DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 63.0 - - 65.6 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 179 - - 11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 1774 - - 2157 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 895 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 640 - - 1854 - - 2237 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 225 - - 1017 - - 902 - - 87 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 277 - - 125 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 301 - - 284 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1010 - - -1333 - - -2314 - - -2315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1650 - - 3187 - - 4551 - - 2413 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10320 - - -9198 - - -10469 - - -13135 ODpotential blCL - - - 10960 - - 11052 - - 12706 - - 13233 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 71 - - 61 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 63.0 - - 65.6 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 49.7 - - 46.5 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 62.0 - - 65.7 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 48.9 - - 45.8 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 179 - - 11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 1774 - - 2157 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97166 34 246 39 259 31 257 38 252 97166 89927 13 240 23 244 24 256 24 261 89927 84351 5 265 11 238 15 255 16 283 84351 79720 1 034 8 198 12 250 11 268 79720 75740 4 303 10 179 10 247 9 249 75740 72232 5 284 8 176 8 236 9 252 72232 69070 1 202 4 186 11 202 10 218 69070 66180 6 261 6 261 9 219 10 207 66180 63506 17 250 15 257 10 260 6 226 63506 60915 18 222 20 259 22 270 17 286 60915 58220 14 236 24 241 28 255 27 272 58220 55431 16 245 21 225 27 233 31 246 55431 52768 14 285 19 256 24 239 29 243 52768 50365 24 279 26 251 29 242 39 246 50365 48200 23 262 24 237 30 233 41 236 48200 46215 20 272 24 256 26 235 36 232 46215 44373 27 283 30 270 26 253 34 232 44373 42658 26 284 27 271 25 257 29 238 42658 41065 24 274 25 269 26 261 28 259 41065 39584 21 283 30 276 31 272 29 284 39584 38197 21 314 22 301 28 286 28 299 38197 36859 23 336 23 314 30 303 22 314 36859 35491 29 353 29 320 30 310 24 326 35491 34060 29 357 30 322 27 302 28 323 34060 32570 25 360 26 335 26 296 28 314 32570 31007 22 001 22 348 23 296 25 306 31007 29358 22 001 16 350 19 296 22 300 29358 27621 24 010 15 344 15 297 18 297 27621 25794 24 017 19 335 13 309 17 311 25794 23881 26 008 23 335 18 321 20 326 23881 21889 31 000 22 350 22 328 22 331 21889 19812 31 004 21 005 19 335 20 335 19812 17644 29 010 19 008 15 347 14 344 17644 15429 25 014 17 009 15 358 12 355 15429 13297 13 006 15 360 13 006 12 011 13297 11367 9 357 11 344 10 353 10 005 11367 9661 10 343 9 327 10 337 7 331 9661 8150 8 337 10 322 10 329 9 321 8150 6810 6 351 9 322 12 320 11 328 6810 5628 7 016 7 322 11 309 12 329 5628 4588 7 017 6 314 11 307 13 327 4588 3680 6 354 7 313 10 305 13 317 3680 2884 8 347 8 317 8*291 13 301 2884 2175 8 358 7*306 7*284 10 289 2175 1550 9 355 6*300 6 283 8 291 1550 1031 8*343 5 300 5 284 6 291 1031 632 6*336 5 301 5 285 5 286 632 359 5 335 4 301 4 285 4 270 359 193 4 333 4 302 4 284 4 251 193 98 4 334 3 303 3 284 4*250 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography