DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 58.3 - - - - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 184 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1986 - - 3852 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 2910 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2529 - - 4396 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2589 - - 3529 - - - - - 3316 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 157 - - 372 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 292 - - - - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 603 - - 529 - - - - - -1298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1926 - - 3867 - - - - - 1858 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 103 - - -389 - - - - - -2660 ODpotential blCL - - - 2426 - - 4785 - - - - - 3220 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 86 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 80 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 58.3 - - - - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 43.3 - - - - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 57.2 - - - - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 42.0 - - - - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 184 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1986 - - 3852 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 43 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97371 33 285 35 290 33 303 97371 90062 27 300 30 301 33 298 90062 84452 22 300 24 293 23 292 84452 79772 22 288 24 279 21 291 79772 75729 24 285 22 275 22 282 75729 72158 23 288 19 267 22 273 72158 68910 26 270 26 259 20 271 68910 65892 29 260 27 258 21 270 65892 63066 28 258 27 249 26 265 63066 60314 26 254 27 240 31 261 60314 57439 24 251 27 245 29 264 57439 54452 25 253 27 251 28 264 54452 51597 28 262 28 259 30 264 51597 49031 34 265 33 267 32 266 49031 46742 39 265 38 268 36 267 46742 44677 42 267 40 269 38 269 44677 42794 44 265 43 269 38 271 42794 41062 42 262 45 268 41 274 41062 39460 42 263 44 269 45 273 39460 37975 37 266 45 270 43 270 37975 36593 36 271 44 267 41 276 36593 35271 37 276 39 270 45 280 35271 33937 37 283 37 279 48 279 33937 32563 37 290 36 284 48 277 32563 31147 35 293 36 289 47 276 31147 29671 32 297 35 291 46 273 29671 28120 30 298 33 289 43 272 28120 26492 29 295 31 288 42 273 26492 24786 29 293 32 288 42 277 24786 22999 29 289 33 288 41 281 22999 21135 28 288 35 289 37 282 21135 19188 28 288 34 290 34 283 19188 17154 28 291 32 294 30 282 17154 15078 25 292 24 296 24 279 15078 13077 18 293 18 280 20 280 13077 11259 10 270 16 271 15 288 11259 9652 13 228 16 263 6 270 9652 8234 16 226 10 238 5 248 8234 6981 18 260 10 229 8 273 6981 5870 15 277 11 246 10 285 5870 4888 12 288 12*270 10 294 4888 4022 10 288 12*283 11 296 4022 3257 10 285 12 290 12 292 3257 2574 9*280 11 293 14 288 2574 1970 10*276 11 294 16 283 1970 1466 9 274 11 295 16 281 1466 1080 9 272 10 296 14 278 1080 814 9 271 10 296 12 274 814 653 8 270 9 297 8 271 653 560 6 269 7 297 4*264 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography