DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.5 - - 103.2 - - 102.5 - - 91.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 420 - - 139 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5433 - - 15104 - - 14149 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5996 - - 13893 - - 12147 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7533 - - 17204 - - 16249 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8514 - - 2051 - - 3349 - - 3511 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 529 - - 757 - - 513 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 23 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 126 - - 137 - - 134 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 22 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -21 - - -32 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9392 - - -1996 - - -3351 - - -15248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16926 - - 19201 - - 19601 - - 17394 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12386 - - -4579 - - -5256 - - -17738 ODpotential blCL - - - 19919 - - 21783 - - 21505 - - 19883 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 36 - - 58 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.5 - - 103.2 - - 102.5 - - 91.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 24.0 - - 21.7 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.9 - - 100.4 - - 101.2 - - 95.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 23.7 - - 21.5 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 420 - - 139 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5433 - - 15104 - - 14149 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98082 9 170 7 262 4 229 6 314 98082 90627 6 179 10 185 6 241 7 320 90627 84885 6 205 15 146 10 194 8 271 84885 80124 13 212 9 158 9 162 7 196 80124 76046 13 201 9 218 4 223 6 181 76046 72471 5 182 9 228 6 270 5 205 72471 69261 5 261 12 235 10 294 1 350 69261 66316 10 260 14 252 11 283 5 322 66316 63582 9 247 13 257 11 263 9 287 63582 60942 6 221 11 250 11 252 12 274 60942 58205 8 243 12 247 15 257 13 274 58205 55385 15 255 16 255 21 250 16 260 55385 52710 14 248 18 245 21 251 23 251 52710 50316 7 288 15 225 21 244 26 246 50316 48174 16 312 9 271 19 229 24 240 48174 46224 18 300 16 316 9 243 19 224 46224 44427 12 294 15 323 7 316 3 258 44427 42771 5 307 6 334 6 349 3 021 42771 41229 3 006 5 011 5 036 6 073 41229 39778 9 036 7 041 9 063 10 093 39778 38409 14 044 9 064 11 071 13 096 38409 37082 16 048 10 082 11 080 13 098 37082 35736 14 048 10 086 10 083 13 100 35736 34340 12 043 10 088 9 085 11 098 34340 32899 11 026 9 083 9 095 10 096 32899 31398 8 017 8 057 9 080 10 110 31398 29826 5 042 6 050 10 060 11 117 29826 28181 8 078 5 085 9 078 12 107 28181 26467 11 085 8 105 10 108 13 097 26467 24684 10 090 11 105 14 114 16 103 24684 22837 9 092 10 108 14 112 19 104 22837 20932 11 112 12 127 14 135 14 128 20932 18962 12 118 12*143 16 189 10 138 18962 16950 1 348 6*154 18*197 9 132 16950 14999 4 189 6 156 16*196 8 128 14999 13213 5 161 6 152 13 191 7 127 13213 11615 8 158 6 147 9 180 6 132 11615 10185 8 142 6 142 7 157 4 150 10185 8905 9 122 6 137 6 121 3 189 8905 7759 10*118 6 130 7 098 5 224 7759 6738 11*120 6 126 8 087 7 239 6738 5832 12 124 6 122 8 080 9 246 5832 5028 12 125 6 120 9 075 11 250 5028 4304 13 127 6 117 9 073 13 252 4304 3661 13 127 6 115 9 071 15 251 3661 3121 12 128 6 114 9 070 14 250 3121 2706 12 129 6 112 9 069 13 249 2706 2419 12 129 6 112 9 068 11 246 2419 2245 11 129 5 111 9 068 9 244 2245 2145 10 129 5 110 8 068 7*240 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography