DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 93.8 - - 91.4 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 377 - - 167 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2961 - - 7056 - - 5039 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4920 - - 8244 - - 6260 - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6024 - - 10119 - - 8103 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3652 - - 2538 - - 3789 - - 730 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 574 - - 393 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 317 - - 319 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 27 - - 10 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6530 - - -2796 - - -4250 - - -7194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12554 - - 12916 - - 12354 - - 10274 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9403 - - -4588 - - -6618 - - -12195 ODpotential blCL - - - 15427 - - 14707 - - 14721 - - 15274 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 87 - - 82 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 93.8 - - 91.4 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 47.6 - - 47.7 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.0 - - 91.3 - - 90.0 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 47.0 - - 47.2 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 377 - - 167 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2961 - - 7056 - - 5039 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 49 - - 28 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98837 7 126 13 110 9 101 3 118 98837 91387 11 135 7 078 11 095 12 091 91387 85640 10 153 1 123 6 073 10 081 85640 80864 7 134 3 197 2 356 8 061 80864 76748 6 085 2 130 2 052 6 029 76748 73131 7 055 4 103 4 027 7 044 73131 69875 7 055 8 082 5 037 7 038 69875 66891 7 085 5 088 3 048 9 357 66891 64139 5 099 1 158 3 339 11 351 64139 61499 6 091 3 210 5 273 7 331 61499 58778 2 198 6 261 10 281 12 285 58778 55985 6 269 9 247 16 259 22 264 55985 53337 15 260 18 241 25 255 29 263 53337 50960 18 256 20 242 26 253 26 257 50960 48823 18 249 23 252 25 263 24 271 48823 46864 21 249 28 253 30 265 30 272 46864 45048 24 252 33 251 35 260 38 260 45048 43361 27 252 32 254 35 258 40 257 43361 41784 27 255 30 255 32 260 36 263 41784 40299 25 258 28 260 31 265 37 272 40299 38895 24 258 25 268 31 266 36 266 38895 37539 23 258 25 275 31 266 36 264 37539 36167 23 266 24 277 31 265 36 265 36167 34747 22 269 23 272 31 261 36 264 34747 33285 22 272 23 270 30 260 37 262 33285 31765 23 266 24 269 30 262 36 263 31765 30179 25 261 27 261 30 268 36 265 30179 28531 27 259 29 263 30 275 32 275 28531 26826 25 258 26 268 24 281 23 284 26826 25067 22 256 20 272 18 291 16 283 25067 23250 20 249 17 271 15 293 15 288 23250 21367 17 234 16 252 15 273 13 275 21367 19419 15 217 16 233 17 253 15 258 19419 17445 13 211 15 225 17 248 15 254 17445 15545 10 217 12 229 15 253 13 255 15545 13812 9 242 12 246 13 260 12 260 13812 12265 9 263 10 261 9 260 10 267 12265 10883 9 277 7*279 3 249 8 263 10883 9647 7 291 5*308 1 284 7 244 9647 8539 6 303 5 317 2*325 6 241 8539 7551 6 320 5 321 4*330 7 257 7551 6672 6*332 6 320 7 325 7 281 6672 5889 6*334 7 318 8 323 9 301 5889 5183 6 333 7 318 10 319 10 319 5183 4555 6 333 7 316 11 318 13 333 4555 4029 6 331 8 315 12 317 17 337 4029 3624 6 329 8 314 12 316 18 337 3624 3345 6 327 7 313 11 315 15 337 3345 3176 5 327 7 313 11 314 12*338 3176 3079 5 325 6 311 9 313 6*340 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography