DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1008z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.3 - - 76.9 - - 83.0 - - 83.0 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 131 - - 134 - - 114 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 70 - - 1160 - - 1339 - - 2627 - - 71 BL Depth Hcrit 814 - - 815 - - 1182 - - 2020 - - 815 Hcrit BL Top 830 - - 1920 - - 2099 - - 3387 - - 831 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 113 - - 718 - - 856 - - 952 - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 222 - - 240 - - 285 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 234 - - 172 - - 200 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 299 - - -1251 - - 434 - - -265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 830 - - 1621 - - 3350 - - 2954 - - 1096 sfcLCL ODpotential -7060 - - 172 - - -4758 - - -1944 - - -3004 ODpotential blCL 7890 - - 1748 - - 6857 - - 5331 - - 3835 blCL maxRH 99 - - 97 - - 80 - - 96 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 970 - - 2010 - - 2150 - - 2480 - - 940 CAPE Temp@2m 65.3 - - 76.9 - - 83.0 - - 83.0 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.0 - - 72.2 - - 70.7 - - 72.4 - - 70.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 75.9 - - 81.8 - - 82.1 - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.2 - - 71.7 - - 69.8 - - 71.6 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 131 - - 134 - - 114 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 70 - - 1160 - - 1339 - - 2627 - - 71 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 88 - - 18 - - 82 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99027 19 073 22 085 16 075 19 102 22 091 99027 91667 17 074 17 084 16 077 15 095 14 078 91667 85966 17 076 13 098 14 106 10 091 11 077 85966 81226 13 075 12 098 12 125 6 072 11 077 81226 77143 10 073 7 070 9 110 4 130 6 032 77143 73550 1 043 4 030 9 127 8 148 4 290 73550 70308 4 182 7 263 2 051 6 104 7 221 70308 67324 4 202 6 249 5 281 3 268 6 200 67324 64549 8 244 13 280 9 282 7 258 7 247 64549 61857 12 270 16 256 12 256 16 277 9 276 61857 59045 19 259 19 248 15 280 22 268 23 298 59045 56179 32 264 29 258 32 265 36 266 35 271 56179 53486 41 260 28 254 29 252 28 261 35 256 53486 51038 38 266 18 256 35 270 36 291 43 282 51038 48838 42 274 48 295 50 285 65 284 59 280 48838 46866 42 271 65 279 67 287 68 272 67 277 46866 45082 58 272 62 271 75 275 61 266 71 272 45082 43434 71 280 56 273 68 265 67 265 74 258 43434 41893 75 285 56 279 58 262 75 258 71 257 41893 40436 72 282 54 278 50 265 74 257 65 261 40436 39052 60 277 56 273 45 263 69 258 62 264 39052 37703 51 273 58 269 42 260 63 259 59 267 37703 36320 33 265 61 265 39 262 59 259 57 266 36320 34875 25 269 53 258 35 265 54 256 55 261 34875 33371 26 275 31 248 32 268 50 255 51 252 33371 31794 28 286 15 226 26 261 45 260 45 243 31794 30133 27 287 9 272 25 240 45 269 41 238 30133 28389 27 281 16 308 25 228 41 269 39 242 28389 26561 24 273 15 301 22 228 29 256 37 248 26561 24655 23 276 14 289 17 210 22 282 30 250 24655 22676 25 282 15 256 15 217 21 299 28 258 22676 20616 24 277 20 247 17 228 24 296 28 262 20616 18466 25 282 20 248 28 235 31 278 30 260 18466 16276 20 289 9 249 31 242 29 252 32 258 16276 14170 16 294 8 249 31 247 25 244 32 254 14170 12254 11 293 12 260 29 238 23 246 31 246 12254 10548 10 285 16 275 27 234 22 241 33 249 10548 9035 15 278 17 280 25 233 20 240 38 249 9035 7692 16 275 14 273 22 227 18 236 43 249 7692 6499 14 260 15 261 18 226 18 230 38 247 6499 5445 15 245 18 261 17 227 20 231 33 240 5445 4518 16 241 19 258 17 228 21 227 30 231 4518 3700 14 234 18 251 15 228 18*211 29 222 3700 2971 12 230 16 245 12 220 16*201 27 216 2971 2326 9 233 12*243 9*198 16 200 27 209 2326 1790 9 244 8*237 8*174 15 200 25 204 1790 1380 12 248 7 234 7 172 15 200 22 202 1380 1098 12 243 7 233 7 171 14 200 14 199 1098 928 11 241 6 232 7 170 13 200 12*198 928 831 3*250 6 231 6 170 11 200 6*198 831 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography