DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.9 - - 32.4 - - 32.5 - - 32.1 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1231 - - 1516 - - 1448 - - 1540 - - 1565 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 5 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 153 - - 130 - - 116 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 6599 - - 6599 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -3717 - - -3920 - - -3984 - - -1359 - - -715 ODpotential blCL 10318 - - 10520 - - 10584 - - 7959 - - 7315 blCL maxRH 91 - - 91 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 26.9 - - 32.4 - - 32.5 - - 32.1 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.3 - - 31.1 - - 30.9 - - 32.1 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.8 - - 35.7 - - 35.3 - - 35.6 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.1 - - 30.7 - - 30.5 - - 32.6 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 63 - - 72 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95762 28 309 30 288 33 306 24 307 32 287 95762 88808 20 316 16 302 25 293 17 308 23 294 88808 83416 15 301 15 305 22 301 13 300 22 299 83416 78907 14 299 14 306 22 307 12 308 20 296 78907 74975 10 302 16 295 20 296 12 291 22 293 74975 71470 13 289 17 300 19 305 14 287 23 294 71470 68270 13 278 19 279 17 292 17 283 22 285 68270 65305 15 266 18 277 12 307 15 286 26 271 65305 62548 13 273 20 274 25 294 16 271 20 253 62548 59874 17 268 30 267 25 275 14 265 29 295 59874 57048 22 257 27 291 35 283 47 270 44 265 57048 54097 27 280 38 258 55 252 56 242 55 235 54097 51302 37 271 52 242 56 238 43 232 40 230 51302 48804 43 255 50 247 48 246 42 260 43 271 48804 46556 49 257 54 256 54 256 63 259 54 260 46556 44509 57 258 61 255 56 254 58 249 63 256 44509 42640 64 259 65 251 69 247 66 245 62 248 42640 40918 72 258 67 249 73 240 74 240 62 245 40918 39324 84 258 71 251 74 241 84 238 64 245 39324 37847 93 256 75 252 82 245 93 239 70 246 37847 36485 87 254 73 251 90 246 101 242 79 244 36485 35212 71 253 67 249 87 243 107 241 96 238 35212 33961 58 255 62 248 79 240 107 237 105 231 33961 32695 52 257 59 248 75 238 97 236 91 225 32695 31408 51 257 57 247 73 239 86 236 81 221 31408 30088 51 255 57 247 72 240 78 234 86 223 30088 28725 53 252 57 248 70 240 78 237 94 227 28725 27327 54 252 58 249 68 241 82 243 89 233 27327 25898 54 254 58 250 65 243 76 249 78 233 25898 24441 52 256 57 251 64 244 65 251 75 231 24441 22957 47 258 57 252 59 243 61 248 70 233 22957 21443 40 256 55 251 54 241 59 240 55 232 21443 19892 35 252 52 247 51 236 53 230 64 236 19892 18333 35 249 46 239 50 231 49 222 57 236 18333 16839 36 246 42 229 47 227 47 216 50 234 16839 15480 37 244 39 222 44 224 46 214 47 232 15480 14264 36 241 37 221 40 222 45 212 46 231 14264 13167 32 235 33 225 37 223 43 208 37 233 13167 12174 28 223 29 230 33 224 38 202 39 228 12174 11275 26 213 26 233 29 225 32 199 39 224 11275 10461 25 209 23 233 25 226 28 198 38 222 10461 9727 25 208 20 230 20 228 26 196 36 218 9727 9064 26 207 18 223 16 222 24 190 35 211 9064 8458 25 204 16 212 13 206 20 183 34 203 8458 7913 21 199 14 204 12 188 15 173 32 196 7913 7450 14 192 11 193 10 174 11 162 26 188 7450 7091 8 178 7 180 8 152 7 147 19 178 7091 6840 4 154 4 155 6 128 5 116 13 168 6840 6687 3*102 3*114 5*112 4*082 7*146 6687 6599 1*073 2*094 3*100 3*064 4*076 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography