DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.1 - - 68.2 - - 69.9 - - 66.7 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 230 - - 324 - - 112 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2208 - - 2194 - - 1600 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1771 - - 1869 - - 885 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 2752 - - 2739 - - 2145 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 367 - - 647 - - 1200 - - 2010 - - 2331 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 325 - - 362 - - 228 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 14 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 286 - - 270 - - 277 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -464 - - -493 - - -131 - - -95 - - -413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1025 - - 3245 - - 2871 - - 2240 - - 974 sfcLCL ODpotential -9471 - - -5427 - - -239 - - -687 - - -852 ODpotential blCL 10032 - - 8179 - - 2978 - - 2832 - - 1413 blCL maxRH 84 - - 89 - - 93 - - 91 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 54.1 - - 68.2 - - 69.9 - - 66.7 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.5 - - 55.7 - - 59.0 - - 58.6 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 66.6 - - 68.1 - - 66.0 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.7 - - 55.4 - - 58.8 - - 58.4 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 230 - - 324 - - 112 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2208 - - 2194 - - 1600 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 57 - - 70 - - 65 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97998 11 303 5 337 8 264 15 231 17 277 97998 90659 10 331 6 312 5 314 7 247 5 337 90659 84988 4 051 1 346 2 018 3 312 5 036 84988 80282 8 078 4 112 2 139 4 006 7 023 80282 76244 5 058 5 059 4 136 3 338 7 011 76244 72672 3 080 4 026 3 136 0 064 3 051 72672 69418 2 266 5 301 3 313 2 336 3 137 69418 66412 7 297 9 281 10 279 7 284 4 195 66412 63622 12 302 9 279 11 265 14 269 5 245 63622 60911 14 282 12 271 12 263 14 259 10 245 60911 58075 16 271 18 268 22 278 19 276 16 267 58075 55134 20 277 22 268 28 273 27 273 25 272 55134 52334 29 284 28 272 33 267 35 270 28 273 52334 49811 36 284 33 274 35 266 38 267 32 276 49811 47543 46 283 39 275 40 269 38 267 40 272 47543 45489 53 276 50 270 48 267 46 269 44 260 45489 43614 49 266 55 263 55 263 51 266 44 263 43614 41884 45 259 54 248 59 258 54 266 44 267 41884 40278 45 253 53 242 63 252 59 262 52 266 40278 38784 44 253 52 244 65 249 63 256 61 264 38784 37385 43 252 51 246 66 246 67 251 63 262 37385 36040 42 250 48 246 64 243 67 248 64 259 36040 34681 42 248 47 247 60 243 66 246 65 255 34681 33277 40 247 45 248 56 244 65 245 66 251 33277 31826 40 247 43 248 52 247 63 246 65 250 31826 30313 40 249 42 249 48 250 60 243 63 251 30313 28724 38 253 42 251 47 250 58 242 60 252 28724 27058 37 253 41 252 46 248 56 246 56 248 27058 25316 36 254 38 252 44 249 51 248 56 245 25316 23497 33 256 36 253 41 250 49 248 55 251 23497 21603 30 262 34 254 39 250 47 253 49 263 21603 19628 28 266 32 258 36 254 40 256 38 269 19628 17564 26 273 30 262 33 257 35 260 29 260 17564 15458 25 277 28 265 28 260 28 268 25 258 15458 13428 22 281 22 271 23 264 20 275 20 266 13428 11580 15 290 16 277 21 274 17 284 16 278 11580 9934 11 305 14 275 19 281 16 290 14 298 9934 8469 11 316 14 275 17 282 17 294 15 310 8469 7166 12 323 14 281 16 284 16 293 15 316 7166 6009 12 326 14 294 15 288 15 291 14 317 6009 4989 13 324 14 306 14 295 12 299 13 306 4989 4096 15 322 15 318 12 302 12 302 13 299 4096 3313 15 323 15*319 12*297 14 297 14 303 3313 2614 15 327 12*305 13*285 16*289 14 301 2614 1998 15 330 10 287 15 271 17*283 15 295 1998 1484 11 320 10 283 15 268 17 279 15 287 1484 1090 8 280 10 280 15 265 17 276 14 280 1090 819 9 250 9 279 14 264 16 275 12 274 819 655 7*229 9 278 13 263 14 273 10*271 655 561 5*221 7 277 11 263 10 272 7*268 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography