DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 83.9 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 483 - - 582 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 664 - - 1561 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3849 - - 4534 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4201 - - 5098 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 635 - - 1019 - - - - - 1490 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 398 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 228 - - - - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 41 - - - - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3662 - - -3870 - - - - - -4434 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7863 - - 8969 - - - - - 7059 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9457 - - -7737 - - - - - -10383 ODpotential blCL - - - 13658 - - 12835 - - - - - 13007 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 53 - - - - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 83.9 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 53.6 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 81.4 - - - - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.7 - - 53.5 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 483 - - 582 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 664 - - 1561 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99131 47 109 35 116 26 108 99131 91580 42 120 31 117 30 120 91580 85778 35 100 32 120 28 107 85778 80997 27 091 30 108 30 108 80997 76881 25 106 25 095 31 104 76881 73262 25 105 20 099 26 104 73262 70027 22 096 15 121 29 104 70027 67073 19 101 19 139 22 100 67073 64342 19 122 18 134 14 103 64342 61710 20 128 12 137 14 116 61710 58984 13 130 18 186 6 110 58984 56184 11 206 20 184 12 217 56184 53530 21 239 20 222 24 220 53530 51140 35 238 26 243 23 236 51140 48983 37 237 37 242 30 247 48983 47004 40 241 34 247 33 246 47004 45167 41 253 41 257 32 245 45167 43446 43 255 41 258 31 252 43446 41824 46 250 40 249 33 259 41824 40291 49 250 43 249 34 261 40291 38843 47 250 42 250 37 256 38843 37453 42 246 38 245 38 253 37453 36059 38 245 37 243 37 246 36059 34630 39 246 36 246 36 242 34630 33165 39 246 35 245 32 243 33165 31647 36 247 34 239 29 241 31647 30061 29 245 28 234 31 233 30061 28409 23 237 24 230 33 230 28409 26689 20 235 23 226 29 232 26689 24901 21 235 23 226 26 239 24901 23052 22 234 21 232 21 244 23052 21140 22 233 21 231 17 239 21140 19152 19 224 20 229 16 242 19152 17128 15 217 18 217 12 229 17128 15185 16 210 16 208 11 218 15185 13422 16 210 15 204 12 211 13422 11851 14 220 13 206 11 211 11851 10448 10 233 9 209 9 219 10448 9194 7 254 6 216 6 230 9194 8074 6 277 5 234 5 238 8074 7077 6 291 5 261 6 246 7077 6194 5 295 4 273 6 256 6194 5412 5 298 4*264 6 263 5412 4709 3*298 4*248 6 269 4709 4086 2*279 5 233 5 277 4086 3565 4 239 7 226 3 279 3565 3164 5 230 8 224 2 229 3164 2888 6 226 8 223 3 218 2888 2720 6 225 8 222 3*214 2720 2623 6 225 7 221 2*212 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography