DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.9 - - 45.8 - - 49.2 - - 43.6 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 31 - - 40 - - -9 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 204 - - 1117 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4582 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 5704 - - 6617 - - 4599 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2139 - - 1731 - - 2361 - - 1833 - - 894 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 79 - - 153 - - 4 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 12 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 318 - - 194 - - 112 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -7 - - 8 - - 2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1828 - - -3780 - - -2848 - - -2620 - - -714 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6427 - - 9485 - - 9465 - - 7219 - - 5313 sfcLCL ODpotential -8283 - - -10239 - - -8612 - - -7915 - - -6284 ODpotential blCL 12882 - - 15943 - - 15229 - - 12514 - - 10883 blCL maxRH 74 - - 72 - - 84 - - 85 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.9 - - 45.8 - - 49.2 - - 43.6 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.2 - - 20.6 - - 23.9 - - 28.2 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 46.5 - - 49.8 - - 46.8 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 19.9 - - 23.2 - - 27.6 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 31 - - 40 - - -9 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 204 - - 1117 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 40 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95445 14 000 16 026 4 307 19 304 17 349 95445 88735 12 022 7 346 10 328 9 331 9 345 88735 83460 9 002 8 354 4 357 11 343 5 327 83460 79008 6 059 3 346 9 313 8 336 5 286 79008 75107 2 018 2 014 8 272 12 278 5 351 75107 71600 3 066 7 303 5 235 16 244 13 284 71600 68410 5 338 7 148 11 205 13 254 15 256 68410 65475 12 258 14 259 9 206 7 121 10 179 65475 62710 9 230 23 260 24 257 23 269 21 249 62710 60031 7 196 16 234 33 255 35 249 33 237 60031 57264 11 265 11 194 26 248 25 252 26 227 57264 54361 25 237 14 242 22 274 31 263 24 242 54361 51548 42 249 40 268 35 275 42 260 40 252 51548 49015 42 246 49 266 56 266 44 260 57 249 49015 46781 40 256 58 268 63 264 45 263 58 248 46781 44804 45 262 62 269 60 269 55 273 59 260 44804 43027 51 265 59 269 58 279 76 280 68 265 43027 41394 62 268 58 272 68 287 84 276 75 261 41394 39872 68 269 61 278 84 285 82 272 80 258 39872 38446 63 273 72 285 93 282 83 271 83 257 38446 37110 66 287 81 287 93 280 85 270 82 259 37110 35832 85 295 84 285 86 279 84 267 80 260 35832 34545 95 293 81 280 78 277 78 264 78 260 34545 33222 91 290 75 275 77 276 75 264 76 260 33222 31865 84 289 70 272 78 279 75 268 74 258 31865 30463 79 288 68 271 79 282 73 273 73 256 30463 29007 77 287 67 270 75 282 70 276 72 256 29007 27502 75 286 65 270 68 280 67 276 67 257 27502 25949 73 286 60 269 65 277 66 273 62 258 25949 24351 68 284 51 272 66 276 67 268 60 257 24351 22710 60 282 45 279 65 276 67 266 61 256 22710 21022 53 280 47 284 63 277 65 265 62 255 21022 19279 49 279 54 285 59 279 60 266 58 254 19279 17514 49 279 59 284 54 280 54 265 53 253 17514 15819 48 281 56 281 49 280 46 265 49 252 15819 14275 46 285 50 276 43 277 38 264 46 250 14275 12897 42 291 44 274 37 272 32 262 43 246 12897 11664 38 297 38 275 30 267 28 257 41 241 11664 10559 34 300 32 280 24 259 24 250 39 235 10559 9566 29 300 27 286 19 249 22 239 37 228 9566 8677 24 297 22 292 15 237 20 226 35 221 8677 7885 20 289 19 297 14 223 20 211 32 212 7885 7177 16 277 16 300 13*210 20 197 30 204 7177 6536 13 260 14 301 14*200 21 190 27 195 6536 5962 11 241 12*304 14 195 21 187 25 186 5962 5479 10 229 8*310 13 192 20 186 24 179 5479 5105 10 225 5 318 13 191 18 183 23 173 5105 4846 9 225 2 329 11 190 15 176 18 166 4846 4688 7*226 1 340 9 190 10*169 13*159 4688 4598 3*172 1 354 6 190 2*112 3*124 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography