DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 0959z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.4 - - 80.7 - - 85.8 - - 88.1 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 123 - - 228 - - 61 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 19 - - 2784 - - 5763 - - 6080 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit 83 - - 1507 - - 4004 - - 3372 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top 99 - - 2864 - - 5843 - - 6160 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1197 - - 1609 - - 1812 - - 3652 - - 8187 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 300 - - 457 - - 316 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 18 - - 15 - - 13 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 254 - - 262 - - 260 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 8 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 2 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1677 - - -1348 - - 365 - - -584 - - -4476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1776 - - 4212 - - 5478 - - 6745 - - 4577 sfcLCL ODpotential -5704 - - -4403 - - -807 - - -1824 - - -6008 ODpotential blCL 5803 - - 7267 - - 6650 - - 7984 - - 6108 blCL maxRH 71 - - 73 - - 76 - - 74 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 420 - - 760 - - 1160 - - 800 - - 1290 CAPE Temp@2m 69.4 - - 80.7 - - 85.8 - - 88.1 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.7 - - 62.4 - - 61.8 - - 58.7 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.4 - - 80.2 - - 84.4 - - 87.7 - - 85.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.2 - - 61.2 - - 60.6 - - 57.4 - - 61.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 123 - - 228 - - 61 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 19 - - 2784 - - 5763 - - 6080 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98041 14 097 13 117 7 162 8 118 6 089 98041 90543 10 122 15 104 16 152 13 153 6 095 90543 84752 3 057 9 109 16 140 14 148 7 167 84752 79974 3 198 1 041 8 123 5 151 2 114 79974 75883 2 021 2 249 1 054 1 127 4 288 75883 72280 8 311 6 216 6 270 6 290 7 272 72280 69018 11 282 6 271 10 248 11 288 6 256 69018 66011 12 255 12 249 15 236 20 277 9 312 66011 63237 9 286 8 260 19 225 28 254 24 274 63237 60580 16 278 11 290 12 218 24 232 22 248 60580 57808 27 273 17 284 13 272 11 228 16 260 57808 54923 36 268 30 276 34 275 25 277 24 269 54923 52176 38 259 40 265 46 262 39 268 36 282 52176 49720 36 265 45 251 49 252 45 268 46 276 49720 47541 46 266 48 256 48 249 53 271 47 269 47541 45591 56 261 54 259 50 258 53 271 47 274 45591 43830 60 261 54 261 57 261 50 271 43 285 43830 42196 51 248 58 265 66 259 41 281 48 301 42196 40659 41 224 63 269 67 258 39 308 68 313 40659 39211 46 209 59 271 63 261 45 314 75 314 39211 37843 50 207 53 270 61 261 42 309 64 313 37843 36519 46 227 49 267 60 259 40 297 41 307 36519 35172 49 253 46 263 59 259 47 285 28 287 35172 33766 47 264 48 261 56 261 47 282 30 270 33766 32301 50 267 51 255 54 267 35 282 35 273 32301 30764 46 265 51 256 51 272 29 281 37 280 30764 29144 39 266 47 274 45 277 28 283 34 281 29144 27443 36 265 39 278 40 278 30 283 31 277 27443 25661 35 262 36 272 35 277 33 281 35 276 25661 23801 33 264 35 268 33 276 37 280 39 276 23801 21861 34 262 33 267 33 273 40 281 36 278 21861 19830 38 262 35 268 34 270 41 279 35 285 19830 17703 43 257 39 269 33 271 39 272 33 287 17703 15525 42 252 43 266 34 271 33 270 31 285 15525 13422 41 251 46 263 36 270 29 275 31 285 13422 11513 42 250 45 262 38 270 29 273 34 282 11513 9822 39 252 44 263 37 270 29 275 30 274 9822 8322 36 258 39 264 29 273 27 276 24 270 8322 6987 37 265 35 267 20*268 21*272 16 270 6987 5798 37 267 34 269 16*260 19*269 12 275 5798 4745 37 265 33 271 16 260 15 263 10 280 4745 3816 39 265 30 269 15 261 14 260 8 286 3816 2995 40 258 24*262 15 262 13 259 7 291 2995 2261 40 244 23*260 15 263 12 258 6 298 2261 1613 38 233 19 254 14 264 11 257 5 306 1613 1072 31 226 18 252 13 264 11 256 4 314 1072 658 24 222 17 252 13 265 10 256 4 323 658 372 18 220 16 251 12 265 9 255 2 333 372 199 15 219 14 250 11 265 8 255 1 000 199 100 9*219 10 250 9 265 7 255 1*089 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography