DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 50.1 - - - - - 41.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 174 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1586 - - 2316 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7857 - - 8754 - - - - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9086 - - 9816 - - - - - 6602 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1133 - - 1298 - - - - - 2363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 229 - - 316 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 18 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 049 - - - - - 086 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 12 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1118 - - -222 - - - - - -1194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10205 - - 10038 - - - - - 7797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8305 - - -5877 - - - - - -10234 ODpotential blCL - - - 17391 - - 15693 - - - - - 16836 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 55 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 50.1 - - - - - 41.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.5 - - 29.6 - - - - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 51.7 - - - - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 28.8 - - - - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 174 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1586 - - 2316 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97528 8 020 3 110 5 337 97528 90328 5 116 5 119 14 071 90328 84767 11 143 6 140 11 075 84767 80129 11 137 3 151 2 079 80129 76131 4 103 4 176 1 281 76131 72603 1 238 8 223 9 317 72603 69416 5 358 8 292 9 301 69416 66483 13 310 15 307 10 333 66483 63764 12 296 16 282 18 326 63764 61130 15 306 15 268 18 296 61130 58364 18 323 12 326 22 341 58364 55492 33 317 33 320 34 326 55492 52768 33 313 30 306 33 322 52768 50318 23 318 22 328 33 332 50318 48112 21 337 28 347 31 359 48112 46109 24 345 39 360 51 008 46109 44288 47 002 58 006 60 010 44288 42625 68 000 69 357 59 016 42625 41090 64 007 66 353 56 020 41090 39654 65 026 53 011 50 021 39654 38307 72 030 58 018 47 021 38307 37013 71 026 63 016 47 017 37013 35713 69 022 66 015 48 013 35713 34380 69 020 65 015 48 012 34380 33019 68 018 64 013 46 015 33019 31620 67 016 63 013 43 018 31620 30176 64 016 60 014 40 020 30176 28690 61 017 54 016 38 018 28690 27165 58 019 50 017 36 016 27165 25606 52 022 46 020 34 014 25606 24015 45 024 40 023 32 012 24015 22388 41 023 34 024 29 011 22388 20719 38 022 31 023 26 011 20719 19035 33 024 28 025 22 012 19035 17422 28 026 24 029 18 016 17422 15955 22 027 19 029 15 023 15955 14644 18 023 16 025 13 025 14644 13468 17 016 15 017 11 017 13468 12411 16 013 15 012 12 012 12411 11458 15 009 15 009 12 015 11458 10601 13 005 14 007 12 021 10601 9834 9 008 12*001 10 027 9834 9145 7*023 10*001 10 036 9145 8517 7*054 6 013 10 053 8517 7954 5 068 3 063 11 063 7954 7477 4 093 3 098 10 069 7477 7106 4 104 4 106 7 075 7106 6848 4 112 4 111 3 083 6848 6691 3 116 4 112 1*145 6691 6601 3 117 4 113 2*219 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography