DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 63.0 - - 67.7 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 112 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 180 - - 1041 - - 1893 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 818 - - 819 - - 819 - - 819 Hcrit BL Top - - - 940 - - 1801 - - 2653 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 248 - - 798 - - 2320 - - 198 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 203 - - 152 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 201 - - 235 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1290 - - -2295 - - -3151 - - -1899 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2230 - - 4096 - - 5805 - - 2734 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10557 - - -8451 - - -9324 - - -7074 ODpotential blCL - - - 11497 - - 10252 - - 11977 - - 7909 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 62 - - 54 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 63.0 - - 67.7 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 48.3 - - 45.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 62.1 - - 67.7 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 47.3 - - 44.6 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 112 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 180 - - 1041 - - 1893 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97216 1 106 8 256 7 281 1 302 97216 90021 8 048 1 336 2 260 6 053 90021 84504 6 063 3 103 4 221 7 024 84504 79919 3 347 1 314 5 321 5 004 79919 75962 2 304 3 288 8 305 3 335 75962 72464 3 001 2 339 10 274 12 322 72464 69298 8 311 5 340 7 280 11 294 69298 66388 16 321 12 313 12 312 12 311 66388 63692 25 296 19 302 17 301 12 299 63692 61073 25 284 22 297 16 294 17 295 61073 58343 30 289 27 293 25 295 26 293 58343 55512 34 286 33 285 35 286 34 295 55512 52804 38 287 38 284 37 287 39 295 52804 50359 40 286 45 288 42 294 42 298 50359 48155 38 284 48 288 47 295 47 299 48155 46145 38 286 48 285 52 293 53 299 46145 44296 40 285 50 283 54 291 57 298 44296 42579 44 286 51 284 53 291 59 296 42579 40972 46 290 50 288 54 294 59 296 40972 39460 46 296 50 295 56 297 59 297 39460 38034 48 302 53 298 57 299 60 298 38034 36654 49 306 53 301 56 299 59 300 36654 35254 47 306 54 303 53 299 59 303 35254 33805 46 304 48 304 49 303 59 310 33805 32316 38 303 43 302 44 310 55 315 32316 30780 34 300 37 299 41 317 54 319 30780 29178 22 291 29 297 36 320 55 319 29178 27498 11 281 19 279 32 327 46 314 27498 25735 12 287 15 259 28 333 38 306 25735 23894 14 296 14 281 17 313 30 302 23894 21980 16 302 15 287 14 290 24 294 21980 19985 17 307 16 296 18 299 25 311 19985 17901 17 315 16 304 21 302 24 322 17901 15773 14 304 14 293 20 299 18 322 15773 13725 8 277 13 273 19 299 18 309 13725 11866 6 273 13 264 20 302 18 314 11866 10214 7 270 11 267 19 308 18 324 10214 8750 6 261 9 265 17 310 17 332 8750 7451 4 229 8 266 13 306 14 332 7451 6301 5 234 9 272 11 298 12 312 6301 5288 6 260 8 277 10 284 11 288 5288 4397 6 282 7 279 10 269 10 273 4397 3611 7 276 7 269 8 253 9 268 3611 2907 7 259 6 255 6*240 7 271 2907 2285 7 226 6*236 5*235 5 285 2285 1767 9 197 4*208 4 234 4 309 1767 1369 9 183 4 202 3 236 3 337 1369 1096 7*176 3 198 3 236 3 007 1096 930 3*170 3 196 3 236 4*029 930 835 3 167 3 196 3 236 4*026 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography