DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.9 - - 85.6 - - 89.2 - - 85.2 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 109 - - 407 - - 337 - - 4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 877 - - 9986 - - 12496 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 12461 - - 14398 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5726 - - 14835 - - 17345 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 681 - - 2518 - - 1772 - - 13901 - - 1190 Hgt.Variab. W* 192 - - 670 - - 678 - - 46 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 21 - - 43 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 6 - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 250 - - 238 - - 182 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3770 - - 227 - - 1489 - - -9427 - - -3554 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9497 - - 14608 - - 15857 - - 14584 - - 8710 sfcLCL ODpotential -7324 - - -1634 - - 672 - - -10702 - - -7410 ODpotential blCL 13050 - - 16469 - - 16673 - - 15858 - - 12565 blCL maxRH 69 - - 70 - - 82 - - 100 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 240 - - 90 - - 220 - - 260 - - 1030 CAPE Temp@2m 72.9 - - 85.6 - - 89.2 - - 85.2 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.1 - - 39.0 - - 36.9 - - 38.9 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.6 - - 82.8 - - 86.5 - - 85.0 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.9 - - 38.8 - - 36.7 - - 38.7 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 109 - - 407 - - 337 - - 4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 877 - - 9986 - - 12496 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 101 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98150 5 143 9 193 7 224 6 004 2 096 98150 90759 5 056 8 134 7 190 5 356 2 223 90759 85041 6 054 9 118 3 179 3 183 2 085 85041 80308 4 082 10 109 6 149 6 160 5 132 80308 76258 5 081 8 094 9 128 7 140 8 146 76258 72702 3 145 5 150 6 100 10 120 12 120 72702 69490 9 152 6 171 7 100 8 099 13 106 69490 66542 15 157 9 188 6 166 2 128 9 110 66542 63826 14 156 14 190 13 196 11 200 6 149 63826 61201 6 136 16 175 16 198 14 203 13 190 61201 58475 9 238 10 209 16 219 15 228 12 197 58475 55668 13 235 16 245 23 244 20 251 15 227 55668 52996 24 259 28 251 30 249 28 252 25 247 52996 50592 32 261 28 249 32 250 34 248 32 251 50592 48431 32 262 26 249 33 248 36 249 35 252 48431 46459 32 265 27 251 34 246 34 251 36 250 46459 44641 31 263 28 254 31 244 30 251 36 250 44641 42954 31 262 29 258 29 246 27 251 36 250 42954 41381 33 262 31 260 28 250 25 253 33 247 41381 39910 34 261 32 261 29 254 25 255 29 244 39910 38533 33 260 32 263 30 256 25 259 25 247 38533 37212 33 259 32 261 30 258 25 263 22 254 37212 35882 31 261 31 261 29 260 25 264 21 261 35882 34517 30 264 29 260 27 263 25 262 24 267 34517 33119 31 265 29 258 27 264 25 262 26 269 33119 31679 34 264 34 257 31 264 26 262 28 268 31679 30187 32 262 32 256 34 265 26 262 28 265 30187 28646 28 261 27 254 31 263 23 263 24 256 28646 27059 25 261 24 255 25 261 22 265 18 248 27059 25429 19 260 19 252 21 257 20 266 14 240 25429 23756 12 262 14 240 16 244 17 266 14 237 23756 22038 6 250 10 227 13 241 14 265 16 243 22038 20271 1 210 5 205 7 246 9 299 16 256 20271 18485 4 048 2 123 3*328 7 323 16 274 18485 16769 10 008 7 026 3*323 5 317 14 287 16769 15203 9 020 5*048 3 312 4 299 11 303 15203 13800 6 055 3*119 3 301 3 250 7 317 13800 12540 4 075 1 123 3 269 5 216 4 302 12540 11404 1 353 2 289 3 244 6 204 5 228 11404 10378 5 287 6 276 4 230 7 197 9 209 10378 9454 10 275 8 265 4 221 8 192 12 198 9454 8625 13 262 9 255 4 215 9 189 15 184 8625 7882 16 253 10 251 5 209 9 188 18 173 7882 7207 18 246 10 247 5 205 9 186 22 164 7207 6600 19 236 10 243 5 203 9 185 26 148 6600 6090 18*224 10 240 5 201 9 184 30 138 6090 5694 15*217 10 239 5 201 9 183 28 137 5694 5419 13 217 9 238 5 199 8 183 23 137 5419 5252 12 216 9 237 5 199 8*183 19*137 5252 5155 10 217 8 236 5 199 6*182 11*136 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography