DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.3 - - 35.5 - - 33.6 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 1 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 616 - - 976 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 8116 - - 8476 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 735 - - 2595 - - 1857 - - 1515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 18 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 16 - - 23 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 288 - - 338 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 26 - - 35 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -4 - - -9 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3103 - - -2757 - - -1463 - - -1045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9703 - - 9357 - - 9579 - - 9521 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11962 - - -9497 - - -9284 - - -8819 ODpotential blCL - - - 18562 - - 16097 - - 17400 - - 17295 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 40 - - 36 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.3 - - 35.5 - - 33.6 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.9 - - 18.2 - - 15.4 - - 14.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 40.6 - - 42.2 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.7 - - 17.2 - - 14.2 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 1 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 616 - - 976 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96672 36 056 43 056 43 073 42 063 96672 89741 30 069 42 069 46 075 47 067 89741 84267 28 073 30 073 38 071 42 077 84267 79654 24 066 20 068 32 056 37 073 79654 75644 23 062 16 060 23 042 29 070 75644 72067 19 044 20 065 15 032 20 048 72067 68815 10 011 15 021 17 033 12 045 68815 65813 7 142 7 178 16 052 16 080 65813 62989 28 009 15 333 16 339 13 020 62989 60278 41 335 27 313 21 306 20 297 60278 57496 28 297 31 313 21 307 17 297 57496 54583 25 295 45 320 45 330 37 338 54583 51779 47 325 54 321 58 326 60 337 51779 49262 62 324 63 319 67 324 70 331 49262 47016 68 317 69 317 75 323 72 329 47016 44995 73 313 76 317 78 323 76 329 44995 43167 82 314 83 317 82 325 76 327 43167 41498 90 314 87 319 86 323 72 323 41498 39951 91 312 88 320 81 320 66 324 39951 38504 90 312 85 320 75 322 62 335 38504 37155 88 313 79 321 70 326 72 346 37155 35877 83 316 76 323 67 335 80 350 35877 34608 87 320 75 324 72 343 85 350 34608 33319 89 317 71 326 78 349 87 349 33319 32009 87 315 67 331 83 353 83 348 32009 30665 78 316 67 341 82 353 77 350 30665 29277 70 321 69 347 76 352 73 354 29277 27848 66 329 69 346 69 350 72 353 27848 26382 65 334 66 343 65 346 69 350 26382 24885 64 335 63 340 64 343 64 346 24885 23357 61 335 59 340 63 341 59 344 23357 21796 56 337 56 342 61 341 56 344 21796 20193 50 339 54 343 59 341 54 345 20193 18577 43 343 50 345 57 342 52 347 18577 17030 39 348 47 345 54 345 52 349 17030 15623 37 352 43 346 51 348 51 351 15623 14368 36 356 40 348 47 350 50 353 14368 13242 34 001 37 352 44 352 48 355 13242 12228 32 006 34 354 42 353 46 357 12228 11312 31 009 32 356 39 354 44 357 11312 10486 30 008 29 357 37 354 42 357 10486 9745 29 004 25 355 34 353 40 356 9745 9077 27 358 22 351 31 351 37*354 9077 8468 24 352 18 346 27*348 34*351 8468 7920 20 345 15 342 24*344 30 348 7920 7456 16 339 12 340 21 341 26 346 7456 7094 11 332 8 336 17 339 20 346 7094 6842 6 312 4 320 11 332 14 347 6842 6688 4*256 2*282 6 308 10 344 6688 6600 4*203 2*249 4 239 2 227 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography