DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 40.2 - - 42.9 - - 35.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 288 - - 54 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1979 - - 3245 - - 3016 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 995 - - 2135 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2059 - - 3325 - - 3096 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 923 - - 801 - - 926 - - 352 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 392 - - 221 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 222 - - 208 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3626 - - -4042 - - -6147 - - -8295 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5685 - - 7367 - - 9243 - - 8391 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14809 - - -13608 - - -16797 - - -20624 ODpotential blCL - - - 16868 - - 16933 - - 19893 - - 20720 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 74 - - 78 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 40.2 - - 42.9 - - 35.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.4 - - 8.2 - - 2.8 - - -0.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 39.0 - - 42.7 - - 37.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.2 - - 8.0 - - 2.3 - - -0.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 288 - - 54 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1979 - - 3245 - - 3016 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95779 36 255 37 273 38 264 35 283 95779 88988 19 292 19 272 26 274 24 276 88988 83677 7 284 12 269 18 272 22 256 83677 79183 6 193 15 244 14 287 19 244 79183 75253 6 216 17 230 21 273 16 259 75253 71743 8 255 19 230 22 238 16 277 71743 68535 17 271 11 216 17 217 23 253 68535 65565 21 247 18 239 25 217 28 240 65565 62806 30 223 29 241 28 223 36 231 62806 60138 37 213 35 236 34 230 38 230 60138 57346 34 224 45 227 38 230 44 237 57346 54429 46 239 47 238 55 237 57 236 54429 51642 61 252 69 236 67 239 69 233 51642 49150 80 248 77 240 81 237 77 235 49150 46928 84 250 84 243 85 237 85 240 46928 44906 88 251 95 243 89 239 94 240 44906 43039 96 251 103 242 91 238 97 231 43039 41300 102 253 104 244 90 239 93 231 41300 39670 114 255 109 249 93 245 92 238 39670 38143 121 253 119 251 105 248 100 244 38143 36726 115 251 125 250 118 246 113 239 36726 35383 98 249 121 248 123 242 119 239 35383 34029 83 250 111 249 120 244 124 246 34029 32625 77 252 105 251 114 249 130 248 32625 31167 74 256 96 249 107 248 131 248 31167 29640 71 256 81 249 91 247 116 249 29640 28042 68 256 73 257 80 257 91 249 28042 26373 63 252 73 258 78 259 83 253 26373 24628 62 255 66 257 77 256 78 253 24628 22809 58 260 60 255 70 253 70 250 22809 20914 51 262 59 254 62 252 63 243 20914 18935 46 267 53 254 60 249 59 243 18935 16862 46 266 51 244 59 250 56 246 16862 14743 47 261 46 243 56 246 50 247 14743 12702 45 261 49 249 49 247 45 244 12702 10851 42 267 46 252 41 253 41 241 10851 9211 37 273 40 251 38 254 38 244 9211 7760 33 272 36 251 34 255 35 245 7760 6477 30 268 31 252 33 253 31 237 6477 5345 24 266 27 249 29 246 30 230 5345 4351 17 267 21 236 25 229 33 223 4351 3487 12 268 16*223 19*211 32 209 3487 2733 9*257 15*222 18*209 30 201 2733 2063 8*250 15 222 18 208 29 199 2063 1471 8 247 15 222 17 208 27 196 1471 978 8 246 14 222 16 208 25 191 978 601 7 245 14 222 16 207 23 186 601 342 7 244 13 221 15 207 17 178 342 186 6 244 12 221 13 207 14 176 186 96 5 243 9 221 9 206 6*172 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography