DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 83.8 - - 77.9 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 439 - - 186 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 178 - - 1159 - - 402 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4186 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3715 - - 4696 - - 3939 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 617 - - 2326 - - 954 - - 826 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 328 - - 173 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 201 - - 205 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 35 - - 30 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2990 - - -3589 - - -2527 - - -2325 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6706 - - 8285 - - 6466 - - 4949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5973 - - -5891 - - -5734 - - -7248 ODpotential blCL - - - 9688 - - 10587 - - 9673 - - 9872 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 49 - - 60 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 940 - - 1220 - - 990 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 83.8 - - 77.9 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.9 - - 56.4 - - 58.4 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 81.8 - - 77.1 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 56.3 - - 58.4 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 439 - - 186 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 178 - - 1159 - - 402 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98211 5 247 6 212 11 305 1 137 98211 90855 8 132 6 126 6 139 7 060 90855 85210 7 093 8 103 12 120 8 061 85210 80531 6 034 12 077 17 094 17 109 80531 76501 3 088 11 071 16 094 15 100 76501 72942 11 133 5 079 7 097 10 087 72942 69726 11 125 7 172 2 189 4 032 69726 66767 4 124 11 157 7 201 6 275 66767 64022 5 238 5 230 6 170 9 227 64022 61350 13 208 15 240 7 253 7 183 61350 58544 13 217 18 229 17 254 9 249 58544 55630 15 228 20 228 23 241 21 259 55630 52863 19 232 24 226 24 232 27 252 52863 50377 21 233 25 227 21 244 24 246 50377 48151 23 233 24 235 21 257 22 257 48151 46139 19 234 23 246 23 268 20 274 46139 44308 11 243 15 254 21 283 22 299 44308 42628 4 269 9 267 18 289 27 315 42628 41071 8 324 6 309 13 298 26 323 41071 39615 9 310 9 340 11 328 25 333 39615 38243 10 293 14 332 15 340 24 335 38243 36918 8 275 17 312 18 327 21 335 36918 35573 5 295 11 295 17 313 21 329 35573 34183 7 001 6 338 14 303 22 315 34183 32751 11 007 10 004 10 313 18 309 32751 31263 13 355 14 359 9 347 14 326 31263 29707 11 346 14 358 13 357 13 334 29707 28083 9 343 12 007 13 357 11 351 28083 26392 9 353 12 015 12 001 9 360 26392 24637 10 004 11 015 11 009 8 355 24637 22819 8 033 5 019 10 009 6 004 22819 20933 5 069 2 023 7 348 5 353 20933 18975 4 090 1 086 4 353 1 017 18975 16990 4 125 2 152 2 359 1 080 16990 15086 8 171 9 185 2 180 2 055 15086 13352 10 183 10 173 6 163 2 101 13352 11802 9 185 8 152 7 154 3 144 11802 10415 6 177 8 142 8 156 5 179 10415 9172 5 166 8 146 8 166 7 187 9172 8061 4 159 8 154 9 176 10 187 8061 7071 4 148 9 160 9 181 13 188 7071 6193 3 126 9 163 7 186 13 187 6193 5412 2 080 7 163 4 199 10 183 5412 4710 3 057 5*173 3 212 8 177 4710 4087 2*044 5*186 3*205 5 162 4087 3565 1*014 7 199 5*203 4 143 3565 3163 2 234 8 203 6 205 4 149 3163 2888 3 226 8 205 7 206 4 143 2888 2719 4 225 8 207 7 207 3*113 2719 2623 4 225 7 207 6 207 2*063 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography