DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.5 - - 70.8 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 430 - - 299 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 1283 - - 1003 - - 436 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1047 - - 1274 - - 992 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1643 - - 1829 - - 1548 - - 981 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 419 - - 497 - - 327 - - 433 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 333 - - 272 - - 101 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 275 - - 270 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1309 - - -3001 - - -2210 - - -663 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2952 - - 4831 - - 3758 - - 1644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9336 - - -9980 - - -10977 - - -11772 ODpotential blCL - - - 10979 - - 11809 - - 12525 - - 12753 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 64 - - 71 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.5 - - 70.8 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 56.4 - - 56.4 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 72.9 - - 68.9 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.0 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 430 - - 299 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 1283 - - 1003 - - 436 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99200 32 113 25 122 27 113 31 101 99200 91708 28 110 27 107 30 117 25 097 91708 85946 26 108 25 102 24 119 24 105 85946 81169 24 117 24 115 19 115 20 098 81169 77055 22 117 24 123 20 104 17 111 77055 73438 18 103 22 114 23 116 18 111 73438 70178 14 120 13 119 15 121 16 102 70178 67183 10 131 8 144 10 129 9 096 67183 64401 8 140 9 174 5 144 6 103 64401 61703 5 117 9 167 5 195 1 199 61703 58901 4 255 3 226 6 250 4 226 58901 56016 12 266 13 269 16 270 11 286 56016 53278 16 278 19 271 24 263 24 279 53278 50816 17 284 21 275 27 269 31 276 50816 48603 16 288 20 276 29 277 39 273 48603 46587 18 293 19 276 30 278 40 271 46587 44732 21 295 20 280 31 276 42 271 44732 43010 24 293 21 285 31 276 41 272 43010 41404 27 287 24 289 30 276 37 274 41404 39902 28 286 26 289 29 279 34 278 39902 38492 31 287 27 286 28 283 32 281 38492 37131 33 284 28 283 28 283 29 281 37131 35750 33 280 29 283 28 280 28 279 35750 34319 29 280 28 283 28 279 27 277 34319 32837 25 286 25 284 26 277 26 276 32837 31286 23 292 22 284 23 275 24 279 31286 29651 21 292 20 281 19 273 20 280 29651 27934 19 293 19 275 17 276 15 279 27934 26132 15 287 17 268 17 277 11 283 26132 24247 14 280 15 273 18 278 10 287 24247 22278 13 286 13 290 16 281 10 291 22278 20221 11 283 8 295 11 283 6 293 20221 18076 11 276 8 294 6 283 0 123 18076 15889 8 281 6 306 2 303 4 130 15889 13780 3 276 1 286 1 111 5 142 13780 11863 3 134 5 175 3 179 4 171 11863 10165 4 140 7 180 5 202 5 204 10165 8660 4 147 8 181 7 186 8 191 8660 7326 4 166 7 179 8 174 10 183 7326 6142 5 186 6 176 10 170 11 175 6142 5095 6 186 6 169 8 173 8 185 5095 4174 7 179 6 163 4 192 3 216 4174 3362 8 175 4 169 3 275 3 323 3362 2641 7 180 2 222 6 294 6 296 2641 2008 3*227 7*276 11*279 10 273 2008 1487 5*277 10*276 13*271 11 266 1487 1091 5 281 10 275 13 270 10*263 1091 819 5 282 10 275 12 270 9*263 819 655 5 283 10 274 12 270 9 263 655 561 4 284 8 274 9 270 6 263 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography