DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 61.0 - - 66.3 - - 61.0 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 238 - - 197 - - -15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1083 - - 3547 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5315 - - 7028 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 5932 - - 8396 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 841 - - 2267 - - 5345 - - 147 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 267 - - 372 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 12 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 235 - - 232 - - 188 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -13 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6372 - - -9681 - - -7668 - - -9820 - - -7785 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11526 - - 15614 - - 16064 - - 14975 - - 12939 sfcLCL ODpotential -15183 - - -14048 - - -11012 - - -13921 - - -14738 ODpotential blCL 20336 - - 19980 - - 19408 - - 19075 - - 19891 blCL maxRH 61 - - 95 - - 91 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 61.0 - - 66.3 - - 61.0 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.7 - - 10.8 - - 13.6 - - 13.5 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 59.2 - - 64.7 - - 62.9 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.6 - - 10.6 - - 13.5 - - 13.4 - - 8.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 238 - - 197 - - -15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1083 - - 3547 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 80 - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96911 25 255 35 281 25 267 27 284 26 285 96911 89633 17 287 12 284 13 256 17 262 17 286 89633 84042 8 299 9 258 10 298 9 271 14 272 84042 79412 4 305 6 251 11 302 9 272 9 272 79412 75403 5 226 12 251 8 304 12 282 10 279 75403 71865 5 222 6 276 11 284 5 337 12 272 71865 68674 14 269 13 275 17 270 11 277 9 282 68674 65754 12 275 16 279 14 299 22 279 21 280 65754 63098 18 274 16 264 23 289 27 278 23 251 63098 60556 34 264 34 262 35 259 24 248 19 232 60556 57869 52 259 48 257 37 261 26 272 33 266 57869 55037 63 260 59 267 56 268 53 274 63 264 55037 52319 64 263 63 269 70 269 73 267 69 261 52319 49856 68 264 69 266 78 267 83 265 73 264 49856 47638 76 263 78 263 88 264 92 263 86 268 47638 45616 84 261 87 261 99 261 99 260 95 268 45616 43756 90 259 94 259 102 259 99 258 96 268 43756 42036 93 256 98 257 101 257 95 259 94 269 42036 40446 93 255 99 255 100 254 91 260 92 270 40446 38977 96 257 101 253 100 250 89 261 88 269 38977 37614 103 257 104 253 102 248 87 262 84 268 37614 36317 107 256 105 250 105 246 84 262 79 272 36317 35015 104 255 104 247 104 245 83 260 76 277 35015 33679 97 254 101 246 101 243 81 257 75 279 33679 32312 87 253 95 246 97 243 78 254 74 278 32312 30901 78 252 88 246 89 244 74 253 73 279 30901 29440 68 252 78 247 77 244 68 252 72 279 29440 27930 61 251 69 246 68 243 64 249 71 276 27930 26373 56 250 62 243 64 241 63 245 68 270 26373 24775 52 249 60 241 61 240 63 244 63 263 24775 23148 48 249 58 242 57 240 63 245 58 254 23148 21488 44 250 53 244 53 242 61 247 57 249 21488 19779 41 252 47 247 50 244 58 250 56 248 19779 18047 39 254 42 250 47 248 56 253 52 250 18047 16380 37 255 38 252 44 252 52 255 47 251 16380 14861 35 254 35 253 42 256 47 257 42 253 14861 13501 35 253 33 255 40 260 41 258 38 255 13501 12279 34 252 32 257 38 264 34 258 36 256 12279 11177 34 253 31 260 33 266 24 256 32 251 11177 10183 33 255 30 262 26 267 17 254 27 245 10183 9287 32 255 29 264 18 264 12 249 23 237 9287 8487 30 254 27 264 14*256 10 241 18 226 8487 7769 28 252 24 262 12*242 9 231 15 214 7769 7117 27 250 21 258 12 235 9 218 11 199 7117 6535 28 247 20 248 12 232 9 209 8 161 6535 6044 29 243 19*241 12 230 9 203 11 118 6044 5665 27 240 17*237 11 228 9 198 13 095 5665 5403 22 240 16 235 11 228 9 195 12 082 5403 5244 17*239 15 235 11 227 7*191 9*073 5244 5153 10*240 13 234 9 227 5*188 6*071 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography