DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0959z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.2 - - 59.2 - - 63.7 - - 66.9 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - -9 - - 4 - - 64 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 69 - - 70 - - 195 - - 821 - - 71 BL Depth Hcrit 813 - - 813 - - 814 - - 814 - - 814 Hcrit BL Top 829 - - 830 - - 955 - - 1581 - - 831 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 670 - - 856 - - 1295 - - 1007 - - 1283 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 0 - - 40 - - 159 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 088 - - 101 - - 155 - - 207 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -99 - - 0 - - 73 - - 467 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 928 - - 830 - - 882 - - 1114 - - 831 sfcLCL ODpotential -7257 - - -4049 - - -334 - - 143 - - -1047 ODpotential blCL 8086 - - 4879 - - 1289 - - 1438 - - 1878 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 70 - - 100 - - 300 - - 550 CAPE Temp@2m 55.2 - - 59.2 - - 63.7 - - 66.9 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.0 - - 58.5 - - 62.4 - - 64.5 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 59.3 - - 63.6 - - 66.2 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 58.7 - - 62.3 - - 63.9 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - -9 - - 4 - - 64 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 69 - - 70 - - 195 - - 821 - - 71 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98130 12 088 5 157 7 150 3 207 4 242 98130 90701 5 045 3 244 4 174 7 275 4 028 90701 84987 5 049 3 271 2 253 5 233 7 358 84987 80289 6 027 1 239 3 307 2 256 4 344 80289 76274 5 002 1 269 3 192 7 297 4 348 76274 72740 1 073 3 219 2 241 6 288 8 342 72740 69548 1 342 3 209 5 263 9 271 12 337 69548 66615 5 317 6 272 6 273 12 247 12 296 66615 63893 12 293 6 269 8 257 11 245 12 263 63893 61247 20 270 15 288 10 256 13 250 14 242 61247 58470 26 255 21 260 16 264 13 273 16 263 58470 55586 28 251 26 249 26 253 26 270 22 264 55586 52838 31 256 28 246 32 234 34 241 29 254 52838 50359 34 238 30 244 29 239 34 240 33 251 50359 48136 31 237 41 251 37 250 41 249 38 253 48136 46130 44 245 52 245 47 248 50 247 48 257 46130 44303 53 246 55 240 53 243 55 243 60 258 44303 42619 63 249 63 238 59 238 62 243 70 250 42619 41062 68 245 71 233 65 230 69 237 74 240 41062 39609 62 237 70 230 74 222 70 231 74 234 39609 38242 61 231 70 230 78 223 68 227 71 234 38242 36919 61 229 70 230 77 225 67 225 70 235 36919 35569 61 230 69 232 71 225 66 225 68 234 35569 34164 60 231 64 234 64 225 66 225 66 233 34164 32706 56 230 56 236 59 225 63 228 64 234 32706 31177 49 232 48 235 55 224 60 235 61 237 31177 29565 42 237 42 232 54 223 56 240 52 240 29565 27872 37 238 36 229 48 226 49 239 43 241 27872 26097 38 233 29 228 41 226 45 235 39 242 26097 24240 37 231 31 223 36 224 43 231 35 244 24240 22303 33 231 31 228 36 227 42 235 29 243 22303 20278 31 234 29 234 33 228 39 245 26 241 20278 18164 27 232 28 235 29 225 35 257 28 258 18164 16013 20 223 28 227 26 225 27 258 30 266 16013 13941 20 211 30 219 25 226 24 244 32 263 13941 12056 29 195 30 209 25 222 28 244 31 261 12056 10379 30 188 31 197 27 217 27 247 27 261 10379 8887 24 186 31 184 28 217 24 243 25 251 8887 7562 22 187 30 171 24 212 20 240 23 246 7562 6390 16 191 30 160 19 207 17 243 16 250 6390 5355 11 194 32 152 17 215 17 234 10 247 5355 4445 10 176 34 150 19 214 17 224 9 234 4445 3643 12 146 37 151 18 209 17 223 11 231 3643 2927 16 125 37 148 16 203 16 223 12 226 2927 2296 22 114 33 139 15 192 14 220 10 212 2296 1771 26 100 26 129 13 178 11*216 8 182 1771 1369 24 093 20 120 9 164 8*210 6 155 1369 1093 18 088 14 111 7*159 7 207 5 129 1093 926 16 088 12*108 6*157 6 206 4*119 926 831 12*088 7*101 5 155 5 206 3*111 831 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography