DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 82.4 - - 80.1 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 507 - - 593 - - 359 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 314 - - 1151 - - 751 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4231 - - 3856 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3851 - - 4688 - - 4288 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 456 - - 534 - - 702 - - 1069 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 361 - - 265 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 234 - - 222 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 38 - - 35 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2519 - - -3618 - - -3414 - - -2023 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6370 - - 8306 - - 7702 - - 4647 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7676 - - -7460 - - -7879 - - -8933 ODpotential blCL - - - 11527 - - 12148 - - 12167 - - 11557 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 82 - - 63 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 82.4 - - 80.1 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.4 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 79.7 - - 78.4 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 55.0 - - 55.4 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 507 - - 593 - - 359 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 314 - - 1151 - - 751 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98840 43 095 41 110 30 124 29 093 98840 91425 33 109 32 107 31 103 34 090 91425 85715 31 113 29 112 32 096 30 092 85715 80979 30 110 30 111 28 098 26 102 80979 76892 29 096 26 109 24 103 24 105 76892 73268 26 096 24 097 26 106 20 101 73268 69989 18 109 18 090 20 097 19 102 69989 66991 11 125 12 097 20 084 16 098 66991 64229 14 125 12 092 14 080 16 082 64229 61572 15 109 9 108 11 087 12 088 61572 58815 9 080 15 119 8 127 9 084 58815 55974 5 112 4 103 10 138 5 092 55974 53277 10 139 9 191 4 213 1 206 53277 50853 7 126 13 167 12 192 8 221 50853 48689 4 140 6 163 10 180 11 205 48689 46725 2 122 7 177 6 217 8 218 46725 44915 4 003 6 148 6 190 7 218 44915 43231 7 339 2 029 4 179 5 239 43231 41653 6 344 4 355 3 202 3 244 41653 40166 8 002 7 013 1 150 2 069 40166 38763 12 351 12 351 7 351 6 052 38763 37406 12 338 13 347 11 349 7 018 37406 36030 11 347 13 348 12 347 11 354 36030 34607 14 003 13 351 14 351 14 348 34607 33141 18 011 15 358 16 354 16 347 33141 31618 22 015 17 007 18 356 16 352 31618 30027 24 018 20 014 20 356 18 359 30027 28371 24 022 22 019 22 001 22 002 28371 26650 24 030 22 025 22 010 25 007 26650 24867 21 036 20 031 20 017 26 012 24867 23027 18 043 18 040 19 024 24 016 23027 21123 20 044 18 043 19 037 22 021 21123 19149 20 043 17 042 19 040 21 029 19149 17143 12 037 13 037 15 040 18 037 17143 15212 6 010 10 032 9 045 12 053 15212 13452 3 339 6 038 5 067 10 073 13452 11879 2 323 4 047 5 081 8 082 11879 10471 4 347 4 086 5 093 2 089 10471 9211 7 344 5 083 2 114 1 028 9211 8084 8 335 3 042 2 300 3 285 8084 7080 9 330 3 351 4 304 5 285 7080 6192 9 327 4 330 6 304 6 286 6192 5405 9 332 4 323 6 302 5 280 5405 4700 7 339 3*293 3*289 4 270 4700 4077 4*332 4*258 3*250 2 230 4077 3558 3*238 6 236 6 223 4 147 3558 3160 5 221 7 231 7 219 5 153 3160 2885 6 218 8 229 7 217 5 166 2885 2718 6 217 8 228 7 218 5*170 2718 2623 6 216 7 227 7 217 4*173 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography