DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 73.8 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 398 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1374 - - 3094 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3791 - - 5142 - - - - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4435 - - 6156 - - - - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 766 - - 1468 - - - - - 1018 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 443 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 23 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 297 - - - - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1416 - - -1561 - - - - - -1736 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5852 - - 7717 - - - - - 4813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4921 - - -4083 - - - - - -7401 ODpotential blCL - - - 9356 - - 10239 - - - - - 10478 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 72 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 750 - - - - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 73.8 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.8 - - 50.4 - - - - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 71.4 - - - - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 50.1 - - - - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 398 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1374 - - 3094 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98319 11 072 4 081 2 035 98319 90986 13 058 13 094 7 052 90986 85338 12 056 18 086 14 050 85338 80655 12 099 13 081 10 053 80655 76621 15 111 9 080 9 061 76621 73046 11 113 5 093 9 072 73046 69796 9 110 5 166 7 049 69796 66805 0 028 3 146 3 033 66805 64028 4 218 4 234 3 300 64028 61337 4 181 7 222 11 252 61337 58531 6 247 9 227 15 246 58531 55616 15 244 16 251 15 257 55616 52836 17 247 18 256 15 274 52836 50339 16 252 20 268 21 286 50339 48103 16 264 23 281 26 285 48103 46068 18 275 27 287 29 281 46068 44197 20 278 25 292 30 284 44197 42462 16 293 26 302 32 286 42462 40845 19 309 29 305 32 290 40845 39330 21 311 28 314 33 296 39330 37908 21 314 33 321 37 301 37908 36546 22 320 34 322 41 311 36546 35177 21 333 33 328 46 314 35177 33774 22 346 37 338 45 317 33774 32339 21 347 37 342 43 323 32339 30862 14 340 29 345 41 324 30862 29336 6 329 22 348 31 328 29336 27759 4 338 16 352 26 342 27759 26122 5 357 13 003 28 348 26122 24423 5 013 10 014 24 351 24423 22666 4 044 7 021 19 006 22666 20849 5 097 4 044 17 019 20849 18964 7 107 5 072 15 020 18964 17049 8 119 5 096 13 024 17049 15202 8 119 6 121 10 032 15202 13517 8 118 4 115 10 039 13517 12010 11 119 4 107 11 037 12010 10662 11 116 5 094 10 036 10662 9455 9 118 5 081 9 033 9455 8375 6 114 3 061 9 030 8375 7411 3 109 3 019 9 032 7411 6555 1 160 3*010 9 042 6555 5795 1 223 3*352 9 050 5795 5112 1 248 3 329 9 042 5112 4506 2*274 4 300 8 033 4506 3997 4*269 4 287 6 023 3997 3606 5 264 5 278 3 360 3606 3336 5 261 5 276 2 308 3336 3172 5 259 5 274 3 280 3172 3077 5 259 5 273 2*275 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography