DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.5 - - 65.8 - - 68.1 - - 62.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 148 - - 232 - - 40 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 660 - - 2250 - - 925 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 4814 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4197 - - 5787 - - 4462 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1231 - - 1887 - - 1896 - - 2358 - - 1821 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 192 - - 333 - - 138 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 078 - - 149 - - 157 - - 190 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 14 - - 27 - - 35 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4731 - - -4048 - - -2421 - - 605 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7355 - - 8246 - - 8208 - - 3857 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -12856 - - -10478 - - -7551 - - -763 - - -1464 ODpotential blCL 15479 - - 14675 - - 13338 - - 5225 - - 4087 blCL maxRH 34 - - 52 - - 69 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 55.5 - - 65.8 - - 68.1 - - 62.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 38.9 - - 41.2 - - 53.9 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.0 - - 65.3 - - 67.3 - - 62.3 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 38.1 - - 40.7 - - 53.8 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 148 - - 232 - - 40 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 660 - - 2250 - - 925 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96622 53 295 42 292 48 292 50 293 48 297 96622 89424 35 292 34 298 39 291 36 290 39 304 89424 83903 30 303 30 308 27 296 28 296 29 308 83903 79345 26 294 31 308 28 310 28 303 26 312 79345 75417 21 297 25 294 29 310 27 310 26 319 75417 71928 22 309 20 290 19 294 23 284 23 293 71928 68759 16 282 22 279 19 264 19 273 15 304 68759 65836 18 272 24 284 21 283 21 280 26 279 65836 63146 26 279 25 267 30 267 27 277 25 265 63146 60551 28 270 24 260 29 244 30 257 25 268 60551 57815 29 266 30 264 26 242 31 235 32 246 57815 54949 44 256 40 250 40 248 39 235 38 232 54949 52209 58 247 57 243 57 245 58 241 48 237 52209 49749 62 239 71 236 78 237 83 234 67 233 49749 47545 65 236 77 231 87 226 95 223 82 222 47545 45541 63 237 74 228 84 220 95 213 86 215 45541 43695 67 245 75 234 80 222 87 214 78 212 43695 41984 75 250 79 238 80 229 84 221 78 211 41984 40394 71 247 77 234 82 228 86 221 79 209 40394 38911 63 243 70 230 79 223 92 220 86 209 38911 37524 58 243 65 229 76 220 92 214 93 205 37524 36194 53 247 62 230 75 220 88 209 92 201 36194 34850 47 246 62 233 76 221 87 212 90 202 34850 33467 41 238 61 234 76 222 85 212 87 201 33467 32045 40 233 52 227 71 223 80 213 78 199 32045 30572 39 228 46 216 64 219 72 211 67 199 30572 29035 37 221 45 216 57 210 66 208 59 199 29035 27435 34 217 43 218 51 208 60 205 53 201 27435 25772 32 215 39 221 42 210 47 202 49 203 25772 24046 28 220 31 218 34 207 41 203 47 202 24046 22263 20 218 27 212 32 207 37 203 39 200 22263 20421 19 194 28 205 31 210 30 205 33 198 20421 18513 20 189 27 198 27 209 24 203 29 195 18513 16572 19 181 24 190 26 201 23 197 28 195 16572 14704 16 173 20 182 24 196 23 195 27 194 14704 13005 14 164 18 171 22 192 24 191 26 189 13005 11493 15 158 18 168 21 186 24 185 26 182 11493 10146 16 159 17 168 21 179 24 179 27 178 10146 8944 15 164 16 167 22 173 24 174 27 176 8944 7871 14 170 15 168 21 169 23 167 27 176 7871 6916 13 174 14 171 19 163 19 160 26 174 6916 6069 13 173 14 172 16*158 16 156 24 171 6069 5317 13 167 14 166 15*155 13 156 21 164 5317 4641 13 157 14*156 15 155 11*161 18 156 4641 4039 13 145 13*147 14 156 9*180 15 149 4039 3535 11 139 11 147 14 158 9 189 13 144 3535 3147 10 135 11 150 14 159 9 193 12 139 3147 2879 9 128 10 152 13 161 8 195 10 136 2879 2716 8*118 9 154 12 162 8 196 8*134 2716 2622 5*078 7 157 9 164 6 199 4*126 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography