DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.5 - - 73.9 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 456 - - 240 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 378 - - 953 - - 496 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4048 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3915 - - 4490 - - 4033 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 501 - - 653 - - 632 - - 793 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 313 - - 204 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 225 - - 219 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 35 - - 29 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3063 - - -2858 - - -2823 - - -2170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6978 - - 7349 - - 6856 - - 4794 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9070 - - -8191 - - -8506 - - -9839 ODpotential blCL - - - 12985 - - 12681 - - 12539 - - 12463 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 56 - - 57 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.5 - - 73.9 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 53.3 - - 52.8 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 74.5 - - 72.8 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 52.6 - - 52.4 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 456 - - 240 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 378 - - 953 - - 496 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97783 11 289 5 285 16 241 17 284 97783 90329 16 289 9 272 11 286 17 291 90329 84561 12 251 22 264 18 321 12 313 84561 79814 7 235 16 270 21 317 14 333 79814 75776 8 303 12 296 16 312 8 326 75776 72227 11 312 12 302 16 321 13 333 72227 69033 10 318 13 291 15 303 16 319 69033 66099 10 310 9 296 11 289 11 321 66099 63364 13 299 16 323 14 325 15 342 63364 60720 14 288 17 308 15 318 14 332 60720 57971 7 299 12 295 14 315 12 326 57971 55127 16 337 15 313 18 314 17 316 55127 52436 22 334 16 317 21 308 20 311 52436 50040 22 322 18 320 22 319 23 320 50040 47901 28 327 27 322 30 327 28 331 47901 45961 36 318 33 320 36 331 38 340 45961 44184 38 318 38 331 41 339 42 345 44184 42540 41 328 41 337 41 342 41 347 42540 41006 44 332 43 341 39 345 38 350 41006 39564 44 330 43 340 37 343 35 352 39564 38204 41 330 40 339 35 340 33 351 38204 36891 39 333 37 341 32 342 32 348 36891 35557 39 336 34 342 30 343 31 348 35557 34175 38 337 33 343 27 344 28 349 34175 32748 35 336 32 344 25 347 26 349 32748 31263 32 337 30 345 25 350 23 349 31263 29709 28 337 27 341 24 351 19 354 29709 28086 24 341 24 339 22 351 17 001 28086 26394 19 347 21 347 21 352 16 008 26394 24637 14 330 16 345 20 357 18 010 24637 22819 12 326 14 347 17 356 17 008 22819 20934 12 329 11 347 14 353 16 358 20934 18977 14 331 11 342 13 346 15 347 18977 16984 11 332 10 340 12 344 12 342 16984 15064 6 323 6 341 10 351 8 346 15064 13315 3 281 4 313 6 355 4 342 13315 11757 3 243 3 269 2 345 3 301 11757 10367 2 216 3 241 0 115 3 275 10367 9126 1 204 3 199 4 142 3 263 9126 8018 0 273 3 172 6 157 4 235 8018 7032 2 358 4 160 4 175 4 237 7032 6160 4 346 3 174 4 218 5 250 6160 5385 5 354 2 246 5 262 5 264 5385 4688 6 004 3*251 5 275 4 275 4688 4071 4*358 3*238 3*258 4 284 4071 3554 3*253 6 226 5*222 2 297 3554 3157 4 238 7 224 6 220 1 068 3157 2884 5 231 7 223 6 218 2 117 2884 2718 5 229 7 222 6 218 1*130 2718 2623 5 227 7 221 6 217 1*133 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography