DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.3 - - 64.4 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 27 - - -9 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 605 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 4142 - - 2624 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2556 - - 1739 - - 2551 - - 2109 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 134 - - 23 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 141 - - 143 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 8 - - 4 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5634 - - -3109 - - -2539 - - -3250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8257 - - 7251 - - 5164 - - 5873 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17640 - - -11657 - - -8667 - - -11825 ODpotential blCL - - - 20263 - - 15799 - - 11291 - - 14448 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 67 - - 55 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.3 - - 64.4 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 43.9 - - 50.9 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 66.8 - - 65.8 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 42.7 - - 49.7 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 27 - - -9 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 605 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 10 073 10 063 8 074 11 079 96592 89450 17 096 11 092 3 091 15 030 89450 83963 15 088 9 073 3 083 11 016 83963 79406 7 089 10 014 5 035 11 031 79406 75456 4 031 11 336 11 340 17 019 75456 71952 9 320 13 308 21 315 23 344 71952 68799 16 306 17 301 21 307 23 323 68799 65907 24 308 22 301 24 297 24 308 65907 63220 32 300 27 295 28 293 26 298 63220 60618 34 290 31 296 35 297 35 304 60618 57920 39 283 41 290 41 293 37 297 57920 55114 41 280 47 285 46 292 43 294 55114 52438 47 288 53 285 55 296 62 299 52438 50058 57 285 57 286 66 292 65 293 50058 47933 61 278 63 285 66 285 57 290 47933 46002 63 279 63 280 57 283 54 288 46002 44228 59 287 56 290 48 290 48 291 44228 42587 56 290 54 294 53 303 51 295 42587 41057 57 289 55 294 67 302 55 285 41057 39621 57 289 56 296 70 300 56 281 39621 38265 52 290 58 298 63 293 59 282 38265 36950 50 295 60 299 64 291 56 280 36950 35611 49 298 59 299 51 291 48 274 35611 34220 45 294 57 298 43 280 47 284 34220 32783 43 288 51 296 36 280 33 271 32783 31287 42 283 40 301 33 281 33 255 31287 29720 37 279 37 297 31 271 33 251 29720 28083 36 274 33 283 29 267 31 247 28083 26376 35 271 30 275 28 270 29 252 26376 24604 30 274 29 273 29 272 30 260 24604 22771 26 277 28 270 30 271 31 266 22771 20872 25 279 27 278 27 269 30 275 20872 18900 20 274 22 278 23 278 27 284 18900 16896 18 242 20 257 20 285 24 296 16896 14968 18 240 21 250 20 281 22 304 14968 13217 16 248 18 255 19 276 19 301 13217 11661 14 249 16 260 18 274 17 289 11661 10278 11 248 13 262 16 274 15 279 10278 9045 8 236 11 255 13 274 14 273 9045 7947 6 215 8 240 10 270 12 270 7947 6972 6 183 6 215 7 256 9 267 6972 6110 7 160 6 190 5 229 6 262 6110 5347 8 152 6 170 4 195 4 251 5347 4661 10 148 6*144 5 160 3 236 4661 4054 11 143 5*123 5 138 2 211 4054 3545 9 137 4 131 5 129 1 246 3545 3152 6 131 3 150 4 138 1 317 3152 2882 4 114 3 159 4 143 2 006 2882 2717 3*104 3 163 3*148 3*021 2717 2622 2*101 3 164 2*151 3*023 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography