DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.8 - - 43.9 - - 36.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 18 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3484 - - 3072 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2241 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3564 - - 3152 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 679 - - 1595 - - 198 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 378 - - 154 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 241 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2233 - - -2237 - - -3385 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5797 - - 5390 - - 3482 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9229 - - -8969 - - -11800 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12793 - - 12121 - - 11897 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 82 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.8 - - 43.9 - - 36.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 16.6 - - 20.5 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 40.7 - - 44.0 - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.3 - - 20.3 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 18 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3484 - - 3072 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 19 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95305 107 216 132 219 135 224 95305 88044 99 222 111 225 118 228 88044 82450 97 225 99 225 109 228 82450 77818 100 227 94 230 101 228 77818 73826 97 228 95 232 94 230 73826 70297 89 230 88 230 85 234 70297 67099 80 237 80 233 81 243 67099 64167 75 245 76 237 82 245 64167 61457 77 246 74 239 73 246 61457 58840 78 244 75 247 68 255 58840 56124 81 249 80 256 77 262 56124 53315 90 253 89 260 82 259 53315 50625 90 251 88 256 80 257 50625 48180 81 249 76 251 74 258 48180 45970 78 248 63 254 71 264 45970 43957 70 243 63 265 71 268 43957 42122 57 249 70 268 74 270 42122 40445 61 264 76 263 77 267 40445 38903 73 265 76 259 74 261 38903 37467 75 259 71 255 64 262 37467 36119 67 255 62 255 61 272 36119 34821 58 257 56 263 63 276 34821 33504 56 267 58 273 63 274 33504 32136 63 274 63 276 62 268 32136 30714 73 277 66 279 60 264 30714 29223 81 280 67 283 57 266 29223 27657 83 282 70 285 55 270 27657 26019 81 282 73 282 57 273 26019 24309 78 283 75 278 59 272 24309 22522 75 283 75 275 61 270 22522 20656 72 281 71 274 61 273 20656 18706 69 281 64 274 58 273 18706 16668 65 282 60 277 53 269 16668 14584 58 282 57 279 49 271 14584 12576 51 281 50 277 46 274 12576 10752 46 280 45 273 40 272 10752 9136 41 278 42 273 35 271 9136 7705 36 275 39 274 35 277 7705 6445 34 273 37 273 39 276 6445 5339 32 270 33 267 36 263 5339 4365 27*268 29 262 32 252 4365 3508 18*251 21*246 29 247 3508 2752 17 246 20*244 27 241 2752 2077 16 245 19 242 26 235 2077 1481 16 244 18 241 24 229 1481 984 15 243 17 240 23 222 984 605 14 243 16 239 21 216 605 344 13 242 14 238 17 206 344 186 12 242 12 238 14*203 186 97 10 242 9 237 6*197 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography