DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.6 - - 66.1 - - 72.9 - - 73.6 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 84 - - 192 - - 61 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 490 - - 377 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 4027 - - 3914 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 223 - - 1177 - - 2360 - - 2875 - - 1705 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 48 - - 192 - - 122 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 027 - - 245 - - 244 - - 276 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 8 - - 21 - - 15 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2326 - - -2496 - - -2731 - - -3136 - - -3790 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4949 - - 5120 - - 6759 - - 7051 - - 6414 sfcLCL ODpotential -11309 - - -7442 - - -6184 - - -6662 - - -10257 ODpotential blCL 13932 - - 10065 - - 10211 - - 10576 - - 12881 blCL maxRH 43 - - 61 - - 52 - - 48 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 200 - - 180 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.6 - - 66.1 - - 72.9 - - 73.6 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 53.0 - - 52.6 - - 52.0 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.9 - - 66.2 - - 72.3 - - 73.8 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 51.7 - - 51.3 - - 51.0 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 84 - - 192 - - 61 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 490 - - 377 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96648 17 299 28 305 26 292 24 294 19 292 96648 89396 7 274 19 267 22 264 22 292 20 314 89396 83902 13 295 14 253 22 271 19 268 20 298 83902 79343 20 292 15 274 23 282 19 268 21 291 79343 75407 19 272 16 272 26 267 26 290 23 304 75407 71926 19 284 15 280 23 263 29 294 25 308 71926 68769 26 300 18 305 16 294 25 294 24 305 68769 65873 29 301 19 311 16 311 21 289 23 299 65873 63197 29 295 21 304 18 300 20 293 23 298 63197 60601 29 292 25 296 21 295 22 299 24 304 60601 57886 32 296 29 293 29 299 29 303 29 306 57886 55058 36 296 34 288 36 296 37 296 35 306 55058 52351 39 292 36 287 39 290 40 291 38 304 52351 49912 40 291 36 295 36 291 37 291 38 298 49912 47729 38 293 38 299 35 296 35 300 36 296 47729 45760 37 295 38 297 36 300 39 306 33 303 45760 43971 34 294 36 294 35 298 37 305 34 310 43971 42328 35 299 35 287 34 294 34 301 33 310 42328 40800 38 300 36 285 34 288 32 294 31 306 40800 39369 41 300 38 282 37 284 32 290 27 302 39369 38022 41 299 37 282 37 277 35 284 24 297 38022 36722 39 298 36 283 36 275 37 274 24 293 36722 35404 34 303 35 279 35 273 38 273 27 286 35404 34039 29 313 32 273 35 273 38 275 31 282 34039 32631 24 319 27 271 35 272 36 277 32 282 32631 31165 26 322 25 277 34 270 37 284 32 288 31165 29630 33 318 26 293 32 276 38 292 29 298 29630 28025 35 318 31 305 34 295 36 298 30 311 28025 26349 30 318 32 310 34 304 35 301 32 316 26349 24604 24 313 28 306 33 303 34 301 28 319 24604 22795 22 314 25 310 30 304 33 306 24 325 22795 20919 24 331 25 324 28 316 30 317 23 331 20919 18970 27 342 27 336 27 327 27 330 23 339 18970 16983 26 347 24 342 23 333 24 344 21 348 16983 15067 21 348 18 345 18 338 19 358 16 355 15067 13317 16 350 13 340 14 340 14 004 10 359 13317 11757 12 003 10 334 10 335 10 356 6 355 11757 10367 8 020 7 337 8 325 6 347 4 350 10367 9126 7 027 5 002 5 317 4 011 2 008 9126 8020 6 036 5 035 3 326 6 041 2 116 8020 7037 7 047 5 057 3 019 7 028 5 115 7037 6165 8 058 4 076 3 029 7 013 5 097 6165 5392 10 064 4 091 2 005 7 344 5 069 5392 4696 11 065 4 091 3 327 6 325 5 044 4696 4077 11 064 4 076 3*303 5*307 5 025 4077 3559 11 063 4 056 3*261 5*292 6 012 3559 3160 10 060 3 049 4 247 5 278 6 005 3160 2885 8 055 0 281 4 241 5 270 6 004 2885 2718 6*049 1*240 4 237 4 266 5*008 2718 2623 3*027 1*239 4 234 4 263 4*010 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography