DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 89.2 - - 86.4 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 587 - - 343 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1058 - - 1915 - - 1179 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4122 - - 4803 - - 4150 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4595 - - 5452 - - 4716 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1166 - - 951 - - 1001 - - 1223 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 427 - - 304 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 229 - - 224 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 43 - - 39 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5777 - - -4585 - - -4010 - - -3048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10372 - - 10037 - - 8727 - - 5673 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11122 - - -9359 - - -8612 - - -9809 ODpotential blCL - - - 15717 - - 14811 - - 13328 - - 12434 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 78 - - 67 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 89.2 - - 86.4 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 54.3 - - 57.2 - - 60.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.8 - - 86.6 - - 84.9 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 54.3 - - 57.2 - - 60.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 587 - - 343 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1058 - - 1915 - - 1179 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99029 38 111 41 111 37 105 36 097 99029 91556 34 122 30 112 33 099 34 089 91556 85792 31 114 27 116 29 105 30 093 85792 81011 31 107 30 113 28 117 24 104 81011 76913 28 105 30 102 32 115 27 107 76913 73305 24 109 26 101 30 104 30 100 73305 70055 23 114 23 117 23 099 24 093 70055 67092 22 106 22 123 18 110 19 097 67092 64363 18 113 21 118 19 115 18 108 64363 61733 16 134 16 120 18 110 18 106 61733 58994 16 137 14 140 12 122 15 103 58994 56164 16 133 18 144 16 146 11 145 56164 53489 18 126 16 139 15 137 13 150 53489 51097 16 118 13 128 11 131 12 144 51097 48952 13 121 14 127 9 159 9 148 48952 46996 12 134 13 137 11 166 9 164 46996 45191 13 143 9 149 8 161 7 181 45191 43509 12 151 9 159 3 190 5 167 43509 41930 10 167 10 156 3 182 5 163 41930 40441 13 170 9 155 5 174 8 163 40441 39033 14 177 10 169 6 174 10 169 39033 37672 13 189 10 181 5 170 7 168 37672 36292 15 193 11 188 6 182 7 160 36292 34863 17 195 13 198 9 204 7 200 34863 33387 17 202 15 208 10 210 10 202 33387 31853 17 204 16 210 12 218 12 198 31853 30251 18 207 18 211 14 221 14 204 30251 28583 19 219 19 215 17 221 14 211 28583 26850 18 222 18 211 19 218 17 225 26850 25053 16 226 16 210 18 214 19 231 25053 23196 12 226 15 204 16 212 16 225 23196 21272 13 213 16 211 15 220 15 226 21272 19276 11 205 14 208 14 217 15 224 19276 17247 9 205 10 203 11 209 12 213 17247 15294 10 217 8 213 10 215 9 216 15294 13515 11 233 10 228 10 228 8 223 13515 11929 11 242 10 234 10 235 8 223 11929 10514 9 250 9 237 8 236 7 216 10514 9249 7 260 6 237 7 235 6 211 9249 8121 6 266 5 239 6 231 6 207 8121 7117 5 271 4 247 5 233 5 210 7117 6227 4 274 3*267 5 252 4 221 6227 5437 3 281 3*256 4 267 4 243 5437 4729 3*288 4 248 4*259 4 264 4729 4099 3*276 6 230 5*238 3 271 4099 3574 5 250 8 225 7 225 2 286 3574 3169 6 243 8 223 8 222 1 175 3169 2891 7 238 9 222 8 221 1 202 2891 2721 7 236 9 221 8 220 2*204 2721 2624 6 234 8 221 7 219 2*203 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography