DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z - - 2219z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.3 - - 74.2 - - 78.2 - - 74.2 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 131 - - 64 - - 1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 962 - - 2675 - - 4384 - - 367 - - 367 BL Depth Hcrit 5199 - - 6315 - - 7121 - - 5199 - - 5199 Hcrit BL Top 5811 - - 7524 - - 9233 - - 5216 - - 5216 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1036 - - 1669 - - 2178 - - 4906 - - 150 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 320 - - 303 - - 54 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 12 - - 8 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 203 - - 196 - - 094 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -13 - - -3 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 58 - - 895 - - 1322 - - -615 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5753 - - 6629 - - 7911 - - 5832 - - 5216 sfcLCL ODpotential -4720 - - -2341 - - -1054 - - -2779 - - -3634 ODpotential blCL 10531 - - 9865 - - 10287 - - 7995 - - 8850 blCL maxRH 90 - - 76 - - 84 - - 92 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 260 - - 1040 - - 1280 - - 2580 - - 1630 CAPE Temp@2m 68.3 - - 74.2 - - 78.2 - - 74.2 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.4 - - 62.5 - - 60.9 - - 65.7 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.7 - - 72.8 - - 77.3 - - 73.9 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.1 - - 60.5 - - 59.4 - - 64.7 - - 63.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 131 - - 64 - - 1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 962 - - 2675 - - 4384 - - 367 - - 367 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 3 - - 37 - - 69 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98944 47 095 48 102 39 102 39 107 36 075 98944 92453 46 089 44 099 39 098 40 095 36 089 92453 87245 41 089 41 096 40 096 41 089 40 099 87245 82828 36 094 39 093 35 094 39 086 42 095 82828 78990 32 097 37 090 30 095 35 085 41 088 78990 75583 29 097 35 090 30 099 30 088 36 083 75583 72492 27 097 32 091 33 101 25 094 29 085 72492 69650 28 098 26 094 31 100 21 102 24 091 69650 67015 26 099 20 096 26 097 20 102 21 093 67015 64460 20 107 18 089 22 092 18 093 17 093 64460 61805 15 120 13 092 15 078 19 084 12 098 61805 59063 14 125 9 129 6 088 13 075 9 097 59063 56457 14 122 11 171 6 182 2 082 6 085 56457 54120 12 112 11 182 10 203 4 240 3 092 54120 52033 10 094 8 163 11 205 4 211 4 121 52033 50139 5 074 7 125 8 169 6 154 7 131 50139 48397 1 206 4 133 6 113 7 134 8 138 48397 46781 6 200 4 176 5 097 6 142 7 139 46781 45268 12 189 6 192 3 130 4 180 6 131 45268 43844 17 175 9 186 3 166 3 207 4 125 43844 42495 16 166 9 178 4 177 5 253 1 119 42495 41185 11 151 10 170 5 182 10 260 2 257 41185 39848 2 102 11 164 7 183 13 256 5 275 39848 38453 1 097 12 159 10 179 14 251 7 290 38453 37003 5 130 9 158 11 177 13 246 9 292 37003 35481 4 161 8 197 7 193 11 243 10 285 35481 33876 6 210 8 247 6 232 9 239 10 275 33876 32188 6 256 9 273 6 255 10 226 9 266 32188 30414 10 275 7 286 4 257 14 216 9 273 30414 28559 13 267 6 298 4 237 17 214 9 290 28559 26626 13 248 4 264 8 225 15 222 8 310 26626 24612 13 233 8 210 12 224 13 247 8 328 24612 22513 11 219 12 215 15 226 13 257 8 332 22513 20374 11 206 14 221 14 229 14 255 9 314 20374 18314 12 207 14 228 14 227 15 248 10 295 18314 16441 14 216 13 232 15 222 17 242 10 288 16441 14776 15 222 12 228 16 221 19 236 9 284 14776 13296 15 224 12 221 16 218 17 224 8 278 13296 11979 17 223 14 215 15 211 14 209 7 265 11979 10810 18 221 15 211 14 207 12 198 6 245 10810 9774 19 217 17 211 12*205 11 192 6 223 9774 8862 19 212 18 213 10*201 9 181 6 197 8862 8056 20 205 17*213 9 198 8 171 8 176 8056 7335 24 193 15*209 8 196 6 164 12 159 7335 6699 26 184 13 202 8 195 5 153 15 149 6699 6168 24*182 13 201 7 193 4 142 17 142 6168 5761 18*182 12 201 7 193 4 129 16 138 5761 5482 15 183 11 201 6 192 3 116 14 137 5482 5312 14 183 11 200 6 191 3*105 11*137 5312 5216 10 184 10 200 5 192 2*094 5*136 5216 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography