DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Freeport_IL 856ft pt37813@42.185,-89.594,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1008z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 47.4 - - 55.8 - - 58.5 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 60 - - 100 - - 2 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 49 - - 367 - - 1517 - - 3250 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit 889 - - 890 - - 1155 - - 890 - - 890 Hcrit BL Top 905 - - 1223 - - 2373 - - 4106 - - 907 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 152 - - 497 - - 2919 - - 1395 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 117 - - 227 - - 146 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 239 - - 249 - - 250 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -336 - - -979 - - -771 - - 263 - - -1275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1241 - - 2203 - - 3144 - - 3843 - - 2182 sfcLCL ODpotential -4453 - - -3740 - - -3339 - - -6978 - - -7078 ODpotential blCL 5358 - - 4963 - - 5712 - - 11084 - - 7985 blCL maxRH 89 - - 79 - - 72 - - 68 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 47.4 - - 55.8 - - 58.5 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 41.3 - - 45.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 46.9 - - 55.0 - - 58.5 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 40.3 - - 43.6 - - 42.7 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 60 - - 100 - - 2 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 49 - - 367 - - 1517 - - 3250 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97543 33 269 39 262 34 263 40 263 41 264 97543 90408 22 273 25 257 27 259 27 264 27 260 90408 84862 14 284 17 259 21 261 19 268 20 252 84862 80189 11 287 18 261 16 255 17 261 17 269 80189 76132 10 276 18 258 15 247 20 255 19 277 76132 72534 11 283 15 263 15 250 22 258 19 275 72534 69266 19 283 16 263 14 244 19 253 18 259 69266 66245 20 273 18 268 15 261 17 262 17 262 66245 63436 22 265 25 266 23 271 21 270 22 275 63436 60720 21 255 25 257 25 263 24 266 26 275 60720 57893 25 274 21 267 23 263 24 264 27 267 57893 54956 35 284 32 286 30 282 28 286 26 277 54956 52154 46 279 38 277 38 279 39 291 30 290 52154 49650 45 268 35 275 39 275 44 284 36 290 49650 47426 40 275 40 288 40 279 43 280 40 287 47426 45422 48 287 48 286 39 284 38 285 43 286 45422 43594 57 287 46 280 40 298 41 301 43 289 43594 41912 59 283 40 293 46 303 44 307 42 293 41912 40357 53 287 47 305 46 303 41 308 41 297 40357 38910 55 298 53 308 43 308 38 317 40 299 38910 37556 61 303 53 311 43 318 40 325 42 302 37556 36251 63 305 50 316 45 328 46 329 42 303 36251 34927 62 310 50 331 48 335 49 328 41 304 34927 33550 60 318 58 343 51 341 50 323 40 304 33550 32123 60 326 68 349 53 341 52 318 40 302 32123 30628 62 333 72 351 55 337 54 316 41 299 30628 29055 63 339 72 350 56 334 54 315 43 296 29055 27402 66 344 68 347 56 334 52 314 47 294 27402 25666 67 346 65 344 54 334 49 311 49 291 25666 23846 65 345 62 341 51 334 47 310 49 291 23846 21943 63 342 58 338 47 331 45 311 49 294 21943 19952 60 338 53 334 44 324 44 311 47 296 19952 17866 55 334 50 329 44 316 42 308 46 299 17866 15735 51 331 49 326 42 313 38 305 43 305 15735 13685 46 330 46 326 37 313 33 303 39 306 13685 11828 38 328 40 326 30 316 29 302 33 304 11828 10183 34 324 34 322 25 316 26 300 31 302 10183 8726 30 318 29 316 22 314 22 295 30 301 8726 7436 27 313 24 307 19 307 20 288 27 302 7436 6295 24 303 21 292 18 295 20 281 23 296 6295 5292 21 299 19 287 20 282 20 274 20 275 5292 4412 16 302 18 284 20 279 18*270 17 261 4412 3638 10 321 17 261 18 280 15*257 14 254 3638 2945 5 327 17 241 14*277 14 252 13 242 2945 2332 5 293 18 238 12*267 13 250 15 229 2332 1822 8 271 18 242 10 246 12 248 16 220 1822 1431 15 270 17*243 9 244 12 246 16 213 1431 1162 15 271 10*239 9 243 11 246 15 208 1162 999 13 269 9 239 8 243 10 244 13*203 999 907 5*263 8 239 8 243 8 243 6*196 907 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography