DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 81.4 - - 78.5 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 508 - - 285 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 397 - - 1043 - - 558 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3631 - - 4130 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3934 - - 4580 - - 4095 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 500 - - 1134 - - 894 - - 833 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 334 - - 224 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 202 - - 200 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 37 - - 32 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3038 - - -3904 - - -3597 - - -2007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6972 - - 8485 - - 7693 - - 4631 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9974 - - -10391 - - -10561 - - -10646 ODpotential blCL - - - 13908 - - 14971 - - 14656 - - 13270 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 48 - - 51 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 81.4 - - 78.5 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 53.2 - - 53.8 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 79.1 - - 77.2 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 52.9 - - 53.6 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 508 - - 285 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 397 - - 1043 - - 558 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98525 13 139 14 162 12 145 3 121 98525 91033 18 123 11 155 10 127 11 114 91033 85264 12 140 16 119 17 120 15 125 85264 80487 12 167 16 102 19 112 17 107 80487 76410 16 131 15 109 15 111 20 102 76410 72842 22 110 18 122 9 108 15 080 72842 69639 20 110 16 111 12 098 11 085 69639 66701 14 116 7 107 11 072 12 073 66701 63974 11 096 6 162 1 231 11 353 63974 61342 7 058 6 138 3 230 7 315 61342 58597 9 018 6 030 5 334 10 335 58597 55764 11 001 10 351 8 344 12 330 55764 53078 16 017 9 010 7 324 14 308 53078 50656 22 357 14 345 15 300 19 309 50656 48477 30 340 22 336 22 311 24 313 48477 46496 40 339 30 345 25 318 24 317 46496 44684 46 339 37 339 30 334 25 329 44684 43009 47 338 45 334 42 335 37 336 43009 41449 47 342 49 334 48 330 46 332 41449 39981 50 347 50 337 49 332 46 332 39981 38596 55 350 52 342 48 336 45 333 38596 37256 56 350 55 345 49 342 45 335 37256 35898 49 352 55 346 52 345 45 341 35898 34491 42 354 49 345 53 345 48 344 34491 33040 41 354 39 343 48 342 49 343 33040 31532 40 352 37 341 42 339 46 341 31532 29958 38 351 37 341 38 339 40 340 29958 28321 34 352 32 340 35 341 35 341 28321 26616 30 352 27 340 29 342 28 342 26616 24845 26 351 23 341 24 341 21 337 24845 23009 21 353 22 339 24 344 19 339 23009 21100 19 001 19 341 23 348 20 350 21100 19116 20 007 17 349 19 349 17 357 19116 17098 19 008 15 358 15 347 12 352 17098 15157 13 009 12 001 12 342 10 339 15157 13389 6 008 7 355 10 342 9 334 13389 11815 2 347 4 344 7 345 7 339 11815 10411 2 184 2 192 4 330 5 340 10411 9159 4 171 7 180 3 238 3 323 9159 8044 5 167 9 178 7 214 3 266 8044 7051 6 161 9 179 8 205 5 237 7051 6173 5 160 8 180 8 203 5 229 6173 5394 2 192 6 183 6 208 5 219 5394 4694 1 276 5*189 4*203 4 210 4694 4073 1*276 6*194 4*196 2 202 4073 3555 3*240 7 200 6 197 3 167 3555 3158 5 228 8 203 7 200 4 151 3158 2884 5 226 8 204 7 202 3 155 2884 2718 6 224 8 205 7 203 3*161 2718 2623 6 224 7 207 6 204 3*161 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography