DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 9.6 - - 17.2 - - 21.8 - - 16.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 20 - - -8 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 71 - - 624 - - 72 - - 72 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 815 - - 815 - - 815 - - 816 Hcrit BL Top - - - 831 - - 1384 - - 832 - - 832 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1168 - - 910 - - 1774 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 97 - - 16 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 223 - - 233 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1651 - - -1582 - - -1601 - - -729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2483 - - 2966 - - 2433 - - 1561 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -21898 - - -19898 - - -17160 - - -17586 ODpotential blCL - - - 22729 - - 21282 - - 17992 - - 18418 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 63 - - 71 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 9.6 - - 17.2 - - 21.8 - - 16.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 2.1 - - 7.5 - - 14.4 - - 13.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 9.7 - - 17.2 - - 22.5 - - 20.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 1.3 - - 6.6 - - 13.8 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 20 - - -8 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 71 - - 624 - - 72 - - 72 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95305 58 331 67 328 66 326 73 325 95305 88535 56 330 61 321 65 318 64 314 88535 83288 52 323 53 319 55 316 50 311 83288 78839 46 316 48 308 54 303 46 315 78839 74950 45 311 49 298 54 294 48 309 74950 71491 47 301 46 291 50 293 45 300 71491 68327 46 300 44 283 51 298 45 301 68327 65390 40 307 42 296 52 296 53 302 65390 62676 43 315 44 296 46 296 52 294 62676 60051 44 309 37 303 42 295 50 291 60051 57287 46 311 43 318 48 283 55 301 57287 54391 52 311 53 311 52 294 54 305 54391 51605 54 305 59 303 54 301 59 313 51605 49093 53 307 58 303 57 306 65 306 49093 46847 61 310 59 300 62 303 65 301 46847 44817 67 306 65 304 64 308 62 311 44817 42966 68 305 72 310 71 315 68 319 42966 41271 75 308 75 310 78 311 75 315 41271 39718 74 309 75 304 76 306 75 311 39718 38284 80 322 78 306 75 305 71 309 38284 36937 89 320 81 309 75 304 68 308 36937 35634 92 317 83 307 75 303 69 303 35634 34311 92 314 82 306 82 300 72 300 34311 32936 88 312 82 311 87 298 78 298 32936 31512 83 311 81 313 85 299 83 298 31512 30022 81 313 75 310 79 301 83 298 30022 28454 78 315 75 308 76 301 76 299 28454 26809 74 318 77 306 73 301 70 301 26809 25088 69 319 72 303 69 302 63 307 25088 23291 72 312 70 301 65 302 61 311 23291 21419 78 308 71 300 62 300 58 309 21419 19465 80 309 71 302 61 306 52 310 19465 17426 76 307 68 306 56 315 46 314 17426 15341 72 302 60 309 51 314 40 312 15341 13325 66 298 48 303 46 310 36 309 13325 11489 61 296 46 295 42 302 34 306 11489 9859 58 295 47 295 42 297 34 305 9859 8416 51 288 44 299 45 301 34 312 8416 7138 44 280 39 297 44 312 28 323 7138 6006 43 268 35 284 32 319 20 326 6006 5006 44 263 32 274 26 304 21 322 5006 4135 49 257 33 274 25 287 22 318 4135 3383 50 244 37 257 24 272 20 293 3383 2728 46 231 35 243 25 252 18 271 2728 2158 37 218 31 236 22 246 17 251 2158 1683 29 209 24*227 17 237 14 239 1683 1319 24 205 21*224 16 236 12 232 1319 1070 21 203 19 223 13 234 10 217 1070 918 19 202 17 223 11*233 8 208 918 832 15*202 14 222 9*233 5*202 832 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography