DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1008z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.9 - - 83.9 - - 89.6 - - 83.2 - - 81.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 119 - - 198 - - 4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1746 - - 3375 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 705 - - 1365 - - 2796 - - 706 - - 706 Hcrit BL Top 722 - - 2486 - - 4115 - - 724 - - 723 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 321 - - 1934 - - 2446 - - 4069 - - 2388 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 248 - - 367 - - 20 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 8 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 249 - - 241 - - 203 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -134 - - -506 - - -165 - - -1675 - - -1368 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 856 - - 2992 - - 4280 - - 2400 - - 2091 sfcLCL ODpotential -5487 - - -2540 - - -2132 - - -2545 - - -3357 ODpotential blCL 6209 - - 5026 - - 6247 - - 3269 - - 4080 blCL maxRH 90 - - 84 - - 83 - - 96 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 1620 - - 2590 - - 3280 - - 3180 - - 2800 CAPE Temp@2m 72.9 - - 83.9 - - 89.6 - - 83.2 - - 81.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.1 - - 72.9 - - 73.0 - - 74.7 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.2 - - 83.0 - - 88.4 - - 83.4 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.1 - - 72.2 - - 72.2 - - 74.2 - - 74.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 119 - - 198 - - 4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1746 - - 3375 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 35 - - 34 - - 84 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 17 - - 16 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98955 26 085 27 089 26 087 26 102 24 098 98955 91578 20 066 23 091 23 092 22 096 21 108 91578 85866 17 083 19 086 17 085 15 093 16 080 85866 81135 18 091 12 090 8 097 10 075 13 062 81135 77053 13 075 10 080 8 121 5 055 10 053 77053 73446 9 047 7 017 8 115 3 162 8 006 73446 70200 4 350 4 314 6 078 7 140 7 307 70200 67221 6 203 4 262 5 330 1 127 4 299 67221 64449 7 243 10 253 8 270 4 308 8 304 64449 61775 10 229 14 225 7 237 14 268 11 289 61775 59000 17 281 12 240 18 259 15 264 17 281 59000 56155 29 269 26 270 26 268 27 283 31 263 56155 53491 33 262 30 267 29 274 36 272 20 253 53491 51087 33 261 30 276 32 276 38 278 35 290 51087 48918 40 279 42 284 47 280 54 280 53 292 48918 46958 48 285 51 279 58 276 58 274 56 290 46958 45167 49 284 48 272 53 280 55 272 54 277 45167 43511 49 279 45 264 43 270 56 273 53 267 43511 41958 52 274 43 272 37 268 56 276 54 268 41958 40491 54 275 39 284 39 277 55 278 53 267 40491 39096 61 282 42 283 47 284 54 275 49 261 39096 37737 67 283 52 286 60 281 53 268 50 257 37737 36345 62 277 55 286 63 277 53 260 53 255 36345 34892 55 268 54 276 61 278 53 255 53 249 34892 33382 49 260 52 271 52 274 52 255 51 244 33382 31800 49 262 54 262 49 263 49 257 48 240 31800 30134 47 264 54 255 48 256 46 258 44 241 30134 28384 38 262 50 247 43 256 42 260 44 249 28384 26549 26 263 43 244 35 264 39 263 44 257 26549 24633 22 259 31 247 32 268 34 266 40 260 24633 22639 20 258 21 245 33 263 27 267 33 255 22639 20566 9 269 15 247 33 258 17 262 22 249 20566 18414 9 283 15 271 25 250 12 217 20 240 18414 16227 9 290 17 280 15 240 15 218 23 231 16227 14123 13 273 18 277 15 246 20 234 22 241 14123 12211 13 269 15 272 19 243 23 241 23 260 12211 10508 15 268 12 259 19 235 26 253 27 260 10508 8993 15 268 12 237 21 237 28 255 28 251 8993 7645 14 273 14 237 24 240 25 257 28 245 7645 6448 17 259 18 257 25 241 20 256 25 240 6448 5387 21 253 20 268 23 244 15 252 21 232 5387 4452 23 254 21 273 18*245 11 244 19 218 4452 3626 24 256 20 273 10*240 8 232 18 208 3626 2889 24 257 19*264 8 240 7 216 18 206 2889 2238 22 257 16*254 8 241 7 207 19 201 2238 1696 20 255 12 248 8 240 7 201 17 196 1696 1280 19 248 12 248 7 241 7 200 15 194 1280 995 15 237 11 248 7 242 6 201 12 193 995 822 13*236 10 247 7 241 5*202 10*192 822 722 4*228 8 247 6 241 3*203 6*191 722 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography