DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 73.7 - - 70.2 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 136 - - -11 - - -127 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1455 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4051 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2624 - - 4992 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3973 - - 3179 - - 2321 - - 316 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 247 - - 21 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 076 - - 071 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -71 - - -37 - - -61 - - -49 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8931 - - -7403 - - -9162 - - -8857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11556 - - 12396 - - 11786 - - 11482 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16152 - - -13599 - - -15842 - - -16725 ODpotential blCL - - - 18776 - - 18591 - - 18466 - - 19349 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 60 - - 54 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 73.7 - - 70.2 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 28.7 - - 28.2 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 73.4 - - 71.4 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 27.5 - - 27.1 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 136 - - -11 - - -127 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1455 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95712 50 289 50 299 55 289 30 278 95712 88703 31 289 40 287 39 289 32 313 88703 83365 21 293 30 312 24 287 25 292 83365 78898 20 297 23 329 17 323 19 292 78898 75018 20 297 18 302 17 324 23 322 75018 71606 16 306 18 286 17 295 24 305 71606 68517 13 300 19 308 11 316 17 290 68517 65657 15 281 26 309 22 331 24 321 65657 63018 17 279 36 285 31 308 42 317 63018 60483 20 289 45 265 42 272 43 298 60483 57834 20 321 25 290 23 262 34 271 57834 55045 40 317 38 319 31 319 26 278 55045 52342 52 288 54 300 44 311 35 301 52342 49898 46 280 57 284 47 298 41 303 49898 47709 36 286 41 278 39 281 39 298 47709 45728 30 304 28 278 38 268 38 283 45728 43918 33 334 20 313 28 277 34 273 43918 42261 39 330 32 324 23 309 25 279 42261 40739 29 320 30 308 26 303 26 296 40739 39319 11 333 18 282 17 275 24 282 39319 37978 14 042 0 251 13 278 20 250 37978 36679 19 047 4 054 14 290 16 269 36679 35359 18 032 8 018 11 302 12 279 35359 33991 19 010 12 011 10 321 9 287 33991 32576 20 358 13 360 9 344 6 295 32576 31102 20 347 17 355 9 005 1 290 31102 29560 24 350 23 358 15 027 7 041 29560 27952 29 350 26 353 22 018 18 037 27952 26276 30 349 27 348 28 011 23 023 26276 24534 30 355 26 352 27 011 26 034 24534 22729 29 358 24 354 25 009 27 041 22729 20854 27 000 21 358 23 360 22 037 20854 18907 25 004 18 007 19 360 18 030 18907 16924 23 012 17 018 15 002 14 027 16924 15013 19 021 17 027 13 014 12 030 15013 13271 15 030 16 033 14 025 12 036 13271 11717 13 036 14 038 15 031 12 040 11717 10331 11 035 13 041 14 033 11 043 10331 9095 10 023 10 044 12 037 10 048 9095 7992 9 014 8 060 9 049 8 057 7992 7011 6 019 9 071 7 078 6 073 7011 6143 4 040 11 076 8 100 6 090 6143 5373 5 063 12*077 11 097 7 101 5373 4680 8 068 14*078 14 089 8 103 4680 4066 12 069 14 077 18 080 10 098 4066 3551 17 068 14 076 19 075 15 084 3551 3155 17 066 13 075 18 072 20 071 3155 2882 15 064 11 076 15 071 20 065 2882 2717 12*063 9 077 12*070 17*061 2717 2623 7*062 6 080 7*069 10*056 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography