DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.0 - - 92.4 - - 86.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 81 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4972 - - 6017 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3389 - - 3536 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5052 - - 6097 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1665 - - 1507 - - 5987 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 433 - - 338 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 23 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 248 - - 248 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -121 - - -279 - - -4239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5173 - - 6376 - - 4340 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2415 - - -2772 - - -6416 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7467 - - 8869 - - 6517 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 79 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 450 - - 140 - - 490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.0 - - 92.4 - - 86.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.5 - - 64.7 - - 67.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.5 - - 91.8 - - 88.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.5 - - 63.7 - - 67.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 81 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4972 - - 6017 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 7 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99334 43 092 38 086 30 073 99334 91843 38 090 30 090 27 080 91843 86061 30 091 24 085 29 088 86061 81263 22 095 20 079 26 088 81263 77127 18 102 15 084 19 091 77127 73477 15 100 13 099 14 101 73477 70166 10 087 10 107 11 107 70166 67114 5 089 5 111 6 077 67114 64313 2 040 3 157 6 346 64313 61619 8 348 4 024 3 359 61619 58826 16 288 17 300 17 317 58826 55975 17 282 21 276 22 289 55975 53283 25 308 26 300 23 292 53283 50862 31 303 32 306 22 293 50862 48709 42 305 44 308 32 300 48709 46769 49 296 49 303 37 290 46769 44975 44 301 39 297 45 318 44975 43299 44 317 38 298 62 327 43299 41734 54 331 46 326 69 321 41734 40260 63 334 57 333 61 316 40260 38863 66 333 54 328 52 308 38863 37501 65 329 46 317 51 301 37501 36103 61 327 46 310 46 296 36103 34646 51 315 46 309 39 300 34646 33132 42 289 46 315 34 305 33132 31544 43 284 40 310 28 299 31544 29868 42 286 38 290 31 280 29868 28103 38 276 40 279 39 273 28103 26250 32 263 39 269 37 270 26250 24311 24 258 35 272 35 274 24311 22291 21 270 32 277 34 284 22291 20188 26 291 28 290 32 295 20188 17997 32 306 31 299 29 305 17997 15766 31 312 27 302 24 306 15766 13626 27 311 21 309 17 290 13626 11687 23 307 18 307 15 266 11687 9965 21 299 19 297 16 275 9965 8434 20 285 20 294 18 297 8434 7074 18 278 16*282 16 300 7074 5868 13*276 11*256 11 286 5868 4801 6*255 10 254 7 275 4801 3860 5 251 10 251 7 272 3860 3029 4 248 9 247 6 267 3029 2286 3 247 9 245 6 260 2286 1630 3 243 8 243 6 253 1630 1083 2 242 8 241 6 246 1083 664 2 239 7 240 6 238 664 376 2 240 7 239 5 227 376 201 2 239 6 239 4*214 201 101 1 237 5 238 3*199 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography