DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Hernandez 3059ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 39.0 - - 39.5 - - 38.2 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 72 - - 92 - - 49 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 903 - - 558 - - 323 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3059 - - 3059 - - 3059 - - 3059 - - 3059 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 3963 - - 3618 - - 3382 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2157 - - 2193 - - 2562 - - 2345 - - 1826 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 171 - - 156 - - 105 - - 26 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 27 - - 26 - - 21 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 230 - - 251 - - 247 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 21 - - 30 - - 27 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 887 - - 542 - - 306 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3076 - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential -955 - - 252 - - 305 - - 239 - - -170 ODpotential blCL 4031 - - 3711 - - 3313 - - 3143 - - 3246 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 39.0 - - 39.5 - - 38.2 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.7 - - 37.2 - - 39.1 - - 38.0 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.3 - - 38.7 - - 39.0 - - 38.0 - - 33.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 36.6 - - 38.6 - - 37.7 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 72 - - 92 - - 49 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 903 - - 558 - - 323 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 100 - - 103 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96759 32 109 25 108 26 107 29 101 25 123 96759 89571 27 118 26 118 19 119 17 104 19 112 89571 84005 18 114 18 108 14 147 9 147 17 094 84005 79365 8 120 12 116 6 158 3 154 9 042 79365 75355 4 079 7 141 10 198 5 079 7 029 75355 71805 4 180 4 134 7 204 4 264 3 009 71805 68576 14 197 6 207 5 268 9 232 8 280 68576 65591 18 256 5 251 9 304 9 219 8 264 65591 62810 31 254 10 297 6 340 5 117 5 143 62810 60082 35 237 30 260 9 255 12 249 21 258 60082 57206 32 233 48 252 40 253 38 254 37 257 57206 54218 38 261 52 260 45 258 41 260 46 259 54218 51362 55 267 58 269 50 273 47 271 51 269 51362 48788 71 268 67 269 63 275 64 278 63 273 48788 46478 82 267 72 266 74 271 78 272 67 272 46478 44373 82 265 72 266 80 265 78 269 69 276 44373 42441 80 265 74 268 76 262 78 271 77 280 42441 40667 76 268 74 270 72 268 81 273 78 283 40667 39031 80 273 74 275 78 275 85 277 83 285 39031 37515 88 275 82 278 92 276 94 280 93 281 37515 36103 96 273 96 277 102 274 105 279 101 275 36103 34755 102 269 111 274 114 274 118 274 103 270 34755 33400 108 265 123 267 130 270 126 265 100 266 33400 32014 108 261 122 260 129 262 117 262 100 266 32014 30612 80 271 102 258 112 258 106 265 108 269 30612 29192 79 285 87 269 100 267 107 268 118 268 29192 27734 85 287 87 277 102 271 111 269 120 265 27734 26229 87 286 89 278 104 269 112 268 121 263 26229 24673 83 286 91 276 105 268 110 267 117 263 24673 23068 79 285 92 275 105 269 106 267 105 265 23068 21419 75 283 89 277 100 272 93 267 90 266 21419 19717 70 278 80 280 82 273 71 260 80 264 19717 17951 64 274 69 282 58 265 59 251 70 257 17951 16151 59 272 61 281 53 256 57 253 67 253 16151 14411 54 272 55 278 52 257 54 253 67 255 14411 12824 49 275 52 271 50 253 53 253 67 257 12824 11408 44 278 51 265 48 253 52 252 64 258 11408 10146 40 279 51 261 47 252 50 252 57 259 10146 9019 36 278 50 259 46 252 48 253 48 261 9019 8013 32 274 48 255 45 250 46 253 38 264 8013 7116 30 267 45 251 43 249 43 252 30 269 7116 6321 29 259 41 246 42 248 42 250 25 275 6321 5614 29 253 39 242 41 248 40 250 23 283 5614 4978 28 248 36 237 40 249 38 249 22 289 4978 4412 27 244 34*234 37 249 36 249 22 294 4412 3937 24 241 32*231 35*250 33 248 20 298 3937 3571 21 238 29 230 32*250 29*247 18 298 3571 3318 17 233 26 229 28 251 26*247 15 298 3318 3164 14*231 23 229 24 251 22 247 13*298 3164 3076 7*231 15 230 15 251 14 246 9*298 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography