DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 70.9 - - 71.7 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 157 - - 39 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 126 - - 3608 - - 4626 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 2797 - - 1882 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 866 - - 4348 - - 5366 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 330 - - 1819 - - 1511 - - 251 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 335 - - 231 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 196 - - 201 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2677 - - -3228 - - -2371 - - -4259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3543 - - 7576 - - 7737 - - 4987 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5516 - - -10540 - - -8660 - - -9679 ODpotential blCL - - - 6382 - - 14888 - - 14026 - - 10407 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 84 - - 85 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 70.9 - - 71.7 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 40.5 - - 40.5 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 69.9 - - 71.6 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 40.0 - - 40.2 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 157 - - 39 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 126 - - 3608 - - 4626 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 37 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96914 33 254 33 253 44 270 38 273 96914 89739 19 244 29 246 25 266 29 277 89739 84171 7 236 18 241 16 256 19 263 84171 79566 9 237 13 252 10 243 12 250 79566 75614 9 229 9 253 11 254 11 268 75614 72117 8 218 9 230 16 258 12 269 72117 68949 8 240 9 211 13 246 13 248 68949 66033 10 259 10 234 15 236 18 235 66033 63323 15 256 13 239 15 228 19 230 63323 60698 18 251 16 239 17 224 24 231 60698 57956 25 250 20 236 25 231 23 227 57956 55103 28 244 32 233 30 233 39 243 55103 52364 42 234 38 232 46 239 44 230 52364 49895 40 230 46 236 49 239 49 228 49895 47690 47 234 48 233 51 236 51 226 47690 45693 43 233 51 233 58 233 55 227 45693 43868 47 236 58 231 65 226 59 225 43868 42192 55 237 59 225 69 219 63 222 42192 40639 59 237 59 223 67 217 69 220 40639 39184 58 234 60 224 66 220 71 217 39184 37813 55 229 61 226 66 225 67 217 37813 36488 52 226 58 225 65 227 64 218 36488 35137 50 226 56 221 61 225 64 218 35137 33730 49 227 53 223 54 223 60 218 33730 32273 47 228 50 228 53 222 55 216 32273 30752 43 230 48 228 52 221 57 211 30752 29153 41 235 47 221 49 221 61 211 29153 27473 39 244 44 221 49 220 55 219 27473 25709 43 242 43 225 48 218 52 225 25709 23862 47 230 42 214 48 215 45 223 23862 21933 43 223 43 210 46 213 42 225 21933 19921 36 218 40 213 41 217 40 233 19921 17824 31 218 33 217 33 225 37 235 17824 15687 25 220 26 226 27 224 32 233 15687 13627 18 219 23 224 24 228 28 229 13627 11760 15 206 21 221 22 231 23 232 11760 10107 13 195 19 216 20 231 19 245 10107 8645 12 197 19 215 19 229 17 243 8645 7352 13 191 18 212 17 226 16 227 7352 6208 13 182 17 203 16*214 14 202 6208 5197 12 179 16*198 13*203 13 193 5197 4305 11 195 15*197 13 202 13 192 4305 3516 12 213 13 197 13 201 12 190 3516 2810 12 228 12 196 13 200 12 189 2810 2185 12 232 12 195 12 200 12 187 2185 1664 11 229 12 195 12 200 12 185 1664 1264 10 220 11 194 11 200 11 181 1264 989 8*212 11 194 11 200 10 177 989 822 5*207 10 194 10 199 8*171 822 727 5 206 9 194 9 199 5*163 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography