DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 95.5 - - 95.1 - - 83.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 423 - - 221 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2572 - - 4639 - - 5385 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4681 - - 6372 - - 6676 - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5635 - - 7703 - - 8448 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1518 - - 1819 - - 1892 - - 2976 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 387 - - 520 - - 441 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 21 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 276 - - 269 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 10 - - 14 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9881 - - -9849 - - -8261 - - -10135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15516 - - 17553 - - 16710 - - 13215 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16701 - - -17568 - - -14944 - - -17873 ODpotential blCL - - - 22336 - - 25271 - - 23392 - - 20952 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 46 - - 43 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 95.5 - - 95.1 - - 83.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 28.5 - - 32.0 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.9 - - 92.8 - - 93.3 - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 27.3 - - 31.0 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 423 - - 221 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2572 - - 4639 - - 5385 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99276 39 106 34 116 33 122 26 104 99276 91779 37 104 34 113 34 103 33 100 91779 86000 31 103 32 102 29 100 36 088 86000 81228 24 103 26 097 25 099 24 091 81228 77133 22 107 23 103 21 103 18 092 77133 73504 20 110 24 108 18 100 17 091 73504 70216 16 110 19 103 19 096 18 100 70216 67210 16 107 15 112 15 102 20 089 67210 64441 16 114 11 114 12 109 13 085 64441 61777 13 106 9 146 5 142 8 081 61777 59035 7 113 9 155 6 205 2 255 59035 56237 5 121 11 176 11 212 9 235 56237 53592 8 270 6 237 11 216 11 223 53592 51212 17 268 13 265 14 244 13 237 51212 49073 24 261 19 268 19 272 18 265 49073 47120 28 253 27 258 27 270 26 272 47120 45313 31 250 29 254 31 270 30 272 45313 43625 32 252 30 256 31 265 30 266 43625 42037 30 254 29 257 32 261 31 262 42037 40537 30 261 29 256 32 257 31 261 40537 39122 32 263 29 255 32 257 31 260 39122 37756 32 263 30 256 33 255 31 256 37756 36374 31 257 32 262 30 253 30 255 36374 34946 29 255 28 262 28 261 26 256 34946 33476 26 265 24 263 24 262 23 259 33476 31948 26 268 23 265 22 265 22 262 31948 30354 21 269 22 267 21 271 20 270 30354 28696 17 267 20 269 20 275 19 276 28696 26977 13 276 15 273 14 279 14 277 26977 25199 11 281 10 277 9 276 10 263 25199 23367 11 272 10 274 8 273 8 252 23367 21473 12 259 11 264 10 271 8 257 21473 19508 12 242 12 246 11 264 8 274 19508 17512 15 241 15 244 14 264 9 288 17512 15591 15 250 16 247 15 264 9 288 15591 13842 13 259 14 250 13 262 8 277 13842 12283 11 266 12 255 11 258 9 261 12283 10893 10 274 11 262 8 257 11 253 10893 9652 10 282 9 271 2 284 11 237 9652 8542 9 285 4*289 2*322 7 189 8542 7554 8 283 3*296 2*312 4 141 7554 6675 6 275 3 292 3 296 2 104 6675 5894 5*257 4 287 4 277 1 002 5894 5189 4*243 5 277 5 268 1 307 5189 4561 5 239 5 272 5 263 2 273 4561 4035 5 237 6 269 6 260 3 247 4035 3628 6 235 6 266 6 258 4 235 3628 3348 6 235 6 265 6 258 4 230 3348 3177 6 234 6 265 6 257 3*229 3177 3079 5 234 6 263 5 256 2*233 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography