DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 70.9 - - 71.4 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 179 - - 19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 676 - - 2876 - - 2944 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 1683 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 756 - - 2956 - - 3024 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 752 - - 790 - - 1092 - - 381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 148 - - 326 - - 161 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 92 - - 44 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 303 - - 230 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1012 - - -536 - - -840 - - -1685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1768 - - 3493 - - 3864 - - 1784 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2589 - - -5772 - - -5986 - - -8508 ODpotential blCL - - - 3345 - - 8728 - - 9010 - - 8607 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 85 - - 83 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 70.9 - - 71.4 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 56.2 - - 55.1 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 69.7 - - 71.3 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 55.6 - - 54.7 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 179 - - 19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 676 - - 2876 - - 2944 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 39 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97224 61 246 66 253 67 260 69 261 97224 89924 46 246 46 242 50 263 45 264 89924 84312 34 246 29 255 36 256 34 257 84312 79660 23 242 18 261 25 249 27 255 79660 75655 17 257 12 249 21 243 22 264 75655 72141 18 276 10 269 13 249 15 263 72141 68979 21 280 15 278 12 268 13 274 68979 66077 22 265 17 251 18 270 23 285 66077 63395 20 268 18 256 24 257 27 269 63395 60799 25 271 24 263 23 246 27 265 60799 58090 29 262 33 270 34 271 39 270 58090 55293 39 263 47 271 41 264 48 254 55293 52618 47 269 54 277 44 273 45 250 52618 50185 53 270 62 276 59 276 48 281 50185 47982 52 267 59 270 67 275 79 285 47982 45968 49 263 53 263 60 270 82 274 45968 44109 46 257 47 259 51 256 64 265 44109 42395 45 248 45 257 49 245 55 263 42395 40818 46 248 46 257 46 248 54 264 40818 39354 48 250 45 259 43 254 49 263 39354 37975 47 253 41 261 41 261 43 266 37975 36636 44 259 37 264 38 266 42 270 36636 35267 43 260 36 268 35 269 41 267 35267 33842 41 255 39 268 35 270 37 261 33842 32363 39 254 40 265 36 268 33 260 32363 30815 37 252 38 264 35 266 33 266 30815 29182 36 247 36 263 34 267 34 268 29182 27464 33 243 33 256 35 266 35 268 27464 25662 27 245 30 249 34 257 36 269 25662 23783 24 250 28 246 28 252 34 265 23783 21832 20 266 30 252 24 256 31 256 21832 19794 19 271 26 267 22 262 26 254 19794 17654 15 275 20 276 26 265 22 266 17654 15458 10 263 17 252 24 255 19 269 15458 13336 8 221 15 240 19 255 20 268 13336 11408 6 243 12 224 15 245 19 251 11408 9698 6 266 9 225 13 245 15 251 9698 8183 4 256 7 224 10 239 11 250 8183 6845 4 214 5 225 9 234 11 258 6845 5663 7 178 6 222 8 247 11 261 5663 4622 3 219 6 219 5 258 11 265 4622 3709 3 265 3*214 3*236 8 266 3709 2907 2 206 1*247 2*229 4 241 2907 2193 4 137 1 272 1 226 3 250 2193 1563 5 110 1 302 1 224 2 272 1563 1039 4*050 1 321 0 234 1 320 1039 637 4*024 1 336 0 271 1 031 637 361 4 021 1 336 0 312 2 055 361 194 3 018 1 338 0 350 2 052 194 99 3 017 1 335 0 326 2*039 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography