DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.4 - - 61.4 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -34 - - -32 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 18 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 98 - - 99 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1212 - - 1618 - - 1337 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 235 - - 263 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1069 - - -1414 - - -623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1167 - - 1513 - - 721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6161 - - -3505 - - -3280 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6259 - - 3604 - - 3378 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 72 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.4 - - 61.4 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.7 - - 55.2 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 56.0 - - 63.3 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.4 - - 54.7 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -34 - - -32 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 18 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 37 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95667 80 245 81 244 77 248 95667 88532 61 245 62 249 64 256 88532 83045 50 249 49 252 51 252 83045 78491 38 258 39 269 43 257 78491 74586 37 268 42 279 39 263 74586 71150 37 273 39 275 38 277 71150 68031 36 275 40 285 49 291 68031 65155 46 293 52 288 56 291 65155 62475 52 293 56 293 60 297 62475 59877 61 304 64 303 68 305 59877 57166 79 306 76 307 79 310 57166 54335 92 298 86 300 87 305 54335 51623 90 293 87 296 94 307 51623 49190 84 304 89 304 98 308 49190 47017 94 314 91 314 108 313 47017 45053 107 317 107 319 113 317 45053 43268 113 316 121 318 117 322 43268 41634 116 315 125 318 120 325 41634 40122 112 313 121 318 122 323 40122 38705 106 311 114 319 121 320 38705 37363 101 310 109 319 116 318 37363 36056 97 310 102 316 111 320 36056 34718 96 311 98 315 106 320 34718 33322 96 311 95 317 98 317 33322 31871 96 310 88 314 88 315 31871 30348 93 309 83 313 80 318 30348 28740 89 308 81 313 75 316 28740 27047 87 308 80 307 75 311 27047 25269 86 309 81 302 71 307 25269 23407 78 312 79 303 66 303 23407 21464 66 312 71 308 62 302 21464 19436 54 307 63 312 57 303 19436 17317 46 301 56 309 50 308 17317 15154 39 295 52 305 45 310 15154 13072 40 294 47 302 40 307 13072 11182 43 292 42 303 35 302 11182 9508 47 290 38 301 31 299 9508 8026 49 294 38 300 29 301 8026 6715 48 297 39 303 29 303 6715 5556 44 298 40 303 29 303 5556 4533 42 294 38 300 27 305 4533 3637 41 280 35 297 23 312 3637 2848 39 264 32 292 19 324 2848 2146 37 251 29 278 20 347 2146 1529 31 246 25 269 24 001 1529 1016 23 239 22 266 26 007 1016 624 20 238 18 264 24 009 624 354 16 238 14 263 20 010 354 191 12*237 11*263 17 011 191 98 6*235 5*263 8*011 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography