DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.7 - - 71.3 - - 72.9 - - 72.1 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - -6 - - 63 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 567 - - 635 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 2624 - - 4104 - - 4172 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1233 - - 1850 - - 1708 - - 2081 - - 2186 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 29 - - 155 - - 100 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 146 - - 175 - - 192 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 2 - - 20 - - 23 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6940 - - -4470 - - -2112 - - -1736 - - -2733 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9564 - - 7095 - - 6216 - - 5908 - - 5357 sfcLCL ODpotential -14490 - - -9778 - - -8515 - - -7368 - - -8894 ODpotential blCL 17114 - - 12402 - - 12619 - - 11540 - - 11518 blCL maxRH 80 - - 70 - - 53 - - 53 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 130 - - 150 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.7 - - 71.3 - - 72.9 - - 72.1 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.7 - - 49.5 - - 54.7 - - 55.2 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.4 - - 72.7 - - 73.2 - - 73.0 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 48.2 - - 53.4 - - 53.8 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - -6 - - 63 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 567 - - 635 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96586 5 148 3 324 11 264 8 315 6 331 96586 89405 13 057 6 056 2 226 6 280 11 307 89405 83870 4 043 5 011 8 354 3 355 7 354 83870 79285 8 012 9 337 13 342 9 334 17 347 79285 75382 11 001 11 335 18 325 14 348 18 347 75382 71972 18 357 15 010 16 344 16 345 19 351 71972 68900 23 354 20 001 23 356 23 353 19 342 68900 66082 30 325 28 332 28 334 22 348 17 345 66082 63445 29 304 27 304 27 303 24 316 22 326 63445 60870 34 303 34 300 37 301 37 303 35 305 60870 58170 41 291 44 296 45 291 47 292 45 298 58170 55341 48 290 46 286 49 281 55 283 54 289 55341 52620 54 287 46 282 53 279 61 282 60 284 52620 50164 55 279 52 286 55 280 66 280 61 282 50164 47959 60 277 59 282 58 278 66 277 61 280 47959 45953 68 275 64 275 61 276 65 276 61 279 45953 44110 69 268 67 271 65 275 64 277 60 279 44110 42408 71 265 66 269 62 272 61 274 58 275 42408 40840 69 261 65 266 54 273 55 271 49 272 40840 39387 64 256 68 261 51 272 45 271 42 267 39387 38022 63 253 67 259 54 263 46 274 38 271 38022 36709 61 252 66 259 61 261 47 278 35 277 36709 35382 59 255 65 258 65 262 45 278 32 282 35382 34012 57 258 63 257 62 264 39 274 30 288 34012 32596 56 260 61 258 59 265 34 283 28 284 32596 31122 55 260 59 257 56 264 33 287 25 277 31122 29576 51 260 54 254 48 265 29 292 24 275 29576 27962 44 262 49 258 41 270 29 280 25 268 27962 26280 39 265 45 264 36 274 32 282 26 268 26280 24535 36 268 42 265 39 269 28 284 24 276 24535 22725 35 271 40 265 43 265 24 269 21 262 22725 20843 33 271 40 267 45 269 35 266 30 262 20843 18890 32 270 40 269 37 268 41 269 40 268 18890 16904 35 268 40 264 36 263 40 265 41 267 16904 14993 36 266 40 260 39 258 40 263 38 267 14993 13253 36 264 38 259 39 255 39 264 33 270 13253 11706 32 264 36 259 37 255 37 265 28 275 11706 10326 26 262 32 258 31 258 33 266 24 279 10326 9095 20 259 25 254 26 257 26 265 20 281 9095 7997 17 256 20 250 22 255 21 262 17 281 7997 7019 15 243 16 247 18 256 17 266 15 281 7019 6152 12 235 14 239 14 254 14 269 13 280 6152 5383 8 228 12 228 11 240 10 261 11 277 5383 4690 6 217 10 208 8*211 6*236 8 270 4690 4074 4 198 8 182 7*183 6*205 6 264 4074 3558 3 175 8 163 7 172 6 190 4 259 3558 3160 3 162 7 148 7 173 6 190 2 266 3160 2885 3 136 6 143 7 175 6 190 0 060 2885 2719 3*126 5*145 6 176 6 190 2*074 2719 2623 2*107 3*152 5 178 5 192 2*062 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography