DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 51.3 - - 51.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 126 - - 41 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 337 - - 1078 - - 1006 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3874 - - 4615 - - 4543 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 934 - - 1139 - - 1359 - - 2676 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 218 - - 152 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 164 - - 167 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 26 - - 24 - - 24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 870 - - 1499 - - 986 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3004 - - 3116 - - 3558 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3546 - - 543 - - -7048 - - -1094 ODpotential blCL - - - 7420 - - 4072 - - 11591 - - 3716 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 94 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 51.3 - - 51.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 46.8 - - 44.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 51.2 - - 51.7 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 45.7 - - 43.7 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 126 - - 41 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 337 - - 1078 - - 1006 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 74 - - 53 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96427 18 093 23 075 32 111 24 109 96427 89326 21 112 10 089 19 101 19 103 89326 83827 19 107 11 135 13 095 14 080 83827 79255 9 104 10 141 11 118 8 078 79255 75304 9 129 7 143 6 153 5 048 75304 71795 7 158 8 170 9 193 7 277 71795 68607 10 207 8 208 13 206 13 217 68607 65669 14 233 12 245 11 251 11 225 65669 62939 23 246 21 247 18 263 14 241 62939 60295 26 242 27 240 28 238 23 242 60295 57540 27 255 31 247 29 242 28 243 57540 54694 42 255 41 252 38 251 44 250 54694 51990 47 249 49 246 54 249 56 246 51990 49559 52 259 55 253 62 252 64 246 49559 47370 64 266 67 260 73 255 74 249 47370 45371 71 264 76 261 79 254 79 251 45371 43527 73 265 78 262 79 252 80 251 43527 41819 73 268 77 263 77 253 78 249 41819 40242 71 270 74 264 74 257 74 249 40242 38786 70 272 72 264 75 259 71 249 38786 37436 69 275 71 264 77 257 71 248 37436 36139 72 276 72 264 76 257 74 249 36139 34823 72 275 77 266 75 258 76 250 34823 33458 65 272 74 266 76 257 75 249 33458 32053 60 271 69 265 74 257 74 246 32053 30595 56 269 64 264 70 256 70 243 30595 29071 50 269 61 263 66 254 64 244 29071 27480 47 270 60 261 61 252 62 244 27480 25821 45 264 57 254 59 249 60 243 25821 24095 46 253 53 244 60 245 57 242 24095 22305 44 247 52 237 59 238 53 240 22305 20446 40 243 51 235 56 235 52 238 20446 18513 35 233 47 231 53 235 52 235 18513 16546 32 225 42 230 48 239 48 233 16546 14651 28 224 38 233 42 239 42 231 14651 12928 23 227 31 232 35 234 37 227 12928 11398 18 227 24 224 30 224 35 219 11398 10041 14 217 19 207 28 210 34 209 10041 8837 12 201 19 192 27 197 33 199 8837 7770 12 192 20 185 27 188 31 191 7770 6826 14 187 20 180 24 183 27 185 6826 5993 14 179 18 175 20 180 22 180 5993 5256 14 170 16*169 16 176 18 176 5256 4594 13 159 14*164 14*173 15 174 4594 4006 12*149 13 162 12*169 13 175 4006 3514 11*146 12 163 11 166 12 175 3514 3134 11 148 12 165 10 167 11 172 3134 2872 10 151 11 166 10 167 9 168 2872 2712 9 153 10 167 9 168 7*166 2712 2621 7 155 8 170 7 170 4*168 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography