DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.0 - - 54.0 - - 60.1 - - 57.6 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 24 - - 56 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 277 - - 893 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 820 - - 1438 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 150 - - 394 - - 780 - - 1377 - - 487 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 82 - - 157 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 069 - - 054 - - 076 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1351 - - -1434 - - -1319 - - -1342 - - -2134 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1911 - - 2254 - - 2758 - - 1903 - - 2694 sfcLCL ODpotential -15264 - - -11676 - - -8642 - - -7896 - - -13586 ODpotential blCL 15824 - - 12496 - - 10080 - - 8457 - - 14146 blCL maxRH 62 - - 71 - - 71 - - 75 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.0 - - 54.0 - - 60.1 - - 57.6 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 46.4 - - 50.3 - - 51.5 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 53.9 - - 59.8 - - 58.4 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 45.4 - - 49.1 - - 50.5 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 24 - - 56 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 277 - - 893 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96309 15 100 11 067 7 090 5 151 5 077 96309 89199 12 090 9 080 4 079 5 065 12 068 89199 83699 6 112 12 076 5 056 4 028 14 058 83699 79114 8 020 10 050 6 017 11 012 8 041 79114 75163 12 353 8 040 8 322 15 358 11 007 75163 71681 18 353 8 011 10 336 8 339 13 358 71681 68527 18 341 11 330 16 333 10 344 15 337 68527 65624 24 322 16 333 16 315 16 317 18 308 65624 62944 22 295 21 307 24 302 22 307 25 305 62944 60361 29 280 27 279 28 286 28 290 29 294 60361 57664 32 279 30 289 28 288 30 282 32 288 57664 54852 45 277 40 292 36 286 38 283 33 294 54852 52164 49 277 48 284 44 282 39 291 32 294 52164 49747 52 281 52 284 48 284 41 306 42 305 49747 47585 58 287 56 285 51 287 51 302 53 305 47585 45618 60 292 57 287 52 289 56 290 60 296 45618 43812 63 294 61 293 56 293 56 287 62 292 43812 42144 64 295 66 293 61 295 62 295 63 291 42144 40601 62 297 66 294 64 299 67 298 65 293 40601 39165 60 298 65 296 67 301 73 298 71 298 39165 37814 59 298 65 296 65 298 74 297 74 296 37814 36500 60 298 65 294 63 296 70 297 71 296 36500 35155 61 298 66 291 62 296 67 298 69 297 35155 33752 60 299 66 289 61 295 64 298 67 297 33752 32295 58 300 63 289 58 293 62 297 64 297 32295 30769 57 302 59 290 55 294 58 297 61 297 30769 29165 54 305 53 293 53 293 51 296 54 294 29165 27483 51 307 47 294 48 292 46 291 49 290 27483 25717 47 309 43 295 45 292 45 291 49 291 25717 23867 40 309 39 293 42 290 43 293 47 297 23867 21934 36 304 37 290 40 287 41 291 42 298 21934 19912 32 303 33 289 37 286 40 289 40 296 19912 17795 29 306 29 293 33 280 37 287 35 302 17795 15635 24 304 26 294 27 284 34 286 27 312 15635 13558 20 289 22 290 21 287 23 298 20 321 13558 11672 17 283 18 291 15 288 16 304 16 334 11672 10000 13 293 13 301 11 292 12 314 14 347 10000 8518 7 306 8 306 9 294 11 327 12 358 8518 7204 5 337 5 310 7 303 11 337 11 007 7204 6039 6 005 4 335 7 321 11 349 11 006 6039 5010 8 017 5 004 6 345 11 358 13 009 5010 4107 11 023 5 007 8 355 12 007 14 019 4107 3313 11 022 6 348 11 355 14 014 15 024 3313 2606 9 018 7 341 12 357 12 016 15 023 2606 1986 8 026 6 002 9 009 8 027 13 023 1986 1473 9 056 8 057 7*049 10 061 11 034 1473 1082 12 075 11*072 7*054 11 074 11 063 1082 815 11 078 9*071 7 055 9 077 11 082 815 652 8*069 7 069 6 055 7*077 8 092 652 560 3*047 5 065 5 054 4*076 3*100 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography