DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Minooka_IL 600ft pt36314@41.266,-88.244,595ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1008z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.2 - - 48.8 - - 56.6 - - 59.1 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 72 - - 102 - - 7 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 378 - - 2399 - - 2920 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 579 - - 580 - - 1626 - - 580 - - 580 Hcrit BL Top 596 - - 978 - - 2999 - - 3520 - - 598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 200 - - 864 - - 2078 - - 2440 - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 125 - - 266 - - 157 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 278 - - 277 - - 255 - - 254 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -353 - - -641 - - -68 - - 244 - - -1744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 950 - - 1619 - - 3067 - - 3276 - - 2343 sfcLCL ODpotential -4522 - - -2590 - - -1866 - - -1816 - - -8063 ODpotential blCL 5118 - - 3568 - - 4865 - - 5336 - - 8661 blCL maxRH 86 - - 86 - - 73 - - 73 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.2 - - 48.8 - - 56.6 - - 59.1 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 44.2 - - 45.5 - - 47.1 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 48.2 - - 55.7 - - 58.8 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 43.4 - - 43.5 - - 45.1 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 72 - - 102 - - 7 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 378 - - 2399 - - 2920 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97547 28 274 27 267 28 256 34 265 35 267 97547 90341 14 275 21 253 20 262 18 252 21 257 90341 84758 11 283 16 247 18 270 16 264 16 256 84758 80068 11 268 12 251 13 251 14 265 14 251 80068 75990 11 268 14 265 13 253 16 271 13 284 75990 72363 11 282 15 262 16 244 19 253 18 280 72363 69071 13 291 13 271 10 249 14 244 17 267 69071 66041 20 278 21 276 14 274 15 261 17 261 66041 63229 25 269 24 262 20 260 19 272 18 270 63229 60502 28 253 25 262 23 266 26 276 25 278 60502 57668 27 275 30 272 30 268 30 268 30 276 57668 54744 41 272 32 264 31 262 30 263 31 268 54744 51957 43 261 36 276 35 274 33 280 29 274 51957 49454 46 266 44 275 42 277 44 285 35 286 49454 47230 54 269 45 267 46 273 47 281 42 287 47230 45227 56 264 43 273 46 275 44 277 44 284 45227 43394 52 261 51 280 45 276 38 283 43 284 43394 41699 52 269 55 277 40 280 39 300 40 291 41699 40129 58 275 49 277 42 296 41 306 38 301 40129 38675 61 277 48 292 46 302 38 312 34 306 38675 37317 60 278 55 300 47 306 37 327 30 313 37317 36009 60 282 57 301 44 311 43 340 33 322 36009 34681 63 287 51 304 42 325 46 343 37 323 34681 33302 66 292 47 317 48 344 49 340 39 318 33302 31871 67 297 51 332 58 352 54 333 41 314 31871 30372 64 301 58 340 63 352 56 327 43 312 30372 28793 60 308 63 342 64 349 56 325 45 309 28793 27134 58 318 63 343 62 347 53 325 46 306 27134 25391 59 326 62 342 58 343 48 324 45 305 25391 23564 60 329 60 340 54 338 45 324 46 305 23564 21655 59 330 58 338 50 333 43 323 46 306 21655 19657 57 330 55 336 48 328 42 322 45 306 19657 17566 54 328 53 333 49 322 40 321 43 304 17566 15430 49 327 51 331 46 321 36 318 39 305 15430 13375 43 326 46 331 39 326 31 316 33 306 13375 11513 37 325 39 330 31 330 26 315 28 309 11513 9865 34 326 33 328 26 329 22 312 25 310 9865 8406 33 327 29 327 23 324 20 312 22 305 8406 7117 32 329 28 324 21 314 17 308 18 299 7117 5981 31 332 26 317 22 303 19 295 16 292 5981 4982 25 334 21 317 21 300 19 286 15 279 4982 4105 19 329 14 324 19 292 18*281 14 266 4105 3331 14 321 9 316 17*278 15*261 12 265 3331 2638 11 323 10 291 13*262 14 255 12 266 2638 2026 10 322 12 281 11 255 14 253 10 267 2026 1515 11 309 14 281 10 254 13 253 10 266 1515 1123 15 299 13*280 10 253 13 252 9 262 1123 853 14 290 9*277 9 253 12 251 8 251 853 690 12*287 8 276 9 253 11 251 7*236 690 597 4*278 7 277 8 253 9 250 5*226 597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography