DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 58.3 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 286 - - 141 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3073 - - 2085 - - 1473 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2010 - - 984 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3153 - - 2165 - - 1553 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 964 - - 468 - - 1065 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 386 - - 268 - - 112 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 018 - - 018 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -373 - - -383 - - 520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3526 - - 2548 - - 1033 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5122 - - -2926 - - 198 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8275 - - 5091 - - 1355 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 58.3 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.4 - - 47.7 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.1 - - 57.6 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.1 - - 47.5 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 286 - - 141 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3073 - - 2085 - - 1473 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98032 11 178 8 270 15 317 98032 90649 2 281 5 240 13 310 90649 84979 4 276 7 267 15 318 84979 80253 3 217 4 263 12 282 80253 76173 2 211 6 217 8 248 76173 72546 13 251 12 255 8 269 72546 69242 11 244 11 259 14 272 69242 66211 17 252 14 260 20 267 66211 63410 22 244 21 257 20 248 63410 60697 25 255 24 251 22 270 60697 57868 31 252 33 267 37 269 57868 54951 41 259 43 261 46 263 54951 52181 49 252 51 262 53 255 52181 49683 51 255 55 261 55 261 49683 47431 63 256 63 262 68 266 47431 45384 84 256 79 259 84 261 45384 43515 105 243 97 252 93 254 43515 41804 104 235 107 244 88 249 41804 40224 89 244 86 251 80 254 40224 38753 94 258 97 258 87 258 38753 37373 103 259 104 254 98 258 37373 36039 103 255 105 247 108 256 36039 34678 99 247 108 241 114 252 34678 33259 96 241 111 240 110 247 33259 31786 93 241 106 241 103 245 31786 30252 87 239 102 242 94 253 30252 28645 81 238 98 240 88 257 28645 26958 76 239 95 244 80 257 26958 25186 73 244 81 253 73 258 25186 23328 65 253 63 252 67 260 23328 21387 55 250 48 244 63 260 21387 19358 50 241 47 249 59 264 19358 17242 48 239 49 252 52 268 17242 15086 50 236 49 251 45 261 15086 13006 43 235 44 249 41 254 13006 11114 32 229 37 241 39 257 11114 9436 28 226 35 237 38 262 9436 7955 25 226 26 237 32 278 7955 6649 20 223 9 265 25 298 6649 5497 8 215 18 313 21 320 5497 4484 9 038 21 324 23 343 4484 3596 17*019 16 345 22 349 3596 2817 19*018 15*015 18 357 2817 2124 20 018 14*018 13*014 2124 1514 20 018 14 018 11*020 1514 1008 20 018 14 018 10 021 1008 620 20 018 14 017 9 019 620 353 19 018 13 017 8 019 353 191 17 018 12 017 7 018 191 98 13 018 9 017 5 018 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography