DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.4 - - 91.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 38 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5528 - - 78 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4244 - - 771 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6237 - - 787 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1609 - - 8369 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 399 - - 69 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - 258 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 224 - - -5062 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6013 - - 5850 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2472 - - -6160 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8709 - - 6947 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 66 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1210 - - 1840 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.4 - - 91.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.5 - - 67.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.1 - - 90.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.3 - - 66.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 38 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5528 - - 78 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 28 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98630 31 091 18 075 98630 91170 25 086 19 079 91170 85453 16 071 15 088 85453 80731 13 058 16 093 80731 76674 14 064 18 080 76674 73101 16 067 17 074 73101 69866 17 078 14 068 69866 66891 20 088 13 061 66891 64133 21 089 11 050 64133 61466 18 065 9 062 61466 58699 12 026 9 051 58699 55851 11 342 10 331 55851 53153 18 318 16 318 53153 50725 25 295 22 306 50725 48541 25 303 18 304 48541 46557 24 300 11 292 46557 44739 15 240 12 264 44739 43061 14 187 15 212 43061 41497 5 200 22 186 41497 40021 5 153 19 179 40021 38621 8 125 11 166 38621 37258 7 167 7 097 37258 35867 6 172 6 113 35867 34419 4 134 5 129 34419 32918 4 150 7 181 32918 31347 13 221 15 202 31347 29695 17 251 17 247 29695 27968 19 269 19 286 27968 26171 16 283 18 293 26171 24303 12 280 15 276 24303 22360 11 296 14 269 22360 20337 16 286 16 266 20337 18231 25 283 21 274 18231 16088 27 277 27 272 16088 14024 26 270 26 255 14024 12149 23 258 23 242 12149 10480 21 249 21 249 10480 8994 17 252 21 258 8994 7670 15 262 19 259 7670 6490 12*263 17 257 6490 5443 12*264 16 257 5443 4517 11 264 16 257 4517 3697 11 264 15 257 3697 2962 11 264 15 257 2962 2311 10 264 15 257 2311 1768 10 264 14 258 1768 1350 9 264 14 258 1350 1062 9 264 13 258 1062 888 8 264 11 258 888 787 6 264 9*258 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography