DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 60.3 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 20 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1055 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 561 - - 1599 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2859 - - 2416 - - - - - 2581 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 122 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 243 - - - - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -524 - - 298 - - - - - -272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1085 - - 1301 - - - - - 833 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -867 - - -108 - - - - - -1283 ODpotential blCL - - - 1428 - - 1707 - - - - - 1844 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 50 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 60.3 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.3 - - 56.5 - - - - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 60.1 - - - - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 55.9 - - - - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 20 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1055 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 100 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96272 18 302 13 309 7 301 96272 89164 13 011 8 300 16 316 89164 83669 5 329 9 293 13 343 83669 79107 12 343 12 316 13 358 79107 75171 12 311 12 305 12 336 75171 71696 15 282 14 295 16 312 71696 68564 24 277 18 284 17 261 68564 65694 20 260 22 259 17 253 65694 63016 21 248 24 242 22 256 63016 60391 31 256 32 251 32 248 60391 57635 43 256 45 254 46 252 57635 54781 52 253 54 248 61 244 54781 52054 53 258 55 250 65 243 52054 49587 68 263 71 261 76 251 49587 47369 84 253 87 253 93 250 47369 45351 78 248 82 246 92 246 45351 43505 76 256 80 248 86 250 43505 41807 92 260 92 252 92 255 41807 40235 96 254 98 251 102 250 40235 38781 80 248 91 249 105 244 38781 37430 71 244 83 245 97 243 37430 36127 67 250 79 245 87 243 36127 34798 68 257 74 248 79 244 34798 33414 67 257 70 251 74 246 33414 31975 63 254 69 254 71 249 31975 30466 60 255 69 254 72 252 30466 28873 59 258 68 252 74 252 28873 27197 59 260 67 253 77 248 27197 25439 60 259 67 254 76 245 25439 23602 66 256 65 252 73 246 23602 21687 64 252 64 252 70 249 21687 19686 60 250 61 253 64 251 19686 17599 57 252 57 253 56 252 17599 15472 53 253 54 255 51 254 15472 13419 50 251 50 257 48 257 13419 11551 45 249 46 257 43 257 11551 9893 39 250 43 254 37 258 9893 8423 34 252 37 249 32 262 8423 7122 26 249 31 244 28 259 7122 5972 22 246 26 231 23 246 5972 4961 21 240 23 219 21 233 4961 4077 22 234 22 222 23 231 4077 3298 22 231 20 224 24 233 3298 2604 22 229 18 228 24 231 2604 1990 20 227 16*234 22 228 1990 1479 16 222 14*239 19 226 1479 1087 12 218 13 243 15 224 1087 818 9 215 11 245 10 223 818 654 8*213 10 246 7*221 654 561 5*213 7 248 2*215 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography