DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 51.6 - - 51.7 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 111 - - 14 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1049 - - 3237 - - 3083 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 543 - - 2209 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1592 - - 3781 - - 3627 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2483 - - 2247 - - 2295 - - 3464 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 301 - - 171 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 38 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 116 - - 305 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1237 - - -559 - - -229 - - -1108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2829 - - 4341 - - 3857 - - 1668 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2876 - - -6014 - - -1910 - - -2855 ODpotential blCL - - - 4468 - - 9795 - - 5537 - - 3415 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 77 - - 87 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 51.6 - - 51.7 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 34.7 - - 36.9 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 50.9 - - 51.5 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 33.5 - - 35.6 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 111 - - 14 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1049 - - 3237 - - 3083 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 10 - - 48 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96641 25 121 20 096 30 095 33 115 96641 89467 27 112 20 114 18 105 27 100 89467 83914 17 114 16 110 16 143 13 090 83914 79277 10 108 9 132 11 140 8 084 79277 75248 5 091 5 155 2 143 5 051 75248 71669 2 182 6 232 4 253 3 297 71669 68431 5 212 6 264 7 236 6 279 68431 65451 5 343 9 290 8 258 10 262 65451 62684 23 304 18 299 13 316 10 275 62684 60000 23 289 22 291 21 304 19 284 60000 57196 21 299 28 296 31 301 22 293 57196 54282 33 303 38 297 40 298 31 295 54282 51492 44 300 45 299 46 295 37 295 51492 48973 49 296 47 298 51 293 49 295 48973 46711 52 293 52 297 57 291 58 292 46711 44664 52 293 55 297 57 291 59 290 44664 42794 56 300 59 296 58 296 60 294 42794 41068 62 298 60 294 62 299 70 295 41068 39469 68 294 62 294 66 303 76 297 39469 37987 77 290 64 296 71 304 84 297 37987 36610 82 287 69 298 78 302 81 296 36610 35289 80 286 73 298 80 298 78 305 35289 33951 74 285 67 294 73 301 90 312 33951 32565 65 284 59 293 71 305 99 310 32565 31130 55 284 51 294 73 305 101 308 31130 29634 43 286 39 292 61 304 93 309 29634 28064 35 286 29 294 47 305 82 312 28064 26422 32 288 30 297 40 307 70 313 26422 24708 28 281 31 294 39 305 54 309 24708 22924 26 270 27 289 39 300 43 302 22924 21066 24 268 20 283 37 298 40 303 21066 19122 21 278 11 281 25 291 42 307 19122 17094 18 303 8 294 15 285 42 303 17094 15022 18 317 11 292 13 256 36 313 15022 13027 16 311 12 299 8 259 27 315 13027 11219 15 301 11 306 10 306 18 304 11219 9615 12 306 9 317 8 306 14 301 9615 8194 9 324 5 340 7 287 11 310 8194 6937 10 330 3 015 6 291 7 311 6937 5829 10 329 2 053 5 315 4 283 5829 4853 10 329 2 103 5 331 2 223 4853 3994 9 330 2*124 4*328 2 198 3994 3235 8 333 2*122 4*320 1 218 3235 2557 6 339 2 120 4 310 1 233 2557 1957 4*360 2 117 4 304 2 242 1957 1458 2*042 1 111 5 301 3 247 1458 1075 1 073 1 106 5 299 3 249 1075 811 1 079 1 102 4 297 3 246 811 651 1 083 1 101 4 298 3*233 651 560 1 080 1 090 4 296 2*220 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography