DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/18 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.7 - - 67.8 - - 73.1 - - 70.9 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 97 - - 286 - - 141 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 657 - - 1072 - - 694 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 1029 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1202 - - 1617 - - 1239 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 431 - - 474 - - 358 - - 444 - - 483 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 163 - - 274 - - 187 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 252 - - 259 - - 259 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -530 - - -1839 - - -2643 - - -1884 - - -803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1092 - - 3042 - - 4260 - - 3123 - - 1364 sfcLCL ODpotential -9808 - - -8963 - - -7823 - - -6932 - - -6843 ODpotential blCL 10369 - - 10165 - - 9440 - - 8171 - - 7404 blCL maxRH 84 - - 78 - - 89 - - 93 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 60 - - 30 - - 70 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 59.7 - - 67.8 - - 73.1 - - 70.9 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.7 - - 56.4 - - 56.5 - - 59.0 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 67.0 - - 71.2 - - 69.7 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.7 - - 56.1 - - 56.2 - - 58.8 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 97 - - 286 - - 141 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 657 - - 1072 - - 694 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 13 - - 55 - - 73 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97994 10 077 8 086 11 171 3 244 10 321 97994 90713 10 092 6 127 3 204 1 256 3 110 90713 85085 8 075 7 101 3 078 5 104 1 119 85085 80384 6 069 6 074 5 084 8 100 1 216 80384 76343 5 109 7 070 7 092 9 079 4 082 76343 72782 6 125 8 080 7 108 7 073 10 053 72782 69566 9 116 8 073 9 120 5 082 10 055 69566 66615 6 094 5 086 6 100 5 111 6 076 66615 63883 6 051 6 083 5 118 5 144 3 104 63883 61246 6 014 4 082 3 102 5 142 3 185 61246 58504 5 304 3 139 4 185 3 220 4 211 58504 55666 11 206 10 243 12 244 9 251 9 251 55666 52957 9 231 13 229 15 233 13 247 15 245 52957 50513 16 252 15 241 22 239 21 245 20 240 50513 48311 26 245 22 236 27 234 26 242 24 246 48311 46297 30 240 26 234 30 227 26 235 27 245 46297 44436 31 237 28 235 32 224 26 231 27 241 44436 42707 31 231 30 236 30 227 24 231 26 234 42707 41096 31 219 31 231 28 232 23 236 23 229 41096 39588 26 206 30 211 30 219 25 228 23 224 39588 38177 26 208 32 196 33 174 26 186 24 207 38177 36827 39 198 39 172 34 162 30 162 20 185 36827 35459 40 186 36 166 34 170 23 176 18 177 35459 34035 29 197 30 170 34 163 18 182 16 184 34035 32556 20 199 24 182 30 152 19 164 15 197 32556 31005 12 194 20 193 18 152 19 149 14 208 31005 29372 13 236 15 199 6 205 14 130 13 190 29372 27655 8 198 11 181 4 218 8 096 13 164 27655 25855 10 196 11 210 5 246 9 056 11 143 25855 23977 9 178 15 242 7 299 12 053 6 116 23977 22024 14 169 5 252 6 004 7 092 3 110 22024 19992 23 144 8 142 8 078 4 128 6 088 19992 17876 22 138 21 127 15 101 8 137 7 068 17876 15724 17 151 17 122 19 091 15 113 3 002 15724 13658 15 147 12 105 18 084 25 081 7 077 13658 11789 10 122 10 102 14 093 29 069 19 072 11789 10131 7 106 8 106 13 113 28 066 21 067 10131 8652 4 104 4 121 12 128 25 071 16 064 8652 7333 1 189 3 190 9 138 16 080 9 064 7333 6160 3 256 4 230 5 148 1 054 6 090 6160 5120 5 282 5 254 1 212 3 336 6 130 5120 4203 7 296 7 264 2 283 6 324 8 144 4203 3393 9 299 9 262 4 286 7 321 7 141 3393 2668 11 291 10 256 5 275 6 306 4 131 2668 2030 11 277 10 245 6*258 7 272 1 071 2030 1501 10 265 9*244 8*256 10*259 2 328 1501 1098 8 251 8*249 8 259 10*259 1 287 1098 823 7 239 8 252 8 260 10 259 1 214 823 656 3*203 7 253 7 261 10 260 2 212 656 561 2*189 6 254 7 262 8 260 2*219 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography