DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.1 - - 31.2 - - 35.3 - - 31.8 - - 28.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 78 - - 86 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 275 - - 496 - - 90 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 7775 - - 7996 - - 7590 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1237 - - 524 - - 532 - - 540 - - 1143 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 119 - - 150 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 167 - - 189 - - 185 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -7 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1176 - - 1397 - - 991 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6599 - - 6599 - - 6599 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -4970 - - 803 - - -6118 - - -5214 - - -7265 ODpotential blCL 11570 - - 6972 - - 14114 - - 12804 - - 13865 blCL maxRH 98 - - 99 - - 94 - - 91 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.1 - - 31.2 - - 35.3 - - 31.8 - - 28.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 30.0 - - 30.2 - - 30.3 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.4 - - 33.3 - - 37.2 - - 35.8 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 29.8 - - 29.6 - - 30.2 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 78 - - 86 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 275 - - 496 - - 90 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 97 - - 77 - - 64 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96599 22 077 21 078 18 075 19 070 19 077 96599 89550 30 072 22 092 14 090 16 080 21 076 89550 84062 26 080 25 094 16 096 16 063 23 084 84062 79455 23 088 20 100 14 090 10 087 21 073 79455 75454 11 092 15 090 14 094 8 125 12 060 75454 71900 7 123 1 104 8 029 4 127 6 103 71900 68669 2 306 5 246 10 284 7 292 5 002 68669 65702 12 303 9 301 12 247 12 278 13 279 65702 62950 14 282 17 292 13 274 14 289 16 262 62950 60277 18 281 21 274 17 280 16 293 18 277 60277 57495 23 280 18 278 16 283 14 280 20 261 57495 54616 25 281 21 293 21 295 16 290 15 258 54616 51882 21 287 21 286 20 286 17 276 16 277 51882 49434 16 306 18 291 18 278 17 267 16 264 49434 47231 15 331 17 306 19 285 20 285 19 292 47231 45228 19 324 16 297 20 285 21 287 24 301 45228 43410 15 299 14 297 18 286 15 272 18 298 43410 41754 13 328 18 304 19 304 17 307 17 309 41754 40224 27 351 20 321 23 314 24 321 19 315 40224 38798 36 355 26 340 21 328 22 323 16 313 38798 37465 30 357 28 346 19 345 14 333 10 314 37465 36193 19 359 23 344 17 348 12 346 4 296 36193 34919 14 354 17 337 13 340 11 340 1 243 34919 33616 15 355 10 319 8 316 7 310 1 143 33616 32286 20 007 7 301 8 253 9 230 2 269 32286 30920 21 013 8 322 8 251 10 233 9 255 30920 29513 18 013 7 329 8 241 11 232 11 239 29513 28066 15 013 4 269 10 224 11 228 11 256 28066 26578 12 012 4 219 11 213 11 221 12 264 26578 25055 10 011 6 191 13 206 13 213 12 251 25055 23500 10 010 5 218 11 228 12 215 12 248 23500 21910 7 018 4 265 9 257 8 238 11 263 21910 20282 6 002 7 308 8 280 7 263 10 273 20282 18647 11 333 11 317 10 298 9 285 10 284 18647 17086 15 326 12 322 11 299 11 299 11 298 17086 15670 12 320 11 323 9 295 10 298 10 304 15670 14406 9 311 9 318 6 285 8 289 9 302 14406 13271 7 305 7 304 6 272 6 278 8 297 13271 12248 5 296 6 284 6 268 6 273 7 295 12248 11325 5 289 6 268 7 272 7 273 7 296 11325 10492 5 288 6 261 8 278 7 274 7 298 10492 9745 5 291 5 259 8 280 7 273 8 296 9745 9072 5 291 5 257 7 274 8 262 8 289 9072 8460 4 284 4 213 5*243 7 247 7 274 8460 7911 2 185 6*170 4*205 7*224 5 242 7911 7448 6 154 6*167 4 193 6*203 4 195 7448 7088 6 152 5 168 4 188 6 187 4 175 7088 6839 5 151 5 167 4 181 5 178 3 164 6839 6687 4*152 4 167 4 179 4 170 2*149 6687 6599 3*153 4 166 4 176 3 163 1*155 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography