DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.3 - - 46.4 - - 48.0 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 471 - - 237 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3583 - - 5197 - - 4522 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2313 - - 3832 - - 3016 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3663 - - 5277 - - 4602 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1141 - - 496 - - 970 - - 4893 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 541 - - 411 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 344 - - 349 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 497 - - -460 - - -1937 - - -5437 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3166 - - 5737 - - 6540 - - 5534 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 77 - - -11747 - - -12418 - - -15808 ODpotential blCL - - - 3586 - - 17024 - - 17020 - - 15905 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 75 - - 59 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.3 - - 46.4 - - 48.0 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 21.7 - - 19.9 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 44.6 - - 47.2 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 20.9 - - 19.2 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 471 - - 237 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3583 - - 5197 - - 4522 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96589 36 241 40 237 45 259 42 262 96589 89257 34 243 42 226 47 236 46 255 89257 83648 35 245 37 237 43 233 47 240 83648 79017 36 242 34 247 32 243 36 234 79017 75020 37 236 41 243 33 257 32 253 75020 71482 36 239 43 244 42 254 40 265 71482 68287 46 255 39 251 40 249 39 256 68287 65358 48 256 34 263 36 260 42 267 65358 62652 46 260 43 265 50 265 48 272 62652 60030 57 258 52 253 58 256 55 267 60030 57285 59 252 57 252 62 259 67 267 57285 54435 64 256 70 260 76 263 83 266 54435 51709 75 259 83 259 87 261 89 262 51709 49240 78 258 85 257 91 259 89 265 49240 47015 79 262 87 259 92 261 93 267 47015 44992 85 266 94 262 94 263 95 268 44992 43140 90 266 98 261 93 264 97 271 43140 41439 93 262 96 261 97 269 99 276 41439 39868 96 259 98 265 106 272 101 277 39868 38407 97 258 104 266 116 269 101 281 38407 37040 96 256 109 264 113 264 103 287 37040 35722 93 254 106 259 101 262 106 290 35722 34381 91 255 99 257 90 265 106 293 34381 32984 90 257 94 258 88 271 107 294 32984 31531 91 257 93 261 95 275 105 293 31531 30007 91 257 93 263 100 274 103 289 30007 28402 88 256 90 262 99 270 98 287 28402 26716 84 256 88 259 90 268 89 282 26716 24945 81 256 86 260 85 272 83 279 24945 23086 79 256 83 264 83 279 79 278 23086 21143 76 261 79 267 78 281 73 278 21143 19114 74 268 76 266 75 279 64 274 19114 16998 71 269 73 267 72 282 59 272 16998 14841 64 271 66 274 65 288 55 278 14841 12765 59 282 60 289 55 300 49 294 12765 10885 54 288 56 308 49 316 41 308 10885 9226 49 288 53 319 46 327 34 324 9226 7768 49 292 47 322 44 334 33 336 7768 6486 41 310 39 322 37 335 31 338 6486 5364 26 329 22*338 20*339 20 336 5364 4382 21*345 21*340 18*345 14 343 4382 3520 22*349 21 342 17 347 14 352 3520 2761 22 349 21 343 17 348 13 358 2761 2084 22 349 21 344 17 350 13 002 2084 1486 22 349 21 344 17 351 13 006 1486 989 22 349 20 345 16 352 13 010 989 608 21 348 19 346 16 353 12 013 608 347 20 348 18 346 15 353 10 016 347 188 17 348 17 346 14 353 8 017 188 97 13 348 13 346 11 353 4*016 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography