DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.9 - - 86.0 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 218 - - 110 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4673 - - 4088 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3782 - - 2987 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5382 - - 4797 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2149 - - 2772 - - 4464 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 422 - - 326 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 173 - - 166 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1545 - - -1963 - - -3684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6928 - - 6760 - - 4471 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4988 - - -4721 - - -7088 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10370 - - 9518 - - 7875 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 79 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.9 - - 86.0 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.4 - - 59.2 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.1 - - 84.8 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.2 - - 58.1 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 218 - - 110 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4673 - - 4088 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99190 39 091 29 089 32 076 99190 91684 38 082 31 083 31 079 91684 85900 31 075 29 079 32 076 85900 81124 25 088 25 067 28 069 81124 77024 24 096 23 073 20 074 77024 73392 22 078 21 078 23 067 73392 70108 18 078 19 080 22 052 70108 67108 20 074 21 068 15 047 67108 64334 19 068 17 065 8 052 64334 61650 25 046 19 062 14 055 61650 58870 22 031 19 037 18 028 58870 56015 23 015 25 027 19 048 56015 53306 26 009 26 013 22 053 53306 50867 25 009 25 024 26 060 50867 48683 25 006 38 023 41 039 48683 46721 30 348 34 360 43 021 46721 44935 25 332 21 344 28 001 44935 43277 9 059 6 263 13 321 43277 41718 34 084 24 119 14 221 41718 40247 38 074 20 094 17 161 40247 38853 35 058 17 051 12 141 38853 37497 34 046 20 023 15 090 37497 36111 33 036 20 019 16 066 36111 34664 34 035 19 015 16 047 34664 33159 29 030 18 030 17 034 33159 31579 25 006 18 034 15 029 31579 29916 22 002 19 026 16 072 29916 28169 16 004 16 029 15 071 28169 26340 11 352 10 041 8 056 26340 24438 10 354 6 022 6 007 24438 22463 9 341 5 005 4 347 22463 20406 10 327 8 333 5 331 20406 18264 7 345 7 350 1 125 18264 16085 8 009 5 021 5 151 16085 13989 6 025 2 071 5 158 13989 12090 6 013 2 084 2 169 12090 10408 6 000 4 032 3 104 10408 8917 5 026 5 025 3 064 8917 7593 3 075 2 332 5 338 7593 6419 3*194 2 240 5 301 6419 5378 7*184 4*194 4 268 5378 4462 8 179 5*184 6 196 4462 3652 9 175 7 169 10 175 3652 2927 9 172 8 166 12 171 2927 2286 9 170 8 164 13 169 2286 1750 10 169 8 162 13 169 1750 1339 9 168 8 161 12 168 1339 1056 9 167 8 161 11 167 1056 885 8 167 8 161 8*166 885 787 7 167 6 160 5*166 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography