DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.7 - - 44.5 - - 46.6 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 235 - - 24 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 2476 - - 2363 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 1492 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 629 - - 2556 - - 2443 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1280 - - 1159 - - 1228 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 335 - - 156 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 14 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 191 - - 179 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4542 - - -4706 - - -4233 - - -2954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5171 - - 7262 - - 6676 - - 3051 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18091 - - -14713 - - -12721 - - -12724 ODpotential blCL - - - 18720 - - 17269 - - 15164 - - 12821 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 37 - - 42 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.7 - - 44.5 - - 46.6 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.0 - - 13.4 - - 18.1 - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 43.4 - - 46.6 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.5 - - 12.8 - - 17.8 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 235 - - 24 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 2476 - - 2363 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95947 52 238 51 256 51 258 43 256 95947 88865 40 253 44 238 51 259 41 253 88865 83411 42 251 47 245 48 258 42 256 83411 78850 45 256 48 254 42 262 47 258 78850 74900 44 250 47 256 46 254 48 257 74900 71406 37 250 44 254 47 248 47 258 71406 68226 44 266 44 258 43 251 47 255 68226 65281 56 259 53 254 51 252 52 252 65281 62537 65 252 61 248 59 249 58 255 62537 59880 71 247 62 247 65 245 66 252 59880 57112 77 251 67 248 71 238 80 243 57112 54242 91 250 83 250 78 242 92 241 54242 51509 104 245 100 249 94 246 100 244 51509 49043 108 242 108 243 108 245 110 247 49043 46826 109 243 114 241 117 243 116 246 46826 44817 111 247 118 240 123 241 123 246 44817 42987 120 247 123 242 129 239 132 245 42987 41310 126 245 130 242 130 238 137 240 41310 39769 130 244 131 241 129 241 135 239 39769 38342 128 245 129 242 132 241 138 241 38342 36999 126 249 130 246 130 242 141 243 36999 35690 125 251 132 248 130 246 142 243 35690 34346 123 250 125 245 129 246 137 241 34346 32942 115 248 121 243 126 245 131 240 32942 31483 108 246 119 242 122 242 123 241 31483 29956 106 244 117 242 118 241 115 243 29956 28349 100 246 112 242 114 242 108 245 28349 26665 89 245 104 243 107 244 102 246 26665 24902 79 245 92 244 93 245 92 249 24902 23058 73 247 75 245 74 246 79 252 23058 21136 67 247 63 247 60 250 69 250 21136 19128 62 248 58 244 55 251 62 247 19128 17030 57 248 57 236 54 247 54 248 17030 14890 48 248 52 233 54 247 45 252 14890 12833 39 247 46 235 52 244 44 254 12833 10969 29 246 38 234 49 236 43 248 10969 9317 21 252 31 230 43 233 38 236 9317 7855 19 248 30 226 39 233 41 230 7855 6563 20 239 31 229 38 234 39 225 6563 5422 21 239 28 232 36 231 38 221 5422 4418 19 247 24 229 32 218 40 215 4418 3540 12 250 23 217 28 202 41 213 3540 2770 9 231 19*208 24*186 38 208 2770 2087 6 192 15*194 22*182 32 198 2087 1487 9 159 15 191 21 180 28 187 1487 987 10*157 14 190 20 179 27 181 987 606 7*155 13 189 18 178 25 179 606 345 5 156 12 189 16 178 18 174 345 187 4 157 11 189 14 177 15*173 187 97 4 157 9 188 10 176 6*171 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography