DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 102.2 - - 107.4 - - 107.9 - - 100.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 474 - - 190 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6379 - - 8737 - - 10288 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6777 - - 8731 - - 9401 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8479 - - 10837 - - 12388 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1926 - - 3816 - - 4252 - - 10497 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 657 - - 512 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 330 - - 338 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2968 - - -2464 - - -1850 - - -10008 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11448 - - 13301 - - 14239 - - 12155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5284 - - -3682 - - -3215 - - -12418 ODpotential blCL - - - 13763 - - 14519 - - 15603 - - 14564 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 72 - - 63 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 1030 - - 1010 - - 590 - - 840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 102.2 - - 107.4 - - 107.9 - - 100.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.0 - - 55.9 - - 52.3 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.3 - - 104.2 - - 106.3 - - 102.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 55.8 - - 52.2 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 474 - - 190 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6379 - - 8737 - - 10288 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99055 49 106 43 111 35 120 31 111 99055 91550 40 100 38 109 35 109 35 095 91550 85791 36 099 38 111 34 090 43 090 85791 81032 33 109 33 115 31 090 39 085 81032 76946 32 107 28 120 29 102 30 090 76946 73347 32 104 26 104 30 112 26 103 73347 70099 30 101 23 108 29 104 24 107 70099 67123 20 096 21 106 26 091 21 110 67123 64368 17 105 22 100 20 088 21 106 64368 61716 21 110 20 093 13 107 19 090 61716 58984 21 112 20 108 14 129 17 080 58984 56191 21 083 19 090 17 107 12 093 56191 53560 23 070 20 065 17 076 11 083 53560 51193 29 054 27 056 21 069 13 073 51193 49053 27 045 28 043 27 039 25 032 49053 47098 29 038 30 037 28 032 30 034 47098 45286 31 032 32 031 28 036 33 038 45286 43593 33 027 32 026 29 041 34 041 43593 42003 32 024 31 023 28 033 32 041 42003 40508 30 019 30 022 27 029 28 037 40508 39096 29 019 29 024 26 034 25 044 39096 37732 27 028 29 036 25 043 24 047 37732 36349 28 038 28 048 23 049 19 050 36349 34916 25 055 26 059 19 055 17 050 34916 33435 28 069 23 070 17 070 18 048 33435 31893 30 070 24 076 22 081 20 063 31893 30283 29 070 29 074 29 084 22 066 30283 28605 27 074 29 077 30 084 22 068 28605 26858 27 084 24 085 24 089 16 078 26858 25043 25 092 21 093 19 103 17 100 25043 23163 16 082 15 085 17 090 19 102 23163 21214 14 072 15 080 16 069 21 086 21214 19196 15 076 16 085 17 074 24 075 19196 17145 18 059 15 077 15 077 22 078 17145 15166 17 033 14 054 11 067 17 081 15166 13358 13 025 12 039 9*036 9 051 13358 11743 9 017 7*012 8*345 10 331 11743 10298 10 349 6*334 9 341 10 331 10298 9003 7*336 7 330 9 340 11 324 9003 7844 6*317 7 328 9 338 11 320 7844 6810 6 313 7 328 9 336 12 314 6810 5892 6 313 7 328 9 336 13 310 5892 5076 6 315 8 330 9 336 13 307 5076 4340 5 315 8 329 9 336 14 303 4340 3687 5 316 8 331 9 337 15 301 3687 3139 5 319 8 332 9 336 15 300 3139 2717 5 320 8 332 9 337 14 299 2717 2425 5 322 8 333 8 337 11 297 2425 2248 5 321 7 333 8 337 9 294 2248 2146 5 322 7 334 8 337 5*292 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography