DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 77.5 - - 76.1 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 65 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1737 - - 2089 - - 1919 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 84 - - 574 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1817 - - 2169 - - 1999 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1753 - - 1886 - - 1334 - - 2157 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 230 - - 143 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 030 - - 051 - - 047 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 933 - - 1036 - - 222 - - -954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 885 - - 1133 - - 1777 - - 1054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 324 - - 288 - - -3209 - - -2668 ODpotential blCL - - - 1493 - - 1881 - - 5208 - - 2768 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 98 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 930 - - 850 - - 180 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 77.5 - - 76.1 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.6 - - 72.5 - - 68.4 - - 68.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 77.2 - - 76.2 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 71.5 - - 67.4 - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 65 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1737 - - 2089 - - 1919 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 82 - - 90 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99039 37 083 39 085 45 079 35 090 99039 91602 35 083 33 078 37 077 33 074 91602 85876 30 075 30 075 28 076 29 073 85876 81139 27 070 24 078 24 081 24 068 81139 77068 22 073 22 081 17 083 22 062 77068 73467 18 072 17 076 13 078 18 054 73467 70202 16 074 12 085 11 062 12 055 70202 67197 13 081 10 098 5 014 6 058 67197 64414 8 095 7 098 1 283 2 006 64414 61726 4 085 3 167 4 312 4 297 61726 58921 5 324 6 202 7 244 9 257 58921 56003 16 280 13 266 13 271 12 249 56003 53226 22 257 21 251 23 267 21 251 53226 50757 26 248 23 248 28 250 29 248 50757 48566 31 258 27 263 31 258 34 254 48566 46589 52 266 51 269 52 267 53 262 46589 44786 66 258 61 257 60 254 59 256 44786 43117 67 260 65 252 57 248 61 256 43117 41552 63 260 60 249 59 246 63 253 41552 40076 61 258 57 248 56 242 61 249 40076 38674 54 253 55 247 53 239 59 248 38674 37306 47 245 52 251 52 236 58 247 37306 35905 47 244 49 254 51 235 58 245 35905 34440 47 243 45 246 50 238 59 243 34440 32919 45 243 45 238 51 244 52 239 32919 31328 42 242 43 241 48 247 49 243 31328 29649 40 241 42 243 43 245 49 248 29649 27882 37 237 40 243 41 237 48 249 27882 26031 37 231 40 244 43 240 46 250 26031 24094 34 235 38 241 41 245 43 257 24094 22077 31 238 35 244 41 246 44 247 22077 19979 30 235 33 242 37 252 34 228 19979 17810 21 246 28 243 21 271 20 279 17810 15607 19 262 21 259 21 272 22 286 15607 13478 18 268 17 266 19 266 16 256 13478 11538 15 281 11 281 12 272 12 227 11538 9819 11 296 11 305 8 302 8 276 9819 8299 11 316 10 342 5 040 7 317 8299 6951 4 000 10 013 9 065 5 001 6951 5756 7 062 10 046 11 071 6 072 5756 4700 12 070 11 066 11 081 10 090 4700 3772 14 062 11 064 11 078 10 089 3772 2956 13 046 12 056 12 065 10 065 2956 2228 13*039 13*053 14*052 12 056 2228 1587 12*034 13*051 13*048 14 055 1587 1055 11 030 13 051 13 047 13 049 1055 647 10 028 13 051 12 046 12 049 647 367 9 028 13 050 12 046 9 048 367 197 8 027 11 050 10 045 7*046 197 100 6 027 9 050 7 045 4*042 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography