DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/23 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.7 - - 50.6 - - 55.8 - - 51.3 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 153 - - 206 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2386 - - 4724 - - 4438 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 8750 - - 10607 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 9886 - - 12224 - - 11938 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2134 - - 1914 - - 1901 - - 1719 - - 3486 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 306 - - 422 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 22 - - 19 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 028 - - 330 - - 311 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 5 - - 21 - - 25 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3386 - - -1938 - - -869 - - -148 - - -3669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9987 - - 11825 - - 13094 - - 12086 - - 10271 sfcLCL ODpotential -10133 - - -7362 - - -4630 - - -5585 - - -10174 ODpotential blCL 16734 - - 17248 - - 16854 - - 17523 - - 16775 blCL maxRH 43 - - 51 - - 64 - - 56 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.7 - - 50.6 - - 55.8 - - 51.3 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 22.0 - - 21.4 - - 21.6 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 52.2 - - 57.0 - - 55.0 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.2 - - 21.5 - - 21.2 - - 21.3 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 153 - - 206 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2386 - - 4724 - - 4438 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96627 11 290 17 310 17 274 17 321 19 291 96627 89515 8 321 10 307 8 295 9 320 16 313 89515 83975 7 354 8 317 3 017 13 310 12 310 83975 79365 8 338 7 310 5 316 13 318 13 296 79365 75398 14 304 7 335 8 295 8 318 15 274 75398 71900 18 297 12 319 11 285 12 301 12 296 71900 68724 18 296 14 289 12 277 18 287 13 315 68724 65778 18 297 17 295 12 292 19 279 19 295 65778 63035 21 292 19 292 15 307 15 281 21 284 63035 60376 22 285 20 284 17 300 13 284 19 284 60376 57602 21 278 20 283 19 288 17 286 20 282 57602 54721 19 277 19 282 20 278 23 286 22 276 54721 51967 18 291 17 280 18 270 24 283 22 280 51967 49495 20 302 13 290 18 272 22 291 22 297 49495 47296 19 293 17 295 22 274 25 303 21 308 47296 45316 16 288 19 283 19 281 23 306 13 333 45316 43508 13 290 14 296 12 304 13 316 18 011 43508 41850 12 304 14 336 16 351 23 349 35 356 41850 40329 15 321 21 356 37 355 42 346 41 351 40329 38916 20 332 33 005 47 353 47 346 40 357 38916 37591 25 340 46 005 45 356 41 351 44 002 37591 36322 25 345 51 011 42 006 38 360 41 006 36322 35048 19 347 53 015 38 016 36 006 32 002 35048 33742 17 340 53 018 38 023 34 012 33 357 33742 32410 18 328 53 020 40 022 33 016 29 359 32410 31042 18 319 45 020 39 018 33 018 27 004 31042 29628 16 331 33 014 33 013 34 017 24 011 29628 28174 18 359 29 007 28 003 34 012 22 019 28174 26682 21 008 28 003 29 358 32 004 19 022 26682 25156 20 007 24 002 28 357 31 358 17 015 25156 23598 16 357 20 356 20 354 28 359 14 007 23598 22008 13 353 20 346 16 339 19 001 13 352 22008 20382 11 352 18 344 15 330 11 350 13 326 20382 18750 10 341 14 350 12 325 10 332 14 312 18750 17189 10 329 9 352 9 323 10 320 14 304 17189 15770 10 326 6 341 8 318 11 322 14 304 15770 14502 10 328 4 328 8 316 13 329 14 312 14502 13364 9 329 2 321 9 317 13 330 14 323 13364 12337 8 330 2 334 8*317 11*326 14 330 12337 11409 7 332 2 351 7*324 9*324 13 335 11409 10570 6 336 3*001 6 324 7 321 11 342 10570 9816 5 343 3*011 6 325 5 315 9 350 9816 9135 5 356 4 023 5 325 3 303 6 347 9135 8513 6 014 4 028 4 328 1 278 3 305 8513 7952 6 022 3 025 3 337 1 180 3 246 7952 7476 6 024 2 033 2 355 2 151 4 224 7476 7106 5 024 1 049 2 013 3 146 4 211 7106 6848 3 027 1 068 2 023 3 141 4 194 6848 6691 1*037 1 070 1 034 3 141 3*183 6691 6600 1*239 1 077 1 038 3 140 2*187 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography