DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 62.1 - - - - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 331 - - - - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1336 - - 2494 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4175 - - 5108 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4873 - - 6031 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1864 - - 2576 - - - - - 2667 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 388 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 202 - - - - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 43 - - - - - 39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1450 - - 1452 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3423 - - 4580 - - - - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 938 - - 441 - - - - - -316 ODpotential blCL - - - 3935 - - 5590 - - - - - 2939 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 240 - - - - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 62.1 - - - - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 50.9 - - - - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 60.9 - - - - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 50.4 - - - - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 331 - - - - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1336 - - 2494 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 49 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97482 47 272 52 267 57 282 97482 90034 38 280 37 275 38 291 90034 84360 26 290 31 278 29 285 84360 79693 22 283 21 273 23 284 79693 75677 14 274 13 274 18 296 75677 72117 9 266 10 279 12 294 72117 68892 3 250 8 261 13 278 68892 65923 10 300 7 273 9 235 65923 63155 16 262 11 277 9 281 63155 60455 17 254 22 256 16 263 60455 57619 19 248 27 243 17 252 57619 54669 18 240 27 249 23 258 54669 51856 25 240 28 248 26 253 51856 49326 32 245 30 249 27 249 49326 47058 41 243 34 247 28 243 47058 45004 44 238 40 241 31 244 45004 43127 44 237 41 238 35 242 43127 41400 46 240 42 239 37 242 41400 39806 50 236 48 239 41 243 39806 38331 51 233 55 236 45 241 38331 36962 54 231 59 234 49 237 36962 35660 56 230 61 231 55 231 35660 34356 57 229 59 225 59 225 34356 33017 55 231 59 225 60 222 33017 31640 52 229 59 227 61 221 31640 30208 50 224 59 227 60 224 30208 28712 48 221 57 227 57 228 28712 27152 45 223 54 225 52 230 27152 25531 43 228 51 226 47 231 25531 23847 40 232 47 228 43 230 23847 22099 38 235 43 229 42 230 22099 20282 37 235 42 229 42 233 20282 18388 37 235 42 229 42 237 18388 16461 37 236 42 232 38 239 16461 14605 37 237 39 234 35 241 14605 12917 36 238 35 234 31 240 12917 11416 33 237 31 230 28 237 11416 10079 30 231 25 223 24 230 10079 8886 27 226 21 216 22 224 8886 7823 23 222 18 214 21 225 7823 6877 18 218 15 212 18 227 6877 6037 15 209 12*209 16 224 6037 5291 12*195 11*204 14 224 5291 4621 11*179 11 202 12 228 4621 4025 11 175 10 201 11 229 4025 3526 11 177 10 202 10 228 3526 3141 11 179 10 202 9 228 3141 2876 11 181 10 203 8 226 2876 2715 10 183 9 203 7*225 2715 2622 8 184 8 204 5*225 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography