DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Hammett_Rim_ID 2983ft pt40714@42.875,-115.427,2966ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.2 - - 65.5 - - 75.0 - - 73.7 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 134 - - 178 - - -21 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1210 - - 3262 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2927 - - 3199 - - 4882 - - 2928 - - 2928 Hcrit BL Top 2945 - - 4193 - - 6245 - - 2946 - - 2946 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 196 - - 1013 - - 4249 - - 7872 - - 151 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 226 - - 344 - - 8 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 16 - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 136 - - 110 - - 101 - - 076 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -7 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1785 - - -2930 - - -6374 - - -2543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2944 - - 5979 - - 9175 - - 9321 - - 5490 sfcLCL ODpotential -5455 - - -4744 - - -4597 - - -8332 - - -7045 ODpotential blCL 8400 - - 8937 - - 10842 - - 11278 - - 9991 blCL maxRH 84 - - 76 - - 73 - - 78 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 60 - - 190 - - 100 - - 570 CAPE Temp@2m 52.2 - - 65.5 - - 75.0 - - 73.7 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 49.4 - - 44.9 - - 43.1 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 64.6 - - 73.7 - - 74.9 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.5 - - 49.1 - - 44.8 - - 43.0 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 134 - - 178 - - -21 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1210 - - 3262 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 5 - - 0 - - 14 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97418 6 032 9 252 3 306 5 287 10 319 97418 90208 6 015 1 300 4 274 8 355 7 033 90208 84645 3 342 2 320 1 166 5 005 8 060 84645 80028 4 206 2 234 3 231 6 021 7 063 80028 76046 4 053 2 140 3 260 2 292 6 333 76046 72515 6 260 2 337 4 310 3 266 5 255 72515 69302 2 236 8 153 12 227 10 265 6 252 69302 66336 6 287 4 190 9 206 10 248 8 263 66336 63579 13 235 11 239 9 228 14 233 12 267 63579 60899 13 203 12 223 10 220 9 214 15 230 60899 58093 9 196 11 227 14 222 12 248 21 226 58093 55181 18 220 23 201 21 202 18 239 28 220 55181 52398 26 222 32 208 35 213 37 227 40 231 52398 49877 43 225 52 213 57 218 54 226 48 233 49877 47613 57 224 63 217 61 212 55 225 60 226 47613 45576 61 220 60 221 57 225 73 228 72 226 45576 43733 72 225 79 229 89 225 95 222 92 224 43733 42041 80 219 91 221 97 218 97 218 97 222 42041 40470 74 211 88 217 97 215 96 218 95 220 40470 39004 60 212 75 218 92 215 92 218 86 219 39004 37632 63 226 72 225 83 218 87 219 79 218 37632 36319 73 232 74 228 75 223 79 220 74 216 36319 34993 78 231 74 228 68 226 70 220 70 218 34993 33627 79 229 72 224 62 222 61 217 64 225 33627 32225 73 230 70 221 60 216 59 212 49 225 32225 30771 62 234 66 223 58 214 59 212 46 213 30771 29256 50 235 60 225 54 214 55 212 51 212 29256 27682 43 231 51 228 46 215 48 214 48 214 27682 26045 37 227 41 232 38 216 41 219 40 213 26045 24347 37 221 33 237 31 214 33 217 32 218 24347 22592 34 223 30 224 25 212 27 214 24 216 22592 20773 28 224 28 218 21 219 21 215 18 202 20773 18885 26 217 24 220 18 220 13 216 17 194 18885 16964 26 212 20 225 16 220 7 209 16 186 16964 15114 23 205 17 225 15 218 12 203 14 174 15114 13430 18 203 15 213 17 208 15 195 11 163 13430 11927 15 203 14 198 18 200 14 185 10 149 11927 10581 11 206 12 178 17 196 15 172 11 136 10581 9374 8 217 11 171 15 189 15 155 13 136 9374 8292 6 227 9 171 13 178 15 140 14 141 8292 7325 5 214 8 174 10 163 15 125 14 149 7325 6465 7 167 9 163 9*126 16 110 16 157 6465 5699 15 136 11 143 10*113 16 096 18 162 5699 5008 24 120 16 124 12 102 17 088 20 161 5008 4393 29 108 19*112 12 100 17 084 22 154 4393 3877 27 107 18*111 12 099 17 082 22 141 3877 3479 21 116 17 110 12 098 15 080 19 126 3479 3205 16 126 16 109 12 097 14 078 15 111 3205 3040 11*133 15 109 11 096 12*077 11*104 3040 2945 6*136 12 109 10 097 8*076 6*101 2945 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography