DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 55.9 - - 63.9 - - 65.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -83 - - 41 - - 236 - - 73 - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2551 - - 2066 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2604 - - 2605 - - 5038 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2623 - - 6088 - - 5603 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 181 - - 2059 - - 1378 - - 2352 - - 338 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 40 - - 349 - - 220 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 027 - - 356 - - 019 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -33 - - 26 - - -31 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2663 - - -5067 - - -5290 - - -8153 - - -10395 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5285 - - 7690 - - 11378 - - 13757 - - 13019 sfcLCL ODpotential -13834 - - -13723 - - -12102 - - -15451 - - -20200 ODpotential blCL 16456 - - 16346 - - 18190 - - 21054 - - 22823 blCL maxRH 84 - - 69 - - 80 - - 75 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 55.9 - - 63.9 - - 65.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.9 - - 31.7 - - 23.2 - - 14.1 - - 6.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.4 - - 56.4 - - 63.0 - - 65.4 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 30.4 - - 22.2 - - 13.3 - - 5.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -83 - - 41 - - 236 - - 73 - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2551 - - 2066 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97139 15 309 24 310 20 342 13 030 6 016 97139 89995 4 071 9 022 9 010 14 065 18 055 89995 84409 13 068 11 052 8 057 15 069 14 080 84409 79756 7 062 14 061 10 058 17 075 12 085 79756 75752 6 005 14 052 7 058 16 075 14 089 75752 72219 2 112 8 032 5 024 10 026 13 043 72219 69039 7 013 5 032 4 325 7 339 17 019 69039 66129 15 295 10 291 15 306 18 326 19 344 66129 63437 19 289 17 281 18 276 23 289 19 308 63437 60831 24 268 24 275 26 263 32 277 27 284 60831 58102 30 264 36 267 35 264 39 274 38 277 58102 55254 39 266 43 262 43 260 45 265 45 273 55254 52514 52 265 47 261 48 254 53 258 53 265 52514 50036 62 261 54 258 55 253 60 253 60 259 50036 47816 69 254 61 254 65 252 67 252 62 257 47816 45797 71 252 67 253 68 251 68 253 59 254 45797 43935 77 254 73 259 72 256 66 257 63 261 43935 42204 85 253 83 259 80 259 75 264 74 264 42204 40591 91 250 91 255 91 255 90 259 90 261 40591 39084 96 249 97 251 102 249 100 252 99 255 39084 37677 105 249 103 247 103 246 103 250 102 253 37677 36335 114 247 108 245 105 245 105 247 106 250 36335 34989 112 247 109 247 106 247 109 246 108 250 34989 33606 104 250 104 250 103 254 106 251 100 248 33606 32184 99 260 96 254 102 260 102 254 97 255 32184 30708 92 266 88 259 93 265 96 258 88 261 30708 29167 80 263 77 261 77 262 85 259 75 254 29167 27561 76 256 71 258 70 253 72 258 67 249 27561 25895 74 253 70 252 68 251 66 260 58 251 25895 24167 67 257 71 255 67 259 61 262 58 253 24167 22376 59 260 59 260 63 260 57 262 53 263 22376 20522 53 261 50 262 53 260 50 264 42 270 20522 18600 50 262 47 263 46 261 44 269 32 280 18600 16647 47 270 44 267 40 265 38 272 28 283 16647 14766 43 279 38 270 36 267 35 275 26 279 14766 13053 38 286 32 275 31 273 31 281 25 282 13053 11528 32 292 26 284 26 284 26 290 22 288 11528 10169 25 296 22 293 21 299 19 306 19 294 10169 8957 20 301 19 302 17 317 14 329 16 300 8957 7878 16 309 16 316 15 338 11 354 14 306 7878 6917 14 319 14 329 13*354 11 011 12 313 6917 6067 11 326 11 337 11*001 12*021 12 320 6067 5313 7 331 9 350 9 004 13*024 10 325 5313 4636 7 353 10 010 8 001 13 023 10 337 4636 4034 8 020 13 024 6 355 12 020 11 355 4034 3530 13 029 13 029 4 345 11 017 14 010 3530 3143 14 035 11 029 3 335 11 015 16 018 3143 2876 13 041 9 027 3 319 10 013 14 023 2876 2714 11*042 8*025 2 311 8 012 12*024 2714 2622 7*041 4*022 2 298 6 011 7*026 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography