DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 41.3 - - 42.5 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 46 - - 20 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3487 - - 3119 - - 2824 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5344 - - 4307 - - 2604 - - 2604 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7024 - - 6656 - - 6361 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1613 - - 2239 - - 1505 - - 2977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 231 - - 179 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 286 - - 312 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 31 - - 7 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2425 - - 2427 - - 2168 - - -1063 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4599 - - 4229 - - 4193 - - 3686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 622 - - 1129 - - 749 - - -4134 ODpotential blCL - - - 6402 - - 5527 - - 5612 - - 6756 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 100 - - 92 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 41.3 - - 42.5 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.6 - - 32.0 - - 33.3 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 41.6 - - 43.1 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 30.9 - - 32.1 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 46 - - 20 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3487 - - 3119 - - 2824 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 101 - - 68 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96606 27 090 18 110 20 118 18 094 96606 89461 21 106 12 108 18 094 20 104 89461 83928 16 128 7 169 9 084 12 090 83928 79323 6 090 6 103 8 109 4 166 79323 75340 6 072 3 281 3 188 1 259 75340 71792 7 007 8 081 8 078 5 194 71792 68558 8 283 7 277 6 339 5 329 68558 65573 5 201 7 252 13 239 16 277 65573 62816 14 265 14 293 12 183 14 247 62816 60121 34 264 37 271 17 300 4 242 60121 57292 40 256 43 254 43 270 35 293 57292 54377 41 276 43 282 44 271 51 276 54377 51592 64 285 63 289 58 289 48 282 51592 49082 74 275 76 278 73 288 63 290 49082 46858 67 273 78 274 82 278 75 282 46858 44862 68 283 70 275 72 274 75 278 44862 43035 80 298 71 291 70 289 77 283 43035 41344 111 298 97 300 94 296 89 289 41344 39771 129 291 121 291 114 290 103 289 39771 38305 132 284 139 283 131 286 124 287 38305 36943 124 280 137 277 138 284 135 284 36943 35642 115 281 131 279 139 281 128 279 35642 34328 122 282 127 280 134 278 119 277 34328 32968 129 278 123 278 128 277 120 279 32968 31565 127 277 119 281 125 280 121 280 31565 30107 118 283 120 285 122 283 120 282 30107 28581 117 289 120 286 121 286 119 284 28581 26988 116 289 120 287 122 287 115 286 26988 25332 113 287 120 287 122 289 107 288 25332 23613 110 286 123 290 118 291 101 290 23613 21835 107 287 116 292 114 295 99 294 21835 19995 100 291 102 295 101 297 90 296 19995 18093 88 296 90 297 83 300 74 295 18093 16167 81 297 80 298 68 304 61 296 16167 14322 75 297 71 299 59 305 52 298 14322 12647 64 298 57 299 51 306 45 300 12647 11162 51 301 44 299 41 307 38 304 11162 9848 41 302 34 300 32 307 32 309 9848 8682 33 303 27 301 25 308 27 313 8682 7647 27*306 23 299 21 309 24 315 7647 6730 23*310 21*297 18*310 20 315 6730 5919 20 311 18*294 16*313 18 314 5919 5199 18 312 16 289 14 313 16 312 5199 4552 16 313 15 287 13 313 15 316 4552 3977 15 313 14 285 13 312 14 325 3977 3494 15 313 13 283 12 311 14 340 3494 3123 14 313 13 282 11 311 13 356 3123 2866 13 312 12 282 11 310 11 005 2866 2710 12 311 11 281 9 309 9*008 2710 2621 8 310 8 279 6 307 5*012 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography