DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.5 - - 73.6 - - 79.4 - - 70.3 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 306 - - 237 - - -13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2052 - - 5009 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6079 - - 8219 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 6901 - - 9858 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 228 - - 1762 - - 2377 - - 4048 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 78 - - 358 - - 444 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 258 - - 286 - - 268 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -8 - - -4 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7854 - - -10646 - - -8072 - - -10231 - - -7769 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13009 - - 17548 - - 17931 - - 15387 - - 12925 sfcLCL ODpotential -16850 - - -16416 - - -12409 - - -16552 - - -15764 ODpotential blCL 22004 - - 23317 - - 22267 - - 21707 - - 20919 blCL maxRH 30 - - 27 - - 26 - - 26 - - 34 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.5 - - 73.6 - - 79.4 - - 70.3 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 14.8 - - 18.4 - - 21.5 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.1 - - 71.3 - - 77.4 - - 73.8 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.6 - - 14.7 - - 18.3 - - 21.4 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 306 - - 237 - - -13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2052 - - 5009 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97039 39 278 47 281 45 267 56 269 47 281 97039 89845 33 281 32 285 31 270 40 275 39 288 89845 84277 32 277 27 279 28 284 28 278 35 279 84277 79648 28 277 28 271 28 281 26 288 26 283 79648 75664 24 261 28 263 24 275 23 281 19 292 75664 72149 21 245 26 254 23 271 20 280 18 301 72149 68987 13 248 21 248 21 266 20 281 18 295 68987 66114 9 280 13 241 16 260 16 274 19 291 66114 63478 12 304 12 259 15 276 16 276 16 289 63478 60934 16 311 13 286 14 295 12 285 14 296 60934 58281 17 296 17 300 15 303 16 311 17 296 58281 55530 19 281 23 300 21 294 22 309 19 310 55530 52892 22 275 28 301 25 295 25 306 19 326 52892 50495 20 265 24 292 27 287 27 298 22 313 50495 48335 17 267 22 282 26 280 25 293 25 304 48335 46375 17 271 20 265 21 276 23 288 23 306 46375 44581 16 276 16 267 16 286 17 298 20 325 44581 42919 14 263 15 265 16 315 15 340 23 335 42919 41365 11 260 12 250 18 320 19 343 25 333 41365 39904 14 251 9 249 17 318 19 333 25 327 39904 38530 21 226 9 255 15 322 17 328 22 321 38530 37214 21 217 11 247 13 324 18 328 19 308 37214 35891 18 227 11 239 10 320 18 333 16 308 35891 34532 16 235 10 235 9 295 18 341 14 319 34532 33139 13 233 11 225 10 262 16 344 15 325 33139 31699 14 223 15 217 13 245 12 306 11 339 31699 30207 14 216 15 212 16 235 13 263 9 315 30207 28669 13 212 14 218 16 231 14 250 11 266 28669 27083 13 212 13 231 14 229 14 236 11 253 27083 25451 14 224 14 238 15 232 15 231 11 244 25451 23776 16 232 16 238 16 240 16 235 12 242 23776 22051 19 231 18 231 18 239 17 239 14 251 22051 20271 21 225 20 223 21 234 20 238 16 250 20271 18468 21 222 21 221 23 231 22 238 19 250 18468 16732 18 227 21 224 23 235 23 248 20 259 16732 15151 16 235 18 232 19 244 21 260 19 270 15151 13740 12 244 15 245 14 264 17 276 16 285 13740 12476 8 271 12 257 12 292 12 292 14 299 12476 11341 8 302 10 273 10 313 7 318 12 303 11341 10320 8 316 7 293 8*312 5 353 8 298 10320 9403 9 313 5 311 8*307 5 358 4 291 9403 8583 12 301 5 318 8 300 4 336 3 293 8583 7848 16 290 6 301 8 289 5 308 4 284 7848 7180 19 279 10*274 8 283 7 293 6 281 7180 6582 20 269 10*263 8 279 8 286 7 282 6582 6077 20 260 11 259 8 276 8 282 8 285 6077 5686 17 251 11 257 8 273 9 279 8 289 5686 5415 13 243 10 256 8 272 9 276 7 290 5415 5249 10*239 10 255 7 272 7*272 4*288 5249 5155 6*238 9 254 7 271 5*268 3*282 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography