DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0703z - - 1334z - - 1603z - - 1904z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.9 - - 76.1 - - 78.1 - - 79.0 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 197 - - -2 - - 96 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 666 - - 636 - - 328 - - 1130 - - 328 BL Depth Hcrit 5160 - - 5160 - - 5160 - - 5161 - - 5160 Hcrit BL Top 5515 - - 5485 - - 5177 - - 5979 - - 5177 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1071 - - 4109 - - 6673 - - 3694 - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* 129 - - 212 - - 67 - - 206 - - 27 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 248 - - 033 - - 093 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - 0 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1467 - - -2619 - - -2586 - - -1907 - - -761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6982 - - 8104 - - 7763 - - 7886 - - 5939 sfcLCL ODpotential -5312 - - -5221 - - -5060 - - -4818 - - -5725 ODpotential blCL 10827 - - 10706 - - 10237 - - 10797 - - 10902 blCL maxRH 91 - - 98 - - 100 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 930 - - 1040 - - 1790 - - 2290 - - 890 CAPE Temp@2m 72.9 - - 76.1 - - 78.1 - - 79.0 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.7 - - 58.1 - - 61.3 - - 61.6 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.5 - - 75.4 - - 78.2 - - 78.0 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.1 - - 57.1 - - 58.7 - - 60.8 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 197 - - -2 - - 96 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 666 - - 636 - - 328 - - 1130 - - 328 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 92 - - 101 - - 65 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98597 39 099 44 093 34 108 30 103 38 091 98597 91175 34 097 32 098 35 093 33 085 33 097 91175 85449 37 089 29 105 34 091 38 088 32 096 85449 80694 34 085 32 102 29 096 33 095 32 093 80694 76613 28 089 32 097 26 099 26 102 32 094 76613 73024 25 092 28 094 25 090 25 097 29 093 73024 69793 24 101 23 097 25 084 27 085 25 095 69793 66828 24 108 20 099 23 083 25 082 22 092 66828 64084 23 099 19 099 17 088 21 085 20 079 64084 61439 20 083 21 100 14 101 15 087 14 074 61439 58691 19 071 22 083 17 099 13 097 13 083 58691 55863 18 060 20 062 20 082 16 096 21 075 55863 53211 15 054 17 065 21 063 21 075 22 071 53211 50852 15 052 18 073 19 049 23 058 22 071 50852 48733 17 062 20 073 16 045 20 051 25 063 48733 46795 22 071 20 067 16 041 20 046 28 058 46795 45002 25 067 20 057 17 034 23 038 30 053 45002 43329 24 061 22 053 19 035 25 032 31 044 43329 41758 22 055 23 050 21 041 25 026 30 030 41758 40279 22 049 24 047 21 046 24 023 28 022 40279 38886 20 039 23 046 23 046 23 026 26 021 38886 37547 20 035 20 043 23 045 23 030 24 020 37547 36199 19 031 16 037 21 042 22 030 23 018 36199 34815 18 024 12 038 14 031 19 022 20 013 34815 33398 18 015 10 032 8 027 14 008 19 002 33398 31937 17 010 10 017 7 025 12 002 19 353 31937 30421 16 011 13 012 8 014 13 353 18 353 30421 28855 14 010 14 017 9 004 13 350 17 354 28855 27242 12 009 14 026 9 006 11 350 14 358 27242 25586 12 007 13 026 10 012 9 358 9 015 25586 23891 12 004 13 022 10 016 9 002 8 025 23891 22153 8 357 12 017 12 017 9 007 8 041 22153 20367 3 024 10 013 11 016 9 008 9 056 20367 18561 6 082 7 012 7 009 6 005 10 054 18561 16829 10 063 3 016 4 348 7 342 6 055 16829 15253 10 045 2 009 4 346 9 324 1 078 15253 13845 8 024 4 013 2 355 9 320 2 290 13845 12580 6 009 5 359 2 032 8 323 4 305 12580 11440 6 013 6 343 2 050 7 330 6 320 11440 10412 5 004 6 349 3 046 5 350 8 332 10412 9487 4 315 6 359 3 034 5 026 9 340 9487 8657 7 256 5 003 3 026 5 056 8 351 8657 7912 12 239 4 349 4 023 7 070 6 006 7912 7235 15 232 3 307 5 024 9 081 6 023 7235 6628 15 227 5 274 6 024 11 089 6 034 6628 6115 13 216 5 261 7 024 12*092 6 032 6115 5717 12*204 6*252 7 025 11*093 6 019 5717 5441 10*203 5*249 7 027 11 093 5 003 5441 5273 9 203 5 247 6*029 10 093 4*357 5273 5177 7 204 4 247 5*033 8 093 3*357 5177 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography