DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.3 - - 52.7 - - 53.1 - - 57.5 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 55 - - 25 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 417 - - 264 - - 1194 - - 214 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 6584 - - 6584 - - 6585 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 7917 - - 7764 - - 8694 - - 7714 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2493 - - 1140 - - 1817 - - 1723 - - 1408 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 124 - - 81 - - 157 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 117 - - 134 - - 118 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - 12 - - 10 - - -9 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -869 - - 1316 - - 1164 - - 2093 - - 1113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7472 - - 6601 - - 6601 - - 6602 - - 6601 sfcLCL ODpotential -6377 - - 958 - - 885 - - 779 - - -2648 ODpotential blCL 12979 - - 6959 - - 6879 - - 7915 - - 10362 blCL maxRH 85 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 370 - - 270 - - 450 - - 920 - - 1050 CAPE Temp@2m 55.3 - - 52.7 - - 53.1 - - 57.5 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 51.7 - - 53.0 - - 53.1 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 54.8 - - 55.6 - - 59.8 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 51.2 - - 52.9 - - 52.6 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 55 - - 25 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 417 - - 264 - - 1194 - - 214 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 101 - - 102 - - 86 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99028 11 127 12 194 9 342 9 067 3 266 99028 91648 9 194 6 220 3 170 7 334 3 059 91648 85930 8 171 5 229 5 223 10 290 9 347 85930 81170 12 304 4 285 10 229 11 261 14 321 81170 77058 16 278 13 285 11 266 15 281 16 312 77058 73414 11 239 13 264 13 265 16 275 12 282 73414 70113 9 240 10 264 13 260 14 262 14 266 70113 67080 9 304 13 273 13 244 13 257 13 265 67080 64282 15 293 9 259 11 224 11 241 12 265 64282 61576 15 246 6 267 9 235 13 254 6 276 61576 58754 18 230 16 236 17 257 16 260 14 265 58754 55822 10 277 17 229 21 251 20 267 16 245 55822 53009 21 244 29 231 29 227 34 245 28 243 53009 50459 40 214 41 213 36 220 45 225 36 224 50459 48173 36 206 36 206 48 229 46 225 43 223 48173 46122 40 224 51 231 56 229 56 225 56 227 46122 44264 62 228 73 230 64 228 58 223 62 224 44264 42552 84 220 84 219 72 222 62 222 62 222 42552 40961 97 213 85 211 70 215 65 219 63 222 40961 39479 95 207 76 207 60 212 63 216 64 222 39479 38101 92 202 74 198 54 212 56 212 64 218 38101 36794 90 201 71 186 52 211 52 210 60 213 36794 35489 87 201 69 182 50 209 50 211 57 212 35489 34156 83 204 67 185 48 206 49 213 54 211 34156 32801 73 206 66 192 47 204 48 215 52 211 32801 31412 58 203 62 197 47 204 48 217 50 212 31412 29982 49 198 53 200 47 205 48 219 48 213 29982 28513 48 202 45 204 46 208 47 219 46 215 28513 27006 49 212 44 208 44 211 45 219 47 217 27006 25465 47 215 49 209 46 214 45 218 47 220 25465 23895 40 212 43 210 39 213 43 217 46 223 23895 22291 35 206 42 214 41 216 40 218 38 225 22291 20647 31 205 41 216 37 218 37 222 35 227 20647 18992 29 206 37 217 33 219 36 225 34 228 18992 17409 28 197 36 220 34 220 35 229 36 229 17409 15973 28 189 34 225 34 221 31 229 35 226 15973 14690 27 181 28 229 30 220 27 227 29 225 14690 13536 26 185 22 225 23 214 23 226 21 223 13536 12490 27 193 18 213 20 206 18 221 16 209 12490 11540 25 201 18 196 17 192 15 213 15 192 11540 10680 23 209 21 181 16 179 11 200 14 175 10680 9903 21 203 21 168 15 166 9 174 14 159 9903 9203 17 189 20 159 15 155 9*152 12 146 9203 8563 13 164 17 149 14 149 8*135 9 127 8563 7987 11 140 15*140 13*147 6 126 6*123 7987 7499 11 113 13*127 12*139 4 108 5*097 7499 7120 13 097 10 115 10 134 4 106 5 078 7120 6855 11 094 9 112 8 130 4 104 4 064 6855 6694 7*098 8 111 7 130 4 104 2 030 6694 6601 2*167 6 110 5 129 3 103 1 327 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography