DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 67.0 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 509 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1239 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3906 - - 4272 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4305 - - 4776 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 546 - - 614 - - - - - 1188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 353 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 233 - - - - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 36 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -309 - - -434 - - - - - -1283 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4614 - - 5210 - - - - - 3906 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5693 - - -5128 - - - - - -8133 ODpotential blCL - - - 9998 - - 9904 - - - - - 10756 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 85 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 67.0 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 53.1 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 64.9 - - - - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 52.7 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 509 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1239 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 40 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98059 10 195 4 274 5 308 98059 90679 3 216 2 280 5 311 90679 84987 1 324 5 307 6 296 84987 80251 1 027 7 289 6 333 80251 76172 3 144 4 247 8 343 76172 72599 4 095 2 262 8 008 72599 69384 7 005 2 339 7 006 69384 66432 11 321 5 022 2 282 66432 63710 8 278 6 302 1 310 63710 61077 7 284 11 248 8 308 61077 58314 13 265 13 245 14 289 58314 55422 17 255 17 254 20 279 55422 52649 21 247 21 249 24 271 52649 50150 24 247 21 245 21 261 50150 47914 24 241 19 240 17 257 47914 45900 22 236 17 239 15 256 45900 44070 19 231 14 254 9 248 44070 42388 14 226 10 261 5 248 42388 40826 10 229 7 243 6 262 40826 39366 9 240 6 240 6 263 39366 37997 11 245 6 250 5 245 37997 36682 15 246 9 251 3 248 36682 35351 18 246 13 246 5 282 35351 33976 19 248 16 244 7 283 33976 32556 17 257 16 244 7 298 32556 31081 14 270 12 248 6 305 31081 29540 15 264 11 255 8 297 29540 27931 16 254 12 253 10 287 27931 26253 18 251 15 251 11 271 26253 24505 17 246 16 249 9 268 24505 22694 13 245 12 247 6 289 22694 20812 9 261 8 271 6 326 20812 18856 11 285 9 307 6 337 18856 16864 11 290 9 307 6 340 16864 14949 10 308 7 314 7 335 14949 13211 12 326 7 327 8 321 13211 11667 14 336 9 331 11 307 11667 10288 14 339 9 324 15 311 10288 9055 13 336 9 313 18 314 9055 7953 12 332 9 305 20 317 7953 6972 11 328 9 303 21 322 6972 6104 9 327 8 309 21 325 6104 5337 5 331 5*302 17 327 5337 4650 0*280 3*274 12 324 4650 4042 4*165 4 241 6 316 4042 3535 6 180 6 231 3 307 3535 3146 7 186 7 227 1 231 3146 2879 7 190 7 225 2 216 2879 2716 7 192 7 224 2*213 2716 2622 6 193 7 223 2*212 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography