DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 79.4 - - 79.7 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 442 - - 266 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1405 - - 1753 - - 1451 - - 312 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 1624 - - 1277 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1950 - - 2298 - - 1996 - - 858 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 411 - - 701 - - 980 - - 839 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 373 - - 296 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 269 - - 265 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2080 - - -3783 - - -3839 - - -2694 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4030 - - 6082 - - 5835 - - 3552 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13034 - - -12967 - - -12899 - - -13769 ODpotential blCL - - - 14984 - - 15265 - - 14895 - - 14627 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 54 - - 53 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 79.4 - - 79.7 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 54.9 - - 56.3 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 76.8 - - 78.0 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 54.4 - - 55.9 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 442 - - 266 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1405 - - 1753 - - 1451 - - 312 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99410 43 104 41 110 38 107 35 105 99410 91907 27 106 34 105 31 099 37 094 91907 86153 29 120 33 112 29 103 31 094 86153 81386 35 117 33 124 28 113 26 107 81386 77257 30 109 30 119 25 125 25 105 77257 73593 22 099 22 100 25 121 22 106 73593 70294 18 115 20 106 24 114 21 111 70294 67286 21 128 16 120 18 109 19 126 67286 64509 18 136 20 151 13 134 18 123 64509 61829 17 149 19 155 13 159 12 134 61829 59048 13 163 16 179 14 184 9 158 59048 56183 9 184 19 192 21 197 12 202 56183 53472 17 209 23 200 25 210 22 204 53472 51049 26 227 26 210 32 216 32 205 51049 48889 38 224 38 223 40 222 37 219 48889 46924 42 224 44 224 45 220 44 221 46924 45112 47 228 50 226 49 225 48 223 45112 43424 51 223 54 222 54 223 51 226 43424 41841 52 220 54 218 53 220 51 223 41841 40349 47 226 49 221 51 219 53 217 40349 38940 45 234 46 225 49 222 51 219 38940 37571 43 231 47 226 49 224 49 221 37571 36172 45 226 49 222 49 223 48 223 36172 34714 47 221 49 222 46 228 45 229 34714 33203 47 230 45 229 40 233 40 235 33203 31625 41 235 39 234 34 227 34 231 31625 29964 35 232 34 227 32 216 31 222 29964 28222 34 230 34 220 34 213 29 217 28222 26395 31 233 32 222 31 217 28 210 26395 24489 27 235 27 225 26 222 25 211 24489 22508 22 237 22 228 20 226 21 218 22508 20443 19 236 19 232 16 225 16 220 20443 18288 16 232 17 233 14 225 14 217 18288 16085 17 217 19 223 15 222 15 216 16085 13957 16 214 19 219 17 225 15 220 13957 12018 10 217 15 218 14 231 12 227 12018 10292 7 217 10 208 9 224 7 219 10292 8759 5 216 7 202 7 205 5 206 8759 7399 3 217 4 206 5 193 5 221 7399 6196 2 237 2 245 3 201 4 254 6196 5136 2 266 2 293 1 276 4 280 5136 4206 1 266 3 323 5 342 5 318 4206 3391 3 338 8 329 10 334 9 327 3391 2668 7 328 8*314 10 320 11 325 2668 2033 6*296 10*279 10*285 11 316 2033 1506 7*271 11 270 11*270 10 291 1506 1102 7 268 11 267 11 265 9*267 1102 826 7 267 11 265 11 264 9*255 826 658 7 266 10 264 10 262 8 252 658 562 6 266 9 264 9 261 6 249 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography