DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 67.7 - - 63.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 338 - - 118 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1572 - - 1719 - - 1316 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1299 - - 1535 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2117 - - 2264 - - 1860 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 529 - - 600 - - 564 - - 878 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 339 - - 218 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 262 - - 256 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1446 - - -2727 - - -1598 - - -1204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3563 - - 4991 - - 3458 - - 1764 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7983 - - -8618 - - -7854 - - -9064 ODpotential blCL - - - 10100 - - 10882 - - 9714 - - 9624 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 61 - - 73 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 67.7 - - 63.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 47.7 - - 49.8 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 65.7 - - 62.5 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 47.4 - - 49.6 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 338 - - 118 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1572 - - 1719 - - 1316 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97923 13 200 9 248 13 237 14 260 97923 90613 4 208 4 164 8 189 5 233 90613 84949 4 120 6 133 7 122 6 081 84949 80254 7 106 5 030 11 073 10 067 80254 76235 9 109 5 350 11 033 11 078 76235 72681 11 060 5 144 6 329 10 038 72681 69470 9 012 7 129 4 197 5 318 69470 66536 8 294 4 350 3 033 2 189 66536 63813 2 352 2 071 6 340 7 157 63813 61166 19 315 9 325 13 317 5 359 61166 58417 17 300 17 288 19 281 24 296 58417 55588 12 313 15 284 20 263 26 278 55588 52895 29 310 26 312 21 306 21 282 52895 50460 38 301 37 308 34 322 21 306 50460 48257 39 296 39 299 38 303 29 300 48257 46239 34 294 36 291 42 289 36 291 46239 44373 32 295 34 287 43 283 40 285 44373 42635 32 298 34 287 41 284 41 281 42635 41004 32 300 33 288 39 283 41 280 41004 39466 34 306 34 289 36 280 40 280 39466 38011 39 311 35 290 35 280 39 281 38011 36597 42 312 37 295 35 282 38 277 36597 35153 41 308 40 298 36 285 38 276 35153 33652 34 294 40 294 39 287 39 279 33652 32103 31 280 37 285 38 285 38 278 32103 30501 30 270 33 272 34 275 34 265 30501 28843 32 257 32 263 33 262 34 254 28843 27125 33 252 36 249 34 253 36 248 27125 25341 32 243 39 241 37 247 36 249 25341 23494 35 242 40 236 38 241 37 242 23494 21584 38 243 38 238 35 241 35 239 21584 19600 33 247 32 241 30 245 28 247 19600 17531 28 251 28 248 25 248 23 247 17531 15422 24 256 24 251 21 248 21 247 15422 13393 21 254 22 248 21 242 21 244 13393 11550 21 254 24 244 24 241 22 237 11550 9910 24 247 29 241 26 244 24 230 9910 8450 27 250 28 247 23 245 22 224 8450 7152 22 250 22 253 18 246 18 215 7152 5999 13 259 17 258 14 249 16 215 5999 4980 8 272 13 261 10 254 14 219 4980 4084 6 281 10 263 7 258 12 231 4084 3298 6 286 11 268 7 276 10 257 3298 2600 7*273 12*268 10 274 10 282 2600 1986 9*261 13*265 13*263 12 289 1986 1476 9 259 14 263 14*258 14 279 1476 1085 9 258 14 262 14 256 14 261 1085 816 9 258 13 261 14 255 13 245 816 653 8 258 12 261 13 255 10 234 653 560 7 258 10 261 9 253 5*225 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography