DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.6 - - 49.6 - - 48.3 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 12 - - 12 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 585 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3796 - - 4122 - - 2622 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2300 - - 2302 - - 2890 - - 2672 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 85 - - 25 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 274 - - 283 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 9 - - 27 - - -40 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1175 - - 1501 - - 1 - - -1012 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2621 - - 2621 - - 2621 - - 3635 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 679 - - 163 - - -534 - - -3858 ODpotential blCL - - - 3117 - - 3959 - - 3156 - - 6480 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.6 - - 49.6 - - 48.3 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 47.2 - - 47.3 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 50.2 - - 49.0 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 46.5 - - 47.0 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 12 - - 12 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 585 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96099 28 306 27 311 16 309 27 290 96099 89072 20 294 26 311 16 337 19 312 89072 83645 11 330 23 306 12 308 15 323 83645 79111 12 315 11 291 14 289 17 278 79111 75217 23 292 22 296 11 313 13 305 75217 71741 20 260 19 260 23 283 19 277 71741 68539 11 302 26 266 27 270 28 269 68539 65577 28 257 35 262 36 267 39 262 65577 62836 41 238 40 257 38 241 41 249 62836 60186 39 230 39 241 36 244 35 249 60186 57391 41 243 42 237 39 247 35 254 57391 54453 48 251 44 241 46 241 38 257 54453 51636 64 242 55 251 58 248 52 254 51636 49120 72 243 70 248 73 252 67 250 49120 46898 83 244 81 243 84 248 78 248 46898 44903 92 238 90 241 88 238 88 244 44903 43083 91 232 97 238 91 239 90 241 43083 41408 93 236 101 236 98 244 92 241 41408 39853 110 241 107 234 107 241 98 242 39853 38403 115 239 114 233 114 237 107 242 38403 37045 113 235 118 233 122 234 118 241 37045 35742 113 234 118 232 125 232 125 239 35742 34427 113 234 114 232 123 233 131 238 34427 33066 110 234 112 233 118 237 133 238 33066 31661 108 236 109 235 109 238 121 239 31661 30200 103 237 102 235 106 239 112 239 30200 28673 96 238 94 235 105 241 110 241 28673 27081 87 239 91 237 102 243 107 244 27081 25425 83 239 90 240 97 244 103 244 25425 23709 83 239 90 241 92 246 99 244 23709 21932 84 241 90 241 92 248 91 245 21932 20087 83 243 90 245 89 246 87 247 20087 18174 80 244 82 246 71 242 75 242 18174 16252 63 242 63 242 57 234 55 232 16252 14424 47 231 47 230 49 225 43 225 14424 12763 40 221 43 221 45 219 39 229 12763 11283 37 225 40 219 39 218 36 238 11283 9965 34 234 35 220 32 221 33 244 9965 8789 31 241 31 226 24 230 32 248 8789 7740 27 244 27 234 18 242 31 252 7740 6806 23 243 24 241 13 259 30 258 6806 5980 20 243 21 247 12 275 28 268 5980 5246 17 245 17 252 12 282 25 280 5246 4586 13 246 13*259 12 284 22 293 4586 4001 10*244 10*266 12 284 20 309 4001 3510 8*240 7 273 11 284 17 325 3510 3132 6 236 6 278 10 283 15 336 3132 2871 5 233 5 281 9 283 13 344 2871 2712 5 232 4 281 8*282 10*349 2712 2621 4 232 4 281 5*280 6*354 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography