DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.7 - - 45.8 - - 37.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 180 - - 41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2148 - - 2316 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1154 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2228 - - 2396 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 683 - - 752 - - 1910 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 184 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 360 - - 006 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1469 - - -1314 - - -1688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3698 - - 3711 - - 1786 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13635 - - -14252 - - -16431 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15863 - - 16648 - - 16528 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 80 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.7 - - 45.8 - - 37.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 30.1 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 47.9 - - 45.6 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.6 - - 30.0 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 180 - - 41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2148 - - 2316 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 43 - - 20 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96196 93 241 91 246 95 251 96196 89060 65 245 64 252 58 255 89060 83532 46 248 48 250 43 259 83532 78942 29 263 29 251 33 253 78942 74996 24 266 24 253 23 266 74996 71519 24 271 24 255 27 281 71519 68375 19 262 19 279 24 283 68375 65472 10 271 13 271 17 286 65472 62759 23 310 10 305 5 312 62759 60126 33 288 35 296 34 312 60126 57399 46 278 51 285 56 290 57399 54584 56 276 61 280 65 282 54584 51897 69 279 68 279 69 282 51897 49471 76 281 72 280 74 281 49471 47289 81 286 74 284 73 284 47289 45311 83 290 80 290 82 294 45311 43514 88 293 88 293 95 293 43514 41868 97 294 95 290 94 289 41868 40338 99 293 93 288 92 291 40338 38903 96 294 88 292 93 297 38903 37549 94 292 89 293 97 302 37549 36232 93 292 95 293 96 299 36232 34882 92 292 98 295 92 295 34882 33471 91 291 95 296 89 294 33471 32001 89 291 91 295 87 295 32001 30455 86 290 87 294 86 296 30455 28821 83 290 83 293 84 295 28821 27101 82 292 79 296 80 295 27101 25296 81 294 76 297 74 296 25296 23409 79 295 73 294 69 297 23409 21443 74 296 71 292 67 295 21443 19394 69 294 67 294 63 297 19394 17259 64 294 61 298 53 301 17259 15077 53 295 54 298 46 304 15077 12972 43 289 47 297 43 304 12972 11061 39 282 40 299 39 302 11061 9372 35 286 36 302 31 303 9372 7881 31 293 33 308 25 313 7881 6562 30 305 32 318 25 324 6562 5399 33 316 35 321 29 327 5399 4382 34 315 33 324 29 331 4382 3502 29 319 25 339 19 351 3502 2739 24*337 16*358 11 022 2739 2064 17*357 16*002 14 024 2064 1472 17 359 15 005 16 016 1472 979 16 000 15 006 16 016 979 603 16 000 15 007 15 016 603 343 15 001 14 008 12 016 343 186 13 001 12 008 9 016 186 97 10 000 9 008 5*014 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography