DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2217z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.9 - - 76.6 - - 82.5 - - 81.5 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 433 - - 534 - - 270 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1030 - - 1482 - - 1086 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2662 - - 4089 - - 4458 - - 4021 - - 2662 Hcrit BL Top 2679 - - 4567 - - 5019 - - 4623 - - 2679 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1221 - - 1010 - - 2146 - - 1591 - - 920 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 313 - - 379 - - 272 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 170 - - 165 - - 173 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 38 - - 45 - - 35 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2861 - - -2660 - - -4655 - - -5009 - - -3420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5540 - - 7228 - - 9674 - - 9632 - - 6099 sfcLCL ODpotential -8827 - - -6988 - - -8160 - - -9160 - - -9771 ODpotential blCL 11506 - - 11555 - - 13179 - - 13783 - - 12450 blCL maxRH 60 - - 59 - - 44 - - 39 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.9 - - 76.6 - - 82.5 - - 81.5 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.9 - - 54.1 - - 49.3 - - 48.6 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.2 - - 75.0 - - 80.4 - - 80.5 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 54.0 - - 49.3 - - 48.6 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 433 - - 534 - - 270 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1030 - - 1482 - - 1086 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98928 42 101 45 103 37 117 31 099 25 099 98928 91953 38 101 40 104 37 114 30 104 29 102 91953 86479 32 101 34 104 35 111 29 106 30 103 86479 81893 27 102 27 107 29 103 28 107 27 102 81893 77919 25 101 24 114 24 098 26 107 23 102 77919 74399 21 102 23 117 19 102 23 108 21 104 74399 71213 17 104 21 112 16 113 20 109 19 103 71213 68284 14 106 17 110 16 120 15 112 16 106 68284 65568 12 105 14 117 14 122 11 120 12 113 65568 62937 8 128 9 135 11 127 9 143 9 126 62937 60197 9 158 9 165 8 154 8 175 7 151 60197 57363 10 182 13 191 12 199 12 206 8 194 57363 54665 13 212 18 207 21 212 19 216 16 223 54665 52243 20 229 23 221 28 219 26 217 23 222 52243 50075 26 229 28 223 33 221 31 220 29 219 50075 48103 31 232 31 229 36 225 36 222 33 219 48103 46286 38 237 38 237 40 231 40 226 38 222 46286 44595 46 238 46 239 48 235 46 232 42 226 44595 43012 47 236 48 237 52 235 50 237 45 230 43012 41526 42 236 44 235 50 234 50 241 45 234 41526 40127 35 239 36 233 45 231 47 241 42 237 40127 38778 30 240 29 232 38 229 43 240 39 240 38778 37411 26 240 24 232 32 229 39 238 35 240 37411 35995 24 239 21 233 27 228 34 236 31 240 35995 34531 22 239 20 235 25 229 30 235 28 241 34531 33001 19 240 20 233 25 229 28 234 27 243 33001 31389 18 241 18 228 24 230 26 232 27 242 31389 29695 17 244 15 222 21 226 24 232 25 241 29695 27921 16 244 14 213 17 216 22 232 23 241 27921 26069 14 236 14 207 15 206 19 231 21 242 26069 24142 13 221 14 207 13 198 16 233 20 239 24142 22132 13 203 14 204 12 187 13 224 16 235 22132 20033 15 185 14 195 14 177 13 190 13 224 20033 17889 15 171 14 189 13 166 15 159 9 194 17889 15821 16 160 14 176 12 152 16 146 11 151 15821 13937 18 158 16 165 15 146 18 138 16 136 13937 12263 22 161 17 160 19 143 21 132 20 131 12263 10774 25 163 18 154 22 140 24 129 22 129 10774 9450 24 161 18 146 24 136 25 128 22 130 9450 8274 20 155 18 136 23 131 24 128 20 132 8274 7232 18 146 19 127 21 128 21 131 17 138 7232 6316 16 140 18 121 19 127 18 135 15 146 6316 5508 13 134 15 113 17*126 15 138 12 151 5508 4787 10 124 10*110 13*127 10*139 9 143 4787 4152 7 115 7*132 9 161 7*150 7 133 4152 3624 5 117 7 167 9 172 7 171 5 133 3624 3219 4 127 7 178 10 179 8 178 5 139 3219 2942 4 127 7 183 10 182 8 183 4 142 2942 2774 2*120 7 185 9 184 7 185 3*131 2774 2678 2*117 7 188 8 186 7 186 3*100 2678 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography