DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.8 - - 82.0 - - 85.4 - - 81.9 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 321 - - 428 - - 153 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 451 - - 1782 - - 429 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 2607 - - 4637 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3988 - - 5319 - - 3966 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 289 - - 4483 - - 5228 - - 2065 - - 1217 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 216 - - 375 - - 166 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 26 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 201 - - 211 - - 231 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 17 - - 36 - - 24 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5878 - - -5662 - - -5151 - - -6009 - - -6614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8502 - - 9651 - - 10471 - - 9975 - - 9239 sfcLCL ODpotential -13349 - - -9148 - - -8557 - - -8995 - - -11714 ODpotential blCL 15973 - - 13136 - - 13876 - - 12961 - - 14338 blCL maxRH 35 - - 36 - - 38 - - 40 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.8 - - 82.0 - - 85.4 - - 81.9 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 48.7 - - 48.4 - - 47.3 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.8 - - 80.5 - - 83.5 - - 81.2 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 48.6 - - 48.2 - - 47.2 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 321 - - 428 - - 153 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 451 - - 1782 - - 429 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98394 9 145 7 225 5 296 6 245 5 275 98394 90962 9 101 5 156 7 186 6 180 3 008 90962 85279 11 108 7 067 13 149 10 159 1 194 85279 80579 7 110 3 070 6 114 6 103 8 124 80579 76520 8 114 6 100 2 107 6 051 9 085 76520 72931 9 092 10 094 7 112 2 095 7 039 72931 69692 9 103 11 097 8 107 5 099 7 054 69692 66722 3 058 7 119 6 111 8 116 7 078 66722 63966 2 261 2 171 6 171 1 063 2 071 63966 61289 4 212 7 230 7 199 8 264 10 258 61289 58494 9 243 10 207 13 237 16 259 16 260 58494 55592 18 256 13 232 18 244 17 255 16 257 55592 52822 22 242 18 235 20 240 19 248 17 253 52822 50333 20 238 22 226 23 230 24 239 21 250 50333 48109 22 244 20 228 23 227 24 232 22 243 48109 46096 24 245 18 233 20 232 21 229 19 232 46096 44258 20 230 16 230 15 231 16 234 16 240 44258 42576 14 228 10 246 8 229 11 227 11 235 42576 41023 9 258 8 280 8 322 3 298 0 339 41023 39573 8 260 8 307 11 333 12 334 10 349 39573 38210 7 227 3 340 7 003 13 359 11 355 38210 36892 5 352 7 038 9 048 17 024 11 006 36892 35555 13 025 17 036 13 054 19 031 10 016 35555 34171 20 026 20 030 16 043 19 036 9 035 34171 32744 18 022 17 023 18 043 20 044 10 056 32744 31260 16 033 14 023 16 042 20 048 12 059 31260 29710 14 029 12 025 14 036 17 053 12 056 29710 28093 13 017 12 023 12 033 16 052 9 055 28093 26408 14 011 12 017 12 026 17 042 11 053 26408 24656 15 015 12 009 14 024 18 033 14 051 24656 22842 18 029 14 014 15 032 18 040 13 062 22842 20960 20 039 17 033 15 048 16 064 9 064 20960 19005 18 044 17 054 12 067 12 083 8 064 19005 17015 17 044 16 066 12 078 12 089 10 087 17015 15101 15 055 17 066 14 085 14 095 13 101 15101 13362 19 082 18 073 16 089 15 092 14 109 13362 11813 25 093 21 085 17 085 17 072 13 102 11813 10427 23 095 19 090 16 073 16 065 13 092 10427 9187 19 098 16 093 14 071 13 066 10 102 9187 8076 17 100 15 093 10 072 9 072 9 115 8076 7085 14 102 12 092 6 083 6 088 8 134 7085 6206 13 102 10 090 3 113 3 108 6 149 6206 5425 12 100 8 087 3*158 1 191 4 152 5425 4721 11 098 6 082 4*197 3 242 2 174 4721 4096 10 090 4*077 5 209 3*247 1 245 4096 3571 9 081 1*090 7 212 4*238 3 312 3571 3168 8 071 1 199 7 214 5 232 6 323 3168 2889 6 066 2 213 8 214 5 229 6 337 2889 2720 4*056 3 214 7 214 5 227 6*348 2720 2623 4*044 3 215 7 214 5 226 5*356 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography