DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 46.0 - - 38.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 67 - - 148 - - -3 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2254 - - 2937 - - 1143 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 8250 - - 9145 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 9754 - - 10437 - - 8643 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3253 - - 1485 - - 1949 - - 1752 - - 1664 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 243 - - 328 - - 59 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 19 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 010 - - 009 - - 010 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 18 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -4 - - -12 - - -12 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2242 - - 441 - - 1796 - - 423 - - -655 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8844 - - 9314 - - 8641 - - 8221 - - 7256 sfcLCL ODpotential -9594 - - -5868 - - -1733 - - -4227 - - -6396 ODpotential blCL 16195 - - 15622 - - 12170 - - 12870 - - 12997 blCL maxRH 58 - - 78 - - 83 - - 83 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 46.0 - - 38.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.0 - - 29.2 - - 34.8 - - 33.1 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 49.1 - - 51.4 - - 49.1 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.9 - - 28.1 - - 33.8 - - 32.3 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 67 - - 148 - - -3 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2254 - - 2937 - - 1143 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 13 - - 31 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97351 16 054 4 010 7 309 8 016 11 017 97351 90205 10 071 7 100 7 064 16 047 8 072 90205 84664 9 134 4 096 6 109 7 050 8 109 84664 80056 0 220 5 129 5 212 5 311 8 104 80056 76060 9 305 6 111 6 212 10 267 10 350 76060 72516 14 263 4 316 5 269 9 255 13 290 72516 69316 13 257 9 266 10 263 9 242 15 268 69316 66379 12 255 10 257 17 284 11 268 18 265 66379 63650 18 274 15 270 17 281 11 271 18 277 63650 60997 21 275 14 261 17 282 23 287 23 268 60997 58218 18 270 15 284 21 268 25 268 23 278 58218 55325 17 278 20 277 18 256 25 273 28 286 55325 52559 19 288 15 271 19 277 26 277 24 282 52559 50058 17 289 19 289 25 288 24 285 24 291 50058 47801 16 286 24 294 25 292 31 291 30 295 47801 45743 17 289 23 291 24 296 34 294 30 289 45743 43848 20 296 17 293 23 301 32 297 25 286 43848 42090 15 314 15 308 20 309 29 302 23 295 42090 40461 14 339 15 325 19 315 25 308 24 312 40461 38957 18 000 17 341 17 325 22 314 23 328 38957 37574 28 001 19 352 19 334 24 322 24 332 37574 36276 35 360 25 354 24 336 24 326 26 339 36276 34992 35 003 27 001 26 337 25 330 21 339 34992 33686 35 011 30 008 26 341 24 335 15 333 33686 32358 39 014 34 009 25 348 23 339 15 343 32358 30994 42 014 35 011 27 356 21 345 19 352 30994 29587 41 015 35 013 27 003 22 353 23 357 29587 28139 37 017 37 010 28 005 25 358 25 000 28139 26652 34 019 36 015 28 009 27 004 25 005 26652 25130 34 017 31 018 26 013 26 011 25 011 25130 23576 33 016 28 015 24 012 24 014 25 016 23576 21988 31 023 27 016 23 010 23 006 27 017 21988 20360 28 029 25 021 20 016 23 357 29 018 20360 18722 24 030 23 024 18 023 23 001 31 024 18722 17158 21 032 21 028 16 025 23 007 30 027 17158 15740 18 036 19 031 15 021 21 014 26 029 15740 14476 16 037 17 032 16 015 20 023 23 031 14476 13341 15 032 16 028 17 013 20 027 21 033 13341 12316 15 023 16 021 17 020 20 028 20 036 12316 11390 15 022 17 019 17 024 21 027 20 037 11390 10553 14 030 16 022 18*021 22 024 20 034 10553 9799 12 038 16*026 19*015 23 021 20 032 9799 9120 11 037 15*023 19 012 24*018 17 025 9120 8500 9 029 14 016 20 010 24*014 20 021 8500 7942 8 016 13 007 21 008 22 012 20 015 7942 7470 8 001 12 003 20 007 20 009 18 007 7470 7102 9 350 11 002 20 006 17 008 18 358 7102 6846 7 339 10 002 18 006 14 008 17 351 6846 6690 4*320 9 003 16 006 12 007 14*345 6690 6600 2*257 6 004 10 007 6 008 5*327 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography