DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 72.4 - - 70.5 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 75 - - -25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 813 - - 2899 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 1145 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 893 - - 2979 - - 99 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2590 - - 1865 - - 5218 - - 2382 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 250 - - 19 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 21 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 242 - - 232 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -666 - - 648 - - -1560 - - -285 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1559 - - 2332 - - 1659 - - 384 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1168 - - -49 - - -2583 - - -1096 ODpotential blCL - - - 2061 - - 3028 - - 2682 - - 1195 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 99 - - 75 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 400 - - 680 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 72.4 - - 70.5 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.3 - - 62.3 - - 63.4 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 72.1 - - 71.7 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 61.8 - - 62.9 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 75 - - -25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 813 - - 2899 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 96 - - 0 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96016 52 244 60 252 53 261 43 268 96016 88852 42 243 49 248 50 251 49 266 88852 83416 33 228 39 234 42 249 43 259 83416 78948 31 241 28 222 33 250 34 257 78948 75108 32 247 26 239 29 242 32 250 75108 71706 34 253 30 253 31 238 30 251 71706 68609 38 249 37 253 34 254 31 253 68609 65748 44 238 42 248 38 249 35 253 65748 63090 49 234 47 237 45 248 44 248 63090 60514 50 234 50 245 52 242 49 249 60514 57825 52 243 56 238 52 247 50 246 57825 55004 56 246 53 248 59 255 57 259 55004 52279 57 248 71 256 69 257 80 257 52279 49807 62 246 81 248 78 252 84 251 49807 47570 65 242 73 239 77 246 81 253 47570 45524 63 241 61 235 74 245 79 255 45524 43647 58 243 58 247 72 249 77 255 43647 41921 50 250 65 260 69 256 76 256 41921 40343 63 269 75 264 77 262 79 257 40343 38899 66 270 77 259 79 255 90 253 38899 37551 55 264 68 253 73 244 85 243 37551 36241 51 260 54 248 68 240 78 240 36241 34901 49 257 51 247 64 240 67 237 34901 33504 44 251 50 242 64 242 66 239 33504 32048 45 251 54 241 63 239 67 238 32048 30518 50 250 56 238 59 237 64 237 30518 28903 50 247 54 231 54 239 59 236 28903 27203 48 243 52 229 56 242 55 231 27203 25415 46 238 52 230 54 241 51 226 25415 23542 44 238 49 229 50 234 48 221 23542 21589 43 243 46 228 50 228 46 220 21589 19551 36 246 43 224 46 228 44 222 19551 17426 34 238 40 221 41 232 38 229 17426 15261 40 236 36 227 43 232 33 244 15261 13176 43 231 36 233 45 236 34 257 13176 11283 47 229 41 238 46 244 36 268 11283 9607 47 229 42 248 39 256 33 279 9607 8124 45 231 40 259 33 261 28 285 8124 6805 42 234 37 261 29 266 23 281 6805 5635 38 246 34 258 27 269 19 272 5635 4602 36 253 28 257 26 269 18 262 4602 3696 37 247 25*251 26 266 18 259 3696 2898 35 241 24*248 26 262 19 261 2898 2187 32 235 23 244 25 256 19 258 2187 1559 30 234 21 241 23 249 20 251 1559 1036 27*232 20 239 20 244 19 244 1036 636 24*232 19 238 17 240 17 239 636 361 20 231 18 238 14 236 13 233 361 194 17 231 15 237 11 234 11 230 194 99 12 231 11 236 7*232 6*228 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography