DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.9 - - 89.4 - - 93.4 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 432 - - 568 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 353 - - 1087 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 2607 - - 4177 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2625 - - 3890 - - 4624 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 698 - - 864 - - 1434 - - - - - 835 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 219 - - 349 - - - - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 268 - - 217 - - - - - 223 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 24 - - 38 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7818 - - -6887 - - -6543 - - - - - -4463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10444 - - 10777 - - 11168 - - - - - 7088 sfcLCL ODpotential -17575 - - -12656 - - -11723 - - - - - -11812 ODpotential blCL 20200 - - 16546 - - 16347 - - - - - 14437 blCL maxRH 27 - - 32 - - 38 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.9 - - 89.4 - - 93.4 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.2 - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - - - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.3 - - 87.3 - - 90.7 - - - - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.1 - - 51.4 - - 53.6 - - - - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 432 - - 568 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 353 - - 1087 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99419 57 097 38 116 38 114 43 091 99419 91927 46 107 46 106 42 115 35 100 91927 86155 33 110 39 103 40 110 34 104 86155 81360 28 113 30 106 36 104 35 098 81360 77238 32 111 26 121 29 094 32 101 77238 73607 31 112 31 122 22 108 30 101 73607 70329 30 113 28 117 27 127 26 092 70329 67327 28 103 27 122 28 121 19 091 67327 64557 20 106 27 109 22 113 15 110 64557 61903 13 128 21 092 22 115 17 110 61903 59181 9 139 13 101 17 128 12 114 59181 56399 10 136 16 161 10 170 4 058 56399 53771 11 154 22 165 17 188 4 234 53771 51407 11 182 18 171 27 173 16 203 51407 49279 14 216 13 202 20 170 17 208 49279 47331 19 227 16 225 12 205 18 235 47331 45525 23 220 21 227 18 232 22 232 45525 43832 25 217 22 226 21 231 24 229 43832 42239 24 219 20 230 22 225 25 227 42239 40734 19 213 17 232 20 226 22 231 40734 39311 18 206 12 214 15 224 15 231 39311 37935 15 211 11 191 12 205 15 206 37935 36538 12 199 11 158 13 179 16 200 36538 35093 9 168 20 127 16 145 16 196 35093 33607 14 122 25 107 25 124 15 174 33607 32066 20 103 24 102 25 111 17 151 32066 30458 18 091 22 096 23 105 19 138 30458 28781 14 086 19 088 21 100 23 128 28781 27036 11 069 17 087 18 098 23 120 27036 25225 12 058 15 087 17 100 21 114 25225 23352 14 073 14 100 18 113 19 111 23352 21412 12 084 14 111 18 124 15 113 21412 19398 6 103 12 124 14 125 10 116 19398 17352 7 207 7 166 8 141 7 123 17352 15386 11 222 9 215 4 207 7 139 15386 13597 12 225 10 229 6 239 8 147 13597 12003 13 225 11 221 7 228 7 154 12003 10579 12 225 13 209 9 204 7 166 10579 9306 9 231 11 202 10 193 8 185 9306 8168 7 246 8 189 8 179 9 201 8168 7156 6 264 5 170 6 160 8 211 7156 6258 5 278 3 148 5 158 7 220 6258 5462 7 302 1 054 3 190 5 235 5462 4747 9 318 4 339 4*222 4 254 4747 4112 11 327 5*333 4*223 4 272 4112 3582 11 332 4*298 7 217 4 293 3582 3173 10 335 5 271 8 216 2 305 3173 2892 7 335 5 261 8 216 1 242 2892 2721 5*336 6 255 8 216 1*227 2721 2624 3*336 5 251 7 216 1*221 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography