DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0737z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 64.6 - - 68.2 - - 66.5 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 113 - - 241 - - 122 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1391 - - 2384 - - 1490 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3482 - - 4479 - - 3550 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4452 - - 5446 - - 4552 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 954 - - 1646 - - 2351 - - 2289 - - 966 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 238 - - 354 - - 242 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 037 - - 235 - - 238 - - 269 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2491 - - -1523 - - -1112 - - -1120 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5569 - - 5975 - - 6558 - - 5672 - - 3078 sfcLCL ODpotential -8377 - - -5396 - - -4305 - - -4240 - - -2817 ODpotential blCL 11455 - - 9848 - - 9751 - - 8792 - - 5895 blCL maxRH 73 - - 85 - - 68 - - 67 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 240 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 64.6 - - 68.2 - - 66.5 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 49.0 - - 50.0 - - 52.1 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 63.8 - - 66.6 - - 65.5 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.9 - - 47.7 - - 48.7 - - 51.1 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 113 - - 241 - - 122 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1391 - - 2384 - - 1490 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97717 7 292 1 325 7 215 5 208 11 282 97717 90310 8 193 2 072 3 005 4 059 7 084 90310 84604 5 098 4 133 3 085 7 064 10 054 84604 79909 5 019 6 104 3 138 5 357 11 044 79909 75884 7 046 3 094 1 229 5 310 12 028 75884 72336 9 335 3 014 2 335 3 254 7 006 72336 69137 10 310 8 321 9 301 6 304 9 008 69137 66192 13 314 14 314 15 304 13 302 15 322 66192 63460 17 296 18 304 19 299 15 304 15 304 63460 60808 23 296 20 296 25 292 24 297 21 301 60808 58022 29 286 24 292 28 285 27 278 28 269 58022 55109 34 279 29 281 29 278 28 279 31 271 55109 52298 39 270 33 269 34 270 42 273 40 271 52298 49753 43 266 41 261 41 256 46 262 44 267 49753 47472 44 260 45 254 43 255 45 264 46 264 47472 45411 40 258 47 250 44 262 47 264 46 260 45411 43541 41 262 47 248 48 256 46 256 44 252 43541 41843 40 265 42 245 43 250 44 253 43 248 41843 40282 42 261 33 247 35 253 45 255 43 246 40282 38831 46 256 33 253 36 254 44 255 43 244 38831 37473 47 253 39 254 39 252 41 257 41 246 37473 36172 43 252 42 252 41 251 41 259 40 249 36172 34862 37 254 33 251 39 251 40 259 37 250 34862 33514 32 252 29 246 32 246 35 260 31 252 33514 32129 35 250 30 250 34 253 32 261 30 255 32129 30691 31 251 28 256 36 258 35 266 30 253 30691 29188 20 257 24 252 33 260 36 267 26 253 29188 27619 20 264 25 256 30 256 32 268 25 258 27619 25987 20 273 29 268 26 252 28 271 23 265 25987 24296 21 274 29 271 26 264 25 274 21 272 24296 22547 21 270 26 271 27 271 25 275 21 277 22547 20736 21 276 23 272 25 270 24 272 23 279 20736 18854 21 278 21 276 22 272 22 273 22 279 18854 16940 21 270 18 283 18 282 16 282 15 281 16940 15100 20 267 16 284 14 294 10 297 6 302 15100 13426 16 273 14 281 11 303 8 317 7 349 13426 11931 12 292 11 279 10 302 8 316 8 338 11931 10596 12 308 10 282 8 299 7 303 9 306 10596 9402 12 316 8 287 6 294 5 295 10 278 9402 8334 12 319 6 289 3 284 3 033 6 236 8334 7382 11 318 5 282 1 267 7 041 3 170 7382 6536 10 314 3 268 2 240 7 033 3 072 6536 5783 9 309 2 241 2*236 5 010 4 037 5783 5105 7 300 3 222 4*237 5*340 4 012 5105 4501 6 280 4*225 6 238 6*288 3 335 4501 3994 5 252 5*232 6 238 6 271 3 295 3994 3604 5 236 5 234 7 238 7 265 4 250 3604 3335 4 230 5 235 7 238 7 263 4 240 3335 3171 2*221 5 236 7 237 7 262 4*243 3171 3078 1*037 5 237 6 237 6 262 2*247 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography