DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 67.8 - - 70.5 - - 64.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -214 - - -39 - - 35 - - -48 - - -146 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 2624 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 1965 - - 3683 - - 870 - - 91 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 27 - - 39 - - 20 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 062 - - 075 - - 050 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -53 - - -29 - - -45 - - -29 - - -48 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7584 - - -7215 - - -6760 - - -5498 - - -7768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10207 - - 9840 - - 9385 - - 8122 - - 10392 sfcLCL ODpotential -17225 - - -14324 - - -14876 - - -12844 - - -16443 ODpotential blCL 19848 - - 16948 - - 17500 - - 15467 - - 19066 blCL maxRH 13 - - 20 - - 25 - - 25 - - 15 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 67.8 - - 70.5 - - 64.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.4 - - 34.4 - - 38.9 - - 38.9 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.2 - - 70.3 - - 71.6 - - 68.1 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 33.3 - - 37.7 - - 37.5 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -214 - - -39 - - 35 - - -48 - - -146 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 9 277 14 303 18 265 27 274 17 283 96292 89192 4 352 11 307 10 291 14 240 12 299 89192 83724 5 001 11 278 12 309 2 038 3 302 83724 79188 7 020 10 250 12 305 11 350 5 013 79188 75266 10 331 9 278 13 316 10 336 10 359 75266 71795 11 304 12 292 17 310 13 324 14 348 71795 68649 11 319 13 301 17 304 14 301 15 334 68649 65748 14 310 17 311 20 311 18 306 17 328 65748 63054 16 299 18 310 21 305 23 310 21 327 63054 60447 17 302 17 309 20 306 22 302 22 319 60447 57732 19 310 19 330 17 306 19 297 20 306 57732 54925 22 311 24 337 20 314 19 294 22 296 54925 52243 22 309 26 318 25 320 25 303 26 293 52243 49816 28 298 32 300 29 314 30 302 29 294 49816 47631 27 293 28 287 31 291 32 287 29 298 47631 45644 26 290 24 285 26 269 29 273 30 288 45644 43832 24 280 23 293 18 273 23 267 31 267 43832 42175 17 268 22 286 18 281 22 274 25 259 42175 40645 13 223 23 270 23 274 23 277 21 271 40645 39216 23 195 19 245 25 267 26 259 30 272 39216 37876 30 170 24 210 24 255 25 249 33 258 37876 36587 30 149 27 184 21 247 24 246 31 257 36587 35277 25 134 25 163 18 233 21 246 27 260 35277 33917 16 125 25 154 19 210 18 242 22 257 33917 32512 14 137 27 163 24 198 17 240 17 255 32512 31048 18 145 29 174 29 190 19 226 14 253 31048 29512 23 165 29 181 31 186 26 206 15 250 29512 27910 26 180 26 188 26 188 28 196 18 223 27910 26243 27 193 22 193 21 193 25 188 21 199 26243 24512 23 198 14 188 17 188 22 187 21 192 24512 22716 12 212 10 193 14 177 20 191 20 191 22716 20848 8 251 6 192 11 171 18 190 19 200 20848 18903 14 274 5 228 6 193 13 201 15 219 18903 16918 3 270 5 277 5 236 8 216 13 248 16918 15002 3 065 4 287 4 224 3 222 2 275 15002 13256 6 052 1 118 3 158 2 055 5 070 13256 11702 12 052 5 087 3 096 5 064 7 080 11702 10318 14 052 7 066 5 049 6 057 7 090 10318 9084 13 053 7 069 5 055 5 058 5 099 9084 7983 11 060 8 092 4 077 3 076 4 111 7983 7005 9 074 9 104 4 096 3 111 3 127 7005 6138 8 089 7 121 3 116 3 117 3 136 6138 5370 7 098 6 129 5 129 4 114 3 143 5370 4679 7 096 7 118 7 122 6 112 2 148 4679 4065 9 089 9 105 9 104 8 095 2 122 4065 3551 11 082 12 091 13 084 14 072 4 088 3551 3155 16 072 15 080 13 077 16 062 10 066 3155 2882 18 063 13 071 12 075 14 058 13 058 2882 2717 15*056 11*065 10*074 10*054 13*052 2717 2622 10*050 6*062 6*076 6*050 9*047 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography