DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0959z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.4 - - - - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 417 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1120 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1148 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1665 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 372 - - - - - 658 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 314 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - - - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3713 - - - - - -1135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5378 - - - - - 1696 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11976 - - - - - -12322 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13641 - - - - - 12883 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.4 - - - - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.2 - - - - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.0 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.8 - - - - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 417 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1120 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99151 21 083 21 097 99151 91696 21 114 18 110 91696 85951 24 126 23 117 85951 81169 22 140 21 119 81169 77043 16 136 18 089 77043 73408 14 121 14 079 73408 70132 12 133 15 094 70132 67118 13 137 14 089 67118 64337 16 118 8 126 64337 61657 16 122 10 156 61657 58866 19 173 17 192 58866 55990 32 185 22 212 55990 53264 27 188 33 210 53264 50822 32 221 37 205 50822 48641 43 229 42 213 48641 46668 47 221 50 213 46668 44865 52 215 53 211 44865 43197 54 212 55 218 43197 41634 52 212 54 222 41634 40161 49 217 53 220 40161 38766 46 223 54 217 38766 37412 45 226 55 215 37412 36029 45 222 52 216 36029 34588 45 220 48 218 34588 33093 46 221 45 218 33093 31527 44 220 42 216 31527 29881 40 219 40 211 29881 28153 37 219 39 204 28153 26341 34 215 38 201 26341 24445 34 209 35 200 24445 22469 35 208 32 196 22469 20406 33 211 28 193 20406 18253 27 213 24 194 18253 16056 21 209 20 198 16056 13935 19 208 18 202 13935 12004 18 207 16 209 12004 10287 16 205 14 211 10287 8762 14 207 13 207 8762 7408 12 207 12 203 7408 6206 11 206 12 203 6206 5143 10 207 10 214 5143 4209 8 218 8 240 4209 3388 7 240 5 280 3388 2659 7 269 6 331 2659 2021 8*272 6 325 2021 1495 10*265 7 271 1495 1095 10 264 9 247 1095 821 10 263 9 241 821 656 10 263 8*240 656 561 8 264 5*239 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography