DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1008z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 49.7 - - 54.9 - - 56.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 74 - - 137 - - 39 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1588 - - 3351 - - 3196 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 982 - - 982 - - 2840 - - 983 - - 983 Hcrit BL Top 1000 - - 2592 - - 4355 - - 4200 - - 1000 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2939 - - 3443 - - 3285 - - 3523 - - 708 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 201 - - 320 - - 213 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 313 - - 292 - - 284 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -852 - - 322 - - 492 - - -540 - - -1927 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1852 - - 2270 - - 3863 - - 4740 - - 2927 sfcLCL ODpotential -1506 - - -350 - - -515 - - -1499 - - -4377 ODpotential blCL 2506 - - 2942 - - 4870 - - 5699 - - 5377 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 86 - - 93 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 90 - - 60 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 49.7 - - 54.9 - - 56.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.9 - - 43.6 - - 41.7 - - 39.2 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 49.3 - - 54.0 - - 56.0 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.5 - - 43.0 - - 40.5 - - 38.1 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 74 - - 137 - - 39 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1588 - - 3351 - - 3196 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 66 - - 46 - - 71 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97601 31 275 26 266 30 257 30 257 33 265 97601 90436 16 267 19 256 23 261 23 258 25 266 90436 84886 15 270 15 261 14 268 17 262 20 262 84886 80240 11 271 15 261 12 269 12 267 13 257 80240 76189 8 303 15 250 18 260 19 276 11 273 76189 72568 12 271 8 238 16 248 21 266 15 282 72568 69278 17 263 13 267 10 233 16 257 19 281 69278 66259 19 258 25 272 12 261 15 239 19 253 66259 63456 21 266 28 266 17 282 14 281 14 277 63456 60733 29 253 27 268 30 267 28 270 21 276 60733 57896 28 246 28 252 30 252 31 266 29 275 57896 54972 29 261 26 254 34 258 37 260 36 264 54972 52193 47 267 40 261 36 253 34 258 34 255 52193 49689 62 257 46 257 43 267 38 268 33 263 49689 47445 69 249 54 263 52 266 42 272 39 278 47445 45421 71 245 64 261 51 266 48 277 49 279 45421 43576 69 245 63 256 55 271 52 274 50 275 43576 41876 71 251 61 262 59 267 49 270 46 276 41876 40300 75 251 63 264 54 264 44 277 43 281 40300 38833 76 248 62 262 49 274 42 288 38 287 38833 37463 73 246 55 263 50 284 39 299 35 307 37463 36154 72 247 52 272 52 289 40 318 35 324 36154 34828 72 248 52 279 49 293 48 334 44 332 34828 33451 71 252 52 285 45 304 58 341 51 328 33451 32025 73 254 49 292 47 325 63 343 52 325 32025 30531 71 253 47 301 58 342 64 342 52 324 30531 28957 69 252 48 312 68 347 63 339 52 323 28957 27304 65 251 50 322 69 346 63 335 53 321 27304 25569 61 252 54 328 63 341 61 338 53 319 25569 23751 55 257 55 331 57 337 57 340 51 318 23751 21853 48 266 54 330 54 332 52 334 47 320 21853 19869 42 278 51 327 54 328 48 325 44 321 19869 17794 38 291 47 324 53 326 47 321 42 320 17794 15677 35 302 42 322 48 327 46 323 38 318 15677 13638 32 309 38 320 38 326 40 326 33 317 13638 11788 29 310 34 322 31 322 32 323 29 315 11788 10151 27 306 29 323 26 318 27 315 26 310 10151 8708 23 303 23 326 23 312 22 309 23 305 8708 7440 22 286 22 327 21 309 16 304 19 297 7440 6323 22 271 19 324 20 312 15 296 17 286 6323 5337 21 278 18 320 19 313 14 288 17 281 5337 4470 17 298 18 317 17*307 13*285 16 274 4470 3704 14 301 16 318 13*294 13*283 14 267 3704 3018 10 293 12*319 12 292 12 284 13 264 3018 2412 6 278 9*315 12 291 12 283 11 265 2412 1907 3 270 8 313 11 291 12 284 10 266 1907 1519 2 303 8 313 11 291 11 284 9 267 1519 1253 2 331 7 312 10 290 11 284 8 266 1253 1091 1*338 7 312 10 290 10 284 6*261 1091 999 1*337 6 312 9 290 8 284 4*249 999 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography