DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 35.7 - - 34.9 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 40 - - 33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 767 - - 767 - - 767 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - 783 - - 783 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1991 - - 2347 - - 3488 - - 3112 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 59 - - 56 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 003 - - 324 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - -75 - - -223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 783 - - 783 - - 858 - - 1006 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - 0 - - -236 - - -579 ODpotential blCL - - - 783 - - 783 - - 1019 - - 1362 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 35.7 - - 34.9 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 35.6 - - 33.9 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 34.9 - - 34.3 - - 32.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 35.2 - - 33.5 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 40 - - 33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 97 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96812 25 096 18 084 21 071 19 071 96812 89661 21 095 16 093 20 084 11 099 89661 84093 18 100 16 087 11 097 11 091 84093 79412 17 101 10 099 7 122 4 037 79412 75346 10 100 9 110 6 108 1 069 75346 71743 8 103 6 184 7 315 4 350 71743 68467 8 038 6 165 8 227 8 283 68467 65444 14 323 3 296 7 224 19 258 65444 62645 21 250 10 258 10 253 23 254 62645 59942 17 256 17 269 11 276 19 249 59942 57102 29 273 26 263 20 265 21 268 57102 54118 44 259 34 254 30 259 30 257 54118 51243 46 248 42 245 43 244 33 250 51243 48645 45 249 48 244 41 244 34 254 48645 46313 54 248 53 247 48 253 37 255 46313 44195 61 245 61 245 54 244 45 248 44195 42258 64 244 63 238 53 238 47 242 42258 40471 64 242 64 233 53 237 49 240 40471 38812 64 237 63 229 56 235 49 239 38812 37263 66 234 62 228 57 233 49 236 37263 35814 69 232 62 228 57 230 47 232 35814 34424 70 228 64 227 57 226 44 228 34424 33022 70 226 68 224 58 221 39 225 33022 31580 73 225 72 220 59 214 34 222 31580 30107 77 222 73 216 59 210 31 221 30107 28592 77 216 70 211 57 206 29 215 28592 27032 74 213 66 207 53 201 22 198 27032 25440 68 213 60 204 49 195 16 138 25440 23811 62 213 56 204 45 187 18 119 23811 22118 60 210 50 203 39 176 20 128 22118 20348 60 207 44 198 37 165 22 128 20348 18497 56 207 41 190 37 163 26 135 18497 16563 50 207 42 186 32 168 23 122 16563 14595 49 209 41 189 22 167 19 076 14595 12706 42 214 31 198 14 130 14 043 12706 10993 23 216 17 193 13 057 14 017 10993 9472 16 204 11 152 13 027 18 011 9472 8123 8 218 4 009 10 029 23 003 8123 6923 6 272 6 359 12 011 27 353 6923 5860 6 290 4 007 19 353 33 338 5860 4919 4 279 5 035 25 340 39 326 4919 4092 1 188 6 034 29 330 40 321 4092 3362 4 109 7 024 29 328 39 319 3362 2709 6 100 8 020 29 327 36 319 2709 2132 6 098 8 011 28 326 33 318 2132 1650 4 088 8 008 26 326 29 318 1650 1280 3 074 7 006 22 325 24 318 1280 1026 2 068 7 005 18 325 20 318 1026 871 2 067 6 004 16 324 16*318 871 783 2*064 5*003 11*324 11*317 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography