DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 61.0 - - 64.2 - - 60.0 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 26 - - 130 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 251 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3788 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 692 - - 1205 - - 700 - - 1374 - - 855 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 34 - - 134 - - 24 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 320 - - 272 - - 231 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 18 - - 14 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2531 - - -3390 - - -1699 - - -1426 - - -845 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 6013 - - 5488 - - 4049 - - 3469 sfcLCL ODpotential -12985 - - -11024 - - -7294 - - -7686 - - -9757 ODpotential blCL 15608 - - 13647 - - 11082 - - 10309 - - 12380 blCL maxRH 49 - - 52 - - 67 - - 76 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 61.0 - - 64.2 - - 60.0 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.4 - - 44.1 - - 49.3 - - 51.3 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 61.5 - - 63.9 - - 60.5 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 42.9 - - 48.4 - - 51.0 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 26 - - 130 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 251 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96537 15 285 21 292 19 269 26 261 42 276 96537 89367 10 216 13 277 18 286 14 308 15 295 89367 83834 6 279 11 277 15 289 10 304 12 300 83834 79240 5 332 12 275 20 302 12 321 11 345 79240 75286 11 327 10 275 22 298 19 305 14 342 75286 71806 8 325 3 027 15 316 13 328 16 338 71806 68700 28 321 17 340 23 327 21 335 20 336 68700 65869 22 305 15 331 17 320 13 302 15 316 65869 63243 21 308 17 310 17 299 19 305 21 311 63243 60703 30 316 29 301 31 299 31 298 30 297 60703 58039 45 309 42 298 38 294 34 294 36 292 58039 55243 52 305 49 298 49 297 48 300 44 299 55243 52557 62 298 64 299 62 295 59 297 54 295 52557 50127 66 295 70 293 66 291 62 290 56 288 50127 47929 70 293 71 290 66 292 62 288 56 289 47929 45917 72 298 69 291 68 292 65 289 61 295 45917 44067 69 297 69 292 68 294 68 292 69 298 44067 42363 60 286 69 284 68 288 67 293 68 292 42363 40789 59 279 62 279 65 282 68 287 65 287 40789 39327 47 276 48 271 53 279 58 277 60 279 39327 37959 40 278 42 274 45 277 50 271 50 267 37959 36647 39 281 40 287 43 281 41 276 41 263 36647 35319 39 287 39 292 38 283 38 286 37 268 35319 33943 38 293 40 296 37 288 37 292 35 269 33943 32523 38 291 40 293 38 288 36 290 35 271 32523 31047 39 281 42 291 41 287 36 282 34 274 31047 29501 41 276 45 289 44 291 38 283 34 278 29501 27888 45 278 47 284 46 292 41 288 35 277 27888 26208 49 281 49 282 44 287 40 285 37 276 26208 24461 51 283 48 282 44 283 41 280 38 275 24461 22653 51 285 48 282 45 282 42 278 39 273 22653 20777 51 287 46 282 44 283 42 278 39 275 20777 18829 47 287 44 284 42 282 40 279 38 278 18829 16845 43 286 40 284 39 281 37 280 34 280 16845 14935 39 286 36 286 35 282 34 284 31 281 14935 13194 35 287 32 287 30 283 31 286 28 283 13194 11643 32 287 28 287 27 284 27 288 25 284 11643 10262 28 287 23 285 23 284 24 289 22 285 10262 9030 25 289 19 285 19 286 20 290 18 284 9030 7933 22 290 16 291 16 293 17 290 15 283 7933 6957 19 292 13 299 13 302 14 291 13 282 6957 6095 15 293 10 307 11 314 10 292 11 280 6095 5331 9 291 8 314 10 326 8 296 9 280 5331 4646 5 282 8 323 9 335 5 306 7 286 4646 4040 1 184 7 333 7*337 3 321 6 302 4040 3533 3 130 7 339 4*303 1 304 4 316 3533 3145 3 134 5 337 4 276 2 238 3 326 3145 2877 3 124 4 328 4 262 3 232 2 339 2877 2715 2*114 3*319 4 256 3*228 2*003 2715 2622 1*089 2*311 4 252 2*227 1*018 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography