DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.5 - - 61.3 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1719 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1396 - - 769 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2428 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1102 - - 2631 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 258 - - 32 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 009 - - 355 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4212 - - -5348 - - -2689 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6640 - - 6133 - - 3475 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -15286 - - -15165 - - -14450 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17714 - - 15950 - - 15235 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 41 - - 39 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.5 - - 61.3 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.7 - - 37.8 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 61.3 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.5 - - 36.8 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1719 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97655 16 254 10 287 5 343 97655 90339 13 205 21 266 15 299 90339 84729 7 199 14 235 16 273 84729 80086 10 251 12 257 13 268 80086 76084 9 217 15 261 9 278 76084 72526 9 172 12 240 13 271 72526 69304 3 211 7 213 14 255 69304 66358 6 289 7 284 8 246 66358 63633 12 263 14 265 19 300 63633 61003 13 246 13 234 21 284 61003 58267 17 286 8 277 13 246 58267 55425 17 283 16 280 14 267 55425 52705 12 267 17 260 22 272 52705 50254 10 249 16 250 20 265 50254 48053 12 267 12 246 17 256 48053 46052 12 280 11 269 15 244 46052 44212 16 303 10 280 12 252 44212 42513 21 299 16 300 9 273 42513 40938 9 295 20 296 14 293 40938 39466 5 002 13 290 18 278 39466 38079 9 004 8 305 13 272 38079 36735 14 359 9 339 8 286 36735 35369 16 001 14 353 8 324 35369 33946 15 008 14 353 10 320 33946 32471 13 008 11 348 12 310 32471 30928 12 352 12 333 13 317 30928 29308 13 342 13 334 14 330 29308 27610 14 348 13 341 13 333 27610 25830 12 350 12 340 11 341 25830 23973 9 350 10 340 11 348 23973 22044 8 351 11 339 13 349 22044 20032 9 348 13 343 13 346 20032 17924 7 347 10 343 10 331 17924 15767 9 352 10 350 9 328 15767 13692 11 005 15 003 13 007 13692 11812 13 019 19 009 20 019 11812 10148 16 029 21 024 22 023 10148 8675 21 032 24 034 22 031 8675 7369 23 031 25 035 24 037 7369 6215 23 031 25 030 25 037 6215 5198 21 031 23 024 24 035 5198 4307 19 030 20 019 22 029 4307 3525 17 025 17 011 19 017 3525 2828 13*018 13 357 18 001 2828 2214 9*011 11 355 16 350 2214 1702 8 009 10 355 14 351 1702 1311 8 009 9 356 12 355 1311 1041 7 008 8 355 9 354 1041 878 7 008 7*355 5*343 878 785 5 007 5*355 3*333 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography