DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.6 - - 46.8 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2000 - - 1725 - - 146 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2080 - - 1805 - - 226 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 707 - - 1111 - - 1485 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 196 - - 35 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 096 - - 136 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -833 - - -1023 - - -1622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2913 - - 2828 - - 1849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13191 - - -12156 - - -12094 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15271 - - 13961 - - 12320 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.6 - - 46.8 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.4 - - 35.0 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 44.3 - - 47.0 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.3 - - 34.9 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2000 - - 1725 - - 146 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95940 92 243 86 241 93 244 95940 88821 67 245 64 249 66 245 88821 83343 52 245 52 254 50 246 83343 78808 37 250 42 261 37 250 78808 74898 30 260 36 270 31 265 74898 71428 31 278 31 276 30 279 71428 68281 36 279 35 282 31 279 68281 65386 35 283 38 281 35 281 65386 62697 36 298 33 271 35 268 62697 60080 34 305 35 274 38 266 60080 57359 52 293 44 281 51 278 57359 54552 69 289 58 289 64 281 54552 51862 79 291 77 287 81 285 51862 49423 87 290 93 285 91 284 49423 47231 95 288 98 282 93 284 47231 45247 94 284 95 280 92 286 45247 43438 86 282 92 282 89 290 43438 41769 83 285 93 283 92 293 41769 40216 84 284 92 281 96 292 40216 38764 82 282 89 277 94 289 38764 37398 79 281 84 278 87 287 37398 36079 71 282 82 279 82 287 36079 34734 67 284 79 281 79 286 34734 33331 67 286 77 284 75 285 33331 31870 66 286 74 287 71 283 31870 30336 65 285 73 286 71 281 30336 28715 66 284 73 284 75 280 28715 27009 67 284 71 283 80 279 27009 25218 66 284 67 279 80 280 25218 23344 61 284 68 279 78 283 23344 21394 59 286 62 282 72 285 21394 19364 57 285 56 282 63 281 19364 17245 52 284 53 275 54 277 17245 15081 45 284 53 275 48 279 15081 12995 39 282 46 268 47 280 12995 11102 33 272 40 273 45 275 11102 9428 25 264 31 270 40 266 9428 7948 25 255 28 248 39 255 7948 6639 28 250 31 241 41 242 6639 5481 21 232 31 237 39 239 5481 4460 16 203 26 221 41 234 4460 3564 15 163 20 193 38 222 3564 2783 15*127 16 156 32 199 2783 2094 13*108 15*142 25 184 2094 1491 11 098 14*139 20 167 1491 992 10 093 13 136 18 154 992 610 9 090 12 135 15 152 610 347 8 088 11 134 11*153 347 188 7 087 9 133 9*153 188 97 6 085 6 133 5 153 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography