DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 57.8 - - 54.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 78 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 937 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3998 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 980 - - 752 - - 1138 - - 541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 181 - - 11 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 17 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 189 - - 222 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 6 - - 2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3667 - - -1418 - - -828 - - -953 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6744 - - 5417 - - 3905 - - 4030 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9923 - - -6893 - - -6180 - - -9079 ODpotential blCL - - - 13000 - - 10891 - - 9257 - - 12156 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 72 - - 75 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 57.8 - - 54.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 44.8 - - 48.0 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 57.1 - - 54.9 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 43.5 - - 47.0 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 78 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 937 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96662 28 085 14 074 25 087 14 116 96662 89457 25 093 16 081 27 088 21 095 89457 83867 15 095 15 081 20 078 22 092 83867 79230 11 094 11 098 13 047 21 081 79230 75236 10 084 8 105 14 008 18 056 75236 71697 12 056 6 090 12 348 15 051 71697 68487 10 357 5 019 9 339 11 037 68487 65537 8 330 7 324 12 340 11 008 65537 62799 13 326 13 323 13 312 12 318 62799 60148 19 319 16 293 13 287 14 292 60148 57384 25 305 20 291 20 297 20 301 57384 54512 28 284 31 290 30 293 30 298 54512 51768 29 276 33 281 33 275 35 289 51768 49295 32 279 30 272 29 265 34 284 49295 47077 35 270 28 274 25 278 30 286 47077 45071 38 269 33 276 25 295 23 293 45071 43242 43 263 35 272 24 294 17 300 43242 41567 40 253 33 262 22 287 14 327 41567 40026 35 252 27 266 23 288 19 003 40026 38594 35 259 34 277 25 292 24 012 38594 37254 38 260 38 273 30 294 26 012 37254 35967 36 261 36 273 30 294 23 012 35967 34669 31 262 33 274 26 299 19 014 34669 33331 27 263 27 274 24 299 18 017 33331 31956 26 264 21 278 21 296 17 009 31956 30528 24 260 21 290 19 300 16 350 30528 29036 21 265 25 291 20 297 15 331 29036 27482 23 274 26 291 22 296 16 323 27482 25866 25 285 25 285 25 299 16 314 25866 24190 24 292 23 283 26 298 19 304 24190 22456 22 291 20 292 23 297 20 301 22456 20657 21 292 19 297 20 298 18 306 20657 18784 22 292 22 290 19 290 17 309 18784 16874 22 289 23 279 20 282 15 302 16874 15035 19 284 21 273 20 281 15 299 15035 13357 15 282 18 275 18 287 14 300 13357 11862 12 285 14 280 15 295 13 298 11862 10527 10 292 11 284 11 302 11 293 10527 9335 10 299 9 289 8 304 10 286 9335 8271 10 302 8 294 7 303 8 281 8271 7322 8 302 8 301 6 307 6 278 7322 6483 6 297 6 306 5 312 5 281 6483 5738 4 285 4 305 4 317 4 295 5738 5068 3 272 2 289 3 306 4 315 5068 4473 2 250 1*206 2 269 5 322 4473 3977 2 239 1*188 2 243 6 322 3977 3594 2 247 2 190 2 232 5 326 3594 3329 2 259 2 187 3 227 5 341 3329 3169 2*263 2 188 2 226 5*359 3169 3077 1*261 2 188 2*222 4*008 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography