DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.5 - - 59.5 - - 68.4 - - 66.1 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 6 - - 55 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 736 - - 604 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1281 - - 1149 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 570 - - 1021 - - 1066 - - 281 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 24 - - 151 - - 68 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 075 - - 060 - - 073 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4869 - - -4084 - - -4059 - - -2589 - - -2154 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5429 - - 4644 - - 5340 - - 3738 - - 2716 sfcLCL ODpotential -16063 - - -13296 - - -11552 - - -10139 - - -12612 ODpotential blCL 16623 - - 13856 - - 12833 - - 11288 - - 13173 blCL maxRH 28 - - 45 - - 45 - - 55 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.5 - - 59.5 - - 68.4 - - 66.1 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.0 - - 41.9 - - 47.5 - - 52.0 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 59.5 - - 67.8 - - 66.3 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 40.7 - - 46.2 - - 50.9 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 6 - - 55 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 736 - - 604 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96142 9 274 7 337 12 308 23 315 5 035 96142 89101 16 340 10 320 14 342 17 328 8 356 89101 83679 16 330 7 329 13 323 12 330 9 336 83679 79159 18 338 8 011 8 341 8 327 16 341 79159 75269 18 336 10 001 10 352 8 345 17 327 75269 71848 9 324 6 344 10 339 10 003 6 321 71848 68727 12 006 9 006 9 331 17 357 12 008 68727 65840 21 338 19 349 21 334 23 342 20 348 65840 63175 23 316 29 333 19 325 16 350 18 358 63175 60599 19 291 28 329 21 349 16 012 22 007 60599 57899 28 320 23 323 26 351 24 352 26 002 57899 55085 29 321 25 331 34 352 35 347 32 353 55085 52392 34 343 40 346 41 357 36 348 31 356 52392 49951 47 338 53 355 46 010 38 009 37 011 49951 47744 50 343 55 358 51 011 46 015 42 016 47744 45737 45 001 48 003 52 010 54 009 47 015 45737 43918 51 011 44 023 50 017 58 004 47 028 43918 42270 58 013 49 035 48 034 43 023 52 030 42270 40746 63 024 63 043 61 052 37 059 40 041 40746 39315 80 033 76 046 72 057 47 072 45 066 39315 37965 87 034 81 047 75 061 54 069 52 065 37965 36653 85 035 80 051 76 061 56 066 51 062 36653 35310 83 041 69 054 75 065 55 058 49 062 35310 33907 71 049 69 065 73 073 55 055 49 059 33907 32446 51 050 60 074 66 081 54 054 46 063 32446 30914 33 047 46 069 56 090 48 068 45 077 30914 29299 23 042 26 057 43 081 42 088 40 092 29299 27605 16 030 13 057 27 059 34 084 31 092 27605 25825 15 013 16 057 14 057 31 064 32 080 25825 23964 15 033 18 059 12 076 16 065 29 081 23964 22033 18 065 17 072 15 085 9 104 16 086 22033 20026 19 083 17 081 15 079 11 101 14 107 20026 17929 15 095 14 092 11 080 12 081 13 112 17929 15779 7 097 9 092 8 090 11 081 11 103 15779 13698 4 077 5 079 7 112 8 097 9 119 13698 11801 3 118 2 124 2 155 6 088 5 125 11801 10112 1 264 2 244 2 252 8 068 3 077 10112 8613 3 305 3 317 2 038 8 075 4 064 8613 7282 3 347 3 000 4 074 6 087 2 084 7282 6105 4 009 3 035 3 103 3 100 0 175 6105 5066 4 011 2 059 3 150 1 125 1 275 5066 4154 3 007 2 063 3 176 1 002 2 336 4154 3352 3 010 2 057 4 175 4 025 3 025 3352 2638 3 020 3 057 4 161 6 040 4 048 2638 2010 3 046 4 089 3 121 7 058 5 064 2010 1489 5 071 9 098 5*075 11*073 9 077 1489 1091 7 075 11 092 6*064 11*074 12 082 1091 818 8 069 9 088 6 060 10 073 12 085 818 654 7 057 7 082 5 057 9 073 8*083 654 561 4*049 3*075 4 055 6 071 3*084 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography