DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 51.4 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 89 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 806 - - 2688 - - - - - 159 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 4719 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4343 - - 6225 - - - - - 3696 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1947 - - 1712 - - - - - 2260 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 270 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 219 - - - - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 40 - - - - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1704 - - 2529 - - - - - 1075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2639 - - 3696 - - - - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 445 - - 1017 - - - - - 604 ODpotential blCL - - - 3898 - - 5208 - - - - - 3092 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 90 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 90 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 51.4 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 44.5 - - - - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 51.6 - - - - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 43.2 - - - - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 89 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 806 - - 2688 - - - - - 159 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 62 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96549 26 102 17 052 21 094 96549 89449 28 094 23 093 23 101 89449 83950 25 092 22 104 24 076 83950 79353 20 082 21 104 12 084 79353 75368 12 109 16 134 13 082 75368 71831 12 087 13 125 9 062 71831 68629 5 225 3 114 11 137 68629 65702 9 195 14 209 15 155 65702 62983 7 205 7 136 19 200 62983 60327 19 222 4 225 23 203 60327 57541 36 213 28 231 25 233 57541 54639 35 208 38 223 38 228 54639 51847 35 245 40 228 32 226 51847 49308 58 248 61 238 47 249 49308 47029 76 240 80 234 70 234 47029 44971 80 232 90 228 68 224 44971 43090 80 229 89 226 56 234 43090 41360 87 232 83 231 87 239 41360 39770 104 230 98 232 110 228 39770 38307 117 225 107 226 113 220 38307 36937 132 225 120 226 94 222 36937 35616 139 226 130 226 97 231 35616 34282 138 225 132 224 113 231 34282 32906 136 224 136 221 123 230 32906 31488 133 225 133 221 125 230 31488 30018 129 225 123 223 117 230 30018 28489 121 226 107 221 104 233 28489 26913 112 228 97 219 93 238 26913 25294 96 227 88 220 77 242 25294 23624 72 226 73 229 63 243 23624 21895 54 234 62 239 59 238 21895 20102 48 238 55 241 50 235 20102 18237 47 231 47 234 42 229 18237 16332 46 223 43 227 39 230 16332 14493 47 218 43 226 35 233 14493 12816 49 216 41 227 30 235 12816 11322 47 211 39 224 24 244 11322 9993 45 204 32 224 16 260 9993 8809 40 202 24 230 11 275 8809 7756 33 206 17 235 8 279 7756 6819 26 210 13*234 7 279 6819 5990 20 210 10*229 6 273 5990 5255 16 205 10 223 5 257 5255 4594 14*197 9 220 4 227 4594 4007 12*188 9 217 3*210 4007 3514 12 179 9 214 4*207 3514 3134 11 173 9 213 4 209 3134 2873 10 172 9 213 3 209 2873 2713 9 172 8 213 2 207 2713 2621 7 173 7 213 2 208 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography