DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 61.2 - - 59.0 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 87 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 123 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3660 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1399 - - 1060 - - 1742 - - 1152 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 94 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 268 - - 245 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 12 - - 9 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3717 - - -1572 - - -1929 - - -2483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6340 - - 5232 - - 4553 - - 5106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10288 - - -7225 - - -8156 - - -10269 ODpotential blCL - - - 12911 - - 10885 - - 10779 - - 12892 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 89 - - 75 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 61.2 - - 59.0 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 47.4 - - 48.1 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 61.2 - - 60.3 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 46.2 - - 47.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 87 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 123 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 57 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96542 23 077 21 095 30 106 24 114 96542 89352 25 091 16 115 22 089 20 095 89352 83796 13 096 12 093 15 081 16 097 83796 79168 6 113 4 048 10 029 14 072 79168 75193 4 141 3 330 6 324 15 031 75193 71686 7 047 5 299 4 289 11 019 71686 68498 11 332 13 306 12 324 10 359 68498 65564 12 313 10 295 15 307 13 327 65564 62840 18 313 15 312 17 300 18 296 62840 60201 22 295 21 300 22 309 23 277 60201 57456 31 281 29 277 32 296 30 283 57456 54603 33 269 36 268 38 277 38 279 54603 51863 44 270 44 262 45 267 37 275 51863 49385 53 265 54 261 47 263 39 275 49385 47164 57 260 59 259 48 264 41 274 47164 45155 56 260 58 256 53 257 43 267 45155 43324 60 258 58 257 56 254 47 265 43324 41648 65 254 62 257 61 254 56 263 41648 40102 67 250 62 252 63 255 61 263 40102 38659 67 249 63 251 60 255 58 263 38659 37305 62 248 65 252 51 259 48 267 37305 36004 58 248 66 253 52 265 44 276 36004 34694 55 248 66 253 53 266 44 281 34694 33344 54 247 61 253 50 262 44 283 33344 31954 49 246 52 250 38 264 40 284 31954 30511 43 249 43 247 32 271 34 285 30511 29005 37 256 33 252 32 276 30 285 29005 27436 30 261 25 264 27 277 27 288 27436 25801 24 264 20 279 21 285 24 293 25801 24102 21 273 19 297 19 293 21 301 24102 22341 19 288 20 303 18 303 19 311 22341 20513 20 304 19 309 17 311 18 315 20513 18612 22 318 20 321 18 312 18 307 18612 16671 24 326 20 317 19 303 19 297 16671 14796 23 327 18 307 19 294 20 297 14796 13084 22 322 18 306 18 297 19 302 13084 11555 21 317 18 310 18 306 16 310 11555 10191 20 313 18 315 16 318 13 318 10191 8973 17 310 16 317 13 328 9 323 8973 7888 11 304 10 315 8 337 4 317 7888 6924 6 296 5 302 2 351 2 253 6924 6072 2 247 1 171 2 107 4 201 6072 5317 3 167 1 160 2 065 5 181 5317 4638 3 149 2 001 3 030 4 174 4638 4036 4 133 2*009 4 047 1 170 4036 3532 4 120 2*346 3 036 1 163 3532 3144 3 111 2 269 0 329 2 133 3144 2877 2 117 2 257 1 249 2 104 2877 2715 1*153 3 251 2*234 2*090 2715 2622 1*183 2 245 2*229 2*081 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography