DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.2 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 37 - - -8 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2340 - - 2377 - - 2364 - - 2642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 35 - - 13 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 10 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 278 - - 102 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 67 - - 26 - - -13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - -355 - - -1154 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2978 - - 3777 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -89 - - -298 - - -2860 - - -4417 ODpotential blCL - - - 2712 - - 2921 - - 5483 - - 7040 blCL maxRH - - - 103 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 10 - - 150 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.2 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 50.1 - - 46.1 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 51.0 - - 51.6 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 49.7 - - 45.0 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 37 - - -8 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 112 - - 105 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96306 26 294 33 297 26 297 32 293 96306 89233 19 294 20 306 14 305 13 291 89233 83753 16 294 17 299 21 291 16 295 83753 79193 16 275 21 269 20 278 19 299 79193 75293 14 299 7 312 12 317 23 299 75293 71845 27 266 28 260 30 265 24 287 71845 68694 37 239 39 244 36 242 27 246 68694 65780 29 217 29 220 33 233 26 242 65780 63053 16 201 30 214 33 228 38 240 63053 60402 21 233 38 218 42 218 45 220 60402 57610 49 241 49 236 49 221 42 228 57610 54672 83 223 68 234 78 227 75 236 54672 51879 88 218 93 216 99 218 95 222 51879 49383 96 229 99 213 101 215 95 225 49383 47151 124 234 111 226 103 224 111 234 47151 45135 135 229 125 228 119 226 129 229 45135 43293 134 223 133 223 130 222 138 220 43293 41593 134 220 136 219 133 218 139 215 41593 40016 135 219 134 217 131 216 136 214 40016 38549 132 219 131 220 130 220 137 216 38549 37175 130 220 134 221 136 221 139 218 37175 35857 130 220 135 222 139 220 143 219 35857 34526 128 220 135 222 137 222 142 219 34526 33151 122 221 129 220 133 221 136 219 33151 31737 115 220 119 215 126 219 131 218 31737 30270 113 218 113 213 119 216 126 214 30270 28744 109 219 111 214 111 211 120 211 28744 27161 94 221 106 215 100 213 109 212 27161 25519 76 219 101 214 93 219 99 215 25519 23815 74 214 95 215 94 222 95 217 23815 22050 73 213 86 216 91 220 88 218 22050 20221 67 210 77 217 85 213 81 218 20221 18323 67 208 72 216 84 208 80 215 18323 16395 63 207 66 211 84 209 81 211 16395 14544 61 207 59 204 79 210 84 210 14544 12863 60 208 55 203 74 211 77 214 12863 11364 57 206 52 203 63 210 66 217 11364 10028 55 203 44 202 54 209 55 217 10028 8841 53 200 31 201 49 212 46 217 8841 7785 50 195 21 210 44 224 38 219 7785 6845 46 190 18 230 40 237 33 220 6845 6012 42 186 18 246 33 246 27 216 6012 5272 39 183 18 255 25 251 22 209 5272 4607 37 181 16 262 17 251 17 193 4607 4015 36 180 14 271 9 247 14 172 4015 3519 31 177 13 276 4 230 13 158 3519 3138 27 174 12 278 2 151 11 149 3138 2874 23 172 11 278 3 109 9 143 2874 2714 19*170 10*277 3*101 7*141 2714 2622 12*170 6*277 3*096 4*135 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography