DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 57.4 - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 13 - - 132 - - 29 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 287 - - 1463 - - 819 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3585 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3347 - - 4524 - - 3880 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 452 - - 1102 - - 1247 - - 1742 - - 588 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 80 - - 248 - - 127 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 217 - - 252 - - 307 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1230 - - -3874 - - -1227 - - -1880 - - -1173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4308 - - 7221 - - 5751 - - 5760 - - 4250 sfcLCL ODpotential -6008 - - -6698 - - -4709 - - -4561 - - -5517 ODpotential blCL 9085 - - 10045 - - 9233 - - 8441 - - 8594 blCL maxRH 92 - - 81 - - 84 - - 70 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 170 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 57.4 - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 36.8 - - 42.7 - - 43.2 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.7 - - 57.3 - - 56.1 - - 57.3 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 35.6 - - 41.5 - - 42.3 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 13 - - 132 - - 29 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 287 - - 1463 - - 819 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 24 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96142 11 188 11 312 6 237 2 307 8 112 96142 89092 15 097 6 112 7 061 7 122 16 107 89092 83685 19 097 22 118 11 102 13 119 14 102 83685 79178 15 076 24 110 13 118 13 116 10 078 79178 75278 10 076 15 108 7 121 7 134 8 023 75278 71821 8 095 5 125 3 148 4 172 9 005 71821 68685 4 104 2 180 3 165 2 162 7 334 68685 65796 4 187 8 253 3 220 2 133 5 276 65796 63102 6 173 12 252 7 258 6 252 8 231 63102 60481 3 177 14 245 9 253 13 264 10 232 60481 57744 6 245 13 239 9 242 14 259 11 246 57744 54893 12 244 11 239 10 260 12 241 14 243 54893 52151 14 252 10 253 13 268 9 229 14 234 52151 49662 19 260 13 258 15 260 10 246 11 224 49662 47411 22 248 17 239 20 247 16 247 10 236 47411 45358 17 245 16 224 22 230 17 238 10 263 45358 43477 14 243 12 220 20 218 14 246 10 292 43477 41740 14 239 9 234 14 207 10 263 13 309 41740 40122 16 240 8 259 6 174 8 278 17 315 40122 38608 14 240 10 253 1 156 10 311 19 321 38608 37189 16 223 11 230 5 298 14 325 21 333 37189 35834 19 216 8 214 9 305 8 003 24 338 35834 34487 16 223 2 269 4 309 17 024 31 006 34487 33120 13 210 6 322 2 044 22 019 42 020 33120 31728 16 169 6 275 5 258 16 002 53 017 31728 30294 20 162 8 212 11 227 12 340 35 015 30294 28809 24 165 13 184 9 194 8 320 22 004 28809 27273 25 163 14 161 9 143 2 060 11 007 27273 25678 25 165 15 156 12 137 4 127 11 061 25678 24021 26 170 16 161 11 135 7 180 12 084 24021 22304 22 165 11 160 10 147 9 193 4 112 22304 20524 14 151 8 167 7 160 9 204 4 292 20524 18676 8 153 7 193 6 176 8 211 7 290 18676 16793 12 207 9 199 6 182 6 218 8 286 16793 14976 16 210 12 197 8 192 5 210 5 294 14976 13318 14 196 13 198 7 197 4 186 2 322 13318 11840 11 155 12 187 6 192 4 173 1 012 11840 10520 13 133 13 169 7 165 5 160 2 113 10520 9338 15 129 14 153 9 149 8 142 4 134 9338 8281 13 127 13 148 7 147 10 135 6 143 8281 7337 11 129 11 150 4 148 11 133 7 145 7337 6498 9 138 9 156 3 173 10 120 7 138 6498 5752 8 156 8 163 4 220 9 100 7 124 5752 5080 7 184 8 165 7*245 8 085 6 104 5080 4483 8 209 8 172 10*251 5 066 5 076 4483 3983 9 225 8 187 11 252 2*007 8 040 3983 3597 9 232 8*204 11 252 3*313 9 029 3597 3331 8 235 6*214 11 252 3 308 9 027 3331 3170 6 238 4 217 10 252 3 304 7*026 3170 3077 2*265 3 220 8 252 3 303 5*023 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography