DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 94.7 - - 91.5 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 531 - - 278 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 678 - - 1880 - - 698 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3833 - - 4756 - - 3748 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4215 - - 5417 - - 4235 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1093 - - 1683 - - 1450 - - 790 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 269 - - 410 - - 238 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 230 - - 225 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 38 - - 33 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7179 - - -7835 - - -7970 - - -5729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11395 - - 13253 - - 12206 - - 8354 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13132 - - -11885 - - -13081 - - -12418 ODpotential blCL - - - 17347 - - 17302 - - 17316 - - 15043 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 50 - - 54 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 94.7 - - 91.5 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 45.7 - - 47.2 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.5 - - 92.3 - - 90.1 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 45.6 - - 47.2 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 531 - - 278 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 678 - - 1880 - - 698 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99148 40 115 35 114 29 123 21 097 99148 91613 33 115 32 115 28 107 27 111 91613 85822 33 110 28 113 26 099 25 111 85822 81040 34 099 24 107 22 100 24 101 81040 76933 25 086 22 104 21 099 23 097 76933 73310 15 092 17 101 18 088 21 089 73310 70037 17 115 17 108 18 095 17 086 70037 67044 19 092 15 106 16 105 15 099 67044 64288 16 080 13 094 14 108 19 108 64288 61635 5 098 12 098 14 108 18 096 61635 58891 14 169 11 150 10 133 9 113 58891 56072 18 153 20 169 13 199 13 193 56072 53396 12 161 20 184 24 212 18 221 53396 50995 18 254 18 210 22 212 20 233 50995 48846 21 241 21 222 21 229 23 236 48846 46890 23 241 22 229 23 233 26 230 46890 45088 26 247 23 241 24 241 26 233 45088 43416 28 251 26 250 25 247 23 240 43416 41851 28 248 24 248 22 243 22 238 41851 40379 25 238 25 240 23 232 24 233 40379 38988 24 237 22 234 24 228 22 230 38988 37642 23 243 22 243 23 232 22 233 37642 36275 22 250 23 253 22 237 22 236 36275 34857 21 252 24 257 23 245 22 240 34857 33392 17 249 20 252 22 252 20 245 33392 31868 15 237 17 242 18 249 16 241 31868 30275 16 232 15 234 16 243 15 244 30275 28615 16 231 13 221 12 240 12 249 28615 26889 14 232 13 219 11 240 9 246 26889 25097 10 227 13 222 11 244 8 245 25097 23242 11 230 11 230 9 249 6 246 23242 21317 13 231 11 222 6 226 5 203 21317 19317 17 207 15 211 10 209 9 180 19317 17287 19 194 17 209 13 205 11 187 17287 15334 19 193 16 207 13 203 12 198 15334 13557 17 198 15 206 13 204 11 206 13557 11972 15 207 13 206 12 206 11 209 11972 10557 13 214 11 210 11 208 11 212 10557 9290 10 222 10 215 10 209 10 218 9290 8157 7 235 7 218 8 211 9 227 8157 7148 6 254 4 223 6 210 8 236 7148 6252 5 270 3 234 5 223 7 242 6252 5458 5 285 4*241 4 248 6 251 5458 4744 4*301 4*241 5*254 5 261 4744 4110 4*301 5 234 5*242 4 270 4110 3580 4 285 7 229 6 227 4 288 3580 3173 5 264 8 227 7 222 2 316 3173 2892 5 255 8 225 7 220 1 343 2892 2722 5 250 8 224 7 219 0*356 2722 2624 5 246 7 225 6 218 0*002 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography