DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 64.7 - - 68.5 - - 67.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 86 - - 195 - - 29 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 161 - - 1744 - - 1532 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 4402 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3698 - - 5281 - - 5069 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2197 - - 2615 - - 2656 - - 2430 - - 2686 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 105 - - 292 - - 151 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 221 - - 231 - - 237 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 19 - - 22 - - 25 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4458 - - -2049 - - -1790 - - -1806 - - -1789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7081 - - 5748 - - 7071 - - 6876 - - 4412 sfcLCL ODpotential -13047 - - -5898 - - -7250 - - -5744 - - -6251 ODpotential blCL 15670 - - 9596 - - 12531 - - 10813 - - 8874 blCL maxRH 37 - - 54 - - 51 - - 55 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 64.7 - - 68.5 - - 67.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.6 - - 48.7 - - 46.6 - - 46.4 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 64.7 - - 67.8 - - 67.7 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.4 - - 47.4 - - 45.5 - - 45.9 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 86 - - 195 - - 29 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 161 - - 1744 - - 1532 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97340 19 239 18 263 19 252 22 244 27 272 97340 90019 5 201 13 241 12 260 13 246 10 286 90019 84449 5 121 10 202 14 255 6 281 4 254 84449 79826 1 288 1 223 8 262 7 338 1 231 79826 75841 5 329 1 339 3 271 8 336 3 360 75841 72325 7 316 2 293 2 334 6 343 6 018 72325 69136 3 267 1 132 2 250 5 298 6 341 69136 66189 9 278 3 026 3 222 7 254 5 295 66189 63449 9 221 8 249 10 245 12 253 12 256 63449 60789 11 270 5 233 6 212 12 232 13 235 60789 58003 18 268 10 259 7 267 15 238 17 243 58003 55102 18 253 15 238 11 250 17 224 20 236 55102 52323 17 232 15 233 14 254 15 235 16 234 52323 49812 19 229 17 239 19 254 19 247 18 258 49812 47563 20 239 18 241 21 243 21 247 28 268 47563 45535 20 244 17 242 17 237 22 251 32 271 45535 43696 14 236 15 241 15 248 20 266 25 280 43696 42025 13 277 10 262 15 258 22 278 25 295 42025 40488 19 286 17 286 18 269 21 280 27 295 40488 39055 21 308 18 284 21 275 23 286 25 290 39055 37707 22 327 14 297 22 268 25 286 25 290 37707 36409 20 330 14 319 18 268 25 277 26 288 36409 35096 19 338 16 325 15 280 24 272 26 278 35096 33738 19 343 16 324 15 294 20 270 24 272 33738 32340 20 347 15 324 16 294 18 278 23 274 32340 30884 20 348 14 330 15 289 18 283 23 272 30884 29360 20 347 16 332 14 293 18 285 22 270 29360 27768 21 345 18 327 15 302 18 289 21 269 27768 26109 22 343 18 325 17 308 16 294 19 272 26109 24383 24 343 17 329 17 311 15 300 18 275 24383 22593 23 345 17 336 14 311 15 303 16 280 22593 20731 21 350 17 342 11 315 13 297 15 290 20731 18790 20 350 15 343 10 322 10 294 14 291 18790 16812 19 349 15 340 10 326 8 309 12 283 16812 14903 17 352 15 343 11 331 7 323 9 275 14903 13164 15 360 12 351 10 342 6 333 4 273 13164 11619 12 008 9 012 7 006 3 358 1 163 11619 10247 9 019 7 045 5 049 2 072 3 140 10247 9026 5 042 5 068 5 080 3 112 3 135 9026 7938 2 059 3 090 4 087 2 115 3 140 7938 6969 1 088 2 127 2 072 1 021 2 161 6969 6112 1 106 2 174 1 038 2 320 2 211 6112 5350 0 089 2 194 2*256 3*287 2 236 5350 4664 1 301 2 206 3*241 3*262 3 255 4664 4056 3 309 2*217 4 236 5 240 3 281 4056 3545 3 322 3*218 4 231 5 234 3 316 3545 3153 3 339 4 222 5 228 6 233 3 340 3153 2882 3 359 4 221 5 225 6 231 3 003 2882 2717 3*019 4 221 5 225 5 230 3*021 2717 2622 3*024 4 221 4 225 5 230 3*023 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography