DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 56.5 - - 57.7 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 55 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 696 - - 75 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 818 - - 818 - - 818 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 934 - - 1456 - - 835 - - 834 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 337 - - 906 - - 2202 - - 124 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 55 - - 145 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 326 - - 289 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1207 - - -1467 - - -2226 - - -336 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2141 - - 2923 - - 3061 - - 1170 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9888 - - -5911 - - -4792 - - -4683 ODpotential blCL - - - 10822 - - 7367 - - 5627 - - 5517 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 71 - - 67 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 56.5 - - 57.7 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 46.7 - - 47.3 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 56.1 - - 58.0 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 45.5 - - 46.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 55 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 696 - - 75 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96025 58 257 58 259 61 249 64 255 96025 88975 32 265 36 260 42 267 41 271 88975 83534 21 275 24 261 26 271 28 270 83534 78996 14 272 23 255 25 280 24 281 78996 75042 11 283 18 246 25 271 23 301 75042 71527 17 299 7 271 17 257 22 289 71527 68342 20 278 15 297 14 288 18 301 68342 65404 28 273 31 287 23 290 26 301 65404 62672 34 264 35 276 28 277 34 279 62672 60026 38 278 35 281 35 274 37 274 60026 57264 46 280 46 284 44 275 45 279 57264 54405 51 273 52 277 52 269 49 279 54405 51682 55 277 53 272 52 266 61 274 51682 49231 59 282 56 279 61 269 69 266 49231 47048 68 280 69 279 67 268 68 261 47048 45082 74 274 75 273 72 267 61 261 45082 43289 76 272 74 271 76 268 59 271 43289 41637 76 272 75 274 78 270 68 278 41637 40104 77 273 76 276 77 272 76 279 40104 38672 77 276 76 276 78 275 77 278 38672 37322 77 277 75 277 78 277 74 279 37322 36014 77 277 75 279 78 280 72 280 36014 34682 75 278 74 279 77 281 70 279 34682 33296 73 278 72 280 75 281 69 277 33296 31859 72 280 72 286 73 281 67 278 31859 30355 72 282 72 289 71 285 63 280 30355 28773 73 283 69 288 67 286 59 284 28773 27111 71 282 64 289 62 286 55 285 27111 25370 67 281 61 289 54 290 48 285 25370 23550 66 281 60 286 52 289 46 280 23550 21652 65 284 58 285 53 291 48 291 21652 19677 60 289 53 289 53 294 42 298 19677 17624 48 292 46 288 47 297 39 297 17624 15531 41 293 40 285 42 293 38 295 15531 13513 34 294 32 288 39 292 35 292 13513 11679 29 297 27 289 33 292 32 292 11679 10051 23 303 22 291 27 287 30 290 10051 8610 20 305 19 297 21 286 26 285 8610 7337 18 317 18 310 18 299 16 290 7337 6211 15 338 15 326 14 315 11 297 6211 5215 13 357 9 337 10 319 8 290 5215 4339 12 012 5 334 7 302 7 277 4339 3565 11 017 4 329 7 289 6 279 3565 2872 11 016 4 331 7 291 7 295 2872 2260 11 015 4 331 6 290 8 304 2260 1751 12 009 4*328 6 289 8 304 1751 1359 14 359 4*327 6 290 6 295 1359 1091 12*354 4 325 5 289 5 285 1091 927 9*351 4 325 5*289 4 275 927 834 7 350 3 324 4*289 4*277 834 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography