DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 59.1 - - 64.7 - - 62.9 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 385 - - 471 - - 239 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1860 - - 3177 - - 1859 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 4674 - - 5729 - - 4540 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 5397 - - 6714 - - 5396 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2315 - - 1325 - - 972 - - 1316 - - 2037 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 369 - - 473 - - 315 - - 3 W* B/S 72 - - 28 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 229 - - 222 - - 243 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 25 - - 45 - - 35 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2894 - - -821 - - -946 - - -1049 - - -2396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5516 - - 6218 - - 7660 - - 6445 - - 5020 sfcLCL ODpotential -10633 - - -6636 - - -5296 - - -5128 - - -8282 ODpotential blCL 13255 - - 12033 - - 12010 - - 10524 - - 10905 blCL maxRH 79 - - 76 - - 63 - - 66 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 59.1 - - 64.7 - - 62.9 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 41.0 - - 40.2 - - 43.8 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 57.7 - - 62.9 - - 62.1 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 40.3 - - 39.4 - - 43.3 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 385 - - 471 - - 239 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1860 - - 3177 - - 1859 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97672 18 303 24 307 21 287 21 297 27 315 97672 90284 23 319 15 297 16 297 19 298 24 317 90284 84644 22 329 10 308 14 307 16 317 20 325 84644 79982 14 288 11 300 12 321 13 348 14 325 79982 75940 13 245 6 299 3 329 3 218 7 307 75940 72364 10 267 8 244 7 292 6 225 7 270 72364 69136 13 249 10 244 13 279 5 303 2 191 69136 66157 21 236 13 270 15 268 11 263 14 216 66157 63374 24 234 23 246 22 250 16 273 13 256 63374 60666 22 244 28 240 30 244 29 251 28 265 60666 57850 24 258 30 248 33 248 34 248 31 247 57850 54940 35 257 34 250 41 251 38 261 34 261 54940 52156 49 259 47 250 55 244 52 252 43 258 52156 49648 59 258 58 252 60 248 56 247 48 256 49648 47424 64 256 62 252 65 253 60 255 55 259 47424 45434 71 255 63 252 67 251 70 258 62 269 45434 43609 76 259 65 258 65 253 73 256 79 265 43609 41918 91 263 79 263 78 259 74 258 96 256 41918 40358 103 260 97 261 96 257 94 256 112 253 40358 38902 106 257 103 256 105 252 113 252 119 251 38902 37533 103 257 101 254 105 248 119 248 118 250 37533 36215 101 258 97 255 102 247 114 246 114 249 36215 34880 95 257 93 255 99 249 106 246 109 249 34880 33501 90 256 89 254 96 251 102 249 105 251 33501 32081 87 257 86 255 91 253 99 255 96 256 32081 30610 83 257 83 255 85 254 89 259 75 264 30610 29076 78 257 80 257 80 254 81 262 58 271 29076 27483 69 259 73 260 74 254 69 262 51 271 27483 25830 63 260 61 257 58 260 52 257 47 276 25830 24115 56 260 52 262 49 252 46 260 43 274 24115 22339 48 257 48 259 42 248 48 258 41 274 22339 20492 38 261 44 260 42 253 48 262 41 271 20492 18569 33 258 35 261 35 258 42 266 39 273 18569 16612 28 260 28 257 28 256 31 266 32 278 16612 14732 23 262 24 257 24 253 26 263 26 276 14732 13022 19 268 20 261 20 255 22 264 23 270 13022 11501 15 278 15 263 15 252 18 268 21 265 11501 10145 11 291 11 255 11 246 12 271 15 262 10145 8936 9 303 7 238 6 242 7 270 9 251 8936 7859 8 323 4 207 2 244 4 263 6 234 7859 6901 8 340 4 148 1*247 4 288 5 221 6901 6054 7 348 3*108 2*241 4*303 4 226 6054 5303 5 354 1*085 2 232 4*295 3 254 5303 4629 4 352 0 221 6 223 4 261 4 280 4629 4030 2 341 2 236 7 221 6 242 4 288 4030 3528 1 309 4 232 8 220 7 236 3 283 3528 3143 1 272 5 230 9 219 7 232 2 255 3143 2877 0 116 5 229 9 219 7 231 2 231 2877 2715 0*128 5 229 9 218 7 230 2*224 2715 2622 0*107 5 227 8 218 6 229 2*231 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography