DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 67.1 - - 76.6 - - 72.3 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 21 - - 92 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 158 - - 1677 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 703 - - 2222 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 129 - - 803 - - 1260 - - 1157 - - 294 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 66 - - 222 - - 23 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 50 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 126 - - 081 - - 272 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3032 - - -4801 - - -5359 - - -4529 - - -775 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3593 - - 5504 - - 7581 - - 5092 - - 1336 sfcLCL ODpotential -15326 - - -13865 - - -12543 - - -10780 - - -10457 ODpotential blCL 15887 - - 14568 - - 14765 - - 11342 - - 11018 blCL maxRH 42 - - 43 - - 48 - - 44 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 67.1 - - 76.6 - - 72.3 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.4 - - 45.6 - - 45.7 - - 52.2 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 67.0 - - 76.1 - - 72.7 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 44.5 - - 44.9 - - 51.7 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 21 - - 92 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 158 - - 1677 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97061 21 275 27 286 28 280 32 272 34 287 97061 89873 15 265 18 267 21 280 24 282 20 303 89873 84316 6 292 15 262 20 290 16 287 12 317 84316 79709 6 292 6 320 11 276 13 298 12 310 79709 75742 8 282 11 006 3 247 9 283 12 299 75742 72237 9 322 7 344 7 303 4 300 9 302 72237 69060 16 328 3 325 12 274 8 275 10 301 69060 66142 17 317 5 333 12 271 10 261 14 295 66142 63444 16 289 9 294 13 271 11 276 10 274 63444 60837 19 277 12 279 14 259 17 268 11 265 60837 58125 21 257 14 267 15 255 20 267 16 253 58125 55324 19 256 18 252 16 252 25 262 21 251 55324 52655 23 265 21 237 17 254 23 251 22 268 52655 50242 20 246 19 236 21 251 19 253 25 276 50242 48061 19 219 19 222 19 237 16 255 22 267 48061 46071 19 203 21 199 18 219 15 244 16 264 46071 44241 15 202 15 190 17 203 10 236 13 264 44241 42544 11 220 12 186 14 187 11 216 16 246 42544 40961 17 227 11 187 11 182 9 193 17 222 40961 39476 21 219 13 198 11 191 7 191 12 201 39476 38076 23 195 18 193 12 191 6 187 9 191 38076 36721 19 179 20 184 11 187 4 159 5 191 36721 35344 19 183 20 179 12 182 4 207 7 275 35344 33917 26 184 22 179 19 181 8 209 13 275 33917 32445 30 179 28 179 23 181 6 191 5 206 32445 30917 26 182 28 185 20 180 2 148 8 173 30917 29315 20 190 18 191 12 180 5 145 10 151 29315 27630 16 203 12 187 12 170 10 162 7 208 27630 25863 12 216 12 182 14 159 8 178 10 248 25863 24010 8 182 13 177 13 162 6 220 10 253 24010 22074 9 161 15 177 13 183 7 262 6 219 22074 20050 7 189 14 191 9 209 3 318 5 192 20050 17936 4 233 7 203 3 196 3 067 6 174 17936 15778 2 320 1 146 4 125 4 098 4 182 15778 13700 5 002 4 063 6 107 4 099 3 155 13700 11808 7 016 5 057 5 097 4 102 4 135 11808 10125 8 011 4 042 4 097 3 117 2 124 10125 8629 6 016 2 063 2 106 1 110 1 012 8629 7301 4 034 1 135 0 096 1 007 3 332 7301 6123 5 043 1 149 2 318 1 029 4 326 6123 5084 7 048 1 051 3 346 1 084 4 321 5084 4170 10 050 3 022 4 021 2 085 3 325 4170 3366 10 049 5 023 6 046 2 078 3 345 3366 2649 9 048 6 028 5*069 2 061 4 352 2649 2017 9 051 5 040 5*078 1 014 4 349 2017 1493 8 053 6 052 4 081 4 295 3 317 1493 1093 6 054 4 062 4 083 6 279 5 265 1093 820 3 054 2*078 3 081 7 275 6 243 820 655 0*055 0*102 3 081 6*274 5*233 655 561 1*206 0 147 3 083 5*272 3*228 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography