DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 75.7 - - 75.2 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 85 - - 19 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 415 - - 1526 - - 909 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 960 - - 2071 - - 1454 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 857 - - 1141 - - 1866 - - 305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 221 - - 124 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 057 - - 304 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4813 - - -4050 - - -3146 - - -1504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5773 - - 6121 - - 4601 - - 2065 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12859 - - -10715 - - -8185 - - -8994 ODpotential blCL - - - 13819 - - 12786 - - 9639 - - 9555 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 43 - - 52 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 75.7 - - 75.2 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.2 - - 51.3 - - 57.3 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 74.9 - - 75.2 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 50.0 - - 56.1 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 85 - - 19 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 415 - - 1526 - - 909 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96368 18 312 15 301 19 296 9 328 96368 89224 6 320 11 297 12 350 6 059 89224 83731 11 012 3 295 10 329 13 016 83731 79190 13 339 5 331 8 310 17 343 79190 75297 13 341 13 317 14 313 19 324 75297 71855 22 335 23 330 21 337 18 324 71855 68742 21 321 27 327 27 338 23 346 68742 65885 22 315 26 322 29 328 28 345 65885 63234 23 315 23 320 25 319 27 321 63234 60668 25 318 24 318 25 316 28 309 60668 57980 30 315 28 319 29 322 30 311 57980 55173 33 303 34 308 35 319 33 312 55173 52470 34 299 37 298 36 311 35 311 52470 50018 32 293 37 294 37 306 39 304 50018 47817 30 296 35 288 39 294 40 300 47817 45824 33 310 32 292 35 286 38 294 45824 44007 36 315 32 305 34 294 37 301 44007 42342 42 306 39 309 35 298 41 297 42342 40802 44 303 41 306 37 298 37 296 40802 39361 48 296 43 302 41 303 47 302 39361 38004 47 293 47 298 50 303 55 303 38004 36690 45 296 48 292 55 303 54 299 36690 35350 39 302 43 288 54 301 51 297 35350 33952 33 303 38 290 44 298 46 300 33952 32499 30 301 36 294 40 300 43 302 32499 30975 30 299 34 292 36 297 37 288 30975 29368 31 292 34 292 32 293 36 284 29368 27676 35 286 36 291 32 292 37 290 27676 25901 35 287 38 288 33 296 35 295 25901 24043 31 290 35 289 34 298 32 299 24043 22106 29 294 31 296 33 301 30 305 22106 20084 26 298 29 303 32 305 30 307 20084 17969 24 305 28 306 32 309 29 311 17969 15807 23 315 26 313 29 316 29 316 15807 13723 19 324 22 316 24 321 25 320 13723 11828 14 335 17 320 18 320 20 322 11828 10145 8 351 10 332 13 324 15 324 10145 8648 6 017 5 352 8 334 10 332 8648 7320 5 034 3 012 5 346 6 343 7320 6143 6 044 3 028 5 353 6 348 6143 5103 8 040 5 037 7 000 8 350 5103 4189 10 036 7 036 8 012 9 359 4189 3384 11 038 8 041 8 016 9 006 3384 2665 10 041 8*050 6 004 9 011 2665 2031 9 048 6*058 6 344 11 008 2031 1504 8 065 5 057 5*321 12 357 1504 1100 6*075 5 057 5*307 9 341 1100 824 3*081 4 055 5 304 6 303 824 657 3 082 4 054 5 302 4 253 657 561 2 083 3 055 4 301 4*233 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography