DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 57.9 - - 57.5 - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 165 - - 15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 3249 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 2557 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 784 - - 3958 - - 785 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2809 - - 1171 - - 4235 - - 139 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 334 - - 46 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 111 - - 096 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2365 - - -3380 - - -5370 - - -1590 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3149 - - 7338 - - 6155 - - 2374 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11311 - - -12356 - - -12964 - - -10866 ODpotential blCL - - - 12095 - - 16314 - - 13749 - - 11650 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 43 - - 56 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 57.9 - - 57.5 - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 28.9 - - 33.8 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 56.3 - - 57.1 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 27.7 - - 32.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 165 - - 15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 3249 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97376 14 219 21 252 20 291 15 296 97376 90141 3 234 3 219 13 288 6 326 90141 84579 5 029 8 065 2 287 2 318 84579 79952 9 044 11 076 4 037 3 060 79952 75962 9 040 12 065 1 100 6 024 75962 72436 9 046 12 047 7 100 5 041 72436 69240 5 067 7 006 8 057 9 022 69240 66296 7 065 6 337 7 029 9 000 66296 63561 7 017 10 329 8 352 12 360 63561 60910 13 355 12 349 5 332 14 333 60910 58144 18 306 21 316 14 323 16 322 58144 55267 18 308 20 310 22 321 21 325 55267 52521 30 316 29 319 32 317 29 330 52521 50051 35 309 34 313 37 305 36 322 50051 47834 37 324 28 322 31 317 35 327 47834 45814 45 333 36 344 36 338 37 338 45814 43955 51 331 50 342 48 343 43 346 43955 42232 52 329 55 335 54 341 49 351 42232 40627 49 330 49 335 57 339 56 349 40627 39128 47 334 45 341 59 339 63 346 39128 37720 45 338 44 345 58 339 63 342 37720 36357 42 340 43 347 55 343 60 346 36357 34976 40 340 42 348 50 343 60 351 34976 33556 36 335 41 347 42 345 54 352 33556 32097 32 329 39 343 42 350 43 353 32097 30578 28 323 35 336 43 350 37 356 30578 28981 24 314 31 331 40 348 38 000 28981 27304 20 310 27 329 31 344 38 001 27304 25547 17 307 21 321 23 344 32 357 25547 23715 15 303 16 288 16 330 24 349 23715 21811 15 301 14 294 13 317 16 346 21811 19830 13 309 12 305 9 321 10 347 19830 17758 11 313 10 307 8 315 8 340 17758 15636 9 320 8 315 8 322 8 337 15636 13585 8 341 8 329 9 339 8 358 13585 11715 7 004 7 348 10 352 8 018 11715 10054 6 047 4 039 7 012 8 015 10054 8585 8 090 7 108 3 096 2 024 8585 7290 8 113 7 121 5 119 3 098 7290 6150 5 122 6 121 4 096 1 034 6150 5150 4 136 7 125 5 108 1 193 5150 4275 9 118 7*118 6 109 3 141 4275 3503 12 106 7*115 6 107 5 134 3503 2813 11 102 7 113 6 104 8 129 2813 2204 8 102 6 111 6 103 11 125 2204 1696 5 102 6 110 6 100 12 121 1696 1307 3 095 6 107 5 098 13 119 1307 1039 3 094 5 106 5 097 11 118 1039 877 3 092 5 106 5*096 8 117 877 784 2*089 4 105 4*096 4*116 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography