DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Minooka_IL 600ft pt36314@41.266,-88.244,595ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 58.4 - - 58.3 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - -33 - - -43 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 590 - - 590 - - 590 - - 591 Hcrit BL Top - - - 739 - - 607 - - 607 - - 607 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1806 - - 2594 - - 2029 - - 1825 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 69 - - 15 - - 11 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 19 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 190 - - 189 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1748 - - -321 - - -21 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2487 - - 928 - - 628 - - 607 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6689 - - -1141 - - -832 - - -1292 ODpotential blCL - - - 7428 - - 1748 - - 1439 - - 1899 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 730 - - 450 - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 58.4 - - 58.3 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.7 - - 55.8 - - 56.7 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 59.2 - - 59.1 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 55.4 - - 56.6 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - -33 - - -43 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 101 - - 101 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96430 20 244 16 271 13 258 18 245 96430 89286 8 255 6 260 13 266 9 272 89286 83754 3 304 5 232 13 269 15 307 83754 79143 7 317 6 258 6 219 16 295 79143 75154 9 275 13 298 4 283 12 292 75154 71609 14 302 13 279 6 282 11 278 71609 68376 20 286 15 276 14 292 13 286 68376 65385 29 290 26 267 24 263 20 281 65385 62599 36 277 29 261 25 252 29 264 62599 59901 34 265 31 255 29 254 26 261 59901 57072 34 266 34 257 34 255 27 261 57072 54114 42 260 39 246 36 251 32 262 54114 51279 49 253 41 244 42 253 41 265 51279 48718 55 247 43 247 45 250 44 249 48718 46417 55 245 54 243 53 245 46 241 46417 44340 64 243 61 241 62 238 60 233 44340 42448 68 243 71 238 70 232 65 221 42448 40715 68 239 73 234 67 224 64 220 40715 39131 68 236 68 225 66 220 78 224 39131 37690 67 230 65 221 67 219 85 216 37690 36366 68 230 63 220 68 221 78 205 36366 35096 72 234 62 222 67 226 80 199 35096 33801 74 238 60 224 65 228 81 200 33801 32452 73 239 58 224 62 228 82 200 32452 31049 70 235 55 224 61 227 81 200 31049 29580 68 232 56 224 63 225 79 200 29580 28032 64 229 59 224 66 224 77 199 28032 26408 61 228 60 223 66 224 75 198 26408 24705 59 229 64 219 64 222 73 198 24705 22928 56 229 61 222 63 220 68 199 22928 21080 54 225 63 223 65 217 61 202 21080 19156 55 221 64 221 71 214 56 209 19156 17154 60 214 66 219 71 211 60 217 17154 15118 65 210 72 212 73 210 63 224 15118 13158 65 200 70 211 70 207 58 227 13158 11373 60 195 62 214 62 211 52 227 11373 9782 52 200 53 218 60 218 47 223 9782 8367 43 207 46 225 55 220 41 219 8367 7109 43 216 47 230 53 220 42 214 7109 5991 50 220 54 227 54 218 50 210 5991 4999 55 216 60 216 59 210 56 206 4999 4122 58 209 61 206 62 200 56 203 4122 3348 56 203 59 203 59 197 54 200 3348 2655 50 198 56 200 55 195 51 196 2655 2041 42 192 51 196 50 195 47 193 2041 1529 36 188 45 194 45 193 41 189 1529 1136 30 185 40 192 39 191 35 186 1136 865 26*183 33 191 32 190 29 185 865 701 22*182 28*191 28*189 25*184 701 607 16 181 20*190 19*189 16*183 607 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography