DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.2 - - 26.8 - - 32.6 - - 36.2 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 146 - - 339 - - 174 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 309 - - 3482 - - 3452 - - 3490 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit 987 - - 2934 - - 3294 - - 3049 - - 988 Hcrit BL Top 1313 - - 4486 - - 4456 - - 4494 - - 1004 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2121 - - 717 - - 940 - - 1112 - - 3377 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 324 - - 430 - - 347 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 282 - - 271 - - 270 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1777 - - 254 - - -265 - - -1269 - - -1875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3090 - - 4233 - - 4721 - - 5764 - - 2879 sfcLCL ODpotential -2905 - - -4884 - - -5031 - - -6309 - - -3279 ODpotential blCL 4218 - - 9370 - - 9487 - - 10803 - - 4283 blCL maxRH 95 - - 91 - - 73 - - 55 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.2 - - 26.8 - - 32.6 - - 36.2 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 12.0 - - 15.6 - - 14.6 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.6 - - 26.2 - - 31.1 - - 35.5 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.4 - - 11.5 - - 14.4 - - 13.5 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 146 - - 339 - - 174 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 309 - - 3482 - - 3452 - - 3490 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96642 9 278 7 288 8 302 4 280 14 270 96642 89383 5 088 12 146 12 194 9 262 6 327 89383 83807 3 171 6 124 14 162 11 211 3 250 83807 79169 8 206 10 181 10 198 13 211 8 216 79169 75147 15 245 9 197 9 191 15 204 14 208 75147 71568 17 215 17 222 15 240 17 245 13 246 71568 68319 11 243 16 207 23 223 25 228 20 244 68319 65329 24 272 17 247 23 234 22 246 19 252 65329 62547 36 262 28 256 33 237 34 246 32 255 62547 59852 45 256 37 255 35 239 38 237 39 242 59852 57030 55 255 48 256 41 249 43 250 41 246 57030 54072 63 251 59 254 54 254 52 254 51 246 54072 51220 67 252 69 252 65 253 60 252 56 243 51220 48634 72 252 74 251 71 250 63 252 58 248 48634 46308 75 249 77 250 73 247 70 251 66 252 46308 44194 74 249 76 250 73 246 70 248 71 250 44194 42256 75 250 76 251 73 247 69 247 72 247 42256 40467 73 252 74 251 72 248 68 248 69 245 40467 38808 72 254 72 252 69 249 67 248 65 246 38808 37267 73 253 71 255 67 250 65 248 63 248 37267 35832 73 252 72 254 66 254 61 254 60 248 35832 34464 69 249 69 250 65 253 61 257 57 251 34464 33095 61 256 59 253 58 253 56 254 52 255 33095 31698 55 256 54 254 56 256 51 263 43 264 31698 30276 46 257 44 258 49 257 49 264 35 275 30276 28815 37 267 42 263 39 263 35 270 29 274 28815 27303 31 278 39 267 32 274 26 277 25 277 27303 25734 31 283 39 279 25 288 23 291 24 283 25734 24100 32 283 35 291 19 311 24 296 25 288 24100 22401 30 290 28 314 21 329 25 299 24 295 22401 20638 31 299 28 337 23 340 23 304 25 303 20638 18800 30 304 32 348 25 340 22 314 27 304 18800 16877 29 321 32 350 27 339 23 320 28 303 16877 14908 31 337 30 346 28 338 23 319 27 304 14908 13005 31 342 29 341 27 332 23 318 24 304 13005 11271 30 341 28 340 27 329 22 317 22 305 11271 9732 27 338 27 339 26 331 22 316 21 304 9732 8366 26 341 24 334 24 332 21 314 21 299 8366 7155 26 340 22 336 21 329 21 309 20 293 7155 6082 26 325 24 325 22 317 22 301 20 288 6082 5137 25 316 21*308 19*294 20*285 20 281 5137 4308 25 313 20*293 18*275 19*272 20 264 4308 3579 24 309 20 291 18 273 19 271 21 254 3579 2928 24 304 19 284 18 271 19 270 21 249 2928 2352 22 295 18 278 18 270 18 269 21 246 2352 1871 20 278 18 276 18 269 18 269 20 244 1871 1501 17*269 17 275 17 268 17 268 19 241 1501 1247 14*266 16 274 16 268 17 268 15 238 1247 1093 12 265 15 274 15 267 15 268 12 236 1093 1004 9 263 12 273 13 267 12 268 7*234 1004 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography