DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.2 - - 50.3 - - 53.4 - - 45.9 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -53 - - 4 - - 16 - - -23 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 191 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4582 - - 4582 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 4599 - - 5691 - - 4599 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 430 - - 2009 - - 2514 - - 1465 - - 438 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 19 - - 65 - - 8 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 15 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 164 - - 178 - - 111 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -28 - - 2 - - 4 - - -5 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2540 - - -3299 - - -3252 - - -2435 - - -2192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7139 - - 7898 - - 8944 - - 7035 - - 6791 sfcLCL ODpotential -11206 - - -9109 - - -8726 - - -8482 - - -9195 ODpotential blCL 15805 - - 13708 - - 14417 - - 13081 - - 13794 blCL maxRH 75 - - 75 - - 80 - - 80 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.2 - - 50.3 - - 53.4 - - 45.9 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.3 - - 31.8 - - 30.2 - - 31.2 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.2 - - 51.3 - - 54.3 - - 50.4 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.9 - - 31.1 - - 29.5 - - 30.5 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -53 - - 4 - - 16 - - -23 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 191 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 19 - - 21 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96095 19 067 22 096 19 090 21 088 11 088 96095 89132 16 082 18 096 15 106 13 066 21 092 89132 83696 14 095 13 117 10 076 12 093 14 091 83696 79151 10 111 7 104 7 017 9 073 12 108 79151 75199 6 155 4 099 5 199 1 291 5 083 75199 71663 6 127 4 182 9 181 7 253 4 083 71663 68427 4 230 6 136 8 233 9 241 7 270 68427 65442 5 217 7 220 15 269 7 285 8 287 65442 62659 6 293 7 231 21 254 14 270 10 304 62659 59953 18 270 15 272 19 231 22 255 23 272 59953 57143 21 276 19 279 17 224 24 237 29 244 57143 54227 27 271 24 263 19 249 22 228 28 249 54227 51439 37 251 43 239 47 247 30 248 36 258 51439 48950 43 247 45 236 52 239 48 240 50 239 48950 46747 57 252 56 254 55 249 53 242 49 234 46747 44770 70 245 76 250 69 251 66 249 51 243 44770 42973 75 239 84 239 89 242 87 243 69 241 42973 41335 80 238 81 237 87 237 93 235 86 228 41335 39828 78 240 78 242 86 238 89 230 80 220 39828 38417 82 242 86 248 80 238 84 231 73 222 38417 37087 82 240 82 246 67 241 79 233 68 223 37087 35806 77 236 68 249 69 240 72 234 61 223 35806 34515 73 233 72 243 73 238 65 235 55 223 34515 33187 69 231 74 239 73 237 61 236 49 223 33187 31825 65 231 70 238 68 234 58 236 47 224 31825 30419 60 231 65 237 61 229 57 233 48 222 30419 28959 51 231 58 235 56 223 58 228 49 219 28959 27450 44 231 52 228 53 219 57 224 51 217 27450 25892 43 233 48 223 52 218 56 221 50 216 25892 24290 45 234 46 223 50 216 55 222 49 216 24290 22651 48 234 46 225 48 216 54 224 46 219 22651 20970 50 234 46 223 47 220 51 226 44 224 20970 19238 51 235 45 222 48 225 47 229 40 227 19238 17484 51 236 45 224 47 230 42 232 36 229 17484 15798 51 238 45 228 45 234 39 235 33 231 15798 14264 49 239 44 231 43 235 36 237 32 233 14264 12893 47 241 42 233 41 234 34 237 30 233 12893 11666 43 242 39 234 39 232 32 235 29 232 11666 10564 39 242 36 233 37 229 30 233 27 229 10564 9574 35 240 33 230 34 224 29 230 26 225 9574 8686 31 237 31 225 30 218 28 226 24 219 8686 7894 27 232 28 219 26 211 25 220 22 212 7894 7185 24 224 25 209 23 200 23 211 20 203 7185 6542 20 213 23 197 21 191 21 200 19 193 6542 5967 18 197 22 183 20*184 20 189 17 185 5967 5482 17 183 21 175 19*181 19 181 17 180 5482 5107 17 175 19 171 17 179 18 177 16 174 5107 4847 14 167 15 168 14 177 15 170 13 164 4847 4689 10*159 12*165 12 176 11*161 8*145 4689 4598 4*125 4*148 6 173 3*111 4*088 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography