DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 82.8 - - - - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 382 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1174 - - 1584 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1061 - - 1466 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1719 - - 2130 - - - - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 501 - - 657 - - - - - 631 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 343 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 270 - - - - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2973 - - -4607 - - - - - -3622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4693 - - 6738 - - - - - 4184 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10778 - - -10786 - - - - - -12219 ODpotential blCL - - - 12497 - - 12916 - - - - - 12781 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 57 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 82.8 - - - - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 55.5 - - - - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 80.3 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 55.0 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 382 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1174 - - 1584 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99126 24 127 23 100 17 100 99126 91703 25 108 22 108 22 094 91703 85968 25 110 20 109 25 106 85968 81184 22 106 18 106 22 100 81184 77057 15 101 15 111 16 086 77057 73413 16 100 15 131 9 089 73413 70122 10 103 10 109 6 114 70122 67107 10 116 6 147 9 118 67107 64318 7 139 11 145 5 151 64318 61630 10 203 10 222 4 183 61630 58826 14 201 20 220 12 213 58826 55924 22 211 26 207 19 220 55924 53168 30 219 29 205 30 221 53168 50694 34 220 33 211 32 218 50694 48475 40 223 36 217 30 227 48475 46463 43 220 43 215 34 236 46463 44623 44 222 44 214 38 236 44623 42929 46 225 44 222 44 232 42929 41360 49 223 47 223 50 228 41360 39897 48 223 48 222 52 224 39897 38515 45 225 45 225 48 227 38515 37172 42 225 41 228 45 230 37172 35802 38 225 39 226 42 226 35802 34375 34 227 36 223 39 223 34375 32893 33 228 33 223 39 224 32893 31343 33 229 31 222 38 226 31343 29709 31 228 30 221 36 227 29709 27994 31 224 30 220 30 230 27994 26195 32 222 31 221 27 230 26195 24314 32 225 30 224 25 224 24314 22356 31 224 29 226 26 217 22356 20314 31 220 28 225 24 216 20314 18181 30 220 27 224 23 214 18181 15999 27 218 25 219 22 215 15999 13893 23 217 23 214 20 217 13893 11976 20 219 21 213 19 215 11976 10271 18 218 18 213 17 213 10271 8754 16 215 16 214 15 212 8754 7405 14 213 14 221 12 215 7405 6207 12 213 12 223 11 218 6207 5149 10 215 9 224 8 231 5149 4219 6 219 5 226 6 270 4219 3403 2 253 2 284 7 320 3403 2677 5 339 4*299 10 332 2677 2039 5*318 5*283 11 329 2039 1509 4*273 8 270 9 307 1509 1104 4 270 8 268 8 268 1104 826 4 268 8 267 8 239 826 658 4 267 8 267 7*230 658 562 4 268 7 266 5*224 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography