DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.4 - - 63.5 - - 71.6 - - 72.7 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 51 - - 98 - - 14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 536 - - 1728 - - 1767 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1079 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1081 - - 2273 - - 2312 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 771 - - 1580 - - 2070 - - 477 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 132 - - 239 - - 145 - - 4 W* B/S 2 - - 24 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 008 - - 018 - - 343 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 2 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3394 - - -4422 - - -3967 - - -3207 - - -1376 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3954 - - 5504 - - 6240 - - 5519 - - 1937 sfcLCL ODpotential -15049 - - -12539 - - -10956 - - -8803 - - -8179 ODpotential blCL 15609 - - 13620 - - 13229 - - 11115 - - 8740 blCL maxRH 37 - - 43 - - 42 - - 48 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.4 - - 63.5 - - 71.6 - - 72.7 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 42.1 - - 46.7 - - 50.9 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 63.2 - - 70.9 - - 72.8 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 40.9 - - 45.4 - - 49.7 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 51 - - 98 - - 14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 536 - - 1728 - - 1767 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96574 12 294 24 300 13 290 24 298 19 298 96574 89374 7 016 7 241 17 271 21 311 10 321 89374 83869 10 296 5 294 19 259 19 292 10 317 83869 79294 20 276 14 309 18 284 19 294 17 321 79294 75356 17 286 12 290 20 289 19 304 22 329 75356 71893 17 314 9 281 20 278 18 296 21 319 71893 68762 20 311 13 296 21 289 19 290 22 304 68762 65875 23 310 19 306 24 303 21 290 25 299 65875 63190 29 303 25 310 25 310 23 298 28 297 63190 60582 34 296 30 308 26 310 25 299 30 299 60582 57852 36 297 32 302 26 302 29 305 31 302 57852 55008 37 297 32 295 28 299 35 310 31 312 55008 52285 37 296 33 294 34 300 40 305 36 318 52285 49826 36 300 36 296 37 298 40 302 40 312 49826 47629 38 303 40 304 39 304 40 305 40 311 47629 45652 40 298 44 301 42 309 40 306 40 308 45652 43860 41 296 42 295 42 309 39 304 39 303 43860 42219 43 291 40 291 43 301 42 307 36 304 42219 40699 45 285 41 292 41 295 42 304 33 312 40699 39273 46 280 43 291 39 297 41 298 35 317 39273 37923 47 280 45 289 38 300 40 294 37 313 37923 36610 48 280 45 287 37 301 39 295 36 301 36610 35271 48 282 45 287 36 300 37 298 34 293 35271 33877 48 284 44 288 34 300 36 300 33 292 33877 32430 48 285 45 286 34 300 37 298 35 298 32430 30915 50 285 47 285 34 299 39 298 37 305 30915 29318 50 287 46 286 35 301 39 300 37 312 29318 27637 46 292 40 292 35 304 38 311 36 318 27637 25868 43 299 38 299 36 306 38 315 34 321 25868 24014 39 303 36 302 36 306 35 318 31 319 24014 22075 38 304 35 302 35 306 34 316 28 317 22075 20046 38 305 34 302 32 299 32 314 27 317 20046 17927 35 309 32 304 30 299 30 300 23 309 17927 15767 30 317 25 308 25 306 25 303 23 305 15767 13686 24 325 18 315 18 311 18 310 19 317 13686 11794 21 335 14 326 13 314 11 313 13 328 11794 10112 18 343 10 339 10 323 8 325 9 340 10112 8618 14 348 7 350 8 330 7 346 8 357 8618 7292 9 350 6 348 7 334 8 000 9 008 7292 6116 7 349 6 346 6 340 8 002 9 012 6116 5077 7 357 7 358 7 353 10 014 10 016 5077 4166 8 017 7 026 6 023 9 035 10 023 4166 3364 9 040 8 045 7 049 6 037 8 028 3364 2650 10 051 8 044 6*052 4*022 5 026 2650 2021 9 054 7 036 4*036 4*002 6 014 2021 1498 8 060 5 033 3 020 4 347 8 358 1498 1097 5 075 3*030 3 013 4 338 9 344 1097 822 3 096 1*011 2 007 4 333 6 322 822 656 1 137 1 005 2 006 3 332 4 284 656 561 0*188 1 009 2 005 3 331 3*248 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography