DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.6 - - 72.0 - - 76.9 - - 75.0 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 180 - - 304 - - 132 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 51 - - 659 - - 211 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 3760 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3588 - - 4196 - - 3748 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 555 - - 561 - - 735 - - 741 - - 586 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 88 - - 244 - - 127 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 299 - - 255 - - 252 - - 107 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 15 - - 25 - - 16 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4609 - - -2916 - - -2829 - - -2302 - - -2394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7233 - - 6505 - - 7026 - - 6050 - - 5019 sfcLCL ODpotential -14070 - - -9604 - - -8311 - - -7685 - - -10069 ODpotential blCL 16694 - - 13192 - - 12507 - - 11433 - - 12693 blCL maxRH 38 - - 58 - - 55 - - 61 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.6 - - 72.0 - - 76.9 - - 75.0 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 52.7 - - 55.1 - - 57.4 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.4 - - 71.3 - - 75.7 - - 74.6 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 51.6 - - 54.2 - - 56.8 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 180 - - 304 - - 132 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 51 - - 659 - - 211 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96777 38 291 30 286 42 289 39 302 33 282 96777 89515 18 300 14 278 31 274 30 304 25 313 89515 83988 7 317 7 309 21 268 25 296 26 323 83988 79429 4 350 7 328 12 298 16 274 19 306 79429 75498 10 345 5 344 9 340 7 267 11 309 75498 72045 15 344 7 359 4 352 0 339 5 009 72045 68940 10 354 10 017 7 012 5 018 7 047 68940 66092 10 356 6 026 7 352 4 320 5 003 66092 63460 8 332 6 039 7 003 7 347 7 355 63460 60922 6 298 9 354 8 338 10 337 12 349 60922 58277 12 325 8 346 4 276 9 291 12 308 58277 55509 22 330 16 348 11 352 8 328 9 282 55509 52844 29 316 22 327 19 339 15 344 10 333 52844 50435 29 298 21 310 18 316 15 320 14 323 50435 48256 18 321 19 307 16 307 12 312 12 292 48256 46257 26 343 24 328 24 343 29 358 20 004 46257 44427 38 346 41 336 42 343 41 352 32 010 44427 42758 44 339 31 341 37 339 28 351 28 008 42758 41213 45 010 37 032 23 030 13 026 14 048 41213 39766 51 026 42 036 32 051 20 068 16 095 39766 38405 51 029 31 037 29 052 22 076 20 088 38405 37092 49 028 26 029 21 043 18 079 19 072 37092 35759 33 014 21 001 14 010 14 073 18 058 35759 34376 26 005 24 355 18 010 13 059 18 052 34376 32944 19 360 21 352 22 020 13 024 19 051 32944 31450 14 360 18 347 23 022 17 017 17 052 31450 29882 9 014 14 348 19 016 16 019 15 060 29882 28243 9 017 9 345 13 005 12 007 15 075 28243 26537 8 349 8 309 11 003 9 355 7 093 26537 24768 4 311 11 285 8 357 8 355 1 022 24768 22939 6 302 13 293 8 333 9 004 10 353 22939 21042 7 303 12 297 10 320 11 002 15 003 21042 19072 7 307 10 299 9 312 8 354 13 009 19072 17068 8 319 6 309 7 310 6 328 11 354 17068 15138 8 329 5 347 5 335 4 329 10 336 15138 13382 8 331 7 013 7 007 7 351 10 334 13382 11815 7 329 11 017 8 015 9 007 11 339 11815 10417 8 329 13 015 8 024 9 021 11 341 10417 9169 10 331 12 011 9 029 9 029 10 344 9169 8055 12 331 10 010 11 027 10 025 9 349 8055 7063 11 335 11 013 13 019 12 014 10 353 7063 6183 12 343 13 014 13 009 13 001 12 356 6183 5403 15 353 14 013 11 359 11 345 13 355 5403 4702 19 357 13 011 8*353 8 336 12 353 4702 4080 19 357 9*006 4*332 5*331 9 350 4080 3560 16 353 5*348 4 258 2*295 6 351 3560 3160 13 349 3 298 4 244 3 255 4 003 3160 2885 11 349 3 278 5 239 3 243 2 042 2885 2718 8*347 3 266 5 236 3 241 1*092 2718 2623 4*348 3 260 5 235 3 237 2*113 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography