DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 41.9 - - 40.5 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 158 - - 5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2777 - - 4353 - - 4318 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1191 - - 2698 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2857 - - 4433 - - 4398 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1532 - - 970 - - 1093 - - 363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 360 - - 129 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 14 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 300 - - 284 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -66 - - 238 - - 560 - - -1573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2923 - - 4196 - - 3838 - - 1670 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5147 - - -3607 - - -289 - - -3230 ODpotential blCL - - - 8004 - - 8040 - - 4687 - - 3327 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 82 - - 90 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 41.9 - - 40.5 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 23.7 - - 24.1 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 41.1 - - 40.8 - - 36.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.1 - - 22.7 - - 23.5 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 158 - - 5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2777 - - 4353 - - 4318 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 30 - - 60 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95703 106 233 108 240 102 238 102 231 95703 88530 83 238 82 235 84 239 86 239 88530 83003 74 243 70 238 77 242 76 251 83003 78462 60 246 60 243 70 243 67 251 78462 74562 47 246 52 237 60 241 54 249 74562 71079 42 246 44 242 51 244 51 258 71079 67905 45 247 43 246 47 248 57 255 67905 64990 50 252 45 253 49 250 56 247 64990 62268 56 255 55 258 48 253 50 245 62268 59590 59 252 59 256 54 260 53 257 59590 56773 64 250 64 254 65 256 67 258 56773 53843 71 249 71 252 70 248 70 255 53843 51038 74 245 71 248 70 247 70 258 51038 48517 70 243 68 250 70 253 73 255 48517 46261 71 251 74 255 74 255 71 253 46261 44208 86 255 83 250 77 248 71 255 44208 42322 101 246 84 240 77 240 76 259 42322 40577 98 235 80 236 71 240 80 259 40577 38956 86 233 77 236 67 247 77 261 38956 37445 79 240 74 238 69 255 81 274 37445 36033 80 245 75 241 74 259 94 278 36033 34680 87 248 78 244 80 261 102 276 34680 33315 97 247 89 247 84 260 105 274 33315 31907 104 244 102 245 87 255 104 273 31907 30460 106 241 106 242 86 249 102 278 30460 28963 104 240 104 239 80 248 109 284 28963 27403 103 241 99 241 77 252 117 287 27403 25769 102 241 95 245 77 257 124 285 25769 24050 102 241 91 250 77 262 120 290 24050 22254 101 242 88 252 76 267 99 285 22254 20387 97 244 86 252 75 268 89 277 20387 18451 84 246 81 256 73 268 77 275 18451 16438 66 248 74 259 69 275 66 274 16438 14383 47 256 60 258 57 275 59 271 14383 12403 40 258 48 258 48 268 52 269 12403 10610 36 258 39 270 41 273 45 267 10610 9022 30 260 30 279 34 279 40 267 9022 7615 24 270 25 278 24 279 31 270 7615 6372 22 283 21 279 20 278 19 269 6372 5278 22 296 17*293 16*278 15 268 5278 4316 23 311 15*297 15*281 15 282 4316 3470 23*314 15 298 14 282 16 287 3470 2724 23*315 15 300 14 284 16 286 2724 2057 19 323 15 301 14 285 17 284 2057 1468 18 325 15 301 14 286 17 282 1468 977 17 326 14 302 13 286 17 279 977 601 17 326 14 303 12 287 16 276 601 343 15 326 13 303 11 287 13 270 343 186 13 327 12 303 10 287 11*268 186 97 10 326 9 303 7 286 4*261 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography