DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 42.0 - - 43.6 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 767 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 784 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2386 - - 2367 - - 960 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 83 - - 56 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 327 - - 272 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -854 - - -998 - - -127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1638 - - 1782 - - 911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -774 - - -1080 - - -6876 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1558 - - 1864 - - 7660 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 42.0 - - 43.6 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.9 - - 38.8 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 40.7 - - 42.9 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.7 - - 37.8 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96635 31 077 32 074 32 065 96635 89532 30 088 24 084 24 063 89532 84001 20 103 15 079 17 083 84001 79361 9 109 7 087 4 076 79361 75333 11 164 5 277 4 013 75333 71754 3 264 15 217 14 280 71754 68518 7 268 11 216 16 255 68518 65531 19 289 9 276 18 261 65531 62747 28 276 26 274 25 263 62747 60056 34 274 30 276 33 284 60056 57254 42 276 42 275 38 279 57254 54351 50 272 48 273 45 277 54351 51573 51 275 54 277 50 278 51573 49057 61 278 63 278 63 282 49057 46794 71 277 73 280 72 281 46794 44744 78 277 76 278 72 278 44744 42873 80 278 76 282 67 282 42873 41154 80 279 81 283 72 289 41154 39564 80 280 80 279 79 293 39564 38086 78 280 71 283 87 297 38086 36710 73 289 75 294 98 301 36710 35399 78 297 89 299 108 303 35399 34079 87 299 98 299 110 302 34079 32712 88 298 100 297 107 300 32712 31296 84 294 96 297 102 300 31296 29816 80 293 88 297 96 301 29816 28260 73 293 83 296 86 300 28260 26630 69 294 79 297 77 298 26630 24923 67 294 73 299 72 297 24923 23140 64 296 65 299 68 300 23140 21285 60 301 62 299 63 301 21285 19350 54 304 54 300 57 301 19350 17327 49 308 42 297 49 296 17327 15262 43 312 39 296 41 289 15262 13274 37 312 38 298 38 288 13274 11469 35 313 34 303 36 284 11469 9865 32 319 27 308 31 281 9865 8439 27 326 22 307 23 280 8439 7173 20 326 18 302 20 282 7173 6052 16 325 15 300 20 283 6052 5064 12 328 12 298 19 281 5064 4198 8 350 9 286 17 277 4198 3438 6 021 6 271 12 271 3438 2762 3 015 4 260 7 236 2762 2167 3 347 3 261 7 174 2167 1672 3 339 2 263 8 140 1672 1293 3 335 2 269 9 125 1293 1032 3 332 1 269 8 116 1032 874 2*329 1*270 7*113 874 784 2*327 1*272 4*112 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography