DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 58.3 - - 63.1 - - 58.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 23 - - 89 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 679 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2623 - - 4216 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 601 - - 1520 - - 1339 - - 1601 - - 731 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 33 - - 168 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 25 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 016 - - 131 - - 235 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -9 - - 15 - - 10 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7619 - - -4401 - - -4219 - - -3497 - - -6079 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10242 - - 7024 - - 8435 - - 6121 - - 8703 sfcLCL ODpotential -18312 - - -10770 - - -11681 - - -10913 - - -15609 ODpotential blCL 20934 - - 13393 - - 15897 - - 13536 - - 18232 blCL maxRH 49 - - 50 - - 43 - - 48 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 58.3 - - 63.1 - - 58.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.8 - - 37.1 - - 35.6 - - 41.1 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 58.9 - - 63.2 - - 59.9 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.8 - - 35.8 - - 34.4 - - 40.2 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 23 - - 89 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 679 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96325 8 071 3 186 6 166 11 146 12 246 96325 89191 8 079 8 149 1 134 6 096 6 072 89191 83703 4 093 6 101 2 139 6 075 8 077 83703 79170 10 040 7 092 1 072 9 043 8 056 79170 75272 5 032 4 052 3 023 7 036 7 039 75272 71819 4 046 10 030 3 359 8 350 9 003 71819 68688 8 030 10 013 6 348 11 336 13 345 68688 65820 5 014 8 348 11 353 14 341 21 336 65820 63186 8 026 11 338 14 333 14 309 20 315 63186 60638 10 041 10 348 15 341 14 341 17 325 60638 57980 15 019 17 350 21 346 22 345 22 353 57980 55233 12 016 11 356 14 317 17 344 18 004 55233 52597 16 044 13 032 9 324 15 359 23 357 52597 50187 34 023 21 017 21 005 24 357 25 335 50187 47989 34 009 25 018 21 356 22 338 29 339 47989 45976 29 014 25 020 21 006 25 352 40 351 45976 44131 39 022 34 020 37 015 36 000 45 354 44131 42426 51 022 45 015 46 007 45 358 42 353 42426 40839 57 018 50 014 48 008 48 357 35 356 40839 39351 59 020 55 017 55 016 55 007 40 009 39351 37958 69 029 64 022 68 022 56 017 55 014 37958 36631 85 032 80 025 78 027 66 026 67 017 36631 35297 92 030 94 026 91 029 80 026 67 021 35297 33918 93 029 100 026 94 028 89 024 64 027 33918 32494 91 029 95 026 86 026 90 024 65 025 32494 31015 88 030 89 027 77 024 78 026 66 022 31015 29470 86 029 81 030 72 025 62 024 66 020 29470 27860 81 029 69 031 68 029 52 011 62 020 27860 26181 68 028 60 026 66 031 48 359 49 023 26181 24433 60 022 56 021 62 032 40 009 46 019 24433 22622 59 018 53 019 53 029 39 033 50 011 22622 20744 60 019 53 019 48 024 39 037 54 008 20744 18797 57 022 50 020 47 022 39 028 50 008 18797 16816 47 023 44 021 42 024 41 023 43 010 16816 14908 37 021 35 020 35 025 38 025 36 012 14908 13168 29 018 27 017 29 022 30 027 29 013 13168 11618 24 017 23 014 23 017 24 026 23 014 11618 10240 21 022 20 019 18 014 19 024 17 017 10240 9015 20 030 18 031 17 016 16 022 13 027 9015 7925 19 039 18 043 16 027 15 024 10 037 7925 6956 18 047 18 054 15 041 14 030 8 046 6956 6098 17 053 18 060 14 051 13 037 7 053 6098 5336 16 057 18 064 12 055 11 041 6 056 5336 4652 14 062 16 065 8*055 9 040 5 059 4652 4045 12 066 13 063 4*059 6 035 5 065 4045 3537 11 069 9 057 2 093 4 029 5 076 3537 3147 10 072 5 046 2 169 1 005 5 080 3147 2879 9 070 3 034 2 187 1 253 5 073 2879 2716 7*067 2*014 3 194 2*232 4*067 2716 2622 5*056 1*306 3 197 2*229 3*057 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography