DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 78.1 - - 77.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 516 - - 266 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1140 - - 2091 - - 1353 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4174 - - 4914 - - 4214 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4677 - - 5628 - - 4890 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1852 - - 1524 - - 2049 - - 1167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 423 - - 294 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 212 - - 231 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 39 - - 32 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4112 - - -3992 - - -4647 - - -3646 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8789 - - 9620 - - 9538 - - 6271 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9476 - - -9152 - - -9259 - - -9608 ODpotential blCL - - - 14153 - - 14780 - - 14149 - - 12232 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 41 - - 38 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 78.1 - - 77.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 44.9 - - 44.5 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 75.9 - - 76.1 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 44.3 - - 44.2 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 516 - - 266 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1140 - - 2091 - - 1353 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98530 13 127 11 162 4 127 8 054 98530 91023 21 136 12 124 8 086 15 050 91023 85253 25 122 17 108 13 094 11 080 85253 80487 20 118 18 098 16 101 13 108 80487 76393 15 119 15 092 15 082 17 108 76393 72800 11 098 8 095 14 063 16 099 72800 69570 10 120 7 128 11 071 17 082 69570 66598 10 110 7 170 5 096 9 069 66598 63838 5 164 9 189 3 204 1 137 63838 61162 8 196 8 199 7 200 4 221 61162 58373 10 225 14 239 16 234 12 246 58373 55481 21 252 21 257 21 246 19 246 55481 52717 32 259 29 259 30 255 27 255 52717 50229 38 262 35 259 36 257 35 259 50229 47999 43 263 41 262 42 259 41 260 47999 45978 49 263 47 265 47 261 46 262 45978 44139 58 266 53 266 51 262 49 261 44139 42455 64 266 57 265 54 259 51 258 42455 40891 65 264 58 264 55 258 52 257 40891 39426 63 264 56 263 53 258 50 257 39426 38046 59 264 52 263 48 259 45 258 38046 36718 53 265 48 261 41 261 37 260 36718 35377 50 264 42 258 37 260 33 263 35377 33994 46 262 38 260 34 261 32 263 33994 32568 41 263 35 261 32 261 32 261 32568 31086 40 265 32 259 29 263 30 262 31086 29537 40 267 32 258 27 263 26 263 29537 27926 39 274 32 260 28 260 24 263 27926 26248 35 278 31 268 28 261 24 260 26248 24504 29 279 29 272 27 271 24 265 24504 22698 25 278 25 274 24 272 22 266 22698 20824 20 282 21 281 21 273 19 269 20824 18877 14 285 14 280 15 275 14 274 18877 16896 8 284 6 272 8 275 7 280 16896 14988 5 287 3 300 3 287 2 285 14988 13252 4 310 2 358 1 026 3 125 13252 11706 3 336 3 101 7 103 7 117 11706 10327 2 073 9 112 10 109 9 115 10327 9096 4 111 10 099 10 106 9 117 9096 7996 6 106 9 100 8 120 7 124 7996 7017 6 069 7 112 6 134 5 138 7017 6149 5 035 3*135 3 159 4 155 6149 5378 5 019 3*201 2*230 3 184 5378 4685 2*342 4 207 3*248 2 244 4685 4070 2*249 6 213 4 237 3 287 4070 3554 5 227 7 213 6 229 2 306 3554 3157 6 224 8 214 7 227 0 266 3157 2884 6 222 8 214 7 226 1 188 2884 2718 6 221 8 214 7 225 2*193 2718 2623 6 220 7 214 6 224 2*197 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography