DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 77.1 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 202 - - 67 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4812 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3837 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5521 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1321 - - 6269 - - 4642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 412 - - 74 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 032 - - 012 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -454 - - -5570 - - -2918 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5975 - - 6356 - - 3704 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5835 - - -9704 - - -4985 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11356 - - 10490 - - 5771 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 73 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 77.1 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.9 - - 52.2 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.5 - - 76.2 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.9 - - 51.1 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 202 - - 67 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4812 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99060 18 107 16 127 13 093 99060 91646 20 112 13 131 10 109 91646 85894 14 118 9 120 8 102 85894 81092 5 131 8 105 7 117 81092 76949 5 188 6 076 10 147 76949 73282 9 197 2 014 7 133 73282 69974 10 174 4 227 5 349 69974 66967 5 142 2 122 4 298 66967 64192 2 128 7 344 3 357 64192 61498 4 355 11 323 11 355 61498 58693 10 349 12 316 19 332 58693 55793 19 334 19 322 22 325 55793 53026 23 323 17 308 24 302 53026 50533 22 331 21 309 24 297 50533 48300 36 335 24 319 19 309 48300 46277 42 322 29 351 29 346 46277 44442 37 330 57 332 67 334 44442 42774 54 328 64 314 62 315 42774 41230 65 326 57 307 46 315 41230 39782 63 338 45 330 38 349 39782 38414 52 351 48 006 48 349 38414 37085 68 008 65 002 51 340 37085 35723 76 004 65 351 50 331 35723 34301 66 354 62 351 51 325 34301 32821 65 345 56 354 50 322 32821 31270 67 340 53 354 39 326 31270 29636 63 343 57 348 36 328 29636 27913 45 349 61 343 38 325 27913 26101 36 339 57 349 35 333 26101 24205 32 336 38 355 33 353 24205 22241 28 342 30 346 29 358 22241 20210 20 350 25 349 21 358 20210 18097 15 354 17 345 15 356 18097 15941 10 340 11 329 13 335 15941 13864 9 332 11 317 13 322 13864 11977 9 343 11 325 12 333 11977 10304 8 003 8 342 8 343 10304 8822 6 020 4 355 6 306 8822 7511 4 024 1 337 7 270 7511 6351 4*044 1 081 5 217 6351 5324 4*043 2 068 4 179 5324 4418 4 041 2 053 3 157 4418 3618 4 037 3 040 3 124 3618 2900 5 033 3 032 3 080 2900 2266 4 028 3 024 4 048 2266 1737 4 023 3 018 5 031 1737 1332 4 020 3 015 5 024 1332 1052 4 019 3 015 5 020 1052 883 4 018 3*011 5 017 883 786 3 016 3*012 3*022 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography