DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 54.0 - - 61.0 - - 58.1 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 4 - - 43 - - -11 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 651 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1195 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 110 - - 560 - - 597 - - 877 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 22 - - 133 - - 12 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 063 - - 070 - - 073 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1795 - - -2816 - - -2268 - - -2257 - - -1614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2356 - - 3376 - - 3463 - - 2818 - - 2174 sfcLCL ODpotential -16700 - - -14523 - - -12604 - - -12446 - - -14748 ODpotential blCL 17260 - - 15083 - - 13799 - - 13007 - - 15308 blCL maxRH 53 - - 55 - - 59 - - 56 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 54.0 - - 61.0 - - 58.1 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 41.8 - - 48.2 - - 48.1 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 54.1 - - 60.7 - - 59.6 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.9 - - 40.5 - - 47.0 - - 46.9 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 4 - - 43 - - -11 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 651 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96522 15 110 19 100 16 112 17 094 10 104 96522 89453 27 093 22 096 18 107 19 082 21 104 89453 83929 22 097 22 094 18 092 12 069 25 059 83929 79335 25 100 20 090 17 099 3 058 22 033 79335 75381 27 078 19 075 19 062 11 046 13 046 75381 71868 20 063 18 067 17 055 19 033 14 050 71868 68673 13 056 16 043 10 052 18 020 17 028 68673 65744 11 043 20 006 13 004 14 005 17 014 65744 63046 15 351 23 354 21 358 16 358 16 358 63046 60445 24 335 24 338 29 344 22 351 14 334 60445 57729 25 324 20 328 25 330 23 341 15 321 57729 54903 27 316 18 324 21 320 22 331 17 317 54903 52217 29 311 24 320 24 318 25 334 18 334 52217 49824 26 306 26 311 24 312 25 320 17 333 49824 47697 22 345 22 344 14 326 15 292 15 297 47697 45772 26 352 26 354 16 012 5 178 10 226 45772 44012 33 338 17 316 17 353 18 043 10 108 44012 42393 4 187 8 232 8 290 16 009 22 063 42393 40886 10 173 11 188 7 210 3 346 13 043 40886 39462 13 168 13 174 14 202 13 209 8 042 39462 38108 14 167 13 171 19 200 23 202 2 339 38108 36789 15 166 12 177 22 193 25 202 9 222 36789 35441 14 165 10 195 18 187 26 207 20 215 35441 34036 10 156 10 200 13 192 24 207 23 223 34036 32575 7 133 12 195 13 201 21 198 22 229 32575 31044 6 135 12 204 14 201 20 193 22 220 31044 29433 5 128 11 219 13 225 18 200 19 222 29433 27738 3 083 8 212 14 232 14 223 14 243 27738 25956 2 045 10 231 15 236 12 245 12 252 25956 24092 6 341 11 264 14 266 13 265 13 272 24092 22148 12 320 15 305 15 304 13 295 17 295 22148 20115 16 313 15 314 13 305 14 305 19 308 20115 17990 14 317 11 308 12 296 11 309 16 328 17990 15824 10 333 8 315 11 307 10 327 12 344 15824 13733 10 353 9 340 10 325 11 342 12 350 13733 11827 12 011 12 003 11 345 14 355 12 359 11827 10131 17 019 15 016 13 004 16 007 13 011 10131 8626 20 019 17 023 16 016 17 018 13 023 8626 7289 21 019 18 027 18 021 17 024 14 024 7289 6105 20 020 19 028 19 024 18 026 15 023 6105 5058 19 021 19 028 19 026 18 029 16 024 5058 4139 18 021 18 026 20 027 19 030 18 022 4139 3332 16 018 15 022 19 026 20 028 18 019 3332 2618 14 013 13 015 16 027 18 024 17 018 2618 1992 12 017 11 018 13 040 14 027 15 027 1992 1476 12 044 12 044 12*063 12 051 16 049 1476 1083 14 066 13 064 11*070 12 073 18 069 1083 815 13 073 10 068 9 070 9 080 16 074 815 653 10*070 7 068 8 070 6*082 11*072 653 560 3*041 4*063 6 070 1*073 4*042 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography