DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 18 - - 2 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 1068 - - 437 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3247 - - 4128 - - 3497 - - 3254 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2340 - - 2769 - - 2899 - - 2660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 70 - - 119 - - 54 - - 36 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 20 - - 17 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 201 - - 187 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 20 - - 17 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 170 - - 1052 - - 421 - - 177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3076 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 101 - - 323 - - -48 - - -117 ODpotential blCL - - - 3146 - - 3805 - - 3545 - - 3371 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 160 - - 150 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.8 - - 46.1 - - 45.1 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 48.1 - - 46.7 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 45.7 - - 44.9 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 18 - - 2 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 1068 - - 437 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96293 25 295 24 315 19 309 17 298 96293 89203 16 289 23 298 13 282 18 294 89203 83745 10 301 15 303 8 330 7 345 83745 79161 16 295 14 283 24 280 16 275 79161 75213 23 255 17 268 27 273 23 251 75213 71749 13 222 19 254 20 267 15 239 71749 68581 20 241 30 243 24 254 16 252 68581 65623 40 239 44 242 36 243 26 251 65623 62840 48 227 53 229 49 233 35 242 62840 60108 50 218 56 225 51 227 49 236 60108 57259 50 220 69 230 63 225 71 230 57259 54333 71 233 86 226 82 221 80 225 54333 51539 81 230 86 225 88 217 77 221 51539 49007 91 235 82 229 79 221 76 229 49007 46741 118 232 97 232 92 230 86 232 46741 44704 137 223 122 228 112 228 102 229 44704 42854 133 213 130 216 123 221 111 222 42854 41150 133 209 135 213 122 215 109 215 41150 39561 133 206 138 212 117 212 105 210 39561 38072 134 206 136 215 116 213 101 210 38072 36679 137 207 131 216 119 214 98 211 36679 35347 141 208 125 214 121 215 99 212 35347 34015 140 207 123 212 112 215 99 212 34015 32652 134 207 123 210 100 217 96 212 32652 31264 127 205 124 207 99 218 92 213 31264 29835 122 204 123 205 102 217 91 214 29835 28354 113 204 119 204 105 215 95 215 28354 26819 107 202 109 204 104 212 101 215 26819 25224 100 194 98 201 97 213 99 214 25224 23568 88 188 97 199 96 214 92 213 23568 21857 85 193 100 196 94 214 83 215 21857 20083 85 197 101 196 86 210 77 218 20083 18240 83 199 103 203 75 207 70 217 18240 16377 82 203 98 216 72 210 60 214 16377 14601 85 212 76 225 66 211 55 214 14601 12994 82 221 54 231 58 212 54 213 12994 11565 69 228 38 232 53 214 53 214 11565 10289 53 229 29 226 50 217 54 214 10289 9147 42 224 25 219 44 217 53 213 9147 8126 35 215 25 211 38 213 50 210 8126 7215 32 211 26 206 36 205 47 206 7215 6404 31 211 26 204 36 200 46 203 6404 5681 30 211 26 203 35 196 45 201 5681 5029 29 212 26 203 33 192 43 200 5029 4449 27 213 25*202 31 190 41 198 4449 3962 25 213 24*201 28 189 38 196 3962 3586 23 214 22 201 24*188 34 195 3586 3326 19*215 20 201 21*187 29*194 3326 3167 17*215 17 201 18 187 25*194 3167 3077 11 216 11 200 11 186 15 194 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography