DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.8 - - 82.5 - - 85.1 - - 83.1 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -78 - - 75 - - 161 - - 30 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1428 - - 3329 - - 774 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 5500 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4965 - - 6866 - - 4311 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 233 - - 2801 - - 1467 - - 3248 - - 2493 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 212 - - 350 - - 133 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 24 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 105 - - 283 - - 251 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - 11 - - 24 - - 25 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7605 - - -6251 - - -4978 - - -6372 - - -7516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10229 - - 11217 - - 11844 - - 10683 - - 10141 sfcLCL ODpotential -17569 - - -14179 - - -11896 - - -13645 - - -16094 ODpotential blCL 20193 - - 19144 - - 18762 - - 17956 - - 18719 blCL maxRH 28 - - 42 - - 47 - - 51 - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.8 - - 82.5 - - 85.1 - - 83.1 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 42.6 - - 42.4 - - 45.6 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.9 - - 82.4 - - 84.5 - - 83.5 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 41.4 - - 41.1 - - 44.3 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -78 - - 75 - - 161 - - 30 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1428 - - 3329 - - 774 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96821 23 284 31 279 26 289 24 295 21 255 96821 89563 7 288 7 294 13 230 25 250 20 309 89563 84011 9 165 6 319 4 220 9 234 6 314 84011 79409 15 118 11 174 14 245 6 301 7 014 79409 75478 13 070 19 115 8 199 7 152 7 223 75478 72015 3 125 20 099 4 107 12 109 11 162 72015 68895 8 170 12 112 4 074 13 071 11 080 68895 66054 8 067 2 067 4 101 8 058 10 030 66054 63426 20 032 10 358 10 054 9 086 8 023 63426 60872 17 014 12 005 14 020 10 053 6 027 60872 58214 10 005 9 006 13 351 11 009 5 014 58214 55461 9 011 8 354 8 319 13 331 8 000 55461 52824 13 340 13 343 6 322 9 319 7 330 52824 50445 15 325 20 341 9 319 10 293 11 296 50445 48317 12 326 20 322 16 297 19 288 19 299 48317 46388 11 045 16 315 12 298 14 271 15 295 46388 44613 17 040 8 308 5 308 9 259 8 287 44613 42972 16 353 13 001 11 026 4 044 5 035 42972 41442 20 337 16 344 17 016 11 027 9 013 41442 40000 10 298 14 313 15 343 11 352 8 332 40000 38633 4 274 7 273 12 309 7 293 7 296 38633 37309 2 358 3 192 7 272 8 273 7 285 37309 35964 8 000 2 001 5 278 7 310 7 295 35964 34569 17 357 14 012 8 355 10 036 4 318 34569 33127 17 355 19 012 15 007 15 039 9 054 33127 31627 11 351 12 005 11 006 9 008 12 057 31627 30057 10 358 8 357 5 337 7 309 4 033 30057 28418 11 005 10 010 4 340 8 309 3 325 28418 26708 9 013 11 014 5 360 7 332 5 014 26708 24932 8 026 8 022 4 030 4 354 6 039 24932 23093 10 029 8 023 6 037 4 024 5 046 23093 21184 14 037 10 040 9 040 9 041 5 077 21184 19197 17 049 15 057 12 057 12 059 8 103 19197 17173 18 058 18 064 15 077 13 077 11 105 17173 15222 18 058 18 065 16 082 12 083 11 099 15222 13446 18 052 15 060 13 079 10 081 11 086 13446 11865 16 052 12 055 10 070 10 069 11 071 11865 10460 16 068 10 068 8 073 12 059 12 063 10460 9207 16 079 10 091 8 090 12 063 12 062 9207 8089 12 084 10 101 9 089 12 066 10 066 8089 7094 9 096 8 107 7*062 10 051 8 067 7094 6212 8 107 6 123 4*035 7 032 6 054 6212 5429 8 106 7*124 2 013 4 004 4 029 5429 4724 10 101 8*115 3 295 3*315 4 357 4724 4097 11 093 7 104 4 269 5*269 5 327 4097 3572 13 086 6 098 5 265 5 255 6 312 3572 3169 14 080 4 102 5 260 6 247 6 308 3169 2890 12 074 4 105 5 257 6 244 5 310 2890 2720 10*065 3 111 5 255 5 243 4*318 2720 2624 8*054 2 117 5 253 5 240 3*333 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography