DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.0 - - 55.5 - - 61.9 - - 62.3 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 37 - - 75 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 491 - - 1949 - - 1581 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 959 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1035 - - 2494 - - 2126 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 152 - - 1494 - - 2078 - - 2947 - - 1236 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 114 - - 228 - - 127 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 18 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 110 - - 127 - - 171 - - 271 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -2 - - -3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -968 - - -1875 - - -1137 - - -890 - - -362 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1528 - - 2910 - - 3631 - - 3016 - - 922 sfcLCL ODpotential -11419 - - -5355 - - -3303 - - -2495 - - -3442 ODpotential blCL 11979 - - 6390 - - 5797 - - 4621 - - 4002 blCL maxRH 68 - - 70 - - 68 - - 72 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.0 - - 55.5 - - 61.9 - - 62.3 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 45.1 - - 48.2 - - 51.3 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 55.3 - - 61.2 - - 62.3 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 43.9 - - 47.0 - - 50.0 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 37 - - 75 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 491 - - 1949 - - 1581 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96814 23 101 25 108 15 105 16 085 16 111 96814 89633 24 098 23 107 15 118 13 098 13 088 89633 84089 17 098 18 110 13 119 13 109 10 074 84089 79476 7 104 6 137 0 104 5 086 1 003 79476 75494 4 100 11 178 5 286 4 019 1 153 75494 71969 8 264 14 240 12 262 11 289 6 326 71969 68773 8 208 11 224 10 240 14 256 11 303 68773 65830 13 255 18 265 14 262 23 265 17 282 65830 63095 31 256 29 266 27 264 27 264 21 269 63095 60438 36 253 35 263 33 262 35 267 27 271 60438 57663 42 253 43 263 38 259 44 264 38 276 57663 54794 50 252 46 257 45 252 50 261 49 269 54794 52068 46 251 46 252 51 255 50 262 52 272 52068 49621 51 275 50 258 60 262 67 274 71 277 49621 47443 63 272 65 262 74 264 82 267 78 271 47443 45488 76 258 75 259 78 258 78 263 75 269 45488 43710 81 249 75 255 74 262 71 271 69 272 43710 42071 77 249 72 251 73 271 72 279 64 281 42071 40548 72 252 70 251 70 275 74 283 83 302 40548 39119 72 253 69 253 66 267 75 285 87 300 39119 37765 73 257 67 256 69 258 71 285 80 298 37765 36447 70 258 65 257 66 256 65 284 74 294 36447 35096 68 257 64 256 62 254 62 277 71 291 35096 33682 68 258 62 258 62 255 62 271 69 289 33682 32209 66 259 59 259 61 256 61 263 66 284 32209 30661 62 259 55 257 58 255 59 258 63 276 30661 29030 60 261 51 255 54 252 53 255 58 267 29030 27326 58 262 49 255 49 249 49 251 51 260 27326 25548 55 259 49 251 47 249 46 252 43 255 25548 23694 53 254 47 247 45 248 44 252 41 255 23694 21763 49 249 46 245 44 247 43 249 40 252 21763 19747 45 245 44 244 42 246 41 248 38 251 19747 17642 40 240 41 245 40 248 37 250 34 251 17642 15498 35 238 35 246 35 251 33 253 27 248 15498 13437 31 239 28 242 30 246 28 254 22 250 13437 11566 28 234 23 238 23 236 24 249 18 251 11566 9906 24 224 20 227 18 225 19 237 15 248 9906 8433 20 211 17 213 16 216 16 214 13 215 8433 7131 16 210 15 203 14 214 13 208 14 193 7131 5981 13 222 12 207 11 224 10 218 11 188 5981 4969 11 238 10 227 9 234 8 225 7 183 4969 4081 10 250 10 237 8 230 6 216 5 171 4081 3298 9 254 9 228 6 207 4 200 4 160 3298 2600 6 230 6 208 4*178 3*205 2 172 2600 1986 3 163 5 198 3*171 3*240 3 304 1986 1476 7 179 6 175 3 172 3 271 7 309 1476 1085 11 166 4*161 2 172 4 276 8 309 1085 816 11 150 2*135 2 170 4 279 7 307 816 653 8*134 2 127 2 173 4 280 5 298 653 560 4*110 1 114 1 170 3 280 3*288 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography