DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.7 - - 72.5 - - 76.9 - - 72.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - 285 - - 368 - - 98 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2002 - - 4471 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 4692 - - 6649 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 5539 - - 8008 - - 4656 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 594 - - 1922 - - 1368 - - 3054 - - 1577 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 340 - - 484 - - 196 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 31 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 072 - - 016 - - 228 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 13 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - 22 - - 49 - - 24 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7034 - - -7665 - - -6441 - - -6647 - - -7629 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9658 - - 13205 - - 14449 - - 11303 - - 10253 sfcLCL ODpotential -17528 - - -16336 - - -13976 - - -14248 - - -16895 ODpotential blCL 20151 - - 21875 - - 21984 - - 18904 - - 19518 blCL maxRH 34 - - 47 - - 44 - - 43 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.7 - - 72.5 - - 76.9 - - 72.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.3 - - 23.9 - - 22.5 - - 32.1 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.3 - - 71.3 - - 75.2 - - 72.2 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 23.5 - - 22.2 - - 32.0 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - 285 - - 368 - - 98 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2002 - - 4471 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97629 12 232 25 281 23 297 19 282 16 316 97629 90355 8 302 17 279 16 280 17 288 14 301 90355 84747 8 291 7 265 8 278 12 292 11 289 84747 80103 10 301 5 307 6 285 11 299 9 316 80103 76105 10 337 3 338 7 278 11 302 10 341 76105 72581 7 357 7 091 4 288 3 359 6 346 72581 69401 5 335 7 086 6 233 3 344 2 028 69401 66478 2 297 6 098 6 182 5 254 2 284 66478 63778 7 334 4 030 3 111 2 223 2 288 63778 61179 9 302 6 357 4 325 8 308 9 322 61179 58483 16 314 15 331 13 308 17 305 16 318 58483 55702 28 328 23 338 18 318 21 311 21 318 55702 53048 36 333 34 338 22 326 22 305 22 307 53048 50646 43 320 39 337 24 340 18 302 23 299 50646 48470 42 321 43 340 31 342 24 314 27 307 48470 46472 44 327 45 340 38 327 35 316 35 318 46472 44624 48 330 44 340 40 323 42 316 41 320 44624 42905 52 332 47 336 42 325 43 318 45 321 42905 41295 56 336 53 335 46 331 45 322 48 320 41295 39782 61 339 58 339 53 334 49 328 51 322 39782 38357 65 340 63 340 60 335 56 331 53 324 38357 36984 68 341 68 338 65 334 61 333 55 326 36984 35599 75 341 72 337 67 332 67 335 55 328 35599 34175 76 342 75 336 69 331 70 334 57 330 34175 32717 70 343 71 335 68 331 67 334 58 332 32717 31215 61 346 61 333 61 329 59 334 54 335 31215 29658 53 347 50 332 54 327 52 333 48 337 29658 28040 47 342 44 332 45 326 45 337 44 339 28040 26354 46 335 42 334 40 326 40 339 39 341 26354 24600 47 336 41 335 37 332 36 337 35 340 24600 22783 45 342 39 335 35 335 32 337 32 337 22783 20896 42 346 36 336 32 332 29 336 30 336 20896 18933 37 348 33 338 29 330 28 336 29 340 18933 16932 34 352 31 343 27 335 26 340 26 351 16932 15001 33 356 29 351 25 344 25 349 23 001 15001 13245 31 001 28 359 24 354 23 357 17 008 13245 11684 26 005 24 006 23 001 21 005 11 019 11684 10298 18 006 19 011 19 007 20 011 9 040 10298 9064 12 001 14 016 14*017 17 017 10 049 9064 7965 8 359 12 030 10*023 13 024 10 044 7965 6989 6 011 12 044 8 025 11 021 11 037 6989 6126 7 032 11*056 5 025 8 016 10 031 6126 5360 10 046 11*063 3 017 5 004 10 026 5360 4672 15 054 10 067 1 000 2*334 9 022 4672 4060 20 059 9 071 1 262 2*261 9 018 4060 3548 26 063 7 076 2 232 4 231 9 011 3548 3154 24 063 6 081 2 224 4 225 8 004 3154 2882 19 061 5 087 3 223 5 223 7 000 2882 2717 14*057 4 095 3 220 5 222 6*355 2717 2622 8*052 3 103 3 219 4 221 5*358 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography