DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.0 - - 80.6 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 483 - - 213 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2141 - - 1301 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4935 - - 4101 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5678 - - 4838 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 951 - - 953 - - 1039 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 416 - - 268 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 259 - - 254 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 43 - - 34 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3187 - - -3305 - - -1361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8865 - - 8143 - - 3986 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8816 - - -8600 - - -8790 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14494 - - 13438 - - 11414 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 56 - - 51 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.0 - - 80.6 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.1 - - 53.8 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.9 - - 79.6 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.0 - - 53.7 - - 60.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 483 - - 213 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2141 - - 1301 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98808 7 145 13 130 9 137 98808 91360 9 150 11 147 4 075 91360 85594 14 136 9 108 4 085 85594 80807 17 120 13 098 9 121 80807 76697 12 109 12 093 14 105 76697 73076 6 099 6 071 9 084 73076 69804 7 109 5 073 4 101 69804 66818 3 160 1 079 2 056 66818 64072 5 240 3 236 3 031 64072 61433 8 268 10 285 11 327 61433 58712 8 266 11 274 10 279 58712 55916 12 254 16 256 18 272 55916 53264 18 260 20 263 24 270 53264 50882 28 280 31 274 35 278 50882 48742 28 272 33 272 37 275 48742 46788 28 275 36 277 41 279 46788 44981 29 274 35 275 39 274 44981 43295 33 267 34 274 37 274 43295 41708 39 262 35 272 37 279 41708 40209 37 252 38 266 34 277 40209 38791 35 243 38 253 36 274 38791 37423 33 247 38 248 42 272 37423 36046 36 258 36 257 39 256 36046 34625 37 253 37 258 37 255 34625 33162 35 243 38 254 35 259 33162 31642 35 234 37 252 33 262 31642 30053 37 243 37 252 31 264 30053 28399 35 253 34 256 31 264 28399 26681 25 258 27 263 29 262 26681 24899 20 260 23 266 24 258 24899 23055 19 261 21 266 19 266 23055 21142 17 266 19 271 17 279 21142 19152 16 271 15 280 15 283 19152 17127 14 267 13 283 13 277 17127 15178 12 258 12 272 14 272 15178 13407 12 253 13 252 17 264 13407 11831 13 260 15 254 19 261 11831 10428 13 273 15 266 18 263 10428 9176 14 288 15 279 16 266 9176 8060 14 299 14 291 13 269 8060 7066 11 307 11 302 9 266 7066 6187 8*301 9 311 7 271 6187 5406 7*287 6*311 5 283 5406 4705 7 279 5*299 4 308 4705 4083 8 258 5 268 4 325 4083 3563 9 251 6 250 2 356 3563 3163 9 246 7 243 2 085 3163 2887 9 243 7 239 2 111 2887 2719 9 242 7 237 2*123 2719 2623 8 241 6 236 2*128 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography