DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 65.7 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 430 - - - - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2661 - - 3264 - - - - - 931 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2124 - - 2764 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3206 - - 3808 - - - - - 1474 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1671 - - 2916 - - - - - 743 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 456 - - - - - 111 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 261 - - - - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -14 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 472 - - -928 - - - - - -112 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2735 - - 4736 - - - - - 1586 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 344 - - -1754 - - - - - -3201 ODpotential blCL - - - 2862 - - 5562 - - - - - 4675 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 73 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 190 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 65.7 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 46.7 - - - - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 63.2 - - - - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 45.9 - - - - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 430 - - - - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2661 - - 3264 - - - - - 931 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 0 - - - - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98601 15 136 10 090 16 106 98601 91143 21 132 15 137 9 080 91143 85370 19 131 13 128 9 085 85370 80611 12 123 16 096 16 093 80611 76537 12 088 12 093 16 087 76537 72926 10 079 13 142 14 085 72926 69637 9 114 16 151 13 100 69637 66598 8 147 15 147 4 137 66598 63769 11 154 9 149 8 171 63769 61018 6 166 2 239 7 159 61018 58146 4 166 4 272 5 183 58146 55162 5 050 5 263 4 279 55162 52308 12 340 4 275 10 283 52308 49745 21 324 10 317 14 281 49745 47445 24 312 13 308 16 284 47445 45353 25 310 14 313 14 294 45353 43435 29 307 22 321 14 291 43435 41660 30 299 26 314 9 284 41660 40003 25 304 23 317 16 338 40003 38452 26 322 24 313 25 335 38452 36995 30 317 23 311 27 328 36995 35595 34 304 23 314 25 341 35595 34183 33 296 17 316 26 347 34183 32730 24 302 14 354 30 360 32730 31244 21 318 23 009 34 004 31244 29715 22 320 27 010 46 014 29715 28137 18 334 26 017 55 012 28137 26504 18 019 40 034 58 007 26504 24801 24 032 46 038 54 004 24801 23022 23 029 37 036 45 004 23022 21170 20 031 32 038 35 014 21170 19239 19 037 27 038 27 017 19239 17222 16 033 19 028 20 012 17222 15160 12 036 12 010 14 360 15160 13170 13 037 7 012 11 356 13170 11360 15 026 8 034 10 006 11360 9752 14 012 12 035 8 018 9752 8325 11 003 10 038 4 029 8325 7055 5 011 7 036 2 002 7055 5927 3 057 3 044 4 320 5927 4928 1 068 0 154 7 311 4928 4049 2 233 3*242 12 304 4049 3274 6*241 5*248 14 296 3274 2582 7*244 7 257 13 286 2582 1974 7 245 8 261 14*268 1974 1468 7 246 8 263 14*253 1468 1081 7 249 9 264 14 250 1081 815 7 249 9 265 13 249 815 653 6 249 8 265 11 248 653 560 5 251 7 265 8 247 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography