DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 70.3 - - 66.5 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 136 - - -3 - - -113 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1908 - - 338 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4376 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 5445 - - 3875 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3657 - - 2821 - - 1956 - - 265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 270 - - 56 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 11 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 065 - - 084 - - 062 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 3 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -91 - - -37 - - -64 - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9773 - - -7874 - - -8293 - - -8979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12397 - - 13320 - - 12169 - - 11603 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16549 - - -14441 - - -14818 - - -16845 ODpotential blCL - - - 19172 - - 19886 - - 18693 - - 19468 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 30 - - 27 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 70.3 - - 66.5 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 21.1 - - 22.7 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 70.0 - - 67.4 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 20.0 - - 21.6 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 136 - - -3 - - -113 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1908 - - 338 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95916 42 286 39 292 52 290 40 284 95916 88829 19 311 28 304 30 288 30 300 88829 83397 12 344 19 299 27 300 26 319 83397 78908 17 338 14 324 19 308 15 307 78908 75032 21 324 15 339 13 326 10 287 75032 71583 17 310 18 330 18 336 14 306 71583 68460 16 310 23 307 22 328 18 308 68460 65602 13 308 22 291 24 313 18 320 65602 62959 15 313 24 285 29 299 22 315 62959 60394 22 309 27 293 32 289 26 298 60394 57702 25 312 27 290 29 284 29 286 57702 54889 30 300 28 287 27 285 30 294 54889 52194 33 283 33 291 30 303 33 305 52194 49765 34 281 37 305 35 306 31 299 49765 47577 40 292 40 307 32 309 22 319 47577 45572 44 298 46 303 32 327 40 344 45572 43730 42 295 55 291 43 336 57 336 43730 42048 35 287 43 283 49 330 53 339 42048 40503 27 290 19 291 33 337 40 341 40503 39058 22 340 26 000 23 359 35 018 39058 37701 39 006 50 019 36 041 56 039 37701 36401 57 017 70 026 64 044 70 040 36401 35088 80 023 83 028 76 036 71 033 35088 33732 94 026 86 032 76 033 66 025 33732 32332 70 025 78 037 73 036 64 018 32332 30873 36 007 66 037 68 039 62 016 30873 29344 24 341 47 033 58 037 60 024 29344 27746 19 342 28 017 50 025 61 032 27746 26079 17 344 22 357 51 028 54 033 26079 24347 18 342 22 356 44 039 47 025 24347 22555 19 347 23 004 29 038 35 030 22555 20698 20 355 25 008 21 022 25 056 20698 18766 19 356 23 011 22 015 17 043 18766 16799 16 356 20 011 21 019 25 013 16799 14904 10 001 18 009 19 025 29 018 14904 13178 6 357 15 010 16 029 23 029 13178 11641 4 349 12 011 16 029 17 032 11641 10272 4 348 11 016 15 027 13 030 10272 9049 5 358 9 023 12 027 10 034 9049 7957 2 005 6 052 9 038 7 048 7957 6985 1 158 5 101 7 054 6 068 6985 6123 3 140 6*108 9 064 7 080 6123 5357 5 117 8*100 12 069 9 079 5357 4668 7 100 10 089 16 068 11 074 4668 4057 11 080 12 082 18*066 15 068 4057 3545 19 069 12 080 18*064 20 067 3545 3151 20 066 12 079 17 062 23 068 3151 2880 19 065 11 078 14 061 21 067 2880 2716 17*064 9 079 12 060 16*063 2716 2622 10*063 6 080 7 058 9*056 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography