DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 - - 53.9 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 24 - - 14 - - 12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 755 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 2622 - - 4292 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3120 - - 2397 - - 1998 - - 2946 - - 3506 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 31 - - 25 - - 89 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 145 - - 185 - - 247 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 6 - - 33 - - 38 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1670 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2622 - - 2622 - - 2621 - - 2622 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -1674 - - -472 - - -70 - - 357 - - -532 ODpotential blCL 4297 - - 3095 - - 2692 - - 3935 - - 3155 blCL maxRH 93 - - 101 - - 101 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 30 - - 80 - - 160 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 - - 53.9 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.5 - - 50.2 - - 51.7 - - 51.5 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 52.0 - - 52.4 - - 54.5 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.0 - - 49.9 - - 51.7 - - 51.2 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 24 - - 14 - - 12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 755 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 102 - - 102 - - 93 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96590 43 295 41 289 32 283 44 273 47 292 96590 89322 35 296 30 294 25 290 27 282 31 302 89322 83774 28 287 25 293 26 296 27 291 28 298 83774 79217 22 280 27 283 25 297 24 299 28 292 79217 75297 24 280 25 270 24 284 25 298 18 310 75297 71799 29 282 23 273 27 279 24 292 25 291 71799 68629 28 287 23 272 30 272 25 285 28 276 68629 65730 24 290 22 273 29 275 31 283 18 286 65730 63018 25 283 22 274 32 273 29 283 22 297 63018 60376 27 277 28 278 34 283 28 282 39 299 60376 57649 29 278 35 280 35 281 44 290 49 289 57649 54840 32 290 35 290 48 291 49 286 46 308 54840 52145 41 309 46 304 44 295 62 314 78 321 52145 49711 52 317 47 308 60 313 85 307 90 304 49711 47531 56 324 70 301 79 299 88 288 86 288 47531 45545 76 317 90 282 84 277 80 271 74 280 45545 43704 80 309 69 280 83 266 69 274 63 293 43704 41989 68 308 53 293 70 273 58 290 73 313 41989 40391 61 323 64 314 58 296 65 317 94 320 40391 38902 67 341 80 324 79 320 96 322 114 317 38902 37513 84 339 97 325 111 320 116 314 121 311 37513 36185 96 335 101 322 121 312 116 304 118 305 36185 34848 101 333 100 318 117 305 101 296 104 297 34848 33473 99 332 100 316 106 305 89 294 89 294 33473 32062 92 331 92 318 101 311 86 298 81 296 32062 30597 89 333 83 322 102 312 91 301 82 298 30597 29062 83 339 84 324 101 313 95 301 85 298 29062 27456 74 343 93 323 97 314 96 303 90 300 27456 25778 67 343 94 324 85 312 87 304 91 303 25778 24036 57 332 79 328 71 309 74 303 78 302 24036 22240 17 293 58 330 58 306 71 302 66 296 22240 20384 16 233 48 323 52 303 71 301 68 293 20384 18454 15 233 27 280 46 301 63 298 71 295 18454 16490 13 224 24 231 39 297 52 294 64 296 16490 14603 12 210 18 216 35 287 42 285 50 292 14603 12896 12 204 14 210 25 259 36 284 42 288 12896 11385 12 206 14 206 16 214 29 272 39 285 11385 10045 12 207 15 209 15 205 25 253 36 283 10045 8852 13 205 15 213 18 222 23 240 28 275 8852 7793 13 204 16 211 19 232 22 237 23 255 7793 6851 13 205 17 206 20 234 19 241 22 239 6851 6018 13 202 17 198 20 232 16 245 19 228 6018 5279 12 195 16 190 18 227 15 247 16 219 5279 4613 11 186 15 180 17 220 14*248 14 212 4613 4021 11 177 13 167 14 208 13*248 12 205 4021 3524 10 167 12 154 12 195 12 248 10 195 3524 3140 10 156 11 147 10 188 11 247 9 181 3140 2875 8 144 11 145 9 185 9 245 7 169 2875 2714 6*133 9*144 8*184 8 244 6*163 2714 2622 3*114 7*145 6*186 6 243 4*159 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography