DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.1 - - 67.1 - - 70.2 - - 67.7 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -94 - - 100 - - 199 - - 6 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 825 - - 2636 - - 729 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 5040 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4362 - - 6173 - - 4266 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 222 - - 2790 - - 1604 - - 3442 - - 562 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 186 - - 335 - - 74 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 16 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 128 - - 278 - - 325 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - 11 - - 27 - - 9 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3690 - - -3346 - - -2760 - - -3690 - - -5352 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6313 - - 7708 - - 8933 - - 7956 - - 7975 sfcLCL ODpotential -13385 - - -10521 - - -8586 - - -9376 - - -13124 ODpotential blCL 16008 - - 14883 - - 14759 - - 13642 - - 15747 blCL maxRH 90 - - 63 - - 87 - - 56 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.1 - - 67.1 - - 70.2 - - 67.7 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 42.5 - - 40.1 - - 42.0 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.1 - - 67.0 - - 69.6 - - 68.5 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 41.4 - - 39.2 - - 41.2 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -94 - - 100 - - 199 - - 6 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 825 - - 2636 - - 729 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 0 - - 49 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96712 57 271 69 287 53 290 50 275 54 275 96712 89573 36 283 42 280 42 282 40 289 39 301 89573 84077 31 298 25 283 27 274 30 289 37 309 84077 79531 24 305 20 273 23 274 28 287 31 303 79531 75613 20 313 14 284 20 283 23 284 24 291 75613 72128 21 317 16 309 16 291 16 292 19 280 72128 68950 23 306 18 299 15 295 19 303 15 288 68950 66022 20 287 18 288 16 293 19 304 15 307 66022 63306 16 281 15 295 15 280 19 289 17 311 63306 60673 16 303 14 312 16 286 20 273 20 294 60673 57923 22 303 21 299 21 282 23 269 23 284 57923 55071 26 285 29 283 29 271 27 268 24 281 55071 52343 35 281 36 275 38 267 35 273 25 291 52343 49881 37 278 39 271 42 264 45 272 30 294 49881 47672 40 284 39 273 42 271 42 272 34 287 47672 45666 52 285 45 285 48 288 41 279 38 284 45666 43828 56 282 50 284 53 287 45 280 41 281 43828 42125 50 279 49 277 52 281 46 276 42 279 42125 40535 47 280 47 277 49 277 46 275 40 279 40535 39046 49 282 49 279 50 279 47 279 39 282 39046 37648 46 280 50 276 56 279 51 283 40 286 37648 36306 38 277 48 278 58 276 55 283 43 288 36306 34955 30 281 49 286 63 277 62 280 45 292 34955 33570 33 295 51 289 65 279 68 275 45 296 33570 32155 38 296 49 287 58 277 68 273 46 297 32155 30695 24 296 44 284 51 277 61 276 44 291 30695 29177 17 296 39 283 49 280 49 280 37 300 29177 27599 18 276 36 288 46 281 46 283 37 315 27599 25958 24 272 32 288 39 280 42 284 35 323 25958 24250 31 279 30 285 33 282 32 290 30 331 24250 22477 33 282 30 283 26 295 29 300 29 338 22477 20633 30 289 29 289 23 313 29 308 30 346 20633 18710 28 295 25 301 21 327 29 312 34 353 18710 16747 24 298 18 319 21 341 25 322 39 359 16747 14854 19 305 16 342 20 354 18 340 42 006 14854 13130 14 328 19 360 19 004 14 357 35 010 13130 11600 12 359 20 007 19 012 16 006 21 012 11600 10239 11 025 15 015 16 017 17 010 14 018 10239 9024 9 044 10 029 12 022 15 017 11 031 9024 7939 8 061 7 057 9 032 14 022 11 042 7939 6972 8 083 6 093 7*030 13 016 12 051 6972 6113 9 096 7 114 5*008 11 011 14 055 6113 5351 10 104 7 116 4 330 10 006 16 058 5351 4665 11 104 7*112 4 289 8*359 18 060 4665 4055 13 098 5*105 5 263 6*347 19 062 4055 3544 15 090 4 115 6 256 5 332 20 063 3544 3151 16 082 3 136 6 252 4 317 18 062 3151 2881 16 071 3 156 6 249 3 306 15 060 2881 2716 12*063 3 162 6 246 3 298 11*054 2716 2622 8*056 3 170 5 245 2 293 7*046 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography