DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 60.1 - - 58.3 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 23 - - -18 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1682 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1545 - - 2226 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2935 - - 4752 - - 4626 - - 1824 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 160 - - 17 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 199 - - 149 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 9 - - -5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -208 - - -346 - - -1174 - - -528 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1753 - - 2572 - - 1736 - - 1088 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1610 - - -1474 - - -2141 - - -2263 ODpotential blCL - - - 3155 - - 3700 - - 2702 - - 2823 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 99 - - 76 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 330 - - 490 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 60.1 - - 58.3 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 50.5 - - 52.3 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 59.9 - - 59.4 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 49.3 - - 51.2 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 23 - - -18 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1682 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 96 - - 6 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96248 27 290 24 322 13 315 17 308 96248 89185 12 291 19 293 14 294 16 288 89185 83724 10 297 12 312 14 330 6 332 83724 79141 18 285 20 289 25 264 20 272 79141 75182 21 264 24 261 24 246 24 245 75182 71700 15 234 14 270 13 239 16 234 71700 68518 25 230 19 256 19 245 20 231 68518 65554 38 229 41 240 36 241 25 230 65554 62769 45 224 49 227 48 233 33 241 62769 60043 46 215 51 225 54 227 47 241 60043 57185 44 219 65 226 61 229 66 230 57185 54222 60 230 74 222 78 223 78 221 54222 51397 64 231 71 225 83 215 73 220 51397 48853 78 236 76 232 77 227 74 230 48853 46577 107 229 94 233 92 232 85 232 46577 44524 128 222 117 228 110 224 100 226 44524 42659 135 213 130 219 114 216 110 218 42659 40947 124 209 125 214 107 213 107 212 40947 39357 123 208 122 212 101 212 97 208 39357 37871 128 208 121 212 100 212 90 207 37871 36477 133 207 121 212 99 212 88 210 36477 35137 133 207 124 210 94 216 88 212 35137 33788 132 207 128 208 92 220 86 213 33788 32400 132 205 130 203 97 219 81 215 32400 30976 127 199 131 200 101 215 78 218 30976 29496 112 194 128 198 99 214 81 218 29496 27945 100 191 121 193 94 217 88 216 27945 26320 97 191 115 188 89 218 90 213 26320 24616 94 193 114 188 86 216 84 212 24616 22834 96 196 113 194 78 213 79 214 22834 20977 99 199 107 202 61 213 75 217 20977 19044 100 204 99 208 52 215 65 215 19044 17040 89 211 87 217 52 213 55 211 17040 15006 67 223 67 230 54 209 52 210 15006 13047 50 226 49 230 52 208 52 212 13047 11265 42 219 37 222 45 208 51 212 11265 9680 39 217 30 214 37 208 52 210 9680 8271 38 217 27 208 33 209 53 209 8271 7019 33 217 26 208 31 206 51 206 7019 5906 26 214 23 204 30 200 50 202 5906 4919 19 213 19 197 28 193 48 199 4919 4049 16 217 17 191 27 187 46 196 4049 3279 15 219 15 188 26 181 44 193 3279 2590 15 216 13*188 26 177 41 190 2590 1982 14*217 11*192 24 173 38 183 1982 1473 12*219 8 197 22 169 34 178 1473 1084 9 223 7 201 18 165 29 174 1084 816 8 226 6 203 14 161 21 170 816 653 7 227 6 205 10*157 17 168 653 560 5 229 4 207 5*149 7*162 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography