DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 56.1 - - 55.3 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 140 - - 93 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1732 - - 2431 - - 2219 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1733 - - 1306 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2276 - - 2975 - - 2763 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2689 - - 2928 - - 2339 - - 3914 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 289 - - 245 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 274 - - 274 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 745 - - 463 - - 543 - - -1061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1531 - - 2512 - - 2220 - - 1621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 440 - - 42 - - 116 - - -1557 ODpotential blCL - - - 1836 - - 2933 - - 2647 - - 2117 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 50 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 56.1 - - 55.3 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 46.9 - - 47.4 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 55.2 - - 54.6 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 46.0 - - 46.5 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 140 - - 93 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1732 - - 2431 - - 2219 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 100 - - 70 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97471 22 275 26 285 33 295 37 297 97471 90108 25 291 32 288 30 296 30 310 90108 84424 26 283 26 290 27 300 26 308 84424 79698 23 275 19 288 22 289 23 299 79698 75641 20 282 22 284 19 283 23 291 75641 72061 20 281 26 285 23 288 21 279 72061 68816 20 274 27 270 24 281 20 276 68816 65814 20 263 27 257 26 273 24 275 65814 63009 18 265 24 257 30 261 30 266 63009 60282 21 267 25 257 31 254 33 259 60282 57439 27 261 27 258 33 262 34 265 57439 54486 34 267 34 267 35 266 35 267 54486 51657 42 269 38 267 36 265 35 263 51657 49102 44 264 41 265 37 263 37 263 49102 46809 44 258 43 257 39 260 38 265 46809 44732 44 257 42 252 38 257 37 264 44732 42834 43 250 39 250 38 254 35 264 42834 41091 37 251 38 250 36 252 33 265 41091 39479 44 256 42 245 34 249 31 264 39479 37980 51 248 45 233 34 245 29 260 37980 36582 53 241 44 228 33 240 24 260 36582 35243 49 234 43 223 29 235 19 259 35243 33894 47 235 43 219 27 230 14 252 33894 32504 52 239 46 220 25 225 8 253 32504 31077 56 238 50 223 23 216 5 193 31077 29598 53 236 50 227 16 192 8 135 29598 28051 41 233 44 228 11 153 13 146 28051 26429 34 224 36 228 12 188 12 148 26429 24725 33 225 29 232 17 205 5 129 24725 22941 26 237 25 222 15 215 4 319 22941 21081 26 239 25 222 14 240 10 327 21081 19140 24 232 19 220 12 248 10 303 19140 17115 8 207 14 214 11 220 8 275 17115 15051 3 209 8 199 11 189 2 323 15051 13065 7 220 5 207 7 163 8 041 13065 11261 8 226 7 232 3 081 11 021 11261 9660 9 234 9 243 4 019 9 001 9660 8237 9 215 10 224 1 020 4 055 8237 6973 11 197 11 211 4 195 5 144 6973 5856 10 207 9 231 7 227 8 224 5856 4873 11 251 9 250 11 257 16 255 4873 4010 12 267 11 263 14 267 19 267 4010 3249 13 274 12*272 15*273 18 271 3249 2569 13*278 12*274 15*274 17 273 2569 1967 13*280 12 274 14 274 17 273 1967 1464 13 280 12 274 14 274 16 272 1464 1079 12 280 12 274 14 274 14 271 1079 813 12 280 11 274 13 273 12 270 813 652 10 280 11 274 12 273 9 269 652 560 8 279 8 273 9 272 6*267 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography