DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 78.0 - - 76.6 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 492 - - 592 - - 340 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 793 - - 1290 - - 723 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3943 - - 4335 - - 3823 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4330 - - 4827 - - 4260 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 567 - - 653 - - 769 - - 1033 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 300 - - 376 - - 257 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 199 - - 200 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 39 - - 32 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2899 - - -3178 - - -3079 - - -2351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7230 - - 8005 - - 7339 - - 4975 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12277 - - -11496 - - -11874 - - -12454 ODpotential blCL - - - 16607 - - 16323 - - 16134 - - 15078 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 56 - - 56 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 78.0 - - 76.6 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 52.0 - - 53.4 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 75.5 - - 74.9 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 51.8 - - 53.3 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 492 - - 592 - - 340 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 793 - - 1290 - - 723 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98840 27 106 35 106 33 110 33 112 98840 91346 26 116 27 111 29 110 27 106 91346 85574 30 112 25 131 19 110 22 096 85574 80798 23 105 22 128 17 122 18 097 80798 76705 15 108 19 096 18 111 16 109 76705 73092 15 134 15 103 19 095 17 105 73092 69833 16 126 13 123 13 085 18 095 69833 66845 14 136 13 137 9 109 12 077 66845 64087 13 141 8 154 6 118 6 111 64087 61443 9 126 5 194 7 189 2 208 61443 58715 1 281 3 222 6 182 6 201 58715 55911 12 268 9 264 8 261 8 240 55911 53245 20 258 20 255 21 256 19 260 53245 50842 28 256 28 258 28 257 24 260 50842 48676 36 259 36 254 37 251 34 252 48676 46702 40 251 42 246 47 243 42 242 46702 44887 44 250 43 245 47 242 44 241 44887 43202 46 251 42 249 44 246 48 244 43202 41625 44 248 44 246 44 243 48 243 41625 40144 40 245 44 240 45 238 46 239 40144 38751 35 245 38 238 42 234 42 236 38751 37409 31 248 30 235 32 230 38 235 37409 36051 27 249 26 235 29 228 32 235 36051 34641 27 247 26 237 28 226 29 232 34641 33184 28 241 27 233 29 224 29 229 33184 31668 27 238 27 228 28 218 28 228 31668 30083 29 233 27 220 27 212 26 222 30083 28432 28 230 26 213 26 206 27 205 28432 26718 26 228 26 209 23 198 25 187 26718 24944 21 235 20 214 16 195 18 169 24944 23107 18 252 12 229 6 210 8 144 23107 21197 17 278 9 277 4 310 4 094 21197 19206 18 256 12 251 6 255 4 064 19206 17174 18 239 14 240 7 239 5 169 17174 15214 18 228 15 232 9 223 10 185 15214 13429 19 222 17 222 12 219 13 194 13429 11839 17 221 18 217 15 215 15 200 11839 10423 12 218 16 213 15 211 17 205 10423 9162 7 210 11 199 14 201 17 205 9162 8040 5 200 9 177 13 188 15 202 8040 7043 2 224 9 164 12 180 13 199 7043 6164 3 324 7 161 11 176 11 195 6164 5386 4 342 5*166 8 178 9 194 5386 4689 2*355 4*179 5*181 7 189 4689 4071 1*222 6 192 5*189 5 185 4071 3554 4 212 7 199 6 198 3 163 3554 3157 5 212 8 203 7 202 3 163 3157 2884 6 212 9 206 7 204 3 177 2884 2718 6 212 8 205 7 205 3*182 2718 2623 6 213 8 206 6 205 3*187 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography