DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 55.8 - - 55.6 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 68 - - -20 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1602 - - 2323 - - 114 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 751 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1682 - - 2403 - - 194 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 706 - - 859 - - 3708 - - 479 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 191 - - 236 - - 38 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 308 - - 310 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -769 - - -207 - - -1925 - - -984 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2451 - - 2610 - - 2119 - - 1082 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11249 - - -9688 - - -3101 - - -3328 ODpotential blCL - - - 12931 - - 12091 - - 3295 - - 3426 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 90 - - 70 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 55.8 - - 55.6 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 44.8 - - 46.8 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 55.6 - - 56.7 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 43.5 - - 45.5 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 68 - - -20 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1602 - - 2323 - - 114 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96722 90 245 85 242 98 250 83 247 96722 89349 59 249 57 248 62 256 52 246 89349 83758 29 247 32 245 38 252 37 253 83758 79181 17 230 22 242 22 251 25 257 79181 75265 12 232 21 232 19 257 17 269 75265 71802 13 267 14 239 15 235 17 254 71802 68660 10 256 12 261 12 238 15 243 68660 65760 19 242 21 253 18 265 17 252 65760 63063 24 246 23 236 22 252 21 236 63063 60442 20 246 21 229 21 239 21 234 60442 57695 24 245 24 233 24 246 24 247 57695 54840 32 242 30 234 32 245 34 246 54840 52111 38 243 34 235 37 234 40 239 52111 49642 43 245 39 243 37 239 42 244 49642 47418 53 239 49 243 48 249 45 252 47418 45391 59 231 59 237 57 250 49 257 45391 43525 62 233 65 234 60 250 55 257 43525 41795 63 237 65 236 61 249 63 255 41795 40188 63 242 61 239 63 248 69 251 40188 38696 66 243 63 243 64 249 71 250 38696 37302 66 240 69 241 66 251 69 253 37302 35964 64 236 67 238 68 251 74 257 35964 34610 63 237 64 241 64 250 79 258 34610 33208 67 240 65 246 61 253 80 258 33208 31758 71 239 65 246 62 256 77 259 31758 30243 73 235 62 244 62 258 76 264 30243 28646 72 233 59 244 60 260 74 266 28646 26966 68 233 54 244 56 261 66 266 26966 25201 59 236 48 248 54 260 57 265 25201 23349 48 242 48 254 54 258 54 265 23349 21411 45 245 50 255 52 260 52 263 21411 19387 45 246 49 257 49 265 51 265 19387 17271 43 249 44 258 45 265 49 270 17271 15104 41 250 40 258 43 261 46 272 15104 13009 39 253 37 260 41 260 45 275 13009 11104 35 257 34 265 39 264 42 278 11104 9423 33 260 30 267 37 272 37 280 9423 7940 32 265 30 271 34 278 33 287 7940 6635 29 266 31 274 30 286 29 295 6635 5488 16 242 27 269 28 300 27 300 5488 4483 11 253 21 258 25 302 27 309 4483 3602 11 303 19 276 20 298 26 315 3602 2825 18 329 14*302 17 300 23 316 2825 2132 21*337 12*306 16 303 19 314 2132 1520 19*337 12 307 15 305 15 312 1520 1011 18 337 11 308 14 307 11 308 1011 621 17 336 11 308 12 309 8 306 621 353 15 336 10 308 10*310 6 301 353 191 13 336 9 308 8*310 4 291 191 98 10 335 7 308 5 309 2*257 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography