DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.1 - - 54.5 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1631 - - 1560 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1711 - - 1640 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 677 - - 865 - - 1833 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 195 - - 118 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 352 - - 014 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1163 - - -1294 - - -1516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2874 - - 2934 - - 1614 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11656 - - -11045 - - -10453 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13367 - - 12685 - - 10551 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.1 - - 54.5 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.1 - - 42.3 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.7 - - 54.4 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.9 - - 42.1 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1631 - - 1560 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95844 58 265 52 265 51 249 95844 88841 43 265 43 267 37 267 88841 83429 33 266 38 266 39 278 83429 78921 30 274 40 266 39 281 78921 75039 29 276 32 272 30 287 75039 71597 24 279 24 283 25 287 71597 68455 21 287 23 288 28 284 68455 65555 27 291 28 281 26 282 65555 62864 29 288 28 284 32 288 62864 60259 33 284 30 288 40 286 60259 57542 38 287 41 282 46 277 57542 54715 50 289 50 283 49 285 54715 52022 63 291 65 294 70 289 52022 49624 72 290 89 284 84 275 49624 47495 83 286 88 273 76 269 47495 45559 89 277 79 271 67 277 45559 43769 78 274 73 283 77 290 43769 42109 68 282 86 296 93 293 42109 40565 67 295 100 299 100 292 40565 39117 88 303 102 297 102 289 39117 37752 96 302 102 296 98 286 37752 36428 94 300 105 295 92 281 36428 35074 91 298 106 295 90 279 35074 33660 85 292 102 296 94 283 33660 32185 81 284 100 299 93 289 32185 30636 74 276 86 298 88 292 30636 28999 66 275 66 287 78 289 28999 27274 62 275 60 279 67 281 27274 25462 60 279 54 282 65 279 25462 23567 59 285 49 282 55 276 23567 21593 53 284 44 280 47 275 21593 19536 44 279 43 283 46 277 19536 17390 38 279 45 285 47 281 17390 15205 35 280 39 278 51 283 15205 13103 31 278 34 277 54 286 13103 11193 27 281 30 284 44 282 11193 9501 23 279 27 286 32 283 9501 8003 16 272 23 278 31 285 8003 6680 15 272 22 272 27 279 6680 5516 18 268 21 267 22 272 5516 4497 17 271 17 267 20 266 4497 3602 14 279 14 272 16 266 3602 2815 8 316 8 271 11 246 2815 2118 4*345 3*334 6 203 2118 1509 3*351 3*005 4 126 1509 1004 3 352 3 012 5 102 1004 617 3 353 3 017 6 095 617 351 3 352 3 020 6 094 351 190 3 353 2 020 5*094 190 98 2 351 2 021 3*094 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography