DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 56.6 - - 60.6 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 194 - - 43 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 587 - - 2330 - - 6483 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 817 - - 2006 - - 3531 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1347 - - 3090 - - 7243 - - 834 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 655 - - 1075 - - 1654 - - 167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 312 - - 266 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 19 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 306 - - 294 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1538 - - -3601 - - -4434 - - -7168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2885 - - 6691 - - 11678 - - 8002 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4777 - - -6663 - - -16111 - - -20108 ODpotential blCL - - - 6124 - - 9753 - - 23354 - - 20942 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 46 - - 43 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 56.6 - - 60.6 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 30.4 - - 11.9 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 55.4 - - 60.3 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 29.7 - - 11.2 - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 194 - - 43 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 587 - - 2330 - - 6483 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96478 11 277 20 287 19 312 14 286 96478 89402 11 284 9 274 16 277 16 319 89402 83913 9 310 9 258 21 255 21 296 83913 79357 14 308 8 269 17 246 23 269 79357 75437 16 287 12 291 13 271 16 262 75437 71956 16 268 23 276 24 296 21 290 71956 68772 16 269 26 257 30 272 27 279 68772 65829 17 274 20 267 28 253 29 268 65829 63101 27 267 19 293 20 264 23 269 63101 60451 35 259 29 275 30 286 26 274 60451 57685 37 256 34 266 37 269 35 275 57685 54834 34 272 43 270 47 270 51 270 54834 52135 58 277 51 273 59 277 56 272 52135 49717 72 272 71 278 74 281 62 281 49717 47549 80 270 82 272 79 282 69 287 47549 45569 85 270 82 270 81 282 72 285 45569 43739 85 273 84 276 82 281 74 283 43739 42039 85 283 90 284 83 282 75 282 42039 40450 96 292 94 291 84 285 76 283 40450 38961 105 296 98 297 88 288 78 284 38961 37567 113 298 103 299 92 290 81 285 37567 36228 119 298 107 300 91 294 79 286 36228 34872 122 296 109 297 93 294 82 288 34872 33463 122 298 108 294 94 292 90 290 33463 32005 121 299 108 293 97 294 93 293 32005 30483 121 297 107 292 98 297 89 294 30483 28882 119 294 108 293 96 300 82 296 28882 27201 117 294 107 296 95 297 81 295 27201 25435 111 299 102 301 92 292 85 294 25435 23590 106 304 96 303 91 290 88 294 23590 21670 103 304 90 302 91 294 88 294 21670 19665 100 301 87 301 88 296 87 297 19665 17569 92 296 83 294 84 294 83 301 17569 15431 85 296 82 291 79 294 79 299 15431 13384 69 298 75 300 73 303 69 301 13384 11545 53 295 55 303 61 309 56 311 11545 9934 44 297 40 298 45 309 43 311 9934 8518 36 309 34 298 35 304 33 309 8518 7269 31 313 33 307 28*301 28 310 7269 6160 30 315 33 316 24*299 24 305 6160 5177 30 320 30 321 22 297 22 297 5177 4310 30 322 29 320 20 295 22 293 4310 3543 30 320 25*316 20 294 23 288 3543 2856 30 318 18*308 19 293 24 284 2856 2249 28 315 17 306 18 292 25 280 2249 1743 26 313 16 306 17 292 25 277 1743 1354 20*305 16 306 17 292 24 273 1354 1087 16*302 15 306 16 291 20 266 1087 926 14 301 14 306 15 291 16 264 926 834 12 300 12 306 12 291 8*260 834 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography