DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.1 - - 28.8 - - 30.4 - - 26.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 63 - - 31 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 587 - - 1184 - - 1825 - - 148 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 708 - - 708 - - 708 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1327 - - 1924 - - 2565 - - 888 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 841 - - 628 - - 474 - - 2127 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 173 - - 160 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 039 - - 023 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1242 - - -702 - - 576 - - -736 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2570 - - 2626 - - 1989 - - 1625 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12526 - - -10945 - - 84 - - -1069 ODpotential blCL - - - 13853 - - 12869 - - 2481 - - 1957 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.1 - - 28.8 - - 30.4 - - 26.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.8 - - 20.1 - - 24.6 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.2 - - 28.4 - - 30.3 - - 27.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.8 - - 19.1 - - 23.6 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 63 - - 31 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 587 - - 1184 - - 1825 - - 148 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 94 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95983 51 246 56 248 53 264 48 273 95983 88789 39 264 42 259 41 274 37 260 88789 83321 34 269 30 267 32 268 31 256 83321 78805 29 282 29 269 26 265 29 266 78805 74881 32 299 29 274 27 267 33 282 74881 71383 34 295 27 283 27 267 35 280 71383 68185 29 282 24 275 26 268 30 277 68185 65218 22 291 22 278 26 280 32 278 65218 62455 35 297 28 279 35 282 34 273 62455 59764 42 271 35 277 40 268 37 265 59764 56931 44 269 42 274 43 268 39 260 56931 53969 58 271 48 274 49 269 47 268 53969 51133 68 266 57 266 59 266 58 267 51133 48579 62 264 53 255 63 259 60 261 48579 46286 61 269 51 268 62 255 55 259 46286 44206 69 271 65 273 58 259 53 265 44206 42309 73 267 71 271 58 269 55 266 42309 40569 71 263 72 268 61 269 59 267 40569 38962 62 263 71 264 64 265 56 266 38962 37474 63 267 68 261 62 262 51 264 37474 36087 72 267 65 263 57 261 43 261 36087 34759 79 260 61 265 49 266 37 263 34759 33425 79 255 63 259 49 271 28 266 33425 32063 82 256 64 258 51 269 12 287 32063 30670 85 257 57 259 45 266 8 351 30670 29221 87 255 50 261 32 269 9 359 29221 27700 86 255 43 265 25 276 8 351 27700 26103 81 255 40 271 26 281 6 322 26103 24427 69 260 38 276 29 278 9 295 24427 22673 50 265 36 275 30 275 14 286 22673 20846 43 266 35 273 29 274 21 286 20846 18941 39 271 34 271 26 273 20 293 18941 16946 40 268 33 267 24 272 20 296 16946 14904 44 264 32 265 21 272 17 295 14904 12932 41 266 30 262 20 268 14 297 12932 11143 27 268 23 256 23 260 15 298 11143 9560 20 263 14 272 14 268 16 293 9560 8162 14 287 11 301 10 308 14 300 8162 6922 12 303 9 307 14 324 12 309 6922 5824 10 279 8 315 12 330 10 328 5824 4858 10 277 8 337 12 349 9 352 4858 4016 7 302 9 010 11 013 9 015 4016 3280 5 010 10 036 12 029 13 029 3280 2630 8 070 11 047 15*025 15 027 2630 2059 13 086 11*042 15*024 15 025 2059 1582 12*085 11*040 14 023 15 023 1582 1216 11*083 11 039 14 023 14 020 1216 965 9 080 11 038 13 022 12*018 965 812 8 080 10 038 12 022 10*016 812 724 7 079 9 037 10 021 7 014 724 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography