DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1855z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.4 - - 72.6 - - 77.4 - - 73.0 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 391 - - 486 - - 189 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 494 - - 967 - - 318 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2581 - - 3683 - - 4065 - - 2582 - - 2581 Hcrit BL Top 2599 - - 4031 - - 4504 - - 3855 - - 2599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 730 - - 540 - - 899 - - 688 - - 771 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 237 - - 319 - - 161 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 229 - - 227 - - 255 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 29 - - 40 - - 24 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2669 - - -3055 - - -3659 - - -3147 - - -1526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5268 - - 7086 - - 8163 - - 7002 - - 4125 sfcLCL ODpotential -12148 - - -9996 - - -9868 - - -9782 - - -10564 ODpotential blCL 14747 - - 14027 - - 14372 - - 13637 - - 13163 blCL maxRH 56 - - 55 - - 50 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.4 - - 72.6 - - 77.4 - - 73.0 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.4 - - 50.6 - - 50.5 - - 51.3 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.1 - - 71.4 - - 75.5 - - 72.3 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.5 - - 51.3 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 391 - - 486 - - 189 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 494 - - 967 - - 318 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98250 4 099 12 075 11 143 6 118 6 102 98250 90861 6 088 9 106 10 147 4 193 6 095 90861 85151 8 073 6 148 4 161 3 126 3 107 85151 80413 4 020 6 090 2 143 2 096 4 078 80413 76337 1 046 5 020 4 039 4 098 4 033 76337 72747 4 038 3 032 8 352 5 052 4 023 72747 69520 3 006 4 022 7 003 8 037 5 020 69520 66577 7 033 3 018 4 333 6 010 6 020 66577 63863 9 025 3 072 4 242 6 307 7 002 63863 61237 6 347 3 040 6 211 8 250 8 339 61237 58494 9 264 4 285 8 258 13 262 12 277 58494 55655 14 264 13 248 18 253 20 258 17 256 55655 52950 23 277 20 258 20 247 22 266 23 267 52950 50509 34 272 32 268 33 262 40 272 34 271 50509 48316 48 261 47 258 45 255 50 265 45 269 48316 46326 55 254 52 253 50 253 53 261 52 264 46326 44503 57 253 51 255 50 258 53 267 53 266 44503 42819 56 255 53 263 57 264 56 271 56 271 42819 41251 55 258 58 264 60 266 61 272 60 275 41251 39780 57 259 57 262 59 265 65 271 63 277 39780 38394 54 260 55 262 54 264 66 270 65 278 38394 37057 51 263 58 265 51 267 65 271 66 279 37057 35703 48 264 58 266 51 268 64 274 66 279 35703 34304 45 261 53 267 50 268 62 277 64 278 34304 32862 39 261 48 268 49 264 56 277 60 276 32862 31362 36 259 43 268 45 265 50 273 56 278 31362 29795 34 259 34 263 37 263 45 269 48 279 29795 28163 30 259 30 257 33 257 37 267 40 278 28163 26463 28 263 28 260 30 255 31 263 35 281 26463 24699 26 266 25 263 28 261 28 264 28 278 24699 22868 26 266 24 265 23 270 25 271 23 278 22868 20967 24 264 22 263 20 271 20 277 19 280 20967 18992 21 260 20 261 16 267 15 278 14 277 18992 16983 15 259 17 256 13 263 13 277 10 270 16983 15050 8 268 11 257 10 264 10 282 6 270 15050 13292 4 229 5 256 6 265 6 284 3 262 13292 11728 5 185 3 212 2 226 2 252 2 180 11728 10336 10 187 3 188 4 156 3 153 4 145 10336 9094 12 194 2 189 6 150 6 149 4 136 9094 7986 9 202 1 204 7 155 7 154 4 141 7986 7000 5 217 1 283 7 162 7 166 3 168 7000 6127 3 239 1 358 6 161 5 177 2 192 6127 5352 2 305 3 351 4 150 2 187 1 237 5352 4656 3 333 3 351 2*149 1 278 2 345 4656 4039 4 335 3*347 4*224 3*312 4 332 4039 3524 4 334 3*245 7 228 4*269 4 333 3524 3129 4 332 5 229 8 227 5 257 4 344 3129 2858 3 343 6 227 8 227 6 252 3 356 2858 2693 3*352 6 226 8 227 6 249 3*008 2693 2598 3*006 6 225 8 226 5 246 3*009 2598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography