DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 48.7 - - 47.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 103 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 713 - - 1490 - - 1000 - - 299 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 793 - - 1570 - - 1080 - - 379 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 818 - - 775 - - 1336 - - 819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 223 - - 91 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 038 - - 067 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -950 - - 59 - - 17 - - -667 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1743 - - 1511 - - 1063 - - 1046 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7227 - - -6252 - - -515 - - -7548 ODpotential blCL - - - 8020 - - 7822 - - 1595 - - 7927 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 10 - - 50 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 48.7 - - 47.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 42.6 - - 43.3 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 48.2 - - 47.4 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 41.4 - - 42.6 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 103 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 713 - - 1490 - - 1000 - - 299 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 99 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96593 10 083 10 139 2 194 10 035 96593 89424 10 124 9 143 14 182 4 154 89424 83882 11 141 13 182 17 184 18 194 83882 79257 7 212 20 191 18 206 20 200 79257 75243 16 203 17 202 18 210 17 227 75243 71691 18 206 17 211 19 219 24 230 71691 68471 19 244 19 244 20 244 23 227 68471 65489 28 227 23 241 24 232 21 250 65489 62712 28 232 30 242 32 237 30 257 62712 60022 35 255 39 232 40 235 36 251 60022 57210 44 258 40 243 45 255 42 252 57210 54286 60 252 56 252 52 251 46 246 54286 51491 63 248 64 252 54 245 49 247 51491 48990 62 248 63 250 57 245 53 251 48990 46769 65 245 64 246 59 242 61 248 46769 44774 64 240 70 239 66 243 65 239 44774 42961 60 240 70 236 73 241 64 235 42961 41295 57 245 67 235 73 238 62 234 41295 39759 62 255 62 243 71 243 64 234 39759 38336 75 256 74 248 76 247 73 234 38336 36996 83 251 85 249 84 243 75 229 36996 35692 86 243 86 245 87 239 68 229 35692 34363 82 241 94 238 96 236 68 235 34363 32984 75 240 106 235 98 230 74 234 32984 31551 77 238 107 232 95 226 76 231 31551 30042 81 236 103 235 93 226 77 229 30042 28445 81 233 89 236 92 228 77 231 28445 26761 79 231 74 231 95 236 66 242 26761 24995 78 231 74 232 88 245 50 245 24995 23151 77 233 71 231 49 249 34 245 23151 21232 71 240 63 226 35 250 27 250 21232 19227 45 257 54 230 36 245 27 252 19227 17129 35 258 50 246 39 246 25 255 17129 14984 34 247 40 254 39 254 24 255 14984 12914 37 245 29 249 36 258 26 243 12914 11037 39 247 26 235 29 250 26 245 11037 9380 40 251 34 242 26 240 17 255 9380 7912 37 247 33 247 25 245 15 238 7912 6610 34 245 29 251 23 247 15 225 6610 5457 23 258 22 256 17 252 11 237 5457 4444 11 268 4 238 7 247 6 227 4444 3558 2 127 9 125 8 160 6 187 3558 2782 8 076 7 085 11 099 12 126 2782 2094 10 066 11*047 13 081 15 101 2094 1490 13 053 11*040 12*078 16 087 1490 989 12*051 11 038 11*071 16 072 989 608 10*049 11 038 9 067 13*062 608 346 9 048 10 037 8 065 9*054 346 188 8 049 9 037 7 063 8 052 188 97 6 048 7 037 5 063 5 047 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography