DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 92.2 - - 88.1 - - 77.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 570 - - 325 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 466 - - 1095 - - 631 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3695 - - 4184 - - 3743 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4003 - - 4632 - - 4168 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 641 - - 979 - - 821 - - 836 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 351 - - 242 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 206 - - 216 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 39 - - 31 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7208 - - -6972 - - -5924 - - -3902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11211 - - 11604 - - 10092 - - 6526 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12411 - - -11770 - - -12140 - - -11662 ODpotential blCL - - - 16414 - - 16402 - - 16308 - - 14286 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 49 - - 39 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 92.2 - - 88.1 - - 77.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 50.5 - - 53.1 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.6 - - 89.6 - - 86.7 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 50.5 - - 53.1 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 570 - - 325 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 466 - - 1095 - - 631 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99141 48 110 39 118 35 117 27 095 99141 91668 36 107 35 111 36 097 38 098 91668 85916 32 109 36 098 37 104 39 092 85916 81144 31 107 34 102 32 105 33 093 81144 77042 26 099 32 114 26 101 25 099 77042 73425 22 105 26 113 23 106 22 097 73425 70156 21 114 20 107 21 105 20 096 70156 67149 19 099 17 101 19 107 18 097 67149 64375 17 089 14 103 19 106 19 105 64375 61719 15 111 10 123 12 100 20 094 61719 58996 18 133 14 159 4 196 6 054 58996 56221 16 125 12 153 10 195 6 242 56221 53600 7 115 7 117 11 158 8 188 53600 51239 4 269 0 265 2 142 4 116 51239 49111 8 260 7 267 4 304 2 337 49111 47166 7 244 9 246 8 284 6 289 47166 45363 6 263 9 237 10 271 8 278 45363 43678 11 268 10 246 11 258 11 274 43678 42092 13 280 10 269 12 264 12 273 42092 40594 13 295 11 283 12 278 13 274 40594 39176 13 301 11 292 12 286 13 280 39176 37805 13 304 12 303 11 291 11 288 37805 36415 12 313 9 312 8 299 7 285 36415 34976 7 325 3 337 5 289 5 269 34976 33491 5 322 3 347 4 308 4 255 33491 31947 6 328 5 355 2 296 5 240 31947 30338 4 304 2 342 3 234 7 252 30338 28662 5 245 3 249 5 250 9 256 28662 26920 9 257 6 264 6 273 6 273 26920 25117 11 262 9 272 7 290 4 295 25117 23256 9 262 10 265 8 293 3 299 23256 21330 8 244 9 254 7 281 3 250 21330 19332 9 235 10 236 8 253 6 245 19332 17301 10 234 12 230 10 244 6 250 17301 15346 11 232 13 233 11 251 7 257 15346 13564 12 227 15 238 12 255 8 263 13564 11973 12 229 15 244 13 257 11 263 11973 10552 12 233 15 246 14 255 12 264 10552 9281 14 238 14 248 13 257 11 270 9281 8145 13 243 13 250 12 261 10 276 8145 7134 10 251 10 251 10 262 9 278 7134 6239 7 258 8 245 8 255 8 276 6239 5446 5 270 6 232 6 248 8 272 5446 4733 4 278 6*214 5*242 6 267 4733 4102 4*273 6*205 4*224 4 264 4102 3575 5*250 8 205 5 216 2 270 3575 3169 6 238 8 206 6 214 1 131 3169 2890 7 233 9 206 7 214 2 151 2890 2721 7 231 8 207 7 214 2*164 2721 2623 6 229 8 207 6 215 2*165 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography