DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 76.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 244 - - 52 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6198 - - 77 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5006 - - 769 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6907 - - 786 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1462 - - 9830 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 479 - - 70 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 201 - - 174 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -175 - - -6972 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7083 - - 7759 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3438 - - -7522 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10345 - - 8308 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 84 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 76.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.0 - - 45.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.6 - - 75.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.7 - - 43.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 244 - - 52 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6198 - - 77 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 25 - - 37 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98679 28 090 19 100 98679 91185 23 095 17 100 91185 85447 19 089 19 094 85447 80696 14 080 15 074 80696 76593 10 096 10 073 76593 72950 10 106 8 119 72950 69650 1 046 5 139 69650 66603 3 131 4 112 66603 63777 7 250 8 250 63777 61057 9 245 10 230 61057 58222 18 252 20 249 58222 55279 28 248 33 255 55279 52477 55 252 59 253 52477 49967 69 242 68 242 49967 47718 68 246 67 244 47718 45678 81 249 78 247 45678 43819 92 247 88 247 43819 42113 99 247 95 249 42113 40535 106 247 102 248 40535 39064 109 246 103 246 39064 37683 108 245 99 247 37683 36349 104 243 97 252 36349 34995 99 243 98 252 34995 33587 94 244 95 249 33587 32125 90 246 91 249 32125 30592 87 247 85 250 30592 28978 84 249 78 247 28978 27285 78 249 77 247 27285 25515 70 247 74 248 25515 23672 66 246 65 245 23672 21759 64 247 63 246 21759 19772 60 247 62 248 19772 17702 54 247 60 248 17702 15593 46 247 52 247 15593 13569 34 246 41 241 13569 11743 24 246 33 236 11743 10133 20 243 25 234 10133 8699 17 232 21 230 8699 7421 13*214 16 218 7421 6283 13*211 14 215 6283 5272 12 208 11 202 5272 4380 10 203 10 197 4380 3589 9 199 9 191 3589 2881 8 197 8 186 2881 2254 7 193 7 182 2254 1730 7 191 7 179 1730 1328 6 189 7 177 1328 1051 6 188 6 176 1051 882 5 188 6*174 882 786 4 187 5*174 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography