DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 80.0 - - 77.5 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 385 - - 229 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1089 - - 1508 - - 1047 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 959 - - 1411 - - 940 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1634 - - 2053 - - 1593 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 436 - - 465 - - 525 - - 746 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 338 - - 252 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 270 - - 253 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1818 - - -3979 - - -3686 - - -2251 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3452 - - 6032 - - 5279 - - 2813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10505 - - -10876 - - -10957 - - -11503 ODpotential blCL - - - 12139 - - 12929 - - 12550 - - 12065 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 82 - - 56 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 80.0 - - 77.5 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 55.8 - - 56.6 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 77.7 - - 75.9 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 55.4 - - 56.3 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 385 - - 229 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1089 - - 1508 - - 1047 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99210 29 116 23 114 19 139 20 080 99210 91754 26 116 27 103 17 133 22 103 91754 85962 27 109 25 101 21 108 22 109 85962 81146 22 116 18 112 23 095 22 107 81146 77026 20 114 14 131 19 090 18 110 77026 73401 23 107 16 124 16 105 16 116 73401 70129 20 107 15 127 15 106 15 107 70129 67129 8 140 16 131 11 100 13 105 67129 64359 10 178 12 144 9 114 10 110 64359 61675 15 167 18 176 12 185 3 169 61675 58875 17 174 24 184 23 192 16 221 58875 55989 22 205 32 187 28 192 23 215 55989 53242 31 209 31 203 33 209 29 219 53242 50779 40 206 42 211 45 212 43 218 50779 48573 46 214 48 206 53 207 55 210 48573 46566 55 216 50 211 54 214 53 213 46566 44730 58 205 56 211 57 214 53 216 44730 43044 57 196 61 203 61 210 54 213 43044 41477 52 198 58 199 58 204 54 210 41477 40005 49 205 53 200 53 203 51 206 40005 38614 46 207 50 203 51 204 48 210 38614 37264 46 205 49 205 48 209 45 212 37264 35887 44 203 48 206 46 213 42 212 35887 34452 40 202 47 208 45 212 40 212 34452 32962 40 201 46 210 43 211 39 211 32962 31403 39 203 44 212 41 212 38 210 31403 29761 37 206 41 211 39 212 36 210 29761 28037 35 209 37 209 36 211 34 209 28037 26229 32 206 33 204 34 209 31 209 26229 24340 31 201 31 202 32 209 29 209 24340 22374 31 201 30 203 28 211 25 209 22374 20325 31 202 29 203 25 210 23 210 20325 18189 29 201 28 203 25 212 22 212 18189 16009 27 198 28 203 24 213 23 214 16009 13904 25 200 27 204 24 212 24 213 13904 11983 25 209 25 208 24 212 24 211 11983 10273 23 210 22 209 22 211 22 209 10273 8752 20 206 19 209 18 210 19 206 8752 7400 16 198 16 207 16 207 16 202 7400 6200 14 194 13 205 13 203 14 202 6200 5139 12 196 10 209 10 209 11 215 5139 4208 9 203 7 223 7 235 8 243 4208 3390 6 213 4 264 5 303 5 296 3390 2664 4 275 5*302 7 321 8 335 2664 2028 6*293 6*285 8*286 8 321 2028 1502 6*270 8 270 11*256 7 282 1502 1099 6 267 8 267 11 253 9 251 1099 824 6 266 8 266 11 251 8 236 824 657 6 266 8 266 10 251 7*231 657 562 5 266 7 266 9 251 5*227 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography