DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 72.0 - - 70.1 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 111 - - -8 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 1786 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 1293 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 2495 - - 786 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1209 - - 1200 - - 3159 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 242 - - 27 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 180 - - 143 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3816 - - -3685 - - -4190 - - -1468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4601 - - 6180 - - 4976 - - 2253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9872 - - -8334 - - -8263 - - -8648 ODpotential blCL - - - 10657 - - 10829 - - 9049 - - 9433 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 73 - - 70 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 72.0 - - 70.1 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 48.0 - - 51.4 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 70.8 - - 70.3 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 47.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 111 - - -8 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 1786 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96429 87 245 101 248 99 254 88 251 96429 89304 54 255 53 254 67 252 52 256 89304 83871 34 253 33 260 38 259 26 263 83871 79378 22 274 20 260 24 262 30 271 79378 75462 19 290 16 282 10 290 20 267 75462 71995 16 280 16 286 8 303 10 290 71995 68854 9 309 13 302 9 289 7 322 68854 65950 10 350 11 303 14 294 10 334 65950 63245 9 351 8 307 13 292 7 333 63245 60616 9 319 10 327 9 289 12 331 60616 57892 5 269 12 310 11 296 16 313 57892 55107 9 332 9 307 10 298 10 305 55107 52476 20 348 15 348 16 348 8 348 52476 50120 31 351 26 345 24 350 16 357 50120 48011 36 345 23 346 24 342 19 338 48011 46088 26 341 21 351 16 341 15 322 46088 44313 12 319 18 341 16 334 11 306 44313 42660 8 271 12 283 21 314 13 306 42660 41115 9 280 17 245 23 288 15 306 41115 39662 12 286 24 250 27 256 16 290 39662 38288 13 272 22 242 32 248 22 281 38288 36954 11 251 26 249 32 249 29 263 36954 35592 14 253 28 256 32 258 31 257 35592 34170 18 259 31 264 29 263 32 260 34170 32694 19 263 27 266 21 266 31 265 32694 31151 19 253 24 257 14 264 27 268 31151 29527 18 240 21 253 13 270 18 264 29527 27822 16 241 19 255 17 285 15 268 27822 26036 17 269 16 263 14 292 7 278 26036 24170 18 289 13 269 15 309 3 345 24170 22224 19 292 14 275 15 314 8 040 22224 20191 16 287 13 277 11 325 8 057 20191 18066 11 299 12 282 7 286 3 303 18066 15899 11 293 7 301 5 231 8 250 15899 13819 13 268 6 281 6 226 8 243 13819 11936 13 243 8 257 8 243 8 246 11936 10266 9 218 11 233 11 243 8 237 10266 8784 4 191 12 213 11 225 10 225 8784 7468 3 136 9 196 10 208 11 215 7468 6302 5 169 9 184 10 204 12 210 6302 5273 8 199 9 192 10 211 12 210 5273 4369 11 212 11 206 10 208 14 210 4369 3575 12 215 12 210 9 197 14 208 3575 2865 11 217 10*200 11 178 16 197 2865 2240 12 214 8*187 12 161 18 184 2240 1719 11 207 8 181 12 155 22 176 1719 1320 8 196 7 178 12 151 20 169 1320 1046 5 188 6 176 11 148 16 162 1046 880 5 187 6 175 9*145 11 158 880 785 4*186 5 175 6*143 5*149 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography