DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 63.0 - - 70.5 - - 75.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 89 - - 196 - - 107 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 662 - - 1464 - - 2319 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 710 - - 711 - - 1393 - - 1676 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1402 - - 2204 - - 3059 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 216 - - 595 - - 705 - - 944 - - 2056 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 160 - - 272 - - 259 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 101 - - 101 - - 097 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 272 - - -555 - - -1056 - - -2360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 727 - - 1130 - - 2759 - - 4115 - - 3089 sfcLCL ODpotential -8896 - - 164 - - -6338 - - -5176 - - -7682 ODpotential blCL 9624 - - 1238 - - 8542 - - 8235 - - 8411 blCL maxRH 95 - - 99 - - 84 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 63.0 - - 70.5 - - 75.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.0 - - 60.5 - - 60.9 - - 60.3 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 62.5 - - 69.3 - - 75.0 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.6 - - 60.1 - - 60.2 - - 59.7 - - 59.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 89 - - 196 - - 107 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 662 - - 1464 - - 2319 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 97 - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97975 20 262 16 243 22 259 25 245 23 273 97975 90591 14 270 8 261 15 237 20 245 20 259 90591 84940 8 273 5 279 10 217 14 257 12 253 84940 80293 5 262 2 299 6 207 12 252 10 285 80293 76304 6 318 2 327 4 279 10 256 10 307 76304 72765 7 321 4 003 3 297 7 217 8 277 72765 69547 2 248 2 072 1 189 9 167 9 248 69547 66588 1 198 2 240 8 229 7 207 8 243 66588 63851 8 270 8 289 10 247 9 248 7 262 63851 61199 12 239 12 274 12 267 14 260 10 266 61199 58428 10 257 11 264 11 241 16 246 17 248 58428 55557 16 281 13 265 15 245 22 248 27 244 55557 52829 22 272 21 261 21 252 24 249 27 245 52829 50385 23 264 24 260 23 270 26 266 25 261 50385 48198 24 284 25 272 25 276 28 266 30 265 48198 46208 30 293 25 283 26 275 27 266 32 260 46208 44382 31 293 28 282 29 275 25 264 29 253 44382 42699 27 292 28 277 28 264 25 261 26 251 42699 41138 20 298 22 274 22 262 23 257 24 257 41138 39679 21 304 17 271 19 269 17 259 17 251 39679 38305 23 301 17 284 18 274 17 268 10 249 38305 36975 24 299 18 289 18 277 17 269 11 252 36975 35619 24 303 19 289 17 283 16 269 13 250 35619 34207 24 308 19 291 16 287 14 272 12 249 34207 32739 22 311 19 295 16 281 14 271 11 251 32739 31202 21 316 20 302 17 276 19 260 13 254 31202 29586 22 322 19 306 17 276 21 255 17 253 29586 27889 22 327 17 307 16 286 18 255 17 251 27889 26107 23 327 17 311 16 288 14 270 14 252 26107 24240 22 321 18 311 16 290 15 279 12 267 24240 22293 20 324 16 312 13 297 17 284 14 285 22293 20260 18 327 15 309 12 293 17 282 13 297 20260 18137 16 339 15 313 12 300 14 281 12 293 18137 15970 17 360 11 346 10 290 12 299 9 310 15970 13884 15 349 11 343 10 310 13 319 12 353 13884 11993 15 345 13 339 11 332 14 330 15 346 11993 10316 15 340 16 338 13 338 17 337 19 344 10316 8825 13 328 18 336 16 340 21 340 18 346 8825 7495 12 317 16 334 15 342 20 345 17 354 7495 6315 11 314 11 327 11 345 13 349 13 346 6315 5274 9 307 7 320 6 335 7 346 7 328 5274 4361 5 311 4 314 3 304 3 293 4 259 4361 3557 1 320 2 305 1 204 2*157 6 184 3557 2840 3 201 3 190 3*133 5*106 8 135 2840 2206 6 151 6 157 5*109 5 100 11 116 2206 1678 8 135 8*110 6 103 6 097 11 110 1678 1273 10 109 8*103 5 100 6 093 12 106 1273 994 13 084 7 101 5 097 6 091 11 103 994 824 11*081 7 100 5 096 5 090 9*100 824 728 4*072 6 099 5 096 5 090 5*096 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography