DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.9 - - 35.3 - - 37.1 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 265 - - 80 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1503 - - 2863 - - 2694 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 491 - - 1824 - - 961 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1583 - - 2943 - - 2774 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 706 - - 943 - - 1210 - - 661 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 367 - - 242 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 12 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 333 - - 297 - - 269 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2278 - - -1522 - - -1334 - - -1662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3861 - - 4465 - - 4108 - - 1758 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9753 - - -5802 - - -5520 - - -7525 ODpotential blCL - - - 11336 - - 8745 - - 8294 - - 7621 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 70 - - 71 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.9 - - 35.3 - - 37.1 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.6 - - 16.2 - - 19.6 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.3 - - 34.1 - - 36.7 - - 30.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.0 - - 15.5 - - 19.3 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 265 - - 80 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1503 - - 2863 - - 2694 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96465 51 202 28 216 33 219 34 236 96465 89206 59 227 38 226 40 238 36 222 89206 83561 38 236 37 216 43 227 50 234 83561 78864 35 247 39 236 46 231 52 246 78864 74833 40 244 36 243 46 248 48 256 74833 71286 41 250 37 256 40 253 38 251 71286 68062 47 258 39 251 31 256 36 271 68062 65090 48 253 38 251 41 268 42 277 65090 62342 45 245 37 261 48 274 48 278 62342 59678 44 257 47 277 53 276 51 276 59678 56879 53 267 57 276 56 274 50 276 56879 53950 58 267 58 267 56 272 55 280 53950 51137 56 264 55 261 56 273 61 282 51137 48598 52 260 50 262 54 273 67 283 48598 46319 47 262 49 267 52 278 72 286 46319 44245 44 271 50 272 54 285 77 287 44245 42341 46 278 52 278 58 289 76 286 42341 40582 50 279 55 282 61 292 72 286 40582 38952 51 279 56 284 62 296 67 291 38952 37437 49 280 58 289 65 299 69 298 37437 36029 47 283 59 291 67 300 76 299 36029 34687 49 290 59 294 68 300 81 300 34687 33340 49 305 59 299 63 298 84 303 33340 31957 54 319 61 305 52 295 85 308 31957 30534 61 322 64 308 47 288 89 311 30534 29048 60 319 64 311 46 288 90 311 29048 27482 55 315 62 312 47 290 87 309 27482 25838 49 313 59 314 46 291 80 308 25838 24114 45 314 59 316 43 293 69 306 24114 22316 44 315 54 322 39 296 57 301 22316 20450 42 312 44 321 36 301 43 289 20450 18511 41 309 36 316 33 303 34 279 18511 16489 38 306 33 312 30 304 31 277 16489 14423 34 307 31 310 26 307 27 276 14423 12435 31 306 31 311 24 307 21 284 12435 10634 31 307 30 314 25 306 20 291 10634 9037 31 308 29 312 26 304 19 293 9037 7624 30 307 27 305 26 304 20 294 7624 6373 26 313 24 302 24 295 19 292 6373 5267 24 322 21 303 24 282 21 291 5267 4295 22 327 18 307 20 282 22 282 4295 3446 22 336 14*307 16*283 21 269 3446 2700 24 342 13*299 11*273 19 266 2700 2036 23*341 12 298 10 271 15 266 2036 1451 17*335 12 297 10 269 10 264 1451 966 15 333 12 296 10 268 9 247 966 594 14 332 11 296 9 266 9 229 594 338 13 332 11 296 9 265 9 218 338 184 12 332 10 296 8 264 8 212 184 96 9 331 8 295 6 264 4*206 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography