DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 63.0 - - 61.5 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 16 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1003 - - 1626 - - 1567 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 819 - - 819 - - 819 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1763 - - 2386 - - 2327 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1039 - - 1773 - - 1984 - - 1938 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 136 - - 93 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 026 - - 050 - - 066 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 607 - - 886 - - 614 - - -597 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1156 - - 1500 - - 1713 - - 1432 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 241 - - 294 - - -64 - - -1276 ODpotential blCL - - - 1522 - - 2092 - - 2391 - - 2111 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 63.0 - - 61.5 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 59.3 - - 56.9 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 63.0 - - 61.5 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 58.6 - - 56.1 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 16 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1003 - - 1626 - - 1567 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97245 32 256 34 272 23 266 28 264 97245 90158 7 295 18 245 17 260 17 296 90158 84669 8 331 5 251 13 263 13 311 84669 80098 6 343 2 278 9 248 9 330 80098 76135 2 326 2 193 6 248 5 344 76135 72621 3 210 7 249 8 299 6 263 72621 69446 11 227 10 255 10 296 5 230 69446 66519 13 253 13 273 14 265 9 301 66519 63804 22 259 20 258 21 254 25 268 63804 61197 25 260 26 251 28 248 32 257 61197 58502 38 257 39 257 36 259 33 264 58502 55716 49 245 51 253 46 256 40 263 55716 53065 52 238 55 250 53 257 51 256 53065 50686 51 240 62 254 65 257 53 253 50686 48541 62 259 65 255 69 260 65 259 48541 46582 78 267 73 262 76 260 78 261 46582 44772 88 267 82 262 84 257 86 261 44772 43086 92 267 87 261 84 256 85 259 43086 41505 92 264 90 261 84 257 82 254 41505 40012 91 259 89 260 85 260 81 252 40012 38594 90 260 86 259 84 261 81 253 38594 37214 91 261 85 258 82 259 81 256 37214 35808 87 258 85 255 81 258 79 255 35808 34354 83 254 86 254 83 258 77 257 34354 32852 84 253 88 254 81 257 75 260 32852 31280 90 256 90 255 78 253 77 260 31280 29622 92 263 92 261 77 250 79 256 29622 27882 84 271 88 271 72 274 75 257 27882 26064 71 274 71 279 65 282 59 279 26064 24178 59 274 52 276 52 277 42 279 24178 22221 50 275 40 268 41 272 41 264 22221 20184 36 268 32 262 36 266 40 260 20184 18061 29 265 28 267 30 262 34 267 18061 15899 32 264 22 274 22 271 26 274 15899 13821 36 251 29 271 27 274 25 271 13821 11936 35 245 36 266 33 274 24 271 11936 10263 31 256 29 270 26 280 24 278 10263 8774 28 274 20 271 17 280 18 280 8774 7448 23 281 15 274 14 278 13 277 7448 6273 22 277 10 287 10 288 10 271 6273 5246 18 277 7 303 5 313 8 240 5246 4355 12 285 6 003 5 044 4 237 4355 3572 4 345 8 032 9 060 2 028 3572 2874 9 021 10*046 12*064 12 060 2874 2261 15 027 11*049 12*065 20 059 2261 1752 15*027 11 050 13 066 20 057 1752 1361 14*027 11 051 12 066 18 057 1361 1092 14 026 10 051 12 067 15 057 1092 928 12 026 10 051 11 067 13*056 928 835 10 026 8 051 8 067 9*056 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography