DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 35.0 - - 33.3 - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 34 - - 3 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1580 - - 690 - - 340 - - 335 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1660 - - 770 - - 420 - - 415 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1125 - - 1785 - - 2164 - - 2164 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 117 - - 48 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 19 - - 18 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 031 - - 025 - - 013 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 656 - - 311 - - -5 - - -72 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1004 - - 459 - - 425 - - 487 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 364 - - 187 - - -109 - - -216 ODpotential blCL - - - 1296 - - 583 - - 529 - - 631 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.1 - - 35.0 - - 33.3 - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 33.7 - - 32.1 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 35.0 - - 33.6 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 33.3 - - 32.0 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 34 - - 3 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1580 - - 690 - - 340 - - 335 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96082 19 270 27 238 33 260 23 257 96082 88843 23 247 24 263 28 263 22 260 88843 83250 24 249 26 248 28 237 26 251 83250 78596 26 266 24 239 33 250 35 254 78596 74601 32 257 31 251 39 250 35 244 74601 71075 30 250 34 251 35 250 39 248 71075 67878 43 258 36 246 43 249 42 247 67878 64929 43 239 40 248 46 242 41 257 64929 62196 41 253 51 255 45 253 51 262 62196 59582 63 260 51 249 50 254 58 260 59582 56864 73 243 48 247 64 256 69 257 56864 54028 70 261 73 258 81 253 85 252 54028 51309 94 257 100 253 89 252 101 250 51309 48849 99 251 112 248 101 253 106 248 48849 46633 108 249 116 241 111 250 106 246 46633 44615 120 243 118 241 114 248 105 244 44615 42760 127 239 121 241 115 247 100 243 42760 41040 128 239 123 240 114 246 94 244 41040 39435 126 238 121 239 115 245 89 246 39435 37928 122 238 118 240 119 244 90 251 37928 36506 117 239 118 241 121 242 97 253 36506 35131 118 241 119 241 123 240 104 252 35131 33732 120 240 121 241 123 240 108 250 33732 32281 123 239 124 239 123 239 110 247 32281 30781 124 238 128 239 122 237 109 244 30781 29220 119 237 129 239 120 237 105 242 29220 27592 113 236 123 239 114 236 96 239 27592 25905 107 234 105 238 100 235 83 237 25905 24161 95 232 90 234 83 234 72 237 24161 22359 80 230 79 233 77 233 65 237 22359 20496 71 230 63 237 70 233 53 237 20496 18562 64 233 53 242 53 234 40 234 18562 16543 54 237 52 241 43 232 30 230 16543 14475 53 238 55 240 44 235 33 243 14475 12479 42 235 46 237 39 235 32 247 12479 10669 27 232 30 223 24 225 28 234 10669 9064 26 232 15 216 12 221 18 233 9064 7643 17 216 5 217 9 207 14 255 7643 6382 7 236 5 117 10 172 9 254 6382 5266 7 345 13 099 14 112 2 347 5266 4289 13 039 22 084 26 072 20 060 4289 3438 23 053 27 063 29 054 29 048 3438 2693 30 043 30 045 32 034 31 035 2693 2032 31*034 30 034 32 024 32 022 2032 1450 30*033 29 031 31 021 31 019 1450 965 29 032 28*029 29 018 29 015 965 594 26 031 25*027 26*016 25*012 594 339 23 030 21 025 22*014 21*011 339 185 19 030 17 025 19 013 18 010 185 96 14 029 12 023 13 012 12 009 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography