DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 78.0 - - - - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 262 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1218 - - 2943 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3480 - - 4891 - - - - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4280 - - 6005 - - - - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1079 - - 2347 - - - - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 379 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 26 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 209 - - - - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 10 - - - - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9878 - - -8688 - - - - - -8008 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14159 - - 14694 - - - - - 11086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16976 - - -15014 - - - - - -17473 ODpotential blCL - - - 21256 - - 21019 - - - - - 20551 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 23 - - - - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 78.0 - - - - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 24.3 - - - - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 76.1 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 23.2 - - - - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 262 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1218 - - 2943 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97719 13 272 17 277 21 289 97719 90444 10 282 6 249 11 295 90444 84858 6 249 5 253 3 029 84858 80208 7 172 7 238 7 024 80208 76206 6 138 4 177 7 054 76206 72684 8 127 6 168 5 069 72684 69506 6 104 9 148 4 239 69506 66588 2 093 6 116 4 204 66588 63885 3 336 3 049 3 334 63885 61280 4 356 0 230 9 322 61280 58589 21 348 13 011 7 313 58589 55794 25 322 23 325 15 341 55794 53111 22 325 31 338 29 340 53111 50695 36 351 42 351 37 351 50695 48517 50 351 48 349 47 356 48517 46519 57 348 54 349 52 358 46519 44674 63 347 59 350 56 001 44674 42957 66 347 63 354 60 007 42957 41352 67 348 66 358 65 009 41352 39845 66 353 66 005 66 014 39845 38426 65 001 63 007 64 018 38426 37059 58 002 59 015 62 025 37059 35686 50 009 58 020 63 037 35686 34283 57 020 57 032 61 044 34283 32850 63 029 56 042 58 057 32850 31373 61 038 54 054 61 067 31373 29834 56 037 58 065 64 072 29834 28230 50 032 58 063 65 072 28230 26559 46 036 54 052 65 073 26559 24823 43 045 50 050 66 076 24823 23025 40 048 48 058 66 080 23025 21160 38 047 47 065 57 081 21160 19223 34 042 42 070 43 079 19223 17257 29 033 34 067 34 081 17257 15367 25 030 28 061 30 086 15367 13647 19 035 24 061 29 088 13647 12116 13 054 19 063 28 087 12116 10750 10 074 14 069 24 085 10750 9529 5 096 9 068 19 082 9529 8436 7 185 1 075 16 079 8436 7462 14 197 5 225 14 075 7462 6596 16 198 4*224 12 063 6596 5828 16 193 2*217 11 041 5828 5136 14 189 2 213 11 022 5136 4522 10*190 2 207 10 011 4522 4007 6*193 3 206 9 012 4007 3611 5 186 3 208 8 025 3611 3339 4 184 3 209 8 040 3339 3172 4 183 3 207 7*047 3172 3078 3 181 3 208 5*046 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography