DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.4 - - 90.5 - - 94.8 - - 91.3 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 428 - - 546 - - 300 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 610 - - 1283 - - 489 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 3790 - - 4316 - - 2608 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4147 - - 4820 - - 4026 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 884 - - 1067 - - 1644 - - 1192 - - 782 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 262 - - 365 - - 217 - - 24 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 226 - - 217 - - 208 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 29 - - 38 - - 32 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6911 - - -6680 - - -6902 - - -7123 - - -4081 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9536 - - 10827 - - 11723 - - 11150 - - 6706 sfcLCL ODpotential -13257 - - -10808 - - -9625 - - -10366 - - -10070 ODpotential blCL 15881 - - 14955 - - 14445 - - 14392 - - 12695 blCL maxRH 57 - - 69 - - 71 - - 61 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 110 - - 10 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m 79.4 - - 90.5 - - 94.8 - - 91.3 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.4 - - 52.2 - - 52.4 - - 51.6 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.9 - - 88.4 - - 92.3 - - 89.8 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 52.2 - - 52.3 - - 51.6 - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 428 - - 546 - - 300 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 610 - - 1283 - - 489 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99170 36 092 34 095 35 114 26 118 21 094 99170 91699 34 103 34 112 32 118 26 114 23 090 91699 85918 35 108 30 114 32 103 31 110 29 102 85918 81114 30 097 28 099 29 101 35 103 31 112 81114 76994 23 095 21 098 25 097 31 096 27 107 76994 73375 17 099 17 117 15 080 22 091 22 089 73375 70105 19 084 15 124 10 097 16 077 15 084 70105 67104 10 085 11 110 10 098 12 083 10 078 67104 64326 7 121 8 105 6 097 8 081 8 088 64326 61643 8 080 8 087 5 118 1 123 2 015 61643 58871 4 061 2 057 3 088 1 015 2 354 58871 56033 4 192 6 222 5 246 7 277 3 354 56033 53352 11 204 10 193 10 228 10 255 4 269 53352 50953 10 192 12 173 14 207 13 248 10 244 50953 48805 6 211 11 172 15 189 10 207 11 211 48805 46848 10 222 10 191 15 188 12 192 12 203 46848 45046 14 207 12 202 17 190 18 202 18 214 45046 43369 15 194 17 203 20 197 21 209 21 210 43369 41796 16 186 19 201 21 194 23 209 19 205 41796 40312 19 189 19 195 21 194 22 198 18 199 40312 38908 21 191 19 193 21 190 20 193 17 195 38908 37549 21 197 18 194 19 193 19 191 14 194 37549 36171 20 209 16 191 16 194 16 190 12 196 36171 34744 17 205 16 185 14 182 14 180 15 189 34744 33275 18 199 14 182 13 164 15 172 20 174 33275 31750 17 198 11 168 15 156 17 177 22 169 31750 30157 14 201 8 143 14 151 19 174 22 171 30157 28498 6 208 9 112 12 140 18 166 21 172 28498 26774 2 018 13 098 12 129 16 161 19 173 26774 24989 7 044 13 091 11 121 14 151 17 165 24989 23147 7 076 10 088 10 111 11 140 15 150 23147 21242 12 107 10 123 8 115 7 118 14 131 21242 19267 16 112 14 143 10 139 6 109 13 106 19267 17259 13 123 15 150 11 150 8 127 11 090 17259 15323 12 157 14 158 10 153 7 142 9 103 15323 13554 14 178 11 177 8 166 7 151 6 119 13554 11973 17 180 9 193 8 189 7 181 4 189 11973 10558 15 180 8 205 8 204 9 204 8 222 10558 9291 12 183 6 212 7 212 9 215 10 228 9291 8155 9 187 5 212 6 217 8 217 11 225 8155 7142 6 195 5 206 5 217 7 214 10 222 7142 6245 5 212 4 197 5 213 7 211 8 219 6245 5449 4 230 4 193 4*216 6 214 6 219 5449 4735 4 236 2*197 4*220 5 217 5 218 4735 4102 3 245 2*222 5 218 4*212 5 210 4102 3574 3 271 4 228 7 216 5*206 4 196 3574 3169 4 295 5 227 8 215 6 207 4 158 3169 2890 4 310 6 225 8 216 7 208 4 153 2890 2720 3*314 6 225 8 216 7 208 4*156 2720 2624 2*316 6 224 7 215 6 209 3*159 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography