DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.6 - - 75.2 - - 80.2 - - 81.3 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 291 - - 361 - - 177 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 74 - - 6211 - - 8466 - - 8958 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit 766 - - 5076 - - 6982 - - 6929 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top 783 - - 6920 - - 9175 - - 9667 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 883 - - 1251 - - 1284 - - 2446 - - 9829 Hgt.Variab. W* 61 - - 498 - - 594 - - 481 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 261 - - 251 - - 240 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3851 - - -1374 - - -220 - - 532 - - -6472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4635 - - 8294 - - 9395 - - 9135 - - 7256 sfcLCL ODpotential -5588 - - -5317 - - -1792 - - 142 - - -7284 ODpotential blCL 6371 - - 12237 - - 10967 - - 9525 - - 8068 blCL maxRH 67 - - 67 - - 72 - - 89 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 80 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 64.6 - - 75.2 - - 80.2 - - 81.3 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.3 - - 41.5 - - 41.4 - - 43.8 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.7 - - 73.0 - - 77.7 - - 79.6 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.9 - - 40.3 - - 40.0 - - 42.5 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 291 - - 361 - - 177 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 74 - - 6211 - - 8466 - - 8958 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 56 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98853 28 085 24 089 22 084 23 080 26 087 98853 91446 24 082 20 090 18 081 20 091 20 082 91446 85711 16 081 18 092 16 090 20 095 15 087 85711 80945 16 089 12 097 15 101 15 084 16 109 80945 76834 12 093 8 118 12 102 10 113 13 100 76834 73186 9 116 8 136 7 122 8 137 7 112 73186 69881 6 142 10 155 6 162 5 147 6 117 69881 66848 11 169 11 180 11 193 9 243 2 268 66848 64038 8 183 12 184 16 194 13 218 9 246 64038 61318 12 242 11 229 14 200 17 213 16 243 61318 58486 27 241 28 245 25 233 25 228 28 236 58486 55560 38 234 40 243 40 247 34 242 35 235 55560 52776 48 240 50 240 53 243 46 246 44 239 52776 50271 59 231 55 236 59 240 56 249 52 246 50271 48021 60 228 62 240 71 241 77 249 71 253 48021 45987 71 241 79 241 89 237 98 241 93 244 45987 44138 91 242 94 237 99 230 105 231 106 232 44138 42440 105 238 99 234 99 226 99 228 107 224 42440 40858 110 235 99 235 95 229 97 233 99 225 40858 39369 110 234 100 237 96 234 100 236 95 234 39369 37966 109 234 100 237 98 236 101 236 102 241 37966 36611 109 236 101 235 99 234 99 233 104 239 36611 35237 109 238 103 234 101 230 98 228 102 236 35237 33814 109 240 105 234 105 228 101 225 99 233 33814 32342 107 241 103 236 104 229 104 225 98 232 32342 30804 101 243 96 238 98 232 103 229 97 231 30804 29185 95 245 88 239 91 234 100 234 96 233 29185 27487 89 245 81 239 84 235 94 240 91 240 27487 25714 84 245 76 238 79 237 85 245 82 247 25714 23870 79 247 70 239 73 239 77 247 72 253 23870 21957 71 253 64 241 65 241 71 246 65 261 21957 19967 61 258 58 243 59 244 64 249 57 266 19967 17894 52 255 51 245 52 246 54 255 44 265 17894 15779 46 250 43 249 42 247 40 256 33 263 15779 13744 41 252 36 256 30 248 29 248 26 260 13744 11901 38 258 32 263 25 253 20 245 20 246 11901 10263 37 262 29 265 19*253 15*241 17 233 10263 8805 35 264 26 265 12*249 13*240 15 238 8805 7505 28 264 20*265 11 249 13 240 14 243 7505 6347 21 267 13*261 10 249 12 240 14 249 6347 5320 17 273 11 262 10 250 12 241 14 253 5320 4414 14 278 10 261 9 250 11 240 14 258 4414 3613 12 282 10 261 9 251 11 241 14 261 3613 2896 11 286 9 262 8 252 11 241 14 263 2896 2263 9 288 9 261 8 253 10 240 14 265 2263 1734 7 279 8 262 7 253 10 241 13 266 1734 1329 7 260 8 261 7 253 9 241 12 267 1329 1050 6 250 7 262 7 254 9 241 10 267 1050 881 4*245 7 262 6 254 8 242 8*267 881 784 3*243 6 262 6 255 7 242 4*265 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography