DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.0 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 599 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 634 - - 1360 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3827 - - 4387 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4171 - - 4897 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 455 - - 677 - - - - - 958 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 383 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 225 - - - - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 41 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3176 - - -4076 - - - - - -2796 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7347 - - 8974 - - - - - 5421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10044 - - -9042 - - - - - -10120 ODpotential blCL - - - 14215 - - 13939 - - - - - 12745 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 49 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.0 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 55.7 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 83.3 - - - - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 55.6 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 599 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 634 - - 1360 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99173 35 115 40 107 41 104 99173 91699 45 113 36 116 36 087 91699 85924 41 115 30 119 31 097 85924 81128 35 106 30 121 27 105 81128 77009 29 101 32 115 23 110 77009 73380 27 099 30 102 22 112 73380 70108 24 100 22 100 23 111 70108 67119 15 100 18 114 19 105 67119 64374 10 119 14 117 16 106 64374 61736 15 135 11 151 15 105 61736 59013 7 178 15 166 4 145 59013 56213 19 202 12 207 5 252 56213 53550 21 195 20 205 13 251 53550 51155 14 235 16 204 20 225 51155 49007 12 278 12 241 11 234 49007 47047 15 278 13 281 8 283 47047 45226 19 248 15 278 10 303 45226 43521 24 231 21 242 14 280 43521 41916 29 227 28 232 21 263 41916 40404 33 226 31 228 25 253 40404 38982 31 225 30 231 29 244 38982 37611 29 227 29 237 30 239 37611 36226 29 227 29 238 28 238 36226 34795 27 231 27 239 28 238 34795 33326 25 240 23 246 26 238 33326 31801 22 253 21 260 19 243 31801 30208 20 258 21 266 14 256 30208 28549 18 262 19 266 11 276 28549 26821 17 266 16 273 10 287 26821 25026 15 270 16 274 7 293 25026 23167 14 273 15 264 6 292 23167 21239 14 265 15 250 10 288 21239 19238 12 267 15 245 12 287 19238 17211 10 268 13 242 11 264 17211 15267 10 276 12 255 13 252 15267 13497 9 263 13 249 14 247 13497 11916 7 250 12 245 12 246 11916 10504 5 245 10 238 8 227 10504 9243 3 257 6 229 8 202 9243 8116 4 284 4 229 7 199 8116 7113 4 298 3 231 6 206 7113 6224 3 302 3 248 4 222 6224 5435 3 314 3*249 3 248 5435 4726 2*330 4*239 3 277 4726 4097 1*301 5 229 4 292 4097 3571 3 221 7 225 2 322 3571 3168 5 217 8 223 0 164 3168 2890 6 215 9 222 2 204 2890 2720 6 215 9 222 2*204 2720 2624 5 216 8 221 2*204 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography