DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 89.3 - - 86.2 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 583 - - 332 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 374 - - 970 - - 580 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3625 - - 4097 - - 3709 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3911 - - 4507 - - 4117 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 508 - - 749 - - 600 - - 816 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 340 - - 237 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 212 - - 218 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 40 - - 32 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5128 - - -4850 - - -4666 - - -3688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9040 - - 9357 - - 8783 - - 6313 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11191 - - -10029 - - -11026 - - -11596 ODpotential blCL - - - 15102 - - 14536 - - 15143 - - 14220 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 44 - - 45 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 89.3 - - 86.2 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 57.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 86.6 - - 84.7 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 57.2 - - 56.8 - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 583 - - 332 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 374 - - 970 - - 580 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99126 44 114 31 108 33 107 37 093 99126 91620 42 103 38 114 35 106 32 094 91620 85908 35 096 37 095 36 102 33 102 85908 81182 31 102 32 094 30 095 32 099 81182 77090 27 112 29 120 24 089 24 086 77090 73475 27 111 28 124 17 107 17 082 73475 70205 20 114 20 110 17 102 18 103 70205 67192 17 112 15 108 14 098 20 096 67192 64406 14 088 14 114 16 099 18 094 64406 61736 7 074 12 127 12 086 15 089 61736 58992 5 134 11 133 6 144 6 083 58992 56190 10 145 7 169 10 182 7 223 56190 53545 4 076 6 169 5 205 7 231 53545 51172 9 306 6 337 4 003 1 255 51172 49037 13 274 12 311 10 340 8 007 49037 47083 11 247 12 283 13 323 12 342 47083 45273 11 236 11 267 10 288 11 313 45273 43584 9 252 9 276 8 278 9 286 43584 41997 10 279 9 274 9 286 7 282 41997 40500 12 283 11 264 12 285 8 297 40500 39087 13 281 13 257 13 280 10 303 39087 37720 12 268 13 245 12 273 12 291 37720 36332 12 251 13 239 11 265 12 282 36332 34896 13 225 9 248 9 263 11 283 34896 33416 9 242 5 269 6 260 9 278 33416 31881 3 297 1 256 4 194 6 230 31881 30281 7 011 2 115 5 160 4 227 30281 28614 8 008 1 215 2 233 5 290 28614 26880 5 334 5 263 5 276 6 302 26880 25080 7 313 5 289 4 291 4 279 25080 23222 9 292 6 281 5 296 4 256 23222 21303 9 266 10 260 9 290 4 290 21303 19312 10 241 11 241 8 261 5 289 19312 17287 12 235 12 235 12 239 10 260 17287 15334 13 239 14 243 14 241 14 254 15334 13553 13 247 16 251 14 253 16 258 13553 11962 13 253 17 257 15 264 16 264 11962 10541 14 256 17 261 16 269 16 267 10541 9271 13 261 16 264 15 274 14 271 9271 8136 12 270 14 269 14 277 13 275 8136 7127 11 275 12 272 13 276 12 273 7127 6233 10 280 10 270 10 271 11 269 6233 5442 8 282 7 262 7 263 9 262 5442 4731 5 281 4*234 5*255 7 257 4731 4101 3*264 5*214 4*232 5 255 4101 3574 4*234 7 212 5 217 3 262 3574 3169 5 224 8 211 6 216 1 171 3169 2890 6 223 9 211 7 215 2 166 2890 2721 6 221 8 212 7 216 2*168 2721 2623 6 221 8 213 6 215 2*170 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography