DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Hernandez 3142ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2217z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.9 - - 76.3 - - 83.2 - - 83.5 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 338 - - 444 - - 257 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2667 - - 5839 - - 5773 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3141 - - 4848 - - 7413 - - 7119 - - 3141 Hcrit BL Top 3157 - - 5809 - - 8981 - - 8915 - - 3158 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 407 - - 1057 - - 2049 - - 2373 - - 2247 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 399 - - 566 - - 471 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 21 - - 48 - - 32 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 017 - - 082 - - 335 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 19 - - 55 - - 54 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1566 - - -1347 - - -746 - - -519 - - -3228 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4723 - - 7156 - - 9727 - - 9434 - - 6387 sfcLCL ODpotential -7970 - - -4722 - - -2753 - - -2068 - - -7569 ODpotential blCL 11127 - - 10531 - - 11734 - - 10983 - - 10727 blCL maxRH 69 - - 69 - - 70 - - 71 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 590 - - 530 - - 710 - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m 63.9 - - 76.3 - - 83.2 - - 83.5 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.9 - - 55.7 - - 51.4 - - 52.9 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 75.8 - - 82.1 - - 82.0 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 55.7 - - 51.4 - - 52.9 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 338 - - 444 - - 257 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2667 - - 5839 - - 5773 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99094 34 100 36 104 31 118 20 106 24 107 99094 92198 30 106 31 107 29 115 23 114 22 106 92198 86777 28 105 26 108 25 111 27 114 22 104 86777 82228 24 104 22 116 20 106 25 107 20 104 82228 78275 21 102 23 120 18 103 19 099 19 104 78275 74764 19 103 23 115 16 108 16 098 18 099 74764 71576 16 103 19 111 16 118 12 111 15 094 71576 68637 13 102 13 106 14 119 10 130 11 096 68637 65907 9 102 8 107 11 115 9 141 8 108 65907 63259 6 119 6 133 7 123 8 150 6 128 63259 60499 4 167 7 166 6 175 7 182 6 164 60499 57645 7 205 8 186 8 194 9 202 9 188 57645 54927 11 215 12 209 13 212 13 219 11 207 54927 52480 13 220 15 214 19 215 19 220 17 217 52480 50285 15 225 16 217 21 213 22 214 21 218 50285 48288 16 226 16 223 20 214 21 214 22 215 48288 46455 15 221 16 224 18 215 18 218 20 209 46455 44762 12 216 16 218 17 213 17 219 19 206 44762 43188 6 196 12 202 14 201 16 215 15 200 43188 41718 2 162 8 177 11 183 14 206 13 196 41718 40337 2 069 6 149 11 165 13 197 11 194 40337 39005 3 053 5 126 10 155 12 191 11 196 39005 37653 5 066 4 107 8 159 11 182 11 193 37653 36249 8 077 5 090 8 168 9 181 10 190 36249 34797 12 083 5 087 9 163 9 192 11 197 34797 33278 15 086 6 098 11 149 11 200 13 205 33278 31680 19 084 10 104 13 136 11 193 15 202 31680 30002 21 083 14 102 15 126 11 179 16 195 30002 28246 22 085 17 099 16 120 12 160 16 186 28246 26413 23 090 19 099 17 118 14 146 15 176 26413 24506 23 097 21 102 18 120 16 135 14 164 24506 22516 23 104 21 106 21 120 19 131 12 161 22516 20435 23 108 22 110 25 116 23 131 16 157 20435 18308 22 113 21 111 27 114 27 131 21 144 18308 16255 18 115 18 112 26 115 28 130 24 137 16255 14386 15 114 15 107 22 116 27 132 25 136 14386 12722 14 104 15 096 19 117 26 136 23 139 12722 11240 15 091 16 091 16 123 24 137 21 145 11240 9921 13 079 15 088 15*128 15*127 19 147 9921 8748 10 067 13 081 9*112 6*093 14 135 8748 7709 9 057 11 067 4 076 4 069 9 102 7709 6793 8 055 10 055 3 077 3 349 6 040 6793 5985 7 054 8*047 2 069 4 326 7 360 5985 5266 6 047 6*039 1 057 4 314 8 332 5266 4632 6 028 4 027 1 031 5 309 10 307 4632 4105 6 001 3 009 1 334 5 306 11 295 4105 3700 5 330 3 358 1 316 5 304 12 286 3700 3423 5 302 2 351 1 304 5 303 11 282 3423 3254 4*294 2 348 1 301 5 302 10*280 3254 3158 3*302 2 344 1 297 5 301 7*279 3158 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography