DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 57.7 - - 63.5 - - 62.8 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 209 - - 301 - - 155 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2412 - - 2996 - - 2643 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 1888 - - 2450 - - 1924 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2956 - - 3540 - - 3187 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1553 - - 770 - - 960 - - 1255 - - 2165 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 326 - - 395 - - 305 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 286 - - 294 - - 293 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -489 - - -221 - - -812 - - -526 - - -1070 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1049 - - 3177 - - 4352 - - 3713 - - 1631 sfcLCL ODpotential -8938 - - -6876 - - -6074 - - -4765 - - -6481 ODpotential blCL 9498 - - 9832 - - 9614 - - 7952 - - 7041 blCL maxRH 87 - - 84 - - 82 - - 83 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 57.7 - - 63.5 - - 62.8 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.9 - - 45.9 - - 46.5 - - 48.6 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 - - 56.4 - - 61.7 - - 61.7 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.7 - - 44.9 - - 45.5 - - 47.9 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 209 - - 301 - - 155 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2412 - - 2996 - - 2643 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 37 - - 27 - - 33 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97324 55 282 59 277 59 276 50 288 42 290 97324 89896 56 277 57 272 62 276 59 284 55 280 89896 84154 51 269 49 270 52 273 54 272 54 271 84154 79388 41 272 40 264 43 261 49 263 49 264 79388 75307 35 269 34 266 36 261 43 264 40 276 75307 71731 32 272 32 274 28 269 31 267 30 283 71731 68514 31 276 26 277 23 275 23 268 22 273 68514 65547 27 276 22 283 21 280 23 274 18 273 65547 62782 24 289 19 280 24 286 25 280 21 299 62782 60102 23 299 20 287 27 281 27 284 24 303 60102 57310 25 297 25 289 27 279 27 292 26 300 57310 54414 27 296 27 290 26 289 28 298 30 292 54414 51651 28 293 28 287 30 293 29 296 29 290 51651 49167 28 287 31 287 34 289 32 297 29 295 49167 46946 25 290 30 285 37 287 36 294 32 300 46946 44937 25 302 28 288 36 283 37 287 35 296 44937 43117 28 301 28 289 32 283 35 285 36 288 43117 41465 25 290 29 287 33 293 34 290 35 287 41465 39946 23 280 32 290 38 286 39 290 37 285 39946 38530 23 281 35 294 40 284 44 288 40 281 38530 37194 24 283 35 298 37 285 43 287 38 279 37194 35897 24 284 34 299 36 288 40 287 37 278 35897 34572 25 288 32 295 37 290 40 288 38 280 34572 33190 27 285 29 293 35 289 39 289 37 284 33190 31753 29 274 28 289 33 288 35 286 34 290 31753 30247 30 267 27 284 34 289 33 286 30 288 30247 28662 31 267 30 280 34 287 31 287 28 287 28662 26998 30 265 35 278 31 279 28 290 26 292 26998 25253 27 274 35 279 34 273 25 291 24 290 25253 23429 27 282 33 280 33 274 28 285 25 285 23429 21532 26 284 30 281 28 285 28 283 26 287 21532 19555 22 285 27 285 26 286 24 283 23 289 19555 17489 18 287 22 281 26 280 24 278 22 286 17489 15382 14 286 16 277 20 277 22 284 20 292 15382 13350 10 286 12 270 16 279 19 293 19 300 13350 11501 8 285 10 274 12 289 15 305 17 311 11501 9857 8 291 8 288 10 300 12 314 15 316 9857 8398 7 291 7 301 9 312 11 321 13 318 8398 7103 6 278 5 298 7 326 9 329 11 322 7103 5958 5 270 5 285 6 340 7 343 10 326 5958 4948 4 258 5 282 6 351 7 350 8 330 4948 4063 4 289 7 297 5*331 8 331 9 328 4063 3286 6 303 8*295 6*307 9*320 10 328 3286 2593 8 310 8*290 7 300 10*306 12 328 2593 1983 10 325 8 288 7 294 11 296 12 324 1983 1474 7 318 8 285 7 290 11 292 12 312 1474 1084 4 287 8 284 7 288 11 290 11 299 1084 816 4 252 7 284 7 287 10 289 9 287 816 653 4*227 7 283 6 287 10 288 7 277 653 560 3*217 6 283 6 287 8 287 4*265 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography