DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 77.3 - - 74.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 412 - - 256 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 670 - - 989 - - 685 - - 286 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1054 - - 681 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1214 - - 1534 - - 1231 - - 830 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 342 - - 243 - - 350 - - 317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 301 - - 227 - - 66 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 265 - - 260 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1773 - - -3280 - - -2708 - - -728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2987 - - 4814 - - 3939 - - 1559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12418 - - -12015 - - -12215 - - -12502 ODpotential blCL - - - 13632 - - 13549 - - 13446 - - 13332 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 74 - - 68 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 77.3 - - 74.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.3 - - 58.5 - - 59.5 - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 74.9 - - 72.9 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 58.0 - - 59.2 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 412 - - 256 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 670 - - 989 - - 685 - - 286 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99377 33 107 36 099 32 117 16 102 99377 91897 33 107 32 105 26 109 25 096 91897 86103 31 118 28 101 27 102 29 093 86103 81300 28 107 22 099 30 098 25 101 81300 77173 23 102 20 111 30 093 28 106 77173 73530 21 107 22 124 17 081 23 091 73530 70251 16 100 15 116 9 102 9 076 70251 67247 12 098 7 117 5 085 9 074 67247 64457 5 061 4 055 5 052 9 032 64457 61764 3 080 2 313 1 334 7 345 61764 58982 4 302 2 281 2 260 6 263 58982 56135 12 252 10 283 9 308 4 331 56135 53442 11 219 13 251 14 267 9 294 53442 51030 17 199 18 226 20 237 13 265 51030 48874 20 199 23 207 29 215 23 236 48874 46911 21 220 24 201 26 211 23 224 46911 45103 30 219 26 212 25 231 22 236 45103 43422 35 218 29 217 28 232 22 236 43422 41847 32 220 27 216 27 228 23 233 41847 40360 26 225 22 218 25 224 22 233 40360 38953 23 225 19 217 22 221 22 230 38953 37588 22 223 18 216 20 218 23 225 37588 36197 20 223 17 218 18 220 23 223 36197 34750 16 225 15 218 18 222 21 227 34750 33246 13 222 12 217 16 220 17 231 33246 31673 14 225 8 230 14 222 14 230 31673 30018 13 229 5 245 9 227 10 230 30018 28283 10 213 5 220 6 223 7 218 28283 26467 6 202 4 213 6 193 6 205 26467 24567 2 212 2 268 0 272 4 180 24567 22586 4 178 4 212 2 331 2 134 22586 20523 7 145 6 178 2 358 3 077 20523 18375 10 139 5 138 4 070 9 080 18375 16181 12 120 6 096 8 079 11 087 16181 14057 14 112 8 064 9 060 9 077 14057 12118 10 083 14 048 14 051 12 046 12118 10391 12 036 13 031 15 043 15 042 10391 8854 12 029 12 020 14 033 16 040 8854 7486 11 022 11 010 13 026 14 032 7486 6270 11 019 9 004 10 017 12 022 6270 5194 10 018 7 358 8 003 10 004 5194 4249 8 016 5 342 7 343 9 346 4249 3418 6 002 5 313 7 324 8 335 3418 2679 4 321 7 283 8 303 8 327 2679 2032 5 267 10*273 9 283 7 304 2032 1500 5*262 11*265 11*265 8 268 1500 1097 5*265 11 264 11*261 9*252 1097 822 5 267 11 264 11 260 8*249 822 656 5 269 10 265 10 260 7 248 656 561 4 271 8 264 8 260 5 249 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography