DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/18 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 90.2 - - 89.2 - - 81.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 449 - - 245 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2120 - - 3174 - - 2788 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4377 - - 5243 - - 4761 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5182 - - 6236 - - 5851 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1372 - - 1878 - - 2138 - - 2790 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 468 - - 367 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 016 - - 015 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -12 - - -16 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9908 - - -9826 - - -8468 - - -8238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15091 - - 16063 - - 14320 - - 11317 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18273 - - -17407 - - -14413 - - -14398 ODpotential blCL - - - 23455 - - 23643 - - 20264 - - 17477 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 31 - - 31 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 90.2 - - 89.2 - - 81.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 30.2 - - 37.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.4 - - 87.5 - - 87.4 - - 83.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.3 - - 29.0 - - 36.1 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 449 - - 245 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2120 - - 3174 - - 2788 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98721 20 112 18 109 26 107 21 100 98721 91219 22 123 17 129 14 097 19 090 91219 85448 22 114 18 126 11 120 11 079 85448 80682 20 110 17 115 18 115 10 127 80682 76589 19 105 15 108 18 108 17 115 76589 72987 17 114 14 107 13 085 18 105 72987 69736 15 103 16 129 6 078 12 078 69736 66763 10 102 12 101 9 121 7 095 66763 64025 12 105 8 112 6 093 9 097 64025 61396 4 031 5 094 4 122 5 130 61396 58687 4 290 2 258 3 191 5 208 58687 55908 14 281 12 267 11 251 13 252 55908 53266 17 288 14 265 12 239 18 241 53266 50881 34 300 28 290 27 274 31 266 50881 48732 40 283 39 281 35 272 37 260 48732 46771 46 285 43 283 43 281 38 270 46771 44965 53 289 50 284 50 279 46 277 44965 43287 54 288 47 280 50 277 53 276 43287 41715 50 286 46 276 51 276 54 272 41715 40233 45 283 45 273 50 273 51 267 40233 38834 43 283 43 271 48 270 54 263 38834 37482 44 283 44 273 44 269 52 262 37482 36116 46 282 45 275 42 270 47 261 36116 34702 46 282 44 276 42 270 44 261 34702 33245 40 281 39 272 44 269 45 262 33245 31731 36 275 38 268 46 268 45 260 31731 30150 35 269 35 264 42 266 44 257 30150 28504 30 271 29 258 34 260 41 254 28504 26797 25 274 24 248 29 251 34 250 26797 25032 19 273 22 240 26 239 29 240 25032 23211 17 268 20 235 26 230 27 234 23211 21329 17 265 17 239 22 223 26 223 21329 19382 14 258 14 240 16 226 23 213 19382 17408 8 247 11 226 13 229 15 214 17408 15510 2 260 7 206 8 236 9 210 15510 13779 0 118 4 185 4 265 4 199 13779 12233 2 059 2 143 1 275 1 199 12233 10851 3 045 3 072 1 084 0 188 10851 9615 7 030 5 046 2 027 2 010 9615 8511 10 021 6 032 2 024 3 026 8511 7527 10 019 8 025 5 024 3 042 7527 6654 9 019 10*020 9 016 7 022 6654 5876 9*022 11*016 12*013 9 012 5876 5176 10*020 11 016 13*014 11 006 5176 4553 10 020 12 016 13 015 11 003 4553 4030 10 021 12 016 13 015 12 001 4030 3626 9 022 12 016 13 016 11 360 3626 3347 9 021 11 016 13 016 10 357 3347 3177 8 022 11 016 12 016 8*357 3177 3079 7 021 9 016 9 016 4*357 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography