DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.6 - - 45.2 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 51 - - 68 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1173 - - 2192 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3553 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 4233 - - 5252 - - 3076 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1792 - - 3056 - - 3322 - - 5445 - - 2765 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 172 - - 229 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 298 - - 319 - - 302 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - -4 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1024 - - -205 - - 1645 - - -352 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4100 - - 4438 - - 3608 - - 3428 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential -3901 - - -1807 - - 507 - - -1219 - - -704 ODpotential blCL 6977 - - 6040 - - 4745 - - 4295 - - 3780 blCL maxRH 85 - - 77 - - 96 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 130 - - 140 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 39.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.6 - - 45.2 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 36.5 - - 40.5 - - 40.8 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 44.6 - - 45.1 - - 45.2 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 35.3 - - 39.3 - - 39.8 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 51 - - 68 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1173 - - 2192 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 7 - - 85 - - 97 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96344 43 298 46 293 44 292 44 289 48 284 96344 89132 37 301 29 305 27 303 29 291 32 296 89132 83556 31 291 24 306 21 303 19 306 27 299 83556 78931 20 294 16 300 19 284 20 306 21 305 78931 74952 17 307 12 320 16 304 18 289 19 325 74952 71426 19 294 17 290 20 313 16 301 21 304 71426 68240 16 277 12 292 20 288 22 305 15 297 68240 65308 13 284 16 303 20 289 23 274 15 320 65308 62568 24 281 28 274 28 277 26 290 21 307 62568 59898 28 271 35 271 32 277 37 283 27 296 59898 57114 34 274 35 270 37 276 34 277 31 284 57114 54231 43 275 38 280 42 269 36 275 36 275 54231 51472 55 273 52 272 49 265 45 276 40 274 51472 48975 64 273 59 266 58 265 55 272 47 275 48975 46728 72 270 64 265 65 266 60 268 53 268 46728 44685 82 266 72 265 72 266 63 265 57 261 44685 42811 89 264 85 265 79 265 68 262 58 264 42811 41081 98 261 98 265 88 264 73 263 69 266 41081 39475 101 257 106 262 100 262 88 263 84 262 39475 37979 101 253 108 258 106 259 98 259 90 257 37979 36579 100 252 105 255 108 255 99 255 84 259 36579 35242 100 255 100 254 105 253 93 256 85 262 35242 33906 103 258 96 256 100 257 96 260 90 263 33906 32544 107 258 101 259 102 260 103 261 92 261 32544 31158 107 257 109 258 107 260 106 259 93 260 31158 29734 102 256 107 257 105 261 103 259 91 259 29734 28256 94 255 100 258 103 262 102 259 88 258 28256 26722 89 256 93 260 104 262 101 260 85 259 26722 25130 87 258 85 260 87 261 81 259 75 260 25130 23487 83 257 79 259 72 261 61 258 64 261 23487 21792 75 259 73 260 65 262 57 262 57 265 21792 20039 67 261 66 262 59 264 49 270 47 271 20039 18224 59 260 56 262 51 265 39 282 37 277 18224 16382 52 258 45 260 41 269 31 289 30 279 16382 14610 43 259 33 265 29 274 26 288 26 280 14610 12998 30 261 23 274 18 276 19 284 22 281 12998 11561 19 264 17 280 13 277 15 278 17 285 11561 10279 13 270 12 277 12 287 12 279 13 286 10279 9134 11 284 8 281 11 299 9 294 8 282 9134 8112 10 298 7 301 10 308 6 326 5 279 8112 7200 10 308 7 313 9 313 5 335 3 268 7200 6390 10 312 8 315 9 317 5 333 2 253 6390 5670 11 315 9 313 9*321 5 328 1 307 5670 5021 11 316 9 309 9*321 5 323 3 345 5021 4442 11 317 8*307 9 320 5 315 4 343 4442 3957 12 318 7*305 9 319 5 310 6 343 3957 3583 11 322 6 298 8 318 5 305 6 342 3583 3324 9 327 5 294 8 317 5 305 5 341 3324 3167 7 330 5 292 7 317 4 303 4 338 3167 3076 4*341 4 292 6 316 3*302 3*337 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography