DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 42.2 - - 44.0 - - 45.2 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 39 - - 32 - - 14 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 311 - - 244 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 3370 - - 3305 - - 3076 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2062 - - 1154 - - 1098 - - 1285 - - 1668 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 98 - - 83 - - 26 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 19 - - 13 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 183 - - 228 - - 235 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 14 - - 18 - - 8 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5 - - 294 - - 229 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3081 - - 3076 - - 3077 - - 3076 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -1546 - - 13 - - 189 - - -7 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 4622 - - 3357 - - 3116 - - 3083 - - 3077 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 30 - - 40 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 42.2 - - 44.0 - - 45.2 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 41.4 - - 44.0 - - 45.2 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 42.0 - - 44.3 - - 45.2 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.8 - - 41.0 - - 44.0 - - 45.2 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 39 - - 32 - - 14 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 311 - - 244 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 102 - - 103 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96633 15 292 8 299 12 269 19 287 20 313 96633 89297 9 347 2 017 6 249 11 325 15 328 89297 83674 5 356 8 088 2 136 3 335 14 352 83674 79053 6 028 9 041 11 073 6 076 8 012 79053 75084 6 347 7 014 12 021 8 059 5 022 75084 71562 7 317 11 328 17 333 16 339 11 007 71562 68372 9 311 10 298 14 280 23 296 16 327 68372 65448 12 319 17 306 15 283 22 289 17 298 65448 62741 21 316 20 297 20 296 27 306 24 301 62741 60109 37 311 32 294 39 296 38 304 32 298 60109 57336 43 300 42 293 51 292 49 296 37 294 57336 54427 45 297 47 296 51 297 52 298 44 292 54427 51629 50 298 49 306 59 306 60 301 50 296 51629 49116 60 305 64 306 69 303 71 299 65 296 49116 46883 67 301 65 299 70 301 71 299 70 296 46883 44869 75 300 75 305 87 305 90 306 89 302 44869 43035 99 302 100 303 112 301 119 300 114 296 43035 41356 98 294 96 289 106 287 115 288 112 286 41356 39805 80 291 83 281 83 288 91 290 99 285 39805 38366 85 304 78 299 102 313 95 307 99 297 38366 37022 103 310 95 307 116 310 122 316 108 302 37022 35729 111 307 112 307 116 306 122 312 123 302 35729 34425 108 305 114 305 114 302 107 305 126 302 34425 33074 104 301 108 303 114 298 103 298 127 303 33074 31683 105 298 106 297 116 297 103 293 124 303 31683 30238 106 297 109 295 116 297 104 292 116 299 30238 28727 105 296 113 296 116 301 104 295 114 296 28727 27152 105 299 115 297 104 302 101 298 107 296 27152 25518 100 302 103 299 96 299 101 303 94 294 25518 23831 75 300 79 294 89 300 97 302 90 292 23831 22093 57 286 67 290 72 298 84 302 79 296 22093 20305 56 279 62 285 63 288 69 300 63 303 20305 18455 48 277 59 284 59 285 60 294 54 303 18455 16574 38 275 46 286 49 291 53 292 51 295 16574 14761 36 275 34 282 37 295 44 295 46 292 14761 13114 34 266 27 269 27 291 35 293 37 293 13114 11652 33 253 26 254 25 279 28 285 28 292 11652 10351 34 243 29 244 29 267 26 275 24 288 10351 9190 38 241 32 242 33 259 27 268 21 283 9190 8155 40 230 35 241 34 254 27 263 20 278 8155 7235 41 209 36 239 35 251 27 261 20 272 7235 6419 44 193 35 227 35 247 27 261 19 268 6419 5692 47 184 37 208 36 240 26 261 18 266 5692 5036 46 179 38 195 35 232 25 259 17 266 5036 4453 44 177 36 188 32 227 23 249 17 264 4453 3964 39 176 31 184 29 226 22 239 16 258 3964 3586 33 174 27*183 24 226 21 236 14 253 3586 3326 27 171 24*183 20*227 18 235 12 250 3326 3167 23 170 21 183 18*228 16 235 11*249 3167 3077 13*169 12 183 11 228 10*235 7*249 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography