DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.5 - - 38.7 - - 41.1 - - 36.3 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 51 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 391 - - 916 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 7891 - - 8416 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1578 - - 850 - - 1435 - - 2554 - - 2446 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 99 - - 157 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 140 - - 147 - - 153 - - 105 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1275 - - -119 - - 433 - - 1 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7876 - - 8010 - - 7984 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -6807 - - -4937 - - -3421 - - -4029 - - -3902 ODpotential blCL 13408 - - 12828 - - 11837 - - 10630 - - 10503 blCL maxRH 76 - - 86 - - 70 - - 84 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 33.5 - - 38.7 - - 41.1 - - 36.3 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.2 - - 26.5 - - 29.0 - - 30.7 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 41.8 - - 44.2 - - 42.3 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.7 - - 25.4 - - 27.9 - - 30.5 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 51 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 391 - - 916 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 45 - - 0 - - 38 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95945 4 319 8 309 6 345 9 075 12 249 95945 88970 7 349 2 023 6 306 6 006 6 044 88970 83549 8 348 8 049 3 266 9 325 14 018 83549 79010 8 338 10 026 3 248 10 325 12 350 79010 75076 6 334 8 332 5 305 9 322 9 344 75076 71565 6 302 8 300 5 297 11 301 11 329 71565 68368 12 309 5 305 4 318 8 300 8 313 68368 65419 13 290 8 307 9 305 11 300 11 333 65419 62668 12 286 11 271 10 277 13 288 10 313 62668 59992 17 240 14 271 14 266 19 285 14 294 59992 57196 17 244 22 251 21 245 24 250 20 238 57196 54289 33 251 25 249 23 256 21 245 19 244 54289 51490 41 246 28 235 33 247 33 234 26 246 51490 48964 43 221 33 245 48 228 37 221 35 221 48964 46716 46 204 36 219 43 209 39 205 38 214 46716 44689 49 213 47 203 40 213 37 204 38 204 44689 42841 65 217 61 200 50 205 37 209 34 189 42841 41145 79 209 71 195 62 191 41 201 33 191 41145 39574 74 201 74 193 71 187 49 187 39 193 39574 38112 65 196 75 191 73 186 55 185 48 190 38112 36762 60 194 74 189 72 188 58 187 56 186 36762 35495 58 194 72 189 68 192 59 187 58 185 35495 34235 63 198 70 191 63 199 53 186 60 185 34235 32947 64 201 65 195 59 207 44 186 48 177 32947 31635 57 199 59 199 55 211 42 187 49 180 31635 30291 47 199 51 205 50 211 43 192 48 187 30291 28907 38 199 42 208 46 209 41 194 45 189 28907 27486 31 198 36 207 44 208 40 193 45 186 27486 26031 27 203 33 207 43 206 41 193 46 181 26031 24547 27 208 32 208 42 205 43 193 47 175 24547 23039 31 209 34 209 42 206 44 192 46 175 23039 21503 36 205 37 207 42 206 44 190 44 179 21503 19933 41 201 40 205 43 205 43 189 41 187 19933 18357 43 201 40 204 43 201 42 191 38 193 18357 16854 40 202 38 204 43 199 39 194 36 196 16854 15493 34 203 35 203 39 201 37 195 33 197 15493 14280 29 203 32 202 32 202 35 196 32 200 14280 13188 26 202 29 202 28 202 33 198 31 204 13188 12199 24 202 27 201 25 203 32 199 31 205 12199 11301 22 204 26 201 24 205 31 198 32 205 11301 10486 21 205 25 203 24 205 30 195 36 204 10486 9751 21 207 24 204 22 201 29 191 38 201 9751 9085 20 204 23 200 20 196 27 185 35 197 9085 8476 19 199 20 195 17*190 23 178 29 192 8476 7927 17 190 16*186 12*177 19 169 21 182 7927 7460 13 179 11*171 9 156 13 158 15 169 7460 7097 10 159 7 151 7 142 9 135 11 155 7097 6844 6 144 5 130 6 135 7 105 7 140 6844 6689 4*112 4 112 5 124 6*084 5*120 6689 6600 2*047 3 080 3 105 3*051 3*031 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography