DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 76.1 - - 75.8 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 459 - - 208 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2738 - - 4452 - - 4379 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4829 - - 6247 - - 5873 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5800 - - 7514 - - 7441 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1104 - - 1228 - - 1365 - - 1888 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 525 - - 402 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 220 - - 235 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3281 - - -3102 - - -3661 - - -5817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9082 - - 10617 - - 11103 - - 8895 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9552 - - -9090 - - -8992 - - -13198 ODpotential blCL - - - 15352 - - 16604 - - 16433 - - 16276 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 44 - - 39 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 76.1 - - 75.8 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 40.1 - - 37.7 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 73.4 - - 74.2 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 39.6 - - 37.3 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 459 - - 208 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2738 - - 4452 - - 4379 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98795 10 120 17 095 18 107 11 136 98795 91390 17 096 9 107 9 094 11 064 91390 85657 21 085 10 136 4 046 16 063 85657 80901 16 094 13 107 9 080 10 065 80901 76831 13 091 11 079 12 087 12 082 76831 73246 13 086 11 067 15 066 17 069 73246 69984 8 074 3 107 8 030 11 057 69984 66990 10 104 7 117 7 047 7 029 66990 64212 10 265 6 264 7 343 7 030 64212 61519 19 189 14 204 17 260 14 282 61519 58729 12 227 6 222 13 231 18 257 58729 55850 29 261 30 264 29 264 32 265 55850 53113 46 261 41 261 35 256 35 254 53113 50656 56 255 48 265 38 263 34 265 50656 48458 60 257 56 259 40 267 35 273 48458 46460 73 251 57 253 47 269 38 273 46460 44623 80 245 54 252 50 262 40 267 44623 42919 80 241 55 249 49 254 40 259 42919 41325 78 240 57 246 39 257 39 254 41325 39827 79 238 59 242 39 264 38 251 39827 38417 82 235 61 238 43 268 38 250 38417 37058 83 233 62 235 47 269 37 248 37058 35683 83 234 63 234 49 267 34 251 35683 34264 82 235 64 235 47 267 32 263 34264 32807 80 236 66 237 40 268 32 272 32807 31300 77 235 67 237 32 270 30 277 31300 29730 73 232 66 236 23 284 27 280 29730 28100 67 231 63 236 20 302 25 284 28100 26410 61 231 57 238 19 304 21 290 26410 24662 53 235 50 242 20 294 18 297 24662 22860 47 240 44 245 21 279 15 307 22860 20997 43 243 36 245 23 263 12 321 20997 19068 40 243 34 243 26 249 10 317 19068 17113 37 240 37 242 30 245 14 275 17113 15237 35 239 37 244 31 246 20 255 15237 13533 33 239 33 246 28 250 22 250 13533 12015 30 239 28 249 25 250 21 248 12015 10661 28 241 24 250 20 249 19 243 10661 9452 26 241 18 247 11 240 14 219 9452 8373 23 239 10*226 4*216 10 172 8373 7412 19 234 8*212 4*225 9 132 7412 6558 14*222 8 212 4 230 6 116 6558 5800 9*197 8 214 5 234 2 156 5800 5117 8 185 8 219 6 235 5 241 5117 4510 8 184 9 223 7 237 9 243 4510 4001 8 185 9 226 7 237 11 240 4001 3608 8 187 9 228 7 237 11 237 3608 3337 8 187 9 229 7 237 10 235 3337 3172 7 188 9 230 7 237 8*232 3172 3078 6 188 8 230 6 236 4*234 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography