DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 59.3 - - 57.9 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 179 - - 1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 2829 - - 2295 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1635 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 708 - - 2909 - - 2375 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1472 - - 1080 - - 1539 - - 224 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 321 - - 67 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 18 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 011 - - 030 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3077 - - -2777 - - -2998 - - -1816 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3785 - - 5687 - - 5373 - - 1914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12956 - - -12533 - - -13042 - - -14061 ODpotential blCL - - - 13664 - - 15442 - - 15417 - - 14159 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 53 - - 59 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 59.3 - - 57.9 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 35.0 - - 35.2 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 58.1 - - 58.2 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 34.5 - - 34.7 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 179 - - 1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 2829 - - 2295 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96057 38 261 50 260 45 266 49 262 96057 89068 33 260 37 280 34 278 28 272 89068 83639 25 259 28 267 25 289 18 290 83639 79099 15 293 19 262 22 293 17 292 79099 75166 9 305 15 269 18 293 15 297 75166 71680 10 309 13 276 16 284 17 302 71680 68519 11 281 17 278 21 267 23 286 68519 65615 20 295 22 279 23 271 24 283 65615 62923 35 293 34 287 29 278 31 277 62923 60307 46 290 38 286 33 286 34 279 60307 57569 51 285 44 281 44 289 45 288 57569 54726 54 279 49 281 52 285 59 282 54726 52019 56 279 61 281 58 283 63 277 52019 49586 59 277 62 276 59 278 64 280 49586 47402 59 276 57 281 60 282 72 277 47402 45428 57 277 65 284 72 276 73 270 45428 43633 60 284 70 274 65 262 60 260 43633 41986 70 280 65 269 55 259 47 265 41986 40457 68 286 59 289 56 282 44 289 40457 39022 85 304 72 303 78 288 62 282 39022 37663 98 304 79 301 80 284 71 274 37663 36344 100 302 80 293 75 280 65 271 36344 34998 98 304 79 287 69 282 54 273 34998 33593 89 299 78 288 66 285 50 269 33593 32128 83 294 71 285 65 288 50 268 32128 30586 72 292 73 294 60 277 51 271 30586 28954 63 292 64 298 52 261 55 275 28954 27235 63 290 58 281 46 269 61 274 27235 25431 66 289 64 272 43 272 65 270 25431 23544 63 294 67 277 48 272 60 267 23544 21576 53 291 63 287 58 279 53 260 21576 19520 43 283 53 293 52 283 45 260 19520 17371 37 282 47 298 43 288 37 260 17371 15172 31 276 36 292 34 292 31 261 15172 13055 28 271 29 274 26 287 26 269 13055 11143 27 280 26 271 23 279 23 276 11143 9458 26 288 21 283 17 280 18 271 9458 7974 20 302 15 291 10 282 10 254 7974 6664 17 316 9 299 7 273 8 218 6664 5509 16 314 7 315 5 278 5 194 5509 4490 14 304 7 324 5 276 2 127 4490 3599 10 305 5*317 3 260 2 115 3599 2818 9 347 3*354 1*275 3 169 2818 2124 12 005 3 008 2*024 3 157 2124 1513 13 003 3 012 3 031 4 113 1513 1006 12*000 3 015 4 030 7 095 1006 617 9*356 4 015 4 031 10 093 617 351 6 352 4 015 4 031 10 093 351 189 6 351 3 015 4 031 9*093 189 98 5 352 3 016 3 029 4*092 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography