DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 78.2 - - 71.9 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 414 - - 310 - - 28 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1311 - - 552 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4285 - - 3654 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4848 - - 4089 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1776 - - 1737 - - 1788 - - 1389 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 335 - - 228 - - 32 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 193 - - 155 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 34 - - 10 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6636 - - -5419 - - -2951 - - -3980 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11485 - - 9508 - - 5575 - - 6604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13891 - - -11090 - - -8149 - - -10401 ODpotential blCL - - - 18739 - - 15179 - - 10773 - - 13025 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - 101 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 78.2 - - 71.9 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 45.9 - - 56.4 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 77.0 - - 72.4 - - 72.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 45.7 - - 56.2 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 414 - - 310 - - 28 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1311 - - 552 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 101 - - 102 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98977 41 113 29 100 31 091 38 097 98977 91508 33 103 32 102 27 109 31 085 91508 85757 29 098 33 108 29 111 23 095 85757 81012 28 109 27 099 29 109 23 101 81012 76937 22 114 24 109 21 094 30 101 76937 73322 22 107 23 110 17 105 24 084 73322 70063 19 094 20 108 19 101 20 092 70063 67090 14 095 15 096 16 090 22 098 67090 64347 13 117 10 102 8 086 16 089 64347 61709 10 132 5 135 8 096 9 083 61709 58982 3 114 2 096 6 099 5 110 58982 56165 6 234 8 274 5 309 4 234 56165 53483 6 268 13 253 14 267 13 275 53483 51068 22 276 22 264 22 259 24 269 51068 48894 33 275 29 268 29 260 30 260 48894 46910 35 270 37 265 37 258 36 255 46910 45079 39 276 39 267 42 263 42 255 45079 43371 45 279 46 272 47 267 46 261 43371 41764 52 275 51 270 53 268 52 266 41764 40252 54 271 57 268 56 263 55 265 40252 38840 50 271 56 262 48 257 47 254 38840 37488 40 274 50 259 36 248 37 239 37488 36116 36 271 45 264 34 243 33 231 36116 34694 37 264 38 274 30 242 27 219 34694 33226 34 263 35 272 24 247 26 232 33226 31701 30 264 31 266 21 260 24 244 31701 30105 25 264 24 261 20 263 18 240 30105 28440 18 244 22 233 19 247 15 244 28440 26708 23 237 24 236 20 234 18 248 26708 24912 14 226 17 232 21 231 17 246 24912 23053 8 185 9 216 18 229 14 245 23053 21126 6 177 10 162 15 214 16 237 21126 19131 6 168 12 166 13 208 18 227 19131 17108 10 171 10 183 14 219 16 214 17108 15166 13 182 9 208 14 225 14 199 15166 13398 14 187 10 216 12 216 12 185 13398 11824 13 185 13 210 9 204 12 172 11824 10420 13 176 15 201 9 191 12 171 10420 9165 14 169 17 193 9 185 13 177 9165 8046 17 169 17 188 11 178 13 181 8046 7051 21 174 16 184 12 174 13 179 7051 6171 22 176 14 178 12 171 13 176 6171 5392 19*174 13 172 11 167 12 173 5392 4694 14*162 11*172 11 161 10 168 4694 4075 11 156 8*180 10 149 8 159 4075 3557 10 159 8 190 8 140 6 145 3557 3159 10 163 8 196 7 147 5 141 3159 2885 9 167 8 200 6 154 4 149 2885 2718 9 170 8 201 5*159 3*152 2718 2623 8 173 7 202 4*168 2*156 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography