DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 85.5 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 87 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7822 - - 77 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6063 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8531 - - 786 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3356 - - 9708 - - 8092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 463 - - 82 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 232 - - 249 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 223 - - -8037 - - -6237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8308 - - 8824 - - 7025 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1010 - - -8659 - - -8018 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9541 - - 9445 - - 8805 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 73 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 85.5 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.3 - - 49.2 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.7 - - 84.5 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.0 - - 48.0 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 87 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7822 - - 77 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98979 22 088 24 080 18 078 98979 91428 23 080 24 086 16 089 91428 85626 20 092 18 088 20 077 85626 80827 15 115 16 077 20 066 80827 76699 10 108 14 076 16 070 76699 73064 9 109 9 089 11 069 73064 69777 5 138 4 100 6 047 69777 66756 8 145 3 204 8 317 66756 63965 6 001 4 261 8 280 63965 61266 11 270 9 247 14 255 61266 58442 21 266 20 279 20 285 58442 55511 28 257 31 264 30 271 55511 52722 31 259 38 260 37 268 52722 50217 44 265 45 256 40 270 50217 47976 54 259 49 256 42 266 47976 45950 57 259 53 267 57 270 45950 44098 67 261 65 265 61 261 44098 42401 75 257 69 254 54 257 42401 40848 79 253 61 255 91 298 40848 39406 80 254 50 262 90 297 39406 38044 81 254 38 282 76 294 38044 36719 80 256 43 301 67 291 36719 35366 74 261 45 302 60 288 35366 33956 65 266 39 295 50 281 33956 32492 62 268 36 283 45 272 32492 30958 58 265 35 272 43 263 30958 29342 52 264 37 259 45 257 29342 27641 46 266 36 255 45 256 27641 25858 46 266 32 260 42 254 25858 23997 47 265 33 261 46 254 23997 22062 47 262 35 263 48 254 22062 20049 48 256 35 271 45 252 20049 17954 49 256 36 271 40 255 17954 15827 47 257 37 266 35 257 15827 13782 40 257 35 266 30 258 13782 11927 26 252 30 262 26 258 11927 10283 21 247 21 243 25 239 10283 8825 20*247 15 226 23 212 8825 7529 18*242 15 229 20 215 7529 6373 15 235 15 232 17 218 6373 5346 14 233 14 235 14 223 5346 4439 14 231 14 239 12 228 4439 3636 13 229 13 242 11 234 3636 2916 12 228 13 244 10 240 2916 2278 12 227 13 245 8 245 2278 1746 11 226 12 247 7 251 1746 1337 11 226 12 248 6 255 1337 1055 10 225 11 249 5 258 1055 884 9 225 10 249 3*260 884 787 8 225 8*249 2*261 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography