DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 44.4 - - 46.3 - - 44.8 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 103 - - 102 - - 24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1869 - - 2655 - - 1397 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 6169 - - 6720 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 7369 - - 8155 - - 6897 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2736 - - 3480 - - 3096 - - 3228 - - 4952 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 248 - - 277 - - 142 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 16 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 183 - - 163 - - 215 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -11 - - 7 - - 5 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -232 - - 1636 - - 2293 - - 1121 - - -572 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4830 - - 5733 - - 5862 - - 5776 - - 5171 sfcLCL ODpotential -2733 - - -376 - - 493 - - -749 - - -3501 ODpotential blCL 7331 - - 7745 - - 7662 - - 7646 - - 8100 blCL maxRH 96 - - 87 - - 89 - - 79 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 170 - - 300 - - 150 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 44.4 - - 46.3 - - 44.8 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 35.3 - - 36.5 - - 35.4 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.6 - - 44.5 - - 46.4 - - 45.3 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 34.0 - - 35.4 - - 34.5 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 103 - - 102 - - 24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1869 - - 2655 - - 1397 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 48 - - 57 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97718 9 302 4 235 12 305 6 270 10 291 97718 90567 5 325 3 009 4 298 5 332 8 275 90567 85018 2 118 3 049 3 153 5 344 5 266 85018 80334 7 137 2 265 7 170 4 234 1 122 80334 76250 2 143 3 267 4 173 3 158 4 126 76250 72622 5 156 5 190 2 244 3 129 6 159 72622 69318 5 115 9 180 5 248 3 174 7 168 69318 66250 2 075 8 199 16 223 15 240 7 241 66250 63384 5 244 11 208 14 212 13 233 11 248 63384 60588 15 255 13 239 18 233 15 246 12 243 60588 57659 23 247 19 248 23 247 21 257 17 249 57659 54625 22 248 22 244 22 251 22 257 22 254 54625 51742 24 259 23 254 22 261 23 256 23 258 51742 49157 25 267 28 257 27 264 26 260 26 261 49157 46846 28 269 30 256 33 262 32 260 30 259 46846 44758 34 267 31 259 36 258 35 256 34 254 44758 42855 37 267 33 261 37 255 38 253 38 251 42855 41104 38 268 36 260 38 255 40 251 40 251 41104 39481 41 266 41 260 40 258 41 252 41 249 39481 37975 45 262 47 260 45 260 43 256 42 246 37975 36581 48 261 53 259 49 257 48 257 48 240 36581 35270 52 264 57 257 53 255 56 255 53 239 35270 33974 57 266 63 258 60 257 67 251 58 243 33974 32660 62 267 71 260 71 258 74 248 62 244 32660 31321 64 268 77 260 76 257 75 247 64 243 31321 29937 59 270 76 260 78 256 73 248 63 243 29937 28500 48 271 67 260 75 256 70 249 61 243 28500 27012 31 268 51 262 65 256 69 250 60 243 27012 25478 16 259 32 264 48 257 65 253 58 243 25478 23901 7 226 16 256 30 257 51 257 52 244 23901 22288 3 221 8 198 13 251 28 262 40 245 22288 20636 2 315 4 159 5 228 9 268 22 243 20636 18937 3 313 3 112 4 208 3 328 8 213 18937 17223 3 312 2 103 4 155 2 341 9 135 17223 15580 3 321 2 118 3 147 5 108 17 109 15580 14085 2 299 2 158 2 103 10 104 19 115 14085 12750 2 279 2 203 1 064 10 101 13 119 12750 11552 2 276 3 227 0 297 8 105 9 117 11552 10475 2 276 3 230 0 229 6 110 6 111 10475 9505 5 285 3 241 1 167 5 112 5 107 9505 8633 5 287 3 252 2*167 4 124 4 111 8633 7854 3 289 3*250 4*158 3 141 3 114 7854 7155 2 258 2*229 6 157 3*170 2 126 7155 6521 2 217 3 197 6 159 4*180 2 145 6521 5953 4 203 3 175 6 162 3 189 2 166 5953 5474 5 194 3 170 6 166 3 220 2 182 5474 5102 5 180 3 170 6 168 4 236 2 192 5102 4845 4 161 3 175 5 170 4 239 2 203 4845 4688 3*150 3 179 5 172 3 242 1*156 4688 4598 2*125 2 181 4 174 3 242 1*104 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography