DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 70.8 - - 69.6 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 175 - - 65 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 331 - - 1189 - - 987 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3514 - - 3062 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3392 - - 4251 - - 4049 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 605 - - 1455 - - 1183 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 253 - - 173 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 054 - - 029 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -11 - - -16 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4390 - - -5307 - - -4996 - - -3717 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7783 - - 9559 - - 9046 - - 6796 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11457 - - -11109 - - -10916 - - -12088 ODpotential blCL - - - 14849 - - 15360 - - 14965 - - 15166 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 74 - - 51 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 70.8 - - 69.6 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 40.1 - - 41.1 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 69.5 - - 69.0 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 38.8 - - 39.9 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 175 - - 65 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 331 - - 1189 - - 987 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96374 18 303 16 295 20 304 9 301 96374 89221 10 324 13 292 14 314 9 030 89221 83737 13 349 6 280 12 320 12 004 83737 79185 16 332 9 314 14 314 17 345 79185 75282 11 332 14 307 16 306 25 328 75282 71848 21 339 23 331 19 329 23 324 71848 68743 26 321 29 324 27 339 23 340 68743 65885 26 319 27 323 30 334 25 341 65885 63235 23 319 24 316 27 324 25 328 63235 60670 21 311 23 311 26 320 25 313 60670 57988 26 314 26 318 27 319 27 313 57988 55185 32 307 32 308 31 315 31 316 55185 52486 32 300 35 304 32 309 33 309 52486 50041 29 298 36 292 34 305 34 310 50041 47840 28 304 33 285 33 290 37 302 47840 45844 30 314 29 297 30 286 35 291 45844 44025 33 315 33 311 31 296 34 296 44025 42359 39 309 37 312 35 300 40 298 42359 40819 42 304 41 309 37 304 36 297 40819 39381 45 299 45 305 40 306 42 305 39381 38031 46 300 48 298 48 305 51 307 38031 36734 45 304 44 296 51 303 52 303 36734 35418 37 307 40 296 51 302 50 302 35418 34057 31 310 37 294 43 299 46 305 34057 32653 28 312 34 292 35 294 38 299 32653 31195 27 312 30 293 33 294 37 291 31195 29668 27 301 30 290 33 295 38 292 29668 28076 32 296 33 290 35 294 38 292 28076 26418 34 289 34 287 36 292 36 293 26418 24695 35 285 31 288 33 295 32 296 24695 22912 32 287 27 294 28 301 27 303 22912 21064 28 293 24 301 26 308 25 310 21064 19146 25 299 23 305 26 311 25 312 19146 17192 21 313 22 313 25 315 26 316 17192 15310 18 327 21 322 23 322 25 323 15310 13596 16 343 19 331 20 330 23 329 13596 12069 13 003 16 343 17 341 20 336 12069 10707 10 021 11 000 13 355 15 344 10707 9489 8 028 8 020 10 009 10 354 9489 8402 7 032 7 028 8 013 7 001 8402 7432 9 040 7 041 7 011 5 002 7432 6573 11 045 9 051 8 018 5 360 6573 5809 14 048 12 055 11 024 6 010 5809 5122 16 049 12 054 13 027 10 018 5122 4511 17 049 12*055 13*028 14 020 4511 4000 17 048 11*054 12*029 17 020 4000 3607 16*046 10 054 11 029 17 021 3607 3336 13*045 10 054 11 029 16 024 3336 3171 11 046 9 054 10 028 13*026 3171 3078 7 046 7 055 7 028 7*027 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography