DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 92.3 - - - - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 388 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3990 - - 5919 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6206 - - 7813 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7527 - - 9456 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2672 - - 1941 - - - - - 1909 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 542 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 139 - - 139 - - - - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 40 - - - - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5405 - - -3853 - - - - - -7301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12933 - - 13310 - - - - - 9926 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10499 - - -8060 - - - - - -13642 ODpotential blCL - - - 18026 - - 17516 - - - - - 16267 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 53 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 92.3 - - - - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 42.7 - - - - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.2 - - 90.6 - - - - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 42.5 - - - - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 388 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3990 - - 5919 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97836 8 296 9 241 6 312 97836 90541 7 328 5 306 8 324 90541 84937 3 285 6 322 7 335 84937 80300 6 277 5 275 11 350 80300 76313 8 296 4 286 13 017 76313 72805 4 316 5 355 9 032 72805 69644 5 152 2 046 11 052 69644 66740 7 131 5 152 11 049 66740 64054 7 136 8 170 5 315 64054 61464 0 234 7 177 8 242 61464 58779 5 260 4 226 16 234 58779 56007 13 276 10 285 17 235 56007 53359 27 259 26 266 20 270 53359 50969 34 245 32 261 23 285 50969 48813 33 246 34 261 31 298 48813 46838 39 254 36 261 37 306 46838 45009 50 255 42 266 41 309 45009 43299 56 257 47 265 42 305 43299 41689 56 258 48 266 41 300 41689 40172 52 259 49 268 42 299 40172 38744 50 262 48 268 43 294 38744 37373 47 269 43 274 38 297 37373 35998 40 275 29 283 30 297 35998 34591 30 285 22 286 18 285 34591 33146 19 289 17 291 12 287 33146 31640 8 290 10 268 9 282 31640 30064 4 307 8 265 9 283 30064 28418 4 344 6 265 10 285 28418 26703 5 001 2 233 8 289 26703 24919 6 346 2 280 6 296 24919 23069 7 353 5 341 5 002 23069 21151 4 025 4 357 6 060 21151 19168 5 107 3 068 7 096 19168 17156 10 131 6 123 7 102 17156 15221 13 135 10 133 10 097 15221 13461 14 128 14 123 15 093 13461 11895 14 121 14 106 16 090 11895 10498 14 117 13*079 15 084 10498 9247 14 119 12*079 16 077 9247 8127 15*124 10 089 15 071 8127 7128 14*130 7 108 12 063 7128 6240 14 133 7 128 10 053 6240 5451 14 136 6 160 7 033 5451 4740 14 138 7 179 5 358 4740 4109 14 142 8 186 7 327 4109 3581 13 144 9 191 9 320 3581 3174 13 147 9 194 9 322 3174 2893 12 150 9 195 9 328 2893 2722 11 151 8 197 8*333 2722 2624 9 154 7 198 6*347 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography