DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 87.4 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 579 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 408 - - 1087 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3661 - - 4181 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3945 - - 4624 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 470 - - 582 - - - - - 955 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 352 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 224 - - - - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 39 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5769 - - -5608 - - - - - -2950 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9714 - - 10233 - - - - - 5574 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12544 - - -11260 - - - - - -11480 ODpotential blCL - - - 16489 - - 15884 - - - - - 14104 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 41 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 87.4 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 51.8 - - - - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 84.9 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 51.6 - - - - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 579 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 408 - - 1087 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99106 38 119 32 107 35 103 99106 91542 34 121 25 099 31 099 91542 85763 31 111 28 116 27 091 85763 80986 31 102 30 115 24 096 80986 76868 30 104 26 103 22 110 76868 73246 24 100 20 091 18 108 73246 69992 23 103 17 108 17 110 69992 67022 23 091 17 127 14 111 67022 64278 13 121 12 129 11 116 64278 61636 7 154 8 167 8 145 61636 58917 10 224 13 200 8 183 58917 56146 14 223 18 208 13 220 56146 53520 16 228 23 223 16 228 53520 51138 24 235 28 231 25 233 51138 48983 33 234 32 234 33 233 48983 47007 40 233 33 236 37 236 47007 45179 40 235 34 239 37 238 45179 43471 37 244 32 244 36 243 43471 41865 31 252 30 251 36 250 41865 40351 29 253 29 255 33 251 40351 38924 29 255 29 249 29 250 38924 37547 29 252 29 252 30 245 37547 36149 29 255 31 268 32 242 36149 34708 27 268 27 274 30 259 34708 33239 24 266 23 275 25 271 33239 31730 25 271 24 278 19 291 31730 30163 24 279 27 299 23 328 30163 28529 28 303 31 313 27 335 28529 26825 34 309 29 316 27 332 26825 25051 31 303 27 312 25 328 25051 23210 24 302 23 308 22 317 23210 21298 15 295 17 286 19 303 21298 19309 14 258 17 275 17 296 19309 17284 14 261 16 276 17 294 17284 15331 10 275 14 276 17 290 15331 13549 9 292 11 284 16 288 13549 11959 8 306 10 291 15 289 11959 10538 6 310 9 291 14 289 10538 9267 6 307 8 289 14 292 9267 8132 7 305 8 291 13 296 8132 7121 8 307 8 296 11 299 7121 6227 10 313 8 303 9 302 6227 5433 12 319 6 303 7 307 5433 4722 10 324 3*268 6 312 4722 4092 6*322 4*240 3 329 4092 3568 4*261 6 225 2 085 3568 3165 5 244 8 223 3 131 3165 2888 6 237 8 222 3 161 2888 2720 6 235 8 221 3*171 2720 2623 6 231 7 220 3*171 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography