DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 72.7 - - - - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 59 - - - - - -116 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 771 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2624 - - 4308 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 803 - - 1458 - - - - - 242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 157 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 17 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 338 - - - - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -31 - - -14 - - - - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3901 - - -5505 - - - - - -7154 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6525 - - 9814 - - - - - 9777 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11839 - - -13645 - - - - - -15890 ODpotential blCL - - - 14463 - - 17953 - - - - - 18513 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 78 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 72.7 - - - - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 39.2 - - - - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 73.0 - - - - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 37.9 - - - - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 59 - - - - - -116 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 771 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 12 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96336 13 049 5 352 7 289 96336 89351 11 046 5 052 6 355 89351 83921 7 026 11 036 14 047 83921 79365 6 079 4 100 11 041 79365 75412 14 071 1 049 7 040 75412 71906 11 048 2 130 5 313 71906 68749 13 298 10 319 4 300 68749 65864 12 277 24 308 23 312 65864 63218 15 325 28 307 26 305 63218 60684 37 306 35 296 21 311 60684 58036 44 282 43 286 35 304 58036 55263 45 280 45 285 46 296 55263 52592 51 295 53 295 52 296 52592 50168 62 295 71 296 63 304 50168 47987 66 286 80 288 77 297 47987 46009 62 283 75 288 81 291 46009 44199 66 294 75 297 81 296 44199 42534 75 300 77 306 76 306 42534 40990 78 300 77 310 73 311 40990 39543 77 303 77 312 73 315 39543 38181 75 305 73 311 73 316 38181 36864 72 306 68 311 69 319 36864 35530 68 311 64 312 61 321 35530 34151 66 315 61 315 53 322 34151 32729 60 319 55 315 48 322 32729 31250 55 322 49 318 44 319 31250 29703 54 325 45 320 41 314 29703 28088 54 319 43 318 38 312 28088 26404 61 314 44 315 35 315 26404 24653 63 312 45 316 34 321 24653 22840 58 313 45 319 35 326 22840 20963 49 318 44 323 36 328 20963 19017 41 324 42 325 36 325 19017 17035 36 327 41 326 35 324 17035 15120 31 325 38 327 35 328 15120 13370 29 319 33 328 35 335 13370 11807 28 312 30 327 35 341 11807 10411 27 309 27 326 34 348 10411 9163 24 310 26 327 33 354 9163 8048 22 315 26 331 32 359 8048 7056 21 319 28 337 32 003 7056 6176 23 326 29 342 32 007 6176 5395 25 334 28 345 33 010 5395 4694 26 343 26*346 36 012 4694 4072 25 352 22*344 37 012 4072 3553 21 358 19 340 33 014 3553 3155 17 003 16 336 27 018 3155 2882 12 003 14 334 19 024 2882 2717 10*002 12 331 15*025 2717 2622 6*357 8 327 9*024 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography