DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 36.1 - - 27.9 - - 27.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 59 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6600 - - 6601 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 674 - - 1113 - - 580 - - 663 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 43 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 173 - - 146 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -4 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2565 - - -1008 - - -1763 - - -2018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9166 - - 7609 - - 8364 - - 8618 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12612 - - -10689 - - -13166 - - -13537 ODpotential blCL - - - 19212 - - 17290 - - 19766 - - 20137 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 71 - - 80 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 36.1 - - 27.9 - - 27.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.8 - - 26.2 - - 15.0 - - 13.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 38.5 - - 35.0 - - 35.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.8 - - 25.0 - - 14.0 - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 59 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95516 75 017 68 009 75 005 64 005 95516 88747 68 026 59 011 54 008 51 007 88747 83439 64 021 57 017 48 014 42 000 83439 78977 53 013 51 021 40 023 33 360 78977 75082 40 004 41 009 33 018 27 010 75082 71592 32 003 34 006 27 012 25 010 71592 68407 30 353 33 001 28 358 25 006 68407 65471 29 342 31 351 28 349 27 358 65471 62747 24 339 26 345 29 344 30 343 62747 60116 25 334 28 338 32 341 27 329 60116 57379 30 318 28 319 30 323 26 319 57379 54537 30 314 31 303 30 314 25 312 54537 51819 31 303 31 293 30 295 25 301 51819 49375 34 299 30 294 33 285 32 287 49375 47215 37 291 40 277 40 276 50 272 47215 45304 46 282 55 278 68 274 54 270 45304 43568 63 283 77 281 81 280 65 276 43568 41947 80 283 99 281 97 273 93 265 41947 40423 89 282 104 278 102 269 98 261 40423 38988 85 283 94 277 95 271 91 263 38988 37639 76 284 84 277 78 275 73 269 37639 36351 69 286 77 279 67 274 61 276 36351 35063 62 286 71 286 66 276 57 277 35063 33745 48 281 68 291 61 279 53 277 33745 32401 37 275 68 290 57 283 46 285 32401 31022 32 276 66 289 53 286 44 286 31022 29598 33 276 49 292 51 292 43 289 29598 28135 35 279 38 279 44 298 38 293 28135 26635 33 282 37 271 35 292 30 288 26635 25101 27 274 31 275 30 276 29 282 25101 23539 24 264 25 271 24 265 29 276 23539 21947 21 258 24 257 22 258 27 270 21947 20322 18 252 23 247 24 254 25 259 20322 18692 17 247 21 241 25 255 24 256 18692 17131 16 248 20 240 22 256 22 258 17131 15711 16 253 18 242 20 252 19 259 15711 14443 17 255 16 243 18 250 16 258 14443 13305 17 258 15 245 16 247 15 253 13305 12279 16 260 14 245 14 243 14 244 12279 11351 14 261 13 244 14 238 14 236 11351 10514 12 260 13 243 14 235 14 232 10514 9762 11 258 13 239 13 233 14 230 9762 9086 10 252 13 234 12 230 13 226 9086 8470 9 245 12 228 10 224 11 220 8470 7918 9 234 12 218 9 211 10 210 7918 7451 8 221 10 204 7 193 8 199 7451 7090 6 206 8 187 6 171 6 175 7090 6840 4 199 6 171 5 161 4 170 6840 6687 3*184 6*166 5*147 3*143 6687 6599 2*174 4*160 3*145 1*122 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography