DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.2 - - 24.0 - - 32.0 - - 38.3 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 154 - - 350 - - 247 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1186 - - 2808 - - 3375 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 707 - - 1020 - - 2547 - - 2844 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top 725 - - 1926 - - 3548 - - 4115 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 699 - - 1585 - - 820 - - 890 - - 4192 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 230 - - 404 - - 381 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 285 - - 281 - - 278 - - 266 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -782 - - -580 - - -1099 - - -2521 - - -4619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1507 - - 2506 - - 4648 - - 6637 - - 5346 sfcLCL ODpotential -2968 - - -6711 - - -7334 - - -8189 - - -10702 ODpotential blCL 3693 - - 8637 - - 10882 - - 12304 - - 11428 blCL maxRH 79 - - 82 - - 66 - - 49 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.2 - - 24.0 - - 32.0 - - 38.3 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.7 - - 16.0 - - 14.5 - - 11.9 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.3 - - 23.1 - - 30.4 - - 37.0 - - 36.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.7 - - 15.0 - - 13.3 - - 10.8 - - 12.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 154 - - 350 - - 247 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1186 - - 2808 - - 3375 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96620 15 268 9 250 8 286 8 266 11 278 96620 89349 2 110 12 154 9 183 12 245 5 332 89349 83767 6 166 11 146 15 167 15 217 7 254 83767 79130 11 232 6 176 10 167 11 202 13 201 79130 75115 14 215 10 199 11 228 11 221 9 216 75115 71547 10 260 10 200 16 223 15 215 13 226 71547 68304 19 267 12 245 17 241 18 247 15 269 68304 65319 24 261 20 243 26 241 26 242 26 251 65319 62556 32 264 21 246 27 230 29 236 30 235 62556 59882 40 263 34 268 29 262 28 248 31 238 59882 57074 51 253 53 260 46 259 38 253 34 248 57074 54132 56 250 60 250 56 251 47 250 44 250 54132 51296 64 252 64 250 58 250 53 251 51 245 51296 48716 72 251 69 252 65 250 62 253 53 246 48716 46389 73 250 71 249 70 247 69 250 57 252 46389 44275 68 252 66 251 67 248 69 247 65 252 44275 42340 69 255 69 253 64 248 64 247 66 247 42340 40555 72 254 70 252 63 252 59 248 60 244 40555 38902 69 254 68 252 68 252 56 253 57 247 38902 37369 66 256 66 251 67 250 56 256 52 250 37369 35942 64 257 62 253 62 250 57 253 47 253 35942 34577 60 254 59 252 57 252 52 253 43 260 34577 33205 50 257 51 251 48 255 46 254 42 259 33205 31804 51 265 46 260 43 259 39 263 33 259 31804 30377 49 268 45 264 41 263 35 271 28 280 30377 28905 37 269 32 265 38 263 34 275 26 289 28905 27380 32 284 30 283 30 268 25 274 16 293 27380 25800 30 293 28 290 22 280 14 303 16 311 25800 24153 27 297 21 305 18 317 17 331 21 325 24153 22438 23 312 20 321 18 344 21 332 24 329 22438 20650 22 317 18 337 20 001 22 337 24 327 20650 18781 21 324 22 015 22 008 20 344 22 327 18781 16826 20 340 27 026 21 017 17 350 21 327 16826 14824 23 354 24 021 17 010 16 351 19 325 14824 12888 25 358 21 010 17 357 17 338 19 326 12888 11123 25 357 22 004 17 354 18 334 19 329 11123 9556 26 356 22 003 16 357 14 339 17 329 9556 8167 26 354 22 001 15 359 10 331 11 312 8167 6938 25 348 22 357 14 356 9 308 11 292 6938 5852 21 339 22 351 14 348 11 302 12 290 5852 4898 16 333 19 336 13 331 11*285 15 259 4898 4063 13 326 16 308 12*296 11*269 15 249 4063 3326 14 316 15 288 13*282 11 267 15 247 3326 2667 15 314 13 284 13 280 11 267 14 247 2667 2085 17 323 12*283 13 278 11 266 13 246 2085 1599 19 317 11*281 13 277 11 265 12 245 1599 1226 17 307 11 281 12 277 10 265 11 244 1226 970 13 294 10 281 12 276 10 264 10 241 970 814 11*291 10 281 11 276 10 265 8*238 814 725 6*285 9 280 10 276 9 264 5*235 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography