DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/20 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1339z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2223z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.8 - - 28.0 - - 32.2 - - 28.2 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 4 - - 5 - - -11 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4619 - - 4619 - - 4620 - - 4620 - - 4620 Hcrit BL Top 4637 - - 4637 - - 4637 - - 4637 - - 4637 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 837 - - 2343 - - 2551 - - 975 - - 313 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 18 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 067 - - 062 - - 114 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -12 - - -9 - - -21 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -967 - - -1154 - - -1266 - - -1020 - - -1842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5604 - - 5792 - - 5903 - - 5657 - - 6479 sfcLCL ODpotential -6721 - - -5473 - - -7015 - - -10804 - - -13031 ODpotential blCL 11358 - - 10110 - - 11652 - - 15441 - - 17668 blCL maxRH 59 - - 60 - - 59 - - 65 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.8 - - 28.0 - - 32.2 - - 28.2 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.1 - - 19.3 - - 22.9 - - 20.1 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.5 - - 29.3 - - 33.5 - - 33.9 - - 32.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.7 - - 17.2 - - 20.6 - - 19.1 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 4 - - 5 - - -11 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96762 34 028 39 034 30 045 37 040 29 035 96762 89896 33 038 36 040 33 048 24 048 25 032 89896 84447 32 047 30 045 33 034 19 053 22 042 84447 79818 26 050 21 062 23 028 19 039 24 046 79818 75782 25 037 22 055 13 039 19 023 23 035 75782 72207 25 022 24 042 10 056 15 014 19 028 72207 68961 21 014 22 024 14 039 18 018 19 022 68961 65956 16 020 22 015 19 015 21 005 20 009 65956 63151 20 020 22 006 19 008 14 011 19 002 63151 60421 26 009 23 007 25 008 19 021 18 003 60421 57570 30 007 29 009 32 006 29 019 26 015 57570 54624 35 359 33 006 40 007 40 014 34 021 54624 51827 36 355 37 003 43 006 43 015 41 025 51827 49316 36 000 38 005 42 008 48 015 50 015 49316 47073 41 008 40 010 44 011 50 007 51 010 47073 45039 48 011 44 016 46 009 44 007 44 014 45039 43169 55 011 49 017 43 013 38 017 42 024 43169 41435 60 010 52 020 45 023 45 024 54 026 41435 39829 62 011 57 027 54 030 57 023 61 024 39829 38347 62 013 71 028 74 026 68 023 67 026 38347 36976 65 019 89 019 89 017 76 022 74 028 36976 35673 72 022 102 009 92 011 77 022 77 027 35673 34368 78 023 85 011 82 008 75 020 73 027 34368 33034 83 025 85 032 70 025 72 016 66 026 33034 31674 82 027 107 040 79 036 69 014 58 022 31674 30275 78 030 112 038 85 038 67 014 53 018 30275 28829 74 029 108 039 83 037 63 016 48 013 28829 27336 70 027 112 045 79 036 58 021 43 007 27336 25799 68 025 103 049 75 032 55 026 41 360 25799 24216 67 023 81 046 70 025 52 028 40 358 24216 22587 67 021 67 034 68 035 49 026 39 001 22587 20907 67 019 66 024 67 047 44 024 37 003 20907 19169 63 022 65 021 59 038 42 021 33 005 19169 17406 56 027 57 024 56 026 42 022 28 006 17406 15713 48 029 47 028 49 022 40 025 23 007 15713 14172 38 028 37 030 36 022 35 024 19 007 14172 12799 31 023 29 025 27 019 29 017 18 005 12799 11575 25 018 24 015 23 012 24 008 16 001 11575 10482 18 015 20 008 21 003 21 003 14 358 10482 9503 13 013 16 006 19 356 19 360 12 357 9503 8629 10 012 12 008 16 352 16 356 11 357 8629 7850 8 014 8 012 13 352 14 351 9 354 7850 7156 7 028 6 015 10 352 12 346 8 351 7156 6528 8 048 4 016 8 352 9 342 7 346 6528 5967 10 059 4 016 6 357 7 343 6 343 5967 5495 9 058 3 023 4 010 5 354 5 346 5495 5130 6 045 2 041 3 045 3 015 3 010 5130 4878 4 004 2 056 2 066 2 073 3 054 4878 4724 3*352 2*069 2*069 3*113 5*081 4724 4636 2*353 2*073 2*069 4*114 5*092 4636 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography