DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1904z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.9 - - 77.8 - - 85.2 - - 85.0 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 374 - - 380 - - 192 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2751 - - 7865 - - 12899 - - 13112 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 8640 - - 13372 - - 17493 - - 17172 - - 6602 Hcrit BL Top 10251 - - 15365 - - 20399 - - 20612 - - 6620 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4040 - - 2288 - - 1087 - - 1449 - - 11337 Hgt.Variab. W* 262 - - 612 - - 726 - - 584 - - 19 W* B/S 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 282 - - 295 - - 299 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 29 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -35 - - 72 - - -8 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3592 - - 1448 - - 3542 - - 2852 - - -6814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13843 - - 13918 - - 16858 - - 17760 - - 13435 sfcLCL ODpotential -8464 - - -2468 - - 2231 - - 1431 - - -10265 ODpotential blCL 18715 - - 17833 - - 18168 - - 19181 - - 16885 blCL maxRH 57 - - 81 - - 78 - - 74 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 120 - - 20 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 71.9 - - 77.8 - - 85.2 - - 85.0 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 39.5 - - 33.7 - - 29.6 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.3 - - 78.5 - - 85.7 - - 86.4 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.0 - - 38.9 - - 32.8 - - 28.5 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 374 - - 380 - - 192 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2751 - - 7865 - - 12899 - - 13112 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 24 - - 11 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99331 33 094 33 109 31 113 28 105 32 098 99331 91831 30 096 30 109 25 107 25 107 27 095 91831 86057 24 105 24 093 25 108 21 104 23 092 86057 81270 20 100 19 081 22 106 22 107 21 087 81270 77151 18 092 17 090 18 104 17 103 18 080 77151 73513 15 099 12 108 15 091 14 102 15 085 73513 70220 14 076 13 124 8 109 10 083 13 085 70220 67191 6 118 7 113 8 105 6 094 10 084 67191 64385 9 115 12 165 2 259 6 036 5 072 64385 61679 7 327 4 087 5 165 4 325 2 018 61679 58874 9 279 8 310 3 269 7 310 5 336 58874 55982 11 282 15 279 15 271 15 283 15 299 55982 53239 17 274 19 266 22 267 22 268 22 284 53239 50777 24 262 26 264 32 263 31 268 34 272 50777 48581 29 264 33 269 37 265 41 262 45 253 48581 46597 41 269 43 266 45 265 49 262 43 249 46597 44774 48 261 46 259 50 261 52 267 41 265 44774 43083 45 261 47 267 54 264 62 275 55 277 43083 41505 51 276 56 273 60 266 69 271 69 273 41505 40024 61 284 63 273 61 267 68 268 72 267 40024 38633 62 286 59 274 57 268 63 268 70 264 38633 37302 56 288 50 274 48 267 56 267 64 264 37302 35972 51 286 44 270 42 265 50 263 56 264 35972 34618 46 288 42 270 40 264 45 261 48 267 34618 33246 40 293 37 273 39 266 42 263 40 270 33246 31841 35 297 30 272 34 269 39 265 35 271 31841 30393 31 303 28 271 31 267 35 265 29 273 30393 28904 26 301 27 275 31 265 31 261 28 272 28904 27376 22 286 25 277 29 264 30 263 30 270 27376 25815 19 277 23 275 26 268 28 269 32 272 25815 24227 16 274 21 271 24 277 25 272 31 275 24227 22606 14 269 18 269 22 287 21 276 27 276 22606 20946 13 273 16 278 21*296 16*279 22 273 20946 19276 17 292 19 294 17*292 15*276 8 256 19276 17675 22 300 24 299 16 291 14 276 2 239 17675 16216 22 302 26*300 15 292 14 281 2 335 16216 14906 20 304 25*302 14 294 13 291 7 351 14906 13726 17 305 23 303 13 295 13 298 12 349 13726 12656 15 307 19 301 12 296 12 303 16 347 12656 11686 12 308 16 295 11 297 12 308 20 345 11686 10807 10*312 13 286 10 297 12 311 22 343 10807 10014 8*320 10 267 10 298 12 314 23 342 10014 9297 7 335 8 243 9 299 12 317 25 340 9297 8641 6 357 8 216 8 299 12 319 25 339 8641 8049 6 010 8 202 8 300 11 321 26 338 8049 7546 5 007 8 195 7 300 11 322 25 336 7546 7154 4 001 8 190 7 300 11 323 23 335 7154 6881 4 360 8 186 7 300 11 324 20 333 6881 6714 3 360 7 184 6 301 10 324 16*332 6714 6619 3 001 7 183 6 302 9 325 10*330 6619 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography