DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 78.6 - - 73.6 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 344 - - 205 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 1252 - - 808 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 960 - - 1209 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1625 - - 1798 - - 1354 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 587 - - 1038 - - 504 - - 641 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 309 - - 225 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 270 - - 250 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5956 - - -6586 - - -5323 - - -3873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7581 - - 8384 - - 6678 - - 4434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13773 - - -13075 - - -12671 - - -12572 ODpotential blCL - - - 15398 - - 14873 - - 14025 - - 13133 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 32 - - 41 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 78.6 - - 73.6 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 44.1 - - 46.7 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 76.5 - - 72.1 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 42.9 - - 45.8 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 344 - - 205 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 1252 - - 808 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98296 17 108 12 145 6 178 9 055 98296 90834 9 127 7 150 9 131 7 086 90834 85096 8 170 7 104 10 105 7 123 85096 80345 9 153 5 118 8 097 11 085 80345 76249 6 172 4 072 10 074 10 071 76249 72634 5 178 1 210 6 044 7 089 72634 69365 5 268 5 210 2 305 2 082 69365 66363 6 272 8 231 8 255 6 291 66363 63594 5 264 8 257 10 255 8 272 63594 60921 7 268 9 252 15 259 14 279 60921 58147 18 289 16 257 23 260 23 269 58147 55286 26 282 23 264 27 265 27 264 55286 52561 36 279 30 278 34 273 33 271 52561 50105 43 281 41 276 44 271 40 270 50105 47905 48 281 48 276 51 272 52 267 47905 45919 53 284 55 276 58 274 59 268 45919 44112 60 286 61 277 64 275 67 269 44112 42456 66 288 66 280 69 273 74 268 42456 40913 68 288 68 281 71 272 76 269 40913 39457 66 287 66 279 70 273 73 269 39457 38075 62 287 64 279 66 272 70 270 38075 36733 59 287 63 279 64 272 67 270 36733 35365 56 286 60 280 60 273 63 270 35365 33941 55 284 56 280 57 272 60 271 33941 32463 56 283 55 279 55 272 57 271 32463 30916 53 286 52 281 52 274 54 271 30916 29290 44 286 46 283 49 276 51 274 29290 27587 38 281 38 279 43 278 46 276 27587 25810 34 285 34 276 39 279 38 275 25810 23959 28 285 32 278 34 282 32 276 23959 22031 24 288 27 282 29 286 28 282 22031 20021 21 297 22 290 22 286 24 279 20021 17922 19 311 18 309 16 294 19 274 17922 15774 18 314 16 324 12 306 14 273 15774 13699 15 324 13 318 11 309 11 281 13699 11807 12 321 11 311 12 308 12 296 11807 10124 11 323 10 325 13 314 14 316 10124 8629 11 338 8 350 12 326 15 332 8629 7303 11 352 7 004 8 343 14 340 7303 6127 10 359 7 011 5 008 11 336 6127 5087 8 011 7 003 6 354 11 325 5087 4173 7 025 7 343 10 333 13 315 4173 3369 7 026 7 327 12 326 14 318 3369 2652 5 016 8 312 12 313 14 328 2652 2021 3*346 9*290 12 286 13 328 2021 1496 3*286 10*273 13*259 9 301 1496 1096 4 279 11 270 13*252 9 255 1096 822 4 278 10 269 12 250 9 235 822 656 3 281 10 269 12 249 8 230 656 561 3 280 8 268 9 249 5*227 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography