DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 57.1 - - 67.1 - - 65.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -3 - - 35 - - -3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 586 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1131 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 116 - - 197 - - 643 - - 1256 - - 363 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 17 - - 124 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 286 - - 310 - - 351 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3887 - - -4737 - - -3171 - - -2001 - - -315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4447 - - 5297 - - 4302 - - 2562 - - 875 sfcLCL ODpotential -16081 - - -15192 - - -10509 - - -8000 - - -9936 ODpotential blCL 16641 - - 15752 - - 11640 - - 8561 - - 10496 blCL maxRH 33 - - 31 - - 52 - - 63 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 57.1 - - 67.1 - - 65.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 36.7 - - 50.5 - - 56.2 - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 57.7 - - 66.8 - - 66.1 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 35.8 - - 49.1 - - 55.0 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -3 - - 35 - - -3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 586 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96738 47 091 32 102 32 076 47 085 48 097 96738 89669 43 089 35 107 25 093 40 092 46 094 89669 84189 31 086 32 096 24 113 29 087 35 095 84189 79592 26 073 23 086 19 105 24 089 31 078 79592 75622 24 061 19 071 19 105 18 093 26 072 75622 72083 16 060 19 058 24 072 19 082 25 073 72083 68845 10 062 18 053 23 049 20 044 24 057 68845 65876 17 041 14 032 16 033 17 046 15 047 65876 63151 16 023 15 017 19 038 18 045 15 048 63151 60532 13 017 22 005 26 027 20 021 20 030 60532 57815 14 336 24 001 22 011 18 357 22 007 57815 55009 20 327 24 346 23 359 22 353 25 354 55009 52336 27 328 27 334 28 334 31 342 33 347 52336 49925 29 322 32 333 33 322 36 335 35 340 49925 47752 32 331 36 341 33 327 37 330 37 336 47752 45772 36 341 36 344 33 335 38 326 39 331 45772 43943 31 344 32 340 32 335 37 324 38 325 43943 42239 25 344 27 333 28 331 34 325 34 319 42239 40651 20 329 22 329 23 331 31 326 29 317 40651 39170 13 290 19 334 19 334 25 330 22 315 39170 37786 9 002 16 341 15 335 18 325 16 318 37786 36458 16 018 15 001 13 355 12 318 14 314 36458 35112 16 023 16 015 11 003 12 309 11 304 35112 33716 19 035 15 025 7 008 11 299 8 309 33716 32270 19 039 15 038 7 031 4 306 5 352 32270 30758 15 044 14 047 8 039 4 014 7 086 30758 29166 13 055 10 055 7 034 8 082 19 108 29166 27494 14 070 8 085 6 047 17 103 25 114 27494 25738 15 074 8 087 10 069 21 101 23 114 25738 23899 12 071 9 079 13 077 23 097 22 105 23899 21978 12 082 11 085 13 078 23 097 24 097 21978 19967 17 095 13 096 13 077 22 098 21 092 19967 17864 21 096 13 099 14 077 21 100 20 078 17864 15711 19 094 12 111 11 085 17 094 17 081 15711 13632 12 095 9 121 7 096 9 087 12 087 13632 11742 11 120 5 103 5 094 6 082 5 095 11742 10066 13 154 6 188 3 169 3 088 4 071 10066 8579 13 188 10 200 8 212 3 202 2 023 8579 7259 8 206 7 211 8 233 6 260 4 334 7259 6087 1 033 3 190 6 239 6 264 6 316 6087 5050 6 025 2 067 4 225 6 251 6 310 5050 4140 7 004 4 028 3 221 5 245 5 302 4140 3339 7 346 4 025 2 216 4 245 5 307 3339 2627 7 340 4 038 1 180 1 269 5 338 2627 2002 6 347 4 062 1 166 3 015 5 009 2002 1484 4 005 5 092 0*188 5 034 5 053 1484 1088 2 044 7 102 2*314 5 042 7 077 1088 817 2 083 6 095 2 310 3 025 6 074 817 654 2 094 3 079 3 309 2 010 4 067 654 560 1*114 1*286 2 309 1*351 1*047 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography