DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.7 - - 90.5 - - 95.9 - - 95.3 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 304 - - 407 - - 210 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1890 - - 3871 - - 4740 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3063 - - 4166 - - 5756 - - 6159 - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 4953 - - 6935 - - 7803 - - 3080 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 499 - - 1212 - - 3611 - - 3129 - - 1314 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 345 - - 483 - - 416 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 13 - - 20 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 231 - - 263 - - 274 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 17 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9976 - - -7980 - - -7203 - - -6010 - - -4056 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13056 - - 12933 - - 14139 - - 13814 - - 7136 sfcLCL ODpotential -17190 - - -12263 - - -10609 - - -9445 - - -9249 ODpotential blCL 20269 - - 17216 - - 17544 - - 17248 - - 12329 blCL maxRH 34 - - 35 - - 55 - - 39 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1010 CAPE Temp@2m 79.7 - - 90.5 - - 95.9 - - 95.3 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.1 - - 44.5 - - 44.3 - - 45.2 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.6 - - 88.4 - - 93.2 - - 93.6 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.9 - - 43.9 - - 43.5 - - 44.5 - - 60.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 304 - - 407 - - 210 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1890 - - 3871 - - 4740 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99273 33 098 37 108 32 112 28 122 19 087 99273 91776 32 101 29 106 30 113 24 115 24 095 91776 85979 32 097 27 111 27 113 27 101 23 103 85979 81185 28 098 25 110 26 099 28 096 25 112 81185 77063 23 093 20 109 22 098 26 087 24 106 77063 73424 17 097 14 117 17 110 21 081 20 088 73424 70139 13 114 13 117 11 091 14 092 11 074 70139 67125 13 110 12 105 5 075 11 077 11 095 67125 64338 9 062 7 067 9 118 4 092 5 053 64338 61658 6 344 4 066 4 077 6 111 1 008 61658 58884 5 283 4 056 4 344 4 007 5 051 58884 56026 7 263 2 214 6 284 9 307 6 345 56026 53325 9 235 4 200 8 229 10 256 8 311 53325 50915 7 214 9 204 15 220 18 230 13 248 50915 48762 8 246 12 220 17 219 21 219 20 226 48762 46799 17 232 19 223 20 221 19 218 23 214 46799 44988 21 223 23 220 22 222 21 217 23 211 44988 43304 21 220 23 215 26 217 25 218 23 213 43304 41729 21 224 19 211 25 213 28 217 25 217 41729 40246 19 229 17 215 22 209 25 211 26 214 40246 38845 17 234 15 216 19 206 23 208 26 210 38845 37492 15 235 14 215 16 206 23 206 26 208 37492 36123 10 239 11 212 17 207 22 202 25 205 36123 34710 7 230 10 204 18 214 20 198 26 200 34710 33259 9 214 7 206 16 211 18 201 23 194 33259 31754 7 212 4 202 10 191 14 202 16 190 31754 30184 6 225 2 224 6 167 13 186 15 177 30184 28551 6 222 3 230 5 165 11 168 17 176 28551 26857 5 226 4 241 3 196 7 156 14 172 26857 25106 6 274 5 256 3 238 4 133 10 150 25106 23297 8 276 5 252 3 205 4 145 8 130 23297 21427 9 264 5 231 7 194 6 183 6 162 21427 19488 9 234 9 220 10 207 7 220 5 199 19488 17515 10 211 13 223 11 221 7 238 5 218 17515 15613 9 197 13 226 11 241 7 259 4 235 15613 13876 6 185 11 230 9 258 5 268 2 251 13876 12323 4 150 7 231 6 267 2 260 1 261 12323 10934 2 094 3 227 3 278 1 244 2 240 10934 9689 2 038 1 269 2 286 1 033 4 233 9689 8575 2 014 2 293 2 298 2*021 4 222 8575 7579 2 340 3 290 2*313 2*355 2 198 7579 6694 3 310 5 285 2*294 3 318 2 062 6694 5907 4 291 5 276 3 277 4 290 3 015 5907 5198 5 282 3*250 4 268 5 271 4 325 5198 4567 4 268 4*232 5 260 6 266 6 289 4567 4038 3 234 5 230 6 258 7 262 7 260 4038 3630 2 204 5 230 6 256 7 261 8 245 3630 3349 2 195 5 231 6 255 7 258 8 242 3349 3178 1*202 5 230 6 254 7 258 7*242 3178 3080 0*117 5 231 6 253 6 257 5*243 3080 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography