DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 79.2 - - - - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 261 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1808 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4547 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2624 - - 5345 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2111 - - 2247 - - - - - 1712 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 55 - - 327 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 225 - - - - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 30 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4998 - - -4437 - - - - - -3998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7622 - - 9783 - - - - - 6622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11612 - - -10768 - - - - - -11542 ODpotential blCL - - - 14236 - - 16113 - - - - - 14166 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 82 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 79.2 - - - - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 45.4 - - - - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 78.1 - - - - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 44.1 - - - - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 261 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1808 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 28 - - - - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96603 20 275 25 274 27 270 96603 89396 14 286 18 261 18 279 89396 83878 12 255 8 250 5 249 83878 79318 11 217 10 208 3 237 79318 75419 6 180 9 208 8 326 75419 71977 6 113 3 175 10 335 71977 68852 10 070 4 089 3 349 68852 65980 12 037 7 089 7 046 65980 63341 12 003 4 052 4 068 63341 60817 9 344 8 017 8 047 60817 58201 7 332 11 356 12 017 58201 55470 3 030 7 344 7 008 55470 52823 1 302 6 275 13 297 52823 50404 5 226 12 253 18 283 50404 48208 5 275 12 258 16 269 48208 46190 17 283 17 266 19 270 46190 44328 25 272 21 264 25 264 44328 42611 30 260 28 257 30 253 42611 41032 38 251 35 248 41 251 41032 39574 42 247 39 243 43 247 39574 38211 40 242 40 244 43 243 38211 36895 37 238 41 247 44 242 36895 35559 37 234 43 245 44 245 35559 34176 34 233 43 243 44 251 34176 32749 30 232 42 240 43 248 32749 31263 28 232 39 238 42 242 31263 29708 28 236 36 237 41 238 29708 28084 28 242 33 238 38 234 28084 26392 28 242 31 243 35 234 26392 24636 27 237 28 248 28 240 24636 22820 27 232 24 251 25 248 22820 20937 25 231 21 247 23 257 20937 18977 21 236 21 244 21 251 18977 16980 17 239 19 244 21 256 16980 15055 16 236 16 245 20 263 15055 13302 17 236 14 250 16 266 13302 11742 18 234 13 255 12 270 11742 10354 19 233 13 257 9 278 10354 9117 18 234 13 256 8 289 9117 8015 15 240 13 255 8 298 8015 7033 12 248 11 256 9 301 7033 6163 10 255 9 260 9 301 6163 5390 7 254 6*254 8 299 5390 4695 5 239 5*238 7 295 4695 4078 3 224 5 228 6 294 4078 3560 2 232 6 224 5 301 3560 3161 2 237 6 222 4 309 3161 2886 3 235 6 221 3 326 2886 2719 3*232 6 220 2*343 2719 2623 3*232 6 220 2*354 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography