DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 67.3 - - 69.5 - - 64.0 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 182 - - 123 - - -20 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2339 - - 3346 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6115 - - 6638 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7188 - - 8195 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 110 - - 1306 - - 2211 - - 2968 - - 148 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 316 - - 312 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 17 - - 18 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 256 - - 261 - - 260 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -15 - - -15 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1893 - - -3033 - - -1597 - - -3492 - - -2726 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7048 - - 10222 - - 9792 - - 8647 - - 7881 sfcLCL ODpotential -9306 - - -6765 - - -4070 - - -7137 - - -7173 ODpotential blCL 14460 - - 13953 - - 12265 - - 12292 - - 12327 blCL maxRH 84 - - 93 - - 94 - - 89 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 67.3 - - 69.5 - - 64.0 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.2 - - 40.3 - - 44.1 - - 43.8 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 65.8 - - 68.3 - - 65.9 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 40.2 - - 44.1 - - 43.8 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 182 - - 123 - - -20 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2339 - - 3346 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 73 - - 77 - - 56 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96670 56 275 58 281 62 273 59 280 69 269 96670 89281 65 281 62 281 59 273 59 279 58 284 89281 83620 51 281 43 283 40 283 37 283 40 287 83620 78970 22 279 21 281 26 288 30 292 25 289 78970 74988 16 294 26 276 30 276 36 286 21 292 74988 71486 38 276 39 275 36 286 33 291 25 293 71486 68348 38 269 40 273 38 287 32 294 32 289 68348 65518 28 279 33 270 34 270 32 288 29 281 65518 62917 22 286 24 267 29 254 30 268 24 272 62917 60366 30 275 26 263 35 255 30 258 27 263 60366 57686 44 271 40 266 43 265 41 258 44 260 57686 54930 53 263 53 263 52 265 53 257 56 256 54930 52317 59 259 58 256 57 258 59 255 61 253 52317 49963 61 260 62 254 61 257 63 256 64 253 49963 47851 67 262 69 258 67 257 68 258 65 249 47851 45929 75 259 75 255 72 253 70 255 65 248 45929 44157 74 257 74 253 71 252 69 258 64 256 44157 42508 73 269 71 262 72 264 74 264 67 264 42508 40967 80 275 78 271 80 271 75 265 70 268 40967 39519 79 273 80 271 81 270 73 263 68 268 39519 38156 76 267 75 267 77 267 70 262 64 264 38156 36846 72 258 70 261 72 264 68 260 63 260 36846 35526 70 253 70 256 67 258 67 258 64 258 35526 34168 69 254 69 254 64 252 65 254 64 256 34168 32778 69 257 66 254 61 248 61 251 62 255 32778 31344 66 258 64 256 59 249 59 251 59 255 31344 29856 61 258 62 260 58 252 59 254 56 255 29856 28320 55 262 57 262 56 256 55 256 54 256 28320 26735 50 263 52 262 53 258 51 255 53 257 26735 25109 45 264 47 260 49 259 49 255 53 257 25109 23445 41 268 41 259 45 260 47 257 51 256 23445 21740 37 270 35 259 41 260 44 260 43 256 21740 19987 35 268 33 259 39 260 40 262 39 258 19987 18218 33 263 33 258 39 257 38 263 37 260 18218 16521 33 258 35 255 39 255 37 262 37 263 16521 14978 33 254 36 253 38 254 35 263 37 264 14978 13601 32 252 35 253 36 255 33 265 35 262 13601 12370 32 252 34 256 33 258 31 267 30 260 12370 11260 32 254 32 259 32 261 29 268 23 256 11260 10259 31 258 31 262 30 264 27 265 20 253 10259 9357 30 263 30 265 28 264 24 260 18 253 9357 8548 29 266 29 267 21*261 21 254 17 256 8548 7822 27 267 26*267 20*261 19 252 16 257 7822 7162 25 266 21*263 19 261 18 254 15 256 7162 6570 22 264 18 257 19 261 17 259 16 251 6570 6070 19 261 17 255 18 262 16 264 16 241 6070 5681 16 257 16 254 18 262 15 266 15 231 5681 5412 13 253 15 254 17 262 13 266 12 228 5412 5248 9*244 14 253 16 262 10*264 8*229 5248 5154 5*234 12 252 13 262 6*260 5*233 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography