DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 65.5 - - 71.3 - - 70.0 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 199 - - 293 - - 65 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1562 - - 3336 - - 2006 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3791 - - 5224 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4623 - - 6397 - - 5067 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 349 - - 919 - - 1147 - - 2030 - - 430 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 280 - - 410 - - 211 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 349 - - 352 - - 011 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 5 - - 17 - - 4 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6497 - - -7826 - - -7194 - - -7886 - - -7188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9574 - - 12450 - - 13592 - - 12954 - - 10267 sfcLCL ODpotential -18711 - - -17068 - - -15204 - - -15582 - - -17235 ODpotential blCL 21788 - - 21691 - - 21601 - - 20649 - - 20313 blCL maxRH 45 - - 60 - - 46 - - 38 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 65.5 - - 71.3 - - 70.0 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.2 - - 22.3 - - 22.6 - - 24.3 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 64.1 - - 69.3 - - 69.3 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.7 - - 21.5 - - 21.7 - - 23.7 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 199 - - 293 - - 65 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1562 - - 3336 - - 2006 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97527 8 246 18 290 15 308 21 301 6 277 97527 90295 4 334 13 289 14 299 12 277 8 327 90295 84706 5 009 5 316 9 283 5 208 10 319 84706 80067 2 001 3 110 6 276 2 193 5 314 80067 76078 3 042 4 101 4 252 6 310 6 354 76078 72569 6 295 5 058 4 207 7 283 6 335 72569 69406 6 250 3 090 6 218 8 260 5 300 69406 66494 8 307 1 095 7 220 7 255 4 313 66494 63786 9 302 4 322 5 257 8 285 9 327 63786 61169 10 319 8 326 7 274 11 288 16 303 61169 58461 15 320 13 320 14 301 16 313 18 302 58461 55666 24 327 19 317 19 307 24 317 22 305 55666 53000 33 327 20 331 23 310 28 312 23 308 53000 50587 34 336 31 340 24 315 32 314 28 322 50587 48405 44 338 38 331 31 313 40 318 40 325 48405 46407 47 336 39 324 39 312 45 318 49 322 46407 44562 47 341 41 325 44 317 49 318 55 321 44562 42845 51 339 47 330 46 321 52 321 58 322 42845 41239 61 336 55 334 50 325 55 324 60 323 41239 39731 68 335 65 333 58 328 59 328 61 324 39731 38314 73 335 70 330 66 328 61 330 59 325 38314 36952 77 335 73 328 71 328 64 331 55 328 36952 35580 77 334 74 328 71 326 64 331 53 332 35580 34172 78 334 73 328 70 325 65 331 53 333 34172 32732 72 335 71 329 66 327 62 330 52 330 32732 31250 62 336 62 328 57 327 53 333 47 332 31250 29712 54 338 53 327 50 326 48 334 43 336 29712 28111 48 340 47 330 46 330 44 335 44 336 28111 26444 45 339 41 330 41 335 41 338 45 335 26444 24715 45 339 41 333 36 335 37 341 42 336 24715 22925 43 342 39 338 33 337 32 340 37 337 22925 21069 39 344 35 339 31 339 29 339 32 336 21069 19142 34 347 31 340 29 340 26 341 29 336 19142 17181 30 349 27 348 26 343 24 347 26 343 17181 15293 27 350 25 354 23 347 22 355 22 355 15293 13573 25 355 22 357 20 353 20 002 19 007 13573 12040 22 004 18 358 17 358 18 007 17 011 12040 10673 19 011 14 001 15 358 17 010 15 010 10673 9452 17 013 13 002 15 355 16 010 15 010 9452 8364 16 014 12 005 14 356 14 006 14 010 8364 7397 15 017 12 012 11 002 10 354 13 008 7397 6543 15 018 12 016 7*358 7 340 11 005 6543 5785 13 015 11 015 6*357 6 337 8 356 5785 5104 11 014 9*011 5 354 5*348 6 355 5104 4500 8 015 5*003 5 353 5*005 4 002 4500 3993 6 022 4 351 4 351 6 011 5 024 3993 3603 5 034 3 345 4 349 6 013 8 035 3603 3334 4 043 3 341 4 348 6 013 9 040 3334 3171 4*048 3 338 4 347 5 014 8*046 3171 3078 4*044 2 336 3 346 5 015 6*047 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography