DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 16.2 - - 29.1 - - 31.8 - - 21.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 58 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 1414 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 765 - - 766 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 2123 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 497 - - 872 - - 3138 - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 47 - - 181 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 10 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 297 - - 239 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1858 - - -1135 - - -2370 - - -1167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2640 - - 3258 - - 3153 - - 1951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10484 - - -6383 - - -4780 - - -5953 ODpotential blCL - - - 11266 - - 8506 - - 5563 - - 6736 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 67 - - 71 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 16.2 - - 29.1 - - 31.8 - - 21.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.8 - - 17.9 - - 21.0 - - 16.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 16.4 - - 28.4 - - 31.5 - - 26.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.8 - - 16.8 - - 19.9 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 58 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 1414 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96319 60 216 44 222 50 227 40 237 96319 89009 50 217 52 216 51 222 52 234 89009 83385 49 241 47 238 52 245 49 232 83385 78699 40 239 42 233 46 249 46 250 78699 74669 31 237 30 241 35 241 48 262 74669 71132 29 262 22 266 31 261 40 252 71132 67924 36 266 28 275 35 271 32 266 67924 64954 32 265 40 276 35 279 33 281 64954 62183 34 271 47 280 42 290 39 289 62183 59486 46 274 53 281 52 290 48 293 59486 56671 53 273 55 278 56 286 55 291 56671 53750 48 281 52 279 55 284 57 289 53750 50948 49 290 50 283 53 285 60 288 50948 48410 51 290 49 285 53 288 62 287 48410 46126 50 286 48 289 54 292 64 290 46126 44051 47 284 48 291 55 296 66 291 44051 42150 46 287 48 293 57 300 65 290 42150 40400 46 288 47 298 59 304 63 293 40400 38779 43 292 50 305 62 305 67 297 38779 37282 42 299 55 305 64 304 75 298 37282 35902 42 305 53 303 63 304 77 297 35902 34594 48 312 49 306 61 306 75 300 34594 33279 56 320 45 306 59 305 74 304 33279 31922 62 330 42 308 55 302 76 306 31922 30522 63 334 41 311 46 298 79 307 30522 29062 60 336 41 312 38 288 79 307 29062 27527 58 334 40 312 32 278 76 306 27527 25915 57 329 39 310 30 276 70 305 25915 24227 56 329 38 310 29 275 63 304 24227 22466 50 333 36 312 28 275 55 302 22466 20639 43 332 32 318 25 279 44 299 20639 18740 37 325 28 321 23 284 32 292 18740 16766 32 322 24 318 19 285 24 280 16766 14756 27 319 22 316 18 287 23 276 14756 12823 24 312 21 310 21 285 24 271 12823 11071 23 304 23 298 25 279 23 264 11071 9523 20 299 25 286 25 276 21 262 9523 8153 18 296 24 278 23 277 19 265 8153 6939 16 299 21 276 21 278 20 269 6939 5866 14 310 18 282 21 280 21 271 5866 4921 15 323 17 295 20 279 20 269 4921 4090 18 327 19 301 16 272 15 264 4090 3358 22 321 21 298 12 261 11 252 3358 2704 27 311 18*296 9 252 9 242 2704 2126 27 305 12*295 6 248 6 223 2126 1645 23 304 11 296 4 246 5 191 1645 1277 15 303 10 297 3 245 5 164 1277 1024 9 302 9 298 3 242 5 148 1024 870 6*300 8 299 2*242 4*133 870 783 2*295 6 300 2*239 3*129 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography