DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.1 - - 86.5 - - 90.7 - - 86.0 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 61 - - 461 - - 564 - - 334 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 468 - - 1354 - - 784 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 3700 - - 4374 - - 3864 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4005 - - 4891 - - 4321 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 986 - - 955 - - 1889 - - 1178 - - 1013 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 246 - - 376 - - 263 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 289 - - 212 - - 210 - - 210 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 31 - - 40 - - 33 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6578 - - -5441 - - -5450 - - -4434 - - -3604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9203 - - 9447 - - 10341 - - 8756 - - 6230 sfcLCL ODpotential -12146 - - -9351 - - -8611 - - -8521 - - -9096 ODpotential blCL 14770 - - 13356 - - 13502 - - 12842 - - 11721 blCL maxRH 36 - - 40 - - 38 - - 45 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 80.1 - - 86.5 - - 90.7 - - 86.0 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.3 - - 54.3 - - 54.3 - - 56.7 - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.1 - - 84.5 - - 88.2 - - 84.5 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 54.1 - - 54.3 - - 56.7 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 61 - - 461 - - 564 - - 334 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 468 - - 1354 - - 784 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98854 47 107 37 120 36 107 41 086 53 087 98854 91513 47 102 44 110 39 104 42 106 39 098 91513 85850 38 097 39 100 37 102 41 108 35 110 85850 81123 33 103 35 098 36 100 36 101 31 113 81123 77035 30 103 29 103 30 093 27 101 26 100 77035 73422 26 102 28 109 23 104 23 095 21 094 73422 70158 22 100 22 098 21 122 15 103 19 076 70158 67167 18 107 15 090 18 114 13 117 11 079 67167 64408 16 091 13 119 14 104 9 113 8 092 64408 61760 8 095 9 087 10 096 12 141 4 120 61760 59016 12 130 4 186 3 319 7 112 7 113 59016 56171 11 095 17 146 10 210 10 264 9 317 56171 53480 11 345 6 090 12 175 14 217 14 268 53480 51080 17 297 13 320 6 304 5 201 10 219 51080 48919 17 283 17 293 16 280 14 278 13 261 48919 46944 17 270 20 274 21 270 22 272 20 263 46944 45121 18 259 23 259 27 259 29 269 26 267 45121 43424 21 252 26 250 30 251 34 262 34 264 43424 41832 25 251 29 249 33 249 37 257 41 260 41832 40332 29 252 31 251 37 248 40 255 44 258 40332 38917 31 254 34 255 39 252 43 256 47 259 38917 37554 34 259 37 258 42 256 47 255 50 259 37554 36175 38 262 41 260 44 257 49 256 51 258 36175 34749 42 263 44 261 47 260 49 260 52 259 34749 33279 43 264 46 263 50 264 48 263 49 261 33279 31752 44 267 46 267 49 267 46 267 45 264 31752 30155 43 270 45 268 45 268 44 268 44 267 30155 28492 41 269 41 265 40 265 38 262 39 262 28492 26764 34 266 34 259 34 256 33 255 37 257 26764 24973 28 254 30 250 30 245 28 244 32 249 24973 23123 26 243 28 244 28 243 26 243 29 247 23123 21205 24 243 26 242 27 245 25 241 27 244 21205 19213 22 239 25 232 27 242 25 237 29 239 19213 17189 18 231 26 226 30 234 29 240 31 241 17189 15246 13 228 21 230 25 237 24 246 24 247 15246 13483 8 232 14 234 17 239 17 250 16 251 13483 11911 5 260 8 241 10 234 11 253 11 261 11911 10506 5 287 7 257 8 232 8 266 10 276 10506 9247 7 285 7 269 8 239 8 276 11 281 9247 8121 7 276 8 274 7 244 9 277 12 283 8121 7116 5 270 7 274 7 245 10 276 14 283 7116 6226 4 269 5 267 6 229 9 270 14 281 6226 5436 3 269 4 258 5*215 7 261 12 276 5436 4727 3 285 3 246 5*211 5*247 8 269 4727 4098 4 302 3*230 6 209 4*222 5 264 4098 3572 4 307 4*216 7 209 6 210 2 220 3572 3168 4 304 5 211 8 211 7 209 3 149 3168 2890 3 298 6 212 9 212 7 208 3 161 2890 2720 2*289 6 212 8 212 7 208 3*164 2720 2624 2*279 6 211 8 213 7 209 3*167 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography