DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 68.6 - - 66.1 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 23 - - -13 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 370 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 915 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 219 - - 810 - - 607 - - 161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 97 - - 15 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 068 - - 050 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4363 - - -3279 - - -2375 - - -2777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4923 - - 4194 - - 2936 - - 3338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15086 - - -9541 - - -8521 - - -13810 ODpotential blCL - - - 15646 - - 10456 - - 9082 - - 14371 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 52 - - 55 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 68.6 - - 66.1 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.9 - - 52.6 - - 55.4 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 68.5 - - 67.3 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 51.3 - - 54.0 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 23 - - -13 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 370 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97049 47 099 34 102 52 096 47 108 97049 89863 48 106 39 107 49 094 45 105 89863 84304 42 104 37 104 40 090 44 097 84304 79684 38 092 36 094 34 091 38 091 79684 75670 32 097 32 088 29 093 28 088 75670 72096 26 098 19 091 22 081 24 071 72096 68865 21 087 16 089 15 069 24 059 68865 65923 21 071 19 076 15 071 21 056 65923 63224 24 036 22 060 18 059 20 048 63224 60622 25 013 25 040 19 042 20 036 60622 57910 23 006 23 023 20 010 22 007 57910 55098 21 001 22 002 24 356 25 353 55098 52411 27 358 25 351 26 341 29 347 52411 49987 32 353 29 342 28 334 31 345 49987 47810 35 347 34 340 30 337 31 341 47810 45828 36 340 34 338 30 340 30 339 45828 43999 33 332 30 330 27 333 26 334 43999 42296 27 326 25 319 22 321 23 316 42296 40704 21 309 21 300 17 306 20 300 40704 39217 15 300 17 281 14 278 17 277 39217 37834 10 284 16 258 18 245 22 241 37834 36516 8 250 11 227 20 220 24 223 36516 35180 6 237 11 221 19 202 22 205 35180 33789 7 166 14 223 19 211 23 205 33789 32343 15 151 16 196 20 224 21 219 32343 30828 18 155 18 174 18 223 19 231 30828 29230 20 168 18 169 18 209 19 230 29230 27549 22 174 18 184 18 204 19 225 27549 25784 21 166 21 191 20 203 20 218 25784 23938 22 156 20 187 25 205 24 214 23938 22013 22 156 19 182 25 205 25 210 22013 20002 19 164 19 188 20 194 20 204 20002 17897 14 180 14 190 16 183 17 199 17897 15742 9 177 10 186 13 184 13 199 15742 13660 8 167 9 198 9 202 6 205 13660 11765 6 172 8 211 7 211 4 220 11765 10084 5 198 6 228 4 219 2 228 10084 8594 3 222 3 243 2 206 1 167 8594 7274 2 301 2 280 2 159 2 142 7274 6103 3 291 2 277 2 169 3 166 6103 5070 3 252 2 218 4 182 3 187 5070 4161 4 206 4 181 5 194 3 198 4161 3361 5 183 5 167 6 195 2 197 3361 2646 4 168 4 154 6 190 2 173 2646 2017 2 151 3 124 5 177 1 135 2017 1493 3 145 6 093 4 135 3 105 1493 1093 6 115 8*078 8 088 6 100 1093 819 8 091 7*070 8 069 10 085 819 654 7 076 6 068 6 061 8*076 654 561 3*060 5 065 3*050 4*070 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography