DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 75.3 - - 75.9 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 174 - - 51 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 772 - - 2063 - - 1139 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1591 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1317 - - 2609 - - 1685 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 542 - - 1109 - - 2237 - - 330 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 297 - - 167 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 17 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 340 - - 335 - - 310 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3439 - - -3713 - - -4417 - - -2815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4756 - - 6323 - - 6102 - - 3376 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11599 - - -9840 - - -10147 - - -10968 ODpotential blCL - - - 12916 - - 12449 - - 11832 - - 11529 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 47 - - 45 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 75.3 - - 75.9 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 49.8 - - 51.3 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 74.1 - - 75.5 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 48.5 - - 50.2 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 174 - - 51 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 772 - - 2063 - - 1139 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 39 284 29 280 36 255 42 280 96301 89176 27 275 33 280 26 281 30 288 89176 83718 15 262 28 258 28 287 27 297 83718 79186 12 279 21 266 23 286 20 277 79186 75285 13 254 20 273 20 291 16 261 75285 71847 11 271 19 263 17 276 15 276 71847 68715 14 273 15 248 15 245 15 267 68715 65822 14 269 14 241 17 235 16 267 65822 63148 21 258 16 266 19 247 19 263 63148 60576 27 245 23 270 22 264 19 256 60576 57902 30 245 31 259 29 273 20 264 57902 55112 33 244 36 247 37 258 31 260 55112 52438 34 243 37 244 42 251 39 254 52438 50015 36 247 39 246 44 250 43 253 50015 47821 40 253 42 250 45 249 44 255 47821 45808 48 258 46 253 48 248 46 253 45808 43953 53 248 52 245 50 244 48 247 43953 42249 54 242 55 237 53 236 50 239 42249 40685 58 241 57 239 54 235 53 231 40685 39237 58 239 60 238 60 235 58 231 39237 37877 58 239 58 235 57 233 59 232 37877 36554 59 237 54 238 53 233 58 232 36554 35201 60 235 54 238 52 235 53 235 35201 33791 55 238 53 239 49 236 47 236 33791 32328 53 239 50 238 47 235 47 234 32328 30801 50 240 49 236 47 234 47 231 30801 29198 47 240 47 237 44 237 44 232 29198 27516 42 241 44 239 39 238 39 234 27516 25750 38 247 40 240 34 238 31 233 25750 23907 36 251 36 243 30 241 27 233 23907 21989 38 250 34 248 27 247 23 240 21989 19991 31 261 24 261 18 257 17 240 19991 17901 25 272 19 266 15 243 17 223 17901 15761 17 281 16 263 15 240 16 226 15761 13691 11 294 12 266 10 245 11 225 13691 11805 9 300 9 284 6 295 3 277 11805 10125 7 315 7 308 6 334 4 011 10125 8633 7 345 6 341 5 360 5 032 8633 7306 8 002 6 015 5 026 5 041 7306 6130 9 010 6 028 4 040 4 034 6130 5091 9 018 6 033 6 050 5 019 5091 4179 9 021 8 044 9 053 8 035 4179 3377 9 021 7 049 8 045 10 044 3377 2661 10 017 4*032 6 019 9 038 2661 2029 10 008 3*355 5*347 11 028 2029 1503 7*001 3 338 5*319 10 011 1503 1100 2*342 3 330 5 310 7 349 1100 824 2 340 3 327 5 306 4 295 824 657 2 338 3 324 5 304 4 240 657 561 2 339 3 322 4 303 4*223 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography