DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 88.3 - - 85.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 277 - - 60 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 6657 - - 5695 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3650 - - 7781 - - 5911 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4438 - - 9720 - - 8758 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7032 - - 3734 - - 4329 - - 901 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 510 - - 294 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 19 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 131 - - 174 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 22 - - 48 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8603 - - -4185 - - -4215 - - -4612 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13041 - - 13906 - - 12974 - - 7690 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15164 - - -9982 - - -10024 - - -8903 ODpotential blCL - - - 19602 - - 19702 - - 18782 - - 11981 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 67 - - 48 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 88.3 - - 85.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.0 - - 37.5 - - 39.4 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.1 - - 86.3 - - 85.3 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 36.7 - - 38.8 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 277 - - 60 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 6657 - - 5695 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97823 7 311 4 028 5 036 4 318 97823 90551 2 067 3 035 5 354 6 036 90551 84925 2 106 7 019 7 025 8 059 84925 80265 3 116 11 017 13 039 13 060 80265 76263 13 094 8 057 11 045 11 050 76263 72745 21 079 11 090 9 046 12 062 72745 69584 15 082 8 085 6 029 15 042 69584 66689 13 066 6 093 4 359 13 017 66689 64001 14 022 9 069 5 073 8 357 64001 61396 14 017 7 354 9 352 11 345 61396 58680 17 352 11 344 12 327 16 320 58680 55875 23 315 20 317 21 317 22 312 55875 53208 26 311 25 312 26 310 24 313 53208 50799 28 313 32 310 34 297 34 308 50799 48626 31 311 31 306 35 295 37 298 48626 46640 33 309 33 306 37 296 38 291 46640 44806 40 306 38 304 38 292 39 286 44806 43098 42 304 39 300 37 289 38 284 43098 41499 40 305 38 298 36 288 37 281 41499 39999 40 304 38 299 35 288 35 279 39999 38590 40 302 37 298 34 290 33 281 38590 37233 36 300 34 293 34 288 32 284 37233 35860 33 298 31 290 33 286 32 285 35860 34444 31 296 29 288 31 286 29 286 34444 32989 30 292 29 286 30 285 26 284 32989 31486 29 288 28 283 30 280 26 280 31486 29922 25 286 25 281 27 278 27 278 29922 28296 22 281 22 278 23 277 25 278 28296 26603 20 276 20 276 21 277 21 276 26603 24851 19 275 18 274 19 274 19 268 24851 23044 18 274 14 272 16 272 18 261 23044 21175 12 274 10 264 12 266 16 259 21175 19235 7 264 9 243 11 253 13 248 19235 17265 5 204 8 197 10 224 10 214 17265 15377 13 164 13 178 12 188 10 165 15377 13667 17 159 17 168 14 168 15 161 13667 12148 15 167 12 161 12 141 16 161 12148 10790 12 171 12*149 10 134 13 157 10790 9573 10 157 10*139 6*135 11 156 9573 8481 8 140 8 138 5*140 10 160 8481 7506 7 132 5 140 4 143 9 163 7506 6638 7 131 4 141 4 158 8 161 6638 5864 6 126 4 135 4 174 7 160 5864 5166 6 095 3 120 4 190 5 172 5166 4544 7*069 3 114 4 195 3 206 4544 4023 8*051 3 108 4 198 4 240 4023 3621 8 050 3 103 4 201 6 246 3621 3344 8 050 3 103 4 202 5 248 3344 3175 7 049 3 102 4 202 4 253 3175 3078 6 050 3 104 4 203 3*258 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography