DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/28 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 81.0 - - - - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 333 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 510 - - 2068 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1787 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1055 - - 2614 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 427 - - 1003 - - - - - 651 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 359 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 014 - - - - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2974 - - -3912 - - - - - -2699 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4030 - - 6526 - - - - - 3261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8932 - - -8622 - - - - - -9767 ODpotential blCL - - - 9987 - - 11236 - - - - - 10328 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 87 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 0 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 81.0 - - - - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.7 - - 54.5 - - - - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 79.0 - - - - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 54.1 - - - - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 333 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 510 - - 2068 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 49 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99000 22 110 26 118 18 112 99000 91604 27 103 26 111 21 116 91604 85872 22 105 20 112 17 106 85872 81095 23 111 14 087 23 110 81095 76971 20 108 8 099 19 098 76971 73337 17 107 12 132 13 094 73337 70060 11 099 15 129 9 068 70060 67053 9 099 13 118 6 053 67053 64271 6 055 7 138 5 295 64271 61607 2 268 4 144 8 193 61607 58836 7 230 13 210 9 197 58836 55943 16 229 21 222 20 228 55943 53190 25 249 27 236 29 250 53190 50725 39 250 37 243 42 253 50725 48517 46 246 44 242 52 250 48517 46505 49 244 48 239 56 246 46505 44651 52 243 48 239 57 245 44651 42929 55 243 48 239 56 246 42929 41324 56 241 50 238 55 246 41324 39821 54 238 50 236 53 246 39821 38408 53 236 48 233 53 244 38408 37045 51 230 50 230 54 241 37045 35664 46 222 54 227 57 238 35664 34230 41 219 56 225 60 236 34230 32744 43 220 54 223 62 237 32744 31187 43 219 53 221 63 239 31187 29549 43 218 54 223 58 242 29549 27835 42 220 51 230 52 241 27835 26043 43 234 45 236 45 236 26043 24172 39 245 37 234 40 234 24172 22222 27 236 34 230 38 242 22222 20188 23 225 39 228 30 251 20188 18065 28 233 44 232 25 246 18065 15897 36 240 43 233 26 244 15897 13803 31 237 36 238 21 252 13803 11896 23 238 30 239 15 252 11896 10201 17 242 26 232 13 247 10201 8697 15 240 25 220 13 236 8697 7360 14 231 24 214 14 230 7360 6175 8 223 19 215 10 232 6175 5126 2 209 13 214 5 268 5126 4204 2 065 5 185 5 313 4204 3393 4 068 4 075 8 337 3393 2670 5 083 5*035 10 335 2670 2034 4 091 5*022 11 324 2034 1505 4 084 5 015 9 299 1505 1101 5*064 4 012 9 265 1101 825 5*057 4 012 8 238 825 657 4 054 4 009 8 231 657 561 3 048 3 011 5*226 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography