DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Hernandez 3050ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.6 - - 86.1 - - 92.1 - - 91.9 - - 84.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 375 - - 501 - - 311 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2982 - - 5377 - - 4817 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3049 - - 5024 - - 6996 - - 6371 - - 3050 Hcrit BL Top 3066 - - 6032 - - 8427 - - 7867 - - 3066 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 913 - - 1711 - - 2446 - - 3218 - - 3824 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 428 - - 573 - - 472 - - 4 W* B/S 3 - - 28 - - 26 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 202 - - 248 - - 260 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 19 - - 28 - - 23 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6378 - - -4440 - - -3791 - - -3769 - - -7260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9445 - - 10473 - - 12219 - - 11637 - - 10326 sfcLCL ODpotential -13816 - - -9448 - - -8668 - - -8797 - - -13995 ODpotential blCL 16882 - - 15480 - - 17095 - - 16664 - - 17061 blCL maxRH 42 - - 52 - - 51 - - 53 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.6 - - 86.1 - - 92.1 - - 91.9 - - 84.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 50.9 - - 48.9 - - 51.3 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.6 - - 84.8 - - 89.6 - - 89.8 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 50.8 - - 48.8 - - 51.2 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 375 - - 501 - - 311 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2982 - - 5377 - - 4817 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98875 45 100 36 104 39 102 34 110 34 105 98875 91449 33 091 31 102 31 104 30 100 32 107 91449 85724 27 086 28 101 28 107 27 104 29 100 85724 80968 25 084 25 105 24 106 25 105 27 098 80968 76876 22 088 24 105 21 104 21 103 24 097 76876 73264 19 093 21 105 21 107 19 098 21 092 73264 69999 16 102 19 100 21 113 16 094 17 088 69999 67004 14 103 16 100 19 111 15 109 15 084 67004 64241 15 099 16 103 15 114 15 115 12 086 64241 61582 15 096 13 095 12 104 12 115 13 107 61582 58833 8 097 7 097 8 092 9 097 12 111 58833 56010 11 160 5 204 1 223 2 007 7 100 56010 53342 16 158 13 202 12 223 10 249 3 243 53342 50951 7 187 20 193 21 215 19 228 10 232 50951 48813 13 276 14 229 22 213 24 220 18 228 48813 46873 22 261 18 246 22 236 23 224 23 230 46873 45089 26 241 18 255 24 246 24 240 25 233 45089 43426 24 227 21 262 24 245 26 244 26 239 43426 41864 22 223 21 257 25 242 27 240 27 245 41864 40386 22 224 22 246 26 240 27 242 29 247 40386 38989 22 228 22 236 25 241 26 249 28 250 38989 37638 22 244 23 239 26 249 26 256 25 259 37638 36272 24 259 24 251 27 253 28 261 27 269 36272 34861 26 268 24 255 27 255 29 264 28 274 34861 33408 28 276 23 259 27 259 30 270 27 279 33408 31899 29 282 23 263 27 265 29 276 26 284 31899 30322 27 287 22 266 23 265 25 282 24 285 30322 28680 21 281 22 267 20 265 21 277 20 274 28680 26971 18 266 20 256 20 263 19 264 19 258 26971 25197 18 254 20 248 22 261 21 263 22 261 25197 23364 20 256 20 254 21 270 20 276 20 275 23364 21469 18 266 15 268 15 287 13 302 13 296 21469 19504 11 266 11 276 9 311 10 344 11 325 19504 17504 10 221 10 257 6 310 7 005 7 346 17504 15577 16 187 11 234 4 278 3 022 1 026 15577 13825 16 178 12 210 6 215 3 173 3 166 13825 12269 11 175 12 189 9 194 7 178 4 177 12269 10884 5 180 10 183 9 185 7 174 4 199 10884 9646 3 215 6 196 5 179 4 119 6 203 9646 8536 4 257 3 235 3*122 4*082 5 196 8536 7546 5 259 3 259 3*100 2*022 3 198 7546 6666 6 258 2*234 1 100 4 289 2 230 6666 5883 6 259 2*154 3 251 7 273 2 278 5883 5177 4 260 2 153 6 252 9 262 2 316 5177 4549 3 239 3 185 7 251 10 252 3 344 4549 4022 3 227 4 216 7 252 10 249 5 351 4022 3616 2 276 4 221 7 251 11 248 5 347 3616 3335 2 297 5 225 8 250 11 247 5 341 3335 3164 2*309 5 226 7 252 10 246 5 340 3164 3066 2*308 4 225 7 251 9 246 4*337 3066 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography