DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 70.7 - - 68.8 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 509 - - 609 - - 362 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 875 - - 1437 - - 1158 - - 145 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4008 - - 4449 - - 4148 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4412 - - 4974 - - 4695 - - 3682 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 579 - - 746 - - 836 - - 753 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 393 - - 308 - - 64 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 204 - - 211 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 43 - - 39 - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -547 - - -1091 - - -966 - - 360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4960 - - 6065 - - 5662 - - 3322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6656 - - -6104 - - -5976 - - -5876 ODpotential blCL - - - 11068 - - 11078 - - 10671 - - 9558 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 77 - - 77 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 70.7 - - 68.8 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 52.9 - - 52.8 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 68.3 - - 67.2 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 52.8 - - 52.7 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 509 - - 609 - - 362 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 875 - - 1437 - - 1158 - - 145 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 10 - - 9 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98785 28 115 26 118 20 104 30 095 98785 91332 29 105 28 110 24 102 28 101 91332 85615 25 095 31 098 25 113 26 104 85615 80862 18 108 22 090 25 101 25 104 80862 76766 20 119 17 094 20 078 21 106 76766 73157 14 113 16 101 15 091 14 092 73157 69895 9 097 20 105 12 118 10 077 69895 66883 11 070 11 089 10 119 4 081 66883 64090 5 245 5 023 5 078 3 077 64090 61391 17 234 13 274 8 303 8 298 61391 58585 18 242 23 262 17 275 15 281 58585 55686 22 259 27 263 25 267 26 273 55686 52926 32 270 34 263 36 263 37 271 52926 50444 45 274 45 267 45 266 44 263 50444 48218 56 274 55 270 52 269 52 264 48218 46201 63 273 62 270 60 269 60 268 46201 44358 67 271 66 271 64 269 66 271 44358 42654 69 269 69 270 69 271 72 272 42654 41066 70 268 72 267 73 268 76 269 41066 39575 71 271 72 266 74 265 76 267 39575 38172 73 273 73 268 74 265 76 268 38172 36820 72 273 74 269 75 267 77 267 36820 35457 68 270 70 268 74 266 78 265 35457 34050 62 267 67 266 71 266 76 265 34050 32603 56 269 64 264 69 266 75 266 32603 31102 53 274 58 262 68 263 74 265 31102 29535 51 276 55 265 66 261 73 263 29535 27905 48 278 53 267 62 261 70 264 27905 26210 46 280 49 266 59 261 64 266 26210 24451 45 282 45 268 57 257 60 266 24451 22633 42 281 42 268 54 254 57 267 22633 20749 39 278 39 264 50 254 57 266 20749 18794 35 277 35 262 46 252 55 265 18794 16809 31 279 30 263 38 253 47 264 16809 14901 27 279 26 265 29 256 36 261 14901 13168 20 280 21 263 21 252 27 255 13168 11627 14 276 15 259 15 251 20 250 11627 10253 7 253 10 233 11 241 13 247 10253 9027 7 162 10 201 9 229 9 248 9027 7932 10 130 10 181 9 225 7 257 7932 6959 7 105 10 168 8 224 6 261 6959 6098 8 071 6 160 6 232 5 259 6098 5335 5 065 5*175 4*224 4 258 5335 4650 2*101 5*191 5*215 3 225 4650 4044 3*185 7 200 6 210 3*179 4044 3538 5 206 8 205 7 210 5*172 3538 3149 7 208 9 207 8 210 5 181 3149 2880 7 210 9 208 8 211 5 185 2880 2716 7 210 9 209 8 211 5 186 2716 2622 7 210 8 210 7 211 4 188 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography