DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.9 - - 58.8 - - 65.3 - - 62.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 120 - - 146 - - 0 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1028 - - 3984 - - 2230 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4582 - - 7854 - - 4582 - - 4582 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 6528 - - 9484 - - 7730 - - 4600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 944 - - 1778 - - 2183 - - 3134 - - 2490 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 210 - - 351 - - 60 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 222 - - 297 - - 302 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3825 - - -3614 - - -1290 - - -2083 - - -2683 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8424 - - 10142 - - 10775 - - 9814 - - 7283 sfcLCL ODpotential -12466 - - -9128 - - -4300 - - -5030 - - -7445 ODpotential blCL 17065 - - 15656 - - 13784 - - 12760 - - 12045 blCL maxRH 86 - - 77 - - 78 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.9 - - 58.8 - - 65.3 - - 62.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 30.6 - - 34.0 - - 35.3 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 58.7 - - 65.1 - - 63.3 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 30.1 - - 33.5 - - 35.0 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 120 - - 146 - - 0 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1028 - - 3984 - - 2230 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 9 - - 13 - - 47 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97902 21 020 30 010 27 015 24 019 20 029 97902 90745 20 028 16 019 16 017 16 018 15 022 90745 85143 20 046 12 038 15 007 17 022 14 021 85143 80436 14 019 7 058 6 003 11 349 12 004 80436 76344 12 356 8 043 4 330 8 331 13 333 76344 72718 11 299 12 330 9 297 12 333 13 334 72718 69438 16 341 18 304 13 311 6 325 12 324 69438 66420 39 320 21 303 23 313 20 314 25 314 66420 63617 37 315 26 312 22 310 22 306 27 296 63617 60904 40 309 30 311 31 304 25 322 15 290 60904 58070 44 307 39 306 37 297 44 311 34 311 58070 55137 52 310 51 302 47 297 46 300 53 300 55137 52361 59 305 61 294 58 293 52 297 55 296 52361 49868 66 307 63 293 62 292 57 298 62 300 49868 47627 78 306 69 302 68 301 65 300 74 299 47627 45595 85 302 78 303 82 300 75 298 81 294 45595 43745 84 303 81 300 84 294 81 295 79 294 43745 42058 82 306 80 299 81 295 79 295 78 300 42058 40505 83 306 81 300 81 296 72 299 80 305 40505 39057 80 303 79 298 80 292 72 308 74 312 39057 37702 75 298 76 293 82 287 78 311 72 317 37702 36404 71 296 74 291 80 284 81 309 75 318 36404 35096 69 296 72 293 74 285 78 307 71 310 35096 33752 66 297 68 293 69 287 73 308 70 299 33752 32376 62 297 63 292 66 288 68 311 65 295 32376 30955 56 296 59 291 63 289 62 309 61 296 30955 29478 47 301 59 291 61 290 62 298 59 296 29478 27947 48 306 59 291 62 289 65 294 58 295 27947 26363 52 303 57 291 61 285 64 295 58 295 26363 24730 50 298 55 291 57 284 58 296 57 295 24730 23054 46 297 52 290 52 288 51 297 55 296 23054 21331 44 298 48 289 46 293 45 297 52 296 21331 19553 44 298 44 290 42 295 41 296 49 296 19553 17754 43 299 41 295 39 294 38 295 46 297 17754 16025 42 301 41 302 37 294 37 297 43 299 16025 14453 40 301 40 305 35 295 35 299 39 301 14453 13053 37 300 37 304 31 297 32 302 35 305 13053 11801 32 299 32 301 27 300 29 305 30 309 11801 10678 26 298 26 298 23 300 26 307 27 313 10678 9669 21 298 21 296 19*298 24 308 24 316 9669 8764 15 299 17 295 15*297 21 307 22 316 8764 7957 11 300 13 293 13 297 19*306 21 315 7957 7234 8 301 10 291 12 296 17*304 19 313 7234 6579 6 296 7*285 11 296 15 302 17 311 6579 5994 4 284 4*265 10 297 14 301 13 310 5994 5500 2 255 2 218 9 296 13 301 9 314 5500 5118 1 217 2 210 8 297 12 300 6 322 5118 4853 1 137 2 204 8 296 10 301 3 339 4853 4691 2*112 2 200 7 296 8 300 2*061 4691 4599 3*102 2 197 5 296 5 299 3*101 4599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography