DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 67.1 - - 71.2 - - 66.8 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 101 - - 184 - - -3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 789 - - 2132 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 4175 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3850 - - 5194 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 233 - - 1364 - - 1370 - - 2643 - - 264 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 180 - - 305 - - 14 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 107 - - 194 - - 207 - - 230 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4431 - - -7586 - - -7587 - - -7779 - - -4169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7508 - - 11436 - - 12782 - - 10858 - - 7246 sfcLCL ODpotential -15056 - - -15614 - - -15264 - - -15043 - - -13547 ODpotential blCL 18133 - - 19464 - - 20458 - - 18121 - - 16624 blCL maxRH 36 - - 61 - - 57 - - 32 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 67.1 - - 71.2 - - 66.8 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.2 - - 28.3 - - 26.3 - - 30.4 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.7 - - 66.3 - - 69.8 - - 67.0 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 27.3 - - 25.1 - - 29.5 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 101 - - 184 - - -3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 789 - - 2132 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96465 54 291 44 283 49 277 52 276 53 285 96465 89381 33 290 26 277 34 283 34 281 30 295 89381 83927 22 280 22 288 22 269 26 287 22 289 83927 79388 11 274 20 284 21 278 13 284 25 291 79388 75461 11 282 18 285 20 281 10 273 27 291 75461 71968 14 285 18 291 17 272 14 270 27 283 71968 68797 12 286 17 281 20 265 17 281 23 279 68797 65898 9 286 14 265 20 256 23 276 19 278 65898 63232 10 301 10 285 16 258 26 273 21 272 63232 60654 15 281 14 284 18 272 25 268 25 259 60654 57959 20 284 19 279 22 278 24 261 27 258 57959 55163 27 290 26 284 25 275 26 256 32 254 55163 52493 27 296 28 287 31 275 32 266 35 254 52493 50079 25 303 27 284 34 269 42 269 43 260 50079 47912 29 307 31 289 39 273 48 272 50 268 47912 45947 32 300 36 287 43 277 50 274 51 274 45947 44154 31 292 38 283 43 279 47 274 50 283 44154 42502 32 295 38 285 42 283 42 276 49 284 42502 40965 32 303 38 291 42 290 37 282 45 283 40965 39521 32 316 31 298 38 287 36 283 42 278 39521 38155 31 324 25 305 29 278 36 281 39 274 38155 36838 28 324 26 304 26 278 34 280 39 276 36838 35505 25 319 26 299 25 282 34 285 36 280 35505 34129 24 314 26 300 22 289 33 289 32 288 34129 32713 22 315 24 306 19 300 28 291 30 294 32713 31244 18 331 19 317 15 303 18 295 25 292 31244 29708 11 349 12 336 7 314 14 300 19 291 29708 28108 12 012 9 347 3 328 7 301 17 286 28108 26442 15 026 10 010 4 356 2 233 8 267 26442 24708 17 029 14 031 7 054 3 270 9 239 24708 22912 18 029 14 038 8 066 3 342 11 265 22912 21055 17 026 12 031 7 045 5 350 12 299 21055 19134 14 027 10 025 7 017 7 348 12 318 19134 17182 10 030 7 019 7 353 8 346 13 331 17182 15299 7 021 5 351 8 338 10 347 13 342 15299 13582 7 017 6 338 9 337 10 348 12 350 13582 12050 9 027 6 344 7 339 8 351 10 360 12050 10684 9 032 6 345 6 338 6 359 6 011 10684 9463 5 035 4 331 5 330 4 004 3 012 9463 8375 1 050 3 268 3 293 2 015 1 043 8375 7407 6 188 9 206 7 211 3 210 2 172 7407 6551 14 184 16 195 13 200 8 222 5 186 6551 5791 19 183 20 192 14*202 11 226 6 180 5791 5108 21 184 21 194 14*204 11 226 5 163 5108 4502 20 184 20 195 13 205 10 228 5 149 4502 3995 19 182 17*195 12 207 9 229 5 127 3995 3604 16 174 13*194 12 208 9 230 6 103 3604 3335 13 164 11 194 11 209 8 230 7 088 3335 3171 9 151 10 194 10 210 7*231 7 080 3171 3077 4*107 8 194 8 210 5*230 6*073 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography