DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 61.2 - - 66.4 - - 65.3 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -53 - - 46 - - 169 - - 77 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 415 - - 1298 - - 1064 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3581 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3476 - - 4360 - - 4126 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 98 - - 999 - - 1809 - - 1156 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 124 - - 258 - - 186 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 017 - - 034 - - 029 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -9 - - -7 - - -14 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3217 - - -4118 - - -4883 - - -5376 - - -3891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6294 - - 7594 - - 9244 - - 9502 - - 6968 sfcLCL ODpotential -12893 - - -11063 - - -11202 - - -11886 - - -12546 ODpotential blCL 15970 - - 14539 - - 15562 - - 16012 - - 15623 blCL maxRH 35 - - 39 - - 39 - - 36 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 61.2 - - 66.4 - - 65.3 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 39.1 - - 37.0 - - 34.9 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 60.8 - - 65.1 - - 64.6 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 37.9 - - 35.8 - - 33.7 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -53 - - 46 - - 169 - - 77 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 415 - - 1298 - - 1064 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96577 16 303 22 292 16 292 26 302 23 304 96577 89381 4 008 12 287 17 264 19 303 10 311 89381 83883 13 298 3 300 18 269 17 280 13 313 83883 79308 20 279 10 320 17 286 17 285 17 308 79308 75366 13 286 12 284 19 280 20 303 18 322 75366 71896 17 312 10 253 21 272 22 299 20 317 71896 68761 23 312 12 294 21 286 20 287 24 310 68761 65872 25 307 24 320 24 306 19 286 26 304 65872 63185 29 305 31 315 24 306 19 291 26 296 63185 60578 33 297 33 302 25 303 23 302 30 296 60578 57858 35 294 30 294 27 306 30 306 32 301 57858 55026 37 290 29 292 30 302 34 306 34 310 55026 52311 37 291 30 293 32 297 38 303 37 311 52311 49861 37 298 34 297 35 295 40 299 37 309 49861 47667 39 305 39 303 36 302 39 304 36 308 47667 45687 41 302 43 299 39 308 38 306 35 307 45687 43890 41 298 42 297 41 304 40 308 36 305 43890 42246 43 289 41 292 39 296 42 304 36 307 42246 40724 45 280 42 289 36 296 41 296 35 312 40724 39295 47 277 46 287 35 297 40 292 37 312 39295 37949 45 273 47 283 36 296 38 292 37 304 37949 36650 43 274 46 280 37 294 36 295 35 298 36650 35337 42 278 45 279 37 293 35 299 32 298 35337 33980 44 282 44 280 37 295 35 301 31 300 33980 32583 46 283 43 283 38 296 35 300 31 299 32583 31131 47 284 44 285 40 294 34 300 32 300 31131 29613 46 287 45 288 42 292 34 302 32 304 29613 28030 45 291 42 291 37 295 33 307 31 314 28030 26378 43 293 37 296 34 300 32 315 31 323 26378 24662 38 301 33 300 33 302 32 318 29 327 24662 22882 35 309 32 300 31 302 33 320 28 327 22882 21033 36 311 32 300 30 302 31 311 26 328 21033 19112 36 312 31 304 29 304 30 304 24 314 19112 17159 32 317 26 310 26 308 26 307 24 307 17159 15278 27 323 20 316 21 312 19 311 21 314 15278 13565 24 329 16 324 16 316 14 315 16 326 13565 12038 21 335 14 333 12 321 10 325 11 339 12038 10676 18 341 11 343 10 330 8 348 8 356 10676 9460 15 346 9 350 8 340 8 007 8 011 9460 8374 12 347 8 351 6 346 9 008 8 020 8374 7408 9 352 7 353 5 352 10 005 9 028 7408 6552 7 357 6 356 5 002 10 006 10 030 6552 5791 7 001 6 356 5 014 10 013 11 029 5791 5106 8 010 7 003 7 027 11 021 13 028 5106 4499 8 018 8 010 8*033 11*027 15 025 4499 3991 10 028 9 016 8*034 10*029 16 023 3991 3602 12 032 9*017 8 034 10 029 16 023 3602 3333 13 031 8*018 7 034 10 029 14 024 3333 3170 11 031 7 017 7 033 9 029 11 028 3170 3077 7*030 5 017 6 033 7 029 6*029 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography