DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.3 - - 28.2 - - 30.4 - - 27.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 42 - - 14 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 1725 - - 3420 - - 4150 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 - - 1014 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1735 - - 1805 - - 3500 - - 4230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 719 - - 853 - - 619 - - 916 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 148 - - 174 - - 166 - - 229 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 20 - - 27 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 318 - - 299 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 666 - - -49 - - 1318 - - 1896 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1069 - - 1854 - - 2182 - - 2334 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 298 - - -19000 - - 461 - - 933 ODpotential blCL - - - 1437 - - 20805 - - 3039 - - 3297 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.3 - - 28.2 - - 30.4 - - 27.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 20.7 - - 21.4 - - 18.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 28.2 - - 30.6 - - 27.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 19.5 - - 20.2 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 42 - - 14 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 1725 - - 3420 - - 4150 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 97 - - 95 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96373 90 225 83 241 82 237 94 230 96373 89153 96 234 97 236 91 241 90 241 89153 83615 88 247 91 242 88 239 86 249 83615 78992 63 252 68 251 69 243 70 245 78992 75003 50 250 55 255 58 248 60 236 75003 71484 42 245 47 248 54 241 56 238 71484 68320 41 242 49 235 54 236 56 242 68320 65423 41 253 49 220 59 230 61 241 65423 62736 49 254 52 224 61 232 63 236 62736 60139 57 237 61 236 65 239 66 241 60139 57420 61 227 70 235 75 242 78 246 57420 54570 74 242 82 237 92 239 97 242 54570 51817 91 247 102 239 106 236 108 237 51817 49311 109 238 114 235 111 235 114 237 49311 47050 121 234 119 232 120 239 121 238 47050 44993 130 235 123 237 135 241 131 237 44993 43106 140 238 138 242 151 242 143 239 43106 41362 149 240 154 245 163 244 156 242 41362 39740 159 242 169 247 174 247 169 245 39740 38221 169 245 180 248 181 248 178 247 38221 36794 168 245 178 247 178 248 180 246 36794 35418 163 243 169 244 170 245 177 244 35418 34024 158 239 162 240 162 240 174 241 34024 32583 153 235 159 236 156 235 169 235 32583 31094 147 233 155 236 154 233 164 234 31094 29538 142 233 150 236 151 232 162 235 29538 27899 137 231 149 237 150 231 162 235 27899 26174 134 230 143 237 147 232 160 235 26174 24366 131 227 134 233 143 234 154 234 24366 22481 131 226 128 231 138 235 148 232 22481 20521 128 225 123 234 135 234 145 230 20521 18475 125 225 116 234 126 235 142 231 18475 16353 121 225 110 232 111 234 125 235 16353 14233 103 228 98 239 100 235 95 238 14233 12235 83 229 75 242 78 240 71 242 12235 10435 75 232 68 232 62 244 64 251 10435 8843 66 238 66 241 56 251 54 260 8843 7441 51 240 55 251 48 261 41 267 7441 6213 43 242 46 256 37 277 27 282 6213 5141 34 260 31 268 29 287 26*287 5141 4202 19 281 25 282 25*296 29*294 4202 3379 11 310 26 306 23*298 29 295 3379 2653 21 338 26 314 22 299 29 297 2653 2004 20*345 24*315 21 299 28 298 2004 1431 19*346 19*318 21 300 27 299 1431 954 18 346 18 318 20 300 26 299 954 588 17 346 17 318 19 300 24 300 588 336 16 346 15 318 17 300 21 300 336 183 13 346 13 319 14 300 18 300 183 96 10 345 9 318 10 299 13 300 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography