DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.5 - - 77.6 - - 74.1 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 597 - - 362 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 535 - - 1061 - - 728 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3766 - - 4167 - - 3843 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4072 - - 4598 - - 4265 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 439 - - 602 - - 596 - - 1225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 353 - - 264 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 209 - - 206 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 41 - - 35 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2069 - - -2372 - - -1969 - - -1315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6141 - - 6970 - - 6235 - - 3939 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8689 - - -7804 - - -8462 - - -9999 ODpotential blCL - - - 12761 - - 12402 - - 12727 - - 12623 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 64 - - 67 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.5 - - 77.6 - - 74.1 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 55.9 - - 55.6 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 75.1 - - 72.6 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 55.7 - - 55.5 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 597 - - 362 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 535 - - 1061 - - 728 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98501 30 115 33 115 28 119 31 101 98501 91030 31 115 25 111 23 112 24 089 91030 85307 23 101 22 113 19 105 19 106 85307 80577 17 105 17 095 22 103 18 115 80577 76524 18 114 14 106 18 084 20 100 76524 72950 20 101 16 129 8 105 17 082 72950 69716 18 091 19 123 11 134 7 085 69716 66755 15 088 21 119 14 118 8 119 66755 64031 7 099 14 102 13 100 9 107 64031 61420 9 137 5 118 6 069 10 064 61420 58716 8 118 5 147 3 187 2 257 58716 55921 5 261 4 247 7 237 8 257 55921 53253 11 262 13 236 16 244 16 270 53253 50847 17 282 15 272 17 266 24 276 50847 48684 29 279 24 285 26 274 30 271 48684 46703 35 282 34 292 35 285 33 285 46703 44868 41 287 44 295 44 295 44 299 44868 43160 44 293 48 294 54 296 56 296 43160 41560 46 295 45 294 57 295 58 294 41560 40055 42 294 41 293 51 295 61 296 40055 38634 35 293 41 297 42 293 67 298 38634 37262 28 292 39 297 39 293 59 297 37262 35874 15 291 30 297 35 300 42 299 35874 34446 5 290 16 299 24 304 28 306 34446 32984 2 310 5 300 10 303 19 314 32984 31474 6 345 6 331 3 326 10 304 31474 29900 9 341 9 330 2 354 6 279 29900 28260 10 329 11 323 5 335 7 294 28260 26551 9 325 10 318 7 319 9 304 26551 24776 8 322 9 314 8 314 10 315 24776 22937 7 332 8 316 9 328 11 328 22937 21031 3 327 6 318 9 338 10 333 21031 19053 4 184 4 255 9 346 8 003 19053 17042 6 175 5 215 5 350 8 029 17042 15106 5 172 5 203 1 333 6 043 15106 13344 4 195 5 214 1 159 4 068 13344 11776 2 222 3 227 1 151 2 068 11776 10380 2 267 2 251 1 296 3 333 10380 9133 3 299 3 297 5 301 6 324 9133 8019 5 310 5 304 7 296 9 323 8019 7026 6 308 5 293 7 286 10 312 7026 6148 6 303 5 279 7 279 9 301 6148 5371 6 295 4 265 6 271 7 288 5371 4675 4*287 4*224 4*246 6 279 4675 4059 3*256 5*210 4*210 3 246 4059 3547 4 232 7 209 7 205 3 160 3547 3153 6 225 8 209 7 206 4 165 3153 2882 7 222 9 210 8 205 5 174 2882 2717 7 222 9 210 8 207 4*177 2717 2623 6 221 8 210 7 207 4*178 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography