DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.7 - - 71.1 - - 73.8 - - 69.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 85 - - 441 - - 530 - - 300 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 207 - - 798 - - 425 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 3959 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3744 - - 4335 - - 3962 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 763 - - 409 - - 489 - - 471 - - 948 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 186 - - 309 - - 208 - - 29 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 256 - - 227 - - 207 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 28 - - 36 - - 30 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3707 - - -2758 - - -2707 - - -2030 - - -641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6330 - - 6503 - - 7042 - - 5992 - - 3264 sfcLCL ODpotential -11803 - - -9063 - - -8763 - - -9003 - - -10586 ODpotential blCL 14426 - - 12807 - - 13098 - - 12965 - - 13209 blCL maxRH 52 - - 61 - - 61 - - 67 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.7 - - 71.1 - - 73.8 - - 69.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 51.8 - - 51.9 - - 52.4 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 69.2 - - 71.6 - - 68.5 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.2 - - 51.4 - - 51.5 - - 52.2 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 85 - - 441 - - 530 - - 300 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 207 - - 798 - - 425 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97902 4 324 3 211 8 200 4 061 2 238 97902 90426 6 034 5 118 5 190 1 290 7 061 90426 84668 6 071 2 049 3 329 5 021 5 075 84668 79909 9 042 6 056 6 353 8 002 7 073 79909 75849 9 029 7 050 4 013 2 288 10 033 75849 72281 9 002 11 354 11 013 4 030 10 009 72281 69058 9 336 10 320 13 327 11 326 13 350 69058 66100 14 323 11 308 15 308 18 317 15 315 66100 63360 23 307 23 307 25 308 28 311 19 316 63360 60709 26 293 31 302 32 302 34 303 28 311 60709 57954 26 290 34 301 35 298 40 301 36 303 57954 55105 27 301 36 299 39 295 46 297 42 298 55105 52394 31 309 34 301 39 294 46 292 45 291 52394 49976 34 309 30 306 34 299 41 290 42 289 49976 47838 34 314 29 315 26 310 31 295 35 292 47838 45923 29 323 27 324 23 325 23 316 25 305 45923 44180 26 332 22 331 21 325 19 328 19 316 44180 42561 22 331 14 337 15 321 16 330 13 327 42561 41038 19 339 11 354 11 324 13 316 12 332 41038 39596 18 351 13 009 9 334 10 311 13 328 39596 38230 18 359 14 011 9 342 9 316 15 325 38230 36908 16 002 12 000 10 345 10 319 17 322 36908 35566 14 004 9 344 12 341 11 332 16 319 35566 34177 11 014 6 328 11 317 11 326 12 305 34177 32742 11 034 6 309 10 293 15 292 14 297 32742 31250 13 030 8 311 9 291 17 283 19 296 31250 29688 12 008 8 298 12 285 18 286 23 296 29688 28059 10 344 12 296 16 295 19 296 25 297 28059 26362 11 332 14 307 17 305 17 301 22 290 26362 24605 12 336 14 316 16 314 15 300 20 280 24605 22789 12 340 13 328 16 319 14 300 21 302 22789 20905 12 342 12 347 14 322 18 320 26 325 20905 18949 12 340 13 002 14 336 23 338 28 334 18949 16958 12 343 15 006 16 350 22 349 25 336 16958 15040 9 356 13 359 16 354 21 354 22 331 15040 13292 7 024 9 346 13 345 18 348 21 322 13292 11733 5 044 8 330 10 317 15 331 20 314 11733 10342 3 053 4 335 9 296 13 322 21 310 10342 9098 3 053 1 327 7 283 13 326 21 311 9098 7987 2 047 2 296 6 287 16 333 23 314 7987 6999 2 013 3 337 6 307 19 338 24 316 6999 6124 6 010 10 001 10 332 19 339 22 317 6124 5348 11 007 14 002 11 341 15 341 18 317 5348 4655 14 007 12 000 6*338 8 345 12 318 4655 4043 14 005 8*354 2*267 2*341 5 322 4043 3535 10 002 4*303 5 230 4*207 1 159 3535 3146 5 356 4 257 6 224 6 207 4 164 3146 2878 3 335 5 246 7 221 6 206 4 170 2878 2716 1*271 5 242 7 220 6 207 4*172 2716 2622 2*242 5 238 7 220 6 206 4*175 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography