DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 57.9 - - 56.7 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 248 - - 196 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1610 - - 2624 - - 2436 - - 1128 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3918 - - 5121 - - 4887 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5147 - - 6161 - - 5973 - - 4665 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1389 - - 1405 - - 1293 - - 1532 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 362 - - 324 - - 141 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 214 - - 224 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 51 - - 64 - - 47 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1980 - - 1967 - - 1332 - - 1737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3167 - - 4194 - - 4641 - - 2928 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1063 - - 896 - - 310 - - 864 ODpotential blCL - - - 4084 - - 5265 - - 5663 - - 3801 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 89 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 60 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 57.9 - - 56.7 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 48.5 - - 45.3 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 57.1 - - 56.2 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 47.5 - - 44.8 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 248 - - 196 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1610 - - 2624 - - 2436 - - 1128 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 55 - - 43 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97468 45 276 43 269 47 271 50 285 97468 90077 41 282 49 285 47 291 44 282 90077 84395 35 286 43 292 39 292 35 286 84395 79694 23 274 29 273 30 282 24 285 79694 75653 16 273 18 267 25 272 18 289 75653 72081 15 279 15 258 23 267 21 274 72081 68848 14 272 13 231 19 247 24 252 68848 65879 10 258 9 236 10 206 16 232 65879 63099 17 244 19 271 13 253 11 255 63099 60367 23 235 29 262 27 258 26 260 60367 57512 26 231 33 252 34 257 33 254 57512 54570 25 238 33 243 38 254 35 258 54570 51772 30 248 31 233 37 249 42 260 51772 49262 29 253 27 227 36 253 40 254 49262 47027 32 266 30 252 38 256 42 262 47027 45021 40 269 36 261 38 263 50 267 45021 43208 39 263 43 279 43 276 53 264 43208 41548 39 284 52 284 51 277 51 272 41548 40015 43 291 46 283 53 273 61 284 40015 38586 43 306 46 299 51 273 65 287 38586 37246 49 311 53 303 49 273 58 282 37246 35955 43 305 52 299 47 274 52 275 35955 34644 33 295 47 292 47 273 48 265 34644 33284 29 282 43 282 49 270 47 256 33284 31878 32 274 42 270 51 269 49 259 31878 30413 34 271 42 266 51 267 49 261 30413 28880 33 273 41 266 48 263 49 262 28880 27280 30 273 38 264 46 258 49 262 27280 25616 31 266 37 258 46 253 47 258 25616 23892 33 263 37 254 46 248 48 256 23892 22112 33 257 38 250 44 248 50 254 22112 20270 34 253 37 251 40 253 50 255 20270 18362 34 254 32 254 36 256 49 250 18362 16426 31 258 28 254 34 252 47 245 16426 14562 29 262 26 251 33 244 46 241 14562 12868 26 263 25 246 33 240 44 242 12868 11361 22 265 23 242 32 237 42 243 11361 10021 21 260 23 238 29 237 37 244 10021 8827 17 256 20 236 25 237 30 239 8827 7767 14 247 15 230 19 233 23 228 7767 6827 12 235 12*222 15 226 18 220 6827 5997 11 222 12*215 13*222 14 217 5997 5261 10*213 11 214 13*222 12*215 5261 4599 9*204 12 214 14 223 12*215 4599 4010 8 188 12 214 14 224 12 215 4010 3517 8 181 12 214 14 225 12 214 3517 3136 8 178 12 214 14 225 11 213 3136 2873 8 178 11 215 14 224 10 212 2873 2713 7 178 10 215 13 224 9 211 2713 2622 6 178 8 215 10 224 7 211 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography