DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 90.7 - - 92.8 - - 84.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 574 - - 311 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1273 - - 2344 - - 2885 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4285 - - 5127 - - 5375 - - 2608 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4810 - - 5881 - - 6422 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 819 - - 1731 - - 1723 - - 2525 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 348 - - 453 - - 396 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 274 - - 287 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 43 - - 38 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3098 - - -4143 - - -5347 - - -7504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7908 - - 10024 - - 11769 - - 10130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7550 - - -7723 - - -9081 - - -13030 ODpotential blCL - - - 12360 - - 13604 - - 15503 - - 15655 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 59 - - 47 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 90.7 - - 92.8 - - 84.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.2 - - 55.7 - - 50.2 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 88.2 - - 91.3 - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 55.6 - - 50.1 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 574 - - 311 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1273 - - 2344 - - 2885 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99163 38 097 41 097 38 103 44 110 99163 91669 33 116 27 110 30 095 37 089 91669 85913 35 115 33 121 29 109 31 092 85913 81147 35 101 38 113 34 114 30 109 81147 77045 30 100 33 107 32 114 31 114 77045 73422 26 103 25 103 24 110 28 108 73422 70150 26 112 23 114 22 114 23 103 70150 67160 25 120 23 120 20 118 20 107 67160 64406 20 121 20 129 16 131 17 111 64406 61755 16 106 22 144 18 154 12 141 61755 59015 15 124 22 145 18 152 19 154 59015 56190 17 158 17 166 10 174 11 155 56190 53508 12 167 19 178 15 209 10 222 53508 51111 4 169 8 193 13 195 11 203 51111 48969 7 248 8 236 8 215 6 191 48969 47017 8 230 11 215 11 230 7 246 47017 45215 9 207 16 205 17 220 14 229 45215 43534 18 204 22 210 19 225 18 222 43534 41956 23 211 24 210 24 221 25 218 41956 40466 25 218 26 209 30 219 28 217 40466 39057 27 220 27 209 33 219 30 214 39057 37694 29 220 27 212 32 219 32 215 37694 36310 28 219 27 216 29 218 32 220 36310 34877 26 217 26 221 26 221 31 225 34877 33400 24 220 23 230 24 226 26 228 33400 31864 20 222 22 236 21 232 21 231 31864 30260 13 228 18 237 16 238 14 237 30260 28592 7 217 8 233 13 234 9 244 28592 26863 3 284 2 257 6 218 7 212 26863 25073 4 310 3 333 4 273 2 202 25073 23217 2 308 1 339 4 323 1 063 23217 21292 1 292 1 138 0 299 3 113 21292 19298 1 016 3 116 1 140 3 137 19298 17273 1 304 2 127 1 103 1 180 17273 15323 2 283 2 233 1 299 1 267 15323 13545 2 285 2 258 2 277 2 243 13545 11959 3 316 2 284 2 259 5 197 11959 10545 6 330 3 319 2 260 6 206 10545 9281 12 335 7 343 3 297 6 239 9281 8151 15 331 11 349 6 344 6 272 8151 7145 16 327 11 342 8*340 8 305 7145 6252 16 326 11*334 9*322 11 326 6252 5459 14*326 9*315 9 311 13 330 5459 4747 10*318 9 303 10 289 13 331 4747 4114 8 297 8 273 10 282 11 328 4114 3584 7 280 9 259 10 274 10 323 3584 3175 8 268 9 252 10 270 9 317 3175 2894 8 261 9 247 10 267 7 311 2894 2722 7 257 9 245 10 265 6*308 2722 2624 7 254 8 242 8 263 4*305 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography