DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 71.7 - - 70.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 77 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 87 - - 1220 - - 1656 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3624 - - 4757 - - 5193 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2217 - - 2749 - - 2747 - - 3278 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 208 - - 129 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 266 - - 259 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 18 - - 29 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3115 - - -2404 - - -1636 - - -3130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6740 - - 7162 - - 6829 - - 5754 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8821 - - -6873 - - -5555 - - -8167 ODpotential blCL - - - 12445 - - 11630 - - 10748 - - 10791 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 68 - - 71 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 71.7 - - 70.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 49.5 - - 49.8 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 71.7 - - 71.7 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 48.1 - - 48.5 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 77 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 87 - - 1220 - - 1656 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96342 2 058 7 308 4 004 5 035 96342 89210 12 075 3 317 1 329 8 351 89210 83740 14 016 4 011 1 201 9 340 83740 79222 8 360 4 333 4 334 10 002 79222 75349 7 033 1 173 6 321 11 011 75349 71945 10 019 5 011 8 337 12 018 71945 68884 19 001 16 005 18 352 19 001 68884 66069 22 308 17 321 18 335 21 340 66069 63445 22 316 22 294 22 303 24 319 63445 60883 32 313 28 293 30 291 32 297 60883 58188 36 294 38 290 39 292 39 289 58188 55370 45 285 47 287 47 289 50 286 55370 52654 52 283 53 282 55 281 55 280 52654 50187 56 280 56 277 58 278 55 277 50187 47958 55 276 57 272 57 276 56 275 47958 45922 55 277 58 266 59 270 59 269 45922 44053 57 276 61 266 64 268 62 266 44053 42324 60 272 60 264 65 265 65 264 42324 40713 57 270 56 264 61 261 64 261 40713 39213 51 264 55 264 59 262 63 259 39213 37821 42 257 50 262 59 262 65 259 37821 36503 42 254 41 253 52 257 63 255 36503 35178 48 247 34 254 47 252 60 251 35178 33806 54 245 37 256 46 253 58 249 33806 32389 57 244 41 260 46 254 58 252 32389 30914 56 243 40 261 45 255 55 253 30914 29368 55 245 44 259 42 254 55 256 29368 27756 55 251 56 255 45 254 56 256 27756 26078 54 254 60 249 55 254 55 252 26078 24337 52 251 54 241 61 251 57 251 24337 22536 48 249 52 247 63 250 59 252 22536 20670 45 251 53 255 62 254 59 254 20670 18735 40 255 46 256 55 257 56 258 18735 16767 37 260 41 257 47 256 50 259 16767 14874 34 263 38 260 42 258 47 260 14874 13152 31 266 34 263 38 262 41 261 13152 11619 27 267 30 262 33 265 35 262 11619 10254 23 265 25 258 29 263 31 260 10254 9035 19 264 22 256 25 259 27 259 9035 7948 16 266 19 258 21 255 24 257 7948 6979 14 274 16 262 17 256 20 255 6979 6120 12 286 13 270 13 262 17 253 6120 5358 10 293 11*277 10*266 14 252 5358 4671 7 294 8*281 9*266 12 258 4671 4061 5*296 5 274 8 264 10 270 4061 3550 3*300 5 263 8 258 9 281 3550 3155 2 315 5 256 7 255 8 290 3155 2883 2 272 4 251 7 254 6 301 2883 2718 2 266 4 249 6 253 5*307 2718 2623 2 261 4 247 5 250 3*323 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography