DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 92.7 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 387 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5683 - - 7067 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7521 - - 8729 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9220 - - 10604 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1606 - - 1070 - - - - - 1690 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 575 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 130 - - - - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 35 - - - - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2720 - - -2538 - - - - - -6489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11941 - - 13142 - - - - - 9115 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8776 - - -7029 - - - - - -13705 ODpotential blCL - - - 17996 - - 17633 - - - - - 16330 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 52 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 92.7 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 43.8 - - - - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 90.9 - - - - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 43.6 - - - - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 387 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5683 - - 7067 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97742 12 289 7 200 14 266 97742 90497 1 318 8 235 10 313 90497 84915 4 118 4 291 5 004 84915 80266 4 116 9 020 8 063 80266 76273 9 091 9 048 12 058 76273 72766 15 066 10 051 14 068 72766 69607 11 062 9 054 12 073 69607 66713 7 104 3 069 10 071 66713 64032 9 123 6 174 9 023 64032 61433 8 129 10 174 8 299 61433 58732 5 105 12 163 20 228 58732 55952 6 266 10 206 20 224 55952 53315 18 269 16 246 20 239 53315 50944 35 269 32 267 32 261 50944 48803 39 265 42 263 43 261 48803 46840 36 256 43 255 48 258 46840 45019 32 261 40 252 48 255 45019 43319 35 271 38 259 44 251 43319 41722 36 273 38 267 42 250 41722 40219 35 273 38 268 41 250 40219 38801 35 274 36 267 44 251 38801 37434 36 277 35 268 44 253 37434 36049 37 282 36 273 38 254 36049 34618 32 285 31 276 32 253 34618 33145 26 276 23 270 27 256 33145 31620 22 261 20 261 20 261 31620 30036 20 243 20 247 17 250 30036 28395 20 221 22 228 15 238 28395 26688 13 205 16 202 13 213 26688 24911 6 174 12 176 11 198 24911 23066 7 177 7 173 14 153 23066 21155 6 187 5 199 15 142 21155 19175 6 207 9 206 13 147 19175 17162 10 170 13 200 15 153 17162 15223 18 146 19 168 18 140 15223 13457 21 127 20 135 19 124 13457 11883 19 117 18*110 16 112 11883 10482 15*101 12*084 14 104 10482 9231 12*087 10 085 12 115 9231 8113 8 082 8 093 10 116 8113 7114 6 089 6 121 8 117 7114 6228 5 099 5 152 5 103 6228 5440 4 117 6 168 3 062 5440 4731 4 142 6 178 3 357 4731 4102 4 160 7 185 5 330 4102 3576 5 173 7 190 6 323 3576 3170 5 180 8 192 6 325 3170 2891 5 183 8 194 6 336 2891 2721 5 186 7 195 5*344 2721 2624 5 187 7 196 4*356 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography