DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 55.6 - - 54.1 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 132 - - -15 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 997 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 81 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 370 - - 1077 - - 98 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 285 - - 500 - - 1183 - - 939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 205 - - 6 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 194 - - 180 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2684 - - -2212 - - -1971 - - -290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3054 - - 3289 - - 2069 - - 388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12997 - - -4460 - - -4859 - - -2997 ODpotential blCL - - - 13367 - - 5537 - - 4957 - - 3095 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 97 - - 76 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 55.6 - - 54.1 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 41.9 - - 45.7 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.0 - - 54.9 - - 55.4 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 41.8 - - 45.6 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 132 - - -15 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 997 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 89 - - 2 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95779 36 287 23 338 16 335 21 358 95779 88772 18 274 19 296 13 296 23 331 88772 83298 22 262 21 262 20 278 22 287 83298 78728 28 256 26 250 29 279 19 282 78728 74774 29 244 31 246 33 266 25 280 74774 71291 22 240 27 246 31 257 31 277 71291 68125 19 262 24 252 29 251 36 256 68125 65199 26 267 27 249 29 242 30 246 65199 62484 41 258 29 246 25 240 23 245 62484 59843 45 248 36 256 26 256 28 254 59843 57064 45 245 47 254 38 255 38 248 57064 54177 47 248 63 250 68 257 78 259 54177 51449 56 255 73 247 84 252 100 255 51449 49026 65 253 72 246 82 252 95 254 49026 46868 64 252 69 250 82 253 87 252 46868 44922 68 260 72 255 81 252 79 249 44922 43150 73 261 75 256 75 250 71 246 43150 41516 69 259 72 259 71 252 67 246 41516 39991 62 254 72 263 75 255 72 252 39991 38559 54 254 70 256 77 253 85 257 38559 37208 52 259 69 245 75 250 92 258 37208 35901 57 264 70 242 71 249 88 257 35901 34568 62 264 70 242 71 248 83 253 34568 33180 59 260 70 241 69 246 82 249 33180 31739 52 255 67 239 66 241 87 245 31739 30223 49 248 66 239 68 235 94 240 30223 28615 49 247 65 240 73 228 87 234 28615 26920 48 245 64 238 72 229 75 225 26920 25140 48 239 61 235 67 231 64 216 25140 23284 51 235 60 230 63 235 55 228 23284 21354 53 236 59 231 61 235 58 248 21354 19341 50 238 58 237 60 236 57 242 19341 17240 44 237 54 236 59 234 57 236 17240 15096 41 235 50 230 52 230 50 227 15096 13026 40 234 44 236 46 230 48 233 13026 11145 38 228 42 233 43 236 46 241 11145 9477 34 235 37 232 39 244 38 239 9477 8002 34 242 33 236 37 244 39 237 8002 6698 38 231 37 231 36 240 39 231 6698 5544 35 211 36 222 36 232 39 226 5544 4525 32 201 36 217 37 229 39 226 4525 3630 30 195 35 207 36 228 38 226 3630 2842 28 187 34 198 35 218 37 223 2842 2140 25 180 31 192 32 209 35 223 2140 1523 20 172 27*192 28 205 31 227 1523 1011 14 178 16*192 18 199 26 229 1011 620 9*196 12 194 14 196 20 232 620 353 5*214 11 195 11 192 14 233 353 191 4 217 10 195 9 187 12 234 191 98 3 218 8 196 4*180 6*236 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography