DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.5 - - 85.4 - - 90.5 - - 88.3 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 315 - - 422 - - 245 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1653 - - 2708 - - 2101 - - 224 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4003 - - 4867 - - 4255 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 4716 - - 5771 - - 5164 - - 3287 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 312 - - 792 - - 1145 - - 1267 - - 606 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 334 - - 434 - - 333 - - 35 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 180 - - 207 - - 242 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4121 - - -8222 - - -7838 - - -5841 - - -2379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7201 - - 12938 - - 13610 - - 11006 - - 5667 sfcLCL ODpotential -12324 - - -15160 - - -12293 - - -9991 - - -8771 ODpotential blCL 15403 - - 19876 - - 18064 - - 15155 - - 12058 blCL maxRH 43 - - 44 - - 48 - - 42 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 70.5 - - 85.4 - - 90.5 - - 88.3 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.0 - - 39.7 - - 41.6 - - 50.8 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.6 - - 83.2 - - 87.9 - - 86.4 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 39.0 - - 40.8 - - 50.4 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 315 - - 422 - - 245 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1653 - - 2708 - - 2101 - - 224 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99346 39 105 32 110 35 104 29 115 34 101 99346 91840 39 110 33 109 31 116 29 109 30 107 91840 86047 32 102 32 111 30 116 31 107 33 105 86047 81252 28 102 31 114 27 113 31 100 36 106 81252 77123 23 102 27 110 25 116 25 100 32 100 77123 73489 18 111 21 106 22 117 19 109 24 093 73489 70222 18 121 18 112 17 107 20 123 15 098 70222 67232 20 129 15 123 14 119 17 116 12 124 67232 64468 16 120 13 134 14 137 12 123 11 134 64468 61799 13 078 14 140 14 149 7 134 9 137 61799 59037 7 053 11 140 10 167 3 187 4 094 59037 56202 6 161 5 192 11 190 11 218 2 288 56202 53516 5 197 5 212 7 196 11 196 8 219 53516 51110 13 270 1 072 6 172 9 195 13 208 51110 48954 19 276 10 289 5 241 8 229 12 228 48954 46989 23 271 19 272 14 274 14 263 13 251 46989 45172 28 271 27 273 21 281 18 274 16 265 45172 43480 30 269 29 269 26 279 21 275 19 269 43480 41891 31 264 29 262 27 271 24 268 21 271 41891 40393 31 260 29 257 27 263 25 265 21 270 40393 38982 32 258 30 259 29 260 26 263 21 268 38982 37622 33 257 29 259 29 261 26 258 21 265 37622 36247 33 255 29 258 28 260 27 255 21 264 36247 34828 31 256 26 261 25 261 26 254 20 261 34828 33369 29 262 17 268 19 261 21 253 18 260 33369 31854 27 265 13 280 13 258 16 253 13 256 31854 30274 22 260 15 278 11 261 10 254 9 249 30274 28631 19 257 13 265 9 248 7 239 8 238 28631 26925 14 250 10 250 7 223 7 219 10 225 26925 25159 8 236 6 222 5 197 5 182 10 209 25159 23334 5 218 4 195 3 161 5 124 12 180 23334 21447 4 201 4 216 5 218 5 129 11 153 21447 19494 8 195 12 202 16 214 8 197 9 135 19494 17514 9 197 15 194 20 207 14 199 9 162 17514 15610 9 207 16 215 18 209 16 198 13 181 15610 13873 9 219 19 229 19 223 16 210 14 195 13873 12319 11 233 19 232 19 231 16 225 12 213 12319 10926 11 239 17 234 18 234 15 233 12 228 10926 9676 11 238 14 238 15 237 12 235 11 234 9676 8557 9 233 12 240 11 237 8 231 10 232 8557 7558 9 223 10 235 8 228 3 191 8 221 7558 6673 9 212 10 221 6 192 3 116 7 192 6673 5886 9 192 10 204 6*188 1 102 5 158 5886 5179 11 174 10*183 7*193 2*244 3 111 5179 4551 11 162 8*174 8 202 6*243 0 001 4551 4026 10 156 7 177 8 207 7 242 5 255 4026 3623 8 170 7 181 8 211 8 242 7 249 3623 3345 6 196 7 184 8 214 8 241 7*249 3345 3176 5*213 7 186 8 214 8 241 7*249 3176 3079 2*235 6 186 7 215 7 241 5 250 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography