DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 55.0 - - 49.0 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -108 - - -13 - - -134 - - -229 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2622 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 518 - - 1750 - - 499 - - 224 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 30 - - 26 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 069 - - 052 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -50 - - -66 - - -54 - - -64 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4686 - - -3761 - - -3541 - - -4345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7310 - - 6384 - - 6163 - - 6968 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10526 - - -10203 - - -9925 - - -11892 ODpotential blCL - - - 13149 - - 12826 - - 12547 - - 14514 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 40 - - 33 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 55.0 - - 49.0 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 36.5 - - 31.7 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 56.4 - - 53.4 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.3 - - 35.3 - - 30.5 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -108 - - -13 - - -134 - - -229 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96313 11 351 14 343 19 019 16 029 96313 89280 10 041 9 355 15 020 14 031 89280 83836 12 045 8 009 7 355 10 346 83836 79282 9 316 9 346 6 341 10 325 79282 75329 14 276 6 321 9 290 13 311 75329 71813 15 279 13 301 16 296 12 306 71813 68616 18 278 20 295 22 298 13 288 68616 65673 22 269 26 284 21 291 14 284 65673 62942 23 262 28 273 21 284 17 289 62942 60290 19 263 25 260 22 276 21 291 60290 57515 18 272 22 249 21 264 22 281 57515 54633 21 283 20 264 18 262 21 268 54633 51882 28 278 25 280 18 274 18 256 51882 49403 33 268 31 269 23 277 17 256 49403 47179 36 255 34 254 29 269 20 270 47179 45163 33 249 32 245 36 260 29 276 45163 43319 31 253 31 255 39 254 33 278 43319 41619 35 257 35 262 36 256 35 275 41619 40041 46 260 35 262 34 262 34 265 40041 38568 56 260 32 269 30 265 34 256 38568 37190 64 260 35 269 27 269 37 248 37190 35871 66 258 39 262 28 280 38 242 35871 34545 53 255 32 260 36 276 33 244 34545 33185 26 259 6 254 29 253 32 254 33185 31789 6 296 8 351 12 251 35 252 31789 30342 8 055 14 358 10 296 28 250 30342 28831 21 066 15 004 12 310 20 252 28831 27259 26 062 14 012 13 316 18 263 27259 25621 26 057 13 022 12 321 16 267 25621 23920 27 057 12 024 12 330 11 262 23920 22160 27 063 12 021 12 338 4 254 22160 20333 26 070 11 022 10 345 3 294 20333 18434 24 063 10 029 8 354 5 325 18434 16500 25 052 11 042 7 006 6 350 16500 14639 24 051 12 050 6 027 6 023 14639 12945 20 054 13 053 6 047 9 040 12945 11438 18 057 11 047 6 045 10 042 11438 10096 15 063 10 044 8 032 9 059 10096 8899 11 083 8 066 6 033 9 089 8899 7832 9 111 8 098 4 068 9 105 7832 6884 8 123 7 119 5 108 8 114 6884 6042 7 119 8 115 7 110 9 110 6042 5295 6 106 10 102 9 096 10 105 5295 4623 10 067 15 085 12 069 13 086 4623 4025 18 058 19 076 17 055 14 072 4025 3525 27 062 20 072 27 056 24 061 3525 3139 29 064 19 070 30 058 29 061 3139 2874 25 064 16 069 26 057 27 061 2874 2713 18*062 13*068 19*055 21*060 2713 2621 10*057 8*067 11*052 12*055 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography