DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 74.5 - - 71.6 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 147 - - -19 - - -109 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1017 - - 221 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3719 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2624 - - 4554 - - 3758 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6841 - - 5785 - - 4899 - - 460 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 226 - - 52 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 078 - - 071 - - 070 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -83 - - -85 - - -91 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10899 - - -9344 - - -9311 - - -9160 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13523 - - 13898 - - 13069 - - 11784 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17703 - - -16698 - - -16606 - - -16726 ODpotential blCL - - - 20327 - - 21252 - - 20364 - - 19350 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 25 - - 30 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 74.5 - - 71.6 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 22.6 - - 23.6 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 74.2 - - 73.1 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 21.4 - - 22.5 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 147 - - -19 - - -109 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1017 - - 221 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96204 27 276 17 319 9 337 9 312 96204 89099 5 333 14 296 7 303 13 312 89099 83640 22 357 9 253 13 334 10 306 83640 79108 11 349 10 316 12 337 12 338 79108 75206 8 024 11 359 4 338 6 016 75206 71750 17 022 9 359 11 005 7 057 71750 68620 10 048 4 308 13 331 6 032 68620 65747 14 074 7 044 7 018 2 175 65747 63077 18 025 19 006 5 028 2 326 63077 60497 17 002 16 015 6 029 6 032 60497 57815 9 338 13 028 17 049 10 058 57815 55012 10 356 15 004 22 036 15 050 55012 52300 18 013 15 011 19 032 18 055 52300 49834 28 049 12 060 9 031 20 053 49834 47620 31 049 19 070 8 075 17 050 47620 45609 24 050 25 066 19 111 15 075 45609 43767 26 075 29 072 35 101 25 104 43767 42079 37 097 29 087 42 088 31 108 42079 40530 52 102 36 100 42 099 42 117 40530 39098 62 102 49 103 52 114 55 118 39098 37759 64 103 54 106 57 116 55 121 37759 36468 65 104 53 111 54 118 53 125 36468 35158 62 104 53 114 52 122 53 128 35158 33799 56 107 52 114 50 123 53 128 33799 32395 52 108 47 116 47 121 51 127 32395 30931 51 106 43 116 42 118 50 125 30931 29398 50 104 42 113 40 115 48 123 29398 27795 44 107 43 111 39 115 45 122 27795 26122 37 110 41 107 36 112 42 118 26122 24383 34 106 35 102 33 103 40 113 24383 22585 35 097 32 097 33 100 39 111 22585 20720 34 089 33 097 33 107 37 116 20720 18781 31 085 32 101 30 118 32 129 18781 16807 27 082 29 105 25 124 24 142 16807 14907 24 077 26 104 23 121 20 151 14907 13179 21 078 23 098 23 117 18 144 13179 11640 19 087 19 095 19 117 17 134 11640 10270 14 101 14 103 15 117 15 129 10270 9048 12 121 11 117 13 124 13 131 9048 7959 13 132 11 123 13 134 11 136 7959 6988 13 132 11 121 12 134 10 140 6988 6128 13 128 12 108 12 123 10 140 6128 5363 14 120 15 093 14 101 10 136 5363 4674 16 104 20*080 17 085 12 121 4674 4062 21 086 23*074 23*075 15 106 4062 3549 23 080 23 071 23*072 20 092 3549 3155 23 078 22 070 21 070 22 084 3155 2882 20 078 20 069 19 069 20 076 2882 2717 16*078 17 069 15 068 16*070 2717 2623 10*077 10 069 9 066 9*063 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography