DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 69.3 - - 71.6 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 75 - - -9 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1613 - - 2209 - - 2666 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 749 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1693 - - 2289 - - 2746 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1418 - - 1341 - - 2209 - - 712 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 238 - - 127 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 328 - - 335 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 415 - - -84 - - -340 - - -1055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1278 - - 2373 - - 3086 - - 1154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1094 - - -6507 - - -6746 - - -2933 ODpotential blCL - - - 2787 - - 8796 - - 9492 - - 3032 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 82 - - 76 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 69.3 - - 71.6 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.8 - - 59.3 - - 58.5 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 68.8 - - 72.3 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.8 - - 57.9 - - 57.1 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 75 - - -9 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1613 - - 2209 - - 2666 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 26 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98267 12 222 16 208 21 232 24 236 98267 90871 6 272 8 220 12 238 15 263 90871 85139 7 239 8 251 8 229 10 270 85139 80361 12 224 10 280 9 281 6 298 80361 76250 14 216 14 256 13 256 12 300 76250 72653 10 229 17 236 14 248 10 261 72653 69405 9 219 14 239 16 257 15 284 69405 66432 13 257 11 271 14 253 23 276 66432 63704 25 266 21 272 21 274 20 255 63704 61059 28 262 27 231 22 275 18 255 61059 58306 37 278 27 271 33 268 32 271 58306 55483 49 269 44 271 44 267 43 264 55483 52810 54 252 51 261 53 262 52 257 52810 50404 53 247 59 257 59 260 58 262 50404 48243 58 260 63 258 64 262 65 264 48243 46281 66 264 67 260 66 263 68 262 46281 44474 75 265 70 261 67 263 69 259 44474 42792 88 264 72 260 66 265 65 256 42792 41215 93 256 78 259 68 264 63 254 41215 39728 91 252 87 253 73 260 65 252 39728 38321 85 249 89 247 82 255 68 251 38321 36954 78 244 89 243 90 251 70 249 36954 35559 74 238 87 240 99 248 74 247 35559 34103 73 232 88 238 103 248 79 246 34103 32589 73 227 90 239 104 252 84 249 32589 31001 73 225 91 247 86 257 68 258 31001 29336 72 231 68 257 62 264 37 269 29336 27596 66 251 46 256 47 269 32 284 27596 25775 52 267 39 259 37 271 32 292 25775 23874 36 265 39 264 32 276 31 293 23874 21897 29 266 37 265 31 291 31 295 21897 19836 29 269 30 270 32 299 29 292 19836 17679 26 274 24 277 24 291 26 285 17679 15471 21 276 23 281 22 280 24 290 15471 13341 18 279 24 282 23 285 20 295 13341 11405 18 280 23 287 23 295 18 297 11405 9691 20 282 21 292 23 301 18 301 9691 8175 18 285 20 299 21 304 19 304 8175 6836 15 289 20 306 19 309 19 313 6836 5659 15 309 19 316 18 320 16 318 5659 4625 18 350 20 333 16 324 13 331 4625 3718 21 001 18 342 14 326 13 342 3718 2917 17 002 15*343 12*329 14 351 2917 2201 13*001 7*331 11*332 16 359 2201 1570 11*359 6 327 10 333 17 004 1570 1043 9 352 6 327 8 336 17 006 1043 640 9 350 5 326 8 336 16 008 640 363 8 349 5 327 7 338 13 009 363 195 7 348 5 328 6 338 10*008 195 99 6 348 4 326 5 339 5*008 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography