DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.2 - - 67.0 - - 72.1 - - 67.4 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 46 - - 100 - - 35 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 708 - - 1605 - - 746 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1009 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1253 - - 2150 - - 1291 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 176 - - 1088 - - 1081 - - 1046 - - 373 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 141 - - 236 - - 133 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 126 - - 255 - - 273 - - 269 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3043 - - -3230 - - -3280 - - -3057 - - -1496 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3603 - - 4483 - - 5430 - - 4348 - - 2057 sfcLCL ODpotential -13034 - - -9793 - - -9031 - - -9631 - - -10032 ODpotential blCL 13594 - - 11046 - - 11181 - - 10922 - - 10593 blCL maxRH 42 - - 51 - - 48 - - 53 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.2 - - 67.0 - - 72.1 - - 67.4 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 49.6 - - 50.4 - - 50.4 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 66.5 - - 71.3 - - 67.1 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 48.2 - - 49.1 - - 49.2 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 46 - - 100 - - 35 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 708 - - 1605 - - 746 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 12 332 15 305 11 255 14 276 16 277 96219 89106 11 323 9 322 12 321 10 274 11 297 89106 83619 8 323 5 334 10 293 13 283 13 319 83619 79065 7 010 5 345 11 254 17 301 16 333 79065 75143 8 004 5 307 13 289 14 305 11 327 75143 71679 5 273 10 312 13 295 10 318 9 305 71679 68541 6 252 13 303 12 281 10 308 11 278 68541 65639 9 268 13 267 14 303 9 286 11 267 65639 62938 9 243 14 244 15 295 6 291 7 272 62938 60319 6 205 6 288 7 291 4 011 2 281 60319 57574 4 103 2 074 5 308 8 025 6 051 57574 54717 17 049 14 063 9 078 8 034 13 034 54717 52002 33 050 20 045 16 070 9 058 15 027 52002 49565 34 052 27 052 21 062 13 062 14 043 49565 47372 32 059 29 049 26 044 21 037 25 010 47372 45389 32 060 28 058 22 047 19 035 19 002 45389 43580 38 058 35 050 26 051 20 038 15 008 43580 41921 44 044 42 032 35 026 31 024 29 008 41921 40395 45 041 41 029 36 020 33 014 35 003 40395 38972 47 041 38 032 31 023 27 016 31 359 38972 37626 47 042 38 035 30 030 25 024 24 007 37626 36320 46 045 38 040 30 034 27 027 23 020 36320 34987 47 047 38 044 30 037 27 028 22 027 34987 33595 48 047 37 047 30 041 28 027 22 030 33595 32150 51 043 39 047 31 042 30 027 23 032 32150 30636 53 037 41 042 33 039 31 032 23 037 30636 29044 53 037 44 039 35 040 28 039 24 039 29044 27371 50 042 45 040 36 043 24 040 23 031 27371 25613 48 048 42 047 32 045 21 035 23 023 25613 23772 47 059 40 061 29 061 18 043 24 021 23772 21853 43 069 38 073 26 067 20 032 24 026 21853 19852 38 067 30 070 24 050 24 030 24 034 19852 17765 33 059 26 061 26 046 25 041 22 039 17765 15633 29 054 24 056 23 053 21 051 18 047 15633 13572 25 052 22 051 20 051 18 046 14 038 13572 11696 21 059 17 050 18 045 17 038 14 018 11696 10028 17 075 10 056 13 036 14 034 15 016 10028 8546 15 092 5 052 6 021 8 026 13 022 8546 7231 13 099 1 291 6 320 7 318 10 012 7231 6068 11 107 8 236 9 269 11 273 8 348 6068 5042 9 135 12 231 12 248 11 255 6 328 5042 4140 5 181 10 239 12 250 9 252 5 313 4140 3345 3 254 7 264 10 254 7 267 4 323 3345 2636 4 301 6 284 6*258 7 290 5 334 2636 2010 3 307 3 269 6*266 7 288 6 322 2010 1489 0 221 2*244 6 271 7*276 6 296 1489 1092 3 167 2*243 6 274 7*270 7 269 1092 819 5 152 2 255 5 276 7 269 7 249 819 655 5 134 2 263 5 279 6 268 6*239 655 561 4*126 1 267 4 280 5 268 3*233 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography