DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 81.9 - - 78.9 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 151 - - 62 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 685 - - 2479 - - 681 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1834 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1230 - - 3024 - - 1227 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 915 - - 3437 - - 2125 - - 242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 304 - - 150 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 20 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 353 - - 271 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5214 - - -4963 - - -5019 - - -2475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6445 - - 7988 - - 6246 - - 3037 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10711 - - -8353 - - -8389 - - -8460 ODpotential blCL - - - 11941 - - 11377 - - 9616 - - 9022 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 73 - - 40 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 210 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 81.9 - - 78.9 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 48.9 - - 53.6 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 80.8 - - 78.3 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 47.6 - - 52.5 - - 52.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 151 - - 62 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 685 - - 2479 - - 681 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96613 29 293 37 284 35 275 52 278 96613 89301 30 288 33 284 30 277 37 283 89301 83774 21 281 25 285 24 298 23 297 83774 79245 11 290 18 267 24 294 21 310 79245 75341 15 291 20 273 30 289 19 295 75341 71886 15 279 20 275 25 288 17 293 71886 68732 12 279 19 270 23 282 21 302 68732 65794 18 292 20 274 24 272 26 279 65794 63055 24 282 25 274 26 269 28 280 63055 60394 32 271 31 273 30 278 36 286 60394 57617 33 266 42 270 44 272 41 277 57617 54733 40 265 42 263 45 263 44 278 54733 51971 39 272 42 273 44 275 50 280 51971 49476 44 278 51 275 52 278 58 277 49476 47247 47 280 53 273 57 276 57 277 47247 45250 46 279 50 272 57 276 56 283 45250 43452 37 275 44 271 53 277 55 290 43452 41806 29 271 32 271 46 277 56 290 41806 40281 30 275 29 273 39 276 55 285 40281 38854 33 273 34 267 36 273 50 278 38854 37509 28 268 37 265 41 269 42 274 37509 36207 27 268 37 264 48 268 40 269 36207 34880 26 270 36 261 45 275 45 272 34880 33499 25 271 33 262 42 277 48 280 33499 32066 23 267 25 261 36 273 37 281 32066 30565 20 263 24 259 29 273 34 271 30565 28983 20 264 25 262 29 273 36 274 28983 27318 19 265 25 262 27 273 31 272 27318 25569 17 255 24 264 25 276 27 268 25569 23740 19 251 24 270 24 272 24 265 23740 21834 19 255 24 273 22 267 22 257 21834 19850 16 265 23 269 20 268 20 255 19850 17776 10 254 18 268 18 270 17 252 17776 15657 9 241 13 255 15 269 13 249 15657 13610 11 248 12 244 12 261 9 257 13610 11748 11 259 11 250 11 265 8 265 11748 10090 6 282 6 245 7 250 8 258 10090 8615 6 019 3 109 4 169 6 242 8615 7302 10 032 8 061 8 074 3 146 7302 6135 14 034 14 043 12 048 6 064 6135 5103 17 032 15 039 11 042 6 043 5103 4192 19 032 13 039 9 038 6 028 4192 3387 18 033 9*037 6 027 8 010 3387 2668 13 034 5*029 5 005 12 359 2668 2033 7 035 3 001 5 314 14 350 2033 1505 2*012 3 343 7*280 13 338 1505 1101 1*297 3 330 8*273 8 307 1101 824 1 283 2 323 7 271 7 256 824 657 1 278 2 321 7 270 7*234 657 562 1 272 2 318 6 270 4*227 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography