DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 72.4 - - 72.7 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 484 - - 234 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3263 - - 4908 - - 5342 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5249 - - 6625 - - 6660 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6325 - - 7970 - - 8404 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1115 - - 1144 - - 1136 - - 4206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 440 - - 551 - - 445 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 18 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 267 - - 285 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 14 - - 18 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2401 - - -2243 - - -1180 - - -2904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8727 - - 10213 - - 9584 - - 5982 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9744 - - -10104 - - -8304 - - -9497 ODpotential blCL - - - 16069 - - 18074 - - 16708 - - 12575 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 58 - - 66 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 72.4 - - 72.7 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 38.1 - - 41.2 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 69.6 - - 71.0 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 37.8 - - 41.0 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 484 - - 234 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3263 - - 4908 - - 5342 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98947 18 111 13 102 9 087 15 088 98947 91542 20 093 21 098 14 114 11 089 91542 85806 22 088 19 094 20 100 14 088 85806 81047 20 090 17 088 17 090 19 091 81047 76951 11 077 13 083 15 073 17 083 76951 73338 11 084 4 103 11 045 13 083 73338 70067 4 017 4 087 5 138 7 057 70067 67053 5 261 6 281 5 005 7 049 67053 64250 10 210 12 246 12 276 6 321 64250 61531 12 216 18 243 15 264 13 285 61531 58701 16 255 24 237 19 268 18 280 58701 55783 26 273 27 265 26 274 29 283 55783 53021 43 268 35 268 35 271 33 284 53021 50555 45 274 40 277 42 275 44 286 50555 48364 52 273 38 274 40 272 42 278 48364 46384 46 274 42 293 41 278 39 277 46384 44571 56 297 49 292 45 282 42 280 44571 42894 61 296 48 289 47 284 44 279 42894 41328 58 297 50 286 47 283 43 277 41328 39858 54 300 49 286 47 281 40 278 39858 38472 51 308 47 293 44 280 37 279 38472 37136 53 317 49 299 41 280 33 277 37136 35785 55 319 50 304 40 283 31 275 35785 34387 54 319 47 305 41 291 29 275 34387 32946 49 316 44 303 40 295 27 279 32946 31446 49 313 44 303 37 296 26 280 31446 29878 50 314 45 303 35 296 26 278 29878 28243 44 310 46 301 35 297 25 280 28243 26544 46 305 45 299 35 298 26 286 26544 24780 43 309 41 298 34 297 26 293 24780 22958 36 288 34 292 33 291 27 289 22958 21071 40 273 32 276 33 282 29 282 21071 19117 37 275 36 271 35 275 30 280 19117 17137 34 271 34 272 33 274 30 283 17137 15237 32 266 31 269 30 275 27 286 15237 13513 28 265 29 267 26 276 25 288 13513 11983 23 262 23 266 22 273 22 288 11983 10625 19 258 17 261 13 260 18 285 10625 9418 16 254 12 259 3*253 13 265 9418 8344 14 255 5*266 2*300 7 197 8344 7390 10 256 4*271 2 302 6 150 7390 6544 4*252 4 272 3 295 4 125 6544 5792 3*249 5 271 4 288 3 093 5792 5113 3 245 6 267 4 284 4 064 5113 4508 3 244 6 266 5 281 4 047 4508 4000 3 242 7 264 5 279 4 027 4000 3608 3 241 7 264 5 278 4 007 3608 3337 3 240 7 262 5 277 3 347 3337 3172 3 240 7 262 5 276 2*334 3172 3078 3 241 6 261 5 275 2*316 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography