DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.3 - - 71.8 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 333 - - 164 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 181 - - 1216 - - 695 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4178 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3718 - - 4753 - - 4232 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 648 - - 819 - - 912 - - 1060 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 138 - - 308 - - 202 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 194 - - 221 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 31 - - 35 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1129 - - -1842 - - -963 - - -1242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4847 - - 6595 - - 5195 - - 3866 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7622 - - -6330 - - -5393 - - -7748 ODpotential blCL - - - 11340 - - 11083 - - 9625 - - 10372 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 60 - - 73 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 280 - - 640 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.3 - - 71.8 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 55.3 - - 57.8 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 73.8 - - 71.1 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 54.4 - - 57.3 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 333 - - 164 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 181 - - 1216 - - 695 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96355 35 275 44 287 38 277 46 275 96355 89166 20 290 27 276 32 284 26 283 89166 83713 17 276 24 283 21 291 18 308 83713 79215 13 249 21 264 17 282 15 317 79215 75322 6 285 14 235 18 266 18 304 75322 71879 8 343 4 220 12 255 13 279 71879 68771 7 329 5 264 6 210 10 263 68771 65915 4 295 11 207 14 195 13 227 65915 63282 10 279 16 214 17 209 15 213 63282 60753 18 248 20 232 17 231 14 216 60753 58116 21 225 25 229 25 234 23 234 58116 55365 22 214 27 219 32 226 29 228 55365 52713 21 221 25 217 31 217 29 225 52713 50293 23 232 24 225 25 221 27 229 50293 48100 25 231 27 226 33 230 34 234 48100 46103 25 214 29 220 34 226 32 232 46103 44268 23 211 27 223 29 228 23 234 44268 42563 24 225 29 224 29 230 32 249 42563 40973 27 233 33 225 33 236 43 237 40973 39488 39 222 42 216 40 234 41 232 39488 38087 42 212 47 201 46 224 33 252 38087 36734 41 212 44 199 47 213 40 266 36734 35366 46 211 50 207 44 209 42 261 35366 33953 48 203 58 206 47 206 40 259 33953 32498 48 200 63 202 51 205 39 262 32498 30988 47 200 64 197 58 205 38 263 30988 29415 44 198 63 194 65 202 34 263 29415 27783 42 193 61 191 65 198 28 273 27783 26098 42 189 56 188 59 196 24 283 26098 24366 41 188 48 189 46 198 19 290 24366 22586 39 189 39 187 30 193 14 298 22586 20743 33 191 32 187 26 184 14 312 20743 18823 25 189 26 187 24 188 14 323 18823 16862 17 182 22 189 17 194 11 322 16862 14967 13 173 19 190 14 193 10 313 14967 13238 12 183 17 191 12 189 10 312 13238 11693 10 195 14 197 9 191 9 310 11693 10314 9 199 12 205 8 202 7 295 10314 9081 8 197 10 210 7 205 6 276 9081 7981 6 192 7 210 6 202 6 264 7981 7001 4 191 4 200 4 192 6 269 7001 6134 2 200 3 175 2 193 5 272 6134 5364 1 288 2*141 1 270 5 276 5364 4673 3 331 2*155 1*293 5 274 4673 4060 3*345 3 181 3*236 4 271 4060 3548 1*290 5 195 6 222 3 272 3548 3153 2 224 6 200 7 220 1 245 3153 2882 3 219 7 203 7 219 1 190 2882 2717 3 217 7 204 7 218 1*177 2717 2623 3 217 6 204 6 218 1*177 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography