DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.3 - - 49.6 - - 47.7 - - 47.6 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 69 - - 79 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1042 - - 840 - - 1209 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4102 - - 3900 - - 4270 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1901 - - 1623 - - 1726 - - 1839 - - 3522 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 178 - - 172 - - 120 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 23 - - 24 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 224 - - 236 - - 237 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 17 - - 22 - - 19 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1025 - - 823 - - 1193 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -26 - - 466 - - 414 - - 423 - - -159 ODpotential blCL 3103 - - 3636 - - 3486 - - 3847 - - 3236 blCL maxRH 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 50 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 48.3 - - 49.6 - - 47.7 - - 47.6 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.2 - - 48.1 - - 46.7 - - 45.4 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 49.2 - - 47.3 - - 47.5 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 47.5 - - 46.1 - - 44.9 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 69 - - 79 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1042 - - 840 - - 1209 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 87 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96087 12 331 13 291 13 298 10 310 22 262 96087 88994 4 042 3 239 14 324 5 342 12 298 88994 83588 7 083 2 305 12 334 4 044 7 331 83588 79091 5 307 9 312 11 330 9 285 14 304 79091 75190 7 273 8 297 9 312 8 308 9 314 75190 71689 1 035 7 275 18 270 7 317 10 315 71689 68489 13 291 14 265 21 270 19 263 17 274 68489 65562 12 276 19 235 13 270 13 266 22 268 65562 62830 9 232 20 235 11 268 14 265 27 249 62830 60149 25 253 32 246 30 247 34 236 32 241 60149 57328 45 241 44 242 45 238 43 234 39 239 57328 54382 53 241 50 239 55 244 49 243 41 249 54382 51563 57 240 57 243 63 244 59 249 54 258 51563 49037 60 238 65 240 66 240 66 251 69 252 49037 46787 62 235 70 235 70 238 73 248 69 244 46787 44748 60 234 70 233 70 234 69 240 61 248 44748 42883 61 236 67 234 64 231 59 243 71 258 42883 41176 73 240 72 238 61 233 66 256 88 253 41176 39614 93 239 86 240 65 237 80 257 86 249 39614 38174 114 237 107 237 75 239 85 250 79 252 38174 36840 128 235 127 233 87 237 80 248 75 265 36840 35568 133 235 136 230 97 234 77 254 85 273 35568 34285 133 236 139 229 99 232 79 259 84 270 34285 32958 116 237 127 228 95 231 78 257 81 265 32958 31590 94 238 102 225 86 231 79 253 77 265 31590 30168 80 237 89 220 79 235 75 251 74 264 30168 28681 72 231 84 218 75 236 68 253 71 258 28681 27132 69 227 83 219 73 234 63 255 70 257 27132 25520 69 226 83 221 74 233 61 253 68 257 25520 23849 69 226 83 222 72 234 63 248 63 253 23849 22124 68 226 81 222 67 235 64 247 58 249 22124 20339 66 226 76 222 62 233 61 248 55 246 20339 18486 64 223 70 221 61 231 54 247 53 248 18486 16594 57 217 66 220 60 230 47 244 47 248 16594 14767 53 212 63 217 62 228 42 242 42 245 14767 13104 54 208 62 214 64 224 40 240 37 245 13104 11628 58 209 61 214 63 223 40 236 33 243 11628 10323 58 215 60 217 55 223 40 231 32 241 10323 9164 55 223 59 222 48 227 39 231 29 241 9164 8134 49 228 54 227 43 231 37 235 26 239 8134 7218 43 230 47 231 41 235 34 238 23 236 7218 6405 38 231 40 232 39 237 30 238 21 231 6405 5682 35 230 35 231 37 237 27 237 19 228 5682 5030 32 229 32 228 35 237 25 237 18 226 5030 4450 29 230 30*226 33 236 24*237 17 227 4450 3962 26 231 28*225 31*235 23*237 16 227 3962 3586 24 233 25 224 29*236 21 237 15 227 3586 3326 21 234 22 224 26 236 19 237 12 228 3326 3168 18*235 20 224 23 236 17 237 11*228 3168 3077 11*236 13 226 15 237 11 237 6*226 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography