DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 74.5 - - 69.4 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 499 - - 221 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 748 - - 1542 - - 932 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3875 - - 4491 - - 3842 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4285 - - 5079 - - 4469 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 719 - - 853 - - 1042 - - 1843 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 376 - - 242 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 170 - - 174 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 42 - - 41 - - 21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -823 - - -1139 - - 357 - - -133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5108 - - 6219 - - 4113 - - 2758 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8909 - - -7745 - - -6655 - - -8349 ODpotential blCL - - - 13194 - - 12824 - - 11124 - - 10973 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 73 - - 89 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 74.5 - - 69.4 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 56.1 - - 59.9 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 72.6 - - 68.6 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 56.0 - - 59.9 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 499 - - 221 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 748 - - 1542 - - 932 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 0 - - 57 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98718 16 133 15 126 16 123 16 089 98718 91369 21 129 15 127 18 120 21 105 91369 85660 19 117 18 121 17 120 19 098 85660 80894 17 110 20 135 12 115 16 105 80894 76777 14 106 17 121 15 135 12 116 76777 73148 14 129 10 097 12 102 14 110 73148 69871 13 142 10 165 2 091 11 108 69871 66867 8 189 11 170 3 155 3 155 66867 64095 9 208 5 208 7 176 5 199 64095 61422 11 198 12 235 6 281 3 231 61422 58662 10 179 17 215 21 264 18 270 58662 55845 9 273 15 233 23 237 23 256 55845 53177 32 285 25 275 26 255 21 263 53177 50774 45 267 46 276 41 265 37 257 50774 48607 47 269 52 270 48 262 47 260 48607 46630 50 274 54 266 55 259 55 257 46630 44806 50 273 52 266 56 256 55 252 44806 43106 47 268 49 264 51 258 50 254 43106 41513 46 259 47 256 51 258 50 258 41513 40010 45 252 47 251 49 252 50 258 40010 38591 46 246 49 247 48 248 48 253 38591 37221 48 244 51 240 49 246 47 245 37221 35838 44 248 48 241 49 249 45 248 35838 34419 37 258 40 253 46 255 41 260 34419 32971 33 259 36 255 42 260 39 268 32971 31471 32 254 30 251 36 263 37 267 31471 29902 32 256 29 264 36 262 34 258 29902 28260 33 263 30 265 35 255 34 251 28260 26546 33 259 31 259 35 251 34 246 26546 24764 34 254 32 249 35 245 34 242 24764 22922 36 247 35 244 36 242 34 241 22922 21014 36 242 34 240 33 236 32 239 21014 19032 33 239 31 239 29 234 29 239 19032 17013 28 240 26 241 25 237 24 237 17013 15069 23 236 23 238 22 235 21 230 15069 13302 20 226 21 230 20 228 20 219 13302 11731 17 217 19 221 19 217 20 211 11731 10334 14 210 16 208 18 206 19 206 10334 9089 12 199 16 197 19 196 19 203 9089 7980 12 184 17 186 21 187 20 196 7980 6995 13 173 16 173 21 174 20 183 6995 6125 13 163 15 164 18 163 18 170 6125 5357 13 153 14*162 16 157 17 160 5357 4668 11*151 13*163 14*159 17 157 4668 4058 10*156 13 167 13*168 15 158 4058 3547 9 164 14 170 13 172 14 156 3547 3154 10 171 13 173 13 175 13 155 3154 2883 9 175 13 176 12 177 12 157 2883 2717 9 178 12 177 11 178 10*157 2717 2623 8 179 10 180 9 180 6*161 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography