DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 56.2 - - 61.3 - - 57.9 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 118 - - 245 - - 52 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 100 - - 1289 - - 659 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4149 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3637 - - 4826 - - 4196 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 908 - - 790 - - 1706 - - 1344 - - 1321 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 96 - - 283 - - 137 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 21 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 143 - - 225 - - 229 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 10 - - 27 - - 20 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -475 - - -167 - - 217 - - 1047 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3098 - - 3804 - - 4609 - - 3149 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -4478 - - -3054 - - -1502 - - 216 - - -3770 ODpotential blCL 7101 - - 6691 - - 6328 - - 3980 - - 6393 blCL maxRH 83 - - 80 - - 84 - - 98 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 260 - - 820 - - 1130 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 56.2 - - 61.3 - - 57.9 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.6 - - 48.7 - - 50.1 - - 53.1 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 55.9 - - 60.4 - - 58.0 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 47.7 - - 49.4 - - 52.6 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 118 - - 245 - - 52 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 100 - - 1289 - - 659 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 21 - - 35 - - 92 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96214 4 200 2 268 6 153 12 276 10 099 96214 89113 13 130 2 125 4 254 8 139 6 093 89113 83695 22 100 2 048 2 292 18 129 3 014 83695 79177 17 088 3 092 2 268 6 089 8 053 79177 75251 8 094 12 121 5 170 6 323 5 074 75251 71789 2 104 15 132 3 127 1 014 4 110 71789 68662 2 257 10 127 5 114 6 144 1 075 68662 65776 2 272 6 097 8 120 7 135 3 149 65776 63094 5 226 4 201 5 175 1 115 5 155 63094 60504 11 194 10 224 7 242 5 286 4 216 60504 57796 7 208 11 223 12 252 9 277 8 262 57796 54954 9 256 9 211 16 227 14 233 13 247 54954 52209 15 251 9 223 14 209 16 208 13 226 52209 49716 22 227 15 223 14 208 15 205 14 211 49716 47463 23 215 18 206 15 208 14 218 14 209 47463 45403 22 209 18 192 17 208 15 228 13 214 45403 43503 21 209 19 184 17 202 17 222 13 223 43503 41741 23 211 15 186 18 190 17 214 13 228 41741 40102 26 207 14 206 18 186 19 210 12 241 40102 38573 29 201 18 210 16 193 17 208 11 259 38573 37147 27 201 21 203 17 192 14 211 11 268 37147 35784 25 210 21 192 18 194 15 204 11 251 35784 34422 30 211 23 189 20 193 15 200 9 221 34422 33040 33 208 28 192 22 198 17 204 7 227 33040 31643 35 205 36 196 32 205 20 220 15 237 31643 30215 31 196 39 203 38 205 37 222 33 218 30215 28733 24 197 32 202 33 205 36 219 32 207 28733 27186 24 208 22 209 24 202 28 215 27 200 27186 25573 19 202 17 212 21 206 21 209 20 201 25573 23895 6 144 11 219 16 214 21 206 9 212 23895 22155 9 121 9 208 8 205 16 213 5 201 22155 20346 9 175 11 190 7 185 8 194 6 161 20346 18461 13 209 12 183 11 180 9 158 9 154 18461 16539 16 223 13 175 15 170 11 152 11 143 16539 14687 17 210 12 162 16 160 12 146 12 125 14687 13000 16 195 12 152 15 151 12 135 14 113 13000 11497 15 176 12 141 14 139 14 120 15 107 11497 10155 12 153 12 129 15 129 14 107 17 092 10155 8952 10 132 9 110 14 119 15 084 18 082 8952 7877 7 113 8 091 12 096 15 070 17 075 7877 6917 5 078 9 084 12 079 14 058 16 066 6917 6066 6 062 9 079 10 067 12 049 13 058 6066 5310 8 056 9 075 8*059 8 046 10 050 5310 4632 9 057 9 074 3*052 3*046 6 043 4632 4031 9 060 7*079 1 228 0*048 4 028 4031 3528 8 068 4*098 3 228 3 230 3 010 3528 3142 6 075 3 143 4 226 4 229 2 001 3142 2876 4 085 3 161 5 225 4 230 2 359 2876 2715 2*122 3 170 5 225 4 229 1*010 2715 2622 2*168 3 173 5 223 4 228 1*014 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography