DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.8 - - 70.0 - - 75.2 - - 73.1 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -134 - - -13 - - 20 - - -15 - - -135 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 839 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2607 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 2624 - - 4376 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 149 - - 1420 - - 2184 - - 3156 - - 190 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 30 - - 145 - - 21 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 358 - - 010 - - 350 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -42 - - -32 - - -12 - - -8 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2276 - - -2930 - - -1959 - - -2593 - - -2958 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4900 - - 5554 - - 6335 - - 5217 - - 5583 sfcLCL ODpotential -10601 - - -8627 - - -7399 - - -6892 - - -10694 ODpotential blCL 13225 - - 11251 - - 11775 - - 9516 - - 13318 blCL maxRH 62 - - 66 - - 86 - - 82 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 240 - - 550 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.8 - - 70.0 - - 75.2 - - 73.1 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.7 - - 54.8 - - 56.4 - - 59.1 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.7 - - 71.4 - - 75.7 - - 75.1 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.5 - - 53.5 - - 55.1 - - 57.8 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -134 - - -13 - - 20 - - -15 - - -135 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 839 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 45 - - 28 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96620 11 109 5 358 3 089 5 071 4 120 96620 89414 18 085 10 114 6 153 5 058 9 048 89414 83858 10 028 10 083 8 112 4 328 8 026 83858 79258 11 063 7 059 7 053 7 359 9 315 79258 75334 13 006 10 042 6 325 8 358 5 053 75334 71899 17 011 14 011 12 349 21 359 17 033 71899 68819 36 359 24 008 18 357 30 359 30 354 68819 66017 38 330 30 339 32 338 33 347 28 336 66017 63430 30 324 33 328 28 321 28 321 24 318 63430 60895 31 334 39 324 35 324 29 316 24 315 60895 58211 41 315 44 310 42 311 38 301 37 303 58211 55406 50 302 46 298 45 296 46 288 46 292 55406 52719 53 293 48 290 48 285 50 283 51 285 52719 50300 53 291 52 282 54 281 54 280 58 280 50300 48133 58 294 54 282 56 284 54 282 61 281 48133 46166 64 285 58 279 58 283 59 283 63 281 46166 44358 65 277 59 273 61 274 63 275 65 277 44358 42686 60 271 56 273 58 273 59 273 60 277 42686 41135 54 269 51 276 53 276 51 275 50 276 41135 39687 50 267 47 281 45 276 47 275 44 275 39687 38322 48 268 46 282 39 281 44 276 42 274 38322 37001 48 271 44 280 39 283 42 279 44 277 37001 35658 47 275 43 279 39 282 41 284 43 279 35658 34267 46 278 42 277 39 282 41 286 41 281 34267 32832 46 279 42 276 41 281 42 285 40 283 32832 31342 48 280 44 278 45 281 44 285 40 282 31342 29788 51 279 46 280 47 281 43 290 37 282 29788 28166 51 279 45 283 45 282 41 288 33 288 28166 26477 47 284 41 287 41 284 35 286 31 290 26477 24723 44 288 41 288 38 285 33 289 31 289 24723 22908 45 289 42 289 38 286 32 293 30 289 22908 21022 44 293 41 292 37 292 30 296 28 291 21022 19061 41 298 38 295 35 298 29 298 24 295 19061 17061 39 301 34 297 32 299 28 305 23 303 17061 15132 38 302 31 301 29 297 30 307 23 312 15132 13371 38 304 29 306 27 295 30 307 25 322 13371 11802 37 307 27 311 25 299 28 312 24 331 11802 10405 32 311 25 315 23 307 23 321 20 336 10405 9161 25 316 22 317 20 317 17 329 17 337 9161 8050 21 319 20 318 18 326 12 342 13 338 8050 7062 19 318 19 318 15 336 10 000 9 336 7062 6186 19 318 18 322 12 351 11 019 6 331 6186 5408 21 322 18 331 13 007 13 025 4 348 5408 4707 22 331 18 342 13*013 13 027 5 029 4707 4085 22 342 17 355 11*014 12 025 9 044 4085 3564 22 354 16 003 8 012 10 019 17 044 3564 3162 20 002 14 005 7 008 7 011 19 038 3162 2886 17 010 10 001 5 005 4 357 18 037 2886 2719 14*016 8*358 5 003 3*351 15*036 2719 2623 9*021 5*352 3 357 1*331 9*035 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography