DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.6 - - 23.7 - - 33.8 - - 38.9 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 167 - - 404 - - 265 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 72 - - 1058 - - 2255 - - 2735 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit 815 - - 969 - - 2188 - - 2414 - - 817 Hcrit BL Top 832 - - 1818 - - 3015 - - 3495 - - 833 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 432 - - 658 - - 819 - - 1117 - - 2883 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 227 - - 392 - - 363 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 13 - - 17 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 280 - - 263 - - 255 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -878 - - -1396 - - -2476 - - -3232 - - -4080 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1710 - - 3214 - - 5491 - - 6727 - - 4913 sfcLCL ODpotential -8216 - - -7834 - - -7606 - - -8489 - - -9758 ODpotential blCL 9048 - - 9652 - - 10621 - - 11984 - - 10591 blCL maxRH 75 - - 75 - - 56 - - 46 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.6 - - 23.7 - - 33.8 - - 38.9 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.6 - - 13.0 - - 12.9 - - 12.4 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 15.1 - - 22.6 - - 31.8 - - 37.5 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.6 - - 12.4 - - 11.9 - - 11.9 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 167 - - 404 - - 265 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 72 - - 1058 - - 2255 - - 2735 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96617 10 287 10 255 8 296 8 271 7 244 96617 89352 2 118 12 155 11 178 9 248 5 003 89352 83766 5 165 12 151 14 159 15 205 4 280 83766 79116 10 223 8 161 8 174 14 197 8 226 79116 75094 11 225 8 175 12 215 14 221 11 233 75094 71513 12 248 8 193 14 218 13 233 10 234 71513 68258 16 252 12 234 20 228 21 247 22 262 68258 65273 21 260 18 250 22 237 23 244 27 242 65273 62497 33 266 29 262 28 251 28 247 27 246 62497 59792 43 258 38 260 34 252 33 253 32 256 59792 56953 48 259 45 259 40 256 39 258 40 249 56953 53975 58 256 56 258 50 260 48 260 41 252 53975 51106 62 253 63 256 59 257 56 256 48 260 51106 48518 62 256 65 254 59 254 57 252 54 256 48518 46194 63 255 63 252 61 254 56 257 54 253 46194 44083 61 257 60 255 60 251 59 257 55 257 44083 42155 60 261 58 257 58 253 58 254 56 256 42155 40382 60 262 58 260 57 254 55 251 53 254 40382 38736 62 263 59 262 52 256 52 254 50 257 38736 37201 61 260 60 262 51 261 52 261 50 263 37201 35773 54 259 56 263 52 263 50 261 47 264 35773 34420 49 262 48 266 43 261 45 258 38 258 34420 33068 44 267 43 267 38 265 29 271 23 261 33068 31687 41 279 38 274 34 273 33 290 29 296 31687 30280 41 281 33 286 29 285 35 291 36 286 30280 28831 37 282 28 299 22 305 29 298 32 284 28831 27321 35 290 25 317 25 321 28 301 25 301 27321 25754 36 295 25 331 27 317 28 305 26 317 25754 24123 32 306 24 343 25 311 29 312 32 321 24123 22422 29 346 24 354 22 315 29 315 32 319 22422 20650 38 008 26 356 22 328 26 314 28 317 20650 18800 42 014 30 358 23 338 23 314 26 321 18800 16864 40 016 31 358 22 339 22 313 25 326 16864 14881 34 010 29 356 21 335 22 311 24 325 14881 12960 32 359 27 349 21 328 22 311 22 317 12960 11208 32 355 26 346 21 323 23 308 22 308 11208 9650 29 355 26 349 19 321 22 302 25 296 9650 8269 26 351 24 350 18 321 20 291 24 287 8269 7044 24 342 21 345 17 317 19 281 22 276 7044 5961 22 329 19 334 18 306 19 275 22 268 5961 5004 21 318 20 321 20 298 20 272 22 264 5004 4165 18 314 20 311 20 290 20*262 23 247 4165 3427 17 316 19 300 19*276 19*255 23 240 3427 2770 16 315 17 291 17*265 19 255 22 240 2770 2189 19 319 17*288 17 264 19 254 22 241 2189 1705 22 316 14*282 17 263 19 255 21 242 1705 1333 21 304 14 281 17 263 19 255 19 243 1333 1077 16 291 13 280 16 262 18 255 17 243 1077 922 14*289 12 279 15 262 17 255 14*242 922 833 8*287 10 279 14 262 15 255 9*242 833 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography