DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.6 - - 72.6 - - 82.7 - - 86.5 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 115 - - 310 - - 212 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1237 - - 3621 - - 5637 - - 973 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 3137 - - 4510 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1977 - - 4361 - - 6377 - - 1713 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 225 - - 678 - - 2204 - - 3458 - - 1289 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 223 - - 428 - - 438 - - 95 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 16 - - 18 - - 27 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 200 - - 208 - - 184 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 15 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -43 - - -799 - - -2214 - - -476 - - 129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 771 - - 2776 - - 6576 - - 6853 - - 1584 sfcLCL ODpotential -5758 - - -4804 - - -5301 - - -1930 - - -1568 ODpotential blCL 6486 - - 6781 - - 9662 - - 8307 - - 3281 blCL maxRH 92 - - 78 - - 63 - - 81 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 840 - - 600 - - 310 - - 950 - - 2030 CAPE Temp@2m 61.6 - - 72.6 - - 82.7 - - 86.5 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.3 - - 62.5 - - 56.1 - - 58.5 - - 68.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.8 - - 71.8 - - 81.1 - - 85.2 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.1 - - 61.3 - - 55.2 - - 57.9 - - 68.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 115 - - 310 - - 212 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1237 - - 3621 - - 5637 - - 973 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 13 - - 0 - - 25 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 10 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98099 10 086 9 093 8 118 2 128 9 079 98099 90573 13 119 11 132 14 131 17 167 7 138 90573 84757 6 088 15 122 14 146 11 173 4 162 84757 79959 7 149 9 088 13 127 9 164 3 225 79959 75860 5 091 4 135 3 049 5 163 7 185 75860 72240 5 282 2 203 6 323 4 241 4 211 72240 68959 9 290 5 275 9 262 9 293 3 247 68959 65933 13 279 7 280 16 243 19 274 17 298 65933 63143 10 288 7 280 15 246 17 249 20 277 63143 60459 25 300 22 295 19 282 10 276 15 244 60459 57653 35 274 35 276 31 273 25 289 18 263 57653 54747 32 264 38 258 37 258 40 269 32 266 54747 51995 36 275 37 263 36 254 42 258 38 264 51995 49537 45 276 44 271 36 265 42 257 43 263 49537 47360 50 272 48 273 42 269 42 255 46 259 47360 45424 42 279 49 277 48 280 45 280 47 265 45424 43674 48 295 52 286 69 285 63 280 50 264 43674 42058 63 293 71 287 79 269 61 261 50 248 42058 40544 55 290 79 288 81 263 63 249 51 246 40544 39113 45 295 80 290 81 268 59 246 52 239 39113 37752 45 298 62 288 81 270 54 248 48 232 37752 36430 46 296 46 276 73 270 52 250 47 233 36430 35081 46 292 43 277 59 265 49 252 46 236 35081 33674 45 288 41 283 53 259 47 253 41 242 33674 32214 45 286 41 282 50 260 44 254 35 246 32214 30685 44 284 42 277 50 261 39 258 30 246 30685 29076 43 283 41 271 54 258 36 264 28 248 29076 27389 41 280 40 269 51 258 37 267 20 249 27389 25625 41 273 40 262 43 262 38 263 15 251 25625 23786 45 268 45 261 38 268 38 260 14 264 23786 21874 47 272 45 267 34 269 33 267 15 275 21874 19885 43 276 41 270 30 259 27 263 12 272 19885 17811 38 278 38 267 35 251 25 238 14 242 17811 15699 32 280 34 263 35 248 28 230 14 249 15699 13669 27 279 30 267 27 238 29 232 17 243 13669 11825 21 289 25 273 19 230 32 237 18 228 11825 10186 18 294 23 273 16 227 34 236 20 214 10186 8730 15 297 19 255 20 224 30 225 23 203 8730 7434 12 302 14 240 21 218 23*213 27 200 7434 6280 11 301 11 231 22 216 19*193 31 199 6280 5258 11 295 9 231 21 216 19 186 35 195 5258 4356 13 293 7 250 18*211 19 185 37 189 4356 3557 13 287 6 258 17*210 19 184 38 187 3557 2841 13 274 8 241 17 209 19 183 37 189 2841 2207 16 269 9*222 16 209 18 181 35*190 2207 1680 16 261 8*201 16 208 18 181 33*191 1680 1274 13 243 8 201 15 207 17 181 30 191 1274 995 11 228 8 199 14 206 17 180 27 191 995 825 8*224 7 198 14 207 16 180 23 191 825 728 3*205 6 198 12 206 13 180 17 191 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography