DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 79.9 - - 82.3 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 220 - - 84 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 872 - - 2251 - - 3498 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 1987 - - 2338 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1612 - - 2991 - - 4238 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 491 - - 765 - - 2726 - - 2431 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 324 - - 276 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 257 - - 292 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3247 - - -3248 - - -2259 - - -3040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4859 - - 6239 - - 6498 - - 3769 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9684 - - -7252 - - -5298 - - -6098 ODpotential blCL - - - 11296 - - 10243 - - 9536 - - 6827 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 59 - - 70 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 50 - - 320 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 79.9 - - 82.3 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 55.0 - - 56.2 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 78.6 - - 81.7 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 54.5 - - 55.7 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 220 - - 84 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 872 - - 2251 - - 3498 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97597 39 252 37 261 36 244 42 249 97597 90313 27 238 34 255 35 259 28 249 90313 84678 17 248 28 243 31 266 25 278 84678 79999 17 272 19 258 22 258 20 276 79999 75961 19 276 15 282 15 260 13 267 75961 72377 13 277 16 284 16 272 18 291 72377 69140 15 282 17 280 17 278 18 281 69140 66168 16 282 19 279 18 285 17 290 66168 63404 18 287 23 273 28 283 24 287 63404 60719 18 275 24 270 32 274 29 283 60719 57927 21 282 27 276 32 269 33 274 57927 55043 30 282 30 279 32 267 35 272 55043 52306 32 281 35 280 38 269 44 273 52306 49855 33 285 38 272 42 268 51 266 49855 47653 39 287 41 274 48 277 54 272 47653 45651 42 280 46 275 53 278 63 277 45651 43818 44 277 48 276 53 280 62 279 43818 42133 49 273 48 283 55 288 57 281 42133 40579 47 270 54 287 57 285 58 282 40579 39135 46 284 55 278 54 279 63 284 39135 37781 44 278 46 277 52 279 65 283 37781 36468 42 271 43 284 53 283 63 282 36468 35127 35 290 46 285 54 286 62 285 35127 33729 38 298 46 285 55 288 62 287 33729 32277 41 299 46 285 56 289 62 287 32277 30758 43 300 47 286 58 290 62 285 30758 29158 45 300 48 289 60 289 65 283 29158 27478 45 300 50 292 60 291 65 286 27478 25720 45 299 49 294 55 293 59 293 25720 23887 43 300 46 294 51 292 56 299 23887 21981 42 304 43 293 50 290 52 300 21981 19992 40 303 43 296 49 290 49 298 19992 17913 40 298 43 297 47 293 47 296 17913 15787 42 294 44 297 47 295 45 295 15787 13736 46 299 46 297 47 292 43 292 13736 11871 48 302 47 295 49 291 44 290 11871 10216 38 298 42 293 45 292 39 293 10216 8748 36 288 33 286 35 293 29 292 8748 7447 35 287 27 288 26 289 23 298 7447 6291 32 275 26 284 24 287 20 299 6291 5266 25 255 25 280 20 285 17 307 5266 4362 22 252 25 277 17*287 18 315 4362 3562 19 267 22*268 17*289 18 321 3562 2845 22 275 17*257 16 290 20 325 2845 2211 24 269 16 257 16 292 21 327 2211 1681 22*264 16 257 16 292 21 328 1681 1274 16*253 15 257 15 293 20 327 1274 994 15 252 14 257 15 293 17 325 994 825 14 251 13 258 14 293 14*323 825 728 11 250 11 257 12 294 7*322 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography