DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 58.2 - - 57.4 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 114 - - 11 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 932 - - 1671 - - 1109 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1080 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1476 - - 2214 - - 1653 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 643 - - 984 - - 1536 - - 1115 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 241 - - 109 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 072 - - 047 - - 067 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -2 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -369 - - -727 - - -983 - - -967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1845 - - 2941 - - 2636 - - 1527 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5955 - - -5213 - - -5414 - - -6623 ODpotential blCL - - - 7431 - - 7427 - - 7067 - - 7183 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 75 - - 72 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 58.2 - - 57.4 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.2 - - 47.3 - - 47.8 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 57.4 - - 57.3 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 46.0 - - 46.8 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 114 - - 11 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 932 - - 1671 - - 1109 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95182 62 285 54 285 49 288 59 274 95182 88393 32 290 39 289 39 299 41 285 88393 83122 12 284 27 284 31 301 29 304 83122 78677 6 316 20 280 26 296 29 321 78677 74807 7 336 17 296 23 294 26 318 74807 71380 9 289 17 308 19 295 20 314 71380 68266 12 264 18 298 20 302 21 302 68266 65390 15 283 19 288 25 298 24 292 65390 62707 16 291 19 280 26 286 23 289 62707 60084 15 300 16 283 25 281 28 289 60084 57332 20 310 22 303 25 284 31 283 57332 54465 30 299 31 302 27 294 31 284 54465 51715 31 295 35 299 34 300 26 298 51715 49222 31 304 38 298 40 302 29 317 49222 46979 38 309 42 297 46 304 45 312 46979 44961 46 308 49 299 55 306 54 308 44961 43146 48 314 50 311 59 312 62 320 43146 41493 50 329 53 326 63 321 77 323 41493 39966 59 340 58 333 77 325 86 326 39966 38541 67 345 69 337 85 325 99 329 38541 37196 76 345 83 339 86 326 99 329 37196 35884 83 343 94 340 86 331 86 330 35884 34542 88 340 98 338 86 334 80 333 34542 33145 89 339 95 338 88 334 82 335 33145 31695 88 338 91 338 88 332 83 337 31695 30178 84 338 86 339 88 335 82 342 30178 28580 82 339 81 341 85 338 79 345 28580 26903 75 338 78 341 79 341 73 346 26903 25150 65 338 69 339 70 343 68 349 25150 23323 58 342 59 342 63 342 62 345 23323 21425 55 346 58 348 59 344 58 349 21425 19445 56 348 62 359 63 006 53 007 19445 17383 54 352 58 009 61 017 42 016 17383 15287 44 358 45 009 43 013 30 024 15287 13275 34 006 31 005 32 014 23 037 13275 11444 26 017 24 010 22 022 16 051 11444 9816 23 031 22 026 17 033 11 071 9816 8371 20 038 18 040 14 049 6 082 8371 7089 18 041 13 048 10 051 3 075 7089 5951 19 044 11 050 9 046 4 102 5951 4944 18 042 11 051 8 054 3 079 4944 4059 15 038 10 048 8 043 6 027 4059 3280 12 030 9 041 9 030 10 021 3280 2587 11 033 8*042 8 033 11 014 2587 1976 10*055 7*047 9*052 8 019 1976 1468 9*070 7 048 9*066 8 059 1468 1081 8 073 7 047 9 067 10 092 1081 814 7 073 7 048 9 068 8 104 814 653 6 072 6 048 8 068 6 111 653 560 5 072 5 048 5 068 3*124 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography