DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 76.1 - - 72.8 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 551 - - 275 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1076 - - 2111 - - 1176 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4128 - - 4939 - - 4093 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4613 - - 5648 - - 4713 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 863 - - 1111 - - 1116 - - 1367 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 431 - - 282 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 201 - - 197 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 46 - - 38 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1797 - - -2586 - - -1568 - - -1678 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6411 - - 8234 - - 6281 - - 4302 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9049 - - -8935 - - -6800 - - -8822 ODpotential blCL - - - 13662 - - 14583 - - 11513 - - 11446 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 55 - - 67 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 76.1 - - 72.8 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 49.0 - - 54.1 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 74.0 - - 71.6 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 48.9 - - 54.1 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 551 - - 275 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1076 - - 2111 - - 1176 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98852 15 143 14 157 10 143 8 088 98852 91433 19 129 15 135 12 096 19 093 91433 85707 23 125 16 121 16 091 18 104 85707 80944 18 109 21 118 17 112 15 108 80944 76847 16 105 20 103 17 120 11 125 76847 73223 14 092 15 110 16 121 13 102 73223 69948 8 096 13 111 12 117 7 111 69948 66949 8 158 6 145 4 130 6 116 66949 64174 9 178 7 216 7 186 7 197 64174 61502 13 218 18 224 11 269 5 257 61502 58716 22 229 25 229 21 248 12 261 58716 55830 23 244 27 232 27 237 29 237 55830 53104 26 258 27 240 36 240 40 244 53104 50676 34 259 37 246 47 251 51 258 50676 48504 44 254 49 250 57 254 66 258 48504 46523 52 250 56 247 61 251 71 255 46523 44696 53 249 59 243 61 249 74 254 44696 42997 50 246 59 242 61 248 72 253 42997 41408 48 245 57 243 59 246 68 251 41408 39915 46 244 53 245 54 245 62 248 39915 38514 45 242 51 245 51 244 57 246 38514 37168 45 243 50 244 52 240 51 245 37168 35806 44 246 49 245 47 239 50 241 35806 34398 43 249 48 247 45 239 44 237 34398 32947 42 251 47 249 44 238 43 238 32947 31438 42 250 46 248 43 240 42 239 31438 29858 40 247 45 247 44 242 41 239 29858 28209 39 244 44 246 44 244 40 241 28209 26489 38 243 42 245 43 245 39 242 26489 24703 35 242 38 242 40 246 38 244 24703 22858 32 241 35 240 37 245 36 243 22858 20950 31 240 33 239 36 243 35 243 20950 18972 35 235 35 239 35 243 34 241 18972 16961 35 233 33 239 32 240 32 236 16961 15025 30 231 29 235 29 237 29 235 15025 13266 25 231 26 233 25 237 24 236 13266 11704 21 235 22 233 21 236 20 233 11704 10314 18 238 18 231 18 232 18 229 10314 9076 16 239 15 227 16 226 17 224 9076 7973 13 238 13 226 14 220 15 219 7973 6993 11 236 10 220 12 212 14 214 6993 6128 8 227 8*208 10 205 13 211 6128 5360 5 207 8*200 8*197 11 207 5360 4671 5*181 8 199 8*193 8 197 4671 4060 6*173 9 199 8 193 6 188 4060 3548 7 179 10 201 8 196 5 177 3548 3154 7 183 10 203 9 199 5 170 3154 2883 8 187 10 203 9 201 5 169 2883 2717 7 189 10 203 8 201 4*169 2717 2623 7 190 8 204 7 202 3*173 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography