DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 58.7 - - 64.2 - - 64.8 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - -8 - - 71 - - -7 - - -144 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 863 - - 515 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 4400 - - 4052 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1967 - - 1860 - - 1835 - - 2437 - - 195 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 22 - - 172 - - 56 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 16 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 050 - - 344 - - 043 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -31 - - -20 - - 9 - - -30 - - -49 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -11686 - - -6620 - - -4292 - - -6084 - - -6077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14310 - - 9243 - - 8692 - - 10136 - - 8701 sfcLCL ODpotential -20539 - - -13610 - - -9611 - - -11904 - - -13673 ODpotential blCL 23162 - - 16233 - - 14011 - - 15956 - - 16296 blCL maxRH 81 - - 77 - - 78 - - 71 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 58.7 - - 64.2 - - 64.8 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -0.3 - - 28.0 - - 35.6 - - 29.9 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.9 - - 60.1 - - 64.2 - - 66.2 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -1.4 - - 27.1 - - 34.3 - - 28.7 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - -8 - - 71 - - -7 - - -144 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 863 - - 515 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96049 37 305 36 300 36 294 46 296 47 296 96049 88946 24 317 23 324 23 298 34 308 33 304 88946 83504 22 329 21 330 17 327 27 329 18 302 83504 78971 24 330 22 331 26 332 23 344 15 336 78971 75038 21 327 23 322 28 314 26 331 24 337 75038 71578 19 339 19 307 18 319 21 318 19 328 71578 68472 21 316 26 295 26 325 17 322 13 334 68472 65610 22 308 26 300 29 305 16 313 17 342 65610 62945 27 299 23 308 28 294 24 315 24 312 62945 60373 31 296 27 304 39 303 30 305 27 294 60373 57688 34 296 36 294 40 298 37 310 34 294 57688 54887 35 288 39 281 43 300 51 298 45 281 54887 52197 36 283 40 277 47 291 47 292 47 281 52197 49753 44 285 41 274 46 282 49 287 51 281 49753 47537 48 280 42 274 43 275 53 273 53 277 47537 45511 50 274 44 274 47 267 54 271 50 276 45511 43652 56 264 48 272 51 267 52 272 46 275 43652 41938 60 261 53 270 53 268 52 269 48 274 41938 40347 63 257 56 265 54 265 53 263 53 268 40347 38862 65 246 58 257 57 259 60 258 57 260 38862 37475 66 246 67 254 62 255 62 256 59 259 37475 36149 66 250 73 254 69 253 63 253 60 253 36149 34823 64 251 73 249 71 246 65 251 60 251 34823 33466 62 248 68 245 67 243 67 248 58 251 33466 32074 57 246 63 246 64 248 59 249 53 253 32074 30626 51 245 61 251 60 256 56 256 32 265 30626 29114 51 256 56 258 50 265 47 256 15 297 29114 27539 46 258 44 262 33 276 21 260 12 319 27539 25898 37 258 36 254 27 263 16 269 10 326 25898 24192 29 266 29 259 21 267 15 282 7 327 24192 22423 25 276 17 282 9 314 3 319 5 298 22423 20586 23 278 11 334 5 353 1 030 4 286 20586 18676 20 282 9 353 3 277 6 264 5 258 18676 16728 18 288 5 308 9 271 11 274 6 274 16728 14847 16 294 9 265 10 284 13 292 7 305 14847 13132 14 296 9 268 8 305 12 311 7 331 13132 11602 11 283 7 295 5 328 10 322 9 353 11602 10236 10 271 7 317 4 354 7 332 12 005 10236 9016 7 262 6 337 4 020 5 341 13 012 9016 7927 5 252 6 351 5 031 4 357 12 020 7927 6959 4 256 7 357 7 034 5 016 9 024 6959 6101 3 273 8 002 8 031 6 030 6 034 6101 5340 3 295 7 007 8 026 8 038 6 048 5340 4655 4 328 6 020 7*023 11*042 9 053 4655 4046 3 346 4 033 5*014 12*044 13 052 4046 3538 5 002 4 041 3 356 11 044 20 053 3538 3147 6 009 5 051 2 322 9 043 23 052 3147 2877 7 017 5 050 1 288 8 042 22 051 2877 2715 7*021 5*051 2 274 6 041 17*049 2715 2622 6*021 2*050 1 260 4 040 10*045 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography