DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 53.9 - - 53.4 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 243 - - 4 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2907 - - 4251 - - 3492 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1704 - - 2830 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2987 - - 4331 - - 3572 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1090 - - 633 - - 1645 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 408 - - 109 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 307 - - 303 - - 298 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4345 - - -4319 - - -5325 - - -5425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7332 - - 8650 - - 8897 - - 5523 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15376 - - -14755 - - -16737 - - -18761 ODpotential blCL - - - 18363 - - 19086 - - 20309 - - 18859 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 54 - - 48 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 53.9 - - 53.4 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.1 - - 16.2 - - 14.8 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 52.8 - - 53.6 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.8 - - 16.0 - - 14.7 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 243 - - 4 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2907 - - 4251 - - 3492 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96239 87 238 90 242 93 246 84 246 96239 89169 65 234 65 242 67 256 60 248 89169 83678 53 247 47 243 47 257 42 255 83678 79090 49 252 35 259 34 250 39 254 79090 75123 40 255 37 254 34 252 39 261 75123 71625 27 246 32 248 39 239 40 266 71625 68473 21 275 24 276 27 241 32 270 68473 65562 33 271 20 274 23 261 30 277 65562 62842 43 268 34 281 35 272 41 278 62842 60208 45 273 47 278 42 276 47 278 60208 57466 50 275 52 276 53 282 54 281 57466 54623 54 270 57 273 64 281 62 282 54623 51904 56 266 58 270 65 278 66 282 51904 49449 55 268 58 269 64 277 74 281 49449 47246 55 274 58 267 65 274 80 280 47246 45247 60 280 61 271 66 274 77 273 45247 43419 68 281 71 280 73 280 70 272 43419 41736 81 282 87 282 80 281 70 278 41736 40180 94 283 96 282 83 278 77 279 40180 38727 103 284 100 283 84 276 78 277 38727 37359 109 286 103 284 90 276 76 276 37359 36032 110 287 105 285 95 276 77 275 36032 34679 108 288 106 287 94 277 80 273 34679 33267 102 289 108 289 93 280 80 273 33267 31798 99 288 109 290 93 284 79 275 31798 30255 96 286 106 290 93 286 76 276 30255 28627 93 284 98 289 92 284 75 278 28627 26914 90 284 88 287 91 285 77 283 26914 25117 85 286 81 285 86 286 79 286 25117 23240 81 286 78 284 79 285 78 287 23240 21289 77 282 75 284 75 283 74 286 21289 19256 73 278 71 284 72 283 66 284 19256 17136 71 275 64 281 66 283 58 282 17136 14970 68 276 59 279 59 283 53 281 14970 12880 67 281 55 282 53 282 47 281 12880 10983 64 287 53 286 49 285 44 284 10983 9307 56 291 50 289 47 292 42 290 9307 7835 49 295 46 294 44 300 40 299 7835 6547 44 301 41 301 38 303 35 301 6547 5419 35 308 34 305 30 299 27 287 5419 4428 24 308 20*301 17*290 21 271 4428 3558 19*299 17*301 16*292 18 279 3558 2790 18*304 17 302 14 295 15 287 2790 2105 17 307 17 302 14 298 12 303 2105 1501 17 308 16 303 13 300 11 322 1501 998 17 308 16 304 12 302 10 338 998 613 16 309 15 304 12 302 9 349 613 349 15 309 14 304 11 303 8 357 349 189 13 309 13 304 9 304 6*004 189 98 10 309 10 304 7 304 4*004 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography