DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.4 - - 80.0 - - 84.7 - - 82.0 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 209 - - 508 - - 557 - - 195 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2363 - - 6436 - - 7059 - - 6328 - - 366 BL Depth Hcrit 6183 - - 9673 - - 10216 - - 9131 - - 5199 Hcrit BL Top 7212 - - 11285 - - 11908 - - 11177 - - 5215 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1898 - - 2347 - - 2853 - - 2493 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* 331 - - 622 - - 662 - - 450 - - 25 W* B/S 292 - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 8 - - 14 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 010 - - 019 - - 026 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 16 - - -14 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -171 - - 1592 - - 557 - - 675 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7384 - - 9694 - - 11352 - - 10502 - - 5215 sfcLCL ODpotential -3265 - - 917 - - -795 - - -946 - - -3483 ODpotential blCL 10477 - - 10368 - - 12703 - - 12123 - - 8698 blCL maxRH 83 - - 92 - - 83 - - 80 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 450 - - 780 - - 720 - - 910 - - 1400 CAPE Temp@2m 71.4 - - 80.0 - - 84.7 - - 82.0 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.6 - - 55.2 - - 52.6 - - 53.6 - - 62.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.2 - - 77.8 - - 81.6 - - 80.2 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.6 - - 55.2 - - 52.6 - - 53.6 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 209 - - 508 - - 557 - - 195 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2363 - - 6436 - - 7059 - - 6328 - - 366 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 67 - - 34 - - 19 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98998 33 088 40 104 41 108 34 106 29 087 98998 92402 31 089 34 095 37 096 33 089 34 084 92402 87121 28 089 30 094 32 090 33 079 35 083 87121 82659 25 094 27 094 25 088 33 083 35 087 82659 78782 23 093 24 091 20 083 31 080 34 086 78782 75341 22 086 22 085 20 090 25 079 29 077 75341 72225 22 080 22 084 21 097 19 090 24 072 72225 69361 20 075 22 085 21 098 16 091 23 064 69361 66711 20 074 19 079 21 087 14 081 20 055 66711 64155 20 078 15 081 20 068 18 073 18 060 64155 61500 17 083 16 076 13 043 15 053 16 055 61500 58765 13 093 12 063 11 031 13 031 15 029 58765 56189 12 079 11 032 10 017 16 008 12 006 56189 53899 7 037 12 002 9 346 14 356 3 001 53899 51838 10 326 15 350 13 348 17 355 12 004 51838 49948 18 289 19 316 23 322 26 337 27 343 49948 48206 22 280 21 286 31 305 33 323 34 334 48206 46586 23 277 24 280 32 291 33 310 35 327 46586 45068 23 273 30 286 29 287 32 298 33 322 45068 43639 23 271 31 290 28 292 29 290 30 315 43639 42287 21 274 32 291 30 295 28 286 29 309 42287 40974 20 280 32 289 33 293 26 286 29 304 40974 39634 19 281 30 281 33 288 25 290 30 302 39634 38239 18 276 25 266 30 282 28 290 31 300 38239 36791 11 274 20 259 25 272 30 281 33 298 36791 35276 8 280 19 261 21 260 26 270 33 296 35276 33681 11 287 19 265 18 255 23 267 32 298 33681 32008 14 285 16 276 16 261 20 274 30 303 32008 30254 14 281 13 294 12 290 22 299 31 308 30254 28422 10 282 12 299 17 324 23 306 30 311 28422 26513 5 302 11 287 19 323 22 306 26 308 26513 24523 7 313 7 278 15 308 21 301 24 305 24523 22448 7 329 4 325 13 290 20 308 22 314 22448 20329 8 354 10 337 14 322 19 336 19 329 20329 18278 15 354 14 339 18 002 22 359 20 347 18278 16408 18 352 19 357 22 012 25 003 25 005 16408 14742 13 348 20 003 23 009 25 359 29 013 14742 13263 7 333 17 359 21 001 21 355 30 015 13263 11950 7 325 12*358 16*352 15*360 26 016 11950 10785 10 326 8*001 13*354 13*010 18 021 10785 9753 11 326 7 004 13 005 14 018 9 038 9753 8844 9 327 8 007 14 016 14 024 6 065 8844 8041 6 333 8 010 14 020 15 027 7 074 8041 7322 2*328 8 012 15 024 15 030 9 078 7322 6689 0*345 8 014 15 027 15 031 10 079 6689 6161 0 021 8 015 15 028 16 033 11 081 6161 5757 0 002 8 015 15 030 16 033 10 085 5757 5480 0 341 8 016 15 031 15 034 8 084 5480 5312 0 355 8 016 15 031 15 034 7 079 5312 5215 0 336 8 016 14 031 13 034 4*075 5215 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography