DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 90.6 - - 90.1 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 175 - - -5 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 5385 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 770 - - 4210 - - 771 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - 787 - - 6094 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2883 - - 3460 - - 9385 - - 896 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 412 - - 47 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 233 - - 265 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 12 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2384 - - -81 - - -5534 - - -2058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3171 - - 6175 - - 6321 - - 2845 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4065 - - -984 - - -6269 - - -6172 ODpotential blCL - - - 4852 - - 7078 - - 7056 - - 6959 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 79 - - 84 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 1620 - - 1630 - - 1550 - - 1210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 90.6 - - 90.1 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.8 - - 66.1 - - 65.1 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 88.9 - - 90.2 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 65.0 - - 63.8 - - 68.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 175 - - -5 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 5385 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 18 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99458 32 085 31 095 17 081 18 052 99458 91963 25 094 27 081 20 074 21 080 91963 86172 20 083 23 079 19 070 21 078 86172 81360 14 080 17 077 16 081 16 072 81360 77209 12 078 13 084 12 094 12 073 77209 73540 10 092 10 086 9 112 6 075 73540 70225 8 095 6 104 5 128 4 065 70225 67179 6 085 4 143 4 251 4 347 67179 64349 1 351 3 200 3 245 6 282 64349 61628 3 214 8 265 6 287 6 274 61628 58808 5 240 12 238 10 255 12 296 58808 55894 15 271 22 254 24 262 26 265 55894 53153 30 265 29 255 30 253 32 246 53153 50709 31 258 33 258 33 253 40 258 50709 48522 32 259 40 257 42 257 48 262 48522 46539 34 268 42 255 49 256 48 264 46539 44716 40 274 42 255 50 258 47 271 44716 43028 43 271 42 262 50 264 50 276 43028 41459 47 264 46 266 50 264 50 271 41459 39992 53 255 48 260 46 258 44 261 39992 38606 45 248 49 252 39 259 39 259 38606 37263 38 251 41 244 38 262 38 268 37263 35891 32 262 33 250 36 269 37 270 35891 34460 26 282 34 260 35 274 35 265 34460 32973 25 282 37 260 34 274 34 262 32973 31414 22 257 34 262 32 274 34 265 31414 29773 22 245 32 262 31 275 30 269 29773 28052 23 250 31 261 30 281 29 275 28052 26248 26 252 32 266 30 284 29 282 26248 24363 28 255 33 270 27 287 27 290 24363 22404 27 265 36 273 27 295 21 309 22404 20368 24 276 38 277 30 298 20 315 20368 18254 25 279 36 282 32 305 21 317 18254 16102 24 289 34 282 35 307 21 329 16102 14031 24 295 26 277 34 296 23 329 14031 12146 25 277 20 269 30 277 24 325 12146 10466 22 257 17 255 22 258 25 321 10466 8971 17 257 15 250 18 253 23 314 8971 7639 15 260 14 248 16 255 22 298 7639 6457 14 263 12*242 15 257 24 283 6457 5410 13 268 11*240 15 260 27 272 5410 4486 12 269 10 237 14 262 27 264 4486 3670 10 263 9 235 13 263 26 259 3670 2940 7 247 9 232 12 264 23 258 2940 2294 5 223 8 230 12 264 19 254 2294 1755 3 187 8 229 11 265 14 242 1755 1342 2 150 7 228 11 265 11 229 1342 1058 2 142 7 227 10 265 8 211 1058 885 2*136 6 228 9 265 6*193 885 787 1*136 5 228 6*265 3*180 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography