DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 75.6 - - 71.6 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 545 - - 321 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 738 - - 1373 - - 803 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3895 - - 4383 - - 3870 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4275 - - 4910 - - 4340 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 662 - - 948 - - 753 - - 1147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 374 - - 262 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 201 - - 201 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 41 - - 35 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2699 - - -2558 - - -1923 - - -1505 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6974 - - 7469 - - 6264 - - 4128 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8249 - - -6895 - - -7097 - - -8551 ODpotential blCL - - - 12524 - - 11805 - - 11437 - - 11174 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 60 - - 65 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 75.6 - - 71.6 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 51.8 - - 53.0 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.0 - - 73.2 - - 70.1 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 51.5 - - 52.8 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 545 - - 321 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 738 - - 1373 - - 803 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98501 8 131 8 094 3 063 9 356 98501 91035 14 133 6 126 9 141 1 008 91035 85282 16 119 8 130 10 108 12 084 85282 80509 16 102 16 107 14 100 17 114 80509 76422 14 089 15 098 14 091 17 104 76422 72843 9 101 11 078 17 075 18 090 72843 69623 16 090 9 093 15 087 15 093 69623 66664 12 075 7 135 6 090 15 083 66664 63914 7 082 6 186 1 251 7 050 63914 61249 7 163 9 211 8 259 4 335 61249 58460 7 179 9 206 10 244 7 262 58460 55555 14 223 13 237 17 249 19 260 55555 52774 19 241 19 241 24 246 27 257 52774 50267 27 249 25 252 27 247 26 255 50267 48021 32 249 29 256 27 254 29 261 48021 45996 32 252 30 252 30 255 33 255 45996 44157 33 254 29 252 30 260 31 257 44157 42475 32 253 26 253 29 270 30 272 42475 40921 30 252 21 260 27 275 31 283 40921 39468 26 254 17 281 26 281 32 288 39468 38099 19 263 16 298 24 287 30 287 38099 36776 14 270 15 306 21 292 25 283 36776 35435 12 263 11 295 16 288 19 279 35435 34048 14 249 9 271 14 287 18 283 34048 32619 17 243 12 251 12 289 16 295 32619 31137 24 240 17 246 10 291 13 302 31137 29588 27 240 18 249 9 281 10 299 29588 27973 26 247 19 255 11 264 8 296 27973 26289 21 251 16 261 12 256 7 276 26289 24542 15 250 12 258 9 252 5 253 24542 22733 13 249 11 249 9 247 4 256 22733 20856 14 250 12 249 8 248 3 284 20856 18904 14 244 11 242 7 244 3 266 18904 16918 11 240 8 235 6 232 5 214 16918 15003 6 223 5 213 4 210 5 189 15003 13260 3 177 6 160 6 144 8 144 13260 11707 5 127 10 140 11 126 10 122 11707 10323 9 122 14 130 13 123 10 101 10323 9087 11 124 14 125 13 129 9 094 9087 7983 12 128 14 127 12 139 7 111 7983 7001 9 131 12 136 10 149 7 134 7001 6132 4 135 8 141 7 153 6 148 6132 5361 1 157 5*155 4 155 5 156 5361 4670 1*266 5*183 3*161 4 153 4670 4057 1*230 6 196 4*183 3 142 4057 3545 4 216 7 202 6 200 3 131 3545 3153 5 214 8 205 7 202 3 155 3153 2882 6 214 9 206 8 205 3 172 2882 2717 6 213 8 207 7 205 2*175 2717 2622 6 214 8 208 7 206 2*180 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography