DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 68.8 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 489 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2205 - - 4363 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4469 - - 6200 - - - - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5266 - - 7424 - - - - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1231 - - 1058 - - - - - 1266 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 398 - - 535 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 357 - - - - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4225 - - -2770 - - - - - -3188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9491 - - 10194 - - - - - 6265 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10657 - - -9317 - - - - - -9758 ODpotential blCL - - - 15923 - - 16741 - - - - - 12835 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 42 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 68.8 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 34.6 - - - - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 66.2 - - - - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 33.5 - - - - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 489 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2205 - - 4363 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98180 7 233 10 289 4 298 98180 90707 7 248 9 299 6 316 90707 84966 3 299 4 243 12 297 84966 80237 10 299 5 280 6 338 80237 76171 8 262 11 274 12 356 76171 72576 8 286 8 245 15 334 72576 69317 2 314 7 251 19 312 69317 66320 15 334 7 304 20 288 66320 63533 27 293 12 270 20 278 63533 60811 32 278 23 278 23 290 60811 57955 32 284 36 283 28 293 57955 54991 38 280 46 286 33 292 54991 52177 45 275 52 286 38 300 52177 49672 50 276 51 282 46 300 49672 47454 49 278 45 287 44 294 47454 45463 52 291 53 295 45 304 45463 43664 60 287 51 294 54 299 43664 42011 54 283 42 293 42 292 42011 40468 43 302 41 331 30 331 40468 39024 57 323 66 339 59 347 39024 37672 74 322 72 333 71 339 37672 36372 85 315 70 321 68 332 36372 35056 90 310 65 313 64 330 35056 33695 88 308 61 309 61 330 33695 32293 84 308 60 308 57 329 32293 30836 81 314 57 309 53 327 30836 29315 77 320 54 313 50 329 29315 27729 71 322 53 318 49 332 27729 26078 65 324 53 322 47 332 26078 24366 59 333 53 322 48 329 24366 22594 58 344 48 323 51 333 22594 20760 52 342 38 324 49 333 20760 18861 41 328 33 326 40 327 18861 16938 35 325 31 329 31 320 16938 15090 31 333 28 337 26 319 15090 13408 28 341 26 348 22 324 13408 11909 24 346 25 355 20 330 11909 10572 20 348 21 354 18 337 10572 9376 17 349 16 357 17 344 9376 8307 15 349 14*004 18 349 8307 7354 15 348 14*004 20 351 7354 6510 17 347 15 003 21 354 6510 5759 17*345 15 000 22 358 5759 5085 17*343 15 357 23 359 5085 4486 17 340 16 355 23 354 4486 3985 17 338 15 353 20 345 3985 3599 16 336 15 351 17 337 3599 3332 15 335 14 350 15 335 3332 3170 14 334 13 350 13*333 3170 3077 11 333 11 348 7*331 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography