DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.5 - - 58.9 - - 60.9 - - 60.0 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 22 - - 74 - - 15 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 370 - - 1069 - - 1016 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3431 - - 4130 - - 4077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 332 - - 934 - - 1415 - - 1530 - - 806 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 100 - - 196 - - 124 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 246 - - 254 - - 246 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 3 - - 5 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2707 - - -2039 - - -1064 - - -184 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5784 - - 5470 - - 5194 - - 4262 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -11248 - - -7619 - - -6332 - - -4081 - - -5029 ODpotential blCL 14325 - - 11050 - - 10462 - - 8158 - - 8106 blCL maxRH 100 - - 78 - - 77 - - 90 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.5 - - 58.9 - - 60.9 - - 60.0 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 45.7 - - 48.8 - - 51.9 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 58.7 - - 60.4 - - 59.9 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 44.5 - - 47.5 - - 50.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 22 - - 74 - - 15 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 370 - - 1069 - - 1016 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 13 - - 10 - - 59 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96440 23 094 13 060 19 075 22 082 21 095 96440 89319 20 079 11 090 10 060 16 059 19 070 89319 83817 15 061 16 120 4 118 7 341 13 038 83817 79233 13 043 12 076 7 044 5 045 8 355 79233 75294 11 011 6 051 1 286 4 357 8 309 75294 71835 11 324 12 327 10 336 9 002 9 354 71835 68700 10 311 12 296 20 303 16 321 16 333 68700 65810 20 304 20 312 28 311 28 305 29 306 65810 63137 26 306 28 297 29 297 28 298 30 297 63137 60557 32 297 26 283 25 286 28 306 30 313 60557 57853 33 292 31 286 31 289 36 297 36 315 57853 55028 40 288 48 284 47 284 44 285 42 296 55028 52334 50 283 51 275 54 276 44 282 45 283 52334 49918 61 276 53 272 57 274 60 284 55 282 49918 47755 67 267 62 271 66 273 68 275 68 275 47755 45801 70 266 70 270 71 266 68 267 75 272 45801 44019 72 265 72 269 71 263 66 269 75 267 44019 42375 69 267 69 268 71 260 71 273 77 264 42375 40842 66 271 64 270 67 258 80 268 83 264 40842 39401 61 276 60 273 64 259 81 267 81 264 39401 38039 62 282 60 276 62 262 79 268 76 265 38039 36722 63 287 60 276 60 265 75 268 73 267 36722 35386 61 287 60 272 56 266 70 267 70 269 35386 34004 59 285 60 269 52 265 67 265 66 269 34004 32579 58 278 57 268 53 264 65 263 65 269 32579 31096 58 274 53 268 55 261 64 263 68 269 31096 29547 60 270 52 267 59 261 65 265 70 268 29547 27931 61 266 57 265 62 262 65 266 66 264 27931 26253 60 262 61 265 61 266 65 267 60 264 26253 24516 59 265 63 265 58 269 62 268 59 266 24516 22722 57 270 62 265 57 270 61 268 61 269 22722 20866 55 271 60 269 58 270 65 269 64 269 20866 18945 56 273 59 269 62 270 66 270 65 270 18945 16998 53 273 59 267 61 267 65 269 61 273 16998 15127 47 271 53 264 55 264 58 266 54 276 15127 13427 40 268 45 260 48 261 52 263 50 277 13427 11915 34 266 40 256 44 257 46 262 45 276 11915 10568 30 267 38 257 41 257 42 262 39 276 10568 9368 27 267 35 260 37 260 38 264 33 278 9368 8298 24 267 31 263 32 264 32 268 27 281 8298 7346 21 269 26 265 27 267 25 272 22 284 7346 6503 18 271 22 265 21 269 17 274 17 284 6503 5755 15 275 19 264 17 268 11 274 14 281 5755 5082 13 278 15 261 13 266 6 266 12 270 5082 4484 11 282 13 257 10*261 4*252 12 260 4484 3983 9 290 11 253 9*256 5*248 12 254 3983 3598 8 302 9*249 8 254 5 246 12 252 3598 3332 6 317 7*246 8 254 5 246 10 251 3332 3170 5*331 6 246 7 253 4 246 8 252 3170 3077 4*351 5 246 6 253 4 244 3*253 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography