DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.4 - - 43.3 - - 49.7 - - 49.9 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 52 - - 84 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 17 - - 644 - - 2065 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit 80 - - 81 - - 568 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top 97 - - 724 - - 2145 - - 98 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 1156 - - 786 - - 2939 - - 93 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 133 - - 230 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 039 - - 105 - - 082 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -339 - - -1363 - - -385 - - -2022 - - -676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 436 - - 2087 - - 2530 - - 2120 - - 774 sfcLCL ODpotential -11110 - - -9621 - - -6996 - - -8225 - - -8866 ODpotential blCL 11207 - - 10345 - - 9141 - - 8323 - - 8964 blCL maxRH 85 - - 72 - - 81 - - 71 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.4 - - 43.3 - - 49.7 - - 49.9 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 35.0 - - 39.3 - - 41.2 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.7 - - 43.1 - - 49.3 - - 51.0 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 34.0 - - 38.2 - - 40.1 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 52 - - 84 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 17 - - 644 - - 2065 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 0 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96014 64 256 71 249 73 248 68 246 74 249 96014 88789 56 254 61 256 49 246 57 247 53 250 88789 83198 46 255 49 256 41 249 45 240 47 257 83198 78567 40 252 35 251 33 244 36 247 36 260 78567 74607 32 246 26 249 27 245 28 264 26 261 74607 71124 22 262 28 256 25 257 24 263 20 258 71124 67971 35 284 32 271 29 275 21 268 21 254 67971 65064 44 276 34 278 34 282 29 279 25 257 65064 62356 43 276 39 285 42 281 35 276 25 279 62356 59729 47 279 48 280 48 277 44 283 44 292 59729 57004 47 279 49 278 50 272 57 271 59 267 57004 54171 50 288 52 285 53 278 52 272 52 274 54171 51480 73 293 68 289 66 286 72 287 73 291 51480 49084 80 289 82 288 86 287 86 284 86 289 49084 46934 80 291 92 286 94 281 88 280 90 288 46934 44979 84 293 91 284 93 283 88 282 95 287 44979 43187 95 293 86 285 89 289 87 288 96 284 43187 41534 110 295 93 291 96 295 94 290 94 281 41534 40006 122 296 113 293 115 293 106 288 96 281 40006 38585 122 294 132 293 122 291 113 286 103 282 38585 37245 120 293 133 291 116 291 110 288 97 281 37245 35941 115 294 124 290 104 286 97 285 86 276 35941 34605 101 292 108 288 98 279 92 275 85 274 34605 33207 93 288 96 286 95 277 91 277 84 276 33207 31751 91 286 83 287 87 278 83 284 73 282 31751 30227 84 288 76 286 68 283 74 292 65 290 30227 28622 74 292 70 287 54 286 60 299 54 296 28622 26938 69 294 64 292 49 289 41 295 38 294 26938 25170 65 294 54 293 44 289 38 288 36 294 25170 23312 62 297 48 289 41 278 39 285 32 292 23312 21365 62 300 46 290 36 262 39 277 30 284 21365 19330 56 307 39 293 33 257 34 281 31 285 19330 17214 32 289 35 289 30 273 28 274 26 281 17214 15060 32 273 35 283 30 279 28 268 23 269 15060 12980 26 276 30 281 28 280 23 264 23 259 12980 11089 20 273 15 276 22 268 15 267 16 250 11089 9418 16 265 12 268 12 238 11 223 14 206 9418 7943 11 267 9 249 13 210 17 201 20 204 7943 6639 5 262 7 214 13 205 18 204 20 208 6639 5488 3 222 7 198 12 198 15 201 19 197 5488 4476 4 188 6 197 12 193 15 194 19 180 4476 3588 6 162 6 163 11 175 14 183 20 170 3588 2808 6 106 5 128 12*143 10 129 17 167 2808 2115 9 069 6 112 10*120 9 120 15 139 2115 1506 10 061 7 088 8 105 8 113 14 111 1506 1002 9 056 8*063 8 103 7 107 12 098 1002 615 9 042 7*048 7 100 7 101 11 093 615 349 7 016 5 036 7 099 6 094 10 088 349 189 6*358 4 035 6 097 4*089 7*081 189 98 4*350 4 033 5 096 3*082 4*077 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography