DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.1 - - 69.8 - - 74.0 - - 71.6 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -184 - - 22 - - 141 - - -3 - - -114 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1803 - - 483 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 4319 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 5340 - - 4020 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 97 - - 3973 - - 3791 - - 2013 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 34 - - 268 - - 62 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 075 - - 080 - - 072 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -52 - - -42 - - -22 - - -39 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7086 - - -9085 - - -7970 - - -9067 - - -11660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9709 - - 11709 - - 13310 - - 13087 - - 14283 sfcLCL ODpotential -14471 - - -14197 - - -13152 - - -14800 - - -19186 ODpotential blCL 17094 - - 16821 - - 18492 - - 18820 - - 21809 blCL maxRH 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 14 - - 13 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.1 - - 69.8 - - 74.0 - - 71.6 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.9 - - 28.0 - - 24.8 - - 23.6 - - 9.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.4 - - 70.4 - - 73.5 - - 72.5 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 26.9 - - 23.7 - - 22.5 - - 8.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -184 - - 22 - - 141 - - -3 - - -114 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1803 - - 483 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96205 19 278 25 291 21 290 31 289 10 337 96205 89105 23 314 18 305 19 293 22 298 21 321 89105 83670 15 309 10 313 15 294 15 319 14 315 83670 79148 8 317 8 326 14 306 14 336 16 337 79148 75253 8 001 7 316 15 326 14 351 15 340 75253 71809 15 336 9 345 10 332 8 007 12 325 71809 68678 13 310 8 343 14 355 15 010 14 359 68678 65805 17 319 21 339 26 333 19 348 14 334 65805 63137 22 301 19 312 17 340 7 329 5 316 63137 60524 16 288 17 325 18 355 23 353 28 343 60524 57810 23 316 28 336 29 338 31 327 28 334 57810 55007 37 299 34 334 31 328 28 314 15 316 55007 52288 42 293 32 331 29 338 17 346 13 349 52288 49802 39 306 32 342 31 346 19 360 30 005 49802 47587 37 315 29 347 27 352 29 016 34 028 47587 45594 27 312 26 344 30 351 37 016 30 048 45594 43760 20 319 14 340 21 345 40 020 40 061 43760 42059 19 326 18 355 17 019 35 037 50 053 42059 40484 17 017 17 007 22 024 33 055 56 056 40484 39028 39 045 17 054 11 020 37 065 59 061 39028 37678 38 037 28 063 18 088 44 066 54 065 37678 36388 25 035 29 060 41 085 44 065 49 070 36388 35082 24 038 26 060 38 077 41 072 54 079 35082 33727 28 037 28 065 31 081 42 076 55 088 33727 32326 33 049 32 075 34 091 40 071 61 090 32326 30868 38 062 36 075 37 089 33 069 56 090 30868 29347 38 068 36 085 35 089 27 077 46 095 29347 27765 38 067 33 090 31 091 26 085 39 099 27765 26117 34 066 31 078 30 082 26 084 36 099 26117 24401 28 073 28 069 30 074 26 076 31 094 24401 22620 26 076 24 070 30 068 24 069 27 078 22620 20767 26 075 25 066 30 064 25 065 28 071 20767 18835 26 072 27 062 30 065 28 065 30 071 18835 16864 24 067 27 064 30 067 31 067 31 074 16864 14962 21 065 25 067 27 069 30 069 30 076 14962 13228 19 065 22 068 23 071 25 071 26 075 13228 11685 16 063 20 069 19 072 19 073 20 073 11685 10310 13 064 17 071 16 077 15 081 15 080 10310 9083 11 068 14 076 13 089 15 093 13 095 9083 7988 9 073 10 084 12 102 16 099 13 109 7988 7011 9 084 9 093 12 103 18 096 14 113 7011 6145 10 092 9 100 13 096 20 088 15 110 6145 5374 12 091 9 103 13*085 21 081 17 102 5374 4681 15 085 11 100 13*080 21 077 19 092 4681 4065 18 077 13 090 12 079 19*074 22 084 4065 3551 23 071 14 082 11 079 16*073 25 077 3551 3154 25 067 13 078 10 079 13 072 25 073 3154 2882 22 066 11 076 8 081 10 072 21 069 2882 2717 17*063 8*075 7 083 9 073 15*064 2717 2622 10*056 5*074 5 087 5 075 9*057 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography