DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 74.8 - - 72.1 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 458 - - 277 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1217 - - 2947 - - 1849 - - 374 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3703 - - 5072 - - 4109 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4278 - - 6009 - - 4911 - - 3435 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 662 - - 2331 - - 1443 - - 720 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 308 - - 459 - - 332 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 15 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 233 - - 253 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1813 - - -2840 - - -2673 - - -1339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6091 - - 8850 - - 7585 - - 4774 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5983 - - -6067 - - -5363 - - -6324 ODpotential blCL - - - 10261 - - 12076 - - 10274 - - 9759 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 48 - - 57 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 74.8 - - 72.1 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 46.5 - - 49.4 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 72.1 - - 70.1 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 45.7 - - 48.9 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 458 - - 277 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1217 - - 2947 - - 1849 - - 374 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98236 6 091 10 123 13 137 11 125 98236 90840 8 128 8 139 9 137 8 137 90840 85158 7 164 5 172 4 123 5 110 85158 80421 10 192 4 217 3 112 5 109 80421 76314 9 203 10 229 4 274 1 134 76314 72670 4 177 11 213 8 248 4 294 72670 69370 1 235 10 221 11 253 9 308 69370 66346 7 287 9 236 12 259 11 292 66346 63556 10 282 8 260 13 261 12 279 63556 60858 10 275 12 259 13 259 13 275 60858 58048 10 273 14 261 14 269 16 282 58048 55140 15 274 17 265 18 276 20 281 55140 52377 20 275 18 269 20 276 23 274 52377 49901 20 282 18 269 19 271 21 269 49901 47693 18 279 15 262 17 262 20 261 47693 45703 13 264 13 246 14 243 20 249 45703 43900 6 256 15 217 14 225 17 228 43900 42248 5 262 13 197 14 219 14 221 42248 40713 8 259 11 208 16 224 14 232 40713 39273 12 258 12 225 17 224 16 230 39273 37913 15 260 15 236 17 235 15 234 37913 36599 16 257 18 245 17 250 15 249 36599 35267 15 255 18 254 19 256 17 254 35267 33889 12 243 16 253 19 255 18 255 33889 32470 10 229 15 243 17 251 16 255 32470 30999 6 240 10 232 13 234 12 239 30999 29466 10 275 10 265 10 229 9 212 29466 27870 14 264 12 250 10 225 9 199 27870 26211 13 271 11 241 8 225 7 207 26211 24491 8 270 8 220 8 217 8 217 24491 22717 6 251 9 226 8 230 9 220 22717 20883 5 264 9 243 8 233 9 212 20883 18983 5 253 10 250 6 238 5 197 18983 17056 6 227 9 236 6 219 3 204 17056 15201 8 208 11 214 10 204 6 217 15201 13511 8 190 11 198 12 193 8 203 13511 12003 7 180 10 192 13 190 12 198 12003 10657 4 185 8 195 11 191 14 197 10657 9452 4 210 7 200 7 185 13 194 9452 8375 4 217 5 188 4 125 9 169 8375 7412 4 199 3 150 6 074 9 121 7412 6556 5 178 2*135 6 058 9 084 6556 5795 7 176 2*190 4 030 9 056 5795 5110 6 174 4 229 4*292 5 018 5110 4503 5*190 6 234 8*259 6 292 4503 3995 6*216 7 235 9 254 10 259 3995 3604 6 221 7 235 9 252 10*252 3604 3335 6 223 8 236 9 251 10*250 3335 3172 6 224 8 236 9 251 9 249 3172 3078 6 225 7 235 8 250 7 250 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography