DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 50.1 - - - - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 61 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 752 - - 1992 - - - - - 941 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4289 - - 5529 - - - - - 4478 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1935 - - 2194 - - - - - 2840 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 112 - - 214 - - - - - 51 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 239 - - - - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 52 - - - - - 41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1003 - - 2128 - - - - - 1471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3287 - - 3401 - - - - - 3007 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1135 - - 433 - - - - - -283 ODpotential blCL - - - 5424 - - 5096 - - - - - 4761 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 100 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 50.1 - - - - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 44.3 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 50.4 - - - - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 43.2 - - - - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 61 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 752 - - 1992 - - - - - 941 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - - - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97509 38 283 39 266 44 285 97509 90169 44 281 44 277 39 286 90169 84491 36 279 35 278 33 285 84491 79762 28 278 24 288 27 280 79762 75694 28 258 26 273 27 271 75694 72103 24 256 29 242 26 252 72103 68850 15 263 23 243 24 257 68850 65849 19 244 18 247 24 258 65849 63050 24 215 17 242 23 249 63050 60319 26 246 25 249 28 254 60319 57463 36 258 34 248 35 259 57463 54515 42 254 41 263 41 267 54515 51719 40 250 47 263 41 271 51719 49215 36 250 46 255 45 272 49215 46978 39 254 45 258 50 267 46978 44958 47 267 51 269 55 264 44958 43116 69 276 67 272 60 259 43116 41425 92 273 86 270 66 260 41425 39861 101 268 101 264 81 260 39861 38408 102 266 99 260 90 254 38408 37047 102 266 95 260 90 250 37047 35736 102 264 95 261 89 250 35736 34408 102 262 96 260 89 251 34408 33036 102 261 98 258 89 254 33036 31626 102 259 97 257 85 258 31626 30168 99 258 91 257 76 260 30168 28650 94 257 84 257 71 258 28650 27071 88 258 78 257 67 258 27071 25431 80 259 75 257 61 260 25431 23732 77 258 74 259 58 262 23732 21973 75 257 74 263 56 261 21973 20148 70 256 73 265 50 260 20148 18252 63 253 66 264 45 261 18252 16321 59 254 60 260 41 263 16321 14461 51 253 54 259 36 264 14461 12772 39 238 42 254 31 262 12772 11277 35 225 33 238 26 262 11277 9955 34 221 33 234 21 265 9955 8780 34 227 30 246 17 268 8780 7735 30 239 24 259 16 267 7735 6805 26 254 20 264 14 267 6805 5982 22 265 17*261 12 268 5982 5250 18 270 15*254 11 266 5250 4591 14*270 14 246 11*262 4591 4005 11*267 14 237 11*257 4005 3513 8 262 13 233 11 252 3513 3134 5 256 13 230 10 246 3134 2872 4 251 12 229 8 240 2872 2713 4 249 10 228 7 237 2713 2621 3 250 8 228 4 235 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography