DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 67.5 - - 66.0 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 444 - - 247 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2568 - - 2816 - - 2192 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1972 - - 2424 - - 1778 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3113 - - 3360 - - 2736 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 715 - - 885 - - 817 - - 2024 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 325 - - 436 - - 330 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 271 - - 272 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -8 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 506 - - -853 - - -1174 - - -1861 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2607 - - 4214 - - 3910 - - 2422 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 703 - - -7301 - - -7108 - - -9268 ODpotential blCL - - - 2410 - - 10661 - - 9844 - - 9829 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 83 - - 78 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 67.5 - - 66.0 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 51.0 - - 50.8 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 65.2 - - 64.4 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 50.6 - - 50.6 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 444 - - 247 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2568 - - 2816 - - 2192 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 32 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 10 110 12 106 9 100 8 052 98989 91591 10 088 15 093 13 112 13 080 91591 85859 10 095 11 080 15 096 17 094 85859 81089 10 115 12 087 14 087 17 102 81089 76980 10 139 8 111 10 098 13 093 76980 73353 9 158 7 176 8 115 7 109 73353 70068 13 145 10 193 3 136 7 120 70068 67037 7 214 4 248 3 036 3 139 67037 64219 19 227 18 240 10 260 4 252 64219 61482 13 211 17 221 16 224 12 233 61482 58621 15 237 21 238 21 246 21 250 58621 55654 30 237 37 239 39 249 35 255 55654 52830 42 246 48 241 51 247 45 257 52830 50295 51 252 56 246 57 249 56 254 50295 48029 58 255 64 249 64 250 60 255 48029 45975 68 257 71 253 72 254 70 257 45975 44100 77 257 80 256 82 255 80 257 44100 42373 79 257 84 255 87 254 84 255 42373 40770 79 258 83 254 92 255 87 254 40770 39278 79 258 82 253 93 253 86 252 39278 37885 74 255 80 250 91 252 73 251 37885 36548 69 255 75 248 88 251 65 263 36548 35192 66 256 70 249 82 250 68 261 35192 33783 64 256 68 248 73 248 63 257 33783 32321 60 253 66 247 63 249 57 260 32321 30787 54 251 64 246 56 253 53 262 30787 29168 51 251 59 247 54 255 52 259 29168 27462 48 249 55 248 54 254 54 260 27462 25674 45 248 52 250 54 254 52 259 25674 23806 42 251 47 251 50 254 52 254 23806 21859 40 250 41 251 45 253 50 256 21859 19829 37 249 39 251 41 254 45 253 19829 17713 32 247 35 245 37 256 38 251 17713 15556 28 243 32 241 33 247 33 253 15556 13483 27 238 28 239 28 244 31 249 13483 11604 22 232 22 236 23 245 26 244 11604 9940 17 228 18 228 18 244 20 244 9940 8466 13 225 15 226 14 234 15 232 8466 7161 12 217 13 227 13 231 13 230 7161 6005 12 208 13 221 13 218 13 227 6005 4985 12 201 10 219 11 211 13 226 4985 4091 8 220 7*251 8 241 12 248 4091 3306 7*266 9*269 11*270 12 272 3306 2608 7*273 11 272 14*272 14 284 2608 1992 7 273 12 271 15 272 16 284 1992 1480 7 272 13 271 15 272 16 279 1480 1088 7 272 13 271 15 272 14 274 1088 818 7 272 12 271 15 272 12 268 818 654 6 272 11 271 13 272 9*264 654 561 5 272 10 271 11 271 5*259 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography