DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 48.3 - - 49.5 - - 50.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 7 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2622 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 3544 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3012 - - 2388 - - 2546 - - 3466 - - 2340 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 24 - - 26 - - 22 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 195 - - 184 - - 223 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 27 - - 40 - - 47 - - 37 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 923 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2621 - - 2621 - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential -327 - - -72 - - -74 - - -420 - - 375 ODpotential blCL 2949 - - 2694 - - 2697 - - 3043 - - 3169 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 70 - - 80 - - 60 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 48.3 - - 49.5 - - 50.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 48.3 - - 49.5 - - 49.4 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 49.0 - - 50.2 - - 50.5 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.1 - - 48.3 - - 49.4 - - 49.2 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 7 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96499 11 278 16 273 9 299 22 278 21 301 96499 89383 3 315 11 010 3 276 12 297 9 355 89383 83890 4 352 10 019 4 296 5 002 8 355 83890 79318 8 317 4 018 8 299 9 030 8 351 79318 75369 3 257 6 062 9 280 9 016 11 333 75369 71865 7 330 2 348 8 314 6 326 9 355 71865 68680 7 311 6 240 9 278 9 279 10 332 68680 65738 3 062 8 159 5 191 4 203 5 239 65738 63002 19 230 17 240 14 251 11 273 11 254 63002 60351 24 195 25 200 17 226 18 234 16 241 60351 57573 23 206 21 214 19 227 18 231 17 239 57573 54673 32 217 26 238 26 245 25 253 21 264 54673 51903 33 232 35 243 33 245 30 264 34 274 51903 49421 38 236 29 248 28 260 34 269 44 275 49421 47214 35 239 30 267 31 276 38 276 45 273 47214 45215 35 254 33 274 35 282 43 282 46 275 45215 43381 37 258 34 279 39 291 49 288 45 270 43381 41688 37 255 36 280 50 294 51 287 41 276 41688 40119 33 267 37 295 55 302 51 288 66 279 40119 38673 39 286 50 303 56 310 56 287 71 273 38673 37329 43 289 54 311 63 312 59 287 68 273 37329 36041 41 289 62 315 62 311 61 288 68 280 36041 34734 37 304 63 318 60 307 61 290 70 283 34734 33379 46 325 64 316 57 304 61 291 69 281 33379 31977 72 333 65 315 52 299 57 292 66 279 31977 30518 80 336 66 315 49 296 53 296 63 279 30518 28993 72 336 67 314 46 295 50 299 56 279 28993 27403 63 339 65 315 44 293 49 300 50 280 27403 25747 56 338 63 316 42 293 48 301 46 283 25747 24024 50 336 58 317 42 295 45 303 43 284 24024 22238 43 333 48 318 41 299 40 301 42 289 22238 20383 34 321 39 315 40 301 38 300 39 297 20383 18457 31 296 28 303 38 303 38 299 34 302 18457 16496 25 282 24 275 34 303 36 297 29 297 16496 14612 23 284 23 266 31 297 32 299 28 287 14612 12902 22 260 22 268 29 289 25 303 26 284 12902 11384 22 243 18 261 26 283 20 298 24 285 11384 10037 23 237 16 241 21 269 20 279 21 288 10037 8841 23 239 18 232 19 248 19 262 19 285 8841 7779 22 239 20 235 18 235 17 245 17 270 7779 6837 18 240 20 236 18 228 16 231 15 250 6837 6004 14 238 19 234 18 221 15 223 12 227 6004 5265 12 236 18 230 17 215 14 221 11 202 5265 4602 11 234 16 226 17 208 13 220 11 183 4602 4012 9 232 14 218 16 198 12 222 12*174 4012 3518 8 230 12 207 15 190 10 223 11*167 3518 3136 7 227 11 199 14 186 10 223 10 159 3136 2873 6 226 9 196 13 184 8 223 9 155 2873 2713 5*224 8*195 11*183 7*223 7 154 2713 2621 4*223 6*195 8*184 5*222 5 154 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography