DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0957z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.7 - - 61.7 - - 64.6 - - 62.7 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 129 - - 504 - - 584 - - 303 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 404 - - 2020 - - 2704 - - 2110 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2661 - - 4852 - - 5412 - - 4791 - - 2661 Hcrit BL Top 3941 - - 5557 - - 6241 - - 5647 - - 2678 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 899 - - 966 - - 910 - - 1015 - - 1806 Hgt.Variab. W* 154 - - 413 - - 479 - - 354 - - 0 W* B/S 9 - - 13 - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 196 - - 217 - - 251 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 18 - - 48 - - 56 - - 44 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 250 - - 206 - - 240 - - 106 - - -748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3691 - - 5352 - - 6001 - - 5542 - - 3426 sfcLCL ODpotential -3902 - - -2717 - - -1769 - - -2507 - - -5201 ODpotential blCL 7843 - - 8274 - - 8010 - - 8154 - - 7879 blCL maxRH 88 - - 89 - - 92 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.7 - - 61.7 - - 64.6 - - 62.7 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.6 - - 47.2 - - 47.2 - - 47.5 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 60.1 - - 62.5 - - 61.7 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.5 - - 47.2 - - 47.2 - - 47.4 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 129 - - 504 - - 584 - - 303 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 404 - - 2020 - - 2704 - - 2110 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 58 - - 67 - - 46 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98373 3 282 15 001 9 222 10 304 11 311 98373 91413 5 271 10 337 7 275 8 327 7 299 91413 85954 5 280 5 284 7 319 9 338 3 296 85954 81368 4 285 6 259 5 326 8 327 2 330 81368 77393 4 273 7 250 5 310 6 324 0 283 77393 73871 3 255 7 247 5 310 4 353 1 208 73871 70675 2 236 6 248 4 311 4 028 0 245 70675 67732 2 251 6 253 4 284 3 010 1 306 67732 64998 3 265 6 248 6 254 4 306 2 274 64998 62345 5 269 7 251 8 239 8 279 5 263 62345 59567 10 280 9 272 8 251 10 267 10 275 59567 56682 14 283 11 282 9 268 12 269 12 271 56682 53925 16 288 15 288 14 280 16 277 13 277 53925 51441 20 294 19 295 20 288 21 289 16 294 51441 49217 23 296 24 293 27 287 27 295 21 301 49217 47203 27 296 26 293 30 285 32 296 26 304 47203 45360 30 298 29 295 31 289 35 298 31 306 45360 43658 34 299 32 298 35 295 39 299 35 308 43658 42076 38 300 35 300 38 300 41 301 37 311 42076 40594 40 299 37 300 40 302 42 301 39 313 40594 39202 42 297 39 299 42 302 42 301 40 312 39202 37860 43 295 39 297 43 302 42 300 39 311 37860 36499 43 292 38 295 42 301 41 300 37 310 36499 35092 40 291 35 294 39 301 38 300 34 312 35092 33642 37 291 31 294 35 300 34 300 32 314 33642 32135 34 293 28 296 30 301 28 301 31 317 32135 30558 32 295 27 297 25 302 23 303 30 318 30558 28908 30 295 26 296 22 302 19 308 29 318 28908 27184 28 293 24 293 20 300 16 312 27 317 27184 25382 26 288 23 289 19 295 15 311 25 319 25382 23504 25 280 22 285 19 290 14 305 22 321 23504 21546 24 274 21 283 19 290 13 299 17 324 21546 19502 21 268 19 283 18 292 12 299 12 334 19502 17417 17 263 16 282 16 297 8 305 9 358 17417 15405 15 258 13 275 12 295 6 311 8 021 15405 13575 13 256 10 264 9 284 3 313 8 042 13575 11949 11 259 9 257 6 271 1 321 7 058 11949 10504 10 267 7 260 4 263 2 041 7 065 10504 9219 9 273 6 271 2 266 3 044 8 053 9219 8077 8 274 4 278 1 337 4 040 10 034 8077 7068 6 274 2 276 2*017 6 027 12 021 7068 6180 5 271 1*253 1*020 6*010 11 014 6180 5400 4 270 2*183 2 226 4*341 8 012 5400 4705 3 253 4 186 5 217 3 281 5 012 4705 4094 2*201 6 194 7 216 5 249 2 005 4094 3587 2*180 7 198 8 215 6 241 1 209 3587 3199 3 183 8 200 9 214 7 236 3 200 3199 2932 3 190 8 201 9 214 7 235 3 204 2932 2769 3 193 8 201 9 214 7 233 3*204 2769 2677 3 194 7 203 8 214 6 232 2*206 2677 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography