DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.8 - - 39.4 - - 41.9 - - 38.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 69 - - 94 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 212 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6601 - - 7712 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 620 - - 1099 - - 577 - - 1029 - - 993 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 45 - - 118 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 156 - - 142 - - 215 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 3 - - 3 - - -7 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -18 - - 1112 - - 1 - - -460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6599 - - 6619 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 7062 sfcLCL ODpotential -8972 - - -8609 - - -4788 - - -6454 - - -9544 ODpotential blCL 15572 - - 15210 - - 12500 - - 13055 - - 16145 blCL maxRH 73 - - 78 - - 84 - - 80 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.8 - - 39.4 - - 41.9 - - 38.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.8 - - 33.6 - - 36.4 - - 35.3 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.8 - - 41.6 - - 43.9 - - 43.0 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 32.5 - - 35.4 - - 34.7 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 69 - - 94 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 212 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 12 - - 38 - - 19 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95673 25 297 31 280 41 288 35 297 41 296 95673 88876 20 302 22 288 28 285 20 304 27 289 88876 83558 14 312 16 284 17 269 22 294 15 310 83558 79079 12 312 11 300 5 270 20 270 14 314 79079 75199 7 320 10 310 1 034 10 235 10 282 75199 71768 4 335 10 288 8 290 1 330 0 263 71768 68625 3 340 10 268 15 277 11 306 9 350 68625 65699 11 327 5 295 16 263 20 275 24 298 65699 62988 21 312 14 337 18 286 20 271 24 288 62988 60372 28 294 24 312 19 297 19 276 24 282 60372 57651 27 295 28 298 21 286 22 269 27 267 57651 54829 35 314 31 305 21 290 24 276 30 265 54829 52131 48 310 48 302 33 296 34 292 38 280 52131 49699 50 293 56 289 49 291 52 285 49 275 49699 47510 42 284 53 279 51 284 50 281 48 279 47510 45522 45 297 58 292 58 293 58 291 47 289 45522 43716 58 303 66 295 66 294 64 297 56 299 43716 42073 67 303 66 296 65 293 66 299 58 297 42073 40552 71 303 68 300 64 296 57 302 49 296 40552 39128 69 301 69 299 60 299 48 309 44 302 39128 37794 62 298 62 297 52 301 47 315 41 306 37794 36517 56 296 53 297 47 302 46 316 38 308 36517 35239 50 294 45 299 46 303 43 314 35 305 35239 33931 46 292 37 305 42 304 41 306 31 298 33931 32597 45 291 36 307 37 303 40 301 31 294 32597 31228 43 287 36 303 34 301 37 303 30 294 31228 29815 39 278 36 302 32 301 33 309 28 297 29815 28360 38 276 35 307 33 306 30 312 25 297 28360 26866 36 283 34 312 32 312 28 312 24 293 26866 25335 33 293 32 316 30 316 24 308 24 286 25335 23771 28 300 31 318 25 316 21 294 25 280 23771 22173 24 301 28 319 21 313 19 283 24 278 22173 20535 23 303 26 318 20 311 17 281 23 278 20535 18885 24 309 23 318 18 313 16 288 22 275 18885 17306 23 314 21 320 16 316 13 294 20 271 17306 15869 20 315 19 324 13 318 10 294 15 268 15869 14582 18 311 17 322 10 323 6 288 11 253 14582 13425 17 306 15 312 8 328 3 276 9 226 13425 12380 16 302 13 302 7 326 1 203 10 207 12380 11436 15 300 13 297 6 323 3 157 11 200 11436 10583 13 301 11 295 5 318 4 154 12 199 10583 9818 11 302 9 291 4 307 5 155 11 201 9818 9130 9 300 7 280 2 286 5 159 11 206 9130 8505 6 284 6 254 2 214 4 163 11 213 8505 7943 5 246 6 229 4*169 4 172 10 220 7943 7469 6 210 6 198 5*148 3 181 8 230 7469 7101 7 188 6 168 5 142 3 191 7 247 7101 6846 6 176 5 154 5 140 3 207 6 268 6846 6689 5*172 5*150 5 138 2*213 5*282 6689 6600 3*167 4*145 4 137 1*234 3*288 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography