DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.6 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 44 - - 7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 169 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3706 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1292 - - 2171 - - 2086 - - 1605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 37 - - 20 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 14 - - 12 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 158 - - 139 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - 29 - - 2 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 999 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2707 - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 194 - - -74 - - -310 - - -305 ODpotential blCL - - - 3512 - - 2697 - - 2933 - - 2927 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.6 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 50.3 - - 50.0 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 51.0 - - 51.5 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 50.2 - - 50.0 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 44 - - 7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 169 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96147 24 317 18 296 26 280 28 295 96147 89037 11 314 14 282 23 288 17 305 89037 83583 11 278 18 298 13 305 18 311 83583 79057 15 280 22 281 12 278 17 274 79057 75148 20 280 14 301 8 313 17 282 75148 71667 23 251 25 253 25 245 28 254 71667 68523 16 237 21 237 24 237 22 241 68523 65625 16 253 13 258 17 257 21 225 65625 62916 27 232 27 247 26 240 26 223 62916 60299 49 236 39 236 34 242 34 240 60299 57586 56 231 56 245 49 237 55 247 57586 54787 68 237 81 234 71 235 76 231 54787 52122 71 225 77 224 72 227 68 220 52122 49700 68 231 71 222 68 238 67 233 49700 47489 92 233 83 227 88 241 79 243 47489 45452 105 228 107 229 109 234 90 239 45452 43574 96 222 116 224 114 224 111 227 43574 41844 101 225 112 219 104 216 119 222 41844 40256 118 225 117 218 100 216 106 217 40256 38778 120 222 126 210 96 214 95 219 38778 37386 112 222 124 208 98 212 93 228 37386 36055 106 219 116 208 101 212 96 235 36055 34727 97 215 114 206 100 211 98 238 34727 33364 98 212 107 207 99 211 96 238 33364 31960 101 210 102 207 97 214 91 236 31960 30502 97 206 92 209 90 214 84 230 30502 28977 92 204 80 211 84 213 82 224 28977 27383 72 210 69 219 81 214 80 222 27383 25721 56 222 68 221 77 220 75 218 25721 23994 52 228 64 219 71 223 76 216 23994 22208 48 228 58 218 69 219 78 223 22208 20362 44 225 52 218 69 220 70 224 20362 18447 39 227 48 220 63 220 65 218 18447 16501 34 227 44 221 54 215 61 218 16501 14632 36 216 42 222 48 212 56 220 14632 12935 39 204 39 219 44 211 51 218 12935 11426 38 199 37 208 43 210 48 214 11426 10083 37 199 38 198 41 207 45 211 10083 8886 36 200 39 195 39 205 41 208 8886 7820 37 201 36 193 34 202 36 200 7820 6871 34 197 31 187 29 195 34 189 6871 6031 30 187 28 180 25 182 33 179 6031 5285 26 177 26 174 25 170 32 169 5285 4614 24 168 25 169 24 161 31 159 4614 4019 22*157 23 165 24 154 29 148 4019 3521 19*143 22 161 22 148 27 139 3521 3138 17 135 19 159 19 142 24 134 3138 2874 16 134 17 159 16 140 20 131 2874 2714 14 134 15*158 13*139 17*131 2714 2621 9 136 9*159 8*137 10*131 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography