DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 71.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - -3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1356 - - 292 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 711 - - 712 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2096 - - 1032 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1056 - - 1367 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 220 - - 30 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 16 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 160 - - 185 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 157 - - 304 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1939 - - 728 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -20 - - -152 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2116 - - 1184 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 100 - - 660 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 71.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 70.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.4 - - 71.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.6 - - 69.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - -3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1356 - - 292 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97508 22 260 29 270 97508 90260 17 263 15 248 90260 84675 18 275 11 231 84675 80045 8 221 13 259 80045 76050 7 180 13 251 76050 72525 6 209 14 229 72525 69351 12 233 14 235 69351 66443 15 235 14 254 66443 63751 19 249 20 258 63751 61145 25 243 26 250 61145 58439 30 245 29 257 58439 55646 41 248 45 254 55646 53008 56 242 61 244 53008 50647 58 241 64 239 50647 48516 61 242 65 237 48516 46563 69 242 70 241 46563 44757 76 245 78 243 44757 43072 80 243 85 241 43072 41490 79 242 83 241 41490 39999 76 241 81 242 39999 38587 74 241 80 242 38587 37217 72 240 78 239 37217 35822 69 241 76 237 35822 34372 64 243 75 236 34372 32868 62 242 74 236 32868 31298 59 239 66 233 31298 29650 57 238 60 235 29650 27921 57 234 56 232 27921 26110 56 236 56 227 26110 24223 59 239 60 229 24223 22263 57 240 60 227 22263 20225 55 245 58 233 20225 18108 54 249 58 238 18108 15955 52 248 56 247 15955 13882 47 243 53 251 13882 11996 44 235 51 247 11996 10319 38 226 43 244 10319 8829 26 218 36 235 8829 7506 25 209 36 228 7506 6328 26 210 38 222 6328 5286 25 208 38 214 5286 4370 23 200 37 208 4370 3563 21 191 34 205 3563 2843 20 182 32 203 2843 2207 18*173 31 201 2207 1678 14*161 27 195 1678 1272 14 160 23*190 1272 994 13 159 19*186 994 825 12 159 17 185 825 728 10 159 12 184 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography