DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.3 - - 53.2 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2171 - - 1668 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1225 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2251 - - 1748 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 935 - - 606 - - 2126 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 308 - - 173 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 333 - - 344 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1581 - - -534 - - -1210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3832 - - 2282 - - 1308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7213 - - -9038 - - -1300 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9464 - - 10786 - - 1398 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.3 - - 53.2 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.0 - - 43.8 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.2 - - 53.0 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.6 - - 43.6 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2171 - - 1668 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 58 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95984 60 254 67 259 60 258 95984 88986 49 267 50 270 49 266 88986 83610 40 270 41 274 42 277 83610 79122 33 279 33 276 33 286 79122 75213 30 287 28 284 25 285 75213 71719 29 287 30 286 27 283 71719 68549 24 280 26 283 28 283 68549 65644 24 279 18 282 20 286 65644 62946 26 285 24 291 26 299 62946 60329 33 290 32 291 35 296 60329 57595 36 277 37 284 40 289 57595 54746 37 274 41 277 49 282 54746 52031 47 284 48 277 56 282 52031 49600 56 287 55 283 64 283 49600 47429 61 290 59 293 68 290 47429 45455 67 291 73 297 73 295 45455 43641 75 293 86 290 76 291 43641 41967 78 295 88 288 78 295 41967 40414 81 296 89 292 87 300 40414 38957 87 297 94 296 99 301 38957 37582 88 296 100 297 108 298 37582 36248 87 294 106 297 109 297 36248 34890 82 293 97 295 97 299 34890 33480 76 292 82 294 79 302 33480 32024 75 293 72 295 64 300 32024 30501 76 292 70 296 63 299 30501 28893 77 291 71 295 57 298 28893 27196 74 291 69 296 51 297 27196 25410 58 291 62 301 50 298 25410 23535 49 287 56 302 47 303 23535 21574 45 283 46 296 44 304 21574 19523 42 283 38 291 38 302 19523 17382 41 287 35 288 35 297 17382 15197 39 286 31 290 33 293 15197 13090 37 278 27 289 26 292 13090 11176 36 269 25 285 21 295 11176 9487 35 262 24 285 19 294 9487 7995 32 267 23 285 17 290 7995 6675 28 278 24 286 17 294 6675 5508 26 285 23 293 18 302 5508 4479 23 290 19 304 17 311 4479 3578 16 307 13 315 18 326 3578 2792 13*327 9 322 16 351 2792 2101 12*331 11*338 18 359 2101 1498 12 333 12*343 17 358 1498 997 12 334 12 344 16 356 997 613 12 334 12 344 15 355 613 349 11 335 12 345 13 354 349 189 10 335 10 345 11*353 189 98 8 335 8 345 7*352 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography