DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 66.6 - - 72.8 - - 70.4 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 227 - - 344 - - 160 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 976 - - 3055 - - 1405 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3912 - - 5548 - - 4077 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4513 - - 6592 - - 4942 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1620 - - 1652 - - 2438 - - 1603 - - 1400 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 254 - - 423 - - 254 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 344 - - 257 - - 273 - - 276 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 25 - - 32 - - 27 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5309 - - -2747 - - -3125 - - -2426 - - -2771 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7932 - - 7260 - - 9717 - - 7369 - - 5395 sfcLCL ODpotential -11069 - - -6998 - - -6730 - - -5623 - - -8351 ODpotential blCL 13692 - - 11511 - - 13322 - - 10565 - - 10974 blCL maxRH 84 - - 85 - - 61 - - 52 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 66.6 - - 72.8 - - 70.4 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 43.9 - - 39.3 - - 47.1 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 65.7 - - 71.5 - - 69.8 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.5 - - 42.7 - - 38.1 - - 46.4 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 227 - - 344 - - 160 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 976 - - 3055 - - 1405 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96871 37 292 38 284 49 277 56 292 53 302 96871 89634 32 309 25 301 29 287 34 296 35 300 89634 84115 20 313 17 314 16 311 18 322 20 316 84115 79547 11 293 15 310 17 314 15 333 22 338 79547 75607 10 306 13 304 15 326 11 342 18 340 75607 72131 11 334 8 322 10 335 12 348 10 348 72131 68979 8 340 6 350 6 331 7 306 10 339 68979 66069 9 340 5 010 6 322 2 287 9 291 66069 63362 15 299 10 279 16 289 16 285 16 285 63362 60735 24 271 18 258 19 263 25 274 25 272 60735 57975 31 257 26 267 26 271 31 262 30 258 57975 55074 34 260 41 264 40 268 37 272 35 267 55074 52280 49 262 44 261 48 263 53 269 50 267 52280 49762 48 256 53 270 49 271 48 272 47 274 49762 47515 41 261 58 265 57 271 53 277 52 285 47515 45496 45 277 57 262 62 268 60 277 60 284 45496 43666 53 278 54 271 59 271 59 280 60 284 43666 41991 60 276 48 274 50 275 58 285 61 287 41991 40440 68 274 49 276 51 280 64 286 64 286 40440 38989 77 273 54 277 57 284 70 284 61 288 38989 37624 83 271 56 280 57 288 70 283 57 297 37624 36313 79 268 55 283 55 293 64 291 58 305 36313 34991 70 258 52 283 53 296 63 302 57 306 34991 33630 66 252 45 285 50 301 63 309 59 307 33630 32228 56 257 32 289 46 305 62 312 57 313 32228 30769 39 264 23 298 39 304 59 317 48 317 30769 29242 29 246 22 304 32 303 52 320 42 317 29242 27649 23 246 21 303 29 308 43 321 39 316 27649 25989 24 258 20 292 31 314 36 323 36 315 25989 24265 23 267 22 290 31 317 30 322 32 316 24265 22480 22 270 24 303 28 323 26 319 28 318 22480 20627 11 291 17 310 25 328 24 321 27 318 20627 18701 9 352 11 323 21 335 20 326 24 317 18701 16742 9 350 11 346 17 333 16 332 18 319 16742 14860 5 007 13 010 13 333 13 327 14 322 14860 13145 2 056 12 026 10 340 11 317 12 325 13145 11615 0 101 7 029 9 345 10 308 11 329 11615 10249 1 012 4 355 10 341 10 306 12 331 10249 9028 4 357 5 320 12 336 10 310 13 330 9028 7938 5 347 6 307 12 330 10 311 15 330 7938 6967 6 329 7 297 10*324 11 311 15 326 6967 6107 6 313 7 294 7*307 10 311 14 320 6107 5344 6 300 7 293 6 299 9*306 12 312 5344 4658 6 292 5*292 6 281 8*301 9 304 4658 4050 4 284 4*281 6 266 7 287 7 302 4050 3541 2 280 5 262 7 257 7 272 5 307 3541 3150 1 283 5 254 7 250 7 265 3 321 3150 2880 1 324 6 248 7 248 7 260 1 351 2880 2716 2*344 5 246 7 246 7 258 1*033 2716 2622 2*355 5 243 6 244 6 255 2*043 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography