DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1010z - - 1336z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 50.5 - - 54.2 - - 50.9 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 16 - - 26 - - -14 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 221 - - 928 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4499 - - 4500 - - 4500 - - 4500 - - 4500 Hcrit BL Top 4517 - - 5721 - - 6428 - - 4517 - - 4517 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1290 - - 2029 - - 2266 - - 2965 - - 1832 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 64 - - 121 - - 7 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 14 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 244 - - 256 - - 245 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -56 - - -30 - - 42 - - -42 - - -52 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -779 - - -1133 - - -1382 - - -2620 - - -1402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5296 - - 6854 - - 7811 - - 7138 - - 5919 sfcLCL ODpotential -5445 - - -4401 - - -4511 - - -6490 - - -6092 ODpotential blCL 9962 - - 10122 - - 10939 - - 11007 - - 10609 blCL maxRH 92 - - 93 - - 93 - - 90 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 50.5 - - 54.2 - - 50.9 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 36.2 - - 35.7 - - 35.4 - - 35.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 51.2 - - 54.9 - - 52.0 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 36.1 - - 35.5 - - 35.0 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 16 - - 26 - - -14 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 221 - - 928 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 72 - - 73 - - 60 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97671 13 317 14 341 17 351 7 348 16 306 97671 91246 9 297 11 312 13 335 9 351 10 296 91246 86099 10 285 12 302 15 317 13 324 11 302 86099 81708 10 283 13 287 15 307 15 312 14 292 81708 77851 14 299 17 289 19 300 18 312 14 306 77851 74397 16 303 18 288 22 289 23 299 17 299 74397 71240 18 292 18 281 22 276 23 291 20 287 71240 68317 25 289 22 277 21 274 19 292 19 293 68317 65583 29 294 27 285 23 286 22 291 21 299 65583 62911 28 295 29 287 30 285 33 278 30 288 62911 60127 28 286 31 281 38 277 41 273 37 284 60127 57262 31 281 33 276 41 273 37 278 39 288 57262 54551 39 287 37 282 39 278 33 285 39 290 54551 52122 46 292 43 288 38 284 38 287 41 289 52122 49954 51 295 48 291 40 288 46 287 44 288 49954 47999 54 295 52 291 45 288 52 285 44 286 47999 46217 56 293 54 289 50 285 54 283 43 283 46217 44576 56 291 55 287 54 282 53 279 42 280 44576 43053 55 287 55 283 55 278 51 275 44 278 43053 41630 54 284 55 281 55 275 50 273 47 277 41630 40294 53 282 55 280 53 274 50 272 51 278 40294 39004 53 282 57 280 53 275 52 273 56 278 39004 37695 54 283 58 282 54 277 55 275 61 278 37695 36338 55 286 61 284 55 280 58 276 66 278 36338 34935 57 287 63 285 57 282 62 277 69 277 34935 33471 59 289 64 286 59 283 64 278 71 277 33471 31931 60 290 65 287 61 284 66 278 72 276 31931 30315 61 290 64 287 61 285 66 277 70 275 30315 28620 61 290 63 287 60 284 66 276 68 274 28620 26847 61 289 60 287 59 284 64 275 65 272 26847 25000 59 288 56 287 56 283 62 274 61 271 25000 23072 56 286 52 285 53 282 59 273 57 271 23072 21059 51 284 46 284 50 281 55 273 53 271 21059 19004 47 283 41 281 47 280 52 274 50 272 19004 17022 42 282 37 278 45 278 50 275 48 274 17022 15218 39 282 34 276 43 277 49 277 47 276 15218 13615 36 282 33 275 43 277 48 277 47 278 13615 12194 34 283 32 274 43 276 48 277 48 278 12194 10933 34 284 33 274 43 276 49 277 48 278 10933 9816 33 285 33 274 43 275 48 275 48 277 9816 8829 34 285 34 273 41 273 47 273 47 275 8829 7962 33 285 33 271 38 271 44 271 43 272 7962 7199 32 284 31 269 33 267 40 268 38 269 7199 6517 31 282 26 265 27*264 35 266 30 266 6517 5916 27 279 19*260 21*260 28 264 21 261 5916 5416 21 277 13*254 17 257 21 264 13 255 5416 5032 13 278 9 246 13 255 14 263 7 240 5032 4768 6 280 6 235 11 252 8 260 4 196 4768 4607 1*275 5 229 9 252 5*253 3*155 4607 4516 3*101 3 225 6 252 1*217 3*117 4516 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography