DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.0 - - 21.5 - - 26.5 - - 21.1 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 10 - - 19 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 400 - - 731 - - 1032 - - 827 - - 642 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 23 - - 29 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 156 - - 196 - - 220 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -4 - - -10 - - -14 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1393 - - -934 - - -1673 - - -948 - - -1660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7994 - - 7534 - - 8273 - - 7548 - - 8261 sfcLCL ODpotential -12468 - - -10688 - - -11608 - - -11793 - - -12471 ODpotential blCL 19068 - - 17288 - - 18208 - - 18393 - - 19071 blCL maxRH 89 - - 84 - - 69 - - 70 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.0 - - 21.5 - - 26.5 - - 21.1 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.0 - - 12.2 - - 13.9 - - 11.8 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.4 - - 24.2 - - 29.2 - - 28.1 - - 29.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.7 - - 11.5 - - 13.0 - - 11.1 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 10 - - 19 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96162 38 313 42 301 41 296 41 299 40 294 96162 89327 24 298 28 311 36 315 33 317 30 303 89327 83931 17 339 20 303 24 314 19 321 22 317 83931 79362 29 353 16 330 24 324 23 323 26 335 79362 75382 30 333 20 328 29 317 23 312 23 328 75382 71838 22 330 15 331 22 310 21 321 21 324 71838 68592 16 358 12 011 20 319 25 323 23 326 68592 65591 31 342 28 340 24 319 28 319 25 324 65591 62812 32 336 35 325 35 323 34 316 36 320 62812 60125 39 326 41 316 35 304 42 300 43 303 60125 57310 47 315 36 314 34 310 38 305 39 304 57310 54375 49 317 44 318 46 315 50 314 48 314 54375 51583 58 314 50 315 54 310 58 309 61 313 51583 49088 62 311 56 315 57 306 62 307 63 309 49088 46861 62 310 62 311 62 306 67 304 63 307 46861 44854 64 310 67 311 62 310 63 307 57 316 44854 43043 66 313 73 315 70 325 70 330 67 328 43043 41404 72 318 78 317 97 330 92 328 79 325 41404 39899 78 312 74 318 95 319 90 322 80 323 39899 38490 72 306 68 324 75 319 84 324 79 325 38490 37170 68 311 66 327 75 335 82 328 78 326 37170 35909 71 315 72 325 87 339 81 327 74 326 35909 34645 72 311 77 318 91 339 80 325 71 323 34645 33351 74 307 78 312 93 337 80 324 71 320 33351 32033 76 309 78 312 90 333 78 323 73 317 32033 30679 76 311 77 312 86 330 75 322 73 316 30679 29282 75 309 75 312 84 329 71 320 71 316 29282 27844 74 309 73 311 81 329 66 318 65 317 27844 26371 74 311 71 310 74 327 61 318 60 317 26371 24866 71 312 68 309 69 325 58 319 58 317 24866 23332 67 312 63 308 65 323 57 320 57 316 23332 21764 61 312 58 308 61 320 56 321 56 316 21764 20157 55 310 53 307 55 316 54 321 54 317 20157 18541 49 308 48 307 50 316 50 318 51 320 18541 16995 43 306 42 307 45 315 45 313 47 321 16995 15593 38 305 37 306 40 313 40 312 43 321 15593 14340 33 305 32 304 35 311 36 312 38 318 14340 13216 30 306 27 300 29 308 32 311 33 316 13216 12203 27 308 24 298 24 305 28 309 27 315 12203 11288 25 310 21 298 20 304 24 306 23 315 11288 10464 24 313 19 299 18 303 21 303 20 316 10464 9724 22 314 17 298 15 302 17 299 17 315 9724 9057 19 314 13 293 13 296 15 292 14 312 9057 8450 15 311 11 281 10 281 13 277 11 302 8450 7903 10 301 8 255 9 255 12 256 9 274 7903 7441 5 264 6 212 8 223 12 236 9 241 7441 7084 4 191 6 173 7 201 10 222 10 220 7084 6837 6 160 6 158 6 196 8 217 8 209 6837 6686 5*160 5*156 5*193 6*219 6*201 6686 6599 3*175 3*153 4*189 3*225 3*201 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography