DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.4 - - - - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 610 - - - - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1125 - - 1711 - - - - - 117 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4188 - - 4655 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4662 - - 5248 - - - - - 3654 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 600 - - 684 - - - - - 883 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 341 - - 416 - - - - - 59 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 9 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 217 - - - - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 47 - - - - - 25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -663 - - -439 - - - - - -147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5326 - - 5688 - - - - - 3801 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10791 - - -9989 - - - - - -11323 ODpotential blCL - - - 15453 - - 15237 - - - - - 14977 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 85 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.4 - - - - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 54.2 - - - - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 67.9 - - - - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 54.2 - - - - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 610 - - - - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1125 - - 1711 - - - - - 117 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 38 - - - - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99011 35 119 26 123 29 092 99011 91512 32 118 23 117 23 089 91512 85724 32 112 27 113 27 100 85724 80933 28 100 28 116 24 090 80933 76818 23 098 24 100 16 097 76818 73181 20 093 17 112 18 107 73181 69895 12 097 14 134 9 058 69895 66881 4 078 6 072 3 133 66881 64084 10 253 7 291 10 049 64084 61395 2 271 8 271 10 295 61395 58617 11 330 13 335 11 316 58617 55766 27 299 28 308 31 312 55766 53087 27 273 31 279 39 293 53087 50687 23 295 31 310 35 288 50687 48535 39 311 40 313 34 301 48535 46585 42 306 37 306 41 315 46585 44796 35 290 29 310 42 319 44796 43132 28 306 28 320 37 318 43132 41568 29 324 26 323 34 314 41568 40094 28 325 23 313 32 306 40094 38699 27 321 22 301 29 295 38699 37349 26 316 23 299 27 285 37349 35978 26 305 24 294 28 279 35978 34559 28 296 28 293 29 283 34559 33097 28 290 29 292 31 290 33097 31582 27 284 27 278 31 287 31582 29998 27 270 30 266 33 274 29998 28345 28 259 33 264 33 273 28345 26622 29 259 33 267 32 278 26622 24833 30 272 32 277 32 285 24833 22983 28 283 30 281 33 288 22983 21066 26 290 28 286 31 286 21066 19073 24 288 24 284 30 281 19073 17042 25 280 24 275 31 276 17042 15085 28 276 27 273 31 280 15085 13306 28 279 28 277 29 286 13306 11724 27 286 28 281 28 290 11724 10320 27 290 27 286 26 290 10320 9072 26 292 25 290 23 288 9072 7964 25 293 22 293 21 286 7964 6980 23 296 16 293 19 284 6980 6112 18 298 10 282 16 280 6112 5344 12*298 6*249 12 274 5344 4657 5*284 7*222 7 259 4657 4050 4 236 8 217 5*217 4050 3542 5 223 9 217 6*187 3542 3151 6 219 10 216 7 186 3151 2881 7 218 10 216 7 186 2881 2717 7 217 10 216 6 187 2717 2622 6 217 8 217 5 188 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography