DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 74.6 - - 74.2 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 598 - - 348 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 702 - - 1425 - - 841 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3870 - - 4436 - - 3914 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4239 - - 4962 - - 4378 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 483 - - 765 - - 774 - - 1237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 389 - - 273 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 219 - - 225 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 39 - - 33 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -628 - - -2044 - - -2903 - - -2384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4867 - - 7006 - - 7281 - - 5008 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7454 - - -7513 - - -9539 - - -10776 ODpotential blCL - - - 11693 - - 12475 - - 13917 - - 13400 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 66 - - 56 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 74.6 - - 74.2 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.6 - - 52.8 - - 51.3 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 72.1 - - 72.6 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 52.7 - - 51.2 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 598 - - 348 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 702 - - 1425 - - 841 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99066 33 104 32 108 33 122 34 103 99066 91610 31 113 27 119 23 116 27 101 91610 85845 27 115 27 114 25 113 25 104 85845 81063 27 111 33 113 29 113 22 108 81063 76956 24 111 24 113 30 102 26 105 76956 73325 21 117 17 119 21 088 28 092 73325 70043 16 124 14 127 14 118 18 083 70043 67040 12 137 10 150 9 136 11 088 67040 64265 7 138 8 169 9 205 1 179 64265 61572 3 262 1 303 2 107 5 147 61572 58754 15 253 14 271 16 280 10 292 58754 55852 20 256 20 262 27 265 27 281 55852 53109 27 262 26 267 35 270 37 279 53109 50646 33 274 35 275 43 277 48 278 50646 48439 45 283 47 282 54 282 56 280 48439 46435 61 284 64 282 65 279 65 281 46435 44597 68 282 71 279 70 277 71 278 44597 42895 65 279 72 276 72 275 74 275 42895 41311 57 279 63 277 71 275 74 272 41311 39830 50 278 53 277 65 275 67 273 39830 38443 47 278 48 276 55 277 58 276 38443 37112 45 279 47 276 50 280 50 276 37112 35766 42 279 46 277 48 278 48 276 35766 34372 40 278 43 275 46 274 48 275 34372 32933 40 279 41 272 45 272 46 273 32933 31437 41 280 41 272 44 270 45 269 31437 29872 42 279 41 272 44 268 45 267 29872 28238 41 277 40 273 45 268 43 265 28238 26534 39 275 38 272 45 269 40 264 26534 24762 36 272 36 269 41 272 39 266 24762 22924 34 270 35 269 35 272 37 270 22924 21015 32 268 33 271 29 267 32 270 21015 19032 30 266 28 272 26 267 26 263 19032 17015 25 264 22 271 22 267 22 259 17015 15076 21 261 18 265 18 263 20 256 15076 13313 16 259 15 256 16 256 18 253 13313 11745 12 259 13 246 14 248 16 249 11745 10351 10 263 12 240 14 240 14 245 10351 9109 9 273 10 240 13 237 13 245 9109 8003 9 283 9 244 11 239 11 248 8003 7019 9 288 7 247 9 241 10 249 7019 6147 7 286 5 241 7 243 8 246 6147 5375 4 281 5*229 5 250 7 244 5375 4681 1*235 5*223 4*250 5 248 4681 4066 3*174 6 220 4*236 4 258 4066 3551 5 189 7 219 6 226 2 263 3551 3156 6 195 8 219 7 224 2 219 3156 2883 6 198 8 219 7 222 2 212 2883 2718 6 200 8 219 7 222 2*212 2718 2623 6 202 7 219 6 221 2*217 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography