DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.2 - - 83.8 - - 88.0 - - 85.1 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 80 - - 480 - - 580 - - 350 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 681 - - 1019 - - 539 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2582 - - 3860 - - 4130 - - 3689 - - 2583 Hcrit BL Top 2600 - - 4218 - - 4556 - - 4076 - - 2600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1194 - - 708 - - 843 - - 633 - - 1052 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 283 - - 344 - - 235 - - 18 W* B/S 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 209 - - 211 - - 214 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 34 - - 40 - - 36 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5015 - - -4215 - - -4226 - - -4537 - - -4485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7616 - - 8434 - - 8783 - - 8613 - - 7085 sfcLCL ODpotential -11548 - - -8919 - - -7846 - - -9026 - - -10474 ODpotential blCL 14148 - - 13137 - - 12402 - - 13102 - - 13074 blCL maxRH 56 - - 61 - - 54 - - 59 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.2 - - 83.8 - - 88.0 - - 85.1 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.1 - - 55.9 - - 58.4 - - 56.5 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.0 - - 82.1 - - 85.9 - - 83.7 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.1 - - 55.9 - - 58.4 - - 56.4 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 80 - - 480 - - 580 - - 350 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 681 - - 1019 - - 539 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98767 46 090 36 101 44 105 35 109 33 108 98767 91340 34 092 30 100 34 097 32 108 32 100 91340 85627 31 096 30 104 29 101 29 102 30 096 85627 80894 29 094 28 107 23 108 24 090 28 094 80894 76816 24 091 25 107 22 106 21 094 26 094 76816 73208 20 089 23 102 23 101 19 107 22 095 73208 69942 16 100 20 094 22 099 21 111 19 098 69942 66947 17 106 15 095 17 095 22 106 16 102 66947 64190 18 095 11 097 11 097 17 095 15 102 64190 61541 14 093 9 119 6 090 11 078 15 095 61541 58799 9 104 13 133 5 158 6 037 11 076 58799 55981 10 137 10 132 10 161 3 183 5 061 55981 53325 13 138 9 137 11 157 12 176 4 151 53325 50962 10 121 10 129 13 149 16 166 14 172 50962 48853 2 191 4 137 12 140 16 163 17 165 48853 46930 10 225 7 210 6 181 9 171 13 174 46930 45152 16 216 12 201 10 212 10 201 15 187 45152 43489 19 207 13 195 11 208 12 201 16 191 43489 41922 17 194 11 188 11 197 12 201 15 191 41922 40442 15 182 10 178 10 189 14 201 13 195 40442 39041 10 178 9 173 9 187 11 207 12 199 39041 37688 8 157 9 172 10 189 8 218 10 198 37688 36312 3 144 9 167 10 185 9 208 10 196 36312 34886 7 337 5 132 6 156 9 166 9 210 34886 33416 12 332 9 013 7 016 1 066 3 200 33416 31888 14 338 12 007 11 006 9 356 6 014 31888 30292 14 358 13 017 12 024 10 019 10 006 30292 28626 16 012 11 023 9 035 8 037 9 001 28626 26890 16 013 8 018 5 012 5 352 10 340 26890 25087 14 005 10 002 8 351 9 342 12 349 25087 23222 16 355 13 002 11 359 12 355 13 004 23222 21286 16 000 11 010 12 007 12 010 12 016 21286 19280 9 019 4 039 5 358 10 015 10 028 19280 17245 3 078 1 120 2 192 3 020 4 040 17245 15292 5 177 5 204 4 200 3 165 4 190 15292 13516 9 195 9 206 5 204 5 173 6 165 13516 11930 9 200 9 204 6 197 6 178 6 176 11930 10514 6 199 6 202 6 184 6 179 6 194 10514 9247 3 198 4 214 6 180 6 176 5 211 9247 8115 2 211 4 243 5 183 7 180 5 228 8115 7105 2 236 4 261 4 196 7 190 5 243 7105 6211 1 250 3 271 3 190 6 196 5 252 6211 5418 1 257 1 289 2 180 4 202 4 261 5418 4706 1 287 1*328 1*163 3 212 4 264 4706 4075 1 317 1*213 3*198 3*212 3 271 4075 3548 2 335 5 206 7 210 6*214 2 290 3548 3144 2 343 6 208 8 212 7 214 0 203 3144 2865 1 328 7 210 8 213 8 214 1 201 2865 2696 1*298 7 210 8 213 8 215 2*203 2696 2599 1*279 7 210 8 214 7 215 2*207 2599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography