DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 69.8 - - 75.1 - - 75.1 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 291 - - 383 - - 176 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2466 - - 5710 - - 6504 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4582 - - 7187 - - 7421 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 5528 - - 8772 - - 9566 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 618 - - 2203 - - 1539 - - 1334 - - 3306 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 374 - - 542 - - 440 - - 6 W* B/S 7 - - 41 - - 37 - - 356 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 277 - - 195 - - 203 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 7 - - 32 - - 42 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6331 - - -3889 - - -1773 - - -1270 - - -4279 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9409 - - 9417 - - 10545 - - 10836 - - 7358 sfcLCL ODpotential -12754 - - -7970 - - -4963 - - -4591 - - -8848 ODpotential blCL 15831 - - 13498 - - 13735 - - 14157 - - 11926 blCL maxRH 33 - - 53 - - 68 - - 69 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 69.8 - - 75.1 - - 75.1 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.4 - - 39.1 - - 39.2 - - 38.1 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 67.8 - - 72.7 - - 73.8 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 37.9 - - 38.0 - - 36.9 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 291 - - 383 - - 176 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2466 - - 5710 - - 6504 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97400 5 255 12 239 11 261 22 273 21 297 97400 89968 14 308 11 327 9 311 8 289 13 286 89968 84318 18 329 14 313 12 312 10 343 11 297 84318 79687 15 307 10 316 13 301 14 327 9 356 79687 75692 12 304 13 292 15 285 14 310 10 351 75692 72138 13 312 15 294 15 272 13 312 11 317 72138 68920 16 301 16 310 15 277 16 297 16 308 68920 65965 22 290 15 315 17 285 15 278 17 296 65965 63220 23 284 16 308 17 297 15 293 15 286 63220 60552 22 276 21 297 21 300 22 304 18 291 60552 57758 21 276 25 278 30 284 33 292 24 293 57758 54850 22 286 28 274 34 275 39 282 31 291 54850 52076 30 290 33 280 37 277 42 276 41 286 52076 49591 37 292 39 281 36 282 42 275 48 282 49591 47370 44 294 40 286 37 285 41 278 47 278 47370 45360 48 296 43 291 40 284 42 281 47 277 45360 43534 50 295 46 292 42 284 45 280 49 277 43534 41867 50 294 48 290 45 282 45 277 46 275 41867 40334 51 295 48 289 47 280 44 275 40 276 40334 38907 50 295 48 289 47 281 42 273 41 279 38907 37568 49 295 50 292 48 283 40 277 41 279 37568 36278 48 297 48 293 49 285 41 280 38 279 36278 34970 47 300 44 294 49 287 42 281 35 282 34970 33617 47 302 41 294 45 287 42 282 33 286 33617 32223 45 304 39 295 39 287 40 281 33 285 32223 30776 41 306 38 299 35 289 37 279 34 284 30776 29265 36 306 34 298 33 293 33 281 32 284 29265 27692 32 313 29 296 31 293 31 285 30 286 27692 26056 27 320 25 295 26 296 28 291 26 289 26056 24360 23 325 21 293 20 282 22 301 19 294 24360 22605 21 334 16 299 14 268 17 300 14 303 22605 20786 20 342 12 317 11 267 12 291 13 302 20786 18903 21 348 10 333 9 286 10 292 9 301 18903 16990 20 346 12 329 11 313 11 311 9 311 16990 15147 18 346 13 327 13 324 11 323 9 332 15147 13468 14 350 10 335 8 323 8 321 7 351 13468 11968 9 351 6 350 3 330 3 281 5 350 11968 10627 5 355 1 030 2 154 3*107 2 242 10627 9428 2 008 4 138 3*141 4*082 6 150 9428 8358 2 358 5 137 3*139 4 082 8 126 8358 7404 2 325 4 130 3 144 2 084 6 111 7404 6556 3 297 1 104 2 159 0 110 4 090 6556 5801 4 278 1*357 3 186 1 253 3 058 5801 5119 6 270 1*329 3 210 2 253 4 032 5119 4513 7 268 1 294 4 217 3 256 5 012 4513 4003 6 267 2 279 4 223 4 257 6 356 4003 3610 5 281 2 269 4 226 4 255 6 341 3610 3338 4 276 2 265 5 227 4 256 6 326 3338 3173 2 276 3 263 4 229 4 256 5*318 3173 3078 1*284 3 264 4 228 4 254 3*313 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography