DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/02 Hollister 546ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.7 - - 92.7 - - 101.8 - - 97.9 - - 79.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 88 - - 176 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 643 - - 1871 - - 313 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 546 - - 546 - - 1440 - - 547 - - 546 Hcrit BL Top 562 - - 1190 - - 2418 - - 860 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 790 - - 4929 - - 1565 - - 116 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 160 - - 284 - - 84 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 23 - - 14 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 316 - - 308 - - 325 - - 286 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9135 - - -11141 - - -12474 - - -11579 - - -6987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9697 - - 12332 - - 14893 - - 12440 - - 7549 sfcLCL ODpotential -19052 - - -17632 - - -16554 - - -14630 - - -13612 ODpotential blCL 19614 - - 18822 - - 18972 - - 15490 - - 14174 blCL maxRH 16 - - 38 - - 40 - - 32 - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.7 - - 92.7 - - 101.8 - - 97.9 - - 79.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 41.1 - - 37.9 - - 45.5 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.1 - - 92.4 - - 100.3 - - 97.9 - - 85.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 40.0 - - 36.9 - - 44.7 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 88 - - 176 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 643 - - 1871 - - 313 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98109 28 280 23 279 29 263 30 262 32 276 98109 90725 15 274 13 278 18 262 18 260 17 272 90725 85032 3 324 4 192 12 253 11 285 12 329 85032 80307 4 049 4 121 8 237 9 290 11 335 80307 76254 7 046 7 049 6 150 5 326 6 326 76254 72691 10 049 10 056 9 100 5 070 5 004 72691 69481 12 056 10 056 10 042 10 070 10 029 69481 66542 13 054 10 055 10 015 12 025 17 033 66542 63823 13 031 13 026 11 014 14 006 17 023 63823 61196 13 003 13 011 12 007 14 355 14 008 61196 58467 14 351 12 009 9 347 15 339 15 353 58467 55651 14 340 12 351 9 335 17 333 19 338 55651 52973 21 325 19 331 15 341 21 332 23 333 52973 50563 27 314 25 320 22 333 25 324 25 329 50563 48399 25 309 25 312 27 323 26 316 28 322 48399 46431 21 312 23 307 28 311 26 314 28 314 46431 44621 22 306 22 304 23 307 25 314 26 317 44621 42942 18 300 23 299 22 309 22 304 22 320 42942 41375 13 268 21 285 22 305 19 303 22 313 41375 39903 12 242 17 262 21 288 18 300 20 313 39903 38511 11 222 15 244 19 268 21 282 20 305 38511 37162 10 236 15 238 16 258 18 269 22 298 37162 35793 10 251 12 249 13 263 15 274 22 293 35793 34370 10 261 11 260 11 279 14 288 21 289 34370 32893 7 265 9 262 9 288 14 297 19 293 32893 31345 7 265 7 266 7 289 11 304 14 302 31345 29715 6 289 6 281 5 299 8 315 9 307 29715 28006 5 310 4 293 4 304 6 340 7 325 28006 26215 6 299 4 309 4 316 6 007 6 336 26215 24345 5 295 4 326 3 352 5 006 6 342 24345 22398 1 042 2 056 3 056 4 049 3 026 22398 20367 6 084 7 090 6 110 5 078 6 080 20367 18247 4 114 5 094 6 125 3 125 5 112 18247 16086 7 192 4 208 2 178 3 217 2 199 16086 14001 14 243 18 259 16 268 12 272 4 325 14001 12096 14 255 18 264 20 272 17 283 14 308 12096 10397 8 273 10 277 11 281 11 292 16 304 10397 8882 5 330 5 314 6 308 6 318 12 305 8882 7531 8 012 7 356 7 343 5 013 7 317 7531 6328 9 031 7 032 6 016 7 032 5 356 6328 5262 8 047 6 065 3 050 7 033 5 025 5262 4321 10 063 8 083 4 066 6 022 5 026 4321 3490 13 066 9 088 4 058 6 007 7 019 3490 2746 13 065 8 087 4*044 6 353 8 017 2746 2089 10 060 5 078 3*355 6 336 10 015 2089 1541 8 052 3*059 4 328 7 315 11 007 1541 1122 6 050 1*359 4 319 7*295 10 356 1122 835 3 040 1 305 4 314 7*288 5 331 835 661 1*003 2 294 4 312 6 286 3 252 661 562 1*316 1 291 4 311 5 283 3*214 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography