DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 57.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 147 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1624 - - 2061 - - 951 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 698 - - 999 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1704 - - 2141 - - 1031 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 581 - - 1009 - - 1393 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 253 - - 272 - - 72 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 15 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 333 - - 027 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -991 - - -1653 - - -1088 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2695 - - 3794 - - 2119 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4236 - - -5402 - - -7760 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5940 - - 7543 - - 8791 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 78 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 57.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.8 - - 41.3 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.3 - - 56.5 - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.7 - - 40.7 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 147 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1624 - - 2061 - - 951 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 30 - - 10 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96549 7 120 8 195 10 224 96549 89415 11 176 16 214 8 205 89415 83873 19 190 23 212 16 218 83873 79233 21 202 21 204 18 212 79233 75193 26 206 19 207 19 222 75193 71592 23 209 21 217 23 228 71592 68335 20 242 24 232 22 237 68335 65345 29 234 34 229 25 251 65345 62578 31 227 31 231 37 250 62578 59905 30 240 35 247 34 247 59905 57124 34 245 36 247 30 257 57124 54239 46 246 38 252 35 264 54239 51468 47 240 44 254 46 259 51468 48968 46 239 48 251 60 257 48968 46739 45 251 49 252 67 253 46739 44733 51 256 52 254 66 253 44733 42917 57 253 56 258 65 251 42917 41260 59 250 63 259 66 254 41260 39740 57 252 64 256 72 260 39740 38334 55 259 55 253 70 258 38334 37012 54 264 52 259 62 254 37012 35727 49 264 55 267 59 253 35727 34413 46 267 57 270 60 254 34413 33038 47 268 56 270 61 253 33038 31604 49 263 53 270 57 254 31604 30098 52 259 54 271 51 257 30098 28505 54 258 59 278 49 262 28505 26825 53 259 64 283 49 267 26825 25058 51 259 58 281 48 271 25058 23205 48 257 51 271 45 271 23205 21267 49 257 52 268 43 267 21267 19238 48 258 52 269 44 269 19238 17120 47 262 47 267 49 279 17120 14968 44 268 42 263 52 282 14968 12907 35 269 36 264 52 278 12907 11043 32 267 35 274 48 271 11043 9388 33 276 37 280 40 269 9388 7918 35 284 36 280 31 262 7918 6611 33 279 30 274 25 249 6611 5452 25 273 23 269 21 238 5452 4430 21 283 15 269 15 228 4430 3538 19 294 7 288 4 267 3538 2763 16 302 7*343 20 021 2763 2082 11*319 12*015 25 028 2082 1485 9*330 16 026 24*033 1485 988 9 332 16 028 21*041 988 608 8 334 16 030 19 043 608 346 8 335 16 031 17 044 346 188 7 336 14 031 14 044 188 98 6 336 11 032 10 045 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography