DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.5 - - 60.2 - - 62.5 - - 60.4 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 90 - - 178 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 422 - - 1353 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4093 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3959 - - 4890 - - 4673 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1561 - - 1096 - - 1037 - - 1268 - - 1937 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 144 - - 261 - - 113 - - 5 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 187 - - 209 - - 225 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 15 - - 36 - - 29 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2346 - - -652 - - 61 - - -199 - - -751 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4969 - - 4611 - - 4829 - - 4872 - - 3375 sfcLCL ODpotential -13588 - - -8954 - - -7469 - - -8008 - - -11051 ODpotential blCL 16211 - - 12913 - - 12359 - - 12681 - - 13674 blCL maxRH 70 - - 80 - - 76 - - 70 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.5 - - 60.2 - - 62.5 - - 60.4 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.2 - - 49.1 - - 50.3 - - 48.1 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.1 - - 60.1 - - 62.0 - - 61.4 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 47.9 - - 49.4 - - 47.4 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 90 - - 178 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 422 - - 1353 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 21 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96832 49 275 56 276 51 278 51 277 53 281 96832 89750 33 273 38 280 38 289 26 288 25 286 89750 84292 20 279 24 297 23 291 25 280 22 298 84292 79746 11 301 15 293 14 284 17 282 22 304 79746 75802 9 310 13 299 7 296 10 290 19 302 75802 72294 11 313 13 310 9 322 9 311 11 300 72294 69099 14 312 4 314 6 308 8 296 11 307 69099 66147 15 292 8 261 10 280 10 278 13 300 66147 63413 17 269 17 261 18 268 14 288 19 299 63413 60771 20 265 21 274 25 264 27 274 28 280 60771 58024 32 289 28 283 25 279 33 276 29 271 58024 55192 55 287 49 281 43 291 39 286 32 293 55192 52514 75 267 74 273 62 277 59 278 54 287 52514 50130 82 262 83 268 73 275 70 280 61 277 50130 47998 99 272 94 276 93 279 88 281 69 279 47998 46050 108 275 109 278 106 278 100 278 82 281 46050 44249 110 274 109 273 110 274 107 276 92 280 44249 42570 109 271 105 269 107 268 108 272 101 279 42570 40996 107 268 103 265 104 265 106 270 109 278 40996 39514 106 265 102 262 103 262 105 271 114 277 39514 38114 102 264 101 262 103 261 105 271 111 276 38114 36766 99 268 100 264 103 262 105 270 107 274 36766 35404 97 270 98 266 102 266 103 269 101 270 35404 34004 95 272 97 268 102 269 99 266 92 270 34004 32569 91 274 95 269 101 268 101 266 84 274 32569 31082 85 276 91 269 100 267 91 269 80 282 31082 29527 74 273 84 269 89 268 79 275 81 288 29527 27906 65 268 73 266 81 268 73 276 79 287 27906 26218 60 268 66 262 74 265 68 277 77 288 26218 24465 55 267 61 260 70 261 68 279 74 291 24465 22648 49 264 58 257 69 263 69 278 74 291 22648 20757 44 260 53 258 68 266 67 277 73 292 20757 18786 38 263 47 261 59 264 63 275 75 295 18786 16777 34 266 42 262 50 262 57 272 67 299 16777 14849 29 267 36 260 43 261 52 270 47 294 14849 13101 22 262 30 254 38 257 45 266 42 282 13101 11549 18 252 26 247 33 250 41 263 41 275 11549 10172 15 243 22 247 28 248 35 260 36 271 10172 8950 11 234 16 242 22 247 28 260 28 269 8950 7866 8 219 12 231 18 242 22 259 20 267 7866 6906 7 206 10 218 14 236 16 259 14 263 6906 6058 6 197 9 213 12 228 12 255 11 256 6058 5306 6 192 7 212 10*221 9*248 8 252 5306 4631 5 189 6 206 9*214 8*237 6 259 4631 4032 4 190 4*193 9 209 7 227 5 285 4032 3530 3 192 3*179 9 208 7 223 5 307 3530 3144 3 190 4 184 9 207 7 221 5 318 3144 2877 1 152 4 190 8 208 6 220 4 335 2877 2715 1*142 4 192 8 208 6 218 4*328 2715 2622 2*018 4 193 7 208 5 218 3*337 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography