DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 59.9 - - 62.6 - - 59.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 11 - - 91 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 143 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3680 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1143 - - 1161 - - 736 - - 1155 - - 754 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 29 - - 100 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 20 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 037 - - 298 - - 224 - - 215 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 3 - - 14 - - 10 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6585 - - -4905 - - -3239 - - -3720 - - -4916 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9208 - - 7528 - - 6919 - - 6343 - - 7539 sfcLCL ODpotential -18634 - - -13298 - - -10349 - - -11521 - - -14603 ODpotential blCL 21257 - - 15921 - - 14029 - - 14144 - - 17226 blCL maxRH 33 - - 34 - - 47 - - 45 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 59.9 - - 62.6 - - 59.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.7 - - 36.6 - - 41.6 - - 41.2 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 - - 60.5 - - 62.5 - - 61.1 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.6 - - 35.3 - - 40.4 - - 40.0 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 11 - - 91 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 143 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96186 1 031 7 017 12 249 4 310 4 322 96186 89088 9 056 4 054 2 166 1 266 7 331 89088 83603 3 066 10 015 3 033 4 296 7 327 83603 79007 5 333 9 343 5 012 6 328 9 321 79007 75039 8 305 12 306 14 318 13 334 8 326 75039 71548 10 304 15 303 23 312 21 327 19 346 71548 68411 17 310 20 294 30 305 28 321 29 337 68411 65554 23 304 20 290 33 296 34 307 34 334 65554 62940 22 310 19 300 27 298 27 301 33 300 62940 60438 26 322 16 300 22 305 22 309 26 294 60438 57806 24 316 20 298 25 305 27 308 28 309 57806 55045 25 310 33 301 34 298 37 297 40 296 55045 52404 32 310 39 302 42 292 43 295 44 288 52404 50022 36 312 36 301 40 290 43 293 42 288 50022 47866 34 311 34 306 36 300 40 297 42 292 47866 45886 30 314 36 318 37 308 41 304 43 301 45886 44059 35 334 39 325 39 319 44 313 51 314 44059 42373 48 340 40 328 42 331 47 324 55 320 42373 40809 55 339 48 331 49 335 53 329 57 325 40809 39350 56 335 56 332 56 333 59 329 60 331 39350 37982 55 334 61 332 61 332 62 329 60 334 37982 36665 59 340 62 333 66 335 63 330 61 337 36665 35331 61 345 60 336 67 338 63 332 60 338 35331 33953 60 346 59 338 63 338 62 335 58 338 33953 32532 58 344 59 338 62 338 58 336 56 339 32532 31055 55 343 56 337 59 338 55 337 54 339 31055 29512 53 342 58 338 63 343 57 343 55 341 29512 27901 51 344 57 341 56 345 51 343 54 346 27901 26224 46 345 44 340 38 340 37 337 45 344 26224 24482 39 343 33 336 28 340 34 340 35 335 24482 22676 36 340 30 335 28 339 36 341 35 336 22676 20800 33 337 31 340 29 337 36 341 37 343 20800 18849 27 331 30 341 28 342 30 347 34 350 18849 16865 24 336 26 340 25 348 24 355 26 357 16865 14955 25 350 24 345 22 351 20 360 21 002 14955 13215 28 359 23 355 20 352 19 359 21 005 13215 11664 28 003 20 006 17 357 17 357 20 008 11664 10280 25 006 16 015 10 003 15 356 19 011 10280 9046 22 007 13 019 5 012 10 350 16 015 9046 7946 18 004 12 019 5 021 5 338 13 022 7946 6968 13 358 11 017 6 023 4 342 10 030 6968 6104 9 346 10 015 6 022 3 354 9 034 6104 5339 7 331 8 013 6 025 5 009 8 034 5339 4652 5 316 6 009 5 026 6 016 8 031 4652 4045 3 305 4 003 4*025 6 024 7 026 4045 3537 2 301 3 002 1*357 3 028 5 020 3537 3147 1 313 2 004 2 225 0 002 5 018 3147 2879 1 021 1 004 2 221 1 216 4 021 2879 2715 2*035 0*280 3 218 2*216 3*024 2715 2622 3*037 1*240 3 217 2*212 3*027 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography