DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 93.6 - - 92.1 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 454 - - 133 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6514 - - 10601 - - 8639 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9708 - - 13027 - - 10656 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11363 - - 15450 - - 13488 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2610 - - 3638 - - 7037 - - 1217 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 610 - - 710 - - 443 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 55 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 251 - - 206 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 16 - - 23 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1975 - - 660 - - -992 - - -1697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13339 - - 14790 - - 14481 - - 6852 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4268 - - -228 - - -2298 - - -6585 ODpotential blCL - - - 15631 - - 15678 - - 15786 - - 11740 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 81 - - 94 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 840 - - 740 - - 2400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 93.6 - - 92.1 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 46.0 - - 46.0 - - 62.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 90.6 - - 90.8 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 45.7 - - 45.8 - - 61.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 454 - - 133 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6514 - - 10601 - - 8639 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 24 - - 76 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98604 43 103 46 097 35 098 34 087 98604 91154 38 085 35 096 38 090 38 092 91154 85409 33 084 32 099 36 088 38 093 85409 80658 30 109 33 094 32 091 37 088 80658 76587 29 116 29 091 30 099 33 085 76587 72999 27 106 21 105 30 101 27 092 72999 69765 24 093 20 113 26 091 21 096 69765 66809 23 092 20 094 21 087 17 096 66809 64085 19 091 18 082 16 093 15 084 64085 61460 12 097 11 085 14 080 15 076 61460 58735 12 102 7 104 12 065 16 071 58735 55925 13 086 11 115 7 073 10 061 55925 53265 13 058 11 080 4 077 7 027 53265 50880 17 040 17 041 8 023 11 018 50880 48739 18 030 18 018 15 355 17 007 48739 46787 18 021 18 010 14 354 17 004 46787 44986 20 015 22 010 16 357 18 018 44986 43309 22 016 24 007 19 008 19 020 43309 41734 19 015 22 004 23 013 20 010 41734 40251 14 008 16 357 22 018 20 008 40251 38857 7 001 9 352 17 016 14 010 38857 37519 4 359 3 299 13 345 11 011 37519 36175 4 013 3 246 12 273 12 358 36175 34796 7 007 2 296 13 249 17 343 34796 33386 11 004 6 001 12 270 17 343 33386 31934 16 000 14 360 13 299 14 350 31934 30428 18 357 18 357 16 332 13 357 30428 28871 16 359 18 354 16 329 12 010 28871 27266 15 360 18 351 19 343 12 018 27266 25619 15 350 17 348 22 349 14 008 25619 23932 14 341 16 343 24 351 18 007 23932 22196 14 347 15 340 25 350 23 006 22196 20411 12 011 20 357 24 347 27 359 20411 18610 12 023 17 001 21 345 26 349 18610 16882 10 015 11*351 17 341 21 339 16882 15306 10 007 5*328 11 330 17 329 15306 13892 11 359 5 324 7*315 13 320 13892 12617 11 357 4 317 5*307 10 300 12617 11468 6*343 2 267 4 269 8 261 11468 10430 4*301 3 239 4 223 9 225 10430 9496 5 275 3 221 6 205 11 205 9496 8660 6 247 4 214 7 199 13 191 8660 7909 7 242 4 207 8 195 15 178 7909 7226 7 238 4 202 9 193 19 166 7226 6615 8 235 5 199 9 192 23 151 6615 6099 8 233 5 197 9 191 25 143 6099 5700 8 230 5 196 9 191 24 141 5700 5422 8 230 5 195 9 190 20 139 5422 5253 7 230 5 196 9 190 16 138 5253 5155 7 230 5 195 8 191 8*133 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography