DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.5 - - 72.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 201 - - 80 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 3313 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 2702 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 4022 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1984 - - 1874 - - 6414 - - 808 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 360 - - 76 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 197 - - 230 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2923 - - -2192 - - -6906 - - -4548 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3708 - - 6214 - - 7693 - - 5334 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4986 - - -8478 - - -11064 - - -10683 ODpotential blCL - - - 5771 - - 12500 - - 11850 - - 11469 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 54 - - 51 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.5 - - 72.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.4 - - 44.1 - - 41.2 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 66.9 - - 71.1 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 43.1 - - 40.4 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 201 - - 80 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 3313 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96242 18 265 32 254 32 281 14 324 96242 89059 22 278 16 255 23 276 23 308 89059 83568 17 257 14 258 18 279 19 297 83568 79060 14 267 14 244 19 263 18 298 79060 75179 8 264 11 228 21 234 30 264 75179 71736 24 263 21 271 25 241 30 250 71736 68612 33 253 31 268 26 248 28 250 68612 65743 37 256 33 267 35 267 35 260 65743 63093 46 254 46 258 42 260 41 266 63093 60520 48 250 51 249 48 248 50 261 60520 57814 50 260 52 257 50 250 52 254 57814 54968 62 260 62 263 60 265 54 258 54968 52215 70 256 74 259 67 258 59 255 52215 49714 66 256 77 253 70 252 64 251 49714 47457 60 259 76 251 74 253 64 253 47457 45405 54 257 69 250 73 255 58 256 45405 43535 49 261 60 253 64 252 54 262 43535 41825 48 259 54 256 52 248 52 259 41825 40253 32 247 51 253 41 248 47 247 40253 38799 41 288 43 252 40 247 30 230 38799 37446 55 287 38 263 45 243 28 239 37446 36143 54 279 38 267 38 239 31 232 36143 34814 46 274 39 266 34 242 27 227 34814 33430 41 275 39 266 34 246 24 232 33430 31993 41 277 39 265 33 251 27 231 31993 30489 38 277 40 262 32 254 28 228 30489 28905 33 272 39 258 30 250 27 225 28905 27243 29 265 38 251 31 244 25 230 27243 25505 26 252 36 245 33 244 24 240 25505 23692 27 244 36 242 33 250 22 247 23692 21803 31 254 34 249 32 252 21 244 21803 19828 33 266 30 255 31 252 22 243 19828 17761 32 264 28 256 30 256 23 244 17761 15646 29 258 29 262 26 258 21 251 15646 13609 25 251 27 268 24 256 23 264 13609 11762 22 245 25 258 26 258 26 269 11762 10124 21 244 26 251 28 264 23 270 10124 8678 17 241 25 248 26 263 20 266 8678 7397 14 226 21 239 21 253 19 242 7397 6261 14 210 19 224 13 232 18 227 6261 5252 13 200 14 208 11 227 14 231 5252 4362 12 200 9*196 10 227 12 232 4362 3574 10 205 7*193 9 227 10 237 3574 2868 9 211 6 193 8 228 8 240 2868 2244 9 213 5 196 8 228 6 242 2244 1723 9 210 5 200 7 229 5 240 1723 1323 7 210 4 202 7 230 3 233 1323 1048 5 212 4 205 6 231 2 216 1048 881 4*212 3 206 6*231 1*165 881 786 3*213 3 210 5*230 1*102 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography