DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 62.5 - - 66.2 - - 66.2 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 29 - - 59 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 311 - - 1159 - - 2378 - - 1746 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit 990 - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 - - 991 Hcrit BL Top 1315 - - 2163 - - 3382 - - 2750 - - 1007 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2486 - - 1712 - - 1351 - - 2013 - - 3580 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 133 - - 216 - - 147 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 026 - - 067 - - 085 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 4 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 253 - - 690 - - 805 - - 325 - - -1062 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1062 - - 1473 - - 2578 - - 2425 - - 2069 sfcLCL ODpotential -265 - - 434 - - 562 - - -252 - - -1798 ODpotential blCL 1580 - - 1729 - - 2820 - - 3002 - - 2805 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 30 - - 20 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 62.5 - - 66.2 - - 66.2 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.2 - - 59.5 - - 58.3 - - 59.1 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 62.4 - - 65.7 - - 66.1 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.1 - - 59.2 - - 57.9 - - 58.7 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 29 - - 59 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 311 - - 1159 - - 2378 - - 1746 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97937 13 260 18 242 25 251 26 238 30 262 97937 90576 19 285 9 252 14 235 20 242 19 261 90576 84945 13 298 8 270 11 227 19 254 12 277 84945 80294 3 283 7 224 11 218 15 246 13 298 80294 76297 9 172 12 202 14 223 12 221 12 269 76297 72767 5 119 9 171 10 226 12 210 10 258 72767 69555 7 350 5 146 3 179 8 190 6 254 69555 66585 6 321 1 033 4 160 6 202 9 261 66585 63832 11 242 6 256 8 232 10 242 11 258 63832 61173 12 224 12 238 12 261 10 272 7 287 61173 58406 11 264 14 278 14 269 19 274 15 281 58406 55535 18 280 13 289 14 251 20 245 24 257 55535 52793 15 274 16 289 18 272 21 264 25 265 52793 50326 25 284 26 281 31 275 28 280 28 276 50326 48119 30 280 27 284 31 278 31 283 31 279 48119 46120 31 302 28 298 29 289 31 286 31 280 46120 44297 34 309 31 304 30 301 29 290 29 279 44297 42624 33 323 32 307 32 308 28 298 25 281 42624 41071 40 332 31 313 32 311 29 303 22 291 41071 39617 47 331 32 320 32 317 29 305 21 299 39617 38247 50 332 33 326 32 321 28 310 18 310 38247 36918 51 334 35 329 32 325 26 319 16 346 36918 35564 51 336 39 329 32 325 26 324 19 006 35564 34153 51 338 41 328 34 322 27 328 20 008 34153 32687 50 340 40 327 36 319 31 327 18 345 32687 31153 48 341 38 328 37 318 36 320 22 332 31153 29541 44 341 36 329 37 322 37 318 29 319 29541 27850 44 340 36 333 35 322 38 319 30 318 27850 26077 44 343 34 338 34 319 36 322 31 323 26077 24225 41 346 32 343 25 320 35 321 29 328 24225 22296 37 352 32 345 21 331 30 319 30 331 22296 20285 31 353 29 353 22 345 23 318 29 331 20285 18185 26 350 23 351 21 346 19 325 24 324 18185 16040 22 347 18 349 17 338 19 328 21 322 16040 13973 18 343 15 348 16 336 18 329 19 331 13973 12096 14 341 12 342 15 337 17 332 18 340 12096 10431 9 358 8 343 10 333 13 335 16 344 10431 8956 6 021 5 351 5 315 9 326 12 343 8956 7649 6 025 2 048 2 294 6 319 8 348 7649 6493 6 008 3 066 1 274 3 328 4 004 6493 5469 5 022 3 082 2 134 1 161 3 046 5469 4572 4 034 5 100 3 100 5 109 5 099 4572 3786 4 038 5 094 3*091 6 105 5 102 3786 3083 4 047 4 064 3*085 5*103 5 100 3083 2461 5 053 3*034 3 068 4*092 3 084 2461 1942 5 048 3*028 3 064 3 085 2 056 1942 1543 6*040 3 027 4 064 3 084 2 035 1543 1269 6*035 3 025 4 063 2 082 2 025 1269 1102 5 033 3 025 3 062 2 079 2 016 1102 1007 3 032 2 026 3 062 2 080 2*010 1007 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography