DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.6 - - 59.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2207 - - 1443 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1057 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2287 - - 1523 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 787 - - 2431 - - 172 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 271 - - 60 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 243 - - 261 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -939 - - -1390 - - -513 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3226 - - 2913 - - 611 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4479 - - -3118 - - -3615 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6766 - - 4641 - - 3713 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 74 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.6 - - 59.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.9 - - 47.6 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.9 - - 60.6 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.0 - - 47.3 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2207 - - 1443 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96093 46 256 44 257 43 250 96093 89011 28 263 34 266 30 269 89011 83551 18 266 25 266 22 281 83551 79004 19 272 17 271 22 271 79004 75076 13 264 20 267 18 267 75076 71598 15 270 18 280 20 274 71598 68453 20 269 22 267 22 275 68453 65564 27 265 23 259 26 273 65564 62865 34 267 30 272 30 270 62865 60227 41 272 40 273 40 277 60227 57473 46 269 42 268 45 275 57473 54613 46 265 41 266 46 277 54613 51872 44 269 43 273 48 280 51872 49397 44 273 50 279 55 281 49397 47175 44 272 59 278 60 278 47175 45155 51 275 67 275 62 277 45155 43306 54 277 69 274 64 281 43306 41605 67 278 67 276 69 289 41605 40035 72 269 64 276 76 295 40035 38580 67 278 67 289 83 296 38580 37228 73 290 79 297 82 293 37228 35926 79 294 84 296 80 293 35926 34598 83 296 82 296 82 297 34598 33210 89 299 81 297 84 297 33210 31765 94 301 82 296 86 295 31765 30247 93 301 84 295 86 296 30247 28643 89 299 84 295 84 296 28643 26953 84 298 81 294 81 294 26953 25178 76 295 78 291 78 291 25178 23319 67 289 75 289 74 288 23319 21380 61 279 68 288 68 286 21380 19356 57 268 60 282 62 285 19356 17243 55 272 59 276 59 287 17243 15082 51 280 60 279 57 289 15082 13001 47 290 55 287 52 290 13001 11115 39 295 45 291 40 289 11115 9448 32 294 37 291 30 287 9448 7975 32 295 34 293 29 296 7975 6673 33 298 33 296 29 303 6673 5525 29 297 32 296 27 304 5525 4515 20 291 30 291 26 304 4515 3628 16 275 25 282 26 305 3628 2845 16*265 20 271 25 311 2845 2145 12*251 16 262 22 308 2145 1528 10 243 15*261 18 292 1528 1015 9 242 14*261 14 282 1015 623 9 241 12 261 10 277 623 354 8 240 11 261 8 277 354 191 7 240 9 261 5 277 191 98 6 240 6 261 3*271 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography