DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 47.1 - - 45.8 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 105 - - 49 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 832 - - 1652 - - 1453 - - 282 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3525 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3892 - - 4712 - - 4513 - - 3342 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 859 - - 1167 - - 1313 - - 1454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 235 - - 176 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 226 - - 210 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 15 - - 11 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 816 - - 1447 - - 1338 - - 266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3076 - - 3265 - - 3175 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 366 - - 489 - - 394 - - -30 ODpotential blCL - - - 3526 - - 4223 - - 4119 - - 3372 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 47.1 - - 45.8 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 43.4 - - 42.5 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 46.4 - - 45.3 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 42.6 - - 41.9 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 105 - - 49 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 832 - - 1652 - - 1453 - - 282 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 90 - - 100 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96530 21 092 30 089 34 102 26 108 96530 89409 19 103 19 106 24 103 19 099 89409 83915 16 106 11 126 12 103 14 086 83915 79324 10 125 7 113 11 121 10 093 79324 75337 9 151 5 123 8 125 5 110 75337 71793 10 162 7 212 2 071 1 246 71793 68575 8 191 11 200 11 238 3 225 68575 65599 10 254 11 232 11 215 2 246 65599 62826 22 236 21 247 22 239 22 247 62826 60154 25 239 26 240 32 232 27 236 60154 57376 35 253 32 245 32 241 28 240 57376 54492 45 256 39 250 37 244 37 237 54492 51731 54 261 51 252 47 247 50 245 51731 49243 66 260 62 253 61 250 67 247 49243 47014 77 258 76 254 76 251 82 245 47014 44987 81 258 81 256 83 251 89 247 44987 43131 87 259 89 258 91 252 97 248 43131 41424 89 257 94 255 99 250 101 245 41424 39851 88 259 96 254 100 247 100 243 39851 38403 86 261 94 254 96 245 98 239 38403 37062 82 260 85 252 89 244 93 237 37062 35774 79 257 81 256 85 247 88 239 35774 34469 77 256 79 259 87 249 88 241 34469 33119 77 258 75 255 87 248 87 241 33119 31730 76 258 73 250 89 248 87 240 31730 30288 75 254 74 249 89 246 89 240 30288 28783 74 248 72 248 85 244 89 239 28783 27218 75 245 70 247 79 241 82 237 27218 25595 74 242 71 242 74 239 73 235 25595 23916 70 241 70 239 70 238 67 234 23916 22182 63 241 68 240 64 238 63 235 22182 20384 55 237 60 239 58 239 58 236 20384 18518 48 232 52 235 52 238 54 235 18518 16619 41 230 47 230 45 236 49 230 16619 14793 31 228 40 219 37 229 43 225 14793 13135 25 216 33 201 32 221 35 217 13135 11664 23 202 30 189 31 207 29 211 11664 10356 21 196 27 181 30 196 30 211 10356 9190 20 195 25 182 30 194 31 206 9190 8149 20 197 24 192 30 196 32 196 8149 7222 20 201 24 205 30 198 32 190 7222 6402 21 207 24 215 29 200 33 192 6402 5674 23 211 23 219 26 203 32 198 5674 5021 24 213 23*222 23*205 29 206 5021 4441 24 211 22*224 20*207 24 212 4441 3956 22*210 20 225 18 209 19 215 3956 3582 20*209 19 226 16 211 17*216 3582 3324 17 209 17 226 15 212 15*216 3324 3167 16 209 16 226 13 212 13 216 3167 3077 10 210 11 227 9 213 8 216 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography