DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.4 - - 49.0 - - 52.1 - - 51.4 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 66 - - 158 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1825 - - 2524 - - 2747 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4855 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 5362 - - 6061 - - 6284 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3577 - - 1089 - - 1025 - - 1133 - - 3377 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 208 - - 305 - - 147 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 248 - - 250 - - 283 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 33 - - 22 - - 27 - - 32 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2165 - - 981 - - 563 - - -813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2621 - - 3197 - - 5080 - - 5721 - - 3436 sfcLCL ODpotential -276 - - 918 - - 80 - - -3516 - - -3273 ODpotential blCL 2898 - - 4444 - - 5981 - - 9800 - - 5895 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 89 - - 87 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.4 - - 49.0 - - 52.1 - - 51.4 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 44.2 - - 38.9 - - 35.4 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 49.2 - - 51.7 - - 51.9 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.8 - - 43.4 - - 38.3 - - 35.1 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 66 - - 158 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1825 - - 2524 - - 2747 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 90 - - 54 - - 49 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96392 51 294 50 290 50 289 53 294 58 286 96392 89161 44 294 39 299 37 287 40 293 40 290 89161 83604 36 290 30 306 29 295 28 289 29 303 83604 78971 22 289 26 287 27 297 22 298 26 305 78971 74981 18 295 17 290 24 295 22 297 26 288 74981 71475 23 280 24 297 22 286 23 290 19 285 71475 68296 26 263 27 269 27 284 24 290 20 299 68296 65358 25 263 26 261 32 276 32 285 26 299 65358 62629 26 272 32 264 38 270 42 274 33 287 62629 59996 32 276 38 265 43 264 45 268 35 277 59996 57259 44 275 42 266 44 264 45 264 37 271 57259 54413 52 274 48 271 47 267 47 264 42 265 54413 51686 61 272 56 272 54 269 54 268 51 264 51686 49228 68 265 67 268 70 265 68 265 62 265 49228 47021 74 260 76 262 80 262 79 260 72 266 47021 45013 79 260 83 258 86 261 86 260 83 264 45013 43171 85 260 88 257 92 258 93 259 89 259 43171 41473 91 259 94 257 97 256 94 257 93 257 41473 39897 95 256 99 256 99 255 96 257 98 256 39897 38427 97 252 103 253 100 254 102 257 103 255 38427 37050 96 250 105 250 103 253 107 254 106 254 37050 35728 94 250 105 249 104 253 106 253 109 254 35728 34397 93 251 105 251 104 254 104 254 109 253 34397 33026 92 252 104 254 104 255 103 256 107 252 33026 31622 91 251 102 257 104 255 102 254 102 250 31622 30171 90 252 97 257 100 255 98 254 96 250 30171 28660 86 254 89 256 94 256 91 255 88 253 28660 27088 82 256 84 257 83 257 83 256 81 254 27088 25451 74 258 75 261 70 261 75 259 77 256 25451 23750 64 260 65 263 66 268 71 262 74 258 23750 21986 58 261 57 264 64 269 68 262 71 260 21986 20158 52 260 54 263 59 265 62 262 64 260 20158 18261 45 261 49 261 55 261 56 261 57 263 18261 16334 39 258 43 259 49 257 51 259 48 265 16334 14482 34 254 39 255 44 255 46 258 40 267 14482 12801 30 248 35 253 39 257 41 262 34 271 12801 11307 27 249 30 253 32 260 33 269 28 277 11307 9978 23 255 24 256 25 265 24 280 22 284 9978 8796 18 262 18 260 19 275 15 300 17 293 8796 7743 14 268 13 262 13 281 11 322 14 306 7743 6807 9 269 11 258 9*276 8*331 12 312 6807 5981 8 259 9*253 7*266 6*321 10 315 5981 5248 8 251 8*251 6 256 5 304 9 323 5248 4588 9 250 6 248 6 252 5 285 10 331 4588 4002 9 251 6 248 6 248 5 273 11 339 4002 3511 8 252 5 248 6 245 5 267 11 345 3511 3133 8 254 5 246 6 244 5 262 8 348 3133 2871 7 256 5 245 6 242 5 259 6 351 2871 2712 6*256 5 244 6 241 5 258 5*353 2712 2621 4*256 4 244 5 239 4 254 3*002 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography