DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 73.4 - - - - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 204 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1224 - - 2863 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 858 - - 2226 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1768 - - 3408 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 918 - - 1801 - - - - - 889 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 232 - - 348 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 078 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4201 - - -5220 - - - - - -4102 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5969 - - 8629 - - - - - 4663 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11948 - - -12269 - - - - - -11142 ODpotential blCL - - - 13716 - - 15677 - - - - - 11703 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 42 - - - - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 73.4 - - - - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 37.7 - - - - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 72.0 - - - - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 36.4 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 204 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1224 - - 2863 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96887 28 268 38 267 43 273 96887 89616 24 253 33 270 26 272 89616 84062 16 221 18 247 17 272 84062 79478 7 213 9 232 17 266 79478 75547 10 270 9 286 11 262 75547 72066 15 271 17 292 7 296 72066 68897 15 261 19 283 13 309 68897 65980 10 267 17 277 21 293 65980 63278 13 296 18 286 19 286 63278 60653 19 292 21 295 19 290 60653 57898 22 280 27 287 21 288 57898 55025 26 288 30 280 26 284 55025 52266 34 289 34 282 29 277 52266 49767 39 283 37 283 32 273 49767 47513 41 283 42 284 33 273 47513 45461 42 282 45 282 36 272 45461 43585 40 284 42 281 37 268 43585 41871 41 282 40 279 33 269 41871 40302 37 282 42 277 33 276 40302 38858 31 284 36 273 33 272 38858 37511 27 282 32 266 27 269 37511 36212 24 285 25 269 24 273 36212 34886 23 288 23 274 24 272 34886 33503 21 292 19 283 21 273 33503 32065 21 301 17 296 16 281 32065 30559 22 309 19 302 13 287 30559 28974 22 315 21 301 12 296 28974 27305 21 317 19 306 12 311 27305 25551 18 322 14 312 13 325 25551 23714 19 334 13 323 15 330 23714 21800 21 345 14 342 14 344 21800 19800 20 354 14 359 13 014 19800 17711 16 003 13 013 11 029 17711 15580 13 015 12 023 10 050 15580 13527 11 022 10 028 10 068 13527 11659 10 037 8 033 9 090 11659 9999 10 041 6 048 8 113 9999 8525 7 048 6 066 8 129 8525 7217 7 039 8 081 7 140 7217 6059 10 035 9 095 6 167 6059 5036 11 049 10 095 6 170 5036 4138 11 053 9*086 3 122 4138 3346 12 053 7*081 3 082 3346 2638 11 057 7 080 5 079 2638 2014 7*065 7 078 6 071 2014 1494 4*068 7 076 6 064 1494 1095 3 068 6 075 3 059 1095 822 3 063 6 074 1 003 822 656 3 064 5 073 2 257 656 561 2 065 5 073 2*256 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography