DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 70.8 - - 68.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 509 - - 270 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 861 - - 1313 - - 726 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3971 - - 4328 - - 3766 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4398 - - 4850 - - 4263 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 578 - - 706 - - 690 - - 983 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 361 - - 240 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 232 - - 239 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 41 - - 31 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1567 - - -1843 - - -2147 - - -1340 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5965 - - 6693 - - 6410 - - 3964 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7488 - - -6767 - - -7833 - - -8819 ODpotential blCL - - - 11886 - - 11617 - - 12096 - - 11442 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 67 - - 63 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 70.8 - - 68.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 50.5 - - 49.8 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 68.7 - - 67.7 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 50.0 - - 49.4 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 509 - - 270 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 861 - - 1313 - - 726 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98123 8 154 3 221 4 267 7 299 98123 90691 7 164 8 241 4 290 3 316 90691 84960 8 170 7 240 2 234 2 278 84960 80194 4 138 4 236 1 191 1 233 80194 76105 6 112 2 242 2 324 1 090 76105 72525 5 089 3 098 2 355 3 016 72525 69320 5 011 5 063 3 017 6 014 69320 66379 6 311 4 300 9 332 10 003 66379 63643 7 269 10 245 13 292 13 327 63643 60990 10 254 11 244 15 264 15 291 60990 58222 13 255 11 259 15 257 16 273 58222 55345 13 264 11 269 13 262 14 267 55345 52599 11 266 10 273 10 269 9 277 52599 50131 9 261 5 280 6 292 8 314 50131 47925 2 286 3 336 5 336 11 356 47925 45922 6 033 5 048 5 012 11 005 45922 44086 9 011 9 046 8 024 11 359 44086 42395 7 347 8 040 7 360 10 355 42395 40834 5 352 9 030 8 352 11 358 40834 39385 7 042 10 045 7 358 10 354 39385 38025 17 054 15 056 7 028 8 008 38025 36713 19 042 17 045 8 043 7 027 36713 35386 19 043 16 049 7 051 11 032 35386 34012 16 051 14 061 6 044 16 034 34012 32596 12 056 10 072 8 024 19 034 32596 31121 9 067 6 051 13 021 20 036 31121 29578 4 033 9 012 17 022 21 041 29578 27966 4 358 12 005 18 022 22 045 27966 26286 7 354 12 006 16 024 20 048 26286 24539 8 001 10 005 12 021 15 043 24539 22730 11 020 8 003 10 015 10 027 22730 20853 15 034 8 024 8 019 8 007 20853 18902 17 043 10 047 9 040 7 003 18902 16915 18 043 14 043 14 044 9 019 16915 15002 12 065 15 033 17 033 15 020 15002 13260 15 091 10 052 14 035 18 018 13260 11707 16 088 8 081 10 040 15 016 11707 10321 16 078 9 087 7 039 10 008 10321 9084 16 065 9 078 6 030 7 337 9084 7979 17 054 9 060 6 015 9 311 7979 6996 16 042 9 037 8 358 11 318 6996 6124 14 030 8 015 9 344 13 329 6124 5352 10 017 4*356 7 332 13 332 5352 4661 5*003 2*289 5*320 11 330 4661 4050 3*298 5 237 3*279 6 324 4050 3540 4 255 7 230 5 241 2 323 3540 3149 5 244 8 227 6 235 1 208 3149 2880 6 239 8 225 6 231 2 201 2880 2716 6 237 8 225 6 231 2*197 2716 2622 5 236 7 225 6 229 2*199 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography