DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.0 - - 85.6 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 461 - - 249 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1243 - - 2151 - - 1906 - - 302 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3733 - - 4463 - - 4116 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4305 - - 5214 - - 4969 - - 3365 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 733 - - 1544 - - 1470 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 413 - - 323 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 234 - - 242 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4719 - - -5113 - - -4411 - - -1066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9025 - - 10328 - - 9380 - - 4431 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8486 - - -7896 - - -7483 - - -6285 ODpotential blCL - - - 12791 - - 13110 - - 12452 - - 9650 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 69 - - 93 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 220 - - 560 - - 1070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.0 - - 85.6 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 52.4 - - 55.1 - - 63.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.2 - - 84.2 - - 83.8 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 52.0 - - 54.8 - - 63.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 461 - - 249 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1243 - - 2151 - - 1906 - - 302 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 0 - - 74 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99210 26 128 25 109 28 093 26 089 99210 91756 38 108 30 111 21 108 22 091 91756 85999 29 084 29 109 21 105 20 099 85999 81214 22 092 24 097 25 098 20 097 81214 77091 19 103 17 097 23 095 23 096 77091 73450 17 096 16 095 16 099 17 092 73450 70166 9 099 12 084 11 097 13 088 70166 67158 9 136 9 102 10 084 9 072 67158 64375 10 112 4 150 4 043 12 056 64375 61684 8 080 4 192 3 271 8 013 61684 58893 0 043 3 250 5 258 7 307 58893 56020 3 239 8 219 5 229 8 259 56020 53291 13 220 15 212 12 220 15 230 53291 50847 16 205 20 199 21 204 23 205 50847 48664 14 199 20 200 21 205 22 195 48664 46675 17 213 22 213 24 220 25 215 46675 44840 24 217 28 215 32 217 29 215 44840 43132 31 210 34 211 33 211 29 221 43132 41531 36 202 39 204 34 217 34 217 41531 40032 38 198 40 197 40 213 34 222 40032 38635 37 196 38 197 34 213 42 236 38635 37300 35 195 33 199 32 225 41 241 37300 35947 31 199 25 209 29 230 35 245 35947 34547 27 202 21 213 26 235 27 244 34547 33102 24 203 20 206 24 242 24 235 33102 31601 21 208 19 201 19 249 24 230 31601 30034 18 216 18 204 15 240 15 219 30034 28403 15 214 18 206 13 212 12 213 28403 26714 14 211 16 206 14 194 12 209 26714 24968 13 206 11 205 8 185 9 198 24968 23167 11 191 11 201 5 179 7 199 23167 21303 14 186 12 193 8 187 8 189 21303 19371 12 186 10 174 11 171 9 153 19371 17404 10 192 5 195 8 164 5 160 17404 15510 8 179 5 228 6 181 3 175 15510 13782 6 161 6 206 6 202 4 183 13782 12240 5 204 7 203 6 214 5 189 12240 10861 6 227 6 214 7 226 7 194 10861 9626 7 238 6 223 8 232 9 194 9626 8520 7 241 7 225 7 236 8 194 8520 7532 8 235 7 226 6 245 7 189 7532 6655 9 222 8 226 5 252 5 177 6655 5874 12 209 9*229 6 252 4 177 5874 5171 13 202 9*233 7*247 4 208 5171 4545 12*203 10 234 8*244 6 231 4545 4022 10*208 11 234 9 243 10 237 4022 3620 10 211 11 235 9 241 11*237 3620 3343 9 213 10 235 9 241 10*238 3343 3175 9 214 10 236 9 241 9 238 3175 3079 8 214 9 235 8 241 6 242 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography