DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.5 - - 55.6 - - 64.1 - - 62.7 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 20 - - 59 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 132 - - 1280 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 675 - - 1825 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 333 - - 655 - - 1475 - - 2755 - - 411 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 60 - - 184 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 149 - - 326 - - 312 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 2 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1164 - - -2322 - - -3110 - - -2724 - - -326 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1724 - - 2997 - - 4935 - - 3285 - - 887 sfcLCL ODpotential -8438 - - -7629 - - -6739 - - -5574 - - -6165 ODpotential blCL 8998 - - 8304 - - 8564 - - 6135 - - 6726 blCL maxRH 63 - - 76 - - 94 - - 58 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.5 - - 55.6 - - 64.1 - - 62.7 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.2 - - 44.6 - - 44.6 - - 50.3 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 55.4 - - 63.5 - - 63.0 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 43.6 - - 43.3 - - 49.1 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 20 - - 59 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 132 - - 1280 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 2 - - 75 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95549 7 065 15 283 21 309 23 322 6 265 95549 88722 21 058 10 051 11 009 13 016 6 128 88722 83398 17 049 15 049 14 035 19 023 8 058 83398 78946 14 043 15 052 11 042 18 018 16 027 78946 75103 16 036 19 051 10 060 12 011 17 013 75103 71697 17 034 21 039 14 058 6 008 14 017 71697 68592 15 024 16 026 17 036 10 022 13 019 68592 65725 16 007 13 013 16 014 15 017 11 013 65725 63066 17 355 14 007 18 002 15 007 10 012 63066 60483 16 350 18 351 20 349 18 348 12 354 60483 57775 14 341 18 334 20 335 21 337 14 333 57775 54944 12 335 15 324 16 307 18 312 14 325 54944 52213 12 333 13 324 13 286 17 304 14 326 52213 49728 17 330 14 325 10 291 17 306 12 320 49728 47477 20 329 15 320 9 310 18 302 11 332 47477 45417 20 324 14 318 9 320 15 303 12 347 45417 43520 16 314 13 330 9 336 8 309 13 356 43520 41757 8 310 12 351 9 006 6 026 14 011 41757 40109 8 020 5 028 11 026 10 043 15 017 40109 38565 9 003 8 083 9 021 16 036 17 022 38565 37125 4 315 8 063 10 047 17 028 22 032 37125 35762 8 164 12 100 12 055 14 044 27 039 35762 34396 11 125 16 096 12 074 18 060 30 036 34396 32988 14 104 15 106 14 091 25 069 31 041 32988 31546 19 080 16 114 15 096 29 063 37 043 31546 30056 17 137 19 120 16 112 22 077 35 042 30056 28496 28 136 30 122 20 124 26 104 29 052 28496 26858 27 145 29 123 23 132 32 098 28 056 26858 25136 27 155 24 129 25 145 33 112 30 051 25136 23333 24 155 22 138 18 149 20 102 31 057 23333 21452 22 147 18 137 13 130 21 070 30 063 21452 19487 25 146 17 132 12 127 20 085 25 065 19487 17437 23 139 19 132 13 131 16 109 25 062 17437 15346 14 136 16 146 16 123 17 102 23 063 15346 13333 9 154 14 138 16 126 16 080 23 066 13333 11500 9 165 15 140 14 138 13 070 21 073 11500 9871 9 140 14 143 11 151 9 060 15 084 9871 8424 7 126 11 143 9 152 6 068 11 101 8424 7136 5 115 7 150 6 160 3 101 8 120 7136 5991 3 101 5 160 3 191 2 166 4 130 5991 4978 3 079 4 166 2 238 2 211 0 035 4978 4088 3 055 2 155 1 293 2 234 3 002 4088 3304 4 024 1 005 2 343 1 258 5 005 3304 2604 6 002 3 355 3 355 2 332 6 359 2604 1989 7 351 2 002 2*355 3 340 6 353 1989 1477 6 344 2 070 2*330 4 330 5 337 1477 1084 3 333 3 115 2 328 4 320 5 299 1084 816 1 209 3*128 2 324 4 318 5 260 816 653 3 184 1*150 2 325 4*317 5*228 653 561 4*188 1 148 2 321 3*312 3*212 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography