DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.9 - - 37.7 - - 29.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 282 - - 84 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4281 - - 3584 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2911 - - 1646 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4361 - - 3664 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 815 - - 1285 - - 3100 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 427 - - 269 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 261 - - 279 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3728 - - -5330 - - -5875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8090 - - 8994 - - 5972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -16017 - - -17542 - - -19455 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 20378 - - 21206 - - 19551 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 37 - - 31 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.9 - - 37.7 - - 29.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 3.6 - - -1.5 - - 4.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 37.5 - - 37.3 - - 32.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 2.7 - - -1.8 - - 4.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 282 - - 84 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4281 - - 3584 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95902 35 248 35 263 34 247 95902 88795 23 240 26 255 30 249 88795 83323 27 241 23 242 34 242 83323 78768 23 246 25 252 29 251 78768 74810 35 255 41 255 35 249 74810 71282 49 245 51 251 48 259 71282 68086 58 239 58 248 60 257 68086 65149 62 237 63 243 66 251 65149 62416 66 237 69 243 70 246 62416 59764 74 240 76 243 74 246 59764 56997 83 244 86 241 85 246 56997 54126 101 244 98 240 100 244 54126 51385 118 243 113 243 111 245 51385 48917 133 243 131 246 124 246 48917 46705 142 240 144 244 137 246 46705 44698 143 239 149 242 146 244 44698 42858 141 240 151 239 147 241 42858 41155 144 241 148 238 143 240 41155 39572 150 240 146 240 141 242 39572 38098 156 239 147 242 139 243 38098 36717 161 240 151 242 139 244 36717 35384 166 240 155 241 141 244 35384 34027 166 238 158 239 143 244 34027 32615 166 237 158 239 140 244 32615 31149 163 237 156 239 138 245 31149 29616 158 239 152 240 131 247 29616 28007 149 242 144 241 113 249 28007 26325 142 244 135 246 97 254 26325 24564 137 247 118 250 92 255 24564 22719 117 249 105 251 92 252 22719 20796 101 251 99 254 91 251 20796 18790 96 254 93 256 86 252 18790 16700 88 255 83 256 79 254 16700 14573 79 257 72 257 68 256 14573 12531 72 259 65 260 60 260 12531 10681 64 259 60 262 55 264 10681 9045 52 256 53 261 49 270 9045 7608 42 255 46 261 41 274 7608 6351 37 258 36 264 32 277 6351 5251 28*262 27 270 26 278 5251 4286 14*260 16*274 19 275 4286 3442 13 261 15*277 15 276 3442 2699 12 261 15 278 14 282 2699 2037 12 261 15 279 13 288 2037 1453 12 262 15 280 13 294 1453 967 11 262 15 281 12 299 967 595 11 262 14 281 11 302 595 340 10 262 14 281 9 304 340 185 9 262 12 281 7 303 185 96 8 263 9 281 4*299 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography