DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 45.0 - - 44.5 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 54 - - 11 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1428 - - 1653 - - 1609 - - 539 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6584 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8928 - - 9153 - - 9109 - - 8039 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1181 - - 1081 - - 1259 - - 1979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 199 - - 121 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 25 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 056 - - 312 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -15 - - -25 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2328 - - 2553 - - 2509 - - 1439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6601 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1494 - - 1233 - - 808 - - 160 ODpotential blCL - - - 7434 - - 7920 - - 8301 - - 7879 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 45.0 - - 44.5 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.1 - - 42.5 - - 41.9 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 47.2 - - 47.0 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 41.5 - - 41.2 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 54 - - 11 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1428 - - 1653 - - 1609 - - 539 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 86 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97542 15 270 23 309 28 293 28 310 97542 90380 19 314 16 307 20 287 18 293 90380 84845 18 310 10 284 13 294 8 292 84845 80233 12 294 11 272 9 307 7 316 80233 76247 10 279 8 266 12 305 6 323 76247 72720 5 244 6 263 14 292 5 297 72720 69522 2 100 6 279 13 287 7 293 69522 66586 12 003 9 252 11 248 8 251 66586 63862 12 324 8 226 11 226 5 248 63862 61214 14 296 10 232 16 214 14 260 61214 58433 18 263 13 258 10 256 15 232 58433 55531 24 261 26 264 30 265 25 240 55531 52757 30 252 33 257 37 254 25 246 52757 50245 45 245 52 255 47 248 33 251 50245 47977 52 238 61 243 50 246 40 243 47977 45909 55 240 62 239 59 242 53 239 45909 44008 62 245 67 240 71 242 64 238 44008 42245 69 244 74 239 79 241 74 238 42245 40594 78 242 80 239 82 238 80 237 40594 39044 86 242 84 238 85 236 80 233 39044 37594 90 240 86 237 88 235 81 229 37594 36216 90 238 84 235 87 232 86 229 36216 34844 91 231 80 234 82 230 88 228 34844 33453 93 224 77 228 74 225 86 227 33453 32053 92 220 75 219 72 215 76 223 32053 30637 88 219 73 216 73 207 67 217 30637 29200 83 219 76 218 70 206 65 209 29200 27744 77 216 73 218 66 215 67 205 27744 26263 72 214 67 219 61 222 68 205 26263 24752 65 211 62 217 51 219 65 205 24752 23216 55 205 59 214 46 214 69 209 23216 21650 49 198 51 207 45 209 62 211 21650 20052 48 194 36 191 40 204 53 211 20052 18453 45 195 34 191 30 199 44 219 18453 16932 41 202 33 189 21 197 36 237 16932 15557 33 215 28 182 15 208 30 250 15557 14329 22 228 21 182 10 221 26 259 14329 13226 14 231 12 195 9 258 21 269 13226 12227 11 229 8 221 12 283 17 274 12227 11321 10 234 7 240 14 297 13 272 11321 10502 9 239 5 253 15 307 11 267 10502 9763 9 237 3*261 13*312 10 261 9763 9096 7*227 1*294 12*317 8 253 9096 8485 6*203 1 032 10 318 7*244 8485 7934 5 174 2 050 8 314 8*233 7934 7466 6 148 2 060 7 308 8 224 7466 7100 6 141 2 074 7 303 9 219 7100 6845 6 139 2 078 6 300 8 218 6845 6690 6 137 2 083 5 299 6 215 6690 6600 5 137 2 084 4 298 4 215 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography