DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.1 - - 56.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 45 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2732 - - 4417 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1678 - - 1500 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2812 - - 4497 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2858 - - 1390 - - 72 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 346 - - 241 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 232 - - 239 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3607 - - -2907 - - -4317 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6419 - - 7405 - - 4414 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11009 - - -9322 - - -13268 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13821 - - 13819 - - 13365 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 53 - - 59 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.1 - - 56.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 25.4 - - 24.1 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.0 - - 56.0 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.3 - - 23.0 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 45 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2732 - - 4417 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96230 17 029 22 045 19 060 96230 89200 12 048 10 030 16 021 89200 83719 4 029 5 265 15 327 83719 79130 6 351 4 298 8 296 79130 75137 9 314 12 304 11 340 75137 71580 5 242 10 286 12 321 71580 68338 9 294 15 295 13 298 68338 65360 18 299 19 284 17 287 65360 62600 27 305 26 293 23 300 62600 59918 44 291 43 288 41 293 59918 57118 53 284 51 285 48 286 57118 54203 56 285 53 287 51 286 54203 51419 61 291 57 291 58 290 51419 48912 67 290 65 289 68 292 48912 46667 72 284 71 286 77 290 46667 44640 68 284 75 284 86 283 44640 42797 70 288 80 285 81 275 42797 41116 77 287 88 283 74 288 41116 39574 82 288 84 283 93 303 39574 38149 90 301 88 300 125 298 38149 36817 120 311 113 303 123 291 36817 35526 134 309 127 300 111 287 35526 34203 134 306 125 299 112 290 34203 32822 127 303 110 300 117 295 32822 31386 123 303 103 300 101 292 31386 29879 120 306 102 298 88 290 29879 28288 121 310 100 298 84 290 28288 26613 99 310 97 299 84 289 26613 24851 71 302 93 304 78 292 24851 23003 61 296 74 303 63 297 23003 21075 53 296 56 294 53 292 21075 19072 48 291 48 288 51 285 19072 16985 44 287 44 286 50 284 16985 14853 38 293 42 281 45 290 14853 12801 33 296 36 279 36 294 12801 10942 30 295 28 284 25 289 10942 9302 31 293 28 290 20 286 9302 7855 30 286 28 289 21 292 7855 6577 25 273 26 281 22 286 6577 5448 21 263 22*268 22 274 5448 4453 19 258 16*244 21 258 4453 3578 18*251 15 242 19 251 3578 2806 15*242 14 239 17 245 2806 2118 13 234 13 238 16 240 2118 1510 12 231 13 236 14 235 1510 1004 12 229 12 235 13 230 1004 616 11 228 11 234 12 224 616 350 11 227 11 234 11 214 350 189 10 227 10 233 8 202 189 97 8 226 7 233 5*196 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography