DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.3 - - 68.7 - - 72.9 - - 68.4 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 286 - - 398 - - 173 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1810 - - 3673 - - 1667 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4086 - - 5589 - - 3810 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4871 - - 6735 - - 4729 - - 3173 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 222 - - 1473 - - 1995 - - 2475 - - 551 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 332 - - 469 - - 273 - - 31 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 320 - - 297 - - 295 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 2 - - -5 - - -12 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4182 - - -3924 - - -1826 - - -1894 - - -868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7260 - - 8795 - - 8561 - - 6623 - - 4042 sfcLCL ODpotential -14548 - - -10939 - - -5804 - - -4620 - - -5216 ODpotential blCL 17625 - - 15810 - - 12539 - - 9349 - - 8389 blCL maxRH 36 - - 45 - - 56 - - 62 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.3 - - 68.7 - - 72.9 - - 68.4 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.6 - - 40.9 - - 45.7 - - 49.8 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 66.9 - - 70.4 - - 67.1 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.3 - - 40.5 - - 45.4 - - 49.6 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 286 - - 398 - - 173 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1810 - - 3673 - - 1667 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98008 10 294 3 287 11 239 17 236 18 279 98008 90657 8 330 3 330 4 340 6 239 4 300 90657 84983 5 054 3 077 3 041 1 107 5 053 84983 80279 8 076 6 088 4 117 3 052 6 041 80279 76231 9 087 4 087 4 129 3 057 7 011 76231 72653 4 044 5 048 4 133 1 153 2 308 72653 69410 5 271 7 292 5 260 3 291 5 126 69410 66413 5 267 10 275 9 281 10 278 8 224 66413 63629 9 277 12 275 12 269 16 275 11 244 63629 60929 13 276 15 264 15 263 17 260 12 260 60929 58099 20 278 20 269 20 272 17 266 17 264 58099 55159 26 278 25 265 27 268 28 270 27 269 55159 52368 30 280 28 269 33 268 34 267 35 270 52368 49865 35 281 33 268 35 262 37 261 36 265 49865 47615 41 283 36 272 39 265 41 265 41 264 47615 45573 43 278 45 275 47 269 47 268 47 259 45573 43714 39 268 46 264 53 263 53 264 49 256 43714 42005 34 259 43 248 56 254 57 257 48 265 42005 40422 34 256 43 243 57 250 59 252 57 264 40422 38951 33 256 41 238 55 250 60 248 65 257 38951 37577 31 251 40 238 53 248 62 247 65 254 37577 36259 32 250 40 245 50 244 64 246 66 253 36259 34933 33 247 39 251 48 244 60 243 66 250 34933 33568 34 242 39 253 46 248 56 244 65 248 33568 32165 34 240 38 251 44 249 53 248 65 249 32165 30709 34 241 39 249 43 248 50 247 65 251 30709 29189 33 246 38 251 43 247 48 247 64 252 29189 27605 32 251 37 252 43 245 46 248 61 254 27605 25961 31 249 35 249 42 245 46 248 57 255 25961 24261 30 245 34 244 40 247 44 250 53 253 24261 22505 27 250 32 245 37 247 42 251 50 253 22505 20687 24 257 29 249 35 248 39 254 47 255 20687 18801 22 264 28 253 33 249 35 257 42 257 18801 16886 21 272 25 258 30 254 31 262 34 261 16886 15047 19 285 24 268 28 259 26 268 26 265 15047 13376 18 298 21 277 23 263 20 275 20 269 13376 11890 16 311 16 286 18 264 17 284 17 271 11890 10563 13 324 13 297 15 269 14 290 15 272 10563 9376 10 337 11 309 13 278 11 284 12 264 9376 8314 10 344 10 316 10 289 8 267 9 239 8314 7365 10 342 9 318 9*298 6 246 8 218 7365 6522 11 339 8 320 8*302 6 243 8 218 6522 5770 12 338 7 328 9 301 7 250 9 234 5770 5092 12 339 8*332 10 300 8*271 10 257 5092 4490 12 339 8*327 10 297 10*293 13 285 4490 3986 12 340 8 322 11 295 11 296 16 304 3986 3599 12 340 8 319 11 294 11 296 16 312 3599 3332 12 339 8 316 11 292 11 296 15*314 3332 3170 10 337 7 314 10 292 10 295 13*315 3170 3077 6*342 6 312 9 290 8 295 8 316 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography