DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Hernandez 3140ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0957z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 61.8 - - 69.6 - - 70.5 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 85 - - 417 - - 504 - - 236 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 465 - - 3406 - - 6165 - - 6625 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3140 - - 5475 - - 7728 - - 7741 - - 3140 Hcrit BL Top 3604 - - 6546 - - 9306 - - 9766 - - 3157 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1067 - - 1099 - - 1439 - - 1631 - - 2300 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 465 - - 604 - - 481 - - 11 W* B/S 5 - - 19 - - 20 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 344 - - 019 - - 357 - - 000 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 18 - - 41 - - 63 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1563 - - -380 - - -176 - - 476 - - -2653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5167 - - 6927 - - 9483 - - 9290 - - 5810 sfcLCL ODpotential -6386 - - -3381 - - -1866 - - -91 - - -5498 ODpotential blCL 9990 - - 9927 - - 11172 - - 9857 - - 8655 blCL maxRH 86 - - 82 - - 82 - - 93 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 61.8 - - 69.6 - - 70.5 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 42.2 - - 38.7 - - 40.4 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 60.9 - - 67.8 - - 69.0 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 42.1 - - 38.6 - - 40.4 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 85 - - 417 - - 504 - - 236 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 465 - - 3406 - - 6165 - - 6625 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 27 - - 26 - - 71 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98441 13 300 13 334 9 269 10 288 15 309 98441 91575 11 283 13 315 11 283 14 303 12 303 91575 86173 7 265 11 288 11 285 13 310 7 293 86173 81621 5 254 8 268 9 282 10 316 3 272 81621 77665 2 243 7 250 6 277 8 330 1 245 77665 74153 1 175 7 237 4 286 6 351 1 091 74153 70964 1 133 6 226 3 295 5 358 2 062 70964 68024 1 327 5 213 3 278 5 346 3 014 68024 65294 3 330 3 204 4 259 4 321 2 343 65294 62642 5 330 2 238 4 254 4 298 2 306 62642 59867 7 323 3 317 3 276 5 289 3 306 59867 56979 9 323 7 324 5 313 7 309 5 323 56979 54217 11 328 9 324 9 312 12 319 10 336 54217 51736 14 331 12 331 12 318 17 324 15 338 51736 49519 19 333 17 335 15 326 20 323 19 339 49519 47515 24 333 22 337 20 332 22 330 25 341 47515 45684 28 335 26 339 25 337 27 343 31 347 45684 44001 31 337 31 342 30 345 34 349 37 352 44001 42440 33 340 34 344 35 352 38 349 41 353 42440 40981 33 342 36 346 40 354 40 350 42 353 40981 39609 33 343 38 347 42 352 40 353 42 354 39609 38286 32 343 39 347 41 349 39 356 40 355 38286 36945 28 341 38 348 39 347 36 357 37 357 36945 35560 23 341 36 348 35 346 34 358 35 359 35560 34133 20 343 31 346 27 349 30 000 33 001 34133 32645 17 342 21 346 20 005 27 005 29 003 32645 31083 12 344 14 354 19 014 24 014 26 008 31083 29446 8 357 10 006 17 017 23 022 25 017 29446 27728 9 001 11 018 16 027 23 027 26 023 27728 25929 13 001 13 033 15 029 23 030 28 023 25929 24051 18 003 13 038 14 018 22 034 30 022 24051 22088 20 005 14 036 14 013 21 034 30 025 22088 20036 20 007 14 034 14 019 19 033 29 028 20036 17941 15 014 14 035 15 020 21 030 23 034 17941 15920 13 020 13 037 16 023 21 025 18 042 15920 14084 10 038 12 042 15 029 22 024 15 044 14084 12453 9 062 10 048 15 036 18 026 13 040 12453 11007 9 069 9 055 13 038 11*034 12 033 11007 9722 8 065 9 057 10*032 8*032 10 023 9722 8583 8 058 10 054 7*019 8 024 9 019 8583 7575 7 051 11 046 6 011 8 011 7 020 7575 6688 5 047 9*039 6 001 8 002 7 022 6688 5906 3 054 6*029 6 355 8 354 9 020 5906 5207 2 052 5 024 6 351 9 348 10 016 5207 4591 3 021 4 018 5 347 9 344 12 002 4591 4078 5 006 4 016 5 343 9 342 13 349 4078 3685 6*351 4 012 5 342 9 340 13 342 3685 3415 6*346 4 010 5 340 9 339 12 339 3415 3251 5 344 3 010 5 339 8 337 11*337 3251 3157 5 343 3 007 5 338 7 337 8*336 3157 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography