DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.1 - - 71.6 - - 80.4 - - 74.9 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 234 - - 389 - - 251 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 214 - - 1000 - - 1159 - - 888 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 925 - - 1168 - - 860 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 758 - - 1545 - - 1705 - - 1434 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 353 - - 312 - - 457 - - 345 - - 671 Hgt.Variab. W* 79 - - 253 - - 313 - - 247 - - 20 W* B/S 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 237 - - 256 - - 260 - - 254 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -586 - - -3040 - - -5273 - - -4109 - - -2271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1344 - - 4585 - - 6978 - - 5544 - - 2832 sfcLCL ODpotential -14339 - - -13251 - - -13326 - - -13414 - - -13493 ODpotential blCL 15097 - - 14796 - - 15031 - - 14848 - - 14054 blCL maxRH 87 - - 58 - - 43 - - 53 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.1 - - 71.6 - - 80.4 - - 74.9 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.2 - - 53.7 - - 52.2 - - 53.0 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 70.1 - - 78.1 - - 73.1 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 52.9 - - 51.4 - - 52.5 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 234 - - 389 - - 251 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 214 - - 1000 - - 1159 - - 888 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99372 32 102 28 113 27 107 26 103 24 097 99372 91857 33 100 26 110 26 108 23 108 20 089 91857 86054 28 109 28 116 25 113 24 104 24 100 86054 81248 24 108 30 116 24 122 23 106 27 102 81248 77101 19 113 20 109 23 124 21 120 21 101 77101 73437 14 119 10 127 18 108 19 117 16 108 73437 70136 11 117 15 148 13 131 16 123 16 120 70136 67120 12 155 15 163 10 170 11 140 11 143 67120 64341 16 177 13 176 14 175 10 190 6 159 64341 61659 21 176 18 188 18 185 17 197 11 199 61659 58880 22 180 24 195 26 200 26 199 19 212 58880 56028 20 220 26 196 35 198 34 200 30 205 56028 53321 36 238 33 214 41 203 39 208 37 207 53321 50889 53 231 47 221 50 212 49 213 47 211 50889 48707 64 223 55 220 56 211 56 212 53 211 48707 46716 65 221 59 221 57 214 59 211 57 208 46716 44878 64 221 61 220 58 215 59 213 58 207 44878 43168 67 220 64 218 64 212 64 209 62 204 43168 41568 70 215 71 214 69 210 68 209 63 205 41568 40070 70 216 73 212 73 212 74 213 71 214 40070 38661 66 218 72 214 75 214 81 210 77 213 38661 37296 59 218 68 217 72 216 79 208 73 208 37296 35902 52 217 59 214 65 218 67 211 65 207 35902 34456 46 224 45 209 52 213 55 215 53 208 34456 32959 39 230 36 214 42 203 46 207 49 204 32959 31396 36 218 35 207 36 196 41 200 47 203 31396 29751 39 213 37 204 39 190 40 199 42 205 29751 28027 41 211 42 197 45 189 44 194 45 199 28027 26224 42 204 46 189 51 187 48 187 50 189 26224 24343 37 196 42 186 52 183 50 182 52 183 24343 22384 38 187 40 189 45 187 48 185 47 184 22384 20341 35 184 31 193 32 196 41 189 37 187 20341 18205 25 188 22 196 24 197 30 190 29 186 18205 16023 19 201 20 197 21 197 23 195 23 188 16023 13913 15 215 17 203 19 206 21 199 20 192 13913 11987 12 227 14 208 17 206 18 200 20 194 11987 10273 7 220 11 204 14 199 14 196 18 197 10273 8749 6 205 8 194 12 190 11 188 16 197 8749 7396 4 219 5 194 9 188 10 181 13 192 7396 6195 4 237 4 199 7 193 9 179 12 187 6195 5135 3 225 4 209 6 200 7 189 9 190 5135 4204 2 223 3 221 6 209 5 234 5 247 4204 3386 3 290 2 272 4 223 6 284 6 300 3386 2659 6 304 4 312 4 250 9 293 9 326 2659 2022 7 292 4*287 7*259 11 274 8 321 2022 1496 7 265 5*256 9*260 12*257 7 270 1496 1095 7 247 5 255 10 260 12*254 9 236 1095 822 5*243 5 256 9 261 12 253 8 232 822 656 3*236 4 257 9 262 11 254 7 231 656 561 3 238 4 258 8 262 9 253 5*232 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography