DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 56.1 - - 60.0 - - 58.3 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - -4 - - 113 - - 5 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 239 - - 1876 - - 2036 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4266 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3776 - - 5413 - - 5573 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2858 - - 2587 - - 2346 - - 2784 - - 3682 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 60 - - 255 - - 113 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 129 - - 142 - - 149 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - -6 - - 10 - - 12 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10018 - - -6062 - - -6558 - - -5839 - - -7906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12642 - - 9838 - - 11971 - - 11413 - - 10530 sfcLCL ODpotential -18132 - - -14569 - - -14249 - - -12815 - - -16397 ODpotential blCL 20755 - - 18345 - - 19662 - - 18388 - - 19020 blCL maxRH 94 - - 90 - - 86 - - 79 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 56.1 - - 60.0 - - 58.3 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.1 - - 22.6 - - 16.8 - - 17.6 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 57.3 - - 59.9 - - 59.0 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.2 - - 21.4 - - 15.6 - - 16.6 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - -4 - - 113 - - 5 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 239 - - 1876 - - 2036 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 60 - - 45 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95760 73 274 73 276 79 272 59 283 75 282 95760 88718 53 285 50 278 52 281 39 292 48 295 88718 83323 36 287 35 281 42 290 31 293 39 298 83323 78820 33 291 26 292 35 297 32 299 35 303 78820 74924 30 289 27 304 28 303 31 300 33 306 74924 71478 28 284 27 297 26 308 29 303 28 301 71478 68351 25 294 25 298 25 307 28 294 32 304 68351 65470 31 304 30 294 26 297 30 296 36 302 65470 62793 35 297 34 286 29 300 33 293 35 298 62793 60185 37 299 35 290 32 302 33 295 38 299 60185 57442 41 298 37 290 32 298 40 301 40 300 57442 54577 44 295 38 289 35 300 44 299 44 304 54577 51836 45 292 39 288 41 300 39 296 46 310 51836 49369 46 289 41 288 41 299 43 309 49 316 49369 47159 47 287 41 291 40 302 54 310 50 316 47159 45156 48 287 45 292 44 303 52 305 48 314 45156 43329 52 286 49 285 49 299 42 304 39 318 43329 41654 56 283 52 279 52 291 37 317 38 336 41654 40107 61 279 51 279 48 283 43 327 47 341 40107 38671 63 275 49 278 42 273 43 326 54 340 38671 37329 65 274 49 274 41 271 38 323 55 343 37329 36040 65 275 52 270 43 270 34 329 52 349 36040 34735 65 276 54 268 44 272 35 348 51 357 34735 33385 61 277 53 266 41 273 39 358 50 002 33385 31989 57 279 52 265 40 268 40 360 49 001 31989 30534 54 280 51 264 41 267 37 350 48 001 30534 29011 51 276 48 266 41 265 29 334 48 002 29011 27419 47 274 44 269 38 265 24 323 48 008 27419 25763 44 275 40 270 34 266 22 315 39 006 25763 24048 40 280 36 270 30 272 20 307 27 349 24048 22275 36 284 31 271 28 276 18 303 21 338 22275 20433 31 280 25 274 26 274 17 289 17 332 20433 18515 25 278 20 271 23 272 21 265 12 309 18515 16565 18 274 17 262 19 270 18 273 13 290 16565 14686 12 265 12 260 14 261 11 265 11 281 14686 12976 10 233 10 235 12 234 8 240 6 269 12976 11456 9 203 10 211 12 209 8 211 4 220 11456 10105 8 175 8 191 11 188 8 184 6 182 10105 8903 8 158 8 172 11 171 8 157 8 166 8903 7834 9 150 7 157 11 162 7 131 9 152 7834 6883 10 143 9 147 11 155 6 116 9 138 6883 6041 10 138 11 145 10*147 6*123 9 127 6041 5294 10 135 13 146 10*142 6*134 9 120 5294 4623 9 132 14 144 10 140 6 143 9 114 4623 4026 8 129 15*138 11 141 6 149 9 111 4026 3526 7 123 13*133 11 142 6 153 7 102 3526 3141 6 112 10 131 10 144 6 157 7 090 3141 2876 7 090 8 125 10 146 6 159 7 071 2876 2714 6*075 6 121 9 148 5 162 7*064 2714 2622 5*060 4 120 7 150 4 164 6*057 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography