DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 45.0 - - 45.4 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 243 - - 414 - - 496 - - 505 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 983 - - 1154 - - 1236 - - 1245 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 927 - - 591 - - 602 - - 461 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 60 - - 73 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 127 - - 108 - - 043 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 73 - - 301 - - 492 - - 391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 910 - - 853 - - 744 - - 854 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8649 - - 17 - - 286 - - 55 ODpotential blCL - - - 9632 - - 1137 - - 950 - - 1190 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1320 - - 770 - - 600 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 45.0 - - 45.4 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 43.8 - - 44.6 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 45.2 - - 45.5 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 43.5 - - 44.4 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 243 - - 414 - - 496 - - 505 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96102 37 290 33 284 42 282 47 279 96102 89154 28 312 27 300 30 292 32 287 89154 83776 24 321 23 308 26 308 25 313 83776 79258 20 318 20 309 21 306 25 331 79258 75308 17 315 19 308 19 304 26 326 75308 71794 19 311 19 296 21 302 25 312 71794 68612 20 301 19 286 24 299 25 306 68612 65694 20 283 18 271 29 299 26 302 65694 62991 22 288 20 278 30 284 25 298 62991 60356 29 289 23 295 29 272 28 296 60356 57591 33 283 28 294 27 283 34 291 57591 54717 36 268 28 290 32 282 34 269 54717 51953 35 276 35 286 35 265 38 275 51953 49452 38 265 39 271 43 272 51 280 49452 47218 35 254 46 266 52 277 59 279 47218 45190 41 269 55 271 56 277 60 281 45190 43332 61 270 59 273 59 275 67 285 43332 41621 64 269 66 269 68 273 75 285 41621 40033 70 265 77 268 79 273 80 284 40033 38551 76 262 89 267 82 274 80 286 38551 37165 84 259 98 263 83 272 78 287 37165 35837 87 258 103 259 82 272 76 287 35837 34496 90 256 101 254 84 269 76 287 34496 33107 92 253 98 252 87 263 73 290 33107 31667 91 250 98 253 87 257 74 298 31667 30162 88 250 97 252 84 257 76 300 30162 28582 83 251 91 250 81 260 69 303 28582 26926 79 251 85 248 81 261 67 310 26926 25192 74 248 77 246 75 262 69 314 25192 23377 67 245 69 244 63 261 69 318 23377 21483 61 244 63 244 54 258 60 315 21483 19516 53 242 54 241 51 255 53 304 19516 17473 48 238 51 238 46 252 48 300 17473 15396 45 235 48 238 43 257 37 293 15396 13399 44 237 44 241 42 263 36 275 13399 11584 35 239 42 243 39 258 32 271 11584 9967 33 239 40 243 36 254 25 275 9967 8525 35 235 35 245 24 250 15 274 8525 7242 35 236 30 248 20 261 13 307 7242 6103 34 246 21 247 18 286 15 329 6103 5094 33 255 14 252 20 315 16 315 5094 4208 34 250 14 259 21 326 16 300 4208 3428 31 232 15 236 17 317 12 308 3428 2732 27 204 15 205 11 309 8 326 2732 2123 23 171 15 168 5 021 4 351 2123 1620 20 144 16 124 13 047 9*072 1620 1238 17*136 15*113 14*046 9*065 1238 976 14*130 13*109 13*044 8 062 976 817 12 127 12 108 11 043 7 060 817 726 9 124 9 106 9 043 5 057 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography