DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 61.0 - - 60.9 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 349 - - 408 - - 147 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5753 - - 8967 - - 9577 - - 6399 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11649 - - 14308 - - 14145 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13253 - - 16467 - - 17077 - - 13899 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2505 - - 2463 - - 2700 - - 5151 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 539 - - 658 - - 480 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 16 - - 15 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 232 - - 241 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - -16 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -36 - - 1175 - - 1213 - - -761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13289 - - 15293 - - 15865 - - 14661 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4347 - - -1695 - - -1566 - - -4659 ODpotential blCL - - - 17600 - - 18162 - - 18643 - - 18558 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 73 - - 79 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 61.0 - - 60.9 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 16.6 - - 14.0 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 61.2 - - 62.4 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 15.5 - - 12.9 - - 11.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 349 - - 408 - - 147 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5753 - - 8967 - - 9577 - - 6399 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97404 21 191 24 242 14 253 9 239 97404 89998 12 187 13 227 11 249 11 229 89998 84310 6 204 7 199 12 229 10 248 84310 79609 8 243 2 256 6 232 7 283 79609 75566 5 280 1 293 7 292 6 303 75566 71983 7 296 6 293 14 304 7 328 71983 68728 7 319 8 291 16 315 10 325 68728 65734 7 347 10 292 15 309 11 311 65734 62956 10 347 11 310 14 302 11 321 62956 60257 13 324 13 316 14 304 12 312 60257 57432 14 313 14 303 16 301 15 302 57432 54493 17 310 15 303 16 303 17 307 54493 51688 20 300 19 304 16 310 18 309 51688 49176 22 294 21 301 20 315 18 306 49176 46941 20 292 24 288 25 307 21 310 46941 44925 18 296 21 289 28 303 25 298 44925 43090 22 303 25 289 26 286 26 289 43090 41427 28 286 27 280 28 287 29 280 41427 39914 26 268 30 272 39 276 33 281 39914 38515 28 274 31 281 48 268 43 268 38515 37210 30 273 40 279 39 270 43 266 37210 35961 28 279 41 273 35 274 38 270 35961 34707 28 279 40 271 33 278 32 274 34707 33423 26 275 35 269 35 276 30 275 33423 32113 19 282 28 268 37 273 30 279 32113 30768 18 292 25 266 32 271 32 284 30768 29378 19 291 21 270 25 272 34 287 29378 27949 20 281 22 276 23 283 36 289 27949 26482 21 272 21 276 26 280 35 290 26482 24983 17 269 20 281 26 271 32 288 24983 23460 16 265 16 285 21 269 26 269 23460 21907 16 253 13 281 15 274 20 261 21907 20318 15 241 12 278 12 281 13 273 20318 18719 13 238 13 276 10 287 8 306 18719 17185 10 240 10*275 8*299 8 355 17185 15787 7 243 8*262 7*288 9 350 15787 14534 6 251 7 249 6 270 9*343 14534 13404 7*254 7 245 6 265 7*328 13404 12381 9*248 8 240 6 252 6 299 12381 11452 9 239 8 235 6 244 7 269 11452 10611 9 235 8 229 6 234 9 251 10611 9852 9 230 8 225 6 227 10 243 9852 9167 8 221 8 221 6 223 11 239 9167 8539 8 213 8 219 7 219 11 236 8539 7972 8 207 8 216 6 216 11 233 7972 7491 7 202 8 213 6 213 11 232 7491 7115 7 197 8 211 6 211 10 230 7115 6853 7 195 7 211 6 211 9 228 6853 6693 6 194 7 210 6 209 7 225 6693 6601 6 191 6 208 5 209 4 224 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography