DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.8 - - 82.3 - - 85.7 - - 86.9 - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 214 - - 175 - - 157 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1310 - - 4657 - - 6287 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 3662 - - 6008 - - 7174 - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 4373 - - 7719 - - 9350 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 473 - - 3368 - - 2921 - - 2209 - - 5803 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 276 - - 391 - - 417 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 15 - - 70 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 238 - - 256 - - 224 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - 17 - - 44 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3314 - - -4716 - - -2801 - - -1227 - - -6026 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6393 - - 9089 - - 10520 - - 10578 - - 9106 sfcLCL ODpotential -8159 - - -7545 - - -5498 - - -3192 - - -8957 ODpotential blCL 11238 - - 11918 - - 13217 - - 12542 - - 12036 blCL maxRH 101 - - 96 - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 50 - - 70 - - 110 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 71.8 - - 82.3 - - 85.7 - - 86.9 - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.5 - - 53.1 - - 50.1 - - 51.0 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.6 - - 80.7 - - 84.3 - - 85.6 - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.3 - - 52.1 - - 49.3 - - 50.4 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 214 - - 175 - - 157 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1310 - - 4657 - - 6287 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 104 - - 85 - - 101 - - 98 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99240 46 096 38 114 33 103 34 101 42 094 99240 91737 41 102 34 108 30 106 39 110 33 106 91737 85987 33 102 29 097 31 114 32 108 35 102 85987 81222 23 104 23 103 27 112 23 103 31 095 81222 77104 19 097 21 110 25 111 20 103 25 092 77104 73462 19 095 19 117 22 103 23 104 18 093 73462 70183 17 106 12 111 15 101 20 104 17 106 70183 67192 18 122 16 136 14 122 17 105 20 116 67192 64430 14 113 21 133 12 153 7 134 16 120 64430 61748 13 128 27 147 25 167 16 184 5 188 61748 58947 17 146 26 157 28 159 20 181 10 195 58947 56050 22 170 27 168 22 175 19 177 17 174 56050 53309 33 176 30 176 29 190 25 200 20 184 53309 50870 41 165 37 177 44 189 42 200 30 204 50870 48695 23 194 40 169 45 184 53 184 43 201 48695 46722 35 212 35 175 42 180 50 180 46 191 46722 44910 42 206 37 190 42 178 45 180 39 185 44910 43229 44 202 42 194 44 181 41 184 38 189 43229 41656 46 198 45 194 46 184 42 190 38 188 41656 40170 48 194 46 191 46 187 41 192 39 184 40170 38765 49 194 56 191 52 193 43 186 37 182 38765 37408 50 196 64 190 58 189 49 178 37 178 37408 36036 52 197 59 187 60 183 53 176 43 174 36036 34620 56 196 57 187 60 185 58 173 48 172 34620 33164 59 198 56 190 57 189 55 173 49 174 33164 31654 56 203 53 194 48 187 50 182 51 171 31654 30076 49 206 49 193 48 183 48 178 49 173 30076 28431 37 196 43 190 48 181 46 177 46 180 28431 26725 32 179 34 184 44 183 43 177 41 182 26725 24960 30 168 32 173 31 181 39 176 36 182 24960 23141 29 167 30 166 22 168 36 179 33 186 23141 21263 24 177 24 178 22 166 27 189 25 197 21263 19324 20 184 22 185 20 175 15 189 19 203 19324 17359 19 177 20 195 17 193 12 209 12 227 17359 15469 11 162 18 200 16 201 10 216 7 252 15469 13746 4 167 12 196 13 193 8 202 5 240 13746 12208 1 261 5 185 9 171 6 177 4 214 12208 10834 1 313 2 167 5 152 5 101 5 154 10834 9605 2 329 2 160 1 175 5*075 9 122 9605 8506 2 006 2 177 2*264 5*077 8 104 8506 7526 3 062 3 188 2*276 3 082 7 081 7526 6654 4 078 4 191 3 272 1 105 7 062 6654 5878 4 097 4 198 4 264 1 236 7 045 5878 5177 2 141 4 209 5 258 3 242 6 033 5177 4554 2 225 4*226 6 253 4 243 5 022 4554 4030 5 247 4*236 6 250 4 243 4 012 4030 3626 7 255 5 239 6 248 4 244 2 358 3626 3347 7 256 5 239 6 246 4 243 2 329 3347 3177 5*266 4 239 6 246 4 242 2 307 3177 3079 2*300 4 237 6 246 4 244 1*291 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography