DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 87.2 - - 95.2 - - 98.4 - - 92.9 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 65 - - 430 - - 547 - - 305 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4190 - - 6995 - - 2255 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2663 - - 6487 - - 8819 - - 4901 - - 2663 Hcrit BL Top 2680 - - 7727 - - 10532 - - 5792 - - 2680 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2947 - - 4414 - - 3664 - - 3082 - - 1435 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 500 - - 642 - - 363 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 19 - - 25 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 292 - - 283 - - 268 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 20 - - 23 - - 19 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -46 - - 40 - - 72 - - 69 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12711 - - -9307 - - -6995 - - -10461 - - -9559 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15391 - - 17035 - - 17527 - - 16254 - - 12240 sfcLCL ODpotential -19278 - - -14208 - - -11608 - - -17410 - - -16649 ODpotential blCL 21958 - - 21935 - - 22140 - - 23202 - - 19329 blCL maxRH 30 - - 27 - - 31 - - 28 - - 20 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 87.2 - - 95.2 - - 98.4 - - 92.9 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 29.1 - - 29.7 - - 30.6 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 87.4 - - 93.6 - - 96.6 - - 91.7 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.2 - - 29.1 - - 29.6 - - 30.6 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 65 - - 430 - - 547 - - 305 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4190 - - 6995 - - 2255 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98881 24 092 28 108 24 116 18 117 22 096 98881 91856 17 095 20 101 21 105 22 111 23 110 91856 86345 15 099 15 087 21 101 23 100 20 111 86345 81712 18 098 16 093 19 102 21 097 18 099 81712 77705 21 099 18 101 17 099 19 103 17 095 77705 74172 21 097 19 107 15 098 18 105 17 096 74172 70986 20 094 20 111 14 095 17 101 15 100 70986 68067 17 091 20 114 14 098 14 097 14 107 68067 65373 14 096 18 117 11 110 10 099 12 112 65373 62777 12 101 15 122 10 132 6 110 10 121 62777 60088 9 105 12 131 11 151 4 181 7 146 60088 57325 4 147 5 157 9 171 6 196 5 198 57325 54714 9 237 8 262 8 247 7 224 7 206 54714 52374 16 229 16 258 16 267 13 275 10 271 52374 50273 21 230 22 253 24 261 23 271 21 284 50273 48359 24 239 24 250 29 254 30 262 29 279 48359 46592 27 247 26 254 32 253 33 259 34 276 46592 44945 31 256 28 263 33 259 35 265 38 277 44945 43399 35 265 33 274 36 267 38 273 41 280 43399 41940 41 271 37 280 39 272 41 278 42 282 41940 40558 45 274 40 283 41 275 43 281 43 283 40558 39216 47 276 42 284 42 276 46 284 44 284 39216 37845 46 277 41 284 42 277 48 285 44 284 37845 36418 44 279 40 284 42 277 49 284 44 285 36418 34936 43 280 40 284 42 277 48 284 43 284 34936 33385 42 278 39 283 41 276 45 282 41 283 33385 31751 41 271 39 279 38 276 41 281 38 282 31751 30035 39 262 39 272 35 274 37 279 34 282 30035 28235 37 255 37 266 35 269 35 276 30 282 28235 26354 33 254 32 262 32 264 32 272 26 282 26354 24395 25 248 26 255 28 259 29 268 23 280 24395 22354 19 246 20 249 23 256 25 266 23 275 22354 20224 15 260 15 252 20 252 22 263 23 271 20224 18053 17 279 17 269 19 261 21 265 23 270 18053 15962 25 280 29 272 27 271 27 272 26 273 15962 14060 33 275 38 270 37 272 36 275 32 276 14060 12371 37 270 40 268 41 273 41 278 36 278 12371 10868 36 267 38 268 39*275 42 281 39 280 10868 9531 33 269 34 272 35*279 40 286 40 283 9531 8343 31 275 31*280 32 285 37 291 39 287 8343 7291 29 285 29*290 29 289 34 293 36 292 7291 6364 29 294 27 296 26 289 30*292 32 295 6364 5546 28 301 23 298 24 286 25*288 28 295 5546 4816 25 307 18 294 22 282 19 278 24 293 4816 4172 22 314 15 288 21 277 16 265 19 292 4172 3638 19 324 14 284 20 274 15 258 15 292 3638 3228 16 334 13 280 19 273 14 255 10 292 3228 2947 13 339 13 279 18 271 14 252 7 289 2947 2776 11*340 12 277 16 269 13 250 5*289 2776 2679 8*340 10 273 13 267 10 248 3*298 2679 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography