DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.8 - - 53.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 91 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1553 - - 946 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 81 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1633 - - 1026 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 828 - - 1561 - - 1450 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 213 - - 67 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 214 - - 247 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -6630 - - -4077 - - -3506 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8263 - - 5103 - - 3605 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13973 - - -9374 - - -9819 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15606 - - 10400 - - 9917 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.8 - - 53.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 21.1 - - 31.7 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 56.5 - - 53.6 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 20.2 - - 31.4 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 91 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1553 - - 946 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 99 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95922 39 292 32 355 30 005 95922 89101 26 292 28 310 22 335 89101 83719 15 272 23 277 22 302 83719 79186 14 255 24 266 24 282 79186 75259 16 245 22 259 19 268 75259 71767 19 260 21 265 18 277 71767 68566 20 243 21 245 22 268 68566 65595 22 236 24 237 38 237 65595 62827 32 240 34 230 37 238 62827 60141 48 250 50 242 58 239 60141 57354 68 240 71 238 68 230 57354 54465 79 231 78 236 72 236 54465 51701 85 233 90 237 94 242 51701 49216 98 238 104 238 108 239 49216 46995 111 240 115 238 121 239 46995 44982 120 239 123 238 132 239 44982 43138 125 236 130 236 138 235 43138 41439 130 233 136 233 143 232 41439 39861 139 232 141 232 145 231 39861 38389 144 231 140 231 144 233 38389 37012 140 233 139 232 147 236 37012 35684 140 234 141 230 150 235 35684 34330 141 233 142 230 149 233 34330 32919 134 233 140 231 146 232 32919 31456 122 233 133 232 138 233 31456 29926 116 233 121 233 125 232 29926 28321 112 233 113 234 115 232 28321 26639 103 232 106 235 109 232 26639 24875 93 233 92 233 99 232 24875 23032 86 235 83 235 88 231 23032 21111 82 236 78 236 81 232 21111 19105 75 235 74 235 75 233 19105 17014 72 232 68 232 67 227 17014 14891 71 229 61 230 61 222 14891 12851 64 228 60 230 57 219 12851 10997 59 230 56 226 49 217 10997 9351 56 227 52 224 45 221 9351 7891 52 222 48 226 44 228 7891 6598 49 218 45 225 43 223 6598 5459 48 221 45 225 42 221 5459 4454 48 222 45 225 38 221 4454 3571 46 221 42 223 34 226 3571 2795 42 218 37 226 28 238 2795 2105 38*216 32 232 24 251 2105 1498 30*215 26*238 22 260 1498 996 26 214 21*244 18 264 996 612 24 214 18 247 14 268 612 349 21 214 15 248 10 271 349 189 18 214 13 249 9*273 189 98 13 214 9 250 4*275 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography