4985 - - 6252 - - 7126 - - 4771 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 89 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 150 - - 100 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.5 - - 68.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 52.1 - - 49.6 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 68.3 - - 69.3 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 51.9 - - 49.1 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 135 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1788 - - 3397 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 48 - - 56 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95780 31 343 28 316 29 335 23 327 95780 88825 28 360 23 354 21 357 21 351 88825 83467 23 012 27 002 18 007 21 359 83467 78992 22 030 25 014 22 021 21 360 78992 75109 19 028 16 017 21 024 12 015 75109 71653 13 011 13 024 10 006 10 359 71653 68509 11 333 15 356 14 356 8 348 68509 65623 13 314 14 324 18 335 9 350 65623 62938 19 288 18 291 21 295 20 298 62938 60344 22 279 22 281 29 281 31 289 60344 57650 27 266 26 270 33 280 34 289 57650 54843 28 252 36 257 40 267 37 273 54843 52156 31 249 38 253 41 262 40 269 52156 49730 37 255 38 254 44 266 43 273 49730 47548 42 255 43 260 47 263 44 267 47548 45558 48 254 47 258 50 261 46 263 45558 43729 54 250 54 256 53 258 47 266 43729 42042 58 246 61 253 52 260 58 270 42042 40480 57 241 58 252 54 265 62 265 40480 39027 53 240 56 253 57 267 54 262 39027 37664 51 243 56 254 57 267 51 278 37664 36354 49 249 55 254 51 268 59 288 36354 35029 46 256 55 256 46 273 64 286 35029 33660 46 265 58 257 46 280 60 282 33660 32247 46 266 61 256 49 281 52 285 32247 30778 40 263 59 255 49 278 47 292 30778 29239 38 257 55 256 46 277 47 296 29239 27628 38 253 50 255 43 280 46 297 27628 25943 38 251 47 253 43 280 44 297 25943 24185 39 253 44 254 43 275 40 297 24185 22355 39 255 43 256 44 270 38 295 22355 20450 35 254 42 261 43 271 36 292 20450 18471 33 251 36 263 39 274 35 288 18471 16457 31 243 32 255 33 270 32 285 16457 14520 30 237 33 247 30 260 28 280 14520 12762 28 237 34 246 30 254 26 266 12762 11204 25 238 30 244 28 247 24 256 11204 9821 22 241 27 239 23 241 20 247 9821 8590 18 245 25 238 20 243 17 243 8590 7494 15 250 22 239 16 250 14 245 7494 6517 15 251 17 242 14 257 12 255 6517 5652 15 249 12*249 13 263 12 267 5652 4884 13 243 9*260 12 269 13 273 4884 4194 8*232 7 271 11 274 12 276 4194 3582 4*204 7 277 10 280 11 273 3582 3069 3 178 6 283 9 284 8 260 3069 2675 3 169 6 287 8 289 5 223 2675 2403 2 164 6 289 7 293 5 176 2403 2238 2 162 5 290 6*295 4*161 2238 2144 2 160 5 292 5*298 3*156 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography