DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.0 - - 89.7 - - 92.4 - - 90.1 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 372 - - 500 - - 291 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4003 - - 6558 - - 5445 - - 280 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 5824 - - 7965 - - 6854 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 7065 - - 9621 - - 8509 - - 3342 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 617 - - 3454 - - 4035 - - 3151 - - 782 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 473 - - 615 - - 484 - - 25 W* B/S 2 - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 13 - - 15 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 004 - - 213 - - 227 - - 247 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 16 - - 13 - - -18 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -11224 - - -8063 - - -5030 - - -5618 - - -8747 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14304 - - 15128 - - 14651 - - 14127 - - 12089 sfcLCL ODpotential -18449 - - -12524 - - -6972 - - -9885 - - -15657 ODpotential blCL 21528 - - 19589 - - 16593 - - 18394 - - 18999 blCL maxRH 38 - - 39 - - 38 - - 27 - - 21 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 81.0 - - 89.7 - - 92.4 - - 90.1 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 33.6 - - 38.2 - - 38.4 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.9 - - 87.2 - - 89.4 - - 88.1 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 32.9 - - 37.5 - - 38.0 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 372 - - 500 - - 291 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4003 - - 6558 - - 5445 - - 280 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99043 44 111 35 120 30 095 39 099 44 087 99043 91677 41 104 38 106 36 112 37 099 33 106 91677 85976 36 099 34 104 35 099 34 110 29 114 85976 81219 28 103 28 100 29 098 30 095 26 108 81219 77116 25 106 24 099 25 104 22 095 27 091 77116 73484 26 107 20 109 16 110 19 092 16 084 73484 70203 18 092 16 110 14 128 8 112 15 071 70203 67203 8 065 14 095 9 097 10 143 4 026 67203 64446 1 109 7 052 7 088 7 111 8 120 64446 61781 2 048 3 104 4 168 2 255 2 045 61781 59013 2 213 5 299 4 215 3 246 6 321 59013 56159 10 142 9 206 13 225 10 238 9 255 56159 53446 8 332 0 297 9 218 10 246 8 230 53446 51005 13 283 9 271 13 246 15 253 14 241 51005 48820 13 268 12 249 15 242 21 254 26 252 48820 46830 17 265 17 261 16 251 24 251 32 251 46830 44984 30 269 23 275 20 262 30 253 37 255 44984 43255 43 266 35 266 31 257 38 249 47 252 43255 41632 50 258 47 255 45 255 46 250 52 252 41632 40109 56 255 55 249 57 249 54 261 54 259 40109 38682 62 253 59 248 59 249 61 260 59 260 38682 37316 65 251 63 250 66 256 63 253 62 256 37316 35939 68 249 66 251 70 253 68 249 70 253 35939 34523 68 249 68 250 69 247 69 248 75 250 34523 33067 64 251 67 250 69 248 70 251 74 250 33067 31558 60 252 65 253 72 255 72 256 71 253 31558 29984 56 252 59 255 65 259 69 260 65 261 29984 28348 49 249 53 250 53 251 56 257 55 260 28348 26650 44 243 48 245 52 243 51 249 49 251 26650 24893 44 239 47 241 53 243 51 243 52 246 24893 23078 42 240 46 240 52 242 50 244 52 248 23078 21204 35 240 39 236 46 237 45 244 43 251 21204 19269 23 225 29 228 36 228 38 246 35 254 19269 17308 17 215 24 220 31 222 33 242 31 252 17308 15422 15 221 23 219 28 221 30 233 28 243 15422 13704 15 228 21 221 26 221 28 227 27 234 13704 12170 15 231 20 221 23 220 26 225 27 231 12170 10798 16 230 18 219 19 217 23 224 27 232 10798 9571 14 227 15 215 15*216 18 226 25 233 9571 8473 10 219 12 209 13*220 15*234 23 234 8473 7493 7 208 11*207 13 223 14*240 21 236 7493 6624 7 198 8*206 13 225 14 242 18 240 6624 5851 6 185 6 206 13 227 15 245 16 246 5851 5155 5 174 5 208 13 228 15 248 15 255 5155 4536 2 166 6 214 13 229 15 250 14 268 4536 4017 1 008 6 218 13 230 15 252 14 289 4017 3617 3 359 6 221 13 231 15 252 14*301 3617 3342 4 002 6 223 12 232 15 252 13*304 3342 3174 4*356 6 224 12 231 14 253 11 303 3174 3078 2*004 6 224 10 232 11 252 7 303 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography