DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 79.7 - - - - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 435 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1193 - - 1572 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1129 - - 1485 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1738 - - 2117 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 482 - - 616 - - - - - 1033 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 357 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 264 - - - - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2955 - - -4503 - - - - - -2908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4694 - - 6620 - - - - - 3470 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12783 - - -13113 - - - - - -13475 ODpotential blCL - - - 14521 - - 15230 - - - - - 14036 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 49 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 79.7 - - - - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.4 - - 53.0 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 77.2 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 52.4 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 435 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1193 - - 1572 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99290 39 100 45 111 31 103 99290 91791 38 114 32 114 28 102 91791 85999 35 119 26 114 29 096 85999 81200 32 107 27 106 28 099 81200 77088 29 109 23 108 27 105 77088 73470 28 113 17 121 29 101 73470 70201 17 103 18 128 18 090 70201 67211 12 129 10 111 9 112 67211 64456 12 134 10 161 5 124 64456 61802 10 171 12 158 12 192 61802 59057 17 207 14 213 11 186 59057 56240 25 209 25 216 21 250 56240 53571 31 212 33 214 31 246 53571 51166 36 222 41 210 40 231 51166 48997 45 231 44 215 44 221 48997 47011 53 227 47 225 46 218 47011 45179 58 220 54 226 47 220 45179 43471 61 218 56 223 49 225 43471 41869 63 219 58 223 51 227 41869 40356 65 223 60 222 55 229 40356 38923 68 223 63 220 61 227 38923 37533 71 221 64 219 66 225 37533 36113 73 221 64 220 66 223 36113 34635 71 222 62 220 65 218 34635 33105 61 219 55 217 64 216 33105 31514 52 217 48 214 59 219 31514 29846 44 222 44 217 46 224 29846 28102 39 223 41 220 37 222 28102 26281 32 226 36 222 33 222 26281 24382 28 225 32 224 31 223 24382 22406 27 223 29 225 28 224 22406 20346 27 222 29 227 24 230 20346 18195 26 223 28 231 22 239 18195 15997 25 229 24 234 22 240 15997 13876 21 236 23 234 20 239 13876 11946 18 238 20 234 17 236 11946 10234 15 244 17 235 14 232 10234 8716 13 250 13 237 12 228 8716 7369 10 257 10 245 10 227 7369 6176 7 263 8 252 8 241 6176 5122 5 274 7 273 7 282 5122 4196 4 287 8 304 9 309 4196 3383 5 320 9 319 11 321 3383 2662 6 322 9*309 12 330 2662 2028 6*291 10*277 10 317 2028 1502 7*261 11 265 9 283 1502 1100 7 259 11 262 9 256 1100 824 7 257 11 261 9 245 824 657 7 258 10 260 8 242 657 561 6 257 9 259 6*239 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography