DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 54.8 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 271 - - 34 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4491 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3695 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5200 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1304 - - 5577 - - 2079 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 432 - - 56 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 310 - - 316 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2744 - - -7005 - - -4624 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7944 - - 7789 - - 5408 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13119 - - -16529 - - -16049 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 18319 - - 17313 - - 16833 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 47 - - 49 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 54.8 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 23.1 - - 23.5 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.6 - - 54.2 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 22.6 - - 23.1 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 271 - - 34 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4491 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96505 11 319 13 294 6 283 96505 89309 12 292 11 262 10 262 89309 83739 15 220 20 239 16 275 83739 79119 15 263 20 262 17 285 79119 75126 22 253 25 263 26 290 75126 71595 22 216 23 242 28 287 71595 68406 28 300 23 281 30 278 68406 65467 44 286 34 285 33 273 65467 62730 41 278 44 281 43 278 62730 60082 44 273 50 278 53 280 60082 57327 47 270 54 278 60 281 57327 54474 55 277 62 276 70 277 54474 51757 60 282 67 271 70 273 51757 49316 70 284 70 272 77 269 49316 47130 76 280 75 275 79 264 47130 45153 79 281 85 275 76 266 45153 43354 91 281 90 272 78 269 43354 41710 97 277 85 270 75 267 41710 40194 89 280 77 272 65 265 40194 38774 87 289 74 279 57 276 38774 37430 86 292 75 282 59 276 37430 36122 85 290 75 281 59 269 36122 34786 84 285 75 278 60 266 34786 33391 83 281 75 275 61 263 33391 31940 82 279 74 275 62 265 31940 30420 85 278 73 278 63 266 30420 28819 85 280 70 282 60 268 28819 27138 82 287 63 284 53 272 27138 25375 76 288 55 285 50 270 25375 23531 68 285 52 279 48 270 23531 21612 66 281 57 272 48 275 21612 19619 67 281 60 273 48 274 19619 17545 66 283 55 279 45 270 17545 15432 60 289 48 282 39 269 15432 13395 56 299 41 288 34 271 13395 11542 51 304 38 294 29 276 11542 9899 42 305 35 297 26 285 9899 8452 36 307 31 299 24 286 8452 7183 32 310 26 299 22 277 7183 6069 25*310 18 298 18 267 6069 5090 19*309 15 304 15 271 5090 4229 19 309 14 308 12 287 4229 3469 18 309 14 311 11 302 3469 2789 18 310 14 312 11 313 2789 2188 18 310 13 314 10 322 2188 1686 17 311 13 315 10 331 1686 1301 16 311 12 316 9 338 1301 1036 15 311 11 316 7 344 1036 876 14 311 10 316 4 352 876 784 11 311 7*316 3*360 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography