DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 54.4 - - 59.2 - - 54.1 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 61 - - 147 - - 256 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 615 - - 2588 - - 4210 - - 1205 - - 420 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 4868 - - 6312 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 4152 - - 6125 - - 7747 - - 4742 - - 3957 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2873 - - 2613 - - 2609 - - 2543 - - 2496 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 301 - - 424 - - 197 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 307 - - 270 - - 219 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 14 - - 52 - - 24 - - 25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 130 - - 1295 - - 1404 - - 1168 - - -358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4022 - - 4830 - - 6343 - - 3574 - - 4315 sfcLCL ODpotential -1433 - - 714 - - 802 - - 59 - - -2174 ODpotential blCL 5585 - - 5411 - - 6945 - - 4683 - - 6131 blCL maxRH 92 - - 96 - - 92 - - 99 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 80 - - 70 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 54.4 - - 59.2 - - 54.1 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 42.3 - - 40.4 - - 47.4 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 54.0 - - 58.4 - - 54.1 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.9 - - 41.8 - - 39.8 - - 46.3 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 61 - - 147 - - 256 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 615 - - 2588 - - 4210 - - 1205 - - 420 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 84 - - 70 - - 96 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98071 10 280 11 244 19 265 23 258 13 277 98071 90545 18 261 9 240 16 248 22 272 14 268 90545 84755 15 283 15 269 12 261 16 267 14 275 84755 79984 15 317 14 264 11 278 13 282 13 285 79984 75914 21 309 6 279 9 277 15 308 11 282 75914 72344 23 304 11 313 8 241 16 305 10 275 72344 69110 20 290 23 298 12 266 20 284 14 291 69110 66131 23 256 26 273 20 277 25 275 21 288 66131 63361 22 258 29 270 28 278 29 274 25 290 63361 60659 30 265 38 267 35 269 32 269 29 276 60659 57820 38 262 40 262 34 263 30 267 31 264 57820 54868 40 259 35 262 33 260 32 268 32 264 54868 52046 38 263 34 265 34 265 34 268 32 268 52046 49506 39 266 37 265 37 266 34 274 32 281 49506 47235 40 262 35 260 35 261 32 270 31 284 47235 45176 34 257 28 260 28 275 26 273 25 294 45176 43291 30 263 29 277 30 281 27 283 20 290 43291 41548 36 269 34 280 28 283 23 282 16 279 41548 39925 40 266 34 274 25 294 18 298 14 336 39925 38414 40 261 32 274 25 306 14 308 15 330 38414 37005 36 258 30 273 25 305 16 330 16 009 37005 35657 31 258 26 269 23 300 19 341 22 021 35657 34303 27 263 18 271 14 312 18 339 19 015 34303 32917 25 266 9 327 15 357 15 345 19 038 32917 31507 19 270 15 348 16 011 13 013 36 068 31507 30059 13 283 11 015 19 022 17 022 57 079 30059 28557 8 301 13 025 24 019 14 017 61 081 28557 26999 6 273 11 353 18 008 8 031 47 081 26999 25385 6 265 11 353 11 357 7 050 35 080 25385 23715 6 291 11 003 9 346 7 045 26 073 23715 21984 6 305 10 357 9 336 6 051 21 063 21984 20186 5 315 9 336 9 335 6 056 18 054 20186 18315 5 319 9 320 9 336 5 044 15 055 18315 16406 5 316 9 314 10 338 5 008 13 058 16406 14562 7 315 9 315 11 336 8 005 12 058 14562 12880 9 318 9 316 11 330 13 016 14 064 12880 11380 9 317 10 322 11 351 13 025 15 065 11380 10044 9 318 10 340 10 001 11 018 15 055 10044 8852 11 311 11 334 9 356 11 010 14 035 8852 7791 12 307 11 331 7*341 10 350 14 011 7791 6849 13 309 11*327 7*313 8 325 12 353 6849 6015 13 315 10*321 7 294 7 301 9 335 6015 5275 13 320 10 312 8 276 6*274 7 310 5275 4609 13*323 10 308 8 266 5*241 6 291 4609 4018 11*322 10 305 8 260 5 227 6*278 4018 3522 8 321 10 301 9 255 5 214 5*266 3522 3139 6 316 9 299 9 251 6 211 5 256 3139 2875 5 309 9 296 9 250 5 209 5 247 2875 2714 4 305 8 294 8 248 5 209 3 240 2714 2621 4 302 6 291 7 246 5 208 3 238 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography