DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 1005z - - 1330z - - 1600z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.0 - - 66.4 - - 73.7 - - 73.2 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 80 - - 51 - - 107 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 588 - - 2226 - - 1581 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 709 - - 709 - - 710 - - 1052 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 726 - - 1328 - - 2966 - - 2321 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 772 - - 442 - - 1558 - - 1807 - - 2087 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 148 - - 203 - - 227 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 117 - - 143 - - 128 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 20 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -609 - - -423 - - 601 - - 202 - - -599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1335 - - 1751 - - 2365 - - 2119 - - 1326 sfcLCL ODpotential -7313 - - -3329 - - 348 - - -659 - - -1764 ODpotential blCL 8039 - - 4657 - - 2618 - - 2980 - - 2491 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 96 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 410 - - 190 - - 330 - - 250 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m 62.0 - - 66.4 - - 73.7 - - 73.2 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.6 - - 61.1 - - 65.6 - - 66.0 - - 66.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.4 - - 65.9 - - 73.4 - - 72.5 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.5 - - 60.8 - - 65.2 - - 65.7 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 80 - - 51 - - 107 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 588 - - 2226 - - 1581 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 95 - - 101 - - 83 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98303 7 163 6 179 6 186 10 251 5 247 98303 90895 10 208 4 218 10 202 12 243 11 248 90895 85171 12 240 3 201 10 189 11 211 11 245 85171 80408 6 257 2 183 13 185 12 237 10 270 80408 76300 8 276 3 267 5 191 10 213 9 243 76300 72684 9 245 7 231 5 267 6 223 6 230 72684 69431 9 236 8 225 6 226 10 251 9 256 69431 66457 11 242 13 265 9 262 12 263 12 271 66457 63721 18 272 20 269 19 264 19 262 22 276 63721 61098 28 267 24 264 25 265 24 254 26 259 61098 58365 30 263 26 264 27 257 26 260 27 264 58365 55522 35 268 32 269 37 267 42 267 37 262 55522 52808 39 268 41 271 45 266 49 263 43 260 52808 50367 42 268 44 270 47 263 51 260 50 260 50367 48182 44 266 46 265 48 260 50 257 54 260 48182 46197 45 260 47 259 47 255 48 255 55 260 46197 44375 44 253 46 251 46 251 46 255 53 258 44375 42689 44 247 46 244 44 246 45 255 49 252 42689 41121 44 243 45 242 42 243 44 252 46 248 41121 39653 42 242 42 241 39 243 40 248 44 247 39653 38269 39 241 38 239 33 245 34 249 41 244 38269 36928 34 237 34 238 30 250 30 253 40 238 36928 35559 29 231 32 237 28 253 29 256 37 237 35559 34134 25 228 31 234 27 256 31 260 33 242 34134 32656 24 229 29 230 25 257 29 264 30 250 32656 31108 24 228 28 228 24 253 23 266 28 252 31108 29477 25 225 28 227 23 249 21 261 26 247 29477 27768 25 222 28 227 21 248 21 256 24 243 27768 25982 21 216 26 227 19 247 21 251 25 248 25982 24119 18 212 22 224 18 250 20 252 25 254 24119 22177 13 204 19 219 21 247 19 254 24 257 22177 20150 12 188 19 217 21 243 21 249 22 255 20150 18041 11 190 20 207 18 233 23 247 20 248 18041 15893 13 192 17 208 21 218 21 236 21 242 15893 13829 17 193 18 229 19 210 17 223 26 239 13829 11957 16 200 15 218 15 201 16 219 23 230 11957 10287 14 207 14 194 14 192 16 224 20 217 10287 8797 15 209 12 185 14 181 14 211 17 221 8797 7473 15 209 14 172 14 176 14 195 16 223 7473 6298 13 199 14 165 17 164 14 198 17 221 6298 5263 12 172 15 159 19 161 13 208 18 208 5263 4354 14 168 16 158 15 163 11 201 15 201 4354 3552 14 156 14 160 12*156 11 177 13 193 3552 2834 17 129 13 156 11*151 11*161 13 178 2834 2201 22 131 13 150 10 145 13*140 13 161 2201 1674 22 126 12*146 10 143 13 128 13 141 1674 1270 19 114 8*122 9 141 13 125 12 134 1270 992 13 104 7 116 9 140 12 123 11 131 992 823 11*102 6 114 8 139 11 122 9*130 823 726 6*098 5 114 7 138 9 121 6*129 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography