DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.4 - - 83.4 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 78 - - 78 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 770 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 787 - - 787 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6443 - - 6937 - - 212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 86 - - 31 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 252 - - 250 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -6132 - - -5703 - - -4109 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6919 - - 6490 - - 4895 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8294 - - -7843 - - -10124 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9081 - - 8630 - - 10910 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 50 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.4 - - 83.4 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.9 - - 57.8 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.3 - - 83.7 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.7 - - 56.7 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 78 - - 78 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98056 23 232 15 232 27 235 98056 90692 15 244 16 231 11 247 90692 85013 8 208 11 257 4 336 85013 80338 6 145 6 255 5 326 80338 76339 4 083 1 299 7 339 76339 72817 5 318 4 336 9 344 72817 69624 5 325 5 349 11 318 69624 66693 5 028 3 352 12 293 66693 63991 11 342 9 354 2 270 63991 61381 11 331 18 324 8 343 61381 58669 14 313 22 298 18 288 58669 55873 10 296 8 230 13 271 55873 53228 42 341 25 342 25 333 53228 50863 48 320 33 321 28 310 50863 48737 33 322 24 329 11 308 48737 46786 34 343 29 332 21 322 46786 44980 38 337 35 321 28 316 44980 43307 30 330 30 310 29 310 43307 41738 26 315 26 303 28 311 41738 40255 25 297 28 303 28 314 40255 38846 26 289 30 301 25 303 38846 37477 28 287 27 291 23 293 37477 36079 27 285 26 282 22 283 36079 34623 25 283 27 278 24 270 34623 33113 24 285 27 276 28 263 33113 31532 24 289 24 273 29 266 31532 29868 25 289 20 270 28 271 29868 28122 28 285 19 273 24 271 28122 26299 29 279 19 276 23 265 26299 24399 29 281 20 275 24 265 24399 22428 25 286 23 277 22 272 22428 20376 21 283 25 281 21 279 20376 18237 19 267 24 276 19 277 18237 16053 23 244 27 267 21 263 16053 13952 24 238 30 265 27 260 13952 12051 28 255 30 268 29 265 12051 10375 27 256 26 269 26 269 10375 8893 24 253 21 266 21 264 8893 7578 21 254 17 256 18 247 7578 6409 18 257 13 244 15 229 6409 5373 13 257 11 243 11 224 5373 4458 11 253 10 243 9 225 4458 3648 9 252 9 244 7 232 3648 2924 8 251 8 245 5 241 2924 2283 8 251 7 246 5 247 2283 1749 7 251 7 248 4 246 1749 1338 6 251 6 249 3 235 1338 1055 5 252 5 249 2 211 1055 884 5*252 4*250 2 173 884 786 4*252 3*250 2*157 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography