DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 65.8 - - 70.0 - - 65.9 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 13 - - 157 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 241 - - 1788 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3868 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 3302 - - 4849 - - 3078 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 1182 - - 1631 - - 2251 - - 642 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 75 - - 274 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 13 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 191 - - 202 - - 202 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 5 - - 11 - - 3 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6132 - - -6898 - - -6893 - - -5910 - - -5593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9210 - - 10201 - - 11743 - - 8989 - - 8671 sfcLCL ODpotential -15332 - - -13509 - - -12912 - - -11173 - - -13458 ODpotential blCL 18410 - - 16811 - - 17761 - - 14251 - - 16536 blCL maxRH 23 - - 24 - - 26 - - 33 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 65.8 - - 70.0 - - 65.9 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.0 - - 32.4 - - 29.5 - - 37.6 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.3 - - 65.7 - - 68.8 - - 66.3 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 31.1 - - 28.4 - - 36.8 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 13 - - 157 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 241 - - 1788 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96812 39 289 41 288 54 291 44 289 55 293 96812 89656 25 294 32 297 33 292 33 290 36 298 89656 84165 20 297 24 300 28 297 25 306 29 304 84165 79608 19 299 23 303 23 296 27 308 30 313 79608 75651 20 304 23 283 23 296 26 295 31 303 75651 72136 22 302 19 267 27 289 27 291 36 295 72136 68950 26 291 18 272 27 283 27 285 34 291 68950 66024 27 280 21 268 27 275 23 285 26 282 66024 63329 26 259 26 253 28 273 23 281 21 277 63329 60734 18 265 26 249 31 264 25 261 26 247 60734 58041 31 287 30 263 33 252 32 251 30 247 58041 55272 38 268 34 254 38 245 44 257 44 251 55272 52641 35 248 36 240 41 239 51 246 45 245 52641 50255 24 272 36 266 39 259 47 251 45 255 50255 48094 46 293 48 278 50 269 50 257 54 261 48094 46124 59 289 52 275 52 271 64 269 67 266 46124 44312 59 284 54 273 57 272 70 269 77 265 44312 42631 50 279 49 269 61 269 63 263 68 259 42631 41060 32 280 42 262 49 260 55 263 58 257 41060 39588 24 284 38 260 39 250 43 255 58 262 39588 38203 23 296 35 257 37 248 38 244 49 257 38203 36866 24 307 31 262 37 250 34 245 39 241 36866 35513 26 314 29 270 37 254 33 248 36 239 35513 34117 30 321 26 281 35 262 32 251 35 242 34117 32683 33 325 24 290 34 267 30 252 37 237 32683 31194 32 329 21 295 27 268 30 251 38 234 31194 29639 22 338 16 298 19 259 26 240 32 226 29639 28019 12 341 7 294 14 235 22 228 28 224 28019 26331 11 334 2 318 11 210 18 222 25 226 26331 24582 12 350 5 007 6 176 11 189 20 217 24582 22780 5 008 2 056 8 151 11 170 15 190 22780 20930 5 129 5 141 12 157 15 175 16 187 20930 19021 8 131 9 152 15 158 19 169 17 191 19021 17084 4 135 9 165 13 165 16 174 14 198 17084 15219 4 135 7 174 11 177 12 187 11 210 15219 13521 4 128 7 183 10 186 10 201 9 216 13521 12006 2 151 7 197 9 193 9 200 8 202 12006 10654 3 204 9 202 8 194 8 191 10 175 10654 9445 6 205 11 201 11 187 10 182 15 171 9445 8365 11 193 14 191 14 181 14 180 18 172 8365 7403 16 185 17 185 18 182 17 182 18 172 7403 6550 20 181 19 187 19 185 18 185 16 173 6550 5792 20 181 19 193 19 191 17 188 14 176 5792 5110 20 184 19 200 16*196 15 188 13 182 5110 4504 19 185 19 202 14*198 12 190 12 186 4504 3997 18 178 17 201 14 202 10 195 10 188 3997 3605 15 165 15 197 13 203 9 199 9 187 3605 3335 11 148 11*193 12 205 8 200 6 183 3335 3172 8*132 9*192 11 205 7*202 4*175 3172 3078 5*091 6 191 9 206 5*202 1*121 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography