DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 83.2 - - 80.9 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 410 - - 238 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 1049 - - 735 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 683 - - 1096 - - 701 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1246 - - 1594 - - 1280 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 409 - - 313 - - 393 - - 510 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 307 - - 228 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 263 - - 253 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4079 - - -5518 - - -5098 - - -3032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5325 - - 7113 - - 6378 - - 3594 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14903 - - -14419 - - -14292 - - -14177 ODpotential blCL - - - 16149 - - 16013 - - 15572 - - 14739 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 43 - - 47 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 83.2 - - 80.9 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 54.6 - - 55.5 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 80.8 - - 79.3 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 54.0 - - 55.1 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 410 - - 238 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 1049 - - 735 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99410 44 106 31 102 37 089 37 094 99410 91942 34 096 38 107 35 098 37 093 91942 86168 31 111 30 098 33 104 36 094 86168 81378 32 114 27 099 28 105 32 101 81378 77259 30 107 26 114 24 108 27 095 77259 73623 25 100 25 123 20 119 19 086 73623 70330 20 101 22 110 21 112 15 097 70330 67311 17 111 15 107 18 093 17 102 67311 64530 14 113 11 124 12 095 14 094 64530 61868 13 115 12 149 7 134 7 101 61868 59132 5 119 11 156 9 181 4 206 59132 56332 9 199 7 175 10 194 11 233 56332 53683 7 220 10 243 9 241 14 227 53683 51310 15 259 14 267 13 272 12 233 51310 49175 23 253 20 264 20 267 15 261 49175 47218 26 236 25 248 28 256 24 268 47218 45405 25 230 27 241 32 249 30 262 45405 43712 21 220 25 232 34 247 33 256 43712 42121 16 212 21 224 33 244 34 251 42121 40617 14 218 19 220 32 240 34 248 40617 39192 13 225 19 219 32 240 34 244 39192 37807 14 234 17 221 30 242 33 243 37807 36394 19 236 19 227 29 243 32 244 36394 34922 23 231 21 224 26 235 30 240 34922 33394 27 229 23 222 25 226 28 235 33394 31797 28 226 26 223 26 225 27 229 31797 30117 26 223 27 220 27 224 25 229 30117 28356 24 211 25 216 25 225 23 227 28356 26519 19 204 18 207 20 226 20 228 26519 24605 15 227 12 211 13 210 16 213 24605 22610 14 220 12 230 13 229 13 222 22610 20532 16 213 16 232 15 245 13 252 20532 18366 13 211 16 225 14 239 12 255 18366 16158 9 220 13 226 11 234 10 240 16158 14031 7 239 10 239 8 249 6 244 14031 12095 8 258 9 256 7 273 5 277 12095 10372 7 270 7 268 5 287 3 287 10372 8839 4 266 4 263 2 272 3 274 8839 7478 3 265 3 267 3 288 4 298 7478 6271 3 304 3 290 3 315 5 315 6271 5203 3 326 3 303 4 330 5 321 5203 4264 3 330 2 311 4 339 5 322 4264 3435 3 331 1 299 6 337 8 326 3435 2697 3 323 3 275 7 324 11 330 2697 2049 3 293 6*267 8 296 9 322 2049 1513 4*258 9*262 10*260 7 280 1513 1104 4*259 10 263 11*253 9 241 1104 826 4 262 10 264 10 253 9 233 826 658 4 263 10 264 10 252 7*233 658 562 4 264 8 264 8 253 5*233 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography