DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.7 - - 56.4 - - 58.6 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 61 - - 20 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1471 - - 2494 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2015 - - 3039 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 366 - - 2161 - - 2372 - - 4258 - - 2937 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 190 - - 172 - - 18 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 15 - - 19 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 167 - - 177 - - 174 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -9 - - -10 - - -6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -515 - - -597 - - -59 - - -1543 - - -1011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1075 - - 2612 - - 3098 - - 2103 - - 1571 sfcLCL ODpotential -3786 - - -2420 - - -1414 - - -2143 - - -2311 ODpotential blCL 4346 - - 4435 - - 4453 - - 2703 - - 2871 blCL maxRH 83 - - 93 - - 100 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 70 - - 130 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 44.7 - - 56.4 - - 58.6 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.1 - - 46.9 - - 46.9 - - 48.9 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 - - 56.0 - - 58.6 - - 56.7 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.2 - - 45.8 - - 45.8 - - 48.2 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 61 - - 20 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1471 - - 2494 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 71 - - 102 - - 66 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96751 38 100 25 084 28 100 37 109 20 115 96751 89591 27 103 19 103 22 106 28 094 22 116 89591 84037 19 113 18 116 12 098 19 122 8 099 84037 79381 12 131 13 129 9 088 16 143 3 122 79381 75346 10 139 9 136 3 091 3 136 7 161 75346 71782 10 171 5 166 6 124 3 310 9 143 71782 68556 8 110 11 212 9 233 15 233 8 239 68556 65583 8 290 11 171 2 230 11 196 13 254 65583 62811 21 247 18 213 11 261 9 185 14 238 62811 60085 33 238 34 219 28 226 24 240 14 234 60085 57203 34 225 33 223 46 231 43 238 34 236 57203 54205 43 230 38 233 55 233 51 242 39 249 54205 51349 52 234 53 239 58 234 67 240 63 252 51349 48810 66 242 66 239 64 238 75 236 82 241 48810 46569 79 241 74 241 69 239 76 240 84 239 46569 44549 88 238 82 241 79 241 83 240 86 239 44549 42700 90 237 88 239 89 237 86 234 88 234 42700 41001 86 238 87 234 91 234 84 235 84 233 41001 39431 86 243 84 235 93 237 91 240 90 238 39431 37973 99 244 91 239 102 240 106 241 105 240 37973 36610 112 238 102 239 111 238 118 238 116 236 36610 35299 115 232 107 236 113 238 120 236 118 233 35299 33970 109 230 106 237 112 239 117 236 115 232 33970 32590 98 231 106 238 113 241 117 239 114 233 32590 31161 92 235 102 238 116 242 120 239 116 236 31161 29670 90 235 92 234 109 239 116 238 115 236 29670 28101 90 231 87 230 99 235 108 237 108 235 28101 26456 85 228 86 228 94 232 100 233 102 232 26456 24731 78 228 83 229 89 229 94 228 98 230 24731 22930 74 232 77 230 83 226 90 226 94 229 22930 21059 73 233 69 231 75 225 83 226 84 231 21059 19120 70 230 63 230 64 225 67 232 69 233 19120 17108 65 228 60 229 51 226 48 232 50 229 17108 15061 50 229 48 230 43 225 34 226 23 211 15061 13089 33 232 38 233 36 216 29 218 26 205 13089 11293 25 230 34 237 30 208 28 211 31 206 11293 9696 21 219 31 237 25 201 26 206 30 204 9696 8277 16 198 24 228 20 183 24 204 27 200 8277 7018 13 174 16 213 19 179 25 203 25 197 7018 5901 11 157 9 195 21 181 27 202 24 195 5901 4913 8 165 8 186 24 183 29 198 25 192 4913 4042 9 186 9 180 25 182 29 193 26 189 4042 3274 12 197 13 177 24*180 28 190 27 188 3274 2586 16 199 18*173 23*179 26 187 26 188 2586 1979 18 192 18*170 22 178 24 183 24 187 1979 1472 19 180 17 168 20 177 21 180 21 186 1472 1083 17 169 16 167 18 177 19 178 16 185 1083 815 12 158 14 166 16 176 16 177 11 186 815 653 8*143 12 166 14 176 13 175 7 186 653 560 4*114 8 164 9 175 7*174 2*182 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography