DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 61.1 - - 68.2 - - 67.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 122 - - 197 - - 16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1375 - - 3745 - - 2349 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 790 - - 2830 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1919 - - 4290 - - 2894 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 351 - - 1734 - - 1659 - - 3203 - - 1795 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 226 - - 368 - - 137 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 29 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 311 - - 351 - - 001 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -519 - - -1039 - - -726 - - -1719 - - -1428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1079 - - 2958 - - 5017 - - 4613 - - 1989 sfcLCL ODpotential -13080 - - -3418 - - -9326 - - -3002 - - -9861 ODpotential blCL 13640 - - 5337 - - 13616 - - 5896 - - 10422 blCL maxRH 95 - - 79 - - 78 - - 91 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 61.1 - - 68.2 - - 67.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.4 - - 50.2 - - 48.2 - - 49.6 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 60.1 - - 66.9 - - 67.8 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.1 - - 49.5 - - 47.7 - - 49.1 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 122 - - 197 - - 16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1375 - - 3745 - - 2349 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 16 - - 11 - - 64 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96726 43 280 48 289 38 281 43 276 51 288 96726 89660 22 279 27 287 32 289 24 280 37 297 89660 84185 20 259 23 276 26 279 22 289 28 303 84185 79627 19 261 17 259 17 271 25 289 29 292 79627 75681 24 272 16 278 15 275 23 284 30 289 75681 72180 29 272 25 284 23 291 21 292 23 292 72180 68999 22 277 23 278 26 287 21 289 20 295 68999 66061 15 284 19 278 25 287 22 294 20 301 66061 63327 19 312 16 288 15 287 21 293 20 298 63327 60680 24 300 11 306 14 289 20 294 22 304 60680 57930 24 297 22 307 21 293 27 297 25 295 57930 55084 26 299 25 302 31 290 27 290 33 291 55084 52368 34 302 33 299 35 287 36 290 38 285 52368 49912 43 291 40 299 40 294 39 287 37 286 49912 47692 44 294 44 293 45 298 42 288 39 288 47692 45668 50 304 44 287 47 287 44 288 44 286 45668 43814 59 300 48 289 45 283 47 282 50 287 43814 42109 64 292 52 292 42 285 49 276 54 283 42109 40535 65 292 51 296 37 290 44 275 49 273 40535 39073 67 296 51 299 36 295 37 282 39 265 39073 37703 67 300 51 299 37 295 35 289 31 266 37703 36381 65 300 49 298 37 296 35 290 30 265 36381 35037 61 300 49 297 37 296 34 295 31 266 35037 33639 58 301 46 300 36 298 33 300 31 273 33639 32188 54 304 43 305 36 301 33 302 31 279 32188 30668 50 304 40 305 35 304 32 306 32 282 30668 29069 47 302 40 297 35 302 32 307 33 287 29069 27388 46 303 41 296 36 301 32 297 34 293 27388 25624 46 303 40 301 37 307 34 301 35 300 25624 23776 44 310 38 303 36 314 35 310 35 306 23776 21846 43 319 34 308 33 312 33 316 32 313 21846 19829 43 319 31 318 27 310 28 319 26 316 19829 17722 40 328 29 323 21 314 24 317 21 310 17722 15569 35 336 27 326 22 321 22 317 21 318 15569 13493 31 337 23 330 22 329 21 333 21 336 13493 11605 28 339 19 333 19 335 18 344 18 350 11605 9933 23 338 15 358 13 349 12 348 14 358 9933 8458 13 345 10 042 6 030 9 351 10 360 8458 7156 6 051 9 093 4 090 7 358 9 004 7156 6007 9 078 8 097 5 067 10 025 12 011 6007 4993 8 069 5 079 5*035 9 027 13 019 4993 4103 6 033 5 035 4*013 8 021 10 025 4103 3319 8 008 6 355 3 003 7*015 9 030 3319 2619 8 005 7 336 2 351 7*010 10 033 2619 2001 7 010 5*326 2 341 7 003 11 035 2001 1486 6 020 4*317 2 333 6 359 10 034 1486 1091 5 035 3 312 2 328 6 357 9 034 1091 819 5 057 2 308 2 328 6 355 6 035 819 655 4 073 2 306 2 324 5 355 4*030 655 561 2*085 2 305 1 328 4 354 1*327 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography