DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 54.4 - - 51.5 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 69 - - 22 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2244 - - 2281 - - 1569 - - 901 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6584 - - 8205 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9744 - - 9781 - - 9069 - - 8401 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1542 - - 2265 - - 2638 - - 1947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 239 - - 152 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 158 - - 089 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -10 - - -18 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2921 - - 3180 - - 2469 - - 1800 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6823 - - 6601 - - 6601 - - 6601 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -187 - - 1220 - - 55 - - -576 ODpotential blCL - - - 9931 - - 8561 - - 9014 - - 8977 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - 90 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 790 - - 870 - - 240 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 54.4 - - 51.5 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 50.8 - - 47.4 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 56.5 - - 53.9 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 50.0 - - 46.4 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 69 - - 22 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2244 - - 2281 - - 1569 - - 901 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 79 - - 62 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98769 4 006 10 017 8 006 11 349 98769 91437 1 328 9 342 10 342 5 304 91437 85763 2 090 7 289 13 320 15 329 85763 81044 8 302 12 280 14 306 17 333 81044 76964 14 287 13 296 15 308 19 314 76964 73346 13 277 17 292 18 306 18 306 73346 70071 6 265 16 289 20 295 14 303 70071 67057 10 266 12 274 19 283 13 309 67057 64256 12 297 11 263 18 278 18 295 64256 61539 16 284 18 265 21 275 24 280 61539 58703 21 250 23 251 24 261 26 269 58703 55758 25 236 19 245 25 259 24 273 55758 52953 27 238 22 251 26 257 28 280 52953 50434 33 240 26 255 26 259 29 273 50434 48172 36 236 31 258 27 261 30 274 48172 46110 39 230 37 248 30 259 30 278 46110 44214 46 218 42 230 33 254 32 279 44214 42456 55 215 49 217 38 246 34 270 42456 40815 68 215 58 207 42 233 33 257 40815 39280 76 213 64 199 44 224 30 246 39280 37848 78 210 65 197 43 211 26 239 37848 36488 79 206 65 194 39 196 25 236 36488 35140 78 201 63 188 39 188 29 223 35140 33780 75 195 56 178 39 177 32 197 33780 32422 74 185 47 168 39 163 28 170 32422 31050 73 180 44 165 40 160 32 147 31050 29641 67 186 37 166 38 164 29 143 29641 28192 55 193 29 169 34 167 25 143 28192 26704 36 198 27 172 27 169 21 151 26704 25184 30 202 32 175 25 173 19 161 25184 23634 33 208 36 174 20 173 17 174 23634 22051 35 207 34 177 19 184 14 197 22051 20431 30 205 36 185 18 204 17 210 20431 18799 26 202 36 195 18 211 18 206 18799 17235 24 197 36 208 20 218 17 207 17235 15811 22 191 33 215 23 225 16 217 15811 14540 19 187 28 215 27 231 18 227 14540 13398 15 178 22 207 28 237 19 231 13398 12366 13 165 16 192 25 241 17 235 12366 11433 11 154 14 181 21 242 15 240 11433 10590 9 132 12 174 16 239 11 242 10590 9832 10*105 12*171 11 233 7 235 9832 9148 12*088 11*167 6*223 4 219 9148 8524 11 078 11 162 2*186 3*198 8524 7961 9 077 11 160 3 107 2*192 7961 7483 9 075 10 155 3 087 1 094 7483 7110 9 072 10 151 5 077 2 040 7110 6851 8 072 9 148 5 073 4 040 6851 6692 7 071 9 147 5 073 3 036 6692 6601 6 072 7 145 4 072 2 034 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography