DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 83.7 - - - - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 235 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 963 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 891 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1108 - - 1509 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 225 - - 387 - - - - - 277 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 248 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 280 - - - - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3083 - - -5536 - - - - - -1791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4191 - - 7045 - - - - - 2352 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12017 - - -11741 - - - - - -11855 ODpotential blCL - - - 13125 - - 13250 - - - - - 12416 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 42 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 83.7 - - - - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 55.2 - - - - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 82.0 - - - - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 54.8 - - - - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 235 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 963 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97750 12 319 6 242 13 327 97750 90536 5 336 5 001 7 012 90536 84963 6 319 9 340 7 045 84963 80326 2 300 5 306 9 039 80326 76351 5 109 2 343 10 055 76351 72852 9 074 8 065 11 060 72852 69681 7 078 6 085 11 033 69681 66759 4 161 2 149 7 359 66759 64053 3 171 6 199 8 307 64053 61442 3 280 5 217 12 273 61442 58727 10 287 7 266 13 256 58727 55920 21 272 17 268 19 257 55920 53249 29 265 27 265 27 261 53249 50851 34 260 32 264 29 266 50851 48698 37 259 32 268 32 273 48698 46727 36 259 32 275 36 278 46727 44900 34 262 34 278 43 279 44900 43191 35 265 36 276 47 277 43191 41582 37 267 34 272 46 279 41582 40064 38 264 31 269 42 278 40064 38629 39 259 34 260 40 272 38629 37246 35 256 43 243 38 265 37246 35854 28 248 44 235 33 242 35854 34420 26 245 39 243 36 225 34420 32937 30 242 34 250 33 231 32937 31384 31 244 33 254 30 242 31384 29750 29 248 34 253 26 258 29750 28030 27 254 26 238 18 269 28030 26225 24 269 16 254 9 276 26225 24340 13 256 13 242 8 266 24340 22377 13 210 14 222 9 244 22377 20330 16 212 17 217 10 218 20330 18193 12 210 13 208 9 180 18193 16010 11 211 10 190 10 138 16010 13906 10 207 9 180 13 136 13906 11993 10 197 9 170 13 141 11993 10295 13 190 11 179 9 149 10295 8786 15 192 12 190 5 181 8786 7441 16 190 13 189 5 215 7441 6244 16 182 13 182 6 224 6244 5184 17 176 13 175 6 224 5184 4250 17 172 13 171 4 225 4250 3426 16 171 10 167 1 277 3426 2692 14 170 5 167 4 003 2692 2046 9 168 3 298 6 359 2046 1510 2*180 8*286 6 345 1510 1103 3*273 9*281 3 338 1103 825 3 285 9 280 0 039 825 657 3 283 8 279 1 137 657 561 3 284 7 279 2*159 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography