DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 86.6 - - 85.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 406 - - 187 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 3868 - - 2980 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 6219 - - 5253 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4960 - - 7405 - - 6517 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2193 - - 2496 - - 2405 - - 3213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 479 - - 339 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 243 - - 255 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 38 - - 40 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -971 - - -559 - - -1765 - - -3913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5932 - - 7964 - - 8282 - - 6537 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4323 - - -2443 - - -4028 - - -7847 ODpotential blCL - - - 9283 - - 9848 - - 10545 - - 10471 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 91 - - 96 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 940 - - 1130 - - 620 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 86.6 - - 85.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.6 - - 60.4 - - 57.7 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 84.9 - - 84.4 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 60.1 - - 57.5 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 406 - - 187 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 3868 - - 2980 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 65 - - 85 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98736 18 103 17 099 17 125 13 122 98736 91333 17 104 18 134 14 107 16 098 91333 85604 14 108 13 136 13 119 14 089 85604 80840 14 101 13 116 12 098 15 086 80840 76748 9 096 14 086 13 077 13 086 76748 73150 11 103 10 098 13 079 12 071 73150 69911 11 094 10 119 6 080 13 039 69911 66936 7 074 9 100 3 043 4 002 66936 64185 10 094 8 096 2 089 11 029 64185 61532 7 349 5 353 1 241 8 341 61532 58793 11 250 12 249 12 265 11 249 58793 55978 21 254 23 251 27 266 15 281 55978 53307 44 257 45 256 45 245 39 248 53307 50914 49 248 49 244 49 233 50 242 50914 48750 54 279 51 262 52 249 47 246 48750 46766 66 273 64 266 60 259 58 258 46766 44937 72 266 71 260 67 254 70 256 44937 43231 73 260 73 255 71 253 72 257 43231 41625 69 254 67 251 73 249 72 259 41625 40112 68 249 66 245 69 247 70 255 40112 38685 68 246 69 243 61 245 65 250 38685 37312 70 242 68 243 60 240 58 245 37312 35926 72 242 65 243 61 238 59 237 35926 34497 67 244 64 242 61 238 62 238 34497 33029 64 242 63 242 60 241 57 244 33029 31511 63 244 63 245 59 249 55 252 31511 29932 53 251 55 250 52 257 51 257 29932 28289 41 256 41 254 38 264 37 263 28289 26581 32 250 29 253 26 263 22 249 26581 24810 31 246 30 252 25 251 23 230 24810 22979 25 244 26 254 22 239 24 232 22979 21082 21 244 23 248 21 237 22 239 21082 19114 24 246 25 242 23 239 22 241 19114 17113 28 249 26 245 24 240 24 241 17113 15187 30 250 27 248 24 244 24 242 15187 13429 30 252 26 249 22 250 21 248 13429 11862 27 255 24 251 20 258 18 256 11862 10464 23 257 21 256 17 267 15 266 10464 9214 19 257 18 259 15 275 12 275 9214 8097 16 254 14*259 11 279 11 282 8097 7102 12 250 10*255 9*277 10 285 7102 6219 10 247 8 249 8*273 10 285 6219 5435 8*246 7 245 8 270 9 286 5435 4729 6*252 8 243 8 259 8 289 4729 4102 3 268 8 240 9 251 7 293 4102 3576 3 266 8 238 9 246 6 297 3576 3171 3 258 8 236 9 243 6 298 3171 2891 3 253 8 234 9 242 5 297 2891 2721 3 250 8 234 8 240 4*298 2721 2623 3 248 7 233 7 239 3*303 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography