DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0953z - - 1330z - - 1555z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 40.1 - - 43.9 - - 42.8 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 79 - - 301 - - 307 - - 97 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1265 - - 2806 - - 3685 - - 2659 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 6646 - - 7311 - - 5994 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 6114 - - 7655 - - 8534 - - 7508 - - 5152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 817 - - 974 - - 1139 - - 1118 - - 1578 Hgt.Variab. W* 198 - - 400 - - 437 - - 267 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 18 - - 14 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 152 - - 181 - - 198 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -3 - - -10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -83 - - 859 - - 927 - - 406 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6197 - - 6797 - - 7607 - - 7102 - - 5152 sfcLCL ODpotential -6241 - - -1324 - - 412 - - -3515 - - -7029 ODpotential blCL 12355 - - 8979 - - 8122 - - 11023 - - 12181 blCL maxRH 88 - - 84 - - 100 - - 90 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 40.1 - - 43.9 - - 42.8 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 28.7 - - 28.7 - - 29.9 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 38.2 - - 41.9 - - 41.9 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.6 - - 27.6 - - 28.6 - - 29.9 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 79 - - 301 - - 307 - - 97 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1265 - - 2806 - - 3685 - - 2659 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 35 - - 101 - - 60 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96804 16 274 20 259 28 262 27 262 39 284 96804 89367 15 243 22 247 18 254 13 269 21 274 89367 83701 7 250 14 243 14 235 11 246 14 263 83701 79036 2 254 8 222 12 186 15 212 5 254 79036 75036 4 238 5 253 3 166 10 201 5 178 75036 71516 9 252 4 296 7 305 4 248 4 164 71516 68353 8 249 5 264 10 291 4 008 2 177 68353 65456 9 256 13 275 17 297 18 314 10 329 65456 62769 11 270 19 251 24 274 25 280 22 302 62769 60170 16 281 21 258 27 275 32 280 29 289 60170 57444 38 262 34 266 41 257 41 278 41 283 57444 54593 40 267 46 261 43 260 50 269 47 274 54593 51851 53 273 48 260 48 261 49 259 44 278 51851 49370 60 267 50 266 43 269 44 281 51 291 49370 47150 60 270 54 267 53 289 68 301 69 285 47150 45154 65 269 61 275 73 289 87 287 72 278 45154 43338 68 268 70 278 76 285 79 281 60 278 43338 41665 64 270 64 276 62 290 63 296 54 303 41665 40114 54 281 55 287 65 304 78 315 74 313 40114 38668 55 290 55 296 73 302 85 313 85 307 38668 37319 53 289 54 294 66 301 83 311 88 305 37319 36029 51 290 50 289 59 305 78 313 87 307 36029 34734 51 293 44 288 57 306 70 316 83 307 34734 33406 52 297 45 290 60 304 62 315 74 309 33406 32052 57 302 47 292 60 297 57 303 65 307 32052 30660 60 303 50 289 54 289 55 290 58 300 30660 29216 59 305 52 285 47 284 51 286 55 293 29216 27721 56 307 50 280 43 286 43 294 54 293 27721 26176 50 312 41 278 44 285 40 286 55 292 26176 24586 43 306 33 273 47 283 38 281 56 293 24586 22953 39 287 39 276 50 287 39 285 53 293 22953 21279 35 282 41 289 49 293 42 282 46 286 21279 19561 30 280 39 294 41 296 36 279 38 277 19561 17828 30 276 32 288 29 296 28 282 37 268 17828 16166 27 273 28 282 24 290 26 278 38 268 16166 14652 22 268 25 278 23 284 28 276 35 270 14652 13300 18 269 21 269 22 271 29 279 31 272 13300 12088 14 268 16 260 18 254 27 281 27 275 12088 11000 6 214 10 225 14 237 22 275 23 279 11000 10023 11 123 8 148 11 202 18 263 19 275 10023 9146 15 109 13 148 12*182 13 251 16 263 9146 8364 17 120 18 150 13*181 10 217 15 245 8364 7668 21 132 18*152 14 180 11*200 15 220 7668 7041 26 140 19*152 15 181 11*198 16 194 7041 6483 25*141 19 152 15 181 12 198 19 176 6483 6013 21*142 19 152 15 182 12 198 18 176 6013 5648 18 141 18 152 15 182 12 198 16 180 5648 5396 17 141 17 151 14 183 11 198 12 184 5396 5241 15 141 16 151 14 183 11 198 9 187 5241 5152 12 141 14 151 12 183 9 198 5*191 5152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography