DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 47.6 - - 45.7 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 116 - - 34 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 591 - - 2529 - - 1814 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 4780 - - 2604 - - 2604 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4128 - - 6066 - - 5351 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 978 - - 1068 - - 1129 - - 2842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 157 - - 290 - - 177 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 352 - - 289 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -51 - - 15 - - 23 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1187 - - 456 - - 1371 - - -237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5315 - - 5610 - - 3980 - - 2859 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9675 - - -5723 - - -452 - - -2592 ODpotential blCL - - - 13803 - - 11789 - - 5803 - - 5214 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 86 - - 84 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 47.6 - - 45.7 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 32.2 - - 37.5 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 47.6 - - 46.1 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 31.0 - - 36.3 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 116 - - 34 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 591 - - 2529 - - 1814 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 45 - - 36 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96512 20 115 17 072 26 113 20 115 96512 89365 16 115 8 129 12 108 15 101 89365 83817 15 100 8 156 7 159 7 058 83817 79200 3 088 6 155 7 138 7 131 79200 75213 7 153 4 184 4 207 6 193 75213 71664 2 225 5 229 4 176 5 138 71664 68431 8 152 17 225 19 262 14 289 68431 65470 7 132 11 179 12 255 15 259 65470 62741 22 278 9 282 19 304 11 281 62741 60088 33 283 32 293 27 286 20 282 60088 57309 37 284 41 293 34 288 33 292 57309 54424 41 283 47 285 41 287 43 289 54424 51667 46 286 53 287 47 287 50 286 51667 49179 57 285 61 288 55 289 57 289 49179 46942 63 288 66 286 62 288 64 287 46942 44910 65 286 68 281 69 284 65 286 44910 43056 64 286 72 284 72 283 67 290 43056 41350 75 291 81 288 79 289 88 290 41350 39768 92 285 95 289 89 290 97 284 39768 38299 99 285 107 283 96 289 97 288 38299 36936 109 287 107 278 103 288 91 292 36936 35640 114 285 107 278 109 282 103 301 35640 34328 114 283 110 278 112 281 112 296 34328 32968 112 283 112 277 119 284 112 291 32968 31565 109 285 111 278 121 282 109 290 31565 30109 108 289 111 281 120 283 106 292 30109 28587 104 294 111 286 118 288 104 293 28587 27000 88 295 107 290 108 290 99 294 27000 25348 77 292 92 291 98 289 91 297 25348 23636 71 292 75 289 87 290 85 298 23636 21871 64 289 64 282 72 288 72 298 21871 20052 59 287 58 283 61 287 57 297 20052 18173 53 287 50 287 56 290 47 299 18173 16264 48 288 42 292 55 293 41 302 16264 14425 43 294 38 294 44 290 37 302 14425 12752 38 301 35 295 36 287 32 301 12752 11262 32 306 31 299 31 291 26 302 11262 9937 25 313 25 309 23 301 19 304 9937 8755 23 319 20 320 17 314 13 305 8755 7704 21 325 15 337 13 330 10 310 7704 6773 21 331 11*357 8 347 7 324 6773 5951 21 338 8*008 6*002 5 329 5951 5224 22 345 7 005 5*348 4 333 5224 4570 22*351 7 358 4 315 4 341 4570 3989 20*355 6 349 4 283 4 333 3989 3502 16 358 6 342 5 274 3 325 3502 3128 15 358 6 336 5 267 3 321 3128 2869 13 357 5 330 5 264 2 329 2869 2711 12 356 5 328 4 262 1*357 2711 2621 8 354 4 323 4 260 1*013 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography