DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 82.7 - - 88.7 - - 91.8 - - 88.7 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 445 - - 549 - - 327 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 986 - - 1963 - - 1040 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 4066 - - 4828 - - 4041 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2625 - - 4523 - - 5500 - - 4577 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1500 - - 2302 - - 2932 - - 2179 - - 1184 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 313 - - 422 - - 287 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 227 - - 207 - - 210 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 30 - - 39 - - 33 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8382 - - -6135 - - -5526 - - -5070 - - -3288 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11008 - - 10659 - - 11026 - - 9647 - - 5913 sfcLCL ODpotential -14899 - - -10569 - - -10063 - - -9151 - - -8695 ODpotential blCL 17524 - - 15092 - - 15563 - - 13728 - - 11320 blCL maxRH 46 - - 58 - - 64 - - 57 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 82.7 - - 88.7 - - 91.8 - - 88.7 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 51.0 - - 52.4 - - 55.4 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.9 - - 86.7 - - 89.3 - - 87.2 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.8 - - 50.8 - - 52.2 - - 55.3 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 445 - - 549 - - 327 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 986 - - 1963 - - 1040 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99256 55 099 45 115 42 125 37 118 36 101 99256 91705 43 098 43 103 47 110 43 113 40 115 91705 85929 35 106 38 101 44 109 37 107 38 105 85929 81162 38 109 32 109 39 109 30 100 31 097 81162 77048 36 099 30 116 32 111 29 110 26 105 77048 73412 25 088 31 108 32 111 33 108 25 118 73412 70140 20 112 26 111 27 113 25 109 26 113 70140 67145 25 119 22 123 17 116 19 108 22 109 67145 64377 14 110 18 123 19 135 13 108 15 114 64377 61712 19 134 17 138 23 132 21 141 11 139 61712 58959 17 159 21 165 16 164 17 132 17 157 58959 56123 17 182 25 169 25 196 16 198 17 175 56123 53430 24 195 27 192 31 196 26 208 21 202 53430 51020 23 185 22 199 26 189 26 194 29 195 51020 48859 27 231 21 226 21 220 22 220 26 203 48859 46883 37 231 26 232 26 242 28 238 30 226 46883 45055 38 226 28 228 28 237 29 241 29 235 45055 43350 39 217 29 217 28 227 28 235 26 247 43350 41751 38 211 30 210 30 222 30 221 27 241 41751 40244 37 212 34 207 34 218 32 213 28 229 40244 38826 34 213 37 204 34 215 33 214 31 219 38826 37465 29 213 33 201 33 209 31 214 31 222 37465 36092 26 216 30 200 34 204 28 211 25 225 36092 34673 24 218 29 199 32 204 29 204 25 207 34673 33209 24 213 31 201 30 203 31 204 29 201 33209 31688 27 201 28 203 27 200 28 204 29 202 31688 30098 26 200 22 198 24 198 24 204 26 202 30098 28439 20 212 17 194 19 199 20 210 20 201 28439 26712 13 223 11 190 13 183 15 209 16 201 26712 24921 6 228 6 164 12 169 15 192 17 204 24921 23073 4 165 8 145 14 160 15 182 18 198 23073 21162 9 145 12 143 14 155 15 170 15 193 21162 19182 10 173 9 174 11 147 12 163 12 188 19182 17170 14 196 12 197 9 188 9 186 10 178 17170 15232 17 196 17 207 13 210 9 199 10 167 15232 13466 20 190 20 203 15 209 11 204 13 183 13466 11891 20 190 16 198 12 202 12 202 16 194 11891 10486 15 197 9 190 8 179 11 193 16 196 10486 9231 9 209 5 177 8 160 10 180 16 194 9231 8111 5 231 4 170 8 160 11 178 14 193 8111 7113 4 242 4 170 8 167 9 182 12 197 7113 6228 3 283 2 179 6*181 7 192 9 201 6228 5441 5 319 1 234 5*199 4 206 6 207 5441 4732 7 333 2*243 5 207 4*216 4 213 4732 4103 7 343 2*238 6 207 4*210 2 225 4103 3576 7 353 4 229 7 208 6 209 1 190 3576 3171 6 353 5 227 8 208 7 210 3 176 3171 2891 4 347 6 224 9 209 7 210 3 182 2891 2721 3*337 6 224 8 209 7 210 3*186 2721 2624 2*327 6 222 7 209 6 211 3*187 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography