DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 67.4 - - - - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 325 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1273 - - 1566 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 912 - - 1413 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1817 - - 2111 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 534 - - 420 - - - - - 1295 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 324 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 267 - - - - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 264 - - -892 - - - - - -275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1553 - - 3003 - - - - - 836 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 379 - - -7345 - - - - - -702 ODpotential blCL - - - 1438 - - 9456 - - - - - 1263 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 85 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 67.4 - - - - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 56.0 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 65.4 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 55.8 - - - - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 325 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1273 - - 1566 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 41 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98364 9 048 3 092 3 284 98364 91008 12 057 13 089 6 030 91008 85347 12 060 15 079 14 044 85347 80664 12 099 10 067 12 054 80664 76630 12 112 8 083 9 068 76630 73054 12 102 5 103 13 067 73054 69801 6 105 4 131 8 045 69801 66807 3 190 3 280 4 008 66807 64027 6 190 8 238 7 281 64027 61332 5 241 9 229 16 250 61332 58520 12 253 13 247 18 247 58520 55600 16 247 18 248 16 259 55600 52818 16 257 17 258 15 282 52818 50319 17 262 19 275 21 290 50319 48079 14 271 22 286 26 284 48079 46042 16 290 23 293 27 284 46042 44168 17 298 23 305 27 287 44168 42431 18 327 27 323 27 290 42431 40813 23 334 32 324 28 296 40813 39299 27 335 32 329 30 306 39299 37876 27 337 35 334 34 316 37876 36507 28 350 35 337 40 322 36507 35124 34 357 40 346 41 329 35124 33694 39 357 47 351 44 338 33694 32221 39 001 50 353 46 344 32221 30688 35 011 43 355 40 343 30688 29085 22 015 29 359 27 343 29085 27408 12 020 20 008 19 348 27408 25651 11 025 19 011 21 000 25651 23813 10 038 14 018 21 008 23813 21900 11 066 11 051 16 022 21900 19905 8 092 9 060 15 036 19905 17820 10 125 5 072 13 041 17820 15690 9 111 6 084 9 049 15690 13631 6 102 8 089 8 075 13631 11750 8 119 8 099 7 074 11750 10072 11 130 7 118 4 066 10072 8577 7 131 5 145 1 034 8577 7249 2 094 2 131 1 343 7249 6073 1 159 1 270 2 033 6073 5034 3 203 5 282 3 063 5034 4123 5 217 6 269 3 055 4123 3323 8 241 7 257 2 015 3323 2614 10 264 8*260 3 303 2614 1993 10*265 10*265 9 280 1993 1480 9*262 11 266 10 271 1480 1088 8 261 11 268 9 261 1088 818 8 259 10 269 7 255 818 654 7 259 10 269 6*253 654 561 6 259 8 269 4*252 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography