DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.1 - - 94.4 - - 87.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 417 - - 212 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6231 - - 7121 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4615 - - 4966 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6311 - - 7201 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2544 - - 2957 - - 6244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 556 - - 466 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 218 - - 207 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1965 - - -1421 - - -5659 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8277 - - 8622 - - 5761 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3482 - - -3145 - - -8261 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9793 - - 10346 - - 8362 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 61 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 460 - - 380 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.1 - - 94.4 - - 87.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.1 - - 57.0 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 91.8 - - 93.3 - - 88.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.6 - - 56.5 - - 62.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 417 - - 212 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6231 - - 7121 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98185 10 144 4 202 10 019 98185 90738 5 058 3 065 5 027 90738 85059 9 042 7 061 6 032 85059 80350 9 084 9 022 11 052 80350 76281 11 108 7 023 9 050 76281 72700 10 103 7 128 6 359 72700 69473 6 056 11 115 7 316 69473 66493 9 027 9 064 4 292 66493 63738 10 040 10 023 6 111 63738 61106 8 048 10 010 10 092 61106 58380 5 359 7 356 7 034 58380 55543 7 301 5 326 9 316 55543 52831 6 259 10 279 12 277 52831 50388 6 254 11 233 16 260 50388 48199 7 247 8 245 17 261 48199 46212 7 210 10 258 13 269 46212 44397 2 228 7 207 14 244 44397 42731 10 262 7 220 5 241 42731 41185 14 241 6 263 9 001 41185 39731 18 215 10 254 14 340 39731 38351 22 205 18 231 13 330 38351 37008 25 198 23 213 5 281 37008 35638 24 193 24 205 14 223 35638 34208 23 190 23 203 20 213 34208 32720 24 193 21 206 19 209 32720 31158 24 198 21 212 18 209 31158 29509 21 198 22 216 17 219 29509 27774 15 197 19 211 14 216 27774 25954 10 203 13 201 11 211 25954 24053 8 202 10 197 10 214 24053 22073 9 202 10 207 8 215 22073 20008 9 197 10 216 7 223 20008 17858 10 193 10 227 7 260 17858 15667 9 197 9 233 6 273 15667 13559 7 215 6 246 3 293 13559 11641 7 204 5 228 3 282 11641 9932 8 200 6 212 3 238 9932 8411 9 234 8*231 6 258 8411 7057 10*242 10*226 9 251 7057 5854 10*232 10 222 12 239 5854 4788 11 227 11 216 13 227 4788 3848 11 223 12 207 15 207 3848 3019 12 218 12 203 18 196 3019 2278 12 215 13 199 19 190 2278 1624 12 212 13 197 19 186 1624 1079 12 211 13 195 19 183 1079 662 11 209 12 193 18 180 662 375 11 208 12 193 15 178 375 200 10 208 11 192 12*177 200 101 9 208 9 192 8*175 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography