DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 68.0 - - 63.6 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 93 - - -1 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 86 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3623 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1083 - - 1674 - - 1421 - - 1098 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 85 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 251 - - 322 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 16 - - 2 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6381 - - -3535 - - -2599 - - -7376 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9004 - - 7159 - - 5222 - - 9999 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12762 - - -8287 - - -8095 - - -14674 ODpotential blCL - - - 15385 - - 11910 - - 10718 - - 17297 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 61 - - 56 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 68.0 - - 63.6 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.5 - - 45.9 - - 49.8 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 67.9 - - 65.0 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 45.0 - - 48.9 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 93 - - -1 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 86 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96451 23 333 18 327 13 324 19 337 96451 89477 18 058 13 033 14 067 29 061 89477 84070 19 070 14 033 21 087 22 072 84070 79548 18 071 17 062 18 084 19 070 79548 75613 17 078 21 083 14 087 15 063 75613 72114 17 083 21 082 14 082 16 080 72114 68951 16 093 17 082 14 064 19 087 68951 66064 13 086 11 087 14 059 20 069 66064 63401 11 073 4 063 11 059 17 050 63401 60824 7 050 7 332 9 031 12 023 60824 58131 10 016 9 326 9 005 12 359 58131 55324 11 349 7 341 10 344 12 346 55324 52621 11 332 7 353 12 331 16 340 52621 50161 11 314 8 343 14 326 19 331 50161 47934 11 291 10 323 14 331 16 327 47934 45898 12 284 11 303 16 324 12 332 45898 44024 15 271 15 295 14 321 11 354 44024 42293 16 264 17 291 17 328 18 336 42293 40694 17 262 18 288 19 321 20 320 40694 39212 16 260 18 282 19 309 18 320 39212 37827 14 259 15 276 19 298 24 329 37827 36496 12 262 12 277 16 294 30 320 36496 35155 12 272 11 296 15 303 30 318 35155 33775 12 266 12 311 15 313 28 318 33775 32357 15 241 13 305 15 314 24 327 32357 30886 19 206 13 258 16 322 25 344 30886 29349 21 206 16 221 18 313 28 353 29349 27746 23 211 20 215 18 269 30 357 27746 26077 24 214 22 215 22 250 28 354 26077 24345 22 215 20 231 22 258 28 344 24345 22554 17 219 13 238 16 282 24 339 22554 20699 13 219 8 233 9 304 17 332 20699 18773 12 221 7 225 7 323 10 339 18773 16811 9 219 5 207 3 325 6 335 16811 14919 6 193 5 171 1 262 2 304 14919 13196 6 194 4 183 3 262 4 265 13196 11657 6 201 4 173 3 271 6 281 11657 10283 6 182 5 174 2 230 6 293 10283 9054 7 169 5 178 3 185 2 283 9054 7958 8 166 5 177 5 169 1 189 7958 6983 7 165 4 169 6 151 3 148 6983 6120 7 159 4 152 6 136 4 138 6120 5355 6 152 4 141 6 129 5 139 5355 4668 6 147 3 125 3 088 5 138 4668 4057 4 138 1*069 4 037 1 084 4057 3546 0 149 1*321 5 026 2 357 3546 3153 2 324 3 252 3 009 3 040 3153 2881 3 331 3 245 2 342 5 049 2881 2717 2*340 3 243 2*317 6*048 2717 2622 2*343 3 242 2*304 5*043 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography