DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0959z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.6 - - 62.2 - - 63.6 - - 61.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 172 - - -1 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 583 - - 1193 - - 1107 - - 206 - - 118 BL Depth Hcrit 983 - - 1420 - - 984 - - 984 - - 984 Hcrit BL Top 1587 - - 2197 - - 2111 - - 1210 - - 1122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 444 - - 433 - - 1067 - - 877 - - 960 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 246 - - 64 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 18 - - 13 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 113 - - 140 - - 095 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 198 - - -243 - - 322 - - 91 - - 122 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1389 - - 2441 - - 1789 - - 1119 - - 1000 sfcLCL ODpotential -5868 - - -7163 - - -188 - - -4308 - - -2627 ODpotential blCL 7455 - - 9360 - - 2299 - - 5518 - - 3749 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 50 - - 220 - - 100 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m 57.6 - - 62.2 - - 63.6 - - 61.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.0 - - 55.0 - - 59.2 - - 60.2 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 61.3 - - 63.7 - - 62.2 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.7 - - 54.0 - - 58.9 - - 60.1 - - 61.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 172 - - -1 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 583 - - 1193 - - 1107 - - 206 - - 118 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 67 - - 101 - - 92 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98127 10 050 8 190 7 209 8 242 2 036 98127 90737 7 069 5 214 5 223 6 249 2 201 90737 85052 4 081 2 276 4 205 6 250 6 316 85052 80376 4 100 2 319 3 145 6 254 8 315 80376 76375 7 017 1 164 1 271 7 272 5 307 76375 72835 10 350 0 183 3 276 6 304 6 311 72835 69630 7 320 4 290 7 234 9 287 10 315 69630 66691 9 289 9 307 6 268 11 257 17 301 66691 63973 13 270 13 281 10 278 14 253 20 275 63973 61342 18 275 15 270 13 267 14 252 20 253 61342 58593 28 277 24 275 19 272 14 258 19 252 58593 55727 36 264 33 268 28 267 25 270 16 253 55727 52966 38 253 37 262 38 257 33 265 22 282 52966 50472 38 242 45 249 40 248 41 261 44 268 50472 48262 34 243 43 239 37 245 52 253 53 255 48262 46287 38 250 33 241 46 250 59 243 55 252 46287 44492 49 264 50 257 59 236 60 232 61 248 44492 42842 63 269 65 257 56 227 61 225 65 239 42842 41309 67 267 66 253 52 233 66 232 65 232 41309 39870 65 257 65 252 57 241 72 234 69 230 39870 38508 60 248 61 254 61 242 69 233 76 228 38508 37186 55 244 57 252 63 241 67 233 72 230 37186 35835 51 237 53 247 64 240 64 232 61 229 35835 34426 45 235 49 245 61 240 63 234 60 229 34426 32960 39 244 46 249 58 242 62 235 55 229 32960 31420 33 255 44 248 55 244 60 234 49 228 31420 29799 30 253 43 244 52 245 54 232 46 228 29799 28095 32 251 46 242 49 243 44 224 43 230 28095 26307 33 249 48 242 48 241 45 227 39 231 26307 24434 34 248 46 241 42 243 45 230 37 236 24434 22484 37 244 45 234 38 246 36 226 36 243 22484 20454 34 241 38 224 39 239 32 230 36 251 20454 18339 30 249 30 216 38 227 30 240 34 248 18339 16181 25 255 25 225 36 233 34 241 30 248 16181 14102 26 253 24 230 29 231 38 234 27 254 14102 12214 28 250 26 227 19 205 43 229 25 258 12214 10536 26 250 25 227 16 184 45 226 24 254 10536 9045 20 259 18 226 16 166 41 226 25 242 9045 7721 17 271 9 212 19 158 29 231 25 232 7721 6547 16 276 4 148 22 158 17 232 22 221 6547 5510 11 280 6 086 25 161 14 212 18 214 5510 4599 5 124 13 118 27 162 16 197 16 209 4599 3798 11 114 20 123 25 159 19 189 14 196 3798 3083 13 110 25 120 21 151 18 173 13 167 3083 2454 19 102 23*115 15*141 20 137 14 119 2454 1932 20*094 21*113 15*140 22 109 19 086 1932 1534 16*090 19 113 14 140 20 099 17 080 1534 1261 14 089 18 112 12 140 16*096 14*077 1261 1095 13 089 17 112 11 140 14*095 12*076 1095 1000 10 089 13 112 8 140 10 094 7 074 1000 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography