DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 60.2 - - 62.1 - - 58.3 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 17 - - 76 - - 2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 36 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3573 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1058 - - 1296 - - 788 - - 1245 - - 976 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 32 - - 61 - - 15 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 007 - - 264 - - 245 - - 227 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 3 - - 15 - - 8 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7627 - - -3499 - - -1131 - - -496 - - -1720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10251 - - 6122 - - 4704 - - 3119 - - 4343 sfcLCL ODpotential -14986 - - -9735 - - -6537 - - -6070 - - -9229 ODpotential blCL 17609 - - 12358 - - 10110 - - 8693 - - 11852 blCL maxRH 53 - - 47 - - 66 - - 81 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 60.2 - - 62.1 - - 58.3 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 42.8 - - 50.5 - - 53.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.9 - - 60.9 - - 62.1 - - 59.1 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 41.6 - - 49.3 - - 52.8 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 17 - - 76 - - 2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 36 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96116 15 358 14 039 2 196 5 010 17 071 96116 89085 8 022 10 013 5 359 10 049 12 058 89085 83671 6 004 7 036 6 308 8 005 10 026 83671 79147 11 014 6 010 9 347 4 360 8 317 79147 75214 12 005 12 354 12 343 7 023 6 318 75214 71725 9 332 13 322 16 351 11 347 13 345 71725 68570 11 330 15 308 17 315 17 344 16 332 68570 65672 17 328 15 300 18 304 21 306 21 306 65672 62980 27 319 18 303 22 302 23 295 20 291 62980 60356 33 312 26 297 28 295 27 299 23 304 60356 57618 35 302 31 291 36 286 35 295 35 293 57618 54784 43 294 36 291 40 286 42 293 40 293 54784 52074 50 287 45 281 51 285 52 292 51 292 52074 49625 55 283 52 277 56 283 62 285 58 287 49625 47426 61 282 57 279 54 285 59 282 59 281 47426 45430 63 280 56 280 48 285 50 281 54 276 45430 43606 50 278 45 278 39 286 49 279 53 275 43606 41935 37 290 32 295 33 294 45 283 56 275 41935 40393 42 297 34 304 38 308 47 293 51 277 40393 38959 45 297 35 302 47 308 46 301 43 284 38959 37614 47 293 39 295 51 301 48 298 40 287 37614 36318 43 281 45 285 42 298 40 297 37 286 36318 35002 39 279 42 283 34 310 33 295 21 282 35002 33640 41 287 42 284 33 321 23 304 10 285 33640 32233 38 281 46 277 36 337 18 335 5 031 32233 30768 33 278 47 273 40 336 21 350 8 041 30768 29231 28 286 42 273 35 319 27 351 8 039 29231 27625 25 291 34 271 37 295 32 351 8 026 27625 25954 25 287 27 271 34 291 30 355 12 026 25954 24221 25 283 23 276 30 281 28 343 19 032 24221 22430 27 286 24 289 27 281 29 318 19 019 22430 20577 25 296 24 300 25 289 29 308 20 338 20577 18660 20 312 21 307 23 292 30 299 26 324 18660 16711 17 333 18 314 22 292 31 297 27 319 16711 14832 16 348 16 318 21 296 30 298 27 310 14832 13119 17 356 16 322 21 302 27 300 28 308 13119 11590 17 359 14 325 19 307 25 300 26 306 11590 10225 16 360 13 329 17 309 23 299 24 303 10225 9004 15 357 12 334 15 310 22 299 22 301 9004 7915 13 349 10 333 13 310 21 300 20 301 7915 6945 11 338 9 324 11 308 19 301 19 301 6945 6086 10 325 8 310 10 305 16 300 17 299 6086 5326 9 310 7 294 8 302 13 297 14 297 5326 4643 8 300 5 279 5 301 9 295 10 295 4643 4038 6 293 4 265 3*300 6 297 7 296 4038 3533 5 293 2 257 2*280 3 300 3 296 3533 3145 5 306 2 277 3 246 1 266 1 312 3145 2878 4 321 1 275 3 237 2 234 1 005 2878 2715 4*343 1*266 3 235 2*226 1*046 2715 2622 3*007 1*249 3 233 2*222 2*060 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography