DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 72.2 - - 68.7 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 145 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2769 - - 4929 - - 1565 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 6595 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6306 - - 8466 - - 5102 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3679 - - 3652 - - 6019 - - 1123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 378 - - 128 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 146 - - 208 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 25 - - 30 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7106 - - -4602 - - -5442 - - -1492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13413 - - 13069 - - 10545 - - 4115 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13508 - - -8317 - - -8126 - - -5593 ODpotential blCL - - - 19814 - - 16783 - - 13228 - - 8216 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 85 - - 86 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 72.2 - - 68.7 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 23.6 - - 31.6 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 71.8 - - 69.1 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.2 - - 22.5 - - 30.5 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 145 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2769 - - 4929 - - 1565 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 40 - - 45 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96119 13 287 16 275 11 311 4 262 96119 89047 2 175 9 058 7 238 12 304 89047 83572 11 070 4 071 7 224 2 206 83572 79026 5 065 5 292 1 324 8 082 79026 75142 3 249 4 229 5 039 8 044 75142 71723 1 288 9 194 11 064 4 050 71723 68627 3 102 10 195 15 069 3 097 68627 65761 5 163 5 151 9 095 6 142 65761 63075 7 127 8 085 10 170 10 175 63075 60447 5 104 7 103 13 185 11 161 60447 57693 3 160 6 161 12 186 7 121 57693 54841 4 154 7 172 9 162 3 244 54841 52117 6 125 4 174 5 143 11 208 52117 49648 9 149 5 156 4 216 15 204 49648 47410 14 146 8 140 8 165 16 206 47410 45364 12 150 14 150 11 181 17 202 45364 43482 24 144 21 146 17 178 10 186 43482 41742 26 137 20 147 20 155 14 188 41742 40130 37 142 34 158 24 155 22 182 40130 38634 59 131 50 153 33 151 24 166 38634 37243 71 130 71 137 51 148 32 154 37243 35921 74 130 75 128 71 135 47 152 35921 34604 64 128 70 129 72 134 78 134 34604 33256 53 127 63 136 71 136 74 136 33256 31869 53 128 59 136 65 135 56 140 31869 30428 54 129 60 135 57 135 53 133 30428 28921 55 133 59 134 50 135 52 128 28921 27347 55 136 49 134 47 134 46 131 27347 25705 54 137 40 134 41 137 41 137 25705 24000 51 136 34 137 35 139 39 146 24000 22237 45 138 32 142 31 140 29 151 22237 20411 30 142 30 148 25 142 20 151 20411 18515 31 140 33 145 23 157 16 144 18515 16586 33 130 32 137 21 163 15 151 16586 14729 31 132 27 135 16 153 12 148 14729 13038 26 134 22 137 13 144 10 158 13038 11529 19 132 17 135 11 148 11 167 11529 10182 13 137 14 135 9 148 12 161 10182 8976 10 149 14*140 7 136 11 151 8976 7898 9 152 14*139 5 111 11 148 7898 6937 9*151 13 137 5 100 10 146 6937 6085 11*150 11 136 4 105 9 145 6085 5327 13 149 9 143 3*149 7 128 5327 4645 14 140 8 150 3*186 5 122 4645 4040 13 132 8 155 5 205 6 129 4040 3534 11 127 8 161 6 211 7 134 3534 3146 9 122 7 164 6 212 8 138 3146 2878 8 120 7 168 6 213 7 138 2878 2715 7 120 7 168 6 213 6*135 2715 2622 6 119 6 171 5 214 4*130 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography