DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 46.2 - - 45.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 93 - - -8 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 622 - - 1607 - - 17 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 702 - - 1687 - - 97 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 480 - - 736 - - 2744 - - 2168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 220 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 323 - - 350 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -596 - - -1361 - - -2091 - - -817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1298 - - 3048 - - 2188 - - 914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12696 - - -11375 - - -8164 - - -1880 ODpotential blCL - - - 13398 - - 13062 - - 8261 - - 1977 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 84 - - 69 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 46.2 - - 45.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 33.5 - - 36.6 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 45.7 - - 46.4 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 32.2 - - 35.4 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 93 - - -8 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 622 - - 1607 - - 17 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 37 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96402 8 291 3 311 5 273 9 256 96402 89226 5 315 8 281 9 309 5 305 89226 83666 9 251 13 250 15 297 10 333 83666 79046 9 259 13 228 18 270 19 293 79046 75073 14 297 9 240 15 257 22 266 75073 71558 18 274 14 289 12 293 24 279 71558 68365 27 267 28 267 27 279 32 269 68365 65423 32 252 37 247 36 258 41 268 65423 62682 35 263 42 258 46 253 45 263 62682 60015 55 261 53 257 48 255 58 266 60015 57245 72 259 63 253 70 261 76 259 57245 54396 95 260 87 260 95 251 87 254 54396 51681 102 248 106 250 95 248 86 253 51681 49230 101 246 102 247 97 254 93 256 49230 47044 107 250 105 255 110 260 114 259 47044 45093 119 253 119 258 129 261 136 258 45093 43325 127 252 129 252 137 253 139 254 43325 41696 134 260 132 250 136 250 136 260 41696 40179 146 264 135 253 139 256 148 264 40179 38753 147 261 137 255 152 263 147 260 38753 37397 146 259 138 254 156 263 147 258 37397 36073 145 258 137 253 157 263 145 258 36073 34713 146 259 135 255 150 264 144 258 34713 33289 142 262 133 255 143 262 140 257 33289 31805 125 258 132 253 134 259 137 255 31805 30249 121 253 129 252 125 257 131 255 30249 28611 122 254 127 255 119 255 122 252 28611 26889 119 257 126 256 115 250 120 248 26889 25079 108 258 125 257 116 246 119 248 25079 23183 94 254 120 258 120 246 114 251 23183 21210 89 252 114 260 120 254 111 254 21210 19162 81 255 97 261 104 271 96 264 19162 17039 74 258 77 262 79 271 69 269 17039 14885 67 260 68 267 66 260 55 258 14885 12815 56 260 60 267 63 255 60 252 12815 10935 46 264 49 263 60 258 60 257 10935 9267 39 266 41 261 51 262 55 264 9267 7800 34 265 36 260 42 265 36 269 7800 6512 27 267 31 260 35 270 25 268 6512 5378 20 271 25 265 29 276 18 280 5378 4382 18 282 20 275 21 284 11 291 4382 3512 19 285 16 285 13 300 8 324 3512 2750 20 285 11 301 9 315 9 359 2750 2074 18 288 7*326 7 329 12 015 2074 1479 15 291 5*322 7 337 16 018 1479 984 13*287 5 323 6 342 17 017 984 605 7*269 5 323 6 346 17 016 605 345 7 268 5 323 6 349 14 017 345 187 6 268 4 323 4 350 11 017 187 97 5 267 4 323 3*350 6*018 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography