DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 60.9 - - 62.8 - - 60.6 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 38 - - 130 - - 61 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 750 - - 2003 - - 1641 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3997 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3811 - - 5064 - - 4703 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 401 - - 1425 - - 1265 - - 1536 - - 426 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 145 - - 280 - - 204 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 213 - - 234 - - 258 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3711 - - -3914 - - -1887 - - -726 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6788 - - 7726 - - 6951 - - 5429 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -11680 - - -10157 - - -7086 - - -5554 - - -5410 ODpotential blCL 14757 - - 13968 - - 12150 - - 10257 - - 8487 blCL maxRH 40 - - 43 - - 52 - - 66 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 60.9 - - 62.8 - - 60.6 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.4 - - 37.9 - - 42.9 - - 47.3 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 60.5 - - 61.8 - - 60.0 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 36.7 - - 41.7 - - 46.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 38 - - 130 - - 61 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 750 - - 2003 - - 1641 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96465 26 287 17 317 16 262 28 287 28 285 96465 89282 14 310 10 292 17 276 16 284 17 285 89282 83748 9 303 10 262 19 271 16 283 16 289 83748 79160 11 272 14 273 16 275 17 277 17 280 79160 75202 11 266 15 260 18 268 18 287 18 295 75202 71704 15 285 14 263 23 265 24 287 20 307 71704 68528 17 285 15 267 22 271 22 269 19 297 68528 65593 18 276 14 272 20 284 20 263 22 283 65593 62868 20 265 10 268 19 279 21 268 20 272 62868 60218 19 264 7 273 15 259 21 274 20 275 60218 57436 15 273 12 287 15 275 21 275 22 274 57436 54546 9 318 13 276 14 274 18 276 23 288 54546 51798 14 335 13 311 18 309 22 300 27 303 51798 49332 18 340 20 321 24 307 32 304 35 302 49332 47117 19 340 21 322 28 307 40 304 38 306 47117 45112 21 344 23 321 33 311 40 307 39 312 45112 43298 15 345 19 310 27 302 34 303 47 321 43298 41648 14 011 7 337 17 291 28 302 55 321 41648 40127 27 009 23 017 22 340 36 324 56 315 40127 38709 36 010 36 005 36 346 41 329 52 315 38709 37377 35 008 35 002 39 345 37 325 45 317 37377 36091 32 008 31 360 38 343 35 324 39 318 36091 34787 29 010 27 359 34 339 35 326 36 321 34787 33438 30 010 27 358 32 336 34 328 36 325 33438 32047 31 008 28 357 29 335 34 329 36 328 32047 30601 32 007 27 360 24 338 32 332 36 330 30601 29092 33 008 24 001 22 344 29 337 37 330 29092 27521 33 010 24 356 23 349 25 340 36 330 27521 25891 32 011 25 356 22 354 22 339 32 328 25891 24203 33 007 25 360 21 358 23 341 30 328 24203 22460 32 007 23 004 20 360 24 344 33 333 22460 20656 27 011 19 011 17 358 25 345 31 336 20656 18783 20 011 15 010 15 001 24 346 27 334 18783 16877 15 360 12 354 15 360 21 346 25 331 16877 15040 13 342 13 347 14 356 18 348 22 331 15040 13365 13 339 11 352 11 358 14 355 19 337 13365 11873 12 351 7 348 9 357 10 358 16 344 11873 10542 9 006 5 346 7 348 8 356 12 343 10542 9352 7 011 5 341 7 339 7 351 9 336 9352 8288 7 005 6 337 7 336 6 343 7 331 8288 7341 6 353 5 334 6 332 5 345 4 323 7341 6501 5 343 4 324 3 322 5 342 1 011 6501 5755 4 332 2 290 2 258 4 321 3 046 5755 5082 2 321 3 236 3*232 5*282 5 034 5082 4484 1 326 5 215 4*232 7*263 4 019 4484 3983 1 038 4*212 5 233 7 259 4 341 3983 3597 1 078 4*211 6 234 8 258 4 270 3597 3331 2 071 4 215 6 235 7 256 5 243 3331 3170 3 057 3 213 6 235 7 256 5*233 3170 3077 3*049 3 215 5 234 6 256 3*243 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography