DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 62.4 - - 59.1 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 135 - - 54 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 983 - - 1535 - - 1128 - - 344 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1087 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1527 - - 2080 - - 1672 - - 888 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 639 - - 1013 - - 1054 - - 1293 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 247 - - 166 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 271 - - 264 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 246 - - 363 - - 61 - - 109 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1281 - - 1717 - - 1611 - - 779 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3445 - - -1732 - - -2336 - - -142 ODpotential blCL - - - 4972 - - 3812 - - 4008 - - 1030 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 62.4 - - 59.1 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 56.8 - - 54.0 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 61.4 - - 58.8 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 55.7 - - 53.2 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 135 - - 54 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 983 - - 1535 - - 1128 - - 344 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 66 - - 92 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96369 10 073 3 079 6 009 6 080 96369 89271 10 034 5 100 2 246 6 353 89271 83807 10 028 5 036 5 006 11 013 83807 79276 8 343 8 337 11 353 13 008 79276 75393 10 010 13 351 13 345 13 005 75393 71983 15 329 13 326 16 319 16 324 71983 68900 16 340 15 329 14 313 17 341 68900 66042 20 306 25 296 27 299 23 314 66042 63373 29 293 33 278 39 287 30 294 63373 60769 37 287 38 275 42 283 38 288 60769 58028 37 285 43 279 45 278 45 281 58028 55163 42 280 52 280 49 277 49 273 55163 52410 46 277 54 276 55 278 52 272 52410 49915 55 275 56 272 63 272 56 271 49915 47668 60 267 59 266 64 264 58 263 47668 45618 53 260 56 258 55 260 55 259 45618 43724 54 265 59 257 55 264 58 267 43724 41967 60 261 67 256 66 266 71 269 41967 40338 64 258 70 253 73 259 74 263 40338 38818 71 255 72 252 73 255 69 259 38818 37392 76 249 79 248 74 256 68 261 37392 36021 74 241 84 243 81 257 78 263 36021 34642 71 235 81 240 91 251 90 261 34642 33227 67 233 81 240 100 246 97 255 33227 31770 70 237 80 242 96 244 96 250 31770 30249 74 241 83 244 88 244 90 252 30249 28652 73 245 83 244 85 245 85 255 28652 26983 72 242 77 242 84 248 79 256 26983 25238 69 239 71 245 77 248 70 255 25238 23415 66 240 66 248 71 251 64 257 23415 21514 64 241 60 248 60 254 64 259 21514 19530 61 248 57 249 54 255 59 257 19530 17459 56 250 57 249 54 251 53 256 17459 15345 51 247 55 249 49 252 47 254 15345 13310 49 247 43 247 38 249 40 251 13310 11466 46 244 34 244 32 244 31 250 11466 9831 39 242 25 238 27 242 24 248 9831 8382 30 236 18 235 21 232 19 241 8382 7098 22 226 16 229 18 226 16 233 7098 5960 17 216 14 226 15 223 13 230 5960 4954 13 206 11 231 11 234 9 244 4954 4069 9 199 8 241 8 254 6 272 4069 3290 6 207 6 253 7 280 7 302 3290 2595 3 250 7*266 8 282 9 298 2595 1982 3*284 8*270 9*273 11 285 1982 1473 3*259 8 271 10*265 12 271 1473 1083 3 248 8 272 10 264 11*262 1083 816 3 246 8 272 9 263 10*256 816 653 3 247 7 273 8 264 8 253 653 560 3 246 6 273 6 264 5 250 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography