DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 51.5 - - 50.0 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 24 - - 7 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 421 - - 1331 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3958 - - 4868 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2661 - - 2721 - - 3454 - - 3425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 145 - - 21 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 16 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 193 - - 188 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 52 - - 66 - - 66 - - 60 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1337 - - 2110 - - 1 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2621 - - 2758 - - 2622 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 837 - - 891 - - -373 - - -298 ODpotential blCL - - - 3121 - - 3977 - - 2996 - - 2921 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 180 - - 150 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 51.5 - - 50.0 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 48.4 - - 49.5 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 52.1 - - 50.8 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 47.7 - - 49.5 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 24 - - 7 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 421 - - 1331 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 20 298 28 294 29 315 24 310 96304 89195 14 312 20 317 19 325 20 313 89195 83714 19 306 25 299 22 303 25 311 83714 79189 15 319 13 310 14 272 21 314 79189 75273 26 298 19 283 20 270 26 272 75273 71808 30 269 26 274 22 263 24 269 71808 68661 13 263 14 293 13 285 17 292 68661 65708 24 250 29 258 28 260 27 265 65708 62924 40 237 44 241 45 240 37 241 62924 60239 45 233 48 232 51 236 47 244 60239 57476 45 234 44 235 55 246 60 250 57476 54632 53 243 51 251 67 248 70 243 54632 51911 68 248 71 252 77 251 70 245 51911 49446 85 246 81 248 87 255 76 250 49446 47232 90 242 92 246 96 252 87 250 47232 45232 92 243 102 242 100 247 90 249 45232 43412 98 242 102 241 97 246 89 250 43412 41745 102 241 103 246 102 250 100 252 41745 40213 105 238 108 250 108 251 113 252 40213 38781 103 243 111 252 109 251 117 251 38781 37428 108 253 110 252 112 252 115 251 37428 36119 116 257 110 253 114 250 112 250 36119 34793 117 257 110 252 112 249 110 248 34793 33421 115 255 110 250 107 249 107 245 33421 32005 114 253 109 249 103 249 103 245 32005 30531 114 252 109 247 102 250 100 246 30531 28991 114 251 106 245 103 250 98 247 28991 27388 113 250 103 244 101 250 98 246 27388 25720 110 249 101 246 98 251 96 245 25720 23987 103 247 100 249 95 251 92 244 23987 22193 99 246 98 247 92 250 87 243 22193 20332 92 245 96 245 90 248 81 243 20332 18399 84 241 89 246 85 246 77 243 18399 16435 78 239 79 245 74 246 71 245 16435 14554 72 238 66 244 63 246 58 245 14554 12858 60 237 55 243 51 245 47 243 12858 11359 49 233 46 237 42 242 41 240 11359 10028 40 223 40 228 36 233 37 234 10028 8841 36 212 36 220 33 223 33 227 8841 7787 33 203 32 215 29 216 29 219 7787 6848 32 199 29 210 27 211 26 212 6848 6015 29 195 26 206 26 207 25 205 6015 5275 26 191 25*203 25 204 24 200 5275 4608 24 187 24*200 24 200 23 196 4608 4016 23*184 22 196 23 197 23 190 4016 3520 21*181 21 192 22 193 22 185 3520 3138 19 178 19 190 20 190 20 181 3138 2874 17 177 18 189 18 187 18 179 2874 2714 15 176 16 188 15*186 15*178 2714 2622 10 177 11 188 10*186 10*178 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography