DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.0 - - 67.4 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 141 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2568 - - 5491 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1280 - - 3459 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2648 - - 5571 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2305 - - 3916 - - 5783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 280 - - 373 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 344 - - 309 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 867 - - -378 - - -3594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1781 - - 5949 - - 3693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 341 - - -709 - - -4359 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2307 - - 6280 - - 4457 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 94 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 330 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.0 - - 67.4 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.3 - - 41.6 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.5 - - 66.7 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.1 - - 41.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 141 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2568 - - 5491 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 83 - - 78 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98202 5 187 6 246 6 241 98202 90795 2 181 7 241 2 246 90795 85075 4 230 5 257 7 300 85075 80313 6 223 7 258 9 298 80313 76200 12 222 10 236 10 279 76200 72563 13 223 12 204 12 261 72563 69273 14 229 12 226 13 259 69273 66243 13 228 14 224 12 265 66243 63428 11 233 16 229 16 252 63428 60700 9 237 18 240 15 254 60700 57853 15 247 18 246 20 265 57853 54901 10 251 17 241 22 242 54901 52073 27 284 22 273 14 268 52073 49516 42 263 33 267 36 272 49516 47224 43 246 36 259 36 254 47224 45143 38 250 38 261 31 255 45143 43230 46 257 45 265 36 265 43230 41466 56 250 54 258 49 261 41466 39833 54 242 59 249 52 255 39833 38310 47 240 52 249 45 256 38310 36880 46 247 54 255 46 262 36880 35506 51 252 58 255 50 261 35506 34120 56 250 55 255 50 259 34120 32696 59 246 51 259 45 261 32696 31233 59 244 51 262 45 264 31233 29714 57 242 50 260 45 263 29714 28123 54 242 49 256 45 264 28123 26459 52 243 47 252 43 264 26459 24720 50 243 46 249 40 266 24720 22909 49 243 46 248 37 271 22909 21022 47 244 45 252 36 278 21022 19052 44 246 39 258 36 279 19052 16989 38 251 31 263 36 277 16989 14880 28 253 28 267 36 274 14880 12848 21 244 32 268 35 270 12848 11003 20 238 30 258 31 260 11003 9371 18 234 21 241 31 232 9371 7927 17 232 20 241 28 237 7927 6645 13 250 14*255 25 258 6645 5509 11 277 12*278 23 286 5509 4506 12 306 12 294 22 304 4506 3624 15 327 14 307 21 309 3624 2845 17*339 15 312 21 312 2845 2148 17*341 16 314 20 315 2148 1533 17 342 16 316 20 317 1533 1020 17 344 16 316 18 319 1020 627 16 346 16 317 17 320 627 356 15 346 15 317 14 321 356 192 14 347 14 317 11 321 192 98 10 348 11 318 7*321 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography