DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 64.7 - - 63.1 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 113 - - -44 - - -91 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 580 - - 1555 - - 118 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 493 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 660 - - 1635 - - 198 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 336 - - 883 - - 1762 - - 780 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 139 - - 233 - - 34 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 22 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 212 - - 202 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2287 - - -2910 - - -3880 - - -3058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2948 - - 4545 - - 4078 - - 3156 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12160 - - -10887 - - -10941 - - -11239 ODpotential blCL - - - 12820 - - 12522 - - 11139 - - 11337 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 52 - - 51 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 64.7 - - 63.1 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 45.5 - - 45.9 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 64.4 - - 64.3 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 44.6 - - 45.5 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 113 - - -44 - - -91 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 580 - - 1555 - - 118 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96454 8 246 21 253 27 256 23 265 96454 89346 22 276 19 257 25 258 24 253 89346 83845 25 267 22 259 23 260 23 251 83845 79261 17 267 24 249 28 253 22 276 79261 75281 12 269 25 241 27 247 28 271 75281 71748 17 276 18 243 25 244 29 248 71748 68559 27 268 26 260 29 251 28 251 68559 65627 32 264 32 259 31 254 27 261 65627 62910 34 262 33 264 38 258 39 263 62910 60294 33 256 38 261 44 253 41 265 60294 57567 31 253 41 252 46 247 46 275 57567 54744 35 264 42 254 51 255 62 267 54744 52069 47 273 48 264 60 265 69 257 52069 49674 54 276 59 273 64 271 70 256 49674 47526 58 277 63 271 67 270 70 259 47526 45570 60 273 66 264 73 266 75 262 45570 43769 64 269 68 262 76 263 81 263 43769 42100 67 267 73 264 83 263 87 263 42100 40547 72 266 79 264 87 263 91 262 40547 39094 78 269 84 264 88 262 93 262 39094 37726 85 271 87 265 87 262 93 261 37726 36399 87 272 87 266 87 261 91 260 36399 35046 83 272 84 266 84 262 89 258 35046 33639 80 271 78 265 79 263 84 257 33639 32179 76 272 73 264 73 263 80 257 32179 30646 73 273 70 264 70 263 77 258 30646 29029 63 273 68 264 68 261 75 260 29029 27325 56 275 64 265 66 260 72 261 27325 25535 55 273 63 265 64 261 68 262 25535 23660 53 273 62 264 62 262 66 262 23660 21703 54 275 59 266 61 262 65 263 21703 19658 55 275 54 268 59 263 65 264 19658 17519 51 270 51 266 57 264 62 260 17519 15337 44 266 50 261 56 264 58 254 15337 13241 41 265 50 256 59 259 56 255 13241 11342 37 263 49 258 62 255 55 257 11342 9653 33 256 46 260 60 254 55 260 9653 8151 33 252 43 258 57 255 56 263 8151 6817 28 252 39 253 54 255 55 265 6817 5636 25 248 36 248 50 253 53 264 5636 4595 28 239 35 242 46 247 50 261 4595 3682 25 218 38 236 43 239 48 253 3682 2879 25 217 37 225 44 233 49 243 2879 2167 27 224 34*221 41 223 49 230 2167 1542 27 224 29*217 36 212 47 222 1542 1024 24*222 24 212 32 207 41 218 1024 628 19*220 22 211 28 205 34 215 628 357 16 217 20 210 24*203 25 213 357 193 13 217 18 209 20*202 21 212 193 98 10 216 13 209 13 201 12*211 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography