DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 88.6 - - 88.1 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 457 - - 276 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2320 - - 3982 - - 3685 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4527 - - 5877 - - 5473 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5382 - - 7044 - - 6748 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 851 - - 917 - - 1091 - - 1781 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 506 - - 417 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 97 - - 56 - - 24 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 341 - - 033 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 32 - - 26 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6797 - - -6802 - - -5956 - - -7178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12180 - - 13846 - - 12705 - - 10257 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14002 - - -12801 - - -11598 - - -14370 ODpotential blCL - - - 19384 - - 19845 - - 18346 - - 17449 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 27 - - 33 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 88.6 - - 88.1 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 38.7 - - 43.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 85.9 - - 86.2 - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 37.8 - - 42.6 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 457 - - 276 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2320 - - 3982 - - 3685 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99364 44 097 42 111 40 106 37 105 99364 91881 28 105 33 111 30 093 40 092 91881 86133 34 121 31 112 30 106 32 087 86133 81357 39 116 34 121 32 119 26 102 81357 77226 31 106 32 116 26 123 25 110 77226 73572 20 097 24 099 25 111 24 112 73572 70277 19 113 23 098 23 111 24 113 70277 67270 23 125 16 116 20 114 15 115 67270 64503 18 134 21 150 13 118 17 115 64503 61830 16 144 20 154 12 157 13 122 61830 59053 16 154 15 173 14 177 10 156 59053 56197 13 183 19 192 20 196 16 194 56197 53499 17 207 20 203 24 197 24 207 53499 51090 24 218 23 211 26 201 30 211 51090 48936 29 221 31 209 31 215 32 215 48936 46978 33 219 36 214 37 218 34 217 46978 45172 35 220 39 219 39 219 36 218 45172 43487 36 228 40 226 40 220 38 218 43487 41906 36 230 39 225 41 222 39 219 41906 40415 38 224 38 218 42 219 41 218 40415 39008 37 221 35 220 39 218 40 217 39008 37649 32 224 35 223 36 222 37 217 37649 36274 32 227 37 222 35 225 38 222 36274 34852 32 228 35 228 33 226 39 227 34852 33390 30 233 30 236 30 224 36 227 33390 31873 25 234 25 234 25 221 31 228 31873 30291 24 217 24 217 22 216 24 223 30291 28644 24 210 23 210 21 207 20 215 28644 26933 23 219 21 206 19 202 19 201 26933 25166 20 236 19 216 16 204 17 201 25166 23344 18 242 16 220 16 204 19 204 23344 21460 16 239 16 223 15 218 17 208 21460 19504 16 233 15 226 14 225 13 210 19504 17514 15 220 15 219 13 223 10 211 17514 15596 14 209 14 211 11 219 8 203 15596 13847 11 204 12 209 9 219 5 195 13847 12284 9 204 10 208 7 212 4 189 12284 10889 6 201 8 204 6 207 2 193 10889 9640 5 174 7 193 7 194 1 227 9640 8526 4 152 5 166 4 177 2 250 8526 7533 2 131 1*105 2*171 1 273 7533 6654 1 059 1*021 1*111 0 285 6654 5873 1*019 1 001 2 044 1 160 5873 5171 1*012 1 347 3 036 2 059 5171 4548 0 336 2 339 4 032 7 027 4548 4026 1 281 2 334 4 030 10 024 4026 3623 1 271 2 330 5 029 10 022 3623 3345 1 259 2 328 4 027 9 020 3345 3176 1 262 2 328 4 027 7*020 3176 3079 1 258 2 323 4 026 5*020 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography