DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 76.0 - - 70.9 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 421 - - 290 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 888 - - 1041 - - 904 - - 415 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 830 - - 1096 - - 914 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1433 - - 1586 - - 1450 - - 960 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 303 - - 267 - - 322 - - 525 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 309 - - 260 - - 106 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 281 - - 280 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -989 - - -2363 - - -1442 - - -156 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2422 - - 3950 - - 2893 - - 1116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9557 - - -9790 - - -10228 - - -10708 ODpotential blCL - - - 10990 - - 11376 - - 11678 - - 11668 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 70 - - 81 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 76.0 - - 70.9 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.0 - - 60.6 - - 60.0 - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 73.6 - - 69.0 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 60.1 - - 59.6 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 421 - - 290 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 888 - - 1041 - - 904 - - 415 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 0 - - 22 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98714 22 113 29 103 22 133 14 088 98714 91194 21 116 23 093 20 098 17 110 91194 85449 18 108 17 100 17 082 19 089 85449 80734 14 119 11 130 15 064 20 084 80734 76680 17 118 11 134 13 077 18 088 76680 73096 22 107 14 117 13 102 14 086 73096 69850 16 110 11 101 18 088 16 098 69850 66866 9 102 10 126 10 078 16 067 66866 64112 12 115 5 117 4 114 8 032 64112 61464 14 098 10 178 4 213 8 015 61464 58706 7 063 7 129 9 186 4 355 58706 55849 3 009 2 013 6 200 4 275 55849 53127 6 292 6 297 8 253 10 257 53127 50665 13 294 13 283 14 260 15 267 50665 48444 20 285 18 276 20 262 21 276 48444 46425 25 286 23 281 24 266 27 273 46425 44581 28 288 27 282 25 277 26 275 44581 42886 29 284 31 280 30 284 28 285 42886 41312 29 285 32 277 32 290 29 289 41312 39837 28 291 30 281 33 298 30 296 39837 38444 28 297 28 286 33 302 32 301 38444 37095 29 298 26 293 30 302 32 302 37095 35723 27 297 25 297 26 302 30 301 35723 34298 24 300 24 294 24 300 28 299 34298 32822 22 301 22 292 24 299 27 297 32822 31276 19 297 21 291 23 298 27 296 31276 29646 19 286 21 288 22 297 28 296 29646 27931 20 286 19 287 20 295 24 295 27931 26131 19 290 17 292 18 293 21 290 26131 24249 17 288 17 296 16 297 19 286 24249 22288 13 286 14 295 13 297 16 289 22288 20243 7 280 9 285 11 290 13 298 20243 18110 6 268 7 264 10 277 10 294 18110 15934 4 255 7 238 9 264 7 286 15934 13836 5 248 7 246 6 268 5 304 13836 11926 5 233 5 255 3 245 3 279 11926 10229 4 209 4 232 5 191 4 189 10229 8722 4 193 5 198 8 174 8 164 8722 7381 4 180 7 183 10 172 9 161 7381 6189 4 173 7 180 10 179 8 168 6189 5131 4 171 7 184 8 191 6 175 5131 4201 5 170 6 191 5 218 2 170 4201 3381 6 170 6 197 4 274 3 023 3381 2651 5 177 4 219 6 301 6 343 2651 2015 3 219 6*270 11 291 10 298 2015 1491 5*274 11*281 13*283 13 282 1491 1093 6*284 12 281 13*281 12*280 1093 821 6 285 12 281 12 280 10*279 821 656 6 284 11 280 11 280 9 278 656 561 5 285 9 281 9 279 7 277 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography