DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 68.5 - - 68.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 313 - - 118 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2460 - - 4553 - - 3981 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2010 - - 3658 - - 2750 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3005 - - 5097 - - 4525 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1157 - - 1096 - - 1886 - - 2339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 462 - - 324 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 353 - - 003 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1580 - - -1094 - - -3685 - - -4535 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4586 - - 6192 - - 8211 - - 5096 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8190 - - -6415 - - -11147 - - -11671 ODpotential blCL - - - 11195 - - 11512 - - 15672 - - 12232 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 62 - - 48 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 68.5 - - 68.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 43.2 - - 34.8 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 66.7 - - 68.1 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 42.1 - - 33.6 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 313 - - 118 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2460 - - 4553 - - 3981 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97420 54 268 60 270 52 277 57 275 97420 90008 58 269 62 274 57 275 53 266 90008 84268 54 265 56 265 56 270 48 266 84268 79513 44 268 43 263 48 265 42 276 79513 75444 34 265 35 268 32 271 31 280 75444 71862 18 274 25 256 28 268 31 291 71862 68631 17 286 20 265 24 269 29 287 68631 65664 21 296 20 281 23 279 22 283 65664 62911 24 289 23 292 24 293 20 297 62911 60241 26 290 28 294 22 294 18 291 60241 57445 28 292 27 293 23 302 24 310 57445 54546 28 301 30 304 32 309 31 313 54546 51786 34 305 35 305 35 306 33 311 51786 49298 35 302 34 299 34 300 33 306 49298 47060 31 301 28 295 31 300 35 306 47060 45034 30 301 28 308 34 314 35 312 45034 43205 36 307 39 319 38 319 34 319 43205 41548 41 308 42 310 38 317 36 332 41548 40026 40 306 34 302 39 334 41 338 40026 38606 38 309 34 323 44 348 43 337 38606 37266 38 314 41 337 49 355 43 335 37266 35965 39 317 44 340 51 357 43 334 35965 34638 40 316 42 337 50 357 43 334 34638 33256 40 315 39 333 49 354 40 335 33256 31821 39 313 38 329 47 348 37 337 31821 30319 37 310 38 326 44 341 37 340 30319 28737 35 309 38 323 42 335 39 340 28737 27073 34 309 39 322 40 331 39 338 27073 25324 34 313 38 323 40 330 39 335 25324 23491 34 317 38 325 40 331 38 335 23491 21580 32 320 37 325 38 331 37 337 21580 19586 31 322 35 325 38 331 37 339 19586 17504 31 324 35 330 37 333 38 340 17504 15380 31 327 32 332 35 338 36 341 15380 13337 28 329 29 330 33 343 34 345 13337 11484 24 332 29 336 30 345 30 351 11484 9845 23 339 24 345 26 350 25 358 9845 8395 20 348 17 354 20 001 20 006 8395 7110 17 355 15 012 14 017 16 013 7110 5973 18 005 13*023 13 032 15 017 5973 4969 18 015 9*013 13*029 16 017 4969 4085 15 025 9 008 12*021 18 015 4085 3306 10*026 9 359 12 015 20 012 3306 2610 6*014 9 350 13 003 21 012 2610 1996 5 002 9 345 13 357 20 009 1996 1483 5 358 9 341 13 354 19 004 1483 1089 4 355 8 338 13 353 16 357 1089 819 4 352 8 337 12 352 12 347 819 655 4 353 8 336 11 351 8*337 655 561 3 349 7 336 8 350 4*319 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography