DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.5 - - 88.5 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 563 - - 313 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 743 - - 1337 - - 894 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3895 - - 4361 - - 3928 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4280 - - 4874 - - 4431 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 885 - - 945 - - 913 - - 902 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 374 - - 269 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 236 - - 244 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 40 - - 32 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6678 - - -6337 - - -6547 - - -5972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10959 - - 11212 - - 10978 - - 8597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13750 - - -12061 - - -12519 - - -14103 ODpotential blCL - - - 18030 - - 16935 - - 16950 - - 16728 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 54 - - 48 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.5 - - 88.5 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 49.6 - - 49.8 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 87.0 - - 87.0 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 49.4 - - 49.6 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 563 - - 313 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 743 - - 1337 - - 894 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99228 37 111 31 118 31 118 32 088 99228 91667 35 100 34 111 32 112 32 093 91667 85867 32 101 34 105 31 100 29 096 85867 81090 29 111 27 107 30 097 27 101 81090 76986 26 109 26 108 26 105 25 095 76986 73372 18 101 23 094 25 099 24 096 73372 70127 20 116 18 108 22 091 20 103 70127 67157 21 114 18 117 15 095 15 105 67157 64414 14 112 13 101 12 109 12 088 64414 61774 11 137 12 135 10 124 8 116 61774 59051 9 165 12 158 11 171 10 174 59051 56259 11 190 16 204 13 210 16 195 56259 53608 21 213 27 218 23 228 23 216 53608 51225 30 211 35 221 34 231 30 236 51225 49077 30 216 36 226 38 234 35 239 49077 47105 30 225 34 232 37 236 34 244 47105 45274 30 235 33 238 35 238 33 246 45274 43564 29 236 31 240 32 242 32 246 43564 41956 26 229 28 234 30 243 31 247 41956 40442 23 228 27 230 30 234 30 249 40442 39015 21 251 25 242 29 230 29 252 39015 37639 24 265 25 260 31 241 27 245 37639 36240 25 267 25 263 32 252 27 249 36240 34796 25 263 25 264 31 257 28 256 34796 33317 26 269 26 273 28 270 23 268 33317 31790 26 285 24 288 20 282 21 289 31790 30202 28 297 25 296 24 295 23 299 30202 28558 27 291 29 293 33 296 32 302 28558 26852 28 283 31 289 33 296 33 298 26852 25079 27 282 27 288 28 295 27 295 25079 23242 23 277 21 282 21 293 20 296 23242 21334 17 280 17 281 17 288 15 296 21334 19346 11 292 12 278 13 280 11 292 19346 17316 8 269 10 264 12 267 10 282 17316 15355 7 277 10 278 11 281 10 290 15355 13567 7 294 8 293 9 301 11 307 13567 11971 7 283 6 288 8 307 10 314 11971 10547 7 262 6 264 6 294 7 306 10547 9275 8 253 7 251 6 279 6 292 9275 8140 8 253 7 251 6 278 6 286 8140 7131 7 263 5 256 5 284 5 284 7131 6237 6 278 4 270 5 291 5 291 6237 5444 5 294 4*280 5 298 6 307 5444 4733 5*308 4*269 5*297 6 315 4733 4102 5*304 5 249 4*280 6 318 4102 3575 5 270 7 234 6 248 4 329 3575 3169 6 259 8 228 6 239 2 359 3169 2890 7 251 8 226 7 236 1 283 2890 2721 6 247 8 225 7 233 1*232 2721 2624 6 244 7 225 6 231 1*223 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography