DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 64.2 - - 66.7 - - 63.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - -2 - - 66 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 170 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3707 - - 2624 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1606 - - 2035 - - 1756 - - 2040 - - 2040 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 22 - - 97 - - 5 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 040 - - 013 - - 204 - - 230 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -3 - - 17 - - 6 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6601 - - -6006 - - -3759 - - -3230 - - -4719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9225 - - 8631 - - 7467 - - 5854 - - 7342 sfcLCL ODpotential -17022 - - -14387 - - -10591 - - -9822 - - -13409 ODpotential blCL 19645 - - 17011 - - 14298 - - 12446 - - 16032 blCL maxRH 42 - - 46 - - 55 - - 49 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 64.2 - - 66.7 - - 63.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 36.1 - - 43.4 - - 46.7 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.1 - - 65.5 - - 66.8 - - 64.9 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.3 - - 35.2 - - 42.2 - - 45.4 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - -2 - - 66 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 170 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96339 7 098 4 199 13 208 15 282 12 262 96339 89191 2 301 7 247 9 249 15 267 14 319 89191 83677 9 264 2 262 14 263 11 301 15 328 83677 79098 10 283 6 306 14 311 12 331 16 348 79098 75146 14 304 7 328 15 330 14 323 18 330 75146 71655 21 315 16 328 17 323 14 316 18 330 71655 68504 24 318 22 314 18 308 19 310 22 320 68504 65630 21 305 22 307 17 305 20 306 21 310 65630 62981 21 306 21 305 23 297 25 293 26 296 62981 60424 32 300 26 292 28 287 30 283 28 284 60424 57755 34 290 34 279 36 283 38 283 33 282 57755 54972 36 281 39 276 43 274 46 279 41 276 54972 52304 38 278 40 279 46 273 51 276 47 278 52304 49895 42 281 44 283 49 276 54 276 50 280 49895 47732 47 287 46 282 49 278 56 276 52 283 47732 45769 47 289 48 281 52 281 56 279 52 283 45769 43970 49 298 50 290 49 288 49 283 48 285 43970 42308 54 307 51 300 47 303 46 299 44 294 42308 40769 56 313 55 307 52 312 50 309 44 305 40769 39333 55 317 57 310 56 312 50 312 47 310 39333 37983 55 318 57 312 56 309 49 314 48 312 37983 36677 53 319 54 315 55 310 49 314 49 312 36677 35351 52 321 49 314 57 310 51 312 48 311 35351 33977 50 324 48 313 54 307 54 310 47 309 33977 32560 49 326 48 313 50 307 56 308 46 307 32560 31088 48 327 47 315 47 308 54 308 46 306 31088 29549 46 328 43 317 42 308 46 304 44 303 29549 27943 44 328 39 315 37 310 40 304 42 299 27943 26269 38 328 36 311 34 311 37 301 40 297 26269 24526 34 327 34 305 31 305 33 300 37 296 24526 22719 28 326 29 303 29 297 30 303 33 301 22719 20844 22 331 23 303 25 293 26 306 29 305 20844 18894 19 343 17 314 20 296 20 310 23 306 18894 16906 17 352 14 330 15 298 15 308 19 304 16906 14986 14 355 12 342 11 301 12 310 17 303 14986 13236 12 348 10 345 9 307 10 317 13 303 13236 11679 11 338 9 343 8 314 9 326 10 307 11679 10293 10 339 8 349 8 322 9 331 7 317 10293 9058 8 350 7 002 6 330 8 331 6 329 9058 7957 4 015 3 036 3 320 5 322 4 330 7957 6980 3 096 3 136 2 215 3 289 3 308 6980 6116 6 132 6 163 4 188 3 238 2 238 6116 5350 8 139 8 168 5 177 3 210 3 214 5350 4664 9 139 9 164 3 156 3 188 3 209 4664 4054 5 137 7 157 3*149 2 160 2 208 4054 3545 2 135 4 151 2*171 1 048 1 289 3545 3152 1 135 2 149 3 206 0 293 3 322 3152 2881 2 058 0 166 4 210 1 231 3 335 2881 2717 3*037 0*004 4 211 1*231 3*346 2717 2622 3*035 1*016 3 211 1*228 3*354 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography