DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 62.1 - - 67.5 - - 64.9 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 214 - - 307 - - 181 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1044 - - 1168 - - 1019 - - 344 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 928 - - 1124 - - 823 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1589 - - 1713 - - 1563 - - 888 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 720 - - 383 - - 525 - - 411 - - 671 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 250 - - 292 - - 234 - - 55 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 264 - - 270 - - 262 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -377 - - -604 - - -1564 - - -1214 - - -191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 937 - - 2193 - - 3277 - - 2778 - - 1079 sfcLCL ODpotential -9436 - - -6758 - - -6746 - - -7188 - - -8161 ODpotential blCL 9996 - - 8347 - - 8459 - - 8751 - - 9049 blCL maxRH 94 - - 84 - - 73 - - 76 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 62.1 - - 67.5 - - 64.9 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.9 - - 54.4 - - 55.1 - - 54.6 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 60.8 - - 65.6 - - 63.7 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.6 - - 53.4 - - 54.0 - - 53.8 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 214 - - 307 - - 181 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1044 - - 1168 - - 1019 - - 344 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 34 - - 0 - - 5 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97376 4 264 9 240 9 268 20 265 19 303 97376 89972 13 314 12 326 9 323 9 313 14 289 89972 84331 17 329 13 324 10 313 10 339 8 297 84331 79681 12 313 13 314 11 306 14 331 11 001 79681 75672 11 296 12 299 12 290 12 325 12 351 75672 72124 15 310 12 295 14 285 12 326 11 328 72124 68915 16 307 16 307 16 280 14 310 13 315 68915 65960 18 294 15 314 16 285 15 292 14 301 65960 63206 22 283 16 309 15 297 13 296 15 295 63206 60527 23 277 20 290 21 294 19 307 16 300 60527 57722 20 277 24 274 31 282 30 294 23 305 57722 54807 21 288 26 272 33 274 37 285 31 293 54807 52038 29 288 30 281 32 275 40 276 38 282 52038 49555 34 290 34 287 30 282 37 270 41 276 49555 47330 40 293 36 288 34 283 37 273 45 276 47330 45311 45 294 42 290 39 282 40 277 48 273 45311 43476 48 294 48 290 42 281 43 280 47 273 43476 41808 49 293 51 286 44 280 45 275 45 272 41808 40280 50 292 51 284 46 278 44 274 41 274 40280 38857 49 291 51 285 46 279 44 274 41 276 38857 37517 48 292 50 286 45 282 40 275 41 277 37517 36215 46 294 47 287 45 284 39 279 38 276 36215 34886 45 297 43 288 43 285 37 281 37 278 34886 33499 43 299 39 288 40 285 36 281 35 282 33499 32058 41 303 37 292 36 284 36 280 32 282 32058 30548 36 302 33 295 32 285 35 279 30 280 30548 28959 31 304 29 293 29 285 33 279 29 281 28959 27289 29 311 25 292 27 287 30 280 24 282 27289 25539 23 318 21 283 23 296 23 285 19 280 25539 23706 18 325 17 272 20 289 20 293 18 284 23706 21795 15 337 11 275 16 265 17 297 17 289 21795 19799 15 336 10 289 14 287 15 285 14 281 19799 17718 17 336 12 312 13 304 11 277 13 272 17718 15596 18 336 14 319 12 301 13 274 12 258 15596 13545 13 344 11 321 9 301 8 271 9 239 13545 11674 6 352 4 305 5 255 6 247 8 223 11674 10009 2 013 3 180 6 185 6 188 9 192 10009 8532 2 090 6 155 9 172 11 173 14 179 8532 7219 4 105 7 156 10 174 13 174 16 174 7219 6055 3 115 6 173 8 186 10 187 11 190 6055 5026 2 166 6 206 7 212 8 223 8 230 5026 4121 4 232 6 225 7 230 8 254 7 262 4121 3323 5 250 6 228 6 242 9 269 7 279 3323 2613 5 266 5 233 7 258 9 275 6 292 2613 1991 5 284 4*248 8*267 10*273 8 271 1991 1477 5 269 5*260 9*269 10*264 11 254 1477 1085 5 259 5 263 10 269 10 262 11*249 1085 817 2 250 5 266 10 270 10 262 10*247 817 654 2 242 5 268 9 271 9 262 9 246 654 561 1*242 4 267 8 271 8 262 6 245 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography