DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 88.5 - - 91.4 - - 85.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 168 - - 138 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2001 - - 4861 - - 6116 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 966 - - 3155 - - 3949 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2081 - - 4941 - - 6196 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2069 - - 2237 - - 2456 - - 7248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 391 - - 391 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 298 - - 305 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 145 - - 353 - - 173 - - -3127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1936 - - 4588 - - 6023 - - 3228 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -526 - - -632 - - -362 - - -4397 ODpotential blCL - - - 2607 - - 5573 - - 6558 - - 4498 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 85 - - 88 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 1030 - - 640 - - 350 - - 1210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 88.5 - - 91.4 - - 85.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 68.5 - - 65.2 - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 87.5 - - 90.5 - - 86.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 67.6 - - 64.6 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 168 - - 138 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2001 - - 4861 - - 6116 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 42 - - 51 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99188 43 088 41 085 37 074 34 079 99188 91667 32 087 30 079 31 071 35 069 91667 85893 24 076 21 077 28 074 32 065 85893 81130 20 068 18 085 21 076 21 069 81130 77036 17 068 17 089 17 090 13 089 77036 73410 15 072 16 082 14 097 10 094 73410 70115 12 082 10 056 12 069 12 079 70115 67086 10 075 6 055 8 051 10 078 67086 64293 9 051 6 054 6 078 6 078 64293 61618 6 031 5 046 2 027 3 004 61618 58853 13 336 7 352 7 331 8 335 58853 56002 20 283 14 297 16 292 21 298 56002 53309 20 268 19 270 26 276 31 279 53309 50898 27 289 26 277 33 279 32 269 50898 48733 33 287 30 271 34 274 33 271 48733 46763 32 288 30 260 36 273 39 271 46763 44950 31 289 29 268 37 271 42 275 44950 43263 29 273 36 281 38 274 43 271 43263 41685 32 267 39 275 38 266 46 263 41685 40199 29 258 36 251 38 255 46 257 40199 38786 29 254 33 240 38 258 44 250 38786 37409 27 259 31 245 37 255 46 256 37409 36000 26 268 33 267 34 250 44 251 36000 34531 28 273 31 278 28 250 41 247 34531 33006 32 282 28 280 26 244 41 252 33006 31415 35 293 24 278 26 238 42 259 31415 29739 28 284 25 283 27 252 37 264 29739 27975 25 274 22 268 29 264 34 274 27975 26123 24 271 25 254 32 270 36 280 26123 24187 25 275 25 267 36 270 37 282 24187 22172 23 274 25 273 35 270 36 279 22172 20075 24 268 25 275 28 269 33 270 20075 17891 28 270 24 278 23 269 29 256 17891 15670 27 274 22 286 18 274 20 249 15670 13538 22 274 21 291 14 284 15 249 13538 11607 19 278 20 287 17 288 14 274 11607 9895 18 287 16 279 21 283 13 302 9895 8377 18 290 14 273 18 286 13 288 8377 7030 18 291 15 286 14*289 13 268 7030 5834 15 284 15*292 10*298 12 274 5834 4773 13 276 15*295 10 299 10 285 4773 3838 11 280 14 296 10 302 9 297 3838 3012 10 287 14 297 10 305 7 311 3012 2273 9*286 14 298 9 308 5 334 2273 1621 8*285 13 299 9 310 4 002 1621 1078 7 286 13 299 9 311 4 023 1078 661 6 286 12 300 9 312 4 035 661 374 6 287 11 300 8 312 3 044 374 200 5 287 10 300 8 312 3*048 200 101 5 288 8 300 6 313 2*050 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography