DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 65.6 - - 66.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 267 - - 79 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2180 - - 4549 - - 4489 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1039 - - 3110 - - 2306 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2260 - - 4629 - - 4569 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1605 - - 674 - - 1011 - - 996 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 434 - - 292 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 301 - - 280 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3430 - - -5848 - - -6201 - - -5932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5690 - - 10477 - - 10770 - - 6030 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11427 - - -13720 - - -12895 - - -13505 ODpotential blCL - - - 13687 - - 18349 - - 17464 - - 13603 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 84 - - 71 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 65.6 - - 66.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 20.0 - - 19.6 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 64.2 - - 66.0 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 18.9 - - 18.5 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 267 - - 79 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2180 - - 4549 - - 4489 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96414 39 228 29 259 35 247 38 265 96414 89189 26 237 29 234 31 246 29 264 89189 83633 24 255 20 215 28 238 26 256 83633 79019 22 252 16 225 25 227 29 246 79019 75038 23 237 22 242 26 228 28 245 75038 71519 27 233 30 239 27 243 26 245 71519 68329 30 241 33 237 28 253 19 250 68329 65383 34 241 34 234 30 255 19 261 65383 62642 33 234 30 232 31 250 23 266 62642 59997 36 258 24 252 25 242 25 256 59997 57240 44 263 35 267 26 254 28 252 57240 54370 52 250 47 257 35 260 40 255 54370 51631 60 247 60 249 54 259 54 260 51631 49182 73 256 68 250 71 252 66 260 49182 47003 82 257 74 254 74 251 68 257 47003 45041 83 261 78 264 68 259 69 257 45041 43262 91 265 85 268 76 266 70 256 43262 41639 96 267 92 267 85 265 71 259 41639 40136 99 269 95 270 91 264 75 259 40136 38720 99 269 96 272 90 263 76 256 38720 37375 95 268 93 269 85 262 75 256 37375 36064 92 268 90 265 84 261 73 257 36064 34720 94 268 90 262 84 260 71 258 34720 33316 97 269 88 263 83 261 72 259 33316 31853 90 268 84 262 80 260 73 257 31853 30318 80 265 79 260 77 257 73 254 30318 28701 76 260 76 259 76 254 72 254 28701 26999 71 256 73 259 71 256 69 257 26999 25215 68 256 69 258 65 259 62 259 25215 23353 67 256 66 258 61 259 54 258 23353 21414 66 257 64 257 58 260 48 258 21414 19397 63 259 60 258 59 260 48 266 19397 17293 60 268 54 265 54 261 50 268 17293 15142 57 278 53 274 47 271 46 266 15142 13066 48 280 42 272 48 283 39 271 13066 11179 39 264 34 263 44 281 35 273 11179 9504 42 255 37 257 38 270 30 265 9504 8016 44 262 41 265 36 269 29 261 8016 6697 40 275 38 282 30 286 24 276 6697 5538 39 287 30*295 19*295 12 277 5538 4524 36 292 14*299 5*278 4 219 4524 3634 28 293 12 300 4 279 2 223 3634 2849 20*292 11 301 4 279 3 150 2849 2148 15*291 11 301 4 281 5 109 2148 1531 13 291 11 302 4 281 10 095 1531 1017 12 290 10 303 3 283 13 089 1017 625 9 287 10 302 3 283 14 083 625 355 8 286 9 303 3 284 13 077 355 192 8 286 9 303 3 285 10 074 192 98 6 285 7 303 3 283 6*071 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography