DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 82.9 - - - - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 313 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5275 - - 8703 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7138 - - 9924 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8812 - - 12240 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2193 - - 1263 - - - - - 5027 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 460 - - 573 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 29 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 081 - - - - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 43 - - 85 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4144 - - -1518 - - - - - -6880 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12956 - - 13759 - - - - - 9505 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7839 - - -5051 - - - - - -12361 ODpotential blCL - - - 16651 - - 17291 - - - - - 14985 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 91 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 82.9 - - - - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 31.1 - - - - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.8 - - 81.5 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 30.9 - - - - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 313 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5275 - - 8703 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 64 - - - - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97709 30 289 28 272 28 277 97709 90418 24 280 22 276 21 273 90418 84803 17 258 20 269 22 292 84803 80149 8 246 14 260 15 290 80149 76152 5 273 10 281 7 259 76152 72623 8 252 7 267 8 273 72623 69438 10 253 5 227 9 267 69438 66517 11 232 10 237 8 267 66517 63817 8 233 14 237 10 282 63817 61213 8 242 18 233 10 275 61213 58510 11 245 18 242 19 276 58510 55722 15 249 19 245 22 261 55722 53063 25 287 26 269 26 270 53063 50661 37 277 35 270 39 277 50661 48494 34 273 36 270 47 272 48494 46512 29 279 33 271 48 265 46512 44679 29 287 31 276 46 266 44679 42966 27 292 31 280 45 272 42966 41356 23 291 28 287 43 278 41356 39836 19 296 30 292 40 283 39836 38401 20 304 29 290 34 289 38401 37016 24 324 25 299 30 290 37016 35614 19 326 20 328 28 295 35614 34165 1 310 21 345 30 299 34165 32676 18 123 5 026 21 316 32676 31137 40 135 16 092 19 342 31137 29553 38 138 20 108 10 019 29553 27924 34 146 23 109 15 076 27924 26236 24 134 21 104 12 113 26236 24479 24 099 20 103 11 087 24479 22663 23 095 18 105 15 051 22663 20785 21 094 15 102 15 046 20785 18836 22 099 13 092 13 042 18836 16854 22 098 14 079 13 059 16854 14947 17 082 18 075 16 058 14947 13212 16 081 18*072 18 050 13212 11670 16 084 10*075 15 038 11670 10299 15 090 8 076 11 022 10299 9075 11*099 6 075 6 020 9075 7982 9*109 4 076 5 027 7982 7008 7 112 3 077 4 032 7008 6144 5 110 2 084 3 035 6144 5376 4 110 1 100 3 031 5376 4685 3 109 1 129 2 026 4685 4070 2 113 1 175 2 006 4070 3555 1 139 1 200 2 326 3555 3159 1 167 2 211 3 309 3159 2885 2 187 2 209 3 301 2885 2718 2 193 2 215 3*298 2718 2623 2 200 2 216 3*294 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography