DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Hollister 546ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.7 - - 81.6 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 79 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 374 - - 1574 - - 1593 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 546 - - 546 - - 546 Hcrit BL Top - - - 920 - - 2120 - - 2139 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 993 - - 1233 - - 1792 - - 867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 221 - - 124 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 039 - - 054 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5258 - - -4173 - - -3941 - - -2651 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6179 - - 6293 - - 6080 - - 3213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14094 - - -11896 - - -11179 - - -10432 ODpotential blCL - - - 15014 - - 14016 - - 13318 - - 10994 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 42 - - 40 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.7 - - 81.6 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 55.4 - - 57.1 - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 80.1 - - 81.8 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 54.1 - - 55.8 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 79 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 374 - - 1574 - - 1593 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96726 18 254 16 292 12 230 35 263 96726 89488 17 172 12 233 9 241 4 305 89488 83975 16 147 9 176 4 122 8 110 83975 79399 11 116 16 137 5 142 11 094 79399 75463 13 111 17 106 2 171 12 059 75463 71996 22 076 15 080 7 121 11 049 71996 68869 19 065 10 050 12 089 12 056 68869 66011 11 072 8 027 17 050 13 055 66011 63379 20 054 12 025 20 014 13 040 63379 60840 24 038 14 043 23 014 14 043 60840 58190 25 031 16 045 21 020 17 030 58190 55433 26 015 17 030 16 027 16 007 55433 52798 17 012 16 016 9 026 8 329 52798 50418 29 043 19 033 11 039 4 004 50418 48272 23 040 18 030 13 018 10 024 48272 46318 12 035 8 017 11 339 8 341 46318 44529 18 040 8 278 20 301 12 311 44529 42875 7 348 9 273 15 293 16 303 42875 41331 25 348 11 353 8 331 13 314 41331 39877 33 350 16 014 11 336 9 315 39877 38500 28 350 18 004 13 331 8 282 38500 37162 24 360 18 351 12 319 12 265 37162 35795 24 009 17 350 11 316 13 261 35795 34370 19 006 15 345 10 301 16 260 34370 32888 19 340 14 331 12 300 15 270 32888 31337 21 329 15 346 13 315 15 292 31337 29701 20 336 16 349 16 321 20 307 29701 27983 20 342 18 341 18 315 21 311 27983 26181 21 338 18 336 22 320 18 318 26181 24298 24 331 20 336 22 329 18 338 24298 22337 25 332 24 339 24 339 23 342 22337 20288 28 344 25 345 26 344 26 345 20288 18143 28 352 25 348 26 352 26 355 18143 15949 15 351 13 321 17 358 19 002 15949 13837 5 294 11 292 12 336 9 358 13837 11923 2 307 5 328 9 343 7 007 11923 10225 2 010 3 008 7 004 6 022 10225 8719 3 057 3 043 5 010 6 024 8719 7382 6 040 5 041 5 007 7 010 7382 6196 8 027 8 035 6 024 7 009 6196 5148 11 021 10 036 8 044 6 016 5148 4226 12 022 11 039 11 048 5 028 4226 3414 11 029 10 041 9 051 4 022 3414 2689 10 040 8*043 7*053 4 019 2689 2050 10 057 6*041 6*056 4 033 2050 1518 9 076 6 039 6 055 6 052 1518 1110 8*088 5 037 5 054 7 057 1110 829 5*089 5 037 5 052 6 057 829 659 4 087 4 037 4 052 4*052 659 562 3 088 4 037 3 050 2*048 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography