DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 73.3 - - 71.0 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 585 - - 343 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 771 - - 1546 - - 1266 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3924 - - 4524 - - 4214 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4308 - - 5083 - - 4803 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 557 - - 835 - - 902 - - 1297 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 398 - - 312 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 226 - - 231 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 43 - - 40 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1490 - - -1678 - - -1632 - - -1522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5799 - - 6761 - - 6435 - - 4146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7667 - - -6417 - - -6706 - - -8871 ODpotential blCL - - - 11975 - - 11500 - - 11509 - - 11495 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 68 - - 67 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 73.3 - - 71.0 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 52.5 - - 51.6 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 71.0 - - 69.6 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 52.3 - - 51.5 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 585 - - 343 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 771 - - 1546 - - 1266 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98468 22 111 10 099 21 101 20 093 98468 91057 17 084 18 105 18 112 22 083 91057 85334 18 068 18 112 17 074 16 100 85334 80585 15 122 8 117 10 060 15 102 80585 76506 17 121 9 125 4 053 12 105 76506 72898 13 101 10 145 4 084 10 116 72898 69632 11 118 12 162 5 138 7 090 69632 66639 9 120 8 154 11 180 2 264 66639 63878 2 043 3 117 10 158 4 203 63878 61217 17 243 13 281 1 045 2 323 61217 58437 19 218 24 244 18 258 14 278 58437 55542 15 233 24 236 26 259 25 270 55542 52771 31 259 28 251 35 256 34 261 52771 50269 48 261 34 260 38 257 39 261 50269 48023 56 259 42 265 45 258 42 263 48023 45989 62 261 45 267 46 256 40 263 45989 44133 65 264 46 271 42 255 41 265 44133 42428 64 266 49 271 34 261 37 257 42428 40848 61 264 51 269 28 282 25 263 40848 39379 56 261 49 266 33 297 13 311 39379 38011 47 265 40 272 34 297 28 046 38011 36694 46 272 37 277 28 297 35 049 36694 35358 44 271 37 275 23 299 12 349 35358 33978 42 269 36 271 21 305 15 322 33978 32558 41 270 33 273 21 312 16 319 32558 31080 41 269 33 276 21 317 16 318 31080 29533 41 268 34 274 22 319 17 316 29533 27918 39 260 36 268 21 318 17 315 27918 26235 41 261 37 268 19 310 17 312 26235 24486 40 263 34 271 19 291 20 310 24486 22673 38 262 28 272 22 281 22 309 22673 20792 31 263 25 263 20 280 20 304 20792 18841 27 258 24 255 21 264 19 293 18841 16858 24 252 23 250 23 258 21 279 16858 14950 22 250 23 246 22 258 21 277 14950 13212 20 254 21 247 19 261 18 278 13212 11666 19 260 18 250 15 265 14 275 11666 10288 17 268 15 254 13 271 11 276 10288 9058 16 277 12 259 12 280 10 278 9058 7961 15 283 11 264 11 284 8 287 7961 6984 14 288 9 267 10 288 7 302 6984 6119 12 290 7 266 8 288 6 314 6119 5351 9 293 6*250 6*278 5 322 5351 4662 5*290 5*240 5*261 3 320 4662 4052 3*255 7 229 6 238 0 101 4052 3542 4 231 8 225 7 228 3 133 3542 3151 6 226 9 224 8 224 4 160 3151 2881 6 223 9 222 8 222 5 172 2881 2717 6 222 9 222 8 221 5*174 2717 2623 6 222 8 222 7 221 4*177 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography