DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.3 - - 63.6 - - 69.1 - - 63.0 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -276 - - -62 - - 35 - - -88 - - -125 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 185 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3722 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 530 - - 2173 - - 688 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 26 - - 89 - - 23 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 7 - - 16 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 068 - - 065 - - 051 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -66 - - -33 - - -64 - - -50 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6752 - - -6688 - - -6407 - - -7794 - - -7834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9375 - - 9312 - - 10129 - - 10417 - - 10457 sfcLCL ODpotential -15632 - - -13071 - - -13043 - - -15151 - - -15933 ODpotential blCL 18255 - - 15695 - - 16765 - - 17774 - - 18556 blCL maxRH 17 - - 20 - - 23 - - 44 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.3 - - 63.6 - - 69.1 - - 63.0 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 32.6 - - 34.2 - - 27.3 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.7 - - 66.8 - - 69.5 - - 66.4 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.5 - - 31.5 - - 32.9 - - 26.0 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -276 - - -62 - - 35 - - -88 - - -125 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 185 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96201 21 082 11 077 2 009 17 055 19 045 96201 89283 44 090 39 099 24 106 17 088 24 070 89283 83912 44 091 47 098 40 094 33 096 33 090 83912 79386 35 090 39 101 38 093 38 094 37 095 79386 75440 33 079 32 094 33 093 30 097 30 085 75440 71953 24 065 27 091 23 089 20 098 21 087 71953 68791 20 072 22 077 23 078 18 082 21 083 68791 65874 15 053 14 060 14 042 22 055 28 063 65874 63186 12 062 11 037 9 336 14 002 20 028 63186 60613 20 054 18 029 13 006 10 347 17 011 60613 57943 25 031 27 033 20 013 15 022 16 356 57943 55157 26 008 27 011 25 025 21 022 16 027 55157 52463 26 015 31 028 32 039 31 036 25 035 52463 50014 37 025 37 031 33 034 40 036 36 030 50014 47804 40 018 34 031 34 020 40 020 43 018 47804 45789 37 022 35 038 28 022 24 002 35 009 45789 43937 37 048 37 042 28 047 13 013 16 014 43937 42232 45 059 42 051 37 070 25 091 10 111 42232 40661 43 056 48 052 53 068 52 084 38 107 40661 39201 31 057 37 053 61 062 62 078 60 094 39201 37832 22 069 28 066 46 063 57 078 74 086 37832 36520 25 092 27 082 28 069 46 081 71 086 36520 35195 34 096 32 092 22 078 43 100 68 093 35195 33829 43 088 37 087 25 084 51 105 63 097 33829 32426 46 081 38 077 32 085 48 097 59 099 32426 30968 45 082 38 076 38 085 48 089 55 099 30968 29443 41 088 35 080 41 085 50 086 54 100 29443 27848 40 091 33 085 42 085 50 087 53 101 27848 26184 42 089 34 090 41 084 47 087 48 100 26184 24452 43 091 35 093 40 084 42 086 42 101 24452 22657 39 095 34 093 37 085 39 088 36 098 22657 20795 33 094 33 088 35 086 37 094 30 095 20795 18858 28 085 33 083 35 089 34 100 28 092 18858 16885 28 080 34 085 36 094 29 109 27 094 16885 14982 29 084 35 089 36 099 25 114 25 097 14982 13247 29 089 35 092 33 104 23 108 23 097 13247 11700 29 093 32 094 29 106 21 098 20 094 11700 10322 26 097 28 097 23 107 18 092 17 091 10322 9092 23 102 22 101 16 107 16 099 16 095 9092 7994 21 109 17 111 11 107 16 106 16 104 7994 7015 20 111 16 123 9 111 15 103 17 102 7015 6147 18 108 17 128 12 111 15 093 18 092 6147 5375 15 097 17 126 15 101 16 078 20 082 5375 4680 15 083 19 116 18 088 22 067 24 074 4680 4064 20 072 22 100 21*075 29 062 27 070 4064 3549 30 068 25 086 20*068 32 060 29 068 3549 3153 34 067 25 080 18 064 30 058 27 067 3153 2881 31 067 19 076 15 063 24 056 21 064 2881 2716 22*065 14*073 12 062 18*054 15*058 2716 2622 13*058 7*068 8 062 10*051 9*050 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography