DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 87.4 - - 85.0 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 402 - - 118 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 228 - - 842 - - 268 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 3943 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3765 - - 4379 - - 3805 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 954 - - 2223 - - 1800 - - 860 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 167 - - 286 - - 130 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 218 - - 254 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 34 - - 19 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8017 - - -5640 - - -5579 - - -5109 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11783 - - 10019 - - 9384 - - 7735 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13896 - - -9863 - - -10158 - - -12120 ODpotential blCL - - - 17661 - - 14242 - - 13963 - - 14745 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 37 - - 36 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 87.4 - - 85.0 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 52.5 - - 52.9 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 85.5 - - 84.7 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 52.4 - - 52.9 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 402 - - 118 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 228 - - 842 - - 268 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97943 9 292 11 264 13 235 13 296 97943 90668 5 266 5 223 9 287 5 350 90668 85057 4 189 5 196 8 302 7 010 85057 80392 7 157 3 174 4 163 1 224 80392 76381 7 168 2 259 6 148 7 163 76381 72834 3 178 1 194 3 104 9 099 72834 69630 5 155 8 183 1 131 5 049 69630 66704 6 118 9 210 2 267 5 326 66704 64011 4 086 6 205 4 246 4 269 64011 61415 4 014 4 251 5 251 8 256 61415 58728 11 325 11 292 9 263 13 264 58728 55963 21 306 16 294 16 274 17 271 55963 53326 28 297 23 291 19 285 21 279 53326 50941 34 291 27 293 30 293 27 290 50941 48789 39 288 35 284 41 291 40 290 48789 46825 43 286 40 286 46 286 42 286 46825 45010 46 292 43 292 47 292 40 290 45010 43315 50 300 46 297 49 296 42 295 43315 41720 54 303 49 301 50 297 46 296 41720 40216 56 304 50 305 50 299 50 296 40216 38795 56 306 51 308 51 301 50 298 38795 37424 56 309 51 311 50 305 49 300 37424 36037 54 313 53 313 50 311 48 306 36037 34608 48 317 40 311 48 314 46 313 34608 33139 32 315 21 308 40 315 44 318 33139 31618 17 309 16 311 30 310 34 315 31618 30033 10 298 13 304 21 315 25 306 30033 28382 9 306 10 282 16 316 19 311 28382 26663 8 317 10 290 13 306 15 324 26663 24884 5 351 7 324 10 312 11 332 24884 23046 9 048 8 011 9 337 10 338 23046 21141 14 044 11 034 10 008 10 354 21141 19159 14 049 9 047 8 033 8 022 19159 17145 13 063 8 049 8 053 8 054 17145 15207 10 069 9 041 8 062 12 074 15207 13443 9 068 9 037 10 069 17 083 13443 11875 8 082 9 053 13 069 17 086 11875 10478 9 101 8 080 14 069 15 088 10478 9230 10 108 7 081 12 062 12 082 9230 8112 9 105 7 069 8 054 9 072 8112 7115 8 098 5 075 5 045 6 059 7115 6230 6 091 2 084 2 027 3 028 6230 5442 4 074 0 091 2 306 3 324 5442 4733 3 034 1*238 3 293 5 308 4733 4103 2*360 3*220 4*295 7 307 4103 3576 2*306 5 219 3*275 8 309 3576 3170 3 248 6 219 4 255 7 317 3170 2891 4 242 7 217 4 248 6 330 2891 2721 4 239 7 218 4 246 5*339 2721 2624 4 236 6 217 4 242 4*352 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography