DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 38.8 - - 40.1 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 116 - - 1 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1160 - - 2378 - - 3215 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 816 - - 1813 - - 817 - - 816 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1920 - - 3138 - - 3975 - - 833 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 672 - - 1815 - - 2954 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 165 - - 271 - - 120 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 16 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 346 - - 352 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -5 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 170 - - 730 - - 1032 - - -688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1750 - - 2408 - - 2943 - - 1521 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2250 - - 216 - - -40 - - -2303 ODpotential blCL - - - 4170 - - 2922 - - 4015 - - 3136 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 89 - - 96 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 38.8 - - 40.1 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 31.3 - - 30.3 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 38.0 - - 40.1 - - 35.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 30.2 - - 29.1 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 116 - - 1 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1160 - - 2378 - - 3215 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 56 - - 82 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95986 24 258 39 253 40 256 35 270 95986 88864 12 253 11 261 13 245 18 263 88864 83404 7 308 5 251 4 271 3 249 83404 78852 7 341 4 356 5 300 4 304 78852 74897 9 323 4 351 4 295 4 297 74897 71380 10 307 7 316 10 309 8 339 71380 68198 11 322 12 324 11 291 9 338 68198 65268 16 344 16 339 15 313 14 327 65268 62523 23 328 20 322 18 317 18 323 62523 59836 25 318 18 314 23 326 22 321 59836 57019 27 323 23 320 25 329 27 321 57019 54087 31 329 29 322 31 330 34 319 54087 51278 35 334 37 327 39 324 37 324 51278 48742 40 340 39 332 40 322 42 325 48742 46463 44 339 44 335 41 332 42 324 46463 44391 47 337 48 333 45 334 43 334 44391 42494 49 336 48 334 47 334 50 337 42494 40747 53 339 50 337 49 333 56 335 40747 39121 57 340 50 336 52 333 56 336 39121 37600 60 337 53 337 54 337 60 341 37600 36175 61 335 57 338 59 340 63 340 36175 34807 63 337 58 338 60 340 62 341 34807 33427 64 336 56 338 60 342 62 346 33427 32012 61 336 56 339 59 344 63 349 32012 30562 57 336 58 338 58 347 65 354 30562 29065 52 337 56 337 60 348 66 356 29065 27506 48 337 53 335 60 348 64 359 27506 25886 44 341 48 333 57 348 60 002 25886 24202 44 340 44 333 53 351 55 005 24202 22455 41 337 42 334 50 354 53 007 22455 20647 38 339 40 337 48 356 49 008 20647 18772 35 343 37 339 44 353 43 008 18772 16820 31 342 32 339 35 353 39 009 16820 14830 27 343 30 341 29 355 35 003 14830 12913 24 345 25 344 24 356 28 358 12913 11171 22 343 21 343 22 358 25 356 11171 9622 14 343 16 344 15 355 20 348 9622 8251 3 003 10 336 10 003 15 354 8251 7039 3 349 9 324 15 012 12 353 7039 5965 10 342 13 329 19 009 13 359 5965 5015 15 358 16 351 19 002 19 009 5015 4179 17 013 17 001 20*356 21 011 4179 3441 19 018 17*356 19*355 22 008 3441 2781 23 010 17*348 19 353 22 004 2781 2197 24*003 17 346 18 352 22 001 2197 1710 21*353 16 346 17 351 21 358 1710 1335 20 351 16 345 16 350 20 355 1335 1078 19 351 15 344 15 350 16 348 1078 922 17 350 14 344 13 350 13*345 922 833 13 349 12 343 11 349 6*339 833 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography