DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 64.6 - - 70.9 - - 69.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 275 - - 457 - - 208 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1003 - - 1647 - - 1185 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3972 - - 4550 - - 4006 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4540 - - 5184 - - 4722 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1708 - - 769 - - 772 - - 806 - - 1487 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 268 - - 373 - - 257 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 142 - - 184 - - 197 - - 215 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 27 - - 36 - - 32 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -504 - - 773 - - -460 - - -708 - - -804 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3127 - - 3767 - - 5644 - - 5430 - - 3428 sfcLCL ODpotential -9370 - - 36 - - -6840 - - -7530 - - -9362 ODpotential blCL 11993 - - 4504 - - 12024 - - 12252 - - 11986 blCL maxRH 90 - - 94 - - 82 - - 78 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 64.6 - - 70.9 - - 69.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.2 - - 57.0 - - 55.1 - - 54.6 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.5 - - 63.7 - - 69.0 - - 68.8 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.2 - - 56.8 - - 54.9 - - 54.6 - - 55.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 275 - - 457 - - 208 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1003 - - 1647 - - 1185 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 77 - - 26 - - 12 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98838 16 090 19 091 22 112 15 130 16 059 98838 91456 23 102 19 106 26 113 19 113 18 080 91456 85757 25 107 25 109 22 112 21 090 27 090 85757 81020 20 113 19 100 17 103 20 095 24 095 81020 76931 17 114 17 105 18 097 19 094 20 104 76931 73327 17 135 19 113 18 103 19 086 17 097 73327 70073 15 112 15 134 13 122 14 097 14 107 70073 67074 6 114 16 126 10 127 9 100 10 096 67074 64288 2 285 10 132 4 164 1 112 0 159 64288 61599 9 234 5 186 3 245 3 308 4 337 61599 58811 10 223 14 186 13 220 16 253 12 275 58811 55945 18 260 14 236 19 226 22 249 20 266 55945 53226 32 258 31 251 31 240 32 244 31 258 53226 50778 46 255 38 253 38 248 38 250 36 260 50778 48577 56 252 47 248 47 252 45 256 43 262 48577 46576 60 249 53 242 54 250 51 259 49 262 46576 44736 60 250 53 243 56 248 55 260 53 262 44736 43028 61 252 54 247 57 249 58 261 53 262 43028 41429 61 252 55 249 56 250 59 260 53 261 41429 39926 59 251 54 249 54 249 59 258 53 262 39926 38509 58 247 53 249 53 248 57 256 55 262 38509 37144 56 245 52 249 51 248 56 254 56 257 37144 35767 54 246 51 248 51 246 53 253 54 256 35767 34353 55 248 50 246 50 244 49 250 51 255 34353 32903 55 252 49 247 47 244 47 247 48 252 32903 31400 53 252 50 249 46 246 46 249 47 250 31400 29829 46 253 47 250 45 247 45 250 45 250 29829 28194 39 249 42 244 41 243 42 248 41 248 28194 26493 36 245 39 242 40 244 40 248 39 249 26493 24724 35 242 38 242 38 245 38 252 37 251 24724 22891 33 240 34 239 35 244 35 251 36 252 22891 20990 26 235 30 233 32 239 32 248 34 250 20990 19018 22 236 26 232 29 236 29 244 30 247 19018 17010 23 235 25 233 26 237 26 243 27 247 17010 15072 23 234 24 234 24 237 23 241 24 246 15072 13305 22 232 23 236 22 236 21 239 21 242 13305 11731 20 231 19 234 19 234 18 235 18 236 11731 10332 19 229 16 229 15 227 15 228 15 231 10332 9087 17 226 13 227 12 222 12 221 12 219 9087 7979 15 223 11 230 9 214 10 207 11 207 7979 6996 11 216 7 231 6 203 8 196 11 197 6996 6127 9 201 4 217 5 188 4 195 10 191 6127 5358 8 181 4 190 5*187 3*200 8 187 5358 4668 8 170 5*177 6*189 3*206 5 189 4668 4057 9 162 6*176 7 193 5 215 3 205 4057 3546 10 151 6 180 7 197 6 216 2 211 3546 3153 9 144 7 185 8 200 7 216 2 198 3153 2882 8 142 7 188 8 202 7 217 3 186 2882 2717 6*140 7 190 8 203 7 217 2*180 2717 2623 4*140 6 192 7 204 6 217 2*183 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography