DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.2 - - 29.0 - - 30.8 - - 26.3 - - 22.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -52 - - -20 - - -13 - - -26 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1092 - - 2554 - - 1283 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 8592 - - 10054 - - 8783 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2727 - - 2896 - - 2069 - - 3023 - - 3034 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 57 - - 74 - - 28 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 28 - - 27 - - 21 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 304 - - 304 - - 304 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 34 - - 30 - - 28 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -28 - - -62 - - -50 - - -44 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1609 - - 2954 - - 1889 - - -115 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6599 - - 6983 - - 7101 - - 6895 - - 6716 sfcLCL ODpotential -3316 - - -1743 - - -665 - - -1591 - - -3832 ODpotential blCL 9916 - - 10335 - - 10719 - - 10374 - - 10432 blCL maxRH 76 - - 73 - - 69 - - 68 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.2 - - 29.0 - - 30.8 - - 26.3 - - 22.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.3 - - 21.6 - - 22.9 - - 19.5 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.9 - - 33.5 - - 34.5 - - 33.2 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.0 - - 20.5 - - 21.8 - - 19.4 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -52 - - -20 - - -13 - - -26 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1092 - - 2554 - - 1283 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96484 43 082 32 072 33 073 29 092 19 079 96484 89262 35 075 24 070 23 080 22 057 17 052 89262 83670 23 059 18 059 13 063 15 018 17 056 83670 79008 14 042 14 068 5 035 15 015 20 033 79008 74959 11 018 10 011 5 001 14 340 16 036 74959 71370 12 005 11 356 11 297 8 253 13 321 71370 68130 14 339 6 296 19 299 19 293 8 197 68130 65140 21 314 16 290 25 272 29 282 11 293 65140 62376 21 278 15 295 17 253 25 285 26 292 62376 59735 10 261 6 305 10 237 18 298 21 295 59735 56981 27 280 20 300 8 296 19 297 27 300 56981 54091 54 291 54 311 40 319 40 310 31 297 54091 51297 70 305 78 315 67 321 61 317 52 317 51297 48776 77 309 82 311 79 317 74 315 68 318 48776 46544 78 310 80 311 83 314 81 313 75 312 46544 44539 80 310 81 311 83 312 85 312 82 309 44539 42707 82 309 83 311 80 312 85 313 85 310 42707 41018 84 308 84 313 80 316 89 316 87 313 41018 39454 87 308 85 316 88 319 95 315 92 316 39454 38002 93 312 88 319 97 317 99 313 94 316 38002 36650 102 315 92 319 103 315 98 312 88 316 36650 35365 108 316 95 318 103 315 99 314 82 320 35365 34084 111 316 97 316 101 317 103 316 83 325 34084 32780 110 316 98 316 101 319 106 317 90 329 32780 31457 108 317 99 317 100 320 107 317 101 332 31457 30103 107 318 99 318 97 319 108 318 110 332 30103 28712 106 318 99 320 93 316 107 318 109 331 28712 27287 105 318 98 322 90 315 100 318 102 329 27287 25831 102 316 95 323 88 315 87 316 93 329 25831 24351 97 314 88 323 85 317 77 314 85 330 24351 22848 88 312 80 322 79 320 71 313 76 331 22848 21321 79 313 71 322 72 321 65 314 68 331 21321 19762 68 318 61 321 62 321 57 314 61 330 19762 18198 60 322 51 321 52 320 49 313 53 330 18198 16706 57 325 45 322 45 320 43 313 45 330 16706 15354 56 326 41 322 39 320 39 313 39 329 15354 14147 55 326 39 324 36 321 37 315 35 326 14147 13065 55 326 38 328 34 321 35 316 32 322 13065 12089 54 324 40 329 35 320 35 315 31 319 12089 11205 52 321 42 326 36 316 35 314 30 317 11205 10405 50 317 43 322 36*312 34 312 31 316 10405 9683 48 315 43 318 35*310 34 311 31 315 9683 9031 45 311 42*315 34 308 33*310 31 315 9031 8435 42 308 40*311 32 307 31*309 30 313 8435 7897 37 303 35 308 28 304 28 308 27 310 7897 7441 30 298 31 304 24 301 23 306 23 305 7441 7085 24 291 25 299 20 295 18 300 18 300 7085 6837 17 280 19 292 15 287 13 290 14 292 6837 6686 13*268 14 286 12 282 10 279 11*284 6686 6599 7*256 7 279 6 273 6 260 6*275 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography