DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 84.8 - - - - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 375 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1066 - - 1264 - - - - - 403 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 963 - - 1235 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1611 - - 1810 - - - - - 948 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 596 - - 773 - - - - - 611 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 318 - - - - - 72 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 277 - - - - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4165 - - -5542 - - - - - -2356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5777 - - 7353 - - - - - 3305 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10590 - - -11720 - - - - - -10692 ODpotential blCL - - - 12201 - - 13530 - - - - - 11640 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 84 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 84.8 - - - - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.0 - - 54.9 - - - - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 82.6 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 54.0 - - - - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 375 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1066 - - 1264 - - - - - 403 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 37 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99236 35 113 32 119 29 102 99236 91715 35 119 30 113 30 109 91715 85946 35 112 28 113 31 112 85946 81199 32 097 31 109 31 110 81199 77114 21 103 28 112 27 103 77114 73485 21 123 24 111 21 099 73485 70188 27 120 23 115 17 108 70188 67167 27 113 23 125 14 104 67167 64396 22 096 26 121 10 134 64396 61750 10 088 17 114 18 139 61750 59009 11 167 20 162 18 143 59009 56170 20 170 29 163 21 167 56170 53471 24 172 30 167 26 169 53471 51048 26 169 26 178 28 162 51048 48873 23 162 25 180 24 175 48873 46895 17 169 23 178 20 201 46895 45076 15 183 18 193 23 215 45076 43379 13 185 17 195 27 208 43379 41787 14 190 17 187 28 194 41787 40287 18 202 18 196 33 194 40287 38868 20 206 23 194 35 200 38868 37492 21 200 27 193 34 202 37492 36090 24 193 29 191 33 202 36090 34633 25 189 28 190 33 202 34633 33123 26 188 28 188 32 201 33123 31544 27 191 28 190 31 200 31544 29883 27 195 28 195 30 201 29883 28141 27 197 28 198 28 202 28141 26320 25 199 26 195 27 204 26320 24422 22 199 22 192 25 203 24422 22446 20 194 19 195 24 196 22446 20388 17 192 20 197 23 190 20388 18241 17 197 21 195 22 193 18241 16048 15 187 19 193 21 195 16048 13933 12 166 17 181 21 193 13933 12008 11 169 16 180 20 191 12008 10297 9 186 13 188 17 187 10297 8777 6 197 9 186 15 179 8777 7425 3 200 7 170 13 174 7425 6226 1 224 5 160 12 178 6226 5167 2 329 4 179 10 187 5167 4234 2 347 3 233 7 204 4234 3413 2 292 6 263 7 237 3413 2681 7 263 11 272 9 259 2681 2039 8*266 12*275 12 280 2039 1508 8*270 12*277 13 287 1508 1103 8 273 12 277 12*291 1103 826 7 274 12 277 9*292 826 658 7 275 11 277 8 292 658 562 6 275 9 277 6 292 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography