DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 38.2 - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 328 - - 473 - - 220 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 17 - - 2828 - - 5365 - - 6358 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit 80 - - 1874 - - 3968 - - 4382 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top 97 - - 2908 - - 5445 - - 6438 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2895 - - 1045 - - 768 - - 720 - - 5579 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 393 - - 548 - - 450 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 17 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 336 - - 298 - - 289 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3215 - - -2387 - - -1943 - - -2583 - - -6773 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3313 - - 5296 - - 7389 - - 9021 - - 6871 sfcLCL ODpotential -16182 - - -16752 - - -14712 - - -14933 - - -20281 ODpotential blCL 16279 - - 19660 - - 20157 - - 21371 - - 20378 blCL maxRH 51 - - 59 - - 68 - - 54 - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 38.2 - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.4 - - 15.4 - - 12.3 - - 7.6 - - 10.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.2 - - 36.9 - - 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 14.3 - - 11.5 - - 6.6 - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 328 - - 473 - - 220 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 17 - - 2828 - - 5365 - - 6358 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96740 15 271 15 293 19 282 19 267 21 290 96740 89496 7 351 2 021 9 211 19 259 11 304 89496 83937 1 169 3 134 6 146 11 227 8 275 83937 79306 3 343 4 118 9 152 5 188 1 218 79306 75297 11 217 6 201 11 168 5 199 9 220 75297 71760 9 208 12 226 15 179 12 200 18 205 71760 68568 20 265 17 245 19 214 19 205 15 196 68568 65634 29 234 27 242 26 235 25 232 21 236 65634 62942 24 231 31 232 38 226 34 227 32 231 62942 60349 46 251 42 238 45 229 35 239 31 224 60349 57631 65 242 58 239 59 236 52 240 45 226 57631 54804 69 236 65 236 67 235 63 226 60 226 54804 52082 76 245 69 235 68 235 65 224 63 228 52082 49593 86 249 76 243 71 241 66 236 70 240 49593 47335 95 248 94 245 86 243 85 244 91 239 47335 45272 104 244 103 241 101 239 104 241 105 237 45272 43368 107 242 103 238 108 235 112 238 111 239 43368 41600 108 243 104 241 113 237 115 239 118 242 41600 39949 113 246 111 245 120 240 124 243 126 243 39949 38404 122 246 120 247 125 242 136 243 134 243 38404 36956 125 243 128 246 133 244 142 243 142 244 36956 35570 126 241 136 243 140 244 146 245 152 245 35570 34178 128 240 140 241 146 244 150 246 155 244 34178 32748 127 237 138 239 144 241 150 244 150 242 32748 31278 127 235 131 238 136 239 149 242 152 240 31278 29744 127 234 126 237 130 240 142 241 149 238 29744 28131 121 233 122 235 130 241 130 242 134 237 28131 26442 110 234 119 236 123 241 129 244 120 236 26442 24669 106 236 114 238 116 240 119 242 112 240 24669 22810 103 236 110 237 112 238 110 237 105 239 22810 20869 101 232 104 236 109 237 106 232 102 237 20869 18844 99 231 97 236 106 237 103 232 98 238 18844 16728 88 235 90 235 97 237 99 238 92 242 16728 14573 82 235 85 235 86 237 86 243 81 246 14573 12526 80 234 77 237 74 240 66 245 48 250 12526 10694 67 237 64 238 58 242 47 247 31 256 10694 9081 49 238 46 242 47 243 36 252 22 270 9081 7661 41 243 37 244 35 251 26*259 18 272 7661 6412 30 257 23 248 20*248 12*277 15 277 6412 5313 15 265 13 240 10*280 12 281 14 293 5313 4345 7 281 9 274 10 284 12 285 14 304 4345 3493 12 326 14*322 11 294 12 288 15 311 3493 2741 23 342 16*335 11 300 12 292 15 316 2741 2069 28 344 17 336 11 303 12 294 15 320 2069 1476 27 344 17 336 11 306 12 296 15 324 1476 983 26 343 17 337 10 308 11 297 15 327 983 604 23 343 17 337 10 310 11 299 14 329 604 344 18 342 16 337 10 311 11 299 12 331 344 187 15*342 14 337 9 311 10 299 9*333 187 97 10*342 11 337 8 312 8 300 5*334 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography