DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 91.1 - - 92.1 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 273 - - 75 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1424 - - 5571 - - 5855 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 746 - - 3918 - - 3307 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1504 - - 5651 - - 5935 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1722 - - 2177 - - 3860 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 471 - - 322 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 237 - - 233 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5092 - - -3806 - - -4559 - - -6446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6596 - - 9458 - - 10495 - - 6546 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7700 - - -5850 - - -7952 - - -10741 ODpotential blCL - - - 9204 - - 11501 - - 13887 - - 10841 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 68 - - 63 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 91.1 - - 92.1 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 50.0 - - 46.4 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.6 - - 89.6 - - 91.7 - - 83.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 48.7 - - 45.2 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 273 - - 75 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1424 - - 5571 - - 5855 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97085 29 241 34 241 46 248 36 246 97085 89794 34 237 35 246 34 244 30 255 89794 84231 28 242 30 234 26 246 25 260 84231 79645 14 247 16 233 21 238 21 266 79645 75721 5 294 7 261 12 242 14 256 75721 72245 7 267 8 276 10 259 11 286 72245 69071 7 276 12 279 12 272 11 284 69071 66151 21 277 18 265 15 273 15 274 66151 63448 16 266 14 251 13 277 9 272 63448 60815 12 276 20 280 24 291 30 299 60815 58069 34 278 30 272 33 278 35 276 58069 55233 39 281 29 275 33 279 37 281 55233 52531 45 290 34 290 41 287 47 282 52531 50102 48 289 47 284 52 285 57 290 50102 47943 49 292 47 277 58 286 67 289 47943 46009 51 291 44 285 60 290 63 291 46009 44250 50 289 50 289 60 289 65 289 44250 42623 43 298 57 286 56 285 64 277 42623 41097 47 320 57 280 51 285 54 274 41097 39656 44 315 49 270 47 294 50 276 39656 38287 43 304 40 268 41 293 46 274 38287 36954 41 307 31 271 38 274 43 269 36954 35589 38 310 15 271 36 258 39 266 35589 34162 35 311 12 285 31 253 37 267 34162 32677 32 307 16 289 31 256 37 272 32677 31119 31 302 21 274 32 261 38 277 31119 29480 33 297 26 270 31 262 36 279 29480 27755 36 291 26 274 29 261 34 278 27755 25943 36 287 23 280 26 259 31 278 25943 24042 34 284 22 271 25 256 29 281 24042 22061 33 283 26 270 27 266 28 284 22061 19991 32 287 28 278 28 282 29 286 19991 17831 29 297 21 296 22 283 22 307 17831 15628 25 298 17 297 16 274 17 299 15628 13508 18 299 16 295 15 283 13 293 13508 11585 11 303 9 281 13 275 11 305 11585 9878 11 268 8 268 11 248 10 293 9878 8362 12 251 11 254 15 243 10 263 8362 7014 10 256 15 243 15*241 14 247 7014 5818 9 272 15*241 15*237 17 238 5818 4759 10 286 15*240 15 235 18 233 4759 3826 10 284 14 239 15 234 19 231 3826 3002 11 283 14 237 15 233 19 228 3002 2266 12 273 14 237 15 232 19 226 2266 1615 10*248 14 236 14 232 19 224 1615 1073 9*236 13 235 14 231 18 221 1073 657 9 234 13 235 14 230 17 218 657 372 8 233 12 234 13 230 14 214 372 199 8 232 11 233 12 230 11 210 199 100 6 231 9 234 9 229 5*202 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography