DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 33.9 - - 33.9 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - -26 - - -17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 310 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6601 - - 6601 - - 7810 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2228 - - 2737 - - 1598 - - 2437 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 224 - - 229 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 13 - - 18 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -34 - - -41 - - -48 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1211 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6599 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2814 - - -2334 - - 170 - - -539 ODpotential blCL - - - 9415 - - 8935 - - 7640 - - 7140 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 94 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 33.9 - - 33.9 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 32.1 - - 33.2 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 38.3 - - 38.5 - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 32.0 - - 34.1 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - -26 - - -17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 310 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 75 - - 75 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95894 33 319 30 343 29 346 13 008 95894 88822 32 322 25 336 27 327 21 326 88822 83314 31 321 28 317 24 313 23 314 83314 78763 23 302 21 306 19 308 21 313 78763 74843 16 310 28 289 32 298 21 287 74843 71359 24 303 21 290 29 313 24 287 71359 68202 38 278 23 292 21 311 22 295 68202 65293 39 260 40 258 31 268 22 268 65293 62576 43 248 49 255 45 247 45 244 62576 59921 47 250 54 260 51 257 51 255 59921 57136 57 261 62 262 63 263 62 267 57136 54241 68 264 74 261 75 259 76 263 54241 51482 82 260 85 257 84 255 86 255 51482 49003 90 257 89 257 89 256 87 252 49003 46779 93 260 96 259 99 259 89 255 46779 44762 100 262 105 258 108 257 97 258 44762 42916 108 260 107 255 109 254 103 256 42916 41216 112 257 106 256 106 256 106 255 41216 39645 112 255 109 259 108 260 112 255 39645 38193 113 255 116 259 115 261 116 256 38193 36854 115 256 120 257 121 261 114 258 36854 35590 118 255 122 255 121 260 111 258 35590 34329 118 254 122 254 114 258 108 256 34329 33043 114 253 115 254 104 257 98 256 33043 31734 110 253 104 254 96 259 91 259 31734 30390 106 254 95 257 91 261 89 260 30390 29004 103 255 91 260 86 261 88 259 29004 27582 100 256 88 260 84 258 85 257 27582 26127 97 256 85 256 80 256 81 256 26127 24643 91 256 81 252 75 253 77 256 24643 23132 85 257 81 250 72 249 75 254 23132 21591 80 257 83 253 71 246 73 247 21591 20011 76 257 81 258 71 250 66 239 20011 18422 72 256 72 259 70 257 65 249 18422 16904 68 256 63 254 66 261 63 261 16904 15529 64 257 59 249 59 259 54 264 15529 14303 57 260 57 252 53 255 46 261 14303 13201 52 263 54 260 48 250 42 259 13201 12204 48 264 49 264 45 247 38 258 12204 11301 45 264 42 264 42 248 35 253 11301 10482 42 264 37 261 38 250 33 247 10482 9745 39 265 35 259 34 251 32 239 9745 9079 34 267 33 258 30 251 30 229 9079 8470 29 272 29 255 28 248 29 220 8470 7922 24 275 26 250 25*243 27 216 7922 7457 19 275 22 241 22*237 22 213 7457 7094 16 269 19 231 19 230 17 208 7094 6843 13 261 16 223 15 224 13 205 6843 6688 10*256 13*217 11 220 8*196 6688 6600 3*182 6*212 5 215 2*132 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography