DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.2 - - 49.1 - - 52.9 - - 50.4 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 15 - - 89 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 287 - - 1530 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3347 - - 4591 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 788 - - 920 - - 1789 - - 2857 - - 861 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 80 - - 225 - - 20 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 140 - - 232 - - 168 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -7 - - 7 - - 1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4626 - - -2543 - - -1425 - - -3444 - - -805 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7703 - - 5891 - - 6016 - - 6521 - - 3882 sfcLCL ODpotential -11689 - - -7908 - - -6355 - - -8188 - - -6206 ODpotential blCL 14766 - - 11255 - - 10946 - - 11265 - - 9283 blCL maxRH 94 - - 73 - - 75 - - 54 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.2 - - 49.1 - - 52.9 - - 50.4 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 34.4 - - 37.5 - - 32.9 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 48.9 - - 52.1 - - 50.7 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.9 - - 33.2 - - 36.3 - - 31.8 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 15 - - 89 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 287 - - 1530 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95623 61 282 61 289 67 285 55 286 70 293 95623 88734 40 304 36 293 44 299 36 311 49 310 88734 83343 37 302 25 299 32 303 34 311 37 319 83343 78818 36 304 23 310 28 307 29 317 32 317 78818 74900 34 305 26 314 27 314 29 312 31 307 74900 71428 31 298 29 314 26 315 29 306 28 306 71428 68276 28 304 27 309 27 310 34 309 32 312 68276 65381 29 305 28 306 32 310 39 307 36 311 65381 62698 31 301 34 308 34 306 36 305 38 310 62698 60089 31 304 36 302 31 305 37 308 40 306 60089 57351 34 310 33 299 32 315 40 300 43 310 57351 54505 39 312 35 304 40 317 38 302 46 318 54505 51790 45 309 36 307 40 314 41 315 52 328 51790 49344 48 304 40 309 39 313 49 321 57 331 49344 47140 46 298 41 306 39 315 51 321 57 330 47140 45130 43 296 40 302 40 320 46 324 54 328 45130 43292 39 297 38 305 44 327 46 329 46 331 43292 41616 39 300 37 315 48 330 50 328 46 339 41616 40091 41 300 36 324 47 330 47 325 52 342 40091 38685 42 299 33 339 41 343 41 334 61 340 38685 37361 45 293 37 353 45 001 43 345 62 342 37361 36078 45 286 42 358 51 004 46 351 60 344 36078 34776 42 286 42 359 54 001 48 354 58 348 34776 33427 38 287 36 356 55 358 49 356 56 356 33427 32036 34 287 30 345 54 358 50 359 47 360 32036 30591 31 288 20 340 49 002 47 359 38 004 30591 29082 30 286 19 343 39 008 40 357 31 358 29082 27515 30 280 23 345 26 358 28 351 32 335 27515 25884 28 278 23 348 21 335 23 332 32 326 25884 24189 25 279 22 342 18 329 23 326 31 323 24189 22433 24 279 20 324 15 341 22 323 28 318 22433 20610 21 273 18 295 13 336 18 320 22 317 20610 18716 16 264 17 274 9 288 13 312 14 319 18716 16791 13 260 14 250 10 251 11 285 11 313 16791 14942 12 247 12 242 9 239 11 261 9 289 14942 13266 12 233 11 242 7 225 7 232 8 242 13266 11777 11 222 12 224 10 204 8 190 10 203 11777 10452 11 210 15 206 14 198 12 183 13 184 10452 9271 12 197 18 193 16 194 15 185 15 177 9271 8219 13 187 19 185 17 192 17 187 16 176 8219 7283 13 176 19 183 16 192 18 188 17 180 7283 6453 12 162 18 182 14 195 17 187 16 186 6453 5716 12 150 16 181 12 201 15 184 16 192 5716 5054 12 143 15 181 9*212 12 176 14 196 5054 4465 11 138 14 178 7*225 9 168 11 196 4465 3971 9 139 13 169 7 231 7 166 9 192 3971 3591 8 140 12*157 7 234 7 167 6 178 3591 3328 7 132 9*145 7 234 6 167 5 159 3328 3168 5*113 8 140 7 236 6*168 4*141 3168 3077 4*092 6 135 6 237 4*168 3*110 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography