DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 80.8 - - 78.5 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 437 - - 217 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 296 - - 804 - - 375 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 3936 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3833 - - 4341 - - 3912 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 858 - - 998 - - 1078 - - 800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 195 - - 292 - - 180 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 176 - - 182 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 35 - - 26 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5539 - - -4820 - - -3907 - - -4047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9372 - - 9161 - - 7820 - - 6671 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9782 - - -9362 - - -7925 - - -10004 ODpotential blCL - - - 13615 - - 13703 - - 11837 - - 12628 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 45 - - 46 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 80.8 - - 78.5 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.4 - - 49.8 - - 53.4 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 78.9 - - 77.6 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 49.0 - - 52.9 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 437 - - 217 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 296 - - 804 - - 375 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98067 13 245 7 241 10 241 4 248 98067 90600 14 195 12 250 9 276 1 260 90600 84861 14 168 16 213 15 268 4 258 84861 80110 10 166 13 196 14 247 4 249 80110 76025 5 154 4 153 9 189 6 245 76025 72434 1 263 3 277 4 119 5 283 72434 69213 2 233 9 252 4 322 7 340 69213 66267 3 223 9 255 8 291 7 327 66267 63536 4 236 6 254 7 269 7 276 63536 60893 4 248 4 254 6 239 8 244 60893 58144 9 235 9 253 8 251 9 254 58144 55305 14 230 16 245 15 254 14 257 55305 52608 15 236 18 237 18 245 18 239 52608 50188 16 237 19 232 20 240 20 226 50188 48021 18 235 20 223 22 230 28 220 48021 46067 22 241 24 221 27 224 32 210 46067 44293 25 238 26 222 27 224 28 207 44293 42654 22 233 25 217 27 216 28 203 42654 41120 21 222 24 209 27 208 31 202 41120 39674 21 214 24 206 27 207 29 206 39674 38309 20 214 21 208 24 208 26 209 38309 36990 17 216 19 208 21 207 23 208 36990 35652 15 214 18 206 20 205 21 205 35652 34266 13 211 17 202 18 200 19 205 34266 32836 11 216 15 194 17 190 18 205 32836 31348 9 226 13 189 16 182 17 204 31348 29790 7 224 9 187 15 179 17 197 29790 28165 6 209 8 182 13 179 16 187 28165 26471 6 196 8 175 13 175 14 173 26471 24712 7 206 8 183 11 175 14 158 24712 22890 8 206 8 186 10 175 14 151 22890 21000 7 180 9 173 10 159 17 150 21000 19038 9 171 10 164 14 147 20 152 19038 17046 13 177 14 168 16 143 20 141 17046 15129 16 185 16 182 14 178 15 156 15129 13382 23 194 26 201 23 204 17 190 13382 11822 27 199 34 205 29 205 21 194 11822 10428 25 200 33 208 30 203 22 191 10428 9180 20 194 29 211 26 204 21 191 9180 8064 15 183 23 212 22 209 18 196 8064 7070 13 169 17 203 18 209 15 209 7070 6190 12 155 14 185 14 200 12 221 6190 5409 11 147 12 168 12 185 9 227 5409 4708 9 140 10*160 9 172 7 229 4708 4086 6*151 9*163 7*166 4 252 4086 3565 6*176 9 173 7*174 3 278 3565 3164 7 191 10 178 7 180 3 298 3164 2887 7 195 10 183 7 185 3 301 2887 2719 7 198 9 185 7 187 3*319 2719 2623 6 199 8 187 6 189 2*323 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography