DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 51.2 - - - - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 50 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 129 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - - - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3190 - - - - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1636 - - 1632 - - - - - 1549 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 78 - - - - - 25 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 231 - - - - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 11 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 113 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3077 - - 3077 - - - - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - 77 - - - - - -8 ODpotential blCL - - - 3077 - - 3113 - - - - - 3084 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 51.2 - - - - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 50.9 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 50.8 - - - - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 50.7 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 50 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 129 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96296 19 300 16 307 11 286 96296 89179 13 005 10 265 15 319 89179 83673 9 008 7 312 14 333 83673 79103 11 343 10 322 11 342 79103 75177 14 324 16 318 16 347 75177 71711 13 300 15 303 14 312 71711 68577 17 272 13 272 19 274 68577 65724 22 269 16 270 14 265 65724 63061 26 257 22 262 17 251 63061 60446 28 251 31 259 31 246 60446 57706 35 250 43 254 45 246 57706 54869 44 251 52 246 60 241 54869 52155 48 257 54 246 60 243 52155 49699 62 263 62 260 75 252 49699 47489 80 257 79 256 95 249 47489 45474 78 250 81 248 93 247 45474 43624 76 257 80 250 86 253 43624 41919 88 260 93 253 93 255 41919 40344 90 255 96 252 101 249 40344 38893 79 253 86 250 97 246 38893 37547 73 248 79 248 89 244 37547 36255 68 251 75 248 81 246 36255 34947 64 255 69 252 76 249 34947 33596 60 257 66 253 73 252 33596 32201 60 259 66 253 72 253 32201 30750 61 261 66 254 74 251 30750 29235 59 260 65 256 74 248 29235 27658 58 258 66 257 72 246 27658 26019 60 258 67 256 70 245 26019 24316 62 257 68 255 69 246 24316 22553 59 256 65 253 66 247 22553 20726 55 257 58 253 61 248 20726 18829 50 256 51 253 54 249 18829 16904 46 254 47 256 46 252 16904 15052 42 253 45 258 41 256 15052 13366 39 253 43 258 38 258 13366 11864 36 253 41 257 36 259 11864 10523 33 252 38 256 34 259 10523 9325 30 253 34 255 31 259 9325 8255 27 251 30 253 29 258 8255 7304 23 246 27 250 26 257 7304 6463 21 242 23 244 25 255 6463 5719 20 241 20 237 23 253 5719 5052 20 241 19 233 21 249 5052 4463 19 241 17 232 19 242 4463 3970 18 240 16 232 17 237 3970 3590 16 237 15 231 16 234 3590 3328 13 236 13*231 14 233 3328 3168 11*236 12*231 12 233 3168 3076 8*236 8 232 8*232 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography