DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.1 - - 60.5 - - 66.0 - - 67.9 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 14 - - 93 - - 32 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 17 - - 410 - - 2170 - - 2282 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit 1070 - - 1070 - - 1837 - - 1071 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top 1087 - - 1480 - - 3240 - - 3352 - - 1087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2088 - - 1980 - - 661 - - 681 - - 2207 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 74 - - 247 - - 183 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 104 - - 137 - - 157 - - 154 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 383 - - 790 - - 721 - - -261 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1087 - - 1097 - - 2450 - - 2631 - - 1348 sfcLCL ODpotential -723 - - -20 - - 468 - - 218 - - -1524 ODpotential blCL 1810 - - 1500 - - 2772 - - 3134 - - 2611 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m 59.1 - - 60.5 - - 66.0 - - 67.9 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.7 - - 59.3 - - 59.0 - - 60.1 - - 61.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 60.7 - - 65.5 - - 67.9 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.9 - - 59.1 - - 58.2 - - 59.3 - - 61.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 14 - - 93 - - 32 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 17 - - 410 - - 2170 - - 2282 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 89 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97841 15 257 16 241 19 253 23 249 19 254 97841 90537 15 281 7 293 13 245 16 244 18 263 90537 84942 8 282 4 290 8 256 10 231 18 288 84942 80300 3 330 2 229 7 223 10 236 13 302 80300 76287 3 319 4 317 2 197 7 252 9 262 76287 72742 3 240 3 306 1 162 5 260 7 227 72742 69537 7 227 3 104 5 158 6 217 4 260 69537 66578 6 210 4 155 6 210 12 227 13 250 66578 63828 8 227 6 254 9 282 7 234 12 230 63828 61158 10 227 15 253 15 266 11 256 9 234 61158 58359 9 231 12 243 16 248 19 238 13 237 58359 55452 19 274 14 260 20 245 24 245 25 256 55452 52696 29 267 19 257 25 250 31 253 31 256 52696 50237 29 268 24 264 30 257 31 258 33 259 50237 48037 28 276 29 274 26 268 29 263 35 259 48037 46040 28 279 32 278 24 283 29 266 34 254 46040 44214 28 284 32 277 27 286 28 263 34 246 44214 42541 27 288 33 276 31 273 29 260 31 246 42541 40998 28 289 30 273 31 261 27 259 24 249 40998 39559 28 293 23 268 25 262 17 260 15 232 39559 38200 28 302 21 279 18 279 8 335 12 205 38200 36879 29 301 26 291 19 292 4 307 14 178 36879 35531 25 297 28 287 20 292 5 238 17 182 35531 34124 24 295 27 279 23 290 14 256 16 201 34124 32663 27 299 27 279 24 287 17 269 14 223 32663 31134 29 301 27 282 25 286 20 274 16 250 31134 29528 28 302 27 286 26 287 25 278 20 266 29528 27847 27 301 26 290 29 291 27 281 23 274 27847 26086 26 303 24 293 31 290 31 284 27 279 26086 24246 26 317 22 294 28 289 33 281 31 278 24246 22328 24 332 17 308 23 284 27 275 33 272 22328 20330 20 327 14 327 15 291 21 253 27 261 20330 18252 20 324 14 335 10 313 12 260 17 247 18252 16135 18 343 14 353 8 331 11 270 10 256 16135 14094 18 353 15 351 8 340 11 282 10 301 14094 12234 13 346 17 342 13 341 10 302 14 312 12234 10574 11 343 16 331 18 336 15 307 18 312 10574 9094 9 349 11 324 15 326 17 309 17 313 9094 7776 9 342 6 325 11 308 14 313 14 320 7776 6605 7 326 5 330 8 286 10 300 9 324 6605 5570 7 298 5 323 5 259 7 256 5 300 5570 4664 3 289 1 183 6 256 8 228 7 235 4664 3869 8 146 10 153 7*178 8*185 9 192 3869 3164 9 146 10 154 9*160 8*166 11 164 3164 2542 9 143 10 153 9 158 8 158 12 151 2542 2022 10 132 9 151 9 157 8 152 14 138 2022 1623 10 120 8*142 8 156 8 149 14 125 1623 1348 9 114 5*138 8 156 8 148 12 116 1348 1182 7*109 5 136 7 156 7 147 10 114 1182 1087 3*104 4 136 6 156 6 146 6*112 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography