DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2153z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 55.1 - - 58.3 - - 55.1 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 159 - - 160 - - 89 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2501 - - 5482 - - 6439 - - 3691 - - 1178 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 11113 - - 11820 - - 9454 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 10001 - - 12982 - - 13939 - - 11191 - - 8678 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2295 - - 2474 - - 3896 - - 3952 - - 3048 Hgt.Variab. W* 220 - - 424 - - 441 - - 309 - - 46 W* B/S 18 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 259 - - 252 - - 293 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 13 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -16 - - -11 - - -31 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2389 - - 4165 - - 4340 - - 2822 - - 2077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7612 - - 8817 - - 9599 - - 8370 - - 6601 sfcLCL ODpotential -1522 - - 872 - - 2276 - - -659 - - -2126 ODpotential blCL 11523 - - 12110 - - 11663 - - 11850 - - 10804 blCL maxRH 67 - - 76 - - 100 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 310 - - 540 - - 420 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 55.1 - - 58.3 - - 55.1 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.0 - - 39.2 - - 38.9 - - 41.0 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.9 - - 56.7 - - 59.8 - - 57.0 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 37.9 - - 38.0 - - 39.8 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 159 - - 160 - - 89 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2501 - - 5482 - - 6439 - - 3691 - - 1178 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 4 - - 99 - - 45 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98450 24 097 8 091 9 159 8 124 12 147 98450 91018 15 092 17 113 12 113 8 158 8 112 91018 85288 12 072 16 105 12 081 10 110 15 100 85288 80556 13 074 18 119 7 093 11 095 15 090 80556 76502 12 089 16 110 10 134 12 132 11 079 76502 72926 10 083 7 102 11 113 10 132 5 082 72926 69678 4 130 4 055 9 108 8 089 4 103 69678 66680 7 121 4 223 1 105 10 067 4 129 66680 63895 6 092 7 185 5 248 6 358 6 118 63895 61193 3 007 7 160 7 240 7 318 7 088 61193 58361 5 276 4 128 7 226 7 281 2 069 58361 55402 7 262 1 057 7 191 8 240 6 290 55402 52563 10 257 8 299 3 158 4 215 7 271 52563 50004 9 239 13 266 5 290 3 325 4 239 50004 47715 5 213 13 242 9 273 8 296 2 277 47715 45643 2 220 10 232 10 253 10 265 5 327 45643 43748 3 279 8 238 6 249 9 249 5 309 43748 41998 6 268 7 253 4 279 4 269 7 302 41998 40376 10 258 9 253 7 282 5 313 7 311 40376 38873 11 248 9 246 9 266 8 289 6 310 38873 37483 8 253 9 260 10 276 13 277 8 321 37483 36170 14 259 17 269 16 276 17 273 15 305 36170 34870 22 239 23 265 24 274 19 269 22 278 34870 33555 26 239 27 263 35 267 27 262 30 266 33555 32230 28 241 31 265 38 266 35 262 39 263 32230 30875 29 244 33 265 36 265 34 261 42 261 30875 29476 29 247 32 263 32 264 25 264 39 263 29476 28037 30 249 29 260 28 263 21 270 33 267 28037 26563 30 251 26 260 27 265 21 269 27 267 26563 25056 28 252 23 260 25 265 18 269 24 269 25056 23520 26 253 21 262 24 267 17 268 22 269 23520 21950 23 257 19 266 22 270 16 272 21 277 21950 20342 21 261 17 267 19 272 16 272 19 293 20342 18724 17 266 14 264 17 269 14 264 16 299 18724 17176 14 269 13 260 14 269 14 269 13 295 17176 15769 12 268 12 261 13 272 15 269 10 287 15769 14511 12 267 12 265 12*265 15 268 9 265 14511 13381 12 265 12*273 11*253 16 267 10 248 13381 12359 12 262 12*275 10 250 17 264 10 245 12359 11432 12 256 12 275 10 249 16*264 9 253 11432 10592 10*251 10 270 10 249 15*267 8 273 10592 9835 7*244 8 259 10 250 14 274 9 300 9835 9151 4 238 8 251 9 252 13 284 10*312 9151 8526 2 239 7 246 9 254 11 297 13*327 8526 7963 1 267 7 244 9 256 10 306 15 337 7963 7484 1 310 7 241 8 258 10 316 15 343 7484 7111 1 314 6 238 8 259 9 318 14 346 7111 6852 1 311 6 237 7 260 9 319 12 347 6852 6692 1 311 6 235 7 261 8 320 10 346 6692 6601 1 316 5 235 6 262 7 321 4 340 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography