DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 49.1 - - 49.2 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 112 - - 85 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1866 - - 2174 - - 361 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3745 - - 3783 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3076 - - 4926 - - 5234 - - 3421 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1929 - - 2697 - - 2748 - - 2989 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 250 - - 243 - - 72 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 19 - - 23 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 215 - - 219 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 18 - - 22 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1531 - - 1755 - - 345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3076 - - 3395 - - 3479 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - 604 - - 665 - - 100 ODpotential blCL - - - 3076 - - 4322 - - 4569 - - 3321 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 140 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 49.1 - - 49.2 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 44.8 - - 44.5 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 48.3 - - 48.7 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 44.0 - - 43.8 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 112 - - 85 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1866 - - 2174 - - 361 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 94 - - 92 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97386 45 271 56 275 56 278 55 274 97386 89925 50 280 55 278 55 286 52 284 89925 84198 40 279 42 278 49 283 50 282 84198 79529 26 277 34 269 34 275 36 278 79529 75550 24 272 29 259 29 276 18 272 75550 72007 22 267 19 262 25 266 15 256 72007 68764 18 251 15 262 26 251 26 264 68764 65780 21 238 22 255 29 248 29 262 65780 63004 26 241 28 246 26 241 26 248 63004 60284 27 244 29 243 22 245 22 240 60284 57411 26 249 26 232 24 254 23 251 57411 54413 27 250 27 237 36 262 33 261 54413 51557 30 250 36 252 45 257 46 264 51557 49014 37 253 44 254 54 259 55 259 49014 46769 40 251 48 258 53 256 54 255 46769 44755 38 256 47 261 47 256 53 256 44755 42915 42 268 48 267 52 259 55 258 42915 41217 46 269 58 271 59 258 61 261 41217 39644 48 273 66 269 69 265 73 265 39644 38183 56 285 69 267 83 267 86 263 38183 36821 70 290 71 267 84 261 91 259 36821 35515 72 288 74 268 81 257 90 255 35515 34195 70 284 74 266 82 256 89 254 34195 32835 62 279 71 261 83 256 87 253 32835 31439 55 270 68 258 82 255 84 251 31439 29997 54 262 66 255 81 253 83 247 29997 28497 57 260 64 254 77 250 83 244 28497 26939 55 260 62 253 74 246 84 240 26939 25323 51 259 61 251 70 241 84 237 25323 23654 47 256 58 248 68 237 83 238 23654 21934 46 253 53 247 68 239 83 240 21934 20157 45 255 49 246 65 239 83 242 20157 18320 43 258 47 245 59 234 77 242 18320 16458 38 256 43 241 56 231 64 241 16458 14670 34 251 41 237 55 231 53 241 14670 13043 31 245 40 233 53 231 47 243 13043 11594 28 238 39 233 47 231 44 245 11594 10302 26 231 34 230 37 226 41 244 10302 9150 21 221 29 226 31 219 36 239 9150 8123 19 217 27 222 28 212 35 230 8123 7209 20 215 27 216 28 210 37 224 7209 6398 21 216 27 214 27 212 37 223 6398 5677 21 216 26 213 27*215 36 223 5677 5026 21 216 25*213 26*217 34 222 5026 4447 20 215 23*214 25 218 32 220 4447 3960 19 215 21 215 24 219 29 218 3960 3585 17 214 20 216 23 220 27*218 3585 3325 15 213 18 216 22 220 23*218 3325 3167 13 213 16 216 19 221 20 218 3167 3076 9*212 11 216 13 221 12 219 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography