DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 71.7 - - 68.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 78 - - -5 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 397 - - 1926 - - 472 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4031 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3934 - - 5463 - - 4009 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3249 - - 2278 - - 3099 - - 164 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 69 - - 232 - - 47 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 67 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 095 - - 082 - - 058 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - 18 - - -20 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6388 - - -4115 - - -5232 - - -6020 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10322 - - 9579 - - 9241 - - 8644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15244 - - -11145 - - -12136 - - -15166 ODpotential blCL - - - 19178 - - 16608 - - 16145 - - 17789 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 49 - - 58 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 71.7 - - 68.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.6 - - 39.0 - - 37.6 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 71.6 - - 70.1 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 37.7 - - 36.4 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 78 - - -5 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 397 - - 1926 - - 472 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96279 30 093 21 098 18 078 38 073 96279 89319 38 080 33 100 29 089 40 082 89319 83933 37 095 31 091 31 085 25 089 83933 79429 32 114 23 102 26 091 19 083 79429 75493 21 119 16 113 20 094 14 080 75493 71984 14 085 15 116 13 092 5 086 71984 68808 13 052 13 094 10 116 1 191 68808 65892 10 055 10 054 5 107 5 034 65892 63197 7 084 5 005 5 342 5 034 63197 60594 6 033 7 008 9 325 9 038 60594 57878 11 326 9 343 12 342 14 357 57878 55065 16 302 15 339 13 348 13 332 55065 52401 10 277 15 310 20 325 15 349 52401 49996 7 193 11 318 14 302 24 337 49996 47809 24 108 7 169 8 296 16 324 47809 45801 22 095 23 129 10 177 11 308 45801 43947 16 064 17 113 18 122 8 148 43947 42227 7 161 18 052 18 079 18 092 42227 40636 29 154 9 148 13 052 12 075 40636 39162 46 141 32 155 11 185 5 073 39162 37790 46 129 43 145 24 154 12 122 37790 36480 45 127 47 137 42 145 27 129 36480 35163 44 128 45 133 40 136 32 121 35163 33802 42 129 39 128 34 115 34 101 33802 32399 40 127 36 122 36 114 34 104 32399 30939 38 123 36 120 36 118 32 109 30939 29410 38 120 36 120 35 123 30 116 29410 27811 39 122 36 124 34 129 30 122 27811 26143 40 130 36 132 34 141 29 131 26143 24406 41 139 40 146 32 150 26 143 24406 22606 35 147 33 152 22 137 20 138 22606 20737 24 142 20 130 19 109 20 112 20737 18794 19 132 17 107 21 092 21 100 18794 16815 20 124 17 118 19 103 19 109 16815 14911 20 116 18 126 15 111 16 107 14911 13178 20 113 19 123 15 110 14 099 13178 11635 18 110 18 116 14 105 12 095 11635 10262 14 113 14 111 13 103 13 093 10262 9038 10 119 10 110 12 105 14 091 9038 7947 7 123 7 105 12 100 13 092 7947 6977 5 125 7 098 12 096 10 093 6977 6117 4 127 6*098 12 093 8 098 6117 5355 4 148 3*100 12 084 8 105 5355 4668 4 169 2 096 12 074 8 109 4668 4058 4*155 1 065 11*068 9 103 4058 3546 4*134 0 335 9*063 11 091 3546 3153 5 098 1 300 7 059 11 082 3153 2881 5 089 1 282 5 055 11 074 2881 2716 5 078 1 275 4 052 10*064 2716 2622 3 062 1 266 2 051 7*056 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography