DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.9 - - 53.5 - - 54.2 - - 51.5 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 64 - - 117 - - 14 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 211 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3748 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 999 - - 1289 - - 658 - - 1590 - - 1358 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 43 - - 123 - - 26 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 191 - - 217 - - 235 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 7 - - 21 - - 14 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2511 - - -1056 - - 851 - - 2 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5134 - - 3680 - - 2897 - - 2622 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -10903 - - -8487 - - -5360 - - -6551 - - -266 ODpotential blCL 13526 - - 11110 - - 9108 - - 9174 - - 2889 blCL maxRH 48 - - 76 - - 94 - - 95 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.9 - - 53.5 - - 54.2 - - 51.5 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 46.4 - - 50.4 - - 49.2 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 53.7 - - 54.0 - - 52.0 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 45.4 - - 49.6 - - 48.9 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 64 - - 117 - - 14 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 211 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 75 - - 81 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96508 33 086 46 083 48 100 39 103 44 093 96508 89394 30 082 36 085 37 100 41 093 42 093 89394 83875 25 077 27 083 30 103 32 085 35 088 83875 79264 16 073 19 075 26 086 28 091 24 088 79264 75279 9 085 13 090 18 063 26 077 25 082 75279 71725 11 090 11 091 4 051 12 050 20 067 71725 68502 6 063 9 057 4 039 6 024 12 043 68502 65543 5 325 6 351 8 346 7 342 11 024 65543 62799 12 318 10 297 13 310 10 314 11 315 62799 60158 20 310 15 289 20 298 18 298 15 303 60158 57404 26 296 22 286 27 288 29 292 19 306 57404 54529 33 287 25 285 32 274 35 286 27 300 54529 51786 36 286 26 288 31 273 37 280 34 291 51786 49327 38 285 30 292 29 280 36 272 32 290 49327 47142 47 277 36 291 30 287 30 278 33 305 47142 45176 51 273 37 283 30 279 28 282 31 297 45176 43374 47 270 33 282 26 269 25 272 25 316 43374 41708 41 274 33 296 29 317 19 324 29 341 41708 40166 32 276 36 290 38 311 32 338 30 347 40166 38731 18 272 26 265 34 286 42 321 28 340 38731 37388 11 071 14 228 29 254 41 298 33 319 37388 36101 33 045 10 021 14 282 37 279 41 307 36101 34801 40 035 17 016 18 322 34 279 38 301 34801 33453 41 034 17 018 24 331 32 297 35 305 33453 32062 30 039 17 014 25 330 35 308 34 312 32062 30613 17 032 16 006 29 335 34 311 33 315 30613 29094 17 345 14 359 27 329 31 316 33 314 29094 27508 23 335 13 333 21 312 30 320 30 315 27508 25853 25 326 18 321 24 310 29 322 28 321 25853 24133 26 314 22 320 27 318 28 325 26 333 24133 22350 26 310 25 312 27 319 29 328 26 342 22350 20499 26 304 25 305 26 313 28 327 27 346 20499 18578 26 290 24 299 25 304 25 318 26 338 18578 16626 27 286 25 293 24 297 24 307 25 324 16626 14746 28 290 26 291 23 298 25 303 24 314 14746 13034 26 296 25 294 23 301 26 305 22 314 13034 11507 25 303 23 302 24 305 25 309 22 317 11507 10146 23 310 22 309 25 308 24 314 22 319 10146 8930 20 313 20 311 25 310 23 319 22 321 8930 7846 19 313 18 309 24 310 22 323 23 324 7846 6884 17 309 16 305 21 308 20 324 21 327 6884 6034 16 301 14 297 17 303 17 324 19 329 6034 5283 14 294 11 286 12 296 12 322 14 332 5283 4611 11 287 8 273 7 285 9 323 8 329 4611 4016 8 282 5 263 3*271 4 315 3 304 4016 3519 6 283 3 249 2*230 2 296 1 211 3519 3137 4 296 2 207 4 217 2 245 2 141 3137 2873 3 311 2 183 4 215 3 235 3 130 2873 2713 3*325 2*190 4 214 3*230 3*121 2713 2622 2*353 2*190 4 213 3*227 2*118 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography