DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 78.4 - - 75.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 466 - - 195 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 765 - - 1451 - - 747 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3869 - - 4410 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4302 - - 4988 - - 4284 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 674 - - 920 - - 917 - - 901 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 360 - - 216 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 224 - - 227 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 37 - - 28 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3096 - - -2971 - - -2167 - - -943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7399 - - 7959 - - 6451 - - 3567 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10145 - - -8027 - - -7356 - - -8131 ODpotential blCL - - - 14447 - - 13015 - - 11640 - - 10755 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 56 - - 63 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 78.4 - - 75.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 52.5 - - 55.9 - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 76.3 - - 74.5 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 52.4 - - 55.8 - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 466 - - 195 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 765 - - 1451 - - 747 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98514 23 087 19 108 11 172 10 001 98514 91162 22 091 19 095 20 092 15 085 91162 85495 22 097 17 083 23 077 21 089 85495 80785 14 097 16 091 20 071 22 077 80785 76741 15 093 19 089 16 078 20 079 76741 73174 17 098 14 086 16 079 17 087 73174 69934 18 097 13 103 11 091 13 081 69934 66950 12 072 9 099 10 092 13 072 66950 64188 12 083 6 178 3 299 10 021 64188 61523 6 359 5 180 9 225 8 283 61523 58752 6 260 9 259 11 257 9 286 58752 55900 10 260 17 250 23 264 20 272 55900 53203 13 272 21 245 26 261 28 268 53203 50781 26 275 26 267 34 273 37 273 50781 48607 34 283 35 278 43 277 42 272 48607 46620 48 283 48 277 47 277 45 275 46620 44781 53 281 49 281 47 288 52 286 44781 43071 55 289 51 293 64 294 72 288 43071 41475 60 294 61 295 73 291 77 285 41475 39981 63 295 68 295 73 291 72 287 39981 38582 64 295 69 295 74 294 72 290 38582 37236 62 295 66 298 72 295 69 291 37236 35870 58 299 61 298 62 298 61 294 35870 34456 53 299 59 304 54 297 47 288 34456 33001 50 292 49 302 49 306 40 282 33001 31490 46 290 43 291 43 313 32 286 31490 29908 36 295 37 291 36 301 30 280 29908 28256 26 296 26 295 32 295 27 288 28256 26545 22 290 21 290 22 291 21 295 26545 24775 20 295 19 294 18 286 18 291 24775 22942 15 293 17 297 16 298 13 293 22942 21037 8 294 12 292 13 305 9 313 21037 19054 5 301 6 280 7 294 4 295 19054 17039 4 303 3 265 3 265 3 253 17039 15100 3 293 3 244 3 235 3 221 15100 13339 4 259 5 233 4 217 3 181 13339 11774 5 237 5 229 4 191 5 161 11774 10382 4 215 4 214 6 137 8 135 10382 9140 4 177 3 145 10 118 10 120 9140 8031 5 144 6 105 11 111 12 114 8031 7045 7 127 7 065 8 101 10 113 7045 6170 9 109 5 047 4 084 7 120 6170 5392 9 081 2*022 3 042 3 124 5392 4693 6*060 1*297 2*012 0 281 4693 4074 1*037 4 226 1*264 2 302 4074 3556 2 236 6 223 4 229 1 325 3556 3158 3 230 7 222 5 225 1 085 3158 2885 4 227 7 221 6 225 1 126 2885 2718 5 226 7 221 6 223 1*138 2718 2623 4 225 7 220 5 223 1*131 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography