DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.0 - - 86.6 - - 76.5 - - 75.4 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 407 - - 182 - - 195 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 452 - - 23 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 3661 - - 2607 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3989 - - 3560 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 949 - - 1200 - - 576 - - 1624 - - 755 Hgt.Variab. W* 43 - - 234 - - 66 - - 60 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 140 - - 231 - - 180 - - 161 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 27 - - 25 - - 20 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5019 - - -6977 - - -3387 - - -3083 - - -1892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7643 - - 10967 - - 6948 - - 5707 - - 4516 sfcLCL ODpotential -12510 - - -10051 - - -8237 - - -7827 - - -6857 ODpotential blCL 15134 - - 14040 - - 11797 - - 10451 - - 9481 blCL maxRH 91 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 10 - - 20 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 71.0 - - 86.6 - - 76.5 - - 75.4 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.1 - - 47.9 - - 55.2 - - 59.3 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.1 - - 84.6 - - 75.8 - - 74.7 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.0 - - 47.7 - - 55.2 - - 59.0 - - 60.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 407 - - 182 - - 195 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 452 - - 23 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 102 - - 103 - - 101 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99299 35 104 39 101 34 117 31 105 27 084 99299 91778 38 108 34 108 31 108 27 101 26 099 91778 86018 32 105 30 106 29 098 29 101 26 101 86018 81238 25 108 24 096 26 099 31 105 27 096 81238 77107 26 103 21 102 25 096 26 103 24 092 77107 73470 21 105 23 110 17 099 21 101 22 097 73470 70202 17 127 22 122 14 116 13 094 17 098 70202 67206 17 134 18 129 14 122 12 106 9 108 67206 64433 18 129 19 153 23 136 19 124 11 118 64433 61751 17 146 20 155 16 135 13 130 9 148 61751 58971 16 138 22 151 22 150 24 152 25 155 58971 56127 15 144 23 156 22 148 27 157 29 155 56127 53443 20 172 25 173 23 170 30 168 30 152 53443 51033 35 165 37 173 34 156 31 164 32 152 51033 48862 42 157 44 163 37 152 32 159 32 155 48862 46884 33 156 42 154 38 158 29 153 29 156 46884 45071 23 177 40 144 38 161 23 164 24 147 45071 43393 24 188 32 156 35 165 23 169 21 156 43393 41819 32 188 26 177 29 167 23 171 18 170 41819 40331 45 189 29 195 26 180 27 176 17 184 40331 38922 48 185 34 193 32 179 30 179 20 186 38922 37557 49 183 39 184 38 178 31 177 22 178 37557 36172 49 178 40 176 41 174 35 171 23 173 36172 34740 50 175 41 172 43 169 36 168 25 175 34740 33265 52 170 38 173 42 167 36 166 27 162 33265 31732 49 168 35 182 39 165 38 161 31 155 31732 30130 41 165 30 176 32 170 36 157 34 157 30130 28460 37 153 28 147 27 176 29 156 36 168 28460 26724 32 154 32 142 26 169 23 156 33 173 26724 24929 26 159 35 145 27 157 21 151 28 168 24929 23076 23 156 33 147 35 159 26 141 25 171 23076 21155 30 156 30 149 33 149 31 133 24 177 21155 19160 39 156 33 150 41 139 33 127 20 189 19160 17134 36 160 35 145 44 132 32 127 15 190 17134 15191 25 164 32 144 40 127 32 132 14 164 15191 13429 18 174 27 149 34 123 34 133 16 133 13429 11862 13 183 24 156 26 124 32 129 19 116 11862 10463 11 184 21 161 19 138 28 127 20 117 10463 9211 10 182 18 168 15 162 26 130 18 125 9211 8091 10 177 15 175 14 183 22 140 15 136 8091 7094 9 173 13 178 15 199 19 155 11 140 7094 6209 10 169 11 175 15 207 17 168 8 137 6209 5424 10 166 9 170 11 207 15 175 7 134 5424 4718 10 164 7 159 7 197 11 168 7 126 4718 4091 9 156 5*163 6 175 10 153 6 124 4091 3567 7 147 3*217 7*174 10 152 3 127 3567 3164 5 138 5 232 8*177 9 156 3 107 3164 2888 4 138 5 234 8 180 9 161 2 111 2888 2719 2*139 6 233 7 181 8*163 1*123 2719 2623 2*143 5 233 6 183 7*167 1*122 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography