DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 59.5 - - 59.2 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 60 - - 58 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2502 - - 2881 - - 2264 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1436 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3047 - - 3426 - - 2809 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2879 - - 2931 - - 2902 - - 3356 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 239 - - 221 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 20 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 230 - - 202 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 2 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 761 - - 654 - - 209 - - -351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2286 - - 2772 - - 2600 - - 911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 334 - - -304 - - -906 - - -765 ODpotential blCL - - - 2713 - - 3730 - - 3715 - - 1325 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 190 - - 170 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 59.5 - - 59.2 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 49.3 - - 49.6 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 59.2 - - 58.8 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 48.3 - - 48.4 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 60 - - 58 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2502 - - 2881 - - 2264 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97272 46 271 56 272 60 278 57 275 97272 89869 41 276 52 277 53 284 54 282 89869 84197 42 278 40 277 45 285 40 282 84197 79522 31 276 35 272 34 274 32 278 79522 75507 24 272 33 261 30 268 28 267 75507 71962 22 267 24 253 33 263 28 257 71962 68737 24 257 22 249 33 254 31 259 68737 65749 26 252 25 246 31 243 30 251 65749 62955 27 246 27 245 32 240 29 253 62955 60232 25 244 26 249 29 246 29 248 60232 57364 23 244 27 242 22 259 21 253 57364 54360 26 248 29 242 38 266 39 271 54360 51510 31 249 39 252 48 259 50 261 51510 48977 38 250 42 255 48 256 47 257 48977 46719 42 249 47 254 48 259 47 250 46719 44672 43 252 44 248 49 254 48 246 44672 42795 45 260 43 259 52 252 49 248 42795 41058 52 270 63 269 58 253 53 254 41058 39439 56 267 77 267 69 257 62 261 39439 37929 67 275 82 265 85 259 77 263 37929 36518 77 279 83 260 99 257 89 261 36518 35166 81 279 85 259 102 253 93 259 35166 33806 79 276 87 260 103 251 91 257 33806 32409 72 272 87 260 102 250 86 256 32409 30974 64 265 85 257 99 248 86 256 30974 29482 62 259 82 253 97 244 89 254 29482 27923 64 256 76 251 94 238 93 248 27923 26295 63 257 71 249 91 234 94 244 26295 24594 57 253 67 245 87 234 87 239 24594 22820 53 252 65 241 83 235 81 237 22820 20980 51 251 61 239 78 237 71 235 20980 19070 49 250 56 237 72 235 62 230 19070 17078 43 250 52 234 67 230 56 226 17078 15037 38 244 49 229 60 227 53 228 15037 13064 37 237 45 225 52 226 49 233 13064 11268 32 231 39 221 41 226 45 237 11268 9671 26 222 33 218 32 222 43 236 9671 8254 21 216 30 219 29 215 43 237 8254 6997 20 214 28 223 30 212 40 233 6997 5883 21 214 27 226 31 211 39 228 5883 4898 21 213 26 226 31 211 37 225 4898 4031 20 211 25*226 29 210 35 223 4031 3264 19*211 23*227 27*210 32 221 3264 2579 17*209 22 228 23*207 29 220 2579 1973 15 209 21 230 20 203 27 220 1973 1469 13 209 20 231 18 201 23 220 1469 1081 12 209 18 232 16 199 19 221 1081 815 11 210 17 232 14 198 15 221 815 653 10 210 14 233 12 198 13 221 653 560 7 210 10 233 9 197 8*221 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography