DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 49.2 - - 52.2 - - 50.0 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 5 - - 77 - - -6 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 207 - - 1185 - - 649 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3267 - - 4245 - - 3710 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 309 - - 1070 - - 1277 - - 1323 - - 1059 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 61 - - 200 - - 66 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 123 - - 172 - - 220 - - 221 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5067 - - -4275 - - -2832 - - -1064 - - -356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8145 - - 7543 - - 7078 - - 4774 - - 3432 sfcLCL ODpotential -16444 - - -13624 - - -10343 - - -6571 - - -7377 ODpotential blCL 19521 - - 16891 - - 14588 - - 10281 - - 10453 blCL maxRH 75 - - 74 - - 65 - - 74 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 49.2 - - 52.2 - - 50.0 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.7 - - 27.4 - - 32.3 - - 40.1 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 49.2 - - 51.6 - - 49.9 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.5 - - 26.2 - - 31.1 - - 38.9 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 5 - - 77 - - -6 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 207 - - 1185 - - 649 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96027 48 329 42 318 43 311 44 325 47 309 96027 89014 41 345 32 336 30 329 40 325 40 322 89014 83543 34 337 28 341 24 332 34 327 30 324 83543 78966 36 332 27 339 24 334 31 329 28 337 78966 75007 34 326 25 335 26 330 32 321 31 334 75007 71525 31 322 24 322 29 322 29 319 29 323 71525 68397 30 318 27 317 29 318 27 323 21 321 68397 65523 31 316 25 318 28 314 27 319 22 308 65523 62855 30 318 28 318 28 311 26 303 25 293 62855 60272 34 314 33 309 27 303 28 284 31 276 60272 57573 36 307 36 301 35 294 33 278 34 268 57573 54751 40 300 43 293 41 286 42 274 37 269 54751 52033 41 295 45 289 49 279 49 262 42 258 52033 49569 40 294 50 291 52 275 50 257 42 259 49569 47346 47 298 57 286 60 271 57 260 55 259 47346 45327 50 296 54 281 57 269 56 257 55 254 45327 43482 43 290 42 273 49 267 49 259 54 258 43482 41783 27 287 31 260 44 264 52 255 58 259 41783 40217 21 316 29 262 38 243 54 245 58 252 40217 38771 22 312 28 263 35 235 51 235 60 248 38771 37422 16 314 23 253 32 227 40 222 54 232 37422 36123 14 300 22 234 34 215 40 214 48 229 36123 34809 14 283 21 222 37 207 43 208 48 234 34809 33451 15 264 24 220 40 206 47 210 50 237 33451 32053 27 258 35 230 45 212 45 224 49 239 32053 30599 39 253 40 239 49 220 42 233 48 235 30599 29080 43 253 38 242 48 225 44 224 48 230 29080 27495 40 252 37 235 48 225 54 224 52 232 27495 25847 39 244 43 232 53 227 54 230 51 238 25847 24145 35 241 47 231 52 230 49 235 47 239 24145 22392 29 237 43 227 46 234 45 240 44 237 22392 20583 27 234 37 219 38 238 41 243 40 237 20583 18709 27 227 35 220 33 238 37 244 35 240 18709 16804 27 226 32 230 29 244 30 239 33 245 16804 14968 24 230 26 240 24 251 23 237 31 245 14968 13296 20 232 20 247 18 254 19 241 27 241 13296 11803 17 228 16 249 15 245 19 244 24 236 11803 10471 18 224 14 247 15 229 19 245 19 230 10471 9280 19 218 14 235 17 219 19 240 14 224 9280 8218 21 210 15 211 18 213 18 231 10 219 8218 7274 23 202 18 192 20 210 18 221 12 222 7274 6442 23 195 21 184 21 208 19 216 16 225 6442 5705 23 189 22 180 21 207 19 215 19 229 5705 5045 22 183 21 180 19 206 17 215 19 233 5045 4458 20 179 18 181 15*207 14 218 17 234 4458 3967 17 176 14 182 11*217 12*219 15 233 3967 3588 15 173 11 182 10 220 10*220 13 233 3588 3327 13 167 8*178 9 222 10 220 11 234 3327 3168 10*161 6*173 9 222 8 222 9 237 3168 3076 5*123 4 171 7 224 6 221 5*241 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography