DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 66.5 - - 71.7 - - 62.8 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 118 - - 226 - - 65 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1096 - - 2269 - - 1162 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1809 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1641 - - 2814 - - 1707 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 192 - - 1231 - - 1889 - - 739 - - 1170 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 207 - - 326 - - 172 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 14 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 230 - - 271 - - 273 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 5 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2820 - - -3209 - - -2807 - - -503 - - -174 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3380 - - 4850 - - 5621 - - 2210 - - 735 sfcLCL ODpotential -14009 - - -10661 - - -8445 - - -4025 - - -7329 ODpotential blCL 14569 - - 12302 - - 11259 - - 5732 - - 7890 blCL maxRH 50 - - 54 - - 64 - - 89 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 66.5 - - 71.7 - - 62.8 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 47.4 - - 49.2 - - 55.1 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 65.5 - - 70.3 - - 62.3 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 46.9 - - 48.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 118 - - 226 - - 65 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1096 - - 2269 - - 1162 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 54 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97315 12 223 11 232 11 301 5 242 14 267 97315 90025 6 126 3 109 2 070 2 043 6 337 90025 84430 11 080 10 092 5 138 8 336 10 004 84430 79805 7 008 4 090 4 119 6 345 5 044 79805 75840 5 021 1 285 3 289 4 341 8 054 75840 72328 9 358 2 232 5 249 6 282 6 031 72328 69124 9 271 4 210 4 232 8 249 5 286 69124 66166 8 259 6 203 10 231 10 230 13 262 66166 63421 11 288 6 229 12 227 13 222 17 247 63421 60749 14 279 8 253 11 229 17 223 20 228 60749 57942 18 277 10 262 8 243 16 222 20 223 57942 55019 22 256 17 258 15 261 16 242 16 237 55019 52220 22 239 21 248 23 259 21 255 20 263 52220 49696 21 236 20 239 23 243 26 251 27 259 49696 47443 18 238 20 229 23 235 27 244 30 266 47443 45417 16 239 19 239 22 252 26 260 29 269 45417 43580 16 254 23 255 26 273 30 279 24 285 43580 41905 21 268 27 259 31 271 33 286 38 303 41905 40364 25 273 27 260 32 266 35 289 46 295 40364 38930 24 273 29 263 33 265 35 286 42 291 38930 37576 21 273 28 261 35 262 33 283 37 293 37576 36262 17 288 25 261 36 259 31 280 39 296 36262 34922 19 310 22 261 37 258 32 279 37 295 34922 33526 18 298 23 266 35 261 33 274 37 295 33526 32077 22 285 27 265 33 258 36 270 32 286 32077 30561 20 272 28 261 30 252 38 270 31 273 30561 28972 18 266 27 260 30 253 38 268 32 262 28972 27305 16 265 25 260 29 253 34 262 34 266 27305 25556 13 278 24 259 28 252 29 259 33 263 25556 23728 13 287 22 263 28 253 28 258 30 263 23728 21820 13 297 21 273 25 255 26 253 28 265 21820 19827 12 317 16 276 18 259 22 247 25 258 19827 17740 10 328 10 287 14 254 17 243 24 253 17740 15602 9 327 9 295 11 260 15 248 22 260 15602 13534 7 307 9 291 10 267 13 259 19 275 13534 11653 6 294 7 280 9 261 12 258 14 274 11653 9983 6 294 6 265 10 259 11 259 12 262 9983 8503 6 279 6 215 10 236 9 241 11 243 8503 7193 5 236 8 191 12 216 13 220 13 219 7193 6035 6 186 9 181 12 205 14 208 15 208 6035 5012 7 168 9 175 11 190 9 200 13 198 5012 4112 6 170 8 175 8 184 6 200 11 186 4112 3319 6 191 7 180 5*199 5 230 8 180 3319 2612 6 208 6 186 5*249 7 256 6 183 2612 1992 7 224 4*201 8 271 11*273 5 225 1992 1479 7 234 3*219 9 273 12*273 6 246 1479 1087 5 235 3 229 9 275 12 273 6 247 1087 817 2 206 3 234 9 275 11 272 5 242 817 654 1 078 2 239 8 276 10 273 4*234 654 561 1*113 2 240 7 276 8 272 3*229 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography