DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.0 - - 64.5 - - 66.6 - - 67.2 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 20 - - 19 - - -3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 395 - - 669 - - 1000 - - 1069 - - 148 BL Depth Hcrit 83 - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top 475 - - 749 - - 1080 - - 1149 - - 228 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 845 - - 1003 - - 1079 - - 1262 - - 1801 Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 100 - - 116 - - 64 - - 25 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 340 - - 347 - - 341 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 145 - - 322 - - 436 - - 433 - - -313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 330 - - 427 - - 644 - - 716 - - 541 sfcLCL ODpotential -17 - - 182 - - 235 - - 116 - - -705 ODpotential blCL 492 - - 567 - - 845 - - 1033 - - 933 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 160 - - 280 - - 200 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 64.0 - - 64.5 - - 66.6 - - 67.2 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.8 - - 62.9 - - 64.0 - - 64.3 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.2 - - 64.6 - - 66.7 - - 67.7 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.7 - - 62.7 - - 63.6 - - 64.0 - - 63.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 20 - - 19 - - -3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 395 - - 669 - - 1000 - - 1069 - - 148 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98124 20 252 18 213 23 217 20 236 21 275 98124 90765 18 244 15 234 18 224 23 227 21 241 90765 85090 15 249 13 260 12 234 19 232 16 243 85090 80380 12 251 11 254 13 253 14 254 12 276 80380 76337 8 280 3 228 11 239 11 269 11 297 76337 72779 4 319 1 348 8 212 10 261 9 299 72779 69574 5 260 2 024 7 173 8 246 4 278 69574 66636 7 272 3 309 1 173 6 254 6 312 66636 63910 6 246 6 268 6 266 11 260 11 294 63910 61269 12 261 9 271 11 259 12 249 13 283 61269 58518 18 262 13 268 15 254 20 251 18 273 58518 55662 29 247 20 262 19 259 24 244 23 258 55662 52929 33 247 29 249 27 260 28 250 30 250 52929 50464 40 249 33 242 34 258 33 260 35 257 50464 48251 45 246 39 245 43 249 43 254 39 255 48251 46236 49 239 49 240 49 239 47 249 40 256 46236 44386 51 232 51 237 50 236 48 247 47 254 44386 42679 52 228 52 234 51 235 53 247 47 250 42679 41087 54 228 53 232 54 234 53 244 48 256 41087 39597 57 227 57 232 59 233 54 244 55 257 39597 38194 61 226 63 228 62 231 57 242 58 254 38194 36833 62 227 63 222 62 226 60 238 59 254 36833 35445 62 228 57 224 59 223 61 234 59 254 35445 33999 63 227 60 231 58 224 60 235 56 254 33999 32499 66 225 61 231 59 230 59 239 51 256 32499 30934 66 222 58 227 59 235 57 242 47 259 30934 29289 63 222 57 226 56 234 53 244 43 260 29289 27560 56 221 56 225 51 230 49 242 41 263 27560 25744 46 221 48 223 45 232 41 249 38 268 25744 23849 33 223 40 218 34 243 34 261 34 276 23849 21877 30 219 32 221 21 255 28 265 31 281 21877 19820 30 220 26 224 19 252 23 263 28 277 19820 17668 24 224 23 225 20 242 21 267 24 278 17668 15473 15 223 17 232 15 251 15 267 16 274 15473 13363 14 221 14 243 12 267 10 276 11 260 13363 11447 8 245 10 253 11 274 9 283 10 268 11447 9743 3 219 5 251 8 264 7 283 12 285 9743 8229 3 023 3 297 4 272 7 293 12 308 8229 6885 5 029 6 347 5 006 7 344 11 330 6885 5694 6 046 10 014 8 019 11 358 13 347 5694 4641 5 055 10 018 7 029 9 000 12 355 4641 3719 4 066 9 009 8 035 8 012 9 012 3719 2911 5 004 12 006 12 014 13 005 12 017 2911 2192 8 346 14 002 16 358 17 351 17 007 2192 1561 15 358 16 351 14*352 17*347 18 356 1561 1038 16 348 15*348 12*349 15*343 16 348 1038 637 13*338 12*341 11 347 14 341 14 345 637 362 11*335 11 340 10 346 13 340 12*343 362 194 9 334 10 339 9 346 10 340 10*341 194 99 6 333 7 338 7 346 7 339 6 340 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography