DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/21 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 59.2 - - 57.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 274 - - 92 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2142 - - 7105 - - 6788 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1656 - - 5762 - - 4718 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2882 - - 7845 - - 7528 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1606 - - 1542 - - 1485 - - 6876 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 506 - - 347 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 30 - - 34 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 268 - - 280 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2274 - - 925 - - 346 - - -4548 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5156 - - 6921 - - 7182 - - 5275 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4114 - - 396 - - -48 - - -5487 ODpotential blCL - - - 6996 - - 7449 - - 7576 - - 6214 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 82 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 59.2 - - 57.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 31.1 - - 27.8 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 58.1 - - 56.6 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 30.8 - - 27.6 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 274 - - 92 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2142 - - 7105 - - 6788 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 27 - - 100 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96881 28 270 39 272 31 268 34 261 96881 89703 25 286 28 267 31 272 25 279 89703 84171 24 282 24 270 32 269 31 279 84171 79567 17 289 22 272 28 274 29 271 79567 75575 13 282 15 275 19 272 17 275 75575 72022 7 300 12 279 12 269 10 293 72022 68783 13 311 12 273 14 271 13 283 68783 65796 14 269 10 239 12 262 13 282 65796 63021 13 279 9 269 15 280 15 276 63021 60324 18 289 15 278 15 270 17 280 60324 57494 16 287 14 269 23 280 25 290 57494 54542 20 275 24 267 31 273 39 287 54542 51712 47 270 33 252 32 285 41 287 51712 49161 51 266 51 287 57 290 55 290 49161 46887 55 277 68 284 68 286 70 292 46887 44841 62 277 72 277 73 282 84 293 44841 42974 66 275 71 274 77 282 94 291 42974 41250 67 274 72 275 82 282 99 289 41250 39646 70 275 73 278 83 282 104 290 39646 38143 77 274 75 283 86 287 107 291 38143 36727 82 273 80 287 94 291 108 293 36727 35359 84 272 84 287 101 293 110 294 35359 33975 85 270 84 286 104 293 113 295 33975 32546 86 267 84 287 104 294 115 296 32546 31075 84 265 84 290 103 295 115 298 31075 29550 81 265 81 291 100 296 115 299 29550 27958 79 266 77 292 99 296 111 298 27958 26306 78 265 72 290 92 296 102 296 26306 24590 76 264 68 291 79 294 93 296 24590 22810 74 264 65 293 71 293 86 297 22810 20968 67 265 63 295 70 290 78 297 20968 19055 60 261 59 293 66 290 73 298 19055 17063 56 255 57 283 59 291 69 295 17063 15031 55 255 55 276 56 290 65 293 15031 13073 55 259 54 273 51 285 60 293 13073 11291 52 265 52 269 52 282 57 292 11291 9713 45 265 47 268 45 280 50 294 9713 8323 42 261 37*267 37*276 45 296 8323 7091 41 263 33*266 37*277 44 290 7091 5997 38 265 31 266 36 278 43 287 5997 5026 31 262 31 267 36 279 42 287 5026 4169 25 269 31 267 35 280 41 287 4169 3411 26*280 30 268 34 281 40 287 3411 2732 26*278 30 268 34 281 38 287 2732 2131 25 275 29 269 33 282 36 286 2131 1629 23 272 28 269 32 282 33 285 1629 1244 22 271 28 269 31 282 29 284 1244 979 21 270 26 269 29 282 24 282 979 818 19 270 25 269 26 282 20*282 818 726 15 269 20 269 20 282 14*281 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography