DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 103.0 - - 102.4 - - 90.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 481 - - 193 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6245 - - 9613 - - 9554 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6672 - - 9455 - - 8831 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8345 - - 11713 - - 11654 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1530 - - 1392 - - 1591 - - 1537 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 568 - - 682 - - 501 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 228 - - 241 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -12601 - - -11286 - - -11992 - - -19306 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20947 - - 23000 - - 23647 - - 21452 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18652 - - -16283 - - -16879 - - -26199 ODpotential blCL - - - 26997 - - 27996 - - 28533 - - 28344 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 32 - - 30 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 103.0 - - 102.4 - - 90.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.3 - - 6.5 - - 3.2 - - 2.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.9 - - 99.9 - - 100.8 - - 93.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.3 - - 6.4 - - 3.2 - - 2.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 481 - - 193 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6245 - - 9613 - - 9554 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99067 36 110 33 107 32 105 29 105 99067 91555 32 104 34 114 28 108 33 092 91555 85751 32 111 34 125 28 107 33 091 85751 80948 30 102 26 116 29 112 29 096 80948 76842 25 099 21 106 27 105 31 095 76842 73226 19 107 22 104 19 095 27 088 73226 69970 16 133 19 094 14 104 15 090 69970 67006 14 122 11 115 14 114 9 090 67006 64263 10 136 8 113 11 085 9 144 64263 61597 9 198 2 214 7 021 6 115 61597 58812 13 207 14 233 10 262 7 287 58812 55939 12 246 19 257 20 274 21 283 55939 53225 35 268 37 265 40 273 39 277 53225 50801 46 270 45 266 45 264 43 272 50801 48625 50 281 47 277 43 265 43 276 48625 46645 62 287 53 284 45 276 47 283 46645 44821 66 282 60 281 52 283 53 287 44821 43127 66 278 63 281 56 283 59 289 43127 41547 62 280 61 282 57 283 62 290 41547 40062 50 277 52 279 54 282 57 290 40062 38664 46 270 43 271 46 276 46 284 38664 37317 45 265 43 270 40 265 41 276 37317 35955 40 262 39 268 36 267 33 267 35955 34551 37 261 35 263 34 263 30 263 34551 33104 35 261 31 262 35 263 32 263 33104 31594 31 261 27 264 30 267 27 273 31594 30013 29 262 26 264 24 273 20 283 30013 28360 27 269 24 264 20 276 17 291 28360 26637 26 279 21 271 18 276 15 279 26637 24842 23 277 19 264 16 264 14 256 24842 22976 20 264 17 249 14 254 14 232 22976 21032 18 255 16 247 12 254 12 243 21032 19010 17 252 13 253 10 254 9 250 19010 16953 14 249 11 246 9 238 9 240 16953 14973 11 240 12 226 10 220 9 225 14973 13173 15 222 16*210 11*206 13 175 13173 11572 19 210 14*210 10*210 13 164 11572 10145 21 205 13 211 10 212 10 173 10145 8869 15*203 13 214 10 217 8 201 8869 7729 13*203 11 223 10 239 8 235 7729 6713 12 205 11 230 10 246 10 256 6713 5812 10 207 11 236 11 251 13 264 5812 5012 9 209 11 240 11 256 15 268 5012 4291 8 211 10 244 11 259 17 270 4291 3651 7 214 10 248 11 260 19 271 3651 3115 7 215 10 251 11 262 19 271 3115 2703 6 217 10 252 11 263 19 272 2703 2418 6 218 10 253 11 264 16 273 2418 2245 5 219 9 254 10 264 12 273 2245 2145 5 218 9 255 9 264 7*271 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography