DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/31 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 66.1 - - 70.9 - - 69.2 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 49 - - 208 - - 25 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 562 - - 1883 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 4040 - - 3062 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 3623 - - 4944 - - 3779 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 317 - - 1059 - - 1127 - - 2051 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 134 - - 304 - - 110 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 47 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 062 - - 058 - - 039 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -3 - - 8 - - -2 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6325 - - -3730 - - -2877 - - -4644 - - -3168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9404 - - 7353 - - 7822 - - 8423 - - 6246 sfcLCL ODpotential -15831 - - -11458 - - -8284 - - -11634 - - -13057 ODpotential blCL 18909 - - 15081 - - 13228 - - 15413 - - 16135 blCL maxRH 35 - - 44 - - 51 - - 55 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 66.1 - - 70.9 - - 69.2 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 44.8 - - 47.3 - - 43.1 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.7 - - 65.6 - - 69.3 - - 68.8 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.0 - - 43.6 - - 46.8 - - 42.7 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 49 - - 208 - - 25 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 562 - - 1883 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96932 18 287 24 289 19 273 28 269 34 278 96932 89749 5 290 14 269 19 296 15 288 17 286 89749 84213 1 327 5 264 14 291 9 284 12 309 84213 79627 8 291 7 352 5 284 10 291 10 314 79627 75683 6 290 8 346 4 299 12 311 8 343 75683 72192 5 024 5 344 5 313 13 334 11 356 72192 69020 13 004 5 022 1 332 10 323 14 337 69020 66109 15 342 6 012 6 355 8 335 14 320 66109 63430 17 341 11 350 10 345 9 343 7 339 63430 60849 18 340 10 335 14 001 11 352 7 341 60849 58153 18 335 16 349 16 324 11 323 13 332 58153 55357 26 328 20 347 20 341 19 338 19 334 55357 52693 36 317 33 350 25 342 22 340 15 348 52693 50295 34 326 35 339 25 340 24 338 16 008 50295 48150 34 329 25 323 25 334 24 325 24 353 48150 46208 22 318 17 352 24 354 18 324 20 350 46208 44423 29 023 39 009 30 007 26 000 22 017 44423 42763 48 023 53 005 43 008 39 019 29 028 42763 41213 55 013 51 008 43 022 42 032 37 043 41213 39756 55 014 45 012 41 033 46 037 44 046 39756 38381 44 020 39 037 39 037 48 035 43 046 38381 37053 37 013 42 056 39 033 41 036 39 047 37053 35711 36 032 45 059 38 033 32 043 34 049 35711 34326 39 054 47 059 40 041 30 047 29 048 34326 32901 39 061 49 059 44 046 29 045 26 044 32901 31420 35 061 51 059 43 051 30 046 22 038 31420 29873 29 051 51 061 40 060 26 051 18 047 29873 28260 20 022 47 068 34 064 22 056 16 057 28260 26581 14 336 44 081 27 075 19 053 15 046 26581 24838 12 304 35 079 24 081 17 040 13 037 24838 23033 9 304 22 068 26 079 18 039 12 030 23033 21159 8 333 12 067 22 079 18 065 13 048 21159 19212 10 345 8 075 11 083 13 088 10 086 19212 17235 9 339 7 073 5 092 8 073 4 090 17235 15336 8 348 6 067 4 073 8 038 5 010 15336 13611 9 006 5 052 6 050 7 024 7 013 13611 12074 10 010 6 021 7 043 5 023 6 031 12074 10704 9 004 6 003 7 038 3 030 4 055 10704 9482 6 346 4 345 6 036 3 037 2 062 9482 8392 4 313 1 281 3 029 3 037 1 099 8392 7423 2 248 2 194 0 325 4 034 2 105 7423 6565 3 193 3 179 1 239 4 016 4 091 6565 5803 3 170 3 172 1 294 3 355 4 072 5803 5118 2 171 2 170 1*331 2 340 4 048 5118 4510 3 179 2 157 1*009 2 351 4 031 4510 4000 3 176 2*120 1 052 2*023 5 026 4000 3608 2 164 2*073 1 062 2*034 6 025 3608 3337 0 243 2 057 2 067 3 040 6 028 3337 3172 1*350 1 058 1 072 2 040 6*030 3172 3078 2*012 1 061 1 071 2 043 5*032 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography