DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 72.2 - - 73.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 353 - - 159 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2027 - - 3642 - - 5057 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1641 - - 3000 - - 3716 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2571 - - 4187 - - 5602 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 721 - - 1818 - - 1786 - - 844 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 446 - - 385 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 315 - - 344 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 10 - - 30 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1901 - - -2650 - - -2853 - - -6123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4472 - - 6837 - - 8456 - - 6684 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10291 - - -9974 - - -13727 - - -16519 ODpotential blCL - - - 12862 - - 14161 - - 19329 - - 17080 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 54 - - 68 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 72.2 - - 73.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 44.0 - - 37.9 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 70.1 - - 72.2 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 42.9 - - 36.7 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 353 - - 159 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2027 - - 3642 - - 5057 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98152 8 290 9 339 12 316 13 301 98152 90706 4 316 8 307 10 316 10 352 90706 84965 7 326 8 298 13 334 7 019 84965 80197 3 022 8 277 12 316 7 002 80197 76099 8 037 4 270 4 274 8 304 76099 72498 9 332 9 309 3 314 5 296 72498 69237 8 333 11 297 11 291 8 331 69237 66218 15 311 14 284 17 292 13 320 66218 63404 17 295 15 288 17 299 14 306 63404 60680 19 305 16 288 18 303 16 313 60680 57855 23 302 20 310 21 317 18 316 57855 54943 29 310 31 316 28 320 29 332 54943 52185 37 316 35 311 35 312 37 312 52185 49721 41 318 38 322 38 323 33 320 49721 47560 44 332 46 336 61 347 47 349 47560 45646 62 345 72 345 78 342 55 344 45646 43890 88 341 80 341 67 348 54 349 43890 42249 92 327 81 346 70 358 55 347 42249 40710 74 334 84 348 73 355 57 346 40710 39256 66 351 79 346 70 351 58 344 39256 37879 76 000 74 351 68 350 58 342 37879 36540 78 360 75 355 64 347 57 337 36540 35174 73 355 72 349 61 339 56 331 35174 33751 69 353 70 339 60 331 54 329 33751 32273 59 343 70 334 61 330 52 331 32273 30725 61 335 70 333 60 332 52 331 30725 29095 65 335 67 333 60 332 53 330 29095 27383 65 337 66 333 60 329 55 329 27383 25587 61 340 65 330 61 324 57 328 25587 23709 58 338 63 330 59 323 59 326 23709 21752 57 340 63 333 61 325 57 324 21752 19713 50 338 64 337 63 329 53 324 19713 17596 42 328 53 336 56 333 47 328 17596 15448 34 324 41 330 47 334 43 332 15448 13383 29 327 34 327 42 335 41 336 13383 11513 25 332 31 330 37 333 36 343 11513 9866 22 340 29 335 32 332 30 351 9866 8419 19 346 28 342 24 342 27 004 8419 7143 19 348 24 351 17 001 28 012 7143 6011 21 348 19 358 17*000 30 011 6011 5007 21 352 14*352 17*357 29 009 5007 4120 20 359 12*341 17 354 29 007 4120 3336 17 355 12 330 17 349 27 003 3336 2633 10*332 11 316 16 343 25 358 2633 2011 8*303 11 308 15 338 22 350 2011 1493 8 296 11 302 14 333 18 340 1493 1095 8 291 11 298 13 331 14 325 1095 822 7 289 10 297 13 330 11 307 822 656 7 288 10 296 11 329 8 292 656 561 6 288 8 294 9 327 5*259 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography