DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 61.0 - - 65.3 - - 66.9 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 87 - - 121 - - 34 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2121 - - 2975 - - 3633 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1158 - - 2020 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 2666 - - 3520 - - 4177 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1563 - - 1597 - - 2014 - - 1907 - - 2545 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 236 - - 292 - - 206 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 333 - - 022 - - 017 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 534 - - 348 - - 368 - - -1632 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 561 - - 2132 - - 3172 - - 3810 - - 2193 sfcLCL ODpotential -1101 - - 317 - - 28 - - -379 - - -5576 ODpotential blCL 1662 - - 2349 - - 3492 - - 4556 - - 6137 blCL maxRH 96 - - 98 - - 98 - - 89 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 61.0 - - 65.3 - - 66.9 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.5 - - 53.7 - - 53.4 - - 52.2 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 60.2 - - 64.4 - - 66.8 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.3 - - 52.9 - - 52.7 - - 51.7 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 87 - - 121 - - 34 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2121 - - 2975 - - 3633 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 90 - - 94 - - 54 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97468 1 311 12 295 9 337 8 337 15 306 97468 90197 12 007 8 349 17 339 16 000 7 021 90197 84619 12 018 9 029 12 331 16 351 11 019 84619 80006 14 025 9 020 7 334 12 340 13 017 80006 76031 15 332 5 011 3 300 8 295 8 317 76031 72521 13 287 10 303 6 263 9 283 3 309 72521 69330 9 238 9 272 11 267 11 294 5 352 69330 66374 9 241 8 259 9 246 7 258 10 297 66374 63629 12 254 5 288 5 270 6 276 10 273 63629 60960 14 267 12 298 10 291 10 247 10 228 60960 58154 21 285 12 287 16 306 17 284 14 288 58154 55229 18 288 22 298 23 280 23 276 25 274 55229 52432 34 302 26 300 11 269 18 295 26 304 52432 49920 39 303 30 319 28 325 39 317 42 318 49920 47673 39 312 45 318 49 319 52 320 50 320 47673 45640 44 319 54 312 56 317 54 321 51 322 45640 43789 49 320 53 320 52 320 50 325 45 326 43789 42093 52 320 46 325 39 338 46 341 41 337 42093 40523 47 316 33 336 39 358 51 354 42 351 40523 39056 31 324 45 005 65 359 59 357 47 356 39056 37676 49 006 64 001 78 353 63 355 53 359 37676 36342 70 004 83 356 79 352 64 353 58 357 36342 34984 82 358 89 355 80 355 65 354 60 356 34984 33575 82 357 91 357 81 357 66 358 60 357 33575 32115 76 356 92 360 80 355 67 001 61 001 32115 30590 81 358 92 002 80 355 66 360 61 002 30590 28986 75 357 87 004 79 357 65 356 59 002 28986 27302 67 002 84 008 77 359 63 352 57 002 27302 25538 70 007 83 010 75 005 61 355 56 000 25538 23694 72 005 78 007 72 012 58 001 55 004 23694 21769 69 002 70 360 67 012 55 006 53 012 21769 19759 63 000 61 356 63 005 54 008 48 016 19759 17658 58 002 55 360 58 000 55 008 48 015 17658 15514 46 003 50 003 54 003 54 012 50 016 15514 13447 36 356 44 360 48 004 51 015 51 020 13447 11567 31 347 39 355 40 005 45 017 43 023 11567 9905 28 347 32 354 34 009 37 020 29 029 9905 8440 25 353 24 359 26 013 27 028 19 042 8440 7144 24 357 18 006 18 021 21 038 15 044 7144 6000 22 359 13 003 15 025 16 034 15 043 6000 4990 16 360 10 356 13 023 11*021 17 039 4990 4102 12 000 8 355 12*022 10*018 18 029 4102 3320 8 354 7*355 8*022 9 017 18 023 3320 2620 6 349 5*347 5 021 9 018 16 021 2620 2003 6 354 4 335 4 021 8 017 12 022 2003 1488 6 359 3 331 3 022 8 016 9 026 1488 1092 5 009 3 326 3 025 7 016 6 033 1092 820 3 022 3 324 2 026 7 015 4 048 820 655 1*071 3 324 2 026 6 015 3*064 655 561 1*129 2 323 2 028 5 016 1*141 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography