DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.9 - - 34.9 - - 37.8 - - 38.0 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - -7 - - 15 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 84 - - 621 - - 452 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 708 - - 708 - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top 726 - - 824 - - 1361 - - 1192 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 373 - - 542 - - 496 - - 761 - - 1253 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 22 - - 90 - - 31 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 187 - - 199 - - 172 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1289 - - -1169 - - -189 - - 114 - - -329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2016 - - 1993 - - 1550 - - 1078 - - 1056 sfcLCL ODpotential -13693 - - -12572 - - -11137 - - -291 - - -10370 ODpotential blCL 14419 - - 13396 - - 12498 - - 1483 - - 11097 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.9 - - 34.9 - - 37.8 - - 38.0 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.0 - - 29.0 - - 33.6 - - 35.9 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.7 - - 35.5 - - 37.8 - - 38.3 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 28.2 - - 33.0 - - 35.6 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - -7 - - 15 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 84 - - 621 - - 452 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95505 57 261 67 264 66 264 53 262 66 260 95505 88431 52 267 53 268 55 272 44 270 45 267 88431 82951 49 267 40 269 41 264 40 270 37 268 82951 78395 38 278 30 279 28 259 40 265 41 269 78395 74457 38 283 35 287 31 275 38 262 35 271 74457 70964 43 267 38 276 34 273 35 269 37 276 70964 67806 40 262 34 267 33 278 46 278 44 274 67806 64912 39 277 33 273 45 270 46 270 44 271 64912 62206 46 279 46 275 48 268 46 277 43 280 62206 59571 48 277 53 276 53 275 59 276 55 284 59571 56827 57 278 61 278 64 272 71 274 60 269 56827 53981 70 276 70 274 72 274 74 271 73 271 53981 51278 87 270 79 273 82 273 84 274 90 275 51278 48854 99 271 95 273 95 275 106 273 103 274 48854 46674 105 274 105 271 108 273 109 270 109 273 46674 44688 108 275 109 271 114 271 108 268 115 272 44688 42873 114 278 113 272 114 269 107 270 117 272 42873 41213 124 278 119 274 108 268 109 274 116 275 41213 39686 131 276 125 274 105 267 109 275 119 277 39686 38263 138 274 128 272 105 266 105 275 117 278 38263 36924 144 274 128 271 105 265 100 275 109 277 36924 35630 140 274 125 272 103 266 94 275 100 274 35630 34312 130 275 116 275 99 268 88 272 93 269 34312 32940 115 277 100 278 92 271 85 267 91 264 32940 31516 94 279 89 277 87 272 84 266 89 262 31516 30025 78 283 82 274 82 269 82 264 84 264 30025 28455 74 285 77 272 80 266 80 260 80 265 28455 26806 73 284 75 271 80 265 80 260 76 265 26806 25076 70 282 72 270 76 267 78 260 73 261 25076 23269 68 280 69 271 67 268 75 261 74 260 23269 21389 61 276 63 273 59 267 69 262 70 262 21389 19431 52 269 57 271 54 267 59 263 63 262 19431 17387 47 265 49 269 48 266 47 263 55 262 17387 15307 41 263 41 266 39 257 38 259 40 268 15307 13311 36 263 35 268 34 250 34 251 28 261 13311 11493 35 259 28 266 30 249 28 253 25 266 11493 9872 30 257 25 260 25 245 23 249 20 264 9872 8429 26 259 23 253 22 235 20 224 16 250 8429 7150 22 256 21 250 23 229 21 230 19 239 7150 6017 18 241 21 245 26 235 22 231 18 230 6017 5017 18 231 25 240 24 234 22 216 14 215 5017 4142 22 236 24 233 18 227 20 215 16 218 4142 3375 22 240 18 227 15 213 22 213 16 227 3375 2695 19 236 15 216 16 206 21 206 15 215 2695 2100 18 227 17 210 20 207 20 194 16 198 2100 1608 20 218 22 204 18*203 16 181 15 179 1608 1231 21 205 21 197 13*199 13*174 13 174 1231 972 15 193 14*189 12 199 12*173 11 167 972 815 13*191 12*188 10 198 10 172 9*164 815 726 7*189 8 186 8 198 7 170 4*157 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography