DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 56.8 - - 54.6 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 79 - - 28 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 331 - - 290 - - 317 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3868 - - 3827 - - 3854 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2891 - - 2088 - - 2022 - - 2542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 46 - - 126 - - 87 - - 61 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 190 - - 193 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 46 - - 56 - - 50 - - 42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1246 - - 1150 - - 1195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2677 - - 2659 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -338 - - 282 - - 100 - - 254 ODpotential blCL - - - 2961 - - 3586 - - 3727 - - 3600 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 56.8 - - 54.6 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.4 - - 53.9 - - 51.5 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 57.0 - - 55.2 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 53.4 - - 51.0 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 79 - - 28 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 331 - - 290 - - 317 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 96 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98093 31 273 26 266 37 288 26 283 98093 90755 17 260 17 258 21 270 22 291 90755 85070 11 245 19 279 13 258 14 273 85070 80348 8 212 16 270 10 260 10 244 80348 76295 6 172 11 220 8 273 11 238 76295 72741 1 120 7 175 3 222 7 209 72741 69552 4 267 3 205 1 304 5 143 69552 66631 4 250 2 173 3 210 4 147 66631 63924 3 323 3 198 8 196 1 076 63924 61291 10 293 13 189 17 210 15 243 61291 58560 14 251 15 186 21 196 24 210 58560 55743 26 257 17 235 16 211 21 198 55743 53037 41 238 34 241 24 236 21 221 53037 50581 47 228 43 225 36 235 31 237 50581 48367 45 229 49 215 43 229 40 239 48367 46342 45 236 47 216 49 226 45 237 46342 44468 50 237 44 224 50 224 48 234 44468 42722 53 236 44 229 52 223 52 234 42722 41084 53 234 47 230 54 224 54 233 41084 39539 51 232 49 230 52 224 53 230 39539 38081 53 230 50 230 52 226 55 228 38081 36676 54 229 50 228 49 227 55 227 36676 35262 50 230 48 224 44 228 50 227 35262 33812 40 225 45 222 41 234 42 229 33812 32329 37 224 42 222 39 237 41 229 32329 30791 40 225 41 228 40 234 42 231 30791 29190 35 230 41 232 43 230 45 234 29190 27530 30 243 40 235 44 233 48 236 27530 25816 27 240 40 235 48 234 47 235 25816 24050 26 234 41 237 46 234 44 233 24050 22233 23 222 38 236 46 234 44 232 22233 20360 25 227 33 231 42 231 43 232 20360 18436 29 242 28 230 36 228 41 230 18436 16495 26 257 26 235 33 224 40 229 16495 14631 23 267 27 237 31 226 36 229 14631 12936 20 263 28 235 30 232 32 226 12936 11426 21 255 29 235 30 233 32 223 11426 10076 23 249 30 234 30 230 32 219 10076 8873 23 244 28 233 28 225 27 212 8873 7807 22 237 26 232 23 219 23 201 7807 6862 19 223 20 224 19 209 21 193 6862 6027 17 211 17 211 17 200 19 190 6027 5285 15 196 16 198 16 196 17 190 5285 4618 14 186 16 193 16 193 15 191 4618 4023 15 184 16*192 15*193 15*192 4023 3525 15 182 16*191 15*193 14*191 3525 3141 14 181 16 190 14 193 13 189 3141 2876 14 182 15 189 13 192 11 188 2876 2715 12*181 13 190 11 193 9 187 2715 2622 9*181 9 189 8 193 6 188 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography