DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 66.7 - - 69.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 9 - - -46 - - -76 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 368 - - 1035 - - 20 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 448 - - 1115 - - 100 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 745 - - 1370 - - 2628 - - 1324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 102 - - 19 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 19 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 193 - - 193 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 161 - - 319 - - -933 - - -732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 287 - - 796 - - 1033 - - 831 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 106 - - -26 - - -2228 - - -3119 ODpotential blCL - - - 342 - - 1141 - - 2328 - - 3218 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 60 - - 250 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 66.7 - - 69.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.1 - - 63.4 - - 64.7 - - 62.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 66.9 - - 70.6 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 63.0 - - 64.3 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 9 - - -46 - - -76 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 368 - - 1035 - - 20 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 44 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96272 50 250 57 259 56 265 58 264 96272 89116 42 249 41 254 46 264 41 272 89116 83626 29 259 33 247 37 263 31 267 83626 79040 16 268 23 245 29 260 26 258 79040 75105 16 281 15 238 19 241 23 245 75105 71662 21 247 12 231 13 236 20 260 71662 68552 22 242 18 264 16 263 23 275 68552 65681 29 254 33 255 27 247 27 251 65681 63010 41 248 39 247 33 245 38 246 63010 60412 41 238 44 248 49 249 49 250 60412 57699 48 249 53 249 59 246 70 249 57699 54884 58 245 57 242 67 244 74 242 54884 52175 61 245 59 242 64 244 63 243 52175 49722 60 253 68 249 71 255 71 254 49722 47538 79 259 86 253 85 254 88 253 47538 45594 91 257 91 249 93 246 97 248 45594 43834 97 257 92 249 95 243 99 243 43834 42205 98 255 93 251 97 243 98 243 42205 40676 97 256 93 250 97 242 98 243 40676 39232 96 258 93 249 94 242 95 239 39232 37864 98 256 92 250 93 243 93 237 37864 36531 101 252 92 251 95 245 95 239 36531 35166 94 250 91 251 96 247 95 242 35166 33739 82 247 89 253 92 247 91 242 33739 32258 75 247 78 250 79 246 80 235 32258 30710 71 249 70 240 67 246 70 226 30710 29079 64 249 67 238 64 244 67 231 29079 27369 61 248 68 242 60 239 65 238 27369 25574 60 246 70 253 65 241 68 239 25574 23696 56 241 63 254 77 243 71 238 23696 21738 53 235 55 244 74 239 65 236 21738 19692 48 234 47 242 68 234 53 235 19692 17557 44 240 45 246 61 230 49 237 17557 15379 52 230 53 247 58 226 49 243 15379 13281 46 219 60 235 55 228 46 246 13281 11376 36 208 49 223 51 231 50 245 11376 9686 34 201 42 219 47 230 56 241 9686 8187 32 203 40 219 45 231 56 239 8187 6856 29 206 41 218 47 233 54 239 6856 5675 29 210 42 217 50 229 51 234 5675 4635 30 212 44 213 51 221 52 223 4635 3723 30 212 43 208 49 216 52 217 3723 2920 26 211 40 205 46 211 50 211 2920 2202 22 202 34 202 41 205 48 203 2202 1569 17 182 28*197 35 200 43 194 1569 1042 14 162 23*194 31 198 38 189 1042 639 12*156 21 193 26 196 32 187 639 363 9*151 18 193 22 195 24 184 363 195 7 149 15 192 18*194 20 183 195 99 5 149 11 192 11*193 12*182 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography