DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/16 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 83.9 - - 84.7 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 217 - - 108 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 512 - - 6851 - - 7411 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1071 - - 5786 - - 5731 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1582 - - 7921 - - 8481 - - 1088 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 595 - - 1813 - - 1205 - - 1363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 470 - - 387 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 20 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 151 - - 157 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 6 - - 23 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3030 - - 1136 - - 920 - - -4408 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4612 - - 6786 - - 7561 - - 5496 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4955 - - -875 - - -172 - - -9630 ODpotential blCL - - - 6537 - - 8796 - - 8653 - - 10718 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 69 - - 79 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 270 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 83.9 - - 84.7 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.4 - - 58.0 - - 55.4 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 82.7 - - 84.1 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 57.2 - - 54.6 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 217 - - 108 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 512 - - 6851 - - 7411 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98612 8 140 7 229 7 206 7 308 98612 91271 1 047 6 127 2 222 2 226 91271 85621 2 344 5 084 2 123 2 030 85621 80929 2 169 1 301 3 268 7 000 80929 76876 4 090 2 292 5 255 11 353 76876 73284 4 062 4 317 2 223 7 343 73284 70025 3 084 3 244 4 254 4 286 70025 67023 5 092 4 193 4 246 4 226 67023 64235 2 067 5 200 6 232 6 222 64235 61535 0 274 5 187 8 242 8 238 61535 58723 5 242 6 221 12 249 13 262 58723 55813 10 245 12 231 14 244 18 266 55813 53044 14 242 14 237 15 257 17 266 53044 50551 13 233 16 238 19 257 16 279 50551 48315 11 245 17 227 20 252 19 280 48315 46290 14 255 15 233 22 237 23 271 46290 44440 19 244 16 246 17 228 17 261 44440 42743 19 225 17 258 10 248 13 258 42743 41185 21 230 22 242 15 262 17 263 41185 39739 11 217 22 230 23 238 18 237 39739 38375 7 221 12 220 17 219 14 236 38375 37048 10 254 8 235 11 224 14 244 37048 35690 13 269 8 270 11 240 11 241 35690 34274 14 276 11 275 14 247 8 241 34274 32803 14 279 13 273 13 249 8 237 32803 31260 13 286 12 285 10 265 9 227 31260 29635 9 286 9 293 4 293 9 210 29635 27931 6 220 5 257 2 266 9 202 27931 26151 11 166 9 182 9 194 9 195 26151 24301 17 182 15 187 13 196 12 183 24301 22380 23 179 20 192 18 201 16 182 22380 20377 23 185 21 190 19 201 17 189 20377 18288 22 187 20 193 20 204 17 192 18288 16160 18 190 15 201 17 206 15 196 16160 14113 13 195 11 206 10 212 12 204 14113 12248 7 178 8 211 7 237 5 197 12248 10590 6 134 4 173 7 249 1 219 10590 9121 8 136 5*150 5*214 4 238 9121 7819 10 146 5*155 5*186 8 233 7819 6663 9 162 5 156 5 178 9 230 6663 5636 6 162 5 155 6 170 8 216 5636 4728 3 127 4 153 6 160 8 189 4728 3926 3 041 4 150 7 152 10 169 3926 3207 5 021 4 147 7 147 13 159 3207 2572 5 031 4 146 7 143 15 154 2572 2041 2 043 3 144 7 141 15 150 2041 1634 3*147 3 145 7 141 15 143 1634 1355 3*148 3 144 7 139 12 133 1355 1185 3 148 3 142 7 140 10*129 1185 1088 2 149 3 142 6 138 5*124 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography