DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 70.8 - - 68.4 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 543 - - 300 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 592 - - 1148 - - 640 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3780 - - 4217 - - 3731 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4129 - - 4685 - - 4177 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 434 - - 670 - - 616 - - 972 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 352 - - 238 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 196 - - 200 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 39 - - 34 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -638 - - -1231 - - -1440 - - -1118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4767 - - 5916 - - 5617 - - 3741 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5931 - - -4918 - - -5925 - - -7114 ODpotential blCL - - - 10060 - - 9603 - - 10102 - - 9737 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 73 - - 71 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 70.8 - - 68.4 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.8 - - 53.8 - - 52.7 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 68.6 - - 67.1 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 53.4 - - 52.5 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 543 - - 300 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 592 - - 1148 - - 640 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98193 10 124 13 106 9 145 6 133 98193 90788 11 143 7 149 7 099 7 125 90788 85095 17 150 9 176 4 120 10 102 85095 80362 10 179 6 177 3 166 3 065 80362 76288 8 190 7 211 4 237 3 343 76288 72678 4 225 9 216 9 228 4 250 72678 69389 6 226 10 229 8 250 4 302 69389 66363 7 256 11 241 10 268 9 298 66363 63572 6 269 13 246 14 262 14 283 63572 60880 9 281 13 255 13 263 17 281 60880 58080 15 283 17 271 17 269 23 279 58080 55188 21 287 22 276 22 272 26 276 55188 52444 26 287 23 283 26 274 28 279 52444 49982 27 282 25 284 26 274 29 276 49982 47783 23 276 25 279 24 268 29 268 47783 45803 19 267 21 272 22 263 27 263 45803 44000 12 261 14 248 20 252 25 261 44000 42342 10 275 11 218 16 242 23 255 42342 40798 13 279 10 221 14 236 20 241 40798 39352 16 274 11 239 16 228 17 231 39352 37988 16 268 14 253 15 222 17 229 37988 36671 15 259 16 257 16 245 17 228 36671 35334 16 254 17 266 18 258 14 229 35334 33950 14 238 17 272 18 261 16 234 33950 32521 16 208 18 264 17 263 18 236 32521 31035 14 217 15 249 18 261 18 244 31035 29482 9 267 9 258 16 253 17 253 29482 27863 12 289 11 263 12 227 15 254 27863 26178 14 288 12 265 12 222 14 239 26178 24430 10 279 9 265 11 227 13 225 24430 22623 7 255 8 253 9 241 12 220 22623 20750 8 248 9 256 9 250 8 235 20750 18804 8 255 7 262 8 259 6 245 18804 16827 5 195 5 201 6 222 8 220 16827 14924 5 167 4 180 4 176 6 174 14924 13194 5 155 5 148 7 130 10 130 13194 11654 6 152 8 128 10 124 11 121 11654 10281 8 152 10 121 10 140 8 130 10281 9053 7 147 10 123 10 163 6 163 9053 7957 4 157 8 139 9 183 6 194 7957 6980 2 194 8 155 9 193 8 212 6980 6114 1 226 7 164 7 193 8 213 6114 5346 1 259 6*174 5 193 7 207 5346 4657 1*173 6*182 4*189 5 201 4657 4047 3*167 6 189 5*190 4 190 4047 3539 4 184 8 196 6 199 4 175 3539 3148 6 192 8 200 7 201 4 166 3148 2879 6 196 9 202 8 204 4 166 2879 2716 6 197 8 203 8 205 4*170 2716 2622 6 199 7 204 7 205 3*170 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography