DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/13 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.6 - - 84.3 - - 89.9 - - 90.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 371 - - 488 - - 281 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1722 - - 3331 - - 3734 - - 400 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4090 - - 5385 - - 5516 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4784 - - 6393 - - 6797 - - 3462 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 428 - - 1271 - - 1535 - - 1824 - - 886 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 356 - - 487 - - 421 - - 59 W* B/S 2 - - 17 - - 15 - - 21 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 219 - - 232 - - 235 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 21 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7092 - - -8454 - - -7711 - - -5961 - - -4113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10170 - - 13238 - - 14104 - - 12758 - - 7575 sfcLCL ODpotential -16214 - - -15995 - - -14475 - - -11757 - - -11574 ODpotential blCL 19292 - - 20779 - - 20868 - - 18554 - - 15036 blCL maxRH 35 - - 52 - - 49 - - 43 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.6 - - 84.3 - - 89.9 - - 90.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 37.4 - - 38.8 - - 45.2 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.3 - - 81.9 - - 86.9 - - 88.3 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 36.8 - - 38.1 - - 44.9 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 371 - - 488 - - 281 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1722 - - 3331 - - 3734 - - 400 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98913 44 101 39 106 41 102 36 105 38 095 98913 91490 38 101 31 110 35 110 35 110 36 097 91490 85766 34 107 34 110 29 111 28 108 32 102 85766 81000 35 099 34 106 29 113 25 107 26 099 81000 76896 31 094 30 103 29 114 23 098 23 098 76896 73284 26 093 25 093 29 111 26 106 23 099 73284 70033 16 107 21 091 26 098 25 099 23 092 70033 67061 18 119 16 101 20 094 22 096 24 098 67061 64312 18 105 17 103 19 090 20 090 25 098 64312 61660 17 097 18 114 14 103 17 095 20 080 61660 58925 18 105 23 111 16 115 12 125 12 067 58925 56117 13 096 16 111 17 105 15 137 6 121 56117 53447 7 070 12 115 5 122 6 099 7 102 53447 51055 11 296 9 084 3 105 3 304 3 333 51055 48919 17 294 7 329 8 000 9 346 8 341 48919 46970 20 294 15 302 12 323 11 323 13 310 46970 45170 20 300 18 306 13 320 11 315 16 299 45170 43487 22 306 21 303 14 313 13 309 16 295 43487 41907 24 306 23 307 15 317 15 303 15 297 41907 40418 27 301 24 309 18 312 17 298 16 303 40418 39012 30 300 27 302 21 301 19 298 18 303 39012 37656 31 300 29 297 23 298 21 299 20 299 37656 36286 33 300 29 299 24 298 23 299 19 298 36286 34872 33 298 27 301 23 298 22 296 18 296 34872 33418 27 299 23 301 21 298 20 292 17 290 33418 31911 21 305 20 302 19 299 18 294 14 294 31911 30337 19 303 16 301 16 297 15 300 11 309 30337 28696 17 301 14 301 13 294 12 295 10 312 28696 26991 16 305 14 310 12 303 11 297 11 310 26991 25225 14 309 15 311 13 309 11 305 11 310 25225 23401 12 309 14 304 12 309 11 307 12 309 23401 21513 8 304 12 288 11 298 11 305 10 310 21513 19550 8 297 10 273 9 282 8 294 6 302 19550 17553 11 298 9 276 7 266 6 268 4 278 17553 15627 9 301 7 269 7 252 5 252 5 272 15627 13871 3 287 6 224 7 229 5 240 6 279 13871 12304 4 171 9 187 9 210 7 231 6 282 12304 10903 5 151 9 167 11 195 8 215 6 266 10903 9652 4 146 8 151 11 184 9 195 6 224 9652 8535 1 168 5 150 8 175 4 141 8 191 8535 7542 2 232 4 183 4 167 4*087 8 161 7542 6662 4 205 5 193 2*180 2*083 7 110 6662 5880 5 185 4 185 3*210 1 203 7 077 5880 5176 4 147 3*172 4 225 3 236 4 056 5176 4550 4 112 3*194 6 233 5 237 2 359 4550 4026 3 133 3 214 7 234 6 237 3 280 4026 3623 2 210 4 222 8 235 7 238 5*258 3623 3345 3 250 5 225 8 236 7 238 5*254 3345 3176 3 252 5 226 8 236 7 238 5 253 3176 3079 3*256 4 227 7 236 6 238 4 253 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography