DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 57.2 - - 61.0 - - 56.8 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 20 - - 58 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 59 - - 54 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3596 - - 3591 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 629 - - 1286 - - 1343 - - 981 - - 1178 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 32 - - 66 - - 40 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 238 - - 154 - - 193 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 10 - - 13 - - 23 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3520 - - -2997 - - -1721 - - 79 - - -1782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6143 - - 5621 - - 5317 - - 3512 - - 4406 sfcLCL ODpotential -11997 - - -9987 - - -7740 - - -5667 - - -8660 ODpotential blCL 14620 - - 12610 - - 11336 - - 9258 - - 11283 blCL maxRH 73 - - 83 - - 90 - - 91 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 57.2 - - 61.0 - - 56.8 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 42.0 - - 46.8 - - 50.5 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 57.7 - - 61.1 - - 57.5 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 40.8 - - 45.5 - - 49.8 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 20 - - 58 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 59 - - 54 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 33 - - 59 - - 62 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95788 5 013 15 328 11 312 13 278 14 286 95788 88820 13 050 4 014 7 310 4 025 6 018 88820 83451 15 046 5 049 9 346 11 062 12 046 83451 78963 10 054 5 063 10 344 14 037 19 028 78963 75087 13 035 9 087 6 318 10 356 23 013 75087 71671 20 011 11 059 8 023 9 001 18 013 71671 68585 20 357 12 023 16 024 9 019 13 037 68585 65747 18 359 14 009 16 012 10 009 16 036 65747 63115 17 357 15 003 17 352 15 352 20 020 63115 60569 19 341 20 350 17 346 15 336 16 355 60569 57900 23 338 24 331 20 337 20 326 15 325 57900 55104 26 328 25 319 23 313 25 306 21 313 55104 52411 34 317 30 314 29 306 31 303 26 303 52411 49961 38 307 34 304 34 301 36 301 28 295 49961 47735 37 296 38 286 42 289 45 289 34 294 47735 45684 40 303 36 283 41 276 44 280 41 280 45684 43787 49 299 38 284 36 277 40 278 41 270 43787 42026 51 285 42 275 38 276 43 269 38 270 42026 40392 47 272 43 270 44 263 52 257 47 268 40392 38875 50 277 47 264 55 255 60 246 57 254 38875 37477 68 276 61 265 66 254 61 244 63 242 37477 36152 74 269 73 261 71 254 61 244 66 238 36152 34820 53 258 68 256 71 252 61 245 65 238 34820 33447 45 248 61 251 65 246 62 244 62 239 33447 32038 43 251 53 246 51 238 61 242 58 237 32038 30579 39 251 48 248 40 240 51 238 54 233 30579 29061 41 247 40 248 34 241 40 232 43 230 29061 27476 41 245 33 250 31 237 33 231 36 230 27476 25822 33 246 25 255 27 233 26 230 38 234 25822 24100 28 249 20 249 26 230 27 235 41 232 24100 22319 23 249 18 233 27 225 31 226 38 222 22319 20478 14 224 16 216 27 212 34 214 32 212 20478 18571 8 207 14 196 24 194 30 206 27 203 18571 16631 3 247 8 182 16 180 19 195 24 191 16631 14761 4 305 4 196 11 200 11 186 19 185 14761 13056 4 320 4 207 9 218 7 175 14 195 13056 11533 4 342 2 184 6 208 6 159 11 198 11533 10173 3 014 3 159 5 195 7 174 8 187 10173 8956 2 062 4 174 4 186 7 177 7 179 8956 7873 1 161 5 178 4 172 6 166 7 182 7873 6911 3 192 5 165 5 153 6 152 7 183 6911 6063 4 182 6 147 7 142 7 138 6 178 6063 5310 5 169 9 139 9 138 8 128 6 167 5310 4634 4 158 10 135 10 132 7 123 6 150 4634 4034 3 143 7 136 9*126 5*135 5 126 4034 3531 1 163 3 155 7*129 4*172 4 100 3531 3144 1 335 2 208 5 158 5 193 5 083 3144 2877 2 007 2 227 4 164 5 199 5 070 2877 2715 2*028 2*243 4 167 5 200 5*060 2715 2622 2*033 2*240 4 172 4 202 5*056 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography