DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.1 - - 45.9 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -2 - - -28 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2218 - - 4699 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 81 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2298 - - 4779 - - 194 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2153 - - 4604 - - 4906 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 99 - - 135 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 33 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 305 - - 283 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 21 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -330 - - 1110 - - -3930 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2628 - - 3670 - - 4124 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2041 - - 14 - - -5125 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4339 - - 4765 - - 5319 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 90 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.1 - - 45.9 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 30.3 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.6 - - 46.7 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.8 - - 29.4 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -2 - - -28 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2218 - - 4699 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95678 74 250 90 260 92 255 95678 88654 61 257 59 254 65 258 88654 83307 47 251 44 252 37 259 83307 78830 29 246 31 235 33 263 78830 74929 20 265 20 228 33 251 74929 71462 25 247 35 247 32 259 71462 68300 32 236 39 240 41 260 68300 65374 39 234 45 241 54 245 65374 62673 43 224 49 237 54 240 62673 60056 41 235 49 246 59 244 60056 57294 58 249 58 251 73 243 57294 54402 77 252 79 247 77 246 54402 51619 99 243 93 244 86 253 51619 49102 113 234 102 244 102 250 49102 46846 115 230 108 242 109 243 46846 44800 117 234 112 239 108 243 44800 42936 129 240 114 239 113 246 42936 41235 139 241 127 240 117 245 41235 39667 145 237 140 238 110 242 39667 38199 151 232 139 236 98 242 38199 36807 154 231 130 236 88 250 36807 35457 154 228 121 239 95 264 35457 34086 151 226 121 243 118 267 34086 32666 150 227 126 248 136 262 32666 31195 152 233 134 249 138 256 31195 29656 149 234 139 247 135 254 29656 28039 146 226 144 244 128 258 28039 26338 146 223 148 240 116 262 26338 24553 133 223 146 237 102 263 24553 22687 124 224 135 235 93 263 22687 20746 124 223 120 238 87 267 20746 18721 122 221 110 242 81 272 18721 16608 117 220 93 241 76 279 16608 14464 107 217 80 241 72 286 14464 12428 89 215 67 242 64 292 12428 10609 68 219 46 246 56 301 10609 9014 50 225 37 260 46 306 9014 7610 40 231 36 271 36 306 7610 6371 35 239 36 279 34 310 6371 5277 26 253 36*282 38 313 5277 4313 25 265 36*282 39 311 4313 3466 23 288 36 283 38 308 3466 2720 21*295 36 283 35 307 2720 2054 19*302 35 283 32 305 2054 1465 18 304 34 283 29 304 1465 976 17 306 32 283 25 303 976 600 15 307 30 283 22 302 600 342 13 307 26 283 18*302 342 186 11 307 21 283 15*302 186 97 8 307 15 283 10 302 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography