DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 86.1 - - - - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 585 - - - - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 1848 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3868 - - 4751 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4220 - - 5385 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 820 - - 1246 - - - - - 1392 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 421 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 182 - - - - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 42 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2769 - - -3182 - - - - - -2675 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6990 - - 8568 - - - - - 5299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7966 - - -6412 - - - - - -9092 ODpotential blCL - - - 12186 - - 11797 - - - - - 11716 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 94 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 86.1 - - - - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 57.4 - - - - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 83.6 - - - - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 57.3 - - - - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 585 - - - - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 1848 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 75 - - - - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99315 49 116 40 120 32 099 99315 91833 46 107 40 118 27 110 91833 86082 34 097 41 110 27 111 86082 81291 27 098 36 107 30 102 81291 77157 23 108 28 105 27 099 77157 73516 24 126 22 107 24 102 73516 70241 27 113 19 117 22 100 70241 67247 25 098 20 129 15 093 67247 64479 15 111 17 123 9 109 64479 61809 19 150 18 140 5 060 61809 59036 24 144 17 162 17 165 59036 56186 20 153 23 167 24 171 56186 53504 25 179 26 182 27 186 53504 51110 20 187 27 188 29 189 51110 48962 24 221 25 195 33 186 48962 47000 30 227 25 210 31 189 47000 45184 32 221 30 219 28 201 45184 43491 34 220 33 221 28 215 43491 41899 34 218 34 223 30 222 41899 40395 33 225 34 223 31 227 40395 38970 32 230 35 219 32 229 38970 37589 33 227 37 215 31 225 37589 36191 32 220 37 210 32 221 36191 34751 35 211 35 207 34 216 34751 33270 37 212 32 207 31 212 33270 31735 32 215 31 208 29 209 31735 30136 31 212 30 214 27 209 30136 28474 29 213 27 212 23 213 28474 26743 25 205 26 200 21 211 26743 24948 24 194 23 198 21 211 24948 23092 20 196 17 192 19 207 23092 21172 15 194 15 185 18 191 21172 19182 15 183 15 175 15 178 19182 17158 15 179 13 177 12 169 17158 15213 15 186 12 190 9 167 15213 13443 14 197 11 196 6 175 13443 11864 9 202 10 194 6 190 11864 10455 6 184 9 185 8 194 10455 9196 7 173 9 173 10 193 9196 8073 8 158 11 166 12 193 8073 7074 9 147 13 165 13 194 7074 6190 11 146 12 162 13 191 6190 5408 12 146 11*167 12 180 5408 4706 11*149 10*172 10 160 4706 4083 10*155 10 177 10 150 4083 3563 10 163 11 182 10 154 3563 3163 10 170 11 186 10 154 3163 2887 10 176 11 189 9 156 2887 2719 9 178 10 190 8*157 2719 2623 8 180 9 192 5*157 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography