DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.5 - - 68.2 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 445 - - 215 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1217 - - 1662 - - 974 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4192 - - 4561 - - 3876 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4754 - - 5199 - - 4511 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 728 - - 905 - - 888 - - 1349 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 374 - - 246 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 255 - - 269 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 39 - - 30 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1402 - - -1464 - - -1878 - - -2229 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6156 - - 6663 - - 6390 - - 4852 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5435 - - -4291 - - -5177 - - -7527 ODpotential blCL - - - 10189 - - 9490 - - 9688 - - 10150 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 65 - - 63 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.5 - - 68.2 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 48.3 - - 49.2 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 66.7 - - 67.3 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 47.6 - - 48.7 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 445 - - 215 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1217 - - 1662 - - 974 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98134 16 250 17 249 15 244 18 290 98134 90656 10 227 16 240 15 260 14 270 90656 84899 12 254 15 258 14 271 16 265 84899 80131 15 253 20 274 20 284 19 279 80131 76034 12 255 18 269 20 285 16 275 76034 72426 12 267 14 273 18 290 11 290 72426 69170 13 273 13 275 18 284 15 308 69170 66182 15 284 16 276 20 272 20 292 66182 63407 20 279 21 278 22 273 20 292 63407 60710 23 267 24 271 22 279 22 295 60710 57899 19 281 17 271 19 271 20 293 57899 54985 22 296 19 287 15 284 19 302 54985 52210 21 282 20 279 17 280 20 296 52210 49736 13 313 14 313 10 346 12 351 49736 47549 20 321 8 325 11 309 17 026 47549 45576 25 008 21 022 23 024 24 021 45576 43772 33 358 35 024 42 027 30 024 43772 42111 31 025 39 036 47 041 35 036 42111 40569 40 047 46 051 52 051 41 045 40569 39124 50 048 54 054 55 054 44 048 39124 37764 54 046 54 053 54 055 46 048 37764 36452 54 046 53 050 51 056 46 046 36452 35125 53 048 51 048 48 055 45 045 35125 33754 51 051 50 048 46 052 42 045 33754 32342 48 052 48 048 45 049 40 045 32342 30876 45 053 45 049 44 047 39 046 30876 29344 41 053 41 048 42 047 38 048 29344 27746 39 052 38 047 39 049 35 050 27746 26082 38 049 35 047 35 050 31 050 26082 24352 36 046 32 045 31 049 27 050 24352 22559 34 044 29 041 27 047 24 047 22559 20699 32 045 26 040 25 046 23 047 20699 18767 30 047 23 045 24 048 22 053 18767 16800 28 048 22 054 24 054 22 061 16800 14907 27 049 24 059 26 060 23 066 14907 13184 24 052 26 060 26 060 22 067 13184 11650 20 054 27 059 22 057 19 066 11650 10282 16 048 22 054 19 053 16 065 10282 9058 14 034 19 045 17 048 11 061 9058 7963 14 017 17 033 14 034 8 042 7963 6986 15 006 15 016 12 013 8 012 6986 6119 16 002 12 000 12 351 11 354 6119 5351 13*359 7*333 11 333 13 346 5351 4662 7*347 6*311 9*316 12 340 4662 4052 4 306 7 260 8*289 10 333 4052 3543 4 279 8 251 8 273 6 321 3543 3151 5 262 8 246 8 266 4 304 3151 2881 5 254 8 243 8 260 3 280 2881 2716 5 250 8 241 7 258 2*263 2716 2622 5 248 7 240 6 255 1*252 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography