DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.2 - - 75.9 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 428 - - 206 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 432 - - 1153 - - 967 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4181 - - 3859 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3969 - - 4690 - - 4504 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 592 - - 1258 - - 1322 - - 775 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 327 - - 243 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 253 - - 263 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 36 - - 34 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3644 - - -3579 - - -3530 - - -2066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7613 - - 8269 - - 8034 - - 4691 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6874 - - -6374 - - -6816 - - -7545 ODpotential blCL - - - 10843 - - 11064 - - 11320 - - 10169 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 47 - - 46 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 90 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.2 - - 75.9 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 50.0 - - 49.8 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 75.4 - - 75.1 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 49.2 - - 49.1 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 428 - - 206 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 432 - - 1153 - - 967 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98077 15 256 22 264 16 300 18 312 98077 90588 14 251 16 254 21 272 21 295 90588 84839 16 263 12 283 13 263 16 287 84839 80101 16 258 16 281 10 301 12 286 80101 76017 13 265 17 274 19 314 10 303 76017 72409 13 282 15 282 23 299 17 313 72409 69155 13 272 16 274 25 278 23 301 69155 66179 13 278 16 277 24 271 25 287 66179 63427 14 293 14 282 18 272 20 285 63427 60758 18 303 16 297 14 284 16 294 60758 57963 20 297 19 294 17 292 17 291 57963 55069 16 280 21 287 22 287 21 294 55069 52323 16 283 18 283 21 287 23 291 52323 49864 19 313 17 298 18 306 16 291 49864 47674 25 332 20 316 21 314 16 308 47674 45706 25 342 23 329 23 323 20 321 45706 43919 30 352 28 349 27 335 26 337 43919 42274 37 354 35 002 27 350 28 345 42274 40742 41 355 32 006 22 357 23 345 40742 39305 39 354 26 012 14 020 11 350 39305 37951 30 003 19 033 14 043 9 028 37951 36642 28 021 19 049 16 045 11 038 36642 35316 28 017 20 043 18 044 14 042 35316 33943 22 020 21 031 18 043 15 045 33943 32529 18 036 19 021 18 040 15 046 32529 31058 19 040 18 021 18 036 16 048 31058 29519 21 036 20 029 18 035 17 050 29519 27913 21 032 20 041 18 037 17 050 27913 26238 21 033 17 048 16 040 15 048 26238 24497 20 036 16 048 14 038 13 041 24497 22694 18 039 16 045 13 036 11 029 22694 20825 16 047 14 046 12 044 10 029 20825 18886 17 055 13 052 12 055 10 043 18886 16913 19 057 13 056 11 063 9 052 16913 15009 19 057 14 052 11 060 7 057 15009 13276 17 061 14 048 11 045 6 043 13276 11730 10 063 11 047 9 027 6 006 11730 10350 4 033 7 030 9 006 8 337 10350 9116 3 354 6 001 9 349 11 328 9116 8012 3 314 6 325 10 333 13 328 8012 7028 3 306 7 307 12 320 15 330 7028 6155 4 308 7 296 13 315 16 333 6155 5380 5 315 7 295 12 308 16 333 5380 4684 5 324 7*288 10*303 13 331 4684 4067 4*319 6*275 9*291 9 325 4067 3551 4*267 7 257 8 265 5 325 3551 3155 5 248 8 249 8 257 2 348 3155 2883 5 240 8 244 8 253 0 234 2883 2718 6 237 8 243 8 249 1*188 2718 2623 5 235 7 241 7 247 1*179 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography