DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.4 - - 45.5 - - 45.7 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 239 - - 61 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 3469 - - 2544 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 2232 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 763 - - 3549 - - 2624 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2229 - - 816 - - 1807 - - 653 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 378 - - 217 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 253 - - 227 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2191 - - -624 - - -713 - - -971 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2954 - - 4173 - - 3337 - - 1068 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10764 - - -8113 - - -860 - - -9177 ODpotential blCL - - - 11527 - - 11662 - - 3484 - - 9274 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 81 - - 89 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.4 - - 45.5 - - 45.7 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.2 - - 27.8 - - 31.7 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 44.4 - - 45.4 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.6 - - 27.1 - - 31.4 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 239 - - 61 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 3469 - - 2544 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 24 - - 58 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96442 60 210 41 223 44 235 33 245 96442 89216 51 218 39 214 40 237 37 246 89216 83643 48 252 33 215 36 229 37 237 83643 78994 37 250 32 249 30 246 33 237 78994 74978 23 244 30 242 30 253 36 249 74978 71451 20 268 25 241 30 239 36 241 71451 68270 26 280 24 269 25 245 30 240 68270 65333 42 271 33 279 25 262 33 253 65333 62607 52 265 41 273 32 262 39 258 62607 59971 51 264 42 268 41 255 47 258 59971 57208 50 260 51 263 49 263 51 264 57208 54318 54 263 58 261 66 263 69 263 54318 51553 64 268 68 261 74 257 77 257 51553 49060 70 269 76 261 76 261 82 257 49060 46812 73 271 84 262 86 264 91 258 46812 44758 76 272 90 260 97 260 99 258 44758 42867 83 268 89 256 101 258 103 258 42867 41118 93 263 89 258 95 260 104 258 41118 39497 100 260 94 261 88 263 107 258 39497 37990 97 261 96 260 94 261 110 258 37990 36586 100 267 94 260 99 255 111 256 36586 35246 112 268 92 261 101 251 110 254 35246 33902 112 266 95 261 98 250 108 251 33902 32520 109 266 98 259 97 252 106 251 32520 31093 107 268 98 258 97 253 98 250 31093 29601 104 270 93 259 94 251 91 249 29601 28027 99 270 90 262 88 251 88 250 28027 26369 93 273 91 263 84 251 86 251 26369 24626 89 277 90 265 78 253 82 252 24626 22805 79 275 85 269 72 258 73 256 22805 20912 70 273 77 271 68 263 65 261 20912 18937 63 271 68 268 65 265 61 260 18937 16873 54 269 58 267 61 266 59 256 16873 14763 46 270 53 271 58 266 54 263 14763 12730 40 275 47 277 57 267 53 271 12730 10879 37 277 39 276 55 268 51 270 10879 9233 35 278 37 274 48 269 46 266 9233 7777 33 280 35 273 40 274 39 261 7777 6493 32 280 30 271 32 269 34 259 6493 5361 29 273 27 268 28 270 30 263 5361 4369 26 264 22*266 21 260 27 265 4369 3504 18 267 14*257 15 250 22 263 3504 2746 15 278 13 255 14*248 17 259 2746 2071 14 285 13 253 13*240 14 256 2071 1475 13 290 12 252 12 230 10 250 1475 980 13*291 12 251 11 223 9 223 980 602 11*292 11 250 10 221 11 195 602 343 8 290 11 249 10 220 10 179 343 186 7 291 10 249 9 219 8*174 186 97 6 289 8 248 7 218 4*169 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography