DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.3 - - 67.2 - - 62.8 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 123 - - 205 - - 9 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 640 - - 1588 - - 526 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3827 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3701 - - 4649 - - 3587 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 84 - - 943 - - 1328 - - 1120 - - 305 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 178 - - 286 - - 74 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 039 - - 029 - - 036 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -8 - - -5 - - -9 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4852 - - -6173 - - -6704 - - -6922 - - -4963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7929 - - 9874 - - 11353 - - 10510 - - 8040 sfcLCL ODpotential -16567 - - -15588 - - -15907 - - -15877 - - -15612 ODpotential blCL 19644 - - 19289 - - 20556 - - 19464 - - 18689 blCL maxRH 39 - - 66 - - 91 - - 70 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.3 - - 67.2 - - 62.8 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 31.3 - - 28.5 - - 28.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 62.3 - - 65.7 - - 62.8 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.4 - - 30.6 - - 27.5 - - 27.3 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 123 - - 205 - - 9 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 640 - - 1588 - - 526 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96376 43 281 40 295 48 277 45 279 48 280 96376 89334 24 292 30 292 27 281 32 290 30 292 89334 83899 19 298 27 285 24 295 19 304 25 291 83899 79383 12 295 20 273 29 294 13 295 22 282 79383 75485 12 313 13 255 25 288 16 282 17 278 75485 72023 15 318 6 232 19 274 22 288 13 287 72023 68871 16 326 6 318 10 250 19 287 14 311 68871 65970 18 321 11 332 7 257 13 280 18 310 65970 63286 16 316 18 340 6 316 9 289 15 300 63286 60688 18 321 20 336 12 348 4 343 8 339 60688 57993 14 318 16 341 17 346 20 342 17 338 57993 55221 21 346 18 349 19 347 22 336 24 334 55221 52580 32 359 22 007 14 002 24 332 28 333 52580 50197 38 002 29 022 24 007 27 343 25 331 50197 48054 40 007 40 007 34 358 29 349 17 327 48054 46090 48 014 51 005 39 007 29 007 17 341 46090 44270 60 015 57 010 44 011 36 001 31 351 44270 42580 69 022 58 015 48 007 45 354 44 352 42580 41004 77 023 59 016 48 005 48 353 50 350 41004 39530 76 022 59 014 47 005 46 355 48 350 39530 38147 68 019 57 012 45 002 41 358 43 353 38147 36819 61 011 54 011 45 000 39 357 40 358 36819 35477 58 008 52 009 44 001 36 355 40 000 35477 34091 55 011 49 006 41 000 32 354 38 000 34091 32665 53 019 44 003 37 357 28 350 31 357 32665 31186 53 023 41 003 34 348 28 346 24 350 31186 29647 53 026 39 009 31 347 30 344 24 348 29647 28045 51 027 37 012 29 351 29 343 29 341 28045 26383 50 025 33 020 26 355 26 342 28 338 26383 24661 45 032 29 027 22 002 23 341 23 341 24661 22877 41 040 26 020 19 006 20 343 21 344 22877 21025 35 026 28 007 20 003 18 348 24 356 21025 19101 36 011 33 007 26 003 23 356 27 006 19101 17143 34 009 30 012 28 013 27 010 26 018 17143 15257 30 012 26 017 25 019 26 024 25 028 15257 13542 27 016 22 019 21 021 22 032 21 034 13542 12015 23 016 19 021 19 023 18 034 17 034 12015 10654 21 013 17 023 17 024 16 032 13 032 10654 9441 18 012 15 025 15 025 15 029 11 031 9441 8357 17 014 13 024 14 021 14 024 11 033 8357 7391 17 016 12 022 14 017 13 020 11 037 7391 6537 17 016 12 020 13 015 13 019 11 041 6537 5778 17 017 11 021 12 016 13 019 11 043 5778 5097 17 017 12 024 11*020 13 020 12 040 5097 4492 17 020 11 030 9*024 12 022 14 033 4492 3987 17 023 10*035 8 029 9 029 15 028 3987 3599 16 025 9*038 8 030 8*034 15 026 3599 3332 15 027 7 040 7 031 7*035 12 028 3332 3170 12*028 6 040 6 031 6 036 10*031 3170 3077 7*028 5 042 6 031 5 037 5*033 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography