DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 68.8 - - - - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 375 - - - - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1378 - - 1783 - - - - - 284 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1045 - - 1608 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1923 - - 2327 - - - - - 829 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 776 - - 797 - - - - - 1619 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 356 - - - - - 81 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 263 - - - - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 279 - - -333 - - - - - -459 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1644 - - 2660 - - - - - 1289 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 148 - - -5047 - - - - - -1319 ODpotential blCL - - - 1775 - - 7374 - - - - - 2148 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 93 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 68.8 - - - - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 58.9 - - - - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 66.8 - - - - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 58.3 - - - - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 375 - - - - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1378 - - 1783 - - - - - 284 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 73 - - - - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98912 29 123 26 114 32 104 98912 91474 29 109 23 130 29 086 91474 85740 26 113 25 122 19 090 85740 80962 18 111 18 101 14 114 80962 76842 13 125 11 094 17 112 76842 73191 13 121 9 119 15 096 73191 69879 9 096 10 115 6 087 69879 66843 4 205 3 088 6 075 66843 64049 8 172 4 166 4 019 64049 61361 3 329 4 228 7 319 61361 58569 12 305 7 263 13 299 58569 55682 24 284 16 275 24 296 55682 52927 27 269 23 285 25 303 52927 50475 29 286 28 287 48 317 50475 48316 42 305 44 309 46 310 48316 46356 51 293 41 309 45 313 46356 44545 43 291 42 321 43 318 44545 42862 43 314 55 326 44 327 42862 41292 55 324 51 320 59 340 41292 39821 60 318 47 332 70 337 39821 38433 55 316 56 344 69 330 38433 37086 54 318 63 337 65 322 37086 35709 57 319 66 329 60 320 35709 34274 60 319 67 328 57 319 34274 32782 62 319 68 332 57 320 32782 31218 63 323 69 334 57 321 31218 29566 58 320 65 334 56 320 29566 27829 48 301 59 330 53 321 27829 26009 51 279 53 323 47 312 26009 24104 54 277 48 312 53 312 24104 22115 51 280 48 305 54 316 22115 20047 43 288 45 302 45 315 20047 17898 36 288 39 295 39 305 17898 15716 34 284 32 288 33 301 15716 13622 29 280 29 277 28 292 13622 11724 24 283 25 276 25 294 11724 10044 19 286 21 285 19 303 10044 8556 14 290 18 297 15 305 8556 7236 10 298 16 304 14 300 7236 6065 10 309 14 307 14 302 6065 5031 12 316 14 310 14 307 5031 4126 15 323 13 315 14 317 4126 3333 16 327 13 311 15 319 3333 2627 12 317 12*292 15 310 2627 2006 10*279 14*269 16 297 2006 1489 10*264 15 264 15 279 1489 1093 10 261 15 262 14*272 1093 821 9 259 14 261 13*268 821 655 9 258 13 260 11 265 655 561 7 256 10 259 8 262 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography