DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 77.5 - - 71.8 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 284 - - 372 - - 96 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2098 - - 3936 - - 1245 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4761 - - 6238 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5635 - - 7473 - - 4782 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3299 - - 2840 - - 2269 - - 2035 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 466 - - 203 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 198 - - 201 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 42 - - 28 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6013 - - -3553 - - -2231 - - -2305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11649 - - 11027 - - 7013 - - 4929 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11603 - - -7813 - - -4709 - - -6340 ODpotential blCL - - - 17238 - - 15286 - - 9491 - - 8964 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 44 - - 55 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 77.5 - - 71.8 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 38.1 - - 50.0 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 76.0 - - 71.5 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 38.0 - - 50.0 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 284 - - 372 - - 96 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2098 - - 3936 - - 1245 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97931 28 296 27 300 29 299 29 292 97931 90600 24 291 20 285 28 299 28 301 90600 84921 18 291 15 276 26 291 24 308 84921 80223 15 301 11 308 13 269 21 307 80223 76192 12 288 11 315 8 293 15 304 76192 72632 10 259 14 285 14 316 7 303 72632 69415 8 241 10 252 10 301 4 304 69415 66458 6 215 11 226 11 253 9 280 66458 63721 11 218 15 231 19 243 20 262 63721 61079 18 227 21 236 24 231 20 237 61079 58324 25 229 27 238 27 231 25 224 58324 55470 31 234 33 239 33 236 32 224 55470 52759 36 236 40 240 40 240 39 234 52759 50326 39 238 44 237 44 238 47 236 50326 48138 41 238 44 235 46 241 50 236 48138 46141 43 238 45 237 47 243 52 241 46141 44300 45 236 45 238 48 245 55 244 44300 42590 46 233 44 239 49 248 57 246 42590 40986 44 231 43 241 49 252 59 248 40986 39475 43 232 44 242 49 255 59 250 39475 38050 43 233 44 238 48 257 58 250 38050 36676 39 234 40 237 44 259 58 250 36676 35290 34 233 36 239 41 253 54 249 35290 33870 28 236 30 233 33 245 47 246 33870 32431 22 241 24 234 32 251 38 233 32431 30953 18 248 20 240 27 244 36 227 30953 29408 17 252 18 242 25 239 35 222 29408 27791 16 253 17 240 23 239 31 217 27791 26105 13 258 16 244 20 238 26 212 26105 24352 10 266 13 252 17 240 21 210 24352 22537 8 234 15 244 18 240 21 215 22537 20660 14 221 16 244 18 238 21 221 20660 18721 13 231 14 241 16 234 20 215 18721 16753 8 247 8 233 11 212 17 202 16753 14863 5 250 6 235 7 205 12 187 14863 13148 3 242 4 241 4 208 8 169 13148 11623 1 254 2 264 1 181 7 152 11623 10264 1 336 1 027 2 128 5 152 10264 9047 1 345 3 065 3 135 5 159 9047 7959 1 342 2*084 2 132 4 175 7959 6989 0 115 2*142 2 163 5 190 6989 6128 1*150 3 181 2 184 5 201 6128 5364 1*163 4 187 3*189 5 208 5364 4676 2 182 7 200 4*193 5 208 4676 4064 3 190 8 202 5 198 4 199 4064 3552 4 199 9 204 6 202 2 189 3552 3156 5 203 9 205 6 204 1 136 3156 2884 6 205 9 206 6 204 2 108 2884 2718 6 205 9 206 6 205 3*088 2718 2623 5 206 8 207 5 206 3*080 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography