DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 89.2 - - 87.1 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 558 - - 321 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 557 - - 1043 - - 530 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3758 - - 4143 - - 3649 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4580 - - 4067 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 681 - - 707 - - 630 - - 829 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 343 - - 228 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 207 - - 207 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 35 - - 33 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4762 - - -4736 - - -4347 - - -2877 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8856 - - 9317 - - 8414 - - 5502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9972 - - -8950 - - -8664 - - -9846 ODpotential blCL - - - 14066 - - 13530 - - 12731 - - 12470 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 81 - - 68 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 180 - - 270 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 89.2 - - 87.1 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 57.5 - - 59.3 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.2 - - 86.7 - - 85.6 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 57.4 - - 59.3 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 558 - - 321 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 557 - - 1043 - - 530 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 24 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99160 40 105 38 106 27 105 33 101 99160 91699 36 112 37 111 30 094 36 096 91699 85929 35 108 37 110 36 106 33 092 85929 81148 35 097 34 101 40 107 31 103 81148 77042 34 094 32 111 36 102 31 108 77042 73422 31 094 32 108 29 105 28 096 73422 70155 24 109 23 100 27 109 24 098 70155 67162 26 125 15 106 21 089 22 110 67162 64391 16 104 18 130 10 096 17 087 64391 61729 9 089 20 131 10 119 10 072 61729 58982 11 125 8 092 7 100 11 092 58982 56157 18 145 5 084 5 076 7 084 56157 53494 20 132 16 168 7 174 5 169 53494 51123 12 104 23 146 21 168 13 205 51123 48998 7 048 16 113 24 163 21 184 48998 47051 5 015 8 082 15 125 16 163 47051 45247 3 345 1 056 6 103 11 128 45247 43566 5 275 7 219 4 180 3 147 43566 41987 12 235 14 217 12 218 8 237 41987 40498 16 229 19 216 14 229 9 242 40498 39088 18 231 18 217 17 234 10 247 39088 37724 16 245 13 228 15 227 9 236 37724 36338 10 250 7 253 6 232 6 205 36338 34901 5 190 5 184 5 173 7 175 34901 33419 9 132 10 132 12 149 12 168 33419 31880 11 122 12 116 16 133 18 152 31880 30273 13 110 14 113 19 123 20 142 30273 28603 15 102 15 111 18 124 15 142 28603 26869 15 114 15 112 16 133 14 133 26869 25073 17 149 16 133 13 136 14 120 25073 23220 24 143 20 139 14 138 13 114 23220 21303 30 130 24 136 16 138 15 116 21303 19317 30 123 24 130 19 132 18 119 19317 17298 26 118 21 128 21 122 19 114 17298 15349 17 107 16 128 17 117 19 107 15349 13570 10 077 12 125 12 110 18 097 13570 11979 6 054 9 117 12 102 14 088 11979 10557 3 060 6 122 11 097 8 087 10557 9284 1 094 6 133 8 106 5 120 9284 8147 2 204 5 143 6 135 4 152 8147 7134 4 201 5 153 5 155 4 173 7134 6236 4 201 5 160 5 161 4 186 6236 5442 4 197 4 167 3 181 4 192 5442 4729 3 190 3*185 2 214 4 185 4729 4098 2*204 4*196 2*211 4 177 4098 3571 3*215 6 205 5*205 4 154 3571 3167 5 218 7 208 6 207 5 134 3167 2889 6 218 7 209 7 208 4 139 2889 2720 6 218 7 209 7 207 4*145 2720 2623 5 218 7 210 6 209 3*149 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography