DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.8 - - 33.4 - - 31.0 - - 30.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - -17 - - -32 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 181 - - 141 - - 16 - - 2068 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7681 - - 7641 - - 6601 - - 9568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1111 - - 1216 - - 1964 - - 2901 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 19 - - 0 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 26 - - 19 - - 28 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 246 - - 245 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 24 - - 19 - - 35 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -78 - - -72 - - -57 - - -56 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1082 - - 1042 - - 2 - - 2969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6599 - - 6599 - - 6600 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1029 - - -82 - - -1358 - - -722 ODpotential blCL - - - 8710 - - 7723 - - 7959 - - 10290 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 96 - - 96 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.8 - - 33.4 - - 31.0 - - 30.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 32.6 - - 30.5 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 36.8 - - 36.1 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 32.4 - - 32.3 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - -17 - - -32 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 181 - - 141 - - 16 - - 2068 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 85 - - 84 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96229 4 277 16 333 18 338 13 308 96229 89247 8 357 11 005 11 014 9 324 89247 83764 3 036 3 304 9 343 12 343 83764 79143 2 039 7 325 11 320 20 343 79143 75133 9 020 8 277 15 321 16 327 75133 71564 20 001 2 246 11 315 15 337 71564 68308 18 333 12 344 13 327 12 316 68308 65315 20 287 17 321 18 307 12 276 65315 62556 25 305 40 291 22 315 10 294 62556 59884 52 282 50 280 56 290 33 305 59884 57079 52 280 62 282 62 292 54 295 57079 54153 57 275 61 282 70 288 61 282 54153 51356 61 280 59 288 71 283 64 280 51356 48836 63 288 83 291 72 286 73 285 48836 46583 83 293 93 285 84 287 85 285 46583 44546 95 287 93 277 92 284 93 283 44546 42681 101 276 90 273 97 282 96 281 42681 40958 99 269 90 275 101 279 97 280 40958 39357 98 272 99 277 103 277 100 281 39357 37866 109 276 110 277 103 276 103 281 37866 36483 122 278 118 275 101 277 108 283 36483 35179 132 277 123 270 100 279 116 284 35179 33891 133 275 123 265 103 280 124 285 33891 32590 126 272 118 261 106 279 129 284 32590 31274 116 266 109 259 109 276 127 282 31274 29931 119 264 111 257 110 273 123 280 29931 28553 120 266 108 258 111 272 120 278 28553 27142 118 269 111 259 113 272 118 277 27142 25702 113 273 113 263 115 273 117 277 25702 24237 108 276 112 268 117 275 113 277 24237 22752 104 277 109 273 115 277 106 278 22752 21242 101 276 103 274 105 279 98 277 21242 19702 98 276 94 270 85 279 92 276 19702 18155 93 277 87 267 70 276 87 274 18155 16674 86 278 87 271 72 273 83 273 16674 15328 78 280 85 276 70 274 79 272 15328 14127 74 280 78 278 65 277 74 274 14127 13053 71 278 73 278 63 278 68 278 13053 12084 69 276 70 276 62 279 64 282 12084 11206 66 274 67 274 59 278 61 285 11206 10409 62 272 63 271 57 277 54 287 10409 9690 57 269 58 267 53 275 44*290 9690 9039 51 265 53 263 49 272 40*292 9039 8444 45 260 47 259 44 268 37 295 8444 7905 39*255 42*254 38 263 32 299 7905 7447 33*249 35*250 32 257 27 303 7447 7090 28 245 30 245 27 251 21 304 7090 6840 23 241 24 243 21 244 15 303 6840 6687 19 241 20 242 16*242 10 298 6687 6599 12 241 12 243 8*239 5 288 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography