DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 63.2 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - -20 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 76 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 769 - - 769 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 785 - - 785 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2480 - - 3157 - - 3214 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 46 - - 37 - - 61 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 181 - - 181 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -400 - - -857 - - -888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1185 - - 1642 - - 1672 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1140 - - -1810 - - -1080 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1925 - - 2595 - - 1864 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 91 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 410 - - 180 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 63.2 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.8 - - 58.0 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.7 - - 63.4 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.3 - - 57.4 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - -20 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 76 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 76 - - 64 - - 105 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96571 23 265 21 259 27 278 96571 89399 14 262 19 260 18 287 89399 83858 7 253 13 262 13 295 83858 79239 9 290 10 252 9 268 79239 75249 9 284 5 215 9 244 75249 71707 6 279 2 261 5 231 71707 68473 3 251 6 243 6 255 68473 65483 5 183 6 206 8 234 65483 62705 5 163 4 187 9 238 62705 60008 4 160 7 208 4 205 60008 57192 13 229 15 225 13 198 57192 54256 30 230 37 222 27 217 54256 51437 42 216 60 217 54 219 51437 48896 60 208 69 207 69 209 48896 46625 69 209 71 202 70 198 46625 44575 83 212 70 204 64 205 44575 42704 92 206 85 209 83 216 42704 40988 99 203 102 210 103 209 40988 39435 103 203 118 206 134 198 39435 38017 105 206 110 198 136 191 38017 36686 102 202 99 193 132 187 36686 35390 90 197 94 194 128 184 35390 34066 95 192 92 192 127 182 34066 32686 78 188 88 190 125 181 32686 31253 77 189 86 189 123 181 31253 29753 77 191 85 187 127 188 29753 28180 74 192 84 186 124 196 28180 26535 72 193 82 185 118 196 26535 24815 72 192 80 186 115 194 24815 23022 74 189 80 188 114 195 23022 21159 78 188 81 191 115 198 21159 19222 79 190 83 194 114 198 19222 17199 76 192 82 196 106 195 17199 15138 64 193 77 195 92 193 15138 13154 60 195 68 197 85 191 13154 11348 56 198 62 199 76 186 11348 9741 52 199 60 201 66 182 9741 8314 50 202 60 201 51 180 8314 7050 47 206 61 200 33 176 7050 5939 47 208 60 200 15 187 5939 4971 46 206 56 201 15 272 4971 4130 44 202 48 201 30 288 4130 3392 42 199 38 198 33 290 3392 2733 39 196 37 196 32 291 2733 2151 37 194 33 192 32 292 2151 1663 31 190 28 188 30 292 1663 1289 27 187 24 186 28 293 1289 1030 23 185 20 184 24 293 1030 874 19 183 17 183 21*293 874 784 13*181 11*181 14*293 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography