DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 55.3 - - - - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 137 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 353 - - 1763 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3846 - - - - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3413 - - 4823 - - - - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 876 - - 1346 - - - - - 536 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 272 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 022 - - 012 - - - - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -4 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4083 - - -2496 - - - - - -1473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7497 - - 7319 - - - - - 4551 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10195 - - -8886 - - - - - -8178 ODpotential blCL - - - 13608 - - 13709 - - - - - 11255 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 65 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 55.3 - - - - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.4 - - 34.1 - - - - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 54.3 - - - - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 33.0 - - - - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 137 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 353 - - 1763 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96336 26 298 28 290 28 305 96336 89226 16 313 13 294 18 288 89226 83753 8 320 8 293 8 297 83753 79207 8 347 4 275 9 334 79207 75287 6 306 6 313 7 345 75287 71806 2 337 5 279 12 330 71806 68637 8 356 3 247 11 301 68637 65712 15 335 8 332 5 289 65712 62978 20 314 11 325 7 336 62978 60298 20 295 11 310 11 314 60298 57486 20 301 17 318 14 325 57486 54567 18 299 22 308 19 345 54567 51786 17 336 22 326 18 323 51786 49294 32 346 27 345 23 018 49294 47061 33 330 33 002 37 039 47061 45042 27 352 48 004 71 023 45042 43218 35 016 50 009 76 015 43218 41557 64 015 69 024 78 023 41557 40034 69 011 85 025 89 034 40034 38619 62 021 84 024 102 039 38619 37288 76 039 82 028 108 041 37288 36002 96 045 86 033 110 043 36002 34700 94 040 90 035 106 044 34700 33354 86 028 90 035 99 043 33354 31970 85 024 86 031 96 041 31970 30531 81 022 81 029 94 041 30531 29028 74 020 74 027 91 043 29028 27461 71 020 70 028 82 044 27461 25830 68 022 67 028 71 034 25830 24136 61 014 65 026 65 025 24136 22384 59 360 65 023 60 022 22384 20571 59 357 62 018 54 022 20571 18692 50 004 58 011 51 026 18692 16782 43 010 51 005 47 030 16782 14945 44 006 49 360 40 033 14945 13276 41 009 43 004 31 038 13276 11789 35 020 35 017 24 041 11789 10466 29 030 27 029 20 040 10466 9285 20 035 20 032 17 038 9285 8231 12 040 13 023 14 036 8231 7292 6 048 11 002 13 033 7292 6460 4 060 11 355 13 030 6460 5720 4 070 9 000 14 024 5720 5055 5 054 7*006 16 018 5055 4464 7 041 6*011 17 015 4464 3970 10 029 6 012 16 014 3970 3590 10*026 6 012 15 016 3590 3327 8*024 5 012 13 018 3327 3168 6 022 5 011 10*021 3168 3077 4 021 4 012 6*022 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography