DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 88.7 - - 85.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 396 - - 111 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 2206 - - 1379 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3756 - - 4936 - - 2608 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4196 - - 5743 - - 4916 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4046 - - 6454 - - 4113 - - 1366 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 393 - - 220 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 238 - - 267 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 37 - - 31 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6806 - - -5177 - - -5816 - - -5324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11002 - - 10921 - - 10733 - - 7949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10069 - - -7604 - - -8595 - - -9789 ODpotential blCL - - - 14265 - - 13347 - - 13511 - - 12414 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 53 - - 49 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 88.7 - - 85.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 49.8 - - 47.6 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 86.9 - - 85.3 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 47.5 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 396 - - 111 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 2206 - - 1379 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97853 16 294 9 284 9 270 14 304 97853 90564 10 253 12 299 8 336 7 318 90564 84923 6 250 12 324 9 345 6 355 84923 80240 5 043 9 027 9 010 9 056 80240 76218 10 092 7 071 7 016 14 040 76218 72693 17 082 8 106 6 055 13 042 72693 69539 16 065 10 080 9 055 15 043 69539 66654 15 072 7 068 11 037 14 038 66654 63974 19 058 11 099 5 037 10 015 63974 61377 18 032 15 060 7 056 5 336 61377 58682 17 352 16 000 13 004 11 339 58682 55898 21 336 20 334 18 338 19 326 55898 53243 26 320 26 319 27 320 28 318 53243 50848 29 323 29 316 32 315 31 313 50848 48691 35 326 31 319 32 307 34 311 48691 46719 40 322 33 317 32 306 35 308 46719 44893 43 316 38 314 33 310 34 307 44893 43189 42 312 39 311 34 308 35 300 43189 41592 42 311 38 311 31 307 33 293 41592 40090 42 310 38 311 30 305 30 291 40090 38676 39 308 36 307 31 302 31 293 38676 37312 37 308 33 304 32 297 32 294 37312 35932 36 306 32 300 31 293 32 294 35932 34508 35 299 32 294 30 292 31 293 34508 33047 34 296 32 293 30 293 31 292 33047 31534 31 297 29 296 29 296 29 290 31534 29951 26 297 25 293 26 294 26 289 29951 28300 21 299 22 287 23 290 23 289 28300 26581 19 292 19 282 20 292 22 292 26581 24802 17 288 15 285 17 297 19 294 24802 22964 15 293 13 293 13 304 14 294 22964 21057 14 302 11 305 11 307 10 297 21057 19075 11 309 8 307 8 298 7 283 19075 17062 3 289 3 255 5 248 4 283 17062 15136 8 158 9 156 10 161 11 150 15136 13393 14 149 13 139 16 135 16 135 13393 11838 15 147 12 128 13 127 14 125 11838 10449 12 145 11 129 11 144 12 146 10449 9204 9 145 10 138 9 172 9 169 9204 8091 7 153 8 153 7 205 5 198 8091 7098 4 173 6 180 6 248 4 236 7098 6216 3 186 5*217 7 282 4 269 6216 5432 1 211 5*239 8*290 6 285 5432 4726 2*259 6 244 8*288 7 294 4726 4099 3*258 6 242 8 280 8 300 4099 3574 4 248 7 237 8 263 8 307 3574 3169 5 238 8 234 8 256 7 312 3169 2890 6 235 8 232 7 252 5 324 2890 2721 6 232 8 231 7 250 4*335 2721 2624 5 232 7 230 6 249 3*350 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography