DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 72.4 - - 72.3 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 7 - - 15 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3818 - - 3142 - - 2998 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2456 - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3898 - - 3222 - - 3078 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1965 - - 2080 - - 1628 - - 3775 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 380 - - 133 - - 154 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 23 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 039 - - 035 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 12 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 2 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -372 - - -117 - - -75 - - -2103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4271 - - 3339 - - 3153 - - 2202 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1746 - - -1309 - - -1949 - - -2928 ODpotential blCL - - - 5644 - - 4531 - - 5027 - - 3027 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 90 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 72.4 - - 72.3 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 58.3 - - 58.9 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 72.7 - - 72.4 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 58.0 - - 58.7 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 7 - - 15 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3818 - - 3142 - - 2998 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 102 - - 101 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98221 14 065 14 094 28 119 6 100 98221 90891 14 106 11 115 14 124 14 083 90891 85223 14 121 8 125 6 106 13 092 85223 80517 14 101 11 139 4 087 6 114 80517 76463 15 085 12 118 6 078 4 126 76463 72887 14 087 15 113 4 070 3 064 72887 69656 10 070 14 122 6 115 8 033 69656 66685 4 091 9 114 6 121 7 031 66685 63935 7 120 8 114 6 139 6 136 63935 61277 3 097 9 118 6 134 7 112 61277 58511 7 172 7 160 6 159 9 157 58511 55648 7 165 8 142 5 142 8 145 55648 52915 14 180 16 179 15 185 7 184 52915 50443 21 178 25 148 17 156 17 194 50443 48224 29 172 22 171 24 184 24 177 48224 46215 35 172 31 178 33 168 23 150 46215 44373 40 174 36 175 31 158 15 154 44373 42668 44 170 45 174 32 182 29 197 42668 41084 41 166 49 171 38 185 41 187 41084 39610 36 168 45 171 39 188 41 180 39610 38230 35 171 39 176 49 184 45 166 38230 36893 33 169 37 181 53 179 42 154 36893 35524 31 165 38 182 48 174 41 154 35524 34093 30 162 34 181 43 177 36 145 34093 32603 28 160 29 177 35 177 27 129 32603 31039 26 160 28 170 30 170 23 111 31039 29389 25 164 27 163 27 161 19 124 29389 27653 24 166 23 155 22 157 18 150 27653 25832 21 166 21 145 17 141 16 164 25832 23924 19 164 22 150 19 139 14 144 23924 21932 15 158 23 161 22 142 16 113 21932 19856 10 156 17 158 20 145 18 114 19856 17690 7 137 17 151 18 174 16 132 17690 15483 9 111 17 129 10 160 11 146 15483 13355 13 054 18 096 19 104 11 102 13355 11417 17 049 17 100 23 092 20 108 11417 9695 22 053 16 069 19 072 20 093 9695 8176 24 049 20 052 26 051 21 066 8176 6838 26 050 24 049 31 049 27 047 6838 5661 27 054 25 048 32 046 31 040 5661 4624 25*053 24 045 28 041 31 038 4624 3714 22*048 23*040 26*038 29 035 3714 2914 21 046 23*038 26*037 28 035 2914 2200 21 046 23 038 25 036 27 035 2200 1569 20 045 22 039 24 035 27 035 1569 1043 20 046 21 039 23 035 25 035 1043 640 19 045 20 039 22 034 22 034 640 363 18 045 18 039 19 033 18 033 363 195 16 045 15 039 16 033 15 033 195 99 12 045 11 038 12 032 9*031 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography