DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.7 - - 70.2 - - 77.7 - - 76.6 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 256 - - 378 - - 198 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1668 - - 3974 - - 3764 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3965 - - 5815 - - 5401 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4730 - - 7036 - - 6826 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 429 - - 947 - - 1237 - - 1389 - - 1553 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 316 - - 478 - - 379 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 20 - - 21 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 267 - - 319 - - 353 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 7 - - 23 - - 21 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6194 - - -4005 - - -4764 - - -3975 - - -5213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9272 - - 8736 - - 11801 - - 10801 - - 8291 sfcLCL ODpotential -13954 - - -10657 - - -9982 - - -9165 - - -12300 ODpotential blCL 17031 - - 15387 - - 17018 - - 15991 - - 15378 blCL maxRH 20 - - 49 - - 75 - - 65 - - 34 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.7 - - 70.2 - - 77.7 - - 76.6 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 42.8 - - 36.7 - - 39.9 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.1 - - 68.5 - - 75.3 - - 75.1 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.6 - - 41.5 - - 35.4 - - 38.8 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 256 - - 378 - - 198 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1668 - - 3974 - - 3764 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97825 7 271 15 263 21 277 17 307 13 302 97825 90400 13 268 16 268 14 278 17 283 15 286 90400 84658 12 299 12 273 14 284 19 281 17 292 84658 79906 15 320 7 296 12 280 16 283 17 310 79906 75852 16 300 11 308 11 302 10 293 15 316 75852 72304 14 287 16 298 16 313 12 330 13 324 72304 69099 13 315 12 299 17 311 11 329 14 315 69099 66140 18 328 8 307 16 303 15 318 17 310 66140 63389 21 324 10 316 17 304 17 308 16 319 63389 60729 23 315 14 322 16 302 16 313 13 330 60729 57960 21 312 16 322 14 311 16 310 10 351 57960 55100 18 311 19 329 16 317 19 326 19 343 55100 52411 18 322 21 341 16 341 23 335 19 334 52411 50022 19 346 23 358 19 352 19 344 19 336 50022 47885 27 004 27 006 22 353 23 340 23 327 47885 45943 37 009 31 006 23 350 27 342 37 334 45943 44168 45 007 38 004 29 352 34 337 40 329 44168 42527 46 003 47 360 36 349 33 336 36 328 42527 40990 41 003 45 358 40 347 34 337 34 328 40990 39540 36 007 40 355 39 347 33 337 34 328 39540 38173 33 004 37 354 35 347 31 340 33 328 38173 36853 24 360 30 356 33 344 30 343 30 328 36853 35516 20 358 27 355 30 342 29 342 28 330 35516 34133 20 348 26 353 26 336 28 337 26 330 34133 32708 16 318 24 351 25 330 27 333 26 328 32708 31227 14 303 21 344 23 328 23 328 26 327 31227 29681 13 307 19 335 17 322 21 319 25 323 29681 28070 14 312 18 329 15 318 19 296 23 316 28070 26399 14 319 16 325 16 326 16 292 22 312 26399 24671 11 327 13 319 15 331 18 310 22 304 24671 22890 10 310 12 306 16 328 21 323 22 301 22890 21044 10 293 12 301 14 313 19 328 19 311 21044 19127 8 292 10 293 12 306 15 323 15 322 19127 17174 7 291 8 275 9 291 12 311 13 319 17174 15294 6 290 8 255 8 263 9 296 11 312 15294 13581 6 290 9 239 9 244 8 283 10 310 13581 12056 6 285 10 241 9 243 8 280 10 314 12056 10695 5 277 9 254 8 255 7 283 9 322 10695 9481 5 275 8 268 7 272 6 292 9 326 9481 8396 5 281 8 280 5 292 3 301 9 327 8396 7430 6 286 7 289 3*342 2*356 8 319 7430 6574 6 289 7 295 3*347 3*005 7 304 6574 5812 6 284 6 296 3 340 4 003 6 293 5812 5126 4 284 3*286 4 327 5 357 4 315 5126 4516 3 265 2*279 5 314 6 351 7 360 4516 4005 3 309 3 270 5 309 6 349 9 010 4005 3611 5 342 3 266 5 305 6 346 10 009 3611 3339 6 351 3 264 5 303 6 345 9 007 3339 3173 6 353 3 262 5 302 6 344 6*004 3173 3078 4*006 3 259 4 300 5 342 4*001 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography