DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 59.9 - - 64.5 - - 64.6 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 75 - - 142 - - 30 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 454 - - 174 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3991 - - 3711 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 341 - - 1540 - - 1970 - - 2065 - - 1193 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 47 - - 173 - - 78 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 354 - - 086 - - 217 - - 249 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -7 - - 17 - - 14 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1917 - - -2289 - - -882 - - -1140 - - -901 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4541 - - 4912 - - 4874 - - 4851 - - 3524 sfcLCL ODpotential -11223 - - -7766 - - -3489 - - -3857 - - -5255 ODpotential blCL 13846 - - 10389 - - 7480 - - 7568 - - 7878 blCL maxRH 47 - - 60 - - 79 - - 76 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 59.9 - - 64.5 - - 64.6 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 47.5 - - 52.1 - - 52.3 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 60.0 - - 64.0 - - 65.0 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.1 - - 46.2 - - 50.8 - - 51.0 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 75 - - 142 - - 30 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 454 - - 174 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 2 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 4 343 11 284 20 280 16 299 14 299 96264 89123 4 314 4 320 14 271 15 301 14 326 89123 83671 13 294 9 002 10 273 10 308 8 330 83671 79186 10 300 11 331 10 345 8 001 9 013 79186 75347 6 045 3 266 11 328 13 009 10 057 75347 71953 9 081 6 175 11 276 8 347 13 039 71953 68865 4 048 7 145 14 238 11 290 2 351 68865 66017 9 314 12 278 13 269 12 252 7 296 66017 63365 18 284 15 278 15 273 24 255 19 261 63365 60776 27 269 23 267 30 262 33 258 31 266 60776 58062 31 267 37 264 39 258 43 262 43 264 58062 55224 39 272 45 268 44 264 46 258 52 260 55224 52486 50 272 52 269 50 263 52 258 58 257 52486 49996 59 275 55 270 54 264 58 259 60 259 49996 47747 64 272 58 269 58 266 62 261 63 261 47747 45695 58 268 57 270 55 266 59 261 60 260 45695 43806 50 278 53 275 51 270 56 263 57 264 43806 42058 53 283 56 277 55 274 56 267 55 268 42058 40446 55 283 56 281 55 280 50 273 48 276 40446 38966 45 292 50 286 49 287 45 277 47 279 38966 37598 38 300 45 291 44 292 40 280 52 277 37598 36294 38 303 43 297 42 291 39 280 52 276 36294 34978 40 302 41 298 40 288 39 282 47 277 34978 33617 40 301 38 298 37 281 39 284 46 276 33617 32215 39 301 37 294 35 283 44 280 46 273 32215 30758 38 303 36 289 36 283 44 274 45 271 30758 29234 38 307 34 288 36 279 40 277 44 273 29234 27641 36 310 34 290 36 277 35 281 41 280 27641 25983 33 313 34 292 33 283 30 275 28 281 25983 24266 32 314 30 297 29 285 25 278 24 274 24266 22487 32 319 26 301 24 281 21 286 24 269 22487 20636 32 329 19 320 19 289 21 293 22 282 20636 18707 30 336 14 335 13 294 19 291 22 303 18707 16738 24 336 11 331 10 297 16 296 19 319 16738 14842 20 332 10 329 9 308 13 308 11 321 14842 13118 18 329 9 336 5 329 8 323 7 307 13118 11586 15 329 7 350 4 026 4 005 3 261 11586 10223 11 339 4 016 4 062 5 060 3 183 10223 9008 6 018 2 078 4 094 7 080 5 150 9008 7925 6 080 4 121 4 128 9 080 6 134 7925 6962 8 095 7 112 6 105 8 068 6 120 6962 6108 11 091 10 110 10 089 6 056 5 096 6108 5348 14 086 12 097 9 078 4 034 4 068 5348 4663 16 081 13 088 7 070 3 003 4 037 4663 4054 16 078 13 080 4*065 2*344 5 017 4054 3545 15 075 10 075 0*182 2*284 5 002 3545 3152 12 073 6 075 2 218 3 251 5 350 3152 2881 9 067 3 085 3 217 3 243 5 348 2881 2717 5*059 2*098 3 218 3 240 4*348 2717 2622 2*354 1*130 3 218 3 238 3*346 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography