DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 89.6 - - 91.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 210 - - 96 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2008 - - 4737 - - 79 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1677 - - 3814 - - 771 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 2717 - - 5446 - - 788 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2314 - - 2296 - - 6241 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 419 - - 84 - - - W* B/S - - - 12 - - 22 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 248 - - 254 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2415 - - -1320 - - -6643 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5132 - - 6767 - - 7432 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7146 - - -6848 - - -10853 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 9863 - - 12294 - - 11641 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 62 - - 62 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 180 - - 310 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 89.6 - - 91.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.2 - - 62.7 - - 62.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.4 - - 87.8 - - 90.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 61.6 - - 60.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 210 - - 96 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2008 - - 4737 - - 79 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99422 47 075 47 088 39 077 99422 91946 40 085 38 084 32 084 91946 86177 37 087 30 079 28 084 86177 81370 32 081 26 083 27 084 81370 77231 25 083 21 089 21 085 77231 73582 21 068 20 093 17 094 73582 70284 13 068 18 078 18 085 70284 67267 15 071 16 073 13 071 67267 64487 19 060 14 058 12 071 64487 61801 16 060 15 041 13 057 61801 59016 23 042 14 022 15 020 59016 56146 18 022 12 011 16 005 56146 53412 22 030 21 034 19 025 53412 50964 34 035 31 038 32 027 50964 48790 44 034 40 042 30 042 48790 46820 49 037 41 050 33 054 46820 45005 43 041 39 051 34 048 45005 43318 34 055 30 050 27 044 43318 41743 33 066 20 062 16 021 41743 40265 35 057 14 079 8 008 40265 38871 36 042 15 090 3 026 38871 37518 33 035 19 074 5 072 37518 36140 30 040 19 057 9 056 36140 34705 26 042 19 044 12 034 34705 33216 20 046 17 029 11 011 33216 31657 18 054 16 010 13 358 31657 30013 17 058 13 008 16 001 30013 28287 18 061 13 006 16 003 28287 26478 18 057 11 014 12 348 26478 24586 18 034 10 022 12 006 24586 22616 26 024 21 029 23 020 22616 20567 30 040 25 033 22 039 20567 18433 33 049 30 056 23 058 18433 16258 34 055 30 060 23 062 16258 14158 32 053 29 056 22 055 14158 12246 25 044 29 058 21 048 12246 10543 19 025 23 049 19 046 10543 9027 11 015 18 023 17 027 9027 7682 5 003 11 009 15 007 7682 6493 3 352 4*315 8 306 6493 5443 2 355 3*269 7 290 5443 4515 1 070 3 258 6 282 4515 3694 1 185 3 251 6 274 3694 2959 4*234 4 245 5 268 2959 2308 5*231 3 241 5 263 2308 1765 5 231 4 237 4 258 1765 1348 4 233 3 238 4 256 1348 1061 4 233 3 236 4 254 1061 887 4 234 3 235 4*253 887 788 3 234 3 236 3*254 788 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography