DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 75.8 - - 77.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 209 - - 50 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 2248 - - 77 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 1941 - - 770 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 786 - - 2957 - - 786 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2008 - - 1663 - - 4663 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 69 - - 320 - - 65 - - - W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 138 - - 185 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -690 - - -913 - - -3174 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1476 - - 3870 - - 3960 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -854 - - -2275 - - -3877 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 1640 - - 5232 - - 4663 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 20 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 75.8 - - 77.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.4 - - 61.5 - - 63.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 74.0 - - 77.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 60.7 - - 62.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 209 - - 50 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 2248 - - 77 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 93 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99400 47 087 33 092 33 086 99400 91884 41 080 35 092 35 086 91884 86090 32 077 35 092 33 085 86090 81294 28 085 31 086 26 085 81294 77169 26 077 28 083 20 079 77169 73532 20 076 24 071 18 087 73532 70242 19 074 20 066 22 080 70242 67214 17 060 17 067 18 062 67214 64415 12 053 12 054 15 060 64415 61712 10 019 8 053 12 044 61712 58903 10 348 8 323 9 355 58903 55993 9 345 12 301 13 302 55993 53232 22 308 24 287 26 286 53232 50769 27 294 24 273 27 270 50769 48565 33 294 24 281 29 280 48565 46562 45 288 31 277 35 280 46562 44725 52 279 30 274 35 271 44725 43027 49 280 29 278 34 263 43027 41444 43 283 32 279 30 264 41444 39959 36 284 34 271 27 266 39959 38563 35 283 36 267 27 265 38563 37214 39 279 37 268 32 269 37214 35839 42 284 40 270 37 262 35839 34406 44 287 39 264 35 245 34406 32916 40 288 35 264 35 231 32916 31356 36 288 31 263 30 232 31356 29714 34 291 29 266 27 237 29714 27989 31 296 24 266 25 238 27989 26180 26 298 18 261 22 240 26180 24290 20 282 18 254 18 253 24290 22325 21 279 15 268 14 273 22325 20281 20 288 12 276 14 278 20281 18153 18 279 13 262 17 266 18153 15987 19 280 18 268 18 268 15987 13904 16 285 17 265 18 267 13904 12013 14 283 14 263 15 264 12013 10336 12 266 15 263 12 277 10336 8852 8 250 13 277 10 293 8852 7535 5 260 8 287 6 305 7535 6367 6 286 4 283 2 312 6367 5334 6 269 2 216 3 183 5334 4425 5 196 4 174 5 175 4425 3623 8 146 6*144 4 174 3623 2906 9 130 7*141 4 174 2906 2271 9 126 7 139 3 176 2271 1741 8 124 7 138 3 178 1741 1334 6 121 7 136 3 181 1334 1054 6 119 6 135 2 183 1054 884 5*118 6 135 2 184 884 786 4*118 5 135 2*185 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography