DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 87.8 - - 89.2 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 405 - - 220 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2813 - - 4474 - - 4945 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4873 - - 6220 - - 6330 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5875 - - 7536 - - 8008 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1096 - - 1243 - - 1381 - - 2167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 504 - - 426 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 48 - - 26 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 298 - - 324 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 24 - - 37 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7012 - - -5790 - - -6117 - - -8693 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12888 - - 13327 - - 14125 - - 11772 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14548 - - -11845 - - -11578 - - -16015 ODpotential blCL - - - 20423 - - 19381 - - 19586 - - 19094 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 84 - - 79 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 87.8 - - 89.2 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 40.0 - - 37.9 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.3 - - 85.2 - - 87.4 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 39.5 - - 37.4 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 405 - - 220 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2813 - - 4474 - - 4945 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 36 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99222 30 110 26 108 28 108 21 116 99222 91712 23 104 29 092 30 108 27 113 91712 85931 23 093 27 109 25 094 29 095 85931 81149 24 092 20 119 20 086 31 080 81149 77051 19 098 16 116 16 101 25 070 77051 73443 19 101 17 114 15 103 14 077 73443 70173 19 094 12 100 15 099 13 102 70173 67169 18 098 15 110 13 070 17 093 67169 64399 14 088 11 112 9 089 12 072 64399 61731 4 123 12 142 5 156 10 077 61731 58962 10 188 10 159 11 191 4 189 58962 56105 10 208 11 207 11 186 16 201 56105 53385 21 229 21 213 22 214 20 210 53385 50940 37 228 33 231 32 235 31 228 50940 48760 44 240 45 238 46 239 44 239 48760 46799 44 243 43 240 46 238 49 239 46799 45005 42 245 43 241 48 240 49 238 45005 43340 47 245 45 246 49 244 46 241 43340 41777 50 245 41 243 45 245 45 243 41777 40304 48 244 43 243 45 245 50 245 40304 38910 49 246 46 244 45 247 50 246 38910 37563 52 246 43 241 46 245 48 244 37563 36197 48 247 39 242 46 244 47 240 36197 34786 43 244 36 242 40 244 45 240 34786 33332 40 243 34 236 34 241 42 240 33332 31823 38 240 32 235 31 239 39 240 31823 30249 36 237 32 238 30 235 35 240 30249 28610 35 236 30 235 30 234 31 239 28610 26907 32 235 28 232 28 238 30 238 26907 25140 29 233 25 231 24 235 25 239 25140 23314 25 233 22 232 21 234 23 230 23314 21425 21 235 22 230 20 235 20 227 21425 19466 17 238 19 227 19 228 19 228 19466 17472 14 234 14 227 16 218 17 228 17472 15552 12 240 11 246 9 217 13 226 15552 13803 10 248 10 265 3 253 7 225 13803 12246 8 239 9 271 4 315 2 289 12246 10858 8 222 8 268 6 315 5 350 10858 9617 8 228 7 271 6 310 7 360 9617 8510 7 248 4*283 3*319 8 354 8510 7523 6 272 2*323 2*328 5 340 7523 6648 5*283 1 327 2 325 2 298 6648 5871 2*277 2 320 3 325 1 279 5871 5171 2 268 2 303 3 324 2 358 5171 4548 2 254 2 291 3 324 6 020 4548 4026 2 250 3 285 4 323 8 025 4026 3623 3 249 3 279 4 323 9 025 3623 3345 3 248 3 277 4 321 8 023 3345 3176 3 247 3 279 3 321 6*024 3176 3079 3 245 3 277 3 319 4*024 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography