DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.2 - - 53.7 - - - - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 193 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 217 - - 883 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6584 - - 7755 - - - - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7717 - - 8383 - - - - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 624 - - 679 - - - - - 1075 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 236 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 184 - - - - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -8 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3476 - - -3312 - - - - - -2202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11194 - - 11696 - - - - - 8804 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13374 - - -12148 - - - - - -13405 ODpotential blCL - - - 21091 - - 20531 - - - - - 20006 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 66 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.2 - - 53.7 - - - - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 26.1 - - - - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 55.0 - - - - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 25.5 - - - - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 193 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 217 - - 883 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97472 8 194 8 245 5 338 97472 90267 5 119 9 159 5 025 90267 84690 9 131 6 129 2 004 84690 80036 5 059 9 165 12 262 80036 76016 7 294 5 265 11 254 76016 72461 12 255 13 279 10 296 72461 69257 13 267 11 274 11 302 69257 66333 16 257 15 273 17 306 66333 63632 15 257 17 264 24 296 63632 61022 10 277 12 271 26 279 61022 58306 15 298 19 275 30 266 58306 55492 15 298 22 271 32 253 55492 52813 19 311 22 294 25 262 52813 50410 21 313 25 299 27 279 50410 48255 17 312 24 289 27 280 48255 46293 15 310 22 281 25 277 46293 44487 17 324 18 289 23 278 44487 42816 20 330 20 302 23 286 42816 41261 21 334 22 308 24 293 41261 39806 21 341 22 315 22 294 39806 38443 22 345 21 323 19 296 38443 37137 20 342 20 322 17 300 37137 35827 18 336 19 319 17 308 35827 34488 17 329 18 319 16 311 34488 33127 19 331 18 319 14 304 33127 31733 19 331 17 323 11 302 31733 30294 18 332 17 327 10 301 30294 28812 18 332 16 332 9 297 28812 27291 20 335 15 341 9 291 27291 25732 20 334 16 349 10 285 25732 24139 20 325 16 348 10 287 24139 22507 18 310 14 328 11 286 22507 20828 17 299 15 299 13 284 20828 19133 15 292 15 290 15 281 19133 17508 12 289 12 280 16 272 17508 16029 8 281 11 266 17 267 16029 14709 7 258 12 255 17 266 14709 13524 7 233 13 245 16 264 13524 12456 8 222 13 239 14 261 12456 11494 9 217 13 237 13 254 11494 10628 10 216 12 236 12 244 10628 9852 10 219 12 235 13 234 9852 9156 9 219 11 231 13 225 9156 8523 8 214 10*223 14 218 8523 7956 6*204 7*204 13 214 7956 7477 4*190 6 187 12 211 7477 7106 4 166 6 180 9 213 7106 6848 4 159 6 175 6 220 6848 6691 3 156 5 171 3*223 6691 6600 3 153 5 168 1*252 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography