DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 92.5 - - 87.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 535 - - 243 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 838 - - 1786 - - 710 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3947 - - 4687 - - 3697 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4375 - - 5323 - - 4247 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1297 - - 2223 - - 1274 - - 836 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 404 - - 229 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 197 - - 194 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 41 - - 30 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7381 - - -6439 - - -5334 - - -4771 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11757 - - 11763 - - 9581 - - 7397 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10711 - - -9021 - - -9187 - - -10308 ODpotential blCL - - - 15086 - - 14344 - - 13434 - - 12933 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 78 - - 96 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 180 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 92.5 - - 87.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 50.0 - - 54.9 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.4 - - 90.1 - - 86.7 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 49.9 - - 54.9 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 535 - - 243 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 838 - - 1786 - - 710 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 11 - - 84 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99119 32 101 33 106 21 118 22 089 99119 91652 32 111 32 112 24 103 28 091 91652 85879 35 111 33 110 30 108 26 095 85879 81081 32 108 29 098 30 103 25 103 81081 76946 26 103 21 106 24 097 27 102 76946 73303 17 101 18 117 19 098 21 096 73303 70037 15 117 14 116 17 105 15 101 70037 67063 15 128 11 142 13 103 18 095 67063 64308 12 128 15 138 9 115 10 084 64308 61652 9 141 11 163 9 124 13 153 61652 58899 12 151 19 183 14 199 4 195 58899 56053 16 181 21 185 22 186 17 203 56053 53349 18 197 23 193 24 200 25 203 53349 50930 24 218 25 201 26 210 30 203 50930 48767 28 218 27 205 28 209 27 205 48767 46795 30 207 30 204 29 205 25 213 46795 44976 31 197 33 196 28 207 26 216 44976 43284 31 193 32 191 28 202 24 210 43284 41701 37 192 37 190 30 197 25 202 41701 40215 43 187 41 188 41 184 31 195 40215 38818 45 184 41 187 49 179 40 180 38818 37472 43 183 38 185 40 180 40 175 37472 36110 38 183 35 184 35 185 32 176 36110 34701 32 182 32 184 35 187 30 179 34701 33246 27 187 31 185 36 190 32 180 33246 31733 27 193 31 186 35 192 29 191 31733 30149 27 191 30 189 33 192 28 199 30149 28496 30 193 29 192 30 188 28 197 28496 26774 27 198 28 193 28 191 28 190 26774 24989 21 200 27 195 26 195 27 198 24989 23145 20 201 22 191 23 193 25 204 23145 21235 16 198 16 188 18 183 21 200 21235 19254 11 193 13 188 14 180 16 186 19254 17240 12 195 12 197 10 191 12 180 17240 15299 13 190 14 195 9 202 10 185 15299 13528 12 191 16 186 10 199 10 193 13528 11947 11 201 17 188 11 200 11 201 11947 10535 10 207 16 196 11 202 10 205 10535 9270 11 209 13 201 12 202 10 209 9270 8139 10 209 11 202 11 203 10 212 8139 7131 8 200 9 196 10 200 10 216 7131 6239 6 178 7 186 9 197 9 218 6239 5446 6 155 6*184 7 195 7 218 5446 4735 5*153 6*187 5*189 5 214 4735 4105 4*169 7 193 5*186 3 209 4105 3577 5 190 8 197 6 192 2 222 3577 3171 6 197 9 200 7 194 1 188 3171 2891 7 200 9 202 7 197 1 159 2891 2721 7 202 9 203 7 199 1*145 2721 2624 6 204 8 204 6 200 1*134 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography