DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1004z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.9 - - 73.2 - - 78.2 - - 77.6 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 30 - - 101 - - 37 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 487 - - 1110 - - 2409 - - 1543 - - 1 BL Depth Hcrit 64 - - 65 - - 1102 - - 65 - - 65 Hcrit BL Top 567 - - 1190 - - 2489 - - 1623 - - 81 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 894 - - 1556 - - 2341 - - 3342 - - 3007 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 137 - - 265 - - 167 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 343 - - 064 - - 048 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 107 - - 287 - - 904 - - 414 - - -411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 461 - - 903 - - 1585 - - 1209 - - 492 sfcLCL ODpotential -143 - - 213 - - 631 - - -407 - - -1859 ODpotential blCL 710 - - 977 - - 1858 - - 2030 - - 1940 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 95 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 270 - - 300 - - 990 - - 1300 - - 1070 CAPE Temp@2m 69.9 - - 73.2 - - 78.2 - - 77.6 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.1 - - 69.4 - - 71.4 - - 72.4 - - 72.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.0 - - 72.9 - - 77.6 - - 77.4 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.9 - - 69.0 - - 70.6 - - 71.7 - - 71.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 30 - - 101 - - 37 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 487 - - 1110 - - 2409 - - 1543 - - 1 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 92 - - 78 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98358 13 095 13 073 13 106 7 066 13 067 98358 90983 8 121 10 082 13 116 9 122 7 057 90983 85262 8 140 8 136 7 121 8 133 5 044 85262 80489 6 127 9 166 7 171 6 195 2 227 80489 76375 2 196 10 182 9 180 9 231 5 219 76375 72758 4 226 6 203 10 200 10 213 6 241 72758 69511 6 242 6 244 9 221 9 222 6 260 69511 66552 9 256 5 251 7 230 11 239 7 257 66552 63825 12 275 9 296 8 259 13 270 8 277 63825 61192 17 255 14 286 11 267 13 271 12 275 61192 58458 15 264 18 280 18 277 19 287 18 301 58458 55644 25 276 22 271 24 269 26 277 27 295 55644 52976 31 275 27 270 26 262 29 263 31 279 52976 50592 37 271 36 277 35 268 36 263 35 260 50592 48471 42 263 41 269 38 261 40 257 37 250 48471 46546 39 254 39 263 35 256 40 251 39 247 46546 44771 34 252 36 253 35 254 38 251 39 246 44771 43116 35 247 34 248 36 247 38 249 38 247 43116 41560 34 242 34 251 37 242 37 243 36 244 41560 40092 34 248 33 253 37 245 35 245 35 241 40092 38700 33 259 30 256 35 246 32 248 33 241 38700 37345 31 261 26 257 33 238 32 244 30 246 37345 35955 28 259 23 257 30 233 33 238 30 249 35955 34499 28 262 21 256 28 232 31 237 30 245 34499 32984 28 263 20 251 27 235 30 238 30 243 32984 31393 28 249 20 239 26 240 28 240 27 243 31393 29715 29 242 25 238 25 242 26 244 25 243 29715 27951 30 237 29 242 26 241 27 245 25 244 27951 26101 31 231 31 243 27 239 27 240 25 242 26101 24169 31 228 31 242 27 238 25 234 23 238 24169 22160 29 230 29 241 26 237 23 232 20 239 22160 20069 25 234 25 242 25 235 21 236 16 239 20069 17889 21 244 21 243 22 236 18 236 13 235 17889 15663 15 254 16 239 17 236 14 232 10 218 15663 13515 8 241 11 228 13 226 10 230 9 210 13515 11560 7 134 9 174 8 172 7 161 10 178 11560 9830 7 110 7 150 8 129 10 124 10 160 9830 8304 6 058 2 085 6 087 10 126 12 143 8304 6954 3 019 6 123 7 123 9 147 11 134 6954 5759 4 297 8 107 7 113 10 143 9 127 5759 4704 3 234 3 115 7 114 10 132 10 118 4704 3777 3 226 8 145 7 119 10 123 14 122 3777 2959 2 102 8 125 7*113 10 113 17 123 2959 2229 5 079 6 106 6*089 9*104 18 122 2229 1584 6 064 4*072 5 068 8*076 18 121 1584 1046 8 012 6*348 5 058 7 048 18 118 1046 634 8*359 6 344 5 054 7 040 16 112 634 351 7*354 6 341 5 054 6 037 13 106 351 179 6 353 5 342 4 052 6 036 10 101 179 81 4 351 4 340 4 051 4 034 4*089 81 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography