DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1002z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 58.2 - - 61.9 - - 62.0 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 183 - - 135 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4340 - - 6262 - - 6698 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4621 - - 8237 - - 9499 - - 8850 - - 4621 Hcrit BL Top 4638 - - 9840 - - 11762 - - 12198 - - 4639 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2430 - - 2491 - - 3155 - - 2231 - - 5056 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 389 - - 398 - - 294 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 322 - - 300 - - 296 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 6 - - 23 - - 28 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -807 - - 2174 - - 2774 - - 2569 - - -1980 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5445 - - 7667 - - 8989 - - 9630 - - 6619 sfcLCL ODpotential -3298 - - 873 - - 1530 - - 914 - - -5063 ODpotential blCL 7936 - - 8967 - - 10232 - - 11284 - - 9702 blCL maxRH 91 - - 93 - - 99 - - 85 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 160 - - 180 - - 80 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 58.2 - - 61.9 - - 62.0 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 40.6 - - 38.5 - - 35.8 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 57.9 - - 61.9 - - 62.6 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 40.2 - - 38.0 - - 35.2 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 183 - - 135 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4340 - - 6262 - - 6698 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 72 - - 96 - - 42 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98013 27 291 20 288 21 269 28 292 25 274 98013 90675 19 292 16 292 19 288 25 286 17 293 90675 85022 14 295 17 278 13 289 16 290 15 311 85022 80312 12 316 12 275 11 290 16 286 15 306 80312 76247 13 307 10 276 14 277 14 283 14 292 76247 72647 11 294 10 258 16 270 13 288 11 282 72647 69370 18 287 14 253 21 266 22 276 13 277 69370 66341 19 269 18 246 23 259 23 256 16 271 66341 63522 15 260 16 240 21 248 22 265 20 265 63522 60784 16 273 17 247 24 258 24 263 24 263 60784 57924 27 267 24 257 30 253 26 262 29 262 57924 54952 32 257 30 257 32 254 30 261 33 261 54952 52111 29 253 30 259 35 253 37 264 37 261 52111 49552 27 260 31 263 35 256 43 263 41 261 49552 47259 31 267 32 266 36 261 43 262 45 262 47259 45188 34 269 32 266 36 264 41 262 46 262 45188 43306 35 268 31 266 36 270 39 266 45 264 43306 41589 33 267 29 263 35 278 40 275 41 265 41589 40020 31 264 27 264 33 283 42 279 38 265 40020 38580 28 261 25 272 31 293 39 282 35 262 38580 37247 24 265 22 279 32 306 34 287 33 262 37247 35975 22 274 19 277 33 314 31 292 33 265 35975 34695 21 286 16 279 35 320 30 294 32 267 34695 33379 22 297 15 295 36 323 29 296 30 271 33379 32030 23 305 17 308 35 322 29 299 28 274 32030 30637 25 311 19 317 34 320 28 301 27 276 30637 29188 27 313 21 324 32 317 27 300 27 275 29188 27685 29 314 22 328 30 317 26 301 26 276 27685 26131 29 314 23 332 27 318 26 306 23 282 26131 24526 30 316 24 338 25 320 24 310 20 294 24526 22875 29 318 24 339 24 323 23 310 19 308 22875 21172 27 318 23 331 24 324 22 309 18 313 21172 19411 24 310 22 317 24 322 23 307 18 307 19411 17628 23 298 21 305 23 315 24 303 19 294 17628 15920 22 291 19 302 20 308 21 300 19 284 15920 14372 21 292 18 305 15 304 16 298 16 277 14372 12996 20 297 17 309 13 304 12*298 12 275 12996 11765 20 304 16 312 13*304 12*299 10 281 11765 10659 20 311 15*314 13*304 12 300 9 291 10659 9664 20 316 14*315 13 303 13 298 9 300 9664 8771 20 320 14 318 12 302 14 296 11 304 8771 7972 20 321 12 320 12 300 14 295 13 303 7972 7257 20 321 11 324 12 299 14 294 15 301 7257 6607 20 323 10 327 11 299 14 294 16 300 6607 6026 18 326 9 328 11 298 14 293 15 299 6026 5535 15 335 8 329 10 297 13 293 14 299 5535 5155 12 346 7 329 9 296 13 293 12 300 5155 4891 9 354 6 329 9 296 11 292 9 305 4891 4730 7*001 6 330 8 295 10 292 5*316 4730 4638 2*035 4 328 6 293 7 291 3*344 4638 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography