DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 79.5 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 404 - - 482 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 2340 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4044 - - 5089 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4515 - - 5877 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3188 - - 4855 - - - - - 1231 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 430 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 248 - - - - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 45 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4860 - - -4282 - - - - - -3527 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9376 - - 10160 - - - - - 6152 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7841 - - -7375 - - - - - -8227 ODpotential blCL - - - 12356 - - 13252 - - - - - 10851 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 36 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 79.5 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 43.8 - - - - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 77.4 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 43.2 - - - - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 404 - - 482 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 2340 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98184 8 095 2 294 2 345 98184 90733 4 099 3 183 6 038 90733 84988 9 118 5 185 8 026 84988 80229 5 115 2 175 3 063 80229 76131 1 026 2 211 3 150 76131 72517 2 312 2 192 4 154 72517 69250 8 263 5 268 1 348 69250 66249 11 234 8 270 11 332 66249 63463 4 256 4 252 17 291 63463 60758 9 312 7 327 12 296 60758 57942 14 311 14 298 17 305 57942 55038 20 306 17 326 19 314 55038 52281 23 309 26 306 20 327 52281 49816 18 298 24 322 26 329 49816 47630 22 334 23 323 15 343 47630 45674 23 335 14 336 17 022 45674 43896 16 324 22 041 13 038 43896 42250 23 024 32 056 22 058 42250 40707 32 044 43 058 25 054 40707 39255 43 057 47 058 26 051 39255 37886 49 060 46 056 26 051 37886 36563 49 059 43 055 26 052 36563 35224 44 058 40 054 26 053 35224 33838 40 058 37 055 26 055 33838 32410 34 059 37 054 23 053 32410 30926 26 060 33 054 21 041 30926 29377 22 062 24 050 21 029 29377 27765 23 054 18 039 19 025 27765 26089 25 050 19 039 18 024 26089 24352 23 057 22 044 18 035 24352 22557 17 055 23 058 17 044 22557 20698 13 054 19 076 11 056 20698 18765 12 053 13 074 7 063 18765 16799 12 057 11 064 8 063 16799 14909 11 072 9 069 7 072 14909 13192 9 093 7 085 7 079 13192 11663 6 120 6 088 7 063 11663 10296 3 149 4 104 8 029 10296 9072 1 241 2 152 8 360 9072 7977 4 302 3 244 8 334 7977 7002 6 313 5 282 9 308 7002 6137 7 322 7*282 11 295 6137 5370 8 324 7*275 12 289 5370 4679 7*321 7 266 12 289 4679 4066 5*293 8 249 10 294 4066 3552 6 259 9 241 8 303 3552 3157 6 250 10 237 5 311 3157 2884 7 244 10 234 3 303 2884 2718 7 242 9 233 2*298 2718 2623 6 240 8 232 1*297 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography