DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 87.6 - - 89.7 - - 86.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 120 - - 83 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2177 - - 4627 - - 4844 - - 890 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1427 - - 3502 - - 3447 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2917 - - 5367 - - 5584 - - 1630 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3153 - - 2847 - - 3164 - - 5717 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 356 - - 327 - - 80 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 34 - - 41 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 099 - - 207 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1222 - - 471 - - 165 - - -1748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4139 - - 4896 - - 5419 - - 3378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3402 - - -851 - - -1637 - - -3150 ODpotential blCL - - - 6319 - - 6218 - - 7221 - - 4780 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 80 - - 71 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 730 - - 890 - - 2530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 87.6 - - 89.7 - - 86.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.2 - - 68.5 - - 68.3 - - 73.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.4 - - 86.7 - - 89.0 - - 87.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 67.2 - - 66.9 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 120 - - 83 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2177 - - 4627 - - 4844 - - 890 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 19 - - 0 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99595 47 096 37 096 31 102 29 086 99595 92058 39 088 35 090 32 093 25 084 92058 86276 31 076 30 094 26 083 27 089 86276 81473 24 085 24 090 19 082 23 081 81473 77323 22 094 17 083 18 081 17 066 77323 73659 21 075 15 087 16 092 9 060 73659 70345 19 055 12 071 13 074 12 057 70345 67303 18 038 13 065 12 079 12 041 67303 64495 13 022 14 046 15 057 11 058 64495 61788 11 006 13 038 10 044 14 034 61788 58997 10 350 11 041 6 063 6 345 58997 56129 18 013 19 013 17 013 9 025 56129 53418 18 342 22 345 25 351 25 010 53418 51012 7 286 14 311 20 324 23 357 51012 48869 13 048 6 356 12 306 11 329 48869 46916 15 037 13 025 7 326 4 326 46916 45111 11 041 12 011 11 009 6 002 45111 43432 10 064 4 235 6 324 8 358 43432 41857 9 145 5 205 10 237 6 311 41857 40366 14 174 7 210 11 226 5 275 40366 38950 14 190 11 204 11 219 7 224 38950 37575 23 189 13 205 11 210 13 205 37575 36179 16 199 11 222 7 216 15 203 36179 34728 5 196 12 223 9 227 13 208 34728 33223 8 084 10 220 10 229 10 209 33223 31649 9 081 6 194 6 200 8 188 31649 29997 6 124 5 168 9 176 12 177 29997 28265 9 150 8 164 11 178 17 175 28265 26450 8 141 8 160 8 171 14 173 26450 24555 10 150 8 167 8 178 8 172 24555 22579 9 163 10 169 14 184 8 200 22579 20518 8 151 9 170 13 182 11 221 20518 18369 6 134 6 176 9 186 13 221 18369 16179 5 163 5 218 5 207 7 239 16179 14070 6 183 4 222 2 274 2 299 14070 12158 8 167 2 211 2 348 1 110 12158 10464 3 170 2 160 2 147 5 232 10464 8962 2 230 3 135 6 192 3 228 8962 7627 2 222 3 112 3 194 2 024 7627 6442 1 264 3*107 1*221 2 013 6442 5392 2 333 2*102 1*221 0 009 5392 4464 3 315 2 100 1 214 2 207 4464 3642 4*299 2 098 1 210 5 206 3642 2905 4*293 2 097 1 206 7 206 2905 2253 4 293 2 099 1 205 8 205 2253 1709 3 298 2 096 2 201 8*204 1709 1292 3 297 2 100 1 198 8*203 1292 1004 2 299 2 099 1 199 8 203 1004 829 2 299 1 095 1 197 7 204 829 729 2 299 1 098 1 201 5 202 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography