DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.4 - - 61.2 - - 64.6 - - 62.0 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 103 - - 337 - - 464 - - 243 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 1052 - - 650 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 3800 - - 4123 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4222 - - 4589 - - 4187 - - 3555 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1415 - - 495 - - 672 - - 648 - - 508 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 254 - - 326 - - 224 - - 32 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 213 - - 197 - - 198 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 12 - - 29 - - 34 - - 27 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -758 - - 394 - - -93 - - 186 - - 933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3381 - - 3828 - - 4682 - - 4001 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -8705 - - -6229 - - -6477 - - -6824 - - 204 ODpotential blCL 11328 - - 10451 - - 11066 - - 11011 - - 3351 blCL maxRH 88 - - 94 - - 86 - - 89 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.4 - - 61.2 - - 64.6 - - 62.0 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 53.2 - - 52.9 - - 53.3 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 59.7 - - 62.7 - - 61.2 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.2 - - 52.8 - - 52.2 - - 52.8 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 103 - - 337 - - 464 - - 243 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 1052 - - 650 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 77 - - 43 - - 56 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98294 16 113 13 087 12 098 14 113 13 076 98294 90870 12 087 18 116 13 122 11 086 15 081 90870 85128 9 087 14 117 14 128 8 093 12 103 85128 80362 10 134 11 122 11 120 9 103 13 098 80362 76264 11 139 11 129 10 098 11 107 14 098 76264 72659 11 110 11 128 14 105 14 109 10 102 72659 69423 12 098 11 122 12 128 16 099 13 109 69423 66470 13 109 10 123 8 139 14 090 14 102 66470 63739 12 122 8 158 8 205 1 086 9 085 63739 61096 10 124 8 168 11 213 7 242 4 331 61096 58332 3 219 4 236 7 235 11 251 9 267 58332 55445 8 283 11 268 13 274 19 276 16 262 55445 52675 18 287 19 274 23 278 28 273 26 268 52675 50170 26 287 22 281 26 273 34 271 37 271 50170 47921 31 284 25 284 30 276 42 275 44 273 47921 45884 35 278 34 284 41 279 47 273 51 275 45884 44025 37 276 44 282 52 280 52 275 56 276 44025 42315 39 274 52 280 61 281 57 278 62 274 42315 40728 40 272 55 278 66 283 63 279 65 274 40728 39244 41 271 52 275 66 280 67 280 66 274 39244 37852 42 272 48 270 58 275 68 278 66 272 37852 36516 40 271 44 265 48 270 64 272 64 265 36516 35172 38 267 41 264 44 266 57 267 58 257 35172 33791 35 262 37 259 40 260 43 264 52 258 33791 32373 32 263 34 254 36 257 39 262 43 260 32373 30900 31 263 31 254 33 255 37 257 39 258 30900 29361 29 265 30 257 32 253 34 252 35 254 29361 27756 28 267 30 261 34 254 33 248 33 249 27756 26083 28 269 33 260 36 251 34 242 31 242 26083 24345 31 271 34 252 36 242 37 237 30 236 24345 22546 33 268 35 248 37 237 40 233 32 229 22546 20681 32 261 35 248 39 236 39 231 33 226 20681 18743 28 256 31 248 36 238 34 233 31 226 18743 16770 24 256 22 242 26 238 27 231 26 225 16770 14871 18 265 16 237 18 229 21 223 21 223 14871 13141 13 272 11 226 15 215 17 216 16 221 13141 11601 6 267 9 201 15 210 14 211 11 217 11601 10227 4 225 8 182 12 205 11 204 7 210 10227 9000 5 198 7 177 10 196 11 194 6 204 9000 7907 5 201 6 180 9 188 10 189 6 199 7907 6936 3 221 4 197 8 179 11 187 7 205 6936 6077 4 301 2 238 7 169 9 183 7 210 6077 5316 9 321 3 283 6 172 6 184 4 218 5316 4634 9 333 2*258 6*180 5*183 3 195 4634 4032 6 329 2*218 6*188 5*189 3*192 4032 3530 3 306 4 212 7 194 5 195 2*165 3530 3144 2 256 5 212 8 198 6 200 2 175 3144 2877 2 231 6 212 8 201 6 203 2 183 2877 2715 2*229 6 213 8 203 6 204 2 186 2715 2622 2*227 6 212 7 203 5 206 2 189 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography