DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 61.0 - - 57.8 - - 55.5 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 23 - - -2 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2245 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2789 - - 561 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 941 - - 3272 - - 2983 - - 3185 - - 3095 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 163 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 20 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 222 - - 232 - - 259 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 9 - - -1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -224 - - 373 - - -306 - - -200 - - -420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 785 - - 2416 - - 867 - - 760 - - 980 sfcLCL ODpotential -2477 - - -432 - - -753 - - -823 - - -2265 ODpotential blCL 3037 - - 3221 - - 1314 - - 1383 - - 2825 blCL maxRH 93 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 100 - - 190 - - 210 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 61.0 - - 57.8 - - 55.5 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.8 - - 52.1 - - 55.5 - - 53.8 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 61.2 - - 57.9 - - 56.0 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.9 - - 51.4 - - 55.1 - - 53.5 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 23 - - -2 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2245 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 91 - - 101 - - 100 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96390 42 292 36 305 32 288 45 281 49 292 96390 89250 26 300 23 294 22 297 23 281 24 296 89250 83743 18 297 17 297 18 320 15 293 17 296 83743 79168 22 281 23 279 23 292 16 295 16 305 79168 75237 27 278 25 270 24 277 19 296 16 340 75237 71739 23 288 23 276 28 274 23 294 21 328 71739 68562 22 287 19 275 23 269 24 283 24 298 68562 65649 22 284 13 254 20 271 22 287 24 293 65649 62943 27 284 23 284 22 272 18 305 22 283 62943 60313 35 281 26 277 24 301 35 306 27 303 60313 57556 36 280 39 292 46 296 44 288 39 302 57556 54684 45 282 47 283 56 289 31 278 57 312 54684 51938 39 287 45 294 51 302 57 307 83 306 51938 49457 60 312 71 300 63 305 83 304 82 299 49457 47229 77 300 90 288 75 298 93 302 82 308 47229 45213 79 285 93 274 83 292 96 299 89 315 45213 43368 71 276 84 266 85 293 94 305 93 319 43368 41665 64 283 68 270 91 302 109 314 111 322 41665 40082 62 293 71 292 113 311 132 312 131 318 40082 38603 70 301 110 307 138 307 145 304 137 309 38603 37215 81 309 135 306 143 297 138 298 134 305 37215 35878 109 310 142 301 129 291 114 294 129 304 35878 34522 122 304 133 297 109 292 98 300 124 301 34522 33113 108 298 118 295 112 301 109 312 114 299 33113 31652 93 298 121 293 121 298 117 310 99 306 31652 30129 99 301 125 293 121 297 110 301 100 319 30129 28532 101 299 124 295 122 298 109 295 98 314 28532 26856 94 298 116 298 121 292 106 296 96 306 26856 25096 76 295 91 296 120 292 104 301 95 307 25096 23250 56 286 65 283 116 296 103 299 97 308 23250 21322 44 277 57 268 95 299 102 294 96 302 21322 19312 35 262 56 259 56 281 98 298 96 299 19312 17226 31 238 45 247 53 253 78 306 86 305 17226 15108 32 228 42 237 55 247 51 292 65 305 15108 13078 33 220 38 235 54 246 46 241 41 295 13078 11260 32 218 30 231 44 258 52 231 33 279 11260 9670 31 215 26 228 45 252 42 245 27 281 9670 8266 30 212 30 223 43 237 29 263 25 289 8266 7018 31 214 33 224 39 222 26 274 24 290 7018 5908 31 218 33 223 40 221 29 280 22 289 5908 4924 30 220 31 221 39 222 31 283 21 290 4924 4054 28 219 29 220 38 224 32 284 20 292 4054 3285 24 219 27*220 35 225 31 284 20 295 3285 2595 21 220 25*220 32 227 30 282 19 297 2595 1985 17 220 23 221 29 229 27 277 18 298 1985 1476 14 215 21 222 25 230 23 271 16 298 1476 1085 11 204 18 223 22 231 19 266 12 296 1085 816 8 189 16 224 18 232 15 263 8 289 816 654 6 172 13 224 15*232 13 260 4 276 654 560 4*139 9 225 9*232 8*259 3*154 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography