DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 62.4 - - 56.9 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 71 - - -35 - - -106 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1266 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 4803 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3567 - - 2536 - - 1880 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 196 - - 18 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 072 - - 074 - - 061 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -49 - - -33 - - -23 - - -39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4669 - - -4407 - - -6011 - - -7613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7292 - - 9210 - - 8635 - - 10237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13556 - - -14017 - - -15378 - - -18712 ODpotential blCL - - - 16179 - - 18820 - - 18001 - - 21335 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 72 - - 24 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 62.4 - - 56.9 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 31.4 - - 28.7 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 62.7 - - 59.6 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 30.1 - - 27.4 - - 15.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 71 - - -35 - - -106 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1266 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96597 42 078 45 084 48 090 30 083 96597 89458 48 094 42 093 44 088 37 091 89458 83948 55 097 46 098 45 091 41 087 83948 79350 51 095 47 098 40 097 41 086 79350 75352 37 090 36 095 33 093 38 087 75352 71788 25 085 20 103 18 084 27 090 71788 68560 16 081 16 097 7 035 15 072 68560 65603 10 068 7 075 4 354 9 070 65603 62869 5 335 9 349 4 340 6 009 62869 60223 8 310 12 338 3 283 8 312 60223 57455 13 289 19 318 7 312 11 311 57455 54587 9 289 18 298 14 306 15 300 54587 51883 12 355 8 321 12 295 11 273 51883 49485 25 007 16 008 13 001 5 071 49485 47372 27 348 18 353 13 007 15 024 47372 45483 18 353 9 340 9 017 12 013 45483 43755 32 057 26 071 20 062 11 017 43755 42144 56 059 36 064 24 055 11 032 42144 40628 61 059 40 061 28 053 17 040 40628 39196 60 056 44 055 30 050 21 031 39196 37842 59 054 44 054 30 049 21 028 37842 36530 55 051 43 055 29 049 20 032 36530 35200 51 047 41 055 31 050 21 037 35200 33821 49 043 39 051 31 051 21 041 33821 32397 45 041 39 047 28 054 20 038 32397 30915 41 038 38 045 22 053 19 028 30915 29362 37 034 35 042 19 057 17 028 29362 27740 35 033 31 031 17 057 14 032 27740 26055 33 033 30 023 18 044 12 031 26055 24312 30 032 27 023 21 034 13 027 24312 22512 27 032 24 024 24 029 16 024 22512 20646 24 034 21 025 24 030 17 024 20646 18704 21 036 18 024 21 033 16 023 18704 16722 20 033 15 021 17 031 14 022 16722 14808 20 027 14 021 15 031 13 026 14808 13066 19 032 16 032 16 037 14 040 13066 11521 16 046 16 043 15 046 15 054 11521 10153 12 066 14 058 11 061 13 069 10153 8939 8 084 11 079 8 078 11 089 8939 7861 5 096 9 094 7 093 10 111 7861 6904 5 111 10 102 7 108 9 127 6904 6058 6 114 11 100 9 113 9 134 6058 5307 8 106 13*090 11 105 9 134 5307 4631 11 094 15*078 15 087 9 128 4631 4032 14 084 14 074 20 074 10 122 4032 3530 18 076 13 073 21 069 10 116 3530 3143 16 073 11 072 18 066 13 090 3143 2876 12 072 9 073 14 064 14 077 2876 2714 9*072 8 075 11*063 12*069 2714 2622 5*073 5 078 5*061 8*060 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography