DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.0 - - 36.3 - - 37.8 - - 35.3 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - -21 - - -10 - - -28 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4580 - - 4580 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4599 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1892 - - 2763 - - 3333 - - 2766 - - 2157 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 159 - - 162 - - 167 - - 132 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -4 - - -7 - - -8 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4597 - - 4597 - - 4597 - - 4598 - - 4597 sfcLCL ODpotential -1502 - - -2288 - - -1690 - - -1770 - - -1470 ODpotential blCL 6100 - - 6886 - - 6288 - - 6369 - - 6068 blCL maxRH 97 - - 91 - - 94 - - 92 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.0 - - 36.3 - - 37.8 - - 35.3 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.5 - - 32.0 - - 34.3 - - 32.9 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.2 - - 38.5 - - 39.6 - - 38.1 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 31.5 - - 33.8 - - 32.9 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - -21 - - -10 - - -28 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 63 - - 75 - - 67 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96267 51 356 46 346 48 357 44 355 46 007 96267 89338 43 357 36 352 29 349 32 347 37 352 89338 83860 42 005 38 001 26 341 28 351 29 347 83860 79211 47 357 44 357 36 350 37 351 36 349 79211 75177 36 345 41 350 40 343 37 347 46 349 75177 71630 28 334 35 342 36 337 37 341 41 338 71630 68432 28 333 27 317 30 320 33 322 38 325 68432 65478 34 323 26 324 28 312 33 303 29 300 65478 62704 37 323 34 321 38 312 32 306 19 303 62704 59962 48 321 42 318 42 317 49 330 31 347 59962 57085 59 310 51 313 54 310 64 303 58 311 57085 54129 57 303 55 306 63 297 62 293 64 298 54129 51327 51 301 51 305 57 301 59 297 68 297 51327 48806 51 301 54 305 59 304 66 295 77 293 48806 46547 53 303 61 305 62 301 68 295 80 292 46547 44499 62 309 69 303 69 298 74 298 81 296 44499 42630 79 308 79 300 81 298 93 299 91 299 42630 40916 100 305 95 299 102 297 115 297 107 298 40916 39336 125 301 117 298 116 297 127 293 122 296 39336 37881 138 297 126 298 123 299 127 290 136 293 37881 36542 137 296 138 304 128 298 127 291 145 291 36542 35269 145 304 151 307 130 295 131 292 142 290 35269 33990 156 309 148 306 131 294 130 292 137 289 33990 32672 153 309 131 305 131 292 123 291 137 290 32672 31321 140 304 125 300 131 291 124 290 141 291 31321 29925 132 299 125 295 130 290 131 289 141 292 29925 28476 137 298 127 293 128 289 133 290 136 291 28476 26976 139 298 128 291 127 290 133 291 129 288 26976 25430 137 297 127 289 126 290 131 291 122 287 25430 23841 126 295 123 287 123 291 127 291 116 287 23841 22214 112 294 113 286 117 289 122 289 110 286 22214 20547 100 293 103 286 107 287 113 286 101 283 20547 18836 92 293 95 287 96 285 100 283 91 280 18836 17111 87 293 87 288 85 283 87 280 81 279 17111 15462 83 293 79 289 75 283 76 281 71 280 15462 13967 79 293 70 289 65 283 66 283 63 282 13967 12636 75 292 61 290 58 283 58 285 56 284 12636 11448 72 289 54 290 53 282 52 287 50 285 11448 10382 68 284 50 288 51 280 49 287 46 285 10382 9424 61 278 49 284 49 277 48 285 42 282 9424 8565 54 272 48 279 45 273 46 281 37 279 8565 7798 46 265 44 274 40 270 42 278 31 275 7798 7111 37 258 38 268 33 267 36 275 25 269 7111 6487 28 248 29 262 25 263 28 271 18 260 6487 5929 20 231 20 252 18 256 20 267 12 239 5929 5458 15 201 13 231 11 241 11 257 9 205 5458 5093 14 174 9 189 7 209 5 221 9 177 5093 4840 13 164 9 168 6 177 5 161 9 161 4840 4686 12*162 7*161 5*166 5*145 8*155 4686 4597 5*156 4*152 3*153 4*123 3*149 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography