DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 57.6 - - 56.4 - - 61.1 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 112 - - 59 - - 125 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 335 - - 2190 - - 1462 - - 2219 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1428 - - 544 - - 1513 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 878 - - 2734 - - 2006 - - 2763 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2156 - - 2222 - - 1678 - - 2138 - - 2591 Hgt.Variab. W* 84 - - 259 - - 183 - - 269 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 284 - - 275 - - 280 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -292 - - 545 - - 408 - - -208 - - -750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1170 - - 2189 - - 1599 - - 2971 - - 1311 sfcLCL ODpotential -804 - - 353 - - 205 - - -722 - - -1316 ODpotential blCL 1682 - - 2381 - - 1801 - - 3485 - - 1877 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 57.6 - - 56.4 - - 61.1 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.0 - - 50.0 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 56.7 - - 55.7 - - 60.1 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.7 - - 49.1 - - 50.8 - - 49.3 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 112 - - 59 - - 125 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 335 - - 2190 - - 1462 - - 2219 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 102 - - 88 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97964 15 253 18 248 21 258 29 262 23 287 97964 90455 17 292 11 231 18 257 25 280 16 277 90455 84701 19 291 11 279 12 252 19 283 12 287 84701 79953 15 275 17 279 11 277 13 288 12 288 79953 75875 13 272 19 264 11 284 13 302 14 287 75875 72283 15 278 14 275 11 278 17 302 16 294 72283 69041 17 289 16 288 14 280 20 292 19 300 69041 66057 21 289 19 288 20 277 23 284 22 295 66057 63276 21 282 20 286 23 275 24 279 22 293 63276 60565 20 282 19 283 24 279 24 287 24 304 60565 57731 20 285 15 288 20 278 25 282 26 292 57731 54790 21 293 16 308 13 278 17 277 20 278 54790 51985 21 295 19 310 11 307 13 310 12 317 51985 49471 18 299 16 310 14 334 20 341 17 350 49471 47236 15 313 13 329 14 351 17 358 25 011 47236 45228 10 348 13 010 23 008 28 010 32 022 45228 43399 20 016 20 021 23 018 30 028 36 024 43399 41710 20 010 25 041 33 046 35 046 40 043 41710 40146 23 047 37 052 49 052 48 054 53 055 40146 38693 38 059 50 058 57 056 57 055 61 055 38693 37333 57 064 61 064 62 060 61 060 60 055 37333 36023 74 062 72 067 68 064 68 065 60 057 36023 34691 75 058 77 067 72 067 72 066 61 058 34691 33305 70 058 75 065 72 068 72 066 62 056 33305 31864 68 058 69 063 67 065 70 066 60 053 31864 30355 68 055 60 058 61 063 67 066 56 052 30355 28766 66 054 54 052 54 060 64 067 53 053 28766 27096 60 053 53 053 45 054 58 068 51 057 27096 25343 49 050 50 054 39 044 46 063 47 062 25343 23510 45 046 43 050 35 037 39 050 42 058 23510 21600 43 046 36 047 34 033 37 039 39 050 21600 19610 41 050 35 042 36 030 37 035 36 044 19610 17535 37 048 36 035 36 025 37 033 34 043 17535 15419 28 046 36 034 36 025 35 031 34 047 15419 13381 22 045 34 033 35 028 30 031 32 052 13381 11526 22 030 30 030 30 032 28 039 26 056 11526 9876 18 032 22 031 24 035 25 049 19 059 9876 8407 10 020 13 038 18 035 22 057 15 058 8407 7102 8 332 8 024 11 028 14 056 10 058 7102 5949 10 311 9 351 7 007 9 030 7 047 5949 4939 10 311 9 325 7 342 7 005 7 028 4939 4058 10 311 9 314 8 329 6 353 6 359 4058 3283 9 310 9*304 8 313 5*326 7 333 3283 2592 9 312 9*295 8*293 8*291 9 311 2592 1982 9 314 9 285 8*278 9 281 10 297 1982 1473 8 306 9 282 8 276 10 278 11 283 1473 1084 6*288 9 280 8 274 10 277 10 277 1084 816 5*270 8 280 8 273 9 276 9 273 816 654 4 261 8 279 7 272 9 275 8*270 654 561 3 257 6 279 6 271 7 275 5*268 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography