DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.1 - - 89.0 - - 91.4 - - 88.1 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 174 - - 558 - - 525 - - 135 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1831 - - 10303 - - 13036 - - 12401 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5736 - - 12884 - - 15119 - - 13573 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 6680 - - 15152 - - 17885 - - 17250 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5010 - - 4109 - - 3816 - - 3818 - - 256 Hgt.Variab. W* 287 - - 752 - - 797 - - 499 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 12 - - 14 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 243 - - 255 - - 261 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - -12 - - -6 - - -12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12393 - - -5863 - - -3514 - - -3548 - - -13478 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 19074 - - 21016 - - 21400 - - 20799 - - 18634 sfcLCL ODpotential -15819 - - -7869 - - -5628 - - -5839 - - -17790 ODpotential blCL 22499 - - 23021 - - 23513 - - 23089 - - 22945 blCL maxRH 25 - - 72 - - 42 - - 29 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 81.1 - - 89.0 - - 91.4 - - 88.1 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.6 - - 12.7 - - 13.1 - - 13.0 - - 11.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.4 - - 85.5 - - 88.1 - - 87.0 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.4 - - 12.4 - - 13.0 - - 12.8 - - 11.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 174 - - 558 - - 525 - - 135 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1831 - - 10303 - - 13036 - - 12401 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97798 10 081 12 164 3 191 5 074 10 123 97798 90341 8 107 5 091 7 166 0 002 4 063 90341 84628 10 082 4 020 5 108 5 027 5 064 84628 79899 5 037 4 340 5 186 6 317 5 061 79899 75840 2 279 2 008 6 232 2 301 4 245 75840 72272 5 270 10 231 7 289 0 091 6 207 72272 69059 3 255 10 206 8 251 2 295 7 245 69059 66122 10 286 4 290 12 263 11 317 12 272 66122 63420 14 287 13 279 20 274 22 281 18 276 63420 60815 20 299 23 289 22 287 27 269 25 283 60815 58087 32 280 28 285 23 286 33 268 37 275 58087 55231 36 280 35 287 28 276 35 270 39 272 55231 52489 40 281 40 274 35 277 35 278 38 278 52489 50017 44 279 39 269 41 276 40 285 37 284 50017 47809 46 277 40 274 42 275 42 285 38 284 47809 45820 48 273 41 273 42 278 45 277 38 279 45820 44011 46 266 45 264 44 274 40 268 35 282 44011 42346 43 261 42 259 45 268 37 264 34 280 42346 40796 39 259 38 259 43 264 35 266 25 271 40796 39345 36 261 35 263 43 264 34 268 15 272 39345 37987 36 264 34 268 41 264 31 264 17 272 37987 36689 36 264 35 270 39 263 24 261 21 258 36689 35388 36 260 35 270 37 262 20 269 17 248 35388 34057 33 255 34 269 35 261 21 274 14 252 34057 32697 30 250 32 266 32 262 22 273 16 264 32697 31294 27 250 27 261 28 261 24 269 20 266 31294 29839 24 255 24 259 26 261 26 262 25 261 29839 28334 21 257 22 262 24 265 26 256 26 253 28334 26782 19 252 20 263 24 265 26 251 25 253 26782 25185 16 245 19 260 23 256 24 248 24 260 25185 23547 10 238 18 252 20 247 21 243 30 261 23547 21864 7 232 16 235 17 236 18 242 35 258 21864 20132 6 265 9 225 16 233 18 253 32 257 20132 18377 12 291 7 263 14*243 17*253 27 255 18377 16686 18 274 14*249 13*248 16*254 20 243 16686 15140 21 250 17*242 13 250 16 255 16 227 15140 13753 21 241 16 241 13 250 16 256 14 221 13753 12506 17 237 13 240 13 252 16 257 12 219 12506 11379 13 226 12 240 14 253 17 260 10 223 11379 10362 9 216 11 242 14 255 17 262 9 238 10362 9445 4 235 11 244 14 256 17 264 9 262 9445 8622 2 306 11 245 15 257 17 265 9 285 8622 7882 6 337 11 246 15 258 17 266 10 301 7882 7209 10*336 11 246 15 258 17 266 11 310 7209 6605 12*332 11 247 15 259 17 266 12 316 6605 6093 12 329 11 247 15 259 17 267 12 319 6093 5696 11 328 11 248 15 260 16 267 12 322 5696 5420 11 326 11 247 14 260 16 267 10 325 5420 5252 10 325 11 248 14 260 15 267 6 329 5252 5155 8 325 10 248 12 260 13 267 4*330 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography