DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.1 - - 30.4 - - 31.7 - - 25.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 236 - - 30 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1730 - - 2514 - - 2754 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 778 - - 1521 - - 80 - - 79 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1810 - - 2594 - - 2834 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 847 - - 722 - - 849 - - 1854 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 259 - - 337 - - 177 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 340 - - 324 - - 225 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2521 - - -3013 - - -3042 - - -3526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4331 - - 5607 - - 5876 - - 3622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19784 - - -18577 - - -18147 - - -20501 ODpotential blCL - - - 21594 - - 21171 - - 20981 - - 20597 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 63 - - 62 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.1 - - 30.4 - - 31.7 - - 25.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.8 - - 6.4 - - 6.6 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.3 - - 29.2 - - 31.6 - - 27.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.5 - - 6.0 - - 6.2 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 236 - - 30 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1730 - - 2514 - - 2754 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95397 117 241 109 249 102 248 88 254 95397 88618 63 247 63 256 56 269 55 266 88618 83313 42 248 40 257 40 272 43 275 83313 78866 37 279 30 284 29 286 40 282 78866 74995 42 296 32 305 24 296 32 279 74995 71539 31 294 31 305 18 288 30 277 71539 68384 20 278 27 295 23 285 30 272 68384 65457 26 310 28 288 27 286 29 271 65457 62718 34 302 34 288 33 293 32 284 62718 60053 36 295 39 284 47 290 40 284 60053 57269 38 286 45 272 53 277 48 281 57269 54373 36 285 47 263 53 267 57 277 54373 51596 39 291 49 273 57 265 65 274 51596 49080 51 285 57 277 59 267 68 275 49080 46817 58 275 59 273 62 274 66 275 46817 44766 57 267 59 271 64 274 63 277 44766 42895 54 283 59 277 64 277 67 280 42895 41185 68 288 69 280 71 283 75 284 41185 39617 74 279 77 280 82 287 82 283 39617 38167 69 275 81 277 87 282 79 281 38167 36814 65 285 76 276 84 280 80 286 36814 35508 64 293 75 281 84 284 79 289 35508 34179 66 301 78 282 86 286 83 296 34179 32796 70 300 79 281 86 288 87 298 32796 31358 72 293 79 280 86 289 87 296 31358 29847 75 291 79 279 86 289 85 292 29847 28248 75 289 77 278 86 286 84 287 28248 26561 74 288 76 278 86 284 84 285 26561 24786 72 287 74 281 84 284 83 284 24786 22921 74 282 70 284 83 287 81 286 22921 20970 73 280 64 283 76 291 82 290 20970 18931 68 274 59 280 64 286 77 292 18931 16818 61 277 56 279 59 283 64 288 16818 14674 53 283 53 284 54 287 56 290 14674 12609 46 295 43 289 47 288 52 293 12609 10733 40 301 35 287 45 283 47 289 10733 9079 34 305 32 283 38 285 40 286 9079 7630 29 311 27 285 33 289 36 287 7630 6360 24 323 23 293 28 286 29 284 6360 5245 19 338 18 303 19 285 24 277 5245 4269 17 356 12 323 11 282 17 261 4269 3418 20 007 10 345 7*245 13 243 3418 2675 19 004 7*333 7*230 14 233 2675 2016 16*358 6*327 7 227 14 223 2016 1438 10*342 6 325 7 225 14 213 1438 957 10 341 6 324 7 224 14 205 957 589 9 339 5 323 6 222 14 200 589 336 9 339 5 323 6 221 12 197 336 183 8 338 5 323 6 220 10*194 183 96 6 338 4 323 5 220 5*189 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography