DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 49.6 - - 53.1 - - 52.1 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 10 - - 100 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 960 - - 2413 - - 872 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 4115 - - 3060 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4020 - - 5474 - - 3933 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1333 - - 2433 - - 1723 - - 2491 - - 2118 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 94 - - 269 - - 81 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 223 - - 202 - - 145 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 9 - - -9 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 943 - - 1390 - - 568 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3077 - - 4085 - - 3365 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -2992 - - 284 - - 183 - - -451 - - -961 ODpotential blCL 6069 - - 3736 - - 5291 - - 4384 - - 4038 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 85 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 50 - - 30 - - 90 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 49.6 - - 53.1 - - 52.1 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.8 - - 47.7 - - 45.8 - - 47.8 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.1 - - 49.5 - - 52.3 - - 52.0 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.1 - - 47.3 - - 44.5 - - 47.2 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 10 - - 100 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 960 - - 2413 - - 872 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 40 - - 99 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96375 17 295 18 298 22 292 25 313 19 293 96375 89388 2 316 3 099 13 335 3 323 15 009 89388 83963 11 036 7 042 4 014 8 354 9 004 83963 79414 8 051 13 354 5 102 3 341 4 063 79414 75490 7 060 2 281 5 028 1 017 7 043 75490 72018 7 021 8 104 3 307 4 038 7 016 72018 68865 5 320 12 032 4 185 4 033 0 150 68865 65974 3 001 9 064 4 170 2 230 9 084 65974 63288 6 262 2 207 4 226 9 221 6 264 63288 60682 9 185 11 217 13 218 14 198 12 217 60682 57950 15 234 12 249 13 232 16 210 14 207 57950 55085 34 227 33 218 28 214 28 210 30 199 55085 52325 42 231 35 217 34 214 32 208 32 198 52325 49824 49 226 41 219 33 214 31 211 32 202 49824 47575 50 218 43 214 36 222 39 215 35 203 47575 45532 49 220 46 216 46 223 43 214 39 204 45532 43654 52 222 53 216 51 219 46 209 43 205 43654 41914 64 221 57 214 55 215 50 209 49 209 41914 40297 80 219 62 215 62 215 59 212 65 210 40297 38794 94 219 74 215 75 217 72 214 79 206 38794 37398 105 217 89 217 88 217 89 215 94 205 37398 36069 110 214 102 218 101 216 105 210 113 203 36069 34734 111 212 112 216 112 215 118 207 125 199 34734 33358 110 209 116 216 114 215 122 207 125 199 33358 31940 106 206 116 215 112 216 115 209 120 201 31940 30472 105 203 114 213 105 216 107 212 111 202 30472 28945 105 206 111 212 96 212 97 212 100 203 28945 27363 104 210 104 210 92 208 87 209 88 202 27363 25729 101 214 99 208 89 208 79 206 77 202 25729 24042 88 215 93 209 85 211 75 206 68 199 24042 22301 73 209 77 214 78 214 70 208 65 193 22301 20496 66 204 68 215 62 203 62 208 65 196 20496 18622 60 203 64 211 53 198 57 208 57 201 18622 16721 58 196 66 206 48 203 49 206 40 203 16721 14898 54 190 64 202 46 202 48 187 31 181 14898 13241 47 186 58 192 48 196 48 180 38 169 13241 11763 44 186 54 185 55 192 45 183 40 162 11763 10441 43 188 49 184 52 192 40 182 40 155 10441 9261 40 192 41 183 39 194 35 180 34 156 9261 8210 37 196 31 190 26 199 32 182 28 164 8210 7276 35 203 22 204 18 201 24 185 23 171 7276 6447 33 212 15 221 13 197 16 182 17 174 6447 5712 30 222 12 229 10*194 9 167 10 167 5712 5050 25 233 11 227 9*195 7 153 5 132 5050 4463 19 246 11*225 8 199 7 151 6 109 4463 3971 13 260 11*223 8 203 7*147 6 100 3971 3591 9 271 10 223 8 206 6*145 5 098 3591 3328 6 270 10 223 8 207 6 146 4 095 3328 3168 5*268 8 222 7 208 5 145 4 094 3168 3077 2*263 6 222 6 208 4 146 2*093 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography