DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.2 - - 40.1 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 198 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3102 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2515 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3811 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 893 - - 4291 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 344 - - 45 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 359 - - 093 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1454 - - -4695 - - -2341 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5266 - - 5478 - - 3124 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10800 - - -14610 - - -14258 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14611 - - 15393 - - 15041 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 69 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.2 - - 40.1 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.1 - - 19.1 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 38.6 - - 39.6 - - 34.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 19.5 - - 18.8 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 198 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3102 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95947 25 349 17 038 15 352 95947 88933 12 356 17 004 19 355 88933 83435 11 015 14 349 15 007 83435 78816 2 334 13 316 14 337 78816 74803 4 189 17 281 16 321 74803 71237 14 272 20 276 16 286 71237 68010 29 256 29 268 29 277 68010 65054 34 243 34 251 39 260 65054 62309 36 251 38 246 42 254 62309 59636 48 259 41 252 48 260 59636 56835 58 261 55 259 59 257 56835 53931 71 257 68 256 69 252 53931 51174 75 257 69 258 73 255 51174 48710 82 259 78 264 88 257 48710 46515 88 255 99 259 95 256 46515 44536 90 258 104 258 101 259 44536 42732 99 261 110 261 107 260 42732 41076 104 261 110 261 113 260 41076 39544 109 265 107 259 117 260 39544 38116 114 266 105 260 114 258 38116 36776 108 260 103 260 109 257 36776 35479 99 261 94 257 102 259 35479 34159 94 263 83 255 94 260 34159 32788 91 264 80 259 83 257 32788 31366 92 264 78 259 76 254 31366 29876 89 262 77 256 73 255 29876 28307 83 258 77 254 72 256 28307 26662 77 257 77 253 72 256 26662 24938 72 259 77 255 71 255 24938 23139 71 259 73 256 67 256 23139 21266 68 255 65 258 64 258 21266 19312 59 254 60 258 61 257 19312 17271 53 255 55 254 56 254 17271 15185 47 254 50 252 52 252 15185 13173 41 255 42 251 46 251 13173 11348 32 256 34 247 37 245 11348 9732 21 256 29 240 34 241 9732 8304 12 252 24 235 34 241 8304 7043 7 230 19 223 29 234 7043 5938 5 196 13 206 21 210 5938 4975 1 103 7 167 14 178 4975 4134 4*000 5 130 12 153 4134 3394 5*359 5 117 13 142 3394 2732 5 359 5 110 13 134 2732 2147 6 359 5 105 13 127 2147 1659 6 360 4 099 12 120 1659 1285 5 359 4 096 11 113 1285 1028 5 359 4 095 10 109 1028 872 5 359 4 093 7 107 872 783 4 359 3*093 4*105 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography