DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 78.3 - - 71.3 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 352 - - 231 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 880 - - 1004 - - 666 - - 183 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1038 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1425 - - 1549 - - 1211 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 762 - - 840 - - 374 - - 361 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 290 - - 219 - - 58 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 274 - - 266 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5050 - - -6319 - - -4720 - - -2110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6476 - - 7868 - - 5931 - - 2838 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9393 - - -9934 - - -9389 - - -9179 ODpotential blCL - - - 10818 - - 11483 - - 10600 - - 9907 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 39 - - 46 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 78.3 - - 71.3 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 46.0 - - 47.7 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 76.2 - - 69.7 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 44.8 - - 46.9 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 352 - - 231 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 880 - - 1004 - - 666 - - 183 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98156 5 351 9 056 6 108 4 035 98156 90713 9 143 1 228 5 253 10 015 90713 84984 10 143 4 175 10 265 9 015 84984 80228 5 121 7 130 2 240 1 016 80228 76143 2 133 2 047 6 067 7 158 76143 72534 2 036 4 235 5 352 4 037 72534 69263 3 356 6 198 5 287 8 329 69263 66246 4 326 3 269 5 304 6 291 66246 63440 7 309 9 309 11 334 7 328 63440 60725 9 312 12 313 11 331 9 335 60725 57906 11 333 11 322 13 323 15 337 57906 54994 11 347 11 327 15 320 18 333 54994 52226 12 344 13 330 18 337 22 343 52226 49747 20 348 20 340 22 336 23 341 49747 47540 25 357 24 359 22 357 21 335 47540 45538 28 004 30 003 28 000 23 018 45538 43706 29 002 34 005 35 003 43 008 43706 42022 29 357 32 005 28 011 30 002 42022 40463 29 351 27 358 25 022 20 034 40463 39011 27 342 23 358 23 023 33 047 39011 37646 26 332 18 348 19 024 38 042 37646 36323 25 328 16 328 18 022 35 036 36323 34977 26 323 16 331 17 020 25 041 34977 33581 25 321 17 339 16 020 21 044 33581 32134 22 329 17 339 17 023 22 045 32134 30619 20 337 17 338 19 023 22 048 30619 29023 18 339 15 340 20 025 23 052 29023 27347 18 340 14 353 18 032 26 056 27347 25589 17 341 16 359 19 037 28 058 25589 23750 16 342 17 358 18 041 25 060 23750 21835 15 346 14 360 16 043 20 063 21835 19839 12 342 9 002 9 044 13 062 19839 17757 8 332 5 347 7 049 9 067 17757 15632 6 321 4 335 5 039 8 074 15632 13581 3 333 2 006 4 053 8 084 13581 11715 4 058 4 092 5 095 5 102 11715 10059 4 085 6 094 7 100 4 130 10059 8588 5 117 6 097 8 094 5 107 8588 7278 7 120 6 108 7 087 7 080 7278 6112 7 118 6 114 6 079 6 072 6112 5077 6 122 5 117 5 059 4 046 5077 4165 5 129 3 118 4 026 6 357 4165 3361 5 137 0 165 5 336 10 347 3361 2641 4 139 3 284 8 312 12 340 2641 2009 1 157 7*281 12 290 10 324 2009 1485 2*274 9*276 12*276 8 286 1485 1088 4*279 10 274 12*268 8 251 1088 818 4 280 10 274 11 266 8*245 818 654 4 280 10 274 11 266 7*245 654 561 3 280 8 273 9 266 5 246 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography