DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.4 - - 69.8 - - 71.7 - - 65.3 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 9 - - 112 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 2623 - - 2624 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 401 - - 899 - - 1687 - - 903 - - 632 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 27 - - 51 - - 11 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 009 - - 249 - - 315 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -9 - - 15 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9885 - - -7539 - - -5483 - - -2843 - - -5523 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12509 - - 10163 - - 8107 - - 5467 - - 8147 sfcLCL ODpotential -20612 - - -15603 - - -11410 - - -9630 - - -14552 ODpotential blCL 23236 - - 18226 - - 14034 - - 12253 - - 17175 blCL maxRH 39 - - 53 - - 82 - - 74 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.4 - - 69.8 - - 71.7 - - 65.3 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.1 - - 35.0 - - 45.6 - - 50.6 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.1 - - 70.8 - - 71.4 - - 66.7 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.0 - - 33.9 - - 44.7 - - 49.7 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 9 - - 112 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96448 12 099 9 033 8 019 15 036 9 050 96448 89511 28 105 28 105 20 100 15 075 15 072 89511 84084 35 107 36 115 27 111 17 099 17 071 84084 79514 28 110 32 113 26 108 21 112 16 090 79514 75561 21 104 21 102 20 104 19 118 14 112 75561 72063 13 081 14 081 12 103 14 111 10 105 72063 68916 6 065 5 053 6 041 7 030 7 030 68916 66065 3 067 3 019 4 342 8 338 7 329 66065 63444 6 358 7 341 9 324 9 332 9 294 63444 60914 14 309 14 316 15 311 14 325 18 303 60914 58275 13 303 18 306 18 295 22 301 29 301 58275 55517 22 317 20 315 21 297 26 287 35 292 55517 52859 29 319 28 308 30 300 32 290 38 292 52859 50455 24 302 31 296 33 295 37 291 45 293 50455 48286 19 331 23 319 29 307 34 293 44 289 48286 46300 45 348 42 340 38 326 37 310 36 301 46300 44465 77 335 63 333 56 327 53 327 45 329 44465 42762 73 327 65 323 57 317 70 321 65 324 42762 41178 60 322 52 316 53 305 71 310 71 316 41178 39696 38 315 40 320 49 304 61 308 53 314 39696 38309 34 008 34 326 47 316 57 335 42 333 38309 36982 50 013 35 338 51 323 61 336 50 335 36982 35644 54 001 42 344 55 322 64 327 53 326 35644 34258 55 348 56 339 59 323 62 321 50 321 34258 32825 60 337 63 328 59 321 57 322 47 321 32825 31329 58 336 61 322 56 315 51 322 45 321 31329 29763 52 345 52 321 52 307 48 318 45 321 29763 28131 41 349 38 316 45 295 50 309 41 318 28131 26432 34 329 28 310 43 298 52 301 37 307 26432 24664 37 318 29 308 40 300 50 301 40 302 24664 22832 35 318 30 312 35 300 43 299 40 304 22832 20933 30 321 29 317 31 305 39 297 39 309 20933 18965 28 326 28 322 29 315 36 304 37 311 18965 16966 26 333 24 327 27 327 31 316 31 316 16966 15043 24 338 20 331 22 332 24 327 24 319 15043 13293 20 340 17 329 18 328 19 331 19 318 13293 11735 15 344 15 324 15 325 16 327 17 317 11735 10344 12 001 11 323 13 322 14 326 15 320 10344 9104 10 025 8 325 10 320 12 325 13 326 9104 7997 8 040 5 340 8 321 10 321 11 330 7997 7013 6 055 4 021 6 323 8 321 11 334 7013 6141 6 071 3 032 4 339 7 324 10 337 6141 5369 6 082 2 033 3 355 7 332 9 338 5369 4675 6 084 1 035 2 349 7 335 9 338 4675 4060 7 080 1 030 2 340 7 339 9 332 4060 3547 7 073 2 042 2 327 7 342 8 332 3547 3153 7 066 3 036 2 266 5 346 5 336 3153 2882 7 056 3 032 3 248 4 327 4 341 2882 2717 5*045 2*025 3*243 3*318 2*343 2717 2622 5*033 1*340 3*241 2*313 2*341 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography