DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 68.2 - - 65.5 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 417 - - 244 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1531 - - 1669 - - 1496 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1132 - - 1547 - - 1277 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2075 - - 2214 - - 2041 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 473 - - 477 - - 423 - - 1374 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 359 - - 289 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 260 - - 264 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 160 - - -1419 - - -1203 - - -537 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1915 - - 3633 - - 3244 - - 1097 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 199 - - -9700 - - -10530 - - -11482 ODpotential blCL - - - 1876 - - 11914 - - 12571 - - 12042 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 81 - - 81 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 68.2 - - 65.5 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 54.2 - - 53.2 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 65.8 - - 63.9 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 53.8 - - 53.0 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 417 - - 244 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1531 - - 1669 - - 1496 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 25 - - 23 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99028 20 113 18 133 7 140 10 047 99028 91590 18 103 20 107 17 115 15 116 91590 85854 15 117 12 093 23 101 18 122 85854 81095 14 134 8 116 15 093 18 105 81095 76980 16 129 9 163 6 100 13 096 76980 73341 8 104 12 157 5 150 6 085 73341 70058 7 170 6 186 2 153 6 098 70058 67031 12 171 11 190 8 235 3 357 67031 64223 5 206 8 181 11 207 6 253 64223 61511 11 244 8 234 10 225 11 257 61511 58693 12 250 19 241 20 241 20 249 58693 55775 19 275 23 248 23 247 27 253 55775 53001 27 279 31 266 38 265 40 260 53001 50516 36 284 39 279 50 272 50 266 50516 48283 45 288 55 281 59 270 59 266 48283 46253 54 291 63 279 64 271 73 271 46253 44397 55 292 68 280 77 275 89 272 44397 42685 53 292 70 281 84 275 94 270 42685 41092 50 291 65 282 82 274 91 268 41092 39600 43 289 55 283 77 274 87 268 39600 38197 37 283 47 281 66 273 83 267 38197 36842 33 275 39 274 55 271 76 265 36842 35465 29 268 36 269 47 264 66 263 35465 34037 27 262 36 267 41 254 57 257 34037 32558 26 260 36 268 41 253 50 250 32558 31011 24 257 32 269 42 255 48 247 31011 29382 21 255 25 262 40 258 43 246 29382 27669 17 258 24 252 32 254 40 241 27669 25874 16 271 24 247 28 241 40 232 25874 23998 17 272 23 241 30 237 38 229 23998 22046 18 258 26 243 28 235 32 229 22046 20012 19 250 23 243 25 234 27 222 20012 17891 16 248 20 239 21 231 23 216 17891 15726 10 245 15 233 18 230 20 213 15726 13637 8 223 12 223 15 226 16 210 13637 11736 9 194 12 205 12 219 15 207 11736 10049 11 187 13 199 11 210 15 199 10049 8555 11 198 11 203 11 197 16 191 8555 7231 12 205 10 207 11 185 17 183 7231 6057 12 203 10 207 12 178 18 175 6057 5020 12 199 10 203 12 180 15 175 5020 4110 12 202 10 202 8 205 9 203 4110 3314 9 226 7 218 6 269 5 280 3314 2609 7*268 8*248 10*276 8 307 2609 1991 8*265 11*259 15*267 12 287 1991 1478 8 260 12 260 16 265 14 270 1478 1087 8 257 12 260 16 263 13 258 1087 818 8 256 11 260 15 262 11 252 818 654 7 255 11 260 14 262 10 249 654 560 6 255 9 261 11 261 6*246 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography