DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1007z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.3 - - 61.3 - - 60.2 - - 62.3 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 14 - - -12 - - -32 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1414 - - 405 - - 2915 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 60 - - 60 - - 60 - - 60 - - 59 Hcrit BL Top 78 - - 1494 - - 485 - - 2995 - - 77 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1707 - - 862 - - 2401 - - 1765 - - 2036 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 122 - - 52 - - 136 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 18 - - 13 - - 22 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 295 - - 346 - - 340 - - 343 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -278 - - 660 - - -740 - - 490 - - -1565 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 356 - - 834 - - 1225 - - 2505 - - 1642 sfcLCL ODpotential -781 - - 478 - - -1366 - - -1382 - - -3049 ODpotential blCL 859 - - 1016 - - 1851 - - 4377 - - 3126 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 95 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 50 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.3 - - 61.3 - - 60.2 - - 62.3 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.7 - - 57.9 - - 55.1 - - 51.7 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.4 - - 61.3 - - 60.4 - - 62.7 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.6 - - 57.5 - - 54.6 - - 50.5 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 14 - - -12 - - -32 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1414 - - 405 - - 2915 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 100 - - 59 - - 80 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97642 11 275 13 242 12 275 14 242 13 234 97642 90234 9 255 8 221 9 284 5 243 13 281 90234 84518 5 233 5 214 8 277 8 302 10 291 84518 79788 3 351 3 184 8 242 10 281 10 335 79788 75705 7 321 2 287 5 201 9 244 17 320 75705 72090 8 258 9 267 5 175 7 224 13 287 72090 68835 8 231 14 259 8 227 7 253 10 238 68835 65861 10 245 17 234 15 227 15 245 15 228 65861 63115 18 250 20 229 22 229 22 230 26 240 63115 60465 27 233 29 232 31 231 30 224 32 230 60465 57711 34 221 37 227 37 230 34 223 40 231 57711 54879 41 219 44 222 45 230 45 236 45 225 54879 52189 49 220 51 220 53 228 53 231 46 228 52189 49768 57 218 56 218 55 224 52 231 55 234 49768 47598 60 214 58 217 57 226 56 233 61 229 47598 45619 57 209 59 215 63 225 59 228 61 227 45619 43787 53 207 60 214 61 220 59 223 63 231 43787 42081 48 210 61 219 55 222 58 220 68 236 42081 40488 49 230 58 225 55 228 56 225 74 238 40488 38998 57 239 61 235 56 230 61 234 78 239 38998 37597 56 242 64 236 59 227 65 237 80 237 37597 36245 52 242 63 233 64 226 66 234 78 233 36245 34868 50 237 61 232 64 228 67 228 76 226 34868 33431 52 233 55 227 64 226 68 227 77 224 33431 31937 52 228 51 222 63 221 69 228 77 223 31937 30372 51 223 51 223 61 220 71 226 75 223 30372 28724 50 220 50 224 57 220 69 220 72 224 28724 26994 48 220 48 224 51 219 65 222 70 227 26994 25183 42 225 46 225 47 220 61 226 69 228 25183 23294 37 227 44 229 46 223 57 226 66 229 23294 21330 34 234 43 228 46 226 56 226 63 232 21330 19287 28 237 41 229 45 229 54 228 59 236 19287 17164 26 241 36 229 43 231 51 233 54 238 17164 15007 24 240 33 227 42 233 47 238 46 237 15007 12936 26 235 36 228 36 235 45 239 39 232 12936 11055 31 232 39 231 26 220 37 249 35 234 11055 9389 32 232 36 233 21 232 31 244 30 241 9389 7917 31 233 29 231 33 260 29 244 20 271 7917 6619 27 235 21 229 27 264 22 275 16 328 6619 5478 20 235 15 226 16 270 22 326 24 003 5478 4475 11 246 6 245 12 286 23 344 31 358 4475 3594 7 303 11 348 17 003 24*345 32 353 3594 2817 12 331 21 352 24 005 24*344 31 352 2817 2122 17 335 23 352 26 355 24 344 29 356 2122 1508 20 327 23*351 25 348 23 343 26 360 1508 995 19 314 21*347 22 344 22 343 24 001 995 603 15 300 20 346 19*341 21 343 21 001 603 333 11 291 18 346 16*341 18 343 17 000 333 169 9*291 15 345 13 340 15 342 14*359 169 76 6*295 11 345 9 339 11 342 7*358 76 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography