DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 68.6 - - 66.5 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 185 - - 10 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1564 - - 2308 - - 2309 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1298 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1644 - - 2388 - - 2389 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 655 - - 802 - - 929 - - 1516 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 308 - - 134 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 354 - - 358 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2378 - - -3797 - - -2688 - - -2231 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4022 - - 6185 - - 5078 - - 2330 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12886 - - -12747 - - -11208 - - -10290 ODpotential blCL - - - 14530 - - 15135 - - 13597 - - 10388 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 46 - - 57 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 68.6 - - 66.5 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 42.3 - - 45.0 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 67.7 - - 66.6 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 41.2 - - 44.4 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 185 - - 10 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1564 - - 2308 - - 2309 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97483 13 260 12 254 22 272 13 271 97483 90223 9 289 9 276 14 270 16 276 90223 84646 5 224 9 281 6 273 13 279 84646 80011 6 278 4 270 5 274 13 296 80011 76009 9 271 4 247 10 286 12 304 76009 72477 11 268 6 306 12 308 9 332 72477 69282 13 270 10 291 16 287 16 316 69282 66353 5 291 9 282 13 271 17 301 66353 63647 10 318 10 301 10 293 14 301 63647 61034 18 289 14 303 13 309 15 303 61034 58312 11 268 12 309 13 304 15 298 58312 55485 6 317 14 308 14 297 16 303 55485 52774 13 304 17 300 20 295 19 297 52774 50326 15 293 19 292 23 294 22 292 50326 48122 13 287 20 294 21 300 21 293 48122 46104 14 284 19 299 20 306 20 300 46104 44237 17 280 18 295 22 307 21 307 44237 42501 18 273 19 290 22 308 20 310 42501 40881 17 259 20 285 18 299 18 307 40881 39365 14 245 19 278 15 287 14 295 39365 37940 15 226 17 258 15 275 13 281 37940 36567 17 208 17 241 17 273 12 270 36567 35180 15 210 16 232 16 278 13 272 35180 33750 14 224 16 220 16 283 13 270 33750 32272 11 229 14 229 16 281 12 279 32272 30726 10 231 12 270 12 274 14 285 30726 29097 11 251 16 287 11 298 13 290 29097 27387 10 293 17 291 16 305 14 316 27387 25592 19 326 17 301 17 311 15 321 25592 23716 24 336 16 315 17 320 16 335 23716 21758 24 336 16 325 17 323 17 339 21758 19707 22 339 15 343 13 340 15 338 19707 17553 19 345 12 338 12 330 14 348 17553 15346 14 351 12 342 12 341 13 355 15346 13221 16 001 16 357 13 001 12 000 13221 11300 19 007 17 008 15 357 15 005 11300 9601 26 024 20 016 16 003 16 013 9601 8096 32 022 26 018 19 015 18 017 8096 6766 35 019 30 011 25 018 22 021 6766 5593 36 019 31 006 29 013 24 020 5593 4561 36 022 29 008 29 011 25 019 4561 3658 34 026 28 012 27 009 27 018 3658 2866 33 023 26*009 25*003 30 014 2866 2162 30*017 19*356 22*358 31 010 2162 1542 24*010 19 354 21 358 29 008 1542 1024 20 004 19 353 20 358 27 004 1024 628 19 002 18 353 19 358 23 000 628 357 17 001 17 353 17 358 17 356 357 192 15 001 15 352 15 358 13 355 192 98 11 360 11 352 10 358 7*352 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography