DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 42.1 - - 38.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 77 - - 66 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 943 - - 430 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3059 - - 3059 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3076 - - 4002 - - 3490 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2013 - - 2132 - - 2210 - - 1994 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 177 - - 128 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 24 - - 19 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 190 - - 248 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 26 - - 20 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 926 - - 414 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -48 - - 621 - - 342 - - -22 ODpotential blCL - - - 3124 - - 3381 - - 3148 - - 3098 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 42.1 - - 38.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 41.1 - - 37.8 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 41.5 - - 37.9 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 40.5 - - 37.5 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 77 - - 66 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 943 - - 430 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96626 27 079 30 107 31 106 26 108 96626 89451 21 103 20 113 18 113 21 103 89451 83872 15 108 4 110 9 099 13 109 83872 79235 7 151 3 189 2 310 7 089 79235 75245 8 146 6 162 4 196 2 188 75245 71701 7 225 10 228 4 219 4 171 71701 68481 15 235 17 241 21 217 19 232 68481 65518 30 223 18 231 19 210 26 206 65518 62751 24 225 19 233 15 235 25 225 62751 60028 26 237 36 247 20 248 25 249 60028 57157 31 231 38 244 36 251 35 248 57157 54156 39 247 48 250 51 246 44 259 54156 51291 55 249 59 240 65 249 65 262 51291 48726 62 235 55 240 75 247 69 252 48726 46425 59 234 57 247 76 242 68 251 46425 44331 66 236 62 247 73 241 73 257 44331 42418 73 231 67 246 74 245 81 259 42418 40659 73 226 75 244 77 247 84 257 40659 39027 72 228 84 240 79 246 84 254 39027 37503 83 232 89 236 81 243 83 251 37503 36075 99 231 90 232 80 240 79 249 36075 34710 111 229 92 228 78 237 75 249 34710 33342 121 227 94 223 73 236 74 249 33342 31947 128 225 98 218 68 236 72 249 31947 30533 123 223 97 213 66 237 68 251 30533 29092 105 220 90 208 63 233 65 250 29092 27616 84 215 86 200 51 229 59 249 27616 26111 75 211 89 190 44 230 39 253 26111 24575 71 207 89 188 37 229 20 270 24575 22995 71 204 86 189 28 238 15 296 22995 21363 69 202 82 190 24 266 18 292 21363 19671 61 199 81 196 25 274 23 279 19671 17911 53 194 69 205 25 267 28 277 17911 16120 49 190 57 213 26 257 34 279 16120 14393 47 190 50 216 29 250 37 279 14393 12818 47 192 44 217 31 248 38 278 12818 11413 48 194 36 217 33 248 39 278 11413 10158 47 196 31 211 33 248 39 276 10158 9035 44 200 30 202 33 249 39 276 9035 8030 42 203 33 199 33 252 38 278 8030 7133 42 203 35 196 32 254 38 280 7133 6337 42 201 35 195 31 256 37 281 6337 5628 42 199 34 193 30 256 35 280 5628 4989 41 196 33 192 30 254 34 278 4989 4421 40 193 32*192 29 252 31 276 4421 3943 37 189 29*191 28 250 28 273 3943 3574 33 187 27 190 26*249 25 271 3574 3320 29 186 24 190 24*249 22 270 3320 3165 25 185 21 189 21 248 19*270 3165 3076 14*185 13 189 13 248 12*269 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography