DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.9 - - 80.9 - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 119 - - 2 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2367 - - 2366 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1162 - - 84 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2447 - - 2446 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3151 - - 5203 - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 276 - - 114 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 251 - - 216 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2382 - - -2889 - - -2596 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4829 - - 5336 - - 2695 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4376 - - -4068 - - -5262 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6823 - - 6514 - - 5361 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 61 - - 81 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.9 - - 80.9 - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.1 - - 57.9 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.1 - - 81.2 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.9 - - 56.9 - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 119 - - 2 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2367 - - 2366 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98118 21 248 25 249 24 246 98118 90759 24 232 24 245 20 244 90759 85014 23 212 22 234 18 264 85014 80233 12 235 21 209 21 248 80233 76126 13 236 13 232 22 226 76126 72511 16 220 19 253 18 246 72511 69262 16 246 22 231 16 247 69262 66285 21 242 22 245 17 266 66285 63529 21 241 28 246 26 258 63529 60862 24 257 28 237 31 258 60862 58111 42 256 38 253 43 265 58111 55308 57 248 55 255 52 259 55308 52642 70 240 66 251 57 250 52642 50222 75 238 72 245 60 247 50222 48047 82 245 83 252 77 256 48047 46090 97 252 106 255 102 258 46090 44306 104 250 120 249 119 254 44306 42648 107 248 137 246 124 248 42648 41086 107 247 131 246 123 241 41086 39607 104 247 117 248 123 237 39607 38199 103 245 102 246 122 242 38199 36826 101 241 98 243 114 250 36826 35426 92 242 99 241 100 249 35426 33974 65 245 94 243 92 249 33974 32475 53 242 66 248 75 251 32475 30919 49 248 52 252 56 249 30919 29287 49 251 50 253 50 249 29287 27572 48 251 49 253 48 253 27572 25768 46 249 47 256 46 256 25768 23878 44 249 45 260 45 256 23878 21906 40 252 43 263 43 260 21906 19848 38 259 39 263 38 262 19848 17701 36 260 37 264 34 262 17701 15505 32 262 37 269 33 265 15505 13382 31 268 36 272 33 269 13382 11452 32 272 34 275 32 275 11452 9745 31 277 31 281 30 279 9745 8242 28 282 25 284 21 268 8242 6912 23 285 18 288 9 265 6912 5732 18 284 14 288 5 286 5732 4686 13 275 10 280 4 324 4686 3765 7 263 8 264 5 344 3765 2952 5*265 7*247 4 003 2952 2226 5*262 6*228 4 033 2226 1585 4 254 6 219 7 052 1585 1053 4 251 6 214 13 055 1053 645 3 246 6 211 15 051 645 365 3 242 5 210 14 047 365 196 3 240 5 208 11 044 196 99 3 240 4 206 6*041 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography