DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 80.1 - - 73.0 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 411 - - 270 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 824 - - 1042 - - 697 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 828 - - 1091 - - 724 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1369 - - 1587 - - 1242 - - 719 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 369 - - 315 - - 363 - - 431 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 306 - - 232 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 265 - - 259 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2989 - - -4218 - - -2692 - - -782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4359 - - 5806 - - 3934 - - 1501 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12647 - - -12259 - - -12300 - - -12652 ODpotential blCL - - - 14016 - - 13846 - - 13542 - - 13371 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 53 - - 69 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 80.1 - - 73.0 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 56.9 - - 57.9 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 77.7 - - 71.2 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 56.5 - - 57.6 - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 411 - - 270 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 824 - - 1042 - - 697 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99268 31 134 25 107 22 106 22 105 99268 91737 27 121 32 108 29 112 22 112 91737 85929 28 108 28 117 24 110 25 092 85929 81134 27 096 24 119 20 109 21 100 81134 77010 19 085 21 115 18 089 20 105 77010 73373 17 099 17 110 16 077 18 095 73373 70097 13 107 15 103 15 106 15 080 70097 67100 15 111 12 103 12 118 12 089 67100 64332 13 100 13 120 13 133 11 122 64332 61662 6 162 7 123 9 109 15 133 61662 58888 12 196 17 179 14 194 12 184 58888 56020 19 205 25 186 26 202 20 213 56020 53291 29 214 30 211 31 214 29 218 53291 50838 39 218 40 221 37 226 36 230 50838 48651 47 225 50 222 46 227 43 237 48651 46684 51 232 52 227 48 229 45 240 46684 44891 52 234 46 230 46 231 44 238 44891 43230 52 235 42 234 40 231 41 234 43230 41673 52 237 40 237 36 234 40 229 41673 40203 51 239 38 237 35 238 38 226 40203 38809 49 241 37 238 36 240 36 228 38809 37453 45 243 36 236 36 241 35 231 37453 36068 43 240 36 233 36 240 33 230 36068 34625 41 238 36 231 36 239 33 229 34625 33126 39 236 34 231 36 237 33 231 33126 31555 39 232 34 231 35 236 32 231 31555 29903 39 229 35 231 36 236 33 231 29903 28172 38 230 36 228 38 237 35 233 28172 26358 33 224 34 220 36 235 34 231 26358 24461 30 220 31 218 32 228 30 231 24461 22483 27 227 28 227 28 227 27 231 22483 20418 26 230 26 232 25 231 24 230 20418 18263 22 227 22 231 20 231 17 223 18263 16064 18 225 19 225 18 227 13 219 16064 13942 15 224 16 228 16 227 12 224 13942 12012 12 233 14 240 13 229 11 227 12012 10297 8 251 11 256 9 248 8 241 10297 8774 4 264 7 249 6 249 6 249 8774 7421 3 261 6 235 6 234 6 247 7421 6220 3 262 5 242 6 235 6 244 6220 5159 3 264 5 261 6 255 6 255 5159 4225 3 260 5 275 6 289 5 284 4225 3403 3 253 6 284 7 312 6 310 3403 2669 4 242 6 273 8 312 7 336 2669 2026 4 248 7*267 8 290 6 330 2026 1496 5*263 9*265 11*264 6 275 1496 1095 5*272 9 265 11*259 8 251 1095 821 5 274 9 265 11 259 7*247 821 656 5 275 9 266 10 259 6*247 656 561 4 275 8 266 9 259 4 247 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography