DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.2 - - 59.0 - - 63.6 - - 58.2 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - -9 - - 36 - - -8 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 314 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3376 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 292 - - 616 - - 395 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 22 - - 104 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 087 - - 102 - - 075 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -9 - - -4 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5526 - - -4207 - - -3053 - - -1332 - - -6333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8603 - - 7284 - - 6429 - - 4410 - - 9411 sfcLCL ODpotential -16041 - - -10434 - - -8379 - - -7649 - - -15215 ODpotential blCL 19118 - - 13511 - - 11755 - - 10727 - - 18292 blCL maxRH 22 - - 27 - - 50 - - 63 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.2 - - 59.0 - - 63.6 - - 58.2 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.5 - - 38.5 - - 46.4 - - 49.6 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 59.9 - - 63.3 - - 59.4 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 37.4 - - 45.1 - - 48.4 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - -9 - - 36 - - -8 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 314 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96273 8 066 10 022 3 282 11 260 11 281 96273 89240 11 061 5 029 4 045 2 038 8 105 89240 83782 5 088 3 301 6 011 1 322 8 060 83782 79215 7 088 7 249 8 319 5 291 11 017 79215 75274 11 011 7 257 12 314 6 015 6 007 75274 71789 10 349 12 298 16 317 12 356 7 001 71789 68625 7 310 12 305 16 307 14 331 12 351 68625 65711 8 319 14 316 18 303 19 318 16 347 65711 63008 17 328 18 316 19 304 21 303 18 338 63008 60394 21 314 21 312 18 316 21 302 18 324 60394 57675 23 312 23 313 20 320 22 296 20 306 57675 54854 30 308 28 318 22 313 21 292 24 294 54854 52153 32 294 34 310 29 306 28 300 31 293 52153 49712 33 289 34 307 35 297 34 292 32 289 49712 47522 24 288 28 305 31 289 34 289 34 290 47522 45540 14 290 24 286 22 286 30 285 30 287 45540 43730 8 318 14 249 18 257 25 265 28 279 43730 42071 7 342 6 159 13 201 19 243 27 257 42071 40541 7 201 7 127 9 182 17 252 22 240 40541 39119 22 193 8 202 15 247 23 255 20 246 39119 37786 29 171 23 202 20 239 28 241 28 257 37786 36503 33 160 27 187 22 231 29 241 30 253 36503 35202 27 152 28 174 21 225 29 242 28 255 35202 33852 22 136 27 165 20 224 28 244 26 256 33852 32457 20 152 25 176 22 217 27 248 23 250 32457 31004 25 173 29 182 23 205 23 244 23 245 31004 29484 29 181 33 187 24 205 23 226 21 246 29484 27897 27 190 32 193 29 204 25 221 21 229 27897 26247 21 198 27 200 31 201 23 224 22 224 26247 24536 18 208 23 203 30 203 24 223 21 223 24536 22766 18 216 19 198 26 201 23 221 18 219 22766 20935 14 223 16 206 20 195 18 218 13 220 20935 19038 5 216 13 210 16 205 9 238 4 224 19038 17106 5 340 5 258 6 298 8 329 3 053 17106 15242 13 340 14 343 16 354 13 004 6 010 15242 13540 17 351 18 355 19 005 15 012 11 011 13540 12021 18 358 18 003 18 011 15 018 14 019 12021 10664 17 003 17 009 17 014 15 024 15 022 10664 9451 16 007 16 015 16 019 15 028 14 022 9451 8367 15 013 14 024 14 026 14 030 13 023 8367 7402 13 018 12 031 12 030 12 031 12 024 7402 6547 11 021 10 036 10 033 11 033 11 027 6547 5788 12 025 9 043 8 040 10 039 11 032 5788 5106 12 031 7 053 4 062 8 047 9 035 5106 4499 12 033 6 060 3 106 7 050 8 039 4499 3991 12 035 6 073 5 131 7 053 7 043 3991 3601 12 037 7 087 4*110 6 062 6 055 3601 3333 11 043 7 090 4*103 5 072 6 067 3333 3170 9*051 7 090 4 101 5*074 6*076 3170 3077 6*050 4*087 3 104 4*075 4*066 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography