DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/22 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.9 - - 34.9 - - 37.5 - - 30.5 - - 28.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -64 - - -8 - - 5 - - -40 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4619 - - 4620 - - 4620 - - 4620 - - 4619 Hcrit BL Top 4637 - - 4637 - - 4638 - - 4637 - - 4637 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 351 - - 1763 - - 3118 - - 489 - - 593 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 17 - - 23 - - 10 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 135 - - 158 - - 177 - - 161 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -9 - - 3 - - -14 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1702 - - -2092 - - -3187 - - -2139 - - -2456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6339 - - 6729 - - 7825 - - 6776 - - 7093 sfcLCL ODpotential -7133 - - -6562 - - -7957 - - -7404 - - -8352 ODpotential blCL 11770 - - 11199 - - 12595 - - 12041 - - 12989 blCL maxRH 74 - - 68 - - 81 - - 90 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.9 - - 34.9 - - 37.5 - - 30.5 - - 28.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 21.9 - - 19.5 - - 17.3 - - 14.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.8 - - 36.1 - - 38.4 - - 32.7 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.5 - - 20.9 - - 18.1 - - 16.0 - - 13.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -64 - - -8 - - 5 - - -40 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 59 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95815 25 292 25 280 35 274 39 284 38 276 95815 88749 20 290 21 281 26 274 29 278 40 266 88749 83292 20 297 18 286 23 285 33 276 34 268 83292 78723 19 299 17 290 25 278 27 276 28 282 78723 74735 19 284 16 290 18 276 21 280 27 286 74735 71161 18 281 15 299 15 287 30 280 24 278 71161 67895 22 289 22 295 29 277 35 271 23 276 67895 64875 26 283 32 279 29 272 28 269 28 287 64875 62061 27 276 29 272 22 296 23 289 32 285 62061 59332 23 281 23 285 27 299 27 294 29 276 59332 56487 24 295 25 286 34 279 32 282 22 281 56487 53523 31 290 30 282 36 274 31 281 23 299 53523 50684 37 286 37 282 34 277 34 285 37 297 50684 48142 42 283 38 282 29 282 37 273 44 282 48142 45889 43 280 36 287 30 285 34 271 39 269 45889 43867 40 278 38 279 35 278 32 280 31 267 43867 42027 39 274 39 270 40 271 36 281 30 272 42027 40336 43 270 41 262 48 267 42 273 38 270 40336 38778 51 267 46 255 58 259 50 264 47 264 38778 37341 59 267 53 252 64 251 58 256 55 260 37341 36012 65 268 58 253 67 253 63 253 66 256 36012 34754 63 267 63 258 75 258 69 254 73 249 34754 33503 57 266 66 260 77 257 70 254 72 247 33503 32227 51 266 64 261 71 258 67 254 68 247 32227 30922 47 265 59 261 65 260 65 252 60 247 30922 29576 43 262 55 261 63 260 62 250 55 249 29576 28177 39 258 52 260 62 256 58 250 54 251 28177 26726 35 254 50 259 59 255 54 254 54 251 26726 25227 33 251 47 259 54 256 52 257 54 250 25227 23684 32 250 44 259 50 258 49 256 53 250 23684 22099 32 253 41 258 46 257 46 251 50 250 22099 20466 33 259 39 258 43 254 43 246 47 250 20466 18780 34 266 37 257 39 251 41 244 43 250 18780 17074 35 269 34 257 36 249 38 244 38 248 17074 15441 34 270 31 256 32 248 33 245 32 244 15441 13958 30 268 28 255 29 247 29 247 27 240 13958 12637 25 265 25 253 27 246 26 247 23 238 12637 11455 21 262 24 251 27 244 25 247 19 238 11455 10394 19 259 23 249 27 242 24 246 18 240 10394 9439 17 255 23 247 27 239 24 245 16 243 9439 8583 15 252 22 245 26 236 23 243 16 247 8583 7818 14 246 21 242 25 232 23 239 17 250 7818 7133 13 239 20 236 23 227 21 234 18 253 7133 6512 12 226 18 226 20 219 19 227 18 254 6512 5956 12 206 16 209 17 205 16 216 18 253 5956 5489 13 182 16 187 16 189 15 201 16 249 5489 5126 16 161 16 169 15 180 15 187 12 237 5126 4876 17 150 15 160 14 177 15 177 8 200 4876 4723 14*145 13*158 12*175 13*172 8*160 4723 4636 7*135 7*153 7*173 5*161 5*142 4636 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography