DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 52.3 - - 55.4 - - 52.4 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - -6 - - -3 - - 21 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 404 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 560 - - 948 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1285 - - 1469 - - 2157 - - 2061 - - 1757 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 17 - - 14 - - 86 - - 21 W* B/S 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 171 - - 169 - - 284 - - 263 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -10 - - -1 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -927 - - -934 - - -523 - - 252 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1487 - - 1494 - - 1083 - - 696 - - 560 sfcLCL ODpotential -4062 - - -3858 - - -1337 - - 26 - - -144 ODpotential blCL 4622 - - 4418 - - 1897 - - 922 - - 704 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 50 - - 80 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 52.3 - - 55.4 - - 52.4 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.0 - - 47.6 - - 52.5 - - 51.1 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 52.7 - - 55.8 - - 52.2 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.0 - - 46.7 - - 52.0 - - 50.8 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - -6 - - -3 - - 21 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 404 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96618 13 301 6 320 10 271 15 291 20 318 96618 89297 7 013 6 064 2 276 12 336 14 337 89297 83684 10 027 10 058 5 108 5 346 13 346 83684 79066 6 023 9 043 8 043 10 084 5 007 79066 75091 6 348 10 008 9 026 11 006 7 019 75091 71564 7 303 11 321 12 333 13 304 12 338 71564 68375 5 334 10 285 12 301 10 291 12 291 68375 65449 13 316 11 285 13 293 21 299 16 304 65449 62721 21 322 21 298 28 295 34 298 26 297 62721 60063 37 306 32 294 43 288 43 298 33 294 60063 57272 44 298 39 293 47 289 51 295 43 290 57272 54360 49 295 42 297 48 297 54 297 49 291 54360 51573 53 298 50 307 58 304 58 300 53 295 51573 49071 65 304 66 304 66 301 68 299 63 296 49071 46842 68 298 67 299 68 300 69 300 68 297 46842 44828 73 298 77 301 78 305 83 304 88 301 44828 42992 94 299 102 299 106 300 122 298 109 296 42992 41306 100 290 101 288 104 290 120 286 112 286 41306 39751 79 286 86 280 91 284 99 284 97 284 39751 38302 87 307 81 298 106 309 93 305 93 288 38302 36944 105 309 98 306 123 306 135 313 112 302 36944 35636 118 308 114 307 123 301 126 309 130 301 35636 34306 119 305 118 303 127 300 113 304 134 301 34306 32919 114 301 115 301 127 296 110 300 130 302 32919 31480 112 297 110 299 129 297 112 293 123 298 31480 29974 111 295 111 295 129 300 111 290 116 291 29974 28382 107 294 113 294 115 304 109 290 118 289 28382 26705 95 294 112 295 101 300 106 293 109 293 26705 24953 78 293 91 295 98 297 106 300 96 295 24953 23131 67 285 76 286 86 299 94 301 90 292 23131 21242 58 278 69 280 70 293 78 304 80 293 21242 19281 51 277 63 284 61 288 58 292 57 298 19281 17240 37 279 50 292 51 292 48 290 50 290 17240 15155 32 264 32 287 39 289 36 292 50 285 15155 13147 29 257 27 271 31 274 32 288 41 288 13147 11326 28 250 24 254 27 265 28 276 31 286 11326 9712 28 249 22 249 24 262 26 266 27 273 9712 8284 29 253 18 250 21 258 25 264 27 265 8284 7017 31 255 21 249 21 252 25 266 23 268 7017 5895 33 246 25 244 23 248 24 261 18 268 5895 4904 34 225 29 236 25 244 24 246 15 269 4904 4032 35 205 30 225 25 240 23 251 16 287 4032 3263 37 190 30 211 23 238 21 267 17 293 3263 2576 42 181 28 197 22 237 20 274 17 290 2576 1970 40 177 31 183 19 240 19 274 16 283 1970 1466 33 176 30 177 15 246 18 272 15 275 1466 1079 23 176 26 175 11 256 15*267 13 270 1079 813 13 176 20 174 8 271 14*265 11 266 813 652 8*175 16 173 6 278 12 263 9 264 652 560 2*171 6*169 4*284 8 261 6*262 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography