DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.6 - - 67.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 436 - - 253 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1435 - - 1490 - - 1008 - - 411 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1283 - - 1426 - - 944 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1980 - - 2035 - - 1553 - - 955 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 341 - - 336 - - 309 - - 567 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 301 - - 351 - - 257 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 260 - - 259 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1451 - - -2916 - - -2150 - - -136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3431 - - 4951 - - 3703 - - 1091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9691 - - -10809 - - -10318 - - -10389 ODpotential blCL - - - 11671 - - 12844 - - 11871 - - 11344 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 64 - - 70 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.6 - - 67.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 52.1 - - 53.1 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 69.1 - - 65.6 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 51.7 - - 52.9 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 436 - - 253 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1435 - - 1490 - - 1008 - - 411 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99077 23 117 15 124 14 104 15 116 99077 91612 25 116 15 125 14 105 22 092 91612 85854 17 112 19 130 13 119 15 088 85854 81077 17 107 17 111 17 127 13 114 81077 76950 13 128 9 100 16 105 12 107 76950 73307 16 128 10 148 9 109 3 107 73307 70022 6 123 7 142 3 116 3 092 70022 67001 7 125 5 184 3 234 2 094 67001 64200 5 099 6 174 6 296 6 336 64200 61501 5 297 4 205 9 256 11 286 61501 58694 14 272 11 259 12 252 15 262 58694 55780 19 266 18 259 16 263 21 272 55780 52997 25 271 24 268 25 271 25 263 52997 50494 31 272 28 270 25 270 24 267 50494 48247 32 268 27 265 23 270 22 275 48247 46205 31 267 26 272 25 281 26 287 46205 44337 29 265 24 268 26 274 22 288 44337 42616 27 266 18 267 18 262 18 294 42616 41016 25 260 12 271 13 284 15 308 41016 39523 22 257 6 313 5 321 9 338 39523 38123 14 255 6 014 13 044 17 034 38123 36778 3 265 10 051 20 052 24 032 36778 35415 7 054 18 064 26 064 24 035 35415 34000 13 058 23 064 30 064 25 045 34000 32532 13 057 22 066 28 063 25 047 32532 30996 9 056 16 067 23 063 21 044 30996 29379 4 060 8 071 18 059 19 043 29379 27682 0 071 4 100 12 057 18 037 27682 25903 4 258 3 144 5 066 14 032 25903 24041 10 251 3 202 3 113 10 020 24041 22099 13 249 6 228 4 148 7 025 22099 20071 12 247 9 225 4 178 2 034 20071 17951 10 238 10 224 6 209 2 198 17951 15788 10 226 11 223 6 219 5 189 15788 13704 10 221 11 220 6 221 5 178 13704 11808 8 215 10 208 7 210 5 192 11808 10122 7 209 9 198 9 197 7 210 10122 8625 8 214 8 201 9 189 8 209 8625 7294 9 221 7 212 9 187 9 201 7294 6112 8 220 7 217 8 189 9 200 6112 5067 6 222 6 216 7 202 8 214 5067 4148 4 231 6 213 6 232 7 242 4148 3341 4 253 5 231 5 266 6 268 3341 2624 6 272 7*256 7 283 6 290 2624 1997 7*263 10*259 10*271 8 275 1997 1480 8*259 12 259 12*260 11 257 1480 1087 8 258 12 260 12 258 10*251 1087 818 7 258 11 260 12 258 9*250 818 654 7 258 11 260 11 258 8 249 654 561 6 257 9 261 9 258 6 248 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography