DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1008z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.0 - - 77.3 - - 84.0 - - 85.3 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 176 - - 189 - - 84 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1838 - - 3713 - - 3954 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 984 - - 1881 - - 3285 - - 3006 - - 985 Hcrit BL Top 1001 - - 2842 - - 4717 - - 4958 - - 1003 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 241 - - 813 - - 2242 - - 1791 - - 4650 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 284 - - 372 - - 297 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 13 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 157 - - 216 - - 228 - - 221 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -1 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -304 - - 352 - - 960 - - 1046 - - -2014 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1305 - - 2490 - - 3758 - - 3912 - - 3017 sfcLCL ODpotential -5353 - - 362 - - -38 - - 209 - - -3194 ODpotential blCL 6354 - - 2480 - - 4755 - - 4749 - - 4197 blCL maxRH 85 - - 99 - - 88 - - 90 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 1010 - - 1220 - - 2150 - - 2670 - - 2160 CAPE Temp@2m 68.0 - - 77.3 - - 84.0 - - 85.3 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.4 - - 69.4 - - 70.6 - - 71.1 - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.4 - - 76.1 - - 82.7 - - 84.7 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.3 - - 68.9 - - 69.7 - - 70.4 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 176 - - 189 - - 84 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1838 - - 3713 - - 3954 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 95 - - 54 - - 61 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98994 22 078 18 077 24 083 25 092 21 097 98994 91698 21 066 16 078 20 081 17 092 21 083 91698 86018 16 077 15 089 13 079 13 099 12 066 86018 81294 15 091 13 091 8 119 8 078 6 053 81294 77228 12 085 10 102 8 129 2 045 5 027 77228 73630 7 037 5 044 9 137 3 247 6 324 73630 70374 5 274 5 326 3 076 5 182 6 285 70374 67370 8 213 6 274 10 300 4 272 6 295 67370 64585 8 259 9 252 9 277 10 266 11 271 64585 61907 9 240 14 224 10 293 11 266 12 287 61907 59128 16 287 18 251 22 265 19 276 16 244 59128 56245 30 268 24 249 26 258 24 290 19 274 56245 53517 38 264 35 269 38 265 35 278 37 270 53517 51099 44 250 41 267 39 260 44 269 39 264 51099 48930 43 260 33 266 39 254 48 274 46 288 48930 46964 43 271 34 267 50 282 59 284 62 285 46964 45183 61 288 52 284 63 286 77 278 66 279 45183 43542 79 291 61 284 61 284 74 277 65 276 43542 42002 70 289 62 283 50 274 66 273 70 275 42002 40545 57 275 59 281 49 268 65 269 74 274 40545 39162 52 273 58 276 48 269 61 264 74 271 39162 37815 50 279 47 262 46 273 57 257 70 269 37815 36437 49 279 36 253 41 275 52 247 59 269 36437 34999 49 278 31 259 32 270 48 247 55 276 34999 33502 48 280 30 265 24 252 43 255 52 276 33502 31930 47 278 29 263 21 238 32 257 48 270 31930 30270 45 273 30 263 18 251 25 258 44 257 30270 28527 42 270 32 268 16 263 22 257 40 253 28527 26702 39 268 32 270 23 260 22 240 34 266 26702 24795 29 263 32 265 33 255 25 247 33 274 24795 22808 22 262 27 267 32 260 29 269 32 264 22808 20743 21 277 22 276 30 271 28 269 29 260 20743 18601 22 292 18 289 27 274 24 259 28 261 18601 16423 18 283 16 302 21 272 21 245 30 261 16423 14328 19 268 17 299 20 270 21 243 35 264 14328 12422 19 254 11 264 21 267 22 256 37 260 12422 10725 19 251 11 237 23 272 25 266 34 255 10725 9216 18 247 15 243 21 283 23 273 29 254 9216 7875 18 242 19 255 16 273 21 276 24 250 7875 6685 18 241 22 260 15 252 16 266 17 252 6685 5633 17 241 22 258 15*248 15*232 12 255 5633 4709 17 240 21 253 15*241 16*224 13 229 4709 3891 17 231 19 247 15 234 17 222 14 226 3891 3159 20 208 16*238 13 225 17 221 14 228 3159 2512 20 190 11*222 13 224 17 220 14 231 2512 1972 17 178 9 216 13 223 16 220 13 234 1972 1558 16 171 9 214 12 223 16 219 12 237 1558 1273 15 166 8 213 12 222 15 219 11 241 1273 1100 13*164 8 213 11 222 14 219 8*241 1100 1002 5*157 7 212 10 221 11 218 5*241 1002 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography