DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 79.3 - - - - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 300 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2361 - - 6836 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1769 - - 5429 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2906 - - 7381 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2454 - - 1641 - - - - - 621 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 523 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 092 - - 011 - - - - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5415 - - -4169 - - - - - -6718 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8321 - - 11551 - - - - - 7279 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12643 - - -11233 - - - - - -11319 ODpotential blCL - - - 15549 - - 18614 - - - - - 11880 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 32 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 79.3 - - - - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 30.0 - - - - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 77.3 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 28.8 - - - - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 300 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2361 - - 6836 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98110 4 318 5 328 6 304 98110 90692 6 240 8 268 7 355 90692 84981 7 219 11 264 7 007 84981 80242 1 349 7 184 6 291 80242 76163 5 325 9 130 3 328 76163 72556 5 217 4 320 1 318 72556 69271 8 142 13 287 2 338 69271 66238 7 059 9 247 6 292 66238 63428 17 334 1 295 8 313 63428 60710 24 312 13 328 8 303 60710 57869 20 289 18 302 12 310 57869 54924 15 274 24 288 24 311 54924 52133 20 285 28 284 29 306 52133 49636 29 286 30 291 28 298 49636 47405 39 287 36 294 34 296 47405 45390 45 285 41 291 40 302 45390 43560 52 278 46 292 47 298 43560 41882 59 273 47 294 49 298 41882 40327 62 272 52 295 51 300 40327 38874 63 275 55 293 53 299 38874 37505 61 281 54 293 54 297 37505 36180 63 284 53 296 55 296 36180 34832 65 285 52 300 56 297 34832 33428 67 286 53 303 55 300 33428 31973 64 290 56 303 54 305 31973 30451 58 294 57 304 52 312 30451 28851 54 302 56 306 48 318 28851 27171 54 306 53 310 46 324 27171 25411 48 310 49 317 43 329 25411 23574 41 316 42 324 40 330 23574 21666 41 329 39 325 40 329 21666 19680 41 338 39 332 41 335 19680 17611 38 346 38 341 39 342 17611 15502 35 359 31 001 33 349 15502 13471 31 008 29 018 27 009 13471 11623 25 029 23 035 23 024 11623 9983 24 043 17 044 20 034 9983 8529 15 052 10*048 19 035 8529 7237 8 088 8*042 18 032 7237 6087 9 103 7 039 17 027 6087 5068 10 106 6 033 17 021 5068 4167 9 098 5 019 17 013 4167 3371 8*090 5 001 17 004 3371 2659 7*089 5 346 17 354 2659 2029 6 090 5 331 17 344 2029 1504 5 095 5 323 16 334 1504 1101 4 096 5 318 14 320 1101 825 3 098 5 317 11 304 825 657 3 096 5 316 8 288 657 561 3 097 4 315 4*269 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography