DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 60.2 - - 57.5 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 40 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 155 - - 1059 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 699 - - 1604 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 645 - - 1131 - - 1641 - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 63 - - 154 - - 11 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 076 - - 036 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2097 - - -1874 - - -1046 - - -723 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2796 - - 3478 - - 1607 - - 1283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14350 - - -11980 - - -5251 - - -13536 ODpotential blCL - - - 15049 - - 13584 - - 5812 - - 14096 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 62 - - 74 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 60.2 - - 57.5 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.3 - - 47.1 - - 52.5 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 59.8 - - 58.4 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 45.9 - - 51.3 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 40 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 155 - - 1059 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96873 42 086 57 092 54 085 45 092 96873 89728 54 089 57 099 49 092 52 091 89728 84193 59 095 52 101 47 097 54 088 84193 79561 59 098 50 095 45 101 48 087 79561 75537 52 098 44 093 42 098 44 088 75537 71952 42 096 31 094 33 090 37 086 71952 68693 29 083 19 092 18 084 23 069 68693 65694 18 067 15 076 12 075 13 064 65694 62915 8 069 11 029 17 039 17 044 62915 60239 7 060 9 018 11 024 12 015 60239 57469 14 032 12 032 6 052 6 334 57469 54608 18 026 15 026 14 030 6 020 54608 51897 19 021 18 023 19 019 9 011 51897 49493 18 021 21 014 19 359 19 360 49493 47381 18 026 16 358 21 335 24 338 47381 45495 28 052 9 010 20 337 20 327 45495 43767 38 046 18 036 23 359 24 342 43767 42155 45 037 25 030 27 000 25 345 42155 40640 45 035 26 026 28 000 24 345 40640 39208 41 037 28 026 28 359 24 343 39208 37848 38 040 30 028 27 357 26 344 37848 36526 37 039 33 028 27 357 27 348 36526 35175 39 033 35 024 28 356 26 349 35175 33767 40 031 36 021 27 359 21 355 33767 32303 40 031 34 019 25 003 20 006 32303 30769 38 032 33 019 27 007 22 017 30769 29150 30 031 29 022 32 012 21 012 29150 27451 26 030 20 023 31 014 20 008 27451 25672 28 028 17 024 22 009 20 008 25672 23818 29 026 21 025 15 360 19 006 23818 21885 26 017 26 024 17 016 19 003 21885 19865 23 011 26 025 24 022 18 001 19865 17750 20 014 22 023 26 030 17 011 17750 15586 16 014 17 020 20 033 14 029 15586 13496 14 020 13 021 14 024 12 016 13496 11597 14 033 10 032 10 023 9 011 11597 9919 12 050 9 056 6 062 3 033 9919 8440 9 090 6 096 6 124 4 163 8440 7138 9 131 5 182 7 169 6 192 7138 5990 9 154 12 220 11 194 10 211 5990 4977 10 164 15 224 15 197 11 207 4977 4086 10 163 13 226 13 195 8 198 4086 3302 8 163 9 225 9 191 4 177 3302 2602 7 164 6 211 5 178 2 123 2602 1986 7 157 3*181 2 156 2 070 1986 1474 9 143 2*098 3 064 6 096 1474 1082 9 114 3 076 6 059 10 091 1082 814 7*101 3 070 5 052 10 081 814 652 5*086 3 067 4*043 7*066 652 560 4 078 2 065 3*036 3*050 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography