DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 84.4 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 476 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2542 - - 4860 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4698 - - 6580 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5604 - - 7922 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1322 - - 1396 - - - - - 1504 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 546 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 173 - - - - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 28 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4423 - - -3969 - - - - - -5352 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10027 - - 11892 - - - - - 8432 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10230 - - -9778 - - - - - -13045 ODpotential blCL - - - 15834 - - 17700 - - - - - 16124 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 56 - - - - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 84.4 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 42.8 - - - - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.3 - - 81.6 - - - - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 42.4 - - - - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 476 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2542 - - 4860 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99216 41 104 29 105 35 099 99216 91774 35 110 30 099 36 097 91774 86016 36 115 29 102 33 095 86016 81233 28 102 30 109 25 104 81233 77128 21 096 28 113 20 098 77128 73508 15 106 18 108 15 088 73508 70230 12 092 10 120 15 075 70230 67216 12 104 10 132 12 063 67216 64430 12 106 6 169 6 044 64430 61734 10 143 10 177 5 174 61734 58930 11 155 11 175 10 221 58930 56027 20 230 15 220 14 215 56027 53252 31 224 30 230 23 236 53252 50758 30 233 40 240 42 244 50758 48539 36 236 43 236 63 240 48539 46547 32 234 43 255 66 241 46547 44734 32 251 44 251 62 245 44734 43069 38 260 42 248 55 247 43069 41524 35 254 44 252 52 250 41524 40069 29 246 40 248 48 251 40069 38691 25 240 36 248 43 248 38691 37358 25 237 33 245 42 242 37358 36003 25 233 31 239 41 232 36003 34600 25 233 29 235 42 226 34600 33155 23 237 27 234 42 223 33155 31655 21 237 23 233 39 225 31655 30088 21 235 22 230 35 224 30088 28456 25 237 24 233 32 220 28456 26761 25 233 25 232 31 218 26761 25003 23 229 25 227 28 224 25003 23186 22 228 22 224 24 234 23186 21303 19 228 19 217 17 236 21303 19348 19 221 19 210 15 219 19348 17361 20 214 18 206 17 202 17361 15449 19 205 17 197 17 196 15449 13709 19 199 19 190 16 190 13709 12162 17 195 20 188 16 185 12162 10785 15 191 20 190 18 188 10785 9558 14 185 17 189 20 190 9558 8463 13 171 11*179 18 189 8463 7487 13 158 6*165 11 169 7487 6619 11 151 6 166 7 131 6619 5847 7*135 6 167 3 112 5847 5150 5*129 6 172 2 288 5150 4533 4 136 6 176 6 277 4533 4015 4 145 6 180 8 265 4015 3617 4 153 6 183 9 256 3617 3342 3 160 5 184 8 252 3342 3174 3 163 5 186 7*251 3174 3079 3 166 5 186 4*251 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography