DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.1 - - 57.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 59 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 380 - - 1363 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 924 - - 1908 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 843 - - 902 - - 2034 - - 653 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 187 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 289 - - 264 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1701 - - -807 - - -802 - - -46 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2625 - - 2716 - - 1363 - - 606 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10177 - - -7571 - - -7000 - - -9132 ODpotential blCL - - - 11101 - - 9479 - - 7561 - - 9692 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 74 - - 83 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.1 - - 57.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 50.3 - - 53.4 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 59.6 - - 57.7 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 49.0 - - 52.6 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 59 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 380 - - 1363 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96516 4 348 4 146 5 195 2 002 96516 89388 5 025 1 247 5 349 11 077 89388 83879 5 030 4 307 8 350 10 062 83879 79302 3 111 6 237 6 292 4 003 79302 75347 3 142 10 202 9 236 5 276 75347 71834 1 097 9 214 11 246 14 271 71834 68650 10 246 10 238 15 251 16 265 68650 65715 14 265 14 249 14 252 15 274 65715 62981 19 265 17 265 17 263 17 273 62981 60323 22 258 21 259 24 260 24 277 60323 57566 20 270 20 268 23 262 24 259 57566 54733 19 272 25 277 22 274 23 268 54733 52041 16 273 26 281 32 283 32 278 52041 49615 19 282 30 286 37 287 36 282 49615 47420 20 294 36 285 41 286 43 283 47420 45414 31 309 34 282 43 280 48 278 45414 43586 34 310 32 279 44 278 54 276 43586 41919 29 311 34 280 45 283 52 281 41919 40377 23 317 34 287 44 286 49 285 40377 38936 24 326 32 296 41 291 45 280 38936 37582 33 324 33 301 39 295 43 278 37582 36272 39 321 35 302 39 298 44 277 36272 34931 38 319 38 294 39 300 42 277 34931 33532 25 326 38 282 37 302 41 279 33532 32078 18 340 28 280 35 304 37 283 32078 30559 19 343 24 277 32 304 34 294 30559 28963 21 344 25 296 31 305 34 299 28963 27290 23 345 26 319 29 307 34 298 27290 25540 27 351 25 329 26 309 31 309 25540 23711 29 353 25 329 27 313 33 321 23711 21801 28 355 26 334 28 321 34 324 21801 19805 26 356 27 340 29 332 35 327 19805 17718 28 353 30 342 32 339 33 330 17718 15583 30 354 31 344 35 345 30 334 15583 13522 28 358 29 345 33 347 30 337 13522 11645 24 003 26 349 28 348 29 340 11645 9977 22 008 24 357 24 350 25 344 9977 8497 18 008 20 002 20 355 21 347 8497 7182 12 004 15 359 16 357 17 350 7182 6017 9 358 11 356 12 355 12 351 6017 4990 7 356 8 001 8 002 9 351 4990 4091 5 350 5 012 6 020 5 359 4091 3302 4 351 4 027 5 035 3 017 3302 2601 3 358 3 020 4 032 3 027 2601 1985 3 354 2*329 3 334 4 015 1985 1474 2 319 3*293 5 279 4 348 1474 1083 3*274 3 291 6 270 4 293 1083 815 3*270 3 287 6 267 4 272 815 653 3 268 3 287 5*266 3 258 653 560 2 270 3 287 4*264 2*246 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography