DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.2 - - 43.0 - - 45.0 - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 170 - - 64 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 581 - - 2716 - - 3095 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 2206 - - 1656 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1321 - - 3456 - - 3835 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 778 - - 1088 - - 748 - - 2723 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 315 - - 237 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 312 - - 319 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -745 - - -36 - - -1105 - - -2234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2067 - - 3492 - - 4940 - - 2961 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3460 - - -7667 - - -8651 - - -11040 ODpotential blCL - - - 4781 - - 11123 - - 12486 - - 11766 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 79 - - 69 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.2 - - 43.0 - - 45.0 - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 30.6 - - 26.2 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 42.0 - - 44.6 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 29.5 - - 25.8 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 170 - - 64 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 581 - - 2716 - - 3095 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96379 44 252 50 248 46 241 45 241 96379 89162 22 248 27 236 29 250 23 246 89162 83613 14 233 13 235 28 243 15 269 83613 79019 10 241 13 220 15 226 14 263 79019 75052 4 305 13 219 8 235 13 260 75052 71528 8 296 10 228 6 260 12 262 71528 68325 9 270 9 245 7 279 13 259 68325 65378 12 279 11 264 13 290 10 288 65378 62643 14 294 13 272 18 278 15 302 62643 59989 18 305 15 269 23 261 19 288 59989 57211 24 309 17 282 24 258 21 291 57211 54311 35 302 27 299 26 270 28 276 54311 51535 39 303 37 298 29 274 29 288 51535 49033 45 304 41 301 33 293 38 291 49033 46792 49 302 45 304 41 302 42 296 46792 44764 47 305 48 306 47 301 43 305 44764 42912 49 311 50 309 46 301 47 306 42912 41204 52 311 55 312 47 313 45 314 41204 39626 50 313 58 307 58 318 49 320 39626 38158 50 324 52 307 63 314 50 322 38158 36783 53 331 49 313 61 313 48 325 36783 35461 56 334 50 319 56 319 47 332 35461 34123 56 332 52 324 60 325 44 336 34123 32738 52 334 54 328 61 328 40 342 32738 31306 51 339 52 328 58 331 40 351 31306 29811 49 344 47 328 58 332 42 353 29811 28240 44 349 43 329 54 333 41 353 28240 26593 41 352 38 331 44 329 38 354 26593 24874 39 354 33 332 36 324 34 350 24874 23088 36 358 28 335 30 322 28 341 23088 21231 34 002 27 340 27 325 24 339 21231 19290 33 004 27 339 26 331 22 339 19290 17261 32 005 25 342 25 335 23 343 17261 15189 30 008 23 351 23 336 23 347 15189 13190 29 005 25 357 22 336 22 347 13190 11371 26 358 24 358 21 336 20 347 11371 9758 23 356 19 352 19 337 18 350 9758 8328 19 359 16 346 16 332 16 351 8328 7061 17 349 14 347 15 330 13 350 7061 5945 9 347 11 334 14 329 9 345 5945 4968 7 011 8 294 12 309 6 327 4968 4115 9 005 9*299 10*311 8 314 4115 3367 11 354 9*309 10*314 9 314 3367 2697 12 341 9 311 10 317 9 319 2697 2105 15 346 9 312 9 319 8 327 2105 1612 15*349 9 313 9 321 8 335 1612 1234 13*348 8 315 9 321 7 342 1234 973 10 346 8 315 8 322 6 345 973 815 9 346 8 315 8 323 5*342 815 725 8 345 7 315 7 322 4*343 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography