DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 75.6 - - 72.9 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 469 - - 166 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2360 - - 4877 - - 4357 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5040 - - 7058 - - 6200 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5897 - - 8414 - - 7894 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1997 - - 2547 - - 3985 - - 1799 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 396 - - 541 - - 369 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 250 - - 285 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 47 - - 36 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2224 - - -434 - - -153 - - -7257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8122 - - 8849 - - 8048 - - 9880 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6003 - - -2463 - - -1221 - - -11128 ODpotential blCL - - - 11900 - - 10877 - - 9115 - - 13751 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 56 - - 74 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 75.6 - - 72.9 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 45.6 - - 46.4 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 73.8 - - 72.4 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 45.5 - - 46.3 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 469 - - 166 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2360 - - 4877 - - 4357 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 10 109 11 183 4 188 8 267 98173 90816 7 115 8 138 11 167 4 193 90816 85134 8 157 4 150 6 109 4 128 85134 80413 7 140 5 189 5 025 4 020 80413 76366 3 138 1 108 1 299 10 013 76366 72820 4 119 8 073 8 099 6 044 72820 69620 6 091 6 022 10 037 9 075 69620 66679 4 109 4 355 3 020 5 035 66679 63966 2 267 5 255 4 345 6 358 63966 61337 7 195 12 229 12 267 8 321 61337 58594 7 295 6 269 14 250 21 262 58594 55765 29 264 29 273 30 271 30 271 55765 53068 40 257 40 267 48 264 41 268 53068 50618 52 260 47 263 52 259 46 267 50618 48395 58 261 53 263 55 262 52 267 48395 46355 66 263 59 263 61 261 55 266 46355 44465 72 264 66 264 64 264 57 271 44465 42706 77 263 75 265 72 269 69 275 42706 41062 78 261 81 264 82 271 77 275 41062 39517 78 262 84 262 87 269 79 275 39517 38060 78 263 85 262 85 269 77 276 38060 36659 80 263 85 264 83 270 80 277 36659 35246 80 261 86 266 82 272 79 275 35246 33794 75 259 82 267 79 271 67 274 33794 32307 70 257 74 263 68 267 58 283 32307 30775 67 253 63 259 54 269 50 293 30775 29185 65 249 55 265 49 278 42 296 29185 27538 62 251 51 269 51 285 36 304 27538 25837 60 251 47 268 49 287 35 314 25837 24088 60 245 44 267 42 285 33 323 24088 22292 57 241 43 267 36 283 32 330 22292 20442 52 243 42 264 30 285 30 338 20442 18532 42 251 39 265 25 291 29 350 18532 16597 34 261 35 270 19 295 22 356 16597 14743 28 270 27 270 12 297 13 002 14743 13058 24 275 22 272 5 322 3 043 13058 11555 19 278 16 275 5 010 3 130 11555 10210 16 275 10 278 7 008 1 184 10210 9004 14 271 6*279 9 357 2 322 9004 7925 12 270 6*272 9*343 4 338 7925 6963 10 274 6 268 8*323 5 348 6963 6108 6*276 6 263 8 314 6 004 6108 5348 3*232 7 252 8 293 10 020 5348 4663 3 187 8 246 8 281 17 024 4663 4055 5 183 9 241 8 270 23 020 4055 3545 5 186 9 238 8 262 23 021 3545 3153 6 189 10 236 8 259 19 025 3153 2882 6 190 10 235 8 256 15 029 2882 2717 6 191 9 235 7 254 11*030 2717 2622 6 193 8 234 6 252 6*031 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography