DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 55.9 - - 57.5 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 13 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 746 - - 535 - - 257 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 818 - - 818 - - 819 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1506 - - 1295 - - 1017 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1281 - - 1187 - - 1383 - - 1181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 67 - - 81 - - 37 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 174 - - 160 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 289 - - 312 - - 5 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1217 - - 983 - - 1012 - - 835 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -88 - - 52 - - -313 - - -385 ODpotential blCL - - - 1594 - - 1243 - - 1330 - - 1220 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 55.9 - - 57.5 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 54.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 55.8 - - 57.5 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 54.2 - - 55.6 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 13 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 746 - - 535 - - 257 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96002 61 278 61 265 61 268 65 273 96002 89169 36 273 40 286 39 289 40 270 89169 83830 24 279 30 293 30 301 24 295 83830 79364 20 301 17 293 24 297 22 310 79364 75498 20 311 11 308 17 291 18 307 75498 72053 18 303 13 324 11 309 14 312 72053 68902 14 319 15 317 12 320 15 322 68902 65981 18 327 16 302 15 307 18 317 65981 63259 21 314 18 298 19 304 20 305 63259 60617 21 302 18 310 21 304 21 304 60617 57875 18 310 22 317 21 311 19 302 57875 55047 29 324 25 319 25 311 22 312 55047 52373 38 299 34 311 32 309 29 302 52373 50000 32 289 37 314 33 306 34 302 50000 47882 38 309 40 318 36 307 39 295 47882 45948 42 307 43 310 39 305 34 286 45948 44162 43 305 36 306 38 294 27 276 44162 42504 41 307 39 285 38 286 26 270 42504 40956 38 306 40 276 32 271 31 263 40956 39503 34 312 38 275 29 254 33 253 39503 38130 31 319 33 274 29 248 30 247 38130 36795 29 322 27 274 31 237 29 245 36795 35430 26 320 20 267 29 232 28 238 35430 34007 22 320 18 262 28 224 28 234 34007 32528 20 314 19 258 30 223 28 235 32528 30982 20 283 24 248 29 244 34 233 30982 29357 26 268 29 254 30 260 34 231 29357 27652 30 269 29 261 28 260 26 232 27652 25866 27 278 27 263 29 263 22 241 25866 24003 24 283 27 260 32 260 22 247 24003 22070 23 269 20 258 31 245 33 242 22070 20060 25 259 19 261 32 239 43 239 20060 17964 22 241 19 255 31 237 44 236 17964 15822 26 236 21 247 27 236 38 232 15822 13759 23 239 19 243 26 226 30 219 13759 11888 20 242 22 230 27 226 27 218 11888 10228 18 231 21 215 27 223 27 222 10228 8756 22 211 25 202 26 220 27 224 8756 7449 20 194 27 207 25 224 28 221 7449 6291 15 200 27 215 27 228 31 215 6291 5272 16 220 28 216 27 219 33 211 5272 4378 19 216 26 209 27 203 34 206 4378 3589 19 197 27 202 27 197 34 199 3589 2884 23 181 26 196 25 188 35 188 2884 2266 23 176 21 183 24 179 31 177 2266 1753 20*171 19 179 20 166 26 164 1753 1361 19*169 16*176 18 163 22 159 1361 1092 16 168 14*175 17*161 18 156 1092 928 14 167 13 174 14*160 16*155 928 835 11 166 10 174 11 159 11*154 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography