DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.0 - - 54.4 - - 57.4 - - 55.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -62 - - 34 - - 125 - - 27 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 320 - - 1476 - - 963 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3560 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 3380 - - 4537 - - 4024 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 147 - - 1274 - - 991 - - 887 - - 450 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 99 - - 244 - - 129 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 032 - - 099 - - 082 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -11 - - -2 - - -6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -46 - - -1525 - - -716 - - -643 - - -1671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3122 - - 4906 - - 5253 - - 4667 - - 4748 sfcLCL ODpotential -7633 - - -6471 - - -6317 - - -5295 - - -8686 ODpotential blCL 10709 - - 9851 - - 10854 - - 9319 - - 11763 blCL maxRH 75 - - 83 - - 86 - - 89 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.0 - - 54.4 - - 57.4 - - 55.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.2 - - 43.8 - - 45.1 - - 45.3 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 54.1 - - 56.6 - - 54.8 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.7 - - 42.4 - - 43.8 - - 44.4 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -62 - - 34 - - 125 - - 27 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 320 - - 1476 - - 963 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 31 - - 44 - - 55 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96713 19 119 16 078 10 093 20 113 21 108 96713 89582 22 106 21 103 9 111 17 112 24 096 89582 84034 22 114 16 113 8 078 15 105 18 102 84034 79419 15 095 10 131 8 028 16 120 11 097 79419 75439 11 068 8 142 5 015 13 108 11 089 75439 71909 6 007 2 238 3 096 5 148 4 059 71909 68705 3 300 11 266 8 326 5 126 1 083 68705 65758 2 331 11 257 15 277 7 265 5 294 65758 63024 14 299 13 287 16 265 15 252 13 260 63024 60374 19 280 19 284 16 266 18 241 17 249 60374 57601 25 267 25 271 23 270 23 257 23 257 57601 54714 34 272 29 265 33 257 33 253 33 254 54714 51950 37 278 32 268 34 250 32 257 32 262 51950 49443 44 279 40 267 43 258 45 266 48 274 49443 47181 48 274 46 268 49 260 53 264 56 269 47181 45135 58 276 62 278 56 268 65 270 66 265 45135 43281 49 279 68 272 67 269 77 267 71 263 43281 41601 49 310 56 268 77 275 73 274 79 269 41601 40073 91 320 54 280 75 281 81 287 89 269 40073 38666 84 313 61 282 75 283 81 283 83 265 38666 37342 70 305 69 281 74 281 69 275 73 262 37342 36057 67 299 70 280 69 279 72 276 74 261 36057 34753 64 294 65 277 63 274 70 273 77 263 34753 33402 62 293 57 274 61 273 68 270 78 265 33402 32010 57 291 52 272 56 276 66 271 72 265 32010 30564 54 288 49 272 49 274 58 270 64 263 30564 29055 51 283 46 270 47 275 48 265 59 263 29055 27483 45 277 42 269 49 279 46 264 55 263 27483 25848 43 273 43 272 50 281 48 267 52 262 25848 24153 46 271 46 277 50 281 49 260 50 257 24153 22402 49 273 48 276 49 273 51 252 48 250 22402 20593 49 275 46 269 49 262 50 258 49 250 20593 18722 48 277 43 266 43 263 45 268 49 255 18722 16822 42 283 38 273 32 267 34 276 42 259 16822 14991 35 295 31 283 22 260 23 268 30 256 14991 13322 28 305 23 289 17 248 23 250 23 248 13322 11833 22 310 16 288 14 242 22 244 20 241 11833 10505 16 316 11 286 11 238 18 241 16 231 10505 9317 13 331 6 309 8 230 13 232 15 217 9317 8256 13 358 6 004 5 209 11 220 16 209 8256 7311 15 018 7 018 4 178 10 210 16 202 7311 6475 14 025 5 032 4 161 9 198 14 190 6475 5732 12 028 3 055 4 151 8 191 12 176 5732 5065 10 029 4 067 3*117 4 171 8 166 5065 4472 10 030 4 065 4*103 3*104 6 162 4472 3976 12 026 6 044 5 096 5*081 7 142 3976 3593 15 023 7*034 5 098 5 081 7 116 3593 3329 17 022 7*032 5 099 5 082 8 098 3329 3169 15 023 6 032 5 099 5 083 7*087 3169 3077 8*028 4 032 4 099 4 083 5*081 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography