DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Hernandez 3059ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.0 - - 43.2 - - 46.1 - - 44.5 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -51 - - 65 - - 148 - - 31 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 597 - - 1265 - - 766 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3059 - - 3060 - - 3494 - - 3060 - - 3059 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 3657 - - 4325 - - 3826 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 287 - - 685 - - 876 - - 806 - - 380 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 149 - - 245 - - 131 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 013 - - 020 - - 025 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -24 - - -24 - - -25 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -324 - - -1484 - - -937 - - -1313 - - -784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3400 - - 5141 - - 5262 - - 5139 - - 3860 sfcLCL ODpotential -8105 - - -8444 - - -6790 - - -8901 - - -10155 ODpotential blCL 11181 - - 12101 - - 11115 - - 12727 - - 13231 blCL maxRH 76 - - 67 - - 59 - - 56 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.0 - - 43.2 - - 46.1 - - 44.5 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 31.7 - - 34.0 - - 33.0 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 42.8 - - 45.1 - - 44.3 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.7 - - 30.6 - - 32.8 - - 31.7 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -51 - - 65 - - 148 - - 31 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 597 - - 1265 - - 766 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97189 4 262 19 346 21 013 25 036 16 075 97189 90087 18 058 15 060 19 061 25 051 28 076 90087 84492 15 061 19 063 20 060 22 073 25 074 84492 79813 16 075 18 074 15 056 25 070 19 090 79813 75782 11 054 15 058 9 073 17 052 20 068 75782 72226 12 020 15 068 8 081 14 045 13 041 72226 69015 13 302 9 341 10 338 14 021 11 031 69015 66072 10 264 11 296 15 273 19 319 15 341 66072 63349 21 279 18 280 20 260 25 281 23 313 63349 60704 32 266 26 274 26 268 33 270 30 281 60704 57935 35 269 42 271 38 272 42 265 34 269 57935 55049 46 269 52 261 51 264 52 265 44 269 55049 52287 58 263 58 263 57 259 56 264 50 272 52287 49799 66 261 65 265 63 262 56 270 67 277 49799 47560 75 258 74 261 72 260 71 269 77 267 47560 45514 82 253 77 257 78 255 77 261 76 258 45514 43632 84 253 83 258 85 254 79 256 76 260 43632 41891 88 257 90 258 94 255 88 255 79 265 41891 40271 96 258 98 253 101 252 93 257 89 265 40271 38761 111 255 104 253 103 253 101 258 98 264 38761 37353 119 252 106 255 103 255 103 260 101 262 37353 36009 122 252 106 257 102 256 102 261 100 258 36009 34664 118 256 106 258 103 256 104 258 100 257 34664 33292 115 260 103 260 106 255 108 256 99 253 33292 31894 104 262 98 261 97 257 104 256 98 247 31894 30446 93 262 87 260 86 259 93 256 98 249 30446 28934 89 259 81 259 81 257 87 259 89 263 28934 27365 85 259 77 259 76 260 77 263 79 277 27365 25737 79 264 71 263 69 264 72 270 69 282 25737 24049 75 269 68 268 61 271 63 276 62 286 24049 22304 70 274 65 271 56 275 53 280 54 289 22304 20495 64 279 58 276 52 278 47 283 42 291 20495 18619 53 283 49 280 47 279 43 287 32 292 18619 16711 41 288 40 284 41 282 38 292 28 297 16711 14875 33 295 34 291 36 290 35 297 28 303 14875 13203 28 303 31 300 32 299 33 303 28 307 13203 11715 23 311 29 309 29 307 29 309 23 312 11715 10392 19 319 24 315 24 316 23 318 18 322 10392 9215 15 329 20 323 19 326 19 327 14 338 9215 8167 11 337 16 330 16 338 17 339 13 348 8167 7237 9 340 12 334 16 349 15 353 11 356 7237 6413 8 341 11 340 16 359 15 008 10 003 6413 5681 8 343 12 349 17 008 16 018 9 012 5681 5024 10 352 13 001 17 014 18 023 11 020 5024 4440 14 005 16 009 17*018 19 025 15 022 4440 3953 18 011 18*012 17*020 19*025 20 022 3953 3579 20 012 17*013 16 020 18*025 22 020 3579 3322 19 014 15 013 15 020 16 025 20 021 3322 3165 16*015 14 013 14 021 15 024 16*022 3165 3076 8*018 9 013 9 021 9 025 8*025 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography