DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.0 - - 34.6 - - 33.9 - - 28.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 10 - - 0 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 90 - - 1258 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - 830 - - 1998 - - 726 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1529 - - 1688 - - 2899 - - 671 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 97 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 296 - - 158 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4 - - 460 - - -503 - - -192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 834 - - 1538 - - 1229 - - 918 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -590 - - 96 - - -987 - - -6662 ODpotential blCL - - - 1420 - - 1902 - - 1713 - - 7388 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.0 - - 34.6 - - 33.9 - - 28.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 30.5 - - 31.2 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 34.7 - - 34.6 - - 31.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 30.0 - - 30.3 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 10 - - 0 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 90 - - 1258 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96230 10 034 12 096 3 093 2 166 96230 89025 5 079 2 249 3 326 2 139 89025 83440 6 317 5 236 6 261 6 263 83440 78792 11 255 11 264 11 250 18 252 78792 74801 15 279 23 266 16 274 19 262 74801 71281 19 279 29 263 27 261 28 274 71281 68095 24 275 31 267 33 264 33 268 68095 65150 39 276 40 270 41 263 39 283 65150 62410 42 269 42 267 48 270 50 279 62410 59748 47 271 49 263 56 269 51 266 59748 56947 58 264 56 262 60 265 54 270 56947 54024 67 264 66 259 62 269 68 273 54024 51235 73 259 68 255 82 262 83 270 51235 48722 75 265 71 262 81 252 97 258 48722 46456 86 263 94 260 75 256 88 253 46456 44381 91 258 92 251 82 262 82 258 44381 42472 85 257 76 248 91 266 86 265 42472 40714 82 259 82 263 98 265 93 266 40714 39095 81 259 91 265 98 265 98 266 39095 37596 77 259 91 262 100 267 105 266 37596 36197 75 262 86 259 103 265 115 264 36197 34853 76 263 80 264 97 262 117 259 34853 33492 80 262 81 267 87 263 111 257 33492 32093 74 261 76 265 80 266 104 258 32093 30663 62 266 64 271 75 267 99 259 30663 29186 57 266 65 284 76 266 94 260 29186 27644 46 268 68 285 78 264 84 260 27644 26034 43 280 56 285 69 269 77 263 26034 24352 41 296 50 280 62 270 63 270 24352 22598 39 301 53 278 61 269 59 270 22598 20773 38 296 52 280 53 270 52 267 20773 18871 36 291 47 280 49 271 48 269 18871 16889 33 288 40 277 45 262 44 275 16889 14872 30 285 31 272 39 258 35 285 14872 12930 28 286 24 268 31 257 37 278 12930 11166 26 289 21 270 26 260 34 267 11166 9600 24 291 18 273 23 265 27 265 9600 8210 22 291 16 275 21 271 25 261 8210 6976 19 296 16 276 21 277 24 258 6976 5883 20 291 14 278 25 285 20 258 5883 4916 18 276 16 282 27 286 21 252 4916 4066 16 273 17 270 18 274 21 243 4066 3321 15 275 15 268 13 261 12 241 3321 2659 12 286 13 280 9 254 8 189 2659 2078 10 309 9*292 4 257 13 156 2078 1594 8 320 7*296 2 262 15 148 1594 1223 7 311 7 297 2 264 15 146 1223 967 6*283 6 296 1 250 13 145 967 813 5*278 6 296 1*221 11*143 813 725 3 273 5 296 1*158 5*138 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography