DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 64.3 - - 60.4 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 95 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 675 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3737 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 449 - - 933 - - 833 - - 252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 170 - - 11 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 026 - - 005 - - 044 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -4 - - -2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4367 - - -5111 - - -3583 - - -3415 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7444 - - 8849 - - 6661 - - 6492 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13252 - - -13359 - - -11142 - - -12976 ODpotential blCL - - - 16329 - - 17096 - - 14220 - - 16053 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 74 - - 49 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 64.3 - - 60.4 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 36.7 - - 42.2 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 63.5 - - 60.6 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 35.5 - - 41.6 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 95 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 675 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96148 11 075 4 310 3 006 4 106 96148 89166 11 047 4 341 4 092 7 106 89166 83739 5 034 13 355 8 344 6 044 83739 79205 13 332 12 319 12 345 10 342 79205 75299 9 319 8 298 7 360 5 335 75299 71823 20 020 8 324 15 349 13 344 71823 68663 26 350 17 333 22 336 23 341 68663 65782 23 328 19 319 21 330 27 324 65782 63128 26 322 22 315 26 315 27 308 63128 60555 34 322 33 323 29 312 26 308 60555 57863 44 316 45 316 36 309 34 305 57863 55063 47 315 54 302 47 298 43 301 55063 52398 56 318 62 298 51 300 45 303 52398 50001 63 310 68 301 64 302 61 301 50001 47844 61 305 66 297 64 297 65 298 47844 45880 59 300 58 294 61 293 65 296 45880 44080 56 297 52 301 53 294 57 291 44080 42421 52 297 50 305 45 295 49 285 42421 40882 54 306 52 298 43 292 47 280 40882 39439 60 307 51 297 45 293 47 279 39439 38076 58 302 49 299 49 283 51 273 38076 36757 56 302 47 300 52 280 52 268 36757 35419 55 302 49 296 52 279 55 264 35419 34034 56 299 52 293 54 276 58 261 34034 32609 57 296 56 291 53 277 58 263 32609 31132 58 296 59 291 54 281 54 269 31132 29594 59 296 57 291 57 284 55 272 29594 27994 58 299 54 293 58 284 58 274 27994 26330 55 300 53 295 55 284 53 276 26330 24606 54 301 53 296 51 285 48 274 24606 22825 52 304 53 297 48 287 48 273 22825 20981 48 307 46 298 44 287 48 279 20981 19065 42 308 38 295 40 286 46 284 19065 17117 39 306 35 291 37 288 44 285 17117 15239 38 303 35 294 38 294 41 285 15239 13527 35 304 34 298 39 300 37 289 13527 12002 30 306 31 300 36 304 33 295 12002 10643 24 308 25 302 30 305 27 298 10643 9432 21 311 20 304 24 305 22 298 9432 8353 18 313 17 306 19 306 18 295 8353 7393 14 316 15 311 15 309 13 292 7393 6542 12 320 13 318 13 314 11 292 6542 5785 11 325 12 328 11 323 9 295 5785 5105 11 332 12 341 8 333 7 304 5105 4500 10 337 12 354 8 353 6 319 4500 3993 10 343 11*000 8 009 4 331 3993 3603 10 351 7*005 6 022 4 347 3603 3334 8 001 7 005 4 038 3 012 3334 3171 6 008 6 006 3*043 3 033 3171 3077 3*026 5 005 2*044 3*046 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography