DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.5 - - 29.9 - - 39.8 - - 41.9 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 11 - - 30 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 72 - - 73 - - 712 - - 74 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit 816 - - 816 - - 817 - - 817 - - 817 Hcrit BL Top 832 - - 833 - - 1472 - - 834 - - 833 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 315 - - 494 - - 612 - - 1913 - - 1701 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 40 - - 116 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 12 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 195 - - 197 - - 189 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -928 - - -1576 - - -2389 - - -2305 - - -863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1760 - - 2409 - - 3861 - - 3140 - - 1696 sfcLCL ODpotential -13656 - - -12684 - - -11833 - - -10163 - - -9359 ODpotential blCL 14488 - - 13517 - - 13305 - - 10997 - - 10192 blCL maxRH 74 - - 72 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.5 - - 29.9 - - 39.8 - - 41.9 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.0 - - 22.6 - - 25.9 - - 31.1 - - 35.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.7 - - 29.8 - - 39.5 - - 42.0 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.8 - - 22.0 - - 25.1 - - 30.7 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 11 - - 30 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 72 - - 73 - - 712 - - 74 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95284 52 260 67 266 73 265 56 265 63 258 95284 88277 49 264 50 271 51 267 45 269 42 272 88277 82799 45 273 41 271 38 265 40 268 36 270 82799 78235 42 284 32 274 28 269 37 264 42 266 78235 74298 44 280 39 279 31 270 37 266 40 262 74298 70813 41 275 43 278 33 264 36 262 39 273 70813 67665 46 275 45 281 35 268 42 271 38 270 67665 64762 51 271 45 271 45 267 45 267 32 263 64762 62035 50 268 47 266 47 266 49 275 47 285 62035 59376 51 273 52 270 50 267 61 276 66 280 59376 56601 59 280 58 271 58 273 66 269 74 270 56601 53723 72 279 64 273 69 270 73 267 77 268 53723 50988 85 276 72 275 76 270 80 268 88 270 50988 48543 94 274 80 275 84 274 89 269 98 269 48543 46357 103 271 95 274 102 272 98 268 102 270 46357 44368 106 271 107 272 109 267 100 270 105 273 44368 42538 104 272 110 272 108 267 106 273 116 273 42538 40858 105 276 114 273 107 271 113 272 123 270 40858 39314 115 277 123 273 110 272 116 271 124 270 39314 37885 122 275 122 271 111 272 117 273 124 272 37885 36549 117 273 115 270 108 270 117 273 122 272 36549 35263 107 273 105 275 103 268 109 269 118 271 35263 33957 103 279 105 281 98 268 102 266 112 268 33957 32597 102 283 106 278 95 267 100 264 107 265 32597 31186 98 281 105 275 94 266 98 264 102 264 31186 29709 94 278 101 274 91 264 94 263 98 264 29709 28154 88 275 98 274 85 261 89 261 93 264 28154 26522 81 272 94 273 80 261 84 258 88 263 26522 24813 78 270 90 271 78 263 83 255 85 259 24813 23030 73 269 85 269 75 263 80 256 83 256 23030 21176 65 266 76 264 73 263 76 258 77 257 21176 19251 57 264 61 258 70 263 71 260 69 261 19251 17250 51 266 43 263 64 266 64 264 62 265 17250 15213 42 270 52 275 52 270 51 262 49 271 15213 13250 39 263 51 270 52 266 46 253 40 261 13250 11458 40 260 43 253 48 256 43 252 41 250 11458 9859 40 262 39 247 41 255 39 245 40 251 9859 8437 36 262 33 251 36 246 37 236 35 250 8437 7174 30 257 22 256 31 242 34 238 25 258 7174 6056 25 247 22 242 26 232 27 247 17 255 6056 5075 25 234 25 236 25 229 22 243 17 234 5075 4220 27 231 23 237 22 227 21 234 17 230 4220 3466 26 236 21 242 22 222 20 221 18 222 3466 2794 27 245 20 244 23 219 20 206 15 220 2794 2205 29 244 22 236 22 210 17 202 10 213 2205 1715 28 232 22 222 19*206 14 192 9 202 1715 1339 24 217 19 213 14*198 13 191 9 191 1339 1080 15 198 11 198 13 197 12 190 8 182 1080 923 12 196 10*197 12 197 11*189 6 176 923 833 6*191 8*195 9 196 8*189 3*168 833 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography