DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 61.3 - - 61.2 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 136 - - 1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 2120 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 1654 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 784 - - 2829 - - 785 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1349 - - 1056 - - 2967 - - 142 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 272 - - 28 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 158 - - 141 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2671 - - -2295 - - -4334 - - -2394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3455 - - 5124 - - 5120 - - 3178 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8426 - - -6963 - - -8509 - - -9491 ODpotential blCL - - - 9210 - - 9792 - - 9294 - - 10275 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 86 - - 63 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 61.3 - - 61.2 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 42.1 - - 42.2 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 59.9 - - 61.2 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 41.1 - - 41.3 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 136 - - 1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 2120 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96459 91 249 101 246 101 248 84 241 96459 89379 65 243 65 249 72 260 59 261 89379 83914 41 250 40 259 54 255 47 268 83914 79357 33 269 26 257 36 254 40 264 79357 75420 30 274 24 267 28 268 35 274 75420 71947 28 272 24 278 22 280 28 281 71947 68793 26 280 27 280 21 282 24 284 68793 65872 27 278 31 282 23 283 25 282 65872 63143 26 275 36 278 27 283 26 278 63143 60483 29 284 36 272 30 280 29 289 60483 57706 34 281 32 270 33 275 33 288 57706 54839 39 281 32 274 34 275 33 282 54839 52111 44 272 37 270 38 273 37 279 52111 49662 41 262 40 266 40 269 39 276 49662 47476 38 260 38 265 40 264 41 276 47476 45503 41 265 41 263 41 259 42 270 45503 43715 45 257 47 251 40 262 41 261 43715 42089 43 260 44 258 45 273 36 263 42089 40586 48 262 52 262 54 264 32 286 40586 39176 46 264 54 260 49 255 44 281 39176 37840 44 264 51 262 43 280 51 274 37840 36538 46 262 47 267 51 294 52 271 36538 35205 48 260 46 272 58 295 51 271 35205 33812 47 259 45 274 58 293 47 276 33812 32361 45 259 44 275 59 295 44 286 32361 30837 42 262 44 276 54 298 39 288 30837 29228 38 266 43 277 43 294 36 282 29228 27535 34 267 38 272 38 286 35 276 27535 25757 27 264 32 276 37 284 33 283 25757 23897 19 256 29 283 35 288 32 290 23897 21958 7 300 21 283 25 292 28 293 21958 19939 7 347 10 259 14 282 10 280 19939 17840 6 040 5 253 5 230 6 172 17840 15702 6 055 5 289 4 259 3 197 15702 13646 3 008 6 299 7 299 7 287 13646 11781 7 341 10 331 9 316 8 302 11781 10129 13 347 14 336 10 331 7 311 10129 8664 14 349 13 339 11 344 7 333 8664 7365 11 341 4 346 5 329 6 005 7365 6211 8 326 2 196 4 240 3 046 6211 5193 5 318 5 185 5 200 3 164 5193 4302 1 091 7 181 7 193 6 191 4302 3520 4 124 9*170 8 179 9 182 3520 2824 6 137 9*163 9 162 13 165 2824 2211 8 123 9 159 9 155 14 154 2211 1700 9 115 9 158 9 151 14 147 1700 1309 7 111 8 155 8 148 13 143 1309 1040 6 109 8 154 8 146 11 140 1040 877 5 107 7 153 7*144 8 135 877 784 4*108 6 153 5*141 4*127 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography