DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.1 - - 87.7 - - - - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 478 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 975 - - 2093 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4025 - - 4896 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4512 - - 5630 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 892 - - 1305 - - - - - 1309 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 294 - - 411 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 240 - - - - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 42 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3768 - - -3093 - - - - - -1543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8281 - - 8724 - - - - - 4168 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7768 - - -6197 - - - - - -6750 ODpotential blCL - - - 12280 - - 11827 - - - - - 9375 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 56 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 110 - - - - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.1 - - 87.7 - - - - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 58.4 - - - - - 65.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.4 - - 85.7 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 58.2 - - - - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 478 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 975 - - 2093 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98775 10 157 9 128 4 045 98775 91344 16 114 15 120 14 109 91344 85593 17 106 15 107 11 106 85593 80798 14 091 11 094 6 092 80798 76677 7 105 8 113 5 098 76677 73041 8 147 7 148 4 128 73041 69755 6 146 7 203 7 025 69755 66752 1 152 5 197 10 008 66752 64008 1 027 2 243 5 354 64008 61382 2 283 8 278 10 354 61382 58668 7 305 13 272 20 305 58668 55894 13 305 16 276 21 275 55894 53273 19 286 21 282 22 274 53273 50918 24 274 27 282 23 277 50918 48796 26 269 30 274 27 289 48796 46860 29 270 31 268 28 290 46860 45070 32 271 30 267 25 284 45070 43397 33 271 27 269 23 281 43397 41821 32 270 25 274 23 285 41821 40331 31 269 26 274 26 291 40331 38921 29 268 29 272 28 294 38921 37558 28 271 31 270 30 296 37558 36177 28 272 31 271 31 294 36177 34747 29 277 30 273 29 286 34747 33275 28 284 27 275 30 270 33275 31745 26 289 24 279 28 270 31745 30147 24 291 23 286 23 271 30147 28486 22 293 20 292 16 272 28486 26759 20 296 18 298 12 290 26759 24967 14 302 15 302 11 319 24967 23117 7 341 7 299 11 338 23117 21202 7 028 1 357 7 346 21202 19212 4 286 4 264 7 343 19212 17188 13 252 12 260 6 317 17188 15241 15 254 14 260 9 269 15241 13472 13 268 13 266 13 258 13472 11897 12 288 12 281 14 263 11897 10493 13 300 12 294 12 275 10493 9236 13 304 13 301 11 283 9236 8113 13 305 13 301 9 290 8113 7112 12 308 11 300 8 299 7112 6224 11 313 8*293 8 304 6224 5435 11 322 6*266 7 303 5435 4727 8*325 6 255 5 296 4727 4099 5*304 7 240 3 271 4099 3573 5 261 8 234 2 189 3573 3169 5 249 9 230 3 160 3169 2890 6 242 9 229 3 167 2890 2721 6 239 8 228 3*169 2721 2624 5 237 8 227 3*172 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography