DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 55.2 - - 56.0 - - 52.8 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 52 - - 63 - - -10 - - -63 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 829 - - 3637 - - 1065 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 5256 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4366 - - 7174 - - 4602 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2012 - - 2858 - - 1976 - - 2859 - - 845 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 152 - - 282 - - 87 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 22 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 304 - - 286 - - 360 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 29 - - 6 - - 52 - - -43 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1739 - - 2442 - - 483 - - -1564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2622 - - 2627 - - 4732 - - 4119 - - 4188 sfcLCL ODpotential -69 - - 615 - - -62 - - -1892 - - -14094 ODpotential blCL 2692 - - 3751 - - 7236 - - 6494 - - 16717 blCL maxRH 101 - - 99 - - 79 - - 85 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 190 - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 55.2 - - 56.0 - - 52.8 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.9 - - 52.4 - - 44.2 - - 43.8 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 55.5 - - 56.3 - - 54.2 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.9 - - 51.5 - - 42.9 - - 42.6 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 52 - - 63 - - -10 - - -63 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 829 - - 3637 - - 1065 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 96 - - 16 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97001 60 285 52 280 47 282 45 270 60 276 97001 89865 37 294 38 287 43 290 34 284 32 290 89865 84394 15 295 27 278 29 288 26 306 21 305 84394 79852 10 317 8 295 17 268 15 307 19 284 79852 75910 12 305 4 307 9 258 3 285 6 324 75910 72406 19 264 6 283 4 246 4 286 11 003 72406 69227 18 244 16 270 7 274 7 286 12 332 69227 66291 10 242 18 241 20 265 14 267 13 271 66291 63543 8 290 9 226 25 251 17 272 14 250 63543 60885 22 299 8 275 22 230 19 276 17 283 60885 58152 31 289 19 283 13 247 21 262 21 282 58152 55358 37 282 35 298 20 296 24 267 37 268 55358 52710 41 290 43 300 21 302 32 260 36 250 52710 50320 46 294 46 296 31 308 25 267 26 248 50320 48148 44 294 47 284 42 285 31 283 25 277 48148 46148 36 298 43 281 42 276 44 287 37 288 46148 44293 33 318 41 284 44 274 56 281 45 284 44293 42564 40 326 41 287 50 275 58 278 50 286 42564 40950 50 323 43 292 57 275 62 281 57 289 40950 39445 55 317 48 293 64 274 67 283 59 290 39445 38045 55 315 56 291 71 271 68 282 53 294 38045 36705 52 315 63 287 76 269 66 281 49 299 36705 35349 48 311 66 283 78 268 65 280 48 304 35349 33947 44 298 61 288 72 270 62 279 51 308 33947 32503 43 288 52 296 60 280 52 288 54 311 32503 31003 43 284 49 299 55 296 49 299 56 315 31003 29434 40 286 48 304 57 304 50 303 55 319 29434 27797 41 298 54 313 60 307 53 303 53 317 27797 26093 50 306 61 316 63 310 59 304 53 311 26093 24325 56 304 67 314 65 314 64 307 57 309 24325 22500 56 294 70 309 69 314 66 312 60 312 22500 20617 50 277 72 304 74 310 68 316 59 317 20617 18668 47 262 70 296 76 305 71 315 60 319 18668 16681 44 254 62 285 76 304 74 313 61 323 16681 14759 44 253 53 269 70 303 73 315 62 329 14759 13007 33 250 49 255 55 295 66 318 59 335 13007 11457 25 251 43 252 38 286 52 323 51 341 11457 10089 21 256 35 253 27 286 37 326 40 346 10089 8881 20 259 29 254 22 293 25 326 27 349 8881 7811 20 260 24 259 21*297 18 318 20 350 7811 6862 20 262 21 270 22*295 15 316 15 356 6862 6023 19 263 18 282 23 291 14 322 15 005 6023 5279 18 263 15 292 24 287 13 333 15 012 5279 4610 17 263 12*301 24 285 14*346 18 017 4610 4016 15 262 11*303 23 284 14*358 20 019 4016 3520 12 259 10 304 22 283 14 360 20 021 3520 3137 9 256 10 304 21 282 13 000 18 024 3137 2873 7 254 9 304 19 281 12 360 15 027 2873 2713 6*253 8 303 16 280 10 360 12*029 2713 2622 5*252 6 302 11 278 6 358 7*027 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography