DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Hammett_Rim_ID 2983ft pt40714@42.875,-115.427,2966ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.5 - - 73.1 - - 86.1 - - 86.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 177 - - 187 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1016 - - 2011 - - 991 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2927 - - 3244 - - 4001 - - 2929 - - 2929 Hcrit BL Top 2945 - - 3999 - - 4994 - - 3974 - - 2946 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 117 - - 488 - - 1560 - - 2543 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 232 - - 297 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 146 - - 122 - - 115 - - 097 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -6 - - -7 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4940 - - -8413 - - -10391 - - -11305 - - -9313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7886 - - 12413 - - 15386 - - 15280 - - 12260 sfcLCL ODpotential -16124 - - -15096 - - -14446 - - -15495 - - -16533 ODpotential blCL 19069 - - 19095 - - 19440 - - 19469 - - 19479 blCL maxRH 68 - - 66 - - 53 - - 67 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.5 - - 73.1 - - 86.1 - - 86.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.5 - - 29.8 - - 28.9 - - 29.8 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 71.9 - - 84.7 - - 87.1 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 29.7 - - 28.7 - - 29.6 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 177 - - 187 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1016 - - 2011 - - 991 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97749 2 312 6 211 16 251 13 325 8 321 97749 90542 8 353 4 148 9 258 14 351 8 029 90542 84966 8 016 5 007 4 038 7 347 13 025 84966 80332 8 026 10 012 10 015 4 036 11 360 80332 76344 11 019 11 020 12 018 5 358 11 351 76344 72828 10 353 12 352 17 023 10 007 12 349 72828 69649 8 348 12 334 11 005 12 357 10 348 69649 66721 11 330 10 321 13 329 17 331 13 347 66721 64000 15 308 15 314 17 324 20 320 17 333 64000 61363 15 303 15 305 18 316 23 323 20 322 61363 58607 17 302 18 296 20 287 24 304 22 311 58607 55731 21 294 17 275 21 263 26 282 25 293 55731 52974 23 284 17 267 22 252 25 263 25 281 52974 50486 31 270 22 260 25 253 29 266 26 284 50486 48261 35 258 33 248 37 253 34 260 35 268 48261 46256 33 253 40 241 39 255 37 258 39 259 46256 44431 33 254 40 247 44 252 41 255 41 255 44431 42752 35 261 42 252 44 251 42 251 40 247 42752 41195 36 266 42 256 41 255 40 252 36 247 41195 39740 32 269 38 260 37 258 35 256 33 252 39740 38374 30 268 32 259 35 258 30 259 30 256 38374 37060 29 275 29 265 33 260 30 263 27 264 37060 35731 26 287 25 273 29 265 30 269 26 270 35731 34358 25 294 21 271 27 268 30 270 24 272 34358 32942 26 294 22 273 26 268 31 269 21 289 32942 31468 25 292 24 271 25 269 30 270 21 292 31468 29925 23 288 20 262 25 278 30 277 25 277 29925 28315 20 279 18 253 27 282 31 281 27 266 28315 26641 18 271 18 261 25 278 29 279 24 261 26641 24905 19 271 18 267 22 273 25 274 21 266 24905 23107 18 272 18 270 18 269 22 268 18 271 23107 21241 14 272 17 263 16 264 19 256 18 263 21241 19303 13 264 15 253 14 253 16 243 18 247 19303 17332 13 262 14 250 14 247 14 237 16 239 17332 15432 14 273 13 257 13 247 12 232 16 235 15432 13698 15 275 12 259 13 245 11 230 16 228 13698 12148 12 266 12 250 13 242 10 234 16 231 12148 10761 9 251 11 242 12 237 10 239 14 244 10761 9519 5 231 9 235 10 236 8 248 11 253 9519 8406 5 179 8 224 7 238 6 263 6 263 8406 7413 6 166 7 213 4 242 3 287 1 016 7413 6533 10 141 5 179 2 238 2 356 4 106 6533 5751 17 114 10 128 3 123 3 066 5 130 5751 5047 20 114 15 113 7*115 5 095 2 160 5047 4421 24 114 17*114 8*115 5*100 2 263 4421 3896 26 111 15*121 8 115 4*099 5 294 3896 3491 23 117 13 122 7 115 4 098 7 298 3491 3212 17 130 13 123 7 114 4 097 7 297 3212 3042 9*139 12 123 7 115 4 096 5*288 3042 2945 4*146 10 123 6 114 3 094 4*276 2945 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography