DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 67.5 - - 62.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 333 - - 120 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2127 - - 3253 - - 1800 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1692 - - 2671 - - 1144 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2671 - - 3797 - - 2345 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 705 - - 1418 - - 1394 - - 1975 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 417 - - 243 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 256 - - 256 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 3 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -827 - - -1412 - - -1311 - - -966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3498 - - 5209 - - 3656 - - 1526 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6893 - - -5669 - - -3563 - - -5024 ODpotential blCL - - - 9564 - - 9466 - - 5908 - - 5584 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 65 - - 74 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 67.5 - - 62.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 46.3 - - 48.2 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 65.5 - - 61.5 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 45.9 - - 48.0 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 333 - - 120 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2127 - - 3253 - - 1800 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97952 15 226 21 272 24 278 23 289 97952 90657 3 253 10 238 17 301 7 284 90657 85019 5 291 4 269 8 307 3 229 85019 80341 4 147 7 292 4 271 2 088 80341 76314 8 117 4 219 6 227 4 350 76314 72767 3 342 6 153 7 170 5 259 72767 69566 6 261 7 239 1 209 2 182 69566 66616 2 132 12 226 12 243 7 266 66616 63879 3 026 6 182 15 212 17 232 63879 61235 13 306 3 132 14 183 20 205 61235 58472 21 263 10 263 9 224 16 198 58472 55597 21 251 21 250 17 253 12 227 55597 52848 20 262 23 241 21 253 16 257 52848 50371 25 264 23 248 23 247 18 260 50371 48142 27 261 26 245 25 245 20 259 48142 46101 27 262 28 242 28 245 24 257 46101 44212 30 263 30 249 33 243 30 251 44212 42454 35 258 34 249 35 242 33 247 42454 40806 36 251 36 242 38 243 36 247 40806 39256 34 252 34 248 40 240 39 245 39256 37792 36 261 37 262 39 244 40 246 37792 36373 40 264 41 265 37 253 39 244 36373 34931 43 257 42 258 39 258 36 254 34931 33438 44 251 43 249 41 256 40 257 33438 31897 41 252 39 245 39 250 41 250 31897 30296 41 252 35 258 32 255 27 262 30296 28626 36 249 37 264 30 264 23 280 28626 26900 26 249 36 256 29 264 21 302 26900 25128 20 262 27 255 28 260 22 315 25128 23297 20 266 23 264 24 259 23 305 23297 21395 20 266 21 265 21 261 22 290 21395 19411 19 268 22 274 20 267 22 279 19411 17344 18 266 22 278 19 268 21 277 17344 15241 18 257 20 259 17 256 18 275 15241 13223 17 253 23 252 16 253 16 272 13223 11395 17 243 18 242 10 250 12 266 11395 9773 15 234 15 231 8 235 7 250 9773 8335 11 225 10 230 4 217 5 220 8335 7060 10 217 7 221 3 204 5 184 7060 5930 9 222 6 217 2 218 4 184 5930 4931 8 242 5 227 3 277 3 263 4931 4052 7 266 6*244 6 274 4 284 4052 3278 6*263 9*253 9 267 8 266 3278 2588 7*241 10 255 13*259 13 260 2588 1980 7 237 11 256 14*257 15 257 1980 1473 7 236 11 257 14 256 14 256 1473 1084 7 235 11 258 14 256 13 254 1084 816 6 236 11 258 13 256 10 247 816 653 6 236 10 259 12 256 7 232 653 560 5 235 9 259 9 256 4*214 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography