DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 77.3 - - 75.8 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 458 - - 177 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1317 - - 1622 - - 821 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4259 - - 4533 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4854 - - 5159 - - 4358 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 971 - - 1572 - - 1354 - - 1009 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 372 - - 216 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 240 - - 260 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 36 - - 27 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2595 - - -2193 - - -2430 - - -2100 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7449 - - 7353 - - 6789 - - 4725 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6134 - - -4676 - - -5873 - - -7324 ODpotential blCL - - - 10988 - - 9835 - - 10231 - - 9948 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 61 - - 58 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 220 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 77.3 - - 75.8 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 53.9 - - 54.9 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.9 - - 75.3 - - 75.2 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 53.9 - - 54.9 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 458 - - 177 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1317 - - 1622 - - 821 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98220 8 141 5 165 5 217 2 249 98220 90832 10 103 4 142 6 133 7 050 90832 85180 10 050 9 100 11 097 11 098 85180 80505 9 083 11 117 12 076 13 085 80505 76481 16 109 10 100 12 072 11 088 76481 72921 17 091 10 113 12 081 11 094 72921 69692 9 068 12 107 9 115 7 080 69692 66713 4 167 6 054 4 084 8 095 66713 63944 8 146 3 208 4 193 1 080 63944 61256 7 131 9 181 8 225 5 241 61256 58457 5 185 11 184 13 223 14 258 58457 55572 12 251 9 229 13 209 16 238 55572 52821 18 247 17 263 13 250 14 250 52821 50341 22 245 23 258 22 256 16 250 50341 48112 23 237 26 241 25 248 21 258 48112 46090 23 233 26 233 29 244 25 254 46090 44243 25 244 28 240 30 240 26 244 44243 42546 30 245 28 238 26 244 21 240 42546 40976 32 244 26 245 23 251 16 252 40976 39513 33 248 23 251 20 256 13 272 39513 38140 33 251 22 255 15 272 12 314 38140 36815 33 250 23 253 12 287 15 327 36815 35475 30 252 20 254 12 313 17 347 35475 34090 29 257 15 269 16 331 20 002 34090 32661 26 262 13 288 18 343 22 004 32661 31177 17 274 14 298 19 346 21 003 31177 29626 15 292 16 297 16 339 22 005 29626 28009 18 288 16 295 14 327 20 006 28009 26326 20 278 15 304 13 328 17 003 26326 24578 18 277 14 315 13 337 15 002 24578 22768 14 288 12 308 13 342 12 357 22768 20887 12 307 10 307 12 340 10 358 20887 18931 12 319 8 315 9 337 9 007 18931 16943 10 329 6 339 7 004 9 012 16943 15033 8 328 7 003 7 036 10 064 15033 13297 8 332 7 013 8 059 16 081 13297 11751 7 342 5 018 11 060 15 091 11751 10372 6 359 3 035 13 059 13 098 10372 9139 5 007 8 047 15 055 13 090 9139 8036 6 013 12 045 15 048 11 079 8036 7051 9 026 12 037 13 036 11 060 7051 6177 12 031 10 024 10 015 10 039 6177 5400 11*027 6*008 8 348 11 019 5400 4700 6*012 3*314 6*328 11 003 4700 4080 3 331 4 249 5*295 10 349 4080 3560 3 270 6 237 5 264 9 341 3560 3161 4 249 7 232 6 254 6 339 3161 2886 5 242 7 230 6 249 4 342 2886 2719 5 238 7 229 6 247 3*352 2719 2623 5 236 6 228 5 245 2*013 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography