DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 70.5 - - 75.7 - - 72.3 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 58 - - 388 - - 457 - - 246 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 609 - - 1342 - - 481 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3774 - - 4332 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4146 - - 4879 - - 4018 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 996 - - 482 - - 719 - - 750 - - 739 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 255 - - 352 - - 203 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 281 - - 244 - - 231 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 24 - - 39 - - 27 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2357 - - -2229 - - -2378 - - -2239 - - -1860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4980 - - 6376 - - 7257 - - 6257 - - 4483 sfcLCL ODpotential -9954 - - -8041 - - -6921 - - -7455 - - -9202 ODpotential blCL 12577 - - 12187 - - 11800 - - 11473 - - 11825 blCL maxRH 64 - - 63 - - 59 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 70.5 - - 75.7 - - 72.3 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.2 - - 51.7 - - 52.9 - - 53.9 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 68.9 - - 73.8 - - 71.3 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.9 - - 51.2 - - 52.3 - - 53.4 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 58 - - 388 - - 457 - - 246 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 609 - - 1342 - - 481 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97907 18 296 18 271 18 269 20 299 18 308 97907 90467 12 297 14 248 21 267 18 293 21 305 90467 84729 8 301 14 269 17 280 17 281 19 300 84729 79968 12 296 19 289 16 299 15 282 14 289 79968 75877 20 297 15 289 14 302 14 294 14 296 75877 72291 22 302 12 290 14 301 15 310 19 322 72291 69077 17 302 13 291 14 295 15 308 19 323 69077 66132 15 303 14 291 17 291 15 300 16 314 66132 63399 17 302 14 301 17 295 16 300 15 313 63399 60749 20 303 14 306 16 298 16 302 14 312 60749 57987 21 299 12 307 15 302 17 304 14 311 57987 55127 19 294 16 309 16 309 18 311 13 321 55127 52409 18 306 20 312 19 319 18 328 13 343 52409 49989 18 322 16 322 18 331 20 350 22 004 49989 47847 19 334 16 347 19 357 22 010 29 010 47847 45914 20 336 21 358 26 016 28 023 30 011 45914 44143 15 331 24 006 35 021 34 029 29 017 44143 42502 13 333 26 002 39 023 40 028 31 021 42502 40963 13 331 18 336 36 023 42 023 34 022 40963 39515 14 324 15 337 29 016 38 021 34 022 39515 38146 11 309 16 348 23 353 34 020 27 025 38146 36822 6 316 15 342 18 341 29 020 27 019 36822 35479 7 346 8 330 15 344 23 008 26 013 35479 34090 5 312 7 341 10 326 19 347 23 009 34090 32661 6 297 9 331 7 322 15 337 20 360 32661 31177 7 319 10 316 9 334 11 325 15 345 31177 29629 6 332 10 314 11 339 10 331 12 338 29629 28015 5 356 9 316 10 339 10 348 10 334 28015 26336 6 014 9 316 10 329 10 349 11 323 26336 24591 7 002 8 326 7 315 10 331 11 304 24591 22781 9 350 7 347 4 304 8 309 12 287 22781 20901 8 353 6 003 2 305 7 282 12 294 20901 18947 5 015 5 356 2 321 5 279 11 301 18947 16959 3 053 4 320 5 304 4 292 8 297 16959 15047 4 122 3 232 4 270 5 271 7 284 15047 13305 7 141 5 174 5 215 7 240 8 259 13305 11750 6 158 9 180 8 198 8 230 8 260 11750 10362 3 205 9 197 9 208 7 236 8 273 10362 9122 5 285 6 236 6 226 5 257 8 282 9122 8014 9 302 6 276 4 259 5 279 9 291 8014 7028 14 313 9 299 4 295 6 300 10 309 7028 6154 18 320 13 318 6 317 8 312 12 323 6154 5379 20 327 14 335 5*316 8 315 12 329 5379 4683 20 333 12*345 4*288 6 311 11 331 4683 4066 17 335 7*339 5 257 4*297 7 331 4066 3550 13 334 4 288 7 241 4*240 4 342 3550 3155 9 328 4 268 8 236 5 232 2 028 3155 2882 6 324 5 254 8 233 6 229 1 110 2882 2717 4*318 5 250 8 232 6 227 1*145 2717 2622 3*309 5 246 7 231 5 226 1*155 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography