DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.6 - - 58.6 - - 64.0 - - 67.2 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 61 - - 105 - - 36 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 75 - - 260 - - 1101 - - 1638 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit 818 - - 818 - - 819 - - 819 - - 819 Hcrit BL Top 835 - - 1020 - - 1861 - - 2398 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 391 - - 938 - - 778 - - 638 - - 1577 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 103 - - 204 - - 171 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 126 - - 133 - - 139 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 185 - - 445 - - 435 - - -269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 835 - - 835 - - 1416 - - 1963 - - 1104 sfcLCL ODpotential -8542 - - 135 - - 178 - - -5994 - - -6816 ODpotential blCL 9377 - - 885 - - 1683 - - 8392 - - 7651 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 97 - - 97 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 54.6 - - 58.6 - - 64.0 - - 67.2 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.0 - - 58.1 - - 60.6 - - 61.4 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 58.0 - - 63.2 - - 66.9 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.6 - - 57.7 - - 59.8 - - 60.6 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 61 - - 105 - - 36 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 75 - - 260 - - 1101 - - 1638 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 101 - - 90 - - 88 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97900 16 259 13 237 16 253 25 253 20 262 97900 90572 11 267 4 258 11 265 16 230 17 271 90572 84950 8 305 4 288 8 247 9 242 13 288 84950 80287 6 274 3 284 8 211 14 253 9 277 80287 76284 3 257 5 313 4 196 13 249 12 269 76284 72761 7 290 5 270 3 216 6 236 10 259 72761 69563 8 294 3 259 7 215 8 221 10 256 69563 66602 6 271 2 253 7 230 12 214 10 255 66602 63847 10 237 7 271 7 276 8 227 9 245 63847 61181 12 222 11 266 13 274 9 249 9 234 61181 58393 8 229 10 250 15 243 16 242 12 238 58393 55496 18 279 13 254 18 244 26 244 25 249 55496 52748 25 274 20 256 25 254 28 248 30 248 52748 50295 27 270 26 261 24 261 26 262 30 254 50295 48106 29 277 28 276 26 270 30 266 34 258 48106 46118 32 285 31 285 29 276 30 266 33 255 46118 44298 33 288 36 286 32 276 28 267 30 249 44298 42623 31 284 36 279 31 268 29 261 28 249 42623 41071 28 285 30 267 29 260 28 259 24 252 41071 39621 25 298 22 270 23 264 23 263 17 249 39621 38254 26 304 17 286 19 278 18 270 12 244 38254 36928 25 301 20 294 17 292 13 275 10 229 36928 35574 21 303 21 285 20 290 12 284 8 221 35574 34163 19 306 21 278 23 280 16 283 9 234 34163 32699 22 303 25 283 22 276 18 278 12 247 32699 31167 25 301 28 285 23 278 20 276 14 256 31167 29554 26 305 25 289 24 280 22 273 17 261 29554 27860 26 312 22 295 21 280 23 270 21 266 27860 26083 27 314 22 303 19 283 22 270 22 267 26083 24226 25 312 21 304 19 292 21 277 23 268 24226 22290 21 334 15 307 15 285 21 279 22 273 22290 20269 17 327 12 323 9 275 16 266 19 273 20269 18162 15 333 12 333 8 292 10 266 11 266 18162 16013 18 357 12 356 7 315 8 288 3 298 16013 13946 17 353 14 350 8 332 10 302 9 338 13946 12065 16 344 17 345 15 349 11 322 14 340 12065 10392 13 343 17 340 19 346 14 325 17 337 10392 8901 10 345 13 335 18 331 17 326 16 338 8901 7574 8 334 9 328 17 326 17 330 13 347 7574 6393 8 312 6 316 10 321 14 328 10 348 6393 5351 6 320 5 319 5 294 7 317 4 323 5351 4439 7 331 2 348 1 232 2 246 4 216 4439 3636 5 360 2 100 5 150 5 189 10 184 3636 2923 3 054 4 114 7 152 8*148 15 154 2923 2296 6 135 8 128 6*138 9*141 15 139 2296 1775 10 132 7 125 6*133 9 139 14 131 1775 1374 11 139 7 125 5 132 8 138 12 126 1374 1098 10 135 6*126 5 134 8 138 11 121 1098 931 7*119 5*126 5 134 7 138 9 118 931 835 3*108 5 126 4 134 6 137 4*113 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography