DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 81.6 - - 78.7 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 422 - - 261 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1218 - - 1484 - - 1088 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1129 - - 1417 - - 1015 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1763 - - 2029 - - 1634 - - 736 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 473 - - 644 - - 622 - - 831 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 348 - - 267 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 263 - - 254 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3489 - - -5322 - - -4862 - - -3226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5252 - - 7351 - - 6496 - - 3962 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14063 - - -13867 - - -14010 - - -14218 ODpotential blCL - - - 15826 - - 15896 - - 15644 - - 14954 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 43 - - 46 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 81.6 - - 78.7 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 51.9 - - 52.6 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 79.2 - - 77.0 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 51.2 - - 52.2 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 422 - - 261 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1218 - - 1484 - - 1088 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99256 41 115 34 111 35 102 39 088 99256 91780 36 104 33 105 32 102 32 091 91780 86047 27 103 31 100 31 105 29 105 86047 81286 27 107 26 107 30 095 29 107 81286 77173 27 110 24 110 24 101 25 101 77173 73532 26 107 22 106 24 107 21 099 73532 70241 21 106 17 119 18 118 17 105 70241 67233 16 119 13 121 13 110 16 115 67233 64468 12 137 13 144 8 135 13 110 64468 61810 18 153 14 155 8 148 9 122 61810 59053 20 167 21 179 14 181 10 193 59053 56211 17 183 23 185 23 199 23 207 56211 53512 24 213 27 210 30 211 30 212 53512 51090 39 220 40 215 43 213 39 216 51090 48922 48 220 48 216 52 215 49 220 48922 46951 52 217 54 216 60 214 63 219 46951 45133 54 213 60 214 66 213 67 215 45133 43435 60 213 65 212 69 214 65 215 43435 41840 63 212 65 212 66 215 62 214 41840 40337 58 211 59 212 61 214 57 213 40337 38917 51 207 55 210 57 212 57 212 38917 37541 49 208 51 208 55 210 57 210 37541 36137 48 212 47 211 52 212 53 212 36137 34677 45 215 43 216 45 217 47 220 34677 33164 40 215 39 214 41 218 42 219 33164 31584 36 216 37 212 38 216 41 215 31584 29925 33 216 35 213 35 215 41 212 29925 28186 31 215 35 216 34 212 39 215 28186 26364 30 218 32 219 33 218 36 219 26364 24457 25 220 27 216 31 223 32 217 24457 22473 20 216 23 208 27 216 27 213 22473 20409 20 204 22 203 24 211 27 209 20409 18258 21 204 22 203 23 208 26 207 18258 16061 22 205 22 204 23 206 23 206 16061 13939 22 203 22 204 21 206 20 201 13939 12006 20 201 19 202 19 205 18 196 12006 10287 15 194 14 193 16 195 17 194 10287 8759 11 184 10 184 14 191 16 196 8759 7403 7 185 7 185 11 195 13 203 7403 6201 5 199 6 191 10 202 11 214 6201 5139 5 209 3 211 7 218 9 233 5139 4206 3 212 2 280 5 260 7 267 4206 3388 2 351 6 335 9 323 8 309 3388 2665 7 343 7 320 10 316 10 326 2665 2030 6*321 7*285 10*279 10 319 2030 1503 6*274 10*266 12*259 9 290 1503 1101 6 271 10 263 12 255 9 261 1101 825 6 269 10 262 12 253 8*248 825 657 5 269 10 261 11 252 8*245 657 561 5 269 8 261 9 251 6 243 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography