DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.9 - - 21.8 - - 26.5 - - 21.8 - - 21.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - -5 - - 7 - - -34 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1957 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4579 - - 4580 - - 4580 - - 4580 - - 4580 Hcrit BL Top 4597 - - 4597 - - 7457 - - 4597 - - 4597 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2787 - - 3698 - - 3728 - - 3361 - - 2196 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 11 - - 114 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 13 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 174 - - 247 - - 157 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 17 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -11 - - 42 - - -9 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1160 - - -1021 - - 962 - - -590 - - -151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5758 - - 5619 - - 6496 - - 5187 - - 4748 sfcLCL ODpotential -4223 - - -3353 - - -1197 - - -3171 - - -3037 ODpotential blCL 8820 - - 7950 - - 8654 - - 7768 - - 7634 blCL maxRH 92 - - 86 - - 76 - - 78 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.9 - - 21.8 - - 26.5 - - 21.8 - - 21.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.1 - - 13.4 - - 14.1 - - 15.3 - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.3 - - 23.0 - - 27.5 - - 25.1 - - 24.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.0 - - 12.6 - - 13.1 - - 14.8 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - -5 - - 7 - - -34 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1957 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 45 - - 2 - - 11 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95732 33 328 40 328 39 335 54 342 61 358 95732 88677 24 323 26 317 36 316 43 317 44 322 88677 83216 25 314 26 312 34 305 36 312 40 316 83216 78651 25 315 25 316 28 307 33 307 40 306 78651 74681 21 324 31 310 32 304 37 285 38 277 74681 71117 34 297 33 281 35 281 39 280 39 279 71117 67839 32 280 34 274 37 286 42 281 42 296 67839 64810 34 285 32 291 47 287 49 288 41 294 64810 61987 38 289 42 295 43 281 53 287 38 289 61987 59235 42 286 45 292 42 280 49 279 38 284 59235 56358 47 281 46 288 49 286 48 280 41 296 56358 53370 49 281 53 285 56 288 53 291 51 295 53370 50524 54 285 58 283 57 294 60 295 60 276 50524 47976 61 290 60 289 60 304 64 293 56 266 47976 45690 67 289 66 293 69 303 65 293 50 276 45690 43609 67 287 69 291 74 297 65 295 53 290 43609 41704 65 288 67 289 72 295 66 296 62 291 41704 39950 65 292 64 290 68 295 70 294 68 286 39950 38325 68 294 64 292 68 294 73 290 71 281 38325 36815 70 293 64 294 69 291 74 288 74 278 36815 35416 70 290 66 294 71 288 76 287 79 278 35416 34095 70 289 67 293 71 286 77 287 82 278 34095 32787 71 287 67 292 72 286 78 285 83 280 32787 31463 70 286 67 291 72 287 80 283 85 281 31463 30126 68 286 68 291 72 288 81 282 87 282 30126 28766 67 287 70 291 71 285 79 281 87 282 28766 27372 65 286 72 289 68 282 75 281 84 281 27372 25944 63 283 70 285 64 280 70 280 78 280 25944 24482 62 281 66 279 61 281 63 278 71 279 24482 22987 61 279 62 275 59 283 56 277 65 278 22987 21462 59 278 59 273 56 284 52 279 59 277 21462 19898 58 278 54 274 53 284 53 280 57 277 19898 18288 57 280 49 276 50 284 55 280 56 278 18288 16660 51 280 45 277 46 283 56 280 56 279 16660 15095 43 278 41 278 42 281 53 279 53 279 15095 13669 38 273 37 277 38 277 48 279 48 278 13669 12394 34 269 33 275 35 274 44 277 45 276 12394 11249 30 266 30 273 33 270 42 274 44 272 11249 10219 27 264 28 270 31 265 40 269 44 268 10219 9290 24 264 27 267 29 262 38 262 43 262 9290 8456 22 264 26 263 27 260 36 254 42 257 8456 7710 20 264 25 258 24*257 34 247 39 251 7710 7041 19 262 23 253 21*255 30 241 34 246 7041 6435 17 258 19 245 17 252 26 235 28 239 6435 5892 13 250 13 230 14 247 21 226 20 224 5892 5434 9 232 10 203 11 241 17 210 16 197 5434 5079 7 201 9 174 9 236 14 188 16 171 5079 4833 7 163 9 162 7 233 13 169 15 159 4833 4683 7*155 8*158 6 230 10*161 12*155 4683 4596 4*139 4*150 4 228 5*153 5*147 4596 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography