DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 70.9 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 492 - - 576 - - - - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 705 - - 1135 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3880 - - 4214 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4242 - - 4672 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 520 - - 627 - - - - - 1607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 288 - - 356 - - - - - 28 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 217 - - - - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 40 - - - - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -939 - - -1156 - - - - - -1037 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5181 - - 5829 - - - - - 3661 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10708 - - -8953 - - - - - -10678 ODpotential blCL - - - 14950 - - 13625 - - - - - 13301 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 77 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 70.9 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 54.2 - - - - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 68.4 - - - - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 54.1 - - - - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 492 - - 576 - - - - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 705 - - 1135 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 8 - - - - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98782 34 114 27 105 25 099 98782 91282 23 118 19 112 26 096 91282 85518 23 126 20 109 22 098 85518 80763 22 116 21 123 14 088 80763 76671 22 110 25 127 10 102 76671 73056 20 085 24 118 10 113 73056 69793 9 078 11 113 9 112 69793 66800 2 109 6 134 11 097 66800 64042 6 174 6 150 8 111 64042 61383 13 188 12 202 6 185 61383 58641 17 186 23 208 16 237 58641 55844 10 192 22 214 20 229 55844 53199 22 247 28 243 27 245 53199 50816 41 240 43 242 42 246 50816 48664 50 237 52 237 49 243 48664 46692 51 242 53 239 52 246 46692 44869 52 250 55 243 58 248 44869 43171 56 253 57 244 62 246 43171 41585 61 252 60 247 63 247 41585 40097 64 251 66 250 70 254 40097 38698 65 252 70 250 76 255 38698 37349 65 254 71 251 76 254 37349 35979 62 255 71 252 75 254 35979 34561 60 256 68 253 73 255 34561 33098 57 254 63 253 68 257 33098 31579 55 252 59 251 62 257 31579 29991 52 251 57 250 57 257 29991 28336 48 252 53 248 54 255 28336 26610 47 243 52 247 52 255 26610 24817 47 244 51 248 47 255 24817 22959 43 248 46 250 40 256 22959 21032 36 245 39 246 34 260 21032 19034 26 240 29 247 28 261 19034 17010 21 237 23 245 22 258 17010 15067 17 239 19 248 19 255 15067 13301 14 247 17 256 18 254 13301 11728 13 251 14 260 16 256 11728 10326 11 249 12 259 14 259 10326 9077 10 247 11 254 13 263 9077 7967 10 249 11 250 13 270 7967 6981 8 255 10 253 13 274 6981 6112 7 261 8 255 12 275 6112 5344 5 255 6*243 10 273 5344 4656 4*228 5*226 7 271 4656 4048 4*201 6 217 4 257 4048 3540 5 201 7 216 3 217 3540 3150 6 203 8 215 4 208 3150 2880 7 205 9 215 4 209 2880 2716 7 206 8 215 4*208 2716 2622 6 206 8 215 4*210 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography