DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 86.9 - - 89.0 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 105 - - 41 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 938 - - 2267 - - 2470 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1730 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1678 - - 3007 - - 3210 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 805 - - 1215 - - 2692 - - 2203 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 269 - - 213 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 276 - - 264 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -821 - - -778 - - -974 - - -1293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2499 - - 3785 - - 4184 - - 2023 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4546 - - -3215 - - -3064 - - -4346 ODpotential blCL - - - 6224 - - 6222 - - 6274 - - 5076 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 73 - - 74 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 960 - - 2020 - - 2630 - - 3550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 86.9 - - 89.0 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.5 - - 72.6 - - 73.0 - - 76.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 86.1 - - 88.8 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 71.5 - - 72.0 - - 75.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 105 - - 41 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 938 - - 2267 - - 2470 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98888 18 095 16 101 7 060 26 057 98888 91533 15 094 12 111 8 047 15 044 91533 85867 14 078 7 072 8 056 9 047 85867 81150 10 059 7 042 9 075 6 038 81150 77066 10 068 5 071 6 045 6 051 77066 73440 13 075 5 091 2 323 8 011 73440 70146 11 048 7 043 3 227 5 330 70146 67124 7 024 8 024 1 092 2 300 67124 64344 8 334 6 357 2 313 3 351 64344 61661 12 270 7 285 10 278 11 335 61661 58888 15 230 11 252 16 267 18 295 58888 56065 15 239 13 255 17 257 17 278 56065 53412 19 252 18 272 19 267 16 278 53412 51033 26 263 27 283 22 282 17 284 51033 48896 26 270 37 278 32 285 20 284 48896 46951 34 272 36 266 36 279 26 280 46951 45157 32 265 32 265 34 276 29 277 45157 43484 28 264 33 274 35 277 29 274 43484 41909 28 278 32 271 35 272 31 270 41909 40422 20 285 28 247 33 257 33 263 40422 39016 14 298 25 236 30 250 33 259 39016 37652 17 302 20 245 28 254 32 260 37652 36261 26 280 22 261 28 258 32 262 36261 34810 34 276 28 267 27 261 31 264 34810 33303 34 270 25 263 26 266 29 268 33303 31724 33 271 24 268 27 271 28 276 31724 30063 30 282 22 274 24 271 27 281 30063 28318 28 285 23 275 22 271 22 270 28318 26490 26 276 27 270 24 275 20 262 26490 24586 21 270 28 269 25 278 21 265 24586 22610 20 270 28 271 27 279 23 274 22610 20555 20 270 28 275 28 277 24 281 20555 18414 20 267 29 277 27 278 23 286 18414 16231 21 264 28 274 25 283 23 294 16231 14128 20 257 25 263 28 292 23 291 14128 12219 18 251 23 254 27 276 25 281 12219 10525 16 253 20 256 23 262 23 273 10525 9015 17 270 18 262 20 259 22 269 9015 7669 20 274 18 259 22 260 22 266 7669 6472 22 269 21 263 23 263 21 264 6472 5412 24 268 24 270 24 269 21 257 5412 4476 25 272 23 272 22 271 19 253 4476 3650 26 276 20*273 20*271 16 261 3650 2910 23 279 14*274 12*264 13 274 2910 2256 17 278 10 276 10 263 12 290 2256 1711 12*275 9 277 9 263 11 300 1711 1292 7*275 9 278 9 264 11 307 1292 1004 6 275 8 279 8 264 10 313 1004 829 6 275 8 279 8 264 8*318 829 729 5 276 7 279 7 265 4*325 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography