DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.9 - - 54.9 - - 60.8 - - 58.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 157 - - 468 - - 490 - - 225 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2181 - - 7239 - - 10670 - - 9481 - - 5370 BL Depth Hcrit 8609 - - 12962 - - 15798 - - 14382 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 9681 - - 14739 - - 18170 - - 16981 - - 12870 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1726 - - 1282 - - 1686 - - 1785 - - 2619 Hgt.Variab. W* 298 - - 640 - - 741 - - 551 - - 39 W* B/S 6 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 11 - - 18 - - 18 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 273 - - 272 - - 280 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 18 - - 20 - - 9 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -12 - - 27 - - -24 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1641 - - 132 - - 1387 - - -29 - - -2270 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11323 - - 14608 - - 16784 - - 17011 - - 15141 sfcLCL ODpotential -7419 - - -4360 - - -2086 - - -3754 - - -8416 ODpotential blCL 17100 - - 19099 - - 20256 - - 20735 - - 21286 blCL maxRH 64 - - 44 - - 50 - - 58 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.9 - - 54.9 - - 60.8 - - 58.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.5 - - 13.5 - - 9.4 - - 6.7 - - 7.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 55.0 - - 61.0 - - 60.2 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 12.6 - - 8.3 - - 5.7 - - 6.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 157 - - 468 - - 490 - - 225 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2181 - - 7239 - - 10670 - - 9481 - - 5370 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98261 9 103 4 211 2 228 9 184 9 299 98261 90782 10 115 8 205 7 289 2 008 4 319 90782 85018 4 067 6 194 6 230 4 293 4 356 85018 80246 2 332 3 231 3 164 1 231 2 222 80246 76145 5 224 1 334 8 196 5 256 3 025 76145 72517 2 329 5 142 12 199 7 238 5 000 72517 69218 12 253 3 256 7 220 9 250 5 007 69218 66165 10 225 12 221 6 215 9 244 5 281 66165 63326 16 268 24 242 20 265 13 262 10 258 63326 60576 22 254 28 235 24 260 26 273 21 269 60576 57712 27 262 25 258 29 260 28 271 28 268 57712 54741 33 254 31 258 33 259 30 276 32 261 54741 51902 35 252 37 261 38 260 40 268 38 259 51902 49343 44 265 44 264 44 261 47 265 45 264 49343 47056 56 268 52 264 51 262 50 261 49 261 47056 44994 63 264 56 263 52 262 50 262 46 261 44994 43116 65 265 58 267 55 268 53 265 45 273 43116 41402 71 270 67 271 62 271 56 274 57 279 41402 39835 82 270 74 270 71 273 68 276 62 276 39835 38395 91 268 78 269 79 271 67 272 63 275 38395 37064 97 266 77 265 80 267 58 271 62 274 37064 35801 100 264 73 266 72 268 54 274 62 271 35801 34538 100 264 72 271 66 274 54 275 62 268 34538 33247 98 265 73 274 64 278 53 275 62 265 33247 31933 91 265 70 274 62 280 53 274 61 263 31933 30585 83 264 69 274 60 282 52 273 58 264 30585 29196 77 264 68 275 59 282 52 274 55 266 29196 27769 70 268 64 274 59 279 51 276 51 267 27769 26307 66 274 61 271 58 276 50 279 48 269 26307 24815 62 276 60 271 60 273 47 279 45 270 24815 23294 60 275 60 273 60 274 46 277 44 271 23294 21744 56 275 58 275 54 277 46 277 44 271 21744 20157 52 277 54 275 49 277 42 280 43 272 20157 18562 47 278 48 274 42*278 35 280 40 273 18562 17037 42 278 43 275 29*280 29*281 36 275 17037 15653 38 277 37*278 21 279 20*281 32 278 15653 14416 33 277 25*279 19 278 19 280 27 281 14416 13303 29 281 14 275 18 277 18 280 22*282 13303 12296 25 287 11 272 18 275 19 280 18*282 12296 11384 22 296 11 271 18 272 19 280 16 283 11384 10556 19 304 11 271 17 269 18 280 17 285 10556 9809 16*310 10 270 17 266 18 279 17 287 9809 9133 13*313 10 270 17 264 18 279 17 288 9133 8514 11 312 10 270 17 262 18 279 17 289 8514 7955 9 307 9 270 16 260 17 279 17 290 7955 7479 9 304 9 270 16 259 17 279 16 290 7479 7109 8 303 8 270 15 258 16 278 15 289 7109 6850 7 301 8 270 15 258 15 278 12 286 6850 6691 7 301 7 270 14 257 14 278 9 283 6691 6600 6 302 6 270 11 257 10 278 4 278 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography