DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 60.6 - - 57.9 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 53 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 143 - - 1056 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 687 - - 1601 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 598 - - 938 - - 1520 - - 579 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 63 - - 166 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 037 - - 012 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1616 - - -1545 - - -1474 - - -560 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2303 - - 3146 - - 2035 - - 1120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10317 - - -8377 - - -8414 - - -10316 ODpotential blCL - - - 11004 - - 9978 - - 8975 - - 10876 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 66 - - 68 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 60.6 - - 57.9 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 48.9 - - 51.0 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 60.1 - - 58.7 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 47.6 - - 49.7 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 53 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 143 - - 1056 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96698 23 077 14 078 23 087 17 105 96698 89498 23 103 17 081 30 086 25 095 89498 83902 17 100 17 076 24 075 25 094 83902 79258 17 094 10 090 17 056 26 082 79258 75255 13 081 10 116 6 029 18 064 75255 71711 11 046 8 098 9 010 17 061 71711 68492 10 008 5 043 14 002 15 051 68492 65527 11 001 4 345 14 336 16 005 65527 62786 14 342 8 326 11 303 15 324 62786 60136 16 319 16 332 11 309 14 308 60136 57367 23 305 24 307 17 302 18 305 57367 54490 29 290 30 281 27 289 25 301 54490 51742 28 275 32 276 33 289 31 294 51742 49272 25 279 30 281 33 284 30 288 49272 47061 25 284 27 288 29 278 28 293 47061 45064 26 284 25 289 21 288 23 305 45064 43246 32 276 22 285 15 309 18 325 43246 41582 30 262 19 283 16 327 16 002 41582 40047 26 265 20 292 20 336 30 042 40047 38617 29 271 22 292 21 344 54 048 38617 37272 34 268 24 290 20 344 62 047 37272 35971 29 266 25 285 16 345 61 046 35971 34643 25 265 23 283 14 349 43 041 34643 33262 20 269 20 279 13 343 26 035 33262 31833 18 267 16 280 12 328 21 037 31833 30338 18 266 15 291 12 319 21 037 30338 28763 19 275 18 292 13 314 16 016 28763 27108 24 279 19 297 16 304 11 346 27108 25371 26 276 19 297 17 303 10 325 25371 23554 21 283 20 288 17 301 12 307 23554 21659 21 300 21 288 17 305 15 301 21659 19678 19 291 17 288 18 309 16 310 19678 17604 17 276 18 275 15 296 15 308 17604 15485 16 267 16 273 15 288 14 304 15485 13438 15 266 14 277 14 298 12 304 13438 11572 10 268 11 283 11 306 10 303 11572 9914 8 272 8 281 9 297 8 301 9914 8443 8 279 6 282 7 284 6 300 8443 7138 7 281 5 278 6 272 5 308 7138 5983 6 277 4 289 5 276 5 315 5983 4966 5 269 3 293 2 265 5 317 4966 4073 4 262 2 271 2 225 5 322 4073 3290 3 259 2 259 2 224 5 335 3290 2592 2 267 1 293 1 306 6 350 2592 1979 0 257 2*017 2 003 6 001 1979 1470 3 097 3*039 2 025 6 025 1470 1081 6 083 3 038 3 040 7 059 1081 814 6*078 3 037 2 036 7 077 814 652 5*072 3 036 2*027 4*087 652 560 3 067 3 035 1*012 2*117 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography