DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 74.8 - - 75.3 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 468 - - 221 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3545 - - 5208 - - 4606 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5466 - - 6852 - - 6071 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6606 - - 8270 - - 7668 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1066 - - 910 - - 1537 - - 2430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 453 - - 556 - - 416 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 200 - - 217 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 17 - - 11 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -737 - - -1163 - - -2269 - - -3831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7343 - - 9433 - - 9938 - - 6909 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5976 - - -6089 - - -7534 - - -10074 ODpotential blCL - - - 12582 - - 14359 - - 15202 - - 13152 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 62 - - 50 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 74.8 - - 75.3 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 43.8 - - 42.3 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 72.1 - - 73.6 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 43.5 - - 41.9 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 468 - - 221 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3545 - - 5208 - - 4606 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98845 19 104 13 124 11 096 15 077 98845 91413 13 102 14 109 14 115 12 079 91413 85692 14 123 14 129 13 118 11 070 85692 80944 21 117 15 137 10 104 11 095 80944 76846 22 115 15 136 10 100 14 118 76846 73223 15 086 15 110 12 106 14 121 73223 69954 5 088 9 129 8 109 11 099 69954 66957 10 146 10 156 9 177 3 221 66957 64186 6 218 3 150 6 160 6 202 64186 61503 17 232 11 265 8 247 3 203 61503 58694 20 208 26 230 22 242 19 242 58694 55789 18 228 28 232 31 241 28 242 55789 53031 36 264 36 254 38 253 40 258 53031 50559 58 260 54 261 53 260 64 264 50559 48351 69 254 68 257 73 260 85 261 48351 46343 76 251 78 251 85 256 94 257 46343 44495 77 251 80 249 89 252 96 254 44495 42777 77 252 79 249 88 252 94 253 42777 41173 76 253 77 251 85 252 92 255 41173 39673 75 254 77 254 82 254 90 256 39673 38267 74 255 77 255 81 258 88 258 38267 36922 73 254 76 254 82 259 86 258 36922 35565 68 251 73 252 80 257 82 257 35565 34165 62 247 69 250 76 254 78 255 34165 32725 61 246 65 248 71 250 74 251 32725 31232 61 245 62 248 64 249 71 247 31232 29676 58 243 60 247 59 249 68 245 29676 28058 55 243 58 245 60 248 63 245 28058 26378 53 242 54 243 58 247 59 247 26378 24639 50 242 51 242 52 246 54 246 24639 22845 48 241 48 242 46 247 47 245 22845 20989 44 239 45 242 43 248 41 243 20989 19066 39 236 43 242 41 246 38 241 19066 17112 35 234 39 241 38 243 36 239 17112 15233 32 234 35 238 34 240 32 236 15233 13526 29 234 31 235 31 236 28 230 13526 12006 28 233 28 229 28 229 26 224 12006 10652 24 230 24 222 24 220 23 216 10652 9445 20 223 19 210 19 205 18 201 9445 8368 16 211 10*194 10*198 15 185 8368 7410 12*194 9*192 9*203 13 179 7410 6559 9*179 9 193 9 208 10 178 6559 5802 9 177 9 196 9 213 7 183 5802 5120 8 180 9 199 9 218 6 209 5120 4513 8 183 9 202 10 222 7 230 4513 4003 8 188 9 205 10 225 9 234 4003 3610 8 191 9 207 10 226 9 237 3610 3338 7 193 9 209 10 227 9 237 3338 3173 7 194 8 209 9 228 7 236 3173 3078 6 194 8 209 8 228 4*235 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography