DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.6 - - 41.3 - - 41.2 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 288 - - 26 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3241 - - 4689 - - 5215 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1991 - - 3232 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3321 - - 4769 - - 5295 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1374 - - 1150 - - 1372 - - 346 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 443 - - 207 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 19 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 286 - - 292 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2073 - - -1366 - - -1618 - - -5101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5394 - - 6135 - - 6914 - - 5198 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5023 - - -14702 - - -14515 - - -19322 ODpotential blCL - - - 8344 - - 19471 - - 19810 - - 19419 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 63 - - 64 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.6 - - 41.3 - - 41.2 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.4 - - 14.6 - - 11.2 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 40.3 - - 41.3 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.2 - - 14.5 - - 11.1 - - 11.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 288 - - 26 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3241 - - 4689 - - 5215 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95808 21 266 17 257 22 273 21 249 95808 88771 9 252 13 253 19 283 14 269 88771 83341 9 249 13 247 23 256 20 265 83341 78826 11 248 9 244 17 250 16 262 78826 74896 15 242 18 256 21 254 23 276 74896 71387 17 230 26 229 25 237 29 246 71387 68197 13 225 22 237 19 222 21 238 68197 65237 23 245 26 256 26 257 20 265 65237 62463 43 234 41 249 39 250 38 267 62463 59778 51 233 48 245 47 253 48 257 59778 56978 55 242 53 245 57 247 53 247 56978 54063 62 242 60 242 60 240 59 251 54063 51283 64 239 63 248 58 246 67 256 51283 48804 62 244 68 258 67 262 72 254 48804 46599 66 254 82 260 81 263 74 252 46599 44602 79 256 93 254 89 255 75 254 44602 42769 96 249 97 246 93 248 82 255 42769 41082 106 244 95 242 92 244 91 252 41082 39523 109 241 89 244 88 247 95 251 39523 38071 108 240 84 249 89 253 98 255 38071 36711 107 242 86 256 93 258 102 260 36711 35401 107 245 90 258 98 261 103 261 35401 34067 107 248 92 257 98 261 100 262 34067 32677 106 250 93 255 95 260 98 264 32677 31231 105 254 95 254 90 259 99 265 31231 29713 107 260 95 255 86 260 98 266 29713 28112 110 262 95 255 86 262 96 267 28112 26424 113 261 94 256 87 258 90 266 26424 24653 117 260 95 259 86 254 84 266 24653 22801 118 262 97 263 82 257 81 268 22801 20867 113 265 97 267 79 262 78 269 20867 18845 104 265 94 271 76 267 73 266 18845 16729 86 261 89 275 72 271 67 265 16729 14571 68 257 73 271 67 272 62 271 14571 12504 54 261 55 265 60 273 56 276 12504 10651 44 270 44 269 50 271 47 280 10651 9030 40 272 37 275 36 277 38 282 9030 7613 36 274 32 281 26 287 31 284 7613 6373 32 278 28 292 22*293 20 298 6373 5284 29 284 23*292 21*293 18 306 5284 4321 27 293 20*287 20 292 19 307 4321 3473 24*291 20 287 19 292 19 308 3473 2725 22*290 20 286 19 292 20 308 2725 2057 21 288 20 286 18 291 20 308 2057 1467 21 286 20 286 17 291 19 307 1467 976 20 286 19 286 16 291 18 305 976 600 19 285 18 286 15 290 16 301 600 342 17 285 17 286 14 290 13 294 342 186 15 285 15 286 12 290 10*289 186 97 11 284 12 286 9 289 4*278 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography