DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 57.4 - - 57.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 8 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 582 - - 564 - - 350 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 662 - - 644 - - 430 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 330 - - 709 - - 914 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 145 - - 70 - - 37 - - - W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 233 - - 126 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -857 - - 210 - - 49 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1519 - - 434 - - 381 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6213 - - 37 - - -178 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6875 - - 607 - - 608 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 100 - - 98 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 57.4 - - 57.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 57.5 - - 57.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 55.6 - - 55.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 8 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 582 - - 564 - - 350 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 101 - - 91 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95821 49 263 48 268 49 260 95821 88805 32 268 39 261 39 276 88805 83406 27 276 32 260 36 270 83406 78926 26 276 22 264 26 263 78926 75050 24 278 22 285 21 284 75050 71607 22 294 26 285 24 286 71607 68483 22 288 25 286 24 285 68483 65603 24 289 27 297 23 290 65603 62923 33 292 28 292 31 294 62923 60329 36 284 31 294 37 291 60329 57619 38 286 36 292 36 290 57619 54803 49 292 43 295 54 298 54803 52126 61 287 56 296 64 292 52126 49716 66 279 62 296 63 288 49716 47544 66 276 65 291 57 285 47544 45571 75 275 70 281 57 282 45571 43762 74 276 65 271 55 281 43762 42083 70 287 60 272 56 285 42083 40514 81 295 62 284 66 287 40514 39048 91 289 75 287 73 277 39048 37676 89 286 68 280 74 269 37676 36351 84 288 60 276 70 268 36351 35001 63 282 59 275 68 266 35001 33592 58 277 60 272 61 259 33592 32124 58 276 58 270 61 260 32124 30582 58 273 58 267 61 264 30582 28953 56 273 60 265 64 270 28953 27239 54 270 57 266 60 275 27239 25436 47 257 54 267 50 275 25436 23549 46 258 45 263 46 281 23549 21585 42 261 41 261 43 276 21585 19543 34 266 34 252 34 259 19543 17416 30 269 30 253 31 252 17416 15250 30 267 27 245 27 265 15250 13167 32 277 22 249 23 271 13167 11276 26 274 17 270 21 272 11276 9595 18 251 17 270 21 270 9595 8104 20 239 13 261 20 270 8104 6780 18 233 14 223 15 266 6780 5605 17 234 21 209 13 258 5605 4568 18 235 23 210 14 257 4568 3659 16 235 22 220 13 253 3659 2862 17 232 17 225 11 251 2862 2154 19 236 13 231 8 270 2154 1533 19 239 11 238 6 293 1533 1018 15*235 9*241 3 298 1018 625 9*227 6*237 1*264 625 356 6 229 5 233 1*136 356 192 5 229 4 231 1 127 192 98 4 229 3 230 1 116 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography