DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 74.8 - - 79.1 - - 76.3 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 74 - - 317 - - 165 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 611 - - 1132 - - 851 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 1106 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1157 - - 1677 - - 1396 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 403 - - 438 - - 423 - - 519 - - 647 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 150 - - 292 - - 213 - - 17 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 297 - - 278 - - 272 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2536 - - -2710 - - -3141 - - -3045 - - -2630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3097 - - 3868 - - 4818 - - 4442 - - 3192 sfcLCL ODpotential -10814 - - -8969 - - -8166 - - -9231 - - -10445 ODpotential blCL 11375 - - 10126 - - 9843 - - 10627 - - 11007 blCL maxRH 58 - - 94 - - 96 - - 98 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 90 - - 60 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 74.8 - - 79.1 - - 76.3 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.0 - - 60.0 - - 60.2 - - 59.0 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.7 - - 74.2 - - 77.2 - - 75.0 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.0 - - 59.2 - - 59.4 - - 58.6 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 74 - - 317 - - 165 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 611 - - 1132 - - 851 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 78 - - 82 - - 93 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99273 46 097 38 117 32 106 35 102 43 096 99273 91784 45 102 32 105 31 109 33 112 30 106 91784 86026 34 098 32 101 30 116 31 113 32 106 86026 81240 23 098 24 097 26 109 26 106 33 098 81240 77118 19 103 23 108 24 107 21 096 26 099 77118 73493 19 109 20 120 20 109 17 099 17 093 73493 70221 18 103 13 109 20 113 18 107 13 106 70221 67217 11 116 11 111 17 107 21 118 17 120 67217 64435 13 125 17 131 14 135 14 139 13 132 64435 61744 11 148 24 142 18 176 13 175 5 163 61744 58940 18 169 29 153 25 165 18 185 8 194 58940 56036 24 167 29 167 27 174 23 185 16 181 56036 53282 29 167 34 185 30 188 28 197 22 188 53282 50832 20 175 40 176 36 192 36 201 29 201 50832 48654 28 208 33 166 41 185 45 194 41 202 48654 46675 44 211 37 190 45 179 51 185 49 195 46675 44857 53 202 50 198 47 184 51 183 49 189 44857 43171 53 199 56 195 52 193 51 191 50 190 43171 41596 54 201 57 190 56 194 54 197 50 188 41596 40110 56 201 57 189 58 192 53 196 49 187 40110 38701 55 201 57 191 59 190 54 190 48 185 38701 37331 56 198 57 191 61 190 62 184 49 179 37331 35934 57 196 59 189 66 189 66 180 52 178 35934 34482 59 198 63 193 68 188 68 176 56 176 34482 32976 59 201 60 197 62 187 66 183 60 175 32976 31400 56 201 55 195 56 185 58 187 59 180 31400 29743 50 203 47 192 53 184 53 182 52 184 29743 28005 40 200 41 189 48 186 51 181 48 185 28005 26187 34 189 40 185 41 187 45 182 39 187 26187 24295 32 182 37 183 35 184 35 183 31 186 24295 22331 26 182 30 188 33 182 27 184 25 195 22331 20288 21 175 27 195 27 189 24 185 23 203 20288 18162 20 164 26 201 24 204 22 197 18 207 18162 15991 10 149 22 198 19 206 16 213 11 205 15991 13898 3 162 12 178 11 188 8 222 7 217 13898 11991 3 300 6 120 9 154 2 265 4 202 11991 10291 1 317 5 102 8 133 1 303 3 156 10291 8777 1 105 4 105 5 123 2 110 5 139 8777 7429 1 138 2 156 2 094 3 115 6 128 7429 6231 2 202 4 258 3 346 4 118 6 126 6231 5168 4 224 5 261 5 332 4 126 5 129 5168 4234 6 226 5 238 3 315 3 132 2 128 4234 3410 5 217 4 211 3 284 0 314 1 346 3410 2677 5 209 4 197 4 290 3 307 4 315 2677 2034 5 217 2 210 9*284 9 276 8 290 2034 1503 4 247 3*296 11*279 11*272 10 277 1503 1100 5 279 4*300 11 278 11*272 7 270 1100 824 4 299 4 296 11 277 11 272 4 261 824 657 2 317 4 297 11 277 11 272 4*261 657 562 2*307 4 297 9 277 8 273 3*260 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography