DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.8 - - 74.7 - - 78.2 - - 76.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 174 - - 276 - - 41 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2006 - - 5671 - - 5387 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4057 - - 7000 - - 5154 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5068 - - 8733 - - 8449 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 373 - - 4460 - - 2165 - - 2672 - - 1351 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 292 - - 481 - - 255 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 18 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 246 - - 245 - - 260 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - 18 - - 12 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6293 - - -6653 - - -3856 - - -3752 - - -4618 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9372 - - 11721 - - 12589 - - 12202 - - 7697 sfcLCL ODpotential -13778 - - -11534 - - -8706 - - -9069 - - -9924 ODpotential blCL 16856 - - 16602 - - 17439 - - 17518 - - 13002 blCL maxRH 35 - - 30 - - 34 - - 37 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.8 - - 74.7 - - 78.2 - - 76.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 33.4 - - 33.3 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 73.4 - - 76.2 - - 75.8 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.8 - - 33.3 - - 32.7 - - 32.8 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 174 - - 276 - - 41 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2006 - - 5671 - - 5387 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97795 12 306 19 277 23 270 33 289 28 298 97795 90523 18 288 21 279 22 288 20 280 25 279 90523 84906 19 289 17 281 20 279 18 285 18 285 84906 80220 10 274 12 300 13 261 15 291 11 302 80220 76179 6 328 8 277 10 258 13 298 9 313 76179 72611 9 343 4 248 10 251 14 275 14 298 72611 69382 9 321 5 323 3 239 10 256 14 280 69382 66428 11 286 7 314 2 212 9 251 12 260 66428 63714 12 276 6 279 7 253 10 246 14 248 63714 61098 16 274 10 269 13 265 12 259 14 242 61098 58375 21 263 18 262 20 260 18 264 18 252 58375 55557 24 258 25 263 26 257 26 264 24 250 55557 52869 29 266 31 267 29 261 29 264 27 248 52869 50440 34 270 35 269 32 265 32 266 30 252 50440 48248 38 269 37 266 36 267 35 265 35 257 48248 46244 44 269 42 260 42 263 41 264 40 259 46244 44393 49 268 45 258 46 258 45 261 44 259 44393 42672 50 266 46 260 46 258 45 258 46 256 42672 41062 48 266 46 263 46 259 46 258 46 256 41062 39552 45 266 44 265 43 260 44 257 45 258 39552 38134 40 268 40 267 39 260 42 256 42 256 38134 36778 34 272 34 269 35 259 40 256 39 253 36778 35420 29 281 26 275 29 260 36 255 37 254 35420 34027 26 289 20 285 20 265 28 253 33 252 34027 32600 20 290 17 282 16 273 20 255 26 252 32600 31125 15 285 13 283 13 272 17 262 19 255 31125 29587 10 305 11 305 10 284 15 264 17 253 29587 27985 13 330 11 324 7 295 10 269 14 252 27985 26318 14 343 10 328 6 297 8 270 12 259 26318 24590 15 005 9 333 6 306 6 276 8 272 24590 22803 18 022 10 353 5 324 4 290 6 275 22803 20953 16 017 11 015 5 000 3 312 4 281 20953 19033 7 006 8 018 5 353 3 345 2 304 19033 17084 2 081 2 295 4 293 3 312 2 261 17084 15217 2 054 2 258 4 259 3 250 4 219 15217 13522 3 004 0 069 3 224 4 197 4 201 13522 12014 3 000 1 081 3 210 3 206 4 226 12014 10669 4 337 0 270 4 256 3 267 6 243 10669 9467 5 317 3 281 5*269 3*292 7 236 9467 8391 6 314 5 279 4*265 3*286 6 215 8391 7430 6 317 4 270 4 253 4 279 5 197 7430 6575 5 320 3 251 4 246 5 269 3 191 6575 5814 4 324 3 234 4 242 6 260 3 195 5814 5128 3 318 2*234 5 240 6 254 2 174 5128 4518 2 291 3*240 6 240 6 252 2 141 4518 4006 1 263 3 246 6 240 7 251 2 131 4006 3611 2 261 3 248 6 241 6 250 2 144 3611 3339 2 270 3 247 6 241 6 249 3 148 3339 3173 1 257 3 248 6 240 6 248 3*137 3173 3078 2*002 3 247 6 241 5 249 2*124 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography