DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 77.0 - - 72.8 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 428 - - 174 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 361 - - 1018 - - 362 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4079 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3898 - - 4555 - - 3899 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 563 - - 994 - - 927 - - 920 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 205 - - 311 - - 163 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 174 - - 168 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 31 - - 26 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1545 - - -2650 - - -1749 - - -640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5443 - - 7206 - - 5648 - - 3264 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6686 - - -7039 - - -6509 - - -7370 ODpotential blCL - - - 10584 - - 11594 - - 10408 - - 9994 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 84 - - 87 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 77.0 - - 72.8 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 54.4 - - 56.9 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.0 - - 75.1 - - 72.2 - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 54.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 428 - - 174 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 361 - - 1018 - - 362 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 36 - - 48 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98239 20 075 18 143 2 309 14 016 98239 90947 24 084 18 095 15 096 17 068 90947 85325 19 083 22 079 20 075 23 078 85325 80633 8 066 22 078 19 082 20 068 80633 76593 6 105 15 051 20 088 16 059 76593 73039 10 099 9 060 13 074 14 067 73039 69815 9 094 9 085 10 061 13 073 69815 66835 6 092 7 074 7 040 9 051 66835 64073 2 253 5 014 8 049 7 033 64073 61406 8 230 9 257 5 292 6 334 61406 58637 5 213 10 230 10 246 11 264 58637 55775 14 249 19 257 16 264 14 262 55775 53045 24 246 27 249 23 266 20 265 53045 50585 28 249 33 246 34 257 28 262 50585 48379 37 259 39 249 38 248 36 254 48379 46381 46 259 45 248 42 247 42 249 46381 44545 45 255 48 250 45 250 44 250 44545 42841 46 253 51 250 53 249 52 245 42841 41253 50 252 53 247 54 244 55 241 41253 39766 50 250 51 244 55 240 59 239 39766 38367 49 250 51 243 56 238 60 236 38367 37017 49 251 52 242 58 236 60 234 37017 35652 48 251 51 241 59 235 60 233 35652 34243 47 250 48 240 58 234 61 231 34243 32795 44 247 45 241 54 235 59 230 32795 31295 39 243 43 237 51 236 56 228 31295 29728 39 240 43 231 48 230 50 225 29728 28096 34 238 43 227 47 219 45 218 28096 26394 27 238 35 220 44 214 46 215 26394 24623 22 238 31 217 38 206 45 217 24623 22794 15 236 26 212 35 207 41 219 22794 20903 12 236 21 210 30 213 36 213 20903 18943 12 236 17 217 25 222 28 211 18943 16948 12 223 14 211 18 215 17 208 16948 15028 10 208 13 194 14 198 13 189 15028 13283 10 193 12 181 12 176 13 164 13283 11730 12 178 12 166 13 163 14 155 11730 10346 14 168 13 156 15 158 18 156 10346 9109 15 160 14 152 18 158 20 160 9109 8004 16 153 15 150 20 159 20 162 8004 7020 16 145 16 145 20 159 20 163 7020 6148 15 138 15 137 19 154 18 160 6148 5373 13 128 13 129 15 145 16 156 5373 4679 9 118 8*136 12 138 12 145 4679 4063 4*130 7*150 10*147 10 144 4063 3548 4*166 7 171 9*161 9 147 3548 3154 5 189 8 179 9 167 7 148 3154 2882 6 195 8 183 9 171 5 147 2882 2717 6 197 8 186 8 173 4*143 2717 2623 6 200 7 188 7 176 2*141 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography