DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 64.7 - - 70.6 - - 69.2 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 196 - - 249 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 879 - - 3126 - - 1779 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 7754 - - 9475 - - 6585 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 8379 - - 10626 - - 9279 - - 6603 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 876 - - 1828 - - 2090 - - 2882 - - 2041 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 236 - - 390 - - 84 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 209 - - 215 - - 204 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -11 - - -16 - - -17 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6336 - - -6975 - - -5848 - - -6210 - - -6574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12939 - - 15355 - - 16475 - - 15490 - - 13177 sfcLCL ODpotential -14187 - - -12452 - - -9892 - - -10821 - - -12749 ODpotential blCL 20789 - - 20831 - - 20518 - - 20100 - - 19352 blCL maxRH 62 - - 58 - - 61 - - 66 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 64.7 - - 70.6 - - 69.2 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.9 - - 20.9 - - 21.6 - - 24.7 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.7 - - 66.0 - - 71.5 - - 71.8 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.7 - - 20.5 - - 21.2 - - 24.4 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 196 - - 249 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 879 - - 3126 - - 1779 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97734 2 352 8 192 16 247 16 308 5 341 97734 90513 7 321 4 126 8 257 10 351 7 019 90513 84922 5 025 6 029 4 025 9 014 12 359 84922 80295 8 039 10 005 9 020 5 003 13 355 80295 76320 9 025 13 356 16 025 3 339 8 345 76320 72799 13 359 14 348 15 006 11 348 10 008 72799 69604 12 333 14 343 11 353 15 326 14 343 69604 66670 12 315 14 330 11 336 12 330 12 328 66670 63947 11 308 17 300 19 314 16 338 10 325 63947 61303 16 314 16 295 22 297 23 313 19 332 61303 58541 22 309 17 294 21 287 29 303 27 312 58541 55676 25 301 17 292 22 279 30 285 30 295 55676 52935 30 292 25 282 25 264 26 267 28 277 52935 50462 32 280 27 278 26 258 26 258 25 269 50462 48242 32 279 32 268 32 258 30 265 28 275 48242 46235 30 279 35 261 40 256 35 263 35 264 46235 44410 30 279 34 263 40 258 42 262 42 261 44410 42736 31 283 35 269 42 261 45 260 46 259 42736 41181 27 279 37 273 41 264 40 262 43 261 41181 39728 22 274 34 271 38 267 36 264 34 262 39728 38367 20 268 30 276 36 269 34 268 30 265 38367 37067 18 262 25 277 30 277 31 269 27 267 37067 35763 14 257 21 275 27 277 29 267 26 271 35763 34430 11 264 19 279 24 282 28 267 28 282 34430 33075 9 256 16 274 22 284 27 269 30 289 33075 31684 8 256 14 268 21 284 27 269 31 292 31684 30247 10 263 13 270 22 286 27 267 31 294 30247 28769 12 272 14 265 21 285 26 267 30 296 28769 27255 14 276 16 261 21 280 25 273 29 293 27255 25708 14 276 18 266 21 277 25 280 28 287 25708 24131 15 280 18 277 22 279 24 284 25 283 24131 22516 16 283 21 287 23 282 22 282 22 278 22516 20858 19 286 21 290 21 282 20 274 20 271 20858 19185 21 288 20 288 20 281 19 268 18 267 19185 17579 21 290 19 287 19 282 18 264 18 268 17579 16117 20 292 18 286 18 285 16 263 17 269 16117 14808 17 292 16 281 17 286 14 264 16 269 14808 13630 15 290 15 275 16 284 12 267 15 268 13630 12565 13 286 14 271 15 280 11 272 13 268 12565 11600 12 286 14 268 15 275 11 272 12 268 11600 10727 11 286 13 263 14*266 12 267 11 268 10727 9941 10 284 13 259 12*253 11*255 11 264 9941 9232 9 281 12 255 10 236 10*243 11 256 9232 8585 8 274 10*248 9 218 9 219 11 243 8585 8002 6 264 8*236 9 204 9 199 10 226 8002 7509 5 250 6 216 9 198 8 191 10 211 7509 7125 4 236 5 198 9 194 8 187 8 198 7125 6858 2 211 5 192 8 190 7 183 6 191 6858 6695 2*190 5 187 8 189 6 181 3*187 6695 6602 2*198 4 183 7 187 5 179 1*193 6602 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography