DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.9 - - 38.8 - - 40.3 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 21 - - 16 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 911 - - 950 - - 1028 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 708 - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1651 - - 1690 - - 1768 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 587 - - 675 - - 669 - - 2248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 117 - - 112 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 105 - - 097 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -503 - - -542 - - -239 - - -1416 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2154 - - 2232 - - 2007 - - 2143 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11394 - - -10901 - - -10669 - - -10421 ODpotential blCL - - - 13045 - - 12591 - - 12437 - - 11148 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.9 - - 38.8 - - 40.3 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 31.8 - - 34.2 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 38.8 - - 40.3 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 30.7 - - 33.3 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 21 - - 16 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 911 - - 950 - - 1028 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96381 12 252 10 245 22 244 22 266 96381 89203 13 240 8 254 15 244 21 271 89203 83645 3 265 10 225 12 253 20 267 83645 79019 12 316 4 251 9 270 10 282 79019 75020 18 290 13 283 13 286 8 275 75020 71465 17 235 21 268 20 291 15 303 71465 68253 15 281 27 250 25 278 25 288 68253 65304 25 275 25 271 23 262 23 268 65304 62558 32 284 27 275 25 266 28 281 62558 59884 35 281 34 272 35 283 34 273 59884 57069 49 289 45 281 44 278 44 285 57069 54144 64 286 58 274 57 279 59 287 54144 51376 67 279 62 272 59 279 64 280 51376 48909 63 279 61 281 60 281 60 277 48909 46708 70 285 69 285 68 283 67 281 46708 44710 82 284 79 280 78 278 78 279 44710 42888 93 280 83 272 83 272 79 275 42888 41222 100 274 88 266 84 267 79 271 41222 39690 105 272 93 261 83 264 77 271 39690 38264 104 270 92 257 81 263 75 274 38264 36926 102 271 88 261 77 263 73 276 36926 35631 97 273 86 264 74 265 71 274 35631 34310 92 273 82 268 72 269 70 270 34310 32933 89 271 79 271 70 273 68 271 32933 31502 88 271 76 272 67 275 66 273 31502 30005 85 274 75 273 62 274 62 274 30005 28430 81 277 71 274 60 273 55 270 28430 26782 74 276 65 275 56 276 49 262 26782 25059 68 272 61 274 53 277 46 260 25059 23263 65 270 57 270 50 275 43 260 23263 21393 61 270 54 270 49 271 42 259 21393 19442 61 272 54 273 48 271 41 259 19442 17407 56 279 52 271 47 269 40 260 17407 15332 57 276 48 259 45 257 37 264 15332 13330 60 264 48 254 47 247 38 271 13330 11501 59 258 45 255 40 251 38 266 11501 9871 49 263 43 248 37 244 34 264 9871 8424 38 259 36 239 35 237 30 241 8424 7145 30 250 29 225 34 225 29 225 7145 6015 22 231 16 204 31 205 33 214 6015 5021 9 268 3 124 26 174 35 196 5021 4154 9 333 5 121 19 146 33 170 4154 3394 6 015 10 139 18 137 30 147 3394 2717 8 095 13 129 21 123 27 135 2717 2120 17*103 16*113 20*111 26 128 2120 1622 17*101 14*107 17*099 24 123 1622 1239 16 100 14 105 16 097 22 118 1239 976 15 099 12 104 15 096 18 115 976 817 13 098 11 104 13 095 15*114 817 726 11 098 9 103 11 095 9*112 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography