DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.3 - - 70.4 - - 76.6 - - 71.9 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 277 - - 436 - - 275 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1055 - - 1203 - - 963 - - 355 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1009 - - 1217 - - 941 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1600 - - 1748 - - 1508 - - 900 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 715 - - 306 - - 412 - - 365 - - 461 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 270 - - 327 - - 261 - - 83 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 090 - - 279 - - 274 - - 273 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1400 - - -2474 - - -1375 - - -586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 561 - - 3000 - - 4222 - - 2883 - - 1486 sfcLCL ODpotential -75 - - -11971 - - -11655 - - -11424 - - -13237 ODpotential blCL 636 - - 13571 - - 13403 - - 12932 - - 14137 blCL maxRH 100 - - 78 - - 72 - - 86 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.3 - - 70.4 - - 76.6 - - 71.9 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.8 - - 59.1 - - 60.1 - - 61.0 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.0 - - 68.8 - - 74.1 - - 70.1 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.8 - - 58.6 - - 59.7 - - 60.8 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 277 - - 436 - - 275 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1055 - - 1203 - - 963 - - 355 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 11 - - 0 - - 43 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99363 41 105 33 106 34 106 30 114 35 103 99363 91866 38 110 31 112 32 114 30 112 31 104 91866 86077 31 106 35 116 29 111 33 107 33 107 86077 81282 30 099 30 114 25 121 27 099 36 099 81282 77156 22 098 24 110 25 118 21 104 30 098 77156 73516 18 115 18 103 21 109 20 126 21 098 73516 70236 19 117 15 106 18 117 19 123 14 106 70236 67238 19 130 11 127 15 115 16 110 14 124 67238 64471 19 120 15 146 10 130 13 116 14 128 64471 61801 13 077 20 138 10 166 6 153 8 124 61801 59035 5 040 10 123 12 182 8 203 2 174 59035 56199 7 168 4 214 9 203 8 224 3 279 56199 53512 7 209 4 212 8 200 9 218 8 230 53512 51101 9 262 2 233 8 181 13 204 14 215 51101 48938 20 277 9 276 6 240 15 221 16 230 48938 46968 28 270 20 270 16 280 15 255 16 254 46968 45149 34 267 27 267 24 280 19 271 19 267 45149 43456 37 264 29 264 29 274 24 272 23 269 43456 41867 35 263 29 261 29 269 26 270 23 266 41867 40369 34 262 28 260 28 267 27 267 23 266 40369 38952 35 260 28 260 29 266 28 265 23 266 38952 37579 36 261 28 262 29 264 28 263 23 263 37579 36180 32 263 25 261 27 262 28 260 22 262 36180 34726 25 267 20 262 21 257 24 259 20 260 34726 33217 21 281 18 278 14 254 17 253 16 259 33217 31639 21 278 15 287 12 249 12 242 12 256 31639 29976 20 271 13 280 10 249 11 243 11 243 29976 28232 18 269 9 271 7 236 8 236 11 226 28232 26408 11 259 6 262 5 204 6 207 11 212 26408 24504 6 236 4 230 6 183 5 168 8 196 24504 22523 7 212 7 211 6 188 7 147 7 166 22523 20458 8 185 10 208 10 213 5 153 9 150 20458 18309 8 181 13 206 17 209 11 210 7 188 18309 16115 7 202 13 208 18 211 17 209 14 204 16115 13994 8 225 14 219 19 220 19 213 17 205 13994 12057 10 233 16 225 19 221 20 219 17 218 12057 10330 11 230 17 228 18 223 17 221 16 226 10330 8793 11 215 15 222 15 222 14 220 13 225 8793 7425 10 196 13 210 14 212 12 213 11 214 7425 6212 11 180 13 196 13 203 11 196 11 196 6212 5140 14 166 13 182 12 192 12 174 13 184 5140 4200 15 160 14 170 14 177 13 166 12 180 4200 3376 13 167 13 165 12 170 7 171 6 214 3376 2648 9 199 9 174 8 186 4 247 9 271 2648 2012 9 245 4*238 8*266 11*277 13 277 2012 1488 8 265 6*276 10*273 12*274 12 273 1488 1091 4 282 6 279 11 274 12 272 11*262 1091 820 1 054 6 281 11 274 11 272 10*259 820 655 1*090 6 280 10 275 11 271 9 260 655 561 1*090 5 281 9 275 9 271 6 259 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography