DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 78.5 - - 83.0 - - 81.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 349 - - 436 - - 231 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 248 - - 1769 - - 4334 - - 3457 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4116 - - 6142 - - 5236 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3310 - - 4831 - - 7397 - - 6519 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 733 - - 1092 - - 1313 - - 1475 - - 829 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 - - 355 - - 514 - - 387 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 22 - - 13 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 005 - - 347 - - 341 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 11 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -26 - - -36 - - -6 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6421 - - -6431 - - -4607 - - -5077 - - -5945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9732 - - 11262 - - 12004 - - 11597 - - 9024 sfcLCL ODpotential -13947 - - -12236 - - -9370 - - -10017 - - -13492 ODpotential blCL 17257 - - 17067 - - 16767 - - 16536 - - 16570 blCL maxRH 34 - - 42 - - 42 - - 48 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 78.5 - - 83.0 - - 81.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 39.9 - - 40.9 - - 41.0 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.1 - - 76.5 - - 80.4 - - 79.7 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 38.9 - - 39.8 - - 40.2 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 349 - - 436 - - 231 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 248 - - 1769 - - 4334 - - 3457 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97860 5 101 11 105 1 154 6 077 1 351 97860 90407 10 089 9 109 4 112 6 098 10 101 90407 84679 11 075 3 108 4 002 5 044 13 072 84679 79932 10 046 7 075 3 091 5 001 13 054 79932 75864 10 025 8 357 4 056 6 001 9 002 75864 72293 7 353 12 321 7 010 4 041 7 340 72293 69065 9 317 16 304 12 329 11 339 4 008 69065 66092 16 303 19 308 22 319 28 326 10 360 66092 63340 19 307 20 301 25 309 30 314 23 327 63340 60678 22 311 22 304 25 298 30 303 32 313 60678 57906 30 308 29 309 30 300 34 302 37 307 57906 55045 37 307 37 302 36 300 37 298 40 305 55045 52333 42 309 40 305 39 305 40 302 43 307 52333 49915 39 309 37 308 36 310 39 299 43 300 49915 47775 33 309 30 313 34 316 37 312 36 296 47775 45865 24 309 26 302 31 311 34 320 32 302 45865 44130 20 310 20 305 27 307 32 322 32 318 44130 42516 19 347 15 326 23 312 30 317 34 326 42516 40998 20 359 13 326 25 320 29 313 31 322 40998 39562 17 360 9 310 26 322 30 318 29 317 39562 38203 14 350 8 306 23 315 29 318 29 309 38203 36887 13 335 11 315 20 307 20 296 24 300 36887 35550 14 323 15 306 19 303 27 308 23 300 35550 34166 14 318 19 302 21 309 30 318 27 308 34166 32737 13 305 21 308 22 311 29 319 29 312 32737 31252 13 300 21 306 22 304 28 309 30 314 31252 29700 16 301 24 312 24 305 28 297 33 315 29700 28085 20 314 26 315 24 304 29 289 36 315 28085 26410 22 320 25 310 25 295 30 293 38 312 26410 24679 19 316 23 299 27 292 32 300 38 309 24679 22892 16 307 23 295 27 301 33 303 39 309 22892 21038 15 317 24 314 29 315 34 312 41 310 21038 19115 16 329 26 334 31 326 36 321 41 311 19115 17162 17 333 24 342 29 333 33 324 38 313 17162 15287 15 339 21 344 27 336 31 324 33 316 15287 13583 12 346 17 342 25 336 29 324 29 320 13583 12064 11 348 15 339 23 334 28 327 27 325 12064 10707 10 347 14 335 21 332 26 331 24 329 10707 9495 11 348 15 334 20 334 23 335 22 332 9495 8409 13 350 16 334 16 337 18 340 21 333 8409 7441 16 356 17 337 13*342 13 347 20 332 7441 6581 20 002 19 344 13*345 12*350 19 332 6581 5817 24 007 22 354 14 346 12*348 17 336 5817 5129 30 011 24*001 14 347 13 345 17 344 5129 4517 35 011 24*004 14 347 13 341 18 347 4517 4004 36 010 24 005 14 347 14 339 19 344 4004 3610 33 010 23 005 13 347 13 337 16 338 3610 3338 27*009 21 006 13 346 13 336 13 334 3338 3173 23*010 20 005 12 346 12 335 11*333 3173 3078 14 009 13 005 10 346 10 334 6*331 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography