DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 57.4 - - 64.4 - - 65.6 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 105 - - 185 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 775 - - 2304 - - 2719 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4582 - - 4582 - - 6759 - - 4583 - - 4582 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 6275 - - 7804 - - 8219 - - 4600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1166 - - 1326 - - 1795 - - 2166 - - 3973 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 188 - - 319 - - 206 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 22 - - 22 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 316 - - 315 - - 341 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 8 - - 9 - - -10 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3738 - - -2221 - - -2808 - - -2939 - - -3713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8338 - - 8496 - - 10612 - - 11159 - - 8314 sfcLCL ODpotential -13083 - - -9393 - - -8582 - - -8297 - - -9906 ODpotential blCL 17682 - - 15668 - - 16386 - - 16516 - - 14506 blCL maxRH 35 - - 46 - - 39 - - 42 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 57.4 - - 64.4 - - 65.6 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 36.3 - - 33.9 - - 32.7 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 57.3 - - 63.9 - - 66.1 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 35.2 - - 32.8 - - 31.9 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 105 - - 185 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 775 - - 2304 - - 2719 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98816 32 260 41 258 40 262 40 274 38 271 98816 91431 28 257 35 258 36 269 35 268 33 266 91431 85729 25 253 31 261 31 267 28 276 25 276 85729 80967 20 269 24 255 27 268 26 284 20 284 80967 76847 17 278 19 266 25 267 26 280 20 283 76847 73200 19 277 16 260 24 271 25 278 19 287 73200 69898 24 280 14 274 22 261 25 270 22 294 69898 66864 26 269 18 287 16 258 26 262 25 289 66864 64053 22 274 20 280 15 266 25 257 24 279 64053 61327 24 278 22 282 18 273 22 262 24 264 61327 58481 23 260 22 274 22 272 23 269 22 264 58481 55530 20 271 21 263 23 273 23 272 18 267 55530 52720 21 281 18 251 21 267 23 272 16 282 52720 50200 17 283 15 256 17 255 21 264 18 287 50200 47954 18 288 15 277 14 259 17 260 16 283 47954 45926 17 290 16 280 15 279 11 285 11 291 45926 44072 15 301 13 281 15 283 11 307 9 310 44072 42358 15 311 9 284 13 272 11 302 10 317 42358 40761 13 297 8 293 10 262 9 286 11 318 40761 39267 11 266 9 278 7 258 6 282 11 316 39267 37870 10 241 9 252 7 222 5 285 9 315 37870 36540 11 225 11 244 7 201 4 286 9 326 36540 35211 12 228 13 239 7 211 7 302 9 336 35211 33853 14 237 15 232 10 223 11 298 7 334 33853 32469 14 237 16 231 13 227 12 282 8 322 32469 31043 12 245 15 233 15 228 13 260 10 308 31043 29563 13 252 13 241 16 236 14 257 12 293 29563 28031 14 254 13 251 15 248 15 263 14 286 28031 26447 14 252 14 258 16 259 16 266 14 281 26447 24815 13 253 15 262 16 268 15 264 13 274 24815 23137 12 260 15 267 14 277 14 261 13 272 23137 21409 12 273 14 276 12 282 14 262 13 273 21409 19624 11 288 13 285 11 285 13 268 12 272 19624 17816 12 300 13 293 9 288 12 275 12 269 17816 16081 12 307 12 297 8 293 10 279 11 267 16081 14502 11 310 11 299 8 299 8 285 10 269 14502 13095 10 312 10 300 8 304 7 297 8 277 13095 11837 9 316 9 302 8 307 7 308 6 287 11837 10708 8 321 8 305 9 310 7 314 5 299 10708 9695 8 329 7 312 8 312 8 313 6 313 9695 8787 8 336 5 321 8 314 8*315 8 324 8787 7976 7 340 4 332 6*314 8*321 9 331 7976 7250 7 342 4 341 4*313 7 330 10 337 7250 6592 6 343 4*343 3 315 6 346 10 345 6592 6003 4 347 3*337 3 321 6 350 9 353 6003 5506 3 352 2 327 2 318 6 350 9 359 5506 5122 3 010 1 309 2 313 5 352 7 004 5122 4855 3 045 1 294 2 305 5 352 4 004 4855 4692 3*060 1 285 2 301 4 351 2*009 4692 4599 3*082 1 273 1 300 3 350 1*090 4599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography