DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 49.6 - - 54.1 - - 50.6 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 136 - - 209 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 1679 - - 725 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 6584 - - 8360 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 8146 - - 9179 - - 8225 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 972 - - 1196 - - 2111 - - 1419 - - 2148 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 191 - - 300 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 167 - - 186 - - 173 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -5 - - -11 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1804 - - -2338 - - -2244 - - -2075 - - -2205 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8405 - - 10485 - - 11424 - - 10301 - - 8806 sfcLCL ODpotential -10406 - - -9392 - - -8384 - - -8479 - - -10142 ODpotential blCL 17007 - - 17538 - - 17563 - - 16704 - - 16743 blCL maxRH 82 - - 60 - - 71 - - 62 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 49.6 - - 54.1 - - 50.6 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.1 - - 27.0 - - 27.2 - - 28.7 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 51.3 - - 55.3 - - 53.5 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 26.1 - - 26.8 - - 28.5 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 136 - - 209 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 1679 - - 725 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97489 7 325 10 267 12 282 16 326 7 316 97489 90208 8 002 9 245 12 292 16 299 15 292 90208 84606 14 315 8 310 9 317 4 291 10 294 84606 79948 11 315 10 320 20 276 21 313 16 339 79948 75937 17 349 11 358 10 278 25 287 28 296 75937 72426 35 301 26 340 10 007 17 275 21 275 72426 69247 30 280 34 292 17 341 9 297 13 281 69247 66302 24 286 33 272 26 287 14 297 14 274 66302 63554 26 283 31 270 33 273 25 282 21 279 63554 60883 26 281 30 273 37 270 33 280 30 278 60883 58102 30 277 34 271 41 266 42 272 37 273 58102 55229 38 272 37 269 41 261 43 265 42 267 55229 52493 42 272 38 274 41 275 46 274 44 270 52493 50028 49 275 44 279 51 278 53 275 49 271 50028 47811 53 271 48 277 50 277 52 278 52 274 47811 45788 52 268 47 275 49 278 57 279 57 277 45788 43928 52 268 48 270 49 275 53 278 56 274 43928 42205 53 267 49 268 50 274 48 278 50 273 42205 40604 48 263 46 269 47 277 47 279 46 272 40604 39112 46 257 44 272 44 278 43 281 43 273 39112 37730 46 254 45 275 43 276 40 283 37 277 37730 36428 46 255 45 272 44 274 39 282 33 283 36428 35135 44 255 42 267 43 272 39 280 32 287 35135 33821 42 256 41 269 39 269 39 276 33 288 33821 32484 39 260 40 271 37 271 38 273 34 288 32484 31114 38 263 39 270 36 271 36 271 34 287 31114 29699 38 263 36 267 35 268 35 269 32 283 29699 28244 38 262 36 266 35 267 34 269 33 278 28244 26752 36 260 36 264 34 270 31 274 32 280 26752 25227 32 260 35 260 32 273 26 281 27 283 25227 23673 29 261 32 255 29 274 23 282 21 279 23673 22084 28 257 28 254 27 273 22 279 21 274 22084 20457 28 252 25 256 25 270 21 274 20 270 20457 18816 26 253 22 258 23 269 20 273 18 267 18816 17244 22 256 19 259 19 269 18 275 17 268 17244 15815 17 259 16 256 15 265 14 275 14 270 15815 14539 13 260 14 249 12 259 11 270 12 267 14539 13395 10 257 13 241 11 249 8 264 10 261 13395 12362 10 252 12 234 12 234 7 257 8 251 12362 11428 10 245 12 227 12 227 7 248 7 238 11428 10585 10 237 12 223 11 229 7 241 7 227 10585 9825 10 231 12 219 11*232 7 233 7 220 9825 9141 9 225 11 210 10*226 7 223 7 214 9141 8516 8 209 10*198 8 210 8*207 7 208 8516 7954 6 188 9*187 7 180 7*191 7 198 7954 7477 6 166 7 172 7 167 7 178 7 191 7477 7106 7 138 5 157 7 162 6 166 5 178 7106 6848 6 127 5 153 7 158 6 162 3 165 6848 6691 5*132 4 149 6 155 5 159 1*122 6691 6600 1*184 4 145 5 153 3 154 1*061 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography