DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.3 - - 53.6 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 73 - - 3 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 443 - - 1214 - - 154 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3980 - - 4751 - - 3691 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1803 - - 1329 - - 2192 - - 1496 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 203 - - 53 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 126 - - 128 - - 144 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2732 - - -1678 - - -1419 - - -1733 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6713 - - 6429 - - 5110 - - 4356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11716 - - -10524 - - -8065 - - -9833 ODpotential blCL - - - 15696 - - 15275 - - 11756 - - 12456 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 46 - - 76 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.3 - - 53.6 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 35.5 - - 40.5 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 54.5 - - 54.4 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 34.3 - - 39.1 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 73 - - 3 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 443 - - 1214 - - 154 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96693 26 123 24 112 20 124 13 116 96693 89490 17 105 17 129 15 117 17 107 89490 83927 14 103 8 148 9 109 13 098 83927 79304 7 127 5 164 7 155 7 095 79304 75318 9 171 3 184 5 190 4 139 75318 71794 9 174 6 230 6 273 7 184 71794 68607 13 221 14 247 14 264 8 250 68607 65682 12 236 18 246 18 237 13 264 65682 62967 17 262 18 254 18 250 20 251 62967 60333 28 261 23 258 25 264 25 253 60333 57587 31 257 26 258 33 261 33 254 57587 54745 36 264 35 263 41 258 37 259 54745 52032 40 267 49 262 51 259 43 264 52032 49589 47 269 57 259 58 260 50 265 49589 47401 51 270 55 260 57 258 54 261 47401 45423 52 271 48 265 52 253 54 256 45423 43624 53 278 45 263 40 254 45 256 43624 41977 55 279 43 260 35 263 37 253 41977 40447 57 278 43 257 33 264 37 249 40447 39013 57 278 43 254 35 263 42 249 39013 37663 56 279 44 255 44 260 53 254 37663 36359 55 277 46 258 55 260 63 251 36359 35035 57 275 54 260 63 260 62 251 35035 33662 60 273 60 263 62 260 59 253 33662 32241 60 274 64 266 56 258 59 257 32241 30761 59 277 58 266 54 253 58 261 30761 29209 57 280 51 262 57 248 52 263 29209 27591 56 280 49 261 49 249 46 256 27591 25912 56 280 49 264 44 250 46 246 25912 24177 54 279 49 267 42 257 43 244 24177 22380 48 280 49 268 43 262 38 245 22380 20516 41 276 44 269 42 265 36 249 20516 18579 35 266 39 271 36 268 32 254 18579 16610 31 258 36 275 31 270 27 255 16610 14714 26 259 31 275 26 270 24 255 14714 12992 20 260 26 272 24 266 21 257 12992 11461 16 253 20 261 21 256 18 252 11461 10102 14 247 18 243 17 244 16 237 10102 8895 10 240 15 227 13 228 15 221 8895 7822 6 220 12 206 10 205 13 204 7822 6870 5 168 10 177 9 180 12 186 6870 6028 8 144 10 152 9 161 11 169 6028 5283 11 143 11*136 8 147 10 155 5283 4613 12 141 10*124 8 132 9 141 4613 4019 10*136 9 122 8*123 8 128 4019 3521 6*125 8 128 6*125 8 113 3521 3138 4 120 7 132 5 144 7 096 3138 2874 2 131 7 137 4 155 7 079 2874 2714 2 135 6 140 4 159 6*061 2714 2622 2 139 5 144 3 165 5*050 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography