DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 70.5 - - 70.1 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 414 - - 198 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1205 - - 2836 - - 2801 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3692 - - 4954 - - 4678 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4266 - - 5897 - - 5863 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 696 - - 1236 - - 1667 - - 1314 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 436 - - 340 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 244 - - 253 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2083 - - -2134 - - -1316 - - -1267 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6350 - - 8031 - - 7180 - - 4345 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8431 - - -8273 - - -6020 - - -6611 ODpotential blCL - - - 12697 - - 14170 - - 11883 - - 9689 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 84 - - 71 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 70.5 - - 70.1 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 45.8 - - 49.1 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 67.9 - - 68.6 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 45.5 - - 49.0 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 414 - - 198 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1205 - - 2836 - - 2801 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 35 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98864 20 126 15 117 19 131 6 122 98864 91502 13 112 16 124 18 120 15 117 91502 85791 14 132 15 121 16 108 19 117 85791 81033 17 144 8 131 12 090 17 118 81033 76920 12 138 10 157 8 136 12 110 76920 73286 8 142 13 155 7 140 9 116 73286 70012 9 191 12 172 3 159 7 083 70012 67001 10 186 13 200 6 200 3 109 67001 64204 8 175 13 201 11 222 7 235 64204 61512 6 192 8 209 10 222 7 244 61512 58708 12 215 14 220 13 227 12 241 58708 55779 16 228 22 226 21 238 20 245 55779 52985 23 246 31 237 36 244 35 247 52985 50482 35 256 39 245 44 243 45 244 50482 48242 46 257 46 250 52 246 51 245 48242 46205 56 257 57 252 60 247 58 247 46205 44332 64 255 65 251 67 246 65 246 44332 42597 71 251 73 251 71 244 65 245 42597 40979 74 250 77 248 73 243 65 245 40979 39463 75 250 78 243 74 243 66 245 39463 38045 77 248 78 241 78 242 68 243 38045 36690 78 245 79 239 79 236 69 242 36690 35334 77 242 79 237 78 235 69 240 35334 33948 76 241 78 235 79 236 71 237 33948 32530 73 241 76 236 78 237 71 237 32530 31062 69 240 72 237 73 239 68 237 31062 29531 63 242 66 237 67 240 62 238 29531 27939 59 246 59 237 60 237 58 238 27939 26284 54 247 56 237 58 236 55 241 26284 24566 48 247 50 238 55 235 51 245 24566 22791 41 246 43 243 44 236 46 249 22791 20950 35 246 37 246 34 243 40 250 20950 19037 31 248 32 250 28 254 34 249 19037 17090 26 248 28 251 24 258 28 246 17090 15213 22 247 25 250 24 255 25 243 15213 13503 18 248 23 246 22 250 23 241 13503 11983 15 250 19 243 19 246 21 237 11983 10632 12 251 16 243 15 241 18 231 10632 9426 10 249 12 243 11 230 16 225 9426 8351 8 238 8 239 3 187 14 202 8351 7392 8 222 4 225 1 054 11 163 7392 6542 8 209 3*238 3*317 9 129 6542 5785 8 213 5*244 4*288 6 112 5785 5103 8 227 6 245 7 260 2 168 5103 4498 9*238 7 244 9 252 6 253 4498 3993 9*242 7 244 9 248 9 262 3993 3603 9 244 8 244 10 246 9 261 3603 3335 9 243 8 243 10 246 9 259 3335 3171 8 244 8 243 9 245 8*259 3171 3078 7 243 7 242 8 245 5*258 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography