DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.8 - - 73.6 - - 74.9 - - 68.7 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 288 - - 454 - - 311 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 965 - - 1034 - - 895 - - 284 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 958 - - 1106 - - 925 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1510 - - 1580 - - 1440 - - 829 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 364 - - 246 - - 266 - - 284 - - 614 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 266 - - 316 - - 265 - - 87 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 259 - - 260 - - 253 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1516 - - -3686 - - -4466 - - -2257 - - -527 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2077 - - 5196 - - 6047 - - 3697 - - 1356 sfcLCL ODpotential -11931 - - -11410 - - -11866 - - -10916 - - -11347 ODpotential blCL 12492 - - 12920 - - 13446 - - 12356 - - 12176 blCL maxRH 77 - - 54 - - 50 - - 71 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.8 - - 73.6 - - 74.9 - - 68.7 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.6 - - 53.2 - - 50.9 - - 54.6 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.5 - - 71.7 - - 72.4 - - 66.9 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.3 - - 52.4 - - 50.3 - - 54.2 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 288 - - 454 - - 311 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 965 - - 1034 - - 895 - - 284 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99104 42 110 34 120 30 092 36 098 43 089 99104 91720 40 107 35 109 35 111 37 107 32 106 91720 86009 36 100 34 104 34 099 33 109 27 109 86009 81238 28 101 26 093 30 104 27 095 26 115 81238 77126 25 106 21 105 21 107 23 088 22 093 77126 73498 22 100 19 114 16 104 18 107 20 075 73498 70217 16 096 14 101 10 120 9 112 11 064 70217 67212 5 056 11 088 9 129 4 092 6 089 67212 64438 2 139 6 078 4 113 2 093 4 073 64438 61768 1 028 5 007 3 099 4 183 4 356 61768 59007 4 174 5 248 4 239 2 263 3 305 59007 56156 2 097 7 210 12 232 9 287 6 326 56156 53428 8 299 4 258 14 224 19 248 14 246 53428 50978 17 276 12 277 13 238 20 247 22 242 50978 48794 21 271 19 265 20 243 27 248 30 245 48794 46801 25 265 23 263 22 254 26 250 31 248 46801 44947 32 266 28 270 26 269 34 258 42 256 44947 43209 42 264 37 264 35 263 39 251 46 249 43209 41574 46 253 48 252 47 252 44 247 49 250 41574 40037 52 251 56 247 51 249 55 256 57 257 40037 38593 60 249 60 247 60 256 57 256 58 257 38593 37204 65 249 65 248 64 251 57 252 59 254 37204 35798 67 248 67 247 64 248 61 249 61 253 35798 34339 66 248 65 247 64 246 66 249 64 254 34339 32830 62 250 63 248 67 248 70 251 66 256 32830 31252 57 252 56 249 63 252 72 254 62 258 31252 29593 49 249 51 247 53 247 64 255 55 257 29593 27856 47 244 49 242 50 241 57 251 53 256 27856 26039 46 241 50 238 54 238 53 244 54 253 26039 24140 45 236 52 236 58 236 58 241 52 250 24140 22169 41 235 49 231 55 238 57 244 48 250 22169 20126 33 229 42 225 46 235 49 246 44 253 20126 18003 26 217 34 217 39 228 44 243 42 253 18003 15837 22 214 31 215 35 222 40 233 38 245 15837 13747 20 213 27 213 33 218 36 225 37 236 13747 11844 20 208 24 207 31 210 33 219 35 232 11844 10152 19 208 23 203 30 201 30 212 31 233 10152 8648 16 206 21 198 27 196 28 206 27 234 8648 7311 10 195 17 192 24 197 25 208 24 240 7311 6126 7 188 14 192 20 202 22 217 22 252 6126 5079 5 201 11 204 16 216 20 238 23 267 5079 4159 3 232 8 223 13 239 19 265 22 282 4159 3350 4 284 6 247 13 265 18 287 19 296 3350 2632 6 303 6 272 14 277 16 289 15 302 2632 2002 7 305 7*267 14*270 16 274 13 287 2002 1483 6 286 9*258 14*261 15*257 14 259 1483 1089 5 255 9 259 14 259 15*254 14*246 1089 819 5 237 9 259 14 259 15 253 13*243 819 655 3*214 9 260 13 259 13 253 12 243 655 561 2*215 7 260 10 259 10 252 8 242 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography