DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0701z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1902z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.9 - - 83.6 - - 90.9 - - 87.3 - - 85.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 175 - - 329 - - 30 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3242 - - 6176 - - 3410 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 986 - - 2883 - - 5411 - - 987 - - 987 Hcrit BL Top 1003 - - 4246 - - 7180 - - 4414 - - 1004 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 485 - - 1335 - - 2154 - - 4356 - - 7140 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 342 - - 521 - - 203 - - 21 W* B/S 5 - - 37 - - 12 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 084 - - 239 - - 214 - - 211 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - -17 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -580 - - -501 - - -20 - - -1497 - - -3836 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1583 - - 4747 - - 7201 - - 5911 - - 4840 sfcLCL ODpotential -3610 - - -3016 - - -1177 - - -3096 - - -4807 ODpotential blCL 4613 - - 7262 - - 8357 - - 7510 - - 5811 blCL maxRH 96 - - 96 - - 92 - - 98 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 970 - - 800 - - 570 - - 670 - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m 73.9 - - 83.6 - - 90.9 - - 87.3 - - 85.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.9 - - 66.1 - - 62.6 - - 64.7 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.2 - - 83.1 - - 89.1 - - 87.3 - - 86.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.9 - - 65.8 - - 61.8 - - 64.2 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 175 - - 329 - - 30 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3242 - - 6176 - - 3410 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 82 - - 68 - - 92 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99236 32 085 34 094 33 099 27 093 29 096 99236 91722 27 086 30 091 28 100 22 094 27 096 91722 85940 25 094 24 089 24 098 20 093 25 092 85940 81150 24 092 22 090 20 097 20 097 19 090 81150 77030 22 079 22 083 18 099 19 103 16 085 77030 73399 19 069 19 079 18 092 20 100 14 089 73399 70113 17 072 15 076 17 087 17 096 12 082 70113 67092 16 063 12 081 15 071 15 096 8 079 67092 64295 13 053 12 081 9 067 11 077 6 070 64295 61593 13 031 13 059 8 067 5 088 6 038 61593 58788 12 344 11 012 6 020 3 003 5 000 58788 55891 11 314 12 331 10 320 11 331 6 347 55891 53161 19 299 19 298 18 293 22 306 20 316 53161 50754 20 291 21 296 19 279 24 278 26 290 50754 48615 25 297 25 303 14 304 13 291 22 278 48615 46666 31 296 28 307 25 324 23 317 20 299 46666 44873 32 295 29 305 26 321 26 310 22 295 44873 43206 33 294 26 304 23 319 25 312 22 294 43206 41640 33 294 21 306 21 324 25 317 23 311 41640 40164 30 298 18 316 21 330 25 327 21 315 40164 38766 25 304 17 331 21 335 22 342 16 320 38766 37408 22 311 18 343 21 339 25 359 18 331 37408 36021 18 321 18 353 19 344 29 004 20 335 36021 34576 16 322 17 002 18 350 26 002 18 329 34576 33079 14 307 17 006 18 355 19 351 21 310 33079 31513 15 298 15 000 17 355 15 342 24 312 31513 29867 15 299 12 343 15 355 15 336 21 317 29867 28142 14 302 12 326 14 356 16 334 16 319 28142 26336 13 325 12 325 14 359 16 342 11 330 26336 24455 13 339 12 335 12 013 13 001 7 001 24455 22505 7 358 10 350 9 029 8 015 4 035 22505 20483 5 088 6 030 7 045 5 015 3 017 20483 18381 6 100 5 051 6 049 3 044 2 317 18381 16235 1 322 2 042 3 059 3 109 2 203 16235 14169 4 262 3 195 4 203 4 131 4 167 14169 12291 8 255 4 199 7 206 5 174 5 162 12291 10624 9 276 4 218 8 201 5 223 6 156 10624 9144 6 282 7 216 7 207 5 242 4 144 9144 7828 6 278 9 228 7*225 5 242 3 177 7828 6658 7 266 9 227 7*222 6 236 6 199 6658 5619 9 257 6 222 8 219 8 231 10 203 5619 4701 11 263 4*232 8 216 9*226 13 208 4701 3888 8 268 4*232 8 213 10*221 14 215 3888 3160 6 296 2 235 9 212 12 216 14 221 3160 2515 6 312 2 244 9 211 12 212 15 225 2515 1976 4 292 1 242 8 210 13 209 14 227 1976 1561 2 234 1 247 8 210 12 206 14 229 1561 1276 2 139 1 243 8 209 11 204 12 229 1276 1103 2*100 1 244 7 209 10 203 10*230 1103 1003 1*084 1 243 7 209 8 202 7*230 1003 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography