DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 67.1 - - 63.2 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 13 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 316 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 861 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 209 - - 737 - - 954 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 80 - - 7 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 056 - - 062 - - 006 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4032 - - -3579 - - -2673 - - -2007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4592 - - 4440 - - 3234 - - 2567 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14857 - - -11674 - - -11255 - - -13494 ODpotential blCL - - - 15417 - - 12535 - - 11816 - - 14054 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 49 - - 51 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 67.1 - - 63.2 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.4 - - 50.0 - - 51.2 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 67.2 - - 65.6 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 48.7 - - 49.8 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 13 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 316 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96195 20 000 17 337 19 313 17 318 96195 89223 15 032 13 359 10 354 13 003 89223 83827 15 074 8 028 12 025 13 022 83827 79308 14 065 10 032 16 026 19 039 79308 75393 14 052 10 028 16 016 19 036 75393 71921 14 048 12 042 17 021 16 030 71921 68774 19 033 16 036 22 028 20 032 68774 65885 21 025 16 025 22 023 24 034 65885 63211 14 017 14 006 17 356 22 012 63211 60619 14 001 13 351 14 346 21 357 60619 57913 19 354 12 358 12 354 13 349 57913 55099 18 345 13 002 9 016 10 349 55099 52398 10 352 12 360 10 033 7 358 52398 49950 4 041 4 020 6 045 5 025 49950 47744 5 059 3 077 6 086 3 065 47744 45734 2 144 3 047 7 089 6 123 45734 43893 8 177 8 209 1 269 4 103 43893 42199 8 198 12 209 9 226 7 221 42199 40632 6 223 11 212 12 222 12 214 40632 39166 6 224 10 212 13 229 12 217 39166 37784 9 216 12 222 14 228 13 218 37784 36450 13 213 14 232 13 229 14 230 36450 35097 14 205 15 230 11 230 17 239 35097 33693 10 184 12 214 11 222 19 237 33693 32241 9 157 10 174 10 198 19 234 32241 30727 9 163 10 148 11 153 17 221 30727 29137 11 171 10 165 14 124 16 172 29137 27473 9 160 11 167 13 122 17 140 27473 25725 9 152 10 153 11 127 12 131 25725 23892 8 157 7 156 7 126 12 122 23892 21977 5 144 5 140 6 111 13 120 21977 19973 8 106 7 119 6 101 13 118 19973 17876 5 080 7 095 7 102 9 122 17876 15734 6 055 7 068 6 091 7 131 15734 13664 8 050 8 062 5 078 5 114 13664 11777 10 041 8 053 5 068 5 096 11777 10096 11 036 8 051 5 072 6 110 10096 8600 12 043 7 063 2 086 5 150 8600 7271 10 060 3 095 2 234 5 189 7271 6094 4 092 3 205 4 223 5 207 6094 5056 3 198 4 205 5 214 5 218 5056 4144 4 195 4 191 5 214 4 222 4144 3343 5 187 4 203 5 222 3 218 3343 2630 4 189 4 220 4 243 2 239 2630 2004 3 184 4 219 4 261 1 290 2004 1485 6 163 2 184 2 270 1 075 1485 1089 9 116 4*087 1 075 4 095 1089 817 10 089 3*067 2 052 5 084 817 654 8 075 3 061 1 039 2 062 654 560 3*056 2 057 1*006 1*335 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography