DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 92.8 - - 93.9 - - 83.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 317 - - 408 - - 212 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1320 - - 2493 - - 3680 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3763 - - 4695 - - 5367 - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4382 - - 5556 - - 6743 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 715 - - 1613 - - 1759 - - 1784 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 418 - - 384 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 18 - - 21 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 243 - - 286 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 9 - - 23 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7330 - - -8421 - - -6518 - - -6799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11712 - - 13978 - - 13261 - - 9878 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11780 - - -11943 - - -9707 - - -11709 ODpotential blCL - - - 16162 - - 17499 - - 16450 - - 14788 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 73 - - 76 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 92.8 - - 93.9 - - 83.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 42.2 - - 46.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 90.1 - - 92.1 - - 85.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.0 - - 41.3 - - 45.8 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 317 - - 408 - - 212 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1320 - - 2493 - - 3680 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99274 43 111 34 110 29 114 28 098 99274 91772 35 107 28 109 29 109 31 100 91772 86003 34 105 32 115 30 089 35 112 86003 81228 33 106 33 108 28 110 33 105 81228 77134 30 106 34 104 34 113 26 104 77134 73530 25 095 28 109 29 094 23 119 73530 70247 19 104 24 116 18 095 21 091 70247 67231 15 119 15 121 19 131 11 061 67231 64463 8 124 15 129 14 130 7 123 64463 61793 10 135 10 154 9 133 10 129 61793 59018 12 140 9 185 2 268 7 083 59018 56176 15 152 8 192 6 235 3 353 56176 53508 11 161 10 172 14 188 10 221 53508 51125 5 238 11 153 15 169 20 191 51125 48984 6 251 8 175 10 178 19 177 48984 47029 9 226 14 201 13 206 16 191 47029 45222 15 237 18 229 17 222 16 207 45222 43535 23 236 26 241 22 228 18 221 43535 41951 27 234 30 240 24 236 19 242 41951 40457 26 234 31 244 29 241 23 246 40457 39046 23 237 26 239 26 239 25 243 39046 37682 20 239 21 235 18 226 23 232 37682 36303 17 236 17 234 14 227 16 214 36303 34881 15 229 15 226 14 227 11 216 34881 33418 15 223 16 222 14 213 14 206 33418 31897 15 220 16 221 15 201 16 195 31897 30310 14 223 16 212 15 193 17 188 30310 28659 10 223 15 194 15 186 17 182 28659 26948 8 206 13 188 12 180 15 174 26948 25181 9 198 11 202 9 175 15 155 25181 23363 12 198 15 204 11 178 14 151 23363 21486 20 187 21 192 19 177 19 171 21486 19542 24 178 23 183 24 173 22 170 19542 17566 23 191 20 183 19 167 19 164 17566 15658 18 210 14 202 11 162 16 146 15658 13913 13 222 10 223 6 163 11 132 13913 12352 8 224 7 238 1 191 6 114 12352 10957 5 225 5 242 1 305 3 067 10957 9706 4 228 4 229 1 344 4 017 9706 8586 2 239 3 210 1 069 4 005 8586 7586 2 257 1 192 3*044 4 007 7586 6699 1 254 1 120 3*023 4 020 6699 5908 2 218 0*102 2 332 2 029 5908 5197 4 191 1*245 3 297 3 011 5197 4567 4*190 3 244 4 275 3 006 4567 4038 4*208 5 243 5 271 3 007 4038 3631 5 214 6 244 5 269 2 353 3631 3349 5 217 6 243 5 267 2 327 3349 3177 5 219 6 242 5 266 1*299 3177 3079 5 219 6 243 5 265 1*280 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography