DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.0 - - 36.0 - - 40.8 - - 33.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 117 - - 30 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 1707 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 766 - - 1214 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 2416 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1562 - - 1205 - - 3713 - - 207 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 237 - - 53 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 212 - - 221 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3336 - - -3989 - - -6009 - - -3879 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4118 - - 6406 - - 6793 - - 4662 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12869 - - -11952 - - -12612 - - -12165 ODpotential blCL - - - 13651 - - 14368 - - 13395 - - 12948 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 90 - - 46 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.0 - - 36.0 - - 40.8 - - 33.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.2 - - 11.0 - - 14.0 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 35.0 - - 40.2 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.4 - - 10.3 - - 13.5 - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 117 - - 30 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 1707 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96165 36 268 37 263 38 277 36 274 96165 89063 36 279 32 267 45 277 44 275 89063 83565 39 275 40 272 41 267 44 272 83565 78957 31 257 33 269 32 267 42 274 78957 74939 21 243 28 272 39 268 45 268 74939 71373 39 268 42 265 49 262 50 262 71373 68146 57 270 52 267 51 266 53 263 68146 65169 66 267 64 269 56 265 55 262 65169 62389 66 258 67 266 61 263 60 265 62389 59689 67 253 70 258 69 261 73 265 59689 56872 68 249 75 252 81 256 85 258 56872 53947 65 249 77 249 89 255 90 256 53947 51142 71 253 83 251 96 257 100 257 51142 48609 83 255 89 255 102 257 106 257 48609 46337 90 257 92 255 105 257 109 257 46337 44283 93 258 94 255 106 256 109 258 44283 42415 97 260 97 258 107 258 109 262 42415 40710 103 262 101 262 110 261 113 264 40710 39143 107 262 106 264 112 262 117 262 39143 37698 109 263 112 264 114 262 115 260 37698 36357 111 267 115 263 116 263 114 262 36357 35071 118 272 115 265 116 264 115 263 35071 33766 121 274 118 270 117 265 116 261 33766 32407 120 276 121 273 117 266 114 260 32407 30999 117 275 124 272 117 266 112 260 30999 29526 112 273 125 272 115 266 109 260 29526 27977 107 270 123 272 114 267 104 260 27977 26352 104 268 119 272 112 267 99 261 26352 24650 101 267 113 271 110 268 97 262 24650 22870 99 267 106 269 105 268 95 263 22870 21015 94 269 96 268 99 266 93 263 21015 19081 85 273 85 269 92 264 87 263 19081 17069 75 275 74 267 81 265 75 262 17069 15025 65 274 64 265 66 264 62 261 15025 13061 56 273 56 265 56 262 54 260 13061 11278 47 272 49 267 51 259 48 260 11278 9698 38 268 43 266 46 260 44 262 9698 8300 31 261 40 262 44 265 41 267 8300 7062 27 256 37 257 43 266 42 271 7062 5967 25 254 34 253 39 263 43 271 5967 5001 22 254 31 249 32 257 40 267 5001 4154 20 258 27 244 25 246 33 260 4154 3408 19 261 23 234 21 233 24 250 3408 2742 17 259 17*222 18 224 20 238 2742 2153 14 252 13*212 16 222 21 226 2153 1663 10 233 12 211 15 221 21 219 1663 1287 8 218 12 212 14 221 18 213 1287 1029 6 215 11 212 12 222 11 203 1029 872 5 214 10 212 11 221 8 192 872 783 4*213 7 212 8*221 5*180 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography