DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.7 - - 67.5 - - 73.8 - - 73.7 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -155 - - 109 - - 184 - - 14 - - -104 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 4971 - - 6088 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 6776 - - 4738 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 8508 - - 9625 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 456 - - 4231 - - 3490 - - 2788 - - 376 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 52 - - 414 - - 227 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 22 - - 16 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 065 - - 083 - - 081 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -77 - - -128 - - -78 - - -46 - - -43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8560 - - -9981 - - -5858 - - -4746 - - -10399 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11183 - - 12606 - - 14367 - - 14372 - - 13023 sfcLCL ODpotential -15307 - - -15515 - - -11703 - - -10520 - - -16679 ODpotential blCL 17930 - - 18139 - - 20211 - - 20145 - - 19302 blCL maxRH 20 - - 22 - - 35 - - 33 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.7 - - 67.5 - - 73.8 - - 73.7 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.6 - - 21.4 - - 19.2 - - 19.2 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.7 - - 67.6 - - 73.4 - - 74.3 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.4 - - 20.2 - - 18.1 - - 18.0 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -155 - - 109 - - 184 - - 14 - - -104 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 4971 - - 6088 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96318 24 292 21 303 21 282 24 270 25 284 96318 89173 12 295 14 307 15 259 16 280 14 289 89173 83685 3 262 7 288 13 254 15 292 9 280 83685 79137 4 031 6 269 18 281 15 283 11 306 79137 75210 9 306 11 277 17 277 15 289 14 320 75210 71731 12 273 15 264 16 291 13 268 10 288 71731 68578 13 238 16 266 16 276 10 265 11 258 68578 65678 8 226 16 243 14 282 10 262 11 235 65678 62981 8 272 13 210 17 273 9 255 10 250 62981 60349 13 226 11 201 11 237 12 231 12 250 60349 57592 12 200 8 171 12 234 12 246 7 252 57592 54720 13 166 12 155 16 171 14 202 7 251 54720 51958 22 040 15 062 10 085 7 158 4 157 51958 49455 10 066 16 075 14 073 17 081 18 063 49455 47219 37 084 32 081 25 086 18 104 23 066 47219 45209 43 079 40 078 33 079 28 087 26 079 45209 43385 56 070 47 082 41 087 36 068 38 062 43385 41726 66 056 68 064 59 079 40 077 41 070 41726 40191 67 058 67 056 67 061 56 063 47 074 40191 38750 68 070 65 068 64 058 62 057 54 065 38750 37395 72 077 67 076 63 071 62 060 59 060 37395 36095 77 074 71 073 66 072 62 062 59 062 36095 34779 78 071 71 070 66 071 61 065 58 063 34779 33416 76 070 71 073 66 074 60 069 57 064 33416 32009 76 069 71 079 65 082 60 071 57 066 32009 30545 76 075 70 083 67 086 61 067 57 065 30545 29015 74 081 65 079 63 076 62 063 59 066 29015 27423 69 076 64 068 63 070 61 068 59 071 27423 25769 69 069 66 067 62 078 56 081 55 086 25769 24055 70 073 61 078 53 093 46 084 43 078 24055 22286 62 087 47 089 41 090 36 078 40 070 22286 20455 47 101 34 094 31 082 31 074 39 073 20455 18555 39 111 29 102 26 086 25 078 33 076 18555 16624 34 115 24 106 22 093 23 086 25 076 16624 14767 29 111 20 104 19 096 22 093 20 075 14767 13074 24 105 16 100 18 097 20 099 18 079 13074 11564 18 107 15 098 17 099 17 105 15 084 11564 10216 14 119 14 101 14 108 15*111 12 096 10216 9011 13 129 13 110 13*116 14*107 9 107 9011 7932 12 133 11 119 13*116 14 094 8 116 7932 6970 11 129 11 120 14 111 15 084 7 123 6970 6116 10 116 12 110 15 095 15 080 7 124 6116 5355 11 092 15 098 18 081 14 075 7 120 5355 4670 14 081 18 088 20 071 14 073 8 096 4670 4060 22 071 25 074 20 069 13 070 13 073 4060 3548 32 061 28 068 19 067 13 069 18 064 3548 3154 33 056 27 066 18 066 12 068 18 058 3154 2882 30 053 25 065 17 066 11 067 17 054 2882 2717 24*051 21*064 15 065 10 066 14*051 2717 2622 15*048 13*062 10 065 7 066 8*048 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography