DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 68.8 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 446 - - - - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2041 - - 2179 - - - - - 967 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1633 - - 1944 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2586 - - 2724 - - - - - 1511 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 784 - - 600 - - - - - 1133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 402 - - - - - 134 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 280 - - - - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 524 - - -374 - - - - - 99 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2062 - - 3098 - - - - - 1412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 491 - - -8800 - - - - - -78 ODpotential blCL - - - 2095 - - 11524 - - - - - 1589 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 92 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 68.8 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 57.1 - - - - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 66.4 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 56.5 - - - - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 446 - - - - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2041 - - 2179 - - - - - 967 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 69 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98882 26 111 22 105 25 091 98882 91388 20 107 17 106 25 100 91388 85625 20 123 19 112 21 095 85625 80850 23 126 17 129 10 081 80850 76745 22 115 18 139 6 060 76745 73114 14 106 20 125 5 140 73114 69828 13 117 11 140 7 114 69828 66820 6 138 8 152 6 127 66820 64048 11 172 6 161 7 137 64048 61374 10 219 12 201 8 209 61374 58594 14 227 19 219 10 250 58594 55731 24 234 30 219 25 240 55731 53013 27 230 28 227 31 241 53013 50564 42 247 35 246 38 246 50564 48360 58 244 50 248 52 249 48360 46350 68 235 63 241 64 248 46350 44502 68 232 67 237 68 247 44502 42789 68 232 67 238 71 249 42789 41188 69 235 69 243 74 251 41188 39686 76 240 71 245 76 253 39686 38270 80 241 75 246 77 254 38270 36902 80 239 77 247 80 255 36902 35511 78 237 82 248 82 254 35511 34066 76 236 83 248 84 254 34066 32569 74 235 74 248 85 255 32569 31005 69 233 59 247 80 257 31005 29369 58 230 47 248 61 257 29369 27665 48 230 39 252 43 257 27665 25886 38 228 31 253 35 260 25886 24025 29 225 26 250 30 261 24025 22084 23 225 20 248 25 261 22084 20054 21 213 18 247 19 256 20054 17931 21 215 20 244 16 250 17931 15760 16 215 20 242 18 244 15760 13660 16 203 17 234 19 244 13660 11750 16 190 15 224 16 235 11750 10057 14 184 14 216 13 220 10057 8560 12 198 11 213 11 206 8560 7234 9 221 7 226 10 183 7234 6059 9 221 8 223 12 164 6059 5021 10 199 10 191 12 161 5021 4112 12 198 10 185 7 195 4112 3318 10 221 7*215 11 260 3318 2615 9*248 11*275 15 273 2615 1997 8*266 13 279 15*274 1997 1483 8 273 13 281 13*273 1483 1090 8 277 13 282 12 272 1090 819 7 280 13 283 11 272 819 655 7 280 12 283 10 272 655 561 6 282 10 284 7 272 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography