DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 48.7 - - 45.6 - - 38.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 77 - - 2 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 185 - - 1106 - - 299 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3245 - - 4166 - - 3359 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 600 - - 874 - - 704 - - 141 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 192 - - 48 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 050 - - 105 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -3 - - -5 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1241 - - -456 - - -535 - - -1968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4486 - - 4623 - - 3895 - - 5044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8189 - - -5673 - - -5544 - - -9428 ODpotential blCL - - - 11434 - - 9839 - - 8903 - - 12504 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 78 - - 75 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 48.7 - - 45.6 - - 38.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 39.4 - - 39.5 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 48.0 - - 45.7 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 38.2 - - 38.5 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 77 - - 2 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 185 - - 1106 - - 299 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96352 15 040 12 010 24 048 20 065 96352 89294 18 101 10 041 17 037 13 038 89294 83857 13 051 9 061 6 349 8 001 83857 79299 8 324 8 024 4 283 11 330 79299 75336 10 324 11 352 6 281 6 293 75336 71805 15 315 12 318 13 335 4 025 71805 68577 16 291 16 289 23 329 17 348 68577 65613 13 256 20 259 17 303 16 324 65613 62881 13 296 13 273 12 292 15 316 62881 60243 20 312 16 308 14 307 14 322 60243 57479 18 313 16 314 12 315 9 312 57479 54585 14 308 14 314 13 322 10 322 54585 51819 13 306 15 315 16 324 12 338 51819 49339 14 301 17 309 14 328 15 345 49339 47116 10 316 16 294 12 324 16 339 47116 45104 19 009 15 300 12 347 15 342 45104 43273 34 353 20 339 18 011 23 031 43273 41583 32 339 28 356 38 013 42 029 41583 40010 22 305 42 000 42 015 41 036 40010 38537 16 278 44 015 36 019 37 040 38537 37160 11 320 44 018 44 029 37 047 37160 35841 16 357 38 010 49 028 43 051 35841 34515 21 005 34 009 46 025 50 045 34515 33152 21 002 33 006 45 028 48 038 33152 31755 18 343 31 357 45 029 43 039 31755 30308 20 321 29 343 41 026 43 040 30308 28802 21 320 27 327 39 018 43 036 28802 27241 21 331 24 317 29 000 41 031 27241 25623 27 360 24 325 29 347 36 029 25623 23949 34 018 25 336 31 004 30 026 23949 22223 32 006 23 356 31 017 27 022 22223 20437 29 342 22 358 25 015 23 021 20437 18582 26 342 21 349 17 008 16 017 18582 16694 23 354 20 347 18 358 12 008 16694 14878 18 015 16 358 15 358 11 009 14878 13224 15 026 13 009 10 009 10 019 13224 11747 13 027 10 011 9 011 9 024 11747 10429 10 032 5 008 6 007 8 028 10429 9252 8 042 2 008 3 005 4 049 9252 8201 7 052 1 006 2 011 2 117 8201 7267 5 064 2 246 0 193 5 183 7267 6439 4 076 4 225 3 194 8 184 6439 5704 3 084 3 196 5 182 10 179 5704 5043 3 079 1 086 5 168 10 173 5043 4456 4 059 4*040 4 157 8 168 4456 3964 5 051 5*044 2 132 7 154 3964 3585 7 053 5 049 2*103 6 121 3585 3325 6*057 5 051 3*102 7 093 3325 3166 5*060 4 053 3 105 6 079 3166 3076 4 061 4 054 2 109 5*069 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography