DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 69.2 - - 72.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 193 - - 71 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 252 - - 2138 - - 3679 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 1844 - - 2238 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 992 - - 2878 - - 4419 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 369 - - 2011 - - 1301 - - 3901 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 102 - - 302 - - 260 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 24 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 243 - - 311 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2686 - - -4261 - - -4493 - - -5502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3678 - - 7139 - - 8913 - - 6231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11007 - - -11033 - - -10594 - - -12790 ODpotential blCL - - - 11999 - - 13911 - - 15013 - - 13518 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 60 - - 53 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 69.2 - - 72.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.5 - - 40.8 - - 35.9 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 68.0 - - 71.7 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 40.3 - - 35.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 193 - - 71 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 252 - - 2138 - - 3679 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97272 1 198 7 269 7 282 0 233 97272 90041 4 065 5 211 6 280 3 029 90041 84511 6 004 2 176 3 234 0 233 84511 79920 5 216 2 355 2 225 3 066 79920 75953 5 160 2 004 6 287 7 016 75953 72454 4 043 1 092 9 272 10 334 72454 69305 12 349 4 007 6 281 11 315 69305 66415 20 325 10 345 6 320 10 308 66415 63726 22 301 17 316 12 318 12 308 63726 61117 21 281 21 296 16 304 15 299 61117 58399 22 286 23 289 19 298 20 296 58399 55585 27 298 25 290 24 291 26 290 55585 52894 28 294 29 289 30 292 28 293 52894 50460 29 292 35 292 36 297 33 298 50460 48267 30 298 36 293 39 293 37 298 48267 46266 30 305 34 293 40 291 41 302 46266 44423 30 310 34 294 42 293 46 303 44423 42710 30 315 36 295 44 295 48 303 42710 41105 30 319 38 297 44 297 48 303 41105 39594 32 319 38 301 43 300 48 305 39594 38165 32 319 37 307 43 305 47 305 38165 36782 32 322 37 313 45 308 47 305 36782 35377 32 326 37 317 44 310 47 305 35377 33918 34 327 37 319 43 312 47 307 33918 32412 31 323 37 319 40 313 43 314 32412 30851 32 318 33 313 37 316 38 323 30851 29227 23 318 30 313 33 314 36 336 29227 27535 18 319 23 307 29 314 36 341 27535 25761 16 323 12 289 26 317 35 348 25761 23905 15 327 11 293 27 310 28 347 23905 21979 18 317 17 310 26 311 22 332 21979 19978 20 313 19 315 24 314 19 326 19978 17889 16 323 14 323 18 316 19 323 17889 15755 13 319 12 321 13 319 19 320 15755 13698 12 311 12 311 15 319 20 319 13698 11825 12 304 13 305 20 321 21 321 11825 10158 11 309 12 302 20 322 20 326 10158 8680 8 315 10 303 16 319 18 332 8680 7369 5 291 8 294 12 319 15 332 7369 6212 5 279 7 294 10 319 12 329 6212 5194 8 300 6 299 6*317 6 312 5194 4301 7 299 5 301 5*312 5 308 4301 3513 7 296 3*291 4 311 4 306 3513 2807 6 279 2*259 4 310 3 302 2807 2183 6 239 2 246 4 310 3 297 2183 1663 6 209 2 240 4 310 2 292 1663 1264 6*190 2 237 3 310 2 289 1264 989 5*181 2 237 3 310 1 284 989 822 4 178 2 236 3 308 1*275 822 727 3 179 2 236 3 309 1*275 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography