DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.2 - - 73.6 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 407 - - 178 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3277 - - 2802 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2754 - - 2089 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3822 - - 3347 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1149 - - 1738 - - 1832 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 446 - - 322 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 289 - - 300 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2624 - - -3111 - - -2894 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6446 - - 6458 - - 3455 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11865 - - -12338 - - -14121 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15687 - - 15685 - - 14682 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - 56 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.2 - - 73.6 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.9 - - 47.3 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.9 - - 72.4 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.5 - - 47.0 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 407 - - 178 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3277 - - 2802 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98819 10 148 3 193 1 055 98819 91368 5 159 2 133 3 203 91368 85609 4 188 5 159 1 185 85609 80829 6 187 8 166 3 151 80829 76709 6 232 2 151 1 138 76709 73086 11 224 2 251 1 278 73086 69823 6 238 4 276 2 052 69823 66829 5 179 4 243 3 319 66829 64065 5 296 6 336 2 321 64065 61410 17 265 19 297 12 320 61410 58662 14 246 20 250 19 273 58662 55813 18 268 24 262 24 261 55813 53093 36 269 36 267 37 267 53093 50656 51 262 50 267 47 270 50656 48478 59 268 61 273 60 275 48478 46494 68 271 68 271 63 272 46494 44656 72 271 69 271 66 274 44656 42945 74 273 70 273 71 276 42945 41345 73 273 72 273 74 277 41345 39843 68 268 70 272 72 277 39843 38433 65 262 64 270 68 277 38433 37080 63 261 57 269 63 275 37080 35709 58 264 54 271 59 273 35709 34282 53 264 52 275 56 269 34282 32797 52 262 52 278 53 267 32797 31238 52 263 51 280 51 267 31238 29593 49 267 50 277 50 269 29593 27862 48 270 50 273 49 276 27862 26044 48 271 49 273 47 278 26044 24144 48 272 47 277 43 280 24144 22166 48 275 45 282 40 288 22166 20106 46 277 38 286 35 291 20106 17960 37 281 31 291 29 293 17960 15775 29 279 26 292 24 292 15775 13671 28 277 22 291 21 287 13671 11757 26 282 20 301 19 297 11757 10060 21 286 17 314 16 320 10060 8556 15 292 12 323 12 341 8556 7227 10 303 7 334 8 339 7227 6056 8 312 7 341 7 337 6056 5028 9 318 9 340 6 338 5028 4127 10*315 10 333 7 327 4127 3336 10*307 11*326 9 330 3336 2631 11 298 11*315 13 338 2631 2009 12 288 11 305 15 336 2009 1491 12 284 12 298 14 329 1491 1094 12 281 11 295 12 315 1094 821 11 279 11 293 9 296 821 656 11 278 10 292 7*282 656 561 9 278 8 291 4*263 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography