DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.4 - - 86.2 - - 85.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 370 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5821 - - 1695 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4239 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5901 - - 1775 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4131 - - 6679 - - 7565 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 523 - - 142 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 219 - - 243 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - 15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2472 - - -3008 - - -6126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8373 - - 4783 - - 6227 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3329 - - -4727 - - -7865 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9230 - - 6502 - - 7966 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 97 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 470 - - 1880 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.4 - - 86.2 - - 85.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.0 - - 65.7 - - 59.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.3 - - 86.6 - - 87.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.4 - - 64.4 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 370 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5821 - - 1695 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 3 - - 89 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97950 2 270 3 336 6 342 97950 90581 6 075 7 042 8 301 90581 84918 7 129 3 028 4 310 84918 80205 6 147 2 213 3 033 80205 76138 3 099 4 160 3 153 76138 72550 1 046 5 106 5 132 72550 69319 2 147 1 132 4 026 69319 66355 3 160 1 199 3 004 66355 63605 4 242 7 291 10 323 63605 60948 10 302 13 290 16 314 60948 58179 13 303 17 291 21 302 58179 55304 21 303 17 292 20 300 55304 52573 26 303 16 305 19 301 52573 50132 28 306 20 310 15 307 50132 47955 26 303 27 317 21 329 47955 45999 19 285 38 315 37 335 45999 44219 7 237 22 290 41 321 44219 42574 10 078 9 113 4 275 42574 41042 34 037 31 063 26 096 41042 39605 29 035 27 069 25 089 39605 38241 17 039 6 098 19 097 38241 36910 12 050 5 110 14 100 36910 35544 6 059 2 092 7 095 35544 34114 7 289 9 270 5 071 34114 32624 15 266 20 253 6 321 32624 31066 16 261 21 251 16 284 31066 29430 18 253 21 250 17 279 29430 27711 20 258 20 258 15 282 27711 25908 20 267 15 276 11 283 25908 24023 12 268 10 277 6 282 24023 22056 12 287 16 283 5 323 22056 19998 22 281 21 285 11 319 19998 17852 33 290 21 287 18 317 17852 15663 40 288 23 293 29 307 15663 13552 37 286 24 290 28 295 13552 11627 27 277 21 277 23 284 11627 9915 26 247 19 260 19 282 9915 8395 26 228 16 247 14 276 8395 7044 22*223 14 241 10 248 7044 5844 18*223 13 239 10 241 5844 4780 12 221 12 238 11 234 4780 3843 11 219 11 237 11 230 3843 3015 10 219 10 238 11 225 3015 2275 10 218 9*238 12 220 2275 1622 9 217 8*241 12 214 1622 1078 9 216 6 242 11 209 1078 660 8 216 5 243 10 202 660 374 8 215 4 243 9 196 374 200 7 215 4 246 6*191 200 101 6 215 3 246 4*184 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography