DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 69.9 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 415 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3464 - - 3635 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5854 - - 6051 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7001 - - 7172 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1172 - - 1772 - - - - - 1991 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 476 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 40 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 062 - - 277 - - - - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 37 - - - - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1954 - - -2664 - - - - - -2265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8955 - - 9836 - - - - - 4888 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8970 - - -7822 - - - - - -6990 ODpotential blCL - - - 15971 - - 14994 - - - - - 9613 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 68 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 69.9 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.3 - - 35.8 - - - - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 68.3 - - - - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 34.5 - - - - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 415 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3464 - - 3635 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97603 27 259 37 286 27 309 97603 90246 24 297 22 285 25 295 90246 84579 21 299 23 292 26 301 84579 79863 19 295 26 286 26 310 79863 75804 15 307 17 273 23 300 75804 72222 18 289 11 288 18 270 72222 68981 19 279 18 282 16 288 68981 65992 18 283 25 273 24 289 65992 63224 18 276 26 269 25 282 63224 60545 20 268 26 260 31 283 60545 57745 29 268 29 258 35 268 57745 54840 42 272 40 273 39 276 54840 52066 52 270 54 272 49 279 52066 49575 57 267 59 271 60 275 49575 47348 64 267 59 271 62 274 47348 45336 70 265 62 274 62 274 45336 43499 68 266 68 274 67 277 43499 41809 69 268 65 273 74 275 41809 40247 74 269 57 277 77 275 40247 38794 76 270 54 283 77 276 38794 37432 79 269 51 286 73 276 37432 36125 80 265 49 286 64 275 36125 34809 75 264 47 283 61 277 34809 33450 74 271 46 280 61 274 33450 32048 62 270 46 280 55 270 32048 30590 48 272 47 279 53 273 30590 29065 47 279 48 280 53 279 29065 27475 50 277 49 283 49 283 27475 25819 50 276 47 286 45 282 25819 24101 46 283 44 287 42 280 24101 22324 45 288 42 287 38 281 22324 20481 46 289 42 286 37 286 20481 18565 47 287 41 287 36 291 18565 16613 44 290 38 291 33 293 16613 14735 38 294 33 297 27 292 14735 13029 29 298 25 301 21 292 13029 11511 22 304 17 303 17 291 11511 10159 16 318 11 311 12 284 10159 8953 11 342 6 339 7 264 8953 7878 8*031 7*007 5 264 7878 6919 6*047 7*002 5 298 6919 6070 5 048 5 349 9 325 6070 5316 4 050 4 317 11 331 5316 4639 3 053 5 265 10 326 4639 4037 1 102 6 247 8 317 4037 3534 1 182 7 241 6 303 3534 3146 2 196 8 238 4 279 3146 2878 3 201 8 236 3 252 2878 2715 3 202 7 235 3*240 2715 2622 3 203 7 233 2*235 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography