DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 84.2 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 376 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 795 - - 999 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 764 - - 1047 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1341 - - 1544 - - - - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 479 - - 357 - - - - - 632 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 295 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 259 - - - - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4625 - - -6021 - - - - - -4391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5966 - - 7565 - - - - - 4954 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10292 - - -11387 - - - - - -13141 ODpotential blCL - - - 11633 - - 12931 - - - - - 13703 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 39 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 84.2 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.4 - - 53.4 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.5 - - 81.8 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 52.5 - - - - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 376 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 795 - - 999 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99348 40 111 43 109 34 107 99348 91817 38 112 40 111 37 105 91817 86008 36 116 32 105 32 102 86008 81198 26 111 23 103 31 102 81198 77081 28 105 24 109 25 100 77081 73466 26 100 21 114 25 102 73466 70197 22 107 20 121 23 109 70197 67201 18 121 18 136 18 116 67201 64439 17 156 15 145 13 110 64439 61761 18 163 17 179 11 138 61761 58964 15 160 20 178 10 184 58964 56077 19 200 22 207 16 217 56077 53329 35 197 36 211 26 216 53329 50850 36 212 45 212 36 220 50850 48630 50 221 52 214 45 223 48630 46627 56 219 55 214 49 225 46627 44805 53 217 50 212 51 228 44805 43125 47 223 46 217 52 228 43125 41557 48 229 46 222 50 225 41557 40079 50 229 46 222 48 222 40079 38679 52 227 46 222 47 223 38679 37320 53 227 46 221 47 226 37320 35933 52 227 45 223 46 227 35933 34490 50 228 44 226 45 228 34490 32991 48 231 41 226 42 230 32991 31423 45 233 41 224 38 230 31423 29777 41 234 41 224 36 228 29777 28052 34 229 37 221 33 224 28052 26247 29 228 30 218 31 219 26247 24360 26 228 27 217 28 226 24360 22391 22 224 26 217 23 233 22391 20332 17 216 22 217 20 230 20332 18184 18 210 19 228 16 231 18184 15995 15 233 13 243 8 224 15995 13890 10 238 9 225 7 195 13890 11980 8 223 8 221 8 197 11980 10284 8 231 7 246 6 211 10284 8775 6 247 6 263 5 247 8775 7431 4 257 5 265 5 271 7431 6233 3 259 6 266 7 287 6233 5173 4 274 6 283 11 297 5173 4240 5 300 7 307 14 304 4240 3420 7 319 10 318 15 318 3420 2689 9 323 10 314 17 332 2689 2045 7 313 10*291 14 332 2045 1511 6*265 11*262 9 302 1511 1104 6*260 12 259 9 253 1104 826 6 260 11 258 9 239 826 658 6 259 11 258 8*236 658 562 5 260 9 258 6*233 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography