DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 66.2 - - 69.3 - - 65.8 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 64 - - 168 - - 1 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 660 - - 1835 - - 369 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3924 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 3721 - - 4897 - - 3430 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 1403 - - 1473 - - 1730 - - 142 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 148 - - 281 - - 40 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 17 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 080 - - 096 - - 034 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -4 - - 4 - - -5 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7360 - - -7782 - - -5602 - - -5628 - - -5996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10438 - - 11503 - - 10500 - - 9058 - - 9073 sfcLCL ODpotential -17116 - - -15225 - - -11597 - - -11304 - - -13966 ODpotential blCL 20194 - - 18946 - - 16494 - - 14734 - - 17043 blCL maxRH 53 - - 57 - - 71 - - 70 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 66.2 - - 69.3 - - 65.8 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 27.0 - - 34.2 - - 37.2 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 65.6 - - 67.9 - - 65.8 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.9 - - 25.9 - - 33.4 - - 36.5 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 64 - - 168 - - 1 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 660 - - 1835 - - 369 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96659 60 285 52 292 48 288 46 284 54 285 96659 89560 32 275 39 283 36 292 31 295 32 298 89560 84067 20 276 27 270 32 283 31 296 34 303 84067 79508 22 312 16 290 26 280 27 289 33 295 79508 75581 26 298 19 290 24 282 23 287 27 295 75581 72085 28 287 23 274 26 282 28 293 27 298 72085 68892 31 282 28 277 28 282 28 290 26 293 68892 65947 30 280 30 275 27 275 27 288 26 292 65947 63232 30 279 30 278 27 283 28 290 26 301 63232 60621 31 282 32 277 28 287 30 294 30 307 60621 57896 33 280 28 276 31 290 36 294 37 299 57896 55057 32 276 27 281 35 286 38 290 36 299 55057 52349 35 274 33 279 35 283 36 291 36 301 52349 49912 42 269 39 271 37 285 35 294 34 303 49912 47718 46 264 45 261 39 283 37 294 37 311 47718 45715 47 261 48 253 42 265 38 281 38 302 45715 43878 49 253 50 247 50 252 42 266 35 287 43878 42188 49 245 52 240 55 245 52 255 38 272 42188 40633 44 236 49 238 54 242 56 245 43 258 40633 39192 39 238 44 235 50 239 52 238 52 248 39192 37844 40 240 43 240 49 238 51 234 54 240 37844 36542 42 240 44 243 48 239 49 235 51 238 36542 35225 41 237 42 241 47 239 47 235 46 237 35225 33865 40 236 40 240 46 240 45 234 42 241 33865 32464 37 234 38 238 43 237 43 233 40 243 32464 31008 36 231 36 236 41 236 41 233 38 244 31008 29487 35 226 35 235 39 234 38 235 34 246 29487 27903 35 221 31 233 34 234 34 237 32 252 27903 26254 31 220 27 232 29 237 30 240 29 256 26254 24542 23 224 23 230 25 242 27 242 25 255 24542 22770 19 222 21 227 23 243 26 244 25 256 22770 20936 18 222 19 222 21 239 27 250 25 263 20936 19035 19 223 19 223 20 240 25 253 23 267 19035 17101 19 228 20 236 21 246 21 255 19 272 17101 15234 17 241 19 243 20 250 16 264 15 280 15234 13532 13 247 16 246 17 256 12 282 11 293 13532 12013 11 237 12 250 13 264 10 304 8 308 12013 10660 9 226 9 256 9 276 9 322 7 330 10660 9450 7 216 6 266 7 293 8 340 7 358 9450 8370 5 199 2 263 4 311 7 360 7 016 8370 7407 3 176 1 172 1 324 6 015 7 030 7407 6553 3 133 2 133 1 100 6 019 7 039 6553 5795 3 115 2 123 2 096 5 015 6 042 5795 5112 3 107 2 115 2*097 6 012 5 038 5112 4505 3 097 2 106 2*093 6 015 6 029 4505 3996 3 086 3*098 3 096 6 021 7 025 3996 3605 4 080 3*086 3 097 5*030 8 021 3605 3335 5 073 3 079 3 096 5*032 9 021 3335 3171 5*073 2 077 3 097 5 034 9*020 3171 3077 4*058 2 078 3 099 4 035 6*019 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography