DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 67.8 - - 63.3 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 538 - - 310 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1286 - - 2255 - - 1190 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4282 - - 5050 - - 4137 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4823 - - 5792 - - 4727 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 648 - - 929 - - 994 - - 1659 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 441 - - 296 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 234 - - 208 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 42 - - 34 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -768 - - -621 - - -368 - - -814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5592 - - 6413 - - 5095 - - 3437 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7087 - - -7249 - - -7699 - - -9976 ODpotential blCL - - - 11910 - - 13041 - - 12426 - - 12599 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 70 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 67.8 - - 63.3 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 48.5 - - 49.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 65.6 - - 62.0 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 48.0 - - 49.3 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 538 - - 310 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1286 - - 2255 - - 1190 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 29 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98104 13 309 8 000 8 292 14 337 98104 90691 3 276 13 301 10 334 6 346 90691 84968 3 350 13 299 11 316 4 332 84968 80205 6 002 10 290 11 299 9 305 80205 76107 5 038 7 287 10 338 7 356 76107 72488 4 342 10 305 13 350 6 352 72488 69232 6 304 12 258 14 293 9 306 69232 66257 11 299 9 241 14 264 3 354 66257 63459 15 288 17 277 21 279 10 337 63459 60710 21 286 25 279 30 280 32 293 60710 57875 26 283 25 282 28 287 35 285 57875 54996 33 281 29 289 25 303 20 305 54996 52257 33 285 32 299 30 314 25 319 52257 49773 40 292 41 300 36 304 36 308 49773 47552 36 299 40 297 40 307 37 317 47552 45569 51 327 37 319 56 336 63 339 45569 43793 58 324 65 341 78 343 73 343 43793 42167 55 320 68 332 73 338 73 351 42167 40648 48 319 52 327 61 331 68 347 40648 39216 44 334 51 354 53 337 62 342 39216 37860 67 356 70 004 56 351 60 338 37860 36548 76 359 69 359 57 352 59 332 36548 35215 69 351 63 353 55 346 58 327 35215 33836 55 343 61 350 53 335 55 324 33836 32414 45 335 59 348 51 324 52 323 32414 30935 41 327 55 346 50 320 50 322 30935 29388 42 322 49 342 49 322 48 321 29388 27776 42 322 43 336 46 324 46 319 27776 26096 42 323 39 330 45 327 46 315 26096 24351 39 320 38 326 44 326 45 310 24351 22543 35 316 38 325 43 323 43 309 22543 20664 32 311 38 325 43 326 41 314 20664 18713 32 307 33 321 39 330 39 322 18713 16728 29 310 28 310 31 328 34 324 16728 14820 24 312 27 308 27 322 29 319 14820 13087 19 310 23 306 28 316 28 313 13087 11546 15 307 19 302 28 312 29 311 11546 10175 11 304 15 298 26 309 29 310 10175 8955 9 301 14 304 24 315 28 313 8955 7870 9 303 15 319 22 321 28 317 7870 6907 9 313 13 330 18 324 26 321 6907 6056 10 326 6*324 12 320 22 321 6056 5303 8*331 4*284 6*311 16 321 5303 4627 4*313 4 263 3*237 8 318 4627 4028 4 268 7 230 5 206 1 325 4028 3528 5 247 8 226 7 205 3 149 3528 3142 6 238 9 224 7 206 5 161 3142 2877 6 233 9 222 8 206 5 164 2877 2715 6 232 9 221 7 207 4*166 2715 2622 6 231 8 221 7 206 4*167 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography