DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 86.1 - - 83.6 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 417 - - 241 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1652 - - 4188 - - 2301 - - 293 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3986 - - 6015 - - 4399 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4715 - - 7251 - - 5363 - - 3356 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2648 - - 1882 - - 1996 - - 552 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 502 - - 343 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 222 - - 242 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - -15 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4458 - - -3958 - - -5437 - - -2770 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9173 - - 11209 - - 10800 - - 6126 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10063 - - -8533 - - -10083 - - -8904 ODpotential blCL - - - 14778 - - 15784 - - 15446 - - 12260 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 35 - - 33 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 86.1 - - 83.6 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.4 - - 47.5 - - 46.8 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 83.5 - - 81.9 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 46.4 - - 46.0 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 417 - - 241 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1652 - - 4188 - - 2301 - - 293 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98690 23 110 29 104 22 134 13 094 98690 91184 18 115 22 097 16 109 17 109 91184 85440 15 122 15 099 17 084 19 089 85440 80721 15 121 10 106 18 067 20 080 80721 76670 17 120 11 139 11 079 16 085 76670 73085 20 104 14 138 11 089 13 091 73085 69838 14 099 13 106 18 098 14 097 69838 66855 13 120 6 092 14 085 13 088 66855 64100 10 105 8 162 2 087 13 034 64100 61449 10 110 6 183 9 206 9 352 61449 58698 9 078 7 143 7 211 3 272 58698 55850 5 333 3 076 5 211 3 275 55850 53132 4 301 4 283 8 237 10 277 53132 50683 10 290 9 287 13 249 17 265 50683 48480 19 284 17 289 17 266 20 254 48480 46468 25 279 23 278 22 272 22 264 46468 44621 25 277 25 272 24 271 25 271 44621 42921 25 282 27 274 27 275 28 282 42921 41344 26 289 29 278 31 281 31 288 41344 39869 25 293 29 278 32 286 31 291 39869 38480 24 294 27 281 32 291 32 295 38480 37142 25 295 26 288 31 294 33 298 37142 35794 24 299 26 296 29 294 33 299 35794 34406 22 305 24 298 26 295 30 297 34406 32979 18 313 22 301 23 293 28 295 32979 31497 16 314 18 293 22 290 26 295 31497 29948 19 297 16 281 21 292 25 294 29948 28332 22 293 19 280 21 289 23 292 28332 26651 23 293 19 282 18 285 20 287 26651 24908 17 297 17 284 15 284 18 282 24908 23105 12 295 14 286 13 286 14 278 23105 21235 10 285 12 285 12 288 13 277 21235 19295 10 269 12 274 10 282 12 273 19295 17328 12 246 13 252 11 258 12 257 17328 15436 15 219 16 228 14 234 13 248 15436 13713 17 206 19 215 16 220 12 238 13713 12176 16 206 18 214 15 212 11 222 12176 10804 13 209 14 214 12 204 10 203 10804 9579 10 211 9 209 8 189 8 161 9579 8484 7 217 6 202 5 166 10 118 8484 7506 6 220 5*209 2 157 10 099 7506 6635 6 208 6*213 2 229 8 093 6635 5859 7 195 7 217 5*249 5 099 5859 5160 7*189 8 222 7*247 2 154 5160 4538 7*190 9 223 9 244 4 223 4538 4018 6 199 10 224 10 242 9 233 4018 3618 6 204 10 225 10 241 10*237 3618 3342 6 209 10 225 10 241 10*238 3342 3175 6 210 9 226 10 240 9 239 3175 3079 6 211 8 226 8 240 6 241 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography