DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.2 - - 38.4 - - 39.1 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 34 - - 14 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 677 - - 983 - - 697 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 757 - - 1063 - - 777 - - 407 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1392 - - 771 - - 1118 - - 610 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 132 - - 87 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 052 - - 058 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1097 - - 247 - - 182 - - 44 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1854 - - 816 - - 595 - - 363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12502 - - 239 - - 148 - - -46 ODpotential blCL - - - 13259 - - 824 - - 629 - - 453 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.2 - - 38.4 - - 39.1 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 35.6 - - 37.3 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 38.4 - - 39.3 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 35.3 - - 37.0 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 34 - - 14 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 677 - - 983 - - 697 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96665 56 248 63 241 69 251 66 259 96665 89591 36 257 42 245 47 262 41 260 89591 84118 24 247 29 250 29 254 32 255 84118 79536 16 253 21 267 17 264 24 253 79536 75553 20 264 21 280 19 262 22 274 75553 72020 20 269 15 260 19 248 25 283 72020 68827 25 295 22 299 17 247 27 281 68827 65889 35 295 36 300 28 295 29 287 65889 63171 39 276 46 290 42 299 37 299 63171 60544 41 270 50 280 50 292 46 306 60544 57799 51 286 53 280 60 291 60 298 57799 54965 75 291 70 285 71 285 72 287 54965 52273 91 286 82 282 82 274 74 278 52273 49840 95 285 89 280 87 277 78 281 49840 47646 100 288 98 281 97 286 84 287 47646 45644 106 289 106 283 108 288 96 289 45644 43800 110 288 110 285 112 286 108 286 43800 42097 115 289 112 287 115 283 115 283 42097 40518 117 288 114 288 116 283 117 283 40518 39050 107 283 118 287 121 286 122 285 39050 37674 95 278 118 287 127 288 126 285 37674 36341 93 280 112 287 127 288 125 285 36341 34977 93 283 106 285 120 287 120 285 34977 33554 91 282 105 283 111 284 113 284 33554 32075 91 276 101 282 105 279 106 278 32075 30522 93 273 93 279 102 276 101 273 30522 28883 90 274 90 274 93 275 94 272 28883 27164 84 275 86 270 80 271 85 271 27164 25366 78 276 79 268 75 269 80 267 25366 23490 72 277 73 265 76 268 74 265 23490 21539 70 277 69 265 75 266 66 266 21539 19506 65 276 64 266 71 265 61 270 19506 17381 53 274 53 265 66 265 58 270 17381 15208 49 272 46 263 57 263 56 265 15208 13110 46 263 44 262 49 256 52 259 13110 11207 48 254 45 259 41 248 50 257 11207 9520 47 249 45 254 39 256 46 253 9520 8022 45 246 42 246 40 257 43 246 8022 6694 42 238 41 242 41 250 44 242 6694 5520 37 208 35 228 39 243 47 240 5520 4487 26 183 28 191 31 225 42 242 4487 3582 12 162 24 147 24 186 33 236 3582 2790 20 118 19 112 21 134 26 215 2790 2089 26 075 19 075 17 098 19 175 2089 1481 25 066 19*055 15 075 15 118 1481 982 23*059 18*053 14*071 12 083 982 603 20*056 16 052 11*060 8*062 603 344 17 054 15 051 10 058 6*053 344 187 15 053 13 051 9 056 5 052 187 97 10 053 9 050 7 054 4 050 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography