DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 83.0 - - 80.1 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 280 - - 84 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 645 - - 845 - - 581 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 859 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1190 - - 1390 - - 1126 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 394 - - 437 - - 350 - - 283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 195 - - 251 - - 149 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 266 - - 257 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5455 - - -5505 - - -4595 - - -1152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6645 - - 6895 - - 5721 - - 1713 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10670 - - -9525 - - -9438 - - -9025 ODpotential blCL - - - 11860 - - 10915 - - 10564 - - 9586 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 69 - - 53 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 83.0 - - 80.1 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 55.1 - - 57.2 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 81.1 - - 79.3 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 54.7 - - 56.9 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 280 - - 84 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 645 - - 845 - - 581 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97831 2 260 5 050 7 065 1 141 97831 90565 4 038 5 086 3 349 7 054 90565 84948 3 083 6 024 7 035 8 059 84948 80288 4 125 11 359 13 034 15 059 80288 76287 14 097 9 046 11 038 12 054 76287 72767 19 078 14 081 10 046 13 063 72767 69594 18 082 9 101 6 043 11 032 69594 66694 12 060 7 094 5 021 11 019 66694 64006 11 034 6 039 5 013 10 004 64006 61399 13 017 6 350 9 329 15 338 61399 58681 18 342 11 338 13 320 21 319 58681 55874 24 312 19 317 18 318 22 305 55874 53203 27 310 26 311 23 315 23 317 53203 50786 30 309 34 301 34 295 32 315 50786 48602 30 304 33 300 35 291 35 302 48602 46606 31 304 36 305 37 291 35 290 46606 44765 39 301 38 298 38 286 38 284 44765 43055 43 298 39 296 37 284 39 282 43055 41457 41 299 39 295 36 283 36 280 41457 39957 41 298 39 294 35 284 34 279 39957 38544 41 297 38 292 36 284 34 278 38544 37177 37 296 35 290 35 282 34 279 37177 35783 33 295 31 286 34 281 33 281 35783 34333 30 293 28 283 31 281 30 281 34333 32831 29 288 27 281 29 280 26 278 32831 31264 28 283 27 276 28 276 25 272 31264 29622 26 279 24 273 27 272 26 269 29622 27900 22 277 21 273 23 272 24 269 27900 26093 20 274 19 269 20 272 19 265 26093 24206 17 272 15 264 16 267 15 255 24206 22244 13 273 11 260 12 254 13 239 22244 20200 8 260 8 239 9 242 12 229 20200 18068 4 202 9 191 10 214 11 210 18068 15902 11 168 14 173 13 178 12 166 15902 13826 17 164 17 174 15 161 13 149 13826 11940 18 174 14 175 13 148 13 148 11940 10260 15 181 9 166 10 131 12 147 10260 8761 10 187 7 146 9 129 10 147 8761 7425 6 160 5 125 7 118 9 152 7425 6235 7 112 6 112 7 098 9 151 6235 5179 9 076 9 080 10 076 8 122 5179 4249 11 056 12 062 12 062 9 086 4249 3428 10 053 10 061 9 047 9 073 3428 2694 9 052 6 051 6 006 6 057 2694 2048 6 039 3 348 6 335 6 015 2048 1512 3*324 8*270 7*280 6 343 1512 1104 6*265 9*267 8*259 5 281 1104 825 6 263 9 266 8 256 6 246 825 657 6 263 8 266 8 256 5 238 657 561 5 263 7 266 6 256 3*238 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography