DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.0 - - 71.2 - - 76.5 - - 74.7 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 186 - - 317 - - 122 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 526 - - 465 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 3661 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 2624 - - 4063 - - 4002 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 425 - - 1263 - - 970 - - 1202 - - 747 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 61 - - 230 - - 161 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 186 - - 176 - - 175 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 17 - - 27 - - 25 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4379 - - -3374 - - -3618 - - -3215 - - -3123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7004 - - 5998 - - 7681 - - 7217 - - 5747 sfcLCL ODpotential -11918 - - -8936 - - -7577 - - -7502 - - -9600 ODpotential blCL 14542 - - 11560 - - 11640 - - 11504 - - 12223 blCL maxRH 35 - - 56 - - 84 - - 90 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 170 - - 200 - - 280 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.0 - - 71.2 - - 76.5 - - 74.7 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.0 - - 54.0 - - 51.9 - - 52.1 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.2 - - 70.5 - - 75.0 - - 74.5 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.8 - - 52.9 - - 50.8 - - 51.4 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 186 - - 317 - - 122 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 526 - - 465 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 60 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96787 41 270 45 283 46 285 35 291 40 286 96787 89488 22 295 29 291 31 284 32 296 27 295 89488 83935 18 316 12 266 25 280 26 296 22 323 83935 79355 15 317 2 208 20 265 20 293 22 327 79355 75415 12 310 8 300 14 269 13 286 13 311 75415 71946 8 278 11 295 9 270 11 279 9 293 71946 68801 11 279 9 281 10 263 13 261 12 277 68801 65912 16 281 11 269 14 265 14 270 16 267 65912 63261 18 269 14 265 15 265 14 284 12 274 63261 60709 17 267 17 274 15 264 15 281 13 290 60709 58039 18 272 19 277 16 259 19 263 18 261 58039 55252 26 261 22 265 21 255 22 254 21 243 55252 52571 28 248 26 253 28 252 29 245 26 236 52571 50138 27 245 26 248 30 246 33 241 30 239 50138 47935 28 246 25 246 30 242 35 239 34 236 47935 45913 29 247 27 241 32 238 35 232 39 235 45913 44044 30 244 31 235 34 232 36 234 41 236 44044 42312 29 242 32 231 35 225 39 236 42 236 42312 40711 33 237 33 220 38 217 42 226 43 232 40711 39237 35 224 34 214 40 210 42 218 47 219 39237 37876 30 216 34 205 39 209 44 214 55 212 37876 36572 27 215 32 204 35 209 40 218 54 210 36572 35249 25 214 30 204 33 214 35 221 49 216 35249 33879 24 213 29 205 32 217 31 222 41 219 33879 32466 24 214 30 204 31 213 29 222 36 220 32466 30997 27 211 33 199 33 207 28 220 31 221 30997 29461 30 206 33 197 34 203 27 216 28 225 29461 27857 33 204 34 204 32 211 25 216 26 228 27857 26188 34 208 33 212 27 217 20 219 23 222 26188 24456 29 212 29 216 23 222 18 218 20 214 24456 22662 23 211 26 207 23 215 19 208 18 211 22662 20800 21 204 27 201 26 206 24 203 20 208 20800 18863 19 197 24 201 27 203 26 204 22 211 18863 16891 18 181 20 198 25 202 26 207 23 217 16891 14990 14 180 18 186 21 200 22 216 19 221 14990 13258 14 189 18 184 18 194 18 221 16 223 13258 11712 13 184 15 185 17 188 14 218 16 223 11712 10331 13 172 13 182 15 179 13 210 17 221 10331 9097 12 157 11 177 12 171 13 197 18 219 9097 7995 10 137 11 164 11 162 13 186 17 215 7995 7012 8 119 11 151 11 152 14 181 17 208 7012 6143 8 109 12 139 12 148 14 175 16 201 6143 5372 8 101 10 126 13 144 13 167 14 192 5372 4679 8 091 7 114 12 139 11 158 12 176 4679 4065 8 079 5 113 8*144 9*157 10 163 4065 3551 7 072 3 122 7*163 8*166 8 150 3551 3155 5 064 3 161 7 175 8 173 7 139 3155 2883 3 038 4 189 7 181 8 178 7 135 2883 2717 2*012 4*192 7 184 7 180 5*126 2717 2622 2*356 4*196 6 187 6 182 3*046 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography