DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 68.7 - - 71.7 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 21 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2607 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 2624 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1629 - - 1762 - - 1959 - - 2232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 32 - - 25 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 084 - - 051 - - 138 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -30 - - 4 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - -265 - - -1548 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2622 - - 2623 - - 2889 - - 4172 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -803 - - -2384 - - -2909 - - -6276 ODpotential blCL - - - 3426 - - 5008 - - 5533 - - 8900 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 270 - - 930 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 68.7 - - 71.7 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 65.7 - - 67.3 - - 61.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 69.3 - - 72.2 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 65.0 - - 66.6 - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 21 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 100 - - 102 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98702 5 107 16 098 17 107 10 090 98702 91312 20 096 17 109 12 098 17 093 91312 85581 20 086 17 120 10 079 16 076 85581 80822 18 106 13 100 14 086 15 070 80822 76750 16 101 13 113 12 067 17 077 76750 73159 13 083 12 104 12 091 14 067 73159 69924 10 084 12 085 13 096 7 070 69924 66960 8 076 6 044 10 098 12 094 66960 64201 6 218 10 293 15 335 9 029 64201 61537 16 190 15 223 15 271 17 307 61537 58795 15 268 13 269 17 266 23 266 58795 55975 37 251 32 247 31 251 34 248 55975 53282 46 251 38 250 39 255 37 255 53282 50858 53 250 58 260 55 262 48 260 50858 48688 60 251 70 253 66 256 56 262 48688 46710 70 252 75 245 71 254 66 259 46710 44886 77 249 79 242 78 249 74 255 44886 43187 81 242 77 239 83 244 80 251 43187 41596 80 239 72 242 82 239 82 245 41596 40097 74 243 76 240 76 238 80 239 40097 38684 70 247 78 237 78 238 74 236 38684 37323 69 241 76 235 79 238 76 238 37323 35942 66 234 72 235 78 238 77 238 35942 34512 64 229 68 236 74 237 75 241 34512 33040 64 225 61 237 70 236 71 244 33040 31514 60 230 48 237 66 235 66 242 31514 29921 51 230 41 234 61 235 62 239 29921 28262 48 226 42 234 54 237 57 240 28262 26539 48 222 41 233 49 242 52 242 26539 24756 46 225 41 231 41 245 47 246 24756 22917 44 228 42 227 44 250 41 245 22917 21020 43 224 43 225 47 247 38 244 21020 19053 43 225 44 227 46 237 40 243 19053 17051 38 222 46 232 45 236 41 241 17051 15128 33 218 45 236 44 238 37 239 15128 13378 28 226 44 239 40 240 34 238 13378 11819 25 242 41 244 35 245 31 242 11819 10426 22 255 39 249 30 251 28 249 10426 9180 17 257 36 250 25 258 23 258 9180 8067 11 249 28 252 19 263 18 265 8067 7075 8 238 20 256 13 267 14 270 7075 6197 6 233 13 259 9 272 11 271 6197 5416 3 237 8 258 6 284 7 263 5416 4714 1 125 4 247 3 318 5 259 4714 4091 1 340 1 205 2 037 4 278 4091 3569 1 055 2 069 3 077 4 306 3569 3167 2 070 5 056 3 082 4 326 3167 2889 1 084 5 053 2 117 4 345 2889 2720 1*103 5*051 1*144 4*360 2720 2623 0*114 4*051 1*154 4*006 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography