DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.9 - - 44.6 - - 44.9 - - 44.2 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 66 - - 53 - - 15 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1749 - - 788 - - 16 - - 231 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 4809 - - 3848 - - 3077 - - 3291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2245 - - 1566 - - 2297 - - 2842 - - 2062 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 206 - - 146 - - 27 - - 41 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 16 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 193 - - 198 - - 195 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 12 - - 10 - - 7 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1452 - - 772 - - 1 - - 215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3076 - - 3357 - - 3076 - - 3077 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential -227 - - 522 - - 305 - - -273 - - 64 ODpotential blCL 3303 - - 4287 - - 3543 - - 3350 - - 3227 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 40.9 - - 44.6 - - 44.9 - - 44.2 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.5 - - 40.6 - - 43.0 - - 43.3 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 44.1 - - 44.4 - - 44.2 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.5 - - 39.9 - - 42.6 - - 43.1 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 66 - - 53 - - 15 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1749 - - 788 - - 16 - - 231 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 94 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96724 37 101 20 086 28 100 34 102 21 119 96724 89574 24 106 20 105 14 101 29 102 16 110 89574 84011 15 110 15 116 11 099 16 114 9 098 84011 79352 11 138 9 131 10 104 10 147 8 150 79352 75342 11 129 8 130 4 052 8 152 6 160 75342 71801 7 186 7 178 6 276 6 207 3 124 71801 68575 5 159 11 196 4 212 14 223 6 273 68575 65590 11 245 15 199 7 239 11 237 10 252 65590 62813 28 240 27 215 21 220 7 226 18 215 62813 60106 35 232 32 218 31 227 22 255 19 245 60106 57262 38 230 34 239 47 235 42 249 37 238 57262 54292 47 235 50 235 63 235 59 238 43 243 54292 51450 55 236 59 234 69 238 69 235 67 248 51450 48919 68 243 72 241 77 238 75 240 84 244 48919 46680 84 244 84 241 83 238 87 242 91 243 46680 44658 92 238 92 240 87 239 91 240 95 241 44658 42814 91 235 95 238 88 239 89 241 92 240 42814 41125 87 239 94 238 90 240 95 241 92 241 41125 39566 91 245 94 240 97 241 107 239 100 242 39566 38116 108 243 101 242 108 238 118 237 111 239 38116 36765 119 237 109 240 110 236 126 237 120 236 36765 35472 119 234 109 238 109 237 130 238 125 237 35472 34169 116 236 107 240 109 240 129 240 125 238 34169 32825 109 238 106 243 110 242 122 242 121 238 32825 31445 99 237 102 243 108 244 113 243 112 238 31445 30016 95 236 92 241 100 243 104 242 103 237 30016 28526 93 235 85 237 91 239 98 241 98 237 28526 26975 85 233 82 233 84 236 94 240 95 237 26975 25363 75 230 77 230 80 234 89 238 91 236 25363 23691 70 228 70 228 78 232 85 234 87 233 23691 21961 66 228 66 229 73 229 83 231 83 230 21961 20171 62 230 62 230 67 228 77 227 76 231 20171 18322 58 232 61 230 63 228 68 225 65 230 18322 16451 52 230 58 231 59 228 58 225 54 229 16451 14658 42 227 49 233 49 227 46 223 37 228 14658 13032 31 226 33 233 39 223 38 219 24 219 13032 11587 24 228 20 226 33 224 35 212 21 204 11587 10300 18 229 12 224 27 220 35 210 23 193 10300 9151 13 232 7 240 22 210 34 213 25 194 9151 8125 11 227 4 210 21 201 30 216 25 199 8125 7210 10 222 8 171 23 198 27 216 24 202 7210 6398 11 224 11 172 24 198 26 213 23 201 6398 5675 13 223 15 184 24 199 25 205 23 200 5675 5024 15 216 17*189 22 199 25 200 24 200 5024 4445 17 211 17*191 21 198 24 198 24 200 4445 3959 17 209 17 193 18*198 23 197 23 201 3959 3584 15 206 16 194 16*198 20 196 20 201 3584 3325 12 205 15 194 14 198 17 195 16*201 3325 3167 10 204 14 195 13 197 15*195 14*201 3167 3076 5*205 9 195 9 198 10*195 8 201 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography