DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.4 - - 29.2 - - 26.2 - - 24.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 23 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 678 - - 778 - - 494 - - 541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 31 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 192 - - 200 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -8 - - -9 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1055 - - -1277 - - -1125 - - -1448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7656 - - 7877 - - 7725 - - 8048 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10342 - - -9462 - - -10102 - - -11683 ODpotential blCL - - - 16942 - - 16062 - - 16702 - - 18283 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 70 - - 77 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.4 - - 29.2 - - 26.2 - - 24.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.8 - - 18.6 - - 16.3 - - 13.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 31.7 - - 31.9 - - 32.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.2 - - 17.7 - - 15.2 - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 23 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95941 45 349 45 009 53 033 50 036 95941 89096 35 353 39 356 40 019 43 019 89096 83765 23 000 26 001 41 008 42 015 83765 79261 24 010 28 004 26 007 34 008 79261 75343 23 010 19 358 24 002 29 007 75343 71847 20 010 15 004 20 357 24 002 71847 68641 20 357 22 357 21 353 28 000 68641 65673 19 345 21 004 23 351 23 339 65673 62922 21 335 24 335 18 024 13 003 62922 60229 22 318 29 321 23 001 17 020 60229 57391 26 318 29 324 28 332 31 331 57391 54459 23 320 27 319 36 330 39 332 54459 51686 30 336 30 320 40 325 40 327 51686 49215 43 321 35 318 39 323 36 329 49215 47015 43 310 36 313 38 321 36 328 47015 45027 41 307 36 315 39 320 35 322 45027 43212 41 310 41 324 34 315 31 331 43212 41561 42 312 47 329 25 332 35 347 41561 40060 39 313 47 337 46 355 29 004 40060 38674 44 318 51 340 60 355 33 013 38674 37373 49 314 45 338 52 351 41 009 37373 36124 48 311 40 352 31 004 41 011 36124 34870 42 310 44 005 31 007 33 019 34870 33586 34 307 44 003 34 003 23 026 33586 32276 30 305 42 358 35 358 15 023 32276 30931 30 307 40 352 34 354 15 006 30931 29542 30 309 36 344 32 349 20 340 29542 28111 30 309 34 332 30 343 27 331 28111 26639 30 305 36 324 30 338 31 325 26639 25129 30 303 38 320 27 340 27 323 25129 23585 30 302 37 314 22 337 25 320 23585 22003 30 301 33 309 21 326 26 320 22003 20378 28 296 29 307 22 313 28 321 20378 18740 27 294 28 307 22 306 28 323 18740 17171 25 294 28 308 22 308 26 323 17171 15744 22 290 25 308 23 315 23 324 15744 14468 20 287 20 303 23 319 22 326 14468 13323 20 287 17 297 23 321 21 329 13323 12290 20 286 16 294 22 322 18 327 12290 11358 19 280 17 291 21 323 16 322 11358 10517 19 275 17 287 20 323 13 314 10517 9763 19 268 16 282 19 322 11 308 9763 9085 18 261 15 275 16 320 10 306 9085 8468 16 253 13 266 13 314 7 299 8468 7916 14 242 11 249 9 295 6 270 7916 7449 12 233 10 231 8 264 6 232 7449 7088 8 220 7 212 7 238 7 212 7088 6839 6 207 6 197 7 223 6 202 6839 6686 4*195 5*191 5*210 6*197 6686 6599 2*190 4*189 3*190 3*193 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography