DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.8 - - 62.2 - - 72.9 - - 80.4 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 115 - - 133 - - 102 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 614 - - 1019 - - 2240 - - 4558 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit 990 - - 990 - - 2105 - - 3584 - - 991 Hcrit BL Top 1618 - - 2023 - - 3244 - - 5562 - - 1007 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 661 - - 332 - - 1309 - - 2053 - - 5535 Hgt.Variab. W* 91 - - 207 - - 290 - - 332 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 13 - - 21 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 277 - - 209 - - 214 - - 224 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 231 - - 152 - - -1026 - - -1052 - - -3552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1387 - - 1871 - - 4270 - - 6614 - - 4559 sfcLCL ODpotential -4885 - - -4250 - - -4280 - - -3679 - - -6025 ODpotential blCL 6503 - - 6273 - - 7524 - - 9241 - - 7032 blCL maxRH 92 - - 98 - - 86 - - 87 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 190 - - 370 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m 56.8 - - 62.2 - - 72.9 - - 80.4 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.9 - - 57.1 - - 57.3 - - 54.6 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.9 - - 61.5 - - 72.3 - - 79.9 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.4 - - 56.1 - - 56.0 - - 53.5 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 115 - - 133 - - 102 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 614 - - 1019 - - 2240 - - 4558 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 93 - - 45 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 13 065 16 129 19 117 12 113 13 109 98173 90637 8 155 18 115 16 125 9 170 6 102 90637 84803 8 164 12 093 13 104 14 157 3 354 84803 79995 3 289 10 096 2 118 9 123 2 108 79995 75879 5 206 3 079 2 146 2 100 7 134 75879 72229 3 183 6 219 4 258 3 294 4 167 72229 68926 6 318 5 221 11 246 8 257 7 273 68926 65909 13 300 8 253 16 235 17 235 14 274 65909 63112 17 293 13 247 17 243 21 249 19 252 63112 60400 18 290 18 269 20 256 19 274 16 244 60400 57571 32 277 33 271 23 270 29 280 22 269 57571 54654 35 262 33 270 34 263 38 258 33 279 54654 51892 31 267 39 278 35 261 40 254 45 265 51892 49419 39 268 47 278 41 273 39 265 43 263 49419 47219 46 281 53 282 52 272 52 272 48 264 47219 45254 62 281 58 283 52 276 61 275 54 277 45254 43490 66 278 66 286 63 284 82 279 81 279 43490 41877 67 277 74 282 86 282 105 273 82 265 41877 40366 70 272 71 277 105 280 103 265 77 259 40366 38934 66 264 68 278 96 281 101 270 74 259 38934 37575 61 266 67 282 75 281 84 278 66 265 37575 36258 61 276 67 284 63 282 58 282 53 273 36258 34921 64 285 65 285 61 283 53 283 46 280 34921 33533 67 291 65 287 58 283 52 281 43 283 33533 32093 67 292 64 288 56 280 51 278 41 281 32093 30586 64 287 62 286 58 271 51 275 39 277 30586 28999 59 280 59 282 58 263 51 275 41 276 28999 27337 60 278 56 277 58 260 53 276 42 268 27337 25596 63 279 53 275 59 262 53 276 45 262 25596 23781 62 277 51 276 60 267 52 275 47 267 23781 21897 58 275 50 276 57 271 49 276 44 274 21897 19943 52 274 49 276 50 273 48 271 38 272 19943 17911 46 275 47 274 47 269 45 261 45 258 17911 15834 44 281 44 272 44 269 38 260 45 257 15834 13833 45 285 41 283 38 281 29 261 35 250 13833 12017 48 293 42 294 36 290 23 281 20 242 12017 10402 49 290 40 286 36 287 24 282 15 230 10402 8963 44 278 41 278 37 272 22 267 15 227 8963 7681 38 272 39 275 38 264 25 257 21 222 7681 6541 35 280 36 272 32 267 27*245 22 213 6541 5528 35 292 35 270 25 270 24*228 22 205 5528 4631 34 298 33 267 21 259 23 225 21 200 4631 3836 32 302 24 263 18*233 22 224 20 196 3836 3123 31 307 14 262 15*215 22 224 19 192 3123 2490 24 301 12*249 14 214 21 224 18 189 2490 1961 17*284 10*212 14 214 21 223 17 186 1961 1555 14*280 10 209 13 214 20 223 15 182 1555 1275 12 277 10 209 12 214 19 223 13 178 1275 1105 10 276 9 208 11 214 17 223 10 173 1105 1007 8 275 8 208 10 213 13 223 5*167 1007 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography