DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.7 - - 71.1 - - 77.3 - - 85.1 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 63 - - 95 - - 155 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 75 - - 977 - - 3081 - - 7009 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit 818 - - 819 - - 2267 - - 5410 - - 820 Hcrit BL Top 835 - - 1737 - - 3841 - - 7769 - - 836 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 400 - - 882 - - 1838 - - 2467 - - 6624 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 176 - - 289 - - 430 - - 29 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 17 - - 20 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 240 - - 212 - - 201 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 17 - - -6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -61 - - -545 - - -32 - - 334 - - -5939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 896 - - 2283 - - 3873 - - 7435 - - 6775 sfcLCL ODpotential -5117 - - -3662 - - -2958 - - -1549 - - -8431 ODpotential blCL 5952 - - 5399 - - 6799 - - 9318 - - 9267 blCL maxRH 94 - - 80 - - 100 - - 67 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 450 - - 1100 - - 1620 - - 630 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m 57.7 - - 71.1 - - 77.3 - - 85.1 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.2 - - 63.4 - - 62.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.8 - - 70.7 - - 76.7 - - 84.2 - - 83.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.0 - - 62.1 - - 61.5 - - 54.0 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 63 - - 95 - - 155 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 75 - - 977 - - 3081 - - 7009 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 19 - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98134 15 072 14 097 12 122 9 144 9 095 98134 90589 8 082 15 111 13 117 12 142 7 152 90589 84790 5 107 10 086 16 118 9 171 7 092 84790 79983 1 081 11 087 10 087 5 143 4 140 79983 75839 4 212 4 093 3 069 4 109 2 170 75839 72197 1 078 1 195 4 265 4 028 2 077 72197 68917 4 321 3 006 7 247 9 279 4 284 68917 65906 15 286 5 284 8 258 14 254 11 261 65906 63111 19 295 13 284 12 274 16 256 13 257 63111 60392 26 283 22 277 26 266 20 264 17 261 60392 57561 33 274 30 264 29 257 25 275 25 279 57561 54641 40 275 33 272 31 254 35 263 35 270 54641 51868 44 272 44 278 31 261 31 261 39 265 51868 49384 38 272 48 269 43 276 44 267 40 262 49384 47186 42 280 45 264 50 271 47 269 50 271 47186 45241 46 284 46 278 57 272 57 271 61 270 45241 43492 62 286 65 288 66 274 83 267 71 262 43492 41878 73 279 78 282 87 273 90 253 80 252 41878 40360 66 278 85 275 99 269 91 251 80 250 40360 38925 59 286 81 273 100 266 89 255 71 255 38925 37567 61 290 73 271 81 271 72 263 52 266 37567 36251 64 292 70 273 66 277 56 281 48 276 36251 34910 66 295 65 278 56 280 55 291 46 272 34910 33515 64 298 61 278 52 281 53 288 41 265 33515 32067 60 298 58 277 51 277 47 279 36 267 32067 30554 57 296 54 276 51 270 47 272 33 272 30554 28963 55 291 49 273 52 269 42 273 35 273 28963 27294 56 285 45 269 54 268 39 277 36 270 27294 25549 55 281 44 269 55 265 38 270 34 270 25549 23734 52 278 46 267 52 266 43 269 29 265 23734 21845 51 271 50 264 50 268 44 268 33 264 21845 19877 49 267 49 265 47 267 42 268 33 275 19877 17834 45 274 44 267 43 262 39 275 26 275 17834 15755 43 282 39 274 36 259 38 254 26 254 15755 13749 41 298 39 284 32 266 32 237 28 253 13749 11925 43 302 36 286 32 258 29 235 26 237 11925 10303 40 289 32 281 31 247 28 229 30 228 10303 8858 35 268 31 271 30 240 26*213 30 228 8858 7568 34 261 31 266 28 233 23*206 31 215 7568 6418 33 270 28 265 27 234 22 205 32 199 6418 5395 34 279 25 265 24 235 21 203 31 196 5395 4491 37 282 23 266 21*229 20 201 30 194 4491 3689 39 281 23 265 18*218 20 200 29 193 3689 2969 37 279 21 267 18 212 19 199 28 191 2969 2331 32 277 17 264 17 211 18 198 26 189 2331 1798 27 268 13*255 17 211 18 197 24 187 1798 1388 20 258 9*242 16 210 17 196 22 185 1388 1106 12 243 8 240 15 209 16 196 19 183 1106 935 8*233 8 239 14 209 15 195 16 182 935 836 6*229 7 238 12 208 13 195 11*181 836 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography