DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.5 - - 74.8 - - 79.1 - - 78.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -176 - - -17 - - 27 - - -11 - - -120 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1401 - - 377 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 2607 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 2625 - - 4938 - - 3914 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 2860 - - 2242 - - 3312 - - 151 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 29 - - 179 - - 68 - - 22 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 050 - - 028 - - 022 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -49 - - -31 - - 5 - - -11 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4363 - - -4663 - - -2333 - - -3593 - - -4286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6987 - - 7288 - - 7271 - - 7507 - - 6910 sfcLCL ODpotential -12269 - - -9775 - - -6506 - - -8152 - - -10886 ODpotential blCL 14893 - - 12400 - - 11444 - - 12066 - - 13510 blCL maxRH 70 - - 38 - - 61 - - 80 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 540 - - 430 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.5 - - 74.8 - - 79.1 - - 78.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 52.2 - - 56.2 - - 54.6 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.9 - - 76.8 - - 79.6 - - 80.3 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.5 - - 50.9 - - 54.9 - - 53.3 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -176 - - -17 - - 27 - - -11 - - -120 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1401 - - 377 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96581 7 306 7 355 7 002 10 345 10 287 96581 89415 4 128 4 105 4 343 10 357 12 020 89415 83880 11 025 11 056 2 008 9 333 14 000 83880 79281 5 335 7 004 9 336 10 333 14 354 79281 75342 14 018 17 353 21 341 18 342 20 005 75342 71919 24 359 21 350 22 343 21 344 25 348 71919 68864 25 353 23 346 22 344 19 342 24 338 68864 66061 26 336 27 341 23 337 18 333 19 332 66061 63444 28 316 29 345 27 340 25 339 19 337 63444 60884 33 306 38 312 38 315 35 319 28 330 60884 58189 43 296 46 298 43 298 42 307 44 316 58189 55370 47 289 45 296 43 289 51 291 53 295 55370 52677 47 291 46 294 48 287 52 284 55 286 52677 50253 49 292 45 288 51 284 55 286 51 284 50253 48076 55 285 53 284 55 283 59 283 49 285 48076 46090 58 280 60 277 58 277 58 278 52 284 46090 44261 61 276 60 276 57 278 57 273 55 278 44261 42575 56 273 54 276 53 279 51 270 53 271 42575 41020 48 275 46 278 45 276 44 271 46 273 41020 39574 45 279 41 280 38 271 41 273 44 274 39574 38215 43 277 38 280 40 271 42 270 43 267 38215 36899 42 278 40 279 40 268 43 270 40 269 36899 35562 42 282 41 273 38 268 41 271 41 268 35562 34177 42 284 39 272 38 271 40 272 42 265 34177 32748 40 281 40 272 38 274 40 274 41 265 32748 31262 37 280 41 270 41 273 42 274 43 267 31262 29709 34 282 39 270 43 270 43 272 45 269 29709 28089 33 282 35 271 41 270 42 272 43 269 28089 26401 32 278 33 272 37 272 37 272 35 267 26401 24650 28 277 30 272 31 277 33 274 30 266 24650 22839 26 282 27 276 27 279 25 273 28 270 22839 20959 24 282 23 279 24 282 21 279 26 274 20959 19002 23 281 21 275 21 279 19 288 24 278 19002 17012 21 286 20 279 19 273 20 289 22 282 17012 15097 20 294 19 286 19 274 21 290 20 285 15097 13354 18 300 17 295 18 281 21 291 21 289 13354 11799 17 313 14 304 15 292 19 295 21 293 11799 10412 15 323 11 313 12 304 16 303 18 299 10412 9170 14 332 10 322 9 317 13 315 15 309 9170 8061 14 342 10 335 8 334 10 333 13 319 8061 7073 10 350 9 346 9 354 9 351 12 327 7073 6196 6 002 6 347 8 009 8 004 11 333 6196 5417 2 037 2 334 5*026 9 016 10 343 5417 4714 2 110 1 294 3*034 8 025 11 358 4714 4090 3 116 1 175 3 030 8*027 12 011 4090 3568 8 082 2 079 3 029 6*027 13 020 3568 3165 12 071 5 059 2 023 5 023 15 028 3165 2888 14 065 7 051 1 019 3 017 14 030 2888 2719 13*057 6*050 1 008 2 014 13*032 2719 2623 9*050 3*046 1 000 1 008 8*034 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography