DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.3 - - 56.8 - - 58.1 - - 56.3 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 22 - - 28 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1497 - - 2318 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2041 - - 2862 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2341 - - 1756 - - 1608 - - 3564 - - 3096 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 145 - - 184 - - 13 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 269 - - 249 - - 248 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - -5 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 862 - - 1224 - - -586 - - -609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 560 - - 1179 - - 1638 - - 1147 - - 1169 sfcLCL ODpotential -273 - - 242 - - 524 - - -1291 - - -1910 ODpotential blCL 833 - - 1799 - - 2338 - - 1852 - - 2470 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 70 - - 70 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 54.3 - - 56.8 - - 58.1 - - 56.3 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.7 - - 53.5 - - 52.8 - - 53.1 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 56.6 - - 58.0 - - 56.9 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.7 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 52.2 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 22 - - 28 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1497 - - 2318 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 101 - - 98 - - 90 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96613 34 098 25 068 18 089 13 060 13 062 96613 89520 21 078 22 073 19 086 15 080 22 065 89520 83972 8 050 21 082 18 079 13 082 19 060 83972 79351 3 014 13 078 11 070 13 066 14 066 79351 75387 2 077 5 063 6 036 11 022 12 061 75387 71886 8 095 2 128 4 340 6 348 8 035 71886 68706 9 100 0 227 7 316 5 345 7 013 68706 65765 4 253 5 233 10 284 7 289 8 314 65765 63012 11 231 10 225 16 257 6 261 8 285 63012 60327 16 214 14 216 18 245 7 258 12 276 60327 57517 16 214 14 217 17 241 9 249 14 267 57517 54589 15 230 13 231 15 236 16 253 18 266 54589 51789 18 236 16 258 17 256 23 268 27 266 51789 49287 17 239 22 271 22 274 31 274 28 272 49287 47053 13 249 26 281 27 282 32 277 32 278 47053 45022 12 278 25 294 29 288 34 277 38 273 45022 43158 14 303 25 298 34 294 39 271 41 275 43158 41443 20 321 23 307 37 291 37 262 44 281 41443 39858 25 330 32 321 39 290 40 265 57 279 39858 38390 34 340 42 328 43 286 55 264 60 270 38390 37021 42 339 48 328 43 285 60 257 55 265 37021 35704 40 334 47 326 45 285 56 254 52 268 35704 34368 39 337 44 324 47 286 59 261 56 275 34368 32985 40 339 44 319 46 287 65 265 58 274 32985 31552 40 338 42 319 44 290 63 267 57 268 31552 30049 42 337 39 319 44 293 57 266 57 265 30049 28465 44 335 41 321 45 296 56 265 60 268 28465 26807 43 339 41 322 44 295 54 267 62 268 26807 25075 38 347 37 327 41 294 51 267 62 264 25075 23266 35 346 32 328 37 296 48 267 56 263 23266 21380 33 341 31 322 38 299 50 270 51 261 21380 19412 30 342 30 313 37 307 45 276 46 262 19412 17357 25 344 28 308 32 310 32 276 39 262 17357 15261 20 324 27 310 25 303 28 274 37 261 15261 13244 15 305 24 310 22 297 25 274 31 262 13244 11414 8 283 20 309 19 298 23 280 24 269 11414 9790 8 287 15 306 18 295 19 289 21 261 9790 8347 11 307 14 292 16 279 17 298 18 248 8347 7065 15 310 16 261 18 259 13 305 15 236 7065 5932 17 301 19 253 22 248 11 265 13 213 5932 4935 16 287 19 257 22 245 14 240 14 202 4935 4059 15 272 17 260 18 246 15 231 13 209 4059 3287 15 273 15 263 15*247 16 230 14 217 3287 2596 15 281 14*269 14*247 15 232 14 217 2596 1985 14 285 13*270 13 248 15 235 14 209 1985 1476 13 285 13 270 12 249 13 239 11 197 1476 1085 11 279 12 270 11 249 11 243 8 188 1085 817 9 271 12 269 10 250 9 246 5 178 817 654 7 267 10 269 9 250 7*247 3 158 654 560 4*262 7 268 7 250 4*248 2*110 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography