DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 47.4 - - 48.6 - - 40.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 168 - - 2 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 954 - - 1638 - - 2048 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 764 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1034 - - 1718 - - 2128 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 630 - - 852 - - 680 - - 906 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 263 - - 80 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 056 - - 157 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1893 - - -3057 - - -2530 - - -1152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2928 - - 4775 - - 4659 - - 1249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17302 - - -17303 - - -16384 - - -15430 ODpotential blCL - - - 18336 - - 19021 - - 18512 - - 15527 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 56 - - 60 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 47.4 - - 48.6 - - 40.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.0 - - 27.3 - - 28.9 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 46.5 - - 48.9 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 26.4 - - 28.4 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 168 - - 2 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 954 - - 1638 - - 2048 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96430 25 230 30 254 33 269 20 245 96430 89318 15 182 18 210 17 222 13 241 89318 83872 12 170 13 182 23 173 21 227 83872 79319 17 217 12 196 19 180 22 219 79319 75356 20 219 8 216 12 198 14 212 75356 71834 17 209 16 217 17 240 13 234 71834 68640 15 216 18 216 22 223 16 218 68640 65693 21 246 20 238 20 235 20 219 65693 62957 28 247 28 242 30 259 21 236 62957 60325 29 256 33 253 32 257 28 242 60325 57600 37 257 45 254 41 258 35 258 57600 54786 49 247 48 241 51 248 61 250 54786 52099 46 241 39 246 51 246 66 247 52099 49670 48 272 55 267 58 257 62 253 49670 47484 70 266 68 266 73 259 67 262 47484 45502 75 258 71 264 74 258 73 259 45502 43693 72 258 78 264 78 262 78 256 43693 42034 70 260 86 264 83 263 79 257 42034 40500 70 265 87 263 85 260 80 259 40500 39061 76 270 82 265 80 255 80 259 39061 37697 80 274 78 268 71 253 78 259 37697 36369 83 277 77 266 66 255 75 257 36369 35010 83 279 73 262 64 256 67 248 35010 33593 79 278 69 258 64 254 60 247 33593 32120 75 277 67 255 65 248 60 252 32120 30576 68 277 68 255 67 245 60 253 30576 28949 64 269 67 256 66 248 56 253 28949 27234 65 264 63 258 62 251 54 255 27234 25430 69 264 59 260 55 257 55 257 25430 23539 63 261 56 260 51 260 53 256 23539 21565 54 260 51 257 49 255 49 252 21565 19505 48 261 42 252 46 251 47 249 19505 17354 46 258 40 248 42 253 43 249 17354 15158 43 252 40 253 37 262 36 254 15158 13040 38 250 38 253 33 271 27 255 13040 11121 33 255 29 254 32 262 26 267 11121 9428 27 264 21 258 27 246 30 276 9428 7936 19 260 18 251 21 244 28 263 7936 6621 12 242 17 223 17 247 26 250 6621 5461 2 065 11 197 20 237 22 247 5461 4441 10 041 8 163 21 200 19 249 4441 3551 8 029 7 154 20 197 22 227 3551 2775 5 179 6 190 16*192 26 208 2775 2089 7 181 2*193 11*164 25 196 2089 1487 5*089 3*060 11 160 20 183 1487 987 8*059 4 057 10 156 19 161 987 607 7 058 4 056 9 153 18 150 607 346 7 057 4 054 9 152 15 147 346 187 6 057 4 055 8 150 13*147 187 97 5 056 3 053 6 149 7*146 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography