DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 46.3 - - 47.6 - - 50.2 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 81 - - 80 - - 76 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 11 - - 29 - - 1133 - - 558 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 3548 - - 3566 - - 4670 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1704 - - 1244 - - 1379 - - 1077 - - 1522 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 40 - - 55 - - 185 - - 25 W* B/S 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 199 - - 192 - - 202 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 23 - - 28 - - 31 - - 36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -47 - - 927 - - 945 - - 880 - - 10 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2669 - - 2621 - - 2622 - - 3790 - - 4085 sfcLCL ODpotential -781 - - 398 - - 343 - - 15 - - -6432 ODpotential blCL 3403 - - 3150 - - 3223 - - 4655 - - 10527 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 46.3 - - 47.6 - - 50.2 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.9 - - 44.4 - - 45.5 - - 42.7 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.9 - - 46.4 - - 47.7 - - 50.4 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.8 - - 44.1 - - 45.2 - - 42.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 81 - - 80 - - 76 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 11 - - 29 - - 1133 - - 558 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 100 - - 102 - - 77 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97213 4 126 9 262 8 303 4 269 3 284 97213 89835 4 020 6 246 5 177 6 191 4 219 89835 84186 5 086 7 198 10 184 6 253 7 245 84186 79511 4 343 2 245 2 148 6 219 8 286 79511 75488 1 234 1 190 4 211 4 237 6 323 75488 71932 3 291 4 153 8 220 8 238 5 314 71932 68715 4 296 4 191 5 218 7 203 4 216 68715 65762 14 247 15 252 9 253 11 258 4 218 65762 63020 20 220 21 227 22 228 21 258 14 246 63020 60355 17 230 23 220 29 216 28 244 28 246 60355 57561 27 240 25 228 26 218 29 227 31 238 57561 54641 39 245 33 248 31 249 29 238 32 237 54641 51847 46 245 47 248 41 250 37 250 37 241 51847 49338 51 240 54 243 51 251 45 250 43 247 49338 47098 54 236 58 242 57 246 51 246 47 246 47098 45075 58 234 60 242 58 243 54 241 51 243 45075 43227 63 233 67 242 62 243 58 237 56 243 43227 41527 67 234 73 242 68 242 64 236 64 243 41527 39947 73 236 81 241 80 240 72 236 68 241 39947 38474 72 237 89 239 91 236 82 234 68 239 38474 37095 72 239 97 237 95 235 89 232 67 240 37095 35774 77 241 99 237 99 236 92 232 64 243 35774 34447 81 239 95 234 101 236 93 232 59 244 34447 33085 79 238 90 231 98 234 93 232 51 246 33085 31687 79 238 83 232 93 232 91 231 43 250 31687 30238 77 238 76 234 85 230 86 231 39 255 30238 28724 67 237 69 236 76 230 80 231 35 258 28724 27147 55 235 63 234 71 233 71 232 31 262 27147 25504 44 235 52 228 65 233 61 232 27 267 25504 23799 37 231 39 217 55 231 50 232 25 269 23799 22037 31 220 30 210 40 226 33 237 19 268 22037 20214 28 211 28 210 31 218 24 237 14 270 20214 18322 20 197 20 203 21 208 19 239 13 278 18322 16397 20 180 16 184 14 188 12 216 10 264 16397 14545 22 183 17 181 13 181 11 183 7 228 14545 12859 19 192 13 188 11 187 9 174 8 194 12859 11358 15 198 10 195 9 186 7 174 8 207 11358 10018 12 203 8 196 8 185 7 173 5 223 10018 8821 10 200 8 190 8 194 8 185 3 241 8821 7756 10 194 7 182 8 191 7 188 4 275 7756 6811 9 189 6 182 7 186 7 194 5 293 6811 5980 9 188 6 189 7 185 8 197 5 279 5980 5247 9 191 8 203 9 200 9*198 7 273 5247 4587 9 204 7 205 9 201 9*202 8*269 4587 4002 7 207 5*201 8*197 9 203 9*256 4002 3511 4 189 5*199 8*194 8 203 9 249 3511 3133 4 172 6 199 8 192 8 203 9 245 3133 2871 3 158 5 199 7 191 7 202 8 241 2871 2713 3*154 5 200 6 191 7 203 6 238 2713 2621 2*152 4 198 5 191 6 202 4 235 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography