DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 41.2 - - 42.1 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 75 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 607 - - 1295 - - 1430 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 687 - - 1375 - - 1510 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 510 - - 598 - - 661 - - 1756 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 188 - - 76 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 282 - - 254 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 76 - - 513 - - 510 - - -337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 611 - - 862 - - 1000 - - 434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 115 - - 491 - - 143 - - -756 ODpotential blCL - - - 572 - - 884 - - 1367 - - 853 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 41.2 - - 42.1 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 38.0 - - 38.2 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 40.8 - - 42.3 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 37.1 - - 37.6 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 75 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 607 - - 1295 - - 1430 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 93 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96285 6 273 8 321 11 292 9 294 96285 89042 9 291 1 321 10 240 13 255 89042 83486 10 223 12 275 12 245 17 249 83486 78887 15 260 14 241 13 265 17 255 78887 74918 22 271 16 233 18 247 25 254 74918 71426 21 265 22 259 18 264 25 257 71426 68279 23 273 27 258 24 277 26 267 68279 65387 32 271 30 251 30 265 31 259 65387 62704 36 264 35 259 34 254 38 250 62704 60101 42 267 43 260 41 248 45 248 60101 57374 50 260 49 254 49 250 52 248 57374 54530 55 257 58 256 60 251 62 253 54530 51802 63 255 66 254 71 251 72 251 51802 49339 72 253 73 251 78 250 80 250 49339 47124 78 254 80 251 81 253 85 254 47124 45100 92 255 90 252 85 259 96 257 45100 43241 108 251 101 248 101 258 108 252 43241 41536 130 249 122 247 119 253 112 247 41536 39962 142 249 132 246 134 250 107 245 39962 38486 156 249 137 248 148 247 112 253 38486 37090 163 248 146 251 154 246 121 255 37090 35732 156 247 150 251 155 244 124 252 35732 34341 142 249 148 250 151 239 129 247 34341 32900 133 253 149 247 141 234 141 245 32900 31422 128 249 144 243 135 232 151 239 31422 29885 125 247 145 243 132 230 152 233 29885 28260 125 247 144 243 133 230 148 231 28260 26545 123 245 141 241 138 233 145 232 26545 24740 122 242 134 240 141 238 148 233 24740 22852 122 243 120 238 132 242 149 240 22852 20894 116 246 110 238 121 245 135 246 20894 18873 91 251 96 250 103 249 98 253 18873 16785 64 251 81 253 82 254 79 257 16785 14674 58 248 72 253 61 257 57 268 14674 12651 60 245 58 250 48 257 41 270 12651 10815 54 246 47 252 40 255 31 267 10815 9189 43 251 35 259 30 262 27 268 9189 7752 30 249 27 259 24 266 23 281 7752 6482 24 248 25 255 21 270 20 289 6482 5358 20 251 24 255 21 276 19 292 5358 4369 17 252 21 258 20 281 18 300 4369 3502 15 252 17 260 18 279 18 307 3502 2742 14 249 14 279 14 276 17 309 2742 2065 11 247 11 282 11*272 16 300 2065 1472 5 295 7*280 8*258 13 290 1472 980 4*300 6*282 6 255 11 289 980 603 3*290 6 282 6 253 10 291 603 344 3 288 5 282 5 252 8 295 344 187 3 288 5 282 5 252 6*297 187 97 2 289 4 282 4 250 3*296 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography