DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 56.6 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 64 - - 121 - - 70 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1644 - - 2251 - - 1668 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1547 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2188 - - 2795 - - 2212 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2102 - - 2068 - - 2462 - - 1819 - - 1296 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 197 - - 272 - - 206 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 279 - - 286 - - 277 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5 - - 608 - - 627 - - 342 - - -214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 565 - - 1581 - - 2169 - - 1870 - - 775 sfcLCL ODpotential -983 - - 206 - - 238 - - -305 - - -1595 ODpotential blCL 1543 - - 1982 - - 2557 - - 2517 - - 2156 blCL maxRH 95 - - 98 - - 93 - - 92 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 60 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 56.6 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.6 - - 51.8 - - 52.6 - - 53.0 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 56.1 - - 59.1 - - 58.6 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 51.0 - - 51.3 - - 52.0 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 64 - - 121 - - 70 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1644 - - 2251 - - 1668 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 92 - - 74 - - 68 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96288 15 316 12 343 8 317 9 334 11 321 96288 89154 7 285 8 340 7 315 10 316 14 355 89154 83694 6 272 4 338 7 347 11 340 16 356 83694 79202 5 314 11 004 9 032 8 020 10 016 79202 75338 9 013 11 012 10 345 15 348 17 006 75338 71926 9 346 7 035 5 309 10 310 15 323 71926 68839 10 326 6 335 6 338 7 311 8 285 68839 65977 21 288 18 282 20 293 16 301 13 292 65977 63300 27 278 21 263 30 269 31 281 29 286 63300 60695 34 281 24 265 36 266 40 269 38 274 60695 57961 39 279 31 273 40 270 42 272 42 272 57961 55097 43 277 36 280 43 272 45 276 45 273 55097 52335 45 280 41 283 43 277 55 280 52 279 52335 49832 52 278 46 285 51 279 62 272 63 273 49832 47576 56 274 52 281 51 276 58 269 63 266 47576 45513 51 272 50 278 49 282 57 285 56 275 45513 43614 54 282 56 281 50 287 60 287 62 286 43614 41863 61 281 61 279 58 283 56 285 62 288 41863 40248 62 275 61 275 62 280 58 284 59 289 40248 38755 57 278 56 279 58 278 57 284 53 286 38755 37369 58 285 55 284 50 284 45 292 42 297 37369 36037 61 285 56 287 49 295 42 311 46 311 36037 34681 62 286 57 287 53 302 49 321 48 321 34681 33277 66 287 57 289 53 307 51 320 48 326 33277 31825 70 286 57 293 51 308 49 319 50 324 31825 30311 71 285 57 294 48 301 46 319 53 322 30311 28722 69 284 58 293 47 298 42 312 48 325 28722 27057 66 283 59 293 48 300 39 309 45 327 27057 25314 64 282 58 294 48 300 38 309 41 323 25314 23490 63 283 55 295 47 300 39 311 37 318 23490 21587 63 286 55 296 49 303 42 315 36 319 21587 19600 60 289 53 299 49 303 44 319 35 326 19600 17523 55 291 46 300 41 305 43 318 35 332 17523 15401 45 295 38 303 33 312 33 318 33 334 15401 13356 34 297 31 306 26 317 26 323 25 335 13356 11501 27 298 25 306 22 320 20 329 17 340 11501 9856 22 304 19 307 18 321 15 335 12 352 9856 8399 15 311 15 316 14 321 12 337 9 000 8399 7109 11 308 10 322 11 320 9 346 7 355 7109 5967 12 301 7 330 6 330 10 035 6 050 5967 4961 13 308 7 341 4 359 10 039 9 055 4961 4077 13 317 7 320 3 352 7 028 8 042 4077 3298 12 318 8 307 3*320 5 360 7 015 3298 2601 11 311 7*296 5*294 5*303 7 346 2601 1987 9 302 6*287 6 287 8*280 7 320 1987 1476 9 290 5 279 6 285 8 278 9 296 1476 1085 8 281 5 277 6 284 9 277 10 279 1085 816 6 269 4 275 6 284 8 276 8 265 816 653 5 253 4 274 6 284 8 276 6*256 653 561 3*242 3 275 5 283 6 275 4*250 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography