DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 85.8 - - 81.2 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 528 - - 317 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 789 - - 1282 - - 584 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3925 - - 4311 - - 3701 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4326 - - 4819 - - 4121 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 782 - - 857 - - 798 - - 1322 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 290 - - 362 - - 235 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 238 - - 217 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 40 - - 33 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4383 - - -4937 - - -4321 - - -3594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8709 - - 9756 - - 8443 - - 6218 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9193 - - -8611 - - -8999 - - -9930 ODpotential blCL - - - 13519 - - 13430 - - 13120 - - 12554 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 66 - - 58 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 85.8 - - 81.2 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 52.2 - - 53.3 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 83.5 - - 79.8 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 51.8 - - 53.1 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 528 - - 317 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 789 - - 1282 - - 584 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98592 20 092 22 097 21 121 19 092 98592 91131 19 117 16 100 18 099 20 089 91131 85392 18 102 13 099 18 091 16 076 85392 80656 19 100 11 087 21 064 19 099 80656 76579 21 099 8 130 20 057 22 091 76579 72978 16 094 14 134 13 070 20 080 72978 69726 12 103 7 123 11 076 14 068 69726 66751 10 086 6 138 5 081 9 043 66751 64014 8 094 6 140 3 160 5 001 64014 61375 5 100 6 168 4 223 5 319 61375 58633 2 336 6 194 7 240 8 282 58633 55804 8 294 6 222 10 235 12 266 55804 53112 13 271 10 257 12 237 13 261 53112 50691 17 250 14 269 13 244 14 264 50691 48517 21 241 15 265 14 248 16 259 48517 46540 23 241 16 254 16 243 18 248 46540 44719 20 243 17 247 16 239 19 242 44719 43025 19 247 17 240 16 242 18 243 43025 41440 19 243 17 234 15 243 16 245 41440 39952 16 244 15 236 13 243 14 249 39952 38554 14 252 13 250 10 245 13 263 38554 37212 11 248 11 262 9 239 14 264 37212 35855 8 266 9 274 6 225 10 260 35855 34452 8 302 7 298 4 210 6 266 34452 33004 9 327 7 334 1 171 3 250 33004 31500 9 350 6 000 2 061 2 221 31500 29928 9 001 4 008 5 034 3 048 29928 28290 10 356 4 357 8 029 8 045 28290 26584 8 352 2 295 6 020 10 050 26584 24812 4 007 2 181 3 358 8 054 24812 22982 4 028 3 149 3 023 5 053 22982 21086 6 081 2 091 5 030 6 056 21086 19117 5 108 1 103 4 031 6 055 19117 17119 5 118 2 157 2 023 3 096 17119 15193 3 153 3 169 1 017 1 129 15193 13434 4 172 4 187 1 269 1 302 13434 11863 6 179 5 193 3 230 3 308 11863 10458 5 204 5 186 5 217 5 285 10458 9201 4 256 6 172 7 206 6 286 9201 8077 6 292 5 172 7 207 7 290 8077 7076 7 296 4 186 6 214 8 288 7076 6191 7 297 3 227 6 231 9 283 6191 5407 5 295 4*256 6 245 8 281 5407 4704 4*289 5*255 6*244 7 278 4704 4082 3*275 6 246 5*231 5 275 4082 3562 5 249 7 238 6 217 2 252 3562 3162 6 240 8 233 7 215 4 193 3162 2887 6 235 8 231 7 213 4 193 2887 2719 6 233 8 230 7 214 4*193 2719 2623 6 232 8 229 6 214 4*194 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography