DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 47.3 - - 49.2 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 83 - - 11 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 353 - - 1503 - - 1439 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 710 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1093 - - 2243 - - 2179 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1012 - - 577 - - 622 - - 991 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 99 - - 209 - - 116 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 312 - - 221 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -512 - - -686 - - -698 - - -142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1605 - - 2929 - - 2877 - - 869 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8226 - - -7876 - - -7553 - - -7218 ODpotential blCL - - - 9319 - - 10119 - - 9732 - - 7945 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 78 - - 76 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 47.3 - - 49.2 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 37.2 - - 39.3 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 46.9 - - 49.2 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 36.0 - - 38.1 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 83 - - 11 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 353 - - 1503 - - 1439 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 14 - - 5 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96054 19 321 15 337 21 315 20 327 96054 89094 18 016 16 012 16 357 16 353 89094 83683 19 024 15 024 19 018 17 012 83683 79159 20 013 14 016 19 003 17 005 79159 75241 18 003 13 357 12 350 11 007 75241 71760 16 328 14 324 16 310 17 346 71760 68587 20 299 16 303 18 300 21 312 68587 65669 25 273 24 297 22 294 26 293 65669 62969 24 271 29 279 30 281 30 284 62969 60339 30 277 33 281 34 275 35 282 60339 57565 35 272 42 269 41 274 38 278 57565 54668 37 270 39 260 47 270 47 276 54668 51894 49 257 47 266 54 268 51 272 51894 49386 52 253 56 263 52 267 50 272 49386 47132 54 254 55 261 50 267 50 278 47132 45089 57 255 51 265 49 270 47 278 45089 43223 57 260 60 268 49 276 46 280 43223 41508 62 259 65 261 52 276 44 281 41508 39921 60 257 60 263 49 277 41 292 39921 38446 55 261 58 267 44 282 44 307 38446 37074 54 270 59 268 43 288 47 311 37074 35764 53 269 50 267 40 286 42 306 35764 34440 43 273 36 266 33 285 30 307 34440 33066 39 278 27 280 28 293 31 310 33066 31641 36 283 26 276 31 291 39 308 31641 30149 33 286 27 278 32 286 42 305 30149 28580 31 284 27 276 32 289 42 303 28580 26932 31 273 27 271 32 294 38 299 26932 25201 30 272 27 275 31 296 34 296 25201 23388 27 275 24 279 28 295 34 296 23388 21497 24 281 18 278 22 288 36 298 21497 19521 20 291 14 291 22 285 37 302 19521 17462 18 293 19 289 27 287 35 299 17462 15365 23 281 20 286 29 295 30 294 15365 13352 17 280 20 301 29 310 30 295 13352 11527 21 305 22 313 25 315 33 303 11527 9911 22 317 21 315 22 309 30 309 9911 8474 18 326 19 314 23 307 30 314 8474 7196 14 334 17 317 24 308 26 311 7196 6061 14 342 16 322 20 306 25 307 6061 5058 14 347 14 329 15 303 23 297 5058 4179 14 354 12 336 12 298 20 280 4179 3407 13 004 10 335 7 280 18 266 3407 2720 11 014 6*323 7*234 18 255 2720 2117 9 063 3*313 6*223 17 243 2117 1619 10 071 3 311 6 222 17 241 1619 1238 9*065 3 312 6 220 17 242 1238 976 6*058 3 312 6 219 15 241 976 817 5 056 2 312 5 218 12*238 817 726 5 056 2 312 5 218 6*232 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography