DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.3 - - 83.8 - - 88.2 - - 83.3 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 259 - - 361 - - 165 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3303 - - 6286 - - 2254 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 5157 - - 7611 - - 4212 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 6365 - - 9349 - - 5316 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 377 - - 2141 - - 2085 - - 4611 - - 594 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 393 - - 545 - - 299 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 22 - - 43 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 088 - - 185 - - 237 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 14 - - 43 - - 20 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6706 - - -6367 - - -4002 - - -5812 - - -3730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9786 - - 12732 - - 13352 - - 11129 - - 6809 sfcLCL ODpotential -13516 - - -10649 - - -7262 - - -9646 - - -9379 ODpotential blCL 16595 - - 17014 - - 16611 - - 14962 - - 12458 blCL maxRH 58 - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 260 - - 120 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.3 - - 83.8 - - 88.2 - - 83.3 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 38.7 - - 39.9 - - 45.1 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.1 - - 82.0 - - 85.7 - - 82.0 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.2 - - 38.1 - - 39.3 - - 44.8 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 259 - - 361 - - 165 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3303 - - 6286 - - 2254 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 21 - - 22 - - 21 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98145 17 053 17 087 18 141 6 138 4 087 98145 90767 14 101 16 083 15 123 12 123 6 108 90767 85088 18 097 14 080 11 091 16 099 11 080 85088 80400 14 077 12 100 10 077 14 085 14 075 80400 76359 10 072 13 097 12 092 13 083 15 086 76359 72796 8 099 11 090 14 099 14 096 12 092 72796 69586 10 098 10 100 12 102 12 084 11 096 69586 66642 13 100 9 104 9 103 9 060 12 097 66642 63916 11 093 9 099 9 095 7 064 9 096 63916 61293 3 083 5 087 7 074 8 095 8 099 61293 58576 4 148 6 145 4 209 1 006 4 056 58576 55758 3 048 5 169 8 209 12 246 8 315 55758 53067 10 322 1 279 6 201 16 233 17 260 53067 50650 12 279 9 251 10 222 17 223 20 246 50650 48483 11 255 11 240 14 231 13 228 21 238 48483 46506 17 252 15 252 15 247 18 241 22 238 46506 44676 24 252 19 250 19 252 24 241 25 232 44676 42971 26 242 22 237 23 243 28 229 26 222 42971 41377 26 230 26 226 28 235 29 227 22 231 41377 39883 27 227 27 219 33 227 31 237 25 244 39883 38484 28 229 27 217 36 221 42 236 50 214 38484 37144 31 230 25 218 43 220 57 222 53 210 37144 35788 34 230 24 215 54 221 54 217 50 206 35788 34385 32 232 24 213 57 224 40 213 41 203 34385 32941 28 233 23 212 48 230 25 224 22 202 32941 31446 23 231 22 207 31 230 25 235 17 191 31446 29885 20 225 20 198 19 205 15 239 7 226 29885 28262 17 216 20 191 18 198 10 196 3 166 28262 26576 15 206 20 200 18 206 8 187 10 145 26576 24830 14 199 18 207 18 206 7 182 9 135 24830 23027 13 181 14 195 17 200 9 177 8 117 23027 21166 11 175 13 192 15 187 11 168 10 104 21166 19239 12 163 12 207 11 188 9 152 13 108 19239 17286 10 169 11 219 7 203 8 115 18 117 17286 15408 5 203 10 225 3 239 9 084 19 124 15408 13695 5 246 10 230 4 253 11 071 15 132 13695 12166 4 253 9 223 4 216 8 074 14 143 12166 10798 4 237 8 207 5 191 5 061 14 148 10798 9571 5 215 7 189 4*192 4 013 12 144 9571 8473 6 205 6 166 3*197 4 316 8 122 8473 7493 6 192 5 138 3 197 6 287 6 087 7493 6625 6 178 4*119 3 193 8 268 6 045 6625 5851 6 173 4*110 2 187 11*256 7 009 5851 5155 6 165 4 097 2 178 13*244 9 341 5155 4536 5 149 3 086 2 168 15 239 12 322 4536 4017 4 141 3 080 2 166 15 237 14 312 4017 3617 2 126 3 075 2 156 15 235 12 304 3617 3342 3 046 3 072 1 157 15 234 10 300 3342 3174 5*029 3 074 2 156 14 234 7*303 3174 3079 4*030 2 072 1 161 11 233 4*319 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography