DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 74.1 - - 70.1 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - -8 - - -34 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 44 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 2128 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2442 - - 2144 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 791 - - 2594 - - 298 - - 260 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 17 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 135 - - 151 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3906 - - -8345 - - -6314 - - -4147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6348 - - 10490 - - 8458 - - 6291 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8235 - - -13471 - - -10369 - - -8810 ODpotential blCL - - - 10677 - - 15615 - - 12513 - - 10954 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 101 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 74.1 - - 70.1 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 35.8 - - 41.0 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 74.4 - - 72.1 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 35.4 - - 40.5 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - -8 - - -34 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 44 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 102 - - 102 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96250 32 301 34 280 40 291 30 306 96250 89151 23 298 20 300 24 286 27 301 89151 83704 22 285 20 322 15 310 23 290 83704 79201 23 288 26 306 23 327 15 332 79201 75299 24 288 27 302 20 313 23 312 75299 71840 22 266 29 284 23 295 29 305 71840 68729 22 274 27 286 26 286 23 299 68729 65880 26 265 23 279 24 274 16 273 65880 63243 32 249 27 256 23 262 17 268 63243 60683 37 225 38 225 35 227 28 248 60683 58016 42 221 45 221 46 219 44 220 58016 55251 50 225 50 225 51 221 48 220 55251 52593 58 224 58 226 62 224 60 225 52593 50180 64 225 69 225 71 224 70 227 50180 48007 71 229 76 225 74 225 77 225 48007 46028 77 229 78 227 77 227 80 223 46028 44216 81 226 80 225 82 225 81 224 44216 42552 74 225 74 219 74 218 77 227 42552 41006 62 231 61 220 64 212 72 224 41006 39552 63 232 62 226 63 220 69 222 39552 38179 68 234 65 231 62 227 67 222 38179 36852 62 232 63 235 61 234 63 226 36852 35508 53 225 54 230 56 232 60 227 35508 34114 47 223 47 226 50 225 58 226 34114 32671 46 227 49 231 48 224 56 227 32671 31165 46 230 47 229 48 226 54 226 31165 29584 43 229 44 226 46 224 53 224 29584 27929 36 220 41 217 44 220 51 222 27929 26201 36 213 41 213 43 217 49 219 26201 24405 43 212 44 219 45 220 48 219 24405 22549 48 211 42 223 46 225 46 222 22549 20629 41 212 42 222 45 228 43 226 20629 18638 34 229 41 220 43 227 41 232 18638 16614 35 239 35 229 37 223 38 240 16614 14667 43 227 34 241 29 231 32 245 14667 12900 44 213 43 229 31 234 22 230 12900 11330 41 208 45 216 33 218 27 219 11330 9933 36 203 34 210 32 207 34 212 9933 8686 29 199 27 202 30 207 36 203 8686 7571 21 186 25 196 30 208 36 196 7571 6578 16 160 24 187 29 208 35 196 6578 5699 14 145 23 176 29 207 31 197 5699 4919 17 139 22 162 28 205 27 196 4919 4219 19 133 22 146 27 203 23 188 4219 3598 18 134 23 136 25 200 20 176 3598 3079 16 139 21 134 22 191 19 156 3079 2680 12*150 18 133 18 173 18 144 2680 2406 8*167 15 133 15 157 14 139 2406 2239 7 169 13 134 12 151 10*142 2239 2144 6 172 9*135 7*151 5*150 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography