DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.5 - - 87.9 - - 93.8 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 327 - - 431 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2646 - - 4793 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4746 - - 6498 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 5709 - - 7856 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 716 - - 1154 - - 1168 - - - - - 2385 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 395 - - 528 - - - - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 22 - - 55 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 276 - - 299 - - - - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 13 - - 33 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12384 - - -10593 - - -9728 - - - - - -10215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15464 - - 16303 - - 17585 - - - - - 13294 sfcLCL ODpotential -23498 - - -19402 - - -17779 - - - - - -18748 ODpotential blCL 26577 - - 25111 - - 25635 - - - - - 21827 blCL maxRH 13 - - 29 - - 28 - - - - - 18 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.5 - - 87.9 - - 93.8 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 27.4 - - 27.0 - - - - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.7 - - 85.7 - - 91.1 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.5 - - 26.3 - - 25.9 - - - - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 327 - - 431 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2646 - - 4793 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99535 50 098 44 116 38 113 35 099 99535 92027 45 109 41 105 39 118 33 097 92027 86242 36 111 36 106 37 103 32 106 86242 81434 31 111 30 106 31 106 34 108 81434 77302 24 115 25 109 26 108 31 103 77302 73673 25 120 25 118 24 111 26 099 73673 70397 27 122 25 125 22 124 23 101 70397 67397 25 122 27 132 19 133 20 098 67397 64624 17 117 20 130 18 130 13 114 64624 61952 12 116 18 135 15 136 13 146 61952 59197 8 118 14 139 19 156 14 153 59197 56386 8 200 5 185 15 163 6 240 56386 53745 16 204 18 226 16 214 18 244 53745 51373 19 214 27 223 26 232 23 229 51373 49226 20 221 28 219 31 230 26 232 49226 47256 21 222 26 224 30 226 27 242 47256 45438 18 219 24 214 30 224 31 246 45438 43745 16 207 21 211 32 222 32 245 43745 42156 13 200 17 203 27 222 34 242 42156 40656 12 203 14 196 21 221 36 237 40656 39239 13 212 14 198 18 209 35 231 39239 37872 15 208 17 202 21 196 31 224 37872 36491 16 200 18 194 23 188 27 221 36491 35068 13 205 14 194 22 181 23 213 35068 33605 10 218 7 208 14 175 24 182 33605 32087 6 253 2 276 8 151 26 167 32087 30500 7 291 3 350 8 137 21 161 30500 28845 8 314 2 344 8 138 20 152 28845 27124 7 326 0 183 9 138 19 145 27124 25341 7 324 2 239 7 141 17 142 25341 23500 7 296 4 250 4 161 15 143 23500 21592 7 266 6 237 4 196 13 153 21592 19611 8 240 10 220 8 205 12 163 19611 17594 7 230 10 214 9 210 9 159 17594 15656 4 240 7 218 7 219 5 136 15656 13895 1 014 4 220 4 232 4 085 13895 12325 5 043 2 193 2 241 6 053 12325 10925 7 037 1 107 1 238 8 037 10925 9673 7 026 2 043 1 040 9 025 9673 8555 7 010 3 010 2*016 8 014 8555 7560 7 354 4 342 2*348 4 001 7560 6678 6 335 4 313 1 345 1 328 6678 5894 6 307 3*291 1 313 2 338 5894 5188 6 280 3*288 2 296 4 011 5188 4561 6 262 3 282 2 287 7 019 4561 4034 5 252 3 276 2 280 8 019 4034 3629 4 267 3 271 3 278 8 016 3629 3348 3 266 4 269 3 276 7 012 3348 3177 3*273 4 267 3 273 5*010 3177 3079 2*290 3 265 2 272 3*006 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography