DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 80.0 - - 75.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 487 - - 235 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 695 - - 1722 - - 1003 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3834 - - 4622 - - 3923 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 4232 - - 5259 - - 4540 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 699 - - 842 - - 787 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 388 - - 254 - - - W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 206 - - 196 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 38 - - 34 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2560 - - -2466 - - -1182 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6793 - - 7726 - - 5722 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10676 - - -8899 - - -7834 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 14908 - - 14158 - - 12374 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 59 - - 72 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 80.0 - - 75.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 55.0 - - 59.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 77.9 - - 75.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 59.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 487 - - 235 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 695 - - 1722 - - 1003 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98633 18 118 15 158 7 112 98633 91207 20 119 12 145 8 122 91207 85479 16 127 15 119 10 107 85479 80735 12 136 18 116 12 132 80735 76647 8 143 12 101 13 130 76647 73035 7 158 5 122 9 083 73035 69774 5 178 9 148 4 126 69774 66771 6 200 2 194 6 142 66771 63994 5 145 6 224 2 313 63994 61336 1 219 5 201 3 312 61336 58596 6 208 11 247 15 284 58596 55776 8 251 21 235 23 256 55776 53118 36 282 39 275 42 279 53118 50750 42 270 45 272 48 280 50750 48613 45 277 49 277 51 279 48613 46652 49 281 50 276 50 277 46652 44836 49 280 49 272 50 277 44836 43141 46 274 47 266 50 275 43141 41553 43 264 44 262 49 266 41553 40057 41 256 44 256 48 258 40057 38646 41 254 45 252 48 253 38646 37288 41 258 46 255 48 252 37288 35917 40 263 43 257 47 258 35917 34505 36 265 39 259 43 267 34505 33055 33 273 36 266 39 271 33055 31548 30 274 37 279 35 273 31548 29969 29 264 34 278 34 271 29969 28321 29 260 31 260 35 269 28321 26606 29 261 31 256 33 260 26606 24827 30 258 29 264 31 264 24827 22989 31 256 28 266 28 266 22989 21084 31 255 29 260 28 256 21084 19104 28 260 28 259 27 256 19104 17087 23 264 22 258 22 256 17087 15144 16 266 16 259 15 256 15144 13376 12 253 13 248 10 252 13376 11803 11 240 13 239 9 250 11803 10402 12 240 11 238 8 248 10402 9154 11 246 9 241 7 237 9154 8042 9 253 5 235 6 212 8042 7054 6 258 3 207 8 187 7054 6179 4 263 3 185 6 181 6179 5402 2 278 3*190 5 177 5402 4704 0*009 4*196 5*179 4704 4085 1*170 6 203 6*186 4085 3566 4 195 7 206 7 194 3566 3166 5 197 8 208 8 197 3166 2889 6 201 8 209 8 200 2889 2720 6 202 8 209 7 201 2720 2623 5 202 7 210 7 202 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography