DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 55.6 - - 55.9 - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 191 - - 0 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1307 - - 2849 - - 2201 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 1680 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1387 - - 2929 - - 2281 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1403 - - 730 - - 1101 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 329 - - 58 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 17 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 056 - - 241 - - 165 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3721 - - -4913 - - -5041 - - -2671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5108 - - 7842 - - 7322 - - 2769 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15361 - - -15776 - - -15920 - - -12097 ODpotential blCL - - - 16748 - - 18705 - - 18201 - - 12195 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 80 - - 97 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 55.6 - - 55.9 - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.1 - - 22.0 - - 24.7 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 54.4 - - 56.1 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 21.3 - - 24.1 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 191 - - 0 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1307 - - 2849 - - 2201 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 22 - - 86 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96302 77 246 76 249 80 257 75 257 96302 89208 56 253 55 256 59 260 57 260 89208 83737 44 253 44 258 46 267 44 259 83737 79177 34 271 35 252 42 265 36 266 79177 75220 35 276 33 261 35 262 35 275 75220 71716 32 262 32 272 32 267 33 275 71716 68551 29 258 34 272 28 262 29 273 68551 65634 32 261 33 267 27 263 28 271 65634 62912 33 265 34 278 29 267 30 270 62912 60276 40 268 41 278 34 270 39 270 60276 57534 47 263 49 258 44 265 44 266 57534 54678 50 266 40 259 51 264 54 265 54678 51935 56 273 60 276 58 265 58 265 51935 49466 70 270 71 269 62 266 65 272 49466 47264 70 267 70 263 62 269 67 268 47264 45277 66 269 64 264 68 273 59 272 45277 43458 65 272 67 270 71 275 65 279 43458 41781 67 273 65 271 73 276 77 277 41781 40235 68 274 65 275 83 275 81 277 40235 38799 68 276 71 277 83 273 83 279 38799 37452 68 278 74 276 79 277 82 282 37452 36150 68 280 73 276 78 279 80 282 36150 34820 65 282 71 275 75 278 76 278 34820 33430 60 281 69 271 72 278 74 276 33430 31983 59 281 64 270 72 276 69 275 31983 30462 60 281 57 270 72 276 67 274 30462 28854 60 281 54 277 67 275 65 273 28854 27157 58 280 54 283 62 272 62 272 27157 25370 47 273 54 279 54 274 53 270 25370 23495 49 281 49 270 48 280 43 269 23495 21538 41 289 43 277 48 283 47 265 21538 19497 41 278 42 278 48 280 42 259 19497 17365 46 282 45 278 39 272 37 263 17365 15189 42 283 42 272 35 280 38 270 15189 13094 39 281 42 266 39 282 41 273 13094 11194 38 285 41 266 40 278 36 267 11194 9505 35 293 35 266 41 275 33 267 9505 8007 29 295 25 267 37 266 30 268 8007 6681 28 284 23 273 32 254 27 263 6681 5512 28 278 25 277 22 256 27 255 5512 4489 18 277 23 280 17 264 25 243 4489 3598 9 256 13*270 11 252 23 224 3598 2817 5 230 5*242 7*184 21 204 2817 2123 2 201 4 239 6*173 18 188 2123 1513 5*081 4 239 6 168 18 174 1513 1005 5*059 3 241 6 164 19 160 1005 616 5 056 3 241 5 162 20 147 616 350 5 055 3 241 5 159 16 143 350 190 4 054 2 244 4 158 14*142 190 98 4 052 2 244 4 156 6*141 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography