DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0701z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1902z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.1 - - 75.9 - - 82.3 - - 86.9 - - 82.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 83 - - 73 - - 109 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 276 - - 1809 - - 3550 - - 4567 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit 821 - - 821 - - 2352 - - 3401 - - 822 Hcrit BL Top 1036 - - 2569 - - 4310 - - 5327 - - 838 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1218 - - 1073 - - 1933 - - 2950 - - 5847 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 225 - - 273 - - 341 - - 40 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 231 - - 209 - - 217 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 163 - - 819 - - 1035 - - 964 - - -1931 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 873 - - 1750 - - 3275 - - 4363 - - 2769 sfcLCL ODpotential -429 - - 390 - - 367 - - 123 - - -2807 ODpotential blCL 1465 - - 2179 - - 3943 - - 5204 - - 3645 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 350 - - 560 - - 1250 - - 1660 - - 2080 CAPE Temp@2m 71.1 - - 75.9 - - 82.3 - - 86.9 - - 82.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.5 - - 70.6 - - 70.4 - - 70.2 - - 72.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.9 - - 75.2 - - 81.6 - - 86.0 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.4 - - 70.0 - - 69.6 - - 69.2 - - 72.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 83 - - 73 - - 109 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 276 - - 1809 - - 3550 - - 4567 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 95 - - 101 - - 90 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99272 37 083 31 096 34 095 27 097 29 101 99272 91716 28 088 29 088 25 093 25 095 27 093 91716 85909 26 097 28 085 23 100 26 097 22 087 85909 81128 23 090 25 088 21 105 22 089 18 092 81128 77021 20 083 22 085 21 101 16 089 16 092 77021 73390 18 081 17 078 20 094 15 100 14 083 73390 70104 15 076 15 079 18 081 15 096 11 096 70104 67090 14 068 14 086 12 055 13 085 12 096 67090 64301 14 044 14 081 7 052 9 078 11 074 64301 61610 10 025 10 050 3 061 4 084 7 038 61610 58816 8 020 7 041 3 349 1 018 3 354 58816 55934 16 315 14 311 14 305 12 316 11 330 55934 53222 16 291 18 289 18 276 21 286 22 296 53222 50817 18 304 21 300 13 269 19 274 22 275 50817 48669 24 301 26 302 18 309 22 301 24 283 48669 46714 27 300 26 301 25 306 24 298 31 285 46714 44916 25 298 23 297 24 298 20 292 31 282 44916 43244 21 306 19 300 20 294 16 287 27 278 43244 41676 20 323 16 313 14 310 14 285 20 269 41676 40198 22 334 15 333 15 339 16 292 15 256 40198 38799 25 339 16 355 15 355 14 296 14 258 38799 37439 26 341 16 009 15 014 9 288 16 267 37439 36051 25 341 16 005 13 018 9 274 18 270 36051 34604 22 345 15 348 9 354 14 278 20 273 34604 33101 20 352 13 336 10 326 17 288 21 283 33101 31530 20 355 12 331 12 316 17 292 21 287 31530 29877 18 000 10 327 12 318 15 292 18 280 29877 28144 13 014 8 312 10 322 14 294 17 278 28144 26328 7 019 7 298 10 325 14 309 15 290 26328 24433 8 338 11 324 10 337 13 325 9 309 24433 22468 11 336 13 339 9 355 7 338 3 314 22468 20430 8 352 11 348 8 002 4 345 3 285 20430 18313 3 016 7 005 7 001 3 327 5 283 18313 16154 1 275 5 003 4 351 4 327 5 308 16154 14072 2 012 4 057 2 343 4 339 2 344 14072 12178 1 163 3 085 3 227 2 231 3 180 12178 10494 2 214 1 067 6 232 7 204 5 209 10494 8998 5 183 1 308 8 232 7 212 5 203 8998 7669 13 169 9 193 10 219 8 222 6 208 7669 6494 10 158 11 186 12 212 9 221 7 221 6494 5453 7 148 10 182 12 198 9*221 7 237 5453 4534 5 157 9 183 12*198 8*220 5 254 4534 3721 4 185 9 192 10*200 8 218 4 265 3721 2992 5 212 7*215 8 207 7 217 4 271 2992 2348 7 235 6*226 7 209 7 216 4 271 2348 1809 9 249 5 230 7 211 7 215 3 265 1809 1395 9 242 5 233 6 213 6 215 3 256 1395 1110 8*231 4 235 6 214 6 215 3 250 1110 937 8*230 4 235 6 215 6 214 3 247 937 838 4 229 3 235 5 214 5 214 2*245 838 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography