DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 56.0 - - 64.0 - - 63.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 94 - - 148 - - -4 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 231 - - 1899 - - 1780 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4582 - - 6368 - - 4583 - - 4582 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 5731 - - 7399 - - 7280 - - 4600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 863 - - 1090 - - 1682 - - 2584 - - 685 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 119 - - 276 - - 58 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 180 - - 206 - - 230 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 9 - - 14 - - 8 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2118 - - -2805 - - -3125 - - -2381 - - -2904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6718 - - 8537 - - 10524 - - 9662 - - 7504 sfcLCL ODpotential -12185 - - -10621 - - -9195 - - -8163 - - -10195 ODpotential blCL 16784 - - 16352 - - 16594 - - 15443 - - 14795 blCL maxRH 56 - - 64 - - 88 - - 71 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 56.0 - - 64.0 - - 63.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 34.9 - - 33.9 - - 37.6 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 56.2 - - 63.8 - - 65.2 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.6 - - 33.9 - - 33.2 - - 37.1 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 94 - - 148 - - -4 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 231 - - 1899 - - 1780 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 52 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97808 19 029 15 050 13 032 14 017 17 026 97808 90679 15 057 9 048 12 011 14 003 17 027 90679 85091 13 046 7 016 11 353 13 359 14 009 85091 80411 13 349 7 016 11 318 15 336 13 332 80411 76361 18 336 12 342 10 298 14 319 13 322 76361 72769 19 321 17 317 12 295 16 312 17 312 72769 69518 22 306 21 305 19 297 19 315 18 318 69518 66522 29 304 24 301 23 301 24 303 18 317 66522 63731 29 287 29 304 27 305 28 295 26 299 63731 61030 24 287 28 293 30 299 27 301 24 300 61030 58208 32 293 33 289 33 295 32 302 27 296 58208 55270 42 286 39 283 33 292 36 297 33 293 55270 52476 43 288 38 283 38 286 42 287 42 287 52476 49983 49 285 37 282 37 269 47 278 47 281 49983 47768 48 279 39 273 39 270 46 273 47 278 47768 45768 47 278 43 264 44 270 44 272 43 274 45768 43943 49 278 45 260 45 264 43 270 40 270 43943 42269 48 281 45 258 46 258 43 267 37 268 42269 40719 46 287 41 260 44 253 41 265 35 268 40719 39271 44 290 39 269 40 253 40 265 34 270 39271 37912 41 290 38 274 38 253 39 266 34 271 37912 36604 38 290 34 275 35 251 37 263 33 272 36604 35286 37 290 30 276 33 252 34 261 32 269 35286 33929 37 291 29 281 33 256 34 257 32 264 33929 32542 37 295 28 288 31 256 35 250 31 260 32542 31110 35 296 28 294 30 258 35 247 31 260 31110 29626 29 289 28 298 30 259 34 250 33 263 29626 28090 25 280 26 293 29 260 33 258 36 267 28090 26503 21 277 23 281 29 262 34 264 37 269 26503 24866 18 278 21 276 28 266 34 268 38 270 24866 23181 16 281 21 276 26 268 33 270 38 270 23181 21444 14 283 21 277 23 266 31 269 38 271 21444 19650 14 281 19 277 21 260 31 269 37 273 19650 17831 15 277 17 275 20 257 30 270 35 274 17831 16086 16 272 16 269 20 257 28 269 33 275 16086 14503 14 268 16 265 18 258 25 267 29 276 14503 13094 12 263 16 262 17 259 22 266 24 277 13094 11836 10 256 16 260 15 259 19 266 21 278 11836 10707 9 247 14 257 15 260 17 267 19 278 10707 9693 9 237 12 253 15 261 15 266 18 276 9693 8783 9 227 11 246 14 259 13 262 18 273 8783 7972 8 216 10 236 12*255 11*256 17 269 7972 7245 8 203 9 224 8*242 10*246 16 264 7245 6587 7 190 8 210 6 219 9 237 14 256 6587 5999 7 185 7*196 6 196 8 229 11 243 5999 5503 5 183 6*183 5 189 7 222 9 221 5503 5119 4 176 4 178 5 188 7 218 8 197 5119 4854 3 144 4 181 5 188 6 217 8 168 4854 4691 3*115 3 181 4 188 5 215 7*154 4691 4599 3*097 2 181 3 190 3 214 4*136 4599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography