DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 46.9 - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 34 - - 23 - - 18 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1071 - - 2142 - - 2075 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1614 - - 2685 - - 2618 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2141 - - 2001 - - 2494 - - 3312 - - 5010 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 138 - - 157 - - 146 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 230 - - 247 - - 259 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -21 - - 542 - - 878 - - 683 - - -913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 581 - - 1072 - - 1807 - - 1935 - - 1473 sfcLCL ODpotential -579 - - 280 - - 346 - - 163 - - -2432 ODpotential blCL 1139 - - 1334 - - 2339 - - 2455 - - 2992 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 60 - - 230 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 46.9 - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 44.1 - - 43.6 - - 43.3 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.4 - - 46.7 - - 49.5 - - 49.8 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.0 - - 43.6 - - 42.8 - - 42.5 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 34 - - 23 - - 18 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1071 - - 2142 - - 2075 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 81 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96590 4 047 6 245 13 352 9 347 6 217 96590 89546 12 085 8 102 5 044 12 031 5 090 89546 84069 15 089 13 075 11 072 12 059 9 058 84069 79478 17 073 15 090 11 055 9 081 10 040 79478 75490 17 041 13 067 9 064 7 072 7 031 75490 71933 10 032 7 054 6 028 7 041 6 028 71933 68692 11 015 8 024 4 037 8 337 13 360 68692 65706 15 335 14 005 3 063 7 289 10 325 65706 62932 15 301 13 331 8 297 13 283 15 302 62932 60236 16 288 18 308 18 286 20 294 16 294 60236 57398 20 290 21 287 20 273 23 296 19 301 57398 54432 27 289 21 293 21 283 29 295 25 289 54432 51589 36 294 32 301 28 293 33 280 28 278 51589 49020 44 291 40 289 34 294 26 278 30 291 49020 46723 41 282 37 276 32 288 28 300 29 296 46723 44641 30 277 25 274 27 297 29 301 23 299 44641 42722 26 296 22 293 33 301 32 294 28 298 42722 40941 33 298 29 307 33 298 36 282 34 295 40941 39286 37 292 36 303 32 291 33 274 36 292 39286 37742 37 286 36 295 31 282 34 295 37 295 37742 36298 37 284 32 284 30 280 37 299 34 308 36298 34916 33 279 28 269 25 284 22 297 29 309 34916 33526 29 285 22 278 19 301 20 334 31 306 33526 32096 38 287 29 294 20 310 21 319 35 300 32096 30629 47 277 39 285 21 292 25 319 31 302 30629 29110 44 271 42 268 26 278 28 322 26 300 29110 27531 38 270 40 257 27 279 30 328 23 313 27531 25893 34 274 42 259 31 262 22 321 27 333 25893 24192 30 282 43 258 35 250 18 304 28 331 24192 22427 28 290 42 254 37 245 19 291 26 322 22427 20599 29 290 40 253 37 242 17 285 25 323 20599 18707 30 282 37 253 34 239 15 279 24 326 18707 16744 32 278 36 250 30 240 13 283 19 329 16744 14747 31 273 35 250 25 248 15 302 19 330 14747 12824 29 268 29 253 21 258 16 301 19 317 12824 11072 25 271 22 246 17 255 15 298 17 312 11072 9514 22 274 22 237 17 264 12 298 12 313 9514 8132 20 276 19 239 13 279 10 309 7 307 8132 6903 18 280 18 247 9 259 8 311 6 296 6903 5810 17 289 17 256 10 236 7 294 6 301 5810 4842 13 289 15 255 12 233 6 269 5 305 4842 3988 9 268 15 245 14 236 8 253 5 294 3988 3232 11 243 15 240 14*239 10*254 5 281 3232 2556 13 235 15 237 13*243 11*257 6 274 2556 1958 14 235 15*234 13 246 11 258 6 271 1958 1458 13 233 14*232 12 247 11 259 6 271 1458 1075 12 230 12 229 11 249 10 259 5 269 1075 811 10 224 11 228 10 250 9 260 5 263 811 651 7*217 9 228 9 250 8 260 3*244 651 560 4*207 7 227 6 251 6 260 2*219 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography