DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.6 - - 63.8 - - 70.3 - - 68.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 165 - - 365 - - 193 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2282 - - 3342 - - 1939 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1681 - - 2767 - - 1506 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2827 - - 3887 - - 2484 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1453 - - 1370 - - 813 - - 1101 - - 1043 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 293 - - 432 - - 292 - - 4 W* B/S 3 - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 283 - - 278 - - 275 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -516 - - 298 - - -527 - - -1237 - - -585 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1076 - - 2529 - - 4414 - - 3722 - - 1146 sfcLCL ODpotential -1652 - - 357 - - -4421 - - -4883 - - -5163 ODpotential blCL 2212 - - 2470 - - 8308 - - 7367 - - 5724 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 84 - - 77 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.6 - - 63.8 - - 70.3 - - 68.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.9 - - 54.8 - - 53.0 - - 54.3 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 62.6 - - 68.2 - - 67.2 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 54.5 - - 52.7 - - 54.2 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 165 - - 365 - - 193 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2282 - - 3342 - - 1939 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 96 - - 37 - - 9 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98973 23 126 19 091 16 109 10 113 19 072 98973 91559 21 117 19 105 18 112 13 108 14 089 91559 85824 18 103 15 115 18 114 16 096 15 095 85824 81090 12 103 13 115 14 103 12 107 12 079 81090 77026 8 126 5 145 10 092 14 100 13 100 77026 73413 11 160 10 167 5 145 7 076 12 114 73413 70125 12 142 12 159 12 183 3 121 7 118 70125 67100 3 144 13 142 13 194 7 223 2 122 67100 64293 11 240 4 131 14 180 10 218 6 230 64293 61582 10 224 13 232 10 211 9 227 8 244 61582 58766 13 253 15 224 14 243 10 250 8 264 58766 55855 22 249 17 231 25 242 24 263 23 280 55855 53087 29 269 22 266 24 250 28 258 29 269 53087 50604 42 269 30 269 30 266 31 268 33 278 50604 48383 44 266 34 275 31 271 33 266 36 270 48383 46361 48 271 40 280 32 283 31 289 26 287 46361 44501 52 259 46 269 40 284 37 300 31 303 44501 42781 41 255 48 257 44 275 39 291 35 299 42781 41180 36 277 42 257 40 268 37 280 36 290 41180 39677 44 283 36 267 34 271 34 277 36 282 39677 38256 49 273 37 274 34 275 34 277 37 277 38256 36878 49 262 43 272 35 275 36 276 38 275 36878 35475 49 259 47 264 37 268 38 272 40 272 35475 34018 50 259 49 257 40 262 41 269 42 271 34018 32512 50 261 49 255 46 257 44 269 44 270 32512 30944 49 263 48 255 50 255 47 265 46 268 30944 29302 45 265 47 254 52 254 50 262 47 267 29302 27588 44 266 46 254 51 253 46 263 42 270 27588 25800 45 266 45 255 49 253 41 260 36 268 25800 23933 45 267 42 259 44 254 39 259 35 264 23933 21985 44 269 41 259 42 255 40 260 37 263 21985 19950 43 268 41 259 42 254 41 258 37 262 19950 17825 42 269 39 261 39 255 38 258 37 261 17825 15660 34 274 33 261 34 258 33 260 32 262 15660 13578 28 258 31 256 30 258 28 265 25 267 13578 11688 27 254 27 263 20 267 17 265 16 265 11688 10012 21 261 18 269 10 270 9 258 11 261 10012 8528 14 260 11 256 7 251 6 247 7 251 8528 7215 11 251 9 245 9 251 5 261 6 194 7215 6054 8 226 7 238 6 254 3 241 6 175 6054 5029 7 216 4 232 3 265 1 233 3 138 5029 4127 4 244 4 278 5*276 2 312 4 018 4127 3333 7 305 6*289 6*278 3 303 7 347 3333 2626 8 305 6*289 7 278 8*281 9 329 2626 2004 7 300 5 283 7 278 11*276 11 308 2004 1487 5 284 4 280 8 278 12 276 12 289 1487 1091 4 255 4 281 8 277 12 275 11 271 1091 819 3 218 3 281 8 278 12 275 9 255 819 655 3 188 3 281 7 277 11 275 7*246 655 561 1*187 3 281 6 277 9 275 4*238 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography