DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.1 - - 58.7 - - 64.5 - - 63.7 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 99 - - 130 - - 52 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1149 - - 2347 - - 1527 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1677 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1694 - - 2892 - - 2071 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 192 - - 1201 - - 1153 - - 2192 - - 1406 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 203 - - 286 - - 185 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 37 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 330 - - 314 - - 286 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -442 - - -290 - - -2 - - -247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 560 - - 2136 - - 3182 - - 2073 - - 808 sfcLCL ODpotential -8970 - - -5872 - - -4969 - - -1128 - - -1747 ODpotential blCL 9530 - - 7566 - - 7861 - - 3199 - - 2308 blCL maxRH 99 - - 82 - - 78 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.1 - - 58.7 - - 64.5 - - 63.7 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 51.4 - - 52.6 - - 56.6 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 57.9 - - 63.5 - - 63.3 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.3 - - 50.2 - - 51.2 - - 55.5 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 99 - - 130 - - 52 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1149 - - 2347 - - 1527 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 30 - - 13 - - 42 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96200 6 315 11 266 17 276 14 304 12 318 96200 89122 13 328 7 340 11 286 11 328 11 336 89122 83694 12 333 14 006 7 333 12 339 10 350 83694 79201 10 320 12 355 14 342 12 003 12 014 79201 75347 4 010 6 004 10 287 9 347 13 011 75347 71930 8 338 6 345 10 263 9 292 12 338 71930 68812 14 288 11 277 16 273 15 285 13 302 68812 65928 19 275 17 277 20 269 21 278 17 277 65928 63237 23 276 21 266 25 266 29 273 29 272 63237 60616 32 269 30 266 37 263 41 263 42 260 60616 57866 39 264 41 261 41 263 43 259 43 257 57866 54985 41 267 46 264 44 265 47 263 47 263 54985 52214 51 275 50 270 52 266 54 265 55 263 52214 49702 56 270 57 269 60 262 61 264 55 264 49702 47434 56 267 58 268 65 264 58 265 58 269 47434 45378 56 272 60 272 63 269 60 270 56 268 45378 43507 56 277 58 273 60 269 56 269 51 268 43507 41797 56 276 52 275 50 270 48 273 44 275 41797 40224 47 285 46 280 47 275 41 273 43 282 40224 38770 39 291 38 280 45 276 39 276 40 281 38770 37419 35 295 34 280 39 277 36 275 35 280 37419 36120 37 293 32 284 33 279 25 285 32 286 36120 34797 37 293 28 289 25 282 25 297 32 292 34797 33421 38 291 26 291 23 288 23 295 30 295 33421 31990 37 292 27 284 23 282 23 293 29 300 31990 30489 39 304 26 287 22 280 23 290 26 298 30489 28905 34 300 22 296 18 289 20 281 21 293 28905 27237 32 299 19 301 16 305 13 289 16 286 27237 25484 29 299 20 305 16 312 10 305 12 282 25484 23652 27 298 20 307 17 307 11 299 15 289 23652 21745 23 312 19 312 19 304 15 293 17 302 21745 19753 20 324 16 315 19 308 16 298 16 300 19753 17670 19 336 15 325 18 313 15 309 14 296 17670 15535 20 342 15 330 14 327 12 326 10 309 15535 13471 17 341 12 340 12 341 7 338 5 309 13471 11593 14 341 9 349 7 353 4 335 4 279 11593 9929 10 350 5 001 3 041 0 261 5 251 9929 8457 7 015 2 077 3 127 2 193 6 230 8457 7155 8 044 4 126 4 154 2 212 5 221 7155 6006 9 049 6 128 5 152 2 208 3 216 6006 4992 8 044 6 120 6 139 1 110 2 114 4992 4102 6 014 4 092 4 106 3 036 4 066 4102 3316 8 341 4 029 3*083 4 010 4 020 3316 2615 11 336 5 003 1*031 5*329 6 000 2615 1997 12 334 4*357 1 327 7*297 9 348 1997 1483 10 329 3*341 2 313 8 286 10 335 1483 1089 6 315 2 330 2 299 8 284 7 310 1089 819 3 257 2 326 2 298 8 282 6 274 819 654 3 191 2 321 2 298 7 281 5*253 654 561 2*192 2 319 2 297 6 280 4*238 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography