DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.8 - - 57.5 - - 62.3 - - 59.1 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 20 - - 141 - - 14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 85 - - 1715 - - 1209 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4253 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3622 - - 5252 - - 4746 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 469 - - 1934 - - 1690 - - 1691 - - 2474 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 58 - - 263 - - 117 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 109 - - 168 - - 193 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -34 - - -6 - - 19 - - 14 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10431 - - -7060 - - -6456 - - -6816 - - -8599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13055 - - 10682 - - 11709 - - 11562 - - 11223 sfcLCL ODpotential -22417 - - -17817 - - -15266 - - -15552 - - -17319 ODpotential blCL 25040 - - 21439 - - 20518 - - 20298 - - 19942 blCL maxRH 29 - - 52 - - 42 - - 76 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.8 - - 57.5 - - 62.3 - - 59.1 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.9 - - 20.4 - - 20.5 - - 18.0 - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 58.0 - - 62.0 - - 59.8 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -0.0 - - 19.3 - - 19.2 - - 17.0 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 20 - - 141 - - 14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 85 - - 1715 - - 1209 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96125 47 302 42 293 48 290 44 315 46 295 96125 89030 34 332 28 319 28 301 36 324 34 320 89030 83523 35 336 24 317 29 322 32 311 35 326 83523 78963 34 326 25 317 30 328 26 319 28 328 78963 75039 27 317 23 319 27 322 25 317 23 323 75039 71560 27 315 24 324 25 309 22 313 22 320 71560 68426 28 311 27 322 23 304 25 312 25 314 68426 65573 30 304 30 315 22 307 25 308 22 305 65573 62936 28 308 29 311 23 316 21 309 23 294 62936 60377 33 322 32 307 25 314 24 308 28 277 60377 57704 41 322 34 306 34 312 32 301 31 281 57704 54920 42 320 45 305 42 303 37 292 37 276 54920 52234 42 315 49 299 42 298 40 278 43 267 52234 49778 42 309 49 299 49 294 46 274 47 262 49778 47556 41 310 51 301 58 286 54 273 53 267 47556 45536 42 306 46 300 58 284 55 271 55 266 45536 43689 40 293 36 288 49 281 48 269 51 264 43689 41993 35 290 32 277 30 271 50 262 57 257 41993 40424 28 333 25 272 24 247 50 253 56 253 40424 38963 35 355 13 286 28 228 35 236 48 250 38963 37595 33 355 8 314 20 209 38 224 41 241 37595 36289 25 348 6 318 18 190 32 211 45 224 36289 34975 19 335 7 278 18 186 40 219 46 214 34975 33613 15 320 15 253 22 198 43 223 47 214 33613 32204 17 281 27 245 33 212 35 224 45 222 32204 30736 22 266 30 248 39 215 36 219 39 225 30736 29197 26 274 28 254 33 222 41 227 30 230 29197 27590 32 277 24 256 32 232 36 231 26 235 27590 25919 32 273 26 254 35 237 34 233 28 231 25919 24188 22 269 27 252 35 235 32 231 32 218 24188 22400 14 276 24 248 33 232 31 229 23 216 22400 20544 8 292 18 243 29 228 28 240 19 233 20544 18616 6 285 16 235 26 230 25 255 19 252 18616 16655 9 250 16 237 21 239 22 267 18 266 16655 14767 8 240 13 246 15 246 17 276 14 273 14767 13049 10 243 9 251 11 253 12 266 14 268 13049 11522 11 253 8 249 10 254 12 244 15 259 11522 10161 10 259 6 244 8 252 10 230 15 253 10161 8947 8 262 5 237 6 242 7 215 13 247 8947 7867 5 259 5 226 4 228 6 204 10 241 7867 6907 3 247 4 218 3 209 4 193 8 235 6907 6058 2 203 4 204 3 176 2 166 6 232 6058 5306 3 164 3 188 3*150 2*134 4 222 5306 4631 5 166 3 165 4*147 2*136 3 215 4631 4032 5 164 3*142 4 158 2 183 1 220 4032 3530 4 138 3*127 5 168 3 198 0 296 3530 3144 3 133 3 106 5 175 3 201 1 035 3144 2877 8 066 2 096 5 178 3 206 3 045 2877 2715 7*057 1 093 5 180 3 207 3*043 2715 2622 6*048 1 097 5 183 3 209 4*041 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography