DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 87.4 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 352 - - - - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2712 - - 7308 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5225 - - 8872 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6249 - - 10845 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2849 - - 2846 - - - - - 1742 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 380 - - 562 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 16 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 106 - - - - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -74 - - 52 - - - - - -41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6771 - - -2614 - - - - - -8595 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13020 - - 13459 - - - - - 11219 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11242 - - -4784 - - - - - -13855 ODpotential blCL - - - 17491 - - 15629 - - - - - 16479 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 47 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 87.4 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 37.1 - - - - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.3 - - 86.1 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 36.9 - - - - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 352 - - - - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2712 - - 7308 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97719 23 267 24 265 21 299 97719 90410 15 274 11 260 15 273 90410 84798 9 263 11 267 9 266 84798 80142 5 239 8 254 8 296 80142 76133 4 176 7 217 6 302 76133 72598 8 171 6 229 6 290 72598 69401 10 150 8 187 4 204 69401 66469 8 102 10 139 1 227 66469 63773 4 111 7 164 5 226 63773 61178 5 337 3 296 3 246 61178 58486 10 335 9 343 8 319 58486 55701 14 329 15 296 14 307 55701 53027 24 343 18 348 12 322 53027 50595 29 344 16 350 17 335 50595 48390 28 006 14 007 11 333 48390 46362 30 348 24 003 19 002 46362 44486 26 334 24 347 29 013 44486 42743 23 022 21 339 33 014 42743 41116 41 048 25 032 24 006 41116 39590 52 046 40 050 15 031 39590 38158 49 047 40 052 27 050 38158 36789 40 054 36 051 31 045 36789 35416 36 047 35 064 28 071 35416 34012 35 070 37 071 37 087 34012 32577 41 083 33 082 38 085 32577 31095 44 092 33 097 31 091 31095 29552 44 100 35 109 30 114 29552 27954 40 107 37 113 34 120 27954 26295 37 112 37 112 32 120 26295 24572 34 114 34 110 29 123 24572 22781 31 115 30 110 27 121 22781 20914 27 117 26 113 25 114 20914 18968 25 119 23 117 24 110 18968 16982 24 116 24 119 22 103 16982 15067 25 113 25 123 20 099 15067 13327 26 118 24 129 17 107 13327 11778 27 128 20*125 14 124 11778 10396 29 134 17*115 12 132 10396 9158 30 134 17 113 9 132 9158 8052 28 129 17 112 9 130 8052 7066 24*125 17 107 10 124 7066 6191 22*122 17 104 11 119 6191 5413 21 117 17 102 12 112 5413 4713 22 102 17 101 16 097 4713 4090 23 085 16 100 21 085 4090 3567 22 082 16 099 25 078 3567 3165 21 079 15 100 25 073 3165 2888 20 079 14 100 20 068 2888 2719 17 078 12 101 15*065 2719 2623 11 078 9 103 8*060 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography