DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 43.6 - - 46.5 - - 40.7 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 31 - - 40 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 195 - - 2139 - - 2786 - - 755 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 7695 - - 9639 - - 10286 - - 8255 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2410 - - 1757 - - 1801 - - 2121 - - 2957 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 192 - - 223 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 024 - - 016 - - 249 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -1 - - -7 - - -12 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -744 - - 91 - - 1113 - - 1655 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8439 - - 9548 - - 9173 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -7274 - - -5862 - - -3336 - - -2283 - - -3078 ODpotential blCL 14969 - - 15501 - - 13622 - - 10538 - - 9679 blCL maxRH 81 - - 87 - - 77 - - 82 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 43.6 - - 46.5 - - 40.7 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.6 - - 24.9 - - 29.2 - - 36.8 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 46.1 - - 48.7 - - 45.4 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.4 - - 23.8 - - 28.1 - - 35.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 31 - - 40 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 195 - - 2139 - - 2786 - - 755 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 47 - - 8 - - 29 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96023 31 302 32 282 30 295 30 303 37 292 96023 89213 16 318 18 301 20 304 21 309 27 298 89213 83894 9 330 16 314 17 307 17 318 18 328 83894 79406 10 332 12 291 12 308 12 306 16 338 79406 75483 13 303 7 290 9 280 11 301 14 317 75483 71980 16 296 6 337 12 267 14 315 13 313 71980 68782 18 295 11 333 11 274 15 308 12 313 68782 65824 17 289 15 320 9 294 14 285 14 298 65824 63071 14 291 18 297 14 314 15 295 17 295 63071 60395 15 304 17 291 19 300 19 302 16 304 60395 57595 15 314 15 300 21 291 20 305 19 316 57595 54680 15 319 18 312 24 286 24 308 24 314 54680 51887 16 306 19 315 19 303 29 303 23 311 51887 49369 17 307 18 322 22 329 23 304 23 323 49369 47118 20 307 20 328 25 330 20 326 28 328 47118 45085 17 314 21 325 26 334 24 333 30 330 45085 43231 16 318 19 324 27 331 26 337 31 330 43231 41525 11 307 17 330 22 335 29 335 30 333 41525 39948 9 014 13 355 18 350 21 347 30 336 39948 38485 12 041 19 031 18 015 23 358 23 342 38485 37131 15 109 14 041 20 004 26 343 19 357 37131 35855 33 124 14 114 17 349 23 329 19 356 35855 34587 35 110 21 120 12 348 15 332 17 345 34587 33293 33 095 21 091 10 360 17 355 18 339 33293 31974 32 085 24 060 12 034 20 357 20 340 31974 30620 29 079 24 044 17 037 19 350 22 339 30620 29226 27 081 24 040 18 027 19 340 22 336 29226 27793 24 092 21 046 18 019 19 340 20 334 27793 26324 20 099 15 049 11 027 15 006 15 321 26324 24823 17 105 9 058 7 015 11 012 10 313 24823 23294 16 127 8 094 6 359 11 356 6 015 23294 21736 19 130 10 121 3 353 10 006 2 085 21736 20141 20 126 12 130 1 104 9 108 8 167 20141 18541 18 125 13 130 8 129 16 123 15 150 18541 17015 14 117 14 128 12 140 15 128 17 144 17015 15628 12 095 15 135 12 139 14 129 16 142 15628 14386 13 082 16 135 9 121 12 113 13 135 14386 13268 12 079 12 125 8 100 9 089 9 121 13268 12257 11 077 7 092 6 086 7 062 8 107 12257 11343 10 074 7 062 5 070 5 030 6 097 11343 10517 9 069 7 047 6*055 4 009 3 081 10517 9773 8 061 6*039 5*035 5 347 1 057 9773 9102 7 055 7*037 5 016 5 336 1 014 9102 8488 7 048 6 034 4 006 5*317 1 287 8488 7935 6*036 5 025 3 006 5*290 2 251 7935 7466 5*011 4 007 2 006 6 259 4 249 7466 7099 5 344 2 358 2 017 6 241 5 248 7099 6845 5 322 2 359 2 027 5 228 5 246 6845 6689 5 307 1 000 1 030 4 215 4*240 6689 6600 3 291 1 002 1 032 3 200 3*242 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography