DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 81.8 - - 82.5 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 371 - - 177 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1850 - - 3890 - - 4186 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4096 - - 5744 - - 5667 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4912 - - 6952 - - 7248 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 984 - - 1216 - - 1484 - - 2329 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 472 - - 380 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 49 - - 30 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 188 - - 225 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 25 - - 28 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4258 - - -4248 - - -4145 - - -5599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9171 - - 11201 - - 11394 - - 8678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10512 - - -8921 - - -8368 - - -11642 ODpotential blCL - - - 15424 - - 15873 - - 15616 - - 14720 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 66 - - 70 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 81.8 - - 82.5 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 43.3 - - 43.2 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 79.5 - - 81.1 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 42.1 - - 42.1 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 371 - - 177 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1850 - - 3890 - - 4186 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97739 13 249 12 273 10 282 11 230 97739 90287 8 265 7 252 14 278 5 240 90287 84595 6 233 7 243 14 288 3 321 84595 79904 1 092 7 229 10 294 6 004 79904 75875 6 048 4 275 7 302 9 003 75875 72322 8 013 7 353 4 355 6 346 72322 69120 8 345 4 350 7 336 11 341 69120 66182 9 330 2 307 10 311 10 336 66182 63452 9 315 1 319 7 290 5 278 63452 60802 7 281 7 297 5 303 6 262 60802 58049 6 236 14 259 9 273 9 254 58049 55206 6 228 15 238 15 267 13 272 55206 52502 9 262 15 241 19 257 18 267 52502 50076 14 278 13 243 17 247 19 252 50076 47914 23 274 21 264 19 258 23 253 47914 45969 30 267 32 266 29 263 32 256 45969 44203 33 272 37 266 38 262 41 255 44203 42573 36 277 39 270 39 262 41 252 42573 41045 35 277 38 270 37 262 38 250 41045 39602 31 274 34 266 36 261 36 250 39602 38240 28 271 31 262 33 261 33 252 38240 36925 28 270 30 261 32 260 31 253 36925 35593 27 270 29 261 30 257 30 252 35593 34216 26 270 28 262 29 254 30 252 34216 32797 25 270 27 263 28 253 29 252 32797 31323 24 267 27 262 27 252 27 253 31323 29780 23 261 25 258 26 251 25 256 29780 28171 23 255 23 248 24 248 24 256 28171 26498 21 250 22 241 22 243 22 253 26498 24768 17 243 19 233 20 234 23 241 24768 22983 14 235 16 224 19 224 23 228 22983 21136 11 222 15 214 16 222 19 224 21136 19219 9 209 13 207 12 218 12 224 19219 17268 6 204 9 206 7 201 7 207 17268 15388 4 230 5 205 6 164 6 162 15388 13671 5 215 4 194 8 179 7 153 13671 12138 11 191 11 192 14 191 8 186 12138 10769 17 180 18 187 19 192 14 209 10769 9545 20 173 20 182 21 191 20 211 9545 8452 17 167 19 177 13 181 21 210 8452 7479 11 158 7*157 5*164 17 204 7479 6614 6 148 3*146 4*162 11 195 6614 5845 2 154 2 147 2 177 7 196 5845 5152 0*230 2 170 2 218 2 182 5152 4535 1*272 2 202 3 246 3 063 4535 4017 2 269 2 221 3 254 5 046 4017 3618 2 264 2 225 3 256 6 039 3618 3343 3 260 2 230 3 258 5 035 3343 3175 3 258 2 230 3 260 3 029 3175 3078 3 258 2 231 3 258 2*018 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography