DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 79.8 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 321 - - 81 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4961 - - 3373 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3506 - - 1603 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5041 - - 3453 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2184 - - 2542 - - 4439 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 474 - - 274 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 214 - - 208 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 10 - - -428 - - -3898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5031 - - 3881 - - 3998 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -522 - - -1946 - - -5992 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5563 - - 5399 - - 6092 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 76 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 790 - - 950 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 79.8 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.9 - - 63.2 - - 58.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.9 - - 79.5 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.3 - - 62.5 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 321 - - 81 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4961 - - 3373 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 33 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96968 33 268 40 266 34 285 96968 89670 32 271 31 269 32 280 89670 84038 23 269 24 282 30 273 84038 79391 15 288 13 278 17 288 79391 75419 16 315 11 316 11 338 75419 71922 17 326 13 335 14 347 71922 68759 15 321 12 320 15 325 68759 65847 17 320 11 317 17 318 65847 63142 15 309 18 319 18 318 63142 60516 12 318 21 305 18 312 60516 57764 7 313 17 289 16 296 57764 54896 4 286 16 273 17 274 54896 52158 12 298 19 282 22 277 52158 49703 21 281 23 290 23 283 49703 47531 20 268 22 288 16 287 47531 45606 16 280 14 299 14 298 45606 43865 14 299 10 320 11 299 43865 42255 10 315 7 345 6 307 42255 40746 7 349 8 013 4 350 40746 39321 8 009 10 019 6 016 39321 37966 9 008 10 017 8 025 37966 36644 9 008 8 019 9 032 36644 35287 6 000 8 046 4 035 35287 33868 1 289 9 066 5 080 33868 32391 3 201 5 096 4 086 32391 30842 4 200 4 174 4 278 30842 29209 4 153 6 179 8 275 29209 27492 3 196 8 171 8 232 27492 25691 13 230 8 224 9 226 25691 23810 13 244 12 221 13 220 23810 21853 16 243 13 234 14 210 21853 19808 17 223 18 226 17 211 19808 17669 18 218 21 224 19 215 17669 15483 22 219 22 225 20 226 15483 13376 20 217 21 233 26 229 13376 11464 15 206 23 225 29 225 11464 9770 13 210 24 217 27 234 9770 8267 14 219 23 223 23 241 8267 6932 15 223 22 234 21 235 6932 5747 14*220 22 232 23 220 5747 4699 15*218 22 218 26 211 4699 3776 15 216 21*210 26 207 3776 2963 15 215 21*209 26 205 2963 2236 15 213 20 208 25 204 2236 1594 15 212 19 208 25 202 1594 1059 15 211 19 207 23 199 1059 649 15 210 18 207 20 195 649 368 14 210 16 207 16 190 368 197 13 210 14 207 13 188 197 100 11 209 11 207 7*186 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography