DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.3 - - 42.1 - - 39.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 36 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1689 - - 1440 - - 1322 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 568 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1769 - - 1520 - - 1402 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 727 - - 913 - - 961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 236 - - 156 - - 54 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 012 - - 020 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 783 - - 603 - - 509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 986 - - 917 - - 893 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 571 - - 392 - - 347 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1198 - - 1128 - - 1055 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.3 - - 42.1 - - 39.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.6 - - 38.8 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 42.8 - - 41.9 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.5 - - 38.0 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 36 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1689 - - 1440 - - 1322 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96536 24 072 21 055 24 062 96536 89458 19 093 15 066 14 048 89458 83964 14 108 6 092 1 341 83964 79358 10 145 5 178 1 150 79358 75347 4 160 5 191 6 256 75347 71778 7 230 8 253 7 243 71778 68542 9 277 13 260 15 278 68542 65572 15 262 15 253 18 255 65572 62817 22 291 19 269 25 273 62817 60155 34 278 29 260 35 258 60155 57384 44 274 36 272 34 267 57384 54499 53 279 47 286 45 286 54499 51736 65 273 65 279 62 281 51736 49247 66 268 70 270 68 276 49247 47008 67 273 70 273 72 276 47008 44968 73 276 76 277 75 277 44968 43098 75 275 79 277 79 276 43098 41374 72 275 79 282 74 280 41374 39778 73 281 91 287 82 285 39778 38298 79 282 90 284 68 289 38298 36916 76 281 76 279 76 299 36916 35591 68 286 67 285 90 304 35591 34253 67 296 74 297 96 304 34253 32867 74 298 80 298 95 303 32867 31431 79 295 76 294 91 302 31431 29925 78 293 75 291 84 302 29925 28338 70 292 71 293 75 300 28338 26668 64 290 67 296 70 297 26668 24913 65 291 65 297 66 295 24913 23073 66 293 65 299 64 297 23073 21156 60 298 60 302 60 302 21156 19154 55 306 53 305 52 302 19154 17060 52 313 46 307 44 300 17060 14921 45 317 41 311 40 299 14921 12859 39 318 38 314 37 302 12859 10984 38 321 36 314 33 308 10984 9320 37 329 34 320 28 317 9320 7843 34 341 30 329 24 324 7843 6538 30 347 24 335 21 328 6538 5389 28 347 24 340 17 333 5389 4381 27 009 21 355 13 337 4381 3502 26 021 18 013 12 001 3502 2735 23 024 15 013 11 360 2735 2061 20*020 13*011 10 002 2061 1470 16*012 12*016 10*008 1470 979 15 012 11 020 9*013 979 602 15 012 11 021 9 015 602 344 14 013 10 023 8 017 344 187 12 013 9 023 7 018 187 97 9 013 7 023 5 018 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography