DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 80.6 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 259 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1304 - - 2952 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3496 - - 4896 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4366 - - 6014 - - - - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1953 - - 3482 - - - - - 264 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 379 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 132 - - - - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -19 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9809 - - -8522 - - - - - -8147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14175 - - 14536 - - - - - 11225 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16496 - - -14154 - - - - - -15838 ODpotential blCL - - - 20862 - - 20168 - - - - - 18916 blCL maxRH - - - 21 - - 25 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 80.6 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 27.5 - - - - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 78.8 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 26.5 - - - - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 259 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1304 - - 2952 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97623 20 270 21 273 17 289 97623 90359 8 293 9 241 16 295 90359 84767 6 273 7 285 9 289 84767 80125 5 280 5 292 1 305 80125 76126 7 155 5 206 5 144 76126 72584 14 130 10 203 2 344 72584 69383 6 129 8 182 8 275 69383 66455 10 181 8 252 7 210 66455 63743 4 103 9 165 6 238 63743 61149 16 317 6 098 9 238 61149 58468 19 287 20 312 7 270 58468 55681 7 228 17 309 16 305 55681 53024 4 057 11 351 19 322 53024 50622 22 353 18 347 23 329 50622 48453 31 356 21 356 25 339 48453 46468 37 006 25 008 28 352 46468 44632 43 012 32 015 33 003 44632 42926 48 014 38 019 35 011 42926 41329 52 016 42 022 34 024 41329 39832 52 023 45 030 38 042 39832 38429 50 030 47 034 42 043 38429 37078 48 028 48 028 41 044 37078 35711 54 065 47 054 43 065 35711 34302 66 080 57 072 49 076 34302 32858 65 082 61 080 53 081 32858 31364 62 081 61 081 53 082 31364 29809 60 079 60 081 53 083 29809 28192 59 077 58 081 50 087 28192 26516 57 076 56 085 39 088 26516 24785 56 077 51 091 28 094 24785 22997 51 082 43 097 24 106 22997 21144 37 086 34 100 20 113 21144 19218 24 092 29 097 18 111 19218 17258 21 103 27 095 19 105 17258 15372 24 111 25 102 19 108 15372 13656 29 118 27 120 21 117 13656 12126 36 123 31 130 24 123 12126 10762 36 127 34 131 25 127 10762 9541 24 130 32 128 26 135 9541 8450 10 130 23 125 25 144 8450 7476 5 153 16 124 24 152 7476 6611 8 173 14*127 23 159 6611 5841 12 178 13*130 21 163 5841 5148 12 189 13 131 17 162 5148 4531 12*189 13 132 11 151 4531 4014 10*187 12 132 7 117 4014 3615 8 186 12 133 8 077 3615 3341 8 185 11 133 9 062 3341 3173 7 186 11 133 8*056 3173 3078 6 184 9 133 6*049 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography