DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.1 - - 78.5 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6842 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5506 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7551 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1974 - - 1915 - - 2459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 494 - - 50 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 211 - - 218 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -101 - - -1717 - - -964 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7652 - - 2504 - - 1751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -888 - - -3976 - - -2808 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8439 - - 4763 - - 3595 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 75 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 250 - - 1180 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.1 - - 78.5 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.0 - - 69.7 - - 71.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.3 - - 77.9 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.0 - - 68.9 - - 71.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6842 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 75 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99375 25 094 26 087 19 066 99375 91863 28 091 25 084 23 081 91863 86029 31 096 26 092 24 097 86029 81165 26 098 23 097 23 097 81165 76992 16 101 18 096 20 075 76992 73331 11 115 9 108 16 065 73331 70037 10 122 7 134 8 062 70037 67016 8 136 6 157 1 153 67016 64216 9 148 7 172 6 219 64216 61516 5 202 9 197 13 220 61516 58715 9 273 4 242 14 199 58715 55821 21 266 18 261 13 271 55821 53079 28 243 31 247 32 257 53079 50633 31 241 36 247 42 246 50633 48455 49 250 49 258 49 249 48455 46489 66 247 58 249 57 238 46489 44695 60 244 62 237 57 227 44695 43028 48 253 60 229 58 235 43028 41457 60 275 55 227 51 259 41457 39974 62 271 53 236 53 266 39974 38575 65 269 54 266 51 257 38575 37219 72 270 57 267 50 251 37219 35832 75 267 56 261 49 248 35832 34389 71 261 54 260 49 249 34389 32891 58 253 52 250 51 252 32891 31324 57 260 52 238 53 254 31324 29675 57 263 52 243 54 257 29675 27943 53 259 48 246 55 258 27943 26131 45 254 43 246 52 252 26131 24245 42 247 40 243 47 247 24245 22288 40 243 36 238 43 247 22288 20252 37 244 31 235 38 249 20252 18135 33 246 30 239 35 252 18135 15983 31 243 32 243 32 257 15983 13920 33 241 33 243 29 259 13920 12045 32 240 32 238 24 257 12045 10378 29 237 28 230 23 254 10378 8896 23 228 25 225 25 251 8896 7577 18*219 22 224 27 249 7577 6407 17*215 22 224 25 244 6407 5369 16 213 21 226 23 239 5369 4453 16 211 19 230 21 233 4453 3645 16 210 16 234 18 226 3645 2921 15 210 14 239 16 220 2921 2282 15 209 11 240 14 216 2282 1748 14 208 9 237 11 209 1748 1338 13 208 5 230 8 196 1338 1056 13 208 4 225 6 192 1056 885 11 207 3*222 5*188 885 787 9 207 2*218 3*184 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography