DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 70.3 - - 67.5 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 411 - - 259 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1182 - - 1696 - - 1242 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1065 - - 1568 - - 1122 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1727 - - 2240 - - 1787 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 513 - - 619 - - 741 - - 1186 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 362 - - 279 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 264 - - 258 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1741 - - -3529 - - -3059 - - -2602 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3468 - - 5770 - - 4846 - - 3163 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9830 - - -11474 - - -11074 - - -12067 ODpotential blCL - - - 11557 - - 13714 - - 12861 - - 12628 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 61 - - 58 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 70.3 - - 67.5 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 47.1 - - 48.3 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 67.9 - - 66.0 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 46.2 - - 47.7 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 411 - - 259 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1182 - - 1696 - - 1242 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98635 12 113 13 074 20 076 18 075 98635 91140 12 075 13 096 20 088 17 087 91140 85391 15 093 14 102 16 087 18 081 85391 80643 12 114 12 122 11 087 18 076 80643 76553 13 118 7 138 10 079 14 086 76553 72940 13 115 10 143 10 097 11 096 72940 69664 8 138 3 184 6 088 11 108 69664 66652 9 113 9 175 5 176 2 088 66652 63869 9 271 4 292 3 011 2 156 63869 61173 10 220 13 243 15 271 12 282 61173 58361 12 258 17 238 19 252 20 264 58361 55433 23 265 21 255 23 263 22 268 55433 52632 30 269 26 267 29 277 25 281 52632 50113 35 275 29 268 31 272 28 285 50113 47865 38 279 30 282 30 273 29 286 47865 45847 37 291 35 288 28 295 24 322 45847 44029 41 286 38 295 40 311 41 337 44029 42367 36 281 37 303 32 306 44 316 42367 40824 31 307 37 324 37 353 25 318 40824 39381 35 320 49 004 55 004 31 002 39381 38019 35 327 70 012 51 358 37 005 38019 36691 31 325 45 004 43 346 32 003 36691 35331 27 315 32 325 41 336 26 353 35331 33910 25 329 35 311 38 331 30 341 33910 32432 31 346 33 308 29 332 33 337 32432 30882 36 339 30 307 29 319 34 325 30882 29248 32 332 28 308 36 313 33 307 29248 27530 28 330 28 311 35 316 33 304 27530 25731 24 332 29 312 31 308 31 300 25731 23853 16 332 24 305 28 298 26 279 23853 21901 14 332 22 297 26 286 29 274 21901 19872 16 333 21 303 25 287 28 283 19872 17761 19 332 17 309 20 295 22 290 17761 15610 18 326 13 306 15 299 15 293 15610 13539 15 309 11 295 11 297 11 296 13539 11658 14 302 9 286 8 290 9 295 11658 9990 12 304 8 290 8 290 10 299 9990 8511 11 310 8 300 9 297 11 307 8511 7197 9 320 9 305 9 306 12 317 7197 6032 7 329 8 313 9 315 13 321 6032 5006 4 337 7 324 9 323 15 316 5006 4107 3 337 6 335 13 327 15 312 4107 3318 3 335 6 317 14 317 15 317 3318 2615 3 298 7*283 15 294 14 314 2615 1995 5*264 11*265 16*272 13 294 1995 1481 6*257 12 264 16*262 14 271 1481 1088 6 256 12 264 16 259 14 258 1088 818 6 257 12 264 15 257 13 252 818 655 5 257 11 264 14 256 11*248 655 561 5 257 9 265 11 255 7*245 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography