DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.3 - - 70.5 - - 75.4 - - - - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 274 - - 429 - - - - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 288 - - 1016 - - 1137 - - - - - 553 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 983 - - 1168 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 832 - - 1561 - - 1682 - - - - - 1097 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 460 - - 275 - - 384 - - - - - 323 Hgt.Variab. W* 101 - - 267 - - 320 - - - - - 121 W* B/S 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 268 - - 263 - - - - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -196 - - -1958 - - -2965 - - - - - -369 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1028 - - 3519 - - 4647 - - - - - 1466 sfcLCL ODpotential -12637 - - -11326 - - -10809 - - - - - -12410 ODpotential blCL 13469 - - 12887 - - 12491 - - - - - 13507 blCL maxRH 95 - - 92 - - 93 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.3 - - 70.5 - - 75.4 - - - - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.7 - - 57.1 - - 57.1 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 68.8 - - 72.8 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.5 - - 56.4 - - 56.6 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 274 - - 429 - - - - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 288 - - 1016 - - 1137 - - - - - 553 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 68 - - 73 - - - - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99399 39 101 45 106 35 119 27 103 99399 91850 41 098 38 104 35 107 28 097 91850 86035 39 101 28 105 30 096 31 103 86035 81231 30 092 21 104 22 087 32 100 81231 77110 23 094 26 115 16 100 24 092 77110 73476 21 095 28 111 21 129 18 091 73476 70194 18 099 19 096 21 111 19 106 70194 67199 13 112 16 089 19 107 21 106 67199 64446 12 109 14 111 11 096 18 095 64446 61785 8 138 10 150 9 127 13 081 61785 59016 15 150 17 185 11 165 3 081 59016 56164 13 160 26 184 22 181 15 197 56164 53469 19 211 30 193 34 193 25 190 53469 51066 36 217 37 200 40 201 34 190 51066 48917 47 213 43 200 43 206 36 196 48917 46958 50 211 43 203 44 203 37 205 46958 45147 51 215 43 208 44 204 41 208 45147 43458 52 218 46 214 45 208 46 211 43458 41875 51 217 49 216 48 205 48 214 41875 40380 52 215 52 216 52 201 48 213 40380 38961 52 216 52 215 52 199 48 207 38961 37580 51 219 51 214 51 201 49 198 37580 36168 56 228 49 215 51 208 50 198 36168 34695 56 229 48 214 50 212 50 202 34695 33167 50 227 48 217 48 215 47 206 33167 31569 44 219 53 219 46 214 40 210 31569 29892 43 219 52 217 43 211 38 216 29892 28134 36 218 43 215 39 213 38 206 28134 26293 33 210 35 201 33 210 34 189 26293 24372 31 205 34 194 32 195 29 180 24372 22376 29 196 31 191 30 185 28 181 22376 20304 28 186 29 186 28 179 27 179 20304 18152 28 177 28 185 27 178 26 172 18152 15958 26 175 27 183 25 179 25 166 15958 13843 19 173 23 179 20 180 23 162 13843 11918 12 195 16 177 15 177 20 169 11918 10208 11 213 10 185 12 177 17 183 10208 8690 9 216 7 185 9 177 15 192 8690 7342 7 210 6 175 8 184 14 194 7342 6148 6 197 7 167 9 194 13 193 6148 5092 8 187 8 164 9 202 11 197 5092 4166 9 180 8 164 9 211 9 219 4166 3352 8 182 7 169 8 228 8 251 3352 2630 4 203 4 194 9 256 11 265 2630 2000 4 288 4*261 11*265 12 270 2000 1481 5 286 6*267 12*263 12*265 1481 1088 4*254 6 268 12 263 11*258 1088 818 3*226 6 269 12 263 10 257 818 654 3 223 5 269 11 262 9 256 654 561 2 226 5 270 9 263 7 256 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography