DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 59.1 - - 56.6 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 76 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 601 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 4138 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3845 - - 2155 - - 2360 - - 1655 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 157 - - 15 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 264 - - 274 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 19 - - 9 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2319 - - 351 - - -317 - - -544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4942 - - 3787 - - 2940 - - 3167 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5484 - - -2550 - - -3058 - - -5320 ODpotential blCL - - - 8107 - - 6688 - - 5681 - - 7943 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 79 - - 83 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 59.1 - - 56.6 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 51.6 - - 52.7 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 59.1 - - 57.6 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 50.2 - - 51.9 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 76 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 601 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 7 284 4 286 9 270 13 324 96497 89350 6 351 9 289 9 360 6 002 89350 83859 6 021 11 269 9 333 6 017 83859 79296 4 024 5 244 14 281 9 323 79296 75349 2 102 4 231 16 252 12 294 75349 71847 2 305 4 216 10 241 10 268 71847 68672 10 261 10 248 10 255 10 255 68672 65755 14 266 12 272 14 260 14 262 65755 63049 18 260 19 261 19 258 16 265 63049 60427 18 241 23 261 20 263 21 267 60427 57698 16 264 25 271 24 272 20 268 57698 54867 24 281 23 291 19 278 22 270 54867 52165 23 291 20 301 19 298 25 283 52165 49739 23 308 25 307 28 305 27 298 49739 47560 23 308 28 304 27 296 31 293 47560 45572 21 294 22 295 26 300 28 290 45572 43744 20 333 24 311 27 312 35 306 43744 42063 33 345 33 326 38 320 43 305 42063 40511 40 343 39 331 41 323 40 303 40511 39066 42 337 38 332 36 331 34 299 39066 37708 41 338 37 340 34 341 28 298 37708 36395 40 353 38 348 35 346 25 303 36395 35064 44 003 41 354 36 348 27 313 35064 33691 49 003 43 356 39 346 35 318 33691 32280 50 001 42 355 43 343 36 315 32280 30812 51 001 41 348 42 347 29 317 30812 29274 54 359 38 343 40 352 24 329 29274 27668 56 358 38 345 42 357 26 336 27668 25994 55 004 40 350 39 000 30 343 25994 24257 48 008 40 002 33 356 31 350 24257 22459 41 006 38 010 28 354 29 354 22459 20594 37 003 36 012 28 356 29 355 20594 18659 31 003 34 011 30 360 27 358 18659 16691 28 007 30 009 31 003 25 001 16691 14797 25 014 25 007 28 006 26 005 14797 13072 21 017 20 001 23 007 26 008 13072 11537 18 012 18 352 18 002 22 006 11537 10172 15 003 16 343 15 350 18 358 10172 8958 14 356 14 335 13 339 14 345 8958 7878 13 350 13 330 12 329 11 332 7878 6918 11 343 12 327 10 324 10 322 6918 6068 10 338 10 326 9 320 8 314 6068 5314 9 333 9 328 7 321 7 309 5314 4637 9 333 7*330 6 327 7 313 4637 4035 7 338 5*323 5 339 6 319 4035 3532 5 346 3 268 4 329 5 321 3532 3144 3 344 3 250 2 294 4 323 3144 2877 1 277 4 242 3 273 3 336 2877 2715 1*258 4 238 2*265 3*349 2715 2622 1*245 3 235 2*263 2*354 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography