DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/28 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 76.8 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 462 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1170 - - 1312 - - - - - 332 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1117 - - 1308 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1715 - - 1858 - - - - - 877 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 450 - - 458 - - - - - 511 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 343 - - - - - 58 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 254 - - - - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2105 - - -3268 - - - - - -1566 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3820 - - 5127 - - - - - 2443 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11612 - - -11523 - - - - - -11371 ODpotential blCL - - - 13327 - - 13381 - - - - - 12248 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 63 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 76.8 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 56.4 - - - - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 74.2 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 56.0 - - - - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 462 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1170 - - 1312 - - - - - 332 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99241 36 114 34 106 36 107 99241 91753 33 105 29 112 30 100 91753 85971 29 107 26 118 26 097 85971 81171 33 110 25 116 28 102 81171 77042 31 109 24 113 24 108 77042 73412 21 098 29 115 19 105 73412 70144 13 120 19 108 19 100 70144 67144 15 117 12 119 16 091 67144 64367 10 121 17 136 10 099 64367 61699 10 138 13 141 6 153 61699 58941 13 181 11 207 12 162 58941 56089 19 188 26 207 15 265 56089 53384 16 211 25 208 25 245 53384 50954 22 236 24 224 30 235 50954 48773 28 238 30 249 35 232 48773 46782 32 233 34 248 35 239 46782 44938 36 228 42 240 41 246 44938 43222 42 227 47 230 49 236 43222 41615 49 224 52 222 56 229 41615 40106 52 225 55 223 59 232 40106 38683 54 229 57 231 54 237 38683 37303 54 233 56 236 53 239 37303 35900 50 234 53 236 56 238 35900 34446 47 233 52 234 57 235 34446 32941 46 236 51 232 57 234 32941 31370 42 240 50 232 52 234 31370 29720 37 239 45 234 44 235 29720 27992 35 235 42 231 39 237 27992 26181 38 242 39 234 34 244 26181 24289 36 247 33 243 30 255 24289 22321 27 250 27 246 23 269 22321 20271 19 236 21 238 16 265 20271 18135 16 237 20 239 15 239 18135 15951 15 249 16 254 18 241 15951 13845 13 246 11 251 11 259 13845 11932 10 254 8 253 5 242 11932 10231 5 264 5 268 5 246 10231 8720 4 292 3 302 6 281 8720 7377 4 327 4 332 6 300 7377 6184 4 345 6 336 7 314 6184 5129 6 345 7 337 9 320 5129 4203 8 342 8 337 11 320 4203 3388 9 336 9 328 12 325 3388 2663 8 320 8 307 12 323 2663 2027 7*270 10*263 9 292 2027 1499 8*252 12*255 12 252 1499 1098 9 251 12 254 13*236 1098 823 8 251 12 253 12*232 823 657 8 252 11 253 11 230 657 561 7 253 9 254 8 230 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography