DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 62.1 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 140 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 431 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2606 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3968 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1513 - - 864 - - - - - 1459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 164 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 239 - - - - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 23 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1526 - - -426 - - - - - -1570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4150 - - 4394 - - - - - 4193 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8907 - - -6401 - - - - - -9261 ODpotential blCL - - - 11530 - - 10369 - - - - - 11884 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 76 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 62.1 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 51.9 - - - - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 61.7 - - - - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 51.1 - - - - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 140 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 431 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96385 22 289 20 282 24 292 96385 89251 12 319 15 275 18 323 89251 83731 9 335 13 295 16 326 83731 79151 12 335 12 324 13 320 79151 75209 16 309 15 332 13 329 75209 71742 15 307 14 316 13 359 71742 68622 16 308 14 303 13 306 68622 65783 21 290 19 282 17 263 65783 63162 28 275 24 272 18 262 63162 60605 40 259 34 257 28 259 60605 57923 40 257 41 249 43 250 57923 55134 42 261 43 250 49 248 55134 52457 47 257 49 251 55 244 52457 50025 50 256 50 250 56 252 50025 47831 58 264 58 257 71 254 47831 45837 67 259 62 253 74 246 45837 43997 61 258 64 251 68 252 43997 42286 63 264 70 257 77 254 42286 40696 68 264 75 255 85 251 40696 39222 62 257 69 250 79 247 39222 37857 54 252 62 252 69 247 37857 36551 53 261 60 258 62 248 36551 35228 53 265 59 258 59 247 35228 33858 54 260 56 255 58 247 33858 32446 52 258 52 255 57 250 32446 30976 50 259 50 257 53 252 30976 29438 49 260 48 253 50 252 29438 27832 48 259 46 248 46 250 27832 26160 48 258 46 248 44 245 26160 24422 48 259 46 251 45 240 24422 22620 48 261 46 253 46 238 22620 20746 46 261 45 254 45 239 20746 18796 42 260 43 254 42 238 18796 16812 38 259 40 254 38 241 16812 14905 34 258 36 253 34 246 14905 13170 31 259 33 255 30 250 13170 11627 29 260 30 257 27 253 11627 10251 27 260 27 260 23 255 10251 9024 25 259 25 263 20 256 9024 7930 23 259 22 265 17 255 7930 6957 20 258 19 267 15 252 6957 6097 16 257 15 266 12 248 6097 5335 12 253 11 262 9 241 5335 4651 8 243 7 259 7 227 4651 4045 6 233 5*253 5 225 4045 3538 4 227 4*244 3 237 3538 3148 2 231 4 241 1 280 3148 2879 2 235 5 237 2 348 2879 2716 2*235 5 236 3*001 2716 2622 2*238 4 234 3*004 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography