DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.5 - - 51.3 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 73 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 1260 - - 94 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4324 - - 4797 - - 3631 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2250 - - 2431 - - 3186 - - 4236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 198 - - 30 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 148 - - 148 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 11 - - 11 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 489 - - 1227 - - 771 - - -494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3835 - - 3570 - - 2860 - - 3116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1840 - - -434 - - -660 - - -2861 ODpotential blCL - - - 6164 - - 5231 - - 4291 - - 5483 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 89 - - 96 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 90 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.5 - - 51.3 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 46.0 - - 47.8 - - 44.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 52.7 - - 52.1 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 44.7 - - 47.0 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 73 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 1260 - - 94 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 56 - - 85 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96609 17 292 27 282 20 296 29 289 96609 89375 12 308 17 289 12 310 19 287 89375 83879 9 338 12 291 13 301 14 308 83879 79341 5 286 8 310 11 300 9 306 79341 75413 8 247 6 292 11 311 7 286 75413 71920 5 250 10 280 13 291 11 277 71920 68749 6 233 11 246 10 273 10 258 68749 65812 18 256 16 257 15 275 13 239 65812 63073 25 245 25 252 25 260 25 264 63073 60404 28 237 35 231 35 238 33 257 60404 57597 33 252 35 239 33 237 35 244 57597 54674 42 246 46 246 39 250 38 244 54674 51882 42 234 47 235 42 240 35 245 51882 49362 39 236 35 225 35 223 32 246 49362 47094 38 247 32 241 26 226 31 242 47094 45041 45 246 37 250 30 241 28 223 45041 43177 53 238 45 247 41 243 24 222 43177 41465 62 232 58 236 55 229 36 239 41465 39875 68 227 73 225 63 218 43 232 39875 38390 76 230 81 220 63 220 38 229 38390 36998 89 235 77 221 69 223 34 235 36998 35664 108 235 77 225 69 221 45 233 35664 34325 105 232 77 228 62 218 53 232 34325 32952 105 232 80 230 62 222 59 229 32952 31550 103 232 86 230 76 229 59 225 31550 30101 91 227 86 226 82 224 61 219 30101 28591 77 215 81 221 76 218 59 215 28591 27018 66 213 71 215 68 214 47 212 27018 25384 54 220 62 213 55 210 39 203 25384 23693 49 229 49 221 49 210 40 196 23693 21950 42 231 33 231 43 213 34 193 21950 20151 37 230 28 237 33 215 20 189 20151 18284 31 222 25 229 19 212 14 173 18284 16380 30 213 22 214 14 199 15 170 16380 14540 26 204 25 197 17 184 18 168 14540 12862 20 193 23 185 23 179 18 165 12862 11369 16 183 19 179 22 174 15 161 11369 10039 14 179 16 168 17 161 13 159 10039 8853 15 179 16 162 13 141 11 155 8853 7795 16 184 15 163 11 126 8 140 7795 6854 14 189 12 162 10 120 8 120 6854 6020 11 191 9 153 9 120 9 106 6020 5279 9 186 8*146 10 122 9 095 5279 4612 7*177 8*143 9 123 8 082 4612 4019 6*165 7 143 8*128 7 072 4019 3522 6 151 7 147 7*135 6 066 3522 3139 5 142 6 151 5 146 5 061 3139 2874 5 142 6 155 4 157 5 056 2874 2714 4 143 6 158 3 163 4*051 2714 2621 3 144 5 161 3 166 3*049 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography