DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 67.7 - - 73.7 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 102 - - 16 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1029 - - 3496 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 711 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 996 - - 1769 - - 4236 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 344 - - 651 - - 1732 - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 191 - - 160 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 229 - - 219 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1438 - - -2103 - - -443 - - -922 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2434 - - 3873 - - 4679 - - 1650 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9007 - - -3898 - - -3450 - - -6904 ODpotential blCL - - - 10003 - - 5667 - - 7686 - - 7632 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 93 - - 84 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 880 - - 380 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 67.7 - - 73.7 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 53.4 - - 55.7 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 67.1 - - 73.7 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 53.2 - - 55.5 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 102 - - 16 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1029 - - 3496 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 73 - - 37 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95795 62 256 55 259 67 259 64 260 95795 88872 41 262 40 262 40 261 46 258 88872 83506 23 278 30 251 34 267 32 282 83506 79037 19 287 18 273 27 273 26 296 79037 75171 18 303 16 308 15 284 15 302 75171 71723 16 313 18 305 17 297 18 304 71723 68571 20 317 21 303 22 297 21 296 68571 65656 22 298 21 297 29 297 26 308 65656 62948 19 297 24 289 36 291 35 304 62948 60327 27 305 25 300 35 297 47 305 60327 57594 39 314 44 312 46 300 48 295 57594 54753 58 302 52 303 44 301 47 299 54753 52042 61 302 56 315 62 306 62 306 52042 49609 61 305 75 311 76 308 66 314 49609 47433 65 310 87 309 84 307 75 313 47433 45467 75 314 87 310 80 309 74 315 45467 43665 78 311 81 310 77 310 85 321 43665 41995 81 305 78 307 68 313 94 318 41995 40443 67 300 69 312 67 313 86 318 40443 38991 62 301 63 316 61 312 77 319 38991 37626 60 310 55 314 53 319 78 321 37626 36306 54 317 43 319 56 323 82 325 36306 34963 52 320 43 322 54 319 85 329 34963 33567 49 320 46 317 42 321 77 328 33567 32118 42 322 45 313 36 328 63 322 32118 30606 36 324 38 311 36 333 47 309 30606 29016 35 317 33 308 31 329 30 303 29016 27348 36 309 31 309 28 322 21 308 27348 25597 37 309 31 310 28 318 21 300 25597 23765 38 310 32 310 27 312 25 300 23765 21860 37 311 30 310 30 306 25 299 21860 19877 35 310 28 317 30 305 24 298 19877 17812 34 305 25 314 22 304 22 293 17812 15704 31 301 23 301 20 291 20 277 15704 13671 30 301 23 287 22 284 21 278 13671 11821 25 303 23 288 21 291 19 279 11821 10173 22 293 26 288 20 296 19 281 10173 8708 24 281 29 282 21 295 18 284 8708 7403 25 261 27 262 27 276 23 283 7403 6246 20 254 24 245 30 257 28 268 6246 5224 17 265 23 242 26 242 28 252 5224 4326 18 266 22 242 22*230 26 239 4326 3532 18 267 21 249 20*224 26 230 3532 2821 20 270 21 250 19 221 27 223 2821 2193 24 264 19*247 18 219 27 217 2193 1669 24 247 14*232 17 218 27 212 1669 1266 21*242 12 229 16 217 25 207 1266 990 13*231 12 228 15 216 20 200 990 823 11 230 11 227 14 216 16*197 823 727 9 229 9 227 11 215 7*191 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography