DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 67.9 - - 65.2 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 365 - - 159 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 1809 - - 1158 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1312 - - 1617 - - 830 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2114 - - 2353 - - 1702 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 454 - - 614 - - 675 - - 924 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 353 - - 231 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 260 - - 257 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -688 - - -1756 - - -2004 - - -265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2802 - - 4109 - - 3706 - - 826 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7512 - - -6895 - - -7220 - - -7167 ODpotential blCL - - - 9626 - - 9248 - - 8922 - - 7728 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 73 - - 72 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 67.9 - - 65.2 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 51.8 - - 50.9 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 65.8 - - 64.1 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 51.5 - - 50.8 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 365 - - 159 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 1809 - - 1158 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98426 3 120 13 142 9 219 5 264 98426 91023 5 114 9 168 5 160 1 159 91023 85331 4 158 4 022 9 137 4 151 85331 80609 6 148 5 057 8 102 5 102 80609 76555 3 049 4 132 9 056 5 046 76555 72992 2 165 3 219 5 017 8 018 72992 69772 9 122 2 266 3 042 6 016 69772 66803 4 120 3 241 4 350 3 279 66803 64049 8 233 9 246 10 263 8 263 64049 61382 7 229 9 225 10 236 12 249 61382 58597 20 258 21 252 21 265 21 265 58597 55713 27 262 26 252 29 250 28 255 55713 52959 34 262 33 261 33 267 32 262 52959 50473 42 261 45 266 41 260 41 262 50473 48233 49 260 51 263 40 258 43 256 48233 46184 56 259 52 262 47 267 46 266 46184 44299 63 254 58 260 59 265 61 270 44299 42553 68 249 64 256 62 257 68 261 42553 40919 71 247 69 251 61 251 63 252 40919 39374 73 245 67 249 59 251 56 253 39374 37909 73 244 67 248 60 255 56 259 37909 36491 75 243 71 247 68 258 62 258 36491 35055 77 242 74 245 76 254 69 254 35055 33579 79 238 73 241 76 247 71 250 33579 32069 76 236 71 237 75 242 70 246 32069 30507 69 235 65 237 75 239 67 243 30507 28881 64 234 60 238 72 238 63 242 28881 27189 62 232 57 238 65 241 58 241 27189 25425 59 231 55 236 57 242 54 241 25425 23587 53 232 53 236 55 243 49 243 23587 21675 46 232 48 238 51 245 40 241 21675 19683 39 231 42 240 43 239 36 233 19683 17610 34 232 36 239 37 232 34 240 17610 15496 30 234 28 237 29 230 25 246 15496 13459 24 236 21 236 21 230 19 238 13459 11606 18 232 14 227 16 239 15 246 11606 9955 15 222 14 223 13 243 12 259 9955 8486 15 213 14 229 10 263 9 292 8486 7181 15 211 13 240 9 289 12 321 7181 6023 16 214 12 252 10 309 14 331 6023 4999 15 218 10 266 10 316 16 333 4999 4100 12 229 9 283 11 323 15 330 4100 3311 10 246 8 284 12 319 13 329 3311 2609 10*260 9*273 12 303 11 327 2609 1991 9*262 10*262 13*274 11 314 1991 1479 9 262 11 261 14*261 12 288 1479 1086 9 262 11 259 14 258 12 265 1086 817 9 262 11 259 14 256 11 248 817 654 8 262 10 259 12 255 9*238 654 561 7 263 8 259 9 255 5*232 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography