DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 70.7 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 410 - - 270 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5432 - - 5682 - - 4671 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4640 - - 4652 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6172 - - 6422 - - 5411 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 663 - - 1197 - - 1252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 531 - - 470 - - 92 W* B/S - - - - - - 22 - - 32 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 029 - - 252 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - 2 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2439 - - -3734 - - -3917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8612 - - 10157 - - 9329 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11637 - - -12052 - - -12704 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17809 - - 18474 - - 18115 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 46 - - 61 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 70.7 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.4 - - 28.5 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.6 - - 69.1 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.2 - - 27.3 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 410 - - 270 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5432 - - 5682 - - 4671 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98187 10 155 7 179 1 312 98187 90729 4 192 8 204 4 338 90729 84985 2 199 8 234 3 291 84985 80221 5 203 5 226 5 290 80221 76115 6 183 4 227 7 302 76115 72485 5 081 1 185 5 289 72485 69193 3 020 2 248 6 269 69193 66172 7 347 1 226 5 275 66172 63378 15 321 10 310 8 317 63378 60672 14 311 15 299 13 312 60672 57842 19 311 22 314 20 320 57842 54912 25 301 30 307 27 313 54912 52129 27 308 34 307 30 314 52129 49632 33 322 39 307 39 308 49632 47411 45 318 42 308 44 305 47411 45423 57 313 46 319 46 306 45423 43627 67 310 56 319 44 313 43627 41987 67 310 61 310 43 324 41987 40470 64 311 54 309 42 320 40470 39046 58 317 46 317 37 318 39046 37698 56 327 42 325 35 322 37698 36388 57 335 42 334 31 325 36388 35049 59 338 40 329 31 328 35049 33652 61 339 38 328 33 329 33652 32200 58 340 37 328 36 329 32200 30679 55 337 37 320 39 328 30679 29076 52 333 37 316 38 326 29076 27393 51 332 37 316 38 309 27393 25628 51 330 36 320 43 314 25628 23783 52 328 40 326 43 314 23783 21862 50 329 42 327 43 309 21862 19860 48 326 43 324 42 311 19860 17771 46 322 40 326 39 316 17771 15638 44 326 35 333 33 321 15638 13582 41 334 31 335 27 326 13582 11712 32 340 26 335 21 324 11712 10054 25 347 19 340 16 319 10054 8589 18 355 10 340 10 315 8589 7299 12*005 4*267 7 262 7299 6163 5*015 4*254 7*195 6163 5161 4 021 3 252 7*174 5161 4278 4 024 3 251 7 165 4278 3496 4 029 3 251 7 156 3496 2795 4 032 2 250 7 150 2795 2176 4 036 2 253 7 145 2176 1658 4 038 2 254 7 143 1658 1261 4 041 2 253 7 141 1261 988 4 041 2 255 7 139 988 822 4 042 2 252 6 139 822 727 4 042 2 252 5 137 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography