DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.2 - - 64.9 - - 69.4 - - 68.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 190 - - 245 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1481 - - 4445 - - 3821 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 8188 - - 10470 - - 6585 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 8981 - - 11945 - - 11321 - - 6602 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1054 - - 2072 - - 1954 - - 3685 - - 5797 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 279 - - 437 - - 57 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 15 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 243 - - 249 - - 229 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -5 - - -15 - - -11 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6665 - - -6329 - - -4056 - - -4473 - - -7027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13267 - - 15311 - - 16002 - - 15795 - - 13630 sfcLCL ODpotential -14499 - - -11761 - - -8866 - - -9110 - - -12932 ODpotential blCL 21101 - - 20742 - - 20811 - - 20431 - - 19534 blCL maxRH 28 - - 29 - - 28 - - 35 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.2 - - 64.9 - - 69.4 - - 68.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.2 - - 21.1 - - 22.3 - - 22.3 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 66.2 - - 70.5 - - 71.3 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.9 - - 20.8 - - 21.9 - - 22.1 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 190 - - 245 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1481 - - 4445 - - 3821 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97716 15 030 20 359 22 017 22 038 17 023 97716 90546 21 047 15 065 17 040 22 032 26 042 90546 84925 20 044 16 059 14 072 19 042 27 046 84925 80237 13 018 13 044 7 056 11 052 17 043 80237 76200 6 041 6 041 5 326 10 005 16 035 76200 72651 20 359 16 001 10 020 9 350 11 019 72651 69455 22 348 18 329 20 340 18 348 18 352 69455 66525 31 349 20 352 21 334 27 346 27 338 66525 63817 35 330 29 345 25 332 28 337 28 337 63817 61186 35 320 30 326 27 325 28 331 28 331 61186 58434 36 316 30 319 28 320 26 323 29 318 58434 55577 40 319 31 316 30 317 27 320 29 315 55577 52858 39 318 32 307 34 308 35 316 32 322 52858 50421 37 314 31 303 33 300 38 306 35 318 50421 48234 36 319 31 320 31 315 33 306 34 307 48234 46237 40 326 33 327 32 329 30 321 31 318 46237 44400 39 322 27 324 29 321 30 321 34 323 44400 42695 34 319 22 327 24 308 27 313 31 319 42695 41099 29 327 21 332 19 313 23 308 24 313 41099 39602 26 330 22 340 15 322 18 297 22 317 39602 38212 23 327 19 337 13 326 14 294 16 316 38212 36901 20 309 14 313 13 303 15 297 12 321 36901 35596 10 281 14 292 14 292 18 298 12 328 35596 34263 9 273 11 266 16 258 21 274 14 312 34263 32906 12 285 10 270 15 247 18 257 15 275 32906 31516 12 280 11 274 12 252 15 255 12 248 31516 30084 12 274 11 275 12 260 14 258 9 253 30084 28614 11 271 11 274 13 256 15 244 10 246 28614 27106 11 268 11 274 12 252 16 238 9 238 27106 25563 10 266 10 277 11 258 13 239 7 237 25563 23989 8 271 9 279 11 264 10 249 5 261 23989 22383 6 272 9 276 10 267 8 265 5 276 22383 20735 6 276 9 274 10 273 7 271 7 264 20735 19075 5 285 8 271 8 276 5 252 8 254 19075 17485 6 294 8 265 8 270 5 256 7 250 17485 16037 9 296 9 264 8 268 6 300 4 260 16037 14742 10 297 10 267 10 276 13 311 7 311 14742 13576 11 297 11 269 13 287 15 315 9 323 13576 12523 12 294 11 273 14*293 13 323 9 335 12523 11568 12 291 11 278 11*300 11*324 7 349 11568 10704 11 286 11 284 8 297 8*313 5 356 10704 9925 10 279 10 288 6 278 6 277 4 340 9925 9222 9 274 8*288 6 254 7 238 3 299 9222 8578 7 274 7*282 6 219 9 217 5 268 8578 7999 6 272 5 264 7 209 9 210 5 250 7999 7507 4 262 3 231 7 201 9 206 5 235 7507 7124 3 236 3 208 7 197 8 203 4 215 7124 6858 2 199 3 195 7 193 8 201 3 187 6858 6695 2*177 3 188 6 191 7 199 2*164 6695 6601 1*179 3 184 6 189 5 198 1*170 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography