DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 52.7 - - 57.2 - - 54.6 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 17 - - 203 - - 35 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 452 - - 2682 - - 1675 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 4609 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3512 - - 5743 - - 4736 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 901 - - 1176 - - 814 - - 1494 - - 1678 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 88 - - 340 - - 163 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 109 - - 209 - - 198 - - 237 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1515 - - -1135 - - 1064 - - 1107 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4592 - - 4647 - - 4679 - - 3629 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -9722 - - -6867 - - -4027 - - 235 - - -441 ODpotential blCL 12799 - - 10379 - - 9770 - - 4501 - - 3518 blCL maxRH 86 - - 98 - - 88 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 52.7 - - 57.2 - - 54.6 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 43.0 - - 47.1 - - 49.1 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 52.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.3 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 42.2 - - 46.6 - - 48.9 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 17 - - 203 - - 35 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 452 - - 2682 - - 1675 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 94 - - 52 - - 95 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96860 38 263 44 265 50 270 49 269 54 273 96860 89625 25 251 33 268 35 274 39 268 40 274 89625 84092 24 255 28 276 25 265 27 268 28 282 84092 79488 21 252 29 270 25 262 23 268 23 276 79488 75492 14 259 24 257 24 253 22 270 23 260 75492 71942 13 279 22 240 26 246 22 271 22 258 71942 68722 14 271 19 226 24 243 24 264 23 263 68722 65751 21 265 18 230 24 237 25 253 26 254 65751 62971 30 259 19 251 27 238 25 250 29 242 62971 60253 32 254 23 257 32 246 28 261 28 254 60253 57416 32 254 26 251 32 249 36 261 34 266 57416 54493 32 252 26 252 31 252 41 254 39 264 54493 51715 34 256 29 258 31 261 40 252 42 260 51715 49218 31 262 32 254 34 264 39 252 43 257 49218 46983 30 267 32 251 37 262 40 254 44 255 46983 44962 28 268 32 254 38 257 41 255 44 257 44962 43120 25 272 32 253 39 254 43 259 44 259 43120 41431 28 271 33 252 37 253 42 260 44 259 41431 39872 32 262 31 255 38 255 41 259 43 257 39872 38424 29 244 32 263 40 252 42 252 42 254 38424 37073 23 250 33 262 40 248 41 244 41 249 37073 35782 26 249 31 258 38 240 40 240 40 245 35782 34484 24 231 30 252 37 230 40 238 37 239 34484 33146 21 225 28 241 35 232 41 235 35 232 33146 31770 21 233 26 238 34 237 38 231 36 232 31770 30344 23 235 28 240 32 230 35 230 41 231 30344 28857 25 231 31 240 29 226 35 234 43 226 28857 27309 24 227 32 237 28 232 34 234 39 225 27309 25695 24 225 31 234 32 235 31 226 35 228 25695 24020 24 223 30 233 35 237 31 221 34 227 24020 22287 23 226 30 232 33 235 31 223 34 227 22287 20491 26 239 29 240 30 230 31 232 33 230 20491 18630 26 235 27 240 29 225 34 235 30 235 18630 16738 24 230 24 234 28 227 34 228 28 238 16738 14918 21 241 22 231 27 230 31 218 28 232 14918 13264 17 249 21 223 24 227 25 218 28 224 13264 11789 13 242 19 217 22 227 20 228 28 220 11789 10472 12 232 17 219 22 226 18 245 26 226 10472 9292 11 218 16 213 22 219 17 260 22 234 9292 8236 10 200 18 194 22 210 17 260 16 241 8236 7296 9 187 19 182 19 199 15 246 10 242 7296 6463 8 181 17 178 14*193 14 237 8 237 6463 5724 7 177 13 181 12*192 13 236 8 231 5724 5060 7 174 11 192 12 194 12*238 9 228 5060 4469 6 172 9 205 12 197 11*239 10 228 4469 3975 6 170 8 209 12 200 10 237 10 230 3975 3593 5 162 7*208 11 202 10 236 10 231 3593 3329 4 153 5*208 11 203 9 236 8 229 3329 3169 3*136 4 209 10 204 8 235 7 228 3169 3077 2*109 3 209 8 205 6 234 3*230 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography