DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.8 - - 92.8 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 316 - - 91 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4844 - - 4802 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3409 - - 2664 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4924 - - 4882 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2544 - - 3776 - - 2557 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 468 - - 314 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 20 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 236 - - 225 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1568 - - -1797 - - -3448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6493 - - 6680 - - 3549 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2806 - - -2754 - - -5378 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7730 - - 7636 - - 5479 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 89 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.8 - - 92.8 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.6 - - 63.9 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 91.2 - - 92.4 - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.2 - - 63.5 - - 69.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 316 - - 91 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4844 - - 4802 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 25 - - 58 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98827 16 100 1 056 14 037 98827 91393 13 084 12 099 9 048 91393 85631 11 076 18 092 13 114 85631 80854 11 070 13 083 13 094 80854 76746 7 087 6 068 12 055 76746 73125 6 128 3 252 5 026 73125 69878 8 160 8 271 7 286 69878 66911 12 171 9 240 16 292 66911 64140 6 168 12 191 13 255 64140 61458 9 315 6 215 13 195 61458 58712 12 269 12 273 8 239 58712 55905 23 207 23 223 23 242 55905 53253 28 210 27 220 27 225 53253 50887 28 222 32 225 34 231 50887 48760 28 213 40 210 43 223 48760 46815 27 202 40 198 46 206 46815 45023 24 203 32 201 45 198 45023 43355 24 210 25 212 40 200 43355 41789 24 232 28 213 36 210 41789 40309 26 252 34 216 35 217 40309 38905 26 246 32 223 36 218 38905 37538 26 238 29 229 36 218 37538 36140 28 241 30 227 36 222 36140 34678 29 251 29 235 34 223 34678 33155 23 258 24 246 30 233 33155 31558 19 265 21 243 28 233 31558 29878 19 262 23 245 25 234 29878 28114 19 265 23 244 22 245 28114 26263 19 262 22 251 23 255 26263 24326 25 261 26 262 26 257 24326 22309 31 258 29 268 28 262 22309 20202 30 254 31 269 27 260 20202 18008 23 248 28 267 24 257 18008 15778 18 249 24 264 21 263 15778 13633 24 266 21 265 18 273 13633 11683 27 268 25 282 18 286 11683 9955 26 270 27 288 20 283 9955 8424 25 270 25 283 19 277 8424 7066 23 271 22 269 20 264 7066 5861 19*268 21*259 20 255 5861 4794 16*259 21*245 20 248 4794 3853 16 248 21 233 19 241 3853 3022 16 237 21 225 19 232 3022 2280 17 232 21 222 19 223 2280 1625 17 230 21 219 18 218 1625 1080 17 228 21 218 14 217 1080 662 16 227 20 217 10 220 662 374 15 226 19 216 7 228 374 200 14 226 17 216 5*233 200 101 11 225 12 215 2*245 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography