DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 72.5 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 107 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 1174 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 545 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1106 - - 1720 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 511 - - 1036 - - - - - 379 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 145 - - 216 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 293 - - - - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3692 - - -4737 - - - - - -1428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4798 - - 6457 - - - - - 1989 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13896 - - -12255 - - - - - -10898 ODpotential blCL - - - 15002 - - 13975 - - - - - 11459 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 40 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 72.5 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 46.6 - - - - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 71.7 - - - - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 45.4 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 107 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 1174 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96178 4 273 14 296 14 322 96178 89069 8 062 3 337 5 331 89069 83608 11 024 7 337 6 048 83608 79078 17 018 11 349 11 008 79078 75177 22 344 18 339 19 002 75177 71743 24 343 20 330 26 349 71743 68645 26 331 20 328 28 335 68645 65795 29 324 21 318 31 328 65795 63139 32 314 24 301 33 318 63139 60561 33 308 27 295 35 305 60561 57866 34 307 30 300 33 300 57866 55053 33 299 35 299 37 298 55053 52354 33 298 34 296 40 295 52354 49917 33 291 32 297 40 294 49917 47726 32 286 33 300 43 297 47726 45732 33 286 34 297 46 296 45732 43907 43 283 42 290 44 292 43907 42232 48 279 57 284 44 291 42232 40685 53 282 62 277 59 282 40685 39245 58 281 61 277 80 271 39245 37889 58 278 60 277 78 267 37889 36570 54 275 61 274 75 268 36570 35220 53 276 55 270 67 270 35220 33814 45 274 51 270 58 270 33814 32352 41 276 48 268 55 273 32352 30819 41 274 45 269 56 278 30819 29202 39 275 43 271 52 281 29202 27504 35 276 42 272 45 281 27504 25724 32 277 37 272 39 273 25724 23873 28 273 30 267 36 275 23873 21954 25 272 28 272 29 273 21954 19954 24 275 23 278 22 272 19954 17865 18 295 19 281 20 276 17865 15725 15 301 14 280 17 285 15725 13654 13 303 9 280 14 297 13654 11765 10 310 5 296 12 305 11765 10086 7 316 3 311 9 307 10086 8595 6 321 3 315 9 312 8595 7271 6 331 3 333 9 323 7271 6098 6 340 4 352 10 331 6098 5062 5 344 4 002 10 336 5062 4154 4 345 3 010 8 342 4154 3354 3 346 3 024 6 354 3354 2641 2 346 3 032 7 358 2641 2013 3 334 2*006 8 350 2013 1492 3*315 2*298 7 332 1492 1093 3*281 3 293 6 288 1093 820 3 275 3 291 6 258 820 655 2 275 3 291 5*239 655 561 2 276 3 290 3*230 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography