DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.2 - - 88.1 - - 90.6 - - 87.3 - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 311 - - 394 - - 107 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1925 - - 4621 - - 1384 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 4663 - - 6792 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2625 - - 5462 - - 8158 - - 4921 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2594 - - 5678 - - 3816 - - 4673 - - 3181 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 346 - - 501 - - 217 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 20 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 189 - - 203 - - 238 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 28 - - 37 - - 28 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7960 - - -6726 - - -4335 - - -7236 - - -7686 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10585 - - 12188 - - 12494 - - 12157 - - 10312 sfcLCL ODpotential -17213 - - -13785 - - -10397 - - -13794 - - -15811 ODpotential blCL 19838 - - 19247 - - 18555 - - 18715 - - 18436 blCL maxRH 47 - - 38 - - 44 - - 47 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.2 - - 88.1 - - 90.6 - - 87.3 - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 43.6 - - 44.6 - - 43.1 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.4 - - 86.7 - - 88.9 - - 87.0 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 43.5 - - 44.6 - - 43.1 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 311 - - 394 - - 107 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1925 - - 4621 - - 1384 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97839 19 297 22 303 18 271 15 282 17 301 97839 90550 6 260 9 250 11 261 6 323 13 289 90550 84937 5 199 4 220 3 284 5 358 9 330 84937 80257 3 038 4 078 5 081 5 354 12 002 80257 76237 7 067 7 090 10 064 8 029 15 028 76237 72720 11 052 15 077 11 091 8 027 15 044 72720 69568 9 065 14 063 12 080 10 061 19 053 69568 66688 13 086 12 077 13 061 11 070 18 059 66688 64013 13 055 10 094 10 083 6 084 13 053 64013 61410 12 007 13 041 7 074 4 057 7 043 61410 58710 17 312 20 333 16 328 16 334 15 337 58710 55947 27 310 31 314 30 313 32 316 31 317 55947 53328 38 305 39 304 40 310 40 308 38 312 53328 50958 48 304 46 304 48 306 47 306 43 309 50958 48813 53 302 51 304 52 303 53 308 50 312 48813 46847 55 303 53 304 53 302 57 308 55 311 46847 45026 53 304 52 304 52 302 58 305 57 310 45026 43327 55 305 53 305 52 303 59 303 59 308 43327 41735 56 303 53 303 53 302 58 301 60 304 41735 40237 56 303 52 303 51 299 57 298 58 302 40237 38823 55 306 51 304 50 302 53 301 52 303 38823 37462 53 309 50 307 48 306 49 305 46 304 37462 36085 49 313 45 309 44 308 46 306 42 301 36085 34662 46 315 39 311 39 305 41 304 39 297 34662 33194 41 313 35 310 34 302 35 298 37 295 33194 31668 33 312 31 304 32 298 33 292 35 291 31668 30073 29 309 28 300 29 297 29 291 31 289 30073 28413 27 303 27 298 26 302 25 298 26 300 28413 26691 24 303 25 300 25 307 23 310 22 314 26691 24906 20 305 21 305 22 310 22 318 20 326 24906 23059 17 305 17 304 17 312 19 318 16 333 23059 21142 12 300 13 292 13 303 14 314 11 325 21142 19151 8 301 9 283 7 288 7 298 7 297 19151 17127 4 256 6 268 3 272 2 271 2 344 17127 15186 5 133 5 175 3 182 3 138 3 088 15186 13428 12 117 8 147 6 148 9 131 11 105 13428 11865 17 107 9 126 9 110 8 088 14 095 11865 10471 15 107 10 111 9 072 12 059 13 085 10471 9222 10 108 9 113 7*076 8 053 7 084 9222 8105 8 110 9 115 4*098 3 040 4 076 8105 7109 6 109 7 121 3 173 2 254 1 118 7109 6225 4 108 6*128 4 194 4 246 3 235 6225 5439 3 109 4*142 4 205 5*247 5 248 5439 4732 2 115 3 157 6 211 6*245 5 260 4732 4104 2 128 3 182 7 214 6 243 6 275 4104 3577 2 141 5 204 7 214 6 239 6 290 3577 3172 2 124 5 208 8 215 6 234 5 308 3172 2892 2 098 6 211 8 215 6 232 5 324 2892 2721 2*073 6 212 8 216 6 231 4*342 2721 2624 2*060 5 211 7 215 5 230 3*360 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography