DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.3 - - 70.4 - - 71.0 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 106 - - 140 - - 36 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 972 - - 1570 - - 1152 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1155 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1516 - - 2115 - - 1697 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 275 - - 515 - - 720 - - 1234 - - 336 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 197 - - 255 - - 154 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 280 - - 313 - - 304 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -336 - - -1576 - - -2770 - - -2492 - - -889 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 896 - - 3092 - - 4885 - - 4189 - - 1450 sfcLCL ODpotential -10741 - - -9037 - - -8442 - - -7765 - - -9251 ODpotential blCL 11301 - - 10553 - - 10557 - - 9462 - - 9812 blCL maxRH 83 - - 68 - - 55 - - 58 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.3 - - 70.4 - - 71.0 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 49.8 - - 51.2 - - 54.7 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 60.4 - - 69.3 - - 70.8 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 48.6 - - 49.9 - - 53.5 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 106 - - 140 - - 36 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 972 - - 1570 - - 1152 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96336 9 345 10 082 7 212 11 235 9 269 96336 89191 9 008 7 077 3 237 5 300 8 029 89191 83685 13 014 11 039 3 322 6 335 15 035 83685 79126 11 015 11 010 12 003 9 029 13 046 79126 75207 8 027 14 018 16 341 19 017 22 029 75207 71749 10 315 14 356 15 333 17 345 27 009 71749 68633 15 323 19 341 22 335 24 347 31 359 68633 65783 17 327 21 331 27 333 29 334 30 347 65783 63135 24 327 25 328 27 326 31 330 29 343 63135 60557 34 319 28 319 28 323 31 326 33 337 60557 57853 38 309 36 313 33 316 35 324 36 321 57853 55026 41 303 42 303 39 307 43 309 39 315 55026 52315 44 298 46 299 43 299 47 317 45 322 52315 49874 46 293 48 297 46 304 60 316 51 316 49874 47679 47 292 53 300 53 306 55 306 50 311 47679 45701 53 296 58 305 49 301 52 323 66 340 45701 43923 59 296 57 303 40 312 63 331 72 333 43923 42300 64 296 45 300 54 330 49 335 53 326 42300 40787 67 295 42 316 56 331 43 358 37 332 40787 39360 68 290 54 328 47 336 56 015 38 001 39360 38006 64 285 57 327 38 354 64 019 46 015 38006 36687 60 284 51 331 45 012 68 022 53 017 36687 35340 59 289 44 342 57 014 62 019 53 012 35340 33938 57 291 40 348 63 011 58 014 47 002 33938 32479 54 291 38 352 64 009 56 012 48 355 32479 30949 52 296 40 359 60 008 55 011 49 351 30949 29337 49 299 42 002 53 003 53 008 49 350 29337 27643 44 299 43 007 47 354 48 001 47 351 27643 25866 43 305 40 359 44 344 42 350 48 353 25866 24004 44 311 46 350 45 339 43 344 48 351 24004 22059 40 313 46 347 45 344 44 344 43 346 22059 20027 38 307 38 332 40 349 42 343 38 339 20027 17904 35 301 32 326 31 346 38 342 38 339 17904 15738 32 300 31 320 27 331 33 344 35 347 15738 13652 31 309 31 317 28 327 29 342 30 354 13652 11757 29 317 27 319 27 332 28 341 27 356 11757 10076 26 322 23 325 24 338 26 345 25 000 10076 8587 24 332 20 333 22 341 24 352 22 007 8587 7266 21 342 17 341 19 345 22 359 19 014 7266 6097 20 344 15 347 16 351 18 003 15 016 6097 5064 19 343 14 353 15 359 15 009 13 016 5064 4156 19 344 14 355 14 010 12 017 12 017 4156 3357 19 346 14 354 13 016 11 014 12 014 3357 2644 19 346 14 348 10*007 11 001 12 006 2644 2016 15 343 11*338 6*335 10*338 14 354 2016 1494 9 327 5*297 5 313 8*312 12 336 1494 1094 6 272 5 277 5 308 8 304 10 312 1094 821 7 238 4 274 5 305 7 301 7 277 821 655 6 215 4 272 4 304 6 299 6*243 655 561 4*209 4 273 4 303 5 298 4*228 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography