DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 68.1 - - 69.6 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 148 - - 6 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 641 - - 1614 - - 1697 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 707 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 721 - - 1694 - - 1777 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 601 - - 974 - - 1171 - - 408 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 165 - - 255 - - 108 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 177 - - 177 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1936 - - -4540 - - -4672 - - -2829 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2658 - - 6235 - - 6449 - - 2928 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11686 - - -14236 - - -12900 - - -11703 ODpotential blCL - - - 12407 - - 15930 - - 14677 - - 11802 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 83 - - 88 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 68.1 - - 69.6 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 41.5 - - 42.1 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 67.1 - - 69.7 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 40.3 - - 41.1 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 148 - - 6 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 641 - - 1614 - - 1697 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 32 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97822 22 211 14 248 11 278 8 252 97822 90479 13 211 12 224 16 231 17 255 90479 84801 13 216 16 237 21 220 22 255 84801 80057 11 235 17 244 16 230 21 241 80057 75960 11 247 15 249 13 261 16 229 75960 72359 14 237 11 252 12 282 7 253 72359 69132 7 220 8 239 10 280 8 293 69132 66179 2 173 9 218 11 264 14 298 66179 63447 3 280 9 228 15 263 19 299 63447 60818 10 272 10 272 16 275 21 283 60818 58095 13 290 14 302 17 286 17 285 58095 55289 29 296 25 299 26 284 27 288 55289 52627 34 289 30 295 30 281 32 282 52627 50236 30 297 32 297 37 286 37 286 50236 48084 37 297 38 295 43 288 42 280 48084 46111 41 283 43 293 48 287 49 285 46111 44284 43 280 47 291 49 291 60 285 44284 42582 44 278 48 289 53 291 63 287 42582 40992 43 271 51 289 52 285 59 290 40992 39506 39 254 52 290 47 285 54 296 39506 38112 32 237 50 296 48 293 53 298 38112 36765 25 230 51 304 49 300 52 299 36765 35392 24 237 43 298 45 300 49 305 35392 33961 24 240 30 284 39 306 44 310 33961 32474 22 240 20 276 36 304 42 306 32474 30917 20 251 15 275 29 294 39 303 30917 29277 22 266 20 288 23 295 33 303 29277 27555 27 271 24 296 19 294 27 297 27555 25748 29 270 27 292 22 294 22 288 25748 23857 26 273 26 285 23 296 21 278 23857 21887 24 278 23 277 22 301 20 275 21887 19830 22 284 23 274 23 292 17 279 19830 17682 20 296 17 275 22 281 17 291 17682 15491 21 297 16 277 19 274 18 268 15491 13375 19 299 15 273 19 273 13 253 13375 11446 16 318 13 271 17 267 14 249 11446 9730 12 337 12 273 15 268 15 247 9730 8209 9 338 8 279 11 268 12 250 8209 6862 10 333 7 289 7 262 9 256 6862 5672 10 338 8 287 7 263 10 269 5672 4626 8 315 9 269 11 262 17 265 4626 3710 11 288 11 255 14 248 21 247 3710 2906 8 280 8 234 14 230 19 225 2906 2190 2 241 8*195 10*197 18 212 2190 1558 4 192 8*180 9*183 18 195 1558 1034 7*218 7 177 9 178 20 177 1034 633 6*219 7 175 8 175 20 164 633 359 6 218 7 175 8 173 16 157 359 193 5 220 6 174 7 172 13*155 193 99 4 219 5 173 5 171 6*151 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography