DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.6 - - 78.5 - - 82.7 - - 81.5 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 100 - - 401 - - 360 - - 23 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 742 - - 6486 - - 9056 - - 328 - - 328 BL Depth Hcrit 5159 - - 9623 - - 11642 - - 5160 - - 5160 Hcrit BL Top 5591 - - 11335 - - 13905 - - 5177 - - 5177 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 679 - - 1618 - - 701 - - 9340 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* 178 - - 579 - - 624 - - 84 - - 21 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 275 - - 289 - - 302 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -12 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3068 - - -670 - - 1623 - - -7947 - - -4149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8660 - - 12006 - - 12283 - - 13124 - - 9326 sfcLCL ODpotential -11294 - - -6454 - - 223 - - -14405 - - -8130 ODpotential blCL 16885 - - 17789 - - 13682 - - 19582 - - 13307 blCL maxRH 53 - - 64 - - 77 - - 60 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 64.6 - - 78.5 - - 82.7 - - 81.5 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 43.5 - - 46.3 - - 41.7 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.6 - - 76.1 - - 80.3 - - 81.0 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.4 - - 43.2 - - 46.0 - - 41.4 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 100 - - 401 - - 360 - - 23 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 742 - - 6486 - - 9056 - - 328 - - 328 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98183 22 093 26 109 27 110 21 118 16 095 98183 90795 20 094 24 103 23 116 19 115 21 086 90795 85086 17 101 21 106 17 119 15 111 18 095 85086 80348 16 101 17 110 14 116 13 125 14 116 80348 76283 12 099 10 112 10 109 11 115 12 121 76283 72706 8 100 5 108 6 107 7 089 10 113 72706 69479 6 111 3 094 5 106 5 073 9 107 69479 66525 8 115 3 110 5 101 4 072 8 105 66525 63805 11 107 6 136 3 124 3 087 7 076 63805 61192 12 097 9 130 6 171 3 134 5 017 61192 58503 11 086 8 116 10 166 8 174 2 268 58503 55753 5 034 3 098 5 189 9 190 10 225 55753 53152 11 310 7 304 8 286 9 235 13 236 53152 50812 20 293 19 288 18 288 16 278 16 263 50812 48700 26 285 27 281 25 276 27 280 24 282 48700 46768 30 285 31 278 30 272 34 275 34 283 46768 44980 36 288 35 278 33 271 37 274 38 278 44980 43308 41 288 38 278 33 271 35 273 37 274 43308 41734 43 288 38 278 32 272 31 271 34 269 41734 40247 41 286 38 277 31 273 28 272 33 264 40247 38845 38 285 36 273 31 272 25 272 30 260 38845 37498 36 284 33 270 29 270 25 272 26 259 37498 36146 33 283 29 271 25 269 24 268 22 257 36146 34761 28 285 25 275 21 269 22 265 20 256 34761 33348 22 290 20 277 17 262 19 263 19 254 33348 31892 16 285 14 269 16 247 18 256 19 252 31892 30384 13 263 13 248 16 237 18 248 20 250 30384 28826 12 260 13 244 15 241 18 247 22 248 28826 27219 9 267 11 248 13 246 15 248 20 244 27219 25564 8 284 9 265 11 254 12 255 14 235 25564 23867 6 308 8 283 8 272 9 276 8 238 23867 22123 3 339 5 295 6 296 7 306 2 286 22123 20322 3 320 4 300 7 317 8 331 4 023 20322 18500 3 246 4 252 7 292 8 322 7 001 18500 16752 6 196 7 220 10 275 11 308 12 330 16752 15173 6 188 7 235 12*292 13 309 16 308 15173 13777 5 242 10 284 11*294 12 314 19 288 13777 12527 8 286 13 300 11 293 11 316 18 286 12527 11398 11 313 14*306 11 292 10 316 16 292 11398 10378 12 323 16*301 11 291 9 315 13 294 10378 9459 10 311 17 291 11 289 9 313 11 289 9459 8636 10 291 16 282 11 288 8 311 9 280 8636 7896 11 273 14 272 11 286 8 310 7 269 7896 7223 13 245 12 263 11 285 8 307 6 247 7223 6619 15 221 12 259 11 284 7 306 6 211 6619 6109 16 207 11 256 11 283 7 304 7 180 6109 5714 15*205 10 254 11 283 7 304 8 167 5714 5440 11*209 10 253 10 283 7 304 7 160 5440 5272 10 210 10 253 10 283 7*303 6*152 5272 5177 9 210 9 252 9 282 6*302 4*143 5177 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography