DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 86.9 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 514 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 39 - - 1084 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4158 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3576 - - 4621 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 559 - - 710 - - - - - 1135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 337 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 216 - - - - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 34 - - - - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3429 - - -4756 - - - - - -3764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7006 - - 9378 - - - - - 6389 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9694 - - -8906 - - - - - -10527 ODpotential blCL - - - 13270 - - 13527 - - - - - 13152 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 91 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 86.9 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.7 - - 55.0 - - - - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 84.6 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 54.8 - - - - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 514 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 39 - - 1084 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 62 - - - - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99199 47 093 47 113 32 105 99199 91652 46 113 33 111 30 095 91652 85859 39 115 29 106 30 098 85859 81089 30 097 32 100 34 106 81089 76993 27 086 27 096 33 099 76993 73385 25 105 20 104 28 091 73385 70137 30 121 18 117 26 096 70137 67170 29 113 20 129 21 096 67170 64444 17 111 18 123 12 104 64444 61830 8 120 15 129 12 115 61830 59114 11 150 16 153 13 124 59114 56306 19 167 18 165 10 164 56306 53645 28 169 19 174 16 183 53645 51262 23 163 26 168 22 183 51262 49125 18 183 28 164 26 166 49125 47171 22 195 24 172 21 214 47171 45361 24 198 28 193 31 219 45361 43672 28 202 33 199 33 206 43672 42086 36 204 33 198 29 194 42086 40588 39 206 31 195 30 187 40588 39169 39 209 30 193 31 181 39169 37793 37 209 30 196 27 181 37793 36393 35 211 32 199 20 185 36393 34945 33 212 33 205 17 193 34945 33453 31 206 30 209 19 206 33453 31906 30 197 25 211 21 208 31906 30293 33 187 25 191 18 201 30293 28613 31 181 25 181 18 192 28613 26869 27 183 24 182 21 188 26869 25061 26 184 22 178 23 198 25061 23192 17 206 20 171 16 212 23192 21262 11 167 23 179 12 217 21262 19265 12 125 20 181 11 217 19265 17238 9 097 14 149 7 248 17238 15289 8 093 10 153 9 290 15289 13515 5 123 15 196 8 294 13515 11931 7 155 18 217 5 294 11931 10517 11 171 18 233 2 277 10517 9252 17 187 17 245 2 241 9252 8122 16 199 13 257 3 234 8122 7117 11 209 10 272 3 241 7117 6226 6 212 7 285 3 257 6226 5436 4 211 5 287 4 267 5436 4727 3 216 3*253 4 279 4727 4098 1*229 3*224 3 278 4098 3572 0*281 5 216 1 149 3572 3168 1 206 6 214 3 155 3168 2890 2 208 7 214 4 173 2890 2720 2 210 7 214 4*178 2720 2624 2 209 6 214 3*181 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography