DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 61.7 - - 64.1 - - 62.2 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 37 - - 70 - - 5 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 520 - - 990 - - 482 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3581 - - 4051 - - 3543 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 390 - - 1060 - - 1198 - - 860 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 124 - - 189 - - 86 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 021 - - 030 - - 031 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -6 - - -14 - - -13 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -944 - - -850 - - -937 - - -800 - - -891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4022 - - 4431 - - 4988 - - 4343 - - 3970 sfcLCL ODpotential -8150 - - -4819 - - -5589 - - -5701 - - -8762 ODpotential blCL 11227 - - 8400 - - 9640 - - 9244 - - 11840 blCL maxRH 71 - - 69 - - 76 - - 79 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 61.7 - - 64.1 - - 62.2 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 52.9 - - 52.9 - - 53.7 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 61.4 - - 63.5 - - 62.1 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.2 - - 51.6 - - 51.6 - - 52.4 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 37 - - 70 - - 5 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 520 - - 990 - - 482 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 17 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96640 17 123 12 088 8 123 10 054 11 104 96640 89479 13 074 15 081 11 125 4 065 8 042 89479 83939 9 072 9 094 6 065 4 043 9 032 83939 79349 14 033 13 042 15 033 10 018 11 030 79349 75407 20 016 16 010 19 357 20 014 22 029 75407 71953 24 359 19 358 21 337 27 351 27 004 71953 68859 29 342 20 360 20 341 26 330 26 333 68859 66047 36 327 31 324 32 328 26 331 20 338 66047 63424 36 312 33 307 33 311 30 305 27 304 63424 60857 30 312 36 311 35 306 32 310 34 304 60857 58157 48 305 50 297 47 292 43 293 40 295 58157 55318 58 292 54 288 52 284 50 283 47 289 55318 52592 60 283 58 279 58 278 62 279 60 283 52592 50148 62 279 60 275 63 272 73 273 66 280 50148 47968 64 278 61 272 65 270 74 272 72 272 47968 46002 68 279 63 273 68 273 75 273 74 271 46002 44203 73 278 68 276 73 273 76 274 74 273 44203 42542 75 271 70 274 73 270 74 271 72 273 42542 40998 71 267 65 271 66 268 70 268 68 271 40998 39551 70 268 60 272 62 271 66 268 64 270 39551 38186 69 270 60 274 61 272 64 269 61 271 38186 36869 66 272 60 277 62 272 58 268 61 272 36869 35535 61 275 57 280 60 270 57 269 61 271 35535 34155 59 275 52 280 55 269 58 270 58 270 34155 32732 57 274 48 275 50 272 56 271 51 272 32732 31254 56 274 48 271 47 272 55 273 46 280 31254 29712 57 276 49 271 49 274 55 274 48 281 29712 28108 58 277 49 276 53 276 56 274 47 276 28108 26441 56 277 50 278 51 278 50 277 44 276 26441 24713 53 280 49 279 48 280 46 283 41 280 24713 22924 51 287 45 281 45 282 44 282 37 283 22924 21070 51 291 44 287 43 288 39 283 32 286 21070 19146 43 296 37 291 39 295 34 290 29 292 19146 17188 33 299 26 290 30 295 28 294 25 298 17188 15303 26 302 20 291 22 287 24 291 23 301 15303 13586 24 306 18 300 16 285 20 292 21 307 13586 12056 21 308 17 305 15 297 18 305 20 319 12056 10694 18 310 17 311 15 311 17 318 17 331 10694 9477 17 315 17 322 15 321 15 328 15 343 9477 8391 16 321 16 332 16 329 14 336 14 355 8391 7423 16 326 14 339 17 340 16 348 15 004 7423 6565 14 332 12 347 16 350 16 356 16 010 6565 5802 11 337 12 356 14 000 15 004 16 014 5802 5116 9 346 11 006 13 013 14 012 16 017 5116 4506 7 356 12 014 12*023 13 020 16 020 4506 3996 6 002 11 018 11*029 13 027 16 021 3996 3604 5 008 9*020 11 030 11*030 16 022 3604 3334 5 016 7*021 10 031 10*030 14 025 3334 3171 5 020 6 021 9 031 9 031 11*027 3171 3078 4*023 5 021 7 032 6 030 6*031 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography