DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 80.0 - - 82.3 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 235 - - 65 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 4389 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 3566 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - 786 - - 5098 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2141 - - 3748 - - 10146 - - 795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 413 - - 71 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 206 - - 210 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 6 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6547 - - -3553 - - -8426 - - -4333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7333 - - 8651 - - 9213 - - 5119 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9824 - - -4979 - - -9023 - - -6670 ODpotential blCL - - - 10610 - - 10077 - - 9809 - - 7456 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 60 - - 85 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 80.0 - - 82.3 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 44.7 - - 44.5 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 78.1 - - 81.4 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 43.9 - - 43.8 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 235 - - 65 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 4389 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96394 13 250 9 259 17 275 14 293 96394 89259 3 221 6 205 11 279 11 311 89259 83787 7 239 6 274 13 289 9 309 83787 79242 9 239 12 263 13 273 11 323 79242 75306 10 214 10 297 11 274 16 288 75306 71839 18 273 24 283 16 271 17 264 71839 68715 29 268 30 256 24 275 28 270 68715 65854 33 257 30 247 28 260 32 257 65854 63199 32 248 30 251 27 251 24 252 63199 60593 32 249 33 264 33 265 26 261 60593 57850 40 266 49 266 46 268 50 270 57850 54999 61 261 60 265 64 267 65 265 54999 52259 67 254 71 264 71 263 73 267 52259 49765 56 259 75 263 76 265 77 268 49765 47523 62 272 73 267 75 271 75 273 47523 45512 74 273 77 272 77 278 79 275 45512 43703 69 272 83 274 75 279 69 273 43703 42051 61 273 71 270 63 277 54 273 42051 40512 54 286 53 270 53 279 54 288 40512 39065 44 289 42 275 48 283 60 293 39065 37699 33 287 39 283 46 285 63 292 37699 36377 31 288 41 286 46 287 62 292 36377 35031 29 291 44 283 44 286 59 290 35031 33631 18 293 44 281 45 284 58 288 33631 32178 7 284 41 275 46 282 59 286 32178 30658 4 252 36 276 46 281 55 285 30658 29062 5 264 28 276 41 274 45 283 29062 27392 7 284 22 275 35 266 38 276 27392 25648 7 289 13 263 29 262 37 271 25648 23824 6 308 8 251 22 253 36 277 23824 21925 7 326 9 274 19 243 35 280 21925 19945 7 309 10 286 16 251 31 277 19945 17877 12 277 10 282 24 277 31 274 17877 15764 21 270 20 282 28 278 27 271 15764 13731 25 263 23 282 28 278 23 260 13731 11887 26 249 25 274 25 277 20 252 11887 10250 21 232 25 260 24 261 16 234 10250 8795 20 232 25 241 19 242 13 227 8795 7498 18 231 23 227 17 231 11 221 7498 6344 14 233 19 225 16 229 10 218 6344 5320 14 248 15*220 14 222 9 218 5320 4415 15 265 13*210 12 219 9 218 4415 3615 14 274 12 205 11 216 8 219 3615 2899 10 273 12 205 10 214 8 222 2899 2265 6 249 11 205 10 212 7 229 2265 1737 6 204 11 206 9 211 5 243 1737 1331 7 197 10 207 8 211 4 262 1331 1052 6 196 9 207 8 210 3 291 1052 883 5*196 9 208 7 210 3 313 883 786 4*195 7 208 6*210 3*328 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography