DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 55.1 - - 53.3 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 174 - - 67 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 405 - - 1842 - - 1369 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 4416 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3942 - - 5379 - - 4906 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1136 - - 1531 - - 1202 - - 2819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 284 - - 187 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 19 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 145 - - 179 - - 160 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 51 - - 32 - - 35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 746 - - 1778 - - 1437 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3197 - - 3601 - - 3469 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3488 - - 699 - - 599 - - -238 ODpotential blCL - - - 7430 - - 4680 - - 4307 - - 2860 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 94 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 40 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 55.1 - - 53.3 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.4 - - 48.3 - - 47.1 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 54.8 - - 53.6 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 47.9 - - 46.8 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 174 - - 67 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 405 - - 1842 - - 1369 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 77 - - 71 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96775 15 081 8 094 21 072 22 090 96775 89611 15 101 16 107 26 098 26 084 89611 84035 22 115 15 104 22 099 19 080 84035 79363 16 115 11 089 15 103 15 088 79363 75348 10 108 9 098 11 138 5 077 75348 71817 6 145 6 175 10 153 8 063 71817 68613 9 205 9 165 14 204 5 224 68613 65667 11 229 13 213 14 209 8 233 65667 62931 12 252 22 231 15 242 7 344 62931 60267 16 262 23 229 31 222 31 226 60267 57492 30 251 29 253 34 230 39 221 57492 54604 49 252 48 256 48 250 43 245 54604 51833 62 244 65 247 63 248 54 250 51833 49334 65 242 71 243 68 244 58 247 49334 47090 69 236 70 238 62 242 53 243 47090 45041 58 245 60 240 59 248 50 248 45041 43153 66 250 72 249 66 254 59 253 43153 41410 77 258 91 245 84 249 85 247 41410 39802 99 263 92 233 100 239 98 239 39802 38326 103 260 95 239 104 232 108 238 38326 36968 97 254 93 244 109 231 119 238 36968 35674 98 253 92 246 108 233 125 235 35674 34363 97 253 91 248 105 236 121 237 34363 33003 94 255 88 249 101 237 121 239 33003 31600 91 257 85 250 98 237 115 235 31600 30144 85 256 82 250 97 240 110 232 30144 28624 77 251 77 247 98 242 105 231 28624 27040 68 243 74 242 96 244 101 232 27040 25395 66 243 75 239 85 241 96 233 25395 23693 65 244 68 240 79 239 89 232 23693 21942 56 238 58 241 66 235 76 231 21942 20135 54 237 49 237 51 236 67 230 20135 18260 52 236 42 240 51 235 66 227 18260 16353 49 234 43 238 51 231 61 227 16353 14516 41 232 49 234 49 230 55 227 14516 12842 37 230 48 230 44 229 48 222 12842 11351 36 228 41 222 40 225 42 210 11351 10023 34 222 34 212 36 220 37 202 10023 8837 31 214 30 203 34 216 33 199 8837 7780 29 208 25 196 29 211 27 188 7780 6840 25 201 20 188 24 198 26 173 6840 6008 22 190 18*182 20 180 26 162 6008 5269 19 176 18*179 20*167 26 156 5269 4603 19 161 17 178 20*161 25 155 4603 4013 19*151 17 178 20 159 25 155 4013 3518 18*144 16 179 19 159 24 155 3518 3136 17 144 16 180 19 159 22 155 3136 2873 16 145 15 181 17 159 20 155 2873 2713 14 146 14 181 15 159 17*155 2713 2621 9 149 10 183 10 160 10*156 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography