DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 95.3 - - 92.4 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 532 - - 269 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1061 - - 3058 - - 1433 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4106 - - 5664 - - 4268 - - 2608 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4598 - - 6595 - - 4970 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1888 - - 2937 - - 2905 - - 1446 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 483 - - 299 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 205 - - 222 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 41 - - 37 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6381 - - -6688 - - -7738 - - -6550 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10979 - - 13283 - - 12709 - - 9175 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9967 - - -9666 - - -10935 - - -11756 ODpotential blCL - - - 14565 - - 16261 - - 15905 - - 14381 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 53 - - 66 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 95.3 - - 92.4 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 46.0 - - 45.8 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.7 - - 93.0 - - 91.1 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 45.9 - - 45.8 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 532 - - 269 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1061 - - 3058 - - 1433 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99038 32 114 24 124 23 093 22 097 99038 91604 30 117 21 113 27 104 24 098 91604 85880 26 116 18 106 24 105 24 097 85880 81125 23 096 20 101 22 102 21 107 81125 77010 23 091 20 109 17 103 19 096 77010 73371 15 102 17 111 12 111 16 083 73371 70088 13 117 20 105 14 111 15 090 70088 67078 8 114 15 124 8 106 11 104 67078 64302 10 139 22 137 12 149 11 114 64302 61634 10 142 17 168 14 183 6 173 61634 58860 10 188 19 175 18 192 16 202 58860 55994 18 213 20 194 21 192 26 196 55994 53268 23 233 24 196 21 200 27 197 53268 50823 43 228 33 222 34 225 37 220 50823 48634 55 223 49 216 51 220 54 221 48634 46641 57 225 53 219 58 218 59 219 46641 44805 53 224 55 222 59 218 58 220 44805 43114 45 226 52 221 57 218 55 222 43114 41549 39 232 42 222 51 222 56 222 41549 40087 34 231 36 222 45 221 53 217 40087 38702 33 227 35 221 43 217 52 216 38702 37360 34 221 33 221 43 217 49 218 37360 35996 35 217 33 219 40 219 44 220 35996 34584 30 220 31 218 36 222 38 218 34584 33128 23 218 26 211 31 219 33 214 33128 31615 22 214 26 208 29 205 33 211 31615 30036 24 204 25 210 28 202 34 207 30036 28394 24 207 24 210 27 202 32 203 28394 26690 27 208 26 205 29 209 30 203 26690 24922 27 207 27 207 26 211 26 205 24922 23090 21 215 20 205 20 204 20 201 23090 21192 13 216 16 196 18 193 19 198 21192 19223 12 203 16 197 20 196 20 201 19223 17220 14 201 19 203 20 207 20 210 17220 15287 17 203 20 203 20 210 19 215 15287 13522 19 204 21 204 20 209 18 216 13522 11945 21 204 20 206 20 209 18 215 11945 10535 19 204 18 207 19 209 18 214 10535 9272 16 201 14 206 16 209 17 215 9272 8144 12 199 12 202 13 209 15 217 8144 7138 10 196 9*197 10 211 12 219 7138 6247 7 194 7*198 8 216 9 220 6247 5456 6 187 7 201 7*221 7 223 5456 4743 4*185 7 203 7*225 5 233 4743 4111 4*196 8 206 7 224 4 242 4111 3582 5 205 8 208 8 222 3 260 3582 3174 6 209 9 209 8 220 2 287 3174 2893 6 212 9 210 8 220 0 275 2893 2722 6 213 9 210 8 219 0*124 2722 2624 6 212 8 211 7 219 0*063 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography