DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 34.9 - - 37.0 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 150 - - 23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 766 - - 767 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - 783 - - 783 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1555 - - 2787 - - 2543 - - 1532 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 70 - - 90 - - 48 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 076 - - 157 - - 032 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2911 - - -4048 - - -4381 - - -4079 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3694 - - 4831 - - 5164 - - 4862 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15639 - - -14147 - - -12901 - - -14054 ODpotential blCL - - - 16422 - - 14930 - - 13684 - - 14837 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 65 - - 86 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 34.9 - - 37.0 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.9 - - 16.5 - - 17.3 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.2 - - 33.3 - - 36.4 - - 33.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.4 - - 16.0 - - 16.9 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 150 - - 23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 44 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95877 64 245 60 247 69 258 62 254 95877 88657 38 268 35 262 37 263 37 262 88657 83144 19 279 22 285 22 252 32 261 83144 78591 16 306 21 291 20 263 31 274 78591 74695 22 307 23 277 23 274 26 276 74695 71239 28 303 23 270 26 283 24 286 71239 68092 34 292 29 277 30 285 28 292 68092 65186 36 285 35 277 34 284 31 287 65186 62459 38 280 39 279 38 284 36 286 62459 59790 41 278 42 281 43 284 44 282 59790 56992 44 277 47 280 48 279 48 276 56992 54079 45 275 50 274 53 277 52 272 54079 51293 47 275 53 271 60 278 56 272 51293 48781 48 275 56 266 63 276 60 273 48781 46528 54 277 57 265 63 274 63 272 46528 44482 58 276 56 266 60 270 64 268 44482 42605 65 273 56 268 58 268 63 266 42605 40872 67 267 59 271 60 266 62 264 40872 39262 66 264 66 270 59 261 63 262 39262 37763 67 259 69 262 61 261 61 262 37763 36369 66 254 66 255 65 264 61 264 36369 35041 64 252 58 255 67 262 61 265 35041 33706 61 247 55 256 61 257 69 260 33706 32330 60 246 56 253 59 255 72 253 32330 30912 57 248 54 252 57 256 69 251 30912 29434 54 252 52 255 55 259 66 248 29434 27883 53 253 50 255 54 259 62 247 27883 26257 49 255 49 255 54 259 56 249 26257 24555 48 257 50 255 53 260 52 253 24555 22780 48 255 50 253 51 259 48 258 22780 20934 45 256 48 252 49 258 47 261 20934 19010 40 261 45 253 46 256 44 262 19010 17005 38 268 43 256 42 259 40 263 17005 14966 37 273 39 261 40 267 36 269 14966 13005 34 271 33 268 40 270 37 279 13005 11225 29 269 30 271 33 268 41 284 11225 9644 27 277 28 269 27 273 41 281 9644 8245 25 281 27 273 28 281 36 275 8245 7011 24 282 24 278 28 285 26 273 7011 5923 24 287 22 282 24 289 22 280 5923 4962 25 289 19 285 21 285 19 284 4962 4118 22 285 14 277 17 276 15 279 4118 3376 15 270 8 249 11 266 10 279 3376 2717 9 257 3 199 7 265 5 307 2717 2137 3 278 3 180 1 285 5 345 2137 1653 1 076 3 172 1 006 5 007 1653 1282 1 076 3 164 1 026 5 022 1282 1026 1 070 2 160 1 026 5 034 1026 871 1*074 2*158 1 035 4*041 871 783 1*076 2*157 1*032 3*048 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography