DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 40.5 - - 41.7 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 39 - - 28 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1641 - - 2048 - - 3312 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2381 - - 2788 - - 4052 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1141 - - 1266 - - 2005 - - 3679 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 180 - - 193 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 21 - - 24 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 000 - - 341 - - 337 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 707 - - 914 - - 1177 - - -1361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1674 - - 1874 - - 2876 - - 2087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 396 - - 510 - - 428 - - -2341 ODpotential blCL - - - 1985 - - 2278 - - 3624 - - 3067 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 40.5 - - 41.7 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 35.0 - - 31.7 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 40.4 - - 41.6 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 34.2 - - 30.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 39 - - 28 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1641 - - 2048 - - 3312 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 97 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95989 48 266 53 260 51 256 51 252 95989 88867 29 273 35 262 27 273 26 252 88867 83396 19 279 18 285 23 280 17 296 83396 78835 15 302 12 312 19 291 21 313 78835 74899 13 316 8 311 16 300 23 306 74899 71415 16 324 10 334 10 309 17 306 71415 68237 25 316 20 329 14 340 19 327 68237 65288 22 313 23 315 19 331 25 315 65288 62536 22 317 24 307 24 323 26 312 62536 59849 25 307 27 308 27 318 27 310 59849 57018 33 308 29 309 28 319 29 315 57018 54052 40 306 34 313 36 318 35 318 54052 51208 44 303 40 308 44 313 39 317 51208 48647 46 299 42 303 46 311 39 315 48647 46348 45 299 43 307 46 311 40 319 46348 44261 46 305 42 310 46 309 47 323 44261 42360 50 305 41 315 42 308 56 321 42360 40618 49 305 44 318 42 316 57 315 40618 39006 49 307 47 316 49 320 51 312 39006 37502 50 304 50 312 50 317 46 320 37502 36097 47 301 51 307 47 320 49 327 36097 34755 43 303 50 305 47 324 53 327 34755 33411 40 303 48 303 46 326 54 328 33411 32036 39 304 46 301 46 330 54 334 32036 30628 39 305 46 298 46 337 56 340 30628 29165 41 305 46 296 46 345 59 342 29165 27631 40 303 43 295 48 350 61 342 27631 26026 35 299 39 295 49 352 59 343 26026 24346 31 291 36 295 48 352 57 342 24346 22595 30 285 35 297 44 350 56 343 22595 20769 32 286 35 299 40 346 53 345 20769 18864 34 289 34 300 36 344 49 347 18864 16875 36 292 34 303 35 341 48 347 16875 14847 37 294 31 310 33 341 46 349 14847 12898 36 296 28 325 30 342 37 349 12898 11134 35 298 23 339 26 346 29 350 11134 9573 28 297 16 323 22 343 22 358 9573 8190 18 305 8 319 22 343 20 013 8190 6963 14 323 16 323 25 351 24 031 6963 5876 15 333 22 320 25 351 22 030 5876 4920 15 338 25 335 25 347 21 004 4920 4080 16 348 23 349 26*344 29 346 4080 3340 20 357 24*344 26*340 32 343 3340 2678 24*001 23*343 26 338 31 340 2678 2092 24*001 23 342 25 337 30 338 2092 1604 23 001 22 341 24 336 27 334 1604 1229 21 000 21 341 23 335 23 331 1229 971 20 000 19 340 21 334 18 328 971 815 17 360 17 340 19 333 15*327 815 725 14 359 13 339 15 333 10*326 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography