DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 58.0 - - 58.5 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 199 - - -30 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1105 - - 2683 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 1587 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1185 - - 2763 - - 98 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1035 - - 669 - - 4074 - - 388 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 224 - - 329 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 22 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 240 - - 234 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5572 - - -4932 - - -6938 - - -4817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6757 - - 7695 - - 7037 - - 4915 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16723 - - -14709 - - -14947 - - -15103 ODpotential blCL - - - 17908 - - 17472 - - 15045 - - 15201 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 41 - - 33 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 58.0 - - 58.5 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 24.7 - - 28.1 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 57.2 - - 59.5 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.7 - - 23.8 - - 27.5 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 199 - - -30 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1105 - - 2683 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96390 45 251 64 255 71 260 65 261 96390 89310 47 249 55 252 72 253 65 254 89310 83833 58 255 58 244 65 244 67 245 83833 79246 63 256 57 249 48 248 55 246 79246 75239 58 254 53 254 40 256 42 258 75239 71655 42 246 48 251 40 251 41 263 71655 68385 33 243 43 244 43 240 45 254 68385 65383 33 252 44 240 46 249 49 255 65383 62628 40 258 44 249 50 258 51 261 62628 59993 43 258 43 267 48 260 47 269 59993 57268 50 264 47 264 52 264 49 276 57268 54444 51 267 53 260 55 266 53 274 54444 51726 47 263 55 262 58 266 56 269 51726 49258 50 259 59 260 63 262 64 267 49258 47040 55 261 63 260 67 257 70 263 47040 45030 61 266 70 263 72 260 72 271 45030 43202 74 268 81 265 82 267 90 276 43202 41537 86 266 90 263 99 269 99 271 41537 39997 93 264 101 260 109 265 95 269 39997 38555 101 264 108 260 104 263 92 273 38555 37198 108 265 107 264 97 269 94 274 37198 35882 112 265 106 267 95 272 96 273 35882 34538 108 263 102 262 98 270 97 271 34538 33136 100 264 96 257 100 268 97 271 33136 31678 96 272 94 260 98 268 96 270 31678 30148 96 276 95 265 94 268 95 270 30148 28533 95 277 94 265 90 268 94 270 28533 26836 95 277 93 263 88 268 94 271 26836 25059 94 276 92 263 88 269 96 271 25059 23202 91 274 90 265 89 270 96 270 23202 21265 86 272 88 269 90 272 94 270 21265 19238 80 271 86 272 87 273 92 271 19238 17121 75 268 80 272 80 271 87 274 17121 14965 72 263 70 271 73 269 78 274 14965 12897 69 261 62 269 65 269 70 276 12897 11033 60 264 57 268 59 274 62 284 11033 9391 54 266 53 270 58 280 56 292 9391 7941 51 266 49 274 58 285 53 291 7941 6657 44 262 46 277 54 284 48 282 6657 5518 35 259 44 277 45 280 42 277 5518 4510 30 261 39 273 38 271 40 274 4510 3622 29 265 34 266 33 259 39 265 3622 2840 30 261 24*243 30 250 39 257 2840 2141 30 249 24*241 28 245 39 250 2141 1524 28*243 24 240 26 242 38 241 1524 1012 21*234 23 239 24 240 35 234 1012 620 20 233 22 239 22 238 31 229 620 352 19 233 20 239 18 236 21 222 352 190 16 231 18 238 15 235 17 221 190 98 12 230 13 237 10*234 9*218 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography