DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 58.0 - - 63.8 - - 61.4 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - -13 - - 16 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 360 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3422 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 425 - - 1300 - - 1097 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 16 - - 94 - - 7 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 082 - - 247 - - 274 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -8 - - 2 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8220 - - -7637 - - -3036 - - -1469 - - -5783 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11298 - - 10715 - - 6459 - - 4548 - - 8861 sfcLCL ODpotential -18089 - - -15850 - - -7933 - - -6088 - - -14700 ODpotential blCL 21166 - - 18927 - - 11355 - - 9166 - - 17777 blCL maxRH 34 - - 23 - - 49 - - 58 - - 21 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 58.0 - - 63.8 - - 61.4 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 22.7 - - 46.3 - - 52.0 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.2 - - 61.2 - - 63.6 - - 62.2 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.6 - - 21.8 - - 45.1 - - 50.7 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - -13 - - 16 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 360 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96732 44 094 32 099 31 076 46 084 45 096 96732 89647 44 087 34 107 26 093 38 091 46 091 89647 84171 32 080 33 098 23 109 31 087 33 091 84171 79577 23 069 26 084 20 106 23 092 28 081 79577 75597 20 055 18 068 17 099 21 081 28 066 75597 72069 15 046 15 056 22 074 12 099 19 064 72069 68831 9 051 18 052 22 048 17 056 20 059 68831 65848 15 039 17 029 18 027 18 039 16 039 65848 63121 15 023 15 358 17 023 18 037 15 042 63121 60516 12 007 22 359 24 019 20 021 20 030 60516 57808 14 334 26 357 24 008 20 357 22 005 57808 54998 22 332 27 343 24 355 23 348 26 350 54998 52320 30 328 30 329 30 331 32 339 36 346 52320 49910 30 313 34 327 35 320 37 332 38 339 49910 47741 29 324 36 340 34 323 38 328 39 334 47741 45762 36 342 38 348 34 333 38 326 40 328 45762 43933 32 348 33 346 32 337 38 325 40 322 43933 42229 27 347 27 336 29 332 36 325 36 319 42229 40643 26 329 23 328 26 329 33 323 31 319 40643 39170 10 281 20 331 23 334 27 317 25 315 39170 37795 6 011 18 335 22 345 22 314 21 314 37795 36481 11 020 14 334 19 347 18 322 18 313 36481 35159 9 005 10 332 14 326 19 312 17 313 35159 33798 15 028 9 353 11 313 19 291 15 310 33798 32400 19 033 13 017 8 338 10 304 10 312 32400 30950 15 036 15 025 8 012 7 347 8 352 30950 29438 11 045 10 033 7 014 6 021 10 081 29438 27863 9 041 6 054 5 014 10 080 21 100 27863 26223 10 042 8 044 7 034 17 090 24 103 26223 24521 12 052 8 051 11 054 21 089 21 098 24521 22757 12 071 7 084 12 062 22 089 20 089 22757 20925 13 090 8 100 11 068 22 089 20 082 20925 19020 14 103 8 107 11 072 20 093 19 074 19020 17078 13 106 9 100 11 075 16 094 17 075 17078 15206 12 096 10 094 10 074 12 087 15 073 15206 13503 13 086 9 096 9 083 9 087 11 067 13503 11987 12 094 7 088 8 081 8 080 7 075 11987 10638 12 113 7 138 7 072 9 067 5 083 10638 9433 12 130 10 166 5 108 9 061 7 063 9433 8357 12 152 8 182 6 153 6 069 7 043 8357 7398 8 170 7 216 3 192 2 065 6 029 7398 6546 4 163 6 237 4 273 2 350 5 020 6546 5789 3 085 4 228 5 285 3 317 4 008 5789 5108 6 039 1 171 4 285 4 297 3 354 5108 4502 10 026 2 089 3 274 5 275 3 342 4502 3995 12 022 5 084 3 253 5 268 3 334 3995 3604 13 021 7 084 3*249 3 267 3 337 3604 3335 11 022 7 085 3*247 1 255 2 355 3335 3171 8 021 6 083 3 247 1*256 2 015 3171 3077 5*021 4*082 2 246 0*274 3*026 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography