DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 74.9 - - 74.5 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 124 - - -6 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 409 - - 1750 - - 1734 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 690 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 489 - - 1830 - - 1814 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 637 - - 2870 - - 2352 - - 283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 246 - - 71 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 217 - - 226 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1042 - - -705 - - -544 - - -1082 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1531 - - 2535 - - 2358 - - 1182 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3187 - - -1341 - - -1392 - - -4868 ODpotential blCL - - - 3676 - - 3171 - - 3206 - - 4968 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 86 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 74.9 - - 74.5 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.2 - - 64.1 - - 64.5 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 74.1 - - 74.9 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 63.7 - - 64.2 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 124 - - -6 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 409 - - 1750 - - 1734 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 46 - - 46 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96981 31 264 40 246 40 259 42 254 96981 89755 26 261 28 257 34 272 27 286 89755 84186 22 267 22 278 24 271 21 285 84186 79589 16 280 17 284 12 284 16 296 79589 75651 9 291 11 279 12 294 15 290 75651 72182 8 310 8 288 11 314 7 294 72182 69053 10 291 9 288 9 319 9 330 69053 66180 9 255 11 267 11 289 9 293 66180 63525 11 245 18 250 22 269 27 273 63525 60989 18 242 27 238 33 242 36 240 60989 58365 17 251 20 242 29 231 34 242 58365 55638 26 270 20 256 26 237 37 247 55638 53029 35 262 32 252 35 244 40 248 53029 50667 40 257 39 246 44 254 46 242 50667 48528 46 251 48 244 55 254 57 249 48528 46575 54 248 56 243 61 247 64 252 46575 44771 59 244 62 245 64 243 66 252 44771 43088 58 233 65 247 66 245 69 248 43088 41513 52 228 62 240 66 244 74 246 41513 40031 49 233 57 231 66 240 76 246 40031 38628 60 237 57 229 67 240 72 247 38628 37265 67 235 60 232 73 250 69 246 37265 35875 66 235 61 241 77 252 72 245 35875 34424 59 237 64 237 65 244 75 248 34424 32914 51 240 61 234 57 236 67 248 32914 31330 46 238 47 235 58 242 53 244 31330 29659 43 234 44 235 45 233 45 237 29659 27899 39 234 42 231 39 241 46 235 27899 26052 35 235 40 233 41 239 48 234 26052 24124 36 228 43 230 43 240 43 238 24124 22123 38 220 46 225 42 240 37 248 22123 20044 38 220 45 225 39 237 30 251 20044 17873 35 226 40 231 35 236 27 248 17873 15651 30 230 33 233 30 245 28 253 15651 13504 25 230 27 229 24 258 26 266 13504 11552 25 225 27 229 20 272 23 283 11552 9827 29 222 26 243 15 282 17 297 9827 8303 28 228 24 261 13 293 13 314 8303 6954 23 241 22 266 12 295 8 315 6954 5759 14 253 21 264 13 283 5 288 5759 4703 14 248 19 248 19 257 17 256 4703 3776 18 244 19 238 21 243 23 240 3776 2961 19 231 20 234 21 237 22 225 2961 2234 19 224 19*229 20*236 20 215 2234 1592 19 224 17*224 16*229 18 212 1592 1057 18 223 14 217 15 226 17 209 1057 648 14*220 13 215 14 226 16 205 648 367 8*214 12 214 12 224 14 198 367 196 7 214 11 213 10 224 11*195 196 100 6 214 9 212 7 222 5*192 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography