DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.7 - - 44.1 - - 43.1 - - 35.4 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 171 - - 589 - - 655 - - 256 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4009 - - 6481 - - 9719 - - 4162 - - 3400 BL Depth Hcrit 9983 - - 12434 - - 15144 - - 10281 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 11509 - - 13981 - - 17219 - - 11662 - - 10900 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1048 - - 863 - - 919 - - 3324 - - 4018 Hgt.Variab. W* 377 - - 666 - - 789 - - 437 - - 191 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 28 - - 33 - - 21 - - 25 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 297 - - 292 - - 332 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 25 - - 21 - - 24 - - 11 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -34 - - -43 - - -43 - - 82 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 439 - - -300 - - 4990 - - 4310 - - 2866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11071 - - 14282 - - 12229 - - 7353 - - 8035 sfcLCL ODpotential -8951 - - -9170 - - 3351 - - 2541 - - 132 ODpotential blCL 20460 - - 23151 - - 13868 - - 9121 - - 10768 blCL maxRH 96 - - 42 - - 97 - - 97 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 280 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 39.7 - - 44.1 - - 43.1 - - 35.4 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.2 - - 4.0 - - 12.1 - - 26.1 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 44.1 - - 42.8 - - 36.4 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.5 - - 3.5 - - 12.0 - - 26.1 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 171 - - 589 - - 655 - - 256 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4009 - - 6481 - - 9719 - - 4162 - - 3400 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 0 - - 89 - - 88 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97990 19 119 14 108 9 121 12 061 13 110 97990 90460 18 105 15 123 14 074 8 088 12 089 90460 84699 10 089 12 114 10 096 7 106 14 066 84699 79951 13 085 6 093 10 047 6 081 13 072 79951 75871 15 056 6 090 6 341 9 025 18 060 75871 72263 10 023 12 074 5 210 10 350 17 032 72263 68982 6 353 13 022 4 075 5 002 10 357 68982 65951 12 345 14 308 10 354 3 024 4 334 65951 63127 5 302 15 266 10 300 5 315 6 357 63127 60369 11 258 16 229 10 272 6 343 10 316 60369 57480 7 012 2 013 6 339 9 013 10 324 57480 54493 38 300 20 307 8 009 15 338 21 309 54493 51655 50 277 45 284 26 323 22 325 21 319 51655 49092 50 284 50 277 51 291 41 298 29 276 49092 46787 53 293 52 289 52 287 41 290 32 280 46787 44694 66 297 62 298 58 290 47 290 38 292 44694 42777 91 295 85 299 67 295 55 294 48 293 42777 41011 115 288 112 296 92 297 67 297 55 290 41011 39376 120 285 131 287 121 294 80 296 61 288 39376 37855 121 290 131 279 132 287 94 292 67 287 37855 36441 128 291 120 276 128 282 104 286 72 286 36441 35102 129 289 122 279 119 282 107 282 78 284 35102 33774 123 285 134 283 119 284 108 280 82 282 33774 32430 123 280 141 286 130 286 114 280 83 281 32430 31076 127 279 138 285 137 286 119 280 79 281 31076 29699 127 278 133 280 137 283 124 280 73 283 29699 28296 125 278 130 275 137 278 130 279 66 287 28296 26872 122 278 130 272 139 277 134 280 56 288 26872 25433 119 279 135 275 145 280 129 284 45 284 25433 23982 115 282 133 280 147 286 100 288 33 286 23982 22522 110 284 122 284 127 292 63 287 31 283 22522 21042 103 285 103 286 81 289 27 289 28 269 21042 19537 92 282 80 281 61 277 20 315 18 266 19537 18024 81 276 71 270 53*276 18 323 14 281 18024 16577 74 270 70 264 39*280 19 333 11 308 16577 15259 70 267 64 267 37 284 19 333 11 342 15259 14079 65 270 51*274 35 287 19 334 14 006 14079 13015 56 275 34*284 33 291 20 334 17 016 13015 12052 45*283 30 292 33 293 21*334 19 018 12052 11177 35*290 29 295 33 295 21*334 21*015 11177 10385 28 297 29 297 33 296 22 333 23*011 10385 9670 25 303 29 299 32 297 22 333 25 006 9670 9023 25 304 29 300 32 298 22 333 26 001 9023 8431 24 305 28 301 32 298 22 332 27 355 8431 7896 23 305 28 301 31 299 21 332 27 352 7896 7441 22 305 27 301 30 299 20 331 26 350 7441 7085 21 305 25 301 29 300 19 330 24 349 7085 6838 19 305 24 301 27 300 17 330 21 347 6838 6687 17 305 21 301 24 300 15 330 18 347 6687 6599 11 304 14 302 16 300 10 329 11 346 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography