DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.2 - - 37.5 - - 40.8 - - 38.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - -22 - - -29 - - -44 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 4599 - - 4599 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2018 - - 1959 - - 2552 - - 1692 - - 4738 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 15 - - 4 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 161 - - 172 - - 172 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -6 - - -5 - - -9 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -91 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4597 - - 4597 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4690 sfcLCL ODpotential -2430 - - -2099 - - -2478 - - -2740 - - -2393 ODpotential blCL 7028 - - 6697 - - 7077 - - 7339 - - 6992 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 93 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 37.2 - - 37.5 - - 40.8 - - 38.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 35.0 - - 36.7 - - 35.7 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 39.7 - - 43.2 - - 42.2 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.0 - - 34.8 - - 36.2 - - 35.8 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - -22 - - -29 - - -44 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 92 - - 73 - - 99 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96431 28 032 43 023 31 024 36 008 44 023 96431 89455 26 003 23 026 17 008 19 345 28 351 89455 84018 33 342 31 355 24 000 19 358 28 351 84018 79425 31 319 36 325 27 337 27 334 34 322 79425 75454 18 321 21 317 18 327 13 328 19 318 75454 71914 24 341 20 320 25 317 24 319 21 347 71914 68664 36 325 29 306 33 300 31 308 30 300 68664 65672 39 313 23 325 32 300 30 315 29 287 65672 62900 39 298 23 325 35 302 35 323 19 322 62900 60205 40 292 37 294 29 285 41 301 32 320 60205 57397 43 289 34 287 25 293 31 289 30 308 57397 54459 44 293 33 295 28 311 19 304 19 306 54459 51594 46 297 47 293 36 295 18 274 24 253 51594 48994 55 289 60 282 51 271 26 255 31 242 48994 46675 64 283 65 277 62 271 31 278 38 265 46675 44576 67 280 69 277 72 276 51 286 54 275 44576 42646 64 278 71 277 81 274 74 277 66 274 42646 40862 63 283 72 278 84 271 83 270 70 270 40862 39206 77 286 80 276 86 269 83 267 69 267 39206 37669 104 281 89 271 91 265 87 264 70 266 37669 36245 120 274 93 263 94 260 93 260 73 268 36245 34899 112 268 92 255 93 257 97 257 78 269 34899 33569 104 264 90 251 90 258 100 255 84 270 33569 32226 84 261 91 252 90 258 103 256 91 269 32226 30875 71 257 92 253 91 258 109 258 98 268 30875 29499 64 260 80 253 92 256 115 260 103 266 29499 28084 65 261 67 258 93 254 118 261 107 264 28084 26626 68 258 67 263 94 253 115 262 109 263 26626 25125 67 258 69 266 94 253 109 263 110 263 25125 23579 63 258 67 265 93 256 103 264 108 262 23579 21993 61 259 65 265 91 259 100 264 103 262 21993 20367 59 261 63 266 88 262 98 263 96 261 20367 18693 56 263 61 268 86 263 97 262 90 261 18693 17002 55 265 59 269 83 264 95 260 86 264 17002 15381 56 265 58 270 80 264 91 259 84 266 15381 13910 56 263 58 270 76 267 86 258 79 266 13910 12602 56 260 58 268 72 269 82 255 73 265 12602 11431 55 256 57 264 67 268 77 252 70 265 11431 10377 53 253 56 260 64 265 74 251 68 264 10377 9427 50 249 54 255 60 260 70 249 65 263 9427 8572 45 243 49 250 54 255 64 248 62 262 8572 7806 38 236 43 244 48 249 58 246 59 260 7806 7120 30 225 34 235 41 242 50 243 54 259 7120 6496 26 209 26 221 33 234 45 241 48 257 6496 5937 24 189 22 198 26 220 36 236 42 255 5937 5465 25 175 22 178 21 202 28 225 35 253 5465 5098 24 168 21 169 19 185 21 210 27 250 5098 4843 20 163 19 164 17 176 17 195 20 246 4843 4687 14*161 15*161 14*172 12*184 14*241 4687 4598 5*155 6*151 6*165 5*172 6*231 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography