DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 85.7 - - 81.6 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 458 - - 98 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3647 - - 7698 - - 9289 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4493 - - 7872 - - 8025 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5747 - - 9798 - - 11389 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1800 - - 3013 - - 1917 - - 7845 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 420 - - 623 - - 397 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 255 - - 269 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 9 - - 26 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5939 - - -5477 - - -1699 - - -6898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11687 - - 15276 - - 13088 - - 9042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11182 - - -10221 - - -6255 - - -8566 ODpotential blCL - - - 16929 - - 20019 - - 17644 - - 10710 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 95 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 85.7 - - 81.6 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 25.1 - - 31.1 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 82.9 - - 80.8 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 25.0 - - 31.1 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 458 - - 98 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3647 - - 7698 - - 9289 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 79 - - 98 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98034 21 261 11 229 14 272 14 279 98034 90550 15 253 15 255 24 274 20 282 90550 84770 18 267 20 279 22 287 19 282 84770 79999 16 265 18 269 18 290 16 312 79999 75907 12 277 16 272 19 281 21 307 75907 72317 18 278 17 278 18 278 21 283 72317 69095 12 266 16 263 11 280 15 279 69095 66145 14 306 14 302 14 294 12 293 66145 63414 28 291 25 292 22 286 15 312 63414 60769 31 264 29 272 32 282 29 289 60769 58017 26 259 28 273 36 277 34 273 58017 55157 34 282 46 284 45 282 38 272 55157 52423 63 276 69 273 64 273 56 266 52423 49973 82 264 78 257 75 262 68 263 49973 47787 79 260 76 253 86 252 86 258 47787 45814 86 268 81 257 90 249 98 252 45814 44019 103 268 96 261 100 253 115 250 44019 42365 107 265 104 260 112 255 124 248 42365 40817 109 261 102 253 116 255 124 247 40817 39355 106 260 102 251 113 252 122 247 39355 37973 103 260 103 253 107 250 121 248 37973 36633 102 263 102 254 102 248 121 248 36633 35272 99 265 98 257 103 247 118 247 35272 33861 97 262 97 261 104 248 113 248 33861 32404 96 258 98 261 105 251 109 250 32404 30887 92 256 95 258 105 255 105 251 30887 29301 85 255 83 253 95 258 98 251 29301 27647 74 257 76 256 78 257 86 250 27647 25927 65 256 69 259 70 258 78 245 25927 24148 68 254 64 258 70 257 66 241 24148 22312 71 252 69 255 72 253 59 240 22312 20413 69 253 73 251 71 245 51 244 20413 18446 58 254 67 250 66 237 46 260 18446 16452 41 251 52 249 53 233 36 276 16452 14538 35 255 39 242 38 228 24 285 14538 12797 34 261 28 245 21*218 15 264 12797 11248 28 264 18 261 13*231 18 242 11248 9870 23 265 17*264 13 241 25 240 9870 8637 22 260 13*250 14 254 28 236 8637 7536 21 250 13 250 15 262 29 231 7536 6555 17*237 13 252 16 270 28 228 6555 5685 16*228 13 253 17 277 27 226 5685 4912 16 227 13 256 18 282 26 224 4912 4217 16 228 13 257 18 284 25 223 4217 3599 15 229 13 259 19 286 23 223 3599 3082 15 231 13 260 19 287 22 223 3082 2683 15 232 12 262 18 287 20 222 2683 2408 14 232 12 262 18 288 18 222 2408 2240 13 233 11 262 16 288 15 222 2240 2144 12 233 10 262 14 288 11*221 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography