DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 70.0 - - 73.0 - - 67.3 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 94 - - 196 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 378 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3915 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 454 - - 1357 - - 1366 - - 1438 - - 862 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 49 - - 175 - - 32 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 011 - - 200 - - 219 - - 181 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 16 - - 21 - - 13 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6886 - - -4321 - - -2918 - - -1677 - - -2833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9510 - - 6945 - - 6833 - - 4301 - - 5458 sfcLCL ODpotential -17215 - - -11492 - - -6668 - - -5554 - - -9852 ODpotential blCL 19838 - - 14116 - - 10583 - - 8178 - - 12476 blCL maxRH 59 - - 46 - - 69 - - 74 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 70.0 - - 73.0 - - 67.3 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 48.9 - - 52.2 - - 57.3 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 70.0 - - 72.2 - - 67.8 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 48.0 - - 51.4 - - 57.1 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 94 - - 196 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 378 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97165 32 275 34 281 36 272 42 267 43 286 97165 89948 22 254 32 280 27 273 31 280 24 284 89948 84367 15 255 22 265 25 276 24 277 22 292 84367 79717 14 295 8 271 15 262 17 260 21 291 79717 75709 17 316 3 325 9 260 11 262 16 297 75709 72191 11 329 4 354 8 267 9 306 9 320 72191 69043 11 321 4 012 5 272 7 326 8 341 69043 66165 9 309 2 006 5 269 7 298 9 336 66165 63496 3 309 1 028 4 262 8 281 10 312 63496 60916 4 315 5 348 4 317 8 256 13 287 60916 58227 10 304 9 332 5 323 6 235 12 250 58227 55427 15 251 13 291 8 298 7 261 15 241 55427 52750 13 211 17 246 14 257 14 248 16 247 52750 50335 14 203 20 209 19 227 16 249 15 266 50335 48156 17 201 20 193 21 215 22 241 22 254 48156 46175 17 200 22 198 22 212 20 237 21 246 46175 44356 17 210 21 195 23 210 25 249 23 247 44356 42667 20 211 24 207 23 225 28 236 22 254 42667 41089 24 210 26 212 36 218 29 248 37 257 41089 39614 27 216 37 207 33 209 38 254 47 252 39614 38235 34 205 33 207 29 223 44 249 48 257 38235 36913 33 194 32 208 39 220 43 251 49 263 36913 35578 33 195 37 209 43 222 48 247 50 263 35578 34197 35 197 43 216 52 223 51 232 47 254 34197 32768 37 195 47 215 52 220 51 228 46 242 32768 31278 37 192 45 213 50 219 50 228 45 237 31278 29716 39 188 43 212 48 221 47 226 43 238 29716 28082 38 186 44 201 45 217 46 228 40 242 28082 26376 36 188 46 188 44 216 44 237 38 253 26376 24603 34 184 45 183 37 210 41 242 33 258 24603 22774 31 177 38 181 40 191 34 223 23 252 22774 20882 29 171 32 177 36 186 34 211 19 257 20882 18916 30 164 29 172 29 182 24 205 18 271 18916 16917 28 161 25 171 21 182 15 202 7 263 16917 14998 23 156 21 164 17 173 10 198 7 193 14998 13254 17 146 17 157 16 168 10 182 9 182 13254 11704 14 140 14 152 15 161 11 168 9 172 11704 10325 10 138 11 148 12 151 11 159 11 165 10325 9094 7 132 8 145 10 139 11 146 11 159 9094 7996 4 125 4 145 8 122 11 136 9 154 7996 7016 3 112 3 154 7 106 9 131 8 149 7016 6147 1 115 3 162 5 095 7 133 8 148 6147 5376 2 276 2 176 3 069 5 140 7 146 5376 4683 4 308 1 241 2 038 2 134 6 144 4683 4067 5 318 1 335 1*016 1 120 4 146 4067 3552 6 328 1 103 2*221 2 136 2 151 3552 3156 6 339 1 165 3 219 3 170 2 127 3156 2883 4 356 3 201 4 219 3 182 2 099 2883 2717 3*006 3*207 4 220 3*185 2*083 2717 2623 3*011 3*206 4 218 3*187 2*076 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography