DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 70.0 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 406 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1216 - - 2572 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4160 - - 5227 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4753 - - 6109 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1857 - - 1503 - - - - - 1076 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 300 - - 421 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 172 - - - - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 40 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3763 - - -2059 - - - - - -1404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8517 - - 8168 - - - - - 4028 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8670 - - -6606 - - - - - -7377 ODpotential blCL - - - 13423 - - 12715 - - - - - 10000 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 84 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 70.0 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 43.2 - - - - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 68.5 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 42.2 - - - - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 406 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1216 - - 2572 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 36 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97401 43 280 42 277 40 292 97401 90051 32 278 37 274 37 289 90051 84379 27 271 32 268 33 274 84379 79688 25 271 27 260 25 272 79688 75647 25 265 23 262 18 271 75647 72068 20 262 22 260 18 272 72068 68844 14 271 19 243 19 266 68844 65901 14 275 20 228 22 253 65901 63188 16 280 17 244 23 243 63188 60571 24 285 21 265 20 246 60571 57844 38 264 32 257 31 262 57844 55007 42 259 40 248 41 253 55007 52288 50 261 46 249 51 250 52288 49821 54 256 50 251 49 247 49821 47585 55 261 53 252 62 257 47585 45538 62 263 57 254 64 252 45538 43657 67 259 61 252 53 251 43657 41933 62 257 59 248 47 263 41933 40347 55 254 51 247 39 265 40347 38877 42 249 41 247 32 286 38877 37507 33 246 29 249 36 299 37507 36198 31 230 24 249 36 303 36198 34878 28 219 25 241 33 305 34878 33518 24 219 23 229 30 303 33518 32118 18 228 16 227 26 301 32118 30661 17 239 18 227 24 306 30661 29136 20 222 23 232 21 309 29136 27544 28 211 26 233 16 286 27544 25888 32 216 26 223 17 253 25888 24168 29 221 28 213 16 245 24168 22384 26 219 26 211 15 232 22384 20536 24 216 21 212 15 218 20536 18616 22 212 19 203 16 207 18616 16664 21 211 19 197 18 199 16664 14785 20 205 19 195 18 196 14785 13075 20 197 20 195 19 193 13075 11550 19 192 20 193 20 192 11550 10191 19 187 21 191 19 192 10191 8977 18 182 21 187 18 191 8977 7894 18 176 21 179 17 188 7894 6930 17 171 19*170 17 186 6930 6077 15 165 15*167 16 183 6077 5321 12*156 13 166 13 180 5321 4641 10*151 12 169 11 174 4641 4038 8 156 12 173 7 166 4038 3533 7 165 12 176 5 154 3533 3145 7 173 12 180 5 156 3145 2878 7 178 11 182 4 157 2878 2715 7 181 11 183 2*149 2715 2622 6 183 9 185 1*064 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography