DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 65.1 - - 62.3 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 63 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 332 - - 1181 - - 578 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 876 - - 1725 - - 1122 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 925 - - 1535 - - 1094 - - 592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 187 - - 88 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 15 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 129 - - 257 - - 286 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3009 - - -2702 - - -1482 - - -833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3885 - - 4427 - - 2604 - - 1393 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10981 - - -8854 - - -7435 - - -7334 ODpotential blCL - - - 11857 - - 10579 - - 8557 - - 7894 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 97 - - 94 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 65.1 - - 62.3 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 48.0 - - 53.0 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 64.5 - - 62.2 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 46.7 - - 51.7 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 63 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 332 - - 1181 - - 578 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 87 - - 75 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96569 12 086 12 060 12 089 17 081 96569 89471 15 101 11 074 13 078 15 063 89471 83980 14 105 8 092 6 077 11 052 83980 79401 4 081 5 038 6 022 11 042 79401 75438 6 019 7 320 9 329 10 003 75438 71919 9 300 14 292 18 318 14 331 71919 68737 10 269 16 265 21 288 21 301 68737 65823 17 295 16 265 20 278 23 289 65823 63123 27 286 26 283 27 281 27 283 63123 60509 34 278 38 277 34 284 33 281 60509 57782 42 280 41 274 41 280 39 286 57782 54960 48 277 45 278 57 283 50 282 54960 52278 58 270 73 280 74 273 67 278 52278 49866 76 273 76 270 65 267 69 272 49866 47705 74 265 63 261 62 279 72 280 47705 45748 61 261 61 276 73 282 79 282 45748 43965 66 284 75 284 79 282 82 278 43965 42334 84 289 88 283 89 278 79 271 42334 40819 97 289 92 282 90 272 81 265 40819 39387 90 286 82 277 74 270 81 266 39387 38024 83 281 75 273 73 265 78 269 38024 36697 77 276 69 273 76 265 72 268 36697 35337 72 276 61 271 72 264 68 265 35337 33917 69 277 56 266 65 261 59 265 33917 32441 66 276 52 260 61 258 54 260 32441 30891 60 269 52 258 59 257 58 258 30891 29257 54 260 52 260 59 253 64 255 29257 27540 53 249 52 263 60 253 62 252 27540 25740 51 248 52 265 58 258 57 249 25740 23859 47 252 54 262 56 260 55 247 23859 21902 44 252 53 261 54 255 50 247 21902 19866 42 256 46 260 51 259 43 253 19866 17745 36 257 41 262 46 265 43 259 17745 15583 30 249 34 259 43 263 47 262 15583 13503 25 235 28 246 38 260 45 264 13503 11619 22 225 25 238 31 254 37 255 11619 9954 19 216 22 235 26 249 29 247 9954 8482 16 207 19 227 22 244 27 249 8482 7176 14 200 17 216 18 234 22 252 7176 6020 12 196 15 206 16 224 16 246 6020 4999 9 195 12 201 13 215 13 231 4999 4103 6 198 9 200 11 203 11 216 4103 3314 4 207 6 197 9 193 9 205 3314 2611 3 209 4 189 6 191 7 195 2611 1991 2 203 3*199 3 214 5 186 1991 1477 2 196 2*246 4*278 3 175 1477 1084 2*163 2 256 6*286 2 155 1084 816 2*136 2 263 6 287 2 145 816 653 1 125 2 263 6 286 3 140 653 560 1 125 2 265 5 286 2*135 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography