DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 83.5 - - 78.8 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 614 - - 373 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 398 - - 989 - - 617 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3655 - - 4117 - - 3769 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3935 - - 4526 - - 4154 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 564 - - 582 - - 436 - - 915 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 347 - - 252 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 208 - - 191 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 41 - - 35 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5622 - - -4756 - - -3030 - - -2413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9557 - - 9282 - - 7184 - - 5038 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12871 - - -11842 - - -11249 - - -12331 ODpotential blCL - - - 16806 - - 16368 - - 15403 - - 14955 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 56 - - 58 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 83.5 - - 78.8 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 52.1 - - 56.4 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.1 - - 80.8 - - 77.1 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 52.0 - - 56.4 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 614 - - 373 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 398 - - 989 - - 617 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98773 38 103 36 121 24 116 36 085 98773 91305 34 098 34 105 30 110 25 101 91305 85575 32 102 29 094 35 096 28 120 85575 80830 25 098 24 098 29 095 30 096 80830 76744 19 108 19 104 21 090 27 088 76744 73142 20 120 13 095 20 095 21 083 73142 69899 21 097 16 099 18 102 15 084 69899 66930 16 083 18 100 15 113 12 093 66930 64189 11 098 13 094 15 097 15 083 64189 61544 12 119 7 075 12 059 17 072 61544 58814 13 109 7 117 8 083 11 057 58814 56023 13 085 8 101 7 088 4 070 56023 53384 10 356 7 050 7 056 2 076 53384 51017 16 311 16 338 13 352 9 344 51017 48893 22 285 22 308 19 325 17 326 48893 46954 24 277 25 292 23 308 23 314 46954 45162 26 278 27 289 26 299 27 304 45162 43487 28 280 28 283 28 295 29 303 43487 41912 28 276 27 280 27 291 29 300 41912 40427 26 280 24 276 25 287 27 294 40427 39025 24 290 20 282 21 281 24 285 39025 37670 24 299 20 285 20 278 22 282 37670 36296 23 302 20 287 20 279 21 284 36296 34874 22 305 20 297 20 282 21 286 34874 33407 19 314 17 304 19 292 21 288 33407 31880 16 323 12 300 18 300 20 296 31880 30285 16 318 12 294 15 294 17 295 30285 28622 18 304 16 291 16 287 16 291 28622 26891 19 300 18 293 19 290 17 294 26891 25093 20 296 20 297 21 290 19 299 25093 23233 18 289 19 294 20 293 19 304 23233 21306 15 280 17 288 17 294 17 304 21306 19307 15 273 16 283 15 296 14 303 19307 17272 15 278 15 284 14 300 12 303 17272 15309 15 282 14 285 12 300 9 306 15309 13521 13 286 11 288 9 302 6 305 13521 11927 13 289 10 293 7 305 5 297 11927 10507 12 294 9 295 7 305 4 291 10507 9238 12 302 9 297 7 301 6 290 9238 8105 11 311 9 299 8 294 8 289 8105 7097 10 316 9 296 9 285 9 286 7097 6205 10 317 8 290 8 278 10 284 6205 5416 9 315 5 280 7 272 8 274 5416 4708 8 316 4*231 4*240 5 271 4708 4082 5*307 5*209 5*190 3 285 4082 3561 5*268 7 208 7 189 2 150 3561 3161 6 248 9 208 8 191 4 145 3161 2886 6 240 9 208 9 194 4 152 2886 2719 6 237 9 209 8 194 3*159 2719 2623 6 235 8 210 7 195 3*161 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography