DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.5 - - 23.7 - - 23.7 - - 21.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 131 - - 54 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 920 - - 2316 - - 3306 - - 2017 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 987 - - 2030 - - 1706 - - 987 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1924 - - 3320 - - 4310 - - 3021 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1406 - - 1903 - - 657 - - 1140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 271 - - 228 - - 140 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 19 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 258 - - 268 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1255 - - -409 - - 397 - - -386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3179 - - 3729 - - 3914 - - 3407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2364 - - -611 - - 333 - - -6073 ODpotential blCL - - - 4288 - - 3931 - - 3977 - - 9094 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 94 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.5 - - 23.7 - - 23.7 - - 21.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.4 - - 11.1 - - 10.3 - - 10.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 23.2 - - 23.6 - - 21.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.3 - - 11.0 - - 10.1 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 131 - - 54 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 920 - - 2316 - - 3306 - - 2017 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 100 - - 77 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96327 69 258 72 261 67 252 75 250 96327 89123 51 260 47 262 49 263 53 257 89123 83500 36 273 37 257 48 267 45 278 83500 78816 27 281 35 258 46 265 47 281 78816 74759 31 279 33 265 42 264 44 277 74759 71137 38 275 35 270 37 271 40 273 71137 67823 39 273 37 271 36 274 42 273 67823 64758 39 269 40 271 40 275 42 276 64758 61906 42 268 45 272 40 273 40 281 61906 59130 44 264 48 275 45 278 38 284 59130 56212 45 268 54 274 52 276 45 288 56212 53169 53 275 57 266 57 271 52 287 53169 50267 57 274 56 263 57 272 58 286 50267 47669 54 269 55 268 60 275 65 284 47669 45358 50 265 58 272 63 274 68 280 45358 43277 55 272 61 273 61 274 65 277 43277 41383 60 272 61 273 59 276 59 278 41383 39644 62 271 60 275 59 278 55 283 39644 38037 63 272 60 276 60 279 57 286 38037 36542 63 275 64 273 62 279 61 285 36542 35145 63 279 65 271 63 277 62 283 35145 33808 68 279 66 274 63 276 61 281 33808 32468 70 273 71 274 60 276 58 277 32468 31099 69 275 69 271 59 278 55 276 31099 29712 75 282 66 273 62 282 57 280 29712 28292 81 283 70 277 68 280 61 279 28292 26822 83 284 73 278 73 278 65 277 26822 25292 87 284 74 277 74 276 64 275 25292 23693 90 285 73 277 72 278 62 276 23693 22024 89 286 70 276 71 277 62 276 22024 20283 84 289 69 276 68 277 60 275 20283 18466 77 292 67 279 66 278 58 276 18466 16567 66 294 66 283 64 278 56 278 16567 14630 53 292 66 285 62 278 53 279 14630 12761 47 290 64 289 59 282 49 277 12761 11060 47 288 56 288 56 285 46 275 11060 9546 47 286 49 287 49 284 45 278 9546 8202 45 283 44 287 43 280 43 281 8202 7012 40 281 40 284 39 278 39 280 7012 5960 32 285 31 284 36 278 36 278 5960 5033 25 297 24 289 27*277 31 279 5033 4222 23 302 23 287 21*270 25 283 4222 3511 23 299 21*277 20 269 24*283 3511 2877 23 293 19*264 20 268 21*276 2877 2316 21*282 19 259 19 267 20 269 2316 1847 17*268 19 257 19 267 18 266 1847 1488 15 262 18 256 18 267 17 265 1488 1240 14 261 17 256 17 266 15 263 1240 1090 13 260 16 256 15 266 13 262 1090 1004 10 259 12 255 12 266 10 261 1004 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography