DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 53.9 - - 55.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 64 - - -10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 171 - - 1123 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 817 - - 818 - - 818 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 931 - - 1883 - - 835 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 250 - - 854 - - 2111 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 65 - - 178 - - 30 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 231 - - 221 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1028 - - -697 - - -1859 - - -546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1960 - - 2580 - - 2694 - - 1382 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11934 - - -9086 - - -9098 - - -9631 ODpotential blCL - - - 12865 - - 10969 - - 9933 - - 10466 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 78 - - 63 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 53.9 - - 55.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.8 - - 45.6 - - 47.0 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 53.3 - - 56.4 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 44.4 - - 45.7 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 64 - - -10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 171 - - 1123 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95897 55 254 71 259 61 254 58 254 95897 88910 29 273 41 249 47 263 40 271 88910 83513 28 289 28 259 29 267 25 279 83513 79005 27 283 26 270 25 255 20 273 79005 75090 20 271 19 265 26 248 26 272 75090 71594 12 275 14 271 22 245 22 269 71594 68408 14 282 16 288 21 246 20 280 68408 65490 18 276 19 290 19 264 23 274 65490 62802 18 268 18 274 22 279 25 271 62802 60191 17 281 24 262 25 280 26 273 60191 57451 35 293 31 276 38 276 41 278 57451 54603 46 282 47 279 52 270 53 271 54603 51876 42 286 52 280 51 273 49 269 51876 49424 49 290 53 282 54 284 53 278 49424 47238 47 290 53 284 52 285 55 274 47238 45266 44 297 54 287 57 291 61 284 45266 43473 54 296 61 289 67 290 71 288 43473 41827 56 293 65 287 66 286 74 288 41827 40301 53 296 58 292 64 292 74 288 40301 38871 52 301 58 304 64 296 75 291 38871 37524 53 303 61 306 65 297 76 294 37524 36216 52 303 61 305 64 297 76 294 36216 34881 49 303 57 299 64 297 75 294 34881 33490 47 306 59 289 63 291 73 296 33490 32046 45 307 61 284 65 286 68 290 32046 30534 43 304 60 282 67 286 70 285 30534 28941 43 300 57 284 65 288 68 286 28941 27272 45 300 55 288 59 289 62 286 27272 25525 47 300 53 290 53 290 59 283 25525 23699 45 298 48 288 50 289 54 281 23699 21798 42 296 44 285 46 287 50 279 21798 19816 42 293 41 286 43 288 48 281 19816 17746 41 290 37 284 37 279 45 281 17746 15633 35 286 34 278 36 278 38 275 15633 13602 30 285 30 275 35 276 33 272 13602 11761 28 290 27 277 32 271 32 277 11761 10123 27 295 24 282 29 272 32 277 10123 8668 25 299 21 282 26 272 28 275 8668 7375 22 304 18 280 24 269 27 270 7375 6232 17 312 15 275 21 265 26 265 6232 5224 12 314 14 267 20 261 27 260 5224 4339 9 294 13 260 18 259 27 256 4339 3561 8 273 12 256 18 253 25 251 3561 2868 9 246 13 249 18 241 21 241 2868 2258 10 226 12*245 15 233 20 234 2258 1749 8 214 9*233 12 228 19 229 1749 1358 6 198 9 231 10 226 17 224 1358 1089 3*163 8 230 9 224 14 218 1089 927 2*165 8 230 7*223 10*212 927 835 2 165 7 229 5*221 6*210 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography