DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 36.6 - - 40.1 - - 36.1 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 60 - - 59 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 436 - - 1322 - - 3399 - - 2341 - - 1834 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 8884 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 7936 - - 8822 - - 10899 - - 9841 - - 9334 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1743 - - 1295 - - 1425 - - 2177 - - 2292 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 188 - - 260 - - 0 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 15 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 331 - - 305 - - 293 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 11 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -17 - - -9 - - -12 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1337 - - 2223 - - 3830 - - 3242 - - 2734 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 6600 - - 7069 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -895 - - 776 - - 1107 - - 182 - - -1227 ODpotential blCL 8831 - - 8046 - - 9792 - - 9659 - - 10561 blCL maxRH 96 - - 99 - - 94 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 36.6 - - 40.1 - - 36.1 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 33.6 - - 31.9 - - 31.9 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 38.9 - - 42.2 - - 40.9 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.4 - - 32.7 - - 30.7 - - 30.8 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 60 - - 59 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 436 - - 1322 - - 3399 - - 2341 - - 1834 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 97 - - 76 - - 71 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96140 2 332 11 292 1 031 3 270 12 290 96140 89115 6 119 4 345 3 292 6 011 4 012 89115 83682 8 070 6 073 7 270 11 343 8 008 83682 79160 14 021 8 063 7 294 10 307 9 326 79160 75236 12 348 6 031 8 321 7 303 6 347 75236 71748 12 332 8 329 10 319 9 322 9 347 71748 68587 14 325 12 338 10 328 10 313 7 325 68587 65673 17 320 15 336 12 328 10 302 15 307 65673 62953 15 312 16 334 12 324 13 278 19 283 62953 60307 18 319 16 330 14 327 7 295 19 288 60307 57535 19 302 20 308 20 318 16 313 18 305 57535 54654 20 300 21 302 26 311 27 320 25 323 54654 51915 21 295 22 311 37 312 40 320 36 332 51915 49447 12 279 29 308 41 313 46 318 43 332 49447 47219 10 276 29 304 41 315 44 322 53 313 47219 45200 11 295 26 311 41 315 51 322 54 308 45200 43354 20 307 24 319 42 315 56 320 54 311 43354 41651 24 287 27 320 46 320 62 320 59 306 41651 40077 20 259 32 313 49 322 67 313 53 305 40077 38613 18 242 34 305 52 322 68 316 60 321 38613 37242 17 236 32 300 55 320 78 323 79 319 37242 35934 18 224 30 295 57 317 89 325 90 310 35934 34633 21 212 21 267 56 314 88 325 93 306 34633 33310 28 197 21 198 53 314 82 325 89 308 33310 31968 30 196 22 208 49 317 76 324 84 312 31968 30593 38 200 33 205 38 313 72 325 78 316 30593 29178 39 196 38 196 22 296 64 326 71 321 29178 27725 41 192 37 190 17 249 57 325 62 326 27725 26239 41 192 37 194 27 209 50 325 50 326 26239 24723 41 188 34 202 36 200 45 326 44 321 24723 23183 39 185 30 203 38 198 37 326 42 319 23183 21613 35 188 27 204 33 201 27 316 40 322 21613 20009 32 197 25 210 27 205 19 263 35 327 20009 18399 28 195 21 208 24 211 22 223 26 324 18399 16867 24 201 16 215 20 218 19 222 18 307 16867 15485 21 211 11 230 17 222 16 234 14 281 15485 14258 19 224 8 241 13 223 13 238 13 263 14258 13160 16 242 7 235 10 236 11 245 11 254 13160 12168 8 240 3 200 13 260 8 267 10 252 12168 11271 2 207 2 075 14*265 7 270 7 246 11271 10460 2 026 4 003 11*277 5*264 6 229 10460 9728 7 348 9 340 11 297 5*279 6*221 9728 9068 13 338 15*335 11 308 6 299 4*226 9068 8463 18*332 18*331 11 310 7 305 4 252 8463 7918 17*327 17 331 10 312 7 301 5 271 7918 7455 13 321 16 331 10 312 7 294 5 274 7455 7094 9 313 13 331 9 312 6 285 6 267 7094 6842 5 299 11 331 8 313 5 272 5 256 6842 6688 3 284 10 331 7 313 4 258 4 245 6688 6600 2 258 7 331 6 314 3 243 3 238 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography