DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 77.0 - - 76.1 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 433 - - 247 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1933 - - 4197 - - 4138 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4226 - - 6034 - - 5780 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4994 - - 7259 - - 7200 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 796 - - 1513 - - 1755 - - 1106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 509 - - 421 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 323 - - 323 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 9 - - 20 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6616 - - -6248 - - -5376 - - -5811 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11610 - - 13508 - - 12577 - - 8889 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13941 - - -12721 - - -11987 - - -13673 ODpotential blCL - - - 18935 - - 19980 - - 19187 - - 16751 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 50 - - 56 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 77.0 - - 76.1 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.6 - - 28.1 - - 31.4 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 74.5 - - 74.4 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 27.0 - - 30.1 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 433 - - 247 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1933 - - 4197 - - 4138 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98572 10 101 16 092 22 072 21 093 98572 91125 14 082 17 099 18 092 16 069 91125 85397 17 089 9 095 16 083 17 070 85397 80638 12 121 9 083 11 092 16 069 80638 76537 16 125 4 038 15 081 16 097 76537 72917 15 119 7 128 10 092 13 094 72917 69644 10 131 8 164 6 089 10 100 69644 66642 10 115 14 170 5 242 3 170 66642 63872 6 311 1 153 4 308 3 175 63872 61193 13 243 16 242 14 281 8 290 61193 58388 12 224 18 235 19 264 18 273 58388 55459 20 267 21 245 25 253 26 266 55459 52652 30 270 24 264 25 255 25 271 52652 50129 36 272 32 277 30 267 29 280 50129 47885 40 273 37 275 30 270 31 278 47885 45866 41 279 36 279 32 283 30 293 45866 44039 43 286 37 280 39 300 32 320 44039 42373 42 282 36 282 25 316 27 292 42373 40829 32 283 32 299 29 018 22 342 40829 39386 26 301 32 314 51 016 37 008 39386 38028 29 314 33 318 57 012 32 000 38028 36715 32 319 33 313 48 010 33 349 36715 35382 29 324 31 306 35 009 39 342 35382 34001 27 330 30 302 26 356 37 337 34001 32577 28 330 29 301 27 333 21 331 32577 31096 30 329 28 306 32 320 20 318 31096 29549 30 330 28 311 33 312 25 320 29549 27939 31 332 27 319 32 308 25 323 27939 26266 25 339 24 323 29 306 23 312 26266 24534 18 340 21 315 26 303 21 289 24534 22747 16 322 22 313 25 296 22 278 22747 20898 17 312 19 319 25 299 22 284 20898 18984 16 318 15 322 22 307 19 299 18984 17040 15 327 11 312 17 311 16 308 17040 15171 13 334 9 296 13 306 14 308 15171 13473 12 337 8 289 11 292 13 304 13473 11962 12 334 7 293 9 281 13 298 11962 10617 12 333 7 305 8 281 13 293 10617 9416 11 336 7 317 5 293 12 291 9416 8344 10 342 7 333 3 347 11 289 8344 7390 9 347 6*343 4*005 8 278 7390 6542 7 345 6*343 5*356 7 266 6542 5787 4 331 7 338 6 339 7 266 5787 5107 3*267 7 328 8 328 6 289 5107 4502 3*252 7 321 9 319 8 326 4502 3995 4 248 7 314 9 315 11 337 3995 3605 5 246 7 311 10 313 11 336 3605 3336 5 245 7 308 9 311 10 333 3336 3172 5 244 7 307 9 310 9*331 3172 3078 5 245 6 305 8 309 6*330 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography