DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 84.1 - - 76.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 391 - - 230 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 911 - - 1090 - - 675 - - 133 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 832 - - 1116 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1456 - - 1635 - - 1220 - - 678 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 446 - - 463 - - 381 - - 406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 306 - - 218 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 269 - - 259 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6430 - - -6042 - - -4349 - - -1604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7886 - - 7678 - - 5570 - - 2282 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13435 - - -11991 - - -11958 - - -11992 ODpotential blCL - - - 14891 - - 13626 - - 13178 - - 12670 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 40 - - 52 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 84.1 - - 76.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 52.8 - - 54.3 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 81.7 - - 74.6 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 52.3 - - 54.0 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 391 - - 230 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 911 - - 1090 - - 675 - - 133 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99176 31 115 15 116 26 125 8 085 99176 91741 23 115 19 120 19 103 20 090 91741 86004 15 116 19 119 18 082 24 097 86004 81226 17 102 20 107 16 093 18 102 81226 77095 18 088 17 102 16 095 16 105 77095 73444 15 105 15 095 12 107 13 083 73444 70143 14 114 12 111 11 118 8 084 70143 67127 11 136 11 133 8 131 7 139 67127 64342 9 133 10 160 6 158 11 139 64342 61633 1 121 14 182 10 224 8 191 61633 58812 12 205 20 189 15 216 12 217 58812 55901 19 213 23 198 25 214 23 222 55901 53117 26 218 31 211 36 218 35 219 53117 50602 33 220 38 217 43 219 40 223 50602 48346 36 220 41 218 48 219 44 224 48346 46310 40 221 48 213 52 215 47 225 46310 44461 44 220 51 208 52 213 50 222 44461 42772 46 223 49 213 54 209 53 216 42772 41215 49 227 51 220 54 206 54 211 41215 39763 48 227 50 219 51 208 51 207 39763 38392 49 226 48 215 49 213 46 209 38392 37059 47 226 46 216 45 215 41 211 37059 35696 45 226 44 220 40 216 41 208 35696 34277 42 226 45 224 37 214 40 207 34277 32802 39 226 42 226 33 210 36 207 32802 31257 35 226 35 226 29 207 32 209 31257 29632 30 223 30 220 27 207 29 212 29632 27925 26 215 28 213 27 209 28 215 27925 26139 26 213 28 213 28 212 26 212 26139 24272 27 216 30 214 28 213 25 205 24272 22326 28 217 31 216 27 214 24 202 22326 20294 28 217 28 217 28 214 25 203 20294 18170 27 213 26 215 28 214 26 205 18170 15996 25 211 24 212 26 211 27 206 15996 13895 22 210 23 211 22 209 25 206 13895 11979 18 206 20 207 19 208 21 205 11979 10273 14 203 18 201 17 205 19 201 10273 8757 12 202 15 198 15 197 17 194 8757 7409 12 204 14 201 15 190 16 189 7409 6210 12 206 13 204 13 189 14 193 6210 5149 12 206 12 204 10 193 10 204 5149 4216 10 204 9 209 7 214 7 228 4216 3396 7 200 6 231 6 264 5 277 3396 2667 4 195 6 271 9 292 6 312 2667 2026 1 222 8*277 10 284 7 301 2026 1497 2*282 9*271 11*265 7 272 1497 1095 3*286 10 269 11*260 7 246 1095 822 3 288 10 269 10 259 7*242 822 656 3 289 9 269 10 259 6*242 656 561 3 290 8 269 8 259 4 243 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography