DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 77.8 - - - - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 161 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 647 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 898 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1192 - - 1686 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 516 - - 985 - - - - - 408 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 239 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 46 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 280 - - - - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2599 - - -3188 - - - - - -1630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3791 - - 4874 - - - - - 2191 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9095 - - -8025 - - - - - -9280 ODpotential blCL - - - 10287 - - 9711 - - - - - 9841 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 54 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 77.8 - - - - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.5 - - 58.5 - - - - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 76.6 - - - - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 57.3 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 161 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 647 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96487 15 260 19 269 25 277 96487 89337 7 229 7 272 10 263 89337 83885 9 215 6 244 3 206 83885 79363 7 201 8 212 6 303 79363 75458 5 253 5 222 8 304 75458 72001 4 229 4 293 7 318 72001 68875 4 055 2 018 5 298 68875 66013 8 319 3 009 2 278 66013 63365 11 282 9 278 7 316 63365 60815 13 272 14 274 14 303 60815 58165 16 277 19 264 22 291 58165 55394 22 266 26 255 31 266 55394 52714 28 259 32 251 37 258 52714 50265 35 262 38 257 42 266 50265 48044 41 263 43 262 46 268 48044 46015 45 254 47 259 47 266 46015 44152 45 251 50 251 49 263 44152 42429 49 257 48 247 49 258 42429 40829 55 253 52 246 44 249 40829 39344 61 240 58 243 44 241 39344 37960 59 233 60 240 51 240 37960 36629 59 234 59 240 58 240 36629 35277 60 235 59 237 61 238 35277 33869 57 239 60 234 61 238 33869 32405 56 237 61 235 52 241 32405 30874 55 240 59 240 29 249 30874 29269 55 246 52 249 16 249 29269 27588 51 240 43 250 19 265 27588 25825 35 240 32 259 22 267 25825 23978 29 258 23 256 22 276 23978 22049 28 256 24 244 19 283 22049 20035 19 251 21 256 17 298 20035 17928 16 258 16 270 15 312 17928 15779 13 275 12 296 12 319 15779 13707 9 296 10 319 9 325 13707 11821 6 317 8 341 8 323 11821 10143 4 337 7 353 8 329 10143 8651 3 339 6 344 9 341 8651 7324 2 304 7 334 10 348 7324 6147 2 261 8 330 10 349 6147 5106 2 255 7 333 9 350 5106 4190 2 282 6 343 9 351 4190 3383 2 305 4 358 11 352 3383 2663 2 323 3 353 15 351 2663 2029 2 323 3*317 17 347 2029 1502 1*338 4*286 12 332 1502 1099 0*359 5 280 8 286 1099 823 1 347 5 279 9 242 823 657 1 351 5 277 8 227 657 561 1 349 4 278 5*221 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography