DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 70.5 - - 71.2 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 377 - - 282 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 1686 - - 1369 - - 421 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1535 - - 1233 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1571 - - 2231 - - 1914 - - 965 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 966 - - 522 - - 503 - - 703 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 348 - - 295 - - 77 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 273 - - 268 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 148 - - -551 - - -1127 - - -846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1423 - - 2782 - - 3041 - - 1811 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 232 - - -10658 - - -11426 - - -12924 ODpotential blCL - - - 1339 - - 12889 - - 13340 - - 13889 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 84 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 70.5 - - 71.2 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.0 - - 60.2 - - 59.7 - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 68.4 - - 69.3 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 59.9 - - 59.5 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 377 - - 282 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 1686 - - 1369 - - 421 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 65 - - 36 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99296 32 103 34 102 39 102 40 115 99296 91786 30 114 27 116 25 099 36 095 91786 86014 28 109 27 121 22 103 29 093 86014 81240 30 105 30 116 26 118 25 107 81240 77122 32 104 27 112 26 121 24 117 77122 73480 28 102 25 110 23 115 23 114 73480 70194 20 114 26 111 21 122 21 116 70194 67200 18 134 22 116 21 124 19 115 67200 64447 13 147 18 133 19 126 18 117 64447 61790 12 129 22 153 18 148 12 144 61790 59024 6 178 22 168 18 164 16 153 59024 56158 19 200 22 194 17 198 11 192 56158 53445 21 189 26 195 21 207 17 213 53445 51026 17 219 22 213 24 224 20 222 51026 48859 24 225 30 221 32 229 26 232 48859 46876 29 223 36 222 38 230 30 239 46876 45042 35 220 39 222 43 230 39 242 45042 43343 42 219 42 222 46 230 43 242 43343 41759 45 220 42 222 45 233 40 243 41759 40268 44 221 40 225 42 236 40 240 40268 38859 40 223 37 228 42 239 41 238 38859 37492 36 225 35 230 41 237 39 237 37492 36099 33 228 34 230 40 232 38 235 36099 34652 30 234 33 234 38 235 37 236 34652 33151 30 237 32 244 35 242 33 239 33151 31578 31 237 29 245 30 239 30 232 31578 29919 29 236 26 238 26 231 28 222 29919 28173 28 237 25 236 26 229 27 224 28173 26343 27 238 23 235 25 226 25 228 26343 24430 25 232 24 229 25 227 24 230 24430 22439 26 224 26 227 27 228 25 228 22439 20365 24 221 24 223 25 222 25 226 20365 18203 25 220 23 217 21 218 22 224 18203 15994 25 219 24 214 19 217 19 226 15994 13862 25 213 24 211 19 222 16 229 13862 11924 25 208 23 211 18 222 13 232 11924 10207 22 204 20 207 15 213 11 220 10207 8690 14 204 14 204 12 207 12 203 8690 7346 10 228 9 235 10 216 12 200 7346 6157 12 247 11 260 9 241 10 220 6157 5107 12 237 12 272 9 272 9 255 5107 4183 12 212 10 262 7 300 6 272 4183 3371 12 207 10 247 7 312 7 325 3371 2650 11 246 10*266 9 294 9 322 2650 2018 11*271 11*272 13*273 11 291 2018 1495 10*273 11 273 14*269 13 267 1495 1096 10 274 11 273 14 268 13*256 1096 822 9 275 11 273 13 267 11*251 822 656 8 276 10 273 12 267 10 249 656 561 7 277 8 273 10 267 7 247 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography