DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1329z - - 1553z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.3 - - 65.1 - - 60.0 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 107 - - 188 - - 8 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 202 - - 1117 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 3921 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3739 - - 4654 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 734 - - 878 - - 1479 - - 1938 - - 443 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 115 - - 245 - - 21 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 15 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 008 - - 326 - - 255 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -8 - - 25 - - 12 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3812 - - -5951 - - -5407 - - -5131 - - -6765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6435 - - 9690 - - 10061 - - 7754 - - 9388 sfcLCL ODpotential -14313 - - -14514 - - -12927 - - -12831 - - -16175 ODpotential blCL 16936 - - 18253 - - 17581 - - 15454 - - 18798 blCL maxRH 48 - - 55 - - 82 - - 76 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.3 - - 65.1 - - 60.0 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.9 - - 28.6 - - 30.5 - - 35.6 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 61.2 - - 64.4 - - 60.6 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.7 - - 28.0 - - 30.1 - - 35.5 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 107 - - 188 - - 8 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 202 - - 1117 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 4 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97097 15 025 22 047 20 072 25 059 36 062 97097 90014 22 071 18 073 27 072 29 077 31 071 90014 84449 19 067 20 081 26 068 26 083 27 075 84449 79777 12 075 15 081 18 082 17 091 13 063 79777 75717 12 040 13 068 11 064 14 075 10 069 75717 72113 7 045 4 062 8 055 7 045 10 074 72113 68843 7 360 3 352 7 021 5 014 10 034 68843 65836 5 036 5 324 8 334 11 003 12 340 65836 63067 23 319 16 323 17 337 22 341 22 338 63067 60404 32 308 25 312 20 318 19 326 21 340 60404 57632 30 309 27 319 27 336 35 340 29 341 57632 54768 28 312 33 328 37 331 40 325 34 329 54768 52059 37 329 40 334 39 334 39 330 34 325 52059 49633 46 337 46 334 44 335 40 331 40 330 49633 47465 51 339 49 333 45 331 45 325 51 325 47465 45519 58 336 48 329 44 327 46 319 54 317 45519 43764 61 337 46 330 44 325 47 321 52 317 43764 42154 61 342 46 335 44 323 49 327 51 312 42154 40651 58 344 48 337 42 322 47 329 47 307 40651 39232 54 346 44 340 41 324 42 326 41 305 39232 37887 50 350 39 343 41 325 36 321 38 309 37887 36583 47 354 35 346 39 322 34 316 38 311 36583 35258 45 357 32 346 36 319 38 316 38 311 35258 33883 43 360 32 341 34 318 38 316 37 311 33883 32465 40 002 35 336 33 315 34 311 36 310 32465 30988 37 001 37 331 34 311 33 304 35 307 30988 29444 33 355 36 326 35 311 36 301 33 305 29444 27834 30 347 31 320 34 310 39 305 34 304 27834 26156 29 341 27 317 31 306 43 311 38 306 26156 24414 29 339 27 317 30 307 45 311 43 306 24414 22609 29 337 26 319 32 309 39 304 44 304 22609 20736 28 332 25 324 31 310 34 300 41 301 20736 18787 27 324 23 329 27 312 30 299 38 300 18787 16806 27 320 22 335 23 316 27 303 31 304 16806 14903 26 323 22 339 20 320 25 308 24 312 14903 13173 24 332 21 342 18 325 23 315 20 319 13173 11632 22 339 18 348 17 330 20 324 17 327 11632 10259 18 343 17 356 16 339 18 337 15 335 10259 9032 17 344 16 359 16 350 18 353 14 345 9032 7938 17 347 16 002 17 359 20 004 17 356 7938 6964 19 352 17 007 17 005 19 008 20 003 6964 6102 22 355 19 013 15 009 16 009 20 008 6102 5339 24 355 19 019 11*007 14 009 19 012 5339 4653 23 353 18 022 8*001 11 010 17 017 4653 4046 21 350 14*020 4 347 7 011 15 023 4046 3538 17 347 10*015 3 317 3 358 15 030 3538 3147 14 344 7 009 2 279 2 300 14 037 3147 2878 12 346 5 005 3 256 2 253 11 037 2878 2715 8*350 4 359 3 248 2*242 9*035 2715 2622 3*358 2 345 3 242 2*236 6*029 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography