DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 60.3 - - 59.2 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -19 - - 54 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3848 - - 1770 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 5326 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 7385 - - 5307 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5709 - - 3408 - - 3982 - - 2142 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 279 - - 111 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 14 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 055 - - 341 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -90 - - 27 - - 9 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4478 - - 125 - - -699 - - -1398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7101 - - 7260 - - 6006 - - 4021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8949 - - -3824 - - -4871 - - -6053 ODpotential blCL - - - 11572 - - 11209 - - 10178 - - 8676 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 44 - - 47 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 60.3 - - 59.2 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 37.6 - - 42.1 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 60.5 - - 60.3 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 36.5 - - 40.8 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -19 - - 54 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3848 - - 1770 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96368 25 104 18 082 24 087 21 086 96368 89303 24 101 24 104 20 092 21 082 89303 83833 24 105 19 103 21 104 14 098 83833 79267 20 105 17 097 19 103 15 116 79267 75308 13 109 9 111 12 108 10 099 75308 71788 6 122 5 160 3 106 4 130 71788 68606 3 139 3 212 2 284 4 186 68606 65679 9 286 6 252 8 234 9 241 65679 62966 14 260 11 279 13 274 17 255 62966 60337 17 278 17 284 20 284 14 253 60337 57595 20 282 20 277 24 263 28 290 57595 54762 22 291 19 281 32 288 36 284 54762 52053 29 300 40 292 40 285 34 289 52053 49588 32 292 40 291 32 284 42 301 49588 47355 30 316 29 296 41 305 55 302 47355 45324 39 315 28 315 60 305 60 296 45324 43466 35 316 41 321 68 299 60 291 43466 41751 40 327 55 319 65 292 58 292 41751 40159 41 331 58 320 43 302 51 296 40159 38670 43 330 54 331 27 319 45 312 38670 37280 43 342 57 357 46 345 58 327 37280 35960 49 354 65 000 62 343 69 328 35960 34641 59 002 74 358 66 342 65 329 34641 33288 65 005 78 359 67 346 54 340 33288 31895 61 006 73 005 64 354 49 352 31895 30446 56 013 67 014 60 003 46 358 30446 28930 53 014 63 020 47 011 42 006 28930 27348 47 011 56 015 36 012 33 007 27348 25701 44 010 53 005 35 002 28 353 25701 23989 44 011 50 004 45 355 35 341 23989 22216 43 010 45 006 49 357 40 345 22216 20377 40 010 44 008 45 007 40 355 20377 18468 32 010 42 011 37 014 37 001 18468 16526 22 002 36 017 32 013 32 003 16526 14656 16 355 26 020 28 012 28 005 14656 12955 12 355 16 013 25 013 24 009 12955 11445 10 002 13 004 20 014 20 015 11445 10101 9 008 10 008 16 015 15 020 10101 8904 6 019 7 023 13 020 11 025 8904 7836 4 059 5*043 12 018 9 031 7836 6887 4 101 6*053 11 014 7 034 6887 6045 6 101 6 056 10*008 6 033 6045 5298 7 083 5 053 8*002 6 026 5298 4626 10 069 4 053 7 354 5 020 4626 4028 15 062 2 055 5 341 5 011 4028 3527 19 060 2 059 3 322 4 004 3527 3142 19 060 1 067 3 310 4 002 3142 2876 16 060 1 077 3 301 3 006 2876 2714 14*059 0 097 2 292 2*022 2714 2622 8*056 0 146 2 286 1*033 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography