DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.2 - - 54.5 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 237 - - 97 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3049 - - 3551 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1940 - - 1817 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3129 - - 3631 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1133 - - 1019 - - 2063 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 368 - - 289 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 31 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 173 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1792 - - -1125 - - -1453 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4921 - - 4756 - - 1551 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9404 - - -7186 - - -3063 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12533 - - 10817 - - 3161 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 70 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.2 - - 54.5 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.2 - - 34.2 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.0 - - 54.0 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.0 - - 33.1 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 237 - - 97 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3049 - - 3551 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96657 12 235 20 234 19 256 96657 89480 7 212 11 238 11 272 89480 83967 9 186 10 226 8 336 83967 79367 10 150 9 232 13 292 79367 75391 4 079 3 143 9 288 75391 71874 6 315 4 004 8 351 71874 68682 4 312 8 273 3 330 68682 65724 4 306 9 286 9 328 65724 62962 14 301 20 298 18 307 62962 60283 23 287 19 296 23 300 60283 57469 20 268 22 295 24 293 57469 54516 28 285 29 284 26 277 54516 51667 37 278 34 284 27 279 51667 49094 34 268 45 278 37 283 49094 46796 34 273 45 268 42 272 46796 44726 37 265 40 256 37 257 44726 42840 34 251 31 248 29 246 42840 41101 30 249 25 256 30 254 41101 39486 33 258 28 265 37 256 39486 37986 37 257 36 264 38 256 37986 36587 39 257 43 262 35 260 36587 35246 45 253 49 260 35 265 35246 33897 50 248 51 253 35 264 33897 32510 50 246 50 247 34 257 32510 31086 48 246 46 248 33 253 31086 29607 44 269 40 258 35 253 29607 28059 44 279 35 275 37 250 28059 26434 42 291 36 274 34 256 26434 24724 36 298 33 264 27 266 24724 22928 29 294 28 258 22 263 22928 21046 20 279 24 253 24 258 21046 19072 15 264 20 252 22 265 19072 17006 17 268 24 268 20 282 17006 14893 17 281 26 275 21 293 14893 12854 16 293 25 285 22 285 12854 10997 18 302 23 298 23 292 10997 9348 21 311 21 314 17 322 9348 7884 17 300 21 324 12 333 7884 6586 17 278 20 321 12 336 6586 5442 12 269 15 299 12 322 5442 4440 8 286 8*273 9 281 4440 3564 6*285 4*201 8 250 3564 2795 4*266 4 189 6 228 2795 2109 3 250 4 175 6 194 2109 1503 2 243 4 169 7 167 1503 1000 2 237 4 164 9 146 1000 615 2 231 4 160 11 134 615 349 2 224 4 156 11 129 349 189 1 220 4 155 9*126 189 98 1 225 3 153 5*123 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography