DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.3 - - 69.4 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 573 - - 365 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 779 - - 1465 - - 1063 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3918 - - 4458 - - 4082 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4316 - - 5002 - - 4600 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 525 - - 620 - - 655 - - 1454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 387 - - 300 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 221 - - 224 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 43 - - 36 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -139 - - -641 - - -1113 - - -1544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4456 - - 5644 - - 5713 - - 4168 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7399 - - -6323 - - -7043 - - -8828 ODpotential blCL - - - 11715 - - 11325 - - 11643 - - 11452 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 82 - - 76 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.3 - - 69.4 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 54.3 - - 53.2 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 68.0 - - 67.8 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 54.2 - - 53.1 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 573 - - 365 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 779 - - 1465 - - 1063 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 29 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98956 31 117 25 125 26 128 24 104 98956 91463 27 113 24 131 16 117 24 093 91463 85702 26 107 27 122 20 129 21 089 85702 80917 21 102 25 104 27 111 19 102 80917 76804 16 105 18 089 29 103 22 110 76804 73188 20 123 12 103 20 088 26 100 73188 69920 23 117 14 121 12 096 19 098 69920 66908 13 117 10 110 10 126 14 118 66908 64121 11 174 10 180 4 185 7 132 64121 61415 11 171 12 209 11 251 2 234 61415 58587 9 235 15 230 22 246 18 256 58587 55675 17 245 21 246 21 248 23 259 55675 52913 22 251 25 242 24 256 29 259 52913 50429 28 268 25 248 26 260 31 263 50429 48200 40 270 30 263 33 269 36 268 48200 46180 47 267 40 265 42 270 41 272 46180 44336 50 267 44 268 49 273 49 274 44336 42644 55 272 50 274 57 274 55 272 42644 41076 61 275 57 275 61 273 59 272 41076 39609 60 276 60 274 63 272 61 274 39609 38228 59 279 59 275 62 272 62 276 38228 36897 59 280 60 277 62 277 62 277 36897 35552 59 283 61 277 64 279 62 279 35552 34162 60 286 60 276 64 277 61 280 34162 32729 57 287 59 278 60 276 59 280 32729 31239 53 288 58 280 56 278 55 279 31239 29681 50 289 56 281 55 279 51 279 29681 28056 47 289 52 281 54 281 48 280 28056 26363 45 288 50 280 51 281 45 281 26363 24604 40 286 45 280 48 282 43 279 24604 22783 36 282 39 280 42 282 40 276 22783 20896 34 279 35 278 35 279 36 274 20896 18935 31 277 31 277 31 275 33 271 18935 16939 25 276 25 275 26 274 29 272 16939 15016 19 279 20 273 21 271 25 271 15016 13268 14 289 17 276 19 267 22 267 13268 11711 12 303 14 283 16 267 19 266 11711 10324 12 313 13 292 14 272 15 268 10324 9086 13 313 11 297 12 278 13 273 9086 7981 13 309 10 298 12 280 12 280 7981 6998 12 304 10 295 11 277 11 284 6998 6127 9 299 6 290 8 275 10 283 6127 5357 6 290 5*253 6 264 7 280 5357 4666 3*251 5*228 5*243 5 275 4666 4054 4*205 7 221 6*228 2 258 4054 3544 6 204 8 220 7 224 2 182 3544 3152 7 204 9 220 7 223 3 189 3152 2881 7 205 9 220 8 222 4 195 2881 2717 7 206 9 220 7 223 4*196 2717 2623 7 206 8 220 7 222 3*197 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography