DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 68.1 - - 72.5 - - 72.4 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 81 - - 212 - - 57 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1693 - - 730 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 4408 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 5230 - - 4267 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1337 - - 2227 - - 1085 - - 2157 - - 1096 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 49 - - 301 - - 152 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 279 - - 292 - - 309 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 12 - - 24 - - 22 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6397 - - -4531 - - -2552 - - -3541 - - -2945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9020 - - 7155 - - 7783 - - 7809 - - 5569 sfcLCL ODpotential -14669 - - -11001 - - -7915 - - -9036 - - -11353 ODpotential blCL 17292 - - 13625 - - 13145 - - 13303 - - 13977 blCL maxRH 93 - - 64 - - 47 - - 41 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 68.1 - - 72.5 - - 72.4 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 46.0 - - 47.5 - - 47.3 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.4 - - 68.2 - - 71.8 - - 72.7 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 44.8 - - 46.2 - - 46.1 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 81 - - 212 - - 57 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1693 - - 730 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96386 19 308 5 027 19 234 25 260 25 290 96386 89190 9 047 8 062 6 270 8 300 5 025 89190 83658 10 043 6 052 7 332 4 061 12 040 83658 79080 6 052 7 054 7 340 6 357 13 034 79080 75149 11 353 11 359 13 339 6 346 9 352 75149 71705 19 346 15 350 26 328 25 332 21 345 71705 68610 28 329 21 331 29 328 28 339 34 348 68610 65769 30 324 25 316 31 320 29 335 37 342 65769 63121 29 324 27 317 32 309 29 322 38 331 63121 60551 29 316 30 316 31 303 30 314 39 320 60551 57870 30 302 34 312 34 303 35 307 36 314 57870 55079 35 298 39 305 38 301 41 302 36 315 55079 52402 39 297 40 297 41 301 48 301 41 314 52402 49979 41 295 41 296 43 301 50 298 43 307 49979 47785 40 295 42 296 44 295 50 294 43 305 47785 45779 37 294 43 297 44 291 52 296 48 315 45779 43955 37 290 47 295 47 293 50 301 52 315 43955 42293 44 278 50 288 51 292 45 304 49 317 42293 40753 54 273 54 283 54 291 43 306 47 325 40753 39315 61 267 56 281 57 288 44 306 41 329 39315 37968 60 265 55 281 56 284 45 306 31 340 37968 36669 58 267 54 284 57 285 42 306 28 358 36669 35351 60 271 54 286 55 287 39 308 28 004 35351 33985 60 277 54 287 50 289 36 312 27 006 33985 32572 54 278 51 285 49 295 31 334 27 006 32572 31101 52 274 50 283 48 296 37 009 31 004 31101 29562 51 272 49 287 46 294 43 017 34 360 29562 27957 50 275 44 290 45 294 37 006 38 353 27957 26284 47 281 44 285 43 299 33 350 42 348 26284 24545 43 284 44 283 37 309 34 345 43 349 24545 22742 37 283 41 285 33 319 38 350 44 353 22742 20870 35 284 37 287 29 319 38 358 42 357 20870 18922 32 287 32 287 27 312 31 357 39 001 18922 16936 24 289 27 293 24 305 26 340 32 003 16936 15022 18 294 23 300 23 305 26 328 26 001 15022 13278 16 303 20 307 22 314 26 326 21 355 13278 11723 18 311 19 314 22 325 25 333 19 351 11723 10337 19 314 19 319 23 334 25 342 16 350 10337 9098 20 314 19 322 23 343 25 350 15 353 9098 7992 19 310 17 323 23 349 26 351 17 001 7992 7009 17 306 15 321 21 350 25 349 21 005 7009 6139 15 304 13 318 18 348 23 344 24 005 6139 5367 12 302 12 318 12*341 20 339 24 003 5367 4675 10 305 12 322 9*329 17*332 22 359 4675 4062 8 311 10 328 6 306 13*324 17 355 4062 3549 7 321 6 329 6 285 11 313 11 351 3549 3154 5 330 3 299 6 274 9 304 7 348 3154 2883 5 347 3 278 6 267 8 298 4 348 2883 2717 4*355 3*269 6 263 7 293 2*329 2717 2623 3*012 3*261 5 259 6 287 1*246 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography