DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 91.2 - - 92.6 - - 87.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 94 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 731 - - 2951 - - 4494 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 2190 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1471 - - 3691 - - 5234 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 852 - - 5145 - - 4553 - - 5733 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 290 - - 225 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 223 - - 208 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2210 - - -1573 - - -673 - - -2499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3681 - - 5264 - - 5908 - - 3229 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4992 - - -3980 - - -2472 - - -4560 ODpotential blCL - - - 6463 - - 7671 - - 7706 - - 5290 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 81 - - 74 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 1850 - - 1840 - - 1690 - - 3390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 91.2 - - 92.6 - - 87.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.8 - - 70.4 - - 69.0 - - 75.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.5 - - 90.6 - - 92.6 - - 89.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 69.0 - - 67.6 - - 74.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 94 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 731 - - 2951 - - 4494 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 24 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99070 13 138 6 131 1 061 7 061 99070 91633 6 078 10 162 3 137 4 121 91633 85879 8 057 9 140 8 157 4 038 85879 81092 9 081 4 111 8 142 6 044 81092 76960 10 070 7 114 6 147 3 076 76960 73316 7 039 10 088 10 133 2 216 73316 70048 4 349 6 027 12 101 3 164 70048 67061 2 208 7 310 9 022 4 093 67061 64297 3 143 8 261 12 333 4 006 64297 61639 4 281 10 232 14 269 14 283 61639 58898 8 278 8 252 16 252 17 265 58898 56081 17 288 13 279 19 260 27 273 56081 53416 27 276 26 268 30 268 36 270 53416 51028 31 271 34 268 39 266 43 266 51028 48882 40 280 38 269 42 262 45 260 48882 46916 43 282 42 268 43 263 44 262 46916 45095 43 281 45 267 47 268 47 269 45095 43399 45 278 45 268 48 272 47 271 43399 41812 46 277 42 274 46 272 45 269 41812 40318 42 278 40 282 43 271 42 268 40318 38905 37 280 39 285 40 271 39 265 38905 37536 33 277 36 277 38 268 37 261 37536 36138 28 271 31 262 37 267 35 263 36138 34686 26 263 29 252 37 267 35 268 34686 33182 27 254 28 251 35 269 34 268 33182 31608 27 253 26 253 31 269 28 262 31608 29952 24 260 23 248 28 260 28 254 29952 28219 15 259 24 243 29 260 30 265 28219 26410 15 249 27 249 29 268 29 278 26410 24524 23 249 27 254 26 272 24 282 24524 22559 22 258 24 261 21 263 20 274 22559 20511 18 270 19 250 19 244 19 262 20511 18378 16 258 18 239 20 249 18 268 18378 16203 18 242 18 244 19 249 16 276 16203 14105 18 251 18 256 17 251 14 268 14105 12201 20 252 19 248 16 246 13 250 12201 10515 16 249 18 238 18 240 10 242 10515 9015 11 244 14 243 15 233 8 230 9015 7676 11 232 11 244 13 224 11 230 7676 6484 13 228 12 224 13 219 13 224 6484 5425 13 234 13 222 13*216 13 216 5425 4491 13 242 12*237 12*212 13 210 4491 3663 14 250 12*233 12 211 12 207 3663 2921 18 253 11 224 11 210 11 204 2921 2265 18 250 11 222 11 207 10 200 2265 1716 16*245 10 222 10 207 10 197 1716 1295 10*228 10 220 10 205 9 191 1295 1006 9 227 9 220 9 204 8 186 1006 830 8 227 9 220 9 204 6*179 830 729 7 226 8 219 7 204 4*171 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography