DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 83.7 - - 80.9 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 375 - - 200 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1222 - - 3909 - - 2011 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3651 - - 5765 - - 4131 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4284 - - 6972 - - 5074 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1036 - - 2873 - - 2221 - - 680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 475 - - 310 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 178 - - 237 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 14 - - 10 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4605 - - -3555 - - -5615 - - -3478 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8890 - - 10528 - - 10689 - - 6556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9155 - - -6959 - - -9840 - - -9891 ODpotential blCL - - - 13439 - - 13931 - - 14914 - - 12969 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 71 - - 59 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 83.7 - - 80.9 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.3 - - 48.1 - - 44.7 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 81.3 - - 79.4 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 46.9 - - 43.6 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 375 - - 200 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1222 - - 3909 - - 2011 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97977 13 223 10 250 4 237 13 193 97977 90519 12 192 10 248 13 248 2 302 90519 84796 7 180 8 196 13 259 4 339 84796 80070 8 123 13 179 7 258 5 343 80070 76019 6 080 7 163 1 178 3 353 76019 72450 3 057 3 103 2 079 2 282 72450 69230 1 138 5 300 8 347 3 046 69230 66275 4 113 6 275 7 308 4 354 66275 63535 1 003 5 260 5 261 5 291 63535 60878 4 257 6 244 8 232 9 264 60878 58107 10 262 10 254 11 237 13 248 58107 55244 17 255 16 248 17 240 18 242 55244 52517 20 237 23 231 24 230 25 231 52517 50067 24 230 26 230 27 229 28 226 50067 47882 31 231 33 231 31 231 30 225 47882 45926 37 231 41 226 39 231 38 228 45926 44157 41 231 44 222 45 223 47 219 44157 42526 39 231 40 222 42 222 43 213 42526 40999 38 230 38 225 38 225 36 215 40999 39559 35 230 34 226 35 223 33 213 39559 38200 33 231 31 225 32 220 32 211 38200 36889 30 231 29 220 31 218 31 211 36889 35560 27 231 27 219 30 217 30 211 35560 34187 23 232 25 217 29 215 30 210 34187 32774 21 234 24 217 29 215 30 209 32774 31304 22 232 24 214 28 214 30 208 31304 29769 22 232 24 210 27 212 28 207 29769 28168 20 231 23 205 26 209 25 209 28168 26501 20 231 23 203 24 206 23 214 26501 24771 21 229 22 207 23 204 22 214 24771 22980 23 224 21 212 21 204 22 210 22980 21124 22 215 22 211 21 205 22 205 21124 19202 22 200 22 206 20 208 21 201 19202 17251 18 194 21 208 17 211 18 200 17251 15372 17 190 17 208 13 215 14 190 15372 13658 16 184 13 195 12 189 14 172 13658 12129 15 181 14 180 15 175 22 170 12129 10765 15 176 17 175 16 180 25 168 10765 9546 16 171 17 173 15 181 21 159 9546 8454 17 158 15 167 13 181 14 136 8454 7478 18 150 13*157 11 183 11 115 7478 6610 17 149 10*153 8 186 10 113 6610 5838 14 148 8 161 7 205 8 125 5838 5143 11 146 8 169 8*230 5 151 5143 4525 8*151 8 184 10*237 5 198 4525 4008 5*177 8 192 11 237 8 227 4008 3612 5 191 8 198 11 237 11 234 3612 3339 5 197 8 200 11 237 11 237 3339 3173 5 200 8 202 10 237 9*239 3173 3078 4 202 7 203 9 237 6*241 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography