DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 39.2 - - 40.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 17 - - 184 - - 147 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 382 - - 97 - - 264 - - 227 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1448 - - 814 - - 808 - - 738 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 46 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 009 - - 349 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 9 - - -70 - - 27 - - 40 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 373 - - 167 - - 237 - - 187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -91 - - -1339 - - -1604 - - -96 ODpotential blCL - - - 473 - - 1436 - - 1868 - - 323 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 39.2 - - 40.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 39.0 - - 40.3 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 39.7 - - 41.2 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 39.0 - - 40.3 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 17 - - 184 - - 147 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96306 10 303 7 273 8 306 10 294 96306 89137 1 295 6 233 11 270 15 298 89137 83584 4 322 5 238 11 263 14 275 83584 78980 18 265 16 274 16 281 9 277 78980 74999 22 255 20 266 16 281 12 270 74999 71470 23 274 24 277 22 272 22 262 71470 68288 31 282 29 271 26 272 27 266 68288 65369 36 269 32 266 32 274 34 273 65369 62657 32 262 40 265 41 269 39 269 62657 60029 45 266 46 259 49 266 43 269 60029 57288 54 262 54 256 51 263 45 268 57288 54438 67 262 60 260 56 267 53 270 54438 51717 79 257 74 261 69 266 67 264 51717 49273 82 255 90 255 80 261 75 258 49273 47075 93 261 96 254 92 260 82 259 47075 45080 116 255 117 254 115 258 100 262 45080 43267 123 252 136 250 134 254 129 257 43267 41609 134 254 145 247 139 248 146 246 41609 40078 142 255 145 245 136 246 139 250 40078 38649 136 255 145 246 139 253 147 255 38649 37296 125 254 145 247 148 257 147 254 37296 35974 123 256 143 249 148 256 151 256 35974 34623 124 258 139 251 141 253 144 256 34623 33212 123 257 136 251 137 249 133 251 33212 31743 119 253 142 255 137 249 130 247 31743 30199 117 249 130 257 136 250 131 245 30199 28568 113 249 119 248 128 249 130 243 28568 26851 109 248 113 243 121 245 125 240 26851 25047 108 245 108 242 116 243 123 241 25047 23162 106 247 99 243 110 243 118 246 23162 21210 98 251 90 249 101 247 101 256 21210 19183 88 251 83 252 89 254 85 258 19183 17071 83 247 78 250 78 252 73 255 17071 14917 75 242 72 243 71 252 62 252 14917 12844 65 244 67 235 64 250 53 255 12844 10963 45 252 61 241 60 249 49 257 10963 9299 43 236 43 249 48 248 45 255 9299 7835 48 232 34 235 31 247 30 251 7835 6545 44 223 41 236 26 245 20 256 6545 5406 30 202 36 227 23 254 14 275 5406 4406 23 190 24 195 15 235 8 266 4406 3532 17 175 19 130 7 134 3 183 3532 2764 17 114 14 095 13 083 11 085 2764 2081 19 086 14 084 13 072 14 071 2081 1481 17 075 15 076 13 049 15 053 1481 983 14 062 13 069 13 029 15 034 983 604 11*053 11 055 12 006 12 013 604 345 9*045 7 026 10*353 10*003 345 187 7 042 5*015 9*350 8*000 187 97 5 040 4*009 6 348 6 358 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography