DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 72.7 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 601 - - - - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 477 - - 1183 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3668 - - 4258 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4014 - - 4720 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 451 - - 498 - - - - - 1370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 367 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 212 - - - - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 40 - - - - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 45 - - -1365 - - - - - -873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3969 - - 6086 - - - - - 3496 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8920 - - -8302 - - - - - -10445 ODpotential blCL - - - 12934 - - 13022 - - - - - 13068 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 77 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 72.7 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 54.8 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 70.2 - - - - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 54.7 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 601 - - - - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 477 - - 1183 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 7 - - - - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98657 30 123 38 112 29 104 98657 91175 30 124 25 113 26 099 91175 85444 29 135 15 119 23 103 85444 80699 27 124 19 129 17 107 80699 76612 20 110 18 129 17 115 76612 72999 14 124 11 131 18 106 72999 69740 13 123 14 146 10 086 69740 66772 12 108 17 133 5 123 66772 64042 5 110 8 112 12 135 64042 61412 8 189 3 207 12 114 61412 58690 7 175 15 200 10 211 58690 55892 2 300 15 193 16 226 55892 53234 9 264 12 227 19 242 53234 50839 18 262 21 235 23 253 50839 48688 28 262 30 248 29 260 48688 46729 37 261 35 252 33 262 46729 44918 43 262 36 257 40 254 44918 43232 46 263 38 259 43 256 43232 41653 44 272 39 263 47 262 41653 40168 47 282 42 268 45 263 40168 38767 52 286 46 279 39 263 38767 37415 57 287 50 287 38 268 37415 36043 62 288 55 290 39 274 36043 34624 64 295 54 294 42 275 34624 33161 68 298 59 294 43 277 33161 31638 74 303 57 302 42 280 31638 30044 57 311 41 308 42 284 30044 28380 33 306 29 293 38 289 28380 26647 18 294 30 284 32 282 26647 24848 10 295 21 285 26 275 24848 22993 9 297 14 289 18 276 22993 21076 13 307 14 305 11 294 21076 19086 11 306 11 306 9 295 19086 17062 3 258 8 308 7 305 17062 15114 5 154 1 315 2 316 15114 13344 7 129 4 110 3 140 13344 11770 6 108 5 110 7 137 11770 10367 4 072 5 121 8 139 10367 9115 5 004 3 142 4 165 9115 7999 8 350 1 200 3 252 7999 7006 10 344 2 257 7 281 7006 6130 10 342 2 272 9 284 6130 5355 7 341 3*244 8 282 5355 4663 4 345 3*218 6 276 4663 4051 0*173 5 211 3 242 4051 3542 4*197 7 211 4 185 3542 3151 5 202 8 212 5 188 3151 2881 6 205 9 213 5 191 2881 2717 6 206 8 213 5*193 2717 2622 6 207 8 214 4*195 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography