DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.0 - - 44.4 - - 43.6 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 58 - - -53 - - -73 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 596 - - 941 - - 18 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 676 - - 1021 - - 98 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 487 - - 551 - - 1479 - - 635 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 162 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 21 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 203 - - 198 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -390 - - -715 - - -1388 - - -779 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1066 - - 1736 - - 1486 - - 876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8604 - - -7704 - - -8065 - - -7338 ODpotential blCL - - - 9280 - - 8725 - - 8163 - - 7435 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 79 - - 70 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.0 - - 44.4 - - 43.6 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 37.1 - - 37.3 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 44.3 - - 45.1 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 36.1 - - 36.6 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 58 - - -53 - - -73 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 596 - - 941 - - 18 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 17 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95759 66 237 68 244 74 247 71 235 95759 88628 55 242 55 242 59 254 57 252 88628 83112 54 248 54 235 60 248 57 256 83112 78504 52 255 52 248 60 250 61 256 78504 74528 53 254 51 255 54 248 54 258 74528 71029 47 246 51 254 46 242 46 255 71029 67868 42 246 50 249 44 247 42 256 67868 64952 45 256 47 245 44 254 43 258 64952 62229 51 268 48 251 47 257 47 260 62229 59580 62 271 55 261 55 256 57 261 59580 56820 66 263 65 259 61 252 63 253 56820 53956 68 257 67 252 62 250 64 246 53956 51207 71 254 66 252 67 254 70 248 51207 48720 80 256 76 260 74 248 77 248 48720 46486 88 251 87 252 79 248 80 249 46486 44459 87 247 102 240 88 246 88 252 44459 42613 89 255 110 238 100 242 105 250 42613 40926 97 259 115 243 116 238 124 242 40926 39377 109 264 116 248 117 234 127 232 39377 37943 124 264 116 252 112 237 124 233 37943 36597 121 259 119 254 115 243 135 240 36597 35293 119 255 122 252 122 245 141 241 35293 33958 114 253 121 249 123 240 139 236 33958 32562 105 251 121 249 122 237 139 232 32562 31113 100 251 119 250 122 238 137 230 31113 29594 93 252 112 245 121 242 136 230 29594 27994 87 251 108 243 118 243 134 231 27994 26315 83 247 94 244 113 241 128 233 26315 24562 79 247 84 245 103 239 117 235 24562 22735 72 248 84 246 89 238 111 237 22735 20832 66 249 79 247 80 238 107 238 20832 18853 64 249 72 249 72 237 97 238 18853 16794 61 248 71 247 65 237 82 232 16794 14697 50 247 67 242 65 240 76 230 14697 12679 41 247 57 235 69 243 70 231 12679 10850 35 242 49 231 65 239 65 232 10850 9232 34 234 43 230 56 234 60 231 9232 7797 33 230 41 231 49 233 53 233 7797 6525 32 225 40 230 45 232 41 242 6525 5400 33 224 40 228 44 233 38 256 5400 4406 34 220 41 226 45 233 39 259 4406 3533 35 221 42 225 47 229 43 254 3533 2766 37 224 42 222 49 222 45 243 2766 2085 34 222 38 216 45 215 43 235 2085 1485 31 218 35*213 38 208 41 226 1485 987 26*213 25*205 31 203 36 219 987 606 19*207 23 203 27 202 31 216 606 346 17 207 21 202 22 200 22 212 346 188 14 206 18 202 18*199 18 210 188 97 10 206 13 201 11*198 10*209 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography