DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 57.2 - - 60.8 - - 61.8 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 102 - - 157 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2158 - - 3773 - - 2976 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1365 - - 2750 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2702 - - 4317 - - 3521 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1628 - - 2334 - - 2269 - - 2515 - - 1455 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 253 - - 346 - - 187 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 112 - - 340 - - 327 - - 322 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -100 - - 62 - - 556 - - -1264 - - -1428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 660 - - 2640 - - 3761 - - 4785 - - 1988 sfcLCL ODpotential -1347 - - -1088 - - -82 - - -3404 - - -6362 ODpotential blCL 1907 - - 3790 - - 4399 - - 6925 - - 6922 blCL maxRH 100 - - 77 - - 80 - - 69 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 80 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 57.2 - - 60.8 - - 61.8 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.3 - - 47.6 - - 46.3 - - 42.9 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 56.5 - - 59.7 - - 61.7 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 46.5 - - 45.5 - - 42.4 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 102 - - 157 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2158 - - 3773 - - 2976 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 8 - - 18 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96821 42 283 43 294 41 288 38 275 45 287 96821 89781 29 290 32 284 33 294 20 267 39 285 89781 84342 13 282 26 270 31 286 18 271 23 285 84342 79803 12 282 12 242 27 272 18 278 9 263 79803 75844 21 265 8 250 20 246 19 278 4 286 75844 72307 20 245 14 242 18 239 19 258 14 265 72307 69103 13 257 15 244 19 237 18 249 23 256 69103 66161 17 264 16 259 20 239 17 256 16 248 66161 63442 16 270 17 258 18 243 16 254 11 237 63442 60799 18 289 13 279 14 258 16 264 12 262 60799 58051 21 292 21 278 24 263 31 267 35 264 58051 55237 16 309 17 280 24 250 33 255 36 251 55237 52565 32 338 22 331 10 277 16 256 24 248 52565 50140 54 318 46 305 27 312 24 294 23 261 50140 47939 59 300 50 288 41 293 35 296 32 279 47939 45924 52 306 45 284 45 281 46 289 40 287 45924 44064 50 316 39 290 45 276 52 281 51 289 44064 42344 55 315 40 296 45 278 57 282 56 291 42344 40757 58 309 46 291 47 277 60 285 56 298 40757 39279 57 303 51 288 48 279 56 289 58 305 39279 37887 57 300 55 288 46 288 52 303 61 307 37887 36538 59 299 54 290 49 303 57 315 62 307 36538 35164 58 307 52 299 57 321 65 321 60 309 35164 33736 56 323 56 314 63 330 70 320 58 315 33736 32257 55 325 63 325 68 334 72 320 60 323 32257 30711 57 328 71 330 70 334 70 326 61 327 30711 29082 65 335 77 332 70 331 64 329 59 327 29082 27371 75 337 80 334 71 330 61 326 57 325 27371 25581 84 337 82 335 71 335 62 325 56 324 25581 23718 88 336 82 335 72 337 61 331 52 328 23718 21784 89 337 80 335 73 336 59 337 45 334 21784 19768 83 339 80 339 72 335 59 341 41 339 19768 17661 62 339 78 343 74 340 57 339 41 339 17661 15502 38 333 57 344 70 347 57 343 43 338 15502 13412 11 310 30 346 47 350 54 353 40 352 13412 11513 7 249 11 018 25 002 40 004 33 004 11513 9845 12 269 13 037 19 015 24 015 23 007 9845 8385 13 279 12 005 16 008 16 021 16 014 8385 7097 14 287 13 353 12 346 12 023 12 025 7097 5958 12 299 14 000 11 334 9 006 12 020 5958 4954 10 313 15 003 10*331 8 342 9 019 4954 4073 8 334 14 002 10*330 8*329 5 015 4073 3296 7 354 13*356 10 328 9*324 4 354 3296 2601 7 008 11*349 10 327 10 322 6 001 2601 1988 7 020 8 342 10 327 10 322 11 001 1988 1477 6 034 6 337 10 326 10 322 14 353 1477 1086 6 049 6 335 9 326 9 321 13 348 1086 817 4 074 5 333 9 325 9 321 9 340 817 654 3 099 5 333 8 326 8 321 6 328 654 560 1*112 4 331 7 325 6 321 3*298 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography