DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.2 - - 55.1 - - 58.1 - - 56.2 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 78 - - 187 - - 85 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4046 - - 4382 - - 2636 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 2485 - - 3300 - - 1546 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 4590 - - 4926 - - 3180 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4364 - - 3658 - - 3582 - - 2762 - - 2503 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 285 - - 387 - - 253 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 299 - - 278 - - 282 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -467 - - 1383 - - 898 - - -570 - - -1135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1027 - - 3207 - - 4028 - - 3750 - - 1695 sfcLCL ODpotential -1479 - - 729 - - -223 - - -1636 - - -2625 ODpotential blCL 2039 - - 3861 - - 5149 - - 4816 - - 3185 blCL maxRH 97 - - 100 - - 82 - - 89 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 140 - - 130 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.2 - - 55.1 - - 58.1 - - 56.2 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.9 - - 43.2 - - 42.6 - - 41.8 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 54.6 - - 57.0 - - 55.5 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.5 - - 42.1 - - 41.4 - - 40.8 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 78 - - 187 - - 85 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4046 - - 4382 - - 2636 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 100 - - 27 - - 57 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97192 24 288 31 282 36 282 36 289 40 288 97192 89862 37 272 46 275 39 280 37 290 35 287 89862 84190 23 287 32 277 34 272 40 277 34 280 84190 79453 23 297 7 271 22 255 35 263 30 277 79453 75358 36 278 16 304 19 266 28 258 27 279 75358 71721 39 271 30 282 19 298 23 281 26 274 71721 68411 26 268 26 266 32 280 30 279 22 276 68411 65360 23 278 31 264 38 260 34 270 23 278 65360 62526 31 264 35 251 39 256 36 267 30 279 62526 59770 34 262 29 255 42 257 44 267 36 278 59770 56899 50 274 41 272 48 262 46 267 52 284 56899 53949 65 276 66 269 62 266 62 270 68 272 53949 51157 73 270 73 267 66 263 62 266 67 261 51157 48649 69 276 70 276 67 274 67 273 62 268 48649 46406 81 280 83 279 78 275 78 271 68 273 46406 44377 97 273 93 272 87 267 83 266 78 270 44377 42523 103 271 92 269 89 263 81 266 80 266 42523 40816 108 272 100 270 97 267 88 269 75 266 40816 39233 112 271 110 268 110 265 100 265 74 267 39233 37762 111 270 110 267 113 260 104 258 75 268 37762 36391 109 272 113 271 113 261 95 254 71 267 36391 35082 111 275 118 273 118 262 94 256 66 267 35082 33765 110 275 119 272 119 261 94 257 62 268 33765 32409 103 273 115 272 116 261 90 257 60 268 32409 31009 95 272 106 273 109 263 84 258 57 269 31009 29545 88 272 89 271 95 264 77 261 53 271 29545 28001 83 273 73 267 81 264 71 263 52 273 28001 26378 76 276 67 271 78 261 66 265 51 272 26378 24675 75 278 66 272 77 261 61 267 49 272 24675 22895 75 275 67 271 67 262 59 268 43 273 22895 21041 72 269 66 267 61 268 58 269 40 275 21041 19109 70 269 64 270 58 268 50 269 39 276 19109 17090 66 274 59 274 49 269 42 270 38 274 17090 15033 59 271 52 276 42 271 39 265 33 273 15033 13052 54 268 46 279 41 275 33 271 28 273 13052 11251 46 270 38 284 33 279 25 283 22 266 11251 9652 36 276 24 288 13 276 6 251 14 248 9652 8236 24 271 16 290 4 294 5 150 12 218 8236 6981 16 284 12 295 3 300 5 166 11 209 6981 5868 14 308 11 296 3*291 5 204 7 206 5868 4883 15 318 11*297 5*283 5 243 2 240 4883 4016 16 321 10*298 7 280 9 270 3 297 4016 3252 15 324 10 299 9 278 12*279 7 299 3252 2569 13 325 9 299 10 277 13*281 10 298 2569 1966 11 325 8 300 11 277 13 282 12 291 1966 1463 8 322 8 299 11 277 14 282 13 283 1463 1078 6 313 8 299 11 277 13 282 12 275 1078 813 3 294 7 299 10 277 13 282 10 268 813 652 2 247 7 299 10 277 12 282 7*259 652 560 2*188 6 300 8 277 9 281 4*250 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography