DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.3 - - 28.9 - - 30.4 - - 25.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 197 - - 29 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1086 - - 2096 - - 1998 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 79 - - 1166 - - 80 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1166 - - 2176 - - 2078 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1222 - - 765 - - 947 - - 926 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 303 - - 164 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 16 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 232 - - 227 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1645 - - -1048 - - -558 - - -1287 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2811 - - 3224 - - 2636 - - 1383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15362 - - -14813 - - -13150 - - -9544 ODpotential blCL - - - 16528 - - 16989 - - 15228 - - 9640 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 64 - - 67 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.3 - - 28.9 - - 30.4 - - 25.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.7 - - 15.4 - - 19.4 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 28.1 - - 30.5 - - 27.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.6 - - 14.5 - - 18.4 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 197 - - 29 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1086 - - 2096 - - 1998 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96875 97 207 70 224 71 215 68 222 96875 89552 86 220 80 213 73 217 68 220 89552 83877 74 228 77 223 74 221 69 225 83877 79135 71 237 76 227 77 224 73 222 79135 75013 70 236 72 228 77 226 78 223 75013 71366 67 236 65 237 71 232 74 226 71366 68102 62 238 65 243 64 237 65 234 68102 65142 58 243 66 241 60 236 59 232 65142 62396 62 246 65 239 58 246 60 240 62396 59723 74 251 72 244 73 251 69 246 59723 56930 86 247 84 243 85 251 82 252 56930 54020 93 245 93 244 96 249 94 252 54020 51222 101 244 100 245 101 246 99 250 51222 48687 106 242 102 245 101 245 102 250 48687 46407 108 244 103 246 104 249 108 251 46407 44336 114 247 108 249 114 250 114 250 44336 42438 124 248 117 250 118 249 119 250 42438 40690 130 247 124 249 119 250 125 251 40690 39076 130 246 121 247 116 250 127 252 39076 37578 126 247 115 248 111 250 126 254 37578 36181 120 249 111 248 107 251 121 255 36181 34845 111 249 105 247 102 252 118 258 34845 33505 94 249 93 247 98 253 115 258 33505 32129 82 254 81 246 93 255 107 256 32129 30708 81 257 77 247 86 256 101 255 30708 29222 81 259 78 250 79 256 101 257 29222 27658 79 260 80 254 78 258 101 258 27658 26013 75 263 81 259 76 259 100 259 26013 24284 71 266 78 260 72 258 96 260 24284 22471 68 267 77 261 71 258 91 263 22471 20576 68 267 79 260 73 259 90 265 20576 18599 69 267 78 259 73 262 89 266 18599 16539 68 264 75 259 69 266 86 267 16539 14444 64 263 69 260 64 268 80 267 14444 12432 59 265 63 262 60 268 73 266 12432 10610 52 264 59 263 56 266 67 267 10610 9003 43 264 53 263 51 269 62 270 9003 7587 37 267 48 259 47 271 56 274 7587 6337 30 273 41 255 45 270 51 277 6337 5235 23 275 36 254 43 265 46 276 5235 4267 18 271 32 252 40 255 43 272 4267 3421 14 263 27 248 35 242 40 263 3421 2680 11 251 22*239 30*235 41 252 2680 2021 10 255 17*233 24*228 35 239 2021 1441 10*257 17 232 22 227 31 233 1441 959 9*254 16 232 21 227 28 226 959 590 8 253 16 232 19 226 24 223 590 337 8 252 14 232 17 226 17 218 337 184 7 252 13 232 15 225 14 216 184 96 6 251 10 232 10 226 7*215 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography