DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.2 - - 64.9 - - 68.0 - - 68.3 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 20 - - 77 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 297 - - 244 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3834 - - 3781 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1431 - - 1760 - - 986 - - 1234 - - 843 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 36 - - 129 - - 67 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 304 - - 291 - - 311 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4560 - - -2823 - - -738 - - -376 - - -2997 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7183 - - 5447 - - 4573 - - 4157 - - 5621 sfcLCL ODpotential -14028 - - -10689 - - -6005 - - -5465 - - -10427 ODpotential blCL 16651 - - 13313 - - 9839 - - 9246 - - 13051 blCL maxRH 45 - - 55 - - 88 - - 84 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.2 - - 64.9 - - 68.0 - - 68.3 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.5 - - 50.2 - - 56.8 - - 58.9 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.3 - - 65.4 - - 68.1 - - 69.2 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 48.9 - - 55.5 - - 57.5 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 20 - - 77 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 297 - - 244 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 54 - - 37 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 5 089 6 030 3 029 11 089 1 040 96426 89280 6 044 9 102 6 068 8 087 8 055 89280 83749 4 026 7 106 3 062 8 355 16 025 83749 79177 10 025 10 097 3 091 4 009 8 001 79177 75252 10 358 10 014 10 358 10 354 6 356 75252 71789 7 342 12 037 8 002 9 357 11 034 71789 68680 27 342 23 337 27 332 25 332 24 337 68680 65860 21 332 24 338 25 337 21 330 29 335 65860 63255 34 327 37 340 36 343 31 343 33 350 63255 60705 44 307 49 318 47 316 40 323 37 331 60705 58017 47 301 51 310 49 311 44 310 44 318 58017 55215 51 298 54 299 56 300 54 303 60 304 55215 52536 51 291 56 291 57 292 60 295 64 295 52536 50127 57 281 59 287 59 285 62 284 63 285 50127 47978 58 279 62 282 63 284 64 281 64 279 47978 46037 62 283 60 278 64 282 65 281 65 280 46037 44254 59 281 55 276 61 270 66 275 66 278 44254 42600 57 282 55 279 57 269 64 271 63 277 42600 41061 61 276 56 280 52 274 60 270 61 279 41061 39614 60 271 53 274 48 273 55 269 60 274 39614 38246 58 275 50 275 46 277 51 269 55 269 38246 36924 56 276 48 282 46 281 46 272 52 271 36924 35581 53 276 45 283 45 280 44 275 48 275 35581 34189 51 276 46 278 43 276 46 277 47 275 34189 32752 50 274 49 275 46 273 48 279 49 273 32752 31257 51 274 50 271 50 272 50 279 52 274 31257 29694 53 273 48 270 52 275 50 279 52 276 29694 28066 54 272 46 271 52 277 48 281 51 276 28066 26373 54 273 48 274 51 277 48 279 50 277 26373 24615 52 276 50 276 51 275 49 276 50 278 24615 22796 50 277 49 278 49 274 48 273 50 279 22796 20908 48 276 47 277 46 274 45 272 47 278 20908 18949 47 274 46 274 46 273 44 276 43 279 18949 16958 46 277 44 273 44 275 42 281 39 284 16958 15044 45 280 43 276 42 278 41 285 37 288 15044 13301 44 281 41 279 40 284 41 290 37 292 13301 11746 41 284 36 285 35 290 37 293 35 297 11746 10359 37 288 31 293 30 295 31 297 32 301 10359 9119 33 292 28 300 26 300 26 302 28 305 9119 8013 28 295 26 302 24 303 22 307 24 309 8013 7028 23 296 24 303 21 306 19 312 20 312 7028 6155 19 296 20 304 18 310 15 319 16 317 6155 5381 16 296 16 307 14 315 13 328 14 325 5381 4686 12 296 13 310 11 324 11 333 15 332 4686 4070 9 297 9 313 8*332 10*335 15 338 4070 3554 6 302 7 318 5*318 7*324 15 346 3554 3157 5 315 6 322 4 291 6 312 13 351 3157 2884 5 337 4 302 4 283 5 305 10 353 2884 2718 5*356 3*292 4 276 5 301 8*357 2718 2623 4*017 3*287 3 270 4 295 5*002 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography