DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.1 - - 36.2 - - 37.5 - - 36.9 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 55 - - 55 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 686 - - 2078 - - 2781 - - 2741 - - 1818 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 8342 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 8186 - - 9578 - - 10281 - - 10241 - - 9318 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2746 - - 2794 - - 1812 - - 2270 - - 3150 Hgt.Variab. W* 45 - - 216 - - 238 - - 77 - - 32 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 14 - - 14 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 258 - - 246 - - 246 - - 249 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -30 - - -40 - - -39 - - -26 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1329 - - 2494 - - 3385 - - 3642 - - 2718 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6858 - - 7084 - - 6896 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -3599 - - -1757 - - 855 - - 642 - - -1574 ODpotential blCL 11785 - - 11335 - - 9426 - - 9599 - - 10892 blCL maxRH 91 - - 92 - - 90 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.1 - - 36.2 - - 37.5 - - 36.9 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 28.3 - - 30.2 - - 31.9 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.7 - - 38.4 - - 39.7 - - 40.2 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 27.2 - - 29.1 - - 30.8 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 55 - - 55 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 686 - - 2078 - - 2781 - - 2741 - - 1818 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 66 - - 60 - - 73 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96710 10 265 26 261 23 280 18 283 23 278 96710 89607 7 282 12 245 19 264 15 309 15 273 89607 84112 7 290 3 240 11 249 12 282 16 283 84112 79516 6 268 4 285 7 237 10 272 11 272 79516 75518 6 229 2 264 7 239 8 275 5 295 75518 71961 8 241 7 228 11 241 8 268 3 265 71961 68733 10 225 5 214 15 235 18 247 15 261 68733 65749 13 240 12 249 14 242 20 254 21 255 65749 62952 19 236 24 238 19 258 23 252 27 253 62952 60223 18 238 21 218 23 258 26 256 30 249 60223 57367 25 254 28 249 31 248 29 259 27 252 57367 54394 34 240 35 243 34 244 34 254 27 259 54394 51558 32 230 30 237 30 247 35 255 29 268 51558 49017 23 240 25 243 27 247 35 258 34 265 49017 46749 30 270 27 259 31 253 35 263 40 265 46749 44704 42 274 40 264 41 259 41 266 44 260 44704 42841 49 272 50 266 52 263 49 264 44 256 42841 41124 57 273 60 269 63 263 56 260 46 260 41124 39532 67 273 75 268 77 262 61 259 47 261 39532 38054 77 275 85 265 90 259 67 258 50 265 38054 36682 90 278 92 266 96 257 75 258 57 268 36682 35384 97 278 97 267 100 257 83 258 60 267 35384 34092 98 278 99 267 103 257 88 257 61 266 34092 32779 100 277 99 266 102 256 91 255 66 264 32779 31450 101 276 98 264 101 255 92 253 70 260 31450 30095 100 276 97 263 99 254 89 251 73 254 30095 28707 96 274 97 263 95 255 82 252 76 251 28707 27292 93 273 94 264 88 256 76 253 79 251 27292 25848 88 271 88 265 81 258 75 255 80 250 25848 24377 81 267 81 264 75 259 73 255 79 249 24377 22884 75 264 76 260 70 258 69 254 74 250 22884 21367 68 265 68 257 66 257 63 253 60 253 21367 19821 61 266 59 259 60 258 58 253 43 254 19821 18271 56 267 51 262 51 260 51 254 36 257 18271 16786 48 269 42 266 42 261 43 258 33 256 16786 15435 40 275 34 270 37 261 36 259 33 254 15435 14225 34 282 28 273 33 262 32 257 33 254 14225 13136 30 286 24 274 28 263 28 256 30 257 13136 12150 27 285 21 273 23 266 24 256 25 261 12150 11258 23 281 19 268 19 267 20 257 18 266 11258 10449 19 277 17 263 17*265 16*260 12 275 10449 9721 16 274 16*258 16*261 13*261 9*289 9721 9062 14 271 16*254 16 254 12 259 8*300 9062 8459 13*270 16 252 15 248 12 255 9 306 8459 7915 12*268 15 248 15 243 12 247 10 307 7915 7453 11 264 14 243 15 240 11 240 10 309 7453 7093 11 256 12 239 14 239 10 235 9 307 7093 6842 10 249 11 238 13 238 9 232 7 299 6842 6688 9 247 10 237 12 237 7 230 6 291 6688 6600 4 236 7 235 8 235 4 231 2 275 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography