DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 47.0 - - 47.5 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 44 - - 8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 159 - - 16 - - 130 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3219 - - 3077 - - 3190 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1641 - - 1846 - - 1676 - - 1775 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 80 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 12 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 181 - - 173 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 142 - - 0 - - 113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - 80 - - -45 - - -104 ODpotential blCL - - - 3077 - - 3139 - - 3122 - - 3294 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 47.0 - - 47.5 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 46.7 - - 47.5 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 46.9 - - 47.6 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 46.6 - - 47.6 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 44 - - 8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 159 - - 16 - - 130 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 103 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96097 20 303 22 313 21 298 23 306 96097 89022 15 326 11 298 11 299 20 302 89022 83552 10 306 12 296 12 324 9 311 83552 79001 12 282 16 287 20 299 10 294 79001 75081 13 280 13 275 16 278 10 274 75081 71598 15 275 15 269 15 270 19 272 71598 68420 19 248 26 241 30 239 25 238 68420 65491 19 237 23 234 26 234 17 235 65491 62766 27 253 18 246 20 241 24 243 62766 60117 43 240 25 248 37 230 34 224 60117 57341 52 230 46 245 42 239 42 232 57341 54471 62 233 73 238 71 228 84 231 54471 51742 74 229 87 224 74 220 91 215 51742 49248 77 234 83 226 78 235 78 219 49248 46982 92 236 96 234 102 239 93 238 46982 44927 107 228 111 225 109 234 123 238 44927 43055 108 223 117 220 113 227 131 229 43055 41334 108 220 114 221 116 220 123 224 41334 39732 118 220 125 218 117 212 112 221 39732 38241 129 216 133 212 109 209 108 224 38241 36860 140 214 128 210 99 211 105 224 36860 35549 138 216 114 209 96 214 100 224 35549 34243 117 218 101 208 93 210 94 222 34243 32909 90 217 91 209 91 205 89 219 32909 31543 78 215 89 212 89 204 91 217 31543 30123 76 217 85 216 84 211 97 216 30123 28636 74 218 81 219 76 217 100 218 28636 27089 72 218 69 221 66 217 98 226 27089 25482 59 219 62 213 57 212 81 230 25482 23818 51 216 62 205 59 207 64 230 23818 22097 49 214 62 206 69 207 52 222 22097 20317 47 214 57 212 74 209 61 211 20317 18472 43 214 51 217 70 211 71 213 18472 16595 41 211 46 217 61 208 63 218 16595 14789 41 208 43 212 53 204 51 216 14789 13145 44 203 43 206 52 200 46 211 13145 11681 46 199 45 202 53 198 45 210 11681 10377 46 197 48 200 53 196 44 211 10377 9213 44 196 52 200 51 196 42 210 9213 8174 42 198 53 199 47 194 41 205 8174 7250 41 198 50 196 45 190 42 198 7250 6431 39 199 45 192 43 186 45 194 6431 5701 37 202 41 189 41 183 46 191 5701 5044 35 205 38 186 40 181 45 190 5044 4459 33 206 35 185 37 179 43 188 4459 3968 30 206 31 184 33 178 38 186 3968 3589 27 206 27 183 28 176 32 184 3589 3327 23 206 24*182 24 175 27*183 3327 3168 20*206 20*181 21*175 23*183 3168 3077 12*207 13 180 12*173 13 182 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography