DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 48.3 - - 47.7 - - 47.3 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 33 - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 581 - - 16 - - 924 - - 126 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3641 - - 3077 - - 3984 - - 3187 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2016 - - 2117 - - 2026 - - 1673 - - 1918 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 115 - - 28 - - 108 - - 39 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 259 - - 261 - - 239 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 12 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 564 - - 0 - - 907 - - 111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 208 - - -17 - - 299 - - -69 ODpotential blCL 3077 - - 3433 - - 3094 - - 3685 - - 3256 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 48.3 - - 47.7 - - 47.3 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.7 - - 47.2 - - 47.6 - - 45.7 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 47.9 - - 47.6 - - 47.2 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 46.7 - - 47.5 - - 45.3 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 33 - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 581 - - 16 - - 924 - - 126 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 97 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96589 24 092 12 028 8 078 6 013 10 044 96589 89483 14 072 22 074 17 084 12 082 19 064 89483 83944 4 058 22 077 14 087 12 078 16 064 83944 79334 2 092 9 083 11 072 11 053 12 063 79334 75374 5 081 6 083 3 009 12 024 13 044 75374 71871 7 088 2 047 4 351 10 330 10 020 71871 68691 5 097 4 251 10 308 4 315 6 344 68691 65757 5 254 5 224 11 274 4 220 5 303 65757 63012 12 237 11 222 16 257 5 195 6 253 63012 60329 18 219 16 211 19 243 5 230 7 261 60329 57519 17 209 17 215 21 240 13 254 16 285 57519 54600 18 235 16 225 21 229 19 263 21 268 54600 51816 21 236 16 251 15 249 23 262 25 266 51816 49324 18 241 26 278 22 272 32 272 27 268 49324 47099 18 251 28 276 26 284 32 272 32 276 47099 45079 18 265 27 286 30 288 32 279 37 273 45079 43221 17 275 27 296 36 292 36 279 40 274 43221 41503 12 297 27 309 44 296 43 276 47 282 41503 39915 22 341 33 325 47 299 49 276 56 281 39915 38445 34 334 43 334 49 299 60 270 59 272 38445 37082 48 331 51 331 49 298 59 263 56 269 37082 35782 46 338 48 328 49 298 55 263 55 272 35782 34474 49 340 47 319 49 299 59 270 56 274 34474 33126 53 336 48 308 48 301 62 274 59 273 33126 31741 53 337 43 310 48 302 61 274 64 272 31741 30306 51 342 41 316 47 305 56 273 67 270 30306 28811 49 343 40 318 47 309 51 274 68 268 28811 27252 49 342 40 320 48 309 48 275 66 266 27252 25633 47 343 39 326 48 309 48 275 63 266 25633 23955 43 344 37 333 41 311 49 278 58 267 23955 22220 40 343 34 334 36 310 50 282 55 268 22220 20421 33 341 32 322 37 311 45 287 50 270 20421 18554 21 326 30 315 37 313 36 289 43 271 18554 16657 13 293 32 314 35 308 30 288 36 267 16657 14834 15 279 32 314 29 305 27 286 30 263 14834 13178 14 270 28 315 26 304 24 288 25 264 13178 11705 10 299 22 318 22 299 20 293 19 266 11705 10393 14 322 18 308 16 293 18 297 14 269 10393 9221 14 317 19 295 12 281 16 294 11 273 9221 8175 15 302 20 291 13 268 15 285 10 270 8175 7244 17 289 19 290 16 265 17 272 10 263 7244 6419 18 283 16 289 18 266 17 261 11 251 6419 5689 18 281 14 285 19 267 17 252 14 239 5689 5033 18 279 12 279 19 267 17 244 16 230 5033 4451 18 276 11 270 18 266 17*241 18 225 4451 3963 17 269 10*264 17 264 16*240 17 223 3963 3586 15 261 10*260 16 264 15 239 16 222 3586 3326 13 256 9 260 14 263 14 239 14*221 3326 3167 12*254 8 259 12*263 12 239 12*221 3167 3077 8*252 6 257 8*261 8 239 8 221 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography