DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 71.6 - - 65.2 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 406 - - 235 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1003 - - 1185 - - 1052 - - 547 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 935 - - 1190 - - 949 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1548 - - 1730 - - 1597 - - 1091 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 317 - - 392 - - 455 - - 636 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 318 - - 254 - - 85 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 278 - - 272 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -732 - - -1650 - - -343 - - -57 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2280 - - 3381 - - 1940 - - 1148 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9488 - - -9344 - - -9579 - - -10451 ODpotential blCL - - - 11036 - - 11074 - - 11176 - - 11542 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 81 - - 95 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 100 - - 90 - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 71.6 - - 65.2 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.9 - - 58.6 - - 58.3 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 69.2 - - 63.6 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 58.2 - - 58.2 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 406 - - 235 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1003 - - 1185 - - 1052 - - 547 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 25 - - 81 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99213 25 101 26 099 29 102 27 110 99213 91743 25 105 22 099 20 104 22 097 91743 85962 20 097 22 110 17 103 19 083 85962 81173 23 106 18 113 13 091 18 087 81173 77054 20 103 15 119 11 063 19 072 77054 73414 14 117 10 095 9 091 15 047 73414 70122 11 114 10 091 8 087 8 065 70122 67093 5 096 9 090 10 098 4 113 67093 64287 3 061 1 010 5 066 3 354 64287 61579 2 346 6 273 5 274 6 299 61579 58770 3 287 7 247 7 263 6 255 58770 55864 10 240 11 235 12 262 8 247 55864 53095 10 232 12 209 14 234 13 246 53095 50609 10 225 12 211 16 228 20 235 50609 48388 15 234 15 233 17 225 22 230 48388 46369 18 239 17 241 19 236 25 229 46369 44508 21 232 24 237 21 239 25 226 44508 42780 27 220 28 227 24 236 25 222 42780 41170 28 219 30 216 26 224 24 216 41170 39663 31 212 32 208 26 216 22 208 39663 38249 32 211 32 208 26 210 22 199 38249 36886 31 214 31 209 26 206 21 190 36886 35504 26 216 27 210 24 205 19 183 35504 34071 16 206 22 209 20 202 17 177 34071 32588 12 210 18 203 17 193 16 173 32588 31041 15 214 14 199 18 186 18 177 31041 29418 17 216 16 209 20 188 22 183 29418 27718 16 218 17 207 19 190 22 188 27718 25939 13 217 15 201 17 192 17 191 25939 24084 13 217 15 206 16 205 14 201 24084 22152 14 212 15 219 14 220 12 216 22152 20134 13 210 14 232 13 238 9 217 20134 18024 13 204 12 233 11 239 8 211 18024 15867 13 194 11 222 10 229 11 206 15867 13781 11 190 10 206 9 222 12 204 13781 11876 9 200 10 198 10 210 11 199 11876 10179 10 208 11 198 10 202 11 195 10179 8668 11 204 12 199 10 202 10 192 8668 7326 11 207 12 204 10 209 10 193 7326 6135 12 214 12 208 11 204 10 194 6135 5082 13 212 13 202 13 187 12 194 5082 4157 13 201 14 183 14 178 13 195 4157 3345 12 187 13 178 11 186 11 195 3345 2625 11 183 9 192 9 234 10 212 2625 1998 6*207 9*266 13*267 10 249 1998 1482 5*280 12*278 13*272 9*268 1482 1089 5 285 13 278 13 272 9*271 1089 819 5 286 12 278 12 273 8 271 819 655 5 288 12 279 11 273 7 271 655 561 5 289 10 279 9 273 5 271 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography