DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Hernandez 3049ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1855z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.8 - - 76.2 - - 81.4 - - 80.4 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 271 - - 390 - - 134 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2484 - - 4570 - - 4147 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3048 - - 4546 - - 6266 - - 5436 - - 3048 Hcrit BL Top 3065 - - 5533 - - 7619 - - 7196 - - 3065 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 405 - - 1687 - - 1329 - - 1574 - - 617 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 361 - - 500 - - 339 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 20 - - 28 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 011 - - 221 - - 270 - - 292 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 10 - - 25 - - 25 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6405 - - -8073 - - -7490 - - -8112 - - -6661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9470 - - 13607 - - 15109 - - 15309 - - 9727 sfcLCL ODpotential -17086 - - -15297 - - -13459 - - -14333 - - -15543 ODpotential blCL 20151 - - 20830 - - 21078 - - 21529 - - 18608 blCL maxRH 78 - - 75 - - 78 - - 75 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.8 - - 76.2 - - 81.4 - - 80.4 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.8 - - 27.3 - - 25.6 - - 23.7 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.8 - - 74.9 - - 79.4 - - 79.2 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 27.2 - - 25.4 - - 23.7 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 271 - - 390 - - 134 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2484 - - 4570 - - 4147 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 0 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98305 6 276 6 021 6 197 9 231 3 306 98305 90892 5 076 3 041 3 152 6 207 1 024 90892 85165 7 057 6 100 4 221 2 228 3 049 85165 80426 6 049 7 056 2 220 2 057 4 044 80426 76365 8 048 2 089 2 259 4 004 5 037 76365 72791 8 345 3 345 3 322 6 003 5 359 72791 69566 7 310 6 307 9 309 11 338 6 339 69566 66611 8 327 7 321 9 297 11 300 9 329 66611 63878 12 329 8 319 9 301 11 273 12 313 63878 61237 13 314 8 291 10 270 13 286 13 296 61237 58483 15 292 10 300 13 250 16 277 15 287 58483 55622 18 274 15 290 16 258 18 263 18 283 55622 52889 24 266 21 270 21 265 23 258 21 281 52889 50425 30 260 27 264 23 266 24 262 23 279 50425 48214 35 257 33 263 27 263 28 267 25 276 48214 46209 35 256 33 258 27 261 27 270 25 276 46209 44374 35 257 32 258 28 271 24 285 24 282 44374 42681 32 258 30 257 32 270 26 294 23 287 42681 41106 28 265 26 254 29 264 25 291 19 298 41106 39634 26 269 17 254 20 263 18 289 17 309 39634 38254 24 267 13 262 10 250 10 289 15 313 38254 36930 21 266 10 258 4 216 3 305 12 309 36930 35594 19 264 10 255 0 304 1 330 10 313 35594 34214 19 263 11 254 1 269 2 266 9 310 34214 32790 19 263 13 253 3 245 3 270 9 297 32790 31310 20 264 15 255 6 253 4 290 11 297 31310 29765 19 263 16 257 8 264 5 300 11 304 29765 28158 20 259 17 259 11 271 9 294 10 315 28158 26488 19 259 16 265 12 275 12 290 10 317 26488 24757 18 263 15 271 13 280 13 295 10 304 24757 22968 17 271 14 277 13 283 15 302 12 294 22968 21111 17 278 14 282 14 285 16 300 13 291 21111 19182 15 276 14 279 15 283 16 294 15 292 19182 17218 12 274 13 274 14 282 15 288 13 289 17218 15327 8 282 9 280 10 285 10 282 8 271 15327 13609 6 303 6 299 6 287 6 267 5 234 13609 12080 3 328 4 340 2 300 2 247 2 178 12080 10716 2 337 5 006 1 010 2 060 0 099 10716 9497 2 302 5 009 2 026 5 052 2 030 9497 8406 3 268 5 007 3*047 7 034 6 036 8406 7433 4 260 4 007 4*049 7*020 6 051 7433 6571 4 252 3 017 3 032 6*349 4 063 6571 5805 3 238 1*062 2 294 5 322 4 047 5805 5117 3 224 1*166 5 261 5 297 4 019 5117 4505 3 216 2 203 6 257 6 279 3 355 4505 3992 3 223 4 223 7 256 6 273 3 300 3992 3597 2 251 5 229 7 255 6 269 4 242 3597 3325 1 284 5 232 7 254 6 267 5 219 3325 3160 1*328 5 232 7 254 6 266 4*212 3160 3065 2*011 5 232 6 253 6 266 2*214 3065 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography