DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 89.4 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 580 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 585 - - 1052 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3789 - - 4155 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4122 - - 4589 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 436 - - 1096 - - - - - 858 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 348 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 232 - - - - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 39 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4627 - - -5165 - - - - - -3308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8750 - - 9755 - - - - - 5933 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12668 - - -9734 - - - - - -10857 ODpotential blCL - - - 16790 - - 14323 - - - - - 13482 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 41 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 89.4 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 55.7 - - - - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 86.7 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 55.6 - - - - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 580 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 585 - - 1052 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99288 59 113 52 111 43 108 99288 91786 38 107 43 107 42 104 91786 86025 34 118 32 111 36 100 86025 81252 38 111 31 120 33 098 81252 77136 35 106 35 119 30 098 77136 73514 29 110 28 103 25 105 73514 70255 28 116 22 111 21 110 70255 67271 23 106 20 128 15 128 67271 64517 18 106 18 120 18 110 64517 61864 10 093 18 113 20 109 61864 59135 7 161 9 113 12 113 59135 56342 17 172 13 192 8 168 56342 53697 15 160 22 182 8 230 53697 51325 4 143 19 177 15 222 51325 49189 5 318 7 179 14 196 49189 47229 7 271 4 239 9 154 47229 45413 7 266 5 253 6 155 45413 43717 9 227 7 235 6 176 43717 42122 13 212 11 221 7 197 42122 40619 13 204 10 237 9 211 40619 39201 7 201 3 237 7 218 39201 37832 3 297 3 015 4 165 37832 36445 8 338 7 027 9 117 36445 35010 11 006 10 041 11 092 35010 33529 13 008 10 051 12 075 33529 31991 12 355 10 038 9 070 31991 30382 10 346 10 016 8 065 30382 28705 9 338 7 003 9 072 28705 26962 10 342 5 345 7 075 26962 25157 9 348 4 330 4 058 25157 23290 7 313 4 280 3 053 23290 21352 4 328 3 264 5 066 21352 19338 1 286 6 271 6 074 19338 17289 5 242 9 261 3 093 17289 15319 13 251 14 250 4 267 15319 13532 18 247 17 237 11 248 13532 11944 19 238 18 229 16 235 11944 10528 17 231 17 229 16 233 10528 9261 13 231 14 229 13 236 9261 8131 8 239 9 224 10 238 8131 7124 5 260 6 211 8 240 7124 6233 4 287 5 209 7 240 6233 5442 6 315 4 234 6 247 5442 4731 7*327 4*250 5 259 4731 4101 5*317 5*246 4 266 4101 3574 4 271 6 235 3 280 3574 3169 5 254 8 231 1 233 3169 2890 6 244 8 228 1 201 2890 2721 6 242 8 227 2*198 2721 2624 6 238 7 226 2*194 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography