DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 49.9 - - 53.2 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 98 - - 62 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 509 - - 1553 - - 2093 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1249 - - 2293 - - 2833 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1155 - - 604 - - 467 - - 1841 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 223 - - 212 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 357 - - 322 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 366 - - 267 - - 156 - - -486 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 883 - - 2026 - - 2677 - - 1213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 137 - - -4131 - - -3344 - - -5324 ODpotential blCL - - - 1112 - - 6424 - - 6177 - - 6051 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - 95 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 49.9 - - 53.2 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 43.6 - - 44.0 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 49.4 - - 52.8 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 42.4 - - 43.2 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 98 - - 62 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 509 - - 1553 - - 2093 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 79 - - 81 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96659 33 085 34 061 28 080 23 063 96659 89547 29 087 31 083 26 086 17 085 89547 83967 25 083 22 102 15 080 11 074 83967 79300 18 071 14 112 2 087 12 004 79300 75288 7 039 9 101 4 259 9 320 75288 71733 1 114 6 330 6 310 8 309 71733 68498 8 330 13 271 15 283 16 293 68498 65517 25 320 16 298 17 287 23 301 65517 62763 28 284 31 288 31 285 32 290 62763 60098 32 279 37 278 37 284 38 280 60098 57309 39 282 42 277 42 271 43 272 57309 54391 49 272 39 272 46 282 44 289 54391 51600 47 275 61 292 67 286 70 284 51600 49106 64 294 81 284 79 282 72 288 49106 46868 84 286 83 280 83 283 77 295 46868 44828 85 276 76 277 82 290 89 294 44828 42956 73 276 69 281 84 296 100 291 42956 41233 65 277 73 292 89 294 102 289 41233 39643 59 279 78 293 88 289 99 291 39643 38177 55 278 76 291 87 290 99 296 38177 36820 53 282 72 292 91 295 104 300 36820 35521 52 286 73 299 96 298 107 301 35521 34201 54 295 80 306 95 300 108 303 34201 32829 57 300 83 309 90 301 103 304 32829 31406 59 300 78 307 83 302 93 305 31406 29918 56 295 70 301 78 303 81 309 29918 28356 49 286 66 296 74 304 77 310 28356 26716 46 276 63 296 71 304 75 305 26716 24994 49 272 60 296 65 305 71 301 24994 23194 55 278 57 294 59 308 61 304 23194 21321 51 290 54 294 56 311 50 308 21321 19369 39 288 48 297 51 314 43 311 19369 17339 34 300 40 302 45 317 40 315 17339 15277 28 323 31 312 39 321 36 320 15277 13293 23 336 30 326 36 330 34 326 13293 11488 20 348 33 335 37 343 32 339 11488 9880 19 358 30 341 32 346 30 354 9880 8450 20 012 24 343 26 338 24 357 8450 7181 22 017 21 346 22 333 19 347 7181 6058 20 021 20 347 21 333 16 335 6058 5065 19 021 15 349 22 330 15 330 5065 4190 21 013 14 358 18 327 14 328 4190 3419 15 043 12 358 11*326 11 313 3419 2734 11 045 9*359 9*323 11 309 2734 2132 12 028 8*358 9 321 12 307 2132 1630 12*026 8 357 9 322 12 305 1630 1244 11*026 7 356 9 321 13 303 1244 979 9 024 7 356 8 321 12 301 979 818 8 024 7 355 8 321 9*298 818 726 7 024 6 356 7 321 5*294 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography