DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0736z - - 0738z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 62.4 - - 71.0 - - 74.9 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 191 - - 218 - - 186 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1595 - - 2282 - - 1833 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 710 - - 1460 - - 2001 - - 1620 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 2335 - - 3022 - - 2573 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 131 - - 631 - - 884 - - 1863 - - 2309 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 274 - - 323 - - 285 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 131 - - 171 - - 176 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 17 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1040 - - -3419 - - -3742 - - -3042 - - -883 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1767 - - 5754 - - 6764 - - 5615 - - 1612 sfcLCL ODpotential -9778 - - -10307 - - -7695 - - -4493 - - -2783 ODpotential blCL 10505 - - 12642 - - 10717 - - 7066 - - 3512 blCL maxRH 71 - - 79 - - 100 - - 85 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 710 - - 470 - - 1590 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 62.4 - - 71.0 - - 74.9 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 40.1 - - 44.1 - - 52.8 - - 65.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.1 - - 61.4 - - 69.7 - - 73.7 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.0 - - 39.7 - - 43.6 - - 52.4 - - 64.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 191 - - 218 - - 186 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1595 - - 2282 - - 1833 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 16 - - 99 - - 41 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97622 7 288 14 255 19 258 25 257 21 253 97622 90266 4 246 11 258 13 248 11 253 11 259 90266 84636 2 304 4 183 12 246 4 226 6 278 84636 79964 3 280 6 112 6 204 11 240 9 301 79964 75937 3 253 2 046 3 135 11 232 12 284 75937 72372 4 271 3 301 4 231 8 219 10 276 72372 69127 8 262 5 258 6 281 6 220 9 260 69127 66143 10 244 6 258 15 292 10 277 7 294 66143 63366 14 240 22 257 25 252 25 266 18 280 63366 60674 21 261 25 243 19 256 25 272 19 264 60674 57873 24 266 23 261 31 269 40 277 31 286 57873 54977 40 273 44 276 47 263 48 265 49 273 54977 52221 49 272 53 274 50 270 47 268 51 266 52221 49723 63 273 59 273 58 272 56 274 56 270 49723 47467 70 270 61 271 60 269 68 273 64 270 47467 45414 70 273 60 270 60 271 72 270 71 268 45414 43547 73 277 60 272 64 272 72 265 79 265 43547 41851 70 278 64 271 64 268 69 261 81 261 41851 40299 61 277 67 270 61 266 66 260 80 257 40299 38858 59 277 68 270 61 264 64 260 78 251 38858 37507 62 276 66 271 63 263 59 259 76 246 37507 36200 65 274 64 272 63 264 55 259 74 241 36200 34870 65 273 61 273 61 266 54 260 71 236 34870 33482 62 273 58 273 58 267 55 260 71 234 33482 32039 57 271 56 267 54 268 58 260 69 236 32039 30527 53 268 52 264 49 264 59 253 67 239 30527 28934 50 267 45 255 47 257 59 248 61 242 28934 27264 43 269 41 245 41 252 58 249 54 246 27264 25515 35 272 39 247 38 253 52 254 47 250 25515 23689 32 269 37 257 34 248 41 253 39 251 23689 21787 33 264 40 259 34 246 35 240 35 252 21787 19806 32 265 37 258 40 250 33 230 31 249 19806 17741 30 265 33 258 42 236 37 226 29 245 17741 15640 34 259 39 251 39 234 40 215 24 242 15640 13619 31 262 38 243 39 231 36 210 24 228 13619 11783 33 260 37 243 41 230 36 217 27 220 11783 10154 36 248 33 240 40 229 34 225 29 216 10154 8708 35 243 31 233 37 225 31 228 31 216 8708 7419 30 235 32 227 36 223 29 228 33 221 7419 6270 25 235 31 212 35 223 28 226 33 223 6270 5249 19 234 31 200 32 221 26 224 31 221 5249 4347 14 226 23 192 26 215 25 220 29 219 4347 3549 6 199 19 167 20*203 22 214 25 218 3549 2834 5 077 16*135 13*173 17*201 21 219 2834 2202 14 056 14*132 13 172 12*187 20 223 2202 1676 17 062 14 131 13 170 9 176 17 228 1676 1271 16 069 13 131 12 169 8 172 14 235 1271 993 15 069 13 130 11 169 8 171 11 244 993 824 12*070 12 130 11 169 8 170 8*251 824 728 4*074 10 129 9 169 7 170 5*259 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography