DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.5 - - 60.1 - - 65.0 - - 63.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 0 - - -2 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 316 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3078 - - 3377 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 255 - - 538 - - 816 - - 458 - - 279 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 10 - - 74 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 281 - - 214 - - 078 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -8 - - 1 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12369 - - -10473 - - -4695 - - -2578 - - -7636 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15447 - - 13551 - - 8072 - - 5656 - - 10714 sfcLCL ODpotential -22767 - - -18880 - - -11023 - - -8652 - - -17170 ODpotential blCL 25844 - - 21958 - - 14400 - - 11730 - - 20247 blCL maxRH 44 - - 41 - - 35 - - 34 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.5 - - 60.1 - - 65.0 - - 63.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.4 - - 12.8 - - 40.9 - - 49.5 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.5 - - 64.3 - - 65.4 - - 65.0 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -0.6 - - 11.7 - - 39.7 - - 48.1 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 0 - - -2 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 316 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96291 18 095 11 048 21 069 12 107 29 094 96291 89325 30 086 22 103 14 091 25 086 28 084 89325 83930 29 084 27 091 13 080 24 081 20 087 83930 79430 27 083 23 079 14 084 19 079 18 084 79430 75516 29 080 17 092 12 075 14 050 19 075 75516 72040 26 076 20 094 13 098 11 050 17 086 72040 68888 14 059 19 069 16 094 12 060 16 089 68888 65986 8 338 13 036 15 071 14 052 15 060 65986 63308 16 125 3 081 8 071 4 056 8 013 63308 60723 31 045 13 076 10 122 11 200 7 276 60723 58023 29 359 30 024 36 045 31 079 29 109 58023 55246 22 304 25 350 42 007 41 037 35 065 55246 52612 12 149 6 255 19 327 29 358 31 026 52612 50220 42 077 35 100 12 154 9 229 23 358 50220 48048 52 059 49 085 39 107 21 147 8 239 48048 46057 51 060 50 078 44 100 33 128 14 173 46057 44218 43 071 42 081 40 103 36 124 28 137 44218 42510 28 080 38 081 39 102 35 120 38 125 42510 40923 30 146 24 089 32 093 32 101 37 116 40923 39456 40 151 28 139 20 096 25 111 35 097 39456 38092 46 141 34 149 23 142 29 140 27 109 38092 36785 47 137 37 146 30 144 37 147 32 153 36785 35464 43 139 40 143 33 139 42 148 41 161 35464 34099 38 137 39 142 33 132 43 148 45 159 34099 32694 38 120 33 132 31 130 43 150 43 155 32694 31234 38 110 36 124 33 134 42 153 38 153 31234 29708 38 111 39 129 39 140 40 153 36 149 29708 28116 38 119 33 126 37 140 37 146 33 143 28116 26461 33 124 29 117 28 133 36 143 28 133 26461 24745 25 116 27 105 30 116 33 132 30 120 24745 22967 22 100 27 098 30 106 32 119 31 114 22967 21120 22 098 27 101 28 105 32 113 30 111 21120 19196 22 109 27 109 25 108 30 111 26 110 19196 17237 24 113 26 117 24 115 26 110 20 106 17237 15349 25 114 24 121 24 124 18 107 14 095 15349 13631 22 118 23 119 21 129 12 099 11 086 13631 12098 16 120 20 124 16 126 9 084 10 075 12098 10731 13 121 16 139 13 126 5 048 9 063 10731 9508 11 131 12 154 12 142 4 355 10 054 9508 8415 10 145 9 170 10 160 5 335 10 054 8415 7441 8 165 9 188 8 188 5 321 8 062 7441 6577 8 187 11 203 9 219 6 303 6 070 6577 5809 9 200 14 211 11 231 8 288 3 089 5809 5120 9 203 16 215 12 220 9 282 3 158 5120 4509 7 201 16 217 12 211 10 277 4 180 4509 3998 5 197 15 215 10 211 8 274 4 178 3998 3606 3 203 11 211 6*216 5 270 5 160 3606 3335 1 204 7 209 3*218 1 279 5 140 3335 3172 0 211 4*204 2 213 1*073 4 125 3172 3077 1*039 0*281 2 211 2*078 3*111 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography