DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 44.3 - - 43.9 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 29 - - 9 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 767 - - 767 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 784 - - 784 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1415 - - 1157 - - 1520 - - 737 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 54 - - 36 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 070 - - 352 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -419 - - -81 - - -12 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1203 - - 865 - - 796 - - 784 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -500 - - -175 - - -249 - - -8069 ODpotential blCL - - - 1284 - - 959 - - 1033 - - 8853 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 44.3 - - 43.9 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 43.3 - - 43.1 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 43.6 - - 43.5 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 42.8 - - 42.9 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 29 - - 9 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95973 62 247 63 256 65 263 70 257 95973 88839 42 251 52 248 50 262 48 263 88839 83426 28 252 40 246 42 261 35 265 83426 78943 25 257 27 246 34 248 31 262 78943 75049 18 267 21 254 26 244 31 249 75049 71586 19 268 16 248 22 249 28 241 71586 68445 30 253 23 261 28 263 31 245 68445 65552 36 244 37 251 35 255 36 254 65552 62857 38 248 42 243 44 244 46 252 62857 60226 41 246 50 242 51 238 52 252 60226 57474 53 244 54 242 61 242 74 247 57474 54616 62 236 68 244 76 240 82 238 54616 51880 66 243 69 240 71 238 75 239 51880 49417 70 246 84 252 77 248 78 244 49417 47218 92 250 99 252 98 252 93 248 47218 45248 112 252 110 245 115 248 116 245 45248 43471 123 252 117 246 123 245 125 243 43471 41835 129 251 122 247 123 244 125 241 41835 40306 130 252 122 245 123 243 121 239 40306 38866 129 253 121 244 123 244 119 238 38866 37501 122 251 122 245 120 244 117 239 37501 36174 112 247 120 244 116 241 114 238 36174 34823 101 240 115 242 110 237 110 234 34823 33420 94 234 108 242 103 232 105 229 33420 31968 89 234 99 241 94 227 98 223 31968 30449 84 235 95 243 93 228 93 218 30449 28849 78 237 93 245 97 233 96 221 28849 27168 71 236 79 243 99 238 106 230 27168 25407 70 234 63 236 85 233 104 235 25407 23570 73 234 63 231 77 232 98 234 23570 21664 73 234 69 232 77 230 91 234 21664 19689 72 232 72 231 73 219 80 242 19689 17641 66 224 71 225 67 215 66 243 17641 15550 60 207 65 219 58 224 61 238 15550 13530 52 203 56 214 57 250 59 235 13530 11690 41 201 49 206 51 252 55 234 11690 10052 23 198 39 195 53 239 51 239 10052 8599 12 223 26 183 57 228 46 240 8599 7310 13 252 17 177 55 222 45 236 7310 6168 12 239 14 167 47 218 49 233 6168 5158 11 198 17 151 35 212 49 229 5158 4271 12 166 23 143 22 198 43 224 4271 3491 11 142 25 132 13 159 35 221 3491 2798 13 120 20 121 7 103 27 217 2798 2189 12 114 11 103 6 043 19 206 2189 1685 7 112 9 082 7 010 12 192 1685 1300 4 109 8 074 7 004 8 181 1300 1036 4 107 7 072 7 357 4 166 1036 876 3*109 6*071 6*355 3 155 876 784 3*108 5*070 5*352 1*115 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography