DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.6 - - 65.2 - - 71.0 - - 67.3 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -252 - - -38 - - 83 - - -24 - - -180 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 121 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3658 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 137 - - 1038 - - 1363 - - 1510 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 27 - - 94 - - 18 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 18 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 062 - - 069 - - 064 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -62 - - -94 - - -69 - - -58 - - -59 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6601 - - -9528 - - -9723 - - -9604 - - -10909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9225 - - 12151 - - 13382 - - 12228 - - 13532 sfcLCL ODpotential -15581 - - -17126 - - -16725 - - -16832 - - -19310 ODpotential blCL 18204 - - 19749 - - 20383 - - 19455 - - 21933 blCL maxRH 27 - - 29 - - 27 - - 29 - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.6 - - 65.2 - - 71.0 - - 67.3 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.3 - - 21.6 - - 21.6 - - 23.4 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.1 - - 67.4 - - 71.1 - - 69.5 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 20.5 - - 20.5 - - 22.2 - - 11.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -252 - - -38 - - 83 - - -24 - - -180 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 121 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96670 42 093 28 094 27 090 38 073 39 090 96670 89578 40 088 35 098 28 095 33 086 44 088 89578 84099 40 078 27 097 25 098 30 091 32 076 84099 79512 22 063 22 091 19 088 23 086 26 077 79512 75527 12 036 19 054 18 069 16 087 25 068 75527 71971 12 033 14 043 14 042 11 104 21 050 71971 68738 11 030 12 037 8 048 10 075 13 038 68738 65773 8 014 12 357 13 356 10 026 7 040 65773 63050 9 351 19 333 21 357 21 017 13 028 63050 60453 13 333 24 348 26 001 24 359 22 019 60453 57765 20 328 25 349 25 349 23 341 25 355 57765 54973 26 339 23 339 26 332 24 333 28 335 54973 52298 31 333 29 339 34 332 34 336 35 333 52298 49881 30 311 33 334 38 324 43 332 40 331 49881 47710 25 301 30 329 34 320 43 325 44 327 47710 45731 18 321 29 330 31 324 40 318 45 322 45731 43904 27 347 27 329 31 326 38 314 44 318 43904 42207 34 339 29 334 32 329 37 311 42 316 42207 40627 33 316 30 329 33 330 35 315 40 318 40627 39155 20 308 28 308 33 324 34 319 38 318 39155 37779 10 309 19 305 29 309 35 311 40 313 37779 36463 8 349 12 299 25 297 38 302 45 307 36463 35136 10 011 9 322 20 297 41 300 43 302 35136 33764 9 040 10 333 16 319 34 297 39 303 33764 32350 7 066 8 308 15 313 21 301 26 303 32350 30884 8 080 5 276 14 296 18 303 19 314 30884 29355 8 085 4 343 12 326 17 313 18 330 29355 27761 8 091 5 027 10 344 16 334 18 356 27761 26103 9 074 4 037 7 338 16 353 16 028 26103 24380 12 068 7 047 8 014 14 018 18 049 24380 22593 9 096 8 067 9 035 14 039 18 058 22593 20735 5 151 4 097 6 025 12 036 15 069 20735 18801 4 108 5 079 6 037 9 034 11 080 18801 16829 6 067 8 060 9 055 7 058 10 077 16829 14925 8 059 10 075 9 059 11 054 14 050 14925 13193 11 073 11 086 9 052 16 043 18 039 13193 11653 17 084 14 092 10 065 15 046 16 043 11653 10282 20 088 15 098 13 088 14 072 14 060 10282 9060 18 090 15 103 12 109 12 091 12 079 9060 7969 17 093 15 104 10 122 11 107 10 093 7969 6997 16 096 16 103 9 121 12 113 10 098 6997 6134 16 098 16 096 10 107 14 105 11 091 6134 5368 16 098 17 085 13 092 18 092 11 085 5368 4678 17 093 20 074 17 080 23 081 14 079 4678 4064 20 084 26 068 22*073 26 074 15 071 4064 3550 26 074 32 065 22*071 25 070 23 064 3550 3154 29 069 32 064 20 069 20 068 26 063 3154 2882 26 066 26 064 17 068 14 065 24 061 2882 2716 20*062 20*063 14 068 10*064 19*057 2716 2622 12*056 11*060 9 068 5*062 11*052 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography