DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.9 - - 23.1 - - 30.7 - - 34.9 - - 31.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 125 - - 158 - - 11 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 13 - - 940 - - 1685 - - 2143 - - 14 BL Depth Hcrit 1067 - - 1067 - - 1796 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top 1083 - - 2010 - - 2755 - - 3213 - - 1084 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 591 - - 359 - - 693 - - 1549 - - 2487 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 200 - - 267 - - 145 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 17 - - 19 - - 23 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 272 - - 276 - - 251 - - 247 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1342 - - -1985 - - -1565 - - -698 - - -1671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2425 - - 3995 - - 4321 - - 3911 - - 2755 sfcLCL ODpotential -9257 - - -9169 - - -8184 - - -6641 - - -6750 ODpotential blCL 10340 - - 11179 - - 10939 - - 9854 - - 7834 blCL maxRH 68 - - 67 - - 58 - - 55 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.9 - - 23.1 - - 30.7 - - 34.9 - - 31.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.6 - - 9.8 - - 15.8 - - 21.8 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 15.4 - - 22.7 - - 30.2 - - 35.6 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.4 - - 8.8 - - 14.9 - - 20.6 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 125 - - 158 - - 11 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 13 - - 940 - - 1685 - - 2143 - - 14 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96594 8 260 9 259 5 294 9 277 6 268 96594 89354 4 072 11 168 9 194 8 241 3 359 89354 83784 5 156 11 159 13 163 14 189 5 248 83784 79147 8 211 10 170 10 180 12 193 8 224 79147 75119 10 224 10 170 12 215 13 242 8 226 75119 71522 13 251 8 216 16 223 17 243 13 250 71522 68245 17 242 12 234 18 225 19 243 19 254 68245 65224 15 260 17 244 20 236 22 245 24 248 65224 62411 28 265 24 255 24 245 25 246 26 244 62411 59673 38 262 32 263 30 251 34 253 31 257 59673 56815 46 259 45 264 38 258 36 252 36 253 56815 53831 53 256 52 263 45 262 39 261 39 258 53831 50956 57 257 56 262 52 262 49 264 46 262 50956 48360 58 261 58 258 57 259 54 259 51 258 48360 46035 58 263 57 258 59 255 53 255 50 256 46035 43925 58 266 55 263 55 253 51 259 49 259 43925 41992 55 266 54 266 54 258 53 266 47 264 41992 40214 54 266 53 267 54 260 55 267 48 270 40214 38571 50 264 50 266 50 260 55 263 49 271 38571 37050 46 267 47 266 49 264 51 260 48 269 37050 35638 43 273 45 272 46 266 41 261 45 266 35638 34293 40 278 43 278 40 283 36 282 40 274 34293 32954 41 285 42 286 39 286 45 289 36 287 32954 31591 41 289 36 291 35 288 45 284 37 293 31591 30202 40 296 30 305 31 298 37 287 36 295 30202 28771 35 303 33 319 31 306 31 296 33 296 28771 27285 33 326 34 319 30 309 29 303 30 300 27285 25737 38 339 32 315 31 310 29 306 31 306 25737 24122 41 347 30 318 32 310 30 307 32 312 24122 22439 44 352 30 326 32 310 32 307 36 312 22439 20687 44 353 34 332 29 312 30 306 36 308 20687 18862 43 352 36 334 27 313 28 306 33 306 18862 16955 42 354 34 335 26 314 28 309 31 302 16955 15003 39 356 32 334 27 314 27 309 32 296 15003 13112 34 354 31 330 29 312 27 309 32 294 13112 11384 33 350 31 327 30 307 28 304 30 291 11384 9844 34 348 31 324 32 300 31 298 31 289 9844 8475 34 347 30 321 32 297 33 291 34 286 8475 7260 32 344 29 319 31 295 34 286 36 281 7260 6184 28 338 27 314 30 289 34 281 35 277 6184 5235 24 327 26 308 31 284 33 272 36 270 5235 4402 20 311 24 301 31 280 31 261 36 263 4402 3669 18 301 25 293 30 274 28*250 33 248 3669 3015 19 301 25 287 25*265 27*249 32 244 3015 2437 23 301 24*284 21*253 26 248 30 243 2437 1954 26 293 19*278 20 251 25 247 28 242 1954 1583 23 285 17 276 19 250 23 247 24 240 1583 1328 17 277 16 276 18 250 20 246 19 237 1328 1173 14 274 15 275 16 249 17 245 16 236 1173 1084 8*272 12 275 13 249 12 245 9*235 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography