DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 67.2 - - 64.7 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 411 - - 199 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1546 - - 1875 - - 1601 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1200 - - 1695 - - 1277 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2090 - - 2420 - - 2146 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 606 - - 571 - - 586 - - 1362 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 371 - - 276 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 264 - - 265 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 202 - - -838 - - -536 - - -477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1888 - - 3259 - - 2682 - - 1038 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 243 - - -6115 - - -6583 - - -7607 ODpotential blCL - - - 1847 - - 8535 - - 8729 - - 8168 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 88 - - 89 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 67.2 - - 64.7 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 54.8 - - 54.8 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 64.9 - - 63.3 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 54.5 - - 54.6 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 411 - - 199 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1546 - - 1875 - - 1601 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 52 - - 56 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98902 18 118 15 120 18 131 8 137 98902 91518 14 124 13 127 17 130 15 126 91518 85801 11 127 12 132 14 116 18 122 85801 81040 11 148 10 147 12 099 15 116 81040 76931 12 149 13 155 8 125 10 113 76931 73298 6 141 12 160 7 184 6 118 73298 70012 11 196 10 200 5 208 4 149 70012 66994 12 172 14 216 7 230 1 247 66994 64199 7 183 17 192 13 227 6 278 64199 61499 8 239 8 200 10 219 9 234 61499 58681 11 224 11 228 9 225 9 219 58681 55746 16 235 22 237 20 248 19 260 55746 52940 21 247 30 237 33 243 33 253 52940 50415 31 260 34 246 38 243 39 246 50415 48149 42 262 42 254 44 249 44 246 48149 46091 53 259 51 256 51 251 51 249 46091 44200 59 256 58 254 58 252 54 251 44200 42449 63 256 62 253 63 250 62 252 42449 40821 68 254 65 252 64 248 64 246 40821 39301 70 251 67 250 66 246 58 247 39301 37870 71 246 70 246 70 243 63 258 37870 36490 70 244 75 241 73 241 73 256 36490 35097 71 245 76 237 76 238 72 244 35097 33664 72 244 77 236 79 236 73 233 33664 32197 72 244 76 237 79 235 71 228 32197 30675 72 244 76 239 75 238 65 233 30675 29076 67 242 75 240 69 240 68 245 29076 27392 59 245 68 239 61 242 70 254 27392 25627 50 249 56 238 53 245 64 261 25627 23784 44 251 48 242 45 253 50 257 23784 21865 37 253 43 250 39 256 42 235 21865 19856 33 262 40 260 36 247 46 232 19856 17753 30 262 35 262 38 248 45 241 17753 15606 26 255 32 252 36 254 39 251 15606 13539 24 249 28 250 30 251 27 266 13539 11661 22 251 23 251 18 262 16 249 11661 9991 17 259 18 252 13 244 14 223 9991 8510 11 265 14 246 14 228 16 217 8510 7199 8 273 11 242 14 228 16 218 7199 6039 9 293 9 256 12 239 14 225 6039 5013 9 308 9 274 10 258 12 233 5013 4112 9 311 9 281 8 281 8 254 4112 3320 7 279 10 278 9 292 7 302 3320 2616 10*255 11*270 11*283 9 303 2616 1997 11*255 13*265 14*268 13 288 1997 1483 11 257 14 264 15 266 15 274 1483 1089 11 258 14 264 15 265 14 263 1089 819 10 258 13 264 14 264 12 253 819 655 9 258 12 264 13 264 9*246 655 561 7 259 10 264 10 263 5*241 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography