DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 66.6 - - - - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 395 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 1521 - - - - - 584 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 897 - - 1429 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1642 - - 2066 - - - - - 1128 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 558 - - 331 - - - - - 523 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 343 - - - - - 101 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 266 - - - - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 251 - - -604 - - - - - -503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1391 - - 2670 - - - - - 1631 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 273 - - -10564 - - - - - -12345 ODpotential blCL - - - 1369 - - 12630 - - - - - 13473 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 90 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 66.6 - - - - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 56.7 - - - - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 64.4 - - - - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 56.2 - - - - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 395 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 1521 - - - - - 584 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 59 - - - - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99259 44 127 35 115 31 110 99259 91705 36 111 39 111 28 113 91705 85907 34 097 24 109 29 109 85907 81122 27 092 24 106 31 109 81122 77003 22 106 25 117 29 097 77003 73378 23 107 21 119 23 093 73378 70124 22 119 14 126 22 110 70124 67141 19 113 14 155 24 099 67141 64379 12 125 14 141 15 109 64379 61721 14 161 13 169 8 130 61721 58953 14 186 16 197 8 206 58953 56096 20 220 27 213 21 230 56096 53389 31 237 33 229 27 225 53389 50952 44 249 53 252 43 240 50952 48763 58 252 59 250 57 241 48763 46765 68 252 64 254 61 243 46765 44914 74 250 73 257 66 244 44914 43185 72 249 77 257 72 244 43185 41558 64 245 69 253 74 245 41558 40020 61 242 61 244 76 247 40020 38557 61 241 55 242 75 253 38557 37142 58 239 51 238 57 253 37142 35721 53 237 51 235 53 243 35721 34264 50 238 44 233 51 242 34264 32772 49 238 42 228 44 238 32772 31220 47 236 43 226 40 237 31220 29590 41 235 38 233 32 238 29590 27880 35 236 32 239 30 237 27880 26086 30 244 27 244 25 241 26086 24208 24 251 22 241 20 240 24208 22247 19 244 20 237 19 229 22247 20204 15 236 19 237 16 230 20204 18072 12 227 16 230 13 229 18072 15894 12 217 15 208 13 213 15894 13792 8 220 13 208 13 213 13792 11876 7 213 10 213 9 216 11876 10170 9 213 9 211 8 205 10170 8655 10 216 10 203 11 190 8655 7311 9 214 10 201 13 187 7311 6121 8 200 10 209 12 198 6121 5072 8 189 11 212 10 218 5072 4150 10 184 11 205 10 236 4150 3340 10 191 10 208 9 256 3340 2622 8 221 9*246 9 280 2622 1995 9*261 11*264 12 275 1995 1480 9*266 12 266 13*262 1480 1087 9 267 12 267 12*256 1087 818 8 268 11 267 11 254 818 654 7 267 10 267 10 253 654 561 6 267 9 267 7 253 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography