DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 59.9 - - 64.7 - - 63.1 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - -10 - - 53 - - 13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 607 - - 578 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3668 - - 3639 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 183 - - 772 - - 997 - - 963 - - 370 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 22 - - 146 - - 91 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 079 - - 108 - - 172 - - 069 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -6 - - 2 - - -1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5747 - - -5730 - - -4876 - - -2322 - - -4378 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8824 - - 8807 - - 8545 - - 5962 - - 7456 sfcLCL ODpotential -14012 - - -12361 - - -11823 - - -7795 - - -12662 ODpotential blCL 17089 - - 15438 - - 15491 - - 11434 - - 15740 blCL maxRH 24 - - 19 - - 34 - - 56 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 59.9 - - 64.7 - - 63.1 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.8 - - 32.8 - - 38.5 - - 47.8 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 61.0 - - 64.2 - - 62.8 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.7 - - 32.0 - - 36.9 - - 46.8 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - -10 - - 53 - - 13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 607 - - 578 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96148 9 289 9 311 12 305 24 311 5 041 96148 89092 16 333 10 327 10 316 18 313 11 327 89092 83672 18 326 11 331 14 332 15 331 13 342 83672 79161 12 339 6 330 12 317 14 319 14 335 79161 75271 15 353 5 035 9 001 5 356 12 346 75271 71825 14 335 13 351 13 349 12 358 18 336 71825 68715 11 328 7 354 14 333 13 358 11 336 68715 65842 18 343 18 352 15 332 17 002 10 002 65842 63161 24 320 20 332 16 345 26 347 24 356 63161 60580 23 307 22 335 29 343 26 345 25 356 60580 57883 19 287 36 330 30 336 20 341 24 360 57883 55064 35 317 33 326 18 338 19 355 29 358 55064 52361 44 331 26 345 20 003 30 357 33 359 52361 49917 41 336 37 358 40 004 40 008 32 009 49917 47711 35 343 49 359 55 007 47 012 39 019 47711 45699 40 001 52 359 60 007 53 015 43 030 45699 43875 46 007 53 015 55 019 58 014 56 031 43875 42217 56 015 58 036 54 045 49 029 52 027 42217 40686 68 023 67 048 62 057 46 056 49 052 40686 39258 75 031 71 049 68 059 56 071 53 062 39258 37915 81 034 66 049 69 063 64 071 56 066 37915 36619 68 037 66 059 67 066 72 067 60 068 36619 35302 51 042 61 067 69 076 74 064 61 069 35302 33938 45 041 46 065 58 084 71 064 61 068 33938 32529 40 051 35 062 49 084 67 077 61 073 32529 31063 29 052 25 070 41 070 57 091 56 081 31063 29533 17 036 17 074 24 062 43 084 46 088 29533 27941 13 029 13 072 14 074 41 065 37 089 27941 26289 15 043 13 078 12 083 24 061 32 086 26289 24580 16 051 14 083 11 070 11 062 26 083 24580 22814 18 065 17 085 11 075 12 066 17 087 22814 20982 22 076 22 080 17 075 15 077 14 098 20982 19078 21 071 22 081 21 064 17 085 17 095 19078 17137 15 065 18 072 19 065 16 089 17 087 17137 15263 10 060 14 060 15 081 14 091 15 087 15263 13551 7 058 9 048 11 090 11 093 12 090 13551 12026 5 060 4 050 8 083 9 088 9 096 12026 10666 1 062 1 161 5 074 7 079 6 111 10666 9451 2 245 2 226 1 084 5 075 3 122 9451 8367 5 234 4 238 1 216 3 085 2 132 8367 7402 7 224 5 234 3 228 1 170 1 193 7402 6547 7 214 6 226 5 225 3 232 2 241 6547 5789 8 206 7 217 7 221 5 246 3 253 5789 5107 8 196 9 204 9 213 6 241 3 253 5107 4501 7 188 9 191 9 208 3 242 3 278 4501 3994 7 180 8 181 7*194 0*255 2 305 3994 3604 6 165 8 165 4*176 2*069 1 001 3604 3335 5 136 7 146 4 171 2 068 2 066 3335 3171 5*117 5 131 4 171 2 070 2*067 3171 3078 4*079 3*108 3 169 2 072 3*067 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography