DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 41.8 - - 42.1 - - 38.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 245 - - 41 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4052 - - 5362 - - 5479 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2598 - - 3708 - - 2422 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4132 - - 5442 - - 5559 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 782 - - 1299 - - 3500 - - 8937 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 379 - - 450 - - 266 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 270 - - 261 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 755 - - 1278 - - 1432 - - -2314 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3377 - - 4164 - - 4127 - - 2412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -81 - - 544 - - 366 - - -2739 ODpotential blCL - - - 4213 - - 4898 - - 5193 - - 2836 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 86 - - 95 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 41.8 - - 42.1 - - 38.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.2 - - 23.9 - - 24.4 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 40.6 - - 41.9 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 22.7 - - 23.2 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 245 - - 41 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4052 - - 5362 - - 5479 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 46 - - 80 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96616 25 254 26 261 30 250 33 274 96616 89424 14 266 17 239 21 256 16 260 89424 83889 13 228 7 225 10 243 12 236 83889 79276 5 187 7 249 6 283 12 242 79276 75288 10 232 13 217 14 269 10 241 75288 71725 11 244 13 184 18 238 14 234 71725 68455 20 250 10 225 16 222 17 256 68455 65448 26 231 18 240 18 241 25 262 65448 62684 32 217 24 230 30 224 31 233 62684 60007 30 229 23 240 26 217 27 219 60007 57193 34 238 34 237 31 238 28 240 57193 54243 49 229 51 233 47 239 41 246 54243 51415 54 215 65 226 60 234 57 238 51415 48883 60 223 70 224 68 230 65 229 48883 46618 79 228 77 226 72 227 69 229 46618 44565 90 222 84 225 79 224 78 230 44565 42690 97 221 90 222 88 220 84 228 42690 40961 114 216 100 221 95 219 86 228 40961 39357 119 210 114 215 101 221 89 230 39357 37860 125 213 127 212 112 221 96 229 37860 36454 132 213 139 216 127 220 104 226 36454 35100 134 210 149 213 149 218 111 223 35100 33731 131 207 148 210 155 215 114 220 33731 32320 128 205 141 210 152 214 113 218 32320 30866 128 207 141 214 154 218 110 217 30866 29353 127 209 135 211 144 219 112 218 29353 27765 127 207 133 209 127 220 117 220 27765 26098 134 207 129 210 117 216 122 221 26098 24344 137 210 119 215 109 213 120 221 24344 22504 128 214 107 216 102 215 116 221 22504 20584 103 215 98 216 100 217 110 222 20584 18585 94 213 92 214 93 218 102 223 18585 16501 87 215 84 217 86 219 96 228 16501 14375 84 218 79 218 83 218 86 235 14375 12345 75 223 74 221 74 223 71 235 12345 10535 60 230 64 232 55 240 54 245 10535 8969 47 241 40 247 26 258 28 270 8969 7594 29 252 27 251 20 261 28 268 7594 6368 18 261 13*264 19*261 26 269 6368 5280 13 292 12*268 18*261 22 271 5280 4318 12*298 11 269 17 261 20 269 4318 3471 12*299 11 270 17 261 19 269 3471 2724 12 299 10 270 16 261 19 270 2724 2058 12 300 10 271 16 261 19 271 2058 1468 12 300 9 271 15 261 18 271 1468 978 12 300 9 271 15 260 17 271 978 602 11 300 8 271 14 260 15 270 602 343 11 299 8 271 13 260 12 269 343 187 10 300 7 271 12 260 10*268 187 97 8 299 6 270 9 260 6*267 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography