DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 84.7 - - 82.6 - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 562 - - 318 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 1214 - - 857 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3906 - - 4270 - - 3906 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4292 - - 4751 - - 4394 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 791 - - 1016 - - 959 - - 1283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 362 - - 267 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 222 - - 231 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 43 - - 36 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4117 - - -3785 - - -3620 - - -3254 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8409 - - 8537 - - 8014 - - 5878 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7893 - - -7148 - - -7882 - - -9189 ODpotential blCL - - - 12185 - - 11899 - - 12276 - - 11813 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 50 - - 50 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 290 - - 230 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 84.7 - - 82.6 - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 56.2 - - 56.4 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 82.1 - - 81.0 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 56.0 - - 56.3 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 562 - - 318 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 1214 - - 857 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98623 19 114 33 104 28 120 19 105 98623 91164 15 118 24 100 20 101 23 094 91164 85431 13 135 14 096 16 093 18 087 85431 80693 17 125 11 117 14 082 19 086 80693 76627 20 116 12 112 15 091 20 077 76627 73039 21 110 11 110 19 087 19 086 73039 69789 17 089 15 122 13 086 19 079 69789 66812 9 099 10 090 16 097 13 093 66812 64069 12 134 6 200 5 021 12 074 64069 61425 8 123 11 185 9 260 5 345 61425 58688 3 125 9 183 11 235 9 267 58688 55859 4 295 4 212 12 219 12 252 55859 53163 12 286 8 264 12 229 13 259 53163 50737 17 270 13 267 13 252 16 265 50737 48554 18 265 16 264 18 254 21 266 48554 46562 20 261 19 259 22 246 26 254 46562 44730 22 251 21 254 23 248 26 247 44730 43030 22 241 24 245 26 252 25 254 43030 41443 20 246 23 245 26 252 26 259 41443 39958 18 254 18 255 21 253 21 263 39958 38563 13 263 13 267 14 266 16 273 38563 37222 10 281 11 283 13 282 14 273 37222 35863 8 296 13 292 13 289 13 270 35863 34457 6 283 13 280 11 311 10 299 34457 33012 13 307 15 294 14 322 13 323 33012 31514 14 319 9 321 9 320 11 321 31514 29948 13 359 13 013 8 006 9 330 29948 28314 20 008 16 358 14 005 10 349 28314 26612 20 003 14 352 14 356 9 352 26612 24841 15 006 10 011 8 358 6 334 24841 23007 10 358 6 012 3 342 3 305 23007 21104 4 338 3 348 2 315 2 267 21104 19129 4 198 5 237 6 248 5 239 19129 17124 8 208 11 233 12 249 9 246 17124 15195 9 214 15 235 16 252 12 256 15195 13437 10 229 16 239 17 255 12 258 13437 11869 10 240 16 246 15 261 11 263 11869 10468 9 244 14 250 13 267 11 279 10468 9214 7 257 11 250 12 270 11 290 9214 8092 6 279 9 251 11 265 10 288 8092 7091 7 295 8 259 10 258 10 282 7091 6205 7 299 7 265 8 260 10 277 6205 5419 5 300 6*259 7 263 8 274 5419 4713 3*290 5*241 6*260 7 274 4713 4088 3*264 6 227 6*248 5 274 4088 3566 5 234 8 219 7 233 3 271 3566 3165 6 228 9 217 7 228 2 212 3165 2888 6 225 9 217 8 225 2 205 2888 2720 7 224 9 216 7 224 3*204 2720 2623 6 223 8 216 7 224 2*204 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography