DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.4 - - 56.6 - - 59.8 - - 60.4 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 15 - - 21 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1209 - - 1310 - - 1180 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1753 - - 1855 - - 1724 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2081 - - 1473 - - 2498 - - 2671 - - 3138 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 113 - - 126 - - 103 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 249 - - 256 - - 235 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -223 - - -290 - - -379 - - -191 - - -422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 783 - - 2043 - - 2235 - - 1915 - - 983 sfcLCL ODpotential -1878 - - -2411 - - -1033 - - -742 - - -1917 ODpotential blCL 2438 - - 4164 - - 2888 - - 2466 - - 2478 blCL maxRH 91 - - 100 - - 98 - - 90 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 60 - - 50 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 49.4 - - 56.6 - - 59.8 - - 60.4 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.0 - - 49.7 - - 52.0 - - 54.0 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 56.6 - - 59.8 - - 60.4 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 49.3 - - 51.7 - - 53.6 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 15 - - 21 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1209 - - 1310 - - 1180 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 101 - - 92 - - 61 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96652 29 283 29 276 33 271 36 278 35 291 96652 89623 31 276 30 285 24 297 21 279 26 286 89623 84195 24 254 27 287 29 302 20 308 22 275 84195 79684 12 252 22 281 22 287 23 288 18 286 79684 75760 14 298 14 276 18 268 24 263 19 286 75760 72254 20 298 16 283 15 283 15 272 17 277 72254 69056 21 285 19 264 21 281 16 284 14 293 69056 66096 19 278 21 264 22 263 24 276 19 285 66096 63343 20 273 19 261 23 272 24 265 22 271 63343 60686 24 266 24 284 24 263 16 269 24 287 60686 57928 31 261 27 274 22 279 21 288 26 286 57928 55068 36 276 39 283 40 283 36 282 30 284 55068 52337 57 281 53 276 50 280 46 291 39 297 52337 49886 71 270 67 268 69 277 59 292 48 298 49886 47681 79 265 71 266 63 272 70 288 55 294 47681 45667 89 265 73 272 63 278 78 281 66 283 45667 43823 99 267 79 277 75 282 90 279 69 287 43823 42128 107 269 94 275 91 279 93 275 65 300 42128 40548 115 268 103 272 106 273 83 278 79 309 40548 39059 116 265 105 266 105 268 87 292 98 299 39059 37655 111 263 99 258 96 271 95 294 107 292 37655 36301 102 263 92 255 97 282 99 295 108 288 36301 34930 98 264 88 262 106 285 100 296 101 288 34930 33511 96 263 97 271 107 281 101 294 92 296 33511 32048 95 260 102 268 102 271 98 295 95 307 32048 30522 94 257 101 260 96 267 96 297 101 309 30522 28914 91 255 97 253 84 269 90 296 102 308 28914 27222 85 253 92 251 77 272 76 300 97 308 27222 25445 79 251 89 252 75 276 74 303 91 310 25445 23589 72 248 84 252 73 278 73 299 88 308 23589 21652 66 244 77 249 70 282 69 296 89 307 21652 19634 60 243 72 248 65 281 67 299 75 308 19634 17538 54 243 67 246 62 279 62 301 59 307 17538 15400 48 239 58 239 51 273 54 297 52 307 15400 13338 41 231 49 229 42 269 47 290 45 305 13338 11470 37 225 40 227 29 259 41 288 34 306 11470 9828 35 221 23 235 27 242 26 286 18 305 9828 8383 30 221 17 266 30 238 19 267 8 282 8383 7104 22 223 20 271 28 247 17 255 9 277 7104 5969 17 225 23 272 26 259 17 254 10 276 5969 4966 16 225 24 269 25 263 16 250 9 271 4966 4083 16 224 21 262 24 260 16 246 9 274 4083 3306 16 232 18 253 23 257 16 246 10 280 3306 2610 16 243 16 247 19 252 16 246 10 280 2610 1995 15 248 15*247 14*251 14*241 10 273 1995 1482 14 249 14*248 12*254 12*237 9 265 1482 1089 12 248 13 249 11 256 11 235 8 263 1089 818 9 242 12 250 10 257 10 234 5 261 818 654 6 230 10 250 9 258 8 233 2*247 654 561 3*204 7 251 6 259 6 233 2*124 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography