DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 55.8 - - 57.5 - - 55.7 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - -1 - - 75 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1445 - - 984 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1990 - - 1528 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 129 - - 460 - - 703 - - 712 - - 990 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 15 - - 198 - - 98 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 294 - - 275 - - 284 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4231 - - -2902 - - 588 - - 202 - - -10 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4791 - - 3462 - - 1402 - - 1326 - - 570 sfcLCL ODpotential -13936 - - -10567 - - 258 - - -6276 - - -6664 ODpotential blCL 14496 - - 11127 - - 1732 - - 7804 - - 7224 blCL maxRH 33 - - 49 - - 99 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 55.8 - - 57.5 - - 55.7 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.5 - - 42.9 - - 53.3 - - 51.9 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.2 - - 56.3 - - 56.7 - - 55.6 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 41.8 - - 52.7 - - 51.5 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - -1 - - 75 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1445 - - 984 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 96 - - 94 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95703 15 056 11 055 17 337 13 060 1 084 95703 88787 17 045 15 056 11 042 15 063 16 054 88787 83438 16 059 13 049 16 056 15 043 23 056 83438 78967 19 065 11 059 12 061 12 029 21 050 78967 75099 21 044 14 064 10 078 11 015 18 042 75099 71676 20 029 18 058 13 070 11 024 19 037 71676 68582 18 021 17 041 16 050 12 024 20 037 68582 65746 17 020 16 024 16 027 15 023 21 032 65746 63116 16 012 15 014 14 012 15 011 19 013 63116 60556 16 350 17 002 15 355 15 359 14 350 60556 57864 19 334 18 346 15 338 16 328 14 330 57864 55044 20 333 17 323 19 322 20 311 17 314 55044 52329 24 326 21 311 22 310 26 304 20 304 52329 49863 31 314 27 301 27 302 30 295 22 299 49863 47628 35 309 30 298 27 300 25 289 23 283 47628 45576 31 292 33 288 29 296 25 289 18 291 45576 43676 22 293 25 278 30 275 31 277 19 307 43676 41901 27 298 20 276 26 259 27 257 21 287 41901 40239 34 282 23 273 22 262 24 253 19 273 40239 38689 40 256 26 256 29 255 29 236 21 247 38689 37255 35 249 30 238 38 226 26 224 21 228 37255 35901 35 249 33 224 35 223 27 225 24 219 35901 34546 46 241 37 224 35 226 28 223 31 207 34546 33153 63 235 40 229 36 225 29 224 31 190 33153 31723 59 235 41 226 37 215 43 218 30 171 31723 30229 44 236 39 220 35 204 39 205 32 170 30229 28651 37 230 35 223 35 207 32 199 31 177 28651 26990 30 233 31 222 29 207 27 196 34 186 26990 25243 24 227 30 210 24 203 27 199 39 194 25243 23414 23 205 32 201 28 204 24 203 35 193 23414 21513 27 196 33 200 35 199 25 184 31 183 21513 19536 30 207 32 198 39 196 35 178 29 187 19536 17474 30 215 28 196 38 194 39 181 32 188 17474 15376 23 218 23 194 32 192 36 182 33 177 15376 13355 15 212 19 185 24 188 29 174 27 160 13355 11512 13 203 18 188 19 168 24 152 27 152 11512 9871 14 191 19 201 17 151 22 151 24 152 9871 8413 14 187 17 199 16 147 21 159 20 163 8413 7118 12 194 13 181 16 160 18 171 16 170 7118 5971 8 200 12 168 16 172 15 187 10 177 5971 4958 5 202 13 164 14 183 11 196 6 191 4958 4068 4 205 11 166 10 190 7 189 4 186 4068 3286 4 194 9 182 6 212 5 172 4 173 3286 2589 4 181 9 205 8*256 3 195 3 182 2589 1977 3 183 10 224 12*273 4*273 3 230 1977 1469 4 194 10 236 12 274 6*283 5 258 1469 1081 3 180 8 242 11 275 6 283 7 263 1081 814 2 138 5 249 11 275 6 284 6 262 814 653 1 084 3 286 10 276 5 284 5*256 653 560 0*015 2*294 7 277 4 285 3*252 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography