DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0701z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1902z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.1 - - 71.4 - - 84.1 - - 87.0 - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 12 - - 187 - - 112 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 296 - - 3876 - - 4419 - - 666 BL Depth Hcrit 709 - - 709 - - 3141 - - 3266 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 1036 - - 4616 - - 5159 - - 1406 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1227 - - 1085 - - 1523 - - 2113 - - 3587 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 63 - - 377 - - 336 - - 60 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 103 - - 194 - - 221 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - 7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 310 - - 1076 - - 1263 - - -187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 726 - - 726 - - 3541 - - 3896 - - 1593 sfcLCL ODpotential -1255 - - 104 - - 448 - - 707 - - -1397 ODpotential blCL 1982 - - 932 - - 4168 - - 4452 - - 2803 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 510 - - 390 - - 1200 - - 2040 - - 2480 CAPE Temp@2m 70.1 - - 71.4 - - 84.1 - - 87.0 - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.3 - - 70.5 - - 70.7 - - 72.0 - - 75.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.5 - - 71.4 - - 82.9 - - 86.2 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.3 - - 70.4 - - 69.8 - - 71.1 - - 74.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 12 - - 187 - - 112 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 296 - - 3876 - - 4419 - - 666 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 85 - - 70 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99124 33 090 31 090 35 097 28 104 29 093 99124 91624 29 088 28 096 27 102 26 087 29 097 91624 85853 26 093 24 088 23 102 21 083 23 090 85853 81087 23 094 24 084 21 097 18 097 18 093 81087 76987 21 080 22 088 20 092 18 103 16 091 76987 73355 18 067 22 093 21 091 19 099 15 090 73355 70065 14 071 19 081 20 086 18 094 14 076 70065 67054 14 078 13 084 16 073 16 095 11 075 67054 64273 15 070 14 089 12 055 14 082 12 100 64273 61581 15 055 13 080 5 063 7 051 10 058 61581 58795 13 006 13 016 5 048 5 049 6 035 58795 55939 11 326 14 333 12 322 11 338 8 352 55939 53250 15 296 18 304 14 288 16 294 16 306 53250 50856 15 288 19 290 14 285 19 279 22 296 50856 48719 22 294 26 291 18 298 20 281 27 296 48719 46776 29 291 31 285 22 299 17 275 28 288 46776 44984 33 289 32 280 26 296 13 286 26 279 44984 43311 40 284 31 280 29 293 13 306 23 275 43311 41738 47 278 30 283 29 293 17 306 20 274 41738 40251 50 274 29 284 25 293 19 303 16 278 40251 38843 48 276 26 285 20 292 19 302 15 289 38843 37475 42 278 20 288 14 285 18 301 15 290 37475 36081 30 281 15 299 9 290 15 302 14 283 36081 34632 20 293 12 313 7 317 13 309 13 276 34632 33130 17 302 10 330 8 341 13 316 12 278 33130 31558 16 295 9 338 9 357 13 318 11 295 31558 29903 18 278 9 322 10 006 12 322 12 299 29903 28164 19 273 11 303 11 001 11 326 12 294 28164 26338 15 279 13 288 14 344 13 330 12 305 26338 24430 14 266 12 274 12 350 13 344 10 333 24430 22449 16 254 14 274 7 005 6 008 6 005 22449 20393 15 262 14 279 5 333 2 324 3 357 20393 18256 11 274 12 283 8 299 2 315 7 045 18256 16083 11 283 8 300 7 279 5 256 5 035 16083 13996 11 273 9 293 7 278 5 222 2 324 13996 12098 8 250 4 271 6 279 4 174 3 243 12098 10409 6 233 2 194 5 274 5 156 3 230 10409 8907 5 234 3 179 6 263 3 180 1 248 8907 7574 4 227 3 163 8 254 5 275 2 009 7574 6392 4 214 3 160 7 252 6 280 3 345 6392 5347 7 159 3 165 7*196 5*265 4 303 5347 4425 7 154 2 159 9*190 5*245 4 273 4425 3610 5 175 2 169 9 191 6 229 4 253 3610 2879 6 173 3 189 9 194 7 220 4 234 2879 2234 7 163 5 188 9 195 7 218 4 217 2234 1696 8 145 5 176 9 196 7 216 5*205 1696 1283 9 135 5*143 8 197 7 215 5*203 1283 998 7 141 3*110 8 197 7 214 5 203 998 826 5*142 3 101 8 198 7 214 4 202 826 727 1*356 2 097 7 198 6 213 3 200 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography