DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 71.0 - - 68.9 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 536 - - 303 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 590 - - 1027 - - 668 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3791 - - 4127 - - 3756 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4127 - - 4564 - - 4205 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 468 - - 526 - - 590 - - 1076 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 338 - - 242 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 213 - - 216 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 38 - - 30 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1392 - - -1397 - - -1507 - - -1041 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5520 - - 5961 - - 5712 - - 3665 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6182 - - -5248 - - -6063 - - -7353 ODpotential blCL - - - 10309 - - 9812 - - 10268 - - 9976 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 74 - - 70 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 71.0 - - 68.9 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 53.6 - - 52.7 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 68.6 - - 67.6 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 53.3 - - 52.4 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 536 - - 303 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 590 - - 1027 - - 668 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98101 10 147 6 123 5 144 7 058 98101 90666 9 133 6 187 5 056 6 068 90666 84950 7 148 7 138 4 154 3 061 84950 80221 6 170 3 121 6 118 3 079 80221 76144 5 156 3 233 4 171 2 013 76144 72525 3 287 3 164 6 182 5 205 72525 69244 6 257 3 241 2 194 4 192 69244 66241 8 284 9 258 4 294 2 300 66241 63466 10 268 10 244 9 285 10 308 63466 60778 9 275 11 270 15 292 15 308 60778 57978 13 291 15 290 21 300 19 314 57978 55089 18 317 14 306 20 300 23 302 55089 52343 23 308 21 315 23 303 24 299 52343 49882 24 303 26 308 27 302 26 300 49882 47697 24 316 24 306 28 304 27 306 47697 45734 31 325 27 333 25 311 25 311 45734 43946 39 324 33 331 27 324 26 323 43946 42295 40 321 30 328 29 321 28 321 42295 40754 37 323 28 339 28 316 27 318 40754 39303 35 325 31 347 26 322 26 321 39303 37932 34 326 34 350 26 332 25 327 37932 36609 30 327 33 349 25 342 24 334 36609 35268 27 334 31 347 24 349 21 336 35268 33882 26 338 29 350 24 350 19 341 33882 32453 24 341 28 353 22 348 19 341 32453 30966 23 342 28 353 22 352 20 344 30966 29412 22 333 23 350 18 356 20 351 29412 27791 21 322 19 346 15 346 17 343 27791 26107 15 323 15 345 15 338 16 331 26107 24361 11 328 12 352 13 336 16 328 24361 22558 10 335 8 342 11 339 15 337 22558 20693 12 349 8 002 8 341 12 345 20693 18762 13 359 9 017 7 004 7 003 18762 16798 6 013 5 010 6 014 4 047 16798 14908 2 066 2 010 3 043 5 095 14908 13188 3 177 3 154 3 125 6 107 13188 11654 3 217 6 165 4 183 3 117 11654 10283 4 272 5 188 5 220 1 287 10283 9056 6 305 4 228 6 247 5 293 9056 7959 9 319 4 267 7 266 8 297 7959 6981 10 330 5 293 9 278 11 294 6981 6115 11 343 6 305 9 280 11 291 6115 5348 9 347 4 304 8 279 9 286 5348 4659 6*350 2*251 4*273 7 284 4659 4049 1*324 4*214 3*235 4 282 4049 3540 4 213 6 213 5 215 0 232 3540 3149 5 211 7 212 6 214 2 164 3149 2880 6 211 8 214 6 214 3 181 2880 2716 6 211 8 214 6 214 3*185 2716 2622 6 210 7 214 6 214 2*186 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography