DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 75.9 - - 80.1 - - 77.0 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 94 - - 424 - - 373 - - 14 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 936 - - 5582 - - 8423 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 8916 - - 11142 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5785 - - 10431 - - 13272 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2113 - - 1383 - - 1613 - - 9207 - - 561 Hgt.Variab. W* 186 - - 558 - - 614 - - 69 - - 7 W* B/S 4 - - 21 - - 17 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 131 - - 155 - - 135 - - 115 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - 18 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3670 - - -2663 - - -1067 - - -8371 - - -5312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9455 - - 13095 - - 14339 - - 13526 - - 10468 sfcLCL ODpotential -8726 - - -6726 - - -4591 - - -11885 - - -11025 ODpotential blCL 14511 - - 17157 - - 17863 - - 17040 - - 16180 blCL maxRH 53 - - 50 - - 63 - - 71 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 75.9 - - 80.1 - - 77.0 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 36.3 - - 34.7 - - 35.5 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.3 - - 73.1 - - 77.4 - - 76.7 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 36.1 - - 34.6 - - 35.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 94 - - 424 - - 373 - - 14 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 936 - - 5582 - - 8423 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98243 18 109 10 125 20 090 18 087 19 101 98243 90748 17 098 21 122 17 109 15 111 16 067 90748 84999 13 082 22 103 22 123 11 126 13 065 84999 80233 13 077 18 088 26 117 18 134 11 100 80233 76148 11 108 9 077 20 103 15 128 9 103 76148 72567 10 106 7 134 12 118 10 129 9 083 72567 69335 8 087 7 100 8 090 7 132 8 119 69335 66384 9 114 5 146 8 057 9 050 10 133 66384 63685 10 121 8 183 1 120 10 018 8 099 63685 61096 9 133 12 190 11 230 10 300 3 321 61096 58410 4 143 13 176 16 211 11 249 10 270 58410 55642 9 266 10 213 15 222 17 229 20 245 55642 53011 19 260 17 244 19 241 22 233 25 237 53011 50633 24 246 26 242 31 247 33 243 34 243 50633 48482 30 244 32 241 38 241 40 242 42 244 48482 46509 35 245 37 241 42 239 45 242 45 248 46509 44684 40 249 40 247 44 245 46 250 48 254 44684 42987 46 255 48 255 51 254 51 255 54 258 42987 41399 47 258 55 256 55 254 53 256 58 257 41399 39905 43 260 53 256 53 254 53 257 58 256 39905 38501 38 263 46 257 48 254 51 256 55 255 38501 37155 33 266 39 259 43 256 47 256 52 256 37155 35802 28 265 34 260 39 258 44 257 48 258 35802 34417 25 264 29 257 34 258 39 252 43 255 34417 33008 20 267 28 254 32 256 39 247 39 249 33008 31565 14 265 22 254 29 255 35 246 36 247 31565 30076 15 275 18 264 22 258 23 245 32 241 30076 28544 16 287 21 270 18 261 22 250 27 231 28544 26962 15 279 16 274 15 258 23 256 21 236 26962 25331 12 278 14 269 13 258 19 268 15 250 25331 23655 9 300 11 273 13 263 15 274 10 267 23655 21930 6 338 2 296 9 256 9 278 6 275 21930 20153 5 128 6 170 9 235 8 274 4 320 20153 18357 12 124 11 153 10 193 9 236 4 313 18357 16637 14 115 12 138 12 156 9 189 4 216 16637 15077 15 113 13 132 13 151 8 164 8 180 15077 13684 16 120 15 134 9*149 2 158 5 165 13684 12437 15 125 15 137 7*146 2 136 4 332 12437 11314 10 130 10*143 6 145 3 127 4 343 11314 10302 6 138 6*153 6 143 5 121 2 060 10302 9392 4 135 5 155 6 138 7 119 4 149 9392 8575 4 123 5 156 6 134 8 117 9 167 8575 7843 4 116 5 156 6 132 9 117 13 167 7843 7177 6 121 5 155 7 128 9 116 16 161 7177 6581 9 129 5 155 7 126 9 116 19 153 6581 6077 12*132 4 154 7 124 10 116 22 146 6077 5686 11*132 4 152 7 123 10 115 21 145 5686 5415 8 131 4 151 7 122 9 115 16 148 5415 5250 7 131 4 151 6 123 9 115 12*148 5250 5155 6 131 4 151 6 121 8*115 5*151 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography