DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/16 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.1 - - 28.4 - - 35.5 - - 33.0 - - 31.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - -23 - - -11 - - -45 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4580 - - 4580 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 869 - - 1073 - - 2517 - - 1506 - - 1198 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 12 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 134 - - 174 - - 152 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -16 - - 2 - - -5 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1568 - - -725 - - -942 - - 1 - - -538 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6166 - - 5323 - - 5540 - - 4597 - - 5136 sfcLCL ODpotential -9546 - - -6630 - - -5861 - - -4056 - - -5660 ODpotential blCL 14144 - - 11228 - - 10459 - - 8654 - - 10258 blCL maxRH 94 - - 99 - - 93 - - 84 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.1 - - 28.4 - - 35.5 - - 33.0 - - 31.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 21.5 - - 27.4 - - 29.4 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 32.2 - - 37.6 - - 37.2 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 20.7 - - 26.4 - - 29.3 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - -23 - - -11 - - -45 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 97 - - 71 - - 36 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 30 331 31 348 21 355 9 351 33 360 96304 89239 20 345 20 358 18 345 10 325 25 006 89239 83677 18 344 12 342 26 340 24 338 27 357 83677 78997 24 329 13 313 25 328 25 334 26 002 78997 74941 20 334 23 327 26 321 28 326 26 349 74941 71347 35 331 29 320 22 314 26 315 25 340 71347 68079 36 329 33 341 32 328 26 313 27 312 68079 65059 40 313 44 319 39 310 30 314 29 312 65059 62242 39 299 41 304 46 300 37 310 28 317 62242 59503 30 303 34 309 47 301 40 313 36 311 59503 56660 32 317 38 319 47 307 48 308 34 327 56660 53725 52 317 49 315 48 308 49 304 46 318 53725 50948 59 308 52 310 53 311 53 302 55 303 50948 48478 57 310 55 316 59 309 58 304 52 298 48478 46287 61 315 61 313 60 306 56 306 48 302 46287 44317 64 317 60 308 60 307 56 311 48 304 44317 42524 73 316 64 322 62 308 63 315 55 300 42524 40877 80 314 82 317 66 313 71 311 65 295 40877 39356 85 316 89 313 73 321 74 308 74 295 39356 37940 99 317 91 318 90 311 78 302 83 297 37940 36615 97 314 91 322 96 304 80 297 90 294 36615 35345 92 313 84 323 89 303 80 295 92 291 35345 34068 87 315 75 324 82 303 80 296 91 289 34068 32755 81 316 70 326 74 302 79 299 89 290 32755 31409 75 318 71 325 66 303 77 300 86 292 31409 30021 72 318 69 320 58 305 76 301 83 293 30021 28580 72 316 68 314 56 303 75 301 79 292 28580 27089 69 312 69 310 57 301 73 300 77 291 27089 25551 69 310 69 308 59 302 69 299 75 291 25551 23970 69 312 68 304 60 302 64 300 72 292 23970 22352 72 314 67 302 61 300 61 303 68 296 22352 20692 73 316 66 304 62 299 60 306 65 300 20692 18982 68 316 63 308 62 297 59 308 63 304 18982 17251 58 314 60 308 60 298 58 308 61 307 17251 15590 50 310 55 306 56 300 56 308 58 310 15590 14080 43 307 48 303 53 301 55 306 54 313 14080 12733 37 303 41 300 51 301 55 303 50 316 12733 11528 30 300 36 296 49 298 55 300 47 318 11528 10446 24 297 32 291 47 294 55 296 45 317 10446 9474 18 294 29 287 44 289 54 292 43 313 9474 8603 13 290 26 283 40 284 51 288 41 307 8603 7825 10 284 23 278 35 279 46 283 38 299 7825 7130 8 273 19 272 28 274 38 279 34 293 7130 6501 7 256 15 262 20 265 30 273 28 288 6501 5938 7 229 11 241 14 248 20 262 19 284 5938 5464 7 205 9 205 10 223 13 240 10 279 5464 5096 7 186 9 177 9 193 10 201 3 257 5096 4842 7 164 9 158 8 176 10 175 3 136 4842 4686 6*151 7*152 6*172 9*169 4*136 4686 4597 4*133 3*134 3*172 5*152 4*135 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography