DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 75.9 - - 71.2 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 438 - - 282 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 810 - - 1067 - - 813 - - 285 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 843 - - 1122 - - 837 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1355 - - 1613 - - 1359 - - 829 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 314 - - 284 - - 343 - - 484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 315 - - 248 - - 71 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 275 - - 269 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1333 - - -2806 - - -1709 - - -338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2688 - - 4419 - - 3068 - - 1167 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13409 - - -12937 - - -12827 - - -13689 ODpotential blCL - - - 14764 - - 14550 - - 14186 - - 14518 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 66 - - 79 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 75.9 - - 71.2 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 58.6 - - 59.6 - - 58.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 73.3 - - 69.4 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 58.2 - - 59.4 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 438 - - 282 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 810 - - 1067 - - 813 - - 285 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 0 - - 15 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99278 34 102 38 106 31 105 35 109 99278 91786 37 110 34 113 29 112 30 098 91786 86026 37 108 26 106 27 106 30 093 86026 81262 31 101 23 109 28 099 30 101 81262 77160 24 092 20 118 25 095 27 096 77160 73540 17 096 15 113 19 084 21 094 73540 70258 16 104 18 118 12 094 16 077 70258 67238 14 096 20 116 16 148 8 062 67238 64458 9 110 16 085 17 115 9 128 64458 61779 9 145 5 065 11 083 14 130 61779 59003 15 129 6 184 3 354 6 094 59003 56166 7 127 9 203 9 260 8 313 56166 53497 1 178 11 220 16 229 16 253 53497 51104 11 292 7 251 11 225 17 222 51104 48948 23 263 10 276 9 253 13 229 48948 46974 26 250 19 250 20 255 18 250 46974 45151 27 245 22 248 25 250 27 250 45151 43455 28 243 27 246 31 250 33 250 43455 41863 30 244 31 247 35 249 37 250 41863 40362 33 244 32 246 34 248 37 249 40362 38940 33 245 30 246 31 247 35 247 38940 37562 31 244 27 248 29 245 31 246 37562 36160 29 241 27 248 29 245 31 246 36160 34704 27 239 25 246 28 246 29 246 34704 33195 22 245 21 245 26 242 26 246 33195 31623 11 241 15 245 21 240 22 247 31623 29969 9 211 13 232 16 230 17 238 29969 28232 8 210 12 227 17 230 17 235 28232 26411 7 212 11 217 16 232 15 240 26411 24507 4 186 10 198 12 223 10 242 24507 22524 5 162 11 181 11 206 9 215 22524 20457 6 187 9 184 8 200 7 204 20457 18302 7 198 7 205 5 196 5 186 18302 16102 6 207 6 217 3 196 5 170 16102 13978 2 215 4 213 4 172 5 160 13978 12042 1 301 2 187 4 151 6 153 12042 10318 0 214 3 190 5 162 6 153 10318 8785 1 136 4 189 5 174 6 159 8785 7425 3 124 5 180 7 174 7 169 7425 6219 5 137 5 178 8 177 8 173 6219 5153 8 147 7 178 9 176 9 170 5153 4215 13 156 9 172 9 176 7 170 4215 3391 16 160 9 172 5 187 3 172 3391 2658 15 170 6 189 3 249 2 265 2658 2018 8 189 6*266 9 275 8 271 2018 1493 6*274 10*276 11*271 11 267 1493 1094 7*285 11 275 11*270 10*262 1094 821 7 285 11 275 11 269 9*259 821 655 6 286 10 275 10 269 8 259 655 561 6 286 8 275 9 269 6 259 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography