DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 70.0 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 394 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1377 - - 1683 - - - - - 221 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1211 - - 1550 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1921 - - 2228 - - - - - 765 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 474 - - 704 - - - - - 1089 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 356 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 255 - - - - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2101 - - -3166 - - - - - -2022 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4022 - - 5395 - - - - - 2787 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11669 - - -10657 - - - - - -11633 ODpotential blCL - - - 13590 - - 12885 - - - - - 12398 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 60 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 70.0 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.4 - - - - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 67.9 - - - - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 47.4 - - - - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 394 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1377 - - 1683 - - - - - 221 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98663 15 109 8 098 12 072 98663 91162 11 115 11 122 7 096 91162 85392 10 135 9 116 12 122 85392 80618 14 150 11 158 8 095 80618 76492 15 126 12 166 10 119 76492 72857 10 130 7 161 8 108 72857 69594 4 118 6 138 9 097 69594 66607 3 300 5 217 6 013 66607 63843 9 250 7 260 11 307 63843 61179 13 238 12 273 10 278 61179 58397 23 260 20 262 17 266 58397 55493 32 274 30 263 30 269 55493 52703 44 273 44 269 40 272 52703 50179 55 270 53 273 50 267 50179 47918 59 270 57 274 56 261 47918 45876 59 272 62 272 58 262 45876 44012 63 276 67 272 60 266 44012 42296 68 279 70 272 62 270 42296 40700 71 277 71 270 68 271 40700 39210 71 273 72 268 72 269 39210 37810 69 270 72 267 73 267 37810 36459 70 269 73 266 72 267 36459 35088 71 268 68 264 70 265 35088 33663 68 266 63 261 66 260 33663 32187 64 264 61 260 66 259 32187 30644 61 265 59 260 66 262 30644 29026 58 268 57 261 60 265 29026 27335 53 268 54 261 52 266 27335 25570 47 266 47 260 42 268 25570 23728 37 266 40 260 39 265 23728 21810 34 266 38 259 37 265 21810 19809 34 262 40 259 35 267 19809 17718 34 268 38 262 32 271 17718 15581 28 272 31 269 27 273 15581 13520 21 273 24 269 22 274 13520 11644 17 282 21 264 18 275 11644 9974 15 293 20 268 17 277 9974 8492 15 306 20 278 17 285 8492 7177 14 316 19 292 18 298 7177 6013 12 321 16 302 19 306 6013 4989 12 320 14 307 20 307 4989 4093 12 316 13 311 19 310 4093 3305 11 312 11 307 18 318 3305 2605 9 291 11*284 16 318 2605 1989 11*256 13*261 14 300 1989 1477 12*252 14 256 15 274 1477 1086 12 251 14 254 15 259 1086 817 11 250 14 252 14*253 817 654 10 250 13 252 12*250 654 560 8 250 10 251 8 247 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography