DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.9 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 380 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1524 - - 3508 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4384 - - 5926 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5061 - - 7045 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1887 - - 1525 - - - - - 1652 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 325 - - 457 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 173 - - - - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 37 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2344 - - -4000 - - - - - -3059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7405 - - 11046 - - - - - 5682 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8351 - - -10245 - - - - - -8660 ODpotential blCL - - - 13412 - - 17290 - - - - - 11283 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 69 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.9 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 32.5 - - - - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 70.4 - - - - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 31.3 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 380 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1524 - - 3508 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97392 39 283 44 283 38 291 97392 90055 32 266 39 272 34 282 90055 84418 27 262 33 260 34 272 84418 79734 26 273 27 258 33 270 79734 75687 25 271 28 264 30 279 75687 72110 26 266 25 265 26 278 72110 68880 21 263 19 264 22 274 68880 65923 20 271 20 275 20 269 65923 63194 23 278 23 281 16 273 63194 60564 21 282 23 291 18 283 60564 57831 22 297 26 296 25 287 57831 54998 27 304 30 298 31 287 54998 52284 34 305 34 301 41 288 52284 49824 38 311 41 302 48 278 49824 47598 42 314 46 305 47 280 47598 45554 45 314 50 305 53 284 45554 43671 45 312 45 302 55 286 43671 41942 40 306 39 298 44 278 41942 40356 30 304 36 295 39 270 40356 38901 28 311 32 295 33 260 38901 37558 28 308 29 287 26 262 37558 36267 29 298 27 281 24 261 36267 34956 31 288 25 281 21 260 34956 33596 27 285 25 274 17 257 33596 32190 25 287 23 267 18 242 32190 30727 23 289 22 270 19 231 30727 29196 19 288 19 259 21 228 29196 27597 17 288 17 256 20 226 27597 25934 14 287 15 255 18 220 25934 24207 10 282 13 247 18 212 24207 22419 9 258 10 230 15 202 22419 20566 8 248 8 220 14 197 20566 18639 10 231 11 206 16 201 18639 16682 10 217 14 203 18 207 16682 14800 10 212 16 201 19 212 14800 13088 9 207 15 197 19 213 13088 11562 8 194 13 182 16 200 11562 10203 8 165 13 153 17 183 10203 8991 8 148 13 130 19 172 8991 7910 8 137 11*110 19 169 7910 6946 10 129 8*118 17 169 6946 6093 9 111 6 140 14 168 6093 5335 6*107 6 150 12 167 5335 4654 4*120 7 184 9 167 4654 4048 3 147 8 191 6 164 4048 3540 4 191 8 195 4 153 3540 3149 4 200 8 199 4 157 3149 2880 5 204 8 200 4 160 2880 2717 5 205 8 201 3*154 2717 2622 5 207 7 202 2*145 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography