DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 78.7 - - 78.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 378 - - 147 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1883 - - 4508 - - 4079 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4097 - - 6222 - - 5469 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4945 - - 7570 - - 7142 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1070 - - 1030 - - 1509 - - 1308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 494 - - 350 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 82 - - 38 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 011 - - 019 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 29 - - 21 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3438 - - -2533 - - -2983 - - -4167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8383 - - 10104 - - 10125 - - 7245 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10002 - - -8624 - - -8635 - - -12110 ODpotential blCL - - - 14947 - - 16194 - - 15777 - - 15188 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 51 - - 64 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 78.7 - - 78.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 45.0 - - 44.5 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 76.4 - - 77.0 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 44.6 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 378 - - 147 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1883 - - 4508 - - 4079 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98612 20 087 19 089 17 128 7 056 98612 91248 20 097 17 090 15 080 21 072 91248 85564 20 093 15 092 16 077 20 065 85564 80854 13 089 15 075 18 070 20 072 80854 76789 13 113 12 074 14 068 16 071 76789 73198 15 081 10 109 9 069 10 065 73198 69954 11 089 8 114 9 076 10 077 69954 66971 11 088 7 131 6 105 5 114 66971 64204 4 013 3 174 1 117 4 151 64204 61520 6 273 6 258 7 272 5 298 61520 58725 8 257 14 243 16 265 15 289 58725 55845 15 278 17 239 25 255 26 271 55845 53117 22 278 24 254 32 258 33 269 53117 50665 31 278 27 269 32 262 34 270 50665 48459 39 280 40 284 44 274 42 270 48459 46445 49 274 53 270 47 271 46 268 46445 44591 51 275 51 279 51 284 54 275 44591 42875 56 282 61 289 68 286 73 276 42875 41284 59 283 67 289 75 283 78 274 41284 39807 56 285 66 288 78 283 76 275 39807 38424 51 289 59 290 73 285 74 277 38424 37089 46 293 58 297 65 287 60 282 37089 35738 42 287 51 299 56 290 44 282 35738 34343 44 287 44 293 54 297 37 278 34343 32909 40 292 39 294 41 299 32 274 32909 31418 30 293 34 297 33 291 30 268 31418 29859 20 284 28 299 28 289 29 271 29859 28239 13 278 18 287 22 290 20 272 28239 26560 14 286 14 281 21 291 15 272 26560 24824 14 281 14 290 20 288 16 270 24824 23027 9 271 11 285 17 303 11 287 23027 21160 6 256 6 254 11 308 5 308 21160 19220 3 211 3 206 5 261 4 222 19220 17250 4 161 5 193 4 210 5 201 17250 15355 2 146 5 176 4 190 6 184 15355 13633 2 350 3 135 4 165 5 160 13633 12099 3 001 4 111 6 158 4 159 12099 10731 4 046 5 109 7 150 4 172 10731 9509 4 092 5 086 6 124 6 150 9509 8418 5 126 5*052 3 073 5 133 8418 7447 5 118 4*025 2*025 2 150 7447 6588 5 088 3 023 3*014 2 166 6588 5824 5 060 3 017 4 015 2 140 5824 5136 3*040 2 008 5 019 3 051 5136 4523 1*008 2 002 5 020 7 031 4523 4010 1 320 2 357 6 020 12 028 4010 3614 1 278 2 349 6 020 13 030 3614 3340 1 263 2 348 5 021 11 033 3340 3173 1 255 1 341 5 021 9 035 3173 3078 1 251 1 340 4 021 5*038 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography