DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.8 - - 27.1 - - 21.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 277 - - 130 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2197 - - 2598 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2016 - - 1968 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2937 - - 3338 - - 725 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 830 - - 658 - - 1554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 343 - - 282 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 290 - - 252 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2093 - - -2944 - - -4407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5030 - - 6282 - - 5133 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12104 - - -14964 - - -17242 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15041 - - 18302 - - 17967 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - 54 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.8 - - 27.1 - - 21.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 4.3 - - 2.1 - - 1.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 22.4 - - 26.4 - - 22.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 3.4 - - 1.5 - - 1.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 277 - - 130 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2197 - - 2598 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95831 26 339 23 336 16 353 95831 89038 17 358 21 346 17 350 89038 83682 12 027 12 353 20 330 83682 79150 11 011 9 341 20 312 79150 75175 10 311 12 300 21 316 75175 71629 10 315 22 305 15 300 71629 68391 16 301 22 292 13 301 68391 65381 11 296 23 291 23 282 65381 62572 22 315 24 297 20 292 62572 59841 28 313 26 316 21 310 59841 56989 27 315 32 305 30 293 56989 54031 35 326 29 303 33 277 54031 51205 44 331 40 319 36 288 51205 48655 58 329 52 313 40 300 48655 46356 64 324 56 318 44 306 46356 44258 67 324 58 325 54 309 44258 42329 66 324 62 322 63 308 42329 40544 65 326 66 317 67 305 40544 38886 67 328 67 313 63 304 38886 37347 70 327 67 314 62 304 37347 35920 72 327 69 317 64 305 35920 34567 74 327 73 318 64 306 34567 33216 70 328 73 316 63 309 33216 31841 70 334 71 318 66 309 31841 30442 79 338 71 323 69 304 30442 28993 88 339 74 327 64 302 28993 27471 91 339 76 328 65 304 27471 25875 84 338 81 324 68 306 25875 24204 81 336 81 324 65 307 24204 22456 79 338 77 329 58 311 22456 20636 81 342 70 334 50 315 20636 18737 73 347 64 335 50 315 18737 16757 62 346 61 341 51 320 16757 14739 55 340 48 340 47 325 14739 12796 53 340 40 331 40 323 12796 11028 50 341 39 327 33 322 11028 9460 44 342 36 334 29 312 9460 8075 34 339 32 333 26 300 8075 6851 24 339 27 323 23 295 6851 5770 17 338 20 311 20 289 5770 4819 10 326 13 291 17 279 4819 3987 8 315 12*260 18 260 3987 3259 9*298 11*253 20 239 3259 2615 9*292 11 253 19 225 2615 2048 9 291 11 252 18 221 2048 1575 9 290 11 252 16 218 1575 1212 9 289 11 251 15 213 1212 962 9 288 10 251 13 206 962 811 8 288 10 251 10*201 811 724 8 287 9 250 5*192 724 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography