DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 88.6 - - 82.8 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 252 - - 82 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 630 - - 896 - - 423 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 546 - - 867 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1175 - - 1442 - - 969 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 349 - - 644 - - 432 - - 198 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 248 - - 133 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 275 - - 263 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5987 - - -6609 - - -5287 - - -1840 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7162 - - 8051 - - 6257 - - 2402 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10939 - - -9968 - - -9693 - - -9201 ODpotential blCL - - - 12114 - - 11410 - - 10662 - - 9763 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 36 - - 44 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 88.6 - - 82.8 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 55.6 - - 57.7 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 86.9 - - 82.0 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 55.0 - - 57.3 - - 61.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 252 - - 82 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 630 - - 896 - - 423 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97883 4 220 20 244 17 281 6 267 97883 90573 5 127 8 225 5 234 3 321 90573 84949 2 070 3 167 8 177 5 343 84949 80288 5 107 4 085 8 127 5 084 80288 76284 12 100 8 103 8 075 12 095 76284 72763 12 093 8 098 10 068 15 076 72763 69593 13 094 6 109 8 053 11 082 69593 66686 10 100 6 155 5 351 10 085 66686 63991 6 113 8 160 7 273 5 002 63991 61394 3 219 7 162 7 233 10 279 61394 58706 12 291 10 258 14 250 19 271 58706 55933 22 287 21 280 21 269 26 271 55933 53292 39 278 40 281 42 281 38 282 53292 50909 49 277 51 282 52 283 51 285 50909 48758 54 282 58 283 58 287 56 285 48758 46787 62 284 60 286 60 288 59 288 46787 44961 68 285 61 287 62 289 62 290 44961 43258 66 285 64 288 66 290 66 291 43258 41659 64 287 65 288 69 290 70 290 41659 40154 65 292 63 290 67 292 72 291 40154 38735 63 296 55 290 59 293 73 292 38735 37362 55 297 50 288 53 291 67 293 37362 35964 48 292 47 287 49 289 59 290 35964 34511 46 292 46 288 47 290 54 288 34511 33008 47 294 46 289 47 293 47 293 33008 31438 46 294 45 290 45 295 43 295 31438 29788 44 294 40 292 39 296 37 293 29788 28058 35 290 32 290 33 292 33 290 28058 26243 29 290 27 287 29 288 31 290 26243 24346 19 287 21 286 22 289 25 295 24346 22370 13 287 16 280 18 287 19 292 22370 20312 6 282 10 279 11 300 10 300 20312 18171 1 330 4 265 5 299 3 325 18171 15991 3 088 2 116 1 145 2 095 15991 13896 5 125 6 129 9 138 10 144 13896 11991 8 128 8 143 11 142 14 143 11991 10299 8 104 8 150 8 150 10 147 10299 8794 6 089 5 143 4 155 4 170 8794 7454 5 071 3 091 2 081 1 243 7454 6263 6 058 5 045 7 045 3 025 6263 5205 8 052 7 038 8 039 6 031 5205 4272 7 050 6 032 7 023 7 024 4272 3448 6 047 5 016 8 360 8 015 3448 2711 4 030 5 347 9 345 11 006 2711 2061 3 359 5 325 9 330 12 356 2061 1522 3*333 6*284 8 292 10 342 1522 1111 2*292 7*276 8*267 6 305 1111 829 2 285 7 275 8*263 5 243 829 659 2 284 7 274 8 263 5*214 659 562 2 284 6 274 6 262 4*209 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography