DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.2 - - 52.7 - - 50.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - -21 - - 22 - - -6 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 673 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3076 - - 3733 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 87 - - 618 - - 1135 - - 1081 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 23 - - 124 - - 13 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 116 - - 141 - - 178 - - 126 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -3 - - 3 - - -2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4986 - - -4126 - - -3439 - - -1948 - - -6336 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8063 - - 7203 - - 7172 - - 5026 - - 9414 sfcLCL ODpotential -16179 - - -13166 - - -12232 - - -8571 - - -17239 ODpotential blCL 19256 - - 16242 - - 15965 - - 11648 - - 20316 blCL maxRH 69 - - 67 - - 85 - - 74 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.2 - - 52.7 - - 50.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.7 - - 27.2 - - 32.6 - - 39.5 - - 14.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.6 - - 48.3 - - 52.6 - - 51.4 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.6 - - 25.9 - - 31.4 - - 38.3 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - -21 - - 22 - - -6 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 673 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96246 36 288 39 287 49 282 39 294 35 290 96246 89222 17 309 21 304 21 277 20 301 15 354 89222 83808 12 316 14 336 10 351 8 296 11 353 83808 79268 9 310 9 337 14 011 8 007 7 013 79268 75316 10 022 4 296 13 004 9 020 9 062 75316 71801 10 017 3 324 12 350 7 010 15 043 71801 68624 8 004 5 303 14 337 12 356 15 005 68624 65728 18 003 7 033 10 336 15 333 17 343 65728 63058 17 006 15 016 9 344 16 327 17 328 63058 60459 29 353 26 004 16 352 15 311 16 306 60459 57730 34 338 31 346 23 338 16 318 19 302 57730 54892 39 319 33 329 29 315 28 304 23 300 54892 52175 30 319 27 325 26 307 29 297 24 302 52175 49708 30 348 25 336 24 311 34 303 26 309 49708 47478 42 342 37 331 37 314 38 303 34 307 47478 45456 51 333 46 322 46 311 38 304 40 311 45456 43636 49 335 45 322 49 312 40 307 40 317 43636 42001 38 357 39 338 33 332 37 314 32 330 42001 40501 42 019 32 359 27 004 33 329 29 334 40501 39095 49 009 35 011 30 002 30 337 28 336 39095 37766 49 004 37 011 27 012 27 343 26 333 37766 36479 45 015 36 011 25 010 26 343 22 341 36479 35172 40 022 35 013 25 009 24 338 22 347 35172 33818 38 022 31 020 24 015 22 341 21 356 33818 32420 37 011 28 017 21 018 20 340 16 352 32420 30962 37 001 25 010 19 010 21 336 15 345 30962 29436 35 360 20 005 15 360 20 334 17 345 29436 27845 30 024 16 007 11 353 14 331 17 342 27845 26188 20 033 12 011 7 331 9 315 15 327 26188 24469 10 024 8 004 4 332 8 305 10 302 24469 22692 4 322 6 323 5 315 5 290 7 261 22692 20854 4 236 8 255 8 274 7 254 10 245 20854 18946 6 196 12 227 13 249 14 250 16 254 18946 17002 6 194 11 230 14 248 12 255 18 263 17002 15130 5 206 8 255 9 253 7 253 13 265 15130 13426 4 224 5 276 3 248 3 200 8 251 13426 11909 3 217 1 329 3 141 5 163 6 231 11909 10557 3 184 3 095 5 142 5 167 5 224 10557 9351 4 154 3 129 4 158 4 180 3 218 9351 8278 6 140 4 156 4 173 5 183 3 193 8278 7325 8 150 6 161 6 179 7 182 4 167 7325 6483 13 164 10 172 10 182 12 181 7 167 6483 5737 19 169 16 176 16 181 16 178 8 170 5737 5066 24 168 21 175 19 182 17 178 8 162 5066 4471 27 167 24 173 18 181 15 180 9 140 4471 3974 28 165 25 170 15*180 11 177 11 123 3974 3591 25 162 22 165 10*179 7 164 12 114 3591 3328 19 155 16 157 9 179 5 146 11 106 3328 3168 13*145 12 149 8 178 3*136 9*097 3168 3077 6*116 6*141 6 177 2*126 6*087 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography