DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 54.5 - - 59.2 - - 58.2 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 147 - - 549 - - 518 - - 91 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1672 - - 5985 - - 6812 - - 5278 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5542 - - 9336 - - 9985 - - 7806 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 6521 - - 10834 - - 11661 - - 10127 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1668 - - 2069 - - 1249 - - 1740 - - 451 Hgt.Variab. W* 262 - - 623 - - 638 - - 328 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 23 - - 24 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 294 - - 287 - - 298 - - 314 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -10 - - -9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1525 - - -289 - - -2276 - - -4930 - - -7500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8046 - - 11123 - - 13938 - - 15058 - - 12653 sfcLCL ODpotential -4282 - - -2158 - - -8753 - - -11976 - - -16753 ODpotential blCL 10803 - - 12992 - - 20414 - - 22103 - - 21906 blCL maxRH 62 - - 53 - - 41 - - 34 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 54.5 - - 59.2 - - 58.2 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 23.6 - - 15.7 - - 10.1 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 51.7 - - 56.5 - - 57.3 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.5 - - 23.6 - - 15.6 - - 10.0 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 147 - - 549 - - 518 - - 91 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1672 - - 5985 - - 6812 - - 5278 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97276 18 287 20 303 26 301 33 306 18 309 97276 90075 1 126 17 288 12 282 17 306 15 317 90075 84513 8 253 3 208 8 187 4 203 4 007 84513 79813 8 188 13 131 13 149 10 173 2 075 79813 75725 10 189 9 238 4 110 6 112 11 130 75725 72098 3 199 17 194 14 198 14 224 4 264 72098 68832 16 230 20 233 25 176 17 216 15 239 68832 65860 29 247 32 255 29 250 26 247 22 245 65860 63131 38 252 36 260 41 265 35 269 29 267 63131 60515 37 255 45 262 41 280 41 280 41 277 60515 57805 42 272 48 269 53 283 53 283 54 277 57805 54990 57 284 57 280 65 281 63 281 62 278 54990 52289 75 284 67 285 71 282 72 283 69 282 52289 49841 81 284 73 288 77 285 81 286 78 284 49841 47636 80 289 81 290 85 289 88 288 86 284 47636 45630 79 296 91 292 95 290 93 288 88 285 45630 43793 83 303 102 294 104 289 98 289 91 286 43793 42105 95 307 113 295 110 287 104 285 94 285 42105 40544 110 303 119 294 112 286 108 282 95 282 40544 39090 124 298 120 294 112 287 107 283 95 285 39090 37734 131 294 117 296 109 288 99 286 83 288 37734 36439 130 295 113 299 102 293 89 290 72 291 36439 35138 125 299 107 303 98 299 83 297 69 294 35138 33802 124 304 105 306 97 302 81 301 69 296 33802 32434 123 309 107 309 95 303 80 301 68 298 32434 31022 120 312 108 311 91 305 79 300 65 297 31022 29559 117 313 106 312 88 307 76 301 61 296 29559 28047 114 314 104 313 85 309 73 304 58 298 28047 26486 108 313 100 315 83 312 69 306 56 299 26486 24880 104 313 95 315 83 315 66 311 55 302 24880 23231 96 316 89 314 82 315 64 316 51 308 23231 21537 78 318 84 315 79 315 62 320 45 313 21537 19790 57 315 77 318 74 317 61 321 42 314 19790 18023 38 307 62 319 69 322 58 321 41 315 18023 16327 30 294 43 321 64 326 55 324 39 318 16327 14785 27 289 33 320 54 328 52 330 35 326 14785 13413 25 291 30 311 39 325 44 334 30 333 13413 12190 23 294 28 298 26*311 31 330 24 336 12190 11097 22 296 26*292 24*301 22*318 21 334 11097 10117 22 296 24*290 24 300 21*316 18 327 10117 9237 23 297 24 289 24 299 20 316 17 323 9237 8451 26 298 24 288 24 298 20 315 16 324 8451 7746 28 299 24 287 24 297 20 314 16 324 7746 7104 29*299 23 286 24 297 20 314 15 323 7104 6529 26*298 23 286 24 296 19 313 15 322 6529 6043 22 294 23 285 23 296 19 313 13 320 6043 5666 21 293 22 285 23 295 18 313 12 318 5666 5404 19 292 21 285 22 295 17 313 9 313 5404 5245 17 291 19 285 21 295 16 312 7 306 5245 5153 13 290 17 284 17 295 13 313 5*301 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography