DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.2 - - 41.0 - - 39.2 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 19 - - 7 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 809 - - 910 - - 283 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 629 - - 889 - - 990 - - 363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2137 - - 1364 - - 1286 - - 1826 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 106 - - 83 - - 81 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 21 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 039 - - 014 - - 357 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 12 - - 14 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 153 - - 373 - - 405 - - 149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 477 - - 516 - - 585 - - 214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -105 - - 140 - - 179 - - 67 ODpotential blCL - - - 734 - - 749 - - 811 - - 296 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.2 - - 41.0 - - 39.2 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 39.1 - - 36.9 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 41.1 - - 39.4 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 38.7 - - 36.6 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 19 - - 7 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 809 - - 910 - - 283 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96723 20 107 8 067 17 052 18 081 96723 89598 16 094 15 111 10 094 7 058 89598 84051 15 099 15 111 11 125 2 037 84051 79402 11 098 9 120 9 122 7 255 79402 75367 4 106 6 134 3 207 8 251 75367 71767 3 056 3 159 5 216 11 256 71767 68488 9 344 4 298 5 228 8 262 68488 65476 18 280 12 295 10 253 11 266 65476 62700 20 264 15 280 15 267 17 258 62700 60016 20 270 22 254 19 262 26 264 60016 57201 31 266 30 252 32 247 34 242 57201 54256 40 245 46 248 32 235 35 248 54256 51428 50 256 53 243 43 253 44 248 51428 48873 66 259 57 243 61 245 46 244 48873 46574 77 249 61 248 59 241 49 245 46574 44484 80 246 76 248 56 247 56 244 44484 42567 88 244 86 243 71 249 62 241 42567 40793 99 238 91 238 88 243 66 239 40793 39139 105 231 98 235 95 237 69 239 39139 37592 106 230 107 234 99 231 73 238 37592 36138 114 234 114 229 104 226 78 234 36138 34738 124 235 115 226 106 222 81 230 34738 33322 129 234 119 226 106 221 82 227 33322 31860 131 231 124 226 106 222 84 225 31860 30358 132 228 126 225 109 222 86 223 30358 28803 133 228 125 224 111 221 84 222 28803 27186 126 230 123 224 109 220 81 222 27186 25506 106 230 115 224 103 222 77 222 25506 23767 91 223 101 224 96 221 68 224 23767 21984 93 222 92 221 91 219 46 235 21984 20167 87 229 88 222 86 216 18 264 20167 18286 72 234 78 228 76 216 11 281 18286 16311 54 232 60 230 56 218 6 309 16311 14291 44 225 47 224 41 211 10 346 14291 12340 40 215 42 221 40 210 15 335 12340 10567 41 204 38 222 31 222 19 317 10567 8992 42 194 33 229 17 251 20 309 8992 7595 39 174 27 222 14 259 25 313 7595 6358 33 148 19 199 8 250 29 317 6358 5263 27 122 14 157 4 038 34 318 5263 4297 25 099 18 095 19 030 37 320 4297 3450 27 080 25 063 30 020 39 324 3450 2705 28 069 29 045 33 014 41 324 2705 2041 27 063 30 031 33 011 40 322 2041 1456 26 057 29 022 31*007 37 319 1456 969 23*049 27*019 26*000 33 315 969 597 20*042 25*016 23 358 28*313 597 341 17 039 21 014 20 356 24*311 341 185 14 037 18 013 17 355 20 310 185 97 10 033 13 011 12 353 14 309 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography