DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 55.5 - - - - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 204 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 106 - - 1094 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 7938 - - - - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7606 - - 8594 - - - - - 6602 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 620 - - 902 - - - - - 1902 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 258 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 212 - - - - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -20 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3028 - - -2912 - - - - - -858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10635 - - 11506 - - - - - 7460 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11899 - - -10123 - - - - - -9401 ODpotential blCL - - - 19505 - - 18717 - - - - - 16003 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 69 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 55.5 - - - - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.4 - - 28.4 - - - - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 56.9 - - - - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 28.0 - - - - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 204 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 106 - - 1094 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97542 9 268 11 251 15 302 97542 90297 5 268 6 271 4 319 90297 84647 1 032 11 214 12 306 84647 79958 8 298 8 273 15 287 79958 75922 10 266 15 272 17 292 75922 72360 9 306 16 252 27 279 72360 69170 17 274 20 280 22 300 69170 66246 21 264 32 284 24 305 66246 63515 23 274 33 277 32 282 63515 60855 28 282 30 270 36 283 60855 58081 35 274 38 273 43 285 58081 55215 39 265 46 267 45 281 55215 52494 45 256 50 260 44 277 52494 50052 50 251 49 255 45 274 50052 47859 51 254 49 252 48 267 47859 45869 51 254 48 253 48 253 45869 44054 47 248 45 253 46 247 44054 42388 42 237 41 246 43 246 42388 40841 33 234 38 241 41 250 40841 39393 27 232 36 236 39 254 39393 38036 26 232 34 236 35 250 38036 36742 24 236 33 237 34 242 36742 35446 21 244 30 243 35 243 35446 34119 18 253 26 249 38 244 34119 32766 19 256 26 255 40 249 32766 31378 21 252 28 255 39 256 31378 29949 21 249 29 249 37 259 29949 28482 24 247 29 243 34 253 28482 26978 28 245 31 241 32 247 26978 25440 29 246 30 239 30 247 25440 23870 28 248 28 240 28 248 23870 22264 27 252 26 244 27 246 22264 20616 25 253 25 248 27 242 20616 18955 25 250 25 247 26 242 18955 17362 25 243 26 246 25 247 17362 15913 25 238 27 250 24 256 15913 14619 25 238 28 255 23 264 14619 13458 25 244 29 258 23 270 13458 12412 26 248 29 260 22 273 12412 11466 26 249 29 262 21 273 11466 10613 26 248 27 261 19 269 10613 9847 25 246 24 257 18 260 9847 9157 22 242 20*249 17 248 9157 8528 19 236 16*237 16 233 8528 7962 16*227 13 218 15 222 7962 7482 12*219 11 204 14 214 7482 7109 7 198 11 201 12 209 7109 6850 6 192 10 198 8 205 6850 6692 5 187 9 197 4*196 6692 6601 5 182 7 194 1*171 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography