DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 40.4 - - 42.6 - - 39.5 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 43 - - 39 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 553 - - 1456 - - 2307 - - 1778 - - 391 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6584 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 8053 - - 8956 - - 9807 - - 9278 - - 7891 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1829 - - 1524 - - 1563 - - 1993 - - 1407 Hgt.Variab. W* 43 - - 176 - - 204 - - 53 - - 29 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 13 - - 20 - - 20 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 051 - - 349 - - 352 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 2 - - 7 - - 22 - - 26 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 4 - - -10 - - -14 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1453 - - 2356 - - 3207 - - 2678 - - 1292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential 743 - - 1536 - - 1234 - - 140 - - -2572 ODpotential blCL 7310 - - 7420 - - 8573 - - 9138 - - 10463 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 95 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 40.4 - - 42.6 - - 39.5 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 38.4 - - 38.3 - - 36.6 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.3 - - 42.7 - - 44.9 - - 43.0 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 37.6 - - 37.1 - - 35.7 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 43 - - 39 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 553 - - 1456 - - 2307 - - 1778 - - 391 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 99 - - 80 - - 85 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96321 21 313 16 305 27 299 22 308 22 316 96321 89520 8 024 9 347 15 307 9 322 16 339 89520 84184 12 003 10 357 4 330 4 301 10 329 84184 79666 8 309 11 322 7 049 5 288 5 344 79666 75718 9 279 11 288 7 019 5 289 8 320 75718 72213 11 248 15 267 15 305 8 313 8 339 72213 69020 10 258 13 260 21 285 14 299 12 307 69020 66060 11 267 11 251 19 265 18 289 17 285 66060 63298 13 281 11 258 16 257 20 273 19 278 63298 60616 18 275 16 275 16 256 19 264 20 279 60616 57816 20 266 21 269 18 264 19 273 22 284 57816 54902 21 254 22 262 22 273 23 281 21 281 54902 52110 23 246 24 263 27 274 27 278 22 293 52110 49589 23 251 27 246 25 263 28 280 25 305 49589 47325 26 254 24 228 23 261 27 285 29 314 47325 45265 34 241 24 244 25 255 28 285 33 318 45265 43370 41 233 36 240 27 246 28 279 35 322 43370 41617 48 229 41 227 34 235 23 269 36 325 41617 39983 57 228 45 228 35 225 20 265 35 322 39983 38454 66 227 52 232 34 216 19 247 31 314 38454 37026 72 226 68 229 36 214 14 230 23 308 37026 35672 74 222 83 221 46 217 18 240 17 317 35672 34330 71 218 96 216 57 216 28 232 22 317 34330 32974 73 215 107 215 64 213 33 205 27 303 32974 31617 74 215 94 217 63 211 29 202 10 274 31617 30255 72 213 67 216 57 209 31 214 11 272 30255 28872 69 211 56 213 47 205 30 210 11 227 28872 27464 66 211 55 211 41 198 29 203 13 223 27464 26024 61 215 52 207 39 199 29 194 16 215 26024 24553 53 218 49 203 35 194 27 190 15 220 24553 23053 44 210 44 203 28 198 20 187 7 246 23053 21523 39 204 36 212 18 208 14 188 8 332 21523 19958 33 213 26 211 13 204 10 200 16 323 19958 18383 27 221 17 193 10 190 3 270 14 341 18383 16875 24 216 14 191 7 196 7 334 11 357 16875 15506 21 213 13 173 6 201 12 339 13 353 15506 14281 17 213 12 163 3 235 15 347 16 356 14281 13179 15 206 9 151 2 338 17 354 19 004 13179 12182 13 203 4 148 6 350 19 356 22 009 12182 11279 9 213 1 304 10 345 21 356 25 010 11279 10462 7 221 4 321 13*350 24 355 29 009 10462 9728 6 217 4 337 14*352 26*354 31 006 9728 9065 6 211 4*359 14 351 26*354 33 002 9065 8460 8*195 4*031 14 350 25 354 34 358 8460 7916 8*181 4 047 14 349 23 353 31*354 7916 7453 8 169 4 051 12 348 21 352 29*351 7453 7093 7 156 4 057 11 347 17 351 25 349 7093 6842 5 136 3 060 9 347 13 348 19 347 6842 6688 4 124 3 063 8 347 10 346 13 344 6688 6600 2 100 3 065 6 345 4 335 3 327 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography