DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 84.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 156 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2497 - - 2365 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1388 - - 84 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2577 - - 2445 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1244 - - 2401 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 306 - - 121 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 222 - - 222 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -8 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2117 - - -3016 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4695 - - 5462 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6416 - - -6823 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8993 - - 9268 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 60 - - 60 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 84.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.2 - - 61.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.5 - - 85.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.2 - - 60.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 156 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2497 - - 2365 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98048 16 217 20 223 98048 90720 7 202 7 210 90720 85043 5 190 9 244 85043 80320 7 162 7 238 80320 76279 6 134 5 159 76279 72739 4 105 5 146 72739 69539 4 101 3 164 69539 66600 1 076 0 069 66600 63896 4 224 7 290 63896 61298 2 215 9 280 61298 58605 5 212 14 258 58605 55831 9 215 20 229 55831 53202 15 284 16 260 53202 50840 29 294 25 282 50840 48720 30 287 29 279 48720 46788 23 275 31 282 46788 45000 20 272 23 261 45000 43326 17 270 25 250 43326 41751 16 248 30 242 41751 40263 26 237 32 242 40263 38846 28 255 29 252 38846 37465 21 268 22 256 37465 36057 19 263 21 253 36057 34593 22 253 27 250 34593 33073 25 242 31 238 33073 31478 28 243 33 242 31478 29798 31 251 35 255 29798 28031 33 265 36 263 28031 26178 31 272 32 268 26178 24242 24 266 27 263 24242 22224 22 250 23 244 22224 20115 22 240 26 236 20115 17918 22 233 28 234 17918 15686 24 238 26 240 15686 13546 26 243 22 254 13546 11610 25 255 21 270 11610 9893 22 264 23 269 9893 8366 21 272 21 271 8366 7008 21 280 18 276 7008 5805 18 279 17 274 5805 4743 17 271 19 258 4743 3811 18 254 19 246 3811 2990 19*242 19*237 2990 2257 18*226 18*228 2257 1610 18 223 16 224 1610 1070 17 222 15 221 1070 656 16 220 14 219 656 372 15 220 13 218 372 199 14 219 11 217 199 101 11 219 8 215 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography