DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 57.4 - - 62.2 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 173 - - 83 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 450 - - 2084 - - 2848 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 1773 - - 1811 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1190 - - 2824 - - 3588 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 460 - - 636 - - 681 - - 130 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 292 - - 252 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 193 - - 182 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1437 - - -2444 - - -4295 - - -4177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2627 - - 5268 - - 7883 - - 4904 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15847 - - -14961 - - -15515 - - -17362 ODpotential blCL - - - 17037 - - 17785 - - 19103 - - 18089 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 56 - - 45 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 57.4 - - 62.2 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.8 - - 37.5 - - 30.9 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 56.4 - - 61.7 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 36.4 - - 30.4 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 173 - - 83 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 450 - - 2084 - - 2848 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97611 8 245 16 266 17 275 12 251 97611 90317 12 277 6 231 24 238 22 278 90317 84725 11 308 9 252 17 245 20 268 84725 80073 9 286 16 262 14 273 12 257 80073 76056 6 250 12 258 13 280 12 266 76056 72514 6 274 8 281 11 292 10 276 72514 69317 9 279 11 288 12 278 12 289 69317 66381 15 273 17 289 16 275 16 293 66381 63664 16 291 18 281 19 276 22 272 63664 61037 23 313 16 278 19 274 24 259 61037 58302 31 295 19 280 20 277 21 270 58302 55467 31 278 25 276 23 281 22 290 55467 52759 25 283 27 269 24 272 24 289 52759 50313 29 296 21 273 19 254 24 275 50313 48113 31 293 21 277 17 245 21 253 48113 46115 30 289 23 271 19 251 19 248 46115 44288 25 293 19 268 21 247 22 239 44288 42606 21 302 15 266 17 245 24 228 42606 41042 16 317 12 263 15 250 19 224 41042 39576 11 342 8 241 15 237 17 229 39576 38195 8 353 6 219 13 213 18 218 38195 36860 8 359 7 222 11 208 19 204 36860 35495 8 020 10 216 12 205 20 197 35495 34072 10 057 10 194 13 188 21 187 34072 32593 10 067 10 171 14 183 19 183 32593 31044 10 061 11 157 12 183 16 184 31044 29416 11 059 7 167 8 193 10 193 29416 27713 7 019 2 183 8 209 10 222 27713 25934 8 349 6 204 14 224 12 250 25934 24075 8 326 8 230 14 233 9 261 24075 22135 13 290 10 259 12 246 6 279 22135 20104 15 287 12 268 11 263 7 263 20104 17976 14 281 12 273 10 263 11 238 17976 15797 13 250 12 258 11 241 14 242 15797 13696 11 242 11 243 13 227 14 255 13696 11795 9 218 11 220 14 223 12 251 11795 10118 11 204 12 213 12 226 10 232 10118 8635 12 200 14 200 13 210 11 210 8635 7321 14 194 15 191 15 194 13 204 7321 6159 14 199 16 188 16 187 15 196 6159 5135 12 195 18 191 17 189 16 197 5135 4240 12 194 20 196 16*184 16 193 4240 3459 15 203 21*198 15*182 15 186 3459 2766 21 204 18*195 15 182 14 181 2766 2154 22 197 16 193 14 182 14 178 2154 1643 20 192 15 193 14 181 14 175 1643 1252 18*191 15 193 13 182 14 171 1252 982 12*188 14 193 13 181 13 166 982 819 11 188 13 193 12 181 10*160 819 726 9 187 11 193 10 181 6*152 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography